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HD-DVD vs. Blu-Ray - Is It All in the Name?

Z asks: "As most of you are aware, the dawn of the nex-gen format wars is fully upon us. We have all talked about it until we are Blu in the face, but there is one simple, yet important topic I have yet to see discussed. What is in a name? Now, bear with me for a second here while I explain. As much as we geeks would like to believe it, we are not going to be the ones who decide which format wins out in the end; consumers are. Now, we all know people hate change. Users already know what DVD is, and most would like to think they understand HD. But Blu-Ray? Your average Joe only wants one thing when it comes to new technology, a feeling of comfort and understanding; something I think Blu-Ray is going to have a hard time giving them. I can't help but wonder, is HD-DVD going to win out simply because people are going to be more familiar with the name? "

208 comments

  1. I really doubt it. by mattkinabrewmindspri · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Look at how quickly people embraced DVD, or how quickly people started using the MP3 format.

    1. Re:I really doubt it. by Lisandro · · Score: 2, Interesting

      MP3 (as an audio format) took off very fast in the computer world - at that time, there was simply nothing else comparable. Once consumer electronics started supporting the format, it was only a matter of time until prices dropped and MP3 earned the adoption it has today.

    2. Re:I really doubt it. by Pantero+Blanco · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's one major difference between this and the two situations you cite.

      The format that DVD replaced was ancient. The gap between VHS and DVD was huge, and DVD offered many features that VHS did not. And I'm not sure MP3 replaced an old technology so much as it filled a void.

      There's not that much of a gap between DVD and Blu-ray/HD-DVD.

    3. Re:I really doubt it. by Flimzy · · Score: 2, Interesting
      How quickly people started using the MP3 format? MP3 was invented in 1991. It wasn't "widely used" (depending on your definition of wide usage) until after the release of Napster in 1999.

      I'd say MP3 took a long time to catch on.

      Not that I'm blaming that lag on it's name... I'd say the format had to wait for commodoty computer hardware, and consumer knowledge to catch up with it. But still, this doesn't apply to the point you're trying to make.

    4. Re:I really doubt it. by billcopc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      MP3 took forever to become a consumer reality. I started encoding and playing MP3 on my computer in late 1995. I first got my hands on the crappy, crappy MPTrip discman in 2000. It took another 3 years before a half-decent MP3 deck was sold for car audio. And no, the insanely expensive EMPEG did not pass as half-decent to me, poor poor sound quality. I had designed a better player myself, using a cheap PC and a luxury sound card. It took a really long time for the masses to clue in to MP3.

      VHS vs DVD was different, because it took the entertainment industry ages to put out DVDs. For the most part, new releases had simultaneous VHS and DVD available, but all the classics, the movies we really wanted, took years before being released. The price was also not quite right, since the same movie in VHS was usually a good $5 to $8 cheaper than the DVD. Consumers might not know the intricate technical details, but they certainly aren't stupid. A movie is a movie is a movie, doesn't matter if it's VHS, DVD or High-Def, you're not getting "more". Nor does it have a significant cost difference to the producer, they're all cut from the same masters, and up until a couple years ago, most people's TV sets could hardly show a difference between good VHS and DVD.

      --
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    5. Re:I really doubt it. by MBCook · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I remember the pre-MP3 world. No one used sound on computers like they do now. There were little sound clips and such, but they were low quality.

      MP3s at 128 kpbs are a meg a minute. CD quality WAV files are 10 megs a minute. Considering how fast your hard drive would get full, people didn't rip their music. Even if you cut the quality to 22 Khz instead of 44 Khz, your file is still 5x larger than an MP3 and wouldn't sound as well. Cut it in half again (8-bit instead of 16-bit) and you're down to 2.5 megs a minute. Cut it down AGAIN (11 Khz) and you're at 1.25 megs a minute.

      25% larger files for clearly inferior sound quality. It wasn't worth it.

      Yes, you could compress things, but the compression wasn't nearly as good. 2-3x maybe.

      It was the vastly superior file size of MP3 that helped made it famous and ubiquitous. Like DVD, there was a very clear difference between the old and new format at the time.

      --
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    6. Re:I really doubt it. by mattkinabrewmindspri · · Score: 1

      Sure, the format existed more than a decade ago, but most people didn't even know about it until Napster. It wasn't really "on the market" until mp3 players came out, which was in the very late 1990s.

      Here we are just a few years later, and how many people have stopped buying CD music in favor of mp3/aac/wma/something incompatible with their old CD players?

    7. Re:I really doubt it. by dknj · · Score: 1

      someone wasn't clued in about PR Audio on AOL during the early 90s...

      but yes, the clueless masses did not know about mp3s until circa 97 and wasn't common until 99-2000. however, saying it wasn't widely used is a bit of an understatement. it served its napster-like purposes very well, computers just weren't at the point where apps (read: games) could take much advantage of it. every try playing an mp3 on a 486 or low end pentium? 30-40% of your cpu time was spent decoding

    8. Re:I really doubt it. by Flimzy · · Score: 1

      For a 128kbps MP3, my Pentium 75, or am486-133 were at 80-90% CPU. Most 486's (and at-the-time-current MP3 software/OSes) couldn't play a 128kbps MP3 at full quality without jittering.

    9. Re:I really doubt it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, come on, my P133 could play mp3s just fine, even while running a browser, email client, back in what 95? 96?.

    10. Re:I really doubt it. by QuantumRiff · · Score: 1

      Hell, I bought a DVD player almost solely for the fact that I didn't have to rewind!

      --

      What are we going to do tonight Brain?
    11. Re:I really doubt it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not much of a gap??? I'm seeing prices that are almost DOUBLE their "plain" DVD counterparts.

      It amazed me that the studios got away with charging MORE for DVDs than for VHS tapes in the first place... But then, the buying public didn't know how much less expensive DVDs are to produce than VHS, and the quality was increased, so perhaps that's why that value proposition worked.

      It seems to me that HD-DVDs are priced for videophiles right now and no one else. I can't see any of my neighbors replacing their (relatively new) DVD collections at twice the price, no matter what the increment of quality gain that may accompany the new discs.

    12. Re:I really doubt it. by drachenstern · · Score: 1

      You would honestly accuse /.rs of not being on AOL during the 90's? Would you also think that it would be possible that we would not be on AOL ever? I mean, really, you must be new here...

      --
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    13. Re:I really doubt it. by Daniel+Wood · · Score: 1

      I had a 486 DX2 66 that played 128kbit MP3s fine, as long as you set the sound output to 8bit and did NOTHING else.

    14. Re:I really doubt it. by DeafByBeheading · · Score: 1
      ...and up until a couple years ago, most people's TV sets could hardly show a difference between good VHS and DVD.

      Not to mention that DVDs are a lot easier to mangle. About a 1/4 of the more popular DVDs I rent are scratched so badly that they skip scenes. A lot of it probably has to do with my cheap, ancient player, but I bet a lot of early-generation players were like this and more people faced these issues...
      --
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    15. Re:I really doubt it. by dohzer · · Score: 1

      But look how slow they are to move away from MP3 now that new formats like Ogg are out.

    16. Re:I really doubt it. by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      The "gap" is pretty much the same from DVD->Blu-ray (5->25) as CD->DVD (0.8->5), and HD-DVD/Blu-ray enables a vastly improved video format (seeing is believing here) compared to DVD. Maybe not as improved, but there's still plenty of purchase incentive for many interested in audio/video.

      If following your theory, the question one then need to ask is: does a bit smaller gap imply that consumers have a harder time understanding a new technology? What about 3G compared to WAP? Both let you browse the internet, the latter with mediocre video/image quality.

      --
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    17. Re:I really doubt it. by mattkinabrewmindspri · · Score: 1

      Slow? That move just isn't happening. There are few devices on the market which support ogg, and no noticeable advantage for the consumer to use ogg when compared to mp3.

    18. Re:I really doubt it. by robosmurf · · Score: 1

      DVDs didn't replace CDs. DVDs replaced VHS. That was a huge jump in both image quality and features.

      HD-DVD or Blu-Ray is nowhere near as large a jump over DVD.

      OK, 1080i (or p) images are much higher resolution than SD, but few people have TVs that can really take advantage of that, and 720p is not much of a step up from SD (particularly when compared to PAL).

      The features that the new disc formats offer are almost identical to DVD.

      I suspect the new formats will struggle in a similar way the way SACD and DVD-Audio have failed to replace CD. They just are not enough of an upgrade to make it worth the cost of changing format.

    19. Re:I really doubt it. by LordVader717 · · Score: 1

      MP3's are a good example of how dependant a format can be on it's name. Granted, alot of people just say "ipod" when they talk about them, because it is so widespread, but have you ever heard anyone saying "I got myself a new WMA-Player".

      Or when AAC takes over on non-ipod hardware, I can't imagine people will start calling them AAC-Players (I've heard people call them mp4s because of their container format)

      Have you ever seen any "personal digital music player" other than the ipod without "MP3-Player" printed all over the box?

    20. Re:I really doubt it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Huh? You don't have to rewind a DVD? Then what have I been paying these guys for???

    21. Re:I really doubt it. by illspirit · · Score: 1

      A movie is a movie is a movie, doesn't matter if it's VHS, DVD or High-Def, you're not getting "more". Nor does it have a significant cost difference to the producer, they're all cut from the same masters, and up until a couple years ago, most people's TV sets could hardly show a difference between good VHS and DVD.

      But, erm, typically, the master copy of a movie is a 35mm print. And last I checked, ye olde analog prints still have a higher resolution than HD. So, if the master is in good condition and it's transferred properly, then, yes, one can get more of the source onto HD than NTSC/PAL.

      To see the difference, just goto one of those cinemas with the looping, digital ads before the feature, and compare the jaggies. We have a digi projector at the cinema I work for which throws 1024x768, and the pixels are rather large. 'Tis not quite 1080p, but it's a bit more than 720p. Just have a looksee at the closeup picture of Notepad on the screen here.

    22. Re:I really doubt it. by kalidasa · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I wouldn't describe VHS as "ancient." VHS was introduced in 1976 (and Beta in 1975). DVD was released in 1996/1997. Twenty years later. Blu-Ray will be introduced in 2006/2007 - ten years after DVD, and thirty after VHS. I don't think that "twice as long before" is quite the same as "ancient". However, in my experience, the VHS adoption rate was *much* slower than DVD adoption rate, especially for commercial movies: VHS really didn't become that popular until the mid-80s, and a lot of people didn't get VCRs until the 90s; but DVD only took about 4 or five years to substantially replace DVD (they stopped selling VHS movies in most places, except for kid's programming and online vendors, about 3 or 4 years ago, though of course they are still used as time-shifting devices and for old video tapes).

      I think the important difference is that VHS created the market for owning movies (I remember a discussion as late as 1991 or so with a fellow who couldn't understand why someone would want to own a copy of a movie, since "you only watch them once" - even then, many people thought of VCRs primarily as time-shifting devices). DVD was moving into a market that already existed, and so consumers were ready to "upgrade" to a better format. LD didn't do as well because it wasn't perceived as an upgrade - true, the picture quality was better, but the disks were more expensive, too big, and you had to flip them over halfway through the movie.

      So the rest of your argument (the feature difference between DVD and VHS) is very sound: in the end, I think it was the smaller size of the DVD, the fact that you didn't have to rewind DVDs, and the relative resilience of the format that killed VHS, even though DVD was not recordable before VHS started to drop off.

      The question is whether the video quality of the formats is high enough to convince people to upgrade. The smart thing would have been to combine the formats (as was done with CDs) and to make sure that new players were released at about the same price point as high-quality DVD players, with DVD and CD built-in. HD-DVD and Blu-Ray don't have that big a window: they need to make a lot of money before increases in bandwidth make physical media delivery of video content obsolete - once it's as easy to download a full-quality 1080p video from an online store as it is to download an album from iTunes today, Blu-Ray and HD-DVD will be reduced to the status of the floppy disk.

    23. Re:I really doubt it. by Carbonite · · Score: 1

      ...720p is not much of a step up from SD (particularly when compared to PAL).

      I have a DLP HDTV (native resolution of 720p). The picture quality is a huge step up from SD. Perhaps not as huge asthe jump from VHS to DVD, but still quite an difference.

      --
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    24. Re:I really doubt it. by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      It's not just the filesize that mattered. Even if MP3 files existed 10 years ago, it would still take only a few songs to fill up an entire top-of-the-line 100MB harddisk.

