Evidence of Russian Cyberwarfare Against Georgia
An anonymous reader writes "In what seems to be a repeat of what happened in July, a few news sites have mentioned that there is evidence of a campaign against Georgia. For example, both the government's and the president's sites are inaccessible, among other official websites. For some analysis, the RBN Exploit blog demonstrates various traceroutes that have failed to several sites. They also claim that the RBN (Russian Business Network cyber-crime organisation) are behind the attacks, and that 'Many of Georgia's internet servers were under external control from late Thursday,' before the actual war began. Finally, according to this Twitter account of someone in Georgia (written in Russian), he claims that 'Russia has blocked access to Georgian websites from within Russia' (rough translation)."
After Google told them they were based in Atlanta, Georgia.
It boggles the mind to imagine what warfare will be like when governments are internet-based.
But at least it probably will not involve real violence.
I'd cut access to any country I was preparing to wage war against... it's common sense to help stop communications to fifth columnists. Of course, they'll route around it. --Mike--
I have a bad feeling that this conflict is going to spread, catalyzing all the violence that has been the undercurrent of world politics in the past few years. A possible world war.
I don't know Russian... but I do know Google... so here's a bit of a mashup:
Twitter | Google Translate
http://translate.google.com/translate?u=http%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fwardirect&hl=en&ie=UTF8&sl=ru&tl=en
This sounds oddly similar to Splintercell 1. Maybe Nicholadze is real and Sam is actively working to stop this menace!
That's what happened the last time.
--points at World War I
Viable Slashdot alternatives: https://pipedot.org/ and http://soylentnews.org/
Times like these are when the red cross is most appreciated. They will likely soon be flying in C-130's full of porn and lol-cats jpegs. 'Round the clock flights will continue until the Georgian internet connections can be restored.
(additionally, the traceroutes could also fail because the routers and computers have been exploded by the russians with bombs from airplanes. this would be a worrying escalation of cyberwarfare).
Georgia is a small republic with very little traffic to web resources under normal conditions. Now they are getting likely several orders of magnitude more traffic. And these are the consequences. But of course the "cyberwarfare" is much juicier piece for journalists to chew on.
"In what seems to be a repeat of what happened in July, a few news sites have mentioned that there is evidence of a campaign against Georgia."
A campaign against Georgia? You don't say! What tipped you off, the explosions? The Black Sea Fleet moving off the coast? The miles-long military convoys crossing into Georgian territory? The planes dropping bombs in populations centers?
Oh, the IP logs. Can't have a real war until Netcraft confirms it, I s'pose.
Everyone is making fun of the invasion of a democratic country?
Thats slashdot for ya i guess. Depends on which country does the invading.
So they claim that the RBN was doing russian government will? That is (government's) organized crime, Discworld version.
Is not the same to have a group of people that believing government sponsorized news decide by their own to cyber-attack a country, to being hired by or belong to the government to do that.
Dude, when the Georgian President realizes that he can't retrieve all of his data from the Google cloud, he's going to be so P.O.'d.
You should've seen Slashdot at the start of the war of northern aggression back in 1861.
Putin: I have Georgia on my mind.......
Oh nevermind...
...where would you put a screen door on an M1A1?
"It is possible to commit no errors and still lose. That is not a weakness. That is life." -Peak Performance
Time to root for the little country trying to get its own territory back under its own control.
Puting's claims of "genocide" are pathetic and would only work on the already brainwashed Russians themselves. Seeing these assholes trumpet their government's lies is just as scary as seeing Chinese bloggers' anti-Tibet postings.
They are trying to paint South Osetia as some sort of Kosovo, where the evil Georgians deserve to be punished the same way Serbians did. Except, unlike then, there is no genocide or "ethnic cleansing" (Saakashvili is much smart than that), and no country was giving Kosovars their citizenship left and right so as to be able to pretend, they are defending their own citizens. Lots and lots of South Osetian have gotten Russian citizenship in recent years — just for asking. Imagine, for just a second, America trying to annex Iraq this way — we would not even force Puerto Rico in!
If US is not careful, next year Russia will come up with a "good" claim to send tanks to Brighton Beach — plenty of Russian citizens there!..
In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
Gotta give credit to the Presidents of Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, and Poland. They may be small nations, but they talk like they've got a pair...
http://www.president.lt/en/news.full/9475 [Joint Press Release on the Lithuanian President's Webpage]
I know it's not so slashdotty, but it's relevant to the conflict in general and interesting nonetheless.
