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Shuttle Retirement Costs Divert Science Funding

FleaPlus writes "Although overall NASA funding is expected to increase next year, NASA has announced plans to divert money from its science program to help pay for the expected cost overruns for flying the Space Shuttle safely until its retirement in 2010. A number of science projects are being canceled or delayed indefinitely."

160 comments

  1. Not unexpected by Leroy_Brown242 · · Score: 0

    Not really unexpected at all.

    But I wonder what costs there are that we might not think of.

    Beyond disposal if goods and keeping of secrets.

  2. Christian Fundimentalism by Hairy1 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I suppose you have to expect this kind of thing when Christian Fundimentalists are in charge of the science purse strings. Just take a look at the recent issue with NASA Public Relations censoring a scientist on Global Warming. The last thing the Christian Fundimentalist Bush administration want is more money spent on science that continues to prove their dearest beliefs wrong. After all if you know "The Truth" by divine relalation why bother with science?

    1. Re:Christian Fundimentalism by DrMrLordX · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Eh? What does this have to do with religion?

      Due to problems with the shuttle and extreme caution involved with current and future shuttle projects, the cost of running the space shuttle program has jumped. They had to get the money from somewhere within the NASA budget. Grabbing more from Congress isn't going to happen when you've got an $8 trillion budget deficit and cost overruns left and right. Congress has no fiscal discipline, and this is the result.

    2. Re:Christian Fundimentalism by Bazzalisk · · Score: 1, Insightful
      Sadly the Qu'ran at least can actualy be interpreted as being in favour of science and research (remember how advanced the Arabic world was when europe was going through the dark ages? now the arabic world is in its dark age and europe is keeping the scientific light alive), but that interpretation is out of political favour in many parts of the middle-east right now.

      Similarly the large number of Jesuit scientists should be enough to show that at least some parts of christianity can be seen to be in favour of scientific research (science afterall is the only thing that can let you see god's own handwriting in creation).

      --
      James P. Barrett
    3. Re:Christian Fundimentalism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are correct that at least part of christianity is in favor of science. The bible itself does not say that knowledge is a bad thing(though it does say that it can make life harder, and considering the choices one has to make when you acquire nuclear weapons as an example, I'd say I agree). It also says most things truly worth it will make life harder so I hardly think that is intended as a discouragement to learn. Christianity itself is not against science. Let me repeat that. Christianity is in no way against science. It is the mainstream church today, and the church of yesterday that has convinced people that science is bad. Read the book Science of God by Schroeder. It is an excellent read.

    4. Re:Christian Fundimentalism by The+Spoonman · · Score: 1

      The bible itself does not say that knowledge is a bad thing

      Really? What about Genesis where Adam & Eve were forbidden to eat the fruit from the tree of the knowledge of good & evil? How does one know they have to obey such an edict if they have no idea it's wrong not to?

      --
      Which is more painful? Going to work or gouging your eye out with a spoon? Find out!
      http://www.workorspoon.com
    5. Re:Christian Fundimentalism by jridley · · Score: 1

      Yes, the "bible is the literal truth" people are a radical offshoot of Christianity. They do not represent the majority of Christians, probably not even in the U.S. I know a bunch of dedicated christians, including one Jesuit directly in the employ of the Vatican, and none of them believe that tripe.
      I don't even know what crazy bits of mental gymnastics these people have to go through to justify their beliefs. If the bible is ultimate literal truth, then how come it's not OK to sell your firstborn daughter into slavery? Bible says it's OK.

    6. Re:Christian Fundimentalism by budgenator · · Score: 1

      If you don't like the way Congress and the Christian Fundimentalist Bush administration budget and spend our tax money; there are ways to "cut out the middle-men" and send a check directly. I'm not sure if it's a tax credit, just a deduction or even how much of your total tax bill can qualify; so ask your tax advisor. Something else I'm not sure about is how fine grained the donation can be as in to NASA in total, or where you could earmark the money for a pet project like the Space Interferometry Mission (SIM).

      Anybody with more information feel free to chime in.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  3. Painted itself into a corner by Oldsmobile · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This might be classified as hindsight, but NASA has FORSEEABLY painted itself into a corner. The ISS is going to fail without the shuttle, yet NASA (or those that set policy for NASA) procrastinated with building a replacement for the shuttle for years and years. Now the Shuttle has been bleeding NASA dry, yet they can't abandon it without losing the ISS. Talk about being between a rock and a hard place.

    They really need to make some hard choices. One possibility would be the diverting of funds to find out how to assemble the ISS with existing hardware, mainly Russian, as they are the only ones with heavy lift vehicles, though this might be very difficult. Another might be to try to reconfigure the shuttle platform as a heavy lift vehicle, thought that would take time and the ISS would be on hold. Of course the ISS is on hold now too...

    The problem with the shuttle is, that a tremendous amount of energy is used to lift not only the required ISS part, but also a heavy hunk of 70's junk covered in tiles. This is not a smart way of lifting things into orbit.

    I'm sorry, but NASA really needs to find a way to ditch the shuttle real soon. Considering the fact that the new Federal budget gives no hope of fixing the huge deficit, NASA money might be harder to come by in the near future, even thought they did get their money this time around.

    --
    Some say he is made with ascii, others that he is eyeballed daily by millions. All we know is, he is known as the Sig
    1. Re:Painted itself into a corner by bpd1069 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      just another sign of america on the decline...

      move along, nothing to see here

      --
      --
    2. Re:Painted itself into a corner by m50d · · Score: 3, Insightful

      How about just sending ISS bits up on a US conventional rocket? Surely a Delta IV Heavy has the capacity to plonk anything we need up there, though obviously it can't transfer it onto the ISS as easily as the shuttle can. But it ought to be possible.

      --
      I am trolling
    3. Re:Painted itself into a corner by Richard_at_work · · Score: 4, Funny

      The Russians built many space stations without the Shuttle, pretty sure the geniuses at NASA can accomplish the same.

    4. Re:Painted itself into a corner by cbcanb · · Score: 5, Informative

      The US modules for the ISS are designed with the shuttle's payload bay in mind. In particular, they expect the loads during launch to be applied from fixtures mounted along the sides and bottom of the bay. For expendable launches, you need to design the modules to take their loads from their bottom end. Converting a module would be very expensive.

      If you wanted to, you could launch the module in a sort of adaptor that held the modules as they would be if the shuttle was carrying them. However, that would be heavy, to the point where even a Delta-IV Heavy may have trouble launching the module+adaptor combination.

    5. Re:Painted itself into a corner by johnny+cashed · · Score: 1

      Maybe it's time to fasttrack the Shuttle-C concept. And get the CEV on order. You're right, NASA has done a good job of painting themselves into a corner. Shuttle-C looks to me like a quick and expedient compromise.

    6. Re:Painted itself into a corner by delong · · Score: 1

      They really need to make some hard choices

      The hard choices have been made for them. The Shuttle is being retired in 2010. But the US is treaty-obligated to finish construction of the minimal ISS, so the money has to go into the shuttle for the short term. Its a collossal waste, IMO, but that's the hard choice. Some very interesting science has to be placed on hold in the meantime.

      We're obligated to finish ISS, and we want to build the CEV and launch vehicles to take us to the Moon and Mars in this century. There's only so much of the pie to be cut up, so the science gets punted down the road. I feel for the space nerds (I'm one too) that don't like great projects like the Terrestial Planet Finder getting put on hold, but in the real world there are tradeoffs.

    7. Re:Painted itself into a corner by bigtrike · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Converting a module would be very expensive.

      More expensive than keeping the shuttle in operation for many more years?

    8. Re:Painted itself into a corner by J05H · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Delta IV-H has plenty of capacity to handle handle a "Cargo Bay" adapter and still fly the Columbus and Kibo modules. The modules are each around 12 tons-15tons, Delta IV-H can theoretically fly 25tons to LEO. Also, the real question to ask w/ this is: Would the cost of adapting current mainfest to fly on EELV exceed the cancellation costs of Shuttle? At $4+ Billion per year, the Shuttle is definitely eating the rest of NASA alive. Station isn't in as bad a shape, IMHO, at least it is functional. Also, compare the cost of Shuttle (or upcoming CEV) to Soyuz: we now have a price for one six-month stay via Soyuz, $44 million. Compared to Shuttle costs, that should be sobering news to Dr. Griffin, policy wonks and all us space cadets.

      For getting modules to ISS, I think they should actually use a Soyuz (with bigger service module and American CBM adapter on nose) to meet and tug the EELV-launched modules into the proper orbit. It's still pennies on the dollar compared to maintaining STS.

      Josh

      --
      gigantino.tv - Heavy but weighs nothing.
    9. Re:Painted itself into a corner by llbbl · · Score: 0

      In addition to basic design considerations such as where to attach the payloads there are a number of other considerations. One main one in particular would be lifting capacity.

      The Delta 4 medium capacity can lift 6,565 kg (14,475 lb) while the Delta 4 heavy capacity can lift 13,130 kg (28,950 lb) into orbit. This is less than the 22,700 kg (50,000 lbs) that the shuttle is able to lift.

    10. Re:Painted itself into a corner by jafac · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The ISS is going to fail without the shuttle, yet NASA (or those that set policy for NASA) procrastinated with building a replacement for the shuttle for years and years.

      The entire EELV program (Atlas V and Delta IV) was conceived and executed specifically because of the Challenger disaster, as a backup means for the NRO to get payloads on orbit.

      The problem was - NASA didn't hop on the bandwagon in 1987 when they should have, and work to get EELVs human-rated. So while the NRO and USAF have their backup vehicles (and the communications satellite industry) - NASA got stuck with the Shuttle as their single-point-of-failure for manned spaceflight.

      Ironically, the original Atlas (and Titan) missiles were crucial for the early manned-spaceflight program. (The entire Gemini program relied on Titan.) That their grandchildren didn't get human-rated is a tragic absurdity.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    11. Re:Painted itself into a corner by jafac · · Score: 1

      However, that would be heavy, to the point where even a Delta-IV Heavy may have trouble launching the module+adaptor combination.

