How Silicon Valley's Tech Reign Will End
theodp writes "Silicon Valley's stranglehold on West Coast innovation is in danger. The main problem? It's no fun to live in Silicon Valley. Technology is people, explains The Atlantic's Derek Thompson, and more people are choosing to live in cities. And Silicon Valley isn't like a city, it's like a suburb. 'What's happening now,' says author Bruce Katz, 'is workers want to be in Oakland and San Francisco.' So, how might Silicon Valley save itself? 'Silicon Valley is going to have to urbanize,' Katz said. '[There is a] migration out of Silicon Valley to places where people really want to live.'"
And introverts don't necessarily love the bustle of the city.
Wants to live in an urban shit hole? I got tired of wading through shell casings, used needles, condoms, homeless cretins, assholes and the like and moved out of the hellhole Indianapolis had become. The place still has one of the highest murder, home invasion, mugging, vandalism rates in the country. When I was in L.A. it looked worn, old with a lot of trash and that was Rodeo Drive. If you're moving into an urban area in this economy you're a fool.
Yes, it is incredibly boring, AND it is ridiculously expensive. It's not just a problem with "Silicon Valley" - tech money is slowly destroying the entire Bay Area, by destroying the ability of non-tech millionaires to live normal lives. It's starting in Berkeley. :-(
Yeah, I know it's a cliche, but cliches are often true.
Yeah, I know that's a cliche too but... I ran out of them.
The cost of living is insane out there. There are great engineers all over the world.
I work at a major silicon valley company, and haven't met a single person who wants to live in Oakland. No matter how "hip" it is, the violent crime rate is 4x that of San Jose (the largest suburban city in Silicon Valley).
Source : http://best-cities.findthebest.com/compare/196-246/Oakland-vs-San-Jose
Plenty of techies do live in SF and commute to Silicon Valley companies every day. But SF isn't a city you want to raise kids in - the only people I know with children in SF are either too poor to move, or so incredibly rich that they can send their kids to private schools.
I have to think there is something more going on then lack of entertainment. Furthermore, married couples tend to prefer suburban settings.
Consider that the solution here is getting your engineers dates. If they marry then demographically they'll be inclined to stay and even avoid the city.
I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
DINKs (Dual Income No Kids) is what it takes to live in SF financially for most people. There are only two main groups that comprise of DINKs. The young, and the gay. Not a criticism. Just stating an economic fact. For everyone else, you have to be upper-middle class or higher.
Life is not for the lazy.
The 20-something kids that get used and abused by the start-ups want to live in SF. Oakland is a good place to get robbed or shot these days. Until they deal with some of their problems, Oakland will not be a big draw for wealthy tech folks.
The truth is that while the kids and their wacky start up ideas get a lot of press, once you get married and have a kid, Oakland and SF are not great places to live unless you have a LOT of money. I'm not talking "Hey I'm 29 years old and am worth a million bucks". I'm talking, my house cost $5+ million dollars, and my annual expenses are $500,000.
For the people between 30 and 60, who make up most of the workers in the tech industry, a 'suburb like' environment suits them fairly well.
Past favorites include cost of living, housing prices, traffic, taxes, tech bust, tech boom, blah blah blah. Silicon Valley isn't going anywhere and neither are the vast majority of startups.
Cost of living.
I'm telling you right now, after living outside the Bay Area for a few years.
There is NOTHING Silicon Valley has to offer except nostalgia of its past.
Today, we have zero land to develop on.
The city I am from, Mountain View, is in constant process to build these god awful HOA town homes, stacked one on top of the other. you might think its a wonderful place to be, and surely the weather has everything going for it.
But that's it.
The glory days are gone.
What is coming next is the city sprawl, you can count on it.
My family came out here to grow orchards back in the early 1920's, mostly Apricots and Almonds.
These are non existent today.
You can find the same quality of living with just as much cultural activity in many other places across the US.
And most importantly, the cost of living is far cheaper virtually everywhere else.
Seriously.
This place has become more of a status symbol for those who live and work out here than anything else.
There is also a growing divide amongst the wealthy and the living paycheck to paycheck classes in the Bay Area as well.
People are really wasting their money and time out here and they don't even know it.
They're missing the point imho entirely.
I'll be leaving again soon, this time I intend for good.
I'll miss Santa Cruz and The coast line and hills more than anything else.
But I know, there are plenty of those places left unspoiled all across the coast.
just my 2 cents.
So yes, there is a group of tech workers, frequently referred to as "hipsters" that want to live in the urban areas and do their hipster things. However, if you are a tech work with kids, which is actually the majority, you don't want to live in these crime-ridden, urine-scented, no-parking-available urban areas with bad school systems. The pattern I see is that one these hipsters get married and start popping out kids, they move to what people think of as the suburbs. But, they don't necessarily stop being tech workers. And I don't know why TFA says Mountain View isn't having a construction boom. I can count 2 new office buildings and 3 new housing complexes being constructed in its downtown area.
Austin is super cool and fun and way cheaper than SF or Oakland. Austin sort of has a unique mix of SF - Berkeley - Boston - Washington DC in one.
There's a whole country out there filled with smart, creative and industrious people that would rather avoid the Bay Area/Seattle/NYC/Boston areas altogether.
Some people like San Francisco.
Others find it to be a crowded dirty place that smells like urine.
Nobody wants to live in Oakland.
I live in Sunnyvale. I work in Santa Clara. I used to live in Manhattan.
I had a blast living in NYC, and I still love going there, but with a family and kids, I don't see myself going back to a big city anytime soon.
Yes, cost of living is the Bay Area is somewhat insane, but so are the salaries, so we don't really notice it. The weather is fantastic. The mountains are all around you, as are the park for hiking and mountain biking etc.
There's construction all over the place (though that may be just anecdotal.)
I don't know anyone who want to move to San Francisco, much less Oakland. (Oakland? Is this a joke?)
This whole article seems to come from a different reality.
It's too f-ing expensive.