So.... 4chan is in Georgia?
Good translation, and thanks for the twitters.
The person also mentions that protesters are out in Tbilisi, notwithstanding Russian bombing runs, that Russian hackers are attacking any news site that relates what is really going on in Georgia, that he has asked some hacker friends to attack CMI (rough translation of a Russian news site) and they have (seemingly) complied, that he hears rumblings - the light has been knocked out, as well as telephone towers and no TV exists now, and finally asks for humanity to help. He provides a link to bombed out suburbs, here: http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/44907000/jpg/_44907206_rubbleafp466.jpg.
Behold, the future of War!
Hell, I'd take what he depicts there to the usual government-sanctioned mass-murder type of war...
Yeah, clearly running Windows was the issue, if they had ran leenucks this would never have been able to happen! NEVAR!
I just did a search for Georgian owned websites, and couldn't find any!
Modding me -1 troll doesn't make me wrong.
It also explains defaced Georgian governmental sites, too. Sure.
I think a BMP-1 would be a better example for this part of the world. And the screen would go on the back, where the door is.
Yep, that's what the Georgians use. 149 with reactive armor in 2008. 40 in 2007. Originally 667 were inherited from former USSR in 1991. 80 BMP-1 and BMP-2 IFVs were claimed by the Abkhaziyan Army and the same amount by the South Ossetian Army. But Russia still has 1,543 in active service and more than 9,057 in reserve.
For large sets, this will be our guide even unto death, for the LORD will work for each type of data it is applied to...
To understand how Russian "justice" works, read the shocking story published by "The Washington Post" (TWP). Natalia Trufanova was driving a Zhiguli (a lightweight Russian car) with her family in Moscow in September of 2007. She was minding her own business and dutifully obeying the traffic laws. Then, suddenly, a motorcade carrying Supreme Court President Vyacheslav Lebedev and coming from the opposite direction entered the wrong lane -- the lane in which Trufanova was driving. A vehicle in the motorcade smashed into the Zhiguli, killing Trufanova and her family. The Russian police wrote a false report, claiming that Trufanov drove into the wrong lane.
TWP notes, "When angry witnesses started posting video on the Web clearly showing that it was the motorcade that was driving in the wrong lane, the lead investigator looking into the accident said that he didn't have access to the Internet."
Last I checked, when hunting down a malicious access attempt against a site of mine, the Georgian President's site is hosted on a shared server, with about 100 other sites.
And it sits, if memory serves, at the end of a traceroute about 1 mile long, on what looked like a very flaky connection even during normal days. Any 'attack' is more likely the connection into Georgia being loved to death than attacked.
If you are on a narrow pipe, as the Georgians seem to be, a Japanese teenager with a 50MBPs home connection can cause you problems, let alone all the journalists of the world and other rubber-neckers wanting to visit.
Well, yes. But a BMP-1 has very different access points to an M1.
Screen-hatch, perhaps...
"It is possible to commit no errors and still lose. That is not a weakness. That is life." -Peak Performance
We've been discussing this and other things involved with the war over at StupidSheeple.com
Can't believe the cable news stations aren't covering what might very well be the opening shots of world war 3.
This may be hard for an American mind to grasp, but *there are no good guys here*.
Georgians are not good guys. Their goal is to militarily crush a national independence movement and to subjugate a people who hate the Georgians' guts. They've been planning this blitzkrieg operation for years (a nation doesn't increase its military spending by a factor of 30 if they aren't planning to invade somebody.) They cynically violated ceasefire terms, used massed artillery to bombard residential areas (killing ~1400 Ossetian civilians in one day), and were ethnically cleansing Ossetian villages. Now that their military effort has failed, they've launched a massive propaganda offensive to convince ignorant westerners that white is black and that a nation that launched an offensive war is somehow a victim.
But Russians ain't good guys either. Instead of trying to limit the killing, it looks like they are escalating the conflict by supporting the Abkhazians in Kodori. They are cynically using the excuse of protecting Ossetians from genocide to conduct a massive bombing campaign against Georgia's military infrastructure. And Russia has neither the desire nor the technological capability to limit collateral damage from its bombs.
What you are seeing is, essentially, a small bully being bullied by a bigger bully.
