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Chinese Rare Earths Producer Suspends Output

concealment writes "State-owned Baotou Steel Rare Earth (Group) Hi-tech Co. said in a statement released through the Shanghai Stock Exchange that it suspended production Tuesday to promote 'healthy development' of rare earths prices. It gave no indication when production would resume and phone calls to the company on Thursday were not answered. Beijing is tightening control over rare earths mining and exports to capture more of the profits that flow to Western makers of lightweight batteries and other products made of rare earths. China has about 30 percent of rare earths deposits but accounts for more than 90 percent of production. Beijing alarmed global manufacturers by imposing export quotas in 2009. It also is trying to force Chinese rare earths miners and processors to consolidate into a handful of government-controlled groups."

265 comments

  1. not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Roskolnikov · · Score: 4, Interesting

    China is finally flexing its grip on the tech industry, more to come certainly.

    --
    Unix, an obscure operating system developed by bored researchers in an attempt to get a better game playing experience.
    1. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Sounds short-sighted. Since rare-earths are a commodity, this will just drive prices up and thus other people will mine them. Businesses may even prefer these new sources for stability. Then prices will crash as a glut of supply hits the market, and the unreliable producer will command an even lower price.

      Or the market could do something totally unpredictable :)

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    2. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Jonah+Hex · · Score: 1

      I don't think this will be a little heard whimper, instead it should get fairly big press coverage. The Chinese government starts playing games with rare earth prices putting almost all modern electronics prices at risk, we'll probably see huge graphs depicting possible iPad price increases, or even better pictures showing the size one would be if it used non-rare earth components. It will probably show up in the Presidential Race before elections as a talking point. - HEX

    3. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually, if you've been paying attention, they are mostly giving these sort of contracts to Chinese companies. They don't exactly love Americans.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    4. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by mmontalvo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It is not about mining. That is not their monopoly, their monopoly is on the production of the minerals to usable components. This unfortunately is not easily solved. A full scale production facility takes about a decade to build and about 1 Billion dollars. There was a private investor who was discussing this issue about 5 years ago and was trying to get investors to go in on building a new facility but was unable to get the needed amount of capital.

    5. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're a little slow. Could have done it earlier for better results.

      The corpses will buy with the higher prices, the governments will protest and nothing will change. Short term.

      Long term, there will be other companies that will be ready to fill in the gaps.

      They're idiots anyway you put it, communists suck at economics.

    6. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apple products have huge profit margins (~30%). Even if all the components and Chinese labor cost (~5% of retail price) were to go up, Apple would still making a (smaller) profit without a price increase.

    7. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      It could be the tech industry itself encouraging this to keep prices up. They may want to keep hard drive prices from falling back to pre-flood levels.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    8. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Apple products have huge profit margins (~30%). Even if all the components and Chinese labor cost (~5% of retail price) were to go up, Apple would still making a (smaller) profit without a price increase.

      *Or*, others would have to drive their prices up and Apple's products would look more competitive compared to them than before the (others') price increase, so they would get more sales and the profit would be more or less the same or even better.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    9. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Synerg1y · · Score: 1

      I'd have to agree, somebody else will step in to fill the void, but as somebody else in this discussion mentioned, that's not going to happen overnight, but rather over a period of years. The problem... the runner up is Russia and they don't have much love for the states either: http://www.mining.com/russian-getting-back-into-rare-earth-game/

    10. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It is about mining, too. It takes time to develop mines.

      A huge, truly massive deposit of a large variety of rare earths was found here in the United States a year or two ago. Prices are already at the point that it is very likely this will be put to use. But it's a large enough quantity to call into question the long-held idea that China "has 30%" of the rare earths.

    11. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If the price goes up, the private investor will have no problem raising the money. That's exactly what happened 2 years ago.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    12. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by afidel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It depends on what you consider China "has", if it's just the minerals in the sovereign territory of China then 30% is probably a bit inflated, if you consider it explored proven reserves owned/controlled by China or Chinese companies it's probably understated.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    13. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Exactly right. There were something like three rare earth mines idled by China's effort to flood and capture the market. One of those started back up after China's last screw job to the world. If prices continue to rise, more will simply re-open with a relatively modest investment and in relatively small time frames.

      Having a US supply is a good thing. It mean stability in the market, shorter delivery schedules, cheaper storage for manufacturers, and US jobs. Likely the those outside the US will see the advantage too.

    14. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      > If the price goes up, the private investor will have no problem raising the money.

      They will have a problem, because they will know that the Chinese can drop the price at their leisure, undercutting them and bankrupting their investment.

    15. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

      But mining all their rare earths and continuing to sell them at low prices would be even more short-sighted.
      They will run out of rare earths at some point. Then the prices on the world market will go up, and they have to buy them from other countries for higher prices.
      I don't think that this is about China trying to make money with a monopoly. It is just common sense, and the fight against the poisoning of their environment due to illegal mining.

    16. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China wasn't a global economic power before 1970 and this bolsters their profits, massages their ego and with it's timing might be sending a message to the west about Syria and Iran.

    17. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by hairyfeet · · Score: 2

      Too late, that is already what is happening. They are trying to cash in while they can, because after their first stunt with clamping down the mine in the western USA (AZ or UT, can't remember which) is being opened back up and the Japanese have found a large cache on the ocean floor they intend to mine so they have only a limited time before they have competition again.

      So no need to panic,this is one of those areas where supply and demand will sort things out.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    18. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1
    19. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They do not have a monopoly on production. Please understand, monopoly is not simply one producer in any given market space for some good or service. Monopoly is the inability for the rest of society to provide differently and choose a different provider, thus permitting the monopolist ability to serve the market in a less optimal way while still enjoying monopoly prices.

      This is not the case at all. The entrepreneurs and all the investment capital in the world is ready to put resources behind production of rare earths. Investment does not falter at a high up front price tag, so long as the return on investment can be expected. The fact that an investor failed 5 years ago has no bearing on the issue, because the lack of willing funds was a function of the expectation of returns given the current political climate at the time. If and when we can be reasonably certain of this restriction of output, the investors all over the world will smell a profit and come rushing in.

    20. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by BoRegardless · · Score: 2, Interesting

      For accuracy, no single supplier produces all "rare earths". The largest and least expensive lithium supplies come from dry lake beds in Bolivia-Columbia as I recall.

      The former rare earth mine at Mountain Pass, CA (near Nevada) was shut down over a decade back but is being reactivated by Molycorp in a multi-year process & should start producing this year. It too only has certain rare earths in its "mine". It produced most commonly used rare earths and will the mine will likely be a large profit maker for Molycorp with the Chinese supply squeeze.

      I think the Chinese will regret their decision.

    21. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is about mining, too. It takes time to develop mines.

      A huge, truly massive deposit of a large variety of rare earths was found here in the United States a year or two ago. Prices are already at the point that it is very likely this will be put to use. But it's a large enough quantity to call into question the long-held idea that China "has 30%" of the rare earths.

      Here's the thing though. The majority of mines that exist to mine rare earths already exist, they're simply sitting in a fallow state. The equipment, holes in the ground, and everything else is readily available as well. If anything there is a glut, especially since down in the US your politicians seem to be waging a war against coal unlike Canada.

    22. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Desler · · Score: 1

      Except that China can just ramp back up and glut the market again.

    23. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lithium is an alkali metal, not a rare earth.

    24. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by u-235-sentinel · · Score: 1

      It is not about mining. That is not their monopoly, their monopoly is on the production of the minerals to usable components. This unfortunately is not easily solved. A full scale production facility takes about a decade to build and about 1 Billion dollars. There was a private investor who was discussing this issue about 5 years ago and was trying to get investors to go in on building a new facility but was unable to get the needed amount of capital.

      Already started the process

      http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/05/rare-earth-mining-rises-again/

      BTW it was my understanding America used to be the major provider over a decade ago and we simply stopped. Shows this was a bad idea. At least now competition is coming back. China may want to rethink their position.

      --
      Has Comcast disconnected your Internet account? Same here. You can read about it at http://comcastissue.blogspot.com
    25. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Dahamma · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem is China can turn on production whenever they want and undercut any competition, driving those other producers out of business again and again so that no one wants to invest in such a risky industry.

      I'm not a big fan of excessive tariffs, but the only way to prevent China from manipulating the market like that is for other governments to step in with their own manipulation, putting enough tariffs on Chinese exports that domestic mining of rare earths can survive (and also showing China if they pull this shit, there will be consequences).

      The problem is businesses and consumers are so into short term savings they are more than happy to screw over their long term viability - when that happens it may be up to regulatory bodies/governments to look at the long term.

    26. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by memnock · · Score: 1

      Given that the U.S.'s Gulf wars against weaker countries were to protect access to petroleum and the importance of these resources to all of our tech, I wonder how cavalier the government would be to take on China for access to these resources?

    27. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Rare Earth elements are not very rare either. Neodymium is as common as copper and nickel

    28. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      You know, if you are in business making hard drives, you aren't going to want to raise prices due to your suppliers making you raise them. I suppose they could make a little extra if they raised their price in the same percentage as the increase in their rare earth components, but depending on what they produce, they could poison the whole sector they are working in if the retail price goes too high.

      Not saying they won't do it, but doing that could be a really bad idea. What they really will want to do is to get cheaper rare earths and leave the price alone or reduce the retail much more slowly than the price of rare earth components decreases. That way, they don't monkey with the existing market, but their margin goes up.

      China *could* help with this by using that as an excuse to force the prices up, and then when the US mines come online, they can then get the cheaper components and leave the price alone. Still, that's not without risk, and my guess is that tech companies will be doing what they can to get China to back off, while supporting the US mines coming back online as a hedge.

    29. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time to develop, yes. But with suppliers pulling stunts like this, customers will definitely be encouraging such development in future. Whether china cares about the future, when it will already be a superpower anyway, is another question.

    30. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by torkus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Driving up supply chain costs in a cornerstone of a shakey global economy is a good idea? China is nowhere near mining out all their rare earths. If they were, other countries would have set up mines and production facilities in preparation for that because they'd have guaranteed profit. What exactly indicates other countries would have higher prices though? Plus we won't "run out" of rare earths. Unlike oil most can be recycled and reused more or less indefinitely.

      This is 100% about China trying to streghten their powerbase in the global economy. It's blatant price manipulation in what's supposed to be open markets. China is taking their ball and going home till all the other kids come begging. Unfortunately someone else is going to buy their own ball eventually.

      As for environmental concerns - sorry but that's just laughable. If they cared, they would close the mine or update to more modern and clean processes (which are still quite dirty.) Also they'd so something about the myriad of severe pollution problems they have. The main reason China has a monopoly right now is because they were content to pollute their country and (more or less) everyone else was (more or less) happy to let them. That balance is shifting now.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    31. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Amouth · · Score: 1

      while the higher price for this commodity can and should spur investment in other sources, the requirements to be productive in mining Rare Earths are steep and you can't just put up a plant and have it producing quickly. China already has the mines and plants, they are just idle now. If they want to ramp production they can. This is threat to anyone who wants to start producing this commodity. China could easily just sit back and wait till people start investing then start production again and crash the prices, which would make the investments wasted as that plant can no longer produce competitively.

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    32. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      "Or", Apple will increase the price of their products, since the competition will be increasing their prices as well. A higher price is one of their product differentiators.

    33. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by torkus · · Score: 1

      You missed the other thing "we" can do. Stop playing China's game. If they want to price manipulate, play along. Set up a most-favored with some random 3rd world that's willing to basically be a corporate-owned state, build infrastructure and move your factories there. Labor is cheap, but they have a LOT LOT LOT of it. Idle 5% and see what happens.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    34. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by GodInHell · · Score: 1

      especially since down in the US your politicians seem to be waging a war against coal unlike Canada.

      Citation? Support? Anything? Nope, just a random slam. Okay.

    35. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by mikeiver1 · · Score: 1

      I agree that the American consumer is short sighted when it comes to savings on products that are sourced from over seas. I also don't like tariffs but it is a simple thing to deal with. We apply a blanket tariff to all goods coming from china and use it to supplement rare earth material purchases from china. As they drive up the prices so to do the tariffs rise in lock step. Even better we could have the tariff rise as a square of the artificial amount of increase so by the time they have doubled the prices the tariffs are at four times.

    36. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by sackofdonuts · · Score: 1

      A decade to build and $1B to build? My bet is that any of the oil companies could get a facility up and going in less than a year if they decided to go that way.

    37. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by slew · · Score: 1

      Sounds short-sighted. Since [oil is] a commodity, this will just drive prices up and thus other people will [drill for it]. Businesses may even prefer these new sources for stability. Then prices will crash as a glut of supply hits the market, and the unreliable producer will command an even lower price.

