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The Mobile Internet You'll Be Using In 10 Years

mr sanjeev writes "After being plagued with project overruns and a scaling back of the final system, the US military's next-generation satellite communications network is another step closer to reality, with completion of the payload module for the third and final Advanced Extremely High Frequency (EHF) satellite ... If GPS and remote imaging (think Google Earth) have proven anything, it is that technology initially developed for military purposes, and extremely expensive for initial civil use, will eventually reach the point where it forms part of our daily lives without us ever being conscious of the massive investment to get to that point."

49 of 137 comments (clear)

  1. How's the speed? by Mad+Merlin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Obviously I didn't read TFA, but does anyone know about the possible speeds on these wireless links? As it stands, wifi is still (in practice) a lot slower and less reliable than even 100 mbit ethernet. It'd be pretty interesting if this new technology could offer reliable gigabit ethernet speeds (or better!) and similar reliability over reasonably long distances (similar to current wifi). But, my instincts tell me that that's just a pipe dream.

    1. Re:How's the speed? by PunkOfLinux · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Really, any new technology is good - we will weed out the bad ideas, keep the good. Ideally, we will take the best from each and mix it together, producing a superior solution to anything else.

    2. Re:How's the speed? by davester666 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I realize how expensive this technology is every time I have to pay taxes.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    3. Re:How's the speed? by vought · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Ten years, hunh?

      I remember reading about the imminent introduction of wildly fast new 3G cellular phone technology...in 1999. In fact, it scared a lot of investors off of other, faster microcellular wireless WANs under development.

    4. Re:How's the speed? by Sentry21 · · Score: 4, Informative

      More important, how's the latency? The RTT to a satellite in geosynchronous orbit is pretty high (especially considering that when requesting data, you have to double the RTT vs. streaming). The article doesn't seem to say if this is high-, low-, or medium-earth orbit.

      Low earth orbit can get you RTT to the satellite of ~13 milliseconds at 2000 km, adding ~26 ms to the average page load, whereas a geosynchronous orbit could take ~240 milliseconds, adding ~480ms to a page load - quite a difference. Of course, these are optimal times, assuming the satellite is directly overhead.

      That said, it does mention a constellation of three satellites, and there's no way that this could be practical with three satellites in a low- or even medium-earth orbit that I can see. Bandwidth is great, but latency is killer.

    5. Re:How's the speed? by gingerTabs · · Score: 3, Informative

      Move to Europe - we have a choice of carriers all across europe who can offer this :)

    6. Re:How's the speed? by MrNaz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "without us ever being conscious of the massive investment to get to that point"

      I guarantee you that the countries that were used as an excuse to wage war are very conscious of it too.

      --
      I hate printers.
    7. Re:How's the speed? by cgenman · · Score: 3, Informative

      8.2 Mbps to 4k terminals.

      Advanced EHF is designed to provide 24 hour coverage from 65 North, to 65 South across the K and Ka sub bands, and when combined with the prototyped Extended Data Rate (XDR) terminals and systems, will offer up to 8.2 Mbps data rates for around 4,000 terminals in concurrent use per satellite footprint (whether that scales to 12,000 systems in concurrent use globally isn't clear from source material).

      Compared to current satellite rates, this is pretty good. Additionally, this allows them to bounce satellite signals quickly and reliably around the globe before having to incurr the atmosphere penalty.

      However, if you're looking for replacement for WiFi, a final 802.11N spec is only about 10 years off.

    8. Re:How's the speed? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And if you think I'd move to shitty ass third world Europe for faster internet

      Apparently, you haven't been to Scandinavia or Ireland or even former Yugoslavia lately.

      If you think the US is going to be able to look down on "third-world" countries much longer, you haven't been reading the papers.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    9. Re:How's the speed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      MILSTAR and the follow on program AEHF are designed to provide secure, reliable, and protected communications. Bandwidth was not the main goal. Commercial geo satellites offer considerable more bandwidth, flexibility, and cost savings.

      MILSTAR is a relic of the Cold War and has many shortcomings. It was designed to maintain military and key leadership communications in a ballistic missile (nukes) exchange with Russia. When the Cold War ended the program had to âoereinventâ itself many times over to justify its existence and continued funding. The GAO has released many scathing reviews about MILSTAR and AEHF. It fails to meet its stated requirements and has enormous cost overruns. Us mere civilians would be wise to avoid this military technology :)

      http://www.gao.gov/archive/1999/ns99002.pdf
      http://archive.gao.gov/d4t4/130589.pdf
      http://archive.gao.gov/d32t10/146911.pdf

      In summary of the GAO report, MILSTAR & AEHF are a POS!