      That's an engineering/design problem. I don't see why that would be a show-stopper. Engineers are smart. They get paid to solve these kinds of issues. That's what they're there for.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    12. Re:Painted itself into a corner by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      IIRC, The Russians built 2 space stations and both were smaller than even space lab, let alone ISS.

      Even now, each piece that goes into orbit is bigger than what most rockets can carry. Once there, you then have to have some way of moving the piece into place. Basically, you would need a space tug. Well, we do not have that. It would take as long as the new stuff will take. During that time, the ISS will be simple holding 2 ppl in place doing very little. Until a few more pieces are there (namely some form of an escape craft), the ISS will not get useful.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    13. Re:Painted itself into a corner by Richard_at_work · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      The USSR had 9 seperate space stations, including Salyut 1 - 7 (1971 to 1991) and Mir (1986 - 2001).

      Mir - out of 7 components, only 1 was shipped and constructed using the Shuttle (the Shuttles docking port), the rest were launched by Proton and docked manually. If it can be done for Mir, it can be done for the ISS.

      I agree tho that the ISS is getting to be a waste of time and money.

    14. Re:Painted itself into a corner by 6th+time+lucky · · Score: 1

      I thought that was exactly what centaur was meant to be for.

      Proposed initially for launch on top of saturn, then the shuttle and finally launched on titan IV so that the military could get their "shuttle" payloads into space without using post-challenger shuttles..

      feel free to correct me... /runs

    15. Re:Painted itself into a corner by M1FCJ · · Score: 1
      Off topic!!?? Moderators must be on bad weed.

      What you say is absolutely correct. The fact is, Americans can't do it but Russians can and that's something Americans would prefer to ignore. I think the problem is the fact that Russians are already overcommitted to their existing projects. I believe all of the available Protons are already slated for commercial launches and they make more money compared to NASA launches. They had a problem supplying enough Soyuz rockets and Progress vehicles.

      What limits IIS at the moment is not the amount of science modules - it is personell. Because Americans canned the crew return vehicle, using Soyuzes it is not practical to man the station to its intended personell of 7. Klipper makes sense here but that will arrive too late, probably will be useful for Mir 3 (the russian base module for IIS was effectively Mir 2).

    16. Re:Painted itself into a corner by M1FCJ · · Score: 1

      Titan II was almost didn't make the human-rating. There were severe problems with pogo-stick oscilations.

  4. Wonderfull by wakeboard · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Wow, so nasa is now like an airline I guess. Just trying to keep flying those pointless shuttle flights.

    Kill the shuttle and keep the science, after all they are going to spend 100 billion dollars to get back to the moon and do nothing there AGAIN, no base, no telescope, no science, most likley just golf.

    STUPID

    1. Re:Wonderfull by alxkit · · Score: 1

      family guy moment:

      a man in a spacesuite is smoking on a hollywood set. a passerby looks at him and says: "neil armstrong! what are you doing here? i just saw you walking on the moon 5 minutes ago!"

      ...or something like that. sorry, no link.

    2. Re:Wonderfull by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Since early shuttle launches which proved the shuttle concept, we've done nothing useful in manned space travel. The real science has been done by unmanned missions.

      Manned space travel should be given over to the sort of missions being run by Branson and Rutan. That's where the real innovation is going to come from. Even if it starts off being for multimillionaires, it will become for everyone, whether for pleasure or science. Scientists reap the benefits of cheaper more powerful PCs that are often the result of research for commercial markets.

    3. Re:Wonderfull by pease1 · · Score: 0, Flamebait
      Wow, so nasa is now like an airline I guess. Just trying to keep flying those pointless shuttle flights.

      Gads. This has been the case for the past decade. You blind, been living in a hole or what?

    4. Re:Wonderfull by Madman · · Score: 1

      The whole point of going back this time is to build more permanent structures and figure out how to live there. While pure science is important I'd rather spend the money on better propulsion and environmental systems. I want to see Jupiter! I want to walk on Mars! Who cares if there's habitable planets 100 light years away if we have no way in hell to get there? Let's make space useful so we can help preserve our environment on earth and access the resources of our solar system.

    5. Re:Wonderfull by delong · · Score: 1

      Manned space travel should be given over to the sort of missions being run by Branson and Rutan. That's where the real innovation is going to come from

      I agree. I think we'll see a private version of Mercury within 20 years, then things will start getting really wild.

      Space is a frontier, and and expensive one at that. Government space agencies have a role in breaking the trails, but as we've seen with government-funded space exploration in the last 30+ years, government is not good at developing the frontier. That's where private enterprise will come in, IMO.

    6. Re:Wonderfull by Rei · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Rutan isn't even close to getting to orbit. Sorry, try again.

      It's one thing to be a fan of private space travel. But at least look at the companies that actually go anywhere even remotely close to orbit instead of zipping around on an unscalable low delta-v rocketplane. For example, why is it always Rutan who gets mentioned, when SpaceX is about to launch a from-scratch developed *orbital* craft? Sure, it has no cockpit, but a cockpit is a nothing component compared to the difficulties of reaching orbit. Why the huzzah for Rutan just because he had a cockpit on an overgrown bottle rocket, and the silence for those who deal with the real challenges of high performance turbopumps, high temperatures and pressures, high velocity staging, gimballing, etc?

      --
      It's time for Operation Crazy Plan.
    7. Re:Wonderfull by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      Competition is one of the best drivers out there.

      The space race was the success it was because it created competition. Once man had put foot on the moon, though, it was really all over. I know the shuttle was cool, but it never really delivered what we all were told at the time - that we'd be able to get on one like a jumbo.

      If we start getting competitors (and I think we will) then people will work their socks off to try and build things like orbital craft. We might see a bit of a bubble, but like the dot-com bubble, we'll get some survivors and a load of R&D. The waiting list for Branson's project is massive, and there's enough people with enough money for whom $100,000 or even $1 million is OK.

    8. Re:Wonderfull by delong · · Score: 1

      One of the keys to building a sustainable presence in space is economics. Governments don't build markets, they build procurement lists paid for with confiscated private property (ie taxes). Once we get a space economy bootstrapped, probably initially by tourism, we'll have a steamroller.

      There are people that will pay $20 million to spend a week on the ISS. I'm willing to bet that the market for a week on the Moon in a Moon Hotel is even larger. To get there requires a large infrastructure for lift, transport, support, and construction, not to mention property rights and enabling regulation.

      I hope to see it within the next 50 years before I die.

    9. Re:Wonderfull by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I should have explained better what I meant:-

      I wasn't trying to be specific, more that what they are doing will generate progress. Aircraft were at one time experimental, like the Wright Brothers, then between the wars, we saw something development and challenges (like Lindburgh and the Schneider trophy). After the war we got commercial air travel, which over the past 50 years has been put further and further into the reach of everyone.

      It was a couple of decades between the first flight and Frank Whittle creating the jet engine which gives us the level of commercial space travel that we have.

      I'm not saying that Rutan and Branson are the only players out there, but that the largest driver to reducing costs of men in space is space tourism. As that gets cheaper, the competition will grow and the next stage will be orbit, in the same way that in aviation, people wanted to get to the point of having direct flights.

      The cost of travelling on early transatlantic flights was about $700 return, something that in 1939 would have been something like $10,000 in today's money, and you'd have to change at Bermuda and the Azores.

    10. Re:Wonderfull by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      I agree.

      I was just trying to point out that we only progressed at the rate we did was because of competition during the cold war era. Had that competition not existed, I doubt NASA would have got to the moon by now. And yes, it never made space travel cheaper or more available.

      Government should be kept out of anything that can be made competitive, whether it be transportation, art or health. The old eastern bloc had companies turning out products that no-one wanted, the UK has state-sponsored operas that no-one wants to see, and which have made no cultural impression. There are dozens of shelved government computer systems in the UK that have cost many millions, and when you see the aims of the systems, you wonder how they ever cost an 8 figure sum in the first place.

      NASA does some important scientific work, granted, but the ISS is a trick. Something to justify the existence of the shuttle, and largely providing no scientific benefit.

      In 1939, a return flight cost $700 across the atlantic, or about $10,000 in today's money. It would have been slow and requiring a couple of stops. I guess it's still about $700 now. If in 60 years time, we see space prices drop in similar terms, it will cost less than $10000 to go on a space flight in todays terms.

    11. Re:Wonderfull by budgenator · · Score: 1

      offtopic but my boss just got off the phone with his hummer dealership, they wanted to know if he wanted to trade in his H2 for a H2H! I haven't found an official announcement yet; but I guess that hydrogen powered vehicles are a done deal now. I'm not suprised Bush and his cronies weren't about to let 6-pack joe brew too much bio-diesel in his garage and cut them out of some profits and taxes.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    12. Re:Wonderfull by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      I think we'll see a private version of Mercury within 20 years, then things will start getting really wild.

      I think it'll be sooner than that. SpaceX has already announced its intent to compete for the $50 million America's Space Prize for orbital flight, which has a 2010 deadline. SpaceX is set to launch their first orbital rocket on Friday, and the Falcon 9 (which will be man-rated and large enough to lift a Mercury-style capsule) is scheduled to launch in 2007.

    13. Re:Wonderfull by delong · · Score: 1

      I think it'll be sooner than that

      I like to play the estimates conservatively. :)

      The technological hurdles are pretty high for private parties without very, very deep pockets. I hope to see it by 2010, but I'm not holding my breath.

  5. Funding Diverts... by Elitist_Phoenix · · Score: 4, Funny

    This is bad! I mean how are they going to get the shadow angles right now!? ;-)

    --
    "I'm going to f***ing bury that guy, I have done it before, and I will do it again. I'm going to f***ing kill Google"
  6. OH NO!! by kernelblaha · · Score: 2, Funny

    How are we going to get that moon station up and running? And what about sending a man to mars? All my dreams are gone to *"?!#

    --
    Million dollar sig.
    1. Re:OH NO!! by Elitist_Phoenix · · Score: 2, Funny

      How are we going to get that moon station up and running?
      By submiting to the dark side of the force!

