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Rooftop Solar Could Reach Price Parity In the US By 2016

Lucas123 writes: The cost of rooftop solar-powered electricity will be on par with prices of coal-powered energy and other conventional sources in all 50 U.S. states in just two years, a leap from today where PV energy has price parity in only 10 states, according to Deutsche Bank's leading solar industry analyst. The sharp decline in solar energy costs is the result of increased economies of scale leading to cheaper photovoltaic panels, new leasing models and declining installation costs, Deutsche Bank's Vishal Shah stated in a recent report. The cost of solar-generated electricity in the top 10 states for capacity ranges from 11-15 cents per kilowatt hour (c/kWh), compared to the retail electricity price of 11-37 c/kWh. Amit Ronen, a former Congressional staffer behind legislation that created an investment tax credit for solar installations, said one of the only impediments to decreasing solar electricity prices are fees proposed by utilities on customers who install solar and take advantage of net metering, or the ability to sell excess power back to utilities.

516 comments

  1. Not so fast... by Vladius · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Not if The Cock Brothers have anything to say about it.

  2. They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In the craphole region in which I live they've already passed ordinances about things like wind turbines within city limits. They call it an "eye sore" and "disruptive." That's how the utility companies will outlaw solar paneling after donating generously to their politician buddies. Either that or they'll so overregulate them that the price will skyrocket beyond most people's financial reach.

    1. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Everybody knows wind turbines are eye sores.

      They obscure all the lovely smoke stacks.

    2. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Harlequin80 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      There was a wind turbine near me that was removed by local council order. It was one of those spiral tube looking ones and the person had put it up in their front yard on essentially a flag pole with guy wires.

      The thing had a fair amount of slap in the pole which was kinda scary to watch. But the main thing was this thing screamed when its speed got up. Not sure what it was, whether it was the bearings, the motor or maybe the brakes but it started to sound like a jet turbine spinning up when it was going fast (and bloody hell did it spin fast!)

      I used to drive past it on the way to and from work and could comfortably hear it over the car's engine and aircon with the windows closed.

    3. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Shakrai · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They call it an "eye sore" and "disruptive."

      They're most definitely both of those things. I had the misfortune of living through the construction of the Mehoopany Wind Farm. Think 24/7 heavy truck traffic, seemingly random road closures to move turbines/blades that were never communicated to the locals (it's awesome being half an hour late for work because they changed their schedule with no notice), huge amounts of deforestation (nine thousand acres worth), formerly crystal clear streams filled with silt from runoff, and dozens of blinking red lights where we formerly had clear nighttime skies. Take a look at this to get a feel for the impact of but one small segment of this wind farm. Look at the footprint for a single turbine and multiply it more than one hundred times, all for this one wind farm.

      9,000 acres of real estate for a lousy 141 megawatts of electrical production that's wholly at the mercy of mother nature. Let's contrast that to nuclear power, the cutting edge of 1950s technology: Nine Mile Point occupies 10% of that footprint (900 acres), hosts a second power station on the property and between the two can generate 2,599 megawatts 24/7/365 regardless of the weather. That's more than eighteen times the electrical production for 10% of the land. Zero carbon emissions for production; a non-zero amount overall (plant construction and fuel mining each have a carbon footprint) but that's true of wind as well.

      Wind power is a joke regardless of how you look at it. It's more environmentally disruptive than yesterday's technology and doesn't scale nearly as well. I'm not anti-solar; solar can be placed on otherwise wasted space (i.e., my roof) and is an awesome solution for peak power demand (nuclear doesn't work well here, it's better suited for base load)

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    4. Re:They WILL FIght Back by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They're most definitely both of those things.

      Thank goodness coal-fired power plants are so aesthetically pleasing and pleasant to live around.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    5. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    6. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Hadlock · · Score: 2

      Yeah but now that it's in place how many trucks are up there? Other than periodic maintenance, how many 18 wheelers service that farm in a given year? Three? Plus now you have a bunch of awesome ridge top mountain biking trails, improved access to the wilderness etc etc. Other than the short term inconvenience of a major infrastructure project going in (oh no!) your long term view of the even longer term benefits of the site seem awfully jaded given the extremely low impact (i.e. none) to your daily life.

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    7. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. I believe the author of the post was just using the wind turbine story as an example of the non-reasons Big Power (is that a thing?) will use to further their agenda to kill green, sustainable energy.

    8. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Khyber · · Score: 1

      That's because their solar design SUCKS.

      And they vastly over-stated possible power production.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    9. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Truth_Quark · · Score: 1

      huge amounts of deforestation (nine thousand acres worth),

      Really?

      It looks from the aerial photography you link to that they just cut tracks to each turbine.

      Wind power is a joke regardless of how you look at it.

      I look at it from price per unit, insulation from oscillating fuel prices, greenhouse emissions, and production of harmful waste.

      It's not as funny as you seem to think.

    10. Re:They WILL FIght Back by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Solar...yeah, right

      Ivanpah is solar-thermal, which is a dumb, dead end technology. It should have never been built.

      TFA is about solar-PV.

    11. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Other than the short term inconvenience of a major infrastructure project going in (oh no!) your long term view of the even longer term benefits of the site seem awfully jaded given the extremely low impact (i.e. none) to your daily life.

      It lasted six years dude. The effects were even more obnoxious than I listed; I remember dusting the house every bloody day because they were stirring up that much dust and dirt. They destroyed our local roads and paid nothing towards the repair of them. I moved out of that area a full year after they completed construction and the streams still weren't clear. That's what happens when you clear cut thousands of acres of forest. The out-of-towners they trucked in for the job showed no respect to the local community. The complaints ranged from the trivial (speeding, ignoring stop signs) to the obnoxious (unnecessary jake braking at 3am, sexual innuendo on their CB radios) to the criminal (assault and rapes tripled in Wyoming County during this project).

      Relations with the locals deteriorated to the point that people were literally pulling guns over road closures and other matters that seem trivial when viewed in a vacuum but which were somewhat understandable if you lived through it. I moved to the area in the middle of the project and tried to play devil's advocate in favor of it; I'm usually pro-development and at the time believed in wind power. After six months of living through this hell I had grown frustrated enough to join the locals in waging an undeclared war against BP and their subcontractors. My preferred method of acting out was to fuck with the 18 wheelers that tailgated me. "Hmm, 60 in the 45 isn't fast enough for you?" [sets cruise control for 30] "Oh, you're going to pass me?" [floors it] "Yeah, how'd that work out for you? Get back there bitch. That's right." [back to 30, rinse and repeat for 15 miles]

      The sad thing is I'm really not the NIMBY type; I would have been willing to tolerate the obnoxiousness if there was a net gain to society, but on balance there wasn't. 141 megawatts and for that we destroyed 9,000 acres of formerly pristine wilderness. They could have built a nuclear power plant that would have consumed a fraction of that land while producing many times the power. In reality you wouldn't have to destroy wilderness to build new nuclear plants; there are plenty of abandoned industrial sites across CONUS that would accommodate them.

      Incidentally, it fails from an economics standpoint just as badly (if not more so) as it fails from an environmental one. That wind farm produced the staggering total of ten permanent jobs. A conventional power plant employs hundreds of people and doesn't require thousands of acres of wilderness. Heck, even the small businesses around here that install solar panels usually employ more than ten people.

      I'll repeat: Wind power is a joke.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    12. Re:They WILL FIght Back by tmosley · · Score: 1

      They are more geographically confined, and not constantly under construction. Also usually far from areas where people live and work.

    13. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      It's awesome that you got +5 for this when I never mentioned coal while I've already earned a flamebait mod simply for sharing my own experience and pointing out that the return on ecological investment for wind isn't nearly as favorable as more conventional sources of power. Even hydro has a better environmental ROI than wind and hydro relies on submerging entire valleys.....

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    14. Re:They WILL FIght Back by khallow · · Score: 1

      Thank goodness coal-fired power plants are so aesthetically pleasing and pleasant to live around.

      I'm sure the same people would find coal power plants just as much an eyesore. But such a plant would occupy less land and be next to less whiners.

    15. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Call me whatever you'd like, I'm not going to lose any sleep over it.

      Things got so bad that they couldn't even convict the people that pulled guns on BP employees; they essentially got jury nullification because the DA couldn't find 12 people in the entire county that didn't know someone who had been trodden upon by BP or a subcontractor thereof. My actions paled in comparison to what some people did, and yes, they were passive aggressive. I won't apologize for them either. You live through it and see how long your patience lasts.

      If it makes the green people here feel any better that same area is the middle of the Marcellus shale natural gas boom. The gasholes are every bit as obnoxious as the wind people. They do employ more locals than the wind farm, so they're somewhat better tolerated but at the end of the day they're every bit as disruptive to the local life and ecology.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    16. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Mashiki · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well they've been trying really hard to push the whole green-energy crap here in Ontario. We just hit our "winter" and all that, the winds are now high enough that the windmills are stopped, and it's generally now so overcast that the solar stuff doesn't work. Thank goodness that we have a a pile of nuclear generation here, otherwise people would be freezing to death.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    17. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thej1nx · · Score: 2

      Nice red herring there.

      Did you bother reading the article title however? It talks about SOLAR. If your only argument is that wind turbines should not be near residential areas, nobody is going to disagree much.
      If wind power is such a joke, people will realize it is a money losing proposition, and they will NOT invest in wind turbines. Isn't US supposed to be all about capitalism, and stuff? Why are you against market taking its own shape? What are you, a f***ing COMMIE now????!!! :)

    18. Re:They WILL FIght Back by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      How about animals?

    19. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Shakrai · · Score: 2

      It's not totally crap; reducing carbon emissions is a worthwhile goal. The problem is that most of the people who are invested in this issue are so close minded that they tune out reality in favor of whatever solution they've already decided is going to solve all of our problems. This applies to people on both the right and the left. I actually had an argument once upon a time with someone that genuinely believed we could find the political consensus to cover half of Arizona and New Mexico with solar panels. That's "all" we have to do to solve our energy problems. Gee, is that it?

      I lived the ugly side of wind and may not be objective because of that, though I'm a few years removed from it and still remain unconvinced that wind is the way to go for anything but niche off-grid applications. The footprint is horrible in every respect, acreage, visually, ecologically. I don't mind looking at solar panels on my neighbor's roof, they're no more or less obnoxious than shingles. Covering every hill top in the Northeast with wind turbines? Thanks, but no thanks.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    20. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They are more geographically confined

      Except for, you know, the emissions and the mining parts.

    21. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      You're a fucking moron. By your logic ships that sail the sea are a joke because the titanic sink. Rockets are a joke because one blew up last month. Airplanes are a joke because malaysian airlines crashed and we can't find the plane. Highways are a joke because the local company that won the state contract is doing a bad job in construction is taking forever, therefore constructions of all roads everywhere will take forever and be poorly managed.

      Sorry whoever ran that project made your life hell, but that doesn't mean that every windmill everywhere is shit and useless. It just means the people who ran that project did a bad job.

    22. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why the weird links that don't back up your claims? I expected a link to a court case in the news or a forum of some sort full of complaints similar to yours but instead was taken to the legal definition of jury nullification, which I already knew. I knew about the shale deposit too.

      I would like you to consider that maybe your telling of the events is possibly tainted by your own bias and perhaps the interpretation of all these events may simply be your own personal one and not in any sense objective.

      To be honest, you sound like the type that listens to far too much talk radio and is constantly pissed about ____ because everyone else is. Maybe they're actually not.

      Either way, I guess I have to research your claims myself.

    23. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      Did you bother reading the article title however?

      Did you bother to read the comment I was replying to?

      It talks about SOLAR.

      I said that I support solar and find it a worthwhile solution for peak power production. Not so good for base load but TANSTAAFL.

      If your only argument is that wind turbines should not be near residential areas, nobody is going to disagree much.

      Actually my argument is that they shouldn't be anywhere. Clear cutting 9,000 acres of forest to produce 141 unreliable (vis-a-vis more conventional sources) megawatts of power is not a decent return on investment.

      Why are you against market taking its own shape?

      We don't have a free market for energy. Every energy source gets subsidies; they're added over time to suit the political winds of the day and rarely removed even when the party opposed to them comes to power. Wind is subsidized more than most. The wind farm I alluded to would not have been constructed without subsidies. Neither would my preferred solution (nuclear fission) for base load power. There are things we could do to improve the role of the free market in energy but at the end of the day it's always going to be subsidized and/or regulated; it's a critical part of the economy with implications for national defense.

      What are you, a f***ing COMMIE now????!!! :)

      Nope, just a realist. :)

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    24. Re:They WILL FIght Back by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

      Electric companies like these huge concentrated wind farms because they still get to control distribution and set prices. These machines are absurd. It's the same old business. And you won't make them any quieter. When you convert so much energy in a given space, it's going to make noise.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    25. Re:They WILL FIght Back by matbury · · Score: 1

      Think of all the tax breaks, subsidies, political support, and administrative support that the fossil fuels industries get. Now imagine if alternative energies got half of that. Cool huh?

    26. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Ksevio · · Score: 1

      It lasted six years dude. The effects were even more obnoxious than I listed; I remember dusting the house every bloody day because they were stirring up that much dust and dirt. They destroyed our local roads and paid nothing towards the repair of them. I moved out of that area a full year after they completed construction and the streams still weren't clear. That's what happens when you clear cut thousands of acres of forest. The out-of-towners they trucked in for the job showed no respect to the local community. The complaints ranged from the trivial (speeding, ignoring stop signs) to the obnoxious (unnecessary jake braking at 3am, sexual innuendo on their CB radios) to the criminal (assault and rapes tripled in Wyoming County during this project).

      Sounds like something to take up with your town council/police

      . My preferred method of acting out was to fuck with the 18 wheelers that tailgated me. "Hmm, 60 in the 45 isn't fast enough for you?" [sets cruise control for 30] "Oh, you're going to pass me?" [floors it] "Yeah, how'd that work out for you? Get back there bitch. That's right." [back to 30, rinse and repeat for 15 mile

      Sounds like a mature way of sticking it to the man (or the truck driver).

      141 megawatts and for that we destroyed 9,000 acres of formerly pristine wilderness

      That's quite a bit of power! That's also a suspiciously round number of acres. Judging by the satellite view you posted, the wilderness is still there with a few access roads.

      Incidentally, it fails from an economics standpoint just as badly (if not more so) as it fails from an environmental one. That wind farm produced the staggering total of ten permanent jobs. A conventional power plant employs hundreds of people and doesn't require thousands of acres of wilderness. Heck, even the small businesses around here that install solar panels usually employ more than ten people.

      Modern power plants don't employ that many people - it usually takes around 3 people to run a power plant so with shifts that's around 10.

    27. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Uecker · · Score: 2

      Land use is only one aspect of environmental impact.

      Most of the area used by wind farms can be used for something else, so your definition of "land use" is somewhat questionable.

      Most of the environmental impact of nuclear is not from the plant, but from other parts of the chain, especially mining.

      Having said that, I agree that nuclear is overall a very environmentally friendly energy source. It just is far too expensive to be of much use.

    28. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was a wind turbine near me that was removed by local council order. It was one of those spiral tube looking ones and the person had put it up in their front yard on essentially a flag pole with guy wires.

      Oblig. libertarian disclaimer: I don't care what other people do on their own property. However, the kind of windmill you describe is practically pointless. Look up how much power can be generated by a low altitude windmill of that size compared to the large types installed by utilities.

      ...so much travail over something that is little more than a lawn ornament.

      Conversely, any authority that tries to ban residential solar panels deserves to be throat-punched.

    29. Re: They WILL FIght Back by dickens · · Score: 1

      Sad to say, but vote with your feet.

    30. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Wind power is a joke regardless of how you look at it. It's more environmentally disruptive than yesterday's technology and doesn't scale nearly as well

      One interesting thing about Wind Power that is demonstrated by your Google Maps link is that once the windmills are built, the land around and between them is guaranteed to be left largely undeveloped for the lifetime of the site. That is to say, people won't build houses or businesses there, and not much else can be built there either since it would disrupt the wind flow that the turbines depend on.

      Given that, the construction of windmills at a site might actually be an environmental plus(*), since it keeps creeping suburbia away and leaves 95%+ of the area unaffected..

      (*) okay, an environmental lesser-of-two-evils, anyway. The environmental ideal would be no human presence on the land at all, but that's often not an option.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    31. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And how many acres are lost to us at Chernoble? How many acres has big coal polluted in such a way that we can't clean it up? How many acres and how many lives have been taken by big oil? Take a peek at streams, rivers and lakes in Kentucky and West Virginia where authorities limit eating fish more than one serving per year. And what do we do with nuclear waste?
                                  Solar, wind and water are the only game to play when it comes to energy.
                                  Yet we will see all hell break lose as most people go off the grid. The auto industry is in the same boat as Tesla has proven that electric cars are quite superior. Traditional auto manufacturers and dealerships now have no reason to exist. We may see electric cars built entirely by robots in the near future and garage mechanics will need to learn a new trade. These folks are the buggy whip people of this era. They are going down and will crash hard.

    32. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      They're most definitely both of those things.

      Thank goodness coal-fired power plants are so aesthetically pleasing and pleasant to live around.

      We use fly ash instead of sand in the children's play boxes. Much cheaper.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    33. Re:They WILL FIght Back by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      The large, high-altitude ones kill birds. http://catchingwindpower.com/ presents a low-altitude design that is bird-safe and purportedly provides more power. Maybe the guy had one of those in his yard?

    34. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      They call it an "eye sore" and "disruptive."

      They're most definitely both of those things. I had the misfortune of living through the construction of the Mehoopany Wind Farm.

      But you would have been all about a soft coal power plant being built there? You are just displaying NIMBY behavior. Now disconnect your house from electricity.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    35. Re:They WILL FIght Back by CaptainLard · · Score: 1

      If only a fraking boom was going on in your neighborhood instead of a wind farm you wouldn't have to deal with all that disruption. I see the picture you linked to is in PA. If you don't like deforestation make sure you don't drive 50 miles south (coordinates: 40.98882, -75.92017). Instead of a few lightly traveled roads you get vast black scars of coal strip mines. I do agree that nuclear has less of an impact but if we're talking the two options that have a reasonable chance of being built in the next decade you'd be insane not to want the wind farm.

    36. Re:They WILL FIght Back by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Actually solar thermal in general is a damn good idea and is being used at one power station (Liddell) for pre-heating which has cut down on the amount of coal required. There's also industrial scale solar thermal heat pumps available and you'll start to see a few more going onto the roofs of large buildings in the next few years.
      With solar thernmal you have to either build something enormous (nobody wants to be first with that and wear the development costs) or have an application that does not need a massive temparature difference like the two examples I gave above.

    37. Re:They WILL FIght Back by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      And an added bonus, you get to drink polluted water even when far away!

    38. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      How about animals?

      Hey - how about them animals?

      It impacts animals a lot less than when woods are cleared for housing subdivisions or urban spread. There are trees growing right up to the fences around our local wind turbines. Townhouses wer put up in what used to be a wooded area a mle form us. A lot of wildlife simply went away for good.

      And as for solar off grid applications - ever see how many birds are killed by power lines

      http://www.usatoday.com/story/...

      http://archive.audubonmagazine...

      http://www.eagles.org/vu-study...

      You make the common mistake of believing that whatever you are accustomed to is safe, while displaying great fear of what you aren't used to.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    39. Re:They WILL FIght Back by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      What about bird kills, though.

    40. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 0

      It's awesome that you got +5 for this when I never mentioned coal while I've already earned a flamebait mod simply for sharing my own experience and pointing out that the return on ecological investment for wind isn't nearly as favorable as more conventional sources of power.

      That's only because there isn't any "idiot" mod.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    41. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Come talk to me again when you need to put 3 coal fired power stations on every spare swatch of land just to power a very small suburb.

      I would happily have a wind turbine 20x the size of the current ones with 20x the noise output if only it could generate enough power for a city and they didn't need to put 100 of them ensuring you can never again look at a landscape without seeing a turbine.

      On the flip note I've never seen a coal fired power plant.

    42. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      why would i want that when a high altitude one will save me having to kill birds as well as generate power

    43. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      What about bird kills, though.

      Bird kills do happen. The relevant questions to ask would be: (a) how much do wind-farm bird kills effect the bird population, relative to other sources of bird mortality, and (b) how many birds would die in the alternative scenario, where the wind farm is not built?

      The answer to (a) is: not very much.

      The answer to (b) would of course depend a whole lot on how society chose to produce its energy instead of by from wind. If society continued to burn fossil fuels instead, the likelihood is that climate change would wipe out a lot more birds than windmills ever could. OTOH, if society chose to build nuclear plants or solar plants instead, it's possible that those options would kill fewer birds. As with most hypotheticals, there isn't an easy answer; but pretty much every energy solution (other than energy conservation, which is very much underrated IMO) comes with some environmental cost, and of course bird conservation is only one of many considerations that have to be taken into account.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    44. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      True, however, to be fair the fuel is not mined and processed on site and the spent fuel not stored on site for mre than 10k years...

    45. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am sorry that you and your community had a bad expericence with this project.

      How is this specific to wind power? Any large construction project will impact your community. I do not see how you can make any statements about wind power from this experience. Are construction workers for other types of power plant better behaved?

      The nuclear power plant destroys a lot of pristine wilderness. However that prisitne wilderness is far from the plant and thus not so visible to you - so much that you forgot about it. Mining and processing of nuclear fuel is messy and has an impact on the environment.

    46. Re:They WILL FIght Back by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2

      Everybody knows wind turbines are eye sores. They obscure all the lovely smoke stacks.

      That's good news, because this story is about rooftop solar.

      In many parts of the world, and no doubt in many parts of the USA, rooftop solar is already at parity if subsidies and externalised costs are taken into account. In direct costs alone, the US pays around 50 billion dollars annually to subsidise fossil fuels. Internationally it's close to a trillion dollars.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    47. Re:They WILL FIght Back by davester666 · · Score: 1

      they also don't have external requirements like "no wind" or "no sun" to prevent them from being moved to area's where poor people live.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    48. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thej1nx · · Score: 1

      Oil and coal get a shitload of indirect subsidies.

      Do the oil and coal companies clean up after themselves? Do they clean up the tons of pollution they help put in air? Pollution causes diseases and health problems. Is healthcare subsidized/regulated by government in most countries? Afraid so. Does government spend millions and billions then, trying to combat the pollution? Afraid so. If our tax funds are ultimately footing the bill for fixing problems caused by oil and gas companies, they ARE being subsidized for well over a century now, much more than green energy.

      So if both sides are getting subsidies, especially with your side getting even more so, it is ending up being a free market regardless, since things are on equal footing and even tilted to your side in fact. You are welcome to nitpick nuances.

      You might prefer Nuclear, but a) solar plans do not have the problem of where to dump their toxic spent fuel(you can actually recycle solar panels), b) Solar panels are not known for exploding and causing chernobyl like events, and c) in event of a typhoon, earthquake, tsunami etc. a solar panel accident will not usually claim lives and cause you cancer.

      It is interesting that you refuse to just move to a different location expecting us to sympathize with your plight, while irony of endangering fellow humans to risk of radiation accident just so you do not get "annoyed by noise" escapes you. Normally a person like you would be considered an asshole.

      Shit happens. Highway/Freeway constructions for example, do end up requiring people to move elsewhere. You could have legitimately argued about getting fair compensation from the wind farm utility for the inconvenience to you. Nobody would have faulted that. But instead, you chose to put YOUR convenience over many of others benefiting more in the long run, by opposing Solar and wind power. Worse, you are asking more people to risk their LIVES in nuclear plants so that YOU do not need to put up with "annoying noise". Nice going.

    49. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thej1nx · · Score: 1

      The false dichotomy you put up here is that if it was a chemical company which caused a spill in ground, contaminating your drinking water, you would have been up in arms against same. You would be objecting to the government spending a single taxpayer penny on the cleanup, and would expect the cost to be extracted from the culprit company.

      But just because the pollution/contamination is going in air, you have a different criterion here. And you seem to believe that letting the polluters get away scot-free, without spending on complete cleanup, while taxpayer funds are ultimately spend on same, is not somehow a subsidy by government in itself.

    50. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 0

      I'll repeat: Wind power is a joke.

      OK, be a five year old and go on repeating it. You may especially want to repeat it to the XV century Dutch people!

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    51. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 0

      Land use is only one aspect of environmental impact.

      A good example: the Dutch claiming new land after removing water from it with... WIND POWER.

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    52. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      Those turbines look like an interesting design

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    53. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not going to disagree at all with your comments about the construction. That sucks, shouldn't have happened. I'd be seeking compensation.

      As for the turbine farm land use : most of those I've seen use the area underneath the turbines for pasture or other agricultural production. Cows seem perfectly content with them. So really it's only the footprint of the towers and the grid connection stuff you have to consider "out of productive use" if there's no wind.

      Personally I'd prefer not to live closer than 25km (~15 miles) to a nuclear station; so that's 1963 square km or 485067 acres out of productive use if there's a whoops at the plant cf: Fukushima prefecture - 700 square km or 173000 acres seriously contaminated by Cesium-137 for the next century.

      I'm not saying that's totally unacceptable, but part of the cost of nukes that can't be ignored in your calculations.

    54. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most of the problems you had were directly related to the construction work rather than the wind turbines themselves. Once the construction is finished, the road blockages should go away and the rivers should be clean again.
      Sure, those portions of the forest are gone forever, but energy production is always a trade-off. Would you prefer if they'd built a coal power plant instead?

      NIMBY indeed.

    55. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      Bird kills is a factor that should be taken into account, when planning the location of the farm.
      Don't build them in a major bird trek route (we learned that the hard way).
      If you keep that in mind the bird kills are really not an issue.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    56. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      Solar thermal is good for the rooftop for hot water in the house and a heater for your pool (if you like to heat your pool)

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    57. Re:They WILL FIght Back by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      A wind plant does not require any 'wilderness'.
      If in your case the bad guys cut all the trees, they made a mistake :)
      I would in your case rather wonder why they did it, where the wood especially valuable? Did they want to gain new farmland?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    58. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tell me more about how the environmental mercury and acid rain resulting from a coal plant is geographically confined. No really, I haven't listened to my daily ration of retarded yet.

    59. Re:They WILL FIght Back by joocemann · · Score: 1

      Isn't it strange how a PUBLIC COMPANY is acting like it's a private business? Who cares if they lose money? It's a public entity! Why aren't they innovating ways to roll out solar on behalf of the public corporation!

      Yes. PGE has jobs to protect. But there isn't a single business out there that can be stagnant. Everyone is in a system of productivity and change. Public utilities included.

    60. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      Actually, the statistics are precisely opposite. The lower the turbine and the higher the RPM, the more birds it kills, while the higher the turbine and the lower the RPM (aka, the wider the blade radius), the fewer birds it kills. Also, tower design plays a major role. Those truss-style towers popular with small-scale turbines are the worst, as birds see them as potential perches / roosts.

      The worst wind farm in the US for bird deaths by far is Altamont Pass, especially their older turbines, which look like this. They're pretty much a bird cuisinart, they kill thousands of raptors every year and have had a significant impact on California's bird of prey population, while most wind farms have an irrelevant impact on bird populations.

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    61. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It depends on how you measure it. For example, here it says that solar is rapidly nearing cost parity except in places where restrictions and fees on net metering are in replace. But it's only fair that there should be such fees.

      Part of the reason for this battle in the US is the stupid way US consumers are billed, you usually pay a single per-kWh fee. Here in Iceland our electricity bills are broken down into a "distribution fee", for the infrastructure, and a "generation fee", for the power. Surprise surprise, all of that infrastructure costs some serious money, about as much as the cost of generation itself. If a person uses solar and net-meters out at zero, they're still using all of that infrastructure (unless they're off-grid, but nobody's arguing that off-grid is anywhere near price parity). Even more than that you're relying on the existence and functionality of power plants to keep the lights on during the day. If everyone did like you, then there'd have to be instead of power plants massive daytime-energy-storage buffers, be they batteries, pumped hydro, etc (in addition to all of the wires, transformers, etc).

      Now if you don't have to pay the utility, who exactly is supposed to fund this stuff? It's not cheap.

      Yes, many US states require free net metering and power resale. It's the law, so utilities have to do it. But all you're doing at the time being is transferring the solar-generators' share of the infrastructure costs onto the non-solar-generators share. So when you report that these people can "break even", is that really a fair comparison?

      Don't get me wrong, I'm a big solar fan. And I think that to reach true parity subsidies - such as these free net metering laws - are a great way to help get solar to that point. But let's not kid ourselves, it is a subsidy.

