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EU Conducts Test Flights To Assess Impact of Volcanic Ash On Aircraft

chrb writes "As we discussed on Friday, the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull in Iceland has led to flights being canceled across the EU. With travel chaos ensuing and the airlines losing an estimated $200 million per day, EU authorities are coming under increasing pressure to re-open the airways. Test flights conducted on Saturday were apparently successful, with no problems encountered during flight. Following the test flights, Peter Hartman, CEO of KLM, said, 'We hope to receive permission as soon as possible after that to start up our operation and to transport our passengers to their destinations.' Evidence possibly opposing this move comes from the Finnish Defense Forces, which released photos and a statement after F-18 Hornets flew through the ash cloud, saying, 'Based on the pictures, it was discovered that even short flights in ash dust may cause significant damage to an airplane's engine.' Is it safe to resume flights so soon, or should planes remain grounded until the ash cloud has dissipated?"

81 of 410 comments (clear)

  1. Goodness, Who To Believe... by Bottles · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So we can choose between the findings of a massive corporation intent on re-establishing its cashflow as soon as possible or a military entity performing a post-mortem on its equipment which sustained damage just prior to flight restrictions.

    You decide!

    1. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by flyneye · · Score: 5, Informative

      Ash is abrasive. Any idiot who has washed their hands with LAVA soap can attest to that.
      Q:So then, what happens when you put abrasives into parts manufactured to close tolerances?
      A: Tolerances are widened.
      Q: What happens when tolerances are widened on machinery that spins at high RPM?
      A: Centers are lost and jitter occurs speeding disappearing tolerances and adding heavy vibration.
      Q: What will that heavy vibration do Cap'n fly?
      A: Titaniums can shatter, Waspalloy and Hastalloy parts will tear away from Titaniums and Aluminums, H60 coated bearings will fly as though fired from a gun.
      Q: What are you really saying, fly?
      A: Assume the crash position, put your chin on your taint and kiss your @ss goodbye!

      --
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    2. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by Swampash · · Score: 4, Funny

      What's that, Chief Brody? You want to close the BEACHES?

    3. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem is that nobody's measured the actual concentration of the ash cloud yet. The satellite images show SO2, not the solid particles. No airline would willingly or even just carelessly fly their planes through ash: The repair costs for a whole fleet would be astronomical. The question they're trying to get answered is this: Is the simulation, which is the current source of information, accurate or is there airspace which is usable without damage to the machines and risk to the crews and passengers? For example, if the ash is only at high altitudes, they could fly lower than usual, to at least get the stranded passengers to their destinations.

      The pressure to find a solution other than waiting it out is growing because the weather is relatively stable and if the volcano keeps spewing ash, then the situation isn't going to change for at least a couple more days. They're looking for safe airspace, not for a way straight through the cloud.

    4. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ...a massive corporation intent on re-establishing its cashflow ...

      I don't know if you know this, but big corporations don't get to be big corporations by spending more money in repairs than they receive in receipts. In other words, if the big corporations are clamoring to get back in the skies in the middle of a volcano after verifying the safety of the passengers, you know damage to equipment is going to be less than the receipts they'll get from flights.

      In other words, as long as the safety of the passengers is maintained, who the hell cares if they fly? If you're concerned about flying through an ash cloud and don't want to "risk it" (even though there is likely little or no actual risk to you), then don't buy the damn ticket and don't get on the damn plane.

      Isn't it just amazing how that works?

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    5. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by oji-sama · · Score: 4, Informative

      And here's the gotcha, they never disclosed how close to the volcano the finn planes were.

      Umm. They disclosed that they were doing training missions in northern parts of Finland while the airspace was still open to all. I'm not sure what makes this a gotcha.

      --
      It is what it is.
    6. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 4, Informative

      And here's the gotcha, they never disclosed how close to the volcano the finn planes were.

      Do you think it is safe to say that they were about as far away as Finland is to the volcano? Say 2500km. Or do you think they said, "hey there's a volcano erupting 2500km away that we'd have to cross three sovereign nations airspace's with in our military jets (Finland doesn't belong to NATO or any common EU defense alliance), let's go fly our planes over there." Personally I would tend to believe that they flew over their own country and decided to do a 'post-mortem' on the engines when they found out how bad the ash cloud was.

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    7. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 4, Informative

      Iceland is west of Finland.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    8. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Ash is abrasive. Any idiot who has washed their hands with LAVA soap can attest to that.

      LAVA soap isn't made of ash, dumbass, it's made of pumice. Pumice is a product of volcanoes, but not one that goes floating in the air (it does go hurtling through the air, but that's different). It is also thousands of times more coarse than ash - ash is finer than the finest sands you can find. The individual grains are extremely hard and jagged, and thus very abrasive, but they will also move largely with the air - i.e. as the jet engine creates a flow through it, most of the ash is going to pass right on by and only a very small amount will actually be abrading the engine parts.