      Or the market could do something totally unpredictable :)

      How did that work out for the oil cartel? Sure short term supply constriction driving up prices will enable other sources to come on line (as they become profitable at the new price), but later on the cartel cashes in the the increase (or in the case of oil, the cartel member either increase production or just plain cheat on quotas). This causes the price to crash and drives all of those companies into bankrupcy (just after they borrowed big to invest in production capability assuming a higher commodity pricing level) this creates a situation where alternate sources are small or unstable allowing the oil cartel monopoly to remain.

      You don't think China can figure out a similar way to play the game as well as OPEC?

    38. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Right, but when they play these games they ruin their reputation for reliable supply. The Japanese manufacturers got stung two years ago and signed long-term supply contracts with American and Eastern European suppliers which are now ramping up production. That they are playing these games again probably is making the Japanese manufacturers very glad that they diversified their supply chain.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    39. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      They don't need to - there are plentiful reserves of rare earths in the US.

      I'm wondering if you are serious, though, or just trolling? Attacking a nuclear power is risky all by itself, but China has enough missiles pointed at Taiwan to annihilate the place conventionally, and they could do a number on Japan and Korea as well. Military aside, they are a vital trading partner with a co-dependent economy.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    40. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Businesses are as concerned about supply as they are price. If China plays games with a commodity, other players will step in offering long term contracts at stable - if higher - prices. The Japanese conglomerates aren't stupid, and have already signed contracts with American and Eastern European suppliers. They are still getting ramped up, so it's a little early but my suspicion is that any excess capacity will just get dumped on the markets and these companies will mostly live off of their long-term contracts. Chinese firms won't have the credibility to sign long-term contracts and will be stuck competing with the glut pricing. This might even be happening now, which is why they are scaling back production... it's not a terribly lucrative business.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    41. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      The market will pay them a premium for a stable supply, and they'd be foolish to operate without long-term contracts. I'm not pulling this out of my ass - this is exactly what happened in 2010. Did you even read my link? The US-based mine is ramping up right now, operating on long-term contracts that were signed with Japanese corporations who felt they needed a steady supply rather than a rock-bottom price.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    42. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      As for environmental concerns - sorry but that's just laughable.

      Yes, if the US mine can operate in - of all places - California, then obviously there is some way to do this without nuking the environment.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    43. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by sumdumass · · Score: 2

      Not if Romney has his way (even if Obama adopts his policies on this).

      If the US labels China a currency manipulator, we can place tariffs on imports that degrade locally derived businesses without violation Trade Agreements. The further sets the stage for international authority to do the same if they try to dump products onto the market with the intent of damaging domestic business.

      domestic businesses are pretty much guaranteed they won't be bankrupt because of dumping if the US government stands up.

    44. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by sumdumass · · Score: 2, Informative

      umm... Obama said before being elected that he planned on make coal powered electricity so expensive they couldn't make a profit. The EPA has decided that Co2 is a pollutant and is imposing some of the most strict regulations on the use of coal that the US has seen.

      This stuff isn't a secret, just use your google finger.

    45. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Tharkkun · · Score: 1

      They don't need to - there are plentiful reserves of rare earths in the US.

      I'm wondering if you are serious, though, or just trolling? Attacking a nuclear power is risky all by itself, but China has enough missiles pointed at Taiwan to annihilate the place conventionally, and they could do a number on Japan and Korea as well. Military aside, they are a vital trading partner with a co-dependent economy.

      There's plenty of oil in the US also but we export it to other countries and import ours from the Middle East. More money for oil companies, more expensive for consumers. So your example of plenty of supply in the US really has no bearing on where we get our stuff.

    46. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by fnj · · Score: 2

      For accuracy, no single supplier produces all "rare earths". The largest and least expensive lithium supplies come from dry lake beds in Bolivia-Columbia as I recall.

      Since when is lithium a rare earth?

    47. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      You don't think China can figure out a similar way to play the game as well as OPEC?

      They actually have an advantage over OPEC in that they can actually control supply - OPEC members are notorious for "cheating".

      That said, there are some pretty big differences here. First of all, the total market for rare earths is perhaps $1 billion/year... if the Chinese got really belligerent, you wouldn't even need a government - a few large companies could get together and establish a more dependable supply. Contrast this with oil, where just the PROFITS from the biggest oil companies total about half a trillion dollars.

      The second big difference is that ample reserves exist, well, almost everywhere. There's a big mine ramping up in the US, and even Eastern Europe is getting in on the game. Oil is not like that at all - almost all known reserves are being exploited.

      Anyway, this conversation is academic I think - China appears to be cutting supply just as alternative sources are ramping up. If they wanted to kill the upstarts, they would be ramping supply up to cut the price. I find it hard to believe that China would go to all of this trouble for a few billion dollars in revenue - it seems much more likely that they are trying to use the rare earth supply as a political weapon. Problem with that (for China) is, Japan seemed to recognize it as such and has treated it as a national security issue rather than an economic issue. Now that their supply is more diversified, that political weapon lost its effectiveness.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    48. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      We do export finished petroleum products due to excess refining capacity, but nowhere near enough to account for the oil we import. Incidentally, we get most of our oil from the Americas. Mideast oil is under 20% of our imports - Europe buys most of it. Almost all of our Mideast imports are from the Saudis.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    49. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by slew · · Score: 1

      I think you missed my point. China is cutting supply just as alternative are ramping up. Once other folks are ramped up I'm pretty sure they will flood the market and bomb the price. This will kill these upstarts by destroying their financing model as most mining companies borrow money for development of production facilities and need the ongoing revenue stream to support their debt payments.

      Flooding the market to keep competitors out of the market before the companies are ramped up means you don't get all the value from your commodities. Better to have your adversary commit resources and then cut them down (if you can) because then it deters your adversaries from trying again the next time (or at least makes their financing more expensive in the future).

      Of course the governments could step in and bail out these upstarts, but for a $1B/year, they don't have the political muscle to do that. Oil production startups that get financed when oil is >$100/barrel, routinely get crushed when oil dives back under $40/barrel (this has been a recurring theme in Colorado and Wyoming where my family is from). Governments never seem to step in and bail out these oil startups either, so why would it be different for rare earths?

      Also, you mentioned that Japan has developed alternate sourcing for rare-earths, but that country has limited manufacturing capability that uses these materials (mostly just capacitor manufacturing, not much in batteries/solar panels). Where is the bulk of that manufacturing capability today? Well China. And they want to keep it that way, not export the minerals to say Vietnam or Malaysia and have the manufacturing jobs and companies that capture more of the value chain migrate off China's shores.

    50. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      er - we did that already. It's called China.
      I guess you missed it while you were out protesting the Vietnam war and demanding illegal aliens take your jobs.

    51. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Amouth · · Score: 1

      agreed, but given the US's lack of ability for log-term planning, i feel this will be a constant problem for us when it should be a no starter.

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    52. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      The upstarts are actually restarts, and they were sure to sign long-term contracts before restarting. The commodity price certainly does affect them, but their operations are covered by the long-term contracts. Japan is a major importer of rare earths - I think something like 1/5 goes to Japan.

      Subsidizing oil exploration won't do any good - there aren't enough domestic resources to wean off of OPEC. Even if the US threw a trillion dollars at the problem, we'd still need OPEC. Subsidizing rare earths is so inexpensive that the Japanese conglomerates did it themselves in 2010 (so it wasn't really "subsidizing", it was long-term contracting).

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    53. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      This isn't a US government endeavor - it's a private company that re-opened an old mine.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    54. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by CowTipperGore · · Score: 5, Interesting

      A war on coal was when the coal operators murdered miners for trying to organize a union. They put a Gatling gun on a flatbed train car and rolled through a tent camp of miners, spraying bullets. The US military was finally called out to put the miners in their place when they decided to fight back. That was a war. What you're talking about is chicken shit political mudslinging.

      You really consider it a war when the federal government finally makes the corporations that profit from coal bear some percentage of the cost it takes on the rest of us? A hundred years of dead miners, polluted waters, destroyed landscapes, polluted air, lung diseases, cancers, etc, but expecting coal operators to spend money on safety or power plants on technology to remove some of the pollutants and we have a war? My dad is currently laid off from an underground coal mine due to the downturn in the coal industry, just like he was laid off plenty of times 30 years ago during downturns in the coal industry. The current downturn in the coal industry is driven by last year's extremely warm winter and all-time low natural gas prices. Coal mining employment was higher under Obama than Bush until earlier this year.

      War on Coal? What a load of shit.

    55. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by FishTankX · · Score: 1

      Just an observation.

      If we took the trillion dollars from the Iraq war and invested it in fischer tropsch plants, we could've built 500 fischer tropsch plants which could have converted our natural gas reserves and coal reserves into a whopping 22.5 million barrels of petroleum products a day. With a 40/60 gasoline/diesel split. If I remember correctly, the end price ends up being the equivalent of about 50 dollar a barrel oil. This is roughly equilvalent to the entire oil consumption of the united states.

      Source: http://www.ualberta.ca/~tamminga/.hide/10-11/Semester_2/CHE-465/afs_backup/research/Rehan%20Research/42_2_SAN%20FRANCISCO_04-97_0667.pdf
      That one is for fischer tropsch processing from natural gas.

    56. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      At that price, it probably would have been more cost effective to pay for everyone to convert their cars to natural gas.

      Assuming about a billion barrels a year from the Persian Gulf, and assuming a natural gas equivalent of about 5437 cubic feet per barrel of oil, you'd need 5.4 trillion cubic feet of natural gas to replace it. That sounds like a lot, but we currently pull almost that much out of the ground in two months.

      I've long been an advocate of taxing gasoline to pay for our expenditures in the Mideast. Since we use about 134 billion gallons per year of gas in our cars, simply financing the direct costs of $757 billion for Iraq would have raised gas by about 51 cents per gallon. Figure a buck or so a gallon to pay for a more fair share. Unfortunately it's a pretty regressive tax, so it's probably not a great idea unless we improve the transportation and housing situation for the poor.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    57. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by sumdumass · · Score: 0

      A war on coal was when the coal operators murdered miners for trying to organize a union. They put a Gatling gun on a flatbed train car and rolled through a tent camp of miners, spraying bullets. The US military was finally called out to put the miners in their place when they decided to fight back. That was a war. What you're talking about is chicken shit political mudslinging.

      lol.. You know damn well it was metaphorically speaking idiot. Your quibble does not in any way make what I o the GP said incorrect. In fact, it seems to be a distraction at best.

      You really consider it a war when the federal government finally makes the corporations that profit from coal bear some percentage of the cost it takes on the rest of us? A hundred years of dead miners, polluted waters, destroyed landscapes, polluted air, lung diseases, cancers, etc, but expecting coal operators to spend money on safety or power plants on technology to remove some of the pollutants and we have a war? My dad is currently laid off from an underground coal mine due to the downturn in the coal industry, just like he was laid off plenty of times 30 years ago during downturns in the coal industry. The current downturn in the coal industry is driven by last year's extremely warm winter and all-time low natural gas prices. Coal mining employment was higher under Obama than Bush until earlier this year.

      Yep, your dad is out of work because of the war on coal. HE should start training to do something else in life because even if he gets called back to work, he will be left without a job soon unless something changes on that coal front.

    58. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Amouth · · Score: 1

      i never said anything about the US government, i was talking about the country as a whole, government and companies here in the US both seem to be focus so much on short term profits that they never seem to make any type of long term investments.

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    59. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "production of materials to usable components"? What does that even mean?

    60. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is already a massive one in California that was closed down because of environmental issues. It became cheaper to buy from China than to cleanly mine them here. I did read a recent article about a company trying to restart it ever since China's game playing back in 2009.

    61. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      That's an interesting history lesson, but has nothing to do with the fact that the current US government hates coal with a fiery passion, and is using its power to further this goal.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    62. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      But would putting a US tariff on Chinese rare earth minerals do anything? Most US companies manufacture offshore these days anyway. What is to stop such companies from just importing the minerals to their manufacturing facilities in Malaysia or Thailand or Mexico? And if you did find a way to close that loophole how would you prevent European or Asian companies from outcompeting US companies with the use of cheap Chinese minerals and magnets? What you really need is some kind of international treaty that boycotts Chinese rare earth minerals for their sleazy business practices.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    63. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by jrumney · · Score: 1

      A full scale production facility takes about a decade to build and about 1 Billion dollars.

      It's also something that even developing countries are starting to resist having built in their backyard, given the amount of toxic and radioactive waste they produce, and the unwillingness of the companies involved to pay for proper processing of that waste.

    64. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Olorion · · Score: 1

      China is nowhere near mining out all their rare earths.

      Not every country is as short-sighted as the U.S. The Chinese government can see that they will soon exhaust their rare-earth reserves. Total depletion might be 30 years off, but to the Chinese that is every soon indeed. So their government is doing something about conserving their supplies.

