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US Nuclear Power Industry Poised For a Comeback

ThousandStars sends us to The Wall Street Journal for a report that momentum for nuclear energy is waxing in the US. "For the first time in decades, popular opinion is on the industry's side. A majority of Americans thinks nuclear power, which emits virtually no carbon dioxide, is a safe and effective way to battle climate change, according to recent polls. At the same time, legislators are showing renewed interest in nuclear as they hunt for ways to slash greenhouse-gas emissions. The industry is seizing this chance to move out of the shadow of Three Mile Island and Chernobyl and show that it has solved the three big problems that have long dogged it: cost, safety and waste."

148 of 853 comments (clear)

  1. Grrr... by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I really hate the comparisons of Three Mile Island to Chernobyl. Three Mile Island was an example of a failure at a nuclear facility that was solved correctly. Chernobyl was an example of a failure that was caused by extraordinary stupidity and handled as badly as you could handle such an incident.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    1. Re:Grrr... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The incident at TMI was easily solved. Nuclear power has been a silent provider of your cities power for decades, and now it is poised to surge. China has been ordering new plants by the dozen, and India is working with technology to get around the uranium trade difficulties. Once the plant in Maryland is finished (Calvert Cliffs), and becomes operational, other power utilities will be lining up to build more. Projected energy needs rise very quickly and nuclear can be an American solution.

      No need to burn dirty coal, or foreign oil. Uranium deposits in Virginia show great prospect if the law allows mining. Now if only we could get the Government or perhaps wealthy investors to back the $8B/each to build them, the ball might get rolling soon. (Keep in mind a 1GW plant can easily make $1-2Million per DAY).

    2. Re:Grrr... by interkin3tic · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Of course the public won't understand something as complicated as nuclear reactors. Science is over their heads.

      Me: "I work on stem cells in adult mice"
      "Average" citizen: "Stem cells? You're going to hell, euthanizing senior citizens is wrong!"
      Me: "Wow... I don't... uh, I'm going to..."

    3. Re:Grrr... by NoYob · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Not only that, but Three Mile Island was built with 60's /early70'stechnology and Chernobyl was Soviet bureaucratic nonsense.

      Nuclear Technology has come a looooong way in 40 years. That's something to stress to the anti-nukes.

      The waste is another sticking point to the anti-nukes now.

      --
      It's NOT me! It's the meds! I'm on 1000mg of Fukitol.
    4. Re:Grrr... by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah. In terms of safety, Chernobyl is like taking a Yugo, removing the swaybar, clipping the emergency brake cable, severing the brake hydraulic lines, removing shock absorbers, installing racing slicks, and going for a joyride in the snow. (Disclaimer - Yugos might not have some of those items in the first place, but hopefully you get the idea.)

      TMI would be like taking an old Dodge Aries out for a drive.

      Modern nuclear plants would be like driving an AWD vehicle with ABS and stability control.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    5. Re:Grrr... by Trepidity · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think it's at least partly driven by purposeful misuse of it in that way by people who either do or should know better--- whether because they want to make nuclear power seem scary, or just because they or their publishers want to sell books and push documentaries. One of the first major books on the subject uses the sensational title Three Mile Island: Thirty Minutes to Meltdown (1982), and its paperback cover has the even more sensational tagline, "The Untold Story--- Why It Happened And How It Can Happen Again". And even that looks like a sober scholarly analysis compared to subsequent books with subtitles like A Nuclear Omen for the Age of Terror.

      Fortunately there are good books on the subject. But I suspect they don't sell as well.

    6. Re:Grrr... by Nadaka · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not really. The facts are on the side of the pro-nuclear groups. We can SOLVE the nuclear waste issue by building more nuclear plants...

      If we build a modern generation of feeder-breeder reactors that are something close the 97-99 times more efficient than the old breed and can consume previously generated nuclear waste as fuel.

    7. Re:Grrr... by khayman80 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, I agree: the fear surrounding Three Mile Island is based more on Hollywood than physics. The article makes at least one other mistake:

      Many scientists and environmentalists still distrust nuclear power in any form, arguing that it can never escape its cost, safety and waste problems.

      Many environmentalists do oppose nuclear power, but they're also knocking over AM radio towers because of the scary radiation. But it's not true that many scientists oppose nuclear power. From a recent survey:

      ... About half (51%) of Americans favor building more nuclear power plants to generate electricity, while 42% oppose this. ... More college graduates (59%) favor building nuclear power plants than do those with a high school education or less (46%). ... Seven-in-ten scientists favor building more nuclear power plants to generate electricity, while 27% are opposed. Among scientists, majorities in every specialty favor building more nuclear power plants, but support is particularly widespread among physicists and astronomers (88% favor). ... -- Pew Research Center

      So it isn't true that many scientists oppose nuclear power. A minority of scientists oppose nuclear power, just like a minority thinks abrupt climate change isn't happening. Also, strangely enough, the scientists most likely to understand nuclear power are the ones most in favor of it.

    8. Re:Grrr... by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, but the waste will be far less radioactive than the waste produced by older-style reactors. And radioactive waste is significantly easier to corral than the CO2 being barfed into the atmosphere by coal-burning plants.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    9. Re:Grrr... by Nadaka · · Score: 5, Informative

      absolutely correct.

      The facts are still on the side of the pro nuclear camp.

      "Dangerous Nuclear Waste" of the old plants remains active for thousands of years, we can't really be sure to contain it for that long.

      Once fully processed through feeder-breeder plants, the waste will be of two types.
      1: almost non reactive with a half life of hundreds of thousands of years. Its about as dangerous as normal granite.
      2: highly radioactive stuff with half lives of decades, the stuff will be decomposed and safe after about 2 centuries. We can build safe containment sure to last that long.

    10. Re:Grrr... by pentalive · · Score: 4, Funny
      Yeah, Chernobyl was "lets disable all the safeties and then turn off the pumps and see what happens."

      Don't play with reactors, right. got that.

    11. Re:Grrr... by pentalive · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Not to mention the radioactive elements in the coal that go up the stack with the rest of the effluent.

      Sure you could scrub all that stuff and just exhaust hot air, but then you have got to deal with it in piles.

    12. Re:Grrr... by mrdoogee · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Car analogies.... is there anything they can't explain?

    13. Re:Grrr... by JSBiff · · Score: 4, Informative

      And a 4th-Gen (IFR-style) nuclear reactor would, I think, be like going for a ride in an armored troop transport. IFR-style (Integral Fast Reactor) was designed around a slightly different principle of nuclear physics, such that you aren't even trying to prevent a meltdown, because the very physics of the reaction is such that if it starts getting 'too hot', the nuclear reaction itself starts to shutdown - the temperature increase, if I understand correctlyl, prevents further fission, at which point the temperature stabilizes at a 'safe maximum', until proper cooling is restored). There's no 'active' safety systems that could theoretically fail - no control rods that might get stuck and fail to drop, or other systems that might fail.

      I don't think anyone is currently planning on using that design in the near-term, but I hear that GE and Hitachi are in some sort of partnership to try to get approval for, and commercialize, small-scale reactors based on the IFR designs.

    14. Re:Grrr... by Trails · · Score: 5, Funny

      Agreed. One might even say they're the Cadillacs of analogies.

    15. Re:Grrr... by zippthorne · · Score: 3, Informative

      There are three basic categories of nuclear waste:

      High Level waste, which has a high degree of "radioactivity" but usually has very short half-life, so in a few dozen or hundred years, you're back below background levels. Thing like Strontium-90 or Cobalt-60. Which although useless for power generation, are actually very useful in other fields, so some of this isn't even waste.

      Low level waste, which has a long half-life, and consequently low radioactivity. Some of the container materials might be affected like this. Keep in mind that Depleted uranium is also technically low-level waste, and makes an excellent radiation shield.

      Fuel. Stuff which has enough energy to be harmful for any length of time, has enough energy to be usefully extracted. Whether by further fission in a reactor after processing, or as the active element of a radioisotope thermoelectric generator.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    16. Re:Grrr... by compro01 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Hell, with modern pebble bed reactors, you can do just that and the reactor will just power itself down.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    17. Re:Grrr... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2, Informative

      Stop perpetuating that myth.
      Chernobyl was all about a star scientist developing an inherently unsafe design and successfully suppressing all critics even as they come up with some simple and easy to implement solutions to increase the safety.

      On a reactor designed according to even the soviet safety standards of those days the experiment would have been safe to begin with. Unfortunately RBMK wasn't.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    18. Re:Grrr... by Ritz_Just_Ritz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Exactly. I'd really like to know what these "tree hugging Luddites" propose that we do about our rather desperate situation in terms of electricity generation.

      1. Burn coal? Nope.
      2. Burn petroleum. Nope.
      3. Nuclear power. Nope. NIMBY
      4. Hydro power. Nope, think of the salmon!
      5. Wind power. Nope. NIMBY
      6. Solar power. NIMBY

      etc...

      They won't be happy until we're back in the days of using whale blubber lanterns to read at night...oh wait....

    19. Re:Grrr... by init100 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Modern reactor designs incorporate passive safety features that do not require the input of an operator or computer system to function, such as using natural circulation for the coolant system (thus no failing coolant pumps). Some designs are even physically self-stabilizing, by arranging the fuel assembly in such a way that the rate of reactions slows down if the fuel becomes too hot.

    20. Re:Grrr... by Robotbeat · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The biggest reason Nukes cost so much is that they take a long time to complete from initial capital investment to first production of electricity. If this takes a decade, then you just doubled your opportunity costs compared to something that can be completed in a year (assuming 8% interest). This wasn't always the way for nukes. We used to be able to build them in 2-3 years. That alone would decrease the cost of nuclear by almost half (since you are mostly paying for capital costs, not fuel costs). And it doesn't require new technology, and it will allow nuclear power to take over from coal much faster.

      The biggest reason they have taken so long to build is that the safety regulations changed [i]while the plants were being built[/i], so it slowed down the construction to a stand-still. We shouldn't have this problem today. And, we can build plants even faster if we can get nuke-plant-assemblylines going, which would allow greater quality control measures (and therefore safety) and decrease the costs per power plant. This is how we can cleanly and cheaply and quickly and safely power the future.

    21. Re:Grrr... by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 4, Informative

      If we build a modern generation of feeder-breeder reactors that are something close the 97-99 times more efficient than the old breed and can consume previously generated nuclear waste as fuel.

      Unfortunately, it seems that we are not, and will not, be building any breeder reactors because people in the government are still freaked out about the fact that they temporarily produce weapons-grade waste. So, while everything you said is true and how I wish the fuck heads in the DoD would stop screwing us over, it doesn't look like that solution is going to happen any time soon, making the anti-nuke position a lot more reasonable.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    22. Re:Grrr... by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 5, Informative

      Well, since you asked...

