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Numerous Methane Leaks Found On Atlantic Sea Floor

sciencehabit writes Researchers have discovered 570 plumes of methane percolating up from the sea floor off the eastern coast of the United States, a surprisingly high number of seeps in a relatively quiescent part of the ocean. The seeps suggest that methane's contribution to climate change has been underestimated in some models. And because most of the seeps lie at depths where small changes in temperature could be releasing the methane, it is possible that climate change itself could be playing a role in turning some of them on.

273 comments

  1. Global Warming? by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Is this part of the "man made" global warming thing?

    --
    If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    1. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We put the holes there, right?

    2. Re:Global Warming? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 0, Troll

      Yes, dumbass. If I set your house on fire, and go "hey the wood's igniting the other wood, only the small pool of gasoline at the begining is my fault" it's still arson.

    3. Re:Global Warming? by SQLGuru · · Score: 3, Funny

      Earth farts......

    4. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, dumbass. If I set your house on fire, and go "hey the wood's igniting the other wood, only the small pool of gasoline at the begining is my fault" it's still arson.

      I'm sorry. I'm not understanding you. Can you put that into a Car Analogy?

    5. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      these methane plumes are leaking from where hilary swank took a submarine into the earth's core to restart it..

    6. Re:Global Warming? by Anon-Admin · · Score: 5, Informative

      No this is naturally occurring seeps. We have known about them in the past but recent discoveries have shown that more exist than was thought and with methane being 30x more potent of a green house gas than CO2 it throws the models and calculations off.

      There is however the hypothesis that we create the CO2 that causes the base warming and the because we are warming the oceans it may be causing more methane to be released.

      However, this is not known for sure and the extent at which methane is being released from natural sources is still in question.

    7. Re:Global Warming? by Cardoor · · Score: 3, Insightful

      very possibly.

      most of the seeps lie at depths where small changes in temperature could be releasing the methane

      in other words, the warming that is already occurring has (surprise surprise) a positive feedback loop. one of many. whether or not the initiator was man-made in origin (hint: it was and is).

    8. Re:Global Warming? by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      If you position a car at the top of a steep hill, release the parking brake and give it "only" a small push, it's still your fault that it crashes into the building at the bottom of the hill.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    9. Re:Global Warming? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 4, Informative

      And let's break from the summary and go to the article for an even more damning quote(emphasis mine):

      Jens Greinert, who heads the deep-sea monitoring unit at GEOMAR, downplays the effect of the new seeps on the atmosphere or ocean chemistry because the magnitude of the releases is dwarfed by human-associated inputs, such as livestock, or even other marine sites. “These little bits of bubbling here or there will not make a memorable impact,” Greinert says. He is more interested in what will happen as the world warms. “It becomes interesting only if you have a catastrophic release,” he says.

    10. Re:Global Warming? by Cardoor · · Score: 1

      well put.

    11. Re:Global Warming? by Cardoor · · Score: 0

      except for the fact that arctic methane hydrate release vent growth give some pretty damning testimony. it's basically still a question the same way that evolution is 'just a theory'.

    12. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "it may be causing more methane to be released." Well, we know for sure that methane ice crystals DO melt in higher temperatures. QED.

    13. Re:Global Warming? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Is this part of the "man made" global warming thing?

      Oh yea.. Personally, I think we should go drill said areas, use fracking and recover the methane before it gets loose....

      As a side benefit, we can burn the stuff for fuel... Hey, it's being released anyway, so why not?

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    14. Re:Global Warming? by ganjadude · · Score: 2

      interesting.... however the problem lies in the fact thats it is higher than they thought, meaning it COULD still be worse than they thought, meaning AGW MAY NOT be the doom and gloom some make it out to be.

      this little bit of information is not a gotcha moment, but it leads credence to the idea that we still have no idea

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      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    15. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because we know precious little about the concentrations of methane in the air above the oceans.

    16. Re:Global Warming? by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 0

      IT is higher than they thought, and yet we are at a global standstill in climate change. And it is all man's fault. ... got it.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    17. Re:Global Warming? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

      Setting: two people with their ankles handcuffed together

      Says the left man: "We just don't know exactly how fast that car is going, your radar gun reading 67.432 MpH is based on sketchy theories I don't trust(and how did you get all those sigfigs?), and I'm guessing it's less than that, and think about how much effort it would take to move out of the way. Your 'get hit and die' theory is faulty, so we should clearly not move."

      Says the right man: "aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah"

    18. Re:Global Warming? by blue9steel · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's one possible interpretation. On the other hand this could be an early sign that the current modest levels of man made global warming are triggering a clathrate gun similar to that which may have caused the Permian-Triassic extinction event. It's fairly common for complex natural systems to have "tipping points" where a slow series of gradual changes suddenly goes parabolic before settling into a new stable dynamic.

    19. Re:Global Warming? by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      im actually arguing the opposite

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      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    20. Re:Global Warming? by ganjadude · · Score: 3, Informative

      thats actually not what i was saying at all. where did i say do nothing? what I am saying is that the "models" are wrong, because they dont have all the variables in place, as such we can take them with a grain of salt AND AT THE SAME TIME... work on ways to reduce our contribution to the "problem"

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    21. Re:Global Warming? by ganjadude · · Score: 0, Troll

      also another great possible situation

      My point with the post was for both pro AGW and anti AGW people to look back and see that they are SO focused on one data set (man) that they are not paying attention to other sets of data

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    22. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except then we find out that it was really windy.
      And Fred, Wilma, and Pebbles were also in the car with their feet sticking through the floorboards giving it their all.
      And the parking brake didn't work in the first place.

    23. Re:Global Warming? by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      Is this part of the "man made" global warming thing?

      It's both. That's the trouble with climate change... it's a very very complex issue. The earth has its own rythems going on and we're throwing a wrench in them. How much is natural? How much is our fault? It's hard to say. But make no mistake... we're poking a very large... very angry bear. The less poking we do the better. It may wake up on its own but we sure as heck don't need to be helping.

    24. Re:Global Warming? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Well, okay, I'll be less antagonistic about it.

      Because the actual scientists involved have constantly been refining the theory and an entirely unreasonable amount of argument is dedicated to pretending that isn't happening.

      It's just the people who are expecting a revolutionary reversal for no reason whatsoever never shut up about how we're not respecting the scientific method, I have a tendency to see that argument vis a vis climate change in a very harsh light.

    25. Re:Global Warming? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 4, Funny

      And because most of us in here are software types, we will carefully extract the car from the wreckage, put new wheels on it, push it back up the hill, close all the windows, and nudge it downhill again so that we can see if it does the same thing again.

    26. Re:Global Warming? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 3, Informative

      No, you just imagine that. The evidence is just rather overwhelming that man's contribution to CO2 levels massively disproportionate, and overwhelming natural sinks.

    27. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      interesting.... however the problem lies in the fact thats it is higher than they thought, meaning it COULD still be worse than they thought, meaning AGW MAY NOT be the doom and gloom some make it out to be.

        this little bit of information is not a gotcha moment, but it leads credence to the idea that we still have no idea

      This is not saying that AGW isn't a problem, it's saying that they've identified a(nother) positive feedback mechanism. There are many positive and negative feedback mechanisms, and they're not all well understood. That's part of what makes predicting global climate change so difficult. That's also the scariest thing about AGW. We may push the climate into an unstable state where it runs away due to these positive feedback mechanisms and no matter what we do we cannot bring it back to the way we like it. The climate may do that without us too, it's gone through some pretty crazy cycles. I think we can all agree we'd like to try really hard to prevent that from happening.

    28. Re:Global Warming? by itzly · · Score: 1

      We have known about them in the past but recent discoveries have shown that more exist than was thought and with methane being 30x more potent of a green house gas than CO2 it throws the models and calculations off.

      If the seeps are not growing in size or quantity, the atmospheric methane due to the seeps should remain constant, and the models should be unaffected.

    29. Re:Global Warming? by itzly · · Score: 2

      The fact that the amount of seepage is higher than previously thought does not mean it is actually growing.

    30. Re:Global Warming? by geekoid · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      " meaning AGW MAY NOT be the doom and gloom some make it out to be. "
      wrong.
      It means AGW "doom and gloom": could be worse the thought, nut not better then thought.

      "but it leads credence to the idea that we still have no idea"
      That is in no way true.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    31. Re:Global Warming? by gman003 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Stop arguing with strawmen. I really hope you got upvoted by shills, because the alternative is that some people have actually bought into the propaganda, which sickens me to consider.

      The science that is settled is:
      a) The average global temperature is rising
      b) Increased CO2 levels cause increased temperatures
      c) Humans are releasing far more CO2 than can naturally be absorbed

      Those are the settled science - or as most people call them, facts. You will see GW defenders trot out the "settled science" line because people still try to deny those fundamental facts.

      Those three facts lead to a settled conclusion:
      d) Human activity is causing increases in global temperature.

      Again, if you're arguing that, you are either grievously misinformed, or do not understand how logic works, or have decided that you want to argue for a point you know to be wrong.

      That humans are contributing is settled science. The extent to which we are contributing is mostly-settled - we know we are the largest factor, but we don't have a complete and clear picture as to how secondary effects (ie. global-warming-caused global warming) or natural effects (solar variance) affect things.

      The precise models of "given conditions A, B, C and D, what temperatures can we expect in the next X years at places Y and Z?" are not settled. Further, the data we give those models is not entirely precise, because getting absolute perfect knowledge of the entire planet is basically impossible.

      But this does not invalidate the entire argument. You can say "physicists don't know how gravity works for supermassive singularities at nuclear scales", and say that physics is not "settled science". You would be correct. However, if you try to use that to argue that scientists don't know why the Earth orbits the Sun, you're committing serious errors of logic.

      And if you then try to argue that you can build a giant but rickety skyscraper over the city, because it can't fall over because gravity isn't a settled science, well, you're just using broken logic to try to make a quick profit despite the fact that you will inevitably kill people when it falls over because hey, science may not be able to figure out the exact second it's going to collapse but we know it's not gonna stay up forever. I hope you managed to understand that metaphor there.

    32. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least the headline wasn't "Numerous Methane Leaks From Atlantic's Bottom" or "Methane Leaks Found Coming From Cracks in Sea Bottom"

    33. Re:Global Warming? by geekoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      " what I am saying is that the "models" are wrong, "
      No, you are wrong.
      The models are excellent models. That have even 'shown' thing we didn't know about, but when we went and looked there they where.
      That means they are excellent models.

      "because they don't have all the variables in place,"
      That doesn't make them wrong.

      Are they 100%? No
      Are they wrong? No.
      You should problem make and effort to understand 2 things:
      Climate models
      Error Bars.

      If someone falls off a building and and I say "My model predicts when will hit the ground and die in 45 seconds. And he hits the grounds in 44 seconds, that doesn't mean he won't hit the ground and die." It cold be the resolution of my tools wasn't fine enough, it could be a strong updraft I didn't know aboput. It could mean he was wearing parachute pants and the extra drag slowed him.,

      But that does not make my model wrong, broken, invalid or useless.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    34. Re: Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I could've been an upvoting shill, but your good explanation is making me think more about revising my current opinions.

    35. Re:Global Warming? by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      ok, fair enough. i simplified my position too much when i said the model was wrong. My point i do believe remains however. my point was simply that there are variables that we are not aware of which could change the direction needed.

      for example, lets say we find out that we are right, and we are to blame. but what if the planet has natural ways to rectify the situation that we do not understand? what if the planet is already doing "something" to fix the problem and we dont know it? what happens when we try and "fix" the problem and in turn make things worse? (which generally tends to happen with humans)

      --
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    36. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and more importantly will it work a 3rd time if we paint it blue?