    10. Re:How's the speed? by JohnnyComeLately · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, AEHF and the old MILSTAR are geo-syn which is a little over 22,000 miles out. You wouldn't use it for local comm. AEHF falls under the "specialized" communications and is meant to be anti-jam, survivable and secure. It allows new cypto keys (OTAR) to be sent, has spot beams so you can "ignore" the spoofing from the enemy nearby, and would be able to communicate through a nuclear "event" (survivable). This isn't to be used to just send an email to a buddy stateside. For anyone interested, there's 3 bands of military comm birds. Narrowband, which is UHF/UHF F/O, wideband, which is DSCS, and then "specialized", which is MILSTAR/AEHF. Each has it's own advantages and uses, in addition to the comm leased from foreign governemts and civilian comm birds.

  2. I have a question by isBandGeek() · · Score: 3, Funny

    Did Al Gore invent this?

    1. Re:I have a question by MattGWU · · Score: 2, Funny

      I don't think so, Tim.

      --
      "These people look deep within my soul and assign me a number based on the order in which I joined" --Homer re:
    2. Re:I have a question by MrNaz · · Score: 2, Funny

      TIMMARHY!!!!!!

      Oh, you mean the other one?

      --
      I hate printers.
  3. Satellites=suck for communications by afidel · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It would be much better to use a small fleet of high altitude autonomous drones with communications gear on board. It would be cheaper to startup, cheaper to maintain, easier to upgrade, lower latency, etc. For certain applications satellites will still be needed, but we are at the edge of the next generation of low cost communications brought to us by continuously flying drones flying between 10 and 20 miles up.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    1. Re:Satellites=suck for communications by snl2587 · · Score: 5, Funny

      It would be much better to use a small fleet of high altitude autonomous drones with communications gear on board.

      Or even better: giant balloons and a couple of routers. Plus a lot of cable.

    2. Re:Satellites=suck for communications by metalcoat · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That would bring about a few questions. How many would that require just to cover the entire United States? You state that it would be cheaper. How much do these autonomous drones cost a piece? What about the cost in terms of energy to keep charging and relaunching? What if they were to crash? With so many required to cover the entire US or Metropolitan areas surely some would come down and certainly harm someone. Just something to think about. I agree that this would make more sense, but before jumping on the bandwagon, think it out.

    3. Re:Satellites=suck for communications by afidel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The idea behind autonomous high altitude drones is they stay up indefinitely (barring parts breaking) by using solar panels to produce and store enough energy to stay aloft. Today we have thousands of flights a day using much more massive aircraft, I don't think a few extra ultralight drones are a significant increase in the risk associated with aircraft.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    4. Re:Satellites=suck for communications by Chabil+Ha' · · Score: 2, Funny

      We are at the edge of the next generation of low cost communications brought to us by continuously flying drones flying between 10 and 20 miles up.

      Weather permitting, of course.

      --
      We're all hypocrites. We all have hidden parts, it's the contrast between them that make us more a hypocrite than others
  4. Drones by Hao+Wu · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Assuming the tech filters down, something like Google Maps could be done in real time. Companies will launch surveillance planes, blimps, or piggyback on cellular towers so that anyone can zero-in on your house.

    For a price, obviously, because my privacy is worth trading for their profits.

    --
    I suggest you read Slashdot
    1. Re:Drones by PunkOfLinux · · Score: 4, Funny

      Dude, anyone in a plane can 'zero-in' on your house. It's essentially being broadcast. It's not a breach of privacy if someone sees your house; now, if they see something that you have a reasonable expectation of, such as your wife sunbathing in the nude... that's different, and sexy. But it probably won't happen.

    2. Re:Drones by couchslug · · Score: 2, Funny

      "now, if they see something that you have a reasonable expectation of, such as your wife sunbathing in the nude... that's different, and sexy. "

      I defend my privacy by sunbathing nude.

      The last time a Black Helicopter came in visual range, it hauled ass away like it had spotted a flight of MiGs. They must have been overwhelmed by my "different, and sexy" tactic.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
  5. Huh? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Quote: "it forms part of our daily lives without us ever being conscious of the massive investment to get to that point."

    "Not conscious", my ass. Military investment makes up a very large part of our tax and trade burden, and many of us are conscious as hell of how much it costs. If the research did not eventually get into civilian hands, there would be hell to pay.

    I am not saying it's not worth it... just that unlike the OP, I pay attention.

    1. Re:Huh? by PunkOfLinux · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Uh... most people don't think, when they turn on their in-car nav systems, "Gee, I'm glad my tax dollars went to pay for this system!"