      That said, I'm no aeronautical engineer, so I wouldn't have a clue about how much these engines can handle. I'd be inclined to think they'll just have to replace various engine parts a lot sooner than they ordinarily would need to though, given that several flights have already been safely made. The commercial flights are also going to be flying through as little ash as possible, unlike the Finnish pilots who flew right through the heart of it. That most certainly will make a big difference in the amount of wear caused by the ash cloud.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    9. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by oji-sama · · Score: 5, Insightful

      So

      1. You're saying that they were lying when they said that they had practice mission in Nothern Finland. And lied that even short missions can cause problems when they released photos about the engines.

      2. You think that they _could_ lie about it and not get caught. Do you have any idea how closely airspace is being scrutinized?

      --
      It is what it is.
    10. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by oji-sama · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So

      1. You're saying that they were lying when they said that they had practice mission in Nothern Finland. And lied that even short missions can cause problems when they released photos about the engines.

      No, I'm saying I saw only one source claiming they were on Northern Finland. Maybe they were further north, in the arctic.

      And I'm sure they're being 100% honest about the engine photos.

      Well. The original source is the Finnish Airforce. And plese do check the map. Further North doesn't really cut it. Yes, I saw the flightplan map, where the Iceland was 1380 miles away. To the West of Finland, through both Sweden and Norway.

      A part of story behind the photos was that they said that even a short flight was problematic. I don't think a flight to Iceland and back would count as one.

      2. You think that they _could_ lie about it and not get caught. Do you have any idea how closely airspace is being scrutinized?

      Depends on altitude, artic monitoring and radar signature of the F-18. I'm not sure they ask civilian ATC for clearance...

      You generally don't fly your military jets through other countries. For example, it gets to the news if a Russian fighter goes 300 meters deep in Finnish airspace. Has happened a few times.

      --
      It is what it is.
    11. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by magarity · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If you're concerned about flying through an ash cloud and don't want to "risk it" (even though there is likely little or no actual risk to you), then don't buy the damn ticket and don't get on the damn plane.
       
      Where have you been for the last 50 years of ever increasing liability lawsuits? Even if you could get all of the people on board to make a statement about acceptable risk then in the off chance of a crash the survivors would sue that the risks weren't actually made clear to them and the families of the dead would sue that they weren't willing to take the risk of losing that person. Personal responsibility = dream on. In light of this trend, I think if the airlines are willing to start the flights again then it's probably OK. KLM, BA, etc, These aren't some disount airlines in third world countries. They manage risk quite well.

    12. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Wow, you have no concept of the effects of volcanic ash.

      Volcanic Ash is essentially magma mist. when you get down to the quick and dirty of it, it's almost like having pulverized pumice. It's very glassy in texture, and very VERY abrasive, unless it's been weathered down over a few thousand years.

      This fresh stuff can make your eyes and nose itch, it can and will stick to all sorts of parts, it gets EVERYWHERE. Having walked through an area where an ash cloud immediately settled, I can attest to the fact it can and will stick to you, you have to brush it off well to even begin to get it out of all sorts of small places.

      Imagine what it will do to a jet engine, it will collect, and slowly clog the engines.

      To me, it sounds like a bunch of airlines willing to risk the lives of their crews and their passengers to resume making money, even though they face multi-billion dollar class action lawsuits when something happens at a later date due to damage to the engine internals.

      oh not to mention engine repair.

      These are the same airline companies that still fly poorly maintained planes that were built in the late 70's and early 80's.

      I'd trust the finnish on this. This "Ash" is not the same as the ash you get from a fire. It's much more coarse and grainier. go rub some fresh volcanic ash against your skin and then tell me you wont be itchy and a red mark will be left behind.

      Well, as fresh as it will be once cooled down from being thousands of degrees in temperature.. in the middle of the air.

    13. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by Low+Ranked+Craig · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
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    14. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by MartinSchou · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Even if you could get all of the people on board to make a statement about acceptable risk then in the off chance of a crash the survivors would sue

      Screw the survivers. The plane crashes into an apartment block. The obvious conclusion from the NTSB is that the crash caused by the volcanic ash breaking the engine, plugging the pitot tubes, taking out all electrical systems and making the cockpit windows opaque.

      I'm sure the jury in any kind of lawsuit resulting from this crash will agree that the fact that the passengers signed a waiver means that everything was fine.

