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Germany To End Nuclear Power By 2022

dcollins writes "Germany on Monday announced plans to become the first major industrialized power to shut down all its nuclear plants in the wake of the disaster in Japan, with a phase-out due to be wrapped up by 2022... Germany has 17 nuclear reactors on its territory, eight of which are currently off the electricity grid... Already Friday, the environment ministers from all 16 German regional states had called for the temporary order on the seven plants to be made permanent... Monday's decision is effectively a return to the timetable set by the previous Social Democrat-Green coalition government a decade ago. And it is a humbling U-turn for Merkel, who at the end of 2010 decided to extend the lifetime of Germany's 17 reactors by an average of 12 years, which would have kept them open until the mid-2030s."

822 comments

  1. By coincidence... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    France has stated that it will open several new nuclear reactors before 2022, and will increase the amount of power that it exports to Germany.

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    1. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Netherlands will do the same, next to the German border...

      With the dominant West-wind in western europe, nuclear fallout will most probably head in the direction of Germany.

      So they're fucked anyway...

    2. Re:By coincidence... by altagir · · Score: 0

      So let's not risk anything on our territory. Our kind and over-nuclearised french neighboor will kindly produce for us. All safe now.

    3. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, same thing that would happen to most countries doing this at this point. Importing more nuclear and/or fossil-based power. Only real difference is the transfer of jobs and resources to the countries providing the electricity.

    4. Re:By coincidence... by CheerfulMacFanboy · · Score: 3, Funny

      The Netherlands will do the same, next to the German border...

      With the dominant West-wind in western europe, nuclear fallout will most probably head in the direction of Germany.

      So they're fucked anyway...

      Hah, we'll simply build our windpower turbines on the other side of the border, and throw them in reverse when something happens.

      --
      Fandroids hate facts.
    5. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 5, Informative

      Currently france is not exporting relevant amounts of power to germany. In fact before the 7 reactors got shut down a few weeks ago, germany had an overcapacity of 40% and exported power to european countries.
      Ofc due to grid load, maintanance of power plants or economic considerations there is also power imported all the time from everywhere in europe.
      That is just how the grid works.

      You know, a steel plant is unexpectingly shutting down. The power plant which is planned in to feed it has now a large surplus. Running it on 50% of its capacity is not economical. So you shut it down to standby and buy the power from France or Slovakia.

      Also power export and import is in a large scale directly to end customers. It is not that "germany" is buying power in France. It is that the Steel Company XYZ in Duisburg is doing so. Or that the cooling houses of Food Company ABC in Munich is buying power from Norway.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This isn't necessarily true. If you had the chance to follow the discussions in Germany there are quite a few people who support the notion that Germany only has to increase the output of its existing power plants (coal, etc) to meet the needs. Germany actually exports energy nowadays. Furthermore, one of the nuclear power plants will be on cold standby so that it's possible to start if it if the energy consumption during winter is too high.

    7. Re:By coincidence... by zill · · Score: 4, Funny

      But with all the nuclear plants down, what's gonna power the wind turbines?

    8. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But with all the nuclear plants down, what's gonna power the wind turbines?

      Farting...generated from Sauerkraut!

    9. Re:By coincidence... by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      For the smaller EU countries it would probably represent a net savings to import from France rather than refurbishing their small nuclear industry and having to deal with waste management and regulation ... the wish to have a nuclear industry often has more to do with nationalism than economics, it's a hold over from decades ago.

      France has comparative advantage.

    10. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Burning huge amounts of lignite. like they do now.

      Die Grünen, nien danke.

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    11. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I feel much safer knowing that the nation with the best track record in the world for engineering is now producing nuclear power for a nation that is mostly ridiculed for their track records in engineering and military prowess! Oh wait...

      But seriously, it is very disappointing to see the Germans make a rash decision from a scared gut-feeling instead of sticking to science and intelligent logic... The last time they did this it didn't work out so well for the rest of Europe, or them in the end for that matter...
      History lesson: We all lose when they do dumb shit like this because of scared misinformed masses.

    12. Re:By coincidence... by stanlyb · · Score: 1

      Nuclear Plant, sophisticated engineering problems, math, nuclear physics, pretty specific set of skills that you could have only if you implement them. And once you stop building nuclear plants, your highly paid and educated professionals will disappear and move abroad. As simple as that. And even if you want to rebuild all these nuclear plants, you would not be able to do it, because no one knows how to do it. Ask Iran why they invest so many resources to build their own nuclear plant, and then start to wonder why Germany gives up all that know-how just for the sake of re-election.

    13. Re:By coincidence... by Sulphur · · Score: 1

      Burning huge amounts of lignite. like they do now.

      Die Grünen, nien danke.

      Atomkraft, nein danke

      FTFY just saying.

    14. Re:By coincidence... by MtHuurne · · Score: 1

      Do you have any documentation for that? As far as I know, the only plan for a new nuclear plant is near the existing one in Borssele, which is near Belgium but about as far away from Germany as you can get in the Netherlands. There are plans for two new coal plants near the German border though, which (unless there is a nuclear disaster) are far worse in terms of pollution.

    15. Re:By coincidence... by Stormwatch · · Score: 1

      Hah, we'll simply build our windpower turbines on the other side of the border, and throw them in reverse when something happens.

      Obligatory Morbo.

    16. Re:By coincidence... by kestasjk · · Score: 2

      Relying on another country for your electricity needs.. I hope the French are generous since they'll have you over a barrel.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    17. Re:By coincidence... by tuxicle · · Score: 1

      Windmills do not work that way! /morbo

    18. Re:By coincidence... by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 1

      That's why France built the Fessenheim plant RIGHT on the border.

      You could easily throw a rock from within its property, and hit German soil.

    19. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1, Troll

      Just saying what? That the hypocritical Germans are going to keep burning the filthiest fuel available, polluting the rest of the world just to regain their precious nuclear virginity?

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    20. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cooling power in Norway? Open a window!

    21. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      In fact before the 7 reactors got shut down a few weeks ago, germany had an overcapacity of 40% and exported power to european countries.

      An overcapacity of 40% !

      Got a link for that?

      Why on earth would anyone install a 40% overcapacity?

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    22. Re:By coincidence... by Santzes · · Score: 1

      Ok let's say you're correct. Now instead of selling the green nuclear power to another countries, others have to yank up the coal power and destroy the air for all of us? Thanks.

    23. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      Well, well. The source for the "40 percent overcapacity" seems to be Stefan Engel of the German Marxist-Leninist party.

      The dramatic nuclear catastrophe in Japan calls the imperialist world system into question

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    24. Re:By coincidence... by Lennie · · Score: 1

      If you talk about Nuclear disasters, I think the size of the Netherlands wouldn't matter much.

      --
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    25. Re:By coincidence... by gmueckl · · Score: 2

      This "dumb shit" as you call it is the result of a nation-wide hysteria about nuclear energy that started in the early 80s. It has mostly been fueled mainly by environmentalists and the green party and it stuck. As a result, no new reactors have been built in Germany for decades and in addition to that, everyone is now afraid of the old ones standing everywhere. And a neat case of almost universal selective perception makes people listen to those expert naysayers who draw up the most horrible scenarios instead of the more moderate ones.

      And as another direct result of the accident in Fukushima, the German green party is on an all time high in the current set of state-level elections that's going on. Unfortunately, the people aren't voting for them because of the many actual things that they can do and want to do, but only because this party is perceived as being the one most strictly opposed to nuclear energy. I'm not looking forward to the day when the people wake up and realize that the green party program has a lot more to offer that the voters didn't actually want to happen. We're heading that way and it's not going to be pretty.

      Germans can be so incredibly stupid at times, it's annoying. I'm German, too, btw. Maybe it's time to think about a personal exit strategy...

      --
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    26. Re:By coincidence... by V+for+Vendetta · · Score: 3, Informative

      Relying on another country for your electricity needs..

      Nope. Germany is a net-exporter of electric power in Europe. Shuting down those nuclear plants still doesn't make us a net-importer. It's just that we don't export as much as before.

    27. Re:By coincidence... by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      absurd, those types of reactors can't make "fallout"

    28. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      There are always reasons why hysteria is exploited... the experts get their 15 minutes of fame, the green party gets power, and greenpeace gets richer from suckers that think they are actually helping the environment. It's funny that all people who live within a few kilometer from the nuclear power plant are OK with it (and even love the benefits that it gives their small towns), but it's the out-of-touch-with-reality people who live a safe distance and probably have never seen an actual nuclear power plant up close that are all up in arms about it... Knowledge will obviously help since people that are informed are not afraid, but there is a deliberate attempt to give people disinformation and scare them for the reasons mentioned before: fame, power and money.

    29. Re:By coincidence... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Why on earth would anyone install a 40% overcapacity?

      I can think of three reasons. One is that the number is for peak capacity, not base load (since we're talking about solar and wind, it probably is), so you need quite a lot of overcapacity to handle the supply dips. The second is that we're talking to Germany, which was East and West Germany a couple of decades ago. There's probably a lot of redundant infrastructure that no longer needs to be duplicated on both sides. Finally, Germany has borders with a lot of other countries that may want to buy electricity, so it's in a good position to export power if it has spare capacity.

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    30. Re:By coincidence... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Germans can be so incredibly stupid at times, it's annoying. I'm German, too, btw. Maybe it's time to think about a personal exit strategy...

      The problem with democracy is that we give every idiot a say in how we run the country. The problem with every other system we've tried is that we let a select group of idiots run the country.

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    31. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Got a link for that?

      Only german links I think :D
      Right now with the decommissioned 7 (or 8?) nuclear plants we have an overcapacity of 21%.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    32. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well,

      germany has a hughe amount of nuclear waste which is not safely stored anywhere. Right nwo we have no clue to where to put it. Some of it is exported to france and recycled there.
      I would not call that green. Also germany is planning to replace nuclear power completel with renewables ... so actually there is no more polution (considering that the german coal plants are very clean anyway ...)
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    33. Re:By coincidence... by Jeremi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But seriously, it is very disappointing to see the Germans make a rash decision from a scared gut-feeling instead of sticking to science and intelligent logic...

      Yes, they should listen only to the serious and careful reports of the nuclear industry, like Japan did.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    34. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1, Insightful

      But seriously, it is very disappointing to see the Germans make a rash decision from a scared gut-feeling instead of sticking to science and intelligent logic... The last time they did this it didn't work out so well for the rest of Europe, or them in the end for that matter...

      That is not a rash decission. That descission was already done 10 years ago by the previous government. But the actual government reverted it and extended the runtime of the reactors till 2030 and partly 2040.
      Now they only cut back to the original plan and decommission the old plants.
      Keep in mind, we get reports by engineers every day about what actually is wrong with the plants. They are an open invitation for terror attacks, most of them can not survive a plane crash etc. etc.
      Also: 90% of the people never agreed to them. If we lived in a true demogracy and not a fucking republic we never had haved any nuclear plants at all.
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    35. Re:By coincidence... by Patch86 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Another fun side effect is due to the carbon cap and trade scheme operated in the EU. If Germany wants to ramp up fossil fuel plants to solve the problem, they'll need to purchase carbon credits from "greener" nations (France with their nukes for one, and a lot of the smaller nations that have been going full tilt at renewables for two). And this from a country which is already (to paraphrase a BBC analyst who was on the news earlier today) close to "crippled" by "dangerously" high taxation levels.

      On the bright side, it's good news for those smaller EU countries that have been lagging behind Germany in terms of growth. It'll be a bit like a sort of international redistribution of wealth! Fun times.

    36. Re:By coincidence... by V+for+Vendetta · · Score: 2

      But seriously, it is very disappointing to see the Germans make a rash decision from a scared gut-feeling instead of sticking to science and intelligent logic.

      It was no "rash decision". Since Tschernobyl, the German poeple were opposed to nuclear power, just the lobbyists had bigger wallets. And it is a logical decision. No power is more expensive to produce than nuclear power. It's just that a lot of the expenses are payed by the tax payer. If the nuclear power lobby had to pay that all themselves, the price for 1 kW/h would be > 2 EUR instead of the 0,30somthing (or whatever) cents we pay right now.

      The last time they did this it didn't work out so well for the rest of Europe, or them in the end for that matter...

      The last time we did something "evil" like this was the start of the wide-spread usage of the car catalysator back in the mid/late 80ies. Germany made catalysators mandatory for cars. Alone (in Europe, California was there earlier). And all other Europe countries followed sooner or later. As far as I can tell, it did work out. Both for the people and the environment.

    37. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I'm not looking forward to the day when the people wake up and realize that the green party program has a lot more to offer that the voters didn't actually want to happen.

      That is theb problem with the party based demogracy we have here. Otoh most of the stuff the green party want to change is stuff that must be done sooner or later. Only idiots like the "black parties" try to postpone the inevitable.

      Germans can be so incredibly stupid at times ...

      Indeed, instead of voting for a party that actually is changing something they allways vote CDU/FDP/CSU and nothing is moving forward since decades
      It took 30 years discussion to get rid of the forced drafting of recruits to the Bundeswehr ... and and and. Political germany is the most backyard/phlegmatic/conservatie country in the western hemisphere.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    38. Re:By coincidence... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      You might consider that we do it because of our track record for engineering. Besides, the imports from France are marginal now with the majority of German reactors down for maintenance and due to a moratorium. Until 2020, we'll have that capacity easily replaced by renewables and move on into decent tech while France still has its waste problem tied to its feet. As a final note - Godwining this is beyond retarded.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    39. Re:By coincidence... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      I bet that if the plants were actually needed the government wouldn't be making this magnanimous, vote-winning gesture.

      --
      No sig today...
    40. Re:By coincidence... by he-sk · · Score: 4, Informative

      I just want to add that even with 13 of its nuclear 17 reactors shut down last week-end because of repairs and other reasons, the agency responsible for the electricity network announced that Germany was not importing electricity from abroad. So the GP is full of shit.

      Oh, and here's a source for your overcapacity claim, in case somebody asks: http://rwecom.online-report.eu/factbook/en/marketdata/electricity/grid/germanyimportandexportofelectricity.html

      --
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    41. Re:By coincidence... by he-sk · · Score: 2
      --
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    42. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 2

      Yeah, like the serious reports from about 40 years ago that states that the nuclear power plant design used was inherently unsafe?

    43. Re:By coincidence... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1, Informative

      Not remotely accurate. The greens have been on a constant upward trend before Fukushima even came up. The moderate left has been betrayed and fucked over by the social democrats, which is paying dearly for it now. The disappointed wander off to the Greens for years now. Well, given your general opinions, I can only encourage you to seek for that exit strategy. It might make both sides happier.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    44. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod the parent insightful. In Germany most CO2 pollution comes from the animal farms manure. Not from the fast cars.

    45. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      That says that Germany expots a net of 13 TWh a year. Generation is 636 TWh. so Germany exports about 2% of its production.

      I see nothing that says Germany has 35% overcapacity at that link.

      I do see a page that says that Germany has about 10% overcapacity, which is reasonable, and that when the nukes are shut down there will be around 20% undercapacity which would be a disaster.

      http://rwecom.online-report.eu/factbook/en/marketdata/electricity/generation/germanysignificantnewbuildneeded.html

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    46. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      Are you denying that acting out of fear will lead to worse decisions? Like building more coal plants that will cost many more lives each year than nuclear in all history. Whether this referenced the current situation, recent history or history from almost a century ago is irrelevant, the point stands that people tend to overlook obvious flaws in their logic when they are afraid and hysterical.

    47. Re:By coincidence... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      This decision has been 30 years in the making, in fact a political party was founded just to address it. When they came into power in 1998 through a coalition, they DID address it and in 2000 reached an agreement with the energy companies to phase out nuclear energy over 20 years. However, in the mean-time another coalition got elected and they got greedy, let themselves be bribed by the nuclear operators and decided to break the previously reached consensus and let the nukes run another 12 years against the will of the vast majority of the German people. Then Fukushima happened and scared by the possibility of election losses (which since then have materialized) the current administration did an transparent about-face and (temporarily) shut down the 7 oldest reactors in Germany.

      So the current decision is mostly a return to a previously agreed policy, which was hazardly discarded by the current government.

      BTW, the 2000 agreement contained phased goals for renewable energy production. At the moment, we have not only met these goals but exceeded them by 30-50% IIRC. So everybody who says that Germany will not meet its CO2 targets because it phases out nuclear is full of shit. The goal is NOT to replace one fossil fuel with another.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    48. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jeez, if they have that much excess power, why aren't there more electric vehicles in Germany?

      If they had that much electrical surplus,they could easily supply a good portion of the population's petroleum needs, even heat for homes instead of oil and natural gas. Yet I still see a lot of places in Germany that use these fuels. That's an odd disconnect.

    49. Re:By coincidence... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

      You can dance around with your fingers in your ears and shout "FEAR! HYSTERIA!" as much as you want when someone makes a decision that you do not like. It doesn't change reality. We'll be happily running on mostly renewables when your last sacred nuclear plants blows up in your face.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    50. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      So give me a German link.

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    51. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      I hardly believe the cost would rise to 2 EUR, but you might be right some increased cost will be there. But when you start counting total cost like that the coal plants are *much* more expensive, both in money and lifes! Also it seems to me the cost of wind power is often underestimated... the total power generated is overestimated and the power needed to build the turbines is underestimated. So the same dilemma that the total cost is not considered seems to be valid for all forms of power generation...

      My point is that I love solar, wind, water and geothermal power and all need to be used and developed, but nuclear is the best baseline power generating option we have available at the moment and leaves much room for improvement... It's ironic that the green movement lobbied to halt the development of new technologies that were meant to overcome the limitations that are now being used as arguments against developing new nuclear technology. It's circular reasoning! And furthermore it's an affront to the goals these green organizations set out to achieve. Greenpeace alone caused more harm to the environment that it ever helped prevent, they are not in it for nature but for money. Bunch of greedy self-righteous assholes, but people tend to believe warnings of imminent doom and are willing to give cash and protest to prevent that doom even if they know deep down that this will only lead to another danger that is slow to kill and less visible but that is how psychology works.

    52. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For germany, the numbers(CIA factbook) I find are 593 billions of TWh produced in 2010 for 547 billion of TWh consummed by Germany. This is an overproduction of 8%.

    53. Re:By coincidence... by demonlapin · · Score: 0

      Why do you put "ts" in front of Chernobyl? The letter isn't there in Ukrainian, Russian, or English.

    54. Re:By coincidence... by Hartree · · Score: 1

      "we don't export as much as before"

      You'll just import more Russian oil and gas to make up for it. And then buy carbon credits to offset it.

      Nice when you have the money to do that.

      Doesn't do much for energy independence, though.

    55. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You don't need to type your name in the comment field. There is already a "by" line and a signature field to use if you want to be redundant.

    56. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      One is that the number is for peak capacity, not base load (since we're talking about solar and wind, it probably is), so you need quite a lot of overcapacity to handle the supply dips.

      Currently Germany generates maybe 5%(*) of its electricty by wind. This would imply that wind only generates 12% of installed capacity. Anyway, if its the case you can't rely on this magic 40% to replace the 27% that comes from nukes.

      The second is that we're talking to Germany, which was East and West Germany a couple of decades ago. There's probably a lot of redundant infrastructure that no longer needs to be duplicated on both sides.

      Makes no sense.

      If West Germany had 10% oivercapacity and East Germany had 10% overcapacity then unified Germany would have... 10% overcapacity.

      You could argue that the collapse of the East Germany economy meant that there was an increase in overcapacity on the East German side, but that was a long time ago.

      Finally, Germany has borders with a lot of other countries that may want to buy electricity, so it's in a good position to export power if it has spare capacity

      Germany exports 2-3% of its production. Not 40% Some people (Federal Association of Energy and Water) are claiming that Germany has become a net importer since shutting down the 7 old nukes.

      ((*) Probably out of date figure, but less than the 17% total renewables, which includes hydro, biomass and so on).

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    57. Re:By coincidence... by arisvega · · Score: 1

      Power imported from France.

      --
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    58. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      CO2 is always touted as an advantage of nuclear but fuck that, it's not as significant as it seems... Some bigger advantages are: less toxins and fine dust particles than coal, less transport and mining needed for fuel (costing oil), possibility of recycling fuel (when research is not being stopped by 'greens'), and last but not least it releases less radioactive material than coal power plants!!! Coal contains small radioactive particles so the exhaust from a coal power plant is always slightly nuclear, and much more than would ever be detected around a nuclear power plant. Even with the meltdowns in history the nuclear material released is insignificant in comparison to all the nuclear material slowly released from coal.

      I'd rather live next to a nuclear power plant than a coal power plant, it will be better for my health and as less risky overall and I am a strong supporter research to make nuclear more renewable but at the moment it is already the best option when compared to coal plants (only natural gas plants have an advantage and in the near future geothermal, which should all be used). Nuclear has the potential to be almost entirely renewable... The raw resources can be described as 'fossil fuel' (although fossil implies from living tissue, but I digress) but can be used again and again with a breeder reactor yielding an even higher energy density and less waste. Also uranium is not necessarily the best option for power plants (Thorium has better properties for example) but was used from the start because of the option to create weapon grade plutonium. The options are there and the science needs to be explored, to dismiss this great technology without considering what it currently is and can become is crazy. There will be a time when we will not need fission anymore, when fusion is working on a commercial scale it will be obsolete immediately... But the 'green' religion will probably find fault with that too...

    59. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Nothing sacred about it... Just another technology that is useful. I take a much more pragmatic approach than the 'green' religion. Nuclear (fission) *will* one day be replaced, either by better nuclear (fusion) or better anything. But stating that we will do fine with solar and wind is ridiculous, we need baseline power and for now nuclear is far superior to coal (and saves lifes, do not underestimate that!)...

      Also to imply that nuclear power plants will eventually need to blow up suggests you've bought into the whole propaganda of fear and have no idea of the current state of technology. It's like claiming you will never fly a plane because you've seen a documentary about the crash of the Gavilland Comet... Or you won't drive a car because you heard the decades old story of cars that explode after a minor accident. These kind of sentiments are not constructive, when all people act like that no new planes or cars would even have been developed and the technology would have gone down in history as a dangerous failure... Currently people are doing the same with nuclear, condemning the technology because of flaws in 60 year old designs and decades old power plants. People are capable of learning from failure, and we have... but fear is holding back newer safer alternatives.

      Had the green movement not opposed nuclear so virulently there would have been new power plants that replaced the older ones a long time ago (and especially no new coal plants being built all the time). The way I see it the green movement is damaging nature with the best intentions.

    60. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      Yeah great idea... Go green! Help fill other people's pockets! And then give the assholes a Nobel award! Oh, and fuck nature in the process! ... Fools...

      I'm all for a better 'greener' world, but it must come from good scientific decisions! Not by fighting one perceived evil and helping create an even bigger evil...

    61. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No surprise on Slashdot: The denial continues. An industrialized country powered without nuclear reactors? Inconceivable!

      Fun fact: Germany can import at most 2.5GW from France.

    62. Re:By coincidence... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      Mea culpa, I confused the net difference between export and import with total capacity.

      I found conflicting sources for total capacity. This article (in German) says that total capacity is 90 GW of which 20 GW are produced by nuclear plants. (That jives with a roughly 25% share.) The highest requirement is in the winter with 80 GW. So shutting down all nuclear reactors would result in an undercapacity, but less than the 20% you've come up with.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    63. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      Democracy has it's strengths, but the weakness is that a group of people will not always reach a rational decision... You are right that even if it may be tempting for the government they should not have pushed nuclear against the will of such a majority! That does not mean that no research should be done because times change and given better technology and access to scientific information people will change their opinions as well...

    64. Re:By coincidence... by Osgeld · · Score: 1

      how long are they able to sustain that

      hours? days? weeks? generations?

    65. Re:By coincidence... by Sulphur · · Score: 1

      France has stated that it will open several new nuclear reactors before 2022, and will increase the amount of power that it exports to Germany.

      Not if Germany stops nuclear power by 2022.

    66. Re:By coincidence... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

      You got any argument except being still butthurt by Gore's Nobel? No? Thought so, that about sums up the usual argument.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    67. Re:By coincidence... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      Some of these 13 are back online by now. And in the winter there is a higher demand, so the shutdown would not have been possible then.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    68. Re:By coincidence... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2

      Of course, the hippies did it. Got any real argument or shall we end this debate here, because, to be honest, for me it would be more productive to talk to a piece of rock. They seem to be intellectually more flexible that the faction of nuclear apologists you belong to and who repeat their same old tired "arguments" since ages. Your Al Gore quip in the other subthread pretty much showed what you are and to whom you belong.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    69. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is simply not true. The current results of the green party cannot be explained by the past trends. The sudden changes since March are far too big for that.

    70. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      So shutting down all nuclear reactors would result in an undercapacity, but less than the 20% you've come up with.

      It's RWE who came up with that, number, not me. The big problem (apart from shutting down the nukes) is that Germany is goimg to have to shut down some fossil plants too, or miss its 20/20 targets. (20% co2 reduction in co2 output by 2020 I think).

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    71. Re:By coincidence... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Sure. There won't be problems with generating power in 2022. After all, the Nordstream project would be in operation for several years by then.

      There'll be plenty of Russian gas, so don't worry!

    72. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      Germany exports 2-3% of its production.

      The nukes are 27% of the production.

      Your ideas don't add up.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    73. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The RWE numbers are actual production, not capacity. Capacity is the less reliable figure. Here are some more detailed energy production figures from 1990 to 2010: BRD_Stromerzeugung1990_2010_10Mai2011.pdf

      This data shows that there is no massive net export or import. This data also shows that nuclear power is not instantly replaceable, but that renewable energies have already made substantial investments in nuclear power and coal fired power plants unnecessary. It also shows that there is still an immense growth potential.

      Germany is in a position to make this happen. The decision has broad political support: The end of nuclear power had previously been put into law by the social democrats, a decision which has been reversed by the conservatives who now reversed that reversal. There isn't a party left which could torpedo this plan. Countless technology proponents have only been waiting for this decision. There's a wealth of technological solutions and examples of local energy independence. Not everything will work, but with that deadline finally looking to be set in earnest, the competition is going to make something work.

    74. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The overcapacity isn't stable overproduction but periodic spikes created by our large wind turbine installments....

    75. Re:By coincidence... by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Iran is a pariah in a way no country in the EU is. As far as dependence and future uncertainty, compared to oil and artificial fertilizer it's a drop in the pond.

      For the rest it's simple economics, I see no reason to protect engineers any better or worse against outsourcing than the working class. Now Germany's nuclear industry might be large enough to be profitable, so it's a bit of a special case ... but in smaller countries most of the expertise to build them is foreign any way.

    76. Re:By coincidence... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Relying on another country for your electricity needs

      You mean like how US states do? Or how we rely on other countries for oil/coal/gas?

      Actually in the UK we have already sold all our power companies off to foreign owners. Everyone wants to operate in the UK because we will stand for the highest prices in Europe, where as if they tried the same thing in say France there would be mass protests and they would be forced to back down.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    77. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. You are linking to data from 2007
      2. In 2007, Germany had produced 636TWh and 20% of that is nuclear. Without nuclear, production drops to 508TWh.
      3. Based on your data, Germany net exported electricity was about 12.5TWh.

      So, shutting down nuclear creates a net deficit of (626-508)-13 = 115TWh. At typical market price for electricity, about $100/MWh, that's only a modest $11 billion. So, Germany is currently exporting about $1.25 billion of electricity and, if nothing changes, will need to import $11 billion worth in 10 years, or they double renewables increasing costs of electricity by at least another 6 eurocent/kWh (based on the current feed-in tariff schedule), or more fossil fuels and more CO2.

      Regardless, a $12 billion revenue stream per year - that's not chump change even to Germany.

      I'm not certain, but I don't think Germans think ahead very much...

    78. Re:By coincidence... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Na, this is a smart economic move for the Germans. The market for renewables is going to be huge, and whoever gets in early to develop the technology will take the lion's share. German companies have a history of developing new technologies and then selling them all over the world, and often much of the manufacturing is done in Germany too. In that sense they are somewhat similar to Japan, who are in fact their main rivals for high speed rail and industrial processes.

      Japan and Germany both drive their economies with constant innovation and then export it. Actually in a way the UK does as well, but our innovation has been in services, and in particular financial services. Oh, and BTW, I wouldn't give too much weight to BBC analysts - they are as bad as any other media pundit trying to sell a story. These are the same guys who said that the Euro would collapse within 1 year, then 5 years, then 10 years, then during the financial crisis, then during the recession, then during the bailouts... Strangely people still seem to be accepting Euros in exchange for goods and services, despite its imminent demise and subsequent worthlessness.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    79. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, a steel plant is unexpectingly shutting down. The power plant which is planned in to feed it has now a large surplus. Running it on 50% of its capacity is not economical. So you shut it down to standby and buy the power from France or Slovakia.

      Why isn't it? I'm curious. I've heard this sort of thing before but I don't understand why.

    80. Re:By coincidence... by kpoole55 · · Score: 1

      Everyone seems to call on gas as an alternative to oil or coal for power generation but it's still a carbon compound and generates CO2 when burned. It might be a little cleaner than coal or oil but it's still a greenhouse gas producer.

      How does switching to gas lighten the carbon dioxide load?

    81. Re:By coincidence... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      In short, it doesn't: http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/6638

      CO2 load is lessened by about 2 times, but leaked CH4 more than compensates for it.

    82. Re:By coincidence... by KDR_11k · · Score: 2

      They had to. The govt parties lost significant amounts of votes because of their stance on nuclear power after Fukushima renewed the anti-nuclear sentiments in Germany (we had those before then but I guess people didn't see them as a primary voting reason). The conservatives lost several state level elections badly since then with most of their votes going to the green party which went from 5-10% to 20+% of the vote.

      The conservatives and liberals are extremely pro-business, they really wanted to see a longer runtime for their friends in those energy corporations but what good is corporate goodwill when you're getting crushed on the ballot.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    83. Re:By coincidence... by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      That expertise issue works both ways though. We're building up a lot of expertise on building renewable energy power plants.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    84. Re:By coincidence... by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      Meh, BBC analysts look at it from the anglo-american perspective which has seen Germany as a failure waiting to happen for a long time. Turns out there are more ways than one to run a successful economy.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    85. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      What about this one?

      http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/0,1518,765006-2,00.html

      For mor info I suggest you search yourself. I have a "good" memory but lack google abilities.

      The link above is not the one I talked about ... I searched it for *you*

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    86. Re:By coincidence... by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      RWE has a big incentive for making nuclear look necessary though.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    87. Re:By coincidence... by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      I'm not looking forward to the day when the people wake up and realize that the green party program has a lot more to offer that the voters didn't actually want to happen. We're heading that way and it's not going to be pretty.

      Yeah like abolishing the past decade's added anti-terror laws.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    88. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      because niggers

    89. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      :-) It's a shame that we have to resort to these kinds of ways of grouping people together... I consider myself not to belong to any particular group but I always find myself accused of being part of some group opposite of whoever disagrees with me. Somehow perceiving a person as being part of a group of 'enemies' serves the purpose of being able to conveniently group all opinion and arguments in the garbage bin of 'propaganda' of that group... It's very interesting to see group psychology like this because it comes so natural to us we can hardly see ourselves participate in it.

      I made some proper arguments why nuclear is still one of *many* viable options for power generation. Those arguments, as well as my opinion that the green movement causes more harm than good (as most hysteric overreactions), have not been met by you with any rebuttal. I suppose you think it's all fine to withold your well formed logical arguments and put me in my rightful place since I'm just a minion praying to the nuclear altar, but just suppose you're wrong? That would just make you a guy without arguments acting somewhat like a dick...

    90. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      so maybe he isn't a Ukranian, Russian or Englih speaker?

      (In French it's Tchernobyl for example).

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    91. Re:By coincidence... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      You group yourself. You haven't made a single argument. You are butthurt about Al Gore, you are scared of the greens because they are about "taking your money", you blame the failings of nuclear power on those who oppose it, you blanket every opposition with the ad hominem of "hysteria" and "fear". You have not made a single argument at all. And then you dare to get righteous? Please - bring forth any argument that is actually based in physical reality. Until then, yes, you are a minion praying at the nuclear altar. You might not consider yourself part of any particular group, but yours are the talking points of a vocal group here that drones on and on in every discussion regarding nuclear power. You actually might not realize that you are just a puppet of some weird groupthink I cannot fathom at all. If you want me to meet you with any rebuttal, please, go ahead, bring forth any rational argument.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    92. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that he's posting in English, and it's not exactly an uncommon word in these discussions - on a French forum discussing the 2012 Olympics you might say "London" (because that's what the natives call it) or "Londres" (because that's the French name for it), but you wouldn't keep saying "Londra" just because you're actually an Italian.

    93. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      Germany produces 27% of its electricity from nukes,
      17% from renewables
      the rest is fossil.
      approx 3% is exported.

      If you zap the nukes you need to more than double your renewables just to avoid increasing co2 output. And most of your existing renewables is hydro, not wind - you can't double hydro, there aren't the sites available.

      Have fun.

      Byt the way - stop burning that fucking lignite.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    94. Re:By coincidence... by tchernobog · · Score: 1

      As they say in 4chan: sauce or GTFO.

      --
      42.
    95. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      You are making a much better impression now that you've stopped preaching and make a good rebuttal. Funny how a guy called 'mindcontolled' can accuse others of being a puppet... The people who scream these things the loudest often are.

      But I'll still give you a chance with this hypothetical question:

      Consider a country investing heavily in solar and wind energy (always a good idea), but they need another energy source to insure power availability all day. They have no good geology for geothermal and hydro (the best renewable energy sources in my opinion) and have to import oil and natural gas at too high a price so they are left with two viable options for power generation: coal or nuclear. They ask you to decide this weighing all the benefits and risks to nature and health and leave you the room to choose the specific requirements of the power plant. Which would you choose? It may seem like choosing between two evils, but in real life things often are... This isn't about groups and politics but what you believe will be best, they are going to build a plant and you need to choose which one you believe will be best for the country and the world as a whole based on science (not just some people that can sleep better with either choice). I'm honestly interested in how you will answer this question and why. Coal or nuclear?

      After this specific scenario I also wonder what your ideal power generating scenario would be.

    96. Re:By coincidence... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      There is significant wind capacity in Germany's south because of previous opposition from the ruling parties. Then there's the North Sea where you can build off-shore wind parks. I also think there should be a solar installation on every roof. The status quo is a giant waste of real estate. Oh and you can use hydro without dams. Google "Stromboje", it is a concept tried out in Austria for quite some time now.

      Thanks for playing.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    97. Re:By coincidence... by alex67500 · · Score: 1

      Just saying what? That the hypocritical Germans are going to keep burning the filthiest fuel available, polluting the rest of the world just to regain their precious nuclear virginity?

      Last time I checked, hymens didn't re-grow. So really, they'll only be menopaused.

    98. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Sorry, meant 23% from nukes (cut'n'paste error in brain)

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    99. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Reading the Google translation of that link it seems to say that with the 8 old nuke plants Germany has 0% overcapacity. (The usual recommendation is to have 10% to allow for plant failures).

      Take out the other nukes and ...

      Luckily there is a solution: "The end of 2012, the power supply to grow rather than shrink. Bis dahin gehen viele neue Gas- und Kohlekraftwerke ans Netz, und nur wenige werden abgeschaltet. Until then, many new gas and coal power plants go online, and few are turned off. In den darauffolgenden Jahren gehen zusehends alte Kohlekraftwerke vom Netz. In the following years, increasingly old coal plants go by the network. Als Ausgleich müssen neue Gaskraftwerke gebaut werden. To compensate, new gas power plants are built."

      So, fuck Kyoto, fuck 20/20.

      Thanks Germany.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    100. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2010 data: 23% from nukes, 17% from renewables, largest renewable is wind, second is biomass, third is hydro (soon to be overtaken by photovoltaics). Renewables increased 270% from 2000 to 2010 (figure includes stagnant hydro, so the growth is all wind, solar and biomass).

    101. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Luckily, due to the European CO2 emission certificate trade, the overall European emission of CO2 won't go up at all.

      They will simply be reduced elsewhere.

      And those gas power plants
      1) can be run with biogas
      2) are only a temporary solution to give wind and solar energy time to develop and are recognized as such.

    102. Re:By coincidence... by khallow · · Score: 1

      You can cut it with wind power or other intermittent power sources. With wind, you need a similar amount of natural gas power capacity in order to even out the bumps and have a base load substitute for nuclear or coal.

    103. Re:By coincidence... by khallow · · Score: 1

      They seem to be intellectually more flexible that the faction of nuclear apologists you belong to and who repeat their same old tired "arguments" since ages.

      If the shoe fits, wear it. I occasionally hear these complaints about how "nuclear apologists" have failed to come up with new arguments. The thing is, the anti-nuke hysteria did kill nuclear reactor construction in the US and delay it in other countries such as Japan and Germany.

      Argument is not a fashion show. If you can't deal with the "tired argument", then it's not our problem but yours. You're just wasting our time.

    104. Re:By coincidence... by kju · · Score: 1

      No. According to the article: The total capacity of all plants is 160,200 MW. The "assured" capacity (which deducts plants down for maintenance etc. and also two nuclear plants which are down for years) is 93,100 MW. Without the "security margin" the capacity is 86,100 MW. The actual use is 40,000 to - absolute worst case - 80,000 MW. The capacity without the old nuclear plants is 79,800 MW.

    105. Re:By coincidence... by kju · · Score: 1

      Also this is only a momentary statistic. The article says that many power plants are down for maintenance currently and will add their capacity in the near future again.

      The article also says that Germany currently imports electricity but it is told that this is only due to pricing.

    106. Re:By coincidence... by shermo · · Score: 1

      I'm always amused when people classify Geothermal as 'renewable' as it most certainly isn't. I suppose everything isn't on a sufficiently long time scale but I personally wouldn't class a few decades as long enough to deserve that moniker.

      It also emits CO2 while operating although in lower quantities than an equivalent coal plant: 5-10%ish IIRC although heavily site dependent.

      --
      Insanity: voting in the same two parties over and over again and expecting different results
    107. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      sure mindcontrolled - suck on this:

      It's because of knee-jerk, thought-free BS like yours that we are in the sorry condition that we are right now.

      If we had just built nuclear power plants like we had planned, global warming would not only be a thing of the past, we would have been well on our way to curing our addictions to fossil fuels.

    108. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that's just bullshit. It may be expensive to build (at least in the west, the chinese are building out at about the same capital cost as an equivalent coal fired power plant), but it sure as hell isn't expensive to operate.

      We regularly generate power here in the US at about 1.5 cent/kilowatt hour. The only thing cheaper to run here is hydro.

    109. Re:By coincidence... by Meski · · Score: 1

      The stagnation of civilisation begins. Didn't we have Asimov saying in Foundation that the Empire was shutting down atomic power plants rather than fixing them, from a lack of technicians? (I couldn't find a transcript, so sue me)

    110. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      The actual use is 40,000 to - absolute worst case - 80,000 MW. The capacity without the old nuclear plants is 79,800 MW.

      Looks like 0% margin to me.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    111. Re:By coincidence... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Coal or nuclear? Neither. For baseline needs that can't be fulfilled until we get a European HVDC grid and put up solarthermal around the Mediterranean, they way to go is gas.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    112. Re:By coincidence... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      To elaborate on the ideal scenario: Base load is provided by solar- and geothermal and distributed over a HVDC grid. Peaking is handled locally, with whatever works locally. Pumped storage hydro in the mountains, wind on the shore, biomass in the country, solar PV wherever air-conditioning causes lots of peak load when the sun shines. Smart appliances optimize the load pattern. That would be my scenario.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    113. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Luckily, due to the European CO2 emission certificate trade, the overall European emission of CO2 won't go up at all.

      They will simply be reduced elsewhere.

      In France?

      And those gas power plants
      1) can be run with biogas
      2) are only a temporary solution to give wind and solar energy time to develop and are recognized as such.

      Do you seriously believe that enough biogas can be generated to replace the quantities of natural gas currently imported? 94e9 m^3 ?

      Germany already dedicates 18% of it's agricultural land to biomass production for energy (2.14 million hectares). It may increase this to 4 million hectares. What are they going to eat?

      http://www.renewablesinternational.net/german-biomass-growth-continues/150/515/28940/

      If the gas plants are a stopgap 'till more wind and solar is ready what are the new coal and lignite plants for?

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    114. Re:By coincidence... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      (Brainfart - meant 22-23% nuke, not 27%, sorry).

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    115. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're spouting the usual misinformation. Countries which have continued building new nuclear power plants have not shut down their old reactors either. They keep running them as long as possible, like any sane accountant would. The accidents happen, even in countries with very high security standards and technological know-how. Not only is there a non-negligible chance of a catastrophic accident at a power plant, there's also no safe disposal option for the waste. This is not hysteria, this is proven by history. Why don't the nuclear power plant operators insure their plants to the full damage potential? If the "Restrisiko" is as calculable as you proclaim, then surely there is an insurance company that wants the business, right? Nuclear power is untenable. Now is the right time to work on leaving that dead end: The existing nuclear plants would have to be replaced in the near future, so waiting any longer would incur much higher costs, for new nuclear plants and then for making the switch anyway. The technology for renewable power generation is maturing and working on implementing it large scale now means we will sell it to others instead of them selling to us. There's still time until fossil fuels also need to be replaced completely, so we can work on one problem at a time. The decision to exit nuclear power is not a kneejerk reaction either: It is a continuation of a 10 year old plan, which btw. has already resulted in a phenomenal build-out of renewable energy production. It took increased public pressure, caused by the Fukushima catastrophe, to sway the conservative party, but the sentiment had been present the whole time since the conservatives first reneged on the exit strategy.

    116. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In France?

      Maybe in France, maybe in Slovenia, maybe in Italy, maybe in Finland. It will probably happen where it is the cheapest.

      Do you seriously believe that enough biogas can be generated to replace the quantities of natural gas currently imported? 94e9 m^3 ?

      Germany already dedicates 18% of it's agricultural land to biomass production for energy (2.14 million hectares). It may increase this to 4 million hectares. What are they going to eat?

      http://www.renewablesinternational.net/german-biomass-growth-continues/150/515/28940/

      So it seems to be the choice between importing nuclear material/conventional fuel and food. Right now, I do not have enough knowledge of the subject to make it an informed one.

      If the gas plants are a stopgap 'till more wind and solar is ready what are the new coal and lignite plants for?

      Probably the same. There are talks of using carbon capture & storage with these plants to reduce their climatic impact, so maybe they will not cause us to miss our emission reduction goals.

    117. Re:By coincidence... by squizzar · · Score: 1

      Presumably because you have some static running costs that aren't particularly dependent on the amount of power being generated (wear and tear etc.) so as you generate less electricity the cost of each Watt-hour of electricity increases. There's going to be a point where the amount you can sell the electricity for is less than the amount it cost you to make it, hence it is not economical to run the plant at decreased capacity - and there's probably a point where you lose less by stopping production altogether.

    118. Re:By coincidence... by cooldfish · · Score: 0
      As the article states the Maximum Consumption is at the moment 65,000 MW so the margin is 22%.

      Ist zu wenig Strom da, wenn acht Meiler sofort abgeschaltet werden? Nein. 80.000 Megawatt Strom werden nur selten gebraucht. Aktuell liegt der maximale Bedarf zum Beispiel bei rund 65.000 Megawatt. Auch erreicht die Wartung und Pflege von Kraftwerken bald ihren Höhepunkt - in den kommenden Wochen gehen viele Kraftwerke, die momentan stillstehen, wieder ans Netz.

      Google Tranlation:

      If too little power there, when eight reactors be shut down immediately? No. 80,000 MW electricity will be used only rarely. Currently, the maximum demand is for example about 65,000 megawatts. Also reached the maintenance and care of power plants soon peak - in the coming weeks, many power plants, stand still right now, go back to the grid.

    119. Re:By coincidence... by Parasome · · Score: 1
      You forgot several cost terms:
      1. probability of catastrophic failure times damage when failure occurs
      2. cost of long-term depositing, containment and securing of radioactive waste (no suitable storage places found as of yet AT ALL)
      3. cost of dismantling plants after decommision

      All of these externalities (and maybe some more I have not thought of) should be factored into the price. But they are not.

      I honestly don't know how the figures would work out then, but the Germans may be correct in recognizing this.

    120. Re:By coincidence... by DemoLiter3 · · Score: 1

      1. The nuclear waste is not exported to France, it's only brought there for reprocessing and then the concentrated and vitrified waste is returned to Germany.
      2. The reason why the waste has to be carted through half Europe is that left-extreme activists prevented the building of our own reprocessing facility in Wackersdorf.
      3. Little known fact, but in 2005 red-green government banned nuclear fuel reprocessing, so the volume of produced waste can be so artificially kept at 50-100-fold from normal.
      4. Little known fact, but again, red-green government prohibited search for a nuclear waste storage, so they can claim such problem exists.

      Greens need nuclear waste problem so badly they had to create it. There's no technical issues with nuclear waste, only political ones. And every single of them for created either by SPD or the greens.

    121. Re:By coincidence... by Archtech · · Score: 1

      Iran is a pariah in a way no country in the EU is.

      What - if anything - does that mean in plain English? My OECD tells me:

      pariah
      n noun
      1 an outcast.
      2 historical a member of a low caste or of no caste in southern India.

      ORIGIN
              C17: from Tamil paraiyar (plural) '(hereditary) drummers', from parai 'a drum'.

      So I suppose you mean to assert that Iran is an outcast of some kind. Cast out from what, and by whom? As far as I can see, all its people and its government have done is to take their religion seriously - unlike the leaders of most "Western" countries who profess an obligatory "faith" whose most basic tenets they utterly ignore every single day.

      Now you may or may not be religious. But if you say you are, shouldn't you follow through?

      As for the specific reasons why Iran is supposed to be a "pariah", doesn't it boil down to the fact that the US government doesn't like it? And when the silverback takes against a smaller and weaker animal, everyone must follow suit on pain of the silverback's forceful displeasure.

      Iran has taken up some of its rights under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Pact, such as the pursuit of peaceful nuclear energy. There is absolutely no evidence that it is in the least interested in seeking nuclear weaponry, in spite of very strong provocation to do so. (Certainly no more than Germany, say. Or Japan). Yet Iran is a "pariah".

      Israel (to take a random example of a nation that is very much not a "pariah") has completely ignored the NNPT. By failing to sign the treaty and then arming itself with a large nuclear arsenal, it has given the finger to the treaty, the IAEA, and the "international community" - including the USA. Yet the silverback's favourite son can do no wrong.

      And before you ask, I have no conceivable links with Iran. I just dislike hypocrisy, injustice, and fallacious reasoning. As everyone who reads Slashdot should.

