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Does Open Source Software Cost Jobs?

jfruhlinger writes "John Spencer, a British blogger and tech educator, is convinced that free and open source software, which he's promoted for years, is costing IT jobs, as UK schools cut support staff no longer needed. But does the argument really hold up? It turns out that the services he's focused on are actually cloud services that are reducing the need for schools to provide their own tech infrastructure. Of couse, it's also true that many of those cloud services are themselves based on open source tech."

530 comments

  1. Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Efficiency is evil.

    1. Re:Translation: by ThosLives · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I can't remember the exact source (and because I'm really a secret Luddite I won't search for it) but this reminds me of the saying about the public works project where one overseer says that in order to increase employment they should take away the workers' shovels and give them spoons, and the other one says "why give them spoons?"

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    2. Re:Translation: by AvitarX · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Agreed, if TCO is lower, then jobs are cost, end of story.

      Maybe we can flip around the next MS based TCO study and be all, MS hates jobs.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    3. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      modded up: rewards of not being Luddite

    4. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Fuck you, what is TCO?

    5. Re:Translation: by syousef · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Efficiency is evil.

      It's more insidious than that. If you do a job that can be automated, you are already redundant. Automation will only increase. On the flip side we have ever cheaper labour due to globalisation. The idea of earning your living doing an honest day's work is coming under severe pressure. Artificially retricting the automation is a band aid at best. Imagine what would happen if we were to suddenly have robots with human like abilities but not wants and desires - if that sci fi dream is ever realised the idea of having a job is going to become rather antiquated.

      So if we don't destroy ourselves we will eventually need a change to our economic systems and our ideas on earning - that will be a huge and devasting change to make - unlike any other in history. Earning a living is an idea deeply ingrained into most societies. Our entire economy will need to be reworked if the vast majority are not to starve. What's more it must be done sustainably with the finite resources we have. The change isn't going to be pretty..

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    6. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      > Fuck you, what is TCO?

      Fuck you, TCO is total cost of ownership.

    7. Re:Translation: by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Total Cost of Ownership.

      It's a good thing. We want jobs lost due to needing less people to do the same amount of work. It's the back-bone of economic growth. 3/5's of the worlds entire human economic output happened in half a century (out of 800), some of this is due to population (the most recent century had significantly more people years than the previous, not not near that many).

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    8. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Total Cost of Ownership.

    9. Re:Translation: by PaladinAlpha · · Score: 0

      Why isn't anyone commenting on this exchange? I'm likely going to be laughing at odd moments all day. Not sure what I missed, but kudos to both ACs.

    10. Re:Translation: by dnsdude · · Score: 1

      or: Technology Eliminates Jobs. Doh!

    11. Re:Translation: by Fluffeh · · Score: 1

      Earning a living is an idea deeply ingrained into most societies. Our entire economy will need to be reworked if the vast majority are not to starve. What's more it must be done sustainably with the finite resources we have. The change isn't going to be pretty..

      Yes and no. While I agree with that in some manner, our economy is also built on the foundation of barter - we just merely use money as a means to barter for what we need from one another. I will always need bread for example. I will always pay for the bread that the baker sells in his shop - it doesn't matter to me if he kneads the dough by hand or if he has a robot in the back of the shop and he sits at the register all day reading slashdot under his counter.

      The easier it is to make something that is needed, the more automated it is, the more opportunity there is to do MORE. If that same baker used to have two dough kneading lads working in his shop that he replaced with said robot, those two lads are now able to go out and produce things that they were unable to do so before. One might turn out to be a landscaper - the other might end up designing robots for bakeries.

      In my opinion, those who are afraid of automation (and I am not saying it is the parent post) are already aware that they are performing as superfluous work. I don't see why anyone cannot raise to the occasion so to speak - and raise the knotch on what it is that they do or perform. If you work in a factory sewing shirts, and a fandangle new sewing machine comes in that does just about all the work for you, what is wrong with utilising the folks to sew in extra fancy stitching around the collars and cuffs that the machine can't do? If a group of ten men used to be needed to dig out the foundation for a new road, and that is now done with one chap in a tractor, what exactly is wrong with using those other nine men to make footpaths and gardens along the road? Automation and efficiency improvements should be looked at as a means of doing a better job - not just a way to do the same job for less.

      --
      Moved to http://soylentnews.org/. You are invited to join us too!
    12. Re:Translation: by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      "Maybe we can flip around the next MS based TCO study and be all, MS hates jobs."

      They need to get over it, the man is dead. Cripes is ballmer still holding a grudge against Jobs?

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    13. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uh oh! Space Cadet detected!

    14. Re:Translation: by dnsdude · · Score: 1

      Or, read Vonnegut's Player Piano. The writing doesn't hold up too well, but the cultural ideology is all there. Ditch digger or computer programmer, you're one or the other. Better get used to it.

    15. Re:Translation: by Baloroth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      With apologies to Star Trek:

      Four-hundred years ago, on the planet Earth, workers who felt their livelihood threatened by automation, flung their wooden shoes, called sabo, into the machines to stop them . . . hence the word: sabotage.

      It is funny how pretty much your EXACT argument was made some 100+ years ago. Today, in the industrialized world, we have a higher standard of living, on average, than the richest kings did 500, or even 200, years ago.

      I'm not saying your points are an exact correlation to the late 19th century complaints, but you really should keep it in mind. And people have already tried to change the economic systems to account for industrialization and automation. Communism was precisely such an attempt (indeed, you language sounds extremely like Marx, especially your closing comment. I'm not criticizing: just commenting. Wrong as he may have been, Marx did have a few valid points.) I'm not saying we won't need to change: that is practically inevitable at some point. What I am saying is we should be very, very careful about how and when we do it.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    16. Re:Translation: by chrb · · Score: 1
      That was the argument of the original Luddites, but here we are 200 years later and it still isn't true. I'm not discounting that it may be true someday, but it seems that, as the world became more mechanised, people found that there were other jobs that they wanted doing. Assuming that we were to suddenly have robots with all the human abilities, the cost of maintaining a society would drop massively. Food would be almost free. Taxes would be low. Would anyone still be employed? It's an interesting question. People would still be employed to do the tasks that robots couldn't do, and where there was value in the end product due to scarcity of resources. Maybe there would be a lot of artists and web designers? Maybe people would earn a living writing books?

      Our entire economy will need to be reworked if the vast majority are not to starve.

      Most (all?) first world countries already give unemployed people benefits so that people can survive. I don't see why it would be different if we could produce everything that we need (food, housing, etc.) even more cheaply using robots.

    17. Re:Translation: by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      Would anyone still be employed?

      Not until after the Butlerian Jihad.

    18. Re:Translation: by SoupGuru · · Score: 4, Insightful

      During our scientific and economic boom of the 50s, people were gleefully anticipating the rise of robots and machines that would do our work for us, freeing us spend time with our families and grilling in our back yards. The assumption was, of course, that we would ALL benefit from the increased productivity of machines. Oops.

      --
      What doesn't kill you only delays the inevitable
    19. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is called space exploration and colonization.

      What if that is automated as well?

    20. Re:Translation: by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2

      We ALL benefit from increased productivity, even those that don't have the latest greatest gadgets. How many have Microwaves and Refrigerators? How many have cars that can travel thousands of miles without breaking down once?

      The problem with your hypothesis is that increased productivity hasn't helped everyone, when clearly it has. Your problem is that that it hasn't helped everyone "equally". Your view of fairness has simply ignored the facts.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    21. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is textbook Ned Ludd.

      I look forward to the day when we have everything so completely automated that there is nothing left to be done -- at that point, we will have reached "infinite" efficiency, the cold fusion of labor markets. Is such a thing even possible? I doubt it. But if we achieve it, then I think we'll find new and interesting ways to occupy ourselves -- everyone will grow their own organic produce because they want to, not because they need it; everyone will have an art studio for "expression"; etc etc.

    22. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That won't do anything about automation and jobs.

    23. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It might take 100 monkeys 100 years to write the works of Shakespeare, but if you let Shakespeare do it that's 100 chimps with no money to buy bananas.

    24. Re:Translation: by hedwards · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It's only a good thing if the standard of living is improving. Back decades ago it was commonly believed that by the 21st century people would be working only a few hours a day to provide for themselves and having a large amount of time off.

      That didn't happen primarily because they underestimated the willingness of a willfully ignorant subset of the population to vote for class warfare against the lower and middle classes and for the wealth to accumulate at the top even at those at the bottom suffer.

    25. Re:Translation: by tyrione · · Score: 1

      No we don't have a higher standard of living, on average, than the richest Kings. That's truly rich. The serfdom were paid in left-overs and the Kings were drinking the wealth out of solid gold goblets. They owned tens of millions of acres of land and since the means of wealth creation was extremely limited you may think today's average person is wealthier--not by a long shot. Pass that land down today and you're a multi-billionaire for doing nothing. Try again.

    26. Re:Translation: by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      It is even more complex than that.

      Labor is the main cost on everything you buy. As labor gets more efficient, it decreases. If the history ended here, we'd be walking into a disaster, that's for sure. But it doesn't end here; we are getting more efficient on extracting and making use of natural resources too, and capital costs always tend to zero.

      All taken in account, we have an income tending to zero, with expenses also tending to zero. Deriving those curves would be usefull if we knew them, but we don't, and they get even harder to know once they approach zero.

    27. Re:Translation: by suutar · · Score: 1

      While I like the idea of doing a better job, doing the same job cheaper has a more predictable result in the quarterly profit report.

    28. Re:Translation: by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      Mod parents up.

    29. Re:Translation: by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      Britain: What the hell? This IT-and-jobs game is tough.
      Apple: ALL YOUR JOBS ARE NOW BELONG TO US. KEKEKEKEKEKEKE!!

    30. Re:Translation: by Baloroth · · Score: 2

      Standard of living != wealth. Especially not to relative wealth at the time. The average person now has better health-care, better food, better sanitation, almost always access to a car or public transportation, refrigeration, luxuries (coffee, chocolate, fresh fruit and vegetables, Internet access). Note that this is not true for the entire world, just the majority of the industrialized part.

      But not the wealth, although that is far more distributed too. The average person today is also richer than average 100 years ago (but not than kings), but that wasn't my point, my point was the improvement of the standard of living brought on by modern technology and society eclipses anything wealth could buy. And automation is what allowed that to happen.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    31. Re:Translation: by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      Land does not a standard of living make. It's the little things that make for a standard of living. That King's life expectancy was probably 40 years and he'd be plagued with gout, dandruff, and diabetes for half of it. Today average life expectancy is 70-80 years on most industrialized countries and you can enjoy all manner of pills, drinks, food, and entertainment that King hadn't even dreamed of.

    32. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you misread the parent. It's not a complaint about lost work, it's an observation that in the long run all work will be "lost", and this isn't a bad thing *except* that it means we need to radically rethink some of our basic social structures, and we might want to start doing that soonish.

    33. Re:Translation: by syousef · · Score: 1

      All taken in account, we have an income tending to zero, with expenses also tending to zero. Deriving those curves would be usefull if we knew them, but we don't, and they get even harder to know once they approach zero.

      In my experience expenses always tend to infinity. There are presures from the economic system that add to this (such as the need for positive inflation) but there is also scarcity of resources and other natural limits as population increases.

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    34. Re:Translation: by syousef · · Score: 1

      That was the argument of the original Luddites, but here we are 200 years later and it still isn't true. I'm not discounting that it may be true someday, but it seems that, as the world became more mechanised, people found that there were other jobs that they wanted doing.

      This is only true while there are jobs that only a human being can do.

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    35. Re:Translation: by syousef · · Score: 1

      Please realize that as good as Star Trek can be for entertainment, it is only very loosely based on reality and not a template of what is to come.

      The fact is that 100+ years ago, you could redeploy your skills if your job was automated. The same is still true today, but to a lesser extent, because more can be automated. If we ever get machines that can do everything a human being can do but more efficiently, the idea of a human being earning a living is going to go the way of the dinosaur.

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    36. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're not addressing the GP's point. Yes, as long as humans are better than robots at something, there will be jobs, but what if they aren't? If robots are doing all of the work, is society okay with only feeding the people who happen to own robots?

      Not to say that strong AI is needed to cause problems. If high amounts of creativity is needed for any job that a robot can't do better, then what portion of your population is actually qualified to work (or if everyone is trying to produce useful information what portion manages to happen upon ideas that are actually valuable enough to make them money)?

    37. Re:Translation: by martin-boundary · · Score: 2
      Unfortunately, standard of living is not something that stays fixed throughout the centuries. You're comparing today's standard of living (in units of "standard of living today") with past standard of living (also in units of "standard of living today", and that doesn't work).

      For example, you talk about cars and better food, but those ideas don't apply well to kings in the past. What's the point of a car today? They're necessary to drive to the supermarket, the school, to work, etc. But a king never did his own grocery shopping, the school (tutor) came to him, his work was literally wherever he was standing at the time.

      The point is if a king had been given a car and was expected to use it for his daily business, his standard of living would have gone down, not up. Some kings used cars for the fun factor/novelty factor like a toy, but that doesn't increase the standard of living, except in the sense that any toy does. Kings did use horses, but mostly for fun, and they didn't have to put hay in them or find a suitable parking spot.

      Similarly, we generally live in societies with few servants today. We do many things ourselves, and we have appliances like fridges that help us to do things ourselves. That's a large drop in the standard of living, if measured by victorian times for example, when personal servants were common.

      There's also the general crowdedness of the world. We live in cities packed like rats compared with people during the middle ages. That's a huge drop in standard of living that's only partially offset by small luxuries from technology. If a time traveller from the middle ages appeared in the modern world, they would feel sick by the high level of noise and crowdedness, and having self flushing toilets would only count as a small improvement if at all (during the middle ages, people generally peed and crapped wherever they liked, but today we hold it in until we find a bathroom - that's a loss of freedom and an inconvenience when compared with the past, even if the end result is much more sanitary).

    38. Re:Translation: by Kjella · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And aren't we? I don't do the dishes (my dishwasher does), I don't do the laundry (my washing machine does and my dryer too), my stove turns on at the flip of a button unless I use the microwave and I live in a 500 square feet apartment all by myself. Take a reality check on what kind of housing people lived in during the 1950s, how many they shared it with and how much of their income went to just put food on the table. Try asking your parents or grandparents how often they took vacation, how long and what exotic destinations they went to. And whether they'd get equally expensive toys like game consoles or such, inflation adjusted of course. Ask them how often they'd go to a cafe or restaurant, how many pair of shoes your average teenage girl had then compared to now and so on.

      Unless they were of the very privileged sort, I bet they'd tell you it was lots and lots of work and chores with much less leisure time and luxuries than today. Oh, I'm so sorry some college schmuck has to work his way through college and don't feel he got enough time to party and chase college tail. My dad started working full time at 15 and went to evening school just to get an education, before that he was used to being an errand boy and farm hand besides school. Handed down clothes was common and any presents he got was either home made or practical in nature, I recall him talking about being very happy to get a pair of new shoes, his old were falling apart. Most of the people I see claiming they're poor still lead lives that are much, much better than the 1950s. Of course it sucks to not afford what "normal" people do, but if you make any kind of absolute standard of living I think you'd find that yes, they can afford everything a 1950s family could afford and then some.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    39. Re:Translation: by williamhb · · Score: 1

      It is funny how pretty much your EXACT argument was made some 100+ years ago. Today, in the industrialized world, we have a higher standard of living, on average, than the richest kings did 500, or even 200, years ago.

      In real terms, the average US male wage is slightly lower than it was in 1968. (The female wage has risen, but largely as a result of women taking on different roles than they used to.) But the unemployment rate has more than doubled. It's a worrying trend, and more worrying is the single-minded rhetoric that's still around in some quarters that the solution is low taxes -- the top marginal rate of tax is half what it was in 1968 but nonetheless unemployment has risen and average male income has fallen.

    40. Re:Translation: by Fluffeh · · Score: 1

      If robots are doing all of the work, is society okay with only feeding the people who happen to own robots?

      If robots are able to do ALL the work that is needed by humanity, then there is no need whatsoever for altruism not to kick into high gear and allow everyone access to anything they need. The only reason we have money/barter is that we trade our work for work done by others for the items we need. If everything can be provided by a robot, then there is no cost associated with anything. Money is no more. (maybe with the exception of finite resources such as land?)

      If a robot tilled fields, gave the wheat to a milling robot, who then gave the flour to a baker robot - why would there be any reason whatsoever for everyone not being able to have free bread? The farmer robot can save some of the seed for next harvest, so he has unlimited access to wheat, the robots are provided maintenance by maintenance robots who again require no wages, the parts come from a factory with manufacturing/recycling robots who pick through our trash or use materials provided by miner robots.

      If a robot could perform every single task better than us, the only thing that I would find interesting is what percentage of the population degenerates to a "sit on the couch and watching trash on the TV and stuffing their faces with food served by robots" and what percentage of society makes use of all this free time to explore, travel, become artistic or any other manner of positive expenditure of time.

      --
      Moved to http://soylentnews.org/. You are invited to join us too!
    41. Re:Translation: by Fluffeh · · Score: 1

      While I like the idea of doing a better job, doing the same job cheaper has a more predictable result in the quarterly profit report.

      It depends on what your "profit" is intended to be. As discussed in many posts above this thread in detail, a lot of the public works programmes that are currently abounding the world are there to provide jobs. If the payoff for government is to create jobs for ten people for a year, but the task only requires one man and a machine to do, then the payoff hasn't been met - which means you put on the extra workers and instead of building a road, you build a road and botanical reserve along the sides.

      --
      Moved to http://soylentnews.org/. You are invited to join us too!
    42. Re:Translation: by swalve · · Score: 1

      The backbone of economic growth is adding value and creating wealth. Efficiencies are one way this happens. Overall job losses due to efficiency are exactly how we get the economy we are in now: lots of redundant workers with nothing to do. That's not economic growth.

    43. Re:Translation: by Baloroth · · Score: 1

      Which is why I acknowledge that change will need to happen eventually. And, somewhat ironically, Star Trek (well, at least TNG, to be precise) portrays exactly that kind of future, where no human in the Federation needs to work, as replicators can produce anything anyone ever needs, at least on civilized worlds. The quote was meant more as a nerdy reference, though, TBH.

      Honestly, I'm not sure what the shape of the future human economy will be. Ir probably won't be what we have now, although I'm not yet sure that machines can take over everything. But attempts to force change based on some theoretical system have never worked in the past, and have caused tremendous amounts of damage. So in the end I would agree with you, but with caution.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    44. Re:Translation: by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      I'm likely going to be laughing at odd moments all day.

      And this is different how?

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    45. Re:Translation: by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It didn't happen because the standard of living keeps improving. If you want to live the same way people lived a century ago, you can survive working much less than 4 hours a day, and still be healthier.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    46. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck you, why isn't anyone commenting on this exchange?

    47. Re:Translation: by chrb · · Score: 1

      Or while the human being is cheaper. Until we can manufacture robots that can do everything that humans can do, and do it cheaper, then some humans will have employment. And if we ever reach the point where robots can do everything humans can do, and do it more efficiently (cheaper), then our species will finally have become obsolete.

    48. Re:Translation: by sydneyfong · · Score: 2

      Similarly, we generally live in societies with few servants today. We do many things ourselves, and we have appliances like fridges that help us to do things ourselves. That's a large drop in the standard of living, if measured by victorian times for example, when personal servants were common.

      So your argument is essentially that the standard of living for a commoner nowadays has dropped by reference to the richest aristocracies in the Victorian era? How about the personal servants who were living on a pittance?

      When we talk about standards of living improving, we're not really talking about the "1%" who could afford servants, we're actually talking about the standards of living for the servants.

      Do you have to clean the toilets and wash clothes and prepare meals for your master? No? Does the average person have to? No? Then that's an improvement.

      --
      Don't quote me on this.
    49. Re:Translation: by Sabriel · · Score: 1

      Hmm. Barter. What happens when you need something from me, but thanks to my robots I don't need anything from you?

    50. Re:Translation: by martin-boundary · · Score: 1

      Did you even follow the thread? The question is do we today live better than kings used to live in the past? See this comment.

    51. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We ALL benefit from increased productivity, even those that don't have the latest greatest gadgets. How many have Microwaves and Refrigerators? How many have cars that can travel thousands of miles without breaking down once?

      And how are you going to afford a microwave or refrigerator when you don't have a job?

      Somehow you completely missed the point in favor of a strawman that supports Ayn Rand economics, how unexpected Mr Michael. Past performance does not guarantee future success.

    52. Re:Translation: by Solandri · · Score: 1

      It is funny how pretty much your EXACT argument was made some 100+ years ago. Today, in the industrialized world, we have a higher standard of living, on average, than the richest kings did 500, or even 200, years ago.

      The problem with your supposition is that opposition to automation does not result in a regression in technological and economic progress. It merely slows it down. So the argument isn't that we have a lower standard of living today than in the past. It's that the standard of living we enjoy today is lower than what it could be if we had embraced automation fully instead of fought against it.

      It's a difficult thing to assess because you have to compare reality with a hypothetical. But locally, it can show up more demonstrably. In the 1970s and 1980s, the U.S. resisted automation. Consequently, cost of manufacturing in the U.S. was higher than it could have been. When another country (China) was willing to compete seriously in the manufacturing sector with lower labor costs, most of those jobs which were saved in the U.S. in the 1970s and 1980s ended up moving to China. Had the U.S. embraced automation in past decades, its cost of manufacturing would have been lower, and less manufacturing would have been lost to China. Those who were replaced by machines would have/should have been retrained for other jobs related to maintaining those machines, and many/most of them would still be working in the U.S. had we embraced automation. But because we didn't, we lost those jobs anyway, just to China instead of to automation.

      It's not completely one-sided though. Retraining people is a huge undertaking. The transition to automation has to be done gradually enough to allow retraining. And with enough support for the workers' retraining so that they don't prioritize their short-term benefit (keeping their assembly line job) over the long-term benefit (a better job, and cheaper goods) and revolt.

    53. Re:Translation: by wvmarle · · Score: 1

      That it costs jobs, well no surprise.

      Just thinking of all those TCO studies which basically say you need one admin for every 20 Windows workstations or one admin for every 200 Linux workstations. Something like that. This means you have to apply 10 admins for Windows versus one for Linux. So using Linux costs 90% of employment for admins.

      I forgot the exact numbers, but the point is the same: one Linux admin can handle many more workstations than one Windows admin.

      Now I'm not too worried about those admins not being able to find other jobs, assuming they are skilled at what they're doing. It just means labour is used more efficiently, and the same number of people can produce more.

    54. Re:Translation: by youn · · Score: 1

      In related news penguins cost jobs... since linux is behind many servers :)

      --
      Never antropomorphize computers, they do not like that :p
    55. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that doesn't even make any sense?

      If it's a subset of the population voting for class warfare, how do they win elections? After all, they need to be close to a majority.

      Secondly, calling people willfully ignorant because they vote differently to you is just an attack on democracy. You assume there's a 'right option' that only you know, while others are stupid because they vote for the 'wrong option'. That's not only arrogant, but paternalistic and anti-democratic. Any reason for choosing a particular candidate is valid. Your reasons are not more valid than anybody else's, that's the point to democracy: one vote per citizen. You do not need to justify it. Indeed, I'll even say that there are no 'right options' but just alternative competing ones. Progress is relative.

      I suggest you get off your high horse, realise that your views can't be objectively proven to be better (after all, people don't agree on what the future ought to be) and respect your fellow citizens' choices. If you are convinced about the greatness of your ideas, you should go out canvassing.

    56. Re:Translation: by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      Hahaha, that's naive. Firstly, if labor is unlimited, resources (oil, arable land, water, metals, etc) will still be finite (and scarce), so economics will not disappear. From what I know about human nature, the owners of these resources and robots will not simply give away such resources to the have-nots. The have-nots, without any ability to work (to exchange labor for resources) will be reduced to starvation and crime. With rampant crime, the haves will focus their attention to amassing security robots to protect their stash of resources.

    57. Re:Translation: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i think we still have it better, we have the internet and that is worth the cost of making our own food....
      if only if we could fix the economy and the damaging religion of consumerism, we would all be better off

    58. Re:Translation: by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      And how are you going to afford a microwave or refrigerator when you don't have a job?

      Let me guess your solution? By taxing the "1%" of all their wealth and giving it to people who can't get a job with their PhD's in "Ethnic Equality Studies" ... right?

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    59. Re:Translation: by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 1

      He didn't say we're wealthier. He said we have a higher standard of living. Luxuries that not even the wealthiest king could have imagined way back when. Instantaneous communication world-wide, hot-cold water faster than any slave can fetch a bucket, fresh food out of season, crossing the Atlantic in less than a day rather than several months, relatively smooth roads and rides, a far wider variety of on-demand entertainment...

    60. Re:Translation: by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

      See my site for alternative economics ideas to deal with productivity rising faster than demand: http://www.pdfernhout.net/

      Or this video I made:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4vK-M_e0JoY
      "This video presents a simplified education model about socioeconomics and technological change. It discusses five interwoven economies (subsistence, gift, exchange, planned, and theft) and how the balance will shift with cultural changes and technological changes. It suggests that things like a basic income, better planning, improved subsistence, and an expanded gift economy can compensate in part for an exchange economy that is having problems."

      --
      A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
    61. Re:Translation: by migla · · Score: 1

      So, in the end, all we can do is be humane to each others. Not so bad.

      --
      Some of my favourite people are from th US; Vonnegut, Chomsky, Bill Hicks.
  2. Cotton Spinners by Stargoat · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There isn't much need for cotton spinners or candlemakers any more either. Are we to mourn those jobs as well?

    --
    Hoist Number One and Number Six.
    1. Re:Cotton Spinners by purpledinoz · · Score: 4, Funny

      I know! And those damn shovels, only if we stuck to spoons, we could employ so much more people.

    2. Re:Cotton Spinners by Missing.Matter · · Score: 1

      I believe the shovel predates the spoon.

    3. Re:Cotton Spinners by cartman · · Score: 2

      Even the spork predates the spoon.

    4. Re:Cotton Spinners by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      We don't need no cotton spinners! Let them wear silk!

