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Japan's MagLev Gets Go Ahead

ThinkPad760 writes "The Japanese government has finally given approval to build the long awaited MagLev train linking Tokyo and Osaka via Nagoya. But don't hold your breath. Construction will start in 2014. The Tokyo Nagoya section will be completed in 2027 with the final section to Osaka complete by 2045. I was hoping my wife could buy me a ticket as my retirement present, but looks like I have a wait a couple of years after that."

159 comments

  1. 2027? 2045? by caius112 · · Score: 1

    It's funny because the technology will be long outdated by then.

    1. Re:2027? 2045? by stonedcat · · Score: 2

      Knowing Japan, by 2014 they'll have found a way to build it in 1/3 of the time.
      Meanwhile the rest of the world will continue to lag 10+ years behind them in technology like we have for decades.

      --
      You can't take the sky from me.
    2. Re:2027? 2045? by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Will it? Where's your nearest thing to a 1964 bullet train?

    3. Re:2027? 2045? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Naw, compared to Dubai, Japan is living in the middle ages.

    4. Re:2027? 2045? by citizenr · · Score: 2

      Naw, compared to Dubai, Japan is living in the middle ages.

      because swimming in SHIT on the streets is so futuristic

      --
      Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
    5. Re:2027? 2045? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The trains in Dubai are manufactured by Kinki Sharyo

    6. Re:2027? 2045? by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      Probably, but only because we invested in the R&D to make this a reality.

      It would be like saying that we shouldn't bother with developing new CPUs since the ones in 10 years will be 10x faster.

      Nothing drives innovation faster than demand for what's currently available.

    7. Re:2027? 2045? by jonadab · · Score: 2

      There's something about the plan that the summary isn't telling you: they're not linking Tokyo and Osaka by bullet train for the first time. It's more of a technology upgrade. They've had nozomi shinkansen (pronounced "no-zo-me-sheen-kahn-sane") making said trip in under two and a half hours, reaching speeds somewhere in the (rough estimate alert) neighborhood of 200 mph (though they can't average their top speed due to curves and acceleration and stuff), since the early nineties. You pay through the nose for the fastest train service, but it's available if you've got money. Before the current fastest service was introduced there were slower versions, going back to the sixties. Some of the slower lines are still in operation and are naturally somewhat more affordable to ride than the newest fastest one.

      According to the linked article, the new line will allow speeds over 300 mph and make the trip in under 100 minutes. I assume the quoted speed is a minimum for when the service is rolled out initially and that they'll find ways to improve it and shave a few minutes off the trip after they get it initially working (as they have done in the past with existing train services).

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    8. Re:2027? 2045? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you just type out the pronunciation for an already romanized Japanese phrase? Really?

    9. Re:2027? 2045? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dubai doesn't have street addresses. Consequently there's no functioning postal system, and that's not the only infrastructure that is dysfunctional in Dubai. Beyond infrastructure, Dubai's society is firmly locked in the dark ages too. The oil money is attractive, but other than that, Dubai has nothing going for it.

      Dubai is what happens when people with too much money on their hands want something that they don't know much about. The city will last at most until the industrialized world has been weaned off its oil addiction. Then Dubai will crumble under the forces of nature.

    10. Re:2027? 2045? by NalosLayor · · Score: 2

      Wait, are you making an offensive Muslim joke or an offensive tsunami joke?

    11. Re:2027? 2045? by gilesjuk · · Score: 3, Informative

      He is referring to the fact that the city has grown so fast that they don't have a decent sewer system, much of the sewage goes into septic tanks which are drained and then tankers drive it to a sewage processing plant. But some tankers illegally dump it so it ends up in the sea.

    12. Re:2027? 2045? by GooberToo · · Score: 2

      Perhaps you should learn some history of Dubai. The city largely exists as is specifically because they understand the oil money won't last forever. That city specifically exists as is knowing full well the money will run out. Dubai is their answer, not the question.

    13. Re:2027? 2045? by DeathSquid · · Score: 2

      It's more of a technology upgrade. They've had nozomi shinkansen (pronounced "no-zo-me-sheen-kahn-sane") making said trip in under two and a half hours, reaching speeds somewhere in the (rough estimate alert) neighborhood of 200 mph (though they can't average their top speed due to curves and acceleration and stuff), since the early nineties.

      I live in Japan and speak Japanese. That's definitely not how you pronounce shinkansen. :-)

      This is not simply a technology upgrade, like previous shinkansen improvements. This is a new set of tracks following a new inland route, of which around 60% is expected to be tunnel. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ch%C5%AB%C5%8D_Shinkansen has more details. Interestingly, it will be funded privately.

      This type of vast infrastructure investment is why Japan's economy works so well despite western economists talking it down for decades now. The problem is that short term econometrics don't account for ongoing infrastructure benefits that keep delivering for decades. Japan has been investing like this since the 50's and that's why the standard of living here is streets ahead of anywhere else I've seen.

    14. Re:2027? 2045? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Knowing Japan, by 2014 they'll have found a way to build it in 1/3 of the time.

      Given that the project is high parallelizable, they could have done that already just by putting more workers and equipment on the job.

    15. Re:2027? 2045? by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 2

      No it isn't...

      If you want to see the answer to what one does with such a large source of oil wealth in a small country, on looks to Norway. When brand new desalination plants are built that run on oil you know there's a serious lack of forward-thinking.

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
    16. Re:2027? 2045? by khallow · · Score: 1

      This type of vast infrastructure investment is why Japan's economy works so well despite western economists talking it down for decades now. The problem is that short term econometrics don't account for ongoing infrastructure benefits that keep delivering for decades. Japan has been investing like this since the 50's and that's why the standard of living here is streets ahead of anywhere else I've seen.

      It's worth noting that this model broke in the aftermath of the 1990 recession and hasn't worked since. There's a good reason that economists have been dissing Japan for the past few decades, using phrases such as "the lost decade."

    17. Re:2027? 2045? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what they want, what they don't know much about. What they got is a city that will not outlast the availability of oil or the demand for it.

    18. Re:2027? 2045? by okazakiOm · · Score: 1

      I've been living in Japan for most of the last quarter century, and must disagree with your standard of living statement. You must live in Roppongi Hills or somewhere just as posh to make that qualification. As a matter of fact, I'm moving back to my hometown of San Francisco to improve my family's standard of living. Here in Kyoto, utilities are extremely expensive, public education is a shambles, the police and judiciary are corrupt, the population is elderly and the young 'uns are apathetic and realize that their future is working at a Family Mart. I can get all that in the good ol' US of A, and I'd rather have the American version after all this time. Most of Japan is a third-world country with a very shiny high-tech veneer of the first world overlaid upon it here and there.

    19. Re:2027? 2045? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tankers dump the shit into the damn storm drains (the few the city has, anyway).

      And International City stinks of sewage because of the fucking sewage processing plant nearby.

    20. Re:2027? 2045? by DeathSquid · · Score: 1

      I've been living in Japan for most of the last quarter century, and must disagree with your standard of living statement. You must live in Roppongi Hills or somewhere just as posh to make that qualification.

      As a matter of fact, I'm moving back to my hometown of San Francisco to improve my family's standard of living. Here in Kyoto, utilities are extremely expensive, public education is a shambles, the police and judiciary are corrupt, the population is elderly and the young 'uns are apathetic and realize that their future is working at a Family Mart. I can get all that in the good ol' US of A, and I'd rather have the American version after all this time.

      No expat lifestyle for me, I'm sad to say. However, I find that living expenses (including utilities) in Japan are far less than, say, Australia. My lifestyle is much healthier due to far less car-centric cities. The food is better quality and there is less pollution in major cities. My carbon footprint is lower. As for the "good ol' US of A", the last time I went to the doctor here, it cost me about $10. The last time I was mugged here was never. There's almost no graffiti, there are no beggars, the streets are clean, and the subway doesn't stink of piss.

      Young people with motivation and education here have great opportunities. Those who can't be bothered end up working at convenience stores. So what?

      You sound like you have had some bad experiences with the police/judiciary/education system. I'm sorry to hear that, but perhaps your experiences are not typical?