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    25. Re:I really doubt it. by mgblst · · Score: 1

      No, it is all based in the name. Blu-ray has a much chance as winning the format wars, as say someone called Cliff has a change of getting a girlfriend (or posting an interesting story for us to read).

      Goodbye Blu-ray, and Cliff. RIP

    26. Re:I really doubt it. by Gulthek · · Score: 1

      Without serious industry support, action, and promotion HD-DVD and Blu-ray will be to DVD as Laserdisc was to VHS. Technically superior, but too expensive and introduced to soon for most people to care.

      Remember that DVDs replaced VHS after the VHS format had been around for over twenty years. That's enough time for a new generation of movie collectors to come along.

    27. Re:I really doubt it. by dknj · · Score: 1

      if you used AOL back in the early 90s, and i'm talking 90-92, you'd know it was actually a decent place. it wasn't until ~94-95ish when AOL took a nose dive for the worst.

    28. Re:I really doubt it. by TheJediGeek · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The problem with MP3 is that most consumers still don't know what an MP3 is.
      All they know is that the iPod thingies can play lots and lots of music.
      A couple years ago I was working at Radio Shack (just as a part-time second job) and people would routinely come in for iPods. When we were out of them I'd say we have other MP3 players in stock. The response I'd always get is, "What's an MP3 player?"

      Consumers aren't really as savvy as we hope they are. DVD has been out FOREVER and there are STILL people that don't call it that. It's really more about marketing the name than what the name is. Blu-Ray could conceivably catch on simply because the name is easier to say and if Sony marketed it properly.
      But, since Sony has NEVER marketed a new technology properly, HD-DVD will probably still end up ahead.

    29. Re:I really doubt it. by Johnny+O · · Score: 1

      DVDs didn't replace CDs. DVDs replaced VHS.

      errrrrrr... VHS is still out there.... DVDs replaced LASERDISCs! Which had almost the same resolution but lacked menus and promos you couldnt skip.

    30. Re:I really doubt it. by Johnny+O · · Score: 1

      Wow... I cant believe it was forgotten so fast.

      VHS is STILL out there... DVDs replaced LASERDISCs. Which had DTS/DD sound, almost the same resolution, chapters, etc. etc. etc.

      DVDs hold more and are more convenient. I cant buy LD anymore. I can sill pick up a VHS movie of the latest title.

    31. Re:I really doubt it. by jZnat · · Score: 1

      The beauty of "analogue" film (which will always be favoured by hardcore photographers and filmers(?)) is that the resolution is as accurate as the individual particles of the emulsion used during exposure. Anyone with some basic knowledge of particle physics or quantum gravity would know that the resolution isn't infinitesimally precise, but with the relative size of the emulsion's particles and the picture itself, one could say that it's "close enough to infinitesimally precise".

      --
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    32. Re:I really doubt it. by smithmc · · Score: 1

        There's not that much of a gap between DVD and Blu-ray/HD-DVD.

      Are you kidding? Ever see a movie in HD vs. the same movie in SD (on a TV that can show the difference)? To me it's almost as significant as the difference between (non-HD) DVD and VHS.

      --
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    33. Re:I really doubt it. by Flimzy · · Score: 1

      Exactly. A P133 didn't exist yet when MP3 was invented. It didn't exist until about 6 years later. Thus, MP3s were not quickly adopted.

    34. Re:I really doubt it. by Lobo42 · · Score: 1

      Ten years ago, 100MB was hardly top-of-the line. We had a cheapo Packard Bell ten years ago with a base 2.1 GB hard drive.

    35. Re:I really doubt it. by Lobo42 · · Score: 1

      Well, I mean there's an obvious difference, sure. But in most types of movies - comedies, romances, dramas - you're unlikely to care, even if you do notice. We can already see people's faces pretty clearly, and most people don't have an aching desire to see people's dimples and pores. HD can make a huge difference where lots of action is going on, though. (I recently was blown away seeing Spiderman 2 in HD on HBO.) But the point is...I'm not sure people will care about the image quality difference this time.

    36. Re:I really doubt it. by tnmc · · Score: 1

      You wrote: "For the most part, new releases had simultaneous VHS and DVD available, but all the classics, the movies we really wanted, took years before being released."

      And some still have yet to be released! I've been waiting for years for the Yul Brynner classic "Taras Bulba"...and MGM doesn't even _hint_ it's on the release schedule... :(

    37. Re:I really doubt it. by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1
      You're right. It's funny, my cheapo Packard Bell 166MMX from 11(?) years ago cost $2k, but that was when 166 was as fast as you could go and MMX was cutting-edge.

      That vast hd is now less than 1/2 a $.20 dvd. Probably slower too.

      --
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    38. Re:I really doubt it. by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1
      I used USENET back in the early 90s, and I remember when AOL got access to USENET.

      It wasn't pretty. By 1995 the AOLers had overrun things so completely I stopped using it regularly.

      I'll never forgive AOL for ruining something so nice. That reminds me, now that AOL removed that service I've been meaning to poke around again.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    39. Re:I really doubt it. by milkman_matt · · Score: 1

      introduced to soon for most people to care.

      I think you nailed it with that right there... A lot of people will be getting some form of HD DVD player when they buy an entire new rig, like when my parents got their 65" HD Mitsubishi, they got a nice amp that came with it, a nice dvd player (valued at something like 300 at the time?) and nice speakers, etc... but they got what the TV place gave them with it.. [not that my parents are dumb on the subject, dad's educated on the subject and replaced the pieces that were substandard] but the thing is, adoption may also be decided partially by what the salesman says goes well with the TV you just bought.. or based on the type of HD DVD that store decides to carry, if not both.

      It'd be an interesting experiment to check out a BestBuy or someplace that is selling both players and both movies right now and see what kind of sales push you get.. now that I think about it, those store salespeople have an awful lot of power when it comes to deciding the fate of the 2 competing HD DVD standards.

      I myself, and pretty much everyone I know though, are sticking with DVD... (for reasons other than financial, heh.)

    40. Re:I really doubt it. by billcopc · · Score: 1

      Okay so you're not refuting my point: it's just as "easy" to get a 1080p HD transfer than it is to get a nasty 240x486 VHS, as in you don't need to make a whole new movie. Hell, these days you could just digitize it once in 1080p for the HD crowd, software downsample to DVD rez, then analog-out to a VHS deck. The cost differences to manufacture these formats are negligible considering the volume. In fact VHS is probably more costly because of the copy time involved, while you can press a disc in just a few seconds.

      In theory, it should be legal to exchange a VHS for a DVD of the same film, or at least a DVD to an HD-DVD at minimal cost. The content is the same, just better suited to high-end playback equipment. It came from the same source, and the media conglomerates try to convince us we're merely licensing the content.. so the medium shouldn't matter any more, right ?

      --
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    41. Re:I really doubt it. by billcopc · · Score: 1

      That's why for years I made good money dubbing old VHS tapes to DVD with clever video processing. Heck if MGM were to mail me a duplication master of the title you mentioned, I'd cut up a DVD for peanuts. Anyone can do it these days.

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    42. Re:I really doubt it. by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      Yeah.. I remember back in '96 or '97 when I first found out about MP3. I was perusing IRC after a long, long break, and somebody's fserve was offering .MP3s. After getting flamed for asking what they were, I figured I'd check one out. A mere half hour later on my 56k dialup, I had a copy of WinAMP and my first MP3. Since the only thing I knew was that it was compressed audio, I was expecting something along the lines of RealAudio. The sound quality that came out of my speakers was quite simply jaw dropping. Admittedly they were crappy computer speakers, so I wired the output to my home theater instead. While artifacts were clearly audible in the 128kbps-encoded song, it was leaps and bounds better than any other audio "compression" at the time. As you mentioned, there really was no such thing as compression -- just lower sampling rates and smaller sample sizes, and the perceptible audio quality degraded in almost direct proportion. I don't think it took more than a few weeks before my enormous 2GB HD filled up. Never thought I'd use even half of that.

  2. A name is important, but... by Flimzy · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I think it will have a lot more to do with publicity than with the name itself. And the name "HD-DVD" is a good start, but it's not enough. If Blu-Ray makes a bigger splash on TV, in the newspapers, online, etc, then it could win.

    It's also possible that having a name tied into an existing standard (namely DVD in this case) could have a negative effect, especially if Blu-Ray (or its supports) spin things that way. ("Why would you want to stick with something as old as DVDs when Blu-Ray is all-new, all-improved?")

    1. Re:A name is important, but... by c_fel · · Score: 1

      And we must not forget the publicity made by people in our neighboorhood (the most important form of publicity, in fact) :
      Roger (who likes to call himself a "tech guy") : Look, friend, my brand new home theatre. It uses the new Blu-ray technology
      Friend : But what is that blu-ray ?
      Roger : It's the tiny but powerful laser that reads the disk. It's blue cause that way it's way more powerful
      Friend : ooooh, gosh it must sound good, a laser that's blue !
      Roger : You bet.

      Friend then buys his own home theater.

      --
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    2. Re:A name is important, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it will have a lot more to do with publicity than with the name itself.

      Not even that. It's licensing.

      Throw out every other factor. There is one thing and one thing alone that will matter to the average person on the street - which format the films they want to buy are in. You can name it 45u8g9t5u8 if you like - if it's what they need to fawn over film stars, they'll happily go out and spend lots of money on a 45u8g9t5u8 player.

      So really, it boils down to which format Hollywood picks. And Hollywood will pick whichever format is cheapest for them to license.

    3. Re:A name is important, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The other thing to look at is how easy it is to say the name. If it takes you 10 syllables to pronounce the name, you're less likely to talk about it, just because it'd be too much work ;)

      Blu-ray: blue ray
      HD-DVD: aich dee dee vee dee

    4. Re:A name is important, but... by gormanly · · Score: 1

      Modulo 2 factors:

      1. parts of Hollywood are owned and controlled by the corporations with stakes in these technologies
      2. Hollywood cares about adoption rates - this is why UMD movies are being taken off the shelves

      Both of these seems to swing the probability towards BluRay (the 2nd assuming the PS3 is a hit), and then there's the inertia in the studios - Sony, Fox, MGM and Disney were initially in the BluRay camp, which is a large slice of Hollywood right there...

    5. Re:A name is important, but... by Aceticon · · Score: 1

      Why would you want to stick with something as old as DVDs when Blu-Ray is all-new, all-improved?

      The all-new, all-improved line of argumentation typically only convinces one type of person to separate from their hard-earned dollars: Early adopters.

      Then again early adopters are known to buy anything as long as it's new and almost nobody else has one.

      I expect that Joe Common will need some stronger arguments that "it's new" or "it's an improvement on DVD", just look at how DVD-Audio (both "new" and "an improvement on CDs") has NOT taken off outside early adopter circles...

    6. Re:A name is important, but... by eboot · · Score: 1

      You know i've always wondered how something can be both all new and improved. An advertiser's favourite oxymoron...

      --
      Two tears in a bucket. Motherfuck it.
  3. Maybe novelty can help differentiate? by GeekGirlSarah · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I think that it's entirely possible that the name issue could actually be a significant market differentiator for the two products. The "HD-DVD" products may come off as seeming like being just a minor upgrade to the old DVD standard, whereas Blu-Ray could seem to be a much fancier, different product. Since it seems like many people are hesitant to upgrade, but not necessarily hesitant to embrace entirely new technology, I think I can see that working in Blu-Ray's favor.

    1. Re:Maybe novelty can help differentiate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (Just to argue)

      People may adopt both technologies but for different purposes simply based on the name. HD-DVD may end up piggy backing on both HDTV and DVD so people will (automatically) assume that it is the ideal format for their HDTV setup; Blu-Ray on the other hand has a much cooler name (and people may assume that it is better than DVD because it is not directly associated with it) so people may adopt it for their data-storage needs.

    2. Re:Maybe novelty can help differentiate? by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

      "I think that it's entirely possible that the name issue could actually be a significant market differentiator for the two products. The "HD-DVD" products may come off as seeming like being just a minor upgrade to the old DVD standard, whereas Blu-Ray could seem to be a much fancier, different product."

      I find that unlikely. Imagine a dude who upgraded to HD. He watches HD. He loves HD. Then he puts a standard DVD in his player and .. well. it's not HD. So what does he do? He goes to the store and browses around. Suddenly, he happens across the word HD-DVD. That's exactly what he was looking for.

