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FAA Plans to Clean Up the Skies

coondoggie writes "On top of its recently announced plan to reduce flight delays, Federal Aviation Administration officials today launched what they hope will be pan U.S. and European Union joint action plan to cut greenhouse gas emissions from aircraft. Specifically the group announced the Atlantic Interoperability Initiative to Reduce Emissions or AIRE — the first large-scale environmental plan aimed at uniting aviation players from both sides of the Atlantic."

249 comments

  1. AIRE by dotslashdot · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    As American pilots say, "To AIRE is human, to drink, de wine!"

  2. Re:Bout time we did something about those skies by bobo+mahoney · · Score: 3, Funny

    Forget about the ozone - I want more CO2. I mean the plants really love that stuff and I like my plants to be healtthy.

    --
    Bobo Mahoney
  3. Happy to see government agencies doing right by mollog · · Score: 1

    Years of the Bush administration have left me feeling so grateful when I seem a government agency doing something in the public interest.

    What they're proposing makes a lot of sense and can save a lot of CO2. Unfortunately, if they're serious, it will mean that all planes will be fully loaded before they take off, no more half-empty planes. On the up-side, it will save the airlines lots of money, reduce noise, speed gate-to-gate times and make our air cleaner. Good news.

    --
    Best regards.
    1. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I assure you, all planes are fully loaded when they take off.. it's called the frieght industry.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    2. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by mollog · · Score: 1

      I assure you, all planes are fully loaded when they take off.. it's called the frieght industry.

      Good catch, and I appreciate them doing this. In the long run, it makes the economy more efficient.

      I would think that larger planes would also improve efficiency. That would be good news for passengers. I loath flying in the commuter planes; slow, noisy, cramped.

      Places like LA will be the biggest winners with this effort by the FAA.
      --
      Best regards.
    3. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by smilindog2000 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      So, after all these years of denying that global warming was happening, suddenly Bush is the anti-global-warming president? What a crock of sh-t. So, why the change of heart? I think I've figured it out: Gore is winning the public perception war in America, and going against him hurts the GOP's chances in 2008. Plain and simple Bush style BS. I hope the public doesn't get fooled.

      --
      Beer is proof that God loves us, and wants us to be happy.
    4. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by Nexx · · Score: 1

      vs. having fewer large aircraft in a hub-and-spoke: still slow due to fuel bits, still noisy and still cramped because you're sitting in cattle class, but now you have to make multiple flights.

    5. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by vought · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I loath flying in the commuter planes; slow, noisy, cramped.

      Unfortunately for you, (and me) most flyers care more about schedule convenience, and perceive all aircraft as the same noisy, cramped environment.

      I would think that larger planes would also improve efficiency.

      Sure, I'd prefer to stuff medium to high density routes with nothing but 767s, 787s and 777s flying 1-2x a day instead of the 5-6 flights each day between say, SJC and DFW. But it ain't gonna happen. It's easier to sell a ticket on a 50-seat Canadair to someone who wants to leave in mid-afternoon than to convince them to wait several hours to take a more efficient, larger jet. And the efficiencies of scale aren't all that bad for small jets, either.

      (Even when I did try to shoehorn my schedule around so I could fly United's 777 service instead of yet another aging 737 or claustrophobic 757, United screwed up and I got to watch the 777 push back as the jet I was in taxied to the gate over an hour late. I ended up on the smelly, cramped 737 I was trying to avoid.)

      Most people don't fly high density routes because the hub-and-spoke system puts lots of people on lots of planes going to a handful of airports. It's easier to service the system with lots of small to medium sized airplanes.

    6. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by fbjon · · Score: 1

      It seems a lot of people talk about things as if US government = Bush. I'm wondering, does the US president really have that much power?

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    7. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      I agree, it sounds good in theory but I doubt that their own massive reservation systems are suddenly going to optimise for fuel as opposed to overall profit. Unfortuantely the only practical way to reduce emmissions from the global air transport system is to increase the cost of oil (ie: less people/freight flying).

      I haven't RTFA but I'm guessing that it's a PR stunt to cloud the issue of fuel subsidies that are bestowed apon most airlines around the world enabling them to "run at a loss" on one or more routes.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    8. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by AncientPC · · Score: 1

      In regards to foreign politics, yes. In regards to domestic politics, no.

      It's just the latest trend to bash Bush wherever possible whether or not he actually has anything to do with a policy.

    9. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by salec · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There already are air corridors. Why not train airline pilots in joining, leaving and flying in "wild geese" - "V" shaped formations on common path segments to save fuel? Of course, provided passenger airplanes could fly in formations at all... AFAIK they avoid flying in trail of another airliner because of turbulences. Then, why military planes can fly in formations, what is essential difference? Wing span?

    10. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by MBGMorden · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Possibly wake turbulence. Much like a boat, an airplane leaves a "wake" in the air behind it. For smaller planes, it's not that big an issue (when doing a steep turn in a Cessna 150 I often hit my own wake. Just rocks the plane for a little "jolt" but otherwise no big deal - but thats the wake of a 20' long plane weighing around 1300lbs). As planes get larger/heavier though, their wake becomes more and more intense.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    11. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by hswerdfe · · Score: 2, Informative

      I assure you. you are wrong.
      there are many planes that take off half full every day
      There is a flight every hour Ottawa-Toronto it is usually less then half full.
      I took a flight from Seatle to SF that was less then half full.
      Calgary to SF was about 3/4.

      --
      --meh--
    12. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by salec · · Score: 1

      OK, but what do you, as a pilot, think: is "airline geese flock" plausible idea?

      Do we have some Air Force transporter airplane pilots here to comment? If they don't do or can't do that, then it probably will never fly.

    13. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but I'm a private pilot that's never flown formation, nor ever flown anything that seats more than 2 people, so I don't really have an informed viewpoint on the geese flock idea (uninformed gut reaction though, says that it's just not a good idea). All I really know about "big airplanes" and high volume traffic areas is how to stay sufficiently out of their way to not cause any accidents :).

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    14. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was that airplane that crashed over New York City apparently due to taking off slightly too early and getting caught up in the wake of a JAL 747 that had left right before it.

    15. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by Melfina · · Score: 1

      Good Lord, since when can all of the US government organizations be pooled into a simple category called "Bush". This man has nothing to do with this. It's the FAA. Bush does not work for the FAA.

      --
      :3 rawr.
    16. Re:Happy to see government agencies doing right by vought · · Score: 1

      That jet crashed because the pilot exceeded the rudder travel limits; he wa-wahed the rudder so fast it snapped; without slew control, he crashed in Queens.

      Airbus did make changes to the rudder to strengthen it and avoid a repeat. Wake turbulence was a factor, but not the cause of the incident.

  4. Lead In Fuels? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What about the lead thats in General Aviation Fuel? Are they doing anything to reduce that?

    1. Re:Lead In Fuels? by scatters · · Score: 2, Informative

      More to the point, are they doing anything to reduce the price of avgas..?

      Seriously though, the biggest problem with avgas is the huge 'install base', which - if you replace TEL with ethanol which absorbs moisture and can cause rusting of fuel lines, etc - tends to fall out of the sky, rather than break down by the side of the road.
      Many high performance aviation engines require higher octane gasoline than is available in motor gasoline form, although a number of lower compression engines which were originally certified for 80/87 avgas can obtain a supplemental type certification for 87 octane motor gas (fuel lines, fittings, etc. have to be upgraded). Some airport fueling stations do carry mogas and it has the added benefit of being a bit cheaper.

      --
      A One that isn't cold, is scarcely a One at all.
    2. Re:Lead In Fuels? by TopSpin · · Score: 4, Informative

      What about the lead thats in General Aviation Fuel? Are they doing anything to reduce that? To be clear; the fuel burned by jets is not leaded. This accounts for the vast bulk of aviation fuel consumption. Leaded fuel is used by most piston engined aircraft.

      --
      Lurking at the bottom of the gravity well, getting old
    3. Re:Lead In Fuels? by hax4bux · · Score: 1

      Ya, the FAA is doing plenty to reduce the consumption of 100LL.

      They are trying to impose user fees and escalate the cost of flying even more.

    4. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Alioth · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, most of that is caused by bureaucratic inertia.

      Aircraft piston engines and fuel systems must be certified by the FAA. Most of the engines themselves (pretty much anything normally aspirated) does not require lead, they are so far away from their detonation margins. In many engines and fuel systems, it's really just a case of paperwork bureaucracy stopping them. It's so incredibly expensive to certify a plane for unleaded use that no one will do it.

      There are other problems too. Most piston aircraft systems date from the 1940s (due to the incredible expense of getting anything new certified) so they still use seals that get damaged by alcohol in normal automotive fuel.

      There is no technological reason why we couldn't get rid of leaded fuel for normally aspirated piston engines tomorrow. The FAA is the brake on this. Most aircraft owners would switch to unleaded in a heartbeat because it's far cheaper.

    5. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Fuel should be leaded! When I smell those sweet vapors in teh Arizona sky I silently sing our anthem and think of soaring eagles! I'm sick and tired of atheist demon-crats insisting on "clean" fuel. It's downright un-American. I bet you're one of those lie-brul hippies who likes to "cycle" or use communist software!

      Shame on you! Nutjobs like you probably want Al Gore and the terrorists to win!

    6. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Gordonjcp · · Score: 4, Informative

      Fuel should be leaded!

      Indeed it should. We'd be a lot better off without the filthy menace of unleaded petrol pumping benzene vapours into the atmosphere. Lead is toxic - massively toxic in certain compounds (lead acetate was what did in the Romans, from making a sweet by boiling wine in lead pots), but practically inert in the form that comes out of petrol engine exhausts. Furthermore, the lead carbonate that you get mostly settles out on the first 18" or so of exhaust pipe.

      By comparison, unleaded petrol uses benzene instead of tetraethyl lead as an anti-knock agent, which is highly toxic and carcinogenic. Then on top of that we've got the eco-disaster that is catalytic converters, belching out dense clouds of hydrogen sulphide unless they're run at extremely high exhaust gas temperatures - which produces massive amounts of nitrogen oxides. By a nasty little quirk, catalytic converters make car exhaust *more* polluting when driven at low speeds (such as in towns, where they'd be most useful) than when driven at motorway speeds.

    7. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The answer to this is twofold:

      1) Jet fuel is basically kerosene - it is not leaded and there would be no benifit to adding anti-knock agents to it anyway

      2) There has yet to be any evidence produced that TEL in petrol causes any form of lead poisoning to any animal - including humans - or the environment. A very small amount of research will show that. The evidence used by the various parties to justify banning the use of lead compounds in automotive fuels was all based on a single study (at least it was when it was introduced into New Zealand which was when I did my research into the issue). It seemed mostly based on the idea that "everyone knows lead is a poison". While that is true of elemental lead, the lead compounds in an engine exhaust are not elemental lead at all, they are mostly lead halides - quite a different story.

      As far as I could tell at the time the reasons for introducig leaded petrol were mostly tied up in the reduction of the use of Toluene and Xylene as paint thinners in the automotive industry, leaving the petrol companies needing a new market for these chemicals - guess what they now use as anti-knock agents? These chemicals release Benzine when burned - a known carcinogen.

      It was interesting to me that the NZ department of health made the comments that the estimated extra 50 cases per annum of leukemia that this would cause was worth it to get lead out of petrol because everyone knows how bad lead is.

    8. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mayor Daley, is that you?

    9. Re:Lead In Fuels? by hax4bux · · Score: 1

      Dear AC:
          Of course, you have no idea what my ethic or economic status is.

          It reads like you leave reasonably close to an airport w/scheduled jet service. Many of us do not. Whenever I must fly commercial, it takes over two hours (one way) to drive to the big airport, plus another two hours to run the TSA gauntlet. Then perhaps the airplane might leave.

          In the same 4 hours I could have flown 600NM, which is pretty much anywhere I need to go.

          I am happy for you if commercial air service meets your needs. It does not meet mine.

          If I really was rich, the proposed user fee of $25 wouldn't matter much. I just happen to feel that fuel taxes, etc already represent my fair share of the costs. And the reality is that most pilots are not airplane owners and personal flight is already a rare treat for them.

          But of course, you knew all this. Right?

          P.S. If you call me a golfer again I will hunt you down and spank you. You have been warned.

    10. Re:Lead In Fuels? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      There is no technological reason why we couldn't get rid of leaded fuel for normally aspirated piston engines tomorrow.

      That's actually not true. The lead acts as both a lubricant, extending the engine's life, and as an octane booster. While they can come up with replacement octane boosters, they typically are much more expensive and even more dangerous for the environment while providing for worse fuel economy.

      It's true that many engines which have lower compression can run on normal auto fuel (and many do in limited quantities) but it creates a whole new world of safety problems like vapor lock, higher operating temps, and premature component wear. Worse, the larger, higher compression engines simply can not run auto fuel without detonation; which is a none starter.

      I've seen estimates which state only as much as 40% of the existing light GA piston market can hope to obtain an auto fuel STC. That still leaves a huge chunk that would not be able to fly while creating more dangerous skys for the a large chunk of the 40% that did convert.

      Long story short, I believe you are over simplifying the situation.

      Most aircraft owners would switch to unleaded in a heartbeat because it's far cheaper.

      This is very true! Most people tend to think plane owners are millionaires but reality is, most plane owners are your typical middle class Americans ($40,000/yr+) that passes on expensive cars and big dinners for the privilege of owning and piloting.

    11. Re:Lead In Fuels? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Even worse, they are trying to get light GA to pay the airlines' shares while the airlines deposit what was once a federal tax and claim for their own income. All the while, empowering the airlines to run, regulate, and establish policy for the FAA.

    12. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Alioth · · Score: 1

      Not exactly true either. Look at John Deakin's column at AvWeb. Lead does not lubricate, nor does it lower combustion temps in any meaningful way, all it does is prevent detonation/preignition in SOME engines. GAMI have done quite a bit of testing in this regard, and the only engines that need the higher octane are super or turbocharged. Everything normally aspirated is so far from its detonation margins, it simply doesn't need the lead - and the whole thing about 'lubrication' is an OWT (old wives' tale). This has been verified in the lab.

      Even 'high compression' normally aspirated aviation piston engines are very low compression compared to everything else. For many normally aspirated engines, the lead is actually bad for the engine - from a minor annoyance like fouled spark plugs, to more serious problems such as sticking valves (that's what 100LL caused in the C-85 engine in our C140). In my current aircraft, powered by an O-320-B2B you have to taxi with the mixture leaned right out to stop the lead in 100LL from fouling plugs - indeed, this is a common practise with the O-320. Fortunately, we can run mogas in our aircraft (I'm not in the United States). There is NO difference at all in EGT or CHT when running mogas instead of 100LL, and that's in the very harsh environment of aerotowing gliders (lots of high power, low airspeed operations).

    13. Re:Lead In Fuels? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Lead does not lubricate,

      Interesting. That conflicts which a faily well known tidbit. When they moved to low leaded fuels, engines started going belly up at an alarming rate. The engine manufacturers had to change the metallurgy of various internal components. The change was required because of the lack of lubrication caused by the reduction of lead. As a result of the loss of lubrication, additional friction was created which drastically increased the wear rates.

      all it does is prevent detonation/preignition in SOME engines.

      Actually, in most engines. You'll find once you get much cast 360's, the lead is pretty much required.

      This has been verified in the lab.

      I've read a fair number of Deakin's articles. I'm very pro Deakin. Is this one of his articles? Regardless, can you point me to your reference?

      taxi with the mixture leaned right out to stop the lead in 100LL from fouling plugs

      That's SOP. The only pilots I don't know that lean for taxi are the pilots that constantly complain of fouled plugs.

      Everything normally aspirated is so far from its detonation margins, it simply doesn't need the lead

      I would guess this is true for newer engines. Older engines simply do not have uniform air/fuel distribution which can drastically reduce detonation margines. Engines which are powered by GAMIs have much improved margins but this reflects a tiny portion of the GA fleet.

      You're also forgettig that something about the formulation of 100LL versions 100 does wonders to prevent vaporlock. Normal 100LL is fairly well documented to suffer from vaporlock. Vaporlock alone is one reason why those that do have autofuel STCs still tend to mix in some 100LL.

    14. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Alioth · · Score: 1
      Ah, but those 'well known tidbits' are the very old wives' tales. The plural of 'anecdote' is not 'data' :-)

      http://www.avweb.com/news/pelican/182149-1.html

      In case you're not registered with AvWeb, here are some salient parts:

      Lead Myths

      * Lead does NOT "cushion" or "lubricate" valves. There is nothing in the serious literature, and no known scientific data to support this notion. If you know of something, please write. I said DATA, not some mechanic or overhauler mouthing this decades-old gossip

      [...]

      * Lead does NOT cause valves to run cooler or hotter. Lead does NOT prevent (or cause) "valve recession."

      [...]
      Just for one example, the FAA ran a twin with flat sixes for several hundred hours, one engine running 100LL, and the other side with unleaded fuel. Then they tore both engines down and used some custom-built instrumentation to measure the valve wear. The lead did no good, at all. That's pretty good data, but I'd like to see more of it. Well done, FAA!