      (Things would be a lot less controversial if you'd properly break up your power bills into distribution vs. generation costs. Personally I think bills should be even further broken down to time intervals over the course of the day and have the purchase / sale price of electricity match the actual market price for that time. It'd be a big boon for solar users, at least in warm places with low to moderate market penetration where midday electricity is expensive and nighttime electricity is cheap)

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    62. Re:They WILL FIght Back by gadget+junkie · · Score: 1

      In the craphole region in which I live they've already passed ordinances about things like wind turbines within city limits. They call it an "eye sore" and "disruptive." That's how the utility companies will outlaw solar paneling after donating generously to their politician buddies. Either that or they'll so [overregulate]withdraw subsidies from them that the price will skyrocket beyond most people's financial reach.

      there, fixed it for you. I can understand the Deutsche bank analyst, he knows which way his bread is buttered, but people at the end of the line should know, or be told, that their normal electricity price includes renewable sources subsidies. until and unless consumers are told a "raw" price without subsidies, they won't know if this is economical or not.

      Mind you, if anybody thinks it's worthwhile and has 5 grand burning a hole in his pocket, feel free to buy that. But he's not using his own money now, he's using other people's money, and that's a harbinger of bad decisions if I ever saw one. and believe you me, I 've been in the investment business 30 years, I've seen my share.

      --
      "If a boss demands loyalty, give him integrity. But if he demands integrity, give him loyalty." (John Boyd, 1927-1997)
    63. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Oblig. libertarian disclaimer: I don't care what other people do on their own property.

      But the original description was:

      But the main thing was this thing screamed when its speed got up. Not sure what it was, whether it was the bearings, the motor or maybe the brakes but it started to sound like a jet turbine spinning up when it was going fast

      Your right to throw your arms around stops at the end of my nose. Your right to make loud noises stops at my ears.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    64. Re:They WILL FIght Back by ultranova · · Score: 2

      In many parts of the world, and no doubt in many parts of the USA, rooftop solar is already at parity if subsidies and externalised costs are taken into account.

      Do these externatilities and subsidies include the cost of keeping coal plants at standby for nights and cloudy days, or are we talking about fully grid-independent installations?

      Speaking of which, are there any plug-and-play grid-free kits, the way there are other appliances, or do people have to hack something together from separate parts? Because if solar (or wind, or whatever) powered homes actually becomes a thing, it would be to everyone's benefit to have a properly engineered factory-produced system handle everything; just connect power source on slot A, your house circuit(s) on slot B, and optional grid connect (for selling surplus power) on slot C.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    65. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Oblig. libertarian disclaimer: I don't care what other people do on their own property." I like to burn tires.

    66. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Your right to make loud noises stops at my ears.

      Now that really depends, doesn't it? There is no such thing as "the right not to be offended"; therefore, it would have to be established that a reasonable person would find the sound emissions of said device to be noxious or harmful outside the owner's property line.

      Otherwise, this is tantamount to an annoying pink flamingo or broken down vehicle on their lot. Aka "mind your own business unless you previously signed covenants against it". For example, I'm disgusted by the smell of my neighbors' cooking, but that does not establish a negative right to force them to change their diet or to scrub their cooking emissions. Their right to make fishhead soup aroma does not stop at the end of my nose.

    67. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Oblig. libertarian disclaimer: I don't care what other people do on their own property." I like to burn tires.

      Have at it, if that's legal where you live. I suspect it isn't, just like it isn't legal for me to sound a 140 dB air horn blast every hour.

      Yes, there is an obviously-implied "legal activities" clause to my statement. Just like I care if someone uses their property as a murder dungeon, but I didn't have to state that explicitly because it's patently obvious.

    68. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fukushima and Chernobyl ruined a bit more than 9000 acres and that for decades. And even if nothing happens: We still don't have a place to securely store depleted nuclear fuel and old reactor parts long time and safely. It is not an acceptable risk.

    69. Re:They WILL FIght Back by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Modern power plants don't employ that many people - it usually takes around 3 people to run a power plant so with shifts that's around 10.

      What this actually means is that nothing gets maintained, nothing gets cleaned, no problem gets adressed until something blows, at which point it gets duck taped rather than properly repaired since ten other things are screaming for urgent attention. You can't actually run any kind of industrial site with just 3 people, except in the dreams of bean-counters. Not without the whole thing being a slowly unfolding disaster.

      But that's okay, because when the whole thing finally reaches its climax, it's the poor bastard who happened to be present for the final stage who gets the blame, possibly posthumously. The economic geniuses who cut the personnel to unworkable level are safe with their bonuses. And that's all that matters.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    70. Re:They WILL FIght Back by ultranova · · Score: 1

      A wind plant does not require any 'wilderness'.

      A wind turbine requires land that isn't otherwise occupied. In practice this means wilderness.

      If in your case the bad guys cut all the trees, they made a mistake :)
      I would in your case rather wonder why they did it, where the wood especially valuable? Did they want to gain new farmland?

      How do you propose getting a wind turbine, or any heavy equipment for that matter, in the middle of a forest without clearing the trees first? For that matter, how do you propose building a tower for holding said wind turbine without clearing the trees first? How about power lines?

      You have to clear an area for any kind of construction. Pretending this isn't the case for wind turbines is deception.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    71. Re:They WILL FIght Back by rjr3 · · Score: 1

      39 years ago I wrote my 9th grade science paper on nuclear power - I was a fan of it then and still am.
      39 years since I wrote that paper the safe disposal of nuclear operations leftovers has not been resolved.

      Your posting suggests that 9000 acres were destroyed , rather it looks like 100 feet per pole diameter maximum -big deal ... hows that road(s) you are driving on ?

      Nuclear is unable to safely store or guarantee safe operations 39 years ago, today or any time in the near future.

      I'd rather have a wind farm failure than a nuclear plant failure any day of the week.

    72. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thaylin · · Score: 1

      the problem with this logic is that what the utilities pay you for your excess is wholesale. This means they get to make a profit off your excess, and when you use things during off peak they are again making a profit off you, because they charge you retail. If they want to charge you a net metering fee they should be required to take your energy at higher than retail costs up till their is a nightly offset then anything extra is wholesale.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    73. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thaylin · · Score: 1

      The right to throw your first analogy works because it causes physical harm to you. You would have to prove that the noise is causing physical harm to you, and not just being an annoyance.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    74. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 1

      Where are you getting wholesale vs. retail? I said "actual market price". Same price figure whether you're buying or selling. Or if you're talking about existing net metering implementations, perhaps there are some out there that charge different rates for buying and selling, but I've never run into such companies. The typical use case is simply a "run the meter backwards when they sell, forwards when they buy" calculation.

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    75. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      And what do we do with nuclear waste?

      Find the political will to approve Yucca for the amount that can't be reprocessed into usable fuel.

      If a country of 5.5 million can figure it out surely the country that made nuclear fission practical can do so?

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    76. Re:They WILL FIght Back by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      You must have some really shitty wind and solar power systems over there. Well designed turbines should easily be able to cope with typical Ontario weather, and most solar works fine (at reduced output) with overcast skies. To be honest I'm not sure how you managed to get a solar PV system so crappy that it actually fails to operate with an overcast sky.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    77. Re:They WILL FIght Back by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Your argument is basically that the construction company sucks. They are clearly a bunch of incompetent morons if they need to destroy 9,000 acres of land to put up just 141MW of turbines. If you look at farms and individual installations in other countries the impact on the land is fairly minimal, really just around the base of the tower and some buried cable.

      It seems unlikely that building a nuclear plant would have been any better. Less area perhaps, but it wouldn't change the criminal behaviour of the staff or the amount of equipment they needed to get up there much. The only difference is that your suffering would have resulted in more MW being generated, when you shouldn't be suffering at all.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    78. Re:They WILL FIght Back by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Shhhh...they're Saving The planet!

    79. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Bengie · · Score: 1

      Over here they don't "pay you", you just exchange kwh for kwh. So if you pulled 100kwh off the grid this month, but you put 100kwh back on it, then your "usage" would be considered as 0. You still have the connection fee, but your consumption fee would be 0. You can not go less than 0, ie, they will never ever pay you.

    80. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      just listen to yourself, you'll get more than your ration!!!

    81. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      stop talking bollocks.

      Until you can "STORE" the power the fucking windmills and solar shit are just subsidy milking machines.

      and no matter how much of the useless shit you use you still need "base load" (nuclear preferably)

    82. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that's fuck all power for the area consumed by it.

      and remember it's not even reliable power, or predicatable

      so you still have to build another power station that is reliable so you have backup for when it produces fuck all for day's at a time

      A scientist did a calc that even if you used batteries to backup wind/solar, just for the USA, you would need to use more "lead" for the batteries than exist on the fucking planet. (now you'll say well use something else than "lead" batteries, sorry, all the other stuff you make batteries is even scarcer than "lead" so don't even try that shit! )

    83. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thaylin · · Score: 1

      So if you pulled down 100kwh but you put 200kwh on it they got 100kwh for free? That definitively should offset the cost.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    84. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thaylin · · Score: 1

      I never stated you said anything about those prices. The prices the utility pays here in most areas is wholesale, what they would pay to buy it from any other company, which makes them a profit. If I am making them profits in excess of the cost of the connection, which is really next to 0 since if something happens to the connection on my line I typically have to pay for it, then their should not be a charge for the connection.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    85. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A nuclear plant destroys a lot less than the useless windmills, and you still have to build the other power station as backup for the useless crap windmills!.

      So in effect you fuck up a huge area for zero fucking gain!!!

      That is the definition of fucking crazy!!!

      I would suggest taking some calming meds and let the nice person put the comfy jacket that lets you hug yourself on nice and tight!!!

    86. Re:They WILL FIght Back by kilodelta · · Score: 1

      Be awfully hard to call them an eye sore or disruptive if they're nearly invisible. They've now done paint on solar, clear solar aka home windows, etc. Once the efficiency of those goes up the incumbent utilities are toast.

      Even the big investment houses are recommending AGAINST utility investment. They see the writing on the wall.

    87. Re:They WILL FIght Back by JeffAtl · · Score: 1

      You do know that he was referring to the construction phase and not the operation phase, right?

    88. Re:They WILL FIght Back by JeffAtl · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power not of much use?

    89. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Everything you wrote is irrelevant. If they're running your meter forward when you buy and backward when you sell, then you're getting the same price for purchase and sale. If you use X kilowatts and sell X kilowatts, in most places with net metering, your bill is free, or nearly so. THis should not be, because you're still moving a lot of power back and forth over a lot of expensive hardware, and relying on very expensive infrastructure to ensure that you stay powered at night. All of this hardware costs about as much in terms of amortized capital costs and ongoing maintenance costs as the actual generation of electricity at a power plant. You should be responsible for bearing your share of this cost.

      People should agree to accept responsibility for their share of the infrastructure costs, infrastructure that they're clearly using just as much if not more than other customers, and instead argue on other issues that could benefit them, such as time-of-use valuation of electricity.

      if something happens to the connection on my line I typically have to pay for it

      I am, of course, obviously not talking about the couple dozen meters of wire from your house to the grid. I'm talking about the grid itself. If you want to disconnect your home's grid connection from the grid, by all means, you should then be under no obligation to pay for grid construction and maintenance. But as long as you want to use it, you should be paying for it.

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    90. Re:They WILL FIght Back by thaylin · · Score: 0

      It is not irrelevant. If it keeps rolling back and rolling back and rolling back, even if there are small rolling forwards in there, then you are still providing them with FREE electricity that they sell at retail costs, making them loads of money. If the net effect of your connection is that you used less from them then they gained from you then you should not be arguing the costs of the connections.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    91. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 1

      How much is the connection fee compared to a typical electricity bill? I'm betting it's just some trivial bookkeeping thing, not a full infrastructure cost accounting. As a general rule, the distribution infrastructure is nearly as expensive as the marginal per-kilowatt generation cost - less in cities, more in the countryside. A person with a net-metering of zero should have an electricity bill in the ballpark of half that of a typical household (less in-town, more in the countryside).

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    92. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know about the rest of your points or about the rest of the US but I live in New York (state, not the city) and my energy bill has been split into delivery and supply for quite a while. The delivery costs always go to National Grid as they own the infrastructure. For the supply you can choose different companies (including National Grid itself) based on price or generation technique or whatever floats your boat.

    93. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We have that too, at least in my state, but there's still the problem that the distribution fee is based on how much power you use. That makes sense for traditional users since you should pay more for using the infrastructure more, but a solar user might have times with little to no power use so also does not pay a distribution cost. What utilities are generally trying to impose is a flat fee for every account, regardless of how much power may be distributed to you.

    94. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 1

      Solar's not plug-and-play either. No matter how you set things up, when you're dealing with power to your home, you need a licensed electrician to make your connections. The only plug-and-play I can envision that wouldn't require an electrician would be a literal plug-in battery backup, which you plug into the wall and then plug a power strip into. But it'd only power the devices on that power strip, of course.

      Or are you talking about a drop-in home solution that's plug-and-play except for the need to have an electrician make the final connections? There are some fairly simple home backup systems out there. But no matter how you slice it, home backup power is rather expensive.

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    95. Re:They WILL FIght Back by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

      They're most definitely both of those things.

      Thank goodness coal-fired power plants are so aesthetically pleasing and pleasant to live around.

      True, but coal produces much more energy, energy which is needed. If wind turbines produced more output, they might be more tolerable, but they aren't even close. And, as parent noted, they aren't even all that environmentally friendly when you take all things into consideration. I think they're better used in more extreme latitudes, where solar isn't as viable, and where the winds may be more regular.

      --

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    96. Re:They WILL FIght Back by ZombieBraintrust · · Score: 1

      And the coal mine? Coal doesn't just grow on trees. It has to be dug up.

    97. Re:They WILL FIght Back by gatzke · · Score: 1

      Coal plants are beautiful - if you are a chemical engineer.

      They don't chop up birds. They don't blind pilots. They produce energy basically 24/7.

    98. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 1

      Think 24/7 heavy truck traffic, seemingly random road closures to move turbines/blades that were never communicated to the locals

      Oh, you poor baby, you had to live near a construction zone! Nobody else on earth has ever had to deal with that hardship, clearly!

      huge amounts of deforestation (nine thousand acres worth)

      First off, this is a lie. The whole wind farm is 9000 acres, but the turbines and surface roads only take up a tiny fraction of that land. If you zoom out your linked map a couple clicks, you can't even make out a difference from the surrounding landscape.

      But hey, let's just ignore reality and pretend that they marched in and bulldozed flat 9000 acres, ripped up all the ground and dumped it into the streams for 141 megawatts that will be maintained for, oh let's say 50 years with a 35% capacity factor. So about 2 GWh of electricty per acre of bulldozed land, which is less than that for mined coal. Except that coal fully bulldozes (nay, outright excavates to great depth) its land in reality, not fiction, and what they excavate either goes into overburden heaps, is purposefully dumped into streams, or is coal that is burned, creating massive amounts of fly ash and clinker to be retained (at great environmental cost) and massive amounts of emitted pollution into the air (at even greater environmental cost).

      In reality, that wind farm and its access roads is taking up, what, perhaps 4% of that area? So something like 50 GWh of electricity per acre.

      But oh hey, it's not in your backyard, so you couldn't care less! And hey, it has a few slowly blinking red lights at night, clearly that's so much more of an eyesore than a damn coal mine!

      Let's contrast that to nuclear power, the cutting edge of 1950s technology: Nine Mile Point [wikipedia.org] occupies 10% of that footprint (900 acres), hosts a second power station [wikipedia.org] on the property and between the two can generate 2,599 megawatts 24/7/365 regardless of the weather.

      First off, false. Nuclear power plants have higher capacity factors but they do not have 100% capacity factor.

      Secondly, you forgot to account for mining. Uranium mining has a significantly smaller footprint than coal mining per unit generation, but it's still a significant area due to the fact that they're mining for a fuel found in ppm quantities - and of the uranium they mine, U235 is only 0,7%, even of that they don't get all of it, and of that that goes into the fuel rods, only part of it gets consumed. Wind still wins on a real-world footprint comparison.

      Third, uranium mines, being mines targetted at heavy metal extraction, generally have a far more profound impact on their local environments than coal mines on an acre-per-acre basis (coal mines only win on destruction due to their sheer size).

      Fourth, you didn't account for reprocessing / long term storage.

      Fifth, you didn't account for the consequences on rivers for dumping nearly two gigawatts of waste heat into them.

      Sixth, most studies pin nuclear at significantly more expensive than wind per kWh. And wind prices are falling while nuclear has been rising.

      Lastly, most people's opposition to nuclear has nothing to do with any of the above, so you're not even started getting into the reason why many people don't like it.

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    99. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 1

      Actually, FYI, nuclear only makes up 41% of Ontario's generation mix. And you have more than enough hydro to keep the lights on during still overcast days.

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    100. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 1

      Until you can "STORE" the power the fucking windmills and solar shit are just subsidy milking machines.

      You mean by, say, drawing more from Ontario's 8.5 GW of hydro capacity during low-renewables times times and less during high times? Something along those lines?

      (and not to mention, those plants were designed for relatively constant use... you can upgrade the powerhouses without having to rebuild the dams (aka, at a very low cost per MW) to be able to give significantly higher peak outputs if you ever decide you need them)

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    101. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They actually are. I'm guessing you've never seen one and imagine they're like an 1860's coal fired boiler.

    102. Re:They WILL FIght Back by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      You think asshole HOAs think that solar isn't an eyesore? I guarantee that overbearing control freaks everywhere are drafting rules for consideration right now.

      I am quite thankful that the house I bought a few months back is not in an HOA neighborhood. Instead, of having rules that everyone get along and not do stupid things, everyone is just nice and gets along and doesn't do stupid things. It's a novel concept!

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    103. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's even a bit more complex than that. Distribution includes the cost of long-distance transmission lines as well as the (relatively) low voltage last-mile distribution. Distribution of power through net metering largely employes the local infrastructure, not the long-distance lines. There is some cost in the sense that local distribution means you have to maintain the high capacity lines to to the power plants, while potentially getting less usage out of them. But at the same time many of these lines are getting close to capacity. Increased local generation could mean in some instances that you're saving money by avoiding the cost of increasing that capacity.

    104. Re:They WILL FIght Back by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      The solution is fairly simple, use a combined grid tie and energy storage system. Have enough batteries to store half of a day's solar production and only send electricity back to the grid after the batteries are fully charged, and wait for using those batteries at peak hours. This typically reduces energy given back to the grid by half. In essence you become a much smaller consumer of electricity and don't use the grid at all during peak hours.
      The cost of energy storage is proportional to how much battery capacity you need. In an off grid install, you would typically need at least twice your daily production capacity (much more depending on how much solar production is lost in your winters).
      At the same time Li Ion battery packs are coming down in price not as fast as solar PV, but it should half in cost from 2012 and 2020 (at a minimum).
      Plus there's iron air technology that is still not at full commercial production which promisses to be far cheaper than Li Ion (as it sacrifices weight for much lower per kWh costs). With Iron air tech it might be fully economical to employ batteries with 2x your daily production capacity, so you might be able to only sell electricity to the grid in the summer, and in the winter only buy electricity at off peak hours, bringing you the best of off grid with grid tie solutions combined.

    105. Re:They WILL FIght Back by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      This depends heavily on your grid and generating structure.
      For instance, my Brazil is on average 70% hydro (including rainy years, dry years, rainy and drought seasons).
      Right now we're going through an extreme drought, that is forcing the grid to put every single thermal plant online. Those plants cost anywhere from twice to 10x per kWh than hydro (even including substantial losses from dams 2000Km away).
      So any solar and wind that is installed close to consuming centers is saving expensive thermal backup plants (technically Brazil needs no peaking plants connected to the national grid, hydro does the load following, thermal plants are switched on-off as needed but when on run at 100% all the time).
      So in our case, until there's enough micro (0-100kW) and mini (100kW-1MW) generation connected to the grid that we can turn off all of our thermal plants, its a great deal $$$ wise for the whole system. And since our country is mostly tall buildings, its very unlikely we'll see even 5% of our electricity offset by micro/mini generation customers.
      Even after the rain returns, and hydro is back at full capacity, our total consumption is continously increasing, if micro+mini generation could avoid needing to build more large hydro plants, the upfront cost of those is very high (although cheap in the long run), so avoiding having to build new hydro plants (and associated long distance transmission lines) is also a good deal. Also there are countries that don't have lots of hydro but that could install substantial pumped hydro facilities.

      My only quarrel with this whole solution is wind (in countries that don't have the hydro to load follow wind efficiently), unless wind is forced to pay for the costs of associated pumped hydro facilities. In Brazil's case wind is a good deal in our north shore close to consumer centers, as it saves hydro capacity too. Up to the point those cities don't become a net exported of electricity, then there is a significant cost associated with inverting the power flow in transmission.

    106. Re:They WILL FIght Back by judoguy · · Score: 1

      If wind power is such a joke, people will realize it is a money losing proposition, and they will NOT invest in wind turbines

      "People" don't invest much really. It's primarily funded from the government/utility complex. Damn little independent true free market investment in these massive farms.

      --
      Peace is easy to achieve, just surrender. Liberty is much harder get/keep.
    107. Re:They WILL FIght Back by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'm so glad that this is upwind of the city I live in. At least it's downriver, so if that dike between the settling pond on the left and the Ohio River bursts, the drinking water... well, MY city's drinking water... won't be poisoned. Sorry, Louisville, you're fucked!

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    108. Re:They WILL FIght Back by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Not to defend something I'm too lazy to scroll up to read, but coal is the incumbent energy generation technology. One needs not mention coal in a discussion of electrical generation, because it's what's being replaced by *anything else* being discussed.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    109. Re:They WILL FIght Back by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

      And the coal mine? Coal doesn't just grow on trees. It has to be dug up.

      And that...provides a LOT of jobs for people too. So a plus sign there.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    110. Re:They WILL FIght Back by gfxguy · · Score: 1

      I don't have it, but my parents have year round hot water from their solar water heating on their roof - but then they live in "The Sunshine State." I'd say that's a pretty good deal.

      --
      Stupid sexy Flanders.
    111. Re:They WILL FIght Back by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      Everybody knows wind turbines are eye sores.

      They obscure all the lovely smoke stacks.

      A couple of years back, the French complained that a new wind turbine field in Germany was spoiling the nice scenic view of the Chateau de Malbrouck (located just opposite the German-French border from that infamous field).

      Unfortunately, they conveniently completely forgot what the Germans see when they look at the Chateau de Malbrouck

    112. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder why they are not coloing with Fracking wells or grazing land for Cattle? seems like a waste of otherwise productive land.

    113. Re:They WILL FIght Back by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      41% is great. You don't want neither 100% nuclear nor 10% nuclear.
      Water cooled nukes are designed to be economical operating at 100% power output.
      With up to 50% nuclear share and a strong industrial base consuming electricity nukes can run flat out at 100% and never overload the grid. Then hydro does the load following to match demand on a minute by minute basis.
      New nuclear (molten salt or metal cooled) is designed to do as agile load following as hydro, not requiring boron injections and other consumables for load following.
      The MSRE experiment ran in the late 60s/early 70s was very interesting. The reactor power could be adjusted by just changing air flow through the heat exchanges (that reactor had no turbine hooked to it, its heat was just dumped into the air). Close the air flow, the core temperature goes up a little, coolant density decreases => reducing reactivity => power output reduced. Increase air flow, the core temperature goes down => coolant density increases => power output goes up. molten salt reactors can be designed to need no control rods, but most designs include control rods just to comply with blind regulatory rules tied to water cooled reactors.

    114. Re:They WILL FIght Back by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Actually solar thermal in general is a damn good idea

      It is good for generating low grade heat. It is impractical for generating electricity, which is what TFA is about.

      is being used at one power station (Liddell) for pre-heating

      This is one, subsidized, pilot project. No other power plant has adopted the pre-heating technology. That is not really evidence for economic viability.

    115. Re:They WILL FIght Back by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      The reality is a little different. The US wind energy subsidy is a fixed per MWh produced subsidy. Like US$ 20 per MWh. It doesn't matter if that particular MW was produced earning US$ 50 (peak demand) or US$ 5 (off peak demand) or even US$ -1 (grid overloaded, generators must pay to put more electricity on the grid), with a fixed US$ 20 per MWh wind operators can afford to dump their output on the grid even if the grid is overloaded, which is killing large baseload generating capacity.
      So when people say that nuclear power plants are being shutdown, its not because wind is naturally cheaper than nuclear, its because after their subsidy wind can afford to dump their electricity to the market at all times, and is forcing nuclear operators to pay to dump their output to the grid at off peak hours.
      When Warren buffet bought a few electrical utilities with nuclear construction plans and killed those plans switching to wind instead, that was a result of the perverse wind energy credit subsidy results, not of some natural wind advantage.

    116. Re:They WILL FIght Back by boskone · · Score: 1

      True, though it's getting closer.

      The Radian 8048 and one flexmax charge controller can get you there pretty quickly, but there are still some required lockouts/etc for safety that must be installed.

    117. Re:They WILL FIght Back by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      The problem with wind isn't land mass consumed. Its that wind is a massive jobs program. Wind turbines are maintenance hogs. And worse of all wind output is proportional to wind speed cubed (usually 45-80km/h winds power output is flat, and below 45km/h its cubed), so if wind drops from 45 to 30 km/h (a 1/3 drop), power output drops 70% !
      Ok, so the argument is install lots of turbines spread over thousands of miles, wind is always blowing somewhere... But you disregard the massive cost of long distance transmission upgrades to share the wind output where the wind is blowing the hardest with the rest of the country. And transmitting electricity to 1000 miles away also incurs serious power losses, or even more expensive HVDC transmission solutions (that loose just 10% or so of transmitted power).
      Or you need lots and lots of pumped (or regular) hydro to store energy surplus. With regular hydro and spare reservoir capacity you can just reduce hydro output, save water and produce more when wind dies.
      But all of that has serious costs and drawbacks.
      See, land consumed is just a minor portion of the real problem.
      Its no wonder that the largest supporters of solar and wind power are ... transmission electrical suppliers, like ABB. They profit more from renewables even than solar PV and wind turbine suppliers.

    118. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You may be surprised. Many states ( including my state of Indiana ) already have Solar "right of way" laws.

    119. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many acres are required to store the waste? And you should really measure acre-years, not acres. Multiply waste-storage acres by the length of time the waste storage is required divided by the length of time the plant produces energy. And multiply the plant's acreage by the length of time the site is occupied or unclean divided by the length of time it produces energy.

    120. Re:They WILL FIght Back by khallow · · Score: 1

      That's not going to be near whiners either. And holes in the ground tend to be very easy to hide from the neighbors especially when there aren't many neighbors to begin with.

    121. Re:They WILL FIght Back by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Traditional auto manufacturers and dealerships now have no reason to exist. We may see electric cars built entirely by robots in the near future and garage mechanics will need to learn a new trade. These folks are the buggy whip people of this era. They are going down and will crash hard.

      Step back from the pitcher of Kool Aid, please.

      Who builds the robots? Who installs the robots? You think that current IC-powered cars aren't built by robots? Who makes the parts that the robots use in assembly?

      Mechanical things break, and you need someone to fix it. Just because it's a car powered by a battery and electric motors doesn't mean that all of a sudden wheel bearings don't degrade and need replacement, and steering knuckles don't need to be lubricated. And, of course, we all know that the batteries will last forever and never be changed out. Oh, and tires last forever regardless of the source of energy causing them to turn. And brake pads? They don't wear AT ALL if you are using an electric motor rather than a petroleum engine.

      Is Tesla changing the game a bit? Sure, just like every disruptive technology that came before them. Is Tesla going to put every car stealership and mechanic out of work? No, that's fucking ridiculous. And you know that, which is why you posted as an anonymous coward.

      Last point - you're on the Internet and it would literally take seconds to look up Chernobyl to spell it properly. If you're going to demagogue something, please at least get the basic spelling right.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    122. Re:They WILL FIght Back by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      It's awesome that you got +5 for this when I never mentioned coal while I've already earned a flamebait mod simply for sharing

      There is no crying in Karma.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    123. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      Ocean Floor Disposal http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/O... always struck me as a good idea, particularly in a subduction zone.

    124. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      FYI, on the average day it also accounts for 73% of the total generation of all power used.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    125. Re:They WILL FIght Back by skatefriday · · Score: 1

      They call it an "eye sore" and "disruptive."

