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Our Moon Could Become a Planet

anthemaniac writes "Earth's moon is drifting away from us more than an inch every year. In a few billion years, if the system survives, the moon would be reclassified as a planet under the new IAU definition. You gotta wonder if the astronomers who dreamed this definition up had thought of that."

57 of 438 comments (clear)

  1. Because *somebody* has to say it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    That's no moon!

    1. Re:Because *somebody* has to say it... by Flibz · · Score: 5, Funny

      It's a small NASA movie set!

  2. In a few billion years... by advocate_one · · Score: 4, Informative

    both the Earth and Moon will have been swallowed up by the Sun when it becomes a red giant...

    --
    Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
    1. Re:In a few billion years... by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 5, Funny

      ...and we will still be waiting to play Duke Nukem forever on our Vista machines.

      --
      liqbase :: faster than paper
    2. Re:In a few billion years... by durgaprasad_j · · Score: 5, Informative

      In about 5 billion years, when the Sun is a red giant, it will be so large that it will consume Mercury and Venus. Models predict that the Sun will expand out to about 99% of the distance to the Earth's present orbit (1 astronomical unit, or AU). However by that time the orbit of the Earth will expand to about 1.7 AUs due to mass loss by the Sun. Our planet will thus escape envelopment. -- Reference http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Star

    3. Re:In a few billion years... by SamSim · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually, probably not. Even where it is right now, Earth is almost on the boundary line between being swallowed and escaping (Venus is definitely gone, Mars definitely isn't). But as the Sun expands it will also become more luminous, which means the solar wind will increase. Over billions of years this will push Earth into a wider, safer orbit. It'll still get roasted to a crisp, but probably survive as a planet.

    4. Re:In a few billion years... by jtobin · · Score: 3, Funny

      Nah, we'll all be using Slackware with 2.6 kernel (released a few weeks earlier).

    5. Re:In a few billion years... by Crayon+Kid · · Score: 5, Funny

      Phew!

      --
      i ate crayons when i was a kid and now i have two braincells and the blue ones taste nicer
    6. Re:In a few billion years... by yobjob · · Score: 3, Funny

      Copy paste that post into a wiki then you'll have a source!

  3. It'll last our time by MathFox · · Score: 4, Informative

    "The sun will turn in a red giant before the moon gets far enough away to be classified as a planet"

    --
    extern warranty;
    main()
    {
    (void)warranty;
    }
  4. Got enough time to change the definition by Ghost+Hedgehog · · Score: 5, Funny

    In a billion years propably the defintion of planet will have a few thousand updates.
    The problem will fix itself in time I guess.

    1. Re:Got enough time to change the definition by Flibz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Plus the human race will have rendered the Earth uninhabitable by then so there'll be nobody to care...

    2. Re:Got enough time to change the definition by Flibz · · Score: 3, Funny

      Nope. None at all. I've not got a time machine or nuffink....

      And now I'm going to liberally whip you with my soggy sheet...

  5. Hmm by Klaidas · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No-one knows if the humans will survive that long, maybe there will be no-one to rename it.

    1. Re:Hmm by kalirion · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No-one knows if the humans will survive that long, maybe there will be no-one to rename it.

      A billion years? If our descendents exist by that time, they won't be considered human by our current definitions. I think it's a safe bet that the only way humans as we know them today could survive that long would be by either time-traveling or becoming a part of some aliens' (or dolphins') "Save the Humans" project.

  6. It's not a moon... by aadvancedGIR · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...oh well, forget it, it's still a moon.

    Reminds me of that old joke telling that a quick computation on the evolution of this distance placed the moon 4 meters away from the earth 65 million years ago and thus explained why the dinausors died. ...at least the tallest ones.

  7. This is going to complicate things. by gklinger · · Score: 3, Funny
    So basically my 100 millionths offspring's offspring is going to have a hell of a job making a solar system model for their fifth grade science project? Yikes! Up to now their only concern was how they were going to pay off my credit card debt.


    Seriously though, the International Astronomical Union better give this a second thought. I may be woefully ignornant on the subjecct but I really don't see why sticking with the current definition is a problem. I wish the article gave more information as to why they're 'fixing' that which doesn't appear broken.

    1. Re:This is going to complicate things. by terevos · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I may be woefully ignornant on the subjecct but I really don't see why sticking with the current definition is a problem.


      Could you tell me what the 'current' definition is?