    2. Re:Huh? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Uh... most people don't think, when they turn on their in-car nav systems, "Gee, I'm glad my tax dollars went to pay for this system!"

      True, but they should. A lot of the bitching about "wasteful government spending" would go away if people realized how much government programs (like this little thing called ARPANet that made a splash a few years ago ...) lead to dramatic improvements in their everyday lives.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    3. Re:Huh? by mollymoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The fact that obscene levels of military spending sometimes produces results for the population as a whole doesn't make it good value. For example, how would the results of military spending compare to spending 80% of the military budget on higher education and academic research?

      --
      Chernobyl 'not a wildlife haven' - BBC News
  6. It's tough by tftp · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I worked in ARRL "10 GHz and up" contest last weekend, at 10 and 24 GHz, and those frequencies are not for beginners. The dish has to be pointed precisely to the source, with error within a couple of degrees. If the satellites are not geostationary then tracking would be a major problem, and I think they are not geostationary due to the distance involved.

    Among other problems, microwave gear is very expensive, sensitive to abuse, and has low power output. Hams can deal with that, being happy with mere 100-200 mW at 10 GHz, but they don't mind chasing the signal as atmospheric conditions change during the day. It would be a lot of work to achieve a reliable link whenever you need it. Rain and fog are major problems in these bands. You basically have to throw power (and money) at the problem; if the military complains about "high cost" of these systems, they are surely not affordable yet to a common man. Considering that the economy just entered a tailspin, we may have bigger problems in coming years than fixing the mobile internet thing.

    1. Re:It's tough by Ihmhi · · Score: 3, Informative

      Satellite > Base Station > Your Mobile Device

      That's how I imagine it would work. Honestly, do you really think that there are going to be thousands upon thousands of direct connections to the satellites? They would probably have to be sent through switches anyway, so so long as the base station's dish doesn't get tampered with it would work just fine.

      10Ghz Space to Base Station, and a more stable protocol (Wireless N, 3G, etc.) to your mobile device.

  7. The Mobile Internet I'll Be Using In 10 Years by JuzzFunky · · Score: 2, Funny

    Hope not, cos that'll mean I've somehow been drafted into the US Army and I'm not an American!!

    --
    Unexpect the expected!
    1. Re:The Mobile Internet I'll Be Using In 10 Years by Patrik_AKA_RedX · · Score: 2, Funny

      Hope not, cos that'll mean I've somehow been drafted into the US Army and I'm not an American!!

      "drafted" is a very PC term for being a POW now?

  8. Always interesting to follow. by WiiVault · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We may live in the armpit of freedom right now, but there is no doubt that our government funded initiatives like this have provided more fruit to the world than any other nation is hundreds of years. Now lets win back our freedom of speech and assembly!

  9. Wont take that long by DesScorp · · Score: 3, Interesting

    These days it seems all but the most classified tech makes it into market very, very quickly. In ten years, not only will this system be a reality, but the civilian market will have figured out how to squeeze even more out of it than the military figured.

    A top Admiral in the Navy was lamenting how the Navy is having a problem selling itself as a cutting edge tech provider simply because any such new tech they get goes to the civilian sector so quickly, and further, civilian use eclipses military use. In particular, he used the Arleigh Burke class of destroyers as an example. When it was being designed in the 80's, it was absolutely cutting edge stuff. It's been in service just over 15 years, and now the Admiral lamented that a single Blackberry has more com bandwidth than an entire Burke destroyer.

    Kind of hard to sell recruits on "cutting edge" when that's the case.

    --
    Life is hard, and the world is cruel
    1. Re:Wont take that long by YttriumOxide · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The scale is much lesser, and the technology much less cool, but we get the same thing where I work. There's a development lifecycle of a couple of years, and someone somewhere in "Management" decided that they'd go with a Waterfall model of development, where our spec is TOTALLY fixed in stone about 2 years before we release the product. Every product is therefore close to 2 years behind where it really should be. Right now, this also applies to all of our competition (they're all equally as dumb as we are in that regard), so it's not hurting us too much, but I recently gave a presentation to them about how we effectively implement a better development model (I was aiming at a variant of Agile that's tailored to our business) so we can (at least until the competition catch on) be effectively two years ahead of our competition. Perhaps the US Navy should re-consider their design processes also...