    65. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by FishTankX · · Score: 1

      The primary cost of CNG conversions is the cost of the tanks, I believe. High pressure tanks have a limited lifespan and will need to be replaced regularly, probably several times over the course of the cars lifetime. If you wanted to make an IMMEDIATE dent in the oil consumption of America, converting over 1/3 of the cars in America, at $4000 per car, would have cost 400B. If you take the easier route of converting trucks and heavily commercial, then you could make more of a dent with less vehicles, but it would still cost alot. Which is probably why T-boone never got it off the ground. I feel like Fischer tropsch would have been a better bet, due to the compared ease of transporting liquid fuels vs natural gas. Fischer tropsch derived diesel would also have no sulfur, eliminating a primarily pollutant. When you start with virgin natural gas, the amount of pollutants coming out of the tailpipe probably drops precipitously. The fueling infrastructure would have also been better. Fischer tropsch derived gasoline could integrate seamlessly into the existing framework, where as with natural gas you're either looking at a $2000 compressor at every house with natural gas access, or building massive natural gas storage facilities at all gas stations.

    66. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      True, you'd have to tariff based on the product coming from China. I think losing manufacturing of electronics to countries like Malaysia, etc. would be a strong disincentive to China, since that's a lot more lucrative industry than rare earth mining.

      Though you are right on the scope as well, this would need to be more than just the US, it needs to be at the WTO level. Let's see if they can actually accomplish something useful or are just a bunch of pussies who like to send their representatives on nice vacations while inciting local riots...

      In the end I'm starting to wonder why an industry like this isn't subsidized by the US government in the first place. I mean, how many billions are spent paying for corn no one needs? The future of the US economy is not going to be in feed corn...

    67. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is 100% about China trying to streghten their powerbase in the global economy. It's blatant price manipulation in what's supposed to be open markets. China is taking their ball and going home till all the other kids come begging. Unfortunately someone else is going to buy their own ball eventually.

      So... are free markets a good thing or a bad thing? Is it ok for China to do as they wish with the prices, or should there be some sort of regulation that keeps them from playing with them? It is price manipulation, and a good move for china. It's not like investors want to start playing against them. They have unlimited amount of "money" to burn while dumping to drive competitors out.

    68. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

      As others stated, the mines are running out in about 30 years. This is very far in the future for American culture, which also shows in this discussion. But for China this is soon.
      And they are closing the illegal mines now too: http://www.mining.com/china-cracks-down-on-illegal-rare-earth-mines-in-guangdong-province/
      Well, saving the rare earths for later is probably most important to them. It is about long-term profit. China does not care about the very short-term profits as you guys are assuming. An your grandparent poster was right that this is not good to them in the mid-term, since other countries are building up competition. And as far as I remember someone stated in an earlier discussion about this topic that Chinese are helping to build up that competition in California?

    69. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the rest of the world should hold up shipments of other commodities to China....let's see how they like it.

    70. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by CowTipperGore · · Score: 2

      lol.. You know damn well it was metaphorically speaking idiot

      1. I live in coal country and most people around here do not believe they are speaking metaphorically.
      2. Regardless, your assertion is stupid and unsupported by facts. Calling it a war minimizes actual struggles.

      Yep, your dad is out of work because of the war on coal.

      Each time you say "war on coal" in a serious way, you bring down the IQ of the room. Please stop doing it. It rained today because of Obama's war on sunshine. The NY Giants lost their football game because of Obama's war on the NY Giants. Any other wars to blame on Nobama?

      HE should start training to do something else in life because even if he gets called back to work, he will be left without a job soon unless something changes on that coal front.

      He did. After having his back broken, he went back to school and worked for 25 years in the banking technology industry. After a few years of unsatisfactory jobs, he decided to go back to the mines during their recent boom.

      There is no reason to expect any changes on the coal front. The easier seams are already mined. Cleaner options, such as natural gas, are plentiful and economic. There will be coal mined and used for quite a while, but not on the scale once seen. And despite the ignorant ranting of those opposed to Obama, it has nothing to do with a fantasy war on coal.

    71. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by CowTipperGore · · Score: 1

      That's an interesting history lesson, but has nothing to do with the fact that the current US government hates coal with a fiery passion, and is using its power to further this goal.

      Indeed. The way the Obama administration had more coal miners working than at any time during the Bush administration just a year ago. They are tricky about this war. I especially like the way they have secretly shown the natural gas industry where and how to get huge reserves to drive down the price so that electricity producers will use it instead. The real proof came this winter when Obama personally used his weather control device to ensure that an extremely warm winter would drive down the demand for coal and cause coal companies to lay off their miners.

      Seriously. Saying stuff like you posted makes you look like a shallow-minded partisan idiot.

    72. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      1. I live in coal country and most people around here do not believe they are speaking metaphorically.
      2. Regardless, your assertion is stupid and unsupported by facts. Calling it a war minimizes actual struggles.

      I do live near coal country and know a lot of people who work in the coal mines. They all think Obama and the government is out to close the mines down. I do not know what you call coal country but there seems to be a large disconnect between what you are saying and what I know to be real. BTW, I'm MSHA certified and have spent several years doing maintenance work in several coal mines across Ohio, West Virginia and Kentucky.

      Each time you say "war on coal" in a serious way, you bring down the IQ of the room. Please stop doing it. It rained today because of Obama's war on sunshine. The NY Giants lost their football game because of Obama's war on the NY Giants. Any other wars to blame on Nobama?

      Obama is attacking the use of coal whether you want to close your eyes and ignore it or not. The only one bringing the IQ of the room down is you when you insist it isn't happening. It was a damn campaign promise of his in 2008.

      There is no reason to expect any changes on the coal front. The easier seams are already mined. Cleaner options, such as natural gas, are plentiful and economic. There will be coal mined and used for quite a while, but not on the scale once seen. And despite the ignorant ranting of those opposed to Obama, it has nothing to do with a fantasy war on coal.

      There is no reason to expect any changes on the coal front. The easier seams are already mined. Cleaner options, such as natural gas, are plentiful and economic. There will be coal mined and used for quite a while, but not on the scale once seen. And despite the ignorant ranting of those opposed to Obama, it has nothing to do with a fantasy war on coal.

      Actually there is, Obama campaigned on it in 2008, he has directed the EPA to step on it and they are trying. When the nation's regulatory agencies- by the direction of the president, take on new powers of regulation all the sudden and attacks the coal industry without an act of congress, what do you call it besides an attack on those industries? Its a war on coal whether you want to believe it or not.

      Now I understand you love the democrats and the thought of anything that might be damaging to them is disturbing to you, but reality does not match your position here. The reality does not match Sherod Brown's ignoring it. The reality is that there is a war on the coal industry by the administration and it is happening through the regulatory agencies under his control and President Obama as well as Vice President Biden has more then said it was going to happen. You can close your eyes and believe the lies you hold dear or you could do just a cursory examination and find the truth.

    73. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it may be up to regulatory bodies/governments to look at the long term.

      Are you kidding? Because that is the funniest shit I've read all day.

    74. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      The market will pay them a premium for a stable supply,

      ... for about two hours. Then the bean-counters will reassert control.

      OK ; perhaps I'm being a bit over-cynical. Three hours.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    75. Re:not with a bang, but a little heard whimper. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      If we weren't talking about China and Japan, I'd agree. Chinese companies make emotional decisions about Japanese products all the time, and to a limited extend the reciprocal occurs. Point is, Japanese companies are going to remember this particular lesson.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  2. Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Start putting tariffs on anything made with Chinese rare earths. Since China is a net exporter, they have the most to lose playing these games.

    1. Re:Trade war by DamageLabs · · Score: 1

      Which means most electronic devices of today. Including the iPhone.

    2. Re:Trade war by Dan+East · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, don't put tariffs on them. Why would the US want to sell or produce rare earths? They are a finite resource. If China wants to burn through their supplies so the rest of the world can enjoy cheaper technology, then that is their prerogative. Once it's out of the ground and used to manufacture products shipped to the US then it can be recycled for reuse in new products. Either way the material is no longer in China. This is a gamble China has made to try and prop up their massive industry and population, is to not only undercut worldwide labor with a very cheap workforce, but also burn through their physical resources as well.

      Nothing about China is sustainable, and there will be great sorrow and suffering in that country when the bottom drops out of various markets over the next decades.

      The USA's production at various rare earth mines simply idled or completely stopped as prices dropped and it was not longer profitable to mine them. The rare earths are still sitting there waiting for us when we need them. No hurry to get to those resources at all.

      --
      Better known as 318230.
    3. Re:Trade war by zerotorr · · Score: 2

      Start putting tariffs on anything made with Chinese rare earths. Since China is a net exporter, they have the most to lose playing these games.

      That's ridiculous. The largest purchaser of rare earth minerals are US companies. Tariffs are meant to encourage people to buy products from other countries, mainly the host country. There really are no other producers of rare earth minerals to choose from, not in quantities large enough to satisfy demand. That would be like increasing taxes on oil to encourage people to not buy from the middle east. There's just not enough being produced outside there to satisfy demand. The economy would crumble. What the US needs to do is encourage production elsewhere of these minerals, so we're not tied to China so much.

    4. Re:Trade war by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      Reducing production to increase prices is "playing games"? Don't you know how to read a demand curve?

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    5. Re:Trade war by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Informative

      I feel like you're missing a key issue in the discussion.
      China controls ~90% of the rare earth refining capacity.
      That's what's being reduced.

      Why would the US want to sell or produce rare earths?

      So that the USA isn't beholden to China's monopoly on refined rare earths.
      Was that a trick question

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    6. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think you understand what "rare earth" means. The most common rare earth is no more rare than copper. In fact, the only rare earth that is scarce is promethium.

    7. Re:Trade war by Sydin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nothing about China is sustainable, and there will be great sorrow and suffering in that country when the bottom drops out of various markets over the next decades.

      There will be a great sorrow in every country, especially the US. We are all deeply tied into China's market, and whatever affects them, affects us. The next great depression will not also be a result of domestic economic negligence. It will be the result of China sinking, and dragging the world's economy down with it.

    8. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Rare earth metal, despite it's name, is actually much more common then the name leads you to believe. The problem is extracting it, however, since deposits might be spread thin or in difficult to reach places (too deep). China has the advantage of cheap labor in dealing with these issues simply by throwing more people at it.

      But because of this advantage, it makes it almost impossible for any other place to compete, at least in a fair market. It can take many years to startup rare earth mining, and even more to break even and start making a profit. With China being the sole supplier of rare earth at so cheap prices, they can easily control market prices enough to prevent any company from competing. This wouldn't be a problem but China has a heavy hand in the market making it bad for everyone else. You can only fight a heavy hand, with another heavy hand (general international agreement for traffics for boycott of China to force China to play nice OR paying a company to survive at a lost via government subsidies).

    9. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The same can be said of the United States. Our current track is un-sustainable.

      An average of $500,000 for a house in California. Your household (husband+wife) needs to make a minimum of $120,000 to afford a house in California.

      A lack of high-income jobs to pay for a basic cost of living here.

      $16 trillion in federal debt. I can't even begin to imagine that amount of money.

      Skyrocketing health care costs, that will doom the entire system.

      A university education that is quickly becoming beyond the reach of ordinary citizens.

    10. Re:Trade war by MeNeXT · · Score: 1

      you missed his point. The only reason everyone else stopped refining rare earth was because China dropped the price by flooding the market with cheap rare earths. Once China is no longer able(unwilling) to produce cheap rare earths then the rest of the world will get back into production.

      --
      DRM? No thanks, I'll just get it somewhere else...
    11. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rare earths aren't rare. China produces the most because they have the cheapest labor. With tariffs domestic rare earth production would be competitive and the recycling of electronic goods to reclaim the rare earths would be profitable.

    12. Re:Trade war by hawguy · · Score: 2

      Rare earth metal, despite it's name, is actually much more common then the name leads you to believe. The problem is extracting it, however, since deposits might be spread thin or in difficult to reach places (too deep). China has the advantage of cheap labor in dealing with these issues simply by throwing more people at it.

      Is mining really that labor intensive? Especially for something that involves digging up mass quantities of earth and refining out the trace metals?

      I thought something like rare earth mining would just employ huge earth moving equipment with comparatively few people to run it.

      How much of a mine's costs go to labor?

      I would think that China's bigger advantage is in less strict environmental standards.

    13. Re:Trade war by perplexing.reader · · Score: 1

      Which means most electronic devices of today. Including the iPhone.

      iPhone is also made in Brazil and Tvs, Xbox, the list goes on. Why? Because Brazil puts tariffs on anything made outside of south america, (cars from Mexico is excluded as well).

    14. Re:Trade war by MaWeiTao · · Score: 4, Interesting

      China needs the West far, far more than the West needs China. If we lose China as a manufacturing base we'll just move elsewhere; South East Asia, India, South America, Africa. And a lot of that capability could always come back home. China understands this, which is why they're expanding into Africa. Furthermore, as their international reach grows their ability to keep out international politics is diminished. Nations are expecting them to get more involved which introduces them to all the problems the US has faced for at least a century. Unfortunately, they have the tendency to align themselves with oppressive governments which has been drawing ire, particularly in Africa.