      --
      I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
    122. Re:By coincidence... by thijsh · · Score: 1

      HVDC will improve the situation, but not to the point that no baseline power is needed at all... I agree gas is a good alternative (but like all tech it has disadvantages). But you avoid the hard choice because you know you don't like the outcome, but this an actual choice that is made by people everyday! The replacement of nuclear in practice is coal (should not, but realistically is)... so every time the 'greens' wins against nuclear nature loses because more coal is burned (in Germany's case probably lignite, which doesn't burn pretty). You can always claim that ideally this should not be the case but this is how it is *now*, and because of that nuclear is the best alternative *now*. It will change, that is the whole point or investing and researching new technology... No single one of all technologies should simply be discarded because of a disadvantage than can be overcome, with that attitude solar and wind power would never take off.

    123. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, if you link such stuff then you should also know how to interpret it. Lets look at this one e.g. http://www.enbw-transportnetze.de/kennzahlen/grenzueberschreitende-lastfluesse-und-fahrplaene/

      First of all: you see the amount imported is always far below the capacity of a single plant. (I would not call that importing like crazy)

      Second: if you go back a year and look at the imported and exported power you see: it looks very similar to this year ;D

      Third: you posted a link of a "Power Transport" Company and not a link of a "Power Generation" or "Power Trading" company. That means you don't know what is going to happen with the power, someone else can as well export it to Belgium again.

      Fourth: you don't know why the power is imported. Very likely some customer in germany has a long term contract with a Power Trader in Switzerland e.g.

      If you look at the big picture you see that right now germany is still exporting 10% of its capacity.

      Your conclusion is simply wrong, albeit the links you showed are interesting, I will BM them all.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    124. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Oops, I forgot to mention: all the other links you posted show that germany is EXPORTING power. Perhaps instead of blindly copy pasting links you should care to read the pages you link to ;D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    125. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      1. The nuclear waste is not exported to France, it's only brought there for reprocessing and then the concentrated and vitrified waste is returned to Germany.

      True, I should have made that more clear. Fact is we don't have reprocessing plants anymore. And the stuff makes a trip via france.

      2. The reason why the waste has to be carted through half Europe is that left-extreme activists prevented the building of our own reprocessing facility in Wackersdorf.

      That is wrong. Nothing "left extremist" was involved there. Keep in mind the right wing was ruling at that time.

      3. Little known fact, but in 2005 red-green government banned nuclear fuel reprocessing, so the volume of produced waste can be so artificially kept at 50-100-fold from normal.

      That is either wrong or wrong worded. There is nothing like such a ban. Also the numbers make no sense either. By reprocessing fuel you generate MORE waste, not less. The only thing that gets "reused" or "reprocessed" is the actual fuel: uranium / plutonium. Everything else is WASTE and all the solvents needed for reprocessing ADD to that waste.

      4. Little known fact, but again, red-green government prohibited search for a nuclear waste storage, so they can claim such problem exists.

      That is wrong, too. They stopped the pointless search in the 2 or 3 places we where working on the last 30 years as it became public that they are all unsuited for long term storage. Right now no one has an idea where to start searching If you have one start posting it ... but perhaps use german forums so your voce is heard.

      Greens need nuclear waste problem so badly they had to create it. There's no technical issues with nuclear waste, only political ones. And every single of them for created either by SPD or the greens.

      That is bullshit. How young are you that you don't know we have this problem since day one of nuclear power plants? And that the core problem has absolutely nothing to do with fuel reprocessing, you seem not to know either. If there are no technical issues as you claim, then post your solution and claim a Nobel Prize. Pfftttt....

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    126. Re:By coincidence... by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      Read the post again. German company buying power from Norway.

    127. Re:By coincidence... by makomk · · Score: 1

      Yeah, like the serious reports from about 40 years ago that states that the nuclear power plant design used was inherently unsafe?

      You mean the ones that were essentially ignored because they must obviously just be the work of anti-nuclear troublemakers, and because the shiny new nuclear plants had cost so much to build that shutting them down would result in the power companies losing masses of money?

    128. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      most power plants will schedule their shutdowns for this time of year, why? because people tend to not need a lot of electricity to heat or cool their homes

    129. Re:By coincidence... by Dog-Cow · · Score: 1

      All countries that profess to be Islamic deserve to be outcast from the rest of the world. The major difference in treatment between SA and Iran is politics. It has nothing to do with hypocrisy or injustice. Well, no more than politics in general.

      And if you believe Iran intends to remain peaceful, you are truly deluded or simply naive.

    130. Re:By coincidence... by V+for+Vendetta · · Score: 1

      Stop spreading your green bullshit. Currently, Germany is importing around 10% of the consumed electricity.

      Nice try, mate. Instead of wasting your time with insulting people, you could do a bit reading and don't compare apples with ornages.

      Yes, Germany does import power from time to time, just like any other country does: when peak loads happen. So, yes - 10% of the consumed power might be imported.

      This still doesn't change the fact that we produce more power over the year than we consume and therefore export more power than we import.

      And I happily return you your "stop spreading your agenda" minus the insult.

    131. Re:By coincidence... by DemoLiter3 · · Score: 1

      They you are quite misinformed.
      The 1-stage waste is what comes out of the NPP - spent nuclear fuel. Which still mostly consists of uranium, plus plutonium, other actinides and many short-lived products. During reprocessing, uranium and plutonium are extracted in PUREX or similar processes and later reused for MOX fuel. Some actinides with shorted half-lives can be extracted for specialized applications, e.g. for use in RTGs. What is left after this reprocessing is the 2-stage waste, which is typically 1-2% of the original volume and is not usable. This waste is vitrified and transported back to Germany for intermediate storage. Due to short half-life, this waste is very active and needs to spend another 20+ years in CASTOR containers for controlled cooldown until it can be loaded to POLLUX containers and put to permanent storage. Due to high activity, this waste's activity falls down to levels of natural radioactive ores within ~1000 years.

      What red-green government did is, it banned fuel reprocessing for all spent fuel produced in Germany from 2005. More precisely, the law states that spent nuclear fuel may not be disassembled and must be put into permanent storage as is. This increases the volume of waste, wastes fuel and increases the time the waste stay active underground to hundreds of thousands of years due to plutonium.

      Three very convenient problems created at once, all for the benefit of the greens and zero use for people.

    132. Re:By coincidence... by DemoLiter3 · · Score: 1

      Maybe you should add the numbers from all sources and see what happens in march

    133. Re:By coincidence... by DemoLiter3 · · Score: 1

      Wow, buddy, trolling hard today, huh?
      > In der unten angezeigten Tabelle entsprechen negative Werte der Richtung DE–AT/CH/FR bzw. positive Werte der Richtung AT/CH/FR-DE.
      Today, we have about 1.2-1.7GW flowing from France to Germany, 0.3-0.5 GW from Switzerland to Germany, and ahhh, here we go - ~0.7GW from Germany to Austria. That's 1.2GW net import - a large NPP. And the reason is - Austria banned nuclear power long time ago, so it constantly has to import some from Czech. Now that Germany also pulls some from there, they have to get more from France, via Germany.

      Sure, the whole picture needs to be seen, and it's necessary to correlate this data with other three zones. It's not easy, some of them get their data delayed by few days, the inport/export direction is not always clear, etc. But in total, there's a net import.

    134. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I think you are quite misinformed, lol.

      1-2% of original volume refers to rests of uranium and plutonium etc. and not to the total waste.

      Waste, waste is the stuff you put into secure containers and store it somewhere. That waste is several times more in volume than the original depleted rods.

      If you don't believe that, go to wikiedia.

       

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    135. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Still the question remains: since when and why is there a net import as you claim.

      You claim the moratorium is the reason, obviously that is wrong as we still have more than 20% overcapacity in germany.

      The reasons are pure economical.

      Right now (15:17 UTC) Germany is exporting 56 MW into Switzerland, France is 1700 MW, Austria is 475 MW ... while I typed this the export from germany dropped to 43 MW and is now back to 52MW.

      Simultaneously Switzerland is exporting 2300 MW to Italy.

      Source: https://www.swissgrid.ch/swissgrid/de/home.html and right now while paste the source germany is exporting 152 MW to Switzerland.

      Again: pulling some random web sites with data, and having no clue how to interprete that data does not make your arguments valid.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    136. Re:By coincidence... by udoschuermann · · Score: 1

      If this decision spurs research into clean, renewable energy technologies then it may well turn out to be a good thing down the line.

      But this decision looks like a costly knee-jerk reaction to me. Germany is not subject to massive natural disturbances like Japan, so earthquakes and tsunamis aren't an issue, and neither are hurricanes or tornadoes. Shutting down all the nuclear power plants will be extremely costly, because you can't just turn off the switch, throw the whole thing onto the trash heap, and forget about it.

      --
      --Udo.
    137. Re:By coincidence... by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      Sometimes they do! Germany could count as the something like .00001% of women that could happen to!

    138. Re:By coincidence... by DemoLiter3 · · Score: 1

      This is not a "random website data", but official data from the 4 grid providers of Germany. Each of them is providing statistics on the power flows from and to their zone via German border. If you add statistics on import and export for all 4 providers, you get total export and import flows for all lines crossing the border.

      Judging from Switzerland's statistics about the German imports and exports is speculative at best. The flows between Germany and Switzerland change all the time, probably because of pumped storage use.

      It's difficult to correlate at the instant moment, since Amprion's data has one week delay - they have some connections to Switzerland, and so does Tennet. Right now swissgrid shows >300MW transmission to Germany. Oh wait, it just keeps climbing to 500! Just this morning, EnBW has been importing over 900 from Switzerland and over 1700MW from France, but at the same time sending 700MW to Austria.

      Are there backlog statistics from Swissgrid? The German providers are required by law to provide them, Swissgrid apparently doesn't.

      Flows from France and Czech Republic however are pretty stable these days - always direction Germany.

    139. Re:By coincidence... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, excuse my wording then ;D ofc it is not "random".

      But it looked like you just googled and picked them kinda randomly.

      As you now figured yourself it is not so easy to conclude from those timelines how much we currently import and export as it is a hour by hour business.

      I assume with some more smart searching we can find aggregated informations, but I have right now no time for this (and no idea where to start).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    140. Re:By coincidence... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Currently france is not exporting relevant amounts of power to germany.

      Protip: Fact-check your reply before you post.

      http://www.lesechos.fr/entreprises-secteurs/energie-environnement/actu/0201343199444-electricite-les-exportations-vers-l-allemagne-bondissent-147171.php

  2. In the immortal words of Frost... by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    "Well what the hell are we supposed to use? Harsh language?"

    1. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 2

      Well, German words can sound very powerful!

      --
      Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
    2. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by Abstrackt · · Score: 1

      Absolutely! Here's a fine (and famous) example:

      "Achtung! Alle touristen und non-technischen lookenpeepers! Das machine is nicht fur fingerpoken und mittengrabben. Is easy schnappen der springenwerk, blowenfusen und poppencorken mit spitzen sparken. Das machine is diggen by experten only. Is nicht fur gerwerken by das dummkopfen. Das rubbernecken sightseeren keepen das cottenpicken hands in das pockets. Relaxen und watchen das blinkenlights."

      --
      They say a little knowledge is a dangerous thing, but it's not one half so bad as a lot of ignorance. - Terry Pratchett
    3. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

      Ah yes. Now contrast that with the French expression "Mon aéroglisseur est plein des anguilles." Doesn't have quite that same pizazz to it.

    4. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by camperdave · · Score: 1

      But Japanese sounds like you're lifting a house.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    5. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by cyberstealth1024 · · Score: 1

      Notice: This forum is closed for comments.
      Reason: Godwin's Law has been invoked

    6. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by feandil · · Score: 1

      You know you wrote "My hovercraft is full of the eels" right ?

    7. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

      Yes...but it loses something in translation. ;-)

    8. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by sodul · · Score: 1

      "Mon aéroglisseur est plein d'anguilles."
      Call me a french grammar nazi.

    9. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

      I blame Google translations. :-)

    10. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by dragonturtle69 · · Score: 1

      Come on moderators, at least one Funny is due here.

      --
      "What luck for the rulers that men do not think." - Adolph Hitler
    11. Re:In the immortal words of Frost... by justforgetme · · Score: 1

      Well, it isn't German but it definitely sounds powerful.

      --
      -- no sig today
  3. Serious question; by cablepokerface · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Where does the power come from then!?

    The government must now determine how it can make up the difference with renewable energy sources, natural gas and coal-fired plants.

    I mean, really? That'll end up being 90% coal at the very least. I love sentiment driven politics, It's crappy, but waaay more interesting.

    1. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually it'll be 90% coal in terms of actual production but it'll be 90% wind power in terms of communications.

    2. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, give the fact that already 17% of our energy comes from renewable sources I kinda doubt it. Nuclear only has about 23% in Germany and we are exporting about 40% of our energy.

    3. Re:Serious question; by icebraining · · Score: 1

      ORLY?

      In 2010 nearly 17% (more than 100 TWH) of Germany's electricity supply (603 TWH) was produced from renewable energy sources.

      http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2011/03/new-record-for-german-renewable-energy-in-2010??cmpid=WNL-Wednesday-March30-2011

    4. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      While that fact is interesting and unexpected, it only applies until something goes wrong. When something goes wrong, the coal plant is not sitting on loads of extra radioactivity to be released suddenly. A nuclear plant is.

    5. Re:Serious question; by siddesu · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Will you stop regurgitating that ancient crap, please?

      This is a quote of a 1978 study, commissioned by the nuclear lobby and performed by a nuclear laboratory, and it only states that a certain unfiltered coal plant may have insignificantly more "radioactive" particles within about a mile downwind from the chimney during times of normal operation. Your generation doesn't remember this, but at the time it was projected that the requirements for filters on the chimneys will bankrupt the coal power generation like, totally, and that we'll be running on nuclear within very short time.

      Since then many things happened, one of them being stringent air quality laws all over the developed world.

      Wonder why nobody has repeated this study to validate its outcome?

    6. Re:Serious question; by mjwalshe · · Score: 1

      they will just buy natural gas from that nice Mr Putin - I am sure they can out bid the former warsaw pact counties but hey who cares if a few Slavs freeze to death in the winter

    7. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2006/11/perceived_risk_2.html

    8. Re:Serious question; by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Coal isn't dolphin friendly. Most of the mercury in the sea comes from coal power.

      --
      No sig today...
    9. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      17% is not very encouraging considering the 21000 wind turbines that are installed in Germany.

    10. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      because the pro-nuclear lobby like to talk down arrogantly to everyone who doesnt want to cuddle nukes, and totally misleading bullshit like this is the depths to which they often stoop.
      Remember when they claimed nuclear power would be 'too cheap to meter'
      hahahahahahahaha

      with the security, decomissioning and waste costs added up and factored in correctly, nuclear power is BY FAR the most expensive way to generate power.

    11. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Precisely, most natural gas comes from Russia (play politics with energy) and there's precious little solar or wind power to be had in Germany to make up the difference. So it will be coal or imports.

      In a similar vein in the US we are struggling with nuclear alternatives an attempting to make up the difference with half-baked renewable schemes and natural gas. Much like our vaunted space program, I expect nuclear to end up in the dust bin of history for most Western nations. The technological revolution in energy and space initiatives will come from China and other nations.

    12. Re:Serious question; by Nimey · · Score: 3, Informative

      Germany's coal is mostly brown coal, so it'll pollute a whole lot more than the bituminous or anthracite coal other parts of the world use.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    13. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a quote of a 1978 study, commissioned by the nuclear lobby and performed by a nuclear laboratory, and it only states that a certain unfiltered coal plant may have insignificantly more "radioactive" particles within about a mile downwind from the chimney during times of normal operation

      Source?

    14. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Does not change the fact that coal is a dirty fossil fuel, while modern nuclear is clean and safe. Key word in that sentence was modern for all you fake environmentalists, so i do not want to hear about Chernobyl or ancient Japanese nuclear plants built on fault lines. We should be switching ALL of out generation to nuclear with the exceptions of hydroelectricity (which for now i will include tidal or wave based energy) and geothermal where it is available. That will power our world for as long as it takes for fusion to become viable.

      Of course then we would have to stop fighting over oil, and fighting over oil is really what makes the world go round these days isn't it.

    15. Re:Serious question; by radtea · · Score: 2

      While that fact is interesting and unexpected,

      How on Earth is this unexpected? People have been pointing this out since the '70's!

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    16. Re:Serious question; by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1

      Hmm, average it out over time. A short burst of high magnitude versus a moderate rate over a very long time. I think you will find that your statement is still wrong.

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    17. Re:Serious question; by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Nuclear only has about 23% in Germany and we are exporting about 40% of our energy.

      German electricity exports are around 62e9 kWhr per year.

      Annual generation is around 593e9 kWhr, i.e. 10% is exported, not 40%

      But that isn't the whole story - Germany also imports around 42e9 kWhr, i.e. net exports are only around 3%

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    18. Re:Serious question; by Minwee · · Score: 5, Insightful

      While that fact is interesting and unexpected, it only applies until something goes wrong.

      While everything is going right, nuclear power is quite safe.

      While everything is going right, coal power still kills 24,000 people in the USA alone every year. And that's not even mentioning things like the 48 tons of mercury released into the air and water every year by perfectly functioning coal plants in which nothing has gone wrong.

      Even Greenpeace only puts the death toll from Chernobyl at 200,000 from 1990 to 2004, less than two thirds of what American Coal accomplished over the same time, and they didn't even have an accident to blame. That's just business as usual.

      So, yeah, go Coal. Let's put an end to those dangerous nuclear plants and return to safe, clean power.

    19. Re:Serious question; by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 0

      OK, so 75 - 80% will come from coal and the rest from renewable sources.

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    20. Re:Serious question; by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      I know that. You know that. Do Die Grünen know that?

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    21. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Will you stop regurgitating that ancient crap, please?

      Wonder why nobody has repeated this study to validate its outcome?

      The more relevant question is why nobody has run a study to invalidate it. If the paper was based on bad science, as you claim, then conducting a fair, accurate study that would invalidate it should be trivial. That no one has done so in 30 years, as you admit, and that the paper was published in Science, which has pretty high peer review standards, suggests that perhaps the study's methodology and findings were more solid than you want to believe.

    22. Re:Serious question; by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 2

      You may be right about coal and radioactivity in the current age. But the impact of coal is not just what is pumped out the smoke stack.

      Have you seen an open-pit coal mine? Of course, it's "not in your backyard"...

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    23. Re:Serious question; by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 5, Informative

      Nobody needs to repeat that study, because like you said, it's not relevant.

      But you know what is relevant? Instead of all that stuff going up in smoke, it now gets stored in giant piles of waste. Usually on site, but sometimes at an offsite disposal facility. Such fun things as; arsenic, beryllium, boron, cadmium, chromium, chromium VI, cobalt, lead, manganese, mercury, molybdenum, selenium, strontium, thallium, and vanadium, along with dioxins and PAH compounds.

      Perfectly safe, until this happens that is.

    24. Re:Serious question; by siddesu · · Score: 1

      I don't claim it is based on "bad science". Given who did it, I won't be very surprised if the research was a bit biased - e.g. in plant selection, etc, but that isn't my argument at all. On the contrary, I'm saying that the research was a GOOD thing, because it was instrumental in making coal plant operations much safer by being one of the reasons filtering was introduced in the 80s.

      Mostly, I claim that quoting a 30 year old paper that is based on conditions that don't exist anymore (at least not in the developed countries) that wasn't particularly damning in the first place is not a strong argument in defense of nuclear power generation.

    25. Re:Serious question; by siddesu · · Score: 1

      The article linked by GP. It says the difference between the radioactive emissions of a nuke plant during normal operation and a coal plant for about a mile downwind of a particular coal plant was about 1:2 in 1978.

    26. Re:Serious question; by Glock27 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Regardless of the radiation emitted by coal fired plants, the pollutants are (at a minimum) responsible for killing thousands of people a year.

      Nuclear power is clearly desirable from many standpoints, and there are absolutely no insurmountable problems (most definitely including nuclear waste disposal/reuse).

      Fukushima was a worst-case scenario involving both forty year old technology and very poor planning. If only the backup generators had been in a tsunami-proof vessel, like at other plants, there would have been no meltdown. Modern reactor designs would also avoid any meltdown scenario.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    27. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not in my back yard so why he fuck should I care?

    28. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > modern nuclear is clean and safe.

      Sure, if you define "clean" to mean "dangerous waste products are piled in dumps instead of dispersed into the atmosphere."

    29. Re:Serious question; by pclminion · · Score: 1

      may have insignificantly more "radioactive" particles within about a mile downwind from the chimney during times of normal operation.

      Ah. So like, all the time then.

    30. Re:Serious question; by siddesu · · Score: 1

      Except such times when the nuclear power plants don't operate normally. Even a minor leak at a NPP will exceed by orders of magnitude the 1978 coal plant emissions that are quoted in the linked article. No accident in a coal plant will release any more radioactive matter in the local environment.

    31. Re:Serious question; by __aaqvdr516 · · Score: 1

      I currently work in a coal plant. Not all plants collect fly ash in the manner provided in your link.

      You missed a portion of the text when you copied it from Wikipedia.

      Toxic constituents depend upon the specific coal bed makeup, but may include one or more of the following elements or substances in quantities from trace amounts to several percent: arsenic, beryllium, boron, cadmium, chromium, chromium VI, cobalt, lead, manganese, mercury, molybdenum, selenium, strontium, thallium, and vanadium, along with dioxins and PAH compounds.

      The truth is that you don't have all of those compounds in every load of coal. It depends on the makeup of the coal (where it's from, the type). Every load of coal that is used is tested before use. If it doesn't meet EPA guidelines, we actually send it back. The regulations vary by area and are based on total air quality. The more industrial stuff around, the lower the limits become.

    32. Re:Serious question; by gdshaw · · Score: 1

      Well, give the fact that already 17% of our energy comes from renewable sources I kinda doubt it. Nuclear only has about 23% in Germany and we are exporting about 40% of our energy.

      It's because the contribution from wind and solar power is already quite high in Germany that adding lots more might be difficult.

      Denmark has achieved 20% from wind power, but only with help from Sweden to balance the load on their grid (and Denmark is much smaller than Germany).

      Besides, even if Germany was able to replace 100% of its nuclear capacity with renewables, that is energy which could have been used to replace coal - surely a much more rational and urgent environmental objective.

    33. Re:Serious question; by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not all plants collect fly ash in the manner provided in your link.

      Of course they don't. I never claimed they did. But then again, not all nuclear power plants are located next to oceans and hit by tsunamis.

      That didn't stop the crazy people from linking that ONE incident, to every single plant. Demanding their closure, or in this case, the exit of an entire country from this means of producing electricity.

      There is no 100% safe way to do anything, much less generate electricity on a massive scale. Natural disasters will happen, but is no reason to go back to the dark ages of technology.

      I wish people who were so adamant of these things could all live on an island with no electricity. As is seems they are unable to comprehend that there are benefits and trade-offs for the risk. Do I want clean drinking water(powered by electricity)? Do I want to keep my food safe from spoiling?

      In all honesty, it's a symptom of a larger problem that seems to be a rather widespread thought process. I like to call it the 'Broken Utopia' model, where everything would be just perfect(literally perfect) if we didn't get involved with our 'sciency' ideas. In this line of thinking, the goal is an unattainable state of perfection, and anything less is cause to throw out the entire field. Be it nuclear energy in this case, or the motives of the 'anti-vaccine' crowd.

      The fact that this parallels so closely with the creation stories of many major religions, is no accident. And is just further proof to me that religion does far, FAR more harm than it does good.

    34. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Might want to check those pesky facts. According the the Wikipedia article Germany is projected to hit 25% solar by 2050 and I'd guess with the recent move they'll increase their solar installation pace. This doesn't count wind or hydroelectric or any other sources. They are currently at just over 2% solar but they are putting up panels fast. By the time they shut down their last nuclear power plant they'll be well over the 10% you gave just on solar alone.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_power_in_Germany

    35. Re:Serious question; by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Careful with that strawmen. Don't hurt yourself setting em to flames.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    36. Re:Serious question; by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Denmark has achieved 20% from wind power, but only with help from Sweden to balance the load on their grid (and Denmark is much smaller than Germany).

      Except for Island and GB all of europe, russia and north east asia is on a super large interconnected grid. I don't find a good link but you find a reference to it on this page a bit down: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electric_power_transmission

      angel'o'sphere
      P.S. that does not mean that Sweden is not helping with a special HVAC line, I just wanted to point the grid size out

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    37. Re:Serious question; by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Because there never was any study. The ultimate source for this bullshit is a NEWSLETTER by some pretty random guy with no scientific background to speak of. The fact that by EPA numbers, the radioactivity of coal ash is in the same order of magnitude as that of soil or K-based fertilizer doesn't matter to the fanboys when they feel the need to spout some bullshit. The fact alone that this gets repeated in every single discussion regarding nuclear energy tells me all I need to know about to pro-nuclear crowd here. Uninformed, condescending and lying basement dwellers without a hint of a clue. At least they parade it in front of themselves for the whole world to see.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    38. Re:Serious question; by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Obviously the steady growth of renewables in Germany will stop right now. But please, stay in the nuclear stone age while we move on.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    39. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The USA alone releases 800 tons of Uranium in coal ash each year. The Uranium in the ash can produce more power than the original coal!

    40. Re:Serious question; by he-sk · · Score: 1

      Germany already produces 16% of its energy from renewables. The agreement reached in 2000 to phase out nuclear energy contained concrete goals for renewables, and we are not only meeting, but exceeding them.

      In other words, you're full of shit.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    41. Re:Serious question; by Seraphim_72 · · Score: 0

      "And is just further proof to me that religion does far, FAR more harm than it does good."

      Yeah, no bias here.

      Take a step back. You just managed to connect the dots 'Germany and power' to 'All religion is bad' with no intervening step. But don't worry - *They* are the crazy unscientific ones ...right?

      --
      Slashdot, where armchair scientists get shouted down and armchair theologians get modded up.
    42. Re:Serious question; by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Ukraine can buy gas from Turkmenistan - the gas from there is cheap. Unfortunately, the dentist who rules that country wants to get paid in real money instead of promises.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    43. Re:Serious question; by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 2

      You should read that again. There is quite clearly an intervening step.

      Did your subconscious just gloss over it as if it was not there?

    44. Re:Serious question; by Bengie · · Score: 1

      I wish more people knew this stuff. I think building new coal power plants should be outlawed and coal should be completely phased out before the end of the century. I don't care what else is built, anything but coal.

    45. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you'd rather this stuff be spread all over the place, with people literally breathing in this crap?

      It sounds to me like a major failure of separating out all the heavy metals from everything else. Most of the sludge is calcium and silicon dioxides. If they had separated out all the toxic crap, storing it wouldn't be such a big deal.

    46. Re:Serious question; by pnewhook · · Score: 1

      Remember when they claimed nuclear power would be 'too cheap to meter'

      Canada has a lot of nuclear (Ontario is over 50% nuclear) and as a result we have some of the cheapest hydro rates in the world.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
    47. Re:Serious question; by rmstar · · Score: 1

      Where does the power come from then!?

      They'll buy it from their neighbours, of course. That's not a problem. Maybe they manage to convince the Ukrainians to build lots of plants in their backyard and produce all the electricity there ever is going to be needed. I've heard they already have a nice place for that.

      There is an argument to be made for not building nuclear power plants in densely populated areas like Germany.

    48. Re:Serious question; by rmstar · · Score: 1

      Have you seen an open-pit coal mine?

      You will have to make a more intelligent argument. The Chernobyl area is all lush and green, but unsafe to live in. The open pit coal mines, would work stop there tomorrow, would be safe to visit the next day, and green, and lush, and inhabitable, in a matter of years.

    49. Re:Serious question; by siddesu · · Score: 1

      "Too cheap to meter" was a statement by Lewis Strauss about nuclear fusion, not nuclear fission. Sadly, we're very far away from a nuclear fission energy plant, first, because it is very hard, much harder than fission, and (probably a distant) second, because such a tech has no immediate military application. So, please, don't confuse the two, and don't attribute "too cheap to meter" to the fission power production. It was never cheap, and it was never possible or viable without huge government support.

    50. Re:Serious question; by rmstar · · Score: 2

      Does not change the fact that coal is a dirty fossil fuel, while modern nuclear is clean and safe.

      Yes, just like was claimed for the Chernobyl plant, and that old Westinghouse pressure cookers the Japanese have. "Safe. No problem. Never ever. Power too cheap to meter". Only thing: they weren't that safe. The pebble bed reactors, btw, were also supposed to be guaranteed safe, but they weren't. Nuclear has one hell of a credibility problem. Those claims of "passive safety" are just that: claims. And made by people that have been caught lying more than once too often.

      That will power our world for as long as it takes for fusion to become viable.

      That might as well be never. The upshot of decades of research has been that the problems are much, much harder to solve than initially thought.

    51. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      would be safe to visit the next day, and green, and lush, and inhabitable, in a matter of years.

      No. You are incorrect. You assume there is no eclological impact beyond just digging a pit, however this is not so. YOU "have to do better".

    52. Re:Serious question; by jim_kaiser · · Score: 1

      Where does the power come from then!?

      The government must now determine how it can make up the difference with renewable energy sources, natural gas and coal-fired plants.

      I mean, really? That'll end up being 90% coal at the very least. I love sentiment driven politics, It's crappy, but waaay more interesting.

      Does anyone remember this?

      If just one percent of the Saharan Desert were covered in concentrating solar panels it would create enough energy to power the entire world.

      Solar Energy from Sahara Will Be Imported To Europe Within 5 Years

      --
      The last person to mod me down is a rotten egg..... there.. that should do it..
    53. Re:Serious question; by gdshaw · · Score: 1

      Denmark has achieved 20% from wind power, but only with help from Sweden to balance the load on their grid (and Denmark is much smaller than Germany).

      Except for Island and GB all of europe, russia and north east asia is on a super large interconnected grid.

      It's specifically their very large amount of hydroelectric capacity that is helpful here. Hydro is an excellent counterbalance to unreliable sources of power like wind, because you can turn it on and off instantly or even run it in reverse. Unfortunately it's not scalable because most of the best sites are already being used.

      Averaging wind over a large area obviously helps, but not nearly as much as you might hope because of the degree of correlation.

    54. Re:Serious question; by rmstar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Nuclear power is clearly desirable from many standpoints, and there are absolutely no insurmountable problems (most definitely including nuclear waste disposal/reuse).

      Care to put some substance to that claim? What are you going to do with nuclear waste? Reprocessing produces more waste than what goes in.

      Fukushima was a worst-case scenario involving both forty year old technology and very poor planning.

      There is a plant in Germany, same model than that in Fukushima, that lost power (from the outside) one especially cold winter, and almost melted down. That was in the seventies (google for Grundremmingen). The block in question has been shut down since then. No worst case, it was just a little bit too cold.

      If only the backup generators had been in a tsunami-proof vessel, like at other plants, there would have been no meltdown.

      Yes, but they didn't have them. You see, real safety, not mickey-mouse make believe duck-and-cover safety is much too expensive to the folks in the executive class that get to become rich with this type of projects. So they prefer to allow for the occasional meltdown.

      The main problems with nuclear is not necessarily technical, but political and social. We'd need a very different type of management technology to make nuclear succeed.

    55. Re:Serious question; by Sique · · Score: 1

      But the Ukraine and Belorus combined have just about 55 mio inhabitants compared to more than 300 mio in the U.S. The mortality from Chernobyl is 200.000 out of 55 mio, (one from 275) while the mortality of Coal is about 300.000 out of 300 mio. (or one from 1000) Looks to me as if Chernobyl was the greater disaster.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    56. Re:Serious question; by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      "The open pit coal mines, would work stop there tomorrow, would be safe to visit the next day, and green, and lush, and inhabitable, in a matter of years."

      Have you ever BEEN near a coal mine or open pit mines? They won't be safe for living for many hundreds of years (sky-high levels of mercury, arsenic and other nice elements) and won't be green for many tens of years unless one restores topsoil.

    57. Re:Serious question; by huzur79 · · Score: 1

      Excuse me but I have to point this out. The Japanese plant was hit by both a Earth Quake that was larger then its designed specs and it was also hit by a Tsunami. How can you honestly with a straight face say it was not safe excluding what happened to it. I think they held up really good considering. Current reactors have passive cooling systems that don't need power. Had this plant had that system it would not have failed. A few design retrofits need to be considered for coastal plants such as making them water proof and having the generators located in protective bunkers. But come on, who expected it to be hit twice like that. The wall that protected that plant had been tall enough as well except the entire area sank 5-10 feet during the quake. Personally I have no credibility problem with Nuclear power. If we had accidents once a year sure. But major accidents every decade, 2 of them being human error and over 20+ years ago forget it. Its credible for me.

    58. Re:Serious question; by agw · · Score: 0
      Interesting comparison you have there: 100% fine working coal plant causes more deaths than slightly broken nuclear power plant.
      What about a totally wrecked coal plant worst case scenario against a worst case scenario of a nuclear plant (we didn't have a worst case scenario yet)?
      Totally wrecked coal plant is probably causing no harm at all anymore for many years while the nuclear plant...

      So not only need one see the harm a technology causes every day, but also in a worst case scenario.
      As we have seen oil and nuclear are not looking very good in worst case scenarios.

    59. Re:Serious question; by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      And it won't produce more than 25% by 2022, if that. In the long run (by 2030), it won't produce more than 50% of its energy from renewable sources.

    60. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Have you seen an open-pit coal mine? Of course, it's "not in your backyard"..."

      Neither is a uranium mine.

    61. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When something goes wrong, the coal plant is not sitting on loads of extra radioactivity to be released suddenly. A nuclear plant is.

      Oh really, would you care to explain the process by which that happens then?

    62. Re:Serious question; by dcollins · · Score: 1

      "... there are absolutely no insurmountable problems (most definitely including nuclear waste disposal/reuse)."

      There are times when I feel that this basically boils down to a probability problem. You can have N components all of which probably work, yet chained together probably fail (e.g., 2/3 * 2/3 = 4/9). In nuclear power there are, of course, an enormous number of components, and a ghastly payoff for failure. So you can have "no insurmountable problems" and yet at the same time almost certainly run into "some non-surmounted problem".

      The fact that one fails every 20 years or so is almost a worst-case scenario for our society's limited ability to deal with long-term disaster planning and risk.

      --
      We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    63. Re:Serious question; by rmstar · · Score: 2

      The Japanese plant was hit by both a Earth Quake that was larger then its designed specs and it was also hit by a Tsunami. How can you honestly with a straight face say it was not safe excluding what happened to it.

      Perhaps because I am not a propellerhead with a bad case of aspergers. Somehow, there is this misconception that if you build to spec and something goes wrong, it is not your fault. (Hint: the "you", in this case, was involved in rigging the spec in the first place).

      Current reactors have passive cooling systems that don't need power.

      that simply is not true. Current designs have cooling systems that can work passively for some limited amount of time, and if all goes as predicted in the spec (surprise).

      If we had accidents once a year sure. But major accidents every decade, 2 of them being human error and over 20+ years ago forget it. Its credible for me.

      You put the bar rather low. A little lower and you'll have to dig it in.

      With nuclear energy we have just been lucky.

    64. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Okay. How about this: "The European Commission Clean Air for Europe programme found that in the year 2000 around 350,000 people were dying prematurely due to outdoor pollution of fine particulate matter alone."

    65. Re:Serious question; by owlstead · · Score: 0

      Fukushima was a worst-case scenario

      Yeah, and before that it was Chernobyl and before that Three Mile Island. It will only be surpassed by the next disastrous event, I'm sure.

      ....and there are absolutely no insurmountable problems (most definitely including nuclear waste disposal/reuse).

      Shut up or provide the answer. And don't you dare reiterate the same shit again.

      Modern reactor designs would also avoid any meltdown scenario.

      Should also avoid any meltdown scenario. And what about the pools *next* to the reactor?

      Insightful my ass.

    66. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Excuse me but I have to point this out. The Japanese plant was hit by both a Earth Quake that was larger then its designed specs and it was also hit by a Tsunami. How can you honestly with a straight face say it was not safe excluding what happened to it.

      Because if any other kind of plant is destroyed by an earthquake, you just rebuild it. You don't have to do containment and remediation and worry about the aftereffects.

      At Fukushima, they're talking about just burying the fucker. Tell me that's normal for disaster recovery.

    67. Re:Serious question; by Raenex · · Score: 1

      There was no need to drag religion in. Humans get emotional and stupid over all kinds of causes. People love science (or [insert topic here]) when it goes right. People will bash it when it goes wrong. Just human nature.

    68. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fucking moron.

    69. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, and before that it was Chernobyl and before that Three Mile Island. It will only be surpassed by the next disastrous event, I'm sure.

      Chernobyl had no containment vessel and BURNED its graphite moderator. It was a shitty design then, and it would be an insane design now.
      How many people died as a result of TMI? (none)
      How much radiation was released outside the TMI plant? (barely enough to register above background)
      According to wiki

      Should also avoid any meltdown scenario. And what about the pools *next* to the reactor?

      Also covered by modern designs:
      The ACRS noted that passive systems provide core cooling, no active equipment is required for fuel pond cooling and at least one backup water source is always available.
      cite

      Insightful my ass.

      Indeed.

      Please stop basing your opinions on ~60 year old nuclear designs.

    70. Re:Serious question; by russotto · · Score: 1

      Perhaps because I am not a propellerhead with a bad case of aspergers. Somehow, there is this misconception that if you build to spec and something goes wrong, it is not your fault.

      That's not aspergers, that's plain justice. If someone builds a bridge given the specification that it handle a 10 ton load, and it collapses given a 15-ton load, that's not the builder's fault.

    71. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > That's not aspergers, that's plain justice.

      Justice?? WTF? This has nothing to do with justice, it has to do with poor planning and concern for public safety.

      Plus the crucial difference is that you can post a weight limit on the bridge and warn trucks not to cross it if they weigh more than 10 tons. You can't warn the earth "don't quake, there's a reactor here."

    72. Re:Serious question; by jh.montag · · Score: 1

      The German government is clear in this point: Until 2020 and later on wind will deliver the bulk of the additional energy required. http://www.bundesregierung.de/Webs/Breg/DE/Energiekonzept/ErneuerbareEnergien/erneuerbare-energien.html explains it quite well, although in German. The installation (and renewal) of windgenerators, biomass, photovoltaics, improved insulation of housing, an intelligent grid and pump water storages will produce and deliver the electric energy.

      This will require a huge investment, but the investment will be done now, at a time when Germany is doing comparably well. Bottomline is: the conventional sources of energy are finite. So better create the turnaround early than being forced by the circumstances to do it in 20-30 years when conventional energy is getting even more scarce and the cost of tranformation will be much higher. After all it remains to be a technical challenge now that an old policital conflict ended.

      Is it achievable? I believe so.

      The way how Germany changed energy production in the recent 10 years shows quite clearly what can be done in comparably short time with a combination of opening the grid, fostering competition (like having many instead of just a few energy producing companies), subsidies for investments and a market for electric energy comparable to a stock exchange. A clever mix of regulation and market instruments can induce huge changes at bearable cost for the customers.

      To say it in all clarity: Neither coal nor natural gas will be the planned replacement.

      Probably there might be the requirement to use fossil fuels for a limited amount of time, but the German government did not only end nuclear power again. This decision resumes and enforces a process of transformation that was already started in 2002 by the Leftist-Green coalition, a move towards Renewables as a major source of energy in Germany.

    73. Re:Serious question; by russotto · · Score: 1

      Fukushima was a worst-case scenario

      Yeah, and before that it was Chernobyl and before that Three Mile Island. It will only be surpassed by the next disastrous event, I'm sure.

      Chernobyl was a worst-case result. The cause of it was entirely human error of various sorts. Fukushima was not nearly as bad as Chernobyl, and the cause was a natural disaster outside the design parameters. Three Mile Island was not a worst-case scenario by any measure; there was some equipment failure, some human error, and the result was fairly minor as industrial accidents go.

      You're right that if we continue to use nuclear power indefinitely, we're likely to have more disastrous nuclear events. What's your perfectly safe alternative?

    74. Re:Serious question; by Seraphim_72 · · Score: 1

      See, there is no step. None. You can't actually have one there. I didn't gloss over it, it is a logical impossibility. It is like saying "I have teeth therefor aliens exist" or "3+2=5 therefor I like hazel nuts" it is a non-sequitur. How does this parallel "with the creation stories of many major religions"? Because the parent made up a straw man? Really? that is your argument?

      --
      Slashdot, where armchair scientists get shouted down and armchair theologians get modded up.
    75. Re:Serious question; by Tweenk · · Score: 1

      Care to put some substance to that claim? What are you going to do with nuclear waste? Reprocessing produces more waste than what goes in.

      No it doesn't. It separates the waste into fission products which decay to the level of radioactivity of uranium ore after 300 years, plutonium which can be reused as fuel, and uranium which can be re-enriched.

      Yes, but they didn't have them. You see, real safety, not mickey-mouse make believe duck-and-cover safety is much too expensive to the folks in the executive class that get to become rich with this type of projects. So they prefer to allow for the occasional meltdown.

      This makes completely no sense. It is far more profitable not to allow an accident to happen than to cut corners, because operating a nuclear power plant after its construction cost has been amortized is like printing money.

      --
      Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
    76. Re:Serious question; by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      It does not matter who's to blame, it matters that the bridge collapses and people die or reactors break and thousands of people have to be evacuated. It does not matter that the plant was built to spec or that the disaster that broke it was at an unprecedented level. It matters that it happened. The unexpected can happen and when it happens we don't want to have entire cities turned uninhabitable. Life is not fair.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    77. Re:Serious question; by rmstar · · Score: 1

      I've never been at an open pit mine. But I am quite sure the ones in Germany will be completely safe at the very latest a decade or two after the end of operation, with or without accidents. Well, people might drown while swimming in the lake they are going to put there, but hey. So, where do you get the "many hundreds of years" figure?

      It would not surpise me, however, if it is like that in the US, where doing it right at a higher cost normally is not acceptable (cf. hydrocracking and stuff like that). But that's another matter entirely. You shouldn't let randroids do open pit mines, but much less nuclear reactors.

    78. Re:Serious question; by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      Most likely somebody did and people just didn't pick up on it because it wasn't interesting enough. I saw values for coal that were much lower than for nuclear power in a recent article on the public broadcasting website, no idea where they got those from but they are probably out there to be found if someone actually tried looking for them.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    79. Re:Serious question; by semi-extrinsic · · Score: 2

      You may have a small point about Chernobyl, except that the people running it at the time of the accident were untrained and did the opposite of what they should have.

      But really, Fukushima? An earthquake + tsunami (both beyond design limits) hit Japan and kills 20 000 people (and counting). So far, a handful of people have died at Fukushima, and several of those were unrelated to radiation (big hydrogen explosions etc.). The amount of people that may have a shortened life is below 100. Really, if this tsunami had hit a coal or gas fired plant instead, the deaths and injuries at that power plant would probably not have been any lower. So I'd say it seems pretty safe.

      --
      for i in `facebook friends "=bday" 2>/dev/null | cut -d " " -f 3-`; do facebook wallpost $i "Happy birthday!"; done
    80. Re:Serious question; by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      Which is enough to displace the current nuclear production without building new fossil fuel powered plants.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    81. Re:Serious question; by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

      The mortality from Chernobyl is 200.000 out of 55 mio,

      It should, perhaps, be pointed out that Greenpeace's 200K deaths are not ACTUAL deaths, they are still EXPECTED deaths. One of these days, we might reach 200K deaths as a result of Chernobyl.

      Or not.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    82. Re:Serious question; by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      From living for about a year in area with 10 times the legal limit of arsenic in water. Leaching from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spoil_tip from coal mining.

      Now, arsenic is not that bad for wildlife. It's just another selective pressure to which animals and plants adapt just fine. But so is radiation.

      But you'd have to do a cleanup comparable with cleanup from nuclear fallout to remove accumulated heavy metals from soil.

    83. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hydroelectricity, whether it's gravity or tide or wind powered, is unfortunate and should be avoided where possible. And with nuclear power, it's easily possible to avoid it completely. I like valleys and waves, thank you very much. Why should we suck power out of beautiful natural phenomena when we can suck it out of uranium and thorium?

    84. Re:Serious question; by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Nope. It's enough to replace nuclear power, but fossil power will have to _grow_ to compensate for growing demand. And German government is not even trying to conceal this, conceding that they'll have to build more fossil power plants.

      As I've said, it's "either/or" situation. Either you replace nuclear or you can get rid of fossil power plants. But not both at the same time.

      (unless you live in a place with abundant and reliable wind/geothermal/hydro power)

    85. Re:Serious question; by rmstar · · Score: 1

      Perhaps because I am not a propellerhead with a bad case of aspergers. Somehow, there is this misconception that if you build to spec and something goes wrong, it is not your fault.

      That's not aspergers, that's plain justice. If someone builds a bridge given the specification that it handle a 10 ton load, and it collapses given a 15-ton load, that's not the builder's fault.

      Wellcome to the real world. The question is immediately, why did 15 tons pass over it? Did the builder accept the contract knowing that the safety margin was unrealistically tight, thus recklessly endangering lives for money? Etc, etc. And, in the case of nuclear plants, the safety margin is more or less made up by the power companies, so they get the blame for setting the wrong safety margin too.

    86. Re:Serious question; by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1

      While there may be steady growth of renewable energy sources, there will also be growth in energy use. And, because there will already be a large decrease thanks to the decommissioning of nuclear plants, there will be an even bigger energy deficit to make up. Do you honestly think that renewables will be able to take up the slack in time?

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    87. Re:Serious question; by quetzalblue · · Score: 1

      >(Ontario is over 50% nuclear) and as a result we have some of the cheapest hydro rates in the world.

      We live next door to said province and we think their "hydro" aint that cheap. ..and if it's nuclear, it aint hydro ! ;-)

    88. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Die Grünen are not in power right now.

    89. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fukushima was a worst-case scenario involving both forty year old technology and very poor planning. If only the backup generators had been in a tsunami-proof vessel, like at other plants, there would have been no meltdown. Modern reactor designs would also avoid any meltdown scenario.

      The problem is, forty years ago, the nuclear industry was saying the same thing. "Past accidents couldn't happen again, not with modern technologies." They were demonstrably lying back then, so why the hell should we assume they've discovered ethics since?

      This "worst-case scenario" in fact seems to happen far too often.

    90. Re:Serious question; by BlueParrot · · Score: 1

      Reprocessing produces more waste than what goes in.

