Is SETI Worth It?
njdube sent in this Space.com story about the money behind SETI that opens, "It's a risky long shot that burns up money and might never, ever pay off. So is searching for intelligent creatures on unseen worlds worth the candle? After all, aren't there better ways to use our monies and technical talents than trying to find something that's only posited to exist: sentient beings in the dark depths of space?"
SETI - The result of having failed to find intelligent life on Earth.
Isn't _______ (space program, particle physics, string theory, insert science program that isn't directly applicable to everyday life here) totally useless and a huge waste of money? This money could be better used elsewhere!
Three million dollars a year is a small price to pay for the chance at discovering another sentient race in the galaxy, even if it is a longshot. It is one cent per year per individual.
If you're willing to look at it as an investment of sorts, and that the potential "payout" is absolutely enormous, I'd say it's a fair deal. Not something at the top of the list to keep in a depression or anything, though.
The press spends more money covering SETI than the scientists spend actually doing it.
Just because something involves "space" doesn't mean that it has a NASA-like budget.
Didn't you see First Contact? As soon as we find aliens, world peace occurs. Can't you please think of the children?
Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
Of course it's worth it. Just think of all that alien anime we're missing out on!
A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
"The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
Yeah it's not practical, yeah it's expensive, but damn, if it pays off, it pays off big time. Besides, it's not like we're asking you to pay for it, SETI runs off private money.
Personally I think they'll have more of a chance in the fledgling field of optical seti, where they're looking for aliens pointing laser beams at us... yes really.
Yet another blogger begging for an audience.
Is SETI worth it?
That single part question requires a multipart answer.
First, SETI is extremely worth it, without a doubt. It seeks to answer the biggest question in history, "Are we alone?" While SETI will never prove that ET life does NOT exist, it might prove that it does. That will be the largest discovery in the history of man... BY FAR!
However, that said, we could be talking about civilizations that are millions of years ahead of us. Think about that, one million years. How far have we come in a million years? Do you think that if primate-pre-man were looking for us a million years ago, he'd know to look for radio waves? Of course not! Hell, we didn't know about radio a mere 200 years ago. So, do you really think that a civilization that advanced uses radio? I'm going to guess that they don't. I'm sure they would have perfected something else by now. Something like quantum entanglement or something (has anyone clocked the speed on that?) that we would never think to look for. Well, not for another several hundred thousand years anyway.
So, I think SETI is wasting their time looking for radio waves. Not only is a long shot to find ET life, but multiply that by finding ET life that happened to be using radio at a time that matches how far they are away (if they are 1000 light years away, they would have had to be using radio 1000 years ago). If such a civilization is 950 years ahead of us, we still would not be able to detect them. (That's still a long time in technical evolutionary terms. Think of where we were around 1050!)
First I think that SETI should broaden the search. They should be the Search for Extra Terrestrial Life... or SETL (pronounced Settle... fitting isn't it?) I feel that SETI's money could be better spent looking for any life at all, not just intelligent life. Once that is found, branch out and look for the smart stuff. They could start by looking for planets that could support life, starting right here in our own solar system. I want to see a mission to Europa and Titan that look for signs of microbial life. Europa's ice is supposed to be churning. Could we just look for some that has been churned up to the surface? Why wait for a grand ice burrowing submarine mission that cuts through miles of ice and hopes to find water. Why not put the money toward some kind of mission to land there and look around. Move from there to try to bring back a sample. (Sorry to get OT, but that's just an example.) Yes, I know that SETI is not NASA, but some of that radio renting money could be spent on lobbying and public service campaigns that could do much more that trying to see if a star in Orion is listening to BobFM (more music, less talk!)
Well, that's my $0.02, since you asked and all.
There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
Let's say we not only find intelligent life but that we can communicate with them and they have the answers to all our problems...
Would it be worth it then for the relatively small amount of resources we're putting into this now...
But don't answer just yet!
What if they they give us the ability to travel in space, thus increasing our resources greatly so we can solve even MORE problems we didn't know we had!?!
How much would you pay for that? Would that be worth all the effort and dreaming we do now?
Or will you take what's in the magic box?
If Christopher Columbus followed the same reasoning (don't look for something that might not exist), where would you live today? The most rewarding of all discoveries are found by exploring the unknown, with no guarantee of reward.
