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DRM-Free Music Spells Trouble?

digitaldame2 writes "Many opponents of DRM have been overjoyed at recent efforts to free media from its grip. But PC Mag Editor-in-Chief Lance Ulanoff believes the whole world has gone mad. His view is that our digital economy will collapse this way, and it could be followed by countless others. 'The music industry's moves have been terrified reactions to staunch the bleeding of millions of dollars in revenue down the drain. For maybe a year, music companies thought they had the situation under control, but then album sales tumbled. Retailers, musicians, and some music-industry execs thought DRM was the culprit, and they soon joined the chorus of consumers calling for its head. Now consumers are getting their wish, and the music industry will continue to crumble. Giving up control of content and giving it away free are not rational ideas in a market economy, yet everyone's cheering.'" Is the removal of restrictions from our media really that big a deal?

32 of 634 comments (clear)

  1. DRM is pointless by PFAK · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Pirates are still going to pirate with or without DRM, and without it at least normal users will have less of a headache getting music on their favourite MP3 Player.

    I don't see what the big deal about removing DRM is, either way the music industry needs to revise their business model, and removing DRM is the first step.

    --

    Free means no restrictions, ironic the FSF's GPL forces restrictions, isn't it? What's your definition of free?
    1. Re:DRM is pointless by Stanistani · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's not just DRM, although that's certainly a large part. Copyright extension and rigorous enforcement cause trouble, too.

      Indeed, were it not for that, I could quote the lyrics of "Trouble in River City" from Music Man to make my point, provide a link to the MP3 (or Ogg) and maybe someone would download the song and decide to go buy the CD, or even the DVD.

      I'm just a dreamer...

    2. Re:DRM is pointless by d34thm0nk3y · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This idiot fails to realize that labels have been selling DRM free music for the last 20 years. It's called a CD. Funny how the "digital economy" hasn't collapsed yet.

    3. Re:DRM is pointless by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, were it not for that, you could quote the lyrics of "Trouble in River City" from Music Man to make your point, provide a link to the audio file, and maybe someone would download the song...and the rest of that artist's oeuvre. At least if it goes as far as it sounds like you want it to. That doesn't make money for anyone, although it does give us plenty of free music.

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
    4. Re:DRM is pointless by jedidiah · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Copyright in it's original form already does that: "gives us lots of free music".

      The only question is the timeframe and whether or not you are going to annoy your paying customers in the meantime.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    5. Re:DRM is pointless by purpledinoz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The writer of this article has his head up his ass. The only thing troubled are the big music companies. This guy claims that people will just stop making music because it will no longer be profitable... Is that why Bach and Beethoven wrote music? What will stop is the creation of music for profit, like the Britney Spears and American Idol singers. Music is way overpriced anyway. $10 or $15 for a CD is not reasonable (particularly in poorer countries, where legit CDs are the same price as in the west). The market will choose what the correct price of music is. Not the record companies. If that means the end of the Britney Spears, then I think we're better off. I predict that when the big record companies finally collapse, we will see more diversity in music at a lower price. I don't care if this means the end of rich music execs and millionaire pop stars.

    6. Re:DRM is pointless by Kiaser+Zohsay · · Score: 5, Insightful

      ... either way the music industry needs to revise their business model, and removing DRM is the first step. Remember, there are TWO industries at work here. There is the music industry, made up of writers, musicians, singers, producers, etc.

      Then there is the recording industry. The recording industry is responsible for pressing CDs and putting them on store shelves.

      The recording industry might need a new business model, or it might need to join the buggy whip makers and telegraph operators and just fade into yesteryear. The music industry people never really made much money from CD sales, since the record industry kept the screws so tight with everybody. Performers make their money from concerts (when they don't get screwed by promoters) and merchandise sales, anyway.
      --
      I am not your blowing wind, I am the lightning.
    7. Re:DRM is pointless by jessiej · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And, DRM free music doesn't mean that it's being given away for free. It just means that once bought, people can listen to THEIR music freely. Removing DRM from music essentially makes it more valuable (which is why iTunes decided to charge more for it than music with DRM) and will improve profits of music without DRM.

      The question waiting to be answered is whether or not DRM free music will encourage/facilitate more "illegal" file sharing. My guess is that the affect will be minimal and the appreciation towards the music industry for not tying up purchased music will only increase online sales.