      It increases the volume of the waste because mass is added, but this is irrelevant to most storage schemes since it is heat generation, not volume, that limits repository capacity. If the extracted transuranics are used in a fast spectrum then the resulting waste will consist of mostly fission products that decay to safe levels much quicker than unprocessed waste. If the plutonium only is reused in a thermal spectrum ( as with LWR MOX fuel ) then more americium and curium will be produced, which is generally a bad thing.

      You see, real safety, not mickey-mouse make believe duck-and-cover safety is much too expensive to the folks in the executive class

      Back when the Fukishima style reactors were constructed not much attention were paid towards safety, and environmentalism was just getting started. That's why many reactors built back then have rubbish containments and unreliable cooling systems. In contrast at least a few of the designs currently suggested ( ESBWR , Advanced CANDU , ABWR, APR ) have dramatically higher quality containment structures and rely on natural convection during emergency situations. I will give you that the Japanese nuclear industry is really rather corrupt, and the whole cover-up surrounding Monju should leave no doubt of that. You are however wrong that much better safety cannot be built at competitive prices. The Canadians have been doing a good job with their CANDU as an example.

    91. Re:Serious question; by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 1

      The unexpected can happen and when it happens we don't want to have entire cities turned uninhabitable.

      So instead we keep burning coal plants and expectedly make the oceans completely toxic and uninhabitable? We already can barely eat the fish because of mercury that primarily comes from burning coal. Pregnant women are urged to not eat tuna at all, and everyone else is urged to limit their amount.

    92. Re:Serious question; by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 1

      Because if any other kind of plant is destroyed by an earthquake, you just rebuild it. You don't have to do containment and remediation and worry about the aftereffects.

      Actually this is true for almost any modern structure. Look at the WTC. The cleanup took a very long time with many many people getting sick and some having life long medical issues from the incident. Containment, remediation and after effects all needed to be cared for.

      If you look all over Japan where the earthquake and tsunami hit there also has to be containment and remediation. Modern city life is great when it's working, but very dirty when destroyed - especially on the scale that just happened in Japan. Fukishima will definitely provide its own challenges, but don't act like the rest of the Japan can just be 'rebuilt' without also cleaning up first.

    93. Re:Serious question; by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Yes, just like was claimed for the Chernobyl plant

      By whom? The Russians. Yup, there's a trustworthy group.

      There are rational standards that can be applied for nuclear reactors. Chernobyl never met them.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    94. Re:Serious question; by Tomji · · Score: 1

      Any plans for Hybrid or Electric cars in Germany or will they stay with fussil fuels there too? I guess It makes sense now that they'll have no power they can bury that idea.

    95. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And is just further proof to me that religion does far, FAR more harm than it does good.

      To paraphrase someone.

      "In all honesty, it's a symptom of a larger problem that seems to be a rather widespread thought process. I like to call it the 'Broken Utopia' model, where everything would be just perfect (literally perfect) if we didn't get involved with 'religiony' ideas."

    96. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'No worst case, it was just a little bit too cold'
      and that is exactly what a worst case scenario is. The real issue is risk management, the failure to understand risk management and the political weakness that results in inadequate funding to address the risk identified (or failure to identify the risk fully) is the root cause of failures.

    97. Re:Serious question; by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      We should be switching ALL of out generation to nuclear with the exceptions of hydroelectricity (which for now i will include tidal or wave based energy) and geothermal where it is available.

      I don't see anything wrong with nuclear per se, but what's wrong with using wind and solar where that is easily tappable? All costs considered, both are definitely cleaner than nuclear. Yeah, most places can't maintain their base load on that, but if they replace even one nuclear power station, it's still a good thing in my book.

    98. Re:Serious question; by dragonturtle69 · · Score: 1

      While I agree that coal is, in general, safer than nuclear, I'm not sure about...

      would be save to visit the next day, and green, and lush, and inhabitable, in a matter of years.

      The number of years to erode one of these holes would be a lifetime, I think, Flickr of Ekibastuz, chosen at random from Google images.

      --
      "What luck for the rulers that men do not think." - Adolph Hitler
    99. Re:Serious question; by dragonturtle69 · · Score: 1

      You have identified the real problem.

      Yes, but they didn't have them. You see, real safety, not mickey-mouse make believe duck-and-cover safety is much too expensive to the folks in the executive class that get to become rich with this type of projects. So they prefer to allow for the occasional meltdown.

      It is not technically impossible, just not profitable, or as profitable as desired, or as profitable as possible.

      I hope to see our economic system evolve in my lifetime, might solve some of our societal problems.

      --
      "What luck for the rulers that men do not think." - Adolph Hitler
    100. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right. And think of all the tsunamis they have in Germany. Perhaps German scientists have secretly discovered how to generate power from a knee jerk. All it takes is for the entire population to continually react to media stories with legislation and lots of political hot air.

    101. Re:Serious question; by bzipitidoo · · Score: 1

      'sciency'? Go look in a mirror.

      I'll up your 'Broken Utopia' with 'Horizon Effect'. We don't properly assess risks. We've done a terrible job of accounting for external costs. We tend to be overly optimistic, and entirely too willing to stick our heads in the sand, and ignore problems that are seemingly low probability, or decades in the future. What are the odds some terrorist attack or a tornado or other natural disaster will breach the makeshift waste storage? Or that some of this material will be stolen and used in a dirty bomb? This stuff can make large areas of land unsafe for habitation for centuries.

      All that applies even when everyone is honest. Lot of people aren't. Nuclear power proponents have not demonstrated enough trustworthiness to be allowed free rein. There've been far more incidents than ONE. Many of them went unreported. When there were problems, it was too easy to squelch research so that no one would ever know for sure, or dismiss it as statistical noise, or blame it on something else. You should read up on those liars from Big Tobacco and their infamous slogan "doubt is our product", and testimony before Congress, "nicotine is not addictive".

      It's not that we haven't given nuclear power a chance. We have. And they've blown it. If we properly assessed the costs and risks, I think we would honestly conclude, as Germany evidently has, that nuclear is simply too dangerous, and not use it at all. Same for offshore oil drilling. We've all seen just how damaging that can be. We have many other options. Don't give nuclear or coal a pass out of misplaced nostalgia or comfort with the familiar.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    102. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [citation sorely needed]

      should at least cover the following:

      what is "dying prematurely"? how it is measured, compared to what, for which population?
      "due to outdoor pollution" - is there a specific study demonstrating the cause and effect relationship unambiguously?
      "of fine particulate matter" - is there a specific study about the composition and origins of such "particulate matter"?
      "alone" - again, please show us specific study, demonstrating clearly the contribution of the fine particulate matter above in the "dying prematurely" phenomenon.

      but before that you need, of course, to explain the relevance of your quote, assuming it is true, to GP's criticism of the "coal is more radioactive than nuclear" argument presented by the "scientific" american.

      we're waiting.

    103. Re:Serious question; by RightSaidFred99 · · Score: 1

      Since you're yapping about how wonderful coal is, care to compare the deaths from coal power to the deaths from nuclear power over the last decades?

    104. Re:Serious question; by RightSaidFred99 · · Score: 1

      Your points are silly, coal power has killed many times more people than nuclear power ever has. It's just not as flashy to die from various medical conditions compared to super-scary radiation because, to the plebes, radiation is damn near magic.

    105. Re:Serious question; by Swiper · · Score: 1

      Oh Great, So now they'll be planting those bloody windmills all over the place, as if the existing ones are not inefficient enough to start with. I hate this German anti-nuclear panic, and I live in Germany! And by the way, it has *nothing* to do with the fact that the previous german chancellor is a great big buddy of Gasprom, that's pure foresight^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^H coincidence....

      --
      ~We demand rigidly defined areas of uncertainty~
    106. Re:Serious question; by SomeStupidNickName12 · · Score: 1

      Try actually reading his whole post. He said MODERN plants not Chernobyl or the rest - there were some really dumb design decisions around nuclear plants from way back when. Unfortunately all you idiot environmentalists always group the two together without really understanding the difference.

      As for peddle bed reactors? When were they determined not be safe? They never even entered the main stream let alone had any problems.

      What credibility problem? In the last 30 years how many people have died from a nuclear disaster or resulting fallout compared to fossil fuels? Take a look at http://www.the9billion.com/2011/03/24/death-rate-from-nuclear-power-vs-coal/ Hell throw in all the wars fought over fossil fuels and nuclear looks even better.

    107. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Care to put some substance to that claim? What are you going to do with nuclear waste? Reprocessing produces more waste than what goes in.

      95+% of entire fuel that goes into the plant is recyclable and reusable. Only about 2-5% is waste. Almost everything that has a long enough half life has a decent neutron cross section and can be used as fuel.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integral_Fast_Reactor

      It was canceled by President Clinton when he proclaimed that $20 oil is going to be available for many decades. I guess he was wrong.

      There is a plant in Germany, same model than that in Fukushima, that lost power (from the outside) one especially cold winter, and almost melted down. That was in the seventies (google for Grundremmingen). The block in question has been shut down since then. No worst case, it was just a little bit too cold.

      Wikipedia has different events from what you said. Basically, they shut down the plant but overpressure due to too much water being pumped in occurred. There is no mention of losing emergency backup power. It seems they didn't have a plant blackout..

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gundremmingen_Nuclear_Power_Plant#Unit_A

      On January 13, 1977 a serious accident occurred that resulted in the total loss of Unit A. In cold, damp weather, two high-tension lines carrying electricity from the plant short-circuited. The ensuing rapid shutdown of the reactor led to operational errors. Within ten minutes, there was approximately 3 meters of standing water in the reactor building and the temperature had risen to nearly 80 degrees Celsius. Through error, too much water was introduced into the reactor for emergency cooling. Pressure relief valves released between 200 and 400 cubic meters (sources vary) of radioactive coolant water into the building. The water, and also the gases, were later released from the building into the environment.

      This was Germany's first and up to the present only catastrophic loss of a nuclear power plant. Political and regulatory bodies required that in addition to repairs, the unit's control and safety systems be modernized. Because modernization would have required an investment of 180 million DM, and since Units B and C were already under construction, the operating authorities later decided not to return Unit A to service. The contaminated steel parts were contained in protective castings and removed to the interim radioactive storage location in Mitterteich.

      In 1983 the decision was made to dismantle the unit.[5] Dismantling was "far advanced" in 2005[6] and has led to valuable experience and the development of state of the art processes for the break-down, handling, and cleansing of radiation-contaminated materials.[5] According to the operators, approximately 10,000 tonnes of scrap have been created in the process, of which 86% have been re-usable and 14% are to be disposed of in permanent storage as radioactive waste.[7]

      ---

      The main problems with nuclear is not necessarily technical, but political and social. We'd need a very different type of management technology to make nuclear succeed.

      That is the only statement I agree with. Nuclear needs a proper regulatory oversight body. The NRC in the US is a good example (they had a wakeup call with three mile island). The Japanese counterpart is not a good example.

      Nuclear fission is a very simple energy source. The trouble is it is difficult to simply turn it off when stuff fails. There needs to be passive safety built into the system, especially in risky areas like Japan.

      As an environmentalist, I would have hoped that Germany would eliminate fossil fuels first, especially coal. Nuclear, when it goes right, doesn't pollute. And when it goes wrong, it makes exclusion zones that are great for wildlife (people are far larger threat to wildlife than low level radiation). But then many "greens" equate nuclear weapons with nuclear energy. *sigh*

    108. Re:Serious question; by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 1

      Like I said, a broken utopia.

      Speaking of not being able to correctly assess risks... How many people died mining coal last year?

      Nothing is getting a 'pass'. Life is not a guaranteed experience, where only things that you want to happen, will happen. I'm not sure of the connection to tobacco here, although some are confused by my attribution of this mindset to religion... so you may have a point. Personally, I think 'radiation' is so misunderstood by the general public, that keeping news stories out of their view is more often than not, a GOOD thing. Because they have a poor understanding of it, they will make poor decisions. Look no further than the west coast of the US. The actual facts are that these people get more radiation on a daily basis from the smoke detectors in their houses(Americium), than any possible fallout from Fukushima. But nothing gets in the way of an irrational panic, so we saw stories about very possibly ONE ATOM being detected in sensors designed to test for above ground nuclear tests around the globe. Along with the nonsense of people rushing to buy and stockpile iodine tablets. Mass Stupidity.

      Nuclear power is not 100% safe. Coal power is not 100% safe. Neither of those things is not safe because we MADE them unsafe. They are unsafe because the entire reality of existence is not 100% safe. If 'not safe' was some sort of measuring stick, cars would have been banned long ago, as they have killed upwards of 40,000 people a year in this country alone. Obviously, as a society we have decided the benefits of having them is worth the risks that go along. Given the deaths/year for nuclear power, it easily provides more of a benefit to us as a whole, than the risks that come with it. You think we would give it up? Put your money where your mouth is, and stop using products that are a direct result of it. Stop using anything that was produced with cheap power from nuclear energy. I have a feeling you have never worked this out as if it was true in your real life, and that you are just repeating something you heard.

      I doubt 40,000 people(other than nagasaki and hiroshima) have been killed by nuclear power, even tangentially, in the entirety of its existence, let alone in a single year like automobiles have. Pretending it is 'dangerous' is based on nothing but your fear. You talk of not being able to asses risks correctly, but you somehow miss the incredible misjudgements you are making in regard to nuclear power. You don't hear about every single car accident where someone dies, because they happen so often, multiple times a day, all across the country. You do hear about a disaster at a nuclear power plant, because it does not happen at the same frequency, and this makes it much more dramatic. Because of this, you think nuclear power is more dangerous than driving, and should be banned? The hard numbers do not support that assumption at all, and I find it hard to believe that you aren't aware of this. In the first 100 years of the existence of the automobile, it had killed 3.2 MILLION people in the US alone. Yet this is not something you consider more dangerous than nuclear power? I find that fascinating.

    109. Re:Serious question; by dbIII · · Score: 1

      No it doesn't.

      I suggest that you learn about reprocessing instead of making stuff up.
      For one thing all of that equipment that frequently handles material that emits a lot of neutrons itself becomes low grade nuclear waste. That's not the end of the world just more stuff to store away from where people will come in contact with it, just like chemical wastes. It pays to think of these things in an adult manner instead of childish extremes with fantasies and utterly stupid lies on both sides.
      Think of it as physics instead of magic.

    110. Re:Serious question; by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      Even Greenpeace only puts the death toll from Chernobyl at 200,000 from 1990 to 2004, less than two thirds of what American Coal accomplished over the same time, and they didn't even have an accident to blame. That's just business as usual.

      Greenpeace just flat out lies.
      They are frauds and the irony is that they are killing the planet in pursuit of a fairy tail wonderland.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    111. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power is clearly desirable from many standpoints, and there are absolutely no insurmountable problems (most definitely including nuclear waste disposal/reuse).

      Care to put some substance to that claim? What are you going to do with nuclear waste? Reprocessing produces more waste than what goes in.

      Nuclear waste from current technology can be all reused in a Thorium molten salt reactor. This kind of reactor can't blow up, produces waste that only remains active for 300 years at a maximum (instead of several thousands), and can't be used for military purposes. Thorium is abundant and cheap. It is all that fusion promises, but doable tomorrow instead of next century. All we have to do is raise awareness about it, convince our government to invest in that technology, and fight the lobbies that foolishly defend current nuclear technology.

    112. Re:Serious question; by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      Parallels, yes, but religious people don't think the world is perfect, or demand perfection from science.

      The Precautionary Principle people, who reject all technology unless it is proven to be perfect, are the left-wing analogues to the crazy fundie right.

      Anti-scientism comes from both sides (witness the GMO terrorists in the story below - they're eco-tards), it's silly to pretend it is simply a right wing religious problem.

    113. Re:Serious question; by Prune · · Score: 1

      Safety is only expensive when you don't design it in from the beginning. Pebble-bed reactors, for example, are inherently passively safe, and many other extremely safe designs exist. And if waste is your concern, build breeder reactors and use waste transmutation technologies, then glassify the hugely reduced in amount waste. But breeders scare people because they can produce weapons-grade material, and so politicians are bound to shy away from them.

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    114. Re:Serious question; by Prune · · Score: 1

      The waste problem is not an obligatory consequent of nuclear power. It is a problem of poor choice of nuclear pipeline. Adoption of breeder reactors and transmutation technology can allow a huge reduction in waste per power generated, to the point where glassification of the remaining little waste is a solid (no pun intended) solution to the problem. It is only a political and PR issue, the fear of the breeders' ease of generating weapons-grade material, that is a roadblock to doing the right thing.

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    115. Re:Serious question; by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And don't forget that coal plants will keep on pumping CO2 in the atmosphere, regardless of how effectively the filters clean the exhaust.

    116. Re:Serious question; by sincewhen · · Score: 1

      ...whereas uranium mining doesn't cause a blight on the landscape..

      --
      -- Braden's law of data: All data spends some of its lifetime in an excel spreadsheet.
    117. Re:Serious question; by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      Theyre also cutting subsidies for solar from spring next year

    118. Re:Serious question; by Shrike82 · · Score: 1

      Isn't it a matter of scale though? By the time I'd zoomed out enough to even see that the map was focused in Australia I'd long lost sight of the mine. And how much power did/does the material taken from that mine produce compared to mines for fossil fuels of comparable size?

      --
      You can advertise in this sig from as little as £99.99 a month!
    119. Re:Serious question; by Shrike82 · · Score: 1

      I wish I had mod points to highlight your points. There's no sense of scale, risk-vs-reward or good old fashioned common sense in the arguments I see about nuclear power, and pretty much everything else in the news. It's all spin, manipulation of perceptions and, when it boils right down to it, far too much power being put into the hands of people with no fucking clue what the real issues are. Public at large sees news reports of a nuclear reactor accident. Public at large decides nuclear power is bad and must be stopped. National government agree and give in, seemingly without any serious investigation into the actual facts. Is it very likely that in the time since the tsunami the German government properly investigated the long term costs and benefits of their nuclear program, or did they simply make a political decision based on the latest fashion trends in world news and the whim of the population?

      --
      You can advertise in this sig from as little as £99.99 a month!
    120. Re:Serious question; by Dog-Cow · · Score: 1

      You seen to be assuming that the worst case for nuclear is ignition of the atmosphere or some similarly ridiculous fears from the middle of last century. In a properly-designed reactor, the worst case scenario is that the reaction stops.

    121. Re:Serious question; by makomk · · Score: 1

      As for peddle bed reactors? When were they determined not be safe? They never even entered the main stream let alone had any problems.

      Some rather nasty issues showed up in analysis of the pebble bed reactors that no-one's figured out a good solution to, as I understand it. It turns out the pebbles release far more radioactive material into the reactor than they're meant to, there's no good way of monitoring and controlling reactor temperatures, and the risk of meltdown is a lot higher than initially estimated even if you assume the flammable graphite in the pebbles will never catch fire. Not to mention the small issue of an accidental release of radiation by one of the early reactors that was covered up and blamed on Chernobyl.

      There haven't been any major disasters involving pebble bed reactors, but since they never entered the mainstream that's not terribly surprising. You need to pay attention to the issues that didn't lead to a major disaster if you want a good idea of the risks involved.

    122. Re:Serious question; by PhreakOfTime · · Score: 1

      This is not a left-right thing. This is a religious, non-religious thing. There are lefties that are religious, you know.

      But back to my point. You are right that religious people do not think the world is perfect. I did a poor job explaining my position, upon re-reading it. I should have been more clear that religious people think the world WAS perfect, and its current state of imperfection, is caused directly by our actions. This is what I was referring to as the 'Broken Utopia' and this mindset comes directly from the creation myths of many, many religions. I believe the Precautionary Principle is a subset of what I am describing, and I do not want to give the impression that I think this is only on one side of the political spectrum. As you said, the lefties have their nonsense as well, and I think it is just as misguided for the exact same reasons.

    123. Re:Serious question; by pnewhook · · Score: 1

      It's called hydro here - regardless of the source.. Took me a while to get used to that

      I pay anywhere from 5.9c to a peak rate of 10.7. Most of my use is at the cheaper rate though.

      If by next door you mean Quebec, yes their rates are even cheaper due to a combination of extensive use of hydroelectricity and stealing cheap power from Newfoundland.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
    124. Re:Serious question; by HappyPsycho · · Score: 1

      Wikipedia seems to disagree with you on that http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open-pit_mining#Rehabilitation

      There are no long term studies on the success of these covers due to the relatively short time in which large scale open pit mining has existed. It may take hundreds to thousands of years for some waste dumps to become "acid neutral" and stop leaching to the environment. The dumps are usually fenced off to prevent livestock denuding them of vegetation. The open pit is then surrounded with a fence, to prevent access, and it generally eventually fills up with ground water. In arid areas it may not fill due to deep groundwater levels.

      So unfortunately open pit mining has the same issue nuclear does, we don't know all the effects.

    125. Re:Serious question; by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Breeder reactors and reprocessing decrease the amount of waste by orders of magnitude, and leaves the short lived isotopes, which are much more manageable, not to mention that you can suck some power out of them. Regulatory limitations inhibit the upgrading of plants, and the two that you quote could have avoided the meltdowns with a couple of waste heat turbogenerators.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    126. Re:Serious question; by bzipitidoo · · Score: 1

      How many people died mining coal last year?

      Too many. There was the Upper Big Branch Mine Disaster in 2010, which killed 29. According to a show I saw some time ago, coal mining is the 2nd most dangerous occupation there is, after crab fishing off Alaska. But that misses the point. Coal is not a good standard of comparison. You guys seem to like to use it because it's bad enough that maybe nuclear doesn't look so bad in comparison.

      west coast ... people get more radiation on a daily basis from the smoke detectors in their houses(Americium), than any possible fallout from Fukushima.

      Now you're citing irrelevant facts. What counts is the significant radiation that the locals got, not the barely detectable amounts experienced by people halfway around the world. What amount of radiaton would the west coast inhabitants experience if one of the local nuclear power plants leaked?

      Throughout, you go on about the number of fatalities, and how there've been way more with coal power than nuclear power. But that's another too narrow focus that makes nuclear power look better, and once again, only when compared to coal. And driving? You've only picked the most dangerous commonplace activity for comparison. Why don't you compare nuclear power to something more suitable, like, say, construction work, particularly on dams, or some other blue collar occupation.

      For a different measure, consider how many square km have been rendered unfit for habitation and agricuture, times how many years. For coal, I expect that number is very low, perhaps 0. There could be some ecological effects from reckless disposal of waste from irresponsibly run mining operations, so perhaps not 0, but still quite low, as it can be cleaned up relatively quickly. It may not stay low if sea levels rise and that can be blamed on coal burning. For driving, windmills, hydroelectric dams, and solar cell farms, it is 0. Any time we really want to, we can drain whatever lake we wish, and, assuming it hasn't been used as a toxic waste dump, quickly return that land to agriculture. For nuclear power, it is of course rather higher. 30km^2 * pi * 300 years * 2 sites is about 1.7 million "sq km years" of land that we've lost. Nuclear power is almost uniquely dangerous in this way.

      You can't just ignore these factors, if you're going to have a serious discussion about the real costs and risks of various kinds of power.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    127. Re:Serious question; by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      No, instead the coal plant is just spewing toxins, carcinogens, and greenhouse gases into the atmosphere by the gigaton in the normal course of operation; raising asthma and lung cancer rates of everyone downwind by significant quantities.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  4. so just how many by mjwalshe · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Tsunamis and earthquakes has Germany had in lets say the last 1000 years :-)

    1. Re:so just how many by thegsusfreek · · Score: 1

      That just shows that they're overdue!

    2. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Don't know about the last 1000 years, but the german Wikipedia lists 8 with a magnitude >= 4,5 since 2002.

    3. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They may not have tsunamis and earthquakes, but they have companies comparable with Tepco when it comes to running nuclear plants safely. Vattenfall is one of the companies operating nuclear power plants in Germany, and in 2006 they had a near-Fukushima style cooling failure in their plant in Forsmark, Sweden. Power was lost, and a design flaw in the backup power disabled many critical systems, but not all. E.g. the control rods were working, but cooling failed. It was later restored with 22 minutes of water left covering the reactor.

      A retroactive risk analysis was made, taking into account the impact on the defense-in-depth by the design flaw in the backup power. The outcome was an expected frequency of one meltdown per reactor per 56 years. No tsunamis or earthquakes required to arrive at those numbers. Reactors 1 and 2 at Forsmark were operating with this design flaw, at such an elevated risk, from 1990 to 2006. Remember this story when you feel like pretending that a tsunami is the only thing that can cause a meltdown.

    4. Re:so just how many by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      It has had a few burst dams, I guess..

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    5. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those where helped a bit I guess

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Chastise

    6. Re:so just how many by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      Good stuff. The UK had a magnitude 5 earthquake in 2008. I believe the sum-total of the recorded damage was that one person's chimney collapsed, and a few plaster walls needed some poly-filler.

      If a modern (sod it- even a truly ancient) power plant can't survive the likes of that unscathed, we really would need to shut them all down.

      But seeing as Japan has god-only-knows how many nuclear power plants, and every single one survived one of the most devastating earthquake/tsunami events in their (very seismically active) recent history except for one, I'm thinking Germany is probably safe from that particular angle.

    7. Re:so just how many by he-sk · · Score: 1

      More than you would think, but I guess your point was that none of them could have knocked out a nuclear reactor.

      OTOH, some parts in Germany are suspectible to severe flooding. And our oldest nuclear plants cannot even withstand a crash by a small plane like a Cessna.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    8. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In general, German reactors are planned to withstand disasters that happen about once within 10000 years.

    9. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tsunamis: rather not so many.
      But regarding earthquakes: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquakes_in_Germany

    10. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since 1945: 13 earthquakes at magnitudes ranging from 4.0 to 5.9.... and about 36 airplane crashes.

    11. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, how many big airplanes tried to land in the WTC before 2001? None, I presume. What was the calculated possibility that a crash -- that finally happened --will happen? Did somebody foresee this?
      The problem are the risks which escaped the engineers imagination (or the budget).

    12. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More than one might think. There has been some destructive earthquakes in Germany, actually, and flooding seems rather common:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquakes_in_Germany

      http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/2194395.stm

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_European_floods

      http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5879858,00.html

      Nuclear fission power is inherently dangerous due to the waste. And since securing it against natural disasters is very expensive, there is an inherit incentive not to secure it very well. And if you make it very, very safe and secure, how cost-effective is it against renewable energy? The next generation nuclear plants doesn't solve these issues, but merely improves upon them. Fusion power promises to be much cleaner, but its potential as an energy source still needs to be seen.

      Of course, fossil fuels has issues such as global warming and supply-dependency issues (one of the reasons Japan went to war with the Allies in World War 2 was to secure their oil supply), and some renewable energy sources have issues with baseload. But fixing the issues with renewable energy seems like a much better strategy to seek than betting on nuclear power plants, and price-wise renewable energy is doing better and better. There is a reason nations all over the world is investing in renewable energy. If you can get clean, cheap energy through renewable energy, why would you have nuclear reactors for anything but research?

    13. Re:so just how many by owlstead · · Score: 1

      Yeah, because you really need that kind of operation to create the same thing at peace time. I don't want to burst your bubble, but with enough explosives it is easy to burst a dam.

    14. Re:so just how many by Sique · · Score: 1

      The 2002 floods are still in everyones memory. They were higher than any flood in recorded history, and flood recording goes back about 150-300 years in Germany. Luckily the floods were not at the rivers the nuclear reactors are located. But no one can be sure that the Rhine will not have a flood as non-expected than the one at Elbe and Donau in 2002.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    15. Re:so just how many by rudojob · · Score: 1

      Of course, you need to keep in mind earthquake magnitudes are measured on a log_10 scale. i.e. a 5.0 ~ 10 x 4.0. The Sendai/Tohoku earthquake was a magnitude 9.0 MMS quake. I've slept through a 4.5 when living in Tokyo. A nice map of seismic activity can be found on the website of the usgs [http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/]

    16. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Meltdown" sounds scary, doesn't it? Although, since reactors are designed to contain meltdowns there isn't really anything scary about it. Three Mile Island was a meltdown - nothing scary happened there. Fukushima was meltdown on meltdown on meltdown AND with containments cracking due to the earthquake and even then nothing catastrophic has happened.

      Why is it that there's not a single greenie on earth that understands basic science?

    17. Re:so just how many by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      Well, the British dambuster raids aren't likely to happen again any time soon...

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
    18. Re:so just how many by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      One of the current worries is a 9/11 style terrorist attack on a nuclear powerplant.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    19. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With regards to earthquakes, you would be surprised!

      Go to the EMSC and see for yourself:

      http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/index.php?filter=yes&region=GERMANY&min_intens=0&max_intens=8&view=1

      There was a 4.5 magnitude on 2011-02-14

      http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=209306

      There is also a quite active region in Poland near the German border that had a 4.4 magnitude just lately.

      http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=221285

    20. Re:so just how many by khallow · · Score: 1

      There are apparently rumors that the 911 planners had considered hitting a nuclear plant, but ruled it out either because they supposedly were afraid of the retaliation from the US or the target wasn't ideologically clear (like hitting the WTC or the Pentagon).

    21. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was no earthquake or tsunami in Chernobyl.

    22. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tsunamis and earthquakes were never the real issue -- it always was organisational failure. Any black swan (not only earthquakes) can bust you there.

    23. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tsunamis and earthquakes has Germany had in lets say the last 1000 years :-)

      Actually the Rheinland-Area (in the real west of Germany) has had more than 2000 registered earth quakes since 1955. Most where small, but they reached up to 5.9 on the scales. Directly adjecant to this region on the French side of the border, the French built a nuclear power plant: Fessenheim [1]

      This is the oldest French nuclear power plant still in use and built directly beside the border. I wonder why countries do that, if they trust their power plants being safe.

      [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fessenheim_Nuclear_Power_Plant

    24. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well... not much of those... but back in the '40s a few city's were accidentally leveled.

      In this regard Germany has a record over any other country.

    25. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tsunamis are rare, but the last earthquake has been in February 2011.

    26. Re:so just how many by mjwalshe · · Score: 1

      quite some of the people posting in this discussion have ZERO engineering knowledge - a quick google of my name would show that I used to you know work in the world no1 center for fluid engineering in the math and nuke engineering dept.

      So Mr know nothing that marked my comment as troll "Fuck you very much" - now get back to MacDonalds :-)

    27. Re:so just how many by mjwalshe · · Score: 1

      only the insane designs like the RBK ones at Chernobyl (with no containment vessel) - I cant see German engineers falling down that much.

    28. Re:so just how many by he-sk · · Score: 1

      A government-sanctioned commission just put out a report two weeks ago that said as much. Google "Atomausstieg-Ethikkommission".

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    29. Re:so just how many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The last earthquake was last year, 4.8 magnitude or something, in Hessen. Tbh, thats not really hard, but there are other threats; cold winters for example, as mentioned before.

    30. Re:so just how many by ista · · Score: 1

      In south-western germany, with roughly around half a dozen nuclear power plants, there were 35 earthquakes during the last 200 years with magnitudes of 7 or higher on the MSK scale (which roughly equals a magnitude of 6 or higher on the richter scale). However, earthquakes are "rare" enough, usually limited to a smaller area and so people either tend do forget or underestimate them, so the earthquake resistance standards for nuclear power plants in Germany are actually much lower than in Japan - and probably too weak.

      For example, the nuclear power plant in the city of Mülheim-Kärlich close to Luxemburg had been planned to be installed in an earthquake-prone area. When this became publicly known, they decided to install the power plant only 70 meters away from the original site in order to reduce the risk. After a few weeks of operation, some courts decided that the more-or-less ignored issue of the earthquake-prone area will invalidate any current installing permits and that this power plant needs to be taken offline and removed. After three years of further legal battle into highest courts, the power company finally started deconstructing that power plant.

      The main issue with Fukushima weren't exactly the Earthquake or the Tsunami but the power outage within the nuclear power plant which completely disabled the cooling system. The earthquake also made any cooling attempts much harder, as the site has been devasted quite a lot. To explain: a non-powered Nuclear power plant still needs to be cooled down, and when any kind of major natural disaster (earthquake, flood, storm, ...) interrupts the external power supply, that site in question is in trouble. Usually, nuclear power plants rely on having either some backup diesel generators on site to take over for 2-4 days or they rely on getting power from another block on the same site. But in reality, those concepts are still flawed. If the "uplink" to the power grid is broken, the power plant produces "too much" power and so about every block on site needs to be powered down, but still needs cooling. And if there is a major power outage within the power grid without some way to refill the backup generators in time, 2 days of backup generators are simply not enough.

      For example during the last few months, a german nuclear power plant trouble report became publicly known where one time last year the backup generators failed, the power supply by next block redundancy didn't work (maintenance) and so at least one power plant's block had to rely on commercial power from the power grid. As there was no outage involved, the incident back than had been reported to be "minor" and didn't go publicly noticed. So such "issues" do arise, but didn't became known until someone investigated.

      And people do remember that even power outages are rare and short (around 15 minutes per year in germany), but major electricity blackouts actually can happen due to a lot of reasons. For example, back in November 2005, heavy snow on landline power lines cracked down 82 power poles in north-western germany, leading a full power blackout for villages and cities in the "Münsterland" area. Power companies, fire brigades and other emergency technical assistance units installed mobile power generators and temporarily replaced the power lines by on-ground-cabling, but it took up to five days to supply every city with electric power again.
      schneechaos-muensterland.de has some nice pictures and explanations (in german) of the situation back than.

      According to some statistics by germany's federate power agency (which may also be found on the site above), there have been around a dozen major power outages due to up to 172 broken power poles within an area during the last 30 years, so such issues aren't exactly rare. It doesn't happen to everyone,
      but it still happens :-)

      Yet an

  5. Here's to hoping by EvilAlphonso · · Score: 1

    They will actually be able to replace those 23% of the energy production in the meantime without increasing the energy costs too much... difficulty: the price for 2011 will already be about 50% higher than 2010 according to my energy supplier (announced a few weeks ago, before this decision).

    1. Re:Here's to hoping by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By 2022 I expect solar to be taking up the slack. We'll hit grid parity by 2016 or so, another 6 years should see the cost per watt much lower.

    2. Re:Here's to hoping by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      I agree to a point ... but where will we put those panels? Even Spain's weather is a bit too variable. Northern Africa is relatively close by and ideal ... but the political stability is a problem. I've said it before ... we should really have let Morocco into the EU from the start. It would have made a transition to solar power so much easier :/

    3. Re:Here's to hoping by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I expect unicorn shit to take over all my energy needs by 2018.

    4. Re:Here's to hoping by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can't argue with that.

  6. good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The more countries follow their lead the cheaper it will be for us to double our nuclear capacity.

  7. Retards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Airplanes kill more people a year than nuclear energy killed in total. However, airplanes are "safe" and nuclear energy is "terribly dangerous".

    1. Re:Retards by Seumas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As a rational personal driven by science rather than sentiment and sensationalism, I am of two minds.

      On one, there's no reason to necessarily fear well operated nuclear power plants. Unfortunately, we hear countless stories of power plants that are not being maintained and funded properly and with poor operational and maintenance attention. Hardly the place where you want to skimp.

      On the other hand, with your plane analogy . . . when a plane goes seriously bad, it kills some people on board. Maybe kills a couple people on the ground. Maybe spills some fuel all over the ground in a biggish area. I'm not sure when the last plane crashed (that wasn't carrying nuclear material) which resulted in tens of miles around it's crash site being unlivable for multiple lifetimes, possibly contaminating vast food and water supplies, and reaching potentially dangerous levels hundreds or thousands of miles away, with the air currents.

      It's very hard, even with statistics, to mentally overcome the sheer potential damage of a nuclear plant gone really wrong. It's like saying "hey, the mutually assured destruction policy between America and Russia actually kept us safe for so many decades, because we both had tens of thousands of warheads pointed at each other that could wipe away all life on earth in an hour, but that sheer fact meant nobody would ever do it". Only . . . the reality is that on more than one occasion, we came seriously fucking close to letting nukes loose on the other guy due to human error. Flocks of geese being mistaken for a flight of warheads over the ocean. Test missiles being mistaken for a strike (because of human error; not notifying people higher up that it was occurring and that it should not be taken as an attack).

      All it takes is one fuck up and we're a species that is as capable of mind-shattering fuck-ups as we are raw ingenuity.

      So, while I tend to want to say "hurrah! clean, safe, cheap, awesome nuclear power!", there's another part of me that says "let's not".

    2. Re:Retards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Airplanes kill more people a year than nuclear energy killed in total. However, airplanes are "safe" and nuclear energy is "terribly dangerous".

      Depends on your definition of killed. If you count people killed by radiation during a nuclear disaster then yes. If you include the tens of thousands of deaths due to cancer, the miscarriages, stillbirths and medically necessary abortions all caused by long term fallout through much of Europe as a result of Chernobyl then no, that is not true at all. Not to mention the thousands of people who live with birth defects, survive cancer after suffering through treatment..

      And all this ignores one fact. With the rare exceptions where a crashing plane lands on you (rare because air traffic routes are designed around populous areas) then you will only die in a plane crash if you choose to fly on a plane. With nuclear fallout you will suffer because someone built within 50 miles of you, or because you live downstream of it. Or because the wind was blowing the wrong way that week. The power plant may well not even be in the same country as you.

    3. Re:Retards by ebuck · · Score: 1

      Hearing of countless stories isn't the same thing as countless of nuclear power plants actually having issues with poor operational and maintenance attention. I mean, here is a plant in Japan, and it has ran like a top, and the containment in case of disaster did it's job. What part of lacklustre maintenance and attention played a part in creating the disaster, worsening its effects on the plant, or promoting the release of radation?

      We have had one plant truly mess up, one almost mess up, and one hit by a natural disaster so large it defies reason that the plant managed to contain. In response, it seems we reward these efforts with a nuclear scare story every fifteen minutes. I know I'm exaggerating, but it seems that the scales are tipped way too far in directions that don't foster actual improvement.

    4. Re:Retards by SerpentMage · · Score: 0

      You don't even need to do mental experiments. The fallout of Chernobyl still lingers today. I was researching Belarus (financial related) and learned that to this day 20% of its farmland is STILL unusable. We are not even talking about Chernobyl and surrounding areas. We are talking about being a neighbor.

      "A Russian publication, Chernobyl, concludes that 985,000 excess deaths occurred between 1986 and 2004 as a result of radioactive contamination."

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster

      This is the core problem. Imagine in Central Europe a reactor going down, imagine if huge tracts of Europe became unusable like Belarus. That would be a disaster beyond proportions! It would be that at least 80 million people will become instantly homeless!

      Nuclear in its current form is not a solution...

      --

      "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
      "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
    5. Re:Retards by khallow · · Score: 1

      As a rational personal driven by science rather than sentiment and sensationalism, I am of two minds.

      On one, there's no reason to necessarily fear well operated nuclear power plants. Unfortunately, we hear countless stories of power plants that are not being maintained and funded properly and with poor operational and maintenance attention. Hardly the place where you want to skimp.

      What "countless stories?" It's worth noting here that there aren't really countless stories of valid nuclear plant problems, but an endless stream of anti-nuke propaganda, the majority of which is written in a style which hasn't changed since the 70s.

      Fact is civilian nuclear power has been remarkably safe since its creation with the first major accident in 25 years.

      So, while I tend to want to say "hurrah! clean, safe, cheap, awesome nuclear power!", there's another part of me that says "let's not".

      I guess you'll have to decide whether you want to continue to be a rational person or not.

    6. Re:Retards by radtea · · Score: 1

      "A Russian publication, Chernobyl, concludes that 985,000 excess deaths occurred between 1986 and 2004 as a result of radioactive contamination."

      The number of excess deaths from Chernobyl is controversial, and the nearly-a-million number you cite is the absolute top of the range, based on a theoretical model that is known to be false--cancer demographics simply do not support a no-threshold dose-response model, nor does the fact that we use the quality factor to correct for multi-hit damage from heavy particles.

      The linear dose-response model is used to set safety guideline precisely because it is enormously conservative, and the belief has been that the cost of such conservative limits is small. To use linear dose-response to estimate actual deaths, however, is irresponsible to the point of being anti-scientific. It requires that things we know to be false--the implied variation of cancer rates with altitude and other natural background changes--to be true.

      The safety issue from nuclear power is non-trivial, and the cost issue is enormous, but this is a case where people who are probably on the right side of the issue in the long term are damaging their own cause by over-estimating the consequences and hurting their own cause, except amongst their anti-scientific fellow-travelers. The problem is they are saying "Chernobyl killed a million people so we must have no nukes!" which is setting themselves up for the (insane) reply, "No, it only killed 5000 people so nukes are OK."

      They would be far better off saying, "Chernobyl killed 5000 people, and that is 5000 too many."

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    7. Re:Retards by Glock27 · · Score: 1

      As I said earlier in the discussion, if TEPCO had merely done a reasonable job of protecting the backup generators (not at all that expensive of a thing to do) the entire Fukushima radiation release would have been averted.

      While it does show the effect of human fallibility, it also shows that with a little more planning even a Richter 9 earthquake and tsunami wouldn't have caused a major problem.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    8. Re:Retards by Glock27 · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl was the result of a very poor reactor design (no containment) coupled with criminal stupidity.

      That type of disaster will never happen in a first-world nation.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    9. Re:Retards by tibit · · Score: 1

      That's fine and dandy, but Chernobyl's design specifically allowed this to happen. Even with known design issues, the GE Mark I BWRs can't spew so much stuff around. Your argument is similar to arguing that driving cars is horribly unsafe because they all blow up when hit from the back. Well, Pinto did, after all!

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    10. Re:Retards by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      The problem is they are saying "Chernobyl killed a million people so we must have no nukes!" which is setting themselves up for the (insane) reply, "No, it only killed 5000 people so nukes are OK."

      Coal mining alone kills 20,000+ people every year, never mind the deaths caused by other factors. I don't see what's insane about pointing out that 5,000 deaths over the 60+ years we've been building nuclear powerpleants is no big deal. I think it's insane to latch on to a number without bothering to look at what kind of harm is caused by the alternatives. Even if we had a chernobyl every 20 years, it would still cause less death than conventional methods.

    11. Re:Retards by protektor · · Score: 1

      Yes because coal is so clean and doesn't cause serious health problems for the people who mine the coal. It doesn't cause serious problems for people who live around the coal plant. Coal doesn't drop tons of crap in the air. Coal doesn't drop tons of crap around the plant making it nearly impossible to live around one and definitely impossible to farm or have a water plant or a whole list of other things. Yea let's switch to wind power that there is no way in hell it could provide enough power for the whole country let alone an entire state. Yea lets switch to tidal power that hasn't proven it can generate a decent level of power compared to the level of energy and cost to build a tidal plant. We could always go to solar power that won't work in a large number of states because of the low number of clear sunny days to provide a level of power to power any significant portion of a state or even a city. Don't even talk to me about hydro power in the US. The west and south west have droughts. Everyone else is getting flooded from too much water on a semi-regular basis and a hydro dam that blocks up the water would make things even worse, not to mention seriously screw the ecosystem by changing the amount of water that flows and frequency of it. Hydro power is not realistic for most of the US and causes more problems than it solves. You screw with the water system in the mid-west and you are seriously screwing with food production for most of the US. You start damming up rivers and now you are messing with shipping too.

      The green energy people are morons who are freaking dreaming. Green energy can not replace any significant level of power production for the US without putting a large portion of the country in the dark and raising the cost of energy to 20 times it's current level. We might as well go back 50 years technologically and medically. Nuclear power is a rational and reasonable power source that has far few problems than any other form of energy we have today and at a much lower cost. But hey if you want the cost of everything to rise due to increased energy costs and a serious economic downward trend then go ahead and push for green power but when the people riot in the streets because of seriously increased costs don't say I didn't warn you. Oh and in case you didn't catch it during the campaign Obama said energy was too cheap and we needed energy to cost more at least 5 times more than it does so we can add green energy to the mix. Yea way to hose the economy over by wanting energy costs to skyrocket. Obama is an idiot and should scare the hell out of you if you really listen to what he says and what he wants everything to become.

    12. Re:Retards by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Yes, and you don't have to mine uranium at all, it just magically appears in the fuel elements. Not.

      Uranium mining is much worse than coal mining because of radon, radioactive dust and contaminated water. And since uranium is not quite a common element you've got to go through a lot of rock to extract a bit of uranium.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    13. Re:Retards by protektor · · Score: 1

      So tell me exactly how much farmland was in use, how much was going to fall out of use because of farmers going bankrupt? Exactly how much production did they have and how much production do the larger farm conglomerates that now exist that didn't exist back then? What is the total production rate of current farms and how does that compare with total production rate before? How much farm land is lost each year due to population expansion so it really doesn't matter to count that amount since it would have been lost anyway?

      Your making blanket statements without any facts to back them up. Your also trying to reduce a very complex issue in to a simple one. Your taking an emotional stance of see that's bad, rather than a reasoned and well thought out argument. I will gladly take, lets be generous, 1 million deaths under an accident compared to coal industry reports of 500 a year dead just in the US from the mining of coal, and thousands per year in China let alone the rest of the world. Not to mention the average of 10,000 a year in the US dying from the burning of coal and that is when the plant is working correctly with no problems. There is also the amount of damage coal mining does to the environment around it. The burning of coal really screws up the environment around the coal plants as well. Nuclear power averages 400 a year world wide based on the accidents so far. I'll take those numbers any day.

      That doesn't even bring in to account the coal mine fires either. There is an area in the US that is basically unliveable because the coal mine below ground still burns to this day that started back in 1962.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centralia,_Pennsylvania

      You can then throw in the huge number of coal mine fires that China has. So by and far Nuclear power is far safer and cleaner than coal could ever be and it is the most common source of power. If you added up the total amount of environmental damage done by ever nuclear power accident and then compared it to every coal mine and coal power plant disasters and accidents and all the environmental problems coal mines and coal power plants produce, you would find nuclear power is a far better deal than coal and far better for the environment.

      Do the research yourself and see. It will surprise you the serious issues with coal.

    14. Re:Retards by protektor · · Score: 1

      The number of people killed by nuclear power is a drop in the bucket compared to the number of people killed by coal production and burning. The amount of damage that nuclear power does to the environment is again a drop in the bucket compared to the damage that coal production and burning does to the environment. If nuclear power is bad then coal power must be the greatest evil on earth that must be stamped out immediately. Your reacting from an emotional position and not a well thought out logical and reasoned position. Do the research find out for yourself.