      --
      "I'm going to f***ing bury that guy, I have done it before, and I will do it again. I'm going to f***ing kill Google"
    2. Re:OH NO!! by dodobh · · Score: 1

      Thats no moon

      --
      I can throw myself at the ground, and miss.
  7. Name change by Belseth · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Isn't it about time we start calling the shuttle the Albatross? It was a bad idea from day one. Heavy lift rockets are more efficent and more dependable. Now science is going to suffer while we continue to throw good money after bad. If the Russians can get astronauts in orbit for 20 mill a pop isn't it more cost effective to pay so they can hitch a ride and dump the shuttle? In truth the 20 mill was paying most of the flight costs, third world economy with first world technology. They may not be able to carry the payload but they still have heavy lift rockets so even that could be somewhat resolved until we could restart a heavy lift program. The shuttle's safty record makes them a massive risk. Isn't this more about the government trying to save face and not crawling to the Russians for help than about science and saving lives? Before the shuttle NASA had a perfect inflight record. Now the shuttle flights seem to be a ticking timebomb.

    1. Re:Name change by Elitist_Phoenix · · Score: 3, Funny

      Why don't we just call it "swallow"? Because it takes a lot of money and sometimes kills things that are living and usually white. Also I doubt it could grip a coconut even by the husk.

      --
      "I'm going to f***ing bury that guy, I have done it before, and I will do it again. I'm going to f***ing kill Google"
    2. Re:Name change by cbcanb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The two reasons the Russians can get cosmonauts into space for $60m per flight is that wage costs are *much* lower than in the US, and they're flying them on a ship that's vastly less capable than the shuttle. If the US could pay Russian-level wages, the shuttle would be a lot less expensive to fly too.

      On the shuttle's safety record, it's in the same ballpark as Soyuz. One accident on Soyuz would tip the balance back in the shuttle's favour. The difference is not significant. Also, Soyuz has had plenty of close calls in recent times.

    3. Re:Name change by Rakishi · · Score: 1

      The two reasons the Russians can get cosmonauts into space for $60m per flight is that wage costs are *much* lower than in the US,

      Probably account for some of it but far from all.

      they're flying them on a ship that's vastly less capable than the shuttle.

      So it's a better design for the job of getting people into space, amusing how you can't simply say that. The shuttle does a lot of stuff, and all of it badly.

      On the shuttle's safety record, it's in the same ballpark as Soyuz. One accident on Soyuz would tip the balance back in the shuttle's favour. The difference is not significant.

      Personally, I wouldn't want to have the safety of my space program compared to that of the Russians.

      Also, Soyuz has had plenty of close calls in recent times.

      Not sure about recent times but overall it did. One exploded either right after launch or on the pad, another re-entered the atmosphere incorrectly, I think another one had some problem in space and probably some others. But the important thing is that: no one died despite all of that. Any of those we'd probably be down another shuttle, the shuttle design is inferior to the Apollo/ Soyuz design in terms of getting people into space. IT does have advantages, however none of them matter for the near future (At least not much), and we'd probably need another version or two before the tech is up to par.

    4. Re:Name change by arivanov · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Vastly less capable for what?
      • Putting people in orbit? - nope. This is what Soyuz does considerably better. It can reach higher orbit, it has longer autonomy and considerably smaller cost
      • Putting payload into oribit? - nope. If you put only payload onto Soyuz (especially in the Soyuz/Fregat variety) it can blast it to escape velocity. Shuttle cannot. Soyuz launch cost is also considerably less.

      The only thing the shuttle is good at is launching payload and people at the same time when the payload has to be delivered to the same place as people and possibly serviced prior to installation. In reality this is usefull only for space construction and nothing else which funnily enough is the program US insists on closing. Even in that case sending the payload on a proper heavy booster like Ariana, Proton, Energia or Delta 5 and people separately will end up being cheaper and safer.

      --
      Baker's Law: Misery no longer loves company. Nowadays it insists on it
      http://www.sigsegv.cx/
    5. Re:Name change by 0123456 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "But the important thing is that: no one died despite all of that."

      Two Soyuz crews have died, if I remember correctly, just like the shuttle.

      The difference is that the last Soyuz crew death was over thirty years ago, when it was still a new launcher. It's had problems since, but they've all been survivable because it's a capsule, not a brick with wings (or without wings, in the case of Challenger and Columbia post-accident). It's vastly easier to design a high-survivability capsule than a high-survivability 'space-plane' because it can take much higher stresses and still be able to land.

    6. Re:Name change by n54 · · Score: 1

      Actually it was a very good idea on day one, but then came day two, three, four, five... and suddenly the shuttle was mounted on the side of the boosters & a host of other things.

      Then somewhere around day 10000 almost everyone was using their 10/20 hindsight (no way it's anything close to 20/20 on average) to agree it was always a clusterfuck and should have been foreseen as such on day one.

      What can we learn from this? Mostly that 10/20 hindsight will never go out of fashion, secondly that any average Joe do not appreciate the existence of learning curves nor that it usually takes many repeated mistakes before anyone actually learns.

      --
      this additional sig includes a portrait of Mohammed in support of freedom of expression, feel free to reproduce it

      --
      this comment is provided "as is" and without any express or implied legibility or congruity [...]
    7. Re:Name change by Rakishi · · Score: 1

      How about "we're much better than the Russians" instead of "well, possibly if this happened we'd be on par with them, maybe."

    8. Re:Name change by Rakishi · · Score: 1

      The shuttle can also bring things down and possibly service them in orbit (after installation); the later you can make a dedicated craft for and the former is not yet important enough.

      The new plan asfaik involves a small capsule or glider (mini single heatshield shuttle mounted on top of the rocket) for people, and a heavy booster for cargo.

    9. Re:Name change by Rakishi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They lost one in the early flights, and three in a later one due to a faulty pressure valve (the craft itself landed perfectly fine asfaik). Also in terms of deaths I was talking about on the flights with accidents that I mentioned.

      It's vastly easier to design a high-survivability capsule than a high-survivability 'space-plane' because it can take much higher stresses and still be able to land.

      My point basically, for the foreseeable future a capsule is simply a safer (and cheaper) design to use. You can't really argue that the Shuttle is safer or even as safe, a US made modern capsule can easily do much better by design alone. It may not of course however then it is a problem of incompetence.

    10. Re:Name change by Rei · · Score: 1

      Isn't it about time we start calling the shuttle the Albatross?

      Way I remember it, albatross was a ship's good luck... till some idiot
      killed it. (beat) Yes, I've read a poem. Try not to faint.

      It was a bad idea from day one.

      Actually, there's very simple economics behind it. If you can build a reusable rocket with low maintenance, you can lower costs - and rocketry costs are ridiculous (and with good reason; these are incredibly complex and delicate beasts due to the tremendous task they have to perform; it's a miracle we can get out of this atmosphere-draped gravity well at all). The shuttle was an attempt to do this. It failed, on the maintenance-cost side. We learned an awful lot. The next reusable will likely be much lower maintenance.

      Heavy lift rockets are more efficent and more dependable.

      They also cost an amount that prohibits the expansion of humanity beyond this planet with anything more than overpriced minimally functional "bases", realistic orbital tourism for more than a handful of people, a private satellite boom that dwarfs that of the 90s, etc. There's believed to be a singularity point somewhere around 2,000$/kg under which rocketry will have enough new business to encourage enough private investment to lower costs even further, causing the technology to take off.

      Also, you're incorrect on the second point. Heavy lift rockets are not more dependable. Saturn V only launched a statistically insignificant of times, but still had engines fail. The Soviets never managed to get their first heavy lift rocket (the N1) to work; it blew up every launch. Energia/Buran never got a fair run, so it's hard to say how it would have done. Even on rocketry in general, the Shuttle is among the best in the world with a If the Russians can get astronauts in orbit for 20 mill a pop isn't it more cost effective to pay so they can hitch a ride and dump the shuttle?

      The shuttle has the payload capacity to lift a bus full of astronauts. It's a bogus comparison because the shuttle isn't focused as an astronaut lifter; it's a heavy payload+astronaut lifter. Soyuz has a far smaller payload capacity, and is much more focused on lofting the cosmonauts.

      third world economy with first world technology.

      The fact that Russia is so poor helps reduce the cost of skilled labour. Notice how China and India's launch systems are also cheap, but Europe's isn't?

      --
      It's time for Operation Crazy Plan.
    11. Re:Name change by llbbl · · Score: 0

      The soyuz can only lift about 17,600 lbs or 8000 kilograms. This is more than a delta 4 medium, but less than a delta 4 heavy.

    12. Re:Name change by drew · · Score: 1

      Before the shuttle NASA had a perfect inflight record.

      That's a neat little way you have of disqualifying their previous accident(s?). The way I see it, if astronauts died on a NASA mission, then they died on a mission, regardless of whether it happened inflight or on the launchpad.

      NASA's safety record wasn't perfect before the shuttle, and I doubt it will be after the shuttle. We've been building cars for a hundred years, and people still die in them every day. Do you really expect space exploration to be different? (Granted, the shuttle may bear more of a resemblance to an old pickup with saddle tanks than a modern Volvo. I'm not saying that the shuttle accidents were unavoidable, but I do think your statement was unfair.)

      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
    13. Re:Name change by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      The only problem that I see with your argument is that once the hindsight was applied, and we realized, "Hey, maybe this wasn't such a brilliant idea after all," The program continued. The only real change was that instead of lots of launches a year during which more problems could be shaken out, the launch frequency was reduced to only a few per year.

      Instead of scrapping the program once hindsight revealed it to be an albatross, they played the statistics game to appear to be safer. (one boom every 50 launches sounds bad, but how about one boom ever 15 years instead..)

