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Graphene Transistors 10x Faster Than Silicon

Asadullah Ahmad writes "IBM has created transistors made from carbon atoms, which operate at 100 gigahertz, while using a manufacturing process that is compatible with current semiconductor fabrication. With silicon close to its physical limits, graphene seems like a viable replacement until quantum computing gets to desktop. Quoting: 'Researchers have previously made graphene transistors using laborious mechanical methods, for example by flaking off sheets of graphene from graphite; the fastest transistors made this way have reached speeds of up to 26 gigahertz. Transistors made using similar methods have not equaled these speeds.'" The other day we discussed what sounds like similar research by a group of scientists at Tohoku University; that team did not produce transistors, however.

170 comments

  1. Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by eldavojohn · · Score: 4, Informative

    The other day we discussed what sounds like similar research by a group of scientists at Tohoku University; that team did not produce transistors, however.

    Surely that is some sort of joke. From the summary of the Tokyo University article:

    A new paper entitled Epitaxial Graphene on Silicon toward Graphene-Silicon Fusion Electronics published by a group of physicists at Tohoku University in Japan has demonstrated that they can grow graphene on a silicon substrate and pair that technique with conventional lithography to create a graphene-on-silicon field effect transistor.

    Not to mention that article is a myriad of highly moderated comments admonishing the staleness of graphene on silicon transistors.

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry Tohoku, not Tokyo. Stupid spell checker and even stupider spell checker user.

    2. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by ls671 · · Score: 1

      > Surely that is some sort of joke.

      Too bad if it is, we have been waiting for this for a while now since silicon based chips kind of reached their frequency limits. Of course, there is quantum computing but it is not coming to your local store soon ;-))

      It would be nice to be able to fit a 100 gigahertz chip in current hardware architectures...

      --
      Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
    3. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by ground.zero.612 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The other day we discussed what sounds like similar research by a group of scientists at Tohoku University; that team did not produce transistors, however.

      Surely that is some sort of joke. From the summary of the Tokyo University article:

      A new paper entitled Epitaxial Graphene on Silicon toward Graphene-Silicon Fusion Electronics published by a group of physicists at Tohoku University in Japan has demonstrated that they can grow graphene on a silicon substrate and pair that technique with conventional lithography to create a graphene-on-silicon field effect transistor.

      Not to mention that article is a myriad of highly moderated comments admonishing the staleness of graphene on silicon transistors.

      From reading what you quoted, it's not certain that Tohoku produced anything, at least not a graphene transistor. They did however demonstrate that they can grow graphene on a silicon substrate, and that they can pair that technique with conventional lithography to create a graphene-on-silicon field effect transistor. It's just not clear that they did create a graphene transistor, or at least anything comparable to what IBM apparently is producing.

      --
      "Be prepared, son. That's my motto. Be prepared." --Joe Hallenbeck
    4. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by VitaminB52 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Maybe you would like to read http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FET

    5. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Phics · · Score: 1

      Surely that is some sort of joke. From the summary of the Tokyo University article:

      A new paper entitled Epitaxial Graphene on Silicon toward Graphene-Silicon Fusion Electronics published by a group of physicists at Tohoku University in Japan has demonstrated that they can grow graphene on a silicon substrate and pair that technique with conventional lithography to create a graphene-on-silicon field effect transistor.

      Did you read this? A paper ... has demonstrated that they can grow graphene... and pair that technique... etc. It's a paper, not a transistor.

      Not to mention that article is a myriad of highly moderated comments admonishing the staleness of graphene on silicon transistors.

      Advancements in a technology might equate to staleness for some people, but if it's something new happening in the field, some people are going to be interested. How obsolete is your world if technologies not available except in laboratories or in papers are stale?

      --
      There are two types of people in the world; those who believe there are two types of people, and those who don't.
    6. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Bobnova · · Score: 1

      Silicon has been "about to reach it's limits" since the late 90's.

    7. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by John+Hasler · · Score: 4, Informative

      Note that the Tohoku group grew graphene on silicon while IBM produced graphene transistors on silicon carbide. These are complementary efforts, not competing ones.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    8. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by DJRumpy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But there is a limit, no mistake about it. Look at modems. They went through this same limit/new limit methodology for years before they were replaced outright. I think this definitely puts silicon in it's death throws, but I expect some last minute breakthroughs that will push it a bit farther than previously though possible. This is a good thing, in that it forces us to optimize current technologies in ways that we didn't previously consider (like compression did for modems) that in turn was applied to all sorts of communication technologies, and arguably to other technologies outside of communications.

      I just see this as a necessary step before pushing off into the next big thing.

    9. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
      In the paper they talk about how they cut the substrate, grew the graphene and

      For the fabrication of GOS-FET, the ohmic electrodes are defined by the lift-off process with Ti/Au. The device isolation is carried out by oxygen plasma etching to remove the graphene out of the device area. As the gate stack, 200-nm thick SiN is deposited by plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD). This is followed by the gate metallization with Ti/Au. The probing pads are connected to the ohmic electrodes via holes through the gate stack. The gate length is 10 um and the channel width is 20 um. Standard optical lithography with a mask aligner is used for all process steps.

      Yes, they actually did make a FET.

    10. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by ls671 · · Score: 1

      > Silicon has been "about to reach it's limits" since the late 90's.

      Maybe a little later if we trust this graph, granted it has been forecasted for longer than that although :

      http://smoothspan.files.wordpress.com/2007/09/clockspeeds.jpg?w=805

      --
      Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
    11. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by ElectricTurtle · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Modems are a terrible example. 56k was a ceiling codified in law by the FCC not a limit inherent to the technology. Granted using audio to transmit data would not have gone much farther, and infrastructure changes would have been necessary to make higher speeds possible while mitigating the effects of crosstalk, but the FCC regulation was just a lazy way of brushing that aside. When broadband options overtook dial-up, the issue was moot.

      Hard drives would be a more interesting example. There is an industry that keeps changing the maximum, from new perpendicular storage now to using heating lasers to increase data density. Barriers keep getting broken on what is essentially the same old media. However once the slow speeds of holographic storage are solved, there is no doubt that 3D storage will overtake magnetic-based media. These sorts of sea changes are brought about by thresholds. Until these concepts graduate from prototype to production AND cost so ridiculously less per ghz than existing tech, it'll be silicon for the foreseeable future.

      --
      I support the Slashcott and will not be reading or commenting from 2/10/14 to 2/17/14. Beta is steaming pile of dog shit
    12. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      So are we going back to saying 'FET's from almost everything 'MOSFET's? I'm assuming that the 'metal oxide semiconductor' will no longer be applicable when using graphene (at least from that I understand of how the graphene transistors are comprised of). We'll have to replace a bunch of acronyms, like NMOS and PMOS. What'll be the new name? G-MOS?

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    13. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We already have HMOS, so "G-MOS" is a logical way to fill the gap.

    14. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by wurp · · Score: 4, Informative

      I think you're just too young to have seen the whole chain of "limits" on modem speeds. For a long time we were told that 9600 baud was the absolute maximum speed, limited by the fundamental physics of modem technology over phone wire.

      See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modem#Breaking_the_9.6k_barrier

    15. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Mister+Whirly · · Score: 1

      Same with data bandwidth over copper wires.

      --
      "But this one goes to 11!"
    16. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by vadim_t · · Score: 1

      Modems have a fixed limit, because on the ISP side the audio is converted to digital, and goes over a 64Kbps link, of which a part is reserved for signalling, leaving 56K for the user.