      A lot of what's been drawing China's success is the expectation amongst Western companies that they have this massive untapped market. It's all based on a potential that has largely failed to materialize. It's not that dissimilar to investors dumping millions into dot coms in the hope that a large userbase will eventually lead to profits. So far it isn't paying off quite like people have hoped.

    15. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Refining is easy to replace. It's not too difficult to build a smelter, but quite hard to make a mineral deposit.

    16. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tariff time. I know that's a four-letter word in the global trading game, but this is exactly the kind of situation that legitimizes their use. China wishes to artificially drive up the price by creating a false sense of scarcity that they can undermine at will. As stated above, this could easily bankrupt investors in the US if they attempt to circumvent Chinese efforts to manipulate mineral prices. The simple solution is to levy tariffs against Chinese rare-earth imports that would protect domestic production from fluctuations caused by what is obviously and blatantly trade warfare on the part of the Chinese government.

      Make no mistake: the Chinese government is the one pulling the strings here; it is only fair that the US government respond in kind. China will piss and moan about trade wars... but that's a consideration they should have made before firing a shot across our bow.

    17. Re:Trade war by PlusFiveTroll · · Score: 2

      I think arguing cheap labor would be the wrong point in mining (each huge mining truck is insanely expensive). Being able to dump their sludge in the closest hole without anyone caring would be the big issue. It's closer to America in its mining heydays, dig up what you want, leave the rest for everyone else to deal with in pollution, poisoning, or dangerous holes in the ground.

    18. Re:Trade war by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      You have a point, but restarting a rare earth refining capacity is not exactly free nor without time constraints. Once you shut something like that down, it doesn't just come back online. Especially not with higher environmental standards that the US has. Until it comes back online, China will run rampant.

      If China is going to play games like this which introduce spikes into the market, they could cut off their nose to spite their face, but it will hurt us too. If we can't trust them to not play games, we need to at least bring online sufficient resources to maintain our capacity to refine on relatively short notice or we could be in big trouble long before China burns through anything.

    19. Re:Trade war by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Rare Earth elements are not rare, they're just not usually found in huge clumps that are easily mined like other elements.

    20. Re:Trade war by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      They say that while horses can run faster than humans, humans reach their top speed a lot faster than horses can. Same goes with humans and automation.

      Although many industries may have you fooled, mining is still relatively labor intensive and not exactly run by robots. And humans can always be thrown at the problem where efficient machines have to be brought online and maintained. Since China does not lack people to throw at mining, they can be fairly nimble at using human labor. It may well be cheaper to hire 400 men than to buy, maintain and operate a machine with 400 manpower. It is probably a lot faster as well.

      However, yes, the lower environmental standards help a lot. Indeed, rare earth mining is nowhere near a clean industry. And their willingness to use humans in labor of this sort, without these standards, means that humans can be even more productive per unit than machines. In the US, there would be OSHA, and benefits, and other things that makes human labor expensive and automation more efficient to use. In China, humans don't have any of these benefits and cost a lot less, completely aside from paying them pennies in salary.

    21. Re:Trade war by avandesande · · Score: 1

      The reason why this is done in China is that rare earth refining creates large amounts of toxic wastes. Doing the same process in the US following environmental guidelines is costly.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    22. Re:Trade war by GodInHell · · Score: 1

      Point of order -- we may not use this crap in 50 years. Technology has a bad habit of doing sudden and unexpected things with your cheese.

    23. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      True, but it's not as expensive or time consuming as a lot of people seem to think. The only RE mining I have 1st hand experience with is Molybdenum. I had a cousin who worked at a mine for a couple of years and I got to tour the mine several times and talk to the operators and miners. If you ever get the opportunity, jump on it, it's crazy interesting. This one had a refinement facility on site and refined everything they mined there. That mine would shut down and start back up at a moments notice. The company knows exactly how much it costs to produce at ton of refined molybdenum. If the commodity market price of moly dropped below the break-even point the mine shut down. If it raised above it, the mine started up. Their biggest operating costs were electricity and manpower. It cost less than a week of operating expenses to mothball or restart the whole thing. Since the whole facility is already there, shutting down is basically turning off the lights and sending everyone home. Starting up is just the reverse. There are some expenses for maintaining the equipment while its not in use and security guards, etc., but they are fractions of pennies compared to the cost of running at full production.

      As far as environmental regulations, the vast majority of the cost there involve wastewater control, and you have to do that whether the mine is operating or not, so it's a sunk cost. Digging a giant pit in the ground exposes rock surfaces to air and water. The combination of these rock stratas exposed to oxygen, and rain and ground seepage means the hole is constantly slowly filling with highly acidic toxic water. This water has to be held in lined pits, which have to be maintained forever, regardless of whether the mine is operating or not. The companies that own the mines know all this and exactly what it costs. The costs are factored into their break-even; they know when it's worth running the mine, and they know that the ongoing costs when it's closed are just a cost of doing business.

      I agree with most of your comment, but at least for some RE materials, starting up a dormant mine/refinery isn't that big a deal. It's just that the owner isn't going to do it until it's profitable to do so. Sounds like the chinese are working on making it profitable.

      Other RE mining and refining may not be the same as moly, but I wouldn't be surprised if most of them are very similar. Most RE mining is open pit, but I don't know about the differences in the refining process for different materials, so maybe some of them are more expensive and harder to ramp back up to full production.

      AC

    24. Re:Trade war by cowboy76Spain · · Score: 1

      If China falls then they will sell all of the bonds that they bought to the "rich" countries, and rich countries will have a very difficult time finding funds.

      --
      Why can't /. have a rich-text editor? Editing your own HTML is so XXth century.
    25. Re:Trade war by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Except for the fact that the US is abundantly supplied with everything from food, to space, to a young and growing population (but not dangerously so) that's relatively male/female balanced, to rare earths (we just aren't particularly interested in the messy business of recovery), to now oil.

      A collapse in the world economy would be painful, no doubt, but at the level of cataclysmic situation that would cause such desperation, the US will suffer less than pretty much any other country.

      --
      -Styopa
    26. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can't use housing prices in California as an example - these prices are the perfect example of people being successful. The housing prices would not be nearly as high as they are if people weren't making so much money and driving the prices up.

    27. Re:Trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, they have the tendency to align themselves with oppressive governments which has been drawing ire, particularly in Africa.

      So you are saying they are the new US? I mean.. well, US has aligned themselves with every oppressive dictator that has been profitable at the time. And not only aligning, but actually put in power.

  3. Buy Molycorp (MCP) by i_want_you_to_throw_ · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Time to consider buying Molycorp. (ticker: MCP). They are, I think, the sole US company involved in the space. Apparently the news hasn't caught onto this story yet but I made a bunch of $$$$ last year with this one. Just something to keep an eye on.

    1. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 2

      Are you actually trying to use Slashdot to manipulate stock prices for you? *ugh*

      --

      "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
    2. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      but I made a bunch of $$$$ last year with this one

      It's down 74% off it's 52-week... are you shorting it???

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    3. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by Sarten-X · · Score: 1

      I made a bunch of $$$$ last year with this one.

      By any chance, was that money made by buying the stock, then posting messages online about it to generate interest and raise prices, then selling the stock at the new higher price?

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    4. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by jgtg32a · · Score: 2

      Yeah I made a lot of money with them as well, but then I bought them again right before the crash and then I doubled down at around $30. Good news is I don't have to pay capital gains tax for quite a while.

    5. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by zeroryoko1974 · · Score: 0

      I think members of the FTC would be very interested in hearing about your investment. Give them a call

    6. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by JazzHarper · · Score: 1

      I made a bunch of $$$$ last year with this one.

      By any chance, was that money made by buying the stock, then posting messages online about it to generate interest and raise prices, then selling the stock at the new higher price?

      That's extremely unlikely. There haven't been any new higher prices for MCP in a long time. It peaked at $77 a year an a half ago and has been crushed, ever since. It's down around $11, now. The only people who made money were the ones who were short.

      Besides, message board pumping only works for thinly-traded stocks. With 6 million shares of MCP changing hands every day, a random dude on some board isn't going to move the needle.

    7. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      It gained some 200% last year over a few good 30%+ jumps, then crashed like crazy. It's down, yes, that means it's the best time to buy.

      Seriously amateurs. Did you get taken in in 2005-2008 "BEST TIME TO BUY HOUSE PRICES ARE GOING UP UP UP!!" too? Going up... been going up... gold prices have been going up, people screaming gold will reach $2000, $5000, $10,000 in August of 2011, why do you think G Gordon Liddy was pushing gold so much then? When gold crashes down, it will be a good buy, and you will be like "It's down 95% off its 52-week... are you high? Why would I buy gold? How did you make money on this stuff?"

    8. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's extremely unlikely. There haven't been any new higher prices for MCP in a long time. It peaked at $77 a year an a half ago and has been crushed, ever since. It's down around $11, now. The only people who made money were the ones who were short.

      Or the people who sold at $77 which caused the drop.

    9. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Does sound a little shady, but he is doing what pump and dumpers usually don't do: He's admitting he owned the stock and made some money on it. The P&D'ers usually like to run "articles" where the fact that they were paid in a stock grant is mentioned in the fine print.

      If you do your due diligence first, this story is one that might legitimately make Molycorp worth buying.

      That said, you have to see if Molycorp has any significant impairments to using this to their advantage. If China only alters production until just before Molycorp's mine comes back online, and then starts dumping again, then those shares you bought could tank. China is definitely in the driver's seat when it comes to Molycorp's future stock price.

      Even then, though, buyers in industry might well decide they want their supplier to provide a steady supply and shun China even if it drops the prices again. That would make some long term sense, but the lure of dirt cheap components may well make long term thinking unlikely to come to pass.

      Needless to say, this is a risky investment, but not a completely insane one. And it is one I'd probably only make if I was an experienced trader in these sorts of goods. This is not something you go to e-trade and pick up a thousand shares of on one story.

    10. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Well, most of us aren't smart enough to pick the bottom of the market. When it comes to equities, I'm old-fashioned and still look at fundamentals. MCP made some questionable acquisitions and their profits are almost zero. The shorts are very strong ahead of their Nov 8 earnings. If they miss expectations (which are only 1 cent per share), I think you'll see single digits.

      I didn't have time to fully look into the company, is there some reason I should keep digging? Where is the hope?

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    11. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Well, most of us aren't smart enough to pick the bottom of the market.

      Oh, it's not the bottom. You can't do that. It's the reversals. You look at prices and you see, say, a three white kings pattern--stock's up 4%, 6%, 3% in 3 days? Great! You know why it's up? People are buy-buy-buy! Then that fourth day you see it doji star... the price goes up, comes down, settles in the middle... or maybe you see a hammer, the price moves but there's only a tail on one side. In any case, suddenly the price isn't climbing a lot. Lucky you though, right? A chance to buy in before it continues rocketing up.

      Yeah, right. It's peaking over. Sell that shit.

      The exact same thing happens at the bottom. There's all these fancy patterns to try to predict the reversals in Japanese candlesticks, but when it's all over and done you can see smooth curves most of the time--prices rushing down, then slowly continuing down, then flattening, then reversing, like a parabola. Same thing going up.

      That's ... great when you've decided to trade a stock. To decide if you want it though, yes, fundamentals. News (look, see this? This news will favor MCP and Hunter and such), earnings, company balance sheets and plans (you use these to PREDICT news; the company making money doesn't make you rich, it's the market sentiment on the stock price that controls the stock price. Spiraling, failing businesses can go through the roof).

      Graph the company's price history divided by the S&P500: if it's >1.0, then it's growing faster than the market, and probably a good investment; if it's <1.0, it's growing slower than the market (even if it's going up, it's not going up as fast as the S&P), and thus a bad investment. A stock growing faster than the market has money flowing into it--more capital going there than everywhere on average. You'll see things like the financials (XLF) with XLF/SPY above 1.0 during the housing and mortgage boom, then you see it level off, then start heading below 1.0. All's well... then six months later, the banks collapse and the stock prices crash down hard. Why? Because during the boom, there's a lot of buying going on in Citi, Bank of America, etc that are "good investments," and less going to the tech market etc. When Wall Street thinks it's about to be over, they start to pull out--and all that capital goes elsewhere, the financial sector either grows slower or shrinks faster than the rest of the market, and the ratio drops below 1.0.

      This thing with China, this is just news. It makes you think, hey, maybe I should watch MCP and Hunter. Maybe buy in on a low signal, protect yourself from losses (stop loss or short something as a hedge), see if MCP announces reopening a mine and gets some attention and becomes desirable. Make 40%, move your stop loss up, either sell out (in fear of China starting up production again) or wait (in hopes China starts up production and it goes nowhere and MCP dominates and you make 80%).

      Stock market is too much of a mess for me to play in. Too much stress.

    12. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      he financial sector either grows slower or shrinks faster than the rest of the market, and the ratio drops below 1.0.

