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Is the Physical CD Still A Viable Market?

An anonymous reader writes "With iTunes and P2P networking dominating the online music scene, does the physical CD have any place in our future? Slyck is running an article on the study conducted by the NPD Group." From the article: "Since its peak sales year in 1999, there has been a steady deterioration in the number of physical CDs sold and shipped. The most immediate blame is typically placed on piracy, however over the course of the last six years this has proven superficial to reasons of more substance."

84 of 410 comments (clear)

  1. Nope by grub · · Score: 5, Insightful


    CD? Dead. CDR? Alive and kicking! >:)

    --
    Trolling is a art,
    1. Re:Nope by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I own a computer. I own an iPod. I own a mobile 'phone with an RS-MMC slot and an MP3/4 player.

      The only way I can buy music that will play on all of these is to buy the CD and rip it to AAC myself. If I buy WMA audio, I can't listen to it on my iPod or 'phone (or my computers, easily, since none of the run Windows). If I buy iTMS music, I can listen to it on my iPod and computer, but not my 'phone.

      Eventually the record labels will have to realise that DRM helps vendor lock-in, but does nothing to prevent piracy, and that it works against their own commercial interests. In the intervening period I will avoid online music retailers.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    2. Re:Nope by slashbob22 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There is no way CD's are going to disappear in the near future.

      As a Slashdotter and a 20-Something: The only music I have purchased online was from a gift certificate - it was so terribly DRM laden and hindered that I vowed never to go back. I will only purchase CD's, at the end of the Day I have a tangible product and I can use it anywhere I want. Yes, I fall into the category which rips CD's and if this becomes illegal then you can be sure that I will NOT help the recording industries bottom line unless they can prove that I have some control over how I use the product that I purchased.

      --
      Proof by very large bribes. QED.
    3. Re:Nope by pilgrim23 · · Score: 2, Funny

      agreed. After all I just invested in a new 100 pack of steel needles for my Victrola. As long as the crank works, I can hear my Al Jolsen, Bessie Smith and Perry Como whenever I want and on top of that; the Andrew Sisters still look good on their faded liner notes. Beat that Apple!

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    4. Re:Nope by NitsujTPU · · Score: 5, Interesting

      You can strip the DRM on the iTunes music. I probably shouldn't admit to it, but this is how I listen to music under Linux. I should mention that I don't share the music after stripping the DRM and that, if there were a way to do this without stripping the DRM, I would.

      I use iTunes under Windows, then JHymn (http://www.hymn-project.org/). The unencrypted files will play problem-free under Linux and can translated into MP3s without issue as well.

    5. Re:Nope by rob_squared · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Sure, physical CDs still have a market, I think they'll be useful for quite a while for boxed software products.

      Remember when Norton was selling software on Zip disks? I still chuckle at that.

      Now as for music CDs, those may be heading for a downward trend.

      --
      I don't get it.
    6. Re:Nope by Sloth503 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Why is piracy the probable cause of CDs having already hitting their peak in sales? Why isn't it crappy music? Seriously. Why make the jump from CD sales are down to piracy before the jump from CD sales are down due to lack on interest in the talent?

    7. Re:Nope by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Informative

      I take it you haven't upgraded iTunes for a while. JHymn still doesn't work if you have installed iTunes versions after 5.0.1. The current version is 6.0.4.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    8. Re:Nope by UNIMurph · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I still buy CD's for one reason: Sound quality. The average song downloaded from a online retailor is of terrible quality, usually 192kbps or less, and i'll admit a lot of people can't tell the difference between a CD and a MP3(or other losy compression audio format) but i can and thats an issue for me. My MP3 player supports a wide range of file formats, but i usually end up useing FLAC, it eats space but it sounds much better, no digital garble, no washed out cymbols, no muffeled vocals. I guess i have to blame the crappy headphones that come with the iPod for the general publics ignorance to the way compressed audio sounds as compared to 1440kbps CD quality audio. Just give it a try, get a friend listen to the same song, on the same set of high end headphones or studio monitors, in both MP3(even 320kbps) and CD format and ask witch one sounds better. Even if it is subconcuois they will allways choose the CD audio. The CD (or other high bandwith) physical media will allways be around because the people who make the music and true audiophiles will want the high quality sound.

    9. Re:Nope by Firehed · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Others are working on it, though. Mr. Jon isn't the only one who can reverse-engineer stuff, thankfully.

      It's worth noting that myself (and many other geeks, I'd imagine) avoid using the iTMS for the sole reason of the CRAP. While 99c is still a bit much for me for lossy songs with no booklet (I've made a few exceptions, but I think they were all stuff not available locally), it'd be fine for me if it was the equivalent of .flac (lossless, no crap). I'd like the booklet, but I more or less stopped caring about the same time that the cheap bastards at the MPAA started swapping in ads for chapter indexes in DVD cases. I'll admit, though, the security tag thing being stuck to the disc itself was a bit more disenheartening than just ads or nothing.

      It's not even the vendor lock-in that bothers me with crap. Well, not entirely. I have an iPod and see no reason to change to something else, nor to carry something else in my pocket that can play music as well. One computer being able to play my music at a time is enough for me, believe it or not, and while I don't like the idea of a limitation, I also see no reason that I'd need to allow five different machines to be able to play protected media at once. The principle of the product vendor not only telling me what I can or cannot do with my product but then enforcing it (it's not like warning labels - there's nothing that technically prevents you from using a hairdryer in the shower except common sense) is just wrong in every way imaginable. In fact I'd much rather see enforcable warning labels than what's going on digitally - I don't need to hear about the guy who's suing the chainsaw company because he thought he's tough enough to stop the blade with his hand, despite what the label said.

      Once someone goes and cracks iTMSv6 encryption, I'll be much more willing to use the store to buy music. For the time being, I really can't be bothered to get a v5 installer going on a separate computer with a separate account and a separate card (which, seeing that I have a single debit and no credit, could be problematic), then jHymn the music, convert it to MP3 and add it back into the library of the computer that I actually sync to the iPod and play music from. Could I? Yes, but the amount of effort I'd have to put in would almost make it easier to just get music the old fashioned way.

      Ruling out piracy, of course. It's not as if I'd prefer to pay nothing for a higher quality and unprotected version of the song, which has a considerably better chance of having a scan of the booklet than a download from iTMS. Nope, not a chance. I love giving money to the people going out of everyone's way to screw me over and lock me into a specific vendor.

      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
    10. Re:Nope by zcat_NZ · · Score: 2, Informative

      'Rampant piracy' doesn't significantly impact sales. Over 1,000,000 sales on iTunes agrees with this (the same tunes are _all_ readily available from p2p at the same or better quality)

      However, DRM also does NOT make the slightest difference to piracy, rampant or otherwise.

      The average time for an ordinary CD to appear on p2p networks is about 6 minutes after it appears on store shelves.

      For a DRM-protected CD the average time is about 6 minutes.

      For an iTunes-only track, the average time is _still_ only 6 minutes.

      The only people even the slightest bit bothered by CD copy-protection and DRM on digital music files are the legitimate music purchasers. Seeders know how to bypass it. P2P downloaders never even see it.