...where astroturfing, sock-puppetry, slanted journalism and propaganda matters far more than the reality on the ground. Slashdot is a contested territory, and it looks like Georgia's propaganda troops have launched a first strike.
Not that I'm defending Russia here. The only reason Georgian astroturfers have overpowered the Russian ones on Slashdot is that the moronic Russian leadership, as usual, hasn't been investing enough resources in information warfare.
Years ago I witnessed the comparatively clumsy and easily traceable assimilation of a major university's computing center into the botnet of organized crime from two countries now known as major spam havens and phishers' hideouts.
The appropriate authorities were alerted to the danger of this becoming a national security risk as growing sophistication on the part of the perpetrators, if not held at bay early on, would allow them to wreak havoc on critical infrastructures "at their fingertips", as the bot herders came in control of an SaaS cyber-weapon marketable to governments and factions around the world wishing to outsource their dirty work to guns-for-hire.
Needless to say, none of the evidence was thoroughly scrutinized back then before countries could start to make computer crime a branch of their armed forces, and the matter stayed under the officials' radar as a mere annoyance of unsolicited advertising and occasional blackmail of gambling sites, rather than the build-up of a dangerous distributed remote-controlled arsenal.
The owners of the pipeline say it has not been bombed. See http://ca.news.yahoo.com/s/afp/080809/world/georgia_sossetia_russia_unrest_oil_bp
The report about the pipeline attack is almost certainly Georgian propaganda (unless it's simply unsubstantiated rumors) - and it looks like the British journos fell for it. But hey, in this modern world of journalism 2.0, who cares about truth and fact-checking, as long as you can get the pageviews?
Too bad that Osetia's citizens are cut off the communications of any kind: they have no infrastrucure left in the city because of Georgian's missile attacks. Otherwise you'd be trilled by the stories they could tell. Get this: if Russian air-force would start bombing georgians they won't be any left by now. Do you have any idea what a wing Tu-22s can do? Probably not: you're getting your information from CNN and Fox News. Oh and Twitter, of course.
Take care, Cos
THIS is why 4chan is down, right?
--
BMO
Sound just like a good SciFi book read, where you use lots of useful fools to take political action.
Halting State by Charles Stross
Not that anyone read stuff this long down on slashdot...
Anyone who is surprised at this is probably unaware that disruption, denial and subversion of communications is a common factor in all modern (as in more modern than two groups of grunting and growling rock throwers) warfare. Telegraph and phone lines got cut. Radio got jammed. Alexander had fires built upwind of enemy columns to make it hard for them to see each other easily. The US Army confiscated the radio of the British ham operator on Grenada that was broadcasting a running commentary of infantry firing over the heads of the medical students being "rescued". The US news broadcast footage clearly showed them being forced to run under a line of firing (most likely blanks) M-16s; the early news shows broadcast the ham operator's reports along with the footage, but his reports were absent from the late news broadcasts.
Command and control (C2) refers to the ability of military commanders to carry out strategy and tactics. The addition of Communications (C3) refers to inclusion of the ability to carry out C2 without being present on the battlefield and the ability of units to coordinate over distance. That's the US version, the NATO version of C3 being "Consultation, Command and Control", just a different label for the same process. It's now frequently referred to as C4 because it includes computers. Since they are used for more than communication, the fourth C is not redundant. The other thing they're used for is data analysis for intelligence generation, so the "I" in "C4I" *is* redundant. And all the other extensions out to C4ISTAR is just showing off.
Being "cyber", it's pertinent to /. but it's not news unless one assumes that one particular form of communication should be immune to this "time honored tradition".
"I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
president.gov.ge took down it's MySQL database temporarily during the attack and changed it's front page during the downtime as an effort to reduce automated attacks upon it's initial page.
The National Bank of Georgia took down it's images temporarily when it was attacked producing text-only pages. It has since restored them.
There is no access to The Ministry of Foreign Affair's website, I have no inside information on what occurred but when the attacked start I do know they purposely turned off web services at some stage, whether or not they have restored them I do not know.
- Ð'ÐÐÑоÑ
Big Mac Thesis: No two nations with McDonald's franchises have ever gone to War
It seems like this rule is going to be broken.
