After Sweden's New Law, a Major Drop In Internet Traffic
iamnot writes "The new IPRED law came into effect in a big way in Sweden on April 1st. A news report has come out showing that internet traffic dropped by 30% from March 31st to April 1st. A lawyer from the Swedish anti-piracy agency was quoted as saying that the drop in traffic 'sends a very strong signal that the legislation works.' Is the new law, which allows for copyright holders to request the identification of people sharing files, truly curing people of their evil ways? Or perhaps it is just taking some time for Swedish downloaders to figure out the new IPREDator VPN system from The Pirate Bay."
People route around legislative roadblocks faster than legislators can build new ones. It's kinda what the Internet is all about.
512 MB RAM, 20 GB disk, 200 GB transfer, five datacenters. $19.95/month.
IMO April Fools Day is the worst day of the internet (especially for news). I, for one, was hardly on at all.
Yep the bear patrol is working like a dream
What?
...statistics on how much traffic ramped UP in the days and weeks before April 1st. I imagine that some where afraid of the new laws, and they where getting in some last-minute downloads before they had to cut the line and look for new methods to hide their traffic.
CAn'T CompreHend SARcaSm?
Don't you see that the constant raising of stakes is simply going to end up fucking over everyone's civil rights in the end?
Cry all you want about the legitimacy of file sharing and how old media needs to adapt to the current technology, it's still legally questionable to "share" copyright works.
So now they make a law to get the names of users. You decide to start using VPN. They decide to outlaw VPN to certain IPs. You decide to use roaming servers. They decide to make filesharing software illegal.
Then everyone loses. Not just you guys who want to get your music and movies for free.
I, and I bet many others with me, don't think it's fun anymore. While a good many proceeds to download songs, movies and TV series using other protocols than e.g. torrents, there are those that recognize that it's not a sustainable situation. I stopped downloading questionable material the 31st of March.
Legislation will get worse and worse to the point where we are all under constant surveillance. We don't need to give "them" any more leverage to these draconian laws. We are in our right to fileshare on a personal level - that is, with friends and family. Let's stop filesharing with "strangers" and we're untouchable.
There's a huge discussion on obfuscation techniques and VPN solutions for consumers -- they're ignoring the upcoming EU directive on mandatory requirement to keep logs. Ergo, when anonymisation services keep logs, you're no longer anonymous.
I for one have "given up" my habits completely. I play by the rules set by the industry. If they cannot offer me what I want (unencumbered digital music), then I simply do not buy from them.
I also enjoy Spotify a great bit - the only thing I really miss is a service that lets me download TV series.
Lastly, the only torrents you'll see on my system is OSS like Debian and Ubuntu ISO:s.
(Yes, I am Swedish.)
Fight for your digital freedom, join the EFF *now*: http://www.eff.org/support/
... how they're going to stay online. The service itself has to be hosted somewhere where they won't have too much hassle with the constant influx of copyright complaints. The *AA companies will then be able to kill two of birds with one (or the cardinality of the userbase with one stone) by just getting whatever details about IPREDator they need and taking them to court for their illegal downloading. We have to remember: while The Pirate Bay remains legal, the illegal downloading has always been, and I'm very interested in details as to how they keep this service running in any country if they claim responsibility of their users' actions.
Traffic in the I2P network is up 30%. I suspect there's an increase in other networks as well.
Legislating against both the technology development and society development is a great way to keep back humanity. Congratulations Henrik Pontén, you've succeeded to stomp on the break of humanity's accelerating steps of knowledge. At least for a couple of days. If you're lucky perhaps even for a week! You're the greatest! Now, please run along and forbid axes so we can go back to using rocks...
not a 30% drop in all net traffic.
From TFA: Internet use in Sweden dipped by 30 percent on Wednesday...
I can't remember the last time I forgot anything.
Read all about ipred.
I fail to see your point. Downloading stuff that the authors seems to completely hate you for is somehow Freedom?
No. That's a childish approach. With freedom comes responsibility. Now, I think the industry is behaving like a rabies dog but they're within their rights to disallow us to copy their material without giving them a krona.
Freedom is to being able to NOT BUY INTO THEIR SHIT. Accept their rules since it's in fact codified, but refuse to participate in transactions with them unless you're offered a FAIR DEAL and things YOU ACTUALLY WANT.
Fight for your digital freedom, join the EFF *now*: http://www.eff.org/support/
sends a very strong signal that the legislation works.
Or it might be an indicator that the legislation has a chilling effect on free speech and fair use.
