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Should a Mars Colony Be Independent? (bbc.com)

An anonymous reader writes: The BBC has an article about a recent essay (PDF) from researcher Jacob Haqq-Misra, who argues that any future colonies established on Mars should be independent from nations or corporations on Earth. He suggests that such colonists be entirely disentangled from Earth, to the point of revoking their Earthbound citizenship. Haqq-Misra also thinks we should establish laws on Earth to prevent governments, companies, and individuals from interfering with the politics or economics of Mars. That might be harder to do; clearly, even innocent communications between family members can have an effect, and surely there will be a continuous flow of supplies to help support a colony. Where would we draw the line? It may be hard to secure investments for a Mars colony if it is guaranteed to cut ties with those spending the resources to build it. At the same time, enforcing a relationship seems impossible at interplanetary distances. Still, we're starting to ramp up our Mars exploration plans, and it's a good idea to start debating these issues now.

200 of 295 comments (clear)

  1. Oh shut up already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We haven't been doing anything other than the space equivalent of NASCAR since the 1970s as far as human spaceflight goes.

    Get back to me when we can actually put a man back on the Moon again, let alone Mars.

    1. Re:Oh shut up already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Are you kidding? Tons of lonely space nerds are fully erect now and very seriously discussing this.

    2. Re:Oh shut up already by h33t+l4x0r · · Score: 1

      How about putting robots on Mars that stay there and run science experiments forever? How is that not way better than putting a man on the moon again?

    3. Re:Oh shut up already by davester666 · · Score: 1

      Of course it will be independent, after the Earth-Mars War of 2040-2060 [a long time because much of it is spent going back and forth].

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    4. Re: Oh shut up already by khallow · · Score: 1

      Or the immense scourge of misogynistic gamers. $20 billion a year is not too much to ask to fight corpse humping in Counter-Strike. That's what you meant by CS right?

    5. Re: Oh shut up already by jafiwam · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We can't even create a colony on the moon, which is many times closer would be much easier to support. All this talk about Mars is just political posturing, because the moon has already been claimed (unless you think it was all a big hoax lol)

      And once someone sets foot on Mars, all this will stop and we will worry about Venus/mercury/Jupiter next. Just human stupidity.

      Moon? Hell. There isn't ability to have a decent colony at either of the poles. Places that are MUCH easier to live than other solar system bodies. People living in those places don't have the economic power to be independent.

      When you look at it like practical useful goods and services, good portions of this planet don't have the means to be independent. And they aren't.

      Nobody is going to be able to predict this, and nobody is going to be able to give independence because any organization that has the means to get people and stuff to another planet in any quantity is going to be very powerful. When the colony can shake that off, is when the time is right.

      Anyway, it'll never happen. We aren't getting off this rock in any real sense ever. I choose to intellectually masturbate about other subjects as a result. Now... let's talk about femm-bots.

    6. Re: Oh shut up already by Crowd+Computing · · Score: 1

      Anyway, it'll never happen. We aren't getting off this rock in any real sense ever. I choose to intellectually masturbate about other subjects as a result. Now... let's talk about femm-bots.

      You're right. This story should be tagged IDLE, since speculation about humans living in Mars is right up there with talk about the Singularity. No organism has evolved to cope with harsh conditions of space. So the only way we're going to make it in outer space long term is to develop into something other than human, maybe as sexy cyborgs or super-genetically enhanced transhumans. So I say, perfect strong AI and mind uploading first, then we can think of colonizing the cosmos.

    7. Re:Oh shut up already by khallow · · Score: 1

      Depends on the reasons. Running science experiments on Mars isn't very useful, if no one will ever live there. While having a repairman on the Moon to handle a few tens of billions of dollars in infrastructure is at least useful.

    8. Re:Oh shut up already by jimtheowl · · Score: 1

      Running science experiments on Mars isn't very useful, if no one will ever live there. While having a repairman on the Moon to handle a few tens of billions of dollars in infrastructure is at least useful.

      Not true. Running science experiments on Mars provides us with scientific data which is relevant to people on Earth, regardless of anyone living on Mars.

      Obviously you are not a scientist. Perhaps a repairman hoping to work on the Moon?

    9. Re: Oh shut up already by ewibble · · Score: 1

      Anyway, it'll never happen. We aren't getting off this rock in any real sense ever

      Never is a long time, we have only been technically advanced beyond making pointy sticks for a few thousand years, really a blink of an eye in terms of evolutionary stand point. And technological advance is probably exponential, since new technology is based on existing technology. As long as we don't kill ourselves off, we may advance to a point where colonizing other planets is possible.

    10. Re:Oh shut up already by khallow · · Score: 1

      Running science experiments on Mars provides us with scientific data which is relevant to people on Earth, regardless of anyone living on Mars.

      That's irrelevant boilerplate. Sure, this scientific data and the pretty pictures generate page views for NASA and sell coffee table books, but sorry, they aren't relevant to us.

      Obviously you are not a scientist.

      Obviously, I'm not someone with a stake in the next hobby project being sent to Mars.

    11. Re:Oh shut up already by dsmatthews9379 · · Score: 1

      I agree, we are not even close to being able to live off world without constant resupply and staff turnover.

      But... If you can make it on Mars, you can make it anywhere.

      http://slashdot.org/comments.p...

    12. Re:Oh shut up already by h33t+l4x0r · · Score: 1

      People living on Mars is one of NASA's goals, but it starts with the rovers.

    13. Re: Oh shut up already by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Sure. Please spend your money doing that. In the mean time, elon musk will continue to work at putting man on Mars (and Luna ) so that WHEN mankind is wiped off the earth, our species will continue.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    14. Re:Oh shut up already by jimtheowl · · Score: 1

      Sure, this scientific data and the pretty pictures generate page views for NASA and sell coffee table books, but sorry, they aren't relevant to us.

      Yes the pictures are pretty, but they do not diminish the value of the scientific data acquired. It may not be relevant to you but you do not get to speak for 'us'.

      Obviously, I'm not someone with a stake in the next hobby project being sent to Mars.

      Its a bit more than a hobby, but I'm not going to try to convince you otherwise. You seem to have your mind made up.

    15. Re:Oh shut up already by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yes the pictures are pretty, but they do not diminish the value of the scientific data acquired. It may not be relevant to you but you do not get to speak for 'us'.

      Very well. What is this relevance of which you speak? In my next part, I'll explain why I think this is a hobby.

      Its a bit more than a hobby, but I'm not going to try to convince you otherwise.

      If it's more than a hobby, then why do we almost never see anyone exploit economies of scale? For example, the Europa mission that was recently partly funded by US Congress, could be deployed to hundreds of similar targets to Europa (eg, Ceres, other Jovian moons, Enceladus and some of the other small moons of Saturn, Jovian Trojan asteroids). Once they build and launch the first one, they'll have both coughed up most of the development costs of any new probes of the same design to other bodies, and have an active test platform with which to improve the design for future missions. It also reduces the risk of loss of spacecraft because one can repurpose a mission to a lower priority target to try again at a higher value target for which an existing spacecraft failed.

      Instead, one of the dirty secrets of planetary science (and many other scientific fields in a similar situation) is that most of the money is spent on dead end technology development (rarely reused, because the next mission is another one-off mission) not on actual acquisition of science. In turn, the actual science is a remarkably plodding affair which can consume most of a would-be scientist's life with waiting for the next mission to execute. The whole thing is enormously wasteful of peoples' lives and public funds.

      This is why I term this a hobby instead of science. It is also a solid demonstration that we don't actually value planetary science that much. We could buy a lot more science than we do. I believe this blithe ignorance of simple means to get more bang for the buck (and more research out of the planetary scientist) is solid evidence of the near complete absence of relevance and value of almost all space science to us on Earth.

    16. Re: Oh shut up already by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      C'mon, before we attend to that, let's get to the really important things, like the superiority of vim over emacs.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    17. Re:Oh shut up already by khallow · · Score: 1
      Let me give an important example of how economies of scale are being ignored. A few years back, a slashdotter, spoke of the evolution of Mars rover exploration.

      [tlhIngan:] It's a step in the evolution of exploration on Mars.

      First was Sojourner, which was just shoebox sized - all it had to do was land and explore a bit to ensure things actually worked.

      Then came Spirit and Opportunity - which are much bigger rovers - think washing-macine or so sized. Again its purpose was to explore Mars and prove that things could work.

      Curiouslity is the largest of the lot (think SUV), and the old landing system wouldn't work anymore, but with all the science and knowledge gained from Sojourner, Spirit and Opportunity, NASA's reasonably confident that it'll be more successful than if we just sent Curiousity to begin with.

      Again, just a small stepping stone, but enough has been learned from Mars that something like Curiousity and its complexities could be built and have a reasonable chance of success. It still needs to be tested thoroughly (its mission will be far longer than 90 days), but we know what to expect now.

      It sounds straightforward, NASA develops three generations of vehicles and conducts four successful missions on Mars. One thing that is ignored here that those four missions span a period of 14 years. NASA was doing a lot of rover vehicle development, but not a lot of exploring. Later down the thread, I made this observation in response to a different poster:

      [JamesP:] Of course, that's why they're testing Curiosity to death. No one wants to see it fail. But there's so much you can do with an existing vehicle. Maybe they could launch 8 MERs with different instruments, but it's probably more work than it's worth. Less risky, sure, but maybe not so scientifically groundbreaking.

      [khallow:] I see that you completely miss the point. Existing vehicles need less testing. So sure, there's less you need to do with them! As to scientific output, I think observing eight locations on Mars at the same time would be more valuable scientifically than somewhat more study of one location. At this point, you aren't going to improve significantly the science from one location until you have sample return missions.

      We also ignore that the MER missions could have happened years ago. Once you landed the two rovers and drove them for a little bit, that was enough data to launch the next group.

      Looking at the timeline, they launched the MERs in June and July 2003. Then the rovers landed on Mars in January 2004. They could have made whatever changes were necessary to launch the next wave of MERs in 2004 and early 2005 and have them on Mars by 2006, six years ahead of MSL. So not only do we sacrifice reliability, coverage of the Martian surface, and scientific output, we also take a considerable hit due to the long pipeline for developing new missions.

      Now, MSL may be a stepping stone to a sample return mission which I think should be a priority for NASA. It's a good weight for a first time sample return mission. But I don't believe NASA knows or cares about the loss of scientific output that comes from its emphasis on technology development over science and exploration.

      Now let's look at what actually happened. The Mars Science Laboratory (MSL), Curiosity arrived on Mars in 2012 for a cost of $2.5 billion (which would be more than enough for 8 Mars Exploration Rovers, including launch). If we had launched two MERs every launch window (every two years) after Spirit and Opportunity had landed, we could have all eight additional rovers on Mars by the time Curiosity landed on Mars. And instead of having explored 4 locations over this period of time since Sojourner, we could have explored up to 11 locations.

      Any individual vehicle wouldn't have the capability of an MSL, but you would

    18. Re: Oh shut up already by countach · · Score: 1

      That assumes that our technological advancement will progress over evolutionary time scales, which I doubt severely. Look at the rate at which we use the earth resources. The depletion is not on those time scales.

  2. Should? Yes. Could? No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Mars looks pretty barren and especially devoid of water and food. The colonies would be heavily reliant on shipments from earth for quite awhile.

    1. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by plover · · Score: 2

      Once it becomes self sufficient, it will rebel anyway. Nobody could afford to send a tax enforcement and collecting rocket. And there's no way in hell any self-respecting Martian would vote for any of the current Earthican candidates for president - it's not like they could be represented by an off-worlder.

      Nope, they should just plan for a 100% independent planet from Landing Day onwards. Their interactions with Earth should be through trade negotiations and contracts, just like any sovereign nation. And if that breaks down, we can always send in Jedi.

      --
      John
    2. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by murdocj · · Score: 4, Informative

      Well, then the inhabitants should also plan on paying full freight for food, air, water. Which will be billions.

