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Heat Waves In Australia Are Getting More Frequent, and Hotter

vikingpower writes "In a landmark report on bushfires and climate change (PDF), the Australian Climate Council concludes that heat waves in Australia, as driven by climate change, are becoming more frequent — and that they get hotter. 'It is crucial that communities, emergency services, health services and other authorities prepare for the increasing severity and frequency of extreme fire conditions,' says the Council in the report. Sarah Perkins, one of the report's co-authors, was interviewed by The Guardian Australia. '"While we can't blame climate change for any one event, we can certainly see its fingerprint. This is another link in the chain." Perkins said her latest work had analyzed heatwave trends up to 2013. She said the trend "just gets worse – it's a bit scary really."' In 2009, the United Nations World Meteorological Organization signaled that a Southeast Australian heatwave was the hottest in 100 years."

279 comments

  1. Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by flyingfsck · · Score: 1, Troll

    Well, hottest in 100 years, means that 100 years ago, it was hotter...

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    1. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Or maybe since the started recording the data 100 years ago.

    2. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by Hognoxious · · Score: 0, Troll

      All, those commas, mean you, are retard.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    3. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, hottest in 100 years, means that 100 years ago, it was hotter...

      Either that or it means that data are only available for 100 years.

      You're not the sharpest tool in the box, son.

    4. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      Either that or it means that data are only available for 100 years.

      You're not the sharpest tool in the box, son.

      If the data is only available for the last hundred years, how can they claim this is anything unusual? That's about 0.000002% of the life of the planet.

    5. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by SpankiMonki · · Score: 1

      You're not the sharpest troll in the box, son.

    6. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is just a little less than humans have been around.

    7. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Exactly. That's why "we can't blame climate change for any one event". You need to look at the overall, long-term trend to see what the overall, long-term trend is, such as: "The report, which will be released in full in February, finds that climate change is having a key influence on a trend that has seen the number of hot days in Australia double and the duration and frequency of heatwaves increase in the period between 1971 and 2008." If you graph the temperatures in Australia over many decades, you can easily see the warming trend.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    8. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by hamburger+lady · · Score: 3, Funny

      exactly! a few billion years ago the planet was a super-hot ball of molten rock. therefore it's been way hotter in the past.

      --

      ---
      Is this the MPAA? Is this the RIAA? Is this the DMCA? I thought it was the USA!
    9. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The report, which will be released in full in February, finds that climate change is having a key influence on a trend that has seen the number of hot days in Australia double and the duration and frequency of heatwaves increase in the period between 1971 and 2008."

      ...and yet when we see massive freezing blizzard conditions getting colder every winter at the same time in the other hemisphere, it's "no! You CANNOT use that to claim AGW isn't real!!!111!!!OMGWTFBBQ!"

      fucking hypocrites.

    10. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you can post the data you're referring to. Never underestimate the power of producing evidence to back up your claims.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    11. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But it snowed in January! In the middle of Winter! That proves it!

    12. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Nice joke but it makes you look like an utter idiot - so I hope it's meant to be a joke. In geological time an almost complete lack of oxygen is normal as well. Not much good for us though since we can't survive in such a situation.

    13. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by cheater512 · · Score: 1

      If they said "Hottest day for 100 years" then it implies it is not a record and there is a higher temperature 100 years ago on the record.

      If it was the hottest day on record, then they should actually be saying "Hottest day on record" or "A new record high".

    14. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by johnsnails · · Score: 1

      It looks more like an inverted Labor vs Liberal defecit graph
      http://media.stylespress.com/2011/1105/budget-graph-456x373.jpg

    15. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by smash · · Score: 1

      No - i live here in Western Australia, and our records go back to the 1890s or earlier. So yes, 100 years ago, some years after records began, we had hotter nights for example (was in the news that we had the hottest night in 100 years here in perth last week, for example). I'm not saying climate change is or is not real, merely refuting the statement that we recently had the hottest weather on record.

      --
      I run: Windows, OS X, Linux, FreeBSD. Just because you have a hammer, doesn't mean everything is a nail.
    16. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by smash · · Score: 1

      Exactly. We do actually have hotter weather on record within the window that we have been keeping records here.

      --
      I run: Windows, OS X, Linux, FreeBSD. Just because you have a hammer, doesn't mean everything is a nail.
    17. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by smash · · Score: 1

      Wrong. We have records going back to the late 1800s.

      --
      I run: Windows, OS X, Linux, FreeBSD. Just because you have a hammer, doesn't mean everything is a nail.
    18. Re:Hottest in 100 years = cooling down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "...we can see a fingerprint" is a blame. Sarah Perkins spoke like a diplomat.

  2. Quick! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone buy a Nissan Leaf!

    1. Re:Quick! by TWiTfan · · Score: 5, Funny

      I'll buy one, but only if I can act all smug to my friends who still drive gasoline-powered cars, especially hybrids. I'm already practicing saying "Well, I guess driving a hybrid is okayyyy....I mean if you're not ready to go all the way and REALLY help."

      --
      The cow says "Moo." The dog says "Woof." The Timothy says "Thanks, valued customer. We appreciate your input."
    2. Re:Quick! by VortexCortex · · Score: 1

      I ride a bicycle and I was once quite smug too until one day I rode up to an intersection and found a carriage drawn by a team of six somber cyclists. They were being scoffed at by a man on a horse that promptly fertilized the earth then rode off into the sunset leaving myself and the PETA cyclist gang in cloud of efficiency.

  3. The Lord Humongous! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Once again, you'll make him unleash his dogs of war as you send your weaklings into the field to to find a rig big enough to haul that fat tank of gas...
     
    No more Men at Work... No Midnight Oil...No wonder Australia is going to hell in a hand basket.

    1. Re:The Lord Humongous! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No more Men at Work... No Midnight Oil...

      You forgot the brothers Young. Douchebag.

    2. Re:The Lord Humongous! by TWiTfan · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The Youngs are powered by high voltage electricity, not gas.

      --
      The cow says "Moo." The dog says "Woof." The Timothy says "Thanks, valued customer. We appreciate your input."
    3. Re:The Lord Humongous! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once again, you'll make him unleash his dogs of war as you send your weaklings into the field to to find a rig big enough to haul that fat tank of gas...

      Obviously bare ass cheeks are the solution.

  4. Pshaw... it's just weather! by CajunArson · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    It's not climate change, it's just a random weather pattern.

    Oh wait.. you said hot?

    Nevermind. Climate change.

    --
    AntiFA: An abbreviation for Anti First Amendment.
    1. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by timeOday · · Score: 5, Informative
      Didn't finish reading the summary, eh? "'While we can't blame climate change for any one event, we can certainly see its fingerprint." This story is about a trend, not the weather on a given day. A crucial difference.

      "The report, which will be released in full in February, finds that climate change is having a key influence on a trend that has seen the number of hot days in Australia double and the duration and frequency of heatwaves increase in the period between 1971 and 2008."

      So, yes, it's global warming.

    2. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wish I had mod points... so I could mod you troll.

    3. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      The USA has broken 1000 record low temps in the last couple of months, but that was just weather when it happened.

      You are just confirming that the ridicule the original poster had towards people like you is correct.

    4. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you just said it's not Climate Change but it is Climate Change.

      Hiding behind trend vs. weather is cowardly. The story clearly claims the heat waves are caused by Climate Change. They may weasel of of the actual technical claim, but that is what they imply and they is why the article was published.

      AGW Freaks, trying to have it both ways.

    5. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only is this the coldest winter in years, but it's not done yet ... not by far. This is one for the record books and hopefully will smash that global warming myth back to where it belongs. Hell, I've shoveled about 1 foot of global warming off my driveway in the last week.

    6. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by timeOday · · Score: 0

      Hell, I've shoveled about 1 foot of global warming off my driveway in the last week.

      I'm sorry but you're just hopeless.

    7. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "So, yes, it's global warming."

      You are giving us a prime example of exactly what GP wrote.

      Sure, AUS is having a heatwave. Even while much of the United States was having a record cold temperatures, and much of Europe has been experiencing its coldest weather in more than 10 years... Arctic ice extent is expanding again and the Antarctic summer is colder than usual, with even more sea ice.

      You can't cherry-pick your heatwaves. This is GLOBAL climate we're talking about.

    8. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      And, I should add: all the while, we've been experiencing a weak "El Nino" event. So even with ENSO on the warming side, it has been very cold in much of the world.

    9. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hiding behind trend vs. weather is statistically significant> .

      Fixed that there.

      I'm sorry, but, if you don't understand basic mechanics of science, you can't be outraged when you don't understand the conclusions of science.

    10. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 4, Informative

      Arctic Ice extent expanding this year is no surprise--most climate scientists predicted that would happen this year. Why? Because it was SO LOW last year, it basically had no direction to go but up.

      If you roll snake eyes on your first roll, don't be surprised if your next roll is better.

    11. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And in Call we are having record breaking high temps and have gone into emergency drought mode due to the lack of rain.

    12. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by PRMan · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah, let's measure "global warming" in the Antarctic. Wait? What's that? The ships got frozen?

      Well, we need to prove that the earth is warming up so let's get a rescue ship down there so that the researchers can start proving global warming. What's that? The rescue ship got stuck in the ice?

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    13. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by PRMan · · Score: 0

      Bullcrap. This is absolutely false. If you've watched Deadliest Catch the past 2 seasons they literally went home in the middle of the crab season for a month because the entire Bering Sea was frozen solid. Ships haven't been able to pass through the Hudson Bay area for a couple years now. And it's WORSE this year.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    14. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by gmuslera · · Score: 5, Informative

      Had broken it every winter since 1971? Because in australia last year they had to add 2 colors to the temperature charts because how hot things were then, and this year things aren't so far from that, and if 2 years is not enough you have the previous 40 contiguous years where the same trend was there. Thats the difference between long standing climate trends and the weather in a particular season of a limited area. Is the forest the one that matters, not the tree you just stumbled upon. And if you can see the forest because you are not high enough, maybe you should check what the people that can see the whole forest say. The cold fact is that the world as a whole is getting hotter.

    15. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      God, damn, a simple "YHBT" will do.

    16. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by wbr1 · · Score: 1

      Weather patterns are not random. Just as encrypted files are not random data. You may not be able to see the patterns, but they are there, and with enough knowledge and data points you can start to make predictions about it.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    17. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by dkf · · Score: 1

      Arctic Ice extent expanding this year is no surprise--most climate scientists predicted that would happen this year. Why?

      Most climate scientists would actually predict that ice extent will go up this year because, as every year, we get this thing called Winter. (Or were you referring to the year-on-year minimum or maximum extent?)

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    18. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climate Scientists haven't predicted anything accurately, ever.

    19. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      Snow pack in the West is less than one half of typical years.

      A cold snap like the East just has used to be far more common.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    20. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Kielistic · · Score: 0

      And that might be a relevant point if the USA were getting record breaking cold winters year after year and not just the one. Also you would have to think that there are no other places in the world besides the USA and Australia.

    21. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Kielistic · · Score: 1

      Yeah! And last summer they said it was going to be crazy hot but one time I had to put on a sweater! /sarcasm

    22. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by jeffmflanagan · · Score: 0

      Are you joking, or are you literally as stupid as Bryan Fischer?

    23. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's almost like it's impossible for the entire planet to heat up or cool down all at once. Almost like above us there's this large mass of air that moves around and just about never leaves the planet, taking things like temperature and pressure with it. Almost like "record colds in the US" should actually say "Air from Canada is coming down to the U.S. because of how air and pressure works, so don't be surprised if the temperature models Canada at this time of year"

    24. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      God damn, who is modding this shit up? Like, really? Do you want this terrible argument to be symbolic of your position?

      Is it some kind of "I don't understand the difference between measurable long-term trends, and yesterday's weather, and I moderate?"

    25. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh wow, and name calling helps your case how?

    26. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Ice in Antarctica! What a concept!! Who's ever heard of such a thing?

    27. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by tbannist · · Score: 4, Informative
      I don't know whether you're cherry-picking or just ignorant. From the National Snow & Ice Data Center:

      Arctic sea ice extent for December was 12.38 million square kilometers (4.78 million square miles). This is 700,000 square kilometers or 270,300 square miles below the 1981 to 2010 average, making it the 4th lowest December extent in the 36-year satellite data record.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    28. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I dunno, the invective nature of the reply really went above and beyond a "YHBT". It's been awhile since we've seen that kind of quality trolling on Slashdot. (Let's face it, apk was just a shadow of the former great Slashdot trolls.)

    29. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      >last couple of months

      This is weather.

      >in the period between 1971 and 2008

      This is climate.

