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U.S. Imposes Tariffs On Chinese Solar Cells

New submitter kimtysirt sends this excerpt from a Bloomberg report about U.S. tariffs for Chinese solar panels: "The U.S. yesterday imposed tariffs of as much as 250 percent on Chinese-made solar cells to aid domestic manufacturers beset by foreign competition, though critics said the decision may end up raising prices and hurting the U.S. renewable energy industry. The U.S. Commerce Department ruled that Chinese manufacturers sold cells in the U.S. at prices below the cost of production and announced preliminary antidumping duties ranging from 31 percent to 250 percent, depending on the manufacturer. China criticized the action, saying the U.S. is hurting itself and cooperation between the world’s two largest economies. The decision is meant to provide a boost to the U.S. solar manufacturing industry, where four companies filed for bankruptcy in the past year."

68 of 345 comments (clear)

  1. Yes, it will raise prices by crazyjj · · Score: 5, Insightful

    But only because they were already artificially low, with China selling those things below cost just to gain market dominance. Hell, even with this, they'll STILL be artificially low, with the U.S. heavily subsidizing the whole industry. The fact is that solar power is just not that economical on its own (and IMHO is a pipe dream anyway, but that's another post). But seeing as the U.S. still subsidizes the wildly profitable coal and oil industries (and don't get me started on agricultural subsidies), I guess turnabout is fair play.

    And before anyone jumps up to defend the free market here, you may want to keep in mind that a level playing field (with no protectionism) is great if you're a Chinese worker making $1 an hour--not so fucking great if you're an American or European worker getting paid many times that. You go ahead and compete in the "free market" with people willing to work for a fraction of your salary and just see what happens to your beloved first-world living standard.

    --
    What political party do you join when you don't like Bible-thumpers *or* hippies?
    1. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by dintech · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Devil's advocate: Maybe they should take it further and tax all products to the equivalent of government subsidies by foreign entities. Heavily subsiding is a practice that should be discouraged, irrespective of the product. While they're at it, they can stop local subsiding of things like high fructose corn syrup too.

    2. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by h4rr4r · · Score: 5, Insightful

      How would they run out of money? The government of China has and can force its banks to give loans that essentially never have to be repaid to these vendors.

    3. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by LordNicholas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As always seems to happen during debates around trade tariffs and regulation, you're considering only one side of the equation (American workers) and not the other (American consumers). The majority of us who are not workers manufacturing solar cells benefit greatly from having a supply of cheap, foreign-made solar cells rather than expensive, domestic-made cells, which on the whole balances out the negative impact on American workers.

      Our first world living standard is exactly because of these kinds of arrangements, not despite them.

      You are correct in pointing out that "dumping" (selling solar cells below the cost of manufacturing them) is a true market distortion and should generally be discouraged, but I think it's naive to pretend that these tariffs are based on economics and not political pressures.

    4. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by jeffmeden · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And before anyone jumps up to defend the free market here, you may want to keep in mind that a level playing field (with no protectionism) is great if you're a Chinese worker making $1 an hour--not so fucking great if you're an American or European worker getting paid many times that. You go ahead and compete in the "free market" with people willing to work for a fraction of your salary and just see what happens to your beloved first-world living standard.

      I would hope that anyone commenting here realizes that when it comes to China, "free market" is not even on the spectrum of economic principles. Currency manipulation that puts EVERYTHING in the world's second largest economy at a continuously under-priced advantage is about as close to the "free market" as North Korea is to joining the UN.

    5. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by SaroDarksbane · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You go ahead and compete in the "free market" with people willing to work for a fraction of your salary and just see what happens to your beloved first-world living standard.

      You're failing to make a comparison between what is seen (lost US jobs) and what is unseen (improved standard of living for everyone in the country because of cheaper energy-related goods). You're angry that other people might out-compete you in the job market, so in essence you want the government to use force to make sure that solar energy is kept more expensive so that all the other citizens in the country will subsidize your job.

      That's kind of a jerk thing to do, FYI.

    6. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by h4rr4r · · Score: 5, Informative

      They can corner the market on the cells. They did this with Rare Earths already. They undercut everyone on price, then starting instituting policies limiting exports of raw rare earths.

      I would assume the long term goal is similar, limit sales of non-finished panels once there are no competing producers of cells.

    7. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Once they've driven the competition out of business, they probably won't continue to sell them at a loss.....

    8. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by jeffmeden · · Score: 5, Interesting

      How would they run out of money? The government of China has and can force its banks to give loans that essentially never have to be repaid to these vendors.

      Why would they? What would the Chinese government gain by flooding the solar panels market with things that cost more than they sell for?

      Are you being serious? Dumping is a well understood practice. I will put it in Slashdot terms.

      Step 1: Set up huge industry with government captial
      Step 2: Start selling goods in foreign markets at well below what it cost to make them
      Step 3: Watch as foreign competitors go bankrupt
      Step 4: Crank up prices as no competition is left, then lend foreigners the money needed to buy goods
      Step 5: ???

      The question marks are at the end because the only thing unknown about this situation is whether china will use their wealth to simply buy up everything in the world, or to buy up just the military might and then watch as all the peasant nations fight over who will get to supply china with movies and music.

    9. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by h4rr4r · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So manipulating your currency and selling products at a loss is out competing?

      Are you misinformed or insane? The reason the GP quoted free market, is because when dealing with China there is never a free market, they don't play fair with their currency to being with.