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    14. Re:Name change by Rei · · Score: 1

      Hmm, slashdot ate part of the post. Let me fix it:

      among the best in the world with over a 98 percent success rate. There are a lot of bogus comparisons made, however. Yes, the Shuttle has had more casualties on it, but that's because it caries far more people. Yes, Soyuz hasn't had lost a crew member in decades, but it's killed almost a hundred ground crew and unmanned Soyuz craft keep exploding (it's pure luck that only the unmanned craft have been exploding, not the manned ones). And Soyuz has had some very close calls - breaking through a frozen lake, nearly rolling off a cliff, etc.

      If the Russians...

      --
      It's time for Operation Crazy Plan.
    15. Re:Name change by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Vastly less capable [than the Shuttle] for what?
      * Putting people in orbit? - nope. This is what Soyuz does considerably better. It can reach higher orbit, it has longer autonomy and considerably smaller cost
      So what if it can reach a higher orbit? It's not higher enough to be significant. Nor does it have longer 'autonomy'. A Soyuz has a powered lifespan of about 96 hours. (Nor can you launch a Soyuz [capsule] with a significant payload.) Soyuz is a highly optimized 'commuter car' - vastly simplified over a more capable orbiter. (But not safer, or more reliable.)
      blockquote>* Putting payload into oribit? - nope. If you put only payload onto Soyuz (especially in the Soyuz/Fregat variety) it can blast it to escape velocity. Shuttle cannot. Soyuz launch cost is also considerably less.
      The Shuttle can, and has, launched payloads on escape trajectory. (Galileo, Magellan.)

      Yes, the cost of Soyuz is lower, nobody is arguing that - what you don't seem to realize is that you also get lower capabilities for that lower price. In addition, you don't get any significant safety or reliability increase over the Shuttle.

    16. Re:Name change by M1FCJ · · Score: 1
      The latter one is Soyuz 11 (first successful mission to Salyut 1). It can happen for various reasons, one being Soyuz still mostly experimental (it had many changes after Soyuz 1 disaster) and close to its lifetime (longest period of time Soyuz actually turned off/parked in space orbit at that time) or crew making mistakes after a long period of not using the craft.

      The former one is Komarov's death and it was because of the spacecraft being experimental and undermanned.

  8. Space shuttle overruns? by Dekortage · · Score: 3, Funny

    So we're spending billions of dollars to preserve old spaceships, when things like SpaceShipOne only cost tens or hundreds of millions for test flights?

    This is kind of like my father's insistence on maintaining his 1972 Cadillac (at a ridiculous annual cost) instead of purchasing a newer vehicle (say, a Honda) that gets three times the mileage and has much lower support costs. Of course, it just isn't as big or masculine... that's probably what this is all about.

    --
    $nice = $webHosting + $domainNames + $sslCerts
    1. Re:Space shuttle overruns? by linc_s · · Score: 5, Informative

      Oh, and how about the fact that SpaceShipOne can't even get in to orbit? I'm sorry.. but it always frustrates me when people go on how much cheaper SS1 is for getting to space... when they neglect the fact that it can barely carry any load, and promptly falls back out of space just after getting there. Wake me when they create an orbital vehicle...

    2. Re:Space shuttle overruns? by LordFnord · · Score: 1
      So we're spending billions of dollars to preserve old spaceships, when things like SpaceShipOne only cost tens or hundreds of millions for test flights?

      Spaceship One has only made it to an altitude of around 100km - it's suborbital, IOW. Wikipedia reckons that if you want to accelerate something to orbital speed it's going to take you around 30 times as much energy as it takes to get something as high as Spaceship One, so they've probably got a little way to go yet.

      While I'm all for developing new technology, I also think it's a good idea to get it working properly first before you throw out the old stuff.

    3. Re:Space shuttle overruns? by bjheu · · Score: 1

      Considering the fact that SpaceShip One was designed for 2 people and not a 11,000lb payload there's quite a difference in cost. Don't get me wrong the shuttle is by no means the best lift vehicle... When NASA first sold the shuttle idea they said it would fly every 2 months at a 1/4 of its current budget. They knew in the first year that the shuttle wasn't an efficient/viable platform, they just ignored it.

  9. #1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by Zantetsuken · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Mass... Driver...

    IMO most economical if all you are doing is heavy lifting/cargo - thats all the Shuttle ever was in the first place - a glorified bus to take up people and supplies. Go ahead and try to argue that the shuttle was also used for science expirements, the only reason that happened is it has a decent amount of space inside to put shelves with expirements in the shuttle.

    BTW: previous points I've made here on /. as to why a mass driver would be economical is

    One: no more buying million dollar per pound of thrust rocket fuel.

    Two: If you make it an electromagnetic rail (a rail-gun) or a gauss gun system and power it with a nuclear reactor, you could sell the electricity being produced when you arent launching things, and so in the long run cutting costs and maybe even paying for the whole launching system (mass driver and reactor). If you are worried you might not get enough energy at once, do what that laser-fusion facility is supposed to use - basically a bunch of capacitators with a fast discharge rate - the fusion facility claims it only costs a few pennies (actual pennies, not just that it doesnt make a dent in their budget)

    1. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by Super_Z · · Score: 1
      Two: If you make it an electromagnetic rail (a rail-gun) or a gauss gun system and power it | with a nuclear reactor, you could sell the electricity being produced when you arent launching things, and so in the long run cutting costs and maybe even paying for the whole launching system (mass driver and reactor).
      If you include the cost of storing the low-radiactive waste for the next couple of millennia, the cost of a nuclear reactor is prohibitive. Why not instead power the pipe dream with another pipe dream - solar power satellites?
    2. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by Patrik_AKA_RedX · · Score: 1
      and power it with a nuclear reactor, you could sell the electricity being produced when you arent launching things
      Actually this may may not be as simple as you would think. I suppose you'd build a reactor that's not magnitudes too powerfull for the mass driver, so when you do are launching things you'll not be delivering much electricity. The problems lays with that that electricity has to come from somewhere else. And generators that can start fairly quick, diesel powered generators for example, are expensive to run. Slow starting reactors are less expensive to run, but would waste a lot of energy between being started and being used and between running and shutting down.
      In essence it's pretty much the same issue as with wind power generators.
    3. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not shoot it into space every now and again? Aim it towards the sun if it makes you feel better.

    4. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Then you use it for launch purposes when electricity is cheap. Sell it to the grid when it isn't. On the other hand, launch windows can be pretty specific, so maybe use it as a hydrogen production facility otherwise.

      And this would generally be sharp high power pulse demand, so some sort of super-capaciter bank would help spread out the load.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    5. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by Super_Z · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Why not shoot it into space every now and again? Aim it towards the sun if it makes you feel better.

      Low radioactive waste (ILW ) includes parts of the building, cooling water, steam generators etc. Probably several hundreds of tons of material... imagine the uranium mill tailings from the initial processing of the urainum ore. If you need to shoot this stuff into space, you have probably done the most unprofitable investment ever.

      My point is that if you incur these cost into the cost of a nuclear plant - just about every other form of energy generation looks cheap in comparison.

    6. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by Meumeu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Aim it towards the sun if it makes you feel better.

      If you do that, it will not continue on a straight line to the sun, it will stay in sun orbit. To dispose it in sun, you would have to lower the perihelion and to do that, you have to shoot your waste in the direction opposed to Earth velocity, fast enough to have it to go in the sun's atmosphere.

      There's also another possibility : aim it in the direction velocity to the sun's escape velocity, I don't know which option requires the least deltaV...

    7. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by astro-g · · Score: 2, Informative

      Launching the material into intersolar space requires far less energy than sending it down to the sun.

    8. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by jridley · · Score: 1

      Capacitators? Is that what Mr. Potatohead uses in his EE designs?
      This is the first time I've heard that term used for capacitors. Maybe it's from some other country or era?

    9. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by Cujo · · Score: 1

      How does a rail gun work for launch from Earth? Have you done any serious analysis, because I don't see it. It's isn't just a matter of getting up some speed. Thos speeds (around 7 km/sec) are impractical on the ground, and you need a second boost at high altitude to get into Earth orbit, which the rail gun can't give you.

      With carbon nanotube technology maturing, there is some hope for space elevators, although the engineering issues are non-trivial.

      --

      Helium balloons want to be free.

    10. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Mass... Driver... IMO most economical if all you are doing is heavy lifting/cargo
      Sure - once they finish developing the unobtanium heatshield to protect the cargo during it's passage through the atmosphere.
      no more buying million dollar per pound of thrust rocket fuel.
      The current costs per pound of thrust as somewhere down around $.01/lb, not even remotely near your claim. Rocket fuel is cheap. (Last time I heard a price, the LOX and LH2 for the Shuttle cost about $10 million per launch.)
    11. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by jafac · · Score: 1

      Better yet:
      Build the thing on the summit of Mona Kea in Hawaii. We already have telescope observatories there (I don't remember if Keck is on Hawaii or Maui). We have tracking radars at Barking Sands. The muzzle of the thing is at 10,000+ ft altitude, taking a significant chunk of lower atmosphere out of the friction component, plus a virtual guarantee of good weather most of the time, UNLIKE Florida, and Hawaii is at a reasonably low lattitude that takes advantage of momentum from the Earth's rotation. Plus, you might be able to power the thing with geothermal energy instead of nuclear.

      The only barrier to implementation is the relatively weak political power of Hawaiian representatives in congress, compared to those in Florida and Texas (Houston).

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    12. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by exi1ed0ne · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power plants don't have a monopoly on generating radioactive waste. Coal burning power plants generate their share too:

      http://www.ornl.gov/info/ornlreview/rev26-34/tex t/colmain.html

      "For the year 1982, assuming coal contains uranium and thorium concentrations of 1.3 ppm and 3.2 ppm, respectively, each typical plant released 5.2 tons of uranium (containing 74 pounds of uranium-235) and 12.8 tons of thorium that year."

