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Why Smart People Are Stupid

nicholast writes "There's a good piece by Jonah Lehrer at the New Yorker about why smart people are often more likely to make cognitive errors than stupid people. The article examines research about the shortcuts that our brains take while answering questions, and explains why even the smartest people take these shortcuts too. Quoting: 'One provocative hypothesis is that the bias blind spot arises because of a mismatch between how we evaluate others and how we evaluate ourselves. When considering the irrational choices of a stranger, for instance, we are forced to rely on behavioral information; we see their biases from the outside, which allows us to glimpse their systematic thinking errors. However, when assessing our own bad choices, we tend to engage in elaborate introspection. We scrutinize our motivations and search for relevant reasons; we lament our mistakes to therapists and ruminate on the beliefs that led us astray. The problem with this introspective approach is that the driving forces behind biases—the root causes of our irrationality—are largely unconscious, which means they remain invisible to self-analysis and impermeable to intelligence. In fact, introspection can actually compound the error, blinding us to those primal processes responsible for many of our everyday failings.'"

337 comments

  1. Makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    The article examines research about the shortcuts that our brains take while answering questions, and explains why even the smartest people take these shortcuts too.

    Because without taking shortcuts those very smart people wouldn't be able to achieve their goal of getting first post.

    1. Re:Makes sense by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      Nice!

  2. Yeah... by fredprado · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes you commit more mistakes when you think more about things. Guess what, you also reach a lot more correct conclusions. The best way to avoid making mistakes is not doing anything at all. Same principle.

    1. Re:Yeah... by Hope+Thelps · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The best way to avoid making mistakes is not doing anything at all.

      Unfortunately it's not that easy. My biggest mistakes have consisted of not doing things.

      --
      To summarise the summary of the summary: people are a problem. ~ h2g2
    2. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Coincidentally, I just started reading the referenced book today. I don't believe the thesis is that 'smart people make an increased number of systemic errors' than others rather it's simply about the systematic errors that people make. That said, your assumption that any study on the matter of systematic errors and biases is in some context where the number of observations is not controlled, appears more than wrong. You seem to have automatically assumed much...

    3. Re:Yeah... by fredprado · · Score: 1

      Considering how impractical it is to know what people are thinking with any reasonable degree of certainty, especially along a large enough timespan to do any remotely scientific study on the subject I consider my assumption very reasonable. If you can prove me wrong I am all ears though.

    4. Re:Yeah... by fredprado · · Score: 2

      Certainly not the kind of mistakes referred in the article...

    5. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cognition doesn't aim to study what people are thinking but rather how the machine performs (often on well defined tasks). Not all will generalize to the real world...however, a consistent picture or model will emerge. What you're thinking is of little consequence. It's about the machine, its capabilities, and limitations.

      Assuming many here code, one could ask the question 'if there is something systematic about the types of bugs committed or even weaknesses in visually inspecting code (seeking out bugs in short snippets). Where do we fail and do experts learn heuristics to avoid such failures?

    6. Re:Yeah... by pitchpipe · · Score: 5, Funny

      The best way to avoid making mistakes is not doing anything at all.

      A guy at my work has a good safety slogan: Nobody moves, nobody gets hurt.

      --
      Look where all this talking got us, baby.
    7. Re:Yeah... by fredprado · · Score: 1

      The problem is: nobody really understands the machine yet. Which makes most of the "studies" in this area, including this one, just wild assumptions over statistics.

    8. Re:Yeah... by Culture20 · · Score: 5, Funny

      A guy at my work has a good safety slogan: Nobody moves, nobody gets hurt.

      You work in a bank or post office?

    9. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Much is known about the machine and performance. Certainly more than we knew last year and a tonne more than we knew a decade ago.

      Now, consider that the study of cognition is comprised of controlled lab studies, pretty much all core domains/tasks reproducible, and this is complemented by imaging (e.g., PET, fMRI, EEG/ERP, MEG, ....), post-mortems, animal behaviour/cognition complemented by in vivo electrophysiology, histology, optogenetics, neurology, simulations, .... converging evidence can be found in any number of related disciplines. Interesting, though very high level (social cognition) I've noticed that posters here like to spring the Dunning-Kruger Effect when it serves their purpose. Can't have it both ways. There is a wealth of information about the core elements of cognition, associated disciplines, and anatomy & physiology. - Can we build a brain, "no". Can people talk reasonably about the machine and it's performance, "yes".

      So, there is much consistent information available derived from all of the above... and more.

      Domains like this one when presented in isolation as if someone just wrote an opinion piece. The popular press does a disservice to many good ideas.

      Generally speaking, discussing cognitive performance shouldn't be treated as if you're being personally attacked.

    10. Re:Yeah... by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 1

      The best way to avoid making mistakes is not doing anything at all.

      Unfortunately it's not that easy. My biggest mistakes have consisted of not doing things.

      Even someone as smart as "the Bard" was deeply troubled by that. He left us "... to be, or not to be ...", didn't he ?

      --
      Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    11. Re:Yeah... by toadlife · · Score: 1

      You work in a bank or post office?

      I would guess banks..

      --
      I don't always use unix-like operating systems; but when I do, I prefer FreeBSD.
    12. Re:Yeah... by reboot246 · · Score: 5, Funny

      My guess would be that he works at the DMV.

    13. Re:Yeah... by Isaac+Remuant · · Score: 1

      Wait a couple of months and they start having postural problems, injuries due to muscle atrophication, lack of circulation, etc, etc.. :P

      --
      "Science can amuse and fascinate us all, but it is engineering that changes the world. " - Asimov.
    14. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But would have you have made those mistakes if you hadn't over thought?

    15. Re:Yeah... by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      It's like using a GPU for math. It's mostly accurate but fast as hell. Now I don't want my airliner making decisions based on fast/fuzzy math but I don't care if my pixel shader is 2-3 shades the wrong color.

    16. Re:Yeah... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      We don't understand the machine, but we are reverse engineering the functions by framing edge cases. You don't have to know how an integrated circuit works to be able to understand how a NAND gate works. We don't understand the machine, but we are getting better at mapping inputs to outputs.

    17. Re:Yeah... by fredprado · · Score: 2

      Sorry, but I have to disagree. Very little is known compared to what there is to know. "Much" is a bad word to use in any argument and specially here. By saying "much" you imply that what is known is not insignificant compared to what is yet to be known, which is not true, and that it is enough to reach conclusions like the one in this article, which I strongly disagree with.

      Knowing more than we knew yesterday is certainly the right path to understand something [b]eventually[/b]. Jumping to conclusions based in statistical data without having sufficient understanding of the mechanisms that generated this data is wild guessing and not science. That is the realm of today's Psychology and the motive why Academics in this field can't really agree to basically anything, and the same thing may be said about medical research to a lesser degree.

      Cosmologists don't go and make affirmations like: "The universe was probably created in the Big Bang.", not even: "There is evidence the universe was created in the Big Bang.". That is frivolous and not science at all. Responsible scientists in areas were ther eis too much unknown, like this just say: "There is a theory called the Big Bang that explains, to a degree, what we have observed. We can't really reach any conclusion at this point if this theory is indeed what happened, but we are investigating this and other possibilities.". The same should apply to medicine and even more to psychology.

      Oh, and generally speaking guesses about how other people feel about the subject should have absolute no place in any serious discussion. Nobody in this discussion is acting like he is "personally attacked", and even if someone was that is nobody else's business and it don't make his point more or less valid in the slightest. In this case we just are vehement in our arguments, which is perfectly fine. Anything else you may see is inside your head only, in the same way most of the things these researchers judge to be true probably are in theirs.

    18. Re:Yeah... by fredprado · · Score: 1

      Mapping I/O is a VERY bad way to understand the behavior of an electronic circuit with billions of gates, and the human brain is considerably more complex than that. Even if you don't care about the inner workings and only want to predict the outside behavior of this "circuit", considering tests do not take nanoseconds but at the very least weeks, you probably can't map any significant amount of a single human brain I/Os before the end of the universe. That is certainly not the way to go...

    19. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The best way to avoid making mistakes is not doing anything at all.

      That explains Congress.

    20. Re:Yeah... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      It's not a one to one mapping. The brain has zero gates.

    21. Re:Yeah... by malkavian · · Score: 1

      He's never heard of Deep Vein Thrombosis, I suspect.

    22. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes you commit more mistakes when you think more about things. Guess what, you also reach a lot more correct conclusions. The best way to avoid making mistakes is not doing anything at all. Same principle.

      Blame.

      The secret to success is knowing who to blame for your failures!

    23. Re:Yeah... by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      The best way to avoid making mistakes is not doing anything at all.

      You Sir should apply to a job in Civil Service...

    24. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even someone as smart as "the Bard" was deeply troubled by that. He left us "... to be, or not to be ...", didn't he ?

      which has clearly correct answer since the phrase is a tautology, hence the answer is 'true'

    25. Re:Yeah... by tinkerton · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Yes you commit more mistakes when you think more about things. Guess what, you also reach a lot more correct conclusions. The best way to avoid making mistakes is not doing anything at all. Same principle.

      There are concrete things that can be done though. There are also "smart people patterns" of systematic errors in thinking. For example, smart people are better at arguing their position, hence better at defending bad decisions , allowing them to persist in bad choices. Or, smart people can suffer more from analysis paralysis. It helps then to be aware of these weaknesses so you can compensate for them.

    26. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      .Gov, .Mil, .Com ... Leaders prove a lot more incorrect conclusions has the same value/repercussions as correct conclusions. Many people judge themselves and others by the exception not the common. Caesar, Napoleon, Hitler, Stalin, Chaney-Bush ... all thought they made great decisions, but history does prove them wrong; Except, where dogma-admirers of fools spin lies into truth.

      People/cultures have a very poor definition of intelligence. My definition has always been the "Forrest Gump" survivalist intelligence evaluation and test. I would help Forrest or Alice survive at the risk of my life, because Forrest and Alice would do the same for me. I am real good at survival in bad times and places, and Caesar, Napoleon, Hitler, Stalin, Chaney-Bush, Richard, Nancy ... would die before I would protect them in any way.

      IOW: Survival is the true test of intelligence, and no on can survive on their own for very long.

    27. Re:Yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or your office.

    28. Re:Yeah... by darkmeridian · · Score: 1

      I like to think of myself as a smart person (don't we all) and I realized that my biggest cognitive problem is my great ability to rationalize every decision I made. I can be wrong, but I can almost always make a great argument for it, convincing myself and most other people. So I try to think analytically and poke holes in my own decisions to make sure they get tested rigorously. By the way, I'm a lawyer.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    29. Re:Yeah... by tinkerton · · Score: 1

      You turned your flaws into a major asset then:)
      There are more patterns: the idea basher:
      There's the danger of becoming a smart person with a large ego that is tied to an ability to bash other people's ideas, which is mostly a negative achievement.
      Or the 'powerful car, bad driver' pattern where all kinds of skills are underdeveloped because one always managed to hang on without them.
      It sounds a bit like advice for gifted kids but I got it from old books about thinking in general by an Edward de Bono.

  3. hmmmm..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't get it.

  4. oh the irony by Eponymous+Hero · · Score: 4, Funny

    yo dawg

    i heard you like to overthink shit
    so i overthought the shit you're overthinking
    so you can overthink shit
    while i overthink you overthinking the shit you're overthinking

    i must be stupid (as in smart, not smart as in stupid) because i got those little word problems correct. the lily pad example was really easy.

    --
    insensitive clod overlords obligatory xkcd car analogy russian reversals whoosh pedant fanbois ftfy in 3...2...1..PROFIT
    1. Re:oh the irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The lily pad example just determines is you have a good understanding of exponential growth, which most people really don't. You'd be surprised how many people you can get to tell you that 10% annual population growth is reasonable.

    2. Re:oh the irony by Creepy · · Score: 1

      The lily pad one didn't even take a second thought for me - it was the first answer to pop into my head. Bat and ball I had to think about a second (I knew immediately 10 cents was wrong, and quickly figured it out, but it was the first thing to pop into my head, so my brain did jump to the shortcut first). I would agree that if you have a feel for exponential growth you won't think the "24 day" answer though - I didn't even consider it - I just thought "it was half yesterday then, so 47."

    3. Re:oh the irony by LordLucless · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The other answer to the lily pad question could also be "1 day", depending on which half of the lake you were looking at.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    4. Re:oh the irony by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      One grain of wheat for the first square, two for the second, four for the third eight for the forth and so on...
      Seems plenty reasonable until you realize that by the 64th square you've committed the global (at the time) wheat production of the world for a long time.

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    5. Re:oh the irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I suspect people familiar with programming will answer that correctly at a significantly higher rate. The fact that the growth was a factor of two would instantly put programmers into the correct frame of mind. I bet if it was some other factor programmers wouldn't do quite as well, but still considerably better than most other populations.

    6. Re:oh the irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One day I made a mistake thinking bout the answer and I thought about why I made that mistate. I failed to understand, incorporate, or disfavored the exponential nature of the problem. Now I recognized the exponential nature and then when the question was encountered I reread the first part verify its match to the question and then forumulated an answer.

      I should have been even more confused than the first time according to the article.

    7. Re:oh the irony by Sique · · Score: 1

      Not only the global wheat production at that time, the global wheat production of the last century would not suffice.

      You need 2^64 - 1 grains. There are about 100 grains in a cubic centimeter, and thus 100,000 grains in a liter, which in turn weighs about 800 g or 0,8 kg. The whole world production of wheat is somewhere at 650 million metric tons a year (let's use 640 million tons), so this makes 800 billion liters of grain, a.k.a. 80 quadrillion grains.

      A quadrillion is about 2^50, so we need the grain production of 2^14 / 80 years, which amounts to a mere 200 years of wheat :)

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    8. Re:oh the irony by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      ... And far away in some recess
      The Lord and the Devil are now playing chess,

    9. Re:oh the irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      take those periods and apostrophes out of your posts they just make it harder to type its easier to type things if you dont use any punctuation know what i mean you selfcentered lazy fuck

    10. Re:oh the irony by Eponymous+Hero · · Score: 1

      try reading with html turned on. i ended the meme and made my own comment after.

      --
      insensitive clod overlords obligatory xkcd car analogy russian reversals whoosh pedant fanbois ftfy in 3...2...1..PROFIT
    11. Re:oh the irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No.

    12. Re:oh the irony by chrismcb · · Score: 1

      The other answer to the lily pad question could also be "1 day", depending on which half of the lake you were looking at.

      How do you get "1 day" in any way shape or form? The question wasn't when is half the lake empty... It was if it takes 48 days to cover the entire lake, how long does it take to cover half of it... If it takes 1 day to cover half... What the hell is it doing the other 47 days?

    13. Re:oh the irony by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      It doubles every day. So after its covered the first half of the lake in 47 days, it takes 1 day to cover the second half.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
  5. Bull by wytcld · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The problem with this introspective approach is that the driving forces behind biases—the root causes of our irrationality—are largely unconscious, which means they remain invisible to self-analysis and impermeable to intelligence.

    The premise here is that "introspection" (a vague name for a wide range of practices) cannot reveal unconscious biases, bring them into consciousness, and enable self-analysis and intelligent adjustment of them. We are to accept this premise why? In my experience, it's quite possible to gain a conscious vantage on previously-unconscious biases, and subsequently lessen and/or compensate for them. If Lehrer can't do the same, maybe he isn't very good at introspection. No reason to condemn an activity others do well and productively just because you suck at it, Jonah.

    --
    "with their freedom lost all virtue lose" - Milton
    1. Re:Bull by Psychotria · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I believe it's possible as well, but it takes some work and also requires you to first realise that you do have unconscious biases. I'm not sure how that leads to the conclusion "which means they remain invisible to self-analysis and impermeable to intelligence" though.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Johari_window

    2. Re:Bull by crdotson · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I agree completely. I have caught myself a number of times acting in a way that I couldn't completely explain, and after thinking for a while -- sometimes a long while -- I have figured out what I was subconsciously doing. I think this is one of the primary benefits of therapy; a trained professional may be able to spot what's really bothering you when you don't know.

    3. Re:Bull by marcosdumay · · Score: 3, Informative

      That's not a premisse, that's the conclusion. We are to accept it because of the study.

      Now, all the disclaimers of a statistical study apply, so you'd better keep doing that introspection you are so good at.

    4. Re:Bull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "In my experience, it's quite possible to gain a conscious vantage on previously-unconscious biases,"

      I imagine this requires skill developed over decades or is something more innate (i.e. not everyone is equally gifted/capable of self analysis). Just look at all the stupidity in the world and I think you'd agree.

    5. Re:Bull by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      In poker, it is very important to be able to ask of yourself and honestly answer the question "am I playing great today?" yet the downfall of the issue is the "honestly" requirement. The greatest players, when things arent going well on a particular day, well they go home. The cost of failed introspection is too great.

      Humans are not rational beings, they are rationalizing beings. Just because a line of thinking is rationalized, that doesnt make that line of thought necessarily rational.

      A good common scenario for discussing this amongst friends is the effects of marijuana (as most people have smoked it and understand its effects to some degree) on game players, particularly board games like chess. Marijuana allows a greater focus ("depth") of thought, at the expense of completeness ("breadth".) The pot smoker when playing chess is thinking quite a few moves farther head than they normally would, but will more easily miss the painfully obvious.

      The effects of chemicals aside, it is quite clear that our brains make unconscious assumptions (often "learned" through simple repetition) that are not necessarily true. Given limited resources, it is evolutionarily advantageous to be design this way. We stop giving consideration to things that often, but not always, arent worth considering.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    6. Re:Bull by Artifakt · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The whole concept of the unconsious as an inaccessable region of thought that drives behavior without any chance for the consious to understand or correct it is basic Freudian psychology, and largely discredited. Minsky's 'Society of Mind" is probably a lot closer, and there's literally generations of psychologists, cognitive scientists, and people who do whatever that thing Daniel Dennett does that have had some impact post Minsky's book. There are lots of things the brain normally does subconsiously. They aren't one monolithic mass, some of them can be done quite well with consious introspective awareness, and some people have trained the skill of consious oversight far beyond others. If some people have learned to control the thermal regulation centers in the limbic system consiously, it's a safe bet a lot more can look at a normally subconsious bias and ask themselves penetrating questions about whether it is really accurate and whether it helps them reach objective conclusions. As you put it, it takes work, and you could say that what you phrased as "realise that you do have unconsious biases" is just a particular case of a person recognising that they need to do that work.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    7. Re:Bull by eulernet · · Score: 2

      In my experience, it's quite possible to gain a conscious vantage on previously-unconscious biases, and subsequently lessen and/or compensate for them.

      You just locate your own mind patterns, but you don't get a deep understanding on how it works internally.