    15. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by kno3 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Actually the problem, as I understand it, is that the silica particles in the ash cloud (similar to very fine grains of sand, or glass) are melted by the heat of the engine, then then collide with the leading edge of the turbine blades and condense. This is bad for a number of reasons, firstly it expands that surface and significantly reduces the efficiency of the engine. More importantly however, it has a different coefficient of thermal expansion to the titanium blade, and very quickly it will start to crack and break away. In this process it takes small chunks of the blade with it. The process causes a lot of pitting in the leading edge of the blade.

      The thermal spraying department at my work do a lot of research into repairing blades that have suffered from this problem. Most often it has been caused by planes flying through sand storms in a desert, but the effect is just the same. One of the methods of repairing the blade is to remove enough of the titanium so that you can plasma spray a ceramic in its place to make the blade the right size again.

    16. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by BlackGriffen · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Indeed, Sixty Symbols (the University of Nottingham's physics dept) did a nice YouTube video on the effect of volcanic ash on jet engines.

    17. Re:Goodness, Who To Believe... by tibit · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Two things will happen:

      1. Windshields will get sandblasted. Maybe not during one flight, but give it a week or two and they'll be
      replacing their windshields. $100k is the order of magnitude I believe.

      2. Every part of the engine that runs at high temperature will get ash caked on it. Does wonders to
      high pressure turbine efficiency. I don't know if APUs on modern airlines power hydraulics, but they better
      did, and you better hoped that the APU will survive the ash treatment as well.

      3. Seals that are airtight usually are not dust tight -- I know, it's counter-intuitive, but that's how it is,
      especially with seals over rotating shafts. The oil in those engines will make sure that the ash is redistributed
      to the bearing surfaces running at highest temperatures -- where it can do most damage.

      When you get crap caked on inside of the engine, you don't "replace things earlier". You're talking about
      replacing the engine, and doing a full overhaul on the one you took out. Figure $1M o.m. for two high bypass
      turbofans maybe?

      --
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  2. I am skeptical about the results... by bogaboga · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...of the tests because the conditions these tests will have to deal with vary from amount of dust, to concentration,composition (chemically) and type of equipment to be used.

    To make matters even more interesting, the impact of this dust on an aircraft engine also depends on what the load is on the particular engine, not to mention type and condition.

    To me, I see the results as those that will be of no consequence.

    1. Re:I am skeptical about the results... by DarkOx · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The issues here also have to do with melting, heat of crystallization, size of openings where the fuel injectors are concerned, durability of the turbofans etc etc. I can easily imagine the characteristics of one engine making it suffer much less harm than another of even slightly different design. What I can't imagine is figuring out which ones would fall into which category based on the information we have.

       

      --
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  3. Starting to get ridiculous... by cronostitan · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I think that 'Better safe than sorry' is a good way to handle this... however straight after closing the airspace there should have been real tests going on how much ash there actually is. The warnings given by the Volcanic observation center are just based on simulations and there is no middle way between 'ash' and 'no ash' currently.
    I totally understand that the airlines are starting to complain - even more when they have to _prove_ themselves that there is no problem with low concentrations.
    There hasn't been any weatherballoons or similar testing by the governments right after closing the airspace.

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    1. Re:Starting to get ridiculous... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How do you do those 'real tests' without running expensive aircraft through the target airspace? Although clearly we have had some experience with volcanic ash, from what I've read there is a real dearth of information. I imagine (although it really hasn't shown up in the news) that various smart and inventive persons are trying to run through ideas to sort this out.

      Remember, the real issue is what is going on between 10000 and 30000 feet. Hard to walk there and sample some air. Modified radiosonde balloons? Giant kites? Let's work this out guys.

      --
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    2. Re:Starting to get ridiculous... by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 5, Informative

      There is satellite imagery however. Both NASA and ESA traces the ash cloud based on satellite data, ESA even compiled an informative animation.

      --
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      Be yourself no matter what they say
    3. Re:Starting to get ridiculous... by Splab · · Score: 2, Informative

      Write and complain to your local consumer watchdog - here in the EU, even under force majure, the aviation companies are required to compensate travellers.

      On top of that, here in Denmark, insurance companies have told customers who are currently stuck abroad that their insurance will be extended for the duration of their plight at no extra charge.

      For those who haven't left yet, travel agencies have told their customers that they can have a full refund or bumped a few days untill this blows over.

    4. Re:Starting to get ridiculous... by multi+io · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That animation isn't based on a measurement though, it's based on a computer simulation with debatable accuracy (whose initial conditions were based on some measurements, again with debatable accuracy).

  4. Keep them on the ground by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes, it sucks. To the tune of hundreds of millions of $$ per day. But this stuff can and will kill an engine. I wouldn't want to depend on a lucky restart.

    Of course, if this goes on much longer, as it has in the past, we will run into serious problems.

    1. Re:Keep them on the ground by Again · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yes, it sucks. To the tune of hundreds of millions of $$ per day. But this stuff can and will kill an engine. I wouldn't want to depend on a lucky restart.

