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Squeezing More Bandwidth Out of Fiber

EigenHombre writes "The New York Times reports on efforts underway to squeeze more bandwidth out of the fiber optic connections which form the backbone of the Internet. With traffic doubling every two years, the limits of current networks are getting close to saturating. The new technology from Lucent-Alcatel uses the polarization and phase of light (in addition to intensity) to double or quadruple current speeds."

185 comments

  1. Hmmm... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

    Well, we'll just have to hope that their competitors will implement the technology; because the odds of Alcatel doing a proper job are pretty much zero....

    1. Re:Hmmm... by hedwards · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or figure out a way of getting cyber criminals off the net. The problem for quite some time has been that they'll suck up as much bandwidth as they can get, and since they don't pay for it, there's little reason to actually throttle back their operations.

    2. Re:Hmmm... by nacturation · · Score: 4, Funny

      Or figure out a way of getting cyber criminals off the net. The problem for quite some time has been that they'll suck up as much bandwidth as they can get, and since they don't pay for it, there's little reason to actually throttle back their operations.

      Shut down The Pirate Bay? :)

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    3. Re:Hmmm... by John+Hasler · · Score: 0, Troll

      > Or figure out a way of getting cyber criminals off the net.

      Be serious. There's no hope of getting rid of Microsoft Windows in the forseeable future.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    4. Re:Hmmm... by T+Murphy · · Score: 3, Funny

      So when people go online, the ISP should pop up a EULA saying you can only use the internet for legal activity. Problem solved.

    5. Re:Hmmm... by John+Hasler · · Score: 4, Funny

      Or just get rid of network neutrality so that ISPs can filter packets with the evil bit set.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    6. Re:Hmmm... by garnser · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Actually talking with one of the major Tier 1 providers they only saw a 30% drop in total throughput over the first 24 hours after shutting down TPB, took about 1 month for it to recover. Youtube is probably a better candidate if we want to save some bandwidth http://www.wired.com/magazine/2010/08/ff_webrip/all/1 ;)

    7. Re:Hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ok...lets shut down the things that are making the internet and technology grow...that is a smart idea. While we are at it why don't we go back to using horses because there are too many cars in the world.

    8. Re:Hmmm... by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Hey! That's a good idea! Let's just shutdown the main reasons people are using high-speed internet technologies: streaming audio and video. And shutting down BitTorrent obviously wouldn't hurt.

      Then we'll party like it's 1997!

    9. Re:Hmmm... by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 2, Funny

      A couple of GBU-31s and an F-22 Raptor ought to fix that...

    10. Re:Hmmm... by bsDaemon · · Score: 0

      I'm sure you're being sarcastic, but I don't actually see the problem with that.

    11. Re:Hmmm... by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Aside from a total economic disaster, that is.

    12. Re:Hmmm... by Steeltoe · · Score: 0, Redundant

      You may be right.. I just installed Windows 7 on a server of mine..

    13. Re:Hmmm... by xda · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Instead of letting usage drive innovation we should just use less? that is the stupidest thing I have heard in a while, sorry.

      Let's stop and think what people are downloading via TPB... music, movies, media in general. if your gripe is that the legality of these file transfers is in question let's assume that in the near future everyone is downloading content legitimately. What then?

      You dumb asses are taking an interesting article about cutting edge network technology and ruining it with your stupid opinions about things that don't matter. The music and video is going to keep coming, legal or not.

    14. Re:Hmmm... by bsDaemon · · Score: 0, Troll

      I don't care about the legality. I just don't think that the content has added much of anything actually useful. Combine that with all the additional javascript libraries, cross-site scripting, remote includes and whatnot and the web just keeps getting more cluttered and slower. Increasing the bandwidth would just encourage more stupid shit to be put onto "the cloud" and cause the problem to continue to persist.

      Not to mention the fact that there is so much clutter now that finding actual information has become a chore. I'm about half way ready to just suck it up and buy my own JSTOR account to cut out the bullshit.

    15. Re:Hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I also think shutting down YouTube and TPB would be a good thing for the Internet. But where would it stop? Netflix, because people stream 12 hours of content per day? Bandwidth-heavy MMOs/multi-player video games? It's basically ban all or do nothing.

    16. Re:Hmmm... by flappinbooger · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Video on Demand is exhibited nicely now by the likes of Roku, Netflix and Hulu as well as in a lesser way the major networks who stream some programming online.

      Anyone who doesn't see VOD as the future is daft, the bandwidth must increase and broadband internet must get to the rural areas of the US.

      --
      Flappinbooger isn't my real name
    17. Re:Hmmm... by peragrin · · Score: 1

      with the evil bit set, does that mean no windows machines can use the internet?

      that would shut down 99.99999% of the botnets out there over night.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    18. Re:Hmmm... by nacturation · · Score: 1

      ok...lets shut down the things that are making the internet and technology grow...that is a smart idea. While we are at it why don't we go back to using horses because there are too many cars in the world.

      Dear obvious troll: I never suggested any such thing. My flippant comment about The Pirate Bay was a joke (I even included a smiley so dullards like you wouldn't miss it) and I'm not about to explain the joke for slow minds such as yours. I can just picture you rolling your eyes and foaming at the mouth as you typed that. Try not to take life so seriously next time, okay?

      There are many legitimate, fully legal uses of bandwidth that cause various internet technologies to grow that we don't need the internet equivalent of broken windows economics to spur growth. I know it must be terribly difficult for you to think reasonably about such matters, but do try. And put down the crack pipe. I know you're doing it only because of your desire to spur economic growth in the anti-narcotics industry, but quitting is the best thing for your health and sanity.

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    19. Re:Hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't care about the legality. I just don't think that the content has added much of anything actually useful.

      Why does it need to be useful? Maybe we should ban country drives with the family on Sunday because they aren't useful. Or stop selling ice cream because it has no nutritional value and therefor isn't useful. The problem lies in the mentality of the old dial-up companies that would install one modem for every 10 users. Then you ended up with days where you couldn't connect at all because the modem center couldn't handle the calls. The obvious solution would have been to add modems, but that would cost the ISP's money, causing them to have less of a profit (although they still made a profit), and we wouldn't want that, would we?

    20. Re:Hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      tl;dr: WHOOSH.

    21. Re:Hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      B.S. sites like the PB have added greatly to the spread of a world culture and allowed people to share cultural works (yes for as sorry as some modern movies and music are they are still part of our culture) that otherwise might be missed. When Internet music piracy hit the tubes, all of a sudden artists had a greater world audience, the same thing happened with movies and games. In fact, I'll argue that piracy was one of the chief influences that brought a lot of people to the Internet. Like the gold rush, people flocked to the Internet in the early 2000's to get free music and movies. Its funny how quick we forget that now that commercialization and the social network pass time are taking over.

      Funny how no one includes the thousands of commercial ads or the scripts used by Akamai, etc. to monitor our web usage - ever look at how many bytes of ads and monitoring stuff you download on every site visit? If anything the commercialization of the web is what's killing it and our bandwidth. Companies want to lessen competition and create infrastructure that will support their businesses not the public interests. That's alright, that is what a company is supposed to do - but this is why it shouldn't be up to companies to decide the rules for the web.

    22. Re:Hmmm... by Pseudonym+Authority · · Score: 1

      I just don't think that the content has added much of anything actually useful.

      But you see, no one cares about your opinion. Data usage will continue to go up, and you can't do shit about it.

      But suppose you could, how would you enforce it? Only allow certain people on the internet? Require prior approval for posting? Detail your plan please.

    23. Re:Hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      finding actual information on the internet has always been a chore.. there was a minute there where there weren't too many bs pages to sift through in a typical Google search.. but that was just a minute after you still had to check thirty seven different crawlers and bots to find anything you did not know the address to.

    24. Re:Hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, while you're at it, lets cut HTTP off. All we need is NNTP! Back to basics!

    25. Re:Hmmm... by espiesp · · Score: 2, Funny

      I just don't think that the content has added much of anything actually useful.

      Riiiiight. And this post is SOOO useful. Time to get off your high horse and shovel some manure.

    26. Re:Hmmm... by eugene2k · · Score: 1

      That would make microsoft.com unreachable.

      --
      Apple has "Mac vs PC", Microsoft has "Laptop Hunters", Linux has recession
    27. Re:Hmmm... by soundguy · · Score: 1

      Increasing the bandwidth would just encourage more stupid shit to be put onto "the cloud" and cause the problem to continue to persist.

      Fortunately, YOU don't get to decide for the rest of us what is "stupid shit" and what is not. According to many people, your post is stupid shit, along with virtually everything else on the internet except lolcats. (or discussions about particle physics, or star trek, or quilting, or nascar, or...)

      --
      Nothing worthwhile ever happens before noon
    28. Re:Hmmm... by ZDRuX · · Score: 1

      Can you enlighten us as to how one may aquire copius ammounts of bandwidth without paying it?! Criminals are one thing, but I can't think of a single scenario where a criminal can use bandwidth yet NOBODY pays for it. Perhaps he piggy-backs on someone else's connection, but that connection is STILL BEING PAID FOR by some poor smuch somewhere.

      --
      The magical number is: 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    29. Re:Hmmm... by nametaken · · Score: 1

      only saw a 30% drop in total throughput over the first 24 hours after shutting down TPB

      Wow... 30%? For only one (admittedly extremely popular) torrent site, that seems like a hell of a lot. I guess that explains why ISP's want to block torrent traffic so badly.

    30. Re:Hmmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ok...lets shut down the things that are making the internet and technology grow...that is a smart idea. While we are at it why don't we go back to using horses because there are too many cars in the world.

      Right, because The Pirate Bay makes the internet grow. Wow, such insight. Have you considered suicide?

      Have you considered taking your sister's penis out of your mouth once in awhile?

    31. Re:Hmmm... by foniksonik · · Score: 1

      The Internet is not your personal research tool. It isn't there for your convenience. If research papers, etc are of significant importance to your job - you *should* have a JSTOR account.

      --
      A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
    32. Re:Hmmm... by darkpixel2k · · Score: 1

      Aside from a total economic disaster, that is.

      Don't you mean "Aside from an even totaler economic disaster"? Or did we shut down Youtube and The Pirate Bay in 2009?

      --
      There's no place like ::1 (I've completed my transition to IPv6)
    33. Re:Hmmm... by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      They don't pay for it so they don't have a reason to lower the usage.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    34. Re:Hmmm... by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      Oh, and as a follow up to that, let's mandate driving less (with a 3 strikes you're out policy):

      No driving just to get to Bingo
      Or bowling.
      No driving to a movie. That's just frivolous.
      No driving for visual chats with friends.
      And if you commit any misdemeanors while after driving someplace, we'll take away your license.

      People are always thinking of ways to waste highway capacity.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    35. Re:Hmmm... by hairyfeet · · Score: 2, Interesting

      you joke but that IS the future the duopolies are planning on, they just call it "bandwidth caps". I live in one of the "test markets" for bandwidth caps (and from what I understand the "test" is seeing how much they'll need to pay to minimize bad PR) and you are looking at about 36Gb for residential users and 75Gb for business. Anything over is $1.50! a fricking GB. so yeah, enjoy those videos while you can, because it is coming my friend, and it is gonna suck. Just one more way our "corporation yay!" attitude is gonna have us fall behind the rest of the planet.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    36. Re:Hmmm... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Actually I'd argue (although not the AC, as I hate ACs and think one should stand by your words) that your "legit content" IS the broken windows economics, not the other. The whole point of the copyright system as it was envisioned here in the USA was to encourage the creation of more works for a larger public domain by giving artists an incentive to actually work not to give media companies a way to lock our culture and history behind a paywall.