      A twin with flat sixes is not an O-320, it's going to be bigger.

      Avweb have a list of all of Deakin's engine related articles, including one about how there are very few engines that need the octane rating of 100LL (and about a particular aero engine that is ALWAYS detonating at full power, regardless of the fuel!)
    15. Re:Lead In Fuels? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      You made your point. I'll do some more reading. I did want to point out that I said, "once you get much over 360's"...you said 320. And yes, you can find sixes in the 360-400 range. Besides, the number of cylinders really has nothing to do with anything. Its really a question of compression and horepower.

    16. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Alioth · · Score: 1

      A twin with flat sixes is also likely to be above an O-360, too. As for compression, normally aspirated aero engines are so low compression it's almost funny. For an extreme, compare my Dad's 600cc bike engine (which is normally aspirated, carburetted, and not computer controlled - just the most basic electronic ignition) which runs just fine on the lowest octane fuel available at the pump.

      High compression in aero engines means something like 8.5:1. Tell anyone outside the GA world that 8.5:1 is high compression and they'll laugh at you! A normal low performance car these days (certainly in Europe) will have a compression ratio at least this high (and high performance cars a good deal higher).

    17. Re:Lead In Fuels? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Yes, I'm fully aware of everything you state. I'm not sure where you're going here. I never said anything about "high compression" or "low compression". Simple fact is, what you're trivializing is well known to be a problem for several decades and your effort to trivialize it nets nothing. If it were a trivial problem most GA planes would be running lead free fuels. Period. But despite lots and lots of research, there is no easy, inexpensive solution; despite your comments.

      Seriously, you think your dad's bike engine has anything to do with aviation engines? About the only thing they have in common are pistons which go up and down. Most engines spend 80% of their life at ~20% power. Aviation engines spend 80% of their life at 75% power...or more. The operating environmnet is completely different. Most aviation engines don't even have uniform air/fuel distribution to all of the cylinders. Most aviation engines don't have uniform cooling across all cylinders. On top of that, the air/fuel mixture is constantly changing in aviation engines (you are remembering to reset your altimeter...right). Aviation engines are built for drasically different operating requirements and environments. Corner case failures for most engines and fuel systems can mean death for pilots and passengers; while remaining perfectly safe of ground based vehicles.

      Simply stated, while you may have educated me on lead and lubrication, the problem is several orders of magnatude more complex than what you are trivializing. If you want lead free fuels used in GA, the solution is simple. Force a revamping of the FAA and their certification procedures. Next, create a government buy back program at new engine pro-rated rates and you'll soon find (over the next decade), safer, cleaner skies.

    18. Re:Lead In Fuels? by Alioth · · Score: 1

      On the last point, that is exactly what my first post in the thread was coming to: the FAA is the roadblock preventing us from getting rid of leaded fuels. As John Deakin's article points out, avgas minus the lead (i.e. the same formulation, simply without the TEL added) would cover the vast majority of the GA fleet; it would be compatible with the seals and other parts (which makes many aircraft fuel systems incompatible with gasahol), would have the same vapour lock properties as leaded avgas, and would lower the cost for petrochemical companies (and hopefully the end user). The few engines that wouldn't be compatible with unleaded avgas could be made so with a FADEC system.

      Why doesn't it happen? Because all the engines would have to go through a massive recertification program to run on unleaded avgas, and the price just isn't worth it for the likes of Lycoming and Continental. So the status quo remains. GA will be dead before the new diesels can make a significant dent, too.

      My dad's bike engine DOES have significant similarities to aviation engines, and you brought up compression - so I thought I'd point out that no normally aspirated aviation engine is even remotely high compression. My dad's engine is a carburetted (i.e. poor mixture distribution) racing engine which does spend most of its time operating at high power levels (usually >90%), for significant times (the IOM TT circuit is 37.75 miles long, and the sidecars do three laps). The mixture is also constantly changing - the IOM TT course changes altitude significantly (nearly 2000 feet), while not as much as an aviation engine, the bike engine doesn't have a mixture control or any kind of altitude compensation. It's much higher compression than any aviation piston engine, yet doesn't detonate itself to pieces on normal premium fuel.

      The (technical) problem is NOT several orders of magnitude more complex - indeed, in most cases, the technical problem IS trivial - just remove the TEL from avgas works for the vast majority of engines; the fuel will be the same with respect to seals, vapour lock etc. as leaded avgas. The problem that IS complex is the bureaucratic problem resulting in an expense that would be so high that technically simple solutions are just unavailable, because no one is willing to spend the vast amounts of money it would take.

  5. I've got a better idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    They could force anal probes on the passengers claiming that it is necessary to fight terrorism.

    Nobody would take a plane anymore and the skies would be clear.... and secure!

    1. Re:I've got a better idea by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You're kiding right? People would, and do, bend over.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    2. Re:I've got a better idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about forcing them to vote Republican?

      You can argue that it is necessary to keep Bush in power to fight terrorism, and if people will really do anything to keep flying, this will result in a continual majority for the GOP!

    3. Re:I've got a better idea by bdjacobson · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      How about forcing them to vote Republican?

      You can argue that it is necessary to keep Bush in power to fight terrorism, and if people will really do anything to keep flying, this will result in a continual majority for the GOP! No, those people you'd have to force to vote liberal. Those people already DO vote republican.
  6. I'm all for cleaning up by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

    but why put extra pressure on a crumbling industry right now? Another year or two isn't going to make much of a difference in the scheme of the environment. The waste per passenger must be lower than that of driving a car (speculation). Even if planes were the most horrible polluters, now doesn't seem like the time?

    1. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by Swoopy · · Score: 3, Informative

      Stop speculating.
      The waste per passenger, but most of all the method and place (high in the sky) of combustion ensure that greenhouse effects of aviation fuel are far worse than those of motorcars' combustion engines.
      http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/0210/p14s02-sten.htm l
      If you're planning to travel, want to do it the way that's most environmentally friendly and the consideration whether to drive instead of fly is a realistic option (e.g. both take about a day of travel, no large body of water to cross), then drive.

    2. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by Swoopy · · Score: 1

      more here, someone who figured it out for one particular personal case and is realistic enough to qualify his analysis as "sketchy", but I think it's insightful:
      http://www.theoildrum.com/story/2005/10/1/181114/6 67

    3. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by LehiNephi · · Score: 1

      I agree--how many US-based airlines are in bankruptcy protection now, or have been in the recent past? There are already enormous inefficiencies in our airline industry, many caused by government regulation. Adding more regulation just means that it'll be harder for the airlines to survive. Yes, it's important to worry about the environment, but we can't go off forcing 'solutions' that create even worse problems.

      --
      Help find a cure for cancer. Join the [H]orde
    4. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but why put extra pressure on a crumbling industry right now? Another year or two isn't going to make much of a difference in the scheme of the environment. The waste per passenger must be lower than that of driving a car (speculation). Even if planes were the most horrible polluters, now doesn't seem like the time?

      Your speculation is incorrect - mile for mile, a family of four is going to pump more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere in a fully occupied 747 than a minivan. And things get much worse when you consider that most planes are not fully occupied and also in planes much smaller (and more polluting per passenger-mile) than 747s.

      Though the nice thing about the aside growth of the industry as a whole, the airline industry is the airlines' interests are aligned with the environment - the airlines practice of trying to keep airplanes full, cramming people in, and so forth happen to also cut emissions. Contrast this with GM, which loves to sell as many hummers as possible.

      As an aside, I've always been amused at how many "eco-narcissists" out there act all holier than thou because they don't drive and hate SUVs, but at the same time will globetrot around the world, and hence pump more CO2 into the atmosphere than somebody that drives a hummer every day.

    5. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by bestiarosa · · Score: 1

      Actually he should take the train to be even more environmentally friendly.

      I did it, from London to Milan, and I spent about 3 times the money and 6 times the time I'd have spent if I'd flown. Not a good deal and I can't see why an aeroplane ticket can cost me as little as 20 (tax included) while I have to spend at least 200 to go by train.
      Aren't trains supposed to be able to carry more people, and to waste less fuel?

      --
      :(){ :|:& };:
    6. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aren't trains supposed to be able to carry more people, and to waste less fuel?
      Yes, but they are more expensive because its much more expensive to lay down track, purchase land for where the track, and dig tunnels where required. When you factor in these costs, trains become very expensive.
    7. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by Tired+and+Emotional · · Score: 1
      >> but why put extra pressure on a crumbling industry right now?

      This will save them fuel costs.

      If you can save a ton of CO2 cross-atlantic, that's roughly 3000 litres of aviation kerosene, or something like $2000 worth (I don't have a current price).

      --
      Squirrel!
    8. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

      Sure, but youd think theyd already be doing things like that if it weren't going to make life difficult in other ways. They run non-full loads for other reasons than not caring about the environment. Some include wanting to have a bigger plane at the destination for a different flight. This might make positioning equipment harder. Even if there are exemptions for that, you can bet that the increased competition for seats will raise the prices even more and the consumer will be the one getting frustrated and the airlines will lose even more customers. Flying will become something only for the elite like cars were early on.

    9. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by AeroIllini · · Score: 1

      ...both take about a day of travel, no large body of water to cross... You are either from Europe or the east coast of the United States.

      Out here in the western United States, it's not one day to *anywhere*. You could conceivably drive 1000 miles in a day, but that would take up upwards of 16 hours of constant driving, not including stops for gas, rest, or food. It's much more likely that a fairly hardcore driver would max out at about 700-800 miles a day. With that in mind, check out the distances between US cities. Then, with a straight face, tell me that driving the 2050 miles between Seattle, WA and Chicago, IL (3 days, even for the hardcore) is easier than a 4 hour flight.

      Also, there is economics.

      2050 miles divided by average MPG of 24.7 times average $3.00 a gallon is $249 (not including hotel cost). A flight on United Airlines from SeaTac to O'Hare is about $300, booked far enough in advance.

      They are most *definitely* not the same.
      --
      For security, the MD5 hash of this message and sig is 09f911029d74e35bd84156c5635688c0.
    10. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Not to mention here in the US, the remaining passenger train service seems to be required to turn a profit, meanwhile the government seems to bail out the airlines every few years and no one seems to care.

    11. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by OldTOP · · Score: 1

      But the main short-term project is to "reduce trajectories" -- save fuel by getting the planes gate to gate with fewer delays. Can't see how that would cost the airlines a whole lot.

      --
      The universe was intelligently designed. Unfortunately God was in a hurry so he coded it in Java.
    12. Re:I'm all for cleaning up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a lot to swallow in that article. Conventional wisdom suggests clouds are good because they reduce the amount of incoming sunlight. This is saying they're bad because they trap thermal radiation.

      I could get into a long discussion about that conclusion, but instead I'll just point out something I do know, which is regarding your waste per passenger contention.

      A Boeing 767-300, a medium sized jet, has a max fuel load of 16,700 gallons, a range of about 5800 miles, and seating for 269 passengers in a typical configuration. Assuming a 10% fuel reserve was used in that range determination and a 75% load factor, that works out to about 70 passenger miles per gallon. That's about what two people would get sharing a compact car on a road trip in the US.

      And you don't have to be going terribly far before the travel times become very different. It takes over 12 hours to get to central California from my area by driving. I can make the same trip, including all the miscellanea like driving to the airport and security, in under 4 hours. My last flight to Chicago took a little over 5 hours. The time I drive to Chicago it took almost 3 full days and was much less pleasant.

  7. The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 3, Interesting

    is getting insane. With China the new carbon dioxide emissions leader we need to focus on finding actual new sources of energy. You know, so China will have some economic incentive to stop polluting so much, not that it would hurt for the USA to cut its emissions drastically as well.

    We need to face facts: Assuming the global climate is as fragile as all of the chicken littles claim, the US and Europe ceasing all greenhouse emissions right now would do nothing to save us from our gradual slide into superhurricane seasons and worldwide desert conditions, simply because India and China are still developing and couldn't give two shits about all of our initiatives if any cost them money.

    I'm still waiting on a testable model (no, not a replica of the globe, trolls) before I jump on this "global warming is both horrible and human-mediated" that so many people seem to have blindly latched onto, drawing absurd conclusions after equating correlation with causation and screaming as shrilly as the most terrifying of harpies when someone expresses so much as a single iota of skepticism at their grand new movement.

    My point is this: Cutting our planes' emissions will do nothing but place further financial strains on us, leading to a relative inability to compete with other countries less concerned about the illusory monster of global warming. In addition to this, it will do nothing to make a marked decrease in our own production of carbon dioxide and other gases.

    This is more government micromanagement that will do nothing but further bring us down.

    1. Re:The cult of Global Warming by EaglemanBSA · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I agree that we need vastly more information than we currently have, and further agree that I don't think the government should be micromanaging like this, but what if some companies found it profitable to do so on their own (fuel optimizations, etc.)?

      Surely there is much yet to discover about our planet and the way it works, and I agree that emissions standards must be scrutinized with respect to their economic impacts...I feel that the knee-jerk reaction Al Gore seems to be trying to illicit is not in our best interests economically, but I don't see any harm in people/companies trying to lessen our impact on the world around us...unless it means killing industry as we know it. There must be a balance of some sort.

      --
      Quiz: True or False -- On a scale of 1 to 10, what is your middle name?
    2. Re:The cult of Global Warming by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 3, Informative

      Happily for us, according to a Canadian climate scientist, based on the sunspot cycles, we're due for global cooling to start in 2020, so I wouldn't sweat it.

      So just maybe, if the "models" are accurate with regards to greenhouse gases, if we try really hard to produce more every year, we can reverse part of the eventual global cooling trend. Somehow I doubt that's likely.

      However, 15 years from now we'll have the FAA talking about their plan to increase greenhouse gas emissions from planes at the behest of the environmentalists and their allies in big oil who want to regulate people into not using so many alternative energy sources that don't produce enough carbon dioxide.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    3. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 1

      I'm all for the free market and have no issues with anyone voluntarily attempting to decrease their impact.

      If people find a way to make money off going green, more power to them, as it certainly won't hurt anything. My problem comes in when the government steps in like they have here. We all know what paves the road to hell, generic idioms, etc.

    4. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 2, Funny

      Sir, I find your ideas intriguing and would like to subscribe to your newsletter.

      I look forward to being downmodded by the same kneejerk retarderators you will face.

    5. Re:The cult of Global Warming by MarkByers · · Score: 4, Insightful

      > With China the new carbon dioxide emissions leader

      The US is still winning by far if you look at emissions per capita, which is the more relevant figure. You would expect a country with twicce the population to give out about twice the emissions, everything else being equal.

      --
      I'll probably be modded down for this...
    6. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 1

      Call me crazy, but (again) assuming carbon dioxide is the rancid poison to mother nature the greenies claim, I doubt she will care much about the per capita figures involved in the production of her demise.

    7. Re:The cult of Global Warming by compro01 · · Score: 1

      it's not the planet we need to be really concerned about. it'll still be here, spinning merrily, with other creatures on it.

      what we're concerned about is ourselves. rising water levels would be a rather nasty problem (think how many people live rather close to the coast), along with a rather unpleasant shift in the weather patterns, would foul things up rather severely.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    8. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 1

      Again, how is the per capita figure at all relevant then as anything beyond a "how bad we're doing" metric? It matters about as much as a Civic's horsepower per liter does compared to a Corvette.

    9. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Hal_Porter · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Freeman Dyson on Climate Models
      The first of my heresies says that all the fluff about global warming is grossly exaggerated. Here I am opposing the holy brotherhood of twilight model experts and the crowd of diluted citizens that believe the numbers predicted by their models. Of course they say I have no degree in meteorology and I am therefore not qualified to speak.

      But I have studied their climate models and know what they can do. The models solve the equations of fluid dynamics and do a very good job of describing the fluid motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. They do a very poor job of describing the clouds, the dust, the chemistry and the biology of fields, farms and forests. They do not begin to describe the real world that we live in.

      The real world is muddy and messy and full of things that we do not yet understand. It is much easier for a scientist to sit in an air-conditioned building and run computer models than to put on winter clothes and measure what is really happening outside in the swamps and the clouds. That's why the climate model experts end up believing their own models.

      There's no doubt that parts of the world are getting warmer, but the warming is not global. The warming happens in places and times where it is cold, in the arctic more than the tropics, in the winter more than the summer, at night more than the daytime.

      I'm not saying the warming doesn't cause problems, obviously it does. Obviously we should be trying to understand it. I'm saying that the problems are being grossly exaggerated. They take away money and attention from other problems that are much more urgent and important. Poverty, infectious diseases, public education and public health. Not to mention the preservation of living creatures on land and in the oceans.


      He also worked out a way to reverse global warming quite cheaply.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    10. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Platupous · · Score: 1

      The word you are looking for is "efficiency".

      Your argument against, actually supported the argument for.

      In the case that a Civic has a higher specific torque (hp/l) than a Corvette, it can be shown that the civic would be more efficient than the Corvette.

      In the same manner, if the US per capita output of carbon were higher than the Chinese, then (On the basis of carbon output to maintain a population) the Chinese would be more efficient.