    21. Re:2027? 2045? by okazakiOm · · Score: 1

      No bad experiences with the police or the judiciary, thank heavens. My carbon footprint here is much less than it will be in the States, I agree. The only time I've had someone try to mug me was in Sydney [epic failure on the mugger's part]. Graffiti and beggars I don't like, but I can live with them. The subway where I'm from doesn't smell like piss. Health care is cheap here, but you get what you pay for. They just inoculated my son with a live polio virus, ferchrissakes! Racism and racial profiling are open and in-your-face. Why should my J-citizen children who look more European than Eurasian have to put up with it? It's not going to change. The government is so inept it makes my brain hurt just thinking about it. My experience is atypical only in that I have been here for so long and have enough degrees in Japanese to realize that this place, which I had so much hope for in the Eighties, is heading downhill and won't climb up again in my lifetime. Dollars to doughnuts you have no children, but please correct me if I'm wrong.

    22. Re:2027? 2045? by PwnzerDragoon · · Score: 1

      Japanese written in Romaji doesn't have a built-in pronunciation guide, people who don't know anything about Japanese can and will mispronounce it. Just look to English words taken from Japanese, the spelling is the same but the pronunciation is different in many cases (karaoke, karate, Honda, etc.)

    23. Re:2027? 2045? by SpammersAreScum · · Score: 1

      Romaji should be very easy to pronounce correctly (barring the "r"), but Americans manage to severely mangle it anyway. "karaoke" is pronounced as written "ka-ra-o-ke", not "carry okie". And, along the same lines, I should note that "shinkansen" is not pronounced "...-sane"; it's pronounced as written: "...-sen", as in "hen" or "yen".

    24. Re:2027? 2045? by modmans2ndcoming · · Score: 1

      uhh... my son was given the live oral vaccination for polio as well.....Here in the states. That is how it is delivered in most places.

    25. Re:2027? 2045? by Ant+P. · · Score: 1

      In France

    26. Re:2027? 2045? by okazakiOm · · Score: 1

      uhhh... Inactivated polio vaccine is what they have been using in the States for most of the past 25 years. Here in Japan, parents seek out GPs who import it on the grey market to give to their children, as the risks from catching polio from the live vaccine are too high.

    27. Re:2027? 2045? by Kyusaku+Natsume · · Score: 1

      The slower trains generally use the same rolling stock of Nozomi, N700, the difference in times is that the Hikari and Kodama services do more stops along the route but aside the different tracks inside some stations the main line is the same IIRC.

      --
      Mexico: 100% conservative's America now!
    28. Re:2027? 2045? by iinlane · · Score: 1

      Even when oil "runs out" and they stop exporting it there will always be enough of it to run the desalination plants. While I do agree that Norway should be made as an example of how a country should use the oil money, I do not think the arabs in Dubai are morons.

    29. Re:2027? 2045? by modmans2ndcoming · · Score: 1

      The oral vaccine is a live virus. and it is still given in the US regularly.

  2. Just for comparison.... by Timtimes · · Score: 2

    Let's point to the many long term development projects right here in the United States. Crickets. Enjoy.

    --
    This ain't no upwardly mobile freeway This is the road to hell
    1. Re:Just for comparison.... by Ironchew · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As an eternal optimist, I think we (the U.S. public) aren't being loud enough. We need to take this disorganized grumbling about higher gas prices and start asking for efficient, interstate mass transport, like maglev (or the theoretical vactrain). It can be done, but Congress won't authorize it unless we don't let them weasel out of the problem. Maybe all it will take is a single letter from every constituent to their representative, flooding their offices.

    2. Re:Just for comparison.... by jcr · · Score: 0

      You're kidding, right? Why would you imagine that the people who gave us Amtrak and similar debacles could possibly produce an efficient rail system?

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    3. Re:Just for comparison.... by Ironchew · · Score: 2

      Well, Congress may actually have to raise our taxes (gasp) and not contract the lowest bidder, but progress isn't free.

    4. Re:Just for comparison.... by sqldr · · Score: 1

      If I was going to be idealistically republican rather than pragmatically democrat (I'm neither, I'm pragmatically a British lib-dem for all the good that got us), then I would refer thee to the way corporations used to be before, er, corporations took over.  Where you could invest a few dimes into building some railroads, and get them back as a shareholder once they are built.  Figuring out what went wrong with the economy and why the people at the top of corporations are ambitious in the process of making money rather than doing it for a reason is for you guys to figure out.

      Actually, we need to figure that out too.  And work out how to fix it.  And when we do, we have to assassinate all lawyers or we won't be allowed to.

      --
      I wrote my first program at the age of six, and I still can't work out how this website works.
    5. Re:Just for comparison.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Unless you want to donate an additional 10-20% of your income to said Congress, and the next 200 years worth of Congress thereafter, don't hold your breath for a vactrain or maglev. These things are ridiculously expensive and virtually never pay for themselves -- ever.

      The route between these two Japanese cities is hugely profitable for their current high speed rail routes. There are 185,000 individuals who live on each mile of that proposed route. And it's currently their most heavily traveled route. In fact, I believe I read recently that it is the only route in the world of such high speed trains that even pays for itself. The rest are pure fluffery and/or outright subsidy. I, for one, prefer not to subsidize other people's transportation.

      What I would love to see in the US is just some basic train routes between major cities in a regional space. I live in Central Texas, and it would be wonderful to see a Dallas / Austin / San Antonio / Houston route. It would cut down on significant traffic between those cities on the highways. However, an airline ticket between any of those cities can be had for generally $100, and the government doesn't subsidize it. I wonder how likely it is that a train could match that; particularly a train that had the governments greasy hands all over it.

    6. Re:Just for comparison.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The first step would be to convince a US politician to give a shit about anything that happens after their term of office.

    7. Re:Just for comparison.... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      All it would take is a reasonable plan. So far, every plan (in the United States) I've seen has failed because of one or more of the following reasons:

      1) The train would run through a sparsely populated area and there would be no one to ride it, thus the train would lose money and be a waste of energy.
      2) The train would cost too much to build and operate. These suckers are expensive. The high speed rail in California is estimated to cost $45 billion, and so far voters have only approved $9billion (via bond). Where is the rest of the money coming from? It's a question that needs to be answered.
      3) A lot of people don't realize how expensive trains are. I took an hour-and-a-half trip in Spain recently, and it cost 50 Euros. Are people really willing to pay that? The trip from SF to LA will cost two or three times that. What is there to entice a person to ride the train instead of fly or drive? Flying in Europe is often cheaper than taking the train. And if you have more than one person going (talking about the US again), driving is just more economical, and not necessarily slower.

      I really hope these issues are resolved, because I like riding a train much more than I like riding an airplane. But they do need to be resolved.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    8. Re:Just for comparison.... by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      These things are ridiculously expensive and virtually never pay for themselves -- ever.

      The problem with this mindset is that it only measures ticket sales. If you make travel between cities incredibly fast then you open up all kinds of new business opportunities and larger efficiencies.

      There is certainly a need to balance cost/benefit but too often we only balance direct costs vs direct benefit while ignoring the larger returns that result.

      Picture for a moment Broadband internet. If a couple of universities needed to move large files then it wouldn't make sense to lay fiber optic lines across the country--you could just overnight fedex them. But once you do lay fiber to everybody suddenly you can teleconference, you can have movies delivered to the home, you can create an entire entertainment sector where people play MMOs etc etc...

      When I was in highschool I had to plead with my parents to get internet. And then a second phone line. And then broadband. Now thanks to what I mostly learned on the internet I have a high paying job. It was a great investment that they made--but not one necessarily that looked like it should pay itself off. I mostly wanted high-speed admittedly to play games. As a gaming connection it was a complete money loser. But it opened up my world and from that I found unintended consequences.

      Conservatives tend to be the ones who always bemoan the unintended consequences of market intervention. But for some reason everyone seems to believe that there can only be negative unintended consequences.

    9. Re:Just for comparison.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes all those Private companies who wisely invested in the Highways .. very long sighted of them. Or was that the Govt? No subsidy? How about tax free aviation fuel .. nice saving there. And various other similar non obvious ways in which Govt pushes & pulls transport policy in the direction it wants/needs. If Air/Road were made to clean up their emissions, or held to higher stds the cost/benefit equation may look different, very different. How about trains powered by Boiled Water, fuelled by renewable resource like wood ...... Casey Jones, a-coming round the mountain woot woot.
      Or Atomic powered trains..

    10. Re:Just for comparison.... by jonadab · · Score: 1

      > We need to ... start asking for efficient, interstate mass transport, like maglev... It can be done,

      It can be done, but there's relatively little point in doing it here.