    10. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Nidi62 · · Score: 2

      If I can't have a free market, I'll settle for a fair one. Because even without this regulation we are not in a free market, as the companies dumping these goods are being supported and propped up by the Chinese government. Free market means no interference. Subsidies are interference and therefore NOT a free market. And these companies are definitely being subsidized by the Chinese government. This kind of behavior has been rampant from them for years.

      And I really love the comment by the Chinese that this is the US hurting cooperation. The Chinese sure have a very odd definition of cooperation. This isn't cooperation; in most places that is called taking advantage of someone. True cooperation would be not dumping goods in an effort to gain market share. If they want to play games, we need to play right back. If they want to compete with us, they can play by the rules and try to compete. The sad thing is these kinds of laws are already on the books, the government just doesn't like to use them. If we enforced our own trade laws, we would stop hemorrhaging money and production capability to China, and we would actually begin to recover. Would things cost more? Probably, yes. But the money will at least stay in this country instead of going back to Beijing, where it'll be used to buy things somewhere else instead of being re-spent in America.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    11. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by LordNicholas · · Score: 2

      And they'll be able to sell them no higher than the market rate, which will be higher than cost plus a slim profit margin, just like any other product on earth. Raise the price too much and China's comparative advantage is lost, and Vietnam or India or maybe even the USA swoops in and sells them for less. Eventually we settle on the truest, cheapest realistic price for the product.

      Guys, this is basic economics.

    12. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by geekoid · · Score: 2

      No, these tariffs are economical. Getting something from overseas because it's cheaper doesn't actually help the American consumer. Unfortuantly the American consumer is short sighted and selfish. So when they have their cheap solar cells, but no jobs the can't figure out why.

      China is a bad player.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    13. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by khallow · · Score: 4, Informative

      Why would they? What would the Chinese government gain by flooding the solar panels market with things that cost more than they sell for?

      Dumping is a common tactic for gaining market share. Competitors go out of business or get bought up by you. Then when you have enough market share and eliminated enough competition, you gain pricing power, the ability to price things above the rate in a competitive market. The profit from that can pay for the costs incurred during the dumping phase.

    14. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by goombah99 · · Score: 2

      But only because they were already artificially low, with China selling those things below cost just to gain market dominance.

      I've heard that said a few times but it seems nuts that China would sell these things at a loss, if that's really the case they will run out of money and be forced to stop fairly soon.

      Do you have a citation for the claim that China is selling solar at a loss?

      Well think about it. There's two reasons you sell things at a loss.

      One is if it's an investment you will be making back later. In the case of solar cells this means buying market share, or if you are lucky buying monopoly pricing. You don't need monopoly pricing to earn it back because Market share is sticky. Market share comes not simply setting your prices or offering what people want, it's capacity, distribution networks, and standards.

      Two is if you are looking at the wrong market. If there is a regional job shortage it may be cheaper for the Govt to subsidize and industry than pay unemployment costs. That would be unemployment costs not just to those workers but the whole regional economy it supports.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    15. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Myopic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Would you really want a free market if you could have one? A free market is a market with zero regulations or taxes. Zero. Do you really want zero regulations? You can't even think of one single regulation you favor? If you can think of even one single regulation or tax that you favor, then what you want is not a free market, but a regulated market. Unfortunately, that then requires you to do the hard work of applying reason and subtle thought to the question of which regulations you favor, denying the opportunity to simply dismiss all regulations out of hand.

      Markets are good. Free markets are bad.

    16. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by jellomizer · · Score: 2

      Yes the low labor cost debate...
      However the United States is much better as improving efficiency in the process. So one worker can do the work of many low wage workers. Now if China is selling things below cost then that is bigger issue, because then we are producing optimally, however the Chinese government is producing sub-optimally, in an attempt to monopolize the market.

      While Labor cost is a big expense, it isn't the only one, and isn't normally the key factor. We are seeing a lot of In sourcing happening in the market right now. As they found out that this cheap labor is not cheap labor+the high efficiency that they were expecting, but cheap labor and low efficiency, which isn't saving them a lot.

      The full Free Market has Huge ups and downs (Where the ups are excellent, and the downs are horrible). Now over our history we have put different amounts of regulations, Regulations tend to limit the Ups and Downs and stabilize the markets, so there is less extremes allows a stable predictable market and everyone is happy... however they are less happy during the upswing (and demand for more free market, which in turn creates a heavier down swing). Now too much regulation will keep everything at a statuesque. And this will hinder a lot of innovation, and new markets from emerging, so in time the economy will degrade as it isn't adaptable enough.
      There is a careful balance that is needed for the optimal balance. It is like trying to hold the most amount of water in your hand. If you grasp too tightly you squeeze all the water out, if you let you hand be flat the water will then just rush out, you need to cup your hand enough for the optimal amount of water to stay.

      However unlike grasping you hand where you can find the optimal range with some basic calculous, the economy isn't so predictable, so you need touchy freely work to get it right, and after you get it right it will change on you so you need to try again. The Lazy Political Motivated peole like to go to extreams of saying No Government or all government, so we just don't need to keep trying. However to stay optimal we always need to keep trying and going back and forth, with no end in sight.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    17. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by dintech · · Score: 4, Informative

      I thought this was common knowledge:

      HFCS is cheaper in the United States as a result of a combination of corn subsidies and sugar tariffs and quotas.[19] Since the mid 1990s, the United States federal government has subsidized corn growers by $40 billion.[20][21]

      Maybe it would help if you read beyond one or two of those headlines you're going on about.

