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No Bomb Powerful Enough To Destroy an On-Rushing Asteroid, Sorry Bruce Willis

coondoggie writes "Maybe it's the doom predictions about the end of the Mayan calendar this year, or maybe these guys are obsessed with old Bruce Willis movies. Either way a class of physics students from the University of Leicester decided to evaluate whether or not the premise of Willis' 1998 'Armageddon' movie — where a group of oil drillers is sent by NASA to detonate nuclear devices on an asteroid that threatens to destroy Earth — could actually happen. The students found it would take a bomb about a billion times stronger than the biggest bomb ever detonated on Earth."

59 of 352 comments (clear)

  1. What do you mean OLD Bruce Willis movies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Armagedon is not that old at all.. uhmm.. ohmm...

    Fuck, get of my lawn

    1. Re:What do you mean OLD Bruce Willis movies by Chrisq · · Score: 2

      Armagedon is not that old at all.. uhmm.. ohmm...

      Fuck, get of my lawn

      If you are talking about the original Armagedon it is most certainly a case of "get off my lawn".

    2. Re:What do you mean OLD Bruce Willis movies by mwvdlee · · Score: 5, Funny

      Fuck, get of my lawn

      You want them to do both at the same time?
      I'll assume the preferred order is in the order written.

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  2. Quoth North Korea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    We have a bomb that big! OoooOOOOOooh!

    1. Re:Quoth North Korea by omnichad · · Score: 4, Funny

      Funny, I thought you were quoting Hollywood. Perhaps The Happening? One of the biggest bombs I've seen in a long time...

  3. not about destroying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    is it me or did the class get it wrong, it was never about destroying an asteroid, it was about splitting it up in pieces or nudging it out of the earth direction

    1. Re:not about destroying by ArcherB · · Score: 4, Interesting

      is it me or did the class get it wrong, it was never about destroying an asteroid, it was about splitting it up in pieces or nudging it out of the earth direction

      Exactly what I was thinking: Define "destroy". Do they mean completely vaporize or just something that will do the job?

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    2. Re:not about destroying by symes · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Indeed. A small nudge, if applied when the asteroid is still some distance from Earth, could have a considerable impact on it's trajectory. That would make an interesting project, simulating the relationship between time to asteroid, payload, asteroid mass and what not to determine how quickly we would need to react.

    3. Re:not about destroying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Also why not do a case study for thresholds where the bomb might be useful. An asteroid that threatens the planet may not be stopped, but something that could wipe out a metropolitan area and cause trillions of dollars of damage might be a size that could be. An asteroid on that scale may do less or no damage if it could be broken into small enough pieces before it hits the atmosphere.

      Also anyone remember that Deep Impact mission with the copper slug slammed into an asteroid some years back? That inert chunk of metal also happened to be very close to the volume and mass of a common nuclear warhead in the U.S. arsenal. (Looking at those numbers, it doesn't appear too random.) It seems somebody was seriously considering the idea.

    4. Re:not about destroying by pantaril · · Score: 2

      is it me or did the class get it wrong, it was never about destroying an asteroid, it was about splitting it up in pieces or nudging it out of the earth direction

      Indeed drilling a hole to the center of the asteroid and blowing it from inside is inefficient and stupid. The best way would be to aply force to the side of the asteroid, so its trajectory would change to non-coliding with earth. It can be some king of one-time explosion, or it could be small but perpetual force like ion-drive powered space-craft pushing to the side, or even series of mirrors orbiting the asteroid and reflecting sun-shine to its side for prolonged period of time.

      See http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/03/201232110854436189.html for some interestig ideas.

    5. Re:not about destroying by mosb1000 · · Score: 5, Informative

      If you'd read the article, you'd know that the calculation was to determine how powerful the explosion would need to be to split the asteroid in half so that the two pieces would pass by the earth. Basically, the same thing that was done in the movie. Only, in their calculation, the explosion occurred when the asteroid was still 8 billion miles away.

    6. Re:not about destroying by arth1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Indeed drilling a hole to the center of the asteroid and blowing it from inside is inefficient and stupid. The best way would be to aply force to the side of the asteroid, so its trajectory would change to non-coliding with earth.