      You're wrong, I watched 2012 and ash doesn't harm the engine only it only makes it harder for the pilot to see.

    2. Re:Keep them on the ground by NeMon'ess · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It will only kill an engine when sufficient amounts have built up to cause enough airflow disruption. Such an amount is easily observable after each flight. The engines can have maintenance done at the appropriate time. Presently large amounts of European airspace have very small concentrations of ash between certain latitudes. Jetliners can fly below this layer as well as above it at 38,000 feet. They can take off and if deemed necessary, fly several hundred miles under the layer to a thinner area, ascend through it, and cruise above it.

  5. Norwegian helicopter ambulance video by Knutsi · · Score: 4, Informative

    This links leads to a page with a video of an ambulance helicopter that was coated in a fine layer of ash in Norway today. It flew during a small windows of opportunity where the air cleared to pick up a patient in Sweden. The link is in Norwegian, but the video is, obviously, visual.

    The interesting part is at ~00:30 where he shows of the ash (requires Flash): http://www.dagbladet.no/2010/04/18/nyheter/innenriks/aske/vulkan/flyforbud/11335687/

    Makes me think that a large passenger jet flying long routes and sucking in a whole load of air on the trip might be at risk of engine failure as they say.

    1. Re:Norwegian helicopter ambulance video by MooUK · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Note that the ash is also acidic. When you get to clearing it off, bear that in mind.

      Attempting to brush it off will be fairly damaging. Washing it off with water could be a problem too. Best bet is probably very large quantities of water to dilute anything faster than it can cause damage.

      (This is a problem all the airlines will also be considering.)

  6. A lesson to be learned: Greed kills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I am waiting for the impatient to risk their lives to prove to the rest of us why better safe than sorry is much safer than being dead.

    Take a boat.

    1. Re:A lesson to be learned: Greed kills by j_sp_r · · Score: 3, Informative

      The president-director of the KLM was on-board of one of the first test flights. So he put his money where his mouth is.

      Source:http://nos.nl/artikel/151324-klm-voert-testvlucht-uit.html

  7. How long will it last? by ivoras · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The question here is - how long will the eruption and the ash cloud last? Judging from historical records, it's not uncommon for eruptions to last decades. If - then what? New routes? Limit cross-atlantic flights endpoints to southern Spain or something?

    --
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    1. Re:How long will it last? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Consider this is one weenie little volcano (albeit poorly placed). No wonder dinosaurs didn't invent air travel.

      --
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    2. Re:How long will it last? by flyingfsck · · Score: 4, Funny

      So, you never heard of Pterodactyl Airlines, did you? ;)

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    3. Re:How long will it last? by mattcsn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Invest in cruise ship stocks? :) At least intra-continental travelers have the option of rail, as crowded as that may be at the moment.

    4. Re:How long will it last? by mayberry42 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The question here is - how long will the eruption and the ash cloud last? Judging from historical records, it's not uncommon for eruptions to last decades. If - then what? New routes? Limit cross-atlantic flights endpoints to southern Spain or something?

      According to this article , it may last for another month, and possibly a year or longer. It will be interesting, if somewhat uneasy, to see how people will react to this (boats to the US? fly above/below the ash clouds?). Clearly this cannot go on for long, given the damage that it is doing in terms of lost revenue for businesses, mail not being delivered (so i hear) and thousands of stranded customers.

    5. Re:How long will it last? by fm6 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually, the trend's the other way. Trains in Europe used to be much slower, so long trips were faster by plane. As the trains gotfaster, air travel on competing routes declined drastically.

    6. Re:How long will it last? by init100 · · Score: 3, Informative

      The question is what's the history of this particular volcano

      This volcano hasn't erupted in 200 years, but the last eruption lasted from December 1821 to January 1823.

  8. One new thing - transatlantic on 2 engines by Thagg · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I wonder if something that makes this volcano different than all other volcanoes is that it's erupting at a time when almost all translatlantic flying is done on two-engine planes. To get long-range over-water certification (ETOPS), the manufacturers and maintenance organizations go to great lengths to ensure that there is no common threat to the two engines. The engines are serviced separately by independent crews, fueled separately, and so on. Flying into an ash cloud, though, even if the threat is small, it is certainly a common threat to both engines at the same time.

    I was looking for flights to Europe recently, and couldn't find a single 747 or A340 -- it was all 767, 777, or A330. I know 747s fly those routes, but they are a small minority now.

    --
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    1. Re:One new thing - transatlantic on 2 engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      ETOPS = Engines Turn or Passengers Swim.