    18. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by unimacs · · Score: 4, Insightful

      When there's no serious competition, market rate will be higher. If someone does try to come in to compete, the big manufacturers lower the price again until the fledgling competitor, whose pockets are not nearly as deep, drops out.

      You see this all the time.

    19. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by peppepz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, there are huge barriers to manufacturing something better and at a lower price than a monopolist who can count on a huge economy of scale. Cf. Microsoft vs the rest of the world.

    20. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by baffled · · Score: 2

      Precisely! It's not like we're dealing with manufacturing automobiles, with nearly countless parts and exorbitant market entry costs.

      This seems like a brain-dead move on the part of Washington. Solar energy provides cheap power, power to run countless things used by people in our local economies. Less money spent on utility bills is more money spent on local goods and services. Instead, all this will do is increase the amount of money Americans spend on coal to be mined and burned here - a small boost to jobs that will ultimately crumble because of global warming and alternative, green energy.

      Stupid, stupid federal government.

    21. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by thaylin · · Score: 2

      let see, New competition spend time and money rolling out manufacturing and doing research to catch up to the established monopoly, china drops prices just long enough to run them out of buisness, then raises them again.. Yep, looks like it can be sustained in the long run.. All they need to be able to do is make back the money of the dump during the gouging.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    22. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Do you think it is inexpensive to setup a solar panel manufacturing plant? marketing and sales? back office support? distribution arrangements? you don't think this is terribly time consuming and expensive? all while knowing that at any minute the chinese could yank the rug out from under you and start selling the panels below cost? who would even invest in your operation knowing that reality?

    23. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by hrvatska · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Becoming a PV manufacturer isn't cheap. What new competitor wants to enter a market where they know their main competitor can lower prices at will below the cost of production, and sustain that reduction long enough to drive most other companies out of business? So long as that uncertainty is hanging there it will severely restrict who is willing to enter the market.

    24. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by h4rr4r · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How much do you think it costs to setup a PV Fab?
      Do you think anyone would give you that loan when these folks will just start dumping again until you are gone?

    25. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      Those lifetimes are for 75% of output if you are willing to live with 50% output you can probably double or triple that lifetime estimate. It only becomes a question of if the cost of new panels is worth more power on the same area.

    26. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by tmosley · · Score: 2

      "If you disagree with me, then you are uneducated"

      lol

    27. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Informative

      A free market is a market with zero regulations or taxes. Zero.

      "Free market" in the sense of a market with no rules, is an oxymoron. A "market" IS a set of rules/regulations for trade, the most basic of these being property rights, it's paradoxical nonsense to want a set of rules for trade that has no rules. The "free" in free market actually means anyone is free to participate in the market povided they play by the rules. I don't understand why such a large number of people in the US have trouble understanding the concept, they use it every day, no?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    28. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Step 1: Set up huge industry with government captial
      Step 2: Start selling goods in foreign markets at well below what it cost to make them
      Step 3: Watch as foreign competitors go bankrupt

      Right, because the the US government capital absolutely, definitely has to be spent on military campaigns and equipment and on bailing banks out etc. and no money at all is available for the kind of R&D that the obscenely rich Chinese can afford to spend on.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    29. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're not considering history and what we should already know. When you've allowed polluting, authoritarian, near-slave driving industries in some other country to drive your industries (with human, worker, and environmental safeguards in place) out of business, what are you left with? Either no industry, or you now have to abandon human, worker, and environmental safeguards to compete. We don't want to play that game.

      --
      I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
    30. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Pumpkin+Tuna · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Exactly. Wal Mart did this when it first opened pharmacies in its stores. They cut their prices to the point that the individual Wal Mart pharmacy was losing money on every prescription. They could afford the loss because they were huge and the other products made up for the loss. A year or two later, when they had driven the local home-town pharmacies out of business, they jacked the prices back up.

    31. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by eugene+ts+wong · · Score: 2

      I agree. The government wouldn't even really have to think about it. It would just need to pay attention to how much those manufacturers are being subsidized. It would encourage foreign manufacturers to compete on quality.

    32. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by s.petry · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Lets not forget that the Chinese had no ability to manufacture many products until they acquired technology. In many cases, this was government sponsored espionage.

      A favorite story I have is from a VP in manufacturing, when they went to set up shop in China (as being required by a large US company). This was during the time we heard the tale that "If you want to sell products in China you have to build factories there". The VP toured other factories there that were owned by a UK firm that had been there for a few years and doing similar manufacturing. The VP was warned:

      All parts of the plant construction process are going to be "monitored" by government officials. Every component will get measured, weighed, pictures taken, etc.. The day your factory completes and comes on line, you will be allowed a few days of production. During your initial production, Government monitors will be all over the place, writing down everything that gets done. Every process you have, every step you take, and every technical detail they can see will be written down. On about the third day, the Government is going to force you to close and nobody will be allowed inside the plant. When you are closed, they will send in a team of Engineers that will blue print your plant. This is to verify that you made no changes, and that their initial written specs were correct. After a couple days of "Government Inspections" you will be allowed back in your plant.

      The VP was driven 2 miles away later, where he saw a plant that looked exactly like the UK plant. Oddly, they made the same thing as the UK plant, except that their products sold in China where the UK plant still had no ability to sell. The VP and Company did not open a plant in China, and are still doing very well to this day manufacturing in the US. The UK business went under about 9 years ago.