      Everything has a cost, and I'd argue that thanks to the Internet making it easier than ever before to sell your product the time a work should be copyrighted should be even less than the original 25 years. If we had sane copyrights of say 15 years on media and 7 years on software the amount of content we'd have in our public domain would give artists tons of media to come up with new ideas and innovations, as well as giving the public a rich back catalog that current artists would have to bring their A game to compete against. Instead more and more of our history is being locked behind paywalls where many simply can't afford to enjoy but a tiny fraction of it. How much would it cost to legally fill an iPod, something like $40,000? If it wasn't for places like TPB the biggest flash drives and PMPs would probably be 2Gb, probably 200Gb with HDDs as most wouldn't need anywhere near a Tb of storage if all there was was "legit" content.

      As for TFA, those of us on bandwidth caps (which BTW are being "tested" before being rolled out nationally from what I was told) I'd like to say "Yes please"! Like RAM and HDD space and Dakka you need Moar, no exceptions. The only question in MY mind is whether we the end users will actually get to enjoy any of it, or if we will all end up capped like I am currently (36Gb for cable sucks!) and this will be used instead by corps like Google to feed Youtube videos from the main branch to the servers at the local ISP level. Personally I'd be happy as a clam if we could get 100Mb pipes like they have in Asia cheap, but the way we have been "corporation yay!" for so long in this country I wouldn't be surprised if they STILL screw us with caps and crazy overuse fees and just use the bandwidth to increase profits and lock in.

      Oh and slightly OT but Linux guys are gonna fucking HATE IT if they get capped, because with every distro hosting their own repos Linux updates COUNT against your cap, whereas since MSFT Updates all come from the same address range they DON'T. Hell the ISPs can cut down bandwidth even further by simply setting up a local WSUS server and feeding updates from there. It might be time to look into a central repo for ALL distros that simply does some sort of OSID check, along with an easy way to run a Linux repo server alongside or even better on the same server where WSUS resides. Just FYI in case caps end up being rolled out nationwide, which looks like it will be more and more likely.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    37. Re:Hmmm... by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      For 99% of population these add tremendous value. Maybe you prefer the old way of doing things, considered going to library much? Most prefer their content now, immediately. And there's plenty of ways to find it, and immediately without chores. I recommend you learn these basic internet use skills.

      Let's pick a simple search for network admins, let's assume you've accustomed to only unmanaged switches so far, or if managed some wierd brand or legacy HW. Now you got some sweet new cisco routers and need to learn howto create VLANs to segment the flow of traffic, search "howto setup cisco vlan" in Youtube results in 81 matches. For CCNA which is Cisco training there was 3 870 videos. On other note, let's assume you are new to coding, and want to compile windows programs under linux, found that too from youtube.

      So, the learning curve will raise for those who might be tomorrow's lead network designers and coders.

      Before you say "we don't need youtube kiddiez to do the work of professionals!", you might look at current or past generations, how did they get started ...

    38. Re:Hmmm... by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      wow, 75Gb is so tiny! A busy day i might consume that much :O

      Nevermind that our server cluster does that in oh .. i dunno, about every 5minutes, probably less.

    39. Re:Hmmm... by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 1

      Anyone who doesn't see VOD as the future is daft, the bandwidth must increase and broadband internet must get to everyone.

      Not sure what's so special about the rural US, but rural UK, rural France, rural Germany, in fact pretty much everywhere outside of major metropolitan areas could do with broadband internet too.

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    40. Re:Hmmm... by nacturation · · Score: 1

      Actually I'd argue (although not the AC, as I hate ACs and think one should stand by your words) that your "legit content" IS the broken windows economics, not the other. The whole point of the copyright system as it was envisioned here in the USA was to encourage the creation of more works for a larger public domain by giving artists an incentive to actually work not to give media companies a way to lock our culture and history behind a paywall.

      I agree that current copyright terms are too long and a more reasonable length should be imposed. However, it's not currently legal to download any movie you want at will. The solution is to either get the law changed or to encourage people to download legal material, rather than condoning copyright infringement simply because it has a side effect of causing growth of various internet technologies.

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    41. Re:Hmmm... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Won't work, and here is why: let us say for the sake of argument everyone does EXACTLY as you suggest, nobody downloads copyrighted anything and refuses to buy from the cartels, causing their sales to fall like a lead balloon. You know what happens the very next week after that? They waltz into congress with a PPT showing their declining profits and say "Nobody is buying our wonderful product, so it MUST be teh evil piratez! We DEMAND a 1 strike Internet kill switch AND a 30% tax on ALL hard drives and blanks!" and you know what? Thanks to big fat checks they'd get it to.

      This is why you can't legally fight a cartel because they simply buy the laws and stack them against you. It would be like your HS football team going against the Broncos, and then just to make sure you have NO chance they pay off the refs. If you will look at our recent history there hasn't been a pro consumer law passed in fricking decades. The will of the people have long since been ignored because you have only two parties that are equally corrupt, so voting is like Coke VS Pepsi. If the people had ANY say pot would have been legal probably 20 years ago and copyrights would still be at 25 years, but that is what bribery gets you.

      So I'm sorry, but unless your last name is Gates and you have a billion or so to hand out in big fat checks then there is NO way to "get the law changed" because no matter who you elect the cartels will be waiting with a big fat check. Try writing your congressman or getting a grass roots change to copyright started, see how far it gets you. Since they also own the media outlets good luck ever getting anyone to even know you exist. That is the fundamental problem with allowing so much to end up in the hands of so few. Power corrupts, it distorts markets, it rigs laws. And money is power, they have it and YOU don't.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    42. Re:Hmmm... by nacturation · · Score: 1

      let us say for the sake of argument everyone does EXACTLY as you suggest, nobody downloads copyrighted anything and refuses to buy from the cartels

      Now you're making assumptions. I never suggested refusing to buy anything. Even if copyright were slashed to the 15 year term you suggest, few people are going to wait 15 years to see movies they want to see.

      If you enjoy the entertainment that companies put out then buy it, where "buy" can be: paying to see a showing in a theater, paying to rent the video, or paying for the DVD (I know... with the contents that are licensed to you, spare me the lecture). If you don't enjoy it or don't like the terms on which it's offered then don't waste your time with it.

      If you really care that much, try and get the laws changed or (if that's as futile as you suggest) make your own movies and put them in the public domain after a time you believe to be reasonable and/or convince others to do so with their movies. The law can't stop you from saying "I spent $50 million of my own money making this movie and you're free to do whatever you want with it" just as it can't stop Linus Torvalds from collaborating with others to build and give away an operating system. Why not show some balls and put your money where your mouth is? Otherwise you just sound like someone who wants a free lunch.

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    43. Re:Hmmm... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Or you could just do as what many are doing and refuse to follow laws not written for the people but paid for by treasonous bribery. Do you even KNOW WHY copyrights were originally created? Or are you so "corporation yay!" anything that increases profit projections must be good, the will of the people be damned? Copyrights were created so the people would have a greater public domain by giving artists an incentive to work. Now not only are we NOT getting a greater public domain, that very same domain is being ripped away from us, with courts pulling things OUT to give back to the mega corps. WTF?

      If everyone refuses to obey a law it ceases to become effective. look at pot, for years the establishment has pushed their lies and crazy pot laws (while getting big checks from alcohol and tobacco lobbyists) and what did the people do? Ignored it. Now they are finally seeing that laws that nobody obeys are useless laws and it looks like CA will be the first legal state, may many more follow. The way you "win" when someone rigs the game is to simply refuse to play. We have seen everyone from economists to Lessig in congress arguing why insane copyrights are bad, but they simply don't care. The amount of payola they receive is all that matters to them. But until We, The People, actually get a seat at the bargaining table I argue that all should only respect the original copyright laws which were the last ones written for the people in mind. That gives you all the great movies of the 50s-70s, Star wars and ST:TOS, tons of great content that should already belong to you and me as part of our public domain.

      But don't accuse me of "just wanting a free ride" just because you want to suck the corporate penis. The original laws gave artists (which sadly have been buttfucked by the corporations. Ever seen the "standard" recording contract? I have, and it is a joke. They rob the artist blind. Even Metallica gets only 80c an album for a $22+ CD) a quarter of a century to profit from their works. It was designed to give an artist a reason TO CREATE, not give multinationals a way to guarantee profits from back catalogs. If you want to kiss the corporate booty go right ahead, nobody is stopping you. But from the looks of the numbers the vast majority of Americans don't follow your views.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    44. Re:Hmmm... by nacturation · · Score: 1

      Or you could just do as what many are doing and refuse to follow laws not written for the people but paid for by treasonous bribery.

      Right. Because everybody who downloads Minority Report from The Pirate Bay does so for ideological reasons. "Stick it to the corporations! I'm going to punish myself by sitting down and watching their filth that I'm ideologically opposed to... and I'm not going to pay for it! That'll teach those fuckers for only paying Tom Cruise $25,000,000 for Minority Report!"

      Next I suspect you'll claim that punks who sneak into the theaters without paying are doing so as a form of social protest and that statues should be erected in their honor and placed right next to Rosa Parks?

      But don't accuse me of "just wanting a free ride" just because you want to suck the corporate penis.

      Hahaha... that's a good one. So how many creative works have you authored and released into the public domain, tough guy?

      Ever seen the "standard" recording contract? I have, and it is a joke. They rob the artist blind.

      Yet aspiring artists willingly sign these contracts. Perhaps artists enjoy getting their bottoms stuffed more than you give them credit for. Have you explored the possibility that this is the source of your rage? That your poop chute isn't getting equal attention?

      If you want to kiss the corporate booty go right ahead, nobody is stopping you.

      Oh I see. Paying for entertainment is kissing the corporate booty. That's awesome. I'll remember that next time I go to a movie with some friends. I'll think about you, sitting there in your mother's basement all alone and angry... and then I'll laugh.

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    45. Re:Hmmm... by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

      oh...boy....here is one for you...
      You buy a car, and all of a sudden after 1 year, your wheel seems to be bent inwards thereby dragging down your gas mileage to be really bad.
      You do not solve the problem by turning only left, thinking it will avoid your right wheel to interfere with your gas mileage....you get it fixed...but in this case, the ISP is what needs to get fixed, not your computer....although having been infected would also tend to point towards you getting your sorry crappy box, still running a non legit windows, without all the patches, or any AV running on it, with a badly configured router to boot to be at fault.

      No, saying that remove youtube from net to save on bandwidth, when 80% of traffic is spam, does not make sense. The proper thing to do, is come up with an ingenious way of spotting the spam at each nodes that sends pins on the backbone, and drop those packets immediately....that would save on useless pings and packets right away.

