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Rumor of Betelgeuse's Death Greatly Exaggerated

The Bad Astronomer writes "A rumor is spreading on the Net like wildfire that the red supergiant star Betelgeuse is about to explode in a supernova. This rumor is almost certainly not true. First, it's posted on a doomsday forum. Second, it's three times removed from the source, and is anonymous at each step. Third, the evidence is shaky at best. Plus, even if true, the supernova is too far away to hurt us. But other than that ..."

65 of 356 comments (clear)

  1. Of course it is. by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Betelgeuse. Betelgeuse. Betelgeuse.

    There he is right there.

    1. Re:Of course it is. by betelgeuse68 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I live.

    2. Re:Of course it is. by fishexe · · Score: 2, Funny

      Edelweiss is actually pronounced "Aydel-vice"

      Actually, it's pronounced "edel-weiss." Some of us are native German speakers, you insensitive clod!

      --
      "I don't care about the Constitution!" --Bill O'Reilly, November 17, 2009
  2. Who cares? by Locke2005 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If Betelgeuse goes supernova tomorrow, it will take 495 years for the light to reach us! Or are we arguing about whether or not it went supernova 495 years ago...

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    1. Re:Who cares? by HFXPro · · Score: 4, Informative

      No. For you it occurs tomorrow. Relativity is awesome.

      --
      Reserved Word.
    2. Re:Who cares? by mog007 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Betelgeuse isn't millions of light-years away from Earth. It's in our Galaxy, about 600 light years away.

    3. Re:Who cares? by Locke2005 · · Score: 4, Informative

      A supernova can only effect us if it is within 25 light years of us. Betelgeuse is much farther away than that; new estimates say 640 light years. At any rate, it is way beyond the point at which I give a flying fuck because it doesn't effect me one whit. However, it may be really upsetting to Zaphod Beeblebrox!

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    4. Re:Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      640 is the distance limit anyway. After all, why would light need to travel further than 640 LY?

    5. Re:Who cares? by owlstead · · Score: 5, Funny

      Vell, Zaphod's just zis guy, you know?

    6. Re:Who cares? by ducomputergeek · · Score: 3, Funny

      meh. Potato, potawto, it's all relative.

      --
      "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
    7. Re:Who cares? by oldspewey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      it is way beyond the point at which I give a flying fuck

      The reason you give a flying fuck is that an event like this (a supernova the brightness of the full moon lasting for weeks or months) will bring out all of people's craziest fears. For some span of time, society will operate in a significantly less rational way. So you want to do your best to figure out two things: how long will this period of irrational behaviour last, and will that irrational behaviour manifest in ways that affect me?

      --
      If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
    8. Re:Who cares? by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2, Informative

      Neutrinos were detected along with photons from the 1987 supernova. I expected that this would be the same, except closer and brighter.

    9. Re:Who cares? by __aasqbs9791 · · Score: 4, Funny

      With the crazies I have around me, who'd notice?

    10. Re:Who cares? by AmigaMMC · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Seriously... "about to" in astronomical terms could be a million years from now. By that reasoning I could say that a lot of stars in the universe are about to go Supernova. Same as saying "Yellowstone is about to erupt."

      Move on, slashdotters, once again there's nothing to see...

    11. Re:Who cares? by nitehawk214 · · Score: 4, Funny

      I don't think any neutrino detector can detect them. Not even IceCube.

      What about Dr Dre?

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    12. Re:Who cares? by volsung · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Super-Kamiokande would light up like Christmas from a supernova only 600 light years from Earth. (Hopefully they still have a trigger configured to save such data, despite being used now as a target for the T2K experiment.) Super-K is 10x larger than Kamiokande-II and Kamiokande-II was able to detect 11 events from a supernova that was 250x further away than Betelgeuse. Granted, not all supernova have the same intensity, but still, I think we'd have a pretty good view from here.

    13. Re:Who cares? by sconeu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I wonder if this supernova triggers the Great Collapsing Hrung Disaster?

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    14. Re:Who cares? by gyrogeerloose · · Score: 2, Funny

      it is way beyond the point at which I give a flying fuck because it doesn't effect me one whit. However, it may be really upsetting to Zaphod Beeblebrox

      Orion my be bothered by it as well. It is his right shoulder, after all.

      --
      This ain't rocket surgery.
    15. Re:Who cares? by dakameleon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Did anyone ever work out what a Hrung was?

      --
      Man who leaps off cliff jumps to conclusion.
    16. Re:Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      I don't think any neutrino detector can detect them. Not even IceCube.

      What about Dr Dre?

      Oh right! Forgot about Dre.