      Beyond the how bad we are doing metric, we can strive to become more efficient in our energy usage, and thus reduce the amount of carbon we output.

      One fluorescent bulb in every American household would be the equivalent of removing 800,000 vehicles from the road. ( I saw that on a television commercial tonight )

    11. Re:The cult of Global Warming by LarsWestergren · · Score: 4, Insightful

      India and China are still developing and couldn't give two shits about all of our initiatives if any cost them money.

      Of course they will, if continuing emissions will in the long run be more expensive, and lead to a decrease in living standards.

      For instance - much of Asia gets it fresh water from snow melting in the mountain ranges during the summer. Last couple of years, less snow has fallen, and much of it melts during the winter. Then when spring and summer comes, and it is time to plant crops - droughts.

      I'm still waiting on a testable model (no, not a replica of the globe, trolls) before I jump on this "global warming is both horrible and human-mediated"

      Do you reject all science that doesn't have a complete testable model behind it? In science we can never be 100% sure about anything, but there are other ways to tackle a problem. For instance, we can discover that some gases absorb solar radiation better than others (180 yrs ago), postulate that if this warms stuff on a small scale, perhaps it might also affect thing globally, (110 yrs ago) then we can discover that climate is really really complicated, and we can continue to examine interactions and say with increasing confidence over many decades that humans do in fact effect thing globally (too much to link to, sorry).

      that so many people seem to have blindly latched onto, drawing absurd conclusions after equating correlation with causation and screaming as shrilly as the most terrifying of harpies

      Yeah, you are clearly the rational and un-biased one here. ;)

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    12. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Platupous · · Score: 1

      Freeman Dyson is a nuclear physicist, not a climatologist.

    13. Re:The cult of Global Warming by dhardisty · · Score: 1

      My point is this: Cutting our planes' emissions will do nothing but place further financial strains on us, leading to a relative inability to compete with other countries less concerned about the illusory monster of global warming.

      Since you're keen on models, do you have a model showing it will be a long term economic disadvantage to cut emissions? The fact is, most changes geared toward reducing global warming involve either 1) increased efficiency or 2) use of alternative, less-polluting energy. Given that fossil fuels are a limited resource, this is something we'll have to do eventually anyway, and we may as well be ahead of the curve.

    14. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 1

      My analogy was neither an argument for nor against anything. My comparison's intent was to point out that while the Civic certainly has better horsepower per liter numbers, it will get stomped by the other car with more sheer power, similar to the climate if you compare gross output of greenhouse gases.

    15. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 0, Troll

      I had no idea why we were mutual foes, but now I see its your fondness for amusingly pedantic hypotheticals and fallacies.

    16. Re:The cult of Global Warming by LarsWestergren · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Here I am opposing the holy brotherhood of twilight model experts and the crowd of diluted citizens that believe the numbers predicted by their models. Of course they say I have no degree in meteorology and I am therefore not qualified to speak.

      Do I detect the smell of burning martyr? Let me guess, another one who takes scientific scrutiny of his claims as attempts at censorship.

      It is much easier for a scientist to sit in an air-conditioned building and run computer models than to put on winter clothes and measure what is really happening outside in the swamps and the clouds.

      Lie, some countries have kept records of climate ever since the invention of the meteorological instruments in the 17th century, today we have over 7000 stations that measure land temperatures, we also use satellites to measure sea levels, water and troposphere temperatures.

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    17. Re:The cult of Global Warming by spectrokid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Is global warming going to kill us? No. Is it the end of civilization as we know it? No. But what is the cost of doing nothing? If you americans need to evacuate long island, who is going to pay indemnities? Who will decide which houses get protected by dikes and which ones are given up? Are you going to tell all these sea-side home owners "too bad, shouldn't have been driving that SUV around.."? Because if you do, I can't predict the climate, but I can predict the lawyers are going to be more busy than the engineers... This has NOTHING to do with tree-hugging. This is like choosing whether we pay for fire-insurance. We can choose to pay a little now, or run the risk of paying a hundred thousand times as much 30 years from now.

      --

      10 ?"Hello World" life was simple then

    18. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 1

      We live in a (sort of) free market country. It is in the airline industry's best interests to operate at their lowest possible costs both short term and long, therefore I believe that if it were a long term economic advantage to cut emissions as you say, they would already be doing it (as they might well be), and we wouldn't need the government to step in to tell everyone what to do.

    19. Re:The cult of Global Warming by LarsWestergren · · Score: 1

      I had no idea why we were mutual foes, but now I see its your fondness for amusingly pedantic hypotheticals and fallacies.

      All right. Care to point any of them out?

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    20. Re:The cult of Global Warming by LarsWestergren · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Happily for us, according to a Canadian climate scientist, based on the sunspot cycles, we're due for global cooling to start in 2020, so I wouldn't sweat it.

      Sadly, this has also been refuted many times.

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    21. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What color is the sky in your world?

      Just curious.

    22. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How much more evidence do people need to acknowledge that we are screwing the planet at a very fast paced rate? I mean, if they show you the temperature/carbon levels trapped in ice in Antarctica and they plot you a nice graph showing that carbon emission and global temperature are strangely linked together and that with the increase of carbon dioxide in the air in the last 50+ years the average temperature went up accordingly there are people that still have doubts.

      No! We need to look at sun spots for fuck's sake. Why don't we start consulting an astrologer? Oh wait, people already did! The world is gonna end in 2012? Isn't it? Why is it so hard to believe? I mean, let's put apart all the too alarming things like hurricanes wrecking havocs everywhere, desertification on a very large scale, etc. Let's assume nothing of this sort will happen... will you be completely alright with living in ultra-polluted cities? I don't personally like the idea of walking continuously surrounded by emissions from the various vehicles around me... I live in Athens (Greece), the city is a fucking joke like all the cities on the planet for what regards pollution levels... I do not like it and I don't want it! People that are cool with carbon emissions are cool with transforming cities in gas chambers. I don't use the (only) car we have to go to work or to go in 90% of the places I usually go. Public transports are not excellent but I use them because even if Attica (the region where Athens is) will not become similar to the Sahara, I don't like the idea of walking around with a mask over my face.

      Of course, if you live in the country this will not have anything to do with you, but then again, you are a joke of a human being if you don't care about this things that eventually are coming back to bite you in the ass if you will do absolutely nothing, even in your nice semi-detached house in the middle of nowhere.

      AND STOP THINKING OF THE FUCKING MONEY ALL THE TIME! We are gonna suffer whether we decide to do something about it or not. Is it so hard to understand? The only thing that people don't like is that if we decide to do something about it we are probably the ones to suffer, while doing nothing will just shift the suffering to whoever will find himself in deep shit in the future. Then again, it would be wise to invest into the environment rather then into bombing other countries, that would alleviate a bit of financial pressure on us if we do something now... but who the fuck cares? And I believe the average right-winged /. reader (oh yes that is you, you were a rebel in the college but now you settled down, have a $100.000+ yr. job and simply couldn't give a toss) will not be interested in this rant.

    23. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Hal_Porter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Freeman Dyson is a nuclear physicist, not a climatologist.

      And Galileo was an astronomer not an expert on the bible. Still, Dyson he was smart enough to know that you'd say that -

      "Of course they say I have no degree in meteorology and I am therefore not qualified to speak. But I have studied their climate models and know what they can do."

      Have you heard of the No True Scotsman fallacy BTW?

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    24. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 0, Troll

      You opened with some unsubstantiated claims about the Asian climate (love to see some sources on that just out of intellectual curiosity) that one might think would be significantly more championed by the global warming crowd but is in and of itself irrelevant given I already mentioned most of my skepticism hinges on mankind's responsibility for climate change rather than whether or not its happening or if its a total/net positive.

      You continued with a clever straw man, trying to discredit me due to my skepticism and insinuating I must not believe anything that hasn't been 100% proven. This is interesting because you created your own false dichotomy and applied it to me, whereby there are only two kinds of scientific theories (proven vs. not proven). We both know there are significantly varying degrees of postulates, theories, laws, conclusions, etc. Even most climatologists will tell you the field is still in its infancy and there exist an ungodly number of variables we don't yet understand or even know about, versus, say, the science of dealing with light refraction.

      You continued on to state some facts that while true in and of themselves, paint but a tiny picture of the entire issue. Cute how you tried to oversimplify it into "proving" whatever it was you intended to, and mildly ironic how you proved my point for me as you attempted to rip on it.

      You're much like the rest of the loonies who have heard an idea that sounds good, and since you've started carrying its banner, you've now got some weird egotistical vested interest in coming out perceived as "right," going so far as to waste words on those who merely question your cause, and you did it all while making yourself sound like the kind of arrogant jackass every college student fears getting as a teacher.

      Bravo, sir.

    25. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Spazntwich · · Score: 2, Funny

      The crimson red color representing the blood of the oppressed proletariat used to oil the evil war machine of capitalism?

      That's the answer you wanted to hear, right?

    26. Re:The cult of Global Warming by vought · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sadly, this has also been refuted many times [realclimate.org].

      I think the sad part is the parrots who think they're being rebels for regurgitating the same disproven theories over and over again.

      Often, when engaged in conversation, these rebel parrots make fun of Al Gore, so you'll know pretty quickly the real reason they have a problem with global warming science. It's more important for them to prove a person wrong than it is to review the facts objectively.

    27. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Biotech9 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Cutting our planes' emissions will do nothing but place further financial strains on us, leading to a relative inability to compete with other countries less concerned about the illusory monster of global warming.

      this is a ridiculous argument that keeps being brought up as a reason to defer or cancel any planned control of pollution.

      It's flawed in two ways. One, it presumes that any prevention of pollution benefits us only globally, if at all. That if we reduce our pollution by damaging our economy we do it to ward of the *possible* spectre of global warming, and that other nations that might ignore our work (thereby gaining an economic advantage) will damage the environment just as much as we would have done. This is ignoring the fact that pollution may end up being global, but it starts local. Countries with the strictest controls on pollution have the cleanest air, the cleanest water, the lowest incidences of environmental disasters. The benefits aren't that you *might* reduce global warming (if it exists or not), but that you *will* increase the quality of your citizens lives.

      Flaw number two, is that we will be damaged economically by reducing CO2 through legislation. For a start, the US has seen a decrease in CO2 per GDP dollar over the last few decades. Americans are making more money, and doing it cleaner. And it can't be blamed solely on the loss of manufacturing jobs from the US either, as Germany is the worlds largest exporter, and has a much lower pollution level per dollar of goods exported than the US or China.

      in the EU, where environmental legislation is toughest, CO2 per GDP is the lowest in the world. The top rankings show that the countries with least CO2 per GDP are also those with highest productivity in the world. Norway and Luxembourg both have higher GDP per hour worked than the US and still manage to have much lower CO2 per GDP unit.

      The fact is, that it is ABSOLUTELY possible to have stricter pollution controls in place, and yet to be competitive with countries that do not comply to the same high standards.

      This is more government micromanagement that will do nothing but further bring us down.

      As a fellow living in one of the most micromanaged, government intrusive counties in the world, and also one of the richest, cleanest and with the highest standard of living in the world, I would like to say that it is clear to me the US could do with some more open government intervention and less supposedly invisible hand market control. If anything has bought the US down in the last decade, it's been corruption and abuse from large corporations not kept in check by government.

    28. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Platupous · · Score: 1

      "My analogy was neither an argument for nor against anything."

      Good point, I had noticed that after I submitted, and my statement about the strength of your argument is invalid, because your statement didn't seem to argue for or against, my bad.

      As for gross output, I still maintain the answer is efficiency, you can make an efficient, high output engine. And you can strive to make more efficient low output engines, though I would agree that one would want to focus more effort on the most gross inefficiencies.

    29. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Platupous · · Score: 1

      I am not making a false argument. I am stating a fact. You draw your own conclusion.

    30. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Hal_Porter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Do I detect the smell of burning martyr? Let me guess, another one who takes scientific scrutiny of his claims as attempts at censorship.

      He's just got a sharp sense of humour. Mind you, looking at the immediate reaction of "he's not a true climatologist" I can see why.

      There is something scarily religious about people that really believe in global warming - that the earth is doomed unless we make sacrifices, or buy indulgences in the form of emissions trading permits.

      Personally, I don't know. And I reckon in my life time the worst case rise of a degree or so is no biggie. I'd rather choose a richer world than one which is a degree cooler but with a trashed economy. Mind you, I suspect doing nothing will not cause a catastophe, either economic or environmental.

      Lie, some countries have kept records of climate ever since the invention of the meteorological instruments in the 17th century, today we have over 7000 stations that measure land temperatures, we also use satellites to measure sea levels, water and troposphere temperatures.

      Hmm here's what Nasa say

      http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/ghcc_cvcc.html
      Mankind's impact on the global climate and whether pollution from modern energy use is indeed warming the Earth have become important issues for national and international policy makers. Political pressure and public sentiment are based on complex data sets that, alone, cannot tell the whole story. The ultimate question is whether our climate is becoming warmer because of the slow build-up in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. The answer is not clear, because much of what we know about global climate change in inferred from historical evidence of uncertain quality. Reliable ground-based measurements by scientific instruments have been made just in this century

      As Lubos Motl put it (sorry another physicsist this time at Harvard, guess that means you can ignore his arguments just like you ignored Nobel prize winning physicist Freeman Dyson's)
      http://motls.blogspot.com/2005/01/global-mean-temp erature-1978-2004.html
      I guess that you won't be surprised that we may be heating the surface a bit. On the other hand, stratosphere seems to be cooling quite clearly, as NASA's satellite graphs show. I am certainly not claiming that the cooling of the stratosphere proves that the global warming theory is wrong; it does not prove that it is correct either. They usually say that the cooling comes from ozone depletion:
      The GHCC people from NASA are, of course, cautious, and they don't use simplified cliches such as that they have proved global cooling. Instead, they say that the answer about the existence of human-induced greenhouse global warming is not clear.


      So basically the old measurements are unreliable and the new ones don't give unambiguous evidence of any simple warming trend.

      In the absence of total catastophe right now and I mean like in The Day Tomorrow not some dubious trendline in cherry picked noisy data, I'm afraid I'm all for waiting and seeing. I still don't trust any model of climate enough that I spend Kyoto sized chunks of cash based on its predictions of the climate in a century or so. Hell, I wouldn't even bet a tenner on them being right next week.

      Now at this point, I'd expect a load of one liners about the difference between climate and weather. But that's bunk. It's a big chaotic system - we can't predict it next week and we can't predict it next century, anymore than we can predict the stock market over short or long terms. Mind you, if your computer models have let you make a few billion on the stock market, I'm definitely interested. Hell I'll even believe in your loony religion if you pay me cold hard cash.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    31. Re:The cult of Global Warming by tbo · · Score: 1

      In the same manner, if the US per capita output of carbon were higher than the Chinese, then (On the basis of carbon output to maintain a population) the Chinese would be more efficient.

      Efficiency is a ratio, sometimes of one quantity to another, sometimes of a single quantity to its theoretical maximum or minimum. Implicit in your statement is the assumption that the "efficiency" we care about is people / CO2. But why should that be? China produces less CO2 per capita right now in large part because their economy is nowhere near as advanced as the US or Europe (hence their status as a "developing nation"). This doesn't make them more virtuous, just less capable on an individual basis of wrecking the planet (for now). Unfortunately (from an ecological perspective), China has allowed itself to become very heavily populated, and thus will soon overtake the US in greenhouse gas emissions.

      Put another way, should we applaud Canada, which has a very low rate of greenhouse gas emissions compared to its physical size (but a very high rate per capita), or China, which has a high rate compared to physical size (but low per capita)?

      I'd be much more interested in seeing "efficiency" in terms of CO2 / GDP, or perhaps CO2 / habitable land area.

    32. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 1

      Doesn't matter. Global Warning is indeed global, so national borders don't matter. All that matters is how much carbon is re-introduced into the carbon cycle, and how much CO2 is absorbed through photosynthesis.

      Per capita, national borders. Fuhgeddaboutit! This is a global problem.

      We basically need to do these things (and I'm sorry if I seen like a greenie nutcase, I'm not really one of those, but this is indeed serious business):
      1. Develop/build energy sources that don't destroy our habitat.
      2. Primarily cut back emissions where it costs the least (in order to achieve our goals as easily as possible).
      3. Prevent increased emissions in developing economies (China, India, Pacific Rim, Africa etc etc)

      Ask not what the world can do for you. Ask what you can do for the world!

      --

      Stop the brainwash

    33. Re:The cult of Global Warming by slaingod · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      How this got modded interesting, I don't know, especially when you proceed to troll your own thread, lol. First off, your title already indicates a bias against your so-called necessary proof. Most people discussing this call it 'Global Climate Change' these days, if they are doing it seriously, because of the various factors involved in 'Greenhouse Gases' and particulate matter causing 'Global Dimming'. Also the use of cult is obviously meant to be used in a derogatory way, that you somehow have an enlightened view over the brainwashed 'cult' members. Calling people 'chicken littles' is insulting and disingenuous as well. The overwhelming majority of scientists (including most climatologists) agree that the increase in weather variability will have a negative impact on plant and animal species including humans, IN 50 to 100 YEARS. Saying, 'Hey Mom, new stop sign at this intersection,' when you are 100 yards away from it isn't being hysterical. It saying 'take your foot off the gas so we don't blow through it without noticing'. And speaking again of 'chicken littles': Quote: "This is more government micromanagement that will do nothing but further bring us down." Pot, meet the kettle. Kettle, Pot. And then my favorite debate tactic you used: [paraphrased] Assuming it is true, we are screwed anyway so why bother? What are you in 4th grade?