    3. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by PhunkySchtuff · · Score: 1

      Either that or barter with something infinitely more valuable - information.

    4. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by Dog-Cow · · Score: 2

      This might shock you, so perhaps you should sit down:

      Nothing is infinitely valuable. Further more, value is determined by the receiver, not the provider.

    5. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by dfenstrate · · Score: 4, Informative

      Once it becomes self sufficient, it will rebel anyway. Nobody could afford to send a tax enforcement and collecting rocket. And there's no way in hell any self-respecting Martian would vote for any of the current Earthican candidates for president - it's not like they could be represented by an off-worlder.

      Nope, they should just plan for a 100% independent planet from Landing Day onwards. Their interactions with Earth should be through trade negotiations and contracts, just like any sovereign nation.

      Trade negotiations? It's unlikely that Mars has any material worth hauling back to earth, and there's nothing that could be made there cheaper than on earth. Or even the moon. There will be no 'trade.' As for being 'independent', there's no way even the best planned and equipped mission could make it past 10 years without equipment & material from earth.

      No, in the best-case scenario, any Mars outpost will be a massive money pit for nations and corporations on earth for a good 50-100 years. That's about the time you would need to build the ridiculous infrastructure and industrial base required to live independently on Mars. I wouldn't count on anything more than a token presence on Mars in our lifetimes.
      There wouldn't be any point of 'independence' until the colony could support itself anyway. Interpersonal squabbles would have to be settled largely locally in any case. There would be no land and little personal property to argue over. Crimes might require the input of legal professionals on earth to adjudicate- no one's going to waste money sending lawyers into space, and the people paying the bills might take offense if the locals just start 'airlocking' the troublesome. There would also be no 'market' to tax or manage for that first 50-100 years. 'Independent from landing day onwards' is a silly pseudo-western sci-fi fantasy. There's no long-term survival on this frontier without a steady stream of expensively shipped parts from Earth. 3-d printing isn't going to keep a colony running, even if they could source the raw material on Mars. As for sourcing the raw materials on Mars, can you imagine establishing a mining operation?

      It's simple. If the 'Independent' Martians piss off the people paying the bills, they're just going to say "The return rocket is fueled. It's right where you left it. We're not sending anything else your way. We suggest you perform an inventory and make your decision soon."

      --
      Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
    6. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      no one's going to waste money sending lawyers into space

      Disregard that, we should support the program specifically to send lawyers in space. All of them. The project should pay for itself in a few years or so.

    7. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by Kjella · · Score: 1

      No, in the best-case scenario, any Mars outpost will be a massive money pit for nations and corporations on earth for a good 50-100 years. That's about the time you would need to build the ridiculous infrastructure and industrial base required to live independently on Mars. I wouldn't count on anything more than a token presence on Mars in our lifetimes. (...) There's no long-term survival on this frontier without a steady stream of expensively shipped parts from Earth. 3-d printing isn't going to keep a colony running, even if they could source the raw material on Mars. As for sourcing the raw materials on Mars, can you imagine establishing a mining operation?

      I think that is not so much a matter of time as a matter of size. We can afford to sustain a few at a ridiculous cost per person. And if they're big enough to sustain themselves, great. But what's the curve between and the break-even point? Like, here's another guy from earth and we produce our own power, domes, pressure suits, air, food, water, medicine etc. at a >1:1 ratio so when we can put him to work we'll need less from Earth. That's not going to happen with ten or a hundred or a thousand people, maybe you could on Earth but not a society completely dependent on advanced technology to survive an extremely hostile environment and you lay out all the steps from mining to refining to manufacturing everything. And you need net gains which often means economics of scale, if you use more power and resources to make solar panels than you gain from them it doesn't work. In fact whether we can at all given the conditions on Mars is questionable. But assuming we could, I would think it's on the order of ten thousand people. And that's going to cost a bizarre amount of money to go from ten to ten thousand.

      Unless of course we manage to advance robotics and automation to the point that they mine, refine and manufacture/repair/recycle themselves without humans in the loop, then the number of people is really only dependent on the size of the robot army to support them but then we don't really need them either. That could actually be the most valuable benefit from trying, assume human labor is extremely limited and that putting a repair tech on Mars costs $100,000/hour. That would create incentives to invent self-sustaining technology that would hopefully trickle down to us here on Earth too. Sure, we work on building things that "just work" here too but when you can get an electrician to wire your house at a fraction of the cost of designing a robot to do it you do that. But if you've already designed and built a robot to do it because it was cheaper than wiring the new Mars dome manually, maybe you can just build a copy and hand it the blueprints so it can do the same here. It's at least a tangible benefit, because there's few others.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    8. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      no one's going to waste money sending lawyers into space

      I disagree. But bringing them back, I could see large potential savings there.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    9. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by murdocj · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Right. Just like the inhabitants of Antarctica barter with information. Got it.

    10. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by Crowd+Computing · · Score: 1

      No, in the best-case scenario, any Mars outpost will be a massive money pit for nations and corporations on earth for a good 50-100 years. That's about the time you would need to build the ridiculous infrastructure and industrial base required to live independently on Mars. I wouldn't count on anything more than a token presence on Mars in our lifetimes.

      Not if we can perfect portable or at least truck-size replicators. The idea isn't to build massive infrastructure but to build on as-needed basis. I'm not saying that Mars necessarily has the resources. Maybe Mars lacks the elements and minerals necessary to reproduce technology from sratch. But if there's even a dim possibility of building an independent industrial base using resources from the Martian crust, why build it? Why build a nuclear power plant or factories when solar panels and a 3D printer can do? Mass production only works if you have the population for it. So as the Martian population grows, the Martians can start making their means of production more efficient.

    11. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well, then the inhabitants should also plan on paying full freight for food, air, water.

      Why would they ship those things when they can just obtain that locally? Remember the whole point of a Mars colony is that it is self-sufficient for the basic human needs.

    12. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by khallow · · Score: 2

      That information has to be valuable first. Information about Mars is going to be much more valuable to colonists on Mars than to anyone staying on Earth.

    13. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by murdocj · · Score: 1

      Imagine shipping people off to the harshest environment on earth. Do you think they would survive w/o resupply or support? Now, make that environment FAR harsher ... no air, hard to get water, bathed in radiation, nearest support is tens of millions of miles away. Do you still blithely say "no problem, they'll do fine"?

    14. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Imagine shipping people off to the harshest environment on earth. Do you think they would survive w/o resupply or support?

      If they're trying to make a self-sufficient colony (at least for basic resources like food, air, water, energy), then sure, I have no trouble imagining that.

      Now, make that environment FAR harsher ... no air, hard to get water, bathed in radiation, nearest support is tens of millions of miles away. Do you still blithely say "no problem, they'll do fine"?

      Why wouldn't I? It's not like they have a choice. I get the impression, yet again, that hard problems are being conflated with impossible ones.

    15. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by murdocj · · Score: 2

      Great. Tell me how they survive. Remembering that broken bolt could mean death. They have 3d printing? Where's the plastic come from... no hydrocarbons on Mars. They have nuclear power? uh, where's the mine for the fuel?

      Look, I grew up on science fiction, I watched the moon landings live (yep, I've been around a while). I would LOVE to see humans on Mars. But there are some "issues" that people just paper over with "oh well, they will be self-sufficient" w/o any thought as to what that means. I think we will get to Mars, maybe the rest of the solar system, but that's a ways off. The immediate future belongs to robots.

    16. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Great. Tell me how they survive. Remembering that broken bolt could mean death. They have 3d printing?

      Sure.

      Where's the plastic come from... no hydrocarbons on Mars.

      The atmosphere. Electrolysis of water yields hydrogen which while under heat and pressure converts to methane via the Sabatier reaction. That in turn can be reacted to form ethene, the building block of most plastics.

      They have nuclear power? uh, where's the mine for the fuel?

      They have plenty of solar power.

      The immediate future belongs to robots.

      Which is irrelevant since we're not speaking of the immediate future.

    17. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by murdocj · · Score: 1

      Fine. But in that case, why worry about whether a hypothetical colony is going to be independent or not, when we agree it isn't going to happen for the foreseeable future?

    18. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The energy would likely come from solar plants ... see Rover, Spirit, Sorgeynour ...
      Hydrocarbones come from CO2 and Water ... so the plastic problem is solved.

      If you read so many SF, you should know that, perhaps you should read the red, blue, green mars triology, while it has scientific loops, it is a good read.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    19. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Look at all the challenges and obstacles you just blithely handwave away with non-existent technology. 3D printing has failed to demonstrate even a shred of the hype around it.

      I suppose that's one way to describe. But it's also answering simple problems with simple solutions. As to the 3-D printer, we could do most of the same stuff with a simple machine shop.

    20. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by khallow · · Score: 1

      But in that case, why worry about whether a hypothetical colony is going to be independent or not, when we agree it isn't going to happen for the foreseeable future?

      Page views. It's sexier to talk about just about anything on Mars than say, trying it out in an internet game for orders of magnitude less.

    21. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      On a more general note, interplanetary and interstellar trade is, with very limited exceptions, not going to happen. Asteroid mining is a possibility, although getting the material safely to Earth is left as an exercise to the reader. Other than that, the cost of the energy required to get something out of a gravity well is pretty well going to exceed the cost of producing it locally. I don't know much about interstellar travel, but it will require a tremendous amount of resources to get from one star to another. Assuming we want to send something back from our Alpha Centauri colony, if we go to the great expense of sending it as 1% of lightspeed, it'll arrive in over four hundred years, plenty of time for the people on Earth to decide they really didn't want it that badly.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    22. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by erapert · · Score: 1

      Are those scientists independent?

    23. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by murdocj · · Score: 1

      Precisely

    24. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Once it becomes self sufficient, it will rebel anyway.

      Well of course, once the robots take over.

    25. Re:Should? Yes. Could? No. by Maritz · · Score: 1

      We can't make replicators mate. That's Star Trek shit.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
  3. Sure by binarylarry · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And no religion too.

    --
    Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
    1. Re:Sure by PHPNerd · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Religion is one of those funny things that will crop up anyway, regardless of whether or not the colonists bring it with them.

    2. Re:Sure by ProzacPatient · · Score: 1

      And no religion too.

      But don't you want to MAKE US WHOLE?

    3. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 4, Interesting

      That depends.

      Religion appeared on earth because our ancestors lived in a frightening world full of stuff they didn't understand but that could kill them. Lightning, floods, diseases, etc. etc.
      Religion was a way to at least explain it, which dissolves psychological stress. We have since replicated that even in rats, random unexplainable punishment leads to mental breakdown, while predictable, understandable punishment leads to adaptation.

      Thought experiment:
      If you take people today, vet them very carefully for being rational and non-religious, and make them start a colony, for what reason would religion appear? With a scientific approach to the universe, there are still unexplained things, but you know that eventually you will be able to understand them, and you have a big framework of understanding to put them in until then. There is no reason for fear and mental pressure.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    4. Re:Sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That depends.

      Religion appeared on earth because our ancestors lived in a frightening world full of stuff they didn't understand but that could kill them. Lightning, floods, diseases, etc. etc.

      The main drive for religion is not to explain the unknown but to tackle the problem of death. As long as death is around, there will be a pretty good reason to try to solve this problem. So any mortal is potentially religious.