      It's not a question of being unable to make a better encoder, it's that the line is not able to transmit data any faster.

      If you have a line that once a second measures the voltage and outputs a "1" or "0", it doesn't matter what fancy stuff you put on the sending end, the receiver still won't output more than a bit a second.

    17. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by ElectricTurtle · · Score: 1

      That too was not a physical limit, but a limit on the way the data was being handled. Just like LANs over copper. Moving from 10 to 100 to 1000 gb/s is not so much about physical advancements as it is handling the data. This doesn't make things any easier, coming up with algorithms and logic isn't child's play, but it's not like the melting point of a pure element that's just a physical property that can't be changed.

      That's the context of the discussion, what are 'the limits' of silicon physically, not what are the design limits of the circuits printed on it.

      --
      I support the Slashcott and will not be reading or commenting from 2/10/14 to 2/17/14. Beta is steaming pile of dog shit
    18. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by DJRumpy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I never mentioned the 56k limit. I'm referring to the fact that the same signal is used but tweaked each generation to allow greater speeds in ways that weren't even considered. For instance, from 300 baud modems to 56K modems. Frequency shifts, phase shifting, duplexing, echo cancellation, QAM, etc. All of these pieces allowed more data to be sent over the same old twisted pair in ways they never thought possible.

      All of those advances were evolutionary rather than revolutionary, and they benefited all sorts of communication mediums in use today. Had we just stumbled on the next big thing without taking that path, we would have lost the benefits of struggling at the limits of that particular technology.

    19. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by wurp · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Again, that's very easy to say in retrospect. I believe this is an almost identical situation: we have a very complex set of interactions from which we derive one number: "transistor switch speed". We believe we understand those relations well enough that we can derive a fastest speed any possible silicon design can give.

      This speed is far more similar to the "maximum" modem speed than it is to the melting point of some substance.

      Before Ungerboeck's work, information theory seemed very clear about the fastest possible rate at which data could be reliably sent on the frequencies that would "stay on the wire" without bandwidth bleedover. Ungerboeck just demonstrated that there were artificial assumptions underlying the information coding theory on which that speed was based.

      You're looking at documentation after-the-fact on modem speeds, which rightly enough talks about revolutions in theory. From the point of view of people before the revolution in the theory, you talk about physical limits. All limits we calculate are by definition theoretical limits, though.

      To paraphrase Arthur C. Clarke: When a scientist or engineer states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.

    20. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by robathome · · Score: 5, Informative

      I think you're just misunderstanding the problem.

      The "baud rate" of telephone lines is pretty slow. Baud rate is the number of symbol transitions per second the media can support. Baud rate and bits/second have not been equivalent since Bell103a/V.21 frequency-shift-keyed modems, where 300 baud meant 300 bps, each state transition being a discrete tone that indicated a "mark" or "space" (0/1). From then on, Bell 212a/V.22 used phase-shift keying to get 1200 bps out of a 600 BAUD symbol rate, encoding two bits of information per symbol.

      POTS lines are pretty pokey - the practical maximum BAUD rate is less than 3500 symbols/sec. Where speed advancements were made in later evolutions of POTS modems were in the number of bits that could be encoded per symbol, using QAM and Trellis Modulation. A 33.6 kbps modem is encoding 10 bits per symbol onto a 3429 baud carrier.

      So, when you kept hearing "phone lines max out at less than 4800 baud", that was correct. The engineers kept wringing higher bit rates out of narrow-band POTS by putting more information on each of the symbols transmitted.

      Then, with V.70 and V.90, the modulation schemes took advantage of certain characteristics of non-muxed POTS lines to use PCM digital encoding instead of an analog audio carrier. Unfortunately, if you were serviced through a SLC-96 ("Slick") muxed subscriber loop, which multiplexed the signal from your subscriber line to the central office, you could only connect with older analog modulation schemes such as v.32/v.32bis/v.34.

      --

      At 3 A.M. you can see people's auras; at five you can see their contrails...
    21. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by wurp · · Score: 1

      Did you read the link? The 9.6kbaud barrier was fundamentally different than the kind of signal noise, loss introduced issues you're talking about.

    22. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      death throws

      Death throes.

      That is all.

    23. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by robathome · · Score: 2, Informative

      The link you provide speaks to the problems of bit-packing on the symbol states, and the solution of Trellis Modulation, which I mentioned. Trellis coding allowed for packing more than 4 bits to each symbol without increasing the error rate, leading to the development of the v.32bis standard and 14.4Kbps modems. Which is what I said - it wasn't high baud rates, but better bit packing that realized faster speeds.

      And you're still saying "baud" when you mean "bits per second".

      --

      At 3 A.M. you can see people's auras; at five you can see their contrails...
    24. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FYI: It's 'death throes', not 'death throws'.

    25. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by geekoid · · Score: 1

      And have you noticed it's speed isn't ramping up like it used to any more?

      Yes it is approaching a practical limit. Fabs are having a tough time creating an environment to make sub 20nm. We are talking about an environment where 1 part part billion isn't clean enough for a Fab, and the vibration from someone walking in th same room screws up calibration.
      Even id some smart people come up with a Fab clean enough, a way to etch small enough, and a process of moving them without ANY cracks (cracks so small it hard for an electron microscope to find) and is cost effective, once we get to 1 bit per atom we're done with silicon.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    26. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by geekoid · · Score: 1

      um, modems did hit a physical signal limit. We just found ways to get multiple pieces of data and a waveform.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    27. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by geekoid · · Score: 1

      There is a difference between paraphrasing and butchering. you butchered this quote:
      "When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong."

      The context is not science or engineers, but about how someone can become intrenched in a form of thinking.

      Your version doesn't even make sense, and it implies anything is possible;which isn't true.

      Modem is a horrible example because the limitation wasn't a physical one. Crating fab chips below 20nm has a of of factors. Many of which are turning out to be very expensive to solve. We are talking about cracks smaller then detectable limits of electron microscopes, being able to reliables and consistently get a signal to cut chips, and keeping the enviroment clean enough.

      Are all those obstacle solvable? probably. Are the solvable in a way that's cost effective? it's doesn't really look like it. Now that the industries moment is moving multiple processor over faster individual processor there may not be a strong need for speed; which was a stupid thing to chase anyways.

      Would you pay 9000 for a 5GHz chip?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    28. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wow, way to close your eyes to new knowledge and ideas. That guy had something extremely insightful to say, and you missed it for the sake of an argument (and what a waste of an argument! That processor speed was a stupid thing to chase? Did you never use a Commodore 64? Sigh).

      --
      Qxe4
    29. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Plaid+Phantom · · Score: 1

      To be fair, if i knew i was obsolete, i might be throwing things too.

      --
      All comments are properties and trademarks of the voices in my head. Not like I'm gonna claim them.
    30. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1
      Too young? SIR! I'm 27 but have owned a phone/modem coupler for my Atari 800XL to connect to Genie/CompuServ

      /showing my age
      //off my lawn!

    31. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by ground.zero.612 · · Score: 1

      Note that the Tohoku group grew graphene on silicon while IBM produced graphene transistors on silicon carbide. These are complementary efforts, not competing ones.

      They may be, however, one produced a physical product and the other was a paper on how it might work.

      --
      "Be prepared, son. That's my motto. Be prepared." --Joe Hallenbeck
    32. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      death throws

      ..death throes...