      They're most definitely both of those things. I had the misfortune of living through the construction of the Mehoopany Wind Farm. Think 24/7 heavy truck traffic, seemingly random road closures to move turbines/blades that were never communicated to the locals (it's awesome being half an hour late for work because they changed their schedule with no notice), huge amounts of deforestation (nine thousand acres worth),. Look at the footprint for a single turbine and multiply it more than one hundred times, all for this one wind farm.

      9,000 acres of real estate for a lousy 141 megawatts of electrical production

      You expect us to believe that the evil wind turbine company clear cut 9000 acres so that they could put up 88 wind turbines? unlikely(); Given the footprint of each turbine is only about a 1/4 acre, that's really only about 25 acres of land. Add in a couple hundred acres for access roads and you still are way below the 900 acres required for the nuclear power plant. I'm not at all anti-nuclear, but I am anti-distortion of facts. There may be a case against wind farms, but at least be honest about the claims you make.

    126. Re:They WILL FIght Back by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Most of the environmental impact of nuclear is not from the plant, but from other parts of the chain, especially mining.

      And where the ef do you think the materials for the wind farms come from? Unicorn farts?

    127. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, the bravery and wit of the Anonymous Coward. This person has a RAEL EXPERIENCE and relates it and you, from your absolute ignorance attempt to refute it with ad hominem attacks.

      Awesome

    128. Re:They WILL FIght Back by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      In many parts of the world, and no doubt in many parts of the USA, rooftop solar is already at parity if subsidies and externalised costs are taken into account.

      Do these externatilities and subsidies include the cost of keeping coal plants at standby for nights and cloudy days, or are we talking about fully grid-independent installations?

      "Externatilities" is a buzzword for "handwaving" and "cooking the books the achieve the desired result". When Big Evil Corps do it, it's evil. When little individual greenies do it, it's praiseworthy.

    129. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Part of the reason for this battle in the US is the stupid way US consumers are billed, you usually pay a single per-kWh fee.

      I think you've been misinformed. I pay a flat $8-per-month connection fee (constant, all year-round), plus a per-kWh usage fee (which varies season-to-season and has usage tiers). It's certainly not "the way US consumers are billed". It may even be common, but not where I'm from. That means there are at least two ways that US consumers are billed, making your statement nothing more than a wide, inaccurate brush to paint with.

      I live on the outskirts of St. Louis, MO, which is about as "in the middle of the US" as you can get. Here's the official paperwork filed with the Missouri Public Service Commission (a division of the Missouri state government).

      Also interesting to note: Ameren encourages their customers to use alternative electricity sources. Mostly because A) active electrical service has been written into the building codes everywhere in their service area to be a condition for occupancy, B) they get their $8 fee each month whether you buy from them or not, and due to (A), you have to pay it to live in any house anywhere in the area, and C) there are rumors that they don't have the generating capacity to serve their area fully past about 2025, and/or they don't have time to expand their capacity fast enough to meet demand.

      I'm not sure if net metering is required here. I know commercial buildings buy at "on demand" rates, meaning that it's more expensive in the middle of the afternoon in summer, and overnight in winter. Some residential customers can sign up for those rate structures as well. Everyone gets a seasonal rate shift, regardless.

    130. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >"Or if you're talking about existing net metering implementations, perhaps there are some out there that charge different rates for buying and selling, but I've never run into such companies."

      Here in California, the net metering is done according to time of use rates. The price is higher during the day, and lower at night. A solar home can use significantly more electricity than it generates and still get a net price of zero. Even so, your point that the cost of infrastructure should be billed independently is valid.

    131. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You keep mentioning the 9000 acres. I looked at the Google Maps image you linked, I don't see 9000 acres of clear-cut forest.

    132. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not a whole lot of alternate generation when I was growing up, but my father was the General Manager of the local Rural Electric Coop. They used to handle it by installing a second meter for anyone doing energy sell-back. Then they would pay them the same rates they bought from the coal-powered generation plant. They were required to buy it by federal regulation, but nothing said it had to just run your existing meter backwards. Of course, this was only feasible because there were very few people doing it. Supplying multiple meters for everyone and then managing the buyback would be a nightmare.

      Now that I think about it, it's possible that this model had a chilling effect on personal generation in the area...

    133. Re:They WILL FIght Back by tdailey · · Score: 1

      It is also important to mention that the years of government ignoring Ontario's strength in uranium, hydro and coal resources in favour of Ontario's relatively weak wind resource has resulted in electricity costs rising. The Ontario government's own plan projects a 42% increase in home electric bills from 2013 to 2018 and further to 68% increase by 2032.

      In addition, Ontario contracted itself into buying the most expensive, wind-generated electricity first, pays other contracted generators to NOT GENERATE electricity in times of excess supply and sells surplus power to neighbouring jurisdictions at a loss.

    134. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let me just say that I live in Kansas, and we have had several large wind facilities installed in the past few decades, one about 20 miles from my house. I have seen none of the problems you speak of...I expect a large part of that is due to the fact that the land didn't need to be significantly developed (its all grassland here) and the roads were fine (all of the farms I'm aware of are just off major US highways or interstates, so the affects on locals were a lot less noticable)...about every week or so, I'd see a caravan of large trucks towing blades or mount sections, usually about 1 turbines worth of parts in each caravan. I probably personally witnessed a half dozen of these caravans. They traveled through town a little slower than the surrounding traffic, but could still be passed as it was all 4 lane.

      I can see why you're upset, but as far as I can tell, wind has been a net positive here...not saying that wind competes well with other power sources economically, but I'd pick wind over coal any day of the week.

    135. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Rei · · Score: 1

      Corr: That should read "more than that for mined coal", not less.

      --
      Trick People Into Clicking Your Headline With This One Weird Trick!
    136. Re: They WILL FIght Back by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      Ah, the bravery and wit of the Anonymous Coward. This person has a RAEL EXPERIENCE and relates it and you, from your absolute ignorance attempt to refute it with ad hominem attacks.

      Awesome

      One person's "RAEL EXPERIENCE" is another person's "useless anecdote."

    137. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would sue them. That is theft.

    138. Re:They WILL FIght Back by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Why would I have to prove physical harm? The community has the right to set certain standards, like noise. When we live in high-density cities, it's necessary to make compromises. Around here, it's illegal to make too much noise after 10PM, for example.

      Running a wind turbine is neither speech nor religion. It isn't self-incrimination. There's nothing private about it. There is no absolute or Constitutional right to run a wind turbine, and therefore it may be regulated.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    139. Re:They WILL FIght Back by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If all we had to do to solve energy problems was to put solar panels over half of Arizona and New Mexico, then we might get some consensus on it.

      Unfortunately, there's a lot of distance between shading the Southwest Desert and energy independence, particularly at night.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    140. Re:They WILL FIght Back by dnavid · · Score: 1

      Yes, many US states require free net metering and power resale. It's the law, so utilities have to do it. But all you're doing at the time being is transferring the solar-generators' share of the infrastructure costs onto the non-solar-generators share. So when you report that these people can "break even", is that really a fair comparison?

      It is a true statement that net-metering customers are often using infrastructure that they are effectively not paying for, or not paying the true costs of, when their net-metering contracts allow them to directly offset generation and usage one for one. However, its also true that the statement "solar could reach price parity" can still be true while recognizing that fact for this reason: electric utilities overstate the costs of the infrastructure, and the costs of that infrastructure are affected by network defections.

      In Hawaii where I live, the electric utility recently proposed a plan to deal with the high growth rate of residential solar, which they were delaying due to their assertion that the grid was unprepared for the volume (which I concede as likely a mostly true statement). Their plan proposed a cost structure that would have made a customer currently paying about $200/month (what their documents stated was the residential average) and who could with solar reduce that bill to close to $15/month, under the new system would be paying about $150/month. That's for someone who deployed a net-zero solar system. That was due to the proposed system charging a $55/month infrastructure fee and paying only about half the rate for customer generated power as they charged for customer used power.

      Given those numbers, its entirely possible that the continued drop in costs for residential solar could bring down the cost of a completely off-grid system of batteries and emergency generator (for stretches of low sunlight) to a point where it becomes competitive with that $1800/yr of "infrastructure" costs. Moreover, even if the costs don't reach full parity, if they just get close its possible that enough customers could choose to defect off the grid so as to make the per-customer costs of maintaining the grid even higher - since the costs are largely fixed and don't go down when there are fewer customers.

      The combination of lowering costs of completely off-grid solar systems combined with the rising costs of utility power per customer due to defections could still cause a meet-in-the-middle where solar reaches price parity even for systems that don't need utility connections. Maybe not by 2016, but I wouldn't bet a lot of money against it either.

      The problem with the "solar customers are not paying their fair share of the grid" statement is not that it is not true: its that the best way to resolve that problem in the long run will be for solar customers to defect off the grid. If electric utilities continue to pursue the strategy of making solar customers "pay their fair share" eventually, and it may take time, the technology will reach the point where that fair share will be zero, because they will stop using the grid. Once the technology reaches that point, it will be too late for the electric utilities to do anything except watch customers leave. They should be working now to find a more suitable relationship between the utility and solar residential customers that isn't adversarial. Because in short run the utilities have a lot of power over the situation, but in the long run they have very little. They should use their power while they can to create something that ensures a future where their customers still need them. There are lots of ways to do that. Demanding solar customers pay huge amounts for the privilege of being utility customers is not one of them.

    141. Re:They WILL FIght Back by AaronW · · Score: 1

      It makes me glad that in my state they have added rules limiting stupid things HOAs try and do. HOAs cannot prevent solar from being installed and they must allow EV charging to be installed. The latest HOA laws prevent HOAs from requiring residents to water or prevent from putting in plants that require little water... we're in a major drought and some HOAs tried to fine people who wouldn't water their lawns or who put in low-water plants.

      Thankfully I don't have to deal with an HOA.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    142. Re:They WILL FIght Back by TranquilVoid · · Score: 1

      Incidentally, it fails from an economics standpoint... That wind farm produced the staggering total of ten permanent jobs.

      That's actually a success from an economic standpoint as it indicates efficiency*. You wouldn't say the farming industry was more economically successful if implemented a new procedure that required twice as many people to produce the same output.

      * Ignoring your point about the relative power produced of wind vs coal as that's incidental to your reasoning.

    143. Re:They WILL FIght Back by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Second point, it is new so the lack of other adoption is obvious and pretending there are other causes is to be frank dishonest.
      As for your first point, did you even read my post or did you not quite make it to the end before you replied?

    144. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank goodness that we have a a pile of nuclear generation here, otherwise people would be freezing to death.

      We can also import power. Every generation & distribution technology has a place in our energy mix. Let's not resort to a simplistic condemnation of green power because it's not a 100% replacement for conventional sources.

    145. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everybody knows wind turbines are eye sores.

      They obscure all the lovely smoke stacks.

      well said!

    146. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a minimum service connection fee in some states and has been one in MI for as long as I can remember.

    147. Re:They WILL FIght Back by hsu · · Score: 1

      They are more geographically confined, and not constantly under construction. Also usually far from areas where people live and work.

      The one pictured in link below is geographically confined to approximately 100 square kilometers, will operate over period of tens of years, over which it will spew carcinogens, radioactive isotopes and all kinds of shit to atmosphere, spread by winds all over the country. To build that, number of villages where people lived were destroyed and people relocated. There are several of these in Germany.

      http://www.suonsivu.net/2013.1...

      The plant generates 2GW, which, by ironic co-incidence, is about the same amount of average power a similar sized solar plant would generate. In fact, slightly less.

      To allow continuous feed of electricity, Li-Ion cells to store day's production of 1kW of solar panels, worth approximately 1k installed, would cost about the same as panels, plus some cheap electronics. Prices are current large volume prices, which would apply here. Both prices are still dropping. However, 4 million electric cars would be able to suck in all of peak solar production of such plant as well, so it is not necessary to have the batteries at the plant and buy them just for energy storage. We would need to have smart charging infrastructure or charge the cars at workplaces instead of homes. That 100 square kilometers of panels can be located on top of buildings and deserts instead of nuking vast areas of forests and arable land.

      As an added bonus, those EVs would reduce need to refine oil to approximately the same amount as energy consumed by those electric cars. While only part of this reduction is electricity, saving that wasted oil currently being lost in refining process would still be reduced emissions, while being lesser effect compared to getting rid of the coal plant.

    148. Re:They WILL FIght Back by dywolf · · Score: 1

      There's also the DBAD principle.
      Don't Be A ....

      too bad more people don't live by it

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    149. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Bengie · · Score: 1

      Connection fee is about $15 and the usage is a flat $0.10/kwh

    150. Re:They WILL FIght Back by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      So you have the right to emit sounds so long as they don't cause a pain reaction? Or is pain ok, as that's just a psychological effect? It'd take actual hearing loss levels to be able to complain in the Libertarian utopia?

    151. Re:They WILL FIght Back by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      So assault should be legal. Holding someone up at gunpoint should be legal, as you voluntarily gave up your wallet, and have no physical harm to show for it. Bow about bruises? They heal and leave no permanent damage. So should you be able to beat someone black and blue, so long as you don't cause permanent damage?

    152. Re:They WILL FIght Back by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      It lasted six years dude. The effects were even more obnoxious than I listed; I remember dusting the house every bloody day because they were stirring up that much dust and dirt. They destroyed our local roads and paid nothing towards the repair of them. I moved out of that area a full year after they completed construction and the streams still weren't clear. That's what happens when you clear cut thousands of acres of forest. The out-of-towners they trucked in for the job showed no respect to the local community. The complaints ranged from the trivial (speeding, ignoring stop signs) to the obnoxious (unnecessary jake braking at 3am, sexual innuendo on their CB radios) to the criminal (assault and rapes tripled in Wyoming County during this project). ......
      I'll repeat: Wind power is a joke.

      None of your complaints have anything to do with Wind Power as a technology. It sounds like a poorly run project, with uncaring and inconsiderate project leaders. That has nothing to do with Wind as a power source.

      I travel back and forth along the Columbia River all the time. There is a huge amount of wind power and ongoing construction. I've never been inconvenienced. Never had a road closed. Never seen any large amounts of dust. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-_z61PskCFZU/Tf5MQLBMofI/AAAAAAAABMA/_iJDGCRxHSw/s1600/DSCF2258.JPG

    153. Re:They WILL FIght Back by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      A wind turbine requires land that isn't otherwise occupied. In practice this means wilderness
      No you don't.
      You need only the 10x10 yards area for every tower.
      Regarding the other questions, if you cut down trees, you only need to cut space for transportation and erection of the windmills, not the surroundings. Not my fault that amercians consider/(make?) it cheaper to deforest the whole area.
      Afterwards you could regrow the forest anyway ...
      So claiming a wind park with 3x3 miles area will need an equivalent sized cleared/deforested area is simply wrong!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    154. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Uecker · · Score: 1

      Strawman.

    155. Re:They WILL FIght Back by Uecker · · Score: 1

      A technique which is not economical is not of much use for solving global problems.

  3. Hail resistant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Are this things hail resistant? Lower prices are interesting only if won't be smashed by some pieces of ice falling from the sky

    1. Re:Hail resistant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we get solar panels, can we sue all those uppity coastal elites flying overhead for inflating our power bills?

    2. Re:Hail resistant? by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Informative

      Are this things hail resistant? Lower prices are interesting only if won't be smashed by some pieces of ice falling from the sky

      Generally speaking, yes. Anything complying with international standards is required to handle a 1 inch chunk of hail at terminal velocity (50 MPH). Many panels are rated up to 4x that, for added robustness, but I doubt those are the cheap ones. :-)

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    3. Re:Hail resistant? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Are this things hail resistant? Lower prices are interesting only if won't be smashed by some pieces of ice falling from the sky

      There are many places that NEVER get hail. For instance, coastal California, where 30 million people live and there is plenty of sunshine. I haven't even seen lightning or heard thunder in the last five years.

    4. Re:Hail resistant? by mspohr · · Score: 1

      OMG... call the engineers! I bet they never thought of that. A big mistake. You are a true genius who will save us from the folly of renewable energy.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    5. Re:Hail resistant? by thej1nx · · Score: 1

      Hellooooo Coch brothers. Are those coal plants and oil wells, fire resistant?

      Conventional power sources are only interesting if they won't catch fire with just a stray cigarette, spark, or a bit of lightening falling from the sky.
      Oh, and THEY do not just get destroyed but cost lives and add tons of smoke and pollution when that happens.

      Nice try.

    6. Re: Hail resistant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So fucking tired of this argument. Number one yes they are very hail resistant. And wind resistant for that matter. Mine will stand up to hundred and 30 mile-per-hour winds.

      Number two. Hail occurs so infrequently that to base a decision based on the possibility of hail at some possible time in the future is ludicrous.

      Number three, when you install a system it will be covered by your homeowners insurance. So your max out-of-pocket cost would be the deductible insurance.
      Number four. Panels typically only make up 25% of the total system cost. All your wiring installation hardware inverters grid tie etc. will be unharmed by hail.

      Number five. Let's suppose the worst happens and you do get hit by hail into get some damage. The chance that every single panel in your system will be destroyed in a hailstorm is also exceedingly low.

      So what you're faced with is an extremely low possibility probably less than 1% that your system would be damaged by hail and should it be damaged, your cost will be approximately $1000 or whatever your homeowners deductible is.

      Number six. Any hailstorm that does enough damage to destroy your solar panels will also destroy your roof. So you'll need to buy a whole new roof, incidents that roof is covered by the same homeowners insurance, your out-of-pocket wouldn't be any more with the solar generation system then if you just had to replace your roof.

      Number seven you're probably gonna throw out some massive insurance premium hike theory because you added solar power. Fact is, you'll probably see less than 5% increase in your premium, so about $100 a year or less. My premium didn't go up at all.

      Number eight. You're going to tell me how expensive and time-consuming maintenances on the system. I can tell you as an experienced owner of solar panels, the actual time and money I've spent so far is zero hours and zero dollars. Everything in the system is solid-state electronic components typically with 20 or 30 year warranties.

        So long story short you're worried about something that will probably never happen and even if it does happen won't cost you any money.

      Please for the love of God put this false argument to rest.

    7. Re: Hail resistant? by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      Number three, when you install a system it will be covered by your homeowners insurance. So your max out-of-pocket cost would be the deductible insurance.

      Don't necessarily assume that just because yours was covered that somebody else will get the same treatment. And btw, insurance carries deductibles and most people carry pretty high homeowners. Will an "act of god" cover it? Maybe, maybe not - are you in a tornado or hurricane zone?

    8. Re:Hail resistant? by CaptainLard · · Score: 1

      Yep. Mine come with a 25 year warranty which covers 25mm hail and the system was engineered (formally signed off by a P.E.) to withstand gusts of 120mph. Pretty cool how the first thing that pops into your head that might damage it has already been dealt with eh?

    9. Re:Hail resistant? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      they've not seen much rainfall either, sounds like its time all houses in california need to capture all rainfall from their roofs.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    10. Re: Hail resistant? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      if its an "act of god" - sue the church...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    11. Re:Hail resistant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they've not seen much rainfall either, sounds like its time all houses in california need to capture all rainfall from their roofs.

      Believe it or not, that's illegal _because_ they get so little rainfall. The logic is that rain is a public commodity and must be allowed to go into the public waterways unimpeded (and into the ocean).

    12. Re:Hail resistant? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      good grief, thats daft

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  4. My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think it'd be fine for utilities to charge something nominal for the privilege of solar. After all, you're not off the grid AND the power company has to deal with the upkeep of the cables. Provided it's not a money grab... that it's justified.

    Net metering is when it runs backwards? That's probably find in a single month. But to carry it out over the year doesn't seem fair because during winter months, the solar panel user really is taking advantage of the grid.

    As for the pricing when there's a surplus during the summer (when you sell it back), as I said before, you're not dealing with the cables/power lines... they are (the power company).

    If solar power reduces carbon output from coal, good. Personally, if I could afford solar panels, I'd be interested in what uses it could provide during power outages combined with a battery backup for certain breakers/circuits (fridge, lights, and maybe one for TV watching).

    1. Re:My two cents... by bored_engineer · · Score: 5, Informative

      I think it'd be fine for utilities to charge something nominal for the privilege of solar.

      I couldn't agree more. Where I live, I pay a monthly fee simply to be connected to the grid, whether I use any electricity or not. I assume that if micro-generation becomes common that the co-op must increase this fee. I will happily pay an increased fee to have the night-time and winter generation that are impossible with solar.

      Personally, if I could afford solar panels, I'd be interested in what uses it could provide during power outages combined with a battery backup for certain breakers/circuits (fridge, lights, and maybe one for TV watching).

      A transfer switch, combined with a good inverter (or a pair, depending on your load) can provide this today. (The transfer switch is mandatory for any solar install, anyway, so as to keep utility workers safe.) In fact, this has been possible for at least 15 years. In fact, a good inverter can act as the charge controller for your batteries, as well as manage a back-up generator to keep the batteries charged during an extended outage. If you want a good system that provides backup power, I would talk to somebody about designing it for you, rather than trying to cobble it together yourself.

    2. Re:My two cents... by Khyber · · Score: 1

      " In fact, a good inverter can act as the charge controller for your batteries"

      Charging a battery off of AC? Surely you mean RECTIFIER.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    3. Re:My two cents... by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Net metering is when it runs backwards? That's probably find in a single month. But to carry it out over the year doesn't seem fair because during winter months, the solar panel user really is taking advantage of the grid.

      How is that not fair? As a solar panel user, you’re no different from any other generator company. If I’m producing power, I darn well expect the power company to pay me for it, just as I expect to pay them if I’m using more power than I produce. What would be unfair would be an arbitrary limit to how far ahead you can build up bill credits towards future bills, because that would mean that I produced power that the power company benefitted from, and sold to somebody else for more than they should have paid me for it, but then didn’t pay me for it. That’s called stealing where I come from.

      Besides, on average, solar power users produce power during the day, when demand is high and the cost of production is relatively high (because peaker plants are expensive). They consume power mostly at night, when demand is low and the cost of production is low. So no matter how long a cycle you average it over, the power plants are making a big profit from buying relatively cheap solar power instead of expensive natural gas peaker plant power (while selling that power at the same price). That more than pays for the negligible marginal grid maintenance costs arising out of providing power to one extra home.

      And if you produce more power than you consume for a whole year, the power company gets an even bigger windfall profit. In most places, net metering happens on a one-year cycle. They pay you if you use less power than you produce over the course of that one-year period, but at least here in California, they pay a whopping 3 to 4 cents per kWh (less than half the production cost for solar, last I checked). As a result, there’s really zero advantage to overbuilding; the goal is to get as close as possible to breaking even over the year, without going significantly over. And, of course, they resold your extra power at up to 38 cents per kWh....

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    4. Re:My two cents... by rahvin112 · · Score: 2

      The only problem is the fee is rarely what you want. The only way for the fee to be fair is for the costs of grid maintenance to be separated from power purchase completely. In fact the only fair thing would be to fragment the company into a single company running the grid with only grid expenses then to split those costs evenly across all subscribers, including business.

      What the power companies want is to charge a fee without justification or even providing financials to justify it. The most recent tactic they've come up with is to use subscriber revenue to install solar panels they would own. A blatant market distortion. They've even tried to make it illegal to install solar panels by mandating that only the power company can own them.

      The single most important part of this is that the power companies will not play fair. Everything they request should only be evaluated with ample evidence and only allowed with valid evidence and justification for the charge.

    5. Re:My two cents... by Firethorn · · Score: 2

      Besides, on average, solar power users produce power during the day, when demand is high and the cost of production is relatively high (because peaker plants are expensive).

      That's currently true, but look at Hawaii - they're quickly reaching the point where they'll need their peakers more at night than during the day. They're quickly reaching the point where some of their distribution circuits will occasionally go negative during the day.

      Net metering only works when you are indeed on average selling expensive electricity for the same rate you're buying cheap electricity. If more than 20% or so homes and businesses install solar panels the equation flips - now nighttime power is more expensive than daytime.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    6. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I do have one question about solar, but I cannot get a straight answer on this:

      If you take the energy it takes to make a panel, from the silicon to the frame, does a panel ever gain back the energy that it took to be made in its lifetime? I know we were sold a bill of good with ethanol which has done nothing to make gas cheaper, but has taken food out of the mouths of hungry people.

      I've read such BS on both sides. Do solar panels actually provide energy, or are they just "batteries" where they might get electricity, but never near as much as the panels cost to be made, all things considered. It isn't just silicon, it is the wires, the frames, the lenses, and this all takes a surprising amount of energy.

      For powering an electric fence in the back 40, solar is understandable. However, does it actually gain energy, or are we paying for the energy it gains in oil/coal units when the PV panel is made?

    7. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do you mean by "split those costs evenly across all subscribers"? The cost of the grid is not fixed per connection point and should not be a flat fee. That would be a hugely regressive policy. Only the commodity energy cost should cancel out, e.g. purchased units of power and generated units of power might offset one another to some degree. At minimum, the connection fee should have terms proportional to the peak current (a proxy for the capacity of the local grid ties that need to be installed and maintained) and the total transmitted energy (a proxy for the overall usage of the grid and all the parts that can wear out). A large commercial subscriber should certainly pay more for maintenance than a small residential hookup in an apartment, for example.

      A person who draws power at night and generates excess during the day should not have these capacity and transmission terms cancel out, but rather should pay for their peak input or output current and the sum of of their input and output, ignoring direction of flow. The peak current numbers would probably be on contract basis rather than completely dynamic, since the grid operators need to plan for how much you might draw rather than how much you did draw.

      A person who never generates would pay those same fees plus the full energy purchase cost too. A person who has local batteries and a well balanced generation and consumption model (who therefore draws very little power and delivers very little power via the grid) could have the lowest bill of all. But, they should still pay a fee based on their peak current, which might be a property of the subscription rather than their actual usage during a billing period.

      Of course, all of this could be further complicated with spot markets and other dynamic pricing mechanisms. But that won't eliminate these intrinsic costs for the hookup, the grid reserve capacity required, and the actual transmission of energy.

    8. Re:My two cents... by mlts · · Score: 1

      This is an offshoot from off-grid and RV solar charging systems. Oftentimes one will end up with one unit that takes 120 VAC, converts it into the right voltage for the batteries to use at the proper state of charge. However, as inverters become more of a standard fixture in RVs, one unit does the converter/rectifier work, as well as takes 12 volts DC, and turns it into 120VAC.

      Most RV systems have a converter/inverter, and the solar panels are fed into a charge controller which is a separate unit. MPPT charge controller prices are dropping, so it is only wise to go for something along those lines (so your 24 volt panels get a lower voltage, but higher amperage going to the batteries, as opposed to a PWM controller which will "lop" off half the voltage, making a 24 volt, 100 watt panel into a 50 watt panel for all intents [1].)

      Even though it is a misnomer, since more units are springing up with the inverter/converter/rectifier functionality, they end up getting called inverters, although it is wise to check what type of inverter (MSW versus PSW), and what added functionality is present.

      [1]: Note, these are rough numbers.

    9. Re:My two cents... by CaptainLard · · Score: 1

      You can afford it! Lease rates are usually equal or lower than your average electricity bill. Solar city's business model is they become your power company so you just buy electricity from them at a fixed rate guaranteed to be lower than what you pay traditional utilities with no cost up front (and thats actually the worst option). Best case, if you can get a loan and buy it outright, you'll usually break even within 10 years...at which point your solar panels will produce appreciable amounts of power for another 30-40 years! Most residential developments built since the 80's tend to clear cut everything so if your house is less than 40 years old, it probably gets enough sun to make it all worth while. See for yourself!

    10. Re:My two cents... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      now nighttime power is more expensive than daytime

      When you are on an island with no coal, oil or gas and consumption is so low that you have to use small and inefficeint generators then it doesn't take much of a price drop for solar to be cheaper. If the place was treated as something other than a captive market they wouldn't be screaming about the threat to their bottom line from solar and probably would have imported some geothermal technology from NZ, Iceland or wherever a couple of decades ago. In Alaska burn oil, in Pittsburg burn coal, close to the equator use that sunshine or whatever else you've got. Relying on shipped energy is just one storm damage port away from a shortage.

    11. Re:My two cents... by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      The answer, according to this solar energy MOOC, is a resounding yes: the panels produce much more energy than they took to build.

    12. Re:My two cents... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      When you are on an island with no coal, oil or gas and consumption is so low that you have to use small and inefficeint generators then it doesn't take much of a price drop for solar to be cheaper.

      Hawaii does have a coal plant, but they have to ship the coal in, and they are big enough for the generators to be efficient, even though it doesn't leave much slack.

      and probably would have imported some geothermal technology from NZ, Iceland or wherever a couple of decades ago.