      Unfortunately, hackers are becoming better and better, they know most servers will filter and catch the most spam, so they tend to instead get your computer to be infected with malware...using links, so that when you get a real looking email, that bypasses the filter because it is not saying much in terms of selling viagra etc....you open it, and click the link, which takes you to an infected website, and downloads a malware, which THEN will do most of the spamming damage...downloading backddoors, and viruses and rootkits...

      Unfortunately, not enough people know the steps that an attack are made up of, and think if I don't click on the email attachment, i can do everything else....not in the real world, Sammy!...

      But this is common sense, no?

  2. Ahh, the old Star Trek maneuver by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Reverse the polarity! Phase variance!

  3. what about color by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    add color, use 256 identifiable colors then send those, send bytes instead of bits.

    1. Re:what about color by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Stop the presses! An anonymous poster on the internet came up with an idea that has baffled teams of physicists for decades!

    2. Re:what about color by JDeane · · Score: 4, Informative

      In a way they already do this the different wave lengths are used in something called multiplexing, they can cram a lot of completely different signals down the same pipe at the same time with this technique.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiplexing

      That link probably explains it much better then I can.

      Also they do not send bits, they send more then bytes, they send packets, or entire frames.

    3. Re:what about color by Soft · · Score: 5, Informative

      add color, use 256 identifiable colors then send those, send bytes instead of bits.

      Already being done; TFA mentions this (for "wavelength" read "color", as the light that is being used is in the infrared).

      What limits the number of wavelengths in a single fiber is the bandwidth of the amplifiers: optical fibers slightly absorb light, and current long-haul links require reamplification ca. every 100km. This is done using EDFAs (erbium-doped fiber amplifiers), which work for wavelengths in the 1530-1560nm range (the "C band"; visible light is in the 400-800nm range). Adding wavelengths outside this band would require redeploying new amplifiers along the fiber, which would be expensive; besides, other types of amplifiers aren't quite as mature as EDFAs, and you would need more of them because the fiber attenuates more outside this window.

      You could also try to squeeze these wavelengths tighter, to put more of them within the C band, but they are already packed at 0.4-nm intervals, corresponding to a 50-GHz frequency interval, which holds a 10- or 12.5-Gbit/s signal with little margin, as long as conventional optical techniques are used--that is, switching the light on or off for each bit.

      There remains the possibility of using smarter ways of modulating the light, using its phase and polarization, to pack e.g. 100Gbit/s in a 50-GHz bandwidth; and that's what Alcatel are doing. They are not the only ones, of course, the field of "coherent optical transmissions" has been a hot topic in the past couple of years. Now commercial solutions are getting into the field.

      Note that these techniques are already widely used in radio and DSL systems, and had been proposed for optical systems back in the 1980s, before EDFAs essentially solved the attenuation problem. Now, however, we have again reached a bandwidth limit and have to turn back to coherent transmission. In the 1980s, that meant complicated hardware at the receivers, impossible to deploy outside the labs; now all the complicated stuff can be done with DSP in software. Radio and DSL already do this, but only at a few tens of Gbit/s; doing it at 100Gbit/s for optics is more challenging, and is just now becoming possible.

    4. Re:what about color by amirulbahr · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, they're using the wavelength aspect of light there.

      An electromagnetic waveform can be represented mathematecally as a function of time: s(t) = A * cos(wt + p)

      Amplitude (A), or the intensity of light was always used to represent the on/off states.

      Wavelength (related to w), or the 'colour' of the light is used in wavelength multiplexing. You just inject multiple signals at different wavelengths and filter them out into the different signals at the receiver.

      Phase (p), or the starting position of the wave if you like, you can imagine left or right shifting a sine wave, is another aspect of a wave that can carry information. Phase Shift Keying (PSK) is already used in many radio frequency digital modulation schemes. Not sure how this method could be used to increase bandwidth through modulation though. Probably worth reading the paper.

      Note, I've represented a very basic two dimensional wave here. Of course polarisation or the way a 3-D wave is aligned is another aspect that may be used to encode information. For multiplexing, I imaging the idea is to have multiple waves at the same wavelength but with different polarisations. You would then need to be able to filter out particular polarisations at the receiver.

      As a side note, the second paragraph of the article says something about not being able to make light go any faster beyond a barrier to increased bandwidth. It in fact has no bearing on it. Even if the on/off effect along kilometres of fibre was instantaneous, you would still have to deal with noise and attenuation in the channel.

    5. Re:what about color by ogl_codemonkey · · Score: 1

      Different wavelengths follow different paths down the fibre and will arrive with different latency and distortion; so multiple wavelengths carry concurrent frames, rather than concurrent bits; but yeah, pretty much.

      Also, no production DSP will pull phase information out of optical frequencies; to do so reliably requires a sample rate of at least 4x the frequency, so your 1530nm signal would need to be sampled and processed at around 800,000 GHz (yes, the best part of 1 PHz. Per-channel). Good luck with that.

    6. Re:what about color by Soft · · Score: 1

      Different wavelengths follow different paths down the fibre and will arrive with different latency and distortion; so multiple wavelengths carry concurrent frames, rather than concurrent bits;

      Well, yes. There are "wavelength-striped" systems in laboratories, but only for short-distance links AFAICT.

      Also, no production DSP will pull phase information out of optical frequencies; to do so reliably requires a sample rate of at least 4x the frequency, so your 1530nm signal would need to be sampled and processed at around 800,000 GHz (yes, the best part of 1 PHz. Per-channel). Good luck with that.

      Electronics won't do for this, photonics to the rescue! :-) In fact, coherent optical systems have a "local oscillator" in the receiver, a bit like radio tuners: the received signal interferes with an unmodulated laser with an optical frequency more or less equal to that of the signal. The result is base-band, thus you only have to sample at a few times the symbol rate, i.e. a few tens of Gsamples/s. (At least 2x to satisfy the Nyquist criterion; lab equipment usually provides for 2.5x; why did you suggest 4x?)

    7. Re:what about color by ogl_codemonkey · · Score: 1

      Photonics to the rescue indeed; but I thought wave-synchronised light sources at this distance would be considered part of the lab-experiment grade equipment this was said to be doable without.

      Not sure where I got 4x from; been years since I did RF theory (GSM was the big news at the time...), but 2.5x makes sense now.

      Still, the more I think about it the more I'm impressed that it works at all at those speeds.

    8. Re:what about color by Soft · · Score: 1

      Photonics to the rescue indeed; but I thought wave-synchronised light sources at this distance would be considered part of the lab-experiment grade equipment this was said to be doable without.

      Right, and this was the big problem with coherent when it was first proposed for optical systems back in the 1980s.

      Now, you just ensure that the local oscillator is within a few tens or hundreds of MHz of the signal carrier, which is not too difficult. A residual phase drift of several hundred Mrad/s sounds high, but compared to a few tens of Gbauds symbol rate, it is not that much and can be compensated in software.

    9. Re:what about color by ogl_codemonkey · · Score: 1

      Aww, sounds like the network guys are getting all the cool equipment these days.

      Just imagine all the chicks you could get with a wave coherent oscillator...

    10. Re:what about color by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      psst. don't tell others about this secret, but a byte consist of 8 bits ;) and that different colors are being used already (called wavelength frequencys) for oh about atleast 10years?

    11. Re:what about color by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      Uhm, yes they do send bits. It's the upper layers which send packets, but on hardware layer it's 1 bit at a time, or with the technique summarized 4 bits at a time (time slot).

      In simplest term, you cannot somehow make single signal contain thousands of signals.

      1 byte consist of 8 bits, and a packet consists of N bytes (upto 65536 total afaik per packet, headers take 29 bytes if i recall correctly). On a single timeslot they can squeeze in now 4 bits or half a byte, which is quite a bit!

    12. Re:what about color by amirulbahr · · Score: 1

      What limits the number of wavelengths in a single fiber is the bandwidth of the amplifiers

      What about producing the light at the different wavelengths? Is it easy to get a laser to produce light at a specified wavelength? Also, what is the current state of optical mixing? Do they just use a single wavelength source laser and mix up and down to the desired wavelength?

      I know I should go read, but, well, you seem knowledgeable and I sucked at photonics.

  4. If you squeeze glass it flows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    If you pump too much data into a fiber optic glass, it will begin to flow under the photonic pressure similar to glass in old church windows. If you look at them, the bottoms are much thicker than at the top. The reason? All that knowledge from God in Heaven up in the sky exerts a downward pressure on churches in particular warping their window glass... the same thing will happen to fiber optics. If you put too many libraries of congress through it, it will start to flow like toothpaste and your computer rooms will have a sticky floor and all your network switches will be gooey.

    Thanks
    Signed,
    Mr KnowItAll.
    (Happy Thanksgiving by the way)

    1. Re:If you squeeze glass it flows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My Materials class in 1972 was very clear, Glass at normal temperatures can be classified as a liquid.
      ergo, over time it moves. This Medieval glass is considerably thicker at the bottom than the top.

      Talk about the bleeding obvious........... sigh.

    2. Re:If you squeeze glass it flows by Steeltoe · · Score: 1

      It's Thanksgiving?

      Agggh, smartass!

    3. Re:If you squeeze glass it flows by chtit_draco · · Score: 2, Insightful

      My Materials class in 1972 was very clear, Glass at normal temperatures can be classified as a liquid. ergo, over time it moves. This Medieval glass is considerably thicker at the bottom than the top.

      Talk about the bleeding obvious........... sigh.

      This Medieval glass is thicker at the bottom because of its fabrication process. Theoretically it should indeed "flow", but the relaxation time is just way too long for it to become noticeable in a matter of centuries...

      Source : 2008 polymer class / http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glass#Behavior_of_antique_glass

    4. Re:If you squeeze glass it flows by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Glass at normal temperatures can be classified as a liquid

      That's really just a metaphor to describe such a disordered solid in simple terms, and you've pushed the metaphor too far. It is not going to flow until it gets hot enough.

    5. Re:If you squeeze glass it flows by Belial6 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Damn! Don't tell people that. I've been telling them that the reason that the windows in my house "flow" sideways is because the conservatives that live to the left of me are so dense, and the liberals that live to the right of me are so vacuous that it creates a sideways gravitational pull that makes my windows flow sideways.

  5. Wtf are constants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why don't we just make the speed of light faster?

    1. Re:Wtf are constants? by Mitchell314 · · Score: 2, Funny

      We could if we had the source code files.

      --
      I read TFA and all I got was this lousy cookie
    2. Re:Wtf are constants? by ls671 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      FTFS: > to double or quadruple current speeds.

      Of course, they must have been talking about capacity instead of speed. Sending more information concurrently using the same pipe. Every bit of information would still travel at pretty much the same speed obviously.

      --
      Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
    3. Re:Wtf are constants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But recompiling the universe takes forever...

    4. Re:Wtf are constants? by Idbar · · Score: 1

      Well, if all they want is to squeeze the fibers, why not using bigger and stronger wire ties?

    5. Re:Wtf are constants? by srussia · · Score: 1

      FTFS: > to double or quadruple current speeds.

      Of course, they must have been talking about capacity instead of speed. Sending more information concurrently using the same pipe. Every bit of information would still travel at pretty much the same speed obviously.

      "Capacity" is still a polysemous term. I could be a static magnitude (a "stock") or a a dynamic one (a "flow"),. For example "1 LoC" can be a unit of capacity. Maybe "throughput" is what they mean, whose unit could be "1 LoC per second".