      --
      455fe10422ca29c4933f95052b792ab2
    11. Re:Nope by eonlabs · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This problem would be resolved if they weren't charging the same price for a CD as a DVD Video.
      A friend of mine made a fake death metal band on a dare and has sold out on CDs at $3 a piece, burnt on his own personal machine.

      Sucks to be the people who can't rip the world off anymore.
      Life likes to work that way.

      --
      I wouldn't consider the mad hatter mad. Just reality impaired. He sure can make a mean cup of tea.
    12. Re:Nope by aichpvee · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Seems they're still doing a huge business at Best Buy last time I was in there. Though you can't buy them at the mall anymore. This kind of article is just more crap tha forgets that most people don't buy things online. Most don't primarily listen to music on digital players. We're a ways off from physical music sales, and hopefully a very long way.

      You ipod kids are welcome to come tell everyone how everyone you know only listens to music on their ipods and that you don't know anyone who has bought a CD in a decade, two decades, three decades, since WWII, whatever. Fact is, that's not most people who buy music.

      --
      The Farewell Tour II
    13. Re:Nope by Lumpy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I disagree big time.

      CD sales are booming for Indie artists and local artists. RIAA sales have dropped but simply because the quality has dropped massively and the price has increased. $18.99 for a CD is simply outragous for the low grade crap they sell. Indie artists sell their CD's for $12.99 to $9.99 and typically have better content, the production quality is as good as a $20,000,000 studios is from their basement Mac running garage band, and finally the Indie artist is not encumbered with the massive debt that the RIAA and Racord companies force upon the artists. Very very few signed artist make it out of the debt hole.

      Indie artists are doing great with CD's and as long as there is a CD player in every new car sold they will be very popular, wanted and purchased. It's simply that the overpaid, overpriced, medicore junk that is marketed by the big companies is not selling for some reason. I wonder why that is?

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    14. Re:Nope by jZnat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't forget FYE, an almost entirely CD-filled store common to many malls. CDs won't die until everyone has broadband and music is published in lossless CD quality for a better price than that of a CD.

      --
      'Yes, firefox is indeed greater than women. Can women block pops up for you? No. Can Firefox show you naked women? Yes.'
    15. Re:Nope by binner1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yah, I'm a CD buyer as well. I download stuff here and there, and I have most of my collection ripped to .ogg files, but I still like to have a good old CD in my hands sometimes. For me, I like supporting the artists I really like (be it little indie bands that press their own, or big names that put $$ in the hands of the RIAA)...I really don't even like having CDR's in my 'collection' as I feel that takes away from it. I think it's to do with having the CD jacket, cover art, etc that goes with the music. For me, that's a part of the art of it...

      I really don't like that most of my $15-20 goes to fat cats instead of the artists, and I do realize that cd-covers.org (or whatever) is out there, but I'm not likely to change anytime soon.

      That being said, I'm purchasing fewer CD's now than ever. Maybe I'm getting old and not finding as many good new bands that catch my ear, or having a family is changing my lifestyle (no time to listen to it all...?), I'm not sure.

      Anyway, that's where I stand on this. (If anyone cares.)

      -Ben

    16. Re:Nope by Tomfrh · · Score: 2, Informative

      If your friends can reliably pick the difference between high bit rate MP3 and CD then you are obviously informing them somehow of which is which.

  2. The Collector in Me Cringes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    At th thought of not owning physical media with an album. Plus I think the CD has a bonus of liner notes, art etc. I realize most people don't care about this, but I do.

    1. Re:The Collector in Me Cringes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Studios would put out limited CD editions of albums for collectors like yourself. They still do it for vinyls and tapes.

    2. Re:The Collector in Me Cringes by Stevyn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're right, most people don't care. A lot of CDs I've purchased had little content in the booklet. Sometimes it was just one piece of paper with a track listing and some legal info. If I want lyrics to a song, I'll use Google. I can get a thumbnail of the album cover on my iPod anyway. And a lot of people put all their CDs in a case anyway so they can transport them more easily. I think CD sales are going to become a niche market and stores like Fye will have to change their business to stay alive.

      Maybe something like an iTunes booth in these stores could work. You put in some cash or swipe your credit card and hook your iPod up to these and it handles the transfer of the music. Although I don't yet see how this is profitable. But my point is, these brick and mortar stores can survive if they figure out what people want and stop trying to peddle a dying market.

    3. Re:The Collector in Me Cringes by eclectro · · Score: 2, Interesting

      At th thought of not owning physical media with an album.

      I too want to have a physical object. As long as the RIAA is unable to offer DRM free alternatives, it will remain a very medium to me.

      --
      Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
    4. Re:The Collector in Me Cringes by zakezuke · · Score: 3, Informative

      At th thought of not owning physical media with an album. Plus I think the CD has a bonus of liner notes, art etc. I realize most people don't care about this, but I do.

      Current technology permits printing to your own CDs. You have the Canon and Epson inkjets, as well laser etching as with Lightscribe via HP and LabelFlash by Fuji & Yamaha, or wax transfer as with the Signature printers. While inkjet is spiffy enough, it's not as spiffy as a true blue silkscreened disk in terms of durability. Wax transfer is OK, at least water proof, but the wax will scratch off. Lightscribe/LabelFlash are monochrome only.

      The cover and booklets are, in the most simple terms, paper and ink. Making your own covers is a time consuming task and people using OEM ink on their printer can make one but at the cost of bucks a piece, where as commercial printing can produce a better product in bulk on mass for less. I've said this before but the best way to cash in on the pirate market is to offer for sale licensed covers and booklets for the consumer as a form of license to listen to the media no matter where they got it from.

      Even those who don't care about booklets and cover art might care about a disc with a spiffy spine that they can spot on a shelf, rather than a slew of unmarked cases. This is something worth paying a few bucks each for.

      --
      There is no sanctuary. There is no sanctuary. SHUT UP! There is no shut up. There is no shut up.
    5. Re:The Collector in Me Cringes by Jason1729 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Don't toss out those cassettes, keep them in a box somewhere are your "license" to have the song, then download a high quality version from a p2p network.

    6. Re:The Collector in Me Cringes by BlueScreenOfTOM · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I agree. The first thing I do when I buy a new CD is make a copy for my car and MP3 it so it can enter the regular rotation, while the actual CD sits on a shelf and collects dust, but dammit, it's still nice to have. A lot of artists still put a lot of work into the art and content of the cases, and my car (which was made in 1999 and has a Bose stereo system, mind you) has a hard time with CD-Rs (yes, even when I use expensive discs burnt at 4x) so it's nice to have originals for that. I just don't get it when people buy full albums online at nearly the same price of the CD. They're missing out on the tangible CD from the purchase, all the artwork, and the full-quality audio.

  3. Nope by Saeed+al-Sahaf · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Not everyone is interested in "investing" 200 plus in an iPod.

    Not everyone who listens to music even owns a computer!

    Many people, while not Luddites, are not as tied to technology as many Slashdottes and 20-somethings.