      --

      -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

    33. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by mk1004 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      They've already done this with vitamins. There are no longer any domestic producers and the Chinese increased their prices as soon as the competition went away. Yes, we could re-enter the market, but the start up costs are non-trivial. And what's to stop the Chinese from doing the same thing all over again? That's what makes a significant barrier to market entry.

      --
      I can mend the break of day, heal a broken heart, and provide temporary relief to nymphomaniacs.
    34. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by SaroDarksbane · · Score: 2

      "Manipulation of their currency" in this case is pegging the yuan to the dollar, meaning they print yuan and use it to buy dollars, which they then convert into US treasuries. In practical terms, this means that China is taking upon themselves the inflation that we would otherwise see due to our massive budget deficit, and as a bonus we get cheap goods. This is supported pretty heavily by the inflation data for both of our countries.

      Far from taking advantage of us, we're taking advantage of them.

    35. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by emarkp · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Uh, Wal Mart is still selling generics at $4 per refill. Where are the raised prices?

    36. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by mikael · · Score: 2

      They then have a technology lead and control of the rare earth metals or whatever is required to make them. Things will go the same way as memory chips.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    37. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Myopic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A free market is a market with zero regulation and zero taxes, but almost everyone who promotes "free markets" doesn't mean it that way -- including you. They mean they want an open, transparent, competitive marketplace. That's nice and all, but it's not the definition of a free market, and more to the point it's not the definition used by the people who are actually implementing policy. There is an incredibly tiny minority of ultra-rich industrialist ideologues who are trying to achieve REAL free markets, with zero regulations, and they are using as patsies, as fools, people like you, who bite on the mantra of a "free" market, without understanding what a free market is. If you don't want zero regulations, which it sounds like you don't, then let me be clear: you are being used unwittingly to promote a policy with which you do not agree.

    38. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Luckyo · · Score: 2

      Cost of contracts for military hardware awarded (as F-35 project shows, these are essentially risk free grants, not even loans and will be increased if initial designs fail until they don't), OR cost of RD if it was done independently (RD costs are most definitely found on company books).

      Both are likely to eclipse "risk free" airbus loans by a wide margin.

    39. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by s.petry · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Won't be given in my case since the people I knew may still work there, sorry. There are numerous stories you can read on Google that are very similar.

      Let me ask a few questions to get the point across. How many GM cars are sold in China? What is the number 1 selling car in China, and what does it look like? This is true for many items. Foreigner owned plants in China do not sell much to China, if they sell anything at all. Yet there are countless clone items made by Chinese manufactures in China that are sold to the Chinese. You can easily find story after story like this. The typical answer from the Chinese government is "We are working to stop IP theft", but occasionally you hear "China owns that IP so piss off!".

      To the US, this may seem horrible and wrong. In China, to the Chinese Government this is as it should be. Plants are there to serve the people of China, not foreign interests. Foreign interests only get involved when it benefits China.

      You can't argue Western culture and values when it comes to an Eastern culture and value system. This is why you won't see a Chinese manufacturer open a plant in America. IP created in China belongs to the people (aka. Government). This includes all aspects of production from design and engineering to building and distribution.

      Sit with some people from China, have some long talks. You will really learn quite a bit.

      --

      -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

    40. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      http://thinkprogress.org/health/2011/06/27/254700/walmart-raises-price-diabetes-medication

    41. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by chrb · · Score: 4, Informative

      How many GM cars are sold in China? What is the number 1 selling car in China, and what does it look like?

      The top selling car right now is the Buick Excelle manufactured by GM Daewoo and assembled in China by Shanghai General Motors Company Limited. This is a legitimate arrangement.

      This is why you won't see a Chinese manufacturer open a plant in America.

      Suntech Opens New U.S. Manufacturing Plant
      China offshores manufacturing to the U.S.
      Chinese Open First Car Plant in Europe

      IP created in China belongs to the people

      The United States successfully ignored international copyright and patent claims for over a century; it is hardly surprising that other nations that do not have a developed IP industry would follow the same route: An Economic History of Copyright in Europe and the United States

      The U.S. was long a net importer of literary and artistic works, especially from England, which implied that recognition of foreign copyrights would have led to a net deficit in international royalty payments. The Copyright Act recognized this when it specified that "nothing in this act shall be construed to extend to prohibit the importation or vending, reprinting or publishing within the United States, of any map, chart, book or books ... by any person not a citizen of the United States." Thus, the statutes explicitly authorized Americans to take free advantage of the cultural output of other countries. As a result, it was alleged that American publishers "indiscriminately reprinted books by foreign authors without even the pretence of acknowledgement." The tendency to reprint foreign works was encouraged by the existence of tariffs on imported books that ranged as high as 25 percent.

      The United States stood out in contrast to countries such as France, where Louis Napoleon's Decree of 1852 prohibited counterfeiting of both foreign and domestic works. Other countries which were affected by American piracy retaliated by refusing to recognize American copyrights. Despite the lobbying of numerous authors and celebrities on both sides of the Atlantic, the American copyright statutes did not allow for copyright protection of foreign works for fully one century. As a result, American publishers and producers freely pirated foreign literature, art, and drama.