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    2. Re:Wont take that long by afidel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem isn't so much the design lifecycle, it's the cost of upgrades. When you have to essentially rebuild an entire ship to retool the comm infrastructure that's a hell of a lot of cost. They design a hull to sail for 50 years, but the ship will typically have to be refitted multiple time during that span to keep up with newer technology costing several times the initial cost to build it and keeping it out of service for years in total.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    3. Re:Wont take that long by YttriumOxide · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'd say it's a bit of both. To clarify and expand on my last post, I work for an MFP manufacturer (Konica Minolta). Our hardware (print engines/scanners/accessories) tends to have a much longer lifecycle, and you can still see design elements from 10 year old equipment in things we're releasing today (although only if you know what you're looking for). Many models will come out that are only a minor incremental change in hardware while being a huge change in the software/firmware (my side of it).

      This pretty much means the same thing as far as those "upgrades" you're talking about on naval vessels (but again, a totally different scale of course). When I gave my "development process" explanation/presentation to the appropriate people in our company, they raised this exact point - how to handle it when the hardware just isn't capable of what we want these software improvements to do - they considered it to be basically a kind of solid limit where no amount of software would get around it. They were right to an extent, but only an extent. I explained to them that the system should be designed from a hardware perspective in the same sort of way as I proposed for software: Much more modular and with less "reliance" on the exact workings of other parts (as long as a common messaging system is understood by both ends, they don't need to know HOW the other end accomplishes its tasks).

      Now, I will freely admit I don't know much about Naval Vessels and maybe this concept just wouldn't fit at all, but given the example of comms - everyone has known for a LONG time that comms improve at a rapid pace, they're high-tech. So, when designing a vessel, the comms system should never be so tightly integrated in to it that it's hard to upgrade - even the channels that carry the wires around the ship should be (relatively) easy to access and replace the cables should an upgrade require it. I'm not thinking that one should be able to "swap it all out just like that", but to plan to be able to do a complete comms refit in a matter of weeks with as minimal cost as possible. They KNOW they'll need to do it (as I mentioned, it's blatantly obvious that comms tech improves rapidly, and has been obvious for many decades already), so they should plan ahead for doing so.

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    4. Re:Wont take that long by cgenman · · Score: 2, Interesting

      In ten years, not only will this system be a reality, but the civilian market will have figured out how to squeeze even more out of it than the military figured.

      Of course, the US military is about 3 million people. The world's population is about 2 thousand times that. Once a technology makes its way into a base that large, of course it will advance more rapidly.

      "A top Admiral in the Navy was lamenting how the Navy is having a problem selling itself as a cutting edge tech provider..."

      Cutting edge tech frequently doesn't work. iPhones crash, Magellans don't get GPS locks, etc. Computerizing brings instability.

      Also, replacing a Blackberry is a lot easier than replacing the comm system on a Burke destroyer. The Blackberry only has to work with ok one or two bluetooth accessory types: the Burke needs to be 100% with all of the custom systems on board.

    5. Re:Wont take that long by mikael · · Score: 2, Informative

      GlobalSecurity has a list of communications systems that the Arleigh Burke class of destroyers have.

      # LF through HF Receive,10 kHz - 30 MHz
      R-1051 H/URR; twelve receivers
      R-2368 H/URR; three receivers
      # HF Transmit; 2-30 MHz
      AN/URT-23D; nine transmitters
      # VHF Transmit and Receive, 30-162 MHz
      AN/GRR-211; two transceivers for non-secure voice
      ANNRC-46A; two FM transceivers for secure voice
      AN/URC-80 (V)6; one transceiver for bridge-to-bridge communications
      # UHF Transmit and Receive, 220-400 MHz
      AN/URC-93 (V)1; two transceiver for Link 4A
      AN/WSC-3 (V)7,11; fourteen transceivers
      AN/WSC-3 (V)11, have-quick transceiver
      # SATCOM Transmit and/or Receive
      AN/SSR-1A; one receiver for fleet broadcast
      ANNWSC-3A (V)3; five transceivers for digital voice
      # Infra-Red, Transmit and Receive
      AN/SAR-7A; two IR Viewers
      # Land Line Terminations, Transmit and/or Receive
      AN/SAT-2B, one IR Transmitter
      Single Channel DC Secure TTY
      # Telephone Special Communications Channel
      AN/USQ-69 (V)7; OTCIXS
      AN/USQ-69 (V)8; TADIXS
      AN/SYQ-7 (V)5 and AN/USQ-69 (V)6; NAVMACS/CUDIX
      AN/USQ-83 (V) and AN/USQ-125 (V); Link 11
      AN/SSW-1 D; Link 4A
      AN/SRQ-4; HawkLink (LAMPS MK III)
      AN/ARR-75 Sonobouy antenna

      A Blackberry operates on the 850/900/1800/1900 MHz GSM network.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  10. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Funny

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  11. Internet in Jail by syousef · · Score: 4, Funny

    I thought the Internet I'll be using in 10 years will be called the RIAA distribution network and that I'd be using it from a jail cell because I once hummed "Happy Birthday" at a children's birthday party sometime in the 90s without paying the piper.