      I can sort of see your point, though, but in a different context. If the dude goes to buy the player and the sales person says "Well, HD-DVD is okay, but this Blu-Ray thing is better...", then yeah, I could see the "minor upgrade" aspect of your post coming true.

      My rebuttal is focused on a small context of your post, not the big picture. In my mind, there's not enough info to say one will really outdo the other.

      --

      "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

    3. Re:Maybe novelty can help differentiate? by croddy · · Score: 1
      I find that unlikely. Imagine a dude who upgraded to HD. He watches HD. He loves HD. Then he puts a standard DVD in his player and .. well. it's not HD. So what does he do?

      Sorry. You lost me there. Am I supposed to imagine he would even notice that the DVD signal was not HD?

    4. Re:Maybe novelty can help differentiate? by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

      "Am I supposed to imagine he would even notice that the DVD signal was not HD?"

      Can you honestly tell me that somebody who's watching 1080p on his 40+" screen isn't going to notice that his DVDs are significantly softer?

      I've heard this complaint a few times. That's why HD-DVR + HBO == goodness for HD owners.

      --

      "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  4. Consider also... by Gyga · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...that the average joe hates acroynms, my friends which know nothing about this are more likely to pick blu-ray merely because it doesn't have acronyms. I think people prefer things they can say, blue-ray vs h-d-d-v-d.

    --
    I don't preview or spellcheck.
    1. Re:Consider also... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And this is why VHS won over Betamax?

    2. Re:Consider also... by dknj · · Score: 1

      pfft its going to be dvd regardless. think about it. in 10 years will your mom call you and say "this blue ray disc isn't working" or "this dvd wont play". case-and-point, it took my mom until the xbox to stop saying "nintendo games" in reference to any console video game.

    3. Re:Consider also... by Propaganda13 · · Score: 1

      Time to get rid of my MP3's, CD's, DVD's and go back to tape because tape is a word, not an acronym.

    4. Re:Consider also... by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

      " I think people prefer things they can say, blue-ray vs h-d-d-v-d."

      Maybe. But we're talking about a next-generation DVD that works with HD. HD-DVD. What Average Joe that has recently purchased an HDTV would instantly thing Blu-Ray has anything to do with his home theater?

      --

      "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

    5. Re:Consider also... by Tyger · · Score: 1

      My mom is actually pretty tech savvy, but I suspect moms that would call and make that confusion would likely call Blu-ray, HD-DVD and even DVD as just "CD".

    6. Re:Consider also... by Rocketship+Underpant · · Score: 1

      I agree with the parent. How many people called PCMCIA by its full acronym? And notice how to regular people, people ignore the acronym "VHS" in favour of "video"? Even commercials for movies say "own it on video and DVD!"

      --
      He who lights his taper at mine, receives light without darkening me.
    7. Re:Consider also... by tricorn · · Score: 1

      I think you're right that Blu-Ray has an advantage because of the name, but not because one is an acronym. It' s just easier to say. DVD isn't too bad by itself, but HD-DVD isn't nearly as pleasant sounding as Blu-Ray. When we start to have to deal with HD-DVD-RW, Blu-Ray will shorten that to BD-RW. I think all around, Blu-Ray will simply end up having a friendlier image to the consumer.

      There may also be some negative for HD-DVD because it won't be distinguished enough from DVD. People don't pay that much attention. They'll pick up a DVD, they may even buy an HD-DVD for their regular DVD player, connected to a 21" TV through coax, and decide "this doesn't even play, this new technology sucks", or they'll buy a regular DVD for their brand new $5000 HDTV, say "that doesn't look that much better, this new technology sucks". They won't distinguish HD-DVD from DVD, but they'll recognize the difference between Blu-Ray and DVD just fine.

    8. Re:Consider also... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      mp3 had no competitor with a non-acronym name before they became accepted (that was very good). Most people call CDs discs, and DVDs are called movies where I am.

  5. Panel testing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You can almost certainly bet that the companies involved have held market research panels asking people what they think of different names. So I'm not too worried.

  6. yes and no by Beuno · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't completely disagree, but I do thing "Blu-Ray" can catch on as a new "hip" and "bleeding edge" name.

    1. Re:yes and no by Duds · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Like "N-Gage"

    2. Re:yes and no by ezdude · · Score: 1

      Wasn't "Betamax" a cooler name than VHS? It didn't help there. What about "Laserdisc", and even "HipZip", cool names, but technology duds. I'm not so sure HD-DVD is a great acronym either. It may be confusing for the consumer who is just getting familiar with DVD, and hasn't even really thought too much about HDTV yet. They all sound so similar. Anyway, this war will be won or lost, and probably lost by both sides, not because of names, but poor timing and high cost.

  7. I'd argue the opposite by Gothmolly · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Joe Sixpack, you know, the guy who buys the Hemi, or puts the "Type R" sticker on his Honda Civic, will by the Blu-Ray DVD, because..well, it's "Blue". Blue is better, neater, more high tech, with less distortion, jitter, wow, and flutter. I mean, think of it, red has a long wavelength, blue shorter. So it must be higher definition.

    Seriously. This is what you'll hear from the droid at Best Buy.

    "HD-DVD" sounds old and busted, a hack to make DVD "HD".
    "Blu-Ray" is an entirely new technology, and as everyone knows, unless you have the latest trinket, you're a dinosaur, obsolete, gay, etc.

    I may sound flip, but you get the idea. People buy spin, and marketing crap. They don't buy technology, or purchase on any rational basis.

    --
    I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
    1. Re:I'd argue the opposite by Babbster · · Score: 4, Insightful

      People buy spin, and marketing crap. They don't buy technology, or purchase on any rational basis.

      Oh, most definitely. That's why I think Laserdisc made such huge waves, all but replacing VHS for precorded movies. I mean, damn, discs were high-tech and lasers have always been awesome.

      Listen, if you want to know what the general public will buy, I'll tell you: They'll buy the HD format that a) has the most movies, b) gets the best demos over the next year while they're wandering around Circuit City/Best Buy/etc., c) is supported by their friends and family (my parents, for example, would go for whatever format I recommended to them), and most importantly d) is the cheapest.

      Of course, it's all moot if combo players reach decent prices. At that point, nobody but the A/V geeks will care about the differences...

    2. Re:I'd argue the opposite by Vo0k · · Score: 1

      Don't forget e) has porn.
      That's why Betamax failed, they didn't want to open their platform for porn industry.

      --
      Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
    3. Re:I'd argue the opposite by Aceticon · · Score: 1

      I mean, think of it, red has a long wavelength, blue shorter. So it must be higher definition.

      You Joe Sixpack is a geek and/or somebody with a higher education in sciences/technology.

      In my experience many people don't know that light has a wavelength, most people don't know that the wavelength of blue is shorter than the one of red and the vast majority of people has no idea whatsovever of how the wavelength of the reading laser affects the amount of data that can be stored in CD-like media.

      Actually i suspect most people have no idea whatsoever of how information is stored in and retrieved from CDs and DVDs.

      Methinks you lack exposure to end-users ;)

    4. Re:I'd argue the opposite by swillden · · Score: 1

      That's why Betamax failed, they didn't want to open their platform for porn industry.

      Yeah, that's the reason. The fact that Betamax couldn't record a whole movie on a single tape without reducing picture quality, or record anything longer than two hours, had nothing to do with it. Neither did the much lower price of VHS equipment, thanks to JVC's decision to allow other manufacturers to compete with them. And Sony's reluctance to add new features, like remote pause and recording timers was also completely irrelevant.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    5. Re:I'd argue the opposite by mgblst · · Score: 1

      This what I love. For every story about the latest phone, you will get someone who posts "why can't I just get a phone that makes calls", despite the fact that there are a myriad of choices for such a person. And every story about DVD/HDVD/Bluray/DVD Jon someone comes up with this old line.

      I am pretty sure it is a different person each time, so I wan't to know where did you get this little tid-bit of information?? At least you aren't getting modded to 5, as has happened in the past.

      Perhaps the post comment script could be updated, to look for VHS/Beta and porn, and issue a warning to get your facts straight. (the reasons you are wrong have been answered above)

    6. Re:I'd argue the opposite by GWBasic · · Score: 1

      I think consumers will end up buying whatever the salesman puts in front of them when they buy a shiny new TV. Given that stores like Best Buy hate format wars, they'll just direct people to combo players and pretend that there's no difference. After all, that's what happened with the format war between 33RPM and 45RPM records once the industry realized that it was just easier for record players to support both.

  8. Yeah, right. by Mad_Rain · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Names have everything to do with how popular a format becomes. "Betamax" or "VHS"?

    Nevermind that absolutely obscure music format, MP3.

    --
    "What do you think?" "I think 'What, do you think?!'"
    1. Re:Yeah, right. by skissors · · Score: 1
      Names have everything to do with how popular a format becomes. "Betamax" or "VHS"?
      Actually, that war was won by the pron industry (in part). They went with VHS, because the tapes offered more storage (2,4,6 hours verus 1 hour on Betamax). This is in spite of the fact that Betamax was arguably superior, and eventually did offer tapes with longer recording times.

      So really, sex has everything to do with how popular a format becomes.
    2. Re:Yeah, right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  9. DIGITAL? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Man, DEC is dead. What's with the icon?

  10. At the risk of being modded offtopic... by vertinox · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why is the DEC corporate logo the graphic for this article?

    Did HP decide to use their corporate corpse to produce Blu-ray or HD-DVD players?

    --
    "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
    -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    1. Re:At the risk of being modded offtopic... by SeaFox · · Score: 1

      My only guess is becuase it appears as simply the word "Digital", even when moused over, and this article is about digital video disc formats. But I know the editors aren't clueless enough to have forgotten Digital was a company name as well.

    2. Re:At the risk of being modded offtopic... by Geoffreyerffoeg · · Score: 2, Informative

      The editor wasn't. The submitter was. The editors are merely clueless enough not to proofread. Have you seen their own articles or addenda? They don't make errors of their own - but they always preserve the submitter's.

    3. Re:At the risk of being modded offtopic... by tverbeek · · Score: 1
      Slashdot really should retire the "Digital" category. I have fond memories of Digital Equipment Corporation... hell, DEC has been with me through most of my academic and professional career*, to say nothing of their impact on the tech industry. But they don't exist in any meaningful sense today, and this category only serves to confuse the slashkiddiez who are too young to know "Digital" as a name, not an adjective.

      *I learned BASIC logging into a PDP-11 using a DECwriter line printing terminal in high school. I learned Fortran, Pascal, COBOL, etc. on a VAX 11-750 in college. I was backup admin for several VAXen in one of my first real jobs (at some college CmdrTaco went to). I was one also of the throngs at DECUS Atlanta in the early 90s who received a free swag "fanny pack", the first of a long line of waist-mounted man-purses that I still use for carrying my PDA (yes, I had one then), wallet, keys, etc. to this day. And I still use a dozen or so unkillable Digital-brand Pentium II boxes as lab word-processor/web-browser machines and as Linux-running DNS boxes in my current job.

      --
      http://alternatives.rzero.com/
    4. Re:At the risk of being modded offtopic... by Lucractius · · Score: 1

      ahh DEC... where would we be without you... an Athlon away from the pentium killers of today.

      AMD licenced the same bus used by the ev7 alphas, and then suddenly the Athlon slingshotted into the stratosphere.

      ahh the Alpha... *pats his steel plated 6U quad proccessor DEC AlphaServer*

      good memories

      --
      XML - A clever joke would be here if /. didn't mangle tag brackets.
  11. The Opposite by MBCook · · Score: 0
    The opposite if anything.

    HD-DVD is letter soup. It's "just another kind of DVD". Nothing special. CD-ROM, DVD-ROM, HD-DVD. Same thing.

    Blu-Ray... that's cool. It's blue. No, not blue, 'Blu'. You see blue LEDs everywhere right now, they're "in". The name is like "hi-fi" or "hi-def". And it uses a ray. Ray guns are awesome. It's totally new.

    Based on the name, I'd give it to Blu-Ray. A name can make a difference. Radio Flyer was named that way because both parts, radio and flying, were very new and high-tech things back when they first started producing their product. This made it "hip" and "sexy" (although I doubt those were the words used at the time).

    I still think Blu-Ray will win for other reasons. Higher capacity, PS3 integration, and Java based menus are all good reasons. Not using MS's menu system is a good enough reason for me (yeah, yeah, "Sony will r00tkit my BR Playerz!").