    42. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by Solandri · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The thing is, corn isn't subsidized because the government wants cheap HFCS. It's subsidized because the government wants overproduction of food so we won't have people going hungry if there's a bunch of crop failures like in the 1930s. Cheap HFCS is merely a side effect ("gee, what can we do with all this excess corn?"). You can make completely valid and compelling arguments against cheap HFCS, but they won't get you anywhere because you're cherry-picking the most unfavorable aspect of corn subsidies to try to make them look bad. You're not addressing the real issue. The starvation argument will win out every time simply because it's more important. If you want to end corn subsidies, you need to address it from the starvation/crop failure angle.

    43. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by KhabaLox · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Even the clothing section has made in USA.

      You realize that those clothes are made in the Marianas Islands and other US territories with much less stringent labor regulations than the actual states' part of the United States and wage rates comparable to those of China, right?

      --
      Ceci n'est pas un sig.
    44. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by plover · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This isn't a "pro-American-jobs" move. It's an "anti-Chinese-monopoly" move. It just happens to have a component that resonates with a certain political demographic that likest to rally around "rah rah American-jobs!"

      Setting up a silicon foundry to make the panels is a big investment. If Chinese firms dump cheap solar panels on America, driving American companies out of business, and then because they've cornered the market, they'll raise their prices high and keep them there, right? You seem to think that someone will come along and try making that investment again because prices are too high, but they won't. If there's no protection today against the monopolistic practices, why would I dump $10 million into a fab plant tomorrow, knowing full well that the Chinese will just drop their prices again and run me out of business?

      Given that we have to play by anti-monopoly, emission-controlled, and pro-labor laws here, our market also can't support competition with external monopolies, uncontrolled polluters, and unregulated labor. Since we can't regulate their external business practices directly, the only tool we can effectively wield is to penalize the unfair imports.

      What really has to happen to have an effect is for the tariffs to be tied to the specific behaviors we value. If we say "polluting is worth 150% of your cost of goods, underpaid, overworked labor is worth 100%, and monopolistic dumping is worth 50%", then they could choose to avoid the tariffs associated with pollution first. If we just say "Shen-zhen plant, we charge you tariffs of 200% because you're Chinese" they have no incentive to change behavior, they'll just to go try their dumping tricks on other countries.

      Will any of this make solar panels affordable here (regardless of who makes them)? That depends on the non-solar energy markets. For comparison, look at the lighting market. Right now, high efficiency lighting isn't cost effective because electricity is cheap. Double the price of electricity, though, and the most cost effective lighting changes from incandescent to CFL. Double it again, and the most cost effective lighting is LED. The same is true with solar - as long as electricity is cheap, solar isn't cost effective. Raise the rates of electricity, and the balance will shift. Implement the smart grid, and suddenly solar panels will be the next big thing as customers discover that their A/C is costing them $50/per day using peak generating capacity. Or maybe solar will be effective only in the southern states, where A/C costs are the bulk of electricity usage, and the sunlight produces enough energy year round to make the panels worth it. They may never be effective in the northern states, where even the most efficient panels simply don't get enough sunlight to recoup their cost.

      --
      John
    45. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by jeffmeden · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So, sure a US company could be founded in 10 years to compete with the Chinese, but they would be 10 years behind them in the quality and/or efficiency of their product.

      BINGO. We aren't making wooden toys, or sunglasses; we are making technology-dependent, highly precise materials and assemblies that rely heavily on a very tightly controlled process and EXACT design specifications. Design specs that can't be downloaded from wikipedia. Processes that can't be started up in a few weeks (or probably years). This is a RACE. Putting a year or five or ten on your competition can mean EVERYTHING. Just ask Apple. Why do you think it is that they are selling 142 billion of product a year? They are 2 to 3 years (used to be more like 5) ahead of their competition, and that gap is VERY hard to close when it comes to technology.

      Ask anyone working with manufacturing in China, and they will have stories to tell about how god awful hard it is to get something made the American way over there. Tolerances on locally made machines are crap. Training for employees is worthless (they leave as soon as you teach them something valuable.) Processes that get started, get dropped as soon as your flight back to the US is off the ground. It's hard as hell to change the course of manufacturing in a country. The thing is, they realize all of this. They are working around the clock to figure out how to out-do the US, and this is just another gun in their arsenal. The same is exactly true for what goes on in the US in any given industry.

      China is doing what we did back in the 30s and 40s, stumbling their way through different techniques, technologies, and methodologies to find their way to effective manufacturing while they grow the workforce needed to actually maintain it. If they give their solar industry 10 years to perfect itself (largely based on workers trained by US companies, like I mentioned earlier) and they can keep the US solar industry from blossoming (which they have done pretty well considering how many US firms have gone bankrupt) then they will be in a leadership position, with the US a distant second. Do you really want to work for $1.50 a day?

    46. Re:Yes, it will raise prices by INowRegretThesePosts · · Score: 2

      That does not make sense. Dumping always harms the dumper. Lets see:

      Suppose that China has a solar cell manufacturer called CrappyCells, and America has a solar cell manufacturer called LincolnCells. Both make solar cells that cost $95 and sell for $100. Then CrappyCells has the "brilliant" idea of capturing the market by dumping, so it start selling cells for $90. According to the plan, LIncolnCells will bankrupt, then CrappyCells can sell its goods at $200.

      What really happens is that speculators notice CrappyCells is dumping, so they start buying and hoarding. As much as CrappyCells makes, the speculators buy. This means that CrappyCells is never able to meet all demand, and can't smother LincolnCells. Eventually CrappyCells will stop the dumping, either because they ran out of money or because they realised it wasn't working. Then the American speculators make a huge profit and CrappyCells realises it made a huge loss.