    15. Re:Retards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Imagine in Central Europe a reactor going down

      O.K. I'm imagining...it looks a lot like Fukashima. That is, minimal radioactive release with a small (20-30km diameter) exclusion zone. Unless you're aware of any Soviet RBMK1000 reactors that were built and are operational in Central or Western Europe?

      A nuclear accident in Central or Western Europe would be bad but it wouldn't be anything like Chernobyl, because Chernobyl was an accident waiting to happen. Western reactors are built to a much, much higher standard of safety. That's why Fukashima hasn't rendered 20% of the land in Japan uninhabitable. That's why it wouldn't happen in Europe. You're not doing your argument any favours by trying to scare people with visions of another Chernboyl in the middle of the Rhein valley. It's dishonest.

      It would be that at least 80 million people will become instantly homeless

      80 million people in a couple of hundred square kilometres? Europe is densely populated, but it isn't that densely populated.

    16. Re:Retards by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Yes, and you don't have to mine uranium at all, it just magically appears in the fuel elements. Not.

      1 kilogram of natural uranium ore results in as much energy production as 14,000 kilograms of coal. That means you could reduce the number of workers by a factor of 10,000 at least. Assuming accidents scale at the same rate, you would have 2 deaths per year instead of 20,000. These numbers reflect the fuel-usage in modern reactors; reactors capable of fuel-reprocessing would reduce the fuel usage - and, therefore, the death toll - even further.

      Uranium mining is much worse than coal mining because of radon, radioactive dust and contaminated water.

      Irrelevant. Please examine the above quoted figures. Even if uranium mining causes accidents/death at a 100-to-1 ratio compared to coal, the annual 20,000 worker death rate would be reduced to 200. Even a 1000-to-1 ratio would result in an annual reduction of 18,000 deaths. Given the 5,000 deaths previously attributed to Chernobyl, we can conclude that nuclear power caused as many deaths in 60 years as could be saved in just 3 months if we eliminate coal as a source of energy. Over the course of 60 years, human stupidity and fear of The Atom has lead to 1,000,000+ deaths which could otherwise have been avoided.

      And since uranium is not quite a common element you've got to go through a lot of rock to extract a bit of uranium.

      It's common enough in sea water that, for all intents and purposes, we'll never run out. Current seawater-extraction methods aren't viable for large-scale use, but they work, and they produce uranium at prices which are low enough to be viable given the current market value. It goes without saying that sewater-extraction carries far lower risk than coal miners face on a daily basis. However, even if seawater extraction turns out to be unworkable for industrial use, I'm not overly concerned about the difficulty in extracting uranium from soil; as I've shown above, the numbers clearly aren't on your side.

    17. Re:Retards by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Only that you don't find one kilogram of natural uranium sitting around just like that. You've got to separate it from the actual rock by chemically dissolving it with acid, then extracting yellowcake from that solution, and then extract natural uranium from that.

      It is far easier and cheaper to mine and burn 14 tons of coal than one kilogram of uranium. Which is reflected by the price: one kilogram of unprocessed pitchblende costs around EUR 100. For that money can get up to 5 tons of coal - depending on the quality, amount of stored energy and sulfur content - ready to burn.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    18. Re:Retards by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Only that you don't find one kilogram of natural uranium sitting around just like that. You've got to separate it from the actual rock by chemically dissolving it with acid, then extracting yellowcake from that solution, and then extract natural uranium from that.

      You can feel free to provide some numbers and/or references, any time you're ready.

      It is far easier and cheaper to mine and burn 14 tons of coal than one kilogram of uranium. Which is reflected by the price: one kilogram of unprocessed pitchblende costs around EUR 100.

      Wow. So market value is an accurate reflection of how difficult something is to mine? Damn! You learn something new every day.

      In that case, gold must be REALLY hard and expensive to mine! It must be WAY more dangerous than uranium! All those videos I saw about people panning for it in rivers must just be government propaganda. And the thought of how bad the diamond mines must be ... it just makes me shudder.

    19. Re:Retards by makomk · · Score: 1

      In that case, gold must be REALLY hard and expensive to mine! It must be WAY more dangerous than uranium!

      As it happens gold mining is fairly dangerous, yes, though unlike uranium most of the cost is due to scarcity of the gold itself.

  8. Wrong headline by nyri · · Score: 1

    The headline should read:

    Germany To End Nuclear Power By 2022 yet again

    Politicians are good at two things: making large strategic decisions that do not require anything now but much in not-so-near future and apologizing stuff that their predecessors have made. This decision will be repealed; nothing to see here, move along.

    1. Re:Wrong headline by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      In some reporting, there is a claim that Germany is first to do this. But Italy, a founding G6 member, ended nuclear power in 1990 and Australia, Austria, Denmark, Greece, Ireland, Luxembourg, Portugal, New Zealand, and Norway never made the mistake in the first place.

    2. Re:Wrong headline by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      It probably will be as soon as the CDU/FPD think it left the public awareness far enough so that they can shove some more money up the asses of their corporate cronies. Where's the Red Army Faction when you really need them?

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    3. Re:Wrong headline by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      Procrastination is still deadly. All of Germany's nuclear power plants will have a regular decommissioning date some time in the next decade or two, at which point they'll be closed down permanently. In order to keep the nuclear juice flowing, replacement plants will need to be built. You can't build nuclear plants without government permission, and you won't get government permission with the political mood as it is at this exact moment.

      If you're an energy company looking where to invest, this means you can either act on the government's prevailing whim and build the facility currently in fashion (coal, again), or do nothing. If everyone opts to do nothing, the nuclear plants will gradually get switched off and nothing will be around to replace them.

      Even if the next government changes makes nukes fashionable again, it doesn't change all those investment decisions made during their predecessor's tenure. You'll either have had a period of nothing being built, or a whole generation of spanking-new coal plants coming on line.

    4. Re:Wrong headline by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      The public does not want more nuke plants. What's being built in Germany is renewable energy sources by the dozen. By the time the last nuclear power plants go offline we should have enough of those to completely avoid building fossil fuel plants as a response to the nuclear exit.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    5. Re:Wrong headline by SomeStupidNickName12 · · Score: 1

      Never made the same mistake in the first place? Haha, go back to your tree hugging. Nuclear is still infinitely better for the environment than any fossil fuels.

      And while I am big fan of renewable energy, none of them are at technologically at the point were they are a viable option. So while we wait for the technology to become viable I will still pick nuclear over coal any day of the week!

    6. Re:Wrong headline by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      I hope you're right. I love renewables as much as the next man, but it's no mean feat to use them to cover a whole country's power supply.

      Wind and solar are both great, but their power production is pretty much lumpy by definition- the wind doesn't necessarily blow strongest at peak times, and blows doggedly through Sunday nights whether you need it to or not. You can't use them for a majority of base-load power on their own. You could invest heavily in power storage schemes to even it out- but they add huge costs to already expensive power plants; standard methods (like hydroelectric reservoirs) are crude and inefficient, and more exotic methods (molten salt, hydrogen, etc.) are still a long R&D route from maturity.

      Dammed hydro is great- but massively disruptive, what with submerging huge tracts of land. Germany already has a bunch of dams, and is fairly densely populated, so finding new sites might not be easy. Dam-less hydro solves that problem, but has a lower return on investment. Tidal power could be excellent, but is still young and unproven; and in any case, Germany doesn't have a lot of coast for a country of its size.

      The story goes on. Simply switching off high-output power stations and trying to drop in a like-for-like replacement is hard at the best of times, and with renewables it's a problem that few large countries have overcome.

      Still, I suppose if any country can manage it, Germany probably can. And I hope my country will be the first in line to buy whatever solutions they might come up with.

  9. Complete and Total Over-reaction by Huntr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The circumstances that contributed to the failings at Fukushima are not similar to the situation surrounding nuclear plants in Switzerland or Germany. This is nonsense.

    They want to improve their use of renewables, awesome. They should keep the nuke plants while boosting efforts on wind, solar, and hydro. Ramping up reliance on fossil-fueled energy while waiting for those other technologies to get to where we need them to be is foolish.

    1. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Scrameustache · · Score: 4, Informative

      Germany also has an issue with their nuclear waste. They've discovered that their clever "metal barrels in a salt mine" scheme wasn't as water-tight as they thought.

      It's not just the reactor that's a threat, there's also the toxic garbage.

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    2. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by countertrolling · · Score: 1

      Maybe the fossil fuel industry made them an offer they couldn't refuse...

      --
      For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
    3. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fukujima may have been the catalyst, but it's worth remembering that 25 years after Chernobyl there are still parts of Germany where game animals (boar and deer), fish, mushrooms and berries are too highly irradiated to be considered safe to eat. We're talking about Caesium-137 levels that exceed EU limits by a factor of ten or more. Yes, that has been covered in the news, too.

      No, falling back to fossil plants will not necessarily be a better choice and may in fact be less safe, but getting rid of nuclear plants is not a "complete and total over-reaction", either. There are considerable risks associated with nuclear plants that a reasonable person cannot just ignore, either.

    4. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The toxic garbage wouldn't be nearly as much of a problem if we would reprocess our fission products until they are mildly radioactive products.

    5. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not just the reactor that's a threat, there's also the toxic garbage.

      So which is worse? A few tons of radioactive waste over the lifetime of a nuclear reactor? Or a megatons of toxic ash over the lifetime of a coal-fired power plant?

      And about 90% of that radioactive "waste" can be recycled back into usable fuel.

    6. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by V+for+Vendetta · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Germany also has an issue with their nuclear waste.

      Not only Germany. To this day there doesn't exist a final (="until it's nonhazardous") nuclear waste storage in the world. The nuclear waste piles are stored "temporarily" everywhere (often at/near the power plants) until they come up with a method to store the toxic waste away safely for the next thousands of years. No one in his right mind would leave such a toxic time bomb for his children and grandchildern and grand-grandchildren and ...

    7. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

      You mean the coal ash that is so incredibly toxic that it gets used as building material all over the place in a country with one of the highest environmental standards in the world? That ash?

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    8. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by he-sk · · Score: 1

      If you're referring to the Asse, it is my understanding that no nuclear waste from reactors is dumped there, but only lightly irradiated garbage coming from the medical and research community.

      Nuclear waste usually goes to Sellafield and La Hague, before being stored in a "temporary" (read: for the forseeable future, because we don't know where to put it elsewhere) place above ground.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    9. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by protektor · · Score: 1

      Try living around a coal mine and a coal power plant then get back to me on how that is so much better than Chernobyl and that is when coal mines and coal power plants are operating at normal levels, not disaster levels.

    10. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You just have to find a poor country to sell the waste too.

    11. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Osgeld · · Score: 1

      yes cause coal ash is much easier to deal with and you never get as much of it

    12. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I might be wrong, but isn't the total nuclear waste produced so far by the world, store-able in one warehouse?

    13. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yes, you are wrong.

    14. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

      Ahh, here we go, took you long enough. Go, go, bury brigade. When you can't handle the truth, mod it troll. Well done, getting a bonus for this?

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    15. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by strack · · Score: 1

      well we could always put it back in the ground where we found it, with no containment whatsoever, like we originally mined it out of the ground as.

    16. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      If we follow that line of thought we should immediately ban air travel (and probably automobiles as well - thousands of innocent people die every year because some idiot runs into them in an automobile).

      --
      No sig today...
    17. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Arlet · · Score: 1

      A better solution would be to extract the other 99% of the energy still locked in the "waste". Permanently disposing of such a valuable asset, and then discovering the perfect way to use it 10 years later would be mildly annoying.

    18. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And it's not that they just "discovered" that. They acually knew that the damned thing (the dump called "Asse") wasn't water-tight from the very start but lied about it for the last 30 years. And they now not only don't seem to know what exactly went into it, it came out that they dumped explosives, toxic waste and other stuff in there etc. And all this must now be removed, only nobody really knows how this is to be done, but it needs to happen soon. And it all will have to be payed by the tax payer.

      There actually were a few independent experts that knew that this dump wasn't water-tight and said so. But they got dismissed or ridiculed all the time. Like the guys in Japan that warned about potential problems due to tsunamis and other issues.

      Other interesting point: the safety of nuclear power plants is supervised by what's now a company, called the TUV (that's with an umlaut, but this doesn't seem to work). They e.g. can close down a plant if they find it to be unsafe. Or they can require additional security measures. But the TUV was privatized several years ago and now must make a handy profit. And who own's it now? A good part went just to the electricity companies that own the nuclear power plants. Interesting combination, isn't it?

      If nuclear power would be that safe as claimed then please tell me why there's no insurance for them. At least in Germany each and every industrial plant must be insured against accidents. The only exception is - drum-roll - nuclear power plants. And the owners have a limited liability of just 2.5 blllion EUROs (you can't even built one for that sum), everything else will have to come out of the pocket of the tax payer. And that's because no insurer is prepared to insure the risks at whatever premiums.

      Also don't forget that Germany (as most of Western Europe) is much more densly populated than most parts of the US. If there should be a serious accident millions of people may have to be resettled...

    19. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by cOldhandle · · Score: 2

      What about Onkalo in Finland? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onkalo_waste_repository I saw a documentary about it and it is will be sealed up permanently when it is full. There are all sorts of interesting considerations, like designing warning symbols that will be understood by future civilizations.

    20. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes there is: look at the Gen IV designs such as the "Integral Fast Reactor". These produce very small amounts of waste, and it is safe within 200 years.

    21. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olkiluoto_Nuclear_Power_Plant#Onkalo_waste_repository

    22. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the US, we do have something. It's not great but it is something.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waste_Isolation_Pilot_Plant

      http://www.damninteresting.com/this-place-is-not-a-place-of-honor/

    23. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by nappingcracker · · Score: 1

      Agreed. This is just a matter of engineering the reaction, not engineering the disposal of waste. Same goes for any waste - how do you solve the waste problem? Produce less waste!

      --
      |plastic....or gasoline?|
    24. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      That's the fuel itself, what about all the contaminated materials like the cooling water?

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    25. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is incredibly how brainwashed you are. Congratulations to Monty Burns' PR people ;-)

    26. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There has been a very simple solution to high radioactive waste for a long time. It just isn't politically popular. All you have to do is dump the silos into deep ocean trenches where there are geological subduction zones. Overtime the waste will just degrade or be pulled down into the earth and never seen again. The problem with burying this stuff on land is it is likely to just be dug up again in a thousand years or come up due to some geological event. That will never happen if we just dispose of it in the ocean trenches.

    27. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed. In it's current form, nuclear power is a failed power-source. The
      risks/reward is all in favor of current safe renewables.

      Having said that, i dont mind scientific research in nuclear power, to see
      if it *could* be made safe to run. Regardless of hijacked planes,
      human errors and quakes all happens at once.

      *And* find a safe way to make the waste into a safe form.

      Only then, can i greenlit "nucular" power.

    28. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not failed, it's functioning. No, it doesn't have a 100% safety record--neither does anything else! If nuclear power is a failure, then so are automobiles and airplanes and sushi and heart surgeries and basketball. You're an irrational fool.

    29. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      Chemicals stay toxic forever. We isolate them in hazmat landfills and hope for the best.

    30. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What I don't understand is since it's radioactive why isn't this stuff sold off to people that can use it?

    31. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or, more likely, the "waste" will be burned as fuel in the next few decades/

    32. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too bad the baby boomers didn't think this way about US debt

    33. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Worst case, if we can't find anything better, just drop the nuclear waste in the middle of the pacific, far away from land. Very deep water is almost devoid of life and any radioactive contamination will be so diluted by the time it reaches land that it will have no effect. That said, it is probably better to store it "temporarily" until we can find a use for it (lots of slightly radioactive things in modern tech, particularly in medical applications.

    34. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by SheeEttin · · Score: 1

      A giant underground cave, built for longevity, and permanently sealed? Sounds like something from a video game...

    35. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Prune · · Score: 1

      Answer to waste: breeder reactors. The ONLY reason not to built breeders is public paranoia about the possibility to use them for weapons-grade material production.

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    36. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by Prune · · Score: 1

      Breeder reactors + waste transmutation (see wiki) reduces waste by a very large fraction, to the point where glassification and subsequent storage is a total solution.

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    37. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      We didn't find highly radioactive nuclear waste in the ground. We only found weakly radioactive uranium there.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    38. Re:Complete and Total Over-reaction by makomk · · Score: 1

      Given the way Japan's current civilization managed to ignore some fairly simple tsunami warnings from only a few centuries ago, I think we're being a bit optimistic if we think we can come up with nuclear warning labels that will be understood for tens of thousands of years into the future...

  10. Merkel, listen! I'm NOT scared of nuclear energy! by rastos1 · · Score: 1

    Apparently, people make the right choice only after all other options were exhausted.
    --
    signed: rastos, citizen of EU.

  11. Brutal by KiwiCanuck · · Score: 2

    Overreaction due to a disaster by a reactor that should have never been built in the first place. It should be common sense to never build a device that cannot be tuned off (or 3 months to turn off). There are other nuclear reactor designs that can be turn off quickly. Banning the entire industry without a proper review is stupid.

    1. Re:Brutal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Please tell me of any current commercial nuclear reactor in the World that can be turned off immediately?

      ALL of them heat some medium and power turbines this way. ALL of them need several months/years of cooling, thermal or nuclear, before they can be shut down or dismantled.

    2. Re:Brutal by jimicus · · Score: 1

      True, but there is a political side-effect of the people who design these reactors naming them based on the technology they use to generate power. It means a poorly conceived nuclear reactor at Fukishima tars every other nuclear reactor with the same brush - even if the design means that it doesn't suffer from the same problems.

      What would make far more sense would be to rename a bunch of nuclear reactors "Super Happy Perfectly Safe Generators"

    3. Re:Brutal by radtea · · Score: 1

      It should be common sense to never build a device that cannot be tuned off (or 3 months to turn off).

      All fission reactors are hard to turn off, and fairly tricky to turn back on again once off. This isn't due to bad engineering: the underlying nuclear physics makes it that way.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    4. Re:Brutal by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      What would make far more sense would be to rename a bunch of nuclear reactors "Super Happy Perfectly Safe Generators"

      Do not taunt Super Happy Perfectly Safe Generators.

      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    5. Re:Brutal by huzur79 · · Score: 1

      All reactors can be turned off quickly. Thats what a scam is. The problem is the continued cooling of the Nuclear fuel. It takes 3-6 months for the fuel rods to cool. Canadian Candu reactors are one of the few designs, not the only one that don't NEED active cooling if all power is lost. But the fuel rods still take months to cool to normal levels.

  12. Let me see... by BlueParrot · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Oil is likely to run out or become very expensive during the next few decades, if plug in hybrids and electric cars is the most likely replacement for gasoline ( and it seems to be the case at the moment ) then much more electricity will be needed.

    Environmental concerns mandate a large reduction in the use of coal for electricity.
    EU-member states have committed to such reductions through several treaties and
    directives, and it is unlikely that they will simply be dropped.

    Wind cannot contribute a majority of electricity generation out of load levelling concerns.

    Solar is prohibitively expensive and only does well in Germany due to strong economic
    incentives that would be very costly to scale. It also doesn't work during the night, and large
    scale energy storage is prohibitively expensive.

    Scaling bio-mass to supply a nation the size of Germany would have a dramatic environmental
    impact associated with its cultivation, growth and combustion. It is presently very expensive for
    applications other than heating, and the more advanced bio-fuels (cellulosic ethanol ) that actually
    seem feasible are still experimental. Brazil kinda makes etanol from sugar cane work, but it is
    dubious if the practice would be sustainable outside of tropical climates.

    So basically unless they overturn this decision it seems likely that Germany will end up importing
    electricity or making themselves reliant on Russian natural gas. This is what happens when you make
    policy based on populism and wishful thinking rather than reality.

    1. Re:Let me see... by Lifyre · · Score: 1

      Exactly, ethanol only works in Brazil because they have such large amounts of sugar domestically. So fuels like butanol (or other forms of ethanol production like you mentioned) which are getting closer to being viable either need to actually make it to market in 5 years like they keep telling us or large scale energy storage needs to suddenly become much much cheaper.

      Butanol would probably be better than ethanol at least in the short term since it is virtually a drop in replacement for gasoline but what is the replacement for diesel? The bio-diesel I've seen is just reprocessed discarded oil from other processes...

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    2. Re:Let me see... by ebuck · · Score: 1

      Until people stop believing in electrical genies that can hold vast amounts of power in a thimble, they can't think about the problem rationally because they believe electric is the portable power solution. Electricity is great, but even if you replaced the entire interior of your car with the best battery technology, it wouldn't be but a few percent of the energy stored in your gas tank.

      Yes, it is getting better, and there is hope that one day it will be "good enough" for the task at hand; however, a 200% improvement of 3% is only 6%. We have a long way to go, and we're fighting physics.

    3. Re:Let me see... by jonwil · · Score: 1

      What most people ignore (but that a LOT more people should be focusing on) is energy efficiency. We should be making it MUCH easier for consumers to compare running costs of everything from air conditioners to plasma TVs to George Foreman grills so they can make an informed decision based on how much electricity those devices need.

      If people could see how much the running costs were on the Sony TV vs the LG TV vs the Samsung TV, they are likely to factor that into their purchasing decisions.
      Even more so for high energy use products like hot water systems, fridges, freezers, washing machines, clothes dryers, dish washers, ovens and air conditioners

    4. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a 200% improvement of 3% is only 6%

      Sorry, pet peeve. This way of saying it makes no sense; it would refer to no change at all as "a 100% improvement".

    5. Re:Let me see... by w_dragon · · Score: 1

      As opposed to driving around an engine that needs to convert chemical energy to mechanical and electric, survive vibrations and bumps, control pollution, and not make enough noise to wake up the neighborhood? The problems of an ICE, while solved, were much larger than the problems of electric storage. Pure electrics can fill all the space that used to be taken up by things like the engine, cooling systems, exhaust systems, alternator, and fill it with battery. Electric motors are fairly small, simple pieces of technology. Also an electric doesn't need the range of a current gas vehicle day 1. It needs enough juice to get me to the next rapid recharge/battery swap station, whichever ends up being the way the infrastructure goes.

    6. Re:Let me see... by devent · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As a German I think it's the perfect time to ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source. Without any pressure from the government we will use oil, gas, coal and nuclear until all of this resources will get so expensive and until we get a some major catastrophes, because the cooperations don't care one bit about the future.

      Everyone has known that the nuclear power plants have a limited lifetime. But what was the solution: just extend the lifetime. The electric companies took subsidies, tax cuts, new laws, and they knew that eventually the nuclear power plants are going to be shut down and they done nothing.

      I'm really glad our politicians have the balls to say that from now on there will be a major technology shift. Yes, now the alternative energy sources sucks ass, but wait until we transfer some billions for R&D. Of course we can't shut down the nuclear plants over night, but we have to start someday. And it is always the government who is in the position and should have the balls to tell the market to create new technologies. Hell, without the governments pushing for nuclear, there would be no nuclear electric cooperations.

      Now it's the prefect time to put pressure on the market to push for R&D for better energy sources. Without such pressure the banks will just continue to sit on their tax-bailout money and not lend to risky enterprises and the big energy cooperations will just waste the money on shareholders. Better now then in 30 years, where we actually don't have any other choice but to put the reactors down and because there was no pressure to invest in R&D we will get stuck down in the middle ages.

      --
      http://www.mueller-public.de - My site http://www.anr-institute.com/ - Advanced Natural Research Institute
    7. Re:Let me see... by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      It's expensive, prohibitive is just a state of mind. Going completely solar is feasible if done in Africa, not much more expensive than the stimulus plans and bailouts. The major hurdle is getting Morocco into the EU, a huge socio-political problem at this point (we should have done it decades ago).

      But then so is going Nuclear on a huge scale ... and Uranium is finite as well. Thorium is no alternative in the short term either, MSRs will take decades to come online. The only thorium breeders which could be put into service soon are liquid sodium cooled breeders, and I don't want those in my back yard.

    8. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're only focusing on cars. No more oil means no more fertilizer and no more mechanized agriculture. Bye bye population density. Bye bye 747s, F-15s and rockets. We'll a bunch of farmers tweeting our crop status to each other.

    9. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oil is likely to run out or become very expensive during the next few decades, if plug in hybrids and electric cars is the most likely replacement for gasoline ( and it seems to be the case at the moment ) then much more electricity will be needed.

      WHile my opinion may not go over well here, we are not going to run out of oil soon, or in a few decades. I have been hearing this since the 70's. As for expensive, it's already there. And yes, it will continue to be expensive because profit is what it is all about.

      The one thing I have never understood are those peope who say we have to stop using oil because it pollutes the world and on the other hand say we need to stop using it because we are going to run out. Look, escolate the use of oil to the point where we run out and then we will have no other alternative but to use some other source for energy. Let's just pump it out of the ground and lower the price so everyone uses it up as fast as possible.

    10. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also an electric doesn't need the range of a current gas vehicle day 1. It needs enough juice to get me to the next rapid recharge/battery swap station, whichever ends up being the way the infrastructure goes.

      What about deserts, forests, etc. where there isn't a recharge station every few miles? What about large cargo trucks that can't economically take the time to recharge frequently, or need to cross said sparsely inhabited regions? Passenger cars going relatively short distances in well-populated areas are only a small part of the equation.

    11. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A couple of things: first of all, that electrical energy you're using to power your car probably came from a coal plant anyways. The real question is whether or not an electric is cleaner from coal in the ground to your car; coal--->power plant---->house (via lines)--->charging car battery--->discharging car battery. Each of these steps has an efficiency lower than one. This is a massive simplification, but let's say -- for shits and giggles -- that each of these steps has an efficiency of 70% (an enormous overstatement). We would wind up with (0.7)^4=0.24. 24%, which doesn't sound all that great to me. ICE effiency is 0.4

    12. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [quote]This is what happens when you make policy based on populism and wishful thinking rather than reality.[/quote]
      The downfall of western society. I saw the same thing happening when I lived in Florida and I am seeing it once again in Germany.
      We went from a bunch of ancient animals to a bunch of modern animals and skipped the step of learning to live together.

    13. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 2

      As a German I think it's the perfect time to ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source.

      So let me get this right. Your country has spent considerable money already over decades and you have yet to come up with a sustainable and green energy source? Why do you want to give them more money?

      Without any pressure from the government we will use oil, gas, coal and nuclear until all of this resources will get so expensive and until we get a some major catastrophes, because the cooperations don't care one bit about the future.

      Note the key line, "resources will get so expensive." The corporations and people will naturally switch over when fossil fuel-based generation are more expensive than renewable sources. So why use government to "pressure" what's going to happen anyway? High prices will provide all the pressure you want here and you don't even have to lift a finger to make it happen.

    14. Re:Let me see... by rhakka · · Score: 1

      wow, we might need more than one technology to address more than one transportation requirement, at least for an interim period?

      bag it then, might as well stay ICE for everything, for ever.

    15. Re:Let me see... by rhakka · · Score: 1

      you nailed it. Total cost of ownership for everything that consumes power. Including any financing payments and energy costs. At current pricing, and with a second standard assumption for energy cost inflation based on the 20 or 30 year period previous.

      ESPECIALLY FOR HOMES AND BUILDINGS.

      then you would not only see a much greater change in average efficiency, you'd see the market properly VALUE efficiency, because as you insinuate, the problem is poor information flow currently. as it usually is, when the market fails, as it often does.

    16. Re:Let me see... by c6gunner · · Score: 1, Informative

      As a German I think it's the perfect time to ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source.

      See, this, right here, is why anyone with a halfway-useful education immediately laughs at the green movement. You honestly seem to think that tossing a few billion dollars at a bunch of scientists will result in some magical doohickey which produces limitless energy with no environmental impact or risk to the public. Technology doesn't work that way. Improvements don't scale that way. You may as well suggest prayer; it's just as likely to produce the desired result.

      Everyone has known that the nuclear power plants have a limited lifetime. But what was the solution: just extend the lifetime.

      No, the solution is to build new, safer, more efficient, more powerful nuclear plants. Relying on 50 year old designs is almost as retarded as deciding to ditch nuclear entirely.

    17. Re:Let me see... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      If people could see how much the running costs were on the Sony TV vs the LG TV vs the Samsung TV, they are likely to factor that into their purchasing decisions.

      Uh, you can - it's right there on the sticker. Buy A (or A+), don't buy B.

      (Now we're getting energy ratings for housing - that's frightening - lots of old stock is C, D or even E.)

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    18. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I think you're wrong about solar, the speed at which the costs are coming down is just amazing. I think it's catching a lot of people unprepared.

    19. Re:Let me see... by fnj · · Score: 2

      OK, so, as a German of course, do you have any reason - other than pure wishful thinking - to suppose that the fundamental problems with renewable energy even CAN be solved by throwing more money at it and chanting incantations to the wizards of technology and to the great benevolent all-caring government?

      The following are plain, unalterable FACTS. Wind is capricious and requires vast area to harness it. Solar completely dies for 50% of every single day, has repeated extreme reductions for periods lasting from days to weeks, and requires vast areas to harness it. Both have extreme fluctuations which would require unimaginable storage capacity. Geothermal is only practical in very particular locations such as Iceland. Tidal and wave energy remains a completely impractical dream.

      Yes, nuclear as implemented to date has for the most part been screwed up. The solution is not to recoil in a knee jerk reaction, but to DO IT RIGHT. Uranium is a very limited resource, but thorium reserves are truly vast. Inherently passively safe designs are known for nuclear energy; USE THEM GODDAMIT. And, yes, do not abandon research and development of renewables, but let them compete on an even footing; don't put all your investment in them and pin all your hopes on them. In this matter as in all others, be RATIONAL.

    20. Re:Let me see... by BlueParrot · · Score: 1

      Ok, so lets say they manage to reduce their total energy consumption by a factor of 2 within 20 years ( yea right ), despite of population growth. You'd still need to produce the 50% of energy that remains, and unless you plan to continue to use petroleum for transportation, an increasing fractional share of that will need to be electric.

      In terms of energy produced, averaged over a year, wind and solar in Germany today supplies a few percent of total energy consumption. ( No, you can't just add up peak power production for electricity, while ignoring capacity factors and non-electric energy consumption like petrol ). Even if you tripled solar and wind output within 2 decades, and reduced overall energy consumption by 50% , you'd still not reach a majority of energy from renewables. The remainder would have to be fossil,nuclear or imports.

      In practice that will likely mean increased reliance on imports ( French nuclear and Polish coal ) and increased consumption of natural gas.

    21. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kudos.
      If only the technocrats here would realized that you cannot rationalize away radioactive contamination. Sticking you fingers in your ears and saying "coal is more radioactive" over and over is not a solution. Go for a swim in a spent fuel storage tank and then tell me how safe it is. A machine that cannot be run safely without external power, that produces many tons of volatile radioactive materials that need total isolation and constant maintenance as a by-product, and that has the ability to render tens of thousands of square kilometers uninhabitable in minutes if it should breakdown is not safe, not sane, not a viable solution to human energy needs.

    22. Re:Let me see... by thomasw_lrd · · Score: 0

      As a German I think it's the perfect time to ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source. Without any pressure from the government we will use oil, gas, coal and nuclear until all of this resources will get so expensive and until we get a some major catastrophes, because the cooperations don't care one bit about the future.

      Everyone has known that the nuclear power plants have a limited lifetime. But what was the solution: just extend the lifetime. The electric companies took subsidies, tax cuts, new laws, and they knew that eventually the nuclear power plants are going to be shut down and they done nothing.

      I'm really glad our politicians have the balls to say that from now on there will be a major technology shift. Yes, now the alternative energy sources sucks ass, but wait until we transfer some billions for R&D. Of course we can't shut down the nuclear plants over night, but we have to start someday. And it is always the government who is in the position and should have the balls to tell the market to create new technologies. Hell, without the governments pushing for nuclear, there would be no nuclear electric cooperations.

      Now it's the prefect time to put pressure on the market to push for R&D for better energy sources. Without such pressure the banks will just continue to sit on their tax-bailout money and not lend to risky enterprises and the big energy cooperations will just waste the money on shareholders. Better now then in 30 years, where we actually don't have any other choice but to put the reactors down and because there was no pressure to invest in R&D we will get stuck down in the middle ages.

      Spoken like a true socialist. Now don't take that the wrong way, I'm not sure that capitalism is the right answer either. The truth is shit is messy. I'm all for nuclear power. Store the waste in the deepest parts of the ocean, and not worry about Godzilla coming at us.

    23. Re:Let me see... by BlueParrot · · Score: 2

      They don't need to have the same driving range as a petrol vehicle if the recharge time can be improved. This is especially true when we start running out of oil. The latest battery tech that is on the market can recharge in 15 minutes or so. Yes, it is longer than to fill a gas tank, but in a decade or two the price of petrol will justify it. So basically you will find that people will be quite fine with a range of 150km or so ( more has already been demonstrated ) when it saves them money. Governments will issue legislation in order to fight air pollution and carbon emissions, and thus the change will happen.

      The problem at the moment is not the battery performance, capacity or recharge time. The major issue is the price. With current technology batteries that will last for 10 years costs as much as the rest of the car. Today this is a showstopper, but with rising Oil prices and possible improvements in battery tech, it is far from unlikely that it will not be the most economical option a few decades from now.

    24. Re:Let me see... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      Because research is a long term thing.
      When oil and coal and nuclear is to expensive ... there wont be anything ready researched as the power companies only follow short sighted goals.

      Do you think catalysts where invented by the car manufactors? Do you think the reduction in fuel usage over the last 30 years in cars does come from the car manufactors? No, it comes by government intervention. Actually that is what you have a government for.

      Regarding the billions spend, what a laugh. There is 100 times more spent into nuclear power than in any renewable so far. Also, what do you care what we spend our money on? Germany is so incredible fucking rich ... the question is not HOW MUCH money we spend on something. The question is to start doing something NOW and be the spear head movement to change the world.

      If other countries want to wait ... the bette for germany as we will have the key technologies for enewable energy in 10 - 25 years ... and those who waited to long have to catch up or buy from us.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    25. Re:Let me see... by tibit · · Score: 1

      We'll a bunch of farmers tweeting our crop status to each other.

      Like if we weren't already ;)

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    26. Re:Let me see... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, the solution is to build new, safer, more efficient, more powerful nuclear plants. Relying on 50 year old designs is almost as retarded as deciding to ditch nuclear entirely.

      That is only a solution in a dictatorship and not in a demogracy where about 90% of the voters are against it.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    27. Re:Let me see... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      There was no population growth in Germany for almost 40 years.

      And peak power production actually matters, because it can be exported for good money since peak electricity is the most expensive kind. Baseload is cheap.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    28. Re:Let me see... by he-sk · · Score: 2

      So let me get this right. Your country has spent considerable money already over decades and you have yet to come up with a sustainable and green energy source? Why do you want to give them more money?

      You don't know what you're talking about. We've already had a consensus to phase out nuclear energy in 2000 and that agreement contained concrete goals for renewable energy capacity that we're currently exceeding. Why do you think it is that Germany produces 16% of its electricity needs through renewables when the world's average is just a measly 1%? Because we've committed early to a nuclear-free world and made a plan to reach that goal.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    29. Re:Let me see... by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Srsly, in one post doing the same cargo cult you accuse others of? ("new nuclear designs get rid of practical* issues, are the wundersolution")

      *NOT technical, that's not much of an issue for "50 years old designs"

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    30. Re:Let me see... by geoskd · · Score: 1

      Until people stop believing in electrical genies that can hold vast amounts of power in a thimble, they can't think about the problem rationally because they believe electric is the portable power solution. Electricity is great, but even if you replaced the entire interior of your car with the best battery technology, it wouldn't be but a few percent of the energy stored in your gas tank.

      Actually, if you filled the entire car, it would be about 25-40%. Which would be more than enough because the efficiency (Battery to road) is 80-90% whereas I.C. efficiency (Gas to road) is around 20-40%. Batteries are getting better *very* fast. Within 10 years, batteries will come up to about 10% of the volumetric and gravimetric density of gas (currently about 3% and 1% respectively). At that point, Full electrics will be a completely viable alternative to gas. This improvement will come as the increases in performance are a natural extension of the same principles that drove Moores law. Ultra capacitors alone are well above the 10% energy density of gasoline mark, and the only likely remaining hurdle is manufacturing in quantity (quality control).

      -=Geoskd

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    31. Re:Let me see... by devent · · Score: 1

      "Note the key line, "resources will get so expensive." The corporations and people will naturally switch over when fossil fuel-based generation are more expensive than renewable sources. So why use government to "pressure" what's going to happen anyway? High prices will provide all the pressure you want here and you don't even have to lift a finger to make it happen."

      No. What actually is happening is that the government will invade countries to build new pipelines to transport gas and oil 1000s of km. The cooperations will invest every penny they have in squeezing 1 promille more efficient oil and gas extraction. They will build more off-shore drills and they will even try to squeeze oil out of sand which have a horrible efficiency ratio. They will do all they can to not to invest in R&D in risky new technologies.

      Because there is a big risk to invest in new technologies and no cooperation will do it without any government pressure. How can any cooperation like EON, RWE or Vattenfall explain to the shareholders that they are going to invest xx billions in a new and risky technology, which no guarantee of success, while the competition is investing in oil, gas and nuclear and make more profits in the short term?

      The cooperations are not interested in what will happen in 30 or 50 years. The cooperations had already 30 years to come up with anything. But they choose to sit on their nuclear power plants, knowing very well that they are going to expire (there was even a contract for how long each power plant can be online), but they did nothing.

      So it's about time the government is pressuring them. We don't want to give them more money. We pressure them that we want no more nuclear power plants. They did enough profits now they need to invest considerable amount of it to come up with new technology.

      --
      http://www.mueller-public.de - My site http://www.anr-institute.com/ - Advanced Natural Research Institute
    32. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      We've already had a consensus to phase out nuclear energy in 2000 and that agreement contained concrete goals for renewable energy capacity that we're currently exceeding.

      And if we had a "consensus" to turn you in to glue, that would be ok with you? Even if I lived in Germany, I wouldn't be party to this. Sometimes consensus is a form of tyranny.

      Because we've committed early to a nuclear-free world and made a plan to reach that goal.

      I see some of your neighbors refuse to make that commitment. Eliminating your base load capability, both nuclear and coal will have consequences. Fortunately, for Germany, they'll just end up paying higher electricity prices for electricity imported from France. There should be higher priorities than trite ideologies. Maybe one day, you'll figure that out.

    33. Re:Let me see... by geoskd · · Score: 1

      See, this, right here, is why anyone with a halfway-useful education immediately laughs at the green movement. You honestly seem to think that tossing a few billion dollars at a bunch of scientists will result in some magical doohickey which produces limitless energy with no environmental impact or risk to the public. Technology doesn't work that way. Improvements don't scale that way. You may as well suggest prayer; it's just as likely to produce the desired result.

      If I had mod points, I would void my other posts in this thread just to give them to that post. It sums up very nicely. Your average 10 year old can understand that having money by itself is no good if you don't know how to buy what you want. Spending a fortune on "science" only does any good if the scientists happen to be on the right track. If they are not, then you get bupkus (See Tokamak). Research and Development is great at making incremental improvements to existing technology, but if the existing technology is fundamentally limited, then all the RnD in the world wont get you more than those limits. What is needed is whats called a "breakthrough", and the those are unpredictable and mostly independent of funding. There is nothing you can do to cause them deliberately (or prevent them).

      A good example of this principle is the atomic bomb. Nuclear piles were a common thing for researchers to be working on in the 30s. They were interesting, but making them go boom required a great deal of incremental improvement in yield and size. These improvements could be bought. There was, however, no way that anyone in the 19th century was going to build a nuclear weapon, no matter how much money they spent, because the breakthrough hadn't happened yet.

      -=Geoskd

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    34. Re:Let me see... by protektor · · Score: 1

      Remember some of the studies from a few years back. The US can not produce enough corn to make bio-gas a realistic option for the US. If we went that route there would not be enough corn for the gas, even if we added more corn farms, and what would that due to the food supply given we feed corn to so many animals and use corn syrup in so many foods.

    35. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      Inherently passively safe designs are known for nuclear energy

      This is being repeated over and over and over. Do you mean pebble bed? That was tried (in Germany, BTW) and the results were a) more waste and b) the realization that it actually is not "inherently safe" at all. It's in the wikipedia page.

      Or do you mean something else, and want to come up with a reference?

    36. Re:Let me see... by protektor · · Score: 1

      Your one of those people who is anti-capitalist and is all for wealth reassignment. That is exactly what you are proposing and you might as well switch to pure socialism and call it a day. It's definitely faster that way to get to the point. We also know how well that has turned out in the past. Good luck with that, you'll need it.

    37. Re:Let me see... by protektor · · Score: 1

      No oil? Say good-bye to plastic, textiles and scores of other things that actually have oil in them. Never mind the oil needed for the production process of products. Get rid of those things and the medical services available are suddenly much smaller, and the life span of the population goes down and the standard of living will drop as well. Good luck with that you will need it. You will never be able to eliminate our need for oil and our need to pull it out of the ground and use it.

    38. Re:Let me see... by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      A few things:

      1) The "not have a recharge station every few miles" problem is no different to petrol/diesel. You can't drive a petrol car an infinite distance without refilling; the only difference is the range the vehicle is capable of. Or to put it another way, the amount of energy the vehicle can carry around with it. GP said that not having a comparable range is a "day 1" problem we don't have to worry about- the dream would be that we could bring the range up as the technology improves. It's also worth pointing out that in many cases (for example- across almost all of Western Europe, South Asia and East Asia) it's hardly an insurmountable problem, with population density the way it is.

      2) Swappable batteries were mentioned by the GP, which solves the "can't take time to recharge frequently" problem. It might not be palatable for general private users, but seems like a fine idea for commercial drivers, where their companies can sign-up to (or set-up) a national or international battery-swapping scheme.

      3) No-one said you need one solution for all vehicles. Perhaps plug-in electric vehicles might do the job in 80% of use cases, and other technologies (good old diesel, or something else like autogas, bio-diesel, whatever) could still be used for long-distance haulage, or whatever else doesn't fit the plug-in model. The current system has at least two mutually incompatible fuels in use simultaneously (petrol and diesel), so it's not inconceivable that multiple methods might continue to coexist.

      4) Call me a hopeless optimist, but I'm still holding on to the dream of hydrogen as an energy storage mechanism. We have an essentially endless supply of it as long as you're generating electricity (H20 + electricity = hydrogen + oxygen), it's clean at point-of-use (burn hydrogen, get water), and the usage model is almost identical to gasoline (store it in tanks at filling stations, fill up your vehicle's tank in just a few moments). If only we can deal with the pesky problem of making it economically viable...

    39. Re:Let me see... by BlueParrot · · Score: 1

      Uranium is a very limited resource, but thorium reserves are truly vast.

      Because a thorium thermal breeder would require a very good neutron economy, they can only work in self-sufficient mode if reprocessing is very frequent or continuous ( as is envisioned in molten salt systems). Unfortunately it adds considerably to the cost to do reprocessing frequently or continuously. In addition the very short doubling time of such a system means they would likely have to be started using reprocessed plutonium.

      Now if you have to do plutonium reprocessing anyway, then there is little reason not to simply go for a Pu-fast breeder reactor. Since fast breeders have by far the best neutron economy ( less parasitic losses in coolant and cladding, higher neutron yields from fast fission , more fission in fertile nuclei ) they would have much better burn-up, and hence the costs associated with reprocessing would be less. In addition they are better at destroying actinides. Granted, thorium would produce less transuranics than your typical LWR, but since you would have to start them using plutonium accumulation of curium would still be a problem. In addition a thermal spectrum would not be very good at destroying the transuranic elements in our existing waste.

      Granted the sodium technology will likely not be economical. But an LFR , fast spectrum SCWR or perhaps even a fast-spectrum molten salt reactor would probably work quite well. This is of course a long-term alternative, since in the near future uranium is likely to remain cheap, and hence simply making LWRs safer by the use of natural circulation ( as in the ESBWR ) is probably a better choice for the next couple of decades.

    40. Re:Let me see... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      And if we had a "consensus" to turn you in to glue, that would be ok with you?

      That wouldn't be a consensus because I disagree.

      Sometimes consensus is a form of tyranny.

      How can it be tyranny when all relevant parties (including the energy companies) agree to it?

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    41. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a German I think it's the perfect time to ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source.

      So let me get this right. Your country has spent considerable money already over decades and you have yet to come up with a sustainable and green energy source? Why do you want to give them more money?

      In Germany, renewables generate almost as much elecricity as nuclear. An there was much less money spent than into nuclear power, which
      is clearly a dead end. It is actually a shame how much money was wasted on this obsolete technology:

      http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a6/Forschungsausgaben_bund_deutschland_zeitreihe_74bis08.jpg

      Without any pressure from the government we will use oil, gas, coal and nuclear until all of this resources will get so expensive and until we get a some major catastrophes, because the cooperations don't care one bit about the future.

      Note the key line, "resources will get so expensive." The corporations and people will naturally switch over when fossil fuel-based generation are more expensive than renewable sources. So why use government to "pressure" what's going to happen anyway? High prices will provide all the pressure you want here and you don't even have to lift a finger to make it happen.

      Because of external costs. BTW: in a free market nobody would build nuclear power stations.

    42. Re:Let me see... by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      It's not the same thing, as the newer nuclear designs exist and are ready to be built. Does anyone have a fully developed idea of how to manage a majority renewable (intermittent) grid? I've seen lots of hand waves about smart grids, large scale grids and so forth but nothing in the way of a serious study with actual numbers in it.

    43. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Do you think catalysts where invented by the car manufactors? Do you think the reduction in fuel usage over the last 30 years in cars does come from the car manufactors?

      Yes and yes. Government may impose mandates, but private industry makes it happen.

      Regarding the billions spend, what a laugh. There is 100 times more spent into nuclear power than in any renewable so far. Also, what do you care what we spend our money on? Germany is so incredible fucking rich ... the question is not HOW MUCH money we spend on something. The question is to start doing something NOW and be the spear head movement to change the world.

      Because this sort of fad is contagious. China, for example, just built a massive high speed rail boondoggle, because someone in power thought that was a mark of a technologically advanced civilization. Those sorts of people some how manage to worm their way into positions of power.

      If other countries want to wait ... the bette for germany as we will have the key technologies for enewable energy in 10 - 25 years ... and those who waited to long have to catch up or buy from us.

      Not a problem. You need to remember that there are other things to do in this world than build renewable energy power systems. I don't mind letter Germany take the risks and the benefits.

    44. Re:Let me see... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      ...it wouldn't be but a few percent of the energy stored in your gas tank.

      Given that gasoline engines are only a few percent efficient, it all evens out...