    30. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by timeOday · · Score: 3, Informative
      You conveniently didn't quote what I quoted immediately before saying "yes it's global warming," so I'll repeat it:

      "...a trend that has seen the number of hot days in Australia double and the duration and frequency of heatwaves increase in the period between 1971 and 2008."

      Now, do people suddenly get more interested in global warming when it's hot outside? Sure! Why? Because people are essentially irrational, and don't live very long relative to the planet. That includes me and people I agree with, too. But it doesn't change the facts of a 35+ year trend.

    31. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      I was complaining about the dead giveaways. Like "hide behind the science"

    32. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by NatasRevol · · Score: 2

      Also, 1100 new highs.

      http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/records/

      Guess what climate change predicts? More variability.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    33. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Show us the 30-year trend of cooling to balance out our trend and we'll listen to you. Until then shut the fuck up.

    34. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by hey! · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Which says nothing about the *global* climate.

      Here's a clue: the air mass that's breaking all the cold weather records? That air mass is actually unusually *warm* for this time of year. How can that be? Because it's not where it usually is, way up in Canada. At the same time many northern areas are getting record warm temperatures, and California is missing the rain it should be getting this time of year. The overall picture is of a *warm* winter, averaged over the northern hemisphere, but with temperature anomalies all over the place. Which is not in itself *climate*, but the kind of weather event climate models have been predicting for a decade or more now (citation: Easterling, David R., et al. "Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts." Science 289.5487 (2000): 2068-2074.).

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    35. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by vinlud · · Score: 1

      First halve of january was the warmest ever measured in The Netherlands. Last winter was one the longest though. Stuff gets more extreme

      --
      Repeat after me: We are all individuals
    36. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      much of Europe has been experiencing its coldest weather in more than 10 years

      What? In huge areas of central Europe (Czech Republic, Slovakia, Austria, Hungary, Poland and large parts of Germany), there was no winter to spek of, so far. Trees are blooming, birds did not migrate south, the average temperatures are about 6 degrees C above normal.

    37. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by bunratty · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The ship got stuck in sea ice that broke off the continent because it's melting due to the warming.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    38. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What I want to know is if it's hot enough to melt the baffles currently holding the scientists. I like how they're certain the planet is heating, but baffled about the sun. Probably has something to do with funding.

    39. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Mashiki · · Score: 0

      So if we jump back to when the settlers were freezing to death in the early 1700's along the east coast(really-history is a great thing, especially from the journals of those that died, or just barely survived), that was climate change too right? Especially when compared to...today, where the east coast is lovely and balmy compared to then.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    40. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Mashiki · · Score: 0

      You mean it got frozen in an area, where 100 years ago it was open ocean right?

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    41. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      When we were in grade school we were taught that we are still coming out of the last ice age and that you could see it effect in ice sheets that don't normally exist like in Greenland. Every time I hear about global warming I'm reminded of this, and I don't think I have ever heard it mentioned when people are debating.

      Global warming is not a concern for me since I think we need cleaner, cheaper, more efficient forms of manufacturing and energy production, and emissions control too but for much more immediate reasons. {which if taken care of in a timely manner would mean that global warming is taken care of as well}

    42. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by khallow · · Score: 0

      One such fact of this "trend" is that it is very short, "35+" years. It'd be more relevant if it continues for a statistically significant period of time and can't be tied to near past land use. A big part of the problem as I see it is also the propensity for chicken littles to blame every climate change on global warming. There are other ways for humans and nature to change climates.

      For example, turning arid land into farmland lowers its albedo and increases moisture content of the air, both which contribute to local heating and retention of heat. I bet you that's a thing in Australia over the past 35 years.

    43. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by khallow · · Score: 0

      Stuff gets more extreme

      Which incidentally is not a prediction of global warming. Instead, a prediction is that there will be a higher frequency of high temperature events and a lower frequency of low temperature events.

    44. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You are using page 1 of the global warming denier's handbook -- cherry-pick local minima to deny the trends. Yes, there is more arctic ice this year than last year, but last year was an extremely low point. The US has had one week of record cold, but not sustained record cold.

      Next up you'll be saying that there hasn't been any increase in average temperatures since 1998 - ignoring the fact that 1998 was a massive outlier and that if you were to start witih 1997 or 1999 the trend of increasing temps is still, unfortunately, intact.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    45. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by inode_buddha · · Score: 1

      Nah, I remember some of the trolls in the late 1990's... some of them were so subtle, it was like a good hot sauce. You didn't feel the burn till it was coming out your ass the next day, but by then it was too late. Some of the trolls back then were just that good.

      --
      C|N>K
    46. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      The USA has broken 1000 record low temps in the last couple of months ...

      Those are all daily record low temperatures, IOW the record for a specific day. No monthly or all time record low temperatures were broken in the cold snap in early January.

    47. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And, I should add: all the while, we've been experiencing a weak "El Nino" event. So even with ENSO on the warming side, it has been very cold in much of the world.

      I hadn't heard anything about there being a current weak 'El Nino', we have been in neutral conditions since the last La Nina event as far as I'm aware. In fact everything I've come across has been that it has been a surprise to have such record heat during neutral conditions (e.g. http://theconversation.com/2013-was-australias-hottest-year-warm-for-much-of-the-world-21670).

      Everything I can find indicates the last few months have been neutral conditions and the models from all the major Met agencies are predicting further neutral conditions (with a chance of El Nino in a few months time).

      You can follow links to seasonal forecasts by various agencies from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology website here: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/model-summary.shtml#tabs=Models

      If you ignore the forecast plume on the linked charts, you can see the observations for the last few months (mostly for NINO3.4; a key indicator of ENSO). These observations show neutral conditions (on the La Nina side of things if anything, but neutral none the less) for the last few months.

      Forecast is nicely summarised on the Australian Bureau of Meteorology website too:
      http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/model-summary.shtml#tabs=Overview

      I'm sure you could find references to neutral conditions elsewhere but I'm most familiar with the output of the Australian Bureau of Meterology.

    48. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The thing is ships get stuck in the Antarctic sea ice for short periods all the time. It's a fairly regular occurrence. This one just made the headlines because a lot of climate change contrarians thought they could make some hay with it.

    49. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Record low temps by the hundreds is proof of global warming!

      And you wonder why people don't take you seriously. You AGW supporters are a joke to the rest of us.

    50. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by aeon_floss · · Score: 1

      Getting "trapped by ice" isn't the same as getting "frozen in". The amount of ice in Commonwealth Bay depends on wind direction, which was offshore in that photo taken 100 years ago, and onshore this year when the 2 ships got stuck.

    51. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by cusco · · Score: 1

      The cold fact...

      I see what you did there . . .

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    52. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by cusco · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Houses were not insulated, most didn't even have plaster and lathing on the interior of the wall studs, the only heating was radiant heat from the fireplace, and if you underestimated the amount of wood you needed in September you were burning your furniture to keep alive by April. Clothing was limited to wool and cotton, with no way to really dry them when you got wet. The gods help you if your boots fell apart in the middle of winter and you didn't live close enough to town to get them fixed, very few people had the tools to do that. Some winters it was a miracle ANY of them survived.

      My grandfather had a photo of himself, his brother and some neighbors, young men all, standing in front of a snow drift with shovels. On the other side of the drift you can see about a foot of the smoke stack of a locomotive. When my dad was young someone he knew drove his car from Michigan to Wisconsin across Lake Michigan, and people moved HOUSES across the ice on Lake Superior. When I was little I remember snow banks were frequently taller than my dad. My mom saw her first Christmas without snow on the ground in 1984, in the last ten years they've had snow on the ground on Christmas day twice and Grand Traverse Bay on Lake Michigan (not the big lake, just the Bay) has frozen thick enough to go ice fishing once.

      Australia isn't the only place that has seen a century of warming.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    53. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by cusco · · Score: 1

      Where is Michael Kristopit when you need him?

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    54. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by cusco · · Score: 1

      And the temperature in the Kardashian's pool was lower than normal too. They had to go slut it up in the hot tub to get warm! TV reveals the truth, that's why they call them "reality programs", right?

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    55. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by hey! · · Score: 1

      Unusually low temperatures in some places are offset by unusually high temperatures in others. Why is that so hard to grasp?

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    56. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Ice broke out - so yes, if you'd been following the news at all.

    57. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by inode_buddha · · Score: 1

      http://slashdot.org/~Michael+Kristopeit
      Seems more like a flamer than a troll tho. I mean more like Roman_Mir or (back in the day) Trollaxor or JonKatz or LionKuntz....

      --
      C|N>K
    58. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by bricko · · Score: 0

      Especially since its summer time there....

    59. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd hope to god so, since it's called climate *change*. That's sorta a tautology, you know.

    60. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by VortexCortex · · Score: 1

      The USA has broken 1000 record low temps in the last couple of months, but that was just weather when it happened.

      You are just confirming that the ridicule the original poster had towards people like you is correct.

      If you actually knew anything about whether you'd understand than adding more energy to the atmosphere creates more extremes... but you don't. Temperature is not climate, fool.

    61. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

      Not if it isn't true.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    62. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      I hadn't heard anything about there being a current weak 'El Nino', we have been in neutral conditions since the last La Nina event as far as I'm aware.

      This was from my friendly neighborhood meteorologist, last Monday. It is possible he is wrong, but he is a recognized expert in his field, not a "meteorologist" on TV. I suppose we shall see.

    63. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Arctic ice extent is expanding again... [Jane Q. Public]

      Here we go again. Jane's comments on sea level, UAH and surface temperatures follow a pattern. First, Jane plucks a short term trend from the noise and waves it around. Scientists then point out that Jane's trend is so short that it just represents weather noise, not climate signal. Jane then insists that waving around short term trends isn't meant to imply anything about the long term trend. Rinse, repeat.

      ... the Antarctic summer is colder than usual, with even more sea ice.

      So, consistent with Manabe et al. 1991 page 811: "... sea surface temperature hardly changes and sea ice slightly increases near the Antarctic Continent in response to the increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide."

      ... all the while, we've been experiencing a weak "El Nino" event. So even with ENSO on the warming side, it has been very cold in much of the world.

      The last point on NOAA's MEI index is -0.312, which is on the La Nina side but effectively neutral.

      This was from my friendly neighborhood meteorologist, last Monday. It is possible he is wrong, but he is a recognized expert in his field, not a "meteorologist" on TV. I suppose we shall see.

      No link and no name = argument from inscrutable authority. In reality, we might have an El Nino by July which will serve as the basis for the talking point I mentioned at WUWT.

      Some of those who disagree did so from the very beginning, on the premise that it's the Sun and other natural factors that drives climate change, not CO2. Just a fact.

      Yes, many contrarians operate under the premise that climate change is natural and not driven by human CO2 emissions. In contrast, scientists measure contributions from many natural factors, and many human factors. Scientists don't start from either biased premise, but obviously contrarians do. Thanks for finally being honest, Jane.

    64. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Here we go again. Jane's comments on sea level [dumbscientist.com], UAH [dumbscientist.com] and surface [dumbscientist.com] temperatures [dumbscientist.com] follow a pattern. First, Jane plucks a short term trend from the noise and waves it around. Scientists then point out that Jane's trend is so short that it just represents weather noise, not climate signal. Jane then insists that waving around short term trends isn't meant to imply anything about the long term trend. Rinse, repeat."

      And I have to ask again: What is the basis of your personal vendetta against me?

      I made a comment. While I didn't offer a citation (because it implies location information, which I don't do here). I did admit that it could be wrong, but I did have reason for making it. Further, I was referring to very recent developments. (As the so-called "polar vortex" has invaded middle and eastern America, the West coast has been seeing unusually warm weather.) Whether this is caused by the "vortex" itself or the start of a mile El-Nino event is currently unclear. Yet again, you are moving the goalposts, referring to past months while I'm talking about last week.

      Your response: "Look! She's being wishy-washy again!"

      Get off your holier-than-thou high horse, and leave me alone. It is very clear by now that you have some kind of ulterior motive for your incessant badgering. In fact, I suspect you yet again of playing Anonymous Coward Sock-Puppet in order to bait me, as I have documented quite a bit of very strong evidence you have done in the past.

      As I told you before: I believe in giving people plenty of rope. But I won't pretend your behavior is pleasant to deal with. Go try to smear someone else.

    65. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      s/mile/mild

    66. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      I will add:

      (1) The comment about probably weak ENSO was from a professional meteorologist who I did not cite for reasons I gave earlier.

      (2) That may not stand up to your standards of scientific evidence, but this is Slashdot, not a science journal. I am not attempting to have a formal scientific debate. If I were, I would state things differently. And your attempt to hold me to those standards, on Slashdot, are completely ridiculous.