      I'd think that for a small body, the two are the same. A reason for drilling a deep hole first would be to get a much more precise vector for pushing the asteroid.
      Sure, you lose a lot of energy that way, but you lose an awful lot with a surface blast too, where more than half the blast force won't hit the asteroid at all. There's no way of making a nuclear explosion into a shaped charge without using the environment to shape it.

    7. Re:not about destroying by hazem · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Arthur C. Clarke's book, "The Hammer of God" was about this exact topic. It featured all kinds of neat furistic technology, like making a huge detonation in the solar system to emit a huge burst of EM radiation to find dark asteroids, and trying to put a mass driver on an asteroid to nudge it off course. It also had a great depiction of a lunar marathon.

      All in all, I thought it was a pretty enjoyable read.

    8. Re:not about destroying by letherial · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That wouldnt be a good movie.

      Its either.
      A. Sir! we got a astroid that is going to hit earth with in 20 years.
                Good find private, now send up the ION maker and point at it for the next 15 years, that should move it away to safely pass by

      OR
      B. Sir we got a asteroid that will hit us in the next few months
                Good find private, we will nuke the bastard, but first we must make some realy cool ships, get a few heroes and they can go drill the hole in the asteroid and really get it good.

      A is good if it realy happens, B is good for the movie theater...

    9. Re:not about destroying by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

      Sure, you lose a lot of energy that way, but you lose an awful lot with a surface blast too, where more than half the blast force won't hit the asteroid at all.

      Use something like a penetrating anti-bunker bomb, only with a nuclear warhead (there are bombs like this, and the surface material should be soft). Let it explode slightly underground. A significant mass gets vaporized, and it escapes through the hole on the top. The crater just being formed acts as a nozzle. An inefficient one, but with a nuke, you have a lot of energy to spend. Using the surrounding asteroid mass as the reactive matter increases the impulse, compared to a contact detonation or a proximity detonation.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    10. Re:not about destroying by Rei · · Score: 5, Funny

      Exactly what I was thinking: Define "destroy". Do they mean completely vaporize or just something that will do the job?

      Yes, if only there was a way to know what the students meant, like, oh I don't know, reading the article?

      --
      Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion.
    11. Re:not about destroying by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

      One of the simplest ways to slowly nudge an asteroid off course is simply to have your spacecraft hover near it, with its (low thrust/high ISP) jets askew (instead of pointing straight at the asteroid). You don't need to be physically attached to an asteroid to tow it; gravity can be your "cable".

      Another even slower but potentially even simpler way proposed to move an asteroid out of an intercept course is to "paint" it (basically, detonate one or more bombs of reflective dust) on particular locations and use the change in solar radiation pressure to do the work for you.

      --
      Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion.
    12. Re:not about destroying by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I assume everyone here has played around with the Earth Impact Effects Program?

      --
      Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion.
    13. Re:not about destroying by Ironhandx · · Score: 2

      Hollywood accountants did the original math. Its the same people that manage to make 200-250m in total expenses cause a movie that makes 1 billion lose money.

      Its called the "fudge it until its believable to the idiots we're dealing with and most beneficial to us" branch of mathematics. They would have needed more props and more side characters if they'd had more bombs and they didn't want to take away from Bruce's star light.

    14. Re:not about destroying by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You can imagine the standard assumption to be that an asteroid is very hard, and that an atomic bomb would mainly give it a good shove that does not break the integrity of the asteroid, and that the heat can be neglected.

      Compare instead an asteroid to be a loose snowball and the bomb to be mainly good at breaking it up and heating it.

      Except that asteroids are not loose snowballs. Even a nuke is too weak to break up anything larger than, say, half a kilometer into pieces - or rather, an point explosion is a rather inefficient way of using that amount of energy. And even if it somehow got split, its own gravity would hold it together.

      (This is, BTW, why the Death Star blowing up Alderaan into pieces in Star Wars is a load of crap - you can see rather solid pieces of matter flying away from the explosion, but the scale doesn't match. The kind of energy capable of instantly propelling a planet-sized load of matter at a few thousand kilometers per second by means of a central explosion with a shock wave would turn the whole thing into plasma instead. (I guess that mentioning that the whole cloud would be rather poor in visible spectrum is a minor bickering at this point.))

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    15. Re:not about destroying by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

      But the asteroid will always be rotating a bit so painting won't help

      Yes, it will. The details of course depend on the particular asteroid, but even painting the entire surface white will alter its trajectory.

