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IEEE Spectrum Digs Into the Future of Money

New submitter ArmageddonLord writes "Small, out-of-pocket cash exchanges are still the stuff of everyday life. In 2010, cash transactions in the United States totaled $1.2 trillion (not including extralegal ones, of course). There will come a day, however, when you'll be able to transfer funds just by holding your cellphone next to someone else's and hitting a few keys — and this is just one of the ways we'll wean ourselves off cash. In 'The Last Days of Cash,' a special report on the future of money, we describe the various ways that technology is transforming how we pay for stuff; how it's boosting security by linking our biometric selves with our accounts; and how it's helping us achieve, at least in theory, an ancient ideal — money that cannot be counterfeited."

30 of 292 comments (clear)

  1. Freedom by XanC · · Score: 5, Insightful

    An untraceable method of paying for things has disadvantages, yes, but also serious advantages in limiting the power of government to see and control everything we do...

    1. Re:Freedom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Banks cannot print money out of thin air and use it to pay off their debt. Only government can do that, because government makes the rules.

    2. Re:Freedom by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      That is a lie, government is in the pockets of a few wealthy elite, the banking cartel foremost. They create injections of cash so they can skim, even though on the books the "money" is paid back.

    3. Re:Freedom by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 4, Insightful

      MONEY IS DEBT

      Don't be fooled by the tokens.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    4. Re:Freedom by rubycodez · · Score: 4, Informative

      yes, the fiat currency we are using instead of money are merely debt-notes designed to allow a few wealthy elite to confiscate and control real wealth. we should start using money again.

    5. Re:Freedom by Bam_Thwok · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No it isn't. Every dollar of credit a bank extends creates a debit on their books as well. That's what lending is. Fractional reserve banking is a *limiter* on this activity, not a facilitator.

    6. Re:Freedom by zlives · · Score: 2

      and we are not talking about actually printing anything... just a bunch of numbers in the cloud... no actual currency.

    7. Re:Freedom by scarboni888 · · Score: 2

      Real money is created and controlled by the federal government - or: we the people. Fiat money is 'loaned' to the taxpayers through the conduit of the government using interest rates which makes it mathematically impossible to pay back all that is owed even if all that nation-states currency that actually exists were rounded up and sent in all at once. This is what is responsible for our perpetual slavery as well as the seemingly never-ending widening of the gap between the opulent and the rest of us. We are the government and the power to control and create money needs to be taken back from private hands if we ever hope to see any kind of escape from this servitude to the private currency controllers.

    8. Re:Freedom by ka9dgx · · Score: 2

      Money is a durable store of wealth, until recently it was Gold, Silver or Copper coin of the realm. The role of Government was in ensuring the purity and weight of the coin.

      Recently people have confused currency and paper with money, and we're seeing the results of it as the economy falls into this Greater Depression.

      Eventually people are going to stop trading real goods for fiat debt instruments, it may be decades, or years. The transition period back to real money is going to be shocking to a lot of people, and profitable for a few. Try to be one of the few who doesn't lose everything when it does happen.

    9. Re:Freedom by flyneye · · Score: 2

      You say iPhone like it is desirable?

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
  2. Re:Uh by Lumpio- · · Score: 2

    Has any of those BitCoin thefts occured because of vulnerabilities in BitCoin itself or because of unsecure 3rd party services? I doubt you'd go and say real money is insecure if a single bank somewhere got hacked.

  3. Cash is making a comeback by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 5, Interesting

    A lot of people are starting to pay in cash again simply to get out from under the oppressive thumb of the credit card cartel. It also helps with budgetary discipline, which is why guys like Dave Ramsey are preaching it to the people.

    --
    Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
    1. Re:Cash is making a comeback by h4rr4r · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Does it pay 1% back yet?

      I love taking advantage of credit card companies. Free 28 day loans and 1% back are great. I never buy anything on the card that I could not write a check for anyway, so I don't pay interest. I used to go to a mechanic that offered 2% off if you payed cash, so I did there.

      Many people like me are too used to getting either a discount or free short term loans to go back to using only cash.

    2. Re:Cash is making a comeback by Jeng · · Score: 2

      Some people are smart enough not to use BoA.

      The credit union I use kicks ass.

      --
      Don't know something? Look it up. Still don't know? Then ask.
    3. Re:Cash is making a comeback by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      Then I cancel it and move to another.
      Credit card companies need some percent of their clients to pay off the loans, to raise the value of the debt they hold and sell. I fill that role.

    4. Re:Cash is making a comeback by Overzeetop · · Score: 2

      You're using it wrong, and you're using the wrong one.

      I've been late once or twice in the past 10 years. They have always credited back the interest and fees when I called. They give you that 1% because they're getting 2.5-3% from the merchant (which you're paying though markup, but they're not giving cash discounts, so...).

