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US Regulators Issue Comprehensive Policy On Self-Driving Cars (vox.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Vox: On Monday, [The U.S. Department of Transportation] released a surprisingly far-reaching "Federal Automated Vehicles Policy." The policy attempts to do all sorts of things -- we'll get into the details below -- but the overarching motivation is that DOT wants to accelerate the development and adoption of AVs. DOT views AVs as a safety technology that could reduce some of the 38,000 traffic fatalities a year in the U.S., 95 percent of which are caused by human error. It also sees AVs as an accessibility technology that could provide personal transportation to whole populations (disabled, elderly, etc.) who have lacked it. The policy comes in four buckets: What the vehicles need to do to be safe; What federal and state governments need to do; How DOT will use its existing regulatory tools; DOT may need brand new regulatory tools to deal with AVs. The "vehicle performance" section lays out a 15-point safety assessment, so that AV developers and manufacturers know the sorts of things that federal regulators will expect. It covers everything from cybersecurity to data collection to crash response. And then there are "ethical considerations." AVs will have to make life-or-death decisions. The second section addresses the division of responsibilities and authorities between the federal government and state governments, and suggests a model policy that states can adapt for their own use. The feds will retain their authority to set and enforce safety standards, communicate with the public about safety, and occasionally issue guidances about how to meet national standards. States will retain their authority to license human drivers and register cars, set and enforce traffic laws, and regulate vehicle insurance and liability. There are three broad ways that DOT communicates about standards with automakers: letters of interpretation, exemptions and rule-makings. It is promising to speed up all of them in regard to HAVs. DOT is considering a range of new authorities that may be necessary to properly regulate HAVs. The report adds that "DOT has officially abandoned the NHTSA's own levels-of-automation classification in favor of SAE's, which is preferred by the industry. Vox has neat graphic you can view here. President Obama also wrote a piece about self-driving cars in the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: "In the seven-and-a-half years of my presidency, self-driving cars have gone from sci-fi fantasy to an emerging reality with the potential to transform the way we live..."

239 comments

  1. It can't come soon enough... by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...to save me and my family from all the "excellent drivers" who are busy on their phones while speeding down the freeway. Some of them, no doubt, posting diatribes about Big Government taking away their right to maintain complete and perfect control over their vehicle's performance.

    1. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 0, Troll

      Would you rather they be busy on their phone and unable to take over from Autopilot?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    2. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Xtifr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I certainly would! Yes, in the rare and unlikely circumstance that there's a problem the autopilot can't deal with better than the human, that could be a problem, but I'm more than willing to play odds tilted massively in my favor.

      Yes, it might be even better if the human was paying attention and able to take over in an emergency. But we don't always get everything we want. Attentive autopilot and inattentive human is a great improvement over what we have now: frequently inattentive humans with no backup at all.

    3. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 0

      It's not rare and unlikely. Autopilot doesn't drive from door to door.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    4. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Surely the best option would be to have the human in control, with the autopilot able to take over in an emergency, rather than the other way around? I.e. collision avoidance/accident avoidance. Humans can handle driving down the freeway when everything is going right, but when something goes wrong, they panic, they are slow to react, and they tend to make the most obvious choice rather than the best choice when reacting.

    5. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. YES YES YES YES

    6. Re:It can't come soon enough... by OzPeter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Would you rather they be busy on their phone and unable to take over from Autopilot?

      Status: Approaching area where human needs to manually control vehicle
      Action: Request Human take over!
      Status: Human not responding within required timeframe
      Action: Alert Human to take over (this time with feeling)
      Status: Human is still not responding
      Decision: Human is incapable of taking over control
      Action: Initiate Safe Stop and/or Safe Pullover to side of road
      Action: Alert Human fro third time
      Status: Human is still not responding
      Action: Initiate call to authorities - Human is likely incapacitated.