      In my opinion, it's impossible to understand our unconscious mind with thoughts, because the unconscious mind is much faster than our thoughts, and it takes a lot of time to consciously analyse only a fraction of our decisions.
      The more you analyse your behaviours, and the more you tend to constrain yourself.

      From what I heard, zen masters are able to "observe" their unconscious mind during their actions, so it may be possible to access a deep understanding of ourselves with discipline.

    8. Re:Bull by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      Precisely. I've got a bad habit of blurting out (potentially) humorous things at contextually inappropriate times. It's compulsive. Quite often, the things I blurt out are just generally inappropriate, but I do it because I think it's funny. I've managed, over the years, to consciously curtail this trait by telling myself, "self, shut the fuck up". Since I've realized my proclivity, it's saved many an embarrassing, awkward moment from happening.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    9. Re:Bull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This is surely insurprising to reasonably intelligent people. Once you get passed the age of about 8, you realise that there are plenty of highly intelligent people who will come to the opposite conclusion to you based on identical information. The only conclusion from this is that we are basing our respective stances on unconscious attitudes and biases, since if we were both using some kind of perfect rationality we couldn't come to opposite conclusions. Isn't the understanding of this why dialectical processes were developed; to attempt to synthesise just the incontrovertibly correct parts of both sides of the argument?

    10. Re:Bull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can deal with some biases via introspection, but there's a reason anything of importance needs double blinded tests.

    11. Re:Bull by bky1701 · · Score: 1

      The opposite is definitely not true. Very few people can be convinced they are wrong, even when blatantly shown to be. Combine this with the fact that people often surround themselves with people who hold similar major biases (churchs, political groups, etc) and you have a situation where external factors actually reinforce false ideas. I tend to view biases as being only in the ability of the person holding them to change - introspection is the ONLY way to become more objective.

    12. Re:Bull by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The premise here is that "introspection" (a vague name for a wide range of practices) cannot reveal unconscious biases, bring them into consciousness, and enable self-analysis and intelligent adjustment of them. We are to accept this premise why? In my experience, it's quite possible to gain a conscious vantage on previously-unconscious biases, and subsequently lessen and/or compensate for them.

      It's worked for me. "Why did I do that?" followed by thinking about my choice until I noticed the bias lurking. Biases are everywhere. We are hard-coded to have biases. Pretty people get paid more than ugly ones. Tall more than short. It's not just the ones that are obvious that affect us. But yes, if you think about some things enough, you'll get to "I didn't like that choice, and I'm not sure why" and that will lead you to the "oh, it's the wart on her nose for why I didn't want to speak to her again."

    13. Re:Bull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So now you prefer the avoidance of embarassing situations or awkardness in social situations to being humorous.

      What a nice story.

      I for one, welcome our subconsious bias overlords.

    14. Re:Bull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      t's quite possible to gain a conscious vantage on previously-unconscious biases, and subsequently lessen and/or compensate for them.
      Yep, whenever my boss in work asked me "How long it will take..", normally it took me twice as long as was my guess. So then I started to multiply my answers by 2. Guess what? It still took me twice as long as my "corrected" answer was...
      So when my multiplication factor reached 2048 and I started to answer "Difficult to say, boss..." instead, he replies: " Make an educated guess, I usually multiply your answer by 3..."

    15. Re:Bull by radtea · · Score: 1

      That's not a premisse, that's the conclusion. We are to accept it because of the study.

      What study? There is no actual evidence in this particular article that suggests mindfulness is not achievable, and a great deal of evidence dating back thousands of years that it is (Buddhist psychology is a monument to pre-scientific people getting a remarkable amount of stuff right simply by paying close attention, despite their bizarre metaphysics.)

      That the primary investigator says his work has failed to influence his own behaviour simply means it sucks to be him. He says he's still bad at doing things like estimating the amount of time tasks take, whereas that is a highly learnable skill for people with the mental discipline to actually behave as if the results of their formal analysis are true. I've worked with a lot of people who say estimation is hard, and in every case they simply lack the discipline to believe the fairly easily generated results of formal analysis (keeping records of past tasks, re-estimating based on partial completion, etc.)

      So in fact this article is bundling two completely unrelated claims: that naive smart people are more prone to certain types of cognitive error, and that naive people will remain naive forever. But the authors have done no serious work to demonstrate the latter claim and ignored a vast body of work, ancient and modern, that disproves it.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    16. Re:Bull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good post.

      Here's two hints that shows this is already solved:
      1) Criticism is good for you
      2) Focus groups

      This sounds like people with low ability to better themselves.

      Live in peace and prosper ;)

    17. Re:Bull by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      No, I've learned how to engage in constructive mutual conversation. I'm much more social today than I was 5 years go, possibly as a result of reflection and conscious behavior modification. I used to be afraid I'd embarass myself, which led to awkwardness; not anymore.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    18. Re:Bull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can typically analyze my thoughts after I'm done something. While I can't change what I've already done, I can reflect on why I did something and hopefully change the outcome next time. I do this when I find that I get upset about something. Why was I mad? Was it really that important? Was I justly so? Was there another way to approach the situation? What led up to the situation? etc.. etc..

      I'm not perfect, never will be, but I attempt to better my self.

      What's really crazy is when I react to something before I consciously notice it. I've done complicated reactions like changing a gear and swerving, without knowing why until after I saw a car pulling into my lane. Scares me some times when my body moves on its own. Then after the situation has happened, a flood of thoughts leading up to all those reactions, hits my consciousness.

      Or like when I've attempted to hit the gas when changing lanes, only to have my foot, literally resist me. Several times I have had it happen where I tried to do something, but my body resisted me, only for me to have a flood of thoughts suddenly rush into my head and then I became conscious of a danger.

      I have learned that if my body is resisting me, I need to look around to find why. Some times I become self-aware of the issue before those thoughts bubble up, as they typically lag a few seconds.

  6. I feel stupider just reading the summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I'd trust a teenage bimbo to get hair, makeup and social pecking order right, but not with advance math.

    I trust a physics professor to get the math and science right but few of them have any idea of the bimbo's areas of expertise.

    It's just a question of different skill sets. Smart does not mean smart at everything.

    1. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Indeed. One of the things that I find is a problem with really bright people is overconfidence, a belief that because they are brilliant in one area, they therefore are brilliant in all areas. You find this sort of thing with engineers who think they are scientists, doctors who think they are scientists, or scientists who make fools of themselves by making elaborate and tragically awful claims in areas where they have no expertise.

      True polymaths are probably so rare that even the most seasoned and well-connected academic won't meet one.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by Deadstick · · Score: 2

      engineers who think they are scientists.

      Computer engineers who think they're engineers, for that matter...

    3. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      Or engineers who think "PE" or "EE" irrevocably imbibes them with capability in engineering - or, for that matter, competence in general.

      I'm a "computing engineer", not in that I think of myself as an engineer, but because I engineer things. In computing, your paper certificate means nothing: what matters is competence and engineering capability.

      That said: I know a lot of really shit "software engineers", ie people who couldn't properly design a toilet paper roll onto the dispenser.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    4. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      However, we have the related problem that most really stupid people are overconfident as well (cite the tea party, republicans, etc), and believe they are brilliant in all areas when they are brilliant in none. unconditional praise and esteem boosting separate from any actual achievement (as in gang psychology) adds to this significantly. And, since most really bright people have cultivated some form of critical thinking, they can often make better decisions in areas outside their expertise than the average person with no knowledge in that field. Id say the number of idiots who paint themselves into corners (or found bogus religions like mormonism) far outnumber the geniuses who do. for every shockley, there are a thousand limbaughs.

    5. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by jaymzter · · Score: 5, Funny

      I agree. It's like how economists are always so shocked that girls with the least principle always seem to draw the most interest.

      --
      If thou see a fair woman pay court to her, for thus thou wilt obtain love
    6. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or people who don't know what 'imbibe' means.

    7. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've found most mistakes happen from the scientists who think they are engineers, not the other way around.

    8. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That said: I know a lot of really shit "software engineers", ie people who couldn't properly design a toilet paper roll onto the dispenser.

      I literally just said as much the other day on slashdot. Of course, they were quick to tell me I was completely wrong and that they'd never seen any such thing. Software engineers are a bit unique because so many are more or less forced into the field because they are so socially innept and basically dumb, in spite of being highly logical. As a result, these guys tend to grow massive egos (usually because they know more than the average layman), become majorly ego driven dicks, and all too frequently completely wrong in almost every position they take. Many feel no need to hone their craft because, after all, they are perfect and a self described genius. This is in fact, why I consider many of my peers to be advanced amatures. Meaning, rather than continue their education and master their craft, they stroke their ego and call it a day.

      All of which is why hardware engineers frequently hate working with us software engineers. And frankly, I don't blame them. All too often I hate working with my peers because bluntly, they are all too frequently very, very dumb and logically illogical. Made worse is the fact their ego all too frequently prevents them from dealing with anything objectively.

      Example I COMMONLY see:
      "MY idea is awesome."
      "But is has the following problems. Its against best practices as described in countless books. It can't meet x-requirement."
      "You and your fucking books are wrong. We need to change the requirements."
      "I've done what you want to do before when I was younger. It didn't work [well]. It won't work well. It will require a re-write after you finished wasting all that time on it."
      "You don't have the experience I have. I know how to make it work."
      "What if we do it this way. Its proven to work and is likely less time. Plus it fits well with many existing design patterns. We can likely leverage existing libraries."
      "You don't have the experience I have. I know how to make it work."

      And if you think I'm exagurating, you have no fucking clue just how bad it gets with many of these self proclaimed genius software engineers. They are a dime a dozen.

      At this point in my life, I've heard, "You were right, I was wrong..." so many fucking times, hearing it brings anger, not joy or any sense of self satisfaction. And then immediately after these idiots say such a thing, they'll then go to the mat on their next stupid ego-trip. Which frequently, can be the same fucking day. Sorry, but the majority of software engineers are very logical stupid people with selfish, massive and completely undeserved egos.

      Anyone who suggests there is anything but a glutton of stupid software engineers is likely one of those very stupid software engineers, or are exceptionally lucky. And from my own experience, the exceptionally lucky are exceptionally rare.

    9. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also want to add...

      I recently had a discussion with a fellow software engineer. He's no where near as bad as some I've worked with, but it wonderfully illustrates just how illogically logical many of these people can be.

      "We should make these improvements. The interface would be easier to use and more friendly to lessor experienced developers."
      "No, making it easier makes it harder to use."
      "Um. The default interface remains the same. Its equally easy to use and provides more power. Its impossible to say its harder to use. That's not true at all. It also removes the need to call some extra functions after instantiation, thusly making it easier to use and more intuative. It also makes sure the instance is always safe to use after instantiation. That's not the case with the current implementation."
      "Project-x does it this way. That's how I do it."
      "Project-x was done by inexperienced developers."
      "Well company-y also does some of these things."
      "Company-y does some of these things because they have a massive code base and have uptime requirements which don't apply to us. Basically their requirements are specific to their very specific needs. Their requirements are consideration for maybe 1% of the entire computer using universe."
      "You don't know what you're talking about."
      "Even the main developers for Company-y agree with me. You want me to show you a quote?"
      "You don't know what you're talking about."
      "So doing things incorrectly is justification to continue to do things incorrectly?"
      He never answered but clearly his answer was, "yes."
      Also want to stress, that's very much the abbreviated discussion. It actually went into citing references which proved he was talking out of his ass. That still didn't deter him.

      He basically no longer talks to me. Basically he's supper pissed at me in spite of the fact I was polite and correct. And that's another facet of the equation. Far too many of these guys have child-like mentality. Rather than admitting he was wrong, and/or continuing with his self delusion and moving on, his solution is to simply remove me from his reality as my presence serves as a reminder just how deluded he really is.

      Again, these illogically logical really stupid software engineers are a dime a dozen.

    10. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by manaway · · Score: 1

      Indeed. One of the things that I find is a problem with really bright people is overconfidence, a belief that because they are brilliant in one area, they therefore are brilliant in all areas.

      There is some research on this problem, Kruger and Dunning's Unskilled and Unaware of It:

      People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in many social and intellectual domains. The authors suggest that this overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it. Across 4 studies, the authors found that participants scoring in the bottom quartile on tests of humor, grammar, and logic grossly overestimated their test performance and ability. Although their test scores put them in the 12th percentile, they estimated themselves to be in the 62nd. Several analyses linked this miscalibration to deficits in metacognitive skill, or the capacity to distinguish accuracy from error. Paradoxically, improving the skills of participants, and thus increasing their metacognitive competence, helped them recognize the limitations of their abilities.

      As to polymath's frequency though...

      True polymaths are probably so rare that even the most seasoned and well-connected academic won't meet one.

      Since I know several personally, and know of more, I suspect that well-connected academics have met way more than one--even though polymaths don't necessarily go into traditional academia. Knowing their rarity is intriguing though, if you have some cites.

    11. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by Translation+Error · · Score: 1

      I don't think such confidence is unwarranted. Sure, you can't perform surgery simply because you are a genius with computers and have a well-organized mind, but with sufficient focus and attention to detail, you really can be confident in doing most things well and correctly.

      For example, my posts on Slashdot always look perfectly fine even though I never use the Purview button.

      --
      When someone says, "Any fool can see ..." they're usually exactly right.
    12. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      Projecting a bit, aren't you?

      imbibe [im-bahyb] Show IPA verb, imbibed, imbibing.
      verb (used with object)
      1.
      to consume (liquids) by drinking; drink: He imbibed great quantities of iced tea.
      2.
      to absorb or soak up, as water, light, or heat: Plants imbibe moisture from the soil.
      3.
      to take or receive into the mind, as knowledge, ideas, or the like: to imbibe a sermon; to imbibe beautiful scenery.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    13. Re:I feel stupider just reading the summary by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      At this point in my life, I've heard, "You were right, I was wrong..." so many fucking times, hearing it brings anger, not joy or any sense of self satisfaction.

      I'm right there with you, sitting in the front seat. Sadly, I've not been around long enough in the field (in my case, systems administration in more of an engineering/network triage environment for multiple clients, if that makes sense) that I should really have to see this shit. People don't take self improvement seriously, or realize how important it is in information technologies.

      So yeah, I can understand why someone might have issue with someone calling themselves a "software engineer" or "systems engineer" - because there are very few who are anything more than experienced hacks. (Someone who does the wrong thing for a long time is only good at doing the wrong thing efficiently.)

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
  7. SAT socres? by whoever57 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Although we assume that intelligence is a buffer against biasâ"thatâ(TM)s why those with higher S.A.T. scores think they are less prone to these universal thinking mistakesâ"it can actually be a subtle curse.

    Or perhaps high SAT scores do not correlate well with intelligence, but rather correlate with being able to answer questions quickly through the use of mental shortcuts or the ability to recall what was learned through rote learning?

    --
    The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    1. Re:SAT socres? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Or perhaps high SAT scores do not correlate well with intelligence,

      SAT scores strongly correlate with life time earnings, probability of going to prison, life expectancy, divorce rate, and many, many other things. Out of political correctness, you may not want to call it "intelligence", but you cannot deny it is measuring something much more significant than an ability to take tests.

    2. Re:SAT socres? by Fjandr · · Score: 1

      The above, coupled with the ability to consciously recognize and avoid the bias traps created by those who write the tests (or unconsciously avoiding them by coming from a culture without the bias those traps are designed to exploit in the first place).

    3. Re:SAT socres? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      SAT scores strongly correlate with...

      That's become a self-fulfiling prophecy in the US. Hig SAT scores are required (often) to get to the next stages of education, and education correlates with success, so it makes high SAT scores correlate with success.

      That said, people will make the same mistake with SAT scores and IQ scores. If you do very well at either then you are intelligent. Failing to do well at either doesn't imply a lack of intelligence.

      The end result is that of course IQ ans SAT scores correlate with intelligence. Simplifying a great deal, a high score implies inelligence. Low score gives no imformation so implies a 50% chance of intelligence. Given two people and no other information except SAT scores, the one with the higher SAT score is more likely to be intelligent.

      But if you're making decisions based purely on SAT scores, then you're not being intelligent :)

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    4. Re:SAT socres? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [citation required]

    5. Re:SAT socres? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what you're saying is that tests which ultimately determine your ability to get a job strongly correlate with your ability to get a job.

      Intelligence testing is so absurdly flawed that I wonder whether it's popular only because it's known to select a particularly pliable sort of person rather than a smart one. Oddly enough, in high school I did really well on IQ and aptitude tests, but since doing a couple of mathematics degrees I score lower - I think because I always used to see one obvious answer but now I see lots of complex ones.

    6. Re:SAT socres? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Interesting

      SAT scores strongly correlate with...

      That's become a self-fulfiling prophecy in the US. Hig SAT scores are required (often) to get to the next stages of education, and education correlates with success, so it makes high SAT scores correlate with success.

      But even if you account for that, by only comparing people of similar education levels, people with high SAT scores do better on a wide variety of metrics. In fact, someone's SAT score is a better predictor of their success than their educational level. That is not what you would expect if a high SAT score was just a "door-opener".

    7. Re:SAT socres? by Creepy · · Score: 1

      When I took SAT, roughly 70% of the test was reading comprehension, something I do poorly on when timed, so my SAT score were really bad - I don't think I even finished half the test and I felt like a moron when I got my scores back, especially when my best friend aced it. My ACT score, on the other hand, which had less time pressure and less reading comprehension was 28/33 (and again I stumbled on fast reading comprehension, but that was 10% of the test) and that was the same score my friend got (keep in mind neither of us studied for either one like many people do today). When I got my IQ tested (untimed) later that year due to ADHD type of symptoms (which ended up being caused by asthma medication theophylline, where I needed the equivalent of 80 pots of tea a day), I got a 138 - top 1% of the population. I didn't even bother retaking my SAT, as my ACT score and GPA (3.8 average taking all enriched/accelerated learning classes) got me in everywhere I applied. Sure I probably would have failed where another friend got in (MIT with his perfect SAT and ACT score and 4.0/4.0 GPA), but nobody I've ever met was as smart as that guy, except maybe one of my college roommates, and he had an eidetic memory (and whatever your belief on that, I certainly believe it - I asked him to read my textbook in a class he wasn't in and he repeated it back to me verbatim studying each page no more than 2 seconds).

    8. Re:SAT socres? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Doubt it. Not only are you missing citations, but it is easily possible to get through much of the SAT with rote memorization alone.

      That is what our education system is about. Teaching to the test.