Almost requires an IPO or your startup to be bought to buy a home in a decent location around here. I guess that's the benefit of telecommuting. You can live way down in Gilroy and VPN into your company located in Palo Alto without having to drive for 2 hours.
"Starter homes" around here which I'd say is a 1500sq ft with almost no land 10ft from your side walls to your neighbors' and your house is 20ft from the back property line), costs $500k and up. Want to live in a district with good schools? Take that same 40 year old house and crank up the price to a cool million. Oh and you'll need to put in about $50-75k worth of upgrades to replace that cracking wood shingle roof, worn out carpets and pipes that have been moving hard water for 40 years. That's ok for the seller because they know someone will move in to put their kids into the top schools around here. Oh don't forget the $15k worth of property taxes each year and potentially $400/month in HOA fees.
Housing prices are now higher than during the bubble, dot-com or housing bubble. It didn't help that all the sellers sat on their homes in the hopes that some Facebook millionaire would want to buy their house.
I live in the silicon valley and can't wait for the day to sell my home and move to another part of the country and pay for a 3k sq ft home for $500k with an acre of land on a lake.
Silicon Valley, like NYC but spread out and requires a car.
Some of the companies in SF are getting a huge portion of their staff coming in by train via BART and caltrans, or are even running their own shuttles. The same happens in reverse going down further south. Companies like Facebook have shuttles going south.
What matters is total cost of talent, as that's these firms largest expense. No location in the bay area is perfect in that regard. SF was better for a while because there were fewer attractive companies drawing local talent, but that trend ended some time ago. The big firms are building multiple offices and shuttling people around as that allows them to draw from the largest area, and thus get people more cheaply.
No really, everything changes.. why is it so important that 'silicon valley' remain intact?
The cost of living is insane out there. There are great engineers all over the world.
What is going to kill Silicon Valley is their pathological need to have the "best and brightest", the "stars", and the "super geniuses" - all to make yet another social networking website or app or yet another push advertising app.
When I see a tech entrepreneur whine and complain how she can't get enough qualified people - like JavaScript engineers - and claims that there are only 25 people in the World who can what she needs to be done in JavaScript, they're headed for a downfall.
Silicon Valley lost its creativity and innovation. Many of the creative folks have gone back home - like back to India and left the Steve Jobs wannabees.
San Francisco is not as "fun" as it used to be. Higher rents drove the artists out a decade ago. SF has about 8,000 homeless people, out of a population of only 750,000. Most of the bookstores have closed. The nightclub scene is slowly being crushed by gentrification.
The financial district is struggling to stay relevant. The big SF banks either tanked or merged with banks elsewhere.
From SF to Silicon Valley and vice versa. Also from Alameda County where houses are a little bit cheaper (looking for a place with many new developments? Come to Dublin right now). The only real problem of the Bay Area (not only Silicon Valley) is the housing price. If you are in high-tech/computer related industries there so many jobs and opportunities, that is why people are here. You want to be where the jobs are, even when most of your income spent on housing. At least if the housing market keeps up with the inflation rate, you are not losing money.
If you can make it in Silicon Valley, you can make it anywhere!
cue the music....
Ever been to Shenzhen?
Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
That pretty much applies to all larger international cities these days. They have become no-go zones for young, professional families with children. I turned down a job offer for an engineering management position in Munich and took a lower-paying job in a smaller city where home ownership is much more affordable. Having four children was probably the biggest factor in my decision, as it's next to impossible to rent an apartment in Germany if you have children, especially four.
I love living in San Jose. On the rare occation I want to do something in a big city, I can drive or take a 1 hour train ride to san franciso. I'm not sure why anyone would want to live in Oakland...
I'm not sure why another posted was complaining about restaurants in SJ, or the South Bay in general. There are both great little hole in the wall places, and some good proper restaunts too. I definitely can find better Pho in east San Jose than I can find anywhere in SF (I've looked). South Bay restaurants have the additional advantage that none (to my experience) are pretenious, and unfortunately I wish I could say the same about my experiences with SF restaurants.
I think living in "the City" is for younger people. The rent is only a bit more than the south bay, and the commute is do able. Plus there are plenty of good jobs in SF, and more being added all the time. (although not in my industry, all the silicon is still in Silicon Valley, even if the software and web media is moving up the pennisula)
Most of the lesbians are living in the South Bay and East Bay. It's painful for them down here though, because the commute to the Giants or A's stadiums is so long.
People in California seem to think that everyone else has this burning desire to live in California.
We don't.
Attending church has never been what you've described, and that was true even in the great Theocratic state of Utah.
I'll take my small rural town in the Midwest.
Cities are great for those who like them, but they seem an endless expanse of concrete canyons and people to me. (Yes, I've lived there.)
Like many others, I suspect that it's the younger types that are more up for central city life. When they have a family, more opt for the burbs or even farther out in the rural to quasi rural areas. This isn't very surprising as their needs have changed.
One item that's lacking here is good mass transit. For those who can afford cars, that's a cost or an inconvenience, but for the young or not so well off that can't, it sorta traps them here in a little burg of 1300.
Strangely enough, mass transit used to be here in the early 1900s. There was an interurban electric train system that linked the small towns to the larger ones. (About 20 miles to each of the two in the area.)
1. Living in SJ is cheaper than living in SF
2. The quality of life in SJ is better than SF. More parks spread around the area. Quieter and more peaceful living. Fewer weird aggressive homeless people in the south bay compared to SF.
3. The commute to most tech companies is shorter if you live in SJ (although Santa Clara or Sunnyvale is more ideal for commute)
* and I can choose all three because it's relative and not absolute. just wanted to point out the fallacy in your glib remark.
How about more like Bejing or Herzelia. I'm really sorry (and a bit ashamed) to say/admit it - but they Valley was all-it back in the 90's - but we're livin' in different and scary times...
Try, "can afford to live in silly valley". Six figures is minimum wage there. I interviewed for a job in Pittsburgh. The more I looked at it the more I liked it. I would've made more money and paid about $100k less for a good house in a decent neighborhood. In a city home to CMU, University of Pittsburgh, Biotech companies, and regional energy companies. And brew pubs.