      Anti-dumping legislation is nothing more than protectionism. It merely ensures the survival of inefficient domestic companies. This helps the shareholders and workers of said companies, but harms American consumers. And the global result is a net loss for the world economy, because of the inefficiency involved.

  2. Translation by Compaqt · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When US subsidize solar, it good.

    When China subsidize solar, it bad.

    --
    I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    1. Re:Translation by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 2

      No.

      When a country sells a product below their cost specifically to corner a market, it's bad.
      Oh, and it's working:
      http://asianbusinessdaily.com/2011/11/solar-wars-china-to-investigate-us-of-dumping-cheap-solar-panels/

      Nobody seemed to mind when Japan was dumping hard drives and RAM chips at below cost and we all could get really cheap computers. Some would even argue that what made consumer electronics so successful is that Japan did this. Stores run loss-leaders all the time. Why is it okay for Walmart to sell something below cost to get your business? Why is it okay for the US Government to subsidize corporate farmers to sell products overseas?

      Whether China gives cheap loans to its businesses or the US gives tax breaks to its businesses, aren't both governments essentially doing the same thing?

  3. This is good news by Tastecicles · · Score: 5, Interesting

    As someone who knows what foreign manufacturing does to local economy (UK based and lived through the death of Sheffield Steel and British Coal), this is the only fix - to impose tariffs on foreign made goods, because we do have the technology and infrastructure to make this stuff ourselves; the only thing we're doing by outsourcing is PUTTING PEOPLE OUT OF WORK. This (taxing foreign goods) stimulates the local economy; hands up those who think this is in any way bad??

    I would do the same thing to fix the auto industry (and raw materials eg refined aluminium and steel/alloys). Why? Because we've outsourced to Japan and China, they're getting rich selling us shitty cars, while our local auto industry (which used to make quality cars most of which still run after 20, 30, 40 or even 50+ years! Jaguar, Rolls Royce, Leyland, Rover...) has died a death or sold out to BMW who get most of their coachwork from... CHINA!

    --
    Operation Guillotine is in effect.
    1. Re:This is good news by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      Quality British cars?
      Have you ever owned a Jag? They only run after 2 months because of the time they spend in the shop. They only reason you see them 50 years later is because of their value making it reasonable to keep repairing them.

      Any toyota made today is a better car than any jag made 20 years ago. Leyland was a joke, is a joke and forever will be a joke. I love British cars, but reliability is not their strong suit.

    2. Re:This is good news by englishknnigits · · Score: 2

      Wow, really? When you put a tariff on something it's primary effect is to raise the price of goods and services in your country. Tariffs on coal and steel would literally make everything in your country more expensive and lower the standard of living for everyone in your country. That is bad. The raised costs of goods and services in your country would also hurt your other exports. It also encourages other countries to put tariffs on your goods and services which hurts your exports even more, costs local tax revenue, and destroys jobs. If your country isn't very good at producing something (which is why it has a higher price than everyone else), it should make something else. You would be better off letting those workers in the coal and steel industry find other, more productive jobs and letting everyone else benefit from the low prices rather than imposing tariffs to protect an inefficient industry.

    3. Re:This is good news by vmlemon · · Score: 2

      It might sound counter-productive (and maybe even hypocritical) - but if you want a British-built car (or at least a European-built one), then why not buy a new Honda (http://www.honda.co.uk/cars/campaigns/2011/madeinbritain/ says that they're built in Swindon), a new Nissan (made in Sunderland), or a new Ford (built in Dagenham)? After all, many of their European/UK-market models are either built by British people in plants based in England, or at least built in plants in the rest of Europe by native workers. Still, I don't care too much - but as a Brit, I'd rather the Japanese or Americans got my money if I was buying a car, than the Chinese.

  4. Hyopcrisy by DaMattster · · Score: 5, Insightful

    China engages in all kinds of economic protectionism including artificially manipulating its currency not to mention import tariffs. So, by leveling these accusations at the United States, they sound awfully stale and hollow.

  5. Seems fair to me by peppepz · · Score: 2

    Unless the Americans want to embrace the life style of the Chinese workers, they need to resort to protectionism. There can be no competition when the players do not follow the same rules. People will have to spend a bit more to buy solar cells, but I'd see that extra money as an investment, e.g. to keep the competences needed to build them inside the country.

  6. Taxing the Environment by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    But only because they were already artificially low, with China selling those things below cost just to gain market dominance.

    I've heard that said a few times but it seems nuts that China would sell these things at a loss, if that's really the case they will run out of money and be forced to stop fairly soon.

    That's not necessarily true. They could be exploiting a resource. In this case, I will argue that China is exploiting their local environment and exporting products that are a direct result of using up that resource to countries that will not sacrifice that resource for money. Imagine if a solar plant in the United States could dump the tailings and cuttings anywhere they wanted or lay a pipe to anywhere that disposes of water and fluids used in the mechanical processing of said solar cells, they too could sell really cheap solar cells and panels. Lead, mercury, cadmium and the production of carbon dioxide are all still a part of fabricating photovoltaic technologies for mass production.