      I have to admit that sector trading is my one dirty little technical trading habit. In general I go with fundamentals (even looking at dividend sometimes! What am I, a senior?), but I keep about 1/3 of my funds in sector ETFs, balanced 2-4 times per year, simply because they have been so good to me. One of those sectors, by the way, is often "cash" :)

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    13. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      It's not buying the ETF, really. Think about if you ran, say... put XLF:SPY on stockcharts.com, and it came up 1.2. Now look at C:XLF, BAC:XLF, UBS:XLF... same deal, the ones outrunning the sector in a sector outrunning the market? Those are your growth stocks.

    14. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Well, I wouldn't really buy SPY... it's an index fund as opposed to a sector fund. Yeah, it's true that I'm probably giving up some gain and I'm paying fees, but it's much less work and I end up more diversified.

      I mostly pick individual stocks, and may very well decide to buy a single stock in a particular fund. The ETFs are just a fun thing I do more on the side. This year it hasn't mattered much what I do - everything is up significantly. I'm easy to please and just try to stay modestly ahead of the S&P.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    15. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      "Diversification" is a ridiculous concept. It's like if you would just diversify your chances of losing are minimized... along with your chances of gaining. The ultimate diversification is to hold an S&P index tracker--hundreds of stocks in the market. But, then you hold exactly one security... wait, what? How is this different from buying them individually?

      Diversification is a stupid core strategy. You need a real strategy; diversification is a side-effect. Hedging for example, people leverage various things against each other--short gold and buy oil, you're essentially buying oil in gold, you're assuming oil is going to gain value faster than gold and so you're taking X amount of gold, getting dollars for it, and buying oil with those dollars. You're buying oil in gold. Diverse holdings, because of strategy.

      Think about all those people who lose money because they buy into a handful of good stocks and precious metals "for diversification" and then the silver market drops. Contrast that to people who buy in 3 different markets and had held gold until recently while it grew, then broke out when it leveled off (and is arguably going into decline) last year--they also had the mining companies (basic materials) and some other stuff. Why? Because a variety of things are good investments and they've diversified.

      Buying an index fund (a sector fund is an index fund) is "diversification" like a consolidated debt object. Some good, some bad. The goal of the stock market is to de-diversify, to specify into only the undervalued so you can sell it when its value rises to correct.

    16. Re:Buy Molycorp (MCP) by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Well, diversification is not my goal - it's more of a side effect from my trading in ETFs. It happens to work a lot like a hedge in practice, so it is sufficient for my needs. If I had more time, I would absolutely pick individual stocks. Perhaps when I have more money invested I will be able to justify this, but at the moment I cannot.

      Yeah, I realize I phrased the index/sector fund thing poorly. I meant that I'm not interested in general index funds (S&P, DJIA, NASDAQ Composite, etc). But I do like to invest in the index funds of particular sectors with money that would otherwise be sitting in cash waiting for me to find a good individual stock.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  4. Communists my ass... by bjdevil66 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They're capitalists, with all the dirty trappings and failings of western businessmen, only without the whole problem of human rights.

    Someone probably needs to remind these people that artificially manipulating prices like this can get burned badly in the end.

    1. Re:Communists my ass... by Kenja · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Try starting a Chinese company that competes with one of the party backed ones and you'll see how capitalist they are not.

      --

      "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
    2. Re:Communists my ass... by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      Are you saying that the Chinese don't have Human Rights issues?

      What news outlet have you been watching? The chinese news?

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    3. Re:Communists my ass... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Communist leaders are only publicly communist. If there wasn't a huge pot of gold waiting for them at the end of the communist rainbow, they would never have invented communism in the first place.

    4. Re:Communists my ass... by mfwitten · · Score: 1

      They're capitalists, with all the dirty trappings and failings of western businessmen

      No, they're central planners,with all the dirty trappings of a centralized power structure.

      manipulating prices like this can get burned badly in the end.

      That's because it makes no sense; what they call a "healthy price" is actually an artificially inflated price, which causes strife and can therefore lead to violence.

    5. Re:Communists my ass... by Drathos · · Score: 1

      I think it's not that they don't have human rights issues, more that they don't consider them issues and just ignore them.

      --
      End of line..
    6. Re:Communists my ass... by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      Reducing production when profits don't justify the current level of production is "manipulating prices"? Don't you know how to read a demand curve?

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    7. Re:Communists my ass... by jovius · · Score: 1

      Free market != Capitalism. Isn't it the ultimate capitalism when the state and the business go hand in hand reaping profits for as few as possible? Sure there might be competition, but it's fierce and probably bloody too.

    8. Re:Communists my ass... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      OK, Fascist then.

    9. Re:Communists my ass... by alexgieg · · Score: 1

      No, they're central planners,with all the dirty trappings of a centralized power structure.

      Internally, yes, but looking from the outside and taking China as a single ultra-huge corporation, then what they're doing is typical monopolistic capitalist entity.

      One should always remember that liberalism and libertarianism are almost never what a mega-corp CEO believes in, they're middle class ideologies. The very poor want someone to pay their bills for them, hence they lean left. The middle class want to be left alone, so they lean libertarian. And the very rich and powerful want to stay rich and powerful no matter what, not wanting that silly free market to put them at risk, so they lean "power", whatever the label. Thus, being a capitalist-like entity isn't opposite to leaning left on other things, all the while is most certainly is leaning anti-libertarian.

      --
      Conservatism: (n.) love of the existing evils. Liberalism: (n.) desire to substitute new evils for the existing ones.
    10. Re:Communists my ass... by zmooc · · Score: 1

      Communism is way to organize a state and a society. It does not say anything about how that state should operate on the world market, which is inherently capitalistic. In fact, communism cannot "pass" the border of the single entity that orchestrates it.

      Also note that this rare earth production being suspended smell a lot like a planned economy to. And that's about as communist as it gets. So is articifially manipulating prices in general.

      --
      0x or or snor perron?!
    11. Re:Communists my ass... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't it the ultimate capitalism when the state and the business go hand in hand reaping profits for as few as possible?

      No, capitalism is when the ownership of the means of production is liquid. Ultimate capitalism is having a stock market and real estate market unfettered by rent-seeking entities.

      Go read a book on economics. Don't try to guess what words like "capitalism" mean unless you want to sound like the guy who says "My hard RAM scanned a net virus so I firewalled my CPU"

    12. Re:Communists my ass... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "only without the whole problem of human rights."

      So, like the US, then.

    13. Re:Communists my ass... by rsborg · · Score: 2

      Try starting a Chinese company that competes with one of the party backed ones and you'll see how capitalist they are not.

      Sure they're capitalist - crony capitalist. Also see no-bid contracts, regulatory capture and laws written by lobbyists. The totalitarians in the USA look to China as a beacon of what is coming here.

      --
      Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
    14. Re:Communists my ass... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What you're describing as the "ultimate capitalism" is more commonly known as Fascism.

    15. Re:Communists my ass... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you think the west doesn't have human rights issues? which news outlet have you been watching? the Western News?

    16. Re:Communists my ass... by Raenex · · Score: 1

      Free market != Capitalism

      But they go hand-in-hand. Owning the means of production generally implies that you should be free to sell it.

    17. Re:Communists my ass... by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      We are still talking about China right?

  5. Back to the stoneage by Anarchy24 · · Score: 1

    Two solutions exist for America - first, repeal all free-trade agreements. Second, the perennial favorite: bomb em!

    1. Re:Back to the stoneage by cavreader · · Score: 5, Informative

      Or just re-open the closed rare earth mines in the US. Rare Earths are really not that "rare". The US closed it's most productive mines for environmental reasons and because it was cheaper to purchase from abroad. Same reason domestic oil production was reduced. Of course the US is now pumping approximately 10 million BPD and is expected to surpass Saudi Arabia in as little as 4 years using newer extraction methods is also something to look forward. China's economic forecasts have always been predicated on best case scenarios as well as their government making the optimum decisions every time but their government is no more immune to stupid decisions than any other government in the world.

    2. Re:Back to the stoneage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The bombing only works if the US is the only one that have the bombs. U.S. has not used its nukes so far (at least not in the news) against anyone else since WWII. Not even against terrorists that launched their attack in a U.S. city. What make you think that the U.S. would do that without an actual physical attack? Would the U.S. be able to get away without the rest of the world turning against it?

      Assuming the U.S. has first launch of its nukes pointing at China.

      At some point before the nukes go to orbit, the Chinese, Russian would see the launch.
      Since Russia is sort of in the general direction, Russia will assume that it is the target.
      China fires their nukes, Russia fires its nukes, hell even North Korea fire their failed fireworks.
      U.S. will be gone a few minutes afterward.

    3. Re:Back to the stoneage by KingMotley · · Score: 1

      It has been a long time since Russia and the US were in any sort of tense conflict that would lead them to believe the US would launch a nuke at them.

      I suspect if Russia saw a US nuke launch they would (like most rational people) be calling North Korea to say good bye.

    4. Re:Back to the stoneage by afidel · · Score: 1

      Iran is a LOT more likely than North Korea, if we attack NK Soul gets leveled, we have no such qualms with Iran (until they get a warhead small enough to fit on one of their missiles that can reach Israel).

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    5. Re:Back to the stoneage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      US conventional oil is still dwindling (read: cheap and easy) and the fracking fields don't last anywhere as long as the conventional ones. Our increase is going to be very temporary and shortlived.

    6. Re:Back to the stoneage by cavreader · · Score: 1

      I did not say anything about conventional extraction although there are also deposits that can be accessed by conventional means.

      They can estimate the amount of gas or oil in non-conventional sources such as shale. The shale reserves in Colorado and surrounding areas contain more untapped oil than any OPEC supplier. The US uses approximately 14 million BPD and is already pumping around 10 million BPD and steadily increasing.

    7. Re:Back to the stoneage by udachny · · Score: 1

      just re-open

      - just reopen. That's rich. Where is the capital? Where is the wealth needed to do that? Where is the machinery? It's not only about digging dirt, it's about refining the metals, which is a technological process that requires many various inputs, at the minimum millions of tons of various chemicals, which too, must be produced and stored and delivered.

      'just reopen'. That's the problem, isn't it? 'Post-industrial' is the same as 'pre-industrial', there is no such thing as 'service economy' unless you actually can balance the books with it (as in have a balanced trade).

    8. Re:Back to the stoneage by cavreader · · Score: 1

      Well one of the biggest US based rare earth mining operations has already re-opened and went into production 2 Years ago. If it is cheaper to import commodities such as rare earths, gas, or oil that is the way it will go but import costs have been steadily rising which makes going back to domestic sources profitable once more. Plus these mines and extraction companies are commercial enterprises and they invest their money on the expectation of future profits.

      Also don't forget that the US not only has the top GDP in the world it is also ranked at the top manufacturer rankings as well. A lot of folks are predicting China's GDP will surpass the US but it is starting to sound like the claims that Linux will surpass MS on the desktop any day now. More US manufacturing jobs are being lost due to automation and better processes than are being lost by shipping the jobs overseas.

      China is losing the one thing that has improved help grow their economy and that is low labor costs when compared to more developed countries. Manipulating their currency is another factor but they have just about reached the limits of their manipulations. A couple of years ago China has went from a long stretch of export but have started posting deceits around 4 years ago.

  6. 70% by Githaron · · Score: 3, Insightful

    China has about 30 percent of rare earths deposits but accounts for more than 90 percent of production.

    It sounds like we should consider mining from the other 70 percent.

    1. Re:70% by hoboroadie · · Score: 2

      It sounds more like we should consider developing production facilities beyond that 10% to me.

      --
      They feared that it could be used to suppress protest or support unpopular rule.
    2. Re:70% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If Only there was a country friendly to western powers with lots of rare earths!

      What? Wait! Afghanistan???

    3. Re:70% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is just like oil. As prices rise, an alternative source or method begins to look cost effective. A price drop in oil wipes out all investor money in that alternative. Alternatives that have not reached a critical mass can not survive unless they can compete with the minimum surviving level of the incumbant source. Every time this happens less and less investors are interested in starting up the alternative because they know the cycle and the risks.

    4. Re:70% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no really: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=afghanistan-holds-enormous-bounty-of-rare-earths

    5. Re:70% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      who cares about Afghanistan?

      the US itself has huge deposits of rare earths. i can't find the article but fairly recently it was found that we have such large deposits that it puts into question whether china even has a 30% share.

      the only reason we aren't mining and refining them is our own companies can't compete with China on price, due mostly to costs for environmental and safety regulations we impose on ourselves. China doesn't care about those things and so just throws more people into the pit.

      The US has no shortage of rare earths and we really don't need Afghanistan's

    6. Re:70% by jonwil · · Score: 1

      The answer then is to find a country that:
      1.Is friendly to the US and wont do what China is doing
      2.Has low labor costs
      3.Has low regulation
      and set up rare earth refineries there.
      i.e. we overcome the high price of building refineries in America by building them somewhere else that's friendly enough to the US (and/or unfriendly enough to the chinese) that they can be an alternative supplier if the Chinese continue to try to manipulate the market.

