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A Hidden Loop In the Carbon Cycle Discovered

Googlesaysmysiteisdangerousanditisn't! writes "A recent article in Science says that researchers in China and the US have found massive carbon uptake in the world's deserts. The effects of this are huge. 35% of the Earth's land surface is desert, and the uptake equates to 5.2 billion tons of carbon sequestered each year. This is more than half of the carbon released by humans. In these 'dry oceans,' the grains of sand allow the carbon dioxide to enter and react with alkaline soil to become carbonates. Another scientist suspects that biotic desert crusts, alkaline soils, and increased precipitation may be driving the uptake."

310 comments

  1. Obviously by mnemocynic · · Score: 5, Funny

    The solution is obviously to cut down more trees and make more deserts, right?

    1. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only if trees are less efficient than desert to sequester carbon.

    2. Re:Obviously by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 4, Informative

      The solution is obviously to cut down more trees and make more deserts, right?

      Sure, as long as you don't skimp on the sandworms.

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    3. Re:Obviously by jo42 · · Score: 1

      cut down more trees and make more deserts

      And what is going to product the oxygen [that we need to exist]?

    4. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      algea on the oceans

      isn't like 2/3 of oxygen *not* produced by trees, but other photosynthetic plants?

    5. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Sure, as long as you don't skimp on the sandworms.

      Only on slashdot could this be modded Informative.

    6. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      marked Informative? lol

    7. Re:Obviously by stonecypher · · Score: 1

      The solution is obviously to cut down more trees and make more deserts, right?

      Or to bomb New Jersey into an even bigger wasteland than it already is. France and Quebec too, if you need extra surface area.

      --
      StoneCypher is Full of BS
    8. Re:Obviously by DirkGently · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'll bite. The Sandworms exhaled oxygen. Obviously we need CO2 exchanged for O2.

      "If you walk without rhythm, you won't attract the worm."

      --

      I keep trying to pick fights, but I can't shake this Excellent karma.

    9. Re:Obviously by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 1

      Nah, just plow under Las Vegas. There is lots of sand hidden under pavement and homes, casinos, and CO2 generating cars. Plus it would free up water from the Colorado river. Win-win!

      --
      It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
    10. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I, for one, welcome our new Shai Hulud overlords.

    11. Re:Obviously by sanosuke001 · · Score: 3, Funny

      How the hell is this 'Informative?'

      --
      -SaNo
    12. Re:Obviously by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 1

      How the hell is this 'Informative?'

      The same way your post is informative - not at all. Welcome to /. moderation ;)

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    13. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You've been brainwashed by Bene Gesserits. I'm moving back to Caladan.

    14. Re:Obviously by omegakidd · · Score: 0

      Have you ever ridden a master?

  2. PDF by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How about a PDF warning on that link, editors?

    1. Re:PDF by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It is called the status bar. It shows you what a link is pointing to.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    2. Re:PDF by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      OSX/Safari/Preview doesn't have problems with PDFs. Maybe you should stop using Windows and Adobe Acrobat Reader.

    3. Re:PDF by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Flamebait because it doesn't point out that Linux is fine as well? Or....flamebait because the mods are suffering with Windows+Reader, and hate having their inadequacies pointed out?

    4. Re:PDF by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and Firefox and Opera with the appropriate plugin don't have problems either. Maybe you remove your lips from Jobs's arse for a moment.

    5. Re:PDF by zobier · · Score: 1

      You can set Firefox to prompt you to save a PDF instead of opening it with a plugin.
      Flash I will sometimes tolerate, but I won't let Acrobat Reader any where near my browser.

      Tools > Options > Applications > Adobe Acrobat Document > Always ask

      --
      Me lost me cookie at the disco.
    6. Re:PDF by NemosomeN · · Score: 0

      I'm writing this from a Mac. PDFs piss me off. Continue.

      --
      I hate grammar Nazi's.
    7. Re:PDF by Amorymeltzer · · Score: 0

      Sorry AC, but it's 2008 - what the fuck kind of brower are you using that can't handle a PDF?

      --
      I live in constant fear of the Coming of the Red Spiders.
    8. Re:PDF by kayditty · · Score: 1

      Not if the link redirects or the server sends a MIME type other than what you'd expect for a PDF extension. But, then again, it would only matter if you had some sort of PDF reading browser plug-in that sucked all the resources out of your system. Any other situation would be a 5 second inconvenience. I don't see the problem.

    9. Re:PDF by cizoozic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How about a PDF warning on that link, editors?

      Such as this?

      "WARNING: Attempting to browse the internet without a PDF viewer of some sort may limit your ability to display some content"

      Or this?

      "WARNING: PDF format has been known to be a general compromise between the proprietary nature of .DOC and the lackadaisical implementations of HTML specifications."

      Just to play devil's advocate, I'd ask what platforms currently don't have not only official PDF readers but alternatives as well?

    10. Re:PDF by ozphx · · Score: 1

      Ditto with Foxit reader and IE...

      Perhaps you don't need to be using a 50 meg bloatware application with a horrendous amount of plugins to be able to display PDFs...

      --
      3laws: No freebies, no backsies, GTFO.
    11. Re:PDF by sumdumass · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not everyone is surfing the interweb on their dual core pentium with 3 gigs of memory. That is where the problem is.

      I'm not using it at the moment, but my palm running linux sucks when I hit a large PDF. My 486 laptop that I use to interface with the car computer which also allows me to surf the internet isn't very happy with them either. Of course with that, I could also just VNC to the car computer but then it would reguire me to install a desktop and I'm still not sure it would be "stable".

      I'm sure there are people with a lot difference configs that aren't quite as old as mine that have issues with large PDFs that cold just as well be served by an HTML page or Pages.

      But back on topic, the 35% seems to be more then the amount we are shooting for reductions in with tools like Kyoto and such. Now I know that this isn't a new source that would replace Kyoto but it does show that either the Current models are wrong in some way (perhaps insignificantly), we have another unaccounted for source of Co2 and GHGs, or that the Co2 isn't the source of the heat or the problem. Or it could be a combination of those or something I haven't thought about. Either way, we are owed an explaination on this and how the models are accurate without this knowledge seeing how the KEY factors in global warming is how Humans are producing all this Co2 that will kill the world even though the so called fix only removes about .005 of the problem gas.

    12. Re:PDF by TheRaven64 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      What are you using to render PDFs? My Nokia 770 with a 200MHz ARM chip and 64MB of RAM handles them fine.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    13. Re:PDF by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      The browser on my Wii?

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    14. Re:PDF by sumdumass · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      On the 486, nothing. It just opens a page in some binary format that locks the computer up until it's done or the something crashes. Of course I'm not sure if you realize that a 486 is generally 75MHz or less. This one happens to jump in at around 45 or 50 with it being overclocked and in turbo mode.

      The palm, I'm not sure about the name of the program. Whatever came stock with the Linux on my palm. I bought it at a yard sale and really know little more then whatever is running is a variant on Debian. I has an older version of Mozilla on it and works quite well. I has always done anything I needed. But it will display PDFs, it takes forever and a day with a reboot usually following shortly afterwards.

    15. Re:PDF by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unmoderated comments should be ineligible for overrated mods.

    16. Re:PDF by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I used to run Acrobat Reader (3.something) on a 16MHz 386, and it was often faster than rendering nontrivial HTML on the same machine (PDF rendering would cache the font shapes and didn't need to run a layout algorithm since the source file contained the layout information). I never owned a 486 - I upgraded the 386 to a 200MHz Pentium clone - but if a 386 could do it then a 486 ought to be able to. Maybe you should try finding a 16-bit version of Acrobat Reader?

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    17. Re:PDF by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Well, despite that acrobat reader 3 will not open half of the newer PFDs, the bigger point is that if we had a warning, there would be no need to install any version of adobe because we simply wouldn't "follow the link".

      Using a PDF for a webpage is more or less stupid and lazy. But if I were to be around idiots like that all the time, I would have taken care of PDF support a long time ago. The fact is that the web pages are presented in a language using HTML or some variant of it. If your server parse the PDFs and presents the web pages, fine, my browser doesn't know the different. If it can't, then becuase not everyone has a P3, give us a warning.

      BTW, I'm limited to drive space less then 1 gig on this 486. It simply won't take hard drives that big. And the one gig is more or less compressed to boot. Currently, I have 640 megs in it and the drive isn't a universal one (being a laptop from 1994 or so) which means that I'm sort of stuck with what fits in it. Being so, I haven't checked my disk space in a while but with the code to work the music or check the vitals on the car, it is already pretty tight on space.

      Anyways, a simply warning (PDF) in the link for a non standard presentation on a pretty standard web would make a lot of difference. This warning could be as simple as putting pdf in brackets in the link somewhere or it would be after the links or anything that would let a person reading the story know that the link is to a PDF. It doesn't have to be extravagant or anything like that.

    18. Re:PDF by kayditty · · Score: 0

      Um, the point was kind of that you must have installed some sort of ridiculous software in the first place, to warrant bitching about simply providing a link. Normally, opening external software requires user intervention, lacking any kind of exploit. So I'm going to guess that you probably have the Acrobat browser plug-in installed, which would be your own fault. I don't have hardly any browser plug-ins installed and wouldn't want to, least of all that beast. Save to disk, open in Fox-It Reader or SumatraPDF and it's done (or GhostScript, if you like). I can't say whether or not they support all of the leatest and greatest PDF features, since I know next to nothing about PDF, but I haven't had any problems so far. As another poster suggested, you can always revert back to older Acrobat versions if you prefer, but they do seem to be unable to open a lot of recent PDFs.

  3. So, deserts are good? by PC+and+Sony+Fanboy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Does this mean that all the salinization that has been going due to irrigation because america grows FRUIT in the desert is actually a good thing?

    Does this mean that scientists now think that we don't have enough deserts?

    I'm all for global warming (it is cold up here in canada), but I'm pretty sure we've got enough desolate landspace...

    1. Re:So, deserts are good? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe this is why deserts have been expanding these years? We are feeding them too much?

    2. Re:So, deserts are good? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 5, Funny

      If it gets too hot in the USA, guess where we're going to move to. That's right, and we're bringing our army too. Don't be wishing for global warming until you've thought the whole thing through.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    3. Re:So, deserts are good? by n+dot+l · · Score: 3, Funny

      Usually this would be where someone makes a sarcastic comment about you liberating the polar bears...but if you could just kill Celine first then I swear we really would welcome you as liberators.

    4. Re:So, deserts are good? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's oil in our now temperate arctic territories. However, the Inuit don't know what a WMD is so you're going to have to come up with a novel reason to invade....

      Oh, I'm sorry... too many properly spelled, multi-syllable words?

    5. Re:So, deserts are good? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      I know many more words than that. I'm a sexual deviant, not an idiot.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    6. Re:So, deserts are good? by Eli+Gottlieb · · Score: 1

      OH FUCK NO. Half my damn people are over in that region. You lot can't move in, you'd ruin the neighborhood. It would go from "full of terrorist warmonger religious fanatics with unemployment issues" to "full of bitter underemployed IT and service workers without the guts for terrorism but who still, somehow, manage to support some of the greatest warmongering in the world".

    7. Re:So, deserts are good? by Eli+Gottlieb · · Score: 1

      EDIT: Reading in the context of an article on deserts, I thought you meant the USA would move to Iraq, what with the army already being there. Fuck Canada. They can keep their freezing-cold continental climates.

    8. Re:So, deserts are good? by NotmyNick · · Score: 1

      Usually this would be where someone makes a sarcastic comment about you liberating the polar bears...but if you could just kill Celine first then I swear we really would welcome you as liberators.

      Well, see, this is where you should be kissing our butts, because we've already taken her off your hands and stuffed her into one of our desert hell-holes. http://www.lasvegas-nv.com/celine-dion.htm

      --
      Notmysig
    9. Re:So, deserts are good? by n+dot+l · · Score: 3, Funny

      ...because we've already taken her off your hands and stuffed her into one of our desert hell-holes.

      Holy shit. Deserts sequester Carbon and awful musicians?! Excuse me, the local bands in my city suck. I'm off to chop down a few trees...

    10. Re:So, deserts are good? by TheCastro · · Score: 1

      Actually, global warming is a wash for the United States. When you look at where our country is you can see most places will be better off. Global warming causes more rain so the great plains, and areas of desert like Colorado and Wyoming will be better off.

      In the north we will be able to grow more plants longer so Montana can become a powerhouse of food production, and then Maryland can grow oranges.

      Alaska will be the only state to worry since their permafrost wont be so permanent anymore.

      And Canada, yes it too will be much better off. Lots of other locations in the world will be screwed over.

      As you can see, global warming is really a conspiracy by the white man to ruin everywhere they don't control and make their land more valuable.

    11. Re:So, deserts are good? by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      Rationalizations. Global warming wouldn't cause more rain in the Great Plains. It would probably increase desertification, which looks like what is happening in that region and Georgia now.

      The point is, "Are things so climacticly bad in the US (1980-90), that any change would be an improvement?" I'd argue no.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    12. Re:So, deserts are good? by Dolohov · · Score: 1

      It's not good or bad, just part of the equation.

      It's a little like the discovery of an additional taste, umami (present in seaweed, tomatoes, parmesan cheese, etc) -- it helps you understand a few things you didn't before, and provides a few more options you didn't know you had, but that doesn't mean that you want to overload on it. (Unless you're one of these crappy bistro chains that asks if you was parmesan on freaking everything) So no, I doubt anyone is thinking we don't have enough deserts, but I suspect more than a few people are suddenly glad they're there.

    13. Re:So, deserts are good? by karbyn-aceous · · Score: 0

      Maybe you should send your army first??
      Clean up the riffraff, secure a source of energy, *then* you can move in.

    14. Re:So, deserts are good? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      s/multi-syllable/multisyllabic/

      FTFY. HAND.

  4. so...the MVP is... by MoFoQ · · Score: 2, Funny

    so the MVP is not Kobe...but Gobi?
    (or the sahara if u'r in africa)

    1. Re:so...the MVP is... by Alsee · · Score: 1, Funny

      Im in ur africa eating ur CO2

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
  5. Create more deserts? by KnowledgeEngine · · Score: 1

    So if I am reading this right, we could reduce global warming by creating more deserts around the world?
    Now that just doesn't sound right at all.

    1. Re:Create more deserts? by perlchild · · Score: 3, Insightful

      How about we say the deserts allow the earth's thermal system to reach a balance? We have more deserts, which sequester more carbon, which makes us cooler, which sequesters less carbon, which makes us hotter, which makes more deserts.

      We shouldn't worry about global warming, we should worry if we can survive global warming...

    2. Re:Create more deserts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only that but the higher albedo of desert over green forest means that more light is reflected away as light before becoming heat. That could balance some o' them glaciers we're losing.

      The real problem with global warming is all that energy the Sun showers down on us. Some think it's been getting cooler but that's sheer speculation.

    3. Re:Create more deserts? by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      No, it means that global warming isn't the disaster the proponents would have us believe.

      I'll take it with a grain of salt, of course, this is slashdot. But I did take 'an inconvenient truth' with some skepticism too. ;-)

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    4. Re:Create more deserts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      No, it means that global warming isn't the disaster the proponents would have us believe.

      What? Why? Deserts haven't suddenly started doing this now that we've found out, it's been happening the whole time and yet climate change is still happening. If anything this just highlights how far beyond the Earth's capacity to handle our greenhouse gas emissions we've already gone, and continuing on in anything like our current rate will result in far worse problems than previously believed.

    5. Re:Create more deserts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We shouldn't worry about global warming, we should worry if we can survive global warming...

      Why; is the 0.5 degree of warming bothering you?

    6. Re:Create more deserts? by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "No, it means that global warming isn't the disaster the proponents would have us believe."

      You need to think that through a little deeper, nothing in this discovery changes existing observations of the upward trend in GHG concentrations, nor does it change the observed temprature trends, nor suddenly refreeze the Artic, reverse the melting of glaciers, fill the dams of SW Australia, restore the oceans ph balance, etc, etc.

      There is nothing wrong with being skeptical but be aware that skepticisim is a skill, not an instinct.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    7. Re:Create more deserts? by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      No it doesn't. But it does show that there is MUCH we don't know about the issue.

      Also I've heard no hard evidence - unless you count a consensus of scientists as evidence - of the scenarios being predicted by mostly people with a vested interest in spending billions and billions in order to DO something about it.

      I guess skepticism comes as an instinct to me, but that looks like a great read, I'll be sure to pick it up, thanks. :)

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    8. Re:Create more deserts? by Urkki · · Score: 1

      Alternatively, you could argue that if we stop spewing out CO2 so fast, then the Earth does have mechanisms to reduce CO2 faster than we thought. So strict CO2 controls could actually *reverse* the climate change and put greenhouse gas levels into *decline*, and not just give us more time to adapt our society by delaying the inevitable.

      By this logic, opponents of global warming can no longer say that reducing CO2 doesn't really do anything, because now our actions really could mean the difference between major climate change happening or not happening.

      I'm not saying it's like this, I'm just saying that those who want nothing to be done about climate change should be careful with their arguments... ;-)

    9. Re:Create more deserts? by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yea, or by an alternate, but equally possible line of thinking: maybe CO2 isn't the only factor, since much more of it gets absorbed than we though in the first place? Maybe we should look harder for the other pieces and stop just wasting $$$ on computer weather models that predict oh-so-politically-useful disaster? ;-)

      The point I am making is that the proponents of doing something about global warming NOW and at ANY COST do not KNOW what is going to happen. They can't, they have no hard evidence, no comprehensive theory on it, just a 'consensus that CO2 is the cause of global warming'. Last I checked consensus doesn't make something hard science, evidence does.

      And I'm not saying nothing is to be done, we just need to be careful not to hop into a big trillion dollar bandwagon with Al Gore and the UN just to look dumb and swindled afterwards. I'm just taking Obi-wan's advice, that politicians cannot be trusted. Or bureaucrats, in the UN case. :-)

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    10. Re:Create more deserts? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      Doesn't it? 'Mother nature' is always in for balance... so when it gets too hot, deserts will expand and eventualy an ice age will come. It's not like it didn't happen before...

      --
      Here be signatures
    11. Re:Create more deserts? by pallmall1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There is nothing wrong with being skeptical...

      Unless you are skeptical of global warming. Then you will be compared to Holocaust deniers and threatened with losing your academic funding and credentials.

      --
      3 things about computers: they're alive, they're self-aware, and they hate your guts.
    12. Re:Create more deserts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      scenarios being predicted by mostly people with a vested interest in spending billions and billion

      But the people in power have A LOT more vested interests, like oil companies and the like, to do nothing.

    13. Re:Create more deserts? by cnettel · · Score: 2, Informative

      More of it is absorbed than we thought, but we still have those pretty graphs showing the increase that has happened so far. Those are, you know, made from actual measurements. Like, you know, the absorption spectrum of CO2. The effect of CO2 alone is easy, while figuring out the complete set of feedbacks is hard.

    14. Re:Create more deserts? by cliffski · · Score: 1

      there is much we don't know about cancer and aids, but if doctors suspect you have either, and suspect they have some drugs that might stop it, do you tell them "thanks but no thanks"?

      --
      DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
    15. Re:Create more deserts? by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      We don't know everything about cancer or AIDS, true. We know much, but not enough to totally cure it. But the treatments we do have, had empirical, scientific testing and have been proved to work. That's an important distinction that breaks your metaphor for me.

      But to play with it; if he _suspects_ I have either, he's not a competent doctor that did not do his job properly, and I'll take to another doctor where I'll spend another thousand dollars in consultation and testing to be sure before I spew out the two million dollar cancer or AIDS treatment based on the first doctor's suspicion.

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    16. Re:Create more deserts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you try to create an analogy with global warming, i'll give you a problem with your analogy: currently, we are injecting our 'patient'(the earth) with a lot of things(CO2, heavy metals, PBT's,...) we don't know the effect of, so we are giving the patient a disease we don't know we have a cure for, and trying to cut our emissions means stopping injecting the stuff into the patient. So when you're saying that global warming is a disease? No, global warming could be a symptom, not a disease. The disease is us creating a lot of poisons.

    17. Re:Create more deserts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      doing nothing = stopping ALL emissions. what you mean by doing nothing = continue producing a lot of chemicals, which could, or could not disrupt the balance.

    18. Re:Create more deserts? by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Informative

      "But it does show that there is MUCH we don't know about the issue."

      I agree but recognise that the same can be said about any area of scientific enquiry. Science is more than a seemingly contradictory pile of factoids, it's a way of thinking that is never 100% certain about anything, and can never prove anything to anyone. But if it's not the best model of the Universe that we have then may God strike me down before I hit submit.