    9. Re:SAT socres? by moderatorrater · · Score: 1

      a high score implies inelligence. Low score gives no imformation so implies a 50% chance of intelligence

      That logic doesn't work. Since the group of people scoring low on the SAT includes all unintelligent people in the population of those who took the test but only includes the intelligent people who did poorly, the likelihood of being intelligent is lower in that group than in the population as a whole. So it doesn't give no information, it just gives less accurate information.

      But if you're making decisions based purely on SAT scores, then you're not being intelligent :)

      Two points: you just said you can decide on someone being intelligent based purely on their SAT scores, and nobody in their right mind has said that they should be the only measure.

    10. Re:SAT socres? by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      I know people who tested close to perfect on both the SAT and their GMAT. They're complete fucking idiots: generally incompetent at life, but also not that mentally quick or capable. Some might describe them as "blond", regardless of gender or hair color.

      I'd argue that a high SAT (or GMAT, or ACT) score doesn't correlate to intelligence any higher than a low one does. It might be more correlative, if only due to a self-selection bias. From what I've seen, at least.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    11. Re:SAT socres? by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      That's because education (field and level of degree) has largely been meaningless for the past 15+ years. You've got a 1600 on your SAT but have a double BA in Humanities studies and foreign affairs? You're still a fucking idiot - but people with a 1600 on their SATs don't go into those fields, normally, because they're too highly logical.

      So you've got people with 'medium' SAT scores going to school and getting advanced degrees in useless fields, but the people with the best scores end up doing something "smart" - ie, something which will net them a lot of money, provide them stability, and/or fulfill their interests. These are fields like: accounting, business, mathematics/science, law, medicine, and/or sales (sadly, though not all that often, obviously).

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    12. Re:SAT socres? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the people with highest scores tend to have supportive families so maybe the SAT is testing the strength of your family social network and obviously people with a strong family network will generally have an easier time finding employment and starting businesses.

      Obviously you must have decent SAT scores and are defending them because you have an interest in them being respected. This is EXACTLY the kind of bias the article is talking about!

    13. Re:SAT socres? by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The end result is that of course IQ ans SAT scores correlate with intelligence.

      You are confusing two separate tests that aren't related. IQ correlates with Intelligence by definition. SAT correlates for other reasons.

    14. Re:SAT socres? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      whoever57 sounds like someone who didn't score particularly high on the SAT.

    15. Re:SAT socres? by Joey+Vegetables · · Score: 1

      That describes Aspies like me to a very large degree. I can effortlessly ace standardized tests, but have severe issues with short-term memory, interpersonal skills, and many things that others would consider basic common sense. People who know me only casually think I am very smart, but once they know me better they know I am also a dumbass.

      I manage to live a semi-normal life now, but only because of 45 years of experience of understanding and managing my condition, and lots of help from my wife who's also an Aspie but to a much lesser degree than myself. Here are some things that help:

          * Recording all details, including some others would memorize, because I know otherwise I'd forget them. I use an ancient Palm for this.

          * A fair amount of self-imposed structure and order around my time, finances, and to-do lists

          * Doing work for which Aspies are generally well suited, namely software development

          * Learning to anticipate other people's reactions so I can predict what they are likely to be and interpret their nonverbal cues, which is more difficult for Aspies, a little more accurately

          * Acknowledging my limitations and hiring people to do things I can't do well

    16. Re:SAT socres? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      That logic doesn't work. Since the group of people scoring low on the SAT includes all unintelligent people in the population of those who took the test but only includes the intelligent people who did poorly, the likelihood of being intelligent is lower in that group than in the population as a whole. So it doesn't give no information, it just gives less accurate information.

      Consider a coin flip, heads means high SAT score, tails means low SAT score.

      If you het a high score, then you record the number 1 for intelligence. Otherwise you flip a coin and record 1 for heads and 0 for tails.

      Getting a low SAT score leaves you unable to predit whether the result will be 1 or 0 (intelligent or not). Strictly, it provides no information because the entropy of the final score has its highest possible value.

      The high score does give information because the intelligence score has no entropy.

      So, a low score gives no information, but a high score does. In the absence of any other information, it is still worth picking the high scorers because that is the only way to get information about the candidates. On average they will be more intelligent.

      Two points: you just said you can decide on someone being intelligent based purely on their SAT scores,

      Specifically, I said you can tell if someone is intelligent, but not if they are not intelligent.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    17. Re:SAT socres? by moderatorrater · · Score: 1
      Your original quote:

      Simplifying a great deal, a high score implies inelligence. Low score gives no imformation so implies a 50% chance of intelligence.

      By your analogy, 75% of the people who take the SAT are intelligent, but only 50% of the people who get a low score are intelligent. So getting a low score does end up giving you information - that they're half as likely to be intelligent. Put another way, of the population of intelligent people, only 1/3 get a low SAT score. You can't say definitively whether a person with a low score is intelligent or not, but saying that it gives you no information is wrong.

    18. Re:SAT socres? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I got a 1600 on my SAT, got a BA in English and an MA in Education, and teach high school. Am I an idiot, or am I fulfilling my interests?

  8. This has to be the dumbest headline ever on /. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Certainly the most attention-grabbing.

    1. Some dumb person makes up retarded hypothesis about how being more self-aware would actually mean being less self-aware which obviously is wrong, since being less self-aware does *not* mean the unconscious things become *more* visible, now do they?
    2. Some other dumb person misunderstands things with a lot of wishful thinking to be able to accept himself, and forms a typical statement-in-question-form title of what he wishes to be true.
    3. ...
    4. HEADLINE!
    5. *fapfapfap* We are actually better than those fucking smart people! *fapfapfap* We can finally love ourselves again! *fapfapfap* ... aand now, cue the dumb people defending what they wish to be true and hating me for making them aware that they consider themselves to be dumb people. ^^

  9. My theory by Jamu · · Score: 5, Insightful

    My theory is that smart people are mostly stupid, and that stupid people are fully stupid.

    --
    Who ordered that?
    1. Re:My theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pretty much. There are two types of people in the world: those of us who realize how stupid we are (aka smart people) and take it into account, and those who don't.

    2. Re:My theory by DaneM · · Score: 1

      My theory is that smart people are mostly stupid, and that stupid people are fully stupid.

      LOL...quite true, and I wish more of us "smart people" (as well as the stupid ones, of course) would realize it!

      Someone mod-up parent, please! :-)

    3. Re:My theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I know that I'm stupid, does that me me smart?

    4. Re:My theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My theory is that smart people are mostly stupid, and that stupid people are fully stupid.

      Quite. Smart people fake the gender wage gap and stupid people accept it.

    5. Re:My theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not if it happens all the time.

    6. Re:My theory by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      From your post? Obviously 8*)

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  10. Best example: Scott Adams by ackthpt · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Scott had trouble with a pager, it wouldn't work and wouldn't work. He took out the battery, put it back in, tried a different one and still no success. Finally took the pager to a service center where the tech looked at it for about 10 seconds, took out the battery, flipped it around and put it back in - so the pager worked.

    It's a question of competency at some things does not translate into a competency at all things.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    1. Re:Best example: Scott Adams by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ring, ring... "my laptop isnt working! it won't start!"

      walks down to PhD's office

      me - flips it over to press the button to check battery level.

      battery = dead

      plug it in to the wall = fixed

    2. Re:Best example: Scott Adams by Relayman · · Score: 1

      And some people are more competent at taking the SAT test than others are. Just because you have higher SAT scores doesn't make you more intelligent to me.

      --
      If I used a sig over again, would anyone notice?
    3. Re:Best example: Scott Adams by jtownatpunk.net · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of a time many years ago when I had a run of people come to me with amazingly dumb problems. "I can't log into my computer" translated to "Press the power button." "My printer isn't working" = "Turn it on." "My printer isn't working" = "Plug it in then turn it on." "My printer isn't working" = "Put paper in it." (Lots of printer problems.)

      This went on for a couple weeks, word got around, and good laughs were had all around. One day a guy came to me with, "I swear it should be working. It's plugged in and it's turned on but it's totally dead. I've got an actual, genuine problem for ya." "Okay, I'll be over in a couple minutes." He met me in the hall saying, "Nevermind. It's working now. Nothing to see here. No need to look at it." Eventually, he told me the power strip wasn't plugged in.

    4. Re:Best example: Scott Adams by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must have gotten a low SAT score.

      Joking aside, you are totally correct. Take a look at school in general. You can get good grades just by showing up. Intelligence has almost nothing to do with it.

    5. Re:Best example: Scott Adams by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Idiots like you always claim so.

  11. Case in point. by dmomo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Try reading that article. It's full of smart sounding long-winded sentences, which all basically translate to: "Dude, you're overthinking it".

    Then, the article ronically ends with: "We spin eloquent stories, but these stories miss the point. The more we attempt to know ourselves, the less we actually understand."

    Dude...

    1. Re:Case in point. by dmomo · · Score: 1

      Ronically, I missed an eye.

    2. Re:Case in point. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's like a joke inside of a joke.

      See, you make better stuff when you don't think about it.

  12. so... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So, average people have inherent cognitive faults.

    But smart people merely make cognitive errors as a result of their short-cutting brilliance.

    IOW, the difference between an average and a smart person is that the latter bullshits more.

  13. Smartest dumb people I know by bobjr94 · · Score: 2

    My wife works at a school and she says many of the teachers have masters degrees and some can not fill out a simple time sheet. Things like travel requests or purchase orders are even more likely to be completely wrong. She calls them the smartest dumb people I know.

    1. Re:Smartest dumb people I know by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah. Clerks. Paper pushers. They deal with the forms day in and day out and they know how to fill them out, so it's obvious. Unfortunately, they never seem to provide the instructions with the forms and then ridicule people when they turn in paper work (forms) with mistakes in them. So people are disinclined to go and ask for help since all they get is sarcasm. Lather rinse repeat.

      Who has a real job and hates dealing with HR?

      Who works in HR and hates dealing with the employees of the company?

      Whose job do you think it is to get the paper work done properly? (If your answer isn't, "both of ours," then you're also at fault. Teamwork would have the paper work filled out correctly the first time and both parties much happier.

      Programmers often make similar mistakes. They know the program so well, they're blind to what isn't obvious anymore. And they call it common sense.

      captcha: disobey - as in 'I fucking hate dealing with HR's procedures, so I'm going to disobey them.'

    2. Re:Smartest dumb people I know by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps this can be explained by apathy rather than intelligence? I'm pretty bad at things I don't even try to do.

    3. Re:Smartest dumb people I know by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the forms were designed for the benefit of data entry clerks and financial personnel and are something of a usability horror (something that I've noticed with online systems for these sorts of things, too).

      In addition, items such as travel requests or PO's can often be filled out very infrequently by lower-level personnel, making them always unfamiliar with the damn things. Plus, filling them out wrong means you can usually get someone who works with them all the time to deal with the mistakes for you - smart behavior if I do say so myself.

      --
      That is all.
  14. I only know that I know nothing by Hentes · · Score: 1

    Excellence in anything, including smarts can easily boost one's ego to the point where it cloudstheir judgement.

  15. The article is written by a fucktard. by Gordonjcp · · Score: 5, Funny

    Hereâ(TM)s a simple arithmetic question: A bat and ball cost a dollar and ten cents. The bat costs a dollar more than the ball. How much does the ball cost?

    The vast majority of people respond quickly and confidently, insisting the ball costs ten cents. This answer is both obvious and wrong. (The correct answer is five cents for the ball and a dollar and five cents for the bat.)

    Why on earth would you ever think that it was 10 cents for the ball and a dollar for the bat? You'd have to be stupid, or something.

    In a lake, there is a patch of lily pads. Every day, the patch doubles in size. If it takes 48 days for the patch to cover the entire lake, how long would it take for the patch to cover half of the lake?

    Your first response is probably to take a shortcut, and to divide the final answer by half. That leads you to twenty-four days. But thatâ(TM)s wrong. The correct solution is forty-seven days.

    What the fuck? Do I need to to take a dope test or something? Why the hell would you think I'd "take a shortcut" and divide the answer by two? Fuck's sake, the clue is right there! IT DOUBLES IN SIZE EVERY DAY! So it's twice as big today as it was yesterday, so if it fills the lake in 48 days it half-fills it in 47 days. Jeez, how the hell can you even think people would say 24 days? Is there something wrong with your brain?

    Also, what the hell kind of lilies grow in your lake, that they crowd the whole damn thing out in a month and a half? Don't you ever rake them back and dredge it? Your fish are going to suffer from lack of light and oxygen with all that crap in there.

    Ghod pop-psychologists make my piss boil.

    1. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      s/to to/you to/

      This article made me so irritable I started mistyping things and didn't even preview.

    2. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The studies indicate that a significant number of participants will in fact score well, suggesting that they are actively engaged in the problem solving. What's interesting is that a large percentage of seeming bright individuals fail on any number of these questions. This is interesting because these people permeate society. With such a large percentage failing it allowed those study to problem to ask whether the failures were systematic (likely revealing something about how we solve problems).

      That said, why are you're so angry? Why didn't you ask whether the article reflected the point of the original research? Despite thousands of similar summaries posted on Slashdot over the years I marvel at how often heated and dismissive respondents are when it serves a pre-existing bias. Here's a hint, no matter the topic by and large, the popular press will get it wrong. The appropriate response is to not respond until you've read something of the source material.

    3. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by serviscope_minor · · Score: 5, Funny

      Also, what the hell kind of lilies grow in your lake, that they crowd the whole damn thing out in a month and a half? Don't you ever rake them back and dredge it?

      If they grow that fast, dredging is the least of your worries. In another 48 days, they'll have covered the entire earth. Oh, and if you leave even a single lily cell behind, they'll have covered the earth AGAIN in another 90 days or so. You're basically doomed.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    4. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Relayman · · Score: 1

      Relax. You're just saying the emperor has no clothes and I agree with you. I got both examples right and I did it quickly, too. But I'm especially good at trick questions (If a fence is 102 feet long and has a post every six feet, how many posts are in the fence?). This serves me well when programming.

      --
      If I used a sig over again, would anyone notice?
    5. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Georules · · Score: 1

      Came here to post similar. The lake question I imagined a curve doubling every point (y=2^x), so when asked for half, I knew it must be very close to the last day. Then I realized, as you say, the answer was right there, the previous day. I turned to my wife, wondering if this was a hard question or if I did it wrong, and she instinctively answered 47. Sure, I may have "over-thought the problem" but I didn't get it wrong.

      I understand why many people might divide by half, but really don't believe other intelligent people I would ask would say 24. The article doesn't actually quote any statistics it found from any study, just makes the implied assertion that smart people get it wrong more often than you'd think. Really solid reporting.

    6. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by mevets · · Score: 1

      Apparently, you are stupid. Sorry, research doesnâ(TM)t lie.

    7. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why on earth would you ever think that it was 10 cents for the ball and a dollar for the bat? You'd have to be stupid, or something.

      What the fuck? Do I need to to take a dope test or something? Why the hell would you think I'd "take a shortcut" and divide the answer by two? Fuck's sake, the clue is right there! IT DOUBLES IN SIZE EVERY DAY! So it's twice as big today as it was yesterday, so if it fills the lake in 48 days it half-fills it in 47 days. Jeez, how the hell can you even think people would say 24 days? Is there something wrong with your brain?

      Also, what the hell kind of lilies grow in your lake, that they crowd the whole damn thing out in a month and a half? Don't you ever rake them back and dredge it? Your fish are going to suffer from lack of light and oxygen with all that crap in there.

      Ghod pop-psychologists make my piss boil.

      Because people do that all the time?
      "Dollar" -> First instinct says "Oh, the bat costs a dollar, so the rest is the ball" -> "Ten cents for the ball, my good sir." *monocle*
      "Half" -> First instinct says "Divide by two!" -> "A fortnight and ten days, if you would."

      Those answers are wrong, but if you didn't know that, you'd have made the mistakes as well.

    8. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. The article misses the point entirely (talk about "cognitive blind spot"). The lilies don't get to grow for 47 days. After being noticed by the scientist, it gets nuked from orbit on the 46th, day when no slowdown in growth rate is discovered after it covers 1/4 of the pond so as to avoid this doomsday scenario.

      Of course, the nuke inadvertently feeds the lilies, massively increasing their growth rate. The lilies cover the entire planet on the 47th day.

    9. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by KittenJuicer · · Score: 1

      The answers actually can be a range of things ... you can get paid to take the ball (cost is negative), or you can have money left over. The question is actually ambiguous, and would only give the answer claimed if one made some primitive assumptions about the nature of money or whatnot. Besides, are they calculating equivalent cost of the wage you would be paid for the time it took you to buy it, are all amounts in US dollars or are they using cents from a different currency -- is inflation included (granted it would probably be minute). What definition of 'cost' are they using? What if the value of the bat deprecates according to some tax code can you include the deprecation on your taxes, and count the deprecation discount toward the original 'cost'? Does 'cost' include travel allowance for vehicle repair if you drove to the place where you would buy it, the 'cost' of the food you ate and the medical care you received to be functional enough to walk from your car (midwife, etc...). The simple riddle question brings up a whole lot more questions, nevermind the implication if they PAY you $5 to take the ball. And what if you have a 10% coupon for one item but not both and everything in the store is marked down 25% from the sticker price!?

    10. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is the answer 17?

      Or am I just clueless; I can't find a trick?

    11. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Why on earth would you ever think that it was 10 cents for the ball and a dollar for the bat? You'd have to be stupid, or something.

      I did that (yeah, call me stupid, like I care, it gets me women). Then I stopped and thought there must be something missing. The problem is actually divided into two parts:

      ball + bat = 1.10, and bat + 1.00 = ball. If you're lazy like me (and no, that doesn't get me women. Yes, that's where I put the blame for not getting women), then you only look at the first half, ball + bat = 1.10. Find a solution that fits the first half, and your sick of stupid word problems anyway. Turn in your answer and go home (and cry about women).

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    12. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by captjc · · Score: 1

      I would guess 18, since you probably have a post to start.

        i.e. a 6 ft fence would have 2 posts (one at the beginning of the fence, and one at the end)

      ||######||

      --
      Slow Down Cowboy! It's been 1 hour, 47 minutes since you last successfully posted a comment
    13. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by StuartHankins · · Score: 1

      18. Unless you want one end flapping in the breeze... Or unless it's arranged in a circle... not enough info to tell which applies.

    14. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those answers are wrong, but if you didn't know that, you'd have made the mistakes as well.

      You assume that everyone gets them wrong, but even the study itself says otherwise. Most people might get them wrong, but "most" is not "everyone."