    HD good. Blu-Ray better.

    --
    Comment forecast: Bits of genius surrounded by a sea of mediocrity.
    1. Re:The Opposite by TomHandy · · Score: 1

      I agree, I think. Adding some letters to a term that people are already familiar with would generally make them think it is just sort of an "enhanced" version of the existing technology, whereas a completely new term would be more likely to make people think it is something completely "new". I can't help thinking that HD-DVD might be perceived as something more along the lines of Super VHS or something.

    2. Re:The Opposite by dr.badass · · Score: 1

      HD-DVD is letter soup. It's "just another kind of DVD". Nothing special. CD-ROM, DVD-ROM, HD-DVD. Same thing.

      Physically, they are all the same thing -- 12cm plastic disks. There is no reason to make them sound "hip and sexy" because there isn't anything hip or sexy about them. They're disks. The only really significant difference for most people is that they are in "high-def" resolutions, hence "HD". Even BluRay is "like a DVD, except HD".

      It doesn't even matter what the letters stand for. Most people don't know what DVD stands for, and almost nobody knows what VHS stands for.

      --
      Don't become a regular here -- you will become retarded.
    3. Re:The Opposite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The people who don't know what 'DVD' stands for are actually the only ones who have it right. 'Digital Video Disc', and the less popular name used early on 'Digital Versetile Disc' are both what are commonly referred to as 'Backronyms'. The technology's name is DVD, it isn't an acronym, but people have a tough time wrapping their heads around that so they come up with 'what it means'.

      I'll freely admit though, that I have no idea what (if anything) VHS stands for.

  12. It's the vibe... by cloricus · · Score: 1

    End users hate ugly names.

    PC, VHS are good examples of this as end users tend to use the words 'Computer' and 'Video' instead of their names. Though notice how people say DVD when they talk about DVDs? This is because it flows, it sounds remotely sexy, and it quick to get out in a sentence.
    Now try and say Haych Dey-DVD in a sentence ten times fast...

    Compare this to BlueRay where end users will see it and say it like that. They will then probably go with it based on its non-excluding non-geeky name and just that it looks a lot nicer than many other names out there. Of course no one will ever say BlueRay in conversation so they will say 'video' which for those of us around only six years ago will notice that 'hey that is what users are used too' and that is comfy for them. So purely on the type of name I'd say those behind BlueRay did their research and they expect it to be some thing that will help them: BlueRay becoming synonymous with Video.

    --
    I ate your fish.
    1. Re:It's the vibe... by Caeda · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Haych-Dey??? Where the heck are you from? One hell of an accent... The rest of us will probably try saying aye-ch dee

      --
      ~~ Please keep your arms, legs, and outright stupidity inside the ride at all times. Thank You ~~
    2. Re:It's the vibe... by kahanamoku · · Score: 1

      I'd suggest, with the "It's the vibe" heading, a quote from the Australian Movie "The Castle" (It's MABO, It's the constitution, but most importantly, its the vibe) that the accent he is displaying is Australian.

      or as us Aissies like toy say... you are the ones with accents! :-)

      --
      ----- Concentrate on promoting more than demoting.
  13. Wait... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Though the name and familiarity may be a factor determining which is successful, what about the fact that HD DVD player will be able to play regular DVDs? There will be some overlap when people use both the new gen and regular DVD. I don't think that a Blu-Ray player will be able cater to that easily. hmm...

  14. DVD+HD **plus is better than minus!** by green+pizza · · Score: 1

    The BluRay folks should adopt a second name: "DVD+HD" and use the advertising slogan "plus means better, plus means more, don't settle for DVD minus HD when you can have DVD *plus* HD".

    Then encourage the BluRay player builders to add a $5 DVD pickup laser and a $2 MPEG2 decoder chip so the BluRay players can also play back old fashioned DVD too.

  15. When I first heard of Blu-Ray... by Dr.+Eggman · · Score: 1

    When I first heard of Blu-Ray I thought: "Gee, they couldn't come up with a dumber name? It sounds as stupid as Betamax!"

    Then I found out Sony was making Blu-Ray and had a good laugh.

    Then I read "HD-DVD" and fell on the floor laughing.

    --
    Demented But Determined.
  16. HD DVD Will Win for More Reasons Than That by Kasracer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I honestly think HD DVD will win over Blu-Ray. While name recognition will help, it won't be the deciding factor.
    Remember, many don't have much faith in Sony anymore. They've had numerous delays with their PS3, which is their main way to market Blu-Ray. The PS3 is expected to be $599 or possibly more. Not only that, but their last format, UMD, failed miserably and is being pulled off Wal-Mart's shelves. Combine that with their previous failures with formats like Mini-Disc and Sony doesn't have much of a track record with having successful mediums. Also, don't forget, many consumers have a bad taste in their mouth because of Sony installing rootkits on their computers even if they disaggred to their EULA.
    Other things that will help HD DVD is the fact that it has at least a 3 month lead on Blu-Ray. That and right now, you can buy an HD DVD player for $499 where as most Blu-Ray players are expected to cost around $1,000 when they're released.
    Also, when customers find out that many Blu-Ray players will include a feature to disable themselves remotely if anything "odd" has been detected in the player (I'm sure this will also be exploited by hackers). This permenantly damages the palyer requiring chips to be replaced.
    Honestly, I think Blu-Ray is great for doing huge backups and working with large files on computers, but I can't see it succeeding in the movie market.

    1. Re:HD DVD Will Win for More Reasons Than That by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As somebody who works retail, I know this first hand: CONSUMERS ARE IDIOTS!!! How many average Joes out there know what a rootkit is? How many of those people knew that Sony installed one on their computer? Do you have any idea how many idiots I have coming into my store asking for a Sony TV or a Sony car stereo or a Sony computer? TONS!!! They don't care that the Sony equipment we have is the worst stuff we carry. They care that it has that name recognition. So if every Bluray player had a Sony emblem on it, they'd buy it simply because it was Sony. Remember, just because you read Slashdot every day, that doesn't mean that everyone else has. I doubt many of the consumers out there will know that their Blu-ray player can be disabled remotely...they're just not smart enough to care.

    2. Re:HD DVD Will Win for More Reasons Than That by drachenstern · · Score: 1

      everybody else but you seems to have remembered betamax when discussing sony's shortcomings . . .

      just thought I would help . . . :]

      --
      2^3 * 31 * 647
    3. Re:HD DVD Will Win for More Reasons Than That by Dis*abstraction · · Score: 1

      Your "IDIOTS" and "average Joes" who aren't "smart enough to care"--has the thought crossed your mind that maybe they just have different priorities than you? Lots of people devote their lives to worthy pursuits outside the realm of technology. Lots of people don't have the time to keep up with every latest goddamn development regarding DRM. This applies to architects, rocket scientists, and Ph.D.s in white coats curing cancer as much as it applies to the guys who come to pick up your trash. Also, reading Slashdot doesn't make you "smart," unless you think smart means asexual.

      I know it wasn't your point, but it was your comment, on top of the rest of this entire discussion, that put me over the edge.

  17. X is to DVD as MP3 is to CD by lurker4hire · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's not about how quick new formats are adopted, but rather about what they bring to the table for the consumer.

    MP3's seperated music from the media it was stored on, and was adopted widely as a result. There was significant movement towards the new format because it solved several real annoyances with the then dominant format (CD's), and hasn't been replaced by technically superior formats because none of them do anything other than incrementally upgrade the improvements brought to the table by MP3's. Some (DRM) have even tried to regress and reinstate the problems (from a consumers view) that caused them to move away from CD in the first place.

    DVD's offered a whole mess of significant improvements over VHS, much beyond simple improvements in picture quality (although of course it did offer that). Chapter selection, extras, menus, media portability (both physical and between the PC and TV), all of these are significant to the experience of using the damned thing, even if all anyone ever mentions is the better picture. Neither Blu-Ray or HD-DVD offers anything other than an incremental technical improvement over a huge installed base for DVD, so both will have significant difficulties establishing anything like a true consumer standard (IE: your mother owns one).

    In fact, I doubt either will supplant DVD. Hell, if you ask consumers if DVD is already HD 99% will say hell yeah, because that's what they've been marketed as for the last 5 years. Maybe the words Hi-def weren't used, but the marketing for DVD's has emphasized improved picture quality. Combine that with the sheer inertia of the amount of DVD playing options available, and the way people expect to move a disc from their player at home to the one for the kids in the car to the laptop on a business trip, I doubt either hi-def media formats will win.

    The true next video format will be to DVD what MP3 was to CD, maybe H.264 or some evolution of it. I think there'll be a place for a high capacity media format, perhaps HD-DVD or Blu-Ray, but nobody'll be buying movies on it.

    l4h

    1. Re:X is to DVD as MP3 is to CD by westlake · · Score: 1
      I doubt either will supplant DVD

      A story in yesterday's New York Times put HDTV in 19% of American households. Early Salvos in the High-Definition DVD Format War

      HD in one in five homes in under five years. That's an astonishing rate of adoption. Not just for HD, but for very large wide-screen projection and multichannel digital sound. $1000-$2000 at entry level.

      Amazon.com is shipping Phantom of the Opera on HD-DVD for $20, Serenity for $25. Apollo 13 for $25. You do not pay a premium for HD content if you buy from Amazon or rent from Netflix.

      The potential domestic market for HD on disk is the same market which paid $290 million for tickets to see Harry Potter and The Goblet of Fire in its initial theatrical release.

    2. Re:X is to DVD as MP3 is to CD by SeeMyNuts! · · Score: 1


      What fraction of that 19% will be able to watch movies in HD, with all the confusion surrounding HDMI or whatever it is called? Also, I'm not sure about that 19%. No one in my family has an HDTV. Perhaps we're just too cheap to spend more than $400 on a TV.

    3. Re:X is to DVD as MP3 is to CD by sog_abq · · Score: 1

      I seriously doubt the numbers in the times article. I'd say less than 5% of the people I know have HD TV's (half of whom are tech types). In fact, I seem to recall reading an article not too long ago (on slashdot maybe) which bemoaned the incredibly slow adoption rate of HD TV's. In general I'm probably an early adopter (I had an mp3 player back in 99 with, get this 32Mb of internal memory and a 32Mb expansion flash card), but there is no way I'm throwing away good money after either format. I just can't justify the expenses for such marginal improvement. I'll throw my hat with the poster who claimed that the new format would go the way of laserdisk, and I'd be happy to see sony go down with it; wishful thinking, I know.

    4. Re:X is to DVD as MP3 is to CD by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1
      ah, a rio? I waited until I could get a knockoff 64MB one for under $60, but I was an early adopter too. Everyone asked "what's an mp3 player?" and seemed interested in it.

      There just isn't the payoff with HD. With my mp3 player I could have 8 hours of music on a single AAA battery. I could change the selection without burning cds or making tapes. I could move files around on it. All very cool compared to a walkman.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
  18. Since when are geeks not consumers? by bunbuntheminilop · · Score: 2, Insightful
    As much as we geeks would like to believe it, we are not going to be the ones who decide which format wins out in the end; consumers are.

    Apparently geekdom does not have ANY say in whether a format is accepted. This statement has given me a headache. OOOOhhh, my head!

  19. Yes but... by sterno · · Score: 1

    The only competition for DVD was DivX and all DivX players would play standard DVD's. In this case you have two incompatible formats. Really it's a matter of how the PS3 fits into this. If the PS3 gets people into Blu-ray, blu-ray wins. Otherwise HD-DVD, at a lower price point and with better name recognition, wins.

    --
    This sig has been temporarily disconnected or is no longer in service
    1. Re:Yes but... by Beeswarm · · Score: 1
      The whole idea of DIVX sucked. Introducing the Pay-Per-View DVD!!! You had to connect to their service with a phone line, set up an account, and be prepared to pay through the nose if your five year old just loves watching Cinderella over and over and over again. There was also the fear that studios would start making some movies DIVX-exclusive, forcing consumers to buy a new DIVX/DVD player or miss out on their favorite movies.

      But the shortcomings were many. They were mostly pan-and-scan, light on special features, and a huge hassle. Only a few stores actually carried the discs, and the pricing scheme didn't make sense to those who watch their movies more than once or twice, or even if you thought you might watch the movies again. In the end, DVD was king, DIVX was scrapped, and customers were given a $100 refund for each player purchased.