      I'll mourn the loss of textile-related jobs inasmuch as I'd like to see more folks employed here in the US, but these jobs still exist -- they're just being done in Pakistan or some other eastern country where poor folks are willing to do more for less. I do have a certain lack of sympathy for people who choose to be loom operators rather than studying hard and doing something a little more creative, but someone with a PHD is likely to have a certain lack of sympathy for me because I only studied hard enough to get a bachelor's degree.

    5. Re:Cotton Spinners by martin-boundary · · Score: 1

      Spoons were shovels invented by Hobbits, who lived 94,000 to 13,000 years ago.

    6. Re:Cotton Spinners by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we need less people to do the same job, that means we can increase our output.

      If it required 100 workers with shovels to build a bridge, but only 10 with machinery we can build 10 bridges (instead of having 90 unemployed workers). That's exactly what has happened during the industrial revolution, where our output grew exponentially. Of course, there's a period of transition (before output growth) where there is a reduction in employment.

    7. Re:Cotton Spinners by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now you sound like an archeologist.

    8. Re:Cotton Spinners by Fri13 · · Score: 1

      It was stick what predates spoon and shovel.

    9. Re:Cotton Spinners by migla · · Score: 1

      Yes, but. There were these apes, Gorm and Kutcheck, but names are not important right now.... Anyway, they were sticking it to the man. And they felt very nice about it. Kutcheck said: "I just love sticking it to the man", to which Gorm replied: "I know! Fuck the man! But, wait a minute?!? What is sticking? Obviously, it is something one does with a stick, but, then, what the fuck is a stick?"

      So Gorm and Kutcheck felt compelled to invent the stick right then and there and the rest is history.

      Later on, one of them, I don't remember who, said: "Wait again! What the fuck is a minute !?!", but that is another, less important story.

      --
      Some of my favourite people are from th US; Vonnegut, Chomsky, Bill Hicks.
    10. Re:Cotton Spinners by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moral of the story: Sticking it to the man predates the stick.

  3. Clouds don't fly by themselves... by skovnymfe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There are jobs in the cloud too. They're just smarter jobs, not I-run-a-server-in-my-spare-time-so-I'm-qualified jobs. And who says you don't need support staff for open source software anyway? Hell if anything you probably need more when people can't find that button that does that thing in Word but isn't there in open office.

    1. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by mevets · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Once the clouds burst, there will be even more jobs than before. Looping is endemic in this industry.

    2. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Informative

      You still need somebody to deal with physical architecture, routers, and the like. The cloud takes at least some high-level services off your hands, but it sure doesn't do you much good when your router decides today is the day it's going to die.

      As to open source costing jobs, it's a strange claim, as I get paid the same whether I install MS-Office or LibreOffice, or whether I'm using a Samba server or a Windows server for file sharing.

      At the end of the day, while I'm ambivalent with this 21st century version of a client-server model (after all, that's all the "cloud" really is), I can see situations, particularly with schools, where administrators may not want large parts of their budgets going to server maintenance, licensing costs and the like looking to online solutions.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are jobs in the cloud too.

      Yes, but there are no underage kids in a cloud datacenter. So you're dismissing an important benefit of working at a school district.

    4. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      I can see situations, particularly with schools, where administrators may not want large parts of their budgets going to server maintenance, licensing costs and the like looking to online solutions.

      Of course once an organisation is tied to a particular 'online solution' and the costs of switching away would be enormous, the provider would never think of ratcheting up the annual fees until it makes up a large part of the budget.

    5. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Dude... the "cloud" does change nothing except the wording in adverts.

      They're not smarter jobs. They're jobs with dumber customers.

    6. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2

      I'm not sure 'smarter' is the right word. Right now a lot of servers are run by the least incompetent tech person in the office. It doesn't really matter if they're actually trained or really paid to do that job, but those young people know a lot about computers.

      Putting services into the 'cloud' puts it into the hands of specialists in IT, and leaves non IT people for non IT jobs, which is what they should be doing anyway.

      Also, any 'open source' project that runs anything worth real money is going to be backed, directly or indirectly by someone who has cash to pay developers. This is the 'Intel and IBM as major contributors to linux' sort of deal, although for more specialized products. That doesn't mean they do everything, or even necessarily run the show, but no one in their right mind runs a major Open source product shop without some money in a back room somewhere.

    7. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by smpoole7 · · Score: 1

      > You still need somebody to deal with ...

      This. Here's a quick example from my own experience. It might seem unrelated, but it's similar: back when Daddy Reagan was President, the first big deregulation of broadcasting occurred. I had just passed the test and had gotten my FCC First Class Phone license -- and it was turned into a pretty wall hanging. Operators were no longer required, any class of license could work on a transmitter, yadda, yadda. Many of the PHBs who ran radio stations trimmed their (licensed and trained) engineering staff. Didn't need 'em anymore. Fast forward a few years ... and all of a sudden, I started getting calls again. "Hey, we keep going off the air and Bozo here can't figger it out ..." :)

      Moral: the PHBs will always believe the line that they can blow up and trim staff until things start falling apart and they're forced to hire at least a few people. (In my own industry, as I write this, Clear Channel has laid off a LOT of people. It goes in cycles.)

      As for open source costing jobs ... NO. It moves them around is all. Small to medium enterprises like ours now do a lot MORE stuff in house. We build our own servers in house and maintain them ourselves. We hired a guy just to make sure our Websites looked slick and eye-candyish. So I can categorically state that in our case, at least, it has ENHANCED employment.

      Sure, one incidental case doesn't prove anything, but even if the OP has figgers, I doubt the situation is as dismal as you might believe from reading the headline. Some jobs may be lost, but others will be hired. Things change; y' learns to change with 'em, and you'll have a job. :)

      --
      Cogito, igitur comedam pizza.
    8. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't call them "smarter": I'm an admin for a cloud provider and I wouldn't say I was smarter than average bear...er, admin. Although you're right: we're currently trying to recruit and are having a hell of a time: partly because there are very few people who have an experience at the scale we're doing stuff, but also partly because a lot of people just don't have the skills and the mindset needed to even start.

    9. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by nine-times · · Score: 1

      There aren't as many jobs in the cloud.

    10. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are jobs in the cloud too. They're just smarter jobs, not I-run-a-server-in-my-spare-time-so-I'm-qualified jobs.

      Non smart people deserve jobs too.

    11. Re:Clouds don't fly by themselves... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In all honesty I think we've come full circle.

  4. Um, wrong cause for the effect. by blair1q · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Software that isn't designed to require constant hands-on maintenance costs jobs.

    OSS is not always in that category, sadly.

    1. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by jedidiah · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Neither is the most expensive payware stuff.

      At least with the Libre stuff, I don't have to needlessly waste money and I can be as much in control of things as I want to be.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    2. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by blair1q · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, no, the expensive payware stuff is often expressly designed to employ consultants from the company that designed it.

      But what I've noticed is that Linux itself is a much bigger management hassle than Windows is. Untrained people manage their own Windows installations fairly easily (i.e., it runs with less intervention, and can update 99% of its installed software without any intervention). Even trained people (even I) have trouble just getting the average Linux distro to a basic, usable state, then updating it with typical software on occasion.

      Even the distros that are specifically designed for minimal h4xx0r talent are only truly canned for a small subset of hardware configurations.

      The ultimate answer here is that anyone who does a trade study on which software to use and doesn't make a realistic assessment of the total-cost-to-own has failed to do a trade study properly. Just saying "is it open source?" is a guarantee of random results.

    3. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Software that isn't designed to require constant hands-on maintenance costs jobs.

      That's the same moronic 'anti-virus developers are the ones writing the viruses' rubbish we always hear. They could make perfect software if they wanted to but it's designed to require maintenance to create work. 100% reliable cars could be built too, but we get inferior ones to create jobs. Etc, etc...

    4. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by sconeu · · Score: 1

      Even trained people (even I) have trouble just getting the average Linux distro to a basic, usable state, then updating it with typical software on occasion.

      WTF is so hard about "sudo apt-get update ; sudo apt-get upgrade"?

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    5. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Lehk228 · · Score: 4, Informative

      it's easier than that, my xubuntu laptop pesters me with a red triangle ! icon whenever there are updates, just like windows with a notification in the system tray, however i can say that such updates have never broken my machine, which is more than i can say for windows update

      --
      Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    6. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      Double negative working here.

      Let the Set D = {s|s is an article of software requiring maintenance}. O = {s|s is an article of open source software}. OP claims that the cardinality of D \ O is some number greater than zero. Duh?

      Of course there's a big agency problem with the business models of open source, namely, if you make all your money off support, you have a vested interest in keeping your software difficult to use for non-technical users -- you need people to keep buying support contracts. In a growing market you can make old features easier to use while making new features hard to use, but if there's a strong demand for stability over new features, you're biggest enemy is the guy writing three-step customizer wizard that sets up Nginx for the 99% of use cases. In the long term it sorta locks OSS out of huge consumer and retail markets, because these consumers want "just works" and it's difficult to scale for-pay support to millions of subscribers, each wanting the individual attention they're paying for; the OSS support trade, at least by the evidence, is B2B and B2B only.

      B2B doesn't have the sort of employment multiplier that retail service does, so maybe you lose jobs in total, but obviously you'll make a lot more money at your nail salon if you're able to use an open source POS terminal, right? :) This is a big problem with the whole technology-breeds-productivity-and-prosperity argument: technology doesn't have to eliminate jobs in the aggregate, and it usually doesn't, but the jobs that are created are often undesirable and unstable. Machines free us to be creative, but they also free us to do other people's nails and clean their toilets.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    7. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      No, it's a simple fact rom the incentives. People add features to free software projects for one of two reasons: either they need the feature, or someone who is paying them needs the feature. In both cases, that feature will be tested by someone actually using it. In contrast, people add features to off-the-shelf proprietary software because they think they will be able to sell them. If features are being added by people who want to use them, then they're going to be tested as soon as they're written, in actual use.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    8. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why are you trying to upgrade regardless whether the update was successful or not?

    9. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even trained people (even I) have trouble just getting the average Linux distro to a basic, usable state, then updating it with typical software on occasion.

      Really? And you think you're trained? My dad's a hunt'n'peck user, and he VERY happily uses ubuntu's default installation.

      If you're honestly having trouble with an ubuntu installation, then i doubt you're as qualified as you think you are.

    10. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Hatta · · Score: 5, Interesting

      This isn't a problem with the software, it's a problem with the economic system. Humans don't exist merely to fill jobs. On the contrary, jobs exist to fulfill humans.

      If we've invented a technology that lets 1 person do the job of 2 people, then we've freed one person from the need to work. We've literally saved his life, or at least 40 hours a week of it. This is a good thing. The fact that this guy has to go supplicate himself to yet another capitalist in order to eat is simply indicative of the perverse incentives inherent in capitalism.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    11. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even at a simple single desktop level with one of the more polished distros, blindly running apt-get update or worse apt-get upgrade doesn't always result in an improved and stable system. I am a big believer in OSS, run Ubuntu on my personal machine, have two servers in the home running other, leaner versions of Linux and if anything, it has made me a big believer in the mantra of stripping down to the bare essentials and then locking it in that configuration for as long as possible.

      It's been my personal experience* that 1 update cycle out of ten will break something and every upgrade will break at least two things. Where the actual skill (that costs $$ in the business world) comes in is in troubleshooting and fixing that issue. Yes, the issues are more rare in Linux, but I'd argue that the skills needed to resolve them are much more advanced and hence more rare than the comparable issues in Windows require to fix.

      *Yes, i am aware that one persons anecdotal experiences do not qualify as data and are far from being a rational basis on which to choose the I.T. path of any large organization.

    12. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by mellon · · Score: 2

      Well, no, the expensive payware stuff is often expressly designed to employ consultants from the company that designed it.

      Nope. You're probably thinking of Oracle or something like that. You make better margins on software that requires minimal hands-on support. If your software requires a ton of hands on support, you might as well charge for the hands-on support, but your margins on that are never as good as your margins on straight software sales, because the marginal cost of each copy of software is zero. I say this not speaking theoretically, but because I work for a company that sells software. We do our damnedest to make sure the software Just Works for you without requiring our help.

      But what I've noticed is that Linux itself is a much bigger management hassle than Windows is. Untrained people manage their own Windows installations fairly easily (i.e., it runs with less intervention, and can update 99% of its installed software without any intervention). Even trained people (even I) have trouble just getting the average Linux distro to a basic, usable state, then updating it with typical software on occasion.

      Either you are using a really crappy distro, or you have a lot of legacy hardware. My maintenance effort on my Ubuntu servers is _way_ lower than the effort I go through keeping my Windows VM up to date. I realize that experiences vary, so what you are saying may be true for you, but it's definitely not universally true.

    13. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by whoever57 · · Score: 2

      , it runs with less intervention, and can update 99% of its installed software without any intervention)

      99% -- maybe by file or component count, but importance? Every non-Microsoft package has its own auto-updater, some require manual intervention. I'm looking at you: Java. What program has had a stream of vulnerabilities? Java.

      I have said it before and I will say it again: the Windows ecosystem would be far more secure if Microsoft provided a means for 3rd party software companies to utilize the Windows update mechanism for patch installation (yes, I know that patches can be pushed out by WSUS, but what about the millions of home computers and windows machines in SMEs that don't have a WSUS server setup?

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    14. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No matter how easy the interface you will still have to help people, because 1)it iconically looks different to windows 2) you can't assume they kneew what any of the popUPS meant or what the nifty shortcuts where when they used windows.

    15. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      dude, working at Best Buy Geek Squad does not mean you are "trained".

      If you cant get ubuntu, fedora, Debian, or any of the others outside of Gentoo and Slackware in a useable state in short order then you are a complete and utter idiot.

      Granted, many people call ubuntu in it's current "unity" mode "unuseable" but it's a whiny bitch stage of crudgemugeons. (yes I hate unity, get off my lawn you whipper snallers!) but it's as usable as windows 7 windows 8 and OSX is.

      Or are you going to trot out a BS software list that you "claim" is usability. a business can run with libre office. I work at one that has been there for 2 years with Open Office and this year with Libre Office. it works perfectly once you get past the whiney babies that dont like change.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    16. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by blair1q · · Score: 0

      1. "what's sudo?"
      2. "how do i get permission to do that?"
      3. "how did you learn to do that?"
      4. "why the hell does that take two commands? why does it take even one? doesn't this thing update automatically?"
      5. "what does it mean it needs these 18 dependencies and can't work with these 12 others installed?"
      6. "why can't I just install windows on this laptop?"

    17. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Lumpy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      " If your software requires a ton of hands on support, you might as well charge for the hands-on support"

      That's called a support contract, and a LOT of crapware vertical market companies do that.

      $13,500 for that billing system and another $10,000 a year for "updates" and "support"

      without the support contract the system is a useless turd that breaks within weeks as you discover old bugs in their crappy VB6 code.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    18. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by blair1q · · Score: 1

      I've installed ubuntu on a few machines.

      never once did it take the first time, and never once did I not have to refer to another machine to get information on how to hack around something to get it to complete. and if i didn't already know as much as i know about software, OSes, Linux, and ubuntu itself, I doubt I'd have even known what things to google for.

      as for your conclusion, i could write such an OS from scratch, given the time.

    19. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      This is the point I was trying to get across earlier through a very round-about means.

      I agree entirely - there is something severely out of whack when the result of increased efficiency is not benefit to all parties, but benefit to some and dire detriment to others.

      As others have mentioned, it is indeed going to be interesting when we no longer need human labor to produce food.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    20. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by blair1q · · Score: 2

      You're mistaking margin for profit.

      Why sell one unit of something for $100,000 that costs me $1.50 to make a copy of, and then walk away, when I can then send out a body that I can charge $190K/year for who cost me $20k to train and who I pay $93k/year, and they'll stay there for 3 years until the next upgrade?

      In your scenario, I make $33k/year over the 3-year upgrade cycle. In mine, I make $33k + $90K = $123k/year.

      And then because the user has acquired no personal skill with the tool, I can sell the upgrade and the servant to them again.

    21. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by blair1q · · Score: 1

      Java is OS-agnostic.

      Or rather it's supposed to be.

      Or rather it was sold as supposed to be.

    22. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, no, the expensive payware stuff is often expressly designed to employ consultants from the company that designed it.

      But what I've noticed is that Linux itself is a much bigger management hassle than Windows is. Untrained people manage their own Windows installations fairly easily (i.e., it runs with less intervention, and can update 99% of its installed software without any intervention). Even trained people (even I) have trouble just getting the average Linux distro to a basic, usable state, then updating it with typical software on occasion.

      Linux more management hassle than Windows? Which linux are we talking abt? you mean the ones running countless respected online services we all use, like Apache/Named/ and millions of mail servers around the web? No? I thought so,

    23. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Toonol · · Score: 1

      That's not how it works. If we increase productivity 100%, that doesn't mean one person gets to freeload off another's work. Instead, it gives those who work a far better lifestyle to purchase with their labor. No matter how much productivity increases, you aren't entitled to another's property if aren't willing to trade effort for payment.

      Picture a desert island with two people. At first they both work all day long to survive. Later, they improve their lot, to where they each only have to work half the time to survive. The other half can be spent loafing, or working to get more comfortable. Is one of them entitled to relax and do nothing while the other needs to work all day long to support them? Of course not. Each person has the option of working full time to improve their position, part time to simply survive, or they may die. They aren't owed anything.

    24. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      I think I love you, man.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    25. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Hatta · · Score: 2

      If we increase productivity 100%, that doesn't mean one person gets to freeload off another's work

      Of course it doesn't. What it means is that both people should share the available work, and share the products of it.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    26. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Java is OS-agnostic.

      Installation was always and is now different on different platforms. Until recently, I got Java updates through the same mechanism as all other updates on my Linux box: "emerge -upD world". Now Oracle has put Java downloads behind a screen that requires the user to accept an agreement, so this no longer works -- I have to manually download it and put it in the appropriate place to be picked up by portage.

    27. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by sconeu · · Score: 1

      If you're the sysadmin, you should know that.... GP claimed to be a sysadmin.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    28. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by sconeu · · Score: 1

      It's been my personal experience* that 1 update cycle out of ten will break something and every upgrade will break at least two things.

      And Windows Update will *NEVER* break anything.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    29. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      That thinking is normaly wrong. They'll lead to less jobs doing maintence on themselves, but the people that didn't spend money on that maintence is still looking for places where they can invest it, so they'll probably hire somebody else, to do some other job that they think is worthwhile.

      Odds are that the money won't even left IT. On most places IT lives under a somewhat fixed budget, and that money will hire people to fix some other IT related problem.

    30. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by blair1q · · Score: 1

      On Windows, you don't even have to know the sysadmin.

    31. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by ardor · · Score: 1

      Problems due to windows updates exist, and are next to impossible to fix on your own. You better hope Microsoft has a hotfix for that. At least, with Ubuntu, there is a chance somebody came up with a messy solution.

      --
      This sig does not contain any SCO code.
    32. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Bengie · · Score: 1

      If productivity increased 100%, at first net profit would drastically increase, but after a short while, supply would out-pace demand. Then prices would plummet, they would cut back jobs as there wouldn't be enough demand and warehouses filled with excess product.

      At some point you will hit a limit of demand for the entire market. Once you hit that limit, you can either have several people work sub-8h4/day or one person working 8hr/day and the rest unemployed.

      If everyone worked really hard, everyone would be RICH!!!.. ohhh wait.. I mean, everyone's time would be devalued, they would be working hard, but not getting compensated for it.

    33. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Captain+Damnit · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Picture a desert island with two people. At first they both work all day long to survive. Later, they improve their lot, to where they each only have to work half the time to survive. The other half can be spent loafing, or working to get more comfortable. Is one of them entitled to relax and do nothing while the other needs to work all day long to support them? Of course not. Each person has the option of working full time to improve their position, part time to simply survive, or they may die. They aren't owed anything.

      Your analogy is missing a third party: the absentee owner of the island. A more accurate analogy would be that, having developed a more efficient means of harvesting coconuts, one of the two island inhabitants receives a slightly larger number of coconuts than before, while the second fellow's previous coconut wages were instead diverted to the island owner's offshore pina colada factory, leaving the second fellow to eke out a decidedly calorie-free lifestyle.

      This is, in the island owner's view, the proper order of things: he paid the fellow to develop a more efficient coconut harvesting strategy, and thus is entitled to a nice drink at the end of the day.

      This is, in the first fellow's view, also the proper order of things: he developed the improved technique, and thus is entitled to a few extra coconuts.

      In the second fellow's view, any discussion about the abstract problems of coconut division in an isolated island economy is pointless academic frippery because he is, at this point, starving to death on a fucking desert island.

      Sooner or later, productivity gains will land us in a scenario where there isn't enough work to go around, and the jobs that do remain will require so much technical expertise as to render them unattainable for most people. For the remaining majority, the question is: what the fuck are we going to do in order to earn our daily coconuts?

    34. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by SoupGuru · · Score: 1

      Well said.

      I was listening to NPR recently and they played a bit of a Mike Wallace interview with Ayn Rand in 1959 or so. I was struck by how Wallace phrased a question to her regarding her philosophy.

      "One of the principal achievements of this country in the past 20 years, particularly — I think most people agree — is the gradual growth of social, protective legislation, based on the principle that we are our brothers' keepers. Like welfare. Social Security. Fair labor standards. Public health programs. How do you feel about the political trends of the United States?" Wallace asks.

      Disregarding political philosophies and who's right and who's wrong and where we're headed and all that, I was struck by how proud we were of the way we took care of each other.

      http://www.npr.org/2011/11/14/142245517/on-capitol-hill-rands-atlas-cant-be-shrugged-off

      --
      What doesn't kill you only delays the inevitable
    35. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [user] is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.

      bash: apt-get: command not found

    36. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by jedidiah · · Score: 2

      > Untrained people manage their own Windows installations fairly easily

      That's really funny.

      In reality, untrained people can't fend for themselves a all. This is despite of all of the propaganda about Windows being "easy" or "manageable". Meanwhile, they get their machines infected and are generally burdensome for those of us that have to play the roll of unpaid tech support.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    37. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      You must be still clinging onto XP.

      You are in for a shock and a half one of these days when you finally move up to Vista or Windows 7.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    38. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by jedidiah · · Score: 2

      Ubuntu "just worked" and was able to fully exploit all of the hardware on the first laptop I ever installed it on. It was a random bit of hardware that just happened to be available. I did not choose it and I don't think it was bought with Linux compatability in mind.

      THAT is when I started using Ubuntu and that was about 5 years ago.

      OTOH, sorting out drivers on a fresh copy of Windows can be quite a chore.

      Quite simply YMMV and using monpolyware is no gaurantee.

      Even Win7 still manages to screw up simple things.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    39. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Nursie · · Score: 1

      "Untrained people manage their own Windows installations fairly easily (i.e., it runs with less intervention, and can update 99% of its installed software without any intervention)."

      Each software manufacturer ends up making their own update method. Some are automatic and hidden, some require intervention, some load and stay resident permanently. Far from ideal. Under most of the large linux distros all the FOSS you could ever need is centrally managed and updated.

      Even trained people (even I) have trouble just getting the average Linux distro to a basic, usable state, then updating it with typical software on occasion.

      Then "even" you are seriously incompetent.

    40. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My Xubuntu LTS box has faithfully updated itself for years, without any intervention at all (I set it to auto-accept updates), and my Ubuntu LTS box has required no more than approval to proceed, despite the fact that I've put a handful of non-standard items on it via PPAs and third party update sources.

    41. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      I have said it before and I will say it again: the Windows ecosystem would be far more secure if Microsoft provided a means for 3rd party software companies to utilize the Windows update mechanism for patch installation (yes, I know that patches can be pushed out by WSUS, but what about the millions of home computers and windows machines in SMEs that don't have a WSUS server setup?

      What do you mean by "SMEs"? Because I understand "SME" to mean "Subject Matter Expert", and that doesn't parse. Did you mean "SMBs"? ("Small-to-Medium-sized Businesses.") That said, I completely agree with your premise: Adobe (ad nauseum) should shut the fuck up about updates, and use the Critical Update Notification Tool, or whatever it is more-politically-correctly called these days.

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    42. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too bad nowadays it means that 1 of them 2 guys loses his job, the other guys is given the other mans job to add to his own so he still works the 40 hours a week and they also use the new unemployed mans position as leverage to pay the one who is still there even less or not getting raises or risk losing his job.

      Step 1) Both men make $50,000 a year
      Step 2) 1 man makes $50,000 a year while doing 2 people jobs, the other man is broke and unemployed.
      Step 3) Man gets skipped over for raises due to the increased competition for his position, unemployed man still starving to live.
      Step 4) Employed man has lost purchasing power due to lack of raises, thereby getting a pay cut, other man finds work making $24,000 a year.
      Step 5) Corporation laughs all the way to the bank.

      So who wins on this?

      It helped back in the days where there were more jobs than could really be done but it has gotten to the point where the jobs lost are really felt cause people are running out of stuff to do. The ones running everything is trying to keep most of the benefits to themselves and preventing the rest of the world from benefiting from most of the spoils that they have horded. At this point, 30 hours a week should be considered full time and minimum wage should be by law, what the cost of living for the area you are in is, not this crap we have now.

    43. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Robert+Zenz · · Score: 1

      Well, no, the expensive payware stuff is often expressly designed to employ consultants from the company that designed it.

      Totally agree.

      But what I've noticed is that Linux itself is a much bigger management hassle than Windows is. Untrained people manage their own Windows installations fairly easily (i.e., it runs with less intervention, and can update 99% of its installed software without any intervention).

      Yeah...there's a reason why we all the botnets run Windows...because all the "untrained" (read:clueless) people can setup a server. This is also partly true for *n*x systems...but let's take the Minecraft-Forums as an example, were people creep out from under their stones which want to run a public accessible server without knowing what an IP is. I'm not saying beginners suck...but a colorful-clicky-clicky-finished server installation is dangerous, even on Unix/Linux.

      Even trained people (even I) have trouble just getting the average Linux distro to a basic, usable state, then updating it with typical software on occasion.