    33. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Modems are a terrible example. 56k was a ceiling codified in law by the FCC not a limit inherent to the technology

      Absolute BS. The regulatory limits would only have been an issue if you (and your ISP) were in some incredibly podunk town with some 1950s-or-older switching gear, giving you a real analog connection from one end to the other. And in those cases, the limits were important, because sending high-frequency content would have caused massive crosstalk issues within the infrastructure. Of course, the quality of the connection would probably have effectively limited your bandwidth anyway.

      However, by the 1990s probably 95%+ of the country were serviced by phone lines that terminated into digital trunk lined which were then switched digitally (ESS5 and similar) In those systems a POTS channel was converted to a 64K digital channel. Because of the details of how signaling was typically dealt with, some of the bits were effectively not available so the most you could possibly send was 56K. (And that was really just on the digital-to-analog direction, the analog-to-digital direction lost some more bandwidth to echo-canceling hardware which is why the 56K modems were actually asymmetrical.. although most people probably didn't know it you had more d/l than u/l bandwidth)

      Anyway, my point is that on a modern POTS line you're limited by the *DIGITAL* channel inside of the phone switch to 56K. There are no tricks available to get around that.

    34. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by imgod2u · · Score: 1

      Ultimately, home internet connectivity still required a new infrastructure (thick copper lines). There were fundamental physical limitations of phone wires; those wires were replaced.

      The situation with silicon is similar. We've gotten to the point where FETs can't get any thinner (and therefore, faster). Changing the semiconductor material allows better current per area but it has its own complications as well.

    35. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by Deosyne · · Score: 1

      You are obsolete. You just choose to look at a very tiny piece of the timeline in order to delude yourself otherwise.

    36. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by imgod2u · · Score: 2, Informative

      [quote]Again, that's very easy to say in retrospect. I believe this is an almost identical situation: we have a very complex set of interactions from which we derive one number: "transistor switch speed". We believe we understand those relations well enough that we can derive a fastest speed any possible silicon design can give.[/quote]

      No. We know the fastest speed of a MOSFET made with current fabrication technologies. The problem is that MOSFET (specifically CMOS topologies) has very very good characteristics that we like and the fabrication infrastructure (and tooling industry) exists amortizing the cost. There are many many other circuit topologies and manufacturing methods (silicon germanium, GaAs, etc.) that produce faster transistors. But moving to those are 1. expensive and 2. comes with their own limitations.

      Graphene isn't perfect either. Aside from the difficulties in fabricating it, there's also the problem that unlike MOS, there's isn't a way (yet) to make a good graphene PFET. CMOS circuits are the way they are today because using a PFET-NFET topology works really really well for digital circuits.

      Graphene (and carbon nanotubes) also have the problem that they don't really have an "off" state. There's less conductive and more conductive. CMOS at small geometries may leak current but nothing like CNT's and Graphene do. The circuits made from them are very power hungry (at least with current circuit topologies).

      There's a lot of research trying to come up with better circuits to utilize the incredible on-current states without tunneling power between VDD and GND during the "off" state.

      Before Ungerboeck's work, information theory seemed very clear about the fastest possible rate at which data could be reliably sent on the frequencies that would "stay on the wire" without bandwidth bleedover. Ungerboeck just demonstrated that there were artificial assumptions underlying the information coding theory on which that speed was based.

      Shannon Theory very well laid out the maximum data rate that could be transmitted over a medium and Trellis Modulation did not exceed that. The fundamental limits were well known and not wrong. Implementations that existed then simply couldn't come close.

    37. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by KingMotley · · Score: 1

      You would have been 4 when I started using 9600 bps modems, and 5 when I owned my first. So yes, at 27, you missed most of the theoretical discussions over the maximum rate we could transmit over POTS lines. I remember back when they said 1200 was it. The absolute maximum speed the phone lines could handle. Of course it wasn't. And with each new breakthrough, the new absolute limit was raised just above it.

    38. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      At least I get to reap the sweat tech benefits of today ;)

    39. Re:Didn't Produce Transistors? Oh Come On! by NorthernerWuwu · · Score: 1

      Although legislated, there were some good reasons for the strictures of the day and I think they've actually been shown as wise. One man's seemingly artificial technical limitation is another's opportunity for industry growth and all that. Infrastructure doesn't happen in a vacuum and all that. Besides, it wasn't even 56k you could get for most of that time frame :) I'm not quite sold on your latter premise either. It has been shown lately that consumer products are already hitting plateaus. iPad launches with paltry (by *anyone's* standards) disk space but perhaps 'enough', plus branded so a less tech savvy person with chip in $400 more for a bigger number that is still funny. Laptops and even brand new desktops go out the door every day with paltry disk space. I mean where for $25 more one could in theory go from ~250GB to a TB plus. Not that a TB is big anymore but hey. Part of this is supply chain of course. We made and make one hell of a lot of these disposable, cheap, effective and useful drives. To piss off all the 250, 500, 650, 1TB or whatever drives is just stupid. On the SSD side it is the same with smaller numbers. The seemingly best answer is to use that tech in devices and keep the new gen parts for systems. This isn't a new idea nor has it been for 40 years.

  2. Commercially Viable by LikwidCirkel · · Score: 5, Insightful

    With all the stories of highly-experimental new, novel types of transistors - the majority of which are expensive-research only with no chance of commercialization any time soon, it's refreshing to see something that actually takes production feasibility into account.

  3. My prediction by Thanshin · · Score: 5, Funny

    Year 2173:

    "Hidrogen-Unobtanium polycomposites seems like a viable replacement until quantum computing gets to desktop."

    1. Re:My prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Are you kidding? The world'll end in 2012!

    2. Re:My prediction by ground.zero.612 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Year 2173:

      "Hidrogen-Unobtanium polycomposites seems like a viable replacement until quantum computing gets to desktop."

      I came here from the year 2242 to tell you that you're wrong.

      --
      "Be prepared, son. That's my motto. Be prepared." --Joe Hallenbeck
    3. Re:My prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Year 1943:

      "Trinitrotoluene semiconductors seem like a viable replacement until transist.... BOOOOOOOM!"

    4. Re:My prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      I came here from the year 4242 to tell you that He's right. dang.

    5. Re:My prediction by ianare · · Score: 2, Funny

      ... and all we need to do get some is to get some stupid natives out of their tree house.

    6. Re:My prediction by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      Germanium forever you punks!

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    7. Re:My prediction by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      Man, that's speciest.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    8. Re:My prediction by happy_place · · Score: 1

      Unobtanium will never get to your desktop. It may however hover slightly above it.

      --
      http://www.beanleafpress.com
    9. Re:My prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Err, the correct form would be...

      ... and all we need to do is kill the native sentient species that happens to look like a tree.

    10. Re:My prediction by electrosoccertux · · Score: 2, Funny

      can you tell me when 6 digit /. UIDs will become popular?

    11. Re:My prediction by IndigoDarkwolf · · Score: 1

      Oh? So what are they using in the year 2242 as a stop-gap measure until quantum computing gets to the desktop?

    12. Re:My prediction by twidarkling · · Score: 1

      I think you got some Upsidasium in your Unobtanium if it's hovering.

      --
      Canada: The US's more awesome sibling.
    13. Re:My prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Year 2173:

      Still no Year of Linux on the Desktop yet.

    14. Re:My prediction by aztracker1 · · Score: 1

      Not sure...

