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Is Microsoft Silent Before a Deadly Storm?

M$FTjack writes "Discussions about Microsoft are all over the place, esp. with its recent delays to Vista. Some consider Microsoft to be doomed, while others say Microsoft is silent before a deadly storm. According to the article on CoolTechZone, the author believes that Microsoft will unleash an abundance of next-generation applications that will take everyone by surprise. From the article: 'So why am I citing all these examples? Simply because I think Microsoft is itself poised for a big leap. Despite all the rumors about Google and how it will topple Microsoft, I don't see that happening in the near future ... people (and I don't mean technology enthusiasts) will continue to purchase Microsoft products simply because of the sheer familiarity and comfort levels (BSoD et al) that they have with Microsoft software.'"

72 of 492 comments (clear)

  1. Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Whiney+Mac+Fanboy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    the author believes that Microsoft will unleash an abundance of next-generation applications that will take everyone by surprise.

    No - thats the way Apple works (taking people by surprise with cool new stuff)

    Microsoft announces products years in advance in an attempt to stop people buying the competitors products. When MS's software finally arrives, it tends to be..... dissapointing.

    people (and I don't mean technology enthusiasts) will continue to purchase Microsoft products simply because of the sheer familiarity and comfort levels (BSoD et al) that they have with Microsoft software.'

    No, this should read:

    people (and I don't mean technology enthusiasts) will continue to purchase Microsoft products simply because of vendor lock in - they will continue to need to run specialised applications that only exist on the windows platform.

    Quotes from the article:
    Let's start with Vista. Fine, so it got delayed by a few months.
    Gosh, that's the worst mispelling of six years I've ever seen!
    Microsoft Office 2007. I don't know the last time I felt so good about a piece of software. It's just superb. While it doesn't have too many earth shattering features,
    Thats just the problem - no new features compelling people to upgrade from office 2000 (or 97 for that matter)
    Windows Live. The world is going ga-ga over Google Earth but it can never match the clarity that Microsoft's local.live.com has.
    The only feature on Live Local I like is the birds eye view - and it doesn't work where I live! (large US cities only). A pity - as virtual earth problaby has better data then google earth, its just that google earth presents it nicer!
    Microsoft is working overtime to get its search right. Its indexed search feature in Vista negates the need to install Google Desktop.
    Riiiight...just like IE7 will mean no need to install firefox!

    Analysis like this presents Google as the only competitor to MS - but the fact is their market is being chipped away from all sides, by a multitude of competitors.
    --
    There are shills on slashdot. Apparently, I'm one of them.
    1. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by alexhs · · Score: 5, Funny

      > Let's start with Vista. Fine, so it got delayed by a few months.

      Gosh, that's the worst mispelling of six years I've ever seen!


      It's not a mispelling, it's a twist. Vista only got delayed by a few months. Longhorn on the other hand... :)

      --
      I have discovered a truly marvelous proof of killer sig, which this margin is too narrow to contain.
    2. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Zephyros · · Score: 2, Insightful
      No - thats the way Apple works (taking people by surprise with cool new stuff)

      What if MS is actually learning something from Apple's success and trying that strategy out?

    3. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Microsoft announces products years in advance in an attempt to stop people buying the competitors products. When MS's software finally arrives, it tends to be..... dissapointing.

      Indeed. To quote computerworld from 1995:

      Last month, the U.S. District Court jurist in Washington suggested barring Microsoft from making vaporware announcements because doing so can allegedly freeze the market and discourage buyers from purchasing competing products.

      This has always and continues to be their strategy. As far as I can tell, this time their entire marketing plan is

      "Don't buy a Mac or install Ubuntu or else you might miss out on Vista's similar UI candy".

    4. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Jugalator · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Gosh, that's the worst mispelling of six years I've ever seen!

      AFAIK, Vista wasn't delayed six years. That seem to rather match the time it has been in development.

      But yes, it was likely delayed more than a "few months" at least due to them deciding to throw out the XP kernel and base it on Server 2003's instead.

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    5. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by ejdmoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Thats just the problem - no new features compelling people to upgrade from office 2000 (or 97 for that matter)

      Have you seen Office 2007? They actually tried this time. It has new features, and it's actually way better to use.

    6. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Whiney+Mac+Fanboy · · Score: 2, Funny

      Steve Jobs would never use my nickname.... no matter how much he deserves it :-)

      --
      There are shills on slashdot. Apparently, I'm one of them.
    7. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by ichigo+2.0 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Let's start with Vista. Fine, so it got delayed by a few months.
      Gosh, that's the worst mispelling of six years I've ever seen!

      I don't remember MS promising to deliver Vista in 2001, and I doubt you have proof to the contrary... ;)
    8. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by ergo98 · · Score: 5, Informative

      But yes, it was likely delayed more than a "few months" at least due to them deciding to throw out the XP kernel and base it on Server 2003's instead.

      They didn't "decide" to make the kernel transition. Rather, much like Duke Nukem Forever, technology changed so much while they were in development that they saw now loss in changing the "engine". In the process they dumped much of the work they have completed, and started largely anew.

      It was the result of the first iteration being a complete disaster.