    5. Re:Sure by Kjella · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure that traditional religion would appear, but you have things like New Age spirituality that has appeared well into modern day society. Many people have a desire to believe that there's something more than flesh and blood. It doesn't have to be God but things like fate, destiny, karma, soulmates and feng shui. And understanding is just one side of religion, when the doctors tell me what's going to kill me and why I don't care about knowledge, I want a divine power to change it. When I've been wronged I want divine justice. When I die, I want my divine spirit to live on. And a free pony. Religion lets you ask for the impossible and there will always be things that are impossible. Religion lets you believe that the things that happen by random chance don't, like that you missed your flight that crashed. Like you say it's always easier to cope with something that has a reason, even when you've only imagined it. And I think there'll always be people who need that crutch to lean on.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    6. Re:Sure by idontneedanickname · · Score: 2

      Thought experiment: Think about a group of rational and non-religious people like scientists say, and ask yourself if they don't have any dogmatic convictions that they won't defend as staunchly as any theistic believer. The answer is they very much do. The behaviors associated with 'belief' can occur outside of a religion, and outside of spirituality of any kind. The consequences for human interactions from these behaviors will stay with us for a long time.

    7. Re:Sure by KeensMustard · · Score: 2

      If you take people today, vet them very carefully for being rational and non-religious, and make them start a colony, for what reason would religion appear?

      You'd end up with nobody. There aren't any rational and non-religious people. There are people who think they are rational, but that is just a belief arising from not looking too closely at the underlying assumptions.

    8. Re:Sure by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      We should not forget that in really ancient times religion was the same as science.
      The religious rules in Judaism and Islam, not it eat pigs, or the other rules in Judaism to treat various foods differently are in our (blinded) eys, just religion.
      However, not to eat pigs because they wallow in their own shit, necause it causes deseases: was an well onserved scientific fact in the relevant regions in the relevant times. That simply cleaning the flesh would be enough, was out of scope however.

      Same for many other hygiene rites ... they make sense if you have no access to modern sanitation.

      Like Jeus said: rites become useless when they are done for the rites sake ... and people don't know why they are doing it. In our days a muslime or jew could eat pork, as the reasons why it where prohibited originally are gone.

      However: as an atheist raised in a semi christian environment, I prefer lamb and beef myself over pork, the only pork
      I eat is ham and bacon ;) or in Spain: lomo.

      Anyway, what I wanted to say is: people wanted explanaitions. Seeing that a few stars are racing over the sky like mad, meeting here and there, while the rest is only a background image, is interesting, isn't it?

      Heck, in our days people don't even know why a circle has 360 degrees ... and that is not a religious question.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:Sure by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Feng Shui is about how to arrange a room and its furniture in a pleasant way.
      No idea why you put that into a 'religion' drawer.

      I suggest to read a book or some articles in the internet anout it.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      We should not forget that in really ancient times religion was the same as science.

      Absolutely categorically not.

      Science is not just a word to throw around. It is a specific method of inquiry. Not every "we made a rule because it works" is scientific.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    11. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      First, they could read Aristotle and come to the logical conclusion of God's existence (and the necessity thereof):

      I've read him and some of his stuff is pure idiocity. There's a good reason we needed to invent non-aristotelian logic.

      Second, they can examine the belief that science is the only way to knowledge (called "scientism"), and come to the conclusion that it is either self-defeating or trivially true:

      I've also done some philosophy of science, and while there is valid criticism, nobody has yet offered something better that produces actual results. There is no shame in using the best that is available at the time, while keeping your eyes open for a better alternative.

      What reasons do you have in believe the above to be true?

      Because what differentiates a scientific approach from a religious approach is that science doesn't claim to know the answers. I only claims to have found a really good way to ask questions.

      What makes you think homo sapiens have the mental capacity to figure things out eventually?

      A look at the past 500 years and what we've manage to accomplish in that time.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    12. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Best answer so far, no idea why it's not being modded up. You are right, I missed that angle.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    13. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      I'm not claiming rational people are perfect.

      I'm asking why religious belief should emerge in a world that doesn't need it.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    14. Re:Sure by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      I'm not claiming rational people are perfect.

      But you do seem to assume that they exist. If they exist, where are they?

    15. Re:Sure by westlake · · Score: 1

      If you take people today, vet them very carefully for being rational and non-religious, and make them start a colony, for what reason would religion appear?

      The key word here is "make."

      What you are describing is a forced draft, slave labor.

      Historically, that is an environment in which religion flourishes.

    16. Re:Sure by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      Not sure whether you are being sarcastic or real, either way I guess you are just making my point.

    17. Re:Sure by NominalLoss · · Score: 1

      Ill take a stab at it. How many of your "grand wizards" have type 2?

    18. Re:Sure by binarylarry · · Score: 1

      Religion doesn't solve death.

      It makes up fake reasons for why we're alive.

      --
      Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
    19. Re:Sure by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Religion appeared on Earth because it fit our brains. (Alternately, our brains evolved to fit religion in.) We are wired, some more than others, to believe in certain things that you'll find in any lasting religion. If you were to vet colonists for being non-religious, either you'll get the "others" end of the spectrum, and it will be a while before religious people show up, or you'll screen for church membership and get people with non-standard religious beliefs coming along.

      So, I think that something like a religion or religions will develop at some point, and you don't. Sooner or later, there will be people who have the religion genes (or whatever), and a religion will start to form then. I would be interested to see what that religion would be.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    20. Re:Sure by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I've read him and some of his stuff is pure idiocity. There's a good reason we needed to invent non-aristotelian logic.

      Let's cut him some slack here. He invented formal logic, and then its development essentially stopped until the 1800s. I think he did pretty good in formalizing Greek methods of argument and making them accurate. Pioneers in fields usually do a bad job by later standards, and are wrong about lots of things.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    21. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Religion appeared on Earth because it fit our brains. (Alternately, our brains evolved to fit religion in.)

      The so-called "god gene" theory is based on a single, unpublished, unreplicated study. So I'll call it bullshit until better evidence emerges.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    22. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Really?

      If you intentionally interpret my words in such a strange way, we have nothing to discuss. Good job finding a semantical flaw that has nothing to do with the actual point being made and riding on it. Here's your brownie point.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    23. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Oh absolutely, I said some of his stuff. He also did some brilliant work, no doubt.

      The problem with his formal logic is that it is a "good enough" solution - it works good enough that it takes a long time for the problems to become visible.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    24. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Have you tried opening your eyes?

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    25. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Religion doesn't solve anything.

      But it removes the psychological impact from death. Instead of all the insecurity and the not-knowing and the loss, you have a fake image of your favorite grandmother being happy in heaven. Makes it easier to deal with the whole death thing.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    26. Re:Sure by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      Easy: death. No matter how educated someone is, everyone fears death and will forever be uncertain about what happens at that point.

    27. Re:Sure by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      Yes.

      Have you?

    28. Re:Sure by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Science is not just a word to throw around.
      Ofc it is.

      The meaning might have changed a bit, or it is now more rigorous defined.

      However the "scientists" at Babylonian times considered themselves scientists, researching the universe. That half of it are just believes and not proven facts, does not matter.

      You did not go to a "priest" to learn about "religion", you went to him to learn "how the world works".

      Not every "we made a rule because it works" is scientific.
      Not in the modern sense. But most science starts from making (discovering) such rules and then finding a way to explain that rule.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    29. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Not just tried, I succeeded. And I see great people around me, near and far. Sure, they aren't perfect, so if you're trying to make a stupid semantic point about anything that is not 100% x not being x then you should go back to fuzzy logic 101.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    30. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      However the "scientists" at Babylonian times considered themselves scientists, researching the universe. That half of it are just believes and not proven facts, does not matter.

      There were no "scientists" in Babylonian times. The word is from the 14th century.

      There may have been "wise men" or "learned men" or "magicians" or whatever they called themselves. And yes, they explored the universe, trying to figure out how the world works. But that, exactly, is my point: Not every explanation of the world is a science.

      Science, in the way we use the word today, is a specific method of inquiry. Some other approach to explain the universe is not science. I really don't know how to explain the most simple concept of semantics more clearly. And airplane is a specific type of flying machine. Not everything that flies is an airplane. It could be a bird or a helicopter. Or a guy who jumped out of a balloon and thinks he is an airplane, but even that doesn't make him one.

      We started from this:

      We should not forget that in really ancient times religion was the same as science.

      And I still refuse it. What you could say is that "in ancient times, religion was a perfectly accepted way of explaining the world". That I would accept. You could even claim the religion and empirical research were much closer together, true still even unto fairly recent times, as some of the proto-scientists of the late middle ages were monks. Some of them may even have been religious officials and scientists at the same time. But even that doesn't make religion and science the same, just like being a marathon runner on the weekend and a particle physicist during the week doesn't make marathon and physics the same.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    31. Re:Sure by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      I'm not claiming rational people are perfect.

      I'm asking why religious belief should emerge in a world that doesn't need it.

      Well, it depends on what you consider as religion and what it actually consists of. Sure, they may not come up with some 'sky father" (since atheists seem fixated on small definitions of Abrahamic religions) but I bet they will come up with a self perpetuating ideology with some form of metaphysics that will form the basis of their community and politics that some will follow blindly and persecute those that do not follow it and otherwise use it to justify all their actions.

    32. Re:Sure by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You are just nitpicking on the word :D

      Then lets use the word "researcher of nature" instead of scientist.

      In ancient times there was no difference between "that research" ... "seeking for knowledge" and religion. That was my point.

      If it is super important for you to not use the word "scientist" for that ... fine for me.

      My point is: people who had one of those roles, often also had the other role. There was no strict distinction between "pure priest" and "pure researcher of nature". Obviously there is no reason to distinguish them strictly as plenty of islamic or christian "priests" where researchers/scientists as well.

      Regarding Scientist: why do you draw the line in the 14th century? What about: Plinius the Elder, Eratosthenes, Euklid, Archimedes, Hunayn ibn Ishaq or Hildegard von Bingen or Heron of Alexandria? Well, to your rescue: many people consider neither philosophy nor math as science, however, I do.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    33. Re:Sure by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      I think your argument here is overwrought.

      You say you have found some rational people but it is not clear what objective criteria you applied to judge them as rational versus irrational. It is hardly a black and white issue. Everybody is capable of being rational as well as irrational, and everybody is a mix of both the rational and irrational. Levels of irrationality don't really seem to correlate to following one religious belief or another.

      Were this not the case (i.e. there exists a group which is basically rational) then someone would be able to point to this grouping and say: "those people defined by x are rational." This still holds true based on your response - you say you know rational people but don't identify them. This seems to all the world like a useless anecdote.

    34. Re:Sure by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Religion is a natural tendency in at least some human brains. Whether religious tendency is genetic or not is a different question, and not really relevant to my interests. My conclusions are mostly from study of religion, and does not rely on the "god gene" theory.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    35. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      I'm not really surprised that study of religion comes up with some kind of natural cause of religion.

      But that aside, here's the thing: If it's not genetic, then it must come from outside, i.e. culture, education, indoctrination, something. In which case it is not a natural tendency, but a product of environment.
      If it develops in humans without outside influence, then it must be genetic, unless you are in line for a Nobel prize for some so far unknown additional mechanism of trait inheritance.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    36. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      There are various definitions of what a religion is. You are probably alleging to the functional definition, basically a religion as a collection of rituals and traditions.

      These will probably develop in any culture. But let's be just one inch more strict and require some supernatural element, a god or spirits or something. Because without such an element, we're talking about an ideology, and not about a religion.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    37. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Agree absolutely that there are degrees.

      But the delineation of rationality was not the point. The point was if religion would spontaneously appear in a group of people that don't bring it with them already. For that you don't need to be 100% rational, you just need to be rational enough to consider religion bullshit.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    38. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Then lets use the word "researcher of nature" instead of scientist.

      Happy with that. Yes, I consider words important.

      In ancient times there was no difference between "that research" ... "seeking for knowledge" and religion. That was my point.

      Depends on how "ancient". Religion is comparatively new to our species. There was magical belief and animism long before there was anything that we would a consider religion. And a lot of the early wisdom about nature draws from that source more than from religion. In fact, in many places religion simply made a hostile takeover of originally magical knowledge and rituals.

      But yes, for a long time there was no clear line and people who wondered about the nature of the world would often do some physics this week and some musing about the nature of god the other week.

