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Clinton Takes Ohio, Texas; McCain Seals The Deal

You can read it pretty much anywhere, but Clinton took Ohio and Texas meaning that the democratic primaries are far from over. Unlike the Dems, McCain has locked his nomination for the Republicans by breaking the 1,191 delegates necessary. So there it is. Talk amongst yourselves.

180 of 898 comments (clear)

  1. why is texas a win for her? by Adult+film+producer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    she left the state with fewer delegates.. I'm trying to understand what a "win" means in this race.

    1. Re:why is texas a win for her? by AoT · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It means that she won the popular vote, which is translated by the media into a win these days. Obama is set to win the caucuses. What this is really is the media finally turning on Obama. From Russert's vile line of questioning about Farrakhan, "Why won't you say that you would stab him in the face, huh?" He would never have asked Kerry about the endorsement from LaRouche, yet he feels the need to act like Farrakhan actually matters.

    2. Re:why is texas a win for her? by callistra.moonshadow · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Well, Texas has a caucus. She took the primary but Obama took more in the caucus which is a smaller percentage of the delegates. As to her actually *winning* one must wonder if Rush Limbaugh may have contributed to Republicans cross-voting just to up the contention between Clinton and Obmana and further muddy the outcome for the Dems. --cally

      --
      --Cally
    3. Re:why is texas a win for her? by ourcraft · · Score: 4, Informative

      In the foot...
      Obama leads in actual vote overall by 600,000. After all is said and done last night Obama leads by about 150 Delegates.
      Before last night, Obama lead by more than 160 Delegates, and 1000 delegates where left to picked, about a third were picked last night. Clinton picked up about 10 possibly 15. Clinton needs =/- 150 delegates from the remaining =/- 660 delelgates available. Obama would need to be kept to about 200 for HRC to win. Meaning she would need, on average, to win roughly 70% of the vote. Although it is not a statistical absolute, I cannot imagine Obama to start getting 30%.

      The race is over, Obama has won, except for the ugly fighting that is about to come. Im sure you can see what kind of tactics are about to be launched.

    4. Re:why is texas a win for her? by fishdan · · Score: 5, Informative

      Both sides are fascism. As Ron Paul said : "We're not moving toward Hitler-type fascism, but we're moving toward a softer fascism: Loss of civil liberties, corporations running the show, big government in bed with big business. So you have the military-industrial complex, you have the medical-industrial complex, you have the financial industry, you have the communications industry. They go to Washington and spend hundreds of millions of dollars."

      Ralph Nader put it best: Republicans and Democrats are competing to serve their corporate masters.

      --
      Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm
    5. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Shotgun · · Score: 5, Interesting

      one must wonder if Rush Limbaugh may have contributed

      I just have to wonder if Limbaugh's advice is counterproductive.

      From what I've seen in this election cycle, more than any other is that people are basically led around by the talking heads on TV. The will vote for whoever is getting the most press. With the Republican nomination cynched by McCain, the only thing that will be in the news will be Obama/Clinton. Come November, people will be saying, "McCain? Who is that?"

      It isn't a matter of the media reporting badly about McCain. It is a matter of them simply overtly shutting him out of the news coverage altogether, like they did with Paul, Kucinich and later Huckabee. The talking-head, 24-hour news cycle is an extremely powerful tool that amounts to free political adds for whoever the network controllers consider a "front-runner", whether that be Giovanni or Thompson. Having Obama/Clinton being the "news of the day" for the next few months will not help McCain.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    6. Re:why is texas a win for her? by mbrod · · Score: 2, Informative

      She will NOT have more delegates (even with Super Delegates thrown in):

      http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/

    7. Re:why is texas a win for her? by AoT · · Score: 3, Informative

      Obama is going to win the caucuses and close up some of the gap in Texas delegates. Maybe all of the gap. And he's still significantly ahead in delegates when you take out the super-delegates. In fact, if the Dems didn't have the super delegates He would have a fool-proof delegate count by now.

    8. Re:why is texas a win for her? by univremonster · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, she doesn't have more delegates now... she's still behind by almost 100...

    9. Re:why is texas a win for her? by qw0ntum · · Score: 2, Informative

      No she doesn't. That is a false statement. Please check your facts before you make statements like this.

      Obama still has a lead in overall delegates (86) and pledged/non-superdelegates (130).

      Please mod parent down (-1, wrong).

      --
      'Every story, if continued long enough, ends in death.' --Ernest Hemingway
    10. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Soporific · · Score: 2, Informative

      Don't freak out on me, but I thought thought in some states if you were a registered Republican that you couldn't vote for a Democratic primary candidate, that you had to pick someone from your own party?

      ~S

    11. Re:why is texas a win for her? by SomeGuyTyping · · Score: 3, Informative
      --
      My posts are definitive. Reality is frequently inaccurate.
    12. Re:why is texas a win for her? by PoliTech · · Score: 4, Insightful
      It would be really interesting if the super delegates do continue to support Clinton despite the popular vote.

      If Hillary Clinton were to win the nomination by only the super delegates vote, and have lost the popular Democratic vote, would it be fair then for the opposition (Democratic as well as Republican) to label her the "Selected" rather than "Elected" Nominee?

      Will Democratic Party leaders think that the risk of ignoring the popular vote is worth the possible reward of nominating someone who the party leaders think may be the more "electable" candidate in the general election?

      Regardless of the above, it looks to be an interesting Democratic Convention coming up.

    13. Re:why is texas a win for her? by gnick · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Obama leads in actual vote overall by 600,000... I have to object to the term "actual vote" in that phrase. In my opinion, the "actual vote" is the one that counts toward the nomination/win. I'm not saying it's right, just realistic.
      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    14. Re:why is texas a win for her? by JudgeFurious · · Score: 5, Informative

      Where I work I've spoken to 6 different dedicated Republicans who said they also voted for Clinton on the Democrate side. They all agreed that they did so for no other reason than that they'd rather face her than Obama in the general election.

        I usually vote Republican but after the last 8 years under GWB (I confess that I voted for him the first time. Who knew he was going to turn into "Big Bubba" on us?) I am so disappointed in the right that I'm actively searching for a Democrat to support. I like Obama and I'm voting for him in the general election if he gets the nomination. If he doesn't I'm going to go ahead and throw my vote behind McCain. I know several people who feel the same way I do, in particular my wife. She's a lifetime Democrat but she swears that if Hillary gets the nomination she's voting for McCain.

        I can't believe the Democrats will be stupid enough to run Hillary. She's the one candidate that the Republicans will pull together to keep out of the White House. Obama's pulling in Independents and liberal minded Republicans (yes, we exist). Hillary will send us all into McCain's camp.

      --
      Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    15. Re:why is texas a win for her? by notamisfit · · Score: 4, Insightful

      More of Ron Paul being hated for his (insignificant) virtues rather than his (plentiful) vices. Like many on the left, you seem to not be able to discern economic power from political power. The biggest, nastiest, most impersonal corporation can never *force* you to act against your own nature and trade with it; they can only entice. Now, I will concede, as a result of the horrific government violations of rights in the economic sector, some businessmen (who probably couldn't have put a lemonade stand in the black otherwise) are able to use pull to gain favors and bring ruin to their fellows. This pull did not originate in the businessmen, it is now and has always been the sole function of government. Achieve a proper separation of economics and state, under a proper, objective law, and the pull dries up.

      --
      Jesus is coming -- look busy!
    16. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Kierthos · · Score: 4, Informative

      Oh yeah... this is the first Convention since superdelegates were added (in 1968) where they probably will play a significant role in the matter. It also might be the first brokered nomination since 1952, which resulted in Adlai Stevenson getting the Democratic nomination, and you can see how well that went for him....

      I'm betting that there are some Democratic party leaders who really wish Obama had won Texas and Ohio yesterday, just so they wouldn't have had to deal with the possibility of the scenario you lay out.

      --
      Mr. Hu is not a ninja.
    17. Re:why is texas a win for her? by EmperorKagato · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The pundits are talking about the youth vote, but the senior vote is a much bigger demographic with high turnout. If Obama is the nominee I predict a Republican landslide among older voters of all races and genders.

      Disagree: An Obama nomination will bring out a massive number of young voters who didn't register in time for the primaries who happen to be BLACK.

      --
      ----- You know you have ego issues when you register a domain in your name.
    18. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Mark_in_Brazil · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The parent post makes a good point, and I'd like to add something. It's pretty clear from the delegate count that Obama will be the nominee unless Clinton can convince an overwhelming majority of the superdelegates to effectively overturn the primary and caucus results by joining her even though Obama will have won more delegates. I've seen analyses showing that even if Clinton wins all the remaining contests by 16.5%, she can't catch Obama in pledged delegates. So should they wrap this up? No, I think it's good for the Demcoratic party and the eventual nominee to have the contest go on.
      First, as the parent post noted, it's free press coverage for Obama and Clinton.
      Next, both campaigns will be organizing and helping build a stronger party infrastructure in the remaining states. That can only help Obam... er... the Democratic nominee in November.
      Also, either Clinton can keep attacking Obama like she has been (she even went so far as to say she and McCain were ready to be president, but Obama wasn't) or she can stop and "campaign" against him in a less-nasty way. Since "hope" is a big Obama campaign theme, it seems appropriate to see the glass as half full and notice the good things that can come from either one. The benefits of the second scenario are obvious - the two can play up some small differences, but also point out that the differences between them are much smaller than the differences between them and McCain, who basically appears to be running for 4 more years of the George W. Bush administration. Under the first scenario, Obama gets his response teams and processes warmed up for when the Republicans crank up the "great wurlitzer" (AKA the "noise machine") and start attacking "Barack Hussein Osama... er... Obama" and trying to associate him with Farrakhan and telling us he is a Muslim and studied in a Madrassah and is going to be a "Manchurian Candidate" kind of plant for terrorists or boogeymen or whatever. Remember how Bill Clinton was being painted as a plant of the Soviet Communists in the 1992 campaign? Yeah. Multiply that by a jillion (they've got FOX News now to do free Republican campaign commercials 24-7) and you've got an idea of how SCARY they're going to try to make Obama in the Fall.

      --
      "It is nice to know that the computer understands the problem. But I would like to understand it too." --Eugene Wigner
    19. Re:why is texas a win for her? by zoltankemeny · · Score: 2

      We have Cerberus on our hands and you're saying one slobbering fanged head is preferable to the other two?

    20. Re:why is texas a win for her? by totallyarb · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think you've misunderstood your parent post. "She has more delegates now" means she has more delegates than she did before the primaries in Texas, which is obviously true. I don't think the parent poster meant to suggest that she has more delegates than Obama - that's obviously not true.

      So, please *don't* mod grandparent post down.

      --
      -- Note to Mods: There is a good reason there's no "-1 Disagree" option. --
    21. Re:why is texas a win for her? by knails · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I hope they do. It may very well help to trigger a splintering of the democratic party. Now, I consider myself a democrat, though in reality a libertarian, because in this political atmosphere you have to be either democrat or republican, but I believe that a splintering of even just one of the 2 sides could rip apart the political system from the middle, causing all manner of smaller parties competing, which, after some time, would stabilize back to 2-4 groups. Given the current political state of things around here, that can only be a good thing, with us focusing on dealing with problems here in the homeland instead of non-existent issues around the world.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I'll defend to the death your right to say it" -Voltaire
    22. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I find it fascinating that other libertarians also feel like the democratic party has become closer to libertarianism than the republican party is.

      I now view the republican party as the party of corporatism (a flavor of fascism), oligarchy, lost personal freedom to live as I want, irresponsible spending (wildly more so than... say bill clinton was), and foreign intervention.

      And I was a reagan republican- brought into voting by him basically.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    23. Re:why is texas a win for her? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Which is why it's beneficial for the Republicans if Hillary gets nominated. Moderate Republicans and the all-important swing vote might well consider voting for Obama. If Hillary gets nominated then the Republicans pick up all of the anyone-but-Hillary votes, which is likely to be a much larger bloc than the anyone-but-Obama group.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    24. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Admiral+Ag · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "The biggest, nastiest, most impersonal corporation can never *force* you to act against your own nature and trade with it; they can only entice."

      That's Randian sophistry. If a corporation acquires a monopoly on food distribution in my town, then while it isn't rifling through my pockets and then dumping food into my bags, I may well have no practical option other than to shop there. It real terms it is not much different from a country where the communist party owned the local store. Of course, right wing people will delight that I am free to starve to death, but I'm sure the communists would have said the same.

      I love it how Randians try to blame corporate corruption on governments. "There's only corruption because of government regulation!!". It's like saying: "There's only murders because the police are trying to prevent crime!!". Of course no corporation would ever bribe officials or suppliers, or blackmail people or hire goons to beat workers or journalists, or to sabotage its competitors, or spread malicious rumours about the content of rival's products, or hire or sell a car that would blow up if you backed it into a post, or impale you on the steering column if you went in frontwise.

      No... that would never happen. Like that time all those people in Eastern Europe got poisoned because the food companies were all grinding up lead paint into their products to make them look nicer.

      It would result in a nation of Al Capones.

      I'd love to see a Randian country come into being. It'd be like Cambodia in less than a week.

      --
      "by that I mean people who don't sit on slashdot all day wondering why everyone else isn't building robots" DECS
    25. Re:why is texas a win for her? by operagost · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Doesn't anyone have any core beliefs anymore? GWB is only slightly more conservative than McCain, yet you're going to jump to a socialist candidate? Highly progressive taxes and compulsory government health care are socialist policies used to redistribute wealth.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    26. Re:why is texas a win for her? by WhiplashII · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I wish you were right, but unfortunately this is polictics. Obama is very popular among the younger set, but does not fair well in the older generation of Democrats. I predict that Obama will win the popular vote, but then Hillary will a) have the "uncounted" votes reinstated (because they went very strongly to her), and b) the superdelegates will vote for Hillary (because they are old-school, and believe Hillary is more likely to ignore their earmarks).

      Politics suck perhaps, but I don't think Obama has beaten Hillary - she is a formidable adversary.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    27. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Adult+film+producer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I would vote for McCain if that were the case. The clinton/bush era needs to end, RIGHT NOW. I've never been actively involved in politics but if Hillary is the nominee that will change. Knocking on doors in ohio? I'm right next door so that would probably be the best place to work against her possible election.

    28. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The democrat party seems to be filled with racists and sexists - the only question is are there more blacks or more women?

      What is the deal with voting by sexual organs or by skin tone? I thought we were supposed to be past that?

    29. Re:why is texas a win for her? by JudgeFurious · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You see, my beliefs cannot be neatly packed into labels of "conservative" and "liberal". I'm extremely conservative about some things and extremely liberal about others. In short I have "core beliefs" but they straddle the two ideologies that you appear to be capable of seeing. Your use of the term "socialist" to describe Obama tells me that you have a typical American grasp of what that word means and so I don't see any point in discussing it with you.

      --
      Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    30. Re:why is texas a win for her? by JudgeFurious · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'd probably still vote for McCain. In fact I'm sure I would. I imagine my wife might be more willing to vote for Hillary if Obama were her running makte (seeing as my wife comes from a more Democrat-leaning history) but I couldn't bring myself to vote for her under any circumstances. If she had Jesus Christ as her running mate and he actually returned to campaign with her I'd still vote McCain.

      --
      Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    31. Re:why is texas a win for her? by JudgeFurious · · Score: 5, Interesting

      You know, I spent a lot of time pondering that as well. Why does this candidate rub me the wrong way so badly? I didn't mind her husband as President and so I naturally started wondering if it was because of her gender. Was I being sexist without recognizing it? Ultimately I concluded that my biggest problem with Hillary Clinton was her personality and the almost palpable ambition she seems to give off. It's like the woman is just starving for power and will step over just about anybody or anything to get it. I haven't had this kind of negative feeling about a candidate or President since Nixon. Despite his actions I don't much get it from GWB. I do get a sense of it from Cheney however.

        She goes into a series of primaries with agreeing to certain terms (like Florida and Michigan not counting for instance) and then when it seems like she might not get her way she starts making noises about changing those terms. She enters a primary in Texas fully aware of how the primary works in Texas (and any protests otherwise she might make border on being insulting in my opinion) and then again you start to hear rumblings from her campaign about the possibility of filing suit to have this changed because it does not favor her. She goes into debates talking about being "co-President" and trying to leverage her husbands coat tails (which I do not fault her for doing mind you) but then denies any real involvment when failures or negatives from his administration are brought up. I see this and think "You were either the co-President or you weren't so what's it gonna be?"