      I've decided that a lot of card companies much really suck. Chase, otoh, has been exceptionally accommodating for me. Questionable charge? It's gone in 24 hours and they take it up with the merchant. I even filed a CDW loss on a rental car once (dented a plastic bumper on a rental Jeep - you'd think they would be more durable) - sent in the paper work, got call to confirm the information, and 30 days later got a claim report and $0 balance from the rental company.

      I'm not a huge client either - maybe $10k/yr ($20k if we're really flush). I've never had an annual fee.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  4. What could possibly go wrong? by a-zarkon! · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Using a service-provider configured, jail-breakable device for financial transactions... Malware is already an issue on smart phones. Also, I guarantee that this "service" is not free. Everyone involved in the transaction is going to charge something. 3% to ATT or Verizon, 3% to the payer's bank, 3% to the recipient's bank, probably another 3% to some service provider/clearing house vendor, plus complete gov't visibility which means that all taxes are guaranteed to be charged. Yes, this may be simplified to the point where it's as easy as pulling $1.00 bill out of your pocket to buy your gum, but that $1.00 item is going to double in price to cover all the incidental charges. Call me a luddite, but I'm perfectly happy to stick with cash.

    1. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by girlintraining · · Score: 2

      Call me a luddite, but I'm perfectly happy to stick with cash.

      You're not a luddite. I try explaining the need for cash to my geek friends, but they're mystified about why anyone would want to keep something in "analog land". But basically, every system has slippage, whether it's a packet-switched network, or landing airplanes on aircraft carriers. Traffic engineers have found that, for example, if 3% of the vehicles on the road break the law by speeding or aggressive driving, it stops standing waves of vehicles forming near egress points, and actually improves the entire system's reliability. In most systems, you will find that if you increase tolerances too much, the system, engine, or component, becomes much less reliable and efficient.

      Economic systems are no different. Governments will always be pushing for a perfect 1:1 parity between actions and identities, because the goal of government is perfect order, which means everything following formal rules, with 100% compliance. And should they ever even come within spitting distance of achieving this, they will have made themselves obsolete compared to other countries. We're already seeing what this kind of economic "hardening" does: Moving everything to electronic payment means that prices can jump wildly; The stock market is currently controlled by systems that make buy/sell decisions in fractions of a millisecond, and when the algorithms in those systems homogenized, we watched billions of dollars vaporize. Homogeny in economic systems (information systems too) has the same effect as it does in biological systems: It makes them vulnerable to disease.

      But regardless, whatever transactional system you use, letting the provider take a percentage rather than a fixed cost is criminally stupid. Any high volume transaction system can process a single transaction for fractions of a penny; And that cost includes equipment maintenance, replacement, and the labor to carry out said tasks. You're paying 3% of your net income for the convenience of handing vendors a piece of plastic instead of a piece of paper... over the course of a year, that'll add up to around, what, $850 for a person making median income? Think of what an extra $850 a year could do for you. Then realize that it's not: It's working for someone else because you're a lazy ass. I'm sorry, but my "luddite-ness" gives me an $850 'convenience tax' credit at the end of the year; If I invest that, it'll pay for my retirement. So you know what, I'm thinking... "Cash: It gets me Everywhere I Want To Be". As opposed to Visa, which is everywhere I want to be, waiting, like a serpent, to stick its fangs in my wallet.

      --
      #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
  5. old lady factor by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 2

    We often forget about the old lady factor...

    Cash and checks are not going to go away any time soon. We're going to have to endure the rest of our lives with the old lady filling out the check in front of us. It's probably best to talk about half lives. It will take entire lifetimes for their use to stop and they will still be used. Or the government will phase them out and people will bitch.

    1. Re:old lady factor by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      wrong, most countries still use currency in addition to electronic money. in fact, most of the places I've been the U.S. dollar is preferred over local currency.

  6. namecoin & bitcoin. by Janek+Kozicki · · Score: 2

    So it's another article about bitcoin. Well I just wonder how this will turn out. So far it didn't die.

    And I wonder if namecoin will come useful after IPv6 will be used widely. Heh, will IPv6 be used? We hope so. How would you DNS such a giant IP space? Maybe namecoin will come more handy that usual means...

    --
    #
    #\ @ ? Colonize Mars
    #
  7. Re:Not the end of cash. by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 3, Funny

    You're not going to wave your cellphone over a stripper.

    You are if you're using four square to me mayor of that stripper ;-) The fun is finder her QR code.

  8. Barter System by ciderbrew · · Score: 3, Informative

    You know the Barter System is still a good way to do some business and non taxable :) Example - A friend did his plumbers website for a small bathroom installation.