      --
      http://blog.slaingod.com
    34. Re:The cult of Global Warming by LordVader717 · · Score: 1

      No, but the per capita figure does change a lot when you're considering global limitations.

      How can you expect Chinese people to restrict themselves to lower energy consumption if they have a way lower output than a US citizen?
      It's as stupid as telling the US to limit itself to the absolute output of a much smaller country, say the UK.
      By the same reasoning, I could say "I hardly produce any CO2 compared to the entire country, so I don't have a problem"

      If you have any sense of fairness, the per capita output is what counts. How is China supposed to take the efforts of anyone else seriously, if they all expect to be able to use much more than them? It's suggesting that US citizens are better than Chinese citizens, which is retarded, to say the least.

    35. Re:The cult of Global Warming by cheezus_es_lard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What kills me about these arguments is pretty basic. IF there is an impact from our emissions on our planet, which MAY be negative, and which CAN be avoided, or perhaps lightened, by the decrease in output- why not decrease output? The economic argument is hogwash- these same companies (auto/truck manufacturers, jet engine/aircraft manufacturers) spend millions of dollars in R&D on their products; the spur of forced investment into this field will encourage economic growth, as this cutting edge field matures in whichever country pioneers it. In addition to creating an entire new sector, much as the Ethanol push has done in the USA, and while some companies may suffer, much as with the Prius and other hybrid cars, offering an alternative to the standard high emission models will appeal to some consumers and drive the development of this field and the advancement of technologies and the companies bringing them to market. Forced adoption of these technologies will further spur growth and investment. Again, while some incumbent companies may suffer due to their lack of foresight or corporate dexterity, any loss to these companies in jobs will be made up, likely with gains, in the new industry.

      The argument that other nations are advancing and will surpass our output is also pointless. As a market leader, the USA has the ability to establish products worldwide. The adoption of these products here will spur copycat import products, and likely will result in their use in these developing first-world nations. In addition, the USA can use it's trade imbalances and leverage with these countries to spur their adoption of these technologies- where they're not already leading us, that is, as in India with their 100% natural gas taxi and bus fleets.

      A few technological innovations which could help stem or prevent the devastating impacts of global warming are listed below; some are really basic concepts, too.

      -Zero-emissions gasoline engines via gas/emissions recovery and storage (exchanged for empty containers at gas stations)
      -Biodiesel-producing algae capable of processing the CO2, waste heat, and other emissions from coal-fired power plants and growing from it (already under testing in labs)
      -Battery-powered cars (big capacitors, big nanotech batteries, potentially fuel cells, no problems)
      -Zero-emissions factory environments (heat, water vapor, co2, etc recovered and reused/processed/stored)

      All of these technologies can bring American companies into the 21st century and revolutionize the entire world's concepts of how to deal with emissions- and potentially save a large percentage of the human race while doing it, and reaping enormous profits.

      I like to show people this chart: Wikipedia CO2/Temp Chart because most people, when they see exactly how far off of the normal scale we are, understand that doing ANYTHING is better than saying 'we don't know enough to do anything about it yet!' We all bear a shared responsibility for this planet, and we should do what we can to attempt to preserve it for our descendants.

      love and peace.

    36. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A completely free and working market is an Utopia, like every other economic system. Sometimes we need some butt kicking.

    37. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      sorry another physicsist this time at Harvard, guess that means you can ignore his arguments just like you ignored Nobel prize winning physicist Freeman Dyson

      Hmm it seems that Dyson didn't win a Nobel Prize.

      I'm sorry, since Appeals to authority seem so popular amongst the Church Of Gaia and the Blessed Consensus types I thought I'd try it. But it seems that unlike them I'm not actually very good at it.

      I promise I will go and buy some indulgences and use a less fun means of transport for a week as a penance. And I'll watch that absurd Al Gore film several times more too.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    38. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Alioth · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Why are India and China expanding? Is it Chinese peasants buying all these products? No - it's still driven by Western demand. If we stop buying Chinese goods, China's emissions will drastically fall.

      We need to implement new emissions standards, and tell countries that want to sell us products that they must also meet our standards, or face tariffs that makes their products more expensive than the ones made in the countries that do meet the new standard.

    39. Re:The cult of Global Warming by dargaud · · Score: 1
      As much as I like Dyson's other writing, he's full of shit when he says

      It is much easier for a scientist to sit in an air-conditioned building and run computer models than to put on winter clothes and measure what is really happening outside in the swamps and the clouds.
      I'm one of those guys who regularly put on winter clothes to go perform atmospheric science measurements on the field. Modelists and field ops feed on each others. When a parameter in a model is too vague, new measurements are planned which in turn lead to better modelisation. This is the simple reason, more so than just increase in computer power, why models keep getting better. And YES, clouds and dust and contrails and solar activity and ocean currents and a lot more parameters are part of those models, the main missing one being volcanic activity.
      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    40. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Yoozer · · Score: 2, Informative

      There is something scarily religious about people that really believe in global warming - that the earth is doomed unless we make sacrifices, or buy indulgences in the form of emissions trading permits.
      It is possible to cut back without any economic disasters, if only for the sake of not wasting resources. The problem is that everyone will try to hold off doing anything at all (even minor savings) until the last moment. If we guessed right, we've saved resources. If we've guessed wrong, we'll still have saved resources.

      Personally, I don't know. And I reckon in my life time the worst case rise of a degree or so is no biggie.
      The earth is robust in the sense that it doesn't matter much what strikes it - it's the inhabitants who aren't robust. Furthermore, even a small push can be of influence on a system in an equilibrium.

      Personally, I think most people will be disappointed in your post because "in my life" tells them you don't care much for any future generations.
    41. Re:The cult of Global Warming by wheelgun · · Score: 1

      And this is why global warming is a religious cult. It's the same 'OH NOES TEH WORLD IS ENDING' crap that the catholic church spewed several hundred years ago in order to dupe people into turning their property over to the church. No thanks. Your beliefs about global warming have no place outside of a temple or the pages of a comic book.

    42. Re:The cult of Global Warming by kmac06 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, this is like choosing to pay for hurricane insurance in the middle of Missouri.

    43. Re:The cult of Global Warming by maroberts · · Score: 1

      ..and they were partially right at the time.

      The particulates emitted by fuels at that time were masking the general trend. Over the last few decades we have cleaned up our act and revealed what else was affecting our environment. As a result of those 1970's experts we are poisoned less; now its time to solve the other problem.

      --

      Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
      Karma: Chameleon

    44. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Misagon · · Score: 1

      You could also argue that a huge part of the Chinese emissions are the fault of the people in the Western world.
      We want cheap goods, but we have stronger environmental and safety laws for manufacture of goods over here than they have.
      So before start blaming the Chinese, we should stop buying their stuff. It's the only control mechanism inherent in capitalism.

      --
      "We mustn't be caught by surprise by our own advancing technology" -- Aldous Huxley
    45. Re:The cult of Global Warming by TommyMc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The first of my heresies says that all the fluff about global warming is grossly exaggerated. Here I am opposing the holy brotherhood of twilight model experts and the crowd of diluted citizens that believe the numbers predicted by their models. Of course they say I have no degree in meteorology and I am therefore not qualified to speak.

      Cry me a river.

      But I have studied their climate models and know what they can do. The models solve the equations of fluid dynamics and do a very good job of describing the fluid motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. They do a very poor job of describing the clouds, the dust, the chemistry and the biology of fields, farms and forests. They do not begin to describe the real world that we live in.

      Show me the evidence.

      The real world is muddy and messy and full of things that we do not yet understand. It is much easier for a scientist to sit in an air-conditioned building and run computer models than to put on winter clothes and measure what is really happening outside in the swamps and the clouds. That's why the climate model experts end up believing their own models.

      Ad hominem. And also, just plain wrong

      There's no doubt that parts of the world are getting warmer, but the warming is not global.

      yes it is

      I'm not saying the warming doesn't cause problems, obviously it does. Obviously we should be trying to understand it. I'm saying that the problems are being grossly exaggerated. They take away money and attention from other problems that are much more urgent and important. Poverty, infectious diseases, public education and public health. Not to mention the preservation of living creatures on land and in the oceans.

      Sorry, did anyone say that these issues were zero sum?

      He also worked out a way to reverse global warming quite cheaply.

      Possibly. It's a little more complicated than that.

      I'm not even particularly opinionated on the issue of global warming, but this guy's said nothing, i repeat nothing in the above paragraph to contribute, other than his own opinion. THAT's why his first sentence is so defensive.

      --
      Stupid people think it's cool. Smart people thinks it's a joke; also cool.
    46. Re:The cult of Global Warming by will_die · · Score: 1

      Gallileo got in trouble because he disagreed with the scientists of the time, and that he could not prove what he was saying. He published works based on the copernicus model with the Pope's blessing, and the threats of the scientists. It was when he started saying that it was the truth that really got him in trouble.
      He had an audience before the Pope to prove that what he was saying was the proof, he could not and got thrown into house arrest, part of the crimes he was inprisioned for was lieing basicly going against the scientific consensus of the time.

    47. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      It is possible to cut back without any economic disasters, if only for the sake of not wasting resources.

      And that I think is what will reduce CO2 emissions eventually. As someone said, the stone age did not end because we run out of stone, and the oil age will not end because we run out of oil but because we have better alternatives.

      The earth is robust in the sense that it doesn't matter much what strikes it - it's the inhabitants who aren't robust. Furthermore, even a small push can be of influence on a system in an equilibrium.

      Personally, I think most people will be disappointed in your post because "in my life" tells them you don't care much for any future generations.


      My argument is that it is not possible to predict that far ahead anyway. If you don't have the information it doesn't matter how much you care for future generations, since you have no way of knowing if what your doing is an improvement or not. And I'm not completely oblivious to future generations. My kids will have a lot of cash which should give them a legup over people that wasted their time in the Government/Education/Nonprofit sector caring about the environment and earning lousy salaries.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    48. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      part of the crimes he was inprisioned for was lieing basicly going against the scientific consensus of the time.

      Exactly, and that's what Dyson and the other skeptics are doing.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    49. Re:The cult of Global Warming by salec · · Score: 1

      There are cases for government to be helpful and even cases when government should intervene because only government has the power to do it.

      Former are the cases where there is benefit in problem solving for the problem makers, eliminating inefficiencies that are not under their own control, latter the cases where damage to everyone (to "none") is done because a few benefit from it and this benefit is dwarfed by the damage.

      This particular case is IMHO more of the former - establishing clever procedures to save money to airline companies and at the same time cut on the emissions. OTOH, Perhaps fuel suppliers will feel a little hit in sales, but they can't (err..., shouldn't have power to) force anyone to waste own money just to support suppliers' margins.

    50. Re:The cult of Global Warming by LarsWestergren · · Score: 1

      And I reckon in my life time the worst case rise of a degree or so is no biggie.

      Oh, the realistic worst case scenario as given by the IPCC is a lot worse than that. Both in the number of degrees increased, and the negative effects on economy and environment. I think we both argue that we should err on the side of caution, but my personal belief is that the evidence shows that doing nothing nothing is in fact going to be much more costly than doing something.

      >Hmm here's what Nasa say
      [...]
      The answer is not clear, because much of what we know about global climate change in inferred from historical evidence of uncertain quality.


      All right, so we can never be 100% sure, I agree with you on that. But we don't need to be 100% sure that something is going to happen before we take action, it is all about calculating the risks and the costs.

      On the other hand, stratosphere seems to be cooling quite clearly, as NASA's satellite graphs show.

      The much quoted analysis of those graphs, which showed that the stratosphere was on average cooling, is most likely incorrect. And even if it were true that the stratosphere was cooling - so what. We don't live in second layer of Earth's atmosphere, and we don't grow our food there.

      Now at this point, I'd expect a load of one liners about the difference between climate and weather. But that's bunk. It's a big chaotic system - we can't predict it next week and we can't predict it next century, anymore than we can predict the stock market over short or long terms.

      The stock market is also a chaotic (complex) system, but this does not mean that we can apply rules from it to climate. If enough people think that stocks will go up and start buying - they go up. No matter how many people think or hope it is going to be sunny tomorrow in a spot - this does not make it sunny. Also, we can predict climate to some degree - if your hemisphere is angled against the sun, you have warmer climate (summer) for a couple of months. Variations in earth orbits according to Milankovitch cycles causes ice ages to come and go, due to complex interactions with greenhouse gases.

      So we CAN in fact predict some changes in climate.

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    51. Re:The cult of Global Warming by LarsWestergren · · Score: 1

      The much quoted analysis of those graphs, which showed that the stratosphere was on average cooling, is most likely incorrect. And even if it were true that the stratosphere was cooling - so what. We don't live in second layer of Earth's atmosphere, and we don't grow our food there.

      Pfft, I should learn to read the articles I quote more carefully. They were talking about measurements of the troposphere all along, the inmost layer. I presume you just made a typo when you mentioned the stratosphere. The other part of that arguments stands though - people misinterpreted the NASA data, satellite evidence now shows that the troposphere IS most likely getting warmer.

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    52. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Goaway · · Score: 1

      we all know what paves the road to hell, generic idioms, etc.

      Maybe we do, but you know who paves the roads, period?

    53. Re:The cult of Global Warming by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      What I want to know is why the big models don't show "small" atmospheric features like hurricanes and thunderstorms? Those are massive energy dissipation systems that surely have an important impact. However, even hurricanes are features that are "too small" to be resolved by most of the global climate models - the smallest cell size I've seen is about 150km on a side. Usually hurricanes and storms are only modeled on the local level, based on the fact that the systems already exist; we still can't predict if we'll get a hurricane - we can only predict (with some fairly large margin of error) the path of an already existing storm.

      I find it telling that a single hurricane dissipates (transfers from the ocean surface to the upper atmosphere) about as much energy in its track as a small country does in the course of a year...

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    54. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

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      right wing ass

    55. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your point is wrong. Why would developing countries restrain them self from getting to the same standard for their people, like the standard that most USA and EU citizens enjoy?
      On contrary, because USA and Europe have higher consciousness and more money, they should lead the world and first implement pollution reduction in their own yards, thus showing their real concern for our planet. The reason that other developing countries don't care about it - so why should we, is childish. If other people around you are acting bad, is that enough for your spirit to break and start acting bad instead of wrong?
      And one final point - USA and EU should be the first to try to reduce and pay for the climate changes,
      because mostly their industries and economies were polluting our planet for the past 200 years, since the industrial revolution.

      Cheers,
      Saso, Macedonia - Europe

    56. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Draknor · · Score: 1

      We live in a (sort of) free market country

      This is the one argument that really bothers me -- just because our economy is perhaps the closest thing the world has seen (on a large scale) to a "free market" economy, it is nothing of the sort. If the "free market" really was in effect, none of the national airlines would even exist anymore, because they've all filed (at one point or another) for government bankruptcy protection (ie protection from the free market). In addition, the FAA imposes so much government regulation that to appeal to "free market economics" is laughable.

      In a true free market, there would be no FAA, the price of aviation fuel would include the cost of environmental damage, and airline businesses would compete based upon their safety record, timeliness, and price. And *then* we would see innovation in the airline market.

    57. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Lie, some countries have kept records of climate ever since the invention of the meteorological instruments in the 17th century, today we have over 7000 stations that measure land temperatures,

      You mean stations like these http://www.norcalblogs.com/watts/weather_stations/ ?

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    58. Re:The cult of Global Warming by The-Bus · · Score: 1

      I don't remember who said this (Lewis Black?) but it was in a Playboy article a while ago. They said that while they weren't sure about global warming being caused by emissions, he understood that emissions were bad and could get behind cutting them.

      At the very extreme, you wouldn't let a car run inside your house. Pollution is obviously very bad, especially in excess. And there will always be excess. But what's wrong with simply wanting to cut pollution? I don't need "global warming" as a reason to make sure vehicles have less emmissions. As long as the alternative isn't more environmentally damaging, I don't even mind paying slightly more. After all pollution does have costs, but they can't be easily dollarized.

      --

      Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.

    59. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Ant+P. · · Score: 1

      If you americans need to evacuate long island, who is going to pay indemnities? Who will decide which houses get protected by dikes and which ones are given up? Are you going to tell all these sea-side home owners "too bad, shouldn't have been driving that SUV around.."?

      Why not ask the residents of New Orleans?
    60. Re:The cult of Global Warming by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      For instance - much of Asia gets it fresh water from snow melting in the mountain ranges during the summer. Last couple of years, less snow has fallen, and much of it melts during the winter. Then when spring and summer comes, and it is time to plant crops - droughts.