      --
      Set your phasers on "funky"!
    6. Re:Wtf are constants? by ls671 · · Score: 1

      OK then, to be more specific: Network bandwidth capacity.

      I just thought the "Network bandwidth" part was implicit.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bandwidth_(computing)#Network_bandwidth_capacity

      --
      Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
    7. Re:Wtf are constants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Simple. Change the gravitational constant of the universe." -Q

    8. Re:Wtf are constants? by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      Yeah, damn proprietary code! We got to reverse engineer *everything*

    9. Re:Wtf are constants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Every bit of information would still travel at pretty much the same speed obviously.

      Thats not true don't you know they are going to raise the speed of light. That will get around all of those pesky relativistic limits.

  6. Mod parent up. Re:If you squeeze glass it flows by thomasdz · · Score: 1

    Mod parent up! it's so unlikely, it MUST be true.

    --
    Karma: Excellent. 15 moderator points expire sometime.
  7. Dark Fiber by mehrotra.akash · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Isnt some large percentage of the fiber not being used anyways? Rather than change the equipment on the current fiber, why not use more of the current equipment, and light up more fiber?

    1. Re:Dark Fiber by John+Hasler · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because the dark fiber is where it is, not where it is needed. One of the fibers that crosses my land runs from Spring Valley, Wisconsin to Elmwood, Wisconsin. Is that going to help with a bandwidth shortage between New York and Chicago?

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    2. Re:Dark Fiber by oldspewey · · Score: 1

      You know I've read that about Spring Valley Wisconsin: Blink and you'll miss the packet coming through.

      --
      If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
    3. Re:Dark Fiber by phantomcircuit · · Score: 4, Informative

      The shortage is almost entirely in the transcontinental links.

    4. Re:Dark Fiber by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Speaking as someone involved in all of this, the days of dark fiber have, by and large, gone away. Back in 2002/2003 there had been massive amounts of overbuilding due to the machinations of MCI and Enron, no joke. Telco's world wide had been looking at MCI and Enron's sales numbers, vouched for by Arthur Anderson, and had launched big builds of their own, figuring that they were going to get a piece of that pie as well. When the ball dropped and it turned out that MCI and Enron had been lying with the collusion of Arthur Anderson, the big telco's realized that the purported traffic wasn't there. They dried up capex (which killed off a number of telecom equipment suppliers and gave the rest a near-death experience) and hawked dark fiber to anybody who would bite.

      Those days have come and gone. Think back to what it was like in 2002: Lots of us now have 10 Mb/s connections to the ISP, 3G phones, 4G phones, IPODs, IPADs, IPhones, Androids, IPTV, and it goes on and on. The core networks aren't crunched, quite, yet, but the growth this time is for real and has used up most if not all of the old dark fiber.

      Now telco's are going for more capacity, really, and it's a lot cheaper to put 88 channels of 100 Gb/s light on a existing single fiber than to fire up the ditch diggers. If you're working in the area, it's becoming fun again!

    5. Re:Dark Fiber by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah but what happens when the in'ernets are attacked and we have to download all the countries files to one central backup location that nobody knows about?

      Die Hard 4.0 would never have happened the way it did if half the USA was watching Stalking Cat ...i'm not sure if that is a good or bad thing.

    6. Re:Dark Fiber by davester666 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I just read that somebody laid some more fibre across the Atlantic. Oh, wait, that is reserved for insider stock market trading, as it has slightly less delay than existing fibre.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    7. Re:Dark Fiber by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lots of us here in the developed world actually have 100/100, 200 or even 1000/100 megabit home connectivity. The good part about these is that 90% of consumers who have gotten these don't get even close to fifty megabits, even for a percent of the time. Otherwise, both local and backhaul operators would be doomed...

    8. Re:Dark Fiber by xda · · Score: 1

      Ciena's 100Gb/s per 88 channel DWDM doesn't work on long haul, only MAN last time I checked

    9. Re:Dark Fiber by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Correction: High Frequency Trading, not insider stock market trading. Just as nefarious, but with a prettier name.

    10. Re:Dark Fiber by jabuzz · · Score: 1

      Right so seven years ago lots of fibre was put in, and initially it was not all used, and now it is. Hum given that the a fibre link has a lifetime greater than seven years any notion of overbuilding has in fact proved to be a load of rubbish.

      In fact I could argue that given that as it is now almost all being used that far from massive over building of capacity, there was in fact massive under building of capacity.

    11. Re:Dark Fiber by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone has to go down to the basement and turn on a switch, what do you think we are made of money?....we only had 300% profits last quarter sheeeshh!

      It's just like any other utility, they don't want to increase the available bandwidth unless they can figure out a way to charge you more for it. So they will cry and whine, until someone like FIOS or any number of little local providers that will offer 10x the bandwidth at the same or lower price just to steal market share.

      I'm going to laugh when some spin off from one of the many DARPA self creating network projects goes commercial and then connecting to the public "net" will be nothing more than putting a wireless router antenna on your roof that costs nothing more than the electricity to run the router.

    12. Re:Dark Fiber by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      The money could have been used for something useful in the mean time. Excessive backup capacity is expensive, even without maintenance cost. They could have invested the money into research, for example. The fibers that would have been laid a couple of years later would have been cheaper and better.
      The is also a more perceptive cost. I do not know if it's the case now, but executives tend to hold on building new capacity if there was even the perception of massive overcapacity in the past. This may cause the reverse effect: the plans for the lines will be made when the lines should have been in place already.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    13. Re:Dark Fiber by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      This is, in my opinion, why the optical networking industry crashed a few years ago. There are massive amounts of dark fiber along nearly every backbone connection (as the material costs of the fiber are far less than the costs of laying the fiber), and there wasn't enough last-mile capacity to keep all these super-backbones full.

      As the gap between the backbone and the last mile increased, it became harder and harder to sell these new "omg-crazy-bandwidth-over-a-single-fiber" solutions.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
  8. Close to Shannon limit by s52d · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Assuming we have 5 THz of usable bandwith (limited by todays fiber and optical amplifiers),
    and applying some technology known from radio for quite some time:

    Advanced modulation (1024 QAM): 10 bits/sec
    Polarization diversity (or mimo 2*2) by 2

    So, 100 Tbit/sec is approximate reasonable limit for one fiber.
    There is some minor work to transfer technology from experimental labs to the field,
    but this is just matter of time.

    Wavelength mupltiplexing just make things a bit simpler:
    Instead of one pair of A/D converters doing 100 Tbit/sec, we might use 1000 of them doing 100 Gbit/sec.

    In 2010, speed above 60 Tbit/sec was already demonstrated in the lab.

    Eh, will we say soon: "Life is too short to surf using 1 Gbit/sec"?

    1. Re:Close to Shannon limit by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      Won't increasing the number of bits per symbol as you suggest require a higher SNR, thus meaning amplifiers have to be more closely spaced? Given the desire is to get more out of the existing infrastructure, that might be a problem.

    2. Re:Close to Shannon limit by DigitAl56K · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Eh, will we say soon: "Life is too short to surf using 1 Gbit/sec"?

      Seriously... damn Flash websites...

    3. Re:Close to Shannon limit by Soft · · Score: 1

      Won't increasing the number of bits per symbol as you suggest require a higher SNR, thus meaning amplifiers have to be more closely spaced?

      Good point. And even having closely-spaced amplifiers may not work, as optical amplifiers have fundamental limitations in terms of noise added (OSNR actually decreases by at least 3dB for each high-gain amplifier).

      At least, that's for classical on-off keying (1 bit per symbol, using light intensity only). Coherent transmission might not have the same limit; I'd have to check the calculation to be sure. And you might be able to do something with "distributed" amplification, where instead of having localized amplifiers, you pump energy into the fiber so that it attenuates less. (E.g. use the Raman effect: light at a wavelength of 1550nm can be amplified in a silica fiber by sending another, stronger, beam of light at about 1450nm. But there's still some noise added.)

    4. Re:Close to Shannon limit by Idiomatick · · Score: 1

      Any word on the use of orbital angular momentum for actual bandwidth at this point?

  9. The last time by DJCouchyCouch · · Score: 1

    The last time I tried squeezing more bandwith out of fiber, I was constipated for weeks!

    Try the veal!

  10. Squeeze? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought the point of getting fiber was so that you didn't HAVE to squeeze. My doctor and my network engineer told me so!

  11. 100MB cap by gygy · · Score: 1

    Cap everything -> Profit !!

  12. Probably not by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 5, Interesting

    You find each time go go up an order of magnitude in bandwidth, the next order matters much less.

    100 bps is just painfully slow. Even doing the simplest of text over that is painful. You want to minimize characters at all costs (hence UNIX's extremely puthy commands).

    1 kbps is ok for straight text, but nothing else. When you start doing ANSI for formatting or something it quickly gets noticeably slow.

    10 kbps is enough that on an old text display, everything is pretty zippy. Even with formatting, colour, all that it is pretty much realtime for interactivity. Anything above that is slow though. Even simple markup slows it does a good bit. Hard to surf the modern Internet, just too much waiting.

    100 kbps will let you browse even pretty complicated markup in a short amount of time. Images also aren't horrible here, if they are small. Modern web pages take time to load, but usually 10 seconds or less. Browsing is perfectly doable, just a little sluggish.

    1 mbps is pretty good for browsing. You wait a bit on content heavy pages, but only maybe a second or two. Much of the web is sub second loading times. This is also enough to stream SD video, with a bit of buffering. Nothing high quality, but you can watch Youtube. Large downloads, like say a 10GB video game are hard though, it can take a day or more.

    10 mbps is the point at which currently you notice no real improvements. Web pages load effectively instantly, usually you are waiting on your browser to render them. You can stream video more or less instantly, and you've got enough to stream HD video (720p looks pretty good at 5mbps with H.264). Downloads aren't too big an issue. You can easily get even a massive game while you sleep.

    100 mbps is enough that downloads are easy to do in the background while you do something else, and have them ready in minutes. A 10GB game can be had in about 15 minutes. You can stream any kind of video you want, even multiple streams. At that speed you could stream 1080p 4:2:2 professional video like you'd put in to a NLE if there were any available on the web.

    1 gbps is such that the network doesn't really exist for most things. You are now approaching the speed of magnetic media. Latency is a more significant problem than speed. Latency (and CPU use) aside, things tend to run as fast off a network server as they do on your local system. Downloads aren't an issue, you'll spend as much time waiting on your HDD as the data off the network in most cases.

    10 gbps is enough that you can do uncompressed video if you like. You could stream uncompressed 2560x1600 24-bit (no chroma subsampling) 60fps video and still have nearly half your connection left.

    If we get gig to the house, I mean truly have that kind of bandwidth available, I don't think we'll see a need for much more for a long, long time. At that speed, things just come down at amazing rates. You could download an entire 50GB BD movie during the first 6 minutes of viewing it. Things stream so fast over a gig that you can have the data more or less immediately to start watching/playing/whatever and the rest will be there in minutes. The latency you'd face to a server would be more of a problem.

