Why Micron/Intel's New Cross Point Memory Could Virtually Last Forever
Lucas123 writes: As they announced their new 3D XPoint memory this week, Micron and Intel talked a lot about its performance being 1,000X that of NAND flash, but what they talked less about was how it also has the potential to have 1,000X the endurance of today's most popular non-volatile memories. NAND flash typically can sustain from 3,000 to 10,000 erase-write cycles — more with wear-leveling and ECC. If Micron and Intel's numbers are to be believed, 3D XPoint could exceed one million write cycles. The reason for that endurance involves the material used to create the XPoint architecture, which neither company will disclose. Unlike NAND flash, cross point resistive memory does not use charge trap technology that wears silicon oxide over time or a typical resistive memory filamentary architecture, which creates a statistical variation in how the filaments form each time you program them; that can slow ReRAM's performance and make it harder to scale. Russ Meyer, Micron's director of process integration, said 3D XPoint's architecture doesn't store electrons or use filaments. "The memory element itself is simply moving between two different resistance states," which means there's virtually no wear.
Wouldn't it be way obsolete by the 1 millionth write cycle ?
The last thing that was supposed to last virtually forever was those overpriced lightbulbs that were supposed to last for decades. I'm lucky if I get a year out of them. Let's revisit the new memory when it has a track record.
Is this memory based on silicon, or something else, like GaAs or Germanium or Graphene or something else?
long live RM films.
I believe they've also indicated the "1000x endurance" figure isn't based upon write cycles -- meaning it has to be based on typical lifetimes. So yes, you're talking many years of service.
Kythe
I've had a couple CFLs go out early, but I do have a few that are going on 7 years, but I've only had one LED bulb die and that was within a week...mfg replaced it. And I'm always a fairly early adopter so my oldest LED bulb is about 4 years old....and yes I paid way to much for it.
If you are having bad luck, I'm guessing you have crappy power. I'm lucky that my power is pretty clean (I borrowed a powersight monitor from work for a month).
"Crappy power" is normal. Manufacturers need to design for that. How long something lasts in a lab is irrelevant.
that there is always a catch.
So, what's the catch?
At the moment - availability.
Not yet determined - cost
"She's furniture with a pulse"
This sounds like this may be some sort of phase change memory where controlled pulses of current can switch a material between a high and low resistance phase. The memory can then be read by passing low current through the bit to determine which phase it is in without flipping the phase.
Crossbar vs XPoint (Crosspoint) can't wait to see how this plays out. :-)
Once these hit consumer devices life could be alot faster and last longer
But what is its behavior re data remanance? Not the first concern of course, but certainly one of them these days...
Wear-leveling, levels the demand for erase-write a cell, between all available cells. It does not increase their durability. It just makes them equally worn out, so part of them don't fail, while the others still have a lot of juice in them. ECC catches errors caused by the environment. It also does not increase the durability limit of the cells. And after they're worn out - they are worn out. ECC will not make them continue to store info for you. 8GB x 1million write cycles = 8 000 000 GB changed. According to Wikipedia, DDR3-1600 has a Peak transfer rate of 12,5GB/s. At comparable speeds, the 8GB of Intel's new memory will be worn out in about 178h, which is a little over a week of crunch. And this is not nearly forever.
If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
Your Internet connection is not information. It is a complex system of wires/tubes/fibers run by computers, and uses electricity, occupies land. It is operated by a corporation who pays people, negotiates with other corporations, and deals with/pays for many subtle and not so subtle political aspects of the whole thing.
This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
But a small boot routine in ROM that erases a range of RAM (persistent or not) isn't that hard to conceptualize. Besides, depending on the type of volatile RAM, it doesn't always come up as all zeros at power-on either... I mean, what do you think happens when you press a reset button? Everything is still in RAM at that point.
What would make things different is a software architecture change that gets rid of the separate permanent storage layer and makes everything RAM-persistent. That would be kinda strange to imagine.
"Crappy power" is normal. Manufacturers need to design for that.
Yeah, see physics doesn't care what you think is "normal". While it's possible to design for a reasonable range of power conditions it is not economically possible to design for all of them. Frankly if your power quality is so poor that they are constantly blowing out light bulbs the answer is to fix the power, not the bulbs. You take the bullets out of the gun rather than insist everyone wear a bullet proof vest.