      Assuming one heavy waste atom per neutron converted to energy, and for the sake of argument let's say these atoms have an atomic weight of about 300:

      1 neutron x c^2 = 1.67e-27 kg x 9e16 = 1.5 e-10 J/atom =

      1.5 e-10 / (300*1.67e-27 kg) = 3e14 J / kg pure waste

      Now, granted the efficiency with which we can extract pure waste from the rest of the spent fuel rod knocks down by a few orders of magnitude that figure. I don't know that number, but let's call it a thousand. So we have 3e14 J / metric ton waste. That's 3e5 GJ/metric ton.

      For reference, total electricity produced per year in the US (source: DOE, http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epa/epat1p1.html) is about 1.5e19 J / year = 1.5e10 GJ / year. If we're going to use all nukes, that would amount to 50,000 metric tons per year of the contaminated stuff, assuming 1 kg pure waste pollutes 1 metric ton of spent fuel.

      Now, for coal:
      1/2 of our electric output is coal right now. That's 0.75e19 J/year of coal. Coal uses a chemical reaction, not a nuclear reaction, so the mass of hydrocarbons is far greater than the number quoted above. For simplicity (and since I never took organic chem in college), let's approximate it by saying it's all clean-burning methane gas. ie CH4 + 2O2 = CO2 + 2H2O. The internets tell me (at http://www.physics.ohio-state.edu/~wilkins/energy/Companion/E06.1.pdf.xpdf) that this reaction yields 55 GJ/ metric ton methane.

      Dividing through,

      7.5e18J/year / 5.5e10 J/ton = 1.4e8 ton methane burned per year. Coal has higher energy content, but I'm going to make the unfounded guess that the inefficiency of the generator will balance out my assumption of using methane.(Corrections from chemists are welcomed.)

      To review, we can spew out 1.4e8 ton of carbon (roughly), or 5e4 ton of dilute (factor of 1000) radioactive waste. So now the question is, how much radiation in that 1.4e8 tons of carbon. (http://www.docstoc.com/docs/4991532/radioactive-elements) tells me this is on the order of 10 ppm for thorium. So that's about 1.4e3 tons/year of pure thorium vs 5e1 tons/year of pure radioactive waste.

      Again, corrections to false assumptions and math mistakes are most welcome from people who actually know what they're talking about more than I do (I'm an EE/software guy from 9-5).

    23. Re:Grrr... by EdIII · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's funny. According to you those "tree hugging Luddites" have been reduced to burning trees to read at night. Ironic too.

    24. Re:Grrr... by catmistake · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You raise a good point that seems to be ignored: nuclear power is complex. It takes a good amount of education poured into many smart people to make it go. The education isn't cheap. Employing bright, well-educated people also isn't cheap. These costs are always ignored, but they are real. Does anyone really believe power is going to get cheaper? It's not. Any savings nuclear power might bring will be passed on to chairmans of the board and power moguls. Power mogels will replace oil mogels as the new robber barons. There's plenty of oil, but the cost will stay up. When there's plenty of power, the same sort of supply/demand/price-fix shennanigans will come into play. Too much power, not enough profit? Pull it back so there's not as much power, keep the price up there where people are used to it. They know we'll pay. Nuclear power is not going to change anything, afa the cost of power to the end user.

    25. Re:Grrr... by catmistake · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm afraid I can't give any real evidence. I'm no expert. Read a book in college... and I remember being in awe at the cost of nuclear power (the trillions our government has sunk into it over the decades), the complexity of it, and the inherent danger, and the breadth of the danger.

      But I admit it seems to me all the pro-nukers are right about what freezing nuclear development here did... held the US back. The United States no longer has the technology to pull off what the pro-nukers want, not without spending gobs of money importing the intellectual capital and technology. I believe that building breeder reactors is cost prohibitive because of this. Breeder reactors won't bring power independence, just more dependence on foreign technology. So even if the danger is marginalized, the cost is still quite amazing.

      Obviously, I personally don't think nuclear power is going to be the power savior in which the pro-nukes seem to have this unwavering faith. Looks to me like going backwards.

      I think the real power solution is going to be along the lines of legislation that requires all new structures to produce at least some of their own power. As time goes on, this requirement should get steeper. In 40 years, if 60% of the structures in the US were producing 20-30% of their own power, I think it would be be relief enough that we wouldn't need to panic and pour a few trillion into R&Ding and building and deploying 5 more reactors per state or whatever, breeder or not.

    26. Re:Grrr... by Col+Bat+Guano · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Couldn't it be dropped into a undersea subduction zone, where the tectonic plates meet?

      Circulation of very heavy metals at the deeper locations is going to be almost zero and there's no (?) biological activity that could bring it into contact with our biosphere...

    27. Re:Grrr... by Planesdragon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Would you like to live near a Nuclear power plant?

      1: yes.

      2: Depending on where you are and what you mean by "near", you already do.

    28. Re:Grrr... by edxwelch · · Score: 3, Informative

      Sorry to burst your bubble, but nobody actually recycles nuclear waste:
      "No use of reprocessed uranium in French reactors in the near future"
      http://www.wise-uranium.org/epfr.html
      This is just another lie of the nuclear industry.

    29. Re:Grrr... by Kazoo+the+Clown · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't you just love an industry that can solve its waste and health effect problems by applying nonexistent future technologies? Especially since its such problems are very long-term when all the competing technologies problems are short term. Sure, it takes 24000 for the waste to decay to 1/2 its radioactivity, but that just means we have thousands of years to develop a solution! The FUTURE will fix all the problems. How convEENient!

    30. Re:Grrr... by SavTM · · Score: 2, Interesting

      1. Burn coal? Nope. 2. Burn petroleum. Nope. 3. Nuclear power. Nope. NIMBY 4. Hydro power. Nope, think of the salmon! 5. Wind power. Nope. NIMBY 6. Solar power. NIMBY

      etc...

      They won't be happy until we're back in the days of using whale blubber lanterns to read at night...oh wait....

      You aren't representing this very fairly. You're representing it like a snide interlocutor with a vested interest in nuclear power. Interest is high in nuclear power because coal and petroleum prices are high. Not because Luddites demand alternative energy but then say it will harm the environment. You make it read as if nuclear power is comparable to wind or solar - it isn't.

      The world of the future also has to deal with future risks we leave them. It's true that hydro-electric power affects salmon populations, as you point out, but the reason it's a concern is because fishing is a huge business that makes a lot of money. So it raises the price of hydro power to compensate in the market, it doesn't invalidate the power source.

      Two additional, greater risks that nuclear and hydro power present to the environment is the risk of terrorism. One can theorize that wind and solar power could have harmful effects on their local environments, but it would be on the order of roads or power lines. It would not be on the order of Three Mile Island or Chernobyl. Or that scene we see of the Hoover Dam crumbling in every freakin' movie that comes close to the Hoover Dam, ever.

      In the grand scheme, coal and petroleum processing are still preferable to nuclear power from a social planning perspective, especially when it comes to decommissioning. Sinking the money for nuclear infrastructure plans into alternative research, including tide pools and geothermal to introduce even more competitive players will reduce the cost of power and solve the so-called 'Energy Crisis'.

      Consumption and waste is not a crisis that can be solved by scientists. As long as we're producing it on Earth and there are practical limits, there is no free energy, so we would do well to think of it that way instead of pretending nuclear power will solve problems. Putting more power in the hands of nuclear providers simply tilts the scales of global power towards instability. Especially if nations that don't have nuclear power are prevented from having it in the future.

    31. Re:Grrr... by KliX · · Score: 2, Informative

      Have you ever read about the physics of why that reactor failed? It was just about the worst design you could possibly imagine (shut it down even slightly incorrectly, and at low power mode, it'll suddenly spike to 10x maximum projected power output.. and go bang). It was just shit design.

    32. Re:Grrr... by MrKaos · · Score: 4, Informative

      1: almost non reactive with a half life of hundreds of thousands of years. Its about as dangerous as normal granite.

      Actually the half-life of Pu-239, the primary waste from once-through cycle reactors, is 25000 years. It is a potent alpha emitter and a dose of roughly a microgram (inhaled) is enough to give you lung cancer. Ingested via other means and it is an iron analogue to the body so is a potent cause of Leukemia. Much more dangerous than granite.

      2: highly radioactive stuff with half lives of decades, the stuff will be decomposed and safe after about 2 centuries. We can build safe containment sure to last that long.

      From reading about the waste products of breeder/burner reactors the first daughter product was after 600 years, still within the range of human engineering but it's important to be realistic about the time frames and the actual potential for harm (which is still a very potent risk). But your right, a shorter half life means it is more radioactive, and a lot of people here are getting that wrong because the article gets it wrong.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    33. Re:Grrr... by oatworm · · Score: 2, Informative

      Even that's not right. He only chose to allocate funding to the embryonic stem cell lines that were already being researched. Before he did that, no lines were receiving federal funding. More details can be found here and here. Note that there was never a point during the Bush administration when working on non-authorized lines would have been illegal - in fact, California had a research institute set up to explore them.

    34. Re:Grrr... by MrKaos · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Chernobyl blew up because the operators tested the emergency cooling facilities at 200Mw instead of at 750Mw like the test scenarios proscribed AND after they Xenon poisoned the reaction. By the time the were able to restart the reaction there was a shift change from the more experienced crew (who were dead tired by this stage) to a less experienced crew.

      Stubbornly the manager persisted with the test, we know this can only be the case because of the shift change, they didn't recognise the danger of the ratio of control rod extraction to low thermal power output was because they were creating steam voids in the reactor core. No water, no reaction moderation. When they tried to scram the reactor the graphite tipped control rods displaced the little the steam was doing to moderate the reaction, thermal power spiked to 30Gw and ***BOOM***.

      From memory 750Mw was proscribed because of the time it took to spin down the cooling system for the reactor down was matched to the start-up time of the diesel pumps that would take over. Operator error introduced a new failure-mode into the system and as all these reactors age, those failure modes will change up to and beyond the time for decommissioning.

      In other words, the engineers specify sequences for a reasons based on the characteristics of the machine. This is of course just from memory the Chernobyl wiki probably does a better job remembering than I do.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    35. Re:Grrr... by interkin3tic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm sorry, is it no longer politically correct to only mention an example of conservative stupidity without mentioning one of liberal stupidity?