      I for one will never buy music with DRM.

    8. Re:DRM is pointless by cayenne8 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I also like this guy's quote: "There were reports that many people did pay for Radiohead's album, but I'll be surprised if that's repeated very often. Also, not every band is Radiohead or Coldplay--groups that can make money elsewhere (like concert halls)."

      Excuse me? I think possibly one of the main PROBLEMS with lowered music quality is the fact that so many groups/bands today cannot tour...cannot play their own instruments with any acuity, and require too much electronic 'help'. Geez, people are paying money for acts that do tour...to watch them dance and lip-sync?!?!

      Why can't groups learn to cultivate talent, take it on the road...I'll give Led Zeppelin as an example. They had most of their material for the 1st album ready to go FROM rehearsals, and playing the songs on the road. They recorded their album on their own dollar (Jimmy Page and Peter Grants) because they hadn't even signed with Atlantic records yet.

      And what did they do? They toured....and toured...and toured. They did something like 3-4 tours of the US AND about the same of Europe in their first year out....hell, Led Zeppelin II was pretty much written and recorded while on the road that first year.

      Those guys could play....and they did. They were well known to give 3 hour concerts. Back in their day, they tried to make sure that ticket prices were reasonable. They made sure to try to give the audience what it deserved. From this live presentation....they sold albums, which helped fuel energy for more live shows.

      And look at Zeppelin...they refused to sell singles....although a few came out by the record companies against their will. They made FEW TV appearances...yet, they sold records, and set attendance records.

      I'd have to say....being talented and able to perform live DID have a lot to do with their fame and fortune. I'd like to think it could be replicated for upcoming bands.

      I know there are differences now that make it tougher....music genre's are so splintered now....rather than just 'rock', there are upteen different variations. Radio is consolidated more....etc. But, I have to think if a group was really GOOD, and good live...with music distribution, they could take it on the road and get famous. Where is the next Zeppelin?

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    9. Re:DRM is pointless by sobachatina · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sort of.

      A very shallow view of the situation would lead us to think that no one would make any money off the music. But...
      If some of the people that read that post and listened to the music showed it to a few of their friends...
      Then if a few of them wanted to see the movie...
      Then if the artist put up a paypal link...
      Profit.

      It's riskier. The music has to be better. It puts the control in the hands of the consumer rather than the producer. There is little need for behemoth middle-men like music labels.

      I see these all as good things.

      It has been demonstrated that talented artists can make a living doing what they love without DRM. What has not been demonstrated is that labels can survive that way.

      I'm ok with a world like that.

      PS. "The Music Man" is a particularly apt example of the problem and essentially nullifies your point. Almost the entire cast, crew, and musicians involved in it's creation are dead. The only people making money off of it are distributors that made no artistic contribution to it's creation.

    10. Re:DRM is pointless by QRDeNameland · · Score: 5, Insightful

      One thing I noticed in TFA is that he immediately jumps from DRM-free music to giving away all music for free, which I don't think is necessarily inevitable.

      Think about this...it's been something like 7-8 years since the original Napster appeared. What if, instead of the ensuing stonewalling and lawsuits and legislative attmepts to roll back technology, the recording industry had simply created easy-to-use and DRM-free pay-for-download sites? What if they had spent their efforts and resources creating a new music distribution model that served the customers instead of reactionary tactics that had earned them nothing but bad will from consumers? Would they still lose out on sales to piracy via DRM-free media copying? Certainly. But perhaps, had they not destroyed whatever shreds of consumer good will they had, and could honestly say "Look, we gave you, the consumers, the most convenient music distribution system you've ever seen, so we ask you on the honor system not to redistribute our content or swap it with others for free", they might not be facing a customer base that largely considers them scum and would just as soon see them cut out of the picture altogether.

      Maybe I'm wrong, maybe everyone will freeload forever without DRM...but I can't help but think that since 8+ years since "mp3" entered the lexicon that piracy is *still* the most convenient form of digital content distribution, that perhaps the only reason why everything that they do "just digs them deeper" is that they have quite simply fully and completely alienated their customer base.