    37. Re:Global Warming? by durrr · · Score: 0, Troll

      a) What about the hiatus?
      b) instrumental data from the layers of the atmosphere does not agree with the proposed mechanisms of stratospheric heating or whatever was suggested.
      c) human CO2 emissions are naturally absorbed, just not as fast as we emit it. but given a) and b) and the fact that CO2 is non toxic and improves plant growth I see no reason why we should care about that as opposed to particulate pollutions and toxic emissions.

    38. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Slashdot Alarmists always seem to be about six months behind the latest findings...like the IPPC explicitly saying we are experiencing a pause. Or all those scientists desperately trying to explain it (38 excuses so far I understand).

    39. Re:Global Warming? by durrr · · Score: 2

      According to your logic my toxicity model for iron in well water in Nowhereistan is unaffected by the fact that arsenic levels was elevated by 15000 times above normal in the data samples, because it was at that level all along.

    40. Re:Global Warming? by HiThere · · Score: 2

      You did oversimplify. There's really no sense in talking about the "extent to which we are contributing" because of various positive feedback loops. I suppose that if you just say "we are a major contributor to global warming" you would on safe ground, but anything finer than that an things get really complicated. Even this article talked about how a warmer ocean causes increased release of methane....which causes a warmer ocean...which... (Well, the article didn't expressly mention that this was a loop. And only one of many.) Fortunately there are also some negative feedback loops...but they don't appear to be as strong. Or perhaps they're just slower. If deformation of the earth's crust (by melting the glaciers that acted as weights holding it down) sets off a chain of volcanos, then we may end up dealing with a global cooling problem.

      FWIW, the drying out of western North America has caused deformation of the earth's crust in that area, as the weight of the water has been removed. It's only about (IIRC) 6cm/year, but volcanos have been active in the US west coast that had long been dormant. Probably a coincidence, but do look up the "Deccan Tapps". And remember that we can't yet predict volcanos or earthquakes.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    41. Re:Global Warming? by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      I do believe you have an odd definition for excellent.

    42. Re:Global Warming? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      methane being 30x more potent of a green house gas than CO2 ...

      It is more complicated than that. Methane is about 100 times more potent than CO2 in the short run. But it has a half-life in the atmosphere of about seven years. So the its effect on warming diminishes quickly. Over a century, it has an average warming effect about 34 times that of CO2.

    43. Re:Global Warming? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 3, Informative

      the hiatus? that scientists now think is being caused by heat being sent to the deep oceans? where we're now seeing significantly increased methane seeps?

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    44. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, its certainly caused by Dark Matter!

    45. Re:Global Warming? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1
      nice selective choice from the article.

      The VERY NEXT SENTENCE:

      He is more interested in what will happen as the world warms. “It becomes interesting only if you have a catastrophic release,” he says.

      emphasis mine. i.e. it's slow now but if temps go up it becomes catastrophic.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    46. Re:Global Warming? by itzly · · Score: 1

      No, because in my logic we already know the amount of methane in the atmosphere, and this has already been entered into the models. Where exactly this methane is coming from doesn't really matter.

    47. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Methanene global warming potential is 86, that means 86x of the CO2.

    48. Re:Global Warming? by gman003 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      a) What hiatus? The hiatus only appears when you use incomplete data. citation
      b) Uh, what? I don't even know what you're talking about there.
      c) Plant (and algae) growth is a negative feedback loop on CO2, but it doesn't work on the same timescales. We're dumping centuries worth of CO2 into the atmosphere every year. And we're combining that with deforestation. By the time plants have grown to stabilize the temperature, we'll be stabilized several degrees over our current temperature, and that's assuming any positive feedback loops don't override it (look at the "clathrate gun hypothesis" for an example of what could happen).

    49. Re:Global Warming? by pastafazou · · Score: 1, Interesting

      The average global temperature is rising is settled? Uh, no, sorry, it's not settled at all. First of all, we have scarce data for the temperature of the oceans. What little data we have comes from the ARGO global array, and that only measures the top layer of the oceans. The UK Met Office EN3 subsurface ocean temperature data shows a decline in heat from 2003 to 2013. So that means the deep oceans would need to be warming in order to compensate for the surface cooling we've measured. However, we don't have any measurements of deep ocean temperatures, which leaves your claim of global temperature rising to be unfounded.

    50. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There is however the hypothesis that we create the CO2 that causes the base warming and the because we are warming the oceans it may be causing more methane to be released."

      Of course there is a hypothesis like that. You keep moving the goalposts on your "settled science"/

    51. Re:Global Warming? by smaddox · · Score: 4, Informative

      Clearly a troll, but for the benefit of anyone who may miss that point, I will simply state that there is no known mechanism for farts causing rain, whereas the greenhouse effect is a thoroughly understood and experimentally verified mechanism for CO2 causing warming.

    52. Re:Global Warming? by tomhath · · Score: 2

      This is unrelated to arctic methane release, so it is still a question.

    53. Re:Global Warming? by losfromla · · Score: 1

      I'm guessing roughly that we're dumping millions of years of CO2 into the atmosphere every year. Previous life forms were contributing their mass for conversion to petroleum for as long as the earth has been around (either 4,000 years or 4.5 billion depending on your level of insanity), and we are on the downward side of extraction. To run low on something, as quickly as we have done, that has been getting created for over 4.5 billion years, one has to be consuming it at a pretty good clip. I would do some math here but feel lazy.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    54. Re:Global Warming? by smaddox · · Score: 1
    55. Re:Global Warming? by Talderas · · Score: 1

      Even more importantly, will it go faster if we paint it red?

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    56. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, because ice sheets haven't receded 2000 miles over the last 10,000 years. Most of which occurred before industrialization. With every bit of lost ice causing the next bit to melt faster due to less heat being reflected off the ice.

      It's not settled. Science by it's very nature is never settled.

    57. Re:Global Warming? by dnavid · · Score: 2

      interesting.... however the problem lies in the fact thats it is higher than they thought, meaning it COULD still be worse than they thought, meaning AGW MAY NOT be the doom and gloom some make it out to be. this little bit of information is not a gotcha moment, but it leads credence to the idea that we still have no idea

      Scientists discover something new, which suggests they were wrong before, which means they could be completely wrong about everything. Just like when scientists discovered a new species of butterfly, proving we still have no idea if life exists on Earth.

      Only for the subject of global warming can scientists discover a potentially new way in which climate change could accelerate over time due to man induced warming of the deep oceans, and that is used as evidence that maybe its not happening at all.

    58. Re:Global Warming? by StrangeBrew · · Score: 1

      I can get behind scientists that are in agreement over anthropogenic global warming, but I will get out of line any time those scientists get behind politicians or professional lobbyists that target nations and corporations based on newsworthiness and wealth instead of overall emissions impact and potential emissions growth.

    59. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So I guess all those scientists searching for the cause and the IPPC are just wasting their time eh?

      One "study", nearly a year old is cited by an Astronomer and you people gobble it up. But your other favorite authority, the IPPC acknowledges it and now suddenly, well, I expect you to call them Oil industry shills now eh?

      So pick up your shit and leave.

    60. Re:Global Warming? by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      There is no mod option for "dumb as a post." There's been a dozen peer reviewed papers that have come out in the last year saying the same thing. Once you step away from the political ipcc, things start to become the "land of conflicting scientific opinion."

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    61. Re:Global Warming? by budgenator · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If the seeps are not growing in size or quantity, the atmospheric methane due to the seeps should remain constant, and the models should be unaffected.

      If the models underestimate the amount of methane, and the models have hard-coded adjustments to make the hindcasts agree with the temperature record, then the models underestimate the warming due to methane and over-estimate warming due to CO2; the models are wrong. There really isn't any other logical way to spin this.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    62. Re: Global Warming? by MickLinux · · Score: 1

      You said that we can't predict volcanos and quakes. That isn't entirely correct. Mt. St. Helens was predicted, and they cleared the mountain of most people.

      And we do have signs of impending quakes, including certain mediterranian ants. Also, IIRC, methane gas release is also considered to be a quake precursor.

      Which DOES make me wonder, if this methane release is normal, or recent. I guess we won't know, or even have an idea unless we compare it to other areas.

      --
      Correct Horse Battery Staple: 72 bits of entropy. Enter "Correct H" into google. When it generates the phrase, that's
    63. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      for example, lets say we find out that we are right, and we are to blame. but what if the planet has natural ways to rectify the situation that we do not understand? what if the planet is already doing "something" to fix the problem and we dont know it? what happens when we try and "fix" the problem and in turn make things worse? (which generally tends to happen with humans)

      And? This planet has NO established preferences of conditions, therefore, it could well turn out to be the worse even if there would be such a mechanism.

      Besides, you're basically arguing against humans doing something. Great. Except humans ARE doing things. Ergo, your real assertion would be against doing anything, which requires humans to stop what they're doing.

    64. Re:Global Warming? by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 1

      Can someone check on the dumping of waste from Mexican Restaurants into the ocean?
      Last night's refried beans, bad.
      Last Year's refried beans, very very bad...

      --
      You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
    65. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are right about systems with feedbacks having different attractor states (an aside: this one of the reasons the normal distribution should not be assumed for biological systems, nearly all research in that area has inappropriate error bars due to this). What gets me is that if I compare the temperature on earth at a given pressure to that on venus at the same pressure they are very close to that predicted due simply to distance from the sun: sqrt(Tv/Te)~Re/Rv=1.176. This seems to indicate that the important parameter is the mass of the atmosphere rather than IR absorption/albedo/etc.

    66. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What if, in an alternate universe, the Industrial Revolution hasn't happened yet resulting in a longer period of oxygen-rich oceanic waters that was just enough to support an aerobic algae bloom in the middle of the Pacific that ballooned outwards and created a giant dead zone that released a couple orders of magnitude more CO2 and overwhelmed some natural CO2 sinks, such that at this point of the timeline we're already well out of the bounds of our ice age and both caps have melted? Algaephoon?

      People get so riled up about this, but the fact of the matter is, we are on the way out of an ice age. All we're arguing about is how fast we're coming out of it, and we really don't have a great baseline to compare against. We should definitely expect the temperature to naturally rise much more before (in thousands of years) it starts to decline again into another ice age - we are *going* to see warmer weather regardless, we (some) just hope that we can do what we can to slow it down, because we hate change.

      Worst of all, leading in reduction of CO2 output is not something the rest of the world (or at least those who monetize it) respects. They will not follow suit - they will take economic advantage of the situation at every turn. It will continue to be very difficult to enact meaningful measures to reduce CO2 output while there is such global economic disparity.

    67. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's always something other than thought.

    68. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Interestingly, it seems to go faster if we push the 'Turbo' switch, not slower. Must talk to HW guys about this tomorrow, It seems counter-intuitive somehow..

    69. Re:Global Warming? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      interesting.... however the problem lies in the fact thats it is higher than they thought, meaning it COULD still be worse than they thought, meaning AGW MAY NOT be the doom and gloom some make it out to be.

      So you find the possibility that non-man-made Global Warming may actually be much worse than man-made Global Warming reassuring.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    70. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, *right now*. The input from such destabilizing forces tends to grow exponentially as the feedback is amplified.

      Talk to some experts in Arctic climatology; they are *shitting their pants* and considering that a clathlate release is a possibility that's all too real now with the melting of Arctic permafrost.

    71. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe we already knew this was a real probability under warming scenarios. The trapped methane on the sea floors has been known as a ticking warming-time-bomb for quite a while. I recall seeing stories on it on t.v. in the 90s (?). I'm too lazy to look it up, but as a starting point for those interested: Discovery, PBS, BBC, and National Geographic are likely candidates if there's nothing more recent.

    72. Re:Global Warming? by citizenr · · Score: 1

      Stop arguing with strawmen. I really hope you got upvoted by shills, because the alternative is that some people have actually bought into the propaganda, which sickens me to consider.