      --
      Michael J. Ryan - tracker1.info
    15. Re:My prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The BBC micro....

    16. Re:My prediction by ground.zero.612 · · Score: 1

      Oh? So what are they using in the year 2242 as a stop-gap measure until quantum computing gets to the desktop?

      Unfortunately divulging any information other than you are wrong would be a violation of the Temporal Prime Directive.

      --
      "Be prepared, son. That's my motto. Be prepared." --Joe Hallenbeck
    17. Re:My prediction by florescent_beige · · Score: 1

      In 2032 right after the event we know as "The electrosoccertux-Hamster-Beanbag Incident" that changed the rules of underwater violin racing forever.

      But I've already said too much.

      --
      Equine Mammals Are Considerably Smaller
  4. How long until you can buy it? by Cytotoxic · · Score: 3, Funny
    IBM research is typically the traditional 10 years away - but not this one... from TFA:

    "This is not pie-in-the-sky stuff, this is real," he says. "This development is really going to turn into a communications device not too long from now."

    So, I won't be playing Crysis on this transistor next month, but I might be using it to make a phone call "not too long from now".

    1. Re:How long until you can buy it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, I won't be playing Crysis on this transistor next month, but I might be using it to make a phone call "not too long from now".
      I don't understand your logic. If you "use" it to make a call, would be perhaps because at some point in the middle these transistors will be driving optical devices or antennas to transmit at higher frequencies. So it's more likely you'll have it at home first that actually being close to the transistor through a call.

      At 100GHz, I don't think that would be very power friendly for your home appliances either.

    2. Re:How long until you can buy it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i think you've misunderstood "communications device". Chances are something of this nature will be aimed as high throughput communications backbone devices. Think firewall/switch/etc with 100's Gbit/sec of throughput.

    3. Re:How long until you can buy it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The obiggest issue is cost, the transistors were made on silicon carbide wafers, these are very expensive. Even if you ignore all the costs of the new specialized methods to make them, silicon carbide is much more expensive than silicon wafers so we wont see it in consumer technology soon. And in case anyone thinks they're clever, no the silicon carbide brakes on your car are not single crystal.

    4. Re:How long until you can buy it? by stms · · Score: 0

      Yeah but that's mainly because it's not fast enough to play crisis.

    5. Re:How long until you can buy it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With the way websites are going these days, you're going to need dual 32-core processors running at 100 GHz just be able to handle their useless JavaScript effects and AJAX rubbish.

      Even Slashdot has fallen victim to this. Last weekend, for shits and giggles, I installed Linux on the system I used to use back around 2000. Even with Chrome, Slashdot was damn near unusable due to all the JavaScript faggotry it now has going on.

      I used to browse Slashdot regularly on that system, and it was fast! What the hell has happened? It's not like anything useful has actually been added to the site since then.

    6. Re:How long until you can buy it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      right. Things that carry phone calls these days.

    7. Re:How long until you can buy it? by ircmaxell · · Score: 1

      True, but also look at the scale of the effort. In theory, you'd only need 10% of the number of transistors to achieve the same level of throughput (ignoring interconnects), so the production yields of each wafer could be as high as 10 times that of silicon wafers to produce the same "chip". So if the Si Carbide wafer costs 8 times as much to produce, you have a net reduction in chip cost. Plus, this allows you to scale the chips up in transistor size depending on application need (and hence cost). So a 100ghz network appliance using SiC may cost significantly more than the 5ghz Si counterpart, but also gives you so much higher throughput, that it's worth it in applications that need that much bandwidth. While I do agree that it's not likely to see the next generation mobile processors using the technology in the near future, the applications that can justify the extra cost most definitely do exist...

      --
      If a man isn't willing to take some risk for his opinions, either his opinions are no good or he's no good
    8. Re:How long until you can buy it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (I'm a student doing research in this area) You forget economies of scale. Right now, SiC wafers are indeed expensive (around ~$1k for a 2" wafer; compare that with about $20 for a Si wafer of the same size), but even in the 3 years I have been in the field, the price has dropped by a factor of 2 or 3, and we're still in the research phase of this material. During this time, the wafer quality has gotten much better also so that there are nearly zero defects in the entire wafer. I expect the price to plummet soon, as there has been explosive growth in researchers switching to graphene on SiC.

    9. Re:How long until you can buy it? by chrysrobyn · · Score: 3, Interesting

      IBM research is typically the traditional 10 years away - but not this one

      My VLSI professor was in the forefront of the industry. He had some very good contract with some good R&D firms. One day, he told us that copper might one day replace aluminum as wires in chips. The lower resistance would make a big difference, but nobody had overcome the increased reactance yet. The next day, IBM announced that they had figured it all out. A year later, copper interconnect was being used in chips, and 6 months later, in iBooks. The same professor in a subsequent class was discussing SOI with similar promises of improvements, and similar "nobody has it figured out yet". A few weeks later, IBM came through again with an announcement. 2 years later, there it was in products.

      With game changers like SOI and copper, IBM has gone to market in much less than 5 years.

      As a former circuit designer, and still a CPU engineer, I can say without hesitation that I don't care about graphene. The transistors aren't the big factor anymore. Sure, smaller transistors are good to increase transistors per die, and reduce the distance between them, but wire RC delay is the big deal. Even if the Ioff goes down and Ion goes up, the speed of the chip isn't going to change much.

      Things aren't going to get much better than copper -- it's very good already. Even if they upgraded to slightly lower resistance silver (and talk about a reactive metal!), the delay wouldn't change much. Lower K dielectric would help too. There are some minor improvements that can be done, but we're probably talking 5% here and there, and they probably don't add up to 20%.

      Architecture changes are going to be important, from instruction optimization to multiple cores. The automated synthesis tools available also have an amazing amount of potential improvement -- placement and routing is a field with a lot of graph theory headroom. There is a world of difference still between "good enough" synthesis and what can be done by a well trained technician.

    10. Re:How long until you can buy it? by aztracker1 · · Score: 1

      Speed doesn't equate to use of power consumed, or wasted/converted to heat.

      --
      Michael J. Ryan - tracker1.info
    11. Re:How long until you can buy it? by bitMonster · · Score: 1

      Another chip designer here ...

      Anything that lets us make transistors faster without paying a huge cost in leakage (power consumption when not switching) is a win. It sucks to go from one process node to the next and get almost no performance benefit unless you're willing to pay a leakage penalty. SOI rocks, but not everybody has it. Therefore, I'm a bit more excited about graphene than you are.

    12. Re:How long until you can buy it? by imgod2u · · Score: 1

      As a former circuit designer, and still a CPU engineer, I can say without hesitation that I don't care about graphene. The transistors aren't the big factor anymore. Sure, smaller transistors are good to increase transistors per die, and reduce the distance between them, but wire RC delay is the big deal. Even if the Ioff goes down and Ion goes up, the speed of the chip isn't going to change much.

      Sure it does. Current circuit speed is still (despite predictions) dominated by capacitance. This includes both load capacitance on the transistors themselves (which, mind you, is still not trivial compared to interconnect) and load capacitance on the metal itself.

      To decrease rise and fall time you can either decrease capacitance (shorter wires) or increase the drive current, which faster transistors do.

      And while transistor frequency scaling isn't overwhelmingly dominant as they were back in 0.35um, they still play a large role today. Even at 28nm (the characterization data and models are still pretty rough), net-delay for say, a fast adder is still about ~50% of the total delay.