    15. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your example is worthless. The other two examples are designed to trigger a common and likely innate mental heuristic. You can read about them in almost any book concerning the psychology of rationality. If you're not aware of that heuristic, and there's no other trigger to switch your brain into a different, more rigorously analytic frame of mind, you are likely to apply the heuristic and get the answer wrong before you can blink. That's why they're "trick" questions. The "trick" is that they're illustrating for you an extremely cool aspect of the way humans think. When the person gets the answer wrong--as most invariably will, especially when their guard is down--they then realize that they never really thought about it; the answer popped into their head instantaneously. They didn't get the math wrong because they never consciously applied math at all to arrive at the answer. (People who get it right will realize that they resisted the urge to adopt the answer which popped into their head, and proceeded to work through the problem analytically.)

      Your example doesn't trigger such a common, innate heuristic. Rather, it just triggers a common mistake in applied mathematics, which is to forget about the 0th post. You're merely illustrating that people exhibit a poor comprehension of a learned, artificial skill, especially when you put them on the spot.

    16. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Kal+Zekdor · · Score: 1

      Seriously... Have these people never taken an Algebra class?

      Bat + Ball = $1.10
      Bat = Ball + $1.00

      Ball + $1.00 + Ball = $1.10
      2*Ball + $1.00 = $1.10
      2*Ball = $0.10

      Ball = $0.05
      Bat = $0.05 + $1.00 = $1.05

    17. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I got it wrong, but I have a social life.

      You got it right, but you have Asperger's Syndrome, which causes you to lose your shit when others aren't able to do the same things as you, or make examples that don't conform to your level of pedantic exactitude.

      Meh, I know who I'd rather be.

    18. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      But I'm especially good at trick questions (If a fence is 102 feet long and has a post every six feet, how many posts are in the fence?).

      I think part of the problem is that "smart" in the US is defined as those in the 50th percentile to the 85% percentile. Those above that aren't measured anymore. They are outside the system and either have to pretend to be stupider, or they don't count.

      There are 18 posts. It isn't a "trick" question. It's a regular question where the skill of visualizing the answer matters. If you visualized "if a fence is 6 feet long and has a post every 6 feet, how many posts does it have" and think of a fence with one post in the middle, then you are both correct and stupid. the 102 ft fence could be the same. 3 feet of unsupported fence on both sides, and 17 posts in the middle is correct, if stupid. One would expect to start with a post, and have one every 6 feet thereafter. That's not a trick. It's just self-filtering. Like the bat/ball one, "$0.10 pops out as the obvious answer, but also is as clearly wrong as a 6 foot fence with one post. My favorite "trick" question was "two trains are 60 miles apart, each traveling 30 mph in the direction of the other train, a fly that can fly at 100 mph flies between the trains, reversing direction each time it reaches the other train. How far will the fly have traveled when it is crushed by the colliding trains?

      But in the US, NCLB explicitly states it covers only 70% of the students. The top 15% and bottom 15% are to be segregated in separate programs and have none of the rules applied to them. I have a nephew with learning problems. They put him in the bottom 15% for compliance, but in the middle 70% when it comes to placement so that they don't have to put him in a special program, but don't have him drag down the NCLB metrics. The school was successfully sued over that once, but the cost was so high, the family won't do it again, as it's cheaper to pull him from school and put him in private school that to get the school to comply with regulations. Similar things have happened to me on the other end. The short answer is that someone who wasn't in public school at grade 5 could not get into a gifted program in Dallas. They used years before that (I was pulled from public school when I was beat in the second grade in public school for using the wrong color for a Halloween drawing and the principal defended the teacher's actions and lied about what happened). When put back in public school at 7th grade (school was too costly for a single parent family), I tested at the 99th percentile, but was ineligible for the gifted program because the last test they used for eligibility is the one given in the 5th grade, so any students transferring in were ineligible. Turned out that a member of the administrative staff of my non-gifted middle school was also an administrator at a gifted high school, and made sure I got in there (as she though I should be there), but she also deliberately sabotaged my applications to two other gifted programs.

      God I hate public schools, but they are better than the alternative. Wait, what was the question again?

    19. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by pwnyxpress · · Score: 2

      Ghod pop-psychologists make my piss boil.

      Just be mad at their leaders... I think their names are Dunning and... and... Kruger? Yeah, Kruger!

    20. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait, are we talking about lilies or grey goo?

    21. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And that's why we have zombies...

    22. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by YttriumOxide · · Score: 1

      Your example doesn't trigger such a common, innate heuristic. Rather, it just triggers a common mistake in applied mathematics, which is to forget about the 0th post. You're merely illustrating that people exhibit a poor comprehension of a learned, artificial skill, especially when you put them on the spot.

      While I think you're right in this specific instance, the "fencepost error" does trigger the same thing, but generally with simpler forms.

      For example, "I am building a fence 100 metres long with a post every 10 metres. How many posts do I need?".
      To this, most people immediately answer 10 since dividing 100 by 10 is amazingly trivial and generally doesn't require any conscious effort. It's not that they failed to think about the 0th post, but rather that they failed to think about the question at all since it seemed obvious (exactly as the examples in the article).

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    23. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by mvdwege · · Score: 1

      Like your fence example. It proves the point actually: the mental shortcut anyone will use first is to just divide the length by the distance between posts.

      And as the concept of 'fencepost error' in programming attests to, this is a common error.

      I find myself overthinking every situation where I use division: "Is this actually division, or counting?", because I know I have a habit of messing these up.

      --
      "I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
    24. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      16, because you'd use a straining post at either end instead of a normal fencepost. Otherwise, the tension in the wire will pull the bloody lot down.
      </farmer>

    25. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

      I would guess 18, since you probably have a post to start.

      No, it's 18 because you need one to end.

      --
      That is all.
    26. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      It isn't a math test. It's a reading comprehension test. People who are to damn smart to read the whole question get it wrong.

      I learned this in 9th grade geometry. I blazed through the class all year. Always had the highest grade and finished the test first. Was so confident at the final that I barely read the questions, and failed it miserably.

      The lesson has never left me, and it was probably the most valuable one I got from high school. Understand the problem before you try to solve it.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    27. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is that so many people get these two questions wrong, it's scary. Especially people who are allegedly 'smart'.

      "R. P. Tyler was not, however, satisfied simply with being vouchsafed the
      difference between right and wrong. He felt it his bounden duty to tell the
      world."
                      -- (Terry Pratchett & Neil Gaiman, Good Omens)

    28. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by cellocgw · · Score: 1

      I learned this in 9th grade geometry. I blazed through the class all year. Always had the highest grade and finished the test first. Was so confident at the final that I barely read the questions, and failed it miserably.
      Actually, this points out a bigger problem: teachers who have no concept of statistics. If you got A+ on every test and quiz, the fact that you got an F on the final means it's obviously an outlier and should not be part of your course grade. Very few math teachers, and approximately 0.0000% of non-math teachers understand this.
      PS - I did know a couple teachers whose rule was that you were excused from the final if you had straight As to that point. Good for them.

      --
      https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
    29. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're not lilies, but water hyacinths.

    30. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by IAmGarethAdams · · Score: 1

      I understand why many people might divide by half

      I don't. Dividing by a half is the same as doubling. Maybe those people were dividing by 2 (or dividing in half)?

    31. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Georules · · Score: 1

      In half, typo. And, well, maybe a better example of slipping up and getting something wrong by accident?

    32. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by chrismcb · · Score: 1

      Its simple... back when it was only one lily... cut one lily every day.

    33. Re:The article is written by a fucktard. by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      The answers actually can be a range of things

      No, not really. You are given a total cost and a delta cost. How you determine the cost is, ultimately, irrelevant. You can factor in weight based depreciation on your car or not. As long as your accounting methods are the same for the ball and bat, your total cost was 1.10 and your bat cost 1 more.

      what if you have a 10% coupon for one item but not both and everything in the store is marked down 25% from the sticker price!?

      Then you would have spent 5 cents on the ball, and 1.05 on the bat. It doesn't matter what the list prices was.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
  16. My posts keep vanishing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Therefore I automatically jump to thinking that something I said has incurred the wrath of botters who insta - down-vote me.

    Perhaps its simply the mods don't like me.

    Actually, learning about fallacies is very much a good exercise. Especially for pointing out all the errors in everything everyone *else* says. My personal favorite is understanding how people find their conclusion, then find the reasons.

    1. Re:My posts keep vanishing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *it's, not its. Perhaps my faulty brain was trying to say something.

  17. I can vouch for that. by DaneM · · Score: 4, Interesting

    In my own experience--both by observing smart people and by being one (if I may be so bold), I've noticed that the more "smart" a person is (by several definitions; see below), the more easily he/she can convince him/herself--and others--of incorrect things. Furthermore (as these findings suggest), a person who possesses unusually great capacity for self-analysis often becomes quite accustomed to analyzing things on a much "higher level" than what actually motivates one to (erroneous) thought and action.

    For example, a "stupid" person might see another person as a threat to getting into a relationship with someone he/she, him/herself, likes, and will therefore treat that person poorly--while probably having few illusions about why he/she is doing so. A "smart" person, on the other hand, will have that same "root" motivation cause him/her to come up with "rational" reasons (which aren't nearly so rational as assumed, of course) for why that rival is actually bad at his/her job, "annoying," unethical, unreliable, unintelligent, etc., and will then treat that person badly without realizing just how "base" or "primal" the root cause of the behavior is.

    Notably, I've seen/experienced this with people who are "smart" by way of IQ, and "smart" by way of education (and, of course by way of the two, combined; though--as we all know here--the two aren't always the same thing). Apparently, simply engaging the analytical portion of one's brain habitually--whether by training or nature--almost invariably creates this effect--and can often lead to some truly irritating "smart" people (myself at the forefront, at times, I'll admit).

    I'm glad that someone with "license to wear a lab coat" has also determined as much in a somewhat more scientific/official fashion.

    1. Re:I can vouch for that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I've met (one in particular) top level professors who seem to believe something like, "because I am an expert at one thing, then I am an expert in all things."

      Also 90% (of statistics are made up on the spot) of debates about politics/religion/*pick your favorite highly subjective topic* come across to me as:
                "A "smart" person, on the other hand, will have that same "root" motivation cause him/her to come up with "rational" reasons (which aren't nearly so rational as assumed, of course)"

      Drives me bat $#17 crazy.

      The art is to not do what you hate in other people I guess.

    2. Re:I can vouch for that. by epine · · Score: 2

      I personally think this article is destructive in claiming that there is no mental facility for getting underneath bias. Clearly if it exists it's something other than rationality alone, and it's rare enough that it barely moves the needle in group norms.

      Kahneman is doing us a service to point out that universal tendency toward bias is the best first approximation, and that intelligence on its own is no antidote.

      Kahneman is doing us a disservice to presume that there's no human capacity which does make a difference.

      It's like the old blunder about race. Individual differences dominate group differences, but that doesn't mean there are no group differences at all. Furthermore, only the pig-headed latch onto the fact that group differences actually exist. They aren't large enough to support any broad conclusion. But still, there are group differences, and group differences can potentially be large, or evolution couldn't work.

      Kahneman is falling prey to the mistake of thinking that since there's hardly any upside to presuming any select group of people is less biased than another, that we might as well conclude that no such mechanism exists.

      In most people, the rational and the emotional ends are deeply conflated. I think both systems generate proposals and the brain then sifts for overlap. The rational cover story for our motives is as essential in many social contexts as wearing clothes. Don't leave home without it.

      I think the people with skill at penetrating bias tend not to live highly acceptable lives. I'm thinking mainly about writers. Did Nabokov not know something about his nature that other people would not wish to know? Another that comes to mind was Somerset Maugham's The Summing Up. George Orwell considered Maugham "The modern writer who has influenced me the most." I might also include George Orwell. I'm also reminded of My Happy Days in Hell by Gy(slashcode fuckup)rgy Faludy. He recounts a scene where he was peering down the blouse of an attractive young woman who finally noticed and demurred. He describes himself as immediately barking "Back as you were!" and relates that she complied. There's a lot of that tone, not especially flattering by the usual norms. I'm also thinking Kahneman should have tested Henry Miller.

      Those who excel at perceiving their own bias are likely to have two traits: a strong tendency to double-check or triangulate social hypotheses, and the ability to embrace contradiction. People don't operate in a system of singular motives. Motive swirls around and intersects like smoke rings in a toxic pub.

      I think it's the reductive tendency of the over-thinker that's most inimical to harvesting the tender shoots.

    3. Re:I can vouch for that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There were so many goddamn slashes in your post I couldn't read it. If you post to share information you've failed, but most likely, you post just to let yourself be heard.

      Sorry, but you sort of prove the point of the article.

    4. Re:I can vouch for that. by Nimey · · Score: 1

      Hence the college-educated AGW and evolution denialists.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    5. Re:I can vouch for that. by DaneM · · Score: 1

      Excellent analysis, epine!

      A absolutely agree with you on all points. (Yes, this is rare for /. comments.) :-)

      Your assertion about there being a means to combat bias--that finds itself in only a few people, but enough to matter--is quite apt, I find. Likewise, I've noticed that your two traits apply to those whom I know (myself included, except when I'm not) with the ability to detect such inner bias: "a strong tendency to double-check or triangulate social hypotheses, and the ability to embrace contradiction."

      Accordingly, the "triangulation" of social hypotheses and the ability to embrace contradiction inevitably lead to being contradictory without intending to be combative (and almost invariably being treated as a "combatant," anyway)--and to probably the sort of "less-than-acceptable" lives as you've noted. I strongly suspect that most of the "great thinkers" of history (in any field, really, so long as they're truly great thinkers, and not simply well-accomplished) have had great difficulty fitting into society's acceptable, normative lifestyle paradigms. How could a person who sees the idiosyncrasies of society laid-bare (to some significant degree) tolerate not to act otherwise than those idiosyncrasies dictate? As those with such tendencies well know, this leads to being branded as an eccentric, at best. (Not a few such people have been executed for their behavior, I understand.)

      Any, I think I've co-dissertated enough for now. Thanks for your insights, epine.

    6. Re:I can vouch for that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The more often you are correct the less often you need to embrace contradiction. "If older esteemed physicist says something is impossible he is almost certainly wrong." - Clarke's Laws

    7. Re:I can vouch for that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mmm, good thinking. I'm wondering how this translates to politics.

      If stupid/bad politicians often do better than the smart ones.

    8. Re:I can vouch for that. by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 2

      How could a person who sees the idiosyncrasies of society laid-bare (to some significant degree) tolerate not to act otherwise than those idiosyncrasies dictate?

      Most of us simply descend into lives of desperation and depression. Eventually we die, relieved that it's over. At least, that's what I think happens.

      Smoochies...
      Jean-Paul Sartre

      --
      That is all.
    9. Re:I can vouch for that. by bergelin · · Score: 1

      I've noticed that the more "smart" a person is (by several definitions; see below), the more easily he/she can convince him/herself--and others--of incorrect things.

      This is very true. People of high intelligence are often very capable of constructing complex arguments to reinforce and rationalize their beliefs. I saw this in action when visiting an american forum for literalist Christians (those who read the bible literally, word for word). I expected the members to be sub-intelligent and borderline-illiterate (yes, I was certainly guilty of prejudice), but the opposite were true - most were writing extremely well. Huge post arguing the validity of their faith with very complex arguments, though filled with logical fallacies and misconstructed facts. I was amazed by their creativity and ability to argue ridiculous claims with total certainty and literacy. It's truly fascinating how far some will go to reinforce their beliefs, and smart people are often very skilled at it. The combination of complicated arguments, heavy language and the absolute certainty of the person making the claims, is probably often enough to convince less clever individuals.

    10. Re:I can vouch for that. by DaneM · · Score: 1

      I was amazed by their creativity and ability to argue ridiculous claims with total certainty and literacy. It's truly fascinating how far some will go to reinforce their beliefs, and smart people are often very skilled at it. The combination of complicated arguments, heavy language and the absolute certainty of the person making the claims, is probably often enough to convince less clever individuals.

      "Amen." ;-)

      I have a number of intelligent friends who are like that--which is especially frustrating since I espouse a (somewhat abnormal) Christian outlook--though I try to shy away from the silliness that plagues most of this religion. (I don't mean to start a Slashdot discussion about religion, for reasons that are probably obvious.) It's so saddening to try and converse with a friend who ostensibly believes as I do, only to find that he's really just interested in pushing ultra-conservative dogmas about the faith. :-(

  18. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 0

    Except that liberals are not more educated. Conservatives are.

    People generally don't vote for what they think is "right". Instead they vote for what they think is in their own interest. As people become more educated, their income goes up, and they benefit more from low taxes than they do from high government spending. So they tend to become more fiscally conservative. Poorly educated people tend to have low incomes and vote for liberal policies, because that is in their self-interest.

    Somewhat counter-intuitively, states with higher levels of college graduates tend to be more liberal, but still, within those states the more educated people tend to be more fiscally conservative.

    So liberals are not stupid because they are better educated, conservatives are!

  19. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    “A grand collection of logical fallacies.” I can think of no better words to characterize the body of “liberal” political thought.

  20. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  21. AI vs People by PPH · · Score: 2

    An interesting extension of this issue of introspection is that: In some cases, AI systems perform much better than humans.

    To a machine, there is no such thing as subconscious. Given the limitations of hooks built in to a system, one can always ask a machine to 'explain itself' when it makes a decision. This could take the form of a cor dump, list of fired rules, or scores of each alternative path at every decision node.

    In addition, humans can build knowledge bases from various sources. And at the time knowledge is acquired, it can be weighted by the credibility of its origin. But, once committed to memory, the origins of these 'training sets' is often forgotten. And should some reason arise to downgrade the credibility of a knowledge source, machines can much more easily recalculate the rule weights leading from it.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  22. Funny or Insightful? by mevets · · Score: 1

    I find myself primed by statements like âoeHere is a simple arithmetic questionâ to answer quickly. Its probably pride, in that I think of myself as able to answer difficult questions, to attempt to answer the question as quickly as possible.

    I hope I wouldnâ(TM)t employ such a cavalier approach to anything important, like a questionnaire for an important research paper. Sadly, unless I am analyzed by a thick outsider (perhaps a psychologist?), I will never know.

    I know, dumping on psychologists for questionable experimental processes is like baiting clergy - way too easy, yet never gets old. They really have their work cut out for them. Unless you can create a sense of consequence for mistakes - maybe a quick electric shock, to steal a clever idea from the history of psychology experiments - you arenâ(TM)t observing abilities.

    1. Re:Funny or Insightful? by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 4, Funny

      And what about your pride about not littering your Slashdot posts with strange bird droppings (â)?

    2. Re:Funny or Insightful? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right. Shouldn't that have been "It(â)s probably pride..."

    3. Re:Funny or Insightful? by stewbacca · · Score: 1

      Do you mean psychiatrists and not psychologists?

    4. Re:Funny or Insightful? by doccus · · Score: 1

      ..er stuck function key?