      No repro here. Dekstop: Ubuntu, just runs. Server: Debian, just runs. Not sure where you've got the problems?

      Even the distros that are specifically designed for minimal h4xx0r talent are only truly canned for a small subset of hardware configurations.

      No repro on the Desktop, either. Though, I haven't worked with "real big server hardware" so far, so I can't say anything about that.

      The ultimate answer here is that anyone who does a trade study on which software to use and doesn't make a realistic assessment of the total-cost-to-own has failed to do a trade study properly. Just saying "is it open source?" is a guarantee of random results.

      I think we agree on the "Take the best tool for the job" part...where "tool" includes staff, software and support-contracts.

    44. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by StuartHankins · · Score: 1

      The fact that you believe you could write a similar OS from scratch shows you don't understand the scope of the task.

    45. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Speaking as someone else who's clinging on to XP (and CentOS 5) will he be shocked by how good they are, or how bad?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    46. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do you mean by "SMEs"? Because I understand "SME" to mean "Subject Matter Expert", and that doesn't parse.

      Small and Medium Enterprises. And actually it does parse, it just doesn't make sense.

      ad nauseum

      While we're on the subject of things that don't parse...

    47. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Step 1) Both men make $50,000 a year
      Step 2) 1 man makes $50,000 a year while doing 2 people jobs, the other man is broke and unemployed.
      Step 3) Man gets skipped over for raises due to the increased competition for his position, unemployed man still starving to live.
      Step 4) Employed man has lost purchasing power due to lack of raises, thereby getting a pay cut, other man finds work making $24,000 a year.
      Step 5) Corporation laughs all the way to the bank.

      So who wins on this?

      The Joooooooooz

    48. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah right. If (going back to the island example) one is a hot woman and the other is a nerdy guy, I can tell you who is going to do most of the work. If they are both blondes, no work will get done. If they are both nerdy guys...

      Let's say one person finds an orchard and builds a defence mechanism to prevent the other from stealing "his" stuff. The other one needs to fish to get food. Now the fruits can be exchanged for fish, but one person doesn't need to work as hard.

      The fact that this guy has to go supplicate himself to yet another capitalist in order to eat is simply indicative of the perverse incentives inherent in capitalism.

      He doesn't. He can set up his own business, or grow his own food. This has nothing to do with capitalism, only with the idea that the government can control your life and your property.

    49. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by mellon · · Score: 1

      Why sell a product that requires two FTE to run it for $100k when you can sell a product that requires 1/10 FTE to run it for $1m? You're thinking really small with these numbers.

    50. Re:Um, wrong cause for the effect. by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Automate agreement acceptance (and alliterate!).

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
  5. The way I see it by 3arwax · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The way I see it, technology helps us get machines to do the mundane so we can spend our time exploring and creating.

    1. Re:The way I see it by Squiddie · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Except that as things are, you might find yourself exploring the bottom of a garbage bin for some food. Eh, you get the point.

    2. Re:The way I see it by mx+b · · Score: 1

      True, provided every person gets the training to be exploring and creating. If an "elite" class forms such that a handful get to explore and create while the masses are starving and unable to develop the skills necessary to explore (effectively, stuck at their current class level), then I think there are some moral issues involved that we need to work out. Sure exploring and doing science and art is fantastic, but at a basic level, it's far more important that everyone live safely, healthily, and happily.

    3. Re:The way I see it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only problem is that not everyone is cut out to do the exploring and creating.

    4. Re:The way I see it by 3arwax · · Score: 1

      Great point. That is why you need to keep learning and improving your craft. Nobody owes you anything, especially a job. If you can't provide value to trade for money you had better rethink your strategy. You are responsible for your own career and not anybody else.

    5. Re:The way I see it by oreiasecaman · · Score: 1

      Sad part is that most work available in the world is of the 'mundane' kind... and be without a job almost certainly leaves you without income... and then you're screwed pretty bad.

      --
      This is a UDP joke, I don't care if you get it or not...
  6. Rocket Science? by Computershack · · Score: 0

    Once you've basically turned the computers into dumb terminals managed remotely and the only thing required is a connection to the net, you no longer need a network administrator.

    --
    I only please one person per day. Today is not your day. Tomorrow isn't looking good either. - Scott Adams
    1. Re:Rocket Science? by CanHasDIY · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Once you've basically turned the computers into dumb terminals managed remotely and the only thing required is a connection to the net, you no longer need a network administrator.

      ... until one (or more) of those dumb terminals is unable to connect to its remote services. Then you'll be right back where you started, except now you have to pay that same netadmin outrageous consulting wages 'cuz he's not on the payroll.

      Hindsight is always 20/20.

      --
      An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
    2. Re:Rocket Science? by Penguinisto · · Score: 1

      Once you've basically turned the computers into dumb terminals managed remotely and the only thing required is a connection to the net, you no longer need a network administrator.

      I'd like to direct your attention to the part I emphasized. I'd also like to point out that all those workstations and other network-connected gear at your office building does require a bit more than fairy dust and unicorn farts to connect to "the net", yanno?

      Now if you were talking about server admins, well, okay... you'd be sort of right.

      --
      Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
    3. Re:Rocket Science? by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      The company is phasing out unicorn farts. We are replacing them with the far more LEEDS certified gnome gas.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    4. Re:Rocket Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lame. My company's moving to KDE gas.

    5. Re:Rocket Science? by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      KDE gas meets ASRAE requirements but it does not meet LEEDS requirements. we would have to kill far fewer kittens at the office daily to be able to use KDE gas.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  7. Public Transportation by EricX2 · · Score: 3

    Sounds like public transportation cuts jobs. If everybody rode in buses or trains, the number of auto mechanics would go down drastically.

    1. Re:Public Transportation by AngryDeuce · · Score: 1

      What about the increased demand for mechanics to work on the dramatically increased number of buses and trains required due to everyone riding them instead of their own vehicles?

      Jobs don't disappear so much as transition. You can invent a robot to put together a car, but you still need someone to maintain the robot, and someone has to design it, and someone has to sell it and market it, and someone has to work on improving it, someone has to physically move these robots around and get them from where they're built to where they're installed, someone has to do the books for the company that builds the robots, someone has to supply that company with the raw materials to build them, etc...

      I realize you were being a little facetious (it seems that way, although my internet sarcasm detector goes haywire sometimes) but I felt like mentioning it. The real problem is stopping well-paying jobs from transitioning to lower paying ones, i.e., keep the auto mechanics from ending up working at Walmart for $8.50 an hour. Unfortunately, that seems to be the big problem right now; we're caught in a positive feedback loop where decreased supply of good paying jobs is leading to an overabundance of demand for those low paying jobs which do not afford people the extra money to purchase the goods made by the people with the well-paying jobs leading to less demand for their product leading to layoffs and more people at Walmart leading to even less demand and on and on and on...

      The Cloud still needs to be maintained, and the more demand there is on the cloud the more it will grow and the more maintenance will be required.

    2. Re:Public Transportation by blair1q · · Score: 2

      Then we'll give them jobs stuffing people into the train cars.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pusher_(railway_station_attendant)

    3. Re:Public Transportation by mellon · · Score: 1

      Jobs go through transitions until someone figures out a way to automate them. Then they go away. Right now the least threatened unskilled jobs are construction and farm work, both of which have a pretty low upper limit on what they can pay.

      In the case of computers, if you need a full-time staff to keep your end users' machines working, that's a really obvious place for better automation. Rather than fighting this, we really ought to be figuring out how to maintain a society where extremely high individual productivity means that much work for which there is demand can't be funded by the source of the demand.

  8. Open source also needs support by Hentes · · Score: 2

    Being open source doesn't eliminate the need for support.

  9. You know what costs jobs? by nine-times · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You know what costs jobs? Efficiency. Economic efficiency always costs jobs. Often, it's creating other jobs elsewhere, but maybe not. Maybe it just means that job doesn't need to be done anymore.

    You can create jobs by paying people to dig ditches and then fill them back in. Or you can create jobs by hiring support people you don't need, building infrastructure that can be handled more efficiently elsewhere, or paying people to write software that you don't need because an open source alternative is already available. It's the same as digging useless ditches.

    Do you really want to create jobs? Great. Hire people to do something useful that can't be handled more efficiently by open source software. Or hire them to improve open source software-- god knows there's work to be done.

    1. Re:You know what costs jobs? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Indeed. TFA is just a thinly veiled broken window fallacy.

    2. Re:You know what costs jobs? by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

      But they're taking our jobs! Think of the children!

      --
      Filthy, filthy copyrapists!
    3. Re:You know what costs jobs? by Toonol · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The percentage of Americans actively working on growing food has shrunk from approximately 90% to around 5%, and that 5% is producing far more food. That's an increase of efficiency of at least 18 times, probably more like 30 or 40 times.

      And yet, we don't have an 85% unemployment rate. The efficiency didn't reduce jobs, it created jobs. It freed people up to work on other things. Better software tech will do the same thing. The worst effect is a temporary period of unrest while employees adapt to new circumstances.

    4. Re:You know what costs jobs? by dkleinsc · · Score: 3, Insightful

      An interesting piece of this story: If it's allowing companies or governments to lay people off, how can OSS have a higher cost of ownership due to labor costs, as Microsoft has been claiming for much of the last decade?

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    5. Re:You know what costs jobs? by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      If the Cloud takes jobs away, the terrorists win!

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    6. Re:You know what costs jobs? by grumbel · · Score: 1

      The efficiency didn't reduce jobs, it created jobs.

      Efficiency always destroys jobs, that's the whole point of it, replacing one process with another one that needs less resources. This in turn might lead to economic growth and that might create new jobs, but it's not the increased efficiency that is doing that by itself. If we would all live at the same standards of living from 100 years ago, then you sure as hell would have a lot of job less people, but we don't, we have iPods and stuff to keep busy and those take man-power to be build. Of course how long one can sustain endless economic growth is another question, it worked well in the past, if it will continue in the future isn't all that clear.

    7. Re:You know what costs jobs? by Hatta · · Score: 1

      You can create jobs by paying people to dig ditches and then fill them back in.

      Or you can recognize that the problem isn't unemployment. Unemployment is evidence that the economy is producing enough. The problem is that the available work isn't distributed fairly, and the products of that work isn't distributed fairly. Neither of which problems can be solved by capitalism.

      Increase efficiency is an unqualified good in any humane economic system.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    8. Re:You know what costs jobs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and that 5% is creating crap quality food. (if it's Monsanto it's crap.)

      it's why a lot of people are looking to the 0.5% of that 5% that create real food. The small farms and amish farms.

      If I could afford 5 acres to homestead on and flip the rest of the country a couple of middle fingers, I'd do it. problem is it is impossible to without having a buttload of money to buy the land first as land prices in the USA are out of control.

      5 acres can produce more food than a family of 4 needs. in fact with modern knowledge a 5 acre plot can create enough food for 3 families for the year. And that is with low impact livestock on the farm as well.

    9. Re:You know what costs jobs? by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Because nobody is buying the bullshit that OSS has a higher TCO, so they are trying the "IT's destroying jobs!!!!111!1! ZOMG!" angle.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    10. Re:You know what costs jobs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, Think of the children. Yum!

    11. Re:You know what costs jobs? by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, but what you need to realize, is that's 85% of people working on NONESSENTIAL things. If people stop having the means or will to buy NONESSENTIAL things (read, the middle class is eliminated by eliminatng their jobs, so they can't afford gadgets or entertainment or health care), then 85% of people will be out of work and will starve or revert to subsistence farming (if they can get land!), because while there's food for everyone, well, we can't force that productive 5% to feed everyone who has no means to pay them, now can we?

      People don't seem to realize how dangerous this cycle of concentrating more and more wealth in the hands of the rich is. The rich don't generate enough demand to drive an economy. Why should a rich guy, whose factory is at 75% capacity, invest in more factory capacity? THIS is the current situation--too much wealth with the rich, not enough with the poor and middle class, who generate demand. And this is the fallacy of "supply side" economics right now. We have capital, there's just no reason to invest the capital in increased capacity because there's no demand. Tax cuts for the rich are horribly misguided right now. If we had factories at 95% capacity or more and no capital to invest, then yes, tax cuts for the rich so they can invest in capacity.

      --PM

    12. Re:You know what costs jobs? by Toonol · · Score: 1

      Efficiency always destroys jobs, that's the whole point of it, replacing one process with another one that needs less resources.

      The increased efficiency reduces the amount of labor to create a certain product. That increases supply and reduces the cost of the product (giving people more money to spend on other things), along with freeing up people to create new things. More demand + more cash + more labor is what breeds new jobs.

      There has never been, and probably never will be, a shortage of 'stuff to do'. The only shortage is in 'stuff to do that people are willing to do for what people are willing to pay for'. As efficiency increases, so does the crazy or obscure stuff that people get paid to do. Hence, 'organic farms', 'cupcake boutiques', and 'wedding planners'.

    13. Re:You know what costs jobs? by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      Monsanto are dicks, and I wish the executives of that company were subject to horrible torture. However, just because they are dicks doesn't mean that their entire field of research isn't.

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    14. Re:You know what costs jobs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No economic system can do so "fairly" because fairness is pretty subjective.

      Think I'm crazy? What's fair then? Do more work, have access to more stuff? Right. What's more work then? 15 hours of manual labor or 6 hours of ground breaking science? No matter which of those two options you think is "more work" there is some point on that scale where you'll change your mind of what's "more" and someone else will disagree with you. And that is just a stark example using two jobs at opposite ends of a spectrum of job complexity. Reality involves millions of people at thousands of types of jobs. Good luck figuring out what is "fair".

      No economic or political system can compensate fully for the quirks of reality. It sucks, but maybe you can design a better one. Reality, that is.

      Although, I should point out that unemployment isn't necessarily evidence that the economy is producing enough. It can, quite easily, be that the economy is still producing too little. It is just that the unemployed are largely unsuitable to the jobs that the economy requires. No amount of other economic systems are going to make those people suited, either. This is also far more likely than your assumption that unemployed people are unemployed because there are NO jobs. There are, just not ones that they are suited to. It takes time and effort to adapt. Some of those people do so and succeed. Some of those do so and fail. Some of them do not do so and .. fail.

    15. Re:You know what costs jobs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The efficiency didn't reduce jobs, it created jobs. It freed people up to work on other things. Better software tech will do the same thing. The worst effect is a temporary period of unrest while employees adapt to new circumstances."

      Except the problem you're not getting is that its not eternally possible for employee's to "adapt to new circumstances". It's based on the most simple minded point of view and not on costs and issues that cannot be be overcome in ones lifetime. One only has to look at how inequality has risen the last 30 years and to look at the stagnant wage charts to see this.

  10. WTF by TheSpoom · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Since when have jobs become the be-all and end-all of everything? Sometimes, technology means less human intervention is necessary. Deal with it.

    --
    It's better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.
    - E. Debs
    1. Re:WTF by Squiddie · · Score: 1

      People need jobs because they provide an income. Now some people might be out of jobs, and there might not be enough to go around, but when they bitch about this, we tell them to get a job. Ridiculous.

    2. Re:WTF by forkfail · · Score: 1

      What do you do with the population that is no longer able to find work, then, when the factories and farms are automated, and there's only so many people needed to produce?

      Seems you then can either have people digging ditches with spoons, or embrace socialism or euthanasia.

      --
      Check your premises.
    3. Re:WTF by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      At that point prodution is so cheap that it doesn't matter. Once you have no scarcity economics goes out the window.

      If machinary is doing all the work but things are still scarce (because we don't have enough iron or whatever) then there'll be plenty of jobs as grunts in the army throwing bodies protecting the iron or whatever you have and grabbing what others have.

    4. Re:WTF by blair1q · · Score: 2

      There's a third option, one which the so-called 1% are working hard to reach:

      you can have a class of rich folks being served personally by the rest of the population.

      And by "served personally" I exclude nothing that one human can do for another for money.

    5. Re:WTF by Hatta · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Since when have jobs become the be-all and end-all of everything?

      Since capitalism became the be-all and end-all of everything.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    6. Re:WTF by Hatta · · Score: 0

      Seems you then can either have people digging ditches with spoons, or embrace socialism or euthanasia.

      One of these things is not like the others.
      One of these things just doesn't belong.
      Can you tell which thing is not like the others,
      by the time I finish my song?

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    7. Re:WTF by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Since when have jobs become the be-all and end-all of everything?

      Since it became fashionable to hate people who live on welfare because they can't find a job.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    8. Re:WTF by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      At that point you have economics with no natural scarcity, and communism (and not socialism) becomes a reasonable default, rather than utopia.

    9. Re:WTF by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      you jail them by creating laws that are stupid.

      At least that is what we do here in the usa. See the problem of drug laws.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    10. Re:WTF by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      IN EVERY FORM or socioeconomic structure people have to work. When there are no jobs for people to work in then you have a problem. ie GREECE and Italy. In China if you dont' have a job you get a job and you get a job because of social expectations MORE THEN GOVERNMENT EXPECTATIONS. In Navajo you work or you leave the community but when there is now work you leave to start your own community which can not longer be done. When people like you who have not clue about societal structure historically it just makes things worse.

    11. Re:WTF by sjames · · Score: 1

      Since society deemed people without them to be worthy of only the barest necessities.

      Part of "Deal with it" needs to be transitioning to an economic system that doesn't create misery when we get efficient enough that we simply don't need everyone working full time anymore.

  11. Progress by geekpowa · · Score: 2

    Yeah and so what?

    One person not doing a redundant/unnecessary job is an opportunity for that one person to find another way to productively contribute to the community.

    Bemoaning job loses in areas of progress and innovation? Lets bemoan the how computers superseded the profession of clerk.

    1. Re:Progress by sjames · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that the current unemployment figures are a reason to celebrate? Imagine, all those people liberated by the "opportunity" to find another way to productively contribute to society! They must be over the moon with joy!

      In theory, eliminating the need for human labor is a great thing, but in practice our current economic systems are sufficiently perverse to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

    2. Re:Progress by geekpowa · · Score: 1

      There are two separate issues at work here.

      One is essentially the Broken Window Fallacy, the one I was commenting on.

      The second, which you have correctly identified, is how we as a community assist and support those who suddenly find themselves redundant and unemployed/underemployed. Although this has not happened to me personally, yet; I know a few, some quite close to me, who have found themselves in this difficult situation. In my case, I live in a jurisdiction with strong social welfare programmes,and I strongly support the continuation of this system; inspite of its limitations. But hanging onto past practices and creating make-work schemes is no solution; it may put money in peoples pockets, but they are still essentially, unemployed/underemployed.

    3. Re:Progress by sjames · · Score: 1

      The thing is, eventually we get to a point where people will be permanently unemployed. We simply won't need that much labor. If we don't somehow re-apportion the remaining work and make sure that people employed "part time" (the new full time) make a good living, the whole system collapses.

      That can't be handled by unemployment benefits. Those assume that a new job with adequate pay will eventually become available. If we continue making appropriate gains in efficiency, that won't be the case.

      Consider, if the U.S. suddenly made the "official" work week 30 hours, the 10% unemployed would likely find work and wages would rise.

      Another way to make labor scarce enough to get everyone employed at a good wage is to give everyone a stipend good enough that two income families start moving to one income.

      I'm sure there are more, many of which can fit easily into a market based economy.

  12. Of course it does. by mcgrew · · Score: 5, Funny

    Electric lamps cost jobs when they were new, all those candlemakers in the street! The horrors! And the car companies put the buggy makers out of work, the whip manufacturers kaput, the ferriers all bankrupt.

    Look at all that open source water that falls from the sky, depriving honest water sellers from making a living. Damn it, this is terrible! Nothing should be free, right?

    Someone is complaining because Joe will do for free what Jim has been paid for? *sigh*. What a load of bull-oney.

    1. Re:Of course it does. by MightyMartian · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Look at all the fletchers that had to find new lines of work when the cannon and flintlock were introduced. When cavalry abandoned horses and went to tanks and armored vehicles, I'm sure more than a few blacksmiths who had had a pretty fine job found themselves out on their asses.

      Technology frequently reduces labor requirements. Civilization itself is built on that fact. The invention of agriculture allowed a certain percentage of the population the rather new and unique notion of "spare time", thus giving us writing, advanced mathematics, government and all the other trappings.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Of course it does. by blair1q · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The past is not the future.

      The auto industry killed older jobs, but actually created more jobs than it killed, because it was, as yet, manual work to forge and assemble the many parts of an automobile.

      But when the auto industry subsequently turned to the task of replacing its expensive manual laborers with relatively cheaper robotic workers, the auto industry killed its own jobs.

      New industries have combined the two changes. They aren't merely replacing old jobs, they're replacing them with much more efficient new jobs, reducing the total workforce.

      And then there's the irony of outsourcing, in which one local job is replaced by 2 or 3 or 5 ultra-cheap foreign jobs. But the people who are managing those jobs are realizing they can still replace their expensive workers with relatively cheaper robots.

      The future isn't one of the fallacy of lamenting the buggy-whip. It's real mass unemployment, and the concentration of income and wealth in the hands of people who never actually used their hands to make a living in the first place.

    3. Re:Of course it does. by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      The past is not the future.

      It was once, and the future will be the past.

      New industries have combined the two changes. They aren't merely replacing old jobs, they're replacing them with much more efficient new jobs, reducing the total workforce.

      And what will happen when robotics gets advanced enough that workers aren't needed at all?

      And then there's the irony of outsourcing, in which one local job is replaced by 2 or 3 or 5 ultra-cheap foreign jobs.

      That should not have been allowed to happen, but business runs government in the US.

      It's real mass unemployment, and the concentration of income and wealth in the hands of people who never actually used their hands to make a living in the first place.

      The biggest fuckup of all was letting business brainwash workers that unions were evil. Note that wage disparity rose while union membership fell?

    4. Re:Of course it does. by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      You are correct, with one minor detail not everyone knows (it's obsolete knowledge), but it was ferriers, not blacksmiths, who made horse shoes. A blacksmith would make anything out of steel or iron, like hinges and other ironwork. If it was steel or iron, it was made by a blacksmith, except horse shoes, which were made by ferriers.

  13. School +Teachers -IT staff by Skinkie · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Obviously if less IT staff is required, the school can get more certified teachers. If you studied C.S. you might apply for a job as math teacher.

    --
    Support Eachother, Copy Dutch Property!
    1. Re:School +Teachers -IT staff by blair1q · · Score: 1

      The people who are replacing workers with robots are the same people who are de-unionizing school districts and firing teachers en masse.

      They know that there's no need for a broad, educated population when your productive workers are an army of robots and computers.

      So your conclusion is the opposite of the truth. If less IT staff is required, the school doesn't need to train people to be in IT staffs, so they need fewer teachers, not more.

    2. Re:School +Teachers -IT staff by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      So if taxes go down, then the people who were paying the taxes now have more money to invest in other areas or buy more goods and services.

    3. Re:School +Teachers -IT staff by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually the opposite is true. If less jobs are available then competition is higher so people will want any advantage they can get including a better education.

    4. Re:School +Teachers -IT staff by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      The only places that fire teachers en masse are places where, when times are good and tax coffers are full, they hire more "administrative" staff. Then when times are bad and tax coffers are empty and the voters refuse to approve higher taxes, they fire teachers rather than those extra "administrative" staff. By "administrative" staff, I am not referring to janitors, cooks and such, I am referring to people who make 3-4 times what a teacher makes to "make sure that the children get properly educated", although they rarely, if ever, actually interact with the children.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    5. Re:School +Teachers -IT staff by blair1q · · Score: 1

      But they have to spend it all on tires and alignment because there's no money to fix the potholes.

    6. Re:School +Teachers -IT staff by blair1q · · Score: 1

      I'm no expert, but you should probably not be watching so much Fox News. It's left you with no connection to reality.

    7. Re:School +Teachers -IT staff by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      I have never watched Fox News. You should perhaps not watch so much Democratic Party propaganda pretending to be news.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    8. Re:School +Teachers -IT staff by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Pbbbbt. The tax decrease comes from providing services more efficiently, not stopping the service.

  14. argument in summary makes no sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cutting *support* because of the absence of licensing cost makes no sense at all. Heck, if some people are to believed costs for support would increase when using open source.

    no, didn't RTFA and don't intend to either. Even if we're talking about "the cloud" it's still not a cost. It's simply organizations trading costly in-house knowhow for cheaper solutions leaving them at the mercy of others, who in theory (if aiming at providing the same level of support) would be better through their "synergies" (more experienced sysadmins or whatnot) - which, if the world was right, should serve to increase the status of work involved in cloud "solutions".

  15. Quote Investigator to the rescue! by XanC · · Score: 5, Informative

    http://quoteinvestigator.com/2011/10/10/spoons-shovels/

    At one of our dinners, Milton recalled traveling to an Asian country in the 1960s and visiting a worksite where a new canal was being built. He was shocked to see that, instead of modern tractors and earth movers, the workers had shovels. He asked why there were so few machines. The government bureaucrat explained: "You don’t understand. This is a jobs program." To which Milton replied: "Oh, I thought you were trying to build a canal. If it’s jobs you want, then you should give these workers spoons, not shovels."

    1. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Nexus7 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Considering this ideological simplified nonsense is fashionable on /., it is worth pointing out that a socialistic-communistic-pinko-liberal jobs program, the WPA, is responsible for most of the standing infrastructure that the US, the world's biggest economy relies upon every day.

    2. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by blair1q · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And did Milton consider the total economic cost of that tradeoff?

      Did he add the cost of supporting and/or fending off all of those out-of-work people that would be furloughed if the shovels were replaced with tractors?

      Did he multiply the cost of completing the project if the shovels were replaced with spoons?

      Did he determine whether the project would even be undertaken if not for the cheap availability of generic people and shovels instead of the expensive need for skilled people and tractors?

      Or did he merely invoke the fallacy of the excluded middle and satisfy his own rush to cognitive closure and limited view of the consequences as a means of satisfying his own political preconceptions which inexorably had more to do with his personal gain than any overall benefit to the community?

      P.S. Ayn Rand can go to hell, if she's not already building a railroad there.