      "unless you count a consensus of scientists as evidence"

      A scientific opinion is not evidence, at best it is an "expert witness statement". However consensus is an intergral part of the "republic of science", scientific consensus is implied by the term "scientists say", eg: "Scientists say the Earth orbits the Sun". Have a google and find out what the consensus on GW actualy says and then we can discuss.

      Vested interests cut both ways, IMHO the track record of science is much more impressive than the track record of politics and industry. Here are a couple of blogs to practice the art of skepticisim on. The first is run by a bunch of climate scientists who contributed to the IPCC, it's founder is M.Mann the guy who came up with the much maligned "hockey stick", the second is from nature.com. Other excellent sites include NASA, NOAA, WMO, MET, CSIRO and countless other (not so excellent) sites from national scientific and meterological institutions across the globe.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    19. Re:Create more deserts? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      As I said in my reply to the OP, vested interests cut both ways, IMHO the track record of science is much more impressive than the track record of politics and industry.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    20. Re:Create more deserts? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Well said. Estimates of various forcings are represented in this pretty graph. My guess is this discoverey will change the estimated forcing due to land use, but not so much that it falls outside the existing error bars.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    21. Re:Create more deserts? by Tony · · Score: 1

      As I said in my reply to the OP, vested interests cut both ways, IMHO the track record of science is much more impressive than the track record of politics and industry.

      Yeah. It's all fun and games until the science gets confused with politics and industry. The scientific method is good and all, but it's so easy to spread disinformation with the goal of influencing public perception, and thereby guiding public funding of scientific research.

      Is there nothing that politicians and corporations can't fuck up?

      --
      Microsoft is to software what Budweiser is to beer.
    22. Re:Create more deserts? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "thereby guiding public funding of scientific research"

      Exactly, I find the bit about changing NASA's mission statement the most telling example in the UCS link. Having said that I'm sure you can come up with equally telling examples from a different perspective.

      "Is there nothing that politicians and corporations can't fuck up?"

      All I can say is that I agree with the quotes "war is a failure of politics" and "all wars are resource wars". The Monkeysphere is both a reasonable and humourous explaination for all the random ass-headed cruelty of the world.

      "The scientific method is good and all"

      To paraphrase Sagan, "Science is mankind's candle in the dark".

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    23. Re:Create more deserts? by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 2, Funny

      may God strike me down before I hit submit.

      Damn it! Can't I guy wake up and have a cup of coffee before having to go to work? Screw it, I'll just get the Flying Spaghetti Monster to do it for me...

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    24. Re:Create more deserts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If there is something wrong with being skeptical in the sciences, then how exactly did Einstein's ideas ever replace Newton's; and how exactly was funding found to test out various alternative ideas for the causes of global warming, such as increased solar radiation, the "city effect", and the effects of clouds?

      If you are skeptical that global warming is happening at all, then, yeah, you are going to be regarded somewhat on par with the people who think the "flat Earth hypothesis" is a legitimate model for the shape of the Earth. That reaction is justified because the evidence is *really* clear. Beyond any possibility of error? No. But you've got to make as strong a case to the contrary, and that's become increasingly hard because the evidence continues to mount that it really is happening. I mean, what's it going to take? Melting of the whole Arctic Ocean rather than substantial amounts of it so far? Then will people accept it?

      If you are skeptical that humans are the cause of that trend, well, there's healthy scientific debate about the issue even if most scientists think that's the cause. I see plenty of papers with criticisms of the current interpretation and alternative models being tested all the time in the scientific literature. Am I imagining things?

      Are you suggesting that scientists shouldn't be skeptical of the critics' suggestions too? Skepticism cuts both ways, and nobody will lose their funding over legitimatescientific criticisms. Unfortunately the number of critics of global warming who clearly fall into the "crank" category, because they continue to push bogus evidence and arguments, is disappointingly high.

      You're confusing the reaction of scientists to bogus criticisms with their reaction to legitimate ones, and you're listening to the lame excuses and whining of the critics for the problem. "Oh, I can't get any funding." "Oh, my ideas aren't receiving attention." Real scientists just roll up their arms and get to work collecting evidence to test their alternative idea. Nobody said attacking the current ideas was easy, or that you wouldn't be held to a high standard if you did. That's the way the process works. People didn't ditch Newton the moment Einstein proposed his crazy ideas either. They heavily criticised his suggestions and tested them out. The same thing is happening with many of the ideas suggested by critics of global warming ... but those ideas haven't really panned out. That's not the fault of other scientists who have given those alternatives consideration, although it is an easy excuse for critics to cite -- it's "them", not "us".

      I'm open-minded to the possibility humans aren't responsible for global warming, or even that global warming isn't happening as clearly as it seems to be. But I've got to be convinced, and none of the contrary ideas have done that yet, and a lot of what I've read is just desperate and flimsy arguments by people with political or economic reasons to wish global warming weren't happening.

      I've got news for you: even if humans have nothing to do with it there are a number of excellent reasons to decrease fossil fuel consumption, the most obvious being that the recently higher prices for oil are merely a taste of what it will be like as supplies dwindle. There are good, independent reasons to reduce fossil fuel consumption, so we should get on with it regardless of what the global warming skeptics claim.

    25. Re:Create more deserts? by AndersOSU · · Score: 1

      Any idea where the "all wars are resource wars" quote comes from?

    26. Re:Create more deserts? by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 2, Informative

      Its just a shame there are so many positive feedback systems compared to this one negative feedback.
      as temperature rises:
      +methane trapped in ice is released
      +co2 trapped in oceans is released
      +methane trapped under oceans is released
      +more water vapour in the air
      +ice-caps reflect back less heat
      -deserts absorb more carbon

      --
      IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
    27. Re:Create more deserts? by rocker_wannabe · · Score: 1

      You are missing the point. If we are doing something that hurts the environment then we need to stop it before it's too late. Since we won't know if it's too late until it's ACTUALLY too late I'd rather err on the side of safety. I can live with looking foolish because I tried to live and encourage a sustainable lifestyle but found out I could have easily kept the status quo for another 100 years. Nobody, nobody sane that is, is going to push environmentalism over food, shelter and clothing so the question is what are you willing to give up to ensure that the next generation isn't forced to clean up our mistakes? Global warming is just one issue in a whole panoply of environmental issues that are affecting us NOW.

      You're right when you say that we don't KNOW what is going to happen. Just like a lot of smokers didn't KNOW that they were going to get lung cancer from smoking. Sometimes you just have to go on gut instinct: "Maybe sticking a burning object in my mouth and inhaling isn't a good idea?". My gut is telling me that we will pay a heavy price if we keep polluting the way we have been. What's your gut telling you!

      --
      "Meaningless!, Meaningless!" says the Teacher. "Utterly meaningless!"
    28. Re:Create more deserts? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Yes, me. :)

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    29. Re:Create more deserts? by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      More water vapor hopefully means more clouds, and clouds reflect back sunlight, too.

      Rising water levels in the oceans means more water to dissolve the CO2 (although the temperature of the water is important, too).

      There are multiple negative feedback loops. I'm not saying there are enough, but there is more than the one.

    30. Re:Create more deserts? by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      Actually, war is often not thought of as a failure of politics and diplomacy. It's often thought to be the crucial extreme of diplomacy. Many things can be accomplished with nice words and an unspoken threat that cannot be accomplished with nice words alone.

      Even friendly diplomacy includes the idea that two groups want to stay friendly to avoid conflict. As things deteriorate, the chances of actual armed conflict rise. Hostile diplomacy often ends up with two sides in an uneasy peace specifically because the war is unpopular or would be devastating to both sides. Brinkmanship is a dangerous habit, but sometimes getting closer to war actually helps two sides talk.

      The Cuban Missile Crisis was a good example of a war narrowly averted which ended up in better communication. Nuclear missiles were positioned within 90 miles of the US and submarines with nuclear-tipped torpedoes were there to help run the US blockade. In the end, not only was there thankfully no war but an open phone line between the White House and the Kremlin was established.

      War might be the failing of other forms of diplomacy, but it can be thought of as part of the spectrum.

    31. Re:Create more deserts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And I'm not saying nothing is to be done, we just need to be careful not to hop into a big trillion dollar bandwagon with Al Gore and the UN just to look dumb and swindled afterwards.

      Right... but by the same token, it was A-ok to hop into a big multi-trillion dollar bandwagon with dubya because some non-scientists thought they knew better than the scientists about WMD. How's that working out for you?

      I didn't fall for that crap, but a lot of idiots did. IMHO anyone who got anything as basic as that wrong should just sit down and STFU. For life.

    32. Re:Create more deserts? by cliffski · · Score: 1

      what if the second doctor tells you his investigations will take another year, but the first guy said you have 6 months to live?
      Still not tempted by the pills?

      --
      DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
    33. Re:Create more deserts? by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 2, Informative

      Rising water levels in the oceans means more water to dissolve the CO2 (although the temperature of the water is important, too).

      Nope, the rise in water levels is due to the density of water decreasing, while the amount of water (moles) is staying the same* and the absorption coefficient of the water is decreasing.

      *It may even be decreasing due to the shift in equilibrium causing more water vapour, but i'm not a climatologist so the whole water vapour assumption may have been completely wrong.

      More water vapor hopefully means more clouds, and clouds reflect back sunlight, too.

      True but i dont think that makes up for the greenhouse effect of the water and due to the shape of water it has a huge absorption spectrum, just in the right/wrong place. Ofc this is all pointless if water vapour doesn't increase.

      --
      IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
    34. Re:Create more deserts? by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      Hell, no. I guess in a world where incompetence is so widespread, I'll prefer death. :P

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
  6. At what point does ythis break down? by Dripdry · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ok. So they've found a massive carbon sink that was unaccounted for. Great!

    They also say that due to changing conditions, including increased precipitation, there is more uptake occurring.

    Does this process ever reach a point where it stops? Is there only so much carbon that can be converted/sequestered? If conditions change enough, will this huge carbon sink disappear rapidly, adding a HUGE amount of carbon to the atmosphere?

    This is fascinating, but it still feels to me like this situation could be as fragile as any others we've discovered around the globe.

    --
    -
    1. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by zappepcs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think that this is just an indication that we TRULY do not understand how the global climate actually works. There have been billions of years of fluctuations and change to get the Earth to where it is now. We have no idea how most of that worked and only a vague idea of what is happening now. In the search to figure out why temperatures are rising globally, several things have been named as contributory causative factors. There is NO definitive proof that x, y, or z has caused global warming, only that it is probable that all three have contributed. BTW, we also don't fully and empirically understand what caused past global cooling periods either. We have some good ideas, and some evidence that supports those ideas, but no true and complete understanding.

      There is in fact little understanding of how the position of the Earth/solar system in the plane of the Milky Way affects solar radiation et al and thus how it affects planet temperatures. Desert sand is not the cure, it is a possible cure. There are others, like cutting down on human CO2 emissions etc.

      Call me paranoid if you like, but implementing all the efforts we can to stop global warming may indeed have detrimental effects on the climate as a whole. Until we know *MUCH* more about global climate control knee jerk reactions should be kept to a minimum.

      Yes, cutting carbon emissions is good, but lets not throw the baby out with the bath water or look for silver bullet cures. Mother nature works slowly so I'm reasonably certain that slow but sure methods will help where drastic measures (such as volcanic eruptions) are just another way to toss global climate on it's ear. The knee jerk reactions are probably what will suddenly dump HUGE amounts of carbon into the atmosphere.

    2. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by larry+bagina · · Score: 1

      Yep. It's been working that way for billions of years, but now that the secret's out, it will immediately stop.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    3. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      haven't you ever seen "The Day After Tomorrow"?

    4. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by elysiuan · · Score: 1

      You mean, you have no idea. Don't project your own ignorance onto others.

      Please explain and cite any published work that conclusively shows a complete theory of the environment.

    5. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      There is in fact little understanding of how the position of the Earth/solar system in the plane of the Milky Way affects solar radiation et al and thus how it affects planet temperatures. Desert sand is not the cure, it is a possible cure. There are others, like cutting down on human CO2 emissions etc.

      While there's definitely a lot of things that affect us directly which we know very little about (such as gravity), I really don't think the position of our solar system within the Milky Way has much effect on solar radiation or planet temperatures. Maybe if some other galaxy was colliding with us, and the core of that galaxy was passing very close to our sun, we might have an effect from that. But as it is, we're out on one of the spiral arms of the MW, in place that is not very dense with stars. The thing that affects planet temperatures the most, by a giant margin, is the Sun itself, and the Sun just isn't close enough to anything else to be affected by it significantly.

    6. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Does this process ever reach a point where it stops? Is there only so much carbon that can be converted/sequestered? If conditions change enough, will this huge carbon sink disappear rapidly, adding a HUGE amount of carbon to the atmosphere?"

      Stop? Not really. Deserts are prone to formation of soils with plenty of carbonate precipitation occurring in the sediment. I suppose there's a limit if you completely cement the sediment, but then there's usually new sediment being deposited on top. One of the main types of these soils is called calcrete or caliche.

      There is (inevitably) a return part of the cycle, and that one is pretty simple to understand: erosion of the relevant sediments and dissolution of the carbonate they contain. Will it disappear rapidly? Not likely. Is the rate likely to change? Not really at human timescales. These sorts of things are controlled by long-term geological processes at a multi-million year scale. For example, if we go into an episode of tectonic uplift and mountain building across a major desert area that could change the balance. It wouldn't be fast.

      Hmmm... although I don't expect acid rain would be good. It might also matter if desert areas become wet and vegetated rather than arid.

    7. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by kesuki · · Score: 1

      carbonates, like calcium carbonate, don't worry we'll mine it all up and feed it to feed lot cattle while we double their size in 6 months.

      rain moves the carbonates, and makes more room for further carbonation, so more rain increases the capacity of this heat sink, to a point. if the rain is intense and short followed by weeks of heat, it works best for this process.

      it's the heat of the desert that drives the chemistry that allows formation of carbonates. and rain that refreshes the availability of oxygen and stuff that will bond to oxygen, while flushing the carbonates into ground water, so they can make limestone formations.

    8. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I use to say that the next element of the carbon cycle revealed by contemporary "researchers" that doesn't cause a net increase in CO2 will be the first. I guess I'll have to temper that. Someone fell off the bandwagon and disclosed a large natural carbon sink.

      If the ecosystem was as biased against carbon sinks as the omission of their existence in the contemporary debate would have us believe the planet would have Venused itself long before megafauna evolved. We have a few billion years of evidence that this isn't likely to happen.

      Anyhow, this is an easy one to deal with; discredit the "researchers" (as the GP has already attempted to do) fund a competing study of the same phenomena that concludes the opposite (paid for with tax money and blessed by the UN) and never speak of it again.

    9. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No this isn't great news. This is bad news. Every hidden loop like this indicates that the water vapor and CO2 are stronger drivers towards global warming that we thought. What we want to find is some easy way to increase ocean pH and sequester CO2 that could happen, but just needs some insignificant push on our point. Or that a large influx of fresh water from glaciers would some how strongly drive sequestration or what have you.

    10. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by cunamara · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Why are you wasting your time with this lame argument? There is no human field of study that has comprehensive knowledge about its subject. Acknowledging that fact does not excuse people from taking whatever steps are available to them to reduce, stop or reverse damaging the only environment they have in which to live. If you wait for conclusive knowledge before acting, you'll never get out of bed.

    11. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by zappepcs · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've heard one theory (no citation, sorry) that as the solar system moves in alignment with the acretian? disk of the Milky Way this affects solar sunspot activity. That would affect global climate. The thought was changes in space radiation hitting the sun affects it's activity, much as radiation is believed to cause lighting in storms. It's a theory, and sounds plausible. There just is no evidence as yet as to whether this is true and how much it would affect global climate.. The Sun has been quiet lately? There is clearly a LOT of things that we are not taking into account yet.

    12. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please explain and cite any published work that conclusively shows a complete theory of anything.

    13. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Goaway · · Score: 1

      I never claimed there is any such thing. I merely claimed that "zappepcs" up there has no business making claims about what other people do or do not know about any topic which he himself is not an expert in.

      It is quite presumptuous and downright insulting of him to make claims about "we" don't know, if he is not actually part of that "we".

    14. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Aphoxema · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think a large part of greenhouse emissions being the blame is people want something they can point their finger at and put it on with the belief there is something they can do to change it.

      The real problem isn't nature, and to your point, the real solution isn't changing anything, it's dedicated research.

      Unfortunately, awareness isn't a terribly useful thing especially for the masses. When people learn part of the information, the wrong parts of the whole idea gets heavily associated and then it becomes misinformation.

      Ironically, we need less Al Gores and interest groups and treehuggers trying to get 'the word out', we need more university graduates being interested in the study.

      Since people can't simply be told there's nothing to worry about yet, they're going for second worst and being fed and recycled the idea that it is everyone's responsibility to ... and that by doing ... it will make things better.

      --
      "Most people, I think, don't even know what a rootkit is, so why should they care about it?"
    15. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      I think we all get the TRUE meaning of your little posting here. "Vote for Bush, er, McCain"

      You say that we should keep on dumping trillions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere, and if we stop something bad might happen. Excuse me, but that's backwards. It's a little like shitting in the corner every day, and when someone objects you say that you've been shitting in the corner for 10 years. If you stopped shitting in the corner, something bad might happen, so we'd better keep shitting in the corner to avoid rocking the boat.

      That view seems awfully convenient and self-serving.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    16. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There has been a fair bit of work looking at how very minor changes in the earth's orbit around the sun can change the amount of sunlight hitting the earth and therefore drive climate changes.

      One theory is that the changes are actually due to sweeping out a region of space that is clearer or less clear of dust than normal, depending on how recently the earth last went through that precise part of space. The acreeting dust changes the reflectance of the upper atmosphere and is a driving force on precipitation as it seeds clouds. One of the factors in determining how much dust is in the vicinity of the earth is how much the sun is moving relative to the interstellar dust, and, therefore it's position relative to the galactic ecliptic. It is entirely possible that the position of the solar system relative to the Milky Way does, indeed, affect our climate.

      References? There was a great pair of papers in Science that appeared simultaneously, one arguing the first theory (insolation) and the other arguing the second theory (dust) about 10 years ago. My understanding is that the matter has still not been laid to rest.

    17. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by mmurphy000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Until we know *MUCH* more about global climate control knee jerk reactions should be kept to a minimum.

      Depending on how you define "knee jerk", I disagree.

      Reducing overall usage of oil is a good thing for many reasons outside of the potential environmental benefits, including:

      • Reducing the world's dependency on a non-renewable resource that, depending on who you ask, may be running out (or at least getting increasingly difficult to extract in the desired quantities for reasonable costs)
      • Reducing the world's dependency on a resource that, in many cases, lies in areas with political turmoil (e.g., Middle East)
      • For the countries that establish relative expertise, serving as a source of innovation-based new jobs

      So, if it's "knee jerk" for the US to ratchet up CAFE requirements (and the equivalents for trucks and trains) so we become best-in-breed at fuel efficient transportation, or for the US to increase investing in alternative energy sources, then I'm all for "knee jerk" reactions.

    18. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by demonlapin · · Score: 4, Interesting
      CAFE is crap for really reducing emissions; it gave us the SUV as family vehicle (because station wagons, the former family machine, were subject to CAFE as cars, but SUVs, as light trucks, were not). You want higher fuel efficiency, tax the hell out of gasoline and diesel the way the Europeans do. Simple and easily enforced.

      CAFE is just another bureaucratic boondoggle, though it does have the merit that those who can afford larger cars subsidize the purchase of econoboxes.

    19. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by zappepcs · · Score: 1

      Please don't misunderstand me, reducing usage of fossil fuels (if they are still classified as fossil fuels) is absolutely a good thing, but it will NOT fix global warming and should not be thought of as THE cure. It hurts us all to pay higher taxation to fix something tomorrow that is not really broken when we can slowly fix it over 10-15 years at a much reduced cost and more sustainable pace. One recent headline statement I saw was "Why are we supposed to believe that 31 mpg is awesome?" There are many things we can do to reduce dependency on non-renewable resources, I just don't think we have to complete the changes before the 2010 games.

      There is also a problem with say, North America makes changes, but growing nations like China and India do not. They will replace our former gas guzzling ways and the sum total is a zero balance. The changes have to be slow and sure enough to be sustainable by all cultures, not just 1st world. If the first world spends trillions with a kneejerk plan to reduce to near zero the use of fossil fuels in the next 5 years, it will break us and the end will be a zero sum for carbon output reduction by the global community. That is the gist of what I mean.

    20. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      including increased precipitation

      Does this process ever reach a point where it stops?

      Personally, I'd say it stops when it rains enough to make it not a desert anymore.

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    21. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by pallmall1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Acknowledging that fact does not excuse people from taking whatever steps are available to them to reduce, stop or reverse damaging the only environment they have in which to live.