Honestly, somebody should organize a boycott for one week when nobody downloads a single byte of music, movies, tv series etcetera. Not "legal" nor "illegal" (unsigned bands and "legally free" material excluded). Let those companies that pisses on their on customers be totally dead for one week. Make it a global manifestation, then maybe they will wake up from their slumber and accept that customers of today don't care for yesterday's business models and that they actually have to be so creative that they say they are. Why not make it a week when you take some time to discover some great undiscovered bands?
The bill doesn't just cover traffic to/from swedish households, it covers all traffic entering and leaving the country.
"" How about taking the safety labels off everything, and let the stupidity-problem solve itself? """
Most of that drop was everyone dropping the WB/TPB love-in April Fools joke torrent!
The arguments for implementing and enforcing this law is to "encourage legal alternatives". So, after a 30% drop if file-sharing traffic, we'd expect to see a 30% increase in sales of CDs, DVDs and e-books. Or, there is no correlation between downloads and lost sales, just as a bunch of scientific reports suggest.
Anyone care to wager that this purported increase in sales will not, in fact, happen?
Money for nothing, pix for free
I know I avoided pretty much the entire Internet like the plague April 1. It really is quite the annoying day to be online, what with Youtube going upside down or whatever. Does it explain all of the 30%? Probably not. Does it explain some of it? Probably. I could be ignorant about whether Sweden celebrates April Fool's, but...
300,000 people lost their jobs in March and immediately canceled their Internet connection with service continuing through March 31.
Traffic increased 30% at libraries and Internet cafes.
The law had no effect.
Her lips were softer than a duck's bill, but her quacks
The stats do not include the major ISPs (Telia, Tele2, Telenor) but instead only the minor once using the Netnod nodes. Sure you can draw some kind of image from this but it's far from complete.
Wouldn't it be funny if sales of music dropped even more now that people don't sample before they buy. Other wise they'll just blame is on some new fangled technology that they now need to also make illegal because since there was no increase in sales people must have moved onto this new secret technology to steal even more music.
by TheSpoom (715771) Uncaring Linux user here. I have nothing to add to this but please continue. *munches popcorn*
this law is just another evidence, that in essence, all forms of state eventually evolve into the same socialist-fascist tyranny that feeds on individual liberties [to justify...] and private property [..and support its function].
I read somewhere to use Tor. Naturally and basically enable on the client encryption (will add significant overhead, and it will you download WILL be slow), obviously install privoxy and tor. Configure your torrent client to use http through privoxy (127.0.0.1:8118) and to too use sock 5 to tor it self (127.0.0.1:9050). Cheaper way of anonymity.
or even go down, will they say this is proof that piracy is NOT a problem?
Unlikely.
IPREDator and any other VPN or tunnelling solution is moot.
Only a small proportion of the file sharing population have the nous to sort it out.
If they drive off the majority of the file sharers, their job is done. The tech underground will keep swapping files like they always have done, its getting the masses off browse and click bittorrent that's the main objective.
That's the argument over Jammie's $220,000 fine for 24 tracks: an uncountable number downloaded and that is an uncountable loss to the recording industry.
In that case, 1 download is 1 lost sale.
If this IS the case, then 1 unmade download is 1 gained sale.
Your comment is wrong.
It's been a long time since I bought music in a store, but I find myself looking with increasing interest at what Magnatune offers. Currently downloading a Bach album ...
I like certain TV-shows. "Heroes" is one of them.
It's currently in its second season here in Sweden. But I don't have a TV, nor do I have the time to watch it when it's on the telly. Oh, and it's in regular TV-quality. The iTunes store sell the TV-show though. But not in the Swedish store. They don't sell ANY movies or TV-shows in the Swedish store.
I can buy the first two seasons on DVDs (and maybe blu-ray, not sure), but since most of the people I talk with on a daily basis are from the US, I can't really talk about the TV-shows - it's like being more than a year behind with the news. Current events aren't really all that current.
I've seen the first season on DVDs. It's a cool show. I'd like to keep up with it. I'm more than willing to pay the I think 35$ an HD quality season costs on iTunes, but aparently my money aren't good enough for these people (I doubt it's Apple's decision).
Browsing through the US store I see lots of shows I'd like to watch and buy. Dr. Horrible's Sing Along Blog being one of them, but again, that's only available in the US store. That makes no sense though, as I can buy it on Amazon, and it's not like that show will ever be syndicated - what TV-network would buy a 3 episode show with a total runtime of 45 minutes?
Hell, I'm willing to pay two dollars to watch an episode of something, just to see if it's any good.