      The US is not Japan. 90% of our population is not concentrated on 10% of our land. Americans like to have yards and tend to want to live in small enough communities that they can actually get to know the majority of the people in town. When a city gets bigger than about fifty thousand people or so, most of the population moves away to "bedroom communities". We're a LOT more spread out than Japan.

      Suppose we did build a bullet train linking the major cities. Presumably the main line would run New York to Chicago to Denver (just because it's on the way) to Los Angeles, and then you'd have branch lines to Miami (with stops in D.C. and Atlanta) and Seattle (with a couple of stops along the way) and one of the cities in Texas. If I wanted to ride it, I'd have to drive for almost six hours to get to the station -- and that's *close* by US standards. A lot of people would have to drive several times that far. And it would only *go* to a very limited number of places, which usually wouldn't be very close to anywhere I want to go.

      Even if they ran branch lines to EVERY major city (which would cost about eleventy gazillion times as much to do here as in Japan, because we have a much larger number of major cities, and they're a lot farther apart), I'd still have to drive for an hour and a half to get to downtown Columbus. It wouldn't be worth going that far out of my way to ride the thing except *possibly* in situations where I would otherwise fly. And again, that's *close* by US standards -- I live in the ninth most densely-populated state, out of fifty, and within Ohio I'm not in the most rural region of the state (the southeastern part). A lot of people would have to drive for two or three hours to get to a major city.

      I know it sounds cool to be able to hop on a fast train and go 300 mph to someplace on the other side of the country. Believe me, the basic idea sounds cool to me too. But it's just not practical in the US. Our population-density profile is wrong for it.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    11. Re:Just for comparison.... by Serious+Callers+Only · · Score: 1

      These things are ridiculously expensive and virtually never pay for themselves -- ever

      Just like highways and roads then?

    12. Re:Just for comparison.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Even if you restrict your attention to the public arena, the US has plenty of long term plans. They might be disasters in the making (such as the high speed rail plans), but the US has them.

      I think there is a broad conceit that planning is always better than not having a plan, just as acting now is somehow always better than acting later. What is ignored is that sometimes what the plan implements is worse than no plan, especially when important details are glossed over (such as why build infrastructure that is poorly used and a serious money sink?).

      It's also not clear to me from the story why Japan should have a 35 year plan for maglev trains rather than a 10-15 year plan. It might cost a little more to hustle construction, but they also miss some of the drama that can happen with long term plans when the plans get changed every few years (or the circumstances change). Longer isn't better.

    13. Re:Just for comparison.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      The problem with this mindset is that it only measures ticket sales. If you make travel between cities incredibly fast then you open up all kinds of new business opportunities and larger efficiencies.

      Intangibles which you can value arbitrarily high are a convenient way to ignore that the train isn't paying for itself. If all this value is being created, then the value would show up in the form of higher ticket sales.

      Conservatives tend to be the ones who always bemoan the unintended consequences of market intervention. But for some reason everyone seems to believe that there can only be negative unintended consequences.

      Probably because that is the kind that is far more likely to occur. Also, since when has "We might do something useful by accident" been a good argument for continuing an activity?

    14. Re:Just for comparison.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Also, you can't have rail to every house and business. And urban areas are already heavily connected with roads and airports, especially in places which have bemoaning conservatives.

    15. Re:Just for comparison.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > However, an airline ticket between any of those cities can be had for generally $100, and the government doesn't subsidize it.
      Wrong. They're hella subsidized. Jet fuel. Airport infrastructure. Various other things.

    16. Re:Just for comparison.... by DeathSquid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A lot of people don't realize how expensive trains are. I took an hour-and-a-half trip in Spain recently, and it cost 50 Euros. Are people really willing to pay that? The trip from SF to LA will cost two or three times that. What is there to entice a person to ride the train instead of fly or drive? Flying in Europe is often cheaper than taking the train. And if you have more than one person going (talking about the US again), driving is just more economical, and not necessarily slower.

      Until you've used a good train system, it is really hard to understand why it is better. Afterwards, it's obvious.

      For example, in Japan (and Europe) fast trains are better than commercial flights because there is no messing around getting to and from distant airports, no long checkin queues, no excess luggage charges, no long security queues, no requirement for invasive searches/imaging, much more legroom, more comfortable seating, a smoother ride, you can use your phone/electronics the entire trip, no waiting for checked luggage to appear at the end (or maybe not), and they are much more punctual and much less affected by inclement weather. For a city to city trip, I would prefer a fast train for any trip less than around 4-5 hours.

      A fast train may even cost a bit more than a discounted flight. But I still prefer them because they are generally faster, more reliable and far more comfortable.

      Furthermore, fast trains are safer (Japan's shinkansen has had zero fatalities due to derailment/collision, ever) and they can make use of non-carbon emitting power sources. They are especially far safer (and more relaxing) than driving.

    17. Re:Just for comparison.... by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 1

      Actually it highlights a massive flaw in our Capitalist model... if this were to be done by private industry it would never happen because they would need to directly turn a profit, the other associated benefits and profits would not be factored into it at all and it would never get off the ground (bad pun intended).

      --
      http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
    18. Re:Just for comparison.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How much money do highways and interstates cost the USA every year? Clearly, these roads are running at a loss and should be closed down. They only provide an intangible benefit, after all.

    19. Re:Just for comparison.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Actually it highlights a massive flaw in our Capitalist model... if this were to be done by private industry it would never happen because they would need to directly turn a profit, the other associated benefits and profits would not be factored into it at all and it would never get off the ground (bad pun intended).

      What's the flaw which this highlights? US railroad builders in the 19th Century were quite cognizant of the ability of railroads to raise property values and other things and they had a variety of ways to profit from that. A number of railroads were actually part of some grander scheme (for example, railroads were a key component of the massive, "open range" cattle drives that turned scrub and grass on vast tracts of unclaimed land into beef on eastern US dinner plates).

      But why spend your own money to make this happen, when you can spend public money to create and maintain the rails?

    20. Re:Just for comparison.... by khallow · · Score: 0

      How much money do highways and interstates cost the USA every year? Clearly, these roads are running at a loss and should be closed down. They only provide an intangible benefit, after all.

      Toll roads (the road analogue to selling train tickets) turn that intangible benefit into tangible benefit.

    21. Re:Just for comparison.... by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 2

      Well, seeing as how I worked for the US side of one of Japan's most well-known (and loved) train mfrs... I may know the reality of the situation here in the US. And even from your own post, notice how you had to go back to the 1800s? Ever notice how our infrastructure is STILL in the 1800s? It may come as a surprise but wooden railroad ties are not the bee's knees of technology an haven't been for quite a long damn time. It is one of the main reasons why we can't have any sort of high-speed rail here.Nah, everything is perfectly fine with our system... just keep telling yourself that.

      --
      http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
    22. Re:Just for comparison.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Nah, everything is perfectly fine with our system... just keep telling yourself that.

      I deeply apologize for not buying enough of your no-doubt wonderful company's products, but I don't deal in fashion. The wooden tied rails are what the US needs for moving cargo while high speed rail just duplicates the collectively better transportation systems of road and air, both which, I might add for fashion's sake, are 20th Century products not 19th Century products such as your trains.

    23. Re:Just for comparison.... by rasmusbr · · Score: 1

      You could easily have 10 million riders per year. Multiply that with an average ticket price of $100. That's a billion dollars per year. Now, that may not be enough to pay for construction of the track and 5% interest on the construction cost, but it would be enough to pay for trains and maintenance and operations, which opens up the possibility for a market driven scheme...

      Let the government build the tracks with tax money (or rather with government loans payed back over time). Once the tracks are in place the government would auction time slots to private train operators. The state government would not be allowed to subsidize operations of these companies, but local governments/cities would be allowed to do so to some extent if they want more frequent service to their city. The track, track operation and track maintenance would be owned and run as a state government owned business, which could be sold to private buyers later if it becomes profitable. You should be able to pay more and more of the maintenance with user fees as the ridership grows over time.

      This way you get your rail line, and you get competitive rail operators who will compete for your ticket money in order to increase their profits.

    24. Re:Just for comparison.... by peragrin · · Score: 1

      In the USA. train stations are very seldom in useful areas of a given city. more often they are farther out than the airports.

      The cit I live in and my parents city. The train stations are 10-15 miles away from anywhere useful, and while they are attached to the bus stations the busses don't go every where, indeed.