Please don't use 'virtually' like that in an article about memory. It's just going to confuse the issue.
When someone says, "Any fool can see
""Crappy power" is normal. Manufacturers need to design for that. "
Get a UPS.
Cost : "between NAND and DRAM."
Even if it was cheaper to fab right now than NAND, they wouldn't admit it, because they'd be less able to charge a premium price for it. I'm betting that since it has a higher density than NAND and a simpler construction, it will probably end up cheaper than NAND in the longer run.
And DRAM is horribly expensive to fab. So "cheaper than DRAM" leaves a large window.
Right now they are pitching it at the enterprise storage market but that's only smart business - while they ramp up production capacity, get the highest price for it you can.
Will only be available in ten years, like all other revolutionary technologies that are advertising for some time.
Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
If it was ever true that power cycling is hard on incandescents, it hasn't been for decades. The primary wearout mechanism is evaporation of the filament.
Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
Can someone explain how exactly they're "moving between two different resistance states"? Because I think that that in itself does not guarantee lower wear.
Has anyone heard anything technical about how this works?
Care to give examples of when a company which spends the GDP of a small country on R&D has ever overhyped technology or not delivered a product?
This isn't some silicon valley startup, or some small PhD student turned patent holder hiding in some dingy lab at a university we're talking about.
"Crappy power" is normal. Manufacturers need to design for that.
No, you need to design for that. Install a power conditioner, or a UPS (not SPS). You can fix this problem.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
The last thing that was supposed to last virtually forever was those overpriced lightbulbs that were supposed to last for decades. I'm lucky if I get a year out of them.
Don't buy overpriced and overhyped. Just buy good quality. There's no reason you should have failing lightbulbs anymore unless you're driving them with really nasty power or installing them in some wonderfully heat-trapping light fittings.
I think people notice incandescents fail right when being turned on rather than just crapping out while they were already running. I don't know if this is selection bias and these events are just more noticable than the other types of failure.
I'm quite sure that they fail right when turned on more in this house, but I've got almost all of them replaced with Cree lights now that they are dirt cheap at the home despot. Except I've got a $1 CFL over the stove, where the most lights died, and it's been a peach.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
"Crappy power" is not normal. Many western power grids have strict standards for voltage spikes, dips, sags, frequency errors, and THD that they will provide you. If you have crappy power it's because either your wiring is stuffed or you're running devices which are absolutely ancient (30 year old fridges make for some nasty power spikes), or have electronics which are failing / fake / never had the right certification to begin with and are spewing noise back onto your powerline.
It is? I'm genuinely curious why you say that. My impression is that in the developed world the power supply is quite reliable and carefully regulated, and that even in the less-developed parts of the world, you can find relatively inexpensive solutions for normalizing your home power, if it's that important.
I've got a whole whackload of Cree LED bulbs. I had a 100W completely die, my other 100W flashes on occasion (apparently their 100W bulbs have a notoriously high failure rate), I had to get rid of a 60W from a lamp fixture because it periodically switched back and forth between full brightness and lower brightness. So far, they have not been substantially more reliable than CFL or incandescent. They may not burn out as often, but they "soft-fail" more often than CFL or incandescent did, those tended to either work fine or not at all.
Their warranty is basically worthless. They are only sold by one store (Home Depot), and warranty replacements can't be done where you bought it. You need to ship them the broken lightbulb (at your own cost) to get a replacement, and shipping something that size/weight costs more than buying a new LED bulb in the first place, making the warranty completely useless.
I was not aware that LED light bulbs have been having significant problems (those are the only types of bulbs I can think of that are supposed to "last for decades," correct me if I'm misunderstanding). My impression is that LED bulbs are improving in longevity and dropping in price very rapidly. If we're just trading anecdotes, I have not had to replace a single LED bulb at my house since I started phasing them in 6 years ago.
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I saw comments elsewhere that indicated Intel has denied that this is a memristor. Of course, given the description they're providing of what this thing is, it's possible they're just saying that in order to try and avoid the inevitable patent lawsuits that would result from claiming they're using a memristor.
IF it was cheaper (or even close) to manufacture than NAND, then they ought to forgo profits and gain Marketshare and put the NAND business out. They would make more money in the long run. This is unique process, nobody else has, Marketshare means long term (this is electronics, which means 7 years max) profitability.