      Well, that's really the problem, isn't it? Knowing what steps to take. Solutions implemented based upon incomplete and politically motivated science may actually make a "problem" worse.

      --
      3 things about computers: they're alive, they're self-aware, and they hate your guts.
    22. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like a growing democracy, earth's natural systems appear to have evolved as an (extremely complicated) series of ongoing checks and balances. Now that we're doing our thing, we're seeing some of the balances pushing back.

      At the end of the day though, this doesn't change what is happening. We've recorded the CO2 levels in the atmosphere increasing for decades. Whatever balances we find in the earth, they're failing to stop us from standing the whole system on its head.

    23. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah, lets replace a one dangerous but naturally occurring substance (oil) and replace it with man-made and potentially even more hazardous material (lead acid batteries).

      Makes sense to me.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    24. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by zappepcs · · Score: 1

      Apparently, this topic is important to me. While what you say makes sense logically, it is stated with ignorance of other facts. I'm not talking about facts about human activity, but facts of the universe and solar system that we are truly not yet understanding. The rise in global temperature is coincident with a rise in CO2, and the causal link is unproven. While it is a logically good idea to not contribute, your assertion that human activity has caused the 'whole system to stand on its head' is fallacious, because it asserts that humans are the cause without evidence that nothing else is NOT the cause. We do NOT know at what level of CO2 the Earth begins heating up, only that CO2 will help to heat the Earth. To prove a causal link between human activity and global warming, you must first also prove that global warming is NOT caused by other factors. That is to say that very few people will argue that human activity is not contributing, there just is no proof that it is the cause. While all the information is still under investigation it's probably wise to just assume that it is caused by a group of contributing factors, then begin studying all that we can to "actually figure out how global climate" works. When we know that, the answers get a bit easier to figure out.

      As a ferinstinse: What happens if you magically manage to reduce the global atmospheric CO2 content by 98%? or even 48%? What happens? Does the world get a new ice age? If your model of how CO2 is causing global warming is correct, what happens if that much CO2 is removed? How much do we need to remove? Got any information on that?

    25. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mother nature works slowly so I'm reasonably certain that slow but sure methods will help where drastic measures (such as volcanic eruptions) are just another way to toss global climate on it's ear.

      The climate change is like a steamroller. You can see it coming a mile away and it's slow as a turtle, but will destroy most anything in its path.

      We've accidentally put Mother Nature's steamroller into gear... but you say we shouldn't turn it off or hit the brakes just because we don't have a class 2 rating for heavy machinery?! Worse, we've gotten out and lined up some polar bears, oceanfront property, etc right in front of it just to see what happens when they get run over. What madness is it that sees catastrophe brewing and does nothing about it?

      We need to turn off the steamroller. Maybe we'll hit the wrong button, but we have to do something because even though it plays out in slow motion the inertia is so massive that by the time we see what happens it will be too late to do anything about it.

    26. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by ralphbecket · · Score: 1

      I think we all get the TRUE meaning of your little posting here. "For the LOVE OF GAIA, we must all stuff corks up our bums!"

      While we're talking about self-serving, you have seen the paleo research pointing out
      (a) that there have been times in the past with wayyy higher CO2 concentrations and
      (b) that historically CO2 raises happen *after* temperature raises and
      (c) some of the measured temperature rise (of course, you are suitably sceptical about those measurements as well, aren't you?) can be explained by the fact we're coming out of an ice age and
      (d) the fact that the Earth is neither a boiling Hellhole nor a ball of ice suggests that fairly effective negative feedback is at work in the climate?

    27. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Magic5Ball · · Score: 1

      Yes, but what else is the steamroller doing, and what else is it connected to?

      As a system, the earth is at least as complicated as a human body, and instantaneously reversing the state of any component of the system results in interesting and often unpredictable effects throughout the entire body (see cold turkey, flu virus, temporary organ failure, allergies, seizures). The earth undoubtedly includes much more complicated interactions.

      Returning to your almost car analogy, a single human with good shoes and gloves can stop an unaccelerated steamroller moving at maximum speed in at least two ways: As a dead speed bump under the vehicle over a very small distance, or as a sore but alive bookend in front of the vehicle over a longer distance. In either case, it might be a bad idea to stop the steamroller over the air intake vent for the building, and preventing the steamroller's fissile engine from effectively discharging its heat may or may not kill you in a different way.

      --
      There are 1.1... kinds of people.
    28. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by llZENll · · Score: 1

      We don't have to understand how the global climate works to realize humans are adding gases to the atmosphere and chemicals to the water that wouldn't be there otherwise. There is no point in tring to reverse what is happening, I don't think that is even possible, and warming may not even be due to us. But trying to work toward a lifestyle which does as little as possible to the environment should be on everyones mind.

    29. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Splab · · Score: 1

      Wouw, so you are saying that since we can't prove we are the ones causing climate changes we should just keep on burning coal, wasting resources etc?

      How about, yes we don't know whats causing it, but the amount of crap we are emitting into the atmosphere can't be good, so perhaps - just perhaps - it would be smart to live a bit cleaner, take the bike rather than car, turn of those items on stand by. If we are lucky; being a bit cleaner about our living could potentially help down the road.

    30. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I like the first suggestion, except I'd amend it to say that we must all stick *another* cork up our bums.

      The rest of your comments all have excellent responses, which you can find for yourself. It's really easy to look these things up, why don't you do that rather than just pick the answers which agree with your degenerate politics?

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    31. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by YttriumOxide · · Score: 4, Insightful

      (a) that there have been times in the past with wayyy higher CO2 concentrations and

      Yes, and it would have been pretty unpleasant for human beings had we been around at the time.

      (b) that historically CO2 raises happen *after* temperature raises and

      Yep, which just goes to show that if CO2 also causes temperature rises (pretty fairly conclusive that it does), that we'll end up in a rather painful positive feedback loop (CO2 goes up, causing temperature to go up, which causes CO2 to go up more)

      (c) some of the measured temperature rise (of course, you are suitably sceptical about those measurements as well, aren't you?) can be explained by the fact we're coming out of an ice age and

      I think that's pretty well accepted also, but historically there's nothing similar to what's happening now - we're rising MUCH faster than we should be.

      (d) the fact that the Earth is neither a boiling Hellhole nor a ball of ice suggests that fairly effective negative feedback is at work in the climate?

      No, that suggests that the Earth is (surprise surprise) a pretty good place for people to live in general. The concern is that it may not stay that way.

      The concern is not that temperature is rising - that happens. It rises, it falls - there are perfectly normal cycles to all of this, and as long as we can learn to understand it, we can learn to live with it. What the concern IS is that we appear to be having an effect on our climate and we don't understand enough about what we're doing to it. It currently appears as if our effect is speeding up the "natural" warming quite significantly, and we're having a very hard time trying to figure out what the consequences of this will be. Maybe our effects will be nullified by natural processes and we can just carry on, but maybe they won't be and we'll end up killing ourselves (or just making life extremely unpleasant).

      Because we're sitting here at "don't know", we have the choice of either ignoring the situation or trying to do something about it. I UNDERSTAND the arguments for both, but I don't agree with the argument for doing nothing.

      The argument for doing nothing basically says, "well, we don't understand it, and doing something could cause economic problems. Because we don't understand it, we can't necessarily do anything about it.".

      The argument for doing something goes, "We don't understand it, but we are certain that we are having an impact of some kind, and that has the potential to be very bad (it also has the potential to not be bad, but we're pretty sure it will be bad, and we don't want to take the gamble). So, what we'll do is try to reduce the factors that cause our effect."

      We may not completely understand our climate, but:
      1) We CAN see we're having an influence on it
      2) We aren't 100% certain, but are pretty sure that our influence on it will cause long term bad effects
      3) We are quite confident we know the cause of our effect on the climate (CO2 amongst many other things)

      Because of this, the sensible choice seems to be "let's try to reduce or negate the effect we're having on the environment, because we can't be sure if that effect is going to cause us serious problems or not".

      Car analogy time: I know very little about cars, and have to rely on what others tell me. I'm driving my car, and the oil light comes on. I recently changed the oil, and I haven't noticed any leaks, although honestly I wasn't paying much attention before now. My passenger suggests that maybe it's just that a circuit going to the oil light indicator is shorted somewhere, which is why it's showing that, and I really needn't worry - my car will be fine. Now, I can not be certain if he's right or wrong without investigation. So, I take my car to a mechanic, who checks only the circuitry going to the light. He says it's okay. At this point, I can choose to continue driving my car, thinking the mechanic missed something and it really is just a problem with the light, or I can ask the mechanic to check the oil system, even though I know there's going to be a larger financial cost involved in doing so. What should I do?

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    32. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by YttriumOxide · · Score: 1

      There is also a problem with say, North America makes changes, but growing nations like China and India do not. They will replace our former gas guzzling ways and the sum total is a zero balance.

      There's a problem with that logic. Let's say we can define it as some figures (pulled out of a hat) like so:
      Current:
      US: 500 units
      EU: 480 units
      China: 100 units
      India: 80 units
      Total: 1160 units
      Your concern is that if we reduce, and they increase, it'll be zero sum, like this: US: 300 units
      EU: 300 units
      China: 280 units
      India: 280 units
      Total: 1160 units
      MY concern is that if we don't reduce, and they increase, it'll be much worse!: US: 500 units
      EU: 480 units
      China: 280 units
      India: 280 units
      Total: 1540 units
      While it's not good that they're increasing so much, and we do need to consider how to reduce everything GLOBALLY, not just in certain countries, it makes NO sense to say that just because someone else is increasing that we shouldn't reduce.

      It's also worth keeping in mind that there are many environmentally positive things that can be done that do NOT have a huge economic impact. We don't have to "break" ourselves in our efforts to reduce our impact on the environment. Yes, it will cost, but it needn't cost to such a level that we really suffer from it.

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    33. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Atario · · Score: 1

      Call me paranoid if you like, but implementing all the efforts we can to stop global warming may indeed have detrimental effects on the climate as a whole. Until we know *MUCH* more about global climate control knee jerk reactions should be kept to a minimum.

      And yet, somehow, digging up massive quantities of sequestered carbon (coal, gas, oil) that got there over millions of years, and burning it all in the open atmosphere in a couple hundred years, is perfectly fine?

      If you're wanting everyone not to touch the machine till we know how it works, you're about 150 years too late.

      --
      "A great democracy must be progressive or it will soon cease to be a great democracy." --Theodore Roosevelt
    34. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Fallen+Kell · · Score: 1

      Is the earth warming? Yes. Definitive proof: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data

      Note that the value of "0" on those charts was arbitrarily set as the mean value of the temperatures from 1961 to 1990. However, it is very easy to see that across the globe, from 1845 to now the average temperature has risen about 1 degree C. That is an important amount. Especially considering that the difference in many places of 1 degree C is the difference between having ice in winter and not.

      We in the Northwestern hemisphere have experienced 7 of the top 8 warmest years on record since 2001, and all 10 top warmest years since 1995. That says something right there. The difference between daily high and daily low temperatures has been decreasing as well over about 65-75% of all land masses. And the trend of both the high and low has been moving higher over the last 2 decades. In other words not only are we seeing higher high temperatures, we are also seeing higher low temperatures, and the low temperatures are growing higher faster than the high temperature is growing, meaning there is less and less capacity of cooling occurring, and possibly a thermal limit has been reached (kind of like how once you exceed the capacity of an air conditioner it doesn't matter how high you turn on the fan or low you set the temperature, it still is going up because it can't cool the air fast enough). The amount of sea ice has decreased 23% in just the last year alone. There is also been a trend across the globe of fewer low temperature records.

      With the current trends in temperatures, in 2100, the global temperature will be around 5 degree's C warmer than in 1840's (when we started keeping regular weather records).

      Now, given the FACT that it is getting warmer, I would say that we have a Global Warming Problem. Now, know that fact, we need to look at ways which we know contribute and play a part in warming an ecosystem and the environment. We know that greenhouse gases trap extra heat in the environment. That has been proven in many studies and papers. So we know it can contribute to warming. So step one, start decreasing the production of greenhouse gases will help reduce the effects of Global warming. Now, will it be enough? We don't know, but it is something that we can control. There are other factors that we can not control (i.e. we don't know how to control the energy output from the Sun... so that is not something we can do, and thus, it is really a moot point).

      --
      We were all warned a long time ago that MS products sucked, remember the Magic 8 Ball said, "Outlook not so good"
    35. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Loki_1929 · · Score: 1, Troll

      Such a typically liberal response...

      If it moves, tax it
      If it keeps moving, regulate it
      If it stops moving, subsidize it

      Tell you what, you want to hike taxes on gasoline? From now on, for every gallon you pump into your car, send the government an additional $4 directly. You can do that, and you'll be doing your part! (your part to making the absurdly inefficient and useless beaurocracy slightly richer)

      --
      -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
    36. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Loki_1929 · · Score: 1

      You're suggesting that with no formal training and very little observation of its functioning, we jump onto the steamroller and start pushing and pulling every button and lever in sight in the hopes that one or more of our actions will result in a positive outcome.

      Me? I prefer we calmly read the manual, locate the brake, and apply it correctly.

      Of course, I'm probably just being silly. Yes... on second thought, wrecklessly tearing at the controls of poorly understood, highly complex, and extremely dangerous machinery is definitely the wiser choice when considering the longterm survival of the human race.

      --
      -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
    37. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Eli+Gottlieb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sod the environmental issues, we need our very-limited fossil fuels for making the various plastics and other common compounds based on simple organic molecules!

    38. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Reziac · · Score: 1

      To attribute your quote, it's from President Reagan, a much wiser man than most give him credit for.

      As to TFA... I wonder if this accounts for some of the subsurface crusts that form in desert areas, without benefit of mineral leeching from water.

      And it just goes to show that we really don't know enough about climate to try fucking with it (such as fixing our alleged influence on global warming... or cooling, as the craze was a few decades back) ... we could conceivably BREAK it beyond repair.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    39. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by ozphx · · Score: 1

      Hey don't you complain. The Labor government in Australia has rode into power on a whole bunch of Think Of Teh Childrens(tm) grandstanding, and are busy destroying the economy in the name of the environment / internet safety / insert cause here.

      Australia's total annual emmisions are about a week of what China/US currently puts out - and we're thinking of introducing all kinds of carbon trading BS to "set an example". Only example we'll be setting is an exact metric of the effect being green has on the economy - and a good reason why China will never implement any green BS ever.

      --
      3laws: No freebies, no backsies, GTFO.
    40. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Urkki · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The real problem isn't nature, and to your point, the real solution isn't changing anything, it's dedicated research.

      But you see, we are constantly changing something! We are adding carbon to the carbon cycle of the biosphere, and adding a lot of it, and increasing the carbon release rate. That's a change, and we're doing it, and there's no way we'll stop doing it, so option of "not changing anything" is out. But there is the uncomfortable option of trying to change our planet and biosphere as little as possible...

    41. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Urkki · · Score: 1

      instantaneously reversing the state of any component of the system results in interesting and often unpredictable effects throughout the entire body

      Could you clarify, just what component of the climate or the biosphere you're thinking about, when you talk about instantaneously reversing the state of it?

    42. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I read some interesting theory some time ago that our Sun instead of having 22 year activity cycle got also other type of fluctuations with periods of tens or hundreds of thousand years.
      Read about "Diffusion Wave" theory of Robert Ehrlich (paper on arvix).

    43. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by phision · · Score: 0

      Reducing the world's dependency on a resource that, in many cases, lies in areas with political turmoil (e.g., Middle East)

      It is the resource that causes the political turmoil. It it was not the petrol in the Middle East it would have been the most peaceful place in the world.

    44. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by fbjon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't complain too much. If all we manage to do is reduce pollution, I'm totally fine with that. I'm also fine with people taking more responsibility for what they do and consume, regardless of any effect it has on global warming.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    45. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by ishmaelflood · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I've often argued that oil is too valuable to use as a fuel (generally), but really, why is it any harder to use coal or algae, or whtever as a plastic feedstock?

    46. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by speedtux · · Score: 1

      It hurts us all to pay higher taxation to fix something tomorrow that is not really broken

      But fossil fuel usage for transportation and heating is really broken. It would be broken even if there were no global warming at all. Fossil "fuel" is too valuable a resource to burn.

      when we can slowly fix it over 10-15 years

      It's not going to get fixed without massive economic incentives to fix it.

      to pay higher taxation to fix something tomorrow

      What you call "higher taxation" is actually just accounting better for the true costs of oil.

      There is also a problem with say, North America makes changes, but growing nations like China and India do not. They will replace our former gas guzzling ways and the sum total is a zero balance

      Well, and if we don't do it unilaterally, the sum total will be a huge positive balance, which is worse. And we're not going to convince India and China unless we lead.

      Furthermore, India and China have a valid argument: we built our industrial base by imposing massive carbon emissions on the rest of the world over the last 50 years. If we hadn't done that, they could be growing now like we did back then. They are constrained because of our actions.

      In different words, the US and Europe depleted a global, finite resource to build their industrial base and took more than their fair share. The rational and right thing to do would be to pay the rest of the world for that.

    47. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      "Does this process ever reach a point where it stops? Is there only so much carbon that can be converted/sequestered? If conditions change enough, will this huge carbon sink disappear rapidly, adding a HUGE amount of carbon to the atmosphere?"

      From the historical evidence, the answer is robustly NO.

      The earth has been much, much cooler than this, and much much warmer than this. In both cases, the extremes were moderated by something else in the system, suggesting that the Earth's capability to weather (pun intended) climate extremes and return the system to a stable norm is massive.

      Let's also remember that we're not MAKING carbon, either - we're RELEASING carbon that was (unless you subscribe to abiogenic oil theories) freely floating around the atmosphere at one time or another.

      Finally, let's not forget that the current climate is in no way the 'norm' - that seems to get lost in this debate. It's not even the norm for us (if you take the 2-3 million years of our existence into account), these hairless primates that keep insisting they are so important.

      --
      -Styopa
    48. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet, somehow you think burning all that sequestered carbon has caused ruination? 150 years should have led us to doom already, no? Methinks you ascribe too much power to us lowly humans.

      So your hubris has led you to fear. And your fear is leading to irrational panic. And the panic you've engendered leads us to ??? Well, it's never good to be panicky when setting policy.

      Take a chill pill you Obamaniac.

    49. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by legoman666 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Sheep. You're looking at 15 years of data to make conclusions about a 4,500,000,000 year old system.

      Do you part for global warming, become a pirate. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:FSM_Pirates.png

    50. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well, the problem with YOUR argument is the following : we ARE pulling levers and pushing buttons like a maniac: we're putting out a LOT of chemicals ... YOUR suggestion of calmly reading the manual would imply STOPPING ALL emissions.

    51. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by db32 · · Score: 1

      You are absolutely right, and mother nature does correct this type of thing fairly slowly. For all the fearmongering I don't think earth is really in that much of an immediate danger. HOWEVER, people need to understand earth will not survive as we know it, it never has. The face of earth has been changed many many times over the course of it's history. I agree that the kneejerk stuff is dangerous, but I think the whole "do nothing, it will hurt our economy, its all a myth" stuff is equally dangerous. We can be reasonably sure that earth will correct the problem and life will continue on this planet, there is no gaurontee that humans will remain as part of that life. We are dumping tremendous amounts of crap everywhere and that can only continue for a finite time.

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    52. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Part of the problem is that, the way international trade laws currently work, us decreasing directly causes them to increase. If we impose regulations that limit carbon output then it drives up the cost of producing things here which, in comparison, lowers the cost of producing them there even more, which causes polluting factories to be set up in China, India, and so on. We don't burn less fossil fuels, we just move where they are burned. Transport is an obvious exception to this.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    53. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Sandbags · · Score: 1

      Exactly. This is not some NEW CO2 sink, it's already been doing it. Our discovery of this process only reduces the value of what we believed was being sequestered by other processes. Fact is, we still have a net gain, and the pace of that gain is far more then the environment can cope with.

      Whether or not we can prove to what extent CO2 has on the environment, the fact is, we're contributing to the environment in ways outside of natural course. The idea of "take only pictures, leave only footprints" should be loosely extended to all of what we do. This CO2 wasn't going in to the system before, it should not be going into the system now unless we can counter balance it by also removing an equal amount, or by using only renewable resources to produce it.

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    54. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Sandbags · · Score: 2, Funny

      Our "alleged" influence is actually FACT. We HAVE increased the CO2 levels beyond by our own actions, we are continuing to increase them at record paces, and we KNOW the earth is warmed by it. The exact areas where CO2 is absorbed or not is actually irrelevant to the fact that we are causing an issue.