        This is the kind of behavior that makes me just cringe at the thought of her being President of the United States.

      --
      Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    32. Re:why is texas a win for her? by vitaflo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I just have to wonder if Limbaugh's advice is counterproductive.

      It's not counterproductive for Rush. He's salivating for a Clinton presidency, as it means ratings for his show go through the roof for the next 4 years.

    33. Re:why is texas a win for her? by inca34 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The Republican playbook is a general turn-off for me. Character assassination and fear mongering instead of forging plans for the future tends to be the dead giveaway. When Obama had more free reign over his campaign with all the candidates involved, he spoke of plans for the future that he was passionate about and which made sense to me in terms of feasibility. Hillary, for what little she's actually done, has little personality except for what she thinks will get her ahead.

      She wants to garnish my wages if I can't afford medical insurance, eh? She wants to fight the war (any war) in XXXX (wherever) because she has vested interested in defense spending? She wants me to feel comforted in her experience by the fact that she's been cherry picked by her husband to be in positions of power for a shorter period of time that Obama has been doing public service-oriented work?

      I'm sorry, her story just does not check out. I want nothing to do with her platform or her reforms. Her rhetoric reeks of a lack of substance and a motive for her own personal advancement.

      Check the exit polls. The more educated, the more likely the vote was for Obama. This statement is not elitist and does not assume a college degree could trump reality or a good common sense, but the averages should speak for themselves. With a college education one ought to be able to seek truth more effectively. I've researched my candidates come to my own conclusions, and I wish everyone could do that, but that's just not realistic for 300 million people to do. So we rely on the media and the game and hope it all works out in the end.

      If politics were about qualifications, I'd suspect we'd have heard more about Chris Dodd and Dennis Kucinich and a few others. I personally would prefer their going to the Whitehouse based off of solid records, good experience, and most important character trait a politician could have: they can't be bought. Obama has yet to be seen, though his discipline with his investments give me a good feeling. Hillary has been bought before, I'm sure it can and will happen again (keywords: walmart board labor union).

    34. Re:why is texas a win for her? by R2.0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "I can't believe the Democrats will be stupid enough to run Hillary. "

      You are missing an important fact - deep down inside, in a place they hope no one can see, many Democrats want Bill Clinton as President for Life. And they think that, by electing Hillary, they will really be getting Bill.

      --
      "As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
    35. Re:why is texas a win for her? by mdf356 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Texas democrats knew Bush'd turn out to be a terrible president.

      I don't know why no one much talks about coattails -- if Obama is the nominee then a lot of dems will get into Senate, House, and state offices. If Clinton is the nominee then a lot more Republicans will show up just to vote against her. That's why I don't understand why more of the superdelegates aren't behind Obama -- the coattails are amazing there.

      --
      Terrorist, bomb, al Qaeda, nuclear, yellowcake, kill, assassinate. Carnivore is dead... long live Echelon.
    36. Re:why is texas a win for her? by jp10558 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Personally, I've not liked her actual voting records on the whole GTA:San Andreas issue, and continued "think of the childern" censorship. I'm from NY, and am still pissed that she felt she could represent a state she lived in for 5 weeks prior to running for the senate. I'm not so impressed with her negative ads. And I don't buy the whole experiance arguement - and that seems to be her main argument.

      --
      Opera, Proxomitron-Grypen,GPG 0x0A1C6EE3
    37. Re:why is texas a win for her? by dcam · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Do they feed all liberterians the same crack?

      How does this company maintain its "monopoly" without the help of the government?

      What make you think they need any help from the government.

      What's stopping you from starting your own competing food business, with your own supply chain all the way up from the growers?

      Economies of scale, competing against a larger better financed organisation, the competition can modify prices to run you out of business, do I need to go on.

      What's stopping anyone from doing so, if the "monopoly" is indeed engaging in price gouging?

      Refer to above.

      Why have we allowed ourselves to become dependent on having immediate access to the food we need to buy for that day, or else we starve? What happened to canned food, gardening, canning, hunting, and deep freezes? Isn't it better to save and plan ahead, so we don't actually need the monopoly's products, since it must then adjust prices downward to maximize profit at the lower level of demand?

      Whinging about why society is they way it is doesn't do anything for your point.

      Have you considered that without the "monopoly" providing you food at a price higher than you feel is fair, you'd starve just like your ancestors did in a famine?

      Have you considered that with some competition the same thing could happen but for a lower price. Have you considered that a monopoly might choose to starve you?

      Go ahead, vote in more bureaucrats, and price-fix their asses. That's what you want, right?

      No. Nice strawman, make it yourself.

      Wait, now they don't seem to have as good of a selection on the shelves, the food isn't as fresh, and the items you want are always in short supply.

      Monopolies do that.

      Now you use your bureaucrats to mandate that they must have product on the shelves at your fixed price.

      Back to strawmen.

      Wait, now they're packing up and going home because they have more profitable ventures to pursue? Outrage!

      Cause that is what happens on "socialist" europe?

      Here is where you can insert the favorite government program some politician promotes because, quote, "the free market has failed".

      Here is where I insert my comment: Libertarianism is both unworkable and a way of justifying personal selfishness. Libertarianism ensures and entrenches the domination of the weak by the strong.

      --
      meh
    38. Re:why is texas a win for her? by Nimey · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Decider is not "conservative", except in the social/religious fascism/authoritarian sense. He's probably the most financially wasteful president we've ever had the misfortune to have.

      Did you learn the word "socialist" from watching Hannity and O'Reilly? Hint: Europeans see the Democratic Party as being mid-far right, and they've got *nothing* like the Republicans. It'd do you some good to visit other countries.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    39. Re:why is texas a win for her? by mosch · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're not alone. I changed my registration from Libertarian to Democrat, specifically so I could vote for Obama.

      It's not that I think Obama is some magical guy, I just think he's the only candidate who might not be a complete schmuck. The others have all sewn up that they're for corporate welfare (which I view as far more harmful than social welfare) and bigger government.

  2. Nash Equilibrium by eldavojohn · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Clinton and Obama continue to fight over who's winning the Democratic nomination and meanwhile they become uglier as they turn on each other. Reminds me of Nash equilibrium:

    In game theory, the Nash equilibrium (named after John Forbes Nash, who proposed it) is a solution concept of a game involving two or more players, in which no player has anything to gain by changing only his or her own strategy unilaterally. If each player has chosen a strategy and no player can benefit by changing his or her strategy while the other players keep theirs unchanged, then the current set of strategy choices and the corresponding payoffs constitute a Nash equilibrium. I cringe every time I hear either of them say something even mildly attacking the other--couldn't they agree to just stick to their own personal views and rely on those to win the nomination? But I guess that's politics.

    It never ceases to amuse me how McCain supporters will paint Clinton & Obama as hardcore Democrats and call McCain a moderate conservative while Clinton & Obama supporters paint McCain as a hardcore Republican and argue their candidate being a moderate liberal. Because they know the moderate will garner the most votes. I guess one thing they're split on should be the war though if McCain's smart, he'll promise to remain strong in our fight yet distance himself from Bush's attitude towards it (somehow).

    I keep hearing people telling me that I shouldn't worry, that everyone's fed up with the war and it's time for a change--there's no way the Democrats could lose this one! Unfortunately, it's shaping up to be all too much like the last election which left me pretty dissappointed, especially in retrospect. Well, at least Clinton & Obama aren't as stoic, wealthy and lifeless as Kerry was. One thing's for sure, I would gladly welcome McCain over Bush as president any day even if people call him a maverick senator.
    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Nash Equilibrium by Da+Fokka · · Score: 4, Interesting
      The reason negative campaigning is used so much is basically because it works, no matter how much people hate it. Negative emotions tend to be more salient than positive emotions. In Dutch there is a saying 'Vertrouwen komt te voet en gaat te paard', which can be roughly translated as 'Trust arrives in little steps but leaves with large strides'. Politicians have to make a lot of good impressions to counteract a single bad impression.

      I agree with your assessment that the Democrats will have a real challenge, regardless of the candidate they choose. McCain does not really suffer from the huge impopularity of president Bush as much as the other republican candidates (bar Ron Paul) would have. He's got some character, everyone from left to right has to respect a guy who survived five years of torture. And the republicans can start organizing while the Democrats are in disarray. I'm really rooting for Obama but it looks like there will be no Democratic candidate until the convention.

    2. Re:Nash Equilibrium by elrous0 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Never underestimate the ability of the Democratic party to lose even them most winnable election. They're so bad at this point that, even when they win, they STILL somehow lose (i.e. 2006--and not a SINGLE promise they made actually delivered on). There just is no place for guys like me in the political process anymore. I'm a civil-libertarian, social-liberal, fiscal-conservative, non-bible-thumper with no place to call my own. Every election I'm forced to choose between a bunch of spineless, undisciplined losers and a bunch of bible-thumping, war-mongering demagogues.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    3. Re:Nash Equilibrium by Sancho · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Of course, this presumes a team mentality. I guess since we're in that position as it is, it makes sense to play it as a game.

      Of course, an ignorant (and worse, stupid) population voting is almost as bad. I've known of people who (at least claimed) to have voted for a particular candidate because he was expected to win. When you have people voting for that reason alone, it's pretty hard to take politics seriously.

    4. Re:Nash Equilibrium by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It sometimes works, the effectiveness of negative campaigning has been much exaggerated. I thought it interesting that Obama was doing well in Ohio and Texas, over-turning Clinton's massive leads in both states, and actually getting a moderate lead in Texas, until the last few days of the campaign when Obama went largely negative against Clinton (stupidly attacking NAFTA and Clinton's previous support for it), while Clinton actually withdrew her attacks from Obama for the most part, concentrating instead on ridiculing the heavily anti-Clinton media. Suddenly, Clinton was climbing back in the polls, not necessarily to her previous highs, but enough to push her back over the edge in Texas, and get a reasonable margin of victory in Ohio.

      The thing is, when you take a look at the morning's headlines, and see "Obama attacks Clinton as 'Desperate'", followed immediately by "Clinton stresses experience, economy" (I can't remember what the exact headline was, it was something like that), one candidate looks like a sleazebag, the other looks like they're taking the high road. Negative campaigning can just have the effect of making you look uninterested in the issues and just in slinging mud. For me, it was a surprising route for a skilled communicator like Obama to take.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    5. Re:Nash Equilibrium by srussia · · Score: 3, Informative

      There just is no place for guys like me in the political process anymore. I'm a civil-libertarian, social-liberal, fiscal-conservative, non-bible-thumper with no place to call my own. Ron Paul Nation?
      --
      Set your phasers on "funky"!
    6. Re:Nash Equilibrium by Cornflake917 · · Score: 2, Informative

      It never ceases to amuse me how McCain supporters will paint Clinton & Obama as hardcore Democrats and call McCain a moderate conservative while Clinton & Obama supporters paint McCain as a hardcore Republican and argue their candidate being a moderate liberal. According to the Political Compass, all the remaining candidates are more or less moderate conservatives. If only the candidates were actually politically different, maybe U.S. would have a reasonable voter turn out.
    7. Re:Nash Equilibrium by KKlaus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Didn't they raise the federal minimum wage?

      --
      Relax I just want some peanuts.
    8. Re:Nash Equilibrium by NMerriam · · Score: 2, Informative

      The 24% approval rating of the Democratically-led Congress may have something to do with it. By the way, the President's is 32-34%.


      Congress as a whole always has low approval ratings, "everyone else's congressmen" are always hated. People rate their own congressmen in the 80s-90s, which is all that matters come November (unless Congress does specific, party-driven ideological things that turn off voters as a whole, which hasn't happened, the only affect this Congress' unimpressive record might have is to suppress voting by Democrats who feel let down).
      --
      Recursive: Adj. See Recursive.
  3. I'm for the liger party by Himring · · Score: 4, Funny

    vote pedro....

    --
    "All great things are simple & expressed in a single word: freedom, justice, honor, duty, mercy, hope." --Churchill
  4. Don't blame me. . . by MistaE · · Score: 4, Funny

    I voted for Kodos.

    1. Re:Don't blame me. . . by dc29A · · Score: 3, Funny

      Who bent your wookie? Hand Solo
  5. Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by JustASlashDotGuy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Now that McCain has clinched the nod, expect all those that would have voted for McCain 'when it mattered' to now vote for Clinton when possible. Clinton is by far the easier candidate to beat and everyone knows it. It's very possible the republicans are what helped Clinton win in the Texas primary.

    We will now see McCain attacking Obama, Clinton attacking Obama, and republicans voting for Clinton all at once. I hope Obama is up for the fight.

    1. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by Pizaz · · Score: 3, Informative

      the good news is that in Pennsylvania they have a closed primary. Only Democrats can vote for other Democrats. Unfortunately in Texas and Ohio, they had open primaries. I'm hoping the media will pick up on these stories because it's important that people understand what's going on.

    2. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by spleen_blender · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not in Texas and Ohio, hence OPEN PRIMARIES.

      Carry on.

    3. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by dattaway · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Clinton and McCain are like the frat brothers Bush and Kerry. Its a scorecard power players really like.

    4. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by cfulmer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't forget the press, which until now has pretty much given him a free ride. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/press-gives-obama-a-rougher-ride-over-free-trade-and-chicago-politics-791347.html

      I'm not at all certain that Obama is the tougher candidate to beat -- he's looked good so far, but that's partially because the press hasn't been hounding him. That's beginning to change.

      The bigger problem for both of them is that they both have to keep left to win the primary, delaying their inevitable tack back to the center to try to win the independent vote. But, McCain is already in the center. Part of their strategy is going to be to pain him as a right-wing extremist, but that's going to be a hard sell when bills with names like "McCain-Kennedy" and "McCain-Feingold" floating around. So, instead, they're going to trot out a tried-and-true political tactic: character assassination. See, for example, ahref=http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Howard_Dean_John_McCain_flawed_candidate_0302.htmlrel=url2html-25095http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Howard_Dean_John_McCain_flawed_candidate_0302.html>

    5. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by sentientbrendan · · Score: 4, Insightful

      >I'm not at all certain that Obama is the tougher candidate to beat
      >-- he's looked good so far, but that's partially because the press
      >hasn't been hounding him. That's beginning to change.

      Obama's strength in beating Mccain is tactical in nature and has nothing to do with "how the press is treating him."

      Obama and Hilary are extremely similar candidates in that they both have very little experience compared to Mccain; however, Obama has a number of strong points that work well in a general election.

      1. He delivers better speeches than either candidate. (btw, It's ridiculous Hilary deprecates this considering what an important skill this is for a head of state).
      2. He has strong appeal to centrist voters which are typically Mccain's base. Without the centrist voters, Mccain has to rely entirely on the party base which has already made moves to desert him.
      3. He appeals to the young vote, and so is likely to bring more total voters into the democratic side, many of whom despise Hilary over her stance over net neutrality, video game censorship, and general hostility towards the baby boomer generation. In contrast, Hilary's elderly party regulars voting for her in the primary can be counted on to show up at the polls no matter what democratic candidate ends up in the general election.
      4. He's demonstrated that he can raise way more money than any other candidate out there, and has run a much better organized campaign than Hilary, despite all of her claimed political experience.
      5. He can honestly say he was opposed to the war from day one. Hilary on the other hand is going to get *nailed* for flip flopping in the general election the same way it happened in the 2004 election. After all, if the war was a mistake, it was *her* mistake, and that is not an endorsement for presidency.

      Hilary complains that the media went after her more harshly than Obama in part because she is a genuinely weak candidate with lots of points to attack her on. If this were any year other than 2008, when the general election may just be handed to the democrats, no one would take her candidacy seriously. She's just not that strong.

    6. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's not that stupid. Remember Republicans are seeing a choice of three candidates this election: Obama, Clinton, and McCain. They hate Clinton. They're not exactly fond of McCain, and Obama's a guy they respect though completely disagree with. An election with Obama and McCain in it will have a result they can live with even if it sucks. An election with Clinton and McCain in it will have a result that's 50% likely to be "I can live with that, but it sucks", and 50% likely to be "I'm moving to Iraq to get away from this madwoman."