      The people in charge of China, so long as they get to hold on to their cushy chairs at the big table, do not give one tenth of one fuck about the poor people of their country. China has probably less regard for human life than does any other nation on the planet. They execute more people per capita than any other nation in the world, to the point where they actually had to build vans to drive around executing people. If half the people of China die because they can't get water, they'll probably just wipe their brows and collectively say "phew! that's half a billion less people to worry about."

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    61. Re:The cult of Global Warming by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      -Zero-emissions gasoline engines via gas/emissions recovery and storage (exchanged for empty containers at gas stations)

      this has an efficiency cost. also there are already zero-emissions gasoline engines without exhaust recovery.

      -Biodiesel-producing algae capable of processing the CO2, waste heat, and other emissions from coal-fired power plants and growing from it (already under testing in labs)

      I think you mean "already tested by the USDOE at Sandia Labs a decade and change ago"

      Their report, which is titled something like "A look back at the us department of energy's aquatic species program" or something, said that the process should be profitable by the time diesel hit $3/gallon. Where is it now?

      -Battery-powered cars (big capacitors, big nanotech batteries, potentially fuel cells, no problems)

      Supercapacitors were supposed to be affordable in five years... fifteen fucking years ago. So-called "nanotech" batteries aren't here yet (I refuse to call nanoscale structures nanotech, it's not nanotech without assembly.) And real nanotech batteries are even further off. Fuel cells tend to take a lot of energy to produce and involve rare, heavy metals. These are all technologies with problems.

      -Zero-emissions factory environments (heat, water vapor, co2, etc recovered and reused/processed/stored)

      I'm all for this. Especially, you know, go back and see point 2. The USDOE found at Sandia that they could reclaim up to 80% of the CO2 output from a [coal or oil] power plant just by using the algae ponds.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    62. Re:The cult of Global Warming by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      There's no doubt that parts of the world are getting warmer, but the warming is not global. The warming happens in places and times where it is cold, in the arctic more than the tropics, in the winter more than the summer, at night more than the daytime.

      Global warming means that the average temperatures of the globe are rising. If it is apparent when it's cold more than it's hot, that's interesting but irrelevant to this particular issue; if it's warmer more of the time, and it happens across the globe (in the arctic "more" than the tropics indicates that it's happening in the tropics, too) then it's global warming.

      Is that really a Dyson quote? Because it's amazingly stupid.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    63. Re:The cult of Global Warming by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      No, this is like choosing to pay for hurricane insurance in the middle of Missouri.

      When the conveyor shuts down, that may well be a good idea. Too bad no one will sell you any. No history, so no known odds.

      Note that I knew about this conveyor failing thing before Gore was even veep, let alone before his movie came out, so don't even bring Al into this, the poor guy.

      Global weather patterns are going to go completely to shit when the conveyor stops. Who KNOWS what they will do? And yes, that process is likely being accelerated by global warming. But honestly it might very well happen with or without it.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    64. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Oh, the realistic worst case scenario as given by the IPCC is a lot worse than that. Both in the number of degrees increased, and the negative effects on economy and environment.

      Well if you pick your data well and extrapolate insanely, you can get some scary figures -

      http://www.ipcc.ch/present/graphics/2001syr/large/ 05.24.jpg

      It's a graph which is flat with a lot of noise. They take an upward spike out of the noise and assuming it's a trend that will continue for the next hundred years. But there's nothing in the data that shows any sign that a 6 degree C rise is about to happen. If I'd done this sort of thing in a physics experiment at school people would have thought it was a joke.

      And the idea that we should use this sort of science to make policy decisions about several percent of GDP is laughable.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    65. Re:The cult of Global Warming by nanojath · · Score: 1

      Do you reject all science that doesn't have a complete testable model behind it?

      Well, more to the point, the computer models that skeptics are so quick to discount have been increasingly accurately predicting the macro climatic effects of discrete environmental events (such as the 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo). I don't know how much closer to a testable model of climate we are likely to get, which is of course the point: what global warming skeptics are demanding is a degree of certainty that can't exist in a system as complex and large as the global climate. More research! More research! We heard it about acid rain, which was real - just like the majority of mainstream scientists in relevant disciplines asserted - and has only been mitigated by large scale policy initiatives such as the Clean Air Act, we heard it about the ozone hole*, which was real - just like the majority of mainstream scientists in relevant disciplines asserted - and has only been mitigated by large scale policy initiatives such as the Montreal Protocol. And here we are again. Gee, I wonder how it's going to pan out?

      It's always the same old song and dance. Put the most ridiculous caricature of a hysterical deep ecologist hippie on the stage and go on soberly about more research and economic effects (ignoring as well that the real chicken littles in these situations have inevitably been the welfare happy subsidy hogs in industry, who have somehow managed to survive all previous necessary environmental policy initiatives that they assured us would cause irrevocable economic harm).

      *The other day I read a comment appended to some global warming skeptic article by that Australian geologist who pops up to repeat his same thoroughly refuted set of claims avery so often - and always finds a buyer in some conservative rag, surprise - and this person's response to the inevitable objections is "oh come on, weren't these scientists going on about a hole in the ozone layer? And whatever happened to that, did it just close? Global warming is just the next scientific fad!" I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

      --

      It Is the Nature of Information to Transgress Artificial Boundaries

    66. Re:The cult of Global Warming by swillden · · Score: 1

      we all know what paves the road to hell, generic idioms, etc.

      Maybe we do, but you know who paves the roads, period?

      Do you? The answer to your question isn't as simple as you probably think it is.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    67. Re:The cult of Global Warming by dyslexicbunny · · Score: 1

      CO2 production for commercial aircraft is currently not regulated by the UN group ICAO-CAEP (International Civil Aviation Organization)-(Committee on Aviation Environmental Protection). Since CO2 is directly associated with fuel burn, operators (airlines) have their own incentives to directly reduce CO2 emissions. The techniques discussed in the article would be applied on the operations side and not the manufacturers side so realistically, there would be no serious loss.

      Although I'm willing to agree the models might not be perfect predictors of future trends, I'd rather we reduce the fuel consumption of aircraft simply from an energy conservation perspective. But that's my biggest concerns personally.

    68. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 1

      The US is still winning by far if you look at emissions per capita, which is the more relevant figure.

      If you had a nation-state of 100 people that did nothing but burn coal and crude oil all day, their per-capita would be huge but the total impact would be tiny. I think that total emissions are a lot more interesting than a population's average.

      --
      Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    69. Re:The cult of Global Warming by TheWoozle · · Score: 1

      Your argument (however much I might agree with it), is basically the same as Pascal's Wager; it is an appeal to consequences and therefore a logical fallacy.

      --
      Insisting on "correct" English is like saying that there is only one, definitive recipe for chili.
    70. Re:The cult of Global Warming by dargaud · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm not a modelist but I've been their data slave before so I can bring forth some comments. There are basically 2 types of models: meteorological models and climate models. You know the 1st kind, they bring you the day to day forecast and go up to 5 or even 7 days in advance, with a temporal resolution down to about 2 hours and 10km in some countries. Those take into accounts hurricane.

      As for climate models they are only interested in long term changes in global parameters (average temperature, CO2 levels, etc...). Local events like hurricanes are part of the model, but only as a statistical occurrence (they'll try to guess the number of hurricanes based on average surface ocean temperature for instance and work from there).

      There are attempts to create intermediate models, typically to predict next summer's/winter's temperature and snow levels but they are far from operational.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    71. Re:The cult of Global Warming by ksheff · · Score: 1

      It's not just what each person generates in their day to day life, but also how much the various industrial entities generate. Much of China's industry is powered by very CO2 intensive processes with little regard for the worker, environment, customers, etc. THAT is what's really driving China and India's CO2 emissions growth. In many cases, it's the West exporting their 'dirty' industries these countries to get around local enviromental regulations, emissions caps, etc.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    72. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to do more to reduce CO2 emissions, but I'm not convinced that aviation is necesarily the right place to start. I heard that aviation is responsible for about 2-3% of emissions, far smaller than terrestrial transportation, heating and cooling buildings, electricity production, etc. Reducing airplane emissions by, say, 20% just isn't that effective at reducing total CO2 production compared to finding a similar reduction in building heating or car efficiency.

      What would be useful is continuing research which reduces emissions as well as improves fuel economy overall. Given the high price of fuel, less fuel consumption could help stabilize ticket prices as well as reduce emissions. And that should interest airlines as well as environmentalists.

    73. Re:The cult of Global Warming by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      ...today "we" have over 7000 stations that measure land temperatures...

      Is this maybe relevant to the discussion?

      FTA:

      Q: What is this project all about?

      A: The short answer is; to do a hands on site survey to photograph and document all 1221 USHCN climate stations in the USA. No photographic database of these stations existed, hence the need for this project. See the about page which outlines the goals.

    74. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well spoken. Western Europe will forever (probably at least) be the shining example. I wish Canada would put up more. There are a few countries that are well below kyoto protocols and are doing very well. one I was very surprised to see below was germany with all their manufacturing. I wish this good influence would trickle over, but sadly it has not.

      + you just made all the US libertarians cry.

    75. Re:The cult of Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is a false dichotomy. We do not know that our economy will suffer if we improve our environmental regulations. After all, if we can afford billions a month for a pointless war while still growing the economy, surely we could do this, instead?

      But we DO KNOW that our cities' air is full of pollutants. You can fucking SEE it.

    76. Re:The cult of Global Warming by cheezus_es_lard · · Score: 1

      I wasn't trying to invent these technologies- I'm aware they exist, and I'm aware they're ready to go into production in most cases, including your capacitance issues- taken care of with modern capacitance arrays and nanotech batteries. They just need some kind of spur to force them into production- such as a government subsidy or drive to make this reality, or the demonstration by a small company, as with http://www.phoenixmotorcars.com/, where they will demonstrate to the world how usable and economical the electric car can be, and then your average behemoth car manufacturing conglomerate will fall in line.

      What is needed to force the issue is governmental regulation- without emissions controls, most companies will always do the capitalist thing, which is whatever is best for the bottom line. And that includes selling the fucking earth we live on out from under our feet- ask my friend who declined to allow an oil company to drill under her house, and they did so anyhow, finding oil and not paying her a penny for her mineral rights.

      peace.

  8. impact by EaglemanBSA · · Score: 1

    It's actually really surprising how much airlines currently *don't* do to optimize fuel costs. Aircraft get vastly different fuel economies at different altitudes and speeds, and there is quite a lot of room for optimization of these in conjunction with winds aloft for long flights. There's not only a good environmental impact, but quite a bit of savings for the airline.

    Both my brothers are senior captains for well-known airlines, so this is a common talking point at the holiday dinner table. I got screwed with the colorblindness...wish I made as much per hour.

    --
    Quiz: True or False -- On a scale of 1 to 10, what is your middle name?
    1. Re:impact by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

      fly at X feet and save gas, or fly at X+5,000 and get repeat customers who didn't puke all over themselves ;)

      unfortunately there's only so much optimization that can be done given storms and having to fly near beacons

    2. Re:impact by Spazntwich · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It seems somewhat counterintuitive that airlines would ignore such an obvious way to save fuel if there weren't tradeoffs involved, considering its one of their single greatest expenditures.

      I've got family of my own in the industry, and I've never heard of any easy fixes for fuel consumption, but I do know airlines have implemented fuel-saving procedures such as taxiing with only one engine on. Given the meager fuel savings that provides but their strong advocacy of it, it just doesn't stand to reason that they would ignore other such easy ways to conserve.

      Do you have any data, studies, reports, anything to back up your claims besides some appeals to authority?

    3. Re:impact by EaglemanBSA · · Score: 1

      None that I can post here, but yes. I've seen fuel efficiency data for the aircraft we were discussing, and I've seen charts showing winds aloft through my own aviation training. I'm not saying there are no tradeoffs, or that it's necessarily an instant win, but it seems that there is (possibly significant) opportunity.

      Remember, just because a thought seems obvious doesn't mean that (a)it's been capitalized on, or (b) that it's easy.

      --
      Quiz: True or False -- On a scale of 1 to 10, what is your middle name?
    4. Re:impact by Kopiok · · Score: 1

      My father is an Air Traffic Controller, and they often get angry at all of the Fuel-Optimizing. Airlines now use just enough fuel to get to the destination. If they need to go into a holding pattern, or face an emergency, it just create more problems.

      There's trade-offs for everything.

    5. Re:impact by DieByWire · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's actually really surprising how much airlines currently *don't* do to optimize fuel costs....

      Actually, they go to great lengths to minimize fuel burn. The reason they're often not at optimum altitude or speed is due to ATC constraints. At most (not all) airports, you'll have a much earlier than optimum descent from cruise altitude, followed by being high on the downwind leg (leaving enough space for departing aircraft to get out under the arrivals), followed by a tight, slam dunk, high drag approach or a loooong downwind while you do a low level fuel annihilation run due to the amount of traffic arriving.

      Oceanic routes have huge spacing requirements due to the lack of radar coverage. Because of that, it's often difficult to get a clearance to a new altititude while over the pond. It's not uncommon to cross the ocean at one altitude for the entire crossing, even though the optimum altitude will go up as the aircraft gets lighter.

      So, airlines do the best they can with the constraints they face. Improving the ATC system will be a big help.

      --
      Never shake hands with a man you meet in a fertility clinic.
    6. Re:impact by vought · · Score: 1

      Remember, just because a thought seems obvious doesn't mean that (a)it's been capitalized on, or (b) that it's easy.


      I think it's more likely (B). With so many variables to juggle once a jet is off the ground, it's probably far easier for the airlines to tell their captains to fly at the airspeed appropriate to make the destination at the scheduled time.

      Per flight, the fuel savings won't be worth the cost and logistics hassle if even 5% of arrivals are forced early and/or late. Once a flight is a few minutes late, it bumps other flights behind it (or at least eats up the ground crew's turnaround margins). If the flight is a few minutes early, it'll sit on the ground waiting for a gate, turning at least one engine and possibly the APU.

      After United's weight/balance blackout problems earlier today, it's easy to understand why airlines are hesitant to touch any variables. Load factors are so high and timeslots so tight that it takes several days to get the system running smoothly after a major disruption.

    7. Re:impact by dhardisty · · Score: 1

      The difference is that some of these plans (such as synchronized flight patterns) require coordination between ALL the airlines using a particular airline -- thus although it does provide savings, it doesn't give any one airline a competitive advantage, and they don't have a large enough incentive to sit down with the other airlines and hash out a better system.

    8. Re:impact by mcrbids · · Score: 1


      It seems somewhat counterintuitive that airlines would ignore such an obvious way to save fuel if there weren't tradeoffs involved, considering its one of their single greatest expenditures.


      The aviation industry is simply counterintuitive.

      While most people think that the aerospace industry is high-tech, the truth is that it's rather backward. Airframe designs routinely remain in active use for 30+ years, sometimes 50 or more! An entire industry that's focused on reliability first and foremost beyond new innovations and improvements. Strictly speaking, it's an industry that's been largely paralyzed by liability attorneys.

      As a pilot, I'm frequently amazed by how much is left to the pilot. Statistically, 70% of aviation deaths occur because of "pilot error". Yet while aviation systems are kept starkly simple to "improve reliability", very little is done to reduce pilot workload. It's as though there's this culture of finger-pointing, simply because it's easier than innovating the cockpit into something that reduces pilot workload.

      Why would I have to adjust the fuel mixture MANUALLY on an airplane to get peak performance, when my cheap-o Saturn SL2 does the job nicely, even adapting itself to my specific driving habits? Why would I need to adjust the manifold pressure of a fixed-speed prop to get optimum performance when the transmission in my cheap-o Saturn SL2 does the job nicely at 1/10 the price?

      There is a new Diesel/Jet-A engine made by Thielert that eliminates the need to do either. I push the lever in and get more power. I pull it out to slow down.

      Technology like this, that reduces pilot workload, will serve to reduce pilot workload and improve aviation safety.

      Yes, the commercial airline industry has done a decent job of implementing many of these features - but I often feel as though the FAA is as much about suppressing the aviation industry as it is about promoting it.

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    9. Re:impact by Spazntwich · · Score: 1
      Interesting read, and as for

      I often feel as though the FAA is as much about suppressing the aviation industry as it is about promoting it.
      From what I've heard, I can't disagree.
    10. Re:impact by Biotech9 · · Score: 1


      While most people think that the aerospace industry is high-tech, the truth is that it's rather backward.
      Strictly speaking, it's an industry that's been largely paralyzed by liability attorneys.
      Why would I have to adjust the fuel mixture MANUALLY on an airplane to get peak performance, when my cheap-o Saturn SL2 does the job nicely, even adapting itself to my specific driving habits?


      This is interesting. I work in the Pharma industry, and for years it's been very obvious to anyone working in Pharma that they are light years behind the food industry. Basically, in pharma, the risk of fucking up and making a product that is dangerous and will kill your customers has to be totally ruled out. And the way that has been done for 50 years is through STRICT STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. You form a company, you design a drug. You design the process to make that drug. Then you get it approved by the FDA and friends. And then you do not EVER change a single thing about that process. You end up with decade old methods of making drugs, inefficiently and costly methods, that cannot be changed.