    --
    "Who are in control, they are not in control of anything - they don't even control themselves!" - Glen Beck
  4. Sure, bars, music festivals, ren fests, etc by Isaac-1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I know this is not what the author was talking about, but there is plenty of life left in the lowly music CD in the form of short production sales. You know the types where the band sells them after performing for $10-15. Also as production costs drop, on burning speeds increase there may well be a market for all sorts of other on demand CD writing. The music store is the thing that is in danger, not the CD.

  5. And what about games? by xzanthar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is probably a more reasonable question to apply to games, especially online games. With digital distribution of games like through Steam, the need for physical media becomes obsolete. Steam has a good way of dealing with those who don't want to be online all the time as well, you just have it remember you, and you can still play a game that has been activated. But it also is becoming more and more the case for music as well. But of corse there are those who still want physical property to lie around and take up space, and to wear out in their cd players. The counterpoint to that being that could burn their digital music to cd anyway.

    --
    I encrypt all my files with Double XOR Encryption!
    1. Re:And what about games? by PeterBrett · · Score: 4, Informative
      What do you XOR against? Should I assume 0xFF Or did you fuck up and mean "Double ROT13"?

      It doesn't matter what he XORs against, as long has he XORs against the same thing twice. I think you should go and beat yourself over the head with a clue stick. Repeatedly.

      Generally it's a good idea to do some basic fact checking before you start mocking someone.

  6. Why CDs are necessary. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    CDs are necessary because they offer a constant, nondegrading which is free from the compatibility and format hassles of digital distribution and which you can be fairly guaranteed will work on simple, easily acquirable, and arbitrary hardware into the reasonable future.

    Of course, the people actually selling CDs are no longer offering this, now that they load up their CDs with "copy protection" technologies which circumvent security measures, often mimic viruses, and in some cases fill the error-checking bits with garbage, thus hastening degradation of the CD-- and which the consumer is giving no warning that these technologies are present.

    Which is why I don't buy CDs anymore.

  7. Some people like to "own" a song, not a copy. by Rifter13 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I know several people that want to own a phsyical piece of property (CD in this case), and would spend extra money, just to have the shiny CD. Not to mention those people that don't have enough knowlege about computers to actually figure out how to download music. Add to that, the hassle of having to burn music onto a CDR to play in your car, and I can STILL see a vibrant market for CDs. Give it several more years, and then I think the market will shrink further.

  8. Free-er media by Gertlex · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I still think of the cd as a freer media for getting music... I can own the cd, rip to whatever format I want, and no one is going to bother me... On the other hand, I still haven't looked hard at the online DL services (the legal ones, mind you), but I get the distinct impression that they're all going to restrict me somehow. Naivity says I'm going to want to have the music files i have now for the rest of my life.

  9. Yes, But. by Tackhead · · Score: 4, Insightful
    > Is the Physical CD Still A Viable Market?

    Yes, but.

    ...but only because it's the only way you can legally acquire a lossless, DRM-free set of bits to encode into the MP3, OGG, or AAC for the device of your choosing.

    (Note that you can legally acquire a lossless DRM-free set of bits. Whether or not it's legal to rip those DRM-free bits, on account of your computer not automatically running the DRM/Spyware/Rootkit shipped with the CD, or on account of it not being able to run the DRM/Spyware/Rootkit shipped with the CD, has yet to be determined by the courts. But acquiring the DRM-free bits is legal.)

    The most interesting case of the upcoming decade will be whether the DMCA's anti-circumvention rules apply to a DRM-laden CD - ripped to MP3 on a machine that didn't support Windows Autoplay, from a drive and/or OS that presents both the .wav "files" and the data track with the autoplaying rootkit as separate sets of files, without any intervention from the user.

    1. Re:Yes, But. by Ant2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      So, if I go to a library with my laptop and rip a few tracks from a non-DRMed CD, is that considered fair use? I'm not breaking any encryption. Is that any different than copying a few pages out of a library book?

    2. Re:Yes, But. by dvdeug · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Fair use isn't trivial. It depends on what you copy (not just how much) and why. Ripping a library CD probably wouldn't be fair use, since it impacts the commercial value of the CD and there's no mitigating purpose.

  10. I buy a lot less of them. by Shivetya · · Score: 3, Insightful

    iTunes and such has reduced my need for CDs. I still buy them when I find that I want more than 2 songs from any given CD. I figure it this way, if I really like two of the songs I will probably like more of them, so get the real thing. Something about having the "physical" CD around.

    Now what really has crimped my CD buying is MP3s. Not those I buy or download but those I ripped. I am going through music I haven't listened to in many years. Discovering songs I enjoyed way back when and again now.

    Summary, 75% of my new music is individual tracks from iTunes. The remaining 25% only occurs when I find more than a pair of tracks I like on a CD. Of course that means soundtracks are always purchased.

    Are CDs doomed? Probably, simple reason is that they have now become cumbersome. When I can cram a thousand songs in a device less than the size of a CD (width) it becomes apparent which is more convienent for taking the music with me. Its only a matter of time before that convienence influences purchasing them in the first place.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  11. CD's are clunky and unreliable by dtfinch · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The last music CD I bought had a visible defect causing severe skipping on every single track. Rather than drive 20 miles back to the store I purchased it from to exchange it for another CD (probably from the same defective batch), I just found a torrent of the album and downloaded it.

    1. Re:CD's are clunky and unreliable by dtfinch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      [accidentally submitted parent prematurely]

      I'll never buy DRM-impaired music though. Anti-piracy is the excuse for DRM, not the motive. Not at all.

  12. Other mediums are becoming more prevalent by dakirw · · Score: 2, Insightful

    People are transitioning over to mp3/ogg/wma files because of those formats are more convenient to use. One sign that these formats are becoming really commonplace is that car makers such as Toyota are starting to make mp3 files a playable option on most, if not all of their models, not just the high end ones. This fact, combined with the convenience of more music (and customized to individual tastes), makes it pretty clear that the prices are too high for the current demand.

  13. Something that has been on my mind, too by PipeIsArt · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I remember the days when the CD was hailed as being the ultimate in storage over the puny floppy disk. Now it is getting knocked off its pedestal with all the new flash drives coming out for USB. Soon, 2 GB flash drives will be commonplace, storing data beyond a CD's reach while also being more durable.

    There are two things the CD still has going for it:

    1) It is cheap as dirt to buy and

    2) The data is hardcoded, so it cannot be changed once written and "sealed".

    But it seems hardcoding data is not even that desirable anymore for most storage needs. Flash Drives are also becoming cheaper, plus they have features a CD could never have, like data compression/decompression. However ,as I still see floppies sitting around here and there, I do not think the CD will die out completely, but it will probably fade into obscurity within the next generation or so.

    --
    I find that although many people are liberal in beliefs, they are conservative in actions.
    1. Re:Something that has been on my mind, too by Steve001 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Chanc_Gorkon wrote as part of a post:

      Nonsense. A CD CAN have Data Compression. What do you think a MP3 is? At it's most basic form, a MP3 is compressed Data.

      I think the writer is referring to an audio CD made to the Red Book standard. By definition a CD with compressed audio files is not a Red Book Standard CD.

      It is the same issue with copy protection on "CDs." If a CD contains copy protection, it is not a Red Book Standard CD.