    9. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Rocketship+Underpant · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "What if MS is actually learning something from Apple's success and trying that strategy out?"

      That probably wouldn't work because of their sales strategy. They sell companies expensive 3-year subscriptions with the promise that they'll get Microsoft's latest and greatest when it's ready; to make the sale, naturally, they have to hype the products in the pipeline.

      If I recall correctly, Vista/Longhorn was supposed to be out in 2004, 3 years after XP. Some corporations paid a lot of money for a lot of nothing in 2001 and the following years, based on empty promises and grossly miscalculated shipping dates.

      --
      He who lights his taper at mine, receives light without darkening me.
    10. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Zephyros · · Score: 3, Insightful
      You have a good point - Apple releases consumer products with sudden fanfare, while Microsoft has a lot of corporate customers.

      However, while they have to be as open as they can about Vista, Office, and other corporate necessities, consider projects like the Origami, or a rumored XBox handheld. They could really benefit from an Apple-style buzz and launch.

    11. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Ucklak · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Cancelled my subscription last year because of it.
      Last good piece of software was MapPoint2004. Now Google Earth does what I need from it.

      Total raping of customers is what they're doing with this crappy Software Assurance.

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    12. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Sivar · · Score: 4, Insightful
      >> Let's start with Vista. Fine, so it got delayed by a few months.

      >>Gosh, that's the worst mispelling of six years I've ever seen!

      >It's not a mispelling, it's a twist. Vista only got delayed by a few months. Longhorn on the other hand... :)

      It's not mispelling, it's "misspelling"

      Back on topic, I have been amazed at big a deal everyone is making about the Vista delays. How often are software projects late? Um, always?
      Indeed, system vendors will be irate, but the idea of Microsoft being "doomed" as the Slashdot article states is patently absurd. Microsoft is such a massive empire; their fall would take decades and a long and consistant string of terrible screw-ups. A few products being late, even years late, might scratch their bottom-line, but it will hardly lead to their demise.
      --
      Computer Science is no more about computers than astronomy is about telescopes. --E. W. Dijkstra
    13. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by jcr · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I have been amazed at big a deal everyone is making about the Vista delays. How often are software projects late?

      It's a matter of scale, really. Longhorn is the biggest failed project in software development history, at least in the private sector. The previous record holder would be IBM Office Vision.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    14. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by TheWanderingHermit · · Score: 2, Interesting

      MS doesn't work that way. Never has and as long as it's run by the current guys, it never will. You've got nothing but braggadocios at the top, laced with (as Susan Ivanova said) testesterone poisoning. These are not people who have ever understood subtlity and have taken every chance they can to tell everyone else how great their next product is. If they're silent, it's because they've got diddly. Even with their "secret" projects they start blabbing early.

    15. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by suv4x4 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "Riiiight...just like IE7 will mean no need to install firefox!"

      No, just the way IE4 meant you don't need to install Netscape4 (we all know what happened with Netscape after that).

      Also IE7 *will* be a reason for a lot of business organisation that went to firefox to "relax" and go back to IE, because of the new limited rights mode that blocks exploits from happening even after vulnerabilities are discovered.

      Also Firefox' team doesn't seem to get it that memory footprint and CPU use matters. I'm growing increasingly frustrated with those issues not addressed (I'm a regular Firefox user, IE6 sits idle doing nothing but testing my sites for IE6 compatibility), and I might move to Opera 9 when it's out.

    16. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Ucklak · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You must be talking about the ribbon.
      Still can't open open document formats.

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    17. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by NDPTAL85 · · Score: 2, Informative

      No they promised to deliver it in 2004 back when it was still being called Longhorn. So its still 2 years late.

      --
      Mac OS X and Windows XP working side by side to fight back the night.
    18. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by fatboy · · Score: 2, Funny

      Longhorn is the biggest failed project in software development history, at least in the private sector. The previous record holder would be IBM Office Vision.

      What about Bob?

      --
      --fatboy
    19. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 2, Insightful

      AFAIK, Vista wasn't delayed six years. That seem to rather match the time it has been in development.

      Yeah it was. They called it Longhorn back in 2000, then renamed it as vista. Calling it new is disingenuous - everyone knows MS is working on the next version of their OS. The actual project name is irrelevant.

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
    20. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Hitch · · Score: 2, Funny
      --
      You see, without that little doohicky, the universe stops.
      http://propheteer.org
    21. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Mateo_LeFou · · Score: 2, Informative
      "If I recall correctly, Vista/Longhorn was supposed to be out in 2004"

      wik says 2003
      link

      --
      My turnips listen for the soft cry of your love
    22. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by wilsone8 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's a matter of scale, really. Longhorn is the biggest failed project in software development history, at least in the private sector. The previous record holder would be IBM Office Vision.

      How do the words "failed" and "late" suddenly have the same definition?

      --
      The real problem is not whether machines think but whether men do. - B.F. Skinner
    23. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by mliu · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Microsoft is working overtime to get its search right. Its indexed search feature in Vista negates the need to install Google Desktop.

      Riiiight...just like IE7 will mean no need to install firefox!


      Maybe not for enthusiasts or techies, but for the average computer user, IE7 exactly means no need to install firefox.