      The science that is settled is:
      a) The average global temperature is rising

      sooo, when did that start? 10 years ago? 100? 1000?

      --
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    73. Re:Global Warming? by gman003 · · Score: 1

      The current upswing seems to have begun sometime in the 19th century, although the dramatic increase only began in the 1920s or so, and it really took off in the '70s.

    74. Re:Global Warming? by gman003 · · Score: 1

      Current estimates are that we are dumping 40 billion tons of CO2 into the atmosphere per year, for a total of about 550 billion tons since 1870.

    75. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the models underestimate the amount of methane ...

      But they don't do they? The models account for methane concentrations in the atmosphere. Whether that methane has a deep sea source, or comes out of your arse when you speak, is neither here nor there.

    76. Re:Global Warming? by dryeo · · Score: 2

      Petroleum and coal have only been forming for some 100's of millions of years, basically since plants colonized the land and pseudo-forests started to grow. (Some petroleum may have been formed earlier by algae). For the first period of perhaps 60 million odd years there were no fungi to break down the plant matter and much of current fossil fuels were created, sequestering lots of carbon which we're now releasing.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C...

      --
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    77. Re: Global Warming? by dryeo · · Score: 1

      For Mt. St. Helens, it wasn't so much predicted as the first signs of an impending eruption were noticed and acted on. There's a similar volcano close to where I am (Mt Baker) and all science says is it is currently quiet and very unlikely to erupt real soon. It can't say 10 or a 100 years or even if it will erupt again though it is likely to.
      Earthquakes are similar, there seems to be early signs that some animals pick up on and may be measurable but for the fault I live by, all science can say is statistically we're due for an earthquake. Could be next week or next century.
      And yes, the question is whether the methane release is normal or not along with other methane releases. This one could be normal and others could be recent. Climate change is complicated and we don't really know how things will evolve but there is a good chance that the world will warm up and it safer to act on that just like it was safer to evacuate Mt St Helens even though it may have been more of a fizzle then a major eruption.

      --
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    78. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ... like the IPPC explicitly saying we are experiencing a pause

      We are experiencing a less steep increase in global temperatures, but an increase none the less.

      The observed GMST has shown a much smaller increasing linear trend over the past 15 years than over the past 30 to 60 years ... Even with this ‘hiatus’ in GMST trend, the decade of the 2000s has been the warmest in the instrumental record of GMST
      -- IPCC AR5 WG1 Technical Summary, Box TS.3

      Given the pronounced solar minimum and the ENSO phase, I think you need to explain why temperatures have continued to rise, when they should have declined?

    79. Re:Global Warming? by dywolf · · Score: 1

      a) there isn't one. the most that can be said is it's a concept misunderstood by deniers who have no clue what they are talking about.
      http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad...

      b) wrong.
      http://www.skepticalscience.co...
      http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/bams-...

      c1) wrong. they are NOT naturally absorbed. if they were, the planet would not be warming, leading to ever increasing amounts of stored energy unable to re-radiate out into space. the natural carbon cycle deals out no where near the amount of CO2 humans do. 40 billion tons. That's the YEARLY output of human activity. Imagine the biggest aircraft you can think of...they weigh ~100,000 tons. So now imagine 400,000 of those aircraft carriers. That's the weight of CO2 that we pump into the atmosphere yearly. Alternatively, think of a cubic volume of gas (CO2)....18 miles on each side (that's ~95k feet high...almost to space)...that's also 40 billion tons. And we do that every year. And before you spout some bullshit about volcanoes...no. Volcanic yearly output of the entire planet is only ~3 billion tons of CO2.

      c2) the rest of c was pretty stupid, and just frankly not worth it.

      --
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    80. Re:Global Warming? by BitZtream · · Score: 0

      Nice ... you think the methane from these vents contributes to global warming ... except that it doesn't.

      I knew when I saw this made it to slashdot there would be a bunch of AGW nut jobs relating this to AGW without bothering to understand the slightest thing about it.

      It dissolves into the ocean water and never reaches the surface, never becomes a problem for AGW.

      It does increase the acidity of the ocean and the question is how well does it get dispersed before it breaks down, but that in and of itself has 0 affect on AGW and its unlikely that it has any indirect affects on it as well.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    81. Re:Global Warming? by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Except we have no record of how old the methane seeps are, their discharge levels over the past hundred years no how many others there are, how old they are and their discharge levels over the last one hundred years. Fortunately methane breaks down pretty readily http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A.... However large combined released will substantially alter climate for a short period until the break down and all sources count in composite. So the big threat is warming oceans suddenly releasing a burst of methane, in addition to melting permafrost releasing a burst of methane, in addition to what we release and in addition to flood debris resulting from increased regional precipitation and this lasting for some number of years until the breakdown of methane catches up. Those unknown number of years likely to be quite catastrophic climatically speaking.

      So current models don't really take into account surges of methane because they tend to be catastrophic and scientists don't like to work with catastrophic models, just the same as astrophysicists still resist catastrophic planetary formation as the norm and prefer no catastrophic models. Creating models that work well with chaos is really rather difficult. However doing research and taking precautions is always worth while otherwise we as humans would not accept paying insurance ie if we believed we 'would' have a car accident we wouldn't drive and if we believed we would not have an accident we would not buy car insurance and yet we drive and buy car insurance, this due to inherent chaos on the roads. I bet you have insurance.

      --
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    82. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait...the Sun has an impact on Climate????

      You guys have poo poo'd that idea for decades. What made you become a believer now?

    83. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There isn't a single weather related post on Slashdot that does not attribute whatever is happening to man made global warming. Perhaps it is time to own up to the idea that things like methane seeping out of the ocean is a major cause.

    84. Re:Global Warming? by Ocker3 · · Score: 1

      The summary even deals with the question of why. The sea floor there is fragile and vulnerable to small temperature changes. We're warming the oceans, a small change is making the sea floor less rigid, presto more gas is leaking out

    85. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You guys have poo poo'd th[e] idea [that the Sun has an impact on Climate] for decades.

      What absolute codswallop! Have you never heard of the "Greenhouse Effect," where the radiative heat from the Sun is trapped by gases in the atmosphere colloquially known as "greenhouse gases?"

      Nor even has science been blind to the effect of solar maxima and minima on terrestrial climate, durrr! The fact remains that changes in solar activity are insufficient to account for observed warming. The past 15 years should prove that even to a numbskull such as yourself. Why was this past decade not colder than the decade between 1951-1960 at the height of the modern maximum? Could it be some factor, other than solar activity, is influencing temperatures? Maybe science is right after all?

    86. Re:Global Warming? by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      Yes. Budgenator is correct, we do need to recognize that the models are wrong. They are .0000001% off. Clearly we should discard them and view them for the frauds they are.

    87. Re:Global Warming? by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      If anything, the models being wrong would make us MORE pessimistic and increase the urgency of action to prevent further climate change. Because if the models don't correlate to actual temperature then it is just as likely they will underestimate future temperature rises as overestimate. The view 'the models are wrong' is actually a pessimistic view.

    88. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's both. That's the trouble with climate change... it's a very very complex issue. The earth has its own rythems going on and we're throwing a wrench in them. How much is natural?

      That is what life does. It expands to consume available resources. We can decide not to. That will enable some other life form to use those resources.

    89. Re:Global Warming? by SomeoneFromBelgium · · Score: 1

      Is this part of the "man made" global warming thing?

      [bitter sarcasm]
      No!
      So then it's not our fault!
      So then we can continue to pollute the world. The climate is still changing but we can explain to future generation: we didn't do it. You shouldn't blame us for standing by and doing nothing. It's those methane plumes. See that? Those are the guilty ones.

      I feel better about global warming already.
      [/bitter sarcasm]

      Sorry, it get's on my nerves that every news about global warming is always interpreted as being a 'proof' that global warming is nothing to worry about, wether the news is good ("there you see") or bad ("it's not our fault" or even "it's too costly to do something about").

      Global warming is here. Now. We will see the effects even more in the comming decades. And so will our childeren. How bad will it be? Nobody knows really very well.
      And that particular thought doesn't give me any comfort at all. And you?

    90. Re:Global Warming? by KeensMustard · · Score: 0

      So I guess all those scientists searching for the cause and the IPPC are just wasting their time eh?

      Hard to make judgement call on the International Plant Protection Convention (IPPC) and whether they are wasting their time, but I'd say it seems like a worthy cause - unless you meant the International Plasma Protein Congress (IPPC)? Or perhaps the International Probabilistic Planning Competition? or the The International Pastors' and Partners' Conference (IPPC)?

    91. Re:Global Warming? by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      I do believe (snip)

      And should we be concerned about your beliefs? Why?

    92. Re:Global Warming? by buybuydandavis · · Score: 0

      The Science is Settled! The Science is Settled! The Science is Settled!

      Nyah nyah nyah nyah. I can't hear you. Nyah nyah nyah nyah.

      The Science is Settled! The Science is Settled! The Science is Settled!

    93. Re:Global Warming? by buybuydandavis · · Score: 0

      the hiatus? that scientists now think is being caused by heat being sent to the deep oceans? where we're now seeing significantly increased methane seeps?

      The hiatus? What hiatus?

      You mean the Inconvenient Truth that falsified all the major climate models of the "settled science" of global warming? Oooopsie. The dog ate all extra heat. I mean he buried it in the yard. I mean the ocean. Yeah, that's the ticket. The ocean. Yeah.

      You see, that's the way science is supposed to work. You make a model. And claim the science is settled, and only "denialists" don't believe it. And then when reality proves it's wrong, you rationalize why it was wrong. Even though it was settled. And is settled. Forever and ever. Amen.

      It's like the Pope, you see. Pope's are infallible. But sometimes they were wrong in the past. But they're always infallible now.

    94. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Butterfly effect http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B... could cause your farts to create rain

    95. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stopping the universe part way to check why the brakes are still not working then hitting continue.

    96. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what's the thing with science and settling? And how the fuck is that going to take us anywhere but where we are?

    97. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      IT support go one further. they install random crap on the car wreak then determine its too hard so dump it and build another one with the same problem and push that down the hill to see if it breaks gain

    98. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's wrong is that your model predicts a 45 second fall for a 44 second event, and you are looking for causes that delay the fall even more...

    99. Re:Global Warming? by citizenr · · Score: 1

      Thats not what Im asking. When did average global temperatures started to rise? Its simple really, you look at the graph and pick a point transitioning between falling down/steady flat and going up. When did that happen? Was earth at steady temperature/cooling down 10 years ago? 100 years ago? 1000 years ago?

      --
      Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
    100. Re:Global Warming? by gman003 · · Score: 1

      You're asking for a simple answer to a very complex question. I already simplified it as much as possible while still having any meaning.

    101. Re:Global Warming? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 2
      I still wonder why there's such a large population of anti-science zealots on slashdot. People that claim someone's research "falsified all the major climate models", but can't point to a single person who's celebrating being the biggest thing to ever hit the climate science scene. Surely you don't think overturning an entire body of research like that would go unnoticed? Honestly, I found it easier to listen to the 9/11 truthers, as they at least tried to come up with coherent (if not entirely likely) explanations for their beliefs.

      Pope's are

      Grammar is not your forte. Neither is rational thought.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    102. Re: Global Warming? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      You live near Mt Baker? In Washington? ... In the winter?

      Offtopic: I've wanted to go skiing there for a long time. Is it possible to get out there in the winter without a helicopter?

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    103. Re:Global Warming? by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

      No it doesn't because we haven't been measuring it long enough or accurately enough to know what the natural variation is. I honestly don't know what the hell is wrong with you people. Why can't you see these totally obvious points.

    104. Re:Global Warming? by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

      Don't be silly. There are at least 30 different versions of "what scientists think" about this issue. In other words they don't know. That isn't settled science is it.