If you want a good standard of living, go east.
putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
I live in the rural midwest and people really don't care if you go to church or not. At most you'll get offers to attend and those aren't so much witnessing to you (trying to convert you) as they are just, "hey, meet some people".
It was really fun when I couldn't get out of the Mission to catch the last train out because of a murder. Or when some homeless man broke a bottle on my shoe when I refused to lend him my cellphone. (he wasn't polite about asking, so I didn't give him a polite response). Or when a guy shining shoes insisted I pay him $20 for a shine that I did not ask for or want, and which amounted to him dropping some polish on my shoes then wiping it off quickly. I ended up giving him the money because the way he was shouting was pretty embarrassing and I didn't how else to avoid the conflict.
There is a colossal amount of litter in San Francisco, it's a rather disgusting place. And the amount of urine I have to smell just walking down some of the streets is shocking.
I realize many people love their little city by the bay. But to some of us, it's an ugly place. The only redeeming part of SF is perhaps Golden Gate Park.
I'm a rather talented software developer who simply won't relocate to that coast due to my love of cars.
Cali only has 91 octane max which simply is piss gas. My 2.0 turbo 4 cylinder with AWD is pushing out over 600 horsepower running on 93 octane here in michigan. If I ran 91 I'd have to retune the car and give up a good 50-70 horsepower and run less boost. I'd get more knock which means my timing curve would have to be adjusted lower as well.
But before that, I'd already be majorly illegal because my huge aftermarket turbocharger was not "CARB" approved. My exhaust would be illegal and that too would have to come off. By the time I get the car within legal specs, I'm back to the 300 horsepower it came with. I can't even push the smaller stock turbo much farther because the car was designed to run on 93 to just make 300hp. With work and tuning I could hit 330 or so on 91 octane.
So tell me again why I would move to Cali only to make a bunch of money I can't really spend the way I want to? Nothing really beats the pleasure of destroying a V10 Viper or supercharged Corvette with my little turbocharged 2.0 liter 4 cylinder. The emissions regs are mostly targeted at tuner cars like mine and guys with cammed out V8's get free passes to bypass the checks. I know because when I owned my V8 Mustang Cobra no one cared what I did to it because it was "'Merican". Even though four wheel drive and a turbo small engine is WAY better because it's lighter and can use the power and torque it makes when the 2wd V8 is spinning tires....
Anyways... I'm sticking to Michigan and Cali will lose out on my programming talent.
Cities are a better way to be alone than the suburbs, if you like that. In fact you can be more anonymous in a city than in a suburb. And there are more things to do by yourself than in a suburb.
And one more very, very important thing: what most people think of an introvert is actually a myth. Being an introvert doesn't always mean wanting to be alone. In fact, most introverts like people too (really!). In general what the reality is, is that for most introverts, being an introvert means that when you need to power back up, de-stress and get centred, you do it by getting some 'me time'... being alone and relaxing, getting time to process/meditate on things you have experienced lately. And yes, you can be alone in a crowd. Extroverts, by the way, relax by interacting with people. People who just don't 'get' other people or don't want to be around them are actually classified as misanthropes... or sometimes having Aspergers syndrome. It doesn't mean introvert. I am a strong introvert. I hate the suburbs and love the city.
-- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
I'm not sure this writer has been to silicon valley in the last 10 years. There are "walkable, urban" spaces all over the place. The problem is that they're crazy expensive.
The valley is not full of the sleepy suburban areas from 30 years ago. There's a significant amount of high density housing, hip restaurants and bars. A lot of it looks like what you'd expect to see around a large college campus - cheaply built apartments with "interesting" architecture, gelato, coffee, smoke shops and international cuisine. The single family homes actually in the valley are not an option for anyone you might consider a "worker."
The only still-suburban spaces are squeezed between the urbanizing centers in the valley and the two cities: San Francisco and San Jose. Talking about Oakland as an important city to Silicon Valley is... weird.
I know there are several companies in Oakland, but it seems more like a separate, nearby community than part of Silicon Valley. San Jose is larger in population than both San Francisco and Oakland, but is far more spread out. San Francisco still dominates the local political landscape, but San Jose long ago took over the role of counterbalancing city to SF in regional policy and diversity - Oakland is just another set of SF neighborhoods now.
Wow, an author from the online Atlantic needed a subject and found an intellectual from the Brookings Institute with an opinion on Silicon Valley. Better warn Apple before they spend a gazillion dollars in SV on a spaceship for their 25,000 employees. And Google, eBay, Oracle, HP, SalesForce.com, Microsoft (SV), Lockheed, the incubators, and Stanford need to get the memo... their 250,000 jobs will be in San Francisco and Oakland soon! And San Francisco better start building schools for their children..(BTW, S.F. is the largest school district in the country with a shrinking enrollment... the re-gentrification is raising prices so much that working and middle class are moving out.) These companies and the university create the spin-offs that attract the VC and the talent pool can't (and wouldn't) just up and move to Oakland, or Austin, or Chicago. The author mistakes regular seepage from Silicon Valley for a mass migration. Of course there are other opportunities and locales near S.V. and around the country, but for a long time the S.V. tech star will continue to have critical mass and to suck the majority of the VC funding into its orbit.
Every few years some academic looks at a growth spurt (like Pixar, Leap Frog and IKEA in a small town like Emeryville) and makes social and economic forecasts that can't be implemented in the real world. Then journalists assume that their academic degree validates the theory - and write these silly puff pieces.
How about next time we Spare the Electrons!
The points the author notices are effects; not causes.
... the Valley is no longer egalitarian, the way it was in the 50s and 60s. We have a greater disparity between the rich and the poor than almost any city along the Pacific Coast, and the rich here still love Libertarian chaos... so, real estate prices are too high. Rents are too high. No parks. poor schools. Easily 7000 homeless just in San Jose. Tens of thousands of homes foreclosed over the last seven years. And even with Google Maps; local business are infernally hard to find and ugly when you get there.