    1. Re:Barter System by EvilBudMan · · Score: 2

      I dunno where you get your accounting advice but bartering IS taxable. The thing is you are also more likely than ever to have to pay taxes for such things.

      http://www.irs.gov/businesses/small/article/0,,id=187920,00.html

  9. And all transactions can be tracked... by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How cute! I mean, who *doesn't* want their every financial transaction tracked and analyzed by the government and a few thousand corporations trying to sell you something. And of course, technology is so reliable! I'd trust my every dollar to that bastion of security, the cell phone. I mean, who wouldn't!

    Excuse me, I have to go mop up some of that sarcasm that's been dripping all over the floor from somewhere.

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
  10. Buying anything online by tepples · · Score: 2

    A lot of people are starting to pay in cash again simply to get out from under the oppressive thumb of the credit card cartel.

    But you still need to get under the oppressive thumb of the debit card cartel if you ever want to buy anything online as of the present.

    Dave Ramsey

    There are a few places where I disagree with his advice. For one thing, he advises never to go into debt on a car but instead to buy a beater car. The trouble with a beater is that it is likely to require so much costly repair that going into debt for a certified pre-owned car becomes worth it. For another, if one never goes into debt, then how is one supposed to afford a place to live? And if a mortgage is the only exception, how is one supposed to qualify for a mortgage with no recent credit history?

  11. Oops...forgot the source by thisisfutile · · Score: 2

    http://www.getrichslowly.org/blog/2008/09/23/research-reveals-credit-cards-encourage-spending/ Good information. I like the part where McDonalds customers started spending dramatically more when they started accepting CC's. People weren't getting hungrier, they were using plastic instead of cash. ...OH, and you aren't getting ahead when you try to take advantage of companies with "same as cash" deals either (this one is easily researched...understand that when you come in WITH CASH, you get discounts right up front because you can now barter a better deal).

  12. Re:Legally required in the USA by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 2

    They are legally required to report to the DEA because the IRS doesn't communicate that information to government agencies with two exceptions:

    I am not following your logic here. What legitimate business does the DEA have in knowing who is spending large amounts of money?

    OTOH, who carries brief cases of cash with them?

    Someone who does not trust banks? That is a right that people have; I think it is silly, but why should the government demand that people participate in the banking system?

    For example if you are a travelling street performer, they might talk to you the first time, make a note and then you'll be fine.

    Except that it is not anyone's business, except perhaps the IRS, who might want the information to process an income tax payment. As noted above, the information is not being reported to the IRS, which is basically the only agency which has anything resembling a legitimate need for such information (actually, that is inaccurate; the IRS will receive a report if the amount is large enough, but the DEA reporting threshold is much lower).

    Some behavior are suspicious fro a reason, so finding more information about what's going on is reasonable.

    How dare you make a large cash transaction?! You are being reported to the paramilitary law enforcement/intelligence agency that makes and enforces drug laws!

    --
    Palm trees and 8
  13. Re:Legally required in the USA by h4rr4r · · Score: 3, Informative

    $10k is not a brief case of money. It is a couple small stacks of $100s.

  14. Why do they want to get rid of cash? by Colin+Smith · · Score: 4, Informative

    The nature of a bank you see is to make their credit seem as good as cash. Spend it here, spend it there, spend it everywhere.

    For example, you go to your bank and deposit $100. (It is legally a loan to the bank.)
    The bank takes your $100 and notes in your account $100 of credit....

    Did you see what just happened? The money supply increased. There is now $100 of cash which the bank can loan out and $100 worth of credit in your account to spend. The bank just created money out of thin air. Interestingly, not US dollars. This is just bank credit which represents dollars. By using credit to pay for things you are using a completely private money created by your bank.

    This is why banks are heavily regulated compared to for example paypal, they manipulate the money supply. It's why they are orders of magnitude more dangerous than paypal no matter how much you may dislike them.

    So. There are some regulations, banks have to retain a certain amount of money as reserve in case people ask for their money back. Around 10% in the US. In fact they could only loan out $90. Not what happens in reality mind you. They loan first and find reserves later in reality. You may note that this means they don't have your money in their vaults, they loaned it out. It also means that they can only ever pay back 10% of their depositors, in the event of a bank run 90% are going to lose out. It's why there are bank runs the first place, you have to be at the head of the queue to get any money back.

    Now, the more people depend on credit rather than cash, the lower the reserve ratio can be pushed, and the higher the leverage can be pushed. In Europe, the reserve ratios are discretionary and in reality between 30 (3%) and 50:1 (2%). If nobody ever used cash, in theory the reserve could be 0 and the reserve ratio could be infinite... i.e. banks could create as much money as they wanted, they could leverage up as far as the eye can see.

    This is the real reason for the constant push for credit cards, debit cards... Always trying to get rid of cash. Cash limits their ability to create money.

    You would like to own a money tree? All a banker needs is a book of accounts and a pen. All this talk of counterfeiting is complete rubbish, banks already create far more credit money than there is cash. In fact orders of magnitude more. The UK: 30 times more. EU 50 times more. Only a tiny percentage of our money is cash by now.

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    Deleted