  23. What Constitutes an "Education?" Or "Smart?" by RobotRunAmok · · Score: 1

    I'd argue that the guy who went into debt to finance his MFA in Byzantine Art History is several times stupider, on multiple levels, than the High School graduate who apprenticed himself to a plumber at age 18.

    1. Re:What Constitutes an "Education?" Or "Smart?" by WillDraven · · Score: 2

      Just because you do not understand someones motivation, does not mean that that motivation is stupid. Not everybody picks their major with dollar signs in their eyes.

      --
      This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    2. Re:What Constitutes an "Education?" Or "Smart?" by safehaven25 · · Score: 1

      and someones motivation can also be bad or good. their motivation isnt bad because its motivated by dollar signs, its bad because theyre forcing themselves into a bad situation by choice or by lack of foresight. either way its still stupid and its not about picking a low paying major, its about picking a low paying major and then going to school for four more years because you cant get even a low paying with bachelors degree

    3. Re:What Constitutes an "Education?" Or "Smart?" by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but the only reason to get a MFA in Byzantine Art History is to decode the secret symbols to activate the ancient machine of doom so you can be a James Bond Villain, holding the world for ransom for enough money to pay off the loans. Thus the graduation ceremony should result in immediate imprisonment.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    4. Re:What Constitutes an "Education?" Or "Smart?" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is that stupid? I have friends who have been winding their way through collegiate academia for over 15 years. They love their life. Debt or no debt, they're happy and fulfilled, although at a certain point you begin to get paid for staying in school, so... bonus.

      What's stupid is swearing up and down that you believe Capitalism is God's gift to man kind, then chastize people for borrowing money to invest in an asset (themselves). An aversion to debt is antithetical to capitalism. If someone offers you money today to be paid back tomorrow, take it, or admit you're lazy and stupid (which I do regularly when Citibank tries to cut me those checks for $10,000 at historically low interest rates (inflation my ass); I don't pretend that staying out of debt is smart, rather I just admit that I'm too lazy and stupid to put that free money to good use).

  24. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by ANonyMouser · · Score: 2

    Really? My observation has been the opposite, that you can't go to university without absorbing some degree of liberal (re. left wing) thought. That said, I think if you scratch below the surface one will find that universities are filled with those who are left supporters and those who are two scared to disagree.

    --
    I am not just going to agree with the popular view. In other words I have bad Karma.
  25. Got both problems right the first try... by mark-t · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Both problems given in the article were word math problems.

    A bat and ball cost a dollar and ten cents. The bat costs a dollar more than the ball. How much does the ball cost?

    and

    In a lake, there is a patch of lily pads. Every day, the patch doubles in size. If it takes 48 days for the patch to cover the entire lake, how long would it take for the patch to cover half of the lake?

    I got them both right almost immediately, but I think I understand why people would frequently make the errors the article mentioned.

    Ultimately, I think that the reason people make those mistakes is not because they are naturally irrational, but because they simply have not had enough practice at those types of math problems.

    The former took me back to grade 7 math... where I was always solving for x. How I would have done it on paper is as follows:

    Let x = the cost of the ball.
    Let x+1=cost of bat.
    x+(x+1)=1.10
    2x+1=1.10
    2x=0.10
    x=0.05.

    I happened to solve this particular one in my head, but the mental steps I took still reflected the above process. And I think it's the sheer amount of practice that I got solving those types of problems in grade 7 and 8 that I didn't get hung up on anything.

    The latter problem was so obvious, I didn't even have to arrange a formula to solve it... saying it doubles every day, and filling after 48 days means it *MUST* be half full after 47 days. There's probably a formula for it, but I didn't happen to notice it.

    1. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by sdguero · · Score: 1

      Yeah... I think that if they walked around Google/Apple/Microsoft/etc and asked random engineers those questions 90% would get them right. Freshmen undergrads don't have as much experience answering stupid problems as corporate engineering drones.

    2. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you asked them about their mortgage payments or their problems with their wives or husbands, (and assuming they'd be honest), would they have taken the same shortcuts?

      People take shortcuts because such questions aren't important given the setting. Take if this ball and bat problem were on test that for some certificate or a degree, I'm pretty damned sure they would take the time and answer it correctly.

      Asking a question in passing is already biasing the subject to take the shortcut, so all they are doing is measuring the likeliness for people to take shortcuts for dumb questions. Of course, they wouldn't take stats from correct answers to a similar test question because it doesn't have the same conditions that are favorable to what they already want to prove.

      I'm hinting at the researchers having a bias.

    3. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by mark-t · · Score: 1
      That strikes me as a bit of a generalization.

      I would suggest that people with a lot of math background aren't as likely to slip up on those types of problems, even though the answers are no more important for them than they are for anybody else... I would suggest that they are less likely to make the mistake simply because they've had so much practice at solving those types of problems than most people.

    4. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think either of those problems were even tricky if you conceptualize them correctly. If you read, "doubles everyday", and you think 2^n where n is the number of days. Then you get to the question and see half...isn't it obvious?

    5. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A_L is the area of the lillies, A_P is the area of the pond.

      (A_L * 2^N) / A_P = 1/2 = 2^-1

      and

      (A_L*2^48) / A_P = 1

      Therefore,

      A_L / A_P = 1 / 2^48

      and

      2^N / 2^48 = 2^-1

      which gives

      2^N = 2^47 or N = 47 days.

    6. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by bongey · · Score: 1

      IMPO it is language /communication issue more than whether someone is stupid or not When I am lazy and don't really care I tend to just try to solve in my head real quick and the mistake comes out but if I actually spend more than second reading the problem I have no problems. I know I do this but it easily something I can chose to do..
      If someone had just given the first three lines from problem
      Let x = the cost of the ball.
      Let x+1=cost of bat.
      x+(x+1)=1.10
      Solve for x ,
      I doubt anyone would get it wrong. Both questions ask the same question but one is more clearer than the other.

    7. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by Nehmo · · Score: 1

      on paper is as follows:

      Let x = the cost of the ball. Let x+1=cost of bat. x+(x+1)=1.10 2x+1=1.10 2x=0.10 x=0.05.

      I happened to solve this particular one in my head, but the mental steps I took still reflected the above process.

      I solved via a different method. I envisioned a number line with 110 divisions and a slider indicating the position on the line dividing the cost of the two. On the right was the ball cost; on the left was the bat cost. The slider also had 2 equal wings on both sides. The wing size was equal to the ball cost.
      ________________________*_____|_____*
      The right side of the number line up to the point of the wing is equal to 1 dollar. Therefore, with the whole number line = 110, the 10 remaining had to be split. 10 split in 2 is 5.

      --
      (||) Nehmo (||)
    8. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by Wraithlyn · · Score: 1

      It's confusing because it throws the "answers" right at you, a dollar and 10 cents, and then it's easy to confuse the concept of "a dollar more" vs "an order of magnitude (10x) more". $1.00 is exactly 10x more than $0.10, and your mind is looking for nice round numbers because the question is full of them, so it being 10x more "feels" like it satisfies the "dollar more" condition.

      I certainly jumped to that as a first "intuitive" guess, but know enough to check my work, and realized it didn't actually satisfy the "dollar more" condition. Then my thought process went something like: Well the ball can't be free, then the bat is $1.00 and we're $0.10 short of the total. And the ball can't be $0.10, then the bat is $1.10 and we're $0.10 PAST the total. Aha! Symmetry! The answer is smack in the middle, the ball is $0.05.

      One question they didn't answer in the study is whether time was a component of the test... ie were people told that the faster they did, the better? Or did they have as much time as they needed? One would think the former could lead to more of these "shortcuts".

      (And yeah, the lilypad problem was obvious... but look at the audience here. ;) It's like asking a programmer, "If it takes 10 steps to double something to 1024, at what step is it 512?")

      --
      "Mind, as manifested by the capacity to make choices, is to some extent present in every electron." -Freeman Dyson
    9. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by locofungus · · Score: 1

      I got them both right immediately and via very similar "reasoning" as you although I had to "reverse engineer" my thinking for the bat and ball one because the answer came faster than I could have spoken it.

      But I suspect that's related to having a mathematical bias in my thinking and education. These problems aren't just easy, their the sorts of problems I've done thousands of times before.

      For an intelligent person from an arts background the problems are also easy but they actually need to bring their mathematical thinking to the fore. Hearing "dollar and ten cents" and then separating into two parts gives them "dollar" and "ten cents".

      The redwood tree one, on the other hand was interesting. I've never heard of "anchoring bias" before and I didn't know where the discussion was going. I read the first bit about asking people whether the tallest tree was taller than X for X between 85 feet and 1000 feet. My immediate thought was hmmm, how tall can the tallest tree be. My wild (no supporting evidence whatsoever) guess was maybe 300 feet. A materials scientist might have laughed at that: "don't be daft, there's no way wood can support a structure that tall" or a botanist might have said "don't be daft, the canopy in the amazon is at about 500 feet" although a quick google while writing this suggests that I wasn't out by too much - 370 feet for the tallest tree.

      Then we got to the next part of the question - how tall is the tallest tree. But I'd already answered that question by my way of approaching the first part. So I don't see how I could have had "anchoring bias" at least for this question. Of course, if X had been exactly 300 feet on the first part I'd have been a bit stymied because my estimate of the tallest tree would be inconsistent with my answer to whether the tallest tree is taller or shorter than 300 feet. What I think I would have said is "taller than 300 feet" for the first part and then "300 feet" for the second part although I didn't start thinking about this until after I'd looked up the height.

      Tim.

      --
      God said, "div D = rho, div B = 0, curl E = -@B/@t, curl H = J + @D/@t," and there was light.
    10. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by Clovis42 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, imagine if the test has a whole bunch of these word problems and is timed. Make like 90% of the word problems really, really easy. Then throw out thos really easy ones before scoring.

      In that situation I imagine a lot people would get those two questions wrong.

      --
      Clovis
      ^ Clovis, look! It's that guy you are!
    11. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you saw the questions in written form -- verbally and the subconscious pressure of the survey interview may yield different results to similar types of questions. even for you. in other words, you aren't as dumb as you think you are.

    12. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by mark-t · · Score: 1

      I think that the only reason a lot of people would get them wrong is because they didn't practice solving word problems enough when they were in grade school... or they possibly even were not actually taught how to solve them. I actually don't recall any teacher in school ever spending time teaching how to solve them. My father taught me.

      As an aside, I personally know a lot of people that hated those types of math problems in school, but in each case I've observed, I've noticed that they simply do not immediately recognize a way to model such a problem into an actual math equation, and they struggle disproportionately with that part of the problem (sometimes simply giving up entirely), where the same people would have absolutely no problem solving a simple linear equation in one variable. I expect that this inability to recognize how to model the problem, when it is stated in such a way, and actually sounds so simple, can cause someone to feel stupider than they actually are, and so the person resents being confronted with those types of problems because they cause them to feel dumb, which creates a feedback loop of not wanting to put much effort into solving them. Of course, the inability to recognize how to model such word problems into a linear equation with a single variable is not remotely a reflection of how smart one is, it is simply a reflection of what that person has been taught when it comes to solving such problems. But even though the method itself is not that difficult to actually do, learning the techniques involved, and in particular, understanding them well enough to be able to know how to apply them in arbitrary circumstances, still takes time and practice... just like learning to do anything well.

    13. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by bergelin · · Score: 1

      Ultimately, I think that the reason people make those mistakes is not because they are naturally irrational, but because they simply have not had enough practice at those types of math problems.

      I think so as well and the same is true for IQ-test to some extent. I know people who've been doing them daily for long periods of time, and by doing so raising their IQ-point by tens (from ~100 to 120-130). It's true that intelligent people tend to have a logical reasoning that's better than average, but these kinds of problems are easy to be thought and I think one develops a reasoning suitable for solving them by doing so (sort of like crosswords). I also suspect smarter individuals are more sure of their abilities, thereby answering quicker making them prone to simple mistakes.

    14. Re:Got both problems right the first try... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have used the lilly ones in multiple interviews (after I had it thrown at me at Salomon Brothers in the past century) lot of people fail it. In fact I have had engineers fail it, something that has shocked me.
      In my field (management consulting) you are most often looking for very generic abilities, specially at analyst (entry) level positions. You want to know if they have some common and business sense, if they can handle "numbers" (basic arithmetic basically) and if they have PMS (Personality, Maturity, Stamina).
      Most often you settle for people with Stamina who can work all niters and go without weekends (I realize things in the US/UK are usually not so bad but they were at my firm)
      You would be surprised at how many people can not answer simple teasers and I seriously doubt they could handle more complex issues. Maybe someone has a better way to test, if that is the case thenI would like to hear.

  26. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by ANonyMouser · · Score: 2

    @#$%@#$% *too not two. Brain work well not daytwo

    --
    I am not just going to agree with the popular view. In other words I have bad Karma.
  27. Fortunately, the solution is obvious. by mosb1000 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Perhaps our most dangerous bias is that we naturally assume that everyone else is more susceptible to thinking errors, a tendency known as the “bias blind spot.” This “meta-bias” is rooted in our ability to spot systematic mistakes in the decisions of others—we excel at noticing the flaws of friends—and inability to spot those same mistakes in ourselves.

    So other people, even stupid people, will have a relatively easy time spotting my mistakes? Meaning that all I have to do is listen to them when they try to point them out to me. Problem solved.

    1. Re:Fortunately, the solution is obvious. by bky1701 · · Score: 1

      Stupid people are likely to point out errors where none exist, though. I'll take my own reasoning, which has proven to be the best of anyone I know, regardless of what TFA says.

    2. Re:Fortunately, the solution is obvious. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sad thing is, I've been saying this for a decade on slashdot.

      The number of really, really stupid-smart people here is amazing. Of course, these days most of the smart people have left. Regardless, you see this everywhere. Of course, most of the people are so smart-stupid, they completely fail to see themselves as stupid, even though their stupidity is profound.

    3. Re:Fortunately, the solution is obvious. by steelfood · · Score: 1

      As true (or not) as this may be, I think the study itself would indicate that you should pay attention to other smart people pointing out your mistakes.

      On the other hand, stupid people might not even be able to see the mistake.

      Admittedly, "smart" and "stupid" are only relevent with context. Someone could be absolutely brilliant at solving math problems but wouldn't have the slightly clue what to do in a social setting (which could range from being in a party to being mugged in an alley).

      The real error is to dismiss others as stupid because they're not smart in the same way.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    4. Re:Fortunately, the solution is obvious. by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      I'll take my own reasoning, which has proven to be the best of anyone I know, regardless of what TFA says.

      I'm not sure if you are joking or not, but that is exactly the mistake the article is warning about. If you are actually serious, I think you should give the article a second look and spend some time considering it. Try to look at your actions the way someone else (who isn't aware of your thoughts and motivations) might see them. Spend time looking at the mistakes that other people make and try to imagine what they may have been thinking. Then you might be able to get an idea of what I'm talking about: your mistakes are a lot more obvious to someone who isn't you.

      Or try this example. Write a story and then proofread it immediately for errors. Chances are you will overlook many or most of your errors. But if you gave it to someone else to proofread they would likely pick up the ones you missed. That's because they aren't aware of what you were trying to write, they are only aware of what you actually wrote. You can even do this by yourself if you write a document then proofread it much later after you've forgotten most of what you were thinking when you wrote it.

    5. Re:Fortunately, the solution is obvious. by bky1701 · · Score: 1

      I do just that. Usually they either locate one of the few words I chronically misuse (partially the fault of the spell checker) or occasionally a broken sentence from my last edit-through. The second case I would usually catch on my own after another editing run.

      The issue I am getting at is results, not consensuses, matter. It doesn't matter if I look insane to people if I get the results I want. It might be easy for things I do to be called "mistakes" by others when I in fact have good reason to do commit them. Yes, it is important to be objective. That's kind of the whole point. There are ways to that and all of those ways are ultimately introspective: what do I have to gain from this, have I considered the alternatives, what is the probability of it working/me being right, etc.? Worrying about how the uninformed will perceive your activities is NOT objectivity in any way. It is in fact worse than self-delusion. However, I guess I can see how that might help people who are so irrational they are below the average. It's the difference between an atheist trying to see the point of Jesus and a death cult member trying to see the point of Jesus: one is lowering themselves, the other might actually gain something.

    6. Re:Fortunately, the solution is obvious. by bky1701 · · Score: 1

      It all depends on how you measure "smart." You can do it the D&D way (loved by the education system) of knowing many facts, you can base it on how able the person is to figure out problems they encounter, or you can define it as their ratio of correctness/incorrectness. Take any mix you like, the answer is probably all in combination. The option not present is, of course and importantly, consensus of others. Everyone who was ever right about something others had not considered had to start by being "wrong" by consensus.

  28. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by mevets · · Score: 4, Funny

    Its not that conservatives are generally stupid, it is that the stupid people are generally conservative. It is the base of support they lean upon.

    Apologies to JSMill for the poor paraphrase.

  29. This is how I lose at chess by RazorSharp · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When I'm playing a weaker opponent in chess I tend to be extremely careless with my queen and I put her in dangerous places that are quite threatening. The strategy relies on the fact that weaker chess players get squeamish when an opponent's queen hangs out on their side of the board and they start investing too many of their moves into defense, thus ceding board control.

    The downside is that a strong opponent knows to relentlessly attack the queen until she's either dead or in a position that isn't advantageous. Another downside is that, even against weaker opponents, she's still in a vulnerable position and I tend to lose her that way.

    A computer would never do what I do with my queen (and I would never use the strategy vs. a computer . . . again). What makes people intelligent is their ability to make estimates, predictions, and generalizations that compensate for the limitations of memory. I may not be able to beat my computer in chess, but my computer works harder than an entire nation of brains to kick my ass at it.

    I don't like the article confusing this way of thinking with irrationality, concluding that, "we're not nearly as rational as we believe." One's thinking can be rational and imprecise. It can also be rational and wrong. These little tests these researchers are doling out catch people on common fallacies. The more intelligent you are the less likely you are to second guess your answer, the more likely you are to rely on a logical shortcut. Like playing a weak chess opponent. And then, when you've lost, your weak chess opponent can point and laugh and say something stupid that he somehow thinks is clever, like, "hah! Smart people are stupid!"

    That's why, in the rematch after losing to a weaker opponent, I dot all my i's and cross all my t's. I don't experiment and I double (triple, quadruple, etc.) check my moves before committing to them. Then, after my pride has been returned, I go back to poking and prodding with attempts to scholar's mate my opponent in some variation because no other victory is more satisfying.

    --
    "From the depths of my skeptical and rationalist soul, I ask the Lord to protect me from California touchie-feeliedom."
    1. Re:This is how I lose at chess by DocSavage64109 · · Score: 1

      This is not a bad idea. Not only do you have more fun by playing recklessly half the time, but your opponents won't stop playing against you if they can win fairly often.