I can see charging a premium for early (beta) testers, and as they iron out the bugs (there will be a bunch) but as they ramp up production, the cost WILL come down, quickly.
If I were in the market for faster more durable short range data storage, I would be a heavy better and get in on early adoption, just so I can see what it can do and how useful it could be.
Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
Care to give examples of when a company which spends the GDP of a small country on R&D has ever overhyped technology or not delivered a product?
This isn't some silicon valley startup, or some small PhD student turned patent holder hiding in some dingy lab at a university we're talking about.
Cypress wasted a billion on developing MRAM. Not that Cypress can be considered in the same category as Micron/Intel.
Care to give examples of when a company which spends the GDP of a small country on R&D has ever overhyped technology or not delivered a product?
Sure. How about the Archival Disc?
I blame children. A couple of years ago mine discovered that if you flip the switch up and down fast you get a strobe effect. It sort of works with CFLs but it does end their life pretty quick. Previous to that I think I had replaced 1 CFL bulb in the bathroom in the previous 7 years. Also the quickest way for them to quit doing that is to make them pay for a new bulb and tell them they can do it some more but they get to keep buying bulbs.
Time to offend someone
the 40W and 60W equivalent I've had no issues with, has anyone tried the 75W equivalent.
Maybe 100W equivalent (13.5 watts) is just too much heat in too small an area for LEDs
Madshrimps overclocked a Netburst Celeron 352 to 8,1 GHz in liquid nitrogen. With air cooling they did 5.7 GHz
10ghz is what they predicted, XPoint already exists.
Memristor is an a pseudo-object with a set of meta properties. A lot of things could be technically be a memristor. Human skin can technically be one, but making use of it would be rather difficult. XPoint may be similar to a memristor in a layman's sense, but Intel may realize that XPoint only has the property of storage, which is not the only meta property required. It is also not phase-change because nothing physical changes. Not much information to go on.
The only thing for sure is it is a form of ReRAM.
I even had an incandescent explode (or more accurately implode) when turning it on.
I had three of the 40w TW Cree bulbs crap out with flickering and eventually dying. I contacted Cree support, took a photo of the packaging, and they, no questions asked, fedexed me three new bulbs. I didn't have to send the old ones back. Worth a shot.
If latency is 1,000 times lower and endurance is 1,000 times higher then, under continuous load, endurance measured in real time is unchanged. Not by any means a hypothetical scenario.
When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
whatever, we have terabyte hard drives now, so it's pointless to resurrect this technology.
Where is your exabyte drive going to come from?
When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
Still waiting on that 10GHz Pentium 4 that Intel promised me. Or rather, that they bragged the NetBurst architecture would be able to hit.
And I'm sure they would have hit it too if the world didn't turn around and say stop this is absurd your pipelines are getting too long, your processors are getting to hot and we're going to shop at your competitor who's chasing efficiency rather than pointless speed.
NetBurst was a delivered architecture.
Some people got quite close to 10GHz using incredible cooling and overclocking techniques.
Next.
The Blu-ray went from concept to product in 3 years and the specification only took an additional year on top of that. So 4 years to develop.
The CD took 3 years from joining of efforts between Sony and Philips, 2 years from the time the Redbook standard was published, and that's not taking into account that both companies had been working independently prior to 1979.
Given we're only 1 year into the Archival Disc announcement I'll give them a little more time before I declare it vaporware.
I've been in my house 5 years and replaced one. It broke when I knocked a lamp over.
So... back to either finding a decent bulb fittings which don't overheat the bulb or getting the power quality in your house checked.
Of course I do, IPC has also improved significantly since then. I'm merely disputing the claim that Intel has never "overhyped technology" or "not delivered a product".
They overhyped the P4, and did not deliver on their promise of a 10GHz P4.
Intel has a lot of great products, but the assertion that thegarbz made was absurd.
Which sums up were I live about 30 minutes west of St. Louis, Missouri. We get regular thunderstorms and lose power 2 or 3 times a year for hours and probably twice that often for seconds to minutes every year. Light bulbs including incandescent, compact florescent, and LED have half lives here of 3 to 6 months so the later two are not even close to economical no matter how much more efficient they are.
All of my computers, network gear, and test equipment is protected by online UPSes which has worked out well.
Nice, that would do the computer gear and lights, but not the kitchen and HVAC and then women's hair dryers (wife and daughter should go solar for that, as in stand outdoors)