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    7. Re:It can't come soon enough... by OzPeter · · Score: 2

      Humans can handle driving down the freeway when everything is going right

      You've obviously never seen someone driving down the passing lane weaving from side to side (and crossing lane boundaries) all the while doing well under the speed limit. Yeah, sure .. things are going well for them chatting on their phone but they are an accident waiting to happen. They just have no clue as to the problems they are causing.

      Interestingly the Subaru Eyesight system has a mode for detecting side to side weaving in a lane.

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    8. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No that would be horrible.
      If the car can do whatever it wants while I'm supposedly in control that will be extremely confusing.

    9. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A 'for the children' argument? Seriously? As opposed to spineless progressives looking for infinite 'safety' at the expense of everyone else's livelihood and liberty? You can keep your surveillance society.. Just not in my country, thanks.

    10. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unable to take over x1000.

    11. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Using a cellphone while driving is illegal where I live, you get a ticket just for holding one in your hand even if at a stoplight, so those problems are not common here.

    12. Re:It can't come soon enough... by epyT-R · · Score: 0

      The problem here is your hollywood trained sensibilities and expectations of robotics and AI. We can't even fully automate trains yet, and these drastically simplify the problem with fixed locations and physical motion controlled by a track. Then there's the issue of network security which still hasn't been solved yet (since most AV proponents are demanding that these things be fully networked). Lets succeed at these first before trying to build networks of free range roving robots and having them roam the streets.

      But we don't always get everything we want.

      No kidding. So put your phone down and pay attention while you drive.

    13. Re:It can't come soon enough... by OzPeter · · Score: 1

      Using a cellphone while driving is illegal where I live, you get a ticket just for holding one in your hand even if at a stoplight, so those problems are not common here.

      And its legal where I am too .. but that doesn't stop people doing it.

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    14. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So all this happened within a second or two? Because that's typically how long it takes for everything to go from perfectly fine to everything is fucked in a car accident.

    15. Re:It can't come soon enough... by epyT-R · · Score: 1

      That's what the horn is for. Usually it straightens them right out.

    16. Re:It can't come soon enough... by OzPeter · · Score: 1

      So all this happened within a second or two? Because that's typically how long it takes for everything to go from perfectly fine to everything is fucked in a car accident.

      There is a difference between a safety system operating instantaneously and a manual transition from autonomous to manual control. The person I was responding to seemed to be describing the latter.

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    17. Re:It can't come soon enough... by OzPeter · · Score: 1

      s/manual transition/transition/

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    18. Re:It can't come soon enough... by OzPeter · · Score: 1

      I mean illegal

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    19. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do we need auto-cars, or do we just need to pay attention behind the wheel. I mean without these little screens in our hands we could. Are mobile devices really removing us away from simple awareness so much now?

    20. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A 'for the children' argument? Seriously? As opposed to spineless progressives looking for infinite 'safety' at the expense of everyone else's livelihood and liberty? You can keep your surveillance society.. Just not in my country, thanks.

      No, thank you for this comment. This "for the children" crap is so easily turned around on progressives. The more we use their bible, Saul Alinsky's "12 Rules for Radicals", against them, then the less obnoxious their arguments become. In this case we can apply:

          RULE 4: “Make the enemy live up to its own book of rules.”

    21. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      We can and have fully automated trains. For example https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SkyTrain_(Vancouver)

    22. Re:It can't come soon enough... by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 0

      Sorry for not posting a trigger warning, anonymous snowflake.

      I only mentioned my family because it's something I find important and worth protecting. Perhaps you would be more receptive if I said "protect me and my property from other drivers who would initiate force against me through their negligent behind-the-wheel behavior."

    23. Re:It can't come soon enough... by BlueMonk · · Score: 1

      It will.

    24. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, I'd take those odds any day. The road ways will still be 1000s of times safer than they are today.

    25. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Type44Q · · Score: 0

      Wow, look at all the up-modded yet technically-clueless posts from UserID's whom we've rarely (if ever) seen before; what a fucking shocker...