McDonalds Moscow vs MCDonalds Tbilisi
Finally, according to this Twitter account of someone in Georgia (written in Russian), he claims that 'Russia has blocked access to Georgian websites from within Russia'"
If one of twitter's accounts is the source, it's safe to assume that the other bloggers are sockpuppets too. This whole story is unreliable. The Russian is also unsurprising, as most Linux zealots are hardcore Marxist-Leninists.
It's one of the largest in Europe, actually. The rest of your comment is just as accurate...
Quote from the website:
To this end we intend to urge our governments to take the following positions in discussions and to raise these concerns in the European Union and the North Atlantic Council:
- Can the current Russian authorities be called adequate strategic partners of the EU;
Sure, they can. We need their oil and gas, they need our money. Long term, big volume.
- Can the family of European democratic countries pursue a mutually beneficial dialogue with a country that uses heavy military armour against an independent country;
Obviously not. The family of European democratic countries must immediately cease all dialogue with the United States of America.
- It is pointless to continue a âoevisa facilitationâ program with a country that does not meet even the minimal requirements set by the EU and which uses visa facilitation to issue Russian Federation passports to foreigners and then abuses this EU given privilege to claim intervention rights such as "we are protecting Russian citizens" in South Ossetia.
No, it is not pointless at all. Western Europe needs more Russian tourists spending their money and Western Europe also needs its businesspeople to be able to travel to Russia more frequently for discussing stuff.
- The actions of the Russian Federation in Georgia should influence the talks with the Russian Federation, including negotiations on the new Partnership and Cooperation Agreement.
Of course. Now that the alternative routes of oil transport around Russia are in a war zone, the negotiations should be sped up ASAP.
Tell that to the people who used to be alive in these pictures
http://osinform.ru/foto/7343-zhertvy-obstrela-juzhnojj-osetii.html
1500 people died, out of 70,000 South Ossetians in a few days (in fact, the bulk in a few hours). That's genocide. This is after the Georgians declared a ceasefire.
Slashdot. Where the village idiot boasts about international relations
No way am I supporting those Georgians. May I remind my fellow Americans that a Georgian separatist once tried to kill the governor of California?
SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush_Doctrine
Excerpt
Later it came to include additional elements, including the controversial policy of preventive war, which held that the United States should depose foreign regimes that represented a threat to the security of the United States, even if that threat was not immediate (used to justify the invasion of Iraq), a policy of supporting democracy around the world, especially in the Middle East, as a strategy for combating the spread of terrorism, and a willingness to pursue U.S. military interests in a unilateral way.
In Soviet Russia sudetenland claims YOU!!!
The new crop of Russian trolls on slashdot seems to be quite large and very vocal. I'm seeing a disproportionate number of posts attacking both Georgia and anyone who seems to support the Georgians. I have no idea if the Russians are really using the RBN to engage in cyberwar with Georgia as per the original article. A few posts note some legitimate reasons why various Georgian web sites are down or inaccessible. On the other hand, the number and vehemence of the pro-Russian posts even just here on slashdot is remarkable.
So, are the Russians attempting to influence public opinion around the world by astroturfing their side of the story anyplace they can post it? Sure looks like it. Lots of the pro-Russian posts have grammatical errors that indicate the English is not the first language of the poster (as opposed to the usual slashdot poster's bad grammar and spelling that just indicates how poorly these subjects are taught in U.S. schools).
Cheers,
Dave
They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither safety nor liberty.
Ben
Well, I cannot confirm, if in the past there were direct links between the Russian' Transtelecom (or Rostelecom, I'm not sure, which one provided the connection) and Georgian segment of internet, but even if they were shut, the connectivity is still available:
this one is from a Unix box hosted on the premises of a Russian hosting provider Agava
this one is from my home LAN:
Anyone else seeing Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan as blank areas with no towns or roads in Google Maps? The change happened sometime in the last few hours.
What I wonder is if this is sponsored by the Russian government, or simply a bunch of nationalist hackers. Somehow I think the Russians have more pressing military objectives than taking down the "personal website" of Gerogia's president. Wouldn't a military attack focus on logistical systems rather than propaganda targets?
What kind of tinfoil mickey are you trying slip in my drink?
Grenada, blanks, ham operator, WTF? citation or door.
the Russian state news agency (RIA Novosti) web site is out since this morning? Their two DNS servers (her.rinet.ru, her.rian.ru) seem to have dropped off the face of the earth. Seems someone is might be engaged in cyberwarfare against them, doesn't it?