      When I am trying to make a rigorous argument, I generally make that very clear. But I repeat: this is Slashdot, and I am not bound by those standards here. Your oft-repeated attempts to show how I'm "not being scientific" (to your arbitrary standards) are inappropriate. Not to mention the unethical methods you employ.

    67. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      "It's possible that both the AGW deniers and AGW alarmists are wrong. Climate change could be real, but caused by natural factors that are out of our control, the same ones that have caused ice ages and warm periods in the past when carbon outputs were nowhere near as high as they are now."

      The problem with this is that it is exactly what many of those so-called AGW "deniers" have been saying all along. [Jane Q. Public]

      Exactly what who's been saying all along? Aside from all your short term "cooling/recovery" trends, you've smeared paleoclimate studies while making these uncited claims about the paleoclimate:

      NOBODY in their right minds has -- and I certainly have not -- been arguing that the globe has not been getting warmer! That is not the issue and never was. The globe has been trending warmer for the last 6,000 years! The data are clear. Someone would have to be an idiot or totally uninformed to make such a claim. [Jane Q. Public, 2007-10-24]

      Not quite 0.74 degrees, but yes it has warmed. So what? The earth has been trending steadily warmer for the last 6,000 years!!! [Jane Q. Public, 2008-06-22]

      The trend over 5 or 6 THOUSAND years has been warmer. [Jane Q. Public, 2008-06-22]

      I do not disagree that the globe is warming. That would be denying facts... the earth has been trending warmer for over 6,000 years! [Jane Q. Public, 2008-06-22]

      Trying to prove to me that the globe is warming was a pretty silly thing to do. I do not dispute that the earth has been getting warmer, and never did! It has been trending warmer for the last 6,000 years! [Jane Q. Public, 2009-04-18]

      We know the earth has been warming. It has been doing so for approximately 6,000 years. [Lonny Eachus, 2009-07-02]

      Certainly the globe has been warming... it has been trending warmer for thousands of years. [Jane Q. Public, 2010-02-03]

      First, people with at least half a brain -- including in the U.S. -- know the climate is getting warmer. It has been trending warmer for roughly 6,000 years, industry or not. [Jane Q. Public, 2011-07-17]

      Jane and Lonny Eachus are wrong. According to Marcott et al. 2013 (PDF), the world has actually been cooling for most of the last 6,000 years.

    68. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Exactly what who's been saying all along? Aside from all your short term "cooling/recovery" trends, you've smeared paleoclimate studies while making these uncited claims about the paleoclimate:

      I think your idea of "smear" is a little bit out of whack. Let me summarize the comments I made that you call "smears" in those three links above:

      "I don't think those other forcings are affecting this data as much as you would have us believe."

      "No, by 'bias' I mean that since the people behind this site (seriously, have you done ANY homework on this?) are some of the very people who were being criticized by Wegman, then they can hardly be called objective on the matter! That seems like a pretty good description of 'bias' to me."

      (From 2012): "Critics please take note: the ONLY references Wikipedia lists for saying that the MWP was not warmer than today are papers by -- who else? -- Jones, Mann, Bradley, and Hughes, of course.

      Wow, imagine that. And all of them relying on... guess what? The very same questionable data set. So they can't be called 'independent' verifications of one another."

      You call these "smears". Pardon the sarcasm, but you deserve it: You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

      A "smear" is a personal attack. The first two of those comments were personal opinions, and the third was a verifiable statement of fact. (At the time... I don't know what it Wikipedia says about it today, and I don't care, because I wrote it then.)

      THEN... hahaha... you bring up things I stated over 6 years ago (!!!) which have absolutely nothing to do with the subject at hand, and try to use them against me personally! And YOU are trying to say that I am "smearing" people? Get a clue, man. Every time you do this, you just make yourself look more like an ass.

      So you demostrated that one thing I said repeatedly was wrong. Wow! I am impressed! (Not.)

      You have demonstrated yet again that you have been obsessively following and recording my comments for close to 7 years!!!

      Now, that may not seem strange to YOU, but I assure you, it seems very strange, and obsessive, and creepy to everybody else I have shown this stuff to.

      More rope. Have fun with it.

    69. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Apuleius · · Score: 1

      Pretty pathetic if all you can muster is what you were told in grade school. We are not "still coming out of the last ice age." If not for the greenhouse effect, right now we would be inching towards the next one. In fact, before the onset of the industrial revolution, we were indeed inching towards it.

    70. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      I ALSO just found out (because, unlike what looks from here to be some kind of unhealthy obsession about me on your part, I have had little to no interest in YOU...) that you have written extensively about me -- or things you seem to think are about me -- to other people, without my knowledge and outside of any exchange that actually involved me at all.

      Because what has been increasingly appearing to me to be weird, obsessive behavior on your part has finally started to really strike me as abnormal, obsessive, and "creepy", I started reading some of your comments that were either replies that were too late in my timeline for me to have normally seen them, or were to other people altogether.

      Some of them, at first glance, appear to me to have crossed well beyond reasonable, civil, public discourse. I can see after only a brief look that in fact you have made quite a number of false public statements about me personally.

      You have been treading a very fine line, and I see now that your behavior may in fact have been crossing it for some time. We shall see. I am going to get opinions from people who know a bit more about this kind of thing than I.

      What I have learned today has been appalling. I must say that I expected far more professional behavior from someone who claims to be be a scientist. But then, I've told you that before.

    71. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      ... And I just ALSO found out that you have made a practice of quoting me -- sometimes out of context -- on your website, THEN posting your own replies to my comments THERE (or at least making counter-arguments to my comments), without my knowledge. Apparently (at the moment I see no other reason) in order to "have the last word" without having to deal with any actual response from me. I consider that behavior to be reprehensible. This follows the other pattern of "late" replies that I do not see in my Slashdot timeline... more evidence of an emotional "need" to have the last word without the inconvenience of allowing someone to actually reply.

      I am not a regular reader of your website and I have no wish to be. In fact, you do not have my permission to use my words there. If there was any permission given before, explicit or implicit, consider it retracted.

      Regardless of whether you feel it to be so, in my opinion moving my words somewhere else, then arguing with them there, is unethical. I have no desire to participate in "discussions" on your website, nor do I give my permission for my words to be reproduced there. I come here to Slashdot mainly for entertainment, and I have no desire to be a whipping-post on your personal blog.

    72. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Yep. Sure enough. The more I have looked into this, the more appalling I have found it to be.

      It appears to me that there are not just multiple but MANY instances of my comments taken out of context, with your own disparaging comments associated to quotes in your blog or links to my comments elsewhere. Multiple instances of aspersions cast and other personal remarks that I will say -- politely for now -- are likely to be shown to be incorrect and are pretty certainly inappropriate. Other instances of claims and other statements about me that are easily proven false.

      From here it looks like you've really put your foot in it. In fact, it looks like you've been "digging" your own holes, continually and diligently... and neatly documenting them for everyone to see, even... for quite a long time. I am almost -- but not quite -- sorry I missed seeing all this earlier.

      From what I read this evening, it also appears that other people have called you out for doing similar things to them.

      It is very likely that this is going to get pretty interesting.

    73. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're confusing weather with climate.

    74. Re:Pshaw... it's just weather! by cusco · · Score: 1

      No, the weather (yearly) has definitely changed over the last 100 years (climate).

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  5. Climate change is now worldwide by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    50 C temps in Australia this decade (40 C temps now).

    Halfway up the Rockies in Canada (Kootenays) they are having very very low snowfall - only one meter instead of three meters.

    Massive 1000 year floods in Calgary are the new normal.

    Get ready for climate change, boys and girls, cause it's coming and China's pushing it as hard as possible by increasing coal plants 6x this next year.

    Period.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    1. Re:Climate change is now worldwide by RotateLeftByte · · Score: 1

      It does not seem to have stopped raining here in Blighty for about a month.

      The climate is changing. We are seeing more and more extremes of Cold, Hot, Wind, Rain, Sun and Snow just to name a few.

      --
      I'd rather be riding my '63 Triumph T120.
    2. Re:Climate change is now worldwide by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Noticed that there's no snow here in California either. They say we're going to have to import water - maybe we can steal it from Nevada?

    3. Re:Climate change is now worldwide by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Two Thirds of CA is a desert...always has been.

      The only reason people don't think of it that way is because of the water that comes from the Colorado River.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    4. Re:Climate change is now worldwide by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      In other news, building in a flood plain is bad. And forcing rivers into narrow channels like they did in Alberta is bad. Much like what has happened along the Mississippi river. And in other places in the Rockies, they've had record snowfall amounts. 5 meters instead of 2.5.

      Funny that isn't it?

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    5. Re:Climate change is now worldwide by Apuleius · · Score: 1

      In related news, changing weather patterns mean changing boundaries of where flood plains begin and end. Build above the flood plain, and teh flood plain can still come to you. Case in point: Calgary.

  6. well the good news. by nimbius · · Score: 3, Funny

    given their natural habitat and evolutionary traits, this means its only a matter of time until those ferocious Drop Bears go extinct. the bad news of course is that we can no longer use the drop bear as an excuse for americans to choose New Zealand as their holiday destination.
    Granted its also important to note that should americans agree to reduce their carbon footprint and sign the damn kyoto treaty, we wont have to resort to shipping drop bears to safer climates in the states.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
    1. Re:well the good news. by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 2

      Australia has the highest per capita level of greenhouse gas emissions in the developed world.

      http://takvera.blogspot.com/2011/11/record-increase-in-greenhouse-gas.html

    2. Re:well the good news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think a drop bear killed your sense of humor.

    3. Re:well the good news. by anchovy_chekov · · Score: 1

      Well.. as everyone knows in this country, drop bears are if anything MORE aggressive during heatwaves. You rarely get reports of attacks during the winter months, but there's been a spate of deaths in the areas outside of Brisbane this summer - again, mostly visiting tourists who never seem to take the danger seriously.

    4. Re:well the good news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They haven't outsourced as much of their economy as you yet, so what?

    5. Re:well the good news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      shipping drop bears to safer climates in the states.

      Good. Maybe those drop bears can help the US control our snark population.

    6. Re:well the good news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish people would stop referring to this statistic as though it has some significance.

      One: With only 23 million Australians this means that in a global sense our contribution is tiny, what it does mean is that it should be easier for us to make a difference than others, but the net effect of this- no matter how "good" we are at it, will be miniscule.
      Two: It takes the focus away from the real source of the problem. By this I mean, we put all our regulations and carbon pricing in place, the result of which is to drive business to places which have worse environmental regulation (eg China) and means we have to ship raw materials there and finished products back to boot, burning vast amounts of diesel to do so.

      FFS, THINK about what the effects of these policies will be.

      What do you need to do?
      1. Discourage wasteful consumption
      2. If you're REALLY serious about having any effect on climate change Australia had better start leaving the coal in the ground because incentivising the conversion Australian power generation to something else will otherwise just result in cheaper priced coal exports. China will love that.
      3. Try and discover or build a system of economics that doesn't fall to shit at growth levels 2% because if you can't make it work at growth = zero we WILL be totally fucked someday.

  7. If you can't take the heat, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    stop living in the desert.

    1. Re:If you can't take the heat, by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 4, Interesting

      stop living in the desert.

      What if the desert comes to you?

      --
      Drill baby drill - on Mars
    2. Re:If you can't take the heat, by dkf · · Score: 1

      stop living in the desert.

      What if the desert comes to you?

      Then it's your chance to become an economic migrant. Whee!

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    3. Re:If you can't take the heat, by anchovy_chekov · · Score: 1

      It's not the desert you schmuck. The city I live in was the hottest city on the planet yesterday. Air-conditioning was failing under the heat - not from lack of power but from the basic heat differential between outside and in. Trains had to run on reduced schedules, transport staff were handing out free water bottles so no-one dehydrates. It's crazy. The bush fire season has started in earnest, and houses near cities have been destroyed. This affects day-to-day living of people living in large cities (millions of people).

  8. The sun is the cause! by unixcorn · · Score: 1

    I can see the fingerprint of global warming in the sky every day.

  9. I love a sunburnt country by neilo_1701D · · Score: 1

    I love a sunburnt country,
    A land of sweeping plains,
    Of ragged mountain ranges,
    Of droughts and flooding rains.
    I love her far horizons,
    I love her jewel-sea,
    Her beauty and her terror -
    The wide brown land for me!

    Dorothea Mackellar, 1904

    Yup; Australia has never been hotter / dryer / ...

    1. Re:I love a sunburnt country by Carnivore · · Score: 1

      So you're attempting to refute data with a poem?