      If Republicans actually liked McCain, things would be different and, yes, they'd be insane to support a charismatic candidate of the left who stands a real chance of beating "their guy".

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    7. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by Notquitecajun · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In the short run, those centrist voters may swing to Obama, but when it comes out that he is further left than McCain is right - which is true - they will be heading to McCain in droves. Americans are center-right as a rule, NOT center-left. The youth vote is ALWAYS overrated - it hasn't made an impact since JFK, and was hardly one then because he may not have won without LBJ on board, and a questionable result in Illinois which Nixon didn't pursue.

    8. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by steelclash84 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      IMO, this is exactly what the super-delegates *should* be used for, to counter the influence from the republican strategists. I was always under the impression that the super-delegates were in place for the good of the party. Supporting a easily beaten candidate in Nov is clearly not in the best interest of the democratic party, so what is the purpose of the super-delegates anymore?

    9. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by Pojut · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I think McCain is the best Presidential candidate I've seen in my lifetime. He's got my vote in the fall.


      I'm very much against not voting for someone due to a single issue, but with McCain I am going to ignore my advice. If nothing else, there is a big reason why you shouldn't vote for him. McCain is adamently opposed to Net Neutrality. His reasoning?

      "When you control the pipe you should be able to get profit from your investment" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_positions_of_John_McCain#Network_neutrality"

      I'm sorry, but I refuse to support someone who is so engrained in thinking about big buisness that they would risk the freedom of the Internet over profits. I'm all for getting the government out of our daily lives, but this is one area where the government needs to step in and slap the telcoms in the face. Hard.

      Yes, I understand that they are a buisness. Yes, I understand that it is their goal to make money...and I'm all for that. That is, after all, democracy in action.

      Attempting to control the internet in the hopes of increasing profit, however, is inexcusable. The internet wouldn't be where it is today if it weren't open the way that it is, and it will crumble even further into a pile of corporate bullshit moreso than it already has if Net Neutrality is not maintained.
    10. Re:Expect a Clinton surge per the Republicans by nahdude812 · · Score: 3, Informative

      And if in Pennsylvania, you want to register to vote, or you want to change your party to democrat (I just changed mine from non-partisan), you have until March 24th to do it. You can do it at this website: https://www.pavoterservices.state.pa.us/Pages/VoterRegistrationApplication.aspx.

      Note, after you fill out the form, you have to print out the PDF they give you, sign it, and fax it to the appropriate county voter registration office. The form is pre-populated with your values, and includes a barcode to help them process it faster.

      Again, your registration has to be processed by March 24, so do not delay, fill out, print, and sign it today so that you don't get caught in a backlog and miss your chance to shape the future of our country!!

  6. Re:Meanwhile... by damn_registrars · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sit back, relax, and watch your rights vanish before your eyes.
    That statement is only valid for the few rights that haven't already been annihilated by the current administration.

    Which would leave one to assume that the situation can only get better, but that was also what we thought when approaching the 2004 presidential election. Yet somehow we were proven wrong.
    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  7. Democrats by Rik+Sweeney · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As much as I'd like to see a woman or a (excuse the wording) black man in the White House, because it'll do the world as a whole a lot of good, I really don't think the slagging match that the Democrats are having is doing them any favours. Showing Obama wearing a turban (I think it was a turban) and making racial slurs is not a good way to win votes at election time.

    1. Re:Democrats by InvisblePinkUnicorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "As much as I'd like to see a woman or a (excuse the wording) black man in the White House, because it'll do the world as a whole a lot of good

      How does that follow? Unless you mean it literally, in the sense that these individuals will send more of our taxes overseas to support the underprivileged. Other countries have had their share of female and black presidents, both good and bad (and very bad: Idi Amin).

    2. Re:Democrats by db32 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      (excuse the wording)? What the hell? This is what is wrong with America. I swear to God I am so sick of this political correct cry baby crap. He is black, call him black. I am white, why the hell is it perfectly acceptable to call me white instead of "Irish-American" or some other hypenated nonsense, but its a big deal to call a black guy black. Why the hell would you need to be excused for calling him black?

      Lets put this stupid liberal guilt shit to rest. A black man has been tearing up the campaign trail and looking like a possible win on the Democrat side if not the whole race for the top. Can we PLEASE get over this sensitivity crap. I think having a black man with a pretty viable shot at the oval office pretty much means that the whole slavery thing is long over. It's time to quit the apologizing.

      Stunningly ironic is that the party that goes on about those "poor minorities that need our help" has a black man making a damned good run. Seems kinda counter to the nonsense about the minorities need our help and handouts.

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    3. Re:Democrats by thegnu · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Dude, the problem with the nomenclature "African American" is that not all black people are a)Africans or b)Americans. So calling them black is ok. Negro is out (though it too means black), and "colored people" sounds a little too much like "little people." And calling someone "a colored" seems insulting, as well. Black is directly analogous to white, and is the least presumptive about someone's ethnic heritage, which I think is important.

      I grew up in Mexico, and often refer to Hispanics. My girlfriend at the time gave me crap because some group of them (I'm assuming it was The Council of the Wise) decided that Hispanic reminded them of the Spanish conquest, and they preferred Latino. Which I think is ridiculous, because when I say Hispanic, I mean a Spanish-speaker (which excludes Brazilians), and when I say Latino, I mean a Latin American (which excludes Spaniards).

      Also, Iranians are caucasians, so calling white people caucasians is stupid. So hey everybody, let's just stop being insulted by things that aren't insulting, and stop bowing to unfounded, ridiculous reactionary pressure. And if you find out that one person prefers Latino over Hispanic, use the word they prefer when referring to them. It's super easy.

      (I think it was a turban)

      Close enough for the popular opnion.
      --
      Please stop stalking me, bro.
    4. Re:Democrats by dkleinsc · · Score: 2, Interesting

      On the issue of racial slurs, a noteworthy footnote in Ohio (IMHO) is that according to MSNBC 1 in 5 white voters considered race an important factor in their voting choice, and somewhere between 75% and 80% of those voted for Clinton. That comes out to something like a 10% overall spread in favor of Clinton due to racism. Of course, there's a reasonable counterargument that 1 in 5 voters in the same contest were black, and voted equally heavily for Obama. The whole "Obama is really a 5th column Muslim" thing was definitely circulating heavily as well.

      And living in the Cleveland area, there were there usual problems with white suburbs like mine being easy to vote at, and black urban areas like East Cleveland being very difficult to vote at.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    5. Re:Democrats by at_slashdot · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm tired of this American crap when people who have a drop of black blood they are considered black, he's half black and half white. But that's irrelevant, he's grey... whatever... what about judging him for what he does and what he says not for his color?

      --
      "It is our choices, Harry, that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities." -- Prof. Dumbledore
    6. Re:Democrats by InvisblePinkUnicorn · · Score: 5, Funny

      "He is black, call him black."

      What the hell? I am so sick of these nebulous terms. Let's get it right. He is #935C33, I am #FEE497.

    7. Re:Democrats by jdgeorge · · Score: 5, Insightful

      (excuse the wording)? What the hell? This is what is wrong with America. I swear to God I am so sick of this political correct cry baby crap. He is black, call him black. I am white, why the hell is it perfectly acceptable to call me white instead of "Irish-American" or some other hypenated nonsense, but its a big deal to call a black guy black. Why the hell would you need to be excused for calling him black?

      Hogwash. He is white. You say Barak Obama is "black" because his father was "black". I say he is "white" because his mother was "white".

      Someone who is truly cutting through the "political correct cry baby crap" would say he is "multiracial".

    8. Re:Democrats by StikyPad · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or mulatto.

    9. Re:Democrats by Jeremi · · Score: 2, Insightful
      the term becomes absolutely worthless


      Indeed.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    10. Re:Democrats by Pojut · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The whole slavery thing is far from over.


      Wrong. Completely wrong.

      Do we still have cotton plantations where white rich men are whipping blacks in the fields? Are we we still bringing black people from africa stuffed like sardines in the hulls of ships? Are we still lynching hundreds of black folks a year? Are blacks not allowed to vote, or have a good paying job, or make decisions that impact the entire country? Are blacks not allowed to talk back to white people?

      Please. Slavery is long over. Black people today do not know the meaning of the word racism. Racism isn't having a hard time getting a cab or having trouble becoming a CEO. Racism is getting the shit beat out of you because you weren't picking fast enough.

      Slavery is finished, in the past...accept it.
  8. Republicans voting against Obama by Pizaz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There's plenty of evidence that in both Texas and Ohio, Republicans are voting for Hillary in order to "bloody Obama" politically. Rush Limbaugh has been urging his listeners to do that for weeks. http://www.middletownjournal.com/hp/content/oh/story/news/local/2008/03/04/mj030408switchweb.html Similar stories are coming in about Ohio. The political machine is starting to conspire against Obama from both sides. But I still believe that Obama will win the nomination because Hillary has a math problem. http://www.newsweek.com/id/118240 But the feeling of dread comes from the notion that even if she loses the delegate count, that she'll still be able to pull out a victory via her usual shenanigans. She's going to fight to have Michigan and Florida's delegates seated even though in Michigan for instance, Barack's name wasnt even on the ballot.

  9. Re:Damn by aredubya74 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Indeed, not counting the Texas caucus results (which are likely to favor Obama), Clinton's likely to come out of last night's victories net'ing less than 10 delegates, and possibly even losing ground if the caucus goes particularly well (60-40 or better) for Obama.

    I'm not a registered Democrat, though I do vote for their candidates more often than not. The inconsistencies of the state party mechanisms, plus the proportional voting, does seem highly illogical. In the general, it's winner-take-all, and there's no superdelegates (unless you count the Supreme Court - 2000 election says hi). I hope the party recognizes this flaw in the system, which only stands to keep them stigmatized as the party of political procedure and not of coherent action.

    That all said, if John McCain makes it through to Election Day without a single health scare, I would be very surprised. He's 72, and has a relatively poor health history. I certainly wouldn't wish ill health on him, but I do think there's a strong likelihood of at least one incident on the road.

    --

    RW

  10. Re:Damn by MLCT · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The super delegates will decide it all - the actual raw numbers don't make much difference. Winning Ohio and Texas wasn't important to Clinton due to the number of delegates she would win, but rather has very strongly reinforced the stall she is going to set out to the supers, namely "I win in the "big" states, Obama wins in the "little" states". A piece in the NYT laid it all out yesterday, pointing out that if she lost both Texas & Ohio it wouldn't make a vast difference to the numbers - due to PR - but it would leave her with virtually no storyline to present to the supers. Since she won them she has now quite a potent storyline to present - and it may end up handing her the title.

  11. Lest ye forget by drsmall17 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Umm, did you all forget that Ron Paul is still running in the race as Republican?? McCain has sealed nothing yet..

    --
    Oday ouyay antway otay ayplay away amegay?
    1. Re:Lest ye forget by Firehed · · Score: 2, Funny
      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
  12. Good for Clinton by elrous0 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    ...bad for the party. While Clinton and Obama continue to squabble and waste $ fighting each other, McCain will have months to raise money and slowly pound away at both of them (using their own attacks against one another for ammunition). The smart thing to do right now would be for Obama and Clinton to form a unified ticket (with either Obama or Hillary as vice president), but they're both too ambitious and proud for that (typical hyper-ambitious) politicians.

    Sometimes I really hate being a Democrat. Sitting back and watching party leaders who seem determined to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory time and time again can make you want to weep.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  13. Still about Florida and Michigan. by Average · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The nifty thing for Obama, is that he is far enough ahead in pledged delegates that he still doesn't have to go sharply negative. Notice the things he hasn't talked about. Tax returns? Bill's last minute pardons (against the advice of the Justice Department, but for people who paid consulting fees to Hillary's brothers)? Kazakhstan? Clinton library donors? Lincoln bedroom guest list? Norman Hsu? Trying to win the nomination without getting these matters in the mainstream media is a kindness to the Democratic Party that the superdelegates would be blind to ignore.

    The only question left is Florida and Michigan. Particularly the latter. If she manages to seat her Michigan delegates and none for Obama (since he wasn't on the ballot), I will be disappointed if Detroit doesn't take to the streets.

    1. Re:Still about Florida and Michigan. by Mechagodzilla · · Score: 2, Informative

      Detroit is a little more apathetic (or pathetic) than you think. The Mayor used 9 million dollars to pay off two ex-cops he fired because they caught him in an affair with his Chief of Staff. he still has over a 50% approval rating. They can't get a recall organized and the City Council is at a stalemate. On top of that, the Mayor lied on the stand in court (on live TV) and the City prosecutor can't figure out if she should charge him with perjury about the affair.

      --
      Fast, cheap, correct. You get to pick two.
    2. Re:Still about Florida and Michigan. by Average · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Obama has a vision, but I have never seen him actually state what the vision is."

      That's kind of sad. Obama published an award-winning 384 page book of his vision (The Audacity of Hope), but people are quite convinced he doesn't have one.

    3. Re:Still about Florida and Michigan. by vertinox · · Score: 2

      Obama published an award-winning 384 page book of his vision

      So is he giving away those books or is he making money off them at my expense?

      Has he released his vision on his website at least? Maybe a PDF download?

      Otherwise, since you have read the book what does he plan to do to solve the current problem of the economy? Just having hope is a bad idea.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    4. Re:Still about Florida and Michigan. by Jeremi · · Score: 4, Insightful
      So is he giving away those books or is he making money off them at my expense? Has he released his vision on his website at least? Maybe a PDF download?


      Have you tried your local public library?

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    5. Re:Still about Florida and Michigan. by An+dochasac · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I know the Clinton's skeletons and it really doesn't bother me because life was pretty much good during Clinton's time after the recession under the first Bush. I could put up with it again.

      Many people make this mistake. Hillary Clinton is a woman[Tm], not a time machine. Slashdotters should know the difference. Time machines have more knobs and gages.

      Even if she were a time machine, it would be very difficult to reproduce the conditions which allowed a decade of prosperity despite the actions (or lack of) of two corrupt and stupid presidents. Imagine going back to 1992 and making sure you don't step on a fly, lest you change these conditions:

      1. The reasonably peaceful breakup of the Soviet empire. (Clinton and Bush just watched, they didn't even take advantage of the once in a lifetime opportunity!)
      2. The invention of computer and internet technology which allowed JIT warehousing, enabled globalization and led to vast improvements in efficiency. (Neither Clinton, nor Bush nor Gore can take credit for this)
      3. Opening up of China, Latin America and other markets and their cheap labor while deficit spending and cheap credit allowed us to isolate our labor force from potential deflationary impacts on wages. (O.K Clinton did sign NAFTA and seemed to have a good relationship with Chinese campaign donors so maybe he did have something to do with this, but Nixon, Carter and Reagan probably had more of an impact on China.
      4. Global wage arbitrage and productivity increases resulting from computers and internet also allowed the Fed to keep interest rates low, spurring growth here but offshoring the inflation.
      5. Oil prices were less than $20/bbl (Clinton signed the "SUV loophole" laws which created the demand for such beasts and helped drive oil back up to $102/bbl where it apparently belongs.)
      6. The bulk of our population (Baby boomers) were in their peak earning years so Clinton/Bush et al could sweep the Social Security insolvency under the rug for another 12-18 years... and whistle in the dark, hoping no one would notice. (Gingrich was the perfect diversion from Clinton's numerous non sex related shenanigans, so he took the fall but I assure you that had mother Theresa suggested a Social Security fix as early as the mid 90s, she would have also been put on a skewer.)
      It could work, but don't step on any flys and keep your hands inside the vehicle at all times, it is moving at the same speed as reality.
    6. Re:Still about Florida and Michigan. by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well thats the thing. To me Obama feels like a Manchurian candidate. He has no background... He was pretty much out of the blue. Its almost if he could just finish taking the oath for office and then pull off his mask and its Jeb Bush for all we know.

      He isn't fresh off the boat from the planet Mars: he has a long record in the Illinois State Senate and was a public figure in the area since before that. Just because you haven't gotten off your butt to research it says nothing about Obama.

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
  14. Texas is hardly a win by Dekortage · · Score: 4, Insightful

    TFA: In the Texas primary, [Clinton] won with 51 pecent of the vote compared to 48 percent for Obama.