      Also, really, pretty much any method proposed for spacecraft acceleration would work for asteroids as well. Laser-pumped? Check. Solar sail? Check. Even some of the less commonly known ones like a magnetic field generator to repel the solar wind would work. It all depends on how big you're willing to go and how quickly you need to move the thing.

      --
      Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion.
    16. Re:not about destroying by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exactly what I was thinking: Define "destroy". Do they mean completely vaporize or just something that will do the job?

      What they mean is "break an asteroid the size of Ceres into two pieces, both of which would miss the planet, assuming the asteroid (the size of Ceres) were only noticed heading towards Earth at about the time the guys in the movie noticed it".

      And while it is no doubt true that it would take that much energy to break Ceres in half if it were that far away, this says nothing at all about more, shall we say, "realistic" scenarios involving asteroids small enough to actually get that close before we notice them.

      Or for that matter, asteroids that big as far away as we'd notice them....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    17. Re:not about destroying by newslash.formatblows · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I thought it was funny in the movie that they had two huge pieces practically grazing the Earth. For a real asteroid that could still be undetected (few km in diameter), that would be fine. For one "the size of Texas" and so solid that it could break drill bits left and right, the tidal forces when it came that close would probably mean high tide in Denver.

    18. Re:not about destroying by Minwee · · Score: 2

      A small nudge, if applied when the asteroid is still some distance from Earth, could have a considerable impact on it's trajectory.

      I disagree. It's not about whether there is an effect but whether the effect is big enough.

      Actually, that's the whole point. If the effect isn't big enough, you just aren't applying it early enough.

    19. Re:not about destroying by foniksonik · · Score: 4, Funny

      Don't you mean:

      "Siri, we got an asteroid that will hit us!"

      "I'm sorry, I didn't quite get that. Would you like me to search the web?"

      --
      A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
    20. Re:not about destroying by camperdave · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Not to mention killing off a great deal of the oceanic plankton, the chief source of oxygen for the planet.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    21. Re:not about destroying by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 2

      No, it's called fudging it until the only people who care that's it's inaccurate are a handful of pedantic, pretentious geeks. Blockbusters are about excitement, they aren't math documentaries.

      --
      I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
    22. Re:not about destroying by torkus · · Score: 2

      Google Nuclear bunker buster.

      They might not burrow into solid iron particularly well but loose rock or even meters of concrete don't stand a chance.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
  4. Bruce still has a shot by erikkemperman · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "The biggest bomb ever detonated on earth" is a damn sight smaller than the biggest one ever built... Just sayin'.

    --
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    1. Re:Bruce still has a shot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The biggest one ever detonated, the so called "Tsar Bomba", was 50 megatons of TNT. It could have been made 100 MT, but was scaled back to reduce fallout, and was therefore a very clean bomb for its size.
      There was however no point in building bombs of this size, so no one has attempted it since, opting instead for clusters of smaller bombs to carpet an area or using modern targeting to accurately take out small targets with great precision,
      Bombs that big where shere lunacy and just a demonstration of power.

    2. Re:Bruce still has a shot by Tore+S+B · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, there was a real, sensible (as things go in the field of nuclear deterrent) reason for them: The USSR did not at the time have anything that could deliver a payload with precision. Plus, they used big and slow bombers, which made it possible to intercept them. Thus, they employed a lesson from Ken Thompson in the future: "When in doubt, use brute force". :)

      The design was not scaled down as such - it was a 100MT bomb; they simply substituted lead for U-238 in the tamper.

      --
      toresbe
    3. Re:Bruce still has a shot by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 2

      Ugh. The moment we try that Im moving to Canada.

      --

      "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

    4. Re:Bruce still has a shot by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      You're wrong. Just sayin'.

      "The biggest bomb ever detonated on earth" is the biggest one ever built - the full yield version was never built.