    2. Re:I love a sunburnt country by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look, all we're saying is that while climate change science is haaaaard and depreeeeeessing and implies we should do things that don't feed our bottomless lust for primal pleasure in the form of driving around very loud surrogate manhoods, climate change denial is as easy as this simple quiz:

      Is it way too warm in the summer? It's SUPPOSED to be warm in the summer, you dolt!
      Is it way too cold in the summer? Yeah, isn't it great? It's not warm in the summer! This makes me feel so much better today!
      Is it way too warm in the winter? Yeah, isn't it great? It's not cold in the winter! This makes me feel so much better today!
      Is it way too cold in the winter? GLOBAL WARMING DISPROVED SO SUCK IT AL GORE WHO INVENTED GLOBAL WARMING

      So since our big brains aren't wasting all our thinkin' time on all that nasty science, we're free to pursue better goals, like reciting poems to laugh at you science losers for being dumb and boring. See? You're supposed to be smart on this website, so why haven't you made the obviously better choice and joined us?

    3. Re:I love a sunburnt country by neilo_1701D · · Score: 2

      I'm pointing out that people were writing about the heat in Australia many, many years ago.

      Does data get refuted by a poem? No, of course not.

      If you read the report, on p. 37 they comment that the dataset covers 35 years (1973-2009). The conclusion is based on that dataset. However, a poem written over 100 years ago suggests that conditions in Australia were well known even then. So... is there really a trend? There may be in the data, but the data doesn't span the time period of the poem.

    4. Re:I love a sunburnt country by mjwx · · Score: 1

      If you read the report, on p. 37 they comment that the dataset covers 35 years (1973-2009). The conclusion is based on that dataset. However, a poem written over 100 years ago suggests that conditions in Australia were well known even then. So... is there really a trend? There may be in the data, but the data doesn't span the time period of the poem.

      It was a well known event, but it's never been as bad as it was now.

      Due to the wonders of science we know that the drought cycle is tied to ENSO events which have been getting more powerful in recent years, so the extreme weather events we've been experiencing here in Australia have become more frequent and more extreme.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    5. Re:I love a sunburnt country by 12WTF$ · · Score: 1

      I LOVE A SUNBURNT COUNTRY
      (with apologies to Dorothea Mackellar)

      I love a sunburnt country
      A land of sunburnt plains,
      Of sunburnt mountain ranges,
      Of droughts and sunburnt rains.
      I love sunburnt horizons
      I love her sunburnt sea
      Her sunburn and her sunburn
      This sunburnt land for me.

      Micheal Leunig, 16 December 2006

      Yup; Australia has never been hotter / dryer / more sunburnt ...

      --
      Cryonics - Keep cool and carry on.
    6. Re:I love a sunburnt country by Apuleius · · Score: 1

      I'm pointing out that people were writing about the heat in Australia many, many years ago.

      And Arabs have been writing poetry about the heat for centuries. What's your point?

  10. A Third Possibility by DruidWheresMyCar · · Score: 2, Funny

    It's possible that both the AGW deniers and AGW alarmists are wrong. Climate change could be real, but caused by natural factors that are out of our control, the same ones that have caused ice ages and warm periods in the past when carbon outputs were nowhere near as high as they are now. But that theory would cause people to stop paying their taxes and mortgages and move to the tropics, so we can't have that.

    1. Re:A Third Possibility by thephydes · · Score: 2

      Yes you are correct, it is a possible scenario. However, real scientists look for real evidence that links correlation to causation. When we know that CO2 and others are greenhouse gasses (look that up if you're not sure what it means), AND we know that we have been pumping these gasses into the atmosphere at an ever increasing rate, AND we know that the earth has warmed, AND we are seeing some of the predicted effects eg extreme weather events, THEN the evidence matches the theory that we are a primary cause of global warming. Of course you could still be right and this is all down to natural variability..........

    2. Re:A Third Possibility by Carnivore · · Score: 5, Interesting

      There is a nonzero chance that your third possibility is correct. But nonzero is all I'm going to give you. Have a look at the amounts of greenhouse gasses put into the atmosphere by a large natural phenomenon, vulcanism

      Looks like the numbers are from 2009 or so. Summary: It takes ~3 days of humans' output to equal one year of volcanic greenhouse gas emissions.

      The factors that are out of our control contribute a tiny fraction of our total.

    3. Re:A Third Possibility by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "It's possible that both the AGW deniers and AGW alarmists are wrong. Climate change could be real, but caused by natural factors that are out of our control, the same ones that have caused ice ages and warm periods in the past when carbon outputs were nowhere near as high as they are now."

      The problem with this is that it is exactly what many of those so-called AGW "deniers" have been saying all along.

    4. Re:A Third Possibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's also possible your mom's not a whore, but we know better.

    5. Re:A Third Possibility by 0123456 · · Score: 0

      The only people claiming climate doesn't change naturally are the Hockey-Stickers with their nice flat temperature line until EVIL SUVs came along and ruined everything.

      The rest of the world is well aware that things don't actually stay the same all the time.

    6. Re:A Third Possibility by DruidWheresMyCar · · Score: 1

      If you don't want to seem condescending going forward, you can safely assume that anyone who specifically uses the term AGW instead of global warming or climate change knows everything you said in your reply.

    7. Re:A Third Possibility by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      The problem with this is that it is exactly what many of those so-called AGW "deniers" have been saying all along.

      Well, to be fair, the AGW deniers said that only after it was repeatedly demonstrated that there was in fact some variety of global warming going on. This is the "The barge is headed towards the bridge abutment, but that's not the fault of the engines, it's the current instead." argument. Which doesn't make much sense, because even in that situation, you still want to do everything you can to solve the problem.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    8. Re:A Third Possibility by PRMan · · Score: 0

      This is what almost every "denier" I know has already been saying. It's not that the climate doesn't change radically, it's that we are a very small percentage of the problem (other than cutting down forests or planting, IMO).

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    9. Re:A Third Possibility by PRMan · · Score: 0

      Most of the "real" scientists I've seen seem to concentrate exclusively on the last 100 years and ignore completely that 10x worse things have happened all throughout the earth's history.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    10. Re:A Third Possibility by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Well, to be fair, the AGW deniers said that only after it was repeatedly demonstrated that there was in fact some variety of global warming going on."

      That's not "being fair", that's being false. Part of my point was that it's not legitimate to lump everyone who disagrees into one "denier" category. That's about as accurate as saying all blacks are criminals or all Polish people are stupid.

      Some of those who disagree did so from the very beginning, on the premise that it's the Sun and other natural factors that drives climate change, not CO2. Just a fact.

    11. Re:A Third Possibility by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      And it's also demonstrably not true through the data, it, at best, sounds more moderate.

    12. Re:A Third Possibility by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Which is just as scientifically invalid, and not helping. It's worth lumping you guys together because you're all making the same argument:

      "I don't personally agree with the facts, so let's pretend they aren't there".

    13. Re:A Third Possibility by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      I think, "earth's history" and "100 years" shouldn't be comparible time-spans in concern over temperature change.

    14. Re:A Third Possibility by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Which is just as scientifically invalid, and not helping. It's worth lumping you guys together because you're all making the same argument:

      "I don't personally agree with the facts, so let's pretend they aren't there".

      Which is only opinion, also inaccurate, and more to the point: off-topic. Which is not helping.

    15. Re:A Third Possibility by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Not really. The correlations, core theory, and lack of other matching explanations totally invalidate every such point raised, and have been done to a sufficient degree that these people are basically tremendous liars, pretending to be moderate, while exposing a fundamentally indistinct point.

      Notably, you call a refutation of your own point "off topic" because, of course you would.

    16. Re:A Third Possibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Then let's deal with the worst offenders first, China:

      http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/china/10579742/Smog-in-China-prompts-authorities-to-display-sun-on-giant-screens.html

      Why does everyone think it's the US? Very few places here have bad smog, and nothing like this. It's like everyone is running around screaming about one man with his particulates from his fireplace, when right behind them is a forest fire...

    17. Re:A Third Possibility by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      But see, that's also a demonstrated falsehood, and you yourself said "nuh uh, it's not getting warmer" in this post.

      So... everyone, PRman is a liar. Saying exactly what he said no one was saying.

    18. Re:A Third Possibility by hey! · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Sure, in the Hadean period 4600+ million years ago the Earth's atmosphere had no free oxygen.

      The far distant past is not the issue. The ability of the human race to survive isn't the issue either. The issue is the ability of the society we have built to cope with environmental changes that may occur on the timescale of a single lifetime.

      A +2C change would result in a world that looks drastically different than ours is now. But if that change occurred over a thousand years it'd be practically imperceptible to people. The same change over a century would be a major challenge to our economy. How well you adapt depends on how mobile your means of making a living are. If you're an investment banker, it's no problem at all to shift your money out of harm's way. If you're an American rancher, you may find yourself in a "Bottle Imp" scenario. If you're a Bangladeshi subsistence farmer you are SOL.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    19. Re:A Third Possibility by DavidHumus · · Score: 2

      Except that human contributions have only been going one way: increasing over time. Gas due to volcanoes is random.

      Oh, also, you're wrong about the magnitude. According to http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hazards/gas/climate.php, "all studies to date of global volcanic carbon dioxide emissions indicate that present-day subaerial and submarine volcanoes release less than a percent of the carbon dioxide released currently by human activities."

    20. Re:A Third Possibility by microbox · · Score: 1

      Climate change could be real, but caused by natural factors that are out of our control

      That would be one of the "skeptics" main talking points. It's not really an argument, since it is addressed extensively in literature. But the public conversation has trouble with "it's cold in New York, AGW must be a hoax".

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    21. Re:A Third Possibility by microbox · · Score: 2

      Maybe the last 100 years are more interesting scientifically peaking. But you're suggesting that the field of paleoclimate doesn't exist. (It does.) And that scientists don't know what the broad findings are. (It's taught at undergraduate level.)

      I think you're argument belongs in the "Haha, that's a good one" category.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    22. Re:A Third Possibility by sjames · · Score: 2

      Yes, we can't be absolutely sure the nutter randomly tossing gasoline and lit matches around started the forest fire, but we can be reasonably certain he's not helping the situation any.

    23. Re:A Third Possibility by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Not really. The correlations, core theory, and lack of other matching explanations totally invalidate every such point raised, and have been done to a sufficient degree that these people are basically tremendous liars, pretending to be moderate, while exposing a fundamentally indistinct point."

      Yes, really.

      This conversation was NOT ABOUT whether the "deniers" were correct. And even if it had been, you are simply incorrect about their arguments. I have no intention of getting into a long argument about it here, though, because that's OFF-TOPIC.

    24. Re:A Third Possibility by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Maybe the last 100 years are more interesting scientifically peaking.

      More likely, the last hundred years are the period we have reasonably accurate temperature readings for a significant fraction of the world.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    25. Re:A Third Possibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it's half of what the "deniers" have been saying. The other half--the significant half--is that the "A" in AGW does not exist and that there is no meaningful impact from human activity.

      On the other side, I don't think anyone who understands the science has ever said that natural climate change doesn't exist or has no meaningful impact. There's no credible scientific evidence that suggests that human contributions play no part, which is why the "deniers", whether they're full-blown business-as-usual deniers or simply yeah-but-not-our-fault deniers, rely on statements like yours to avoid presenting a rational explanation supported by evidence.

    26. Re:A Third Possibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nor even are "100 years" and "human history" comparible time-spans.

    27. Re:A Third Possibility by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      No, he was right about the magnitude. He said "It takes ~3 days of humans' output to equal one year of volcanic greenhouse gas emissions." 3 days is 0.82% of the year which is less than 1%. But I think it is clearer the way you presented it.

    28. Re:A Third Possibility by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The problem with this is that it is exactly what many of those so-called AGW "deniers" have been saying all along.

      They say that the cause of climate change could be natural but they never provide any evidence for what those causes are. They just think climate scientists are too stupid to find them or they're bought off by their political masters in a plot to take over the world. They're looking for some magic bullet that science hasn't found yet. At this point I think it's unlikely but if such a profound discovery is yet to be found someone will make their name in scientific circles when they do find it.

      You mentioned the Sun in another response but it has been continuously monitored since at least the 1950's and even more continuously and accurately monitored since satellites went up in 1979. The Sun's output does affect climate but it hasn't changed enough to account for more than about 5% of climate change in the past 60+ years.

    29. Re:A Third Possibility by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      Actually in my experience, the term AGW is more commonly used by people who know nothing about anthropogenic global warming.

      [More recently it's starting being used outside the denier community, but for awhile it was a fairly good identifier of people who had never stepped outside the tent.]

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    30. Re:A Third Possibility by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      and ignore completely that 10x worse things have happened all throughout the earth's history.

      No. They often look at periods of sharp temperature rises in the past to see what the effects were. There are a few extinction events that give us an idea of what a sharp temperature rise does. Also, there's concern that moderate temp rises in the past sometimes triggered sudden CO2 releases, which then caused more warming, which... This includes the biggest extinction event in Earth's history (Permian–Triassic). They need to understand the mechanisms behind that positive feedback to build them into their modern projections. Likewise, when it didn't happen.