    36. Re:Grrr... by maxume · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I guess you could say I am on the left (I roll my eyes less often watching Olbermann than watching O'Rielly, and I can't think of Glenn Beck as anything other than some sort of hilarious prank). I never thought anything other than Bush banned federal funding except in the case of existing lines.

      And I never really noticed 'the majority' of the left saying anything different than that.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    37. Re:Grrr... by Nadaka · · Score: 2, Informative

      the integral fast reactor design produces waste of Sm-151 (half-life 90y) and Tc-99 (half-life 211,100) and the combined radioactivity of the final waste is return to the ores original value of natural uranium ore within 200 years.

      Yes, Sm-151 is more dangerous than Pu-239, its also a lot easier to contain. We can make a concrete and steel box that will contain that threat for more than 200 years with great certainty. Its a lot harder to be sure about containing Pu-239 for a couple thousand years.

    38. Re:Grrr... by mqduck · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So it isn't true that many scientists oppose nuclear power. A minority of scientists oppose nuclear power

      I don't think you understand the word many. If it was a majority they'd say "majority" or "most". 27%, especially if it's of such a large group, is "many".

      --
      Property is theft.
    39. Re:Grrr... by interkin3tic · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Oh I'm sorry, that's an incredibly stupid thing to say.

      It seems to me, being relatively uninformed about nuclear power, that there are significant differences between computers, a technology which has gotten cheaper, and nuclear power, which you say will get cheaper. How exactly WILL a free market ever do anything on power when we're still talking about huge power plants and inevitable government bureaucracy basically granting a monopoly? Are we going to see two competing nuclear power plants per town? Why aren't we seeing that with coal?

      These aren't hypothetical questions, I honestly don't know. What I do know is that the answers aren't obvious, so you have no leg to stand on acting as if his concerns are stupid. You pro-nukers always seem so angry whenever anyone questions nuclear power, it makes me wonder why you're so sure that nuclear power is beyond question. What's your real motivation? Are you trying to make nuclear power look less interesting? Because I have very little motivation to become educated on the pros of nuclear power when you guys act like it should be obvious already and anyone who isn't wearing a "I love nuclear power" button is an idiot.

    40. Re:Grrr... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 4, Informative

      Close but no cigar. While you describe the technical reasons, you ignore the human reasons and just assume that the manager and his crew were suicidal. They weren't.

      The manager used to work at VVER type reactors before he started at the Chernobyl powerplant. He studied the manual of RBMK and according to manual the reactor was similar to operate. There was nothing about positive void coefficient or xenon poisoning in the manual. Minimal safe thermal power also wasn't specified. And of course there was nothing about SCRAM possibly could cause a runaway reaction - such a condition may not exist in any reactor built according to some safety standards.

      So while the manager chose to run the experiment on a different thermal power rating, he did it in the knowledge that the procedure was still safe according to the reactor manual.

      But let's go a couple of years back before the accident.
      Anatoliy Aleksandrov - three times Hero of Socialist Labour (a degree of distinction similar to Hero of the Soviet Union), 9 times awardee of the Lenin Order, director of the Kurchatov Institute, was the project manager on the RBMK project. Nikolay Dollezhal - two times Hero of Socialist Labour, 6 times awardee of the Lenin Orden, director of the Research and Design Institute for Power Engineering was the chief engineer of the project. Both of them were among the highest decorated soviet scientists, both of them designed pretty much every soviet nuclear reactor and a good part of soviet nuclear armament. Both of them were getting older and set in their ways.

      They were warned that their RBMK design was faulty in many ways. They ignored the warnings. The near-accidents at the Leningrad and Ignalina power plant were classified and the proposed solutions of making the RBMK design safer so the accidents wouldn't happen were also classified.

      Then came the Chernobyl disaster. Both scientists blamed the reactor crew and the political bureau sided with them - they couldn't blame such high decorated scientists and had to find a scapegoat. But silently the reactor user manual was updated and so were the reactor control rods. Also, Dollezhal was forced to retire (Aleksandrov was over 80 in 1986 so he was retired already).

      Shortly before his death Aleksandrov more or less admitted his guilt, Dollezhal though insisted that the RBMK design was inherently safe until he died.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    41. Re:Grrr... by DarthVain · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I am guessing here, but dumping radioactive waste into the oceans might be political and PR death. Regardless of if it is actually harmful or not, which it likely is (but I don't know only guessing).

  2. Hooray! by Greyfox · · Score: 2, Funny

    Time to order a couple thousand 1970s era alarm clocks (With the glowing dials) and start up a nuclear pile in my garage!

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    1. Re:Hooray! by Jeng · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Just visit antique stores, perhaps you'll find one with an extra vial of radium paint in the back of the clock.

      http://www.dangerouslaboratories.org/radscout.html

      --
      Don't know something? Look it up. Still don't know? Then ask.
  3. Good. by tpjunkie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This needs all the political momentum it can get. Nuclear power is one of the areas I have strong disagreements with the current administration. Considering how much Uranium (and thorium, but lets not get into that) we have available domestically, this is such a fundamental and simple (albeit expensive) steps we can take to reduce emissions (I'm looking at you, coal) while decreasing our energy dependency. It has been so long since we have built a new reactor in this country that the safety of the newest designs, particularly the pebble bed reactor makes the still operating relics of the 60s and 70's look like potential Chernobyls (Of course, they're not, but I'm speaking relatively and the safety aspects have come quite a ways since then)

    1. Re:Good. by megabeck42 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The difference between chernobyl's RBMK design and and our operating relics is already rather significant. Also, we have organizations in the US, such as the United States Navy, which are at the forefront of safe reactor design and operation.

      --
      fnord.
    2. Re:Good. by tpjunkie · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Oh I am aware of that as well, I was just using Chernobyl as a point of comparison to make a point. If TMI showed anything it's that the containment design of the then-current reactors works as designed. The point being that pebble bed reactors are designed such that a runaway reaction and increased temperatures improve the moderator's effectiveness, thus reducing the reaction rate. It literally is a fool-proof design inasmuch as a nuclear reactor can be "fool proof"

    3. Re:Good. by stoolpigeon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's funny that the article talks about how much things have changed in the last 20 years. I had a buddy that was a nuke in the navy and when he got out he turned down a nice job offer because he didn't think civilian operations were done well or safely. That was in the mid 90's.

      --
      It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
    4. Re:Good. by cbhacking · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Indeed. OP should have said "so long since we have built a new commercial reactor in this country" since the Navy has been building them into its ships and submarines for decades now.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    5. Re:Good. by demachina · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Unfortunately there are enough Senators in the United States Senate from coal producing states they can destroy any sane new energy policy simply to protect the big coal producers and the coal mining jobs in their states. This is already happening in the current cap and trade energy bill. We could rapidly decommission a bunch of dirty coal plants and replace them with natural gas. Its not perfect on the CO2 front but they are better than coal and easy to do. The U.S. and the world is now sitting on a glut of natural gas and prices are plummeting thanks to new drilling techniques tapping huge new reservoirs under shale that was previously difficult to drill.

      The senators are saying the same thing the Bush administration said for eight years, and it appears Obama is saying now, having just pumped $3 billion more in to clean coal pilots. They say they are going to have clean coal and CO2 sequestration any day now and "clean" coal will solve all our problems. It just happens most of the clean coal pilots have failed miserably, if it ever does happen it will be expensive, a little dangerous and still put out large quantities of other pollutants. "Clean coal" is just political smoke screen to con the public in to thinking coal is "clean" because the TV said so when in fact its the dirtiest fuel there is.

      Much of this is a tribute to how broken the U.S. Senate is and how perfectly designed it is to protect powerful corporate special interests. An industry just needs to buy a handful of Senators and they can completely frustrate any rational new policy direction, pretty much exactly the same thing happening to health care reform.

      --
      @de_machina
  4. Yeah, sure by oldhack · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nukes are awesome. Let's put bunch of them OVER THERE. No, no, no, not over here, OVER THERE.

    --
    Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
    1. Re:Yeah, sure by Nit+Picker · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, if you talk to someone in a community that hosts a nuclear plant, the opinion is usually positive. I recently met a newspaper man from Waynesboro, GA, which has two reactors and two more on the way, and he said the plant was the best thing that had happened to the city.

    2. Re:Yeah, sure by oldspewey · · Score: 4, Funny

      ... he then proceeded to shoot flames from his eyes in order to warm a cup of coffee while the small, winglike appendages growing from the sides of his neck flapped excitedly.

      --
      If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
    3. Re:Yeah, sure by Captain+Spam · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Unfortunately, no matter how safe, clean, or whatnot of the design, you still need to get over that first hurdle of convincing the people to allow the first one to be built in the area. Then there might be less resistance to the next.

      --
      Demanding constant attention will only lead to attention.
    4. Re:Yeah, sure by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree, and I'd personally go farther: I don't have any problem with a nuke plant in my backyard - and I mean this literally. If you google the specs on Toshiba's mini municipal reactors... hell yeah, I soo want one of those under the yard! I have fantasies of buying one, buying some cheap land, and building a self-sustaining utopian commune around it. That's the kind of energy independence, local community resilience and modernity that should excite any real American!

  5. Best stop-gap availible by FrostDust · · Score: 2

    Until renewable energy sources mature and gain public acceptence (solar is relativly inefficient and expensive, and Americans seem fond of complaining about "ugly" windmills), nuclear power is the best option we have.

    1. Re:Best stop-gap availible by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think most energy experts consider it the "bridging" option. If coal is unacceptable, geothermal too difficult in many areas, hydroelectric already all but maxed out in much of North America (and not exactly without substantial environmental repercussions of its own), and wind, tidal and solar technologies still some ways until maturation, then we're left with nuclear power. Maybe by the end of the century other technologies (in particular better capacitors which make alternative technologies much more sensible) will see reactors phased out, but at the end of the day, nuclear power is the only way we can generate large amounts of electricity with a minimum of environmental and climate impact. If we wait around for the alternative technologies to mature, we're probably going to spend another twenty or thirty years puking CO2, enriching states that would just as soon send suicide bombers to knock out Western office towers and train stations, and generally making the ultimate transition away from fossil fuels all the more difficult.

      The environmentalists are just going to have to suck it up, and that's all there is to it. The world is going to need a lot more nuclear reactors over the next half century, and if every industrialized state out there is going to throw money out the window in the hopes of restarting the economy, then it would make sense that using those dollars to kick start nuclear power is just about the best thing one could do.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  6. 1968 controls technology by bzzfzz · · Score: 4, Insightful
    When you consider the state of materials science and controls technology in 1968, when construction started on the TMI reactor, it's a wonder that anything as complicated as a power plant worked at all, let alone safely.