      --
      Pessimists.net - as if life wasn't depressing enough.
    13. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by jafac · · Score: 1

      Fire it into a retrograde solar orbit (ie. backwards).

      Solar gravity will do the rest.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    14. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by shadwstalkr · · Score: 1

      And give General Zod the material for a dirty bomb?!

    15. Re:#1 replacement candidate = 2 words... by 6th+time+lucky · · Score: 1

      or the Earth (Venus, Mercury) will hit it next time round...
      Wasnt there a Futurama episode on a ball of waste comming back to earth?

  10. Manned programs are more important by Madman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Science is important, but not as important as living and working in space. If the scientific discoveries wait 1 extra year or 100 it makes little difference in the scheme of things. Personally I'd rather increase manned exploration, which will have more immediate benefits.

    1. Re:Manned programs are more important by BarryNorton · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What immediate benefits? How about turning that around and saying: "living and working in space" is not something that's going to be done on any scale for decades, so what does it matter if it's delayed a few years when the funding could be used for research that has more immediate benefits? Rather than talking out of my hat I'm saying that as someone who's done some work at the Langley Research Centre...

    2. Re:Manned programs are more important by helioquake · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Personally I'd rather increase manned exploration, which will have more immediate benefits.

      Such as?

      Don't get me wrong. I'm all for manned space research (and one day I hope to be up there, too). But seriously, think about what "living in space" alone would accomplish in the next decade or so. Especially on board the ISS, which cannot function in the foreseeable future (I'm thinking the number of 10 yrs right now).

      At this point the ISS is simply a money drain. It's not doing anything at all. It cannot do much of anything til it is fully staffed (can't do, b/c we don't have a vehicle to ferry them back & forth...such vehicle isn't even designed yet). Quite frankly the ISS was a failure from the gecko; it is still not canned because it's an international mission (and it'd kill Russia's space program for sure).

  11. Re:typical... by DilbertLand · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There's more to it than just keeping a spaceship flying or maintaining the basic science. The space program plays an important role as the "carrot" to inspire young engineers and scientists. The thought of one day going into space or living on the moon drives a lot of 8 years olds down the path of math and science. Most never end up working in the space program, but if all future engineers think they have to look forward to is designing braking systems at Ford (not that there's anything wrong with that) even fewer students are going to head in that direction. Throwing a few dollars at hungry people isn't going to fix the problem (especially when the problem generally isn't lack of dollars but 3rd world corruption). It's the ranks of future engineers and scientists that will increase food production and find cures for diseases...

  12. Misconceptions by tsotha · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Wow! Does anybody really believe this is about science?

    1. NASA isn't about science. NASA exists to funnel tax money to specific congressional districts. The shuttle can't be cancelled because that would put too many people out of work. As far as Congress is concerned, well, if we get some science it's a great side effect, but jobs is the motivation.
    2. For reasons given in the above point we will never pay the Russians for launch services. Space is not the point, jobs are the point. Congress would rather accomplish nothing with 20,000 extra American jobs than go to Andromeda on a Russian rocket.
    3. Enough with the Spaceship 1 talk. It's nothing close to an orbital craft and doesn't lead to an orbital craft. What Rutan did, while pretty cool, is orders of magnitude less difficult than what the shuttle does. That's why SS-1 is orders of magnitude cheaper. SS-1 pretty much a copy of the X-15, which is a dead-end as far as getting into orbit is concerned.

    Note I'm not saying this is the way things should be, but if you want an actual space program instead of a white-elephant jobs program you have to address the real problem. The continued existance of the shuttle program is a symptom of a structural problem in Congress, and that has to get fixed before you can expect anything useful from NASA beyond the odd robotic probe.

    1. Re:Misconceptions by 0123456 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "SS-1 pretty much a copy of the X-15, which is a dead-end as far as getting into orbit is concerned."

      A bizarre claim, given that there were plans to turn the X-15 into an orbital spacecraft launched on an expendable booster (similar to the Dynasoar).

      Odds are very high that Rutan will put people into orbit in the next decade in a spacecraft he's designed and built. I can't say the same about NASA.

    2. Re:Misconceptions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting
      NASA isn't about science. NASA exists to funnel tax money to specific congressional districts.

      Years ago I would've said you're just a moron, but I'm beginning to think you've hit the nail on the head. Over the last two years I've watched more and more money funnel away from centers like Ames (California), Glenn (Ohio), Langley (D.C. area), and Stennis (Louisiana) and go to Johnson (Texas) and Kennedy (Florida) where BushCo run the family business in those states. Fuckers.

    3. Re:Misconceptions by everphilski · · Score: 1

      Odds are very high that Rutan will put people into orbit in the next decade in a spacecraft he's designed and built. I can't say the same about NASA.

      Rutan was using design information derived from NASA. I've heard him speak, he and his engineers read NASA technical papers, the engine manufacturers read NASA technical research. They didn't start from square one. They made use of millions of dollars and many man-years of NASA research. You can't say that Rutan did it all. He used a lot of NASA research and resources. He used a different design paradigm and manufacturing method.

      the other problem is he is going to have one hell of a time with hypersonic reentry. It is going to take a complete system redesign . I place it on the 25 year track.

    4. Re:Misconceptions by tsotha · · Score: 1
      A bizarre claim, given that there were plans to turn the X-15 into an orbital spacecraft launched on an expendable booster (similar to the Dynasoar).

      Yes, and what came of those plans? That's what I meant by "dead end". They couldn't make it work.

      Odds are very high that Rutan will put people into orbit in the next decade in a spacecraft he's designed and built. I can't say the same about NASA.

      We'll see. Rutan's a smart guy, but he simply doesn't have any experience with hypersonic flight control or heat shielding. Those are the two critical technologies for orbital craft. I suspect if he actually gets to orbit with a manned craft it will probably look a lot more like Apollo than X-15 as a result of heat problems.

      Also, you're neglecting a couple of things. First, the hybrid engine they used for X-prize isn't even close to being efficient enough for orbit. So they'll have to gain some expertise in liquid engines - that will take some time and money. And they have to figure out why SS-1 went loopy on them (probably the hybrid engine, but who knows?).

      Personally, I think he'll run out of money long before he has anything working. It took NASA more than $50 Bn. to get the shuttle working. Even if Scaled is 100x more effiecient than NASA, they'll need $500 million dollars for development. Private investors aren't going to provide that kind of money, and NASA will see to it the government doesn't either.

    5. Re:Misconceptions by tsotha · · Score: 1
      I know this is slashdot, and here Bush-bashing has become a ritual, but you can't hang this on Bush - Congress writes the budget. Not only that, but this is a problem that's been getting steadily worse over time. It was clear by the mid '80s the shuttle would never live up to expectations and should be replaced, but replacement was a political non-starter.

      Ask yourself why we have so many "space centers". Wouldn't it be more efficient to have one big center, so all your scientists could talk to each other without hopping on a plane? And why did they build the Johnson Space Center? Why didn't they control Apollo from the Cape? They could, but Texas is one of the larger states and needed some big government lovin'. That was forty years ago.

      Pork, my friend, pork. That's why we have too many military bases, that's why we're building a multi-million dollar bridge for fifty people in Alaska. The manned space program functions as another horse in the big horse-trading bazaar we have for a Congress.

      When the Democrats take back control of Congress the flow of money will reverse. Space centers in Democrat districts will get more money, while Republican districts will get cut. This will happen whether or not we have a Republican president. What you've been seeing in the last couple years can oddly be traced back to 1994...

  13. Mod parent down! by Big+Nothing · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Seriously; I hate Bush - and religious fanaticism - more than most people, but parent post is no more than a troll or flamebait! The current NASA situation is not a result of the current administration as it is a result of years and years of under-funding and beating the PR dead horse called Space Shuttle. Regretfully, NASA has no viable alternative but to keep the Shuttle in service, despite it being an old, inefficient, money-guzzling launch platform.

    --
    SIG: TAKE OFF EVERY 'CAPTAIN'!!
  14. Well, there you go by N8F8 · · Score: 1

    A little gift from those folks who can't stand to see a pad program die.

    --
    "God fights on the side with the best artillery." - Napoleon, Marshal of France - speaking truth to power
  15. lemme see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    1. Talebans? bin Ladin? Terrorists? - all funded by US$
    2. Fueled and blown up untill it burst by capitalits greed
    3. Kyoto protocol anyone? Nah, why bother?..
    4. Those are called "ricochetes": "... Ricochets are one of the main dangers of shooting because after bouncing off an object the bullet that ricochets poses an unpredictable and serious danger to bystanders, animals, objects, or even the person who fired the shot."

  16. Re:Wonderful by stiggle · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Going back to the moon is a technology testbed - to prove and test the technologies to get man to Mars (and beyond).

    Just like the early rocket launches built up to Apollo, current projects test the technologies we will be using in the future. Ion drives and such.

    Just having a quick browse through http://exploration.nasa.gov/ shows the stuff they want to develop - for unmanned and then manned flight.

  17. This has been going on for years now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The shuttle and space station have been sucking funding from other programs for years now. I recall reading an article in Aviation Week a couple years back talking about how NASA had eliminated all funding for rotorcraft (helicopter) research. Much aviation related research has gone the way of the dinosaur, needed to keep the space station and shuttle going. The first A in NASA used to stand for aeronautics, now I'm not sure what it stands for.

    1. Re:This has been going on for years now by 6Yankee · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The first A in NASA used to stand for aeronautics, now I'm not sure what it stands for.

      "Another".

    2. Re:This has been going on for years now by Ekhymosis · · Score: 1

      How about "North American Stupid Accounting"?

      --
      Fighting over religion is like seeing whose imaginary friend is best.
    3. Re:This has been going on for years now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But without the "A" you are left with just NSA, and that could cause a lot of unnecessary confusion.

      [At least that's what I overheard while sniffing VoIP traffic!]

    4. Re:This has been going on for years now by Shadowlore · · Score: 1
      The first A in NASA used to stand for aeronautics, now I'm not sure what it stands for.