  20. silly question by Fry-kun · · Score: 1

    look at early CD-R formats, look at early DVD-R formats.. someone built one drive that works with both and the war ended..

    --
    Did you know that "FTW" ("for the win") is a direct translation of "Sieg Heil"?
  21. SLP mode by tepples · · Score: 1

    VHS beat Beta largely because VHS was the first with 6-hour tapes.

    1. Re:SLP mode by tomhudson · · Score: 1

      VHS beat Beta because it was cheaper, even though it was the better product.

      A Mac is better, but people still by clones because they're cheaper.

      People vote with their wallets. WalMart understands this,

  22. Consumers think they already have "HD-DVD" by hirschma · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I've noticed a whole lot of confused folks in various forums that already think that they have "HD-DVD" - when what they have, in fact, are upsampling standard DVD players.

    Funny enough, most of the folks thinking that they had something that hadn't shipped yet owned Sony units. Perhaps this is not a coincidence. But people are going to be pitched DVD players with HD resolution - the confusion that this will breed will probably kill HD-DVD.

    jh

  23. HD-DVD will win by CanSpice · · Score: 1

    The consumer likes acronyms. Look at the battles: VHS vs Beta. VHS won. CD vs... uh... MiniDisk. CD won. DVD vs LaserDisk. DVD won.

    Alright, some of them weren't really battles, but there aren't many "battles" where a named format beat out an acronymed format*.

    * and now dozens of people are going to come up with counter-examples. I urge moderators to mod them down as trolls. :-)

    1. Re:HD-DVD will win by DoubleRing · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think it's so much liking acronyms as for timing, usage, etc. Betamax failed because of Sony's unwillingness to let other manufacturers from using it. Minidisk and CD never had a format war, plus MiniDisk came years late. Once again Sony was too controlling of the format. LaserDisk came too early (imagine that) and was REALLY big. DVD "won" because the entire content industry agreed not to have a format war, so you could think of DVD as the successor of LaserDisk, not its competitor. If Sony's hardware department can manage not to get sniped by it's content arm, Blu-Ray has an excellent chance at victory, although due to the fact that the physical specs on both formats are the same, I'd say dual format players will be the winner.

      --
      Before you die, you see DoubleRing...
  24. Want some advice? by Otter · · Score: 4, Insightful
    What is in a name? Now, bear with me for a second here while I explain. As much as we geeks would like to believe it, we are not going to be the ones who decide which format wins out in the end; consumers are. Now, we all know people hate change. Users already know what DVD is, and most would like to think they understand HD. But Blu-Ray? Your average Joe only wants one thing when it comes to new technology, a feeling of comfort and understanding

    If you want to know what I think -- rather than expending energy worrying which DVD format wins out, you'd do better learning to stop talking like that.

    For heaven's sake, you're not Claude freaking Shannon; you're some guy buying a device to play Spiderman 2. (You also may or not be the guy who thought "Digital" was the appropriate category for this topic but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt on that one...) Could you possibly dial the condescension back a bit?

    1. Re:Want some advice? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whoa... what if the poster actually is Zombie Claude Shannon, returned from the grave to bring the lessons of information theory to Slashdot? (The Digital logo was selected because Slashdot doesn't have a Bell Labs logo, but Digital seemed almost cool and old-school enough to do the trick.)

      Zombie Claude Shannon says "Zillaaa!"

  25. I think the opposite by NitsujTPU · · Score: 1

    I think that the name Blu-Ray sounds cooler, so people are more likely to buy it.

    Just like people are more likely to purchase a "Roomba" than they are a "robotic vacuum cleaner." Well, that is it robotic doesn't have the cool buzz factor that it did when I was a kid.

    1. Re:I think the opposite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yea, but imagine the sales of a "SUPER DUST KILLING ROBOT! (now w/ LAZERS)" damn, there's a Z in that laser, it's like laser mark. II or something.

  26. No. by gumpish · · Score: 1

    Joe Sixpack, you know, the guy who buys the Hemi, or puts the "Type R" sticker on his Honda Civic, will by the Blu-Ray DVD, because..well, it's "Blue". Blue is better, neater, more high tech, with less distortion, jitter, wow, and flutter. I mean, think of it, red has a long wavelength, blue shorter.

    Uhm, no offense, but I don't think you know Joe Sixpack. Joe Sixpack isn't exactly familiar with the EM spectrum and has no idea as to which color has a higher frequency or what difference that would make.

    If anything, Joe Sixpack would look at the name "Blu-Ray" and say "WTF is that?", and look at the name "HD-DVD" and say "Oh, DVDs for my HDTV."

  27. Why won't this HD-DVD work in my DVD player? by Blasphemy · · Score: 1

    That's the real question Joe Public will ask.

    Many HD DVD buyers will be upset and have a slightly negative opinion of HD-DVD. Then, when the consumer goes and gets edjukated, he'll go with blu-ray, because it holds more data (because 50 is bigger than 30, just like the 7800 is almost 6000 points better than the X1900).

    JMO

  28. Even cheaper by snookumz · · Score: 1

    I'm always amazed at how many people don't bother to check around for a lower prices on the first day. Right now you can get the toshiba player online for $409 + shipping. That's how I got my pioneer Dvd/tivo combo for about $150 less. Check froogle. Search around. Even at launch msrp is just the manufacturers suggested retail price. There are a lot of retailers willing to take a much lower margin.

  29. What about PSX - PS3? by Viper_Viper · · Score: 1

    How many PlayStations are there in the world? I thought it was something like 3 million. Now alot of plastation owners will hear about PS3, correct? And anyone who looks into a PS3 will be able to miss that it will use a Blu-Ray drive. So, main question: Will PS3 have an impact? I believe yes.

    1. Re:What about PSX - PS3? by SpectreHiro · · Score: 1

      How many PlayStations are there in the world? I thought it was something like 3 million.

      Grabbing information from my favorite non-authoritative source of information, it appears that you're numbers are a little... Ummmm, conservative?

      PS1 = 102.49 million as of March 2005
      PS2 > 100 million as of November 2005.

      Let me be the first to say yeesh.

      --
      You can't win, Darth. If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
    2. Re:What about PSX - PS3? by Viper_Viper · · Score: 1

      Ya... 3 Million did seem like a little small to me, but hey, it was late last night.

  30. Price will tell by snookumz · · Score: 1

    I think that price has more influence determining a format than anything else. Sony keeps making the same mistake over and over. They price consumer electronic devices like you would price a Lexus. Most people won't understand a single technical difference between the two formats. They will both have pretty much the same picture quality. Some rabid geeks will claim that they can see a difference with their superhuman vision. Everyone else already believes getting a widescreen tv is HD. When it comes time Ma and Pa kettle to go to Best Buy, (I don't mean this derogatorily. I live in Arkansas myself.) they'll ask the salesman what's the best dvd player for the money. Even the technophile Best Buy salesguy isn't going to try to get them to buy a $1000 bluray player. He lives on commission. He'll steer them towards a $350 HD-DVD player and save that #1000 bluray player for the gold plated audio jack chumps. That's around the price that they'll be when people really start chomping down on them. Sony will probably still be selling bluray for 1k. Don't forget that these are the people who tried to sell you umd at 2x the price of the dvd.

    1. Re:Price will tell by Stevyn · · Score: 1

      After reading everyone else making the argument that acronyms are bad and "blu" sounds cool, I think you hit the nail on the head. Most people shop based on price. This is probably because they don't know the difference and they feel the cheaper one is cheating them less. What will probably happen is one will start off more expensive than current DVDs but less than the competetor. They'll convince people that the price difference between the DVDs will quickly shrink because new technologies cost lots of money. I believe these same companies did this with the transition from VHS to DVD. Anyway, people will initially go for the cheapest solution (player + media) and that one will win. Based on Sony's previous history of providing the more expensive alternative, I think Blu-Ray discs will initially and continue to be more expensive. Average Joe, as well as geeks on slashdot, are gonna go for the cheaper one because that's how most people make their decisions at places like Best Buy no matter how much they know about the differences in the products.

    2. Re:Price will tell by MisterOblivious · · Score: 1

      How many more times must this be repeated before people finally have it beaten into them? Best Buy employees do NOT work on commission, and have not worked on commission for many years now.
      "Its most controversial innovation came in 1989, when Best Buy stopped paying commissions to its sales staff and instead put them on salary. Among manufacturers like Toshiba and Hitachi that depended on salespeople to push premium-priced items, the move went over "like a fart in church," a former Best Buy executive recalls."

    3. Re:Price will tell by snookumz · · Score: 1

      Heh. I actually knew that when I posted. I was just making a point. Salespeople are probably going to steer you toward the highest priced unit you can buy. They may not be on commission, but they still want to look good to their boss.

    4. Re:Price will tell by MisterOblivious · · Score: 1

      Yup, I bit. You win a cookie.

  31. Poor average Joe... by AK__64 · · Score: 1

    I don't think you give average Joe enough credit. I think the hi-def wars will be won by early adopters, and I don't think average Joe is an early adopter. The early adopters will do a little research. Unfortunately, there isn't much difference between the two formats, so I can't predict what they will do. But I don't think it will be about the name because Joe will come to a decision apart from name, maybe what studio is supporting the format or something like that. I think the outcome is a toss-up at this point...

  32. Pffft by Chuck+Chunder · · Score: 1
    The gap between VHS and DVD was huge, and DVD offered many features that VHS did not
    All the DVD's I have bought sit never to be watched again just like the videos do. The only marginal advantage DVD's have is that they take up less space!
    --
    Boffoonery - downloadable Comedy Benefit for Bletchley Park
    1. Re:Pffft by hibiki_r · · Score: 1

      That might be true for you, but consider one of the bigger audiences for videotapes: Kids under 10. I've seen little ones that want to watch the same movie 3 times in a row, every day of the week. This destroys tapes and VCRs really quickly. My little brother went through at least 5 copies of sleeping beauty, and he played them until the video was a bloody mess. A DVD can be watched many times without any quality degradation, as long as you don't let little timmy scratch it.

    2. Re:Pffft by mgblst · · Score: 1

      Exaclty. What gap is he talking about? They both play movies. Sure I can skip around easier, but how often do you want to do that. I don't know about this guy, but when I sit down to watch a movie, I let it run. Then I wont watch it again for about 6 months if it was really good.

      I think there is a small minority of DVD aficionados who really see a difference, but most people don't.

    3. Re:Pffft by Jac_no_k · · Score: 1

      If you can't see the image quality difference between VHS and DVD, then sticking with older (and usually cheaper) format is fine. For me, even on a standard TV, the image quality is painfully obvious. It's even worse when I acquired high definition monitors. After I got a hard drive recorder, the VHS player went unused. It now sits in the closet, probably only to come out to transfer whatever videos I want to keep to DVD.

      I have a funny story. My wife who usually can't see the differences in quality between SD (standard definition) and HD (high definition) TV shows was watching a show that featured fireworks with a backdrop of a city skyline. She remarked how beautiful it was and everything was so detailed. I pointed out it was in HD... for the past few weeks she's been tuning into the HD version of her favorite shows. Now in the future, hopefully I won't have as a hard time convincing her why I'm insisting on gear that costs substantially more.

      And for people who think DVDs are good enough, have someone who can see the difference point out all of the artifacting that occurs when viewed on a large, fast HD monitor. It's like pointing out a flaw in a diamond. Once you know it's there, you're always picking it out. I'm now viewing my DVDs on a relatively slow LCD panel so the artifacting isn't as visible... so I guess downgrading from CRT to LCD has it's benefits. (yes, going from CRT to LCD is a downgrade. I moved across the Pacific and to my dismay, you can't get HD CRT displays that are larger then 28". I at least was able to drag my 21" CRT computer monitor with me.)

    4. Re:Pffft by mgblst · · Score: 1

      I will stick with the older VHS, until they are completely gone. I can get them around here for 60p each - not new mind you, but still some good movies.

      As to your funny story, it reminded of trying to go to sleep the other night. My girlfriend kept hearing this strange noise, which she decided to point out to me. I was perfectly happy before, but then I started to notice this noise as well, so couldn't get to sleep either.

      I think that once you start watching a movie, as long as you enjoy the movie, you tend to notice little distractions a lot less.

  33. Those Aren't even valid comparisons by Nazmun · · Score: 1

    The only real comparison that you have up there is VHS vs. Betamax. Those two operated and were supported by totally different groups and had a different price range. You can't attribute the name as the winning quality.