    Even now going much past 10mbps shows strong diminishing returns. I've gone from 10 to 12 to 20 to 50 in the span of about 2 years. Other than downloading games off of Steam going faster, I don't notice much. 50mbps isn't any faster for surfing the web. I'm already getting the data as fast as I need it. Of course usages will grow, while I could stream a single 1080p blu-ray quality video (they are usually 30-40mbps streams video and audio together) I couldn't do 2.

    However at a gbps, you are really looking at being able to do just about everything someone wants to for any foreseeable future in realtime. I mean you can find theoretical cases that could use more but ask yourself how practical they really are.

    1. Re:Probably not by Soft · · Score: 1

      10 gbps is enough that you can do uncompressed video if you like. [...] If we get gig to the house, I mean truly have that kind of bandwidth available, I don't think we'll see a need for much more for a long, long time.

      Yes and no; I'm sure we'll invent new ways of wast^Wusing bandwidth. (3DTV, telepresence, video editing on remote storage, cloud computing... What's next?)

      But the problem no longer lies in the house. Not everybody has a 100Mbit/s Internet access yet, but that's coming in the next few years. Now think 1billion people simultaneously trying to access YouTube... The problem is the core network, where you must aggregate all these users' traffic. Current DWDM links in the Tbit/s range are not enough.

      (Or you could try to be smart, cache some data, use multicasting... In practice, people can't be bothered not to waste bandwidth, and you can't cache everything.)

    2. Re:Probably not by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Yup... I used to be on around 2 Mbps ADSL, it was just painful. Now I'm at 25 Mbps cable, and I've realized I don't really need more. With uTorrent+RSS most things I want are downloaded before I even know it. With 5 Mbps upload I have no trouble uploading anything to friends or keeping my ratio. Now can I pretty please soon pay for a service that is half as good as the pirates give me?

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    3. Re:Probably not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Give them bandwidth and they'll find a way to use it.

      look at netflix, useless unless you have decent internet speed.
      Start having higher speeds and you'll start seeing HD netflix.

      plenty of large infrastructure projects didn't have any immediate use, and some didn't even have forseeable uses.
      Look at electricity. When nobody had electricity there was no market for electronic devices.
      Give people electricity to their home and suddenly there are all sorts of new gadgets which were completely unknowable a few years previous. Heck alot of people saw electricity as a fancy way to replace candles originally. Now look what easy access to electricity does.

      Same goes for bandwidth. People will find a use for it. VOIP is only the beginning. In the next few years I expect video conferencing/videovoip to start finding it's way into cheap gadgets and gain traction. Look at the popularity of skype.

    4. Re:Probably not by Skapare · · Score: 1

      All of that applies to "last mile" connections to home. For a business, you have to multiply many of those needs by as many people using them at one time. Then there may be services going in the reverse direction. For an ISP, multiply by the number of customers (divided by the oversell factor). For core infrastructure ISPs, more than 100 Tbps is still going to be needed to service a billion homes with 1gbps and a million businesses with 10gbps.

      And I'll still need to compress my 5120x2160p120 videos.

      --
      now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
    5. Re:Probably not by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

      For games Steam and Impulse will give you better service than the pirates run. Other than when their servers are heavily loaded due to a free weekend or something I get games from them at 5MBytes+/sec. Starts fast, stays fast. Of course it also has the advantage of always being what I asked for and all that, and always being available for redownload.

      For movies and so on, sorry got nothing. There are some good streaming services, but they only do HD to a Blu-ray player, they can't trust your evil computer, and they are pay per view. Netflix works well for streaming, but limited content. No good (legit) movie download services out there.

    6. Re:Probably not by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I was never arguing against the need in the core. Already 10 gbps links are in use just on the campus I work at, never mind a real large ISP or tier-1 provider. I'm talking to the home. While many geeks get all starry-eyed about massive bandwidth I think they've just never played with it to realize the limits of what is useful. 100mbit net connections, and actually even a good deal less, are more than plenty for everything you could want today. That'll grow some with time, but 20-50mbps is plenty for realtime HD streaming, instant surfing, fast downloads of large games, etc. Be a good bit before we have any real amount of content that can use more than that (or really even use that well).

      Gigabit is just amazingly fast. You discover copying from two modern 7200rpm drives you get in the 90-100MBytes/sec range if things are going well (like sequential copy, no seeking). Doing the math you find gigabit net is 125MBytes/sec which means even with overhead 100MBytes/sec is no problem. At work I see no difference in speed copying between my internal drives and copying to our storage servers. It could all be local for all I can tell speed wise.

      That's why I think gig will not be "slow" for home surfing any time in the foreseeable future, and maybe ever. You are getting to the point that you can stream whatever you need, transfer things as fast as you need. Faster connections just wouldn't do anything for people.

      A connection to the home only really matters to a certain point. Once you can do everything you want with really no waiting, any more is just for show. At this point, that is somewhere in the 10-20mbps range. You just don't gain much past that, and I say this as someone who has a 50mbps connection (and actually because of the way they do business class I get more like 70-100mbps). That is also part of the reason there isn't so much push for faster net connections. If you can get 20mbps (and you'll find most cable and FIOS customers can, even some DSL customers) you can get enough. More isn't so useful.

    7. Re:Probably not by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you're forgetting that we'll also have 20,000 x 10,000 resolutions by then, and maybe even 3D. In particular, loading a voxelized 100,000^3 3D map will still dig into those orders of magnitude for a little bit longer.

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    8. Re:Probably not by lennier · · Score: 1

      However at a gbps, you are really looking at being able to do just about everything someone wants to for any foreseeable future in realtime.

      What about holographic video?

      Ad that to a few dozen banner ads and we could spam up a gigabit link pretty fast.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    9. Re:Probably not by johncadengo · · Score: 1

      If we get gig to the house, I mean truly have that kind of bandwidth available, I don't think we'll see a need for much more for a long, long time.

      Once speeds like these become available, once the opportunity arises and the market grows, we will find applications for it. Trust, we always do.

      --
      My page.
    10. Re:Probably not by i.r.id10t · · Score: 1

      For a business, you have to multiply many of those needs by as many people using them at one time.

      For home too. I have 1.5mb DSL (very far out, bad S:N ratio if I up it to the 3mb service). Just me and the wife surfing and doing email, no problem. ISO downloads and Windows updates while we sleep, no problem. However, if we use Netflix on the Wii and I want to surf or perhaps listen to some streaming audio, the connect gets very bogged down, Netflix pauses every so often to rebuffer, etc.

      I'd be happy to upgrade, but w/ the 3mb service I have to manually reset the power switch on my dsl "modem" every hour or so.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos
    11. Re:Probably not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 1gbps is the exact reason why I still have a wired network in my house. Friends ask what's the point till they realize that things that I'm using on my main computer are not actually located on it. (This will hold true right up till the SSDs get faster than that connection, then it'll be time to upgrade to 10/100gbps.) It will be very interesting to see what happens when we have 1gbps home service, even the most anemic of smart phones/laptops will suddenly see pretty damn cool when you can use to simply remote access your home server and let it do all the heavy lifting.

      Tech support for mom will be a snap. Give her basic device and keep all her stuff on one of your machines so you don't have to spend the first couple of days of a visit unfuckering her computer.

    12. Re:Probably not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think we'll see a need for much more for a long, long time.

      If you build it, they will come. Never forget that, because it exemplifies this basic fact: people will find a use for everything.

      Imagine the epitome of all the anti-video game hack DRM schemes: none of the game is hosted on your computer and the only interaction you have is with a video stream. The input -- be it key strokes, mouse movement, or otherwise -- is provided and you get video in return. The game is an interactive video played in real-time. The problem? We do not have the infrastructure.

      Now entertain the idea that the entire OS is shown in such a fashion, it is a control freaks dream.

    13. Re:Probably not by forkazoo · · Score: 1

      100 mbps is enough that downloads are easy to do in the background while you do something else, and have them ready in minutes. A 10GB game can be had in about 15 minutes. You can stream any kind of video you want, even multiple streams. At that speed you could stream 1080p 4:2:2 professional video like you'd put in to a NLE if there were any available on the web.

      Something like single-stream ProRes 422 is going to be a lot more than 100 Mbit unless you are using a proxy mode. If "professional" means 10 bit ProRes HQ, you are looking at ~ 220 Mbit per stream.

      That aside, your points are certainly broadly valid. Early revolutions are always more shocking than mature revolutions. Enabling a new use is a big deal when almost nothing is possible. Enabling a new use is much less exciting when you can already do a bunch of stuff. We'll always find interesting new uses for whatever bandwidth we've got.

      In any case, I think that in the US, the real bandwidth crisis is in upload speeds. They've been practically flat for ten years. To really enable the Next-Gen Buzzword-Compliant Economy-2.0, you need to return to the original peer-centric model of the Internet where every node can act as a host. It's a scary future that neither Telecoms nor Politicians feel comfortable with, but quite frankly I consider it a major strategic requirement for future economic security.

    14. Re:Probably not by mcrbids · · Score: 1

      I almost agree with you. As you increase the amount of bits, the value-per-bit drops, and I think that's what you are saying. But the value of the bits DOES increase linearly as the number of bits increases exponentially.

      As a professional hosting provider, our upstream is 100 Mbps. NOT the consumer 100 Mbps, but the fully-redundant, backed up, monitored 24x7, 4-hops-from-MAEWest kind of 100 Mbps. For database-driven, graphics-poor applications such as what we provide, it's amazing just how much you can do with 100 Mbps!

      But give it time. See, I remember when 56Kbps was "all that anybody would ever need" for the Internet. Needs change because expectations change as capability changes!

      When I set up my first 1.5 Mbps DSL, the speed was stunningly quick, enough for many users. Now, 1.5 Mbps would leave me feeling deprived because I'm now used to watching multiple video streams in various rooms in my house, online, over the Internet. Anything less than about 5 Mbps or so would be weak!

      The Internet has subsumed my Cable bill. I don't *have* a TV in the usual sense, we've gone 100% online for entertainment purposes. And surprisingly, it's worked very well for us! My bedroom TV is a Mac mini with a 24" wide screen monitor. Hulu + Netflix + network sites is our "channel" - the term means nothing to me anymore!

      But the experience is FAR RICHER. I often leave comments on videos! I can watch a show in the background while reading the latest blog or Slashdot article!

      This is what 3-10 Mbps gives me as a consumer. What will I get with 1 Gbit? I don't even know, yet.

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    15. Re:Probably not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you're forgetting that display resolutions have been stagnating for years, even going down. Perhaps if some of the upcoming display technologies were able to offer high resolutions at no extra cost... but judging by the e-ink screens that can do 1280x1024 at best I'm not too hopeful.

    16. Re:Probably not by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      And I think it would be nice to have clunky, electro-mechanical/magnetic devices like hard drives out on the cloud where they can be managed by someone who's only job is to make storage work.

      I've played around with Rackspace Cloud, and it's just nice not to have to worry about specific hard drives failing.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    17. Re:Probably not by gpuk · · Score: 1

      YMMV but have you tried using a Draytek ADSL router+modem to see if it can hold the connection at 3mbit?

      My parents line is 5600 meters from the exchange with an attenuation of 57.6388 dB and very badly wired from the road to the house. The only ADSL router+modem combo that could reliably hold their 1MBit connection was a Draytek.