    3. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Lehk228 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      that won't be true for long, catastrophically low infrastructure spending is allowing all of that WPA era infrastructure to crumble to dust

      --
      Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    4. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point is that a jobs program is a waste if it's done exclusively to give people jobs. Boondoggles (look it up) don't help the economy like truly productive jobs programs do. A productive job should use efficient tools to do something that needs to be done, not just try to employ people they don't have to.

    5. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Hatta · · Score: 1, Interesting

      This is the fundamental inconsistency with capitalism. If there's not enough real work to go around, the solution isn't to invent more work. It's to more fairly allocate the work we need done.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    6. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 5, Interesting

      There are two San Francisco bridges - among the most used and photographed in the world - built within 6 years, during the 1930's.

      The Golden Gate was a WPA project - approved and built in 4 years. The Bay Bridge, not formally WPA, benefited immensely from the large-scale mobilization of labour and planning that WPA enabled.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    7. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Svartalf · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      1) The WPA prolonged the Great Depression by about 7 extra years.
      2) It wasn't something that really was within the mandate allowed by the Constitution.
      3) At least for the debt, pain, etc. we GOT that standing infrastructure. The same can't be said for Obama's Stimulus, which seems to have produced LITTLE.

      --
      I am not merely a "consumer" or a "taxpayer". I am a Citizen of the State of Texas
    8. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Did you do any of that? I bet you did less to access your conclusions that Milton did!

    9. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Lumpy · · Score: 0

      Thank republicans for that.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    10. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) The WPA prolonged the Great Depression by about 7 extra years.

      Nonsense. Even the staunchest conservative attributes the Depression ending to a massive boost in government spending; they just usually say that it was WWII rather than the New Deal.

    11. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [Citation Needed]

      The WPA wasn't free, obviously. However, I guess people these days don't care for stuff like the SF Bridge, the Hoover Dam, and such, if it doesn't line some businessperson's pockets.

      Pity.

    12. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Moryath · · Score: 5, Insightful

      1) The WPA prolonged the Great Depression by about 7 extra years.

      Show me one respected source saying so. And no, Gingrich and Palin's books don't count.

      2) It wasn't something that really was within the mandate allowed by the Constitution.

      Really? National, cross-state-border infrastructure would seem to be firmly in line with Section 8 of the US constitution.

      3) At least for the debt, pain, etc. we GOT that standing infrastructure. The same can't be said for Obama's Stimulus, which seems to have produced LITTLE.

      "Obama's Stimulus"... you mean the Bush Stimulus? Are you referring to the ERA of 2008, or the ARRA of 2009? If it's the latter, Obama signed it less than a month entering office. All the work on it was done months before by Congress, under the BUSH regime.

      And in any event, the criticism of more than 90% of economists (read: any real economist that isn't a CATO Kochsucker) isn't that the ARRA was too large, but that it was too SMALL to have the desired effect and included too many bad tax breaks trying to get Republicans to sign on to the deal.

    13. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by coredog64 · · Score: 1

      The transcontinental railroad and the interstate highway system were built by the WPA?

    14. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by jpapon · · Score: 1

      The WPA prolonged the Great Depression by about 7 extra years.

      That's a hell of a claim to make, especially without a citation. Even with a citation, I don't see how one could prove that claim one way or the other anyways.

      It wasn't something that really was within the mandate allowed by the Constitution.

      It wasn't something, as far as I know, prohibited by the Constitution either.

      At least for the debt, pain, etc. we GOT that standing infrastructure. The same can't be said for Obama's Stimulus, which seems to have produced LITTLE.

      Actually a fair point, but I don't really follow what your conclusion is. You're saying that government projects in the past were useful, but now they're pointless?

      --
      -- Let us endeavor so to live that when we pass even the undertaker shall be sorry. -- M. Twain
    15. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by mrlibertarian · · Score: 0

      Perhaps the staunchest conservatives, but certainly not the libertarians. Unless you consider war rationing to be the end of a depression (and I don't), then the depression actually ended when the stimulus spending and price controls stopped, which was after WWII was over.

    16. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Moryath · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Indeed. Where I live, there's a ton of crumbling infrastructure. A good portion of it is roads that are 50+ years old. I've driven on WPA-produced roads through a neighboring state where the road - poured concrete - has literally turned itself to gravel over the years through neglect. Republican leaders of the state don't spend anything on maintenance, and their "solution" to the road becoming unsafe is - I'm not kidding - to just keep reducing the posted speed limit to something that's "safe for conditions" on an unmaintained road.

      A frightening concept, given that the US interestate system (formally, the Dwight D. Eisenhower National System of Interstate and Defense Highways) was originally pitched to Congress under the military provisions of Section 8 of the Constitution, to provide for a network of roadways capable of moving military equipment from base to base. These days, it's basically a bare-minimum subsidy for the trucking industry, which has caused our national railway infrastructure to decay in ways that are completely unreasonable and results in far more smog output than there otherwise would be from cross-country freight.

    17. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, something has to give... I'm paying tax cash/credits for efficient dish washers, insulation.. I subsidize farms, I shell out billions for government backed loans that couldn't cut it int he real world of investment. I provide 25 seperate federal funded teacher education programs. I shell out billions to dozens of countries around the world that hate me.. MILLIONS of dollars to teach prostitutes *in a foreign country* to drink responsibly. I provide cell phones and free monthy minutes, housing, food, medical, buses, libraries, computers, internet access, training, etc.. I pay $10,000 for every hybrid car sold in the U.S.
      *Most* of that money is borrowed from China (or we loan it to OURSELVES with interest).
      I'm with you, we should spend money on our infrastructure, but that sad truth is we are broke funding all the things the goverment has to right/responsbility to do under it's mandate. Think I'm over stating? Listen to the radio for 30 minutes, I'll be you hear about at least 2-3 seperate offers that include tax/government programs...

    18. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by khipu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Possibly, but just because some infrastructure spending by the government is good doesn't mean all of it is. In fact, only a tiny fraction of the Federal budget these days goes to those kinds of projects. Most of it goes to entitlements and the military, neither of which contributes to our economy (and the military is mostly doing things for our so-called "friends and allies"). And may I also point out that the kinds of infrastructure projects the WPA undertook wouldn't be possible today because of environmental concerns and extensive lawsuits? So, the "socialistic-communistic-pinko-liberal" politics with creating this infrastructure back then is the very same kind of "socialistic-communistic-pinko-liberal" politics that is preventing it today.

      So, let's slash military and entitlement spending and focus on infrastructure again. Of course, that proposal attacks both parties' holy cows.

    19. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Xphile101361 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Hate to use XKCD as a source, but....
      Stimulas Spending
      As you can see, only 3% of the stimulus spending seems to have gone into our infrastructure. Most of it went into tax breaks and "other spending". It would be interesting to see what is in that "other spending", but would it be too much to assume that it is likely congressional pet projects?
      Personally, I would have given up my tax breaks if we could shove the money into infrastructure instead. It would be nice to not have to duct tape everything together.

    20. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That joke predates Milton Friedman by a couple hundred years; there was a version where it was Thomas Newcomen who was making the "give them spoons instead" sarcastic quip.

    21. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 1

      The economy expands via the generation of new wealth not by doing things in the most inefficient in manner. The completion of the canal, if a worthy project, would have facilitated increased efficiency thereby generated more jobs and more wealth to spread around.

    22. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by heinousjay · · Score: 0

      The real answer is that there is no fair way to support the weak, but people are sentimental and insist on it for "reasons" that have no reason behind them.

      When those who can't keep up are left behind, the group is collectively made stronger. When those who lead are forced to slow down to keep the weak from feeling bad, we all lose.

      --
      Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
    23. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by trikes57+ · · Score: 2, Insightful

      that won't be true for long, catastrophically low infrastructure spending is allowing all of that WPA era infrastructure to crumble to dust

      All of the WPA infrastructure is obsolete, and was actually obsolete before it was finished. Other than hiking trails thru the woods and stone guard rails in national parks, there is very little of our infrastructure need that is met by WPA projects. One does not build a four lane bridge over the Mississippi with "one man rocks".

      Repairing even the wilderness trails is too expensive in a society that prefers to pay the skill-less to sit idle and collect the dole rather than actually lift a finger, let a lone a bag of cement.

      The idea that you can put people to work in exchange for basic wages has been totally denigrated by the liberal entitlement mind set.

    24. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      P.S. Ayn Rand can go to hell, if she's not already building a railroad there.

      You seem to imply that she isn't conducting rail tours through the land of brimstone. "Tickets! Tickets! Get 'em while they're hot!"

    25. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by mcrbids · · Score: 1

      If the richest 1% of Americans paid the same tax rates as the middle class, there would be no government budget deficit.

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    26. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Toonol · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Do you realize that you're more racist than the people you are trying to smear?

    27. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Toonol · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If the richest 1% of Americans paid the same tax rates as the middle class, there would be no government budget deficit.

      Do the math. That's wrong by a tremendous degree. You can download the data directly from the IRS. Go ahead.

    28. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 4, Informative

      The ARRA of 2009 was rushed through Congress at Obama's urging (and based, loosely, on plans drawn up by Obama's transition team) because it was "vitally important" and there was no time to debate whether the various provisions would be effective or not. Any aspects of ARRA that were worked on without Obama's input were done so by the Democrats who controlled Congress even before Obama was elected. While the Bush Administration supported excessive spending, they had no hand in ARRA. As for "90% of economists" thinking that ARRA was too small, the group of economists composed of former Enron advisor Paul Krugman and other lackeys of George Soros does not make up 90% of all economists (in other words, any economist who resides in the real world, and is not willing to lie for their political masters, recognizes that ARRA made things worse).

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    29. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by afidel · · Score: 2

      That's nice, in Ohio they just tax the Democratic cities to pay for make work projects in the rural parts of the state. One project that really pissed me off was widening to 5 lanes a rural state route in the southeast portion of the state which quite literally sees less traffic than the road in front of my house which is also a state route but which was allowed to turn into a mad-max style pothole maze.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    30. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      The real answer is that there is no fair way to support the weak, but people are sentimental and insist on it for "reasons" that have no reason behind them.

      The reason is quite simple and fundamental: there but for the grace of God go I.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    31. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by phorm · · Score: 1

      One should keep in mind the cost of things in regards to this quote. In some places, a crap-ton of manpower may cost around the same as heavy equipment, still be fairly fast, and also supplied needed jobs etc.

      Judging by how long some construction work etc takes around here, sometimes a few dozen well-motivated guys with shovels may not be a bad way to go...

    32. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, the "capitalist" solution goes like this: if there's not enough real work to go around, then taxes and government regulations must be standing in the way of productive individuals and businesses creating those jobs, so government needs to get out of the way and let them do it.

    33. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

      If we cut military and social services spending by 50%, there would be no deficit. Probably no lobbyist either though.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    34. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Do you realize that there are still birthers out there and people that believe that the President is a secret Muslim who was born in Kenya?

      As for more racist, I'd say if the shoe fits, there are plenty of people out there that believe precisely what the OP suggested. I'm not sure how exactly it's racist to suggest that there are people out there that believe that when there are people out there that believe just that..

    35. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by nine-times · · Score: 2

      It's not that public jobs programs are bad, but they should aim to be efficient and to produce things that are needed. To my mind, the anecdote above is an example of waste, not because there was a jobs program, but because they made the jobs program inefficient. If they could have made the canal with half the men by using better machinery, they should have done that. If they wanted to employ the other half of the men, then they should have devised another useful project to employ them too.

      There's always work to be done. No reason to be less efficient on purpose.

    36. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Not quite, the solution is to more fairly allocate the benefits of such labor. If there's only enough work available for everybody to work 30 hours a week, then that's what people should be working. The fact that we treat it as 3/4 of the people get a job and the other quarter starve is just sickening to me. Even more so when the profits of the work end up in the same wealthy 1% or so either way.

    37. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by chispito · · Score: 4, Informative

      These days, it's basically a bare-minimum subsidy for the trucking industry, which has caused our national railway infrastructure to decay in ways that are completely unreasonable and results in far more smog output than there otherwise would be from cross-country freight.

      It's worth pointing out that, although you were trying to show how public infrastructure has crumbled, freight trains are run by private companies that largely own the track they use. In fact, Amtrak runs on privately owned tracks, for the most part: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amtrak (third paragraph).

      --
      The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    38. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by cartman · · Score: 2

      Considering this ideological simplified nonsense

      You just totally misunderstood what you read. You should read the quotation again and ponder it.

      the WPA, is responsible for most of the standing infrastructure that the US, the world's biggest economy relies upon every day.

      That is not at all relevant to the point from the parent's quotation.

    39. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by saleenS281 · · Score: 2

      Really? Because there are about 20 road projects in my county alone that have signs next to them stating they were funded by the re-investment act. Unless you think some private company took it upon themselves to give credit to Obama for the public infrastructure being put up by them for free???... I'd say you're full of shit claiming there is no infrastructure being built. Or that there's even "little".

    40. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by gurudyne · · Score: 1

      No, but they both involved enormous government support.

      Land giveaways for the railroads.

      Fuel taxes for the highways

      (And, some of the US Rte 1-101 highways were built by the WPA.)

      --
      Hey, Mom! Is it beer, yet?
    41. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by cartman · · Score: 1

      There are two San Francisco bridges - among the most used and photographed in the world - ... was a WPA project - approved and built in 4 years.

      I'm a big believer in increasing government spending on infrastructure, but you have to be careful about this kind of remark. The question is whether the GG bridge would have been built eventually, even without the WPA. Also, whether the GG bridge was a better investment than any alternative use of the same funds. We can't just assume that there would have been nothing (instead of the GG bridge) without the WPA, because the same funds would have been spent or invested elsewhere.

      If the Keynesian argument is true and output was higher because of public spending then that's great, but in that case it was deficits which were helpful and not the GG bridge specifically.

      Even if we wish to run deficits to increase the economy, we should still pick the best public projects for the least amount of labor relative to what's accomplished.

    42. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by LordLimecat · · Score: 0

      If the republican party were to disband tomorrow, and the democratic party were to become the One True Party for the next 20 years, 20 years hence I feel like people would still find a way to blame those damn republicans, "especially bush".

    43. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      "Obama's Stimulus"... you mean the Bush Stimulus? Are you referring to the ERA of 2008, or the ARRA of 2009? If it's the latter, Obama signed it less than a month entering office. All the work on it was done months before by Congress, under the BUSH regime.

      Sorry, but Congress was controlled by Democrats ever since 2007, so all that work on it that Obama signed off on was done mainly by his fellow Democrats.

      While I agree with your other points about the WPA and Section 8, pretending the Democrats are actually here to help us is folly. The Democrats now are nothing like the politicians that enacted the WPA, which actually did produce useful infrastructure for the country. Instead, today's Democrats just want to hand a bunch of no-strings money to corporations to be wasted doing absolutely nothing, which is what both the stimuli did.

      And, no, the Republicans aren't any better. Both parties are so utterly corrupt that it's really pretty ridiculous when people argue in favor of either one, as if there were any real difference between the two. The only difference between them is which lobbyists they're more in the pocket of.

    44. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      It should also be noted that the US federal government's debt -- and taxes on rich folks -- were higher as a percentage of GDP immediately following WWII than at any other time in US history.

    45. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know right up there, where it says:
            Considering this ideological simplified nonsense is fashionable on /. ...

      Ditto here.

    46. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Actually a fair point, but I don't really follow what your conclusion is. You're saying that government projects in the past were useful, but now they're pointless?

      I'm not sure if that's the point he was trying to make, but it's actually true. How have any of the stimuli in the past 4 years helped? They haven't. Our government is so corrupt now that when it does undertake a project, nothing productive comes of it. Honestly, I don't see any solution to the problem either, other than just waiting for the whole system to collapse like the Soviet Union did 20 years ago. Voting for either major party isn't going to help anything.

    47. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by sneakyimp · · Score: 2

      I too have seen long-neglected roads and Freeways repaved here in Los Angeles -- two lanes of Beverly Blvd from Hollywood to Silverlake were undriveable for years. If this costs me a few bucks in taxes, that's fine because I don't have to worry about the wheels coming off my car now.

    48. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      I heard she was a schoolteacher, working for shitty schoolteacher wages and being forced to grade third-rate writing by spoiled little rich girls with rape fantasies.

    49. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by cartman · · Score: 1

      And did Milton consider the total economic cost of that tradeoff? ... Did he add the cost of supporting and/or fending off all of those out-of-work people that would be furloughed if the shovels were replaced with tractors? ... Did he multiply the cost of completing the project if the shovels were replaced with spoons? ... Did he determine whether the project would even be undertaken if not for the cheap availability of generic people and shovels instead of the expensive need for skilled people and tractors?

      Yes, Milton considered all of those things. Those things are all addressed by the old economics from the 18th century. Maybe there are some circumstances where those arguments fall down, but not the circumstances you listed.

      satisfy his own rush to cognitive closure and limited view of the consequences as a means of satisfying his own political preconceptions

      Are you sure you're not doing that?

    50. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      It costs taxes not spent on the military industrial complex to build and maintain infrastructure, something 'er' liberals http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal (WTF) are quite happy to do.

      The idea that you can charge taxes has been totally denigrated by the psychopathic rich and greedy entitlement mind set (the actual reality).

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    51. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He may be more offensive, but "republican" is not a race.

    52. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by ksd1337 · · Score: 2

      Ayn Rand's not building the railroad. Dagny Taggart is.

    53. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) The WPA prolonged the Great Depression by about 7 extra years.

      Show me one respected source saying so. And no, Gingrich and Palin's books don't count.

      If you would have spent 3 seconds Googling "Did the WPA prolong the Great Depression," you'd actually realize that entries in respected sources like Wikipedia and the Wall Street Journal indicate that there is evidence that the WPA prolonged the Great Depression. But good job karma whoring with the disaffected Slashdot crowd!

    54. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by kenh · · Score: 1

      Approximately how much of the interstate highway system did the WPA build? How many of out airports? How many piers in our major ports?

      The WPA didn't build Hoover Dam, the Golden Gate Bridge, Rockefeller Center, etc. You are talking out your hat...

      --
      Ken
    55. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Bengie · · Score: 1

      You just described every society ever.

      When people stop fighting and work together, you get a surplus of food/resources. This allows people who are not physically fit, but smart, to flourish.

      Not letting people fall behind(aka die), has allowed us to have the new technologies that we use.

    56. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

      With that last mangled sentence I'm not even sure what your endpoint is.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    57. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

      If we cut out the 1,000s of agencies that overlap each other, there would be no government deficit.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    58. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by jpapon · · Score: 2
      I'm not sure corruption is really the issue. There has always been, and there always will be corruption.

      I fear the issue is more that the USA was top dog for so long, and by such a huge margin, that the populace has become complacent. Americans see success, prosperity, and a dominant position in the world as something they are entitled to, rather than as something they need to earn. The US, along with, to a lesser extent, the Soviet Union and the UK (not to undersell the achievements of the USSR, but they won with blood, the US won with industrial output, giving them a clear post war advantage) earned world domination and wealth on battlefields and in factories during WW2. The spoils of those victories have worn off, in spite of brilliant American global political maneuvering which allowed the afterglow to continue well past the point one would have imagined possible.

      The question is... what to do now? Stagnate while waiting for another massive international conflict?

      --
      -- Let us endeavor so to live that when we pass even the undertaker shall be sorry. -- M. Twain
    59. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

      Yes, the WPA built a lot of stuff. And it helped a whole lot of people. Now seen as a democratic/socialist/whatever thing, back then it kept people from starving. The part of Obama's stimulus plan that went into infrastructure was well spent. Tons of roads and bridges in PA have been overhauled (and they really needed it). Where the other money went, don't know about that impact.

      But it really doesn't matter to those that are tied to their political stances- Bush could have cured cancer and Obama could have invented fusion (and by this, I mean they personally did it); both would have been derided by the other side of the aisle.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    60. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

      Well, a fuckload of roads and bridges around were upgraded/repaired. I guess it depends were you live.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    61. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the Keynesian argument is true and output was higher because of public spending then that's great, but in that case it was deficits which were helpful and not the GG bridge specifically.

      That does not follow. It is possible that both deficit spending and the bridge specifically were helpful. Deficit spending helps to keep money circulating and building infrastructure projects that increase efficiency and reduce costs for businesses and individuals also spur economic growth.

      Now as to whether that was the best possible use of the money, that would be hard to say without knowing what alternatives were being considered. However, chances are that the Gold Gate Bridge was the right decision given the economic benefits it has produced.

    62. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 2

      Exactly: thanks to fractional reserve lending, there aren't enough dollars in existence to satisfy the US government's debt. It is mathematically impossible, and provably so. (Bankers FTW!)

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    63. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...born in Kenya

      Well he is, for the most part, a Keynesian, so you can see how the under-educated would get confused.

    64. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by brit74 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm just glad the new Perry and Cain tax plans will solve the problem!

      Oh shit. *BOTH* of their plans will eliminate capital gains taxes (i.e. taxes on money you earn in the stock market). Wait, don't the rich hold the vast majority of stocks? This means billionaires will see dramatically lower taxes. Warren Buffet, who was complaining that he was paying only 17% of his income in taxes (lower than everyone else he works with) will see his taxes drop to the low single-digits. GO REPUBLICANS!

    65. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by brit74 · · Score: 2

      Wait, what? Of course there aren't enough dollars in existence to pay the US government's debt. Money is really just an IOU anyway; it's just digits attached to a bank account. And there's only about $900 billion dollars in existence. The US hasn't had debt that low since the early 1980s. But the number of dollar bills in existence isn't really relevant anyway. You might as well say that American credit card debt or all the money Americans owe in mortgages can't be paid with all the money in existence. (Once you calculate the numbers, you realize that $900 billion in cash divided by 300 million Americans = only $3000 in cash for every American, which I'm guessing is lower than the average American's credit card debt or mortgage or student loans.)

    66. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by kqs · · Score: 1

      As for "90% of economists" thinking that ARRA was too small, the group of economists composed of former Enron advisor Paul Krugman and other lackeys of George Soros does not make up 90% of all economists (in other words, any economist who resides in the real world, and is not willing to lie for their political masters, recognizes that ARRA made things worse).

      Okay then, 90% of economists who said before 2007 that bad economic policies, and lack of regulation on the government side, plus poor risk models and short-term thinking on the Wall Street side would cause a problem. Those guys are the ones to listen to, and those guys are the ones saying the stimulus was way too small.

      Or you can listen to he other side, who said that removing regulation and Glass–Steagall would let the Free Market be truly free (and now say that the stimulus was and is bad). Though since they didn't predict this mess, I don't really know why, beyond religious fervor, anyone would listen to them now.

    67. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by AdamWill · · Score: 1

      "Repairing even the wilderness trails is too expensive in a society that prefers to pay the skill-less to sit idle and collect the dole"

      Reading this written about *America* in a country which actually has a functioning social security system...you're hilarious. No. America really, really is not a country renowned for its generous, laziness-enabled social security system. It's just...not.

    68. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by AdamWill · · Score: 1

      well, no, not really.

      the post you're replying to does not say 'taxation-funded infrastructure is a bad idea'. it says 'making taxation-funded infrastructure programs horribly inefficient on purpose in order to 'create more jobs' is a bad idea'. those are two rather different concepts.

    69. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by swalve · · Score: 1

      Sometimes all you can do is keep it from contracting, though. The WPA wasn't meant to generate wealth or expand the economy. It was meant to fill in the gap created by the brutality of the free market.

    70. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1
      I am here agreeing with you.

      Instead, today's Democrats just want to hand a bunch of no-strings money to corporations to be wasted doing absolutely nothing, which is what both the stimuli did.

      It was the "no-strings" part that recalled this particular learning from a couple months ago (from a Ron Paul Youtube video): when President Obama decries legislation as "having earmarks", he is being disingenuous. It is Congress's job to give legislation to the President which is earmarked as to how the money should be spent. If Congress gave the President legislation without earmarks, then the Executive branch can decide how the money allocated to that legislation will be spent. In other words, "give me legislation without earmarks!" is actually directly translated to "give me a blank check!"

      A comment from two years ago: "This makes Obama look kinda silly when he says "I don't like that bill because it has earmarks.... remove the earmarks and I'll sign it". Yeeesh."

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    71. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by swalve · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Sometimes there are (the horror) multiple reasons to do things. If it costs $1 million to build a canal, and it costs $1 million to feed the starving, why not combine those tasks and spend $1.5 million to get $2 million of benefit?

    72. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      The question is... what to do now? Stagnate while waiting for another massive international conflict?

      Invest in the next infrastructure: nanotechnology.

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    73. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You obviously don't understand how taxes work. If you have $100, when you spend it the government takes (e.g.) $25. They can (in theory; they never actually do) put that against the debt. Then the person you paid the $75 has $75 and the person the government paid $25 has $25, a total of $100. When they spend the $100, the government gets another $25. Repeat until debt is paid.

      Of course, governments never really repay their debts. When a bond is due, they issue a new bond to pay for it. The interest on government debt is almost by definition below the rate of inflation, so when governments want to "reduce" their debt they just stop increasing it and wait until inflation has devalued it sufficiently.

    74. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      If this costs me a few bucks in taxes, that's fine because I don't have to worry about the wheels coming off my car now.

      Broken window fallacy?

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    75. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      I heard she was a schoolteacher, working for shitty schoolteacher wages and being forced to grade third-rate writing by spoiled little rich girls with rape fantasies.

      There's a really old quote that fits here: "Believe half of what you read, and none of what you hear."

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    76. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      The fact that we treat it as 3/4 of the people get a job and the other quarter starve is just sickening to me. Even more so when the profits of the work end up in the same wealthy 1% or so either way.

      If the 1% wasn't stealing the resources via purchased legislation, there would be at least 40 hours per person per week of beneficial labor.

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    77. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2

      The trick though is that machinery adds expenses without necessarily adding labor.

      If you have a back-hoe it might cost you $1k a day in rental but with that $1k a day you could also hire 8 $16 an hour employees.

      So the question then becomes which can do it faster 8 people for $1k a day or a back-hoe at $1k a day?