      A company i worked for had a process to make a very high price/volume product from a fermentation process. Once it had been approved, it was put in production. After 10 years of production there were numerous improvements to the organism that would allow for an almost 10X increase in productivity (and profit). But they could not be implemented without re-approving everything which would cost more than the increase productivity would make the company. So it was left as it was.

      Today, the FDA is moving towards how the food industry have done things for decades. PAT, Process Analytical Technology. Basically you design the process, and you monitor* it at every stage and know what is happening intimately. Once it's approved you can change the process easily as long as you know what you are doing. The product at the end is more consistent and safer than with the old SOP methods. Hopefully this is the equivalent of the Air industry playing catchup to less strictly regulated industries as well.

      *NIR. PAT == NIR

    11. Re:impact by Alioth · · Score: 1

      The airlines DO try and save fuel by optimizing their flight profiles. I was in the jumpseat of a British Airways B747-400. The crew know exactly the little optimization tricks (almost like coders used to hand-optimize assembler!) for getting fuel consumption down. For example, on approach to Houston Intercontinental, they got a speed restriction of 200 knots. You're expected to fly this speed +-10 knots by ATC. They flew it at 209 because it meant they needed one less stage of flaps - so less drag, and less power. Wherever it was safe to do so, they flew the most economical profile.

    12. Re:impact by sunking2 · · Score: 1

      Classic! A couple of probably overpaid employees bitching about how their company doesn't know how to save money!

    13. Re:impact by freedom_india · · Score: 1

      As a pilot, you should know that airplanes fly based on rules about 60 years old when mail planes flew by flaming torches lit on ground.
      Plane routes are NOT optimized for fuel savings. They are optimized for:

      1. Access to airports in an emergency (max fly time is 2 hours from any airport).

      2. Beacons on ground and sea which show the planes the "way" and which are not exactly short cuts.

      3. Altitude and Distance regulations which force how many planes you can pack into a silo of sky.
      Each silo is a straight box from point A to point B at a particular altitude.
      The distance between two planes (any model) needs to be atleast 10000 feet minimum.
      Two boxes need to have atleast 1000 feet difference between other such box routes.
      So there is only a fixed number of planes, altitudes they can fly.

      4. As per FAA regulations (also EU and Asia directives) planes are handled in the way they appear and each plane has an queue-based system to land. So a Two-Seater Fokker or a Learjet carrying 8 CEOs can potentially hold up a 320-passenger Jumbo Dreamliner aligning for landing.

      5. Take offs and runways were originally meant to be two straight runways criscrossing each other. Hence a takeoff and landing still cannot happen at same time in many medium/small airports.

      6. Crumbling infrastructure of airport facilities (like ATC systems, outdated protocols, dependence on beacons rather than GPS contribute to planes burning up more fuel).

      I studied all this 12 years ago when i wanted to be a pilot...Bugger my genetics, am color-blind and my doctor laughed me out of his door.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
    14. Re:impact by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      There is a new Diesel/Jet-A engine made by Thielert that eliminates the need to do either. I push the lever in and get more power. I pull it out to slow down.

      Diesel engines inherently need no mixture adjustment. They have no throttle. There's just a device to control the amount of fuel injected on each stroke. Nothing clever. This makes them incredibly suitable for turbocharging, because even at low power settings there's still a high airflow through the exhaust. Ever looked at the ground around an idling diesel's exhaust, and noticed how all the loose stones and dust has been blown away? That's because there's no throttle butterfly to block the airflow. You just put a little drop of fuel in, and you get a little bit of power out.

      Another win for the aeromotive engine market is they are (like all fuel-injected engines) immune to carb ice. Derv can wax at low temperatures, but most diesel engines (even ordinary automotive engines) will run just fine on Jet A1 which is designed not to wax. You might want to chuck some normal diesel in to increase the lubricity if you don't want bits of your injector pump being launched out of the side.

      Of course the real reasons Americans won't go for diesel-engined piston aircraft is that so far, all the practical engines that have flown have been French, with the best being the tried, tested and well-proven PSA Group XUD-series as found in Peugeots, Renaults, Volvos and Citroëns (and a lot of industrial installations).

    15. Re:impact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, you're wrong. I'd love to put one in my airplane. However, if would cost less to buy a jet then it would to get a diesel engine approved for my airplane. the FAA has made certification cost prohibitive. Only equivalent replacements and minor incremental improvements are financially doable with the FAA's system.

    16. Re:impact by jsight · · Score: 1
      Looks like you should have studied harder. Some of your facts are halftruths, especially this one:

      I studied all this 12 years ago when i wanted to be a pilot...Bugger my genetics, am color-blind and my doctor laughed me out of his door.


      Color-blindness is not a disqualifier. They'll make you do what's called a "SODA" test to determine that you are able to differntiate between the colors used by ATC in the event of comm failure.

      Most people pass w/ some practice.
    17. Re:impact by freedom_india · · Score: 1

      ya i agree... the doctor showed me some slides with pixelized pictures (supposedly) and i was able to identify only 2 out of 12 shown...
      He said i can't make flight school and i stopped reading after that.

      Once the doctor disqualified me, the local airline would not even talk to me.

      --
      "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
  9. Just wondering... by RuBLed · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Come to think of it, what would happen to planes when our fossil fuels start to run out? I wonder what kind of altenative energy source could be used to run those "big" machines.

    1. Re:Just wondering... by AngryJim · · Score: 1

      Slingshots?

      No, really big ones.

    2. Re:Just wondering... by Adambomb · · Score: 1

      Well, liquid oxy and hydrogen? would cost more and require much R&D into cost effective fail safe containment equiment but would at least be plausible.

      --
      Ice Cream has no bones.
    3. Re:Just wondering... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Electricity-charged hydrogen. Nothing else can provide enough power.

  10. Cool, Hybrid Planes! by markw365 · · Score: 1

    Does this mean that Travolta and Algore get to own Hybrid jets? Or are they going to get special air pooling fast lanes?? :) We need to shrink our carbon footprint so they can have their huge one. Preach to me, then bebop around the country in your private planes??? sheesh..

  11. Thats Right- They Finally Made it by ShrapnelFace · · Score: 0

    I guess all they needed was an acronymn and something that could build enough red tape to make it more profitable for the bureacrats.

    Good for you. Double the cost of jet fuel while you're at it, please? Then we can blame anything that moves for the sluggish world wide economy when you are all done hugging trees.

  12. In Other FAA News by Bob9113 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Federal Aviation Administration officials today launched what they hope will be pan U.S. and European Union joint action plan to cut greenhouse gas emissions from aircraft. Specifically the group announced the Atlantic Interoperability Initiative to Reduce Emissions or AIRE

    Additionally, the FAA announced that their agency would be renamed the 'American Institute for Regulation of Pilot Licensing and Aeronautical Navigation and Engineering' (AIRPLANE) to satisfy new federal requirements for cutesy acronyms.

  13. Global Cooling by sadler121 · · Score: 0

    But will it prepare us for global cooling?

    1. Re:Global Cooling by Goaway · · Score: 1

      How come global warming skeptics are never skeptical of the sources that support their beliefs?

  14. Greenhouse Gas Free Aircraft by toddian · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's great that they're looking at ways to increase efficiency of current aircraft, but the question remains: how can we keep increasing our use of air travel without putting out more greenhouse gases. You hear people talking about restrictions on air travel in the future, and I can't understand why we can't find technological solutions.

    For example, is anybody doing research on biofuels for turbines? I've heard of the USAF looking into it for greater energy security, but is it a reasonable proposal?

    Could we eventually have a prop-powered commercial plane, even one that was electrically powered? Check out the Tu-95 Bear http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-95 as an example; it's a much more blue sky proposal, but within the realm of possibility.

    1. Re:Greenhouse Gas Free Aircraft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heck, they could out-accelerate a jet fighter, and some varients had nuclear powered engines!

      Why didn't I know about this sort of thing before? I was told the Russians had crap aircraft, and ours were far better!

    2. Re:Greenhouse Gas Free Aircraft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For example, is anybody doing research on biofuels for turbines? I've heard of the USAF looking into it for greater energy security, but is it a reasonable proposal? As someone who is in the USAF and actually working on the project I can tell you that there is great interest in alternate fuels all the way up to the highest levels.

      This December the FAA is scheduled to release a new fuels certification guidebook that builds on knowledge obtained about synthetic Fischer-Tropsch process fuels. With the new book, any manufacturer can certify their plane to run on a generic 50/50 mix of Synthetic and Petroleum fuel. You may not know, but the civil air fleet is already certified for coal-based 50/50 synthetic/petroleum jet fuel, it's exactly what is supplied in South African airports. However, the Fischer-Tropsch process is not that picky about the source of its carbon, be it coal, natural gas, or biofuel. Depending on the variables you'll get out hydrocarbons of a set length.

      The Air Force has released a mil-spec fuels handbook on how to certify synthetic fuels on some of the more exotic jet engines out there--after all, afterburners are sensitive to what you're burning. The entire USAF fleet will be certified for 50/50 fuels by 2010.

      Following hot on its heels will be the FAA certification process for generic 100% synthetic fuels. Again the hydrocarbons can come from anywhere: algae, grease, coal, methane, etc.--but they have to have the lubricative properties of petroleum fuel, otherwise important engine components may seize up.

      Certified aircraft will create a demand for synthetic fuel refineries, leading to an increase in the production and use of synthetic fuels. However this merely can move us to less greenhouse gas emissions with our current technology and infrastructure, eliminating the gases is another matter much further down the road.
  15. Carbon calculator by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The UK government has a site for calculating your carbon emissions.

    It is rather funny for people outside the UK because some of the questions are very stereotypical:
    - "How much water do you use in a kettle if you only want one cup of tea"
    - "How large is the engine size of your car... (Large = 2 litres or more)"

    And others are so trivial, you have to wonder why they are included:
    - "Do you own a digital radio?"
    - "Do you own an external hard disk, scanner, modem/router, other?"

    Transport/heating emissions are *HUGE* compared to that of a scanner or consumer router.

    And regarding the options for which computer facilities you use in your house, the maximum number of options is FAR too small for Slashdot users. Prefixing "router" with "a " is unheard of for slashdot users, it should be "Which router?".

    And they use imperial units! I wonder where they copied this calculator from...

    1. Re:Carbon calculator by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It has been slashdotted :-)

    2. Re:Carbon calculator by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It has been slashdotted :-) No, not quite.

      They are just trying to stay below their carbon emission target.
  16. Yes by BBCWatcher · · Score: 3, Interesting

    There has been literally decades of research, and research is ongoing. There's no single good answer. High compression piston aircraft engines may be able to run on fuels with other additives, but all the reformulations discovered so far are much more toxic than the current 100LL formulation.

    Some of the technical solutions include shipping 100LL without the lead (which mid-compression engines can probably run OK), electronic ignition systems, and diesel (jet fuel) retrofit with new engines. Whole new, small aircraft, particularly from Diamond Aircraft, run on Jet-A. The lead additive (TEL) is getting more expensive, so price is encouraging some movement in this direction anyway, particularly outside the U.S.

    It's important to keep some perspective here, though. The amount of lead released into the atmosphere by piston aircraft engines is incredibly miniscule, and it's not released in the ways automobiles did (i.e. near the ground, in lung-concentrated ways). There are about 5,000 public airports in the U.S., and the vast majority of those have very limited numbers of aircraft operating on the ground for very brief periods of time. So unless you live on a taxiway at a busy small aircraft airport, and breathe deeply for some years, you're OK.

    There are many, many places where environmental protection money would be more wisely spent. The simple act of burning coal, for example, is incredibly, vastly more dangerous than anything the entire piston aircraft engine fleet could do. That said, it would probably make sense for the government to give the engine industry (mainly Lycoming and Continental) a bit of a nudge, telling them to find any solution they wish to stop producing new aircraft engines that run only on leaded fuels by a date certain (say, 10 years out). In all probability they can recertify with a combination of electronic ignition and the same 100LL formulation but without TEL, and they can do that relatively inexpensively. If the feds made every aircraft owner who replaced their engines eligible for fuel tax rebates for a period of, say, 5 years from date of installation, that'd probably get the job done to get the fleet converted. But nobody is in a rush to do this because nobody at the EPA sees a public health problem here.

    1. Re:Yes by Ranzear · · Score: 1

      Except that theres always the question of reliability. Magnetos work without external power, and then an aircraft will even have two of them with completely seperate ignition systems. You will never, refute all you like, see an electronic ignition system as reliable as a piston aircraft's. Moreso you will never see the same performance out of any fuel but leaded avgas, specifically that the lead coats and lubricates many of the internal components in the reciprocating cycle, and that TEL additive is not affected by temperature or altitude. Automotive gasolines in general aviation are utterly laughed at and incredibly discouraged, any pilot that thinks he's saving money is just spending it rebuilding his engine a couple hundred hours of flight later. Finally, an electronic ignition system is no help for detonation of other fuels at altitude and in high performance engines. Spark is spark, and magnetos are already timed for best, safest power. Would you even want to take the risk of a lesser grade fuel starting to detonate, electronic ignition or not, when you're 8,000-10,000 feet above the ground? AvGas and Magnetos are proven over the last century, and will not be easily replaced to sate the environmental hacks who couldn't be bothered to totalize the amount of lead (miniscule) actually entering the atmosphere in compairson to any heavy industry.

      --
      Slashdot: Where opinions are just opinions until you have mod points.
    2. Re:Yes by vought · · Score: 1

      You will never, refute all you like, see an electronic ignition system as reliable as a piston aircraft's.

      But - being realistic for a moment - when's the last time something like a solid-state igniton module failed on you or for anyone you know?

      Mags and leaded avgas are nice, but it's time to prod Lycoming and Continental into the 21st century. The tech to run reciprocating aircraft engines dependably on non-leaded fuels is available - we're just stuck with 'proven' engine designs from the postwar period that require lead to work properly.

    3. Re:Yes by Evil+Cretin · · Score: 1

      So unless you live on a taxiway at a busy small aircraft airport, and breathe deeply for some years, you're OK. Damn.
      --
      "A deadlock has been reached. One task must die. We must now choose between murder and suicide."
    4. Re:Yes by nospam007 · · Score: 0

      Here's one of the many diesel planes, no ignition system needed.
      http://www.eco-motors.com/

    5. Re:Yes by otter42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You will never, refute all you like, see an electronic ignition system as reliable as a piston aircraft's.

      Hogwash. Those magnetos have problems just like everything else. They can be very reliable, but mostly because there are two of them. There are some very delicate parts, such as the impactor which is necessary for starting the engine, that can and do fail quite rapidly. How many people would consider it normal to have to have their car's ignition system fail on them after less than 1000 starts? I don't know how many starts an aircraft manages across a few thousand hours of flight, but I suspect that it's far less than one per two hours of flight. Whereas a daily-driven car probably gets 2000 starts in a little over two years, three at the most.

      --
      www.eissq.com/BandP.html Ball and Plate System. Amuse your friends. Crush your enemies.
    6. Re:Yes by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      But - being realistic for a moment - when's the last time something like a solid-state igniton module failed on you or for anyone you know?

      Five years ago, fortunately in a car. I had a motorcycle CDI module start acting flakey at high temperature about 10 years ago, but that was solved by positioning it so it had better airflow. One of my cars is currently off the road because the coil itself failed (and after 20 years sitting just behind the radiator, no wonder). I've seen a microlight grounded temporarily because the ignition switch fell apart (four separate Honda industrial engine CDI units with a common four-pole switch) - we discovered that turning off three mags stopped the engine just as well as all four until we were able to get it fixed properly.

      I have a box of dead marine magnetos. A big box. I should really throw them out.

    7. Re:Yes by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      From what I've read, piston plane engines have seriously, seriously lagged behind car engines. If you look at performance stats today, your average honda car engine has more power per pound, far better fuel economy, and still beats plane engines to death on reliability and longevity between rebuilds. Of course, this is for regular octane unleaded gas.

      Now, I will state that you can't just dump a car engine in a plane - the requirements are different, especially if you're going to be going high altitude.

      Still, imagine what we could do for efficiency and reliability if we put some of the same computer controls in cars today into small plane engines - allowing far better control of the turbocharging, spark timing, fuel input, etc...

      It's not like redundant computer controls can't be done - many commercial planes today are fly by wire.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    8. Re:Yes by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "Except that theres always the question of reliability"

      Perhaps they should get tips from Lexus then.

      "8,000-10,000 feet above the ground?"

      Plenty of cars operate at or close to that altitude in mountainous areas.

      Seems to me that the only reason aircraft still use pre war technology is because unlike in the car industry there's no incentive for them to change.

    9. Re:Yes by ThosLives · · Score: 2, Informative

      Magnetos aren't as reliable as you think they are. Why do you think there are two of them? ;)

      Detonation is really the key driver for 100LL, and while electronic ignition can help (by adjusting timing) you'd sacrifice engine power to prevent detonation - same thing that happens in autos when the ignition is retarded and just the nature of current piston engines - there's a direct (and potentially significant) trade-off between timing and power/fuel economy.