    I think it's tragic that a plant from that era has come to symbolize nuclear power for the entire nation when the technology has advanced so considerably. If we applied that line of reasoning to automobiles, we'd close all the freeways because the Corvair was unsafe.

  7. With Yucca Mountain closed? by Eager+Newbie · · Score: 2, Interesting

    How will the closing of the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository affect the development of more power plants? I would think a lack of waste storage could slow down the construction of new plants.

    --
    "Your most unhappy customers are your greatest source of learning." Bill Gates Yeah Right!
    1. Re:With Yucca Mountain closed? by Nadaka · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Nope, it will increase the need to build more feeder-breeder reactors to use up the 99% fuel content remaining in that so called "nuclear waste".

    2. Re:With Yucca Mountain closed? by Jeng · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why not just drill a large hole into a subduction zone and drop it off in there.

      Let the earth recycle it.

      Then again I also never understood why if nuclear waste is still putting off energy, why not just use the waste as an energy source? Storing the waste in pools that have to be constantly chilled just seems so backasswards.

      --
      Don't know something? Look it up. Still don't know? Then ask.
    3. Re:With Yucca Mountain closed? by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hardly at all. Modern Pebble Bed reactors recycle their own waste until there is almost no radiation left and only a lump of lead where the uranium should be. There's almost no waste at all in a modern reactor, and the whole thing can be shielded so well that it's virtually impossible to have a melt down from one even if things do go wrong.

      In fact, places like Yucca Mountain and Hanford, if Pebble Bed reactors take off- could become MINES.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    4. Re:With Yucca Mountain closed? by Relic+of+the+Future · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Closing? It was never open. Most spent fuel is (has been and will be) kept on-site, the rest is usually only ever moved a relatively short distance. Besides, fuel reprocessing would be better. And gen-4 plants (which would burn more than the 2% of the uranium we currently burn before calling the fuel "spent") would be even better.

      --
      Those who fail to understand communication protocols, are doomed to repeat them over port 80.
    5. Re:With Yucca Mountain closed? by techno-vampire · · Score: 4, Informative
      Then again I also never understood why if nuclear waste is still putting off energy, why not just use the waste as an energy source? Storing the waste in pools that have to be constantly chilled just seems so backasswards.

      I've asked that question myself, for many years. For the most part, people would just say, "No, they don't do that," and ignore my response of, "Why not?"

      Finally, I got an answer: those pools get near the boiling point of water, but no further, and you're not going to get enough energy for the generators to pay for themselves unless they're running on super heated steam. Yes, there's a fair amount of energy there, but it's not concentrated enough to use. Sigh!

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
  8. Good Luck With The Red Tape.... by BJ_Covert_Action · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I am an enthusiastic supporter of nuclear power for many reasons (the least of which is not its potential capability to move mankind into the space). However, no matter how excited and supportive the government or the populace become of nuclear energy there is one huge barrier that it faces. Due to the terror of nuclear energy generated in past decades, there are miles of legal hurdles, red tape, and bureaucratic BS festivals to go through before anything nuclear can be approved and implemented. Unless both federal and state litigators are willing to ease up some of the legal garbage surrounding nuclear facilities, it will remain an incredibly expensive (and unnecessarily so) solution to energy problems.

    I hope the folks planning to establish new nuclear facilities hire a damn good group of lawyers. They are probably going to need it.

  9. No Co2! by salparadyse · · Score: 3, Funny

    But your great, great, great, great, great grandchildren will be employed monitoring the "by-products".

  10. Environment?? by blackraven14250 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They haven't solved the environmental issues. They might have better safety, but what about the fact that they use massive amounts of water, and heat it up about a degree before returning it to the river that the plant is inevitably next to? How about the waste? They still haven't solved that one; all our old waste is still sitting on site at current plants.

    1. Re:Environment?? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They haven't solved the environmental issues. They might have better safety, but what about the fact that they use massive amounts of water, and heat it up about a degree before returning it to the river that the plant is inevitably next to? How about the waste? They still haven't solved that one; all our old waste is still sitting on site at current plants.

      Palo Verde. 3 units, no river.

      The waste is sitting there because politicians refuse to deal with the issue; not because it is unsolvable. Personally, I think we should rethink breeder reactors.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    2. Re:Environment?? by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Modern Pebble Bed Reactors recycle their water, just like they recycle their uranium.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    3. Re:Environment?? by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Personally, I think we should rethink breeder reactors.

      Hell, no! Pretty soon we'd have reactors running around everywhere!

      You can't build them until you can find an effective method of birth control for them!

      --
      That is all.
  11. Let's hope so by Syncerus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The simple truth is that nuclear power is good technology that solves a variety of sticky problems. Anti-nuclear propaganda films irrationally scared the public in to rejecting a highly beneficial and useful method of power generation. With the passage of years, the public has come to the realization that the sky isn't falling and that a modern, safe nuclear power system is good economics and good social policy. We should celebrate this return to sanity: it's reason triumphing over irrational fear.

    --
    "Man is nothing without the works of man" -- Helvetius
  12. Support for Nuclear Power: Greed versus Intellect by reporter · · Score: 2
    For decades, the typical American has exhibited an abysmal understanding of basic physics. This ignorance explains why he succumbs to scare stories about the horrors of nuclear power and why he has opposed it for those same decades. At the same time, the French and the Japanese -- with their outstanding understanding of basic science (as indicated by international comparisons of high-school students in France, Japan, and the USA) -- have generally supported nuclear power. It generates most of the electricity in France.

    That Americans are suddenly interested in nuclear power is not due to a sudden awareness of the science behind it. Rather, economics has changed the equation. The rise of China and India has dramatically increased demand for fossil fuels and has driven their prices through the roof. This phenomenon directly hits the checkbooks of Americans.

    Economics, not intellect, has now convinced Americans to join the nuclear-power club. Unfortunately, for the Americans, since they deserted nuclear power for 30+ years, the most advanced nuclear-power plants are designed by French and Japanese engineers. France and Japan will profit immensely when their companies build plants in the USA for the science-challenged Americans.

  13. "peak uranium"? by retchdog · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I've heard from a physicist, that we have only so much easily refinable uranium/plutonium to last until 2050 or so. Wikipedia says 100 years which, while not a reason to stop doing it, seems pretty low to me. After that we'd have to go to lower-yield thorium fuel cycle (breeder) reactors which would last a while.

    Of course he's not a nuclear physicist/engineer. Anyone have the scoop? Would these current power plant designs be adaptable?

    --
    "They were pure niggers." – Noam Chomsky
    1. Re:"peak uranium"? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, seawater uranium is indefinitely sustainable, so long as the rivers keep running. Rivers add far more Uranium to the sea each year than what we would burn even if all our energy came from Uranium. Well, I haven't done the calculation, but a geologist I trust did.

    2. Re:"peak uranium"? by Tweenk · · Score: 5, Interesting

      1. Those are reserves, not resources. (Look up the difference sometime).
      2. Breeder reactors extend this 20-fold.
      3. Thorium extends this further 5 times so that now we're looking at 5000 years of *reserves* (e.g. the amount that can be economically mined at present day price)
      4. There are billions of tons of uranium in seawater.
      5. Finally, advances in nuclear fission based power generation technology are a prerequisite for nuclear fusion.

      Some more information:
      http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/progress/cohen.html

      --
      Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
  14. Do the math by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There's a reason nobody is investing in this great deal.

    The interest on a $8B loan at 8% is about 1.8M per day.

    The amount of power made is about that much, at the wholesale rate of .10/KWH

    And that's not counting the cost of uranium, labor, maintenance, decomissioning, or insurance .....
    Not to mention that it takes many years to build one, with the 1.8M accruing each day.

    1. Re:Do the math by h4rr4r · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Then perhaps it should be built as a power-coop?
      You know a nice non-profit, perhaps even given a government loan?

    2. Re:Do the math by huckamania · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It costs that much because of the Anti-Nuke crowds hysteria requiring accounting and maintenance practices which would make the gordian knot look like a half-winchester. This is similar to the logic that it costs less to give a mass murderer life then death. Ask the Chinese if it costs more to keep someone in a cage or execute them behind the courthouse.

      Throw in enough adjudication and bureaucratic nonsense and just about any activity can be rendered economically unsound.

    3. Re:Do the math by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 3, Informative

      >Modern pebble-bed reactors include maintenance, decomissioning, and uranium as a part of the initial cost.

      Please point to a single working pebble bed reactor.
      The last one built by the Germans was a big flop.

      It's ridiculous to try to compare things that have been around for 30 years with experimental concepts that have not made any progress in 20 years.

    4. Re:Do the math by NecroPuppy · · Score: 4, Informative

      Ask the Chinese if it costs more to keep someone in a cage or execute them behind the courthouse.

      Given that the Chinese are turning around and selling the organs of the executed, I'd say that helps the balance sheet a little.

      --
      I like you, Stuart. You're not like everyone else, here, at Slashdot.
    5. Re:Do the math by Relic+of+the+Future · · Score: 3, Insightful

      AP1000 is a 1000 megawatt plant (hence the name; actually, it makes a bit more than 1000), that's 1,000,000 kilowatts; $0.10/KWH*1,000,000*24hrs/day=$2.4million/day worth of electricity sold. And the businesses taking out these loans can get a damn sight better than 8% annual interest. But yes, the plant is expensive. But the fuel is surprisingly cheap; not by the pound, for sure, but by the watt (since you need so little mass to generate each watt), it's a helluva lot cheaper than coal.

      --
      Those who fail to understand communication protocols, are doomed to repeat them over port 80.
    6. Re:Do the math by UncleTogie · · Score: 2, Informative

      Please point to a single working pebble bed reactor.

      Okay, how about this one, based on the "failed" design you mentioned earlier... Details here.

      --
      Don't tell me to get a life. I'm a gamer; I have LOTS of lives!
    7. Re:Do the math by pauls2272 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The problem is the nuclear decommissioning costs aren't clearly understood.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_decommissioning

      This I've heard is the real problem with Nuclear power - not the waste issue. The plants can only operate so long before they have to be decomissioned and the costs of decommissioning so far have been tremendously low. France has spent 500 million EU just trying to decomission a single plant:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brennilis_Nuclear_Power_Plant

      If they can solve the decommissioning problem, then I'd be in favor of more nuclear power. But building more plants that might cost billions to decommission doesn't sound too good to me.

    8. Re:Do the math by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Informative

      No, the German Pebble Bed Reactor worked perfectly for 21 years. It didn't generate much power because it was only a demonstration reactor to prove the technology.