      Even if it were twice as fast as 8 people, or equal to 16 people then you look at your budget like this:

      2 1-day projects with a back hoe: $2k
      2 1 day projects with 8 people @ $16 an hour: $4k

      You could say "wow what an inefficient job program wasting $2k!"

      Or you look at the job balance:
      2 1-day projects with a back hoe: maybe 4 man days labor for maintanance and operation... MAYBE.
      2 1-day projects with 8 people: 16 man days.

      By that metric the people with shovels produced 16 man days of employment for $4k vs 8 man days of employment for $4k for the back hoe.

      By that metric the people with shovels are actually *more efficient*... if you're measuring job days per $.

    78. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      You are claiming that the guys who say that the stimulus is bad did not predict the current situation, yet, all of the ones I know who did predict it (in 2005 and their logic explains what happened very well) said in January of 2009 that the stimulus would not reduce unemployment.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    79. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      I did not mean to imply that Rand was rich. I was alluding to the character Dominique in her book the Fountainhead, which I have actually read. Were I the Nefarious One, that is what I would do with A.R. as it seems enjoyably ironic torture: being forced to babysit for eternity a cadre of self-interested demon girls who actually enjoy abuse and humiliation and who cannot write either.

    80. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      The second law of thermodynamics ("entropy shall always increase") broke the road, not some kid with a baseball or some misguided government policy. And sure, there may be some hidden consequences: hydrocarbons in the water supply, dead kittens and puppies in the now-speedy road, or those damned illegal immigrants getting paid to do honest work. I'm still glad the road's fixed. And no, I'm not going to buy a tin foil hat to ward off the bogeyman of "hidden consequences".

      I find it peculiar that you are defending Ayn Rand in one post and damning assertive action in another. I'm not sure she'd approve.

    81. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by mad-seumas · · Score: 1

      And they'd still be right.

    82. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not mangled. It's just missing some punctuation, perhaps if you were properly educated you would be able to read it without making that kind of snide comment.

    83. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not sure I am getting this. He is asking that the rich paid the same taxes as the middle class and you are saying they are paying more?

      By pure dollars spent, yes. But by percentage of wealth earned, I am sorry but they are only paying about half of what they owe.

      As of 2007 the top 20% of the nation possessed roughly 97% of the nations wealth and even that was skewed heavily to the top with the top 1% possessing a whooping 46% of it and even that skewed even more so up, since then it has only gotten worse.

      And so even though the top 10% of the nation is paying roughly 55% of the nations taxes, the fact of the matter is they are still bringing in over 80% of the wealth meaning that the rest of us are dragging their dead weight when it comes to the taxes on this country and much of that is actually wasted chasing non-issues trying to prop them up even further with some of it.

    84. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by jthill · · Score: 1

      The question is whether the GG bridge would have been built eventually, even without the WPA.

      Sure, right. Problem then is the problem now: the rich have a large majority of the money locked up tight and aren't spending it. Poor people don't have money to spend, the middle class is shrinking, the economy stagnates because not enough people are spending enough money. Congress's mandate is not to preserve rich people's bank accounts, it's to provide for the common defense and general welfare of the United States.

      Or, as Lincoln famously said, "If General McClellan isn't going to use his army, I'd like to borrow it for a time. " There's no question the people with all that money now will get their money back, hanging on to a buck is how they got it in the first place.

      I mean, really, is anyone actually so stupid as to not see the end result of everyone refusing to spend money unless they wind up with more than they started with?

      --
      As always, all IMO. Insert "I think" everywhere grammatically possible.
    85. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      There's a big difference between a work program which makes useful things efficiently and a work program which is intentionally inefficient in order to employ as many people as they can get away with.

    86. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      If it's the latter, Obama signed it less than a month entering office. All the work on it was done months before by Congress, under the BUSH regime.

      I'm sorry, but you're ignoring reality here. Bush may be a douche, but he basically told Obama's crew to 'give me the plan and I'll sign it for you to get this important thing in motion' ... and they gave it too him ... and he signed it ... and now everyone says 'oh that was Bush'.

      No, it wasn't Bush's plan, it was the incoming presidents plan and it fucking sucked, and because of that you want to blame it on the other guy.

      Theres plenty of shit to blame on the other guy, but lets stick to blaming them for what they did in reality, not based on the spin put on it by the press core.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    87. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      Its only 'more efficient' if you ignore the fact that the 1k/day for the back hoe is actually going to some other employees on someone elses chart.

      Your taking a charge for the back hoe and trying to ignore what happens to that charge.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    88. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by MyFirstNameIsPaul · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you should update the Wikipedia article on the Golden Gate Bridge:

      The Golden Gate Bridge and Highway District, authorized by an act of the California Legislature, was incorporated in 1928 as the official entity to design, construct, and finance the Golden Gate Bridge. However, after the Wall Street Crash of 1929, the District was unable to raise the construction funds, so it lobbied for a $30 million bond measure. The bonds were approved in November 1930, by votes in the counties affected by the bridge. The construction budget at the time of approval was $27 million. However, the District was unable to sell the bonds until 1932, when Amadeo Giannini, the founder of San Francisco–based Bank of America, agreed on behalf of his bank to buy the entire issue in order to help the local economy.

      And while you're at it, goldengatebridge.org.

      --

      I once took an excursion to Reddit, and later HN. Unlimited up/down voting sucks when dealing with a hive-mind.

    89. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by ppanon · · Score: 1

      entries in respected sources like Wikipedia and the Wall Street Journal

      Wikipedia is a mostly reliable source on subjects that do not involve political controversy, but is highly manipulated on those subjects that do. Clearly this subject falls into the latter category. The Wall Street journal, by its very name, should not need any explanation of its inherent bias on this issue, one significantly exacerbated since its purchase by News International.

      --
      Laissez lire, et laissez danser; ces deux amusements ne feront jamais de mal au monde. - Voltaire
    90. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by ewanm89 · · Score: 1

      Please reread the first two paragraphs that point out Amtrak is government owned?

    91. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      Georgia is the same way, but even worse: metro Atlanta politicians had to fight tooth and nail in the state legislature just to win the right for us to tax ourselves. And even then the process is structured in such a way as to give as much power as possible to the outlying (most rural) suburbs, and to put the state in charge of implementing the projects.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    92. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      I think that was his point: the (more naturally efficient) railroads have to fend for themselves, while their competitor, trucking, gets subsidized by the Feds.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    93. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      in a society that prefers to pay the skill-less to sit idle

      Near as I can figure, so long as you act like you are entitled, and more entitled than anyone that might question your entitlement, and have been in one place so long you have leveraged relationships into a steady-paying job that requires little to no --to actual negative work, for a very very large employer that is reknown for not replacing incompetant individuals... you have it made. Everywhere I look all I see is bullshit... people faking it. We live in a society of liars. (Apologies to the few enlightened and sincere individuals out there sprinkled amongst the masses.)

      Capitalism isn't necessarily rooted in deception, but our (Western) society has perverted it, so that at the very best it is difficult to tell if one is getting fair market price and value for goods, and at the worst food and drug addiction has been cultivated to ensure perpetual revenue. All the while there are so many grievances that protest bulletpoints have been fractured into such an incomprehensible myriad that we have country-wide group protests with no clear statement as to what is being protested. My understanding is its a coalition of sorts... not a complex issue but hundreds of simple but unrelated issues... desperately failing to fit into any comprehensible summary, though succeeding somewhat in duplicating imagery from past famous and noble protest.

      I really can't blame anyone that is literally and intentionally milking the system. Shit is so fucked up now, I can understand there exists stresses that would make the idea of putting oneself in mortal danger to steal a few hundred dollars of scrap metal inviting... when all avenues of possible revenue have been exhausted, one still has the right to survive. Welfare and other social services, such as unemployment compensation, and free medical care, prevent crime.

      I am not proud to say the individuals in the positions that I want that are less qualitied and less capable than I... honestly, I have trouble not resenting them. They have a job because they are liked more than me, and not because they can do the job better than me. The problem is not individuals milking system... its an economy based on undocumented and ubiquitous social yet non-familial nepotism.

    94. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by digsbo · · Score: 1

      Wrong, sir. Currency is just an IOU. Money stores value. Hence gold has outperformed the Dow by about 50% since Nixon went off the gold standard completely in the early 1970s.

    95. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amtrak mostly just owns rolling stock and very little tracks(Northeast Corridor aside).

    96. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by digsbo · · Score: 1

      If the Fed receives back payment on the debt it has purchased, it must mark down its assets and equity/liabilities equally. The issuance of new notes against the new debt results in reserves which can be expanded through the fractional reserve system. When that debt is paid off, the money supply decreases, because the base of the fractional reserve is being reduced, and this reduction has to have an effect on the outstanding money supply, which reduces in proportion to the monetary base at the ration of the money multiplier (ten to thirty times, give or take).

      There is nothing in there to prevent any entity from borrowing more money than exists in the monetary base. To pay it off, the government would have to re-tax the same dollar in the deflated money supply N times until the debt was paid off.

      The government doesn't control the value of the money directly. Once they print too much, the inflation in the money supply causes a general loss of confidence in the currency, and people move to something else, and the old currency becomes worth less (worthless).

    97. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by blahplusplus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Repairing even the wilderness trails is too expensive in a society that prefers to pay the skill-less to sit idle and collect the dole rather than actually lift a finger, let a lone a bag of cement."

      What a bunch of garbage. The vast majority of people have to work for a living and there are plenty of people without jobs who've been looking for ages. The whole IDEA that it's just 'lazyness' is simple minded bullshit.

    98. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He listed sources for most of his numbers: http://xkcd.com/980/sources/ So it's not any worse than wikipedia as a source. :)

    99. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Private companies.... like ... Amtrak...

      Dude, do you know anything about Amtrak? You can kinda call it a corportation, but it ain't exactly private. It's a federally owned corporation. Kinda like a public service, but in it for the money, sorta.

    100. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by nine-times · · Score: 2

      By that metric the people with shovels are actually *more efficient*... if you're measuring job days per $.

      But why would you measure it by that metric? You could create job-days per dollar by paying people to sit around doing nothing.

    101. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) The WPA prolonged the Great Depression by about 7 extra years.

      Show me one respected source saying so. And no, Gingrich and Palin's books don't count.

      You'll have to decide if it's "respected" but the source of that notion is von Mises and others from the Austrian School of economics, primarily F.A. Hayek and Murray Rothbard.

    102. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      Uh, he's a partisan hack, but that's not really racist.
      And what's with the bolded "you're"? Am I missing some grammatical mistake he made? I mean, other then the characterized accent.

      Did this really get to +5 insightful just because it's opposition to someone opposing republicans?

    103. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Although one hates to be un-PC (and therefore on the side of the fascisti currently running the world) you sound like a right spazzer.

    104. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Democrats love giving everyones money to people who didn't earn it... Whats the problem here?

    105. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      If the richest 1% of Americans paid the same tax rates as the middle class, there would be no government budget deficit. Do the math. That's wrong by a tremendous degree. You can download the data directly from the IRS. Go ahead.

      Even so, the richest 1% should still pay the same tax rates as the middle class. Or maybe the US should just say fuck it and not collect any tax at all (cue cheers from the mouth-breathing libertarians).

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    106. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Toonol · · Score: 1

      No, because it's obvious that being deliberately inefficient is a net loss.

    107. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by chispito · · Score: 1

      That was the point I was trying to make. Even the government-owned passenger train service runs on privately owned infrastructure (and pays for it). I'm not saying this arrangement can apply to all infrastructure, but it's worth noting.

      --
      The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    108. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by DigitalGoetz · · Score: 1

      There will always be lobbyists.

    109. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by afidel · · Score: 1

      The problem is they are allowing the infrastructure to crumble in the productive parts of the state all the while building bridges to nowhere because it's politically expedient. I have no problem with welfare, I DO have a problem with being against welfare but implementing it in another guise while kicking poor people in the nads because they happen to have a different skin color than you. I truly love this state, but I also truly despise most of the government in it (Democrats included, we have some of the most corrupt politicians outside Chicago).

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    110. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      With that last mangled sentence I'm not even sure what your endpoint is.

      Original sentence: I'm not sure how exactly it's racist to suggest that there are people out there that believe that when there are people out there that believe just that..

      Clarified sentence: I'm not sure how exactly it's "racist" to suggest that there are people out there who believe X, when there are people out there who quite clearly do believe just that..

      It's not difficult to see what GP means at all, I imagine you just didn't like what he said.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    111. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by DigitalGoetz · · Score: 1

      Or better yet, slash entitlement spending and only cut down military actions on foreign soil and diminish. Put the armed forces to work here in America what they're trying to do elsewhere: building infrastructure.

      I know... that's not all they're doing in Iraq/Afganistan, but the military is filled with already-paid, able-bodied men and women who could be tasked at doing labor that results in improved quality throughout the country. Add to that the fact that those throngs of men and women would be earning money that would be spent inside America it would certainly aid the smaller towns that they would be working around. It's just a terrible idea that would never work, however....

    112. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      The point is actually that from those in power's viewpoint it's better to have most people doing something inefficiently rather than nothing at all. You're much less likely to breed revolutionaries if they're not sitting around bored, frustrated and penniless.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    113. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by DigitalGoetz · · Score: 1

      Well, if we assume they had (for example) 1 million dollars. Did they spend it on a few roads, or buy 1 million dollars worth of signs?

      The a few roads in my area that have the signs still look like they did 5 years ago and no work has been done on them (that I can see.) Most do look fixed/repaired/new, but there are at least 3 that look terrible.

    114. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Approximately how much of the interstate highway system did the WPA build? How many of out airports? How many piers in our major ports?

      The WPA didn't build Hoover Dam, the Golden Gate Bridge, Rockefeller Center, etc. You are talking out your hat...

      You are quite correct, the WPA was in fact just a joke invented by a wit from The New Yorker (I believe SJ Perelman), it never actually existed, employed no one, and built nothing. Amazing how well the hoax has been maintained until now.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    115. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      One slight correcton: the UK actually lost its position of world domination and wealth during WW2. The countries who came out in credit from WW2 were (in descending order) US, Russia, Japan, and Germany, with the UK heavily on the debit side.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    116. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      The question is... what to do now? Stagnate while waiting for another massive international conflict?

      Invest in the next infrastructure: nanotechnology.

      Once we're all grey goo at least we can stop worrying about the economy.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    117. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

      Which was my point, obliquely made.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    118. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 2

      If this costs me a few bucks in taxes, that's fine because I don't have to worry about the wheels coming off my car now.

      Broken window fallacy?

      Er, it's the total opposite.

      The broken window fallacy says that the act of breaking a window pane will only have positive benefits for the glazier, with society as a whole suffering.

      In this case, the creation of a better road not only gives work to the labourers involved, but overall adds to the economic prosperity of society as there are fewer accidents, wheels coming off, and so on, giving everyone more time to positively increase the wealth of the nation.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    119. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by nine-times · · Score: 2

      There may be truth to that, but in an oversimplified example:

      If you're going to spend a $10 billion to build Project A, employing 100,000 people, and Project A could be built for $5 billion employing half as many people while using some automation, what do you do? You could still spend the full $10 billion and have everyone dig with shovels, or spend $5 billion and have people sitting around half the time doing nothing-- with roughly the same effect.

      But then, why not build Project A for $5 billion and then *also* build Project B for $5 billion, and employ 50,000 people with each project. You spend the same amount of money, get the same number of jobs, but at the end of it, you complete both Project A and Project B.

      Ultimately my point is this: there's plenty of work that legitimately needs to be done. If you want to give people jobs, find some of the work that legitimately needs to be done (and that it's arguably the government's job to do it) and fund it. If you can't find that work that needs to be done, I can give you a short list off the top of my head.

    120. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      It really doesn't matter whether Ayn Rand was a schoolteacher or a fucking stripper, her novels are appallingly bad and her "philosophy" as profound as Norman Vincent Peale's, though sadly somewhat more poisonous and currently popular.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    121. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by khipu · · Score: 1

      The US military does construction abroad because those nations do not have a functioning free market to do the job. Why would you want the US military to build infrastructure instead of private firms?

    122. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      I look forward to the day you get stabbed and left to bleed to death in an alley because you were too weak to get yourself to hospital, and all the passers by looked at you with the pity of a lion eviscerating a zebra.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    123. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by FishOuttaWater · · Score: 1

      I know it's lucrative to hit the rich guys on the corporate income and then again on the stock values, but is that really fair? Seems like capital gains and inheritance taxes tax the same income twice to me.

    124. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      You're assuming the Fed would reduce its holdings of US debt when the treasury pays it down, rather than holding the same amount and that amount just representing a higher proportion of the total outstanding.

      In addition, nobody actually expects them to pay the whole debt. It would just be nice if they could e.g. cut it in half. And as I already said, the easiest way to do that is to just stop running deficits for a while until inflation erodes the value of the outstanding balance.

      Of course, there is the option you mention: They could increase the money supply. There is a whole lot of difference between "worth less" and "worthless." A currency that has a one-time devaluation by 50% over a period of a decade is hardly "worthless" -- it's still worth half what it was before. And newly created money can be used to cover the deficit in the meantime.

    125. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bah. Only a commie would look at him with eyes of a lion.

      Those who love capitalism would look at him with eyes of a vulture or hyena, thinking: how can I profit off his suffering? What capital can I pilfer from him? ;p

    126. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by FishOuttaWater · · Score: 1

      I'm sure the richest 1% would be *thrilled* to take you up on your offer.

    127. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by digsbo · · Score: 1

      Yeah, technically that's true - they could keep the created money. It's a non-issue, though, because there is no way that interest rates won't rise, and when they do, the government's interest payments will require more money printing just to keep up. If the Fed prints money fast enough to monetize the issuance of new debt by the Treasury, the world will drop the dollar as a reserve currency and the dollar will fail. The only way to solve this is with massive spending cuts and some tax reform (mostly oriented towards higher total tax revenue). Ain't gonna happen.

    128. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      there is no way that interest rates won't rise

      That's debatable. Interest rates are primarily a function of alternatives. What is the alternative to US treasuries right now for a safe investment? The stock market is too volatile, the Eurozone is too volatile, China doesn't really issue debt. I mean sure, if you print too much money then interest rates will go up too much. So you don't print too much, you only print just enough. Let there be moderate (but not excessive) inflation -- it'll help the housing market.

    129. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fault of the stimulus was that it did not strictly define how the money should be spent, or at least that it should be spent on public works projects. In my state, Florida, the Republican government used it to pay for their own budget shortfalls and push the reckoning for them past the next election. Sadly, that worked for them, but the rest of us will be paying for it for generations.

    130. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Moryath · · Score: 1

      No, the Austrian School isn't respected by anyone except the paid CATO goons. It's just a boring rehash of the same laisseiz-faire "Invisible Hand, Adam Smith" bullshit that got us into the Great Depression and the Bush Depression today.

      Adam Smith: "In the long run, everything evens out."
      Keynes: "In the long run, we are all dead."

      Add to it that historically, in the long run, everything does NOT even out. Far from it, economic disparity INCREASES without governmental controls to prevent the hoarding and accumulation of both wealth and power into the hands of an oligarchy.

    131. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Sorry for not being clear; it wasn't taxes that I was decrying, it was central banking and their fractional reserve lending, and its ability to create money out of thin air, and its requirement to pay back more money than was created, that makes satisfying our debt mathematically impossible. I like your ideas about "waiting it out" but I don't think they'll work in practice. The last time the USA had zero debt was 1835. Surprisingly enough, we've pretty much had constant centralized banking since then.

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    132. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      New Occupy NSA[1] slogan: "I am the grey goo!"

      [1] -- Because that's where Jake 2.0 worked, of course.

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    133. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps. I was thinking more along the lines of the further-up parent stating that we actually got something from Obama's stimulus. In fact, I perceive Obama's stimulus as exactly like breaking windows, especially the part about destroying perfectly good cars at taxpayer expense.

      The other major topic of this particular thread was the WPA, and whether that was actually a net benefit, or as was suggested caused the depression to last longer -- again, seeming to very effectively model the idea of breaking windows to increase the global economy: the WPA may have helped some localities, but it (can be argued that it) caused the national depression to last significantly longer.

      So, my initial parent stating, and I paraphrase, "it's okay to spend tax dollars on the roads near me even if those dollars aren't quite spent efficiently, in order that my wheels don't fall off" sounds, to me, a lot like breaking windows: it's okay if far more tax dollars are thrown at this problem than private dollars would be if this were an issue on private property, and my original parent is fine with this waste of tax dollars. Hence, broken window fallacy. Please prove me wrong? (I'm serious, I'm not just picking a fight, I want to understand what I don't understand, if that's actually the case.)

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    134. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Your thought process seems random. I am not interested in seeking approval from dead entities. If you've found some internal inconsistency in my logic, please point it out. See my response to the other response to the post you responded to (i.e., this) for why I maintain that your acceptance of Obama's throwing away taxpayer dollars is similar to the broken window fallacy. I agree that thermodynamics plays a part, but Obama destroys value faster. I would prefer that my roads be fixed by local taxes.

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    135. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, okay, now I understand a little better what you were trying to say in the other thread. However, I still am having difficulty understanding you: are you saying that, now, after she has died, she is a schoolteacher in some netherworld flight of fantasy of yours which is similar to a literary creation of hers? (Also, I'm not sure how you interpreted my response as my thinking that you thought Ayn Rand was wealthy. Again, as I said in the previous response, your thought process seems randomized; but, perhaps, I'm missing an essential ingredient; college was fun.) (Finally, I have no way of interpreting your responses, other than that you were being intentionally confusing: you responded to a post with "I heard she...", when the only female in your parent post was Ayn Rand (and referenced in the PS; the bulk of the post was discussing Milton Friedman). Then you state that you weren't talking about her; you were talking about a character of hers, in a creation of hers. That character, and that creation, were not mentioned in the parent. Do you have any idea that you're being confusing, or is this The New Math?)

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    136. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      Except that you're already paying them through FICA and unemployment has a cost on society through systemic reactions. e.g. Even if 90% of the population has a job if 70% is afraid for their security they'll restrict their spending.

      Better to have people working than idle.

    137. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by sneakyimp · · Score: 1

      I can fully appreciate that my posts were confusing and I apologize. Yes I'm gleefully picturing A.R. in hell where she is forced to play school marm to spoiled, entitled, rich young girls who are both poor writers and future adulterous harlots with rape fantasies (like her character Dominique). My reason for enjoying this notion is that I think A.R.'s writing was dull and beat to a pulp the dead horse of an idea that the fittest deserve to rule the world (don't they anyway?) and has now become something of a rallying point for many confused thinkers. It's delicious to think of A.R. suffering at the hands of people who are wealthy by no merit of their own and failing to be rewarded for her bland, redundant, and long-winded works. I also find it ironic and curious that A.R. would portray what some consider a rape as a positive sexual experience and wonder if might have been a fantasy of A.R. herself. Together it all tends to suggest that A.R. was herself a sadist or masochist or both. No, this post is not meant to espouse any political view. No, I don't like Ayn Rand. Yes, I'd take her shovel and give her a spoon. Or take her pen and give her a vicious spanking.

    138. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      Sorry for not being clear; it wasn't taxes that I was decrying, it was central banking and their fractional reserve lending, and its ability to create money out of thin air, and its requirement to pay back more money than was created, that makes satisfying our debt mathematically impossible

      That's not really how it works. For one thing, the federal government doesn't take out debt by taking a bank loan. They issue bonds which investors buy using already-existing money. For another, fractional reserve banking would only prevent people from paying back their loans if it was the sole mechanism by which money is created. It isn't. Moreover, if people start paying back their loans at a faster rate than other people take out new ones, the government will cause new money to be created in order to prevent deflation.

      Incidentally, that happening could solve a lot of our problems -- if people start paying down their debts en masse (and there is evidence that they are doing that now), it requires the government to print a lot of money to offset the money "destroyed" when people pay back their loans. And every dollar the government creates is a dollar it doesn't have to get from taxes. The inflation is normally be the only downside and it's negated by the people paying their debts.

      Here's a fun fact: With a stroke of a pen Congress could cancel all student loans and all mortgage debt without directly causing any inflation, just by printing the principal and crediting it to everyone's accounts. (Of course, the newly debt-free people would immediately turn around and start borrowing again, and that would cause a huge amount of inflation. But if you can discourage that by, say, adding a 50% tax up to the amount paid off on any new borrowing within 10 years, it would work.) Naturally nobody talks about stuff like that, because most of the people who understand it are bankers, and it's the last thing they want because debt-free people don't pay interest.

    139. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by nine-times · · Score: 1

      So then you agree that "job days per dollar" isn't the metric that you want to maximize?

    140. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      No, gold really is just currency, and it is still just an IOU. Just like money, it's an IOU for an indeterminate amount of goods or services ("indeterminate" meaning it could be for more or less than was exchanged for the gold in the first place).

      One of the reasons gold has "appreciated" relative to other currencies is because there is essentially a fixed supply of gold chasing an ever-increasing number of goods and services; this means a smaller physical amount of gold is available to exchange for any given good or service.

      Thus, gold is inherently a deflationary currency*, and it encourages hording rather than spending. On one hand this is good, because it means you only spend gold on things you absolutely need, but on the other side it's bad, because you only spend gold on things you absolutely need.

      *Yes, there have been periods of inflation even under gold-based systems, but that was due to demand increases rather than money supply increases. Yes, I do not belong to the camp that says that inflation is purely a monetary phenomenon. I believe, in addition to the monetary causes of inflation, a reduction in standard of living can also cause inflation.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    141. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by digsbo · · Score: 1

      That there is a stable supply (not fixed, it grows about 2% per annum) of gold is what makes it money, as opposed to Federal Reserve Notes, or Euros, or Zimbabwe Dollars, which can be printed at a high rate. Gold only encourages hoarding when chased out of the economy by paper currency (Gresham's law).

    142. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by digsbo · · Score: 1

      If you think US Treasuries are a safe investment, think about what just happened last week in Germany. They couldn't sell enough bonds at a low enough interest rate to sell the full debt load they originally planned. And that's not Italy or Greece - it's Germany. It seems you understand that interest rates are set in the bond market, which is to your credit. But you maybe are hanging on to the idea that US debt is zero risk, which I think has generally been accepted as being an unsound belief.