The truth of the matter is that we have no serious SETI effort.
All current SETI activity is built on the assumption that someone is trying to talk to us. Our detection capability is pretty much limited to an alien civilization already knowing we exist and directing extremely powerful, focused broadcasts directly at Earth.
Basically, given our current SETI programs, we couldn't detect Earth's civilization even if we were in the next star system over. We leak a lot of signals, but over vast interstellar distances these signals are weak, can be lost in background noise, and would require a huge antenna or array of antennas to receive. In other words, the we depend on aliens having their own SETI that is vastly more advanced than our own.
A real SETI project would cost many orders of magnitude more, and would require radio telescopes many orders of magnitude more sensitive than we have now. We're talking something on the level of making a crater miles across and making it into a radio dish. Arecibo is puny in comparison to what we need.
Blanketing an area the size of Rhode Island with a dish array might also work (though it would have to be very, very precisely controlled).
Any serious SETI effort that hopes to find someone that doesn't know we're here already and wants to talk to us will cost many many billions of dollars.
There are soooo.... MANY other things we could could spend three million a year on.
And in fact WE DO!
HUNDREDS of Millions a year on Video Games, Movies, Sporting events
HUNDREDS of Millions a year on "Gourmet" Coffee.
Not to mention how much is spent on Drugs, Sex and Rock and Roll.
Instead of that we could be spending that on medical research, feeding the poor, funding education, etc...
BUT we don't. So, as long as we're "letting" truly HUGE amounts of money be spent by society on "mindless pursuits", why not let a small section of society spend a RELATIVELY SMALL amount of money on a totally useless, wasteful, studid, wonderful, amazing search for life on other planets.
So, unless and until the majority of society is willing to de-fund ALL the sports, entertainment, gourmet coffee, (keep inserting names of more "non-essentials" here) hands off SETI!
After all, aren't there better ways to use our monies and technical talents than trying to find something that's only posited to exist: sentient beings in the dark depths of space?"
Yes, we should instead use our monies and technical talents to engage in devotional activities that venerate something else that is only posited to exist: our magical sky grandpa. Then, we should use our monies and technical talents to build weapons to kill the people whose understanding of the magical sky grandpa differs in various insignificant ways from our own.
This reminds me of a running argument I have with my retired father. He complains about NASA being a waste of his tax dollars while he sits in front of a satelite TV. Refuses to see the irony.
The article is a nice attempt at arguing that 'investing in SETI' can prove to be useful 'down the road' by using some examples of how the curious and inquisitive minds of the past yielded immense discoveries and scientific progress that benefit us all, but it's akin to comparing apples to oranges.
The pragmatist in me says that SETI is a curious way for a few people to spend their time looking for signs of life 'somewhere out there' in the Universe, but it has no practical use.
I mean, honestly, let's assume that tomorrow, we capture a signal from an alien civilization. Finally, the answer to 'Are we alone in the Universe?' is answered, great. Then what? Chances are that the transmission is (by the time we received it) hundreds or thousands of years old. During that time, the civilization that sent it could have vanished for a number of reasons, of which we'd have no clue about.
If anything, such a discovery would only lead to more problems, since in one single swoop, a number of major religious beliefs would be shattered, therefore leaving a bunch of pissed-off fundamentalists in a tizzy. The best and brightest would be infinitely pleased with such a discovery, but unfortunately, they're a nearly insignificant minority compared to the idiot masses.
The bottom line is that if the SETI folks want to spend their time listening to space static or looking up at the stars, let them. It's their project, and if they can find the people to fund them, more power to them. If someday they find messages from 'little green/alien men', great. I'd be willing to wager that none of us will be around to congratulate them.
"We'll need 2000 crickets, 4 cans of Easy Cheese, and the fluid from 18 glowsticks for this plan to work...." - ph0n1c
One serious problem with SETI is that it looks only for obsolete forms of modulation. Almost all the SETI efforts are looking for "carriers", signals that are mostly wasted energy. AM and FM broadcast radio, and analog TV, have strong carriers. Almost nothing else does any more. There are more efficient ways to synch up the receiver. The strong-carrier systems are being phased out. In a few decades, nobody on Earth will be sending out strong carriers.
SETI is thus looking for civilizations in their first century of radio. The odds of finding an intelligent signal with current approaches is low.