  5. how they did it by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Informative
    I'm not sure why this is news, but here's what they calculated:

    The students devised a formula to find the total amount of kinetic energy needed in relation to the volume of the asteroid pieces, their density, the clearance radius (which was taken as the radius of Earth plus 400 miles), the asteroid's pre-detonation velocity, and its distance from Earth at the point of detonation. Using the measurements and properties of the asteroid as stated in the film, the formula revealed that 800 trillion terajoules of energy would be required to split the asteroid in two with both pieces clearing the planet. However, the total energy output of Big Ivan "only comes to 418,000 terajoules. The asteroid is approximated as a spherical object 1000km in diameter

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    1. Re:how they did it by loufoque · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm not a bomb geek but even I know that Big Ivan is not the largest bomb ever made.

    2. Re:how they did it by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      Well, I am a bomb geek and Tsar Bomba (the bomb geeks name for Big Ivan), or at least the 50MT version, is in fact the largest bomb known to be ever made. Only a single 50MT device was ever assembled, and no full yield (100MT) was ever assembled.

    3. Re:how they did it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      Not sure if this is what you are talking about, but in The Fog of War (excellent piece of film, please watch it if you haven't) Robert McNamara claims (and quite emphatically at that) that during his tenure as Secretary of Defense, the US tested a 100MT device in the atmosphere.

      It's true that he was getting on in years, but he nevertheless seemed to be more lucid than, say, most everyday people, and there doesn't seem to be much point to making such a thing up.

    4. Re:how they did it by subreality · · Score: 5, Informative

      The biggest that the US ever actually popped was Castle Bravo. Design yield: 4-6Mt. Actual yield: 15Mt, resulting in the dry bit of island it was sitting on turning into a deep spot in the reef and destruction of the monitoring equipment two islands over, not to mention dropping fallout all over the local civilians. Oops. The Castle-* designs were weaponized into the Mk-17/Mk-21/Mk-24 with a 5-15 Mt range.

      The biggest the US ever deployed was the B41, at a perfectly practical 25Mt.

      Yields peaked in the 60s because the complete assemblies were huge and if you could only cart around one bomb on your plane or missile, it might as well be a big one. Since then the trend in big bombs has been toward the 0.5-1 Mt range, like the B83. The reason doesn't really have much to do with "arsenal reduction"; the real story is they figured out how to shrink midsize ones down to a much smaller package, and it's simply more efficient (more stuff blown up per kg of plutonium) to drop a half dozen 1Mt bombs in a pattern than to drop a single 25Mt one and having most of the energy end up in a stratosphere-bumping mushroom cloud.

      Of course that Soviet triple-stage monster takes the cake. There's simply no possible use for a larger one, even as a national dick waving status symbol. 50Mt is basically the most you can ever drop from a plane and live to tell about it, and you HAVE to drop it from a plane because a ground burst would create stupid amounts of fallout while not even being that impressive (air bursts work better); and no one's going to bother building a missile big enough to carry a 27,000 Kg firework just to show off. I hope.

      So now you know, and knowing is how we get the next generation interested in one upmanship.

  6. Obligatory Chuck Norris comment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Forget Bruce Willis, you just have to land Chuck Norris up there and have him stomp his foot once.

  7. Don't forget who directed the movie by bjdevil66 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Plot points based in hard science aren't exactly Michael Bay's MO...

    1. Re:Don't forget who directed the movie by robthebloke · · Score: 4, Funny

      Plot points aren't exactly Michael Bay's MO...

      FTFY

  8. For those who don't RTFA. by Bongoots · · Score: 5, Informative

    This is the real paper, coming in at only 2 pages it's a light read: https://physics.le.ac.uk/journals/index.php/pst/article/viewFile/390/243

    You weren't going to RTFA anyway, now were you?..
    --

    P1_1 Could Bruce Willis Save the World?
    Back A, Brown G, Hall B and Turner S
    Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE1 7RH.
    November 1st, 2011

    Abstract
    The film Armageddon (1998) puts forward the possibility of using a nuclear weapon buried deep within an Earth-bound asteroid to split the asteroid in two, each half clearing opposite sides of the Earth with only relatively minor damage. This article investigates the feasibility of such a plan and shows that even using the largest nuclear weapon made to date, the bomb comes over 9 orders of magnitude short of the yield required.

    [...]

  9. Re:Nothing new by tftp · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You drill a hole in the asteroid and insert a nuclear device. Do not seal the hole. Explode the device. You get a volcano. Asteroid's material becomes the reaction mass (largely gases and small rocks.) Relatively small mass * relatively high speed = decent momentum. Repeat until satisfied. Call this project "Noiro."