      But that is part of my point. This inquiry into nature was largely not scientific, even when it involved areas that we consider part of nature sciences these days. The ancient greeks are where I know a little about and they were just as much into postulating something as fact because they thought about it really hard as they were into doing experiments and drawing conclusions from results. Let's not forget they invented dialectics as a tool for divining (pun partially intended) absolute truth.

      That is why I draw the line at the Newton cabal, roughly. They experimented systematically and often without a pre-defined expectation of the outcome. While still rough at the edges, their methods were already essentially identical to the scientifict method of today.
      There were probably individuals who followed such a system before them, but as a movement, as a widely-used method, these guys started it.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    39. Re:Sure by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      But the delineation of rationality was not the point.

      It kind of is.

      The point was if religion would spontaneously appear in a group of people that don't bring it with them already.

      But that doesn't seem logically possible. Are there people on earth who don't follow a religious belief of some sort? If there are none on earth where would you source these people "without religion" to send to Mars?

      For that you don't need to be 100% rational, you just need to be rational enough to consider religion bullshit.

      Which rules out everybody.

    40. Re:Sure by Maritz · · Score: 1

      Considering you're suggesting that he read about it, I would have thought you'd know that it isn't all about rooms and furniture. Don't get me wrong, it's all bollocks, but it has a bigger scope than that.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    41. Re:Sure by Maritz · · Score: 1

      If they are aware of human biases and try hard to question or disprove their own beliefs, there is no reason they would be dogmatic as you say. A culture that values critical thinking has never existed on this planet, so we don't have precedent for this.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    42. Re:Sure by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, if you think it is bollocks I suggest you start reading a bit about it. Rofl.

      I have seen hundreds of rooms "before" and "after", and the after was generally a much better and much more pleasant impression.

      There is no need to "believe" in: making it like this "ensures your wealth", I don't care what "Feng Shui" reason a Master has as long as the result is a better and probably cheaper equipped room.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    43. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      But that doesn't seem logically possible. Are there people on earth who don't follow a religious belief of some sort?

      Yes, they are called Agnostics or Atheists or different other not yet so common terms.

      Which rules out everybody.

      I consider religion bullshit, so at the very least it's not everybody. I'm quite sure I'm not the only one, but it only needs one counter-example to disprove an all-quantor statement.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    44. Re:Sure by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      But that doesn't seem logically possible. Are there people on earth who don't follow a religious belief of some sort?

      Yes, they are called Agnostics or Atheists or different other not yet so common terms.

      Agnosticism is concerned with whether or not a deity exists. It doesn't preclude being religious (since many if not most religions and forms of belief don't include a deity). Animists are agnostic (for example). Post modernists can be considered agnostic.

      Atheism (in the narrow sense) involves conformance to a set of specific doctrines and is certainly a belief. The broader form of atheism includes buddhists, and many other forms of religion.

      I consider religion bullshit, so at the very least it's not everybody.

      There are at least 3000 defined belief systems in the world, and probably millions which are undefined. Have you checked each one and objectively assessed them against agreed, objective criteria?

      If not, then your statement religion is bullshit is merely a statement of belief, and self contradictory.

    45. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      Strictly speaking, you can make a semantic argument about "following a belief", because I added the interpretation that this is done in an honest conviction of the truthfulness of such belief, which you didn't state.
      But let's assume that we exclude people who simply follow a tradition without giving it much credit, like in fact many modern "religious" people do when they go to church once a year for christmas and once in life for marriage.

      Tricking out non-god religions is a nice parlour trick, but doesn't make a difference to the core argument, because for the rationality question it doesn't matter if your invisible friend is the almighty lord in heaven or the wood-spirit in the magical tree. Likewise, Buddhism is largely misunderstood as a "be nice and meditate" tradition, but the non-western forms of it contain a large set of magical beliefs that are unproven, unfalsifiable and irrational. It does have a fairly large part of worldly rules that are not based on its religious beliefs, but on cultural and social experience, same as Taoism. And you could try to view them seperately - as is commonly done in folk-buddhism of the western kind - but you could do the same for Christianity or Islam or Zoroastrianism or almost any other religion. But in that case you're not actually talking about, say, Christianity anymore. "Pick and choose" is a very common form of avoiding the revolting barbaric parts that almost every religion contains, but in this argument I won't allow it.

      Atheism might be a belief (though by word and definition, it is rather a non-belief, but let's not be nitpicky), but that doesn't mean it is a religious belief. "I think it might be snowing in Helsinki right now" is also a belief, as is "too much sugar is bad for health", and none of them have anything to do with religion.

      There are at least 3000 defined belief systems in the world, and probably millions which are undefined. Have you checked each one and objectively assessed them against agreed, objective criteria?

      I don't have to. A class of statements can be refuted as a class if you can refute any of their shared assumptions.

      What exactly constitutes a religion is indeed subject of debate, but this is not a philosophy class so let's keep it simple:

      http://www.merriam-webster.com...

      : the belief in a god or in a group of gods

              : an organized system of beliefs, ceremonies, and rules used to worship a god or a group of gods

              : an interest, a belief, or an activity that is very important to a person or group

      I will not consider the 3rd definition, because it is included to explain such examples as "Hockey is a religion in Canada." - in other words, a metaphorical use of the word.

      The shared assumption is "god or gods". You can argue Buddhism and probably a dozen other religions, but they are rare exceptions, by your number less than 1%. Animism and other "nature spirit" religions fall under a wide definition of "god" (being almighty and all that shit is a fairly recent invention, many old gods are little more than big nature spirits).

      By rejecting the principle possibility of gods, I can reject all religions, known, unknown or even completely forgotten to history.

      If not, then your statement religion is bullshit is merely a statement of belief, and self contradictory.

      Are are, again, trying to mix any kind of belief with religious belief. That's a very cheap trick, please don't insult readers by assuming they are so stupid they don't see the difference.

      And in any case, your claim was that:

      (me)For that you don't need to be 100% rational, you just need to be rational enough to consider religion bullshit.
      (you)Which rules out everybody.

      I have shown that there is at least one person that considers religion bullshit, so it does not rule out everybody. Everybody minus one is not everybody anymore.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    46. Re:Sure by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      Tricking out non-god religions is a nice parlour trick,

      There is no reason for me to think of Buddhism or Hinduism as less meaningful or insightful than Atheism - so if they are a parlour trick, then so is atheism. There isn't really anything that sets atheism apart from other religions.

      But let's assume that we exclude people who simply follow a tradition without giving it much credit, like in fact many modern "religious" people do when they go to church once a year for christmas and once in life for marriage.

      Let's not. Their beliefs are not somehow less important than yours.

      There are at least 3000 defined belief systems in the world, and probably millions which are undefined. Have you checked each one and objectively assessed them against agreed, objective criteria?

      I don't have to. A class of statements can be refuted as a class if you can refute any of their shared assumptions.

      This is just a restatement of your earlier belief statement. What objective criteria have you used to to evaluate the peronsal beliefs of the worlds 7 billion people? Handwaving over them and calling them all false is merely the same mechanic as every other dogmatist uses. If your assertion does not arise from objective, repeatable observation than it is a statement of belief,

      I will not consider the 3rd definition, because it is included to explain such examples as "Hockey is a religion in Canada." - in other words, a metaphorical use of the word.

      So you provide a definition and then reject that definition because it conflicts with your doctrines. It's not a metaphor at all - if Hockey is the thing that gives your life meaning and Hockey is the lens through which you see the world, then Hockey is your religion. If Atheism is the lens through which you see the world, then atheism is your religion. That is why that definition is there - to cover the vast numbers of people following religions that don't include deities. Including atheism.

      If atheism were not a religion there would be something that distinguishes it from religion. What is this thing?

      The shared assumption is "god or gods". You can argue Buddhism and probably a dozen other religions, but they are rare exceptions, by your number less than 1%.

      What? There are more Buddhists than Atheists. How did you arrive at 1%?

      Animism and other "nature spirit" religions fall under a wide definition of "god" (being almighty and all that shit is a fairly recent invention, many old gods are little more than big nature spirits).

      Venerating your ancestors is not worshipping a deity. A spirit is not a deity, believing that animals have souls is not the same as making them a deity. Believing in evil spirits is not the same as worshipping them.

      I have shown that there is at least one person that considers religion bullshit, so it does not rule out everybody. Everybody minus one is not everybody anymore.

      What you've done is restated your doctrines, made some naive assumptions, ignored evidence to the contrary, and declared yourself right. You sound more religious by the hour.

    47. Re:Sure by Tom · · Score: 1

      There isn't really anything that sets atheism apart from other religions.

      Ah, you're playing the old "atheism is a religion" trick. Sorry, that has been soundly defeated a hundred times by many men much better than me, you can google their answers. The short answer is: That is total nonsense, in the same sense that vegetarian food is not just another form of meat.

      Let's not. Their beliefs are not somehow less important than yours.

      You are just going to completely ignore the point I am making about any kind of belief vs. specifically religious belief, yes? In such case, I'm wasting my time here, because we are talking about religion, not about "whatever you have in your mind".

      What objective criteria have you used to to evaluate the peronsal beliefs of the worlds 7 billion people?

      It is called logic, specifically inference. You do not need to observe every stone ever thrown from a bridge to make the general statement that due to gravity, stones thrown from a bridge will fall downwards.

      It's not a metaphor at all - if Hockey is the thing that gives your life meaning and Hockey is the lens through which you see the world, then Hockey is your religion.

      A metaphor is a figure of speech that identifies something as being the same as some unrelated thing for rhetorical effect, thus highlighting the similarities between the two.

      By trying to refute it, you just proved my point.

      If atheism were not a religion there would be something that distinguishes it from religion. What is this thing?

      The absence of gods or other supernatural entities.
      Name a religion that has no supernatural assumptions whatsoever. Sorry, that excludes Buddhism (which believes in reincarnation and thus a soul independent of the material body).

      What? There are more Buddhists than Atheists. How did you arrive at 1%?

      Basic mathematics. You threw out the number of 3000 religions, I say maybe a dozen don't have gods, 12/3000 = 0.4 % < 1%

      Venerating your ancestors is not worshipping a deity. A spirit is not a deity, believing that animals have souls is not the same as making them a deity. Believing in evil spirits is not the same as worshipping them.

      That is the first good point you are making. True, veneration of ancestors is a multi-sourced credible starting point for many religions. However, you self-defeat with your last point, because Veneration of Ancestors is indeed considered a form of worship. The boundaries are - as with anything human - not fixed, but fluid. There is certainly a grey area between magical belief and religious belief. TBH, there is a lot of magical rituals still left in especially catholic mass. For a deeper understanding of the link between ancestor worship, magical belief and religion, I can recommend "The Golden Bough" by Frazer and "The Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind" by Jaynce.

      However, the fine delination of religion was not the point here. I am absolutely comfortable saying that specific belief X, which is largely magical and slightly religious, is bullshit. A lot of brilliant men were also devout christians, and I have no problem admiring them for their literary or scientific work, while considering their religious views bullshit. Human beings are not simple, and need to be seen in their complexity.

      What you've done is restated your doctrines, made some naive assumptions, ignored evidence to the contrary, and declared yourself right. You sound more religious by the hour.

      I repeat, you said "that excludes everybody" to my statement of "someone who considers religion bullshit". Such a someone exists. Whether or not he is right in his consideration was never the point. You are trying to weasel out of your misplaced all-quantor instead of admitting t

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  4. And how does he intend to pull that one off? by NicBenjamin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They'll have no exports. that means no source of cash to buy the things that Mars can't provide -- like modern medical supples, updated electronics, and other manufactured goods.

    They'll also have no ability to pay for the rocket fuel to get to Mars in the first place, much less for additional trips to bring in new colonists when the PhD aquaculture guy who was running the potatoes gets himself run over by a rover.

    Geeks really like to dream big about space, and the hate the bullshit conventional human institutions provide; but the problem is that the only sources of big-level funding for space have to be large-scale human institutions. Which means dealing with bullshit.