Make what you will out of it...
You certainly remember that "Russian attack" on Estonia turned out to be not related to Russian government at all, right? :)
So, I agree. Just like with Estonia here we probably have other things happening -- overloaded lines, servers crashing under the load, and so on.
By default in large enough country there will be enough people who will do something bad out of "patriotism".
Blaming "big bad government" for something like that is a good way to play up victim status ("we didn't do anything (except, probably, started a war because we wanted to re-take the breakaway area) and this evil Russia sacked hackers on our servers! Oh horrors!") with no real way to disprove it.
Only after all of the simpliest explanations are ruled out I will believe in something a conspiracy nut would propose
Hyperom.com
PEOPLE! If you still can THINK by yourself - just try to do it now!
Why are you watching ONLY "ONE-SIDED" information from CNN and others news channals???
Just look at chronology of this events!!!
1) GEORGIAN forces ATTACKED Tshinvaly first and DESTROYED this city!!! It was 07/08/08 - before russians could make anything!!!
2) Now there is MORE than 2000 citizens KILLED by georgians!!!
3) Why georguan tanks entered South osetia 07/08/08 and fired at russian peacemakers???
Because its a provocation and GENOCIDE of osetians!!!
Just look at HISTORY BOOK or Enciclopedia! in South Osetia MORE than 2/3 of population are russians! Thats why Son of the Bitch SAAKASHVILLY so easy used HEAVY ARTILLERY to destroy Tshinvaly and several small towns...
If you prefere to be BLIND - just eat all that shit of your official news. But BETTER ASK OSETIANS AND OTHER GEORGIAN`s NEIGHBOURS! WHY THEY ARE READY TO WAR AGAINST GEORGIA? Because GEORGIA IS FOUL AGRESSOR!!! They are licking any ass to join NATO - just to gain "a big brothers" alliance. But its THE WAY TO NOWHERE! All nations of Caucasus will fight Georgia if it`ll not stop!
DO NOT LET them DRAW your countries into this fucking georgian game!!!
Georgia HAS NO chances to get any acceptable ending of this game. Because Georgian killed too many people, their neighbours. So they NEVER will have any warm relations with Georgia...
What YOU will say if your nearest country destroy several towns on your territory and kill 2000 people (in one night)? And later, when your ally try to help you and resist agressor all massmedia begin to SCREAM about YOUR blame and your ally??? They STAND THINGS UPSIDE DOWN!!!!
Fucking PURCHASED newsmakerk!
I`m ashamed for you!!!
No disrespect, Tetromino, but you're wwwayyy wrong on this, and the AC is right. Russia is sending a quite clear signal to NATO: NATO would be crazy to allow Georgia in, for the quite simple reason that NATO doesn't want to be drawn into a war in Asia -- Russia's "home court" -- on behalf of Georgia.
Naturally, Russia is not eager to get in a tussle with NATO either. So hmm, what's the ideal solution? Hey, I know -- invade Georgia *before* they join NATO!
Think about it. You're suggesting that the Georgians thought it would be a good idea to be INVADED by a much, much, much bigger, more powerful and more autocratic neighbor. That defies belief. Being INVADED is NEVER the "least bad" option. You lose a war, and bang, that's it: Game Over.
- Alaska Jack
PS Of course, the proof is in the pudding: After this, I guarantee you're not going to be seeing NATO admitting Georgia anytime soon.
The owner of the Twitter account is also publishing in English: http://twitter.com/wardirect_en
I've got to get back to work. When I stop rowing, the slaveship just goes in circles.
Saakashvilli is not very popular in Georgia. He is not like Yuschenko (US backed Ukrainian president) at all. I will not be surprised if US is trying to get rid of him with Russian help.
Georgia is now in huge economic decline. If Saakashvilli stays in power any longer, angry Georgians will overthrow him and there will be second Iran.
Russia will probably accuse him of war crimes.
I personally hate war. Diplomatic or peaceful solution is always the best one. My home country is located near Russia. I hope there will be no Georgia-like invasion because civilians always die during operations like this one.
According to bloggers from there and their family in russia ( there's a lot of georgian living and working in russia ), the Georgian governement have blocked access to all russian website, as well as dissenters and separatist website. Oh, and declaring martial to arrest protesters oh their invasion. They really sound like nice folks, did you saw those mass bombardment oh the separatist capital with rocket artillery on the news? Nothing say "We love freedom" like blasting whole families to pieces!