      Things aren't going to get much better than copper -- it's very good already. Even if they upgraded to slightly lower resistance silver (and talk about a reactive metal!), the delay wouldn't change much. Lower K dielectric would help too. There are some minor improvements that can be done, but we're probably talking 5% here and there, and they probably don't add up to 20%.

      Graphene and Carbon NanoTubes can also be used as interconnects. When their alignment is made for them to be a pure conductor they reach near-superconductor levels of conductance at room temperature.

    13. Re:How long until you can buy it? by PhysSurfer · · Score: 1
      Unfortunately there is a huge cost here in leakage. The big problem with graphene is that it has an intrinsic bandgap of zero, so that it can hardly switch. If you have access to the article you can see that the Ion/Ioff ratio is a measly three! These are more useful as amplifiers than transistors.

      A big research goal right now is to engineer a gap in graphene, but no one has succeeded, unless you count carbon nanotubes, of course.

    14. Re:How long until you can buy it? by bennettp · · Score: 1

      Interesting comment. However, to a layperson, the article indicates that the benefits of graphene are not transistor size but switching speed. What is to say that graphene-based microprocessors will not reach 30GHz?

    15. Re:How long until you can buy it? by chrysrobyn · · Score: 1

      However, to a layperson, the article indicates that the benefits of graphene are not transistor size but switching speed. What is to say that graphene-based microprocessors will not reach 30GHz?

      Also note the article states current state of the art transistors switch at 25GHz. We don't have processors running at that speed.

      The RC delay (resistance x capacitance) of wires is the biggest problem of any complex design today. Even as conductive as copper is, it's not a superconductor. Additionally, every wire is capacitively coupled with nearby wires. For any practical and useful processor design, those wires are going to be close enough for this to be a constraint. If graphene transistors leak less, or have higher on currents, then they can be more powerful, but they're still going to have to fight that RC transmission line.

    16. Re:How long until you can buy it? by chrysrobyn · · Score: 1

      Anything that lets us make transistors faster without paying a huge cost in leakage (power consumption when not switching) is a win.

      Go through your timing report, and add up all the transistor switching times. Now cut that by 25%. Add up all the wires, and cut that by... nothing. For any wire dominated path, which is becoming the frequency limitation on modern chips, there's no benefit. The best we can hope for is that the on current is higher for graphene for the same geometry so existing drivers could be smaller, but with graphene at 240nm right now, I don't think we can make any kind of optimistic conclusion yet. Anybody staring at a 240nm MOSFET 15 years ago wouldn't have necessarily concluded we'd have made it to 34nm, let alone had any ideas that we could make it still smaller. IBM may well bring graphene to market in 3 years, but 1.5 years of that would have to be technology development figuring out the current tradeoffs.

    17. Re:How long until you can buy it? by MightyDrunken · · Score: 1

      As a former circuit designer, and still a CPU engineer, I can say without hesitation that I don't care about graphene. The transistors aren't the big factor anymore. Sure, smaller transistors are good to increase transistors per die, and reduce the distance between them, but wire RC delay is the big deal. Even if the Ioff goes down and Ion goes up, the speed of the chip isn't going to change much.

      Maybe you shouldn't write-off the potential impact of graphene yet. As this article states Graphene May Have Advantages Over Copper For IC Interconnects At The Nanoscale

      “Our experimental demonstration of graphene nanowire interconnects on the scale of 20 nanometers shows that their performance is comparable to even the most optimistic projections for copper interconnects at that scale. Under real-world conditions, our graphene interconnects probably already out-perform copper at this size scale.”

      Beyond resistivity improvement, graphene interconnects would offer higher electron mobility, better thermal conductivity, higher mechanical strength and reduced capacitance coupling between adjacent wires.

      Of course it may never live up to its potential but graphene looks very interesting for many possible uses. It may also be used in spintronics which would be a huge boost to computers.

  5. Just remember. by AltGrendel · · Score: 4, Informative

    The first patent for transistors was filed in 1925.
    Look where they are now.

    --
    The simple truth is that interstellar distances will not fit into the human imagination

    - Douglas Adams

    1. Re:Just remember. by Hurricane78 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are forgetting the exponentinal acceleration of progress.

      So the duration between 1925 and when they were first used, is not linearly comparable to the duration between now and when those graphene ones will be first used.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    2. Re:Just remember. by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Alvin Toffler, is that you?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    3. Re:Just remember. by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Do you really mean this one:
      http://www.google.com/patents?printsec=abstract&zoom=4&id=Ts5KAAAAEBAJ&output=text&pg=PA2
      filed in 1919 and granted in 1928?

      (That was simply the first one that had the word transistor in it in my search.)

      If not, could you give a link to which one you mean? Thanks.

    4. Re:Just remember. by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      Nope. I’m not one of those “singularity” idiots. I know that the problems that that approaching “singularity” causes, will themselves slow things down in such a way, that “singularity” itself can never be reached.
      it will simply balance out.

      So it’s an S curve. Like with every resource that runs out.
      The same thing will happen with oil. We will never run out of it. It will just become too expensive to use up. The last drop will be filled in a small sphere of glass, and worn around the neck of the riches woman of the planet, as a precious jewel.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
  6. 3D chips by BlueParrot · · Score: 4, Interesting

    To be honest I'm more interested in seeing proper 3D chips become reality. If you find some affordable way to produce chips with, say 10 000 layers, then processing power per volume unit would increase rapidly.

    I think the major obstacle is going to be what to do about heat. The center of such a chip-stack would probably get quite hot so you probably want to run some form of liquid cooling through the chip itself. Alternatively materials like silicon carbide or diamond might be able to cope better with the high power density.

    1. Re:3D chips by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      The center of such a chip-stack would probably get quite hot so you probably want to run some form of liquid cooling through the chip itself.

      Once you're creating enough layers, there's nothing preventing the designers to create a 3D structure that's similar to that of a heatsink. Basically, it'll be designed with more surface area so that it can be cooled effectively. Probably a batch of fin-like elements that are connected together. And you wouldn't have to run liquid through it -- just fill the spaces between the semiconductor material with a better heat-transferring material (like copper, or eventually artificial diamond), and have that connected to a larger external surface which is cooled like it is today. Of course, this will mean a radical departure from current fabrication designs, but that won't hold the technology for long (it never does).

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    2. Re:3D chips by ianare · · Score: 1
    3. Re:3D chips by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the major obstacle is going to be what to do about heat. The center of such a chip-stack would probably get quite hot so you probably want to run some form of liquid cooling through the chip itself. Alternatively materials like silicon carbide or diamond might be able to cope better with the high power density.

      Pretty sure you hit the nail on the head with this comment. 3D chips were being studied when I started university 9 years ago, I am sure that most of the problems with them have been worked out in that time, except this one which is the most prevalent problem in chips nowadays. I seem to recall seeing a few graphs of Moore's law behavior over the years, and extrapolating out to 20 years. The interesting one was that the temperature in chips seemed to be heading up so that by 2020 the internal temps would exceed the temperature at the surface of the sun.

    4. Re:3D chips by damburger · · Score: 2, Interesting

      3D chip manufacturing would be interesting. As well as having a possible stepping stone towards universal fabrication, you would also have a great increase in the potential number of connections between processing elements. Connectivity is one of the main divides between silicon and neural tissue, so this may have implications for artificial intelligence. Two singularities for the price of one!