      In a way it was the accident at Three Mile Island that shut that reactor down. One of the pebbles got stuck in the mechanism a couple of weeks after TMI - when the newspapers were full of "nuclear accident" scare stories. There was never any danger but the politicians decided to shut it down due to public pressure.

      --
      No sig today...
    9. Re:Do the math by orzetto · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, the German Pebble Bed Reactor worked perfectly for 21 years.

      Except for the last week or so, when a pebble got stuck in the recycling system and the operators had to unclog the system manually, causing primary-circuit helium to be released in the atmosphere. One accident every 21 years does not cut it.

      Also, there are significant issues with using helium as a primary circuit fluid. When water was used, you were pumping a liquid; for helium, you need a gas compressor, which is a significantly less efficient unit. Also, efficiency considerations practically dictate to use an axial compressor, which is the kind most sensitive to compressor surge. A surge in a large compressor can melt its casing in seconds. And guess what, the conditions in which surge occurs in compressors are those closest to high efficiency, where the compressor is supposed to operate.

      In addition, when water from the secondary circuit leaks into the primary circuit's helium, there are risks of reaction between water and graphite pebbles if the temperature is too high (I suppose you can figure out what happens). In Germany, they were lucky they were running at about 500 degrees when that happened in 1978, but it took a year to dry the core.

      --
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    10. Re:Do the math by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 3, Insightful

      >Please point to a single working pebble bed reactor.

      >Okay, how about this [wikipedia.org] one, based on the "failed" design you mentioned earlier... Details here. [wired.com]

      You get your information from Wikipedia and Wired?

      FYI: Under the best of circumstances those are less than reliable sources. And the Wikipedia article refers to a 2005 experimental reactor, and "plans" for a bigger startup in 2013.

      And no need to put quotes around "failed", it failed: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/THTR-300

    11. Re:Do the math by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 2, Informative

      I looked at those references. They are virtually information-free. The first one is from the researchers saying everything is swell.

      The second one refers to a software simulation of the core. Whoopee.

      What I get from those refs is that this is a very small experimental reactor. Not something that is ready for scaling up to usable (50x) size in prime-time.

      Durrrr yourself.

  15. Re:Shameless sig whoring by Shakrai · · Score: 5, Interesting

    See this on a ./er's sig so I can't take credit for it, but it sums up the situation nicely: Nuclear power. Global warming. Agrarian society. Pick one.

    The enviro-nazi's would seem to prefer the Agrarian society option. We can't use nuclear, we can't use coal, we can't use natural gas, we can't build more hydro -- so what exactly is going to replace the base load part of the power grid? Solar and wind will never scale that well and aren't appropriate for base load anyways. We never should have stopped building nuclear power plants. The environmentalist movement really shot themselves in the foot with that one. How much CO2 has been released into the atmosphere by the coal/gas power plants brought online to replace the nuclear ones that we never built?

    We should also extend a nice fat middle finger at Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford for unilaterally abandoning reprocessing technology. How does the United States not reprocessing our spent nuclear fuel prevent nuclear proliferation anyway? Was there some third world dictator who thought to himself "Gee, I'd like to have a nuclear bomb but the US abandoned reprocessing technology so why should I even bother to try?"

    --
    I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
    We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  16. Re:CO2 accounting by Nit+Picker · · Score: 2, Informative

    It's been done several times. There is a study called "ExternE" that does the calculation for several methods of electric generation. Nuclear is low, especially if the calculation assumes centrifuge enrichment, although not as low as hydro. Nuclear opponents sometimes like to quote a study by a guy named Storm van Leeuwen who claims otherwise, but from what I can tell it is flawed.

  17. Progress for nuclear power by Ironchew · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm a supporter of widespread nuclear power. However, the industry hasn't solved two major issues:
    -Hazards of mining the fuel
    -Political viability of fast breeder reactors

    If we could get robots to mine the fuel, great. Right now, mining heavy, radioactive material is a hazardous occupation with long-term health effects.
    Fast breeder reactors are the way to minimize nuclear waste to easily manageable levels. It is also an efficient generator of weapons-grade fissile material. The international community has proliferation concerns associated with this.

    I hope to see these issues addressed in the future for ushering in widespread nuclear power along with solar, wind, and geothermal energy.

    1. Re:Progress for nuclear power by Tweenk · · Score: 4, Interesting

      1. You overestimate the radioactivity of uranium ore. There are entire towns built on uranium deposits and they don't experience any measurable ill effects.
      2. Some designs of breeder reactors like IFR (also called ALMR) cannot create usable weapons-grade fissile materials. The risk of someone stealing fissile materials from a breeder reactor is lower than that of someone capturing an ICBM site, or stealing a complete warhead.

      --
      Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
    2. Re:Progress for nuclear power by init100 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Fast breeder reactors are the way to minimize nuclear waste to easily manageable levels. It is also an efficient generator of weapons-grade fissile material.

      The solution to this problem is non-breeding fast reactors. You get a breeder by surrounding the core with natural uranium, which will slowly transform into fissile material like Plutonium under the intense neutron bombardment in the reactor. A fast reactor is a reactor using unmoderated (fast) neutrons. Breeders have usually been fast reactors, but there is nothing that requires a fast reactor to be a breeder. And it is the fast neutrons that can be used to minimize nuclear waste. Breeding more fuel is not connected to the reduction in waste.

    3. Re:Progress for nuclear power by Mashiki · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The anonyposter is correct. Here in Canada we do, do some mining by remote rig now. But that's not the real funny thing, underground not so much of an issue. It can be the toxic gas releases in the high arctic that will kill you. So you get an operator sitting in a remote box a good ways away and do it. There's a company near me who does underground coal mining all by wired remotes.

      Mining by robot is not a concern.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    4. Re:Progress for nuclear power by plague911 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Fast breeders are not even close to being cost effective. Each kwh costs around 2-3 times as much if you use a fast breeder. . Yuka mountain-esq ideas are the only economical solution.

    5. Re:Progress for nuclear power by Nemyst · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And of course mining coal isn't a hazardous occupation with long-term health effects? Oh, look!

    6. Re:Progress for nuclear power by sjames · · Score: 2, Informative

      Newer designs have solved the proliferation problem. They breed fuel with poisons that prevent a successful detonation and are hard enough to remove that starting from scratch with uranium ore makes more sense.

  18. Re:CO2 accounting by Shakrai · · Score: 3, Insightful

    One must take into account the amount of CO2 emitted during nuclear fuel production. Has anybody done the math?

    You don't need to "do the math". Apply some common sense. Common sense tells you that it doesn't take thousands of megawatts to dig ore out of the ground and refine it. Have you ever seen the trainloads of coal that arrive at your local coal power plant on a routine basis? Do you think it takes anywhere near that amount of energy to dig ore out of the ground and process it?

    --
    I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
    We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  19. Re:Not Carbon Free by hardburn · · Score: 2, Informative

    Non-issue. The main concern is the total heat capacity of the entire ecosystem, not a localized heating of a river. All energy production methods lose energy to heat. Since nuclear can reach well over a thousand degrees, it's Carnot Limit is quite a bit higher than almost anything else.

    The 1 degree of change being a problem comes as an average. Since some places are known to be cooler, and other stay roughly the same, a 1 degree increase can correspond to 10 or more degrees increase in certain locations, particularly the poles.

    --
    Not a typewriter
  20. Re:Shameless sig whoring by negRo_slim · · Score: 2, Interesting

    what exactly is going to replace the base load part of the power grid?

    Wind and Solar with proper energy retention mechanisms for times when they cannot provide the power needed. Take the money you would invest in ramping up nuclear and invest in basic battery research in the meantime use concepts like molten salt and compressed air to provide energy during night and low wind occurrences. Invest in basic science to provide long range power transmission so areas rich in said power can supply far off urban centers.

    --
    On the Oregon Cost born and raised, On the beach is where I spent most of my days
  21. Oblig. Mr. Burns. by Commander+Doofus · · Score: 5, Funny
    I really hate the comparisons of Three Mile Island to Chernobyl.

    "Congratulations Homer! You've turned a potential Chernobyl into a mere Three Mile Island!

    --
    Want to improve your life? This guy will show you how!
  22. It's true by whoda · · Score: 2, Informative

    My father retired from the NRC 2 years ago.
    He has more contracting work at plants all around the country than you could shake a fuel rod at.

  23. Re:Shameless sig whoring by Lotana · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Oh they don't like wind generators either. Apparently they kill some incompetent, slow bird once in a while.

    As far as solar power is concerned, its just a matter of time till some environmentalist will oppose it on the basis of toxic substances produced during manufacture.

    Agrarian society here we come...

  24. Re:Support for Nuclear Power: Greed versus Intelle by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For decades, the typical American has exhibited an abysmal understanding of basic physics.

    France and Japan will profit immensely when their companies build plants in the USA for the science-challenged Americans.

    Stereotype much?

    --
    I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
    We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  25. Re:Shameless sig whoring by Nadaka · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Solar thermal is a fairly good option for base load and massive scaling. Using a thermal reservoir allows continued energy production at night and cloudy days. It requires no exotic materials or manufacture processes like photovoltaic, it can use the same turbines, generators and boilers used in conventional plants. Its drawbacks are the space it takes up (not relevant in the desert) and being fragile to adverse weather (hail, tornadoes, thunderstorms, etc).

  26. Different waste. . . by JSBiff · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "You can't recycle the fuel indefinitely, eventually you will have waste. And eventually it needs to be dealt with."

    But that waste you eventually have to deal with is almost completely different stuff. Instead of being a highly radioactive mess for a hundred thousand years, it's a much less radioactive mess for a thousand years (and during that last 500 years, it's pretty 'cool' anyhow). I don't know about you, but I suspect we *probably* have the engineering know how and materials science to contain stuff safely for 500-1000 years. I don't think anyone really thinks we currently have the knowledge to solve the problem of containing waste safely for 100,000 years.

    I'd much rather try to solve the problem of containing waste safely for 1000 years than 100 times that.

  27. Nuclear power is green power by QuoteMstr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Even without further technological advance, nuclear power will suffice for several millennia. It produces zero emissions (except a little hot water) and produces a tiny volume of solid waste that doesn't escape into the environment. It runs silently all day and all night. If you were handed a datasheet for a nuclear power plant with the source of power blacked out, you'd jump at the chance to build the thing.

    Nuclear power produces long-lived, dangerous waste, doesn't it? Dangerous and long-lived are mutually exclusive when it comes to nuclear materials. That's just the way the science of radioactive decay works. After being taken out of the reactor, the waste that remains can be reprocessed into more fuel. But if it isn't, then you can leave it in a cooling pond for a few years, and after that point, it's safe enough to handle, store, and bury. There are far worse industrial outputs than cooled-down nuclear waste.