      Universal play is one of the features that has made CDs successful. When the CD standard was being proposed there were several different formats being proposed, including one involving 12 inch laserdiscs, as a successor to the LP and 45. A main reason that CD has been successful is that only one format came out and it is playable on all players.

  14. Re:Urgh. by SeaFox · · Score: 5, Funny

    Digital audio sounds terrible.
    So yes, there is still a viable market for CDs.


    Good thing CD's aren't digital audio...

  15. Slightly off topic, but still funny by nickmue · · Score: 2, Funny

    Anti-piracy ad from the early 90s
    http://www.collegehumor.com/movies/1672870/

  16. Physical media = durable backup by vert2712 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yes. CDs still make sense even in the iPod age because they provide a durable backup medium even when the content is transfered to a digital device.

    I will keep buying CDs. I don't listen to the actual CD anymore: I just rip it, put the files on my RAID server and listen to the digital version via my computer or my iPod and keep the CD safe in storage. If anything happens to my music (or if, God forbid, i need to re-rip it because a new/better format comes along), I still have the original CD (which I paid for).

    Personally, I hate iTunes and most online digital services: they will end up killing physical media, and that's a bad thing. CDs are (mostly/theoretically) DRM free and you can listen to them on a variety of devices. Digital media is often encumbered by lossy compression and/or DRM.

  17. Vinyl CD digital audio by mattpointblank · · Score: 3, Insightful

    For me, CD is still viable, and so is vinyl! I see my friend buying individual songs off iTunes for the price of a sandwich and I laugh at him. If you're going to get digital rips of music (and play them on awful tinny laptop speakers), you may as well just download it for free. When I pay for music I want to be able to touch it. If you've never experienced the joy of owning a 12" picture disc and sleeve, you've never loved music.

  18. Albums should come... by danpsmith · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...with the MP3 version right on the CD itself. That way you can transfer the songs onto MP3 if you are using a computer, or you can listen to the CD if you don't have an MP3 player. I had been doing this when I was still burning regular music CDs using CD-Extra, and I think it's quite a pleasant idea. If you include DRMed MP3s even, this would probably deter people from ripping it themselves. I'd love to just have the MP3s totally, but I think that's a nice compromise at least.

    Now as far as whether CDs will last or not, I think a lot of people only have a CD player and not much else still. I do believe there should be more in the MP3 CD player market. Such as "Get all of Eminem's albums on 1 CD" and such in stores, because a lot of people have MP3 CD players (some don't even know that they do). You could charge a little less for this type of album maybe.

    Another thing I think would be nice is if MP3 players could maybe have an input port for media of some kind. Then offer some type of downloadable cartridge or something (I guess like they did with those song things you can buy at the toy store), and allow the user to copy it to the device and still retain a physical backup, so that you don't have to worry about losing the information if the player stops working

    I definitely am not in the market for a copy of a song in downgrade quality with no physical backup and without real convenience over other types of online downloading. Simply put, in most cases it's easier to bittorrent than itune an album, and also cost effective. Until the industry provides attractive options that in some way enhance the end user's quality, CDs will continue to drop in sales, Itunes (being as it is the only alternative, or just about the only alternative) will continue to rise, and a lot of people will continue to download illegally. Now you can punish all the people, or give them what they want. Pass the savings on, it doesn't cost as much to do digital distribution, so don't charge as much... Either way, I hope CDs hang around at least a little while longer.

    --
    Judges and senates have been bought for gold; Esteem and love were never to be sold.
  19. Barebones CDs won't cut it much longer by Y-Crate · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The problem with a lot of CDs is that very often you get the CD and an often-crap set of liner notes that increasingly doesn't even give you the lyrics to the songs or any other form of added value.

    When U2 released their last album, they promoted the hell out of the iTunes version, and released a CD version complete with a snazzy cardboard case, bonus DVD and 48-page hard-bound book. A plain vanilla CD version with just the lyrics was also sent to stores (if you didn't want to pay the reasonable markup on the mini-boxed set). Everyone I know - even fellow iTunes store addicts - ended up hunting down the deluxe version. Even people that don't particularly like the band were transfixed by the whole package when they saw it. (Pics here and here. )

    The band went into it knowing people would be tempted to download it for free, but never whined about it. Instead they offered a wide variety of choices and actually did something to make fans want to go out of their way to get the physical product - and the most expensive version of the release, at that.

    1. Re:Barebones CDs won't cut it much longer by Panascooter · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And I can attest to the effectiveness of the approach. In spite of the fact that I had already downloaded the songs i wanted, limewire style, I still went out and bought the deluxe release. I did it Because it provided more value than just a cd in a jewel case would have. There are a few artists catching on to this who have been releasing their cds with DVDs that have music videos, interviews, and even concert footage. They're including books and DVD audio/surround mixes. All of which you could surely find on the p2p network of your choice, but would certainly be kind of a hassle to find and download. As long as bands try and make cds something worth collecting, something more than just a audio file distribution method, there will be a market. And I will keep patronizing it, in spite of the utter freeness or convienience of other methods.

  20. Re:Bitrates by Xtifr · · Score: 4, Informative

    Not sure from your post whether you're aware of this or not, but FLAC is a lossless format. Most FLACs are exactly the same quality as CD, bit for bit, and the exceptions are usually higher (not lower) quality.

  21. Re:What I'd like to see... by pandrijeczko · · Score: 4, Insightful
    With the advent of HD-DVD and Blu-Ray, you should be able go out and buy a "boxed set" of the complete recordings of The Beatles, complete with album art, videos, extras, and features, all on one disk.

    It's a nice idea but it will never happen due to two things - customer perceptions & record company greed.

    Think about it - let's say you suddenly decide you like The Beatles and start collecting their recordings. You'll probably end up collecting, say, 20+ albums by them - that's $200/£200/200 the record company gets out of you in total. If you buy the albums on CD, you don't notice you're spending that money because you buy, say, 1 CD a week as you can afford them. And when you have them all, you can look at the nice row of 20 Beatles albums on your bookshelf and feel that the money you spent was worth it because you have a nice big fat row of CDs in front of you.

    But there's no way you're going to spend $200/£200/200 on a single Blu-Ray disc. It's a psychological thing - you pick up the case in the shop and it doesn't *feel* like it's worth $200; so you don't buy it.

    Look at DVD - in theory, we should be all playing audio DVDs now because for the same size of disc, you get anything up to 10x the data storage on a DVD than a CD. But if record companies released audio DVDs that were just straight conversions of existing CD albums (without, say, 5.1 enhancements to the music) everyone would feel cheated because they'd know you could get so much more on each DVD disc - so they wouldn't buy them.

    I'm pretty much the same with my Gameboy Advance, Gamecube and PC games. I've bought very few GBA games because when I look at the size of the box (which is oversized anyway for the size of cartridge inside), it doesn't *feel* like it's worth $50/£35/50. I'm more likely to spend the same money on a Gamecube or PC game because psychologically I feel like I'm getting more for my money.

    From a storage & technical perspective, it would be great to cram my racks of CDs into a space about 1/100th of the size but from selling actual products, this is as much about selling products as it is about technological advancement.