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    5. Re:3D chips by damburger · · Score: 1

      Why would running liquid through the chip not be able to control the temperature? I'm assuming here there is some way to either build voids into your chip or make them out of some material that can be dissolved afterwards without damaging the chip.

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    6. Re:3D chips by Evan+Meakyl · · Score: 1

      I think that a kind of fractal volume for the CPU (which will maximize the surface between the cooling fluid and the heating parts of the CPU) could be pretty cool (no pun intended!), but quite hard to manufacture.

    7. Re:3D chips by khallow · · Score: 1

      You remain limited by heat flow through the boundary of the chip package (which isn't improved by making it a fractal shape). As some point you will need a transport fluid to get heat transfer past the limits of conductive and radiative cooling.

    8. Re:3D chips by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      Yes, but this is like walking before running. Pumping water with miniature compressors within a semiconductor would mean a complex mechanical system which would be difficult to scale (in production, I mean). While the convex hull remains the same, you can still increase the surface area, which will help with heat transport if the material that envelopes it is a better heat conductor than the semiconductor material.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    9. Re:3D chips by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The issue with having many layered chips is unwanted effects like parasitic capacitance which will lower the switching time of the circuit and lead to more heat being produced. Even with improved cooling techniques parasitic capacitances will be a bottle neck to "proper 3D chips".

    10. Re:3D chips by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Heat is caused by power dissipation. Not only has IBM been researching how to integrate cooling channels inside of chips, they've also been researching ways to create circuits that recycle as many of the electrons as possible, to avoid dissipating heat. Hopefully they'll work something out that will enable 3D chips. The connectivity possibilities are intriguing.

      IBM still does do basic research, and they seem to believe in liberal licensing, judging by the 2 terabyte hard drives that can be had. Hopefully they'll maintain their sanity in that respect, if they do achieve something revolutionary with 3D graphene liquid cooled low power chip features.

    11. Re:3D chips by hlee · · Score: 1

      3D chips will not take us any closer to true AI.

      We still don't truly understand the nature of intelligence, and we won't be able to manufacture it unless we can define it formally in some mathematical/logical notation.

      I've done some work with neural networks, and we can simulate neurons with any number of connections (inputs and outputs), but having a bunch of neurons work together discerning things is not intelligence.

    12. Re:3D chips by jbengt · · Score: 1

      Why would running liquid through the chip not be able to control the temperature?

      In nano-scale channels, liquid doesn't run.

    13. Re:3D chips by mhajicek · · Score: 1

      There would be a limit to the volume of cooling material, and hence the thermal mass, that could be moved through the chip in any given unit of time. That would limit the cooling capacity and therefore the wattage of the unit. Diamond traces running through the chip to exterior thermal transfer pads would be much more effective; the thermal conductivity of diamond is around 1000 - 2500 W/m K depending on details, compared to 429 W/m K for silver which is next best. The large thermal transfer pads could then move the heat into a liquid cooling system, perhaps aided by Peltier units if you want to get fancy.

    14. Re:3D chips by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Although 3D chips would be advantageous, they would not be as big a gain as it first appears. With devices and conductive layers, the electrically used portion of modern ICs is about 30 times as deep as the minimum feature size. (I've been out of the field for a decade, corrections appreciated.) That includes a few layers for the active devices and maybe 6 layers for conductors. So for a 20 nanometer process, 10,000 layers of which 1,000 are active device layers, the first nominal expectation is 1,000 times the processing power. Hovever, much of the area of inner layers is going to be vias (wires between layers), so the gain won't be 1000X. It would make a chip 1000 x 30 x 20e-9 = 600e-6 m thick. OK, that's less than what I first thought, it's about how thick chips are now. Two problems occur to me. The first is power dissipation, which others have mentioned. To some extent, this can be worked around by making designs that have low leakage, static (CMOS) design, slower clocks, and circuitry most of which is inactive at any given time. All of that decreases performance. The second problem is yield. Even when all other problems are solved, big chips have yields in the 50% range. Double the number of layers and you will cut the yield to 25%. At 100 layers (10 layers for active devices) the yield will be 0.1%. At 10,000 layers, not one working device could be made in the age of the universe.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    15. Re:3D chips by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would running liquid through the chip not be able to control the temperature? I'm assuming here there is some way to either build voids into your chip or make them out of some material that can be dissolved afterwards without damaging the chip.

      Welcome to MEMS.

    16. Re:3D chips by thechao · · Score: 1

      Screw the heat, you're going to have an IO and power deliver problem. Assuming a cubic uptake of density of transistors, you'll only have quadratic uptake in IO ports. Right now we use the 3rd dimension to help increase IO and power density (lifiting it up/down a layer; because we have a quadratic/linear problem with current chips). By the time you've managed to solve those problems (lowering transistor density to allow IO/power paths) you'll end up with a plain-old-chip, anyways.

    17. Re:3D chips by imgod2u · · Score: 1

      The problem is that processing power doesn't scale linearly with number of transistors you can fit in an area. That's the primary concern over the frequency scaling of silicon. You can cram more transistors in some space but if they can't run faster, your options are: 1. more cache 2. dual core 3. more specialized functions.

      None of these will universally speed up computing like frequency scaling will.

    18. Re:3D chips by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      Yes, you've done some work with neural networks. I've done some work with neural networks. We all have. It's a fun class. Very hip.
      But when you simulate 33 billion neurons with 10,000 links you inevitably need to fall back to the very slow process of a memory read/write. This would help with that.

      And having a enough neurons work together discerning things about observations, making a guess as to future observations, and adjusting the work of themselves to account for discrepancies IS intelligence. Because that's the point when the thing starts learning.

  7. Sounds cheap by marciot · · Score: 3, Funny

    It was bad enough when computers were made out of mere sand, now they will be made out of coal?

    Can't they make computers out of sapphires or something so I can feel sophisticated when I buy it?

    1. Re:Sounds cheap by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 1

      That's sooooo 2008

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    2. Re:Sounds cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know your computer has gold in it, right?

    3. Re:Sounds cheap by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      Diamonds are made from Coal too. Just say it is made from diamonds and you are all set.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    4. Re:Sounds cheap by derGoldstein · · Score: 2, Funny

      Think of it this way: They'll be carbon-based, like us!

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    5. Re:Sounds cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would certainly raise 'burning up your CPU' to a whole new level.

    6. Re:Sounds cheap by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      Just get DeBeers to sell people coal as if it were something valuable.
      They did it with the now nearly worthless diamonds. So coal should not be hard for them.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    7. Re:Sounds cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you think that will be a good argument for the future machines not to destroy humans?

    8. Re:Sounds cheap by mhajicek · · Score: 1

      You could buy a Diamond / Sapphire Radeon card...

  8. Bad / Incorrect Article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "The prototype devices, made from atom-thick sheets of carbon, operate at 100 gigahertz"

    Define operate? This sounds like the cut-off frequency, which is 100s of GHz for Si CMOS. How is 200GHz 100GHz? And no, this does not mean it can switch this fast. If it can switch this fast, it would likely operate into the THz, and we would be interested in using it for THz applications. Maybe operate is maximum stable oscillation frequency? Ft? Fmax? It's sure as hell not a switching frequency, despite what the article tells us.

    "Growing transistors on a wafer not only leads to better performance, it's also more commercially feasible"

    Growing transistors on a wafer? As compared to what? A waffle?

    Done reading... moving on...