Essentially my dilemma is as follows:
I can break the law by making a fraudulent claim that I'm in the US and buy the stuff I want. I'm sure this is illegal in other ways than the fraud bit.
I can break the law by downloading the shows I want to watch and sample new stuff
I can buy a TV, wait a few years for my local networks to hopefully pick up shows that I'll find interesting and then watch it.
I don't really want a TV - partly because I am then forced to pay a yearly tax on it, partly because I don't really watch it. I had a 42" plasma from janurary 2008 to august 2008, and I think I watched a combined total of 4 hours of TV on it, the rest was gaming and watching movies.
I don't really want to break the law. I don't mind paying to support the production costs of the stuff I like, I don't mind paying to support a distribution system I like. But aparently I'm not the kind of person, "they" want to cater to.
"They" could learn a LOT from The Daily Show and The Colbert Report. I can watch their shows within a day of them being aired with no restrictions. They used to have embedded ads in their commercial breaks (not a problem), but they stopped that a while back, probably because the ads were aimed at a US audience. The Daily Show is even syndicated in Denmark - the broadcaster manages to put subtitles on it and show it with a two day delay, so it's not like there isn't a foreign market for it either.
My point is this:
"They" have no aparent interest in selling their stuff to me. My money obviously isn't good enough for them. If that's the case, why the fuck do they care if I download their stuff? It's not like it's a lost sale - they obviously do not want to sell it to me!
We've seen these things happen before after new legislation, but now watch the traffic slowly increase back again (and possibly beyond) previous levels in the coming few months. :-p
Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
Of course it bothers me with the slippery slope that is the surveillance legislation orgie, but this story and my comment is not on those issues.
I'm already a Pirate Party member.
What I realize is that continuing to fileshare copyrighted works is COUNTER-PRODUCTIVE to the cause.
By the way, I really am Swedish.
Fight for your digital freedom, join the EFF *now*: http://www.eff.org/support/
No one downloads music anymore because they've got all they want. No one is downloading movies recently because they've also caught up on all the latest offerings and frankly there is nothing worth watching at the moment. Hasn't been anything out there for weeks. Why?
25% said they would stop file sharing if IPRED became reality, and it seems they did.. :-) There's a huge build out of broadband in Stockholm and Sweden right now, lots of people are getting 100mbps. So things will change, especially with tech like One swarm that will multiply the bandwidth.
how about the following:
terrorism
child porn
IP woes
I think that a surveillance state is being pushed on us a combination of benevolent idiots and/or power freaks. downloaded content, much like the vcr (Boston strangler) and the phonograph(derided as a subversive tool of communism) will be both a threat and a benefit to content providers, but it is feared by the dominate media powers that be as it is seen to be disruptive enough to break up the status quo.
I'd take a guess and say that these laws are more about content control and political intimidation rather than about any legitimate sense of copyright/ patent/ trademark protection(I hate the vague term "IP") . The stuff I listen to you wont find on a top 40 list or on any radio station in my area. This whole " download equals lost sales" idea has had it validity questioned in several studies that I am too lazy to look up at the moment. iirc, there was one by Alan Greenspan and other groups ,several antedotes by independent musicians, and some other vague thing that I would remember if I wasn't so tired.
At least in the United States, copyright was originally seen as a needed evil to spur creation of culture and ideas. one of the great ironies of the pro IP groups, such as Disney, is that many of the works that they established themselves on would have been out of reach had current IP laws been in effect. Hollywood existed as a way to escape copyright/trademark in the rest of America. America's early industrial success happened to its extent because many early American factories were clones of British ones that several men had memorized.Take a look at canals and their lobbying when they were starting to be replaced by the railroads to see how excessive market protectionism can interfere with the evolution of the economy. I fear that excessive control of our culture for business interests has lead our culture to be sterilized, inefficient, and decadent. To be somewhat fair, I believe that limited IP laws in terms of scope and length can contribute to culture. I personally would have that defined as 15-25 years depending on the pace of the medium, its ingenuity and relevance to its field in general. Infringement should be scaled as portion to the offense, uploading a CD for noncommercial purposes should have less consequences than assault or stealing a copy for a store in my opinion.
Getting back to your post, I think that IP theft is the excuse for the rise of the surveillance state in the wold, not its reason. governments are increasingly starting to see their citizens as children and servants to be monitored and controlled. I think that the excuse changes, but the agenda stays the same.
rant's over. My sense of entitlement is getting the better of me, so I leave it as an exercise to a karma whore to find the specific examples for me, and for a media shrill to refute my fatigued rants.