      --
      Momentarily, the need for the construction of new light will no longer exist.
    11. Re:DRM is pointless by jonbryce · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Even if you have a "hack proof" media player, you can still put a mic in front of the speakers, or run a cable from the speaker socket to the mic socket. That's how people copied things before computers made it a lot easier.

    12. Re:DRM is pointless by stu9000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your notion of 'music' is limited and dated. Touring and music creation are not inextricably linked. Much great music has been made by artists for whom it isn't economically feasible to tour (independant bedroom producers, huge experimental orchestras). Much music is made now for recorded delivery and can not be meaningfully replicated 'live'. Your idea of music 'authenticity' (i.e. bands who can play instruments well on stage) is confusing music and sport. Your ears tell you what is good music or not. Performance is a different skill altogether.

    13. Re:DRM is pointless by MidnightBrewer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      One of the upshots of having paid for music is that you may feel less inclined to give it away. Nothing like realizing that other people are taking for free what you actually spent money on to make you want to stop sharing your files.

      Anyway, as has been said often enough, DRM does nothing but create bad customer relations. And while I agree that people have always been able to copy music, they have not always had such mind-boggling ease of access and storage capability. Society as a whole needs to remember that regardless of how they feel about the unfairness of the music industry's charging practices, if you don't pay your musicians, they aren't going to be able to make a living. If it was only so easy to replace DRM with the honor system, we wouldn't be having these discussions.

      --
      "Give a man fire, and he'll be warm for a day; set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life
  2. Giving up control? by Threni · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They're not giving up control - they're accepting that they aren't giving up control.

  3. Remember when horses were the only way to travel? by torpor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Once, there were horses, and they were the only way to get around town. All the horse-maintainers, the shodders and such, were in business and there was a grand economy.

    Then, some new technology came to the scene: the automobile. "Oh noes", the shodders cried, "our economy is going to be ruined.."

    The moral of this story is: technology. It will force change. Either keep up with it, or remove yourself from the market. Music doesn't have to be paid for - not any more, and no longer will we have to worship the few and provide them economic sustenance, so that they are only able to do it, when the many can do it, themselves.

    In short, grow up music-industry people. Your world is changing. All worlds change. Let the people decide what life will be, and quite crying just because you didn't see the writing on the wall.

    Yes, this applies to all media/content related markets. The writing is on the wall. The only way to protect your media is to put it in hardware - books are a good example - that makes it pleasant for people to buy it from you. The world needs us all to go digital and stop raping the earth, just so the few can profit from the ignorance of the many. Let the horses back to the fields ..

    --
    ; -- the corruption of government starts with its secrets. a truly free people keep no secrets. --
  4. Re:Wow, way wrong by kherr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No kidding. Maybe, just maybe, the model of having companies make money from the distribution of music is not going to last. But then what happens? Musicians go back to the pre-phonograph days of making a living by performing live. Seems to me people listen to music, dig their bands and then go see them when they come to town, buying the accompanying tour merchandise and stuff. Sure, that leaves the music labels out in the cold. But is it any different of a change in the larger economy than when we switched from horse-drawn vehicles to gasoline-powered ones?

  5. Incorrect by webmaster404 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Without DRM, digital music can eaily be played on almost any media player. You now have opened up media rather then just iPods, to generic MP3 players, Windows systems, Linux systems, OS X systems, FreeBSD systems, and more. That is something that hasn't happened yet is a standard non-patented format for storing music, OGG would be likely but with it not being native on most MP3 players and Windows (and OS X too?) and MP3 is patent restricted and therefore rarely playable (legally) on Linux, FreeBSD and other systems. MP3 players also suffer with the patent fee, they could be cheaper without it. All DRM does is make people not want to download "legal" media, the main pro of "piracy" was that you can download it in just about any format you wanted, for free and it would easily work with just about every device that you had while the "legal" ones would not. Digital music will never catch up to CDs if "piracy" is always the better option. I am not advocating suing anyone but seriously, when you iTunes downloads work with you iPod/iTunes and nothing else, the MP3 download from a tracker site is a better deal as it will work on that $25 MP3 player you got, your computer (any OS) along with your iPod and phone, ETC. It isn't just DRM that was killing digital music it was the lack of a standard format. In the CD age (before the Sony rootkits and the like) your CD would work in any computer with a CD drive, any CD player be it the $25 off brand one or your $2000 stereo system. When we get that, digital music will begin selling otherwise, who wants expensive media that works with 1 brand of products and nothing else.