    18. Re:Probably not by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      It's bound to happen at some point though. It's needed for resolution independence etc.

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    19. Re:Probably not by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      "Surely 640kb is enough ram for anything you could ever want" or something along those lines ;)

      Jokes aside, magnetic media is a bit too sluggish even for 100Mbps in our use, there is just too much concurrent threads seeking data, and practically a HDD can do only about 20M/s in our usage, rest of the time is spent seeking!

      1Gbps is even harder to fill, a 4 HDD server is not enough.

      But even higher BW can be utilized in future, think about 4K video, 4096x2160 pixels, and add 3D to that. 3D effectively doubles the required images. It's still far in the future, 2K was released 2005/2006, and 4K is a newish thing for theatres too.
      But eventually all that will come to home too, maybe in the next 5years. Pace will keep increasing, and BW requirements along with it.

      I find the 15Mbps (actual BW i got) at home a bit too little at times, and am hoping to upgrade to 100Mbps, maybe they roll it out here too in Dec. VDSL2+ EFM is arriving as well, offering well over 100Mbps for short distances. IPTV is also becoming norm around here for paid channels.

      I would assume there are already some households where people are cursing at low speeds while ADSL2+ 24Mbps. Only need dad watching telly, daughter surfing youtube and facebook, son playing WoW.

    20. Re:Probably not by cynyr · · Score: 1

      The issue which is pointed out above is that multiple users exist at the same time. Even in my home in a few years there could be up to 4 netflix HD streams, 2-4 World of warcraft 6.0.1 patches(623GB each) regular browsing, Facebook 2.0(with a full size picture option for those 35megapixel images), we'll ignore iTunes, any other games/content. I could see my house consuming a "massive" amount of bandwidth during peek times, after dinner for example. Now bump up HD video to 2k4k, and basicly make those 4 HD netflix streams into 16 (2k4k video is 4x as many pixels).

      --
      All of the above was encrypted with a Quad ROT-13 method. Unauthorized decryption is in violation of the DMCA.
    21. Re:Probably not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is just plain wrong! The market will find ways to use the excess bandwidth as soon as it is available!
      It's not the average person who decides what will be going to be enough bandwidth - it's the offered services.

      Back at the days when text filled your bandwidth need: all we got was email and maybe irc.
      when p2p started: mp3s were just small enough to be swapped
      now: the next magnitude enables us to download movies within minutes - thus almost streaming.
      As soon as we get more bandwidth ad companies can afford to make advertising in 720p instead of crummy flash apps.

      And if we really do have bandwidth to waste I'd like to have a proper network file-system!
      I don't care about backups , the ISP shall do that. Speed shall almost fill the bandwidth - access to it should be everywhere not just my home computer.
      Oh and an extrafast tmpfs would be neat too!

    22. Re:Probably not by timftbf · · Score: 1

      In any case, I think that in the US, the real bandwidth crisis is in upload speeds. They've been practically flat for ten years. To really enable the Next-Gen Buzzword-Compliant Economy-2.0, you need to return to the original peer-centric model of the Internet where every node can act as a host. It's a scary future that neither Telecoms nor Politicians feel comfortable with, but quite frankly I consider it a major strategic requirement for future economic security.

      QFT, same in the UK. Even ignoring Web2.0 buzz, my backups from home take forever to complete. I can get a nice solid 14Mb/s downstream (which I actually get, and can fill 24/7), but only 864Kb/s upstream (currently free through my employer, but would cost me ~£20/month if I was paying). I can go to 2Mb/s symmetric for £70-100/month, 10Mb/s symmetric is £500+/month. Mental.

    23. Re:Probably not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's fast now is not fast in the future, assuming we will need all that bandwidth. Modern 7200 rpm drives should be obsolete by the time we have 1 Gbit Internet.
      You are forgetting that local storage speed increases also (for example SSD or huge RAM buffers). Using RAID to store in parallel we can go even faster.
      So there's certainly always going to be a benefit of having a local storage system if you edit huge media files etc. Using the network and cloud to store everything is probably too slow.

  13. tens of Mbit/s not Gbit/s (was:what about color) by Soft · · Score: 2, Informative

    Radio and DSL already do this, but only at a few tens of Gbit/s

    ... Mbit/s, I meant. The challenge is to gain 3+ orders of magnitude to the 100-1000Gbit/s range.

  14. Zoom by __aaqvdr516 · · Score: 1

    I'm sure this will make my 768kbps down and 512kbps up seem so much more snappier.

    1. Re:Zoom by mister_playboy · · Score: 1

      Ah, I'm not the person reading this story with the slowest internet service... I've got 1536kbps down and 768kbps up. :)

      --
      Do what thou wilt shall be the whole of the Law ::: Love is the law, love under will
  15. New technology? by homey+of+my+owney · · Score: 1

    This was under development before the dot com bust because back then we were going to run out of bandwidth within 3 years.

  16. Phase? by Krahar · · Score: 1

    I'm down with polarity, but what is a phase of light and what does it mean to use 4 of them? Google isn't giving me any love on that.

    1. Re:Phase? by Soft · · Score: 1

      Polarization, you mean? (As in the direction along which the electrical field vibrates?)

      For phase modulation, try Wikipedia. I like the diagram.

      The problem in optical transmissions, unlike radio or electricity, is that you can't directly access the phase of the light. All you can do is to have two beams of light interfere together (just like with sound: if you hear two tones, very closely spaced, you will hear a low-frequency "beat" which pulses at a frequency equal to the difference between the frequencies of the original tones). That gives you access to the phase, but you need to have the vibration frequencies of your beams very close together, which is not simple. Recent advances (in DSP processors, paradoxically) are making it possible, especially for high-speed modulations.

    2. Re:Phase? by Interoperable · · Score: 1

      It's probably two of them. Two degrees of freedom from polarization, two from phase.

      If your information is carried on an amplitude modulated sine wave, you recover it by demodulating with another sine wave. Demodulating with an orthogonal function, cosine, yields nothing. So you can pack a second carrier with a cosine phase in there and then demodulate each with the correct phase to extract the modulation signal. I don't know much about how much cross-talk there would be but probably, in theory, as long as the modulation frequency (on the order of GHz) is slow compared to the carrier frequency (hundreds of THz), it's not too bad.

      --
      So if this is the future...where's my jet pack?
    3. Re:Phase? by Krahar · · Score: 1

      Thanks. Usually Google is excellent at showing relevant Wikipedia pages. Don't know why it fails in this instance. There must be some kind of reference compared to which phase is measured. I wonder if that is done by also sending a single reference on a different wavelength or if it is done by very fine-tuned clocks and knowledge of transmission time. Seems like a reference phase would be by far the easiest and most robust solution.

    4. Re:Phase? by Soft · · Score: 1

      Seems like a reference phase would be by far the easiest and most robust solution.

      It has been proposed for some modulation types. However, this halves the efficiency: you use one wavelength for each reference beam, but you can't use the same reference for all the other wavelengths, due to the fact that these wavelengths travel down the fiber at different speeds. (This is called "chromatic dispersion" and can be a major pain in the neck at high bit rates.) So there would be a delay between reference and data beams, thus a phase shift, which would have to be measured and compensated for.

      In practice, I believe that a known data sequence is transmitted at regular intervals so the receiver can detect it and synchronize to the emitter.

  17. Why not install more cable as well? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The idea looks plausible but there is a way to upgrade bandwidth that ALWAYS works. INSTALL MORE CABLE!!!

    1. Re:Why not install more cable as well? by Skapare · · Score: 1

      Installing is very very expensive. Too bad they didn't realize that back when they did put in the dark fiber. They are doing some installs now, but the financial resources are being held back until the government gives them massive tax breaks and helps them cover the costs so they can keep their profits high and not have to cut CEO salaries and bonuses.

      --
      now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
  18. Interesting, but... by Bureaucromancer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nice work they're doing, but nothing is going to get us around the need for new infrastructure. As much as the telecos are trying to deny it, we are going to need another major round of long distance fiber installations before the global network anything like stabilizes. Actually, I would draw a comparison to the British railway system in the 19th century (flawed but some interesting points in it), particularly with reference to the boom bust cycle (including apparent over construction early on that actually goes over capacity quite soon, and eventual REAL massive over investment and big collapses and consolidation). Not really sure if we want that outcome, but it seems like a reasonable parallel in some ways; on the one hand massive overbuilding would be nice for users, for awhile at least, but as it is we need to be breaking telecom monopolies, not creating more through collapses and consolidtation...

  19. Where's the multicast? by Skapare · · Score: 1

    People are still getting video feeds by HTTP. Multicast was supposed to save on bandwidth for things like IP TV. But it still isn't happening on any real scale. A lot of core infrastructure bandwidth could be reduced by making multicast fully functional and using it. And, of course, we need to do that in a way that precludes some intermediate business deciding what we can, or cannot, receive by multicast. Oh, and how many multicast groups are there? And how do I get one?

    --
    now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
    1. Re:Where's the multicast? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      It's happening on the backend, and it's god damn huge. It's just hidden behind IPTV "cable boxes". If you're watching television on Comcast's cable plant, you're using multicast.

      IP Multicast in Cable Networks

      http://www.cisco.com/en/US/technologies/tk648/tk828/technologies_case_study0900aecd802e2ce2.html

    2. Re:Where's the multicast? by Sepodati · · Score: 1

      The problem is timeshifting. Thousands of people are watching Hulu, but how many are watching the same content and started it at around the same time? Without any advanced caching, multicast would only help those streams that happen to line up.

      I agree with your point, though. Where is the Internet-wide multicast?

      Kind of an odd scenario where the last mile is ready for multicast naturally because of the shared medium (cable & wireless) but the core is not. I know the solution is not trivial, too.

      John

    3. Re:Where's the multicast? by phyrexianshaw.ca · · Score: 1

      it's in IPv6. :P

    4. Re:Where's the multicast? by Skapare · · Score: 1

      But Comcast is a video gatekeeper. If they are using IPTV and multicast, then they have far more ability to add channel choices than they are letting on.

      My interest is in deploying it world-wide where there is no gatekeeper and a choice of as many channels as there are people wanting to deliver video. Specifically, the sender and receiver would not be the same entity (it is the same entity when Comcast controls your set top box, and decides what programming networks get to send video out to those set top boxes).

      So if you decide to be a broadcaster, and I want to watch your video, in a live IPTV stream, what I want to know next is where and how you get a multicast group address. I'd imagine you can tell me what it is via whatever format or protocol via your web site and/or the IPTV connection setup. But how do you get that on your end as the sender? All the docs seem to omit this.

      --
      now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
    5. Re:Where's the multicast? by Skapare · · Score: 1

      One can simply set up a box to pre-record the program when it is transmitted by multicast. A program can afterwards go request missing blocks of the program to eliminate those glitches that the live viewers had to endure. If you want to watch a particular show each week or day, you have it set to do that. It then joins the multicast group a little before it starts and records what it gets. If the sender DRMs it, then you have to view it through some process that can decrypt it (and maybe even gets the keys to do that at viewing time). So even with time shifting, multicast can help. Repeat multicasts can also be set up where there is high demand by those who missed it entirely.