    143. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      Nothing is zero risk, but there isn't anything short of a nuclear war that will cause the US government to not pay its bonds.

    144. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rail lines are owned and maintained by private companies. Advancements in rail management have vastly improved rail freight traffic and sped up delivery. Our current rail system is such that no trucks have to be used farther than 100 miles from any rail depot in the U.S. That means we could, if stupid government regulators and socialist unions would get out of the way, vastly reduce the number of trucks tearing up our highways and clogging them up.
      Since a railcar gets about 430 m.p.g., the amount of oil used in this country would go way down.
      A good way to ruin the entire system would be for the government to own all the railroads and run them into the ground just like they did our anachronistic postal system, Amtrak, and other inefficient government boondoggles.

    145. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Try doing that again and see how long it takes!
      Both the GGB and the Hoover Dam would have to go through 20 years of committees, federal, state, and local governments, local citizen groups, the EPA, several expensive studies-all of whom will have a ready-made conclusion in mind, environmental quacks and other people who are just plain against any progress or building whatsoever. If you do not believe me look at the fraud, waste and abuse that has already happened after more than 10 years of planning for the L.A. - Vegas high speed rail project. They have already blown (stolen) over $600,000,000 in taxpayer money without laying 1 foot of track. In other words more than half a billion dollars and nothing to show for it.

    146. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      The sources I've found say that at its peak, new gold production was about 1.5-1.8% per year, and that may work so long as population growth remains low (or goes negative) and the rate of gold production can continue.

      However, I also believe that some deflation isn't bad; some quick searching shows that something like 1% annual deflation is probably tolerable without detriment to economic growth.

      At the end of the day, the only difference (albeit a very important one) between a commodity-based currency like gold and fiat currencies is that private parties can increase currency when it is commodity, whereas fiat money must have approval of the central banks. Of course, this sheds some light into why most governments don't like the idea of switching back to a commodity-based monetary system.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    147. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by digsbo · · Score: 1

      The difference between gold money (or competitive money) and fiat currency controlled by the government is that in a competitive or gold system, people can choose to use the money that works best for them. In a fiat/government controlled system (ours), the government chooses the money that works best for the banks, and can steal from the people through inflation.

    148. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by digsbo · · Score: 1

      At any point, if the US government issues bonds, and the uptake is less than required to keep rates low, rates rise. The interest rates will depend on US treasuries as long as creditors will lend to the US government AND people use the dollar as a reserve currency worldwide. When China and other foreign interests decide to stop funding US deficits at ridiculously low lending rates that give negative returns after inflation, and bond sales flop (as Germany's did), the whole thing collapses. As the US tries to roll over low-rate debt into higher-rate debt, the interest payments become higher, and we will be borrowing more than half of every dollar we spend. It will collapse. At that point, some other currency (Swiss Franc, Singapore Dollar, a possible Gold Renminbi) will become the de facto reserve currency, and all rates of return will be measured against something other than the dollar.

    149. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      Your proposed replacement reserve currencies are nonsense. The Swiss Franc? Their economy isn't big enough. The people buying Francs already who are doing so because the Swiss have a strong economy in the recession are destroying that very economy by causing excessive deflation. The Swiss government can't respond by increasing the money supply because if they did then the second anywhere else starts to recover, enough people would dump their holdings of Francs that it would trigger hyperinflation. As for Singapore, they're a smaller economy than Switzerland. And nobody is going to adopt Chinese currency because China intentionally keeps its value low to promote exports, which is the opposite of what holders of currency are looking for. The only realistic replacement for the US dollar as the world reserve currency is the Euro, and they don't seem to be in any position to do that right now.

      In addition to that, if the world switched reserve currencies then the debt is totally irrelevant. If there was a large migration away from the dollar in a short period of time, the US would have the problem the Swiss need to avoid: All the money people were holding as reserve goes back into the local economy and the currency loses most of its value. At that point the debt is trivial and you can pay it with a song, because it's denominated in devalued currency.

      And that would never happen anyway because the whole world would do everything to stop it. A transition to a different reserve currency would cause the value of the dollar to tank faster than anyone could actually unload their holdings. Which means that if such a thing were even rumored, everyone holding US dollars -- which is to say everyone -- would start frantically doing everything possible to stop it, to avoid collectively losing their shirts.

    150. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by obscuro · · Score: 1

      By definition, in a debt money system like our's, there is never enough money to pay the debt. The debt is what creates the money in the first place. You can move the debt around from the public to the private sector and back but one man's home sale is another man's mortgage.

      --
      Every rule has more than one consequence.
    151. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by DigitalGoetz · · Score: 1

      Because we're in a recession and those private firms would cost orders of magnitude greater than utilizing the US military (which is already doing construction for other countries.) I'm not saying that this is something that should be standard procedures for our country, but our infrastructure is in dire need of some repair. Basically, I do agree that we should have private industry perform these tasks, if our taxes are already tasking our military to build infrastructure... why not have it be on our own soil?

    152. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by ahabswhale · · Score: 1

      It would cost over $2 trillion to fix existing roads and bridges in the US, so I don't know what the hell you're talking about with environmental concerns. It's not about building new stuff, it's about fixing old stuff.

      --
      Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
    153. Re:Quote Investigator to the rescue! by khipu · · Score: 1

      Because we're in a recession and those private firms would cost orders of magnitude greater than utilizing the US military (which is already doing construction for other countries.)

      I'm sorry, but ... get real. In general, I don't have a problem with government services: the government is not as inefficient as conservatives make them out to be. But soldiers are a highly trained workforce with expensive equipment and expensive benefits. That training etc. is needed in war zones, it is not needed at home. Having them dig ditches and pave roads in the US would be an enormous waste of money (even disregarding the legal issues). And they tend not to spend much in the general economy either, so they wouldn't help us out of the recession.

  16. A stupid question for a stupid comment. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The question is stupid whether it costs jobs. Should people waste time re-producing the wheel? Should we continue to produce buggy whips? Advancements have
    always "cost jobs". But the fact is it frees people to move onto new inventions and add productivity rather than living in the past.

  17. Tractors Eliminated Mule Drivers by BoRegardless · · Score: 1

    So let us get rid of tractors. Then if we get rid of horse teams, there will be lots of hand plowing jobs.

    Wallah...no unemployment.

    1. Re:Tractors Eliminated Mule Drivers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    2. Re:Tractors Eliminated Mule Drivers by Sulphur · · Score: 1

      So let us get rid of tractors. Then if we get rid of horse teams, there will be lots of hand plowing jobs.

      Wallah...no unemployment.

      Build more pyramids.

    3. Re:Tractors Eliminated Mule Drivers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So let us get rid of tractors. Then if we get rid of horse teams, there will be lots of hand plowing jobs.

      Wallah...no unemployment.

      There will still be a need for French teachers.

    4. Re:Tractors Eliminated Mule Drivers by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      "Hand plowing jobs" are not nearly as delicious as they sound. (Re: Homer Simpson on going cold turkey.)

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
  18. Well, he's right, to an extent. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Of course open source software costs jobs. You could employ a small army to re-impliment everything each time you needed something expanded. Or you could use a really horrible system and employ an army of IT workers to deal with it and work around it.

    Open source software (and quality software in general) makes using these tools easier and cheaper. And so, for any given job, there's less work to do. Which means people hired to do the job. Which means less jobs.

    And that's a good thing. That's efficiency. That's extra productiveness. But don't weep for the software engineers, because there seems to be a nigh infinate amount of problems to fix and streamline and automate.

  19. Yes and it's a good thing. by pavon · · Score: 1

    Enabling people to do things more efficiently means that you don't need to pay as many people to do the same job. Money that would have been spent reinventing the wheel can now be spent on other things, like the actual goal of the company/organization, or paying IT to improve their services rather than just tread water.

    Increases in efficiency are the only thing that have ever raised the standard of living. What is tricky is how the fruits of these improvements are distributed. That is where concern and energy should be placed, not trying to hold back progress.

  20. A classic parable by mdarksbane · · Score: 1, Insightful

    There was an American who was given a tour of a Chinese government work project. The project consisted of the construction of several dams, canals and a series of highways that were to join various isolated portions of the vast country together. The American observer, upon seeing the vast army of workers, asked the Chinese officials why there were so many shovels and no tractors. The official responded to this question by explaining that they were not building a dam but instead were creating jobs. The American, seeing the government officials great pride at just how many jobs they were creating, asked the obvious question; âoeWhy donâ(TM)t you give them spoons?â

    Copied from http://andrewkboyle.com/2011/06/21/digging-with-spoons/, but he probably copied it from somewhere else.

  21. Egg Analogy by CanHasDIY · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Putting all your eggs in one basket is never a good idea.

    Putting all your eggs in someone else's basket, one that is hosted God knows where, is an even worse idea.

    Something tells me this cloud fad is just that; a passing trend. Oh, sure, non-technical management might love the idea of being able to cut staff and equipment costs by putting all their eggs in the cloud basket, but the first time said non-technical management is unable to access their remotely-stored eggs, for whatever reason, the shiny luster will fade and they'll come to the realization that the sysadmins they let go were far more valuable than previously thought.

    Remote backups are always a good idea, but remote everything is not a winning strategy, IMO.

    --
    An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
    1. Re:Egg Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention the cloud only works until that internet kill switch is created, or passed rather.

    2. Re:Egg Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder how long before we see "documentary" streams of people making money on the content of abandoned "cloud"-lockers...

    3. Re:Egg Analogy by olau · · Score: 1

      Putting all your eggs in someone else's basket, one that is hosted God knows where, is an even worse idea.

      But what if it turns out that it's much cheaper and less eggs break? :)

      Of course, the other thing that can happen is that cloud infrastructure gets so mature that you can run your own cloud. Bonus points if runs in a peer-to-peer fashion without requiring maintenance of a server. Now that would be neat.

    4. Re:Egg Analogy by anonymov · · Score: 1

      When you'll be able to run your own cloud, that will be a job opening for someone responsible for running that cloud.

      Needs for most maintenance, tweaks and support come from user side, not server side. Moving things with stable requirements and no user interaction, like e-mail and storage, to the cloud is a no-brainer and can save a lot on set up and maintenance, moving user facing stuff up there can reduce costs on hardware and its upkeep, but not so much on support.

  22. This is FUD. OpenSource creates jobs! by jerryjnormandin · · Score: 1

    Hmm.. When I wanted to learn how to create a compiler I studied the gcc source! When I wanted to study kernel development I studied the Linux Kernel source. The knowledge that I picked up from my study has helped me along my career. I'd say OpenSource has created jobs.

  23. Nonsense. by identity0 · · Score: 1

    Jobs saved millions of dollars by leveraging Open Source software at Apple, and before that at NeXT.

    *ducks*

  24. Is this... by Baloo+Uriza · · Score: 1

    ...a repeat from 1998?

    --
    Furries make the internet go.
  25. Broken window fallacy by nadaou · · Score: 1

    No, it creates jobs. Just elsewhere.

    Read up on the Broken window fallacy:
        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken_window

    I'd also suggest to read Henry Hazlitt's classic Economics in One Lesson. If nothing else it is a rather entertaining read.
        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_in_One_Lesson
    His main point is that you have to consider the whole picture, not just your own widget factory.

    --
    ~.~
    I'm a peripheral visionary.
    1. Re:Broken window fallacy by blair1q · · Score: 1

      No, it creates fewer jobs, just in new fields, while killing more jobs in existing ones.

    2. Re:Broken window fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People who listen to talk radio have an annoying tendency to latch onto the "broken window fallacy" (from a popular economics book written in the '30s which probably comprised the entire economics curriculum of many radio hosts) as if they win the argument just by calling it out. In this case, there is no unnecessary make-work so no broken window: instead, a local labor force has been replaced by an inexpensive (or free) remote service which is probably less responsive and capable of fulfilling specific requests.

    3. Re:Broken window fallacy by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Not overall. As older jobs are eliminated productivity increases. This productivity creates wealth which is then used to pay for new services, which creates new jobs. Since the overall wealth of the economy increases, the number of jobs increases.

    4. Re:Broken window fallacy by Hatta · · Score: 1

      The Parable of the Broken Window assumes that the alternative use for the money that went to fix the broken window would go to something that would stimulate the economy. The shopkeeper can reinvest that money in his business all he wants. If the glass maker goes out of business there's going to be less demand for his wares.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    5. Re:Broken window fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The shopkeeper might have spent it on crack though. He might have been right at the tipping point of prosperity where ennui sets in and he seeks adventure. It could have destroyed his whole family. The social costs would be astronomical compared to the six francs of the original parable. It's a good thing that window broke. As they say, "cocaine is God's way of telling you that you have too much money".

    6. Re:Broken window fallacy by blair1q · · Score: 1

      This productivity creates wealth which is then used to pay for new services, which creates new jobs.

      O rly?

      Trickle-down is bullshit. Always was, always will be.

      Since the overall wealth of the economy increases, the number of jobs increases.

      Okay, now I'm 94 1/3% certain you're being facetious.

    7. Re:Broken window fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think you get it. This is trickle-up not trickle-down.

      The money saved by the school district on hiring an IT specialist can instead be spent on something else like an IT teacher (often the same person would do). Spend it on education instead of throwing it down a hole. Or they could just pocket the money and lower the town taxes instead, which means all local home owners now have more money to spend on vegetables or starting a new company in their garage. A rising tide which lifts everyone.

      Here you put money into the hands of the wide lower base, not the top of the pyramid pyramid as Reagan and Bush the lesser tried to convince us was a good idea.

    8. Re:Broken window fallacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the window is broken the money is wasted for sure.
      If the shopkeeper is allowed to keep the money, there is only a small chance that he will get wasted.

      100% vs 100%.

      Or he can lower his prices and so the orphans can have more bread and be able to afford their own crack. Won't you help the orphans?

    9. Re:Broken window fallacy by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      The plot you referenced showed US specific numbers. Don't you think that growing globalization might mean that job creation might be happening outside the US??

      Or maybe the fact that China's productivity growth being 3x that of the US might be causing this?

      http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci13-8/ci13-8.html

  26. What a stupid question and what a useless metric by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Every change "costs" jobs. Heck, a couple of years ago it was 70% farming/agriculture - want to go back there?
    Jobs don't get "lost". New job opportunities pop up. Progress implies shifting of jobs. So can we please stop being all stupid about it?

  27. Re:This is FUD. OpenSource creates jobs! by jerryjnormandin · · Score: 1

    Cloud services are going to redistribute IT needs. I believe companies can benefit by running their own Cloud. Security and Control is lost if you use a cloud offered by a vendor. Outsourcing overseas didn't work so is Cloud another attempt ? I really don't want to see the dumbing down of IT. If I ran a company, even if my data was encrypted, I'd prefer to have my data in my data center and an encrypted copy offsite for DR purposes. I think the Bean Counters of the World are going to leverage the Cloud for their own evil purposes. That being said I advise all of us to keep our data centers internal.

  28. Author out to lunch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Some of our developers here at my company like to use open source software. If anything it provides me more work everyday to support that crap than regularly licensed products. John Spencer is out to lunch.

  29. Steam shovel costs jobs... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    new plan from congress to ban mechanical advantage. Also, electricity "isn't caused by humans"

  30. also with the cloud lack of local control is part by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    also with the cloud lack of local control is part of it.

    Now say some says run adobe CS 5 or auto cad with our remote cloud based systems saving you the cost of buying high end systems.

    Now that may work at least for some time up till they force you to the next ver breaking older date files / makeing so you can't save files in a old ver.

    Or say NO we can't install plug in X for you.

    Some cloud systems rips your data off.

    You have to download and reload data to move it from one app to a other as some cloud systems run each app in it's own VM that resets to the image on each boot.

    The bandwidth needs add up fast.

  31. Re:This is FUD. OpenSource creates jobs! by White+Flame · · Score: 2

    That's not creating a job, that's creating a worker's skills.

    Creating a job means that there is a need for work to be done, and a flow of money sufficient to hire somebody to do it.

  32. Re:This is FUD. OpenSource creates jobs! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I read an earlier post from you that mentioned your wife. How the hell did you ever get married? My neighbor's ten year old daughter can write a more coherent paragraph than these two posts. Your writing sounds like something out of Dr. Seuss.

  33. Yeah, we know; what's next? by AcidPenguin9873 · · Score: 2

    A rising tide lifts all boats, but only if there are enough boats. What happens when automation removes all the jobs?

    We know technology and efficiency remove the need for some jobs, and some people are out of work and have to do something else, but it's improving the standard of living, it's a good thing for society, Luddite fallacy, etc. all that. The thing is, history has shown than up till now, automation and technology may have eliminated some jobs but have created a roughly equal number of other jobs, such that people can still make enough money to support themselves and their families and enjoy this higher standard of living. What happens if automation removes jobs faster than it creates them? Or removes too many jobs all at once? I've read some stuff on post-labor economics, but it basically requires socializing or communizing (what a dirty word nowadays!!!) the ownership of the automation/technology for everyone to benefit, and I don't see that happening without a revolution of some sort.

    1. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So? What is so bad about a revolution. End result is people not having to work meaningless jobs duplicating the efforts of someone else. Write once run everywhere should be the goal of every programmer. It should be part of the programmers Hippocratic Oath.

    2. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      What happens when automation removes all the jobs?

      We have a word to describe just that, actually. It's "communism". Also known as "from everyone according to ability, to everyone according to their need" - since, by definition, once you have automation to produce whatever you want, you can cover everyone's needs at no cost to the society.

    3. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by pclminion · · Score: 1

      What happens when automation removes all the jobs?

      The biggest party in human history? Seriously, what the hell kind of question is that?

    4. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      OK, you've vomited up communism's advertising slogan, now listen to the reality: "Steal from everyone according to their ability, give to everyone according to their asskissing."

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    5. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      I suggest you re-read the post that started this thread. We're not talking about reality here, but rather a hypothetical situation where we have automated factories for everything, to the point where physical goods are abundant - i.e. you can literally implement the slogan.

      Also, there's is no "reality" with respect to communism, because no country in the world has ever claimed to implement it. USSR, China etc have always claimed to be socialist there and then, not communist (that was something that would be "achieved eventually" - since the prerequisite was the aforementioned universal abundance).

    6. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by AcidPenguin9873 · · Score: 1

      Did you forget to read the rest of the post? A revolution is only a party once its over and you have achieved the desired outcome; during it, you might die. I'd rather avoid that.

    7. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by AcidPenguin9873 · · Score: 1

      Please address the following problem that I raised in the initial post:

      but it basically requires socializing or communizing (what a dirty word nowadays!!!) the ownership of the automation/technology for everyone to benefit, and I don't see that happening without a revolution of some sort.

    8. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Well, clearly a revolution of some sort would then be in order. I think that expecting to go on without any for considerable would be wishful thinking, anyway. ~

    9. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a matter of automation creating some jobs while it destroys others. Automation destroys jobs: and new jobs come from the near-infinite pool of things that we can do to make our lives better, but don't, because we're busy with other things. Your barrista, your psychologist, your taxi driver: these people are all doing things that you wouldn't have had done for you a hundred years ago (at least, not if you were a typical member of humanity). Some automation may be involved in their work, but that doesn't create their job: it merely makes it more efficient.

    10. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by pclminion · · Score: 2

      Why is a revolution necessary? A large number of people do not work on weekends, but I don't see any weekend revolutions.

    11. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe the occupy movement is the start of that

    12. Re:Yeah, we know; what's next? by currently_awake · · Score: 1

      All cost (wealth) is derived from human labour. That's why sand is cheap but pearls are not. If you eliminate all human labour then nothing has value, the cost of living drops to zero. At that point people create art and literature (and science) and sell that.

  34. Let History be your guide to free markets by one_who_uses_unix · · Score: 2, Funny

    As western civilization has grown through the industrial revolution we have found that as technology replaces skill sets and workers it typically frees them up for more profitable work. A specific set of jobs is replaced, but those workers are then put to work on something that is ultimately more productive. In a command economy this would be a problem, in a capitalist economy those workers will be employed in the next role until that one is replaced as well.

    --
    KK4SFV
    1. Re:Let History be your guide to free markets by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

      Except our free market is running about 20 percent unemployment. Don't trust official estimates, they game them to ignore the long-term unemployed. Our country has a serious problem, and the people who can actually do something about it won't even talk about it.

      --
      Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
    2. Re:Let History be your guide to free markets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just because the official numbers can't be trusted (assuming they can't be), doesn't give you freedom to pull numbers out of your ass.

    3. Re:Let History be your guide to free markets by one_who_uses_unix · · Score: 1

      One of the major problems is that most of our markets are NOT free - government regulation and intervention has constrained the markets and created significant imbalance and malinvestment. The US used to have something closer to a free market.

      --
      KK4SFV
  35. way to many it people anyhow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i seen this coming years ago.. enjoy! a billion people with the same skill set.. good going!

    Just wait till cars make themselves and we have to fight to keep human jobs on the assembly line.. and when computers can fix themselves..

    What do we do once our technology replaces us?

    1. Re:way to many it people anyhow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Relax, while our robotic servants bring us drinks and scratch our backs?

  36. The wrong question by CptJeanLuc · · Score: 2

    Well, I can see for an individual who wants an income in the IT sector it may be the right question for performing sub-optimization for that individual.

    But looking at it from a macro-perspective, it is interesting to observe how the skewed distribution of wealth makes "workers" so eager to work and find new ways to spend all our waking moments generating even more wealth for the super-rich. It is a perfectly self-enforcing system where as soon as a "worker" has nothing to do (s)he focuses all energy of finding new ways to please the overlords. Because if we are not working, there is no income. And somehow nothing less than working 100% seems to cut it in order to live the lives we have come to expect. So we willingly spend most of our lives working until we are old and die, and most of the output of that work trickles up the pyramid to that "1%" group.

    So instead of celebrating efficiency ("hooray, now we can all spend a little less time working without sacrificing our lifestyle"), we start worrying about this type of progress. Just shows that humanity has still not figured out the right way to organize as a society. Democracy and capitalism seems to be the best answer we have come up with so far, but these days with the Internet etc. it is becoming all the more visible how plagued our Western systems are by corruption and self-serving people in positions of power.

    1. Re:The wrong question by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      Democracy and capitalism seems to be the best answer we have come up with so far, but these days with the Internet etc. it is becoming all the more visible how plagued our Western systems are by corruption and self-serving people in positions of power.

      I'd risk that the answer to that involves more Democracy, and more Capitalism.

  37. reuse by CBravo · · Score: 1

    He would be against books because it contains too many ideas that can be freely reused. He would oppose forums on the internet because reviews from citizens cannot have a good quality and are bad for profession newspaper reviewers. And webshops should be forbidden: Bad for old fashion shops. And this email stuff costs too many jobs at the postal services.

    Stop the efficiency!

    --
    nosig today
  38. The steam engine cost millions of jobs by RichMan · · Score: 2

    so we should all go back to manual looms and employ millions.

    1. Re:The steam engine cost millions of jobs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yea, and it also put a lot of horse mechanics out of business. Not only that the steam engine was invented by liberals ..

  39. How to deal with surplus labor? by tepples · · Score: 1

    What about the increased demand for mechanics to work on the dramatically increased number of buses and trains

    The argument is that enough buses to carry 10,000 people require fewer mechanics than enough cars to carry 10,000 people.

    Unfortunately, that seems to be the big problem right now; we're caught in a positive feedback loop

    So dramatically increased efficiency leads to surplus labor. So if we take it as an axiom of capitalism that one must sell one's labor to buy food and shelter, how do we keep those negatively affected by this surplus from turning to crime?

    1. Re:How to deal with surplus labor? by ultranova · · Score: 2

      So dramatically increased efficiency leads to surplus labor. So if we take it as an axiom of capitalism that one must sell one's labor to buy food and shelter, how do we keep those negatively affected by this surplus from turning to crime?

      What do you think all the surveillance is for?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    2. Re:How to deal with surplus labor? by tepples · · Score: 1

      As I understand your reference to surveillance, you're trying to say that if production to meet society's needs requires only 1% of people, we throw the 99% in prison. Do I misunderstand you?

    3. Re:How to deal with surplus labor? by AngryDeuce · · Score: 1

      The argument is that enough buses to carry 10,000 people require fewer mechanics than enough cars to carry 10,000 people.

      True, but other jobs will open up around those extra buses. I'm sure farriers were decrying the loss of jobs shoeing horses when the automobile started catching on, but for every farrier losing a job an auto mechanic gained one. Extra buses means more people needed to clean them and remove graffiti, more ad-space to sell leading to more jobs in marketing, new and larger facilities for the buses and trains that need to be built and maintained in their own right, which leads to increased demand on the grid leading to more jobs required there, increased administrative roles to supervise all these new employees, etc.

      Obviously being a farrier at the dawn of the automobile was a pretty bleak prospect, but they transitioned into other jobs. I expect it will be no different with these lost jobs, although, like I said, we need to direct people into jobs that allow one to actually support themselves. This is why I think we should pull an FDR and dust off the alphabet soup agencies again, rather than build more Walmarts and McDonalds...at least people would earn a real income that would allow them to consume shit.

    4. Re:How to deal with surplus labor? by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      "So dramatically increased efficiency leads to surplus labor."

      That is the problem here. Some times it does, other times it doesn't. It seems that production factors botleneck each other, so large gains in one factor (in efficiency or size) when compared to the other will lead to a surplus of this factor. By that same rationale, large increases in capital will make labor more pricey (as it indeed did by the end of the XIX century or after WWII), and large increases on agriculture techniques will make food cheap enough to use as fuel.

      Large increase on the efficiency of labor will only affect negatively the workers if agricultire, mineration, capital use, enterpreneuship, et al don't improve enough to compensate.

    5. Re:How to deal with surplus labor? by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      That is a tried and trusted way. Not in prision, of course, since that would be too expensive, but a couple of wars could take that population away. Also, neither the GP nor I am adovcating that, it is a warning, not a manual.

    6. Re:How to deal with surplus labor? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      As I understand your reference to surveillance, you're trying to say that if production to meet society's needs requires only 1% of people, we throw the 99% in prison. Do I misunderstand you?