    1. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

      They'll have no exports. that means no source of cash to buy the things that Mars can't provide -- like modern medical supples, updated electronics, and other manufactured goods.

      Yeah, but they'll also be a reserve of sanity when President Clark goes nuts and tries to destroy the earth. Plus their neutrality will make it a good place to camp out when the Minbari turn up.

    2. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by PhunkySchtuff · · Score: 1

      People on Mars will have one thing that's worth billions back here to the people who sent them. Cold, hard data. Information on Mars. Observations, results from experiments, detailed data that only a human on the ground can obtain.

    3. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by vikingpower · · Score: 2

      Oil ? This is ridiculous. What are you going to do with that oil ? For lack of oxygen, you can't burn it there. So you could only lift it at great expense out of Mars' gravity well, and then transport it to Earth. To a place that already has enormous amounts of it, and - see the green and electrical revolution going on as we're watching - will probably not need to use a major part of it.

      --
      Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    4. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Geeks really like to dream big about space, and the hate the bullshit conventional human institutions provide; but the problem is that the only sources of big-level funding for space have to be large-scale human institutions. Which means dealing with bullshit.

      More importantly, any space colony is going to require a level of authoritarian collectivism that'll make anything that has ever existed on Earth to seem mild. The colony needs to micromanage and coordinate everything since it'll have a shortage of pretty much everything, and imports are months away at the very least. That means you'll be assigned a (shift in a) bed in communal barracks, a job and working hours, and food and other resources. Personal property? Waste of precious resources (especially cargo space) - you'll be assigned temporary possessions when you need them Leisure time? That's "personal maintenance" and will be too scarce to risk anyone being less than 100% efficient about, so scheduled and supervised. Breeding? When the colony tells you to, and most likely with whom it tells you to, and the children will be raised, educated and indoctrinated by the colony itself. Education? If the colony needs you to learn new things, otherwise you're just wasting time you could be using to clean toilets.

      Life in space colony will be utterly collectivist with no room whatsoever for individual goals or desires. At best, it'll be an army camp meets hippie commune, at worst how Ayn Rand would describe communism while on a bad trip. Also, there will be a heavy emphasis on religion, since that's what it takes to make people give up their individuality and submit to the group. It's not gonna be a new Wild West, it's gonna be a new Soviet Union, except far more extreme.

      In short, a Mars colony will by necessity be an ultra-collectivist fanatical cult. It's biggest challenge will not be the environment, but managing its own social structure and keeping it humane and democratic under such circumstances. Anyone who dreams of a new frontier free from government interference should just do themselves and everyone else a favour and stay home, at least until technology advances a lot.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    5. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Hydrocarbons on Mars would be a huge find. With oil or coal to dismantle for hydrocarbons, we would have the consumables that life depends on.

    6. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      People on Mars will have one thing that's worth billions back here to the people who sent them. Cold, hard data. Information on Mars. Observations, results from experiments, detailed data that only a human on the ground can obtain.

      It's certainly fascinating, but if it was worth billions we'd be spending billions on it.

      And maintaining a Mars colony would be a tens-of-billions a year-type endeavor. You'd need some resupply ships, probably at least one a year, a satellite (or more probably, a network of satellites) so they can communicate with home, etc.

      None of which is particularly likely to happen is the source of a good 80-90% of the space spending in the world (non-governmental, for-profit, corporations) loses ownership of anything it sends to Mars, and the Martians themselves can sell the data to the highest bidder.

      Governments might spend money, but they'd be trying to make the independent Mars government their own puppet-state, probably be sending extremely loyal combat-ready people and then arranging a "Civil War" when the 24 PhDs running Western Democracy base on the northern base object to the 50 Spetsnatz under Col. Imperialistovich on the southern bases attempt to replace the ruling council with Putin's favorite Romanov.

    7. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by vikingpower · · Score: 1

      You wouldn't. For two reasons: First, you need energy in order to extract them - where are you going to get that ? Second, you need oxygen, nitrogen and sulfur in order to anything meaningful with them. Where are you going to get those ? And if you are going to get them, with what energy ?

      --
      Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    8. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Not many rainy days on Mars, so you can use solar for energy. Oxygen is for-sure available locally, and if sulfur and nitrogen are not, it still beats having to import hydrogen and carbon.

    9. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      (facepalm) if there are hydrocarbones in the ground, then the rest is there, too.
      On earth it is a mayour problme to get Sulfur out of oil or coal. Same on Mars.

      And if you are going to get them, with what energy ?
      With electricity, what ever power plant you are using.

      Likely solar plants ... the air is a bit thin to run wind mills I guess.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      well it doesn't really matter.

      this is what you would call futurologist ethtics table bullshit talk.

      the only PROBLEM is that some of these bullshitters are paid for their bullshitting. they might call themselves philosophers or whatever, but really they're just coming up with bullshit to feed someone willing to listen so they can pick up a cheque - that is their end game, not doing anything about a settlement on mars or AI or whatever the fad for them for the week is.

      this "problem" will solve itself and really doesn't even represent itself until the colony is independent. really you would be much realistically better off contemplating if the US military base on antarctic is going to announce independence (something far more realistic than an US base on mars announcing independence and renouncing their US ties - for one, getting in and out of antarctic is a lot easier and cheaper and oxygen is free).

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    11. Re:And how does he intend to pull that one off? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm not a complete idiot. Why don't you get the delta-vee from Mars to here (the Wikipedia article may help), and figure out the energy cost of getting it to Earth versus the energy you're going to get out of it on Earth? There is very little worth shipping back.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  5. This discussion is premature by stephanruby · · Score: 1

    We haven't even reached the stage of a prison colony yet. Let's do that first. Once Mars is no longer a prison colony, then we can start discussing the possibility of limited self-governance.

  6. No by KeensMustard · · Score: 3, Informative
    "Still, we're starting to ramp up our Mars exploration plans"

    No: No, we aren't. A few dozen enthusiasts on the internet talking about how they would like to go to Mars does not equal a "ramp up". Fantasy stories wherein earth's technologies can be replicated without the base materials and manufacturing that earth provides does not equal a "ramp up".

    1. Re:No by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      http://mars.nasa.gov/images/13... That's not a "ramp up"???

      Such timelines have been around for 30 years - we are no closer to meeting the timelines than we were 30 years ago.

  7. Independent as can kill someone legally if they by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Independent as can kill someone legally if they can't make there life support paymnet.

    1. Re:Independent as can kill someone legally if they by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

      But there they can kick you out that = dead right away. also people in jail are not starving to death.

  8. no responsibility? by BradMajors · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You mean no one on Earth would have any responsibility to assist, rescue, or supply the Mars colony? Why would a country want to assist foreign citizens living elsewhere for free?

    1. Re:no responsibility? by readin · · Score: 1

      Yes, so if someone from earth (remember, Earth will be a lot richer and more powerful than the struggling colonists for a very long time) decides to kill everyone on Mars for the fun of it, no one on Earth will be obligated or perhaps even legally permitted to help the Martians.

      --
      I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
  9. A breakthrough in AI would do it by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 2

    They'll have no exports. that means no source of cash to buy the things that Mars can't provide -- like modern medical supples, updated electronics, and other manufactured goods.

    This may not be a problem.

    GDP per capita has skyrocketed in recent decades, and would appear to be on an exponential curve. We're just about at the point where don't need as many workers as we have, to supply everyone with what they want.

    The take-away is that automation and efficiency will continue to rise, so that less will be needed to make a self-sufficient colony. Machines which could mine raw materials and build more machines, for instance.

    A breakthrough in AI would be enough to put us over the top.

    1. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by NicBenjamin · · Score: 2

      It's not really growing any faster now then it did back in the 50s. And instead of it becoming easier and easier to convince people to pay for things collectively, we've entered an era of death-battles over trivial amounts of government spending. Seriously, back then we convinced people to pay like 5% of GDP for a moonshot. Today we can't get them to a single percent.

      So even if we could fund a Mars colony with a minuscule tax, half the country would be aghast (aghast I tell you!) that the money was being spent to allow the upper-middle-class whites and Asians (there ain't a lot of astronauts with less then a PhD, which means lots of whites and Asians) to set up their own country free from interference from blacks/hispanics/working-clas whites/etc. The other half would be horrified that the money wasn't being used to cut Wall Street's taxes. Those poor job creators like Shkreli, working their fingers to the bone clicking buttons on a computer and "networking" (ie: getting drunk with the boys) to provide employment for greedy little ungrateful ordinary people, and then those poor babies have to send 15% to the government.

    2. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by mi · · Score: 4, Informative

      Seriously, back then we convinced people to pay like 5% of GDP for a moonshot. Today we can't get them to a single percent.

      That may be because our National Debt in 1969 was below 30% of the GDP, whereas today it approaches 120%.

      and then those poor babies have to send 15% to the government.

      Dunno, what you are talking about, my taxes combined reach 50% — and I sure as heck do not work on Wall Street.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    3. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by slowdeath · · Score: 4, Informative

      Your MARGINAL tax rate could be close to 50%. However your EFFECTIVE tax rate on all your entire income is likely not anywhere near 50%.

    4. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      He's probably enumerating more than just his income taxes. There are property taxes, income taxes, sales tax, import tax, excise tax, fuel tax, etc... It could well be in the 50% range.

    5. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      Seriously, back then we convinced people to pay like 5% of GDP for a moonshot. Today we can't get them to a single percent.

      That may be because our National Debt in 1969 was below 30% of the GDP, whereas today it approaches 120%.

      The interest rate on that debt was 4%. Today it's under 2%.

      And nobody has ever won an election by focussing on debt-to-GDP ratio.

      and then those poor babies have to send 15% to the government.

      Dunno, what you are talking about, my taxes combined reach 50% — and I sure as heck do not work on Wall Street.

      You really aren't a Wall Street type.

      Wall Streeters get paid via something called "carried interest" which is basically an extremely successful hack of the tax code. It doesn't count as salary, it counts as an investment, and as such it qualifies for the capital gains tax rate of 15%.

    6. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Har Har, Har Har!
      Har Har Har!

      You never wondered why in a time where most western governments are in dept up to 'Oberkante Unterkiefer' (translate yourself please) suddenly interests are approaching ... or are below ... zero?

      ROFL ... brainwashing woked quite well for hou.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The FICA stuff is also somewhat debateable. Do you count it as abuot 7.5%, or more like 15% deducting income tax on half of it? Social Security and Medicare and such taxes half show up in your income on a W-2, and your employer is required to supply a matching amount. I generally figure that what's allocated for your payroll that legally has to go to the Feds is a tax.

      For those of you who have made money not under a W-2 (including me for several years), you have to pay 15% of your income in such taxes, and you get to deduct half from your income for income tax purposes. That may give you a gut reaction as to how much of a burden it is. It did to me.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    8. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by mi · · Score: 1

      You really aren't a Wall Street type.

      How would you know? Clearly, you aren't and never were close to one to know much about them.

      Wall Streeters get paid via something called "carried interest"

      BS. They are paid salary and bonuses, which are added to it. It is still treated as salary and reported on 1040 as such.

      You may be talking about actual investors — who risk their own money, rather than that of their employers. The capital gains tax is lower because we want people to take such risks — as opposite to having a guaranteed salary.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    9. Re:A breakthrough in AI would do it by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      Apparently your reading comprehension is not as good as you hoped.

      I never said anything about guys getting salaries from Wall Street. It was Wall Street as a whole (and the top guys there all get the Carried Interest thing), and Shkreli.

      You're actually a perfect illustration of the problem with spending money on space. I say "Dems will fuck this over because they want their left-wing social programs," and you just kinda go along with it. Then I say "Repubs will hate it because they'd rather cut taxes on the rich" and you start searching for hairs to split so you can defend Martin Shkreli's low low low tax bill.