    2. Re:One new thing - transatlantic on 2 engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Four engines vs. two engines doesn't really matter. Some of the most dramatic incidents of airplanes ingesting volcanic ash are 747s. Invariably, every single engine shuts down after several minutes of sucking up ash and melting it into glass. All four engines have to be restarted to recover, once the airplane descends out of the cloud and the glass has time to cool off.

    3. Re:One new thing - transatlantic on 2 engines by russotto · · Score: 4, Informative

      I wonder if something that makes this volcano different than all other volcanoes is that it's erupting at a time when almost all translatlantic flying is done on two-engine planes.

      Probably not. Ash has caused all engines to go out on a 747. As you say, the threat is common to all engines, whether 2,3, or 4.

      The airlines have it right. All the talk has been about flights being canceled for a few days or weeks, but as far as I can tell there's no real reason the eruption couldn't continue for months, and plenty of precedent for eruptions which have. And talk about the wind shifting seems pretty much wishful thinking as well; the upper air westerlies aren't going to stop blowing eastward, nor are they likely to lose all their southward components. So a very conservative approach (no flying until the ash has dissipated) could result in most of northern Europe being a no-fly zone for months. It's probably worth the risk to find out more precisely where the conditions really are too dangerous.

    4. Re:One new thing - transatlantic on 2 engines by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 3, Insightful
      If ash from volcanoes can take out four engines, there is no way in hell I want to get near that ash cloud/plume in a two engine transatlantic aircraft.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Airways_Flight_9

    5. Re:One new thing - transatlantic on 2 engines by mehrotra.akash · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think that a 747 can operate on 1 engine alone as well, in that case go through the ash cloud with only one engine running and as soon as you cross the cloud start the other 3, or do it with 2 engines running initially, if 1 fails in the ash cloud then start a 3rd engine, hopefully by the time you are out of the cloud atleast 1 engine will be working.

      Then when the conditions are right, all 4 engines can be started back up..

    6. Re:One new thing - transatlantic on 2 engines by Xest · · Score: 2, Interesting

      One thing no one seems to have brought up in response to this article so far regarding the length of the eruption is that it's not simply the fact the volcano is erupting, and it's not simply the fact that it's erupting in a location where ash is carried by the jet stream.

      The issue is the strength of the eruptions. The initial eruptions were of course quite powerful, and these were forcing up sizeable chunks of silica and such into the air which really were quite dangerous, however as the eruption continues and becomes less violent, the particles being blown into the air are becoming much more fine.

      So the talk amongst many of how this could last for months or years, completely and utterly misses the point. No one's disputing the eruption could go on a long time, what is in dispute is the violence of the eruption, if it erupts for 2 years but the continued eruption is so small that it doesn't blast much up to a level beyond which it just comes straight back down into iceland then it becomes a non-issue. Even if it keeps blasting particles up into the air to a height where they're a problem, then if those particles become much more fine then airlines can fly through it without issue- this seems to be what the airlines are contesting now, not that there wasn't a danger, but that the ash and particles being blown up now are fine enough to be a non-issue.

      There are also requests of course to be able to fly below 20,000 ft, below the ash cloud- this may be a bit more troublesome in terms of fuel for transatlantic flights, but it should at least get air travel going in Europe again.

  9. Callous disregard of safety by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So based on a few low altitude flights they want to reestablish about 20k flights / day? It's excellent that 5-10 testflights could manage in low altitude, however if only 0.1% flights drops out of the skies, that is still 20 flights downed per day. You don't establish safety based on limited tests.

    Sure it's possible that the computer models establishing the extent of the dust cloud are conservative towards safety, however isn't that what you would expect no matter how much it costs the airlines? The Finnish incident clearly shows it's not safe, at this point I'm not even sure I'd trust the airlines to disclose whether they suffered damage in their test flights.

    --
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    1. Re:Callous disregard of safety by kestasjk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They're the ones who'd have to pay if an accident happened, they're the ones who own the aircraft, they're the ones who best understand the risks involved. Even in a much more intense cloud of ash, closer to the volcano which was at a higher altitude, which caused 4 engines to shut down (BA9, the textbook example) 3 of 4 engines started up once they got out of the ash cloud.

      Meanwhile all planes grounded over a risk that experts don't think is credible means vacations ruined, investments lost, business trips canceled, insurance premiums increasing, airplane ticket prices increasing, etc, etc.

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  10. Re:All aircraft grounded - Except in Sweden by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There is a slight chance that ONE of those might be affected at high altitude.

    OK, Sparky. You go first.

  11. Ash is non-uniform by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Informative

    The ash allegedly contains shards of glass, and I can see how this would cause serious problems for turbines... but I think it's obvious that just like any other phenomena of weather, the ash will be non-uniform. It makes perfect sense that one test would have completely different results from another. Thus, broadly-based testing would be necessary to derive any useful result...