    --
    There is no "disagree" moderation, and troll, flamebait and overrated are not valid substitutes
  6. DRM is that big of a deal, but the other way by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I do kind of feel bad for the *AA member companies. It would suck to realize that your industry was subject to a disruptive technology that was already well past the tipping point. Having said that, it's their problem and not mine. I've been buying DRM-free music for decades and have absolutely zero interest in giving up control of my possessions.

    Did you hear that? Possessions. Not licensed content, not rentals or leases, but things I own. When I buy music, I own that copy no matter how much they wrongly insist otherwise. I will not pay extra to buy restrictions to prevent me from using my possessions they way I want to use them, even if that was is undesirable for its makers. As long as I'm staying within the constraints of the law and not giving copies of it to others, it's none of their business (even if they wish it was).

    So sorry, *AA. You had the opportunity to do things differently, but you chose to fight me instead of making me your friend. Your actions have been so scummy that I truly don't care what happens to you now. Justice? Morals? Ethics? As you have long cast those aside, I just can't be bothered to care when people fail to use them with you. Goodbye and good luck. You won't be missed.

    --
    Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
  7. please explain by gerbalblaste · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No one has explained to me yet why we need a megalithic music industry and why it is bad that it is collapsing.

  8. Subscriptions and DRM by chiasmus1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Worse yet, if you sign up for a subscription, you're saying that it's okay for the music service to wipe out your music collection if you cancel. Imagine walking into your living room as all your books disappear because you changed libraries, or your DVD collection disappears because you switched from Blockbuster to Netflix.

    I cannot help but think he was thinking about the dangers of DRM when he wrote this.

  9. Re:Is the removal... by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Exactly.

    Giving up control of content and giving it away free are not rational ideas in a market economy

    They also aren't the same thing, as anyone even remotely familiar with the subject is well aware.

    What isn't rational in a market economy is deliberately making the black market version of your product better than the above board original, by artificially crippling the latter. Such a policy is pretty much directly targeted at the very people who actively support your business, while doing little to impair those who do not.

    --
    If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
  10. Mod parent up by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Copyright in it's original form already does that: "gives us lots of free music". The only question is the timeframe and whether or not you are going to annoy your paying customers in the meantime.

    Amen. And when that term is several human lifetimes, it is clearly benefiting only one entity: the corporations. The rest of you suckers don't get a look in.

    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    1. Re:Mod parent up by ShieldW0lf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Don't forget, this guy is an editor for a print magazine. He considers cutting up other peoples work to fit a format and promote whoever is paying to be an art, and feels himself entitled to be able to do that as a profession for the rest of his life.

      It's like talking to a photography student about copyright. Their position is always an outraged sense of entitlement based around how hard they studied and how much they paid to go to school.

      I imagine horse drawn buggy whip manufacturing students and executive managers sounded much like these people.

      --
      -1 Uncomfortable Truth
    2. Re:Mod parent up by AvitarX · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And if Barns and Noble press publishes your book selling it without paying you, or any of the middle men between you and the shelf how does that help more books get printed?

      If a book goes
      Author -> Agent -> publisher -> printer (probably part of publisher) -> Distributer -> store

      How will it compete with

      publisher -> Printer -> Store ?

      All non-functional art is reliant on copyright. Terms could be dropped to something like 10 years and the vast majority of the profits could be kept though (with a few exception, especially stuff aimed at children).

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    3. Re:Mod parent up by Mongoose+Disciple · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is the difficulty I always have with the idea of eliminating copyright, even though I'm mostly on the "copyright has gone crazy and needs to be drastically fixed" side of the argument.

      It's easy to say the real artists will be the ones making the money from live performance again, but what if I'm a songwriter but not a singer, or a playwright with no interest or talent for being a director/producer, or a novelist, or... you get the idea.

      I don't have a good answer for that yet.

    4. Re:Mod parent up by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 4, Insightful

      if we abolish copyright

      Strawman. As I've said before, only 12-year olds and complete hippie loons want to abolish copyright. The rest of us just want something a little more in line with actual human timespans. And possibly different lengths of copyright on different types of IP. Software!=Books!=Movies, etc. Different obsolescence half-lives.