In the 1950s, San Jose and its suburbs adopted an urban growth strategy that was essentially no planning strategy at all. They minimized zoning and urban planning, assuming that giving developers the freedom to develop land without much oversight would somehow produce a quality urban environment as a side-effect.
So San Jose, Santa Clara, Sunnyvale, Campbell, Mountain View and Cupertino spread out because developers opted to build where land was cheap. However, city streets were not extended in a sensible way. To run personal errands on Saturday, we had to start driving five miles (and through a dozen stoplights) just to find a grocery store. Three or four other errands could require fifteen to twenty miles. Add traffic and stoplights, and it could take you five hours or more, to run just three local errands.
In addition, cities here allowed commercial property to mix a little too closely with residential property. This raised crime rates, lowered property values, and made everything ugly. No one planned for parks or shopping centers or other public amenities. When shopping centers were finally built, traffic patterns were ghastly. When planners were forced to route freeways through the area; they were routed where the land was cheap; not where they were really needed -- first they cut neighborhoods in half, and then in quarters. Parks were placed, twenty years late, where more land was cheap, or where well-to-do neighborhoods were still located.
All this turned the valley into a happy little piece of Houston, Texas, only with worse freeways.
The good things about Silicon Valley arose from areas that were planned: Stanford. Large Aerospace companies along Bayshore freeway. Aerospace died, but by then, silicon had taken the place of airplanes. Then silicon died. Today, we run on software and business momentum from the old days, but the momentum is formidable.
As bad as all this is, it won't ultimately kill the valley. I think lack of professional creativity and opportunity will finally kill us. Large companies here never did value what the Harvard Business School calls 'disruptive technology.' They do not hire creative problem solvers. Business startup costs used to be low: Today, they are through the roof, and getting higher. Venture Capital has ruled the roost since 1997 or so, they are getting stronger, and they do not value original ideas.
Major companies here are all slowly dying (like they always have -- remember Fairchild Instruments, DEC and Atari?) -- the difference is; that it is much, much harder to start a new company here than it used to be -- and new companies are where the big companies come from when the old companies finally die.
tt77
I think this migration is real, but is taking a long time. There are still an awful lot of ordinary tract homes in Si Valley 'burbs selling for 1 or even 2 $million.
That said, "peak tech" in the Valley seems like a very real possibility, even if the balloon slowly deflates rather than popping. We've got a stadium being built in Santa Clara for example. Stadiums go hand-in-hand with declining property values over time. They pull in traffic, crime, noise. You can get a real spiral; but once again it takes time. Santa Clara becoming an armpit wouldn't surprise me in 30 years, but it would in 5.
One thing that'll kill some of those areas is high speed rail if it ever comes. The construction and then the train noise will kill property values, just like a stadium. At least it'll get rid of all those pesky grade crossings though.
The tension created by "City vs. Suburbs" is strictly for the benefit of the story. Existing companies are opening new offices in urban areas but for the most part they aren't closing offices in the suburbs. Sure, new companies are often starting in cities but they will likely open suburban offices if they survive long enough. It's a healthy kind of diversification that will likely reach some sort of equilibrium over the next decade or two. Does that mean the stature of suburbs will decrease a bit while that of cities increases? Sure, but talk of "winners" and "losers" in some binary or zero-sum sense is overblown.
London is like that too.
I have. It sucks. It's not actually a city, it's more like a long series of 80s era malls which have been reworked to house Trader Joes and suchlike.
The grocery stores are like, C- grade, the place is sprawled out all over and the downtown, which is largely irrelevant to what's know as Silicon Valley- Mountain View, Sunnyvale, Palo Alto, is unremarkable , dull and smallish. The housing it of course through the roof in price while being only mediocre , find-it-anywhere 80s and 90s style apartments.
The houses are just ordinary ranch houses albeit with 750k price tags. really, the whole place was better, just *better* before Fairchild Semi-conductor started it on the path that is now Silicon Valley.
I was only too happy to get out of there. Nearly any place whose name you know, SF, Portland, Austin, etc has more to offer someone looking for something to do on a weekend never mind NY NY or Boston or San Diego or even Kansas City has more to offer young, single people ...
Maybe it has great grade schools...
A real city with real people that's doing cutting edge tech not just a bunch of expensive suburbs like the valley, Fantastic cheap place to be.
You could have done much better than that. For example:
Technology is people
That's obvious, because Soylent Green is technology.
Ezekiel 23:20
People with their desire for something scenic or rustic yet convenient and full of services are rather like bacteria colonies. There is a fringe of growth and activity, constantly leaving a shit pile of death and decay behind as the fringe keeps moving on. When you are lucky, you eventually get some fungus like hipsters that will come in and start the cycle all over in the dead core... I'm not sure what type of people can eventually rehabilitate it back into scenic or rustic though?
SF and Oakland have become hugely expensive, dirty, and crime-ridden. They're probably great if your business revolves around social networking, partying, and hobnobbing, but they are horrible in terms of getting space to work, commute, or even just buying high tech gear. Silicon Valley used to be nice because it was fairly inexpensive, quiet, easy to get around, and had a great infrastructure, but obviously it doesn't have that either anymore. I think the entire Bay Area is on the decline. I moved away a few years ago and haven't regretted it.
Last time I was there I saw a bum drop trou and shit on the sidewalk.
sigs are for fags
For a few months I am consulting in San Jose and driving from Berkeley. I can't wait for all of those folks to move to the cities and get off the roads! Typical commute is 1.5 hours to drive no more than 49 miles. Even getting on the road at 6 AM doesn't beat the traffic.
Bruce Perens.
... is like saying "because larger containers hold more water".
What, and Silicon Valley is an economical place to live? HAH! Try buying a house in Palo Alto, Mountain View or Sunnyvale and then get back to me about how cheap it is to live there.
It may be that SF is more expensive than the valley now, but it hasn't been that way historically, and that's _certainly_ not true of Oakland. Oakland is much cheaper than the valley, has better public transportation, as good food, less traffic, and better views. And you're closer to the east bay hills, which are fantastic for recreation, and closer to Yosemite, and I could go on and on...