      If it was cheaper I would have expected them to do it just to improve their bottom line. Seems that they have one in Puna. Of course, it also mentions that the largest/most populated island, Oahu, isn't a good candidate for geothermal power. To the point that they're considering stringing a power cable undersea to connect the islands in order to transfer power between them, exploiting Big Island's geothermal plant for Oahu's benefit.

      As for Alaska, hell no, save the oil for heating and selling down south. We have coal up here as well, we're currently in the process of trying to restart a coal power plant - it's even a 'clean coal' one that was built with the assistance of federal subsidies for the purpose of research.

      Finally, I swear I've had a conversation similar to this before about Hawaii - Sure it's a special case, but that makes it a good candidate to look at for the potential problems the mainland could face if solar installs explode. IE look at where Hawaii is now to see where the southern US could be in 15-20 years.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    13. Re:My two cents... by complete+loony · · Score: 1

      In Australia we forced the utility companies to buy any solar power you sent to the grid using a separate meter, at a fairly high rate to encourage adoption.

      Those higher tariffs are now over. So now we pay around 30-40c kWh (AUD, from memory) for mains, and they only pay about 5c kWh for any solar power you provide. But at least you're better off if you can use that power yourself.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    14. Re:My two cents... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Yes I did mention coal. Small coal fired power stations don't give you a lot of MW for your dollar either, as I know from taking part in recommissioning a plant with four tiny 30MW units. I could barely crawl through the top area of the boilers where the tube headers are. Such tiny things lose a lot of heat from surface area and burn a lot more coal per MW than larger boilers.
      So imported and more of it required. Low hanging fruit for competition.

    15. Re:My two cents... by thej1nx · · Score: 1

      Relying on coal/oil/gas energy is one fire/explosion/spill away from a shortage.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C... (Fire STILL burning since past 60 years. Will continue for 250 years. Entire town abandoned)
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H... (Town had to relocate)
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...

      Relying on nuclear plants is one tsunami/earthquake away from a shortage.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C...

      Let us come back and talk when solar starts causing entire towns to be abandoned.

      You were saying? Nice try setting up a false dichotomy, moron.

    16. Re:My two cents... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Yep, like I said, it's a special case - good mostly for examining to see where we might be in ~15-20 years if solar panels keep getting cheaper.

      They still have quite a ways to go to make power cheaper during the day, but I actually think it's a worthy goal. I like the idea of cheaper cleaner power that's distributed enough that, worst case, I'd be able to keep the freezer frozen* even if I have to use flashlights/lanterns at night until they get the power fixed.

      *I have a good one, it won't defrost if you keep it closed and give it power for a couple hours a day.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    17. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The term you're looking for is energy returned on energy invested, which is in fact >1 for solar. Notably, it's also >1 for ethanol made from sugarcane (as opposed to corn), which is why ethanol actually makes some sense in countries with the climate to grow sugarcane like Brazil.

    18. Re:My two cents... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      cost of production is relatively high (because peaker plants are expensive). and buying relatively cheap solar power instead of expensive natural gas peaker plant power ...
      That is a misconception.
      Peak plants cost the same at night as at daytime as they fulfill the exact same role: adjusting production to the _exact_ demand.
      You mix up the 'general peak', the load curve going up during daytime, with the 'small fluctuations' on top of that curve.
      The 'general peak' is covered by mid range load following plants, or wind or solar.
      The small fluctuations on top of that are handled by peak plants, fast reacting pumped storage and gas turbines.
      Ofc nevertheless you need less fast reacting plants at night, as the amplitudes and frequency of demand changes are much lower at night.
      So with your example above, which I quoted, the solar power the utilities buy will replace either base load plant or midrange plant, it won't replace any peaker gas turbine, as that still is needed to adjust to someone switching on his AC or fridge or washing machine.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    19. Re:My two cents... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The problem with Hawaii is a typical american one: the market will solve it. What a laugh!

      Hawaii is a prime example for a natural constellation that could produce its whole energy needs green and at an extremely low cost for the inhabitants.

      Instead the 'mythical american market' allows the utilities to earn big money on those inhabitants.

      Enough mountains for pumped storage, enough heat in the ground for geo thermal plants, enough sun for PV and for solar thermal anyway and finally wind in abundance ...

      However: for that you would need a government that actually governs instead of delegating all its 'sovereignty' to a 'market' that has no intention to do anything benefitting its participants ... customers in this case.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    20. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aren't I already paying for the grid as a consumer? Why can't the bill have a grid maintenance charge for all customers, regardless of which way they're pushing electrons? With all the base charges on my bill, only half of it is usage based.

    21. Re:My two cents... by JeffAtl · · Score: 1

      If the place was treated as something other than a captive market they wouldn't be screaming about the threat to their bottom line from solar and probably would have imported some geothermal technology from NZ, Iceland or wherever a couple of decades ago.

      Hawaii electric utilities already use geothermal, so this pretty much invalidates your assertions.

    22. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have solar panels in Florida. Prior to panels, my average monthly bill for the year was $140. Post-panels, it is much closer to $20.

      $10.51 of this cost is the price "to be connected" (gross receipts tax, municipal franchise fee, and municipal utility tax).

      I have power at night, during the summer, on especially cloudy days, the ability to draw extra power from the grid during high times (extra AC for a party), power when the panels fail (not often, but non-0), and many other times.

      I happily pay this fee, especially compared to the alternative: a $10K system of batteries, excess production to cover summertime & cloud cover, and a backup system to protect against failure or excess draw.

      Most importantly, I am paying this fee for a service: I get something. Someone maintains the power lines, someone does load balancing and management, someone is responsible if I don't have power, someone reads the meter to track my income/outgo power, someone manages the power phases and mitigates against power spikes, etc. I don't really expect this to be free, and $10.51 is a very, very reasonable price to pay for it.

    23. Re:My two cents... by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "If solar power reduces carbon output from coal, good. Personally, if I could afford solar panels, I'd be interested in what uses it could provide during power outages combined with a battery backup for certain breakers/circuits (fridge, lights, and maybe one for TV watching)."
      That is the problem.
      So what if it cheaper than coal? Natural Gas is cheaper than coal and solar and natural gas plants are what are being built./

      "if I could afford solar panels, I'd be interested in what uses it could provide during power outages combined with a battery backup for certain breakers/circuits (fridge, lights, and maybe one for TV watching).""
      Well it would be useless for lights since you do not have any power at night unless you invest in a massive battery bank so you are better off opening the blinds.
      Solar really has limited value for grid use but the solar crowd really cooks the books when touting it. Peak power is at solar noon which IS not when peak use is. Peak use is late afternoon early evening when solar falls to just about zero. Trying to figure out the right amount of solar for the mix is tough since baseload has the lowest cost and carbon for KW vs peaking plants so you want enough solar that you can not run peaking when solar can take the load but you want enough baseload that you do not use more fuel running the peaking plant than you need to. Since baseload plants are so efficent it may be better to waste some power at one time to avoid running peaking plants.
      And then you have winter and things like clouds and snow which cause issue for solar.
      Wind is better since wind can blow 24 hours a days so you can use wind for baseload with ng peaking plants to take the load when winds are too low or high.
      Solar is great for remote areas and could be really good if we get really good cheap batteries but we are a long way from batteries that can backup the grid.
      BTW way the solar fans cook the books is they will give you the power production as max at solar noon vs average for 24 hours, month, or year.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    24. Re:My two cents... by n0ano · · Score: 1

      Personally, if I could afford solar panels, I'd be interested in what uses it could provide during power outages

      Where I live, Colorado, solar provides nothing during a power outage (thank you very much Excel, the local supplier). My system is explicitly installed such that it does not provide power if the grid is off. I think the stated reason is safety, this way linemen don't have to worry about unexpected power when they are working on things. (I'm sure the cynical answer that this is just yet another impediment to solar is completely wrong :-)

      --
      Don Dugger
      "Censeo Toto nos in Kansa esse decisse." - D. Gale
    25. Re:My two cents... by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Good thing most power bills have both a generation, delivery, and connection charges then? It conveniently takes care of your argument if you are doing any type of on-site generation and using the grid for backup. You pay for what you use, as well as kick in for the maintenance of the grid connection.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    26. Re:My two cents... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      It invalidates my assertion that imported fuel burnt in small inefficient generators is expensive and reduces energy security? How?
      Talk to me and not some strawman in your head.

    27. Re:My two cents... by rdnetto · · Score: 1

      How is that not fair? As a solar panel user, you’re no different from any other generator company.

      The problem is that they aren't under the same contract as another generation company; they're just given a flat rate. The generators are subject to dynamic pricing that varies by the hour, and those prices take power factors into account. In certain regions, at certain times, the price of electricity can even go negative if the mismatch between demand and supply gets too great (this is typically associated with large wind/solar installations, which are inherently unpredictable).

      Of course, the reason they're given a flat rate in the first place is because dynamic pricing would be too complex and unpredictable for the average consumer, even though it would result in a more efficient system. Ultimately I suspect they'll just offer a mean price that compensates for this, with dynamic pricing as a possible alternative.

      --
      Most human behaviour can be explained in terms of identity.
    28. Re:My two cents... by catprog · · Score: 1

      If I run the same amount of current in two directions down my wire what extra costs are their over the other guy who just runs it in one way?

      (In other words the cost should be the max of either but not the combined max of both)

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    29. Re:My two cents... by catprog · · Score: 1

      Besides, on average, solar power users produce power during the day, when demand is high and the cost of production is relatively high (because peaker plants are expensive). They consume power mostly at night, when demand is low and the cost of production is low. So no matter how long a cycle you average it over, the power plants are making a big profit from buying relatively cheap solar power instead of expensive natural gas peaker plant power (while selling that power at the same price). That more than pays for the negligible marginal grid maintenance costs arising out of providing power to one extra home.

      Technically it is the grid not the powerplants that get the profit.

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    30. Re:My two cents... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      The problem with Hawaii is a typical american one: the market will solve it. What a laugh!

      Isn't the market solving it now? Something like 40% of the roofs there have solar now, and they can't seem to install them fast enough. The electric company is indeed rebelling, but people's response to that have been to start installing battery banks so they can leave the grid completely. The electric company has backed up several times.

      Hawaii is a prime example for a natural constellation that could produce its whole energy needs green and at an extremely low cost for the inhabitants.

      Probably so. Might have to do why they're installing so many solar panels.

      Enough mountains for pumped storage, enough heat in the ground for geo thermal plants, enough sun for PV and for solar thermal anyway and finally wind in abundance ..

      Mountains that are tourist attractions and therefore unavailable for pumped storage because the tourist industry is more important than green electricity.
      The biggest/most populous island actually isn't a good prospect for geothermal - they're looking at having to drill over 4km to get usable power. They do have a 3Mw plant on a different island though, and at one point was considering running some power cables from it to Oahu.
      As I said before, they're at 40% of homes having solar panels and growing. 'Wind in abundance' can actually be a big problem for wind turbines - they need steady wind more than just lots of it. It can also be difficult to erect turbines outside of calm conditions. Anyways, Solar is currently cheaper than ocean-based turbines, and land IS something that's pretty dear to Hawaiians.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    31. Re:My two cents... by JeffAtl · · Score: 1

      I can't be held responsible for you not understanding your own arguments.

  5. A link that won't... by rmdingler · · Score: 0
    Under that model, I, too, could submit the most unlikely statement as fact in a sketchy summary, and have it displayed without any counter argument.

    Good thing this is /., where everyone has a good grasp of reason.

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

  6. Subsidies by BradleyUffner · · Score: 2

    With or without the government subsidies?

    1. Re:Subsidies by geekoid · · Score: 2

      For which side?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The side that has been getting a very significant part of the upfront costs shouldered by the taxpayers. That is then neglected and suddenly it is super cheap (almost, well, maybe in a couple years)

    3. Re:Subsidies by rmdingler · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is no side of the energy industry that doesn't get subsidies, least of all the presently successful variety.

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    4. Re:Subsidies by microbox · · Score: 0

      Without. See levelized cost of electricity by source for more information. The formulas are complicated (because the world is complicated) so do some reading to figure out what is going on with them. If you have been watching these numbers for a few years -- as I have -- fossil fuels are in big trouble. They're already crying to the government to bail them out. It won't be long until box stores, data centers and factories switch. I think the big change-over will come around 2020. Obama's deal with China was really pretty cheap on his part. The chinese will actually have to do some work.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    5. Re:Subsidies by davydagger · · Score: 2

      The side that has been getting a very significant part of the upfront costs shouldered by the taxpayers

      you mean the oil industry? The same people who viciously complain anytime we try to touch any of their tax breaks.

    6. Re:Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China did not agree to do anything, just to "look into" changes. Obama gave up a ton, to get nothing in return. There is nothing in the agreement for China to actually do anything.

      Stop kidding yourself in thinking fossil fuels are in trouble. The only way coal is in trouble is from the Democrats trying to close all the coal burning plants so money can go to businesses that will give it to them. And to fight the imaginary global warming war.

      The picture is never as good as predicted

    7. Re: Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Coal is in danger from fracking.
      The large quantity of cheaper than coal natural gas it it's problem.
      Not Obama opinion about it.

    8. Re:Subsidies by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      The Fed has proved it can create money at will, and the stock market soars. No taxpayer funding is needed. Let the Fed fund fiscal policy, at zero cost (since interest is returned to the Treasury each year, by law).

      Taxpayers don't have to shoulder any costs. The Fed is not taxpayer-funded. And the Fed can forgive loans, or simply keep them rolling over forever.

      As a hedge against inflation, we should index everything (bank accounts, transfer payments, everything) to CPI so that purchasing power never decreases. Israel has used this scheme for decades successfully.

    9. Re:Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      not a lot of oil is used for electricity generation.

      can you list the tax breaks oil companies get? as far as i know the only tax difference an oil company has is that the accounting recognizes that the worth of the company is tied to proven reserves. calling this a "tax break" without any evidence that this is unfair seems like argument by weasel words to me.

    10. Re:Subsidies by khallow · · Score: 1

      Like all resource extracting industries, they get favorable depreciation schedules on a bunch of their assets too.

    11. Re:Subsidies by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      The oil companies screamed like bloody murder when they talked about shaving those 4 billion in subsidies while they were raking in record profits.

      But all the other groups receive equally large subsidies. If coal power cost what it's actual costs were it would be the most expensive power in the US. (I'm including the environmental and medical costs) But even if you don't include the environmental costs coal receives massive tax credits and subsidies.

    12. Re: Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't understand: GP was funded by the GOP. Obama bad! (Here's your commission for making that anti-Obama post.)

    13. Re:Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's a non-political look at oil/gas and taxes from the perspective of an investor.
      http://www.investopedia.com/ar...

      Here's one from the Cato Institute (I.e. the Kochs)
      http://www.cato.org/publicatio...

    14. Re:Subsidies by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      You ignore state and local subsidies which obviously can vary quite a bit.

    15. Re:Subsidies by CaptainLard · · Score: 1

      Without! Full disclosure, I'm getting the 30% federal tax credit with my system which will let it pay itself off within 10 years. Without the subsidy I'd still be in the black within 15 years...and then I get another 25+ years of appreciable power generation for free! And that's today, not in 2 years. If you own a roof that gets sun you should look into it.

    16. Re:Subsidies by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Funny thing is Nigeria's entire electricity supply comes from a combination of using the heat from flared off well gas (instead of the fire doing nothing but produce light) and little backyard gasoline generators.
      In other places, such as the USA, gas turbines used for peak power generation run on fuels ranging from shale gas to kerosene.

    17. Re:Subsidies by towermac · · Score: 1

      The problem in a nutshell: They love taxes, and hate profit, yet; we tax profits.

      All those tax breaks are for when an oil company, or any other company, spends their income building stuff, rather than taking that money as profit. Yes, they build that stuff to get future profits, which the state will then tax. A win-win economically, as it were. Better than the rich guy taking all his profit, paying the tax once, and then not seeing that money again in the economy.

      There's no real evil there. that's just the way taxes work.

    18. Re:Subsidies by towermac · · Score: 1

      Money is not wealth. Stock market absolute numbers mean almost nothing. And Israel is not a real country.

      When the Fed overprints money, it's simply a tax. It's the easiest, fastest, most direct tax they can levy.

      Of course, all of it is taxpayer funded.

    19. Re:Subsidies by abhisri · · Score: 1

      And that does not applies to non-conventional energy industry exactly how? I am still waiting for the reason why this is justified only in case of one set of industries.

    20. Re:Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      come back in 10 and tell us how many batteries/panels failed, how sick you are of cleaning them

      and how you fucked over the poor for your subsidy (presuming your not going fully offgrid)

      and how your going to have to replace them now they have aged to shit!

      any fucker who installs solar should be forced to install their backup too and be made to live of grid, so that they are taking full responsibility for the cost!!!!

      and not allowed back on the grid for 40 years (15+25, if you are insane and think it will last that fucking long)

    21. Re:Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Money is not wealth.

      True

      Stock market absolute numbers mean almost nothing.

      True

      And Israel is not a real country.

      Your racist Democrat side is showing.

      When the Fed overprints money, it's simply a tax. It's the easiest, fastest, most direct tax they can levy. Of course, all of it is taxpayer funded.

      True. And it's a flat tax as well. Unfortunately, it's a tax on existing wealth as well as income.

    22. Re: Subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Nothing" on China's part will involve them installing 1300MW of renewable generation per week for the next 16 years to get to the 20% renewable grid in 2030 they agreed to.

    23. Re:Subsidies by towermac · · Score: 1

      "Your racist Democrat side is showing."

      Heh. As a conservative, I would take that as a complement, but you had to throw 'racist' in there. Falsely throwing racist around is one of the more racist things you can do, just so you know.

      Israel is not a real country in the economic sense because of all the external support they get from the US, other nations, and most importantly; rich Jews scattered around the globe. They could not maintain that standard of living if they only got revenue from taxes on income, nor could they magically make inflation go away or anything like that.

    24. Re:Subsidies by davydagger · · Score: 1

      so why do you get pissy when we give tax breaks and incentives to other industries?

  7. don't tax alternative energy and transportation by presidenteloco · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "fees proposed by utilities on customers who install solar and take advantage of net metering, or the ability to sell excess power back to utilities"

    this reminds me of the states that are passing taxes on electric vehicles because they don't pay gas tax.

    There is a monumental, staggering level of myopia in those who propose and enact measures like these.

    We have to transition to ~ 90% of the transport and energy in the economy to non-fossil, in a damn hurry (e.g. 2050), and we are way less than 1% of the way to where we need to get, so why the H3LLLLLL! would anyone be trying to put the brakes on the change already. Insanity, or stupidity of the highest order.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    1. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by geekoid · · Score: 2

      But we need to pay for infrastructure. SO we need to tax electricity to recoup lost revenue form the gas tax.

      The fees on solar are another push by power companies to screw over home energy collectors.
      They can already buy it at market value to resell to industry.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "fees proposed by utilities on customers who install solar and take advantage of net metering, or the ability to sell excess power back to utilities"

      this reminds me of the states that are passing taxes on electric vehicles because they don't pay gas tax.

      There is a monumental, staggering level of myopia in those who propose and enact measures like these.

      No myopia at all, it's pure protectionist greed. That is why the Obama regime has added a 20%-35% tariff on solar panels purchased from outside the US, it allows US manufacturers to increase their profit margin in order to make solar "less attractive" than fossil fuels.

    3. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Charliemopps · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The price of electricity is not just the price of generation.
      The price of transportation is not just the price of fuel.

      If you gave fossil fuels the same advantage of not charging infrastructure costs, taxes, government regulations on production etc... like you do with solar, you'd find that they are virtually free. There is no conceivable way solar is even remotely comparable until the government steps in and starts manipulating the numbers for the public good. You can argue that the CO2 issue is important enough to justify that interference, but lets not lie to ourselves about the numbers.

    4. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no, dumbass, it's because the Chinese were blatantly dumping solar panels to corner the market.

    5. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by dgatwood · · Score: 5, Insightful

      But we need to pay for infrastructure. SO we need to tax electricity to recoup lost revenue form the gas tax.

      It would make more sense to crank up the diesel tax. Big trucks cause about three orders of magnitude more damage to roads than cars do anyway (one 18 wheeler does as much damage as 9,600 cars, according to the GAO), so it is only fair that trucking companies should pay essentially the entire cost of upkeep. If they raise the taxes high enough, perhaps we’ll see a resurgence in the use of trains for shipping (which is more energy efficient, too).

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    6. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by bigfinger76 · · Score: 1

      Why in the hell would US manufacturers of solar tech want their product to be undesirable to the market?

    7. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by i.r.id10t · · Score: 2

      Much like bandwidth, trains have that pesky "last mile" issue to deal with...

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos
    8. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by rahvin112 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You are so very wrong.

      Solar IS cost competitive. And with in a very short period, if current manufacturing price drops continue, it will be the cheapest source of power. But sure, ignore the real numbers the real reality of the situation if you wish. These numbers have been the talk of wall street for more than 2 years. Solar companies are turning down investment right now because there is too much being offered. But feel free to continue to display your ignorance. Even a fool could verify the real numbers with Google.

    9. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by TubeSteak · · Score: 2

      If you gave fossil fuels the same advantage of not charging [...] government regulations on production etc... like you do with solar,

      There's no government regulations on production of solar?
      You can't even install solar panels without a licensed electrician to certify that your house isn't going to burn down.

      I'm very interested in hearing your thoughts about the lack of regulation for solar.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    10. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by dgatwood · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Certainly, but that doesn’t negate the huge benefit of keeping most of them off the interstates for the first few hundred miles. :-)

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    11. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      In New Zealand, the electricity providers were forced to separate into lines companies and supply companies. (There are actually more than two parts, see the link).

      The lines companies charge the suppliers for the privilege of delivering a product to the consumer. The supply companies compete for customer business with differing tariffs for peak and offpeak, high usage, low usage; use of smart meters, etc.. Normal bills to consumers comprise a supply charge and a usage charge.

      If you generate your own power you effectively sell it back to the supply company. Your usage charge is reduced. It may even be negative.

      The government creates (and enforces) a free market (bear in mind that the infrastructure was publicly funded in the first place in NZ)

      As to transport, road users pay Road User Charges either as a levy on the fuel [Petrol (gas)] or directly [diesel]. The net effect is that diesel, hybrid and electric vehicles cost less to run, even with road user changes, and so are attractive.

      I think the political barriers against doing that in the USA are probably insurmountable, but it's interesting to consider.

    12. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I've seen old cites. They ran the rails right up to and into the factories. Outside of the commercial zones most of the trucks shouldn't be loaded as heavily.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    13. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trucks are very efficient at what they do though as they're usually travelling with full loads.
      They're also one of the cheapest ways to move stuff around and one of the main engines of our economy.

      Cars on the other hand are pretty inefficient in comparison. Most move only one person at a time and their carrying capacity is woefully underutilized 99% of the time.
      I'd say the economic and societal benefits of trucks far outweigh the fact that they cause more damage than 10k cars. And this is ignoring the ratio of fuel costs and pollution impact per kg/lb which greatly favours trucks.

      Raising taxes on trucking companies to reflect the true costs of their road usage would make it so prohibitively expensive to transport goods that they'd essentially go out of business. You'd then have really nice roads to drive on but you might find your supermarket's shelves empty, and good luck getting fuel for your car.

    14. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by dave420 · · Score: 2

      Let's also bring up the fact that everyone's paying for the cost of pollution caused by burning fossil fuels, and if not today, then definitely in the future. If we factor that one in, they're anything but free. Sure, you can hide who has to pay for it in the end (or even when), but there is a huge price associated with burning them. Again - let's not lie.

    15. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by radl33t · · Score: 1

      electric trucks can drive a mile. put the trailers on trains.

    16. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar companies are turning down investment right now because there is too much being offered.

      Yeah, I have the same problem with my boss. He keeps wanting to give me raises but I have to turn them down because I have too much money.

      Any investor would talk of any and all numbers from any industry. That is what investors do. Just because they do that does not mean that solar is competitive without the leg up they currently have. That is all that matters for investment purposes. What is, not what could be.

    17. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't tax the fuel, you'll make diesel cars and pickups pay the price too. Tax them per mile driven.

    18. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Zobeid · · Score: 1

      Quote: "We have to transition to ~ 90% of the transport and energy in the economy to non-fossil, in a damn hurry (e.g. 2050)..."

      You may believe that, and some others may believe that, but our society as a whole does not. If it did, we (globally) wouldn't still be planning and building brand new coal and gas fired power plants with an expected 40-year life span *after* they go into service.

    19. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Algan · · Score: 1

      Hey, my sedan runs on diesel, why should I pay more because most trucks also run on it?
      It's the weight that destroys roads, not the fuel, so tax it instead.

      --
      If con is the opposite of pro, is Congress the opposite of progress?
    20. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Soooooo what you're saying is

      "Money talks, bullshit walks"

    21. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by zarthrag · · Score: 1

      There is a monumental, staggering level of myopia in those who propose and enact measures like these.

      Welcome to Oklahoma. We just got one of those laws passed, quite easily.

      A net-zero bill just isn't going to sit well here - can't have the rabble hurting profits with their "green" technology. To really take advantage of solar here, you have to change your stated goal to independence from the grid. That's going to mean having smarter appliances that can be told "do this load of laundry during the middle of the day, crank up the electric water-heater to 11, and, if there's any extra power - turn on the stereo just to make a point. Just don't give PSO/AEP free power.

      --
      Why can't all fpga/microcontroller manufacturers just release free optimizing compilers???
    22. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      If you gave fossil fuels the same advantage of not charging [...] government regulations on production etc... like you do with solar,

      There's no government regulations on production of solar?
      You can't even install solar panels without a licensed electrician to certify that your house isn't going to burn down.

      I'm very interested in hearing your thoughts about the lack of regulation for solar.

      You're talking about local ordinances, which are kind of a joke. Where I live I can literally buy a solar panel at home depot and install it. Any local ordinance that requires you to have an electrician on site during construction is going to cover changes to coal based electrical changes as well. They, in fact, don't care where the power came from.

      The price of coal itself is, in effect, dictated by the federal government. They limit coal production to keep the price steady in the same way they regulate other commodities. There are coal taxes, gas taxes, etc... All of which are designed to pay for the infrastructure used to deliver those services as well as hold the price steady. If the government lifted restrictions on Oil and Coal production, and removed taxes, the price of coal and oil would be like it was at the turn of the century... pennies. You drill a hole in the ground and the stuff comes out. You can't beat that. I'm not suggesting that's a good idea, but to say Solar is cheaper? That's laughable. If we were to replace fossil fuels with solar entirely, we would still need to pay for all of the power lines, distrobution, the batteries that'd keep the system working at night... the environmental impact of over 300 million new solar cells and batteries intruduced...

      Even if you consider the impact of each source on the environment, solar is a big loser. Nuclear is far better for the environment provided your reactors aren't 40yrs old (like most of ours are) But hey, lets not let logic get in the way of our 1980s TV mini-series induced fear of things we don't understand.

    23. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      Let's also bring up the fact that everyone's paying for the cost of pollution caused by burning fossil fuels, and if not today, then definitely in the future. If we factor that one in, they're anything but free. Sure, you can hide who has to pay for it in the end (or even when), but there is a huge price associated with burning them. Again - let's not lie.

      Which I brought up, in my post. Read it. Solar is not cheaper. But price is not our only concern.

      It's idiot talk like that that leads us down the wrong path in the first place. If environmental concerns should be considered, solar should be out. Look up what the environmental impact of building solar cells. Specifically the silver used for the mirrors... It's terrible. Coal is worse, to be sure... but there are other, better alternatives than solar.

    24. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So do large ocean shipping containers, but I don't see that stopping them from growing.

    25. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      You are so very wrong.

      Solar IS cost competitive. And with in a very short period, if current manufacturing price drops continue, it will be the cheapest source of power. But sure, ignore the real numbers the real reality of the situation if you wish. These numbers have been the talk of wall street for more than 2 years. Solar companies are turning down investment right now because there is too much being offered. But feel free to continue to display your ignorance. Even a fool could verify the real numbers with Google.

      Ok, first, you're a moron.
      Yes, if you read some nonsense put out by a "Green energy" group... it's easy to get confused... if you're a moron.

      Coal has an average btu of 20,000,000
      http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/...

      It takes 10,107 BTU of coal for a power plant to produce 1 kilowatt of power.
      http://www.eia.gov/electricity...

      Basic math is 20 million / 10,107 = 1979 killwats per short ton of coal

      The price of coal per short ton: $56.30
      http://www.eia.gov/coal/news_m...

      $56.30 / 1979 = Coal costs 3 cents per kilowatt

      If you exclude taxes, regulation and infrastructure.