      Which is not a particularly good start for any pol who hopes to convince mi from Slashdot to support a $50 Billion Mars Launch instead of further tax relief for job creator Martin Shkreli.

  10. Not just a good idea, but inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Political independence equals economic independence. This doesn't necessarily mean total self-sufficiency: essentially no place on Earth is totally self-sufficient either.

    Just as all colonies on Earth eventually either died out or became independent, the same pressures will eventually force any Mars colony to one of those same fates. One possibility is that the Mars colony will not produce wealth in excess of what it costs to maintain, in which case it will die out, either as a result of a disaster the colonists are unable to prepare for or as a result of the Earth-based funding drying up. The other possibility is that the Mars colony does produce surplus wealth, in which case the Martians will eventually get tired of sending a disproportionate share of that wealth back to Earth, and will gain their independence, whether through political or violent means.

    But planning for independence from day one is foolish. The early colonists will have more pressing concerns, like keeping an adequate supply of heat and oxygen. The form of government that is suitable for a long-term, independent colony is naturally going to be very different from the form that is suitable for getting the initial habitat built. They'll also need support from Earth which will only be forthcoming if the colony is not politically independent. In fact, planning for independence at all is foolish. When the time is right, it will happen whether anyone planned for it or not, and likely not in the expected way.

  11. New Territory by flounders · · Score: 2

    Honestly I think history shows that not cutting national ties when entering a new territory is ideal. There is going to be a far greater need for supplies for those starting out on a new planet than those starting out on a new continent. If you were to go to the extreme of cutting citizenship, funding or any help you can basically say we are not going to colonize any new territory in the future. The reason independence is important is when a people do not have a say in policies that are implemented concerning them. An example of this is the 13 colonies in America when they were still loyal to the British Crown; they did not have representation in parliament, and they had to abide by what parliament handed down. This led to a very unfavorable situation for the colonists prompting the American Revolutionary War. The ideal solution is to either give these new colonists representation in their own governments here on earth, or to allow them to become independent when they decide to do so much like what was done with other colonies throughout the 20th century.

    tl;dr Independence should not be enforced by the governments or people here but chosen by the colonists there.

  12. Sure, as long as they can pay there own way. by warewolfsmith · · Score: 1

    Better start gold mining immediately upon arrival.

  13. Sovereignty by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    The answer is very simple to obtain if we go back to the definition of sovereignty, which is the enforcement by a group of rules on a territory.

    If a Mars colony declares itself independent, is there an Earth nation that will be able to afford a fleet to bring a police force to Mars so that its own laws are enforced? As the answer is probably no, then Mars colonies are going to be independent if this is the will of the People of Mars.

    1. Re:Sovereignty by Harlequin80 · · Score: 1

      It's not even the case of can anyone get a fleet to Mars, it is the fact that as soon as Mars has launch capability you had an instant MAD scenario so you cannot enforce laws they don't want to follow. It might take awhile for your attack to arrive but if you aren't trying to slow down to achieve orbit anything you lob will hit the ground pretty hard.

    2. Re: Sovereignty by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      That wouldn't be a credible threat, as no country could launch a missile at a defenseless Mars colony without public outrage on Earth.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    3. Re: Sovereignty by manu0601 · · Score: 1

      A conventional weapon could destroy any habitat we're likely to build in the next century or two.

      First, launching against civilian facilities is called a war crime.

      Second, the launcher nation will not be able to enforce its law on survivors until it sends a police force on martian ground.

  14. Whoever pays for it will probably decide by bennebw · · Score: 2

    Unless a government or some trillionaire donates the money with no strings attached, whoever pays for a Mars colony will probably determine whether it's independent or not. It's a nice thought that it would be independent, but unless the person saying that is donating the money, it's only a nice thought.

  15. Mars will have one VERY valuable export: by DanDD · · Score: 1

    Mars lacks any kind of hospitable environment for complex life. Want to pile up tailings, toxic waste and refuse from large scale industrial manufacture?? Do it on Mars. You won't be polluting anyone's back yard, the environmental & liability risks are near zero, and your biggest customers are all downhill.

    --
    "Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
    1. Re:Mars will have one VERY valuable export: by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Did you know there are already mars "environmentalists" who don't want anyone to despoil the beautiful barrenness of the lifeless red planet?

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  16. Re:never going to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "As long as the relentless authoritarians of the world exist.
    As long as human greed exists."

    And these won't exist on Mars somehow? How much more proof do we need about Space Nutter's
    1) Misanthropy
    2) Religious beliefs about space. Oh yes, yes, Space is a holy place where all the human flaws won't exist and somehow we'll pick YOU to live there! Right.

    "This will never happen."

    Yes, it's not because of, say, insurmountable technological issues and sheer distance?

    www.distancetomars.com

    And besides, I thought space was full of "absurdly valuable" resources, so why would "greed" *prevent* these fantasies?

  17. Not initially by davidwr · · Score: 1

    But hopefully a few years before this guy takes over Earth.

    --
    Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
  18. Re:j^2 by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 1

    j is the square root of -1 in electrical engineering, so your subject works on both levels.

    --
    Mostly random stuff.
  19. Just start with the Flying Spaghetti Monster! by tlambert · · Score: 1

    Religion is one of those funny things that will crop up anyway, regardless of whether or not the colonists bring it with them.

    Just start with the Flying Spaghetti Monster!

    If it's the official religion of Mars, then the people who start to get fanatical about it will drill holes in the helmets to obtain the colander hats, go out side, and "Blort!", their eyes bug out of their heads like Schwartzenegger in Total Recall, and the problem takes care of itself!

  20. Re:This nonsense again? by binarylarry · · Score: 1

    That's a bloody big nut shell!

    --
    Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
  21. "starting to ramp up our Mars exploration plans" by tlambert · · Score: 1

    "starting to ramp up our Mars exploration plans"

    What a dumb ass way to go about it. Plant a colony somewhere that looks like a good spot, and then let the colonists do the exploration when they are not busy reading Slashdot or playing on their X Box.

    Lewis and Clark didn't do their thing until we already had colonies on the continent.

    Why do we have to map the whole damn place down to the millimeter before we send people there? To employ a few roboticists? I'd rather have colonists there than a few employed roboticists on Earth.

  22. Think back to by AHuxley · · Score: 1

    The Roman empire - take it all.
    Treaty of Tordesillas https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... - who from Earth gets what and a nice map.
    East India Company https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    Congo Free State https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    Bantustan https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    The Antarctic territories https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    A high tech land rush with lesser nations from earth funding distant insurgency efforts.

    --
    Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  23. Earth before Mars by mi · · Score: 1

    Once you have people living there, things look different and they often look just as barren as the Mars picture.

    Where quality people live, things improve with time. But even the worst parts of Earth are much more hospitable to (known) life than the nicest parts of Mars.

    Seriously — rich people shall be free to do whatever they want with their own money, but before taxpayers are compelled to finance travel to other planets, we need to colonize this planet we have right here.

    Antarctica is an entire unsettled continent! Plus Australian Outback, Canadian woods, American Midwest, Siberia, Asian and African deserts — all have breathable air and comfortable gravity. All can be reached for hundreds rather than billions of dollars. And the ping-latency will not suck as badly...

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Earth before Mars by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Seriously â" rich people shall be free to do whatever they want with their own money,

      Fill a swimming pool with your scrip and make like Scrooge for all I care, just don't expect me to accept monopoly money as payment nor shoulder by myself all the costs of running a modern society which gives euros, dollars etc. their value and lets you have that swimming pool and enough free time to indulge in your bizarre hobby in the first place.

      but before taxpayers are compelled to finance travel to other planets, we need to colonize this planet we have right here.

      The point of a Mars colony is having a backup if and when this one goes down in nuclear flames, gets hit by an asteroid, Black Death v2.0, etc. Obviously the colony will need to be fully self-sufficient indefinitely to meet this goal, but you have to start somewhere.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    2. Re:Earth before Mars by mi · · Score: 1

      The point of a Mars colony is having a backup

      Start a subscription drive and see, how many people will voluntarily give you money for this. I suspect, you already know the result, however, and that's why you want to compel those very same people (through the IRS) to pay for your solution in search of a problem...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  24. Mars ain't the kind of place to raise your kids. by jphamlore · · Score: 2

    I think Mars ain't the kind of place to raise your kids. In fact, it's cold as Hell.

  25. What will the Martian currency be? by mark_reh · · Score: 2

    How will an independent Mars colony earn the kind of money it will take to pay the freight for sending things they need to survive from Earth to Mars? It will be the classic coal mining operation just relocated to Mars- people will work all day on Mars doing whatever it is they do and they will earn less than enough to pay their debt to the shipping company that sends them their food, clothing, etc. They will be slaves. Maybe we should send prisoners there...

  26. SF Has Already Been There by kenwd0elq · · Score: 1

    "it's a good idea to start debating these issues now."

    You mean that every SF writer in the last 70 years has been writing in vain because pointy-headed pseudo-intellectuals haven't bothered to READ it?

    Besides, it's baloney. Whoever pays for the rockets is going to want SOME return on their investment, and any Mars colony will certainly require support from Earth, at least at first. Saying "Any Mars colony should be independent from its founding" is a sneaky way of trying to eliminate any Mars colony attempt. I haven't bothered to check, but I predict that Jacob Haqq-Misra is a communist who is trying to prevent any capitalistic attempt to found such a colony.

  27. Why Mars? by sgunhouse · · Score: 2

    The whole thing sounds silly when we don't even have a lunar colony yet. If either becomes self-sufficient it will be based on exporting mineral resources, and of course it'll be easier to set up lunar colonies - and easier to transport materials from there to Earth. So let's talk about independence for lunar colonists first.

  28. Re:This nonsense again? by khallow · · Score: 1

    You can't see the trees, fish, and microorganisms? The breathable air at the correct temperature and pressure? The correct gravity and the magnetosphere?

    Well, I do see trees. I don't see any of those other things in the pictures. Which strikes me as a very poor argument (one thing out of 6 or so items) to make as a result.

  29. Makes Sense by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

    Musk drives engineers at Tesla and Space X like slave laborers, but is still bound by labor regulations. On Mars there would be no such laws and allowing decreased communication would ensure recruitment stays high.

  30. Re: How about by brasselv · · Score: 1

    that's an old and tired argument, which sounds superficially reasonable - until you realize that civilization and progress never worked this way.

    you could have used that same argument for any human advancement.

    do you really want to spend money on chemical research / the Panama Canal / railroads / telegraph / cables under the sea/ etc, while there are people starving to death or dying of flu or lacking basic freedoms?

    none of those things were ever a priority when money was spent on them throughout the centuries .

    yet, without those, we would be living today in a world where millions more would be starving and be less free.

    --
    "Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong." (Oscar Wilde)
  31. Independence: impossible without self-sufficiency by petes_PoV · · Score: 1

    surely there will be a continuous flow of supplies to help support a colony

    And someone will control that flow of supplies. That someone will therefore have absolute influence over the colony.

    As for trade: what, exactly could Mars possibly have that would be tradable - given the extreme cost of transportation? Maybe once there is a Martian "sphere of influence" with LMO and its moons there would be some local trade (since the gravitational costs of getting stuff up there would be lower). But still: what would the Red Planet have that couldn't be made cheaper on (say) Phobos?

    But Earth - Mars trading? We already have enough sand and rocks. Mars is like Earth's remote deserts and even we don't trade with those places, since they have nothing of value to offer. Similarly, we don't even colonise those parts of our planet - so the reasons for going to Mars would be more about getting away from Earth than any positive aspects of Mars itself. That doesn't bode well for the prospects of any future colonists.

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
  32. laws are tricky by Tom · · Score: 1

    You see, the thing about laws is that they're worth nothing if you cannot enforce them. So you are going to do what, exactly, to stop company X when it ignores all of them to get an early monopoloy on, say, water treatment machines on Mars?