      The big reason for detonation in small aircraft engines is cylinder geometry - very high displacements with low engine speed (e.g., large piston area) is a prime contributor to detonation. Most "high compression" aircraft engines only have a compression ratio of around 8:1, which is not "high" at all - yet they are still quite susceptible to detonation. Sometimes this is due to high air-charge temperatures due to turbo charging. It's also related to the fact that most of these engines are air-cooled, which means much higher cylinder temperatures than automotive applications (typical "do not exceed" temperatures are 450 to 500 degrees F - the liquid cooling in automobiles keeps heads down in the 250 degF range.)

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    10. Re:Yes by GooberToo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In all probability they can recertify with a combination of electronic ignition and the same 100LL formulation but without TEL, and they can do that relatively inexpensively. If the feds made every aircraft owner who replaced their engines eligible for fuel tax rebates for a period of, say, 5 years from date of installation, that'd probably get the job done to get the fleet converted. But nobody is in a rush to do this because nobody at the EPA sees a public health problem here.

      But its a catch-22. Aviation piston engines cost anywhere from $18,000 - $60,000 to replace, as is. No tax rebate is going to cover the cost of engine replacement; especially once you add in the cost of a newly certified engine technology. Certifying an engine with the FAA easily costs $1,000,000 and up. Because the FAAs moto is, "We're not happy unless you're not happy", they keep various technologies unavailable simply because the price for entry is far, far too high, despite it being a proven technology. Worse, most of their regulations are based about 1940s and 1950s technology assumptions; as that's the technology base most of the guys that created the regulations could relate to. The Beech Starship is a classic example. They truly innovated but the FAA tied them up with red tape for so long during the certification process, it was cheaper for Beech to buy back every plane and DESTROY THEM than it was to hope they could make their money back on their investment.

      Heck, manual adjustment of the air/fuel mixture is common place in GA. Something as common as fuel injection is still considered a big step up and the fuel inject is decades behind what is commonly found in cars. And, even with fuel injection, manual control of the air/fuel mixture is still the norm.

      Another example is something as simple as a clock. The FAA regulations require a certified clock (think of time/distance navigation where time is very important for safe operation). That made sense during the 1940s and 1950s when a precise time piece was uncommon. Likewise, it made sense as a clock to be mounted is required to maintain accuracy with various vibration and pressure changes, and would be hard to find back then. These days, the FAA certified clocks cost hundreds of dollars yet are less accurate, BY FAR, than what most people can pick up for $5 bucks at the local dollar store. Some of the old certified clocks will actually lose a minute or more over a four hour flight. And they can get worse with age. Worse yet, they are renowned for their unreliability. As a result, most pilots violate the regulations because they want something that is accurate, safe, and reliable rather than something that is certified. And yes, the FAA does ding people for using something that is safe and reliable rather than something that is certified.

      Long story short, the ONLY thing preventing piston airplanes from becoming faster, cheaper, safer, and more environmentally friendly is the FAA. If the goverment would clean house and restructure the FAA, forcing them to revamp their certification process, the world of air travel would be a much, much better place.

    11. Re:Yes by jsight · · Score: 2, Informative

      There are elements of truth to what you say, but it still doesn't add up. I suspect your car engine would not last nearly as long if you held it at 75% power output all of the time.

      And you really need to compare torque figures to compare automotive engines to airplane engines. RPM is a factor in HP calculations, but it really screws up the comparison. Airplane engines like to run at lower RPMs than car engines, giving them a disadvantage. Most are very comparable on torque, and comparable on hp as well if run at similar rpms.

    12. Re:Yes by mpe · · Score: 1

      Those magnetos have problems just like everything else. They can be very reliable, but mostly because there are two of them.

      You also have magnetos on the likes of lawnmower engines, which can easily last the life of the engine. Of course a lawnmower (or chainsaw) engine might not work too well a few km up in the air.

    13. Re:Yes by Nimey · · Score: 1

      I know I've seen an article a few years back about a small-scale airplane builder who used fuel-injected Chevy 350 engines on his planes. IIRC they were lightly modified, mainly to make them more reliable[1] and vibrate a bit less.

      Most piston-engined general-aviation aircraft aren't going to fly high enough to need a supercharger, anyway -- unless you're traveling for a long distance, it's wasteful to climb that much, and naturally-aspirated engines are OK until at least 10,000 feet MSL.

      [1] If your car's engine fails, you pull over and wait for a tow. If your plane's engine fails, you crash-land and probably ruin the plane, and maybe kill yourself and your passengers.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    14. Re:Yes by Shotgun · · Score: 2, Informative

      Except that theres always the question of reliability. Magnetos work without external power, and then an aircraft will even have two of them with completely seperate ignition systems.

      Magnetos just have a generator built into them. Kettering figured this out in the early 1900's, split the power generation from the spark generation, and dropped the price of electric ignition to levels that normal people could afford. The magneto is a heavy Rube Goldberg device that tries to pack to much into to small a space. The only thing that has kept it in airplanes is a lack of vision and burdensome regulation.

      Luckily, there is a solution...experimental aviation. My rotary installation will have two Ford EDIS ignition systems that will be powered by a permanent magnet generator (the same thing powering those magnetos). Loss of the engine controller will put the EDIS in it's natural state, which is to run 10 degrees of advance.

      Automotive gasolines in general aviation are utterly laughed at and incredibly discouraged, any pilot that thinks he's saving money is just spending it rebuilding his engine a couple hundred hours of flight later. Finally, an electronic ignition system is no help for detonation of other fuels at altitude and in high performance engines. Spark is spark, and magnetos are already timed for best, safest power.

      You have just proven beyond a doubt that you know absolutely nothing about how an ICE operates, beyond maybe what you heard from some old fart hanging out in front of an airport. Try going down to a local race track (where real men coax the absolute maximum power out of an engine) and try to tell them that "spark is spark". You'll have to just tell them, 'cause they won't talk to you. They'll laugh at you. But not try to engage you in a conversation. If you actually owned an airplane engine, you'd know that lead clogs the valves and can cause misfires in the plugs. Many, MANY engines will run much better if mogas is mixed in to reduce the amount of lead. The EAA sales a $50 STC that allows a wide range of aircraft types to run on mogas, and it is the most popular STC for a GA craft to have.

      In short, you haven't a clue.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    15. Re:Yes by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I'd also wonder about the run life of the engine in particular - Many people replace their lawnmowers as freqently as they do their cars, but only run the mower one to two hours a week, frequently for only part of the year.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    16. Re:Yes by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      There are reasons I said that an vehicle engine straight out of the crate/junkyard shouldn't be used for aviation.

      Still, there are a number of options for these issues. My general point would be developing an engine control system with increased redundancy and good failover modes but integrating new technology could improve airplane engine performance by quite a bit.

      Worried about electronic ignition vs dual dynamos? Why not have two alternators and two ignition modules?

      Heck with a computerized engine you'd frequently be able to get warnings about engine failures before it becomes a real problem.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    17. Re:Yes by slacktide · · Score: 1

      100LL only presents big fouling issues in engines originally certified to use 80/87, which is of course no longer available. A little dose of TCP at each fillup solves the problem nicely. That EAA STC? Only good for some little putt-putt trainers. If I'm only burning 5-6 GPH, it's barely worth the trouble to save 75C/gallon. Besides, the STC is rapidly becoming completely worthless. You can't use mogas with ethanol in it, and it's becoming almost impossible to find mogas without it in many parts of the country. Even worse, not all states require labeling on the pump stating ethanol content, so you may be buying "mystery fuel"

    18. Re:Yes by loudawg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The problem isn't really that Lycoming and Continental are just lagging and can't get up to today's technology. I think it's more of the fact that any change in design requires them to go through so much to get certified by the FAA. Tons of money must be put into this, as well as tons of testing, etc. This is the same reason why many parts of these planes haven't evolved. Hell, tires on general aviation aircraft from what I understand are still made of pure rubber. It's not worth it to anyone to go through the hoops to be able to sell tires made of synthetic compounds and whatnot. It's simply easier to stick with what works and is already certified.

    19. Re:Yes by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Something from a random web page:

      Tricresyl Phosphate (TCP) works, but a word of caution. You should be aware that the substance is noxious and is transdermal with serious complications for your innards. This means that you don't want to get it on your skin, eyes, etc., at any cost. Fumes are a serious health risk also. Not to mention that the stuff has the potential to be extremely explosive under certain conditions. Sooooo, what worries me is carrying it in an airplane. In fact, if you read the label Alcor warns against carrying it aboard the airplane. Actually, that recommendation came about due to a can exploding inside a C-172 with two fatalities. Using it in your hangar, with latex gloves, maybe a respirator, and good ventilation, it works as advertised, but the potential hazards must not be ignored.

      Those 'putt-putt trainers' you speak of just happen to be the largest component of the GA fleet, and the fears of a little ethanol in the fuel are so overblown, they've become ridiculous. Putting ethanol in the fuel is counterproductive for several reasons, but the unwarranted fear-mongering of the opponents is ridiculous. But that is beside the point. The original claim was that mogas in airplanes was a joke, or something to that effect. The orginal claim itself is a laughable offense of cluelessness.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  17. Nope by kitsunewarlock · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This still isn't the issue that should be discussed. Most greenhouse gas emissions (that can be prevented to continue our society running in a way similiar to how its running how) come from poor building design. Architecture, engineering and software design is what needs to be looked at, not car's which contribute only about 1/3rd the damage that building, living in and operating buildings add to the factor.

    We need to use smart and effective 'green' design. And no, I don't mean we should be living in squalor cabins with grass on our roofs--beautiful, effective and low cost green architecture is available...if the industry will ever be embraced!

    --
    Ginga no Rekshiya Mata Each page.
  18. Re:Bout time we did something about those skies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So, does this mean they'll stop that secret military program that sprays chemtrails all day long, to cut global warming by radiating sunlight back into space? Oooops. Wasn't supposed to admit that. Men in black ... coming to door .. must ...stop them! Help me, Spock! Need more ... aluminum foil! Khaaaaaaaan!!

  19. Yay for cooperation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Any time there's a pan US-EU anything it usually pans out to mean that european businesses have to fork over any trade secrets, information relating to the privacy of passengers/customers and promise to give the american companies special deals/bonuses/kickback programs in the EU area. Non-compliance is seen as being "obstructionist", "old Europe" and probably harbouring terrorists.

    Free trade is great. So great that the only ones not subject to it are american companies whenever they are to compete in an international market. Watch for this to be named with some sort of cute "Save the puppies and clean up the air treaty" orwellian title

  20. One recommendation by Linker3000 · · Score: 1

    I recommend that no short or medium term plans to switch long-haul flights to battery-powered engines.

    Now, where do I send my consultancy bill?

    --
    AT&ROFLMAO
  21. as a customer, I want speed by r00t · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Full throttle all the way!

    Arrive high and fast. Lose the altitude and speed with that side slip maneuver the glider pilots use. :-) Yeah, I'm cool with the wing being near vertical.

    1. Re:as a customer, I want speed by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Arrive high and fast. Lose the altitude and speed with that side slip maneuver the glider pilots use

      You'd like Ryanair then. There's something unnerving about being in a steepish descent for long final, definitely heading downhill in a big way, and hearing the engines spool up...

      I think they employ retired Stuka pilots.

    2. Re:as a customer, I want speed by mikael · · Score: 1

      My favourite Ryanair maneuver is powering up the engines while still turning to get onto the main runway.
      Must save around 30 seconds on flight time.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    3. Re:as a customer, I want speed by Hijacked+Public · · Score: 1

      1time pilots enjoy that as well.

      I was on one of their DC-9s leaving Cape Town once and the pilot oversteered turning onto the runway. He ended up going on around, 360 degrees, never backed off the throttle, and taking off. I got the feeling that wasn't his first time.

      Azikho lo nonsense, indeed.

      --
      "Sacrifice for the good of The State" - The State
  22. we cut funding for that project :-( by r00t · · Score: 1

    How do you like Mach 3 without any greenhouse gas emmisions?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Pluto

    I'm sure Big Oil killed it.

  23. Cant they wait... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... till after we block out the sun with planes spewing black smog?
    oh wait!

    1. Re:Cant they wait... by Walt+Dismal · · Score: 3, Funny

      Call me crazy, but I think we could reduce air pollution a lot by banning coal-fueled aircraft engines and use horses instead. It just might work.

    2. Re:Cant they wait... by AngryJim · · Score: 2, Funny

      According to all of my AvTech professors, if you open up a Turbine engine you'll find a really exhausted horse inside a giant hamster wheel. It's the Piston engines we need to worry about. They run on weasels, which of course produce green house gases.

  24. What are they really talking about? by hkuiper · · Score: 1

    From an article on the BBC News site: "A draft United Nations report published in April says that aviation accounts for 2% of the world's carbon dioxide emissions." http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6223834.stm. So I think one can conclude that aircraft emissions are irrelevant compared to other emission sources. I think the article shows the airlines' real intent: to subvert strict noise regulations by tagging on to the Climate Change hype and then suggesting that CO2 reduction is more important than noise reduction.

    Yes, I do live close to an airport.

    1. Re:What are they really talking about? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Was the airport there before or after you moved in? If you came after the airport, shut up about the noise - you knew it was there when you bought the house.

    2. Re:What are they really talking about? by hkuiper · · Score: 1

      That's rude. The airport was there when I moved in and I was OK with the noise levels then. A few years ago the airport built a new runway _much_ closer to my home. Noise levels increased and they have now just about reached the level I can tolerate. Hence my concern about relaxing noise reductions in favor of negligible CO2 reductions.

  25. Galileo? Stupid example by Flying+pig · · Score: 0
    Your post is utterly stupid. Galileo never commented on the Bible. He stuck entirely to what he personally observed and knew about. In fact, he was actually a good Catholic and the Church has very belatedly realised that they should have been promoting him, not putting him under house arrest.

    This is the exact opposite of Dyson, who is so arrogant that he assumes that he can completely master something as large as climate modelling and then reject it, without in fact knowing much about it at all.

    --
    Pining for the fjords
    1. Re:Galileo? Stupid example by Hal_Porter · · Score: 2, Informative

      Galileo never commented on the Bible. He stuck entirely to what he personally observed and knew about.

      And because it contradicted the Bible he got in trouble.

      This is the exact opposite of Dyson, who is so arrogant that he assumes that he can completely master something as large as climate modelling and then reject it, without in fact knowing much about it at all.

      He's the guy that invented the Dyson sphere and has a good record of being right about physics. His comment is not based on him mastering anything. He knows the limitations of the models the climatologists are using. Just like Galileo he gets flack from pointing out the flaws in people's beliefs because those beliefs are based on faith, not on reason.

      Even if you don't agree with the comparison, is shouldn't be that hard to figure out.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  26. Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If they just improved their flight scheduling infosystems to eliminate wasteful delays and wasteful rushing to catch up, they'd burn a lot less fuel per mile traveled.

    How many times have we arrived above an airport, just to fly in circles until the terminal is ready to let us get to the gate? How long have we spent burning fuel on the runway, waiting for our turn to take off? All that extra fuel burned to go extra miles between our points.

    And then the pilot tells us they'll pour on the speed to catch up to schedule, or get us ahead of schedule - so we have to wait longer for a gate to open when we arrive. That extra airspeed might improve their ontime arrivals/departures stats, but once out of the maximum efficiency range, that 4th power of wind resistance per area drag really multiplies the inefficiency out of the engine's peak efficiency RPM.

    But if their logistics just mapped the arrivals/departures to the capacity of the airports, most of that waste would be unnecessary. I wouldn't be surprised to see >10% fuel efficiency gained right there, plus the extra efficiency from less refueling infrastructure.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by LarsWestergren · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Even worse - some airlines keep running empty planes back and forth so they can keep their sought after "landing slots" at airports.

      --

      Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    2. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      No amount of flight scheduling will fix this problem, because flight scheduling isn't the root cause. In fact, flight scheduling is a valiant attempt to fix the root cause.

      The root cause is that everyone wants to arrive at LAX at 8am and depart at 6pm. Just enough time to get from the airport to the client site, spend a day in meetings, and then get to the airport and back home. Try taking a trip occasionally to a smaller airport with an arrival time around 11am, 3pm or 10pm. I flew to GSO about a month ago, arriving at about 7:30pm. I was vectored to the approach end of the runway from 10NM out, and given landing clearance at 5NM out. Basically, ATC (air traffic control) said, "You've got the airport to yourself." They can't actually say that, but it amounted to the same thing.

      Recently, the general aviation community has been in an uproar because the big airlines want to rearrange how aviation is taxed to pay for the ATC infrastructure. Historically, it has been fuel taxes, just like how we pay for highways. Those who use the resource the most pay the most taxes. It's a low overhead collection infrastructure, and almost self enforcing (a small plane owner can cart in his own gas in 5gal containers, but what a friggin' hassle that is. Just buy it from the airport and pay the tax.) The airline want to change things so that a fee is charged every time an ATC service is used. This system has decimated general aviation in most European countries, is a tax collector's nightmare, and won't collect any more money than is collected now. But that is not GA's argument to Congress. Our argument is that ATC is designed to handle the irrational scheduling of the airlines. Spread all of those arrivals and departures out and you can drastically reduce the control staff on the ground.

