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AMD Admits To Slowing Sales

An anonymous reader writes "Forbes is reporting that AMD has fessed up to investors about slowing chip sales. The price war that Intel has initiated seems to be taking its toll on the manufacturer." From the article: "The current drivers of business in the computer chip industry seem to revolve around Intel and AMD price war, uncertainty about how a slowing economy will impact consumer spending plans, and imminent product introductions from Intel that may be causing some consumers to hold off on purchases. Investors should get a better picture in the next few weeks--AMD will issue its full second-quarter report on July 20, a day after Intel is scheduled to report its results."

30 of 194 comments (clear)

  1. The winners by Z00L00K · · Score: 4, Insightful

    are the customers - without competition we would have been paying a lot more for the power we get.

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    1. Re:The winners by MarkByers · · Score: 3, Funny

      What about "Think of the corporations. :(" ? Haven't you been brainwashed yet? It looks like they missed you out. Don't you have a TV?

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    2. Re:The winners by Traiklin · · Score: 2, Insightful
      without competition we would have been paying a lot more for the power we get.
      without competition we would be paying a lot more for speeds of about 900mhz by now, if we were lucky enough.
  2. Please specify... ;-/ by D4C5CE · · Score: 2, Insightful
    imminent product introductions from Intel that may be causing some consumers to hold off on purchases.
    Not mentioning precisely which products and technologies they mean (with links to time scales, specifications, and first test results of actual samples, to turn this claim into actual pieces of information) this could always be said of pretty much every IT company, all the time.
    1. Re:Please specify... ;-/ by AudioEfex · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Consumers are holding off purchases...because they don't need new computers. The processor is the last thing most "Best Buy"-level consumers need to even think about replacing these days, and with upgradability so easy for the other major components the need has simply leveled out.

      We've reached a threshold where some people aren't going to need any "better" computers for quite some time. For the average user, once you've got a nice flat screen, a nice big HD, and a reasonably fast computer, that's all they are ever going to need to email, burn CDs, and browse the web. The people that have driven the market the last few years (newer and/or first time buyers) are not falling to the "new box every 24 months" syndrome that felt like the norm before.

      Add to that how easy things like storage and RAM are to upgrade these days (especially the former, aided by the convenience of USB), and most of the casual users (i.e. one or possibly two PC's in the home) I know are quite happy with what they've got. Unless you are an extreme gamer, there is little reason to upgrade. Same reason people don't upgrade Office every year (if they still use it...); to most people Office '97 does everything they'd ever want to do and then some. The only people upgrading are IT departments and corporations that just like to spend money. Very few industries need state-of-the-art tech, and even fewer individuals do.

      The individuals are learning, because they aren't buying. At least that's what it seems like to me.

      AE

  3. Re:Intel is doing something right. by rm69990 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I have to say I am very impressed with the Core Duo on my Mac Mini (1.66 GHz). For a long time I would only buy AMD, but with a Mac I don't really have a choice. But after hearing how quiet this thing is, and seeing how it flies, I'm happy it has a Core Duo in it.

  4. Re:Intel is doing something right. by evilviper · · Score: 4, Insightful
    the T2400 is about 5% faster. However, it runs MUCH cooler than the XP-M, and therefore the fan doesn't run as fast and so is quieter.

    What a terrible comparison to make. Your benchmarking an old generation of AMD's chips (non-Opteron/non-AMD64) to the latest of Intel's chips.

    And even with that, it's highly subjective, since AMD had a wide range of mobile processors, some of which were just as low power as the best (common) Intel chips, and still rather fast.

    I know you're not really trying to say Intel chips are better, but still... What a terrible comparison.
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  5. Of course AMD Sales are Down... by sweetnjguy29 · · Score: 4, Informative

    I am currently in the market for a new computer. I was going to buy a new computer back in January, but I waited for a price drop for the AMD X2 chip that I wanted. Then I learned that there was going to be a completely new socket AM2 coming out that will use DDR2 RAM. So I held off a little longer. Its six months later, and now I hear that there is another AMD chipset coming out in January with 4 cores, and a new Intel chip coming out in a month that trounces anything AMD has.

    Plus, there are no reliable reviews of the new motherboards yet...and the reviews of both the new AMD and Intel chips are all preliminary...so, why should I commit right now? In fact, most major websites and magazines are saying to hold off buying!