    DVD is the classic example. I now own no VHS videos because I've replaced everything now with DVD. I've therefore bought a lot of movies at least twice in my lifetime (perhaps even more times when I've bought the standard edition DVD, then The Directors' Cut later on). One issue that's convinced me to do that are all the "extras" I get like commentaries, documentaries, deleted scenes, etc. yet, in reality, I probably watch all of those on about 1/4 of the DVDs I actually buy.

    Yes, I admit it. I've fallen for the marketing of DVD hook, line and sinker...

    --
    Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
  22. Only as long as Chuck Norris lets them by faust13 · · Score: 2, Funny

    as soon as Chuck decides he bought his last... it's all over.

  23. Yup! by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Many people, while not Luddites, are not as tied to technology as many Slashdottes and 20-somethings.

    Your logic is flawed. You only took a snapshot of our current day, but fail to see the trends.

    Remember the times when the Walkman was an expensive gadget? It wasn't long until it took off. MP3-CD players are inexpensive to get, computers are pretty popular right now (remember you don't need a Pentium 3200 to burn / rip a CD), and cybercafes are available to anyone at $1 / hr.

    Also remember that today's 20-somethings grow up and technology comes cheaper. The iPod (and its clones) are here to stay.

  24. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  25. Re:Nope, sell music people want to listen to... by Fallen+Kell · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I can tell you right away why I havn't purchased any CD's lately. It is because the crap that is made now is just that, crap. I mean I am sure there are some songs here and there that are good, but certainly not enough to cause me to go to a store and buy a CD for 1 song...

    What ever happened to "albums"? I mean actual pieces of work which as a WHOLE are something more then the individual songs? When was the last time there was something like that?

    Let me put it this way, I am probably the quintesential, ideal, perfect market that the Music Industry is looking for. I have lots of disposible income, I have invested tens of thousands of dollars in high quality speakers, pre-processors, amplifiers, tuners, and CD transports (including DVD audio and SACD transports). But there is one big problem here. Just about everything produced now is crap. Even if the songs themselves are good songs, the post production that occurs completely destroys the music. Songs are all "compressed" and "boosted" (in other words, they remove all the dynamics of the music by "compressing" the amplitude of instruments/sounds/effects to make the overall "loudness" of the song higher, because heaven forbid the song that plays after mine have be 3-4db louder on the radio, people will think that it is because the music is worse...).

    The music has been removed from the song. Go listen to Pink Floyd's "Dark Side of the Moon" and listen to the dynamics within the songs. Listen to how the album itself is an entire work in itself. Focus on the quality of the post production work. This is the problem with having good systems, you hear ALL the flaws in the CD itself. A high quality piece of music will sound unbelievably realistic and immerse you into the music. But a poorly done CD will sould like garbage with all the audio artifacts caused by compressing the sound amplitude or loss of signal detail caused by using poor analog to digital converters or conversion dropoff being displayed for everyone to hear in all its ugliness.

    P.S. yes, I own an iPod, but prefer to use WAV files on it when possible. It doesn't make a huge difference on the cheap headphones I use with it on the go, but it if very noticible when connected to my car, or home stereo...

    Again, produce QUALITY work and a lot of people will buy it. Make crap, well, don't expect me to even take a sniff, let alone think of purchasing.

    --
    We were all warned a long time ago that MS products sucked, remember the Magic 8 Ball said, "Outlook not so good"
  26. CD - Yes, Mass Market CD - No by tengu1sd · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Mass market music is fading away. The days of the 50,000 watt AM station manufacturing hits still make corp-rat music market-teers drool. But in today's world more and more people are opting out of listening to "clearchannel inc" and The HitList(c). Independent artists can create their own recordings in the garage studio, establish web sites, host music downloads and replace the giant distributors. If you only sell 10,000 pressings you're not worth investing in to big music, on the other hand, 10,000 pressings for half a dozen albums is a tidy sum for a single artist. On other words, the long tail is stretching out as the lump in belly of the beast is digested.

    I buy more music now a days, although none of it from labels the RIAA ever made a dime from. I just got back from a music festival in Northern California and picked up a dozen albums on physical CDs. Many musicians now have their own web site and market on CDBaby. Despite free downloads and live taping allowed, sales were brisk. I'm one the minority who believes MP3 sound is inadequate, so if I like it, I'll buy it. More so from an artist who runs his own label and will see something from the sale.

  27. Yet another nail in the coffin by Slorv · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Full CDs will stay until there is an online alternative just as expensive.

    The record industry has itself to blame for us, the audience, beeing more and more geared towards individual songs rather than albums* and thus making music into just one of those small commodities like a mobile phone call or a pack of chewing gum. Some people argue that that all started with "guest producers" versions, remixes and putting cheap-to-make singles versions of songs on the CDs instead of complete albums written as a whole.

    Removing the physical CDs would be the final signal to the customers saying "If you don't want our album (that we've infact stopped making anyway) atleast buy one measly song, we even charge you just one dollar".

    If artists stopped or are incapable of thinking in terms of albums why do we still have full CDs at all? And why will we still have them for awhile, at least until the industry finds a way to sell us something we are prepaired to pay $20 for.

    Since:
    A) making a physical CD costs almost the same if your putting on one song or twenty.
    B) you need a certain turnaround from each CD sale to finance your boat... eh, business. A full CD that sells for $15-$20 is much better economy than making a CD-single that only flogs $3-5 from a customer.
    So again; Full CDs will stay until there's an online - read 'cheaper for the industry' - alternative just as expensive for the buyers.



    *Yes we've had a song based music scene before the 60's and 70's arrival of albums but that was so far back that most people in the industry have forgotten all about it. They simply do not know how to stay alive in that kind of a eco(nomical)system.

    --
    Bikers.....The only people that understand why a dog hangs his head out a car window.
  28. CDs may be dying but Vinyl is still kicking! by trans_err · · Score: 4, Funny

    For a majority of the music I listen to (indie, neo-folk, college, etc...) Vinyl is by far a very viable and popular media. When I buy an LP I feel like I actually own something. The album art is in large format, record labels throw in extra tacks, bonus 7", etc... Most indie labels make great Vinyl releases as they realize this is a product for those who truly love the music embeded in that wax.

    A few labels (MERGE) are even beginning to allow you to download MP3s of the LP tracks the second you order-- allowing me to have both a high quality digital recording and the warm wax for my turntable.

    In the realm of these independent record labels and their fans, Vinyl is quickly becoming a dominant media-- many fans fighting tooth and nail for limited vinyl pressings and other special releases. Out of print Death Cab for Cutie lps, Sunny Day Realestate lps, and early original Modest Mouse pressing go for over $100 on ebay.

    1. Re:CDs may be dying but Vinyl is still kicking! by pandrijeczko · · Score: 2, Insightful
      For a majority of the music I listen to (indie, neo-folk, college, etc...)

      Sorry, but I think the fact that you need to categorise what you listen to into such microscopic categories indicates that you're just promoting vinyl because it's a "cool" thing to do.

      Vinyl works as a medium if you spend an extortionate amount of money to spend on a hi-fi system and have even more money to spend on a storage vault for your vinyl albums that keeps them at a fixed air temperature and humidity. Anything else and they warp very easily, you can hear every scratch, and each time you play them the quality detiorates due to the unavoidable wear you induce on them due to the friction of a stylus rubbing against the side of the grooves.