      The problem was that there wasn't a definition before. More of just an accepted method of measurement. And it was arbitrary. I think it was generally based off of 'anything as big or bigger than pluto is a planet'. That's not scientific at all. The new definition is great. It relies on science to determine the status of 'planet' rather than something arbitrary picked out of the sky to satisfy what people had learned in grade school.
    2. Re:This is going to complicate things. by gklinger · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Heretofore a planet was (loosely) defined as a large mass in orbit around a star. In our solar system the primary tenet of planethood was that the object orbited the Sun rather than orbiting a body which orbited the Sun. There are other conditions, of course, because not everything that orbits the Sun is a planet but it's a good place to start. Simply put though, if an object doesn't meet the criteria of a) orbiting the sun and b) being of a certain size or larger it doesn't make the cut. If the IAU dispenses with or at least loosens those two historical criteria the solar system will suddenly be filled with planets and confusion (at least amongst the non-astronomer crowd) will ensue. That's the real problem. I think there is more to think about than simple semantics.

    3. Re:This is going to complicate things. by Flibz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Unless of course he happens to be an oyster or something...

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egg_(biology)

    4. Re:This is going to complicate things. by Pike · · Score: 3, Funny
      Could you tell me what the 'current' definition is?


      Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto, and that new one.
  8. Re:So what? by Fyz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If you'd bothered to RTFA, you'd find that the moon would be reclassified as a planet when the systems center of gravity no longer resides inside the Earth.

    I would gladly send my kid to this elementary school if they could prove that they could teach concepts like orbital decay and barycenters to to nine-year-olds.

  9. Many things will happen ... by Ihlosi · · Score: 3, Insightful
    ... when hell freezes over.



    In a few billion years, if the system survives,



    If we manage to figure out a way to move Earth away from the sun before it goes red giant, it will most likely involve leaving any unnecessary baggage (like orbiting balls of rock) behind.

    1. Re:Many things will happen ... by Flibz · · Score: 5, Funny

      In fact we'll only be able to take one item of baggage, which will be a clear plastic bag containing essential items only.

      And no electronic devices. Or Liquid.

      Orbiting balls of rock won't even fit through the scanner.

    2. Re:Many things will happen ... by geoffspear · · Score: 5, Funny

      We can just build a new moon. With blackjack. And hookers.

      --
      Don't blame me; I'm never given mod points.
    3. Re:Many things will happen ... by Vengeance · · Score: 4, Funny

      In fact, forget about the moon.

      --
      It was a joke! When you give me that look it was a joke.
    4. Re:Many things will happen ... by tbannist · · Score: 3, Funny

      Ah, forget about the blackjack too.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    5. Re:Many things will happen ... by roman_mir · · Score: 3, Funny

      ah, screw the whole thing.

  10. Few Billion Years? by the_crowing · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I really don't think humans will last another thousand years (with the way we're poluting the environment and declaring war on each other plus the rising threat of nuclear weapons) let alone another few billion years. And provided we do last that long, I'm sure the standards for classifying planets will have changed hundreds of more times by then.

    1. Re:Few Billion Years? by Control+Group · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I think you're confusing the term "humans" with "human civilization as we are familiar with it."

      The odds of current civilization lasting another thousand years may be low, for the reasons you cite. The odds, however, of us successfully wiping out so much of the population that humans are no longer a viable species within the next thousand years are, in my opinion, fantastically low. We breed too fast, we're spread over 30% of the planet's total area, and we're highly adaptable to changing conditions.

      Frankly, I fully expect some descendant species of humans to be living here pretty much right up until the planet is inside the sun.

      --

      Reality has a conservative bias: it conserves mass, energy, momentum...
  11. Re:So what? by BecomingLumberg · · Score: 4, Funny

    "I would gladly send my kid to this elementary school if they could prove that they could teach concepts like orbital decay and barycenters to to nine-year-olds."

    I would only send my kid there if they LEARNED it. I have a feeling they most nine-year-olds would be picking boogers during that class.

    --
    If a nation expects to be ignorant and free, in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be.-TJ
  12. Re:So what? by Mr2cents · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I already consider the moon-earth as a bi-planetary system. What's the big deal with these definitions, anyway? No matter where you draw the line, there will always be cases where there will be discussion. Like the criterium that the object has to be "nealy spherical" because of it's own gravity. Lots of planetoids are somewhere on this vague border.

    Comets, asteroids, planets, stars, they all have grey areas between them.

    --
    "It's too bad that stupidity isn't painful." - Anton LaVey
  13. Re:Gosh. How shocking. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Wrong, wrong, wrong! Just RTFA. The moon does not have to escape the Earth's gravitational pull in order to be re-classified as a planet. The only thing that would be necessary (according to the new definition of a planet) is that the Moon moves further away from the Earth, just enough so that the barycenter of the Earth-Moon system is above the surface of the Earth. The Moon would still orbit the Earth. Obviously, the moderators who gave a +5 Insightful to your comment have not read the article either.

  14. Re:And what's the problem? by jolyonr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Please stop giving +1 Insightfuls to people who either a) haven't read the article or b) haven't undestood it. The moon could be reclassified as a planet EVEN IF IT STILL ORBITS THE EARTH. It depends on whether the center of gravity of the pair is inside the earth or not.