      Now you're going to say "Solar's free!"
      No it's not. You need a solar panel. Just like coal needs a mine and equipment.
      The average price of a solar panel system for your home is $10,000... I'm even including federal subsidies. The real price is almost double.
      http://www.wholesalesolar.com/...
      and it lasts about 20yrs.

      The average us household uses 11,000 kilowatts per year
      http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/...
      So in 1yr, that's $313 worth of coal.
      Over 20yrs, they'll use $6000 worth of coal.

      That's production of the energy source, compared.
      Solar is almost twice the cost.
      The rest of the money you pay for coal power is going to the government, who will still want their money after coal is gone.
      We're still need the electrical grid. I doubt the panels will be on your home, they will likely be somewhere else, and there will be batteries.

    26. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Make the 18 wheelers who rip up the road pay for it.

      F = m * a

    27. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      It would make more sense to crank up the diesel tax.

      Trains run on diesel too... and it's impractical to electrify a significant portion of the US's freight routes due to capital and maintenance costs. Differential taxation is going to be a very tough sell politically.
       
       

      If they raise the taxes high enough, perhaps weâ(TM)ll see a resurgence in the use of trains for shipping (which is more energy efficient, too).

      Trains have been seeing a resurgence for a couple of decades now. (Rail currently carries around 40% of the total ton-miles moved inside the US.)
       
      But there are some pretty severe limits on how much more that can grow. First off, there's the "last 100 miles" problem... There's only so many freight transshipment points, and there's a lot of places where it makes no economic sense to put one. (Not only because of the cost of building and operating the yard, but because there may not being enough traffic to keep trucks on hand on a regular basis.) There's also only so much rail, and rail is very expensive per mile to build and maintain. (And there's a lot of places where you simply can't put more tracks.) Locomotives, even smaller ones, aren't exactly cheap either.
       
      And then on top of all that - rails simply aren't that efficient unless they're moving large amounts of unitized cargo (either bulk cargo like coal, or containers of a single product). They're really, really inefficient at moving mixed cargoes (like what arrive at your local megamart on a daily basis) due to the labor costs of breaking down the bulk shipments and high cost per ton-mile of moving many smaller shipments.

    28. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Gas taxes are usage fees that pay for road maintenance. Or, at least, they were before expensive mass transit projects started getting construction capital from fuel tax revenues.

      Electric vehicles do just as much damage to the roadways as they use them as the non-electric cars. However, there's no convenient way to assess a usage fee that people will accept - mileage taxes have been roundly rejected every time they've been proposed.

      Are you saying that our roads should deteriorate even more than they already are if mass adoption of EVs was to take place? The Interstate Highway Trust Fund is already experiencing solvency issues as it is, due to being raided for billion dollar rail projects that do little to ease congestion.

      People that buy an EV are going to buy an EV regardless of if there is a road use tax applied. Nobody says "Oh, I was going to buy that $50,000 electric car, but that extra $2,000 tax added on just priced it out of my range." You either have the money or credit to buy it, or you don't; and that extra bit of tax isn't going to make even one person change their mind, considering how much fuel they won't be buying over the life of the vehicle.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    29. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Fossil fuels are heavily subsidized, since we're not charging them for the effects of global warming. If we were to internalize all the externalities (which we don't know nearly enough to do reliably), fossil fuels would be a LOT more expensive.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    30. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by AaronW · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of other costs involved with coal. Unlike China, the US requires scrubbers on all of the smoke stacks, then there's the storage of all of the ash left over, transportation costs for the coal, etc. That's why natural gas is overtaking coal. You just shove natural gas into a pipe and pull it out the other end. No long line of train cars, no scrubbers, no ash to deal with.

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    31. Re:don't tax alternative energy and transportation by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Solar cells do not use mirrors unless you're Solyndra. Anyway, the amount of silver is fairly low since only a very thin layer is required.

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  8. Subsidies? by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

    Is this price parity before or after absorbing massive subsidies from taxpayers and electricty consumers? If it is after, then the idea is not scalable.

    1. Re:Subsidies? by ShadowRangerRIT · · Score: 4, Interesting

      How many tax subsidies finance into your average power plant? How much are the indirect costs (ignoring CO2 emissions, let's just focus on locally increased health care costs from coal pollution, long term storage costs for nuclear waste, military adventurism for oil, etc.) of "traditional" fuels?

      --
      $_ = "wftedskaebjgdpjgidbsmnjgcdwatb"; tr/a-z/oh, turtleneck Phrase Jar!/; print
    2. Re:Subsidies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China thanks you for the subsidies, by the way.

    3. Re:Subsidies? by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      How many tax subsidies finance into your average power plant? How much are the indirect costs (ignoring CO2 emissions, let's just focus on locally increased health care costs from coal pollution, long term storage costs for nuclear waste, military adventurism for oil, etc.)

      Oil doesn't have a whole lot to do with electricity; oil is primarily consumed in the transportation sector and there's a limit to how much of it you're going to be able to replace even if electric cars become competitive (in terms of range and cost) with fossil fuel ones. I haven't yet seen a realistic plan to replace fossil fuels in the shipping sector, i.e., planes, trains, trucks, and ships. Only one of those (trains) could conceivably be electrified and powered by carbon neutral (solar, nuclear, or hydro) means. Ships could conceivably be powered by nuclear marine propulsion, though when tried in the past it was a failure from an economics standpoint, and I'm not certain how you'd go about replacing the global fleet of merchant ships.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    4. Re:Subsidies? by BradMajors · · Score: 2

      And, Americans thank China for their subsides on the manufacturer of Chinese solar panels.

    5. Re:Subsidies? by Loki_1929 · · Score: 1

      How many tax subsidies finance into your average power plant? ...long term storage costs for nuclear waste

      Now that's just unfair. Long term storage costs for nuclear "waste" only exist because the government doesn't allow for the reprocessing of perfectly good fuel. If they did, we'd be more like France, where the total final long-term waste of a family of four's entire lifetime fits in a soda can. And as all the usable energy has been removed from it, it actually is waste, meaning there's no energy radiating from it and no danger from it. At which point, those costs look vastly easier to manage and all subsidies can come off with virtually no impact to costs.

      Government created a problem (basically a tax) by disallowing the reuse of perfectly good fuel. It then partially solved the problem it created by generating a subsidy to offset the tax. In the meantime, good fuel is wasted, exposed, and dangerous. It's about the dumbest thing in the world, but then again, it was something our government came up with, so at least that makes some sense.

      --
      -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
    6. Re:Subsidies? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      In many cases it probably is still cheaper given the blatant price gouging by electricity suppliers. Electricity from coal may be vastly cheaper per kW/h to produce, but the consumer pays a vast amount more per kW/h.

    7. Re:Subsidies? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Nuclear waste is not the same as spent fuel.
      After spent fuel is reprocessed you have waste in the same 'volume' as you have new fuel.
      A cubic yard spent fuel will yield a cubic yard new fuel PLUS a cubic yard nuclear waste.
      Bottom line fuel reprocessing produces more nuclear waste than not reprocessing it.
      I don't get why americans always claim reprocessing would reduce waste when everyone else knows: it produces waste.

      --
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    8. Re:Subsidies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      where did you get that shit from?

      I didn't know fuel reprocessing generates matter from nothing?

      you seem to be saying that 1 cubic yard of spent fuel magically doubles it's self.

    9. Re:Subsidies? by AaronW · · Score: 1

      It comes from fission. All that U235 splits into other elements, which then split further down the line.

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  9. Net Metering won't be part of the future by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

    At the very least, rooftop solar producers will wind only being credited at the rate the utilities buy power wholesale. If you take a look http://www.eia.gov/electricity... that's considerably less than the retail cost.

    1. Re:Net Metering won't be part of the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Doesn't matter. We're now at the point where, if you can use all solar electricity that you produce, solar is cheaper than buying from the utility company. As prices for solar energy keep going down and prices for conventional electricity sources climb, it will become economical to just install more capacity and simply discard electricity you don't need. With so much "free energy" available, storing it becomes more attractive, and solutions to do that will be developed or other uses for that energy will be found.

    2. Re:Net Metering won't be part of the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it is fair to pay home producers wholesale while charging them retail.

      They still get the benefit of not paying at all when they are using their own energy.

  10. Amit Ronen is biased by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Amit Ronen is the Director of GWU's Solar Institute.

    That doesn't mean he's wrong, but he does have a horse in the race, so to speak.

  11. "eye sore" by grimJester · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You know they're desperate when the only argument against new technologies they can come up with is that they're ugly.

    1. Re:"eye sore" by davydagger · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Don't forget these imaginary "sicknesses" due to wind turbines. All the while forgetting the real health hazards of fracking. Thats the thing about "conspiracy" theorists. Is that they have the demor, and attitude of a truth seeking movement, ignoring the low hanging fruit of very obvious ills in society, to at best reach around conjectures and "what-ifs", that convienantly blame who they want to blame for society's problems.

    2. Re:"eye sore" by rmdingler · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Demor, you say.

      Please remember. In the rush to vilify various and sundry sources of energy vis-a-vis environmental impact, that all energy comes at an environmental cost. We will not do without the electricity in our homes and fuel for our human-toters and goodie-transport vehicles.

      One day, when the other grid-friendly options are all exploited, our offspring will enjoy ubiquitous clean and relatively safe nuclear power.

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    3. Re:"eye sore" by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      That's hardly desperate. The problem with windturbines is they are really big and placed where there is wind. I have no problem with them on peoples farms and such. But last time I was skiing in Austria I climbed up a pristine mountain with camera in backpack, treaking through a snow national park and when I got to the top... wind turbines on every peak.

      I wonder if the greenies would complain if instead we put up a billboard.

    4. Re:"eye sore" by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      I think some people severely underestimate and downplay the importance of wind power inconveniences like this (and the bright blinking lights into people's windows), but there is absolutely some BS about low-frequency noise causing cancer. I've seen that distributed and it is ridiculous.

    5. Re: "eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      It's absolutely true. Most people don't know this, but a herd of elephants produce a constant low frequency.

      At first it was theorized that the low frequency sounds were communication to keep the group connected even over long distances, but it is now accepted by leading researchers that the low frequency hum is actually a defense mechanism by the elephants to cause cancer in predators, or in some cases a particular asshole elephant in the herd that gets on their nerves.

      We may think that we discovered that low frequencies of sound cause cancer by studying people that obviously hate windmills, but nature actually invented it first!

      Isn't nature amazing?

    6. Re:"eye sore" by westlake · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You know they're desperate when the only argument against new technologies they can come up with is that they're ugly.

      A lot of money is being spent here to reclaim waterfront property for green space, nature reserves, parks and recreation. Ugly comes at a price that not everyone is willing to pay anymore, and the geek needs to see that clearly.

    7. Re:"eye sore" by davydagger · · Score: 1

      In the rush to vilify various and sundry sources of energy vis-a-vis environmental impact, that all energy comes at an environmental cost.

      did I say anything to the contrary? Of course, and even things like bicycles have carbon costs associated with them. But, in your rush to vilify various sources of energy, vis-a-vsa enviromental impact, you must consider that like all other costs in life, not all are the same.

      It would be absolutely ludicris to say that solar, wind, or even hydro-electric has the same, similar, or in the same leauge enviromental costs any method of combustion to produce power.

      One day, when the other grid-friendly options are all exploited, our offspring will enjoy ubiquitous clean and relatively safe nuclear power.

      I feel as if you jumped straight to a conclusion without really making an argument. Why Nuclear?

    8. Re:"eye sore" by thej1nx · · Score: 2

      From your OWN links :

      "wind turbines do not directly make people ill." and "Annoyance is not a disease." and "(sickness) likely caused by the psychological effect of suggestions that the turbines make people ill".
      More damningly, "similar irritations are produced by local and highway vehicles, as well as from industrial operations and aircraft.". Will include ultrasounds and what not. You do not get annoyed by those, because your brain and ears have adjusted to those sounds over the years. Try asking those who move in from remote areas away from roads with traffic.

      Do you ever actually read things, when desperately trying to google up evidence to fit your viewpoints?

      What is confusing is, why is there a debate about wind turbines on an article about SOLAR? Wind turbine are probably irritating and it might be better to install them in deserts, away from residences. Now can you and that idiot Harlequin80 (1671040) shut up about wind turbines already?

      Heh. Typical. Solar is doing well? Wind turbines are noisy. Ergo, anything except coal and oil is EVIL. I love the way you guys use "logic and reasoning". Harlequin80 (1671040) and your points could all be valid about turbines, but have no place in an article about SOLAR! And yes, if you do dumb things like that, people WILL laugh at you. I suggest not doing dumb things, if the response bothers you so much.

    9. Re:"eye sore" by davydagger · · Score: 2

      I've actually been right up and under wind turbines with no noticable affects. It seems to me at least from the articles you've linked, the cause of such problems is "some people really don't like wind turbines", and think they are fucking ugly, and its all psychological.

    10. Re: "eye sore" by davydagger · · Score: 2

      [citation please]

    11. Re:"eye sore" by fustakrakich · · Score: 3, Funny

      Don't know about cancer, but some of those frequencies can give you a good case of the runs. Happened to me once at a Joe Walsh concert...

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    12. Re: "eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh you poor bastard. However will you cope. Go spend a month somewhere like Beijing where the air can literally fucking kill you and then come back and tell how shirty your life is because you are impacted by the scourge of wind energy.

      How about just moving. At least you can move away from the turbine. Try moving away from poison air.

    13. Re: "eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Some of us geek nerds think clean-air, with an occasional windmill is quite a bit more beautiful than coal polluted air without windmills.

      But again, this discussion is about solar not wind. My solar array cost is close enough to parity that it will pay for itself handsomely. My annual power bill is $400. It used to be $3000.
      Yeah there's a funky looking area on my roof where it looks like solar cells instead of shingles. Oooh, such an eyesore. Funny, not one person has rang the doorbell and said Gee those solar panels look like shit. You should take them down.

      Over the next 20 years my solar installations going to save me at least $50,000.

    14. Re:"eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Greenie here. How about we compromise and put a billboard on every wind turbine?

    15. Re:"eye sore" by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      Said by a person who does not live near a windmill or curbside solar panel farms.

    16. Re:"eye sore" by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      I wonder if the greenies would complain if instead we put up a billboard.

      Yes, and they'd be right to do so. A wind turbine may disturb a pristine landscape, but on the other hand it's also helping transition us away from our dependence on fossil fuels, so there is a compensating environmental benefit.

      A billboard, on the other hand, despoils the landscape and has no compensating environmental benefit. From an environmental perspective, it's a total loss.

      (of course if you'd like to have both your pristine landscapes and your wind turbines, than placing the wind turbines several miles off-shore might be the best-of-both-worlds solution to pursue. There's lots of wind there, and very few tourists)

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    17. Re:"eye sore" by dbIII · · Score: 2

      wind turbines on every peak

      Right next to the telecommunication towers.
      It's not exactly wilderness.

    18. Re:"eye sore" by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What is confusing is, why is there a debate about wind turbines on an article about SOLAR?

      False equivocation? The bizzare ability of some folks to add up equate supposed disadvantages of multiple different technologies and lump them into one pile of fail, while some existing technology is heralded as perfection, ignoring any problems it might have?

      Wind turbine are probably irritating and it might be better to install them in deserts, away from residences.

      Kind of a whooshing sound, if they are a nuisance to anyone, that same person would not be able to live in a suburban environment, with buses and traffic and lawnmowers and leaf blowers and all.. And jet traffic would be completely intolerable for them. I've stood within 50 feet directly under one, and there simoply isn't all that much noise. On the mountaintops where they are installed here, the wind through the trees makes more noise.

      Regardless, the big advantadge of the solar panels and their proliferation is that the people installing them don't give a flying fig about the naysayers. They've heard so much bullshit about how the panels will self destruct long before the investment return or warrantee period, how solar will never ever be able to provide their needs, and how the terrible poisons involved in making solar panels are somehow worse than the benzene in the gasoline they inhale every time they pump it or the MTBE octane booster isn't bad at all, the lead that used to be in it wasn't a problem at all, and that nothing beats good old fossil fuel, which we'll apparently have forever and ever, world without end, amen.

      The solar users just install them, use them, and don't pay much in utility bills - or attention to the naysayers.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    19. Re:"eye sore" by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      Said by a person who does not live near a windmill or curbside solar panel farms.

      I do. It's many orders of magnitude better than living near the coal fired electrical generation plant that was likewise a few miles from my place.

      Are you seriously comparing a coal fired power plant as superior to solar panels on a house, or a wind turbine? Unless you like fly ash ponds. They're kind of cool until they dry up and you breath the stuff.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    20. Re:"eye sore" by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Funny you mention that. A telecommunications tower is about the size of a tree an has 6 panels on the top about the size of a small Smart car. If a wind turbine was the same size then no one would be complaining.

      As a side note, no there were no telecommunications towers out there, because there are very few people out there. It doesn't make sense to put them there. You can transport power much further than a 10watt UHF signal.

    21. Re:"eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because he's a NUKE NUTTER, obviously.

    22. Re: "eye sore" by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Aboard an incoming flight, you can see Beijing's air long before you can see anything of the city itself. Looks like a big inverted bowlful of smoke about 5 km high and 50 km in radius.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    23. Re:"eye sore" by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      Why not put solar panels on every turbine ?

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    24. Re:"eye sore" by Accordion+Noir · · Score: 2

      Imagine if there was a wind-turbine on every billboard. We'd be done. (And they'd pay for themselves.)

      --
      "Ruthlessly pursuing the idea that the accordion is just another instrument."
    25. Re: "eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The citation is attached to a high altitude wind turbine above your head. It's the thing that's making that whooshing sound.

    26. Re:"eye sore" by towermac · · Score: 1

      'Why Nuclear?'

      Because it's the only other source of power stored in the Earth's crust.

    27. Re:"eye sore" by ultranova · · Score: 1

      It's many orders of magnitude better than living near the coal fired electrical generation plant that was likewise a few miles from my place.

      I dunno. I used to live a kilometer or so of a coal (or possibly wood) fired power (municipal heating) plant, and in fact walked my dog right past it, and the effect was... absolutely nothing. I only knew the thing was there because I could see the smokestack.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    28. Re:"eye sore" by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It's more likely we will just re-build the electricity grid to better support intermittent sources, and make more use of non-intermittent renewables. Nuclear has had its day. Maybe fusion will be viable eventually, but chances are it won't happen fast enough to make re-building the grid unnecessary or more expensive than the alternatives.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    29. Re:"eye sore" by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Electricity pylons are pretty ugly too. So are large roadways. So are cooling stacks. I imagine people thought that industrialized farming was pretty ugly when that started up too. In the scheme of things, some windmills are not exactly terrible to look at. Personally I rather like them.

      Change and some ugly infrastructure is inevitable. If you want waterfront property to remain waterfront and not underwater, or if you like breathing clean air then you just have to accept that not everything we need can be pretty or a long way away from where you live. Having said that, it's not like the US doesn't have plenty of unused space suitable for windmills and large scale solar where few people will see them.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    30. Re:"eye sore" by thaylin · · Score: 1

      2 things.

      1) are you sure it was operating at the time, or any time recently? Having worked for a power company and been on a coal plant the entire thing and the area around it is covered in coal ash

      2) Sometimes the effects of pollution is not most felt so close to the plant but the surrounding areas.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    31. Re: "eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so do you have a battery backup.

      Or do you just rely on the poor subsidizing you!!!!

      socially I would say if you haven't bought your own battery backup and are now relying on the grid for the hours when your not generating (darkness)

      and your probably selling units at above the price they are worth (another subsidy from the poorest in society)
      Then you should be classified as a fucking twat!!!

    32. Re:"eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      because it doesn't involve digging up those rare earth elements that solar requires, the time factor for solar and wind, the relative expense of wind, the carbon mess of fossil. and you've got massive energy density, water vapor as general waste product, and you could probably shoot your radioactive waste into space if you care about it that much. Slight danger in the grand scheme of things. but the public is terrified. just put that fucker in... i don't know, arizona. empty spaces abound in the midwest.

    33. Re:"eye sore" by Rei · · Score: 2

      Second. I've twice visited a wind farms on a windy day out of curiosity. My findings were:

      1) The whoosh is surprisingly little. In a video I took, the wind noise on the camera drowned out the whoosh of the turbine, you can't even hear it.

      2) The things are rather awe-inspiring up close, like watching a jumbo jet rotate over your head

      3) I can see why most farmers love the things, their footprint is tiny and they can keep farming around them (the access roads take up a lot more space than the turbines), so it's little financial lost but big rental fees.

      --
      Trick People Into Clicking Your Headline With This One Weird Trick!
    34. Re: "eye sore" by Rei · · Score: 1

      I guarantee your share the distribution infrastructure and other capital/maintenance costs you're relying on to keep the lights on at night costs a *lot* more than $400 per year. If you live in town, your neighbors are probably subsidizing your decision to the tune of about $600 a year. If you're in the countryside, the subsidy is probably more like $1600.

      I'm not saying that's a bad thing. I think solar deserves subsidy, to encourage the transition, and that the subsidy pays for itself with better air quality for all. But I think you should see it for what it is.

      --
      Trick People Into Clicking Your Headline With This One Weird Trick!
    35. Re:"eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You slam the imaginary sickness caused by wind turbines, then bring up the proven imaginary health hazards of fracking? Seems kinda one sided there.

      http://www.popularmechanics.com/science/energy/coal-oil-gas/top-10-myths-about-natural-gas-drilling-6386593#slide-1

      Every instance of groundwater contamination, except one which is being looked at, were proven to be false, or caused by surface contamination due to spills which happen with any type of resource extraction.

    36. Re:"eye sore" by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      Yes. How many of those plants are there? Compare that to the number of wind turbines and solar farms, large and small, being planted right at road side. Can you say "eco-blight"?

    37. Re: "eye sore" by judoguy · · Score: 1
      --
      Peace is easy to achieve, just surrender. Liberty is much harder get/keep.
    38. Re:"eye sore" by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      What, you're saying that this is an eyesore?

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    39. Re:"eye sore" by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      New nuclear power is way safer and healthier to the environment than any fossil electricity.
      Still, I consider all water cooled nukes kludges for all their worth, but they are far safer than coal, natural gas or oil based sources of electricity.
      What you need is to go read rational, science based info on nuclear, not the deeply biased, irrational, unscientific sites on nuclear power.
      Most people ignore the fact that we have about 400 nuclear reactors in the world, producing about as much electricity as north america needs.
      Coal kills over 200 thousand yearly worldwide. Natural gas kills over 10 thousand yearly worldwide. Oil kills over 20 thousand yearly worldwide.
      Nuclear power has killed less people over its 60 year history than coal kills every year (estimated nuclear power total deaths far less than 30 thousand).
      The reality is the anti nuclear power sentiment is rooted on pacifist people that are violently against nuclear weapons, and see each and every nuclear reactor a source of materials for nuclear weapons (which is mostly hogwash). Plus they ignore the simple fact that before the creation of nuclear weapons we had 2 world wars, in the 70 years since, zero world wars, in my view nuclear weapons avoided at least 2 world wars and 50-100 million of deaths.
      I look forward to molten salt cooled reactors (MSRs) and fast reactors, MSRs are about 100 times safer than water cooled reactors, fast reactors about 10 times safer than water cooled reactors. Water cooled reactors are 95% of the world nuclear fleet.
      Over the last 10 years, there was a single nuclear death in the USA, a single uranium mining accident death. On average we have a few dozen deaths worldwide per year since the 70s (including Chernobyl deaths dilluted over the 44 years since 1970).
      Nuclear facts are reassuring. Nuclear *fiction* is terrifying.

    40. Re:"eye sore" by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      By 2020s we should have the first molten salt reactors hitting the market. US$ 50 cent per Watt of capacity (1/4 the price of the cheapest new nuclear being installed today). Sealed reactors with 7 years worth of fuel included, nuclear reactor sites will have spots for two reactors, so before shutting down after 7 years a new reactor will be installed and ready to go, just switch over to the new one, leave the old one cooling then return to factory for nuclear fuel reprocessing and refurbishing. Reactors will be road/rail/ship transportable, no local nuclear specific construction required, just basic concrete foundation plus installing the turbine to convert heat into electricity.
      At that price new nuclear will be far cheaper than solar. Realize that a reactor at US$ 50 cent per Watt is equivalent to solar panels around 15 cents per Watt (solar produces 6 hours worth of peak capacity per day, while nuclear produces 23.9 hours worth of peak capacity per day or average) !
      Please look at my post above.
      You are infected with nuclear fiction. Go lookup nuclear facts. Nuclear fiction is utter terror. Nuclear facts are reassuring.

    41. Re:"eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Quick, sombody find a link to the South Park "Brown Note" episode

    42. Re:"eye sore" by OutOnARock · · Score: 1

      Cartman's "Brown Noise" ?

    43. Re:"eye sore" by davydagger · · Score: 1

      Still, I consider all water cooled nukes kludges for all their worth, but they are far safer than coal, natural gas or oil based sources of electricity.

      quite a loaded answer, what about wind, solar, geothermal, biofuel, etc....????

      Unless your assuming they will never price match fossiel fuels which in all likelyness they will in the next few years.

      The reality is the anti nuclear power sentiment is rooted on pacifist people that are violently against nuclear weapons, and see each and every nuclear reactor a source of materials for nuclear weapons (which is mostly hogwash)

      How is that hogwash?

      Plus they ignore the simple fact that before the creation of nuclear weapons we had 2 world wars, in the 70 years since, zero world wars, in my view nuclear weapons avoided at least 2 world wars and 50-100 million of deaths.

      Two additional world wars you say? surely you jest. You went from making a somewhat decent point about nuclear, to going flat out fucking crazy. If you know your history, you know we came very damn close to a nuclear WW3, with 100s of millions of dead more than once. The only saving graces being the good judgement of a handful of involved inviduals.

      Nuclear weapons also did not stop the cold war, which ravaged accross Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and even into South America, killing millions in brush wars, and setting up despotic governments and a complex mess of problems that would take decades to fix. Nuclear weapons didn't stop that.

      Your notion that there would have been two additional world wars without nuclear weapons is insane, and entirely unfounded, and pure speculation based soley on your strangelovian fetish for nuclear stuff, weaponry and otherwise.

    44. Re:"eye sore" by davydagger · · Score: 1

      that farmer is going to make far more money from that turbine, than any bit of crop lost due to digging up his field.

    45. Re: "eye sore" by AaronW · · Score: 1

      You also must take into account the electricity being pumped back into the grid during times of peak demand. It's helping reduce the utility's non base-load generation which is generally quite expensive compared to the base load generation.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    46. Re:"eye sore" by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, but still not exactly wilderness so a bit of a sign of civilisation is to be expected here and there. Aren't there ski lifts, railways etc all over the place - you can catch a train to the top of the Eiger can't you? Why is that OK and great big crosses on a lot of peaks OK but a windmill here and there not? It's not the Torres Del Paine but just about next door to a pile of cities.
      It takes more than a few power transmission towers to destroy the serenity (obscure film reference - people from the city coming out to see the "unspoiled" countryside of farms and power lines).

    47. Re: "eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A friend of the family said that windmills were incredibly loud. Some believed her, some didn't.

      I decided to take a little road trip to Chicago and stopped to video the base of one of the windmills from very close to settle this argument.

      Result: people thought the road noise was coming from the windmills.

    48. Re:"eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be absolutely ludicris

      Ludacris

      Ludicrous

    49. Re: "eye sore" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So do you have battery backup for your coal plant so you can do maintenance on it? How about when it has an unexpected fault?

      And what are you doing about clearing up the shit your power station puts out? Or is that a cost to everyone, therefore less of it YOU pay?

      You're a hell of a commie socialist when YOU can make a profit from the socialisation of the costs....

    50. Re:"eye sore" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I'm not against nuclear power but I have a hard time seeing how it's going to compete on costs with solar and wind in the long run.

    51. Re:"eye sore" by Bengie · · Score: 1

      Don't forget these imaginary "sicknesses" due to wind turbines.

      You mean the high amplitude infrasound that can mess with your inner ear and make your feel sick or possibly cause hearing damage in some cases?

    52. Re:"eye sore" by davydagger · · Score: 1

      really, I've been right underneath one of them and noticed absolutely nothing. If someonthing was a high amplitude infrasound, you'd be able to *feel* it, as it'd just be a vibration in the air. Felt nothing.

    53. Re:"eye sore" by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Yes. How many of those plants are there? Compare that to the number of wind turbines and solar farms, large and small, being planted right at road side. Can you say "eco-blight"?

      Can you say not everyone finds them ugly?