      My interest is in tearing down TV program gatekeepers. I don't want some cable or satellite company saying "sorry, your TV programming is limited to just these 25,000 channels from programmers that paid us huge fees to let them in". Instead, I want TV programming, viewable live where applicable, from any person or company anywhere in the world that wants to make it available. And I want the core internet, as well as the "last mile" on each end, to be all multicast ready.

      And I want my own multicast group address. Should be plenty of those once IPv6 is everywhere.

      --
      now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
    6. Re:Where's the multicast? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Not going to happen. If you're either a channel or content provider, you're still going to want to get paid for that content being delivered. Multicast doesn't have that sort of authentication built into the protocol, unless you're able to multicast an encrypted stream, and use another protocol to handle a key exchange (after the video stream access is purchased or authorized because of a monthly subscription a la Netflix).

      It would work for things like NASA TV that are free, and I even think NASA already has internal multicast streams for people on-net at NASA facilities. But if you want to get paid for your content, you're not going to use public multicast.

    7. Re:Where's the multicast? by Skapare · · Score: 1

      IPv6 is fine. IPv4 has it, too. But IPv6 has more of it. Now how do I get a multicast address?

      --
      now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
    8. Re:Where's the multicast? by ekhben · · Score: 1

      Multicast is common - at constrained scopes. It's used for router communication (OSPF, IS-IS, RIP2, GLBP), rendezvous/zero-conf (mDNS), and as some other commenters have noted, also for single-carrier IP TV, depending on the carrier. There's a few education and research networks that use it, too.

      Global multicast is non-existent, because it's hard to charge for.

    9. Re:Where's the multicast? by Sepodati · · Score: 1

      That's an interesting concept. I had never thought of a DVR/Multicast combo. It would require an always on device and some notion of what you wanted to record. Basically taking an Apple/GoogleTV, adding a program guide and setting it to record specific multicast addresses at certain times. Add DRM and monthly charge and keep the commercials and the networks may just by off on it.

    10. Re:Where's the multicast? by cynyr · · Score: 1

      last i knew multicast did not work for sending video with multiple starting times, like say youtube. Also using multicast for a video with 20 viewers in 20 different locations of the globe won't do anything to solve bandwidth issues in the trunks. To help out the trunks we need to start providing massive caching just before the last mile, and make it easy for providers to drop off a rack there. That way google can drop off a "youtube rack" near you and save trunk bandwidth.

      --
      All of the above was encrypted with a Quad ROT-13 method. Unauthorized decryption is in violation of the DMCA.
  20. Excellent comment! but... by way2trivial · · Score: 1

    "I've gone from 10 to 12 to 20 to 50 in the span of about 2 years."

    fuck you.

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
  21. Just change the colour by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pure bull shit - just use another colour

  22. Re:Excellent comment! but... by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    So you are saying I probably shouldn't tell you that because of how they handle business class accounts, I actually get more than that most of the time? :D

    http://www.speedtest.net/result/985434853.png

    That is my actual result from a few minutes ago. It is fun for bragging rights, I'll say that. However truth be told other than Impulse and Steam downloads I notice no difference over 20mbps. Personally I'd take 20/20 if it were offered instead of 50/5. However currently they use 4 downstream channels with DOCSIS 3, but only one upstream channel. The equipment can handle 4 upstream channels, Cox just doesn't use more than one.

  23. Why not get more efficient though? by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    It makes sense both in economic and practical terms to squeeze as much out of the fiber we have before laying new stuff. Not only does that get more bandwidth easier and cheaper now, but it means when new stuff is laid it'll last longer. It is real expensive to lay a transatlantic cable (and those are what are the most full). The more we can get out of one, the better. I'd much rather we research the technology to get, say, 100tbits per fiber out of the cable and need a couple thousand fibers spanning a few cables than be happy with 1tbit per fiber and need millions of fibers spanning thousands of cables.

    New infrastructure should be the last resort, not the first one. Make the most efficient use of what you have, then build new stuff if there is a need. You can look at it from economic, reliability, environmental, or really any way and it comes out the same: Make better use of what you have, don't go get new things if you can avoid it.

    1. Re:Why not get more efficient though? by Bureaucromancer · · Score: 1

      I'm all for efficieny gains, andthe work being done in TFA is great, we just shouldn't try to convince ourselves that we do t need further infrastructure, and pretty soon at that. Bear in mind that the strategy of a lot of the telecos lately seems to have been declaring that increased usage of he network, rather than bein a sign of technological maturity is 'abusive', and needs to be stopped. For that matter, the fact hey male these claims is a pretty good sign that there isn't enough competition, seein as increased bandwidth usage, far from being a threatto network integrity is a chance for the providers to sell more product.

    2. Re:Why not get more efficient though? by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

      I think maybe you read too much Slashdot and don't look around at what is happening overall with Internet providers. For one, bandwidth per dollar has gone way up in many cases. This is true for home connections, and for business. Only 10 years ago I paid about 20% more (not even counting inflation) for 640k/640k than I currently do for 50m/5m. That's some major increase in bandwidth without an increase in cost. This is true for high end business lines as well. I realize there are cases where it isn't, however on the vast majority of cases you get a lot more bandwidth for the same or less cost than only a short time ago.

      Also the caps you are talking about are highly varied. Some providers have no caps at all. Many others have caps, but they are quite reasonable. Things like 100s of GB per month. This is because the reason the net is cheap, the reason it works as it does is we all have to share bandwidth. You can't have truly dedicated bandwidth, to do that would be expensive and wasteful. Well the flip side of that is not everyone can use their connection full blast all the time, and torrenting has made that a more common thing. I mean on campus where I work we get great speeds, 100mbit+ downloads. However if everyone tried to use all their bandwidth all the time, we'd get maybe 300-500kbits each. It's only fast because we share. It is relatively few ISPs that put a low, problematic, cap on their usage. Also you'll discover the vast majority of ISPs offer business class accounts for a bit more that have no cap. I have one of these.

      Really when you look at it ISPs are doing a good job of providing more bandwidth at a reasonable cost. There's just a lot of whining on /. because many geeks use bandwidth as an ePenis number and so want a lot more, and because there are more than a few here that want to torrent 24/7. The overall situation isn't bad at all. Most people can get fast net for a good price, and can use it all the like with no trouble.

    3. Re:Why not get more efficient though? by Bureaucromancer · · Score: 1

      Truth be told things are for the most part a lot better in the US, take a look at some of the rates that Rogers and Bell try and foist on us in Canada. You end up with numbers like $70 for 80gb or $100 for 175, and $10/gb overage being competitive - things are getting better with the resellers like teksavy, but the network owners are putting significant effort into killing them, and won't give them access to the full network speeds (although this seems likely to be changed b the CRTC eventually).

  24. Butter's Law by SimonTheSoundMan · · Score: 1

    With traffic doubling every two years, the limits of current networks are getting close to saturating.

    That's ok, we have been following Butter's Law for quite some time, just like Moore's Law following transistor density. To cost of sending data halves every 9 months, and data networks double in speed every 9 months. This is well within the problem with the traffic doubling every two years.

    1. Re:Butter's Law by Skapare · · Score: 1

      But there are also laws of physics that apply to fiber. And after all the strands are used up that have already are in place, they have to put in more. THAT is very expensive (dig, dig, dig). My company is trying to get fiber in from an ISP right across the street from us, and the installation costs are going to be as high as $12,000. Imagine the cost of putting in more fiber from Boston to New York to Philadelphia to Baltimore to Washington to Richmond to Charlotte to Atlanta. And that's just one run. Hopefully they will put in a few hundred strands while they have that trench open. Oh, but that's expensive, too, since they have to do all those splices now before burying them.

      --
      now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
    2. Re:Butter's Law by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      Question: why do they have to actually dig every time they want to put in new wire?

      Why didn't they put manhole stations in every x meters last time around so they can pull wire along (like you do in a house)?

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
  25. Oh...of course! by Interoperable · · Score: 4, Informative

    The article implies that it's easy to do, there was simply never a need before. I seriously doubt that it's a trivial thing to accomplish a four-fold increase in bandwidth on existing infrastructure.

    Polarization has a habit of wandering around in fiber. Temperature and physical movement of the fiber will change how the polarization is altered as it passes through the fiber. In a trans-oceanic fiber the effect could be dramatic; the polarization would likely wander around with quite a high frequency. This would need to be corrected for by periodically sending reference pulses though the fiber so that the receivers could be re-calibrated. Not too difficult, but any inaccessible repeaters would still need to be retrofitted. I also don't know if in-fiber amplifiers are polarization maintaining. They rely on a scattering process that might not be.

    Phase-encoding has similar problems. Dispersion, the fact that different frequencies travel at different velocities (this leads to prisms separating white light into rainbows), will distort the pulse shape and shift the modulation envelope with respect to the phase. You either need very low dispersion fibers, and they already need to use the best available, or have some fancy processing at a receiver or repeater. Adding extra phase encoding simply implies that the current encoding method (probably straight-up, on-off encoding) is inefficient. That's not necessarily lack of foresight, that's because dense encoding is probably really hard to do in a dispersive medium like fiber. Again, it's not a trivial drop-in replacement.

    The article downplays how hard these problems are. It implies that the engineers simply didn't think it through the first time around, but that's far from the case. A huge amount of money and effort goes into more efficiently encoding information in fiber. There probably is no drop in solution, but very clever design in new repeaters and amplifiers might squeeze some bonus bandwidth into existing cable.

    --
    So if this is the future...where's my jet pack?
    1. Re:Oh...of course! by Soft · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The article implies that it's easy to do, there was simply never a need before. I seriously doubt that it's a trivial thing to accomplish a four-fold increase in bandwidth on existing infrastructure.

      It's not, as you have pointed out. My interpretation is that, on the contrary, phase and polarization diversity (which I'll lump into "coherent" optical transmissions) are hard enough to do that you'll try all the other possibilities first: DWDM, high symbol rates, differential-phase modulation... All these avenues have been exploited, now, so we have to bite the bullet and go coherent. However, on coherent systems, some problems actually become simpler.

      Polarization has a habit of wandering around in fiber.

      Quite so. Therefore, on a classical system, you use only polarization-independent devices. (Yes, erbium-doped amplifiers are essentially polarization-independent because you have many erbium ions in different configurations in the glass; Raman amplifiers are something else, but sending two pump beams along orthogonal polarizations should take care of it.)

      For a coherent system, you want to separate polarizations whose axes have turned any which way. Have a look at Wikipedia's article on optical hybrids, especially figure1. You need four photoreceivers (two for each balanced detector), and reconstruct the actual signal by digital signal processing. And that's just for a single polarization; double this for polarization diversity and use a 2x2 MIMO technique.

      That's why it's so expensive compared to a classical system: the coherent receiver is much more complex. Additionally, you need DSP and especially ADCs working at tens of gigasamples per second. This is only just now becoming possible.

      Phase-encoding has similar problems. Dispersion, the fact that different frequencies travel at different velocities (this leads to prisms separating white light into rainbows), will distort the pulse shape and shift the modulation envelope with respect to the phase. You either need very low dispersion fibers, and they already need to use the best available, or have some fancy processing at a receiver or repeater.