      It takes a big improvement to make it worth someone's time to switch to a new piece of software and learn how to use it. By cutting into the difference in quality, it's simply not worth the average user's time to investigate alternative browsers. Heck, look at the present situation, where IE6 pretty much completely sucks, and still most people won't switch. Now imagine if IE7 copies all the good features from Firefox.
    24. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by slashname3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are correct. Micrsoft sends out people that pitch what not yet available. Saw that back in the 90's when they came around to help solve a Microsoft Mail problem. They said that next year Exchange would fix everything that was wrong with Mail. We ended up putting about 38,000 users on Openmail. Which worked great, until HP made the deal with Microsoft to kill Openmail. Now that company is fighing problems with Exchange. Apparently Microsoft can't debug their own stuff, even with three dumps from the machine. Which BTW takes the system out of service impacting customers each time a dump is taken.

      Let's hope Microsoft embraces and extends Linux sometime in the near future.

    25. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by Ucklak · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why not? I don't get it. They're supposed to be a software company that writes software for micro computers. Clearly Mac and Linux are platforms that constitute that.
      I would want my company to diversify and nost just in other areas. If a microwave oven can run on my software, damn it, i'm gonna get someone to write software for it.

      Why did they stop supporting their media player for Mac? Why did they stop at Media Player 6.4 for Linux?
      I seriously think that Microsoft coders can't code at all. Whatever politics are behind them from not fulfilling their career goals need to go by the wayside because it's crippling effects are felt everywhere.

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    26. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by radtea · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How often are software projects late? Um, always?

      Only when they are managed by incompetents, the kind of losers who think that working longer hours is something other than a euphemism for low productivity.

      No software project I have managed has been late by more than 10% of the total schedule. It just isn't that hard to deliver quality software, on time, every time. I've done it with research-oriented projects, whole applications, and feature upgrades, in Java and C++, working alone and managing largish (~10 developer) teams. I have been involved in very late, very large projects that I accurately predicted would be very late using basic quantitative estimation practices. Large projects are even easier to estimate than small projects because they average over so much diversity. Any two large projects are more similar than any two small projects.

      There are two major factors that cause software projects to be late: technological optimism on the part of developers, and faith-based management and estimation practices. I hardly need to write about technological optimism here--we've all at one time or another gotten so enamoured of a new technology that we thought it would solve all our problems in half the time and not contain any gotchas.

      Faith-based management practices are based on what people want to be true rather than what is true. They are the epistemology of a bible-believing Christian applied to logistics. We've all seen managers who want badly to believe that the schedule will be met, and so they lie to themselves and everyone one around them, and punish anyone who disagrees with their faith.

      Quantitative estimation and management practices are not hard to learn or apply, but they continually come up with the "wrong" answers--ones that the bible-believers don't want to hear. When this happens the bible-believers characteristically make exceptionalist claims: "This is the chosen project! It is not not like all those other projects you based your estimates on! This project is special! It is outside the laws of time, space and logistics!"

      Needless to say, like all bible-believers, they are impervious to facts, and so their projects crash merrily through deadline after deadline without any response except ill-conceived attempts to force their minnions and themselves to work ever-longer hours.

      The solution to all of this is the Law of Common Humanity: We are just like Them. If industry data from the past century across a dozen different fields shows that working more than 35 or 40 hours a week results in significantly lower productivity, then that is probably true of us as well. If the quantitative estimation practices described in Rapid Development gave reasonable values for others, they probably will for us. If the causes of failure identified in Stephen Flowers excellent book Software Failure: Management Failure caused other projects to fail, they will probably cause ours to fail if we let them.

      It is clear that Microsoft has never learned this lesson. They have been famous for late projects since Word1.0 two decades ago, and yet like bible-believers everywhere, they keep to the faith of their forefathers despite the wreckage it produces. On this basis, the odds of Microsoft being poised to unleash a river of innovation is simply not plausible.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    27. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How do you get XP to Vista 4 years? Going by Vista release in 2007 it's six... but it's not 2007 and Vista isn't released yet so it might be more.

    28. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by anaesthetica · · Score: 4, Informative

      You're right. I ran a Nexis search, and the earliest mention of Longhorn (July 30, 2001) has Microsoft saying late 2002 (if everything goes right) or early 2003 otherwise.

    29. Re:Microsoft is never silent before the storm. by something_wicked_thi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's really not that simple, though. There's not really any ME technology in XP. XP is just 2K with a new GUI, some new kernel features, remote desktop assistance, multi-user switching, and a few other goodies.

      Also, how do you factor Server 2K3 into this? I think that Vista has nothing from 2K3, but I could be wrong about that. Personally, I'd say that the XP development cycle should be traced from NT4. Why? Because 2K was the technology behind XP. The next year was spent turning it into a consumer OS, so let's say about 5 years (I think NT4 came out around 1996, but maybe it was 1995). Therefore, Vista is about on par with that (5.5 year from August 2001 when XP was released to OEM to January 2007; my guess is it'll be delayed again, so let's say an even 6 years from XP to Vista).

      Therefore, it's about on par with their last release. But when it comes to delays, I don't think any other Windows product was delayed this long (Win95 slipped about a year, I think; if XP is what 2K was supposed to be, then 2K also slipped a year, you could argue).