I just visited SF for a week, and as a single income, young & cheap guy, my budget went out the window real quick. I'm not saying I couldn't do it right and be very frugal there, but it is a challenge.
But, not having to deal with the families with kids and the open and accepting people in SF makes me wish that there were other states in the US where you can find this along with good weather.
Anecdotally a friend of mine turned down a pretty damn good offer from a nice company in the area due to the place being "a giant sterile Starbucks wasteland".
He loved San Fran though.
...but here in the Pittsburgh PA area, the suburbs are only a few miles from Downtown. We do have upper middle-class areas within the city, but the vast majority of the population would rather live in a suburb to avoid the crowds and crime that bleeds out of the poor areas and their associated gang issues. My house is 15 miles from downtown, across the street from a golf course, costs me 775/mo in rent. You can't rent a shoebox in SF for that much.
Really, tech is going to move away from areas like Silicon Valley, the Bay area, etc. in favor of smaller cities across the country. Collaberation via the Internet makes it possible to group smart people regardless of geography - and cost of living DOES matter. Especially once you go past 30 years old and care less about the club scene and more about what you get for your money. And it is a good deal for employers to hire someone at 60k in Pittsburgh that they would have to pay 120k in CA - and the employee can have a higher standard of living too.
I spent 21 years in the Valley, doing 4 startups and then 8 years in venture capital. It was great, and I couldn't have had the same opportunities anywhere else.
But I got sick of it, and moved right at the end of 2011 (hint: don't have a moving truck drive across the US between Xmas and the end of the year...it freezes itself and all of your stuff) to North Carolina, in the Research Triangle Park area. The Bay Area's crowding, expense and divided society issues began to bug me more and more.
So now I can compare the world's leading tech area with another tech area, way lower on the totem pole.
The cost of living is much lower and the quality of life is much higher in NC for most people. Housing, at almost every level, is one sixth the price of the Bay Area. Average household incomes are about the same (yes, really, about the same....most people in the Valley aren't rich), but a regular family making $50k per year can afford a 2,000 sq ft house on a quarter of an acre in NC. Everything costs less in NC, e.g. my garbage is $16/month instead of $50, water is $21 instead of $100, sales taxes are about 3 points lower, so everything benefits from that, and gas/utilities/groceries are all noticeably lower. Healthcare is great in both places if you have good insurance. Public schools are, overall, better in NC. There are very good local colleges, and there are more PhDs per capita than anywhere else in the US. You don't have Stanford and Berkeley, of course, but you have Duke, UNC Chapel Hill and NC State; I'm really impressed with what comes out of those schools in terms of people and tech.
The weather in NC sucks in July and August; I personally find it too hot and humid. But that's what A/C is for. The rest of the year you have seasons. The Valley has better weather.
BUT BUT BUT.....nothing compares to Silicon Valley for the combination of vast amounts of (venture) capital, vast numbers of experienced tech people, including startup execs, a ton of tech startup infrastructure and a very fluid job market. The RTP area is chock full of startups, with more in the "we make stuff -- chips, materials, devices" category. Capital is much harder to find. There are good banks and lawyers and other services that startups need. Developers flood out of the local schools, but not all stay here. You can pay a developer much less than in the Valley, and (s)he can actually live on the salary (as you can rent a decent HOUSE for $1200, and buy a starter home for $130k).
I've seen multiple attempts worldwide to duplicate Silicon Valley. If I had about $500B and 30 years (I'm a little short of the former, and hope to make the latter), I could replicate the Valley, maybe. But I doubt it. The Valley pioneers were amazing people; check out the documentaries on the subject. They had perfect timing. It's hard to see the same confluence of events happening again, at least in tech.
Just because you are young and gay doesn't mean that every couple without kids is either young or gay.
I can I haz ur house?
Unless some other land mass rises out of the Pacific ocean, the regions of coastal California between Marin and San Diego counties will always be the most desirable (expensive) in the country because it is the only part of the country with temperate weather year round.
For all practical purposes, San Francisco is part of Silicon Valley. Sure, originally it meant a small cluster of towns in Santa Clara county, but today Silicon Valley really includes everything surrounding the southern arm of San Francisco Bay. There are lots of people who live in San Francisco and work in Palo Alto. You just can't divide it up any more.
"I'm too busy to research this and form an educated opinion, but I do have time to tell everyone my uninformed opinion."
they put cilantro on everything
I guess it sucks if you don't like it. It is everywhere. Personally I love it, although a lot of people think it tastes like soap. They should have a cilantro free side of the menu or something. Maybe a new restaurant, "Cilantro Optional".
Interestingly enough, the cilantro quale is genetic. Cf.
Love To Hate Cilantro? It's In Your Genes And Maybe, In Your Head
It's just another allele, similar in concept to the one that causes certain people to have the inability to smell cyanide. I have certainly tested my cilantro sensory interpretation, but I hesitate to test cyanide.
Its not a matter of where people want o live, its a matter of where they can afford to live.
If people didn't want to live in SV the way it is, then it wouldn't be so fucking expensive to move there.
I used to live in Tamalpais Valley in the Bay Area, paying $900/month for a single room in a house, this was in 1996. Things have gotten astronomically worse from what I hear from my friends. Heck, a pair of friends dropped $300k on a crappy little house in the canal district of San Rafael that year as well. I didn't tell them this, but it was a sh**hole! Things are just insane out there.
While I have a very nice $500k house now in the South-East, and the cost of living is great, I don't think you're going to be finding any decent lake property for $500k with a house on it without wheels ;).
I think the only way I could afford to live in the Bay Area without living in a dump now would be a live-aboard on a nice boat - the only problem is that getting a live-aboard permit in the Bay Area is supposed to be nigh on impossible (although I'm sure tons of people are doing it illegally.)
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To predict what will kill Silicon Valley you will have to understand what created it in the first place.
And it's not what you mention.
I haven't digged into it myself but if anything I would guess it was a combination of the two of the best technology universities plus the very mild weather and the cheap land in the area.