    1. Re:Of course AMD Sales are Down... by MarkByers · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I am currently in the market for a new computer. I was going to buy a new computer back in January, but I waited for a price drop for the AMD X2 chip that I wanted. Then I learned that there was going to be a completely new socket AM2 coming out that will use DDR2 RAM. So I held off a little longer. Its six months later, and now I hear that there is another AMD chipset coming out in January with 4 cores, and a new Intel chip coming out in a month that trounces anything AMD has.

      No matter how long you wait, as soon as you buy a computer it will begin its journey down from top-of-the-range to below entry-level.

      Given that you know that this is going to happen, why bother waiting? Just get a computer that fulfills your needs now. If in 2 years time that PC is no longer good enough for you, then get it upgraded.

      Who cares whether it is top-of-the-range or next best, as long as it is good enough for what you need?

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    2. Re:Of course AMD Sales are Down... by evilviper · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Who cares whether it is top-of-the-range or next best, as long as it is good enough for what you need?

      For one reason...
      While I rarely upgrade CPU or Mobo without the other, I do often use RAM across generations of PCs. The system I'm using right now has 1GB of PC-133 RAM, removed from several other systems. PC-133 obviously doesn't have any future, and when it comes time to spend $100 on new sticks of RAM, I'd like to get something that will be useful (in less-performance-sensative systems) for years to come.

      It looks now like DDR is nearing the end of it's life, while DDR2 is coming onto the scene. Unfortunately the less expensive systems are still DDR. So should I buy a cheap system now, and get stuck with a dead-end investment in large quantities of RAM (and possibly a CPU/mobo)? Or should I wait a while as AM2 prices drop, and then purchase lots of RAM I'll be sure to find reusable for several years to come?

      Unless you NEED a new system immediately, it would certainly be prudent to wait and see how things develop for a while longer. I wish I had been as cautious back when Slot (1, A) CPUs were all the rage.

      Just get a computer that fulfills your needs now. If in 2 years time that PC is no longer good enough for you, then get it upgraded.

      A very short-sighted view of the world. You should put a little bit of effort into making sure your system will be useful more than 2 years into the future. Even if it won't be useful to you, being compatible with common parts would make it more likely to be useful to whomever you give it to.
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    3. Re:Of course AMD Sales are Down... by Ph33r+th3+g(O)at · · Score: 2, Funny

      Okay, okay, I give. The fax won't be necessary :).

      --
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  6. Re:Intel is doing something right. by stunt_penguin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Can anyone even imagine similar competition in the OS market. MS competing with Apple with a comparable market share like this would be a beautiful thing. :')

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  7. dying industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The CPU industry will probably implode in the next decade or two.
    1) Upgrade cycles just keep getting worse as business and people realize they do not need the latest and greatest. During the boom, a 3 year upgrade cycle was average, now it is in the range of 7 years. For the majority of businesses, all the box has to do is run Office decently. Only the high end enterprise and HA market will care about upgrading to the latest. And even they are getting cheap by simply clustering 2nd generation boxes.
    2) They are hitting technology limits. It is doubtful that they will be able to get below 32nm silicon (right now the best is 65nm). That is why we are seeing multi-cores and performance/rating specs being redefined to account for threading capability; It is more an act of desperation than innovation. Yes, some technology will take over-- quantum, bio, optical, but there will probably be a significant waiting period for the new tech to emerge. Moore's final predicition is rapidly coming true; It is becoming too expensive to build state of the art fabs to justify the returns.

    1. Re:dying industry by ScrewMaster · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Technology limits are one thing, but the ones we have have taken us to about where we need to be for the time being. As you say, for the desktop market the need for speed really isn't there any longer. So Intel is (much like Microsoft, which is running into its own hard limits) casting about for other markets to enter, such as the embedded-systems space, wireless technology and anything else that might be profitable in the near term. The question really isn't about processor speed, but more about whether Intel can re-invent itself in some fashion that leaves it a significant fraction of its traditional profitability. That remains to be seen.

      --
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    2. Re:dying industry by tomstdenis · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That's why they are improving in other directions. Not just higher clock rates but more efficient [IPC, MIPS/watt, etc]. That and there are many people who can find ways to fill pretty much any cycle count processor.