    105. Re:Global Warming? by Xyrus · · Score: 2

      All models are wrong. There is no such thing as a perfect model outside of trivial classroom models e.g. spherical cow. Modeling fluid dynamics for aerodynamic lift, structural integrity models for bridges and buildings, etc . all have errors. They don't account for all variables and it is impossible to do so.

      Science isn't built on models. Models are built on science. As with any other branch of science models are used to help get a better understanding of the phenomena being studied. Models are TOOLS that are built out of the results of science.

      As to GCM's in particular, there is plenty of information out there describing the models, their error bounds, what they account for, what they don't, so on and so forth. For a layman's summary the IPCC does a fairly decent job describing the models, what they're used for, and accuracy.

      --
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    106. Re:Global Warming? by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, methane vents at the bottom of the Atlantic have probably existed since the Atlantic was formed and I expect for quite a few billion years in other oceans at other times. The idea that they came into existence the moment we discovered them and that therefore they must be caused or influenced by Man, specifically a few parts per million of a trace gas that's regularly recycled by the biosphere in huge quantities and has been for a billion years, is completely ridiculous.

    107. Re:Global Warming? by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

      the natural carbon cycle deals out no where near the amount of CO2 humans do

      What the hell are you talking about? Estimates for natural emissions are around 150 billion tonnes per year. That's thirty times Human emissions. And that estimate is from the IPCC so it's likely the figures have been carefully massaged down to make Human emissions appear bigger than they are.

    108. Re:Global Warming? by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      a) What hiatus? The hiatus only appears when you use incomplete data. citation [slate.com]

      It's cute using something like Slate as a citation to demonstrate the state of scientific research. Regrettably for your argument, actual scientific journal articles like these ones in Nature, IOPScience and Science all contradict your statement. These articles all note "Despite the continued increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, the annual-mean global temperature has not risen in the twenty-first century" with multiple citations to yet other scientific journal articles that demonstrated this.

      ... and that's assuming any positive feedback loops don't override it (look at the "clathrate gun hypothesis" for an example of what could happen).

      And that's assuming any negative feedback loops don't override it (look at the Iris hypothesis for an example of what could happen).

      The global mean temperature trend for the last decade has fallen outside the error bars of the climate model projections gathered by the first IPCC assessment. Go ahead and deny that all you like, but the actual scientists are looking at the why and trying to sort out what they got wrong, in articles like those I've linked above.

    109. Re:Global Warming? by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      the natural carbon cycle deals out no where near the amount of CO2 humans do

      What the hell are you talking about? Estimates for natural emissions are around 150 billion tonnes per year. That's thirty times Human emissions.

      True.

      And that estimate is from the IPCC so it's likely the figures have been carefully massaged down to make Human emissions appear bigger than they are.

      Oh dear, you were doing so well until you had to put your conspiracy theorists hat on.

      No, you dummy, the estimate isn't "from the IPCC". The IPCC don't deal in estimates. They just report the published science. That's where the estimates of the the size of the carbon cycle come from.

    110. Re: Global Warming? by dryeo · · Score: 1

      I'm actually in BC and haven't been to Baker since I was a kid, over 40 years ago. Considering went there in the summer up to the glacier and the local ski reports include Baker, you must be able to get a ways up the mountain without a helicopter. Getting to the peak might be different though, it's a big mountain.

      --
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    111. Re:Global Warming? by Cardoor · · Score: 1

      it's completely related. the article discusses atlantic methane vents. given that they are of a much smaller and potentially earlier stage of development, it stands to reason to look elsewhere and see if there are any other data to point to a larger issue, and one which may set the stage for what could happen in the atlantic, and elsewhere. the magnitude and severity of the arctic activity speaks volumes, and to ignore it by saying 'same same, but different' is to put one's head in the sand.

    112. Re:Global Warming? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      I do love how you're now decrying the very hiatus other deniers are using to decry climate change.

      The science is settled but you can continue tilting at windmills.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    113. Re:Global Warming? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Climate change *is* settled. It's basic physics and thermodynamics. CO2 is a greenhouse gas. We're adding copious amounts of CO2 to the atmosphere. This WILL increase the temperature of a system. And amazingly enough we are seeing temperatures go up.

      Now, if you want to prove why this won't cause warming, please do. But me thinks you (and anybody else since they haven't) simply can't.

      Are there finer details of the process that aren't yet understood? Sure. That doesn't negate the overall theory and overwhelming body of evidence that supports the theory. Just saying 'its normal, nothing to see here' isn't credible when you see significant changes.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    114. Re:Global Warming? by Cardoor · · Score: 1

      sigh.
      oh well.

    115. Re: Global Warming? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Ah, I know about the resort... I'm more concerned with flying in to Seattle-Tacoma international airport only to find that the roads to Baker are not passable. IIRC, Mt Baker gets more annual snowfall than any other resort in the world, and I've seen pictures of truly ridiculous amounts of snow there, road closures and all. Was hoping you had some insight into how an east coaster could best plan a ski trip out there.

      Out east, there's no such thing as a powder day. I introduced my girlfriend to east coast skiing a few years back but I would love for her to experience real skiing. However, since many (maybe even most) of my own ski trips out west weren't very lucky in this regard, Mt Baker struck me as one place where limitless powder was nearly guaranteed. I just have no idea how to get to Baker unless Hertz rents snowcats in Seattle.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    116. Re:Global Warming? by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

      Oh dear, you were doing so well until you had to put your conspiracy theorists hat on.

      It's not a conspiracy theory if its true, is it. It wouldn't be the first time either. The "official report" is the IPCC's report. It's filtered out of the literature, such as it is. It's almost certainly more accurate than the summary for policy makers, which tends to read more like an appeal for funding than a careful distillation of the facts.

    117. Re:Global Warming? by hesiod · · Score: 1

      I demand more research investigating this fart-rain connection. The fact that there is none proves a conspiracy by the fart-denialists!

    118. Re:Global Warming? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      a) What about the hiatus?

      The hiatus that disappears if you don't start in 1998?

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    119. Re: Global Warming? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      You said that we can't predict volcanos and quakes. That isn't entirely correct. Mt. St. Helens was predicted, and they cleared the mountain of most people.

      So? They couldn't predict how much CO2 and other climate relevant material the eruption would emit 1 hour before it happened, let alone years in advance. So how would that prediction help in any way?

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    120. Re:Global Warming? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Yeah, because ice sheets haven't receded 2000 miles over the last 10,000 years. Most of which occurred before industrialization.

      Most of it occurred before earliest civilization for that matter. With not much happening in between. Until industrialization.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    121. Re:Global Warming? by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      Current estimates are that we are dumping 40 billion tons of CO2 into the atmosphere per year, for a total of about 550 billion tons since 1870.

      If we are just going to through out facts devoid of context, the IPCC fourth assessment pegs annual NATURAL CO2 emissions at 430 billion tonnes. Or worked backwards to 1870, about 62 trillion tonnes.

    122. Re:Global Warming? by catprog · · Score: 1

      And how much CO2 has nature taken out over that time period?

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    123. Re:Global Warming? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      A few things about the science are pretty well settled, meaning that it's going to take quite a bit of evidence and/or a really neat new theory to overturn them. Exactly what's going on isn't anywhere near settled. There's a big slowdown in the rise in atmospheric temperatures over the past fifteen years or so, and that's spurring a lot of research as to exactly what's happening.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    124. Re:Global Warming? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      No, if temps go up it might possibly become catastrophic. Right now, I really doubt that anybody knows for sure. It's definitely worth investigating, though.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    125. Re:Global Warming? by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I think your greatly underestimating how much heat it takes to raise the water temperature a tenth of a degree in the Atlantic ocean at a depth of 300m; and a tenth of a degree isn't going to make much difference in methane emissions.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    126. Re:Global Warming? by budgenator · · Score: 1

      The climate models interate their algorithm hundreds of millions of times, while a 0.0000001% wouldn't make much difference in predicting tomorrow's climate, when your trying to predict the climate 50 years out the error compounds to the point where a crystal ball is likely to be more accurate.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    127. Re:Global Warming? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      We know for a fact that it is warming the oceans.

      We know for a fact we are seeing more methane seeps in places that it is warming and in places we didn't seem them before.

      We know for a fact that increasing the temps around methane hydrates will cause them to release.

      We know for a fact that more methane in the atmosphere will increase temperatures.

      While you might not be able to explicitly prove it just yet, the signs are clearly there that we're treading on pretty thin ice.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    128. Re:Global Warming? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok, just try to imagine 7 billions humans that fart and that is increasing exponentially!
      In fact just multiply 7B number to anything and it stunning.
      7B * human average body weight 150 pounds...

    129. Re:Global Warming? by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      I think you have no idea at all of ocean currents http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/O... or thermoclines http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T.... You do not raise the temperature of all the worlds oceans, to greatly increase the temperature in specific regions much the same as atmospheric weather.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    130. Re:Global Warming? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      We're dumping centuries worth of CO2 into the atmosphere every year.

      Looking back into the rock record (I used to use the rocks associated with this event as steering information to earn my bread and butter ; I work in a different part of the world this year), we've released as much CO2 in under 2 centuries as the PETM (Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum) took around 6 millennia to release. Dull, boring fact - like I said, my bread and butter for over a decade.

      (look at the "clathrate gun hypothesis" for an example of what could happen).

      s/clathrate gun hypothesis/PETM/ (or the interface between Forties / Andrew Sand Formation and the overlying Sele and Baldur Formations (spellings vary between countries and companies).

      s/could/did/

      Dull boring facts, again.

      Global warming deniers can bullshit all they want. Here in the oil industry we've no doubt what is happening. If our managers (not being geologists) want to lie about geology (or pay shills to lie for them), that's politics, not geology.

      I suppose I'd better go and drill my hole in the ground now.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    131. Re:Global Warming? by citizenr · · Score: 1

      No, question is very simple, WHEN did earth started heating up? Was it 100 years ago when we fired up thousands of coal plants? or maybe it was 12K years ago when last Ice age ended?

      --
      Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
  2. I doubt it even makes it to the atmosphere by rahvin112 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That methane dissolves into the water long before it reaches the surface and re-emerges, I would be surprised if even a small percentage of it make it to the atmosphere because bacteria would consume the dissolved methane before it can reach the surface. Even in the atmosphere where there is very little life the methane only lasts a couple decades, but in the ocean where it's teaming with life I doubt very little of it makes it to the surface.

    1. Re:I doubt it even makes it to the atmosphere by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 5, Informative

      From TFA-

      "Even in the more likely event that aerobic microbes devour the methane while still in the ocean, it is converted to carbon dioxide, which leads to ocean acidification."

    2. Re:I doubt it even makes it to the atmosphere by Cardoor · · Score: 1

      get ready to be surprised.

    3. Re:I doubt it even makes it to the atmosphere by GodInHell · · Score: 2

      It's almost like slashdot summaries of full articles cut out much of the context and content required to fully understand the thesis of the story.

    4. Re:I doubt it even makes it to the atmosphere by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "teeming", numbskull.

    5. Re:I doubt it even makes it to the atmosphere by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 4, Funny

      Excuse me, but - discussions here will be more free flowing and productive if people's opinions aren't pre-biased by any so-called "facts" which might appear in the linked articles. This is why we have a longstanding prohibition against reading them. Please remember that next time.

      Thank you.

      -- The Management

      --
      #DeleteChrome
    6. Re:I doubt it even makes it to the atmosphere by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      As the Chinese motivational speaker always says, there's no 'a' in "teeming".

    7. Re:I doubt it even makes it to the atmosphere by ksheff · · Score: 1

      The question that I have is: can the methane from these seeps be captured and then be used for fuel?

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
  3. This is what they mean by "point of no return" by i+kan+reed · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A lot of people discuss this notion, and it's only rarely contextualized in terms of what's actually happening.