      Asinine?
      Abysmal?
      Apalling?
      Atrocious?
      Adversarial?
      Anti?
      Academic?
      Ambiguous?
      Agoraphobic?
      Anemic?
      Archaic?
      Assimilate-your-tax-money-but-not-actually-promote -and-advance-space-exploration-while-preventing-pr ivate-companies-from-doing-it?
      --
      My Suburban burns less gasoline than your Prius.
    5. Re:This has been going on for years now by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      No-idea Assholes Sucking Assets?

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  18. Move on, nothing to see here... by pease1 · · Score: 1

    At least for those of us who have been asking NASA to rid itself of the shuttle for a decade, way back when Mike Griffin was doing really neat things at DoD. It was a neat experimental craft. Should have never been an operational one. Shouldn't ever fly again.

  19. That's governmenf for you by 0123456 · · Score: 1

    Reward failure, punish success: that's the way big government works... which is why it's always such a screwup and even when it does something useful it costs more and is less efficient than having private business do so. Well, unless it's a big business that's fallen into the same mindset.

    1. Re:That's governmenf for you by node+3 · · Score: 1

      even when it does something useful it costs more and is less efficient than having private business do so.

      Government isn't supposed to be efficient. It's supposed to do the things that don't get done or don't get done right, by private business. For a few obvious examples:

      universal education
      national defense
      space flight
      food and drug safety
      automobile emissions regulation
      wilderness management

      While, of course, we all want government to be as efficient as it can reasonably be, the actual services are the fundamental reason for its existence, not efficiency. Which is the exact opposite of the corporation, which is tasked with finding the most efficient way of making money.

      If we left space flight, exploration, and science, solely to private industry and free market, we'd not have yet landed people on the Moon, we would not have landed probes on Mars, we would not have seen through the haze of Titan, etc.

  20. Real world calling, do you accept collect charge? by n54 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No, this has nothing to do with ideology and everything to do with the fact that NASA exists in the real world.

    That's the same world where you and I exist; even if you would happen to a billionaire (I'm certainly not one) there is always some level beyond which you have to prioritize, beyond which you can't have everything. Most people learn this as little toddlers however a lot of (or all) politicans love forgetting it if it can get them elected :)

    In the system which NASA exists that power of priority is in the hands of Congress (mainly) & Senate, however in this case it is NASA itself which is rearranging and reprioritizing at their own discretion.

    Yes, one can argue for more money to NASA (even if they've already gotten more). Yes, I support "pet" projects of my own (like the Dawn mission which is on hold, and that's just a start; if I started listing all the things I'd like to see it would keep me occupied for the rest of my life) and I would of course love to see them get a massive increase in support. But neither changes the fact of how the world works or that there are other things than NASA which needs funding and/or which a majority of the elected representatives across any boundary deem important enough to manage to agree upon.

    Enter the current plethora of private space initiatives; it's the only solution because it strives and directly aims to be economically profitable (something which 1. simply isn't NASAs job and 2. for the most part wouldn't even be legal for NASA as they as part of the US government aren't allowed to for example hold patents).

    To sum it up: if you don't expect "this kind of thing" from anyone and everyone, always, you're going to be constantly disappointed (and to no gain for anyone including yourself).

    --
    this additional sig includes a portrait of Mohammed in support of freedom of expression, feel free to reproduce it

    --
    this comment is provided "as is" and without any express or implied legibility or congruity [...]
  21. Nuclear waste storate is actually pretty easy... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Low level nuclear waste isn't much of a threat and doesn't have to be stored for very long. High-Level is, but there are alternatives to 'long term storage'.

    I was so happy when the president showed support for reproccessing/recycling the waste. It's coming at a fairly good time as the older waste from the plants is getting cool enough that reproccessing it won't create as much ancillery nuclear waste. It's no longer radioactive enough to contaminate materials around it.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  22. Re:typical... by themysteryman73 · · Score: 1, Insightful
    That's a good point, but it's not because of a lack of food in the world, but that it's not distributed to poor people. If money was used for the distribution of food directly to starving people, then it could potentially be fixed.

    At the same time, I do think space programs are good things, and Science in general is great, but I was just saying that money is often used in vain things instead of doing something that might actually make a difference to a significant amount of people's lives.

  23. I, for one hope... by Vo0k · · Score: 1

    I predict the shuttle will retire way before 2010. I just hope that astronauts will survive the process of early retirement of the shuttle, though this hope is bleak.

    --
    Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
    1. Re:I, for one hope... by iamlucky13 · · Score: 1

      2 fatal accidents in 114 flights, the causes of which are both understood. One cause has been fixed with a high degree of confidence, one is in the process of being fixed, with fallback plans in place. Why should we expect the outlook for shuttle astronauts to be bleak for the remaining 15-20 launches?

  24. Re:typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Might be valid to divert funds to keep people inside America alive also...

  25. Oh for shame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wait. Let me guess. The scientific inquiry projects being canceled are those most likely to produce results that challenge the direction of the Bush administration.

  26. Write your Congressperson by AMK · · Score: 1

    The last paragraph of the story says that the science committee will have a hearing on the budget on February 16th. So, if you disagree with this decision, write your representative and air your concerns. IMHO, the action most likely to succeed is holding the shuttle program to its budget and leaving the science funding untouched, so suggest that.

  27. Re:typical... by woodlouse_man · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I personally am coming more round to the point of view that manned spaceflight, at least for the moment, is unnecessary.

    I understand the ideals of pushing 8 year olds into the sciences, engineering and technology sectors, as these types of jobs do need fresh blood, but space exploration can be done much cheaper and better by robotic vehicles.

    Witness Spirit and Opportunity; both these rovers are (relatively) simple in design, and yet both have far exceeded their original designs and goals. If you had the choice between spending (say) a billion to send a manned mission there, or a billions to send several remote vehicles, then I know where my money would go.

    And there's also the sad fact of losses in the space program. If we lose a robot, it is only a robot. If we lose a man, sadly like we have done on too many occaisions, then that loss is felt much harder.

  28. Which may or may not be usefull by T-Ranger · · Score: 2, Informative

    It costs about $1.3 billion to send the shuttle on a mission. As an example, the HST cost about $2.5billion to build (though with significantly higher operating costs). If/when it comes down for repairs, the repairs themselves would cost money, and then it would have to go back up. In short, it is a very infrequently used feature, and one that isn't practical; cost of replacement for anything but the most expensive thingies is always less then the transportation costs.

    1. Re:Which may or may not be usefull by Rakishi · · Score: 1

      I never said it was practical but it is a feature, simply that the current limited space program does not need it. A large scale space program may potentially need to regularly bring things down. Granted with more flights the cost per launch would go down since much of it is due to fixed infrastructure ($2 bil. per year or so even if nothing flies) and due to general increased efficiency.

      Of course at the same time the current safety record would make the shuttle utterly impractical, a failure every few weeks doesn't make people feel warm and fuzzy inside (unless they're on that flight and it burns up).

      The way I see it, as originally envisioned the shuttle was a good idea although maybe a bit too soon (it was a much smaller version of the current shuttle, probably without many of its problems). As it was built (thank you Air Force) it was a decent idea but much too early from both a technological and functional point of view. At least we'll know what to not do next time, hopefully.

  29. Jamacian Bobsled Team in Space by PaulModz · · Score: 4, Informative

    If SETI makes contact anytime soon, I could see the Shuttle becoming a pop-culture phenomenon in alien societies. Of course, it would be popular in the same way that the Jamaican Bobsled Team and William Hung are. The shuttle and the ISS might be the least efficient fleet of spacecraft that will ever exist in this universe, which might be good in the long run as the aliens will take pity on us and hand over the Warp Engines so we can stop going in circles.

    If we knew the shuttle would end up like this, I don't think we would have bothered. We've spent $145 billion on the shuttle for just over 1,000 days in orbit. This makes the math so depressingly simple even the president can do it in his head.

    The lifetime cost of Voyager, Pathfinder, Spirit and Opportunity, Galileo, Cassini-Huygens, and the Hubble Space Telescope combined is about $10 billion, while the ISS alone has cost $35 billion so far. Why throw good money after bad, pull the plug already and rethink the strategy.

    There's no point sending humans to the moon (or anywhere else for that matter) unless we plan to stay. There may be large deposits of Platinum-group metals (PGMs) on the moon, and PGMs will be a cornerstone of the hydrogen economy, since each fuel cell needs a few ounces. There isn't much on Earth, and mining/refining the quantity needed to run a full scale H2 economy might cancel out the environmental benefit of fuel cells.

    Moonrush by Dennis Wingo is a great read on the subject - http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1894959108/103-98 70913-1427800?v=glance&n=283155

    Our only saving grace is the work being done by small entrepreneurs like Burt Rutan. It looks like the X Prize actually did a good job of jump starting the space economy.

    1. Re:Jamacian Bobsled Team in Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or we could give the shuttle an inexpensive image upgrade. Surely aliens will respect us when they see our new attack shuttle Hostility!

  30. Dude, SS1 was a fantastic accomplishment.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But it's about technologically one step beyond Chuck Yeager's Bell X-1, B-52 dropped Supersonic test flights. It's an important step, no question, but it's just a step small step on the long road to orbit.

  31. Reduction in Force by carambola5 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I personally know ~30 people who got laid off last summer because of NASA's recent penchant for cutting science programs. And I know of another 50 who received the same fate. And that's just for one small payload project.

    But if you listen to the talking head that is Michael Griffin, "The science program has not--in our forward planning, we do not take one thin dime out of the science program in order to execute this architecture." (http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewsr.html?pid=1812 2)

    Yes, Mr. Griffin, but you take out a few thousand employees overall.

    --
    IWARS.
    People, in general, disappoint me. Politicians even more so.
  32. Cancelled Missions - Dawn by burnttoy · · Score: 1

    This has been "postponed indefinitely".

    A real shame. It was meant to explore the asteroid belt. I near neighbour area of space for which we have little high quality data, surprising as it could prove very useful for further exploration of the Solar System.