    3% is winning the state? Remember that Democratic state delegates are divided up by vote percentages, unlike the Republican "winner take all" delegate process. So Clinton's win in Texas is fairly thin, and frankly a poor showing after all the money and campaigning she's spent lately in a state that was always considered an automatic win for her.

    --
    $nice = $webHosting + $domainNames + $sslCerts
    1. Re:Texas is hardly a win by downix · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And Texas also allocated delegates based on turnout in the past 2 elections. Clinton won mainly in 1-delegate districts, Obama in 3-delegate districts. Clinton winning by 51% is a net-win for Obama.

      --
      Karma Whoring for Fun and Profit.
  15. Ask and ye shall receive by dada21 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Politics continues to sicken me, although not more than before. I'll even go so far as to say that I'm less sickened that I was in the past, because I now place the blame on where it should be placed: on the voters.

    I don't vote (actually, I anti-vote, writing my own name in where possible). Voting is an act that provides the PTB a simple request from the voter: "Lead me as you think I should be led." I don't need a leader. My life is in my hands, as are the lives of my family. Instead of spending out of control, we save. Instead of relying on insurance for regular medical visits, we pay cash on the barrel and pay a low insurance premium just for emergencies. We eat healthy, exercise, and try to stay in shape so as not to need expensive medical visits and medication that many of our friends take (and want discounts for). Rather than being angered by people that are different from ourselves, we travel the world every year and meet those that the PTB say are our enemies. Most of the time they are people not so different from ourselves.

    The country demands a leader, and they'll get one. Individuals, even the most pious and charitable, generally look out for themselves first. A leader is no different. A leader generally doesn't listen to those that he/she leads. A leader may only have said position for a few years, but will always be thinking about what they will do after their leadership position is over. In some situations, the most egomaniacal leaders may be thinking about how history will support their positions and actions.

    The surprise to me is that we United States citizens believe we need a leader, at least in government. The Constitution doesn't give the President power to lead, only to execute the laws which we wanted put in place; equitable laws that infringe on everyone equally, rather than giving preferential treatment to the few at the cost of the many (or vice versa). The President is not the Commander-in-Chief until Congress actively declares war. We declared war in WW2, but since then, we have not had a legal CiC. The President is not there to save the economy, or even care about the economy, because economic issues are the domain of Congress, or even more preferably the States. The President isn't supposed to take positions on what he or she will support or wants to do, because the President merely reviews signed bills and their Constitutionality, and only then making the decision to support future execution of said bills into law if the bills mass Constitutional muster. Most don't.

    It is sad when people demand a leader, but are too fearful of being leaders themselves. This is why I am disgusted -- not with politics -- but with you voters who have your head so far up your rears that you think your leader can lead me. I'll be forced to follow.

    1. Re:Ask and ye shall receive by InvisblePinkUnicorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "The President is not there to save the economy, or even care about the economy, because economic issues are the domain of Congress, or even more preferably the States."

      Unfortunately, the public is never going to get this through their thick skulls as long as they thing their candidate will set up a system whereby they are able to get things slightly cheaper at other people's expenses. Everyone thinks they'll cheat the system but they're only cheating themselves as long as they let the government have its fingers in the economy.

    2. Re:Ask and ye shall receive by dada21 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Since the list of all possible problems is pretty much infinitely long, being able to prepare for MOST problems still leaves a very long list of problems that cannot be prepared for.

      I can not imagine any problems that can't be prepared for in some way. In fact, I've personally spoken with many hundreds of people over the past 5 years or so, and heard of some real doozies, and in every case, I've made preparations that will cover me if those same problems should happen to me. Again, there are numerous ways to prepare for MANY unlikely situations, but most people don't care. They just want to spend today (and spend tomorrow's income today) and ignore the bad things that may happen. Then, when they do happen, we all have to pay for them. We don't share in their joy of overspending and irresponsibility, but we have to share in their problems.

      What about problems that don't stem from the person who has them making a bad decision ? Or do you follow the "You've got problems, so you must have made a bad decision." line of thinking ?

      No, I don't always believe that bad things come of bad decisions, but they do come from bad planning.

      6 figures doesn't really require HUGE mistakes. Some car accidents will be right in that range (especially when people are injured). You just don't realize that you've been lucky so far.

      Don't even get me started on car accidents, which are completely harmed by government intervention in the insurance and tort/civil industries. First of all, the only insurance that should matter is YOUR insurance, based on YOUR needs. A very wealthy individual should be buying uninsured/underinsured motorist insurance to cover what HIS loss would be in a near-fatal accident. If you earn $250k per year, and a car accident could ruin your future, PLAN FOR IT. Buy insurance. The same is true for medical malpractice liability: it should not exist. Instead, people should buy "negative outcome" insurance based on what their needs are in the event of a negative outcome. The insurers have gotten together with the State to protect their assets, while requiring ridiculous insurance for all so that everyone's insurance options are limited. Why should you FORCE people to get auto insurance? Instead, give others the chance to protect themselves against the possibility of an uninsured motorist. Easy enough.

      In every case where people say "I never saw it coming," I'll say "Then you didn't research your decision well enough." I got castigated here on Slashdot for YEARS when I recommended people rent or buy a mobile home in 2004 and 2005, and hundreds of people told me I was wrong. Well, I researched it, and in the end, I was right. I've told hundreds of people to consider NOT going to college if it will cost them $150,000 out of pocket in student loans, and some listened, got good jobs, and in 4 years are making well more than the college graduates who now have $500,000 to pay over the next 15 years (in interest and principle). Again, I researched it. I've explained to many friends that marriage is a terrible idea unless their religion requires it. Now, more than 55% of those who got married are going through horrible divorces because they did not think things through. Again, research will give you the statistics for you to protect yourself against.

      Unemployment? That's why you SAVE. Disability? Get good disability insurance (one friend of mine bought a $10k a year policy that would pay $1.5 million. When he went blind 6 years later, he thanked me for the idea) to cover the remaining years of income. Divorce? Don't get married without a prenup. Death? Life insurance. Illness? High deductible medical emergency insurance, with your regular visits paid at the cash-on-the-barrel discount rate (as much as 80% off with minimal negotiations).

      It is endless: the excuses people make for why they didn't prepare for negative outcomes. Yet the information is there, and people just don't listen. They want things NOW, but the important things they want others to pay.

    3. Re:Ask and ye shall receive by Hatta · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I can not imagine any problems that can't be prepared for in some way.

      Of course not, if you could imagine them then you could prepare for them.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    4. Re:Ask and ye shall receive by Ihlosi · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I can not imagine any problems that can't be prepared for in some way.

      You lack imagination.

      In fact, I've personally spoken with many hundreds of people over the past 5 years or so, and heard of some real doozies,

      Hundreds ? Do you work in the insurance industry by any chance ?

      I've made preparations that will cover me if those same problems should happen to me.

      A simple question: How would you (yes, you) prepare for anything that happens to you before you're, say, 10 years old ? (Sorry, "Try to be lucky." isn't an answer, and "Hope that your parents do that for you." isn't anything that you can influence.)

      No, I don't always believe that bad things come of bad decisions, but they do come from bad planning.

      Which is basically the same. "Bad things only happen to bad/stupid/careless people." and "If something bad happens to you, then you must have done something bad."

      If you earn $250k per year, and a car accident could ruin your future, PLAN FOR IT. Buy insurance.

      What if you're "uninsurable" ?

      Why should you FORCE people to get auto insurance?

      Because, well, you're responsible for your own fuckups. If you break peoples stuff or damage their health, then you're responsible to compensate them for it. It's pretty much impossible to insure yourself against everything that any person may do to you by stupidity, negligence or malice. What if it's not an automobile accident, but your redneck next-door neighbor who manages to put a bullet in your spine while he was just cleaning guns ?

      Instead, give others the chance to protect themselves against the possibility of an uninsured motorist.

      The premiums for this type of insurance would pretty much skyrocket if liability insurance was optional. And people would probably care a lot less about damaging other peoples property and health if they'd get away without having to pay for it.

      In every case where people say "I never saw it coming,"

      Can you see bad genes coming ? Childhood diseases ?

      Disability? Get good disability insurance

      And here's the problem: In your libertarian dreamland, people like me don't exist. I'm one of these uninsurable anomalies, because every time I put three certain words in the "pre-existing conditions" field, the insurance agent looks at me as if I've just placed a live tarantula on the desk. Can you explain to me how I should have prepared for a disease that probably developed before I was one year old ? How I should prepare for disability now ? And, sorry, "buy a gun and put a bullet in your head when things get too bad" isn't really my idea of preparation. Neither is "Try to be lucky, it worked for me.", even though that's what I'm basically doint right now, due to lack of alternatives.

      (one friend of mine bought a $10k a year policy that would pay $1.5 million. When he went blind 6 years later, he thanked me for the idea)

      Hum. These things are about $150 a month where I live, provided that you're actually accepted (being young, healthy and male helps a lot here). $10k a year is ripoff. Unless your friend had some pre-existing conditions.

      Illness? High deductible medical emergency insurance, with your regular visits paid at the cash-on-the-barrel discount rate (as much as 80% off with minimal negotiations).

      Can't get any health insurance, at least not from any for-profit company. See above why.

      So, what am I to do ? Get out of your nice dream and don't bother you anymore ?

  16. Ron Paul Not A Troll by fishdan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well, Ron Paul SHOULD still be in at this point. That's not trolling.

    There are a lot of Republicans who just WON'T vote for McCain. Ron should and will stay in the race, and those McCain haters are going to vote for him, just like they did for Huckabee. Hopefully they'll also learn something. The current election is always about the next one for the candidates who don't win. I think that inspite of what we know here, and the best efforts of many on this board, there are about 300 million citizens in the US who don't know anything more about Ron Paul's positions than that he is completely against the Iraq war. If the nation becomes better informed about the REAL cost of lowering interest rates and devaluing the dollar, things might actually change.

    --
    Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm
  17. If I were a democratic strategist... by downix · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The economy is tanking due to the Republicans. Whomever the next president will be is about to oversee the greatest collapse we've seen since the Great Depression, as the only thing shoring up our economy at the moment is over $600 billion of loaned capitol which is going to baloon to $2 trillion by years end at the current pace. If I were a strategist, I would throw the election, to let the Republicans take it, and watch as everything collapses around them.

    Alternatively, put forth the strongest dream-team, a Regan/Bush 1980 style team. Idealist speechgiver as the main ticket, the strong and reasoned seasoned senate veteran in the VP chair. Push forward using the collapsing economy as your footprint. Forget the war, people don't think of war when they're worried about their jobs! It's the economy stupid!

    --
    Karma Whoring for Fun and Profit.
    1. Re:If I were a democratic strategist... by the+computer+guy+nex · · Score: 3, Interesting

      This is why you aren't a democratic strategist.

      Economies at the national level are always cyclical. This is true everywhere, not just of the United States.

      It is ignorant to believe you can avoid all recessions. Economics simply do not work that way.

      With the Bush stimulas package on the way, the economy should rebound nicely just like it did 6 years ago with the Bush tax cuts.

    2. Re:If I were a democratic strategist... by notamisfit · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If economies are cyclical, why is it that the bad economic policies always precede the down cycles? Wouldn't they mistime it and hit an up cycle once in a while?

      --
      Jesus is coming -- look busy!
  18. Expected it by cryptoluddite · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The media was playing it up as Clinton's "last chance", so naturally that will energize people who are emotionally involved with that candidate and get them out to vote... just like in New Hampshire, where women came out strong for their candidate.

    Personally, I find the level of racism and sexism involved in propping up Clinton's campaign disgusting. I'd like to think of Democrats as above and beyond that. If you look at the facts, Obama is a better speaker, more motivational, more liked overseas, less divisive. Obama has more experience in public service, he's made better decisions, and he's more likely to win against McCain. He's run a more organized and effective campaign. So given that he pretty much outclasses her in every way as a candidate, you have to ask yourself why people are voting for Clinton, and is it right.

    Some people say that Obama is benefiting from being half-black by winning the black vote 10:1. I don't think that's really true, I think he'd be winning the other groups that much if not for the factors working against him. For instance, the Hispanic community has historically been at odds with African Americans. And whites and women, obviously, have a bias for a white woman. It seems to me that by merit he should be winning close to that ratio among most groups.

    1. Re:Expected it by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One would have thought that people would have learned after voting for GWB, a man with no experience, but here they are doing it a second time.

      Third time, not second. Note that Bill Clinton, the governor of a minor State, had no real qualifications for the Presidency either.

      Note also that Bill and Hillary ran in 1992 on the grounds that he wasn't a Washington insider. That was considered a good thing. Now, Hillary is running on the grounds that's she's been a Washington insider for years. That's considered a good thing.

      Which is, of course, typical for politicians.

      Note, finally, that there isn't any real measure of "qualification" for the Presidency that puts either Obama or Hillary at the top of the list. Luckily for all concerned, noone gives a rat's ass about "qualifications" for the Presidency....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  19. Looking Forward.. by tetrahedrassface · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Pennsylvania on April 22. If Clinton can take Pennsylvania then she will most likely get the nomination. :=)
    It is about time Obama had to face some of the issues instead of a free media pass. What is all this change he keeps carping on? All talk and no substance. His campaign is staffed by some seriously questionable folks as well. So remember.. Pennsylvania on April 22'nd folks.

    1. Re:Looking Forward.. by danskal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I wonder why you are interested in the campaign party staff? Perhaps because you are on the Clinton campaign staff?

      I am watching the campaign from across the pond, and as I see it, Obama is the only campaigner who is all substance. It would be political suicide to go into too many specifics - that's just not how you win an election. If you check out some of his speeches on youtube etc, he is often the guy who is saying what needs to be said (from an intelligent person's perspective, anyway.... rednecks might be disappointed). The reason he projects change and hope to the world (not just the US), is not that he says "I will bring change", but that every word from his mouth shows a whole different attitude, that is a breath of fresh air.

      To my mind, he is the only one of the lot who can restore respect for USA as a nation. Because he is the only one who is about building bridges and the only one who really understands international relations/diplomacy.

    2. Re:Looking Forward.. by Zephyr14z · · Score: 4, Informative

      Have you actually listened to any of his speeches, or just seen 5-second clips on the evening news? Both speeches I've seen in person have been very heavy on substance, and not just empty rhetoric. It does seem to be a common misconception, perpetrated by the clinton campaign, that he doesn't actually address issues, but it's just flat-out not true. Don't just parrot what you hear, do a little of your own research.

  20. Re:Damn by elrous0 · · Score: 5, Interesting
    There is no "thankfully" to it. This pretty much ensures an ugly floor fight which will fracture and humiliate the Democratic party and put John McCain in the White House. It's truly amazing just how far Democrats will go to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Even in the face of the most unpopular war since Vietnam and the most hated Republican president since Nixon, the Democrats still can't pull it together for a win. And even when they do win (as they did in 1992, 1996, and 2006) they immediately fracture, cave-in, sell-out, and generally squander any potential for any real improvement thanks to their laughably weak party discipline.

    Frankly, I wish they would just go the way of the Whigs (and take the Republicans with them while they're at it). This country desperately needs a REAL party for liberals, libertarians, and progressives. And God knows neither the undisciplined, spineless Democrat party nor the bible-thumping, war-mongering Republican party are truly serving the people.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  21. We lose no matter what by MikeRT · · Score: 2, Interesting

    At a minimum we'll lose by either having a cranky old geezer who likes to throw his weight around in office through wars and limits on the Bill of Rights. The flipside is that we will end up with two tax-and-spend leftists who are both weak on civil liberties.

    Those of us who remember the Clinton years from a civil liberties side remember that it was only less bad that the Bush years because the Clintons didn't have the convenient excuse of terrorism. OKC doesn't count because they dismantled the group responsible for that without much effort. McVeigh did not have the sort of connections that justified making him into the sort of boogeyman that Bin Laden could be.

    I for one am sick and tired of hearing about change from everyone. No one is proposing change, unless by change you mean making us worse off than we already are. Here's a thought for all three: real change would be running on a campaign to severely limit the ability of the federal government to tax and regulate American citizens' lives instead of coming up with grandiose policies for spending our money and telling us what to do.