    17. Re:Who cares? by forand · · Score: 4, Informative

      Informative? Really? For the difference between 495 light years and 600 light years? Do I get modded 'informative' for correcting it to 640 ± 140 light years?

    18. Re:Who cares? by CptNerd · · Score: 2, Funny

      The ignorant think 2012 is scarier than global warming. I wish they could put it off its only been a handful of years since 2000.

      Well, 2012 is an election year...

      Don't people get sick of doomsdays?

      Flash! Plague of doomsday fears could cause humanity's extinction! Tabloid journalism at 11!"

      --
      By the taping of my glasses, something geeky this way passes
    19. Re:Who cares? by thePsychologist · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, 640 light years ought to be far enough for anyone!

      --
      "What lies behind us, and what lies before us are tiny matters compared to what lies within us." Ralph Waldo Emerson
    20. Re:Who cares? by BeardedChimp · · Score: 2, Funny

      640 light years is enough for anyone

    21. Re:Who cares? by ByteSlicer · · Score: 2, Informative

      In general relativity time is relative. Only causality (the order of events) is absolute. While GR breaks down on a quantum scale, that doesn't mean it's not correct (i.e. experiments match theory to a very high degree) on a macro scale. Time Dilation is a real, measurable effect. A quantum theory of everything would have behave like GR on macro scales for it to match our observations of the universe.

    22. Re:Who cares? by master_p · · Score: 2, Funny

      At warp 9, it would take about 144 days to reach Betelgeuse.

    23. Re:Who cares? by fyngyrz · · Score: 2, Funny

      Define "ago".

      Ago: One less than twogo.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  3. Seriously? by PingXao · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I mean, does this story warrant inclusion on slashdot? There are plenty of other places to go for bad rumors and conspiracy theories.

    1. Re:Seriously? by Locke2005 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Sure, but of all the places to go for bad rumors and conspiracy theories, slashdot is my favorite!

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    2. Re:Seriously? by squiggleslash · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yeah, and Slashdot is also a site that covers this kind of thing.

      Plus it beats yet another "Something has tenuous link with iPad"/"Someone wrote hype piece about iPad"/"iPadipadipadipadipad!" story.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    3. Re:Seriously? by interkin3tic · · Score: 2, Funny

      Slashdot is news for nerds. News affecting "Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy" qualifies. I mean, I'm guessing 90% of us have read some or all of the "trilogy." Also guessing that most of us, upon reading the title, thought "What about Ford Prefect now?"

    4. Re:Seriously? by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 2, Funny

      You're all going to be pissed, I saw a picture of a guy who saw an iPad and wrote a 1,000 word essay on the topic and submitted it.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    5. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Now we finally know what a collapsing hrung is.

    6. Re:Seriously? by sconeu · · Score: 3, Funny

      I heard a rumor about a slashdotter who saw a picture of a guy who saw an iPad. I submitted it as a story. kdawson promised me it would be front page tomorrow.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    7. Re:Seriously? by fishexe · · Score: 3, Funny

      Sure, but of all the places to go for bad rumors and conspiracy theories, slashdot is my favorite!

      I wonder if the other trashy news (+rumor) sites say "this was first reported on Slashdot, which means it's probably false."

      --
      "I don't care about the Constitution!" --Bill O'Reilly, November 17, 2009
  4. Doomsday forum by interkin3tic · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hmm... That's almost more interesting to me. Seems pretty odd to have a doomsday forum. If you think the world is ending soon, you're going to be online, chatting about it? Are the doomsday predictions spinning off to places other than Earth because doomsayers realized they're tired of being wrong and if they're right about predicting the earth's demise, they won't get any credit for it?

    1. Re:Doomsday forum by NecroPuppy · · Score: 2, Informative

      They have to have some place to share tips on the best places to buy seed vaults, share bunker plans, and learn the proper use of the crowbar vis-a-vis ventilation access.

      --
      I like you, Stuart. You're not like everyone else, here, at Slashdot.
    2. Re:Doomsday forum by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Hmm... That's almost more interesting to me. Seems pretty odd to have a doomsday forum. If you think the world is ending soon, you're going to be online, chatting about it?

      I take it no one has introduced you to Bash.org?

  5. News? by voodoosteve · · Score: 2, Informative

    What's new here? It's long been known that Betelgeuse is a massive post main sequence star and will explode as a supernova in the (astronomical) near future.

    1. Re:News? by shadowbearer · · Score: 3, Informative

        What's new is that the doomsday tomorrow nuts have something else to latch on to, since 2012 has been thoroughly debunked.

        Of course it is possible that it already has gone supernova, and that the light and hard gamma front will reach us tomorrow morning.