Add to this all the venture capitalists that gathered in the area, and Silicon Valley is by no chance going to due because you don't like living there.
I can tell you that I did not want to live in either San Francisco or Oakland. In fact I wanted to get away from those two places, (It is awful living there).
I moved out further to a country area where the noise ain't so bad. The air smells like air. You can see the stars at night. Your neighbors don't stick their noses in your business. (And it's a lot cheaper to live.)
Every startup is hiring brocoders now. They want to live in hip city centres where you can get 15 different nationalities of food on every intersection and live your whole life on foot. Introverts are sooooo 2011.
I was promised a flying car. Where is my flying car?
The bay area has one great thing going for it, as I sit in 105 degree heat, its weather. A few days with a little heat, some rain, smog gets blown to other parts of the state. I lived there for many years, Fremont, Saratoga, San Jose, Redwood City. It started to get a little crowded for me so I left but I sure do miss it's weather.
I live in East Bay but work in SoMa. That's pretty much my perfect combination: I get to run around the city during the day but go home to a small town at night. Rents are way cheaper here, too, perhaps by half.
Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
Almost requires an IPO or your startup to be bought to buy a home in a decent location around here
It takes more than an IPO to buy a nice home in Silicon Valley. I know. $200 a share still isn't enough.
I live in the silicon valley and can't wait for the day to sell my home and move to another part of the country and pay for a 3k sq ft home for $500k with an acre of land on a lake.
I've been considering Seattle. It is just so damn depressing how expensive it is to buy a house.
The traffic's bad enough you'll never get to use more than 300 of those horses. Unless you've got a Tesla, in which case 0-25 acceleration is as much fun as 0-60, and you get to do that at every stop light no matter how crappy the gas is :)
for a business space in SF are as cheap as say, Burlingame. Or Santa Clara. Or San Jose. Not. Ever.
Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
Who the hell wants to live in a city?
High cost of living. Lack of space. Parking is a PITA. It's noisy. Utilities are overpriced and overburdened. Too many people everywhere you go. Too much traffic for driving to be any fun.
Seriously, I'm convinced city slickers are either crazy or drugged to want to live there. Being able to walk to a bar isn't worth all the above drawbacks.
I don't enjoy being in San Francisco or Oakland, so I wouldn't want to live in either or them. I prefer to live in an area like Sunnyvale, Mountain View, and Cupertino - more calm, and easier to drive and park in. (I hate to drive in San Francisco.)
I disagree,
I live in Tokyo. It (still?) is the world's biggest city. Random violent street crime is almost unheard of. You do not get panhandled, there are no crazies on the subways and in the streets. It is safe, clean even at 3AM for a single lady walking home (in a short skirt even).
What is happening in American cities is not normal for other developed parts of the world (given what I see in the US, I wonder sometimes, how developed it actually is...it is like a rich, but still third world country in so many ways (no universal health care, armies of street people in most major cities..etc..etc)
Muni is the greatest system in the world for lazy people. You can catch a bus on almost any block. The downside is that once you get on, you're stopping every damn block. Near my place there's a 3 block stretch with 5 stops for the same bus line in going in the same direction.
It's alo the perfect city for senior citizens. You can walk out your front door and get to any place in the city without having to walk more than 2 or 3 blocks. That means easy for older folk to get to the doctor, or the store, or a community center. At the same time, you can incorporate as much walking as you want into your daily routine.
And for city supposedly overrun with hipsters, there's a surprising number of facilities which service senior citizens.
I moved my mother to the city specifically because of the city services, and to make sure that she can meet more people her own age, instead of slowly becoming isolated in her house as she got older.
I'm in Silicon Valley. I want to live in Nevada, far enough from the neighbors that I can't hear their HIFIs in the daytime or see their lights at night.
I want to live in Nevada so much that I built a house there - a few miles over the state line near Lake Topaz. Fully paid for. Marvelous view. Good neighbors. Also rabbits (jack and cottontail), quail, coyotes, deer, antelope, bobcats, cougars, and black bears. Gun laws are a lot different there, and I have a Nevada CCW that's also valid in many other states due to reciprocity (though not in CA).
For the Town House near work I also moved across the bay from Palo Alto. Just off the other end of the bridge, for less than I was paying in rent in Palo, I was able to BUY a two-story four-bedroom with 7,000+square feet of yard and remodel it. 200A electric service (two 20A circuits to each room for starters). Satellite TV and Cat 5E everywhere. (Only running 100M at the moment but I hear that with house-sized runs you can get away with 5e for gigabit Ethernet.) The yard is now a garden and orchard. We get most of our veggies from it - and our eggs. We were also on the Bay Friendly Garden Tour last year.
They tell me the city here on the Back Bay has a gang problem. But for several blocks around our house it doesn't. It's much like in Palo Alto (where the burglars worked their way down Loma Verde street and skipped only two houses - ours and the retired cop two doors down). It seems the crooks don't like to bother NRA instructors, and the wife's "Ducks Unlimited" sticker tells them she can hit a spot the size of a duck (or a human heart) with a shotgun, from 50 yards, even if it is flying at the time. B-)
Of course NV has no such crime issues. Even machine guns are legal there. B-)
Move to a SF or Oakland? By preference? You've GOT to be kidding.
Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
I moved out here from the midwest 20 years ago and have no interest in moving back - same can be said of every coworker of mine (I think maybe 1 of 20+ of them are from the Bay Area originally).
Well yeah, compared to Omaha or Topeka or even Kansas-Google-Fiber-City, sure, it's exciting. Compared to a few miles away in SF itself it's boring as hell. And you're not just going to pop out at lunch to hit up that new trendy lunch kiosk or the funky clothing store. Or after work catch a play in a small off-off-Broadway type show that you are intrigued by, that perhaps your coworker is in. Nor pop out for your own audition, or to record a voiceover, or to meet your girlfriend/boyfriend (or both!) the dancer at the studio. Or join a group run training for a marathon.
It's not like those things, or their equivalents, aren't possible or arent' even available in the boonies. They are. Mostly. But they're all damn inconvenient and time-consuming to get to, require multiple transportation modes or at least costly long trips in your must-have car, and are all in different directions.