  7. Re: Winning! by hoboroadie · · Score: 5, Funny

    He's promoting healthy development of his stock's price.

    --
    They feared that it could be used to suppress protest or support unpopular rule.
  8. Outsourcing by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 2

    This is what happens when you outsource production of a key component of a critical technology. Quoth the fine article,

    The United States, Canada, Australia and other countries also have rare earths but most mining stopped in the 1990s as lower-cost Chinese ores came on the market.

    In other words, it sounds like we set ourselves up for this by going for the quick buck.

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    1. Re:Outsourcing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two key facts:

      1) "Rare earth" is a misnomer, as these elements aren't incredibly rare.
      2) The US has plenty of reserves we no longer exploit due onerous new environmental regulations.

      Effectively, we bought cheaper neodymium, et al, from China by outsourcing our pollution. Seems like a fair trade to me.

      If they don't want to sell to us anymore the market will rectify the situation; it will once again become viable to use US reserves (albeit at the higher cost of environmental policing).

    2. Re:Outsourcing by space+fountain · · Score: 2

      Yes, but maybe not in the way you mean. My understanding is it's not the labor costs that are the main concern, but the fact that these ores contain other toxic materials. Disposal of these material is most of the expense. And, of course, the that's no problem for the Chines

    3. Re:Outsourcing by Dan+East · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is simply inevitable. China has been producing rare earths at unsustainable and artificially low prices, which is why the rest of the world no longer needed to bother with mining and consuming their own finite resources.

      Everyone needs to grasp that this is an inevitability - the prices of various products (mainly higher technology) will have to go up, and thus the global markets and product will rebalance themselves. The manipulation was already done in keeping the prices too low, not in making them go up. Your complaints are coming way too late in this game - you should have been complaining at least a decade ago when they flooded the market with cheap resources, not now that the bubble has burst.

      Say a new hot dog stand opens up in town, and for the first month they sell hotdogs for 25 cents at a massive and unsustainable loss. Maybe that's long enough to run the other hot dog stands out of business, or at least make them realize it's just not worth bothering with. Then after the introductory price they go up to where the market belongs. Now at that point the other hot dog stands can re-open, with new owners or with their old owners - doesn't really matter. At the end of the day it's all the same end result - hotdogs cost what they're worth.

      My question is this - was it wrong for the rest of us to enjoy hotdogs for only a quarter apiece while we were able to? My opinion is no, that's not wrong of us, nor is it wrong that the world enjoyed lower priced rare earths (and thus technology) because of China's willing sacrifice of their finite resources.

      --
      Better known as 318230.
    4. Re:Outsourcing by e065c8515d206cb0e190 · · Score: 1

      Whose fault? Who's "we"?

      Subsidising unprofitable US producers would be extremely costly. It's extremely hard to fight market forces in a globalized environment (if it was just Montana vs Nevada, one could just pass a law). It's also most of the time counterproductive.

      Now this is beyonf "free markets", this is clearly price manipulation. And price manipulation is "legal" only when there's no law. OPEC has been manipulating oil for years. Why do they get away with it? Because they don't belong to the WTO and hence don't fall under its "laws". China is a WTO member, so it's not that legal for them to act like that, and there is precedent action against such manipulation: http://www.google.com/search?q=wto+china+rare+earth

    5. Re:Outsourcing by RGladiator · · Score: 1

      The problem with this is we don't have government controlled mines. When a private U.S. company cannot sell it's rare earth elements cheap enough to compete with China, they cut their losses and shut down. Only if the government gave them money to keep running or was willing to buy U.S. rare earth's at U.S. prices could we not "set ourselves up". It's not the quick buck, it's the global economy.

    6. Re:Outsourcing by GoodNewsJimDotCom · · Score: 1

      I always felt that if you were once a world leader in an industry, yet some other country is just doing it cheaper than you, the government should subsidize your final competing industry and possibly put tariffs on incoming goods to protect your last 10-5% industry. The US government should have thought about this around the 70s when Pittsburgh was struggling losing their steel. I'm not so sure the politicians are interested in this though as they're not always for serving the people, but more the people giving them campaign contributions.

    7. Re:Outsourcing by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      In other words, it sounds like we set ourselves up for this by going for the quick buck.

      Alternately... we were set up by the Chinese dumping cheap product (product subsidized by prison/slave labor and complete disregard for any/all environmental consequences).

    8. Re:Outsourcing by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Whose fault? Who's "we"?

      Since these elements are strategically necessary, I would say that "we" means the US Government. They are elected to look out for our interests.

      Subsidising unprofitable US producers would be extremely costly.

      That was not the only alternative. Another good solution would have been stockpiling. If it would take, say, three years to restart our own mines after a supply disruption, then the prudent thing (both economically and militarily) would have been to build up a strategic stockpile to cover three years of consumption before these mines were closed, to allow time for them to reopen. We could have built the stockpile by buying either from our own mines or from the Chinese.

    9. Re:Outsourcing by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      From my understanding the old US steel mills that closed were mostly pre WWII and other countries had a competitive advantage because we bombed their old ones off the face of the planet or they never had them to begin with so they built new modern mills. The US steel industry should have spent some of the money from the good years modernizing but instead they remained complacent and advanced.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    10. Re:Outsourcing by afidel · · Score: 3, Informative

      The problem with midwest steel wasn't largely dumping (there was some, but it was a fairly small percentage of the market), it was the fact that most of the steel plants were 40+ years old with few updates and they were competing with more modern plants using more efficient techniques and more automation. Steel consumption also was on the decline, from 1982-2008 the US only consumed about 45M metric tons of steel per year, the same amount as we did in 1941 and about half what we did in 1972. Today we produce about as much steel as we did in 1974 but we do it with less than 1/3rd the workforce, modern mills just aren't as labor intensive as the old ones and while that's bad if you're a worker unable to find a replacement job at comparable wages it's good for the economy overall.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    11. Re:Outsourcing by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Not really. Low Chinese prices are due to the issue of differing environmental regulatory structures.

      You see rare earth ore deposits are generally found to contain containing stuff like Thorium in conjunction with the desired rare earths.

      In places where people care about not totally destroying the environment safety precautions are required. If you don't care you can mine much expensively.

    12. Re:Outsourcing by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      That toxic material is Thorium. Nasty indeed.

    13. Re:Outsourcing by Ceriel+Nosforit · · Score: 1

      I never do have mod points when I need them. *sigh*

      --
      All rites reversed 2010
    14. Re:Outsourcing by StormyWeather · · Score: 1

      maybe, but you could also look at it as purchasing something that someone else makes cheaper than you can. My father was an oil and gas company manager who had to lay off employee after employee as the middle east dumped oil on the market faster and cheaper than we could. Eventually my dad also lost his job and took a much lower paying job in the industry. Now my dad is once again in high demand as other countries have squandered their easy to get oil at a cheap price and the field is once again more leveled. So who is the real losers here? Sure it hurt the us oil and gas industry bad for a while , but now we are getting back to business and the savings account of oil from shut down wells is now paying much better dividends, and othher industries in the US took advantage of the low cost energy in the interim.

      Same with these elements. If they pull back on development we just step up if it is worth our time. Maybe china sees this and is stopping the cheap easy sales to drive up prices to the long term price now instead of burning supply when the price is low.

    15. Re:Outsourcing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I understand that your question covers the economics pretty well, but it doesn't model the situation.

      Mines are hugely expensive to found. Also, refineries are hugely expensive to design and build. They also take a lot of time. Can't drill too fast in that mine or it'll collapse. Get some parts wrong and you can start over on the refinery, after a massive lawsuit and a couple of deaths. Gotta take your time. So the Chinese first flooded the market for a while and no one really bothered themselves with making alternative sources available. Even if they did, the investors would have split the place up and sold it for pennies when they didn't get their expected return or when they got spooked.

      So this is the result. Now it'll take us years, at the absolute best, to make up for the loss and stabalize prices. During those years, the price is likely going to absolutely skyrocket. You want your iPad 5? $2,000 please. Did I mention China is also accepting tons and tons and tons of electrical waste a year? That's right, they're recycling the very thing they sell to us. We're glad to get rid of it too, because it actually costs companies quite a bit of money to recycle it.

    16. Re:Outsourcing by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Today we produce about as much steel as we did in 1974 but we do it with less than 1/3rd the workforce, modern mills just aren't as labor intensive as the old ones and while that's bad if you're a worker unable to find a replacement job at comparable wages it's good for the economy overall.

      How is an unemployed worker good for the economy overall?

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    17. Re:Outsourcing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Today we produce about as much steel as we did in 1974 but we do it with less than 1/3rd the workforce, modern mills just aren't as labor intensive as the old ones and while that's bad if you're a worker unable to find a replacement job at comparable wages it's good for the economy overall.

      How is an unemployed worker good for the economy overall?

      In the same way we are better off overall because we didn't allow labor protectionism to ensure that we are all legally mandated to buy a buggy whip with each new automobile. The effect in the GP's example is called structural unemployment, and in this case it means higher efficiency and lower costs of production, which are a significant net gain for the economy.

      Like the buggy whip craftsmen of yore, people have to reinvent themselves when progress happens. The alternative is to pay people to perform pointless tasks or engage in luddism. You know, when mechanical textiles came out there were a lot of Luddites upset because they feared they would be out of a job. However, this was a major overall benefit because now a set of clothes no longer costs a week's wages (or more).

  9. That's quite funny by 7-Vodka · · Score: 1

    ... And this strategy never works. Even in a cartel it rarely works because to make money output has to resume and to make maximum profit, the price has to be at the level that clears the market.

    Good luck to you china, I wonder how long before they can no longer stand their fast.

    --

    Liberty.

    1. Re:That's quite funny by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      ... And this strategy never works.

      Tell that to OPEC.
      Price of oil when OPEC was created: ~$3/barrel
      Price of oil today: ~$100/barrel

    2. Re:That's quite funny by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Clearly that price increase is 100% attributable to the creation of OPEC.

    3. Re:That's quite funny by 7-Vodka · · Score: 1
      Your measurement scale is the error. You do realize that the dollar has lost something like 98% of it's value since 1913 right?

      When you measure the price of oil in real money, such as gold, it has stayed on a constant decline and is at all time lows.

      Furthermore, when the price of oil goes up it can only be for 2 reasons:

      1. Reduced supply, one of the many possible reasons for this might be opec
      2. Increased demand

      You can actually tell which one of these caused an increased in price by looking at the volume traded. If the volume increases, it was demand, if the volume decreases it was supply.

      In either case, price has not moved up, even though we know that demand has skyrocketed. So if opec's goal is to reduce supply, it has severely failed.

      Don't believe the hype.

      --

      Liberty.

  10. Back to Beckistan with you! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Um, no. We are not in Afganistan for the minerals. Sending valuable peolpe and equipment into a mine in a country where explosives-enthusiastic people want you dead is just insane.

    Seriously, if you get a bonus check at your job, for $10k and you go to invest it are you going to be remotely tempted to chip in on a "New Long Term Afgani Business Venture?"

    Because if that appeals I can connect you to a very well known Nigean Prince with even better offers.

    1. Re:Back to Beckistan with you! by hawguy · · Score: 2

      Um, no. We are not in Afganistan for the minerals. Sending valuable peolpe and equipment into a mine in a country where explosives-enthusiastic people want you dead is just insane.

      Seriously, if you get a bonus check at your job, for $10k and you go to invest it are you going to be remotely tempted to chip in on a "New Long Term Afgani Business Venture?"

      Because if that appeals I can connect you to a very well known Nigean Prince with even better offers.

      That depends on what backroom deals I get from the US Government - if they say "Hey, we want you to build a mine in Afghanistan, we can't pay you to do it, but here's a $100M contract to purchase output from this mine. Don't worry about security, we'll make sure that anything you dig up can be safely delivered. Feel free to open it under the banner of your Kenyan subsidiary."

    2. Re:Back to Beckistan with you! by dkleinsc · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      You're right: We weren't after the minerals. We were after the right to build an oil pipeline that former Unocal executive Hamid Karzai agreed to shortly after he was installed as president of Afghanistan with the help of former oil executives Richard Cheney and George W Bush.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    3. Re:Back to Beckistan with you! by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Was that pipeline plan before or after they also planned 9/11?

      And yes, I am being sarcastic.

    4. Re:Back to Beckistan with you! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No need to be sarcastic. The pipeline plan was in place in the 1990's. The various companies involved were negotiating with the Taliban to get it approved. I believe the idea was mostly shelved by 2001 though.

    5. Re:Back to Beckistan with you! by GodInHell · · Score: 1

      explosives-enthusiastic people

      is my new band name.

  11. so what? by nimbius · · Score: 4, Insightful

    America exports the worlds supply of helium, hasnt produced a millilitre more for over 2 decades, and keeps the price artificially low.

    OPEC sets quotas and prices for global oil supplies, and can suspend or restrict production whenever they feel the need.