    Methane is big. A huge greenhouse gas. It knocks the socks of carbon in all ways except that there's not that much of it(yet). It also doesn't "clean up" nearly as nicely after a couple of centuries of forest expansion/ocean calcification.

    And a lot of evidence suggests warmer temperatures are going to release more big-time. It's scary because: we can't just stop producing it in bulk like CO2 the heat will release a lot of it naturally(and keep warming things). It's scary because: we have no (economically plausible) geo-engineering solutions like we might have to CO2. It's scary because geologic history suggests the runaways in the past last on the order of thousands of years.

    We really really really don't want this.

    1. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Just a passing though; A large release would not happen all at once & might be offset to some extent by a large explosion in the microbial life that "devours" this stuff.

    2. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by slew · · Score: 1

      We really really really don't want this.

      We really really really don't have a choice, do we?
      Historically, this stuff just happens...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...

    3. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      If you read the article there is a statement that the methane is converted to CO2 before it reaches the surface. It is a fuel source after all.

      The thing is, where else is this going on? Like those mysterious holes in Russia?

    4. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by starless · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Methane is big. A huge greenhouse gas. It knocks the socks of carbon in all ways except that there's not that much of it(yet). It also doesn't "clean up" nearly as nicely after a couple of centuries of forest expansion/ocean calcification.

      Actually, I believe the the lifetime of methane in the atmosphere is a lot less than that of CO2. So, although it's a more "potent" greenhouse gas, the long term effects of CO2 are worse because of CO2's longer lifetime.
      See e.g. this article on the effects of methane compared to CO2.
      http://www.realclimate.org/ind...
      When methane is released chronically, over decades, the concentration in the atmosphere will rise to a new equilibrium value. It won’t keep rising indefinitely, like CO2 would, because methane degrades while CO2 essentially just accumulates. Methane degrades into CO2, in fact...

    5. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by danlip · · Score: 1

      It also doesn't "clean up" nearly as nicely after a couple of centuries of forest expansion/ocean calcification.

      Methane has less than a 9 year lifetime in the atmosphere. Still bad, but very different from what you imply.

    6. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      This stuff "just happens" over the course of literally millions of years(from your own links). Not a couple hundred.

    7. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or maybe it's been going on longer than thought. It's amazing how many things are seen once you start looking for them. An example, when you're looking at buying a new car you'll consciously see more of them on the road (except for rare/new models, of course).
      In other words, please don't jump to conclusions as it doesn't help but instead polarises opinions. Wait for proper scientific study and leave out the politics.

      Here's an idea, plant a tree or another plant. Gather up the leaves and bury them, they're carbon waiting to be released back into the environment by decomposition so control it.

    8. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 3, Informative

      Methane may be 23 x more effective as a greenhouse gas than CO2, but it's also much shorter lived. Which is really worse?

    9. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      in the natural order of things, the release would be slower and take a much longer time.
      over that much larger time scale the critters maybe could eat it.
      but like everything with GW, we're dealing with a much accelerated time scale. i mean no its not instant even right now. but the permafrost melting, the bubbles of methane in siberia popping out, all of it, is going much fast than it would under normal natural cycles.

    10. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Which would add it increase CO2 levels for what they eat and increased methane from what they didn't eat.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    11. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      But they don't seem to worry about the CO2 production when discussing the 'devouring' of the known releases, so maybe they missed that. Isn't CO2 a much less potent greenhouse gas, and won't a lot of it still remain dissolved? Just stuff the models should factor in.

    12. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by sycodon · · Score: 1

      So the world will be really, really stinky for about 9 years?

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    13. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Says you.

      1) artificial farming methods are easy, if a little "expensive" (a thing that would not matter when the world is spiralling in to insanely hot temperatures
      2) it will bounce back. Eventually. Earth, while not actually a stable system at all, will take much more damage before it becomes irreparable.
      3) insect farming could replace most meat. Chickens too. Eggs. Pork, likewise, isn't a bad thing to keep.
      4) more heat means more clouds means more rain means more energy from simple turbine systems. Likewise more catastrophic wind speeds at various areas.
      5) methane itself can be used for fuel. Capturing it, again, is trivial, but isn't done because most farmers are actually technically incompetent, and are also getting a bad deal more and more as time passes. (seriously)

      Sure, not every human will survive. Some say that might be a good thing. Human society is destructive. Something that attacks us all would unify us and make us care more about our survival than what some stupid attention-whore model is up to this week.

    14. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by slew · · Score: 1

      This stuff "just happens" over the course of literally millions of years(from your own links). Not a couple hundred.

      I was not assigning fault or commenting on timescales or any coincidences, but pointing out this is likely spilled milk at this point.

      Our species will need to adapt to survive, there is no going back to pre-industrial times (or even staying at 1990 carbon levels, as if that would have helped). These things eventually happen and we will need to deal with it eventually.

      Note that a few methane plumes is not going to do anything on the timescales of my lifetime either (as many scientists have pointed out, this magnitude of methane plumes are likely to be eaten by bacteria before it gets into the atmosphere), but if large scale methane calthrate deposits (which these are not) were to actually to start a massive release at this point, there's not much we can do about it

      Unless I'm mistaken, we really don't have much ability to control things on a geological level yet (and no blowing up all our thermonuclear arsenals to create nuclear winter does not qualify as control, it's basically an uncontrolled experiment). It may be premature to say that any efforts will likely be futile at this point because little is known about this phenomena in specific or climates in general, but it seems to me like we are at the mercy of our planet on this topic (as we always were)...

    15. Re: This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One hole. Not holes.

    16. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is actually estimated that a clathrate release can occur in as little as 13 years.

      To say that is may be, quite realistically, the end of human civilization is a realistic proposition.

    17. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by HiThere · · Score: 1

      IIRC, the half life of methane in the atmosphere is around a decade (loosely speaking) but it converts to CO2 in most of its degradation modes (like being eaten by bacteria).

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    18. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by mellon · · Score: 2

      Whoopee! Those of us who survive can eat insect meat and drive around in methane-powered death vehicles with mohawks and face paint! Yay!

      You are basically making shit up here. Sorry. More heat doesn't necessarily mean more rain, and simple turbine systems are very inefficient and require a pretty high level of technology to maintain (you need to be able to smelt and machine steel).

      Meanwhile, in ten years we might have the ability to safely grow replacement organs in peoples' bodies. We might be on the verge of building an amazing new world. Why are we throwing this away just so we can drive fucking humvees down the highway and live in poorly insulated homes with the thermostat turned up to 80 and buy stupid tchotchkes made in factories in China powered by coal?

    19. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Lotana · · Score: 2

      Methane is odorless.

      Gas you use to warm up your house has impurities added to it to make it smell: This is for safety so that you will detect a leak before you pass out.

      Methane in farts is not what causes the smell. It is the other gasses.

      Alas, since the most common experience people have with methane is household gas, this misunderstanding persists.

    20. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Misagon · · Score: 1

      No, it is considered to be 25 times as effective than CO2 over a 100-year period.
      The CO2e rating is 30. When it "dies" it turns into other hydrocarbons, such as CO2 or formaldehyde.

      --
      "We mustn't be caught by surprise by our own advancing technology" -- Aldous Huxley
    21. Re:This is what they mean by "point of no return" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Capturing it, again, is trivial, but isn't done because most farmers are actually technically incompetent, and are also getting a bad deal more and more as time passes.

      No, it's because methane capture isn't their expertise and there aren't very many turn-key type systems that they can use to generate electricity or use for some other form of fuel. Most modern farmers are actually savvy with many technologies that they use because with out it, they would go out of business (well, unless they live near a city and can con urbanites into volunteering to harvest their crops...) My father was involved in a co-op that was trying to develop such a product and had a test farm or two. I do not know what has happened with the project since he died.

  4. Feedback loops by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Nature usually creates negative feedback loops that contribute to equilibrium. The textbook one is if there is population growth in a prey species, the population of predators will increase to check that growth.

    In this case we have a positive feedback loop. Increases in temperature will cause more methane hydrate to melt, which causes an increase in temperature.

    This is a very not good situation that does not have easy solutions.

    1. Re:Feedback loops by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

      Well, no, the earth does have negative feedback loops. We can see them in the historical records the deniers like to somewhat mindlessly cite for "natural cycles".

      Depending on the scale of the runaway, those factors can just take thousands to millions of years to kick in.

    2. Re:Feedback loops by HornWumpus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is something where engineers know things that climate scientists apparently don't.

      If the positive feedback was so strong, that the system was unstable (right half plane as it were) the earth would already be Venus. Doesn't stop climatologists talking out of the butts and proposing just such strong positive feed-backs.

      TL;DR; Don't ask a climatologist a control systems question and expect a reasonable answer.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    3. Re:Feedback loops by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      OK. I was focusing on human-scale time periods. Geological-scale is indeed different.

    4. Re:Feedback loops by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 3

      As the other reply points out- there are negative influences that do check the process and prevent the Earth from becoming Venus.

      Unfortunately for us, they take hundreds of thousands of years to happen.

    5. Re:Feedback loops by i+kan+reed · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Hey, look, HornWumpus, you don't know shit.

      Our planet, has, in it's history, quite provably been over 10 C warmer, due to different carbon levels. That's huge, FYI. Earth has a proven history of going extremely warm(and no one is saying Venus is our future, thanks for the implied strawman there). That kind of change would murder our system of agriculture, almost everywhere.

    6. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is something where engineers know things that climate scientists apparently don't.

      Not true.

      If the positive feedback was so strong, that the system was unstable (right half plane as it were) the earth would already be Venus. Doesn't stop climatologists talking out of the butts and proposing just such strong positive feed-backs.

      The climatologist have accounted for it along with paleontologists regarding ecological history - like the evolution of CO2 consuming life forms, acidification of the oceans, yada yada yada....

      TL;DR; Don't ask a climatologist a control systems question and expect a reasonable answer.

      Who would? We are talking about an incredibly complex planetary system - not some controller for some simple device.

      Climatology is applied physics and it is something well beyond engineers, software developers, and others who profess to be smarter than the average bear up here on Slashdot.

      Or to put it another way, you know shit and are unqualified to make comments - especially with your little tradesmen background (engineering).

    7. Re:Feedback loops by Anon-Admin · · Score: 3, Informative

      Hey, look, HornWumpus, you don't know shit.

      Our planet, has, in it's history, quite provably been over 10 C warmer, due to different carbon levels. That's huge, FYI. Earth has a proven history of going extremely warm(and no one is saying Venus is our future, thanks for the implied strawman there). That kind of change would murder our system of agriculture, almost everywhere.

      Not exactly, higher CO2 levels and warmer temperatures would provide more arable land, more plants absorbing CO2 etc. That is one of the feed backs that mitigate CO2 concentration buildups. I do know that plants in higher CO2 concentrations can handle higher temperatures. Raising the CO2 concentration to 1500ppm in an enclosed green house promotes plant growth and the plants do much better at temperatures up to and a little above 32.2c (90f) I did a study a few years back on that and was surprised at the results.

    8. Re:Feedback loops by chmod+a+x+mojo · · Score: 1

      There is a feedback control that may help mitigate a small portion of the effect already, humidity. Water vapor concentrations in the atmosphere contribute to warming.... until they are concentrated enough so that the albedo effect kicks in ( clouds reflecting sunlight away ).

      That isn't to say that it will be the panacea in any way, shape, or form though - since it will barely have an over-all effect short term. I was merely pointing out one tiny feedback check that is going on as we speak.

      --
      To err is human; effective mayhem requires the root password!
    9. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      TL;DR; Don't ask a climatologist a control systems question and expect a reasonable answer.

      On the other hand, why should we listen to someone who does control systems about climate change?