  2. I doubt it by suso · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Given the internal conflicts within Microsoft between application teams and the fact that the community gets leaked memos and rumors from time to time about inner goings on, I would say no, they are not working on anything special. The amount of human resources required to develop these "next gen apps" that they allude to within Microsoft would most likely generate some rumors that would have given us such an indication. Microsoft is under too much of a microscope for something like this to slip by. If it is a new development, then it will be a while before we see such apps. Besides, Microsoft's marketing technique seems to be based on people knowing what are going to be in their applications before they are released. I think this is just wishful thinking.

    1. Re:I doubt it by umedia · · Score: 2, Funny
      "Besides, Microsoft's marketing technique seems to be based on people knowing what are going to be in their applications before they are released. I think this is just wishful thinking."

      Almost two years know and I'm still waiting for application and driver support for XP 64-bit.

      The only storm ahead is the one in which fisherman Gates is played by Clooney... of course Gates ends up on an island of billions of dollars as the business world mops up the mess.

      --
      "Humans are considered to be primitive, the third smartest species on Earth"
    2. Re:I doubt it by baadger · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well I dual boot with 64bit Gentoo Linux and having native 64 bit compiled applications does bring a certain amountof geeky satisfaction. On the other hand it brings annoyances when packages are unstable or unuseable on AMD64.

      It's upto application developers to release 64 bit builds, but for most apps it just isnt necessary or bring any performance benefits. That said, off the top of my head there are 64 bit builds of 7zip and SmartFTP.

  3. maybe stormy silence before a Death? by yagu · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Key moment in the slashdot article:

    Despite all the rumors about Google and how it will topple Microsoft, I don't see that happening in the near future ... people (and I don't mean technology enthusiasts) will continue to purchase Microsoft products simply because of the sheer familiarity and comfort levels (BSoD et al) that they have with Microsoft software.

    I think the user community along with the technical community approaches the tipping point with Microsoft, especially with more and more alternatives like web based applications. Microsoft may join that fray, but they've sandbagged themselves, and they may not recover so nimbly this time (though I'll never count Microsoft out).

    Microsoft has spent so much ill-will capital, the collective technology users' almost (almost) want Microsoft to go away. Microsoft is still powerful, but a lot of that power today is inertia as Microsoft tries to think of ways to re-invent itself yet again in time to maintain its control. I hope it doesn't.

    Meanwhile, users (though they don't quite yet know it) are offered virtually every function as a web application, at least for ninety percent, and in many ways the new applications surpass the old resident application paradigm for convenience, service, and ease of use and maintenance.

    1. Re:maybe stormy silence before a Death? by caffeinemessiah · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Microsoft has spent so much ill-will capital, the collective technology users' almost (almost) want Microsoft to go away.

      I wouldn't agree. The collective users minus the knowledgeable community are just happy that the "media center edition windows" that came equipped with their dell lets them do all this "new" cool stuff. don't count out a dazzling UI, fancy-sounding jargon or some other gimmick to win back the ignorant hordes, because I really doubt that true innovation will come by and kill or beat some of the great products already out there.

      Either that, or look out for a deadly string of buyouts. Honestly, I love using Visio because it feels so different from the rest of the Office suite. Things just work sometimes -- made me finally give up xfig. If I'm not mistaken Visio was a company that made ...Visio...and then got bought out by MS.

      --
      An old-timer with old-timey ideas.
  4. That is exactly how I work by Mr.Dippy · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sometimes when I eat a lot of burritos and drink a lot of beer I won't say anything for like 20 minutes and then I unleash my deadly storm! So if you see me silent in a taco bell then run!

    --


    -Dipster
  5. Where's the picket sign? DOOM by AviLazar · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Come on, MS doomed? Is the other side of the picket sign "End of the world"? MS is huge, they have a HUGE customer base. They are not going out of business anytime soon. They have TONS and TONS of highly qualified techies who are working to make new products that MANY people will buy.

    --

    I mod down so you can mod up. Your welcome.
    1. Re:Where's the picket sign? DOOM by Itninja · · Score: 3, Funny
      They have TONS and TONS of highly qualified techies

      So with the 'obese American' factor figured in, that amounts to about, what, 20 guys?
      --
      I judt got a nre Kinesis keybiartf so please excusr ant egregiou typos.
    2. Re:Where's the picket sign? DOOM by ebyrob · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Microsoft has two economically successful products. Windows and Office. As long as at least one of those continues to sell the way it has been, they'll remain in business. Of course, assuming that's a foregone conclusion is just silly.

    3. Re:Where's the picket sign? DOOM by ergo98 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Another irrelevant case. You're comparing apples to oranges.

      No kidding I'm comparing apples to oranges, which would be the case for any comparison of this sort. The pertinent point is that they were large, money rich companies that seemed to be in the seat of power, and now they're either gone, or severely crippled. Pointing out that Microsoft makes lots of profit today doesn't prove much -- they have lots of revenue, but they have enormous expenses as well, not to mention that they're seeing increasing pressure on the revenue side.

      It's biggest competitor is Apple.