      And, of course, there's the ice-core research to track the more recent history, last few hundred thousand years. This gives us a better idea of the "baseline", from where we can spot modern changes.

      Paleoclimatology is a major player in climate change research.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    31. Re:A Third Possibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most large scale commercial farming will rebound relatively quickly, especially in places like Australia, it will move where ever the opportunity is. This year last few year have been particularly hot, but harvests have been particularly good, which has offset losses in America where yields have fallen due to drought.(1)
      The small number of people involved in commercial farming in first world countries makes the business more adaptable to change. Conversely employment in many third world countries is dominantly agricultural so current third world farmers will be affected by rapid climate change. However third world countries are also in the process of shifting their economies away from agriculture. As commercial agriculture establishes in the third world ironically their sensitivity to climate change will decrease.

      As for Australia, which is the topic, there are very few people employed in agriculture compared to the greater population (2,3) in fact there are twice as many unemployed people in Australia as there are involved in Agriculture, losing all agriculture would result in a 50% increase in unemployment (from 5.8% to 8.3%) and a drop of around 12% in GDP.

      Farming in Australia like most first world counties is devastating to the local native environment. Removal of all agriculture and farming practices from Australia would result in a significant environmental boom for native flora and fauna and the removal 74.7 million sheep and 28.5 million cattle (5) would have a measurable impact on Methane emissions. seems like a fair exchange for 2 C

      According to the National farmer federation of Australia for 2010-2011 there are 307,000 people working in agriculture in Australia (2).
      2013 Population of Australia 23,355,247 (3)
      2013 Number of unemployed people in Australia 716,000 (4)

      1) http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-12/australia-raises-its-wheat-estimate-as-harvest-eases-supply-woes.html
      2) https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&ved=0CCcQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nff.org.au%2Ffarm-facts.html&ei=7CLaUozCIsbGkQXdmoG4Cg&usg=AFQjCNH33pftlneIRhruvSxSU88Snh3BCg&bvm=bv.59568121,d.dGI
      3) http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs%40.nsf/94713ad445ff1425ca25682000192af2/1647509ef7e25faaca2568a900154b63?OpenDocument
      4) http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/6202.0
      5) http://www.mla.com.au/Cattle-sheep-and-goat-industries/Industry-overview/Cattle

    32. Re:A Third Possibility by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Well, them and all the climate scientists with their pesky evidence.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  11. Re:ahh we're all going to die by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    get the tinfoil hats on, here come the climate changers!!

    I think you'll find the tinfoil hat wearers are those who think that the scientific community are all conspiring to earn big bucks from climate change, although quite how they earn this money is never spelled out. Odd, that. Then the climate-change deniers have no trouble believing the industry-sponsored pseudo-science of the global warming denial industry that actually does have big money behind it from the likes of Exxon of Exxon Valdez fame. Yeah, you have no trouble believing the polluters, do you?

    Get a fucking grip. The scientific consensus is that anthropogenic global warming is a fact. Out of thousands of peer-reviewed papers you'd be doing well if you can find one single paper that says otherwise.

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
  12. Yet another possibility by EmagGeek · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    An organization that derives its funding from the sense of crisis in their reports finds that the situation is quite alarming.

    1. Re:Yet another possibility by tbannist · · Score: 2

      That's an article about Richard Lindzen, who's practically made a career of out of always being wrong. For instance, he also doesn't think there's a strong link between cigarettes and lung cancer.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  13. Localized Global Warming? by Koby77 · · Score: 1

    The report recommends cutting emissions to control the weather. As if their lower carbon air will somehow hover only over Australia to keep temperatures down, while China and the other high polluters in Southeast Asia will hold in the heat. If only Australia can experience man-made global warming despite no global temperature increase in the past 10 years, surely they can cool off via the same mechanism as well!

    1. Re:Localized Global Warming? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      No global temperature increase in 10 years?

      I call bullshit.

      http://library.wmo.int/pmb_ged/wmo_1119_en.pdf

    2. Re:Localized Global Warming? by ndrw · · Score: 1

      How about a source for your temperature claim? I claim the opposite: Anthropogenic Global Warming is occurring. Here's two sources:

      http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/
      http://climatechange.procon.org/view.resource.php?resourceID=003800

    3. Re:Localized Global Warming? by PRMan · · Score: 1, Funny

      It's already been proven that the global average temperature has dropped for about 15 years now.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    4. Re:Localized Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't that a wingnut myth? Everything I've read indicated that that was the typical cherry-picking of the lying Republicans.

    5. Re:Localized Global Warming? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      No, no it hasn't. That's a claim that's pretty well fabricated. oops, you believed and repeated a lie. Are you going to recant?

    6. Re:Localized Global Warming? by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Indeed, that's why all of the top 10 hottest years on record have happened since 1997. Because it's getting colder.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    7. Re:Localized Global Warming? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      I think you're referring to the temperature escalator. It's a method of cherry picking data to show a short-term cooling trend even though the long-term trend is warming. In this case, you're ignoring all data before 1998, which was the year an unusually strong El Nino produced warm weather.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    8. Re:Localized Global Warming? by Wonda · · Score: 1

      he said in the last 10 years, did you actually look at the graphs? the last 10 years are mostly flat, some even go down

    9. Re:Localized Global Warming? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      If you want the simple answer, they picked the single hottest year in all of history as their starting date.

  14. Taxes! by csumpi · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    But don't you worry, it can all be fixed with more spending (taxes), and as long as you don't vote for those other guys.

    .

    1. Re:Taxes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So therefore we should do nothing because gods forbid we spend money to avert a catastrophe.

      Fuckwit.

    2. Re:Taxes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But don't you worry, it can all be fixed with more spending (taxes), and as long as you don't vote for those other guys. .

      Current Australian government is conservative; previous government created a carbon tax and then fell out of office at the election.

      Your ignorance is astounding.

  15. Re:ahh we're all going to die by csumpi · · Score: 1, Insightful

    to earn big bucks from climate change, although quite how they earn this money is never spelled out

    Climate Change Is the Next $10 Trillion Opportunity

    While I'm not debating that the climate is changing, let's also not pretend that this is not all about $$$.

    .

  16. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All the HAARP antenna arrays and ionospheric heaters around the world can't be making life better for us idiots on earth. Shut those goddamned stations down and watch the weather return to normal.

  17. And it will continue until ALL nations work on it by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Informative

    Look, the west is working on lowering their emissions.
    However, China alone emits over 1/3 of all CO2 emissions. Worse, by 2020, they will account for over 1/2 assuming that no other nation lowers theirs (and if other nations lower theirs, then it will probably be around 2017). In addition, the rest of BRICS are busy increasing their emissions.
    And with kyoto and other nations trying to tie emissions to individuals, rather than to GDP, this will continue to happen. The only way to stop this is to have ALL NATIONS lower their emissions at the same time. In addition, it needs to be tied to GDP, rather than per capitia. Finally, it needs to be based on empirical data, not SWAGs.
    And the only way to make sure that ALL nations work on bringing emissions down is for nations to tax all consumed goods, local and imported, with a tax based on where the good and its parts come from. In addition, ideally, it would include something for the transportation of the item.

    Until that point, emissions WILL rise faster.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  18. Re:ahh we're all going to die by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 5, Informative

    to earn big bucks from climate change, although quite how they earn this money is never spelled out

    Climate Change Is the Next $10 Trillion Opportunity

    While I'm not debating that the climate is changing, let's also not pretend that this is not all about $$$. .

    The article you have linked shows that there are business opportunities created as a result of dealing with climate change. It does not show how climate scientists benefit from the results of their studies going one way or the other, as is often alleged by climate change deniers.

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
  19. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That article was not written by a scientist. It was written by an entrepreneur trying to sell green energy. Money works on both sides.

  20. Re:Cue the global warming wackos! by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    Please supply your (statistically significant) data.

  21. Re:ahh we're all going to die by ApplePy · · Score: 2

    those who think that the scientific community are all conspiring to earn big bucks from climate change,

    Misdirection. Scientists are not the ones looking to cash in -- they are being used by those who are looking to cash in, which is big business.

    although quite how they earn this money is never spelled out.

    Easy. Just look at where Al Gore invests his money. Hopefully I don't have to spell out how to find that information.

    The scientific consensus is that anthropogenic global warming is a fact.

    Things, whether they are in fact true or false, do not become true just because sufficient percentages of people believe them.

    The consensus in Wisconsin might be that the Packers are the best football team, but that doesn't make it fact. It would simply mean that the majority prefer to remain delusional, rather than change their long-held beliefs.

    That is not to suggest that ManBearPig is not real, but it takes more "6 out of 10 scientists believe ManBearPig is real and will kill everyone" to convince the rational mind.

    --
    That I'm right, and you don't like it, doesn't mean I'm a troll.
  22. But...winter! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    But it's cold in North America during the winter! That means that climate change isn't happening!

    WHAT DO YOU MEAN OTHER PLACES HAVE DIFFERENT WEATHER??

    Has anyone told Rush Limbaugh that places other than the USA exist yet? Maybe the shock will kill him and he'll stop promulgating all his climate lies.

    1. Re:But...winter! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because a heat wave during the summer is so unprecedented?

  23. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Great! Maybe we can get the crazy deniers to realise that the economy won't implode if we spend money on something other than oil subsidies.

    $10 trillion worth of jobs? Why isn't everyone piling into that bandwagon?

  24. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

    If you were trying to make money from climate research and looked around to see which side would bring the most bucks, you would come to the conclusion that the global warmist side has the most to offer.

    The grants from government and government-like bodies are in the billions. Oil companies don't spend billions trying to disprove global warming despite what you may think. They can't, it would raise too many alarm bells and draw shareholder ire besides. Last figure I saw was $23 million... a tiny drop in the bucket compared to the money spent trying to prove global warming.

  25. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by snowsnoot · · Score: 1

    China alone emits over 1/3 of all CO2 emissions.

    Agreed, the concept of a nation is irrelevant when it comes to global issues. However, I would be the first to defend the Chinese and the rest who are simply being outsourced by the West to create all our junk. Its still OUR pollution, just because they are the ones getting paid to do it doesn't make it their fault. This is CONSUMER pollution, mostly driven by CAPITALISM. Fix the two problems in caps and our problem will be resolved, in a few thousand years (when the climate goes back to normal).

  26. Fact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The climate is changing precipitously and will continue to accelerate until there is are global level population collapse and/or human extinction, which may eventually solve the issue. There is nothing we will likely be able to do about this due to our social and economic structures and inertia. We can engineer the problem but is just hubris to imagine that engineering will provide a solution.

  27. Re:ahh we're all going to die by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 2

    The consensus in Wisconsin might be that the Packers are the best football team, but that doesn't make it fact. It would simply mean that the majority prefer to remain delusional, rather than change their long-held beliefs.

    Your ability to compare peer reviewed scientific papers to loyalty to sports teams is noted.

    That is not to suggest that ManBearPig is not real, but it takes more "6 out of 10 scientists believe ManBearPig is real and will kill everyone" to convince the rational mind.

    It's a bit more than 6 out of 10. It's more like 13,926 out of 13,950. And it's not about "belief." It's about reaching a conclusion after rigorous research.

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
  28. "While we can't blame climate change" - LOL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Which they want you to take as meaning "While we can't blame catastrophic man-made global warming"...

    Gee... I wonder why they used the laughable, catch-all term 'climate change'. I wonder why they stopped using the term 'catastrophic man-made global warming'...

    Could it possibly be because, like almost ALL 'scientists' nowadays, they are a bunch of fraudsters, whose jobs depend on coming up with more and more scare stories?

    www.climatedepot.com

  29. Isn't it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Climate change is just a change in climate. so if its hitting hotter or colder, its climate change.... Is the council not sure if the temp is changing? Dose the council even know what they are talking about? Or do they mean global warming or man-made global warming? all 3 are different. climate change happens constantly, global warming is a natural cycle. man-made global warming has never been proven yet.

  30. Where's the money? by King_TJ · · Score: 1, Insightful

    While I don't even consider myself among the "deniers" ... I think you have to be going around with a big, thick blindfold on, if you really believe the "pro climate change" researchers aren't getting some money out of it.

    The federal government wants to push climate change as its platform to encourage all sorts of initiatives, and to do so, it needs the backing of numerous scientific studies. Most researchers sustain themselves largely based on government grants. Even NASA has been a big climate change proponent in recent years, vs. focusing on the space travel projects we traditionally associate with it. Why do you think THAT is? All the funding cutbacks in space exploration mean they need to find something else to do that IS funded, or else they vanish.