  9. how does this effect Moore's law by onepoint · · Score: 1

    Since I can not picture it ( even after read the article ) could someone explain what changes on the graph will happen. and if possible what would be the next stage after this ( given, I think I understand that quantum computing would be the current top of computing speed, but I can not figure out where this goes )

    --
    if you see me, smile and say hello.
    1. Re:how does this effect Moore's law by confused+one · · Score: 1

      I doesn't. If this technology finds it's way into processors, it won't happen for years (several turns). By then silicon technology will have continued to advance upward and will be hitting feature size limitations (we're at like 25 to 80 Si atoms across, depending on the process, now). Then there will be a gradual ramp up of the technology as the manufacturers learn to use it. Let's also not forget that IC interconnects and all the support chips outside the processor will introduce limitations.

    2. Re:how does this effect Moore's law by Cytotoxic · · Score: 1

      Moore's law has to do with the number of transistors on a processor. So this doesn't directly impact Moore's law, unless they are also much smaller transistors that can be packed more densely. We use Moore's law as a proxy for "faster", but that's not what it entails - although more transistors has meant faster so far.

    3. Re:how does this effect Moore's law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      by then that is even less of a problem due to SOC designs.
      traditional x86 may not be able to do it but who cares when an arm chip running at a single watt out performs an x86 cluster.

  10. Imagine the speed by courteaudotbiz · · Score: 1

    Imagine at what speed the cards are going to come down and bounce in the "Solitaire" Windows game at 100 Ghz!

    1. Re:Imagine the speed by weirdcrashingnoises · · Score: 1

      Fast enough for me to punch you in the face through the internet?

      We can only hope.

      --
      sigs... don't talk to me about sigs....
    2. Re:Imagine the speed by courteaudotbiz · · Score: 1

      I don't care, imagine at 100 Ghz how fast I can react... and punch you in the face, take your underware and wrap you up entirely in them, while you only got the time to tighten your hand with the intention to punch me!

      Gotcha.

    3. Re:Imagine the speed by amoeba1911 · · Score: 0

      100gigahertz is nothing, Chuck Norris will give you 100 gigahurts.

  11. Stupid question by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

    graphene provides a promising potential replacement because electrons move through the material much faster than they do through silicon

    Could someone elaborate on that statement? I assume that they mean that an electron will move through the material with "less interference", like light traveling through space will be "faster" (to reach its destination) than if it were traveling through matter. Is that what they mean?

    --
    Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    1. Re:Stupid question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. There are very few scattering events in graphene so the electron mobility is very high.

    2. Re:Stupid question by twidarkling · · Score: 1

      In addition to fewer scattering events, I believe the energy required to affect the electron bonds on graphene is less than on silicon, so you reach the energy level faster, so you move the electron along faster.

      --
      Canada: The US's more awesome sibling.
    3. Re:Stupid question by imgod2u · · Score: 1

      Graphene in its conductive state has a much lower resistance/area than silicon semiconductors. There's also far less scattering.

      This means more electrons can move through a piece of graphene than a piece of silicon of the same size per second.

  12. wow by muckracer · · Score: 0

    Can you imagine a Beowulf cluster of those? [oblig]

    2015:

    "So what kind of computer you got these days?"

    "Cluster...1 PetaHertz"

    "LAME!! My stupidphone is faster than that. Get with the times, Dad!"

  13. Interconnects by John+Hasler · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Graphene will probably be at least as important as a replacement for metallic interconnects as for transistors. Much of the area of a chip is covered by interconnects they are responsible for much of the heat and delay.

    --
    Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
  14. Military Application? by kiehlster · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I have my doubts on whether we'll ever see this because of two things from the article: "first applications of graphene transistors will likely be as switches and amplifiers in analog military electronics" and "Graphene's properties are very sensitive to its environment". This means IBM is placing dainty technology into the hands of the harsh military environment. I've heard how rigorously they test military electronics, and if Graphene is sensitive enough to require insulation, then it's never going to make it past those extreme environment tests they do. Has anyone else seen sensitive materials make it through military applications?

    1. Re:Military Application? by derGoldstein · · Score: 3, Funny

      You're assuming that the transistors themselves will have to go into a hostile environment. Some of them do, but when you're talking about HPC then they'll probably be in a remote location, safe and protected (like Cheyenne Mountain, maybe near the Stargate...).

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    2. Re:Military Application? by Infiniti2000 · · Score: 0

      Has anyone else seen sensitive materials make it through military applications?

      Don't expect a lot of responses to this question.

    3. Re:Military Application? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      They mean the gate dielectric (which is used for the majority of transistor designs, silicon or otherwise) not that the transistors need insulation from the environment - graphene is more sensitive to the dielectric material (ie the enivronment around the transitior) than silicon. Extreme external (ie military) environment is irrelevant as the entire chip is packaged up anyway.

    4. Re:Military Application? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All the time. They're called the airforce.

    5. Re:Military Application? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...a remote location, safe and protected (like Cheyenne Mountain, maybe near the Stargate...).

      You call a location where a computer can get shot up, smashed, sucked into a black hole, or even sucked into another universe, safe?! I hate to think what your home is like!

    6. Re:Military Application? by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      Look up "hermetic seal" in Wikipedia.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    7. Re:Military Application? by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Oh yes, I worked on some pretty dainty equipment in the Army,the abbreviated Guided Missile test set for the Hawk Missile, just starting the truck meant 8 hours of work getting the equipment back into alignment.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  15. silicon on sapphire by confused+one · · Score: 3, Insightful
  16. Other Applications by royallthefourth · · Score: 1

    I wonder what a fuzz box made of these would sound like...

    1. Re:Other Applications by Lisandro · · Score: 1

      Hear hear!

      For those interested: basic guitar fuzzboxes (like the venerable Fuzz Face) are simple, design arround one or two transistors. The sound is heavily dependent on the type transistor used - old Germanium devices have a nicer, more musical sound than modern Silicon ones; this depends on how they clip the signal when amplifying, basically. I'd love to hear one using these new devices...

  17. 9x faster, not 10x faster by noidentity · · Score: 3, Informative

    The prototype devices [...] can switch on and off [...] about 10 times as fast as the speediest silicon transistors.

    These transistors are only about 9x faster than silicon, not 10x faster as the Slashdot headline claims.

    1. Re:9x faster, not 10x faster by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 5, Funny

      These transistors are only about 9x faster than silicon, not 10x faster as the Slashdot headline claims.

      Oh, well, in that case don't even bother.

      --
      Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    2. Re:9x faster, not 10x faster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      9 x 1 = 9
      10 x 1 = 10

      Their math stacks up....

  18. Cue comments games by gsgriffin · · Score: 1

    I can't believe we're this far and nobody is dreaming about how they can play their favority games at highest resolution. This will effect GPU as well.

    --
    jsut athnoer menagiensls ltitle psrhae for you to dcoede. Why do we wtsae our tmie dnoig tihs?
    1. Re:Cue comments games by maxwell+demon · · Score: 0

      I can't believe we're this far and nobody is dreaming about how they can play their favority games at highest resolution.

      You don't really need a high resolution to play nethack.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    2. Re:Cue comments games by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Imagine a Beowulf cluster of GPUs with graphene transistors!

      Happy now?

    3. Re:Cue comments games by omnichad · · Score: 1

      I could dream about better language translation software.

  19. yes, can you make a billion for $10? by peter303 · · Score: 1

    We have dozens of interesting technologies proposed each year. But few pass the commercial test.