      It's irrelevant who the biggest competitor is. Microsoft has a million little competitors all taking a bite out of it, and it's at the most tenuous position that they've been in for decades. Not to mention that Microsoft's real biggest competitor is itself, with many users (and corporations) feeling absolutely no pressing need to give more money to Microsoft. Microsoft has had to fall to withdrawing support to force upgrades, which leads to resentment and the opening of opportunities for competitors.

    4. Re:Where's the picket sign? DOOM by ergo98 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Just because you (and others) may not like MS does not mean they dont have tons of ingenious/creative people working for them.

      You do realize, don't you, that it's possible for someone to like Microsoft, or to be neutral about them, and still to predict that they have tough times ahead? Building a caricature of everyone disagreeing being a pro-Linux anti-MS nut is both incorrect and offensive. I'm a Microsoft Empower member, my business does consulting largely for Microsoft SQL Server, and I continue to pursue Microsoft certifications, yet there isn't a chance in hell that I'd hold Microsoft stock right now, nor would I recommend that someone accept an employment agreement that relies upon options as the primary draw. Demand cold hard cash or look for work with a competitor.

    5. Re:Where's the picket sign? DOOM by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Woah there, cowboy,

      You got it right. While most people at this site are Linux fanboy's and despise anything and everything that Microsoft ever does, they continually miss the point:
      Lots of Linux fanbois. And yes, predicting the end of Microsoft is retarded.
      Microsoft is the biggest and most successful software production house in the history of the world.
      Depends on how you define biggest and most successful. Biggest, in terms of market cap? Most successful, in terms of profit? Then yes, Microsoft sometimes holds this honor (and sometimes IBM holds it).

      Biggest, in terms of large base of code? Successful, in terms of lines of code to bug ratio? Or even Biggest, in terms of level of investment?

      Than no, NASA is way ahead. Especially in the errors to lines of code written ratio.

      Microsoft is a huge company. Microsoft has been tremendously successful at selling their products. Microsoft is in no danger of extinction. But that does not automatically qualify them as the "bestest" software house.
      The open source community projects envy through hate.
      Maybe. I've seen a lot of open source projects which are NOT fueled through hate. Determining motivation, however, is left as an exercise to the reader.
      The brightest minds in the world work for Microsoft.
      Bullshit. Microsoft software works for a lot of people. Generally, however, there is nothing terribly innovative coming from MSFT. Even the much vaunted MS research labs have NOTHING on IBM's labs, or SUN, or Intel. MSFT's science is nothing special; you want to find smart people? Go to NASA, or IBM's 60 year research institutions. MSFT's developments pale in comparison.

      Not to mention that the MSFT pay scale is not terribly impressive anymore. Bright minds are generally attracted to big pay checks, and MSFT's minimal raise+overvalued stock option compensation scheme hasn't worked well for years (flat stock price).

      Microsoft produces a lot of software. Very little of it blows away the competition on a technical level.

      They produce software 24 hours a day, everyday, of every year. I don't understand why people don't get it. Microsoft's software runs the world because they are the best at what they do.
      Microsoft's development practices have been disasterous lately. Poor security, total inability to keep to deadlines, yearly development reorganizations. Mini-msft isn't the only MSFT employee out there disappointed with whats going on in the company. Change is needed, and not yet-another-project-restructuring where the top managers move from project to project.

      Or did you think they planned the last minute rewrite of significant portions of Vista?
      I mean this "best" in every sense of the word, from technical innovation to business partnerships. If you're too blind to see it, you're in denial.

      I vehementally disagree with your opinion that MSFT is the "best" in terms of business partnerships. I can't think of any company off the top of my head that enjoyed working with MSFT, but I can think of several "partners" that MSFT hurt, badly, including IBM, Novell, Stacker, Caldera, and Adobe. I'm sure there are many, many more.

      Dealing with MSFT is like dealing with Walmart. You have the opportunity to make a lot of money, but you have to remain ready for a knife in the back.

      I suggest looking up the term, "Embrace and Extend". I also humbly suggest that MSFT join the ECMA standards body currently evaluating OpenDocument for the sole purpose of derailing its approval.

      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
    6. Re:Where's the picket sign? DOOM by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The thing is that they are going to start to go downhill if they don't really start shifting their butt soon.

      Just because they are huge now, where are they going to be in 5 years? Where's the innovation in Office that's going to keep it from getting its marketshare chipped away by OpenOffice.org? Where's the innovation in Windows that's going to stop Linux or Mac doing likewise? What are Microsoft doing to address the fact that the browser is becoming the new API, not Windows. Or that IE7 still isn't as good as Firefox.

      Their demise isn't going to happen overnight, but if they don't embrace where the future money is (web apps), they are going to lose everything.

  6. Re:I trust Microsoft completely..... by Necoras · · Score: 5, Funny

    Microsoft is a lot like McDonalds... Both are global forces and probably aren't going anywhere soon. But you feel kinda guilty after buying anything from either of them, and you usually have a bad taste in your mouth for days...