    The rest aren't even CLOSE to being a battle of any form.

    CD's versus Minidisk? Both were created by and championed by sony. The MD units were designed to be mroe high end and expensive (plus it was recordable before cd burners became popular). Add this to the fact that there is a huge time gap. CD's were out quite a while before.

    Laserdisc vs. DVD, once again the laserdisc is pretty old tech compared to dvd and there was no war between them. It was large, expensive, and not marketed to the masses. It was popular in it's niche and during it's life it's only competition was vhs. DVD's were more of a replacement tech for laserdisc.

    --
    Hmmm... Pie...
    1. Re:Those Aren't even valid comparisons by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      I'm thinking it was just a joke, buddy. Like that episode of Red Dwarf where Rimmer declares that every war has been won by the side with the shortest haircuts. "American Indians vs. the Cavalry-- long hippie-hair versus short back and sides. Vietnam-- crew cuts, both sides, draw."

    2. Re:Those Aren't even valid comparisons by CanSpice · · Score: 1

      I guess jokes go over people's heads around here fairly often. :-)

  34. But Blu-Ray ray sounds cooler... by kinema · · Score: 1

    I think Blu-Ray may have the upper hand with a cooler sounding name. Like it or not but Joe Sixpack may be more lible to go with the cooler sounding tech. There's a reason those slimeballs in the marketing department get paid so well.

  35. Whatever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Both the names suck.

    Blu-Ray will lose because it's Sony and nobody is more proprietary than Sony. Hell, they have a million different formats out there that nobody embraced except Sony themselves. Sony will keep on using Sony stuff and the rest of the world will move along around them.

    Technical qualities don't matter, it's a control thing. Sony always wants too much control as they try to rape people for every penny possible.

  36. Re:DVD+HD **plus is better than minus!** by Babbster · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Then encourage the BluRay player builders to add a $5 DVD pickup laser and a $2 MPEG2 decoder chip so the BluRay players can also play back old fashioned DVD too.

    This is already going to be automatic. Nobody is going to release a Blu-Ray or HD-DVD player that doesn't play back DVDs. As for a "$2 MPEG2 decoder chip," you really don't need anything extra in that area since both formats support MPEG-2 encoded data by default (FYI, broadcast HD is already MPEG-2).

    As for the marketing, that's not bad but they would be in for a serious fight with the HD-DVD folks if they tried it. :)

  37. The obvious thing about Blu-Ray by TubeSteak · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I imagine that one of the points to be talked up will involve the blue laser used in Blu-Ray.

    You know how some salespeople will essentially make stuff up to push a sale through? Blue Lasers will be their main explanation.

    I doubt HD-DVD is going to get their advertising campain kicked off by associating their technology with the color blue. The HD-DVD people will obviously talk up the HD aspect.

    Meanwhile in the Blu-Ray camp
    Why is it called Blu-Ray: blue laser
    High resolution: blue laser
    More disc space: blue laser
    Cool features: blue laser

    IMHO, it's going to be much easier for Blu-Ray to distinguish themselves: "Why buy DVDs when you can buy HD-DVDs" vs "Why buy DVDs when you can buy Blu-Ray"

    --
    [Fuck Beta]
    o0t!
    1. Re:The obvious thing about Blu-Ray by pete-classic · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Blue Laser?! Cheat Commandos to the rescue! Rock, rock-on! (Buy all our playsets and toys.)

      -Peter

  38. HD-DVD has advantage I think by billybob · · Score: 1

    I think Blu-ray is a "cooler" name, but think about it from the perspective of the average person. They know what HD is, and they know what DVD's are... they see HD-DVD and I'd wager at least 90% of them would guess correctly that it referred to high definition DVD's. You hear the term Blu-ray, and while it sounds nice, it gives zero clue as to what the product is.

    Of course, with the PS3 having Blu-ray built in, that's a HUGE advantage... I'm really anxious to see how this plays out to tell the truth. :)

    --
    Joseph?
    1. Re:HD-DVD has advantage I think by tomhudson · · Score: 1
      All through this thread everyone is saying "Blu-Ray" sounds cool? Cool? It sounds like slang for the latest venerial disease, or something a cartoon character would use to kill an enemy on Saturday morning.

      Easy prediction here - HD-DVD wins:

      1. cheaper
      2. familiar name
      3. perception that "Sony TV stuff is always overpriced"
      Blu-Ray. As a brand name for a new flavour of Jello or Kool-aid for kids, maybe. Electronics? They might as well have calle d it Blub-Ray.
    2. Re:HD-DVD has advantage I think by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Easy prediction here - Blu-Ray wins
      1) after 4 months (or less), the prices for discs will be the same.
      2) confusion caused by upsampling 'HD' DVD players and HD-DVD players and discs
      3) perception of getting a Blu-Ray player 'free' with the PS3 millions of people will be buying anyway

  39. Yes by lw54 · · Score: 1

    Yes.

  40. Re:Topic... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the heat of composition I typed "Digital Equipment Company" above for "Digital Equipment Corporation" and failed to notice it when I previewed. Just so it's clear I know well what "DEC" stands for -- and it behooves a nitpicker to pick his own nits when appropriate.

  41. Neither name... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Neither name will work for people like me. I don't understand why Slashdot has refused to cover the super-heavy DRM in both formats. This article is pretty darned good reason to avoid both formats.

  42. Or the opposite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    this might just be what ruins the HD-DVD
    what happens when consumers do not understand why their new disks do not play in their old dvd player with full functionallity promised on the box.
    When consumers go to purchase something to replace old or dead technology, the only thing that is in the balance is quality/functionality vs. price. Same with HDTV when it was first released and before politics started interfering with the consumer market.

  43. Media PCs by kaufmanmoore · · Score: 1

    If media PCs finally take off in the next 5+ years, especially with the networks now offering more online content, I'd put my money with whoever micro$oft ends up offering better support for in Vista (I've seen rumors about Blu-Ray being added), since they have the ability to essentially kill off rival formats (unless the rival can get the kind of market penetration of the ipod).

  44. Over 35? by Homestar+Breadmaker · · Score: 1

    I dunno what you mean by "this line of work", as posting crap on a website isn't much of a career. But if you mean say, unix/network admin, then everyone should know, regardless of their age. Hell, my jr admins fresh out of high school know who DEC was.

    1. Re:Over 35? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I see it's been fixed now, too.

      By "this line of work" I meant anyone in IT. I had doubts such a high age was necessary, but then I don't actually know how old Cliff is.

      Congratulations on your superior hiring practices, which obviously selects only the most attentive candidates.

  45. Unique names don't sell? Ipod? by LoverOfJoy · · Score: 1

    Yeah, like all the people that bought mp3 players instead of the ipod...I mean what's an ipod? The various new dvd players will all be together. The confused consumer will more than likely remember an unusual name than some standard "hd dvd". So which high definition dvd player should we get? Oh, this one has the patented blu ray technology. I remember hearing that was good. These other ones just say the standard hd dvd. Let's get the blu ray one! Heck blu ray may end up becoming synonymous with the next gen dvd players like people nowadays talk about ipods not even realizing there are other brands that sell related products.

  46. TV Series Sales by SydShamino · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think that the killer app for HD-DVD and/or Blue-Ray has little to do with their specs, nor does it have to do with the HD content that might be sold on them.

    I think it has to do with the fact that TV series in current resolutions are a poor fit for DVD technology. Almost every movie fits fine in a double-sided dual-layer disc, but TV series need 5-8 DVDs per season. Vendors could save significantly on materials and packaging costs if this could be cut to one disc per season.

    I think whichever format backers buy the rights to re-release a lot of TV shows will win. If neither capture this, then yeah perhaps both will fail.

    --
    It doesn't hurt to be nice.
  47. Blu-Ray Sanitary Wash - "Kills germs dead" by Animats · · Score: 1

    The first idea in that direction was "Violet Ray", a chain of laundromats in the 1950s. Every washing machine had a UV lamp. There's still a Violet Ray laundromat running in Baltimore.

  48. That's why everyone starts web addresses by EZLeeAmused · · Score: 1

    with World Wide Web (3 syllables) and not "double-u double-u double-u" (9 syllables) ;)

    --
    Some see the vessel as half full; others see it as half-empty; We pour it out on the floor and laugh
    1. Re:That's why everyone starts web addresses by fyonn · · Score: 1

      I have never heard *anyone* refer to a website as "world wide web dot something dot com". everyone I know typically uses "wuh-wuh-wuh" or, for the less savvy, "double-u double-u double-u".

      dave

    2. Re:That's why everyone starts web addresses by sprprsnmn · · Score: 1

      Or dubya dubya dubya if you are south of the Mason-Dixon line.

    3. Re:That's why everyone starts web addresses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is because you are typing, the typing world favors acronyms because they save time, and when saying the address you say what they they type, (www)

  49. They got their timing right on this one... by drama · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm just hoping HD-DVD doesn't win out, but I'm in wait-and-see mode right now.

    Ultimately it depends on when people are ready and willing to ditch the hundreds of DVD players they bought in the last 3-4 years. Over the last 3-4 years, HD sets started getting cheap, DVD players got ultra cheap, people got over the fact that they can't record on their video media anymore (though, that's changing), and all-in-one surround systems became popular because the media is now all the same size.

    A 3 month release headstart for HD-DVD isn't gonna get people to automatically throw out their existing systems that their wives just let them spend their entertainment budget on. Those are the people with the rear-projection sets. Anyone willing to spend twice as much for a plasma or an LCD they can hang on the wall is going to look at the fact that first gen HD-DVD doesn't do 1080p out of the box and Blu Ray does. The early adopters are the ones that are gonna care about picture quality. Everyone else is more likely going to care about spending $450 on a HTIB versus $500 on a single player. The salesman will likely get better commission on that sale anyways cuz it's an easier sell and all he has to say is that it does HDMI just like the other single player set.

    As for the studios, I'd think they'd be more willing to release on Blu Ray than on HD-DVD cuz it seems to have more anti-piracy annoyances^H^H^H^H^H^H^Hprotections. Additionally, larger movie size means content that is less easy to compress and get across the net on your lowly 768k DSL upload. Then there's the addition of Java (the tech that just won't die) and the potential for net access from Blu Ray devices and you've got content that can download fresh movie trailer ads.

    I think the fact that EVERYONE has a DVD player that works NOW will allow enough of a break to let the price differential between HD-DVD and Blu Ray to shrink. The number of new buyers that will get an HD set and mates it to a first gen HD-DVD immediately will be marginal. Once time enough has passed to get people buying the new hardware, the price gap will have faded and then it's all about hardware availability which seems to be largely behind Blu Ray. From the way things look, the majority of the studios and the majority of manufacturers are behind Blu Ray.

    Sony may have screwed up in the past, but not like everyone thinks they did. MiniDisc had it's place, it's niche. For the longest time, we had S/PDIF on our consumer appliances even when there was an "official" digital audio spec out there named AES/EBU. They have PLENTY of successes to offset their PR blunders. I know Sony has screwed up in the past, but I think they got the timing right on this one.

  50. A 3rd option by desmondmonster · · Score: 4, Insightful
    What if both formats fail miserably?

    Recent digital formats have snowed the market because they offered obvious advantages over existing technologies that had been around for years. CDs and DVDs overtook magnetic tapes because they were more durable, had better resolution, (generally) offered more storage space, and gave you the option of skipping directly to a specific song or movie scene. Plus, magnetic tape media had been on the market for several years, so most consumers felt they had gotten their money's worth out of their old hardware. Many of the discussions surrounding HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray seem to assume that consumers will necessarily pick one. But why should they pick either? The only advantages these formats offer over current DVDs is slightly better video resolution (no novel access features or rugged construction) and more storage space for.....10 extra director's commentaries? I suppose certain video games would enjoy having a 50GB media, but honestly, who's going to make a game that takes up fifty gigabytes?

    Whether or not Blu-Ray's horizontal line count is superior to HD-DVD's is irrelevant. What's relevant is how superior it is to the current standard - 480i on DVD. I think that the difference is negligible, unless you have equipment costing thousands of dollars. Even on old televisions DVDs were an obvious improvement over VHS tapes, which were literally wearing out from time and use. HD-CDs sound wonderful, but only on the right hardware. And very few people are willing to spend an extra $5000 on speakers just to hear greater clarity of the 10khz frequency. The costs far outweigh the benefits.