      For fun I timed it out once. to go by bus/train to my home to my parents would take something along the lines of 6 hours to travel what I do in my car in 90 minutes doing the speed limit. The train ride itself is nearly 2 hours long and costs $30. My car uses $12 of gas.(at $4 a gallon)

      So why spend more, take longer doing it, to travel? when for $24 I can have a mom cooked meal and spend a couple of hours with my family in the same time it would take me to get to the there by bus/train.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    25. Re:Just for comparison.... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You don't have to tell me the good things about riding a train. I like riding trains. You fail to understand how the American system works.

      If you tell an American it will cost him $70USD to travel for an hour and a half, he will say, "forget it, I'll just drive a car and pay $15." That is doubly true if you are riding with someone else. The extra advantage is you have your car with you when you arrive at the destination. A secondary extra advantage is you can haul a lot more stuff in a car than on either a train or a plane.

      In the United States, most people will drive a car for trips of less than 4-5 hours, and when they realize the true price of the train, they will not want to ride the train.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    26. Re:Just for comparison.... by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Indeed. I've advocated this (privately, mostly) for a number of years. IMHO it's a good way to combine what government does best and what private industry does best.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    27. Re:Just for comparison.... by Osgeld · · Score: 1

      please do tell, what are these business opportunities that we have not seen in the 100+ years of mass transportation of people?

      just because its using a "new" technology does not instantly mean its a totally new business.

    28. Re:Just for comparison.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So in three weeks time me and my gf will take the train from Penn Station NY to Union Station DC. Total cost both tickets: $99

      How is that not cheap?

    29. Re:Just for comparison.... by An+Ominous+Cow+Erred · · Score: 1

      Except driving REALLY costs over fifty cents a mile when you figure in all the money you're actually spending on your car, not just the gasoline (gasoline in the US is very cheap, and is actually NOT the majority cost of driving).

      Moreover, even at 50 cents a mile, you're still assuming that you're getting free labor from an unpaid worker -- the driver (who is probably you). During this whole time when you could be working on a paper, talking to friends, drinking vodka, playing angry birds, or whatever.... instead you're focusing on not killing yourself or others while you operate a large heavy machine that could veer out of control at any second if your concentration lapses.

      Driving is NOT cheap, we just ignore the costs.

    30. Re:Just for comparison.... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      lol if you are wasting your time while driving and complaining about it, you truly are an idiot. Lately I've been learning Russian when I drive (or fly, actually). Not everyone wastes their time. Stop wasting your time.

      Besides, it doesn't matter. People aren't going to get rid of their cars because of ONE high speed rail system. They need high speed rail plus local transportation, and very often they'll still buy a car if they can afford it, because they are just so convenient (try hauling a load of groceries on a train or bus, it's such a pain).

      So once again, unless you have a plan for somehow transitioning our society (in the US) to a train-based society, you fail the three criteria listed above. People aren't going to say, "wow, if I hadn't bought my car, this train ticket would be cheaper than driving!"

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    31. Re:Just for comparison.... by glodime · · Score: 1

      All roads should be toll roads?

    32. Re:Just for comparison.... by glodime · · Score: 1

      Roads and Airplanes are always better at transporting people compared to trains (high-speed or otherwise)?

    33. Re:Just for comparison.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Roads and Airplanes are always better at transporting people compared to trains (high-speed or otherwise)?

      You can always dream up a special case, such as a lone traveler who can't drive and has a morbid fear of flying. But collectively, people don't have preferences that preclude road or air. Then rail just doesn't have a compelling case for it, especially, if you either streamline airport security and boarding or bring rail security to on par with airport security.

    34. Re:Just for comparison.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      All roads should be toll roads?

      I think it's a better approach than current, especially since the current approach is exploitable philosophically by high speed rail boosters. A mode of transportation shouldn't translate into an automatic pot of money, be it roads or high speed rail, but proven on the price that people are willing to pay for its services.

    35. Re:Just for comparison.... by glodime · · Score: 1

      I wasn't talking about better from the standpoint of a single individual but as a functioning system. You seem to be brushing off the possibility that for any area and distance airplanes and cars are may not be superior to trains in terms of transportation efficiency and promotion of economic growth. Why do you so easily dismiss the experience of light rail and subway systems that seem to work well in many cities? Or the high and average speed trains that seem to serve the needs of traveling intermediate (100 to 500 miles) distances between and among sufficiently dense populations?

    36. Re:Just for comparison.... by glodime · · Score: 1

      Why shouldn't individual towns counties and States serve their residents with well maintained roads financed by taxes? Tolls as a preemptive defense against high speed rain projects which may or may not be beneficial to those residents seems like a weak argument.

  3. Look at the bright side by countertrolling · · Score: 1

    A faster trip to the funeral home you'll never find, unless they bring back the Concorde..

    --
    For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
  4. Oh Japan. by Reed+Solomon · · Score: 1

    Always with the magnets.

    1. Re:Oh Japan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fucking MagLevs, How Do They Work?

  5. Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by hackertourist · · Score: 5, Interesting

    TFA mentions 67 minutes travel time. The Shinkansen takes 155 minutes for the same distance, so this would be a significant improvement. The cities are 500 km apart, even an airplane would not take significantly less than an hour.

    1. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by stms · · Score: 1

      It may be significant if trains are still relevant in 34 years.

    2. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by 91degrees · · Score: 2

      It's not too much of a stretch. They've been relevant in Japan for 140 years.

    3. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Why wouldn't they be? A country with the population density of Japan can't support individual transport methods for the same leg to get the volume of people needed, and bulk transport like Airplanes have recently shown to have security clearance lines which are longer than then entire trip would take on the maglev.

      For distances like this, the convenience of buying a ticket and getting on can't be matched. Providing there is sufficient volume of people traveling between two destinations a train is an excellent choice.

    4. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by robbak · · Score: 2

      As these things are competing with air travel, high speed rail will come into it's own as the high energy liquid fuels required for aircraft become scarce.

      --
      Prediction for end of Universe #42: Fencepost error in Quantum_bogosort.cpp
    5. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by khallow · · Score: 1

      As these things are competing with air travel, high speed rail will come into it's own as the high energy liquid fuels required for aircraft become scarce.

      And why would high energy liquid fuels become "scarce"? Oil isn't the only source for them.

    6. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by xelah · · Score: 1

      There are other problems with air travel, too. As well as the inevitable externalities (noise spread over a wider area near airports, pollution dropped over populated areas) they also require a huge land area for airports, and those airports are often not near to where people want to go. So you end up spending only a fraction of your time on the fast aeroplane and much more of it in terminals and on local transport. Besides....is there enough airspace for as densely populated and travelled area as this?

    7. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Trains have one other major advantage over aircraft: comfort. A 10,000 yen (~£75) ticket from Tokyo to Osaka on current trains gets you a large seat with good led room, in-seat power and the possibility of buying or bringing your own food and drink (no more than 100ml of liquid on planes remember). Presumably there are limits on the amount of luggage you can take but I have seen entire brass bands on there before.

      By the time you have got to the airport (probably by train in Japan), got checked in, dropped baggage off, gone through security, boarded, flown, disembarked, collected baggage, got out of the airport and taken the train to the centre of town it takes longer than by current bullet trains on a 500km route.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  6. yay! by sqldr · · Score: 1

    we can all get crammed into a tin can that runs at 300 mph rather than 150!

    --
    I wrote my first program at the age of six, and I still can't work out how this website works.
    1. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not really seeing a downside...

    2. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      we can all get crammed into a tin can that runs at 300 mph rather than 150!

      After analyzing your very well thought post, we chose to outlaw mechanical vehicles - be it on ground, air, or water. From now on, you're free to use the much safer horse for all your transporting needs. The air model is still in the experimental stage, but we assure you engineers all over the world are working full time on solving the few issues left.

      The Department of Transportation

    3. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On one of my last business trips to Japan, I was caught in messy disagreement between JVC (Yokohama) and their "parent" Panasonic in Osaka. Both needed our two factory engineers to make their Divx DVD production schedules and Panasonic pulled no punches, yanking Sill & Bam out of Yoko and into Osaka in about 30 minutes + train ride.

      Later that evening couple of us "async visiting managers" went to both facilities to try to smooth things over without much luck. Our secret weapon was a white engineer, who had done did a year internship at Sony, after US college and might help us figure out what was going on to some extent. for example, we had hoped that he could get us past the "no foreigners" signs on the sex shows near the Shinjuku train Station.