I wonder if Hollywood will help replace the loss of bandwidth sales to SE ISPs....
However,
http://xkcd.com/552/
Just to clarify - Sweden does NOT have an government agency for dealing with intellectual property crime!
The "anti-piracy agency" referred to by the article is just the direct translation of the name "Antipiratbyrån", a private organization with the stated aim to "protect the rights of the artists and publishers".
The Antipiratbyrån is more like the infamous US company MediaDefender, doing the hands-on dirty work of the MPAA/RIAA special interest organizations.
>Or perhaps it is just taking some time for Swedish downloaders to figure out the new IPREDator VPN system from The Pirate Bay."
Does not help. The USA has warned Sweden it will stop selling advanced AMRAAM air interceptor missiles to the Swedish Airforce if media piracy persist. This large drop in Sweden's defensive capabilities would threaten the security of all swedish and scandinavian citizens' safety and security, due to increased threat of a russian invasion. (Currently the russian airforce has no countermeasure against the hi-tech AMRAAM missiles, but they can defeat swedish Gripen fighters if swedes have only the short range Sidewinder missile available).
The USA is staunchingly pro-Israel and understands that widespread media-piracy undermines the financial basis of the majority jewish-run global film and music industry. This would threaten the economic stability of Israel and the jews are more important for USA than the swedish, who have a nasty pro-nazi past anyhow.
Hear o' people of Israel, the Blessed One is your true and only God!
This is the thought police gaining entry to our homes.
This should not be confused with discussions over IP. That is a totally different issue and I have strong views on that as well :-)
What is happening here is that private organizations gain the same or more rights that the police have to track net activity of private citizens. The possibilities for abuse are endless...
The sane counter measure would be for everyone to set up at least two anonymizing accounts: one for all their net activities that may leave traces of their real identity and one for everything that should be traceless.
Enough encrypted traffic on the net will make it impossible for the powers that be to single out the traffic they have an interest in. Widespread use of anonymizers will also stop the argument that these services exist for file sharing alone.
The tired old argument that "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." is a truly bad one. There is a good poem about this:
Als die Nazis die Kommunisten holten,
habe ich geschwiegen;
ich war ja kein Kommunist.
Als sie die Sozialdemokraten einsperrten,
habe ich geschwiegen;
ich war ja kein Sozialdemokrat.
Als sie die Gewerkschafter holten,
habe ich nicht protestiert;
ich war ja kein Gewerkschafter.
Als sie die Juden holten,
habe ich geschwiegen;
ich war ja kein Jude.
Als sie mich holten,
gab es keinen mehr, der protestieren konnte.
translated:
When the Nazis came for the communists,
I remained silent;
I was not a communist.
Then they locked up the social democrats,
I remained silent;
I was not a social democrat.
Then they came for the trade unionists,
I did not speak out;
I was not a trade unionist.
Then they came for the Jews,
I did not speak out;
I was not a Jew.
When they came for me,
there was no one left to speak out for me.
By Martin Niemöller
(from Wikipedia)
Finally, it is time to let our politicians know that they are treading down the wrong path, it's indeed a slippery slope.
I have to admit that I stopped downloading my favorite TV shows on April 1st. The legislation scared quite a few people, and we're adopting a wait-and-see policy. But plenty of people I talked to didn't change their habits when it comes to bittorrent. Being in a student dorm, every room's got its own internet connection. I approached my "koriddor-mates", and they were split on the issue. Then, I proposed getting rid of our connections to keep just one for the entire floor. We can then share it (it's a 100Mb line), absorb the cost of a VPN (it's not much, but you know how every penny counts for students) and save plenty. Whose loss is it? The ISP who's going to lose five customers!
Res publica non dominetur
So, after a 30% drop if file-sharing traffic, we'd expect to see a 30% increase in sales of CDs, DVDs and e-books.
Let's assume that file-sharing covers 1% of all media consumption and direct sales the remaining 99%.
A 30% drop is to 0.7%, so sales increase to 99.3%, a whopping 0.[recurring:30]% increase over what it was, or .3% in absolute terms.
Your numbers seem to work if it's 50:50 instead of 1:99. If you want an absolute (not relative) increase by 30%, then you need it to be 100:0, i.e. everything is file-shared. That doesn't make sense--who seeds?
April 1st, does everyone not bother getting on the net because most news articles are april fools jokes?
After logging in slashdot still does not take you back to the page you were on. It's been that way for 20 years.