The problem with looking for complex signals, like digital TV, is that they look like noise. Imagine some alien civilization receiving a DTV signal. It's quite possible that some of a a DTV signal might make it to a nearby star; terrestrial DTV is broadcast with megawatt power. But it will probably get there below the noise threshold. You can find a dumb carrier well below the noise threshold, because it's so repetitive. You may not be able to read the modulated information, but you can tell there's a carrier. But an encoded digital signal below the noise threshold just looks like noise.
There are digital signals designed for reception below the noise threshold; GPS is encoded for that. But the data rate is low and the redundancy is high. That's not true of DTV.
One can imagine an alien civilization finally figuring out they're getting something from Earth, building a big receiving antenna in their outer system to get a clean signal, and then trying to figure out how to decompress the thing. At least they don't have to crack DRM encryption first.
Logical arguements have almost no effect on how money is distributed: federal money, internal funds in a company, or personal wealth spread broadly across society.
I'm depressed that nobody is challenging the paradigm that "we" should decide whether SETI or anything else for that matter is "worthwhile". The mere effort presumes the existence of one true value system that trumps all others. Jihad, anybody?
How about Bob and Carol spend their money on SETI, Ted spends his on protein folding, and Alice spends hers on beer? Because it's their money and their choice.
"Should" expresses a moral judgement. When collectivists use it they are advocating, in the end, unlimited social violence against those who will not comply. Pol Pot wan't bugfuck crazy, he was just consistent.
--phunctor
I'd be one of the first in line to support a proposal to take all the profits and money that the Vatican (among others) has accumulated and direct it towards scientific research. An excellent point.
Care about privacy? Read this!
You can't fix everything by throwing enough CPU cycles at it. Someone has to figure out how to apply those cycles to the problem first. Sifting through the SETI data happens to be a good problem for this kind of approach. If you can write a program that will find a cure for cancer given enough computing power, I'm sure people would be happy to donate it.
Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
OTOH, cancer and AIDS research appears to me to be amply funded even given the scope of those problems.
You'll feel that way until your mom/sister/gf/wife gets breast cancer, loses her hair to chemo and then loses part or all of her breast(s) to surgery. After that happens, you'll wonder why we don't have better chemo treatments (ones that don't make you go bald) or why we need to hack off big lumps of flesh to make sure the cancer doesn't come back. I guarantee that you'll think that cancer research needs more funding and that searching for aliens suddenly doesn't seem so important.
Let me put it like this: SETI costs us, at most, $5,000,000 a year to fund. The war against Boogiemen, in Iraq alone, is costing us ~$116,750,000,000 a year to fund. SETI's lifetime cost thus far has been 115,000,000 (assuming 5million/year. 5mil is the most it costs per year, 4 million the least) Mathtime! 115,000,000 / 116,750,000,000 = 0.000985010707 Yes, the lifetime cost of SETI has been but 0.000985010707% of the cost of ONE YEAR in Iraq. .001% of the cost of one year of a bullshit war to fund a search for proof that we're not alone in the universe?
Hell yes.
Hell
Yes
Hell
Fucking
Yes
Sources:
http://www.space.com/searchforlife/seti_faq.html
http://www.nationalpriorities.org/Cost-of-War/Cost-of-War-3.html
Let me put it like this:
.001% of the cost of one year of a bullshit war to fund a search for proof that we're not alone in the universe?
SETI costs us, at most, $5,000,000 a year to fund.
The war against Boogiemen, in Iraq alone, is costing us ~$116,750,000,000 a year to fund.
SETI's lifetime cost thus far has been 115,000,000 (assuming 5million/year. 5mil is the most it costs per year, 4 million the least)
Mathtime! 115,000,000 / 116,750,000,000 = 0.000985010707
Yes, the lifetime cost of SETI has been but 0.000985010707% of the cost of ONE YEAR in Iraq.
Hell yes.
Hell
Yes
Hell
Fucking
Yes
Sources:
http://www.space.com/searchforlife/seti_faq.html
http://www.nationalpriorities.org/Cost-of-War/Cost-of-War-3.html
Weather satellites. You know, the ones that can give you many days' advance warning of hurricanes, so that the death count is in the tens instead of the thousands.
Are you adequate?