      You really need to take a tour of the northwestern PA coal burning plants. Yone in just about every valley.

      If you want, give me your address - I'll send some fly ash. Let your children play in it, That lovely smoke. Just because you build a high chimney, all it does is make the smoke products somoene elses trouble.

      Pittsburgh PA still has bad air quality. Not because of steel mills, there aren't any there now. It's because of teh call burning plants in the Ohio valley belching out their nasty shit. Then there are the cooling ponds, which release still warm water into streams, making them unsuitable for the fish that used to live there.

      Then there is the call dust flying around these plants. THat's great stuff to breathe.

      Then there is the orange water Pyritic rocks dissolve, turn the water acid, acid like stronger than vinegar. Some creeks will eat aluminum canoes. We have creeks in our area that haven't had any life in them for a long time.

      Then the reall really cool part is when they remove an entire mountain top, and throuw th e spill down into the nneighboring valley, erasing the valley and anything that once lived in it. Makes some of that yummy orange water too.

      Yeah, wind farms are so comparable to coal power generation.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    54. Re:"eye sore" by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Nuclear reactors don't have to be more expensive then solar and wind.
      The utter freedom the NRC has to create unlimitedly expensive regulation is the main cause for expensive nuclear reactors.
      Some in the nuclear community question if the vast majority of post Chernobyl NRC regulations are totally unnecessary.
      Regulatory agencies in the USA have zero concerns about the cost of their regulatory demands placed on their regulated areas.
      There were lots of important regulatory decisions between TMI and Chernobyl, but after that the NRC went deep into knee jerk mode.
      I studied as much about nuclear power as one might without getting a nuclear degree or intending to work for the nuclear industry. Water cooled nuclear reactors are a kludge that was meant to bridge nuclear until we got fast breeder reactors and/or molten salt thorium reactors, but those got canned due to various political / military interests. MSR reactors specifically seem like a far less complex, hence far cheaper alternatives to light water reactors in a world filled with insane NRC regulatory demands, but the NRC works with a prescriptive system, and since there are no molten salt regulations yet, why would a company develop an MSR without knowing what kinds of insanity the NRC will come up with to multiply costs. So MSR R&D is proceeding outside the USA.
      I hope solar + wind does the job, I am a big believer in solar, but not in wind. Solar at least is fairly predictive power generation characteristics, wind doesn't. And solar PV modules could still drop by 50% over the next 10 years or about 25% in total costs, which would make solar cheaper than natural gas peaking plants, but wind isn't a mass consumer market, it has much less economies of scale still to come.

    55. Re:"eye sore" by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      The sun doesn't shine at night. I do however like Solar PV rooftop, very effective utilization of idle roof space.
      Wind is extremely unreliable. Its impossible to run a country on solar+wind with 50% of the grid.
      Geothermal typically is low temperature which makes it very inefficient for electricity generation. It works very well in Iceland since the Earth's crust is thin there (high temperature geothermal).
      Biomass is the most flexible source, as it essentially means methane, or natural gas. It can directly offset natural gas consumption without any changes in equipment that uses it. But it is fairly limited to extract in economical fashion in large scale. I'm all for developing biodigestor technology to the maximum extent, but since its a simple technology that doesn't result in billions of profits its not quite as used.
      The conclusion is nuclear is the only power source that is CO2 and that could power the whole earth. I think it would make sense to have a 20-35% nuclear world. Or double what we have today. No we won't run out of Uranium. For each 10 regular reactors make one large fast reactor that breeds plutonium. With plutonium fuel can be made from depleted uranium and spent nuclear fuel. If all spent nuclear fuel were reprocessed and converted into more plutonium then all of that plutonium combined with spent nuclear fuel we could power 100% of mankind demands for hundreds of years without mining a single ton of uranium.

      We came "close" to WW3, but it didn't happen. Without nuclear weapons I'm sure we would have had WW3 and WW4. Good judgement is the result of Mutually assured destruction. People aren't stupid. The cold war didn't killed hundreds of millions of people. The reality is the USSR barked like a really mean pitbull, but after Stalin died their resolve for war changed quite quickly. Of course I'm in no way shape or form in favor of having nuclear dictatorships.

      Then you come to the conclusion that I somehow liked the cold war. I don't liked or hated it. I'm analyzing facts and related information instead of look at it with emotions. That's the typical difference between pro nuclear and anti nuclear people. Pro nuclear use their brains, anti nuclear use their hearts.

    56. Re:"eye sore" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure the cost of nuclear reactors in the US is that much greater than it is in a more nuclear friendly country like say France. If they show around the world that they can be built for significantly less than what it costs in the US I might be convinced but not until then.

    57. Re:"eye sore" by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      France is nuclear friendly ? It might have been in the 80s.
      New nuclear is being built at sane prices in China, India, South Korea and a few other countries.

    58. Re:"eye sore" by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Not really. I mean sure there would be examples of that but not in this case I saw. You look at the side of a ski resort from a long distance away and you would be hard pressed seeing anything other than maybe a tiny building near the top, and if the place is boring enough some very geometrical lines where they cleared trees.

      My point is that it would seem the last few places seemingly untouched by people happen to be the same ideal place to install massive wind farms. In every sense they are eyesores. It's a shame that they can't build them right next to the coal plants they are going to replace.

  12. Rooftop seems unlikely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Average mid to large size systems went in at $1.79 average in the US last year. Rooftop was over $4.50. So even if the price of the kit goes to zero, the install will be about 10 cents a watt. Now I say that as a guy with panels in the roof, but unless there are structural changes in the permitting, I find anything under $3 unlikely.

    1. Re:Rooftop seems unlikely by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Now I say that as a guy with panels in the roof

      You also say that as a guy who doesn't understand that cost is also measured over duration.

      Here, for you math geeks out there, take a look at this statement and see if you can spot the problem:

      Average mid to large size systems went in at $1.79 average in the US last year. Rooftop was over $4.50. So even if the price of the kit goes to zero, the install will be about 10 cents a watt. Now I say that as a guy with panels in the roof, but unless there are structural changes in the permitting, I find anything under $3 unlikely.

      "about 10 cents a watt..."

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    2. Re:Rooftop seems unlikely by bongey · · Score: 1

      as a guy with panels in the roof,.

      Might want to put them on the roof, they work better that way.

    3. Re:Rooftop seems unlikely by dbIII · · Score: 1

      There are some roof tiles and similar with integrated photovoltaics.

    4. Re:Rooftop seems unlikely by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      They come with free overheating problems. Solar panels need the airflow behind them to keep cool. Cool is efficient, hot is inefficient.
      Insulating your house is good, insulating the back of your solar panels isn't.

      Untill a company builds a layered system that has tile like solar panels on top, some air flowing freely below it and then insulation I would just stick solar panels on a roof unless the looks are really important (in sight from the street in an old city for example)

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    5. Re:Rooftop seems unlikely by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > "about 10 cents a watt..."

      Watt hour. So would you like you re-state your invective in light of that mistyping on my part?

      Here, I'll just point you to the calculator so you can do it yourself... http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/tech_lcoe.html

    6. Re:Rooftop seems unlikely by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > They come with free overheating problems. Solar panels need the airflow behind them to keep cool

      Using conventional Si cells, yes. Using CdTe, CIGS or other thin-film tech, no. Which is why...

      http://www.myplant.com/doc/solar-pamphlet.pdf

    7. Re:Rooftop seems unlikely by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Ten cents a watt. Therefore, after a thousand hours of use, which is less than a year, the install costs ten cents per kilowatt-hour. The years following are bonus.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  13. Screw it by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    Let them take their net metering. They'll get desperate and start dumping to keep coal prices lower. We still come out ahead, if we keep the momentum going.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  14. Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

    Should the power companies be FORCED to just eat the fees of hooking up and stabilizing a power source that's only producing cheap power during periods where demand is lowest?

    I think not.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
    1. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by ShadowRangerRIT · · Score: 2

      Demand for power is lowest midday? Funny how time of use metering charges you more for daytime usage due to high demand. Must be a scam.

      --
      $_ = "wftedskaebjgdpjgidbsmnjgcdwatb"; tr/a-z/oh, turtleneck Phrase Jar!/; print
    2. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by presidenteloco · · Score: 4, Insightful

      FYI demand in summer in many states is highest with mid-day air conditioning, same time as solar peaks.

      The grid as a whole needs to add much more storage, and long distance HVDC transmission lines, to balance intermittent power sources.

      My general position is maybe start reducing the incentives for solar, EVs etc once we are at say 50% of where we need to get to in the level of penetration of these technologies. Until then, get any additional needed infrastructure revenue from gradually increasing carbon taxes.

      Make sure there are both carbon taxes and affordable alternatives to burning fossil fuels.
      That's the recipe for a successful transition of the energy system.

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    3. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Khyber · · Score: 4, Insightful

      " a power source that's only producing cheap power during periods where demand is lowest?"

      Yep, I can tell you don't live anywhere in the southern United States. Especially the southwestern areas.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    4. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      50%?

      Currently solar makes up about 3% of all renewable energy produced in the US.

      Renewable energy accounts for about 13% of domestically produced power and about 11.2% of total production.

      So. 3% of of 13% (I'll be generous and take the higher number). That's approximately 0.0039% of domestically produced power.

      What is the appropriate "level of penetration" for this tech compared to total generation? Half a percent? A whole percent

      Is the solar install base REALLY going to be able to accommodate a 15-30,000% (fifteen to thirty THOUSAND percent) increase in deployment?

      MAYBE, but I seriously doubt it.

      If you're talking double digits of total production/consumption percentage, you're deluded. Flat-out, stone cold, cheese firmly off cracker NUTS.

      At which point the natural gas industry would like to talk with you about augmenting your personal production with nice, cheap natural gas!

      And I say again, who's paying for the modifications to the grid that will be necessary to accept this power?

      If you ever think you're going to zero-sum your whole bill from the power company forever, guess again. It's just not a sustainable pricing model.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    5. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Should the power companies be FORCED to just eat the fees of hooking up and stabilizing a power source that's only producing cheap power during periods where demand is lowest?

      Sure -- they can use some of the money they save by not having to build and maintain more peaking plants, because residential solar will now handle that issue for them.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    6. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Is the solar install base REALLY going to be able to accommodate a 15-30,000% (fifteen to thirty THOUSAND percent) increase in deployment?

      Note solar alone, but renewable sources will at some point have to take over the entire load, because non-renewables, by definition, will not be economically viable at some point.

      The only question is when.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    7. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      What is the appropriate "level of penetration" for this tech compared to total generation? Half a percent? A whole percent

      Personally, I'd go with 20%. We use about 50% more power during the day than we do at night. So if we say night uses 2 units of power, we use 3 during the day, for a total of 5. 1/5th=20%.

      Anything over 20% of power from solar means we start getting close to cutting into power production by base load power plants. Much above that and you'd see night power costing more than daytime. If we get much above 30% we'd need some massive storage banks to actually use the power efficiently.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    8. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      "Should the power companies be FORCED to just eat the fees of hooking up and stabilizing a power source that's only producing cheap power during periods where demand is lowest?"

      This is where "market signals" conflict with "the General Welfare". Government should run the power companies in the public interest, without profit motivation. Fund them at zero cost through the Fed, which (also being not profit-motivated) returns interest to the Treasury each year, and can forgive or keep rolling over the loans.

    9. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by dbIII · · Score: 1
      Most people work in daylight so that's when demand is highest. Also most people on the planet live where there is plenty of sunshine and they don't need heating at night to stop their arses freezing - so solar is fine for them as a major part of the energy mix but the minority that live in colder places may want it to be less of a portion of the energy mix.

      Should the power companies be FORCED

      Obligations come with government granted monopolies - so if they are not going to get out of the way and let other people do things then there are some situations where they may have to be forced, just as they are forced to charge less than the monopoly market can bear.

    10. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Then you're living in a daydream. There simply isn't enough land for things like big solar farms to create that scale. Or wind farms. And, for ENVIRONMENTAL reasons, Hydro in at least the US is nearly as developed as it's going to get.

      In addition, even with a thousand-fold increase in battery capacity and efficiency, you're still not going to have a stable enough power source to provide base load.

      The problem with trying to use renewable sources as base load is NOT economics. It's dependability. It simply isn't there. And, as our society comes to depend on energy MORE, losses, even small ones, magnify in severity.

      What we need are clean technologies like fusion and fission to provide the base load. Then we can use renewables pushed into a capacitance network to smooth out peaks. Rather than relying DIRECTLY on the renewables themselves.

      And, in that framework, we can build renewable WHERE IT MAKES SENSE. Not just "a solar panel on every roof, a turbine on every roof peak, and a hookup to the natural gas just in case the shit hits the fan."

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    11. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Plus replacing, say 2% of faulty/failed solar panels out of 1 million homes per year is probably cheaper than building anew or maintaining old power plants

    12. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      20%?

      So, you want to take solar from .0039%, to 20%?

      So you want to grow installations/generation by 512,820.5% right?

      Let me rephrase that, you want to expand the existing solar install base by OVER HALF A BILLION PERCENT?

      And, because nobody ACTUALLY wants to answer, I ask again. Who's supposed to absorb these costs? The grid providers? Should they bankrupt themselves over this? Out of the goodness of their hearts?

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    13. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Should the power companies be FORCED to just eat the fees of hooking up and stabilizing a power source that's only producing cheap power during periods where demand is lowest?

      Sure -- they can use some of the money they save by not having to build and maintain more peaking plants, because residential solar will now handle that issue for them.

      What money is that? They already have sources of power as it is. And they now have to pay for the hardware to accept some unstable power load of an unspecified and uncontrolled generator and pay out to these people as well?

      How about NO.

      If someone wants to hook their home generator facility into the grid, they can pay for their OWN hookup and ammortize the cost over time.

      Oh! But THAT makes it UNECONOMICAL!

      Well...yeah...generally DEMANDING "charity" is!

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    14. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      If someone wants to build their own parallel grid power company, be my guest. I'm all for competition.

      But forcing existing providers to subsidize your personal whims and avarice? Sorry, I can't get behind that.

      Because, if they can do it to the power companies and get away with it, sooner or later they're going to try to do it to ME too.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    15. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      The thing is, if personal solar gets big enough, it's NOT going to be a zero-cost/nonprofit or even low profit endeavor.

      It'll be the largest money-burning boondoggle in history.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    16. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      If every single building/rooftop had solar panels that produced a percentage more power than the building requires, you probably won't need huge solar/wind farms especially if they had solar thermal on the roofs to heat their water.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    17. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Every single building and rooftop, is not suitable for mounting solar panels.

      Nor is every climate suitable for implementation of solar panels.

      And telling someone they have to go up onto their roof and shovel off their panels in the dead of winter?:

      Yeah. NOT gonna fly.

      And that's assuming some mythical panel setup that magically produces more power than the building requires.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    18. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      That's the thing - you are FORCED away from building a parallel grid. Since you are impeded in that way the people who are allowed to run a grid get stuck with a few imposed conditions every now and then as the price for keeping you off their turf.

    19. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If rooftop solar is cheap enough, as it already is in some locations, then individual homeowners can pay for the generation capacity and save on their electric bills. And for homeowners that can't get the credit and don't have the cash to front, there's companies that will pay for the solar panels in exchange for some of the cost savings.

      On the other hand, even if you can put a solar panel on every roof, who knows what the grid looks like at that point. But it would mean much lower power demands during the daylight hours.

    20. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The grid as a whole needs to add much more storage, and long distance HVDC transmission lines, to balance intermittent power sources.

      No it does not, that is a misconception. Or a /. myth.
      The peak plants, pumped storage and gas turbines for balancing _are already there_

      The fact that you replace midrange plants and base load plants with solar and wind has only minimal effects on peakers.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    21. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      About what nation do you talk that you claim it has not enough land to produce its energy by solar alone? Or wind alone?
      Andorra? Monacco? The Vatican?

      Get a clue, read a book! Two off shore wind areas, like the coast of Oregon and the coast of Florida would power the whole north american continent with wind power!

      A quarter of Nevada would do the same with solar power.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    22. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by SourceFrog · · Score: 1

      "Hooking up" is the tiniest portion of the cost of a small solar setup such as a home - what's actually happening is the opposite, the home users effectively become a "power plant" and are personally subsidizing the 'power plant production costs' (to the utility's benefit), whereas previously the utility (or taxpayer) were paying for power plant construction cost. The alternative for the power company is not "not hooking you up" - it's "not hooking you up, and then building another huge coal/nuclear/whatever plant" - because in that latter case they're not getting that extra generation capacity, they have to create the capacity to meet the demand. If you think hooking you up is cheaper than building an alternative plant you're mad. Of course one way or another the costs eventually get foisted on the energy consumers.

      --
      My other UID is three digits.
    23. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by SourceFrog · · Score: 1

      @" If you think hooking you up is cheaper than building an alternative plant" - Ugh, I meant, MORE EXPENSIVE, sorry.

      --
      My other UID is three digits.
    24. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Again, forcing a "charity handout" from the power company to undependable generators that they (the power company) don't need and can't control isn't the answer.

      That's like buying a car and demanding the dealer toss in thousands of dollars of after-market mods for free.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    25. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Still? Why should the power company (and thus, other consumers (everyone else)) foot the bill?

      This is not simply hooking you into the grid. This is also putting in equipment to allow you to push power BACK to the grid. That's neither inexpensive, nor trivial.

      If someone wants the benefits of solar (INCLUDING the ability to push power to the power company and reduce/nearly eliminate their own bill), they can damn well pay for it THEMSELVES instead of reaching into everyone else's pockets and stealing a "hand out".

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    26. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      What money is that? They already have sources of power as it is.

      Residential power demand grows over time, as more houses are built, and/or people in existing houses start using more power.

      When an area's peak power demand surpasses the capacity of the power company's existing power plants, the power company has to build more power plants; otherwise they risk brownouts or blackouts during peak usage periods (e.g. hot summer afternoons when everyone is running the A/C).

      Building (and then maintaining) those additional power plants costs the power company money.

      On the other hand, if the new houses (and/or some of the existing houses) add solar panels, that reduces the peak power demand, which means that additional peaking plants no longer have to be built, or maintained. That reduces the power company's future costs.

      That's why it's not "charity" -- it's a win/win situation for both the consumer and the power company.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    27. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Then you're living in a daydream. There simply isn't enough land for things like big solar farms to create that scale. Or wind farms. And, for ENVIRONMENTAL reasons, Hydro in at least the US is nearly as developed as it's going to get.

      The point is, non-renewables run out. That's why they are called non-renewable. That means we will be transitioning away from them at some point, whether we like it or not.

      Whether we end up transitioning to solar, wind, fission, fusion, or just to shivering-in-the-dark in an open question, but we will be transitioning to something, because once the oil and coal has been burned, it won't be coming back.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    28. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and require more batteries than we have the materials to make on this planet just for backup.

      For fucks sake learn how to do maths..

      http://physics.ucsd.edu/do-the-math/2011/08/nation-sized-battery/

    29. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "FYI demand in summer in many states is highest with mid-day air conditioning, same time as solar peaks."
      No it is not. Peak will be late afternoon and evening when everyone gets home and starts cooking, cranking down the ac, and so on.
      Solar noon is not the hottest part of the day. That tends to be around 2 pm but the drop off is pretty flat until an hour after sunset.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    30. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      And what do you do about the 14 hours of no sun that the northern hemisphere is experiencing right now?

      Solar panels don't do jack shit when the sun is on the other side of the planet. There will either need to be a massive increase in energy storage, or you'll always need some type of auxiliary generation.

      Or I guess we can all stop having light, heat, and electricity after the sun goes down, which should be especially pleasant in Michigan and New Hampshire in January.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    31. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      The grid providers can, and do, charge connection fees.

      If the fee they are charging is not sufficient to maintain the grid, they should probably be talking to their local PUC about that.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    32. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      and require more batteries than we have the materials to make on this planet just for backup.

      Your own link includes a reply with the math for a "national" sodium sulfur battery that could match the ridiculous 7 day requirement for a fraction of the cost and only 5 years of the current production rates of sodium and sulfur. With a vast overabundance of the necessary elements. For that matter, nickel-iron batteries, the good old Edison cell, would also work. Iron is more abundant than sodium by more than double, so the limiting factor is nickel, which is 1/3 less than sulfur. But still ridiculously abundant compared to lead, at 1/6th that of nickel.

      What was your point again? Something about lead-acid is a stupid choice? I thought so.

    33. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      This is not simply hooking you into the grid. This is also putting in equipment to allow you to push power BACK to the grid. That's neither inexpensive, nor trivial.

      What equipment on the grid are you referring to here, aside from maybe meters that are asble to sense power moving in either direction?

      --
      Saying "I'll probably get modded down for this" in a post is the best way to get it modded up.
    34. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but it isn't that simple installing a weather vane on the power connection.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    35. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Your link is outdated and only considers a limited number of battery technologies, i.e. lead acid. There are many promising grid storage type batteries that are cheap and can handle far more cycles with greater energy density, such as liquid metal and liquid salt batteries. For areas with hydroelectric power there's pumped storage which is around 70% efficient. With pumped storage when there's excess supply water is pumped back into the resivoir. There's also flywheel storage, compressed air, molten salt, gravitational potential energy and many other storage methods. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_storage.

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      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    36. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      a couple of simplistic suggestions that would need development,

      "Every single building and rooftop, is not suitable for mounting solar panels." okay,as your attitude to possible solutions is "all or nothing" "as many as is possible" and guess what, they don't have to be on the roof

      "And telling someone they have to go up onto their roof and shovel off their panels in the dead of winter?:" - do what cars do now to keep water of the windscreen - stick a wiper on the panels, here is one solution http://www.solarpowerworldonli...

      "Nor is every climate suitable for implementation of solar panels." - use nucleur in those parts of the planet denied sunlight in the winter and use storage in the buildings (or at the old style power generating plants) for evening use. Stop thinking using solar would be the only solution.

      "And that's assuming some mythical panel setup that magically produces more power than the building requires." - that happens now as a matter of course if you put more panels on the roof (or elsewhere) than needed hence the ability to send power back to the grid.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    37. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      well, any sensible person would still be connected to the grid for those areas where sunlight is minimal. Get out of the mindset that when people propose solar or something else, its not at the exclusion of anything else i.e its not a one stop solution.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    38. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      Could you elaborate? What other equipment are you talking about?

      --
      Saying "I'll probably get modded down for this" in a post is the best way to get it modded up.
    39. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure costs? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Let me rephrase that, you want to expand the existing solar install base by OVER HALF A BILLION PERCENT?

      Meh. Going by that scale the White House installing some panels back in the '60s was the biggest jump of all. They were starting from zero, after all.

      Other things that used to be zero: Nuclear power, computers, cars, etc... I never said we'd reach 20% quickly, just that I consider it a practical level of penetration. I explained my reasoning.

      Absorbing the costs: Whoever installs them, whether that be the power company, independent business, or homeowner. Ideally it'll shift from 'absorbing the costs' to 'reducing expenses' as they trade in part of their electric bill for a smaller lease payment.

      What you do is rather than installing more natural gas peaking plants when you need power during the day is that you install solar panels. If/when solar panels becomes cheaper than building a new coal plant(perhaps due to EPA rules), you do that. Eventually you stop running those peaking plants during the day outside of unusual circumstances and run them at night.

      Don't forget that until we get into installing stupid levels of solar power (>30%), that more rooftop solar installed can also mean less wiring needed in the grid - you're lowering average amps on the lines from power plants to the consumer.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  15. Tax credits end in 2016 by grimJester · · Score: 4, Informative

    There's a 30% tax credit expiring in 2016. Not sure what you mean about an "idea" and being "scalable"; it's just a bank projecting in what areas photovoltaics will be worthwhile when. After 2016, you'll presumably still have new installations worthwhile in the south of the country and the area creeping northwards as prices continue going down.

    1. Re:Tax credits end in 2016 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The tax credit declines to 10% in 2017. I believe the report says that 36 states will be at grid parity by 2017 with the decline in the tax credit. Given that installed solar costs decline by 10% a year, all 50 states be at grid parity by 2019.

  16. With or without subsidies? by Karmashock · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Prices are so distorted at this point it is almost impossible to tell what anything costs.

    --
    I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    1. Re:With or without subsidies? by tomhath · · Score: 3, Insightful

      His prediction that there will be a big increase in solar installations is based on what will be happening to subsidies in the next few years (he expects a rush to install as much as possible before the programs expire). In other words, the actual cost of solar won't really reach price parity - what he's really saying is that manufacturers of small scale solar power generators might see a short lived boom in the near term.

  17. Change is coming, so... by VernonNemitz · · Score: 1

    It seems to me that the energy utilities need to restructure their billing. I suggest dividing it into two parts, one of which is related to the need to pay for infrastructure maintenance and expansion, while the other is related to the energy they sell. The first part could be charged to every customer equally. The second would depend on energy usage. In places where the customers can sell energy to the utilities, the most reasonable answer was devised and implemented in various places years ago: Just install a second meter and think of the energy company as a middleman. You can't sell to the middleman at the same price you buy from him --and when you are a customer selling energy to the utility, you are essentially selling it to some other customer of the middleman. It would make sense for your sales price of energy to be equivalent to what the utility pays to generate it.

    1. Re:Change is coming, so... by dgatwood · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Why? That’s just silly. Solar users sell power when prices are high and buy power when prices are low, but their billing is based on kWh, not cost, so the power that those customers get credit for during the day has a much higher value to the power company than the power that they get back at night. The power companies make a huge profit off of those solar users’ surplus power compared with what they would be paying for peaker plants. They can readily afford to absorb the infrastructure cost even if the customer is consistently producing more power than they consume.

      If you’re going to go to that scheme, then to be fair, they should have to pay time-of-day rates, where every kWh that the solar panel users provide gives them three or four kWh at night in return. And no power company wants that.

      --

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    2. Re:Change is coming, so... by Shakrai · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The power companies make a huge profit off of those solar users’ surplus power compared with what they would be paying for peaker plants. They can readily afford to absorb the infrastructure cost even if the customer is consistently producing more power than they consume.

      In many (most?) States the power company isn't making any profit off this energy. Deregulation (a misnomer, actually they just changed the regulations) separated the supply/generation side of the business from the transmission side of the business. In New York State the utilities were forced to sell their generation facilities back in the 90s by the Public Service Commission. Customers are in turn forced to pick an "energy supplier" from a list of dozens of companies, the theory being that competition brings down prices. Of course this hasn't panned out in reality because electricity and natural gas are commodities; the price difference between the various suppliers is statistically meaningless even for customers that purchase large amounts of energy. I laid them all out in a spreadsheet once upon a time and the difference between the highest and lowest was less than 1%.

      Of course, I digress. Bottom line, in New York State and many other States the utility isn't actually seeing any profit from your sale of solar energy. It goes back into the statewide electricity market and is bid on wholesale by spectators that then sell the energy back to consumers. The utility is only allowed to charge the usual transmission fees for this energy, which is a flat per kWh fee (with demand charges for larger commercial/industrial concerns) that doesn't vary based on the source of the energy.

      If you want to make net metering competitive you'll have to attack this regulatory scheme that tried to improve a natural monopoly for a commodity by introducing false competition. Even at that it won't really be net metering because there's a non-zero cost associated with synchronizing your power supply with the grid. The fairest way would be to combine net metering with an additional flat monthly fee to cover the interconnection costs.

      Of course, all of this is a moot point so long as the utility isn't actually allowed to touch your power but has to sell it into a virtual market that seemingly exists just to provide some middlemen with a profit opportunity.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    3. Re:Change is coming, so... by pdhenry · · Score: 1

      I don't know where you buy your electric power but here (PA) the choices I can make for electric supply have a wide price range. I can choose cheap, in which case my electricity is likely to come from coal-powered plants, or I can choose green (wind/solar/biomass) in which case I pay a higher rate. Specifically, my power choices range from 6.91 cents/kwh to 13 cents/kwh on fixed-price contracts. http://www.papowerswitch.com/s...

      I'm also not "forced" to select - if I don't choose I end up buying from Met-Ed, the distributing utility.

    4. Re:Change is coming, so... by khallow · · Score: 1

      I laid them all out in a spreadsheet once upon a time and the difference between the highest and lowest was less than 1%.

      [...]

      If you want to make net metering competitive you'll have to attack this regulatory scheme that tried to improve a natural monopoly for a commodity by introducing false competition.

      Sounds to me like your "false competition" is good enough.