        Fortunately it's far enough away that the only people who are going to notice anything other than a bright light in the sky are gamma ray astronomers, and astronomers who work on supernova theory.

        It'll be a great day for astronomers when it does go, however, a supernova that close and that thoroughly studied will give us a lot of hard information on supernova. For example, IIRC Betelgeuse was the one of the first stars to actually have it's angular diameter measured (1921) and surface imaged using interferometry.

        I'm old enough to remember when they imaged it's surface, at the time it was an incredible achievement.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    2. Re:News? by voodoosteve · · Score: 2, Informative

      If Betelgeuse does go supernova, it will definitely be a naked eye object. For example, the Crab supernova was recorded by Chinese astronomers who noted a bright object in the sky during the day.

    3. Re:News? by blackraven14250 · · Score: 2, Funny

      2012 hasn't been thoroughly debunked. It's still 2010. Just wait 2 more years, then it'll be thoroughly debunked.

    4. Re:News? by Chris+Burke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ah yes, Chronomancy, the art of telling the future by waiting to see what happens.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  6. Reason four: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Nobody yet knows where the Hrung is, nor why it should choose to collapse on Betelgeuse Seven.

  7. Check for puppeteers by MichaelSmith · · Score: 4, Funny

    I don't see any Pierson's Puppeteers around. I think we should get out of here.

  8. I also heard... by Itninja · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...on very good authority that, in two weeks, Mars will appears as big as the MOON in the night sky!!

    I swear I have assuage my Mom's fear about that one every year. I would just send her to Snopes. But the copious pop-under ads, malware, etc. makes me think I would be causing more problems that I would solve.... "No Mom. You cannot make win a free XBox by punching that monkey...". But I digress.

    --
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  9. in other important astronomy news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    In other news, the M1 nebula is NOT... I repeat, *not* about to disappear.

    Bernard's Star is also NOT going nova this week. Probably not next week either.

    Also, do not panic. Neptune is quite stable in its orbit and is NOT about to collide with Jupiter, say astronomers. Repeat, it *will not* collide.

  10. Re:Ok, now by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2, Funny

    Anyone with a good telescope available?!

    The one thing I don't want to be doing if Betelgeuse goes supernova is looking at it with a telescope.

    (not with my remaining good eye that is).

  11. Our chances are slim by interval1066 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The Apocalypse, the Communist Conspiracy, The Mayan Calendar, Global Warming, Global Freezing, The Heat Death of the Universe, The Comet Calamity, Alien Invasion, The Super Bug, Al-Qaeda, The Neo Nazis, The Neocons, the Return of the Old Ones, Tesla's Super Weapon, The Collapse of the Dollar, The Collapse of the Universe... I don't quite get why we're still here. We should have been wiped out many times over.

    --
    Python: 'And then suddenly you have a language which says "we're all stuck with whatever the whiniest coder wants".'
    1. Re:Our chances are slim by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Oh come on, everyone knows the Mayan Calendar has been debunked.

    2. Re:Our chances are slim by vertinox · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because if anyone (or anything) is around to notice itself existing, it is safe to say conditions appear to allow their existence. Ergo, only those who who live in those conditions will be around questioning why would everything work out so nice for life when the universe appears quite hostile towards existence.

      See: Anthropic principle

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
  12. ugh by nomadic · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The blog writer complains that this rumor is "spreading like wildfire" but only cites to a single forum where the rumor apparently started. The blow writer then makes a snide comment about a "doomsday" forum, and then spends time with what appears to be an exasperated manner of speaking declaring that a supernova at that distance wouldn't cause any danger, only the original forum post never said it would--it basically saying how cool this would be to see. Why does it feel like a manufactured controversy? As best I can tell this anonymous forum poster may have been mistaken, but the reaction from the Discover blog is ridiculously out of proportion to that mistake.

    1. Re:ugh by amicusNYCL · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Probably because of statements like these:

      When it collapses, it will be at least as bright as the full moon, and maybe as bright as the sun. For six weeks. So the really lucky folks (for whom Betelgeuse is only visible at night) will get 24 hour days, everybody else will get at least some time with two suns in the sky. The extra hour of light from daylight savings time won't burn the crops, but this might.

      If this is really as bright as the sun (and no one is really sure; this is about the biggest star that's ever been recorded)...then all the other doom scenarios become small beer.....

      Hmm all this talk of 6 weeks of constant daylight and two suns in the sky from Betelgeuse which happens to be not far away at all from where google sky, wiki etc blacked out an area said to contain nibiru

      photons are photons and as bright as the sun would include as hot as the sun.

      Maybe it won't be as bad for people who are in the winter hemisphere. Or not. Geez. No part of the planet would be unaffected.