    As I said, we'll lose no matter who wins, short of all three of these candidates dropping dead and Ron Paul being the last man standing with appeal to both sides.

    1. Re:We lose no matter what by Kierthos · · Score: 2

      Because having things stay just the same as they are now is just peachy, right?

      Of course, since you seem to be one of those Ron Paul fanatics, there's probably no reasoning with you....

      Ron wants to get rid of Roe vs. Wade and leave it up to the individual states as to whether to ban abortion. Nifty idea, from a "States rights" standpoint, except of course for those women who end up in states where it becomes illegal. Of course, they can always travel to a nearby state that doesn't make it illegal, assuming that there is one nearby enough for them.

      Ron also favors withdrawal from NATO and the U.N. Because, you know, sticking our heads in the sand and going "lalalala, what rest of the world" works so damned well.

      Yeah, he does oppose some things I wouldn't mind seeing gone, like the federal income tax, and most federal agencies, but here's the thing.

      HE IS NOT ELECTABLE.

      If Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and John McCain all dropped dead right now, Ron Paul would still not be electable.

      It's a nice dream to think that he might be, but that's all it is. A dream.

      About the only person less electable then Ron Paul is Ralph Nader.

      --
      Mr. Hu is not a ninja.
  22. Nooooooooo by krovisser · · Score: 2, Funny

    My videogames... my precious videogames!

  23. Re:In the end, does it reallyl make a difference? by m0llusk · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Is this the best we can do?

    Referring to centrists like Hillary and Obama as Socialists indicates an intense and pervasive ignorance of all matters social and political. Socialism does not encourage private property or corporate participation, just for starters. You really should visit some places that embrace Socialism before you make pronouncements like that, but like most Americans staying fearfully within your own borders is as much as you can handle. With ignorance on this scale being commonplace it is amazing that we can do this well.

  24. Re:Meanwhile... by dasunt · · Score: 5, Insightful

    How do you come to that conclusion? Have you seen the same ads I have? "I am my brother's keeper, I am my sister's keeper" - "Healthcare for everyone". This can only translate into more of my labor going towards strangers.

    As opposed to the current system where the ER is often the first, last and only choice for the poor, resulting in increased medical bills that are unpaid and passed onto wealthier hospital patrons who do have insurance?

    There are places that capitalism fails. Healthcare looks like it is one of them. Even if doctors could refuse treatment until after they were paid (what a dystopic thought!), the lack of access to healthcare would decrease the total health of the population, resulting in a population that is more prone to infectious diseases and epidemics.

    PS: We have the ability to wipe out polio from the world relatively easily. That's due to government, not private practice footing the bill. We also have the ability to eradicate the MMR trio if we are willing to push for an international campaign to do so.

  25. Re:Meanwhile... by Spad · · Score: 4, Informative

    The US spends more than twice as much per capita on healthcare than the UK.

  26. Re:Ok, I'll ask and hope to receive by dada21 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No one cares what you think. Seriously.

    I think some do. Maybe not many, but in all honesty, let's look at the long term viability of my posting on slashdot:

    1. People add me as their friend. This means they have some respect for my style of writing, even if they disagree with the content.
    2. People email me often. My real name is up there, not a fake name or worse "Anonymous Coward." I appreciate that people connect me to my posts on slashdot, and when future customers Google me, they will get literally thousands of Slashdot posts pointing to my opinion. I even tell people to Google my name along with what they want to know about me, and Slashdot comes to the rescue, usually pulling up a few past posts over what I said. I profit from what I say here, as do those who learn from me (or help me learn from what I may have missed).
    3. Slashdot provides a venue for alternative opinions, and not just a heads-or-tails situation. We have a fairly massive user base, but the content that comes out of the users is more varied than almost any other blog or forum. This means that we all learn from each other (or help each other learn). My posts are just a drop in the bucket, but they add something to this system of learning.
    4. I am moderated generally high, but I am not a Karma whore. If you go through my mod history, you'll see that I am -1 about 1/2 the time as +5. That's fine with me, it helps me gauge "the market" of what people are interested in hearing, and what they're not. I no longer user the term "anarcho-capitalist" in my posts, because people didn't like my use of the term. I learned.
    5. There are features that allow you to ignore me on the board completely. Make me a Foe, moderate foes to -5, and I'm gone from your screen. Easy as pie.

    Let me tell you what's really sad, a (presumably) grown man like you who finds the need to repeatedly share the details of his life on a technology web board.

    So I'll ask "GO THE FUCK AWAY". Will I receive?


    Well, the first thing that you need to see is that Slashdot works for me as a community to bounce ideas off of. These ideas are either accepted fully by some, or denied fully by others. Rarely do I get any gray area in how people relate to what I have to say. Now, why would I share details on my life? Because Slashdot is heavily archived by Google, and I love to look over the years at how my opinions have changed, plus I can compare it to what other people said. My blogs don't get as much traffic as Slashdot does, so I have an excellent archive of how I have progressed over time, versus how technical/geek society has changed. When I first registered at slashdot, just saying "libertarian" was sure to get you moderated Troll. Now it is almost as sure to moderate you up. Tech society has changed, and I'd say for the better.

    So I will go away, but you have to take the steps to do so.

  27. Dems love to hurt themselves by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    While I believe that Gore was winnable, kerry never stood a chance. Dean did, according to polls of the time. Now, the polls show Obama will beat McCain handily, while Clinton has just an even chance (in fact, may actually lose). Yet, these dems vote for Clinton. If Obama wins, I hope that he realizes how close things are and pushes to change election laws that favor a 2 party system. We need to be multi-party system. It is the only way that we can prevent our nation from being hijacked by ppl W. or Clinton.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  28. Delegate Math by Gailin · · Score: 5, Informative
    This was shamelessly copied from this post:

    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/3/4/162042/3056/80/468751

    This assumes that Hillary somehow magically wins by 10% in every race. Which is NOT going to happen unless Barack gets caught with a dead girl or live boy.

    After today, there are 10 states left, plus Guam and Puerto Rico.

    Number of 3 delegate districts left: 1
    Number of 4 delegate districts left: 19 (including all 8 in Puerto Rico)
    Number of 5 delegate districts left: 21
    Number of 6 delegate districts left: 14
    Number of 7 delegate districts left: 10
    Number of 8 delegate districts left: 1
    Number of 9 delegate districts left: 3
    Number of 10 delegate districts left: 1 (Montana)

    Setting aside Guam with its 4 delegates, there are 11 delegate apportionments based on statewide popular vote totals.

    Wyoming - 5 statewide
    South Dakota - 6 statewide
    Montana - 6 statewide
    West Virginia - 10 statewide
    Mississippi - 11 statewide
    Kentucky - 17 statewide
    Oregon - 18 statewide
    Puerto Rico - 19 islandwide
    Indiana - 25 statewide
    North Carolina - 38 statewide
    Pennsylvania - 55 statewide

    In order to cross all thresholds except the initial break that give you a +2 delegate swing, you need to win by an extra 200/X%, where X = the number of total delegates at stake. Let's see how this works by easy example - West Virginia and its 10 statewide delegates. 200/10 = 20%. To go from 5-5 to 6-4 there you have to win by over 10% (55-45). But to get ANOTHER +2 you need to add 20% to your win and win by 30% (65-35).

    To work through one more example, Indiana and its 25. You start with someone winning 13-12. To get an additional +2 swing (ie, 14-11), you have to win by 200/25%, or 8% even. 54-46 + 1 vote is a 14-11 split. You can also calculate this way: 13.5/25 = .5400. 14.5/25 = .5800 (58-42 is a 16% win).

    So, let's look at if Clinton wins every statewide total by 10%:

    Wyoming +1
    South Dakota 0
    Montana 0
    West Virginia +1, giving her the +1 vote benefit of the doubt.
    Mississippi +1
    Kentucky +1
    Oregon +2
    Puerto Rico +1
    Indiana +3
    North Carolina +4
    Pennsylvania +5

    Total +19 delegates.

    Do you see how totally impossible it is, and how completely significant Obama's South Carolina and February blowouts were? Remember, Obama beat Clinton by 8% in Iowa (a huge win) and netted only 1 extra pledged delegate.

    Now, let's assume, in a very unsurgical way, that this 10% is exactly the margin in all the congressional districts.

    1 3-delegate district: +1
    19 4-delegate districts: 0
    21 5-delegate districts: +21
    14 6-delegate districts: 0
    10 7-delegate districts: +10
    1 8-delegate district: 0
    3 9-delegate districts: +3
    1 10-delegate district: +1, let's give her the 1 extra vote benefit of the doubt.

    Total +36 delegates

    Overall total +55 delegates.

    And it probably is +58, see below.

    Obama currently leads by 160 pledged delegates.
    --
    I wish there was a fscking blue pill
  29. Not by delegate count by Mark_in_Brazil · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The Obama campaign appears to be much better organized than the Clinton campaign. Clinton tried to run an "inevitability" campaign like Bush did in the Republican primaries in 2000. When that didn't work as well as expected for Clinton, it really looked like they weren't ready with any kind of backup plan. Also, Hillary Clinton is still following the strategy that allowed Bill Clinton to win the presidency twice: ignore huge parts of the country, take others for granted, and focus on a few "swing" states to get the minimum amount of votes to win. Obama's team appears to have understood the rules of the primaries and caucuses better than Clinton's, which is surprising, given how much Clinton plays up her experience as a Senator, an activist, and yes, as the wife of Bill Clinton. I can't imagine how they could not know how Texas's apportionment of delegates works, and yet they claim they didn't. While Clinton won the popular vote in three of four states (Rhode Island, Texas, and Ohio, but not Vermont), Rhode Island and Vermont basically canceled each other out (each was a blowout and both states have few delegates). Clinton won the popular vote in Texas and Ohio, but the final delegate count will be either a very small (single-digit) number of net delegates going to Clinton or even possibly Obama padding his three-digit lead by a few more delegates.
    Obama's campaign ran hard and organized even in the states where he was way ahead. The result was blowout victories, which makes a difference in the primaries, because the apportionment of delegates depends on the margin of victory. Clinton scored one blowout yesterday and was blown out in another state, so the net effect is probably about 1 net delegate for Clinton. In the bigger states, Clinton scored two narrow victories, and in Texas, the combined primary-caucus may end up giving Obama a net win in delegates.
    Clinton's campaign has tried to change the rules during the contest more than once, which is really lame. There's talk that the Clinton campaign will now sue over the nature of the Texas caucus-primary, but they had the same access to the rules as the Obama campaign did. They just seem not to have planned as well.
    Obama appears to be more of a party-builder, like Howard Dean and his "50 State Strategy." While moron pundits like Paul Begala derided paying party workers to "pick their noses" in places like Montana and Mississippi, Dean set up the structure not only for the Democrats' retaking both houses of Congress in the 2006 elections, but also for extending their majorities and making gains in the state legislatures nationwide. Obama seems to have embraced that strategy, and it would make a difference in places like Texas, where Rick Noriega could have a chance of unseating Senator Cornyn if the presidential candidate doesn't ignore the state, and at the very least the Democrats could force the Republicans to spend money to defend what previously would have been considered a very safe seat. Clinton's campaign, as recently as last week, when it thought she might lose in Texas, was saying that "Texas does not figure into the electoral calculus of a Democratic (Presidential) candidate." That is a ridiculously narrow view, and since so many of Hillary's advisors and consultants also worked for Bill, I wonder if the Clintons' philosophy is responsible for the fact that Bill Clinton managed to win the White House, but then the Democrats almost immediately lost control of both houses of Congress, setting the stage for the Bush presidency, when White House power was basically unchecked by a Congress all too willing to let Bush and Cheney do whatever they wanted. Including taking a surplus and making it into record deficits. Oh, and a multi-trillion dollar war that destabilized the region and created more terrorists by making bin Laden and his ilk look really smart as the US government acted just as al Qaeda and others said it would.

    Here's the thing: I'm pushing 40, and Bill Clinton was far and away the best president of

    --
    "It is nice to know that the computer understands the problem. But I would like to understand it too." --Eugene Wigner
  30. Re:You'd think... by DrXym · · Score: 3, Informative

    As an outsider, the Clinton administration looked successful so I'm not sure why anyone would hate on it. Certainly Clinton had his faults (e.g. the sex scandal) but he was smart, articulate, managed the country well, didn't start any major wars, was well respected internationally and left the country in better shape than he found it. The Bush administration on the other hand was and still is a total disaster.

  31. Re:crank crank crank by AmaDaden · · Score: 3, Interesting

    He was saying that RP could win NEXT election. He has a point too. Most people still don't know anything about RP and why he said the things he did.

  32. You give the media too much credit. by FriendlyPrimate · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The media, and the people, have very short attention spans. I seriously doubt that come November anyone is even going to remember the Obama/Clinton race. They'll all be focused on Obama/McCain at that point.

  33. I feel sorry for the winner in November by plopez · · Score: 2, Insightful

    McCain, Clinton, Obama. It doesn't matter. George W. is going to hand them a shit sandwich.

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  34. Re:Goddamn you Hillary by cizoozic · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Wow, and isn't that the problem with freedoms? You have to let other people have theirs, too.

  35. Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by BeeBeard · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I am a Texas resident who voted in both the primary and caucus, and so I naturally had a stake in closely following the primary results. At no time did Obama ever lead when the primary results came in, nor is he the leader in some ubiquitous Texas "popular vote." Hillary won that as well. Texas was a victory for Hillary in every sense of the word.

    We are still awaiting the returns on the caucus, but that only accounts for a mere 1/3rd of the delegates awarded to each candidate, and the early returns indicate that whatever meager advantage that Obama may have in caucus votes will be all but swallowed up by Hillary's more impressive win in the primary election. Really we're talking about hundreds of extra Obama caucus votes vs. Hillary's hundreds of thousands of extra primary votes.

    Now for some light editorializing: The reason we're still waiting on caucus results in many counties is because Texas had roughly double the expected turnout. The antiquated system we have in place requires that everyone in a precinct vote in the primary election before the caucus can be held. And the inability of many precincts to deal with the added influx of voters made it so that, in many cases, caucus voting could not start until 11 pm that evening.

    Obama will likely fare slightly better in the caucus in Texas, only because the core of the Democrat party--the baby boomers who constitute the majority of Hillary supporters--had families to get back to and jobs they had to get up for the next morning. Hillary supporters simply didn't have the ability to "two-step" all the way into the early morning hours, while it apparently is far easier for the young, first time voters who make up Obama's base to spend literally six hours of their time at their local middle school or fire station.

    If you think it's silly to have both a primary election followed by a caucus that runs into the late hours, then you've just joined the ranks of many Texans who think it's ridiculous as well. Not only is it hard for people to get a handle on the vote once / vote again thing, but it does tend to disenfranchise hard-working Democrats who can't be out all night caucusing. A 19 year-old UT student and Obama supporter who would just be out all night anyway? Welcome to the party. A 46 year-old mother of two and Hillary supporter who has to prepare for a shift working at the hospital? Congratulations, you effectively have no say in the caucus. So that's why there is a slight disconnect between the primary and caucus results.

    Since irrational Obama supporters apparently run the internets, I fully expect this post to be modded "Troll" or something, because it doesn't contain the requisite amount of Obama bias and instead offers a firsthand account of what went down in Texas last night, and posits a reasonable theory for the disparity between primary and caucus votes. How scandalous. Do your candidate of choice proud, and suppress any relatively objective post you see.

    1. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by BeeBeard · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Posting without the Karma bonus simply to explain to Captain Hastypost how he needs to brush up on the reading skills. Seriously, don't mind me:

      Congratulations you're making excuses for people who went to vote for the Texas caucus. No, I was making excuses for the people who COULD NOT vote in the Texas caucus, and were therefore disenfranchised. And was Texas Caucus one of the candidates? I don't remember seeing that person on the ballot.

      If the people that were going to vote for the primary caucus didn't expect a high turnout on such a close race I have little sympathy for them. Again, you demonstrate very little understanding of the situation. The job of manning the polling stations does not fall on the people who were going to vote in the primary caucus. It's not their "fault" that the polling locations were overwhelmed.

      * If you were die-hard supporters of Clinton you should have stayed. If you read the first sentence of my post, you'll notice that I identified myself as somebody who voted in the primary election and the caucus. That means I did stay, and that I did vote in the caucus. It's clear you have no idea what you're talking about.