    But it's still dangerous and we have no place to store the waste! What's wrong with a cave in the middle of the desert? There's no water table. The area is seismically stable, and there's no life where we want to store the waste. And by itself, nuclear waste will do nothing. It won't make your children glow in the middle of the night. It won't contaminate your crops. It won't do anything because it's inert.

    What about the risk of nuclear meltdown? Won't that destroy cities? Well, what about steam boiler explosions? What about refinery disasters? What about train disasters? Do those keep your up at night? They all killed people regularly back in their early days. But we don't worry about them now because improved safety technology has reduced the risk to an acceptable level. The same principle applies to nuclear power: another disaster like Chernobyl could never happen to even a 1970s-era American reactor, much less the far-improved versions we have today. The risk of being injured by a nuclear meltdown today is on par with being injured by lightning.

    Wait -- won't we run out of fuel? Don't we only have reserves for a hundred years? You don't understand how much energy is contained in nuclear fuel. You need so little of it that the fuel is dirt cheap. The price of uranium could increase a thousandfold without affecting a nuclear plant's bottom line. And because uranium is so cheap, there's been very little prospecting. The reason our proven reserves are relatively small is that nobody has been looking very hard, because uranium is dirt cheap. In fact, for the past few decades, the nuclear power industry has been running on decommissioned nuclear warheads. That's how little fuel you really need for nuclear power.

    Sure, nuclear might be okay, but wind power! It's decentralized, and therefore better! And it appeals to my philosophical sensibilities because it's not a big evil industry!Wind power can't provide baseload power. Plus, it's limited by the number of sites with good winds. You can, on the other hand, build as many nuclear plants as necessary without severe geographic constraints. As for nuclear being centralized, big, and therefore evil: big isn't necessarily bad. Properly regulated, a huge nuclear plant can provide inexpensive power to millions far more efficiently than many small ones, or thousands of turbines, coal-fired power stations, and natural gas generators. Furthermore, there's no particular reason nuclear stations need to be private per se: consider the Tennessee Valley Authority model.

    If nuclear power is so great, why does it take two decades to build one, and why does the government have to subsidize the insurance?In terms of physical build time, it only takes a few years to erect a power plant. The delays come from hysterical opponents using every possible legal avenue to block new nuclear plants. The complaints have no basis in fact, but the courts have to hear them just the same. Often, legal delays are so severe that projects are abandoned altogether (which is, of course, what op

  28. Re:Shameless sig whoring by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Or we could use the technology that we know works instead of investing in your ideas that have no existing economic infrastructure or history of successful deployment.

    Seriously, build batteries? That's your bright idea? Why don't you stop and think about the environmental impact of building enough batteries to store millions of megawatt hours worth of electricty. Even if we invent a better battery chemistry that results in a massive increase of energy density there's no way that will scale in an environmentally friendly manner.

    --
    I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
    We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  29. Do the math, a real example by Mike_EE_U_of_I · · Score: 5, Informative

        I'll expand your idea to my local utility, Progress Energy in Florida. Progress Energy estimates that a two reactor plant is going to cost $17 billion (http://www.newsobserver.com/business/story/993686.html)

        At an 8% cost of capital, that is 1.36 billion a year. With a 35 useful lifetime of the plant, there is an additional .5 billion a year to repay the capital. Throw in some of the other costs you mention (fuel, labor, property taxes, etc) and let's say the plant needs to earn 2 billion a year with no profit for the owners.

        The reactors are two Westinghouse AP1000 which produce 1154Megawatts each (http://www.ap1000.westinghousenuclear.com/). If I recall correctly, nuclear plants are running about 90% of the time these days. That means the plants will produce in the ballpark of 2 reactors * 1154 MW * 1000Kw/Mw * 365 Days / Year * 24 hours /Day * .90 (availability derating) or 18.1 billion kilowatt hours per year. Given our cost estimate of $2 billion dollars per year, that works out to 11.04 cents per kilowatt hour.

        Your 10 cent per kilowatt cost estimate is very close!

        The scary thing is that I'm old enough to have lived through the last wave of nuclear plants being built. They almost all came in at two to four times the original cost estimates. If that happened again, we are talking wholesale electric rates of 22 to 44 cents per kilowatt. Solar PV (being stored in banks of lead acid batteries for night use) is already cheaper than 44 cents per kilowatt.

    1. Re:Do the math, a real example by careysub · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I'll expand your idea to my local utility, Progress Energy in Florida. Progress Energy estimates that a two reactor plant is going to cost $17 billion (http://www.newsobserver.com/business/story/993686.html)

      At an 8% cost of capital ... our cost estimate of $2 billion dollars per year, that works out to 11.04 cents per kilowatt hour.

      This reasonable cost analysis illustrates the TRUE fundamental reason why nuclear power construction has been dead since the 1970s: the high capital cost. Coal power currently costs around 4 cents per kilowatt hour. Under current regulatory conditions coal power plants are always cheaper to build which means not only do they produce electricity more cheaply, but the risk to the utility is lower since the payoff on the investment is faster. And utilities are generally under a legal requirement that their investment decisions pass the muster of regulators who represent the rate-payer -- if the decisions are not found to be reasonable from the rate-payers view point the utility CANNOT recover the investment! In effect this regulatory regime prohibits the construction of nuclear power plants for practical purposes.

      Reforming this situation requires at least one of the following:

      • Making coal power more expensive (by bearing the cost of carbon pollution, for which they currently bear no cost);
      • Creating clean energy mandates that include nuclear power so that regulations require bringing more costly clean energy on-line.

      Currently item 2 has been the only technique put into practice, and only spottily.

      BTW, there is no inherent reason to suppose that huge cost overruns are an inevitable part of nuclear power plant construction. The common occurrence in the 1970s was an artifact of several conditions of the time: high inflation and thus punishing interest rates, the immature regulatory environment (safety changes were needed at the time, but this has been stable now for over 25 years), and immature (one might say poor) plant design. The first few plants might still be prone to overruns, but it is reasonable to expect this to disappear with practical construction experience.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    2. Re:Do the math, a real example by kaizokuace · · Score: 2, Interesting

      is that 11 cents to pay it off in a year? why not pay it off in more time? and just get the government to force low interest rates on loans for building nuclear plants?

      --
      Balderdash!
  30. Environmentalist's Fallacy by QuoteMstr · · Score: 5, Insightful
    The Environmentalist's Fallacy

    It goes something like this:

    1. Consider a technology X that replaces a polluting technology Y
    2. Identify some aspect of X that produces pollution
    3. Oppose X for this pollution while ignoring the pollution Y produces

    In reality, X produces far less overall pollution than Y.

    I've seen this argument used to oppose:

    • The Prius (Nickel mining)
    • Nuclear power (Uranium mining, nuclear waste, concrete for the containment building)
    • Solar power (Semiconductor manufacturing, altering desert ecosystems)
    • Orbital microwave power (Rocket exhaust)
    • Hydroelectric power (Salmon migration)
    • Wind power (Birds)

    All of these are great technologies. If we're ever to make any progress, we have to learn to think past the environmentalist's fallacy.

    1. Re:Environmentalist's Fallacy by OrangeTide · · Score: 2, Funny

      I use this fallacy all the time, but as a joke. Or to prove the point that nothing can offer a perfect solution and that some pollution has to be tolerated.

      You forget the argument against methane. It's a very strong greenhouse gas. Of course people like to ignore that it is in such small quantities that there are other green house gases that have a larger overall effect. (water vapor being the worse one I believe, so quit letting those oceans evaporate into clouds)

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  31. Scientists is too general a term by sjbe · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Seven-in-ten scientists favor building more nuclear power plants to generate electricity, while 27% are opposed.

    That's the thing though. From your data over a quarter of the people who are supposedly the best informed on the subject think it is a bad idea. That is NOWHERE near a scientific consensus. Scientists, as a general rule, are not dogmatic about policy and will change their mind if the evidence supports an opposing viewpoint. The fact that 1 out of 4 educated and ostensibly well informed people who are willing to change their mind when the facts dictate doing so means that the "facts" are not clear and there is no scientific consensus.

    Of course just saying "scientists" is actually kind of meaningless because my wife is a scientist of a sort (medical) but knows little to nothing about nuclear power. WHICH alleged scientists were polled in this survey? Maybe they polled a bunch of computer scientists instead of nuclear engineers.

    1. Re:Scientists is too general a term by khayman80 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That is NOWHERE near a scientific consensus.

      I only mentioned that survey because the article's claim was blatantly wrong. I've recently driven myself insane trying to explain to climate change "skeptics" that searching for a scientific consensus isn't the way to approach scientific topics because science isn't democratic. It's about evidence. Look into the advancements in technology over the last decades and examine the science yourself. Reprocessing dramatically reduces the volume of nuclear waste, while breeder reactors can generate new fuel. New reactor designs eliminate proliferation concerns by not generating plutonium. Pebble bed reactors eliminate the dependence on active safety systems by creating a nuclear pile out of spherical fuel "pebbles" that automatically react to higher temperatures by lowering their reaction rates. Uranium can be mined from seawater. Thorium can be used instead of uranium. Etc.

      Try to understand why 88% of physicists think we should build modern nuclear power plants, rather than trying to count the scientists on each side. That's a topic that gets scientists bored very quickly. Focus on the science, it's much more interesting! But, since you seem fixated on counting heads, I'll answer your other question...

      WHICH alleged scientists were polled in this survey? Maybe they polled a bunch of computer scientists instead of nuclear engineers.

      The link you're looking for was on that page, off to the right: "About the survey." Here's an excerpt:

      Results for the scientist survey are based on 2,533 online interviews conducted from May 1 to June 14, 2009 with members of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International. A sample of 9,998 members was drawn from the AAAS membership list excluding those who were not based in the United States or whose membership type identified them as primary or secondary-level educators.

      As you say, medical and biological scientists wouldn't know anything about nuclear power. And they polled 5x as many of those than physicists. But they specifically said that majorities in all specialties support nuclear power, while 88% of physicists and astronomers support it. They didn't poll any engineers because this was a survey aimed at scientists.

    2. Re:Scientists is too general a term by Wraithlyn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the article's claim was blatantly wrong

      No, it's not. "Many" is a perfectly fine adjective for "27% of scientists".

      You're acting like they wrote "majority". They did not.

      --
      "Mind, as manifested by the capacity to make choices, is to some extent present in every electron." -Freeman Dyson
  32. Re:FP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I work for the largest producer of solar and wind energy in North America. Despite that distinction they still rely most heavily on Natural Gas and Nuclear and are looking to build more Nuclear plants in the future. If you don't know anything about modern nuclear power facilities you might want to brush up. They are nowhere near as dangerous as the fear-mongers want you to believe and the waste as I understand it is now reused.