    American agricultural conglomerates like ADM and General Mills collude to set the price at which they will accept corn from farmers. too much corn does not drive the price of it down, instead its maintained by dumping cheap corn as an export, or siloing it for next year.

    how has china in any way changed how capitalism has worked for the past 270 years? The only thing thats generated outrage is chinas willingness to take an aggressively competitive position in the global economy, instead of a subservient one. If you dont like it, consider pushing for more organized labor.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
    1. Re:so what? by ericloewe · · Score: 1

      Unions, while fine in principle, will soon become a bureaucratic organization whose only goal is to screw the administration (country, company, whatever) over, not look after workers.

      A neutral party should look after everyone's best interests. Goverments could take on that role, but tight and inflexible controls or excessive interference in what should be strictly business are the sad reality.

    2. Re:so what? by eyegor · · Score: 0

      Speaking from an economic standpoint, a union is a monopoly on the supply of their 'product' (labor) and can dictate the terms the cost of their product to the consumers of that product (industry). That monopoly position has done great harm to many of the industries that are forced to pay higher than market costs for labor than they would in right-to-work states.

      --

      Don't anthropomorphize computers, they don't like it.
    3. Re:so what? by Rob+Riggs · · Score: 1

      Unions, while fine in principle, will soon become a bureaucratic organization whose only goal is to screw the administration (country, company, whatever) over, not look after workers.

      A neutral party should look after everyone's best interests. Goverments could take on that role, but tight and inflexible controls or excessive interference in what should be strictly business are the sad reality.

      Unions and representative governments reflect the character and will of their constituents.

      --
      the growth in cynicism and rebellion has not been without cause
    4. Re:so what? by houghi · · Score: 1

      You forgot De Beers and diamonds.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    5. Re:so what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unions eventually become as corrupt and crooked as the corporations whose workers they represent, but that doesn't matter. It's a system of checks and balances. When you have two powers of roughly equal influence working at cross purposes, you tend to have stability. Witness the stability of the planet during the Cold War, or checks and balances in the US system of government. Without unions working to screw the company, you only have the company working to screw workers. No balance, and so they frequently succeed.

    6. Re:so what? by Kupfernigk · · Score: 2

      Ayn Rand is dead. Deal with it.

      --
      From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    7. Re:so what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Marx died first.

    8. Re:so what? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Go look up the educational ranking of the Right to Work states.

    9. Re:so what? by poity · · Score: 1

      Always interesting to see highly rated posts whose views go against typical Slashdot moral standards, they tend to make people think. Your last paragraph will be good quote fodder when every non-American Slashdotter complains about the US and QE4 next year (or some other unpopular act of economic self-interest). I wonder if I'll get a +5 as well?

      --
      your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
    10. Re:so what? by HuguesT · · Score: 1

      Thanks, that was a very good suggestion.

    11. Re:so what? by error_logic · · Score: 1

      ...filtered through the methods used to select candidates.

    12. Re:so what? by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. That's theory; we're talking about the real world, so put away your picture book and stop telling the cute blonde next door she should go play with the wild grizzly bears. She's Canadian, she knows they won't have porridge.

  12. u s a by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    nebraska has this starting soon http://www.quantumrareearth.com/ bought from molycorp which never developed it

  13. This is a good thing. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is the free market at its best. This company doesn't owe anyone anything and by driving up prices they are simply doing what is best for their own rational self interest.

  14. And here's the squeeze. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is the part where I laugh and do the I-told-you-so dance.

    This is why you don't let china become the only producer in any industry.
    This is really why solar companies in the US are dropping like flies. China is /huge/ in to solar and they want to squeeze out the competition.

  15. Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, they're central planners,with all the dirty trappings of a centralized power structure.

    Thank you! Thank you for NOT saying they're "Communists"! For the rest of you:

    Capitalism is an economic system.

    Communism is a political system; NOT an economic system.

    1. Re:Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How can it possibly NOT be "economic" when the entire economy is forced (at gunpoint if necessary, like any instance of government) to "contribute" to the political system?

      Let's call a spade a spade here. If a government takes your money by force -- which all of them do -- then the political system effectively *is* the economy.

    2. Re:Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's funny, because all of my economics books and professors always taught us it was an economic system, not a political one.

    3. Re:Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by space+fountain · · Score: 1

      I guess in a way, if you squint at it right. Sure the government is forcing communism on everyone, but at least under the dictionary definition, a country could be communist and have a democracy. Don't tell me a country can be communist and capitalist.

    4. Re:Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that just illustrates my point. A country cannot be both communist and capitalist because they are different economic systems. In fact, communism seeks to overthrow capitalism. Communism can coexist with democracy or totalitarianism, because they aren't competing economic systems. I think the driving purpose of communism is that means of production are owned by the people. In other words, it's about ownership.

      The point about the dictionary definition is well taken, though. I took a look at a few on the web and they're simply wrong. They often mention totalitarian governments as part of the definition, but that need not be the case.

    5. Re:Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... , but at least under the dictionary definition, a country could be communist and have a democracy.

      Absolutely not.

      Don't tell me a country can be communist and capitalist.

      I will and for proof I give you China: they are a Communist state with a (mostly) capitalist economy. Although, many firms are still state controlled and owned - hence the qualifier "mostly" for the pedants.

      Of course in today's World, you'd be hard pressed to find a truly Democratic/Capitalist country or a truly Communist/Socialist one. The World is moving more and more to hybrids. democratic states/ socialist economies (Scandinavia/India) or Communist states and Capitalist economies (China).

      I'd cite Wikipedia but they got too much wrong and I'm not part of the "in crowd" to edit the articles.

    6. Re:Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would submit to you that, these days, China is communist in name only.

    7. Re:Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by viperidaenz · · Score: 2

      Your books and those professors are wrong, the anonymous post on slashdot overrules them.

    8. Re:Thank you! Someone who actually had economics! by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      You're mixing your isms. Socialism is a political system, often using communism as its economic system.

  16. Afgan Mineral Rights are purchased in 10 , 9 , 8 by RobertLTux · · Score: 1

    isn't one of the reasons we are still in Afghanistan that they have an imperial C4ton of rare earth minerals in the mountains??

    --
    Any person using FTFY or editing my postings agrees to a US$50.00 charge
  17. It's a good thing by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    We should prepare ourselves for the future in which everything will have to be recycled.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  18. Four steps to bankruptcy by gurps_npc · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Step 1. Develop a business model founded on being the cheapest.

    Step 2. Watch as almost everyone else gets out of the business because they can't profit at your price, leaving you with 90% of the market.

    Step 3. Now try to increase profits. When you realize you can't raise prices because the other 10% undercut you and make most of the profit, cut off production entirely.

    Step 4. Watch as the other 10% raise prices (to the level you wished you got) and make a profit at your expense. Then watch as they expand, cutting your original market share from 90% to 70%.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Four steps to bankruptcy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      70% market share is a problem you want to have.

      Just sayin.

  19. How do you know the rare earths are secure? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China could have written a BACKDOOR into the rare earth elements they export and will ROOT YOUR PHONE!!!!

    Really.

    Why the fuck should china care about a "trade war" when the USA and Australia have both decided already to impose sanctions in a trade war? What is supposed to happen here? China says "Oh no, if we stop exporting rare earths, the USA and Australia may block purchases of our network kit. Even more, we mean!".

  20. War! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Looks like it's time for a nice little invasion...

    1. Re:War! by tokul · · Score: 1

      Looks like it's time for a nice little invasion...

      Lesson by D. MacArthur. Never get involved in a land war in Asia

  21. Great! by ZenDragon · · Score: 1

    Now maybe my Molycorp stock will go back up! :D

    1. Re:Great! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I haven't seen any indication that Mollycorp has any interest in actually reopening their mine. It's all talk and trying to get something from the government on the promise that they'll reopen. Shit, they probably asked China to do this so they could secure a "loan" from the government or something.

    2. Re:Great! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shit, they probably asked China to do this so they could secure a "loan" from the government or something.

      Nah, they wouldn't have to go to all this trouble just for a government handout.

      All they would've had to do is donate to the Obama campaign 4 years ago and they could have already packed up and left town in their new Ferraris.

    3. Re:Great! by Laser+Lou · · Score: 1

      I have an uncle working with the electrical powerplants there. They're really working on it.

      --
      No data, no cry
  22. I beg to differ, OPEC has run successfully as a cartel for quite some time.

    Yes, they all more or less cheat, but not too much. In the end, they still drive the prices.

  23. Re:Afgan Mineral Rights are purchased in 10 , 9 , by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Possibly, but I think the Chinese already bought the rights to those deposits.

  24. Re:Afgan Mineral Rights are purchased in 10 , 9 , by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.examiner.com/article/we-re-fighting-to-protect-china-s-economic-interests-afghanistan

  25. Market manipulation by phorm · · Score: 1

    it suspended production Tuesday to promote 'healthy development' of rare earths prices

    If you want to promote "healthy development" of prices, raise the prices. If you go too high, you'll know when people stop buying from you or start developing relationships with a third-party.
    Perhaps this will promote some laws/rules around this sort of behavior. It's similar to cartel or price-fixing behavior when you've got a cornered market like this.

    However, it's not like this is the only market where this happens. While the petroleum market is a bit more diverse, supplies are still choked in order to drive up prices etc.

  26. Re:Afgan Mineral Rights are purchased in 10 , 9 , by oodaloop · · Score: 1

    No. Or rather, they do have minerals, but that's not why we're there and we're not getting the minerals. We're leaving by 2014 without the contracts.

    --
    Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
  27. well that works by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    I guess by "promote healthy pricing" they mean guarantee that every other major country will start their own mining operation and eventually all but put them out of business. I think they really meant they're greedy assholes driving the price up but my proposed end result is more realistic.

  28. Go Go MolyCorp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Looks like Silicon Valley could have a new gold rush on its hands, "Thars Neodynium in those hills.."

  29. The thing is rare earths aren't by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    Go look it up. Their name is not very good. No they aren't abundant like silicon, aluminium, or iron, but they are not these extremely rare elements that you can't find many of. They are fairly plentiful.

    So if China wants to price things up too much there really isn't a good reason not to go after them in other locations.

  30. Afghan minerals [Re:not with a bang, but a...] by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Afghanistan has something like $4 TRILLION of minerals with lots of those rare earths. the russians discovered them first but we are going to get them.

    Afghanistan has moderately good sources of lithium (evaporite deposits in dry lake beds). This article is about rare earths. Lithium is not a rare earth.

    They may have some rare earth ores as well, but probably no more so than any other location of similar geology.

    its not an accident we got out of Iraq and are still in Afghanistan

    Yes it is; the idea that we're in Afghanistan to raid the mineral wealth just doesn't hold up; spending a trillion dollars on a war to capture access to a mineral resource of value at most a few trillion dollars, where you'd have to build the mining and transport infrastructure from scratch, just doesn't make sense unless it has a spectacularly high profit margin, and probably not even then. The comment from Marc Ambinder, in the Atlantic, is that "the Pentagon is probably trying to bolster Americans' support for the flagging Afghanistan campaign" by publicizing Afghan mineral wealth-- but it wasn't the reason we went there in the first place.

    link: Sorry, Trillions in Unmined Mineral Wealth Is Not a Reason to Keep Occupying Afghanistan

    1. Re:Afghan minerals [Re:not with a bang, but a...] by jythie · · Score: 1

      While I agree it likely is not why we are there, the economic figuring misses the mark.

      You forget that the people who would profit off such an arrangement and the people who are paying for it are two groups. There are quite a few historical precedents where private companies convince states to go to war, only to hand over the resource rights to the company.... thus the company's major expense is wining and dining a few key people while the tax payer picks up the tab for the actual military part of it.

  31. Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey libtards, that Romney plan is looking pretty good now, isn't it? Let's see what you think about foreign policy when your iPhone costs $1500 and buying a new electric vehicle is on par with buying a decent-sized house. But I guess you'll just borrow that money right back from China, so the world keeps on spinning.

    1. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey libtards, that Romney plan is looking pretty good now, isn't it?

      No. Thanks for asking.

      Actually, this points out what can happen when a country takes on the greedy, self-centered character of people like Romney.

    2. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As opposed to the greedy, self-centered people who are perfectly capable of putting in a day's work, but instead sit at home and collect their gub'mint checks, food stamps, and Obamaphones?

      The kind of people who vote for a president because he promises to give them free shit?

      Yeah, I'm sure rich, successful business people are the ONLY greedy, self-centered people in the entire world. Never mind how much they donate to charity. Never mind that they create jobs for regular people like you and me. They have money and should be hated!

      Have fun living your lies.

    3. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not everybody gets everything handed to them on a silver platter by their rich daddy and his cronies. The world would be a better place if people like Romney (and Bush -- conincidence?) sat a home and counted the money they inherited from their crony capitalist families.