    2. Re:This is how I lose at chess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must not be very good at chess if you have to stick your queen out to beat a weaker chess opponent...

  30. Too smart for easy money by EmperorOfCanada · · Score: 1

    Another good example is in real-estate. Smart people don't generally get in on these flip-this-house and other property bubble schemes as it is obvious that it is going to blow up in your face. It always seems to be morons who are driving their $100,000 cars with 9 rental properties and their shirts unbuttoned down to their navel (1 button for every million in assets). It is not that these people are lazy but that they are completely blind to the certainty of what goes up soon comes down; thus smart people leave all that money on the table.

    In this last bubble the wall street people tried joining in on the fun; don' know how to explain that one.

  31. Physics Training by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not sure it is pride so much as incorrect training. I immediately leapt to the wrong answer to the bat and ball but then I subtracted the two, got 90 cents, realised I had messed up and corrected myself. What I was always taught as an undergrad in physics - and what I now try to teach to undergrads myself - is that no matter how smart you are you will always make mistakes. The trick is to cross check your answer to see whether it makes sense. You won't catch everything (at least I don't!) but every error caught is one less mistake.

    1. Re:Physics Training by mevets · · Score: 2

      Did you ever take training in recognizing sarcasm, or other comic devices? The trick is to consider what you are reading from multiple perspectives simultaneously. If it tickles your funny bone, it was likely meant to.

      Its a bit like lyrics in the jazz and blues roots. If you vaguely think it might be about sex, it is.

    2. Re:Physics Training by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      ...and if it doesn't then I clearly need more training, right? Ah well time to start studying again then I suppose. Jokes that have to be explained are always the funniest.

    3. Re:Physics Training by rockout · · Score: 1

      If they only have to be explained to the stupid people, that's a good indicator that, in fact, they may actually be the funniest. Your sarcasm is ironically misplaced.

      --
      I've learned that they're worthless, so I don't read AC comments anymore.
    4. Re:Physics Training by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it tickles your funny bone, it was likely meant to.

      It didn't. Nor did Roger W Moore's insightful reply deserve such a snide response.

    5. Re:Physics Training by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      I agrre that there is some stupidity here. However, given the lack of a +5 funny mod I don't think it lies with the reader.

    6. Re:Physics Training by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      Its a bit like lyrics in the jazz and blues roots. If you vaguely think it might be about sex, it is.

      Everything is about sex...

    7. Re:Physics Training by Terrasque · · Score: 1

      I immediately leapt to the wrong answer to the bat and ball but then I subtracted the two, got 90 cents, realised I had messed up and corrected myself.

      I also quickly got the 10 cent, then I also did a sanity check.. But the weird thing is, when I did the check it was natural and logical, and obvious.. Now, when I think back, it's just weird.

      I checked the price of the bat, and found out it cost .. nothing .. It seems I'd already removed one dollar from the price of the bat mentally, so the logical "price" of the bat would be whatever that was above the one dollar, and should be equal to the ball. So the correction was just a mental exercise of taking the 10 cent and divide it so both had "equal". And thus the right solution became obvious.

      But I still have no idea where that logic train came from.. And when I look at it now, it's just weird. Either my brain is smarter than me, or I'm a mad scientist in training.

      --
      It's The Golden Rule: "He who has the gold makes the rules."
    8. Re:Physics Training by Terrasque · · Score: 0

      Okay, just have to reply to myself here, finally figured out what I did :)

      Since the bat was a dollar more, and the price total was 1.10 - I removed the dollar completely and had .10 left. Values was then multiplied by 100 since it's easier to work with.

      There was two assertions : Total - 10 -should be equal to bat + ball, and bat should be equal to ball. If first assertion was correct, and if ball was 10, then bat would had to be 0. And thus the second assertion could not be correct.

      And so my first answer (ball cost .10) could not be correct. But at that stage, the correct answer was pretty obvious too, since I had a value of 10 that had to be shard equally between two objects. 10/2 = 5. Divide by 100 for ball price, and add the dollar to get the bat price.

      --
      It's The Golden Rule: "He who has the gold makes the rules."
    9. Re:Physics Training by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or maybe you should accept the fact that your "joke" didn't seem like one and was just unfunny as hell?

    10. Re:Physics Training by Shazback · · Score: 1

      I answered 0.05$ straight away, without even thinking about the answer, and checked to see it was right. Now I'm confused. The study says that stupid people are less prone to errors, so I guess that means I'm more likely to be stupid? But I got the question right... :(

    11. Re:Physics Training by recharged95 · · Score: 1

      Good layman description of the Scientific Method.

      Anyway my conclusion from TFA:
      Why are smart people are stupid: Narcissism
      Why the New Yorker prints out articles like that: Hubris

    12. Re:Physics Training by rockout · · Score: 1

      No, trust me it does. If only for thinking that +5 funny mod points are the ultimate indicator of sarcasm.

      --
      I've learned that they're worthless, so I don't read AC comments anymore.
    13. Re:Physics Training by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      Hmm...personally I think the stupidity lies with the person who can interpret a comment about the lack of a +5 funny mod (which is as aggregate opinion vs. a single persons and so by construction more reliable) as a claim that it is the ultimate indicator of humour. If such simple statements result in such misinterpretation and exaggeration then, no, clearly we can't trust you to interpret english text especially in regard to the more complex concept of humour.

    14. Re:Physics Training by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, it's still you.

    15. Re:Physics Training by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not Roger's fault that other posters here write unfunny stuff. rockout is definitely the one being an obtuse idiot here. The comment wasn't funny, wasn't rated funny, wasn't followed up by a single funny comment, nor people who agree that it is funny.

      Suck it up. The joke sucked, someone naturally didn't find it funny, and then some moron(s) reply about how it's his fault for not laughing at dumb jokes because they can't accept their own failure at producing humorous content.

  32. please read this book by Bobtree · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The Invisible Gorilla: How Our Intuitions Deceive Us

    If you care at all about understanding how your brain works, this is important. The book is very well researched and explained and full of real examples in many areas and backed up with serious science. Our brains lie to us about what they do and how well they do it in nearly every respect. I almost want to force feed it to everyone I know, because it's just that significant. Please read it.

    1. Re:please read this book by spiralx · · Score: 1

      You might like Irrationality by Stuart Sutherland as well. It is amazing how many different ways in which your brain can get it wrong, and essential IMO to any hope of bettering yourself.

  33. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mississippi is the most conservative state and last in education. Education in general is decried as liberal by the right. While there may be plenty of degrees on both sides of the aisle conservatives have done nothing to associate themselves on the side of education and often treat education in a very adversarial manner.

  34. Poker hands by djhertz · · Score: 2

    It sounds a lot like when a you watch a friend play a hand in poker and you can see all the mistakes, but when you are in the hand you are blind to them.

    --
    Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise - William Shakespeare
    1. Re:Poker hands by wirefall · · Score: 1

      It sounds a lot like when a you watch a friend play a hand in poker and you can see all the mistakes, but when you are in the hand you are blind to them.

      You can see the mistakes that your friend is currently making and perhaps you would have made the same mistake had you been the player, or perhaps you're a better player and would have made a different choice.

      It's similar to something I've always wondered about. Why, when showing somebody something on a computer does it take me forever to find the file I'm looking for in a directory, but when somebody else is driving the mouse I can instantaneously pick out the file and they are now the ones bouncing back and forth looking for it...

  35. Why are supposedly "smart" researchers so stupid? by jmerlin · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I am not a psychiatrist nor a psychologist. I do, however, have an explanation I find logical for why both of these questions would get wrong answers.

    A bat and ball cost a dollar and ten cents. The bat costs a dollar more than the ball. How much does the ball cost?

    The reason this "problem" will yield a common answer of 1 dollar is because so many of us have seen the same thing over and over in school. It has been over the course of 5+ years engraved into our thought process to separate pieces of the sentence into logical portions and stop as soon as we have enough information (ie: to assume most of it is useless information). So as soon as the reader sees the intentionally deceptively worded sentence, it's effectively an expected response from this programmed behavior: most people stop where I'm about to show you:

    A bat and a ball cost a dollar and ten cents. The bat costs a dollar --

    Immediately, we have a situation: a + b = 110, a = 100. We immediately deduce that b = 10, and have a solution instantaneously without completing the thought. This is what standardized testing and predictable word problems with extraneous information teaches people. This isn't a result of their intelligence, this is a result of cognitive process sculpted by years of stupid, pointless exercises. You'd have to be outrageously stupid to think this is somehow unexpected. The people who we classify as "smart" are people who perform well at these tasks (high score on standardized test, breezed through courses with similar problems). This is causation -- people who make this mental leap are considered "smart." So you ask "why are all these smart people making this stupid mistake!?" The answer is clear -- your fundamental measure of intelligence is wrong. The solution is that these so-called "smart" people aren't very smart at all. They're just good at solving tricky word problems as quickly as possible, primarily by ignoring information. In my experience, this methodology is often the inverse of an intelligent process.

    Now for the second problem:

    In a lake, there is a patch of lily pads. Every day, the patch doubles in size. If it takes 48 days for the patch to cover the entire lake, how long would it take for the patch to cover half of the lake?

    What most people will do, because this is how they've been taught, is to read sentence one. Note it as an interesting fact, then proceed. Upon finishing the second sentence, we realize we didn't come up with an answer yet, so we refer to only the information in the latter part of the question. What most people just read is:

    If it takes 48 days for the patch to cover the entire lake, how long would it take for the patch to cover half of the lake?

    We aren't used to thinking in terms of exponentiation, so it's natural to assume a linear growth rate when you completely discard the first sentence.

    While I agree, these are both absurd questions, they have something in common: people tend to ignore part of the question and answer the question with incomplete information. This is not something I do very often, intentionally. This is something, though, that I recall being the fundamental "trick" to answering 99.99999999999% of questions on standardized tests. They gave you extraneous information. When literally every problem exposed to you has extraneous information, of 2 forms: A, B or B, A, where B = worthless information, it becomes habitual to process information in this manner, especially when the problem is worded like a problem you'd find on a high-school level standardized test (you know, you never really forget how to ride a bike, like you never forget how to solve very badly designed problems that don't test intelligence in any way).

    I don't know, maybe I'm too smart for this researcher. But the answer seems obvious: years and yea

  36. sound like people with BAs in CS doing IT by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    sound like people with BAs in CS doing IT

    They may have book smarts but there IT smarts are mostly theory with out the hands on parts.

    1. Re:sound like people with BAs in CS doing IT by catmistake · · Score: 1

      sound like people with BAs in CS doing IT

      They may have book smarts but there IT smarts are mostly theory with out the hands on parts.

      Not to bash the Arts degree, but a CS degree is BS. Also, IT isn't science. A computer scientist working in IT is akin to an MD striping candy.

    2. Re:sound like people with BAs in CS doing IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A CS degree is most often a BS, but some colleges and universities offer a BA instead, or offer both. The difference may consist, for example, of a different set of out-of-major courses (sciences vs. liberal arts).

    3. Re:sound like people with BAs in CS doing IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If more IT people understood theory we would be better off as an industry. There are loads of programmers out there for example with loads of hands on experience, who have no idea how to actually write good code because they dont understand, or value design theory, OO, patterns, etc...

    4. Re:sound like people with BAs in CS doing IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to bash a BA degree, but I'm going to go ahead and bash IT work.

  37. It might also be ego driven by Lord_of_the_nerf · · Score: 1

    Tying your self worth to being smart might also mean you question potential mistakes less often.

    You're right and everyone else is wrong because a stupid person couldn't possibly have a better answer.

  38. Psychologists are ego maniacs... by sdguero · · Score: 0

    "Kahneman, who admits in “Thinking, Fast and Slow” that his decades of groundbreaking research have failed to significantly improve his own mental performance."

    So this guy was unable to find a way to make himself more intelligent and is now trying to explain why. Douchenozzle.

  39. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by jellomizer · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Well there are more factors.
    Blue states tend to have more colleges, because blue states have more/bigger cities.
    Cities in order to operate work best with liberal principals. Bigger government to offer services because in the city you don't have resources to be fully self reliant. You need city water and sewer because there isn't room for well and septic systems. Too many cars you need a good public transit system to move around faster. When you live in a city the government is the good guy.

    Red states are In rural areas you have land and you are more self reliant. Your house your own infrastructure, you will wait public transit just won't work so you need your own car. The government is seen as a force that taxes your income for services you don't use and maker of rules that restrict your freedom. So you are more apt to favor conservatives.

    In college the more conservative students are more apt to hit the books and study, while the liberal ones will party more. However the liberal students are less career minded and will more likely go directly into higher education.

    So are liberal or conservatives smarter? Probably not much of a difference, in terms of smarts. But more into life choices.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  40. The unconscious is far from completely opaque by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You need to get accustomed to the reality that you are in part unconsciously driven and with the help of introspection and external feedback you can develop an appreciation of your own unconsciously processes allowing for a deeper sense of agency and the ability to meet reality as it is.

    1. Re:The unconscious is far from completely opaque by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you.

      I was going to write something like that myself, but couldn't figure out where to put it.

      Mirror, mirror.

  41. Pathetic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This whole article is BS about trying to rationalize his therapy. I imagine it went something like this.
    - The therapist finally convinces the patient he made a stupid choice (whatever it is)
    - The patient then says in a Sheldonian way "but I'm smart. I can't make stupid choices!"
    - The doctor, not wanting to alienate his patient by the cold hard truth says "even smart people make stupid choices sometimes" (which is strictly speaking true - what differs is the frequency)
    - And the next thing we see is this drivel posted to slashdot.

    Might I be bold enough to suggest that if you are routinely making enough choices that you require the aid of a therapist, then perhaps you're not as smart as you think you are (at least in that particular area)?

  42. Not buying it by russotto · · Score: 1

    This is just an article designed to make stupid people feel better about themselves.

    1. Re:Not buying it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It didn't work , did it?

  43. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by jellomizer · · Score: 1

    Most people really start forming rational political preferences out of college. College is such a protected environment, shelter food education gym huge amounts actives going on, all paid for by student loans that you don't need to worry about yet. Any money you make will first go to books and after that it is all recreational spending. This is good for education because you can focus on your studies without the worries of real life problems. However your political opinion at the time isn't complete.
    After you leave college and money becomes a serious issue in your life you may find the conservative (rugged indivualism) more appealing as those taxes that out of your paycheck are as much as your rent.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  44. Everyone is smart and dumb by manwargi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't really agree with the conventional idea of people being "smart" and "dumb", the concepts are used in shallow ways. Most people I've met are "smart" in some form, even as so many have proven themselves dumb in another form. I believe that it's a matter of how it manifests.

    Some people are good at memorizing things. Some people have a keen perception of patterns which gives them insight into what might logically come next. Some people just put a lot of effort into studying and work their way into understanding a subject through sheer diligence. Some are fast learners. And that thug loitering on the street corner that barely knows how to speak properly? He picks up on body language in a way nobody else can.

    Meanwhile those people all have their flaws. The memorization guy might have horrible social skills. Perhaps insightful pattern guy gets sentimental about the things he believes in, and thus becomes stubborn and irrational about things that don't match his views. The diligent one is really just a stubborn person faking it-- they are terrible and it takes them a long time to learn, but they invest the time beating it into their head. The fast learner picks up on something quickly, but then becomes bored of it right away and moves on with only a superficial understanding of the subject. Or, the fast learner never learned to study, so when the time comes he is in a fix. I think you can fill in the blanks as you wish for the thug on the street corner.

    This is the reason why society manages to function while we witness so many stupid people.

    1. Re:Everyone is smart and dumb by Jetra · · Score: 0

      Well, I consider smart people those that can do math and science in a blink of an eye, recalling hundreds of equations at a whim. Social skills do not equal intelligence. I myself have okay social skills, but am still somewhat smart in overall intelligence. Does this make me smart? No. Does it make me dumb? Not really.

      Dumb people are those that chug ten Monsters in under an hour, play chicken on a busy highway at midday. Are people that smoke pot or drink themselves to death? I wouldn't think so, but I wouldn't consider them MENSA material. However, those who do stuff that most would consider dangerous as often stupid.

      But, answer me this question: Why are smart people, who know so much, often die at a younger age than those who barely know the founding president of our country? Who cares that smart people are stupid, everyone is stupid to a degree, and smart people are no exception to the rule. I may not be Einstein or Galileo, but I want to live with the dummies; they live longer and have far more general fun.

    2. Re:Everyone is smart and dumb by manwargi · · Score: 1

      Social skills do not equal intelligence.

      That may be, but a 'smart person' lacking enough would be regarded as an "eccentric" at best and a freak at worst if they blundered too much socially. Smiling nervously and not being able to say anything, or behaving callously isn't that uncommon amongst people with otherwise sharp minds.

      Dumb people are those that chug ten Monsters in under an hour, play chicken on a busy highway at midday. Are people that smoke pot or drink themselves to death?

      'Smart people' can develop addictions too. To caffeine, to video games, to drugs, to alcohol, to gambling, to thrill seeking, to porn. They often do. This ties into the third part rather nicely:

      But, answer me this question: Why are smart people, who know so much, often die at a younger age than those who barely know the founding president of our country?

      My best guess would be the stress. Because more is expected of them, because they were bullied, because they think too much about the things that most people stop thinking about once their head starts to hurt. Depression sets in, and then those addictions become the relief.

    3. Re:Everyone is smart and dumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I spent a good part of my working life solving technical problems for people from corporate CEO’s to stay at home housewives. I observed people in a variety of workplace and home situations. I found no direct correlation between education, intelligence, job qualification, income, looks and a person’s ability to enjoy life to their fullest potential.

      Put a genius and an imbecile in the same room; introduce an attractive, seductively clad, voluptuous blonde to the environment, the IQ level of both the genius and the imbecile will drop to the trouser snake. Once the marrow is drained out of the bone, the IQ level will return to the status quo.

      The average divorce rate in westernised countries is hovering just over the 40% mark. The divorce rate amongst psychologists is slightly higher than the western average. What that tells me is that while psychologists can observe and rationalise solutions for other people’s problems they cannot resolve their own relationship and social issues in a similar logical manner.

      The level of achievement and contentment in a person's life is directly proportional to the effort contributed and the quality of life's experiences are only as good as a person is prepared to make them.

      From my observations; I found that all people are born with a natural creative analytical intelligence and the free will to choose and create their own destiny. Successful people achieve by using intuitive intelligence, create opportunities, compromise and do not blame others for their inept decisions. Failures are people who blame the social political infrastructure. Politicians milk the negativity generated for their own selfish motives.