      * If you were upset at the lateness of the cuacus why not have the time for the caucus change or the staffing of the caucus (One of the voting locations made news on CNN because of this Thank you so much for once again blaming the voters themselves for creating the problem (what with their "showing up to vote" and all), and then reaffirming that yes, it was in fact a problem because you saw a little blurb on CNN.

      Stand up and fight for your voting rights. We have no room for crybabies. Oh, my apologies. You're just a troll.
    2. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I personally was a ron paul supporter, tho I my current preferred vote would be obama->mccain->clinton. I am pretty sure that Clinton is *unelectable* against McCain short of him dying of old age before the election.

      A ton of republicans crossed over last night and voted for clinton on Rush Limbaugh's suggestion. They are all crowing about it on the Laura Ingram show this morning. And none of them will vote for clinton in the real election.

      It's a very cynical and effective move. It drains both campaigns of cash- keeps both candidates hammering at each other- and may even force a brokered convention (which I view as a good thing).

      I agree that working families have to go home- but i also say a lot of republicans didn't stick around for the democratic caucus and it is my opinion that the caucus's are closer to what the popular vote would be without Rush's brilliant, if twisted idea. Voting insincerely undercuts the entire process. In this case, many votes for Clinton were really votes against her and for McCain.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    3. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by Sciros · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Oh yeah, saying the Hillary supporters are hard-working adults and the Obama supporters are first-time-voter college students with plenty of time on their hands is REALLY OBJECTIVE.

      Troll.

      --
      I like basketball!!1!
    4. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Obama will likely fare slightly better in the caucus in Texas, only because the core of the Democrat party--the baby boomers who constitute the majority of Hillary supporters--had families to get back to and jobs they had to get up for the next morning. Hillary supporters simply didn't have the ability to "two-step" all the way into the early morning hours, while it apparently is far easier for the young, first time voters who make up Obama's base to spend literally six hours of their time at their local middle school or fire station.

      Yeah? Well the church my precinct's caucus was held in was packed to the freaking gills -- standing room only, they had to open up an annex which they also completely filled -- and it took over an hour after the sign-in began for everyone to sign the books for Obama. If you were Clinton supporter, you were done in about two minutes because there simply weren't many people in line in front of you.

      And despite your stereotype, these were by and large middle aged working-class adults with families. Many of them had brought their families with them so that they could caucus -- some even had infants in papooses strapped to their chests. You can say whatever crud you want about baby-boomers with families; the ones who cared, the ones who were passionate about their candidate, they made it to the caucus.

      Since irrational Obama supporters apparently run the internets, I fully expect this post to be modded "Troll" or something, because it doesn't contain the requisite amount of Obama bias and instead offers a firsthand account of what went down in Texas last night, and posits a reasonable theory for the disparity between primary and caucus votes. How scandalous. Do your candidate of choice proud, and suppress any relatively objective post you see.

      Of course, objectively made-up stereotypes. And here's a reasonable theory for the disparity between primary and caucus votes:

      Texas has an open primary. With the Republican nomination essentially decided, there was no point for a Republican to vote in their party's primary, meaning they were free to vote in the Democratic primary. A strategic vote for the candidate most likely to lose the general election is a way to strengthen their own candidate. However it wasn't worth going to the trouble to caucus just for the sake of a strategic vote. This is the supposed advantage of the caucus -- that it attracts only those who are truly passionate about their candidates. Nobody's going to crowd into a packed church and stand for hours as the heat rises from all the bodies just to cast a "strategic" vote. But as they finish up their shopping at Randals? Sure, why not sabotage the other party.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    5. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by SimplexO · · Score: 2, Informative

      The goal of the presidential primary process (right or wrong) is to obtain delegates for the national convention in Denver. The delegate results for the primary seem to be Clinton 65 Obama 61. That's a net of 4 for Clinton. Obama looks to win 21 of the 31 state districts (which is how the remaining 67 remaining delegates get allocated). I can't speak as to how the TX caucus processes works from here forward. I know it's complicated and not as straight forward as the 21/31 senate districts number I sited above. But I would guess that Obama is going to net more than 4 delegates from the caucuses, and actually come out of Texas a delegate winner even though he lost the popular vote (see Nevada for details).

      Also, don't think that only Texans understand how silly and convoluted the process is. Everyone outside of Texas also thinks "y'all are doing it wrong." However, it's the process that the state democratic party came up with, and that's the way you do it down there. Complaining about the disenfranchisement of voters because of a system that was created before the race began is a bad argument. You should complain about the incompetence of the plan on its own merits. However, it's the system Texas Democrats decided upon and that's the way it goes. (I have similar feelings about Michigan and Florida.) Lets all learn from our mistakes and get it right next time.

    6. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by dougmc · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Obama will likely fare slightly better in the caucus in Texas, only because the core of the Democrat party--the baby boomers who constitute the majority of Hillary supporters--had families to get back to and jobs they had to get up for the next morning.
      Actually, at the caucus I went to, the Clinton mob was 80% women (yes, I counted) and mostly middle aged to elderly, with only a few younger people. The Obama mob was twice as big, roughly 50/50 men/women, with a much larger range in ages (they weren't all young, but the average age was certainly less.) And many people brought their kids.


      The people who showed up for the Clinton caucus were mostly old enough that they probably didn't have young children at home. The Obama supporters had a lot of people who were the right age to have kids at home (including myself.)

      If the problem is that the Clinton supporters all had families to take care of, it's funny that the Obama supporters did too -- and yet they made it out anyways. I saw _zero_ children in the Clinton camp, but perhaps 15 in the Obama camp.

      To be fair, I live in Travis county, which is traditionally an island of blue in a state of red, and Travis county voted for Obama vs Clinton by a large margin. But if I recall correctly, the number of delegates per area is based on the voter turnout in the last election -- and the urban areas (and Travis especially) voted in very large numbers, so they'll get more delegates. And the urban areas are generally supporting Obama.

      Ultimately, it looks like even if Clinton wins the popular vote in Texas (well, not if -- she has), it appears that she will not get more delegates. Which is pretty weird if you ask me, but it's the way it is. So, both Clinton and Obama will declare victory in Texas ...

    7. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by Dan667 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This very thoughtful analysis misses one important inescapable fact. Clinton at most will get one more delegate from Texas. If they were competing for the popular vote both candidates would be running their campaigns differently. This one fact is a disaster for Clinton.

    8. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by tyrione · · Score: 2, Informative

      Check the exit polls. The majority of voters were post-college years. It doesn't matter. She won the majority of votes in every pay grade.

    9. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by ArcherB · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I also voted twice in this primary. The poster you keep disagreeing with was right on. My wife and I showed up at 7:00pm. We were the first group to go through and some of the first in our group and we didn't get out of there until 10:45pm.

      We are young, employed, new parents, and my wife goes to school. We had a sick child at home (stuffy nose, nothing major... thanx for your concern). We would not have been able to attend had it not been for my mother-in-law being in town to watch her.

      Many people there had their kids with them. Someone brought up a motion that those with kids should be allowed to go first. It was denied.

      There were not enough sheets for everyone to fill out their votes on. (ballots, if you will, but this is not a private vote. Everyone filled out the same sheets, 12 per page).

      There was a lot of screeching from the two sides (Clinton and Obama) claiming the other may have an advantage. "There are too many Obama supporters running this. We need a Clinton supporter to observe..." and so on.

      I kept thinking to myself. "These people can not run a local, one party caucus in a small town. What makes them think they can run the country?"

      Who runs the primary caucus for the democrats? The local Democratic parties.

      Something could have been done about the situation. Oh and that blurb was headlines on CNN Not once it started. That's when the bickering began.

      Oh, my apologies. You're just a troll. Re-read your post. No, he was right. You were being a troll.

      Besides, I'm sorry if you disapprove us having children, jobs, and going to school to better ourselves. We bust our asses to make ends meet and make sure we have a table, are able to put food on it and have a roof to cover it all. It was a pain in the ass for us to be there so late and disarray of the whole thing made it worse. So don't give me, the OP, or anyone else any shit if they had more important things to do than to vote in the primary. Not all of us can simply tell our mom we are going to vote and close the door to the basement. Some of us have obligations that take precedence over politics.
      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    10. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by ncc74656 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A ton of republicans crossed over last night and voted for clinton on Rush Limbaugh's suggestion. They are all crowing about it on the Laura Ingram show this morning. And none of them will vote for clinton in the real election.

      It's a very cynical and effective move. It drains both campaigns of cash- keeps both candidates hammering at each other- and may even force a brokered convention (which I view as a good thing).

      Serves the Democrats right for crossing over and voting for McCain in Republican primaries. They have no right to complain after they stuck us with one of our weakest possible candidates (the only way it could've been worse would've been if that idiot Ron Paul ended up winning).

      In the long term, maybe this clusterfrak of an election will demonstrate the folly of open primaries. What's wrong with the two parties getting to choose their candidates without interference from outsiders?

      --
      20 January 2017: the End of an Error.
    11. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by dr_dank · · Score: 3, Funny

      I also voted twice in this primary.

      Diebold strikes again!

      --
      Where does the school board find them and why do they keep sending them to ME?
    12. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by bladesjester · · Score: 3, Informative

      In Ohio, Hillary "trounced" Obama in the rural areas which are predominately white and conservative

      Southern Ohio is a hotbed of racist sentiment. It's really rather infuriating at times.

      I could also go on about how foolish it is for the general populace in this area to be so conservative because it only hurts them economically and in other ways, but there's really no point...

      --
      Everything I need to know I learned by killing smart people and eating their brains.
    13. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by Rakarra · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Claiming that Hillary's wins last night were the result of insincere Republican voting is the height of spin

      It's not that far-fetched. Certainly some of her support came from Republicans. Rush Limbaugh is Hillary Clinton's most visible campaign supporter at the moment. He thinks Republicans will get blasted if they try to hit Obama, so they'll let Hillary fight it out with him instead. Though really, they'd deserve a blasting if they pulled another Swift Boat maneuver.

      "RUSH: No, the strategy is... Yes. The strategy is to continue the chaos in this party. Look, there's a reason for this. Our side isn't going to do this. Obama needs to be bloodied up. Look, half the country already hates Hillary. That's good. But nobody hates Obama yet. Hillary is going to be the one to have to bloody him up politically because our side isn't going to do it. Mark my words. It's about winning, folks!" Rush Limbaugh's theory.

    14. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Serves the Democrats right for crossing over and voting for McCain in Republican primaries. They have no right to complain after they stuck us with one of our weakest possible candidates (the only way it could've been worse would've been if that idiot Ron Paul ended up winning).

      Democrats were told to vote for Mitt Romney to drag out the Republican race and hurt the Republican party. Democrats who voted for McCain, like me, did so because we genuinely thought he was the Republican who would make the best president (of those running -- I kinda like Lincoln Chafee and Olympia Snowe).

      Now, I had been on the fence about whether to vote for McCain in the Republican primary or Miller (if he looked viable) or Obama in the Democratic primary. But then there really wasn't a Democratic primary in Michigan, so that was easy.

      What's wrong with the two parties getting to choose their candidates without interference from outsiders?
      It's not fair to independents. It's also not fair to people trying to knock out lunatics like George W. Bush, Rudy Guliani or Hillary Clinton (I don't mind her but I realize many do) at every possible stage. I'll be voting Democratic in November, but this year was the second time I've voted for McCain in for president. In 2000, I might even have voted for him in the general election.

    15. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by Jardine · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Really we're talking about hundreds of extra Obama caucus votes vs. Hillary's hundreds of thousands of extra primary votes.

      Really? Hundreds of thousands? According to cnn.com right now, Clinton has 1,455,959 votes and Obama has 1,356,330. That's just slightly under 100,000 and a far cry from "hundreds of thousands."

    16. Re:Texas voter here: This is simply untrue. by n8n8baby · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I am a moderate Libertarian that crossed over and registered Republican to vote for that idiot Ron Paul. I like Huckabee, but Ron Paul is really the only Republican I would consider voting for. As a non-property-owner, Iraq (or our foreign relations and economy in general) is by far the most important issue to me, and he is the only one of the party that wants to get rid of this financial and moral sinkhole as quickly as possible. Yeah, he's got a few kooky-sounding theories, but he is running for president, not dictator; and for the record, the more you read about his platform, the more it starts to make weird sense.

      On the other hand, Clinton is just as bad as most of the Republicans regarding Iraq; therefore, I have to get down with Obama. He seems to be our best choice for withdrawing from Iraq and rebuilding our friendships with countries around the world.

  36. Re:No, it NEEDED to be asked by RingDev · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I hear child molesters and dog abusers are big fans of Tim Russert. They watch his show religiously and purchase products from his advertisers. There for, every guest who come on his show has the responsibility to ask him for his side of the story, in a similar fashion:

    "Tim, we all know that a lot of people who like kicking dogs and throwing puppies off cliffs are big fans of yours. We also know that you are widely respected in the child porn industry. What do you have to say about that?"

    That's not a hard question, that's a loaded question. A hard question would be:

    "Our economic advisers believe that your economic policy will fail for reasons X, Y, and Z. Explain how your plan will work to avoid X, Y, and Z."

    But watching a man defend an economic policy is no where near as fun as watching him defend himself from accusations of being a terrorist, a Black Panther, Muslim, corrupt, Jewish, antisemitic, etc... If you want some tough questions, get some English interviewers over here to badger the candidates on the issues. If you want BS and fluff, stay tuned to American TV for it's 'Entertainment Value'.

    -Rick

    --
    "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
  37. Re:Meanwhile... by electroniceric · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When people learn that the government should keep its claws out of money altogether, we'll stop getting these idiotic solutions that are only proposed in order to stir up support from voters, but end up having devastating effects that last well beyond the candidate's political career.

    Ah yes, your rights to have everything you want. I take it you won't drive on any bridges, flush your toilet into any sewers, or rely on any police to keep you safe, because the government shouldn't be "clawing away" your money. And definitely you wouldn't want to put that money into a bank insured by the FDIC, or take a mortgage backed by the same federal guarantees (explicit and implicit), or participate in a stock market where liars and thieves are kept (somewhat) at bay by the SEC. Nor do you want any assurance that your medicines are not contaminated, your foodstuffs safe, and your children's teachers are not psychopaths.

    The "market will solve everything if you only you set it free" meme was new (and woefully simplistic) in 1971. Now it's tired, overused and foolishly simplistic. Your whole lifestyle is made possible by a profound set of government-run or backed institutions. If they're broken, the answer is to fix them and work for fair, well-regulated markers, not scrap everything we've learned and go back to the 1860s (as appealing as them sometimes seems from within a fluorescent-lit cube). I'm all for leaner and more effective government (as, in fact, are almost all of us who think government has a key role in society), but the nonsense about greedy government taking all your tax dollars sounds increasingly petulant when bridges are falling down, tainted food and drugs are being allowed into our stores, and people are losing their homes in droves, and the top marginal tax rate is the lowest its been in decades.

    Government regulation of healthcare is indeed a gigantic mess, and the Blues are a great example of that mess. And yes, government intervention in a market can indeed make a problem worse. But it takes two to tango, so let's recall Gingrich-led cuts to Medicare in the 90s, and permanent resistance to Medicaid's existence (because after all, that's just more poor - read "lazy" - people clawing your government-backed money away) and general conservative opposition to every government program that doesn't involve fat contracts for their buddies don't really to much to promote fair, orderly and efficient markets either.

    Sure, comparison shopping for healthcare would improve the system and make the market for healthcare more efficient, if there were choices real humans could afford. Have you ever priced non-employer sponsored "insurance" (the quotes are because health coverage is much more a bundled service agreement that it is insurance against unlikely adverse events)? The prospect of paying $10,000-$15,000 per year sounds like great set of choices, huh? I've learned a fair bit about the dysfunction of the medical reimbursement system in my current job, and I'm not sure a government-run healthcare program is all peaches and cream, primarily because the current incarnations sidestep the hard questions we need to debate about how much care should really cost and who should pay for what. There is a cost control element to healthcare that's deeply difficult to answer once your parent gets cancer or your sibling gets a debilitating disease. But that's a debate about how to structure things well within government and the private sector, not a worn-out screed about drowning government in the bathtub.
  38. Re:Meanwhile... by damn_registrars · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If you are not paying it through insurance, you are paying it through taxes. The only difference is that one of those is forced upon you and violates your fundamental rights.
    First, an argument can be made that insurance is already forced upon you. Most post-secondary institutions in this country require all students and employees to carry insurance. Many private companies also require insurance as a condition of employment.