    5. Re:Change is coming, so... by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      Lets use your numbers. A high daytime rate that where a unit of daytime power pays for four units of nigh time power. Lets put some numbers in this. Say a unit of daytime power is priced at $16. The costs for that power is $8 in variable costs and $.50 in fixed costs. Nighttime power is sold at $4 and the costs are $2 variable costs and $.50 fixed costs. So the profit on daytime power is 16-8-.5 = $7.50. The profit on night time power is 4-2-.5 = $1.50. Profit on daytime power is 5 times that of night time power.
      Now lets look at two scenarios;

      Without solar
      Four units of power would have been sold to the would be solar producer for a profit of $6 and one unit of day solar would have been sold for a profit of $7.50 for a total profit of $13.50.

      With Solar
      The electricity company would have sold one unit of day power for an income of $16. The electric company swaps one unit of day power for four units of night power. There is no income from that transaction and the cost of producing the four units of night power. The production costs of the night power is the variable costs + fixed costs. Lets look at fixed costs. Fixed costs per unit is calculated by dividing the total fixed costs by the number of units sold. Say the use of day solar reduced the electric company's production needs by 20%. That would mean that fixed costs would be spread over 80% of the units. Therefore the new fixed costs would be $0.50/.8= $0.625. So the cost of producing 4 night time units would be (2(variable costs) + 0.625(fixed costs)) *4 = 10.5. Therefore the profit for those transactions is $16.00 - $10.50 = $5.50.

      So so by allowing a day solar producer to swap day power for night power reduced the profit to the electricity company from $13.50 to $5.50 a drop of 59%. The issues that cause this are as follows;
      1. The company looses all profit from the night time power that would have been sold to the day solar supplier.
      2. The costs of producing the four units of night time power may be more than the costs of producing one unit of daytime power.
      3. Reduced production can have a significant impact on the fixed costs for producing a unit of power whether day or night.
      I know profit may seem to be a bad word but that profit goes to pay dividends to retires and to invest in new infrastructure to support growing demand.

      Note: I put the variable costs for daytime quite high at 4 times the day costs. It even gets worse if the costs for day power is less. For example if daytime production costs were twice night time variable costs the profit would drop from $17.50 to $5.50 or 68.5%.

  18. If you can't run off grid for less it ain't cheap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The current grid was funded by past users so you either factor that long term distribution cost in or you take the cost of PV power as being $/W/hrs delivered to the home 24/7, i.e. add the cost of storage and the costs of keeping the entire set up running over the long term. And factor in the extra insurance to ensure you can replace storm damaged gear too, as the climate gets more stormy.

    I hope it gets to parity or better but if fusion comes along before then I will not be surprised. My personal preference is to be independent of a grid so I do watch developments closely, but with a cynical eye as I will be the one having to pay for it.

  19. You and your grid can go dangle by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The holy grail for solar and other renewables is "off-grid".

    I'm not sure how you can look at this inexorable progress and not see that's where it's headed.

    It's why there are already places where it's illegal to be off the grid.

    I'll bet you that before we have ubiquitous self-driving cars we have homes that can produce their own power without the need for a "grid". My hope is that some day the grid will be the equivalent of the streetcar tracks that are still under the pavement in many cities. This is why I'm opposed to any large-scale public subsidy of the "smart grid".

    Now that I think about it, my place has a "coach house" in the back. I've turned it into a garage, but there is still a hayloft in it. I've even left the block and tackle above the loft door for decoration. And that's just a few blocks from downtown Chicago. I hope I live long enough to see "the grid" become just another 20th century artifact. Of course, there are some powerful forces aligned to prevent that from ever happening.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by BradMajors · · Score: 1

      The holy grail for solar and other renewables is "off-grid".

      For example, Africa.

    2. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Off-grid is what the power companies should actually be afraid of. Unfortunately they are in denial about that little tidbit. Off-grid is already cost competitive in Hawaii (mostly because their power is $0.35kwhr).

      But battery prices are falling in tandem with solar panel prices. And I suspect any law banning off-grid will quickly be squashed by the courts as unconstitutional for many reasons. But off-grid represents a death spiral and would make every asset of the power company almost worthless. That death spiral is what they should fear, because every time they make being on grid with panels harder they are going to drive someone off-grid and the more people they do drive off grid the higher the shared costs will be which will drive more people off grid starting a death spiral that ends with bankruptcy and assets that are without value.

      That death spiral is what Hawaii power is starting to deal with because of their mucking about with net metering. They've begun to change their tune but it could very well be too late for them. Hopefully it will serve as a lesson for all the other power companies before they walk down the same path.

    3. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by pdhenry · · Score: 1

      It may be illegal to be off-grid but there's no law against opening the main house breaker.

    4. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by dbIII · · Score: 1

      But off-grid represents a death spiral and would make every asset of the power company almost worthless.

      Don't worry Comrades - we can protect those power companies from the cold winds of Capitalism :)

    5. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      of the streetcar tracks that are still under the pavement in many cities.

      Which is actually too bad; a lot of cities could use those today, better fuel economy then buses and higher passenger loads than cars.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    6. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with this is that electric companies are "too big to fail" and don't give a fuck about things that'll happen in 30,50 years. Most companies nowadays focus on fast turnover times.

      Here in Spain they basically outlawed having renewables AND being in the grid, there is no net metering, instead they charge you for giving surplus energy into the grid (you pay for the power you use and you pay for the power you generate, twice).

      This means that now if you want to go solar, you can only do so off-grid. This has obviously lead to two scenarios:

      1) You simply plug off your panels and suck the installation costs up, or try to resell them.
      2) You go off-grid.

      A few companies have sprung up that provide you with all you need to going off-grid (panels, control electronics, batteries, backup generator) and finance the whole cost over 10, 15 years at the same (or lower) monthly fee as your electric bill is. So you basically are paying the same as if you stayed on the grid, and after 10 years you have "free" energy (as long as the components don't fail).

      Since the cost of electricity is always going up (around 7% each year, it actually doubled in the last 10 years) with no sign of slowing down, more and more people are going off grid.

      But I'm sure the government will find another great way to fuck things up again for people who go off-grid. Maybe label them as eco-terrorists.

    7. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless I'm missing something, it seems like that only works for non-urban, non-industrial areas. A house or small apartment building might be able to get enough power from rooftop solar and a good set of batteries, but a taller apartment building or office building (i.e. less roof area per person) or some industry that requires large amounts of electricity will need some other source of power. I guess even if that's true, a large proportion of the country could go off-grid, which would change the grid a lot.

    8. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, but they'll still send you a monthly "service charge" even if your usage is zero... :(

    9. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they can force you to participate in the health care market as in the ACA (trying to keep the phrasing here neutral), I don't see why they can't force property owners to be connected to an electric grid.

    10. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, maybe; but most of us don't want to get into the managing-batteries business. No matter how cheap the panels get, my house in the mid-Atlantic will never get enough sun for me to be off-grid with solar, there are too many trees. And the thought of maintaining 20+ hours worth of battery storage (best case average insolation here is 4.5 hours)? Ugh. We have a grid, I can buy wind power through it, my local mix is 50% nuclear anyway; it makes so much sense to use the economies of scale a grid and nuclear provide. Sure, in some areas you could build highly efficient homes which could be self sufficient, but getting enough storage capacity to retrofit older homes? That's a tall (and expensive) order.

    11. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      It's why there are already places where it's illegal to be off the grid.

      I found a few articles where not being connected to city water is illegal and/or the building size does not meet code but I have found none where someone was forced to connect to the power grid.

    12. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      Completely off the grid customers are not the problem. Sure it is relatively easy for a single family dwelling on a reasonable sized plot of land to go off the grid but that will never make up more than a small percentage. Most multifamily dwellings, offices, retail, business, industry, etc will never go off grid. Can you show me how a 40 story office building will ever be off the grid? All that customers going off the grid will do is reduce the need for building new plants to meet increased demand due to the use of electric cars by people who have no other choice but to be on the grid.

      What they are concerned with are the partially off the grid customers. They are the ones that do not use grid power most of the time but occasionally need to use grid power when their system does not produce enough to meet demand. The problem is that the grid still needs to maintain and operate the generation facilities to meet demand of the partially off the grid consumers even if they do not use that power. This leads to much higher fixed costs per unit produced and much higher costs to people on the grid. This leaves those people who have no choice but to be on the grid holding the bag.

    13. Re:You and your grid can go dangle by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      I hope I live long enough to see "the grid" become just another 20th century artifact.

      Take a look at Manhattan and tell me how it would survive without a grid to bring power to it. Off the grid is OK for single family dwellings in the suburbs or country but is impossible in urban areas.

  20. cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by ggpauly · · Score: 5, Informative

    A solar installation is an investment. The proper analysis is return on investment. Current actual price before credits and rebates for a 4kW rooftop (16 panels, abt 25 m^2), installed, is about $16,000. This includes a substantial profit for the installer -- it should be available for less in a competitive market. There's a 30% US federal tax rebate, and here in North Carolina a 35% state tax rebate and a ~$1300 utility kickback. Assuming your tax situation allows you to take advantage of the credits, the net cost is about $6000. This will completely offset an annual electric bill of about $2000 - $2500. This is about 35% return on investment. Amortizing the net cost over a lifetime of 15-20 years for various components gives about 30% per year return. This return is tax free. This is an astoundingly good return. Berkshire Hathaway's total return over 49 years is 20% annually.

    In other jurisdictions without the state tax rebate and utility kickback the tax-free return is 10 to 15%. Much better than the long-term return of any mutual fund.

    Without any direct incentives the return is about 6%, tax free, very safe. CDs are currently about 1%.

    Comparing the actual costs is the fair comparison. Apparently TFA omitted the actual government incentives on solar, while implicitly including them in the per kWh utility figures.

    Rooftop solar has other benefits as well. Inverters are available that provide power during grid failure (during sunshine), and there are external benefits in replacing dirty coal or dirtier nuke power and slightly reducing the size and power of a monopoly corporation.

    --
    Verbum caro factum est
    1. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The cost/kwh is indeed nonsense because it does not include any energy storage/backup capability. A conventional power plant can provide juice 24/7. Rooftop solar only works daylight hours. Sunny daylight hours.

    2. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Batteries are dropping in cost and increasing in capacity at about 20% per year right now. The Tesla gigafactory is expected to bring retail prices for a 85kwh battery pack to about $6000 where it's currently about $12k. For most residential homes an 85kwh battery pack is enough storage to provide power completely for more than 2weeks at full peak usage. With a gas heated home, the winter use of said battery pack would exceed a month without a single day of sunshine. Keep in mind the only time panels don't generate electricity is during the night and when the panels are covered. Even during a major storm, without snow, panels will continue to generate power during the day, just at reduced output. During the winter as long as the panels aren't covered in snow they will continue to generate power, and if tipped up to match the angle of the sun would generate better than 80% of the peak summer power.

      Solar is a game changer and the retail price drops of panels will remake power generation, it's simply a matter of time at this point.

    3. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by ggpauly · · Score: 1

      No. The standard system in my area (North Carolina) is grid tied, using the utility as storage. Storage is implicitly included. This is the system detailed above.

      A battery system would be more expensive.

      The figures above are representative of actual costs and benefits. And it _includes_ backup: there is a receptacle that comes on when the power grid goes down. If the PV system fails there are two cutoff switches (DC and 240 VAC).

      --
      Verbum caro factum est
    4. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by hey! · · Score: 1

      True, but if we look at the societal cost (ironic, I know), storing the energy in the grid isn't free. It's paid for by traditional energy customers.

      I totally buy the argument that you can store your excess solar energy in the form of unburned fossil fuels, then retrieve that energy later by burning those fuels. At least until the day people are demanding withdrawals of energy at higher rates than the traditional electricity generators can't supply. But we shouldn't think of putting a kWh into the grid then "retrieving" it later as free.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    5. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by Xyrus · · Score: 2

      A solar installation is an investment. The proper analysis is return on investment. Current actual price before credits and rebates for a 4kW rooftop (16 panels, abt 25 m^2), installed, is about $16,000. This includes a substantial profit for the installer -- it should be available for less in a competitive market...

      It isn't the cost of the hardware that's preventing wider adoption. It is the completely ridiculous cost of installation which can easily double to triple the price. A number of states won't allow you to install your own panels and then hire an electrician to finish connection to the grid. You have to get a "certified" installer.

      As an example, a 5KW system costs around $9000. The estimate I got for installing the system was $23,000, an additional $14,000 for installation. This is literally for a single day of work. In comparison, to get my whole roof replaced took 2 days and ran me about $8000 total.

      If I were allowed to install my own panels, it would take me and a buddy about a day to do, and then have a certified electrician come in and finish wiring everything up. Total cost would be beer, pizza, and about $1000 tops for the electrician. But I'm not allowed to do that, so I either get fleeced by a lease or get gouged by the installation companies. No thanks.

      The profit margins must be pretty damn sweet though. Easy money.

      --
      ~X~
    6. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      start a company with your mates that also want solar, do the installations on all your houses, fold the company?

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    7. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by cbhacking · · Score: 3, Informative

      Speaking as somebody who has spent year living on a sailboat where electricity was entirely provided by solar:

      Even within a few miles of the equator, at local noon, a good rain squall will drop PV production to under 20% of its normal amount at that time. Later (or earlier) in the day it can easily drop all the way to effective zero - the charge controller eats a bit - until the sky clears. Of course, on the tropical ocean, "until the sky clears" is usually not that long. We (well, "they" now; my parents still live aboard but I do not) can run for a couple days (if fully charged) just living off the battery bank, though that would drop its charge lower than we like to let it go. On a really rainy day we might only get about 1/4 the normal production; if that keeps up for three days or so we'll run the engine for an hour to juice the batteries up.

      As for winter, the biggest problem is not the angle of the sun (that is *a* problem, even if you tilt the panels, because of atmospheric losses... but it's not a huge problem) but instead is the length of the day. You might get 80% of summer noon on a sunny winter noon in some places (I doubt it would be true up here in the Pacific Northwet, and no, that's not a typo), but the boat has never been anywhere that *has* a "winter" so I can't speak from experience. However, on an average tropical Caribbean day, I measured meaningful power from 7:30 AM to 5:30 PM (10 hours total), with peak output around 1PM. That's only ten hours of electricity generation, and the vast majority of it occurred between 9:30 AM and 4 PM, for a period of only 6.5 hours (call it 2/3 of the day) where the panels produced more than 50% of their typical mid-day maximum. In Seattle in the middle of winter, we don't even get close to 10 hours of daylight; I wouldn't be surprised if we didn't get more than 6.5 hours of usable light at all. So, 2/3 as much time, multiply by 4/5 for lost brightness even at midday, and you're looking at barely over half the power per day in winter that you get from peak summer brightness. Take into account the fact that tropical days are shorter than summer days, and it looks even worse for a comparison of winter vs. summer.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    8. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by silas_moeckel · · Score: 1

      That is the problem your getting free "storage" from the grid. Traditional generation can not spool up and down as fast as wind/solar output changes. So in effect grid tied solar is getting a free ride as everybody else pays for that excess peeking capacity required. Better long distance transmission can help be balancing the system but it still requires a good amount of overbuilding to meet instant demands.

      Now there is a good option for this. EV's have big batteries and plenty of computing and connectivity, making them a great fit to soak up baseline plant generation in the middle of the night and pump that back as needed. Go far enough down the line and hydro could be used to fill the gap since it's a fast responding clean base load generator.

      --
      No sir I dont like it.
    9. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by radl33t · · Score: 1

      Sure the answer is to design for winter load and use summer excess to charge something seasonal, hydrolyze water, make syn gas, heat the earth around your house, etc.

    10. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I don't know what your rig was, but I too have lived aboard my own sail boat for two years and found the single biggest impact on solar generation to be the following:

        - they are never pointing the right way
        - they are never tilted at the right angle
        - they accumulate salt spray and require regular cleaning
        - they are always catching some shade

      This last point is a massive issue. A line on a boat can cast a pencil thin shadow across the panel. For some panel designs this will kill the output from the whole board. The better boards are wired up in a special way that means only a section of the panel is taken out of action by the shadow, but still, it's a near impossibility to site a solar panel on a sailboat that is entirely shade free for the entire length of the day.

      Contrast that with the roof of a house: stationary, known inclination of the roof and elevation of the sun at different times of the year and/or day, easy to predict shading from nearby trees and proactively do something about it...etc.

      My point is that I don't think it's a fair comparison: a sailboat in summer in the tropics to a house in Seattle in the winter.

      Any way, my comments about solar aside, I hope you had an awesome trip, details about my trip are here: http://norris.org.au/sail/

    11. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by boskone · · Score: 1

      There's actually a site for this. Seattle "averages" across the year 3.5 hours of sunshine equivalent per day.

      In december it's a little over an hour, but it's longer due to the long days we have in the summer (I'm in seattle too), but it averages to 3.5 hours/day.

      So, if you buy a 10kW system, you'd see 3.5kW/h/D on average over the whole year. Of course, in december, you'd get 1.2kW/h/D and in July you might get 5-6kW/h/D

    12. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      start a company with your mates that also want solar, do the installations on all your houses, fold the company?

      You'd have to run the company for years, doing installation jobs, to pay back the state certification costs.

    13. Re:cost/price per kW hour comparison is nonsense by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      it's a near impossibility to site a solar panel on a sailboat that is entirely shade free for the entire length of the day

      That's probably true of a reasonably-sized monohull, but Ocelot is a cat. Setup is 4x 120W Kyocera panels out over the dinghy davits (we have a lot of room back there and it doubles as a shade for the rear of the cockpit). You can read a bit more about them here (photos are outdated in general but we haven't modified the array since they were taken): http://svocelot.com/Ocelot/mod...

      Having the panels so far aft and so high provided some protection from salt spray (enough that they don't need cleaning after any but the roughest passages, the kind where the whole boat needs a good rain rinse) and also kept them out of the line of most of our shadows. If the sun sets or rises directly in line with the panels and mast, then yes, we'll lose that panel, but this can often be remedied by running the boom out to one side (tied down with the jibe preventer) and letting the (relatively huge) sail protector swing the boat a few degrees away from pointing dead into the wind. By anywhere close to the hours when the sun is at full power, even our slightly-raked mast just isn't far enough back to shade the panels. (As a side note, it occurs to me that this may explain why the ramp up to full power took longer in the morning than evening; if the easterly winds meant the panels were occasionally shaded in the early morning, we'd only have 3/4 the nominal power production for that much insolation.)

      As for angle, that definitely cost us some power - our panels are very much immobile, aside from changing the orientation of the entire boat - but I'm not actually sure how much. Even at 60 degrees off apex, which is pretty late in the day (assuming you're right under the sun's path, within +/- 60 degrees is 1/3 of the day, or 8 hours), you still get 50% of the insolation you would get at apex, atmospheric losses aside. That's certainly significant losses, and it drops off sharply after that, but the middle hours of the day are not severely affected.

      By the way, nice site! I'll have to ask my folks if they ever ran into Animation coming up the Aus coast. Alternatively, do you know S/V Vamp? Good friends of ours. I'm sorry you posted as AC but I may ping you by email.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  21. Re: don't tax alternative energy and transportatio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That us right we should accept China's dumping of solar panels on the US because it is good for us in the short term.

  22. Selling power back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm located in California, which I imagine is one of the states on the forefront of adopting solar, yet we're unable to sell excess power to the grid. The best it can do is turn back the meter and offset power usage but it will in no way net you a gain of money.

  23. This has always been the problem.. by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    "one of the only impediments to decreasing solar electricity prices are fees proposed [edit: and imposed] by utilities on customers who install solar and take advantage of net metering, or the ability to sell excess power back to utilities."

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    1. Re:This has always been the problem.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The price you receive has to be the value of that electricity to the utility. The calculation of that value is tricky because the utility has very high fixed costs related to infrastructure, operations, and generation; your electricity doesn't reduce their fixed costs at all. You might save them some variable costs of generation but you might also cause them to incur some additional management costs.

  24. Yes, it includes the subsidies being renewed. by tlambert · · Score: 2

    Is this price parity before or after absorbing massive subsidies from taxpayers and electricty consumers? If it is after, then the idea is not scalable.

    After. Yes, it includes the subsidies being renewed.

    The Deutsche Bank's projection assumes that there will be three things happening, which are unlikely:

    (1) It assumes that the door-to-door sales model of whatever solar technology happens to be cheapest on the Thursday they ring your doorbell will result in substantial cost savings which can then be kept back from the consumer as additional profit

    (2) It assumes that the utility companies aren't installing all those "smart meters" so that they can tariff at differential metering rates - in other words, pay you less for the electricity than what they sell it to you at - as they are already doing in some markets (i.e. they pay you the wholesale spot market price, but charge you the retail peak price already in some markets

    (3) It assumes the ITC (Investment Tax Credit), which is set to phase from 30% to 10% by the end of 2016, will be renewed so that you are paying a subsidized price for the hardware (actually, that money would go to Vivint, not the home owner, since Vivint continues to own the solar system themselves, and merely sells the electricity to the customer on a monthly basis; as soon as the phase out hits, look for a price hike)

    So Deutsche Bank gave them a buy rating, but Citigroup gave them a neutral rating, and while the stock at IPO opened at $17.01 on initial trading on October first, it's now mid-November, and they're down to $11.25 a share, which is a drop in investment value of just under 34%; call it losing a third of its value.

    I think I'm with Citigroup on this one; I think Deutsche Bank is overly optimistic in assuming that the ITC won't sunset on schedule, and I think they are optimistic about people being OK effectively just switching power companies, and not owning - or getting the tax benefits from - the solar themselves.

    1. Re:Yes, it includes the subsidies being renewed. by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      There are also some state subsidies to consider. Beyond that, I won't laugh at how great DB thinks it is that financing costs for solar will drop to 6.5% when the Fed is feeding banks at 0% for the past 6 years.

    2. Re:Yes, it includes the subsidies being renewed. by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      Why shouldn't the Fed feed individuals loans at zero percent, so we can buy t-bills at 3%, and keep the loans rolling over?

  25. Solar power terminology by Firethorn · · Score: 5, Informative

    Charging a battery off of AC? Surely you mean RECTIFIER.

    Nope, he said inverter, he was talking about a intelligent hybrid inverter like this Outback one.

    The trick is that while it's called in inverter, that's only one of the things it does. Not only can it feed solar power to the grid, it can operate your home off of batteries, and if that isn't enough it can signal a generator to turn on(and off) as needs and power supply(solar AND grid) varies.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Solar power terminology by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      Yes well.. good luck with the battery part. Per a contractor who presented to me this past spring the battery backup necesary for my small abode (call it 1500 sqft) would be refrigerator size and quite costly. Laughable as I have exactly one coat closet and one utility closet downstairs. I guess I could just get rid of the fridge.

      Many people do not realize that solar installs will go dark during a blackout with out these very large and uber expensive battery systems.

    2. Re: Solar power terminology by dickens · · Score: 1

      This is precisely where the research effort needs to go.

    3. Re: Solar power terminology by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Personally, I'm hoping 'retired EV batteries' becomes a viable solution. Too worn out to have the range necessary for staying in the vehicle, but retaining 50% or so of the capacity, which in the case of the 85kwh Model S, would be enough to power me for 2 days.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    4. Re: Solar power terminology by swb · · Score: 1

      which in the case of the 85kwh Model S, would be enough to power me for 2 days.

      I'd swear someone in my family has a secret pot farm hidden in my 2,000 sq ft house someplace because every time I see electricity usage on Slashdot I wonder where the hell all my power goes.

      My bill for October (no heat, no AC usage) was for 987 kWh. Most of my lighting is CFL or LED (all of the lights that get used a lot are), my fridge is less than 5 years old and we use natural gas for cooking and heating. I do have about 4 PCs but two are diskless and one is off more than it is on.

      A roughly 40kWh used Tesla battery would get me through a day but probably be most useful for runtimes of an hour before starting an external generator.

    5. Re: Solar power terminology by karnal · · Score: 1

      My house in Central Ohio was built in 2008, first moved in in 2009 and I bought in 2013. Appliances 5 years old, 1800 sq feet (not including 500+ sq ft basement + crawl space/utility room). Heat is gas, range is electric - and we cook a lot at home - Metered usage for last month is 600KWH. I have a server (2 spinning disks), router, cable modem and kitchen cabinet LED strips on 24x7. Laptop and 2 other PCs on intermittently; plasma TV + AV and cable receiver on for 6+ hours a day; whole house excluding some closets is LED.

      My highest usage for the year was in August for a little less than 1200KWH, but that just shows that half of my electricity usage for that period is all Air Conditioning. 12 month roll up is just under 10,000KWH, so from an average perspective it's on par with yours - however you stated no AC no heat usage... odd.

      --
      Karnal
    6. Re: Solar power terminology by olau · · Score: 1

      987 kWh?

      Mine was 150 kWh with electrical cooking (heating is district heating though). You should definitely investigate.

    7. Re: Solar power terminology by Kyont · · Score: 1

      My bill for October (no heat, no AC usage) was for 987 kWh

      That really is out of line. For a month and situation such as you describe, it's hard to imagine it being much more than 500 kWh. It might be worth the $25 to get a Kill A Watt device (or similar) and test out your major appliances for a few days. Your fridge might have a bad motor or an out-of-control ice maker. Your A/C (or heat) might be set to something crazy when you're off at work. Sound systems, gaming systems, and cell signal repeaters can all suck up amazing amounts of power if left on 24/7. If you live anywhere semi-urban, it's worth checking outside to make sure you don't have a neighbor helping themselves. And then of course, like you said, check the closets for pot farms!

      --
      You shall see a cow on the roof of a cotton house.
    8. Re:Solar power terminology by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      Many people do not realize that solar installs will go dark during a blackout with out these very large and uber expensive battery systems.

      In most cases this is true, the invereters designed to work in pure grid-tied systems won't supply power without a battery. SMA however has an inverter that can supply some power (up to 1500 watts) during a grid outage, while the sun is up. Obviously it doesn't work at night, but in the event of some kind of disaster at the very least you can charge cell phones, laptops, or whatever when there's sun. Hopefully this is something that starts showing up in other inverters.

      On the other hand, if you have something that would require a UPS anyways, a hybrid inverter and battery might just be the way to go.

      --
      Saying "I'll probably get modded down for this" in a post is the best way to get it modded up.
  26. Mindless Shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Amit Ronen, a former Congressional staffer behind legislation that created an investment tax credit for solar installations" a failed human seeking salvation where salvation does not exist.

    This is just all wrong.

  27. Not in Wisconsin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Public Service Commission just approved several requests from WE Energies that essentially cuts the heart out of solar. The only thing WE Energies didn't get was a ban on leasing solar panels instead of buying them.

  28. The taxes are the biggest problem... by MindPrison · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...at least in Scandinavia.

    I often drool over the prices in China, cheap CHEAP and functional solar panels I could have gotten for pittens. But the taxes are so high that it evens out the score. Which is kind of strange since the government is subsidizing solar power anyway, but it's all lost on the import tax alone.

    --
    What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
    1. Re:The taxes are the biggest problem... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...at least in Scandinavia.

      And not only in northern Europe. In Spain the grid connected rooftop solar power price parity was just reached this past year and without subsidizing. Even if here the sales tax is lower than in Scandinavia still is a hefty 21%, but also the yearly solar irradiance is almost two folds up to 5.3KWh/m^2.

      But you know what? The government quickly invented a new tax. A tax for all grid connected home solar power. A tax that makes you pay for the electricity that you produce and consume yourself. Effectively taxing the Sun.

      Brilliant.

    2. Re:The taxes are the biggest problem... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Need to pay for all the Somali immigrants..

    3. Re:The taxes are the biggest problem... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1
    4. Re:The taxes are the biggest problem... by xiux · · Score: 1

      If I recall correctly, the import taxes are to prevent China from dumping and gaining a monopoly position in the solar panel market.

  29. No magical flying cars or hoverboards here. by westlake · · Score: 1

    this reminds me of the states that are passing taxes on electric vehicles because they don't pay gas tax.

    But they are using the roads, bridges, and other services the gas tax helps pay for.

    Several counties in upstate New York are currently experiencing blizzard conditions, with deep cold, strong winds and up to five feet of snow. The worst possible environment for an electric car.

  30. Wholesale vs. retail? by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 0

    Instead of comparing the cost of generation of solar power to the retail cost of power from other sources, shouldn't we compare it to the cost of generation from those other sources?

    1. Re:Wholesale vs. retail? by radl33t · · Score: 1

      Retail customers only need to displace retail costs. Avoiding net metering, the best thing to do is self-consume your solar energy and avoid the retail rate you would be otherwise charged.

    2. Re:Wholesale vs. retail? by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      Okay, the two older sibling posts make sense to me. Thanks for helping me clear my mental fog.