    1. Re:Where's the money? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even NASA has been a big climate change proponent in recent years, vs. focusing on the space travel projects we traditionally associate with it. Why do you think THAT is? All the funding cutbacks in space exploration mean they need to find something else to do that IS funded, or else they vanish.

      You just hit on why so many reasonably intelligent people believe AGW without question. Hero worship. NASA was the great place for great scientists. NASA broke through the sky and went so far as to get frail squishy humans safely off to the moon and safely back to this wet rock. So many had dreams of either being an astronaut or being part of the ground control that supports them.
      It's hard enough to accept that manned missions have been turned over to Russia, so whatever NASA is doing now must be even bigger, right? Well, NASA is being gutted, and one of the few things people can point to is this one guy who has total control of the global temperature dataset...

    2. Re:Where's the money? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? NASA in my experience is treated with contempt, and they don't even realize that the manned launches are nearly irrelevant and are simply a matter of budgetary choice, but instead freak out hysterically over it.

    3. Re:Where's the money? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and fossil fuel companies tens of billions of dollars a year pulling ancient carbon up and venting it into the atmosphere

      THAT is the profit motive to fight the ideas of global warming, and probably the funding of a good number of trolls here

    4. Re:Where's the money? by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 2

      And spaceflight requires you to subscribe to the theory that the Earth is not flat. Point...?

      --
      Drill baby drill - on Mars
    5. Re:Where's the money? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Even NASA has been a big climate change proponent in recent years, vs. focusing on the space travel projects we traditionally associate with it.

      NASA has always been involved in the analysis of the data their space exploration produces including many satellites that face the Earth. The Goddard Institute for Space Studies where most of NASA's climate research is centered was established in 1961. James Hansen became head of the GISS in 1981. So I don't think "recent years" is a particularly accurate characterization.

    6. Re:Where's the money? by mjwx · · Score: 3, Insightful

      While I don't even consider myself among the "deniers" ... I think you have to be going around with a big, thick blindfold on, if you really believe the "pro climate change" researchers aren't getting some money out of it.

      And how much money is flowing to the climate change deniers? Follow that money.

      You'll find it dwarfs climate research grants significantly. If you think it's all a giant conspiracy to get money into the hands of researchers, you really need to up your medication because that's bordering on the paranoid delusional.

      Besides this, money going to scientists doing real science is to produce accurate results. Only the money going to climate change deniers is being used to blatantly make stuff up.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  31. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They are working on it. We are digging up coal, oil and gas at faster rate than any time in history. And thanks opposition to clean, baseload like nuclear, this trend is just going to continue until we either turn Earth to Venus, or we run out of stuff to dig up.

    http://www.worldcoal.org/resources/coal-statistics/

    Coal provides around 30% of global primary energy needs, generates 41% of the world's electricity and is used in the production of 70% of the world's steel.

    Total Global Coal Production

            * 7831Mt (2012e)
            * 7608Mt (2011)
            * 4677 (1990)

    Almost doubled since end of Cold War.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Global_Carbon_Emissions.svg

    Now, everyone say thank you to Greenpeace for fucking up the future for thousands of years with their opposition to nuclear power. Part of the carbon problem is squarely on their shoulders.

  32. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > Its still OUR pollution

    Exactly. The CONservatives in the USA control and rule over China. They have complete control so they bear complete responsibility for all of the pollution in China since they're the ones that control the government of China which controls the people of China. The type of government China has now is the Randesque style that they pray to their invisible man in the sky to bring to the USA.

  33. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    They already sell plug-in diesel electric trucks in Canada.

    Why are you subsidizing the Middle East?

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  34. Re:ahh we're all going to die by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

    While I'm not debating that the climate is changing, let's also not pretend that this is not all about $$$.

    When the Maldives or New Orleans is underwater, in part because of climate change, people die needlessly. When the heat makes formerly arable land into desert, people starve. When formerly great sources of water dry up, people dehydrate and die.

    So it's not all about money. It's partially about money: It's expensive to actually do something significant about climate change, and easier for the people in power to simply let the people without power die than it is to pay for fixing the problem.

    --
    I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  35. Precipitation seems to have moved north by mc6809e · · Score: 4, Informative

    Interior Australia seems to be suffering a terrible drought while Northern Australia is being inundated.

    Australia: Percent of Normal Precipitation

    1. Re:Precipitation seems to have moved north by bloodhawk · · Score: 2

      Interior Australia seems to be suffering a terrible drought while Northern Australia is being inundated.

      Australia: Percent of Normal Precipitation

      This is pretty normal in Australia, Interior of Australia has a long history of 4+ year droughts every decade or 2 then we get summers with insane levels of rainfall flooding everything, Australia rarely does things by the averages, it is usually one extreme or the other. I grew up on Australian farm. I vividly remember the long drought in the 80's and my father refers to that as a moderate one compared to what he had in the 60's and 70's. We have photos of our farm as a dust bowl in 30's as well, something my father hasn't even seen it get as bad as.

    2. Re:Precipitation seems to have moved north by tlhIngan · · Score: 1

      This is pretty normal in Australia, Interior of Australia has a long history of 4+ year droughts every decade or 2 then we get summers with insane levels of rainfall flooding everything, Australia rarely does things by the averages, it is usually one extreme or the other. I grew up on Australian farm. I vividly remember the long drought in the 80's and my father refers to that as a moderate one compared to what he had in the 60's and 70's. We have photos of our farm as a dust bowl in 30's as well, something my father hasn't even seen it get as bad as.

      In other words, the Australians will inherit the earth.

      Because they're used to the extremes, and the thing climate change does is make extreme weather even more extreme. Winters get colder. Summers get hotter. But there'll be brief respites where you'll get a hot summer week in the middle of winter, or a cold wintry spell in the middle of summer (with snow).

      It doesn't warm evenly, it just gets wilder, and only the Australians have been used to it.

  36. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by gmuslera · · Score: 1

    Is not just CO2, there are more greenhouse gases and other affecting factors like i.e. deforestation. Check this map on countries contributing to climate change. The elephant in the room is US, comfortably first with 0.151C, then comes far China with 0.063 and Russia with 0.059.

  37. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.viamotors.com/

    Built in Utah, bought by Coke, Fed Ex, and UPS among others.

  38. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

    Most of the oil used in the US comes from the US. The second largest source? Canada.

    Why are you producing so much oil if it's so bad?

  39. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by jeffmflanagan · · Score: 2

    It's their fault that they're choosing to destroy their country to enrich capitalists by selling us trinkets. We don't have guns at their backs. They choose to not have the environmental enforcement that we have here. Watch out, the current nutso crop of Republicans want to do the same here. Rand Paul loves a race to the bottom.

  40. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

    To melt all the damn ice?

    --
    There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
  41. funny isn't it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    they keep citing that a previous such event of near or equivalent intensity hadn't occurred in 100 years
    no really. go look through various news articles: cyclones, hurricanes, heatwaves, flooding
    in the last 5 years they keep citing these extreme events haven't been seen in the last 100 years
    so exactly what happened in 1900 +/- 10 that is similar to what we're doing in ~2000 +/- 10?

    as far as i can tell, absolutely nothing is on the same scale. we've got a significantly higher population, producing significanlty more carbon from fossil fuels, and are ripping down trees like we're giving the earth a buzz cut. yet somehow the climate is apparently behaving the same. you know, it's almost like this kind of thing is cyclical.

    i wonder what we'd find if we scan newspaper records from roughly 100 years ago (the last time these extreme events happned)
    i can't voucher for the accuracy of newspaper reporting and scientific measurement records from around 200 years ago
    but who wants to bet that in 1900 +/- 10, they wouldn't have seen such events since, oh i don't know, 1800 +/- 10

  42. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 2

    On behalf of Canada, the answer's simple: our government has been hijacked by Bush-era conservatives. (And I do mean "hijacked": see this and this.) A lot of people here are vehemently upset about new petroleum fuel extraction developments.

    --
    Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
  43. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When the Maldives or New Orleans is underwater, in part because of climate change, people die needlessly. When the heat makes formerly arable land into desert, people starve. When formerly great sources of water dry up, people dehydrate and die.

    Really?

    In your scenario above, the sea level must suddenly rise several meters all at once. Normal people walk away from water that is rising fractions of a millimeter per year.

    In your scenario above, the land has to suddenly turn into desert, and a lot of it all at once, and other formerly non-arable land all has to remain that way. Don't let the fact that the earth was a *greener* place when CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere were higher make you think any differently, though!

    In your scenario above, the water just seems to vanish. Congratulations, you've managed to find out how to destroy matter without converting into energy, instead of assuming that it evaporates and comes back down as rain somewhere else.

    It seems that global warming is occurring; however, your non-sensical ideas as to what happens when GW occurs contributes to the confusion and problems people have discussing it.

  44. Hottest in 100 years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hottest in the last 100 years, soooo it was hotter more than 100 years ago, before cars and all had a chance to heat everything up.

  45. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by bunratty · · Score: 1

    Exactly. Tax fuels according to how much carbon they contain, and tax imports according to how much fossil fuels the nations they come from emit. Then the free market will do the rest: develop more energy sources that don't emit carbon dioxide and produce more energy efficient products.

    --
    What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  46. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I'm sure that not all of Canada agrees with you. It's a polarizing issue to say the least. Many Canadians also believe people on the left over estimate the environmental impact of Canadian oil production when compared to the environmental impact of oil production in the middle east. How much CO2 does a hellfire missle release wen used in the middle east to help secure stable oil supply? How much CO2 is released simply to transport tankers from the middle east, across the Atlantic to reach the refineries in Quebec? How many people died in the middle east to secure our oil supply. I for one prefer the ethics of oil from Canada. Fewer people needed to die for me to drive to get the fuel I need to drive to work in the morning.

  47. Re:ahh we're all going to die by akgooseman · · Score: 1

    Um, HAARP has been shut down. It may open again. Maybe. Someday.

  48. Re:ahh we're all going to die by sycodon · · Score: 1

    Nearly $2 Billion conservatively speaking. $77 billion from FY2008 through FY2013.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  49. Total BS. by WindBourne · · Score: 2
    Read how that was done.
    First, it is supposed to be based on historical data from 1906-2005. It is not based on previous data or on CURRENT data.

    IT'S a chart that no one wants to top, but global warming's worst offenders, in absolute terms, are the US, China, Russia, Brazil, India, Germany and the UK. New calculations suggest that these nations are responsible for more than 60 per cent of the global warming between 1906 and 2005.

    Basically, they cherry picked a small period of time. The fact that they stopped at 2005 is even more telling. Since 2005, US's emissions have dropped, while ALL of BRICS have gone way up.
    Heck, here is a better map that shows more CURRENT data. It came from CO2. In this case, it shows 2008's. What is truely wicked is that China has been going up 10-15% EACH YEAR for the last 10 years.

    Secondly, Europe out did America in coal emissions for centuries. In fact, they emitted more CO2 UNTIL 1998 when suddenly, they started downwards. In fact, even the UK says that they are the global historical cause of climate change.
    Third, check out the following 2 reports:
    Here and Here.
    What do you see?
    That the west, esp. USA, is dropping their emissions, but china alone, emits more each year that destroys those savings. IOW, China is increasing faster than what the entire west can cut. This does NOT include other nations.

    So, if you really were the least bit honest, you will get off the high horse and realize that we are in this together. Either all nations work together on this, or we all sink. And if USA takes the same approach that EU took, it will actually RAISE emissions, not lower them. It is EU's racism against China that keeps them from moving more work to there. And sadly, American businesses have taken a non-responsibility approach to issues, so they go on over to China, while ignoring the fact that China is cheating on everything.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Total BS. by mathew42 · · Score: 1

      That the west, esp. USA, is dropping their emissions, but china alone, emits more each year that destroys those savings. IOW, China is increasing faster than what the entire west can cut. This does NOT include other nations.

      What happens when you use a per head of population metric? A http://io9.com/this-map-shows-which-countries-are-contributing-the-mos-1502047155 ranks Australia as low, but our population is 22.7million (0.33%). Compare that with China (1.351 billion = 19.1%) or USA (317.5 million = 4.45%).

    2. Re:Total BS. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      And was I showed earlier, that is a total BS study. It picks data from 1906-2005. Yet, since 2005, America has cut our emissions clear back to early 1990's level, while China is doubled and is now emitting 1/3 of the CO2 emissions (and that does not include the rest of GHG which emits even more).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  50. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A lot of people here are vehemently upset about new petroleum fuel extraction developments.

    ...but not too upset to cash the paychecks and enjoy the economic boom, then?