      We were not giving off this CO2 200 years ago. The environment does constantly balance itself, but only after hundreds of years. Are you saying that it's OK for the oceans to rise 12 feet before mother nature self corrects, of that it's OK that half of the cities in the world will be swept clean by the next glacial advance?

      Whether we know what the impact is or not, or what the environment does or not, we know what our emissions are, and we should control them, as they are not part of the basic process of this planet.

      We know well enough about this process without being able to account for each molecule's interaction individually. There's a TON of science backing up what we know today. All we've discovered is a minor, and relatively unimportant detail in the process. That detail might lead us to new ways to sequester CO2, but it does NOT change the fact that we MUST reduce our output, or offset that output.

      All of this of course is completely independent of the market and resource factors that also drive actions like CAFE. The engine makers are not sufficiently self regulating, so we need to do it for them. If they comply, noone pays extra. Taxing gas makes everyone pay extra, and further penalizes the lower class as they can't typically just swap out their cars for more efficient ones, especially under increaed burdens of higher taxes.

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    55. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by crakbone · · Score: 1

      At what point is it presumptuous of you to assume that he is not part of the "we"?

    56. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by jhfry · · Score: 1

      Yes there is a point that it stops... the desert becomes fertile and eventually a forest. Then as the cycle continues, it becomes a desert again.

      Like most systems in our universe it is in equilibrium... it is nearly impossible for any natural process to remain out of equilibrium for very long, they all self regulate.

      What may actually happen is that all of our carbon emmissions will create a greener planet in the long run... temps will rise causing more moisture in the atmosphere and more rain... the previously dry deserts will become wetter and capable of sustaining trees and grasses, the soil will become increasingly fertile, and slowly the deserts will disappear.

      Of course a few million years will go by and the trend will reverse as the CO2 in the atmosphere is reduced and the planet cools and more water is trapped in ice.

      I think that the worst thing we humans can do is speed or even start a shift in the equilibrium, when it's all said and done the earth will compensate.

      --
      Sometimes the best solution is to stop wasting time looking for an easy solution.
    57. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      may be running out

      30 years ago, there was only 10 years of oil left in the ground. Now, 30 years later, were down to 10 years of oil remaining. Amazing how fast it's being used up.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    58. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Goaway · · Score: 1

      "At what point"? At the point where he said it, I guess.

      If you actually meant to ask "why", then it's for the same reason that it's presumptuous of me to say "we don't really know anything about cell biology". Sure, there is a lot we don't know, but there is also a whole lot we DO know, and just because I personally am completely ignorant of the topic doesn't mean I get to talk about what "we know".

    59. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Why history is replete with examples of the notable pacifism in the middle east for over 1800 years prior to the development of practical heat engines which made petroleum so valuable.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    60. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by DKelley · · Score: 1

      Wow, a well thought out discussion of the pros and cons, plus an analogy that clearly reiterates the point, and all YttriumOxide gets for this post is a Score of "4"?

    61. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's exactly the problem.

      We in the US, unfortunately, live in a society of over consumption and over use. There is nothing wrong with wanting to change and/or reduce that.

      When it becomes a problem is where people are yelling global warming and climate change when what they really want is people to change how they live. They want people to use less, to recycle, etc etc etc.

      Say what you want to say. Don't fucking sugar coat it or hide it behind some bullshit like climate change.

      But hey.

    62. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except we DID pay for it - at the rates at which those countries asked us to pay them for the removal of the oil.

      You're asking us to pay, again, for something which we have already paid. We do not "owe" China or India or anyone else a damned thing with respect to supporting their economic and industrial growth.

      "Fair share"? Give it a rest. Life isn't fair, and neither is global interaction. The definition of what is, or is not, fair is completely subjective to begin with.

      It is completely irrational to suggest that we do.

    63. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by rujholla · · Score: 1

      How can you consider that definitive proof? Hansen's data set is skewed to support his theories. Notice how it doesn't seem to agree with the other temperature records out there. Thats because Hansen has built into his system factors for changing the raw data based on his conclusions. Try using one of the satellite records where the data hasn't been fiddled with and you get a trend that is very different from what Hansen is predicting, still warming, but not nearly as fast, and maybe changing.

      Right out on their own, however, are the quite different figures produced by GISS which, strangely for a body sponsored by Nasa, rely not on satellites but also on surface readings. Hansen's latest graph shows temperatures rising since 1880, at accelerating speed in the past 10 years. The other three all show a flattening out after 2001 and a marked downward plunge of 0.6 degrees Celsius in 2007/8, equivalent to almost all the net warming recorded in the 20th century.

      If the difference between Hansen's numbers and three other temperature records isn't enough to convince you something is screwy with his data then check out all the issues with his temperature stations over at Wattsupwiththat

    64. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by rujholla · · Score: 1

      We don't have to understand how the global climate works to realize humans are adding gases to the atmosphere and chemicals to the water that wouldn't be there otherwise.

      I don't think anyone at all would argue with you on that, the problem is grouping CO2 in there. CO2 exists naturally in the environment. CO2 is not a pollutant, it is a requirement for life. The amount of CO2 that humans emit is dwarfed by the naturally occuring CO2.

    65. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      I don't think anyone at all would argue with you on that, the problem is grouping CO2 in there.

      The statement is correct as stands: humans are adding CO2 to the atmosphere that wouldn't be there otherwise. To be precise, CO2 levels have increased about 35% since pre-industrial times due to human emissions.

      CO2 exists naturally in the environment. CO2 is not a pollutant, it is a requirement for life. The amount of CO2 that humans emit is dwarfed by the naturally occuring CO2.

      CO2 exists naturally in the environment, but some of it is currently also due to humans. Whether CO2 is a "pollutant" depends on the definition of the term, and is really irrelevant to whether human CO2 is causing global warming. Naturally occurring CO2 is larger than human emitted CO2, but that doesn't change the fact that humans have still contributed a 35% increase in total atmospheric CO2 over the last 150-200 years.

    66. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Hansen's data set is skewed to support his theories.

      Prove it.

      Notice how it doesn't seem to agree with the other temperature records out there.

      All of the temperature records disagree with each other to a small extent. The GISTEMP record is not wildly out of line with any of the others, and some of them show slightly more warming than GISTEMP. See here for a comparison of the surface records.

      Thats because Hansen has built into his system factors for changing the raw data based on his conclusions.

      Again, prove it. Hansen has factors to correct for systematic biases in the instrumental observations. ALL the temperature records do (both surface and satellite), although they use different methods to make the corrections. That is quite different from corrections which change the data "based on Hansen's conclusions", which is an accusation of intention and fraud and requires proof.

      Try using one of the satellite records where the data hasn't been fiddled with and you get a trend that is very different from what Hansen is predicting,

      Actually, you don't. The trends are slightly different, but all within each other's error bars. Here is a visual comparison.

      Furthermore, the satellite data is "fiddled with" as well. Indeed, the UAH data famously showed recent cooling before they discovered there was a mistake in their error-correction algorithms. Satellite records are by no means objectively superior to the surface station data.

      I have no idea where that quote above came from about "Hansen's latest graph", but GISTEMP looks very similar to the other data sets even in the last 10 years; see the above graph.

      If the difference between Hansen's numbers and three other temperature records isn't enough to convince you something is screwy with his data then check out all the issues with his temperature stations

      If you throw out the temperature stations Watts classifies as "bad", you still get results that are quite close to the GISTEMP record. Or if you throw out the urban stations and only include the rural ones. And finally GISTEMP is quite similar to the satellite records.

      There may be station siting issues, but they're clearly not dominating the trend visible in the global temperature time series.

    67. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we should "take only pictures, leave only footprints", then just how do you expect mankind to survive?

      Or are you one of those idiots that believes that we're a plague that deserves to be wiped out?

    68. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by mmurphy000 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      CAFE is crap for really reducing emissions; it gave us the SUV as family vehicle (because station wagons, the former family machine, were subject to CAFE as cars, but SUVs, as light trucks, were not).

      That's a matter of rewriting the CAFE law. It's not like SUV-as-light-truck is some fundamental constant in the universe.

      You want higher fuel efficiency, tax the hell out of gasoline and diesel the way the Europeans do. Simple and easily enforced.

      Except:

      • That gives slow, indirect impetus to car manufacturers to increase the mileage of cars and light trucks. No doubt that, over time, they'll get there. But in the interim, you've sucker-punched the drivers, who are caught with limited alternatives — you can't buy cars that don't exist, and there are only so many hybrids manufactured and Jetta TDIs imported. Raising CAFE in line with gas price increases forces the car manufacturers' hands more quickly and directly, and consumers already have plenty of incentive to buy more fuel efficient cars merely due to rising gas prices.
      • Raising gas taxes sufficiently to even give slow, indirect impetus to car manufacturers — in line with European taxes, as you note — is political suicide, not just for the candidate, but for the candidate's whole party. Raising CAFE will cause car manufacturer political donations to switch sides, along with the votes of Michigan residents, but otherwise likely will be seen as positive.

      If you can figure out a way for fuel taxes to overcome those two problems, that'd be excellent. I'm not exactly a CAFE fan myself. It may be the answer is a hybrid (pun lightly intended) of raising CAFE and increasing gas taxes.

    69. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      Such a typically liberal response...

      If market-based incentives are a typical liberal response and "bureaucratic boondoggle" is in the liberal vocabulary where you live, I want to move there.

    70. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      Political feasibility is outside the realm of this inquiry :)

    71. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      And a point I just forgot: there's no reason for the fuel tax increase to be monolithic; just raise it 50c/gal every year for 8 years.

    72. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Aphoxema · · Score: 1

      Wouw, so you are saying that since we can't prove we are the ones causing climate changes we should just keep on burning coal, wasting resources etc?

      Did you mean to reply to my post? You must have meant to reply to someone else's because mine said no such thing.

      --
      "Most people, I think, don't even know what a rootkit is, so why should they care about it?"
    73. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Magic5Ball · · Score: 1

      GP said something about "turn it [steamroller] off or hit the brakes", which sounds generically like reversing the state of the steamroller (from moving, back to non-moving). I'm trying to point out that in a system with as many interconnected parts as the earth, nothing is only as it appears in terms of non-obvious interdependencies.

      Compare: Spinning up or down an MRI by applying force to the visible moving parts without understanding the control systems or the device's mechanisms of action. The safetys last for just long enough to produce a sense of accomplishment before many things break badly almost simultaneously unless the rest of the process is managed.

      --
      There are 1.1... kinds of people.
    74. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I knew it. The solution is MORE PIRATES!

    75. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you. I've been saying this for years. Glad to see someone agrees.

    76. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by captainwisdom · · Score: 1

      Silly liberal slashdotters. Your flawed argument is that is a good thing to rachet up CAFE standards (Big Gov controls) because it forces us to become more efficient. Indeed it's a good thing that the price of oil is going up - for the same reason. But this hurts the automotive, airline, and trucking industries very much. Oh you don't care. Well maybe we should triple the price of computers - to discourage their use. And triple the price of your internet connection (all by gov fiat). By your logic this would be great. Discourage use, less footprint, save energy.

    77. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Loki_1929 · · Score: 1

      If government taxation is a "market-based incentive" where you live, I want to help your people learn English.

      --
      -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
    78. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Loki_1929 · · Score: 1

      My suggestion would be to gain a better understanding of how our global environment and global climate function and self-regulate before we make concerted efforts to modify either.

      As it stands, it's still widely debated whether our actions to date have had much of any effect on the environment, or whether we're seeing natural patterns and cycles in motion, or whether we're seeing events triggered by unknown influences.

      Stopping all emissions would be a wonderful thing if it were feasible. Certainly even if it had no effect on the global climate, it would have a definite effect on the localities where pollution is most rampant (hello there, Beijing). However, as that is not feasible, we need to guage the importance to each place in the world, and to the world at large of reducing pollutants. To do that, we need to have a solid understanding of the effects on each place in the world and on the world itself. We have a pretty decent understanding of what different pollutants will do to the local environment, especially as it concerns humans. We understand that certain chemicals in the air, soil, and water will do us, our crops, and the local wildlife more harm than others. As such, it's up to the people living in that particular region as to whether the types and amounts of things being emitted are too high a risk for them. If so, it's up to them to reduce or stop those emissions.

      Where we get lost is in figuring out how a factory in Beijing affects a farm in Kansas. Some have said it will cause less rain; some have said it will cause more. Some have said it will cause both. Some have said it will cause temperatures to drop, more now lean toward them climbing. Some have said that so long as the total emissions throughout the world stay below x, the farm will feel little to no effect. Others have said x is much lower (or higher) than those before them claimed. Some have said the coasts will feel the greatest effect, so perhaps the farm will experience nothing any time soon. Others have said that we're 10 years away from a disasterous turn where we'll see massive climate change overnight due to feedback loops which will form. Still others have said that we're at least 70 - 100 years away from seeing a more than two or three degree difference in average global temperatures.

      In other words, we have no understanding of what effects we're having (if anything) on the world's climate, and we have no idea if we're headed in the direction. We have no idea if there's an outside influence causing the slight change in temperatures we've observed over the past ~80 years of decent weather tracking. We're looking at a 2 second slice of a movie we've never seen before and trying to determine the entire plot from start to finish using some fuzzy storyboards we found lying around. What's more, without a solid understanding of how the world's climate operates in the first place, we have no way to know what effect a major effort to change the climate would have.

      So what I would suggest for now, rather than blow our economies trying to force some nations (ie the US) to finance some huge operation that may or may not be helpful or harmful to the world's climate while others continue doing business as usual and even increasing their emissions on grand scales (ie India and China), that we work harder to understand the world climate while looking for more efficient, cheaper, and less polluting ways to get done what we need to get done. When we come up with new technologies, let's test them to ensure they actually work correctly, don't create more problems than they solve, and that they don't create more pollution than what we had before (hey Prius owners, what are you going to do with all those batteries when your cars die? toss them in a landfill? of course you are - and exactly what went into making those things vs a simpler car? did you bother looking into that?). Once that technology is shown to be safe (hello, nuclear power), let's introduce it into the world marketplace (ie CANDU reactors) and let's make an eff

      --
      -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
    79. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Wow, you totally don't know economics do you? A Pigovian tax is a classic example of a market based incentive for pollution control. You've probably bought the neo-conservative line that taxes are antithetic to the free market. On the contrary, if you have a negative externality (like the market being unaware of the environmental costs of CO2), the market-based way of doing that is to get rid of the externality by putting a price on it. A tax is one of the textbook ways to provide the market with the necessary financial incentive.

      Indeed, a carbon tax is believed by perhaps most economists to get the job done at a lower cost than carbon permit trading, in addition to being simpler to implement, more predictable for planning, and harder to cheat. See the literature on price vs. quantity instruments; for the seminal introduction see Weitzman (1974), and for application to climate change see Pizer (1997), and check out the Pigou Club. Note that Pigovian taxes aren't synonymous with "the government gets more money"; the carbon taxes people talk about are often revenue-neutral (either through tax shifting or dividends).

    80. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Sandbags · · Score: 1

      It's an expression... The idea is to have as little impact as possible. Yes, we need to build roads, buildings, dams, etc. We can't completely avoid impact, but what we can do is ensure that we're only leaving behind what we must.

      The idea is that other than our footprints (buildings, infrastructure, etc) our great grand children should see the earth 100 years from now in exactly the same condition (overall) that it is today, or better yet, how it was 200 years ago before we started polluting it en mass.

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    81. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      My suggestion would be to gain a better understanding of how our global environment and global climate function and self-regulate before we make concerted efforts to modify either.

      That's not a very good policy. "Do nothing until we learn more" only works when we're likely to learn a great deal, in a short time, and that what we learn is likely to reveal that climate change is far less serious than we thought. Since we learn only slowly about the climate, and we have no way of knowing whether it's going to end up being better or worse than we currently think, the best policy is to start mitigation now and adjust it up or down if and when we learn more. Actually, it's even possible that our uncertainty about climate will increase with time (our ability to model the climate improves but we also discover new uncertainties and begin to be able to treat old ones which were ignored), which argues even more strongly in favor of abatement as an insurance policy. The less we know, the less willing we should be to move away from a known safe climate.

      As it stands, it's still widely debated whether our actions to date have had much of any effect on the environment, or whether we're seeing natural patterns and cycles in motion, or whether we're seeing events triggered by unknown influences.

      No, it's really not that widely debated, among the scientific community. Just peruse the latest issues of Nature Geosciences, Journal of Climate, Geophysical Research Letters, etc.

      Where we get lost is in figuring out how a factory in Beijing affects a farm in Kansas. Some have said it will cause less rain; some have said it will cause more. Some have said it will cause both. Some have said it will cause temperatures to drop, more now lean toward them climbing.

      That depends on the region. We can't predict regional impacts very well, although we can do decently for broad latitudinal bands. We do know that global warming will, on the balance, tend to lead to higher temperatures worldwide (more over land than ocean, more in the Northern Hemisphere than Southern, and more near the Arctic than away from it). There will be somewhat higher precipitation, but the rain zones will shift so some will get more rain and some will get more drought, and both will experience different precipitation patterns than they're used to; there will also likely be an increase in extremes (both downpours and drought) even when precipitation as a whole goes up.

      In other words, we have no understanding of what effects we're having (if anything) on the world's climate, and we have no idea if we're headed in the direction.

      No. We have a pretty good idea of what effects we've had so far, and we have some idea of what effects we will have in the future. We can, for instance, rule out "less than 1 degree of warming by 2100", and "more than several meters of sea rise by 2100" with high (not perfect) probability. That alone is enough to greatly inform the policy decision, and we actually know more than that.

      We have no idea if there's an outside influence causing the slight change in temperatures we've observed over the past ~80 years of decent weather tracking.

      Yes, we do. There aren't that many plausible candidates for that amount of warming (which isn't really as slight as you think on an 80 year time scale): greenhouse gases, solar irradiance, volcanism, industrial aerosols, atmosphere-ocean heat exchange. All of those have been looked at in great detail.

      Furthermore, you're still missing the point about uncertainty in decision making. A do-nothing policy is only justified when we're CERTAIN that the problem will be minimal. An insurance policy of abatement is what you do when you're UNCERTAIN.

      So what I would suggest for now, rather than blow our economies trying to force some nations (ie the US) to finance some huge operatio

    82. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by ralphbecket · · Score: 1

      Okay, let's go through these one at a time.

      (1) CO2 is generally a Good Thing as far as biological processes go. What makes you think that life with previous high levels of this trace gas would be unpleasant for human beings?

      (2) Your CO2 positive feedback loop argument doesn't hold water because we know that CO2 levels were higher in the past and yet the Earth did not turn into Venus and we still had ice ages afterwards. The other problem is that the argument that CO2 increases can cause the temperature to rise significantly has not been substantiated experimentally. Even theoretically, there is no "from the ground up" explanation (i.e., devoid of handwaving) of how this should actually happen.

      (3) Saying temperatures are rising much faster than we should be suggests you're buying into the now comprehensively debunked hockey stick reconstruction. The hockey stick really is indefensible at this point. The evidence is simply not there for claiming the current rate of temperature rise is unprecedented.

      (4) Your response to my point about negative feedback is a non sequiteur. You say that we appear to be speeding up some natural process (I'm not sure I buy that, but let's go with it for now) and that the consequences of this may be bad (especially if you believe climate modellers can do what they claim, which is pretty much way beyond what any other modellers claim to be able to do). So we ought to do something to reduce the effect we're having.

      The problem with this is that it's argument for action from a position of ignorance.

      The argument for inaction *now* goes like this:
      - we do not have convincing evidence that the current situation is our fault (e.g., the mean temperature hasn't changed much over the last ten years despite increasing CO2 emissions);
      - we do not know if the consequences will be bad (please don't mention tipping points and similar canards);
      - the consequences *may* actually be good (fewer people die of warm weather than cold weather and warm weather is associated with higher precipitation, not less);
      - if we do not take economically crippling action now based on the precautionary principle (cf. Pascal's wager), we will have substantially more resources available to us in the future to deal with any unfortunate consequences that do arise (plus, hopefully our understanding will increase over time in a way which will allow us to take effective, more directed action, if necessary).

      What bugs me about climate alarmism is that people have such strong views on the subject, but don't want to subject the science to the same level of critical skepticism that is expected in all other branches of science. The alarmists may be right, but to date the evidence and arguments are not nearly as solid as is claimed.

      -- Ralph

    83. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by YttriumOxide · · Score: 1

      (1) CO2 is generally a Good Thing as far as biological processes go. What makes you think that life with previous high levels of this trace gas would be unpleasant for human beings?

      Because at the time the CO2 levels were very high, it was also very warm. Much warmer than humans generally find comfortable.

      (2) Your CO2 positive feedback loop argument doesn't hold water because we know that CO2 levels were higher in the past and yet the Earth did not turn into Venus and we still had ice ages afterwards.