      I won't pretend to understand DJs and the dance music scene but IMHO limited vinyl pressings and "white labels" are simply about creating an artificial "rareness" to make every DJ think he's that bit more special than any other DJ.

      --
      Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
  29. CD-FLAC! by bguzz · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I want CDs that, instead of Red Book audio, contain 24bit 96kHz FLAC tracks. And what about CD-Text? That could have been cool, but I don't know since I've never seen anybody actually use CD-Text. Keep me from having to use CDDB or key in all the track data. Then maybe they could include PNGs of the cover art...

    That would be way too good for customers, though. It'd probably never work. I mean, can you just think of the poor recording artists!

  30. Re:Nope (Neo-Luddites) by DoninIN · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This is more pronounced than many of the younger among you realize, for instance I'm a geek, I read slashdot every day, I am technologically literate, but I'm old, I still buy CDs when I want music I don't really see me buying an IPOD any time soon, I don't download music and while I was briefly interested in the idea of a media center PC I haven't really planned or budgeted for one at any point in the near future. Worse I have a lot of friends who think like I do, we're just old. Not so much luddites. (I have 3 PCs sitting on the desk while I type this, two dinosaurs, and two of have multiple boot, so I'm hardly a technophobe.

  31. Re:For independents, yes, it's dead. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I just visit yoour side, but I don't get it ....

    a) its your own music, yes?
    b) you sell it via a web site?
    c) you sell it as CD but not as download able (buyable) mp3?

    The main problem with your site is very simple: no instant satisfaction.

    The buyer is there and he wants it now not at some undefined time in the future (after mail delievery). Instead of buying your product delayed he is going to buy something else instantly some minutes later.

    The second thing is: the prices are not compdetitive (but they are ok if you bear in mind your manufacturing costs in that small volumes, how ever the ordinary customer does not know that, nor is he willing to pay the price).

    angel'o'sphere

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  32. Outside of the Slashdot Bubble... by patio11 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ... there were several billion dollars of CDs sold last year, and there will be several billion dollars of CDs sold next year. Even VHS, a format which is inferior in every possible way to DVD (a player for which can be had for less than the price of the media that plays on it), is still a multi-billion a year business. The wave of the future it ain't, but CDs will be a *viable, profitable business* for decades.

    1. Re:Outside of the Slashdot Bubble... by pandrijeczko · · Score: 2, Funny
      The Slashdot bubble is a huge impenetrable glass sphere carried on the shoulders of four elephants stood on the back of a monolithic space turtle.

      Repeat after me:

      THERE IS NOTHING OUTSIDE OF THE SLASHDOT BUBBLE...

      THERE IS NOTHING OUTSIDE OF THE SLASHDOT BUBBLE...

      THERE IS NOTHING OUTSIDE OF THE SLASHDOT BUBBLE...

      --
      Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
  33. Long term market by nurb432 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Sure there is a market for CD's, with their covers, artwork fold out images, lyric sheets.. oh wait. that was vinyl.. nah, cds are worthless.

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  34. From corporal to ethereal by Laike · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It seems like the general consensus around here is that people like the idea of having something in their hands. I mean sure it might seem nice to have a few hundred CDs lined up on a shelf to display to impress friends and neighbors but not very practical. With the advent of hard drives becoming larger and cheaper it is only a matter of time before lossless (or lossy undetectable to human ears) formats begin to catch on. And yes I know the superman hearers among us will complain about how the quality of a CD is far superior, just like the vinyl audiophiles before them. Open your mind, the CD isn't relevant anymore. Archaic... The same arguments can be made for photography as well. Sure one can make the argument that color density and tone of Fuji Velvia is far superior of any digicam. Does the general public give a shit? They want ease of use, they want portability, and they want instant gratification.

    Lets be honest here, the cd is on the way out, and any other CDesque replacement. The world is changing to a completely computer storage based system. It's a changing of the guard, and its happening all around us. From corporal to ethereal, business records, photos, television, books. It's only a matter of time. Just look at the up and coming generations, the 6-15 demographic, and see if they give a shit about having CDs in their hands. Hell no, give them something they can put on their phones, transfer to their friends. And this scares the hell out of any company that makes a profit from distributing information. You don't think book publishers shit themselves when Google decided to put an entire library on line. That's just the first crack in the dam they are trying to patch it. The cracks are getting bigger and technology is the catalysis. Who needs books, what we need is a digital book replacement, give it time... Bradbury had it right; books are going to be extinct. Give me a datapad connected to every work produced... Music, books, tv, movies, give me it all! This just isn't about CDs it's about all corporal information exchange.

    -Laike

  35. Back catalogues by BovineSpirit · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I've never seen this mentioned on Slashdot, but I think of it every time I see the 'CD sales are declining because of copyright infringement' meme repeated. CD sales are affected by a lot more than a few copyright infringers.
          When they first appeared we saw people rushing out and buying replacements for their old vinyl and tape albums. Then we saw the collectors boxsets, and now we get the desperate 'best-of' rehashes. Consumers have consumed and having replaced their old collections are mainly interested in buying new releases, and so the CD market has slowed down. What would be more interesting would be to see what has happened to sales of genuinely new releases(and a new Eagles compilation doesn't count).

  36. Music CD = dead, media CD = maybe. by MicroJesus · · Score: 2, Informative

    Year CD sales
    2005 598.9
    2004 651.1
    2003 635.8
    2002 649.5
    2001 712.0
    2000 730.0
    (Source:http://www.usatoday.com/life/music/news/20 06-01-04-music-sales-main_x.htm)

    Music CD's (by artists) are certainly on a dependable decline, and this is quite understandable for obvious reasons; but these same reasons are leading to increased sales of blank cd's (as mentioned above). But the cost of a 700 mb CD vs. the cost of a 4.7 gig conventional DVD already favors the DVD as a media storage device. On top of that, dvd-rw drives are becoming increasingly standard on new PC's. The CD's days are numbered.

  37. Re:What I'd like to see... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In the January sales last year, I bought a classical music boxed set. It contained 40 CDs, and cost £25. At this price, each CD cost less than a single track on iTunes. About 80% of it was both good quality and not a duplicate of something I already owned (in a couple of cases, it was a better recording than the version I had). A this price, I would buy enough music to need to upgrade my iPod annually. At £5-10 for a single CD, I generally have better things to spend my money on.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  38. The Physical CD dead? Hardly! by Phil+Urich · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Hardly. Nowadays I often even buy vinyl. Hah!

    No, seriously now. For one, services like iTunes don't offer things losslessly; for two, they restrict my use of them too much for me to even bother (hell, I don't even have many convenient ways to play fuckin' .m4a files, much less DRMed ones . . . but my DAP plays ogg just fine, so I can take that anywhere with me no problem, and while it's too small of a flash drive to really hold FLAC comfortably it's a snap to drag-drop convert FLAC to ogg-vorbis for the run).