    --


    Please read my Canon EOS tech blog at http://www.everyothershot.com
  15. Taking the long view? by Rob+T+Firefly · · Score: 4, Funny

    People are already arguing over things that may happen in a few billion years? I don't even buy green bananas!

  16. Earth's rotational inertia is limited by vincecate · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The energy to lift the Moon's orbit comes from the rotational energy of the Earth, which is limited. As the Moon gets higher the Earth rotates slower. There may not be enough energy to lift the Moon high enough to qualifty.

  17. Seven years ago, to be exact by Megane · · Score: 3, Funny

    Remember when that radioactive waste dump on the moon blew up and sent big chunks of it all over the place? Yeah, that was some kind of fireworks. Good thing it was on our side of the planet when it happened or we'd have missed all the fun.

    Too bad about that moon base that was on one of the smaller chunks. That thing really hauled ass. Oh well, so it goes.

    --
    #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  18. Re:Gosh. How shocking. by MindStalker · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is called a Twin Planet. And no it would nolonger orbit the earth the earth, the "moon" would orbit eachother at a common point. Either way, I see no reason that once we have this designation of moon vs planet why we should be so beholden of "our" moon that we can't accept it nolonger being a moon. We shouldn't change the definition just to fit some popular idea.

  19. Re:sea levels by Don_dumb · · Score: 4, Informative
    the farther away the moon is, the lower the seas
    Are you sure?
    It was my understanding that the moon affects the level of the tides, not the mean sea level, which is far more a product of the Earths gravity and dependant sea water pressure/density.

    and this should compensate for the ice melting.. although I always wonder what's the big deal, since icebergs are 90% submerged anyway, and ice takes more space than water (cause of the air bubbles)
    Yes all those scientists must have missed that one, eh?, I am glad there are informed people like you in world to set them straight.
    You are assuming that all the ice is in the seas, which it is NOT. A large amount sits on land in the form of Ice Shelves, there is enough to cover an entire contient (Antarctica) as well as most of Greenland and Canada, not to mention all the ice in Glaciers. As all this melts (and there is enough in Antarctia to contain 90% of the worlds fresh water) it wil flow into the sea and the sea level will rise, that is 'the big deal'.

    But don't worry I am sure Mr President will give you a big pay rise for that wonderfully dismissive comment on the effects of climate change.
    --
    If this were really happening, what would you think?
  20. Re:Gosh. How shocking. by kfg · · Score: 3, Funny

    The moon does not have to escape the Earth's gravitational pull in order to be re-classified as a planet.

    Well thank God for that. My head would probably asplode if they decided Mars wasn't a planet, although the Big Ass Red Round Thing has a nice alliterative ring to it.

    KFG

  21. Re:Fatal Flaw in IAU Definition by kalidasa · · Score: 3, Informative

    That's not how the definition works - if a coorbital body has the barycenter of its minor orbit with its companion body outside either body, it's a planet. If it is too small to ignite fusion and orbits a star, it's a planet, regardless of whether the barycenter of the planet-star system is inside the surface of the star.

  22. Re:So what? by lowrydr310 · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm almost 26 and I'm picking boogers right now while reading these comments. (I'm serious)

  23. Earth won't still be rotating by then by codemaster2b · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A few billion years? Why should they care?

    It was projected that in a matter of millions of years, the moon will cause the earth to stop rotating altogether. Without rotation, do you seriously think we will inhabit this planet?

    For that matter, in a matter of millions of years, we should have developed a technology for making the earth rotate as fast as we wish, and moving the moon back where we want it to be. All it requires is enough rocket-power by even today's standards.

    --
    And over there we have the labyrinth guards. One always lies, one always tells the truth, and one stabs people who ask t
  24. Re:What, exactly, do the slashdot editors do? by klparrot · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Do you people even bother to check the stories and the claims made in the before posting?

    Maybe you should RTFA. The SPACE.com story is talking about in a few billion years, when the barycentre of the Earth-Moon system has moved above the surface of the earth. That would make the Earth and the Moon double planets. In a few billion years. The IAU FAQ you quoted was more concerned about right now.

  25. Planetary System rather than Planet/Moon by scruffy · · Score: 3, Insightful
    I'd prefer to think of the Earth and the Moon as a single planetary system, consisting of two planets (both easily satisfying the big enough/round enough definition). For simplicity and consistency, we can call the system Earth just like old times.

    Ditto for Pluto and Charon.

  26. Our biggest problem then ... by wmaster · · Score: 3, Funny

    I am hopefully looking forward to this "Golden Age" in just a few billions of years, when our biggest problem definitely will be the fact, that the moon would be reclassified as a planet under the new IAU definition. ;-) Greetings, Chris

    --
    "An operating system must operate."
  27. Eh. I have a problem with that. by porkchop_d_clown · · Score: 4, Funny

    Calling Jupiter a "failed star" is like calling me a "failed super model" - I mean, yeah, there's some similarities between me and a super model but it's extremely unlikely anyone would ever mistake me for one.