  20. hold yer horses by lurgyman · · Score: 5, Informative

    Before you get yourselves worked up, realize there is no mention in this article or the original article in "Science" for applying this for computing. There's somewhat of a misstatement in the technology review article - if you look at the actual article in Science (http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/327/5966/662), the 100GHz figure is the unity (or cutoff) gain frequency (e.g., how high of a frequency you can build an amplifier) and not switching. There is no mention of switching in the paper by the IBM scientists, and that is the application relevant to computing. Even TFA's expert is talking about using this in analog communication frontends, folks. Sorry.

    1. Re:hold yer horses by andrewagill · · Score: 1
      I'm not sure if lurgyman is right, but TFA seems to be wrong. Quoting from Ars here:

      The graphene FETs in this work were tested up to 30GHz and, extrapolating those results, the authors showed that the FETs would operate, albeit poorly, up to 100GHz. Similarly sized Si devices are limited to 30GHz operation.[...]The 100GHz speed touted in the article's title is an extrapolation—no such properties were actually measured.

    2. Re:hold yer horses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      realize there is no mention in this article or the original article in "Science" for applying this for computing

      Isnt the FET the basis of the IC...

      So the leap to computing is not exactly that large.

      Silicon still has legs so we will not see this for a long time.

    3. Re:hold yer horses by andrewagill · · Score: 1

      Silicon is running out of legs, and fast. You might be able to push silicon to a 16nm process, but we'll have to push it very hard to make it to 11nm, which ITRS claims will be here by 2022. Beyond that, we'll see, but long time is probably less than 30 years. Which may be a long time, depending on your point of view.

    4. Re:hold yer horses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I agree. According to the Science article, "No clear current saturation was observed at drain biases up to 2V or before device breakdown." The basic "transistor" nature of a device dictates it must have both a linear AND saturation region for switching applications.

    5. Re:hold yer horses by imgod2u · · Score: 1

      Not really. You can have switching without reaching saturation. It just happens that we like to have digital circuits in saturation because it helps noise immunity.

      Remember that there's always an upper clamp: your supply voltage.

  21. Strictly it doesn't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Moore's law describes a long-term trend in the history of computing hardware, in which the number of transistors that can be placed inexpensively on an integrated circuit has doubled approximately every two years.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law

    Moore's law is about quantity of transistors, not speed of computing, the two just tend to be highly correlated.

    1. Re:Strictly it doesn't by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      Moore's law is about quantity of transistors, not speed of computing, the two just tend to be highly correlated.

      However if you go with the alternative speed formulation of "popular Moore's Law", this will be right on the curve if the first large-scale products, with speeds about like the current lab rates, come out in about three years. And it will track the curve for at least another three or four years if the expected speed improvements work out and take that long to deploy, and the limits are where expected.

      (There's also a price/performance alternate formulation. No idea how this fits there. But if the process doesn't foul the clean-chambers too badly it looks like it could drop right into the chip fabrication facility upgrade cycle.)

      What will get more interesting is if you can stack it up (say with a few hundred atom thick layers of diamond between layers) and do a 3-D structure. (Diamond conducts heat very well - don't know about graphine itself. And multi-bonded carbon can survive very high temperatures if you keep the oxygen away.) By doing that you should be able to follow the transistor-count curve a LONG way out, or spike it upward, for parallelizeable stuff.

      That last sounds almost like McClary's "Preposterous Scale Integration" scenario from the early '70s or so. B-)

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  22. Graphene is ok for now by HalAtWork · · Score: 1

    graphene seems like a viable replacement until quantum computing gets to desktop
     
    With everyone quitting smoking, we've run out of dead people's lungs to scrape carbon out of, so we've reached the limits of carbon-based CPUs and had to switch to graphene.
     
    But the extra pencils from companies going paperless will only last so long. When we run out, we will have to switch to making quantum CPUs. Hopefully by then, making quantums will be a lot cheaper.

  23. overrated by electrosoccertux · · Score: 1

    if the channel can pinch *almost* open/shut at 100Ghz, then the transistor can switch a lot faster than silicon, too.

    1. Re:overrated by lurgyman · · Score: 1

      That's a big "if." They're talking about ft of the transistor used in saturation/active mode; for most devices ft is much higher than the maximum switching speed.

  24. Organic Computers--should be able to chage extra by engineerofsorts · · Score: 1

    Since Graphene-based computers are "organic", they should sell at a premium price, just like the worm-infested organic apples in the produce section.

    --
    Life is tough. Life is even tougher when you're stupid.
  25. Oh noes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Think of it this way: They'll be carbon-based, like us!

    Then they might evolve, stop liking us, build Terminators and take over the world!

  26. Beware! by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

    All right! Now we have a chip that we can get rid of using an eraser!

    --
    That is all.
  27. Moving to Graphene Valley by rbgrn · · Score: 1

    I'm moving to Graphene Valley before it gets overcrowded!

  28. Integration scale by pablodiazgutierrez · · Score: 1

    The summary doesn't mention it, but is the integration scale potentially competitive? I'd assume so, since it's supposed to be commercially viable, but of course I didn't RTFA.

  29. Hey maybe they can use this to make by NotSoHeavyD3 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    an XBox 360 that doesn't RRoD after a year or 2. (Why do I get the feeling there's going to be a long line of "Hey maybe they can use this to make" examples as replies?)

    --
    Did you know 80 to 90% of the moderators on slashdot wouldn't recognize a troll even if one dragged them under a bridge.
  30. Ya right! by KiwiCanuck · · Score: 1

    Show me an 18 SiC wafer, and I'll show you my retirement plan!

  31. Carbon based life-form? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the future machine overlords will be a carbon based life form after all.... hmmmm.

  32. The Future by florescent_beige · · Score: 1

    The future of computing is gallium arsenide^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^hphotonics^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^hmolecular switches^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^hquantum whatnot^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^hummmmmmm^h^h^h^h^h^h^h^hgraphene?^h!

    --
    Equine Mammals Are Considerably Smaller
  33. High ghz limits size of chip by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The speed of light doesn't travel too far at 100ghz. This will limit how far components on a chip are separated from each other etc.

  34. Finally.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..we will be able to run java applications at "full speed".

  35. Silicon is still faster by MattskEE · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Graphene is still very much a lab technology which isn't anywhere near ready for commercial production of devices. It may turn out to replace Silicon one day, but guess what, people keep doing amazing shit with silicon because it's still the cheapest material system for fabrication.

    Apologies to those without IEEE access, but here is a paper discussing a recent 150GHz Silicon CMOS amplifier: A 1.1V 150GHz amplifier with 8dB gain and +6dBm saturated output power in standard digital 65nm CMOS using dummy-prefilled microstrip lines. That's pretty awesome in my book. It's pushing the amplifier very close to fmax of the actual transistors, but it works and it's in a commercial silicon process.

    There are always applications where we can do better systems with more expensive materials like GaAs, GaN, InP, Graphene, etc... but silicon is cheap and easily mass-produced, so lots of engineers work on pushing it to incredible performance.

  36. Quantum Computing will Never Replace Silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Quantum computing won't replace silicon transistors, or graphene transistors, or whatever comes after that. While quantum computers have the potential to be incredibly powerful, but they only work on a very small set of problems. As best I can tell they could, in theory, work well on problems that require brute force on a traditional computer. However for running a word processor, or rendering pretty 3D graphics they appear to be useless.
    So while quantum computers may some day supplement traditional processors, they will never be a replacement.