      During a financially booming economic cycle anyone with half a brain can become a corporate high flyer. During a global correction the only people who will survive the global correction are people who can competently manage the family infrastructure without incurring debt.

      Therefore; what really differentiates the genius and an imbecile is not conventual schooling education but possessing a streetwise education and the ability to intellectually divorce themselves from the USA style gutter mentality politics and media spin.

  45. Re:Very smart people ... by hot+soldering+iron · · Score: 0

    Well, you've got the "coward" part down pat.

    --
    When you want something built, come see me. If you want correct grammar and spelling, get a F*ing liberal arts student.
  46. That's when LSD comes in handy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LSD is great for getting a better understanding of your subconscious processes. When you look at things on acid sometimes it's like you're seeing the thing for the first time without a lifetime of biases built up. Other times you become conscious of all the associations you have with certain things, sometimes going far back into your childhood. It's really a shame it's illegal.

    1. Re:That's when LSD comes in handy by YttriumOxide · · Score: 2

      LSD is great for getting a better understanding of your subconscious processes. When you look at things on acid sometimes it's like you're seeing the thing for the first time without a lifetime of biases built up. Other times you become conscious of all the associations you have with certain things, sometimes going far back into your childhood. It's really a shame it's illegal.

      As parent is AC, the comment may be overlooked by a lot of people. I fully and completely agree with this.

      My first experience with a large dose of LSD I was only able to describe as having "multiple levels of consciousness" - that is, I'd be looking at something and thinking about it; while another "part of me" was simultaneously thinking about the part of me that was thinking about what I was looking at; and yet another part would be examining those thought processes and so on. At one point, I managed to count 5 distinct "processes of thought" (and later I realised it might have been six, having one counting the others).

      One of the things with this kind of self-reflection is the ability to appreciate what you see/hear/experience as if it were totally new. You see something that you've seen a hundred times before and for the first time you really get a deeper understanding of it than you had before. Nothing is irrelevant, and your own constructed filters (necessary for day-to-day life, I'll happily admit) are just gone.

      When my daughter was born, I considered that perhaps that's how life must be for her as a baby. She doesn't know yet what is "important to notice" and what isn't, so the filters aren't there and she can take in everything. Relatedly, I've also considered whether that perhaps aids in the learning process for children; and therefore by extension, LSD use under controlled situations can aid in the learning process for adults. It seems to help me, but I wouldn't accept my own anecdotal case and any kind of evidence without further study.

      --
      My book about LSD and Self-Discovery
      Also on facebook as: DroppingAcidDaleBewan
    2. Re:That's when LSD comes in handy by spiralx · · Score: 1

      Ketamine is also a wonderful tool for exploring and reprogramming your thoughts, in a very different way from acid but as powerful, if not more in some situations. More existential than acid, which I found better for introspective and intuitive insights.

  47. Uh.. wait a minute by WOOFYGOOFY · · Score: 1

    . We scrutinize our motivations and search for relevant reasons; we lament our mistakes to therapists and ruminate on the beliefs that led us astray. The problem with this ... is that the driving forces behind biasesâ"the root causes of our irrationalityâ"are largely unconscious, which means they remain invisible to self-analysis and impermeable to intelligence. ...blinding us to those primal processes responsible for many of our everyday failings.

    Uh, I think a therapist would tell you that's why you need them.

    Just sayin'

  48. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by safehaven25 · · Score: 1

    im glad that your personal experience about college being protected has transformed your view of everyone else in the worlds college this most is just unbelievably stupid and shaped off such a limited experience. dont know why even post this

  49. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by yoshi_mon · · Score: 0

    Please cite your sources.

    Because what I've observed is that Conservatives are currently just spouting propaganda, ie just making stuff up and or spinning the facts. (Example Fox News)

    --

    Really, I know what I'm doing...Ohhhh, look at the shiny buttons!
  50. The point is, we need each other by initialE · · Score: 1

    A smart person can't be smart without interaction with others. Preferably other intelligence. It's called iron sharpening iron.

    --
    Starbucks, Harbuckle of Breath.
  51. That's what she said by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    We scrutinize our motivations and search for relevant reasons; we lament our mistakes to therapists and ruminate on the beliefs that led us astray. The problem with this introspective approach is that the driving forces behind biases—the root causes of our irrationality—are largely unconscious, which means they remain invisible to self-analysis and impermeable to intelligence.

    I call Bullshit!

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  52. Old news by BenBoy · · Score: 3, Informative

    And why beholdest thou the mote that is in thy brother's eye, but considerest not the beam that is in thine own eye?
    -- Matthew 7:3

  53. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by networkBoy · · Score: 1

    So I'm guessing that by your above (GP) post and this PP following it that you are highly educated likely from Berkley or Stanford (RPI and MIT grads don't make those kinds of errors :p )
    -nB

    --
    whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
  54. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by networkBoy · · Score: 1

    You really can't extrapolate the legislature's education level to the rest of the country... If that was possible then 90 something percent of us would be lawyers.
    -nB

    --
    whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
  55. It's a wide ranging course by dbIII · · Score: 1

    If you've got a Bachelor of Engineering you really do get a starting point in every type of engineering and a few sciences. That can be built on to produce some capability in a wide range of fields. Of course there's a huge difference between someone that dabbles and a true professional in a field, or somebody that has sat on that starting point and barely moved since.
    I used to be an engineer, but then somebody had to look after a cluster a bit over a decade ago and I can't call my job engineering any more.

  56. Re:SAT scores? by ace37 · · Score: 2

    I didn't understand this until I learned about my wife. Her ACT score was only ~+1 standard deviation above the norm--nothing special really--but she graduated cum laude in college and then top 15% in medical school (AOA). She has OCD, and it inhibits her on any question presented using the paradox of choice.

    I think a lot of people have analogous problems--they may fully understand the concept being tested but remain unable to demonstrate that in their test score or other metric for whatever reason. I think language and terminology are common culprits.

  57. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

    I think you are making up shit that you hope supports your opinion without even trying to get it to fit reality. I went through college without a single loan, working part time and full-time summers (most summers full time working and full-time college). Even with money a serious issue, I didn't turn conservative. Most likely, it's the rejection of people and loss of empathy that you get when the only people you deal with are exceptions to the rules (family) and people you hate (everyone at work or in traffic on the way there, or the DMV for an occasional renewal). If you had remained as socially active and connected as you were in college, you wouldn't have become a jackass (a requirement for the brand of conservativism practiced in the US, where they'll claim "fiscal responsibility" when cutting a program, when it is actually cheaper to fund the program and not deal with the social effects of safety nets being cut).

  58. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    Mississippi [venturamojo.com] is the most conservative state and last in education.

    As conservatives hate public education, it makes sense. The most conservative states will cut education until they are last, then brag about it. That doesn't mean that lack of education causes conservativism, but more likely, conservativism causes anti-intellectual ripples. It's a great cone of ignorance. with the conservatives at the middle.

  59. It's a terrible article but... by IntentionalStance · · Score: 1

    Read Kahneman's book - it is one of the most important books I have read in years.

  60. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    n college the more conservative students are more apt to hit the books and study, while the liberal ones will party more. However the liberal students are less career minded and will more likely go directly into higher education.

    I never noticed any such thing. Have you seen something to suggest that, or are you just making it up. Yale is a study school, and Chico State is a party school, or something like that?

  61. alternature theory by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    I'm so used to doing 2 things at once that when I do one, like listen to someone or do math, I get distracted by what can only be called attention surplus disorder. That's my theory.

  62. Think Isaac Asimov by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here's why smart people get the wrong answer more often than expected. First you have to realize that the example problems are designed to illustrate so-called "fast and frugal" mental heuristics. Whether you got the answer right or wrong, in all likelihood the first answer to instantaneously pop into your head was the wrong answer. The wrong answer comes not from crappy math, but from a biological short-circuit in your brain that tries to calculate these things automatically, except the algorithm it uses will result in a conspicuously wrong answers in these cases.

    Second, you have to understand that intelligent people are more likely to invent similar heuristics, often unintentionally or without reflection. There's the famous case of Asimov, who could calculate change from a transaction seemingly instantaneously. People thought he was a savant, except all he really was was yet another person who taught himself to habitually break up a calculation into easier intermediate calculations. He then wrote a book about it after he realized that not everybody calculated change that way.

    So the more intelligent you are, the more likely you are to use and rely on a toolbox of heuristics. And because you're not always aware that you're using
    these heuristics, you don't realize that you unintentionally rely on them to come to answers quickly. And without understanding that, you're less likely to catch yourself responding with the wrong answer---derived from a trusty mental heuristic---to the above questions.

    Now, that's my analysis. How the authors go from that simple explanation to an existential crisis of the liberal intelligenstia, I have no idea.

    1. Re:Think Isaac Asimov by Georules · · Score: 1

      Gotcha. From this logic, I guess I was too stupid not to automatically knee-jerk 24 because I didn't have a heuristic which was false? Regardless of other numbers that may have popped in my head, I got the right answer before determining my response.

      I understand why some people might get the answer wrong. However, I didn't see any statistic quoted in the article which supported the claim that more would get it wrong than I'd expect. It just asserted that I would answer the wrong answer because I would take a shortcut, which I did not do.

  63. Smart people aren't stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But rather, stupid people who others think are smart, are stupid. Seriously, I've seen people who would otherwise be called mentally retarded being labeled as "gifted" for no reason other than they did well on an IQ test.

      People who are not "smart" are poor judges of others' intelligence and are prone to thinking themselves or others as being geniuses for the most inane of reasons.

  64. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ah, yes, "rugged individualism," two words, together or separately, that in a decade of living next to the Capitol Hill Club have never occurred to me as descriptive of a singlre, solitary member of the place. You'll find more of that sort of thing at the local Radical Faeries club, conveniently located two blocks away.

  65. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by mikael_j · · Score: 1

    You were never worried about your student loans? Wow, I worried about them every month.

    Sheltered? I'd say my experience was a bit different, I was surrounded by people who for the first time in their lives actually had to do things on their own, manage their own personal economy, get up in the morning, cook their own food, deal with authorities and the associated paperwork...

    High school, now there was a sheltered environment. Kids living off their parents' money, a dictatorial environment where the leaders (teachers) would pretend there was a semblance of democracy but the moment the kids disagreed it was back to the teachers making the decisions as "benevolent" dictators. The vast majority of kids really not having any major worries. That's where the goofball ideologies flourished, the kids on the right where neo-liberals, anarcho-capitalists, nazis, libertarians, "randroids" and the like, the kids on the left were anarchists, syndicalists, marxists, maoists, anarcho-primitivists...

    --
    Greylisting is to SMTP as NAT is to IPv4
  66. Re:Very smart people ... by datavirtue · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    There is nothing wrong with posting AC. STFU

    --
    I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
  67. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Darkness404 · · Score: 2

    If we, for a moment define "right wing" as Republican and "left wing" as Democrat (and ignore for a moment third parties and independent voters and the inconsistencies between labeling them right wing and left wing)

    The majority of universities are left wing because that is in their best self interest. Look at who pays professors at state-run universities: the state. In general, democrats spend more on education meaning the university gets more money and they get paid more. Similarly if you are in the "pure science" fields (science for the sake of science) you'd vote democrat because they support public funding for sciences more than republicans.

    The majority of students at universities will tend to, at least for a while, support the policies of the democrats. Why? Who is paying for their college? Usually its federal loans and federal grants. Who supports increasing the amount of financial aid? Democrats. Students usually also have a lower tax burden, are working lower-paying jobs and consume more government assistance.

    The higher education you have the more likely you are to be in a university job which means you want more funding which means you vote democrat.

    On the other hand, the person who gets a decent paying job doing manual work is likely to pay higher taxes sooner (though perhaps less overall because they most likely will make less in their lifetime), they would favor less government assistance (when the college kids are making part-time minimum wage, they are advancing the ladder in their chosen trade and generally wouldn't qualify for assistance and aren't going to use grants and federal financial aid) and would vote republican.

    Education makes you more liberal is true, but it is simply on a matter of self interest and should not be taken as those who think better are liberal, merely that those with higher education levels tend to work in areas financed by the government such as universities and "pure" sciences which receive grants while those with only high school or bachelor's degrees tend to work for the private sector.

    --
    Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
  68. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by The+Dancing+Panda · · Score: 1

    This is very short sighted, and assumes that everything students do is driven by money. Which is isn't. During my time in college (I'm 28), Your political views were generally driven by social issues rather than anything to do with taxes or federal funding of loans.

  69. WolframAlpha Answer by MunkieLife · · Score: 1

    Interesting... I definitely over thought the problem. But, I did come to the correct answer.

    http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=Integrate[2^x%2C+{x%2C+0%2C+a}]+%2F+Integrate[2^x%2C+{x%2C+0%2C+48}]%29+%3D+.5

    I guess from the beginning of the problem, before I finished reading it, I started wondering how much was covering the pond after just one day (The first day)... which is something I thought I couldn't do in my head, which then led me down this path.

  70. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by treeves · · Score: 1

    See, that's why the educational system is so left-leaning! Liberal principals!

    --
    ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
  71. Re:Why are supposedly "smart" researchers so stupi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems to me this is an argument for why dumb people are dumb -- impatiently blurting out a guess yields an obvious and incorrect answer, wereas doing the actual computation yields the correct answer easily.

  72. Just as I suspected ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Big mouthed people who love to hear themselves talk and espouse their own brilliance are just dim bulb slobs who can barely get their shoes tied in the morning -- pretty much like everyone else.

  73. Re: most dangerous bias by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think the most dangerous bias in normal people is the assumption that the entirety of their irrationality lies within their emotions. The idea, in other words, that those ideas and motivations represented by the non-emotional “reasoning” portion of their mind is somehow safer from irrationality's taint than the “clearly irrational” emotional side. The non-emotional is not a haven from irrationality.

    The fine line separating the genius from the lunatic marks the difference between having the presence and strength of mind to exert reasoned rationality as a control on the ego and not. Living with the mind of a mad man only makes you a mad man if you allow your ego to believe everything that pops up from your subconscious. In this, the lunatic who knows he's crazy has the advantage over the oblivious lunatic as well as over the average person who is over confident in his unemotional reasoning.

    Deal with the tides of irrationality that those who dance that fine line experience daily and you develop an OCD like manner of self examining your every thought, emotional or not, before accepting it as rational. To do otherwise could mean a one-way ticket to loony land or worse.

    But on the other hand, I'm crazy so don't listen to me.

    There is no such thing as objectivity, only bias that has been acknowledged to allow others to search for its effects.

    But at least I'm smarter than the “...more than fifty per cent of students at Harvard, Princeton, and M.I.T” who “gave the incorrect answer to the bat-and-ball question...”

    So I have that going for me.

    P.S. Would it be pedantic of me to point out that the bat and ball question is a simple algebra problem and not “a simple arithmetic question” as stated in the article?
    (ref.: http://www.armoredpenguin.com/math/)

  74. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Jello, you're conflating the different uses of the terms liberal and conservative.

    I wrote a long post about how I'm socially conservative but politically liberal, but who cares what some random AC has to say about himself, so instead I'll just point you in the direction of Wikipedia's article on the political spectrum.

  75. Oops I slipped by dontclapthrowmoney · · Score: 1

    I like that when I use the moderation on my Android phone, I have to select from the radio buttons then hit "ok". On my windows 7 laptop I don't get that second chance.

    (FYI I'm posting this to undo an incorrect mod)

  76. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Alomex · · Score: 2

    Red states are In rural areas you have land and you are more self reliant.

    Actually Red states are higher recipients of Federal aid than Blue states.

  77. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by sydbarrett74 · · Score: 2

    In college the more conservative students are more apt to hit the books and study, while the liberal ones will party more. However the liberal students are less career minded and will more likely go directly into higher education.

    Complete and utter horse-shit. When I was in school, it was the more liberal students who kept long hours in the library and hit the books, whilst the more conservative-leaning tended to join social fraternities and stay drunk. Associates of mine, regardless of whether they went to state schools or private institutions, will back me up. Your post seemed somewhat insightful until that last paragraph, with which your entire argument ran off the rails.

    --
    'He who has to break a thing to find out what it is, has left the path of wisdom.' -- Gandalf to Saruman
  78. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by sFurbo · · Score: 1

    This [...] assumes that everything students do is driven by money.

    Not necessarily, it can be much more subtle. As a university employee, it is easy to see why spending more on university is a good idea, and harder to see why taxing production more is a bad idea (and vica versa for people owning production facilities). This makes it easier to agree with left-wing politicies than with right-wing ones*. The views of the professors will affect (or even effect) the views of the students, so it is possible to end up with students being left-wing for economic reasons, without it being for their own, short-sighted selfinterest.

    *In this post, left-wing is defined as high-tax, high-public-spending, and right-wing is the opposite. This doesn't match the US political system, but that is another point.

  79. oblig xkcd by vnaughtdeltat · · Score: 1
    http://xkcd.com/793/

    from the alt text: "No, I don't need to read your thesis, I can imagine roughly what it says."

  80. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Sique · · Score: 1

    And this is different from any other "political thought" exactly how?

    Politics is the way you further your interests in the society. That's what politics is all about. "Conservative" political thought is the same thin layer of logical fallacies to cover your own interests. For each school of thought and each fundamental principle in it there is a counterexample where following this principle as proven to make things worse.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  81. Common OP biases by wienerschnizzel · · Score: 1

    why smart people are often more likely to make cognitive errors than stupid people.

    The article is not talking about any cognitive errors. It is talking about problems that are specifically designed to induce these kind of errors. If the tests comprised of questions like "the bat and the ball cost together $1.13. The bat costs $87. How much does the ball cost?" you would find that those 'stupid' people would make more mistakes.

    Furthermore the research itself seems dishonest. They state that knowing about these biases does not help a person to avoid them. So did they make a test where they warned the participants that the questions were specifically designed to provoke wrong answers? If they did, they forgot to mention the results.

  82. What I tell my students... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't ever let your brain get in the way of a good time.

  83. Verbal versus non-verbal intelligence by Frans+Faase · · Score: 1

    I am getting the impression that the SAT score correlates rather strong with Verbal intelligence. While the type of puzzles, which I answered correctly within a second, are very much depending on non-verbal (performal/visual) intelligence. I think this is true for many of the Slashdot readers. But on the other hand, I have to agree, I often see intelligent people (especially those who are strong on verbal skils) make thinking errors like the one mentioned in the article, and I also often caught myself making these kind of mistakes, while I am rather strong non-verbal thinker. I guess that my experience with debugging has learned me to think things through and not rely on the first answer that pops up in my mind. I also have come to the realisation that real thinking is hard and requires effort. But it is also a fact that many intelligent people stumble on problems like the Monty Hall puzzle, and that some of those cannot be convinced of the correct answer. I have come to the conclusion that some people with a PhD degree are lacking the non-verbal intelligence required to understand a problem like the Monty Hall puzzle, which sometimes frustrates me.