    --
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    1. Re:Ash is non-uniform by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Informative

      Indeed. In fact the height the ash plume reached has changed from Wednesday to Saturday from 8 miles down to 3:

      In Iceland, the volcano continued to erupt, but volcanologists said was it less explosive than at the beginning of the eruption on Wednesday, which blasted glassy abrasive ash, destructive to jet engines, eight miles into the sky. The plume was now rising to a height of just three miles, and the volcanologists said this would deposit ash only in Iceland and in the surrounding waters. It was not high enough to travel thousands of miles across Britain and the rest of Europe.

      http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/apr/16/volcanic-ash-air-travel-europe

      --
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  12. How much do we know about this "ash cloud"? by SwedishChef · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I don't know enough about the extent of the ash cloud to make a decision about this. In fact, I suspect no one knows much about it and that's the crux of the dilemma. I do know that when Mt. St. Helens erupted the area where I live was seriously impacted by the ash and many vehicles were severely damaged. Of course, this area was only 150 miles east of the volcano and the ash cloud was dense enough to block out the sun. The ash cloud over Europe is likely to be much less dense. I have been an airplane and glider pilot since 1970 and I, personally, would not want to risk flying until I understood more about the risk.

    --
    No one ever had to evacuate a city because the solar panels broke!
  13. Re:All aircraft grounded - Except in Sweden by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There is a slight chance that ONE of those might be affected at high altitude.

    OK, Sparky. You go first.

    That's what Mr. Hartman, the CEO of KLM just did.

  14. Re:All aircraft grounded - Except in Sweden by DarkOx · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yes and those were at least back then mostly powered by ICE, which would have had air filters (even if just a bit of cloth) and don't depend on fragile, fine turbine blades cranking at 10K rpm; but instead had relatively robust pistons of steel and iron. Dust will harm and ICE but it causes premature ware one pistons, rings, liners, values, guides, and any thing else being lubes from a common oil sump where dust might get into the oil (also filtered during operation). A Jet is a little or turbo prop is a little different beast then the that old barn storming Jenny.

    --
    Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
  15. What it's like to fly a 747 through an ash cloud by jrivar59 · · Score: 4, Interesting
  16. Anonymous Pilot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As an ATPL pilot, any idiot who flies into the dense components of the ash cloud will get absolutely no sympathy from me when they suffer from multiple system failures. Important to note though, the article doesn't mention the density of the ash cloud they flew through. Also, I highly doubt they'll readjust the maintenance cycles of the parts to cater for the increase in wear and tear, so even if the aircraft does not have a problem immediately I'd place bets that parts will fail prematurely in the future.

  17. I live under the transatlantic flight path. by GuyFawkes · · Score: 5, Insightful

    and it is interesting how the skies are clear of contrails, and also the lack of periodic flights from the local airport, the landing path for which is *directly* overhead at an altitude of a few hundred metres. This includes turboprop aircraft like the Dash jobbies being grounded.

    Of course everyone is talking about stranded passengers, nobody is talking about stranded air mail and stranded cargo.

    It is interesting to me just how dependent we (and we in Europe are a lot less dependent on flights than USAians) have become on the jet aircraft, and how useless people have become, they just sit in the airports expecting some one else to get them to their destination...

    ferries, channel tunnel, trains, automobiles, nope, just won't do... I have driven from London to Athens in less time than many of these people have been sat in airports wringing their hands... I also suspect that it may be CHEAPER to hire a car and drive back home, than to attempt to live in an airport for a week.

    interestingly, lots of travel insurance companies are simply shrugging their shoulders when people try to make claims over this, sorry, act of god, not covered by insurance.

    BTW, back in the day, we used to hear the sonic boom from Concorde, I have heard some talk that while a 747 cruises at 39,000 feet, Concorde's ceiling of 60,000 feet meant that it could have flown OVER these dust clouds...

    --
    http://slashdot.org/~GuyFawkes/journal
    1. Re:I live under the transatlantic flight path. by kannibal_klown · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ferries, channel tunnel, trains, automobiles, nope, just won't do... I have driven from London to Athens in less time than many of these people have been sat in airports wringing their hands... I also suspect that it may be CHEAPER to hire a car and drive back home, than to attempt to live in an airport for a week.

      I know a few people that are stuck across the Atlantic from their homes, that really has to stink. A bunch of them had to go on business trips (separate locations) and are now stuck.

      I guess there's always the ship / cruise option but I imagine those tend to be a tad more expensive than a company would want to pay for. Especially when they can go to another work-site and use their network to do some of their tasks.

      I've taken the train around, even though co-workers prefer to fly. They claim "well the flight's only an hour..." Yeh, but between security and delays you're only really saving an hour over the train. Heck, splurge on 1st class and it's about the same price and quite a pleasant experience to ride the rails for a few hours.