    --
    These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
  12. UK by Frankie70 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I would imagine that if you consider even the last 100 years, the UK come up trumps in terms of "provided more
    fruit to the world than any other nation".

    1. Re:UK by Warll · · Score: 2, Funny

      Oh, how do you figure that? I mean you have to admit, California produces a lot of fruit.

  13. Re:Ungenerous Interpretation by Hal_Porter · · Score: 3, Funny

    Greetings,

    My name is Adeola Hussein, son of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein. I have come into the possetion of 10 North Korean Taepodong 2 ICBMs and I need your help transferring them from a warehouse in Syria to a third country.

    I have been informed you were a trustworthy fellow.

    In return for your help you will collect a commision of 1 Taepodong 2 missile.

    I look forward to doing business with you.

    --
    echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  14. Ridicolus by Eivind · · Score: 4, Funny
    LF Low Frequency MF Medium Frequency HF High Frequency VHF Vergy High Frequency UHF Ultra High Frequency SHF Super High Frequency EHF Extremely High Frequency

    Still waiting for Ludicrously High Frequency.... Seriously..

  15. I don't buy the GPS analogy by BlahBlahWhatBlah · · Score: 2, Informative

    It doesn't cost the military anything to have millions of GPS users using their GPS system because the satellites take a passive role. It is the device in your hand doing the calculations based on signals and timing from a few satellites. On the other hand, a communications network actually has a limited resource in the form of bandwidth to be consumed by the millions of potential users.

  16. Screw mobile internet, i want my flying car by freedom_india · · Score: 2, Funny

    Screw the predictors' predictions.
    10 years from now...20 years from now... blah, blah...
    WHERE THE FUCK is my Flying car promised to me 50 years ago???
    Bring that first, and we will talk about stupid mobile internet...
    As if enough AOL morons don't exist already...
    The predictors should be drafted and send to Iraq: they can get to experience mobile artillery very much...

    --
    "Doing what i can, with what i have." ~ Burt Gummer
  17. Massive investment by willyhill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yes, and that's also the reason why there should be a space program. Sadly though, many people nowadays don't see it that way. They think that reaching for the stars is "impractical" when we have so many problems here at ground level. But money spent this way, even in military endeavors, is *never* wasted. Eventually it reaches everyone in some way or another.

    Like... TANG!

    (just kidding)

    --
    The twitter monologues. Click on my homepage and be amazed.
  18. Police fight that every day by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    its been a while since I've seen american citizens being put in jail for loitering....

    Then you're not looking very hard. More and more cities are passing increasingly punitive "anti-loitering" laws all the time. Mostly under the logic that they "clean up" downtowns and prevent panhandling.
     
    As for people getting punished for public assembly, just go to Flickr and type in "RNC" and you'll find plenty of people, almost all non-violent and cooperative, fwiw, being stopped from public assembly.
     
      As soon as the feds started this concept of "free speech zones" they had publicly admitted that free speech wasn't predictably allowed anywhere else.

  19. Forget 10 years, we have better systems NOW. by Hozza · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The EHF satellites are great for what they've been designed to do, deliver bandwidth to 10,000's users over a large area of the earth, but that isn't what most consumers need.

    They need things that will work in urban canyons and can cope with 10,000's of users within a few square miles. This is much better served by local radio masts than satellite systems.

    The future of mobile internet is 3G and WiMAX and its rivals, and its already here.

  20. Not the internet of tomorrow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    EHF communications is NOT the mobile internet of tomorrow. In fact AEHF won't even be the military's SATCOM system of choice when bandwidth is the primary requirement. They're generally going to turn to WGS (http://www.afspc.af.mil/library/factsheets/factsheet.asp?id=5582) or even more likely, commercial SATCOM because that's where the REAL bandwidth is.

    Don't get me wrong EHF SATCOM does what's it designed to do very well. It's protected. The narrow beam widths on uplink and downlink provide low probability of detection & intercept (LPI/LPD). Being that it's a high-gain system (narrow beams, high power) coupled with frequency jumping across an enormous spectrum it makes it very hard to jam. Lastly, and least practical to a civilian user, EHF communications are more resistant to the effects of atmospheric scintillation in a post-nuclear environment.

    So, if in 10 years, you find yourself in need of anti-jam, LPI/LPD communications following a major nuclear attack, then YES! EHF SATCOM will be there for you! :)

    PS EHF may survive a nuke attack, but heavy rain does knock you off the air! Gotta take the good with the bad. :)