      Why does everyone on Slashdot think they can make sweeping statements about things which aren't their fields just because (in their mind) they can compare it to something else and come up with a simple answer?

      I'm not saying the two can't learn from one another, but I think Engineers talking about climate science is right up there with dentists discussing particle physics.

      It's not your field of study, and just because you came up with a simple analogy doesn't mean you know a damned thing about it.

    10. Re:Feedback loops by HornWumpus · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      When the earth was 10 degrees warmer, we didn't have out of control methane making the earth Venus (as predicted by climate scientists and the positive feedback they clearly don't understand).

      Latitude is the answer to global warming and cooling. Assuming it would be universally a bad thing is idiotic.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    11. Re:Feedback loops by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      The salem hypothesis.

      It's not that engineers are always falsely certain about scientific things, it's just that we're the ones who are most likely to think we're more qualified than we are with regards to science.

    12. Re:Feedback loops by HornWumpus · · Score: 0, Troll

      How do you defend the moron climatologists that made these claims (uncontrolled positive feedback from methane that will destroy the earth)?

      Calling an Engineer a tradesman is just the lame attempt of a liberal arts major to insult. Get back to work, those fries aren't going to drop themselves. You aren't the 'well rounded' ones, you are the morons.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    13. Re:Feedback loops by i+kan+reed · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nobody in climatology has said earth will end up like Venus. Zip Zilch. You won't find a climatologist saying that. Anywhere. If you can take the bullshit liars have said about this debate out of your mental image of the debate, you might end up eventually realizing exactly how you got the the crazy spot you're in.

    14. Re:Feedback loops by argStyopa · · Score: 0, Troll

      You had it, and then you lost it.

      You talked about feedback loops that restore a system to equilibrium (which, indeed, are amply demonstrated in everything from physical to biological systems on Earth), then (somehow) assume this isn't one.

      As you mention, nature frequently has feedback loops that offset changing conditions. If the "sweet spot" comfort zone of the natural system on earth were anywhere near as desperately sensitive one as it's currently portrayed, then over the 4+ billion year history of life on earth - and the half dozen cataclysmic extinction events that wipe out 3/4+ of the extant species - the climate would have spun off into one of these feedback loops that are so desperately (hopefully?) projected and we'd have a lifeless Venus or a dessicated Mars. We don't, ergo the system is robust, QED.

      To your specific point, we even have several historical examples in the ice records of (geologically) sudden 'pulses' in CO2 and temperature to levels comparable or exceeding today.* In every case the system has then returned to an equilibrium....DOZENS of times over the past couple of million years. The feedback loops you talk about are real; the cataclysmic FUD you're talking about negative feedback is, quite evidently, not. I'll post 4 billion years of actual historical record of far more substantial shocks to the climate of this planet, against 15 years of panicky hypochondriac environmentalists finally devising an issue with some purchase in the public mind.

      *some might point out that it happens every 120k years so so, and the last one was about 120k years ago. Yet this specific instance, curiously, is deemed to be "caused by" humans? If I stood on a beach, and knew that the tide came in 10 times before, regularly, and now it is rising for an 11th time, what sort of a moron would I be to assume THIS TIME it's because I'm standing there?

      The article itself states clearly that they have no idea how long these seeps have in fact been going on - while other seeps have been researched specifically for that and found NO BASIS for believing they're getting worse. So to automagically jump to the conclusion (which the article desperately tries to - "it's hard to prove they're the result of climate change" - as if that was the end goal of all research, right?) suggest at least faulty science, if not downright mendacity.
      Want a feedback loop? How about this - the seeps are extremely sensitive to ocean temp and pressure. The article suggests that a warming ocean might(hopefully, again) be the cause. But if the planet is warming, and seas are rising, this is going to put those seeps under deeper water, which is in fact more likely to slow them down. And if they've been bubbling away forever (ie contributing steadily and unaccounted-for levels of methane to the atmosphere), this could be the mechanism that then reverses warming.

      --
      -Styopa
    15. Re:Feedback loops by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You are looking at the wrong end point. Yes, the planet will survive. Very few people are worried about that. You have to be a real doomer / gloomer to stay away worrying about Venus level runaway heating. But you can have a number of other scenarios that can be considered less than pleasant:

      - Intensifying the sixth major extinction event. The other five really changed the planet around, much to Randall's comfort. The planet will survive this next one but since apex predators tend to be significantly effected and humans are the ultimate apex predator, this might be considered a Bad Idea.
      - Increasing temperatures increase arable land (generally). The problem is that of time frames. It may take hundreds of thousands of years to convert warm swamps into farmland. Most Americans can't handle fasting between gas stations, much less millennia
      - Increasing resource stresses - you may have noticed that humans are having a bit of a problem creating stable geopolitical structures during geologically and biologically stable periods. Add big swings in weather / climate, no matter which way, creates more stressors and more reasons for us not to get along with each other.
      - Which segues into another bit of bad timing. Changing climate while simultaneously cranking human population to over seven billion. For a number of important resources it can be argued that we have exceeded the carrying capacity of the planet. The degree and speed of upcoming climate events may well overcome our ability to feed, water and house all of us.

      So, it's not even a big issue which way the climate goes. The only way climate can mitigate the other problems is if it stays relatively constant. That doesn't appear to be happening.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    16. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There I was sitting on a planet looking out into space.
      I was thinking about climate feedback systems and if they could spin out of control.

      I looked to the left and saw Venus which did.
      I looked to the right and saw Mars which did.

      Hmm, maybe this spinning out of control theory is not so impossible after all.

      Of course, the thing that makes this a chicken little story is that the time scales over which it happened make the odds of it happening while we are here to see it nill.

    17. Re:Feedback loops by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      We could create permanent cloud cover to block out the sun. That would have the added side effect of stopping the solar-powered robot menace, though perhaps it would drive them to find a more sinister power source.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    18. Re:Feedback loops by Anon-Admin · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmm, let me take a stab at your points

      1) No other apex predator exists and thrives in as many varied Eco systems as humans. From the arctic to the desert we adapt and survive. Where as other apex predators fail to adapt and go extinct, we as a species adapt and survive. The reason for this is our ability to reason and to build tools.

      2) True, however our ability to reason and build tools allows us to adapt both our selves and the land at a much faster rate than nature. Thus as the land becomes arable we move in and hasten it's conversion.

      3) Governments change, people change them. This has been going on for 8000+ years. Nothing new here.

      4) Even at current climate change prediction we have a couple of hundred years for the changes to take effect. Think of where we were 200 years ago compared to today. In another 200 years there is no telling the things we could discover, build, or learn. Technology moves faster than climate change no matter how you look at it. You may also note that the population growth of the planet has been slowing and is (from memory) dropped to 2.6 kids per family down from 5 kids per family just 50 years ago. At 2 kids per family there is 0 population growth!

    19. Re:Feedback loops by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "This is something where engineers know things that climate scientists apparently don't."
      My sig applies to you.

      Idiot.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    20. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is incorrect. The amount of atmospheric CO2 is not the limiting factor for most plant life on earth - sunlight and soil nutrients are. What this means is that after a point which may already have passed, increasing CO2 does not actually promote plant growth. Fertilizer-using greenhouses with grow lights are an artificial construct that does not scale to the Earth's biosphere as a whole. Similarly, arable land is actually going to be reduced by global warming because the newly warmed up (arctic) areas have poor, thin soil and not enough sunlight due to latitude; while the currently productive farm land further south will suffer from dustbowl-type conditions.

    21. Re:Feedback loops by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Stop making shit up about Venus, it's a non sequitor.

      ". Assuming it would be universally a bad thing is idiotic."

      I't's bad for humans, and has the very real possibility of being the cause of are extinction.
      It will be the end of our civilization as we know it.
      I say both of those statements without hyperbole.

      We need to start doing something series now. Had we continued were Carter left off, we wouldn't be in this mess. Now we need to be even more aggressive.\Ad if we keep waiting we will need to get more and more aggressive. The longer we wait, the more expensive and the higher the impact is to us all.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    22. Re:Feedback loops by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      There's no need to "defend the moron climatologists" since they not the ones making those claims. There are plenty of people on the AGW is happening side who are getting overwrought about methane but most scientists studying the subject think it's a minor issue compared to CO2. It's something worth paying attention to but the chances of a catastrophic release from undersea methane deposits appears to be pretty remote.

    23. Re:Feedback loops by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Which would do nothing to save us as a species.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    24. Re:Feedback loops by geekoid · · Score: 1

      You don't seem to understand what they means.
      "You talked about feedback loops that restore a system to equilibrium"
      That does not mean it returns to a previous state. It means when energy input/capture levels off there will find a NEW equilibrium, not the same. There is no rule the new equilibrium needs to be habitable to humans.

      ", this could be the mechanism that then reverses warming."
      IN no way does that make any sense what so ever.

      Either they have been going on and are already taken into account, or they are new and will make it worse(but it is dwarfed by human CO2 release)
      Nothing about it means reversing it.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    25. Re:Feedback loops by Anon-Admin · · Score: 1

      Please quote your source when making such claims.

    26. Re:Feedback loops by Nimey · · Score: 1

      I'll even break it down for you. You got into this crazy spot because:

      1) you don't want to believe that AGW is true
      2) you find any goddamn reason, no matter how tenuously connected to reality or frequently debunked, to deny its existence because the consequences (if true) are too terrible
      3) besides, the people who are convinced that AGW is true and we shouldn't pollute so much are those people.
      4) Those people just want to tell you how to live anyway, so fuck them.
      5) so therefore, you've convinced yourself that AGW is a bunch of baloney.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    27. Re:Feedback loops by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      To your specific point, we even have several historical examples in the ice records of (geologically) sudden 'pulses' in CO2 and temperature to levels comparable or exceeding today.* In every case the system has then returned to an equilibrium....DOZENS of times over the past couple of million years. The feedback loops you talk about are real; the cataclysmic FUD you're talking about negative feedback is, quite evidently, not.

      The Earth will definitely return to equilibrium and the biosphere will certainly continue to exist.

      The piece you're missing is that I'm a human. I care about human stuff that happens on human time scales.

      "So maybe the global economy collapses and a couple billion people starve to death, but just give it 10,000 years and things will straighten themselves right out."

    28. Re:Feedback loops by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      The truth is, I don't know what's wrong with the deniers, and while I sort of adopt that narrative as an explanation, I don't really have any solid evidence that's actually how their brains are broken.

      I like to ask as honestly as I can, and of course, that never gets an answer either. People just assume I'm trolling and move on.

      How do you ask "What's wrong with you?" without coming across as actively hostile?

    29. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I't's bad for humans, and has the very real possibility of being the cause of are extinction.
      It will be the end of our civilization as we know it.
      I say both of those statements without hyperbole.

      So, we can put a man on the moon.
      We as a species can survive anywhere from the arctic circle to the Sahara desert.
      We can discover and create ways to stop most disease.
      We can even genetically modify plants to survive disease and drought.

      But a temperature rise of 2c will cause our extinction?

    30. Re:Feedback loops by Nimey · · Score: 1

      People have been asking that at least since Socrates was put to death for asking annoying questions.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    31. Re:Feedback loops by argStyopa · · Score: 0

      Maybe you missed my point about the earth going through pretty much this same scenario at least a dozen times in the last couple of million years?
      Human CO2 is dwarfed by natural sources, and the greenhouse effect of WATER VAPOR is massively more than that. What AGW zealots are asserting is that the climate is balanced on some sort of knife-edge of conditions, that the slightest tip by human CO2 emissions will push it into a runaway spiral of effects.
      We've got historical records of sudden higher CO2 and temps a dozen times; each time, feedback brought the system back to an equilibrium state. Why would we assert that "now" is somehow different from all of those previous examples?

      --
      -Styopa
    32. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except for Jim Hansen, highly respected researcher and climatologist...

      No true Scotsman?