  31. In my area by slashmydots · · Score: 2

    In my area there's an extremely well funded (bribed) bill that the electric company is ramming through our legislature that will make the pay for back-fed electricity send into the grid like 5x lower. That's about as blatant as it gets when it comes to CO2-producing assholes being assholes.

    1. Re:In my area by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      In my area there's an extremely well funded (bribed) bill that the electric company is ramming through our legislature that will make the pay for back-fed electricity send into the grid like 5x lower. That's about as blatant as it gets when it comes to CO2-producing assholes being assholes.

      No, that's about as blatant as is gets for you being stupid. Somebody has to pay to build and maintain the infrastructure - and if you're going to be a source of power you should shoulder your share of the load (represented by the difference between the wholesale price you sell to them for and the retail price they sell the power to others for). TANSTAAFL.

  32. Re: If you can't run off grid for less it ain't ch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So fucking tired of this. I pay no additional insurance for my $24,000 PV installation. Stop making excuses based on wrong information. If you don't know you're talking about, shut the fuck up.

    Sincerely, an actual owner of solar panels

  33. You imperialist pig ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...at least in Scandinavia. I often drool over the prices in China, cheap CHEAP and functional solar panels I could have gotten for pittens.

    You imperialist pig. As long as you experience a convenience and/or a price drop its OK if Chinese peasant's labor is exploited, if Chinese peasant's air, land and water are polluted with the waste from solar panel manufacturing, etc. You think this is any less imperialist because the owners and managers behind this exploitation are Chinese this century rather than the Europeans of the previous centuries? Same story, same customers, same workers, different middlemen. You should be ashamed.

    Scandinavia socially and environmentally conscious my ass, at least beyond their "backyard".

    1. Re:You imperialist pig ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You imperialist pig. As long as you experience a convenience and/or a price drop its OK if Chinese peasant's labor is exploited, if Chinese peasant's air, land and water are polluted with the waste from solar panel manufacturing, etc.

      ...says the guy typing on his computing device.

      Get off your high horse dude. We all contribute in a certain way to the problems in the third world unless you want to live like a hermit.

    2. Re:You imperialist pig ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You imperialist pig. As long as you experience a convenience and/or a price drop its OK if Chinese peasant's labor is exploited, if Chinese peasant's air, land and water are polluted with the waste from solar panel manufacturing, etc.

      ...says the guy typing on his computing device. Get off your high horse dude. We all contribute in a certain way to the problems in the third world unless you want to live like a hermit.

      We don't all brag about it. We don't all advocate for its continuance. Some ask for reform. Some try to do something about the issue, like the governments who impose a tariff to offset the external costs that are not embedded into the price of the panels. Tariffs that the grandparent complains about. You demonstrate gross ignorance of the issue.

    3. Re:You imperialist pig ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What a silly little rebuttal you offer. No one said to live like a kermit or forsake tech. Just don't seek the lowest cost to oneself regardless of all costs to others.

  34. one tactic... by buddyglass · · Score: 1

    One tactic utility companies could use is to just change their pricing structure. Most already have a fee structure where the highest price/kWh is only paid for electricity purchased at the margins. The first kWh purchased may be drastically cheaper than the last, especially if you're a heavy user. So they could simply exaggerate that structure and make electricity "artificially" cheap for the majority of users and then gouge the heavy users on usage over some threshold.

    Alternately they could move to a price structure where there's a fixed "fee" to simply be a customer, and then use the revenue from that fee to offset the price-per-kWh and make it artificially cheap.

  35. Won't happen if the utillities get their way by jonwil · · Score: 4, Informative

    Many utilities in the US are fighting rooftop solar through various means. The south-eastern states in particular are the worst for this.

    Utilities are getting laws passed banning the "solar lease scheme" so popular in other parts of the US. And getting laws passed banning off-grid solar installs. And not providing net metering (either "you get paid for your excess electricity" or the "electricity you feed into the grid offsets what you use when the sun isn't shining but you wont get any money if you produce more than you use" model). And doing everything they can to push electricity generated from dirty black coal or nuclear reactors built to outdated 50s era designs instead of clean green energy.

  36. now for storage by dickens · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If we had distributed storage (better batteries) we could crush the fossil fuel industry for good with this, and bankrupt Russia and the Saudis for good measure. It's within reach, within a very few years.

    1. Re:now for storage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ^^ This. Even centralised storage would work. I could imagine a local community spinning up their own flywheel in the day and then drawing off it at night. If more power is required the community buys it in bulk from a neighbouring community or a commercial provider. The trick to this is about who owns and maintains the infrastructure.

  37. complete nonsene by slashmydots · · Score: 0

    The sun is free. This is like calculating impact energy without knowing the mass. You HAVE TO specify the variable of the desired payoff period to calculate some sort of pretend parity level. Since maintenance is practically zero, the sun costs zero, and you only pay for solar panels once, it never will "hit parity" with traditional sources because it costs nothing. You have to keep buying coal and natural gas to run a power plant.

  38. Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Have you seen the size of a coal fired power station? To do it properly you need an ash dam, and often a water storage dam as well, the cooling towers are not small, the turbine hall is not small and then you have boilers (that dwarf the turbine hall), coal crushers, coal storage and the conveyors or whatever to bring in the coal. Some even have their own mine, and that can be huge.
    So vast amounts of space, but it's hardly relevant because you can site plants where it's not a big deal that they take up so much space. The same holds for the other things that you suggest need even more space - they don't need more and it would not matter anyway!

    1. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yes, I have. And I've seen wind generators too. I have knowledge, dbIII, the likes of which you can barely imagine.

    2. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by towermac · · Score: 1

      What's with all you people comparing everything to coal plants? If coal plants were okay, then this discussion wouldn't exist in the first place.

      Nobody is advocating coal plants here.

    3. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Perhaps, but I prefer to apply observation to such situations instead of relying on imagination to produce "knowledge".
      Wind farms to date are bloody tiny in comparison to a coal mine or power station site, and even the largest of them are dual use unless you plan to farm giraffes.

    4. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1

      It's not my fault that a poster above ignorantly brought up the issue, and I who have worked at coal fired power stations corrected him.
      And they are OK, they are just not the best solution for everything in the energy mix. We're not ready to completely replace them with anything just yet despite the many downsides. There's a weekly global death toll from coal mining alone but nothing else is actually ready enough for bankers to provide loans to build stuff to replace it all. The less we use of it the better but it's not going away for a while.

    5. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      I have knowledge, dbIII, the likes of which you can barely imagine.

      I imagine that said in the voice of Loki. Although instead of "dbIII" it would have been "earthling".

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    6. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I imagine that said in the voice of Loki. Although instead of "dbIII" it would have been "earthling".

      That's a good analogy. In fact, let's extend the analogy to look at the Avengers movie.

      Loki represents people like khallow. Free individuals, libertarians, classic liberals, Tea Partiers, what have you.

      The Avengers represent the US government, what with them working for it and all.

      The MacGuffin they fight over that is all powerful and could lead to many great things represents liberty.

      On Loki's side he has capital - an army - which he obtained by voluntarily associating with a bunch of aliens in a private contract. Loki is also well versed in rhetoric, like our good friend khallow.

      On the government side, they have the Avengers.

      Captain America represents the "just doing our job" soldiers and government workers. He got his powers through government pork.
      Ironman represents the MIC. He got rich making and selling weapons
      Thor represents both the religious (Norse mythology and all) and the "born rich", being the son of Odin (Loki is Asgardian too, but as mentioned, Loki built his army with a private contract, he actually had to work for the aliens to earn that army)
      Bruce Banner/The Hulk represents the collective masses. As Bruce, he is the unwitting taxpayer whose productivity is siphoned by government. As The Hulk, he is the useful idiot that the government manipulates into a mob to provide nigh-unstoppable brute force.

      In that light, all those lines Loki said about being against freedom is really just leftist writers spinning things around to make government look good. "X is BAD because EVIL and government is answer!"

    7. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by khallow · · Score: 1

      Wind farms to date are bloody tiny in comparison to a coal mine or power station site

      I'm not sure where you're getting that idea from. Land-based wind power by its nature has to be highly visible. Those turbines have to be in airflow, meaning that they tend to be on tall structures on hills. And because you don't want airplanes running into them, they do need to be visible. Coal mining is the most invisible because first, it's either underground or strip mining, which removes height rather than add it. Coal power plants require cooling towers and smokestacks. They tend to be high profile just due to the massive size of the those structures, but it's all in one place rather than spread out over vast areas. And there are some tricks for reducing the visibility of such things, particularly, the smaller power plants.

      and even the largest of them are dual use unless you plan to farm giraffes.

      You can't mix them with high population areas unlike a coal power plant. Wind turbines can slough ice and turbine blades hundreds of meters. That can punch through a vehicle or building and kill people. And they require service roads and grid connections, meaning they use up a bit of that "dual use" land in a way that a coal power plant does not.

      Having said that, off shore wind power doesn't have a lot of those problems. And at times it apparently can be unseen from the shore.

    8. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by khallow · · Score: 1

      "All you people" is PopeRatzo. Why don't you take it up with him and be enlightened?

    9. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wind farms to date are bloody tiny in comparison to a coal mine or power station site

      It looks to me like wind farms tend to be between 7000-50,000 acres. The Gibson generating station, the largest coal-fired electric plant in the US is 3800 acres, including 3000 acres of cooling pond. A good sized stripmine may be 50,000 acres or so, but is also going to feed multiple generating stations. Including the mine area in the 'footprint' of a coal fired plant, in a discussion of which type of generator you would less like to live next to, is a transparent attempt to distort facts to fit your agenda.

    10. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Here's one that isn't as large as some, because of the convenient river that runs directly from coal country to their furnaces, and it's STILL HUGE. You can see this thing from miles away.

      Oh, and this isn't an eyesore at all, especially not all that crap blowing out of the foreground exhaust stack...

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    11. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1
      As for coal mines, look up "open cut" instead of using that imagination.

      You can't mix them with high population areas unlike a coal power plant

      I did some work at a plant adjacent to a small city where a very stupid fuckup with the scrubbers overnight had resulted in weak nitric acid condensing out on every car in town which ruined the paint and cost a fortune in compensation. It's a very bad idea to put a coal fired plant of any size near a town for many reasons, including land costs for a large footprint.

    12. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1

      So "But such a plant would occupy less land" has had it's goalposts moved to "reducing the visibility"?
      He shoots! He scores! He wins his little game where he doesn't even have to be correct! Congrats, it's a win merely for the sake of it and the topic does not matter.

    13. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Not an evasion since I've worked at four power stations that have their own mines. You can either site them next to water or next to coal, or preferably both.

    14. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Looks like only two boilers, two turbines and only one cooling tower. Tiny little thing that probably only has a couple of 500MW or less turbines since it looks like a 1980s plant. Of course still a pretty big land footprint and not dual use like the wind farms are.

    15. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by khallow · · Score: 1

      As for coal mines, look up "open cut" instead of using that imagination.

      No reason to. My point stands. They aren't doing coal mingin in urban areas and even if they were, it's not going to result in highly visible structures that you can see from a great distance.

      I did some work at a plant adjacent to a small city where a very stupid fuckup with the scrubbers overnight had resulted in weak nitric acid condensing out on every car in town which ruined the paint and cost a fortune in compensation. It's a very bad idea to put a coal fired plant of any size near a town for many reasons, including land costs for a large footprint.

      One can get similar scaled risks with fires in buildings. It isn't uncommon for things to have low probability but high damage risks associated with them. That doesn't mean you can't do them in urban areas. You just need to address the risks first.

    16. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Funny thing is your "point" just moved from size to if it can be seen - it didn't stand at all, it made a cocoon and turned into a fucking butterfly to fly off into the sunset. Why do you bother with these juvenile little masterbatory games? Is it an ego thing?

    17. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by khallow · · Score: 1

      Funny thing is your "point" just moved from size to if it can be seen

      Welcome to the thread. My first response was to a post speaking of "eyesore" complaints about wind turbines. Visibility is the number one consideration above size because would-be neighbors are far less likely to complain about an "eyesore", if they can't actually see it.

    18. Re:Wrong and irrelevant as well by dbIII · · Score: 1

      "But such a plant would occupy less land"

  39. PERMITS ! everybody forgets permits! by bussdriver · · Score: 3, Informative

    Many places in the USA have corrupted permit schemes. You don't pay a permit for an expert to verify your changes and protect the public-- you pay a % based upon the cost of the renovation. It is a home change TAX under another name and that is why you need permits for the most basic stupid things and why inspectors ignore checking most of the BS stuff; plus they are running around justifying the tax checking things that do not need it or enforcing the stupid rules (along with the good ones.)

    I just got finished paying a 15% permit tax on top of the 7.5% sales tax for changes I made which were not inspected other than asking what the general plan was. On a huge solar installation that would be crazy just to have them make sure a few wires were connected properly.

  40. Battery bank by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    I take it you're talking about a full size fridge, not a cube?

    It's not the size of your home that's the kicker, it's the maximum draw you need to size for. I'm not going to call your contractor incompetent, but he was probably sizing the battery bank for you to be able to run your whole service off of it. If you're willing to deal with something like no AC during a power outage, the battery system can be a lot smaller. Did he quote wattage and kwh, or even run time for that bank of batteries? Was it supposed to provide power overnight?

    A quick google search showing a 2Kw battery bank, 4 batteries. It'll run your fridge(or a sump pump) and some lights, beyond that it'd need the pictured generator pretty quickly. Pictured here is a battery bank for an off-grid house.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  41. Capacity not storage by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Capacity not storage - storage is very lossy.
    Also those intermittant power sources become far less so when they are spread all over the place. So all solar in the USA gets blocked out in summer daylight almost at once - short of Yellowstone going up and dropping pumice on Chicago that's not happening. You think they'll be a day with no wind in all of the USA? Go ask a small child to explain the nightly weather chart to you and what those pressure lines mean about moving air.
    These things are small widely distributed generators that are brought on one by one when base load is not enough. Thinking of them like always connected base load is silly, but a surprisingly frequent mistake here. That solar on your roof that may be selling stuff back to the grid is only doing it when it's wanted and not at all times that it's generating power.

  42. If your power bill is less it is cheap. by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Just thought I needed to point this out - if your power bill is less it is cheap. It would be nice to get off grid and future proof against bastard weasel "connection fee" and "network costs" games from energy suppliers, but savings can be made even without battery storage.

    1. Re:If your power bill is less it is cheap. by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      Network cost isn't always a game. Maintaining the grid costs real money.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    2. Re:If your power bill is less it is cheap. by dbIII · · Score: 1

      When the cost difference between generated and supplied is as enormous as it currently is in many places it does appear to be such a game as the Enron "jedi" pricing games used in California.
      I've never had a lot to do with tranmission - I was mostly on the generating side and now on the resources side, but still having actually done some work with transmission gear I at least known something on the issue.

  43. It's retail vs retail by dbIII · · Score: 1

    No, because the consumer gets the choice between the retail cost or generating the power themselves.
    So while it may cost a lot more per MW than coal the person actually buying the power doesn't get to see the benefit from a cheaper power generation source.

  44. Need for metered and managed consumption by Blaskowicz · · Score: 0

    Home solar panels are in part a nuisance and they should be as little so as possible. A little home automation for scheduling power use around peak production hours would be needed. You may trigger HVAC, water heating, clothes drying and cleaning etc. and computation. Restrain lighting in "red" periods, if you go further.
    But such systems are undesirable on the internet, every one will get hacked and spied on thus they need to not belong on the internet and still get the info, one-way only. A PC or router may forward some pricing and grid state info onto the home devices, but it might be better to broadcast them on frequencies similar to FM radio.

    This is exactly what you need to sell power at the peak hours, too.

  45. Free Market, bitches! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I know that utilities don't want to see rooftop solar, but screw it! If I decide to put a panel on my roof, its none of the damn utilities business. If I decide to only buy power at night, then that's tough for them. They are always crying 'Free Market' when yelping about government regulations, yet when I decide that I want no regulations about whether I buy exclusive to the utility or not, they get their panties all in a twist. Well tough luck. I will join the class action lawsuit and sue the utility into the ground if they want to charge me more. No.

  46. main house breaker by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    It may be illegal to be off-grid but there's no law against opening the main house breaker.

    They'll still make it illegal because, you know, you could always turn the breaker back on. ;) They'll remove the meter, and you won't care until city officials show up and condemn your house because solar panels or no, without a grid connection you 'can't sustain a quality of life there'. Never mind that the alternative had her sleeping in her car... I'd take my house unheated over trying to sleep in my truck, even in an Alaskan winter.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:main house breaker by pdhenry · · Score: 1

      You misunderstood me. Just open the breaker. You'll still have a customer charge of $18/month or so but it seems to me that the trouble starts when you tell the electric company that you don't want to be a customer. Unless you're trying to tell me that there's a legal consequence to having zero consumption on your power bill.

    2. Re:main house breaker by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      The legal consequence? Most likely that the power company will notice you being zero for a couple months and do something:
      1. Accuse you of tampering with the meter. Obviously you're using electricity and therefore they need to have usage statistics. Despite the solar panels on the roof you haven't signed up for one of their net metering schemes.
      2. Contact your mortgage company or the property office that no electricity is being used, the property may be abandoned. I've seen that around.
      3. See that you're not buying any electricity and have the housing authority come around to possibly condemn your house.
      4. Like I mentioned in my previous post, if the solar panels connect to ANY WIRING that can be connected to their feed via something as simple as flipping a switch they consider it their domain and there are rules. The stated reason is to prevent you from electrocuting any linemen working on the wires if you're backfeeding. Thus my statement of 'you could always turn the breaker back on', resulting in an unsafe condition. Thus their removal of the meter, because that's how they make it 'safe' for their line workers when you have an unauthorized solar installation.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  47. Extrapolation story by Tablizer · · Score: 3, Informative

    About 10 years ago I studied a graph of the cost of solar versus conventional energy over time, extrapolated out, and saw them crossing in roughly 10 years. So, I invested in solar companies thinking they are going to take over conventional energy.

    I got the crossing part right. What I got wrong is that those were domestic companies. Chinese companies generally have beaten domestic companies such that my stocks languished.

    Predicting the future is not good enough; you have to predict the location also. Warren Buffet, I am not.

    1. Re:Extrapolation story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm also invested in solar right now. I chose to go with the Guggenheim Investments ETF with the stock ticker TAN (how appropriate). A large amount of their holdings is Chinese companies. Did you hand-pick your stocks? I know that the whole solar industry tanked pretty hard 3 years ago. Were you up prior to that?

    2. Re:Extrapolation story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When a new tech comes out with 100 companies people often try to pick the winner. It is often best to short the looser.

      A lesson learned from the car industry that had close to 1000 companies 100 years ago. Eventually there were 3. So, 0.3% of investors got it right. But anyone that shorted the horse won.

    3. Re:Extrapolation story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's at least one confounding factor here that's notable, the lehman bros. bankruptcy had some knock-on effects, and specifically one growth american solar manufacturer was burned really bad by a write down. It destroyed them.

      Flip the coin back over, and you'll also find this company had issues getting the local community to let them build their second plant, for fear of pollution, ironically. The chinese care less about such concerns.

    4. Re:Extrapolation story by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Interesting point. But, what exactly is a "horse company"? Did stage-coach builders go out of business, or bought out by ever-merging car companies for manufacturing the non-engine portion of cars? Manufacturing a stage-coach is not that much different from the cars of the time such that buying an existing factory would seem a better bet than starting from scratch.

      It would be interesting to study the patterns of disrupting technologies on the fading product companies. Anybody know a good book on that? Our times are further complicated by the offshoring factor.

  48. Which country is this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Vishal Shah"
    "Amit Ronen"

    Nice, 'American' names...

  49. It's actually OK to be Positive by AnneMilligan · · Score: 2

    This is a great development. The End.

    1. Re: It's actually OK to be Positive by AnneMilligan · · Score: 1

      Role-Modeling a positive reply: Yes, as the article is about how rooftop solar power is projected to be economical equivalent to coal by 2015, this is a reason to be glad and really start researching how to add solar panels to our house.

  50. Rates - to be fair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For commercial customers billing already works this way.
    Example Dominion Rate Schedules

    If a customer is a power generator only, they get payed for power, but get charged for the meter and the facilities that connect the meter to the utilities system.
    DOM Schedule 19

    For a small business customer DOM schedule GS-2
    The bill consists of
    Distribution Service Charges
        Meter Fee (Flat fee for having a connection)
        Distribution (kwh and demand fee to cover costs of the distribution system)
    Electricity Supply (ES) Service Charges
        Energy Charge (kWh based to cover the cost of generating power)
        Energy Demand Charge (Peak kWhr based to cover cost of having generating capacity available to meet the customers demand)

    I suspect that most residential customers would be annoyed to see the residential bills look like commercial and industrial bills, but if solar / wind gets large enough that the utility needs to arrange for storage, or supply that can cover supply availability risks associated with solar and wind there will need to be some way to compensate them for the service.

    None of this should apply if you simply unplug, and use your own storage, same as now if you want to run your house on your own generator.

    If you don't like the changes, electric utilities in the US are mostly regulated utilities. Feel free to testify at the regulators rate setting meetings. Information for Virginia can be found here Virginia State Corporation Commission Division of Energy Regulation. Most other states have something similar.

  51. Electricity price doesn't matter by pellik · · Score: 1

    The only way I could ever save money on my power bill is if I go off the grid completely.

    I had been using normal PSE&G (southern NJ) and paying about $600/mo for my business. I switched to a different provider that locked me into a 10.3c/kWh supply contract. Now I pay $550/mo in delivery fees and $75/mo for supply.

    I tried contacting the state agency that regulates power companies but, as expected, they neither knew nor cared what the expensive items on my bills were.

  52. If the generating cost is... by kenh · · Score: 1

    ... Equal to the retail price of conventionally generated electricity ('economic parity'), then why are utilities being forced to buy excess electricity from customers with solar panels at a premium price (cost plus)?

    --
    Ken
    1. Re:If the generating cost is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "why are utilities being forced to buy excess electricity from customers with solar panels at a premium price (cost plus)?"

      1) They aren't
      2) Because that "cost" is the *consumer cost* when the homeowner is paying, but the *average daily cost* (note: NOT the spot price at that time for any other power generation company) when the homeowner is being paid.

  53. The consumer pays for the infrastructure costs by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Which is why it's a tradeoff and why government enforced monopolies often produce results that suck. For example I'm dealing with a telecommunications company that has done fuckall since 1996 because they only have to keep their network more or less in one piece for the money to keep rolling in.
    It's a tricky situation. Often governments have been given a lot of money to keep the situation as a monopoly and throw capitalism out the window, but the public/consumers want some sort of improvement that would normally occur with competition, and in the complete lack of competition improvement is not going to happen unless conditions for a continued monopoly are updated every now and again. What is reasonable for both parties is going to vary with the situation, but in nearly every case the customers of the monopoly get to bear the cost of any "charity handout", often with a bit of extra fat added.

  54. Parity, but not frugality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solar power will equal the cost of coal power because restrictions on coal power are making it rapidly more expensive, not because PV panels are dropping so quickly. Hooray, parity means you pay much more.
    Wake me up when power get cheap. I'll turn off my computer 'till then.

  55. Great news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And all it took was driving up the price of coal by a factor of ten, undercutting the economies of half a dozen states, and the centralization of ever more power in the executive. And it can all be undone with the same stroke of a pen if 2016 goes Republican. Well done, gang! Once again Democrats have proven that character never counts.

  56. Small nuclear vs. solar PV vs. a singularity by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    I agree we may well see cheap compact nuclear fission reactors in the 2020s like from Hyperion., Also, it is a sad truth that we could build much safer reactors if engineers had been asked to prioritize safety over other things (Freeman Dyson's TRIGA design being one example) and if the USA has not focused on a Uranium nuclear cycle that intentionally could be easily weaponized (instead of Thorium).

    Still I'd expect solar will actually continue to fall in price by the 2020s too. It would not surprise me if PV was in the 15 cent per watt range by 2030 (or even less) other things remaining constant. Consider how "cheap" used "solar collectors" in terms of tree leaves are in the Fall in the USA. Solar panels potentially could be printed as cheaply as aluminum foil using advanced nanomaterials and special inks.

    We haven't really seen anything like the amount of research in PV we will probably see when it reaches grid parity everywhere and people really invest in it in a huge way equivalent to previous investments in fossil fuel production and research. Some people (myself included) have been predicting this turning point for a long time, and it has been dismissed and ignored. It is easy to say PV progress will never get to grid parity until it actually happens. That has been true even though the trends for decades show a clear line towards zero cost (no doubt it will go asymptotic at some point to just be dirt cheap though).

    Unfortunately, in our short-term-oriented society in the USA, until PV is cheaper than the grid it is only a niche thing for special circumstances or motivated environmentally-minded people. That has been what has been funding it as only a relative trickle of investment. Once PV is cheaper than the grid, assuming a good solution to energy storage exists (fuel cells with nickle-metal hydride storage, Lithium ion batteries, molten salt batteries, compressed air, or something else), it will be economically foolish to use anything else to generate power than PV. And then, sometime after the stampede, we will see enormous sums of money flow into PV research and production. Electric utilities may collapse all over the place as his happens because grid power becomes too pricey once the cost of delivery exceeds the cost of on-site production. Except for the value of their right of ways as internet conduits, and maybe the value of their copper wires, I would guess that most utilities if properly accounted for, given decommissioning costs and outstanding long-term debt in sunk costs, most utilities may well have a negative net worth right now given any forecast that includes these trends.

    Personally, I still think it possible that hot fusion or cold fusion will displace PV (as well as nuclear fusion) in the near future. Those could potentially be really really cheap. Even if fission gets cheaper and better (including potentially as small batteries), I don't see it could compete with workable fusion (and probably neither could PV for most applications).

    We'll likely also see energy efficiency increase greatly. The current best construction in Europe is to build passive solar superinsulated houses without furnaces; search on "no furnace house".

    I'd love to see the solar roadways thing work out... Or even just for parking lots or driveways.
    http://www.solarroadways.com/

    Still, as I said elsewhere, the same reasons PV s getting cheaper (cheaper computing leading to cheaper collaboration and better designs by cheaper modeling and newer materials and so on) are the same sorts of reasons we will also see much cheaper nuclear power. Of course, there are other trends that all interact with that as well... A post by me from 2000:
    "[unrev-II] Singularity in twenty to forty years?"
    http://www.dougengelbart.org/c...

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
    1. Re:Small nuclear vs. solar PV vs. a singularity by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Molten Salt Reactors != Thorium
      There are Thorium fuel experiments with water cooled / solid fuel experiment underway (Thor Energy, Halden Reactor)
      The IMSR from Terrestrial Energy will be an MSR fueled with Uranium
      The big hype about MSRs is Thorium cause that allows for breeder reactors, but there are plenty of regulatory / extra costs required to make those happen, much more logical to break it down in steps and get an MSR to the market ASAP (IMSR from Terrestrial) and to certify solid Thorium / Plutonium fuels for water cooled reactors first.

  57. New leasing models? by MoarSauce123 · · Score: 1

    I got interested in these "new leasing models" and they are not good for homeowners. They often run over 20 years requiring leasing payments for 20 years, regardless of who owns the house. And after that? The panels will be EOL and the owner is stuck with replacing them. While there is still a level of satisfaction to be 'green' it is also a matter of economics. And these "new leasing models" clearly only favor the sleazy companies who rake in not only the money for any excess power sent to the grid, they also sack any tax incentives...and who knows which yahoos they hire to drill holes into the roof and muck around at the panel. I rather buy panels and have the choice of hiring an expert installer. I am sure I can pay off the loan in way less than 20 years, keep my tax incentives, and keep the payments for the excess power. As with anything, leasing is a great option for people who do not have any money or credit, or that have too much money. Like leasing a car, almost pay as much as you would for outright buying a car, but once done you don't own anything but are stuck with plenty of liability.

  58. Electricity usage by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Last month I was 414 kWh - 1 computer running at all times(mixed SSD & spinning disk, disk will spin down if I'm not using it). Fridge is greater than 5 years old(considering new one, waiting for a good sale), heat is oil boiler, no AC, water is from well w/electric pump on MY meter.

    I'll echo the others - I recommend investigating. Turn ALL the breakers off. Make sure your meter isn't still spinning. Spring for an individual meter like the 'killavolt' or even a clamp ammeter. Get a run-time clock for the AC system and water heater(if it's electric, probably not given your description). Check out your appliances.

    Then again, you might have a family member running a space heater when you're not looking.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Electricity usage by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, and my range & oven are both electric.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right