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  11. The Lesson of Borland by steveha · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Back in the days when a copy of WordStar or Microsoft Multiplan cost hundreds of dollars and came on copy-protected floppy disks, Borland International came out with a line of software that was different. Turbo Pascal, Sidekick, and other products came on non-copy-protected disks and cost $50 or $100.

    If you believe in the claims of the DRM advocates in our big media organizations, you probably figure that Borland must have lost money horribly. Actually, they didn't; their strategy of selling without copy protection at a fair price was very successful.

    The lesson I take away from that is that most people, if you offer them a fair deal, will take the fair deal rather than steal from you. I don't remember anyone ever saying "Borland deserves to have this stuff ripped off."

    If you offer me music without DRM at a fair price, I will pay the price and get the music legally. I think most music fans will do the same. (Especially if they believe that their money will mostly go to the band instead of to the record label.)

    P.S. The flip side of the coin is that DRM doesn't actually work. There's this thing called the "Internet", see, and if anyone anywhere in the world manages to once break the DRM, then everyone who wants to download the DRM-free version can do so. Thus DRM just hurts the actual paying customers, who then might well feel entitled to steal the next product instead of buying it.

    steveha

    --
    lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
  12. Already renting your music collection by Eth1csGrad1ent · · Score: 5, Insightful
    FTA:

    Worse yet, if you sign up for a subscription, you're saying that it's okay for the music service to wipe out your music collection if you cancel. Imagine walking into your living room as all your books disappear because you changed libraries, or your DVD collection disappears because you switched from Blockbuster to Netflix. Its already OK for the music companies to wipe out your music collection. If you buy an album on CD, you have a license to use THAT CD and that CD only. If it gets scratched or damaged with wear and tear (ie. anyone with kids), too bad - you are required to go and buy another physical copy of material that YOU'VE ALREADY LICENSED. This is what shits me the most with the movie and music mega corps... they can't decide whether they're selling us something physical (the disc) or something ethereal (the content) so they sell us BOTH, and then leverage BOTH. FTA:

    Giving up control of content and giving it away free are not rational ideas in a market economy, yet everyone's cheering. Everyone's cheering because the way in which the mega corps have set up the supply and demand chain are also not "rational ideas in a market economy" and in fact, there IS NO market economy. I pay the same $30 for a new Santana CD as I do for the latest (insert your country here) Idol CD. The music industry, even more so than the movie industry, doesn't operate under a free market economy and that is why the industry is hurting so much. People have chosen to go around them. The industry's is not dead... its reorganising itself. Bands can, and should make their money touring. The idea that you can get a band to pump out a couple of songs in a studio and live the high life for the rest of your life my be dying, but thats not a bad thing in my book. The "market economy" is squeezing middle man out of the equation because the middle man is no longer doing his job (facilitating supply and demand). So what. Life goes on. Music will still be played.
  13. Wrong question... by KingSkippus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The question waiting to be answered is whether or not DRM free music will encourage/facilitate more "illegal" file sharing.

    No, there's no question about that, it most certainly will.

    The real question isn't whether there will be more illegal file sharing, it's whether there will be more legal purchases.

    For a long, long time, I've asked a simple thought experiment. If you had your choice of having $500 million in sales with rampant piracy, or $1 billion in sales with twice as much piracy, which would you choose? The music industry has a history of choosing the lesser amount because of the risk of the increase in music piracy. I've contended all along that this is stupidity, that even if music piracy increases, it would be well worth it to increase their bottom line in legal music purchases. To date, they've been operating out of spite instead of common financial sense.

    I hope, and I honestly believe, that as DRM-free music becomes the de facto standard in the marketplace, sales will increase as hardware manufacturers gear up to take advantage of it and people are able to listen to what they want, how they want, where they want. It's just a no-brainer to me. And I hope the MPAA is taking note, because the same principle will apply to television shows and movies also.

    The question has never been about whether or not there will be piracy. The only way to prevent it is to close your company's doors and declare bankruptcy, never to earn another penny again. The only question is how willing the industry is to cut off its nose to spite its face, to forgo profits to stop something that will never be stopped.

    1. Re:Wrong question... by wyldeone · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The question waiting to be answered is whether or not DRM free music will encourage/facilitate more "illegal" file sharing.
      No, there's no question about that, it most certainly will.