  33. Re:Put the waste in your backyard by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Otherwise it's just a bunch of hot air. If you think it is safe and the waste is safe then you can store the waste and have nuclear plants next to schools. If you don't then it really isn't all that safe.

    That's ridiculous. Overwhelmingly so.

    Do you refuse to drive a car at night because it isn't safe to drive without headlights? No -- you drive a car with headlights, and you turn them on at night.

    You're throwing out the baby with the bathwater. We can have nuclear power, and mitigate the waste danger by storing the waste far away from population centers. This is basic common sense, and your objection to it is silly.

    What I could see, is a state like NJ (very densely populated with almost no places for safe storage away from a population center) could pay a state like Nevada or Pennsylvania to store the waste. As long the the NJians bear a fair cost for the outsourced risk, then it works just fine.

    The other thing I believe, tangentially related, is that electricity rates should be inversely proportional to potential fallout location given typical wind patterns. Then the NIMBYs will need to pay for their NIMBYism.

    --
    "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  34. Cost of capital in the US by Mike_EE_U_of_I · · Score: 3, Informative

    You were questioning the 8% cost of capital, here is a recent example of a utility paying 6.7% for 30 year bonds.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601203&sid=a8gdNh70aH5k

        Since my example had no profit for the utility, we can assume the 1.3% between the 6.7% and the 8% used in the example is the profit for the utility.

        8% seems spot on to me. Am I missing something here?

  35. Follow the money by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Who cares about polls? The laws of physics don't care about public opinion. Neither do the laws of economics.

    And the later is clearly a problem. We just went through this here in Ontario, with a new set of reactors planned to go in about 50 k east of Toronto at Darlington. Darlington A, the original set, was enormously over-budget, and if I'm doing the math right, will never pay itself back in inflation-adjusted dollars. All of us Ontarians have a little line item on our bills called the "debt retirement charge" as a result. In order to prevent this occuring again, Ontario Power Generation (via Infrastructure Ontario) demanded that the quotes include overrun insurance. That drove the price up over $26 billion.

    I'm a failed physicist and I'm very much aware of the realities of nuclear power. It IS safe, and the waste is NOT that big a problem. But $26 billion is a REALLY BIG PROBLEM. I'm not the only one believing that; after the bill was presented, they cancelled the project.

    Here's something to think about. Darlington A and B together would have produced about 7 GW peak. The site occupies 1200 acres, or just under 5 million square meters. 5 million square meters of 8% average solar panel will produce about 3.8 GW peak. Yeah, it's not baseload. Yeah, it's only during the day. Now here's the kicker... ready? Solar costs a dollar a watt wholesale, so the price of that plant is about, oh lets round up some, $10 billion.

    It gets worse. We already get about 60% of our power from hydro. In fact, there's more _spare_capacity_ in the generator plants in northern Quebec than there would have been in Darlington. All we'd need is a cable to get it. How much? Mmmm, 500 million, tops. Newfoundland and Manitoba also have oodles of spare capacity that they would love to sell us. Arco say's there's another, ready for it? 25 GW continuous in northern Canada lying undeveloped. That's more than all the power the province uses. But they can't get a red cent to develop it, because OPG want's it all in house.

    *sigh*

  36. Re:FP by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah, because we can't drill here in our yard (CA, AK) , we have to go to places that have petty dictators to get oil. NIMBYs are the problem, not the solution.

    If you don't like the two wars, then let us drill here, drill now, And Create American Jobs. Otherwise you're part of the same problem I mentioned above.

    If I were President, I'd tax the crap out of imported oil, and open up Anwar and California. I'd also start damming the rivers and building Nuke Plants to go along with Bio Fuels, Solar.

    I'm just as sick about the two wars as the next guy, and don't like funding Jihadist governments. So, lets take a BIG BRIGHT LOOK at the SOLUTION we have available and go with it. You might not like everything about it, but sitting complaining about EVERY SOLUTION presented is NOT an option any longer.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  37. Power comes from resources. by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If nukes are not economically feasible, why does France get ~80% of their power from them?

    Because they made a policy decision to do so based on their particular economic situation and resources. I give them kudos for doing it but like any policy decision it has it's upside and downside. France has been trying to privatize their energy sector recently but the primary energy company EDF is still 70% owned by the French government. Were it private to the degree the US energy sector is, the liability costs would be more difficult to justify.

    Countries have to use what they have. The US, Russia and China are INCREDIBLY rich in coal deposits. The US is to coal what Saudi Arabia is to oil. The US has about 27% of the known deposits. This makes energy derived from coal cheap in the US compared to France which has virtually no coal of its own. Hence US policy is going to favor coal more than French policy and nuclear in the US becomes less attractive thanks to the economies of scale coal has achieved in the US.

    1. Re:Power comes from resources. by sjbe · · Score: 2, Informative

      Per Capita China probably doesn't have as much (even if they produce way more than the USA).

      China mines more coal but only has about half the proven reserves of the US. So per-capita it's not even close since the US has a quarter of the population of China and twice the amount of coal. At their current rate of consumption China will run out of domestic coal in 50 years or so. The coal China has unfortunately is a rather dirty kind with lots of sulphur. Australia is the biggest exporter but only has a quarter of the coal reserves of the US.

  38. Re:Shameless sig whoring by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think the sane wing of the environmental movement (which exists, and I proudly belong to its ranks), has really come around on nuclear. I prefer to think of it as the least of all the available evils, which is to say that I like wind and solar-thermal better, but I don't suffer from the illusion that those better things can scale up at the rate that we need. Nuclear can, and needs to start to yesterday.

  39. Re:Shameless sig whoring by blueg3 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are actually quite a few successful deployments of power-storing technology -- ones that aren't even batteries. After all, batteries are really only useful for certain applications. Capacitors are nice, but not always appropriate. On the other hand, expending unused power on a reversible, bulk physical process -- like pumping water from a low-altitude body of water to a higher-altitude one -- and then generating power from the reverse process is fairly straightforward.

  40. Radiation and pollution from coal by spineboy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Coal releases every year more radiation into the atmosphere than all the nuke power accidents combined. Lots of greenhouse gases too -and so it will not be a long term feasible solution if we are to solve the global warming problem.

    Nuke and solar power will be long term solutions, and probably solar will be the best.

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
  41. Re:FP by Nadaka · · Score: 4, Informative

    I partially agree with you. Though Obama hasn't really shown his colors either way in regards to nuclear power (unless I missed that, been to busy to do much news recently), I expect him to do exactly what every president since carter has (including Reagan and both Bush's) and utterly ignore it as an option.

    Photovoltaic solar is currently and will likely remain a niche market due to cost to manufacture and rareness of materials (rare earth metals, etc) for the higher performing panels.

    Solar thermal is generally much better than PV for large scale energy production, as it uses proven technology, and does not require batteries to produce power at night or for a few days of reduced light (the thermal mass of molten salts can keep the boilers going for some time, depending on the design and insulation of course).

    Nuclear plants have an advantage over solar thermal in that they are largely impervious to hazardous weather and use much less space for a given amount of power, particularly in more northern or overcast areas.

  42. Re:FP by Chris+Burke · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If I were President, I'd tax the crap out of imported oil, and open up Anwar and California. You might not like everything about it, but sitting complaining about EVERY SOLUTION presented is NOT an option any longer.

    ANWR is just a drop in the bucket. It's so not-a-solution to foreign oil that it makes no sense to damage that ecosystem just to immeasurably affect our situation. In fact I'd much rather save that drop until a single drop would affect our situation because we're gagging for any fuel at all, a 'who cares about environmental concerns if we can't deliver groceries' situation. Heaven forbid it comes to that. But even worse is burning up our own reserves, and then having to come begging to the foreign powers we were trying to be free from.

    Treating ANWR as a "solution" for today's problems only makes such a situation more likely. We need not-oil to be the solution. All the not-oil solutions you proposed are fine, great even (cept hydro simply because nearly all the best locations are already tapped, so the opportunity here is much less). But more drilling isn't the answer, because we can't drill enough to free ourselves of foreign oil. The only way to end our addiction to foreign oil is to end our addiction to oil.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
  43. Coal is an economic fact - like it or not by sjbe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Coal releases every year more radiation into the atmosphere than all the nuke power accidents combined.

    True but when you have a quarter of the worlds supply of coal, it's going to be an economic factor whether it hurts the climate or not. Global warming is a huge issue but there is NO economically feasible scenario whereby coal will not be a major part of the US energy supply for the next 30+ years. I don't like it, and I suspect you don't either but coal is here and we'll have to deal with it. There simply is nothing available, not even nuclear, that can scale large enough to take coal's place in the US economy in the next few decades.

    Lots of greenhouse gases too -and so it will not be a long term feasible solution if we are to solve the global warming problem.

    Not with present or near-term technology, I agree. Good area for research.

    Nuke and solar power will be long term solutions, and probably solar will be the best.

    The answer is a diversified energy supply (nuclear, solar, wind, hydro, and yes even fossil-fuels) with careful emissions controls on the dirtier technologies. Nuclear and solar are not magic cure-alls but they should have an important part to play in the mix and definitely should be a bigger part of our energy policy. I absolutely agree with you on that.

  44. Re:FP by tsm_sf · · Score: 4, Informative

    Let's take a look at ANWR...

    Oil reserves are estimated at 5 to 10 billion barrels of oil, with the number of those barrels that are economically feasible to extract rising and falling in line with the price of a barrel.
    http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/fs-0028-01/fs-0028-01.htm

    Now let's take a look at our oil consumption...

    We are the leading consumer of oil in the world, with a consumption rate of around 20 million barrels a day.
    https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/us.html
    http://www.eia.doe.gov/basics/quickoil.html

    Hypothetically speaking, if all 10 billion barrels are extracted in ANWR, this gives us 500 days worth of oil. This is not something that will make a bit of difference to our reliance on foreign oil reserves, especially when you consider that it wouldn't be possible to add this oil to the market all at once.

    "If I may be allowed to pursue the idea of 'addiction to oil,' I think the nation just reached the point where we sold our wedding ring for one night's fix."

    --
    Literalism isn't a form of humor, it's you being irritating.
  45. Still dangerous by mollog · · Score: 4, Insightful

    My friend, radioactive waste will always be dangerous.

    Solar and wind are still underexploited resources in this country. Combine them with better use of the energy we currently make and we will be energy independent and cleaner.