    Plus, I just bought a DVD player three years ago! Suddenly it's obsolete? I don't think so - the T-1000 still looks pretty sweet on DVD, and my discs are in great shape. Asking me to pay an extra $300 for a player, plus $30 for a new movie, plus $2000 for a new tv, plus $100 for the cables needed to even hook up HD components, just doesn't justify a really nice solar flare.

    Does anyone else remember that one of the early, great selling points of DVDs was that you didn't have to rewind them? Wasn't that awesome? And now we take it for granted.

    1. Re:A 3rd option by hurfy · · Score: 1

      "Asking me to pay an extra $300 for a player, plus $30 for a new movie, plus $2000 for a new tv, plus $100 for the cables needed to even hook up HD components, just doesn't justify a really nice solar flare."

      hehe, you forgot the $500 for my home entertainment center. The width for the TV is limited, if i get a new HD-widescreen it would have to be much shorter than my current TV to fit. I can't get any bigger diagonal TV in the hole :(

      Oops, if i do that i need a stereo rack as i havent seen a center that would fit in my room with enough space for all the vintage stereo.

      Oh oh, All that snazzy new stuff won't play on my vintage stereo gear well (if at all... can i get HD video and 4 channel output) I am gonna need some stereo gear....

      hehe, i just dont have space, money or interest to worry about either. Certainly not before i know the format is not gonna bite the dust. The price for all that would pay for theater tickets to every movie i may want to see for the rest of my life :)

    2. Re:A 3rd option by tddoog · · Score: 1

      I think people are bound to choose one or the other. Look at the fantastic market penetration of SACD and DVD-audio:)

    3. Re:A 3rd option by Krach42 · · Score: 1

      Does anyone else remember that one of the early, great selling points of DVDs was that you didn't have to rewind them? Wasn't that awesome? And now we take it for granted.

      God, thanks for reminding me that my father would ask me to go rewind the movie after it was finished, and I'd get to the DVD player, and then throw my dad the nastiest look possible.

      --

      I am unamerican, and proud of it!
  51. Problem is even worse than that by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Interesting

    HD-DVD was a terrible idea for a format name. Why? Because as you noted, a lot of people think they already have HD-DVD - and thus will buy HD-DVD discs when they come out. After all, they have an HD TV set...

    So what happens when they take the discs home and find they will not play? A very, very high return rate and a lot of pissed of customers. I don't want to be the poor returns desk clerk who has to explain for the eight billionth time "You need a HD-DVD player, not a DVD player". You know that's going to be hard for a lot of people to comprehend as they just hear the words "DVD" twice and know they get HD signals via cable.

    At least with Blu-Ray you know you need a new player.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Problem is even worse than that by hirschma · · Score: 1

      I didn't even think of that, but I think that you're spot on. That being said, I'd imagine that the eventual response will be for the studios to release hybrid discs - DVD on one side, HD-DVD on the other. Then we'll be laughing at the few folks that have both the right player, and the right TV, but still play the wrong side without realizing it. Unless they come up with a way to put a tiny DVD compatible track up front that says "Get a new player, dumbass".

      This is going to be even tougher for the rental folks. You just know that Netflix is going to be getting a re-shipment workout when this hits.

      jh

    2. Re:Problem is even worse than that by dn15 · · Score: 1
      That being said, I'd imagine that the eventual response will be for the studios to release hybrid discs - DVD on one side, HD-DVD on the other.
      Interesting idea. It might be a good stopgap solution before we find out which format will win. But in the long-term why should we replace one standard with two? I'm sorry, but I want one to win and the other to lose. I don't care which one. But it benefits noone to have two competing but equivalent (to the consumer) standards that require two different players to play yet exist on the same disc.
    3. Re:Problem is even worse than that by the+phantom · · Score: 1

      Read what the gp posted one more time. He was not suggesting that two equivelant formats be used on the same disc, but that and older and a newer format be used on the same disc. A consumer could buy an HD-DVD for their DVD player, thinking that they had an HD-DVD player, and the disc would still work. The DVD format on one side would be to keep people from getting pissed off because their (not really) HD-DVD player won't play the disc. He was not talking about combining Blu-Ray and HD-DVD onto one disc.

    4. Re:Problem is even worse than that by nasch · · Score: 1

      You want one of them to win? ;-)

    5. Re:Problem is even worse than that by dn15 · · Score: 1

      You're right! Thanks for pointing that out. Sounds much better to me. :)

  52. A Rose By Any Other Name... by dohadeer · · Score: 1

    I'm surprised no one has mentioned the popular (albeit contrived) marketing of Blu-Ray as "BD-ROM" media, which sounds an awful lot like "CD-ROM."

    Just saying it gives me a warm, fuzzy feeling inside, like getting reacquainted with a familiar friend.

    I don't think name will play into it too much, to be honest, nor do I honestly think that the 3-month HD-DVD headstart will help too much either. I'd wager decent odds that in the end, it will be up to Middle America to decide, since (I'm pretty sure) they are statistically the slowest adopters.

    Any statisticians/marketing gurus care to chime in and correct me/confirm?

  53. Not a troll, just looks like one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Am I the only one that can't see ANY reason we'd need another DVD player on HDTVs? Do we really need to destroy a format that isn't that old and doesn't really need to be replaced?

    What *possible* reasons do you need a new DVD format for? I can't think of any. Better resolution? From *TV viewing distance*, DVDs on normal TVs look damn near perfect to me; HDTV brings it up to perfection. Storage space? Sure we have a few DVDs that need extra disks but mostly for terribly long epics or for stupid DVD extras crap that you maybe watch once.

    What's the purpose?

    (Posting anonymously because this is likely to be modded as troll.)

  54. BluRay is much more personable... by 7Prime · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes, I wrote about this before, but I think you've got it backwards.

    Try this, say "H. D. D. V. D" three times fast, and you'll see a problem: it's long, it's cryptic, and it's hard to use in conversation. It becomes very "techy" sounding, and has no charm, it conjures no imagery what-so-ever. "Blue Ray", on the other hand, is two simple words that are already used in everyday conversation. When put together, they create wild space age imagery, not of the "techy" kind, but of the "wow" factor. It's two sylables compared to it's competitor's five. Blue is a color commonly associated with the calm and understated, and synergizes with the more aggressive imagry of its "Ray" counterpart. After all, "RedRay" immediately conjures up images of fire, blood, and bad 70s B sci-fi flicks.

    As a graphic designer, I'll votche for BluRay having much more possibilities for aesthetically pleasing logos. It's use of lower-case letters (which give it a more personable feeling), combined with it's cute spelling make it endeering. It has symmetry, and varried "skyline" (the shape the tops of the letters make).

    HD-DVD, on the other hand, is made of mostly sharp edged letters, all upper-case, very impersonal, intimidating, and institutional in nature. Accronyms are not comforting to people. FBI, CIA, IRS, WTF... all negative connotations. People tend to make accryonms of subjects that are undesirable or discomforting, since shortenning the name gets it over and done with being said more quickly. I assure you that if the FBI really stood for "the Friends of Birds and Igloos", people would much less rarely refer to it as "The F.B.I"... and when they did, they would call it "Feebee". A product with an accronym in its name has a harder time endeering itself

    Yes, all these perceptions are going to be subconscious, yet, most of the innitial judgements about the product are going to stem from the subconcious "feeling" you get when you first see or hear about it. Thus, a name and a logo can litterally shape and define a product for the consumer before they even see it. Steve Jobs and his staff were geniouses when they shortened the cryptic "Performa 7300/200" to "iMac", there's no coincidence that the relative success of the iMac was shaped by it's more personable and less intimidating portrayal... and that all starts with a name.

    --
    Multiplayer Gaming (defined): Sitting around, discussing single-player games with my friends, at the bar.
    1. Re:BluRay is much more personable... by Wyrd01 · · Score: 1

      A product with an accronym in its name has a harder time endeering itself

      But that can't be right... Who doesn't love diving with their SCUBA gear? And how cool are LASERs? There wouldn't be a CD-ROM in every computer without them.

    2. Re:BluRay is much more personable... by 7Prime · · Score: 1

      As I hinted at, but should have made clearer, the one time that accronyms are not deminished is when a word is made out of them. Things like "SCSI" (pronounced "Scuzzy") "SCUBA" (pronounced "Scooba"), and the like, are made more personable by creating an easy to say, and usually fairly cute, word. As I said, if FBI stood for "Friends of Birdies and Igloos" it would usually be pronounced "Feebee", not "F.B.I." So, basically if an accronym is made from something possitive or neutral, a word is created out of it, if the connotation of the term is generally negative, the letters themselves are usually said. CD, DVD, HD-DVD are exceptions, all though, subconciously, the fact that they are said just as the letters themselves (because they have to be), makes them not as possitive and personable sounding.

      --
      Multiplayer Gaming (defined): Sitting around, discussing single-player games with my friends, at the bar.
  55. No by phozz+bare · · Score: 1

    No!

  56. They buy what they're told to buy by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Joe Average will buy what he's told to. The usual sales talk in Best Buy will run along these lines:

    "Yeah, erh... Hi. I wanna buy this new DVD kind, ya know, the one with the better resolution and clearer picture and all that, you got that?"
    "Oh, you mean (insert the tech they got more margin for)."

    The consumer might have had a say in what's being bought some years ago. He has nothing to say anymore. He's buying what's available. Best Buy and its buddies don't even have to offer both. They dictate what's being bought, because people WANNAHAVE! that new technology, and if BB doesn't carry BluRay, well, then it's HDDVD. Or if they don't have HDDVD, so it's BluRay.

    Joe Sixpack doesn't know the difference anyway, so he'll buy whatever is available, because he wants it NOW. Just like it was in good ol' Russia, you don't get what you want, you get what's good for you.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  57. Or neither will win by NoodleSlayer · · Score: 1

    And what if say... neither format wins?

    Does that mean both names suck?

    Afterall there is precedence for formats simply not gaining traction. LaserDisk never got very popular, and most people have no reason what so ever to buy an HD-DVD or Blu-Ray player as they don't have an HDTV to go with it. So, why bother?

  58. The difference has to be significant. by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

    That's all I've really got to say...

    The general public will buy whatever has the best balance of being cheap, popular/hyped, and actually good tech. If I could figure out what I meant by "best balance", then the ONLY next-gen format would be SanityInAnarchy-HD. But those consumers are so darned unpredictable...

    --
    Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
  59. Re:DVD+HD **plus is better than minus!** by iainl · · Score: 1

    Well, yes, +1 funny.

    Being the dull serious person who doesn't get the joke for a second though, the real reason BluRay isn't called something with DVD in the title is that they'd get their arse sued six ways to Sunday by the DVD consortium who own all the rights to the competing standard.

    --
    "I Know You Are But What Am I?"
  60. Voluptuous Mounds by HaydnH · · Score: 1

    Personally I want HDDVD to win, just because I like anything with "DD"'s ;P

    --
    Time is an illusion. Lunchtime doubly so. - Douglas Adams
    1. Re:Voluptuous Mounds by Gumpy · · Score: 1

      You'll need to get the BlueRay to cure that VD you got from the DD

  61. Yea.. it's working real well for bluetooh by way2trivial · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I mean, everyone loves that name.. and it's really taken off hasn't it?

    https://www.bluetooth.org/admin/bluetooth2/news/st ory.php?storyid=629
    Awareness rose most significantly in the US, where for the first time over 50 percent of the respondents recognized the Bluetooth brand: over the course of the study, awareness rose from just 22 percent in 2003 to 41 percent in 2004 and then to 58 percent in 2005.

    How long has BT been around now? if Blu-Ray takes that long, it's dead in the water...

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    1. Re:Yea.. it's working real well for bluetooh by 7Prime · · Score: 1

      Actually, that's a pretty short-sided way of looking at it. Really, Bluetooth won, at least for the moment. Name any other wireless syncronization protocol that anyone has ever heard of? The fact that a substantial percentage of cellphones, pdas and other wireless accessories use Bluetooth is real world proof of its success. The fact is that Bluetooth created a market where none was (for a short distance, low power, wireless synchronization protocol, it started as a fairly niche market. That said, Bluetooth wasn't marketing to consumers so much as to hardware manufacturers themselves. The need for a good name is much less in the professional market.

      But, if you ask me "tooth" makes all the difference. Noone wants to look inside your mouth, and noone likes going to the dentist, 'nuff said. If it doesn't deal with oral hygene (and even sometimes when it does) don't use the words "tooth" "teeth" or "toothy" for anything.