      For the desktop/laptop market things the more dominating factors will switch from speed to power as people try to reduce their electricity and cooling bills. I'm sure if you could have a 10W Opteron running as fast as a 95W one you'd be interested in making the switch.

      Tom

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  8. Server sales increase despite the price war by edxwelch · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's not surprising that sales are down, considering this is always the weakest quarter and the huge price war.
    However according to Inquirer (http://uk.theinquirer.net/?article=32880), server sales continue to improve.

  9. Price Fixing? by jtshaw · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Price fixing, in a nutshell, is when competitors join forces to set prices in such a way to inflate the market value of a product. Price fixing is illegal, but it isn't what is going on here.

    What is going on here is Intel decided that it can afford to lower its margins in order to either take back the market it lost, or squeeze its competitors because they cannot afford to operate on lower margins.

    There is nothing illegal about operating this way (though some might find it immoral). AMD employed a very similar strategy in the late 90's, early 00's in order to position themselves where they are today in the market.

  10. still unclear by Monoman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    From TFA, it is still unclear if AMD is losing market share or if the whole chip market is slowing right now. Basically Intel and AMD are in a price war (good for consumers) and we will have to see how it all works out.

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  11. Re:It worries me when companies get away with this by LordLucless · · Score: 4, Informative

    Price-fixing is when multiple companies collaborate to set the price for their products or services. This makes them, together, essentially a monopoly. Since monopolies are not subject to market forces, this tends to be a bad thing. Thus price-fixing is illegal.

    Price-fixing does not mean lowering the prices of your products to squeeze your competitors out of the market. That is normal behaviour, even encouraged behaviour. If both parties engage in a price war, the end result is that both end up selling their products at the lowest possible price for the company to remain viable (unless they make a miscalculation and go belly-up). What Intel is doing is responding to normal market forces, and it's the best thing for them to do, both for themselves and the consumer.

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  12. My problem with AMD by Revolver4ever · · Score: 5, Interesting

    From Newegg:

    Athlon XP2 3800+ : $297.00 Pentium D 930: $170.00

    Benchmark results are very similar with the Athlon winning most of the game benchmarks by a bit. Is that bit worth $130.00? Hell no.

    I really wanted the 3800+ but it's price has remained the same for a very long time now. Meanwhile, Intel has been slashing prices daily. At the end I caved in and could not be happier. Until AMD starts price matching Intel processors, I'll stick with my Pentium D.

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    1. Re:My problem with AMD by DirePickle · · Score: 4, Insightful

      AMD's slashing prices 30-50% at the end of this month. The X2 3800+ will be in the vicinity of $170.

  13. Re:Intel is doing something right. by evilviper · · Score: 2, Informative
    It's not such a terrible comparison.

    Yes it is... That's why I said so, repeatedly.

    The T2400 is not a 64-bit chip, so comparing it with an AMD 64-bit chip is useless.

    AMD64 chips run 32-bit code just fine. The point is that T2400 is a new chip, and the only new chips AMD makes happen to be 64-bit. So you're disadvantaging AMD in your comparison, just because Intel is dragging it's feet on 64-bit support.

    And since I'm not made of money, I can only compare what I've got.

    You can compare all you want, but you can't draw any useful conclusions with such varied systems. I could compare my Intel 386/33MHz laptop with a modern 2GHz AMD Turion notebook, but what could that possibly tell me?

    Also, since neither chipmaker has had any real innovation for a while, the only thing they can do is put more CPU's on one die.

    That is absolutely moronic. There have been significant changes to both companies' products in that time.

    If you don't agree, that's fine, but it's a fair comparison to me.

    You can say so, but you can't rationally justify such a stance.
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  14. Re:Intel is doing something right. by justsomebody · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's not such a terrible comparison. The T2400 is not a 64-bit chip, so comparing it with an AMD 64-bit chip is useless. I'm comparing mobile to mobile.

    Actually you're not. You're comparing mobile to very old mobile. There was a lot more difference than just 64-bit between XP-M and Turion. Turion runs cooler, it is faster and uses much less power.

    This claim of yours is the same as for example: Aero industry puts out a four winged plane. And since all planes have two wings the only sensible solution would be to put them against four winged from 40's.

    Also, since neither chipmaker has had any real innovation for a while, the only thing they can do is put more CPU's on one die.