      --
      No sig today...
    45. Re:Let me see... by fnj · · Score: 1

      OK, you're probably not going to like this, but I'll use Wikipedia because you used it. The reason I don't think you're going to like it is because it doesn't say what you claim it says.

      [Pebble bed] Safety features

      All reactors have reactivity feedback mechanisms, but the pebble bed reactor is designed so that this effect is very strong and does not depend on any kind of machinery or moving parts. Because of this, its passive cooling, and because the pebble bed reactor is designed for higher temperatures, the pebble bed reactor can passively reduce to a safe power level in an accident scenario. This is the main passive safety feature of the pebble bed reactor, and it makes the pebble bed design (as well as other very high temperature reactors) unique from conventional light water reactors which require active safety controls.

      Passively safe. Does not require electricity pumping cooling fluid through it AFTER shutdown to avoid melting down.

      Pebble ped design

      Pebble bed design ... The core generates less power as its temperature rises, and therefore cannot have a criticality excursion when the machinery fails, it is power-limited or inherently self controlling due to Doppler broadening. At such low power densities, the reactor can be designed to lose more heat through its walls than it would generate. In order to generate much power it has to be cooled, and then the energy is extracted from the coolant.

      Gee that sounds inherently safe to me. Of course, there are no true absolutes, but what is clear is that it is a Hell of a lot safer than the Fukushima type BWR's.

      Adams Atomic Engines ... AAE's engine is inherently safe, as the engine naturally shuts down due to Doppler broadening, stopping heat generation if the fuel in the engine gets too hot. (The engine also naturally shuts down in the event of a loss of coolant or a loss of coolant flow as well.) This phenomenon suggests that some form of heat removal in the engine, somewhat like a radiator in a motor vehicle, to remove residual heat from the closed engine cooling loop and gas circulation system could be beneficial for the design to work optimally.

      Examples of passive safety in operation

      Third generation designs improve on early designs by incorporating passive or inherent safety features which require no active controls or (human) operational intervention to avoid accidents in the event of malfunction, and may rely on pressure differentials, gravity, natural convection, or the natural response of materials to high temperatures.

      That says the operators all walk away and go home, and all the active mechanisms fail, and it remains safe.

    46. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a German I think it's the perfect time to ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source.

      See, this, right here, is why anyone with a halfway-useful education immediately laughs at the green movement.

      You honestly seem to think that tossing a few billion dollars at a bunch of scientists will result in some magical doohickey which produces limitless energy with no environmental impact or risk to the public. Technology doesn't work that way. Improvements don't scale that way. You may as well suggest prayer; it's just as likely to produce the desired result.

      Funny. That's exactly what people thought about nuclear power. Billion dollars have been spent, all the problems (waste, safety) are still not solved and nuclear power is not even cheap.

      Everyone has known that the nuclear power plants have a limited lifetime. But what was the solution: just extend the lifetime.

      No, the solution is to build new, safer, more efficient, more powerful nuclear plants. Relying on 50 year old designs is almost as retarded as deciding to ditch nuclear entirely.

      Why waste even more money in such outdated steam engines?

    47. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      That wouldn't be a consensus because I disagree.

      Hence, my use of "scare quote." Your lack of agreement was assumed.

      How can it be tyranny when all relevant parties (including the energy companies) agree to it?

      What makes you think that? Any energy company that disagrees will get clobbered either through regulation or harmed by bad publicity. They can't appear to disagree. We'll see if they still agree when a much friendlier administration comes in and allows new plant construction once again.

    48. Re:Let me see... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      No, the solution is to build new, safer, more efficient, more powerful nuclear plants. Relying on 50 year old designs is almost as retarded as deciding to ditch nuclear entirely.

      This.

      Nuclear could be sooooo much cleaner/safer than it currently is but people are forming their opinions by looking at reactors which were built in the 1960s.

      --
      No sig today...
    49. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are one of those people that make do with two bits in their brain. For you, there is no middle ground at all between full marxist socialism and randian capitalism, which means that you are too stupid to understand most of the world. Why don't you go back to the body building forum instead of wasting our time here?

    50. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a German I think it's the perfect time to ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source.

      So let me get this right. Your country has spent considerable money already over decades and you have yet to come up with a sustainable and green energy source? Why do you want to give them more money?

      The job has been started, but it's not complete. There have been great technological advances but there are more to be made. Just because we're not all the way there yet, it doesn't mean that we should stop. For example, intermittent generators like wind turbines could be coupled with some form of storage (batteries, compressed air, pump-storage hydro) to even out the output. This takes R&D but without the work that has been done to date to improve wind turbines, it would be less useful

      Without any pressure from the government we will use oil, gas, coal and nuclear until all of this resources will get so expensive and until we get a some major catastrophes, because the cooperations don't care one bit about the future.

      Note the key line, "resources will get so expensive." The corporations and people will naturally switch over when fossil fuel-based generation are more expensive than renewable sources. So why use government to "pressure" what's going to happen anyway? High prices will provide all the pressure you want here and you don't even have to lift a finger to make it happen.

      The reason is to get ahead of the curve. If you are not ahead of the curve, the switch will be much more painful because it will be a panic for everyone to switch over in a short time span. This way, Germany can switch on its own terms and it can benefit by selling the technology to the laggards once they are eventually forced to switch.

    51. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      No. What actually is happening is that the government will invade countries to build new pipelines to transport gas and oil 1000s of km. The cooperations will invest every penny they have in squeezing 1 promille more efficient oil and gas extraction. They will build more off-shore drills and they will even try to squeeze oil out of sand which have a horrible efficiency ratio. They will do all they can to not to invest in R&D in risky new technologies.

      So what? If it is more economical to extend current infrastructure rather than switch over, then why not extend current infrastructure? The proponents of renewable power have yet to present a case for switching over now rather than some wealthier time in the future.

    52. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      1) One of the funniest things about this type of discussion is that nobody talks about phasing out personal vehicles (i.e. cars) and going for mass mass transportation ("mass" repeated intentionally). That is the most likely scenario, as far as I am concerned.

      4) Yes, you are hopeless optimist :-). Hydrogen is cheap. It's the storage of any significant quantity of it that is the major problem. It also has a fairly low energy density compared to gasoline, which means that you need more of it to go the same distance. But you can't store it well. Bummer.

    53. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Congrats, you're what's wrong with the world.

    54. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      OK, you're probably not going to like this, but I'll use Wikipedia because you used it. The reason I don't think you're going to like it is because it doesn't say what you claim it says.

      You have to skip the propaganda and go for the history. In particular the original report on the AVR. One thing was that the temperature was too high inside of the pebbles, and the thing might as well have blown up, spewing massive amounts of highly toxic radioactive waste. Also, the nastiness of granular media (a pebble bed) played out in full. Stuff just did not work as intended.

      In a PBR, if containment gets breached, air and hot graphite produce what I am sure is a nice to watch firework. With lots and lots of crap released.

      Can these problems be fixed? Might be. But why should we believe claims from an industry that is notorious mostly for not telling the truth?

      Third generation designs improve on early designs by incorporating passive or inherent safety features which require no active controls or (human) operational intervention to avoid accidents in the event of malfunction, and may rely on pressure differentials, gravity, natural convection, or the natural response of materials to high temperatures.

      Thing is - that's exactly what they said the other times!

    55. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, so, as a German of course, do you have any reason - other than pure wishful thinking - to suppose that the fundamental problems with renewable energy even CAN be solved by throwing more money at it and chanting incantations to the wizards of technology and to the great benevolent all-caring government?

      You got it backwards: Nuclear has fundamental problems: waste and safety. Renewables produce already as much elecricity in Germany as nuclear and have
      much smaller problems. It only has the problem, that is a little bit more expensive. But this problem has already nearly been optimized away by incremental
      improvements.

      The following are plain, unalterable FACTS. Wind is capricious and requires vast area to harness. Solar completely dies for 50% of every single day, has repeated extreme reductions for periods lasting from days to weeks, and requires vast areas to harness it. Both have extreme fluctuations which would require unimaginable storage capacity. Geothermal is only practical in very particular locations such as Iceland. Tidal and wave energy remains a completely impractical dream.

      Yes, nuclear as implemented to date has for the most part been screwed up. The solution is not to recoil in a knee jerk reaction, but to DO IT RIGHT. Uranium is a very limited resource, but thorium reserves are truly vast. Inherently passively safe designs are known for nuclear energy; USE THEM GODDAMIT. And, yes, do not abandon research and development of renewables, but let them compete on an even footing; don't put all your investment in them and pin all your hopes on them. In this matter as in all others, be RATIONAL.

      Well, nuclear has been scewing up for 50 years. Why spent even more money?
      The future will show that the Germans are quite rational.

    56. Re:Let me see... by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      That is only a solution in a dictatorship and not in a demogracy where about 90% of the voters are against it.

      I hereby invoke Sturgeons Law.

      In cases where the public is acting like an irrational animal, the role of government is to calm, educate, and guide - not to cave in to their slightest whim. If 90% of voters suddenly decided that slavery should be legal, I'd expect my government to do everything in it's power to put a stop to that.

    57. Re:Let me see... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      Any energy company that disagrees will get clobbered either through regulation or harmed by bad publicity. They can't appear to disagree.

      That's not how political negotiation works. I believe in the primacy of politics over economic actors, so I have no problem with the government telling industry to either sit down and negotiate in good faith or face being regulated without their input taken into consideration. The energy companies agreed to sit down and then negotiated over the outcome. Many of their demands were part of the reached agreement, so I really can't see the tyranny.

      We'll see if they still agree when a much friendlier administration comes in and allows new plant construction once again.

      That's what's happened in 2009 (no new construction, but longer lifetimes of existing plants), and the current administration got severely burned by it (loss of many major regional elections and one party is fighting to stay relevant). After Fukushima, there is no political party in Germany that is in favor of nuclear energy.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    58. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a German I think it's the perfect time to ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source.

      See, this, right here, is why anyone with a halfway-useful education immediately laughs at the green movement. You honestly seem to think that tossing a few billion dollars at a bunch of scientists will result in some magical doohickey which produces limitless energy with no environmental impact or risk to the public. Technology doesn't work that way. Improvements don't scale that way. You may as well suggest prayer; it's just as likely to produce the desired result.

      Hmm... I have a degree in electrical engineering and I don't laugh at the green movement. In fact, I have joined it.

      It's not just about "tossing a few billion dollars at a bunch of scientists". It is about investing in R&D. How are we going to improve technology if not through investment?

      I agree with you that improving technology is only part of the solution, but it is an important part. And I don't think anyone is suggesting "limitless energy with no environmental impact". That is simply a straw man you have built yourself.

      Everyone has known that the nuclear power plants have a limited lifetime. But what was the solution: just extend the lifetime.

      No, the solution is to build new, safer, more efficient, more powerful nuclear plants. Relying on 50 year old designs is almost as retarded as deciding to ditch nuclear entirely.

      One alternative is to continue to improve and build newer nuclear plants. But the decision made by Germany supports the opinion that no matter how much we improve nuclear generation, the problems presented by the waste they generate and the risks of malfunction are too large. As well, building new nuclear plants is not cheap either.

    59. Re:Let me see... by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

      "Oil is likely to run out or become very expensive during the next few decades, if plug in hybrids and electric cars is the most likely replacement for gasoline ( and it seems to be the case at the moment ) then much more electricity will be needed."

      Sounds plausible, but essentially that is misleading/wrong. See:
          http://www.evnut.com/gasoline_oil.htm
      "How much electricity does it take to make a gallon of gasoline? We don't know - but here's one stab at it. Ballpark figures only, and NOT a supportable conclusion. The most important message to take away is that it is not trivial! This part of gasoline is ignored by the folks who are concerned about the big impact on our electrical grid if we were to suddenly shift all transportation from gasoline to electricity.
      To extract one gallon of gasoline (or equivalent distillate): 9.66 kWh (maybe not all in the form of electricity*)
      To refine that gallon: 2.73 kWh additional energy (maybe not all in the form of electricity*)
      Total: 12.39 kWh per gallon.
      *Roughly one-third of the energy content of a gallon of gasoline produced from California wells is input from natural gas. Less than 2/3's is net energy (probably a lot less!).
      So I can get 24 miles in my ICE on a gallon of gasoline, or I can get 41 miles (at 300wh/mile) in my RAV4EV just using the energy to refine that gallon. Alternatively - energy use (electricity and natural gas) state wide goes DOWN if a mile in a RAV4EV is substituted for a mile in an ICE!"

      This is all part of why, to lower our taxes: "Why luxury safer electric cars should be free-to-the-user "
      http://groups.google.com/group/openmanufacturing/browse_thread/thread/6cdc99eaaba91855/09eb7f4c973349f2?hl=en#09eb7f4c973349f2

      --
      A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
    60. Re:Let me see... by jiriki · · Score: 1

      So let me get this right. Your country has spent considerable money already over decades and you have yet to come up with a sustainable and green energy source?

      But we have http://www.supersmartgrid.net/2010/03/policy-roadmap-to-2050-a-100-renewable-electricity-supply-for-europe-and-north-africa-is-possible/

      Why do you want to give them more money?

      To actually build the stuff?

    61. Re:Let me see... by dcollins · · Score: 1

      "High prices will provide all the pressure you want here and you don't even have to lift a finger to make it happen."

      Or possibly more pressure to go to war and secure someone else's resources, in a continuation of short-term thinking. Or a score of other possibilities. The "invisible hand of the market" is just mythology/propaganda.

      --
      We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    62. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a Tiger Mother, I will take these billions of dollars and teach YOU to come up with a solution to our green energy needs! And don't you DARE *NOT* come up with a solution, you worthless piece of sh*t!! :-)

      (I wonder why most self-proclaimed "greens" don't see the fallacy in their argument, which basically is: "money in, miracle solution out". Nobody seems to care about physics, cost, especially opportunity cost, and the overall effect on welfare. Creating jobs is easy. Creating welfare-generating jobs is not.)

      And didn't I read a spanish paper some time ago finding that for every new job in the green sector, 2.2 jobs are lost in the overall economy? Yes I did.

      Have you ever been to a German "Green Party" assembly on a local level? Where liberal arts students, housewifes, history teachers and every whacko in the world ("Why do rich people get to pay the same prices at the grocery store?") meet...

    63. Re:Let me see... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Pebble bed is a quick-and-dirty solution. It can be made safe enough (Germany had problems with an _experimental_ reactor).

      There are other solutions: IFRs, thorium reactors, CANDU, etc. There's no shortage of designs, actually. Some of them are being built, for a fraction of price that goes towards 'green' incentives in Germany alone.

    64. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      Pebble bed is a quick-and-dirty solution. It can be made safe enough (Germany had problems with an _experimental_ reactor).

      Actually, they also had problems with the production model. Also, the designers of the experimental plant were THOROUGHLY CONVINCED that there weren't going to be any problems whatsoever. But there were. This, and many similar incidents prove that you cannot trust designers of nuclear plants.

      There are other solutions: IFRs, thorium reactors, CANDU, etc. There's no shortage of designs, actually. Some of them are being built, for a fraction of price that goes towards 'green' incentives in Germany alone.

      That's an accounting trick. It involves not paying insurance, because nobody would insure the kinds of risks in these designs. Also, you haven't factored in the costs of managing the waste for a couple of millennia.

    65. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      The "invisible hand of the market" is just mythology/propaganda.

      Or we could just observe a market in action and dispense with the "mythology/propaganda" nonsense.

    66. Re:Let me see... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      There were two reactors AVR and THTR-300. AVR was a prototype built in 1966 and worked for 20 years, producing electricity. Problems were found only during its decommissioning (quite significant ones, sure). THTR-300 was essentially yet another prototype reactor - it used thorium instead of uranium. And had a lot of flaws because of it.

      But even with these flaws the inherent safety of pebble bed reactors was not in question.

    67. Re:Let me see... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Oh, by the way.

      Natural gas power plants have insurance against global warming effects, do they?

      It's kinda dishonest to compare dirty fossil fuels with uninsured and unpaid externalities and essentially self-contained nuclear power.

    68. Re:Let me see... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Do you think Klaus Traube had no halfway-useful education?

      He thinks your proposal to build new nuclear power plants is retarted. And he should know, since he is definitely not an armchair nuclear engineer.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    69. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, so, as a German of course, do you have any reason - other than pure wishful thinking - to suppose that the fundamental problems with renewable energy even CAN be solved by throwing more money at it and chanting incantations to the wizards of technology and to the great benevolent all-caring government?

      Listen to yourself. Who is talking about "chanting incantations"? Who has suggested anything about a "great benevolant all-caring government"?

      If you want to be taken seriously, you should treat others with respect and not resort to sarcasm.

      The following are plain, unalterable FACTS. Wind is capricious and requires vast area to harness it. Solar completely dies for 50% of every single day, has repeated extreme reductions for periods lasting from days to weeks, and requires vast areas to harness it. Both have extreme fluctuations which would require unimaginable storage capacity. Geothermal is only practical in very particular locations such as Iceland. Tidal and wave energy remains a completely impractical dream.

      What you name are barriers, yes, but they are not insurmountable. If everyone had the frame of mind you have, we would not have the internet, we would not have roads criss-crossing every continent, etc.

      Many renewable energy sources are intermittent. This can be dealt with through storage -- which is not unimaginable simply because you cannot imagine it. For example, pump-storage hydro is a technology currently in use to even output of intermittent sources. Compressed air could also be a solution. Batteries could be another (perhaps using the batteries in people's electric cars).

      Yes, nuclear as implemented to date has for the most part been screwed up. The solution is not to recoil in a knee jerk reaction, but to DO IT RIGHT. Uranium is a very limited resource, but thorium reserves are truly vast. Inherently passively safe designs are known for nuclear energy; USE THEM GODDAMIT. And, yes, do not abandon research and development of renewables, but let them compete on an even footing; don't put all your investment in them and pin all your hopes on them. In this matter as in all others, be RATIONAL.

      Many people have been arguing for a long time that nuclear generation is unsafe and should not be used. The fact that it took a third major breakdown of a nuclear facility in about as many decades to compel Germany's present government to proceed with this policy mainly speaks to the foibles of governing a large population. It says nothing about the rational arguments that have been made against nuclear power for a long time.

      All you have done in your post is demonstrate that what you lack in imagination and ability to listen you make up for in ideology and passion.

    70. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > So let me get this right. Your country has spent considerable money already over decades and you have yet to come up with a sustainable and green energy source? Why do you want to give them more money?

      Your country has spent considerable money over decades in nuclear research, still in the last 30years no new reactor has been built, and there is no nuclear waste storage.

      > So why use government to "pressure" what's going to happen anyway?

      Why? Remember what happened with the US car industry the last time the oil price went up? What do you think will happen to the US industry, if energy prices take real hike? Most companies don't look further than the next quarter.

    71. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So basically unless they overturn this decision it seems likely that Germany will end up importing
      electricity or making themselves reliant on Russian natural gas. This is what happens when you make
      policy based on populism and wishful thinking rather than reality.

      Nuclear energy was immensly unpopular in Germany even before Fukushima and already in 2002 it was decided to end the use of nuclear energy within 20 years. So in a way the fact that Germany is phasing out nuclear energy is not new at all. Even the current conservative government, which changed the relevant laws in 2010 to extend the use of nuclear energy until about 2030, did stick to the original decision to eventually discontinue its use. At the moment it would be close to political suicide for chancellor Merkel not to quit nuclear energy.

      In the last two state elections the green party won between 20% and 25% of the votes. After the election in the state of Baden-Württemberg in March the green party even managed to lead a coalition government which it formed together with the social democrats. This particular state will have the first green party governor (Ministerpräsident) in Germany ever after 57 years of continuous conservative governments. I don't call this populism, I think it is called democracy.

      With respect to the wishful thinking part: It will undoubtedly be possible to discontinue the use of nuclear energy. The question ist how many new coal fired power plants have to be built instead and how much energy can be genereated through alternative sources (FYI in 2010 16.8% of all electricity consumed in Germany was genereated through renewable means). Germany has enough coal for the next 200 years. The acid rain problem has been solved in the 90s and as the consensus on slashdot seems to be that global warming is not caused by CO2 this may not be a problem at all ;-).

      Maybe it does not work and we end up buying electricity generated in french and czech nuclear power plants, but maybe this will not be necessary. We'll see ..... .

    72. Re:Let me see... by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Do you think Klaus Traube had no halfway-useful education?

      Naw, I just think he's an idiot. There's a handful in every field. Observe:

      http://www.ae911truth.org/
      http://www.pilotsfor911truth.org/
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Scientific_Dissent_From_Darwinism

      'nuff said.

    73. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a Dutchman I would like to congratulate you with the course of action your country is taking. Unfortunately our politicians are owned by the energy industry so we will never see any meaningful action from them.

    74. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are the Germans. If there is something which can only be solved by a multitude of clever, innovative engineering solutions, there is no nation on earth that is better up to the task.
      And you will eventually pay us a shitload of money for it.

    75. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      Natural gas power plants have insurance against global warming effects, do they?

      No, they don't. But in civilized countries, the operators get heavily taxed because of this. Anyway, what exactly is your point?

      It's kinda dishonest to compare dirty fossil fuels with uninsured and unpaid externalities

      I don't understand your sentence. How are dirty fossil fuels supposed to be like unpaid and uninsured externalities? And who is making that comparison?

      I presume you mean, how dare I call bullshit to your "low cost" claim, even if it is just that, bullshit? I am not claiming gas is good, I'm saying that nuclear is not the alternative. And that your "low cost" claim is just an accounting fraud.

      essentially self-contained nuclear power.

      Saying nuclear is "self-contained" is just a blatant lie. Self contained perhaps if you look at a given year of operation, but certainly not on the long rung, and not at all if something bad happens.

    76. Re:Let me see... by russotto · · Score: 1

      One of the funniest things about this type of discussion is that nobody talks about phasing out personal vehicles (i.e. cars) and going for mass mass transportation ("mass" repeated intentionally). That is the most likely scenario, as far as I am concerned.

      A lot of people talk about it, only True Believers think it's desirable.

    77. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, now the alternative energy sources sucks ass, but wait until we transfer some billions for R&D.

      That opinion seems to be creepily common here in Germany (except, of course, among the tiny fraction of the population that actually know anything about power generation). Nobody wants to reduce power consumption, i.e. by heavy taxes on electricity. Nobody wants to build more coal power plants. All they want is for nuclear to go away, and then the problem will magically fix itself.

    78. Re:Let me see... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Oh, so Germany is uncivilized. Great, that explains it. Thanks! Current CO2 taxes in European countries are nothing. They are a laughingstock.

      You demand for nuclear power to be insured against the possible radiation leaks. But at the same time you should demand that fossil fuel powerplants should be held accountable for the global warming because right now fossil power plants are essentially free to emit CO2.

      Realistically, if REAL carbon tax is imposed then fossil fuel powerplants won't be cost-effective. But we need power right now, so we let it slide.

      "Saying nuclear is "self-contained" is just a blatant lie. Self contained perhaps if you look at a given year of operation, but certainly not on the long rung, and not at all if something bad happens."

      So are ALL other types of energy production. And your point is...?

    79. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Your country has spent considerable money over decades in nuclear research, still in the last 30years no new reactor has been built, and there is no nuclear waste storage.

      So my fellow citizens and I should continue to give the US government money for zero results, right?

      Why? Remember what happened with the US car industry the last time the oil price went up?

      Yes, they lost market share to car businesses that did produce fuel efficient cars. Same thing happened in the 70s. I'm all for it.

      What do you think will happen to the US industry, if energy prices take real hike?

      They'll adapt quickly or they'll go out of business.

      Most companies don't look further than the next quarter.

      And how are we going to change that if government pampers all the short-sighted companies at the expense of the far-sighted ones? I see these energy and transportation infrastructure changes as an opportunity to cull the weak businesses. A business that fails to prepare will go bankrupt and its parts will be sold to companies which figured out how to make the transition.

      Your observations are interesting, but they don't change my fundamental views. The underlying problem is simply that I don't think it is a valid use of government to hide fundamental problems in the economy from the people and businesses who make up that economy.

      Ever since the Great Depression, the US has, for the most part, enabled a system of bailouts of the "too big to fail" businesses and Keynesian recessionary spending. No attention has been paid to the moral hazard costs of doing so. I think the end result has been the creation of a vast sea of incompetent and inefficient businesses unable to properly compete in the global marketplace.

      The problem with government involvement in renewables is that it is the private world's responsibility to make the transition. Government can help in modest ways by establishing standards and modest regulations, for example, but it's foolish for a government to choose technologies and winners since they have conflicts of interest and ignorance to deal with.

    80. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      The reason is to get ahead of the curve. If you are not ahead of the curve, the switch will be much more painful because it will be a panic for everyone to switch over in a short time span. This way, Germany can switch on its own terms and it can benefit by selling the technology to the laggards once they are eventually forced to switch.

      So what's the problem? I'm all for panics, recessions, and other harmful economic climates because they separate the wheat from the chaff. Energy infrastructure transitions are just another temporary shock, once past it, the surviving companies will be stronger and better able to compete. In my view, transitions should be untidy at the social level.

      And I don't mind Germany reaping the benefits of being a technology leader just as I don't mind them losing money for acting hasty. Rewards and penalties for making decisions are a natural part of a functioning economy.

    81. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      You demand for nuclear power to be insured against the possible radiation leaks.

      They are called nuclear accidents. They involve sudden evacuation of large areas possibly with a huge economic (not to mention human) impact. In particular in densely populated areas. Please stop belittling it.

      "Saying nuclear is "self-contained" is just a blatant lie. Self contained perhaps if you look at a given year of operation, but certainly not on the long rung, and not at all if something bad happens."

      So are ALL other types of energy production. And your point is...?

      It is you who claimed that nuclear is self contained. My point is that you, who know better, are lying. I really would like to know why. Why are you so attached to that technology? It is scary.

    82. Re:Let me see... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      And global warming will cause increase in extreme weather events, that involve sudden evacuation of large areas possibly with a huge economic (not to mention human) impact. In particular in densely populated areas. Please stop belittling it.

      "It is you who claimed that nuclear is self contained. My point is that you, who know better, are lying. I really would like to know why."

      No. I'm telling that for most practical purposes nuclear power is self-contained. It's not perfectly self-contained (nothing is), but is close enough.

      "Why are you so attached to that technology? It is scary."

      Because there's no alternative. And denying it guarantees that we'll head hit the worst GW projections.

    83. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      I am not belittling anything. It is you who are belittling things.

      "Why are you so attached to that technology? It is scary."

      Because there's no alternative. And denying it guarantees that we'll head hit the worst GW projections.

      There's plenty of alternatives. You are just completely blind to them. Come on, use your imagination!

      * How about huge solar arrays in Saudi Arabia. Will that not work? Who says the Germans have to produce their electricity in Germany. They don't do it with oil.

      * How about reducing consumption?

      * And, since you are such a fan of nuclear energy. How about actually changing the ways of the nuclear industry, convince it to stop lying like mad, and actually come up with truly safe designs, plus a solution to the waste problem? And, importantly, INVOLVING THE PUBLIC IN THE PROCESS.

      Given the way nuclear energy fans behave, the last one is the most unlikely to work.

    84. Re:Let me see... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Because consensus is often made by ruthelessly crushing other points of view.

      (Participate in certain kinds olf political activity or traditional conflict resolution and you get pretty disgustred with the idea of consensus).

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    85. Re:Let me see... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      There are no alternatives which can scale.

      1) Solar panels won't work. They are too expensive, unless a breakthrough happens - there are some hints that it might happen, but nothing definite so far. Also, strong periodicity and possibility of wide-spread fluctuations make solar unsuitable for baseload.

      2) Solar thermal is possible, but waaay too expensive. It has all the disadvantages of solar (diffuse energy, fluctuations) and thermal power plants (costly generating equipment). Contrary to popular beliefs, solar thermal does not automatically allow to store heat for 'rainy days'. And molten salt heat storage is way too expensive.

      3) Reduced consumption is a non-starter. Consumption WILL grow, because of electric automobiles, third-world countries (which are the main source of growth, btw) and so on.

      Nuclear industry is incredibly open. You can fairly easily obtain most technical specs for powerplants, industrial processes, evaluations of safety, etc.

      And there are intrinsically safe reactor designs. Like pebble bed reactors which are meltdown-safe. Or new CANDU reactors which can be passively cooled in case of cooling system failures. Or IFRs and continuous burning wave reactors. There are lots of designs, but very little of real development. For several reasons: NIMBY is one of them, then there's the high financial risk of failure. And nuclear power subsidies are actually minuscule compared to alternative energy, if one compares it on per-MWh basis.

      And there's no real waste problem. You might have heard that all the high-level waste after reprocessing would only take the size of one football field and about 1 meter deep.

    86. Re:Let me see... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      That can only happen if there is a serious power inbalance. I'm not saying that the government and the nuclear industry are equals (of course not, because politics has primacy), but the nuclear industry has significant clout and strong allies. Sorry, I just can't see how they were "crushed".

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    87. Re:Let me see... by CKW · · Score: 1

      I'm on your side, I am, but I'm seeing more and more things that make me think the Germans do in fact know what they're talking about. (Hey, they've always been good with technology and engineering).

      > Wind .. requires vast area to harness it.

      Have you taken a train ride across Germany any time in the past 5 years? Their countryside is jam packed with 2MW windmills. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_Germany

      > Solar ...requires vast areas to harness it.

      http://imgur.com/nu9D7 and they're installing 7GW more each year.

      Are you sure they can't use natural gas to backfill? Russia provides huge amounts of it to Europe...

    88. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      Nuclear industry is incredibly open.

      Whoa. That is so completely and utterly wrong. As in: not true by a long shot. Where did you just pull that out from? They keep smokescreening, lying, covering up, etc. That's not open.

      And there's no real waste problem. You might have heard that all the high-level waste after reprocessing would only take the size of one football field and about 1 meter deep.

      High-level meaning what? And what about the rest? Given your record, and that of the industry, the "medium level" waste is very likely to be compeltely scary poisonous stuff that's going to remain active for a million of years. And in copious amounts.

      And all that after granting that tale about the high level waste.

    89. Re:Let me see... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      But the nuclear industry isn't part of the consensus - if there is any "consensus" it is in the political parties and the population.

      Try defending nuclear power in a "green" party - you'll be treated like a paedophile and either shut up or quit. The "consensus" will be preserved.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    90. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "invisible hand of the market" is just mythology/propaganda.

      I can only presume that you've never actually seen a market. The 'invisible hand of the market' is as directly observable as much of science... say, evolution. It takes a lot of pre-existing bias to deny it.

    91. Re:Let me see... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      You're going in circles. I've already established that the nuclear industry was at the negotiation table where the concensus was reached. They signed their names under the agreement, so they can't claim now that they did not agree with what was decided.

      And simply signing it to bide their time (as you or others have suggested) is not in their interest either. (1) I simply don't find it believable, because the nuclear industry is quite strong itself and has powerful allies. (2) It means they didn't act in good faith, thus the government will have less incentive to negotiate with them in the future. (3) In any case, as a strategy it didn't work, because the nuclear industry tried to renege on the reached deal in 2009/2010 (with a complicit government) and it turned out to be a disaster to all parties involved.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    92. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rational?

      1) The Fukushima desaster is only the last of many incidents showing, that humans cannot build any technological system completely fail-safe. How many people were diligently working to bring the space shuttle safely into space and back? Then why did they lose 2 of 5 crafts due to minor (technical) problems?

      2) Incident report from all over the world show, that there are many more ways a nuclear reactor can critically fail than are documented in the manuals. A technology that depends on the perfect behavior of human beings, machinery and nature WILL fail some day with 100% probability.

      3) IF a nuclear power plant in central Europe would fail like Three Mile Island, Czernobyl or Fukushima Daiichi, it would kill many more people as well as the EU economy. Ask the insurance company's about the estimated costs and why no nuclear plant has a proper insurance.

      4) 30,000 people in Germany are directly or indirectly employed in the nuclear industry. In the last 10-15 years, more than 300,000 jobs have been created in the renewable energy industry.

      5) German industry makes it's money with high-tech export. Renewable energy today IS high-tech. It's material science, chemistry, IT and much more. Furthermore, it can be sold without the problems of nuclear proliferation, anti-terror-protection, etc.

    93. Re:Let me see... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      I worked on a nuclear power plant last year (well, actually on two powerplants). You won't believe the amount of paperwork that follows ANYTHING and most of this paperwork can (and is) inspected by the IAEA. As for lying and misrepresenting, well, no industry is blameless. Personally, I don't think additional oversight will help. Right now we need additional incentives to abandon old reactors and build new ones.

      "High-level meaning what?"

      Waste containing high concentrations of long-lived (with half-life of hundreds to thousands of years) radioactive isotopes. The 'scary stuff' that will be radioactive for geological timeframes. IAEA has a definition somewhere on their site, but I'm too lazy right now.

      "And what about the rest? Given your record, and that of the industry, the "medium level" waste is very likely to be compeltely scary poisonous stuff that's going to remain active for a million of years. And in copious amounts."

      No. Medium-level waste is usually steel/concrete contaminated with cesium, strontium and trace amounts of other stuff. It's uneconomical to reprocess it, so right now it's usually simply stored. In a couple hundreds of years it'll be safe enough - long-lived isotopes won't be gone but there's not that much of them.

      My opinion: just fucking dump it into deep-ocean trenches.

    94. Re:Let me see... by devent · · Score: 1

      What wealthier time in the future? If you are China, India and Brazil maybe. If we don't start now to invest in new technology there will be no wealthier time. All the western countries have already a very low economic grow. What do you think will happen with the price of gas and oil in 30 years if China, India and Brazil will get a living standard like Europe?

      I think you don't understand that there is a difference in short time profits and long time development. If all would think like you, we would still have horses and steam trains. Why should be invest in new technologies if the old ones are good, just extend the current infrastructure. Or rather, we wouldn't have even steam trains. Because all the trains and highways are developed directly or indirectly by the governments.

      --
      http://www.mueller-public.de - My site http://www.anr-institute.com/ - Advanced Natural Research Institute
    95. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except you can make those items out of sequestered CO2 and/or plants. It just requires enough energy that at current energy and oil prices it is significantly cheaper to drill for oil. To continue our current standard of living without oil, we definitely need a cheaper energy source (or collection of sources) than we currently use, but don't pretend it is impossible.

    96. Re:Let me see... by jonwil · · Score: 1

      Such labeling doesn't exist around here (but it should)

    97. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      What wealthier time in the future?

      [...]

      All the western countries have already a very low economic grow.

      The point is that everyone is growing wealthier, including the western countries with moderately lower but significant economic growth.

      I think you don't understand that there is a difference in short time profits and long time development. If all would think like you, we would still have horses and steam trains. Why should be invest in new technologies if the old ones are good, just extend the current infrastructure. Or rather, we wouldn't have even steam trains. Because all the trains and highways are developed directly or indirectly by the governments.

      The old technologies of horse and steam engine wouldn't have been competitive unlike the current situation where the old technologies are actually superior in performance and logistics to the new technologies.

    98. Re:Let me see... by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Seriously, that's not an answer.

      "...ditch the nuclear power and finally invest some of the billions of moneys that the electric cooperations taking and come up with a sustainable and green energy source..."

      So let me see, your solution is "switch off those nasty nuclear power plants, and then spend billions fishing around in our ass for an alternative".

      Thank god people like you aren't in charge. It's really easy to coach the game from the cheap seats. The grandparent poster listed the REALITIES of the various power techs today. To replace current nuclear, you need an alternative now, not one you "hope" to find sometime in the future.

      --
      -Styopa
    99. Re:Let me see... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The point is that there are other technologies which solve the CO2 problem without investments as costly as going all-electrical on vehicles, and without sacrificing many existing benefits - biodiesel, for example.

    100. Re:Let me see... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      He didn't say the voters should be ignored. If German citizens want to burn coal in their backyard and/or have to rely on Russian gas for the coming years, more power to them. He's just pointing out the silliness of such a choice.

    101. Re:Let me see... by Falconhell · · Score: 1

      "See, this, right here, is why anyone with a halfway-useful education"

      Ah so anyone who doesnt agree with your nuclear sycophancy needs to be educated.

      The post you replied to was from an intelligent well educated person, who made a lot of sense.

      You on the other hand.....just cant accept that apart form vested interests with a profit motive the public clearly dont want nuclear power. You can gnash your teeth and shout and scream but you wont change that.

    102. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More free market BS...

      Yes, the market will force people to switch. It will hurt the poor and young people hard at first, which you won't care about.

      Then prices will start to rise, which you will complain about, but do nothing to reduce your consumption.

      Then once there are hour long lines for gas at stations that have run out, then it is time to start working on the next 'new' technology... because it is that easy.

      --------------

      And Germany has more renewable energy generation than just about any similarly sized area in the US. I wish we had enough desire to use 80% renewable here in the US. I have done it, and it wouldn't be that hard if companies helped.

    103. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      It will hurt the poor and young people hard at first, which you won't care about.

      Why would it do that? They have less stuff to switch over. I see the big, transportation-dependent businesses, such as Coca Cola, being affected first.

      Then prices will start to rise, which you will complain about, but do nothing to reduce your consumption.

      Nope. It's not like gas hasn't risen sharply before and I haven't been exposed to this sort of scenario.

      Then once there are hour long lines for gas at stations that have run out, then it is time to start working on the next 'new' technology... because it is that easy.

      Why would gas run out at the new higher prices? Running out only happens if you force prices to stay low and ration gas instead.

      And Germany has more renewable energy generation than just about any similarly sized area in the US. I wish we had enough desire to use 80% renewable here in the US. I have done it, and it wouldn't be that hard if companies helped.

      Because it's not a good idea. You complained about poor and young people getting hurt because of rising gas prices. They'll get hurt as well by changing to 80% renewable, which also will raise transportation costs.

    104. Re:Let me see... by rmstar · · Score: 1

      I actually have a lot more sympathy for your position that you think. But the industry has to realize that it is special in many ways. Many of the things that happen with it just captivate the imagination of people in difficult ways.

      At least in Germany, the industry has done, politically, everything wrong it ever could do wrong. It has alienated way too many people, and it has lied more than once too many, and has been caught. The HTTR episode was really, really bad from a political point of view. The civil-war-like images of the Wackersdorf protests were also a public relations disaster of high order. Nuclear energy has the image of a dangerous and expensive technology that has been established by corruption and police brutality alone. Given all that has happened, you need to be very forgiving to see something else.

      There is the theory that Merkel, being involved in the Asse fiasco, having seen all the corruption and lies, has had enough herself and thus seized the first real opportunity that crossed her way to end the madness.

      It is nice that the IAEA looks at the paperwork, but they don't matter that much politically. It is the local comunities that should look at it. It is greenpeace that should look at it.

    105. Re:Let me see... by Shrike82 · · Score: 1
      So you're bashing the entire field of research because of problems with a SINGLE reactor that was experimental, and ceased operation over 20 years ago? What a sound and logical argument...

      Can these problems be fixed? Might be. But why should we believe claims from an industry that is notorious mostly for not telling the truth?

      The entire nuclear industry are liars? Wow, that's quite a claim. Hey, I heard that some politicians lie too, perhaps we should give up on centrally organised government...

      --
      You can advertise in this sig from as little as £99.99 a month!
    106. Re:Let me see... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      I'm totally realistic about nuclear - it's not going anywhere. A lot of countries will experience knee-jerk reaction and pull support from it. It's a political win right now: Greenpeace will be pacified, and new fossil fuel contracts can't hurt since a lot of governments are quite close with fossil energy lobby.

      And nobody is serious about CO2 reduction, of course.

    107. Re:Let me see... by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Ah so anyone who doesnt agree with your nuclear sycophancy needs to be educated.

      Correct.

      The post you replied to was from an intelligent well educated person, who made a lot of sense.

      Incorrect.

      You on the other hand.....just cant accept that apart form vested interests with a profit motive the public clearly dont want nuclear power.

      I can accept it just fine; you don't seem to understand that the public is retarded. Wether we're talking about acceptance of religion, "alternative medicine", psychics, UFO's, conspiracy theories, or fear of Nuclear power, vaccines, and GM food, "The Public" is completely clueless and deeply wrong.

      You can gnash your teeth and shout and scream but you wont change that.

      I don't need to change the minds of idiots - I only need to ignore them and work around them.

    108. Re:Let me see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So let me get this right. Your country has spent considerable money already over decades and you have yet to come up with a sustainable and green energy source? Why do you want to give them more money?

      Yes, we spent some money on renewable energy but it was much less than was spend on directly and indirectly subsidizing nuclear power plants. And look at the results!

      What needs to be done is:
      * updating the grid so all that energy generated from wind in the north and off shore in the north sea and the baltic sea can be transferred to the south and south west where the large energy consuming cities and industries are located. Also add some intelligence to it so not only power generation but also power consumption can be regulated (e.g. don't run your washing machine or charge your electric car (*1) at peak power consumption)
      * Adding storage capacity (known tech like pumping water power plants (that is: power plants that can pump water back into their reservoir if there is an energy surplus), and new tech like e.g. air pressure storage plants) to the grid to level out the uneven power generated by wind and solar power generators.
      * and of course: build more decentralized power plants like combined power and heat plants instead of just heating for houses, add solar powered heating to houses, improve insulation of houses (which could save around 40% of energy costs in Germany according to a recent study)

      I am not saying it will be easy but I am definitely sure it can be done. And if it can be done, Germany will do it.

      (Hey, this is probably the first time in my life that I feel proud to be a German. Interesting thought...)

      *1: Yes, I know, there aren't any. But there will be within the next 10 to 20 years.

    109. Re:Let me see... by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Waste isotopes have the nasty habit of leaching through the graphite - adding extra insulation makes it more expensive, and the yet unsolved problem of maintaining a homogenous reaction throughout the reactor, and reprocessing is a pain.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    110. Re:Let me see... by ista · · Score: 1

      Wind cannot contribute a majority of electricity generation out of load levelling concerns.

      Solar is prohibitively expensive and only does well in Germany due to strong economic incentives that
      would be very costly to scale. It also doesn't work during the night, and large scale energy storage is
      prohibitively expensive.

      Been there, done that :-)

      Back in 1995, Germany's nucler power plant operators turned ads in large newspapers stating that it is technically impossible and implausible to run more then 5% of electric energy using renewable energy. In 2000, the german government decided to promote renewables; this resulted in a dramatic tech improvement for e.g. solar and wind energy, prices for such energy plants did drop and are now pretty close to the same prices like other sources of energy. A new industry on renewable industry with thousands of jobs did arise.
      Now in 2010, roughly around 15% of germany's power originated in renewable energy. In January 2011, Spain even reached close to 50% by renewables (they do rely pretty much on wind energy). However, nuclear power plants can't be powered up and down that fast and often according to what's needed to support renewables and so in spain, a lot of wind energy plants are actually powered down just because the nuclear power plants can't handle dynamic load that well.

      There have been quite a few studies by independent parties, and basically all of them are now stating that it's possible for germany to reduce nuclear power to zero by further promoting renewables and suitable storage technologies. To do so within the next 10 years merely requires around 5% higher electricity prices and the revenues from inventing storage technologies and technical

      The issue of "non-storable" power is often quoted, so there are actually some ideas and projects in place. At one site in germany, wind energy is used to literally push air into underground caverns or pump water into an artificial lake. Once power is needed, the air or water are used to power generators. Of couse, the overall
      efficiency does drop and the storage capacity is usually limited to a few hours or up to a day or so.

      So People now start thinking about using renewable power to use electrolysis to seperate hydrogen from oxygen and mix the resulting hydrogen with carbondioxide to methane, which may be fed into the existing gas grid and used as "renewable" gas. Gas can be stored quite well and the full storage capacity of the german gas grid equals roughly around 3-4 months of electric power supply.
      Of course, efficiency to re-create electricity this way does drop to roughly 30%, but any energy used to support this process is actually renewable energy, so this won't hurt the environment and often this energy is "too much" for the power grid. So instead of powering down wind energy, you may also spend the "extra" wind energy on creating "renewable gas", which may be stored and later used to supply a gas power plant which re-creates electricity on demand.

    111. Re:Let me see... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yes, we spent some money on renewable energy but it was much less than was spend on directly and indirectly subsidizing nuclear power plants. And look at the results!

      So we should squander money on renewable energy because we squandered money on nuclear power? Is that supposed to make sense?

      (Hey, this is probably the first time in my life that I feel proud to be a German. Interesting thought...)

      Maybe you should feel that pride more often? There are an awful lot of chest-beaters out there with just as much claim to shame as Germany had at the end of the Second World War, but they don't feel it. Using the analogy of your funding argument above, maybe you shouldn't feel shame either.

    112. Re:Let me see... by sznupi · · Score: 1

      ...and you merely assume they would change the outcome of Fukushima much; where newer designs are being built, here and there, it's the old story of massive cost overruns (also, "efficient" and "powerful" are interwoven with costs not in inversely proportional) - at least there's no more "too cheap to meter" nonsense. And you ignore how much funds was funnelled over the decades also on this premise, also via warship propulsion or weapons (which arguably made the whole industry possible); how there are very few places which done comparable amount of research into new nuclear energy generation* research as DE (and how many issue they uncovered). You want to pump tons more funds towards this one which didn't quite deliver, while fixating on the alternatives (which I didn't even mention) which were hardly given a chance (world could slightly more interesting if, for one, we'd apply new-found science of aerodynamics a bit earlier to energy generation; heck, relying on coal was also largely a by-product of one war, large scale installations of this tape were practical due to strategic reasons)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  13. Then what ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How exactly do they intend to meet their power req after ?

  14. Not exactly well thought out... by Lifyre · · Score: 4, Interesting

    So their plan is to shutdown domestic nuclear power production without, from what I see, a corresponding increase in production from coal, gas, or "green" power sources. This means they'll be importing from places like France who are increasing their power production. While this is less of a concern now that they're all part of the warm and fuzzy EU brotherhood but Germany is handing the French (and any other country that will be doing the same, such as say the Netherlands) leverage in future negotiations.

    The only way I see this really working in the long term is if the EU becomes more of a Federalist system with the EU taking on the role of the Federal Government and the Member Nations taking on the role of the component states. Ultimately I think that may be a decent idea, obviously with more independence for the Member Nations than the states enjoy in the USA but with potential benefits. Keep in mind at this point it is purely idol speculation with no real knowledge on the issues this would generate or hurdles that would have to be jumped.

    --
    I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    1. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by The+Dawn+Of+Time · · Score: 1

      Yeah, centralize political power. That always works so well.