  7. Windows Vista = "Meh" by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Besides Interface and Technical Stuff I really don't see the advantage of Windows Vista. Unlike the move from windows 3.1 to 95 when there was the issue of better Internet Connectivity, which everyone wanted, and "Real" Multitasking. The move from 95,98,Me,2000,XP to Vista will not have much of a difference. Sure in the long run they will be better off because of security patches and supported software for the newer version. But if they are happy with what they have now there isn't anything I can see that they really want or need in Longhorn that they don't have now. There is no big push to technologies like the Internet. It is just an improved same old same old. The reason for the Huge Migration from 3.1 to 95 was the promise of better Networking support making it easier to connect to ISP (For anyone who used winsock would realize), and "real" multitasking which allowed people to run long tasks in the background while doing something else.
    But what is in Vista, Better Graphics, Some slight speed improvement on already fast computers, some things a little easier to use, better security for a little while. I rate all of them with a big "Meh" in my book and it will make it hard to convince people they they need to upgrade soon.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    1. Re:Windows Vista = "Meh" by TechGooRu · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Another one missing the point. While other companies are focusing and refocusing their efforts on eye candy and "sleeker" interfaces, Microsoft continually hits balls out of the park in the enterprise. Windows Vista is about security enhancements and enterprise management. Any techie worth a damn on the microsoft side of things knows that. Anyone on the outside, including Linux fanboys like yourself completely miss the point. Active Directory, Group Policy, and Systems Management Server are what drive Microsoft sales. Enterprise management is what drives sales and generates HUGE revenue streams. They figured this out 6 years ago after NT 4 was a bust. Now they have a 5 year head start on YOU. Good luck catching them.

      Get it strait: The new interface is nothing more than a bonus, and a much needed upgrade of a bonus at that. Look under the hood, and you'll be surprised. Now, stop regurgitating the same old BS we've been hearing for years, and tell us something that's of value.

    2. Re:Windows Vista = "Meh" by einhverfr · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Anyone on the outside, including Linux fanboys like yourself completely miss the point. Active Directory, Group Policy, and Systems Management Server are what drive Microsoft sales.

      Is it just me or is Microsoft actually catching up to where *nix has been for twenty years with Project Athena from MIT.....

      Directory services, Kerberos, automated maintenance pushed out to workstations (via GPO's in Windows).... Now if we could only deal with insane file locking strategies that WIndows uses, add symlinks, etc. we would have a real OS. Alternatively, if they could add the really cool clustering capabilities VMS had, that would be cool too.

      Right now, Windows is sort of a VMS-lite with a nicer GUI but lacking all the enterprise management features that have existed in the enterprise OS world for twenty years.

      The *Only* reason what Microsoft is making inroads here is because UNIX/Linux geeks don't really know what their OS is capable of.

      --

      LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
  8. What's really being said by dkleinsc · · Score: 4, Insightful

    From what it sounds like, here's what this article is really saying: Please please please please keep the MSFT stock up so I can sell it for a profit!

    --
    I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  9. Beware Office 2007, it is that good. by LibertineR · · Score: 4, Funny

    Office 2007 is absolultely killer software. It is really the first time since Office 95, where it is a must-upgrade. Betas are pretty stable, the new interfaces are well thought-out, its good stuff.

    1. Re:Beware Office 2007, it is that good. by Ryan+Amos · · Score: 2

      What does it give me that Office 2003 doesn't? What is the ROI on it? These are the kind of questions that will slow Office 2007 adoption.

    2. Re:Beware Office 2007, it is that good. by 1u3hr · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Office 2007 is absolultely killer software. It is really the first time since Office 95, where it is a must-upgrade.

      Must-upgrade the computer, RAM, monitor, video card.

      I really would like to know what are the killer features that are so irresistible to you and the article writer. There really isn't much you can't do, in terms of least effort to get words on paper and make it look presentable, that you you couldn't do with Winword 2, or WordPerfect 6, 10 or so years ago. If a feature is important, you learn where it is and/or create a shortcut for it. (I was doing that in WordStar almost 20 years ago.) I know one answer will be "collaborative tools". I've yet to meet anyone who uses these in real life. It requires a unifirm level of competence in a whole group, and you just don't get that. Usually it will be the boss who just sends back files via fax with remarks scribbled on them. But most users are still pushing out one or two page memos, same as their great-grandparents did on Underwood typewriters over a century ago.

    3. Re:Beware Office 2007, it is that good. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Office 2007 is absolultely killer software.

      and let me guess, you're posting using its spell checker!
    4. Re:Beware Office 2007, it is that good. by lucabrasi999 · · Score: 4, Funny
      What does it give me that Office 2003 doesn't?

      Well, according to the FAQ's that Microsoft provides on Office 2007:

      What's new in the 2007 Microsoft Office system?

      The 2007 release presents newly designed menus and toolbars as well as new features that businesses and individual computer users can use to complete tasks more quickly and easily.

      What's new in Office Word 2007?
      Office Word 2007 includes new tools that help you create more professional-looking documents in less time, build documents more easily from frequently used content, and produce professional-looking letters, proposals, datasheets, and other documents fast. Quick formatting capabilities help you rapidly apply a new look and feel to your documents, and the new Live Preview capabilities give you a quick look at any changes you make.

      Obviously, it's time to pull out the check book and send more of your money to Redmond.

    5. Re:Beware Office 2007, it is that good. by Haeleth · · Score: 3, Interesting

      What does it give me that Office 2003 doesn't?