      That doesn't show that there's no possible positive feedback loop, only that there are factors that can stop or reverse such a system (e.g. a greater number of CO2 hungry plants springing up in the environment that is now more favourable to them).

      The other problem is that the argument that CO2 increases can cause the temperature to rise significantly has not been substantiated experimentally. Even theoretically, there is no "from the ground up" explanation (i.e., devoid of handwaving) of how this should actually happen.

      It's a generally established consensus that it is a factor in warming (along with other potential "greenhouse" gases). Note that the term "greenhouse" is a fairly simple and accurate depiction - just like the glass of a greenhouse, it traps the heat.
      I'm not saying CO2 is the ONLY factor, nor am I saying that it's necessarily even the most important, but it's certainly an established fact that a significant amount of CO2 can have this kind of effect (you could even do such an experiment yourself if you wished - a can of compressed CO2, a lightbulb, a small box and a thermometer should do the trick.

      (3) Saying temperatures are rising much faster than we should be suggests you're buying into the now comprehensively debunked hockey stick reconstruction. The hockey stick really is indefensible at this point. The evidence is simply not there for claiming the current rate of temperature rise is unprecedented.

      Sorry, I don't know of this "hockey stick" reconstruction you're talking about. I assume from your wording that it's some kind of graph shaped like a hockey stick that shows extreme warming and is probably often shown in the US where this problem is still actually considered a debate rather than fact (in the rest of the world, no-one is debating it...it's considered fact). I just did a quick Google search, and the graph looks a little extreme really, but I haven't seen the data for or against that particular graph, so I can't comment really.

      (4) Your response to my point about negative feedback is a non sequiteur. You say that we appear to be speeding up some natural process (I'm not sure I buy that, but let's go with it for now) and that the consequences of this may be bad (especially if you believe climate modellers can do what they claim, which is pretty much way beyond what any other modellers claim to be able to do). So we ought to do something to reduce the effect we're having.
      The problem with this is that it's argument for action from a position of ignorance.

      Yes, that's correct - it's an argument for action from a position of some ignorance about the potential results of our current action.

      The argument for inaction *now* goes like this:
      - we do not have convincing evidence that the current situation is our fault (e.g., the mean temperature hasn't changed much over the last ten years despite increasing CO2 emissions);

      The thing is, that if you look at this or this, you're just going to say that all you see is that we came out of a "little ice age" recently (I don't disagree with that by the way), so I'm not going to point at those graphs

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    84. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      CO2 is generally a Good Thing as far as biological processes go.

      It's good for some plants, up to a point. (C3 photosynthesizers like it; C4 plants are indifferent.) Animals don't care much about CO2 unless it reaches poisonous levels. Even the C3 plants don't get much of a boost past a certain point, because other factors end up being rate limiting (e.g., water and nitrogen availability).

      What makes you think that life with previous high levels of this trace gas would be unpleasant for human beings?

      Because modern societies have been adapted to a certain kind of climate and it's expensive to have to adapt to another climate in a relatively short period of time. It's not that we can't do it, it just has costs associated with it which are probably higher than the costs of avoiding the worst change.

      Your CO2 positive feedback loop argument doesn't hold water because we know that CO2 levels were higher in the past and yet the Earth did not turn into Venus and we still had ice ages afterwards.

      A positive feedback loop doesn't have to persist forever. Most of them don't. (Same as with water vapor feedback; we don't warm until we evaporate the oceans in a "runaway greenhouse", just to a new equilibrium, unless we pass a certain threshold.)

      With CO2 feedback, CO2 that comes out of the ocean (or more often, CO2 that is less strongly absorbed by the ocean sink) stabilizes as the oceans reach a new equilibrium temperature. It's not like some tiny temperature change causes it all to outgas from solution in a runaway explosion of CO2. It's basic chemistry.

      Furthermore, the very ice ages you appeal to are evidence of this: the insolation and albedo changes associated with the ice age cycle are too small to account for the observed temperature changes, if you leave out the amplification of the CO2 greenhouse effect.

      The other problem is that the argument that CO2 increases can cause the temperature to rise significantly has not been substantiated experimentally. Even theoretically, there is no "from the ground up" explanation (i.e., devoid of handwaving) of how this should actually happen.

      That's a ridiculous statement. The spectral adsorption of infrared radiation by CO2 is well studied in the laboratory and is observed in the real atmosphere. In the atmosphere it's modified by convective effects, which require line-by-line radiative transfer codes to calculate, but that doesn't change the basic fact that less energy is escaping to space, and it doesn't mean there is no explanation of how the greenhouse effect happens. Indeed, one of the main signatures of the greenhouse effect (stratospheric cooling) is observed in the atmosphere.

      The existence of the greenhouse effect is not scientifically controversial even among the skeptics. You need to catch up with the skeptical literature. The argument is about whether the CO2 greenhouse effect is amplified by a lot or by a little due to other feedbacks (the climate sensitivity).

      Saying temperatures are rising much faster than we should be suggests you're buying into the now comprehensively debunked hockey stick reconstruction.

      No, you don't have to appeal to millennial-scale paleoclimate to conclude that; you can conclude it from modern instrumental records of climate and its natural drivers.

      First, your original post suggested that some of the warming is explained by the fact that we're coming out of an ice age. Strictly speaking, this is incorrect: we came out of an ice age 10,000 years ago, and we generally cool after that, not warm.

      What you probably mean is that we were coming out of the so-called "Little Ice Age" (not a true ice age), which is correct. However, we are still warming faster than can be explained by that, just on the basis of the natural causes of climate change. The LIA is attributed mostly to a reduction in solar irradia

    85. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by smithmc · · Score: 1

      Reducing the world's dependency on a non-renewable resource that, depending on who you ask, may be running out (or at least getting increasingly difficult to extract in the desired quantities for reasonable costs)

      But that fact alone (the short supply and high costs) will drive us to reduce our dependency on that resource... when it hurts enough - and apparently it's starting to, since we are starting to make the effort. These things don't happen overnight.

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
    86. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by ralphbecket · · Score: 1

      Let me start with your final remark:

      You come up with a bunch of weak and mostly wrong counterarguments and use them to incorrectly insist that the level of scientific uncertainty is much larger than is claimed, and then contrary to several decades of economic research you go on to mistakenly imply that this recommends a course of inaction. Of course you do it with sneering reference to "alarmists" to boot.

      This is the kind oftedious, petulant ad hominem routine that makes dealing with pro-AGW individuals so different from any other scientific debate. In any other sphere, people seem able to politely discuss, and even disagree about, the evidence and the arguments without resorting to rhetorical attacks.

      Now I'll return to the argument assuming we can treat each other with a modicum of respect.

      (1) Can we at least agree that we are not in danger of increasing CO2 levels to poisonous levels?

      (2) Society seems to have adapted rather well to a climate that was already changing (about half the warming this century seems to have happened between 1940 and 1970, and it didn't seem to bother anybody). Bjorn Lomborg's Copenhagen Concensus of eight world class economists started from the assumption that the IPCC's claims for future warming are reasonable and *still* concluded after a costs-benefits analysis that dealing with climate change via economic measures was a bad idea (climate change came in bottom of the list, after fourteen other proposals for improving the state of the world).

      (3) I don't follow your argument that positive feedback *doesn't* result in a runaway process. You talk about reaching new equilibria, but that is what happens with *negative* feedback, not positive feedback. Your point w.r.t. CO2 getting us out of ice ages also has me confused. CO2 levels start to rise *hundreds* of years *after* some process has begun the warming at the end of the ice age. What is your explanation for this?

      (4) My assertion that there is no from basics-to-result argument for the claimed climate sensitivity to CO2 is true. Yes, you can point to MODTRAN, but that has a rigid atmospheric profile which violates the idea that a warmer atmosphere will reach a new equilibrium; the rigid profile assumption inflates the climate sensitivity to CO2. There are similar problems with the other radiative transfer models (there was a good discussion of this over at Climate Audit). By the way, I never claimed there was no explanation of the greenhouse effect (please don't set up straw men). What I said was that there is no fully worked out derivation for climate sensitivity to CO2.

      (5) How can you conclude that temperatures are rising faster than they should merely from the modern instrumental record? The current understanding of the climate simply isn't that good. The evidence for solar influence on the climate (e.g., as an explanation of the LIA) doesn't stack up unless you assign an unfeasibly large solar sensitivity to the climate (see Lief Svalgaard's work). You also mention that the models predict stratospheric cooling. So they do. But more important is they predict tropical warming as *the* fingerprint of AGW, which just has not happened.

      (6) When I talked about the "unprecedented" warming rate, I was referring to what the IPCC said, not the poster to whom I was replying. Apologies for the confusion.

      (7) There are no models of systems as complex as the climate which claim the same levels of accuracy. Orbital models are *hugely* simpler. Fluid dynamics models for, e.g., aviation, are only sound under highly constrained conditions. The current climate models aren't even convergent: they have to calculate the amount of extra/missing kinetic energy at the end of each time step and then just spread the difference evenly over the globe. They also cannot resolve extremely important atmospheric phenomena such as cloud formation. These are handled by "parameterisation", which is to say, by heuristics rather than a "physics-up" model. The tuning of the par

    87. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      This is the kind oftedious, petulant ad hominem routine that makes dealing with pro-AGW individuals so different from any other scientific debate.

      Ha! You don't read Slashdot much, do you? Go read any of the threads on evolution, the electric universe, string theory, dark matter, ...

      And give me a break with the moral high horse. You're the one who ended with an insulting parting shot about how people don't critically evaluate climate science and how they're "alarmists". I didn't drop any snide remarks about "denialists" who are in the back pocket of Exxon, or anything similarly odious.

      But while we're on the topic, what makes dealing with anti-AGW self-professed "skeptics" so tedious is that they tend to get all their science from skeptic websites instead of actual scientific literature. And then, unlike honest skeptics, they go out and misinform the public based on their distorted pseudo-education. I was hoping it would sink in that you're serving as a great example of what's wrong with the climate science debate, but you don't seem to have noticed.

      Can we at least agree that we are not in danger of increasing CO2 levels to poisonous levels?

      Sure, but since no one has claimed we are, it's irrelevant.

      Society seems to have adapted rather well to a climate that was already changing (about half the warming this century seems to have happened between 1940 and 1970, and it didn't seem to bother anybody).

      To the contrary, the economic damage assessments are based in part on historical records of temperature/precipitation effects on agriculture and other sectors of the economy. The global effects have been relatively small so far, since the climate change has not yet been that large, but they're not negligible either. And it's questionable at best to conclude that the impacts of climate are negligible, when the future climate change can be 4x larger than in the last century (and even larger than the change in the 1940-1970 period you mention).

      Bjorn Lomborg's Copenhagen Concensus of eight world class economists started from the assumption that the IPCC's claims for future warming are reasonable and *still* concluded after a costs-benefits analysis that dealing with climate change via economic measures was a bad idea (climate change came in bottom of the list, after fourteen other proposals for improving the state of the world).

      Have you read their report? Or did you just read the skeptic spin?

      They didn't conclude that dealing with climate change via economic measures was a bad idea. They only said there were other things they thought should be dealt with via economic measures too, and some of them get a higher return on investment. The Copenhagen analysis is structured only to answer the question, "If we could spend money on just one thing, what would it be?" In reality, you need to spend money on all these problems. Just because you get more bang for your buck for one of them doesn't mean that you should ignore all the rest. And their analysis sometimes ignores the effect climate change has on the other problems they considered, e.g., they look at malaria but not on the climatic influences on that problem. (Or at least that's what I gathered from the challenge pieces; I never got around to reading all the supplementary perspective pieces.)

      What they actually concluded is that dealing with climate change using pure mitigation is economically sub-optimal. They said that the optimal policy should include a combination of mitigation, adaptation, and technology R&D. Which is pretty much what anybody sensible says. And their optimal policy which includes CO2 mitigation as well as R&D leads to emissions in 2100 which are less than half of what the optimal policy would be if you ignored mitigation and relied only on technology improvements.

      The Copenhagen Consensus did not claim that climate cha

    88. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      torch the car and turn it in to insurance

    89. Re:At what point does ythis break down? by ralphbecket · · Score: 1

      You just can't help yourself, can you? Is it possible for someone to disagree with you without you questioning their integrity or intellect? Your charicature of skeptics is a hoot.
      (a) It's irrelevant who advances an argument, it's the content that counts.
      (b) I don't have a dog in this fight, dire AGW may indeed be the case, but I'm not convinced by the evidence as presented.
      (c) Is there any point in continuing a dialogue if you're simply going to dismiss sources of information with which you disagree as the work of crackpots on a mission?
      I believe my statement about the general absence of skepticism in the debate to be true. I apologise for using the term "alarmists". To avoid ruffling feathers I should have said, "people who believe it is probable that AGW is true and may well have catastrophic consequences".

      Look, are we having a discussion here or is this just going to be a slanging match?

  7. Something is not quite right here... by BlueParrot · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If this is indeed the case it would seem a bit strange that it has not been detected before. I mean with all the climate change debate going on there has been quite close scrutiny of the estimates of CO2 going into and out of the atmosphere, so if this is as big a carbon sink as described it would have to mean that the other sinks ( i.e the ocean and the biosphere ) are less potent than previously assumed.

    1. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Aphoxema · · Score: 4, Funny

      You'd think that exactly what you're looking for wouldn't be right in front of you until you find it is.

      Now, where the Hell are my keys...

      --
      "Most people, I think, don't even know what a rootkit is, so why should they care about it?"
    2. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its been well known for a long time that the CO2 levels in the atmosphere don't track with the CO2 being released... The carbon has obviously been going somewhere. I'd be interested in seeing the numbers, and if this is *the* missing carbon sink, or if it is just one of them.

    3. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But finding carbon sinks doesn't contribute to hysteria, which, in turn, doesn't contribute to further funding. Science is a business, make no mistake.

    4. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Amorymeltzer · · Score: 1

      You would, indeed, think that. I think the issue is that perhaps the close scrutiny of CO2 levels has unfortunately not been so close, at least up until now (or however long this paper took). The whole Climate Change/Greenhouse Gas debate is drawing so much attention and so many funds away from the work itself that it's making most of either side a moot point - we're getting close to when we'll just find out *when* it happens.

      This isn't good news for us Climate Change folks. Not only does this show that things are possibly not nearly as worse as we thought they were, but that our understanding is potentially flawed, perhaps very flawed. It's cool and awesome, but it sure as hell doesn't convince the naysayers.

      --
      I live in constant fear of the Coming of the Red Spiders.
    5. Re:Something is not quite right here... by JordanL · · Score: 1

      I'm fairly certain that there have been two sets of numbers:

      1. The carbon levels projected by global warming researchers.
      2. The carbon levels actually measured.

      It's my understanding that these two have not matched up properly at all, which was why for the longest time global warming wasn't shiek or mainstream as it is now. However it eventually was supplanted by anecdotal accounts of temperature, which were then used as evidence for global warming despite there being no measureable link.

      It's scary actually, because what we have here is human arrogance. We had one heavily studied model that projected increased temperatures, so of course we attributed any increased temperatures to it without the ability to relate the two.

      So I guess what I'm getting at isn't so much that the question is "how could we miss this much carbon" but rather "is our understanding of cause and effect relationship flawed".

    6. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Reziac · · Score: 2

      Probably not detected because it's been assumed all along that desert chemistry is fairly static, due to the general lack of "input" from the usual reactives, ie. water and biomass. So... I'd guess no one ever actually LOOKED.

      Ooops... now, what other assumptions about climate, and climate change, might be completely broken??

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    7. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Urkki · · Score: 0

      This isn't good news for us Climate Change folks. Not only does this show that things are possibly not nearly as worse as we thought they were, but that our understanding is potentially flawed, perhaps very flawed.

      On the contrary, this tells us that there are more efficient mechanisms for removing CO2 from the atmosphere than we thought. So just reducing greenhouse gas emissions might allow us to stop the CO2 increase, and maybe to actually *stop* the climate change.

      So I think this kind of information gives a very powerful argument: we *can* do something about it, 'cos the nature is on our side.

      Sci Fi fantasy: In the longer run, if there are enough mechanisms that can remove CO2 relatively rapidly, and we humans can increase it relatively rapidly, then this gives us control. With good enough climate models (not the models we have today and not with the meager computing power we have today) we could actually manage the global climate over decades "simply" by adjusting our CO2 emissions up or down.

    8. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the contrary, this tells us that there are more efficient mechanisms for removing CO2 from the atmosphere than we thought. So just reducing greenhouse gas emissions might allow us to stop the CO2 increase, and maybe to actually *stop* the climate change.

      Talk about arrogance.

      This is the same type of bullshit that has those on the "there is no global warming" side on the offensive. Because that level of ignorance is offensive in and of itself.

      Climate Change is GOING to happen. It is not an "if". It is not a "maybe". It is not a thing of the past. It is not some automatically 'man-made' "thing" that we can stop and play with if we so feel like it.

      The climate of Earth has changed over the course of BILLIONS of years without any interaction by man whatsoever. We have historical accounts of climate change within mankind's written history that show that it has been BOTH warmer AND colder than it is now. Or are you going to sit there and actually argue that mankind is responsible for both the little ice age that followed the medieval warm period (that coincides with the Maunder Minimum of sun spot activity?)

      Now that said, you recognize that the models we use today are hopelessly broken. You're not totally lost, yet.

    9. Re:Something is not quite right here... by Urkki · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Climate Change is GOING to happen. It is not an "if". It is not a "maybe". It is not a thing of the past. It is not some automatically 'man-made' "thing" that we can stop and play with if we so feel like it.

      Indeed, but it's a question of "when" and "how fast" and "how much". These are the questions that have some meaning. For some reason, so called "climate sceptics" don't like to ask these questions though...

      I assume (because otherwise what you say makes no sense) you believe either that our release of carbon from stable reserves hundreds of millions of years old has no effect on things like the CO2 content of atmosphere, or alternatively you must believe that even if there's an effect on CO2, that CO2 has no effect on the climate. Well, you seem to be in minority with this belief.

      Not to mention I find it kind of illogical to believe that changing things should be assumed to have no effect unless otherwise proven. But then again, being an engineer, I've seen enough small, seemingly irrelevant things being changed by people who didn't know why it was like it was, and causing... unfortunate consequences.

      So coming from this background, it's awfully hard for me to just believe either that release of carbon does nothing to the carbon cycle, and it's also awfully hard for me to believe that increasing CO2 does nothing to the climate. And general scientific concensus seems to agree with my gut feeling.

      IMHO the general principle in things like this is "no, stop it until you know what you're doing... just keep your damn hands off of it already, you idiot". Now with climate, keeping our hands off and stopping our massive carbon release isn't really an option, but slowing it down is still better than incresing it even more.

      Now that said, you recognize that the models we use today are hopelessly broken. You're not totally lost, yet.

      But your conclusion from this seems to be, keep changing things (releasing carbon) at will (which in practice means increasing rate of release, what with industrializing developing countries and increasing human population) until we have 100% proven models and simulations. Now if climate weren't a "misison critical" system, I'd be all for that kind of experimentation, let's see what happens. But for mission criticla systems, no no, you're giving me a headache just thinking about it.

  8. Not just a joke by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Forests soak up a lot of carbon, but then drop a lot of leaves. When the leaves rot they give off CO2 and methane. Methane is far worse as a green house gas than CO2 - by a factor of over 20.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Not just a joke by TheLink · · Score: 1

      So chop trees down, make furniture, paper, packaging out of them, landfill the discards then grow more trees.

      Simple :).

      Not so simple - work out a way to do it efficiently so that you only need to use the equivalent of a small percentage of trees chopped down to provide energy and resources for all that.

      Once you worked that out, you're carbon negative.

      --
    2. Re:Not just a joke by Max+Threshold · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Trees are still much better CO2 scrubbers than other plants. Rush Limbaugh is fond of pointing out how much CO2 is absorbed by suburban lawns, but most of it goes back into the atmosphere when the lawn is cut. By contrast, most of the carbon sequestered by trees is not in the leaves, but in the woody parts. And it remains sequestered for hundreds of years, or longer depending on what happens to the tree when it dies.

    3. Re:Not just a joke by MrCreosote · · Score: 3, Informative

      http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2008/08/05/2324476.htm

      Wild untouched forests store three times more carbon dioxide than previously estimated and 60% more than plantation forests, a world-first study of "green carbon" and its role in climate change shows.

      --
      MrCreosote Meow!Thump!Meow!Thump!Meow!Thump! "You're right! There isn't enough room to swing a cat in here!"
    4. Re:Not just a joke by fredmosby · · Score: 3, Funny

      ... but most of it goes back into the atmosphere when the lawn is cut.

      That really depends on what the homeowner does with the grass after it is cut. If it goes in a land fill most of the carbon probably stays underground. If if goes into a compost heap then more of the carbon goes back into the atmosphere.