    Thirdly, packaging. I mean, let's be honest now, it's been possible forever now to transmit text electronically quite well, but books are far from gone. It's just extra nice, convenient and so forth to have an actual physical copy in posession. Which is actually why I often buy albums I like in Vinyl now; I can usually just download lossless versions for digital use on the side (which is often how I came to like the album enough to buy it), and if you're going to go for the physical packaging, why not go for the gusto? Now, vinyl isn't exactly the easiest to get albums or singles in, so it's not always an option and many people would rather have a CD instead, but the fact that even now there are stores that sell a large volume of actual records speaks to the desire people have to actually own a physical copy of something (and what's more physical than analog?).

    So no, I certainly don't think CDs are going away anytime soon. Yeah yeah, they'll decrease in prominence and sales, they might not even stay at the top of the food chain . . . but there's a long ways from that to complete oblivion as the title suggests (not that I'm sure the article claims such; in true slashdottian spirit I've avoided reading TFA).

    Furthermore, if you expand the definition of CDs a bit and go into other forms of physically sold disks, there's alot of room for the medium to evolve from here. As noted, there aren't any major services offering lossless audio (unless I've been misinformed?), meanwhile we have emerging media types like DVDA and the growing practice of either two-sided disks or just a CD and a DVD to give extra content like videos along with albums, so even in the mere digital product the physical disks retain certain advantages over the online services.

    Besides, if anything is going to fall to the power of the internet, I think that print newspapers will go before CDs. So maybe once/if that happens we can start thinking about perfoming the final rites for Compact Disks.

    --
    I remember sigs. Oh, a simpler time!
  39. I feel it is alive and well by awksedfred · · Score: 2, Informative

    At our bands site http://www.myspace.com/timflanaryband we market an idea, not just music. We feel that people want to buy something that they can hold in their hands. I believe our marketing techniques are working. Sure there are plenty out for instant gratification. Whenever I'm really into a band I want their CD.

  40. the drop in CD sales... by zogger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...exactly parallels the huge increase in consumers having their own burners, then buying blanks by the small quantity. Then they hit the pre recorded rack and look at the titles and prices. Hmmmm. It ain't rocket surgery then.

      nConsumers found out how much they were being ripped off/gouged by a quarters worth of plastic and 10 cents worth of paper and revolted. Napster came about because people got *tired* of shelling out big bucks for music CDs.

    And to this day, the millionaires who have no coneption of what a dollar is worth to joe working stiff and who make the decisions on pricing for discs at the RIAA vendors are STILL clueless to this. To them, 10 to 20 bucks is like a nickle or a dime to regular people, they think it's cheap! They simply *don't* get it. They are incapable of relating because they are millionaires. They can intellectualize it all day long, they just won't understand it was the pricing that lead to "piracy" way more than just the ability to do so. In fact, the "ability to do so" has been driven precisely by outrageous pricing on music and movies.

    Those over priced bit sellers are their own worst enemies.

    And I don't want to hear it can't be done, you can walk into any walmart and see older movies on DVD for two dollars.

    And that's all bits on a disk are worth. Bit sellers need to get a clue back to the "volume sales" concept. At two bucks, they would sell a lot more disks, and make more money, even if the net per disk was lower.

  41. Re:For independents, yes, it's dead. by iabervon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What do you have against selling mp3s? Would you be okay selling wavs? Or wavs plus PDFs (of the liner notes and album art)? It's a little odd to refuse to accept money unless you get to ship some metal, glass, plastic, and paper somewhere.

    I'll agree with your assessment about requiring payment to provide an mp3, but that doesn't mean you can't also sell people the same thing you've already given them for free. It seems dumb, but it's a mechanism for letting people show appreciation for what you already gave them that credit card companies like better than accepting donations.

    Of course, the physical CDs as artwork are another matter; but the site doesn't really give much of an impression of what the manufactured item is like (as opposed to the sound which may be produced by playing it in a CD player, among other ways). If that is your particular artistic expression, you should have images of the item for sale; the mp3s don't really speak to that, since the buyer would have to rip the CD (or download all the mp3s) to simultaneously listen to the audio and look at the CD. And, of course, you're not offering anything for people who like the music but not the visual art, so it's not too surprising that a segment of people listen to the music and then don't buy anything.

  42. Are physical CDs still a viable market? by bwanagary · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I sure hope so!
    One of the true pleasures of life is well written, well arranged, well produced (recorded) and well pressed music. If you think that your "typical" MP3 tune (usually at 128 bits) sounds good you've been listening to your iPod too loud and too long. A good CD recording on a decent stereo is *MUCH* richer sounding than any MP3, and better than ogg vorbis also.

    It would be a travesty to only be able to buy music that has been sterilized by lossy compression (MP3 & others), reducing it to a shallow facsimile of real music :-(. I and many others can hear the difference, whether it be rock or classical music, jazz or flamenco.

    Please don't leave us at the mercy of hearing-impaired iPodniks! Beautiful music is just too much to lose. It would be like the extinction of an exotic species.

  43. From my cold dead hands... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You'll have to pry the 44 khz stream from my cold dead hands. Until I can be assured of DRM free master quality recordings, I'll never stop buying CDs.

  44. Re:For independents, yes, it's dead. by tverbeek · · Score: 3, Insightful
    I don't sell MP3 because I don't sell data, I sell product.

    Try substituting "my music" for "MP3" in that sentence.

    It's your choice, of course, what you want to sell: products or content. But it sounds like you're suffering from the age-old problem of not selling what your (potential) customers want.

    --
    http://alternatives.rzero.com/
  45. I'l print to that! by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I remember being told in the early 80s that the paper companies were going to be going out of business because of a computer-driven paperless society. Yeah right

    CDs, or similar, are still a very handy medium and will be there for a while still.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:I'l print to that! by timeOday · · Score: 2, Insightful
      This isn't some empty prediction by a futurist, CD sales are in long-term decline. When did that happen to paper?

      Anyways, I certainly hope CDs are commercially viable forever. All forseeable future commercial media for music are inferior, due to DRM.

    2. Re:I'l print to that! by kesuki · · Score: 4, Interesting

      2005. http://news.monstersandcritics.com/business/articl e_1137269.php/U.S._losing_pulp_and_paper_mill_capa city

      if like me you lived in one of the larger paper lumber harvesting regions of the US like me you'd have known that paper companies had been liquidating their assets for more than a year, to try to compensate for lower demand/more competeitive global markets.

      yup, the sale of former timbering grounds have freed up massive chunks of valuable real-estate at rock bottom prices, at least here in wisconsin.

  46. i hope music cd stays by pikine · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Now as for music CDs, those may be heading for a downward trend.

    When I was young and long before the time of Napster, MP3 used to be the only way I get new music. It was a time when you could find Spice Girls MP3s openly on some web sites and nobody cared. It was a time that it took a Pentium 100Mhz computer 70% of CPU time to play MP3s. The computer I used was hooked up with some crappy speakers, and I couldn't care less.

    Nowadays I pretty much have disowned my MP3 collection, and I prefer buying physical CD to get new music. There are two reasons.

    1. I now have a much better pair of speakers that allow me to hear rattle in a poorly compressed MP3, which was common in my old MP3 collection.
    2. I now have my own income that I can buy whatever I want without asking my parents for the money.