  10. No worries! by EzInKy · · Score: 3, Funny

    Everyone knows that in such an event Sam will open a hyperspace window and the asteroid will fall right through.

    "You know, you blow up one sun and suddenly everyone expects you to walk on water."
              Lt. Col. Samanth Carter

    --
    Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  11. Re:But It Wasn't an Asteroid in the Film! by Chewbacon · · Score: 2

    There was an asteroid in the film. You're thinking of Deep Impact: the same movie, cornier, with Elijah Wood, the homely-looking love interest and a comet.

    --
    Chewbacon
    The Bible is like Wikipedia: written by a bunch of people and verifiable by questionable sources.
  12. Not a good idea at all by Kupfernigk · · Score: 4, Informative

    The last thing you want is lots of pieces - there's something called gravity which would cause them to re-agglutinate on the rest of the journey. Breaking up an asteroid takes far more energy than deflection, as should be obvious-despite the current illiteracy, it takes far less energy to brake a car than it does to break it up. Of course Hollywood wouldn't want deflection because there's nothing to see on screen - but deflecting it into a safe orbit would be much safer because you only have to predict the track of one object, not millions of small ones with different trajectories.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
  13. New Bomb Powerful Enough... , Says Bruce Willis by Fusselwurm · · Score: 3, Funny

    ... or so I misread the headline at first glance.

  14. Easy answer - bomb contained a black hole by dbIII · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How else can you explain the time dilation of the painfully drawn out scene while the timer is ticking down and the audience is screaming "it's been minutes and supposed to be seconds - just die!".
    Either than or about the fiftieth continuity or stupidly ignored fact failure of the movie.
    There were Highlander sequals that made more sense - even the one where the sword changed from claymore to katana and back again in the middle of a fight.

  15. Re:Nothing new by rts008 · · Score: 2

    Perfect excuse to develop and deploy Orion Drives, IMHO.
    I've been curious...

    The problem has been detecting it in time.

    --
    Down With Slashdot BETA!!! I've been around the corner and seen the oliphant; you can only abuse me from your perspecti
  16. The Space Shuttle by RudyHartmann · · Score: 2

    Another big point missed in the movie is that the Space Shuttle is only capable of going to Low Earth Orbit. Bruce Willis wouldn't have even been able to get the bomb there even if it was big enough.

    --
    Oh, yeah! Wise guy, huh? Woob woob woob woob! Nyuk! Nyuk!
  17. Re:A billion times. by Rei · · Score: 5, Interesting

    We have those!

    Very doubtful. But we could potentially build such a bomb if the Earth depended on it for some reason; the Teller-Ulam configuration scales indefinitely. The problem is it'd be way too massive to get off the ground.

    Of course, these students were simply calculating the (very unrealistic) scenario found in the movie, of the asteroid right about to impact, and of deflection involving splitting it in half and having one half go each way around the Earth. As they note, more realistic deflection scenarios involve hitting it much earlier and simply trying to alter it's trajectory intact (but that's not fitting for Hollywood)

    Also it should be noted that the Tsar Bomba mentioned in the article was deliberately cut down to half of its design yield (replacing the uranium tamper with a lead one) to make it burn cleaner. It was not only the biggest atomic bomb ever detonated on Earth, but also the cleanest per unit of energy output.

    --
    Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion.
  18. Re:1000 KM? by tp1024 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Even worse: There are no asteroids with a diameter of 1000km. The largest of them, Ceres, is 950km and at a very safe distance in a very stable orbit. The second largest, Vesta, is less than 600km in diameter.

    In fact, the main "danger" nowadays is seen in objects of about 0.1km in diameter, since that is the size at which asteroids are still damaging, but also escape early detection. That takes about 15 orders of magnitude off the energy requirements. But at this point, you wouldn't even need a bomb. Just shoving a few tons of stuff at a few km/s in front of the asteroid is enough to tear it apart. (The kinetic energy of 1t of material at 2.8km/s is equivalent to 1t of TNT.)

  19. Re:A billion times. by hairyfeet · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah and Bruce Willis was in it too, it was called Hudson Hawk.

    --
    ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  20. Re:A billion times. by jgtg32a · · Score: 2

    If a planet killer asteroid was coming for the earth, I don't think it would be too difficult to get a pass on making an Orion space craft to act as a heavy lifter.