      An interface that doesn't suck so badly? Seriously, is there anyone who doesn't look at the menus in Office 2003 and despair? I can't imagine how the average computer user copes; presumably they learn, very laboriously, where in the maze of submenus and dialogs they can find the five features they need most often, and then pray they'll never need to do anything different in future.

      I've watched intelligent, computer-literate people struggle with Word 2003, and it's not pretty. Even basic actions like getting the spellchecker to use the right language cause massive headaches for people who haven't sat down and literally memorised the menu system. (Sure, it's obvious once you know where to look, but it's nothing like intuitive.)

      By all accounts, the new interface will mean things end up in much more logical places, and can be found with far fewer clicks. If it lives up to the hype, it will actually make Word (and all the other word processors, once they clone the new interface) a much pleasanter tool to use.

    6. Re:Beware Office 2007, it is that good. by CrayDrygu · · Score: 4, Informative

      The killer feature is this: the first major UI overhaul in Office since...well, ever.

      How much of an improvement is it? Testers are discovering "brand new features" that have been there since Office 95, because they can finally _find_ the settings. No more traversing confusing menus and dialogs to change formatting options. Everything's grouped intelligently, instead of doing things like dumping anything from spell check to collaboration to mail merge into a "Tools" menu. Style-based formatting has been made easier. And best of all, no more toolbars that appear and disappear, and no more task pane.

      If you want the details, read the "Why the UI" series in Jensen Harris's blog (he's the program manager for the Office "user experience" team) -- http://blogs.msdn.com/jensenh/archive/category/117 20.aspx

      --

      --
      "I personal[ly] think Unix is "superior" because on LSD it tastes like Blue." -- jbarnett

    7. Re:Beware Office 2007, it is that good. by AVryhof · · Score: 2

      Yes...it is... run or it will Kill You! (or your computer) I still use Office 97 because... While Office 2003 chugs along pretty slowly on my machine at work (WinXP, P4 3.0GHz, 512Mb/RAM)... Office 97 runs like lightning on the aging computers (P233MMX, 32Mb/Ram, Win2000) at the Non-Profit I volunteer for... and to be honest, for typing letters and memos (what word processors are most used for) Word 97 is quite decent. Excel 97 can keep a general Journal, and a number of other accounting worksheets in order like a pro, and Powerpoint can do quite well at presentations. As for Access... Why? It's like the middle kid between Excel and an Sql Server. Outlook *might* be killer in some places, but it's no where near as convenient as the bigh Marker board calendar and corkboard on the wall...and guess what, our office's shared calendar cost $15! So, what is the compeling reason to switch to Office 2007?

  10. No, that's not it by Ryan+Amos · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Microsoft's big market is the corporate desktop market. Corporate users don't like surprises. They like it when you announce software a year in advance and give them specs well ahead of time.

    MS also knows that most of their big corporate users probably won't be migrating to Vista for at least 2 years. It's expensive and it takes years to get a budget like that pushed through the beancounters of a big company.

    This is a good opportunity for Apple to gain some marketshare on the home user side of things. Most of us shrug off Boot Camp as "Yeah, dual boot, I was doing that with LiLo in 1995" but for the non-techie users, Boot Camp is *HUGE*.

    It means they are no longer tethered to Windows. They will buy a Mac expecting to use Windows 90% of the time, but they will start using Mac OS more and more and come to like it. Once Apple introduces in-house virtualization, they will realize they really don't need to boot to Windows at all.

    Once this starts to happen, the big achilles heel for Apple (which is largely a myth anyway) -- software support -- starts to go away. No, Apple's not going to have 95% market share overnight (the corporate side is a lot slower to move and there really is no replacement for the Outlook/Exchange combo on the mac side yet,) but I don't see 25-30% as an unreasonable number. People are *looking* for an alternative to Windows, and Apple is in the right place at the right time.

    1. Re:No, that's not it by Ryan+Amos · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, your argument parser needs some work :)

      The argument is that people are fed up with Windows and the market is ripe for something that will replace it. Boot Camp makes the transition much easier on people because they don't have to quit Windows cold turkey.

      People no longer trust Microsoft as they did in the past (right or wrong, most users blame Microsoft for viruses and spyware.) While Macs are not immune to them, the default security policies on OS X (have to enter a password to install anything) make it a lot harder to fool users into running attachments which install anything to their machine.

  11. Re:I trust Microsoft completely..... by cerberusss · · Score: 3, Funny

    Strange. When reading your post, I mentally replaced Microsoft with the word "women". And it still made sense.

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    8 of 13 people found this answer helpful. Did you?
  12. This whole thread by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    should be modded as "redundant". Nothing new here from the last anti-Microsoft thread. No one has any new arguments, no one even has any new digs at MS. It's all rehashed /. rhetoric.

  13. SBD by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 3, Funny

    Silent? Deadly? I don't know, but they sure stink.

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  14. Re:Doomed!? by Leon_Trotsky · · Score: 2, Informative

    True, but don't they only have 2 profitable divisions (windows and office)?