Dude, I'm psyched. For years the bigger, smarter, better guys have been taking over the weaker, smaller guys. It's like evolution of nations. Now we can do this without killing people thanks to cyberwarfare. This is gonna be fuckin' awesome.
Now that countries have to consider the internet as a potential front during wartime, the actions of citizen hackers become particularly interesting. I'm going to assume that the Russian government has control over the majority of the attacks against Georgia's sites. At the same time, it's not hard to imagine a few nationalist Russian hackers deciding to "help a brother out" by applying their skills. What does this mean in terms of international law? Are these guys enemy combatants? I find it interesting that some young guy has the option to join in his country's fight without leaving his parent's basement.
I'm Russian and in Moscow now, I also have some Georgian ancestry and I've been in Georgia and really like this country and people. I'm on large government owned ISP and I have no problems reaching .ge sites, same ISP providing me with digital TV, with CNN and BBC news amongst the channels. I mast say I see much more viewer manipulating on CNN than on russian news channels, I might suggest http://www.russiatoday.ru/ as information source, if anybody is interested in whats going on there. Every news channel is trying to show the facts in some light, but CNN just shows only the facts they need, CNN is a serious brainwash. I'm living in Russia for like a month in a year, traveling other 11 months, so don't call me brainwashed by Russian TV - I'm getting my news from very different sources.
.ru domains and blocked all Russian channels, not sure if it's indeed true, any people from Georgia here can clarify this?
I've seen on Russian TV that Georgia blocked access to
For me (and I beleive many Russians feel the same) it's a sad turn of events indeed, because historically we always were friends, Georgia was in Russian empire then in USSR for like more than 200 years, and it was not joined by force, but because we are same faith, and Russia protected Georgia from Pessians and Turks. Georgians took a part in what is now Russian and USSR history, Georgians can be proud or ashamed of that history no less then Russians - many prominent people were Georgians, Stalin is the most known. And now Georgia have crazy pseudo democratic president Saakashvili, clearly installed there and ruled from US, who is confronting Russia in all possible ways!
Georgia's gamble was that whatever the outcome of the war in Ossetia, the border issue would finally get settled. At that point, there would be no more legal justifications for Germany to keep Georgia out of NATO. And once Georgia is in NATO, Russia would think twice before invading.
Really, think, what were the possible outcomes from Georgia's decision to invade Ossetia on August 7?
1. Most probable - everything goes according to plan. Georgian blitzkrieg succeeds, Ossetia surrenders within 1-2 days. Russia perhaps wants to intervene, but can't gets its troops into place fast enough to make any difference. Abkhazia caves in after seeing the might of Georgian arms and the Ossetian civilians massacred in Tskhinvali. Georgia regains its rebellious provinces and joins NATO.
2. Less probable - Russia manages to mobilize some of its forces in time, intervenes, and takes over South Ossetia. Georgia loses the war, Russia loses whatever it has left of its reputation. In the peace talks, the status of South Ossetia and Abkhazia is finally settled - either as independent nations, parts of Russia, or parts of a federal Georgia. Either way, Georgia's borders are no longer in doubt, and it can finally join NATO and the Western world.
3. Even less probable - Russia does not intervene, but the Ossetians successfully resist the invasion on their own; the result is a long, bloody mountain war. Thanks to Georgia's overwhelming advantage in manpower and technology (Georgia has been spending over 10% of its GDP on its armed forces), this scenario appeared to be quite improbable.
4. Nearly impossible - Russia intervenes, and goes on to conquer all of Georgia. This scenario would be quite unlikely because a. Georgia is economically worthless to Russia, and the occupation would inevitably result in a very long, bloody and expensive guerilla war (something that Russia has experienced in Afghanistan and Chechnya, and doesn't want to repeat); and b. the international community would not allow Russia to actually annex one of its neighbors. At the very least, Russia will face crippling trade sanctions from its most important foreign trading partners.
As you can see, the most probable outcomes are, in the long run, advantageous to Georgia and disadvantageous to RUssia.
But Czech Rep, Poland, Slovakia, Bulgaria and Romania are already NATO members!
Someone fights for independence, someone just brings democracy - all the conflicts are always the same and always bad when the big guys decide it's time to do something about it - unfortunately, the civil population is always in the middle.