      Yes; I'm referring to the ongoing effort to turn the entire society into an open-air Panopticon-style prison.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  40. The Law of Large Number (of People) by G3ckoG33k · · Score: 2

    The Law of Large Number (of People).

    If something happens once in a million it is often considered a rare event. But that is wrong. If something happens once in a million for a million people, then it has happened to more than 300 Americans. If it happens once a year for each person it has happened 6000 times in the last twenty years. That is for the Americans alone. If we expand to a larger area, Europe + South America + Asia, those rare events aren't so rare. (If something happens once in a million years, well that is another story...)

    Good ideas are rare. How many times can one come up with a really, really good idea in your life-time? Well, let us say that 1% of the population can come up with one good idea during their life-time. With 100,000,000 people coming up with good ideas then there are many. Good ideas get stuck. And software doesn't change their ideas as often as hardware (due to API, ABIs, spaghetti-complexities, NP-hard solutions, etc), there will be a increased difficulty in finding new ideas. On top of that we have patents... Patents suck. With more than a million competent developers around? The Law of Large Numbers makes its voice heard, prima facie.

    That doesn't mean that innovation is gone, only that it takes _new_ efforts to find what is relevant, in an ever increasing cyberspace. The diversity of the platforms change, too! Thefore there contact surfaces for new developers are expanding. Expanding developer universe? But the contact surfaces are there. Just harder to find. Still, they are there! Yes. Use them.

  41. Another Neo Luddite Found by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

    For every job that is eliminated through the advance of technology more than one new job is created. In addition the value of the job created is higher than the old job, and the new job is more engaging.

    1. Re:Another Neo Luddite Found by JockTroll · · Score: 0

      I can't wait for 99% of IT workers to become redundant. Their new, exciting jobs as burger flippers and trash haulers will cause the rest of us much mirth. :)

      --
      Geeks are so full of shit that "beating the crap out of them" takes a whole new meaning.
    2. Re:Another Neo Luddite Found by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean trash hauling robots and burger flipping robots maintenance staff. Too bad for you, as you won't be able to flip them burgers anymore, whatcha gonna do then?

    3. Re:Another Neo Luddite Found by JockTroll · · Score: 0

      I'll do to burgers what I have always done - eat them. The IT crowd can then join the homeless. :)

      --
      Geeks are so full of shit that "beating the crap out of them" takes a whole new meaning.
  42. Nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is utter nonsense, I see no correlation between these two. I think he's got an ulterior job on to sell something else ...

  43. Relationship between TCO and jobs by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

    Agreed, if TCO is lower, then jobs are cost, end of story.

    Well, except that that's not true at all.

    If you only track the jobs at the firm bearing the costs, then lower TCO could mean more internal jobs but enough less payment to outside firms to more than counteract the increase to the internal costs (or it could mean more internal jobs at enough lower pay per job without any change to external payments.)

    If you track jobs with the vendors paid by the firm in question (and their vendors, and theirs, etc., until you get to the ultimate suppliers of labor or raw materials), then less payment to those firms could mean:
    1. Fewer jobs at those firms,
    2. More jobs at those firms at lower wages, or
    3. No change in jobs, but reduced non-labor costs (taxes, raw material extraction charges, profits distributed to capital holders [because of changes in which vendors are involved, and what their particular practice in returning profits to owners is], etc.)

    If you go out even further to include indirect impacts in the economy outside of the direct supply chain, then improving TCO means improving efficiency in the industry in which the TCO has been lowered, which can have many effects -- one of the most obvious being driving additional capital investment to that industry and creating more jobs in it.

    At any level of analysis, "lower TCO = fewer jobs" is not a valid generalizations (though it may sometimes be the case if you bound the universe of analysis properly.)

  44. All software costs jobs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All software costs jobs. There is some set of functions we need the computer to do. Eventually, the way in which they are done will be "settled" and we'll reach an innovation plateau. It will seem like everything that could be invented has been invented. For quite some time we've already been at the re-make stage. Language X is just Lisp with some syntax. Office suite B has 90% of what you do in office suite A and you can work around the missing 10%. OS B has to have some subset of Unix. In the end, we won't even think about the OS. People will look back and say, "People actually argued about OS?". It would be like us arguing about the best way to demodulate AM or FM signals (people did argue about stuff like that when radio was new).

    All the people who design FM demodulators are unemployed. Some day, all the people who write OSs will be unemployed too. It'll be something like Unix. It'll just be there. Nobody will argue about it.

  45. John Spencer needs to read IT Does Not Matter by NoPhD · · Score: 1

    John Spencer needs to read "IT Does Not Matter" by Nicholas G. Carr. Carr makes several points but the one I remember most is this: " So what should companies do? From a practical standpoint, the most important lesson to be learned from earlier infrastructural technologies may be this: When a resource becomes essential to competition but inconsequential to strategy, the risks it creates become more important than the advantages it provides. Think of electricity. Today, no company builds its business strategy around its electricity usage, but even a brief lapse in supply can be devastating." Open source is the advantage that if missed companies die. If taken advantage of early can be a competitive advantage and that advantage can live until others catch up. This is not a problem with job loss as much as it is with the inability for companies to cope in the right way by taking advantage of the extra help in other ways. http://www.proxios.net/pdf/ITDoesn'tMatter.pdf

  46. Hardly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just look at the number of projects getting a scope cut. Lack of budget, lack of time, you name it.
    Open-source is meant to help us actually finish our projects. Stop doing the same CRUD stuff over and over, and focus on making the user happy.

  47. Server of that same page by kikito · · Score: 1

    Server Apache/2.2.3 (Red Hat)
    X-Powered-By PHP/5.2.17

    'Nuff said.

    1. Re:Server of that same page by indeterminator · · Score: 1

      Server Apache/2.2.3 (Red Hat) X-Powered-By PHP/5.2.17

      'Nuff said.

      Still on PHP 5.2? They could hire an admin to do updates.

  48. Let's blame the real culprit... by LoudNoiseElitist · · Score: 1

    Let's blame the real culprit...population.

    Sure, things here and there contribute to the amount of jobs available in each sector. But does anyone ever stop to think about the fact that there are just too many people on this planet?

    We need a good global disaster to spur job growth.

  49. It could be said the Goal of Open Source... by elhedran · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ... is to cost IT jobs.

    The whole point is so that you don't need to re-invent the wheel as much, because you can extend what you have been given instead. That any value any programmer gives to open source is available to all, not just the one company who paid the programmer. Less work to do is going to mean less jobs to do it.

    Is this a bad thing? Hell No. Every time a job has been taken to benefit efficiency its gone hand in hand with higher quality of life across the board. Its bad for the individuals who don't or can't re-skill, but of benefit to society as a whole.

    Quite frankly I feel that some of the software stack, from the core OS to the most common work programs, should be funded as open-source by governments. Its no different really than public roads. The government doesn't fund trucks, but it does fund the common infrastructure the trucks use. I don't think governments should fund games or media centers, but it would make sense to fund the OS and Office Suite.

    1. Re:It could be said the Goal of Open Source... by msobkow · · Score: 1

      How is that different from a paid-for product that provides a framework or otherwise simplifies a task? The whole goal of computing is automation. It's the very definition of what computers do -- make the complex mundane.

      Any luddite who ever thought otherwise clearly had their head stuck somewhere other than in reality.

      --
      I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
    2. Re:It could be said the Goal of Open Source... by Pro923 · · Score: 0

      It could also be said that the internet would make sales people unnecessary in the grand scheme of things, but you certainly don't see the sales crew out promoting the tools of their own demise. Software Engineers just aren't good business people by nature. Open source software - well it changes the way companies make money off of their products. It makes engineers less valuable and puts the power into the hands of people in customer facing roles - sales/support. I've often thought that this model (the open source) is great for engineers that aren't very talented and don't mind being considered as interchangable cogs in any given company - but they're not doing any favors to those of us that consider ourselves to be talented.

    3. Re:It could be said the Goal of Open Source... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The whole point is so that you don't need to re-invent the wheel as much, because you can extend what you have been given instead."

      Typical "entititled", freerider spew: "give me, give me!". Well how are you ever going to learn how to create anything on your own if you you don't wean off of the spoon-feeding? (Aside, personally, I think anyone who has ever done the "give me, give me" shit, they're never going to be any good at software development, engineering, or anything requiring creativity and thinking).

      "That any value any programmer gives to open source is available to all, not just the one company who paid the programmer."

      What open-source propagandists don't want to recognize is that they are not entitled to R&D paid for by others (directly as in the example above, or with years of personal R&D). If someone builds themselves a house, freeloaders are not entitled to live in it. Deal with it already. Maybe I'm not good at explaining it. Then, I suggest you go ask the neighbors who are much more expressive than I about it, to explain it to you. Just walk right on over, knock on their doors and tell them that you are entitled to live in the houses they just built. Yep, go right on over to the Smiths' house or the Wessons' house and tell them that.

    4. Re:It could be said the Goal of Open Source... by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Any luddite who ever thought otherwise clearly had their head stuck somewhere other than in reality.

      Exactly: "I don't want my computing device to actually compute; I just want it to serve me my games!" (Or stories, to go back a generation or two, or three or four if the story is without pictures.)

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    5. Re:It could be said the Goal of Open Source... by elhedran · · Score: 1

      Not sure if you can come back to this, being an AC and all, but I used to be paid to write open-source software. You seem to think I come at this from the give-me angle but really I'm from the give-you angle.

      Do you give the same rant to those who support the red-cross?

    6. Re:It could be said the Goal of Open Source... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I used to be paid to write open-source software.

      So what?

      You seem to think I come at this from the give-me angle but really I'm from the give-you angle.

      When Jehova's Witnesses come to my door, I send them off on their way too. When someone shoves their bible in another's face, they accept all responsibility for leaving with it shoved up their ass.

      Do you give the same rant to those who support the red-cross?

      Typical self-righteous attempt at inappropriate association.

  50. I agree.. and typist loose their jobs... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Do you construct and type your own sentences?

  51. Manna is one story about the options here by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

    Marshall Brain's Manna describes two possible social results of automation. Not a long read, and a good starting point for considering the effects of total automation.

  52. For the amount of jobs that are cut by future+assassin · · Score: 1

    every year all over the world in the name of down sizing because of bad management or poor products, jobs lost from OSS is negligible. So what if jobs are lost, if I create an OSS project that takes off and some other business goes under because of that its not my problem.

    --
    by TheSpoom (715771) Uncaring Linux user here. I have nothing to add to this but please continue. *munches popcorn*
  53. Re:Duh by Culture20 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Paid for = jobs
    free = no jobs
    not really a hard concept

    Actually, it is kinda hard. HTML and Apache are free and open, and yet they provided an explosion of jobs and practical use for businesses, mostly _because_ they're open.

  54. It's unfortunate but no disaster by 91degrees · · Score: 1

    It's rather a shame for the IT guy who's out of work, but these are smart people who can get another job easily enough. Schools have never been a major part of IT employment. 15 years ago, most schools would have had all their IT handled by one of the teachers.

    The money saved can and will be spent somewhere else. This will mean another aspect of these kids' education is improved. They might even produce another job.

    We can't and shouldn't hold back technology to preserve jobs. That's extremely short sighted thinking.

  55. I actually GOT jobs thanks to Open Source by MindPrison · · Score: 4, Informative

    If it wasn't for Open Source, I'd be bust by now. I'm a graphics artist, and thanks to Open Source I managed to work my way up from poverty to success.

    I could offer cheaper labor and in-house services to small rising companies that needed ad-work due to lower software costs, and that made me very popular. As well as getting much faster help from idealistic programmers that took pride in correcting bugs rather than trying to protect a corporate image (and thus deny every bug report ever given to them).

    3 times HURRAH for Open Source! It's the new way of life.

    --
    What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
  56. YES. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lacking a Cowboy Neal option

  57. Re:Duh by bhagwad · · Score: 2

    The main point is "so what?" Suppose detailed research actually shows that open source software is killing jobs, are we going to do anything about it? No. Open source software is here to stay and if it kills jobs, too bad.

  58. Re:Duh by mattventura · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A common misconception related to piracy, foss, etc (anything where you are not paying) is that not paying = reducing the number of jobs. In reality, money doesn't just disappear, but rather it is spent elsewhere. Pirating software or using FOSS instead might cut some jobs in the software industry, but, for example, I might spend the money on more/better food, thus creating jobs in the food industry. Of course, the effect is largest with businesses which will almost always choose to spend money rather than save it.

    Saying that FOSS or piracy or whatever is killing some industry or costing that industry jobs isn't necessarily false, but it doesn't hurt the economy. It's like when cars became popular. Sure, the horse-drawn carriage industry suffered, but the jobs and economy lost were made up for by the auto industry.

  59. That's the problem with TFA. by khasim · · Score: 5, Interesting

    He's blaming Open Source for automation.

    But it doesn't matter if the "cloud" vendor is running Apache or IIS or whatever. Services will be consolidated and automated. It's about the economies of scale.

    He talks about being "an Open Source apologist". Fuck that. That's all you need to read to know that that article is going to be worthless.

    He's confusing:
    #1. Open Source (Free) Software.

    #2. Consolidation / Automation.

    #3. The recession / depression / economic restructuring / whatever.

    #4. Hardware / software / services (his example of Apple).

    And then he complains about the loss of "fat profits". But he doesn't understand that someone has to PAY those "fat profits".

  60. change the system to fight unemployment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    automation and technology costs jobs. So what?? Isn't job a slavery?? and machines will help us to fight the slavery. What must be changed is the system. If a corporate develops a new invention that replaces human based jobs then it must be accountable for it and pay the equivalent in terms of salaries of lost jobs. Isn't this fair in an ideal world?? What's next ... corporates should be controlled by governments, that means every government should be a shareholder and should distribute dividends to the citizen ... in this way we close the loop and we have a solution to the crisis and to the unemployment!! Viva la Revolucion!!

  61. Of course it is. by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

    Quite frankly, a lot of open source looks like a way to get free labor from gullible college kids for corporations. If I can download a CRM system and use it with little modification, why pay to develop one? As far as I can tell, the biggest beneficiary of open source looks to be small to medium "for profit" businesses. If I was opening an office tomorrow, I would outfit any PCs I might need with Mint, OpenOffice and The Gimp for promotional art. For anything more specialized, I'd pay the slightly over minimum wage kid in the back to search for a free version.

    I might pay for a lot of things, but software probably wouldn't be one of them.

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
  62. Not Milton Originally by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2

    Did you do any of that? I bet you did less to access your conclusions that Milton did!

    Well, unless he copied his conclusions he probably did more since it looks as if Milton just copied the story from somewhere else. If you look at the Quote Investigator link you'll note that an incredibly similar story originated in Alberta in 1935. The Milton version is certainly far better put but it is not the original source.

  63. Why just blame FOSS? by walterbyrd · · Score: 1

    Why not blame cloud-based pay software? Or why not blame all software? Or all technology?

  64. no by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    no. The more commodity software exists the more possibility there is to use it to build actual needed business solutions.

  65. Of course it does by scamper_22 · · Score: 2

    Let us remember that the money comes from somewhere.

    Let us remember that most of the open source movement comes from a time where software was subsidized by other selling points.

    A lot of software was developed by the old BELLs. They ran huge research facilities knowing they had constant cash flow. The government broke up the monopoly, spawned off the R&D labs... the rest is history.

    Other kinds of open source eco-systems can from companies selling hugely expensive hardware.

    You have to look at how your industry is funded.

    Professionals like Doctors and lawyers protect their field via regulation and ensure their jobs and quality. Heck, you can't even write a prescription. Now, you can write a thousands pages on why this is done for quality... but it always seem to work out financially for them as well :P

    Governments around the world basically gave a big 'screw you' to engineers. The exception being the military industry in the US.

    The result is... what funds your industry? Proprietary software, licenses, strong arm business tactics of the evil corporation. There's a reason MS employes nearly 100K engineers, and has world class research facilities.

    While people mock their suing of Android phone, I embrace it. Why on Earth do we, as an industry want less money coming into our industry? Free software... less money coming into our field... less jobs...

    I don't pretend for one second to think corporations can about people. But a rich corporation which good stable cashflow keeps its employees well off.

    And for anyone who talks about efficiency... let me just say... I don't care at this point. The world is not all about efficiency. Making a good living seems like a better idea. Doctors, lawyers, accountants, teachers, nurses, insurance people, bankers, trades people... all protect their field as much as possible. I'm not going to be the martyr in this world.

    Broken window fallacy? Screw it. If everyone else is breaking windows to fund their field... I want to break windows as well to fund my field.

    Under the current system... you are darn right... open source kills jobs.

    1. Re:Of course it does by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Free software... less money coming into our field... less jobs...

      [citation needed]

      Last time I checked, the IT industry was growing. Yet open source software has never been stronger than it is now. The market for custom built software that improves the efficiency of enterprises in some way or enable them to reach new markets is enormous.

      Broken window fallacy? Screw it.

      I think it's called a fallacy because if you think about it, it doesn't make sense. You're not making sense. Capitalism is indeed about efficiency. Better efficiency has raised our standards of living tremendously - without it, computers wouldn't be possible.

      Frankly, with the bitter attitude you have, our profession is better off without you. Maybe you should consider working on that.

    2. Re:Of course it does by Sir+Homer · · Score: 1

      Efficency is were wealth comes from. If everyone is breaking windows the economy will grid to a standstill, there has to people doing actual productive work and software is an important foundation to modern world and shouldn't be squandered or guildified in the name of jobs. I appricate that you don't BS about your motives though.

      Anyway as long as there is people still working there will be work for software engineers, actually our job is to put other people out of jobs (regardless of license of the software). I really think "software engineer" will be the last job in existence once we have automated everything else.

      Anytime you write software that makes people more productive or automate business processes, you are taking a step down that road.

    3. Re:Of course it does by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      I'm well aware of efficiency and wealth. I just don't think we're in balance in software... or engineering in general.

      I don't think the world would come to a stand-still if we focused a bit more on jobs. The medical profession is highly job protective. Yet they still manage to advance. Slower than perhaps a truly liberated medical field would... but life still goes on.

      I'd venture to say we're about the only group of workers who actually obsess over being efficient and maximizing wealth... often not our own :)

      I don't forsee myself ever out of the job. I am still very good at what I do and I actually do still enjoy it. But we can see the effects of the lack of secure/stable jobs as it relates to the field.

      We don't operate in isolation. If 'top' students have a chance at a secure, lucrative career in another field, that is where they will go. They will become lawyers, accountants, nurses, teachers, doctors...

      I'm pretty sure you've seen it as well. 2 of my friends who I went to university with decided to enter law school for IP this past year. Many other move to business or anything else.

      That is the world we live and we might actually end up less wealthy and less productive as a society by the reality of people choosing to be in 'breaking window' professions.

      Just some food for thought.

    4. Re:Of course it does by RazorSharp · · Score: 1

      Wow. So what you're saying is that you work for Microsoft? If not it sounds like you desperately want to.

      I find this whole attitude of yours to be downright disgusting. "ME ME ME!" That's a good summary of your post. This is the whole reason corporations like Microsoft become the evil behemoths they are, it's the reason so few people are willing to become whistleblowers when they have a moral obligation to do so, and the reason government bureaucracies are so broken and inefficient. Because sometimes doing the right thing requires sacrifices and there are people like you who say, "I'm not going to be the martyr of this world."

      What's so disgusting about your worldview isn't that you comply (or wish to, you didn't make it clear) in immoral activities. It's the fact that you do so well aware that it's immoral, and well aware that you only do so because of your own selfishness. You'd make Ayn Rand proud.

      btw - the mafia can use the same justifications you just used. "So what if extortion shouldn't exist, I make my bread and butter off extortion so extortion should continue to exist."

      Microsoft can hire all the engineers they want and sue every company they want, but that doesn't change the fact that any kid with a computer can write software, too. It doesn't change the fact that, with the internet, distribution costs for software are essentially zero. It doesn't change the fact that one of the major cornerstones of the Microsoft monopoly, Office, is losing ground to FOSS alternatives and won't be able to hold out much longer. Windows is the next pillar to fall.

      --
      "From the depths of my skeptical and rationalist soul, I ask the Lord to protect me from California touchie-feeliedom."
    5. Re:Of course it does by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      Great moralizing. It's not about ME, ME, ME.
      It's about US, US, US. I've got a good job and probably will for the rest of my life. I worry about the industry we work in, the next generation of engineers, the future of innovation.

      Let me know when we wake up in a Ron Paul Libertarian paradise where there are no medical monopolies, no teacher unions, a simple tax system, simplified legal system, a gold standard, a sane patent industry..

      We don't live in that world, and yes, I refuse to be the sacrificial industry. I prefer to do the good I can and that means protecting this tech part of society. I don't see your path being of the 'good'. It leads to the decimation of industries, people out of stable work, an abandoning of the high tech sector by large numbers of western youth...

      We don't operate in a vacuum and you have to look at the greater whole of society. If you were to start a revolution and bring liberty to the world... great. Until that time, given the world we have, I don't particularly see protecting our industry or providing stable employment, professionalism, and knowledge transfer as being morally wrong.

  66. Re:Duh by Fri13 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Professional == You are paid what you do
    Amateur == You are not paid what you do

    Skilled == You have learn to do well what you do
    Talented == You are fast learner or adapt quickly what you do

    Someone can be a amateur, but still skilled programmer.
    Someone else can be professional but still bad programmer.

    And on what point did we really turn out that ranking of people is based their wealth and not to what they do?
    I rank a school teacher higer than a CEO of big company.
    I rank a worker higher than a CEO of that company where that worker works.

    After all, technology should help people, allow people to enjoy the life. Not work harder or longer. People should have less working time, more free time and we should have already taken care of poor and other people who can not get their life working so they do get their life working. We have technology, we have way to do so. But we do not do so if CEO do not profit from it so much that you can buy a few airplanes and fifth house. And we rank those people so high that people coming after them, are ready to do anything to get their positions before them.

    Competition does not help anyone, alternativies does.

    Competition != Alternativies
    Alternativies != Competition

    We can have alternativies without competition.
    Prise the alternativies and freedom, not competition and suffering.

  67. Re:Duh by martiniturbide · · Score: 1

    came on.. The cloud is costing more jobs than open source.

  68. The unpopular opinion by Pro923 · · Score: 1

    While I think that open source software is cool, and allows people to make contributions to the collective benefit of everyone: I don't know that it necessarily costs jobs, but I think it does cost "higher paying software engineering jobs". When a company tries to use an open source project to make money, the company generally will use the strategy of adding some infrastructure around the project and then making the money on the support side. It means that the value of the quality of your engineering staff is lessened to a degree, and jobs are created on the sales and support side. So while I have gratitude toward anyone who contributes their art of any kind to the greater good, I don't think it's the best strategy for software engineers themselves to be successful in the long term.

  69. Re:Duh by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

    Exactly. This is why we need to privatize breathable air. By having all this air floating around that people can just breathe for free, this is costing jobs. People could be getting paid to provide bottled air to people.

  70. Re:Duh by Grishnakh · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just think about all the people that could be employed making bottled breathable air, if people weren't allowed to just breathe naturally-occurring air.

    This all goes back to the Broken Window Fallacy.

  71. Changes by InspectorGadget1964 · · Score: 1

    Since the invention of the wheel, we have had some jobs being irrelevant as a consequence of human ingenuity. Those inventions have also created jobs. To quantify how many jobs each invention has created or destroyed is beside the point. Inventions (Either paid for or given away, including software) change the world and the way we live. We can sit in a corner and complain that old days were better and make a sincere effort to live in caves or we can move into the twenty first century and take advantage of the new opportunities. Your choice. Either way, stop complaining, because people that are taking advantage of the new opportunities are not going to stop to listen to you. We are building a newer shinier better world and clinging to the old one will not do.

  72. In my experience, companies think different by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've been promoting open source software in my line of work for over an decade. I've been seeing way different scarecrows drawn; corporations are afraid that they will have to hire more people to deal with open source solutions - expensive, skilled people. They would prefer "black box" solutions that can be deployed and maintained by low cost, low skill people. Sad thing is, that companies really will have to buy the work of skilled people from somewhere to succeed - having own skilled people is always cheaper, and they will have good insight on company services as whole, unlike temporarily hired staff.

    Very likely this is just FUD from major software producers; corporations should see their solutions as light to maintain, cheap and effective solutions. Working class people should see open source software as an threat for their employment.

    As I see writing comments like this an threat to *my* employment, I am doing this anonymously.

  73. Like my job? by History's+Coming+To · · Score: 2

    Linux, PHP, Apache, MySQL, Drupal, Wordpress...I get paid quite well for using that lot, thank you very much, and I still hand code 95% of the new stuff I do, they just make my life easier. The very question sounds like somebody who's trying to sell old software rather than write new stuff.

    --
    Please consider this account deleted, I just can't be bothered with the spam anymore.
  74. Re:Duh by Intron · · Score: 2

    Simpler than that. A company can takes in some amount of money. If it spends less on office software, say, it can spend more on hiring people, produce more, and make more money. Net increase in jobs.

    --
    Intron: the portion of DNA which expresses nothing useful.
  75. You obviously were'nt around for the cutover from by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You obviously were'nt around for the cutover from paper based systems to computer based systems, which of course resulted in a massive reduction in staff numbers for non-it staff.

     

  76. Re:Duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FOSS seems to be what sets the bar. If your payware product doesn't offer anything unique, is much faster and easier to use, has a higher quality or better QOS such that it's worth paying for when compared to the free alternative, you may as well not bother. I wouldn't say FOSS has stolen all the cheese (far from it), but those that choose to sit on their laurels and fail to progress are the ones that should be worrying.

    In other words, if you can't compete with the "bottom feeders", then what the hell are you doing in the business? Likely there are other more productive things you could be doing.

  77. Re:Duh by alexgieg · · Score: 1

    The main point is "so what?" Suppose detailed research actually shows that open source software is killing jobs, are we going to do anything about it? No. Open source software is here to stay and if it kills jobs, too bad.