      Point to rail traffic: it seemed that a Shinkansen left Yokohama for Osaka about every ten minutes. We got on an earlier train then our reservations,not paying much attention, and took some stoic Japanese seats for the ~2.x hour ride. It never occurred to us why these Japanese were standing in aisle -- we had their seats. They did not feel comfortable taking empty seats of their ancestors or the Yakuza.

      Fun stuff until bankruptcy.....

    4. Re:yay! by FishTankX · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As opposed to being groped or scanned, and then stuck in a 1 foot by 1 foot seat on an aluminum can that can fall out of the sky? Or be stuck going about 5x slower than said tin can in a car? o.o

      I don't know of any transportation method in the world other than maglev that can get you from the downtown area of one city, 300 miles away, to the down town area of another city in 70 minutes. Much less one that could acomplish that while not requiring security scans or invasive groping, and a scan of your luggage, or heck, any luggage weight limits whatsoever.

    5. Re:yay! by Ultra64 · · Score: 1

      dude..what?

    6. Re:yay! by khallow · · Score: 1

      I don't know of any transportation method in the world other than maglev that can get you from the downtown area of one city, 300 miles away, to the down town area of another city in 70 minutes.

      Airplanes, of course, can do that now.

    7. Re:yay! by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      No, they can't, because the overhead of check-in, security, waiting for a runway, baggage check, baggage pickup, etc, adds hours to even the shortest flight.

    8. Re:yay! by khallow · · Score: 1

      No, they can't, because the overhead of check-in, security, waiting for a runway, baggage check, baggage pickup, etc, adds hours to even the shortest flight.

      None of those things require adding hours to the flight. It's worth noting that in the US, the same government which burdens US airlines also promotes high speed rail.

    9. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You realize that in the US, the TSA controls rail as well, right? The security procedures are pretty much the same.

    10. Re:yay! by sqldr · · Score: 1

      I love karma whoring.  You make a sarcastic humourous comment about the reality of trains (I get the london underground every day), and we get "insightful" comments about the advantages of trains over aeroplanes or cars.  I've learnt nothing except that there's a lot of karma whores on slashdot.

      --
      I wrote my first program at the age of six, and I still can't work out how this website works.
    11. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I had a job! ;-)

    12. Re:yay! by FishTankX · · Score: 2

      I should rephrase then. I don't know of many transportation methods that can get you in the door of your departure station and out the door of your destination station traveling 300 miles from downtown to downtown in an hour and a half.
      (Disclaimer, I live in Japan)
      This is part of why the shinkansen is so succesfull. Note that I realize my previous analogy is maglev to planes, and this is shinkansen to planes. So this is a seperate discussion.

      But the reason why the shinkansen has been succesfull is that generally airports aren't built downtown. They're built far away, where the noise pollution and traffic would be undesirable to put smack dab in the middle of town.

      however, in Japan, trainstations are generally as close as possible to the heart of town, and as such, you can merely enter the station, buy your ticket in five minutes, board in another 5, be on your way, and at your destination be out in five minutes.

      However the same process takes nearly an hour (counting both departure and arrival) in a best case scenario with an airplane. Thus, for shorthaul flights the planes don't make any more sense than a train. And Japan is shorthaul travel centric due to the size of the country. Going from the northern most island (Hokkaido) to the southern most island (kyuushuu), airplanes make total sense. But if you're just hopping a flight from Tokyo to Osaka, which is ALMOST possible to do in a straight line, there's just no point in bothering with aircraft because, even WITH the costs and journey times being similar, people generally dislike airports, you generally have to pay for parking at the airport (where as rail stations are close enough that bicycle access is highly practical) and there are many many more places to get into the rail network. I live pretty far from downtown in my area but I can technically start a rail journey to Tokyo with a ten minute bike ride to the local train station, on a complete whim. (The last part is important, I feel that air travel is less flexible than rail, I rarley if ever have a problem getting a ticket with 0 advanced notice unless it's newyears.)

      Having a working maglev line between Tokyo and Osaka may tip the scales enough that even if it is slightly more expensive than the shinkansen (and I can guarantee you it will be), it will STILL be the fastest way to get between the two points, thus probably gobbling up most of the passengers that would have otherwise flown. That's probably why this line is being constructed. I think the Tokyo Osaka route is one of the most heavily traveled non local train routes in the world, so there's probably enough traffic to make it pay.

    13. Re:yay! by SoftwareArtist · · Score: 1

      Why do you believe they'll let people get into their many-billion-dollar, super high tech maglev without requiring them to go through a security scan first?

      --
      "I'm too busy to research this and form an educated opinion, but I do have time to tell everyone my uninformed opinion."
    14. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? Its pretty difficult for most of us to fly without waiting in the check-in queue to get your boarding pass (which makes it significantly easier to pass the security checkpoint), passing through the checkpoint (which makes it significntly easier to get aboard the plane), and then waiting for the plane to push back and taxi.

      So.. maybe I should fly with you, because you still can fly without having to go through all that. For the rest of us in the real world, there is no flight without taking the extra time.

      I will grant you, however, that in Japan the check-in and security wait times weren't anywhere near 1 hour, let alone multiple hours.

      And while the burdens on US air travel make US high speed rail more feasible, US geography makes it less so. New England may be able to work a high speed rail line okay, but not many other parts of the country. San Diego to San Fransisco.. you're getting into distances where flights are at least as useful as (theoretical) high speed train service. And that assumes that CA citizens don't NIMBY high speed trains, restricting them from high speed travel or requiring an extra 150 miles of travel inland to get out of higher population areas. Maybe I'm wrong, and theres a lot more demand for passenger traffic between SD and LA or Chicago and Detroit. But I doubt it. Especially when the train station is going to having parking fees like an airport and (if Amtrak runs it) infrequent departure times just like an airline.

    15. Re:yay! by sirlatrom · · Score: 1

      Why, do you think anyone would attempt a hijack?

    16. Re:yay! by sjames · · Score: 1

      While by restoring sanity we could get rid of the groping and scanning, and very careful planning and design could minimize other delays (but probably not enough), that would still leave being crammed into the 1 foot square seat and the weight limits on luggage.

    17. Re:yay! by FishTankX · · Score: 1

      My apoligies. I mistook you for one of those 'Trains are for shmucks with no freedom' drive till you die types. Sorry my comment was misguided.

      But I still think that doubling the speed is a huge thing, because it will finally allow the train to out-race the airplanes on THAT route, which i'm familiar with. And, as such, shouldn't be dismissed as an incremental upgrade.

    18. Re:yay! by FishTankX · · Score: 1

      With current tech, for better or for worse (hackers), if I understand the tech correctly, if the train is hijacked, since the motors are under the control of the network as well as the train operator, they'll be able to do something about the hijacking, making it significantly less dangerous than even hijacking a bus.

    19. Re:yay! by SoftwareArtist · · Score: 1

      Hijacking is hardly the only form of terrorism. A nice explosive would do just as well. And maglevs are really ideal for that. If you blow up an airplane, you just destroy that one plane. If you blow up a train, you prevent any train from getting through until the rubble is cleared away and the track is repaired. For an ordinary train track, that's not too hard, but maglev track is much more complicated and incredibly expensive.

      --
      "I'm too busy to research this and form an educated opinion, but I do have time to tell everyone my uninformed opinion."
    20. Re:yay! by macshit · · Score: 1

      What seems ever-so-slightly silly is that with the maglev, travelling between Tokyo and Nagoya will actually be faster than travelling from one side of Tokyo to the other (albeit a lot more expensive)...

      --
      We live, as we dream -- alone....
    21. Re:yay! by khallow · · Score: 1

      I should rephrase then. I don't know of many transportation methods that can get you in the door of your departure station and out the door of your destination station traveling 300 miles from downtown to downtown in an hour and a half.

      You should rephrase that. You don't know of any current transportation method that does that. There are some future methods that could do this. It's foolish to compare present day flight to future rail rather than future flight to future rail.

      But ask yourself this. Given that airplanes already travel fast enough that the travel portion of the flight is a small portion of the overall time of travel, why should we make faster trains rather than speed up the lengthy non-travel portions of air flight? Which is going to give you more return for the money spent?