      Although I personally think laws waste a lot of resources (especially in LA where I live).

    5. Re:Not just a joke by cizoozic · · Score: 1

      Although I personally think laws waste a lot of resources (especially in LA where I live).

      While I agree that many laws waste resources...

      I also agree that lawns waste them as well! I mean it seems to me that we water, fertilize, and care for lawns so that they will grow so much that we need to cut them every week or two, or else they start to die off. Don't we have some short green organism that just sustains a nice carpet-like height, and is equally more efficient?

    6. Re:Not just a joke by fredmosby · · Score: 3, Funny

      I guess the spell checker can't protect me from every kind of typo. Fortunately that sentence is still accurate. That could have been embarrassing.

    7. Re:Not just a joke by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Insightful
      When the leaves rot they give off CO2 and methane. Methane is far worse as a green house gas than CO2 - by a factor of over 20.

      True, but CH4 + 3O2 -> CO2 + 2H2O, which won't take long in an oxygen-rich atmosphere, and just gives us carbon dioxide back; the same carbon dioxide that was absorbed when the leaves grew in the springtime. Meanwhile the tree on the ground has grown over the course of the year, and locked up a bit more carbon in the form of wood.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    8. Re:Not just a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Although I personally think laws waste a lot of resources (especially in LA where I live).

      I know! What is up with this "cannibalism is illegal" crap? Do you know how much I can save by not buying steaks?

    9. Re:Not just a joke by Mattsson · · Score: 1

      But one has to take into account that cutting down a forest to create a dessert will create massive amounts of biodegradable "waste" that will give off methane too. =)
      Not to mention the emissions from the machines needed to cut down and remove of the forest.

      --
      /.Mattsson - My native language is not English, so please don't whine over linguistic errors. (That's lame anyway...)
    10. Re:Not just a joke by olof_the_viking · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The H2O is a really good greenhouse gas too, you know: http://www.espere.net/Unitedkingdom/water/uk_watervapour.html

    11. Re:Not just a joke by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yes H20 is a GHG, however what many people fail to mention is that the atmosphere is currently saturated with H20, as can be evidenced by dew drops forming in deserts before the sun rises.

      In other words, pump as much steam as you like into the atmosphere and all it will do is fall out as rain/dew somewhere else.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    12. Re:Not just a joke by g0dsp33d · · Score: 1

      Moss would be nice, plus its soft enough to walk on, if you don't mind it being a little moist and squishy all the time.

      --
      lol: You see no door there!
    13. Re:Not just a joke by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Mixing in a load of clover seed with the grass is also good. Many varieties of clover only grow to a height of a couple of inches, and the thicker leaves are nicer to walk on than grass.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    14. Re:Not just a joke by loafula · · Score: 2, Funny

      Lets not forget that the tree will ultimately die, and either or burn. Both give off lots of CO2. I think the net amount released is just about equal to the amount sequestered in the tree's life time.

      --
      FOXTROT UNIFORM CHARLIE KILO
    15. Re:Not just a joke by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      But methane power Bartertown!

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    16. Re:Not just a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually ozone is unreactive toward methane. The OH radical-methane lifetime is also pretty long (on the order of months, if I remember right), allowing for methane to get all the way into the stratosphere where it's an important source of water. It does eventually go to CO2, but must go through other species such as CH2O and CO first.

      What's important to remember is that, while there are huge fluxes going in and coming out of forests (and most environments), there is a net uptake of CO2. Humans and our activities are the exception, of course.

    17. Re:Not just a joke by SQLGuru · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'd rather plant cactus.....no need to water and it'll keep all you hooligans OFF MY LAWN!

      Layne

    18. Re:Not just a joke by FiloEleven · · Score: 2, Informative

      There are a few kinds of grass that require less mowing because they grow very slowly. A quick Googling led me to nomowgrass.com; I've heard of others but can't recall their names.

    19. Re:Not just a joke by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Moss, clover, dwarf grass to name a few. But most things won't do very well in the desert *anyway*. Better choices probably include aloe and agave in those circumstances.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    20. Re:Not just a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Idiot, methane has a very low halflife in the atmosphere, so it matters very little, it quickly reaches equibrium and there it stays.

      Perhaps you should go learn a little before blindly repeating the rubbish media feed in your ears.

      Animals have been farting and foliage rotting for quite some time now, and the planet has not burned up just yet.

      Media love to twist around figures, but it is quite a simple fact that methane is almost of no importance in any real carbon cycle - if it was we would all have died out a long time ago (probable long before humans even evolved).

    21. Re:Not just a joke by KnightNavro · · Score: 1

      It's been a while since I've gone through the global warming potential section of the IPCC reports in that much detail, but I think the 100 year GWP value for methane includes the potential resulting from the CO2 that results from decomposition.

    22. Re:Not just a joke by KnightNavro · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Got snark?

      Methane matters. The 100-year potential is 25 times higher than CO2. The shorter timeframe potentials are higher, and the long timeframe potentials are smaller. In the grand scheme of things, the 100 year potential is a reasonable one to use because it's looking at enough of the future to matter, but not so long as to look beyond what humans can effect in a (relatively) short time.

      This isn't the media twisting figures. the 100-year GWP is almost always the one used by the media. The green groups will try and use a shorter one when they're attacking a methane emitter (i.e. landfill), or a longer term one when they're discussing something like sulfur hexafloride.

    23. Re:Not just a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moss, clover, dwarf grass to name a few. But most things won't do very well in the desert *anyway*. Better choices probably include aloe and agave in those circumstances.

      I saw agave and thought of Christina Agave. I don't know if I would walk on her. A lot of other thing come to mind though...

    24. Re:Not just a joke by orangesquid · · Score: 1

      What are you saying, that when I eat a dessert I give off methane gas for a few hours afterward, much to the dismay of the roommates, who do their best to discourage me from eating so many dairy confections when they're around?

      --
      --TheOrangeSquid Is it any wonder things seem so awry? We swim in a sea of confusion and don't have to think to survive
    25. Re:Not just a joke by failedlogic · · Score: 1

      Thanks pal. I'm a cow and red kidney bean farmer. I feed my cows the beans. This comment is going to put me out of business! ;)

    26. Re:Not just a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget the carbon released by the lawnmowers used to cut those lawns.

    27. Re:Not just a joke by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Does that mean I can condense as much water out of the atmosphere as I like and the atmosphere will just evaporate it from somewhere else to make up the difference? Interesting.

    28. Re:Not just a joke by Max+Threshold · · Score: 1

      A simple estimation should tell you that the emissions from the mower itself are negligible. How many kilograms of carbon-based plant life can you cut with one kilogram of carbon-based fuel? The answer is somewhere in the neighborhood of "a shit-ton".

    29. Re:Not just a joke by sjames · · Score: 1

      Better still, as long as you're going to work that hard to make things grow, why not food?

    30. Re:Not just a joke by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      On human scales, yes. On average a water molecule spends about 10 days in the atmosphere, meaning any imbalance created by humans is smoothed over in about 2 weeks (compared to ~200yrs for C02). However on a very large scale (such as filling dams) it would alter the local climate probably making surrounding areas drier.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  9. Sooo... by bsDaemon · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Is this why all the oil is in the middle east?

    1. Re:Sooo... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, that's because Allah clearly planned the Muslims to be his chosen people and live on an ocean of black gold.

    2. Re:Sooo... by corychristison · · Score: 1

      Dunno what that has to do with it...

      Living in the Canadian Prairies, we have more oil than a lot of places in the world. Considering it's 'winter' here for 9 months of the year (according to Californian standards).

      My response to you is: what? *blink*

    3. Re:Sooo... by Jorophose · · Score: 1

      No, that's an exageration in the wrong direction.

      Alberta has more oil than the next biggest reserve (all the Saudi oil) and even maybe a few after. That's not counting arctic reserves, and from the other praries, or the maritimes.

    4. Re:Sooo... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      No, the prolific amount of oil in the Middle East is mainly related to organic carbon in source rock deposits that formed in the marine environment. The source rocks in the Middle East are particularly widespread and productive.

      The article is talking about carbonate (i.e. minerals with CO3 in their structure), which is completely different and is often referred to as "inorganic carbon". It's as different as algae (organic carbon) and sea shells (carbonate). They both involve carbon and both can have biological origins, but you can't generate oil from carbonate. You need molecules with plenty of H and C for that (i.e. hydrocarbon molecules).

      You can, however, find holes in carbonate rocks. In the right setting these can contain oil that has migrated into the porous rock from organic-rich source rocks nearby. Such rocks are known as petroleum reservoirs. Again, the Middle East has some spectacular reservoirs with very high porosity and permeability, allowing for plenty of space to hold the oil and to allow it to flow out. For example, the Ghawar field, which is the biggest oil field in Saudi Arabia and the world, has limestone reservoirs with up to 35% porosity by volume -- i.e. 35% of the volume isn't rock, but open spaces filled with fluid (either oil, gas, or water). That's extraordinarily high porosity. It's full of holes like a sponge.

      So, if you want the short answer to why there is so much oil in the Middle East: 1) spectacularly prolific and widespread organic-carbon-rich source rocks, 2) highly porous and permeable reservoir rocks (some of which are carbonates, some of which are other rock types), and 3) large "trap" structures, which I haven't discussed, but basically refers to the geometry of the porous reservoir and an impermeable seal that keeps the oil/gas from leaking out.

      It has very little to do with the modern deserts that are widespread in that part of the world today. Many of the conditions necessary for the large oil deposits were set up far enough back in geological history that today's climate is mostly irrelevant.

    5. Re:Sooo... by corychristison · · Score: 1

      I'm in SK.

      We have more than AB... much more.

    6. Re:Sooo... by bsDaemon · · Score: 2, Funny

      I was trying to be funny, but obviously failing

    7. Re:Sooo... by Eli+Gottlieb · · Score: 1

      California doesn't exactly set the standard for what constitutes "winter". Their depths of winter are usually more of a late-fall, very-early-spring rainy season as we experience it everywhere else.

    8. Re:Sooo... by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Oil or winter? ;)

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    9. Re:Sooo... by corychristison · · Score: 1

      Both! :-D

      But seriously we do have oil.

      The new Provincial Gov't appears to be selling it and making use of this natural resource (which is now worth a fortune) whereas previous Provincial Gov't had some ridiculous rules and regulations to companies buying/selling SK oil.
      I understood to a point... but their (major) demands were that they had to be SK owned companies. No companies from other provinces or even the U.S. could come and buy it from us.

      The AB Gov't decided years ago that they would let anyone come and drill the oil and just pay a nice big tax to export it. Their plan was to get out of debt with the Federal Gov't in 10 years... they did it in 3. They are the only province that does not have a Provincial Goods/Service Tax. All while little ol' SK was sitting here on top of more oil than AB.

      Now the rules have changed I think and we are doing as AB is... but I don't remember. Politics bore me... although I do understand the importance of keeping up. ... and that's my story.

    10. Re:Sooo... by corychristison · · Score: 1

      What I had meant was that Californians come up here and are bundled up 'freezing' during SK's non-summer months.

      Just this past week I met a Californian woman who was in town for a Bike Show who thought it was cold out. It was somewhere around 20C.

      Our temperatures vary from -45 Celsius (-49F) to +45 Celsius (113F).

    11. Re:Sooo... by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Nice to know! Of course, it stands to reason they'd show sense, since AB is really northern Montana [gd&rlh]

      I've also heard that AB's provincial leader, whatever the heck your equivalent of a governor is called, has told Ottawa to FOAD (in literally those terms) when they've tried to enforce various stupid federal regs that were sheer nonsense for life in AB. One has to wonder if this attitude ("we'll do what's right for *AB*, not what some remote gov't, with no demonstrable talents except going in debt, demands we do") has a great deal to do with it.

      (Not coincidentally, MT's governor has much the same attitude. And yeah, I grew up there!)

      I do hope SK has figured it out -- as you say politics is a bore, but we all have to live with its consequences.... and what's good for Canada is ultimately good for the U.S.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  10. of course you realize ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... that what's being done here is our first real attempt at terraforming. There are some scientists who believe the climatic change we are seeing is not a by product of man's industrial activities but part of a natural cycle. It all depends on whether you believe that CO2 increases precede or follow temperature change.

    If the climate change is actually a natural process then the attempt to control it has become our first great terraforming project. How convenient that we're trying this on the only planet we have and not some spare planet that wouldn't matter if it went awry.

    1. Re:of course you realize ... by cryptoluddite · · Score: 2, Funny

      If the climate change is actually a natural process then the attempt to control it has become our first great terraforming project. How convenient that we're trying this on the only planet we have and not some spare planet that wouldn't matter if it went awry.

      And if the rapid climate change is not a natural process then we have already not just attempted but are in the middle of an effective terraforming project where the only definition of 'success' must be some form of 'not at all like what we had before'. That sounds much worse to me than your what-if.

      The environmental people are either saying:

      1) our climate is changing, lets make it like it's always been before

      -or-

      2) we've changed our climate to something different and unknown, lets change it back again.

      Either way sound better to me that living in a completely unknown new climate. If our previous climate was good enough for Jesus, it's good enough for us.

    2. Re:of course you realize ... by YttriumOxide · · Score: 1

      There are some scientists who believe the climatic change we are seeing is not a by product of man's industrial activities but part of a natural cycle.

      Which just goes to prove that having the job title "scientist" is no indication that you have the slightest clue about the climate. Point me to the research of a serious climatologist that believes this, and I'll read it with interest. Papers by people from outside that specific field - not interested! (hey, I'm a "computer scientist", would you like to read my paper about psychology?)

      It all depends on whether you believe that CO2 increases precede or follow temperature change.

      Why do you present it as an either/or scenario? There's strong evidence that BOTH are true.

      How convenient that we're trying this on the only planet we have and not some spare planet that wouldn't matter if it went awry.

      The problem is that it's (most likely) already "gone awry". If we do nothing, we're (most likely) screwed. If we do something, we MIGHT be screwed. It's just a case of taking a better bet over a worse one.

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    3. Re:of course you realize ... by DarenN · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Which just goes to prove that having the job title "scientist" is no indication that you have the slightest clue about the climate. Point me to the research of a serious climatologist that believes this, and I'll read it with interest. Papers by people from outside that specific field - not interested! (hey, I'm a "computer scientist", would you like to read my paper about psychology?)

      This might seem like a fair point but it isn't. Lets look at the scientists. I'm neutral on this, but I dislike the hysteria that seems to have gathered around each side. And that of the people predicting climate disaster now many are the same ones that predicted climate disaster back in the '70's, but the other way (ice-age).

      My major problem with this is that "climatology" is a difficult field. It combines geology, meteorology, atmospheric research, marine research and a few others. But by and large, the doomsday predictions are coming from a group that are climate modellers. These people build up computer models of the climate and tune them using data from the past. The models are then used to attempt to predict the future of the climate.

      And they're all dead wrong. The data is really spotty until 50 years or so ago so there's no idea how accurate they are. None of them are predictive. And none of them match the spotty historical data without what they call "forcing" and what everyone else calls "fiddling with parameters until it looks kinda right". Building scenarios based on them is like playing with lego, you tend to end up with what you were looking for.

      Here's an interesting paper (from a real journal).

      Some highlights (emphasis mine although it's all interesting):

      It is of no little significance that the IPCC's value for the coefficient in the CO2 forcing equation depends on only one paper in the literature; its values for the feedbacks that it believes account for two-thirds of humankind's effect on global temperatures are likewise taken from only one paper; and that its implicit value of the crucial parameter K depends upon only two papers, one of which had been written by a lead author of the chapter in question, and neither of which provides any theoretical or empirical justification for a value as high as that which the IPCC adopted.

      He goes on - the portion on how the models are verified is interesting

      The point of this post is: hysteria solves nothing. We need to calmly move forward with rational solutions to the pollution that is caused by people, not suggest incredibly radical measures that are simply not going to be accepted by any but the most lunatic fringe. Dismissing valid objections with supporting evidence just because it doesn't say "Climate Modeller" on a business card is foolish.

      --
      Rational thought is the only true freedom
    4. Re:of course you realize ... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 0

      And that of the people predicting climate disaster now many are the same ones that predicted climate disaster back in the '70's, but the other way (ice-age).

      Oh really? Who are these people who are predicting ice ages in the 1970s, and which of them are today predicting climate disaster?

      "Scientists in the 1970s were predicting an imminent ice age" is a myth, based on basically one paper by Rasool and Schneider, plus some confusion with scientists talking about ice ages in thousands or tens of thousands of years.

      You might read this to start.

      And they're all dead wrong.

      On the contrary, they reproduce temperatures quite well and precipitation decently.

      The data is really spotty until 50 years or so ago so there's no idea how accurate they are.

      We have reasonable data for over 100 years, and even 50 years of data tells us a lot about how accurate they are, as the measurement error is quite smaller than the visible trend.

      None of them are predictive.

      That's nonsense. Even a simple two-equation energy balance model is decently predictive for global temperature, and the GCMs do much better, not just time trends but also spatial patterns, for atmospheric and ocean temperatures, top-of-atmosphere radiative fluxes, precipitation at least at the zonal level, etc.

      And none of them match the spotty historical data without what they call "forcing"

      You have no idea what you're talking about, do you?

      Of course they don't match the historical data without forcing. Forcing is what makes the climate change: changes in greenhouse gases, solar irradiance, sulphate aerosols, etc. With no forcing, the climate just hovers around an equilibrium state.

      You're simply saying "models can't reproduce warming temperatures unless you include a source of heating". Well duh.

      and what everyone else calls "fiddling with parameters until it looks kinda right".

      Again, duh. Pretty much every model in the world requires its parameters to be calibrated from data; you can pretty much never calculate anything from first principles, unless you're talking particle physics. That doesn't mean that models aren't predictive. The question is whether you can adjust the parameters to reproduce the observed climate without substantial input from anthropogenic forcings, and the answer is no.

      Here's an interesting paper (from a real journal).

      That's not a real journal, it's an un-peer reviewed newsletter, and the paper was written by a journalist, not a scientist. Monckton's "critique" is just a horrible train wreck of absurd errors, some of which are being detailed here, here, and here.

      Since you quote that part specifically, I should note that his claim that the IPCC takes its feedbacks from one paper is absurd. The feedback factor is just another word for "climate sensitivity"; model based computations of the feedbacks are found in chapter 8 of the latest IPCC WG1 report, and observational estimates of the sensitivity are found in chapter 9. The relevant sections cite dozens of papers.

      Dismissing valid objections with supporting evidence just because it doesn't say "Climate Modeller" on a business card is foolish.

      Let me know when you have any valid objections with supporting evidence.

    5. Re:of course you realize ... by DarenN · · Score: 1

      I read the response from RealClimate.org, and I have to say that while the article itself was just ad hominem attacks, the postings below it contained useful information. I found it interesting that Monckton managed to assemble what at first glance is a list of plausible objections, these just doesn't stand up on investigation. I was especially interested that most of his references didn't support his assertions - without the time to peruse them in detail this had escaped me (and, I suspect, many others)

      Again, duh. Pretty much every model in the world requires its parameters to be calibrated from data; you can pretty much never calculate anything from first principles, unless you're talking particle physics. That doesn't mean that models aren't predictive. The question is whether you can adjust the parameters to reproduce the observed climate without substantial input from anthropogenic forcings, and the answer is no.

      Nevertheless, it is rarely reported that a lot of the forcings introduced are guesswork to fit the past climate data and that there is more than one forcing profile that can fit that data. Because this is skipped it's really easy to make the results look dodgy.

      That's not a real journal, it's an un-peer reviewed newsletter, and the paper was written by a journalist, not a scientist.

      So they've amended their disclaimer to note. When I read it, that disclaimer did NOT note that it was not the policy of APS to publish without peer review of some sort.

      It's another weakness of the global warming side that any arguments against them tend to be ridiculed rather than rationally refuted. The response given at realclimate.org is a good example of this. Thankfully, some of the people responding to the article took the time to address the issues raised. To the non-expert, on casual reading, the paper looks convincing. Rather than say "Oh, but he's a journalist" a more detailed response might be appropriate. A high handed attitude only puts peoples backs up.

      --
      Rational thought is the only true freedom
    6. Re:of course you realize ... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Nevertheless, it is rarely reported that a lot of the forcings introduced are guesswork to fit the past climate data and that there is more than one forcing profile that can fit that data. Because this is skipped it's really easy to make the results look dodgy.

      It's not skipped.

      It's usually not feasible to run models with every possible combination of forcing, but people use several different forcing reconstructions as a proxy for this uncertainty, and still arrive at the same conclusions. And sometimes it is possible, for the simpler models, which are adequate if all you care about is global or hemispheric annual temperature.