    Installation of residential solar generation is ideal. It places the generation at the place of its consumption. And the use of geothermal heat-exchange heating and cooling should be mandatory.

    --
    Best regards.
    1. Re:Still dangerous by plague3106 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      My friend, radioactive waste will always be dangerous.

      Yes, but with current technology, we have the halflife down to 10 years. I think we can handle the waste for 10 years until it becomes safe.

      Solar and wind are still underexploited resources in this country. Combine them with better use of the energy we currently make and we will be energy independent and cleaner.

      Maybe... but its not like they don't have problems of their own. Also, where we put solar and wind matters... and for some places it really isn't practical. Remember, power is a fairly local thing, since we don't have great ways to store it. You also ignore population growth, with will continually push up demand for energy. I doubt conservation will be enough to counteract population growth.

      Installation of residential solar generation is ideal. It places the generation at the place of its consumption. And the use of geothermal heat-exchange heating and cooling should be mandatory.

      No, its not really ideal.. especially here in VT, where our winter will be starting in about two weeks and lasting until April. Not to mention the summer we just had, where for three months we had rain every day except for a total of 10 days. Not until the last few weeks have we had consistent days of sun and warm weather... and at night its almost getting cold enough to turn on the heat again. Yes, this may be a fluke year... but what would solar do for anyone in these conditions?

      Also, I live in the city, with 0.1 aches. Where exactly would you like me to install geothermal heating and cooling? What about the people in NYC... where exactly would they build that?

      The fact is, nuclear is the best option we're going to have for a LONG time, and its only gotten better and safer since the 60s.

    2. Re:Still dangerous by M-RES · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The trouble is that it is waste, not fuel. The waste includes things like highly contaminated coolant (water) and control rods from the reactor core.

      These don't have enough radioactivity within themselves to generate heat sufficient to turn water to steam which would power turbines, (which is how we use the radioactive material in a nuclear power station, lest we forget), but the materials are still too highly radioactive to be considered 'safe' to be kept around human populations.

      As of yet we have no way to dispose of this waste material and likely never will have. It tends to end up being dumped in holes in the ground and covered in concrete or dumped illegally in barrels in the sea. Either way the waste has a tendency to leak and can/does end up in the foodchain or drinking/irrigation water supplies. The half life of this hazardous waste is over a hundred thousand years!!! It's not sensible to use radioactive power generation with this single fact facing us.

      The other major problem with nuclear power is it's massive carbon footprint. An average nuclear plant will have about 75%-80% the footprint of a gas/coal powered station. This is due in no small part to the 'carbon cost' of extracting the nuclear ore from the ground, shipping, enriching, shipping, turning into fuel rods, shipping - oh, and then there's building the plant and all associated infrastructure, storing/disposing of fuel etc etc etc. And not to forget the decommissioning process which again adds massively to the 'footprint' over decades.

      Nuclear is a dead technology for use on-planet. In space it would be great, but not on earth. Solar thermal is a much more efficient system of 'nuclear power' and it is very very very clean, with the nuclear reactor being 93 million miles away. :)

  46. Mod parent down, spurious data... by mollog · · Score: 2, Informative

    Parent puts in a link about a wind turbine that failed due to operator error and cites it as an example of unreliability. When a wind turbine fails, a small amount of generation is lost and few people are endangered. When a nuke plant goes down, all hell breaks loose.

    --
    Best regards.
    1. Re:Mod parent down, spurious data... by Moryath · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually, in a modern nuclear plant (pebble-bed designs), when it "goes down" all it does is stop generating power, nothing more.

      Your uninformed, hysterical type is the reason we still rely on coal or oil (or even natural gas) for electrical generation at all today.

    2. Re:Mod parent down, spurious data... by Ginger+Unicorn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The argument is being addressed too discretely. It's not a case of either it's certain death or utterly flawless. The safety of nuclear reactors falls along a 2-d continuum in terms of consequences of failure and likelihood of failure. The question is do modern reactors fall far enough into the safe corner to warrant widespread deployment? Jet liners have the potential to kill hundreds of people if they go wrong, or are willfully misused - but they're ubiquitous, despite being subject to the same classes of pitfalls (human error, willful abuse, design flaws, etc).

      As with cars - thousands die in traffic accidents every year but people regard the risk/benefit ratio to be worth the deaths. It's impossible to evaluate this kind of situation without appreciating that the risks/rewards lie on a continuum and that despite it being distasteful to admit some number of deaths are acceptable, since pretty much everything has some way of killing people if deployed widely enough.

      If you compare the number of people likely to be killed by reactor malfunctions to the number of people saved by some consequence of the reactors existing does it compare favourably? I have no idea, but with a low enough failure rate it might be a slam dunk.

      --
      (1.21 gigawatts) / (88 miles per hour) = 30 757 874 newtons
  47. Re:Put the waste in your backyard by init100 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So trade CO2 for nuclear waste? Are we not going backwards here just to solve the problem more quickly?

    Going backwards? Nuclear waste is much more manageable than CO2, because of its high density and small amount of waste generated per unit of energy extracted. Carbon capture and sequestration is a joke compared to nuclear waste management. For more than thirty years, all nuclear power plants in my country have generated less than 10000 tons of spent fuel, while providing 50% of our electricity. I wouldn't dare thinking of the amount fo CO2 the production of the same amount of power from coal would have generated. It would be millions of tons, and that's a low estimate.

    And with reprocessing of the spent fuel, the amount of nuclear waste would go down a lot more (excluding irradiated reactor parts, building materials, etc).

  48. Re:FP by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you don't like the two wars, then let us drill here, drill now

    The problem is you're just delaying the inevitable - Oil is a finite resource. Sure, you could drill up Alaska like swiss cheese, but what does it buy you? Another 20 years? We need to move to renewables.

  49. Re:There is still Wookie Danno by Tweenk · · Score: 2, Informative

    Most of the problematic waste is fissile - they only require a different reactor design. There are no laws of physics broken.

    --
    Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
  50. Re:FP by Ozlanthos · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The fact is that solar is the best option. None of the energy companies want it to be developed though because then they wouldn't be able to extort you for every dime possible. ...Nuclear isn't really an option. No matter how wonderful and safe reactors become, they A) have a fairly large permanent physical foot-print, B) require a local and constant supply of water for cooling, C) they are vastly expensive, and D) they are a limited resource (that is until we all have a homemade mini-fusion plant running each of our houses). Solar is almost everywhere for roughly 12 hours a day. Combining cheap highly-productive solar arrays with large rechargeable batteries and "smart-grid" technologies, and we could keep the globe lit up 24 hours a day for (almost) free!!!!!

    As for oil and the drilling for it in CA and AK....It would last about 3 years after production started and then we'd be right back here, save for the loss of several hundred square miles of pristine habitat we had to sacrifice to get to the oil....

    -Oz

  51. Re:FP by riverat1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Another ding on nuclear power is that the private insurance market is not willing to insure them so it requires the government to provide liability insurance for them (at least in the US).

  52. Re:FP by cthulu_mt · · Score: 5, Informative

    Though Obama hasn't really shown his colors either way in regards to nuclear power (unless I missed that, been to busy to do much news recently)

    Actually, he put the final nail in the coffin for Yucca Mountain.

    Then he denied the feasibility of nuclear energy because there was no storage facility.

    Kind of circular logic.

    --
    Virginia is for lovers. EVE is for griefers.
  53. Re:FP by maxume · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yucca Mountain is a bad idea anyway. The NRC is issuing some sort of rule change or something saying that medium term on site storage in dry casks is OK, I'm not sure how much politics played into that decision.

    --
    Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  54. Re:FP by VirginMary · · Score: 3, Informative

    All that for a few thousand carribou, a few hundred foxes and rodents, and some bears.

    Either you are very poorly informed or you're intentionally spreading disinformation! According to this there are 195 bird species alone, most of whom nest there to raise their young. You have also left out many of the mammals living there like walrus, spotted seal, ringed seal, bearded seal, beluga whale, gray whale, and bowhead whale. There are also at least 14 species of fish and likely many plants and insects that are below your notice. Most people are woefully uninformed about how rich in species even seemingly harsh environments can be!

    --
    When 1person suffers from a delusion,it is called insanity.When many people suffer from a delusion,it is called religion
  55. Re:FP by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Walrus, various seals and whales are all ocean mammals - and the proposed ANWAR sites are all inland.

    As for the Birds and Caribu - I've seen studies that they tend to LIKE pipelines - it provides shelter.

    Done right, the drilling won't be a problem.

    Personally, I'm for nuclear power - it's harder to replace oil than it is coal.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  56. Re:The King Wears No Clothes, but his undies are L by ScottBob · · Score: 2, Funny

    Radio Active Waste System Handler Intensive Treatment

    R.A.W.S.H.I.T... ROFL...

  57. Good call too for the moment by dbIII · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Reprocessing is really a huge waste of money while there is plenty of high grade uranium ore. Making fuel is stupidly expensive and uses vast amounts of energy, but reprocessing at the moment is even more so. There is no point just doing it becuase it is possible, there has to be an energy or cost advantage. The newer methods which are almost at the pilot plant stage don't even need reprocessing anyway and can use high grade waste mixed with their fuel.
    It's all irrelevent unless taxes go up to pay for it. You'll see a few small token installations applying repurposed military technology but since civilian research has been dead for thirty years it would take complete idiots to build expensive Westinghouse junk which is really TMI painted green and won't start generating power until a decade after construction starts.
    It's funny seeing people screaming for the most expensive white elephants in power generation NOW before the local nuke lobby gets overrun by local outsiders like Hyperion or imported methods like pebble bed and accelerated thorium. The nuke lobby is really just a welfare addict that has conned a lot of people - give up on them and instead promote ongoing research to solve the problems the nuke lobby refuse to attempt to solve and to develop nuclear technologies that can stand on their own merits. "It's better covering your kiddies in coal dust" is not good enough, everything is better than that so if nuclear is going to be a viable alternative energy they need to put work in (like Hyperion doing the work, but Westinghouse et al just slap a coat of green paint on TMI and call that good enough).
    The nuclear lobby needs to be dragged screaming out of the 1970s or get put down.

    1. Re:Good call too for the moment by dbIII · · Score: 2, Informative

      It doesn't work that way.
      You end up with slightly less highly radioactive waste that has a short half life anyway and a lot more medium and low grade waste from being contaminated during the reprocessing process. The French have been busy trying to solve these problems for the past thirty years without success.

  58. What about fusion by The_mad_linguist · · Score: 3, Informative

    The Polywell Inertial Electrostatic Confinement design is showing a lot of promise, and the current estimate is the tech will be ready for commercial use in 12 years or so.