      My view is that air flight has great institutionalized inefficiencies that simply don't make sense. There's no reason that you shouldn't be able to hop on a plane (between two heavy traveled locations like Tokyo and Osaka) like you do a train and fly away promptly. There's no reason that airports have to, aside from some location restrictions, be different from train stations as to how they handle passengers or how often they fly.

    22. Re:yay! by khallow · · Score: 1

      that would still leave being crammed into the 1 foot square seat and the weight limits on luggage.

      Neither which is particularly significant. The point here is that high speed rail covers a modest domain between air flights and cars. Most of that domain can be covered merely by improving the non-travel portions of air flight, which also would be more cost effective in terms of passengers affected than building expensive, specialized railways.

    23. Re:yay! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Really? Its pretty difficult for most of us to fly without waiting in the check-in queue to get your boarding pass (which makes it significantly easier to pass the security checkpoint), passing through the checkpoint (which makes it significntly easier to get aboard the plane), and then waiting for the plane to push back and taxi.

      So.. maybe I should fly with you, because you still can fly without having to go through all that. For the rest of us in the real world, there is no flight without taking the extra time.

      Unfortunately, I don't have a special "in" with the airports. My point is that this sort of nonsense is what's slowing down flight, not an inherent inefficiency of flight transportation. There's no structural reason why air travel between busy hubs can't be conducted like rail travel.

      Further, if this issue isn't addressed, then I think it's only a matter of time before passenger rail has to suffer through the same sort of security checkpoints and other delays that plague passage through airports.

    24. Re:yay! by sjames · · Score: 1

      It may not be significant for YOU, but I assure you, it is for me. I will happily take a train in comfort over a plane if it can get me there in no more than twice the time.

      Then, there's the vastly better fuel efficiency for a train and the impossibility of hijacking it to Cuba or crashing it into anything.

    25. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [the US Government...] promotes high speed rail

      ...only VERY recently has this been somewhat true.

      I've ridden Acela Express from Boston to NYC... and it is SLOW (avg under 70mph) - if New York wasn't so car-hostile, it would be better to drive.
      Maybe the 55mph speed limits are part of some government conspiracy to force people to use trains.

    26. Re:yay! by Tug3 · · Score: 1

      And if a maglev would ever be built in US, yo can bet your ass you'd get your ass groped in the name of security, and by the time the price of a ticket would be reasonable you'd also pay extra for bags...

      --
      If all else fails, pull the plug and get out...
      The Life is out there...
    27. Re:yay! by khallow · · Score: 1

      It may not be significant for YOU, but I assure you, it is for me.

      Yea yea yea. The "but" here is the cost. Sure, you like to ride trains, but are you willing to pay considerably more for that? Fuel efficiency? Hard to compare since some trains are electric, but trains, particularly high speed trains, aren't that efficient energy-wise until the train is heavily loaded.

    28. Re:yay! by sjames · · Score: 1

      Your statement applies to jetliners as well. They start losing money FAST if they aren't mostly full. Maglev trains will likely be much more fuel efficient than a conventional high speed rail.

      Trains are more scalable though. They can't just take a passenger segment out of a 747 if ticket sales are a bit light.

      I doubt trains would take over everything, but they probably make sense on busy routes.

    29. Re:yay! by sqldr · · Score: 1

      hehe, you could probably summarise trains in the same way Winston Churchill summed up democracy:

      "It's the worst system of government there is, but the only one we have"

      --
      I wrote my first program at the age of six, and I still can't work out how this website works.
    30. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Airplanes, of course, can do that now.

      You clearly aren't following your airline's check-in time advice, much less accounting for time waiting for luggage, &c. (And, of course, you dodged the rest of the parent's post).

    31. Re:yay! by khallow · · Score: 1

      Your statement applies to jetliners as well. They start losing money FAST if they aren't mostly full.

      And they fly mostly full unlike trains in a lot of places.

      I doubt trains would take over everything, but they probably make sense on busy routes.

      In a place with working transportation systems, why would trains be busy?

    32. Re:yay! by khallow · · Score: 1

      But my statement is true. The current US President mentioned the long wait lines at airports as one reason for funding high speed rail, not touching on the fact that he has considerable authority to speed up the airport wait and weaken his high speed rail argument.

    33. Re:yay! by sjames · · Score: 1

      Now you're deep into circular reasoning.

      Because nobody rides the old slow trains now, nobody will ride the new fast trains later? Even if they're roomy, slightly cheaper than flying and don't come with an anal probe?

    34. Re:yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Background - I can't wait for our high-speed rail from LA to SF, and I'm delighted we got the FL money. LA-SF is the perfect hispeed rail corridor.

      THAT SAID - the only reason there's so little security is that there hasn't been a successful attack on trains yet.
      As for khallow's remark about downtowns, s/he's right about LA, anyway. I'm much closer to LAX than Union Station. It depends where you live. Being able to leave from downtown is only an advantage if you're near... downtown.

      Manhattan is the perfect example of where you'd want fast train travel, and I think the Acela is the attempt at doing that (without, if I'm not mistaken, laying new rails, thereby slowing it down considerably).

  7. RAILGUN by sanman2 · · Score: 1

    You say this now - but when they shoot down your orbital space-elevator, you won't be laughing.

    1. Re:RAILGUN by JockTroll · · Score: 1

      Nor will you when I drop a colony on your headquarters, loserboy. Sieg Zeon!

      --
      Geeks are so full of shit that "beating the crap out of them" takes a whole new meaning.
  8. Exactly why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why would they have to raise our taxes? Invade one less third world shithole per presidency, and the budget wouldn't be balanced, we'd have a fucking surplus that could see us with goddamned maglev trains to the goddamned doorstep.

    But of course, THAT'S SOCIALISM. And we don't stand for none of that there socialism here in 'murrica.

    1. Re:Exactly why? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Invade one less third world shithole per presidency, and the budget wouldn't be balanced, we'd have a fucking surplus that could see us with goddamned maglev trains to the goddamned doorstep.

      If only that were true. Current US deficit is more than twice the annual cost of the military, including a few wars in there. A lot of that is the US paying an economic premium for having an unusually bad batch of idiots in charge. Maybe getting rid of the military and putting in someone with some good economic and political chops might do it. I suspect however, that the sacred entitlement herd will have to be culled too.

    2. Re:Exactly why? by PhrstBrn · · Score: 1

      If only that were true. Current US deficit is more than twice the annual cost of the military, including a few wars in there. A lot of that is the US paying an economic premium for having an unusually bad batch of idiots in charge. Maybe getting rid of the military and putting in someone with some good economic and political chops might do it. I suspect however, that the sacred entitlement herd will have to be culled too.

      Perfect, so let's cut military spending in half, and use that half to pay off a quarter of the deficit every year (or whatever fraction it is) and we'll be high sailing in 4 years or so (5-6 depending on how your math works). I'm assuming your numbers aren't pulled out of your ass.

    3. Re:Exactly why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He wrote deficit, not debt?

    4. Re:Exactly why? by garyebickford · · Score: 2

      It's worth noting that there is not a single rail transport system in the world that is self-supporting. (That's also true of highways and air transport, depending on what you count.) So we would have to agree that rail is worth doing. It is the most energy efficient way of moving people besides bicycle - provided that the people are going where the train goes! (IMHO it's also the most comfortable and enjoyable, at least for us great unwashed who don't have a 'Capitalist Tool'.)

      Beyond the cost of building and running the rail system, the biggest problem with all mass transport systems is that the trip tends to take longer than other options - driving typically takes about 1/3 the time as taking the bus. So even if the bus is free, it's really more expensive for the rider, unless the rider makes minimum wage and doesn't own a car. (Of course this ignores externalities - pollution, use of space for ten-lane freeways, etc.)

      The biggest issue here in the US is that well before the rise of the automobile, we built a society based on the buckboard wagon, the horse and buggy, and the Conestoga wagon. Those are replaced today by the pickup truck, the car, and (more or less) the RV. We have a widely distributed populace, with both and infrastructure and a social system that is intimately tied with the 'sub - urban' world and world view. A related factor is that the US has one of the lowest mean population densities of any country in the world.

      So not only is it expensive and only rarely cost effective to build mass transport systems here, there is little short term preference. Folks outside the big cities here, by and large, just don't like being next to other people in enclosed spaces. (One could argue that's indicative why many of our ancestors left wherever it was they're from.)