      That's ridiculous. There will be (or rather is, as DRM-free music is now mainstream) no increase in piracy. Piracy requires that only one DRM-free copy gets out for it to proliferate across the internet. And guess what: every song released by the big-5 labels has been released on CD--without DRM.

      DRM is not about piracy and never was. That is how to labels and move studios chose to sell it to the public (artists are going to starve in a digital world without DRM!), but it actually provides no protection against piracy. It may be difficult for someone to get unencrypted data off an HD-DVD disk, but that doesn't matter. As long as one person can do it, the data will proliferate. In other words, if DRM were about piracy in order to be effective it wouldn't have to be merely difficult to break, it would have to be impossible.

      But that's not why the content producers have pushed DRM so hard. What it's really about is control. Consumers have traditionally had a great deal of control over their media, but in this digital age the content producers perceived that they could shift the balance back towards themselves, opening up new revenue streams even as they watched their markets fall. After all, if consumers had control over their media, they could put it on any player they wanted, without paying any more money for their content. That won't do. Look at the nice racket they have: do you want to play your iTunes music on linux (or, more commonly, on a non-Apple mp3 player)? Pay more money for the same content in a different form. Want to play your DVDs on your iPod? You have to re-buy it.

      Faced with declining interest in their products (a smaller market), there is only two ways to increase their revenue: get more people to buy their content, or get the people that do to pay more money. DRM lets the content producers take the second approach.

      --
      In the beginning the universe was created. This made a lot of people very angry and is widely considered as a bad move.
  14. Proof by Confusion by Crypto+Gnome · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Once again, some random pundit proves an assumption by starting with fuzzy thinking and lack of detail.

    THE Music Industry is a myth

    And by that I mean The Myth is that the is one "music industry". Specifically, what I mean when I say "the music industry" is (clearly, obviously) NOT the same thing that THEY (RIAA, etc) of the world mean.

    I would suggest that we (the sane and clear thinking intelligent people of the world) understand that there are TWO "Music Industries".
    • The Industry of Making Music
    • The Industry of Distributing Music
    DRM is all about the control of the distribution of music. What we're seeing here is a failure of that control.
    • Failure to successfully control the distribution (and seriously, any/every playback of music is essentially, effectively, a trivial/minimalistic form of distribution - research "the analog hole" if this statement confuses you)
    • Failure to win the support and acceptance of the people
    • Failure to keep up with the march of modern technologies

    So what if DRM fails? So what if Music Distribution fails? So what if The Music Distribution Industry (which, basically, in its current invocation is nothing more than a protectionist racket like the MAFIA used to run) fails?

    Previously the mechanical complexities involved in the distribution of physical media meant there "was room" (in a business sense) for an entity to "make this happen smoothly" and make money in the process. Now that there's less and less physical distribution, and more electronic distribution, the previous "margin for profit" is rapidly shrinking (ie there's no room for someone to skip BILLIONS of dollars from consumers for no reason).

    As living proof that any idiot can make predictions about The Music Industry .... here's my $0.02
    • Music Distribution will be SIGNIFICANTLY LESS about physical media and more about content
    • Many artists will find this is an opportunity to be more direct with their customers, and thereby collect more of the profits themselves
    • Other distributors will be needed, to help shuffle bits (iTunes, Last.FM, etc)
    • There will be multiple distribution models (sell bits, rent bits, subscription for bits)
    • There will be MUCH MORE of a market for "free stuff" that comes with what you bought (ie "value add")
    • There will be MUCH MORE of a market for premium content (ie the ultimate collectors signed-by-the-artist, gold-plated, diamond-encrusted pack) ... because it's now a significant distinguisher, as more of the market is no-longer physical
    • ....
    • Profit???
    Basically I could ramble on for a few MEGABYTES, but the main point is this:
    • The Entire Industry That Revolves Around Music will be much broader, deeper, richer than ever before.
    Even though "the current distribution and control models" are no longer valid, nor necessary, nor are they even WANTED anymore.

    We need not, we should not, mourn their demise. Like a recently deceased aged relative, we've had some good memories, but towards the end it's just been messy and embarrassing.

    Hold a funeral, bury the body, enjoy the wake, celebrate the new generation.
    --
    Visit CryptoGnome in his home.