    2. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Nimey · · Score: 1

      INTERNET LIBERTARIAN SPOTTED.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    3. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Lifyre · · Score: 1

      Heh, of course it does! At least to an extent but the problem with people in power, especially centralized power, is that the people who have it always want more of it. The USA is/will be a perfect text book example of the slow erosion of distributed power by the central authorities gradually chipping away until there the Central Government and those that carry out the will of the Central Government.

      As I said there was no intellectual basis for my idea other than it is about the only way something like this makes sense. Having a higher ranking body that could intervene should France and Germany get pissy about electricity. I think it is honestly the next logical step for the EU anyway. They've already unified their currencies for the most part, they have what amounts to a full system of government, pretty much the only things left would be to unify infrastructure and military. The military is already at least partially unified through organizations such as NATO and the infrastructure is, if not unified, at least cooperative.

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    4. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by The+Dawn+Of+Time · · Score: 1

      Was that meant to be insulting? I can't determine.

      You'd be amazed how many people get my political leanings incorrect. You, for instance.

    5. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by The+Dawn+Of+Time · · Score: 1

      A simple, logical progression. What could go wrong? There's no way European leaders would ever go power-mad and ram the ship of state into the rocks, you're too sophisticated for that.

      Don't get me wrong, I firmly believe it's coming. It will probably even result in some benefit, initially. It just makes me shake my head when the historical lesson that massive centralization of power ALWAYS results in hardship is ignored.

      At least take the lessons of the US to heart - export as much of that hardship as possible.

    6. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You not seeing it does not mean it is not there. Plans for huge offshore wind power stations are underway, there are examples of communes of generating 100% (!) of their average annual energy demand through renewable energy sources. Renewable power stations are not used to their full capacities (temporarily shut down) because nuclear power plants cannot react quickly enough to sudden shifts in power demand, old wind turbines could be replaced with newer models - there is a huge potential that will be tapped into now that it must be done to meet the goal of a nuclear power end by 2022.

      What we do need is storage capacities, more flexible power plants, a more flexible grid and a renewed vigor in research in order to realise all that.

      I believe it to be possible and think it is worth the cost.

    7. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Nimey · · Score: 1

      If it quacks like a duck...

      It's like this guy I know who says he knows he comes across as a hardcore Republican, claims he isn't, and yet says things that such a person would say.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    8. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by protektor · · Score: 1

      Yes because central planning and overriding market forces has worked so well for so many countries in the past right? I mean you do have a country with central planning to hold up as a shinning beacon example for everyone to follow, right? Yes, Mao, Stalin, Hitler, Honecker all worked out such great economies. I guess Russia is a shinning example of central planning...well maybe not. Greece, Portugal and Spain who have central planning they have such strong and robust economies....we not exactly given how far in debt they are. So what exact was your point how central planning is great and the savour of countries? Hopefully you see how silly and uninformed your statement is now. You only need to look to history to see what has been tried and doesn't work. Central planning is one of those things that was tried and history shows us that it doesn't work. If you don't learn from the mistakes of history you are doomed to repeat them.

    9. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by protektor · · Score: 1

      Show me a single example of where this has worked out great and lead to an enconomic powerhouse or at least a great economy. I can point to dozens in history where it has always turned out very badly for everyone involved.

    10. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Nimey · · Score: 1

      How many Internet libertarians does it take to change a light bulb?

      None. The free market will take care of it.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    11. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, big centralised countries have never been successful. USA, China, USSR, British Empire, Rome... what did they ever do for us?

      We're all far better off squabbling and bitching at each other from tiny nationalistic little bastions, like in that intellectual golden age- the Middle Ages. That way lies progress!

    12. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Lifyre · · Score: 1

      That was kind of my point. The federalist system has worked out great for the USA until recently and I think it contributed directly to the economic success it has enjoyed but as the power gets more centralized you start seeing the cracks and paint pealing off the walls...

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    13. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Lifyre · · Score: 1

      Not to mention look at how well that worked out in the first half of the 1900's...

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    14. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Lifyre · · Score: 1

      See I didn't know that. Most of the people I knew in the EU have emigrated to the USA, Australia, or SE Asia for various reasons, none of which was directly governmental.

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    15. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Lifyre · · Score: 1

      I'm certainly not arguing about it worth being the cost, but as I said I hadn't seen plans to replace the power with something else. If there ARE plans then shutting down nuclear plants certainly makes sense if there can be viable, comparably priced (notice I didn't say cheaper), and more acceptable sources of power that will be online as the plants go offline.

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    16. Re:Not exactly well thought out... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      How about China, Singapore, Hong-Kong?

      They are/were not really centrally controlled economies, but they did (or still do) have very strong centrally planned component in their economy. So yeah, complete centralization doesn't work well. But a certain amount of centralized planning works quite well.

      As always, the dose makes the poison.

  15. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    These idiots know that it's just politicians talking bullshit. It's not the first time a German government agreed on plans to end nuke power. One of the following governments simply ignored these plans and did whatever the nuke lobby wanted.

    2022 is a long time away. By then the current concerns caused by Fukushima will be forgottten and corporations will have had enough time to bribe coming generations of politicians to delay/cancel the whole shebang once more.

    It's just the usual "pandering to voters today, forgotten tomorrow" political fraud.

  16. Concern by DaMattster · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Natural gas and coal-fired power plants are not responsible alternatives to nuclear energy. Nuclear power does not belch out carbon monoxide and green house gases. By eschewing nuclear energy and blanketing as unsafe without looking into the technical problems and improving them, we may be headed down a entirely different wrong path. It seems like politicians the world around are excellent at making "large strategic decisions" without a clear, viable alternative. What about nuclear fusion? Where are we in that development?

    1. Re:Concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear fusion is 20 to 40 years away. Just like it always was.

    2. Re:Concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear power does not belch out carbon monoxide and green house gases.

      Untrue! Ever wondered how the resource for nuclear power (Uranium) is actually coming into one of those reactors? By magic? Or mining it. It's floating right out of the ground and into the reactor, right? Also: The Uranium concentration is so high that virtually no ground has to be moved to get it out of the ground.

      Sheesh. Ignorance is bliss, I presume?

    3. Re:Concern by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Nuclear fusion is getting closer. However it is tied up in the ITER boondoggle. Where most of the boondoggle has to do with politics rather than physics or engineering.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    4. Re:Concern by Sprouticus · · Score: 1

      When the gas and coal become more scarce, the political economic and military implications of this are as bad as Fukishima.When your people are dying earlier due to lack of $$, when there is conflict with other countries (say when Russia turns off its gas pipeline), when you are importing energy from France, the impact on your country and culture are FAR worse in the long run.

      But people dont see that.

    5. Re:Concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about nuclear fusion? Where are we in that development?

      It's still as 20 years from today as it was 20 years ago :)
      Funnily enough, from the ITER site:
      If all goes well, DEMO [Demonstration Power Plant] will lead fusion into its industrial era, beginning operations in the early 2030s, and putting fusion power into the grid as early as 2040.

      So, realistically: not any decade now.

    6. Re:Concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What about nuclear fusion? Where are we in that development?

      The next generation experimental fusion reactor is currently under construction in south France. 10 years of construction, another 10 to 20 years of research. Next phase after that is building a demonstration power plant. When all that works and its proven that power can actually be delivered to the grid, then we can start building up infrastructure. Which will also take a few decades. Fusion is the future's power supply, but unfortunately we are living today and we desperately need something to tie us over.

      Oh, btw, because oil was so cheap in the 90's, nobody wanted to pay for fusion research. This delayed fusion research by about 10 years. What they are building right now in France is 10 years late and smaller than originally planned. yeah.... :(

      When I started studying physics at university, I was hopeful we could solve our problems. Now, 10 years later and after finishing my PhD (fusion related), I also understand economics, politics and human nature much better. We are fucked... I am running for the hills as soon as I can.

    7. Re:Concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear fusion? Same as it was back in the 70's... 10-50 years away and expensive as hell. The real question should be: Where would solar, wind, tidal, geothermal etc. solutions be by now if the resources that have been poured into the nuclear and fusion industries over the years been directed that way instead? Or, better yet: Where will they be in 10 years if the resources that are going to be poured into nuclear and fusion research be reallocated instead? I know, I know, much farther along, but still lacking that intangible orgasmic factor which seems to cause engineers here to jizz in their pants.... 'It's what happens in a star you know...' ...'we're so close, we just need a material that doesn't exist and it'll work...' ...'free power forever!'...

    8. Re:Concern by geoskd · · Score: 2

      Well, Gas and Coal (which are not the intended replacements) at least don't remain a deadly menace for ten times longer than man has walked this planet until now.

      I wouldn't be so sure about that. The last ice age lasted 10,000 years. Messing with our planet-wide climate without fully understanding it is like playing Russian roulette without even knowing how many bullets are in the gun. Radioactive waste is almost entirely a localized problem. Even putting 100 tons of highly radioactive debris into the atmosphere at Chernobyl, and detonating however many hundreds of nuclear weapons in the last 5 decades, didn't really affect 99+% of the population of the planet. Fossil Fuels, however have had a demonstrable affect. As with all things technology, Nuclear power will get safer as it gets more mature. All of the planet-wide renewables together are not up to the task of replacing fossil fuels. Only Nuclear can handle the workload. Anyone who believes otherwise is encourage to do the math themselves. Figure out how much raw materials are needed for each of the renewable energy sources / MWH, do the math and you will discover that the raw materials are not available to make solar work. There are not enough workable locations for wind or tidal/wave generators, and Bio requires entirely too much of the earths surface in competition with food sources. Together, they might just be up to the task of replacing Today's *electricity* demand, but when you add in the energy consumed by transportation, its goodnight nurse. Then add in 5% growth in demand for the next 30 years while you build all of the alternative energy sources, and you're once again 75% short of the mark.

      Geoskd

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    9. Re:Concern by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      France imports about 12,400 tonnes of uranium oxide a year(*), Sounds like a lot of mining eh? Do you have any idea how much coal would have to be mined to produce the same amount of electricity?

      It's peanuts.

      ((*) yes, more has to be dug out to get the 12,400 tonnes, but the point still stands).

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    10. Re:Concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >What about nuclear fusion? Where are we in that development?

      ITER is slowly being built as a scaling up of the tokamak. It may not necessarily be the preferred design so there really should be a similar effort to investigate larger stellarators, spherical tokamaks, high field devices ... In conjunction with all of these, the plasma/material interface will require significant engineering research which will require a facility designed to test the first surface materials and blankets. There doesn't seem to be an adequate level of commitment for achieving these goals. The science is progressing but not very quickly. China seems to have a focused fusion program and is bringing up new medium scale machines and educating a new generation of scientists. The US tends to upgrade old machines and without further investment in hardware and education will be forced to collaborate in the experiments in other countries and be an exporter of theoretical and computational expertise by their graying population of scientists. IMHO.

    11. Re:Concern by protektor · · Score: 1

      You sure about that? You sure that the damage done to the environment by coal mining and coal power plants is not worse than nuclear power? You might want to check out exactly what living around a coal mine is like and what it does to the environment. You might want to see the damage that coal plants do to the environment around them and that is when they are operating without any issues. The damage that coal does is just as long term damaging as what nuclear power accidents do, only coal does it when everything is working correctly. When it isn't working correctly it gets even worse. You need to look at coal production in China and see how much damage they do which is far worse than any nuclear power plant disaster. Here is just one example and this happens far more often than most people know.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centralia,_Pennsylvania
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coal_power_in_the_People's_Republic_of_China

      Coal is nasty yet one of the most common forms of power in use. Before you go after Nuclear Power plants perhaps you might want to look at the issues with coal.

    12. Re:Concern by protektor · · Score: 1

      Don't tell me your one of those global warming..oh wait...climate change, or whatever they are calling themselves this week, people. I am hardly worried about a 0.6C increase in temperature over 50-60 years. I do not trust the scientist who screamed in the 70's that we were headed for an Ice Age and the same ones now screaming we are headed for global warming when they have been found to be screwing with all the climate databases across the world. Even NASA admits scientist screwed with their climate databases and they are worthless. NOAA is the only one who might have a good database of climate data but they have also announced that they have found problems with their own database as well, no idea how sever it is. I am also not worried when it was hotter in the middle ages than it is today.

      Comeback when there is real science that hasn't screwed with the databases. Let me know when they don't find serious problems with their statistical models like the hockey graph model that produces a hockey graph no matter what random data you put in it. Let me know when the scientist aren't under legal investigate and then I might believe some of it. Let me know when they stop admitting they lied or exaggerated their claims and data which the scientists admit they did with their UN reports for the IPCC.

      Until then this whole idea of global warming and climate changes falls into the category of voodoo science that is driven more by political manoeuvring, and pure greed for the money from a carbon exchange market that isn't needed or required.

    13. Re:Concern by 12dec0de · · Score: 1

      Thank you for listing more reasons to use not to use either fosil nor nuclear fuels.

      I live within a tidal zone that is feeling the climate change right now. We have had higher and higher storm tides for the last 100 years. Blasting GHGs into the athmosphere does not make it better.

      Pointing at Centralia as an argument in favor of using nuclear power is Insanity.

    14. Re:Concern by geoskd · · Score: 1

      So, you're saying that you're willing to gamble the relatively well understood consequences of nuclear disasters with the highly unknown consequences of global warming and air pollution? I would humbly suggest that continuing to burn fossil fuels is the greater of the two evils and that we should move towards nuclear fast. It's entirely possible that we have already pulled the trigger that will kill billions of people, but its also possible we haven't, or there never was a trigger to pull. We simply don't know yet. To put the risk of nuclear in perspective, Chernobyl has been estimated to have killed 5000 people all told. Even if that is off by a factor of ten, compare it to the roughly 50,000 people killed in car crashes in the U.S. last year alone. The risks of nuclear are well understood, and significantly lower than your daily commute, even with the lax safety that was the old soviet union. The risks of fossil fuels are not well understood at all (some are: air pollution, and acid rain). Any businessman would tell you that's an easy choice, and nobody but a true gambling addict would take the bet when the odds are not clear, but that is what you would sign us all up for... If you don't think that the stuff being put out by burning fossil fuels is generally bad, then I propose we hook up your exhaust pipe to your household air ducts and you can breathe what you're spouting. I would simply ask: "who's the nut-job?"

      Geoskd

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    15. Re:Concern by EvilAlphonso · · Score: 1

      Funny how it applies both ways: Fusion misses that intangible orgasmic factor which seems to cause ecologists to jizz in their pants "it's what's coming from the stars you know..." "we're so close, we just need a material that doesn't exist and it will be economically feasible" "free clean power forever! never mind the pollution caused by the mining of the required rare earth minerals or the energy storage problems".

      For what it is worth, in this little German town that switched to 100% renewable a few years ago we now have a big problem... this season has way more sunshine that usual (not complaining about it) but far less wind and precipitations than usual for the season. The river is actually 4' lower than it normally is, so the 3 hydro stations are producing far less than they should. A lot of wind turbines have also been mostly idle this season, not by planning. We now have to import energy. Which is why having all your energy coming from a single local basket is begging for trouble.

      It would be nice if we could have a smart grid where the overproduction from one locality can be used in another locality. However, this is not going to happen as far as the German green party and the NIMBY lot are concerned. They don't want a new grid, they don't want extensions of the current grid... last month, the government received the summary of all the complaints collected for the construction of the grid that would connect the planned off-shore wind farm to the rest of Germany: just the title of each complaint made the report 3500 pages long. They may have to do the same thing they did for the farm itself, give one entity the power to rubber-stamp the project against any opposition.

      PS: I'm all for renewable energy where and when it makes sense... solar thermal for hot water is available, actually works and pays for itself in the first couple of years.

    16. Re:Concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about nuclear fusion? Where are we in that development?

      50 years away.

    17. Re:Concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To be fair, modern coal and gas power plants do not belch out CO, and if they did, it wouldn't really matter (CO is dangerous because it's an asphyxiant, not because it's toxic, and it is highly reactive anyway, so doesn't hang around long).

      There are even pretty good (although somewhat expensive) ways to deal with the sulfur that causes acid rain and the radioactive and toxic heavy metals in fly ash. We're doing some of those in the developed world. Unfortunately, we are letting a lot of fly ash pile up and it's causing damage from time to time.

      What we can't do is change the huge amount of material we have to mine or drill for to produce energy. The energy density of nuclear is the key logistical advantage that gets ignored. We're talking about orders of magnitude.

    18. Re:Concern by smithmc · · Score: 1

      What about nuclear fusion? Where are we in that development?

      It's only thirty years away... just like it was thirty years ago.

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
  17. The problem remains ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Whether they end generating new nuclear power or not, the radioactive waste already generated will remain.

  18. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 0

    It's a victory for environmentalists worldwide. We all knew Fukushima could be successfully exploited to make positive changes elsewhere. You just wait, Fukushima will be the gift that just keeps on giving. In the future, any pro-nuclear arguments will be answered with "But...Fukushima!" Let's all pour a pint of naturally brewed reinheitsgebot beer and celebrate!

    --
    Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
  19. Re:First in a long line I hope! by pe1rxq · · Score: 1

    I don't like nuclear power either.... but I base my opinion on some real science instead of your chiropractic quackery.

    --
    Secure messaging: http://quickmsg.vreeken.net/
  20. I'm starting to loose my faith in humanity... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I propose an alternative to democracy: weighted democracy.

    It would play out like this: Ministers, senators, presidents et al. gets the boot. The government is replaced by people who carry out the will of the people. The government is not allowed to propose changes, only the citizenry is. Changes to stuff are ALL voted upon by the people.

    And last but not least: People will have to pass a fucking popquiz about the subject they're voting on before their vote counts!

    1. Re:I'm starting to loose my faith in humanity... by siride · · Score: 1

      This is close to the worst way to make a government in the modern era.

    2. Re:I'm starting to loose my faith in humanity... by icebraining · · Score: 1

      I'm starting to loose my faith in humanity...

      You've already lost your voting rights.

  21. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Shayde · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Oh yes. Excellent news. Because nuclear power is the cleanest, most dependable, most regulated, and lowest impacting power source on the planet right now, lets shut it down for no realistic reason. "Spinal sublexations which cause ill health?" Ah, you're a chiropractor. Sooooo, your position is that mythical twisting of the vertebrae (Oh yes, sorry, chiropractors have co-opted the term 'subluxation' to mean whatever they think might be wrong, rather than an actual anatomical definition. Convenient) ... which you say causes ill health, is due to radioactivity, that no one has ever sensed? That's quite a reach my friend.

    The short version is nuclear power is the safest power we have. (Xref: http://climatesight.org/2011/03/15/nuclear-power-in-context/ ) That chart shows direct-impact deaths, and does not show the number of mine workers who die yearly mining coal, or the oil rig operators who die, or the VAST environmental impact directly from burning fossil fuels. In 40 years of nuclear power, there have been THREE nuclear plant failures. TMI, Chernobyl, and fukujima. TMI resulted in negligible radiation release. Chernobyl resulted in 64 confirmed deaths (though there is ENORMOUS variation in forecasts for 'potential deaths'), and Fukujima has, we've noted so far, had ONE death. One.

    I can already hear the raising of the "But, it's Radiation! Radiation is BAD!" - yes, of course it is, but it must be taken in context. The levels talked about around these plants varies wildly, and your random "because we have nuke plants, people are getting more colds because of mythical undefineable spinal shift" is a textbook "Correlation proves Causation - a logical fallacy.

    --
    Event Management Solutions : http://www.stonekeep.com/
  22. If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Khenke · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If I had to choose between burning coal and fission reactors, I'd keep the nuclear.

    Yeah, I know people are scared because of what have happened in Japan, but I STILL rather have 100 nuclear plant in my backyard with a 0.0001% chance of killing or making me sick than one coal plant that are 100% sure to be bad (1) for my health.

    1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fossil_fuel_power_station: The combustion of coal contributes the most to acid rain and air pollution, and has been connected with global warming.

    1. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      You don't have to choose between coal and nuclear. Since they are both bad, you should choose renewable (solar and wind). These are both viable alternatives whose cost (even without considering the environmental impact) is becoming competitive with coal and nuclear.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    2. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      maybe you use coal "the old way", but look at it the german way:

      with one coal central they heat the water for a small city, make distilled water (for internal cooling), since the water they use is usually from nearby rivers they clean it, separate the various components (and obviously resell them), and with a chemical reaction the produce calcium carbonate... and sell it!
      Ever wondered where the german chalk comes from? they have whole industries based on reselling the coal plants' chalk.

      coal is ancient, but now it's regulated to a good point... of course solar and wind are still better, but coal is not that bad

    3. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      You don't have to choose between coal and nuclear. Since they are both bad, you should choose renewable (solar and wind).

      Which are great, so long as you don't actually need reliable power. I'm sure that Germany can maintain a huge manufacturing economy when the power goes out at random times.

    4. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Khenke · · Score: 1

      I wish that was true. But sadly it isn't. Or rather, yes there are better alternatives but:
      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-15/cez-may-build-1-4-billion-coal-fired-plant-in-germany-ceo-says.html

      And I know Vattenfall (Swedish power company) have plans on expanding with more coal plants in Germany. I can't seem to find that article, where they had to move a complete town to get to the coal under it.

      So at the moment Germany are expanding their coal plants, and what do you think will happen if they shut down all nuclear plants? Less or even more coal plants?
      It isn't THAT hard to figure out...

      And take it from one that have suffered (I'm living in the north of Sweden) from both nuclear (Chernobyl accident) contaminating of our animals, mushrooms and berries from the forest and dead forest from acid rains (from coal plants in Germany, Poland and more, as we don't have it our selfs) I know how it feels to be the one suffering for others need of electricity.

      But, the effect from the Chernobyl accident are soon gone but the coal plants (with all negative sides) will continue to be a problem for hundreds or thousands of years (mostly the CO2 but even other stuff).

    5. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      killing or making me sick

      bad for my health

      there is a difference in magnitude
      also i think "making the planet uninhabitable for aeons" does count, too

    6. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

      You don't have to choose between coal and nuclear. Since they are both bad, you should choose renewable (solar and wind). These are both viable alternatives whose cost (even without considering the environmental impact) is becoming competitive with coal and nuclear.

      I have to disagree with your overly optimistic post.

      Solar and wind are still boutique energy-generation technologies that are not ready for full-scale use. In no way do they approach the reliability, output, or efficiency of nuclear power at this time. Perhaps a large investment from the Germans will fix this issue though.

    7. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      you can't replace tens of gigawatts of nuclear power with wind and solar, energy density is far too low. Have you ever looked at the power output of a large wind farm and compared it to the smallest nuclear power plant?

    8. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Khenke · · Score: 1

      If I get to choose between 100% chance of being slowly boiled to (near if we are lucky) death (all problem with coal plants incl greenhouse effect) and a 0.1% chance of being shoot in the head (gigantic global nuclear catastrophe).

      Guess what I'd choose...

    9. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you don't mind that radioactive carbon particles that coal plants release in the air?

    10. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't have to choose between coal and nuclear. Since they are both bad, you should choose renewable (solar and wind).

      When you present that wind farm plan to the BoD of your company, you'll have to tell them that less than half a percent of electricity production is from wind, and no wind farm can make a 24-7-52 predictable contribution to the grid (eg: Spain has 20 GW of wind capacity that generated 43 TWh last year - about the same as 5 GW of coal). Meanwhile, the dirty team gets to say that coal (or NG) is a proven, reliable, inexpensive technology ubiquitous in markets as technologically diverse as the US and Niger. The solar team has to budget a lot of money for technology development and can't make anything more than a guess about the 20 year return on investment, or even whether the new generation panels will work for 20 years. The coal team can use the design for the last plant the company built and make an ROI estimate accurate to (probably) two decimal places.

      So, the government has done the "responsible" thing by canceling nuclear. How many companies are going to consider it responsible to spend billions of shareholder dollars on a 40 year investment in unproven technology? Technology which you say is only "becoming competitive with coal and nuclear"?

    11. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      you can't replace tens of gigawatts of nuclear power with wind and solar, energy density is far too low. Have you ever looked at the power output of a large wind farm and compared it to the smallest nuclear power plant?

      Yes I have, largest (existing) wind parks yield 300 to 600 MW. The largest planned in germany (under construction will yield 1000MW - 1200MW)
      Nuclear plants yield between 450MW over 700MW to 1200MW/1400MW): http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liste_der_Kernkraftwerke#Deutschland
      So the largest wind farms bring 2 times to 4 times the power of a small nuclear plant.
      BTW: you could have googled that yourself ....

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    12. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      If I had to choose between burning coal and fission reactors, I'd keep the nuclear.

      Right, because nobody has figured out how to produce electrical power using anything but coal, or nuclear.

      Sheesh. Will you nuclear advocates PLEASE stop using this false dichotomy? Electric power is generated by natural gas, wind, solar, oil, hydro, biomass, and even tides. Natural gas is actually a very significant source of electrical power. So STOP with the "but nuclear is better than big bad coal!", because we don't have just two choices.

    13. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      oops, forgot the link to the windparks: http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windpark

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    14. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by protektor · · Score: 1

      I am waiting for one of the micro nuclear power plants to become a reality. I would also love too see the Bloom fuel cells become far more affordable and prevalent on the power grid. It would reduce our need to huge power plants and miles of power lines to feed the grid.

      http://www.fastcompany.com/1557348/bloombox-bloom-box-fuel-cell-60-minutes-kleiner-perkins-kr-sridhar-green-energy-google

      No they are not pie in the sky. Google is using a few of them, EBay is using a few of them as well as few other companies in Silicon Valley as way to reduce their load on the grid and get power cheaper. I am sure they would need to make a hundred million of them before they could be affordable for homes, but it would be very cool when/if they get to that point.

    15. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

      But it is not down to coal or nuclear.
          http://www.nanosolar.com/power-plants/technology-advantages
          http://www.maglevwindturbine.com/

      And maybe even:
          http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/blog/post/2011/05/swedish-skeptics-confirm-nuclear-process-in-tiny-4-7-kw-reactor

      And there are other alternatives.

      Conventional nuclear and "fossil" fuels only have semed cheaper becuase we have ignored their externalities in the marketplace (like health impacts, enviromental impacts, security costs, and risks); from 1982 about the USA, but probably applies to Germany as well (as big centralized money can corrupt politics anywhere):
          http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brittle_Power
      "According to the authors, a resilient energy system is feasible, costs less, works better, is favoured in the market, but is rejected by U.S. policy.[1] In the preface to the 2001 edition, Lovins explains that these themes are still very current. [2]"

      That said, thorium reactors if you want ear-conventional nuclear, seems the way to go. They were not developed by the West precisely beause they are safer and you can't easily make bombs from them compared to uranium and plutonium reactors. China and India are now forging ahead with them.

      --
      A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
    16. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by DrKnark · · Score: 1

      I'm curious, since this is never specified: are these average outputs per year?

      For some reference, here in Sweden we have 1252MW of wind power installed, average over the past 30 days is ~320MW actual output. I haven't been able to find the yearly average.

    17. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, at least the acid rain problem has been solved:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flue-gas_desulfurization

    18. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      California currently gets 20% of its electricity needs from renewable energy (solar, geothermal, wind, hydro). We expect (legislative mandate) to get 33% by 2020. You can replace gigawatts of nuclear with renewable energy. California is doing it now.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    19. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by quokkaZ · · Score: 1

      This is nonsense. In Germany wind has an average capacity factor of about 17%. In good locations worldwide capacity factor for on-shore wind may exceed 30%. Modern nuclear power typically has a capacity factor of ~90%

      The upshot is that 1GW nameplate capacity of average wind in Germany produces the same amount of electricity as about 0.19 GWe capacity of nuclear

      If you have any regard at all for the consequences of continuing massive CO2 emissions, then you would make an attempt to get the most elementary facts about energy correct

    20. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you crazy?! Do you have any idea how many people died at the Fukijima nuclear disaster!?

      NUClLEAR! DISASTER!

      NUCLEAR DISASTER!!

    21. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The point is, can you do it right now (or rather by 2022)?

      If you can, then by all means, go ahead - shut down nuclear plants, and replace them with renewables as they go online.

      But if you can't do it by 2022, then you shouldn't shut down your nuclear plants by 2022. Because then they're going to be replaced by the only thing that can be built cheap and fast instead - namely, coal.

    22. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and has been connected with global warming

      Oh for godssake, everything has been connected with global warming. Where there's a grant, there's some AGW research. There is literally nothing that cannot be linked to GW, including what I had for breakfast.

    23. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I don't understand what you want to say.
      Because wind has a lower capacity (I think I know what you mean with that, but I doubt it is the correct term, it is very misleading).
      Nevertheless, how should switching a nuclear plant for a wind plant cause any CO2 emissions? HÃ? Does not make any sense, or does it?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    24. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by stooo · · Score: 0

      Actually, 100 nuclear reactors have a probability of some percents to blow, every year. And that's without external influence, like loss of cooling due to a dry river in a hot summer, or flooding after rupture of a uphill dam, terrorist attack, war attack (seems like an easy and non moving obvious target)...

      --
      aaaaaaa
    25. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by Khenke · · Score: 1

      There are more then 400 nuclear plants in world.

      And with modern plants few or any has been sick or killed by living close to a nuclear plant. Workers are another story but I bet just mining coal has cost 100x more lives/sickness than all nuclear plants anyway.

      And the Chernobyl reactor is nowhere close to the German reactors today. We have actually learned from that accident (how strange it might be...).
      So with modern reactors we have close to zero sick/killed due to having a nuclear plant in the backyard. So if we divide "close to zero" with millions of people with reactors in their backyard, we get way closer to 0.0001% that X% even in a life time.

      Sure, we must still demand better safety. It can always improve, and if it don't improve it might decline (due to lack of accidents). So we can actually thank Japan for helping us improve our safety (by reminding us it is dangerous if done wrong).

      And even in Fukushima it isn't in the X% range WITH a huge accident.

      Don't get me wrong. We MUST close down all fission plants. But WHEN we have a better alternative and not worse.

    26. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      You should educate yourself with google. Your german wind farms don't produce that peak output for even 20% of the time. A nuclear plant runs 18 to 24 months between refueling.

    27. Re:If it's down to coal or nuclear... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I know that. But what is your point?
      That a nuclear plant is better because of that?
      Sigh ... if you have to assume the wind is to low most of the time, you only need to build bigger/more wind farms. Actually a pretty straight forward approach. So what exactly do you want to point out?

      Installed wind energy in germany right now: roughly 27GW. Peak yield of wind energy was between 25th of december 2009 21:00 and 26th december 2:00 was 100GW (that is the yield of roughly 20 nuclear reactors).

      The numbers I have posted previously already take into account that the wind park has not 100% yield all the time see: http://www.agenda21-treffpunkt.de/daten/Windenergie.htm

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  23. Nuclear power, so dangerous! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Meanwhile coalmining and coal is killing tens of thousands every year.

  24. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by unity100 · · Score: 1

    the catch is, that gift that keeps on giving has the possibility of giving way too much to make any such discussion pointless, if we have more serious problems.

  25. Re:I say we by countertrolling · · Score: 1

    After a quick glance through history, it would appear that the French are more likely to have such thoughts, or even the Russians.. The Americans carried a fairly strong and friendly business relationship with the Germans throughout the war. Only the zombie public had any animosity..

    --
    For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
  26. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1


    invention of radioactivity

    You should have taken an entry level science course instead of enrolling in Chiropractic Clown College.

  27. right choice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    i visited a nuclear power plant in northern germany last year. and i am glad, that this is been shut down. that 70ies tech does not shine anymore. and i talked to the control room employee what extra education he has. well there is a one year course and here is the funny part, nobody fails in this course.

  28. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    You should move to the Fukushima area or to Pripyat and enjoy the clean and healthy environment there.

  29. Re:I say we by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's no "most populous city" in germany. It's all autobahns with exits to small villages.

  30. This is a good thing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Without these kind of far-sighted policies, Europe would eventually be thrust back into war. I mean, look at how Germany already dominates the EU's financial decisions. After a few more decades, German power would be so great that a coalition of other nations would have to form an alliance to restore the balance of power. Terrible wars would result.

    Germany is doing us all a favor by learning from the positive example of the Hongxi Emperor. By burning the fleet of their power generating capability, Germany's future will be more like China: waning influence followed by foreign colonization. Kudos to them for taking the peaceful way out!

  31. Nuclear != Radioactivity by Gonoff · · Score: 1

    Firstly, nobody "invented" radioactivity. The Big Bang was a nuclear explosion. We are (a very small) part of the fallout.

    You could say that someone invented nuclear power. This is not the same thing as radioactivity. Some might say it uses radioactivity but for better explanations you should read a textbook or even Wikipedia.

    Spinal subluxations have been around a lot longer than human generated radioactivity. The fact that they have increased does not mean that they are caused by radioactive leaks/fallout. Correlation is not causation. They may be related but there are a lot more people around that there was in the time of the Curies and a lot of the things that people died of back then are far less prevalent.

    Cancer is a bigger problem and some most definitely is related to radioactivity. We definitely need to deal with that. Closing down all nuclear activity will not do this. It will help the uninformed feel good. It will not make the world a better place. It will make life harder - unless you think that we can make up the deficit from renewables? I suggest you read up on that myth too,

    --
    I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
    1. Re:Nuclear != Radioactivity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Big Bang was a nuclear explosion

      Not true. Not even remotely true. How could the Big Bang be a nuclear explosion? We have no direct knowledge of what existed prior to the Big Bang. There is nothing to suggest that it was nuclear, indeed most theories go along the lines of it being a reaction of pure energy. How can you call a release of energy from a state of pure energy "nuclear" when, by definition a nuclear reaction requires there to be atoms, and therefore matter is beyond me.

    2. Re:Nuclear != Radioactivity by Zelaron · · Score: 2

      Firstly, nobody "invented" radioactivity.

      Actually, Henri Becquerel invented it. A good thesaurus (such as Oxford Thesaurus of English) will show you that invent is, annoyingly, synonymous with discover.

    3. Re:Nuclear != Radioactivity by Froze · · Score: 1

      see sig

      --
      -- The morphemes of your disquisition are ascertainable, but they have eschewed an ambit of transpicuous exposition.
    4. Re:Nuclear != Radioactivity by bigpet · · Score: 1

      >The Big Bang was a nuclear explosion

      I kind of doubt that there were any nuclei directly involved in the cause for the Big Bang. Not that I have prove but neither do you.

    5. Re:Nuclear != Radioactivity by Gonoff · · Score: 1

      No. He discovered/named it. It existed long before him. He invented the scientific idea.

      --
      I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
    6. Re:Nuclear != Radioactivity by Zelaron · · Score: 1

      No. He discovered/named it. It existed long before him. He invented the scientific idea.

      You are missing my point. Henri Becquerel invented radioactivity itself (not just the scientific theory of it), despite radioactive decay taking place before he or anyone else we know of knew about it. If he had somehow given rise to the existence of radioactive decay in the universe, he could also have been said to have invented radioactivity, but "invented" no longer directly conveys the semantics of "discovered" in that case.

    7. Re:Nuclear != Radioactivity by Gonoff · · Score: 1

      I would agree that some people mix up invented with discovered, Perhaps they may be the same people that mix up other words like
      "Can you borrow me a pen" meaning they would like you to lend them one. Or
      "I have to itch my back" when they are goiung to scratch it.
      Those are probably just British English examples but you may know some wherever you are.

      I suspect many people on /. can tell the difference. Perhaps a lot of IP enthusiasts like to mix up discover with invent. It helps with their more questionable activities. Nonetheless, the two are very different concepts.

      You discover something that already existed but you, and perhaps others, did not know about. You invent something that did not actually exist. It can be solid like a jet engine or conceptual like an algorithm. Someone can no more invent radioactivity than a new exoplanet.

      --
      I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
    8. Re:Nuclear != Radioactivity by Zelaron · · Score: 1

      You discover something that already existed but you, and perhaps others, did not know about. You invent something that did not actually exist. It can be solid like a jet engine or conceptual like an algorithm. Someone can no more invent radioactivity than a new exoplanet.

      That is indeed the difference between "discover" and "invent" which most English speakers would probably agree on being the correct one. Etymologically, however, the word "invent" originates from the Latin verb invenire, which literally means "to find" or "to discover". That particular meaning, once incorporated into English, remains in certain authoritative dictionaries and thesauruses, such as the aforementioned Oxford Thesaurus of English:

      invent
      verb
      1. originate, create, innovate, design, device, contrive, formulate, develop
      2. conceive, think up, come up with, hit on, mastermind, pioneer
      3. discover, find
      4. coin, mint

      I do think that what constitutes a language should largely be determined by common use if there are already perfectly cromulent replacements for certain words. Still, I would still be hard-pressed to call anyone wrong even if they made a crazy-sounding claim like "Christopher Columbus invented the Americas in 1492" as long as I know that they have the means to point and laugh at me for appearing oblivious to how their slightly obscure use of English is correct.

      Hopefully, the "invent" => "discover" semantic implication will soon become archaic, so that I will never under any circumstances be tempted to drag discussions off topic like this again.

      (It's actually a semantic logical equivalence. Did you know that the Wright brothers discovered the first powered airplane in 1903?)

  32. Re:First in a long line I hope! by SerpentMage · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No debate with your points. But here are some other insights...

    Did you know to this day 20% of Belarus's farmland is unusable?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belarus

    The problem is that nuclear has serious longterm issues like this. Sure there are less immediate deaths, but the longer term deaths related to nuclear are much higher. This is the fault of humanity that can't look beyond the next Apple announcement.

    So tell me how do you plan on making all of the land usable again? Oh wait I forgot you are not near any of these disasters and as such could not shive a ghit. Until it happens in your backyard!

    --

    "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
    "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
  33. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just you wait, in less than a decade all of you will have to buy power from China, which is the only country presently building new generation of nuclear reactors.

  34. So which stock should I buy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    EDF stock or german coal mines stock ? Stock price probably adjusted by now, so maybe I should buy stocks from companies proving tratment for asthma in Germany ?

  35. Re:First in a long line I hope! by sed+quid+in+infernos · · Score: 1

    Wow. I was going to respond to all Dr.Bob's detractors with a great big Whoosh! I interpreted his post as sarcasm. I'm glad I looked at his post history first.

  36. Smart move. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I actually kind of like nuke power. it's pretty safe. its cheap. its easy to put just about anywhere.

    However... The worst case failure mode for a nuclear power plant is much much MUCH worse than anything else save perhaps hydro. And even then if the hydro dam fails and wipes out everything downstream... well you can go back in and rebuild now. not in 10,100,1000,10000 years when the place isnt 'hot' anymore.

    Arguments could be made for coal that it contaminates a much wider area over the entire time it's running.
    But people don't work like that. They see that one day this land was fine. And the next day after a nuke disaster. It's now super fucked for a great many years.
    Where coal is a gradual fuck of the entire area. Not quite as noticable. And you CAN put alot of work into cleaning coal stack output. We just never really have. Yet.

    Anywhere the epic fuckups of humans and the epic fuckups of nature can wipe out an entire chunk of land for decades... Is most likely something we shouldnt allow to happen. And that means not using nuke power till we're much much more capable of preventing worst case failures. And we're a long time from that just due to plain human greed and shortsightedness.

    Good for germany.

    1. Re:Smart move. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are capable of preventing worst case failures. Fukushima is literally the second time this has ever happened. The circumstances it took to make Chernobyl go bad were: a Soviet reactor with no containment dome, of a design inherently unsafe in at least two obvious and distinct ways, running a dangerous experiment in the middle of the night with a crew that wasn't trained for it. And even with all those things counting against it it was still bad luck that it turned out as badly as it did.

      Fukushima was a 40 year old reactor built in a location susceptible to earthquakes and tsunamis, and it still took a 9.0 magnitude earthquake going off right by the plant to damage it sufficiently, an earthquake of a strength that occurs only once every 20 years worldwide.

      Two significant incidents in 55 years of commercial nuclear power. Both of them antique designs, in absolutely extraordinary circumstances. Wiping out an entire chunk of land for decades? How much land has been destroyed by coal mining in those 55 years? How many valleys drowned by hydro power? I'd bet 500 bucks that coal mining alone accounts for twice as much lost surface area as nuclear, if that's your problem. To say nothing of the massive CO2 output of coal power. Sea levels going up could mean a lot of land going down.

      There's no fucking problem with modern nuclear power and the efforts of people like you to sabotage the one and most safe, reliable, effective and environmentally friendly power source we have are fucking despicable. You and yours are personally responsible for the future. We could have had our entire grid generation infrastructure switched over to nuclear decades ago if it wasn't for Jane fucking Fonda and the Three Mile Island media panic, and all the hippies who obviously hate the environment. Fuck you. Fuck you. Fuck you.

    2. Re:Smart move. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Could have had our entire grid switched over to solar, wind, hydro, wave energy if we'd gotten off our lazy asses and invested in the tech 40 years ago too.

      We didnt because of greedy fuckers like you who value cheap power over human lives.

      You're a sociopath.

  37. Re:First in a long line I hope! by The+Dawn+Of+Time · · Score: 0

    In the long term, we all die. How many people have lived longer, fuller lives because of nuclear power? That's the balance.

  38. Re:First in a long line I hope! by snl2587 · · Score: 2

    Out of curiosity, what makes you opposed to the modern iteration of nuclear reactors? The major accidents have all been Mark I reactors, which have been known to be unsafe since 1972 (warnings ignored, thank GE in the U.S.). For modern reactors, "real science" reveals mostly positives, with almost no chance of a critical meltdown.

  39. It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by Vario · · Score: 3, Insightful

    While the reasoning of Merkel's government seems to be based on fear and emotions of the general public the background behind this is the nuclear waste.

    Fukushima is just an example that a complex technology like nuclear power can fail, even with a lot of safeguards in place and in a high-tech country like Japan. It is now obvious that Tepco did not do their homework correctly and that it is just a bad idea in general to build a power plant where a tsunami can hit the shore but this is only the catalyst for the debate in Germany. The main problem is and will be in the future the massive amounts of nuclear waste, with high and medium radiation levels. The situation in Germany for waste disposal is abysmal. In the 1960s due to political issues only two underground mines were seriously examined if they can keep the waste safe for eternity until the radiation levels are low enough to be harmless. These two mines are Asse and Gorleben.

    It is now very clear that during the last decades a lot of negative security reports for both mines were downplayed or never published. Asse is currently more or less flooded from groundwater penetrating the salt and while Gorleben seems safe today serious cracks have been discovered. So there is no place in Germany were we could safely store nuclear waste at all. The consensus was for a while to search for better places and it was obvious that any politician will fight tooth and nail against a mine in his district.

    At the same time Germany tries to increase the amount of renewable energy and is quite successful. Merkel's current move is certainly not completely ruled by reason but it fits into the bigger picture and the last thing she wants is large demonstrations and her being seen as a cold technocrat which almost brought her a defeat in the last election.

    While I personally like nuclear power much more than polluting the air with coal power plants, were the emissions also contain a lot of radioactivity and of course CO2 it feels irresponsible to use a technology as long as the waste problem is completely unsolved, at least in Germany.

    1. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by C3ntaur · · Score: 1

      Fukushima is just an example that a complex technology like nuclear power can fail, even with a lot of safeguards in place and in a high-tech country like Japan.

      ...and how do you safeguard against incompetence, greed, and other undesirable features of human nature? Nuclear systems and their waste require constant care and diligence to prevent catastrophes. Most other power generation systems will simply shut down, and at worst the damage will be very localized, when there is a fault, design flaw, or neglect.

      --
      Loading...
    2. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by Tweenk · · Score: 1

      That's only your interpretation. The real reason is stupid overreaction to Fukushima. Otherwise Merkel would not overturn the phaseout decision in the first place.

      When someone says "nuclear waste" people stop thinking rationally. Did someone actually die because it was not stored properly? All those claims how dangerous it is sound hollow unless you can point out some actual harm (as in, measurable health consequences, not a small radioactivity release causing stupid people to shit their pants).

      So there is no place in Germany were we could safely store nuclear waste at all.

      That's some kind of joke. There are plenty of places, but the real problem is that the government is fixated on the "metal can in salt" method, which has been proven inadequate by experience. It is not the only method in existence; for instance, the Swiss method uses metal containers in clay backfill buried in granite rock. The problem is that the extremely high concentration of anti-nuclear clowns in Germany is preventing any change from happening.

      any politician will fight tooth and nail against a mine in his district.

      That's another example of hysteria.

      At the same time Germany tries to increase the amount of renewable energy and is quite successful.

      For the amount it already invested in renewable energy subsidies, it got back less than 1% of the electricity supply, while an equivalent amount of money spent on new nuclear reactors could completely decarbonize power generation. How wise.

      --
      Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
    3. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by Tweenk · · Score: 1

      For the amount it already invested in renewable energy subsidies, it got back less than 1% of the electricity supply

      Correction: solar energy subsidies.

      --
      Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
    4. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      So, solve the waste problem. Breeder reactors can reprocess "spent" nuclear fuel (which still has about 97% of its energy) into something that is much cooler to begin with, and also has a much shorter half-life (hundreds of years isn't trivial, but is manageable). In addition, you're using the Uranium that is already mined in a much more efficient manner, which will both drastically extend the lifetime of our uranium deposits (like fossil fuels, they aren't really renewable; unlike fossil fuels, we easily have enough for hudreds of years even with massively increasing energy demand, but only if reprocessed).

      There are of course a few problems with this idea:

      On a technical level, we know how to make breeder reactors but until now they've all been small-scale research stations, not commercial power plants. There's going to be some issues of scale (including, of course, ensuring sufficient safety) to work out. That's totally practical, though. We already spend tons of money on new or improved non-nuclear power sources, and it's not like the basic idea hasn't been tested.

      On an economic level, building new plants is expensive, and so is handling the current "spent" fuel (putting it in a form that the new reactor can use). On the other hand, you don't have to pay people to mine more uranium for you (which has to be processed from ore into usable fuel anyhow), and heck, you might be able to get people to pay *you* to dispose of the waste from existing reactors.

      On a political level, breeder reactors can produce weapons-grade fissionables (indeed it's difficult to refine raw ore enough to build nuclear weapons otherwise). This raises scares either that the country is developing nuclear weapons (because the countries that could afford a project like this totally don't have any of those yet...) or that terrorists will get their hands on the material and then use it to build their own bombs (which is an unrealistic fear in several ways). There are plant designs that don't actually produce "dangerous" isotopes at usable purity for weapons, but since this is a political problem, I expect it will be the hardest to overcome nonetheless.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    5. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Could not agree more: The amount of nuclear waste is growing at an alarming rate, and currently NO!!! country in the world has developed a plan for permanently isolating and disposing of it. As a result, the Sierra Club has declared nuclear waste one of the world's most serious environmental issues, and has formed a task force to work on the problem.