      At least Bush had fun spending it on blow and baseball teams before he made them mistake of trying to apply his "experience" to political leadership. Scumbag Mitt decided to parlay his silver spoon into a career making a handful of people rich by stealing the careers and nest eggs of thousands of working people. What better place to continue that scam than from the oval office?

      People like Romney are parasites who steal the productivity of regular people like you and me. I guess you are like Ned Flanders -- "Mosquito bites? It feels so goood to scratch 'em!".

    4. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you fucking joking? People on welfare who sit on their ass taking food stamps, SNAP, TANF, WIC, government housing stipends, free cell phone service, and other "social responsibility" programs steal the productivity of regular people like you and me.

      Mitt Fucking Romney takes the money he earned through investing, running businesses, and sustaining jobs, and donates half of it to charity. Mitt Fucking Romney donates more to charity and needy people in one year than Obama makes in ten.

      Barack Fucking Obama spent his young adulthood as a "community organizer" in the slums of Chicago, teaching degenerates how to yell and scream to get free stuff by making people feel guilty for being so successful. Barack Fucking Obama would rather TAKE the shirt off your back and give it to someone else than give you the option of doing so yourself. Forced charity is theft plain and simple.

      Stop feeling like the world owes you something just for existing, and get out there and make something of yourself with YOUR skills and abilities instead of waiting for the proverbial goose to lay a golden egg on your doorstep.

    5. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You go ahead and bury your head in hateful stereotypes of the needy if that makes you feel as close to "better" as you can ever feel in a world where a greasy, greedy, piece of garbage like Romney is your hero.

      Just know that as much contempt as you have for "degenerates" is exactly the amount of contempt that people like Romney have for a peon like you.

      The world doesn't owe me jack, but it certainly owes the Romney's of the world all the contempt it can muster. He is probably hiding his tax returns not because he paid too little in taxes, but because he is lying about his charitable donations.

    6. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey dipshit, Romney RELEASED his tax returns months ago. Have fun selectively shielding your eyes from all those inconvenient truths about the people your political overlords command you to loathe.

    7. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He released SOME of his returns. A minority of those for the most recent, most relevant years. Did someone say "selectively"?

      I can just imagine the smirk on old Mitt's face if he ever took a second out of his precious time to spare a thought for suckers like you, who twist themselves in to knots defending a guy that would step on them to pick up a nickel, look at it, and then throw it away.

    8. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're so deluded by the spin of your political overlords who tell you that anyone who's successful and makes a profit is out to get you. Have fun with your class warfare-induced paranoia, you ignorant prick. Let's see who's left to pay your debts and fund your welfare programs when all the successful people in this country move to a nation that actually respects individual achievement and wealth. Enjoy your government cheese before the rats in Washington come to take THAT from you, too!

    9. Re:Can't have it both ways by PeanutButterBreath · · Score: 1

      I was very specific in my criticism, which was directed at Romney (and to a lesser extent Bush). Of course, you are either mindlessly in thrall to Romney to just too thick to notice before you go on a hysterical "class warfare" rant.

      Here's something for you to ponder. Numerically speaking, the majority of Romney's base is people on various kinds of Govt. asisstance. Republicans don't have a chance without welfare Red states, people on SS, etc. So you will be sorely disappointed if he gets elected and you think that will mean the end of "forced charity". The only difference is that in addition to being forced to give to the poor, you will be forced to give even more to the rich.

      Romney thinks that dealing with the poor, grasping rabble is your problem, since he basically thinks you are one of them.

    10. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You were not specific, all you do is throw around accusations of Romney not caring for poor people. You sound like Kanye West running his mouth on TV, "Bush doesn't care about black people". You're nothing but a mindless shill. How much did you donate to the needy this year? Also, I can't wait to watch your karma burn.

    11. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can bet your ass my daddy did not hand me shit and he darn sure was never rich. I have no doubt I am in the top 2% but not without working nearly 80 hrs a week to do it. Fuck you and your rich man hatred, get off your ass and work lazy bitch. I know, it is just easier to vote for thief then to work for it right?

    12. Re:Can't have it both ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know if you vote for Obama you are getting the screws put to you anyhow. You think your employer, that is if you are employed is going to just hand out a bunch of cash to implement Obamacare? Hell no they are not, your sorry ass is getting outsourced by Bain Capital as a result of the additional overhead and cost. Why do you think Bain employees are jamming a bunch of cash into the Obama campaign? Because they think he is cool or because they are bound to make millions? That is how rich people get rich turning even a loss into a certain profit.

  32. Age of Empires? by gr8_phk · · Score: 1

    You sir have learned the lesson from Age of Empires well. Always go out an mine the remote resources first - then when they run out and people are fighting, you'll have plenty of supply back home.

    Unfortunately in the US, we export coal (for example) while offering subsidies to those companies.

  33. Are you referring to the re-opened Molycorp mine? by sgtrock · · Score: 1

    According to Wired, that mine dates back to the 1980s.

  34. Better get in touch with OPEC. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And remind them that artificiall manipulating prices like this can get burned[sic] badly in the end.

  35. cerium too, right? by halfelven · · Score: 1

    These guys also make cerium, right?

  36. oh no! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What are the little kids supposed to eat now?

  37. double whammy by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 2

    They own a big portion of the American, debt, and now they are defining pricing for THEIR product (which is not OIL).
    I applaud them, but also at some point, am very concerned, this new business model (thanks to the oil industry precedent) is what is driving
    so many back into poverty!! I know not everyone should have a computer, but it is nice to know most households have one....

    The fact is, with MS pushing bigger software junk that makes you need better machines each time, we have no choice but to get the latest pc box....
    with the price going up for all components, we are back to paying about 1000$ for a decent box....thats sad!!!

    1. Re:double whammy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you complain about endless upgrade cycles and then complain about *Microsoft* of all companies? Everyone I know keeps their PCs around much longer than they do for their iPhone, iPad, macbook, etc.

  38. Saving for the future by fox171171 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    BTW it was my understanding America used to be the major provider over a decade ago and we simply stopped. Shows this was a bad idea.

    Not if your intention is to let the competition use up their supply while ensuring your own in the the future.

  39. Or... by barakn · · Score: 1

    ... the decline in rare earth supply will cause companies to innovate, and they'll find ways to not use rare earths. Like... well.... like this Hitachi motor without rare earth metals: http://www.zdnet.com/hitachi-introduces-motor-without-rare-earth-2062304468/

    --
    "I'm so moist I'm sticking to the leather." -Kermit the Frog on The Late Late Show
  40. This is awful news by commodoresloat · · Score: 1

    I was really looking forward to hearing "One World" in Chinese http://www.discogs.com/Rare-Earth-One-World/master/142807

  41. Rare earth magnet production in the US by dumky2 · · Score: 1

    My understanding is that there is plenty of magnets to produce from the US, but it was severely impacted by environmental legislation. If China manages to restrict supplies, I would expect prices to go up and production should be profitable in the US (even with additional environment regulations). If the price goes up, then alternative production will resume.

    In addition to investment in mining, other activities will become more valuable: R&D in producing substitutes, recycling methods, improved efficiency (making products work with less of this material as it becomes more expensive).

    --
    These comments are mine; I do not speak for my employer.
  42. Not going to happen by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Driving up costs of imports from China will cut the profits of the many donors, and they will not take it quietly. There are also many practical reasons and it would have a similar effect on the economy as suddenly slapping an extra cost on fuel. It was a bad idea around 1200AD when what was left of the Roman empire (Constantinople/Byzantium) did the same thing to their main trading partner (Venice) and it's still a bad idea.
    There's too much going on to be able to even find "imports that degrade locally derived businesses" which don't also help other "locally derived businesses".

    1. Re:Not going to happen by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      They do not have to drive the costs up, just maintain the costs as it stood before the dumping. They could even allow it to drop some too. The point is that if there ever was a legitimate role for Keynesian economics, this would be it and in this way.

      There's too much going on to be able to even find "imports that degrade locally derived businesses" which don't also help other "locally derived businesses".

      Well, you can tell that to the steal mills that shut down and went out of business when China was dumping their cheap nickel laden steal. You can do the same with the subsidized lumber industry. And while we are thinking of it, same with the oil industry and domestic production. All that happened within the last two to three decades and although while they waited until it was too late for the steal issues, they got the lumber in time and we ended up in war with Iraq.

      The point is, when it happens, all it needs to be done is pointed out. That was happening in all three of those industries well before the tipping point and something was done.

  43. It Is All About Balance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I may be biased, but I think the environmental damages of mining rare earths is the real cause.

    China somehow artificially lowered the rare earths' prices because a) their people didn't realize the real cost and b) they wanted to become the major provider on the planet in order to capture more cash inflow and foreign investments. Now, with their economy catching up with other developed countries, they found out it's time to stop the sacrifices they made in order to sustain their economy growth. They may have broken some rules since they are a member of WTO. But I don't see it too evil. By the end of the day, everybody has to save his/her own arse.

    Having that said, why did the US outsource those mining jobs? Isn't capitalism all about competitions? Get your hands dirty, get back to your jobs, and stay competitive in order to maintain as a global economy leader. More funding, research, and create more jobs for the American people!

  44. Time for a little US modern history lesson by dbIII · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It's funny that you are using US steel as an example, because that one is a textbook example of multiple industries being killed off by thoughtless use of tariffs and outright import bans. To elaborate on this, some decades back tariffs and bans on importation of general purpose steel were put in place to protect the US steel industry, which was functioning well at the time but did not want to be undercut by low quality imports. Without the threat of competition US steelmakers had no need to innovate and had the ability to increase prices. Eventually they got to the point where other countries could undercut US low quality general purpose steel with higher quality specially steels even after paying the tariffs - hence the "dumping" of steels with added nickel to make them stronger than general purpose steel and get around the ban. Making steel does not need many worker hours per ton so China should have had zero advantage, but a protected steel industry had gone to sleep and not only failed to improve, but also increased costs.
    That was the direct effect. The indirect effect was the migration of industries that were heavy users of steel out of the USA so they would not be stung by the markup on steel prices from the cosy little club of US steelmakers (that was the start of the offshore outsourcing of manufacturing the USA is suffering so much from now). Eventually that protected little club found that their greed had backfired and they had very few customers. The only ones that thrived were innovating, making high strength steels, and able to compete effectively on a level playing field in an international market. I was in the steel industry briefly in the early 1990s (not in the USA and we could not sell our stuff to the USA), so got to see the how bad it had become.
    Sugar is the other US textbook case of overprotecting an industry and the industry thinking that it's survival was thus assured and that they could charge whatever they wanted - hence you guys drinking corn syrup in your coke and mucking up your kids livers at twice the rate than if they were drinking sucrose in their coke.
    In short, protecting industries can really suck in the long term and the protected industries can get to the point where they are welfare addicts that have no hope of survival without a government propping them up.

    1. Re:Time for a little US modern history lesson by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      some decades back tariffs and bans on importation of general purpose steel were put in place to protect the US steel industry, which was functioning well at the time but did not want to be undercut by low quality imports.

      Actually, it was China dumping steel. The cheap steel being dumped was heavily subsidized by the Chinese government. Dumping has a specific meaning and it eventually was the basis that allowed tariffs through international trade agreements. but go on.

      Without the threat of competition US steelmakers had no need to innovate and had the ability to increase prices.

      It had nothing to do with incentives to innovate. China dumped subsidized steel in the US market and even the most efficient steel processes would not have allowed us to compete on price because they were subsidizing the production of the steel. That's historical fact. but go on.

      The rest of your statement I agree with. The note of exception is that the Chinese steel was subsidized by the government and unless the government would absorb the costs of the steel industry, it wouldn't have been able to compete no matter what. Unions running rampant and lazy companies most likely contributed to it also. But the dumping of the steel is what close a large portion of the steel plants.

    2. Re:Time for a little US modern history lesson by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The problem existed and a lot of those steel mills had closed long before you guys let any Chinese steel into your country. I was told by my students around 2000 or so that this is literally textbook stuff, so I'm sure you can find something about it from a reliable source instead of some Australian engineer that was wondering in 1992 why the steel I was helping to make couldn't be sold to the USA (and still can't be sold to the USA in 2012).
      A lot of those US steel mills that closed didn't even have union members so blaming unions for any of it really reveals more about a willingness to jump to conclusions than an observation of reality.

  45. None of you get the point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem is the unbelievable low price.
    If the price is too low then the mine process is carried in a very destructive way. Because if you want to make profit you can't spend more on the processing. Then most of the rare earths are wasted to get the profitable one. And the ground and environment is left damaged because profit is too low to separate money to recover them. That's the problem China face.
    The Rare Earths didn't contribute much to China's GDP but cost way too much of the environment, which may affect local resident decades or even centuries. That makes mine the Rare Earths negative profit in long term. So that is the concern of the CN government. Not the market at all.

  46. Hurt China... by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    Would this not mostly just hurt Chinese interests? What, 90% of the electronics are made in china anyway? So assuming everyone pays the same, Chinese companies would be most hit by this change as I see it, as their bottom line would be going up...