I've worked in office parks that were technology hubs in the overall New York Metro but in New Jersey, in the Greater Boston Metro on the Route 128 Corridor, but half-hour or more away, in some cases in another state (eg the failed/killed DEC's real-estate in NH taken over by BigGreenPyramidFinancialCo). In North Carolina's Research Triangle Park, but thus not in Raleigh nor Durham city centers or urban village areas themselves. In Zonamerica in greater Montivideo, Uruguay, which is out in the frakking boonies north of the airport, half-hour or more by bus to anywhere interesting in Montevideo. 20 minutes at least by car, if I wanted to have one here, to anywhere interesting at all.
It's mind-numbingly boring. Mind-numbingly suburbanized. Horribly non-green, even with things like Google buses or the Zonamerica shuttles.
I've also worked on Wall Street iitsellf (literally, address on Wall St.) or right around the corner on Broadway, and up a few blocks on Greenwich. On 57th St and 5th Av in midtown Manhattan. In downtown Boston. In downtown Denver right on the 16th St. Pedestrian way with the vast amount of funky restaurants, shopping, entertainment. Almost worked in the Montevideo World Trade Center in Pocitos when they were moving out of Zonamerica, but bagged the job to start a venture with my wife based out of our casita 3 blocks from the beach in a funky small town that is a walkable micropolis urban village with fibre-to-home and a variety of walkable pleasures.
During times living/working in one of those places, it was very possible without hassle and without car to do pretty much all of the stuff I mentioned above.
Hell of a lot more fun, any of those places. Either the big city, or the self-contained micropolis. Out in the boonies of tech parks, everybody knows this is nowhere. Eventually the real talent who are at all multifaceted in their life preferences go somewhere more stimulating to their many wants and needs, not just their tech-and-money needs. Leaving the B-ship people. Yes, we need the B-ship too. But that's not where creativity happens. That's not the one the multii-talented multi-intelligenced people want to be in for their career and life journeys.
I've got nothing against the bay area. Cool place and I like it. If it suits you then by all means live there and enjoy it. But please don't act like it is the only decent place in the US to live. That's just wrong and frankly kind of offensive.
one thing that keeps me here is the forward thinking attitude. acceptance of different lifestyles (for the most part) and the fact that its NOT required that you participate in a religion. quite a lot of the US insists you belong to the local church and if you don't, you are never accepted by your neighbors. I want no part of that kind of lifestyle and that elimnates about 80% of the US, for me.
You are incorrectly presuming 80% of the US believes something you clearly have no knowledge of and frankly if you want acceptance of your lifestyle it's a good idea to start by accepting those of others. You seem to want others to accept your lifestyle but do not seem willing to return the favor. You want forward thinking attitudes and acceptance of different lifestyles? Come to (almost) any college town. Austin, Ann Arbor, Madison, Ithaca, Evanston, Boulder, Chapel Hill, etc. There are tons of them. You'll find exactly what you are describing. Same thing with a lot of large cities. Get a big enough population together and you'll find plenty of acceptance of anything.
It's pretty clear you haven't lived a lot of different places because you are making assertions not based in actual fact. I've lived on the east coast, in the midwest, bits of the Mississippi valley, and the south. I've also worked as a consultant at one time or another in about 2/3's of the lower 48 states. I have NEVER seen a community where you are "required" to participate in a religion. In fact I've never even been in one where the community gave a crap whether you were religious or not. There probably are exceptions in very specific areas but in 99% of the US no one really cares unless you waive it in their face. Presently I'm living in the Midwest which accounts for about 1/5 of the US population and I assure you that no one here cares what religion you are or aren't any more than they do in San Francisco. I could fairly be described as an atheist (never been to church a day in my life) and I've never felt excluded anywhere, even in places in the so called bible belt where I have a lot of family. I've lived and spent tons of time in places not noted for being "forward thinking" and the problem you describe simply does not exist.
but I keep coming back to the intellectualism of the area. if you are a thinker, you'll fit in well here. no one makes fun of you if you are smart, unlike much of the rest of the country. food selection is as good as it gets here, too; with all the different restaurants and styles of food, its a major reason for me to stay here.
OK, now you are just making shit up. Nothing against the Bay area but it is hardly the only place in the country that has a lot of smart people or good food. I was in Ann Arbor recently and the average person there is ridiculously well educated and the food is as good as anywhere I've ever been. Go to ANY of the college towns and you'll find exactly what you describe. Smart people, good food, progressive attitudes. I can point you to food and restaurants where I live which are the match of anything you'll find in the Bay area and yes I speak from personal experience. It might be a bit different but it is every bit as good.
oh, and the weather. the weather! for a snow-hater like myself, it would be hard to leave the bay area and move back to the snow and cold.
The bay area is pretty temperate compared to lots of places. Austin is an awesome town and the Bay Area is an ice box by comparison. And for the record the snow and cold aren't that bad and can be pretty fun even for someone like me that doesn't like the cold much.
Idaho Falls, Idaho. They don't much hold with all that whacky stuff the liberals down in Pocatello do. Boy, do I wish I were kidding.
So a town of roughly 50,000 somehow is representative of the rest of the US? Curious...
It's too f-ing expensive.
Is this like Yogi Berra's argument that "no one goes there anymore, it's too crowded"? Prices go up because people DO want to live there. They may not be able to but if they didn't want to live there, real estate prices would be falling.
Silicon Valley, like NYC but spread out and requires a car.
Both are fine but Silicon Valley bears little resemblance to NYC beyond absurd real estate prices.
....and Bus tours of the abandoned city and abandoned buildings will start at $200/person. Profit's gon' be had!!!
It's too expensive because of taxes, punishing requirements put on companies, and indulgent social policies that attract the worst of the worst.
That was a hit song by Dionne Warwick in the 1960s. It extolled the small-town life of what was then a pretty small place, when the Santa Clara Valley was still agricultural (anyone remember Paul Masson vineyards, the bulk-wine producer just west of town?).