    Even more so, what fundamental right is being violated in universal health care? The right to die? The conservatives have attacked that many times already (see the Terri Schaivo case, for example).

    Why do you feel the need to violate the rights of your neighbors and fellow citizens by telling them that, if they want to live in this country, they have to support your chosen cause.
    Well, somebody made the invasion of Iraq their chosen cause. I never supported it. I didn't support it before it was done, and I certainly don't support it now. But I don't get to chose to withhold the portion of my tax dollars that go to the war because I don't support it.

    If I can't withhold the part of my tax dollars that are used to kill people, why do you get to withhold the part of your tax dollars that could be used to heal people?
    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  39. Wanted: Liberal party and Conservative party by JonTurner · · Score: 4, Insightful

    >>This country desperately needs a REAL party for liberals, libertarians, and progressives.

    It could use a party for real conservatives, too since this latest batch of Republicans is a spend-happy, big-government social-engineering disgrace. But even that would be a short-term solution as the real problem is that our Federal government is no longer bound by the limits of the Constitution, specifically the 10th Amendment. The Federals are supposed to just run the Navy, print the money, and mostly stay the hell out of our lives. Instead, well, we have our current situation of Bread & Circus.

    10th Amendment to the Constitution reads: "The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people." IOW, if the Constitution doesn't explicitly grant an authority, the Federals can't do it. What a quaint notion.

    1. Re:Wanted: Liberal party and Conservative party by Kjella · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Instead, well, we have our current situation of Bread & Circus. You assume things would be better if the governing regions were smaller. I can tell you that we as a nation is smaller than an average US state, but that there's plenty bread and circus. Local politics? More bread and circus. Local governance and more extremes go hand in hand, you don't need to be a statistician to figure out that the US has a bible belt, urban states, rural states and much more. A lot of the time I'm happy that the local outliers are held back by the greater majority.

      I think this is really a very interesting topic when it comes to democracy, surely it's rule by the people but what people? Who has the right to decide the regions and the level something is decided at, who has the authority to change it? One the one extreme you have the globalist idea, if 5 billion on the other side of the earth decide something the other 3 billion should obey. On the other extreme I can wall off this room and call myself a sovereign nation that has declared independence. Reality is somewhere inbetween.

      Some things could in theory be decided in the UN, some things are decided in the EU, some things are decided on the national level, some things on the regional level, some things on the county level, some things on the city level, some things down to the city district. Does "we, the people" in the county have less authority than "we, the people" in the nation? Formally it does because the way it is organized, but if they came in and said we'll run everything centrally they'd have a revolution on their hands. And if they claimed that we can't democraticly break free because the grand majority don't want us to, is that democracy or was democracy just crushed?

      In short it's not implict that a majority means it's a majority in an authority you recognize, even if it's democratic. The trouble is that sometimes you want a local law, sometimes you want a universal law. I for one am not at all sure I'd like laws and regulations passed by my city council any better than by the parliament...
      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  40. Re:Damn by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 3, Insightful

    And even when they do win (as they did in 1992, 1996, and 2006) they immediately fracture, cave-in, sell-out, and generally squander any potential for any real improvement thanks to their laughably weak party discipline.

    So tell me, what did the strong party discipline of the Republicans get us? Let me list you a couple: tax cuts at the same time at the same time as deficit spending, the Iraq War, & nominations for high office (including the supreme court) whose only qualification is loyalty to the Republican party or Bush. What you're calling weak party discipline is actually a rational debate about what the best policy is, in this case, who the best candidate would be. This is governing in the interest in the public because policy decisions are discussed in the open rather than ruling by fiat which is what the Republicans do, where the real decisions are made behind closed doors without public input and the result is presented fait accompli. Open and transparent government is not a bad thing!!
    --
    Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
  41. Re:weird election by CowTipperGore · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The Republican leadership doesn't seem to want McCain but the rank and file have forced him upon them. I guess they're going to suck it up and start supporting him. I'm not sure who you think are the Republican leadership and rank and file, but McCain was anointed by those running the GOP and they've had serious trouble convincing the the rank and file who supported Bush. McCain has never been popular with the social conservatives or the Evangelical Christians. Without the support of the leadership, he didn't stand a chance. Without the sudden (orchestrated) disappearances from the race by the only serious contenders (Giuliani and Romney), McCain was in for a long and ugly fight. He's where he is because of the deals he made with the Republican leadership after his 2000 thrashing.

    If she does manage to gain the nomination through seating banned delegates and other legalistic chicanery, I do believe this will split the party. It will be seen as a deliberate thwarting of the will of the people. "I hear what you are saying, I understand what you want, and the answer is 'fuck you, we're doing it my way.'" Actually, I'm increasingly convinced that what we're seeing now is a split in the party. I think we're witnessing a coup against the neocons who had taken control. I found it very strange when they gave Dean control of the DNC to abandon his 2004 run. This allowed the preselected loser and his neocon running mate to get the nod but also put an outspoken progressive in a powerful position in the party. I believe Hillary and her campaign greatly underestimated the power of those behind this rift and are now fighting for all they are worth to regain their footing. Hillary will not bow out gracefully because this contest is much bigger than who gets to lose to McCain - it is for control of the Democrat Party for the immediate future.
  42. Re:Goddamn you Hillary by teknopurge · · Score: 2, Informative

    You sound like one of those fruits that cries "I like candidate A but he won't win, and I don't want to waste my vote so I'm voting for the cool and trendy candidate B."

    What.

    The.

    Fuck.

    People should vote for who's policies they agree with REGARDLESS of who they think will win. The same holds true for the current scuffle in the democratic party. How dare you bitch and moan about the party being "fractured". If it's registered democrats at the convention [fist]fighting for their beliefs more power to them - this is what America is about, having the right to punch-out your fellow democrat at the convention because you don't agree with their candidate's policies.

    Regards,

  43. Media exposure could be bad. by Valdrax · · Score: 5, Insightful

    With the Republican nomination cynched by McCain, the only thing that will be in the news will be Obama/Clinton. Come November, people will be saying, "McCain? Who is that?" I actually volunteered to assist a candidate in an election in 2006 that followed an acrimonious primary, and I guarantee you that this is in fact *good* for McCain. With the two candidates beginning to bring out the knives against each other (especially in the form of Clinton's reprehensible scare ads), they are both turning off their base and giving ammunition to the other side. Clinton's tactics are straight out of Republican campaign history, and she's already framing her arguments in terms of "Obama can't win against McCain on issues of national security." (i.e. She's running the Republican's campaign for them in case Obama wins, ensuring a Pyrrhic victory if she wins.)

    I saw the effects of this in 2006 when the two candidates did their absolute best to turn voters away from the other candidate. The end result after the primary was a lot of people who were so burned by the attack ads, that they refused to aid the winning candidate against the opposition with campaign donations. (Many also refused to vote in the upcoming election, but most said that they'd hold their nose and vote for our candidate but that they intended to donate money to other members of the party in other elections.)

    The net result: A landslide victory for the opposition as the candidate who won the primary was never able to reenergize the party base and unable to match the opposition's funding afterwards. Our candidate tried to run on issues and on the corruption of our opponent, and the opposition ran on personality and won hands down after the sour note left by the primary.

    If voters are left saying, "Who's McCain?" then that's not necessarily a good thing if all they can remember about Clinton or Obama is months of attack ads. Brand recognition isn't a good thing when the product's tainted.
    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
  44. Fraud - AGAIN! by swordgeek · · Score: 5, Interesting

    So after hearing about Clinton winning Texas and Ohio (and Rhode Island, for that matter), the second thing I read about the crazy pre-election election that seems so popular in the US right now was this article:
    http://www.click2houston.com/news/15492166/detail.html

    Seems that someone "helped" seniors register to vote, and then filed absentee ballots in their names.

    Thing is, every election, every vote, every ballot that happens in the US seems to be tainted by fraud of some sort. Identity theft, ballot stuffing, turning away voters, rigged machines, middle-of-the-night changes to the law, you name it--it's all going on, and seems to be going on all the time. The worst part is that it hardly ever raises an eyebrow from the voting public or the media. In this example, there is solid evidence of election fraud, and it's getting a few column-inches on a local website. Why isn't this on the front page of the Houston Chronicle?

    Don't you people even CARE about the failure of your democracy anymore?

    --

    "People who do stupid things with hazardous materials often die." -- Jim Davidson on alt.folklore.urban
  45. Re:You'd think... by DigitalDame2 · · Score: 2, Informative

    All I know is, everyone kept saying that Clinton wasn't going to win Ohio or Texas, and sure enough, she did! I just think that the democratic party makes it so confusing to actually win a state in terms of delegates. A Republican who wins a state automatically wins those delegates. Not so for Democrats. Even if you win the state, you still have to win delegates. In Texas' case, Clinton wins 2/3 of the delegates since she won the state, but there is still 1/3 of delegates up for grabs in the caucus. And we already know that Clinton is trailing behind Obama with delegates. All I know is, go CLINTON!!!!!

  46. Re:In the end, does it reallyl make a difference? by Dr.+Eggman · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Thank goodness we have a congress to check and balance the president! I think I'll take the Socialist President and make him live with the Fascist Congress. In choosing the President, no matter who wins we lose. But when we can balance the two forces to nearly cancel each other out; winning both sides practically nothing. And when neither one wins; the American public wins.

    --
    Demented But Determined.
  47. Re:No, it NEEDED to be asked by moeinvt · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "No one ever grilled Ron Paul on the support he gets from far right wing racist groups on air . . ."

    No one ever gave Ron Paul much air time to begin with, and we all know it.

    This whole "guilt by association" thing is one of the most ridiculously flawed arguments in political discourse, whether we're talking about specific issues, parties, or individuals. The frequency with which this propaganda technique is used however highlights the unfortunate fact that it must be an effective one.

    1. Person/Group A is BAD
    2. Person/Group A supports P
    3. Therefor P must also be BAD

    It's utterly and completely absurd.

    1. Hitler was evil
    2. Hitler was a vegetarian
    3. Therefore vegetarianism(vegeterians) must be evil.

    Right? :-)

    It's an emotional BS argument that has no place in an intelligent debate. In fact, the Nazis and Hitler are used for this purpose so often that someone coined a term "Reductio ad Hitlerum" (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reductio_ad_Hitlerum) to define the phenomenon.

    We definitely need a new term in the lexicon of U.S. politics to represent the frequent attempts to associate people and organizations with racists/racism because of such ridiculously tenuous connections.

  48. Re:Meanwhile... by AgentPaper · · Score: 5, Insightful
    -1, Completely False.

    A system of healthcare exactly like what you described existed in the developed world from antiquity up until 1930 or so. There was no insurance, no regulation, no licensure, no anything; healthcare was exactly like any other trade, and those who would provide healthcare competed solely on the basis of price and advertising. The result was nothing short of miserable. Those who could afford it had the best medical and surgical treatment they could buy, although that generally wasn't much (no training requirements, remember?) Those who couldn't relied on folk remedies (what we now call "alternative medicine") and their own physiological reserves, and if they became seriously ill or injured, too bad. Oh, and the average lifespan was about 35 years give or take, and the sick were left to rot on the public streets - or, if they were very, very lucky, they were taken in by charitable groups and largely treated with benign neglect. I sincerely hope that you can figure out why we abandoned that model of healthcare.

    In public health, it has been proven hundreds of times that when you have large numbers of sick people in circulation, the general health of the population tends to decline, and the diseases they suffer tend to increase in severity. In short, sick people make the people around them sick as well. If nothing is done about the sick (i.e. they're left to die), the population's health rapidly becomes so severely compromised that any suitable crisis - a plague, a famine, a drought, whatever - can kill off the entire population in one shot. Luckily, though, the reverse is also true: when a population is maintained at a certain level of health, the illnesses suffered by each individual tend to be less severe than they would be otherwise, and the lifespan, working capacity and general health of that population tends to increase. Thus, from a pure cost-benefit standpoint, you'd actually be smarter to provide a certain, basic level of healthcare to each individual out of the common treasury, since it costs far, far less to treat the minor illnesses than the severe illnesses, and it also results in massive net gains in productivity when everyone is healthy enough to work. Everything else, of course, the individual can pay for, but providing basic care - an annual physical, immunizations, emergency care when necessary, etc - ought to be a no-brainer.

    Our current system is far from perfect - anyone will tell you that. However, throwing it out the window for some mythical "free-market" solution is just as foolish and ultimately even more harmful than single-payer care could hope to be. It is true that people in good health, who can be expected not to incur any particularly egregious health expenditures in their lifetimes, would pay less for their care at first. However, people in poor health, who not only cost more to care for but generally aren't physically capable of working hard enough or long enough to earn the required amount of money to pay for their healthcare and all their other expenses, will be in even worse straits. Meanwhile, thanks to the masses of sick people in circulation, now all of a sudden the healthy people are getting sick more often and more severely, which throws your putative cost savings right out the window. You're right back to the Middle Ages - either the sick would be rotting on the streets, or you'd be asking physicians, nurses and allied health providers to shoulder those patients' costs through charity care. How is that fair to me and my colleagues, for us to subsidize a tax break for you? Are we not entitled to the fruits of our labors?

    I find it amusing how you and your ilk tout the wonders of the free market, without ever realizing that what you propose is neither free nor market-driven. You're just demanding that someone else pay the bill for you, whether through taxes or charity. Funny how that's so often true - the people who yell the loudest about free markets are also the ones who demand the biggest handouts, breaks and subsidies from said markets.

    I'll thank you to take your trolling elsewhere, and good day to you, sir.

    (Full disclosure: The author is a healthcare professional.)

    --
    First rule of trauma: Bleeding always stops.
  49. Re:Damn by Nimey · · Score: 3, Informative

    You're using the conservative-talking-head definition of "liberal", son.

    IMO it's because libertarians are in general socially liberal, and so is the average Democrat voter, while your average Republican is socially conservative/authoritarian. Libertarians know that neither large party is going to curtail spending, so it's a case of holding one's nose and going with... yes... the lesser of two evils.

    --
    Hail Eris, full of mischief...

    E pluribus sanguinem
  50. Re:You'd think... by SoupGuru · · Score: 2, Informative

    You must be listening to different news outlets than I. I heard Clinton was expected to win Ohio and it was going to be close in Texas but she was expected to eke out a win there too. The question was if she could win by a large enough margin to make an impact in the delegate count. It doesn't appear that she has. In fact, she was leading by 25 points a few weeks ago in Ohio so it appears she's lost ground...

    --
    What doesn't kill you only delays the inevitable
  51. Re:NO! by dpilot · · Score: 2, Funny

    Red Kang or Blue Kang?

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  52. Are you insane or just inane? by BlackCobra43 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Unles she wins it by a 99-to-1 margin, no, she won't get the nomination. In fact, unless she gets 72-25 wins in every single primary left, she won`t get the nomination. That is, assuming Obama's super-delegates aren't bought out by Clintonites.

    --
    I never spellcheck and I freely admit it. Save your karma for more worthwhile "lol erorrs" replies
  53. Re:These polls mean nothing by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Insightful

    His father, was muslim, and at age 2, his father left the mom. When that happened, she took obama back to Christianity. As to the execution thing, give me a break. If that is the case, are you going to push the arkan items in the bible? As in, are you going to sell slaves? Ties to "MANY" dirty politicians in Chicago? By definition, Chicago has nothing but dirty politicians. The question is has be done anything dirty? I mean, if you want to look at dirty politics, then simply look at Clinton and McCain who have loads of issues with connections. And exactly what organization has be supported that was supporting terrorism?

    It is obvious that a good chunk of your statement is pure FUD and not a shred of truth. The question is, what about the rest. In particular, what real dirt do you have? Keep in mind, that ppl like me can be changed. But I want to see proof. There is far too much FUD and BS all over (and /. has loads of it).