      So I'll agree with you that Bluetooth is a bad name, but its reasons for being bad don't effect the "BluRay" naming convention.

      --
      Multiplayer Gaming (defined): Sitting around, discussing single-player games with my friends, at the bar.
  62. Both! by forgoil · · Score: 1

    I'm certainly going to wait until I can get a player with both Blu-ray and HD-DVD support. Then I won't get obsolete discs I can't play in case one or the other dies.

    Oh, and the player must be able to play region 1 AND 2 discs, or be cheap enough so I can buy two players. I refuse to obsolete half my DVD library after all...

    1. Re:Both! by nule.org · · Score: 1

      I thought I read that BluRay wasn't doing that region nonsense. Or maybe that was just for games for the ps3...

  63. In a word... Yes.

    --
    -=sig=-
  64. Consumer confusion by Arcady13 · · Score: 1
    I'm just glad I don't work in a store that will sell all these formats. Is anyone anticipating all the returns when joe six-pack buys an HD-DVD and then discovers that his $30 DVD player won't play it? Will the retail people even understand how to explain all this stuff? The entire thing will cause so much confusion, that HD disc players (both HD-DVD and BD) will probably be kept in the demonstration rooms, and the media will be kept in big racks with disclaimers like "THESE DO NOT PLAY IN NORMAL DVD PLAYERS" once the retailers find out what a pain in the ass this all is.

    The whole thing reminds me of the old days, when I had to visit specialty shops to get my hands on LaserDiscs, just so I could enjoy a film in letterbox. Part of me wishes that these new technologies will go the same way, but at the same time it has been nice to see normal consumers embracing widescreen, dolby surround, and high quality in general. It still sucks when I come across the person who asks why they "cut off the top and bottom of the picture." Ugh. On the other hand, even the guy with an HDTV and an HD TiVo is still gonna ask how he can stretch the SD channels to fill the screen. Ugh again. They need to make you pass a class before you can buy electronics.

  65. Syllable count by 6031769 · · Score: 1

    HD-DVD = 5 syllables
    Blu-ray = 2 syllables

    No contest: Blu-ray wins.

    --
    Burns: We're building a casino!
    McAllister: Arrr. Give me 5 minutes.
  66. Hope they both fail by xenoterracide · · Score: 0

    disks need to go away... I get a tiny little mar that I can barely see on the disk and what happpens I get some crazy video blip in my movie. that's DVD, now multiply that by 10. that's what I forsee in the future of these formats, and with drm becoming bigger so people can't make legal backups and there movies dying within months due to there carelessness they'll just stick with the older formats. Can we please get a durable format. Disks must DIE.

    1. Re:Hope they both fail by Manmademan · · Score: 1

      Blu-Ray's Durabis coating is MUCH MUCH more durable than CDs or DVD's ever were. It's been widely reported to be able to withstand screwdriver attacks and steel wool pads and still be playable.

    2. Re:Hope they both fail by AudioEfex · · Score: 1

      That will be so handy the next time I take a brillo pad or a screwdriver and start attacking my home theater collection; however it will have to wait until I'm done taking a match to my book library. ;)

      AEfx

    3. Re:Hope they both fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One word: Children

  67. Why both may fail by Anonymous+Codger · · Score: 1

    Neither format may make huge inroads. Why? Because resolution doesn't matter. Notice the popularity of the iPod - does it have higher fidelity than a portable CD player? Not hardly. MP3s and AACs are lower in sound quality than even FM radio, but people are willing to put up with the lower quality because of the convenience factor.

    My wife and I haven't rented a DVD since we bought our TiVo last year. We record at basic quality, so there are lots of artifacts in the video. Do we care? No - we hardly notice the artifacts as we enjoy all the great old movies TiVo'ed from TCM.

    I think we'll find that DVD is more than good enough for most consumers. As long as DVD players and DVD movies are significantly cheaper than HD-DVD or Blu-Ray, DVD will continue to be the preferred format. The advantages of HD-DVD and Blu-Ray over DVD are not enough to justify the higher costs they will demand at the beginning, and if you don't have enough early adopters paying the initial premium, you'll never see the economies of scale that will let the prices come down. It'll be laser disks all over again.

    --
    No sig? Sigh...
    1. Re:Why both may fail by AudioEfex · · Score: 1

      You are absolutely correct.

      I'm a mid-early adopter; that means I don't buy it day-and-date when it comes out, but usually 3-9 months later when the market begins to stabalize and the initial kinks are worked out. With this HD/Blu-Ray stuff I can tell you, it will be years before I invest in it.

      There is this core group of home theater junkies that have been programmed to believe that they are somehow ruining their lives by not watching HD-native content, that somehow they have been missing out on watching the same movies with slightly clearer picture and it's just like the stone-age. If you listen to them, we've been watching hand-puppets through a white sheet lit by candles.

      The truth is, almost no one gives a crap about either format. The reasons the general public caught on to DVD were diverse yet simple : durability, availability, price (remember, most VHS tapes were not sell-through at release and cost $100 if you wanted to legally purchase them), and, probably least important to those people, quality. The leap from VHS to DVD was absolutely staggering, and at the same time brought widescreen home entertainment to the masses.

      DVD to HD-DVD or Blu-Ray? Not so much. Yes, the picture is a bit clearer. So? That's the big advantage that people are going to invest thousands of dollars for?

      It's just not going to happen any time soon. Most people have their DVD players hooked up with composite cables or S-Video at best, on SD displays. A properly callibrated DVD player, using component inputs, 16x9 mode, and an anamaphoric enhanced DVD (virtually all theatrical films released in the last 6-7 years) on an HD-TV monitor is gorgeous. Will an HD-DVD or Blu-Ray version be even better? Sure, but not enough to convince even someone like me to buy it - so good luck with the Wal-Mart crowd.

      The simple truth is VHS was good enough for most customers - and there will be a new format (holographic media, etc.) before the majority of customers even care. The HD-DVD/Blu-Ray fight (they lost in the begining by not joining forces) is going to be for a tiny percentage of consumers, and everyone else is just going to watch our beautiful SD DVD's and continue to enjoy them as we have.

      Just because a company tells you that you "need" the next best thing, doesn't mean you do; the transparent reasons for the studios to push this unwanted format on us are clear (DRM, increasing file size to decrease sharing, the box they put themselves in with DVD sell-through pricing [DVD was never meant to be this cheap, it was an accident]), and the only people that give a shit are those that only enjoy their movies if they have a piece of paper telling them it's got a higher resolution and is "better". If you are sitting there watching "The Godfather" and spend your time distracted by the background details because of the higher resolution, you are missing the entire point.

      AEfx

  68. It's simple backwards compatibility by |/rad|/oder · · Score: 1

    I hear HD-DVD and I thinks: "yeah, that'll probably play my existing DVD collection"

    I hear Blu-Ray and I thinks: "um.... what?"

    It doesn't really matter which drive is backwards compatible or not. It's all about association.

    --
    but then again, commenting on a katz story is almost as self-serving as the katz story itself. -tensionboy
  69. You're forgetting the Dumbo effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People will adopt Blu-ray because Blue is a real word and spelled funni. HD-DVD is doomed.

  70. Cute spelling makes it endeering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's endearing, dear.

  71. False Dichotomy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is it possible that neither of the two formats will win? Perhaps most consumers are getting all the quality that they need, and wont spend another 200 on a new player for the same sized discs, nor replace their entire library. I've considered it.

  72. Smarter people by Ri1o · · Score: 0

    I think people have become more technology savy since the days of betamax or VHS. Thats one of the reasons why I think MP3 caught on so well.

  73. Re:DVD+HD **plus is better than minus!** by GiMP · · Score: 1

    It didn't turn out that bad for DVD-RW and DVD+RW...

  74. Re:DVD+HD **plus is better than minus!** by Babbster · · Score: 1

    There are a couple of differences between the two situations. The first is that both formats had rights to the DVD name. The second is that things were awful when people were stuck in an either/or situation. Fortunately, it wasn't too long until dual-format writers came out, allowing people to use whichever format they preferred and still knock out a disc with the other format if there was a compabitility problem (some companies still have a tendency to make their standalone DVD players compatible with only one of the recordable formats).

    Personally, I'll be waiting for the Samsung (or other - Samsung was just the first to announce and I've gained appreciation for their electronics) combo HD-DVD/Blu-Ray players to be reasonably priced so that I can skip the whole issue. It won't be that long of a wait, and it won't be at all painful since the HD movies are going to be coming out at a trickle for at least the next year or so.

  75. Backups by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    I'm going to have a Blu-Ray drive for computer backups before long. I suspect many consumers will a year later - there aren't many good backup options for the home users.

    So, I might as well have the same technology in the living room as I do in the office.

    And I can't see any of this becoming mainstream before the players hit $199, which is a couple years out yet. Most satellite and cable companies will be in full-swing with HD by then as well. That's when we'll start to see a real market reaction. This is 1996 in DVD terms.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    1. Re:Backups by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's no good backup solutions for home users because there's no market for them. Home users are TOO LAZY to backup their stuff. And they're not gonna pay $1000 for a BluRay drive to not backup their stuff, either.

  76. Good point by gravis777 · · Score: 1

    I have found that many of my friends, most of who are NOT tech savy, understand what HD-DVD is, although they really cannot see the point of upgrading. Most still have SD TVs from the 90s, and really do not see a reason to upgrade. Videophiles make up a small percentage of the market. Everyone I know however who does have an HDTV understands that there are two formats out there.

    So what do I think? I think Blu-Ray will win, but not for its technical specifications. Blu-Ray will win because its the format of the PS3, if Sony can deliver it on time, that is, before the Christmas rush. If Sony misses Christmas of 2006 with the release of the PS3, Blu-Ray will be dead. No simpler way of putting it. The PS3 will be the biggest pusher of Blu-Ray there is.

    So what if the average consumer does not know the difference between HD-DVD and Blu-Ray. So what if the average consumer knows that HD-DVD stands for High Definition DVD and does not know what Blu-Ray is. Your average consumer is not going to be buying these players to begin with. It will be years before the average consumer buys into high def one way or the other, and by then, the early adopters will be the ones who have decided the outcome of the format war.

    With that being said, I cannot stress the importance of the PS3 coming out on time. Look at the XBox 360. Many people understand that the PS3 is going to be a better system, but Microsoft has a year head start. The same will be true with the format war. Regardless of wheter the Blu Ray players actually come out in May, until Sony and other manufactorors can produce a player in a similar price range as HD-DVD and until they can push the format on users (with the PS3), HD-DVD is going to have the upper hand. Oh, I do not want to hear about capacities and such, a dual layer can hold 30 gig, and even my transport stream 1080i rip of Return of the King is not that big. HD-DVD uses VC1 compression, which I do not know a lot about, but I am sure uses some type of MPEG4 compression, which will make the movies much smaller than the source transport stream. You can fit a movie and all its extras on an HDDVD without a hit to quality. So with quality side by side, and looking at the price tag, HD-DVD has a major advantage. The PS3 WILL be the deciding factor in this battle. End of comment.

  77. OCD/OCPD by stinerman · · Score: 1

    Those of us that are borderline obsessive-compulsive are certainly backing HD-DVD. I'm backing it simply because of what the article says ... because it seems like the logical successor to DVD. I really don't care too much about the actual specifications of either medium (actually it appears that Blu-Ray is technologically superior). I just see the "DVD" at the end of "HD-DVD" and that does enough for me.

  78. Jokes are meant to be funny by Nazmun · · Score: 1

    Even if i look at it as a joke, there isn't much to laugh at.

    --
    Hmmm... Pie...
  79. What about the data side of usage? by Aram+Fingal · · Score: 1

    It makes sense to use the same physical disks for movies and data, just as DVDs are used now but, at this point, I could care less about these new formats for the purpose of playing movies. Like many other people have pointed out, it isn't worth the money to get equipment good enough to show the difference in quality between either of these new formats and DVD.

    What I really care about is having higher capacity data disks that are available as a comodity item like CD and DVD media are now. If the choice between Blu-ray and HD-DVD doesn't make that much difference for movies then I hope they consider that it does make a difference for burning data disks on a computer and pick the higher capacity format for that reason. I suppose this shows just how much of a geek I am but still, I wonder if the market for plain computer data storage can make all the difference in the broader market.