Health Advisor: Ebola Still Spreading, Worst Outbreak We've Ever Seen
Lasrick writes After four decades of confining Ebola outbreaks to small areas, experts acknowledged in an October 9 New England Journal of Medicine article that "we were wrong" about the scope of the current situation. At the present transmission rate, the number of Ebola cases in West Africa doubles every two to three weeks. Early diagnosis is the key to controlling the epidemic, but that's far easier said than done: "And there are several complicating factors. For one thing, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimate that 60 percent of all Ebola patients remain undiagnosed in their communities." A transmission rate below 1 is necessary to keep the outbreak under control (instead of the current rate of 1.5 to 2), and the authors detail what's in the works to help achieve early detection, which is crucial to reducing the current transmission rate.
Can we import some ebola infected africans into Ferguson, MO and show those assholes have a real crisis is like?
I heard that a major problem in Africa is a burial custom where they pour water over the deceased persons body and then relatives drink the water. No idea whether this is true at all, but if it is, you would sort of think that there needs to be a fairly serious education campaign to control it. Ebola isn't that contagious considering it needs direct contact with bodily fluids, so something has to be happening which is consistently putting people at risk.
I had a crazy dream where it was 26th of November and the number of new ebola cases had been dropping for the last five weeks.
What happens if we let this thing run its course?
So it must not exist any more. Right?
Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
But, I thought Ebola was invented by Fox News and it was just a big scare campaign to sow suspicion and distrust of black people? It's racist, remember?
and they admitted it.
Regardless of sourcing the information, the information is incorrect. According to this graph, Ebola is doubling every 60 days now -- so there has been some improvement.
Best way to keep up on this, that I can tell, is to google "ebola africa timeline wiki", and pan down to the timeline, near the bottom of the article. You'll see the graphs.
My favorite graph for keeping track is the logarithmic scale based on population , because it's easy to see where infection totality is: it used to be at 1 1/2 years, and now is about 5 years out.
Another thing of interest that I noted, though: The infection rates before a country mounts a serious response, can be as fast as doubling every 3 or 5 days. For that reason, I think our CDC's active attempts to STOP a proper response, was the worst thing they could do.
Just something to think about.
Correct Horse Battery Staple: 72 bits of entropy. Enter "Correct H" into google. When it generates the phrase, that's
"Islam isn't just at the heart of the terror threat posed by the Islamic State. The religion is also contributing to the other major crisis plaguing the globe: the spread of Ebola" link
Is the string of experts saying how wrong they were after the fact.
"If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
...it's people and their vast ignorance.
Around here people treat the news about Ebola like it's just another H1N1 outbreak and think nothing further of it. The schools are literally a walk-in petridish and the hygiene at the cafeterias are terrible, kids just dash in for seconds and dab their spoons gleefully into the pots and pans for more, and the next week - half of the kids and teachers are sick with the common flu. Imagine that scenario when we've got Ebola on the move.
We have lots of people who have families in Africa, they come over with their friends ALL the time, and they attend the same schools as the natives do, it's just a matter of time before this becomes a uncontrollable problem.
Proper hygiene needs to be taught, and before we know how to control this, we should limit the traveling from and to infected countries.
Personally I've stacked up like crazy, I've filled my house to the brim with food and stuff needed to cope with that time when the outbreak will be at its worst. Again - it's not Ebola I fear...I fear the people who will get desperate when they reap the fruit of their own ignorance.
What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
Ebola is testing the ability of the human race to respond
in a successful adaptive manner.
It is only a matter of time before there is a MAJOR
outbreak in the continental United States.
What most of you have never considered is that those who are really in
power in the US actually want this to happen. Is this monstrous ? Sure, but so
was the war in Viet Nam, and so is the 'War on Drugs", etc. The government
doesn't give the slightest fuck about you or your welfare. The government is like
a shark, and it does what it needs to do to survive. The government doesn't care
about the average citizen any more than the shark cares about the last bunch of
fish it swallowed.
For those who want to stay alive, I suggest you stock up on non-perishable food ...
water, and lots of weapons and ammo. When the sort of scum who set fire to Ferugson
stop by your house looking for food, you are going to need a much better answer than
"I gave at the office". You are going to ned to be able to kill a lot of people quickly, and to
do it without the slightest reliance on emergency services, because when you need those
services they won't be available to you, since they will be tasked with protecting those
who run the show.
Sorry, we had a kid get shot after trying to disarm a police officer over here. Haven't been paying attention to African's dying.
Paranoia much?
If there was an intelligence test here, you failed it.
A lot of people in America seem to think the Ebola threat to them has gone away because a few cases that arrived here have been successfully dealt with and that the 'scare' is over. They don't realize that the worst is yet to come once it really breaks out of the 3 African countries where is is pretty much out of control. If it gets out into Asia, in particular I think we can kiss the human race goodbye. And if it goes airborne at some point there will be no stopping it.
Let's see.... October 9th issue of NEJM, with a submission deadline of perhaps September 9th, summarizing data through perhaps August 9th? Today is November 26th.
NEJM is part of the vast right-wing conspiracy harping on the dangers of Ebola merely because faux news tells them to?
-Styopa
Paranoia much?
If there was an intelligence test here, you failed it.
So, you can talk shit on the internet.
But can you back it up in person ?
I've got $10,000 cash that says you can't beat me in a bare-knuckle boxing
match.