      Those were from page 1 of the forum thread. Not exactly a bastion of critical thinking.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    2. Re:ugh by John+Hasler · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > Why does it even need to be publicly debunked to this extent?

      I got the impression that "Bad Astronomer" had been receiving numerous emails about it.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
  13. Spreading like wildfire? by mmcxii · · Score: 4, Informative

    When I Googled "I was talking to my son last week (he works on Mauna Kea), and he mentioned some new observations" to see how far this had spread it came up with a glorious 5 hits. That's spreading like wildfire?

  14. Nice try by davidbrit2 · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...Betelgeuse is about to explode in a supernova. This rumor is almost certainly not true. First, it's posted on a doomsday forum. Second, it's three times removed...

    Nice try, but I'm not falling for that one.

  15. Re:What are the odds? by Max+Threshold · · Score: 4, Informative

    The average galaxy experiences a supernova roughly once every hundred years. Yes, we have seen some; there was one in a neighboring galaxy in 1987. What's really whack is that there are about 100 billion galaxies in the observable universe. Using the estimate of one supernova per galaxy per century, this works out to like thirty supernova every second! Shit's blowin' up like crazy!

  16. Short Story by lymond01 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Can't remember the author, but it goes like this:

    Amateur astronomers are out watching the sky for the rumored light from a star that had gone supernova thousands of years before. The supernova was predicted by astronomers as early as the middle ages. It was supposedly going to be very bright. Well, the sun rises early...or at least some brightly shining object. But one of the people corrects the questioner, stating that it is the hour of the moon's rising and it must be reflecting the light from the new star. Someone suggests that it seemed to be getting rather warm.

    Short of it is, this exploding star's light was several times more intense than even our Sun. In the short term it created massive weather effects -- tornados, typhoons, etc. But the air temperature in the first day of its arrival soared to over 200 degrees F - the oceans began to boil, it was unbearable to be outside. The people who survived until the first night -- when the air temperature dropped to somewhere over 130 F -- began pondering what life forms would carry on after this, because it wouldn't be humans.

    There was a similar something in the news last year -- light from an ancient supernova finally reaching Earth and it made me think of this story then too. Not sure what happened to that one.

  17. Yeah saw this one yesterday by AbRASiON · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The rumour was it will occur in the next few weeks, similar to SN 1054 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SN_1054

    [quote]SN 1054 (Crab Supernova) was a supernova that was widely seen on Earth in the year 1054. It was recorded by Chinese, Japanese, Native Americans, and Persian/Arab astronomers as being bright enough to see in daylight for 23 days and was visible in the night sky for 653 days.[1][2][3] The progenitor star was located in the Milky Way galaxy at a distance of 6,300 light years and exploded as a core-collapse supernova.[/quote]

  18. Re:Ok, now by Shag · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Anyone with a good telescope available?!

    Depends what you consider "good." If you're thinking of something in the $199-$15,999 price range, with an aperture of 4-16 inches (which should be plenty for just looking at a nearby supernova, then the 16" Meade or one of the 14" Celestrons where I stargaze should work.

    If, on the other hand, you're thinking more in the $3,000,000-$400,000,000 range, then I'd have to schlep all the way up to the general vicinity of work.

    But I'm relatively certain that even folks around work would be interested in looking at it. I think it'd be a Type II supernova, but I could ask if the Type Ia collaboration I'm in could look at it too... but unfortunately since it's pretty much up during the day this time of year, and "close to" the Sun in the sky, it'd be a hard target.

    --
    Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
  19. Why is it? by JoeGee · · Score: 5, Insightful

    People will take a phenomenon verified by hundreds of scientists in dozens of studies, global warming, and dismiss it because they got stuck in a snow drift. Then they'll turn around and forward an email that cites a brother's wife's uncle's cousin as breathless proof of impending calamity? I know the answer -- people are stupid. The question is purely rhetorical. :)

    --

    Get off my virtual lawn, you damned virtual kids!
    1. Re:Why is it? by John+Hasler · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Ever considered that it might not be the same people doing both?

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
  20. The real doomsday sign is the cubs wining it all! by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 3, Funny

    The real doomsday sign is the cubs wining it all!

  21. Sounds biblical? by domatic · · Score: 2, Funny

    Should I start looking for cats and dogs living together amidst mass hysteria?

  22. It isn't stupidity alone by aepervius · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Global warming affect them, and they know that if true, it could point back at their own excess, or force them to change their lifestyle. A big problem. Whereas beltegeuse exploding, it won't affect anybody, so they don't mind spreading the rumor as a joke. The one REALLY stupid which REALLY think that would affect them, would not be able to come with the idea anyway.

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