    Although WMV and AAC are so good that you don't hear the rattle, it is sad the vendors try to show superiority of their formats by encouraging the use of low bitrates (less than or equal to 128kbps). Ogg Vorbis also does a good job. Nowadays it's hard to identify compression artifects, but to my ears compressed music just sounds shallow, especially pay attention to cymbal and snare drums. I also find it more difficult to identify what instrument is playing what part by ear, when the music is compressed.

    Well, this is not surprising, since lossy audio compression by design removes the sounds that you don't consciously hear. When you consciously try to hear it, it's just not there. It's like trying to zoom in to a JPEG compressed image and examine the texture, only to find the texture is lost.

    In general, I think a music CD priced at $15 is still worth the additional amount of information that you retain uncompressed.
    --
    I once had a signature.
  47. Apples and oranges... by ktakki · · Score: 4, Insightful
    This problem would be resolved if they weren't charging the same price for a CD as a DVD Video.


    What does the price of one have to do with the price of the other? Aside from the fact that this is digital information on a shiny plastic disk, there's no comparison. But, hey, I'll compare the two anyway.

    A movie released on a DVD has usually made back its production costs at the box office (and then some). DVD/VHS sales and rentals are a secondary source of revenue for the studio.

    A music CD's sales revenues are the main event for the artist and the label (and no, very few bands make money off of touring and merchandising...very, very few).

    Okay, that's the supply side of things. How about the demand side?

    I own some of my favorite movies on DVD. I own a lot of music CDs, too. I will maybe watch a DVD about five or six times before I get sort of tired of it and lend it to a friend or just stop watching it. Maybe I'll grab it off the shelf to play for a friend that hasn't seen it (and see it through their eyes, which freshens the experience).

    By contrast, I can't count the number of times I've played my favorite CDs. I listen at home, in the car, at work. If I had a nickel for every time I listened to Television's Marquee Moon or Nirvana's Nevermind, I'd be rich enough to throw Steve Ballmer off of the Space Needle and get off on a technicality. $15 spent on a CD is a greater value to me than the same $15 spent on a DVD. Amortize that $15 against the amount of enjoyment you get from that creative work.

    k.
    --
    "In spite of everything, I still believe that people are really good at heart." - Anne Frank
    1. Re:Apples and oranges... by ktakki · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Lets see... something that costs upwards of 200M to produce using a cast of hundreds if not thousands versus something that can be slapped together by just getting 5 guys around a tape recorder.


      The movie's costs have been theoretically recouped before the DVD/VHS release.

      The CD's costs haven't been recouped. And "5 guys around a tape recorder" is a gross oversimplification.

      The Cowboy Junkies' Trinity Sessions was literally "5 guys" around a Focusrite mic in a church. But that's the exception that proves the rule. Most major label releases are produced in a studio that's got $500,000 worth of gear and an equivalent amount of studio build-out: sound proofing, acoustic treatments, isolation booths.

      Add to that the cost of marketing, pressing, printing...

      Of the $16 retail price of a CD, the wholesale price is $8, the distrubtor gets between $1 and $2, and the retailer gets the rest.

      The artist gets about $1 per unit. The songwriter gets a statutory rate of $.37 per track in most cases.

      Then there's performance royalties, synchronization royalties, and transcription royalties. Learn a bit about the business before you critique it.

      k.
      --
      "In spite of everything, I still believe that people are really good at heart." - Anne Frank
    2. Re:Apples and oranges... by Belial6 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Most major label releases are produced in a studio that's got $500,000 worth of gear and an equivalent amount of studio build-out: sound proofing, acoustic treatments, isolation booths."

      First, a million dollars isn't even going to touch the cost of a real movie. Second, that million dollars in sound equipment and studio is identical, and reused for thousands of albums, while most of the costs in movie production are reoccuring. The per album cost of a million dollar equipment/studio investment is likely going to be only a few thousand dollars. Your not going to get much of a movie at those rates.

      My favorite example of overpriced CDs is

      Maximum overdrive
      Who Made Who

      Nobody is going to convince me that the cost of producing the shoundtrack was even close to the cost of producing the movie AND soundtrack. It is also a safe bet that more copies of Who Made Who were sold than the box office tickets and DVDs combined. Combine that with the fact that we can be pretty sure that AC/DC was paid for the sound track, AND that most of the music was already written, and likely recorded before the movie was made. How can the HIGHER price be justified for the soundtrack alone? Because the can get away with it. People are more willing to pay unreasonable prices for music than for movies.

  48. Re:Nope, sell music people want to listen to... by Nasarius · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I agree with pretty much everything you've said. I admit, to my slight embarassment, that I've found a haven of sorts in Dutch pop (most sing in English). Relatively obscure artists like K's Choice, Anouk, Venus in Flames, Sarah Bettens, Woodface, and Admiral Freebee are still releasing some pretty good stuff. It ain't Pink Floyd, but it's so much better than mainstream US stuff. I'm someone who can't sit through the whole Coldplay album that everyone raved about.

    I also love Bruce Cockburn, who was amazing in the 70s, mixed in the 80s, and back to great in the 90s.

    Point is, there's still good stuff out there, and that doesn't mean just filling out your Zeppelin bootleg collection. Turn off the radio and talk to people who share your tastes. Oh, and go to a Derek Trucks Band concert.

    --
    LOAD "SIG",8,1
  49. hey, it echoes in this cave! I'll invent SHOUTING! by timothy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well, it's nice and warm in the time-warp bubble, I assure you.

    Compared to the "future" media (music either downloaded for a fee, or on high-density CD-shaped media, or I suppose sold on flash media or other newfangledness), CDs are good IMO because the players are everywhere (new optical drives playing CD-shaped disks are all compatible, but old CD-ROM drives are out of luck playing Blue-Ray / HD-DVD / etc), and because they're *physical.* That has its drawbacks, but I'm glad that my CDs -- mostly in cold storage now -- are still around for me to rip anew if necessary. New recording techniques can be higher density of course, but most downloadable music (whatever its recording pedigree) is highly compressed; with CDs I can choose the compression level (at least up to the limits of the disk ;)).

    Also, related to the ubiquity of the players, is that the disks' content are mostly amenable to no-loss conversion to other data carrier, and they have to be if they're going to play on any standard CD player. (Not to argue about Sony rootkits etc -- that's why I say 'mostly.')That's an issue I wish wasn't important, but there ya have it.

    timothy

    --
    jrnl: http://tinyurl.com/c2l8yr / foes: http://tinyurl.com/ckjno5
  50. Yes! (and you shouldn't be surprised) by VernonNemitz · · Score: 2, Insightful

    CDs don't suffer from bit-rot like CDRs. Their only problem is that new music is overpriced; it only costs about 50 cents to stamp one of them out, when CDs are mass-produced. Yes, there are other costs associated with packaging and distributing them, but have you not noticed that copyright-expired classical music CDs tend to run about $5 or so? Folks, just let the Law of Supply and Demand do its thing here. Someday some Big Music House will decide to lower prices as an experiment, and the consumer response will be overwhelmingly positive. Then the bean-counters will finally get the message.