  51. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    I agree. In fact, for the last 6 years, America has dropped our emissions to early 1990 levels. OTOH, China has DOUBLED theirs (which is why they are at 33% of all CO2 emissions).
    AE can help, but it can NOT replace it all. We need nukes, esp. thorium. It is insane to not have it.

    But, I will say that greenpeace and others on the far left are fucking up, by choosing to ignore BRIC and other nations, thinking that they will simply stop their emissions, or that these are cleaner. Nothing could be further from the truth. These nations will continue to increase, and these new plants will exists for more than 60 years. Even if the west stops 100% of our emissions, BRIC nation will continue to grow and this will continue.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  52. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    no, it is not. China has one of the WORST emission / $GDP. Over the last 5 years, they have improved and managed to move from the 3rd from the bottom up to 7 from the bottom. Note that America is around the middle so, around 90 from the bottom.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  53. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    not fuels. GOODS.
    By taxing all goods that we consume, then it puts all nations on an equal footing. And once we start taxing our own products, local companies will push local govs/utilities to change their ways.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  54. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

    As the other AC rightly noted, it's a divisive issue. "A lot" doesn't mean everyone!

    --
    Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
  55. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by khallow · · Score: 1

    However, I would be the first to defend the Chinese and the rest who are simply being outsourced by the West to create all our junk. Its still OUR pollution, just because they are the ones getting paid to do it doesn't make it their fault.

    I think we'll have to get past this bullshit guilt tripping some day. China isn't going to decrease its pollution because the West buys less of its junk. It'll do so because it is in its interests to do so. You should ask why that isn't the case now.

  56. Re:Quick! or 160 mpg trucks by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

    These are all entirely fair points. I think most of the people who stand against the tar sands tend to be focused on eliminating fossil fuel dependence as much as possible, though, so they would say it's moot. I think.

    --
    Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
  57. Is it just me? by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

    There used to be a science based majority on /. but these days anything on climate science brings out mostly libertarian deniers-by-other-means. No there is no scientific debate.

    1. Re:Is it just me? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Dealing with global warming requires change... in this case using forms of energy other than fossil fuels. And people are scared by change, so they try to deny that they need to change to make themselves feel comfortable. In this state, they simply cannot be calm and rational, because they feel threatened by the impending change. They lash out and cling onto any excuse they can, no matter how flimsy. It called denialism. As you point out, it's clearly demonstrated with just about any Slashdot story that mentions the weather these days. It just shows how terrified some people are of the change.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:Is it just me? by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      There was a good discussion on reddit the other day.
      1. Uninformed/stupid people who believe the propaganda
      2. Cognitive dissonance
      3. Christian extremists
      4. People who only believe in money and don't give a crap about the science (IOW "the market will fix it when necessary")
      That was pretty much the outcome.

    3. Re:Is it just me? by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      You have ignored psychopathy. People who believe in nothing but their own ego and lusts, to the point that other human beings are not real like they are but are just things like furniture to be used and abused. No denialism, they know what is happening, they just don't give a fuck because as long as they are on top and are winning that is all they care about and the rest of you can just all go piss off and die.

      They pay people, well, pathetic losers to troll forums, troll media, troll the world with any lies that well benefit them in any way possible, there is a whole industry "Public Relations PR=B$" devoted to bullshit that sells.

      So long as they generate profits by polluting, they'll pay liars to say they are not polluting, the pollution doesn't exist, the pollution is a lie and of course the pollution is good for them (for when the other lies fail).

      Want real change, then the core of decision making needs to change, we need to take those psychopaths out of the decision making chain and until we do, expect more of the same insane psychopathic results.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
  58. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by InfiniteLoopCounter · · Score: 3, Informative

    The parent post is correct, but Greenpeace does not dictate government policy in Australia.

    Australia has 31% of the world's uranium reservers (the world's largest) and has in recent years declined production slightly (probably due to Germany's and Japan's 'efforts' that increase greenhouse gas emissions across Europe and Japan). Australia does not use nuclear power for energy generation or for military use or for icebreakers or any use other than ANSTO (small research lab that produces radioisotopes for medical use).

    Australia could have gone nuclear ages ago, but didn't. Similarly to how it cut space research and plans to build rocket launch platforms, it is a country of little physics achievements that haven't been done by overseas people. The problem is that is also a county full of coal, and with other countries running out of coal, it might well be the place for coal globally over the next 50 years if policy doesn't change domestically.

    Already the highest greehouse gas emitting OECD country in the world in the future if the coal extractions can be seen large from space (like tar pits in Canada) then it might become the biggest contributing country to global warming on a global scale indirectly (due to use of its coal and nonuse of uranium, not to mention thorium).

  59. Report is from a crowd funded organisation by RobHart · · Score: 4, Informative

    As a slightly different slant on this troll rousing topic, it is worth noting a few things.
    1) Per capita, Australia is the worlds highest emitter of greenhouse gases as we use mostly coal to generate electricity. Furthermore, we are one of the worlds largest coal miners/exporters and so contribute significantly to global CO2 production elsewhere.
    2) In September, Australia elected a new government that is predominantly in the hands of climate change deniers. The Prime Minister (Tony Abbott) is on the public record saying that climate change is "crap" (http://blogs.abc.net.au/victoria/2009/12/climate-change-is-crap-tony-abbot-said-to-the-pyrenees-advocate.html). Amongst the new government's first acts was to defund the Climate Commission (along with several other "green" initiatives of previous governments). They are also committed to repealing the existing Carbon Tax legislation, but cannot (yet) force this through the upper house (Senate) which they do not control.
    3) In response to its defunding, the Climate Commission reformed itself as the Climate Council, raising around $1 million in under two weeks. Whilst not big bikkies in US terms, this is extremely significant in a small population country like Australia that demonstrates that many Australians feel very strongly about climate change - strongly enough to not only make a one off donation but to commit to regular, monthly donations to support the ongoing public information work of the Climate Council.

    From their "about" page http://www.climatecouncil.org.au/about-us/
    "The Climate Council is an independent non-profit organisation funded by donations by the public. Our mission is to provide authoritative, expert advice to the Australian public on climate change."

  60. Financial Incentive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The article you have linked shows that there are business opportunities created as a result of dealing with climate change. It does not show how climate scientists benefit from the results of their studies going one way or the other, as is often alleged by climate change deniers.

    I'll try to keep it simple.

    If there were no attention getting headlines due to the imminent and certain disaster that is climate change, there would be no interest/need/funding for studies on the matter and a whole lot of climate scientists would be out of work. Their employment would cease! Who's going ot provide funding for; 'global temperatures cycle up and down by several degrees every few millennia'? Nobody, because it's uninteresting.

    The very livelihoods of the climate scientists depend on the drama that they are peddling. Without the drama they would all be applying for positions as TV weather girls. Most fortunately for us those positions are filled only with attractive women. Can you imagine the horror of most of these climate scientist types shaking it for the camera?

    1. Re:Financial Incentive by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 1

      Would you fucking dickheads get it into your thick skulls that climate and weather are not the same thing? Jesus H Christ! I learned this in high school geography class when I was 11 years old! What's taking you so long, you knuckle-dragging idiot?

      --
      Drill baby drill - on Mars
  61. Re:ahh we're all going to die by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Now, tell me how much of that money went into climate scientists pockets rather than paying for expensive instrumentation (launching satellites anyone?), super computer time, data collection and correlation?

  62. Congrats - you've caught up to grade ten in school by dbIII · · Score: 1

    For example, turning arid land into farmland lowers its albedo and increases moisture content of the air, both which contribute to local heating and retention of heat

    You are more of a century too late on that one - such stuff was studied in South Australia by the scientists researching climate there. We teach that in school history since it's something that inspired polar explorers such as Mawson and Wilkins.
    Things like that are general knowledge for many people with high school levels of science and history. You are going to have to work on your silly GOTCHA points that are supposed to prove that somebody with nothing but a casual interest knows far more than an entire field of science.

  63. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by Kjella · · Score: 2

    And with kyoto and other nations trying to tie emissions to individuals, rather than to GDP, this will continue to happen. The only way to stop this is to have ALL NATIONS lower their emissions at the same time. In addition, it needs to be tied to GDP, rather than per capitia.

    Great, I love it. My country only has about 5 million people so by GDP we should be about to pollute about 60 times as much as the US per capita with its 300 million. I really look forward to the US in total producing about 1/200th (approximate number of states recognized by the UN) of the world's CO2 emissions. Give me gas guzzlers, screw any restrictions on industry and taxes, levies and fees because we're home free baby. Oh wait, did you only want to apply that against bigger countries as China and India? My bad.

    I've never understood the moral basis of why it should be measured by GDP and not by capita, what right does an American have to pollute more than me, or anyone else for that matter? And for that matter, I know my carbon footprint is way above the world average but I don't claim to have any moral right to it. I simply have the money to spend on a lifestyle that's more polluting than the people trying to life off a dollar or two a day, the world's not fair and I'm not claiming that it is.

    If seven billion people had my lifestyle, the Earth would collapse. I know that, you seem to be in denial about that. That is not to say I try to be an environmental swine, but I like my car. I like going on long distance vacations. I like my large heated (replace with AC if you're down south) apartment, I like my appliances and gizmos and gadgets that all draw power. Trying to cement a situation where the people who polluted first and most get to keep polluting most is probably not very productive. At least I'd say fuck you, first you're the worst of the lot and then you get to reap benefits from it? No wonder China is giving you the finger.

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  64. Re:Cue the global warming wackos! by anchovy_chekov · · Score: 1

    You might want come up with a better term than "sheeple" - it makes you come across like a group-think zombie.

  65. Yet somehow.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cold snaps are also caused by climate change? So every type of weather is caused by climate change. Absurd. Climate change is religion, not science.

  66. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    The question is not one of morals when it comes to GDP vs. sq acres vs capita. It is a question of what CAUSES the CO2. China has had a fairly stable population for the last 20 years. Yet, their emissions has doubled. Why? Because it is tied to their GDP. The same is true of EVERY nation.

    The idea of tying CO2 emissions to per capitia explains why idiots like you are causing this nightmare. You scream that it should be per capitia without understanding that emissions are NOT tied to ppl. They are tied manufacturing. Simple as that. Yet, you idiots will block nuke power, scream that the largest emitter of greenhouse is good, and then scream that the nation that has droppped the most over the last 5 years, is total scum.
    In the end, if we give over the edge, it will not be due to the idiots in the tea* or neo-cons that scream that climate change is not happening. It will be due to idiots like you that scream that you want it it your way, without any logic behind it.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  67. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    exactly. Heck, they are now about to convert coal into methane. Interestingly, they have already indicated that they will simply dump the CO2 and other pollutants into the air. The reason why China is doing this is to move their pollution from being by the cities to being in the rural area to the west. So, now, they will rain a LOT more mercury, lead, uranium, etc onto their crops.

    With the tax, it would be possible to get every nation to take long-term steps rather than short-term like most of BRICS is doing.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  68. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by shikaisi · · Score: 3

    What's with all the China-bashing? A nation with 1.35 billion people to feed and clothe has to get it's energy from somewhere. Not to mention all the products they are manufacturing for you in the West.

    % of electricity generated from renewable sources

    China 17.88% USA 10 .05%

    The Chinese government is promoting huge projects for investment in solar, wind and hydro.

    I'm not saying they are innocent, but at least they seem to be trying to do something.

    --
    No left turn unstoned.
  69. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    BTW, you really need to google for 'wiki GDP'. You obviously have no clue of what you are talking about.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  70. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    lets try again on this.
    China is NOT building much in way of renewable. In fact, coal has been 78-80% of their electricity for over 20 years.
    In fact, China's plan is to have 80% of their NEW power plants for the next 10 years will run coal. They are stepping up the nat. gas plants, but almost all of that will come from coal=>methane via a very inefficient process.
    Now, China is talking about more AE and nukes, but only if they produce them. They do not want them, unless they own the technology.
    This is a dangerous approach.

    But, it all gets worse. They have scrubbers on these plants, but they do NOT run them. Why? Because it increases the costs of the electricity. So, they will not do so.

    One last thing. I have an ex-gf that does air monitoring. Her group went to China and was allowed to monitor anywhere around the nation, except that they could NOT write up about it. Basically, the data was to be turned over to Chinese gov. This was done without any gov. interference. Normally, when environmental scientists come in, Chinese gov. will play with output to control the results. Turns out that things are MUCH worse than is generally known. All of those SWAGS that everybody is doing is based on honesty by govs. China is apparently NOT being honest.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  71. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    BTW, the manufacturing of products for the west is a joke. The fact is, that China is doing this not to feed their nation, but as part of a cold war. But the real issue is that China is doing it as cheaply as possible, as quickly as possible, and without a care in the world about the true costs. That is why their nation is only partially capitalist.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  72. Just as well the sun is shutting down it's spots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    for the next 50 years or so.