      In particular, to see a pretty comprehensive error analysis for both natural and anthropogenic forcings, see last years J. Climate article on climate sensitivity by Tomassini et al. This is even including very wide (factor of 2) uncertainties in some of the forcing profiles, like the indirect effect of sulfate aerosols. This is for the instrumental records where we've had good measurements of most of these since the 1950s or so, and still have pretty decent reconstructions earlier in the century.

      When I read it, that disclaimer did NOT note that it was not the policy of APS to publish without peer review of some sort.

      It's just a forum newsletter, not an academic journal. I've never heard of a peer reviewed newsletter.

      It's another weakness of the global warming side that any arguments against them tend to be ridiculed rather than rationally refuted.

      Ha. You should see the river of ridicule that runs freely on the skeptic blogs.

      To the non-expert, on casual reading, the paper looks convincing. Rather than say "Oh, but he's a journalist" a more detailed response might be appropriate.

      A detailed response helps, and I linked to responses. However, "Oh, but he's a journalist" alone should be a sufficient warning sign that it's not something you should be supporting, unless you yourself are an expert and know all the pros and cons. I know everyone on Slashdot likes to be egalitarian and root for scientific rebels, but in reality random people just don't overturn decades of research with a casual analysis, at least not anything that's been really intensively studied. People forget that while Einstein was a "rebel", he was also deeply trained in physics...

  11. South Park Did It by Nymz · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Each year, the Rainforest is responsible for over three thousand deaths from accidents, attacks or illnesses." - Rainforest Schmainforest and now forests are rotting and giving off greenhouse gases. We must act to stop these forests from further encroaching upon our Earth-friendly deserts, it is time we cleaned them up.

    1. Re:South Park Did It by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Furthermore, in spite of the dangers, if you love the Earth, always light your farts.

  12. Co2 is unimportant by attag · · Score: 0, Troll

    Study's have show that CO2 is irrelevant as a greenhouse gas.

  13. I've said it before and I'll say it again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We [all of humanity, as in not one single person on the planet] do not even understand 1/100th of 1/100th of 1% of how our planet works. A lot of people believe that we are making a huge impact, but if you really do look at the big picture, we [all of humanity] actually take up a very small percentage of the planet. There is a lot of uncovered ground and water that works to clean up after itself and us.

    The planet is not out of balance, we are not causing that much damage and in most places where we have caused damage if we stopped it would be cleaned up all by itself in 5 to 15 years. Some of the more damaged places would self-heal in 15 to 50 years.

    Yes, there are things we should be doing to reduce our impact. But this whole global warming, global climate change thing happening now is NOT caused by us. Well, some of it might be, but we cannot possibly know that. We have so few years of records in the history of the planet it's not even funny. How far back do ACCURATE temperature readings go back around most of the globe? 50 to 60 years. How many years do we have accurate temperature readings for what are now populated areas? Maybe 200, at most.

    We cannot even begin to understand what is happening now. For all we know it's going to be getting very cold in the next 5 or 10 years. We don't know what kind of cycles the earth or sun have. We should just do what we can, do not do anything extreme in any direction, just recycle, use glass and paper instead of plastic. Don't go out buying a new car every 2 to 5 years, drive it til it dies, then replace it with an electric, hybrid, or high mileage car. Use recyclable and recycled materials. Boycott products, companies and events that "offset" their carbon usage by buying "carbon credits", that's only a money making scheme and nothing more, it's doing nothing for the planet. Go plant a few trees yourself and tell Gore's companies and new industry to go fuck itself.

    Our scientists are smart, yes, but they have so much to learn and much, much more to teach us.

  14. Not the whole story by edalytical · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Methane doesn't stay in the atmosphere as long as CO2.

    --
    Win a signed Stephen Carpenter ESP Guitar from the Deftones: http://def-tag.com/?r=0008781
    1. Re:Not the whole story by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, but unfortunately one of the byproducts of methane decomposition is CO2.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    2. Re:Not the whole story by cnettel · · Score: 1

      Yes, but then we are down to 5 % greenhouse effect. It it also a more interesting prospect to sequester methane from the atmosphere for burning, there is at least one step there which is highly exotermic.

    3. Re:Not the whole story by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Good points. Interestingly there is a lot of Methane bubbling out of the melting permafrost, particularly in E. Siberia. However the last two IPCC forecasts for increased Methane concentrations have failed to materialize, ie: levels have remained relatively stable for a decade after a steadily rising trend a few decades long. I consider the "missing methane" and "collapse of the Artic sea ice" to be the two biggest errors in the IPCC forecasts.

      Just a thought but perhaps this new discovery is connected to the "missing methane"?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    4. Re:Not the whole story by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      I thought the arctic sea ice was melting at an incredible rate?

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
    5. Re:Not the whole story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Methane doesn't stay in the atmosphere as long as CO2.

      You've obviously never been in the same room as me! :)

    6. Re:Not the whole story by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Glad you noticed that the errors I chose support different conclusions by different un-scientific groups. An error is an error regardless of which conclusion it supports. Errors do make a model less reliable but they certainly don't make them useless ( as can be witnessed by everyday interaction with the internet ).

      The most pessimistic estimates of the (winter) 2007 IPCC report had the summer Artic being "ice free" by around 2050, GHG "alarmists" at the same time were saying ~2030, now 2015 is looking not unreasonable. Last years melt was so dramatic that large shipping companies have been seriously contemplating the feasiblity of opening new shipping routes across the pole. Meanwhile a considerable number of scientists are still looking behind the couch for the missing methane.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    7. Re:Not the whole story by Walkingshark · · Score: 1

      It is. Thats the problem, it is melting faster than the IPCC predicted. Something is still wrong with the science. It seems, though, that its wrong in the bad direction... ie things might be even worse than they thought. Hopefully there are feedback loops that will ramp up along with the heating to help mitigate it. We've gone off the map as far as historic levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere go, so we're kind of flying blind.

      Maybe they were right in Battlefield 2142, and in the next couple of decades we'll see the glaciers come back and end up fighting "The Cold War."

      If so I call dibs on the walker.

      --
      The world you experience is only a close approximation of reality.
    8. Re:Not the whole story by KnightNavro · · Score: 1

      Yes, and over that short lifespan it's MUCH more potent than CO2. It's pretty much standard to use the 100-year global warming potential of a gas when discussing it's global warming potential. Otherwise, you're comparing apples and oranges (short lived but high impact versus long lived but low impact).

    9. Re:Not the whole story by kenboldt · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Meanwhile, the Antarctic ice is growing. wow, who would have thought that systems and cycles on this planet are dynamic and will constantly change and adapt. I don't claim to know all the answers to questions related to climate change, but I do know that there are far better ways we can be spending our money than on "man-made CO2" which may or may not have an effect on climate change. We know with certainty that pollutants in our water have negative health effects, we know for certain that toxins in the air we breath have negative health effects, but hey, lets forget all that and focus on something that occurs naturally in the environment with or without human influence.

    10. Re:Not the whole story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Last years melt was so...

      year's*****************

      *goose walks grammar style*

    11. Re:Not the whole story by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Meanwhile, the Antarctic ice is growing.

      That doesn't contradict the previous poster's point, which is that models if anything have been conservative in their predictions of climate change. (Sea level rise is also faster than modeled.)

      wow, who would have thought that systems and cycles on this planet are dynamic and will constantly change and adapt.

      Again, that's not the point.

      I don't claim to know all the answers to questions related to climate change, but I do know that there are far better ways we can be spending our money than on "man-made CO2" which may or may not have an effect on climate change.

      You "know" that, huh? So where's the cost-benefit analysis you've run?

      We know with certainty that pollutants in our water have negative health effects, we know for certain that toxins in the air we breath have negative health effects, but hey, lets forget all that and focus on something that occurs naturally in the environment with or without human influence.

      That's wrong in so many ways.

      First, that's a false dichotomy. No one is saying to forget other environmental hazards, they're saying that climate change is an additional and serious hazard that must be dealt with along with all other hazards, environmental and otherwise. It's like saying "Why build levees to protect from hurricanes when we could be spending the money on treating cancer?" You need to do both.

      Second, while climate change occurs naturally, that has nothing to do with the current problem of harmful human-caused climate change. CO2 does have a significant effect on climate change and will have an even greater effect as emissions continue.

      Third, scientific uncertainty when applied to policy doesn't work the way you seem to think. Your argument appears to be "We shouldn't spend any money on something which is uncertain, if we can spend it on things which are certain". But a policy of "no reduction in CO2 emissions" is only justified when you're CERTAIN that there will be little damage. If you're UNCERTAIN about future climate change, then the best policy is to buy insurance against the possible hazard, which in this case means reducing CO2 emissions. (Not as much as you'd reduce if you were certain of severe damages, but some reduction nonetheless, and certainly more than we're doing now.)

      In any other situation with uncertainty people recognize the need to insure against risks, but somehow all that logic disappears when applied to climate change. This is what Bjorn Lomborg got hammered for by economists when he advocated the same thing (ignore climate change in favor of malaria and other threats): it's the risk of the lower probability but high impact events that really drives the need for insurance, and if you ignore uncertainty and pick lowball or even middle-of-the-road estimates and pretend you're certain about them, you're going to come up too low on the amount of insurance you really need.

      Fourth, while there are hazards whose effect are more certain, they're not always the ones which need to be most urgently addressed. We know the bubonic plague is deadly but that doesn't mean we should be worrying about that first. In the U.S., air and water pollution still exist, but they are no longer really severe health hazards. I agree, if the river in your back yard is on fire or you live in one of China's smog-infested cities, those problems are pretty urgent. But climate change is also important, particularly in places that no longer have severe pollution problems. Climate change affects people's water and food supplies, where they can live, damages from extreme weather events, and many others effects of first-order importance.

      Fifth, the problems are interrelated. A lot of air pollution comes from the same burning of fossil fuels that produces CO2. To an extent you can tackle both problems by reducing fossil fuel use (which also addresses the problem of dependence on foreign oil to boot).

    12. Re:Not the whole story by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "Meanwhile, the Antarctic ice is growing."

      Well yes, it's the middle of winter down here.

      Aside from that the Antartic is pretty much behaving as expected ( more snow up high, more melt around the edges ). The one place that is changing rapidly is the Antartic pennisula where temp rises have been three times the global average because of a phenomena known as polar amplification. Polar amplification has been forecast by the models since the 90's.

      Even if you think we are not facing serious changes to our climate that could descimate global food production, surely a drastic reduction in the use of fossil fuels would go a long way to solving some of the other problems you mention. Personally I would like to see all pollution cleaned up but that's not going to happen in my lifetime.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    13. Re:Not the whole story by shellbeach · · Score: 2, Funny

      Meanwhile a considerable number of scientists are still looking behind the couch for the missing methane.

      It's not behind the couch, it's in the gaps between the cushions. Man, everything falls between those cushions, frikkin' everything ...

    14. Re:Not the whole story by Sally+Forth · · Score: 1

      Actually, thanks to the serious changes that are decimating food production, my part of the world is able to grow hundreds of things previously out of our zone. They say in medieval times, that wine grapes used to come out of mid-to-northern Germany.

      This is what I'm wondering... if we think climate change is rampant and coming fast, why haven't we started MOVING THE FARMS up a zone yet?

      (I can give you one good reason... frosts have been threatening the California and Florida orange crops for the past several years. It's kind of weird that such rampant warming can cause frost in Florida and snow in Iraq.)

    15. Re:Not the whole story by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "This is what I'm wondering... if we think climate change is rampant and coming fast, why haven't we started MOVING THE FARMS up a zone yet?"

      Melting permafrost will be a huge swamp for decades/centuries. Here in Australia the SE is getting drier and the NW is getting wetter, however the soil in the SE breadbasket takes centuries to create. This is not to say that there won't be any good surprises, perhaps removing the Artic ice will lead to an explosion of phytoplankton that will suck up some C02 and feed a lot of fish.

      "It's kind of weird that such rampant warming can cause frost in Florida and snow in Iraq."

      Looking at the globe in thermodynamic terms the rise in temprature stirs up the atmosphere a bit more, raising the Earths temp by a few degrees takes an enourmous amount of energy. Models predict more extreme weather events but the jury is still out on an observable trend.

      Anecdotally here in Australia we have had similar frosts kill our fruit whilst experiencing heat waves, drought and a cyclone that wiped out our entire bannana crop, I've seen news reports of snow falling on bushfires about a half dozen times over the last couple of summers. The year before last the fire season came 2 months early and was the worst I have seen in my 50yrs. The drought is said to be the worst in at lest 600yrs in a country that's dry at the best of times. The Murray-Darling basin no longer flows into the sea and has been that way for 6yrs now, one good harvest in the last 10yrs, other harvests have been down ~50%, we are 4th largest grain producer, every capitail city is on water rationing ( something that Californians may have to suck up soon, we have found that a 10% drop in rainfall translates to a 30% drop in run-off to storage ).

      However all we can say with any certainty is that AGW is compounding existing land use problems and they will likely get worse before they get better.

      The grape thing has a grain of truth to it, there was a warm period during medieval times but this has now far surpassed it. AFAIK nobody has a good eplaination for the ME warm period but I hear there are wineries in England that grow their own grapes.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    16. Re:Not the whole story by Walkingshark · · Score: 1

      Thanks, your reply to that dude was a lot more civil than mine would have been. Plus its always nice to know that there ARE people out there who bothered to read up on the science a bit, and have the ability to understand it.

      --
      The world you experience is only a close approximation of reality.
    17. Re:Not the whole story by hrimhari · · Score: 1

      Someone please rate the above post as a 5?

      --
      http://dilbert.com/2010-12-13
  15. 2 major coal producing nations.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Conincidence that this was discovered by 2 major coal producing nations?

  16. How is this a "hidden loop?" by Jflatnote · · Score: 1

    I don't get how restating something we already know (that cryptogamic crusts and alkaline soils are part of the carbon cycle, and that deserts, which often have both soil crusts and alkaline soil in abundance, are an important contributor), is discovering some "hidden loop." More likely is that some shmo left out or undervalued the importance of arid systems in their model.

  17. Something to note... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is more than half of the carbon released by humans.

    And since its scientific fact that Humans only provide 3% of the total carbon output per year, that means its only sequestering 1.5%.

    Very interesting.

    1. Re:Something to note... by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      its scientific fact that Humans only provide 3% of the total carbon output per year

      [citation needed]

      Oh, and also [apostrophe needed].

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  18. Yay! Create more deserts! by gweihir · · Score: 1

    A nice littlle nuclear war plus aggressive deforestation should do it!

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  19. Actually we do... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

    Quote: "There is in fact little understanding of how the position of the Earth/solar system in the plane of the Milky Way affects solar radiation et al and thus how it affects planet temperatures. Desert sand is not the cure, it is a possible cure. There are others, like cutting down on human CO2 emissions etc."

    On the contrary. We know that there is an extremely strong correlation -- geologic and historical -- between earth temperatures and solar flares. Inverse correlation, actually.

  20. NO NO NO! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The debate on global warming is over! Didn't you hear our politicians and celebrities say so? Everyone still looking for evidence is a neocon.

  21. Misleading Summary by Conspicuous+Coward · · Score: 4, Informative
    TFA is far more cautious about these findings than the summary suggests. Also, no scientists are currently suggesting that these findings are likely to have a significant impact on the level of anthropogenic global warming.

    The effect could be huge: About 35% of Earth's land surface, or 5.2 billion hectares, is desert and semiarid ecosystems. If the Mojave readings represent an average CO2 uptake, then deserts and semiarid regions may be absorbing up to 5.2 billion tons of carbon a year.

    Also...

    For now, some experts doubt that the world's most barren ecosystems are the longsought missing carbon sink. "I'd be hugely surprised if this were the missing sink. If deserts are taking up a lot of carbon, it ought to be obvious," says William Schlesinger, a biogeochemist at the Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies in Millbrook, New York, who in the 1980s was among the first to examine carbon flux in deserts. Nevertheless, he says, both sets of findings are intriguing and "must be followed up." Scientists have long struggled to balance Earth's carbon books. While atmospheric CO2 levels are rising rapidly, our planet absorbs more CO2 than can be accounted for.

    and...

    Provided the surprising CO2 sink in the deserts is not a mirage, it may yet prove ephemeral. "We don't want to say that these ecosystems will continue to gain carbon at this rate forever," Wohlfahrt says. The unexpected CO2 absorption may be due to a recent uptick in precipitation in many deserts that has fueled a visible surge in vegetation. If average annual rainfall levels in those deserts were to abate, that could release the stored carbon and lead to a more rapid buildup of atmospheric CO2--and possibly accelerate global warming.

    This is not, as some posters are implying, published science that concludes the IPCC predictions are in any way likely to be inaccurate, or that carbon is accumulating in the atmosphere at a rate lower than previously thought.
    This is a news article in science detailing some interesting research showing that deserts may be absorbing more carbon than was previously thought, and that this may account for the fact that atmospheric measurements show the earth is absorbing carbon at a higher rate than can be accounted for by currently known sinks. The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is known from atmospheric measurements, and is higher than at any time in the last 650,000 years.

  22. Safari by tknd · · Score: 1

    If he uses a mac, safari doesn't show the status bar by default.

    1. Re:Safari by bucky0 · · Score: 1

      And if you're using a mac and sticking to the defaults, the default pdf viewer doesn't crap out and lock your browser process while loading.

      --

      -Bucky
    2. Re:Safari by the+grace+of+R'hllor · · Score: 1

      If you remove all the unnecessary plugins, neither does Acrobat Reader. At least, not for as long.

    3. Re:Safari by hab136 · · Score: 2, Informative

      If you remove all the unnecessary plugins, neither does Acrobat Reader. At least, not for as long.

      If you remove Acrobat Reader and use an alternative viewer, it's even faster.

      Preview on OS X (built-in)
      Foxit Reader on Windows
      Xpdf on Linux and friends

    4. Re:Safari by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the fact that its a PDF in itself is enough of a PITA to warrent not reading it.

      Also he konqueror has no porblems with pdfs and firefox+kpdf works fine as im sure many options on windows do.
      So in summary all I have to say is STFU mac-boy

      --
      IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
    5. Re:Safari by bucky0 · · Score: 1

      If I have a choice between installing Foxit Reader and installing Acrobat Reader and then uninstalling all of the plugins, I'll chose the one that has fewer steps.

      I don't know of any features in the 'official' reader that aren't in the free versions, so I don't even bother.

      --

      -Bucky
    6. Re:Safari by bucky0 · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the ad-hominem. All of my PCs (for work and for personal use) are linux with exception of one XP machine.

      What point were you trying to make, exactly?

      --

      -Bucky
  23. Of course there is by Mathinker · · Score: 1

    But if I told you what it is, I'd be astroturfing...

    1. Re:Of course there is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Surely it'd only be astroturf astroturfing if you were being paid to astroturf about astroturf by an astroturf company?

  24. Thank you, Bill Cosby by Mathinker · · Score: 1
  25. People want something to save you from by Moraelin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Actually, I'm getting the idea that for some people the goal isn't even to point fingers at something, but to point fingers at someone. Subtle but important difference.

    Actually, even that is the superficial version. The longer one is that a bunch of people need not just to feel superior to you all, but to be a part of some grand cause that's never done or achievable. The last part is the more important one. It's what makes such grandiose tactually an _easy_ way out.

    The quote which comes to mind, and kinda sums it all up, is, "It is easier to be a "humanitarian" than to render your own country its proper due; it is easier to be a "patriot" than to make your community a better place to live in; it is easier to be a "civic leader" than to treat your own family with loving understanding; for the smaller the focus of attention, the harder the task."

    So people seek some grandiose cause to fight for, so they don't have to acknowledge that they don't achieve the small ones.

    And again, it better be something so grand that nobody actually expects any given individual to achieve anything tangible. In a "small" task, like, say, "I want to finally get out of debt", or "I'll take some lessons and try to find a better job", or "I'll finally have a talk to my son about starting fights at school", there are very clear criteria as to whether you achieved anything or not. And at some point you have to admit that you didn't. It's not a very motivating thought. Worse yet, it might involve some personal effort and change. Good grief.

    On the other hand, "saving the world" (from whatever global threat, from MS to global warming to God's wrath) is _easy_. It's a task nobody really expects you to achieve. So you can just moan and bitch a little about how the _other_ people should change, then be smug that you did your part. If it didn't achieve anything, it's because everyone _else_ didn't immediately drop everything and do as you said. Or even if they did, and it didn't actually work, hey, it's still their fault not yours: they didn't do enough, or didn't really understand you.

    Big surprise that people choose the latter, eh? They're easy.