    IIRC, Jupiter has only about 1% of the mass needed to achieve fusion, so it's a long, long way from being a star. I, on the other hand easily have ten times the mass required to be a super model.

    1. Re:Eh. I have a problem with that. by roman_mir · · Score: 3, Funny

      Don't go anywhere without a fire extinguisher.

  28. Re:What would its name be by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 3, Funny

    If what?

    --
    Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
  29. Both a planet and a moon by mrogers · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Why can't something be both a planet and a moon? As far as I understand it, the new IAU definition of a planet is something that's in orbit around a star, is not a star, and is large enough for gravity to make it roughly spherical. A moon is something that's in orbit around a planet. So you could argue that our Moon is already a planet (it's in orbit around the Sun as well as the Earth). The same would apply to many other large moons in the solar system.

  30. Re:Who cares? by Lehk228 · · Score: 3, Funny

    yea it would be annoying if astronomers stopped paying attention to space and only talked about balls and gas

    --
    Snowden and Manning are heroes.
  31. Re:Sun or Earth? by polymath69 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think Asimov said something like this in one of his thousand books. His argument was that, unique among (known) moons, Luna's orbit is always curved towards the sun, making it more of a coplanet than a proper moon. But I can't remember which book it was, unfortunately.

    --

    --
    I don't want to rule the world... I just want to be in charge of mayonnaise.
  32. Not a bad situation at all by 9x320 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If the moon going further away from the Earth causes the barycenter of Earth to drift outside its surface, then the Earth will be orbiting a point outside itself, with its orbit becoming greater the farther the barycenter drifts, until it peaks at one point. This is similar to Pluto constantly orbiting a point outside itself, as illustrated in this NASA chart hosted by Wikipedia. I think that when a moon begins to have that effect, it should be classified as a planet.

    Currently, the Earth's barycenter is three-fourths of the way to its surface, causing it to sort of wobble, rather than fully orbit an invisible point. This is like an analogy: This is like a Chippendale stripper doing a pelvic thrust, rather than running around in a circle.

    Earth's orbit around the sun currently makes the sun wobble in a barely perceptible fashion. Jupiter's orbit around the sun, however, causes the sun to orbit a point about 7% above its surface. I think that there should be a new class of planets for the purposes of describing a planet that makes a star orbit itself in this manner.

    Clearly, all brown dwarfs orbiting a star would also have a similar or greater effect. The best way to describe it, in my opinion, would be by merely affixing "co-orbital" to describe a planet altering the sun's orbit in this fashion, or a brown dwarf orbiting a star doing this.

    If this causes a planet to be "co-orbital" for only part of its orbit, or a natural satellite to be a planet for part of its orbit, in some eccentric situations, that's fine with me. There's one other issue with the new definition that makes me uncertain, though. EL61 is a "minor planet" that has a very oblong shape caused by its own orbit around the sun. If it were in a slower, closer orbit, its own gravity would almost certainly be enough to warp it into a nearly spherical shape. Should EL61 be considered a planet, despite its problem?

  33. Re:Do the math... by LiquidCoooled · · Score: 5, Informative

    Consider 2 bodies of equal mass seperated by a distance of X.
    The Centre of mass is right in the centre of the space between them.

    The distance X increases by 1 unit, does the centre of mass also increase by 1 unit?

    Adjust this equation to put it into earth/lunar context and you will understand why scientists don't just "google the math".

    --
    liqbase :: faster than paper
  34. Re:Sun or Earth? by 2short · · Score: 4, Informative

    "Of Time and Space and Other Things"

    Which was a collection of essays on various interesting science stuff, though I don't know if any of it was published seperately.

  35. Basketball is a peaceful planet! by wsanders · · Score: 3, Funny

    There once was an orbiting entity
    Neither planet nor moon in identity
    The IAU bickered /.-ers snickered
    It was too close to Earth; no Pluton, pity.

    --
    Give a man a fish and you have fed him for today. Teach a man to fish, and he'll say "WHERE'S MY FISH, YOU IDIOT?"
  36. So, how long did it take to GET there? by AF+Webster · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Moving away at its current speed, it would have taken 10bn years to move from the Roche limit to its current position. (In rough figures: 4*(10^8)m / (0.04m/year) = 10^10years)

    But the moon is drifting away due to tidal effects. So it would have been drifting faster in the past. Taking that into account, the MAXIMUM possible time the Moon could have been orbiting earth is less than 1.5bn years.

    So how come many scientists think the Earth-Moon system is 4.5bn years old? Maybe they just haven't done the math.