      See also Runaway greenhouse effect...

    33. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nobody in climatology has said earth will end up like Venus.

      I can disprove that after a two minute Google search: James Hansen, who wrote Storms of My Grandchildren: The Truth About the Coming Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save Humanity.

      There is no position so radical that one can't find some idiot who holds that position. This particular position used to be quite common. It's one of the bases of climate change denial: most of the models led to runaway warming. In fact, some of the older models would have us already dead if they had been true.

      It's the Cry Wolf problem. Models have been proven wrong so often that some people distrust all models.

    34. Re:Feedback loops by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      On thing that people forget is that as latitude increases the available land decreases. That is somewhat mitigated in the Northern Hemisphere by the continents getting wider further north. The formula for the circumference of a sphere at any angle from the equator is C = 2 pi r cos(angle). The circumference of the Earth at the Equator is about 40,000 km, at 45 degrees (where I live) it's about 28,337 km, at 60 degrees it's about 20,000 km, half the equatorial circumference.

    35. Re:Feedback loops by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It would also hamper the productivity of our agricultural sector by reducing sunlight. That probably wouldn't be a good thing.

    36. Re:Feedback loops by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      To your specific point, we even have several historical examples in the ice records of (geologically) sudden 'pulses' in CO2 and temperature to levels comparable or exceeding today.* In every case the system has then returned to an equilibrium....DOZENS of times over the past couple of million years. The feedback loops you talk about are real; the cataclysmic FUD you're talking about negative feedback is, quite evidently, not.

      There is little or no evidence that CO2 levels have been above about 300 ppm in the past several million years. They are now about 400 ppm so you have to go back more than 5 million years or so to find a comparable level.

      As far as feedbacks and the cycles of the ice age go, the main driver appears to be orbital variations (Milankovitch Cycles) which are definitely not a feedback. Once the Milankovitch Cycles kick things off then various feedbacks come in to play.

    37. Re:Feedback loops by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      There are factors in the current warming that are quantifiably different than those other cycles you're talking about. The high level of CO2, the rate of change and the state of Milankovitch cycles for instance.

    38. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, your comment enters the "not even wrong" territory.

      The current velocity of climate change is over 10000 times what's been known for the past several tens of millions of years of Earth's history. This scenario is essentially unprecedented since the Permian Extinction. The Permian Extinction wiped out most of Earth's species, and it took several million years for the climate to stabilize back into something reasonable.

      It speaks more of your arrogance that you believe you might know more than the hundreds of people who have been literally spending their entire lives studying this and, amazingly, have a much greater understanding of physics and natural control systems than an engineer.

      Dunning-Krugger much?

    39. Re:Feedback loops by Lehk228 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      there is little to worry about, the resources problem will be solved when 90%+ of the human population dies after the famine reaches first world countries and WWIII starts.

      --
      Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    40. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that the alterations of the atmosphere will make cloud cover a contributing positive feedback. Vapor takes on many forms and not all of them are benefitial. In the meantime the altering of the shape and size of clouds will increase drought and floods.

    41. Re:Feedback loops by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Hey, look, HornWumpus, you don't know shit.

      Our planet, has, in it's history, quite provably been over 10 C warmer, due to different carbon levels. That's huge, FYI. Earth has a proven history of going extremely warm(and no one is saying Venus is our future, thanks for the implied strawman there). That kind of change would murder our system of agriculture, almost everywhere.

      Not exactly, higher CO2 levels and warmer temperatures would provide more arable land, more plants absorbing CO2 etc. That is one of the feed backs that mitigate CO2 concentration buildups. I do know that plants in higher CO2 concentrations can handle higher temperatures. Raising the CO2 concentration to 1500ppm in an enclosed green house promotes plant growth and the plants do much better at temperatures up to and a little above 32.2c (90f) I did a study a few years back on that and was surprised at the results.

      So did you also look at the increased demand for water and nutrients of those plants Or do you assume they would just magically appear?

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    42. Re:Feedback loops by HiThere · · Score: 1

      I think there are about as many positive feedback loops as positive feedback loops. The thing is, if a positive feedback loop isn't offset by an aligned negative feedback loop (or set of loops) then that part of the system tends to be unstable, and the system moves away from that point.

      Heating the planet strengthens the positive feedback loops involving methane release. The initial heating was caused by an increase in CO2, which is continuing, so it's continuing to strengthen the release of methane. The corresponding negative feedback loop involves the degradation of methane to CO2 which is a less powerful greenhouse gas...but, whoops! it's still a greenhouse gas.

      There are LOTS of sources of methane. Rotting pools of what used to be permafrost is going to be a big one. This identifies one under the ocean. It could be a big one, but might not be...because the methane might degrade to the weaker greenhouse gas CO2 before it reaches the atmosphere. Of course, CO2 will still contribut to global warming, just not as much. The real question mark (in my mind) is the methyl cathlates, which may become increasingly unstable if they get warmer. They *could* release explosively, in which case there will be a sudden large increase in the amount of methane in the atmosphere, Or they could release slowly, in which case there will be a slow rise of CO2. Or, if the ocean were cold enough, they could just remain in place. They appear to have released explosively a time or two long in the past, but I don't know how certain that is, or what the results were. Or how quickly they reform during periods when the ocean is colder. (Perhaps they've already done all the explosive releases they're going to do.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    43. Re:Feedback loops by MattskEE · · Score: 2

      This is something where engineers know things that climate scientists apparently don't.

      If the positive feedback was so strong, that the system was unstable (right half plane as it were) the earth would already be Venus. Doesn't stop climatologists talking out of the butts and proposing just such strong positive feed-backs.

      TL;DR; Don't ask a climatologist a control systems question and expect a reasonable answer.

      Real engineers know that reality is rarely a linear system represented only by poles and zeros. And they also know that complex systems can have multiple locally stable points, and that even stable systems may "ring" when perturbed with potentially catastrophic consequences.

      Consider the humble electronic oscillator which most certainly has a right half plane zero, does its output rise over time until it blows up the universe (aka turns into Venus)? No it doesn't. And to describe the magnitude of the oscillation generally requires the nonlinear transistor model which includes things like the maximum output current of the transistor, it is not a simple linear model like the one you propose.

      Earth is quite complex and while an engineer could model it as a control system it would be much more complex than the one you have proposed.

      TL;DR Engineers are just as capable of being incorrect as climate scientists are.

    44. Re:Feedback loops by mellon · · Score: 1

      We haven't put a man on the moon since I was a kid. And putting a man on the moon isn't very useful if there aren't any women and there's no place to grow food. We kind of need to make things work here. Sure, some of us might survive. Or we might not. Get rid of our technological civilization by decimating the population and hence eliminating the people who know how to make the stuff that makes us a technological civilization, and suddenly the "we can go to the moon" story gets _really_ implausible.

    45. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Increasing resource stresses - you may have noticed that humans are having a bit of a problem creating stable geopolitical structures during geologically and biologically stable periods. Add big swings in weather / climate, no matter which way, creates more stressors and more reasons for us not to get along with each other.

      So the country with most and biggest guns wins. Sounds awesome! USA! USA! USA! Drill, baby, drill!

    46. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if you extend the scale you may find a proof for any sort of changes. Whether these are indeed feedback loops or not is possibly irrelevant by the virtue of destroying life as we know it in the process. For instance depending on where continents are in relation to poles/equator even oceans may freeze. This has happened already and then it was undone - feedback? maybe or maybe not. One can of course argue that without those disasters we would not be here in the first place. Gosh if not for the big piece of rock that fell on earth 65myo dinos may have went so far as to develop in intelligent form of life. It is doubtful if it could be better or worse for environment. As any other life form the prevalent intelligence then would wipe out most of other life on earth and 'adjusted' it to its own needs. You may then argue that current changes are necessary to achieve higher life form later on and if this leads to a disaster instead argue that that was will of god.

    47. Re:Feedback loops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that positive scenario (greenhouse plants i.e. agriculture) assumes that the plants that our agriculture uses have not been washed off down the ocean by e.g. torrential rains and destroyed by other irregular weather patterns. The point is - agriculture requires some stability which rapidly changing weather is not providing.
      On top of it - your positive scenario assumes that people can migrate their farming around which besides the borders requires also infrastructure. All this is not easy and judging on the history makes for trouble and we have not even looked at your claims whether their are correct or not.

    48. Re:Feedback loops by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Dude your sig is ironic self reference. Everybody but you sees that.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    49. Re:Feedback loops by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      I never claimed it was simple, just that climatologists have repeatedly made nonsensical claims that they would have known were nonsense if they had ever looked at the problem through a control systems lens.

      But they are the 'experts'.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    50. Re:Feedback loops by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      ...except that we just discovered a massive source of methane that we never suspected existed.

      High level of CO2 is not true on the scales that I'm talking about - the last couple of million years.
      Rate of change is relevant for biologicals, as it has to do with how fast they can evolve around the change, but irrelevant to the ultimate state of the climate. If I dump X amount of salt into water, does 'how fast it dissolves' matter at all to the final chemical composition? No.
      State of Milankovich cycles: curious that you raise this. In terms of gross observation, we're in fact ON TARGET when it comes to the synchronicity of climate (temp, CO2 peaks) and M-cycles. Further, widely-recognized issues in Milankovich observations (divergent models, unplit-peak issues, etc) all suggest *error-bars* are still well in excess of the sorts of changes posited to be due to anthropogenic causes, meaning that all the sound and fury over AGW amounts to little more than arguing about static noise, in the big picture...

      So to imply - as the IPCC has for years - that we have some sort of 'final, settled, authoritative' understanding of warming, the processes, and the methods is a little premature?

      --
      -Styopa
  5. Related to? by hooiberg · · Score: 1

    Could this be related to the pacific light seen by pilots while flying across the pacific? http://www.pbase.com/flying_du...

  6. Didn't folks predict this like decades ago... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Didn't folks predict this like decades ago as a normal part of global warming? There's a lot of methane frozen on the sea floor that, with a slight change of temperature, will go back into gas. Folks were talking about mining methane hydrates at one point.... ...I feel old... ..Get off my lawn...

    1. Re:Didn't folks predict this like decades ago... by HiThere · · Score: 1

      I think this is a different source of methane.

      IIRC, they decided not to mine the methyl cathlates because:
      1. It would be too expensive.
      2. There was too much chance of setting them off explosively. (State change explosion, not a normal chemical reaction.)

      Apparently they're only stable at low temperatures, and the ocean is warm enough that they're iffy, and could be set off by an attempt at mining.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  7. All I saw was. . . by tyggna · · Score: 2

    fish farts are making the earth hotter

  8. TFA says "discovered" and "first time" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    From TFA, they discovered these plumes and this is the first time they have mapped this much area.

    That means they have a starting point, one datum for how much methane is coming from these areas. That's nice. Now keep measuring on an annual basis.

    If you think this means "global warming", it's not even as bad as measuring the temperature in the morning and mid-day to prove your point. It's as bad as measuring the temperature ad mid-day and extrapolating through that one point.

  9. Regardless of it, we must still pay... by madhatter256 · · Score: 2

    Regardless if it is all naturally occurring seepage or if man contributed to exacerbating seepage, we must still be taxed to pay not just carbon credits but methane credits.

    --
    Previewing comments are for sissies!
  10. Troubling trend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The seeps discovered in the Atlantic may be just natural, but with evidence of warming-based methane release in the Arctic and that the tailing off of warming in the last decade or two is being caused by the uptake of heat into the ocean, it's not out of the realm of possibility that this is the leading edge of something different. The operative question is, how much does the water column have to warm up to start clathrates melting in shallower waters? Given that methane is 20 times more efficient than CO2 at trapping heat, and that the total amount of methane locked up in ices is pretty freaking huge, it seems like someone should really figure this out.