    And it's not even something new. Since the dawn of time people have got into such grandiose fights to save others from whatever. For a long time, mostly from worshiping the wrong gods, or from worshiping them all wrong, or from some moral/philosophical detail that will doom us all. Mostly because they didn't have some scientific doomsday scenario, so God's Wrath was the best threat they had. Now they can do better.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:People want something to save you from by NickFortune · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As Larry Niven once pointed out, there is no cause so right that you can't find a fool fighting for it somewhere.

      What you say about human is probably entirely accurate, and I have no doubt it describes many people on both sides of the debate.

      Still, I can't help feeling that it's drifting away from the point. The issue is climate, not psychology.

      --
      Don't let THEM immanentize the Eschaton!
    2. Re:People want something to save you from by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      No matter the topic or whether there is basis to an argument for or against that topic, someone will want to blame someone else. Even in a situation in which there is nothing wrong and nobody took any chances that anything could go wrong, someone somewhere will be unhappy and blame someone else for their own perceived failure of whatever activity or venture. Some of those assigning blame will also claim a specifically selfish or evil motive on the part of the people they blame.

      When something actually is wrong and there's evidence for it, more people become part of each of those groups. The core of those groups, that always find fault, will become louder and will actively recruit others.

      It's sad, but it's human nature. Most of us have been part of the group finding fault where there is none in some circumstance. Many of us have assigned a motive to those we blamed. People like to have reasons when something goes wrong. Most of us hopefully don't do all of this that often, but a few people fall into this blaming trap all the time.

  26. Re:Not not just a joke by g-san · · Score: 1

    > Methane is far worse as a green house gas than CO2

    Your breath smells like ass.

  27. Re:Fragile Earth or Robust Earth? by meringuoid · · Score: 0
    Why can't everyone see what is plainly obvious here: the major inputs to our atmospheric temperatures, the inputs that MATTER, the inputs that can even hope to make a BLIP on the charts are: the variability in solar energy output, the volcanoes, the rotting vegetation, and water vapor.

    I'm afraid you've bought in to a common lie. Human activity releases far, far more carbon dioxide than the volcanoes do.

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  28. The European tax effect by Kupfernigk · · Score: 4, Informative
    In fact you are right, and the net result is interesting. In Europe we pay about the same PER MILE for fuel as you do in the US, even though it costs twice as much per gallon. The high tax causes most of us to buy fuel efficient cars, our smaller city streets (built before cars) encourage us to use smaller vehicles. But our road deaths are no worse than the US and often much better.

    The problem with CAFE was that it was indeed a boondoggle - the mandated efficiency improvements were actually less than were achieved automatically by European taxation levels, and as you note it was easily evaded with the "light truck" class.

    Taxation of fuel is sensible because it is a tax on actual consumption. Most people are able to reduce their consumption by varied means - aggregated journeys, car shares, vacations closer to home, reducing acceleration, using mail order more - without changing their vehicles.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    1. Re:The European tax effect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Taxation of fuel is sensible

      Why is giving your money to big wasteful bureaucratic nanny state government sensible? If the government does not want people to pollute, then it should pass and enforce anti-pollution laws. If something is truly bad, why should the government make money off of it? Social engineering through taxation is just another way for government control your life and make money off of you at the same time. This is completely anti-liberty and anti-American. If something pollutes, pass laws to stem it. CAFE is not an anti pollution law. It was designed to stem consumption (i.e. social engineering).

  29. Carbon Dating by suineg · · Score: 1

    Does this by any chance screw up carbon dating?

    Pardon me if that is a stupid question.

    --
    Courage is fear holding on a minute longer. George Patton
    1. Re:Carbon Dating by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      No, it doesn't screw carbon dating. All carbon sinks absorb carbon by the same proportions that it exists at the atmosphere, so no sink will impact it.

    2. Re:Carbon Dating by Temkin · · Score: 1

      Nope. That relies on Carbon-14 production in the upper atmosphere by bombardment of Nitrogen by cosmic rays. This is impacted by variations in the Earth's magnetosphere.

      We are releasing large quantities of C-14 depleted carbon by burning oil and coal. But this can be compensated for.

    3. Re:Carbon Dating by CorporateSuit · · Score: 1

      The assumption that Carbon Dating is correct screws up carbon dating. There is nothing on Earth over 10,000 years old that we can point to, with surety, and say "That item is n*10,000 years old" and then use it to test carbon dating. It's simply assumed that the halflife works the exact same as some shorter-term-halflife elements and ions that we do have records old enough to measure. We measure it against old guesses.

      If you carbon date anything less than 10,000 years old (i.e. your car) the reading will come back as about 10,000 years old. So, basically, the only true scientific method you can really apply to carbon dating returns "wildy innaccurate" results, yet it is the established dogma of our time.

      They need to come up with a word for groupthinked "science" theories: evolution, string theory, and carbon dating to name a few... like "scienrhetoric" or "philosotific". The whole "It's true because it's popular" is really getting out of hand in the 21st century.

      --
      I am the richest astronaut ever to win the superbowl.
  30. you're advocating a dangerous global experiment by speedtux · · Score: 1

    We have been emitting massive amounts of carbon into the atmosphere for maybe 50 years. It's a simple physical fact that that must lead to global warming sooner or later; whatever has kept anthropogenic global warming under control so far has been homeostatic mechanisms that invariably will get overwhelmed if we keep growing our emissions.

    We know what the climate would likely be like without human carbon emissions and other human changes to the environment, because it's the climate that we have been getting for the last 5000 years of human civilization.

    You're also wrong to assume that "mother nature works slowly". Once homeostasis is gone, things can spiral out of control in a matter of a few years. That is what makes continued massive carbon emissions particularly risky: by the time we have definitive proof that they are dangerous, it's far too late to do anything about it.

    What you are advocating is a massive, risky, global climate experiment, for no other reason than the short term convenience of some oil and coal companies. There is no reason on earth, economically, meteorologically, socially, or ecologically, to continue emitting massive amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere, and the sooner and the closer we can get to pre-industrial levels, the better. It's the conservative thing to do and it's the right thing to do.

    1. Re:you're advocating a dangerous global experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pandora's box is open.

      There is no going back to pre-Industrial levels, particularly if you have any intention of maintaining current global populations, let alone densities, let alone the standards of living that a very significant portion of the population enjoys.

      So, basically, it sounds like you're okay with 3/4 of the world population dying, as we rely on transportation and other oil powered methods of production.

      Your 'plan' is, if anything, even more of an experiment than what you call the current economy.

      And it makes you look like the socialist scum I'm sure you deride when talking to your best friend - your reflection in a mirror.

  31. it's you who is advocating massive change by speedtux · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The real problem isn't nature, and to your point, the real solution isn't changing anything, it's dedicated research.

    But we are changing something: we are emitting CO2 into the atmosphere, and our emissions are growing exponentially. That can't go on: either we stop voluntarily, or we run out of fossil fuel, or we get a climate catastrophe; there simply is no third possibility.

    When you are saying that we shouldn't "change anything", you are actually advocating continuing a massive global change, a massive experiment with global climate. People like you are playing word games: you simply redefine what amounts to deliberate and massive change as "no change" by reframing the issue.

    1. Re:it's you who is advocating massive change by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      I think you mean there is no fourth possibility, because you listed three. There are a few more, though.

      Someone makes us stop. A government, a group of revolutionaries, aliens from outer space, somebody's diety, or some cataclysmic event like an asteroid that has nothing to do with the climate could stop us. The insects and rodents could kill us all off with little-known tropical diseases because we changed the climate just enough for them to spread.

      We could have a breakthrough that lets us create so much energy so much cheaper than fossil fuels that we change for economic reasons rather than conscious choice.

      We could kill ourselves off with petty wars over what fossil fuels are left.

    2. Re:it's you who is advocating massive change by crtreece · · Score: 1

      there simply is no third possibility.

      I think there are other possibilities.

      1. Why doesn't anyone want to talk about the known increase in solar radiation over the last 30 years? AFAIK, we don't have numbers going back any further, but it seems fairly obvious that if there is more solar radiation entering the earths atmosphere, the climate will change.

      2. Maybe we won't run out of oil because it isn't really made from dead trees and dinosaurs. I've been meaning to find some numbers, but I have a hard time understanding the amount of decaying organic matter necessary to create the 80+ million barrels/day of oil pumped from the ground in 2005. I know were talking about geologic time scales here, so I'd be interested in seeing some numbers about how many trees and dinos that adds up to.

      I'd also be interested to find out how trees and dinos ended up 10k+ feet below the surface of the earth. Some of these are 35k+ feet (7+miles) deep.

      3. I doubt there were many trees or dinosaurs on Hyperion or Titan, 2 of Saturns moons. Yet, they have pools of hydrocarbons, hmmmm.

      Don't get me wrong, I'm not interested in the world getting so polluted that we can't breathe or grow food. I'm just concerned that global warming is really another scam to take more of my money in the form of taxes to "save the earth". If I remember correctly, when I was a kid, the big fear was we were going into a new ice age. Now we have the same data providing proof for the exact opposite hypothesis. Now get off my lawn.

      --
      file: .signature not found
    3. Re:it's you who is advocating massive change by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Informative

      Why doesn't anyone want to talk about the known increase in solar radiation over the last 30 years?

      Because there isn't one. See here. Solar irradiance has been on average flat since 1960, although there were some ups and down until the mid-1980s, after which it's definitely been quite flat on average. (By flat I mean the trend; there's the usual 11-year solar cycle oscillation too.) If anything there's been a very slight decrease over the last 30 years.

      AFAIK, we don't have numbers going back any further, but it seems fairly obvious that if there is more solar radiation entering the earths atmosphere, the climate will change.

      We do have numbers going back further, although they're pre-satellite, and if you go even further back they become indirect (inferred from counting sunspots and such).

      The fact is, the average amount of solar radiation entering the Earth's atmosphere has changed very little over the last 30 years. Even if you ignore the greenhouse effect, increases in solar irradiance are far too small to produce the observed warming.

      Maybe we won't run out of oil because it isn't really made from dead trees and dinosaurs.

      Ok, not only is that a totally crackpot theory, but it's also irrelevant. Our estimates of how much oil there is aren't based on adding up how many dead trees and dinosaurs we think there used to be. They're based on going all over the world and digging for oil and seeing how often we find it. How the oil got there doesn't matter to our measurements of how much is there now.

      The oil companies have a massive financial interest in how much oil is left. I can assure you, they have studied this question thoroughly from every angle, even more than the scientific community has.

      All the problems with non-biogenic oil formation theories aside, it's possible to tell the difference between organic and non-organic carbon sources by looking at isotopic ratios. Oil is made of organic carbon. (That's one of the several lines of evidence which tell us that the excess carbon now in the atmosphere is due to our burning of fossil fuels, by the way.)

      I've been meaning to find some numbers, but I have a hard time understanding the amount of decaying organic matter necessary to create the 80+ million barrels/day of oil pumped from the ground in 2005. I know were talking about geologic time scales here, so I'd be interested in seeing some numbers about how many trees and dinos that adds up to.

      This overview has some numbers.

      I'd also be interested to find out how trees and dinos ended up 10k+ feet below the surface of the earth. Some of these are 35k+ feet (7+miles) deep.

      You can build up a lot of material on top of it over 500 million years. Also, rock is porous. Oil sinks.

      I doubt there were many trees or dinosaurs on Hyperion or Titan, 2 of Saturns moons. Yet, they have pools of hydrocarbons,

      "Hydrocarbons" aren't always oil; the pools on Titan are things like methane and ethane, which are formed by chemical reactions in Titan's atmosphere. Hydrocarbons exist even in comets and interstellar dust, but they're not oil.

      I'm just concerned that global warming is really another scam to take more of my money in the form of taxes to "save the earth".

      Sheesh, lay off the conspiracy theories. Scientists don't get together in a back room and decide what scam to cook up next. There is plenty of legitimate scientific evidence, starting from basic atom-light physics and conservation of energy, and working up to our understanding of atmospheric and ocean circulation.

      If I remember correctly, when I was a kid, the big fear was we we

    4. Re:it's you who is advocating massive change by speedtux · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why doesn't anyone want to talk about the known increase in solar radiation over the last 30 years?

      That's not a "third possibility". It doesn't matter what current temperature increases are due to, or even if they are real. Carbon emissions into the atmosphere must invariably change global temperatures and weather at some point.

      Maybe we won't run out of oil because it isn't really made from dead trees and dinosaurs

      That's a real possibility, and if it's true, we are even more screwed because it would mean that the weather can become even more inhospitable than it has ever been in earth's history.

      I'm just concerned that global warming is really another scam to take more of my money in the form of taxes to "save the earth"

      The scam is that the government has been taking away everybody's money in the form of taxes to subsidize the oil, gas, automobile, and airline industries, and has been directing most of its military efforts at keeping the supplies from the Middle East flowing. The scam is that the government has been tearing up efficient transportation systems and changing urban planning in such a way that people simply don't have a choice but to drive a car.

  32. robust earth is dangerous by speedtux · · Score: 1

    The earth is clearly a self-regulating system

    Yes, and it can stabilize around many different points: something like we've had for the last few thousand years, an ice-free hot house, a snowball, or something completely different. All of those have happened in the past. All of them have led to massive extinctions.

    That's what makes carbon emissions so dangerous: homeostasis will continue to mask the effect, but at some point, the climate will flip and change rapidly towards another equilibrium. And at that point, there is nothing we can do anymore.

    Homeostasis ("robust earth") is what makes global warming so dangerous: changes seem small and hard to predict, but then suddenly become catastrophic.

  33. Global, right? by postermmxvicom · · Score: 3, Informative

    ...temperatures from 1961 to 1990...We in the Northwestern hemisphere have experienced 7 of the top 8 warmest years on record since 2001, and all 10 top warmest years since 1995.

    So...you know that the Earth as a whole has been cooling since 1998, right?

    --
    One last thing: Sometimes I wonder; "Is that someone's signature? Or do they type that at the end of each post?"
  34. Fundamentally missing the point - not a fix by Woundweavr · · Score: 1

    Your logic has one HUGE hole in it. This is not a fix. Its already part of the models that carbon is being sequestered - the only question was where. This research does not at all settle that matter anyway, but its in no way a demonstration that the accepted climatology is wrong in its evaluation of global warming.

    The "Chewbacca" defense is not going to work anymore. If we find out that OJ bought the knife at a flea market, that doesn't somehow prove that he didn't do it. If we find that the desert is where the carbon we already know is being sequestered ends up, that doesn't say anything about climate change.

  35. Re:Fragile Earth or Robust Earth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    I've afraid you're the one whose bought into a common lie. Human activity releases far, far less carbon dioxide than the planet produces. We are minuscule in the big picture, nothing but ants.

  36. Re:Fragile Earth or Robust Earth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've afraid you're the one whose bought into a common lie. Human activity releases far, far less carbon dioxide than the planet produces. We are minuscule in the big picture, nothing but ants.

    A common lie? Mainstream global warming does not even attempt to assert that man-made carbon dioxide is a big chunk of the total. The grandparent post was written by an idiot.

  37. Carbon BAD, We Must ban ALL CARBON! by jameskojiro · · Score: 1

    We need to setup bans on Dangerous Carbon Immediately before it is too late. Carbon is a killer pollutant and it is found in many poisons and noxious chemicals, but it can even be in your food!!!!

    Nefarious users of Carbon.

    - Carbon is used in dangerous Nuclear reactors designs that when exposed to radiation make it radioactive as well. It's misuse was responsible for the Chernobyl accident that claimed countless lives in Russia.

    - All living things accumulate hazardous radioactive carbon from the air and end up incorporating it into their bodies. This carbon when it decays causes radioactive particles to be released that can damage our DNA, which in turn can lead to cancer and premature death.

    - It is found in many poisons, In fact Cyanide has almost 50% carbon content by weight. Most Pesticides and Herbicides contain Carbon compounds as an active ingredients.

    - It is found in food, sometimes in massive quantities. Carbon and carbon compounds have been found in the following foods: Corn, Wheat, Carrots, Apples, and even Tofu. Food preservatives contain Carbon as well so processes food isn't safe. It has even been detected in organic produce!

    - Carbon is the main cause of Global Warming as the greenhouse gas Carbon Dioxide. It is also found in Methane which is a more potent greenhouse gas than Carbon Dioxide. It is also found in Chlorofluorocarbons which eat away and destroy our Ozone layer!!!! Carbon is not only responsible for our melting ice caps and sea levels rising it is also causing our ozone layer to be depleted!

    - Carbon is one of the main components of oil which when burned causes all sorts of pollution to the air, water and earth. Waste forms of carbon are also filling up our landfills.

    - Carbon contamination has been found in some people living near heavily polluted areas in concentrations of several percent of their body mass. Carbon and it's compounds accumulates in fat cells and can cause many different medical complications. In fact Carbon in the body can be detected coming from a person's breath!

    - Carbon is even used in some dangerous medicines with dangerous side effects. Some medications actually use carbon as a key component. Remember the problems there were with Dangerous Mercury in certain childhood vaccines? Carbon was also found in those very same vaccines as well and nothing was done about it.

    - Besides contamination of the human body Carbon may sometimes be detected in the following items which may even be in your house right now!!! Items such as: chairs, beds, eating utensils, home electronics, and even your i-pod!!!

    - Clothing can also contain carbon as well. Clothing with carbon has been known to cause skin irritation and rashes. It can also cause heat stroke as carbon in clothing can also trap heat in the body much like it can trap heat in the atmosphere.

    - Gems containing carbon and the greed surrounding them have been the cause of many conflicts in Africa and have resulted in the death and exploitation of many indigenous people across the globe. These Gems are called "Blood Diamonds" and they contain a very high amount of carbon which helps give them their luster and appeal. Make sure the Diamonds you buy for your significant other are Carbon Free.

    What Can you do?

    - Ask congress to pass a comprehensive ban on all products containing carbon and carbon producers.

    - Be involved in community efforts to restrict carbon usage in all areas of life. Sign up for carbon drives where carbon containing products are removed from houses and properly disposed of. Craig's List is an excellent resource on setting up your own carbon drive.

    - Check the labels on your food and make sure you don't eat any foods containing carbon. Avoiding food that contains carbon has been proven to result in weight loss!

    - Ask your Doctor about medicines that might contai

    --
    Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
    1. Re:Carbon BAD, We Must ban ALL CARBON! by halivar · · Score: 1

      You forgot to mention some:

      - Studies show that 100% of all people that ingest carbon either died, or will die.

      - Every significant war in human history has been caused by a carbon-based life-form.

      - All lawyers are also predominantly carbon-based life-forms.

      - Carbon-units are also currently trying to prevent VGER from finding the Creator. This is unacceptable.

      The best way to get rid of carbon? Mix it with another ecological calamity: dihydrogen monoxide. Twiddle the bits, and I think I have the perfect carbon molecule for mitigating it's insidious effects: Two carbons, six hyrogens, and an oxygen... maybe like so: C2H5OH

  38. Re:Fragile Earth or Robust Earth? by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Informative
    I've afraid you're the one whose bought into a common lie. Human activity releases far, far less carbon dioxide than the planet produces.

    Indeed? Then I'd like to see your figures. Because we outdo the volcanoes by a factor of a hundred. Looking into other sources, well: rotting vegetation was mentioned, and I agree it's a far larger quantity than human activity, but is that a source of carbon dioxide? Rotting vegetation can never release more carbon dioxide than the amount it absorbed when it first grew, making it net carbon neutral. Unless there is a net decrease in the planet's biomass, there's no overall extra carbon dioxide in the atmosphere due to plant life. Same goes for respiration by living things: the CO2 I exhale is carbon that was absorbed when my food grew, and will be absorbed again as a future meal grows.

    We on the other hand are digging up and releasing vast quantities of carbon dioxide, all year, every year, and unlike the plants we're not taking it back out of the atmosphere. That's producing an ongoing year-on-year net increase in carbon dioxide. Nothing else on earth compares to human industry for increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations.

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  39. This is bad news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because we know that CO2 is increasing and there is descent uncertainty in known sinks, that means that it's likely that the the sources are also larger than we know about. In other words, deserts may be masking some of our activity (CO2 production) and, when and if this sink craps out, it will be all that much worse because we're making more CO2 than we thought we were.

  40. What a relief! by holy_brother · · Score: 1

    While I wouldn't have a problem if the storms portrayed in the move The Day After Tomorrow actually occurred... I am not sure I could live in a world where Dennis Quaid is the key to survival... Thank goodness the deserts will save us!

  41. Re:Fragile Earth or Robust Earth? by NotmyNick · · Score: 1

    It's a shame. Whatever Meringuoid's past sins were that he starts at zero, he deserves every one of your informative mod points. Let's hope the metamods do their job.

    --
    Notmysig
  42. what! by naime · · Score: 1

    I am amazed that this is new information. Where have they been all these years? I am shocked.