      Indeed. We are at the limit of the "best available" fibers (which are not zero-dispersion, actually, to alleviate nonlinear effects, but that's another story). Now we need the "fancy processing". And lo, when we use it, the dispersion problem becomes much more tractable! Currently, you need all these dispersion-compensating fibers every 100km, and they're not precise enough beyond 40Gbaud (thus 40Gbit/s for conventional systems). With coherent, dispersion is a purely linear channel characteristic, which you can correct straightforwardly in the spectral domain using FFTs. Then the limit becomes how much processing power you have at the receiver.

      The article downplays how hard these problems are. It implies that the engineers simply didn't think it through the first time around, but that's far from the case. A huge amount of money and effort goes into more efficiently encoding information in fiber. There probably is no drop in solution, but very clever design in new repeaters and amplifiers might squeeze some bonus bandwidth into existing cable.

      Well, yes, much effort has been devoted to the problem. After all, how many laboratories are competing for breaking transmission speed records and be rewarded by the prestige of a postdeadline paper at conferences such as OFC and ECOC ;-)?

      As for how much bandwidth can be squeezed into fibers, keep in mind that current systems have an efficiency around 0.2bit/s/Hz. There's at least an order of magnitude left for improvement; I don't have Essiambre's paper handy, but according to his simulations, I think the minimum bound for capacity is around 7-8bit/s/Hz.

    2. Re:Oh...of course! by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      They would use circular polarization multiplexing. They already use phase shift modulation as well as wavelength division multiplexing.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    3. Re:Oh...of course! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Outstanding post! Thanks for keeping the SNR high. :)

      Quick question: my understanding is that in wireless, we're at 4-5 bits/s/Hz. Why is that figure so much lower with fiber?

    4. Re:Oh...of course! by Soft · · Score: 2, Informative

      Quick question: my understanding is that in wireless, we're at 4-5 bits/s/Hz. Why is that figure so much lower with fiber?

      Because it's more complicated to reach for a high spectral efficiency. Until now, on fiber, it was possible to just increase the spectral bandwidth (increase the number of wavelengths in a single fiber, in fact). In wireless, on the contrary, the spectrum is much more regulated--if only because it is shared among everybody, whereas what happens in a fiber doesn't affect anything outside it. Thus the drive for a high spectral efficiency in radio.

    5. Re:Oh...of course! by Interoperable · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the detailed reply! There must be a pile of unwanted non-linear effects when sending that much light through a fiber amplifier. Cross-phase modulation and four-wave-mixing must make an appearance when you're trying to keep two polarization encoded (and phase-encoded!) signals separate.

      --
      So if this is the future...where's my jet pack?
  26. Squeezes ma fiber by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That is all.

  27. Maybe if we ran the fiber downhill? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about using gravity to help the light flow faster? It works for water!

  28. Re:Excellent comment! but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... and therein lies the real issue. You're right, more or less, I certainly wouldn't mind more downstream bandwidth, but I probably wouldn't notice it that much. On the other hand, an increase in upstream bandwidth (even to your 5Mb/s) would be a large improvement in quality of service for me (that's fast enough to stream good quality 720p video).

  29. Not until tomorrow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  30. Dual Pol Coherent Systems have already been done.. by Myrv · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Well, we'll just have to hope that their competitors will implement the technology

    Already have. Actually Alcatel is pretty much playing catchup with all this. Nortel introduced a 40Gb/s dual polarization coherent terminal 4 years ago (despite many people, including Alcatel, saying it wasn't possible). Furthermore Nortel Optical (now Ciena) already has a 100Gb/s version available. Alcatel is pretty late to this game.

  31. In Canada. . .well, tomorrow by JSBiff · · Score: 1

    Canadian Thanksgiving is tomorrow. I'm not Canadian, but heard about it somewhere recently.

  32. It's Alcatel-Lucent btw by vkv.raju · · Score: 1

    It's Alcatel-Lucent (and not the reverse) btw!

    1. Re:It's Alcatel-Lucent btw by boule75 · · Score: 1

      Well it depends: Alcatel spent the money to acquire Lucent but the whole management is now American, and the jobs too are shored away from France at an accelerated pace (directly to Asia, no need to hire in the US either). So seen from the interior it seems the US company has bought the French one and proceeds as usual.

      We French are apparently accustomed to be f***ed up hard by the US and we love it ! See the brilliant adventures of Renault, EDF with Constellation, and Executive life with the Credit Lyonnais, compensations 10 times lower for French citizens compared to US citizens blasted in the same plane, etc, etc, etc, the list is endless.

      We love you !

      --
      I am not Remy Mouton, unfortunately: http://remy.mouton.free.fr/art/
  33. A bit more and a rough rule of thumb by dbIII · · Score: 3, Informative

    The "fabrication process" is that with uneven glass the glaziers put the thicker bits at the bottom.
    Because the speed of flow (creep) is related to diffusion rate a very rough rule of thumb is that if the temperature is above 2/3 of the melting point in degrees Kelvin then it will happen given time and stress.
    That's why it shows up in very old and large lead pipes (low melting point) but not in large windows (high melting point).

  34. Is this a single-mode fiber? by tie_guy_matt · · Score: 1

    Polarization in multimode fiber is out because the polarization tends to become random after it is transmitted through a long enough multimode fiber. They are therefore surely talking about single-mode fibers. You can buy polarization maintaining single-mode fiber but it is my understanding it only maintains polarization in one direction. If you had a fiber shaped to allow more than one polarization direction than I believe that by definition this would be multimode (i.e. one mode for each polarization direction, though not nearly as multimode as most multimode fibers) Come to think of it, could you then encode data in linear, elliptical, as well as circular polarization directions?

    Anyway my next question would be how do you change the polarization of the light? Do you have a Q-switch laser that can not only turn the laser cavity on and off but can also change its shape to change the polarization of the transmitted light? I would like to see the design of that laser. Of course if you put too much stuff in your resonator cavity then that tends to make it longer which increases your pulse length. Then again they are talking about encoding the phase of the light. Does that mean that they have a very coherent CW laser and then change the phase and or polarity via some nonlinearity on the fiber? Can you do that fast enough to encode useful data?

    Just some random thoughts that come up because the article isn't very technically detailed.

    1. Re:Is this a single-mode fiber? by Soft · · Score: 1

      Polarization in multimode fiber is out because the polarization tends to become random after it is transmitted through a long enough multimode fiber.

      Oh, singlemode fiber isn't better in that regard, but yes, that's certainly SMF they're talking about, if only because that's what installed in current long-distance links. Also, you can indeed have polarization-maintaining SMF, but not over hundreds of kilometers. For what is actually done to multiplex over polarization, see my earlier post.

      Come to think of it, could you then encode data in linear, elliptical, as well as circular polarization directions?

      I don't see why not, though the encoding might be slightly more complicated. To answer your question about how to generate a PolMux signal, you take two lasers, which you modulate independently, then inject into a polarizing beam splitter. You can also change any polarization into another using quarter- or half-wavelength plates, or fiber-loop polarization controllers. The former use properties of certain crystals to rotate polarization axes; the latter are simply loops of fiber optics which you orient and warp (google "polarization controller").

      Just some random thoughts that come up because the article isn't very technically detailed.

      Indeed. I haven't even seen which principle they use for the announced system. I assume it's PolMux+DQPSK at 12.5Gbaud, like everybody else at this point. But do they actually use DSP, or did they remain analog for now?

  35. light 'em up by sixsixtysix · · Score: 1

    maybe we should light up all that mysterious dark fiber we've been hearing about for years.

    --
    ...
  36. Flux Capacitor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Funny, on the toilet recently I was just thinking about the relative benefits of getting more fiber and squeezing less.

  37. Re:Excellent comment! but... by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

    As long as we're bragging... :-)

    Here are my results from a few minutes ago: http://www.speedtest.net/result/985839676.png

    Fiber to the home (free standing house/single family home, don't know the proper US real estate terminology), at approx $35 per month; that includes IP-telephony monthly charges, calls are extra but cheaper than ordinary land line. Even though I'm paying for 50/50 symmetric, speedtest didn't quite reach that in uplink, I usually see better speeds to a more reasonably located Swedish ISP.

    --
    Stefan Axelsson
  38. Re:Excellent comment! but... by thijsh · · Score: 1

    As long as we're bragging... :-)

    But I guess you win in the price-value comparison... €25 is a bargain! I would like in on *that* deal.

  39. Re:Excellent comment! but... by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    Only question I'd have on that link is to how many other places you get your bandwidth. The reason is that I have observed that many of the cheap European and Asian ISPs that provide big connections usually do so as a big WAN. So you get the speed to others on your ISP, and maybe to a couple peer ISPs, but not to other countries. I always test my connection against a server that is not on my ISP, and not in my state. I want to make sure that I'm getting my bandwidth to the Internet at large, not just to a few places.

    Of course I pay a good deal more, so I should, but still.

    I'm just curious in particular because so many on Slashdot idolize the cheap European connections and in my information research, I've found one of the reasons they can keep their costs down is not having the backhaul to the backbone to support their full data rate. Nothing wrong with that, I think it is a very legit strategy, just something for people to be aware of.

  40. Re:Dual Pol Coherent Systems have already been don by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The IEEE standard for 40gbs was finalized a while back. Check 802.3ba. Ratified in June for 40 and 100gbs. They've all been working on this for a while, products are ready to ship today.

  41. Re:Excellent comment! but... by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

    Well, as you saw from my result the test server was actually in another country, Denmark to be exact, and quite a few hops away from me (20ms ping time).

    But, there's something to be said for your question, certainly. There are two parts to it IMHO, the first is as you say, getting to/from your ISP at all. And the second is getting to/from the US (where many of the interesting endpoints are). In the first case, when it comes to cheap broadband, there is certainly caveat emptor. I could get bandwidth cheaper, but with worse peering, and that's why I chose Bahnhof (Sweden's first ISP, with a heavy dose of anonymity etc. thrown in. They get IP in a way that e.g. Telia-Sonera doesn't; and they're not that bad). Of course, it doesn't hurt that TPB is Swedish and that many Swedes have a nice uplink as well as a nice downlink... :-) (As a matter of fact the strong asymmetry in the US hurts Bittorrent more in my experience than does the overall bandwidth. I upload significantly more to the US than I can get back typically.

    When it comes to getting across the pond, we are mostly all in the same boat. There is very little you can do if you're not on a special network (such as the Swedish University Network; SUNET). That's to say, there's less you can do, but not all ISPs are exactly equal. As a small aside, somewhat amusingly, peering/network structure to/from the US (esp. in Scandinavia/Holland etc.) is typically better than to the rest of Europe at large. Getting to a server in Austria can bring tears to your eyes. This has mostly to do with the crap state of network infrastructure in continental Europe in general.

    Of course ISPs don't advertise peering agreements/status, so one has to go to e.g. netnod to check that for oneself.

    As it happens I'm both on fibre at home and on SUNET at "work", so if you want to arrange a test, I'm game. Just tell me what to up/download to/from where and how, and I'll post (or email) the results. (You can reach me at "middlename" (really my first name) at lastname dot cx if you want to go offline).

    --
    Stefan Axelsson
  42. Mbt Shoes Clearance by aotian · · Score: 0

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    --
    http://www.mbt-shoes.com