    It could give Earth 10 to 20 years of reduced warming, enough time for technologies that can really make a difference to come on line at a scale that will have an impact.

    This may have been the trigger, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mat4dWpszoQ

  73. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3

    To be fair to China they are working on dealing with the problem too. They lead the world in some forms of renewable energy and are building new nuclear plants. Their country is growing rapidly and they see how the west polluted as it did so, and so are unwilling to give up the same opportunity.

    It's not as simple as China not caring or not making any effort, it's just that they are only now getting the skills and technology needed to be cleaner. Pollution is a big deal in China and they are making efforts to sort it out, but obviously it is going to take time and economic growth is running at 10% a year.

    What we need to do is encourage them as much as possible, and develop new technologies with them in order to help. None of this treating China like the enemy that automatically steals all our tech. Aside from anything else we need to have clean tech become extremely cheap and widely available before Africa really starts to boom.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  74. Payback by Anonymousekiteer · · Score: 1

    when you return desperate immigrants back to their pathetic lives and refuse to take them in or even sink their boats at see or register them at a wild outpost with no food or shelter THEN you deserve this revenge by Nature

  75. Sorry dont trust any climate alarmist. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is this a case of "when it gets colder it means its really getting warmer type logic" that the climate alarmists are trying to fool all the people out there - such stupid things to try to fake their way out of their leftist agenda driven hoaxes???

    SO no -- too many lies and too many lies to explain that the lies werent lies.after they were caught at it.

  76. Of course! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's called "summer."

  77. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    The fact that China has had 80% of their electricty come from coal for the last 20 years AND that they plan to continue that trend, says that they are doing little to NOTHING.
    In fact, the majority of money that has been spent on solar and wind has been about stealing the manufacturing from the west and gutting them.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  78. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Indeed, it wasn't until the Soviet Union fell that Russian solar facilities were demolished and replaced with coal burning.

  79. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I believe that murder is good, the more people we murder the better we are, and people like being murdered. so what if all the research shows that people being murdered dont like it, and that it has a negative effect on society. they are all wrong. I must therefore assume that all those "anti-murder" people are making money off their wacky position. while i, as a bastion of truth, get no financial gain.
    sincerely, smith and wesson inc.

  80. Climate change & differential calculus by cundare · · Score: 1

    You hear this argument every friggin' time there's a "hottest since..." record set. The best variation is, "Records are always being set. One record doesn't mean a thing." My response? When was the last time you heard of a record being set, anywhere in the world, for the coldest year of average temperatures on record. Another way to say the same thing: record highs and record lows, sure, still occur all the time. But consider the first derivative -- how has the ratio between the two changed? There's your trend.

  81. Because GAY Marriage by 12WTF$ · · Score: 1

    It's not global warming, at least not caused by our burning BILLIONS of tones of fossil fuels.
    Simply, it's all God's fault for being such a homophobic sociopathetic but supreme being

    A UKIP councillor has blamed the recent storms and heavy floods across Britain on the Government's decision to legalise gay marriage.
    David Silvester said the Prime Minister had acted "arrogantly against the Gospel".

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-oxfordshire-25793358

    --
    Cryonics - Keep cool and carry on.
  82. Re:And it will continue until ALL nations work on by volmtech · · Score: 1

    Yes, with a few $trillion more research dollars we can develop a perfect battery, cold fusion, cure AIDS and the common cold. Dream on. Even a WW2 total war, everyone sacrifices, kill everyone who opposes approach will not work. But you're itching to try, right? The only thing that will come close to working is the kill (almost) everyone part.

  83. Re:ahh we're all going to die by samwichse · · Score: 1

    It's a bit more than 6 out of 10. It's more like 13,926 out of 13,950

    This reminds me of Dumb and Dumber.

    "So you're saying there's a chance!"

  84. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Apuleius · · Score: 1

    those who think that the scientific community are all conspiring to earn big bucks from climate change,

    Misdirection. Scientists are not the ones looking to cash in -- they are being used by those who are looking to cash in, which is big business.

    So the scientists aren't pulling a con on us.
    So they're right to tell us that CO2 warms the earth, and that warming makes the earth less hospitable to humanity.

    Even if they are being used by malign interests, so fucking what?

  85. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Apuleius · · Score: 1

    If you were trying to make money from climate research and looked around to see which side would bring the most bucks, you would come to the conclusion that the global warmist side has the most to offer.

    Bullshit. Complete and utter bullshit.

    First off, grant money from mainstream science organizations isn't handed with no questions asked. It's spent on gear (climate scientists neeed computers), and on tuition for the grad students.

    But, if you're willing to lie about climate change, the deniers will pay you literally $5K an hour to go to a podium and deny. (Heartland Institute;s going rate)

  86. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

    First off, grant money from mainstream science organizations isn't handed with no questions asked. It's spent on gear (climate scientists neeed computers), and on tuition for the grad students.

    Yes of course that's true. But wait, what do you think the research funded by industry is like? The scientists buy diamond rings and go cruising on a private luxury yacht? No, researchers funded by industry spend their money on exactly the same things that researchers funded by government do.

    I wasn't saying the climate change researchers are out to make obscene millions of dollars for themselves. However the fact is that they need grant money flowing in or they do not exist as researchers. It's either get grants and have a nice position at the university and pay your interns and staff and buy nice equipment, or... go teach high school. And the biggest source of grant money is gov't by far, not oil industry.

  87. Now this is a knife! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Throw some more shrimp on the barbie mate!!!

    -z

  88. Re: And it will continue until ALL nations work on by snowsnoot · · Score: 1

    Well you can lead a horse to water but you cant make it drink. The growth in China is fed by Western manufacturing demands. They're not innovators, theyre a lowest bidder manufacturer. Take away their economy by onshoring or giving the work to other nations who will do it while adhering to environmental standards. Whenwe buy from WalMart we are only adding to the problem. Not enough value placed on the environment thats translates into costs of goods, i.e. something manufactured in China should be double the cost due to their poor environmental practices.

  89. Re: And it will continue until ALL nations work on by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    That is why I suggest that we tax ALL GOODS that we consume.
    First off, it forces all nations to participate. This is key. The idea of treating all nations differently, is allowing businesses to control the situation.
    Secondly, it needs to be based on REAL data, not fake data. As such, it should be done by sats looking downward and tracking CO2 (and any other GHG possible) that flows into a nation, as well as out.
    Third, it should be based on emissions / $ of GDP. Note that it must be real $ of GDP, not $ of GDP (PPP). The later is a calculation that will allow a nation like CHina or India to devalue their money, and make things appear better. So, by making it real $ of GDP, then if they increase the value of their money, it will allow more pollution, but hurt them on the costs of the good.
    Fourth, the tax needs to start low and continue upwards over a period of time. Most importantly, it must be known that it will increase.
    Fifth, there should be a costs for distance. After all, there is a real pollution costs on this.
    Finally, it needs to be not just to the good, but to the parts as well (which makes this harder).

    We need to give societies time to do the right things, but to make sure that ALL of their long range planning is the right way. The issue is not who did the pollution over time. The issue is who is doing the pollution NOW. In the past, nobody knew. Now, we all know. Heck, one of the issue with Kyoto was that we wanted the west to be back to mid 90's level. America did not join kyoto, yet, we are now at early 90's levels and dropping. BUT, this will not matter while nations like CHina double. And obviously, watching Germany and Japan walk away from nuke power plants is going to make things harder. And the logic that other nations should be allowed to pollute when they KNOW the situation is the wrong answer.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  90. Re:ahh we're all going to die by Apuleius · · Score: 1

    " But wait, what do you think the research funded by industry is like? The scientists buy diamond rings and go cruising on a private luxury yacht? "

    Research grants from the private sector do tend to be looser, but in the context of climate change, deniers are not getting grants to do research.

    They're getting paid to write propaganda. And that comes with no strings attached, at all.

  91. Green Wall of China by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

    China's emissions growth is slowing, as it has implemented its own carbon trading scheme and started cleaning up the worst-polluting of its power plants.

    Additionally, China has planted over 500,000 square km of trees in the north, as a desertification barrier and carbon sink. This is the largest artificial forest in the world (twice the size of Britain), and they plan to continue increasing this through to 2050.

    Little known fact: It is a legal requirement for all Chinese over the age of eleven to plant at least three trees a year.

    --
    Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    1. Re:Green Wall of China by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      and that is total BS.
      1) China's CO2 emissions will be shown to be at 33% of the world's total.
      2) China is closing down old coal plants, and opening 'nat gas'/methane plants instead. BUT, the issue is that they are increasing the coal being dug, and converting to methane. The reason is to drop the large particles, so*, etc. However, their means of converting is not only inefficient, but, they will be dumping the CO2 direct to the air.
      3) china's planting has nothing to do with Co2. It has everything to do with stopping the desertification that has been occurring.
      4) China's own plans do NOT call for slowing down their emissions. In fact, over the next 10 years, the will continue to open 2 new coal plants EACH MONTH. China's own plan's call for China's electricity to be 80% coal by 2030. 5) China's AE plans has nothing to do with changing their power, but about stopping the west from manufacturing these items.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Green Wall of China by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      I think you need some citations. And if you're going to declare a post "total BS", perhaps your rebuttals should be on point? Kinda like this:

      1) China "will be"? UN says 28.6%, not quite "over 1/3" as you originally said.
      2) China is indeed focusing on reducing pollution, but they're also cutting coal consumption, not just consuming it differently. They're using GreatPoint's catalytic hydromethanation process of coal gasification, and the CO2 produced is captured, not released.
      3) Primarily stopping desertification as I said, but 500,000,000 hectares of fast-growing trees are a not-insignificant CO2 absorber, as the Chinese are quick to point out.
      4) China's top climate negotiator said that China has pledged to cut its carbon intensity by 40-45% by 2020 from 2005 levels. Coal plants are no longer being approved in polluted provinces like Beijing, and their nuclear power program is one of the most ambitious programs in the world.
      5) Huh?

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    3. Re:Green Wall of China by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      1) that was 2012, which was 2 years ago. 2013 just ended, but early estimates show China over 33%.
      2) re-read what it says. They are looking to cut their smog and will cut coal consumption in the worst smog regions. It does NOT say that the nation will cut coal consumption. In addition, the chinese gov. stole GPE's tech, BUT, one company is working with them so as they can manufacture pre-made plants and sell them elsewhere.
      3) and yet, it absorbs less than 1% of 1% of what they generate.
      4) China makes MANY MANY promises. For example, they have a treaty with Japan that says that they will put pollution control on all of their plants. Sadly, Japan forget to require China to turn them on. FEW of the coal plants actually run pollution control. Then look at the deal that Clinton and WTF made with China. In 2005, they were suppose to allow their money to be free market. In addition, their 90 tariffs were to go to less than 20. They are now close to 500 tariffs. China makes MANY MANY promises, and regularly break them. As it is, their plans leave no doubt that they have ZERO chance of dropping their emissions at all by 2020. In fact, by 2022, it is expected that China will account for 1/2 of all emissions that man has EVER DONE.
      5) Other than hydro, China's AE plans are not about increasing their own. It is first about taking it from the west and then doing it local. They do not want to buy anything from the west.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Green Wall of China by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Thanks; still looking for citations though, esp. for 1) and 3).

      2) From my link:

      As a major measure to improve energy and economic structure, the plan aims to cut coal consumption in the total energy mix to below 65 per cent by 2017, down from 66.8 per cent in 2012.

      ... which is admittedly not that significant, but it's also not "increasing the coal being dug" as you claimed (at least not relatively).
      4) Agree that China's promises are not exactly iron-clad, but unless you have a reliable citation that says the opposite, as you claim, then we have to go with their publicly stated position. I see no reason to accept your opinion over their "top climate negotiator".
      5) Still not sure where you're going with the locally-made AE point. Everything here indicates they're moving away from coal and increasing their nuclear, natural gas, hydro etc.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  92. RE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're asking for someone to tell you how climate science works. Why don't you just copy and paste your question into google? Stop being ignorant and go do some reading. I'm not saying I even understand it fully, but I know it's not as simple as you put it. If I had mod points, I'd mod your post troll because it honestly sounds like you're baiting for a response just like this one.

    We could all stand to learn more about the science and not have our own terribly uneducated opinions. Peer reviewed journals are a great place for some reading. The math will probably be over your head, but if you read the papers, you can usually get a grasp on the basics of what they're doing. My personal field of interest is astronomy, so I don't know how the climate papers read, but I'm sure they are at least as legible as astronomical texts.

    Some of them require that you have a subscription, but most of the local libraries and some community colleges will have public access to libraries of journals and even sometimes a web portal to those services.