Making a moral judgment about how someone spends money is perfectly fine. We make moral judgments about government spending all the time.
Nobody here or anywhere else has advocated the use of force, or anything else, to STOP someone from doing so. If something is a horrible waste, publicly shaming them usually works just fine, and if not, oh well, move on to the next one.
This "Jihad" you speak of is entirely in your own head.
Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
If you RTFA the Government donation "was" prior to 1993 was approx 3 cents for every person in the US. After 1993 Government spending on SETI is "zero", so all monies donated to SETI is by private individuals. There are many ways of contributing, one would be to donate money, the other donate a portion of your PC clock cycles and therefore electricity which someone will have to pay for eventually. In some way this is like "Folding at Home" except there are more perceived tangible results to be had but you still have to make a decision to provide the service, however like SETI no one forces you. Basically it is your choice your money and the Government is not involved.
There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
The resources of our solar system are up for grabs. Our fledgling civilization which has not yet reached the moon can already detect water on planets around other stars. It seems likely that any civilization capable of interstellar travel is much more skilled at detecting resources across these distances. They will need this information to figure out where to go and what to expect when they get there. If they want our resources, they are coming here regardless of whether we send out a signal.
The SETI program probably costs less than the harm done to the world economy by people reading slashdot every morning.
No sig today...
SETI is not taxpayer funded, it's funded by donations. If you don't want to donate don't. If you want to donate, please do. (See link below)
Bitching about SETI seems to be the new Slashdot hobby. If you just want to bitch, then bitch about something that costs real money and returns nothing. Like, for example, the Iraq war. One week in Iraq costs more than all of the money ever spent on SETI. Feel like you're getting your money's worth?
For that matter the final two seasons of Frasier cost more than the Allen Telescope Array has. Do you think that was a bargain? Maybe that money should have got to medical research...
Support SETI@home
If there is no return then Business will say yes. But the journey to find the answers gives us the ability to add to the fabric of humanity as well as getting to the answer so I guess my answer is, research without end is worth it if it causes others to join the search and contribute to the community, regardless if the goal is reachable or not!
http://www.gibby.net.au
SETI is looking for a signal from an advanced civilization that is deliberately using archaic methods to transmit. What I mean is that they're looking for a beacon signal that's designed to be easy to interpret, and that's transmitted at an extremely high power level.
On a practical level, that's the best they can do. Using the best receivers that we currently have, it'd just barely be possible to detect a megawatt-level signal from a few light years away, if it was aimed right at us. Detecting the equivalent of leakage from a TV transmission is a complete fantasy. Unless there's someone out there that's really desperate to be heard, we'll never find them.
And of course, we're not about to start a program of sending similar signals to all the nearest stars - that'd take real money. If we detect a signal, then we might respond back.
Unfortunately, the same argument holds in the other direction, too. Any alien civilizations out there would be foolish to waste the resources to send a signal we could detect, before they were sure we were there to hear it. When I think about SETI, I sometimes imagine thousands of intelligent species out there, all monitoring their antenna arrays, waiting for a signal that none of them have the funding to send...
The ideology behind SETI is great, but they're listening on a frequency that is restricted for us (an intelligent species) to broadcast on. What makes us think that some other intelligent species isn't doing the same thing. Listening on a frequency that should be "so obvious" to broadcast on, yet they themselves aren't broadcasting on it! Furthermore, the odds of any intelligent lifeforms using RF communications and we manage to detect it within the ~30 year window that we have been listening is simply outrageous. A project like this needs to go on for hundreds if not thousands of years just to have a decent sample size. Don't expect SETI to find anyone out there ever in our lifetimes. It's a nice thought, but probably futile.
SETI did successfully find something already!
With respect to SETI, it is very much like a lottery with extraordinarily poor odds of winnning, and what amounts to an infinite payout.
- We only need to find signs of extra terrestrial intelligence once to prove many assumptions wrong.
- If we do discover something we can either choose to contact it on our terms, or try to prepare ourselves for contact.
- If we do find evidence of a spacefaring civilization, it will let us know that certain technologies are possible and worth pursuing
And lastly:
- Proof of extra terrestrial intelligence will at the very least force most organized religions to rewrite much of their material, if not cause them to fall apart entirely.
END COMMUNICATION
Christianity != Ethics.