    The probe was going to visit the major asteroids then end up in orbit around Ceres or Vesta. Now... it is nothing.

    Whilst I understand it may be difficult for the public to comprehend why these sorts of missions are scientifically useful and whilst I also understand that these missions don't capture the public in the same way as man moon missions (hell, they "the great unwashed masses" even got bored of those eventually) they are scientifically useful.

    We can not allow space exploration to be guided by TV ratings et al. The public had no interest in fibre optics until cable TV turned up at their front door!

    --
    Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.
    1. Re:Cancelled Missions - Dawn by SpaceViolin · · Score: 1

      Dawn is not on the list of cancelled NASA missions. Independent reviews have recommended to finish the mission (now ~90% complete) and launch. As there is one more week to the stand down period, a decision will be made soon. Yes, the mission is hanging in limbo with problems to be fixed (no more than any other space mission at this phase, however), and yes there is a need for more money (the stand down cost NASA more, is anyone surprised?), but it's not over until the fat lady sings.

  33. Re:typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You can't "Fix" those kinds of problems long-term without a total restructuring of lifestyle.

    And to change their lifestyle means going against divirsity, and destroying culture, and a bunch of other feel-good crap that is contributing to the food problem.

    It's similar to the concept of war v. total war. You can fight just the troops, and it will take longer and might not work- or you can raze every city, burn every field, and destroy everything you see. Tends to work faster.

  34. COTS by Cujo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    NASA is studying commercial alternatives. A number of hungry alt.space companies will be in the hunt, like Space-X (first Falcon launch is planned for this Friday). In my view, this is a subtle end-run around the hugely expensive ESA.

    --

    Helium balloons want to be free.

  35. Large magnetic fields are bad for electronics by bigtrike · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't an electromagnetic rail gun induce massive currents in any conductors in its payload? I'd assume that pretty much rules out putting anything electronic into space with it.

  36. How is this news? by JoeQuaker · · Score: 2, Informative

    From what I had been reading, the American shuttle has been grounded for the next few years. Perhaps even until 2012...

    And despite other comments I've read and the lack of coverage of this in the news, we WILL be depending on Russia during this period to get us to the ISS. We are buying Suyoz vehicles.

    The sale of them WAS out of the question since NASA could not purchase any space equipment from Russia because of the Iran Nonproliferation Act. Only a U.S. President could "bypass" the legislation.

    Read for yourself... http://www.spacedaily.com/news/NASA_Had_No_Choice_ But_To_Buy_Soyuz_Flights.html

  37. Shuttle gone. New CLV and CaLV for ISS, Moon, Mars by Robotbeat · · Score: 1

    NASA is scrapping the shuttle in less than 5 years. The replacement will be just as expensive, but FAR more capable and safe. It will get us to the moon with far greater capability for a much smaller cost. Not only that, but the lunar capability is designed to allow us to get to Mars.

    NASA's plan:

    Finish the obligation to the ISS and retire the shuttle fleet before 2011.
    In the meantime, use shuttle propulsion technology to develop new launch vehicles (Crew Launch Vehicle CLV and the heavy lift Cargo Launch Vehicle CaLV) in a very short time frame with far greater economy, safety (over an order of magnitude), and capability than the shuttle.

    Starting in 2011, use the new CLV (including perhaps cargo-only versions) to resupply and man the ISS (but rely heavily on commercial cargo launch vehicles to resupply the ISS throughout the ISS's lifetime, to reduce cost and increase flexiblity).

    Start manned lunar sortie missions around 2015-2016 and by the 7th manned lunar mission (~2018), start building a permanent lunar base (likely at one of the lunar poles or maybe on the equator) to help study techniques of in situ resource utilization that will be used during the manned Mars missions.

    Manned mission to Mars is perhaps a dozen years after the lunar base is started, so around 2030. The CEV capsule is being designed from the very beginning to serve all three missions: ISS crew transport (usually in a 3-crew configuration), lunar missions (with 4 crew members), and to transport astronauts (with the 6-crew configuration) from earth to orbit to dock with the craft that will go to Mars and back (the 6-seat CEV capsule will remain docked with the craft until the crew returns to Earth in the CEV after the 1.5-2.5 year mission).

    The lunar mission will use "1.5 launches" (CLV launches to LEO to rendevzous with the CaLV which will then send the crew and cargo, a total of ~65 metric tons, to the moon) to maximize safety and cargo transport to the moon while minimizing cost and development time. Putting the crew on the CaLV and using only one launch will decrease safety and decrease cargo to the moon by over ten tons (which will still be about the same as the Apollo mission). The CaLV is designed to provide about 125 metric tons to low Earth orbit (LEO) in order to support the future mission to Mars.

    The lunar missions will have the capability of landing anywhere on the moon (which is better than Apollo's equator-only). The CEV will remain in lunar orbit while all 4 crew members go down to the lunar surface. The lunar descent rockets will be liquod oxygen and hydrogen powered, while the lunar ascent rockets will use liquid oxygen and methane (This will allow the development of in-situ propulsion production first on the later lunar missions and ultimately on the Martian missions, where fuel will need to be produced on Mars to reduce mission mass. Lunar gravity is minimal, so in situ resource production is not needed, but Martian gravity is significant and will require large amounts of fuel to leave the planet's surface.). Even during the first sortie lunar missions, all four crew members will be able to explore the lunar surface and for a longer time than during Apollo. The later lunar missions that establish a permanent base will use either a dedicated lunar cargo craft or will slowly build up lunar base components brought the moon along with the crew.

    This is where I got all this stuff.
    This information is up to date.

  38. Re:Wonderful by elrous0 · · Score: 2
    Going back to the moon is a technology testbed

    Yes, it was--in 1969.

    -Eric

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  39. Saturn V by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

    They should bring back the Saturn V rocket. That could lift all the junk the ISS needs in one or two shots. It is the monster truck of rockets - so far at least.

    1. Re:Saturn V by kurt555gs · · Score: 2, Informative

      Some here would dismiss this, but you are correct. The Saturn V was, and still is the ultimate in heavy lift. Obviously the one they have left couldnt be used, but I think it would be easy to copy it.

      Problem solved, ditch the shuttle.

      The only rocket to ever exceed the Saturn V's capacity was the Russian N1. Only problem with the N1 is they all blew up on the launching pad.

      Time to also ditch LOX - Liquid Hydrogen, and go back to LOX Kerosene

      Cheers

      --
      * Carthago Delenda Est *
    2. Re:Saturn V by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1
      The Saturn V was, and still is the ultimate in heavy lift. Obviously the one they have left couldnt be used, but I think it would be easy to copy it.

      Much to my surprise, I was talking to a guy that works at Goddard and has been there over 40 years and he told me that they don't have the plans for the Saturn V rockets. They were not required to keep them and nobody thought to send them to the archives. What a Homer Simpson moment - 'Doh! I'm sure the plans exist though, the mighty contractors probably still have copies of most if not all of it. Otherwise they would have to look at the ones that still exist and go from there. I'm also a fan of the Kerosene. Much easier to deal with. I understand that vehicle has 1 million parts as fired to go to the moon. Not sure if that included the capsule or not. There is nothing like being there to see it go up. I still remember the time I was there to see it. Then we all got back into our car with AM only radio and no A/C and went home (HOT!).

      They could also simplify the vehicle by not launching from sea level. Just think how much fuel is used to lift that sucker up as high as Denver for example.

      But what do we know. They seem sold on hydrogen and Florida.

  40. Re:Shuttle gone. New CLV and CaLV for ISS, Moon, M by elrous0 · · Score: 1
    The replacement will be just as expensive, but FAR more capable and safe. It will get us to the moon with far greater capability for a much smaller cost. Not only that, but the lunar capability is designed to allow us to get to Mars.

    Look we appreciate the PR blurb here, Mr. Deutsch. But like we told you this morning--YOU DO NOT WORK FOR US ANYMORE!

    -Eric

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  41. Actually, ... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    it stands a real chance of going beyond that. Once we have a true heavy lift capacity (that we lost with nixon killing Saturn V), we should be capable of building on the moon. I suspect that at that point, many companies will want to build small pieces that can be used. Consider what happens if L-Mart loses the CEV to Gru/Boe bidders. They will probably build the CEV that they wanted in the first place and offer it to private enterprise. Almost certainly, private enterprise will like the idea of going to the moon to explore mining (even though the legality still needs to be considered). The initial LMart design is superior to what NASA wants now. NASA is simply saying that they want something that is a known.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  42. Re:Shuttle gone. New CLV and CaLV for ISS, Moon, M by Robotbeat · · Score: 1

    My statement is true. Sure, it sounds like a PR blurb, but I'm basing it on the results of the study that I linked to. The study uses standard cost-estimate techniques and is based on sound data. Now, personally, I think that T/Space's plan is much more cost effective (and therefore more desireable, since it could allow for like 10 times as many missions for the same cost, but most likely would have same missions but less cost), but my statement was contrasting NASA's current plan with the Shuttle and Apollo missions.

    Simply using a top-mounted capsule design with a launch abort system (the little rocket that you see atop the Apollo capsule during launch) provides at least ten times the launch safety of the shuttle. The overall cost of the lunar program will be much less than what the Apollo program cost (because of less need for new R&D and significant advances over the last three decades in productivity and technology), according to Figure 12-4 found in the Cost Evaluation section of the NASA report. The lunar program is designed to have greater capability than the Apollo program (for instance, longer lunar surface duration and larger crew, not to mention the moon base). All along the design process, the future Mars mission is in mind during the design of propulsion, the CEV capsule, the heavy lift (125 ton to LEO) CaLV rocket, and other system components. This allows the same infrastructure to be used for the Mars missions, thus reducing costs and increasing confidence and understanding of the Mars mission components. By ensuring that only minor changes are needed for the most important components of the different missions, safety is enhanced and R&D expense is reduced (i.e. you don't need to reinvent the wheel... or, say, a space wrench).