Wouldn't the added encryption, actually cause an increase in overall bandwidth. I guess some people haven't fully switched over to the new system yet.
People who set up Tor servers basically do it because they feel it's important to be able to connect anonymously, and they have to pay for all the bandwith that connectors use. If ten people download that 16gb game before the host gets fed up and shuts down, that could mean 16000 people can't download that 1mb webpage.
Your post should be modded -1 Troll.
Are you saying that the 30Gb/s is 'free speech'? People have suddenly stopped making forum posts or blogging to the tune of that overnight? Why would they? Bizarre.
Are you saying that the 30Gb/s is 'fair use'? Although perhaps the view of a minority, it's not commonly seen that pirating games is fair use.
If the drop in traffic is neither free speech nor fair use, why do you blithely claim it as a likely possibility? Do you have a license to be an idiot?
The same (short term drop in traffic) was seen in Finland (a neighbour country) when they implemented their IPRED1 law. A few months later however the traffic was back to "normal" again, and P2P traffic continue to rise.
Connection closed by foreign host.
I always start downloading the 28th if I still have traffic volume left for that month.
I don't know about the traffic volume plans in Sweden, but I can imagine the bandwith usage dropping 30% overhere every month
...There was just one new story on ./ in the last 3 hours.
---------------
Patience has its limits. Take it too far, and it's cowardice.
The Local is the biggest rag in Scandinavia. It's a joke locally. Don't believe anything they print. They probably shilled the article here anyway. Drive up impressions.
All they do is copy articles from the real (Swedish) papers. That's all. They hardly speak or read Swedish themselves and invariably get the stories all wrong.
Even ex-pats in Sweden know better than to trust that rag.
If Conficker proves to be a deterrent then it's a question of time before the MAFIAAs create some worms of their own.
Imagine a worm that targets torrents or torrents apps because, after all, that all torrents are used for. (/sarcasm)
Obama's legacy: (N)othing (S)ecure (A)nywhere and (T)error (S)imulation (A)dministration
Yay! Glad to see there are those out there that feel as I do. The game is rigged? Don't Play.
Buy used CD's.
Even better, go to a shop and get an instrument. Learn to play. Make your own music. We've gotten too lazy. We consume, but we don't create. Get off your arse and create some culture.
You make a good point, Kjella. I agree with you that my approach is not going to legalize filesharing copyrighted works without permission from the authors/rightsholders.
My point is that by stopping so called piracy, the market will find a way to provide us with services that we can accept. This is my sincere hope.
The Swedish law we're discussing basically boils down to that copyright owners can request the identity behind an IP-address from an ISP with permission from a court. If the artist gives permission, people can fileshare all they want. Again, this is what I hope will happen as the industry keeps chasing its customers.
Fight for your digital freedom, join the EFF *now*: http://www.eff.org/support/
So we have an amazing useful piece of technology. A law gets passed. Usage of said technology drops 30% and we are supposed to PRAISE this achievement? You know what else would work? Make broadband illegal, just only give out 56k connections. It is enough to browse the web with why would you want more? Unless you are a criminal. This is bullshit. I hope pyratbyran WINS the next election.
Get used to it. Slashdot moderators routinely subtract points to drop people to (0) or (-1) and thereby make them invisible. It's a form of censorship (in my humble opinion) and has little to do with the actual merit of a post.
"I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
Get used to it. Slashdot moderators routinely subtract points to drop people to (0) or (-1) and thereby make them invisible. It's a form of censorship (in my humble opinion) and has little to do with the actual merit of a post.
Don't I know it. The point of my comments is to raise awareness. The powers that run Slashdot are uninterested in dealing with abuse of moderation; there even used to be a request to report abuse in the FAQ, which AFAICT is not there any more (but I am willing to be proven wrong - just too lazy to check again to try to prove a negative.) So if I want anything to happen, I have to make it happen myself. Unfortunately, the only weapon I have is bitching and complaining :(
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
Scare people off-line, and business loses. ISPs, stores, phone companies, etc.
---- Booth was a patriot ----
Unfortunately, now the constitution seems to be viewed as something that simply restricts the federal government instead or something that gives it permissions to operate in limited ways. This has lead congress from asking can we even constitutionally pass a law like this to what is to stop us from passing a law like this. I think that's a turn for the worse and a prime reason why people think the government lost that "of the people, for the people, and by the people" feeling.
+100. This is the best thing I've read all day. Thanks for that.
/me happy - i hope this will spark developments of such services like tor, etc - it will be faster (more users using) and improved (due to more feedback from users).