    2. Re:I live under the transatlantic flight path. by sohp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I have heard some talk that while a 747 cruises at 39,000 feet, Concorde's ceiling of 60,000 feet meant that it could have flown OVER these dust clouds...

      They still have to take off and land; as far ask I know, that would take the aircraft through the ash cloud.

      Even if Virgin Galactic has suborbital transatlantic flights, they'd still need a way to get to up there.

    3. Re:I live under the transatlantic flight path. by ari_j · · Score: 2, Informative

      The helplessness of the average human is a global phenomenon. Of course, airlines don't help much. I once had the first flight in my itinerary canceled, and while I was waiting in line with the other 100 passengers from that flight to take care of it, I also called the airline's customer service line. I offered to rent a car at my own expense and drive it to the hub airport, but they wouldn't accept that since it was more than 300 miles away. And, of the 3 airports they served within 300 miles, there were no open seats in the next few days. So even if you are willing to help yourself, the airlines won't accept it.

      The possibility that transatlantic flights between the USA and Europe will be grounded for months leads to the possible reinstatement of making the trip by luxury steamer. Are any of the Titanic's sister ships still afloat?

    4. Re:I live under the transatlantic flight path. by Ma8thew · · Score: 2, Informative

      ferries, channel tunnel, trains, automobiles, nope, just won't do... I have driven from London to Athens in less time than many of these people have been sat in airports wringing their hands... I also suspect that it may be CHEAPER to hire a car and drive back home, than to attempt to live in an airport for a week.

      I guess you haven't been reading the stores about the Eurostar and the ferry companies having their busiest days ever. Or the thousand euro taxi rides many are resorting through. Have you considered that people would like to get a train or ferry but they're all booked up?

  18. Re:Simple Solution by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 2

    ...and also risk the life of innocent bystanders on the ground? You know, if you throw up a few tonnes of metal and plastic, it'll come down eventually and potentially kill people when it lands on their heads.

    --
    It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
    Be yourself no matter what they say
  19. Come one come all! A new AGE is upon us! by arcite · · Score: 5, Funny

    No, no, this is not the end times you have been reading about. This is the DAWN of a new age of travel! A GLORIOUS adventure on the high seas! See the world ANEW! Why measure your transatlantic travel in hours when it can be measured in DAYs or even WEEKS? Relive a bygone era when it was the JOURNEY that mattered most, not the destination. After a lazy brunch, take a mid-morning stroll on the upper deck in your best pinstripes, while your lady swings her parasol without a care in the world. Dine on the finest cuts of meat, drink the finest wines! Try your luck at the baccarat tables! End your evening with a stout cigar, staring blissfully toward the star filled night sky. It's the future!

    1. Re:Come one come all! A new AGE is upon us! by Max+Littlemore · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Too right, AC! As I flew from Vienna to Nuremberg via Munich just over a week ago, I was thinking the same thing. Much smoother and more comfortable way to travel, and quick enough that shorter trips like that are still within a reasonable time frame.

      --
      I don't therefore I'm not.
  20. Hooray for the EU! by BadDoggie · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Sending multiple 50M aircraft into ash clouds to prove what we already knew: that even a brief encounter with volcanic ash will fuck your turbines up but good. And your surfaces. And your Plexiglass. And your ventilation system. And and and...

  21. Blame Steve Jobs... by itsdapead · · Score: 4, Funny

    This is all a ploy by Apple to stop Europeans flying to the USA to buy iPads, after the worldwide launch was delayed!

    Its not clear whether Jobs has actually placed iNukes in the Icelandic volcano to cause the eruption or if Apple have teamed up with the CIA, SPECTRE, THRUSH, SkyNet and the Milk Marketing Board to hack computers and exaggerate the threats!! Maybe that's not ash on the computer projections - its the famous Reality Distortion Field!!!

    Expect the ban to persist until the end of May!!!!

    Now I expect all the Apple fanbois will crawl out of the woodwork and start trying to deny the obvious truth, and I'll be modded down faster than an Airbus with both engines on fire. If Microsoft had done this everybody would be up in arms!!!!!

    --
    In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
    1. Re:Blame Steve Jobs... by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2, Funny

      If Microsoft had done this everybody would be up in arms!!!!!

      It was Microsoft! You didn't think MS wouldn't take revenge for the browser court order, did you?

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  22. The ash cloud is now attacking servers! by fcbs · · Score: 4, Funny

    Flights disruptions caused by the ash cloud is only the *beginning*.

    The volcanic ash is now attacking servers! Check the disclaimer here, to convince yourself of the problems we're now facing : http://www.ascii-codes.net/cp861.html

  23. @What about the weather? by rossdee · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nobody seems to be talking about the effect that this volcano will have of the weather. Previous large eruptions have caused mini ice ages.