      Back when I lived in Southern California, Amtrak spent $millions on a plan for high speed rail from LA to San Diego. Every small town between the two cities sued to prevent it, and Amtrak finally gave up. Without a national eminent domain program on the scale of the Interstate Highway System, it's really not going to happen. I came up with the idea that the gov't. could nationalize the physical rail system (making them analogous to the federal highways), and allow private enterprise to run trains on them (analogous to the commercial trucking industry). I think this would work.

      I personally really like the trains - but they are still too expensive, even though they are subsidized. It's often more expensive to take the train between two cities than to fly, and because of track conditions and the fact that freight takes priority, it often takes as long as riding the bus. So, other than the enjoyment, it's the worst of all options.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    5. Re:Exactly why? by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Indeed, he did. So that guy's notion is unbaked. :)

      Not to mention that defense is one of the very few things that is specifically allocated to the federal government - as opposed to bailing out everyone from artists to bankers.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  9. I grew up in Japan by dorpus · · Score: 1

    They kept saying that maglev trains will be everywhere by 1985, and that there will be cities in space by 2010.

    The illustrations showed them using black land-line telephones and mainframes that spit out hexadecimal ticker-tape, too.

    1. Re:I grew up in Japan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Last I checked we do use phone lines still (DSL) and mainframes. The hexadecimal ticker-tape though is a little outdated. So they maybe were talking about the early 90's or late 80's instead of the 2010.

    2. Re:I grew up in Japan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They kept saying that ... there will be cities in space by 2010.

      Well, Honda builds an Odyssey. What more do you want?

    3. Re:I grew up in Japan by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      And they'll have Linux desktops built into the back of the seats!! :D

      They kept saying that maglev trains will be everywhere by 1985, and that there will be cities in space by 2010.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    4. Re:I grew up in Japan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they killed that dream when they killed kennedy, destroyed the physical economy to run the wars, traded the bretton woods system for a casino gamblers wet dream, then they perverted the taxation system so that the rich could lend the us money instead of be taxed, then they pushed ayn rand's idea to kill everything that has to do with the public benefit and we get to where we are today.

  10. Have you not been paying attention? by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    Well, Congress may actually have to raise our taxes (gasp) and not contract the lowest bidder, but progress isn't free.

    Raising taxes: given.

    Then it's not the lowest bidder - it's the one who has donated the most money to the political party in power.

    Then that company builds out a half-assed train that no-one ends up using because it goes right to some congressman's home town instead of somewhere useful.

    Do you seriously expect anything else out of congress?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Have you not been paying attention? by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of the special lanes on the highway from Washington DC to Dulles Airport that used to be only available to VIPs. I don't know if it's still true, but it was common to be stuck in traffic on the way to catch a flight, while one or two cars every minute zipped by in the two or three mostly-empty VIP lanes.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  11. 30 years? by Nihn · · Score: 1

    Really, 30 years from start to finish? Why? Are they using that new contraption they came out with last year? The shovel they call it, will revolutionize the way we build. But seriously....30 years......

  12. China has abandoned the MagLev.. Japan picks it up by ausrob · · Score: 0

    China experimented with MagLev technology in Shanghai and found that ultimately it used too much power and required too much maintenance and ultimately abandoned it in favour of the CRH trains. These alternative trains (designed by a combination of French, German and - ironically - Japanese companies) currently operate between Beijing and Nanjing (and other major cities in the region) at will eventually be running to Beijing. These have a lower top speed (theoretically can reach 380kms/hr) than the MagLev, but they run on reinforced rail and cost far less to run. It's interesting that the Japanese are pursuing MagLev technology in light of its shortcomings.

  13. Dont those things need electricity? by Kenja · · Score: 3, Funny

    Just saying, first things first.

    --

    "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
  14. OT: The front page of Slashdot is giving me an err by Qubit · · Score: 1

    (I got here by using longer urls into my profile)

    Where is the backup meeting place/blog for slashdot if and when the site has problems?

    (e.g. Google has this status page for their apps: http://www.google.com/appsstatus )

    --

    coding is life /* the rest is */
  15. Re:China has abandoned the MagLev.. Japan picks it by macshit · · Score: 2

    It's interesting that the Japanese are pursuing MagLev technology in light of its shortcomings.

    I'm no expert, but maglev of course has advantages and disadvantages. It is much more expensive to build the line, but because there's basically no wear (there's no physical contact, either with the rails, or with overhead catenary), it's much cheaper to maintain (maintenance on a heavily used conventional HSR line is quite demanding, as there's a lot of wear, and the line must be kept within strict tolerances). When using super-conducting magnets, the train can also be lighter (much of the motor mechanism is part of the track, not the train), and it's simpler to reach very high speeds and very high acceleration.

    Anyway, JR has more experience running conventional HSR lines than anybody else, so their judgement is not to be sneezed at -- and they're paying for the line themselves, so clearly they're putting their money where their mouth is...

    --
    We live, as we dream -- alone....
  16. The Japanese know how to plan long term by jez9999 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    Over here, at least, one of Greenpeace's main arguments is that nuclear power plants take too long to build - 5 years.

  17. A bit more information at NHK... by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 3, Interesting

    From Maglev project gets go-ahead:

    Japan's transport ministry has ordered the construction of infrastructure for magnetically levitated trains, putting the country's project for next-generation high-speed rail service fully on track.

    The ministry on Friday ordered the Central Japan Railway Company, or JR Tokai, to build maglev train tracks between Tokyo and Nagoya.

    Maglev trains boast a maximum operating speed of 500 kilometers per hour, and could travel the 340 kilometers between the 2 cities in just 40 minutes.

    The ministry told JR Tokai to build the tracks on an almost straight route, using underground tunnels to pass beneath a mountain range.

    The firm plans to start an environmental assessment this year and begin construction in 3 years.

    Maglev trains are to start operating between Tokyo and Nagoya in 2027 and between Tokyo and Osaka in 2045.

    The project is expected to cost 9 trillion yen, or nearly 113 billion dollars.
    Friday, May 27, 2011 17:04 +0900 (JST)

    The first leg is specified at 340km, and the total appears to be roughly 500km. At nearly 9 trillion yen, that would be 18*10^9 yen/km, or about 350 million dollars a mile. That looks ridiculously expensive, though a significant part of that may be drilling through mountain ranges. Often the maglev components themselves are insignificant compared to the necessary ground work, or securing rights of way.

    Still, I'm curious how much of that cost could be avoided by opting for an Inductrack based system instead. Inductrack is an elegant passive magnetic levitation system, which is vastly cheaper than conventional systems due to its profound simplicity. It also seems likely that they chose a nearly straight path, exactly because of the excessive track cost. If that is the case, the path flexibility afforded by using a cheaper technology, may have allowed for significantly less ground work and a more attractively priced system.

    In a country like the US with large flat expanses, Inductrack would make for an excellent intercity transit network. The costs are very reasonable, even when compared with conventional high-speed rail.

    1. Re:A bit more information at NHK... by macshit · · Score: 2

      Maglev track isn't cheap, but I don't think it's a significant part of the total cost... as you say, boring the track through several mountain ranges is likely the biggest component, along with, perhaps, land-acquisition (especially in the cities). A short path length not only reduces land and construction costs, it reduces journey times on the final system, which is very important for them.

      Moreover, initial track cost is less of an issue than long-term maintenance cost.

      In any case, JR has been developing their maglev tech for a long time, and have a lot of experience with it, and it meets their criteria pretty well (e.g., the large gap size makes the system more robust against things like earthquakes). They're not very likely to suddenly switch to something new unless the benefits -- both initial and long-term -- are absolutely incredible, and obvious. While inductrac sounds interesting,it doesn't sound like it really meets that threshold.

      --
      We live, as we dream -- alone....
    2. Re:A bit more information at NHK... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Actually the route they chose was influenced as much by politics and NIMBYism as much as practicalities and directness.

      Various cities along the route were keen to be served by the route because a high speed rail link brings huge economic benefits. In Japan more than most countries the big economic centres are built around stations, and often the train companies themselves build large shopping centres or department stores around them.

      The issue of noise from trains, particularly when exiting tunnels has long been an issue in Japan. Back in the 1960s when the bullet trains first ran they passed a law setting the maximum noise level, and this has actually held train speeds back considerably and is also one of the main reasons for the extremely long "nose" on newer models. To run at the extremely high speeds that maglev is capable of they are building long tunnels away from populated areas for much of the route.