"LA is a great big city, put a hundred down and buy a car."
San Jose was the opposite of LA, the place you went back to when LA got you down.
Now, of course, San Jose is more like LA than any other place in northern California. Bigger than SF or Oakland, and sprawling all over. Suburbs in search of a city.
No wonder I like it here in Boston.
They're almost done with Paula and George, you better lay low for a while.
sounds like a good description of any working-class neighborhood in Greenwich, CT
resist propaganda
The boss of my biotech startup is the smartest guy I know - he located us in Reno. Great weather, great skiing, and no traffic!
Social Credit would solve everything...
And you're not just going to pop out at lunch to hit up that new trendy lunch kiosk or the funky clothing store.
Which is something about 1% of the engineers I have met have any interest in doing at lunch on a workday. Did you RTFA? *Tech Reign*...
Or after work catch a play in a small off-off-Broadway type show that you are intrigued by, that perhaps your coworker is in.
Saw my coworker in A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Forum a few years ago at the Mountain View Center for Performing Arts, actually. I've also gone to a few local premieres of PDI/Dreamworks and Pixar movies via friends who worked on them. And though I live a bit outside of SF now I have been to a bunch of plays and concerts there, of course. Ever hear of the Fillmore?
Nor pop out for your own audition, or to record a voiceover, or to meet your girlfriend/boyfriend (or both!) the dancer at the studio.
And something about 0.01% of the engineers I have met have any interesting in doing...
Or join a group run training for a marathon.
Now that's just silly, group runs are everywhere around here.
I've worked in office parks that were technology hubs in the overall New York Metro but in New Jersey, in the Greater Boston Metro on the Route 128 Corridor, but half-hour or more away, in some cases in another state (eg the failed/killed DEC's real-estate in NH taken over by BigGreenPyramidFinancialCo). In North Carolina's Research Triangle Park, but thus not in Raleigh nor Durham city centers or urban village areas themselves
Ah, I see, you are one of the NYC snobs, where "anything more than 10 miles from Manhattan is the boonies" and can't imagine that anyone could possibly enjoy nature more than wall-to-wall buildings, constant noise pollution, and a dull glow in the sky every night.
Well, I don't see the Bay Area on that list, so I'm not sure why you are talking like you really know what life is like here. I have lived all over the Bay Area, from the city, to the "suburbs", to the hills with a 50-mile view from my back porch. For a few years I even lived in the northern Santa Cruz foothills and commuted 20 miles (which on 280 is about 20 minutes - probably less than many commutes on public transit in NY) into SF.
MANY people (me included) honestly don't want to live in the middle of a city, and it's absurd to pretend many of the "multii-talented multi-intelligenced people" can't think the same way. If you want to be in or around a world-class city, San Francisco is SO much more accessible than New York. No one here thinks "oh my god the city is 20 miles away I can't imagine going that far!" Plus you are 3 hours from world class skiing in Tahoe, 3 hours from Yosemite, an hour from Napa and Sonoma, 1/2 an hour from world class surfing, 1/2 hour from hiking though old growth Redwood/Giant Sequoia forests, probably the some of the best roads for cycling Skyline through the Santa Cruz Mountains, not to mention Monterrey, Big Sur, etc. And, sure, you need a car to get to most those, but who cares? That's kind of the point - to get OUT. I also love to drive cars, and there are some amazing twisty roads in the mountains as well as 2 world-class race tracks (Sears Point and Laguna Seca) within 2 hours where I can track my C2S.
I suppose Californians will never really understand New Yorkers and vice versa. Different lifestyles, but both can be equally valid and fulfilling, and there are PLENTY of people wanting one of the other to keep both regions thriving, as long (in both areas) people can continue to afford living there. I'm not knocking the NY or the city lifestyle, I know lots of people who love it, but I know many more who don't. And many of those who do have still decided to move out once they started raising a family - despite what the media wants you to think, for every 20 year old college dropout starting a company there are dozens of experienced senior engineers (who have done the urban lifestyle and are ready for something else) doing the same (or actually making that 20 year old's idea work).
It's apparently where the hipsters are moving, now that the Mission is full.
Bill Stewart
New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
Downtown Mountain View typically has 25 different cuisines in its 4-block restaurant drag, ranging from greasy spoon Chinese to Michelin star (depending on who's chef at TJ's that year.) You can get better Korean or Indian down on El Camino, and there are some other cuisines you have to look around for, and it can be worth driving to Milpitas for some kinds of Chinese. (And sure, Nolan Bushnell had to open his own restaurant just to get one he thought was good enough, but that was the 80s and just because he built Chuck E. Cheese didn't mean he was going to eat there.)
And yeah, if the traffic isn't bad, it's because the economy is, but it's still better than LA or NYC. And unfortunately the trains really only work for going to the city, not coming from the city down here to work.
Bill Stewart
New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
Sure, you can live in a city or you can live in burbs, and there are parts of the Valley you can't easily reach from the cities without an ugly drive, but it's still the same region and you get the cultural advantages of all of them if you want to pay attention. (On the other hand, I did get married before moving here, so nightlife has been a lot less important than if I were single. I had one friend who moved from San Jose up to the city because of that, but ended up falling in love with another musician who didn't live in the city either :-)
Bill Stewart
New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
I used to live in the Bay Area but the very high prices that often don't match the wages drove me away. Not so surprisingly, there are other "little silicons" dotting the country now as more and more of the software companies find more affordable places to do business. Utah is one of them. Lots of the Disney games are developed here. Austin is another. As SV prices itself out of competition, at least there are other places a software developer can go.
The undeniably racist and inconvenient truth is that back several thousand years ago, Asians traded humanity for efficiency. Liberty, individuality and the ability to metabolize alcohol have been bred out of that gene pool. They are culturally mask-programmed to succeed. If they fail to succeed they are programmed for suicide. That is why the term "ROM-head" was coined.
Beehives and anthills are efficient for that same reason. Liberty and individualism could only have arisen in that part of the world where recessive traits could be cultivated.
Tyranny is dominant, liberty is recessive.