    The very weak argument of how a free market is supposed to protect the environment goes something like this: people know pollution is bad and therefore they pay top dollar for the companies that pollute the least. If people don't think pollution is bad, then they buy the cheapest stuff and deal with it. And somehow the free market is supposed to work like this. Well, I'm glad for the EPA and I'm glad that the free market hasn't been left to companies that would rather spend money on misinformation campaigns than actual cleaner technology. Nixon opened trade with China and every president since has left it that way. As a result, we've found a loophole to get our cheap shit without polluting our local environment. But with CO2 having global impact, it's about time we started taxing products from foreign countries that don't want to play by our standards of environmental ethics (and it's obvious that China's national government is either helpless or corrupt). It's funny, if we applied tariffs in IT the same way, all the people complaining about outsourcing would be satisfied as now the ethical treatment and compensation of workers would be artificially raised by the US government to make it a toss up whether or not it is exported. Indian programmers are exploited by their companies in ways that American companies simply cannot.

    Keep in mind, I'm not arguing for these tariffs, I'm just urging you to shift your point of view instead of assuming that the only thing the Chinese are losing in this proposition is a net loss on their sales. On the contrary, they're losing their environment and abusing human resources so much so that they are making a killing by their standards in profit. As such, it shall continue ad infinitum.

    --
    My work here is dung.
  7. So This is the Free Market System.. by rocker_wannabe · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Companies go on and on about the beauty of the "free market system" until it doesn't work for them. The U.S. government rushes in to help companies stay competitive but doesn't do much to help our workforce stay competitive. Helping U.S. companies does not help U.S. workers like it once did. Most companies depend on labor outside the U.S. to some extent. Why can't they put a tax on outsourced labor to make U.S. wage rates competitive?

    I've never seen a U.S. congress that cared less about it's people than this one. The message from out government is if you can't figure out how to make a livable wage in this recession then just disappear so we don't have to deal with you. The real "kick in the head" is that if I didn't have to support our bloated local, state and federal government, deal with reams of regulations, and spend large amounts of money on insurance to protect me from a litigious society then I could be competitive with the rest of the world.

    --
    "Meaningless!, Meaningless!" says the Teacher. "Utterly meaningless!"
    1. Re:So This is the Free Market System.. by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 2

      The "free market" doesn't work for anyone except the nebulous ether filled will global corporations who can flutter about from nation to nation as conditions change.

      --
      I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
  8. Re:Well, *I* feel better by Myopic · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What you just said is tantamount to saying that in 1969, the "price" of a trip to the moon finally reached a price where the mainstream could realistically afford a ticket, because astronauts didn't pay for the ride.

    If a government pays a price for something, then that nullifies the claim that the thing has become affordable. China is paying for your solar cells. Now, it might be either good or bad for China to be paying for your solar cells, but let's not pretend that the solar cells are actually cheap.

  9. PROBLEM: china helps US get cheaper cleaner power by bug1 · · Score: 2

    Damn these pesky chinnese customers and the superior products...

    How dare they supply us with the means to reduce our dependence on foreign energy sources, help us get energy security, reduce our carbon footprint, do it cheaper than we can do it for ourselves, and probably lend us the money to do it.

    They must be stopped.

  10. What a bunch of crap by doston · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If the US was really interested in protecting an American industry, they could have chosen any number of industries that have been destroyed by foreign competition. Rather than protecting small solar companies, they're protecting dirty US energy companies. "Critics (people who understand the industry) say the decision may end up raising prices and hurting the U.S. renewable energy industry." Yeah, a small price to pay to keep your donors in the oil, natural gas and coal industries happy.

  11. Tariffs are the problem with China by Gothmolly · · Score: 2

    In general they whack us with 10x the import tariff we apply to them - that is the problem. They're exporting their unemployment to the US, because if you have 400M unemployed young men running around, revolution-y things start happening.

    --
    I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
  12. Unlikely to have much of an effect by cdrguru · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This sounds pretty good on the surface - the US government finally doing something that might positively effect the economy and workers.

    Unfortunately, there is this thing the US belongs to called the WTO. And China is also a member. So, China will complain to the WTO which is all about free, tariff-free trade. WTO will come back with instructions to the US that these tariffs must be removed ... or else. The "or else" part is pretty much that China will introduce their own tariffs on the few US goods imported into China - but also that other countries will be enabled to also tariff US produced goods far in excess of what they are already.

    So the tariff will be removed in a couple of months at most. We all signed on to the WTO and it is an organization that is clearly focused on a race to the bottom. All manufacturing will be in third-world countries with low, low, low labor and production costs. And the sooner the US population understands that the better.

    We have seen the total number of skilled workers employed in the US drop in the last five years or so but it has been on the decline for some time now. Everyone is waiting for the government to "do something" to bring back skilled worker jobs so the middle class can recover and once again spend money on US-produced goods and services. Well, it isn't happening. Companies that employed 10 people doing a particular job have found they can get the job done with four people now. Between just pushing those four people harder and a lessening of demand, four are all that is needed. The other six jobs aren't coming back, not in any realistic time frame. We are looking at what the government says is 8% unemployment but in reality it is more like 30% - when you count the people that are working part-time as Walmart greeters becase there is nothing else. The government cannot force companies to hire back the workers they shed because they simply are not needed. The government cannot create new companies to employ people, unless you really want the WPA and CCC.