      It seems inresponsible to continue to use this technology without having solved this problem.

    6. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comment. no one plans to subsidice nuclear power with coal power.

      The idea is to replace it with renewable energy on the long run.

      But while this happens, if there's a shortage, short-living gas plants are to be build. They have a planning and errection time of about 2 to 4 years. As the last nuclear plant is going to be switched of 2022, there's no real hurry. The further idea is to build them decentrally, so that the existing grid don't need to be supercharged, but can be re-used.

      Overall I think this plan is OK, because the risk of nuclear power is very high. We don't usually have Tsunamis, but we have earth quakes. Should a range like that in Fukushima polluted in Germany, the consequences would be blank: we're quite densely populated. Power plants are also under-insured. The cars at the parking place in front of the power plant have a higher total insurance sum than the whole power plant. Any blown nuclear power plant would cause great havoc to people, to the land and to the economy. The economic cost would probably be higher than this controlled exit strategy.

    7. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by devent · · Score: 1

      "While I personally like nuclear power much more than polluting the air with coal power plants, were the emissions also contain a lot of radioactivity and of course CO2 it feels irresponsible to use a technology as long as the waste problem is completely unsolved, at least in Germany."

      I'm also agree with you. Nuclear power is the best energy source if done properly. But the problem with the nuclear is that it's never done properly. It's much a political problem that a technological one. If I see how badly the authorities and the company are doing in Fukushima, it's just scares me.

      Because of the costs and the risks of a nuclear plant, the concentration is of money and as the result the corruption is just too much , as seen in Japan. It would be ok with a coal plant, a gas plant or even a water dam because if there goes something wrong, a few people will die but it will not leave a radioactive pit for the next 10 generations.

      Also the thing with the nuclear garbage. Even if you tell me for 100% that the garbage is save, how do I know if you aren't corrupt and you aren't paid by the nuclear lobby, or if you are accurate? I don't think you can tell me for the next 1000 years that the cave in which we put the radioactive garbage will be save.

      --
      http://www.mueller-public.de - My site http://www.anr-institute.com/ - Advanced Natural Research Institute
    8. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by Prune · · Score: 1

      The problem is not nuclear energy per se, but poor approach to the nuclear pipeline due almost completely to political and PR concerns. Breeder reactors together with waste transmutation can reduce the waste to a small fraction and improve its profile (in terms of half-life), so that solidification by glassification makes storage a very easy problem. However, people fear breeders because they are able to create weapons-grade material, and so they remain politically unpopular.

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    9. Re:It is not about Fukushima. It is the waste. by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Damn, no place to store the waste? Sounds like a really good reason to work on perfecting reprocessing.

      That particular issue can be solved in more than one way, and the other way is better.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  40. Major chance for proving viability of renewables by SD-Arcadia · · Score: 1

    This is a groundbreaking turn from the country already leading the world in renewable energy.
    The question is now, what combination of sources will replace the nuclear piece of the energy pie.
    Currently nuclear stands at 22% and renewables at 17% in Germany. I reccomend the literature here for anyone who doubts renewables (solar, wind, geothermal, small hydro, biomass) are up to the task of displacing fossil and nuclear. Especially check out Hermann Scheer's "Energy Autonomy".
    As a bonus, this will be a chance to dispel illusions regarding the technical viability of thorium, fast breeder reactors, fusion and other nuclear chymeras.

    --
    https://dalgamotor.wordpress.com/ - Elektronik beyinlere ozgurluk asisi (Turkish)
  41. Re:First in a long line I hope! by LavouraArcaica · · Score: 0

    Major accidents have all been Mark 1 reactors JUST BECAUSE Mark 1 reactors are OLDER. and It's pretty clear that there is a correlation between AGE and accidents. When the mark 2 reactors begin to be old, major accidents will happen as well.

  42. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Eunuchswear · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sure there are less immediate deaths, but the longer term deaths related to nuclear are much higher.

    Much higher than what? Deaths from burning dirty brown coal? I doubt it.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  43. Re:I say we by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. If we were to choose the nuclear option, it would not be 'delivered' to their most populous city. Instead, it would be delivered to a secondary city ... we didn't drop Little Boy or Fat Man on Tokyo, after all. The goal is not to kill people, but just to prompt surrender.

    2. We are not at war with Germany any longer - such an attack would be an act of aggression, and not tolerated by the rest of the world.

    3. Obama is the Commander in Chief, and would not sign off on such a plan - this is the territory you need to worry about if Palin were to inherit the White House.

  44. It's CO2, not gigawatts by petes_PoV · · Score: 1

    Maybe so, but when they close down their nuclear plants, Germany will have trouble meeting its CO2 emissions targets. The problem is not so much about generation capacity (anyone can build coal-fired stations), but doing so within agreed targets

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    1. Re:It's CO2, not gigawatts by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      The plan is to replace all nuclear plants with renewables, not with fossil plants. However a few fossil plants that where planned to be decommissioned will likely get an extewnded runtime.
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    2. Re:It's CO2, not gigawatts by geogob · · Score: 1

      You have to be careful here. The CO2 emissions targets were stupidly fixed using a reference time point... the same for everyone. There are countries that did a lot to reduce CO2 emissions before that reference time point, others did nothing. It really can't be a surprise that countries that did a large effort in reducing CO2 footprints prior to the reference date have a little more trouble reaching their new goals.

      These CO2 emissions targets are only worth a political talk. In reality, I'd say they are quite worthless.

    3. Re:It's CO2, not gigawatts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder how an EU court case would end up? They will not be using the best available technology unless clean coal initiatives have produced some concrete results already..

    4. Re:It's CO2, not gigawatts by Meski · · Score: 1

      Would that be a five year plan? Well, I wish it better luck than its Soviet predecessors.

      Define renewables, by the way.

    5. Re:It's CO2, not gigawatts by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      "Renewables" are even worse for the environment than Nuclear. However they are probably better than fossil.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    6. Re:It's CO2, not gigawatts by mcvos · · Score: 1

      What would be really nice, though, is if they first replaced all their coal plants with renewables. I'm glad to see nuclear plants go, mind you, but getting rid of coal plants is quite a bit more urgent.

  45. Re:First in a long line I hope! by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 0

    Successful troll is successful.

    --
    There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
  46. Re:First in a long line I hope! by laughingcoyote · · Score: 1

    Given that effectively all of our energy (aside from a comparatively small amount of geothermal) is produced in a very, very large nuclear reactor, to which we have been exposed on a daily basis since life began, I guess you've just explained all disease! Good thing too-we had it long before we were "out of the trees", or "in the trees"-even single-celled organisms die.

    What they don't die of is "subluxations", because there's no such thing. Honestly, I hope you're a troll. The alternative is far worse-that you're really one of the people who's out there selling this shit to people, and keeping them from getting real treatment in some cases. But whether you're personally a troll or not, there really are people who do that. It's not funny-they kill people and in the meantime make a fortune selling snake oil to the gullible and the desperate.

    Of course, if you had any real interest in science, you'd know that coal power causes thousands upon thousands of deaths a year-not from "subluxations", but from the harmful chemicals it releases into the atmosphere. And we may see its death toll rise precipitously once the full effects of climate change begin to be felt, though I certainly hope that will not be the case. And right now, if you're not doing nuclear as your baseline, you're doing coal or natural gas. There isn't enough stable energy potential in solar or wind yet, and they're not cost-effective on a massive scale.

    Right now, nuclear is our best option. It should be carefully regulated, and perhaps some older plants do need to be given the choice between mandatory upgrade and shutdown. What we shouldn't do is throw a technology out that can work properly because someone misused and failed to maintain it.

    But, of course, you're a quack (or you're a troll playing one). So what do you care about reality, anyway, in either case?

    --
    To fight the war on terror, stop being afraid.
  47. Re:First in a long line I hope! by sosume · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The funny thing is, that they will need a replacement for the loss of nuclear power. Since there are also laws that energy must be "green" for a certain percentage, coal plants will be off limits. Which will lead to .. Germany importing energy from France. Which is generated by ... dumtiedum .. nuclear reactors!

    Hypocrisy at its finest.

  48. Re:First in a long line I hope! by stanlyb · · Score: 1

    So i wonder, how are they going to light their bulbs, or maybe they will move to candles???

  49. Re:First in a long line I hope! by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 2

    Um, no. In fact, there is not enough data to make that correlation.
     
    It is kind of like claiming that truck drivers are worse driver because truck drivers are involved in more wrecks per capita and the wrecks are worse. But, the truth is that truck drivers are some of the safest drivers. They are in more wrecks per capita because they travel many times more miles per year than the average driver. It is not that the reactors are older. It is that the data covers a long period of time. Compare nuclear power incidents and the rate of incidents per year to other industrial complexes and/or power generation facilities and you will find that nuclear power has a much better safety record.

    --
    There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
  50. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by realityimpaired · · Score: 1

    Yes, because that has worked ever so well with 3-Mile Island and Chernobyl.... As it fades from the news, it will become more of a distant memory, and will no longer have the weight it has now when arguing the dangers of nuclear energy. Ultimately, it'll come down to one thing: cost. As long as nuclear energy is the cheapest out there, it will continue to be widely used. As soon as safer and cheaper technologies are easily available, a gradual transition will begin. It is not going to be an overnight change, no matter how much you want it to be: just look at how much coal energy is still being used in the states.

    Technology is promising. There are new types of solar cells available in the last couple of years that weren't possible 5 years ago, and that are significantly cheaper to manufacture while also being significantly more efficient. There's other uses of solar energy that are coming into use (like the plant outside Seville, Spain). There's large scale wind operations coming into use, and even some very interesting buildings being built that produce their own wind (there's a twin tower in Dubai with 3 wind turbines between the pillars, using the Bernoulli effect on the breeze passing between the buildings to increase the flow through the turbines, for example). There's buildings being built that are much more efficient with how they use energy. All of it will add up to an eventual shift to completely renewable energy in time, but right now, we're still developing technologies that we'll need to do it properly, and we still need to use transition technologies like ethanol fuel and biodiesel. (and yes, I do believe that a traditional diesel generator plant fuelled by biodiesel will be a step between nuclear power and large scale solar/wind power, because the infrastructure is already there and old plants can be converted really easily).

  51. Re:First in a long line I hope! by snl2587 · · Score: 2

    Uh, no. Mark 1 reactors are fundamentally flawed, in that they can easily build up hydrogen and explode if the cooling system is compromised (leaving out the detail here). Even Mark 2 designs are built strong enough to withstand a failed cooling system.

    Even if you were correct, that age is the most important factor, then why is that the fault of nuclear power in general, and not the governments for a fire-and-forget attitude?

  52. Re:First in a long line I hope! by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Or, he can stay where he is and experience the effects of burning coal and gas directly.
     
    As someone recently said "Nuclear power damages the environment and causes health issues when there is an accident. Coal and gas damages the environment and causes health issues as a consequence of normal operation."

    --
    There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
  53. This is sweet! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now I don't have to go to demonstrations anymore, this is what I was hoping for. And for all you pro-nuclear haters out there, eat lederhosen!

  54. Re:First in a long line I hope! by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1

    In the long term, most energy generation techniques have long term issues, especially the most popular. The long term deaths from normal operation of coal plants is much higher than those from nuclear power accidents. You are focusing so much on that tree in front of you that you are not seeing the forest.

    --
    There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
  55. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2, Informative

    > Because nuclear power is the cleanest, most dependable, most regulated,
    > and lowest impacting power source on the planet right now

    That would be hydro, not nuclear. Much cheaper too. People who believe nuclear is the way to go generally live in areas that are tapped out on the hydro side and the local power companies stop talking about it.

    A good example is right here in Toronto. They're still trying to build another set of four reactors east of the city, but there's 9 reactors worth in norther Quebec already installed and underused, another 11 unbuilt, another 10 in Newfoundland and Manitoba, and at least 25 in northern Alberta and Saskatchewan. There's more untapped hydro in Canada than tapped, and more hydro in total than all the other forms of power put together. If we did a full build-out, we would supply all of our electricity, power all our cars, and still export more power to the US than we do now.

    So no, I don't support building new reactors.

  56. Wouldn't underground nuclear plants be safer? by master_p · · Score: 1

    If a nuclear reactor is underground (let's say, 100 m below surface), then in case of radiation leak, a simple covering of the reactor with dirt will solve the problem.

    Is this realistic?

    1. Re:Wouldn't underground nuclear plants be safer? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No. Radiation would still leak into groundwater making the landscape for thousands of miles around unuseable for potable water or farming. Plus it would be harder to get at to try and stop any runaway nuclear reaction making meltdown and potentially nuclear explosion significantly more likely.

    2. Re:Wouldn't underground nuclear plants be safer? by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      How about a few hundred metres underwater a few tens of kilometres out to sea?

    3. Re:Wouldn't underground nuclear plants be safer? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is there groundwater at -100m? I believe it does not go that deep, but correct me if I'm wrong.
      On the other hand, if there is no water at this level, what to use as a cooler for the reactor?

    4. Re:Wouldn't underground nuclear plants be safer? by compro01 · · Score: 1

      Yes. Deep wells commonly go down as far as 400m.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    5. Re:Wouldn't underground nuclear plants be safer? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      So put it 500m down. It's not rocket science.

  57. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I find this all very upsetting.. I thought radiation was supposed to give us super powers... What's up with that?

  58. Re:First in a long line I hope! by santax · · Score: 1

    Not really true, they (the industry) say there is a chance of 1 in 2000 years that one will meltdown. With the current number + the soon to be build new plants, you come to 1 meltdown/serious accident in 14 years. This seems to be spot on with history. You can get a free report btw from the atom agency that has all the accidents that are known with radiation in them. Many thousand cases already and a scary read.

  59. politics... by idji · · Score: 1

    The greenies now go laughing to the next polls, and 5 years later someone else will go laughing to the polls when personal electricity bills get too expensive and nuclear is sold as "cheaper".
    Modern democratic politics is pathetic. Politicians are not interested in change, improvements or ideals - they do whatever wins them polls and votes and gives them airtime - so they can retire out of politics, famous and into a lucrative private sector career.

    1. Re:politics... by he-sk · · Score: 1

      Germany's subsidies for renewable energy are about to run out in 2011, mainly because they've reached their goal of massively increasing the renewable share of the energy mix in Germany. We're currently exceeding the quotas for rewewable production set in the 2000 agreement.

      In the meantime, nuclear operators still receive a massive subsidy by the state limiting their liability in case anything goes wrong. No private company will insure a nuclear power plant construction effort and if they would, nuclear power would be prohibitively expensive.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
    2. Re:politics... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      So?

      Solar power in Germany is even more prohibitively expensive. Yet it received great subsidies and a lot of praise: http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7053

  60. Re:I say we by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually, a Brit, you tard.

  61. Re:First in a long line I hope! by camperslo · · Score: 3, Informative

    I guess the accident that killed people at the fuel processing facility and exposed residents nearby to radiation in 1999 doesn't count.

    And although no one died, the accident, and the cover-up of the severity of it, at the Japanese sodium breeder reactor apparently isn't worth mentioning.
    That was no Mark I design.

    The fuel pond issues certainly aren't unique to Mark I designs. Unit 4 in Japan, which had fuel only in the fuel pond, exploded, apparently from hydrogen that came from unit 3. Neither unit 3 nor unit 4 were Mark I designs. There aren't supposed to be any common-cause failures, yet clearly that explosion pathway and the backup power had causes in common.

    One of the reactors shut down in central Japan over earthquake fears was found to have salt water in the closed-loop part of the cooling system. That wasn't even known before the plant was shut down for another reason. Coupling between the ocean water and internal cooling water loops was supposed to be impossible.

    In one sense the older systems may have an advantage. They didn't originally use frail and vulnerable computer systems. What modern computer systems can be trusted to work for 40 years plus?

  62. Re:First in a long line I hope! by JMJimmy · · Score: 2

    Germany is pushing hard on the green front, entire towns are off the grid now. A full 17% of their energy is provided by renewable sources, well on track to meeting their 18% goal by 2020.

    Nuclear comprises only 11% of Germany's energy generation as of 2009.

  63. Meaningless promises for the future. by Dzimas · · Score: 1

    One of the challenges with modern democracy is that government mandates usually last only 4 or 5 years at most. Any commitments made beyond the current term are essentially meaningless. If peak oil predictions turn out to be true, it might be very difficult for Germany to avoid nuclear power in the 2020s, unless the entire population dramatically reduces power consumption.

  64. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So to the Japanese people who had to abandon their ancestral home, their lands and forests, their animals to die you're saying:

    You're alive and you got 8000$, so STFU! Come back in 100,000 years.

  65. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We all knew Fukushima could be successfully exploited to make positive changes elsewhere.

    You mean the "positive" change of replacing existing nuclear power stations with coal, gas and oil fired plants? That'll sure help the environment!

  66. Re:I say we by countertrolling · · Score: 0

    :-) Eh, figures, bunch of hooligans, all of 'em... somebody should tell them the war is over... And that tasty food isn't being rationed anymore.

    --
    For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
  67. Re:First in a long line I hope! by nojayuk · · Score: 5, Informative

    Hydro-electric dam failures have killed hundreds of thousands of people over the years. Indeed, a small (non-power-generating) dam in Fukushima prefecture broke during the recent big earthquake in Japan, killing at least four people at the dam itself and washing away a couple of villages downstream with some inhabitants reported as missing presumed drowned. That's a lot more people than were killed by the tsunami and earthquake at the two Fukushima plants and (obviously) a lot more than have died from radioactivity releases caused by the reactor failures.

    Hydro power is a proven killer with a long history of mass deaths due to structural failures and operating problems. It's not in the same class as coal and oil due to the amount of pollution and CO2 it produces for the amount of energy it outputs but in terms of ill-effects it's way ahead of nuclear in any scale you care to compare it with.

  68. Enjoy what's left of western civilization by kpoole55 · · Score: 0

    What the last year or so of arguments about discontinuing nuclear power plants, carbon dioxide "pollution", outlawing of agricultural chemicals, the continued drive to less and less power consumption, more and more use of natural materials, the slowing of technical progress (except as relates to lotus land type entertainment products) combined with the debt crisis is many western states just says to me that western civilization has already past its peak and we're just riding the downhill slope into obscurity.

    You'll notice that the other competing states aren't calling for ends to power generation, ends to population replacement. China, India or the burgeoning Islamic religion that wants to create a new world state aren't going to be as liberal and caring to make themselves go extinct to save the planet. They'll keep generating power by whatever means possible whether it's building a new coal fired power plant a week or building newer technology nuclear reactors and they'll make sure their population controls don't drop below replacement rates. China has been easing up on their one child per family rules for a while now.

    If you want a place in the future you might as well do as I've seen many do now. Get your higher education and jobs in China or India. They'll be leading humanity into the future not the West.

    As for me, I'm just old enough to see this on it's way but will be cozily dead before the end really comes. (unless the US falters and doesn't raise it debt ceiling in time. Now that might be something to see. The cascade of state failures would be impressive.)
             

    1. Re:Enjoy what's left of western civilization by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Actually, it appears that only the EU, Australia and New Zealand are determined to destroy themselves; Canada, America and some other countries recently announced that they're having nothing to do with any more Kyoto-style suicide pacts.

    2. Re:Enjoy what's left of western civilization by Falconhell · · Score: 1

      Suicide pacts? Rubbish, Europe has has co2 trading for 5 years and is still alive.
      Someone has to act for the selfish morons that refuse to do anything about C02 emissions.

  69. And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

    Magic fairy dust? Oil will be out of the question by then. Too expensive. Natural gas will work - for a while, until everyone starts doing it and the remaining gas fields, which deplete *much* more quickly than oil fields start running out. Coal? That too, will work, for a while, but the situation there is analogous to peak oil. It's not that there isn't a lot of it; it's that what's left is expensive to get, with a much lower energy return than the cheap, close-to-the-surface, low sulfur coal we used to be able to get.

    2022 seems like a goodish date. IBGYBG as the saying goes and the public, shivering in their homes during the first cold winter, will start voting sensibly again.

    Oh, and before you start in with an innumerate response about how we'll replace it all with wind, solar and faith, I suggest you review some numbers at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cubic_mile_of_oil so you sound like less of an idiot.

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    1. Re:And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by parabyte · · Score: 1

      The "Cubic Mile of Oil"-numbers do show the opposite of what you are suggesting.

      Replacing one CMU with nuclear is the second most expensive alternative, only solar panels are more expensive. Building 2200 nuclear power plant is not only totally out of question, it would also deplete world uranium reserves within a decade.

      On the other Hand, building 1.6 Mio. wind turbines is the cheapest viable alternative. Germany alone already has about 22.000 of them, and they are profitable.

      Safe nuclear power is not commercially viable. The only reason why it looks cheap is because today's commercial reactors are unsafe by design and the risk costs are carried by the society.

      With the cheap nuclear reactors that are still being build today we will have a major nuclear disaster every 20-30 years, and the economic damage to the affected country is huge.

      Depending on the outcome, Fukushima probably will cost Japan more than has ever been saved by using nuclear power at all. Expect Japan to pay billions every year just to maintain the Fukushima ruin, and this might go on for hundreds of years.

      Just one Fukushima or Chernobyl type disaster in Germany would cost more than the transition to renewable sources.

      Of course a society can make the decision to take the gamble, but Germany has been hit hard from Chernobyl Fallout - in some areas in Bavaria deer still can not be consumed because the meat is too radioactive, and it will take about 200 years until the situation will be normal.

      The U.S. may not have such big problem when a few thousand square miles get polluted with radioactive fallout - the country is big.

      For a small country like Germany, one nuclear disaster might cause more damage than World War II.

      My guess is that within the next 30 years we will see another major nuclear disaster somewhere in the world, most probably in the U.S. or in France.

      I also expect that most planned nuclear reactors never will get built because even before Fukushima they were too expensive, and after Fukushima no sane Investor will sink money into it.

      Like about 80% of the german population I regard the decision to end nuclear power in Germany as a good one - not because I am afraid, but because it is an economically sound decision.

      p.

      --
      Without order, nothing can exist. Without chaos, nothing can be created.
    2. Re:And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      With the cheap nuclear reactors that are still being build today we will have a major nuclear disaster every 20-30 years, and the economic damage to the affected country is huge.

      Where do you get that number from? There's only been one major disaster in the entire history of nuclear power (two if you count Chernobyl, but that's not relevant to the kind of reactors used elsewhere), not one every 20 years. And that's with the old reactor designs. The probabilistic risk assessments show a significant reduction in severe accident frequency - 2 orders of magnitude or so - for new desgns.

      So, one disaster in about 10,000 reactor years of operation. Let's be pessimistic and say this costs $100 billion to clean up. That's $10 million per year per reactor, or about 2% of the value of the electricity. So no, it doesn't make it unreasonably expensive, especially considering the reduced probablity of accidents with new designs.

      The anti-nuclear arguments are notable for their lack of *quantitiative* assessments, even back of the envelope ones like mine above.

    3. Re:And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      $100 billion?
      Under Chancellor Kohl the cost of a major nuclear incident was calculated to be about €5000 billion. And his party, the CDU, was nuclear-friendly at this time.

    4. Re:And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by Tweenk · · Score: 1

      On the other Hand, building 1.6 Mio. wind turbines is the cheapest viable alternative. Germany alone already has about 22.000 of them, and they are profitable.

      They are profitable to their operators but not to the society, as they are supported by large subsidies.

      Safe nuclear power is not commercially viable. The only reason why it looks cheap is because today's commercial reactors are unsafe by design and the risk costs are carried by the society.

      Where is this risk?
      How many people died because of accidents at German NPPs? How many people died in Fukushima because of the nuclear accident (as opposed to direct effects of the earthquake and tsunami)? In both cases the answer is zero. Your perception of risk is very far from reality. People in Japan are evacuating to avoid 20 mSv per year of radiation, even though its negative effects are too small to measure below 50 mSv/year, and a dose of 100 mSv corresponds to only 0,5% higher chance of eventually dying from cancer (the normal chance is about 25%). That's how pervasive the anti-nuclear bullshit has become.

      With the cheap nuclear reactors that are still being build today we will have a major nuclear disaster every 20-30 years, and the economic damage to the affected country is huge.

      The Fukushima design was not built since the 70s. There is a second nuclear plant (Fukushima II) very close, and it did not suffer an accident, because its reactors are newer and the site is laid out differently. The economic damage from the nuclear accident is completely dwarfed by the damage from the tsunami.

      in some areas in Bavaria deer still can not be consumed because the meat is too radioactive

      Deer meat from Bavaria is not dangerous. This is simply a result of unscientifically low limits on radionuclides in food. The limit is usually computed by requiring that you can't get more than 1 mSv per year even if you ate the most contaminated meat as your only source of food. This level of paranoia cannot be justified in any way, as health effects below 50 mSv are undetectable.

      --
      Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
    5. Re:And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      On the other Hand, building 1.6 Mio. wind turbines is the cheapest viable alternative. Germany alone already has about 22.000 of them, and they are profitable.

      So, about five wind turbines per km^2 over all of Germany?

      Good luck with that.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I used to believe Germans were somewhat progressive. The sad fact they are turning away from nuclear power because of bad actors like Japan (really? 6 LARGE reactors at sea level all together?) and Russia just shows how hype and the loonies can take charge anywhere. Also, there is NO shortage of nuclear fuel. You can make nuclear fuel using breeder reactors so we can have nuclear power forever if we want (plus the US, Russia and other countries have a large reserve of fuel sitting in the ground that hasn't been mined). I wish Germany well, but they are will have to import power from somewhere and it will cost them ALOT. I just hope the US gets smart and builds the hundreds of reactors it needs before the world supply of oil becomes critically low.

    7. Re:And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by Bent+Spoke · · Score: 1
      " building 1.6 Mio. wind turbines is the cheapest viable alternative. "

      You misunderstand, CMO is used to show energy equivalences. Wind doesn't blow all the time (unlike the hot air on slashdot)...

    8. Re:And by 2022 they'll replace it with what? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Actually, an easy way to test this would be to demand that from a certain point on, all nuclear reactors have to have full insurance against any sort of damage they cause. If they are indeed that safe, it shouldn't be hard to get that insurance. If they can't get the insurance, they are obviously not safe, and therefore should be shut down.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  70. Tsunamis in Germany are frequent! by erroneus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Germans have long been known for their general intellect and logical reasoning. Here they are, reacting out of fear instead of surveying the situation and determining where safety can be improved. I'm dumbfounded.

    Nuclear power is just about the best there is. Zero emissions and fairly low maintenance. The only problems that seem to exist are those that could have been prevented with monitoring and maintenance.

    As energy-related disasters go, we have seen far more tragic things come from oil spills and coal mines than we have seen from nuclear plants and yet people aren't falling all over themselves demanding the shutdown of every coal and oil burning power plant. And the crap that comes from burning those do far more harm to humanity and wildlife -- noticed the problems with mercury in the fish? Fish used to be a healthy food and now it can give you cancer.

    Nuclear power is "scary." I get that. Guns are scary. Fear and reaction, fear and reaction. Stop running around like herds of animals and pause to think for a moment. Even Chernobyl hasn't caused a huge global impact on the planet and that one was pretty bad. People didn't start shutting down power plants then... why? Oh that's right, because it was the Russians who built that and we all know Russians don't built for safety or reliability so we can dismiss this case. But Japan? The Japanese are perfect and never put profits before safety so the problem must be the technology! Ban it!

    There is a big picture. People would do themselves a world of good to look at it once in a while.

    Dr. Bob. Dude, you're a nutbag. Take some time out and look at your world from an objective cause-and-effect perspective. My father's a freak like you -- thought he could cure muscular dystrophy with prayer and the anointing of oils. Now I have two dead half-brothers who suffered 'til the very last... oh if only we knew what chiropractic care could have done to heal their misery. Get with real life.

    1. Re:Tsunamis in Germany are frequent! by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      You might want to consider that we are doing this due to our logical reasoning skills. Your tsunami in germany-quip at least proves that yours are severely underdeveloped. Take the latest security reevaluation for example - for decades we got told that every containment would withstand an airliner crash. Turns out, most are not even able to resist a small plane. Yet another lie in an endless string of lies, downplays, bribery. It's perfectly reasonable to put this crap where it belongs.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    2. Re:Tsunamis in Germany are frequent! by greybox · · Score: 1

      "we got told" ugh.... well, I'm sure your superior reasoning skills tell you that if there's a containment concern it is correctable. Your superior reasoning skills would also tell you that you don't throw the baby out with the bath water.... your superior reasoning would also tell you that windmills and solar panels will never fill the bill..they can't... cover Germany in windmills and solar panels and they will still be buying energy elsewhere.... the creepy world of "feel good"

  71. Re:First in a long line I hope! by khallow · · Score: 5, Informative

    Did you know to this day 20% of Belarus's farmland is unusable?

    No, and you didn't know either because it isn't true. The original BBC story states that 20% of Belarus was contaminated by Chernobyl fallout. Much of that land (probably everything aside from a bit that lies within the Chernobyl exclusion zone) is being used.

    So tell me how do you plan on making all of the land usable again?

    You can always reuse such land for industrial purposes. Or plant a crop that aggressively absorbs cesium or other problem isotopes.

  72. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Even more dangerous is that they import natural gas from Russia.

    Then the Germans wonder how they have to please their new masters when Russia decides it isn't pleased with things and shuts off the gas. Especially in winter.

    Fleeing nuclear blindly has been a VERY large coup for the Russians. Now, Germany is their bitch because German citizens will die because they can't get heat in the winter if Russia decides it doesn't want to continue providing gas.

    Real stupid -- Germany has completely compromised its national security for to please the Greens, and the long term result, has not pleased them (you cannot appease a dictator... Europe should have learned this because appeasement cost millions of lives.)

  73. Re:First in a long line I hope! by countertrolling · · Score: 1

    Your first impression, before you read his history, was the correct one...The very last thing you should do is take him seriously.. And to him, we should only say, jolly good show..

    --
    For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
  74. Ambitious Task - feared ? by burni2 · · Score: 0

    It's interesting to see so many comments here which express a huge amount of narrow thinking (non-competitive sissy couch syndrome).

    The move is really ambitious, and the road to the end of nuclear fuel usage will be hard, but we (germans) want to take the chance, and end this status quo of dependence from nuclear energy and fossil fuels. The nuclear and coal plants won't be replaced by a single source of energy, they will be replaced by a combination, and yes russian natural gas is one step because the plants will are more efficient. But some people here say russian natural gas is bad, and well it's even as bad as to use gasoline made from crude oil coming from arabia, or owing China huge amounts of money.

    Actually we have a selection of technologies today at our hands and with such a vision and drive many german engineers will devellop these technologies further, it's not like that we are starting just now .. we will just speed it up a bit.

    - saving energy
    - better insulation
    - Wind Power
    - Solar Power
    - Water
    - Bio mass
    - Fuel Cells
    - Energy Storage ( synthesis gas, pressure containment, electrolysis, pump storage)

    Perhaps we (germans) will fail, but then we can proudly say that we tried !
    And if we are going to succeed paint the picture for yourself - I still say I smell fear !

    Some idiot said once: "We choose to go to the moon, not because it's easy but because it's hard. ..."

    1. Re:Ambitious Task - feared ? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      It's interesting to see so many comments here which express a huge amount of narrow thinking (non-competitive sissy couch syndrome).

      I'm totally with you! Maybe, as an encore, Germany could switch their entire food industry over to producing caviar. I'm sure that it would take a lot of getting used to, and might cuase some problems along the way, but it would be an ambitous project and the road to ending the meat-grains-and-dairy status quo being enforced by monopolistic Big Farmers. Perhaps you will fail, but then you can proudly say you tried! After all, some idiot once said "I chose to think, not because it is easy, but because it is hard!".

  75. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by Glock27 · · Score: 1

    so STILL going on about the same bullshit attitude ? 'nuclear power will never end' ? what's with this nuclear power morondom ?

    Nuclear power will never end. It will be used by the countries that succeed, versus the ones that'll be ever more irrelevant. Interesting that France will start selling nuclear generated power to Germany, eh?

    Then there's China, which has the foresight and will to invest heavily in thorium reactor technology. Good move, I hope the US wises up under the next (sane this time) administration!

    Watch and see what happens. ;-)

    --
    Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
    Score: -1 100% Flamebait
  76. Germany proclaims Global Warming a hoax! by readin · · Score: 0

    Since nuclear energy is the only viable alternative to energy sources that are high in green house gas emissions, I can only conclude from this news that the German government has decided that either global warming is not caused by man-made greenhouse gases, or that global warming isn't all that bad.

    The unwillingness of global warming alarmists to embrace nuclear energy seems to me, as someone who is not a full-time atmospheric scientist and who doesn't have 10 years to get a graduate degree in the field, to be strong evidence against the threat of man-made global warming.

    --
    I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    1. Re:Germany proclaims Global Warming a hoax! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyone's unwillingness to do anything seems to me - as someone who is not an atmospheric scientist but has an engineering degree and at least a modicum of training in the scientific method - to not be strong evidence of anything at all. Science is about observation, not attitudes. I understand you feel strongly about this, sorry it made you look like such a moron.

    2. Re:Germany proclaims Global Warming a hoax! by readin · · Score: 1

      In which part of your scientific training did they teach you name-calling?

      Do you insist on scientific proof before you do anything? Do you repeat the tests yourself to verify their accuracy? If so it must take you a long time to do anything. The rest of use realize that we have to make decisions less rigorously. Should I go get breakfast at Restaurant A where an acquaintance claims he saw a rat , or at restaurant B that has a Dept. of Health notice on the door? Hmmm... I really don't have time to test both places myself. It's not a question of science, it's a question of who I trust. Do I trust that the Dept. of Health used proper science methods? That they're not just a political agency that punishes people who don't donate to the right party or who fail to pay their bribes on time?

      Science is wonderful, but we don't get to make most of our decisions that way. Even decisions that should be based on science sometimes depend on which scientists we believe.

      Do you smoke? I understand that science has shown again and again that smoking is not harmful to your health. By your standards, you shouldn't consider the fact that the scientists were being paid by the tobacco industry to be "strong evidence" of anything.

      --
      I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    3. Re:Germany proclaims Global Warming a hoax! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't take much special training to spot the stupidity in a statement like "The unwillingness of global warming alarmists to embrace nuclear energy seems to me, as someone who is not a full-time atmospheric scientist and who doesn't have 10 years to get a graduate degree in the field, to be strong evidence against the threat of man-made global warming."

      Your rant in the second post - denouncing science as a tool for decisionmaking because you don't have time for it - makes it even easier.

  77. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Skarecrow77 · · Score: 1

    he is a meta-troll.

  78. So I take it that... by Spookticus · · Score: 0

    Germany is scared of getting hit by a tsunami or something?

  79. Re:I say we by Glock27 · · Score: 0

    this is the territory you need to worry about if Palin were to inherit the White House.

    LOL! Palin's grasp on the liberal mind is astonishing.

    I'd say brace yourself, Palin may just pull a Reagan and get herself elected. The Republican field is looking weak, and she will do well in the primaries. It's looking all but certain that she's going to run.

    --
    Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
    Score: -1 100% Flamebait
  80. Nuclear power is just about the best - hmmm by Dodgy+G33za · · Score: 2

    "Nuclear power is just about the best" Until it goes wrong. Which it always will because people cut corners, get complacent, don't plan for statistically inevitable events or are just plain stupid. And when it does the costs are astronomical - have you any idea of how much land in an area with a radius of twenty kilometres is worth in Germany?. If nuclear power plants had to ensure themselves fully, none would ever be built. Renewables are our future. They are clever enough to want to get a jump start on the rest of the world. Good luck to them. It is just a shame that my native Australia, with all it's natural advantages in that regard, is still wedded to coal.

    1. Re:Nuclear power is just about the best - hmmm by erroneus · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. "Always will." Really? Do you even know about modern reactor technology? The stuff that has had any problem at all is from the 50s and 60s. The stuff they are designing and building today is a great deal more fool-proof and less maintenance intensive. One that I know about actually allows for a hot shutdown with 100% safety.

      So in your "Always will" scenario, how does it factor in with the current track record which is far better than any other conventional power type? People are afraid of airplanes for similar reasons and I am willing to bet that you would use the rationale that planes are safer than cars for statistical reasons. Are you afraid to fly? And if not, why not? And if not, why doesn't the same rationale apply to nuclear power?

    2. Re:Nuclear power is just about the best - hmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Nuclear power is just about the best"

      Until it goes wrong. Which it always will because people cut corners, get complacent, don't plan for statistically inevitable events or are just plain stupid.

      And when it does the costs are astronomical - have you any idea of how much land in an area with a radius of twenty kilometres is worth in Germany?. If nuclear power plants had to ensure themselves fully, none would ever be built.

      Renewables are our future. They are clever enough to want to get a jump start on the rest of the world. Good luck to them. It is just a shame that my native Australia, with all it's natural advantages in that regard, is still wedded to coal.

      Even when it goes wrong, it's the best. I don't know if you have noticed, but Fukushima, isn't a fucking big deal. Less people died / have been hurt / have been contaminated to the point there will be long term effects than coal miners die in a year to supply a coal plant.

    3. Re:Nuclear power is just about the best - hmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait until the cancer statistics start rolling in.

    4. Re:Nuclear power is just about the best - hmmm by repapetilto · · Score: 1

      Erroneus... there is no such thing as 100% safety. Don't even say it. I am probably on your side in this debate. Anyway, I'm no expert in energy making, but I know not to listen to people who say that. Your 100% safety means that under conditions XYZ nothing bad happened. Theres always condition ZZ.

  81. Disasters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So are the Germans expecting to be hit by earthquakes and tsunamis then? After all the Japanese plants were fine before the disaster.
    I guess the rest of the world has come to the conclusion that since the US and China aren't going to do anything to reduce CO2 emissions, YTF should they

  82. Re:First in a long line I hope! by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

    Great news! The human species has suffered with health problems since we left the trees. However since the invention of radioactivity, there has been a direct link between the amount of radiation used in the world and spinal subluxations which cause ill health. Hopefully Germany is just the first in a long long of countries dumping radioactivity!

    Less nuclear power means more power from burning coal.

    You should read about the health effects associated with the uptake of the heavy metals released from burning coal. Spinal sublaxations will be the least of your problems if the world continues to increase their coal consumption.

  83. Mien Gott! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Du sprecken das kraut superduperlich !

  84. Insignificant by hypersql · · Score: 1

    Nuclear power is already relatively insignificant in Germany:
    just 20 out of 160 thousand megawatts

  85. Small thorium reactors are the way to go. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tuck them into underground concrete tubes and they are impregnable to nearly any disaster that wouldn't already kill everyone.

    http://www.thorium.tv/en/thorium_reactor/thorium_reactor_1.php

    Just drop the reactor they show in the drawing down into a 3.25 meter wide tube and cap it off with a 3 meter thick top cap of reinforced concrete.

    1. Re:Small thorium reactors are the way to go. by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      why small? safe thorium reactors can be big and centralized and guarded. Many little ones are still an attractive nuisance for terrorists to make impromptu dirty bombs. With the right construction equipment can quickly dig next to one in minutes and apply high explosives)

  86. I really don't care by lazy+genes · · Score: 0

    As long as I can pump up my fake ego by burning up the next generations energy.... whatever.

  87. Re:First in a long line I hope! by snl2587 · · Score: 2

    Yes, but I think the "1 in 2000 years" statistic includes Mark 1 reactors, which should have been phased out years ago.

    And I don't mean to sound pedantic, but "1 in 2000 years" does not mean "1 every 14 years" (and actually, "1 in 2000 years" was an improper way for the industry to state this to begin with). In this case, the industry was trying to refer to the core integrity, which is designed to last a very long time; its expected lifetime is several hundred years. Additionally, "end of life" does not refer to "catastrophic failure", and modern reactors have an absurdly low chance that even an accident would produce a meltdown, or even a large radiation leak.

    The only reason the "1 in 14 years" condition works, historically, is because the chance of failure for the Mark 1 containment reactors is much higher than the designed failure chance.

  88. Re:First in a long line I hope! by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 2

    The markets react.

    Shares of E.ON and RWE are getting hammered, Renewable Energy Corp, Vestas Wind, etc are up sharply today.

  89. Re:First in a long line I hope! by somersault · · Score: 1

    What modern computer systems can be trusted to work for 40 years plus?

    Any ones that are left powered on. Transistors last apparently indefinitely if you leave them powered on, it's only when cycling the power that you have a chance for them to blow (after the "infant mortality" period of a few weeks/months anyway). If you used network storage then you wouldn't need the main system to have any moving parts at all, and it would last ages.

    Why are you calling modern industrial computer setups "frail and vulnerable" anyway? It's not like anyone is going to be designing their nuclear power plant with a Windows box running all the essential control logic. Windows boxes might be used to monitor outputs and even to control some things, but they will be used in a situation where a BSOD/reboot is not going to cause everything to ASPLODE.

    --
    which is totally what she said
  90. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Patch86 · · Score: 1

    Compared to conventional burnt (chemical) fuel, like fossil fuel, wood fired stoves, etc.?

    http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/07/070709-china-pollution.html

    You're kidding yourself if you think chemical fuels are risk-free. Nuclear isn't without risks, and in an ideal world we'd have something better (like unlimited, ultra-efficient, cheap solar power). But for the time being, it's one of the best options we have (and far better than the only other serious competitors- coal and gas), and certainly not deserving of the ridiculous stigmatising heaped on it over the last few decades.

  91. /. at its best by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why the hell are some many uninformed comments marked insightful or informative?

    1) Germany has capacities to produce a hell lot more electricity than it actually needs.
    2) Estimates say Germany could easily switch off all nuclear power plants by 2017, and it would not need to import (nuclear) power.
    3) Solar and wind power are sky-rocketing in Germany.
    4) The short term gap will not be filled with coal, but with gas. Sure, that's not exactly great, but it will do until renewables can take that share as well.

    The actual issue at the moment and in 2022 is not the amount of power, but WHERE it is produced.
    The network isn't too well-prepared for decentralized energy production, and Germany is just starting to do something about that.

    Using nuclear power might be desirable with a small greedy look-ahead, but I suspect there will be many events in the future where Germany can easily take a "Told you." stance.

  92. Fukushima was done before the Tsunami hit.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ....and while large earthquakes are not frequent in Germany, they are bound to happen eventually, and the plants are not prepared.

  93. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

    Translation: I didn't effect me, so what do I care. Nice way of pissing on the victims graves.

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  94. Re:First in a long line I hope! by dabadab · · Score: 1

    That would be hydro, not nuclear.

    That hydro which needs huge dams that deeply affect the local ecosystem and which can (and DID) kill hundreds of thousands of people if they happen to fail?
    You gotta be kidding me.

    --
    Real life is overrated.
  95. Some facts about nuclear power in Germany by Hurga · · Score: 1

    There are 17 available nuclear power plants in Germany. While some were down for maintenance in 2010, the remaining ones produced 22.6% of Germany's electricity.

    Also in 2010, "green power" (electricity from regenerative sources) was at 16.5% in Germany.

    8 nuclear power plants have been shut down in the wake of the Fukushima disaster and will remain so. With 5 down for maintenance, this leaves Germany with currently only 4 running nuclear power plants. I didn't notice any recent shortage of electricity. And obviously green power has outpaced nuclear power already.

    And regarding the alleged expensiveness of green power, here's a Bloomberg article which claims it's keeping the power price down: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-21/solar-doubling-gas-glut-drive-down-german-power-prices-energy-markets.html

    There are plans to have Germany completely on green power by 2050. Should be possible.

  96. RTFA by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Merkel's spokesman Steffen Seibert said the plan would uphold four priorities: Germany's standing as a top global economy, an affordable and sufficient energy supply, climate protection and independence from energy imports.

    1. Re:RTFA by Hartree · · Score: 1

      "independence from energy imports."

      Good to know. must be all these large German oil and gas fields that keep them from having to import gas and oil from all over the world.

      Oh, you say they don't have so many of them?

      Russia and other oil/gas producers will be happy to fill the gap. But, it will increase their influence on Germany and the rest of Europe. See the food fight between Russia and Ukraine (or any of several others) over gas/oil passing through to Europe for example.

    2. Re:RTFA by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      That's why Germany and Russia are building pipeline at the bottom of the sea to transfer gas directly from Russia to Germany without any middle-men: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nordstream

      See, that's what planning is! No need for those pesky nuclear reactors when one could happily burn natural gas from Russia.

      Oh, CO2 emission target? What CO2 emission target?

    3. Re:RTFA by agw · · Score: 1

      With smaller local gas power plants, you can get very high efficiency (up to 90%), which is as good as it gets regarding fossil energy. Local, decentralized natural gas power plants are seen as the best "bridge technology" for the next two decades.

    4. Re:RTFA by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      90% efficiency is thermodynamically impossible in gas turbines. The electric generation efficiency of gas turbines is little less than in modern steam power plants. One can achieve 90% efficiency by using waste heat for residential heating, etc. But that's certainly possible with other types of fossil fuels.

      And 'bridge fuel' is total bullshit. It's not a 'bridge technology', it's a permanent shift away from CO2 reduction. Germany is looking at generating at least 50% of its power using fossil fuels for at least 30 more years, realistically.

      But that's to be expected considering the general dumbosity of the so called 'green' party.

    5. Re:RTFA by agw · · Score: 1
      Sure it's based on using waste heat, as I wasn't talking about electricity alone (who is?). Still 90% are 90%. Why would that be negative when trying to save some CO2?

      The topic was CO2 emission with natural gas from Russia.

      Your argument seems not to be that small local gas plants have the best efficiency and the best technology to bridge the gap, but that there actually is no gap and nuclear power is safe. Which are two different things.

    6. Re:RTFA by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      You won't get any greenhouse gas emissions using natural gas. CH4 is about twice as effective as carbon per mole of emitted CO2.

      However, the problem is in methane leaks. Methane is a much more powerful greenhouse gas than CO2 and just about 2% of leaking CH4 will negate all the benefits of natural gas.

      http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/6638

      So in practice a switch from nuclear to natural gas will increase global warming emissions.

    7. Re:RTFA by russotto · · Score: 1

      Germany has shitloads of lignite. If they want power and are willing to tell the environmentalists to suck it, they can burn that.

    8. Re:RTFA by Hartree · · Score: 1

      I somehow doubt Germany will, as you say, tell the environmentalists to suck it. They'll just import. Note the Nordstream project that's currently being built.

      Then they'll buy carbon offsets. Relatively expensive, but not as much as some other options.

      They'll just have to live with the geopolitical fallout.

    9. Re:RTFA by shermo · · Score: 1

      You're not getting 90% efficiency from burning fossil fuels. Modern day CCGTs can just break 60%.