    --
    Ohhh! Pay Dirt! A pair of half-eaten choco-pants!
  15. Polishing Apples by djdavetrouble · · Score: 5, Funny

    well, this is sooo true.....why a mp3 player is nothing more than a really small player piano....
    with a battery instead of a foot pedal. and a digital file instead of a roll of paper with holes punched
    into it. and instead of vibrating strings, there are little cones that vibrate directly next to your ear.
    But a player piano never looked so shiny and cute and a player piano never played "Fuck the Police" or "Too Drunk to Fuck" ( I don't think ).
    This is the genius of apple !
    so, where is my book deal.

    --
    music lover since 1969
  16. Nothing to see here... by Morpeth · · Score: 4, Insightful
    ...move along. Seriously, why even bother posting such an article? It's just going to be typical /. slamfest, like every other one that crops up the minute MS is mentioned.

    Which means, all the MS haters/flamers posts will get modded up as insightful or interesting (and will by in large be neither), anyone saying anything contrary will be left untouched or modded down. Nothing new or valuable will be said, all the same flames will be rehashed yet again.

    And I'm sorry, love them or hate them, but to say MS is doomed and going to fold is beyond stupid, with no basis in reality. If you have any sense of the scope of their software suites and the size of their user base, no one in their right mind would say that. You might WANT it to happen, but hope and reality are not the same thing

    --

    'The unexamined life is not worth living' - Socrates
  17. You forgot the most important similarity by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... the day you buy from either of them you get an awful infection.

  18. Tamagochi addon by Petersson · · Score: 4, Funny
    Maybe Microsoft is reviving Tamagotchi technology http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tamagotchi and is incorporating it into Vista. In other words, if user will not take care of the system (defragment disk, remove viruses, worms and spyware, apply patches) the system will die.

    No, wait, this is the way Windows already works..

    --
    I'm not insane. My mother had me tested.
  19. Microsoft by default by saddino · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Despite all the rumors about Google and how it will topple Microsoft, I don't see that happening in the near future ... people (and I don't mean technology enthusiasts) will continue to purchase Microsoft products simply because of the sheer familiarity and comfort levels (BSoD et al) that they have with Microsoft software.'

    No, people (and I don't mean technology enthusiasts) will continue to purchase Microsoft products simply because it's Microsoft products that come in the bundle that's included with their PC. Doesn't matter whether it's an in-store purchase, or a checkbox they clicked on the web, 99% of the time, the decision is: do I order a PC with Windows and Office, or just Windows?

  20. I get them fairly regularly in XP still but ... by TheAxeMaster · · Score: 2, Informative

    But that's because of crap hardware drivers (Cheap ass VIA chipset), it has nothing to do with the OS. As is probably 90-95% of the BSoD in windows these days, some obscure or shitty piece of hardware that someone bought just because it was cheap.

  21. How do you tell? by Godai · · Score: 3, Insightful
    My only question -- after reading the article -- is how one would tell the difference between a Microsoft that is quietly amassing a host of breakthrough technologies and a Microsoft that is quietly (and desperately) wracking its collective head about what to do about its competitor?


    More to the point, how often has Microsoft really come out with something innovative that took the world by storm? It's released rehashes of products it bought from other people, but I can't think of many cutting edge, out-of-nowhere advancements that have come from them. It's not really their core competancy is it? Which isn't to say they can't produce some slick stuff when they want to, but rather they're more often riding the coat tails of smaller trailblazers (who they either crush or swallow in the following years).

    --
    Wood Shavings!
    - Godai
  22. Microsoft.. sooner rather than later? WTF? by Criterion · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "While we love to hate the Redmond giant, there is no denying that wherever there is money, whatever is the next big thing; Microsoft invariably ends up being there sooner rather than later."

    I read the whole article, but knew as soon as I read this sentance that I didn't really need to. When has MS *ever* been "sooner rather than later" to the next big thing? Historicaly they have been the ones slow to the punch. One rather outstanding example... the internet.

    --
    We have enough youth, how about a fountain of SMART?
  23. Nothing Indeed. by twitter · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Seriously, why even bother posting such an article?

    I'd like to ignore such crap myself, but I know I'll be hearing it over and over again. The upgrade train is building up steam again. Because so many people have been burnt before, M$ is having to crank up the volume more than usual. The article is a sorry apology for M$'s glacial six year OS pace and inability to do anything innovative. Just the same, we are going to hear more of the same. M$ might be deadly, but they are never silent because hype and anti-competitive tactics are all they have. People speculate they are dead because that's how you describe a listless company with mediocre product in a competitive market.

    It's nice to see the typical, loud M$ build up to their next release. I can remember the idiots who bought and echoed all the XP hype without ever having run it. "It's based on NT Technology so it's like solid," I overheard some marketdroid in a supermarket. That's the level of penetration M$ achieves with billions of dollars worth of advert budget. Similar stupid things could be heard a year before the release 2000, 98, "the end of DOS, USB support", 95, "the 32 bit computing and the end of DOS, a real multitasking GUI.." Some people still believe these things.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  24. Oh yeah, like Origami... by seven+of+five · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If Origami is any indication, MS is fscked.

    At a recent Korean demonstration showing off Origami hardware, the software hung and choked many times.

    or... how 'bout the TABLET PC??