    XP-M and Turion IS quite a difference.

    So I figured a Mobile AMD XP compared to a T2400 meant for a laptop was a fair comparison.

    You figured wrong. You would have to compare it against AMD Turion AM2 X2
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_AMD_Athlon_64 _microprocessors
    32-bit case is the lowest denominator in your function, while you forgot all the others

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  15. At what point will AMD have to be bought out? by VikingThunder · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think it's bound to happen if AMD can't muster enough resources to continue competing that they will need help. And no, I doubt AMD buying ATI will do much of anything. It seems AMD will have to be bought by IBM if they want the same deep pockets necessary to compete with Intel. They already work together, so it's definitely possible. I don't see how AMD can possibly do more for every bit of money than Intel forever.

  16. Re:dying industry - not by rcamans · · Score: 2, Informative

    A 10 w cpu is not a hardly noticable improvement over a 95 wat proc in a laptop.
    It translates into much longer battery life with a smaller battery, ie, a lighter laptop.
    A lighter laptop is much easier to carry around, and even small improvements in laptop weight are very noticable. Yes, most cpus run at a lower wattage, when they are clock throttling. But if their continuous full clock power were 10 W...
    Especially if the laptop turns into a pda / cell phone / blackberry.
    There is tons of room for improvement in these directions, not to mention all the other directions available but not yet made, like complete voice control, the ability to talk to the computer and let it do the writing (dictation),...
    Get real. Anyone who says the cpu industry is about to implode is an idiot. Just like the one who said 640k is all anyone will ever need (Bill Gates?) or the one who said everything has been invented, let's shut down the patent office (in ~1900)

    the cpu implode statement is just a troll, and a fairly stupid one, at that. From a clueless idiot.

    Yes, I am a computer designer - engineer, and I work at Dell.

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  17. Here's what's going on by Brian+Stretch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1) Intel is dumping its aging Netburst cores onto the market at such low prices that they're displacing lower-end AMD sales.

    2) Intel is setting up for a Big Bath in their Q2 earnings report. Their selling off of their ARM processor unit to Marvell is part of this (they'll have to recognize a huge loss on the sale).

    3) All of this is obvious to AMD, so they're putting even more emphasis on Opteron sales where Intel is weakest. This results in lower total sales, as they sell in far fewer numbers than low-end CPUs, but should keep net income at a nice level since they're extremely high margin chips.

    4) Since each Opteron sale displaces an Intel Xeon sale, Intel's net income is hurting.

    5) Any advantage Intel will gain from C/M/W will be gone when AMD does their transition to 65nm in Q4. Sooner if Intel screws up, as is reported.

    1. Re:Here's what's going on by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, Intel's already on 65nm today. They have plans to move to 45nm by the time AMD finally gets around to 65nm. The Core 2 has been trouncing AMD's top-end chips in the benchmarks. Frankly, I think AMD's sales have been slowing because the AMD hype has died down, and Intel's Core chips are just really that good. Core 2 will be incredible according to the reviews.

      --
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  18. Some numbers by overshoot · · Score: 4, Informative
    • PC sales are down 14% in the quarter
    • Intel cut prices 30%
    • AMD revenue projections are down 7%
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  19. Desktops need *more* CPU right now! by mangu · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The CPU industry will probably implode in the next decade or two. ... For the majority of businesses, all the box has to do is run Office decently.


    I see, that's because no one needs more than 640k of memory, right? The funny thing about computers is how every time someone says no more power is necessary somebody else invents a new application.


    What do you mean, run office "decently"? If it's just basic text editing, then any old VT-100 terminal coupled to a 6502 CPU motherboard with 64k memory and a 1.44Mb floppy will do. However, if you mean the whole lot of tasks one does in an office, then we still need a lot more power than we have today.


    Let's see, for a start, how about a system that reliably corrects the "to-two-too" mistakes that so many slashdotters commit? Do you have an idea on how difficult is that? Or how about automated translation? Or reliable OCR, including handwriting recognition? Or speech to text?


    A truly "decent" office software would need a CPU with at least the same processing and storage power as a human brain. Meanwhile, we have to cope with office systems that in many cases hinder more than help us.

  20. Re:Moore? by Xocet_00 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Moore's law predicts transistor density, not clock speed. The law is pretty much holding up, for now.