      Unless your argument is that all waste heat is used to heat something that would have been resistively heated anyway. In which case you may as well burn your fuel at site and claim 100% efficiency, I guess. It makes as much sense.

      Maybe I'm missing something from your argument?

      --
      Insanity: voting in the same two parties over and over again and expecting different results
  97. Re:Major chance for proving viability of renewable by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    Think you could pick a more partisan source next time? I like to get my information from the most biased websites I can find, and that one doesn't quite make the cut. Maybe if they had a big hammer and sickle on the front page, and talked about the overthrowing of the proletariat through free energy for all ....

    Anyway, Germany already has some of the highest energy prices in Europe, and that's even with the government already subsidizing "renewable" energy. Unfortunately, they've recently decided to cut some of those subsidies, so the average price of electricity is expected to shoot up nicely over the next year. I can't WAIT to see the prices when they reach the kind of "renewable energy" levels you're talking about. I admit I'll be experiencing more than a little schadenfreude while watching Germans chose between keeping the lights on or keeping the fridge running.

  98. Re:I say we by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess you would say anything to freak people out and get them to think anything is better than deal with the insanity of Obama who has spent more in 2 years than any other President in history, causing the national debt to reach levels that are guaranteed to bankrupt the US. Obama who wants to tell doctors how much they can charge and how much they make but at the same time sue them out of existence because patients don't follow what the doctor's say. Yea Obama loves the fact the lawyers are shopping their venues so they get a jury that doesn't care about the facts, but is just pissed at doctors and want to see them punished with insane judgements. After all Obama is a lawyer and he has to be good to his fellow lawyers because he won't be President forever. Never mind most doctors come out of school with $400,000+ in debt and end up having to work for someone else because setting up your own practice with that level of debt is impossible, so they take whatever scraps of a job they are offered. Yep the insanity of Obama to spend 4 times what the government earns. Yea that is way better than the balanced budgets that Alaska has or the fact that all of Alaska got a check from the Alaska government. Yep let's all follow Obama in a hard core economic crash direct run to socialism rather than actually talk about the facts. Just brilliant. Let's just ignore the facts and react on blind emotion that has no basis at all. That's a perfect way to run a country on pure emotion and blind hate.

  99. That was easy by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    A Federal Environment Agency (UBA) report revealed that a rapid phase-out of nuclear energy would have only a modest impact on Germany’s economy.

    Daily Frankfurter Rundschau reported on Friday that an assessment by the agency found that if all nuclear power plants were shut down by 2017, electricity prices would increase by just 0.6 to 0.8 cents per kilowatt hour and there would be “no significant loss” in economic growth.

    A shut-down would “have substantial benefits and outweigh the modest increases in electricity prices,” the report said.

    The report also said the withdrawal could be achieved without the risk of electricity blackouts because “sufficient surplus reserve capacity” exists.

    It added that new power plants would need to be built to support the withdrawal but that Germany could rely on the rapid development of renewable energy sources as well as ultra-efficient natural gas-fired power plants.

    http://www.thelocal.de/national/20110527-35293.html

  100. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Patch86 · · Score: 1

    I feel like it does need mentioning, though: hydro can be pretty nasty when it goes wrong, too. Nuclear meltdowns may not be a barrel of laughs, but a burst damn would ruin your day too.

    http://disasterhistorian.blogspot.com/2010/03/bursting-dams.html

    I know you didn't actually argue on that point, but I though it needed mentioning all the same.

  101. Re:Major chance for proving viability of renewable by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Generating 17% from renewables is "leading the world"?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  102. I have bad new for you pro-nuke whiners : by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Germany has made a decision which will look like a very wise move 50 years
    from now.

    And all your whining will not change the course of Germany.

    So quit your bitching, you sorry bunch of knowitall fuck sticks.

  103. Lesser Evil. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    so whats the alteritive? Nukes have there downside but there A LOT better then Fossil fuel. I am all for solar or wind or tide power but it has to be practical.

  104. I couldn't resist by supaneko · · Score: 1

    With Social Democrat schemes in Germany, grid powers you! .....?

  105. Ukraine and Chernobyl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The ironic thing about Germany, is that other European nations with less regulations (and some with equal or more) will be building more nuclear power plants.

    For example, take Ukraine. Currently, about 50% of all electricity in Ukraine is nuclear power. Ukraine is the site of Chernobyl. Yet, Ukraine is planning on renewing and expanding their nuclear fleet in the next decades.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_Ukraine

    The largest nuclear power plant in Europe, the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, is located in Ukraine. In 2006, the government planned to build 11 new reactors by the year 2030, in effect, almost doubling the current amount of nuclear power capacity.[3] Ukraine's power sector is the twelfth-largest in the world in terms of installed capacity, with 54 gigawatts (GW).[2] Renewable energy still plays a very modest role in electrical output; in 2005 energy production was met by the following sources: nuclear (47 percent), thermal (45 percent), hydroelectric and other (8 percent).[3]

    So why is Ukraine going to build more nuclear plants? Energy security. Once the gas pipeline from Russia is built under the Baltic sea, Ukraine will get cut off unless they pay same rates as rest of Europe.

    So, Germany may just kill its nuclear plants. But lots of the neighbors will not be killing theirs. Keep in mind, that Germany also had plans to kill their nuclear plants after Chernobyl, then they flip flopped and now they flip flopped again.

    Does this mean Germans trust Ukrainians or French more than they do themselves to run these plants safely??

  106. Re:First in a long line I hope! by pe1rxq · · Score: 1

    Statisticly they are indeed relatively safe, however if something happens it happens on a big scale.
    That is just one part....
    (albeit not an un-important one)

    I have some wories about peak-uranium for one thing. Not all studies give the same answer (basicly anything from 1980 to never) but it is something to take into account.

    --
    Secure messaging: http://quickmsg.vreeken.net/
  107. Idiocracy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why is this tagged with "idiocracy"? Getting rid of a megadeath technology is idiotic? Wait until you'll have your own nuclear power accident with millions of dead people, you asked for it!

  108. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by pnewhook · · Score: 1

    Nuclear has the lowest fatality rates of any power source, and is the only true green technology with no emissions whatsoever. No it's not perfect but it is the best source of power we have today.

    --
    Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
  109. Nothing to see here by qbrick · · Score: 2

    The pro-nucular bias of the Slashdot audience is always amazing - technocratic and enomically ignorant.
    Germany's government effectively reinstalled the former agreement which hasalready been set up with the German nuclear industry years ago, today. There is nothing new here so stop standing and looking. Germany is researching ways of substituting the meager 22% (before the most recent de-plugs of the older plants) of its Atomkraftanteil. There is a chance that other economies will ask for what Germany has to offer someday - not just on the field of renewables but also how to get rid of defunct plants and other still unsolved problems of nuclear power generation.
    What the country is doing now has a grounding, or do you really think the Germans with their fetish realationship to their industry production would do such a thing head-over-heels?

    http://de.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Datei:Strommix-D-2010.svg&filetimestamp=20110323124037

    1. Re:Nothing to see here by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      the meager 22%

      I'd be careful with such epithets, given that it's more than the total energy production from "green" sources in Germany today.

  110. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No emission whatsoever? Oh, you've solved the permanent storage of nuclear waste problem? Let's hear it. You'll get a nobel price for that one. Current temporary storage facilities have "emissions" in the form of radioactive water due to leaks.

  111. Base load and wind energy by xehonk · · Score: 3, Interesting

    While personally I would prefer a nuclear over a fossil fuel plant, I read that nuclear reactors are too slow to react to the highly variable energy production by wind turbines and photo-voltaic installations which make up an increasingly large percentage of the energy production in Germany.

    If this is true, keeping the existing reactors running for an extended period would not be beneficial towards the goal of migrating to renewable energy sources.

    The only source I can find for this at the moment is http://www.taz.de/1/zukunft/umwelt/artikel/1/so-bleiben-sie-atomkraftgegner/ (in german) - I would love to hear someone with a better understanding of the subject matter than me address this (and maybe to the other claims in the article).

    1. Re:Base load and wind energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I read that nuclear reactors are too slow to react to the highly variable energy production by wind turbines and photo-voltaic installations which make up an increasingly large percentage of the energy production in Germany.

      Wouldn't that mean the eventual grid enhancement required to buffer and manage renewables has no reason to be delayed irrespective of the form of base load selected? Distribution network could be developed independently, just as the vision for EU electricity markets, that is separate production and distribution, dictates..

    2. Re:Base load and wind energy by Prune · · Score: 1

      Self-contained, largely autonomous, small scale pebble-bed reactors can easily be brought online and offline in a quick manner. But there's more money to be made by overspending and abusing subsidies in large plant construction.

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    3. Re:Base load and wind energy by jiadran · · Score: 1

      There are lots of comments about increasing the load of the electric grid due to more electrical vehicles, etc. and that green energy sources, such as wind, cause problems with the base load. Well, this development can actually help! For instance, the Edison project (http://www.edison-net.dk/) aims at installing an intelligent charging network. Wind or solar power fails due to changing weather conditions, and the charging of batteries for EVs is simply interrupted for a while.

    4. Re:Base load and wind energy by xehonk · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry if I didn't state my question clearly. The claim in the article is about the currently running reactors.

      I don't think any majority can be gained in Germany in the near future for building new reactors - even if they would be safer, more economic or more flexible than the current ones. So while gen 4 reactors might be a solution, they're not feasible in the current political climate and hence not a viable solution to the problem stated in the article.

      Can you give any insights relevant to the current situation?

    5. Re:Base load and wind energy by Shrike82 · · Score: 1

      Wind or solar power fails due to changing weather conditions, and the charging of batteries for EVs is simply interrupted for a while.

      And the lives of everyone using an EV are similarly disrupted in a non-predictable and highly disruptive fashion. How would the national economy be affected people not turning up for work, or being stranded in the city because their vehicles aren't charged?

      --
      You can advertise in this sig from as little as £99.99 a month!
    6. Re:Base load and wind energy by jiadran · · Score: 1

      Wind can stop almost immediately. Most wind turbines will continue to produce energy for approximately one minute. This is not enough for conventional power plants to power up, hence currently a high base load is needed. If you can, lets say, power up a conventional power plant within one hour (and maybe wind resumes by then as well), then if you charge your car over night the car will still be charged in the morning. The system will simply optimize the exact times when the car is being charged.

      Additional option: Most people don't need 100% of the charge for most days. A user can choose what kind of guarantee is needed. For a normal trip to work (e.g., 50km) 50% would be enough. So the user goes for a cheaper charge for e.g., 70%. The system guarantees only 70%, but if energy is available, the battery will actually be charged more. If the user needs a higher charge (e.g., for a business trip or vacation), the user can choose a guaranteed higher charge but will have to pay more (as the system has less flexibility).

      Wind energy and EVs each pose important problems when seen individually. Together they extend each other nicely to solve the individual problems.

  112. Cernobyl cancer deaths by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    The excess cancer deaths from Chernobyl alone are expected to be between 30,000 and 60,000 http://www.chernobylreport.org/?p=summary

    Looks like nuclear power is doing its durndest to catch up with coal, which has been around longer and so has quite a head start.

  113. herp derp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    pussies

  114. Impact on Libya by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This means that Germany will concentrate on Libya and not on technology to solve energy problems.

  115. Re:First in a long line I hope! by LavouraArcaica · · Score: 1

    Right now we know that mark 1 reactors are flawed. At the time they built until the first major accident, no. There is a excessive hubris that makes people to believe in all new technologies and marking as '-1' comments that try to point it out.

  116. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    A full 17% of their energy is provided by renewable sources, well on track to meeting their 18% goal by 2020.

    Nuclear comprises only 11% of Germany's energy generation as of 2009.

    For a value of 11% that is supprisingly close to 27%

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  117. Re:Where are the fuksters now ? by pnewhook · · Score: 1

    Current temporary storage facilities don't all 'leak'. That's just nonsense.

    --
    Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
  118. earthquake by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  119. Investment... by tjlaxs · · Score: 1

    I think I'm investing in Finnish nuclear plants. I bet they are useful in the future europe.

    --
    tlax says: "Lol".
  120. Bloom Fuel Cells by protektor · · Score: 1

    Does Germany have some secret plan to replace all their their nuclear power plants with a huge pile of Bloom fuel cells stashed all around the country taking a load off the main power grid? I would love to see mass production of these fuel cells so that everyone or at least every apartment complex would have one and reduce the load on the power grid and reduce the miles of power lines needed to provide power. The amount of power lost due to power lines over a large distance isn't insignificant. Not to mention in the US so many power lines are not buried, so weather and other disasters cause problems with the power lines.

    http://www.fastcompany.com/1557348/bloombox-bloom-box-fuel-cell-60-minutes-kleiner-perkins-kr-sridhar-green-energy-google

    They are not pie-in-the-sky. E-bay, Google and a few other silicon valley companies are already using them to help reduce their load on the power grid. Not to mention I would assume reduce electrical costs as well.

  121. Idiots, thorium nuclear is bay far the best... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Idiots, thorium nuclear is bay far the best solution. Solar and wind simply cannot convert the amount of energy we need for the future.

    The German government is obviously a bunch of complete idiots. I feel sorry for the German people.

  122. Re:Major chance for proving viability of renewable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is a groundbreaking turn from the country already leading the world in renewable energy.

    not a groundbreaking turn at all - the current government is merely backing out of its own plans to steer away from a process that had been running since 2000.

  123. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's plenty of untapped hydro power potential in the far north of Canada, it's true. However, it means *enormous* capital investment, huge transmission losses to get it to markets far away (even within Canada), flooding and rearrangement of entire drainage systems, et cetera. On top of that, people DO live in the far north, and would be profoundly affected by these sorts of changes. One of the negative aspects of the James Bay projects, for example, has been contamination of downstream fisheries by mercury due to its release from drowned vegetation in the upstream reservoirs.

    Finally, we'd really be screwed if we invest all that money and precipitation patterns change due to global climate change, and there is a long-term drought. For that matter, rearranging drainages on this scale could have other climatic effects (e.g., changing freshwater supply to the Arctic Ocean). It's useful having multiple energy options, and I'm generally for more hydro power investment, but it isn't without its negative impacts. Throwing all our eggs into hydro power would be risky.

  124. A better headline by petes_PoV · · Score: 1
    Better; This week, the coalition of German political parties have a policy to ....

    (it's not worth filling in the blank as I expect it to change the next time there's an election or when the higher power bills start arriving - whichever is the sooner.)

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
  125. Power Import by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    We have to remember that Germany is able to have interminent source of electricity through renewables due to the fact that it has many interconnects with neighbouring countries like france etc and is able to import electricity when required and export electricity when wind is at it's max... So in a sense it is made possible by the fact that France has nuclear power at base load and has capacity to export electrcity..

  126. Re:First in a long line I hope! by LateArthurDent · · Score: 1

    No debate with your points. But here are some other insights...

    Did you know to this day 20% of Belarus's farmland is unusable?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belarus

    The problem is that nuclear has serious longterm issues like this. Sure there are less immediate deaths, but the longer term deaths related to nuclear are much higher. This is the fault of humanity that can't look beyond the next Apple announcement.

    So tell me how do you plan on making all of the land usable again? Oh wait I forgot you are not near any of these disasters and as such could not shive a ghit. Until it happens in your backyard!

    Compared to the alternatives, coal or even hydro, that's still pretty good. Especially when you consider Chernobyl was a freak accident that absolutely can never happen again because nobody uses graphite control rods anymore. There was an actual meltdown at Fukushima, care to tell me just how much farmland was lost there? You'd be surprised to find out that the impact is minimal, and that's pretty much as bad as it can get with a nuclear reactor these days. More modern designs with passive cooling can't even get THAT bad.

  127. Yeah. Right. by Qbertino · · Score: 1

    Yeah. Right. Total non-sense. German overreaction and wimpyness.
    The last time I heard that it was as german funds, banks and privateers were hesitant to invest in the US housing market.

    Listen:
    This is the nation that had a significant influence in the invention of nuclear power. THEY INVENTED THE F*CKING STUFF! Nuclear plants all over the planet are run with german hightech. And yet, in this nation of Über-technologist, the effing government party, the CDU, well know to lube up and bend over for the industrial complex in general (and the gridpower giants in particular) whenever the occasion arises
    has concluded that

    a) The risk is to high.
    b) The long-term costs hugely outweigh the benefits of nuclear power.
    c) Nobody, and I mean *NOBODY* can take on responsibility for their deadly toxic garbage for a time period of 50 000 years.
    d) There are no eternally safe storages for nulear waste.
    e) The existing safe storages for nuclear waste are leaking as we speak and the Atomaufsichtsbehörden have a huge f*cking problem on their hands. Which taxpayers will have to pay up for.
    d) It's easier than we thought to cover all power needs with renewable sources, *excluding* the burning of coal and/or oil.

    They've shut down Kalkar, before it even was finished.
    There wasn't even a particularly huge protest wave about that one, compared to AKW Brokdorf. And yet they shut it down *after* it had already become the most expensive building in the history of mankind. (More expensive than the Pyramids in Egypt measured in GDP equivalent!)

    They shut down the reprocessing plant WAA Wackersdorf. Not the protesters, which were quite vocal I might add. Some beancounter in the fricking ultra conservative techno-romantic Bavarian state-government figured the numbers just didn't add up and canceled the damn thing with the stroke of a pencil. .... And on and on and on ...

    Believe me, I too wish it were different. Harnessing the power of the sun and universe here on earth to do great powerful things, Foo Foo Wah Wah. And all that 70ies technocratic romanticism. I'm all for it, really. Heck, my Grandpa worked with Grumman on the lunar lander, as did my dad. I'd love to have a working technocracy, I'm a nerd-kid of the 70ies, for crisakes!

    BUT:

    The current state of net-positive nuclear power is to risky, to expensive to build, to expensive to maintain, the waste can't be stored safely for the required amount of time, etc. pp.
    And nuclear power thus IS NOT FEASIBLE!.
    Those are the facts. End of story.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
  128. You don't understand nuclear waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear waste of long half life is very weak radioactively (U235 is much more likely to kill you by good old fashionned heavy emtal poisonning). On the covnerse very short half live means evry radioactive. The reason is simply, if you have 1 mole with an activity of 10000 years , using the reverse exponential law, you get only a few beckerel, whereas with a half life of a few minutes you will get enormous quantity of beckerel. Naturally it also then depends if your radioactivity is beta, gamma or alpha. Unless ingested alpha is relatively easily stopped and in comparison much less dangerous than gamma or beta.

    The bottom line is that a 10000 year radioactive waste is much much less dangerous than the 100 year half life one. So the problem is not, and has NEVER been the waste which will be there in 20000 years. The problem is the short lived one , and the eventual secondary decays. And frankly, all things considered, we have much greater problem with toxic waste, than with radioactive waste.

  129. Re:First in a long line I hope! by UnanimousCoward · · Score: 1

    Your valid points are obscured by your citing of 64 confirmed Chernobyl deaths. Even though you clarify yout point, why cite that number?

    Did you also know that a second explosion there might have rendered half of Europe uninhabitable? Care to address that?

    --
    Twelve-and-three-quarter inches. Unyielding. This wand belonged to Bellatrix Lestrange.
  130. But... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    But there's a smaaaaaal issue.

    The nominal power output is about 4 times the average output. Yep, inland wind farms typically work at 25% of their nominal power. Offshore wind powerplants can reliably produce about 50% of their nominal power.

    That's a dirty little secret of wind power.

  131. Nope, they aren't by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Most of these so called 'studies' assume that:
    1) There won't be growth in electric power consumption.
    2) There'll be significant improvements to the whole grid.
    3) There'll be significant improvements to the generating technology.
    4) Capital is unlimited.
    5) Optimal circumstances for their particular brand of renewable power are universal.

    I haven't yet seen _any_ report which doesn't make at least two of these assumptions.

    Realistically, it's either fossil fuels or nuclear power for the next 50 years or so.

  132. Re:First in a long line I hope! by PhrstBrn · · Score: 1

    Yeah, but what happens when you pummel transistors with ionized radiation? Oh....

  133. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Barbara,+not+Barbie · · Score: 1

    Quebec is a net importer of electricity from Ontario in the winter, when demand is higher (electric heating) and capacity is lower (low reservoir levels - it doesn't rain in the winter - unless you count ice storms).

    Also, the history of the James Bay project is instructive - it was supposed to cost under $4 billion, not $16.7 billion. If it hadn't been for the energy crisis, James Bay would have been a white elephant.

    So now Charest (Quebec premier) wants to propose an $80 billion northern development? Quebec's economy lags almost every province and state in North America already (hint: it ranks 53rd out of 60 - even Newfies make more money per capita). Tax rates to support this are already the highest in North America (hint #2 - a quebecer making minimum wage pays as much tax to Quebec as an ontarioan making $50k a year pays to Ontario).

    The money simply isn't there. The solution is simple: Kick Quebec out of confederation and revert the borders of Quebec to what they were at confederation, well before the Feds gave control of northern Quebec to the province. This ends the $8 billion a year equalization payments fiasco as well. It also ends the problem of politicians sucking up to separatists (like Layton in the last election).

    --
    Let's call it what it is, Anti-Social Media.
  134. Why nuclear power will never supply the world.. by iiiears · · Score: 0

    Why nuclear power will never supply the world's energy needs May 11, 2011 by Lisa Zyga http://www.physorg.com/news/2011-05-nuclear-power-world-energy.html/ As Abbott notes in his study, global power consumption today is about 15 terawatts (TW). Currently, the global nuclear power supply capacity is only 375 gigawatts (GW). In order to examine the large-scale limits of nuclear power, Abbott estimates that to supply 15 TW with nuclear only, we would need about 15,000 nuclear reactors. In his analysis, Abbott explores the consequences of building, operating, and decommissioning 15,000 reactors on the Earth, looking at factors such as the amount of land required, radioactive waste, accident rate, risk of proliferation into weapons, uranium abundance and extraction, and the exotic metals used to build the reactors themselves. âoeA nuclear power station is resource-hungry and, apart from the fuel, uses many rare metals in its construction,â Abbott told PhysOrg.com. âoeThe dream of a utopia where the world is powered off fission or fusion reactors is simply unattainable. Even a supply of as little as 1 TW stretches resources considerably.â His findings, some of which are based on the results of previous studies, are summarized below. Land and location: One nuclear reactor plant requires about 20.5 km2 (7.9 mi2) of land to accommodate the nuclear power station itself, its exclusion zone, its enrichment plant, ore processing, and supporting infrastructure. Secondly, nuclear reactors need to be located near a massive body of coolant water, but away from dense population zones and natural disaster zones. Simply finding 15,000 locations on Earth that fulfill these requirements is extremely challenging. Lifetime: Every nuclear power station needs to be decommissioned after 40-60 years of operation due to neutron embrittlement - cracks that develop on the metal surfaces due to radiation. If nuclear stations need to be replaced every 50 years on average, then with 15,000 nuclear power stations, one station would need to be built and another decommissioned somewhere in the world every day. Currently, it takes 6-12 years to build a nuclear station, and up to 20 years to decommission one, making this rate of replacement unrealistic. Nuclear waste: Although nuclear technology has been around for 60 years, there is still no universally agreed mode of disposal. Itâ(TM)s uncertain whether burying the spent fuel and the spent reactor vessels (which are also highly radioactive) may cause radioactive leakage into groundwater or the environment via geological movement. Accident rate: To date, there have been 11 nuclear accidents at the level of a full or partial core-melt. These accidents are not the minor accidents that can be avoided with improved safety technology; they are rare events that are not even possible to model in a system as complex as a nuclear station, and arise from unforeseen pathways and unpredictable circumstances (such as the Fukushima accident). Considering that these 11 accidents occurred during a cumulated total of 14,000 reactor-years of nuclear operations, scaling up to 15,000 reactors would mean we would have a major accident somewhere in the world every month. Proliferation: The more nuclear power stations, the greater the likelihood that materials and expertise for making nuclear weapons may proliferate. Although reactors have proliferation resistance measures, maintaining accountability for 15,000 reactor sites worldwide would be nearly impossible. Uranium abundance: At the current rate of uranium consumption with conventional reactors, the world supply of viable uranium, which is the most common nuclear fuel, will last for 80 years. Scaling consumption up to 15 TW, the viable uranium supply will last for less than 5 years. (Viable uranium is the uranium that exists in a high enough ore concentration so that extracting the ore is economically justified.) Uranium extraction from seawater: Uranium is mos

    --
    15TW = 15,000 Nuclear Reactors. (Approx. one accident a month.)
    1. Re:Why nuclear power will never supply the world.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Somebody can't do math - a LARGE nuclear power plant can generate up to 50 gigawatt hours. If the world usage is 15 terawatt hours that means we need a total of 30 LARGE nuclear power plants.

    2. Re:Why nuclear power will never supply the world.. by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Somebody can't do math

      EPIC FAIL!
      30 x 50 is not 15000!

  135. Re:First in a long line I hope! by snl2587 · · Score: 1

    If you discount the very first accident (at a testing center, and having nothing to do with the core), then the first "real" (read: injury, death, or radiation leakage) accident was in 1975. The warnings about Mark I reactors began in 1972.

  136. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It also ends the problem of politicians sucking up to separatists (like Layton in the last election).

    Eh? Don't you think it's more likely that a separatist would vote BQ rather than NDP?

    Who exactly should the Quebecois have voted for to keep your highness ungrumpy?

  137. Re:First in a long line I hope! by camperslo · · Score: 1

    Yes, of course, no one in their right mind would ever consider allowing critical systems to trust any data that matters from potentially creaky, cranky, or otherwise afflicted PCs regardless of the OS.
    More detail would be redundant.

    Hardware failures are something that I'm sure is planned on, not something to be denied. Things like metal migration in semiconductors and dried out electrolytic capacitors are examples of long-term failure that don't show up in burn-in or as infant mortality. Good luck in finding a PC power supply that would be trustworthy after 40 years without maintenance. Redundant or stored identical spare supplies would tend to suffer from the same ailments. I'm sure they'd be freshness dated. Transistors do well but some fail. (of historical interest, some older germanium transistors would short out from tin whiskers growing inside even when not in use, see NASA analysis http://www.vintage-radio.info/whiskers/ )

    It's easier to trust someone that has designed a system and expects, accommodates, and acknowledges failures than someone who claims they've built something that won't fail in 40 years.

  138. Re:Major chance for proving viability of renewable by SD-Arcadia · · Score: 1

    Partisan? Ofcourse, it's a politicised issue! Do you cry "partisan!" if i link to Dawkins in a creationism vs. evolution debate? No? Obviously what matters is if the arguments are valid not that some people are "partisan" to the arguments.
    Hammer and sickle and the proletariat? please grow up beyond the mind of a cold war victim. ("overthrowing of the proletariat" made me laugh though, next time try "the proletariat overthrowing capitalism" or similar to avoid embarassment)
    If you had spent half the time writing this drivel to actually research this issue, you would know that fossil and nuclear have been subsidized through the roof for half a decade now, right from R&D to purchasing guarantees to insurance. Subsidized renewables? On an absolute scale sure (and we should have more of that), on a scale relative to non-renewable energy, renewable subsidies are a joke.

    --
    https://dalgamotor.wordpress.com/ - Elektronik beyinlere ozgurluk asisi (Turkish)
  139. Re:Major chance for proving viability of renewable by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    Partisan? Ofcourse, it's a politicised issue! Do you cry "partisan!" if i link to Dawkins in a creationism vs. evolution debate? No? Obviously what matters is if the arguments are valid not that some people are "partisan" to the arguments.

    It's nice of you to assume that my answer would be "no", but you happen to be wrong. Debates are pointless. Trotting out the newest poster boy for either side isn't particularly convincing. I want to see hard data from a non-partisan source, not talking points repeated ad-nauseum.

    Hammer and sickle and the proletariat? please grow up beyond the mind of a cold war victim. ("overthrowing of the proletariat" made me laugh though, next time try "the proletariat overthrowing capitalism" or similar to avoid embarassment)

    It's true, I'm not up on my double-speak. Never needed it much. Thanks for the lesson!

    If you had spent half the time writing this drivel to actually research this issue, you would know that fossil and nuclear have been subsidized through the roof for half a decade now, right from R&D to purchasing guarantees to insurance. Subsidized renewables? On an absolute scale sure (and we should have more of that), on a scale relative to non-renewable energy, renewable subsidies are a joke.

    Now that's funny, right there :)

  140. Disappointed by atomicbutterfly · · Score: 0

    I would have thought Germany, with it's technological leanings and expertise, would have been more resistant to knee-jerk reactions about nuclear power. But I guess politicians are the same no matter where you are - a bunch of pussies.

    1. Re:Disappointed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't call it knee-jerk reaction. The decision to phase-out nuclear power by 2020 was made about ten years ago:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_phase-out#Germany

  141. Why faze out nuclear? by Wandering+Fire · · Score: 1

    Nuclear is a great power source. Sometimes stuff blows up but it is almost always because of human error.

  142. Re:First in a long line I hope! by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1

    Even if you were correct, that age is the most important factor, then why is that the fault of nuclear power in general, and not the governments for a fire-and-forget attitude?

    It's easier to dump nuclear power than get rid of corrupt and lazy regulators, arrogant and secretive companies and a huge cloud of deluded online denialists.

    --
    "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
  143. Re:First in a long line I hope! by CrackedButter · · Score: 1

    'ASPLODE' - scat reference?

  144. Re:First in a long line I hope! by dave420 · · Score: 1

    You do realise designs and operating procedures like Chernobyl's would never be adopted for either regulatory or financial reasons. You are showing your ignorance of nuclear power if you bring up crap like Chernobyl. By your logic skyscrapers shouldn't be built because thousands of people died in some on 9/11. You are merely skimming the surface of what happened at Chernobyl, conflating several incredibly-different concepts and technologies, and vomiting up your ignorance for everyone to see.

  145. The media is that powerful? by loufoque · · Score: 1

    The media is so sensationalist that it managed to make people seriously believe that nuclear plants were very dangerous, to the point of forcing Germany, the main power behind the EU, to throw its economy and society down the gutter, depend more on other countries, and pollute more?

    Nice.

  146. Germany's CO2 per capita is half of US by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Please keep in mind that Germany's CO2 emission per capita is half of US and Germany has committed to CO2 reduction targets. The way forward will be not more coal but saving of energy.

    Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_dioxide_emissions_per_capita

  147. Re:First in a long line I hope! by snl2587 · · Score: 1

    It's easier to dump nuclear power than get rid of corrupt and lazy regulators, arrogant and secretive companies and a huge cloud of deluded online denialists.

    Well that's a pretty generic argument. Seems you could substitute just about anything for "nuclear power": "coal power", "privatized health insurance", "the military-industrial complex", "Soylent Green", etc.

    Joking aside, the only "deluded online denialists" are the ones screaming to keep all current nuclear power plans operational (this, sadly, makes up most of the "huge cloud"...people just as uninformed as most nuclear opponents). But the fact remains that the modern nuclear reactor designs cannot produce the types of runaway reactions that led to the major meltdowns of old. No delusion, just physics.

  148. Re:First in a long line I hope! by JMJimmy · · Score: 0

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_Germany

            * Oil 34.6%
            * Bituminous coal 11.1%
            * Lignite 11.4%
            * Natural gas 21.7%
            * Nuclear power 11.0%
            * Hydro- and wind power 1.5%
            * Others 9.0%

  149. Re:First in a long line I hope! by DurendalMac · · Score: 1

    Yeah, now you really have shown yourself to be a troll (as if there was any doubt). Can't you find a more constructive use for your time? Why not jerk off more like the rest of us?

  150. It's all bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    simple fact is that modern civilization in it's present form is unsustainable. am i saying modern civilization will collapse? no. worst-case scenario, life becomes very wretched and expensive as the Earth becomes less able to sustain modern civilization. how bad will it get and how soon? i don't know, but i'm glad i won't be alive 100 years from now.

    what can be done to make modern civilization sustainable?
    1. Population control
    2. lots of directions to go here...
    a.
    - move power generation and manufacturing to the moon or other lifeless bodies in space.
    - find cheap methods of transporting energy and goods from those extra-terrestrial locations.
    - find cheap methods of reusing waste on Earth or transporting it off Earth
    b.
    - practical fusion
    - find cheap methods of reusing waste on Earth
    c.
    - improve and rely solely on solar, wind, hydro, and other forms of clean, natural energy generation here on Earth
    - improve energy efficiency of all devices
    - find cheap methods of reusing waste on Earth

    Please note that while there are many options for #2, Population Control is a required part of the solution. The more successful #2 is, the less population control you need.

  151. Solar power in Sahara by danhaas · · Score: 1

    If this goes off, Germany won't have much trouble shutting down their nuclear plants.
    Solar has the potential to power the entire world, even with current efficiencies. Direct conversion of solar to eletricity is good for small devices only, if you want to generate MWs with low cost and environmental impact you want to boil water and use the good ol turbines.

      What we need is good transmission lines (those guys want to do it with DC lines, but a hot superconductor would be ideal), political stability, and people willing to work in desertic areas.
    As for the night time, there are ways of storing the thermal energy generated during the day.

    Renewables are more expensive and pesky than oil, and it is not the magic bullet of fusion power, but yes, we can stop burning oil and coal and live just fine.

  152. Good! by Falconhell · · Score: 2

    Excellent news. News . Watch the pro nuke shills go ballistic with their ususal lies now. (:

  153. That's right - it was just 1970s PR by dbIII · · Score: 1

    And also back in reality (instead of nuclear reactors run on magic beans land) nobody has yet seen any of those "radioactive particles" coming out of the stack despite the technology to do so being available since the 19th century (spectroscopy). They haven't put up since the wild claims of 1978 so it's time to shut up.

    Coal kills a lot of real people in real ways without making shit like this up. This radioactive coal bullshit was part of a stupid 1970s PR campaign to attempt to make the general public worry less about nuclear waste from civilian nuclear power plants. It should be buried and forgotten like all other old lies in advertising. There's almost a weekly death toll of coal miners in accidents let alone the other problems with coal - it's a pity idiots like the GP poster don't focus on real things like that instead of a failed PR fantasy.

  154. It's worse than that by dbIII · · Score: 1

    It's worse than that - it wasn't a study but a newsletter article by a guy better known for his books about cars and moonshining. Near the end of the article it goes on about how OMG terrorists! can make an OMG nuclear bomb! from the ash heaps at power stations. Getting an idea of the bullshit level yet? Meanwhile using the data from his references you can show that it would take more than 220,000 tons of the most radioactive coal he could find to equal enough material to give you the famous banana dose! Work it out for yourself from his numbers and googling banana dose in equivalent units if you like. The article citing the bullshit in the newsletter article was very much a low point for Scientific American.
    Coal kills real people in real ways without this PR driven fantasy of "coal is nuclear too".

  155. foolishness by greybox · · Score: 0

    E=MC2 if you understand it even to a small degree you understand windmills and solar panels are in large part foolishness.... we can run the entire city of San Francisco on just 6 oz. of matter and do so for 5 full years..... Nuclear... renewable energy is what airheads dream of. It will never replace Nuclear or come even close... it's folly. Nuclear is by far superior to anything we have, including gas, oil, coal..... don't build on faults or any other unstable platforms and Nuclear is extremely safe and the waste is easily housed and managed.... it's politics and ignorance ( suppose I'm being redundant) that has the uneducated frightened of Nuclear.

  156. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    That's energy, not electricity. It includes oil for transport and coal for heating,

    Everyone else is talking about electricity.

    (It's also out of date - Germany currently generates about 17% of it's electricity from renewables, not the ~3% wikipedia shows).

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  157. "Ancient crap"? Here's a source for you... by LongearedBat · · Score: 1
  158. Mass Hysteria by AmigaMMC · · Score: 1

    Another good example of Mass Hysteria by the idiotic crowd. People are afraid of nuclear power because of what happened in Japan. Well, there was a 9.1 earthquake in Japan (which didn't even damage the powerplants) followed by a massive tsunami. What Germany got do do with it? Italy is going to a referendum and it's said that close to 90% will vote against nuclear power. People are stupid, but here on /. we already knew that.

    1. Re:Mass Hysteria by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And judging without being wholly aware of the situation in Germany - the arguments used in this discussion, its tradition etc. - is the opposite of stupid.

      Wait - it is not!

      Even in the summary of the article above it said that Germany was already due to end nuclear power by 2022 until Merkels government prolonged it until the 2030s. What the summary does not say is: This move was against public opinion. The Fukushima incident only reinforced this public opinion, thus forcing Merkel to retract it.
      Germany was against nuclear power well before 2011.

  159. Re:"Ancient crap"? Here's a source for you... by siddesu · · Score: 1

    I did not see any numbers about the amount of radioactive substances in that footnote, just "among which". Care to provide a link to actual numbers that support the claim in the GP's link?

  160. Re:First in a long line I hope! by countertrolling · · Score: 0

    You bet... and I'm sure he appreciates your contribution.. You got some catching up to do, my friend... He gets heavier response from a single comment than you do from a whole page of 24.. You should have your subluxations checked.. you might need a refill...

    --
    For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
  161. Nuclear Energy vs. Coal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I did some very basic calculations a while ago.

    If all nuclear plants in Germany would all be replaced by coal plants, the average annual carbon footprint per german citizen would raise 1.5 tons from 9.5 tons to 11 tons of CO2. The average carbon footprint of a US citizen is about 20 tons.

    This is the math (data from http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stromerzeugung):

    g CO2/kWh nuclear energy: 66
    g CO2/kWh coal: 900
    kWh/year produced by nuclear plants: 135 *10^9
    #germans: 80 * 10^6

    (135 * 10^9 kWh *(900 g CO2/kWh -66 g CO2/kWh))/(80*10^6 germans) = 1407375 g CO2/german

    This would set back the german CO2 emmision to the status in 1998 http://www.google.com/publicdata?ds=wb-wdi&met=en_atm_co2e_pc&idim=country%3ADEU&dl=de&hl=de&q=co2+pro+kopf .

  162. Straw that broke the camels back by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Germany wasn't going to be spending a lot of money maintaining those nuclear plants and building new ones unless there was going to be a similtaneous Greek, Spanish, Irish and Icelandic economic miracle.
    Civilian nuclear power is finished unless viable reactors of a small size (for safety) and small cost are produced which will reduce the huge upfront capital expediture pain that has been preventing construction just about everywhere. There are some options but they need a bit of R&D.

  163. Oh look, this crap again... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    You see, real safety, not mickey-mouse make believe duck-and-cover safety is much too expensive to the folks in the executive class that get to become rich with this type of projects. So they prefer to allow for the occasional meltdown.

    This my friend is where you show a complete lack of understanding behind the principles of process safety. Safety is NOT expensive. Please repeat that after me, Safety is NOT expensive. Safety comes in good design.

    So Fukushima nuclear plant melted down because the cooling water systems failed after getting hit by a tsunami. How about simply not building them in an area where they can be struck by tsunamis or hit by earthquakes. Your German reactor had issues with the cold? Why not locate buildings indoors and heat the room through waste heat of the reactor.

    You see fundamentally designs have changed a lot to go for inherent process safety. There exist reactors that can't possibly melt down, reactors that can dissipate to a safe state on a complete loss of power to all parts simultaneously, reactors that can run on the waste of other reactors without requiring re-processing. These designs have 40 years of process safety experience in them and cost not a cent more than the reactors of 40 years ago.

    Retrofitting safety into an outdated reactor limping on its last legs is expensive these should be shut down. But the fundamental problem with nuclear is people like YOU, people who think because the dinosaurs are unsafe and economical that we should not invest in future technologies. Did you also cry from the hills that cars didn't have seatbelts, airbags, or ABS and that the only logical solution is to shut down the entire card industry? If not, why? After all more people die in car accidents in a single year than the nuclear industry has ever killed even if you take into account the bombs.

  164. Re:First in a long line I hope! by DemoLiter3 · · Score: 1

    > Germany is pushing hard on the green front, entire towns are off the grid now.
    Now, now, let's not spread such bullshit. Not a single town allegedly powered by "renewables" is capable of doing so without grid connection. If they go offline, they will go dark.

  165. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Parasome · · Score: 1

    Out of curiosity, what makes you opposed to the modern iteration of nuclear reactors? The major accidents have all been Mark I reactors, which have been known to be unsafe since 1972 (warnings ignored, thank GE in the U.S.). For modern reactors, "real science" reveals mostly positives, with almost no chance of a critical meltdown.

    Well, as you wrote: "almost no chance...". The thing is, the probability estimates in this regard have a habit of turning out wrong; somehow something comes up that was not included in the estimate. In Chernobyl, well, it was a Russian plant, well, of course communists can't build proper plants. In Fukushima, it was either (a) the reactor design is outdated, or (b) the scale of the natural disaster was so unexpectedly large.

    What will it be next time? How about maybe, "My bad, the reactor design was absolutely safe, but of course we didn't anticipate a terrorist attack / software glitch in the controls / human error."

    I think it is not too convincing to keep hearing, "of course, in the past we were too stupid to prevent such disasters, but now we got the hang of it, honest"

  166. Seriously biased bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear power is releasing uninimaginable quantities of waste, which contains all the elements you named, and much more, in a radioactive isotope version. This is also stored in unsafe places, and has to be stored for millions of years. Who will care of that in 20 years, when nuclear power will disappear ? Nobody. And it will contaminate large territories, it already started at places like Mayak, Tchernoby, Fukushima, TMI, Windscale, La Hague, etc.

  167. Re:First in a long line I hope! by makomk · · Score: 1

    Any ones that are left powered on. Transistors last apparently indefinitely if you leave them powered on, it's only when cycling the power that you have a chance for them to blow (after the "infant mortality" period of a few weeks/months anyway).

    I think you're getting confused with valves or something, though even those don't last indefinitely. Transistor-based designs are a bit different - the longer you run them for (and the higher the voltage and temperature you run them at), the more likely the transistors are to die.

  168. Re:First in a long line I hope! by trout007 · · Score: 1

    The Fukujima plant saved lives. Did you see the area around it? Not too many people survived that tsunami. But those working in the plant at that time did.

    --
    I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
  169. Good neighbours by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good for France, they will buy even more of our nuclear energy !

  170. Goof, stop playing when you're far from one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're so fucking stupid it makes me laugh. You have no clue and you don't even have anything backing your bullcrap up. Why don't you go away you clueless trolling douchebag?

  171. Re:First in a long line I hope! by snl2587 · · Score: 1

    And here I thought I was done with this discussion...

    In Chernobyl, well, it was a Russian plant, well, of course communists can't build proper plants. In Fukushima, it was either (a) the reactor design is outdated, or (b) the scale of the natural disaster was so unexpectedly large.

    Couple of things: first, Chernobyl was built without any sort of containment, and was operated with all controls disabled. It was like driving a truck through rough mountains with a nuclear bomb in the back on a hair trigger. And they were running experiments to test the limits of the thing!

    In the case of Fukushima, yes, the reactors were outdated. Very outdated. Criminally outdated, considering that nuclear advocates have been screaming about that particular design flaw since 1972.

    but of course we didn't anticipate a terrorist attack / software glitch in the controls / human error

    As I pointed out earlier, the new reactor designs (the ones that we should be building, while demolishing Mark I (and some II) reactors) are invulnerable to those three. Why? Because modern reactors are designed to only keep and accept a small amount of fissionable material critical. In this sense, the controls are not required to prevent a disaster, because the reaction would simply fizzle, with all potential radiation leakage coming from the core being stopped at the containment. In fact, the controls are only required to keep the reaction going (and you can always shut everything down with control rods, but again, you can just let it fizzle in an emergency).

    What this means is that human error and control failure would only cause a power failure, not a dangerous overload.

    As for terrorism: the only way to possibly make an inherently-safe reactor design experience a far-reaching accident would be to detonate a nuclear bomb inside of it (this is the only thing the new containments cannot necessarily withstand). To do so would be a waste of a nuclear bomb, since the resulting disaster (if containment was even breached, and all fissionable material went critical) would be less devastating than, say, detonating the device at a sports stadium, or even a city street.

    I think it is not too convincing to keep hearing, "of course, in the past we were too stupid to prevent such disasters, but now we got the hang of it, honest"

    Since reactors have been built, we have had 50 years to pick apart every design aspect. We now know the physics in great detail, and can rationally design reactors. That we still have designs from the 70s in operation and causing disasters boggles the mind, but the new ones are safe. There's no delusions about it, just the physics behind it.

  172. propoganda by rubycodez · · Score: 1

    sad new for you, California now gets 60% of its energy from natural gas, up from 40% in just 3 short years. Fossil fuels are one viable alternative to nuclear, California chose that. Enjoy your fossil fuel future.

    1. Re:propoganda by mspohr · · Score: 1
      I though we were talking about electricity, not total energy use.

      If you're talking about total energy, fossil fuels dominate with petroleum at about half and natural gas about a quarter of total energy usage. Some of the gas is used to generate electricity and the rest for heating and industrial processes.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  173. More than you thin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No tsunamis that I know about, but there have been quite a few earthquakes which I have personally experienced. None on the scale that are common in Japan, for sure, but there were some. And nobody can really be sure that there won't be even more severe quakes or even volcano eruptions in Germany in the near future. There are quite a few sleeping but far from inactive volcanoes.

  174. Re:First in a long line I hope! by JMJimmy · · Score: 1
  175. Re:First in a long line I hope! by Barbara,+not+Barbie · · Score: 1

    Eh? Don't you think it's more likely that a separatist would vote BQ rather than NDP?

    You might want to check the last election results. The BQ got wiped out by the NDP.

    Who exactly should the Quebecois have voted for to keep your highness ungrumpy?

    Me, obviously!!! :-)

    --
    Let's call it what it is, Anti-Social Media.
  176. Re:First in a long line I hope! by harl · · Score: 1

    How many species would be killed due to environmental disruption and alteration?

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    I find being offended by me offensive.
  177. political lies by t2t10 · · Score: 1

    Merkel's spokesman says whatever it takes to get votes. By the time the shit hits the fan, Merkel is out of office and doesn't have to worry about it anymore. Remember, this is the same woman who said that it didn't matter that here defense minister lied and had copied almost his entire Ph.D. thesis from other sources.

    Germany's CO2 emissions and energy consumption are currently no better than many other European countries on a per capita basis, despite its claims of being so environmentally conscious and successful at managing its energy usage.

    Getting rid of nuclear power means one thing for Germany: a large increase in gas imports from Russia. Now, what could possibly go wrong with Russia being able to shut down the German economy at the touch of a button? Heck, Russia doesn't even need an army anymore to pressure Germany (not that Germany would fight back), they just need to hint at "slight technical problems with the pipeline".