    This whole "deregulation" bullshit hasn't worked, or rather: Worked in the opposite of what was promised, good job.

    We don't need more "hands off" stupidity that fails. We need a good, solid framework, preferrably created by experts and not by politicians.

    --
    Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  33. Pass the bong, you've had too many puffs. by dfenstrate · · Score: 1

    Either that or barter with something infinitely more valuable - information.

    What information would that be, and why would anyone on Earth want to pay for that knowledge to be developed on Mars?
    Face it, any trip to Mars will be an expensive ego trip for the nation or nations that pull it off. I'm not saying we shouldn't do it, only that we should be realistic about the fruits of such a trip. The biggest thing they'll learn is 'How to live on Mars', and that information can't be 'sold' to people on Earth.

    --
    Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
  34. Not so fast by nospam007 · · Score: 3, Funny

    They'll have to drop thousands of ice asteroids first, to get a little ocean where they can throw some tea in before becoming independent.

    1. Re:Not so fast by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Well if it is fresh water it might be tasty. Who is bringing the biscuits?

  35. Is Mars any more important then the moon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    How many unmanned vehicles have landed on Mars only to report back very little of interest. Do we really want to send people to a planet that has been proven to be of little benefit to mankind? It almost seems some people want to do this just for a bucket list. If alien life did live on Mars at some point, its not there now. Same goes for the moon. Who wants to waste money to go to the moon and who in their right mind would do so to mine anything on the moon that could generate a profit? I think our only interest in Mars is that because of our pathetic advances in propulsion engines. Its probably the only realistic planet we could reach with humans. Even then the return would be impossible. Hence, all this talk about colonizing. That money spent, would be better served on Earth.

  36. You can't declare independence for someone else. by duckintheface · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Eventually a Mars colony will become independent, when it is economically self-sufficient. But only Martians can do that. Just look at the British colonies as an example. America declared it's independence when it was able to and was forced to. If we had waited for the Brits to "give" us independence, we would still be waiting. And in the case of Mars, it will take a long time because self-sufficiency will be difficult.

    --
    "He took a duck in the face at 250 knots." -- William Gibson, Pattern Recognition
  37. Very thoughtful by vikingpower · · Score: 2

    TFA opens its abstract with the observation that

    Humanity has the knowledge to solve its problems but lacks the moral insight to implement these ideas on a global scale.

    This, in and by itself, is the most thoughtful remark by an American in 2015 I've read. From there, the author develops his stance that Mars should be liberated before any human lands on it. His train of thought and chained arguments avoid any extremism, be it political or philosophical and cite such successful devices as the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea ( to which, BTW, the USA is not a party, alas ). In brief: the author makes an excellent point, parting from a single philosophical argument. We need a couple more like him.

    --
    Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
  38. I think its gonna be a long long time by rossdee · · Score: 1

    and all the science I don't understand

    1. Re:I think its gonna be a long long time by flopsquad · · Score: 1

      The science is my job 5 days a week, you insensitive clod!

      --
      Nothing posted to /. has ever been legal advice, including this.
  39. Is that you, Mr. Cohaagen? by swb · · Score: 1

    And why do you want to cut off our air?

  40. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If we had waited for the Brits to "give" us independence, we would still be waiting.

    Why? They've 'given' independence to other former colonies e.g. Canada, Australia. They've even offered it to Scotland which is part of mainland Britain (Scots turned it down in the referendum but they weren't required to wage war to get it). Seizing independence in the circumstances that existed at the time was perfectly reasonable (as was waiting by those countries who were happy to) but I don't think it's reasonable to conclude that we'd still be waiting now.

  41. Yes and No by aepervius · · Score: 1

    As long as a mars colony is not viable on its own without stuff brought to earth : no it should be considered a region/state of the nation founding it. Afterward there are a lot of stuff they would have to abid to before being "free" : outer space treaty, various other nation treaty etc... And I concur to the guy who said "shut up until we set foot there". IMHO we will never have a mars colony. Not enough gain for the effort.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  42. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by duckintheface · · Score: 1

    Canada and Australia are not independent. They still swear allegiance to the Royal House of Britain. They are Commonwealth. The US is not. And if the US had not fought a war for independence, it is likely that all the colonies would still be more tightly controlled by England.

    --
    "He took a duck in the face at 250 knots." -- William Gibson, Pattern Recognition
  43. Title should read by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 1

    This article should have been titled "debate the political landscape layed out in Kim Stanley Robinson's "Red/Blue/Green Mars trillogy" because that is exactly what this is. I think if 1653 pages on the subject cant come to a consise answer, then there is no concise answer.

    --
    I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
  44. Martian call centers? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Think about it: First of all, the cheapest commodity to ship is information, and it moves at the speed of light, even with existing technology. Most importantly, the business model would be familiar to customers.

    Given time for some cultural drift, Martians will develop funny accents (seen "The Expanse"?) that customers will have have to strain to understand. The time lag will be roughly what customers are already experiencing ("Please wait while I check to see if you are eligible for a refund..." and then a fifteen minute wait before advancing to the next line of the brush-off script.

    Airlines and cable companies will pay trillions for the ability to mistreat customers from an unreachable distance, and will pay for the entire cost of the colony.

  45. definitions by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    I'm curious; considering that we aren't really anywhere near close to putting humans on Mars (I'd submit that a serious program to do so would be at least 10 years in the works, and to my knowledge no such program has started beyond mere speculation), where precisely does "space researcher" end and "science fiction author" begin?

    Because wild speculation about who is responsible to whom in a situation fraught with complexities that may well be a century away sounds pretty much like science fiction to me. Oh, it's interesting on a sort of 'coffee discussion' level, but utterly meaningless on a substantive level.

    --
    -Styopa
  46. hilarious by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    "It might seem odd for a company or country to spend billions of dollars to get to Mars, only to relinquish any control over what happens on the planet. But itâ(TM)s not inconceivable, says Haqq-Misra."

    Yes, yes it is.
    Despite the speculations of an ivory-tower academic, countries and corporations are not charities. They do not dump billions (and perhaps trillions) of dollars into projects that will not return them (expected) benefits.
    They simply don't.

    --
    -Styopa
  47. Re:This nonsense again? by khallow · · Score: 1

    I don't see that in the picture either. Yet another poor argument for using those pictures.

  48. History already tells us what will happen by intermelt · · Score: 1

    This is one of those things where history got it right. We get sent to colonize and are supported by a particular governing body (group of nations?). At some point this governing body is no longer required. The colony decides to separate itself from this governing body when it is no longer required. If it is truly no longer required, the separation is a success. Some people sacrifice their lives, but eventually everyone becomes friends and they all live happily ever after.

    Many people in several different "colonizations" refer to this transition as Independence Day.

  49. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by khallow · · Score: 1

    Canada and Australia are not independent. They still swear allegiance to the Royal House of Britain.

    Which is not a serious criteria for dependence. If the Queen tried to pull anything, they'd drop her like a bad diet.

    And if the US had not fought a war for independence, it is likely that all the colonies would still be more tightly controlled by England.

    Or at least more competently managed.

  50. Canada fully Independent by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2

    Canada and Australia are not independent. They still swear allegiance to the Royal House of Britain.

    Canada is fully independent. It is no less correct to say that Britain swears allegiance to the Royal House of Canada. The queen has two, independent titles: Queen of the UK and Queen of Canada. I expect Australia has a similar deal.

    The advantage with Canada's independence is that we got it by asking nicely and without anyone having to die, we got to keep a parliamentary democracy which had the benefits of centuries of adjustments to make it function well and we got a constitution with a wonderful clause that stops those with wealth using it to block laws they don't like.

    You may disagree but I would argue that Canada's path to independence worked out far better than that chosen by her neighbour and, if anything, that neighbour slowed the path to independence down since for a considerable time Canada wanted and needed British protection against her young, violent neighbour's territorial desires.

    1. Re:Canada fully Independent by fche · · Score: 2

      "we got a constitution with a wonderful clause that stops those with wealth using it to block laws they don't like"

      Which clause would that be? Section 1, the "this constitution can be overridden if you really mean it", or section 33, the other "this constitution can be overridden if you really mean it", or section15, the other "this constitution can be overridden if it benefits nonwhite nonmen"?

      "Canada's path to independence worked out far better ... for a considerable time Canada wanted and needed British protection"

      That is a very dependent sort of independence.

    2. Re:Canada fully Independent by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      That is a very dependent sort of independence.

      ...which was why Canada did not get independence until the threat was removed and it no longer needed British protection from the US which was, in fact, my entire point. Thank you for agreeing!

    3. Re:Canada fully Independent by hr+raattgift · · Score: 1

      The advantage with Canada's independence is that we got it by asking nicely and without anyone having to die

      Lots and lots of Canadians died prior to the Imperial Conference of 1930 (and the subsequent Statute of Westminster, 1931), with hundreds dead in actions specifically to free Canada from control by the British Cabinet. It is precisely on the basis of those deaths that Mackenzie-King (cf. Mackenzie, several paragraphs below) was able to lead the Conference to the principle that all the Dominions should have both legislative and foreign policy independence and control of their own militaries.

      After 1931, even the formal ties were effectively cut: the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council had a subcommittee of Canadian judges who had *exclusive* appellate jurisdiction; the British government agreed that they would pass without amendment any Constitutional legislation Canada required provided the federal and provincial governments were in agreement (of which there was a strong lack readily visible to all onlookers until no earlier than 1982, and even then at least one Province claims to have withheld critical agreement on the formalization of the amending formula and the entrenchment of specific Acts).

      1931 also marked the final time when Canadian troops would be summoned by the Imperial government to fight in wars directed by the Cabinet in London.

      Compare with the various post-Boer War mutinies by Canadian troops condoned by the Canadian government. An example: when conscripted Canadian troops were held in awful conditions in Wales due to British government vs Canadian government conflict in de-deployment and repatriation policy (the British government were fairly plainly trying to keep the Canadians in service, in part because they cheaper and less politically connected than English troops):

      "In all, between November 1918 and June 1919, there were thirteen instances or disturbances involving Canadian troops ... The most serious of these occurred in Kinmel Park on 4th and 5th March 1919, when dissatisfication over delays in sailing resulted in five men being killed and 23 being wounded. Seventy eight men were arrested, of whom 25 were convicted of mutiny and given sentences varying from 90 days' detention to ten years' penal servitude." [Nicholson, Official History of the Canadian Army in WW I]

      This sort of thing led to a lack of conscription in Canada during the first part of WW II, and later on a plebiscite/referendum on the question of conscription late in the war (in April 1942) led through a series of compromises to the result that few conscripts actually left Canada and fewer still ended up on the front lines of the war (less than three thousand) -- the Canadian conscripts were mostly deployed to free up volunteers (and British conscripts...) from non-combat posts. It is entirely possible that had the Canadian government caved in to British demands for troop numbers and introduced conscription early in the war, Canada would have exited WW II before Pearl Harbor. Indeed, it is mainly Pearl Harbor and the entry into the war of the United States that led to the passage of the referendum at all.

      Earlier in Canadian history there were even small-scale uprisings -- one might even call them revolutionary or civil wars -- that led to deaths and reprisals. Among them were the rebellions of 1837-1838 (William Lyon Mackenzie, Mackenzie-King's grandfather, declared a Republic of Canada and led armed skirmishes in what's now southern Ontario; Papineau, Storrow Brown, Chenier, Oklowski and the Nelsons led armed uprisings in and around Quebec City and Montreal -- a couple hundred dead all together, thousands wounded, and scores of executions and deportations to Australia). There were occasional low-level disturbances of the peace in Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick and Nova Scotia more or less until the end of the U.S. Civil War at which point the anti-Republican parties that controlled the governments that

    4. Re:Canada fully Independent by fche · · Score: 1

      "which was, in fact, my entire point"

      Right, sure it was.

      And now, Canada is a de facto protectorate of the US, with its defense spending making up for our half-NATO-minimum 1%-of-GDP.