    NASA is learning a lesson from the Russians here. Soyuz rides on mostly the same basic rocket design as the first ICBM and the artificial satellite (Sputnik), which is largely why the Soyuz is so cheap and reliable (it's the most mature launch system by far). (BTW, isn't that weird that the first stages of the only manned rocket system in regular service today is based on a rocket design that has been launched for almost 50 years?)

  43. Goddamn that budget ruined my day by 4D6963 · · Score: 0, Flamebait
    What a depressing budget, cancelling/delaying some of the coolest projects out there (mostly the ones about earth-sized exoplanets and black holes) and funding that crap ass shuttle thing and even the HST.

    The HST!! When will they realize that this piece of crap is only good at taking useless nice-looking colourful pictures and throw this money hungry telescope in the Pacific.

    And no, the next "See, the HST made us discover something that we couldn't have discovered without it" Slashdot article won't change my mind.

    Dump the muthafucka in the Pacific ocean, now!

    --
    You just got troll'd!
  44. Do some Research! by Merlyn_3k · · Score: 1

    http://www.fas.org/ has a good summary of various cannon launched concepts at http://www.fas.org/news/iraq/1998/05/980500-bull.h tm

    The most likely concepts are 2+ stage rockets, using the cannon (railgun, conventional, etc.) for primary acceleration. Yes, a large amount of energy is lost to frictional heating as soon as the rocket leaves the barrel, which is why it is essential to place the gun at a high altitude and appropriate launch angle.

    The economic advantage of this method is it reduces the amount of fuel the vehicle has to carry by delegating the initial acceleration to ground-based resources. At the very least you could get rid of the SRB's, which weigh 589,000 Kg each, and possibly the EFT as well. That's over 1.9 million kg you do not need to launch.

    1. Re:Do some Research! by Cujo · · Score: 1

      I took a quick look at this article. Of course, we've all heard about satellites launched by glorified artillery pieces - Jules Verne originated the concept. It is also clearly useless for nearly any payload of interest. I'm not surprised no one is pursuing it. What kind of second stage would your propose that would endure those environments? And even 15,000 feet is tough to do, but that is very unlikely to be an adequately high altitude, as the scale height at sea level is roughly 7,000 meters.

      --

      Helium balloons want to be free.

    2. Re:Do some Research! by Merlyn_3k · · Score: 1

      The first stage is the gun itself, and probably a discrading sabot. The second stage is a standard rocket engine, which would light off once a reasonable altitude is reached.

      The point is that there has been a lot of research done on this subject, and it can work.

      The HARP program tested a gun capable of sending a 2-stage rocket to 180 km, and they had to cancel the program due to funding cuts well before they reached the limit of the technology.

  45. The Shuttle has always been a budget buster. by sakshale · · Score: 1

    That has nothing to do with this. The Shuttle has been sucking the wind out of NASA's sails for decades. It was designed by committee to please Congress.... so what would you expect? NASA will be much better off when the shuttle is finally scapped, assuming that they can avoid micromanagement by Congress, the President and the Military long enough to design something to replace it that will actually work. (I am not holding my breath.)

    --
    For every problem there is a solution that is simple, obvious and wrong.
  46. Too bad... by SirBruce · · Score: 1

    I actually don't mind the space science is getting cut, if it means getting the CEV up in time for STS retirement. The problem I have is it's being cut to cover "overruns" in the CEV. Really, the Shuttle isn't at fault here... you have to do X number of Shuttle missions before retirement, any way you slice it, so it's not really something you can adjust much in terms of funding. I'm more annoyed that the CEV is costing too much, or perhaps, being forced out the door too quickly.

    I also don't like WHERE the cuts are going in space science. I'm actually okay with Dawn getting canned (although not officially yet); it was costing too much and its more of a "nice to have" mission than something that you'd want to prioritize. But Space Interferometry Mission? Terrrestial Planet Finder? Europe Orbiter? Mars Telecommunications Orbiter? These are the top things that SHOULD be on the space sicence agenda, along with James Webb Telescope, Messenger, and New Horizons, as well as continued support for existing probes. If there's not enough money for that, then I think it's the CEV that should "give", not space science.

    I hope the unfunded projects simply get delayed 2-5 years, rather than killed completely. They're all projects we NEED to do at some point.

    Bruce

    1. Re:Too bad... by SpaceViolin · · Score: 1

      I wonder if you would be as OK with Dawn getting canned if you knew that it is an international mission (2 of the 3 instruments are European), with the fully built (to spec) instruments sitting in long-term storage at the spacecraft company and a few hundred millions of euros/dollars already spent? What do you think it would do to NASA's reputation to cancel a mission that that has been underway for 5 years and is now mostly complete? If Dawn is cancelled, there are large repercussions for NASA to collaborate in the future with foreign partners. Of the science itself, the two asteroids, Vesta and Ceres, represent the endpoints of the wide spectrum of possible terrestrial planet formation. It's not trivial science.

    2. Re:Too bad... by SirBruce · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'm okay with that. Most missions have $X invested when they get canned, so there's "wasted" money in every cancellation. Dawn may not be "trivial" science, but I really can't rank it up there in terms of scientific importance with, say, a Europa Orbiter, or a Terrestial Planet Finder, or Mars Sample Return, or Messenger. Any way you slice it, characterizing Ceres, etc. just isn't as important as the other missions. I'm not opposed to Dawn, but on my list of space probe priorities, it's probably down around #17. Bruce

    3. Re:Too bad... by SirBruce · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'm okay with that. Most missions have $X invested when they get canned, so there's "wasted" money in every cancellation.

      Dawn may not be "trivial" science, but I really can't rank it up there in terms of scientific importance with, say, a Europa Orbiter, or a Terrestial Planet Finder, or Mars Sample Return, or Messenger. Any way you slice it, characterizing Ceres, etc. just isn't as important as the other missions.

      I'm not opposed to Dawn, but on my list of space probe priorities, it's probably down around #17.

      Bruce

  47. Terrestrial Planet Finder by Zobeid · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What chaps my hide the most is the loss of the Terrestrial Planet Finder. That's the one project with the biggest potential to change the whole way we look at the universe and our place in it. It could be the biggest thing since Galileo pointed his telescope at the planets and discovered they were worlds, they were places, not just specks of light.

    Can you think of anything that would light up the public's imagination, and interest in space exploration, more than finding Earth-like planets? Even if we didn't have any clear idea how to reach them, just knowing they exist would be huge.

    If I were calling the shots, we would fly one more mission with the existing shuttle -- to service Hubble -- and then pack the shuttles off to museums. This whole mad scramble to update the shuttle and make it safe to fly, just when we are on the verge of retiring it, is ridiculous.

    As for ISS, I say let's put it in mothballs until the CEV is ready -- and then restart ISS only if we can figure out what we're really going to use it for. Yeah, I know we have international agreements involving the ISS. We can re-negotiate them. Our partners have to realize the old plan no longer makes sense, if it ever did.

  48. Not so cheap once you get it in orbit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The heatshield, however, is a minimal problem. Try designing accelerator armatures which can both provide thrust and withstand the repeated internal flexure, induction heating, shockwave, friction etc of multi-tonne loads whizzing past every few hours. And then design the generator and control systems to drive a set of them.

  49. So use an Energia with a different capsule by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Big, fat, hairy deal. It's still an order of magnitude cheaper than the Shuttle.

    Better yet, actually fund all of the small alternate-energy projects. Completely funding all of them, even including the complete whackoes, would cost less than one tenth of a Shuttle mission and if just one of them turns out to be right we can use the mother of all ion thrusters for the second and succeeding stages, at an efficiency level two orders of magnitude better than any chemical rocket ever invented.

  50. Shuttle costs in context of other space activities by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

    There's an interesting post over on Clark Lindsay's RLV and Space Transport News, part of which I've pasted below:

    http://www.hobbyspace.com/nucleus/index.php?itemid =894

    * Florida Today points out that "In the past three years, Congress has given the [Shuttle] program $13 billion, and all that money has resulted in just two flights". Sword of Damocles: NASA must safely launch the space shuttles this year, or the program wont survive - Florida Today - Feb.5.06.

    To put that into perspective:

    * Elon Musk has spent about $100M so far on developing the line of SpaceX Falcon launchers. The first Falcon 9 launch is scheduled for 2007. He hasn't said how much more money it will take to reach that launch but I doubt it could be more than another $100M.

    * Kistler says it needs a few hundred million dollars to finish its fully reusable two stage K-1 vehicle.

    * T/Space said it can build a CEV system capable of taking crews and cargo to the ISS for around $500M.

    * LockMart once promised to build the VentureStar for $6B. If they had a 100% overrun that would still be less than $13B.

  51. Re:propz! by Imajica · · Score: 1

    My boss is such a child. :)
    Back at ya dude.

    --
    ((((DO SOMETHING!) SMALL) USEFUL)NOW!)
  52. Shuttle-C is nice by Oldsmobile · · Score: 1

    Yes, I agree, the Shuttle-C is a nice idea. I say go for Shuttle-C right now, or then just buy services from the Russians and re-succitate Energia. Buying from the Russians would be kind of a cultural embarrasament though.

    --
    Some say he is made with ascii, others that he is eyeballed daily by millions. All we know is, he is known as the Sig
  53. Re:Wonderful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Whoa whoa whoa... we went BACK to the moon in 1969? I KNEW it! Lincoln had a secret space program! They all called me crazy, but I KNEW that talking milk shake came from SOMEWHERE!

  54. Pessimism will get you nowhere. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mars Direct could bootstrap colonization in the near term. Living & working in space is, yes, not very fruitful. Colonizing another planet is. But, as a glorious Langley Research Center paycheck has little to do with putting humans in space and on other planets, people like you will continue to argue against manned exploration, claiming it's not "real science". I am of the opinion that there comes a time to put information into action. That is to say... Science is good, but I think we have enough to really DO something with. And we can do it Now.