      I wouldn't be surprised if they start building other maglev tracks before this one is finished, and there are bound to be other countries wanting them as well. South Korea uses Japanese bullet trains for example, and it seems likely that they will want to buy maglev technology too. The astronomical cost of the system will be offset by sales of the technology and by the new economic developments mentioned above.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:A bit more information at NHK... by DamienNightbane · · Score: 0

      Plus the train can maintain its top speed much longer on a long, straight track that goes through the mountain rather than around or over it.

    4. Re:A bit more information at NHK... by macshit · · Score: 1

      Actually the route they chose was influenced as much by politics and NIMBYism as much as practicalities and directness.

      Various cities along the route were keen to be served by the route because a high speed rail link brings huge economic benefits.
      ...

      Note that they actually chose a fairly direct route, over several others under consideration which detoured to hit intermediate cities in Nagano prefecture (despite much pressure from the latter)...

      As you say, there are advantages to avoiding intermediate cities -- aerodynamic noise is a major issue with the existing Tokaido shinkansen, although curve radius is also a big factor limiting its speeds (newer shinkansen routes have much larger curve radii) -- but those actually tend to reinforce the concept of the chuo shinkansen as a system focused on being a fairly direct long distance "mega express" (the other term used to refer to this line is the "Tokaido bypass"...).

      --
      We live, as we dream -- alone....
    5. Re:A bit more information at NHK... by TheThiefMaster · · Score: 1

      The Japanese maglev system has a lot in common with "Inductrack", it uses passive figure-8 coils in the track to levitate and guide the train. The magnets on the train are superconductors, and powered alternating magnets in the track are used for propulsion. The trains have wheels because they don't levitate at low speeds or while stopped.

      The only difference between the systems is in the kind of magnet used in the train itself.

  18. Re:China has abandoned the MagLev.. Japan picks it by piripiri · · Score: 1
  19. Re:OT: The front page of Slashdot is giving me an by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Where is the backup meeting place/blog for slashdot if and when the site has problems?

    (e.g. Google has this status page for their apps: http://www.google.com/appsstatus )

    The real world. Sorry.

  20. Re:China has abandoned the MagLev.. Japan picks it by macshit · · Score: 1

    Also note that the Japanese maglev uses fairly different technology than the Chinese maglev did -- repulsive levitation instead of attractive (allowing a much greater gap size), super-conducting magnets rather than conventional ones (less power, less weight), and propulsion that's an integral part of the levitation system (avoiding the need for a separate propulsion mechanism) -- so they can't be compared directly as easily as it might seem.

    --
    We live, as we dream -- alone....
  21. Well ... by lennier1 · · Score: 1

    Let's hope it won't become a horrendously overpriced money pit like the German Transrapid.

  22. Energy by jimmetry · · Score: 0

    Oil will run out before coal. Construction will ramp up when flying becomes less affordable.

  23. Fukushima Daiichi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about using that money to buy the empty cities in China for the Japanese people to live in so they don't all die off in one generation from radiation poisoning, cancer, birth defects in the next generation, etc.?

    The survival of an entire race of people is more important than a shiny train through a future wasteland.

  24. No by ElMiguel · · Score: 1

    No, they're magnetic, not electric.

  25. Re:China has abandoned the MagLev.. Japan picks it by jmichaelg · · Score: 1
    >China experimented with MagLev technology in Shanghai

    And Japan has been experimenting with Maglev in Yamanishi and Miyazaki since the 70's.

    With 40 years of active research behind them, I suspect the Japanese have a very good idea of the issues they're looking at.

    Whether they've figured out a way to build and operate the train economically or the track is a political boondoggle remains to be seen though the fact that they've laid out such a leisurely timeline suggests the decision was more political than technological.

  26. time is now, no need to wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was hoping my wife could buy me a ticket as my retirement present, but looks like I have a wait a couple of years after that

    Chinaman says we'll take your money now if you itch to ride.

  27. High speed rail still not MagLev by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    High speed rail is still backwards in comparison to frictionless transportation. Goods and resources can travel at even higher speeds than humans can. MagLev is able to cut more than half the time for cross continental travel that businesses and the DoD.

    1. Re:High speed rail still not MagLev by khallow · · Score: 1

      Frictionless high speed rail still has air resistance unless you're doing it in a vacuum. And goods and resources are a poor case for any sort of high speed rail. For the vast majority of such goods, business is not going to pay a large premium because it doesn't matter significantly if the good takes a few more hours or days to arrive.

  28. my ride on the Transrapid Maglev by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In 2006 I had an impressive ride on the Transrapid Maglev in Germany: 440 kmph (273 mph), and you could just walk around in the train. Great.

    Exactly two weeks later, the train crashed into a maintenance train on the track, killing a dew dozen people. Brrrrr...

  29. strange stakeholder's comments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems strange how much propaganda is used to attack the maglev projects. From all the numbers I have ever seen, any boost in the speed of transportation between cities creates a large margin of opportunities for individuals. Seems like a few stakeholders don't want to give up any of their free market advantages to allow investments in things that keep the USofA out of the darkages.

  30. Example: Kyoto-Tokyo on new year's weekend by Kyusaku+Natsume · · Score: 1

    The trains get so packed that you have people standing on corridors and doorways. I did that 3 hour trip in the Hikari, and despite having to stand up for around 1 hour and half, it was surprisingly far less bad than what I expected. What americans are thinking of a "train station" is what they have has relics from the 1930's when modern train stations in Japan are in reality big fancy packed malls with railroad tracks as a plus.

    --
    Mexico: 100% conservative's America now!
  31. MagLev NOT Cost Effective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    (1) Maglev is NOT energy efficient.
    (2) Maglev right-of-way is far more complex (and expensive) to build and maintain than steel wheel technology.
    (3) At very high speeds, air resistence, NOT rolling friction, is the primary impediment to forward motion.
    (4) Yes, maglev can reach somewhat higher speeds than steel wheel on steel rail, but it is not competitive in regard to energy efficiency, and higher speeds increase costs exponentially while the benefit of each addictional mph is decreased.

  32. There's cheaper, better technology in the works by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's true that the Japanese Maglev, like the German one, is extremely expensive to build, much like somewhat slower high speed rail, and both these maglev technologies are completely incompatible with existing rail infrastructure, unlike high speed rail, which can use existing rail inside cities and elsewhere, though only at much slower speeds. But high speed rail requires completely new and disruptive rights of way out in open country, which has led to protests against a new line in Provence, for example.

    The Japanese and German maglevs are examples of the first generation of maglev technology to come to fruition, but the inventors of the Japanese technology are two Americans who were also consultants in the development of the German technology. These two scientists, James Powell and Gordon Danby, have continued working on their technology in the US and have developed a second generation maglev technology that frankly is as far ahead of the German and Japanese varieties as they are far ahead of conventional rail.

    The Powell-Danby G2 maglev is designed to be much less costly to build, to be compatible with existing track (and even roadways) by the use of prefabricated flat panels laid down either side of an existing railway track. Because of a new kind of four-pole (horizontal & vertical) magnet arrangement they developed, G2 maglev can run either on flat track (no walls like the Japanese maglev) or on narrow elevated box monorails approximately the width between the rails on a railway track.

    Because of the configuration of the magnets and flat track, G2 maglev is designed to be able to switch tracks at full speed without any moving parts needed, unlike the expensive and complicated mechanical switches needed for the first generation systems. This makes it easy to schedule switch stop service and use single vehicles rather than convoys ("trains") where this is more practical.

    The special magnet configuration also allows G2 vehicles to carry heavy freight at full speeds, something the earlier systems cannot do. This would be a highly attractive prospect for shipping companies and would save enormously on money and shipping times over present-day trucking or rail. The inventors expect that with relatively low freight rates, this should generate most of the income for G2 maglev, making it attractive for private investment and not requiring government subsidies beyond the initial testing phase. A situation very different indeed from high speed rail or the Japanese and German first generation maglev systems, which require heavy government investment for construction and maintenance, just like highways.

    The success of the Japanese project should inspire people to take a new look at maglev in general and especially to consider the remarkable advances Powell and Danby have made in the past several decades over the original 1960s and 70s technology being used for the Japanese maglev.

    1. Re:There's cheaper, better technology in the works by Chris+M,+Montreal · · Score: 1

      Oh! I see the system calls me an anonymous coward! I didn't see any field for entering my name... Just for the record, my name's Chris Miller, Montreal, Canada.