      So now we're dependent on the country that, according to you, threatened our independence so much that we had to depend on the Queen.

      Not much to gloat about really. And neither is the constitution.

    5. Re:Canada fully Independent by luis_a_espinal · · Score: 1

      "we got a constitution with a wonderful clause that stops those with wealth using it to block laws they don't like"

      Which clause would that be? Section 1, the "this constitution can be overridden if you really mean it", or section 33, the other "this constitution can be overridden if you really mean it", or section15, the other "this constitution can be overridden if it benefits nonwhite nonmen"?

      "Canada's path to independence worked out far better ... for a considerable time Canada wanted and needed British protection"

      That is a very dependent sort of independence.

      Because of its belligerent neighbor to the south (which is also in his post, and which you so conveniently chose to omit.) Also, he never mentioned that Canada was independent at the time of these events (almost 200 years ago), and its form of governance is not comparable to its current form, which is independent regardless of your exercises in sophistry.

    6. Re:Canada fully Independent by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The US wasn't presented with the same deals the Canadians were, which were probably partly a result of negotiations with the US. There was a possibility that the US could have wound up with effectively Dominion status in the 1770s, had things gone differently (IIRC, George III was a serious obstacle to a negotiated peace).

      I am aware of US attacks on Canada in the War of 1812. I am aware of an attack from US territory around the time of the Civil War. Do you know of other threats later than that? There were times of bad Britain-US relations after that, but I've never read of invasions or threats. The US army tended to stay small when not needed in the 19th Century, and US warships were generally not all that impressive in that period. It seems to me that Spain was about the only European colonial power that would make the USN look good in that period (well, maybe Portugal).

      The Statute of Westminster was not the final word in independence. Not everybody interpreted it the same. In 1939, Australia did not declare was on Germany, on the theory that they were included in the British declaration. In 1941, Australia did declare war on Japan. Moreover, full independence, meaning the ability to amend their own Constitution, came considerably later.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    7. Re:Canada fully Independent by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      And without that neighbor fighting for its independence, you may never have gotten yours. Would you want all the commonwealth to look like Ireland did in the 19th century?

  51. Re: The Sun by cyber-vandal · · Score: 2

    You just need to go at night

  52. Re: Why should they be? by murdocj · · Score: 1

    damn, where's my +5 insightful mod when I need it? Poor Americans pay FAR more of their percentage of income in taxes than wealthy Americans.

  53. Duck Tape by confused+one · · Score: 1

    They can't be independent. They will be too dependent on the supply chain back at Earth to be independent. Until they have basic industry, including bulk mineral and chemical processing, metal smelting, and plastics manufacturing all up and running reliably on the Mars surface, they're dependent on supplies from Earth. So, basically, until they can make their own Duck Tape... No independence for them!

  54. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

    enslaved

    I do not think that word means what you think it means.

    --
    Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
  55. I Absolutely Agree by careysub · · Score: 1

    When a Mars colony is completely self-sufficient for Earth, making everything they need to run their whole economy, then definitely they should be completely independent politically.

    I also propose that they should choose to be ruled by unicorns. Because by the time it becomes possible for a Mars colony to be completely self-sufficient we will be able to make unicorns through genetic engineering. They won't have magical powers, but they will be immortal and super intelligent, and we would be wise to submit to their superior wisdom.

    When people talk about self-sufficient colonies on Mars they generally seem to have no concept of how far we are from having a technological basis to make that possible, no matter how much money is spent on Mars colonization.

    Living on Mars is pretty much living in a vacuum, in a high radiation environment - just like living in space. Space flight qualified hardware for a small habitat like the ISS (home to 6 people, maximum) cost on the order of $100 billion, which represents the labor of something like a million person-years of effort. This support ratio of (lets round down) of something like 100000:1 makes the notion of self-supporting space colony fantasy. To support itself the ratio must be reduced to 1:1 (for a subsistence level existence), or higher (1:2?) for a more a enjoyable lifestyle. Consider also that currently that 80% of the time of the ISS crew is spent on ISS maintenance, and this this is not out of an 8 hour day of labor, with weekends and holidays off, but of most of their waking time.

    Conservatively we need a five order of magnitude increase in productivity (think AI controlled, completely autonomous nanotech factories) to make Mars colonization on a self-sustaining basis possible. Quibbling to knock off a factor of 2 or 3 in my cost estimate, of even a factor of 10, or 100, only puts an insigniciant dent in the problem.

    --
    Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    1. Re:I Absolutely Agree by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      seem to have no concept of how far we are from having a technological basis to make that possible
      You seem not to grasp that we actually have that technology, since 50 to 75 years.

      Living on Mars is pretty much living in a vacuum
      No it is not. A 'pressure tent', you know those things, domes filled with compressed air, would work on Mars quite nicely.
      Problem: they are filled with CO2, not 'air'. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      You could make a double hull dome, like in inflatable boat, just fill the frame with CO2 and the interiour with air.

      Conservatively we need a five order of magnitude increase in productivity
      Which would translate into: only one or two persons on earth are working. Are you certain, that you have a concept what 'an order of magnitude' actually means?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    2. Re:I Absolutely Agree by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Are you seriously saying we've had the technology since 1940? In 1940, getting to Earth orbit was in the province of Space Nutters. 1965? In 1965, keeping people alive and healthy in space for months was in the province of Space Nutters (including me, at the time). We still don't have the technology to get enough stuff to low Earth orbit at any faintly reasonable cost, and despite what Space-X is doing its best to reduce that cost it's going to take a long time.

      It looks to me like GP has a firm grasp on what an order of magnitude is. GP had an estimate of about a hundred thousand's people's work to support one person in space, and space for this purpose is much like Mars. Almost any solution that will work on Mars will work in low earth orbit, so the ISS is comparable to Mars in that respect. If an inflatable dome would work on Mars, it would work for the ISS.

      For Mars to be self-sustaining, one person working needs to be able to provide what that worker needs, at the very least. For an actual colony, one person has to be able to produce significantly more than what he or she needs, to support children, the disabled, and the elderly, and to provide a reserve for expansion (if it can't expand on its own, it's not self-sustaining). Any possible advantages in being on a small planet will be counterbalanced by the lack of resources to work with. So, if it would take the work of ten thousand people to support one on Mars, including engineers, rocket builders, productivity is going to have to increase by four orders of magnitude to make a self-sustaining colony almost possible.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    3. Re:I Absolutely Agree by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yes we had that. Perhaps I was wrong with math and should have said for safe guarding "50 years".

      There is no difference between the technology of a V1 versus an Apollo/Saturn.

      In 1965, keeping people alive and healthy in space for months was in the province of Space Nutters (including me, at the time). We still don't have the technology to get enough stuff to low Earth orbit at any faintly reasonable cost, and despite what Space-X is doing its best to reduce that cost it's going to take a long time.
      This is a bollocks claim as it mixes up two things: technology versus cost. There never will be any technology, except perhaps if we indeed manage to build it: a space elevator, that will bring down cost in any significant way. Perhaps you can half the cost ... thats it. Get used to it. And: that has nothing to do with the question if we have the technology.

      Setting up a base on mars is a monetary problem, not a science or technology problem. All the questions how to survive there are solved since decades.

      So, if it would take the work of ten thousand people to support one on Mars, including engineers, rocket builders, productivity is going to have to increase by four orders of magnitude to make a self-sustaining colony almost possible.
      But it does not need ten thousand people to support one on Mars.
      It needs one single farmer to farm his food. 100 in mission control to send the next supply ship (and actually you want him independent from supply ships), a few hundred in actually crafting the ship, and basically: that was it. There is no damn need that the whole planet increases its "productivity" by a 5 orders of magnitude to support a Mars colony of a few dozen or few hundred people. Because: actually it does not cost that much, neither in resources nor "engineering time". With the budget of the US military you easy ran a few dozens of colonies on Mars.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  56. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by war4peace · · Score: 1

    America declared it's independence.

    America: "It's Independence!"
    Britain: "No, it's Not!"

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  57. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Ofc they are independed.
    I would suggest to look up on wikipedia the list of recognized states on the world.

    Being in the commonwealth has nothing to do with independence ... a no brainer actually.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  58. No Taxation Without Representation by sudon't · · Score: 1

    No taxation without representation!

    --
    -- sudon't

    Air-ride Equipped

  59. Re: How about by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Certainly. Please show us all a society that has ever managed to do that and how they did that.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  60. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

    I'd wager I know more about it than you do, troll. And "little white boy"? That's what you choose as an insult?

    --
    Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
  61. Re: Why should they be? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    You're way wrong there, AC. Anyone who makes, say, ten thousand dollars a year is paying income taxes, FICA taxes, and sales taxes, at the very least.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  62. Re:import, not export. And too expensive to ship by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    No, it wouldn't be cheaper to drop it into the Sun. To do that, you need to not only get out of our gravity well, but get rid of most of its orbital speed so it will actually hit the Sun. Things do not just drop into the Sun when we let go of them. The delta-vee involved is much smaller to hit Mars with it.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  63. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by lucien86 · · Score: 1

    Yes but we would have nuked China back. Then the US and maybe Israel would probably have joined in too. India also has nukes too and there are Indians who still remember being invaded by China. Then there is Russia, would they join in on China's side? or would they stay neutral? or would they even join in the attack against China? There are Russian strategists who fear China a lot more than they fear America.

    This is why rattling the sabres is one thing, pushing the firing button something else.. Takes guts when you know that your cities are going to burn too.

    --
    Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
  64. Corporate Governmental Entities by NonSenseAgency · · Score: 1

    There is no such thing as "Earth Citizenship" so scratch that one. Nation of origin, hmmm, well okay for first generation, I would assume that would be the legal precedent, lacking any local governmental body to which you could apply for a change in citizen ship, you should retain your original one. Second generation? Now we have a problem. Hopefully, by the time there IS a second generation on Mars, there WILL be local government. If the local government is a recognized State or Territory of an Earthbound government, again, I see no problem (other than the usual political squabbles that is). The one problem I foresee, is that "Corporate Governmental Entities" (you heard it here first), should and *must* be banned absolutely by International Law PRIOR to this happening.

  65. Enforcing a relationship? Call the cops! by timothy · · Score: 1

    "[E]nforcing a relationship seems impossible at interplanetary distances."

    Well ... not so very long ago, same would have been true for any relationship at all at intercontinental distances.

    But it Mars is worth colonizing, then it must have value. For new Martians, even if Mars is made of delicious, easily transported cheese that regrows quickly and never dies, Earth is going to have a *lot* of value, because that's where the movies, Baja pullovers, and chocolate oranges are made.

    Maybe the problem is that "enforcing" is a rightfully strange verb to apply to "relationship." Sounds pretty dysfunctional ;)

    --
    jrnl: http://tinyurl.com/c2l8yr / foes: http://tinyurl.com/ckjno5
  66. Re:You can't declare independence for someone else by wyHunter · · Score: 1

    I guess the Canadians, who had their constitution patriated nearly 20 years ago, would be shocked to find out they aren't independent. I don't know about Australia.

  67. Yes by MoarSauce123 · · Score: 1

    And again...Yes. The seat warmers at terra's HQ have no clue what you be going on in a Martian colony. Help is also not readily available, so the folks on Mars have to figure it out on their own. My guess is that a month in being stuffed in a spaceship they decide to forget the whole idea and hit the "return to Earth" button on the dashboard.

  68. Feng Shui != Interior Decoration by danaris · · Score: 1

    It's about more than "pleasant". It's about arranging your surroundings for health, wealth, and good luck, basically.

    What you're thinking about is called "Interior Decorating."

    Dan Aris

    --
    Fun. Free. Online. RPG. BattleMaster.
    1. Re:Feng Shui != Interior Decoration by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Eeeek, another BattleMaster player ;D

      Yeah, I know what Feng Shui is. However the parent likely not ;D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.