So here I am, russian in russia, posting on /.
From news@tv I`ve heard that russia *never* invaided georgia itself, only protected russian civilians in south osetia. And yes, reinforcemets were sent there since our peacekeeping forces were greatly outnumbered.
Then I took a look at what CNN says: "Russia targets & bombs civilians" and then bbc "100% unprovoked brutal invasion"
What a shock... Whom should I thust? wtf is goin on?
I find it a little odd that USA are speaking up against the Russian "aggressor" without seeing the parallell to themselves. If Russia are invading Georgia because of the oil (land grab) and they use some of the some sort of dumb umbrella reason to justefy it you could say that they are just copying the invasion of Iraq.
The Americans should have seen this comming really. If USA can invade another nation and break international law whenever they please, international law will loose its authority. In other words; when USA can invade another nation wihout the approval of the UN security council, why cant Russia do the same thing?
That being said - I hope that the conflict ends soon and peacefully.
I recommend a splendid book about the history of desinformation by the russian state, written by insider, Anatoliy Golitsyn: "New Lies for Old"
http://www.amazon.com/New-Lies-Old-Anatoliy-Golitsyn/dp/0945001134
Inside the book you'll find why I wrote "russian", not "soviet"...
Except that you're again making the mistake of thinking of Russia as reasonable. With the events of today, it seems pretty clear Russia is determine to annihilate Georgia. First they outright a peace treaty and now they've actually invaded. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7554507.stm Let this be a lesson to whoever still thinks russians are to be trusted. As of two days ago, the russian government fully insisted it has no plans to enter Georgian territory. Nevermind that they have now begun to threaten other bordering countries - russia's ambassador to Latvia officially warned the Latvian government from even making remarks supporting Georgia, saying that will have "dire and permanent consequences".
...Russians are resorting to cyber warfare now? I'm shocked. Maybe the should get some lessons from the US on how to stop the information flow.
I can't find any information on whether Georgian govermnent is using similar measures? Can anyone confirm if Russian web sites accessible from within Georgia? If not, does the goverment even view the percentage of people connected to the Internet in Georgia significant enough in forming public opinion at all? Seeing that the GDP per capita is around $4,700 and that the montly ADSL tariffs I can dig up on Google are around $50, I'm not sure.
Folks, it's war. People are suffering there. Russian Big Oil vs. American Big Oil (yay, this is bound to get me modded up on /.). Pipelines. World domination strategies. Whichever way it turns out, average Georgians and Ossetians are going to end up f**** over. My sympathy goes out to them. War should be outlawed.
I really am upset about how the (FSB controlled) Russian government is acting. However, in this case, perhaps there is something those people outside of the conflict zone can do.
The rest of the cyberworld can protest again Russia by overloading the Russian Business Network.
It would be a whole new and interesting concept. An online world war? :)
Well overall they're very mature and intellectual. I like them. But the current government is a little bit too good at playing the "Crazy Ivan" bit for comfort. Putin has more or less co-opted power by rigging an election and we all know where that sort of stuff ends up. What would happen if they did menace Ukraine? Maybe we'd start to give them money to keep them quiet. Maybe they'd just help themselves to Azerbaijan or Estonia in the meantime. You know, a bit of "breathing space". BANG - next thing you know, the French have surrendered, the Italians have changed sides and we're sat in the back of a lorry wearing helmets and holding rifles.
You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
Estonia sending cyber defense experts to Georgia:
http://www.networkworld.com/community/node/30935
... isnt the first goal in warefare to leave your enemy blind and confused?????
Joe Investor
It is evident that there is no direct evidence of Russian hackers, or Russian government attacking Georgian website. According to the latest information by posted by ShadowServer.org of Tuesday, 12 August 2008 titled "Georgian Websites Under Attack - Don't Believe the Hype", specifically refers to the fact that there is no proof that above mentioned organization are in fact responsible to the attacks. According to ShadowServer.org, the attacked sites fall under the following categories: * Adult video websites * Prostitution websites * White supremacy websites * Carder websites (sites that trade in stolen credit card numbers) * Online gambling websites * Virtual currency websites (think PayPal, but not nearly that legitimate) * Russian news websites * Random Russian websites * Many other websites Another speculation is that RBN is somehow involved in DDoS attacks. Nobody has a proof of that either.