      I'm way off in the weeds chasing rabbits, but the direct answer to your question is that a better scheduling algorithm will not get to many planes into to small of an area in to short of a time. This is one of those problems that computers will never be able to solve.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    3. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      You're right. The "delays" are also a scam to coverup the airlines' overbooking not just flights with seats, but also gates with planes. So another "fuel efficiency" play is laws that prohibit that overbooking. Even just applying the "truth in advertising" laws would fix it.

      There is also a tech fix to make the de/boarding process faster. Airports should all have moving sidewalks to every gate from the security gate, with their exact transit times reported every time the passenger gets a notice. Some slackers will still arrive late, thinking they can run on the belts to catch up, but that would minimize the straggler delay. I'm sure the airlines have some scam related to baggage that's why they force us to walk miles with dozens of pounds of carryon, but that should get sacrificed for fuel efficiency, too.

      In fact, we should ship all baggage separately from passengers, anyway. We should ship baggage ahead of time, on cargo flight circuits, picked up by FedEx/etc or their own carrier. Those bags could also get shipped by rail or water for extra efficiency. When we get a receipt that our bags have arrived ahead, we'll lose much less luggage, or at least have the airlines send another bag at their expense ahead of time, so we're not left without their contents. The cargo planes can be much more efficient, more async in scheduling, combined into a route for efficiency, not heated/pressurized/fed. And the security benefits of examination without the urgency of a waiting passenger, plus the much lower target risk of a cargo plane, means that the passengers can breeze through security. All of which combines for much less fuel consumed, both in the distribution and security processes, per passenger. While clearing possibly double the passenger capacity per plane. And, since the baggage portion is async, spreads the load around the daily schedule more. All of which means more profit for airlines, including lower fuel per passenger costs.

      Another big step would be literally pre-boarding passengers. The gates should seat people in actual "cartridges" that fit the fuselage of the plane. When a plane arrives, passengers are already seated, the plane releases its incoming seating section cartridges into one side of the gate, while cycling the outgoing cartridges into the outgoing plane. The entire passenger cycling could take 10 minutes, with cleaning at the airport among extra cartridges offline rather than in realtime in the cramped plane. Empty planes just traveling to another airport without passengers could fly lighter with no cartridges.

      And better routing IT could tighten all that complexity. There's no way airlines are matching the ideal routing, because they're so generally incompetent, especially when interconnecting between different people, controlled by different personnel. Every time passengers wait around is inefficiency, and there's surely a lot of that.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    4. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      I smell a Greenhouse law or carbon tax right in there.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    5. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      If they just improved their flight scheduling infosystems to eliminate wasteful delays and wasteful rushing to catch up, they'd burn a lot less fuel per mile traveled.

      I R'd TFA yesterday from the firehose (this FA or one much like it) and that is precisely one of the things they are doing.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're not going to get a doubling of passenger capacity by eliminating the baggage hold, and by moving the baggage off the passenger's plane, it will more than likely add extra cargo flights. The airlines also wouldn't like this much because the excess cargo hold space is often used for non-passenger related cargo. That would eliminate another revenue stream. Instead of a cartridge scheme (which wouldn't be practical for many airports where passengers still board from the tarmac), just eliminate the entire assigned seat nonsense. Fill the aircraft starting with the back rows of the aircraft and move forward. People would get on the aircraft go as far back into the aircraft as they can, stow their carry on bags, and sit down. Essentially, the reverse of what happens when everyone gets off the airplane, which is always faster than loading.

    7. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      What makes you say eliminating the baggage hold won't (approximately) double passenger space, when people typically bring at least 150% their own space in baggage on average, especially longer flights?

      Airlines can charge more for humans than for baggage.

      I don't know where you're getting your reasons for denying the savings for them.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    8. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Portions of the airplane that store cargo are unsuitable for passengers. They're unpressurized crush zones. In the event of a crash, the soft cushy people are up top, well protected as the bottom half of the airplane gets scraped away.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    9. Re:Hurry Up and Wait for Inefficiency by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      How often do those crush zones save the passengers, anyway?

      Sell the lower seats cheaper, call it "steerage", advertise it with clips from _Titanic_ (but without that nasty sinking scene).

      4. Profit!

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  27. Please, take your head out of the sand... by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 4, Informative

    Great post. If you want to hide your head in the sand, that is. Let me just shatter the myth that you're perpetuating in your first paragraph.

    1. The US is by far the biggest polluter per capita.

    Compare apples with apples, instead of of apples with oranges, by looking at per capita figures. The CIA World Factbook lists the population of China as 1,321,851,888 (July 2007 est.) and the population of the US as 301,139,947 (July 2007 est.).

    You wouldn't compare the carbon dioxide emissions output of the US with that of a tiny nation like Bermuda, so play fair and use the most sensible measure to compare who's contributing how much.

    A quick mental calculation will show you that, in carbon dioxide terms alone, the US produces four times as much domestically as China does.

    2. China makes goods for the US, not the other way around.

    All those goods that China makes that the US consumes (clothing, electronics, etc) have an associated cost in terms of carbon dioxide and other pollution. But, of course, the figures that you've latched onto don't attribute those to the country of consumption, only to the country of origin.

    Put simply, when a Chinese factory makes something that an American will buy, it's at least partially (if not fully) pollution caused by the American consumer. So, a large chunk of the pollution caused by China, etc is due to the US (and other consumer nations) as well.

    The US has five percent of the world's population. The US consumes roughly 25-30 percent of the world's goods, and hence is responsible for 25-30 percent of the pollution. To sustain everybody on the planet at the current US level of consumption would take five to six Earth's worth of resources and create a similar amount of pollution.

    Now do you see why the US plays such a big part in this and should be taking positive, proactive steps to try to address the issues instead of trying to shift the blame to others?

    As for your closing complaint that "This is more government micromanagement that will do nothing but further bring us down", well, I could not disagree more. The free market alone will never make the necessary steps to do what's necessary by itself, no matter what you might think. Want an example? Then just look at how car manufacturers fought tooth and nail against mandatory installation of seatbelts in cars. Same shit, different decade, that's all.

    Please take your head out of the sand for a minute to think about it.

    --

    "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
    1. Re:Please, take your head out of the sand... by ksheff · · Score: 1

      we do sell stuff to China and they trade with a lot of other countries too. http://www.uschina.org/statistics/tradetable.html

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    2. Re:Please, take your head out of the sand... by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 1

      Of course the US sells some goods to China, but if you look at the net sales then the overwhelming majority of goods that pass between the two nations go from China to the US.

      Pedantry aside, I'm sure you realised that.

      --

      "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
    3. Re:Please, take your head out of the sand... by ksheff · · Score: 1

      yes, all countries buy lots of cheap Chinese crap. I'm annoyed by people who think that we're the only ones buying it.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    4. Re:Please, take your head out of the sand... by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 1

      Uh, if you read my initial post more closely then you would have noticed that I said "So, a large chunk of the pollution caused by China, etc is due to the US (and other consumer nations) as well."

      However, as the country that consumes 25-30 percent of the world's goods, despite only having 5 percent of the world's population, it is imperative that we all recognise that the US is a major part of the problem and therefore must do its part to become a major part of the solution.

      --

      "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
  28. per capita is wrong comparison by Shivetya · · Score: 2, Insightful

    because China effectively has two populations, those in the present and all those 'out there'

    A large number of China's population will not become modernized within our lifetimes... but they apparently sure do well to keep the averages down when painting China's bad behaviour

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  29. Fewer Bailouts = Fewer Planes? by L33tminion · · Score: 1

    They want to reduce air pollution from airplanes? How about not letting all the bankrupt airlines stay in business?

  30. A simple solution.... by Alexpkeaton1010 · · Score: 1

    Why don't they just eliminate the 2 hours of idling on the runway before a 1 hour flight?

  31. Intercontinental flight madness by bestiarosa · · Score: 1

    I realise we should do something about pollution from aeroplanes but as long as companies don't revise their policies there's little to be done.
    A few months ago I took a plane which brought me to Brazil. I used to live in Milan, but it turned out that the cheapest option was flying to Lisbon, and from there taking a plane which was going back to Milan and then to São Paulo. Taking the same plane - and I mean not just same route but same flight number - in Milan skipping the Lisbon part was going to almost double the cost of the ticket. I even phoned the company telling them whether I could buy the ticket but then only check in in Milan but the confirmed it was impossible: I had to check in in Lisbon. So I had to buy a low-cost ticket to Lisbon, fly back to Milan after a few hours and from there reach São Paulo.
    It turned out I flown twice the distance from Milan to Lisbon for nothing more than saving ticket money. It's against any logic that I should fly more (and pollute more) to pay less.

    --
    :(){ :|:& };:
  32. AIRE?! by dzfoo · · Score: 1

    I wonder how much time and tax-payers' dollars were spent on coming up with the cute acronym. I'd bet that was the first order of business during the first few meetings.

            -dZ.

    --
    Carol vs. Ghost
    ...Can you save Christmas?
    1. Re:AIRE?! by catdevnull · · Score: 1

      I was just wondering the same thing--I wonder if the government(s) contract with World Acronym Search Team Enterprises (WASTE).

      --

      I might know what I'm talkin' about, but then again, this is Slashdot...
  33. Okay, let's see by iminplaya · · Score: 1

    We got the EPA cleaning up the air. The FCC cleans up the airwaves. And now the FAA want to clean up the skies? What are they going to do? Prohibit R rated movies? No more sex in the bathrooms or leering at the stewardess? With all this, our air should be squeaky clean real soon.

    --
    What?
  34. Which is worse: emissions of CO2 or unburnt fuel? by mencomenco · · Score: 0

    I don't recall the source, but somewhere I read that jet engines lose combustion efficiency rapidly with altitude -- the higher they fly the less of the fuel going through the engine actually gets burnt. As I recall, much more than half is just blown out into the atmosphere in various states of incomplete combustion at the highest altitudes.

    It is my impression that even with much-touted fuel efficiency improvements the combustion rates of even engines not yet for sale are not higher than 45%.

    My qestion is, can anyone say with any certainty what the effects of these raw hydro-carbon compounds at high altitude on, say the ozone layer for instance, might be?

    Is anyone researching and publishing on this?

  35. How about an international mandate? by gmcraff · · Score: 1

    Maybe there should be a treaty to reduce older, high pollution aircraft from long distance flights.

    Older planes, especially old turbojet airliners like the 707, have particularly loud and inefficient engines. Some can be re-engined with high-bypass turbofans for much quieter operation, much like the way the KC-135E (a 707 military air tanker modification) was up-engined to be the KC-135R, which is OK if you have good pilots that won't scrape the larger engine nacelles on a rough landing.

    Of course, the airlines operating 707s and similar aircraft these days are the third world airlines, who got those airplanes for low, low prices after they'd exceeded 80%+ of their airframe lifespan. They probably don't maintain them that well, either, which increases the pollution. And if we restrict them to shorter hops, they'll never get into their most efficient flight regime...

    But, hey, we get to use environmental regulation to screw over the third world, or we can exempt them from the regulations and gain nothing as they fly their air-jalopies all over the world. Yay!

    And yes, I do have a degree in meteorology. My understanding is that global climate change is coming, whether or not it is caused by human activity, and there is nothing, absolutely nothing that can realistically be done to stop it. It's best to treat it as if it were a natural change and change with it. Besides, if a (worse case scenario according to IPCC) 20" increase in global sea level happens (over, what, 50 years), and you get caught by that, it will be like being passed by a slug. I will laugh uproariously at you as you stand in the rising water that you watched coming for forty five years and fret, oh, what am I going to do now? MOVE OR GET YOUR HOUSE LIFTED. Even tribal aboriginals will have that figured out without having to be told!

  36. Deluded by figa · · Score: 1

    How can this guy be trusted to understand climatology if he can't tell the difference between dilution and delusion?

  37. CO2 and Climate Change by DrColes · · Score: 0

    Please do your homework before this costs you your economies. My point in all of this is that CO2 does NOT cause climate change; I am not arguing that a change in the climate might be occurring. The climate on earth changes all the time and that global change is caused by the Sun (a new NASA finding). All life on the planet is carbon based, CO2 is part of our food chain, and it is not a pollutant. The biggest "green house gas" is water vapor. If climate change is caused by human activity then we would need to start eliminating life on the planet, yes this is absurd, so is the assertion that humans are causing climate change. It just is NOT the truth. Additional information http://www.inteliorg.com/co2_climate_change.html

  38. Re:Bout time we did something about those skies by had3z · · Score: 1

    yeah, it's what plants crave for

  39. You just get dumber and dumber by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Note that I knew about this conveyor failing thing before Gore was even veep"

    That was about the time the rest of us became aware of what a fat blowhard you are.

    "conveyer" the idiot says. You really are an easily manipulated, mentally deficient cunt aren't you, buying into that garbage.

  40. more interesting than the +3 parent by bussdriver · · Score: 1

    The US and Europe are LARGE contributors to the problem; combined, they are the largest source of greenhouse gases. China is in a much more difficult position, the USA is on easy street by comparison.

    The Grasshopper and The Ant or how about The Little Red Hen?

    Too many LAZY 1st world citizens are saying "No, not I" and/or acting like the grasshopper. The difference here being the adult-level rationalizations. Its like the grasshopper thinking winter will never come OR the pig saying that the wheat will not grow (then saying we don't have the technology to harvest it cost effectively, then its problems making flour, then its pigs 'are not willing to do' cooking jobs... If the pig in the story ate the bread, then the pig would downplay the laziness with more rationalization, like the Y2K skeptics did.)

    Its no surprise that those taking the lazy do-nothing position fail to seriously look into global warming evidence.

    Regulation is the job of government (and enforcement thereof.) The government reflects the incompetence of its own citizens (aka the public gets the government they deserve.) If your not doing anything to solve the problem you are part of it.

    "leading to a relative inability to compete with other countries less concerned"
    Ironically, your argument is the SAME argument for regulation within nations and for a global regulation. It applies locally. Nearly the same argument is used to stop poison in pet food or toys...(hint)

    A nation can deal with the inequality in the market in ways local organizations can not.

  41. How can you be so sure? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Aircraft are not limited by how many people can fit in the seats, they are limited by how much weight they can carry.

    Are you sure those "half full" aircraft are not loaded with extra cargo in the hold?

    1. Re:How can you be so sure? by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's what I was saying, and I think everyone got it except this guy. That's Slashdot for you, there's always 1% of people who don't get it and they always feel the need to tell the rest of us about it.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
  42. San Francisco to Boston by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Still, all the flights back and forth between San Francisco and Boston would always remain booked solid.

  43. ALOFT program in Australia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Air traffic management Long-range Optimal Flow Tool (ALOFT). This air traffic management tool is being used daily to predict landing times, delays and optimal arrival time for aircraft arriving at Sydney, the national aviation hub. Air traffic controllers pass information to the pilot as they cross into Australian airspace, still some three to fours hours away from Sydney, and pilots then adjust their cruise speed to reduce delay at Sydney. This reduces fuel burn and emissions because aircraft burn less fuel at high altitude than they do at low altitudes.

    http://www.ministers.dotars.gov.au/mv/releases/200 7/June/086MV_2007.htm

  44. TPP used now, not TCP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Triphenyl Phosphate (TPP) is what's being substituted in place of TCP these days for exactly the reasons you stated. TPP is slightly less effective, but much less toxic. Still, it's pretty nasty stuff.

  45. Autofuel in an aircraft is just fine. by Nick+Driver · · Score: 1

    Automotive gasolines in general aviation are utterly laughed at and incredibly discouraged, any pilot that thinks he's saving money is just spending it rebuilding his engine a couple hundred hours of flight later.

    Bullcrap.

    Those attitudes against mogas may have been the case a decade or longer ago, but the myths have been dispelled and the attitudes have definitely changed. Automotive gasoline runs just fine in a piston aircraft engine that has a low compression ratio. I've put almost 1000 hours on my Lyc O-320 (150hp, 7.0:1 CR) using mostly mogas and blended 100LL/mogas when I fly x-c and only 100LL is available. My engine is much cleaner inside than other planes' engines at my airport who burn 100LL exclusively. My oil stays cleaner, which will help this engine easily reach and go beyond the standard 2000 hour TBO. My spark plugs stay cleaner, the cylinders stay cleaner and my exhaust system stays cleaner. I have had zero problems with the engine valves or any part of the fuel system on my little airplane. The only detriment is that it is a bit of a hassle to hauling a pickup truck full of jerry cans of auto gas out to my airport, and people look at me with great suspicion when I'm filling them all up at once at a gas station, but I should be thankful that at least I can still buy auto gas that hasn't been contaminated with ethanol here.

  46. Re:Bout time we did something about those skies by ohmpossum · · Score: 1

    FFFeeeeeeeeeed me Seymore

    --
    Just set me up a basic sig... 10 PRINT "Gordon Aplin" : GOTO 10