    And I'm not talking about the NASA Orion I'm talking about the DARPA project

  21. misplaced modifier by Hognoxious · · Score: 4, Funny

    You've got the brackets in the wrong place.

    It's not an old (Bruce Willis movie), it's an (old Bruce Willis) movie.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  22. Re:A billion times. by SlippyToad · · Score: 2, Funny

    OK. I think I've had this discussion before, but maybe people need a fucking refresher on basic newtonian motion.

    BLOWING UP AN ONCOMING ASTEROID will ABSOLUTELY NOT 'MOVE' IT TO EITHER SIDE. My fucking GOD did the entire planet fucking fail basic physics? It WILL guarantee that we are, instead of being slammed with one giant rock, showered with millions of smaller rocks, but WE'LL STILL BE FUCKED SIDEWAYS in that scenario.

    We could, yes, potentially build a really big bomb. It's not the fact that it's too "heavy" that is why it is impractical. It's because IT CAN NEVER, EVER, FUCKING EVER POSSIBLY WORK as a solution to an oncoming asteroid. That's because making a big rock into littler rocks is not how you stop it.

    Diverting the asteroid is a LOT less expensive and though it is disappointingly big hardon-creating explosion-free, (Sorry Mr. Teller, your pyro days are in fact over as I recall) it actually has an advantage over just blowing up the asteroid in that it is a solution created by an adult and not the world's most-respected Beavis-inspiring physicist child who just liked to blow shit up, and that it would work

    Sorry, had to get that one off my chest. Mr. Teller and his pyromaniac fantasies have caused a mighty disturbance in a conversation that needs to be deadly serious. We do not have time for the sniggering little Beavises of the world to fantasize about making great big fire. Jesus.

    --
    One day I feel I'm ahead of the wheel / the next it's rolling over me / I can get back on / I can get back on
  23. Re:A billion times. by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

    I don't know about this. Depending on the composition of the asteroid, a bomb placed inside might possibly split it in half, and the force of that explosion would cause the two halves to move in opposite directions. If the bomb isn't powerful enough (quite likely with the size of a giant asteroid, and the size of our bombs), it won't cause the asteroid to be broken into "millions of smaller rocks", just two or so (again, this depends on the rock's composition). The problem is that it's unlikely the halves would be pushed apart enough to matter, so the whole thing is certainly quite unrealistic.

    Yes, diverting the asteroid early is obviously a far better scenario. But there's a big problem here: doing this requires that you actually know about the asteroid well ahead of time, and it requires that you take measures well ahead of time to divert it. This requires a lot of funding. We humans are too cheap and stupid to do this. There's no telling how many asteroids are out there that might collide with us in the next two centuries, because we don't put much effort into looking for them (it seems to be mostly amateur astronomers that look for these, and their equipment isn't all that great). Heck, we even know about one sizable asteroid, named Apophis, that's going to make a close fly-by in 2029, and then depending on exactly how the gravitational interaction goes in that fly-by, might come around again in 2036 for a direct 510 megaton impact, but we aren't doing anything at all about it even though that's only 24 years away. Granted, the impact possibility is still quite low, but if we're wrong, we're looking at some pretty catastrophic effects, either tens of millions dead if it hits land, or who knows how many dead if it hits the ocean and causes a massive tsunami.

  24. Re:A billion times. by Rei · · Score: 2

    So many things wrong with your comically angry post. Some of the main ones:

    1) Only asteroid fragments over a certain size make it to the ground. Blow it up enough and yes, it will not make it to the surface. It would add dust, of course, and impart a heating pulse to the surface, but spread out over however long between the furthest-forward pieces from the blast were and the furthest back ones.

    2) Deflecting fragments of the asteroid from a collision course is precisely the point of an explosion, whether you're talking a bunch of small pieces that are now missing, or just two halves.

    3) A bomb can do more than break up an asteroid; it can also move an asteroid, by radiation pressure, direct or indirect through surface heating.

    --
    Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion.
  25. Re:Nothing new by Grishnakh · · Score: 4, Funny

    Or better yet, say that it's just too expensive to bother with, and do nothing. Engage in a public program of portraying any efforts to deflect the asteroid as "socialism". Call this project "Nero".