I know a lot of christians like to believe that all ethics were derived from the bible, but Plato and Aristotle were laying the intellectual foundations for modern ethics in the 4th and 5th century, BC. Before that was the Babylonians, with Hammurabi in the 19th century BC.
Christianity hasn't had a great track record for ethics in the last millenium. It's been used to justify some of the worst excesses of humanity.
ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
Why is it so certain that you can find other civilizations by listening to radio frequencies ? As we now the development of life forms entirely depends on the factors they evolve in, it is also probable that their technology would also be much more different in line with their evolution.
it is highly probable, for example,say, a civilization to directly go in developing technology based on various uses of light, and base their communication, computerization, and even transportation on such an infrastructure. we are just starting to use light concept on computing, testing crystalline storages instead of magnetic disks, on transportation, testing out beaming power with laser to a vehicle from ground, so that heated air on the capsule can be used to propel the craft upwards (nasa's famous tests with that thing on a string), testing out ion engine concept, and testing out usage of laser links in datalinks.
what if, such a civilization using such technology just remains an odd and awkward twinkle of various red light emanations in hubble ?
in short, arent we too arrogant with the concept of everyone has to use mathematics and radio waves to broadcast a signal throughout the universe, OR somehow they will use them in their tech and some odd coincidence resulting from a use of a technology will create a wave strong enough to make it here ?
Read radical news here
1. If you can build a receiver to pick up a faint transmission from the depths of outer space, you can also build a receiver to pick up faint transmissions from Mars, or the Moon, or orbit, or on Earth. This leads to advancement in receiver technology, which means lowered energy costs for transmitting messages here, which leads to lower prices for consumers, and a win for everyone!
2. If you can build a transmitter powerful enough to reach the depths of space, you can do it here on earth as well. Leads to the capability for long distance communications at low costs, win for everyone here too!
3. Searching for signals in the noise of space requires some serious Digital Signal Processing capability to pick out a real signal from the crap. This can be utilized on Earth to increase the range of wireless transmissions outside normal bounds, reduce costs, etc etc etc. Win for everyone!
4. Radio dishes that powerful require some serious engineering to ensure they can survive stress from the electromagnetic forces and physical forces acting on them. This means better engineering techniques for building radios on earth, plus the structural elements too. Win for Everyone!
5. There is a massive amount of data being fed through SETI computers that needs to be analyzed, correlated, and extracted into a usable, readable, and verifiable format. The techniques for doing this are adaptable to large scale computer simulations. Not to mention it gave birth to the first distributed grid computing and networking, which was the direct inspiration for many of the distributed math, science, and statistics programs we see now (think FoldingAtHome or the search for Mersenne Primes).
6. The kind of antenna design needed to pick up a large range of communications can be harnessed on earth to build multipurpose antennae for transmission and receiving. Think cell towers, tv stations, GPS. Win for Everyone!
Now, I'm not going to say that SETI has been the sole driver in a lot of the previous pieces, but research into SETI related projects has provided catalyst into other areas. Computational methods, digital signal processing, radio transmission and receiving are only few that I could think of. Fact is, the scientists and engineers who participate in SETI do so because there is money available for use, they use this money to make advances in science that all of us enjoy today.
Maybe we should compile a list of researchers involved in SETI and see what else they have contributed to. I bet we would be surprised at some of the advances that have come out of it, much the same as the space program has provided leaps in aerospace technology.
~Sticky
/Oh, and finding aliens is important too...
//Hope they don't mind us beaming signals into space...
The SETI assumption has a flaw. There are two kinds of transmissions we could receive. Accidental ones, not aimed at us, and deliberate attempts to contact other races.
Even our own example shows that the more advanced your communications gets, the less wasteful it gets in transmitting where it isn't meant to go, and the more and more it looks like noise or is simply undetectable to the technology of just a few decades ago. And the more compressed and encrypted it is, the more it looks like noise even if you can intercept it. It's really unlikely we'll do an accidental wiretap on advanced beings.
But if they are trying to reach us, well, they're very advanced. Way more advanced than we are. If they wanted people at our level to see their signals, they could do it.
So looking harder and into the noise with current tech won't do it. Each time we invent a new technology of communication, we should look, but when we hit the right one, it will be blaring and clear, not subtle.
Has it been over a year since you last donated to the Electronic Frontier Foundation