  11. Bermuda Triangle? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hasn't this been a known issue since the investigation regarding all of the airplane disappearances in the Bermuda Triangle? The methane threw off their altimeters by making it look like they were climbing at a high rate, causing them to dive right into the ocean. Also, boats having been in the wrong places at the wrong time have had methane "bubbles" from the sea floor cause the water underneath them to get extremely "thin", which causes the boats to sink.

    1. Re:Bermuda Triangle? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 3, Funny

      Hasn't this been a known issue since the investigation regarding all of the airplane disappearances in the Bermuda Triangle? The methane threw off their altimeters by making it look like they were climbing at a high rate, causing them to dive right into the ocean. Also, boats having been in the wrong places at the wrong time have had methane "bubbles" from the sea floor cause the water underneath them to get extremely "thin", which causes the boats to sink.

      Less Discovery Channel for you, buster.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Bermuda Triangle? by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Less Discovery Channel for you, buster.

      Actually, it was the BBC doing an investigation of the Bermuda Triangle.

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  12. offgassing is a function of pressure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Methane offgassing from submarine frozen methane (clathrates) has been well known for a long time. The freezing point of methane is a function of both pressure and temperature. As pressure is increased, the freezing point also increases. As sea level rises, pressure at the seabed increases and offgassing decreases. So if seabed methane is a contributor to global warming, then it will cause sea level rise, thus limiting itself. Conversely, if the climate cools, then icecaps expand and sea level drops, causing increased methane offgassing. This a self-limiting scenario, not a positive feedback loop.

    1. Re:offgassing is a function of pressure by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      As sea level rises, pressure at the seabed increases and offgassing decreases. So if seabed methane is a contributor to global warming, then it will cause sea level rise, thus limiting itself

      With what coefficient, though? Will it decrease significantly before London, Netherlands, and major West Coast and East Coast cities are under water? Sea bed is really deep, a few meters of extra water isn't going to change anything.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    2. Re:offgassing is a function of pressure by Nimey · · Score: 1

      Therefore we can ignore it and I can keep driving my SUV that gets 10 MPG to the grocery store. Suck it, liberals!

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    3. Re:offgassing is a function of pressure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Frozen methane sits at the bottom of the ocean, several thousand feet below sea level. Because climate theory predicts sea level increases of less than a hundred feet, this is not a self limiting scenario.

    4. Re:offgassing is a function of pressure by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Except that it's my understanding that there has been explosive releases from methyl cathlates in the past. LARGE explosive releases (or we couldn't tell from this distance in time).

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    5. Re:offgassing is a function of pressure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you said yourself: pressure...and temperature.
      specifically oceans that are getting noticeably warmer.

      here's a clue: it's not off-gassing because of a decrease in pressure.

  13. Most important question first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Who can we sue for this? We're Americans, after all.

  14. Just found another by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    in this chair.

  15. Re:Ugh by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Those who believe we should end EVERYTHING because it's not perfect generally need medication or serious counseling. I mean it. Get some help, dude.

  16. Dead Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, you ignorant fool, it does "clean up" nicely. The half-life of methane in the atmosphere is estimated to be 7 years. Methane emissions are a significant problem. However, methane releases will largely fix themselves over a 50 year period. The problem is that global warming might set of a positive feedback loop of release of methane trapped in the arctic permafrost, causing a rapid rise in global temperatures.

    For those who care about science, Methane (CH4) is much lighter than Nitrogen (N2) and Oxygen(O2), and is volatile. It will slowly oxidize in the atmosphere, and tends to migrate up where there's more UV to encourage oxidation. A major release will be very bad for current climates because the rate of temperature rise will be huge, and the methane will decompose to CO2 which will have a significant long-term impact on the environment.

  17. On uncertainty by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    I have to agree with conservatives on one point: we don't know enough about Earth to make any reliable predictions.

    Maybe the Earth will somehow balance itself and the warming will level out. Or trigger positive feedback mechanisms that accelerate warming and/or change. We just don't know.

    However, that doesn't mean we shouldn't be concerned about altering the "normal" path. It's pretty clear we are gambling big-time via pollution and green-house gasses.

    Some of the more thoughtful conservatives say we should go ahead and gamble: humans will adapt around change. Even though I disagree, that's a valid position, for science can't tell us WHAT to do, only what will happen (at best). If simulations show that juggling rakes has a 20% of putting your eye out, and you agree with the odds, and do juggle rakes and your eye gets put out, and you accept the consequences, at least you are honest. Blind, foolish, but honest.

    I guess some conservatives want to be proverbial lion trainers. The problem is that we all have to be in the same cage with them.

  18. 'Summary' is reverse of article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This is the first time they looked at a wide region.
    They saw more methane bubbles than they guessed they might see.

    They don't think anything is new except that they now know that there is yet another thing that they need to understand before having a working climate model.

    Whoever wrote the summary is misrepresenting TFA.

  19. Perhaps proof of "hollow earth" theory? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Emitting methane as life forms do? You judge http://www.tokenrock.com/expla...

  20. Jehova's Witnesses Knew This Years Ago by turgid · · Score: 1

    Blimey, in about 1998 this old guy from the Jo-Hos knocked on my door and presented me with some literature including something about how "all scientists" believe in god, especially the Great Fred Hoyle, so God must be there.

    It also said that "scientists are telling us" about this vast, untapped wealth of hydrocarbon deposits on the deep sea beds in the form of these methane thingy-ma-bobs, so God had provided us with all the energy we'll ever need. He's a great guy that God dude! He didn't mention atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations and global warning, though.

    So, the Jo-Hos are right. God is really there! And we will never run out of energy!

  21. Methane leaks in the Atlantic ocean floor, I blame by Ajax4Hire · · Score: 0

    Methane leaks in the Atlantic ocean floor, I blame Al Gore. This is clearly due to Global Warming.

  22. Cap the leaks and profit? by meustrus · · Score: 1

    So this is clearly an environmental story. Methane is Bad News for the Earth. But it's also useful as a fuel; it's the primary component of natural gas. So why don't we have energy companies go out to where the leaks are and harvest them? I know that deep ocean extraction isn't exactly easy, but there must be at least some money to be made. And hey, it would just so happen to prevent this deadly greenhouse gas from contributing to climate change (as much, as it would still contribute some if burned for fuel) and ocean acidification.

    --
    I sometimes ask revealing, often ignorant-seeming questions. Maybe they're harder to answer than you think.
  23. Mother Nature, meet... by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

    ..Chipotle.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  24. Or in other words: by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 0

    Or to put it another way:
    We still have no fucking clue how the planet works as a whole, so this new thing is scary.

    --
    I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
  25. Found in Outer Space too... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I heard they've also discovered numerous methane leaks on Uranus too.

  26. offgassing is a function of pressure by vongillern · · Score: 2

    The average depth of the ocean is ~4000 meters. Sea level has gone up, what, a few inches? Fuck. For argument sake call it 2 whole meters. According to Wolfram, The water column pressure for 4000m is 392.266 bars. the water column pressure for 4002m is 392.462. Are you saying that two-tenths of a bar is going to make an appreciable difference in the freezing point of methane? Same goes for temperature. The mass of the oceans is ~1.33 x 10^21 kg. The mass of the earth's atmosphere is 5.14 x 10^18. Meaning that even a 2C increase in atmospheric temperature that ALL went into the ocean, the ocean will warm up a whole .002 degrees C. If two-thousandths of a degree. This is just ridiculous to think that either of these things make a lick of difference to how much methane the bottom of the ocean expels.

  27. all of the heat missing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    from an article just the other day about the scientific community not knowing that a lot of heat is is going into the deep ocean currents when they could not explain why the atmosphere is not hotter , i wonder if there is a "tin foil hat" for too much methane

    1. Re:all of the heat missing? by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      i wonder if there is a "tin foil hat" for too much methane

      That would be the refried-bean beret.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
  28. This one is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.widgetco.com/corks

  29. So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For the sake of the argument, let's skip past whether global warming is happening, and what is causing it. We'll just assume that it is so. So then...

    Why is global warming a bad thing? Maybe it is a good thing. Maybe we should encourage it, not fight it. Are we just afraid of the unknown?

    Possible reasons it could be good:

    • - Thawed arctic gives access to natural resources. Also increases arable land, feeds the world.
    • - Greening deserts increases arable land. Again more food and water for everyone.
    • - Increased plant growth. Everyone wants to save trees, right? Save the Amazon? Why not bring on the rainforest globally?

    Is it possible that the earth is currently in a ruined, wasteland state, and global warming is really a correcting factor that will improve the environment? Maybe eliminates hunger and overpopulation as a concern?

    1. Re:So what? by Swampash · · Score: 1

      The fuck? Take a desert, add heat, and you get... arable land?

  30. Leaks on the Seafloor by hackus · · Score: 1

    Yeah, like that has never happened before.

    Lets have a Methane Exchange and destroy peoples lives to fix it with Methane Tax Exchanges.

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
  31. Global farting? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The world is in the bathtub farting under the water and watching the bubbles.

    Like when we were kids.

  32. Man-made Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There has been so much nonsense spewed on this myth. If the earth has been spewing methane all along, then man couldn't have caused it.

    1. Re:Man-made Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The summary suggests that alleged man-made climate change is responsible for activating the methane spews.

      Learn to read, denier!

  33. lol climate change. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So since we discoverd the ocean is fucking leaky, its our faultHAHAHAHAHAHAH

  34. "Climate change"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh, you mean "CATASTROPHIC man-made global warming", but were just too shy to say...

    www.climatedepot.com

  35. Don't be fooled. by fygment · · Score: 1

    Really?
    No it isn't the vents that were just discovered that contribute to climate change?
    No no ...
    It is climate change that caused the vents ?!
    Can you spin things more blatantly?

    In any case, yet more evidence of how little we know about our planet.
    And more reason not to screw with it.
    Adapt and accept that things change for reasons we cannot yet comprehend.
    Laying blame and grandiose geoengineering 'cures', are the stuff of politicians and profiteers.
    Don't be fooled.

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.
  36. runaway globale warming? by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Methane is the thrid most important greenhouse gas after water and carbon dioxide, currently contributing about 10% of the effect. There are tremendous amounts of methane frozen in permafrost and continental shelf hydrates. The fear is ocean warming cold melt more hyrdrates, release more methane and make it still warmer.

  37. fossil fuels for another century by peter303 · · Score: 1

    After fracked shale gas runs out in the 2030s, there is a vast amount of methane in mehane-ice in the seafloor. Currently it is too pressurized to easily produce (e.g. Mocondo accident). But when other fossil fuels runlow, industry will try to mine it.

  38. Fracking for natural gas by ToddInSF · · Score: 1

    releases far more methane, directly into the atmosphere, without miles of ocean to absorb it.

    But the US needs a million fracking wells.

    Because it's our Christian Psycho duty to end the world.

  39. Re:Global Warming? tsarkon reports by catprog · · Score: 1

    So I presume you are not a big fan of mammals but instead reptiles. They were the dominate species after all during that period.

    --
    My Transformation Website
    Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
    Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  40. It's a non-issue.. it's cows that gotta go! by doccus · · Score: 1

    All the methane escaping from every single vent in the oceans, comes nowhere near the highly concentrated methane escaping from cows and pigs. A sealed cattle barn is a severe explosion hazard, for instance.. and the methane from cow poop and flatulence, here where I live, is sometimes so strong I can hardly breath. Coonsidering the poop, gas, Kuru, and poor quality protein that red meat (a.k.a. beef) contains, I'd be happy is all the steers except those needed to keep the cows happy, and half of all the cows, weren't returned by the aliens that keep abducting them. I don't thinbk cars are as bad offenders as cows. Remember that methane is 20 times as powerful a greenhouse gas as CO2.

  41. Thanks for sharing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    cool info :) dnt forget to check out www.buddychoice.com