I'm ready when you are, little boy.
those who are really in power in the US actually want this to happen.
I doubt it. Those "really in power" will die out at the same rate as everyone else. This is the reason biological weapons got outlawed in the first place -- you cannot control them. As far as government genociding its citizens at the first opportunity -- they still add poison to ethyl alcohol, I am totally with you on that one.
Good luck Ebola-chan! May she bless us all with her touch.
While I wouldn't ordinarily excuse the ad-hominem, when you feel like you might need to resort to a physically violent confrontation just because someone's challenged your credibility online, it only kind of affirms the possibility that they may actually have been right
File under 'M' for 'Manic ranting'
When shit gets real there's more "the spirit of the blitz" than Mad Max. Compare the hysterics of meteor movies with Russian dashcam footage where the real thing is not even enough to turn down the stereo, let alone stop driving.
I realize extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof. But rather than make it easy let me show you how to find things like this
Maybe you can figure this out too. Let's play a game.
Google "ebola gabon immunity" (without the quotes)
You'll find some newspaper articles, the French one points to a PLOS paper. In that paper find what man and bat have in common. It's near the end and obvious.
Now go to google scholar and google "ebola zaire selenium" and find THAT 1995 paper.
Now look at where Africa fits into South America. Look up the obvious food product in the NIH papers. Remember what man and bat have in common.
Any idea why of the Americans in America who caught EBOV, a disease that's 70.8% fatal not one died?
Have you seen the numbers in Africa? What are they. Calculate the r-naught and look right around mid october. Notice anything different?
The NIH was told how to fix this on Oct 17.
TFN is from Oct 9. Y'all can stand down. And my, weren't those racial epithets just charming.
Need Mercedes parts ?
To divert attention back to where it's SUPPOSED to be, I've rewritten the FS a bit. Delete where appropriate.
"After four decades of confining poverty outbreaks to small areas, experts acknowledged in an October 9 New England Journal of Medicine article that "we were wrong" about the scope of the current situation. At the present transmission rate, the number of poverty cases in [North America/UK] doubles every two to three weeks. Early diagnosis is the key to controlling the epidemic, but that's far easier said than done: "And there are several complicating factors. For one thing, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimate that 60 percent of all poverty patients remain undiagnosed in their communities." A transmission rate below 1 is necessary to keep the outbreak under control (instead of the current rate of 1.5 to 2), and the authors detail what's in the works to help achieve early detection, which is crucial to reducing the current transmission rate."
Do I give a FUCK about some brown person in Africa? No. Franky, I don't. Do I give a fuck about where MY next meal is coming from? YES.
"Charity" begins at home. If you want to be fucking around in other countries, maybe you ought to be smelling your own shit first and realise it doesn't smell like rainbows and angel cunt. Get your own house in order before you pass judgement on others.
Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
Clevelands turn to burn now.
12 year old. White cop. No reason being reported.
They're letting 12 and white sink in good before they tell us anything.
The Age of Outrage. Arm up.
wouldn't it be funny if someone called you on that? And publicly beat the snot out of you?
Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
roman_mir's karma is in the basement again...
OK, make it interesting at $100,000 and I'll see you outside the internet in 10 minutes.
Are weapons of mass control thru fear.
At the time I'm reading this submission, it's tagged with "nothingofvaluewaslost". I can't fathom what this is supposed to mean. Lives in West Africa are worthless? Deaths in a developing country are meaningless because there's no economic impact? Am I missing some subtlety or other message here?
What a cynical, awful tag.
Wasn't that because he pulled out a real looking toy gun when police approached him?
Or was that a different 12 year old kid?
Comment removed based on user account deletion
He assumes constant or rising speed of spreading of the disease and constant or increasing contact with the diseased.
While ignoring ANY possibility of lowering of those factors by various means.
From governmental blockades of travel, through people avoiding contact on their own, up to changes in weather as we are moving into a winter which will make moving of humans and viruses across continents slower, harder and easier to spot.
In short...
http://xkcd.com/605/
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
According to a 2007 study commissioned by the Canadian Embassy in the United States, Canada–United States trade supported 7.1 million American jobs.
so yea lets cut yournation right the fuck off.....http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canada%E2%80%93United_States_trade_relations
there goes 7 million of your jobs and all the lvoely taxes they pay
we in canada will find other partners to trade with
again FUCK YOU
from that link
In 2012, U.S. merchandise trade with Canada consisted of US$324.2 billion in imports and US$292.4 billion in exports
get ready for hell when trade stops.....
good thing we start free trade with europe next year....we can then stop buying your garbage and form your middle men
YOU IN SERIOUS TROUBLE when 66% of canada doesnt vote conservative will vote with there wallets...
the usa is a big patent troll and military sales machine...
it also is great for hollywood and lawyers....
pick one of 3 thats all you are now....
you can't even get to the space station without russia's help ROFL
It sucked for the Dolists, but the Legislaturists and Committee for Public Safety made out like bandits, with the latter protecting the former from everything else... But was it just a story, or was it inspired by actual people and events?
A Thanksgiving Day Letter to the American Negro
The former president bush is personally blamed for laying charges on the dykes in New Orleans in order to kill black people. Can we at least lay similar claims against President Obama, and claim he personally infected Africans with Ebola so that black people would die. I mean fair is fair.
Quit being such a misguided social justice warrior with your knee-jerk reactions.