    True enough. In fact, technology in general, not only OSS, is all about automating what previously was manual labor. What means unemploying people. Every. Single. Technology. IT, paid or not, isn't different. If what one does can be automatized, even if only conceivably given the current technological level, then at some point it *will* be automatized. And the thing is: this isn't bad. It means there are even more surplus available, thus that even (comparatively) lower wages and/or social status can have more than they would have were the social reality different and dying jobs preserved. Weren't it so, and poor persons in present-day "almost-everywhere" (including most of the 3rd world) wouldn't have a much higher standard of living than even a medieval king had.

    But it someone disagrees, answer this: how many witch doctors lost their jobs due to the invention of the aspirin? ;)

    --
    Conservatism: (n.) love of the existing evils. Liberalism: (n.) desire to substitute new evils for the existing ones.
  78. Re:Duh by datavirtue · · Score: 1

    I'll stay with my neckbeard, thank you.

    --
    I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
  79. Re:Duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "automated". The word is "automated".

  80. Magical Technology by kenh · · Score: 1

    Magical Technology (Score:?)
    by Anonymous Coward on Monday November 28, @07:15PM
    Why can't private industry get it's hands on this magical technology that schools apparently have in the form of self-managing workstations? People imagine you can just turn hundreds of client computers over to K-12 school kids and as long as they don't use Windows they'll never require any management, support, administration...

    This despite the coddling these very same folks need to provide the open source computers they and their own children use.

    Network infrastructure? It's set and forget.

    Five to ten year-old client computers? They never fail, and the kids will take excellent care of those machines (and parents will be delighted that the school district is still using P4 computers with 512M RAM and slowly leaking capacitors...

    And of course, you need to filter Internet access? No sweat, the free version of Untangle can take care of that - no need for sophisticated commercial solutions - kids have no interest in working around such filters...

    Up next, Khan Academy will remove the need for math teachers...

    --
    Ken
  81. Re:Duh by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

    So if someone uses Gimp instead of Photoshop, all that Photoshop money goes... nowhere? Poof?

    --
    Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
  82. Re:Duh by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    The Adobe employees can go work somewhere else doing something more productive (or they can stay there and work on a more useful application that isn't copied by something that's free).

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken_window

  83. He's dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It doesn't matter anymore, he's dead

  84. Re:Duh by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

    Oh sorry, forgot to address the money: the money Photoshop customers would have sent to Adobe gets saved, and spent on something else more useful.

    If you disagree, you're free to spend 10x as much for everything you buy. I'm sure merchants will be happy to take your money.

  85. "Bunch of Commies" by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Of course it costs jobs. That's what computers are for. If you don't free someone to be able to do something else, then your automation has failed. Where he goes wrong is with stuff like this:

    Trouble is we did not create a single long term job during this crusade.

    You saved money. How is that "trouble?" If you were "creating jobs" and all else were equal, that would have wasted money.

    May be the US Government was right when it once famously saw the Free Open Source movement as nothing more than a 'bunch of Commies'

    Whoever said that didn't understand anything about economics.

    Free Markets vs Central Planning: Free Software is about extremified free markets. You hire anyone you want to get your maintenance, instead of a single source. This is basically opposition to commie ideals, IMHO (though I realize there are other ways to look at Communism; they just happen to be ways that I disagree with). On the commie centralization scale of color, GPLed software is blue as the zenith sky, proprietary is crimson as blood, and stuff like BSD is an intense purple blur as it bounces between the two on a case-by-case basis like a Republican talking about federal spending.

    Control of the Means of Production: Free Software is about code reuse and code reuse is neutral toward this, but in a way that subverts the whole question with its explosive torrent of wealth. It's like millions of factories falling out of the sky, right during an argument between a Communist and Capitalist about who should own the previously-limited number of factories. Without the need for expensive capital, nobody cares who controls it. Both the management and workers look on helplessly, as whoever used to buy the old factories' output says they don't need either one of 'em anymore.

    If paychecks for programming are your main source of income, then code reuse may be a Capitalist Running Dog Murder of Brotherhood. If software company dividends (as opposed to consulting fees) are your main source of income, then code reuse may be a Ruthless Communist Plot to Impurify your Precious Bodily Fluids. If you do something else but use software, then you're shrugging and saying "whatever" to those so last-century luddites.

    --
    "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    1. Re:"Bunch of Commies" by JAlexoi · · Score: 2

      Of course it costs jobs. That's what computers are for. If you don't free someone to be able to do something else, then your automation has failed.

      Technology costs jobs. Any advancement in technology in fact. Remember the threshing machine riots? Technology makes increases efficiency and kills inefficient jobs.


      PS: Free Markets and Central Planning do not imply capitalism or communism; More precisely, they imply communism or capitalism as much as capitalism implies democracy or communism/socialism implies dictatorship. In fact, the most successful elements of the Soviet industries relied heavily on competition - a trait associated with free markets (though USSR was never technically a communist society)

  86. Re:also with the cloud lack of local control is pa by dkf · · Score: 1

    also with the cloud lack of local control is part of it.

    Now say some says run adobe CS 5 or auto cad with our remote cloud based systems saving you the cost of buying high end systems.

    Now that may work at least for some time up till they force you to the next ver breaking older date files / makeing so you can't save files in a old ver.

    But you're going to get screwed over that way anyway. You got yourself into trouble the day you locked your key data up in a format that only a tools from a single commercial vendor can read. They've already got your data hostage; they've just not jacked up the prices to the max yet. The cloud doesn't change that much; you still want to manage your backups yourself and you want your data in open formats (or at the very least where there are multiple competing commercial vendors).

    Or say NO we can't install plug in X for you.

    Some cloud systems rips your data off.

    You have to download and reload data to move it from one app to a other as some cloud systems run each app in it's own VM that resets to the image on each boot.

    The bandwidth needs add up fast.

    So you can use the cloud badly (and you're a cheap-ass when it comes to bandwidth). Guess that means the cloud is terrible, impossible for anyone to use. Guess all those people using it successfully and efficiently are either stooges or fooling themselves, right? Or maybe, just maybe, you're over-projecting here a little.

    --
    "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
  87. Re:Duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    A key aspect of FOSS is that it turns value-added software layers into commodities. This isn't necessary bad and it would likely have happened anyways, but FOSS certainly accelerated the trend.

    All such economic shifts are typically accompanied by changes in who benefits economically. Plenty of small fish are inclined to say "hooray, I was poor and the low cost of FOSS meant I could prosper". However all such players are likely in parts of the economy that have low barriers to entry. This means that they will probably fall to consolidation companies eventually. Under the old rules they would likely have been employees in wealthier companies rather than independents.

    I like a different part of FOSS than most proponents do. FOSS advocates like to champion 'freedom', which I personally think is a bit illusory given the real world choices many clients have. Instead I like that FOSS seems to systematically reduce barriers to interoperability. Interfaces are usually viewed as competitive advantages rather than competitive threats. Indeed the whole culture is one of promoting the advantages of any given system rather than attempting to minimize perceived disadvantages. Or even worse, attacking threatening competitors (although many in the FOSS community have a huge blind spot when competing with proprietary systems).

    In short, promote on merits.

  88. Re:Duh by williamhb · · Score: 2

    A common misconception related to piracy, foss, etc (anything where you are not paying) is that not paying = reducing the number of jobs. In reality, money doesn't just disappear, but rather it is spent elsewhere.

    Technically, that's not true. Money can very easily sit it wallets and bank accounts being economically rather inactive (especially as banks' willingness to lend is low at the mo). It doesn't disappear, but a $5 note that sits under a mattress forever is economically equivalent to it having disappeared. Economically, you might hope that in that case the saved money goes to paying down debt, again but that depends on the demographics of the customer base -- are the people saving the money the same people who are indebted? To use a very crude and very hypothetical analogy, if it turns out the "1%" are saving all the money by being able to use free software, but not then putting it to economic use, and the heavily in debt and jobless "99%" are losing all the money by not being able to sell their product, it could be very bad for the economy. Hopefully it's not the case, though it is known for instance that technology companies employ far fewer people than manufacturing companies of equivalent revenue -- so a rise in the technology sector struggles to completely compensate for a decline in the manufacturing sector.

  89. Yes, OSS costs jobs... by Max+Threshold · · Score: 1

    ...but only in the same sense that the Broken Window Fallacy creates them.

  90. Open Source evil? Yes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, open source software is evil; it puts IT admins out of business. On a similar note, let's ban modern farming as well; it puts hunter-gatherers out of business by making food-gathering too efficient.

  91. Open Source saves businesses money by microphage · · Score: 1

    "re-imaging, installing new software, authentication, virus protection, filtering, backups, security, storage, hardware failure, licence management"

    None of which actually contribute to the business. With Open Source the IT dept spends much less time on the above and that translates into less IT staff, and that means less money spent on IT.

  92. Re:Duh by brit74 · · Score: 2

    A common misconception related to piracy, foss, etc (anything where you are not paying) is that not paying = reducing the number of jobs. In reality, money doesn't just disappear, but rather it is spent elsewhere. Pirating software or using FOSS instead might cut some jobs in the software industry, but, for example, I might spend the money on more/better food, thus creating jobs in the food industry.

    Wait, what? How about this: instead of pirating software, you pay the software developer then the software developer "spends the money on more/better food, thus creating jobs in the food industry". In that context, how does piracy improve anything - given the fact that it allows you to spend more money and forcing the software developer to spend less money?

    And given your setup, you could argue that all theft has no negative effects on the economy, because if I shoplift something instead of paying for it, then I have extra money in my pocket to spend on other things. Hey, I might "spend the money on more/better food, thus creating jobs in the food industry". Thus, the economy doesn't suffer from shoplifting.

  93. No, it's built into the monetary system by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    Back decades ago it was commonly believed that by the 21st century people would be working only a few hours a day to provide for themselves and having a large amount of time off.

    A laughably naive view of how money works.

    That didn't happen primarily because they underestimated the willingness of a willfully ignorant subset of the population to vote for class warfare against the lower and middle classes and for the wealth to accumulate at the top even at those at the bottom suffer.

    No it didn't happen because money demands a return. Everything else is an emergent behaviour from this simple rule. Go read Gesell on the nature of money and how it might be overcome.

    --
    Deleted
  94. Jobs? by Chysn · · Score: 1

    Does open source software cost Jobs? I mean, he recently died, so my guess would be "no."

    --
    --I'm so big, my sig has its own sig.
    -- See?
  95. Small Business Tech Support Economics 101 by xdroop · · Score: 1

    [...] except now you have to pay that same netadmin outrageous consulting wages 'cuz he's not on the payroll.

    You know, that's exactly the argument I use with my customers. When something breaks, yes, you pay me more per hour than you'd pay someone you have onhand full time. However, I know for a fact you don't have enough work for a full-time body, therefore every hour I'm not here you pay me less than you'd pay someone you have onhand full time. Since (for these customers) there are hugely more of the latter than the former, I'm a better deal than the full-timer -- up to a certain point, when I can help you transition to a full-timer instead of using me.

    And even better, if things break so hard you need two or three or more sets of hands to put things right, I can "scale up" faster and cheaper than looking for more full-timers.

    When people say that open source lets people do more with less, they lose sight of the fact that it is the businesses doing the more. The fact it is with less IT/ICT -- that's business. Its no different -- and should be mourned no more -- than all those photocopiers putting typing pools surplus to requirements.

    --
    you should read everything on the internet as if it had "but I'm probably talking out of my ass" appended to it.
  96. Computers killed Computers by trout007 · · Score: 2

    There was once an actual job called a computer. You were a slow human version of excel or matlab. An engineer would give you an equation or some data and the functions they wanted and you would sit there with a slide rules and solve and plot these things by hand. Well that job is gone and good riddance. Now everyone has the computwtional power of an army of these people on their phone,

    --
    I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
  97. Author is missing the mark. by tom229 · · Score: 1

    The whole 'cloud' services movement is simply a paradigm shift back to mainframe computing (although the mainframe is distributed over very large WAN's instead of LAN's). It likely won't cost jobs, simply move them around. Obscenely complicated routing infrastructure and massive data farms containing hundreds of server clusters don't design, build, maintain, and upgrade themselves... at least not yet.

    --
    If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
  98. The cloud doesn't run itself you know by guruevi · · Score: 1

    The fallacy is that job disappearing in a certain section means jobs evaporating altogether. There are still those needed to support end-users, IT people to implement the "buzzword of the day" solution on local machines. Sure it may mean less menial mid-level jobs are available in a specific geographical area but people have been calling to eliminate those anyway in order to save money.

    So you have the really good people (the IT personnel that are qualified) still having a job, you have the cruft removed as the management and everything else is moved together with the servers to people more qualified to make such decisions and you still have your low-end (entry-level) IT personnel on the local level.

    I've also noticed management tends to spend considerably more money on hosted solutions (in the vicinity of 1000% of local implementation cost) so eventually there will be a call to save money by implementing it locally so those jobs will once again be shifted in the next 5 years. There is no way that a sufficiently large organization can save money simply by shifting all it's necessary operations to another entity that wants to make profit on the same implementation. If they do there is considerable overhead, bad employees and mismanagement and the organization needs to look at all it's departments including administration, support, sales, marketing because most likely they have the same problem there but nobody has implemented cloud marketing or cloud HR yet.

    --
    Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
  99. Why even bother? by tom229 · · Score: 1

    Gimp is about the same price as downloading Photoshop from the pirate bay.

    --
    If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
  100. Re:Duh by skids · · Score: 1

    While it's true that hording money and living off interest is pathological in an economic sense, that's a whole separate problem which is more sociological/psychological than having anything to do with the economics of free software. Also, the argument that busywork can sustain economic activity is feeble. At best, circulating money through networks of busywork smooths over resentment of the less productive by the more productive, such that we have an excuse not to impoverish them (which causes its own whole slew of problems much worse than the cost of feeding the deadwood.) If a free software product obsoletes a for-pay software product, care, feeding and use of the obsoleted product becomes busywork at some point. To maximize economic productivity those busywork jobs must be transitioned into a more productive endeavor. Good businessmen, rare as they are, know this.

    In the case of FSF, if the companies using it didn't have a better place to put it, they'd be contracting for support or improvement of the software that they use, or they might actually put some investment into the future and start to retrain some of those out-of-work Lotus Notes administrators.

  101. Re:Duh by Max+Littlemore · · Score: 1

    If what one does can be automatized, even if only conceivably given the current technological level, then at some point it *will* be automatized.

    Thanks. I always get a good chuckle when people misconjugaterize verbs.

    --
    I don't therefore I'm not.
  102. Re:Duh by kdemetter · · Score: 1

    The question should not be 'does it cost jobs' , but 'how does it change the game for me ' .

    If your job is to create something that already exists ( reinventing the wheel ) , then yes, you might lose your job.
    If your job is to integrate existing components, and use them to create something new , then you actually have a better chance at getting in job ( as people will be needed to integrate all the open source software ).

    There is also the aspect of support : A lot of companies will only use open source software, if they can get support on it. That certainly results in new jobs.

    It's a change : you can hate it, or you can try to make the best of it. But you can't stop it.

  103. assholes want the economy to fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Perhaps your forgetting all those assholes listening to bortz that have been saying: "I want the stimulus to fail."

    Obviously the a huge percentage of the conservative assholes in this country have been working for exactly that.

  104. Open Source can reduce social welfare by jirikivaari · · Score: 1

    Because marginal cost of information is zero, competition from open source software can reduce social welfare in theory. This argument however has little to do with the argument of the Slashdot's article's British blogger, who probably should talk to some economists first. Generally creative destruction is good and efficient, but these things are a lot more complex than can be analyzed here (and not really my specialty).

    "Impact of Competition from Open Source Software on Proprietary Software"
    Vidyanand Choudhary and Zach Z. Zhou
    http://www.citi.uconn.edu/cist07/2a.pdf

  105. Re:Duh by jawtheshark · · Score: 1

    So do I, but keep in mind he might be a non-native writer. Considering it's 'automatiser' in French, 'automatiseren' in Dutch and.'automatisieren' in German..

    --
    Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
  106. Yes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For the love of God, its a race to the bottom because of YOU people.

  107. Open Source Create Jobs by cnxsoft · · Score: 1

    Many small business using open source in their products would not even exist without open source software as it would cost too much to develop the software internally.

  108. So what did you think "savings" meant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Newsflash: All progress which improves efficiency costs jobs. How many telegraphists and blacksmiths do you know? The industrial age replaced millions of workers with machines. The computer age replaced millions of office clerks and secretaries. The internet is replacing the need for paper publishers and other physical media industries like the record companies. Easier to use software means less support and consulting personell.

    There are still plenty of jobs that need to be done, so adapt or become obsolete.

  109. There's a big difference though by rdebath · · Score: 1

    If you tell Ubuntu to stop nagging it will, it'll either install everything or nothing, whichever you decide.

    Windows on the other hand don't stop. If you tell it to install everything it still nags about some normal updates and updates to lawyereese and demands a reboot every time. If you tell it to just stop nagging it'll nag you that it's not allowed to nag if you disable that second nag there's yet another one. Then even if you get Windows itself to "shut up!!!" many so called anti-virus programs will start nagging and they don't stop till they're uninstalled. They you find something doesn't work because it needs one of the services you've disabled to stop the nagging ...

    ****!

  110. Well, who didn't see this coming? We all knew it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If i have the time to grow apples and then give them for free, and show everyone how to do it. People that do this for living will go bankrupcy, Didn't you see this coming?. Congrats!

  111. People's Capitalism by lavaface · · Score: 1

    A clever way around this problem is addressed in the prescient 1976 book People's Capitalism. The basic idea is that government sponsored long-term research and development is used to boost productivity and citizens earn dividends off of their share in this National Mutual Fund. It's quite an elegant concept. I could carry on more about what I think but you can read the book for free online at peoplescapitalism.org. Social Credit and the basic income guarantee are related concepts if you are interested in learning more.

  112. Only by not using it by MrKaos · · Score: 1
    I've noticed the that the only time Open Source costs jobs is when it is not being used and contributed to. If the skills are available then they get used by business, the astute ones save money by not incurring license fees. Open Source introduces a value proposition in the market if the skills are available which is why Apple and Microsoft both incorporate Open Source Software into their products. They seize the skills they require from the market to make the value proposition work for them.

    When an OSS project arrives on the market it creates a new value proposition in the market that either survives or fails based on user base and how well it answers a need in the market. When it does it creates a demand for those skills eg Nagios, the value proposition is utilised.

    I'd love to write more but I have to got to work tomorrow and use my Open Source skills and I'm tired.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  113. Re:Duh by alexgieg · · Score: 1

    So do I, but keep in mind he might be a non-native writer.

    Which is indeed the case. I'm a native Portuguese speaker, where the word is "automatizado/a". But it's nice that people are complaining only about this, as it means they took me for a native English speaker, even if one who commits hilarious errors. Considering I'm an autodidact English learner, and that I was sleepy when I wrote, that's an incredible compliment! :)

    --
    Conservatism: (n.) love of the existing evils. Liberalism: (n.) desire to substitute new evils for the existing ones.
  114. Re:Duh by RCL · · Score: 1

    When you stop prizing the competition, you suddenly lose the alternatives.

  115. Re:Duh by jawtheshark · · Score: 1

    To be honest, I didn't notice it until someone pointed it out. I'm not a native English writer either and it simply looked like a mistake I'd be prone to make too.

    --
    Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
  116. That's I.T.!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most jobs in the I.T world if done properly will result in loss of jobs (we automate a lot of work, once its automated less people can manage the same tasks)!!!!!

  117. Re:Duh by j-pimp · · Score: 1

    While it's true that hording money and living off interest is pathological in an economic sense, that's a whole separate problem which is more sociological/psychological than having anything to do with the economics of free software.

    Those people "hoarding" the money are investing it, so that money is getting loaned, spent and repaid. What it gets invested in might be suboptimal if it doesn't produce enough useful things, and capital, but hoarding wealth in the forms of investments is not intrinsically evil.

    --
    --- Justin Dearing http://www.justaprogrammer.net/ We're just programmers.
  118. Jobs then with Cloud Services? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the jobs move from smaller infrastructures due to moving their services to the cloud then wouldn't more jobs be created at the companies providing the cloud services? Someone has to support that stuff.

    I work at MS in the tier 1 ops center and I tell ya, there are TONS of people working on these cloud services.

  119. Re:also with the cloud lack of local control is pa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You got yourself into trouble the day you locked your key data up in a format that only a tools from a single commercial vendor can read. They've already got your data hostage; they've just not jacked up the prices to the max yet.

    Sure, let's all wait for an Open Standard, it's not like business can't hold on for a year or two while it gets ratified.

    So you can use the cloud badly (and you're a cheap-ass when it comes to bandwidth). Guess that means the cloud is terrible, impossible for anyone to use. Guess all those people using it successfully and efficiently are either stooges or fooling themselves, right? Or maybe, just maybe, you're over-projecting here a little.

    Good job on failing basic logic and negating one existentially qualified statement with other existentially qualified statement there. No, sir, you yourself are not overprojecting at all. Let's all go to the cloud, because there are all those people (with specific needs) who are using it succesfully (for their specific needs).

  120. Cat got your tongue? (something important seems to by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Open sauce didn't cost jobs, it was cancer that killed Jobs.

  121. Oh no! by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    At this rate programmers will be completely obsolete by 2030!

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  122. Sun puts candlemakers out of work by Shompol · · Score: 1

    This is a famous letter written in 1845 to the government in response to new trade tariffs protecting candle makers:
    http://bastiat.org/en/petition.html

  123. Takes some jobs, enables some others by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Open source may eventually kill some jobs at places like Microsoft. But it enables other jobs, because they get free software in cases when they couldn't afford the commercial stuff.

    Not that it matters much. We who make free software does it for our own sake. We will not stop making it for the sake of someone else's jobs!

  124. The Future Doesn't Need Us by RazorSharp · · Score: 2

    I'm no luddite, but I find it hard to deny that technology in general kills jobs. Secretaries still exist, for example, but not as many (%-wise). Computers (and interns, har har) make them pretty pointless. A PC for a file cabinet, a smartphone/laptop to access that file cabinet from anywhere, voice-mail to take messages. There are many professions where a secretary was once essential - but technology has supplanted this job in most cases.

    When it comes to manufacturing, a one-word explanation works: robots.

    I think in the late 90s we hit the top of a bell curve. Up until that point more technology meant more jobs. But now we're the victims of our own success, and it's ridiculous to think that our old economic models will continue to be relevant. Labor is usually a business' most costly expense. A high efficiency business minimizes labor costs. In the past this was often achieved by exploiting labor in some way. Now it's being done by eliminating labor.

    I'll address this before someone brings it up: I understand that car vs. horse and buggy analogy. That's not relevant to the current situation. Jobs are being replaced by machines on a broad scale across a broad range of markets: From mechanical jobs such as manufacturing to intellectual jobs such as analyzing stocks. This isn't one technology supplanting another. This is technology supplanting people.

    Clinging to proprietary software to keep software jobs around is futile. It's like imposing tariffs to keep manufacturing jobs in the U.S. It may have some short-term effect but open source will eventually take over just as robots will eventually finish taking over the manufacturing sector. Not to mention, even with proprietary software, once it attains a certain level of functionality and stability the programmers are no longer necessary. You don't need a programmer to click 'copy.'

    Ten years ago a lot of geeks scoffed at Bill Joy, called him a luddite or at the very least a pessimist. His manifesto was inspired by Kurzweil and The Unabomber, a couple of crazies, fer god's sake. But every year the reality of our situation becomes more clear, the future really doesn't need us.

    --
    "From the depths of my skeptical and rationalist soul, I ask the Lord to protect me from California touchie-feeliedom."
  125. Re:Duh by skids · · Score: 1

    Investment has a more limited economic impact than spending.

    In investment, you essentially loan money and expect it to be payed back (though mechanisms vary greatly so it's not always a proper "loan") So you lay out money into the economy but then reel it back out of the economy. The latter process is a drain on the economy. If it was a good investment and you're not practicing usury, then it is a net win. Also you provide some value by assuming risk. But it is a far cry from spending as far as positive economic impact.

    Spending, however, is 100% placing money into the economy. You buy something, or pay to get something done, and that's it. This seems to be a foreign concept to some.

  126. A basic income to the rescue! by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    A "basic income" approach (social security and medicare for all from birth) could be better than the current needs-based approach to welfare. Then there would be no disincentive to work to get more than a basic income for those who wanted to.

    I agree with you that most people want to do useful things. The problem is that often those useful things are not compensated for in the market -- stuff like raising children well, volunteering, creating great art, being an informed voter, running for office with an information campaign (as opposed to being in office), being a good friend and neighbor, comforting the dying, running a neighborhood watch program, and so on.

    I'm not saying those things should be directly compensated (the quality might change), but a basic income acknowledges how much unpaid labor (often stereotypically women's work) it takes to make a healthy, happy, secure society. A basic income also acknowledges how a big percentage of our current prosperity has little to do with current labor but a lot to do with natural resources and culture (the spread of ideas) and so should be accessible by all as a human right ("freedom from want" as President Franklin Roosevelt said).

    On motivation, see:
    "RSA Animate - Drive: The surprising truth about what motivates us"
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u6XAPnuFjJc

    More ideas for dealing with unemployment resulting from increased efficiency in excess of rising demand on my homepage site.

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  127. Beyond a Jobless Recovery by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    Something I put together: http://knol.google.com/k/beyond-a-jobless-recovery
    "This article explores the issue of a "Jobless Recovery" mainly from a heterodox economic perspective. It emphasizes the implications of ideas by Marshall Brain and others that improvements in robotics, automation, design, and voluntary social networks are fundamentally changing the structure of the economic landscape. It outlines towards the end four major alternatives to mainstream economic practice (a basic income, a gift economy, stronger local subsistence economies, and resource-based planning). These alternatives could be used in combination to address what, even as far back as 1964, has been described as a breaking "income-through-jobs link". This link between jobs and income is breaking because of the declining value of most paid human labor relative to capital investments in automation and better design. Or, as is now the case, the value of paid human labor like at some newspapers or universities is also declining relative to the output of voluntary social networks such as for digital content production (like represented by this document). It is suggested that we will need to fundamentally reevaluate our economic theories and practices to adjust to these new realities emerging from exponential trends in technology and society."

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.