    1. Re:@What about the weather? by AdmiralXyz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Nobody seems to be talking about the effect that this volcano will have of the weather. Previous large eruptions have caused mini ice ages.

      BoingBoing brought it up. They say it's too early to be certain, but so far, the latitude of the eruption seems to be high enough that the ash isn't going to block enough solar radiation to cause any noticeable impact. They point out how eruptions at high latitudes, even huge ones like Mt. St. Helens, have very little impact on climate, whereas smaller ones at low latitudes have a much larger one.

      --
      Dislike the Electoral College? Lobby your state to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact.
    2. Re:@What about the weather? by kestasjk · · Score: 2, Interesting

      On the other hand the lack of aircraft contrails after 9/11 was said to result in a marked increase in temperature. It'll be interesting to see if climate modeling accurately predicts the outcome on the next couple of years of weather.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    3. Re:@What about the weather? by aug24 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There has long been a theory that the upper atmosphere condensation caused by jets affects the temperature on the ground. If the ash cloud has only a small effect, the lack of contrails may cause a substantial heat increase over the next few weeks.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
  24. Some Spanish airports now open by Animats · · Score: 2, Informative

    Some Spanish airports are now open again. Madrid is open The ash cloud has moved north. But the volcano is still erupting, ejecting ash to a height of 4Km. The northwestern part of Europe is going to be grounded for a while.

  25. Queen Mary 2 sails April 22 by Animats · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There are still a few transatlantic liners. If you're stuck in Europe, the Queen Mary 2 sails from Southampton to New York in four days. There's already a waiting list, but it's quite possible that some people planning to take the trip as a cruise can't get to Southampton, and space may open up.

  26. Re:All aircraft grounded - Except in Sweden by HuguesT · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Actually the glassy ash will melt in the jet engine and quickly accumulate to the point where the engine stops working.

  27. Russian roulette by Paul+Johnson · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So they send up half a dozen flights without problems, but this doesn't prove anything. The ash is not evenly distributed; it appears to be in layers in the atmosphere. If you fly up or down through a layer the exposure is brief and you don't see a problem. But if ATC unknowingly tell an aircraft to fly at the same altitude as a layer of ash then you have a big problem. The bottom line is that a few flights prove nothing. If the risk to a single flight is 1% then you won't see anything, but when you restart aviation aircraft will be dropping out of the sky.

    --
    You are lost in a twisty maze of little standards, all different.
  28. Eyjafjallajökull by falken0905 · · Score: 2, Funny

    The volcano whose name shall not be spoken. Or at least can not be spoken by anyone who does not speak Icelandic. It's amusing watching news readers avoiding naming the volcano. Perhaps it needs a friendlier name... anyone?

    1. Re:Eyjafjallajökull by Zumbs · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's not that bad is is? I mean, you just have to split the name into logical parts Eyja-fjalla-jökull. There is also a nice example of pronounciation at the wikipedia entry, sounding something like Eva-ley-kull.

      --
      The truth may be out there, but lies are inside your head
  29. Re:Of course by init100 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The real worry is about idiot managers of incompetent airlines who want to gamble on this.

    Sounds like Ural Airlines, which tried to fly from Moscow to Rome. They thought that they were being smart by flying below the ash cloud, but they forgot to consider the increased fuel consumption this would cause. While en-route they had to contact the Vienna air traffic controller to ask for an emergency landing, since there was almost no fuel left.

    I'm just surprised they actually got their flight plan approved, since Austria (among others) had their entire airspace closed at the time. Or maybe they didn't file a flight plan, figuring they could fly by VFR. :)

  30. Douglas DC-3 with desert filters survives ash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    There's a Finnish article saying that old Douglas DC-3 planes with desert filters (aavikkosuodatin) could fly in the ash cloud. There are two of them still operational in Finland and they could be used for emergency flights.

    Here's the Finnish article: http://www.kauppalehti.fi/5/i/talous/uutiset/etusivu/uutinen.jsp?oid=2010/04/32610&sort=false
    Here's a Google translation, which translates badly, title should be "DC-3 does ignore the ashes" instead of "DC-3 does not ignore the ashes" :)

    Douglas DC-3: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Douglas_DC-3

  31. Re:Safe to Fly! by peipas · · Score: 2, Funny

    Thanks to your comment I read the Wikipedia article in its entirety and the below excerpt is phenomenal:

    Despite the lack of time, [Captain Eric] Moody made an announcement to the passengers that has been described as "a masterpiece of understatement":

    Ladies and gentlemen, this is your captain speaking. We have a small problem. All four engines have stopped. We are doing our damnedest to get them under control. I trust you are not in too much distress.