  84. no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I may commit more mistakes but i do them all in my head and arrive at a right answer then post/write..etc.
    STUPID people just blither on and on and try everything slowly and out loud and write mistakes and et all.
    DUMBEST post on slashdot ever guess the posters of articles feel threatened that intelligence lurks about them.

  85. The thing about trick questions. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The thing about trick questions is that they are INTENDED to trip people up. Therefore when it doesn't trip people up enough, a different question is posed until one gets enough failures. And after a while, the "correct" answer is from a specific chain of causaility and therefore hard to follow through.

    Add to that that people are trusting the questions to be honest, they aren't looking for the trip-up, therefore they are tripped up.

    On a blog there was a question posed:

    A man says he has two children, the elder one is male. What is the chance that the younger is male?

    The "correct" answer is supposed to be 0% because the poser of the question says you need to infer that if the older one is male and specified, then this must mean that the eldest is specifically the male and therefore the younger not male, else the statement would have been "one of them is male" without the specific of the age.

    Except that this doesnt' have to be the case.

    But it is insisted to be so because this is a trick question.

    1. Re:The thing about trick questions. by Relayman · · Score: 1

      Okay, I know a family where the man has two children, the elder one is male and so is the younger one. Whoever says 0% is wrong.

      --
      If I used a sig over again, would anyone notice?
  86. Dunning–Kruger effect and Ego inflation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect

    "The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes.[1]"

    We are also into our second generation of kids who have not had honest feedback on their abilities. The PC position is that people with high self esteem are more successful in life. Real life studies show just the reverse. Prisons are full of people with inflated egos and a sense of entitlement while people with low self esteem and a need to prove themselves go on to win the Nobel Prize, create art and found companies like Google.

  87. Am I a genius then? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I should be a genius then, based on the amount of mistakes of this kind a fall in. :D

  88. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Except that both of the presidential candidates went to Harvard...

  89. Lehrer's Mantra: by virgnarus · · Score: 1

    War is Peace. Freedom is Slavery. Intelligence is Ignorance.

  90. GM Lilies! by DarthVain · · Score: 3, Funny

    Personally as a member of the human race I think that would be a fairly ignominious way to die off.

    Alien Teacher: You see in this example the race of "Humans" actually managed to kill themselves off by creating a common "lily pad" (similar to our Xanopods here on Trellic) that reproduced much too quickly. It quickly choked out all food supplies and eventually the Humans themselves.
    Alien Kid: But teacher, that is stupid why would they do that?
    Alien Teacher: Because class, sometimes even very smart people can be stupid when they take cognitive shortcuts. OK class that is all for today, dismissed!

  91. people are good.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People are good at what they care about. That's it.

  92. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by BenLeeImp · · Score: 3, Informative

    I was skeptical, and looked up some data. It seems this is indeed correct.

    http://taxfoundation.org/article/federal-spending-received-dollar-taxes-paid-state-2005

    Quite interesting.

  93. Election-year Troll by gtt · · Score: 1

    This is a troll. Every election year in the US this one makes the rounds. It's a dig against "liberal intelligentsia".

  94. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Eli+Gottlieb · · Score: 1

    To quote a popular Slashdot sig, "I like paying taxes. With them I buy civilization."

  95. Smart? Like the people who wrote this article? by stewbacca · · Score: 1

    Indeed smart people can be dumb, like the ones who wrote this article.

    “people who were aware of their own biases were not better able to overcome them.”

    While it may be true some smart people cannot overcome their own biases, the first step in being smarter than others is being able to identify your biases, so you can work on overcoming them. The willfully ignorant person has no chance if they don't know what they don't know.

    Also, they have an interesting definition of bias. Yes, I got the math questions wrong because I am lazy and didn't take them seriously. I don't refute I got them wrong, however. If I were biased, I would not accept the fact that I was wrong, even when faced with evidence to the contrary...or at least that's what bias means to me. I also suck at math, and can't come to the correct conclusions on my own, but I DO understand and accept the correct answer when they are laid before me. To that regard, I consider myself unbiased. My cognition was only biased by my laziness, in this case.

    When I think bias in the terms of intellect, I think people who cannot and/or refuse to accept a empirical evidence because of their pre-disposed belief system (be it religion, ignorance, money, corruption). Think "Al Gore" and "Environmentalism". He wants his beliefs to be true so badly, that he exaggerates what is actually true, and ignores anything that refutes his belief. (Please, spare me any political banter, because I voted for Gore and I do my part for the environment, just using him as an example since he seems to be a bit 'out there').

    Cheers. ~stewie

  96. Your experience don't generalize by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I won't bother look up in the litterature but inr eality the following correlation happens : the smarter you are, the more likely you know you can be in error, and the more likely you will double check/give dsclaimer etc..., whereas slightly less smart people (but still in the average) will in fact lean forward and pretend their knowledge is sure, or say they are on solid ground. Case in point : the dunning kruger effect.

  97. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

    Red states are In rural areas you have land and you are more self reliant.

    I call bovine manure.

    Red states suck more money from the federal government than they put in. The largest transfer payments are to elderly and disabled people in red states because the overhead in providing medical services to them is so much more than providing these benefits to the elderly in larger population centers (plus - interesting factoid - a smaller number of them continue to work after retirement age than in urban areas). In addition, rural people tend to get farm subsidies, take more money to get roads to them, and get subsidized benefits like grazing on federal land. These idiots endlessly suck at federal and state government's teats while all the while bitching about government being too large and costing too much.

    It's like my conservative brother who was just elected to be a circuit judge - for years he was bitching about government employees. Now that he works for the government, suddenly, they're not that bad. Red state conservatives are the most hypocritical fools I've ever met.

    --
    That is all.
  98. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by stewbacca · · Score: 1

    Like my father used to say..."vote your pocketbook, son!". To which I say, my dad was an idiot.

  99. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by stewbacca · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You could have cut down your entire post by simply acknowledging that Universities lean left because critical thinking, empirical evidence, scientific inquiry, meta-cognition, and heavy doses of skepticism are staples for both.

    You also failed to acknowledge that what qualifies as "right wing" and "left wing" swings wildly based on era and geography. I registered Republican in the 1980s. I haven't had anyone in my party to vote for since G. H. W. Bush left office. I've also lived in Georgia and Texas, but grew up in the Northwest. I'm more liberal than some so called "Democrats" in those states. I've also lived in England and Germany, where the concept of right and left are on completely different scales.

    So, no, I don't think your analysis is very accurate. In fact, it sounds like the same sort of anti-intellectual rationalization for not having an education that I hear daily on conservative talk radio.

  100. Re:Why are supposedly "smart" researchers so stupi by noldrin · · Score: 1

    Exactly, the problem is a big part of what makes humans efficient is to solve new problems using old solutions. When I walk up to a door, it's good to assume that it functions like every other door, and not assume it's some sort of trick door and spend a few minutes considering how the door functions. I was able to get the right answer to the tests questions because I assumed they were trying to trick me because it was a test given my psychologists. Do I always assume that? No, my productive thinking would be consume by paranoia over minutia. The goal is to have alarms go off when things have a higher probability to trick you.

  101. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by phlinn · · Score: 1

    Treating the social effect as a cost is loaded with assumptions. The loss of a safety net costs me nothing if I don't rely on it myself. Ceasing to voluntarily alleviate someone else's suffering doesn't make me responsible for their condition that would also exist even if I didn't. So if they turn around and impose actual costs on me through force, then they are responsible for that decision, not the end of the program. It may be cheaper to provide such programs at least in the short term, but danegeld usually is. That doesn't necessarily mean it's a good idea. Disclaimer: I may not find social saftety nets inherently moral, but their practical effects are ususally such that I don't care about them and don't really mind paying taxes for them. I personally like helping other people out. I just detest it when someone will force someone else to pay for something and then pretend that they are being benevolent themselves

    All that being said, I don't think any neat narratives about when political positions get formed will ever be accurate. Life isn't generally that neat. That goes both for the GP's suggestiong about real life starting after college, and your point about

    --
    "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
  102. Re:Why are supposedly "smart" researchers so stupi by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

    This is a great comment and a perfectly rational explanation for the findings. We are so used to having problems worded in a particular way, presenting information in a particular way, etc. that it can make it difficult to spot something that makes the question a little more complex.

    I also think subtle details can change the way people answer these questions. Suppose the first question instead was:

    A bat and ball cost $1.10 total. The ball costs $0.84 less than the bat. How much does the ball cost?

    I guarantee you that the results would favor those with higher SAT scores. In fact, even if you just changed the difference in prices to a number that is less round, it will cause people to think differently. As the question is worded, it encourages the reader to associate "a dollar and ten cents" with "a dollar" only a few words later. If you make that association less strong, even by changing "a dollar and ten" to $1.10, it will already change the results.

    Also, the choice of subject in each sentence is important. When you say "A bat and a ball cost..." then "A bat costs..." and then "How much does the ball cost," it encourages a quick reader to break down the "a dollar and ten" into its constitutent "a dollar" and then "ten cents." If you switch the emphasis, as I did, to the fact that "a ball costs less," then "how much does the ball cost?", that would also disrupt the tendency to parse incorrectly.

    It would also be in line with simple word problem structure, which often tends to make a series of statements about X and then ask a further question about X. (e.g., "X is taller than..." "X is wider than..." followed by "How big is X?")

    In contrast, the structure of this problem encourages a reader to make assignments: X and Y cost... X costs... how much is Y? That's a different problem type, but it's also common, and that's probably why many people who have taken a lot of tests stumble here.

    I'm not an expert on these things, but I have taught for a number of years, and I was on a number of committees that developed standards for testing. I think most people who write tests are aware of how these sorts of details in wording the question will trip people up -- did the psychologists not actually talk to people who write test questions?

    I also think context plays a huge role. If you preface the first question with "Here's a simple arithmetic question:" that will encourage the person hearing/reading the question to think of it as such. As written, however, the question is worded as an algebra question. In other words:

    Arithmetic: X + Y = Z, X is X, find Y. Answer: Y = Z - X.
    Algebra: X + Y = Z, X = Y + N, find Y. Answer: Y = (Z - N) / 2

    The problem is not a "simple arithmetic" problem for most people, particularly if round numbers weren't involved.

    Of course, when I read the description in the article of a "simple arithmetic question," it merely put me on guard and made me read the question more carefully, because the subject of the article convinced me that I should pay attention.

    Context is everything.

    They're just good at solving tricky word problems as quickly as possible, primarily by ignoring information. In my experience, this methodology is often the inverse of an intelligent process.

    I do have to disagree here. The reality is that the only way you can become more intelligent is by learning to process information efficiently. Some of that is being able to distill essential information quickly, which also means ignoring stuff that isn't important. I'm not talking about "taking a standardized test" efficiency -- I'm talking about real-world comprehension of events around you, where smart people need to be able to quickly connect chains of related information into a coherent whole, either to solve a particular problem, or to learn how to do more complex ones without a bunch of "baby step

  103. It's about sowing the oats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who cares what the answers are and how fast you can reach them? Isn't it all about procreation and passing on your genes? Genghis Khan probably would have answered both questions wrong before lopping the questioner's head off yet a huge portion of the human population have his genes inside them.

  104. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by airdweller · · Score: 1

    Nice troll. Oh, wait, you actually believe that? Oops.

  105. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by phlinn · · Score: 1

    There are some issues with those numbers. My home state of Montana for instance. Who is the primary beneficiary of an interstate through farm areas, the farmers, or the urban dwellers who want food to be shipped cheaply? Should Montana pay for maintenance of land which is federally owned? We have vast national forest regions in addition to glacier national park and a small section of Yellowstone. Are payments to Indian Tribes included? The people in this state would overwhelmingly prefer to end the same programs which are shipping so many funds this way...You might want to consider actually ending those federal programs and let the chips fall where they may.

    Back to the original point, even with more federal funds, the lack of people nearby would still leave you more self reliant as an individual. Even Montana has urbanized areas though, which makes it tricky to actually separate rural and urban on a per state basis.

    --
    "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
  106. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by phlinn · · Score: 1

    I wouldn't extrapolate from your friend. Most red state conservatives would be happy to see the government programs which send so much money their way end. Why does the federal government own and manage so much land in the first place? Should you really hold the cost of maintenance of federal land against the people of the state those lands lie in? Do roads to farms primarily benefit the farmer, or everyone who buys food from them?

    The factoid about elderly workers makes sense to me, since urban areas are going to have more jobs which are light on physical labor.

    --
    "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
  107. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by phlinn · · Score: 1

    IIRC people with less than high school/GED trend liberal, HS to 4 years of college trend conservative, and grad school trends liberal again. All trends are fairly weak. One source. Others can be found with more searching, and those numbers are old.

    --
    "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
  108. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Darkness404 · · Score: 1
    Which is more likely, the fact that individuals are acting with their own self interest in mind and the fact that people tend to vote with people who they perceive to benefit from. The fact that most democrats tend to vote in favor of federally funded science programs and universities and are general proponents of aid for college.

    Or is it more likely that because I identify more as X than Y, clearly X must be superior in all the ways that I believe myself to be superior, which is what your argument basically comes down to.

    People vote for who they think will benefit them the most. People with higher education tend to work in education because in the business world with a few exceptions (law fields, medical fields) having an advanced degree really doesn't transfer to all that better pay and a better job. In general, democrats tend to vote in ways that favor education funding. Republicans tend to vote in ways that favor the private sector. Naturally those who are in education will vote democrat if they think it will help education and therefore will help them. Those in the private sector will vote republican if they think it will help the private sector and therefore will help them.

    As for your last part I said in my comment

    If we, for a moment define "right wing" as Republican and "left wing" as Democrat (and ignore for a moment third parties and independent voters and the inconsistencies between labeling them right wing and left wing)

    meaning that I recognize the fact that left wing and right wing make no sense but I used them because the poster I replied to used them.

    --
    Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
  109. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    Which you then play for 10 years in a row.

  110. Obligatory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's why you're still kids, because you're stupid!

  111. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by stewbacca · · Score: 1

    Which is more likely, the fact that individuals are acting with their own self interest in mind and the fact that people tend to vote with people who they perceive to benefit from. The fact that most democrats tend to vote in favor of federally funded science programs and universities and are general proponents of aid for college.

    I have a simpler explanation. PEOPLE (not Democrats) vote in favor of federally funded science programs and universities and are proponents of aid for college because it's good for society. So sure, if that's what you mean by "self-interest", I agree. For me a better society is in everyones self-interest.

    Or is it more likely that because I identify more as X than Y, clearly X must be superior in all the ways that I believe myself to be superior, which is what your argument basically comes down to.

    Says you. That's not my argument at all, nor did I say anything to infer as much.

    People vote for who they think will benefit them the most.

    I'm a "people" and I don't vote that way. I'm sure there are millions more who don't vote this way either. I was in the military for 10 years and I never advocated increasing the defense budget, for one small example.

    People with higher education tend to work in education because in the business world with a few exceptions (law fields, medical fields) having an advanced degree really doesn't transfer to all that better pay and a better job.

    This is pretty awful logic. Since having an advanced degree is a requirement for all people working in higher education, it only makes sense that all people in higher education have advanced degrees (duh). The reason people without advanced degrees don't work in higher education is because they aren't qualified. I have an advanced degree in Education and I make 6 figures as a training manager. I'm pretty sure there are zero teachers with BA degrees that make 6 figures. It appears there are more fields out there other than law and medical that reward higher salaries for higher education than you suggest.

  112. Re:Why are supposedly "smart" researchers so stupi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can't agree more. Thanks

  113. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    Treating the social effect as a cost is loaded with assumptions. The loss of a safety net costs me nothing if I don't rely on it myself.

    So you'd have no prisons, no jails, no courts, no government of any kind? If the nets are gone and people who are desperate turn to crime, what will you do without your net of the police? If you arrest them yourself, what will you do with them without courts and prisons?

    I just detest it when someone will force someone else to pay for something and then pretend that they are being benevolent themselves

    Taxes aren't force. Move out of the US and renounce your citizenship, and no more US taxes. You choose to stay and be responsible for the implicit social contract. As you agreed to it, it's no longer force. It's done by the government that represents you. You obviously hate democracy, as sometimes things get voted in by the majority that some minority doesn't like.

  114. Quite simple by NewYork · · Score: 1

    "You are a product of your environment." --Clement Stone

  115. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by benhattman · · Score: 1

    People vote for who they think will benefit them the most.

    No they don't. People are thinking all sorts of things when they cast their vote, but to pretend it is some kind of economic maximizing proposition is clearly false. In my experience, very few people actually vote such a way. The people I know vote based on concepts like freedom (libertarians), helping others (social liberals), religious views (social conservatives), etc.

    Thinking about it, if someone told me that they voted solely based on which party would push the most money towards them, do you know what party I would associate that person with? I'd think of them as being in the Sociopath Party.

  116. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by phlinn · · Score: 1

    Courts, prisons, jails, etc are not a social effect, they are a government effect. A social effect would be, for instance, the human suffering of the individuals previously on the safety net. Paying a prison to hold people who end up choosing crime after their safety net is cut may be more expensive for any given individual... but only a subset of them would do so, so even on purely utilitarian grounds it may be cheaper overall. Since I'm a libertarian rather than an anarchist, I'm perfectly willing to claim that the bare minimum responsibilites of government are more legitimate than an expansive safety net.

    Taxes are force. What gives you, or even the majority, the right to demand that I comply or move? That demand is itself backed up by force. I don't hate democracy in particular, I just recognize that majority support doesn't automatically mean something is moral. Democracy still is better at avoiding certain failure modes than other forms of government. If you separate the program from it's funding, I'm willing to concede that a government program can be beneficial in it's effects. But the taxes used to pay for it are not. You can't objectively subtract the cost of one from the benefit of the other, because the values are subjective. It's not just money on either the cost or benefit side. I personally subjectively value, as an example, limited unemployment benefits more than the cost of providing those benefits. But I recognize that the cost of providing those benefits is coercion, and I'd just as soon allow people the option to forgo both if they so choose.

    Also, note the recent furor over someone actually trying to renounce their citizenship to avoid US taxes.

    --
    "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
  117. Re:Liberals = More Educated = More Cognitive Error by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Interesting that my recent experience seems to contradict yours then.

    Perhaps about 50% of liberals are party animals, and 50% of conservatives are as well, and we're just observing some sort of population biasing at our respective schools. (aka, my school was more conservative, and I observed more conservative students in the library, so I just assume that the liberal students are out partying, and you observed and concluded the same thing except with the political leanings switched.)