  13. Their timing stinks. by Immerman · · Score: 2

    So, we let subsidized foreign competition drive Solyndra and others to the point where recovery would be virtually impossible, then step in with tariffs that will drive the price of solar up high enough that they would have provided a cost-effective alternative if they hadn't you know, already gone bankrupt. While I agree that in principle the tariffs are a good idea, if I could find my tinfoil hat I'd wonder about established fossil energy interests playing a roll in the timing. Please, somebody tell me there are at least a handful of other innovators this will help out in the short term so I can feel like my government isn't a complete tool.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  14. Why use facts when you can assume? by chrb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There is a basic assumption here that China is subsidising the cost of domestic solar production in order to force non-Chinese producers into bankruptcy, and therefore monopolise the future market.

    But that is just an assumption; there is another hypothesis - that the Chinese government is subsidising the cost of solar to stimulate R&D and investment in an important sustainable energy source - exactly the same reasons given by governments elsewhere. Forcing the U.S. solar manufacturing industry to collapse wasn't the goal, it was just a side effect of Chinese manufacturers being more successful than U.S. manufacturers.

    The basic allegation is that Chinese manufacturers get "unfair" government support in the form of low-cost access to land, bank loans, research grants and tax breaks. Do other countries not also do this? One of the Chinese manufacturers has already pointed out that China’s subsidies are lower than those in Germany. And is this even wrong? The U.S. subsidises oil and gas by almost $5 billion a year (and that doesn't include the cost of the U.S. military), nuclear is subsidised by $3.5 billion a year, solar at $1.3 billion. And yet, when China subsidises its energy production, suddenly such subsidies are "unfair".

    China's solar subsidies are estimated at $34 billion. It sounds like a lot, but put it in context: China currently produces 2GW by solar, but has a domestic solar power goal of 15GW by 2015, and 50 GW by 2020. Within 8 years, China has to manufacture 25 times more panels than it ever has, expanding its solar capacity to the equivalent of 50 nuclear power plants. Of course, for this to be achievable they need to significantly ramp up panel production, which requires them to heavily invest (i.e. subsidise) their industry. It is very shortsighted to assume that China is building a solar industry in order to dominate and destroy Western manufacturers, when in fact they have some of the most ambitious domestic targets in the world.

    1. Re:Why use facts when you can assume? by Ogive17 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      My only counter-point to your post is "if there is no intention to achieve a global monopoly on solar cell production, why is the Chinese gov't allowing heavily subsidized solar cells to be exported in such high quantities if they have set such a lofty goal for solar production/use in China?"

      By no means is the US an angel when it comes to trade agreements.

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    2. Re:Why use facts when you can assume? by poity · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In response to your 3rd paragraph, the issue is not that China is wrong to subsidize, but that the US is not wrong in adding tariffs onto Chinese made panels. Subsidies are not inherently wrong, neither are tariffs that offset them. Look at the price of foreign cars in China, a mid-sized Buick is priced at over 50% more than a similar model bought in the US. These Buicks are made in China too, so shipping cost isn't the issue.

      Your final paragraph is interesting since I've addressed the issue before: if the goal is to help domestic solar production and adoption, then there is no need to subsidize export panels, the government only needs to subsidize domestic consumption. That this is not the case, points to a deep flaw in your premise.

      --
      your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
    3. Re:Why use facts when you can assume? by chrb · · Score: 2

      the US is not wrong in adding tariffs onto Chinese made panels.

      'Wrong' is a moral judgement; the only effect of tariffs will be to increase the cost of solar panels in the U.S. Is that wrong? As Churchill said, "Will the shutting out of foreign goods increase the total amount of wealth in this country? Can foreign nations grow rich at our expense by selling us goods under cost price?"

      Your final paragraph is interesting since I've addressed the issue before: if the goal is to help domestic solar production and adoption, then there is no need to subsidize export panels, the government only needs to subsidize domestic consumption.

      I think this issue is actually quite complicated, as there are many factors involved. One is a desire for national energy security and independence, reducing reliance on fossil fuels etc. Another is a desire to build a profitable manufacturing base, creating jobs etc. If the goal is to ramp up production quickly, then the fastest way to do that is to give money to the people building factories. Subsidizing consumption will only work when there are consumers to subsidize; I'd imagine that in China the consumer in this case is the national electricity generation company. It is very difficult to separate out the effects of subsidies here anyway; isn't a consumption subsidy in effect also a production subsidy? Let's hypothetically suppose that China had subsidized consumption by guaranteeing that the state electricity company would buy $30 billion of solar panels. This investment would have led to new factories being built, increased economies of scale, more efficient processes etc. which would in turn result in a fall in the manufacturing cost, which would cause a fall in the end user price. More production = more supply = lower cost. So, when the subsidy is based on consumption, and the consumer happens to be the state electricity producer, can you really say that this is not also a production subsidy?

      I will also note that other nations also subsidize production - the U.S. subsidizes production of oil and nuclear, and (usually) taxes consumption, many nations subsidize production of food rather than consumption - so the leaders of these nations must also see some benefit to subsidizing production rather than consumption. The main benefit being, that your nation now has the means of production, and therefore gains some degree of independence and creates some jobs. You can export and sell the excess, but taxing your people and using their money to subsidize production for other nations is not going to increase the total wealth of your nation in the long term. The monopoly argument does not hold - the entire cost of the Solyndra plant was only $733 million. The U.S. budget this year is $3.7 trillion. If the U.S. ever wants to get back in the solar manufacturing industry, it has the means to do so, and if it is a national energy security issue then $733 million is chump change compared to the cost of oil wars.