    If Clinton has proof of these things, and not just BS, she absolutely should bring it up. Better her, than later.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  54. Bull by Prien715 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I was standing in the 500 strong mob when the caucuses were supposed to open in Houston, but hadn't opened yet. They didn't open for 5 hours. The one thing I do know is the ratio didn't exactly change much, since from the beginning we were separated into groups depending on whom we were voting for. While waiting for the caucus to begin in the small public library, I asked a black woman in her 30's about her 7 year old pigtailed child sleeping in her lap: "She learning about democracy?"

    "Elsewhere in the world, people walk for a day and stand in line for hours just to have a chance to vote. We're just spoiled. No one ever said change was easy" she replied.

    Our ethnically and age diverse precinct (559) went 19-2 for Obama and the other precinct meeting in our library (620) went 25-7 Obama. The judge who was supposed to officiate the caucus is still MIA.

    Off to work for a fortune 500....

    --
    -- Political fascism requires a Fuhrer.
  55. Re:You'd think... by will_die · · Score: 2, Informative

    Clinton order the US military to attack over 15 different countries over 5 of them with no other attempts to solve the problem. So far Bush has attack around 4, 2 where weeksor years of negotiating was done, the other 2 have been at the request of the legal government. The US is at this time in a war stance with over 5 of countries that Clinton order attacked.
    Based on leaving the country in better shape I guess you mean economy, the US still has a better economy under Bush then at Clinton and Clinton had the dot com bubble. Clinton had nothing to do with the dot com bubble and Bush does not have anything to do the house market. The thing economy wise the US was better at would be the exchange rate, the dot com bubble was nice.
    Will give you managing the country, he basically signed everything the conservative congress send to him. Now we have a president who is just pushing liberal ideas and getting them signed by a liberal congress.
    He is a better speaker but what is there to indicate he was smarter, well except for him accepting the conservative laws pushed by Congress?

  56. Re:crank crank crank by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If you run for president for a year and most people still don't know anything about you, that pretty much proves that you have absolutely no chance of winning.

    --
    In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
  57. Re:crank crank crank by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 2

    I think if you are a white male and have lived to age 75, your life expectancy is about another 11 years. Does that mean Ron Paul would have about a 50% chance of not dieing in office?

    Well, let's say Ron Paul is elected four years from now at age 77. If his life expectancy is 86, he'll have on average 9 years left. Assuming a standard distribution, that means he has a 50% chance of dying after turning 86 and a 50% chance of dying before turning 86. Assuming even that he serves two terms, he would leave office at age 85, meaning he would have a less than 50% chance of dying in office. How much less we can't determine without knowing the standard deviation--and since we don't even know that age-of-death meets a standard distribution we probably can't even say as much as we have.

    --
    In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
  58. Re:crank crank crank by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 4, Funny

    John McCain has suffered multiple plane crashes, imprisonment in a Vietnamese POW camp, and several bouts of malignant cancer. My theory is, he's immoral.

    --
    In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
  59. Barack Osama by Myria · · Score: 3, Funny

    when the Republicans crank up the "great wurlitzer" (AKA the "noise machine") and start attacking "Barack Hussein Osama... er... Obama"

    If they get to change one letter of Obama's last name in order to make a comparison, I get to change one letter of Huckabee's.
    --
    "Screw Sun, cross-platform will never work. Let's move on and steal the Java language." - Visual J++ Product Manager
  60. Obama won Texas by globaljustin · · Score: 3, Informative

    I don't need a "firsthand account" from anyone to know what happened in the Texas primary last night...Obama won

    Hillary won the popular vote, yes, but as we all know from the 2000 election, the popular vote doesn't matter in the end. IT'S ALL ABOUT THE DELEGATES, and Obama has won the majority of Texas delegates, when the caucus is figured into the equation.

    Let me repeat, Obama won the majority of delegates from Texas, therefore, in all the ways that matter, HE WON TEXAS.

    The newsmedia gave Hillary the 'victory' checkmark for Texas b/c it makes a better 'story' and allows them to tie everything up in a nice bow before it gets too late into the evening. I don't want to hear any more bitching about a pro-Obama bias from the media.

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
  61. Freudian slip? by interactive_civilian · · Score: 4, Interesting
    or dig at Republicans?

    My theory is, he's immoral.
    Well, in my cynical view, he's a politician, so of course he's immoral. ;p
    --
    "Empathise with stupidity, and you're halfway to thinking like an idiot." - Iain M. Banks
  62. Re:The First Gentleman by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yet, if she took office, I have a deep-seated fear we would go the way of France.


    You mean...

    ... good food, nice wine and loadsa nukes?

    ... or a rightwing religious nutjob president married to a model?

    ... or a secretary of state who threatens Iran with war if they don't stop trying to get the beurme?

    Quelle horreur.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  63. Re:No, it NEEDED to be asked by RingDev · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah, but doing so is more easily refuted and is obviously a loaded question.

    Now, if you give me a bit of time, and the kind of budgets these candidates are working with, I assure you I can find someone who has been convicted of morally horrendous crimes who is a fan of Russert. Heck, if I could track down two or three that have seen his show a few times, I could go so far as to claim "a large number of child molesters like your show!", with some proper staging and demographics work, I could probably even come up with a cool graphic pie chart that shows 68.5% of all child porn photographers polled like his show.

    -Rick

    --
    "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
  64. Re:Meanwhile... by doktor-hladnjak · · Score: 3, Informative

    Here's some stats from 2003 about per capita spending on health care by nation. If anything, the gap has only widened in those past five years too.

  65. Roe v Wade by Sloppy · · Score: 2

    Ron wants to get rid of Roe vs. Wade and leave it up to the individual states as to whether to ban abortion. Nifty idea, from a "States rights" standpoint, except of course for those women who end up in states where it becomes illegal.

    Those women would sure as hell have more say in setting an abortion policy at the state legislative level or amendment ratification level, than they did in having SCOTUS set the policy.

    Seriously, I don't get it. Just what's so damn wrong with democracy? If you let people vote on this, sure, there will be some losers on each side (pro-lifers will see some "babies getting murdered", and pro-choicers will see some "women's bodies being treated like state property"), but you get the same result when you set a policy at the federal level, except that you have less representation in setting that policy, and less recourse if you end up being one of the losers. The only thing that could possibly be more fair and just than having states set abortion policy, would be having counties or cities set it.

    Roe v Wade, regardless of it having a reasonably just (IMHO) conclusion, was an incredibly weak decision that didn't really rest on any precedents or written laws, and even worse, set no real precedents. They pulled the decision out of thin air, and didn't make any serious findings or arguments that can be cited in later civil liberties court cases. If SCOTUS hadn't done that, we might have a "people own their own bodies" amendment by now. We won the battle and lost the war.

    --
    As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
  66. Incorrect... by rsborg · · Score: 2, Insightful
    They have done some good things since 2006, like the Ethics Reform bill which Obama sponsored (and is the strongest ethics reform since Watergate).

    However, they haven't stepped up to the plate when it comes to Impeachment, and for that they will suffer.

    --
    Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
  67. Re:crank crank crank by AmaDaden · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well I guess you better get McCain on the phone. We don't want the poor man to think he has a chance.

  68. Re:No, it NEEDED to be asked by moosesocks · · Score: 2, Interesting

    A series of absurdly racist newsletters were printed under Ron Paul's name.

    Ron Paul knew about it for many years, and did absolutely nothing to stop it.

    You could hardly call that "guilt by association."

    --
    -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
  69. McCain's Lingering FEC Problem by Trauma_Hound1 · · Score: 2

    http://www.politicallore.com/presidential-candidates/john-mccain/not-so-fast-mccains-lingering-fec-problem/174

    McCain won a clean sweep of the four March 4th Republican states, but in order to arrive at the RNC convention with a fighting chance against the eventual Democratic nominee John McCain needs to be able to withdraw from the Federal matching funds program.

    If he is not released from the Federal funding program McCain is subject to spending limits that would lead to his campaign being outspent by Democrats at a ratio of 10 to 1.

    The road to leaving the program is going to be a long and difficult one for McCain, despite what his lawyers would like the public to believe.

    McCain was declared eligible for the matching funds program last summer, and he kept the door open to receiving funds all the way through Fall and up until just before Super Tuesday when he notified the FEC that he wished to withdraw from the program.

    The FEC chairman David Mason then responded to McCain's request with a letter, which McCain's campaign received on February 19th , which stated that he can not officially leave the federal program until the FEC officially rules on his case and releases him.

    Now the case itself (which hinges on the terms of a loan McCain received from a Florida bank and whether or not eventual federal funds were used by McCain as collateral thus trapping him in the federal program) is not a certainty although McCain's lawyers are declaring that the loan is not an issue.

    Some legal experts say that the McCain team is on shaky legal ground. The problem is that no candidate has been this manipulative of the system before, so there is no firm legal precedent. McCain's legal team has simply stated that federal matching funds are constitutional because they are voluntary; implying it should also be voluntary to leave the program, but Chairman Mason disagrees.

    Even assuming that McCain would be able to get the FEC board to rule in his favor, the biggest problem he is having right now is getting the case heard and ruled upon at all.

    This is because the FEC is made up of a board of six seats, all of which are nominated by the President and approved by the Senate. Currently only two seats are filled. President Bush has nominated four, but the Senate is in gridlock about how to vote on the nominees. The Republican minority wants all four nominees to be approved or disapproved as a single group, either all in or all out. And the Democratic leadership wants individual hearings on each nominee. The reason for this is that the Senate Democrats point to one nominee in particular, Hans von Spakovsky, who they say has a questionable ethical record.

    So right now, while the Senate is in gridlock, McCain is making the decision to charge forward like there is no problem; this strategy could work out several ways. One scenario would eventually see at least 4 of the 6 FEC board seats filled, allowing for a quorum that rules in McCain's favor releasing McCain from federal spending limits. In a different scenario the FEC board is not seated for several more weeks or even months, and by the time they rule McCain has already exceeded federal spending limits, and if they rule against him, he would have broken the law. The catch is that McCain's lawyers can argue until they are blue in the face about whether or not he should be allowed out of the federal funding program based on the terms of the loan, but it is an extremely clear cut rule that McCain has to wait to go over the spending limit until the FEC holds a quorum to officially release him with their legal decision. If the FEC board rules against him after he has already exceeded federal spending limits he would be facing criminal charges and a large fine that would be a huge black eye for his candidacy.

    Regardless of what the final outcome of the case is, one thing is certain, McCain has gone from the straight talk express to being bunkered down with a team of lawyers to fight his way out of a shady deal that is justifiably being labeled by Democrats as unethical.

    --
    Don't Vote for Norm Dicks! http://www.nodicks2008.com Another nutless dirtbag that voted for the FISA bill!
  70. "Has no background?" Totally wrong. by namespan · · Score: 2, Informative

    Well thats the thing. To me Obama feels like a Manchurian candidate. He has no background... He was pretty much out of the blue. Its almost if he could just finish taking the oath for office and then pull off his mask and its Jeb Bush for all we know.

    This is simply wrong, and I'm almost to the point where I think anybody caught repeating it ought to be completely stripped of their right to vote for the rest of their lives, if not actually institutionalized for drooling idiocy.

    YOU may not know anything about Obama's background, and that's okay, I can forgive that. You may DISLIKE aspects of his recorded experience, rhetoric, and positions, and that's fine as well.

    But to repeat the idea that he "has no background" with 10 years of elected office -- not to mention time as a community organizer in Chicago, time living abroad, degree in Political Science from Columbia stint teaching constitutional law at the University of Chicago, among other things -- that's the kind of corrosive disinformation that may pass for conventional wisdom but actually saps the ability of the country to make useful decisions about candidates for elected offices.

    There is plenty of meat to Obama for anyone genuinely interested in learning anything about him as a candidate to bite into.

    --
    Libertarianism is rich wolves and poor sheep playing gambler's ruin for dinner.
  71. Re:Meanwhile... by Hatta · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Again, if the surveillance were reasonable, FISA would allow it. In fact, if the surveillance were unreasonable, but performed in good faith, FISA would retroactively grant a warrant. The only possible reason to avoid the FISA court is to do unreasonable searches that you know are not reasonable. Since Bush is evading FISA, therefore he must be doing unreasonable searches and he knows it.

    So if you're calling your cousin in dubai who's a known terrorist, FISA would allow that. That's not the issue here. Hell, if you were to call your cousin in Canada who once visited a mosque as part of an interfaith program, that wouldn't be reasonable but if done in good faith FISA would sign off on it.

    The problem comes when the government is knowingly spying on lawyers, reporters, doctors, and peace activists with absolutely no reason to believe they are doing anything wrong. That would not be allowed under FISA, and that's what's been lost under Bush.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  72. electoral-vote.com by doom · · Score: 2, Informative
    Let me tell you one you know already: if you're interested in following American elections you should be reading electoral-vote, Andrew Tanenbaum's site. One guy, working on his own is doing a better job of election reporting than the entire US media.

    There was a Time magazine poll less than a month ago that showed that Obama could beat McCain, but with Hillary against McCain it would be a tight race. Apparently independant voters like Obama, but not Hillary -- it seems unlikely to me that Hillary can manage any backroom deals that can conceal this fact: Obama is more electable, so the PLEOs (aka superdelegates) will back Obama.

    Note that Rush Limbaugh suggested to his listeners that they should cross-over and vote for Hillary, just to mess up the Democratic party.

    These trememdous "wins" and "loses" you keep hearing about are usually just symbolic: the assigned delegates are breaking nearly evenly between the two democratic candidates, with on average a slight preference for Obama. Neither candidate is going to reach the cut-off that puts the election in the bag: it's going to be a brokered primary (all praise the highly democratic Democratic party).

  73. Hey mod you're scum by keineobachtubersie · · Score: 2

    What kind of loser mods every comment in the thread down (including TWO which weren't troll/overrated)?

    FUCK YOU mod, you can't shut me up and you can't prove me wrong, so modding me down is how your cowardly punk ass gets your passive aggressive jollies.

    I don't know why I'm surprised, that's what happens when you give people like you a little power.

    Mod me down, new accounts are free.

  74. Re:Meanwhile... by vtechpilot · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The US spends more than twice as much per capita on health care than the UK. Thats because in the US we pay the medical staff (Doctors, Nurses, Orderlies, Janitors, etc) _AND_ the insurance salesmen, claims adjusters, case management workers, collections departments, the CEOs of insurance companies, advertising for hard-ons-in-a-jar....

    I would be interested to know just how much of each dollar spent goes to actual health care, and how much goes to all those other things.
    --
    Slashdot is an anagram for Has Dolts, and I am Dolt number 468543
  75. Re:more liberals than republicans by sentientbrendan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    >I wouldn't go holding up FDR as a shining example of liberal success --
    >his constant fiddling and abysmal monetary policy ended up stretching
    >the great depression out for a decade.

    This is nonsense propaganda that is not backed up by historical fact. Do you even know what "economic meddling" FDR did?

    The FDIC, the SEC, social security. All of these are core institutions in modern america, not "economic meddling." Why do you think the depression occured anyway? This wasn't some ordinary "economic cycle." The economy was *broken*, *no one* was employed, you couldn't retrieve your money from the bank, and people were starving to death en mass. Iraq has a better economy than we had.

    FDR instituted the necessary reforms to *have* the kind of economy we have now, including *insuring your money in the bank* so that if the banks screw up (are you aware of the current sub prime loan crisis?) the banking industry still *exists* afterwards.

    There a number of failed FDR programs that were repealed, which he can be rightly criticized for, but he basically *built* america's modern economy, which was *shit* prior to it. We weren't exactly an economic powerhouse *before* the depression, and without his reforms we couldn't be where we are today.

    Next you're going to tell me that the Fed is the greatest evil to our money supply, like those ignorant ron paul wack jobs are always spouting off about.

  76. British Journalism by cappadocius · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you want some tough questions, get some English interviewers over here to badger the candidates on the issues.

    It is always interesting to listen to English journalists, even Canadian journalists seem to be more confrontational than Americans. And sometimes this is really satisfying, and sometimes it isn't. It gets a bit frustrating when they ask things a candidate can't reasonably explain in a short period of time, and it is even more frustrating when the journalist ends up grilling the person primarily as a result of some cultural thing that the journalist doesn't get. But over all, I think we could do with a British interviewer or two to keep the politicians on their toes.

    --

    omnia tua castra sunt nobis