    26. Re:It can't come soon enough... by I4ko · · Score: 1

      So all I need is 3 old GMC vans (one in front and two on the sides) to stop you dead on the road and rob you for all you have.
      Unless the human driver cannot override the automatic slow down and stop then that system is pointless and I don't want it in my car.

      Not to mention all the pranks that some kids will do stinging cardboard across the road. All the accident avoidance systems should be easily overridden by the driver with a brief kickdown of the accelerator and audio confirmation. This is to avoid somebody panicking and pressing and holding the accelerator rather than the breaks.

      And no, this isn't "if", this is a "when" question.

    27. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      No, I was talking about any situation where Autopilot must relinquish control... including safety emergencies. Not sure why anyone would make a distinction between one or the other. Point being, not all of them can be done over a time period of minutes.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    28. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I'll believe it when I see it. Currently it is nowhere close.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    29. Re:It can't come soon enough... by I4ko · · Score: 1

      Status: There is no human.

    30. Re:It can't come soon enough... by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      So all I need is 3 old GMC vans (one in front and two on the sides) to stop you dead on the road and rob you for all you have. Unless the human driver cannot override the automatic slow down and stop then that system is pointless and I don't want it in my car.

      And this is different from the present in what way, except that the entire incident will be recorded and logged with high-resolution video showing the perpetrators?

      Not to mention all the pranks that some kids will do stinging cardboard across the road.

      And this is different from the present in what way, except that the entire incident will be recorded and logged with high-resolution video showing the perpetrators?

      All the accident avoidance systems should be easily overridden by the driver with a brief kickdown of the accelerator and audio confirmation. This is to avoid somebody panicking and pressing and holding the accelerator rather than the breaks.

      I have a feeling that the accidents, injuries and deaths caused by improperly overriding the automated systems would far outnumber those due to the automated systems themselves. Of course, that's just a feeling; the systems in question aren't completed yet, and even when they are, the idea of being "in complete control" is far more important to many drivers than actual safety.

    31. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Unless you're going to buy all road texters an automated car, they are not likely to see enough of a problem to warrant the possibly double cost of a vehicle. The economic factor is the thing that no one comprehends. People will mostly buy manual cars because they can afford them.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    32. Re:It can't come soon enough... by BlueMonk · · Score: 1

      Self-parking cars came before self-driving cars. What do you see is holding this back? Is it the lack of accurate maps? Is it the understanding unusual road signs or detours? Is it the ability to respond to unpredictable road conditions and obstructions? Is it all of the above? I take it you're not a believer in an imminent technological singularity. Neural networks have shown some remarkable abilities to learn new information without having to be specifically programmed for every outcome. Couldn't they be applied to the problems above to solve them the same way humans solve them? Do you think that will take many decades? I think if we even get close, they will have a huge advantage in that, as soon as one car learns, every car can learn the same thing because it's easier to copy and transmit technology than biology.

    33. Re:It can't come soon enough... by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yes, why are we paying attention to arguments from people who rarely post, instead of turning to the true authorities on vehicle automation: people who spend all day on Slashdot?

    34. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Do we need auto-cars, or do we just need to pay attention behind the wheel.

      Either one is fine but the latter is not going to happen in my lifetime while the former might.

    35. Re: It can't come soon enough... by theycallmeB · · Score: 1

      Given how dumb and panicky people get in any situation slightly out of the normal it will be infinitely better if the car handles the emergencies and only wakes you up for the odds and ends like your driveway. The computer can dodge around a cat better than you even if gets flummoxed by deciding to stop at the first or second drive thru window.

    36. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Neural networks have shown some remarkable abilities to learn new information without having to be specifically programmed for every outcome.

      As far as I know, this isn't quite right. NNs can deal with things they have not been explicitly programmed for because those things are implicit in what they have already learned. They're not learning anything new. Complex NNs that continuously self-modify in a successful manner haven't been demonstrated yet. Perhaps soon, though. :)

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    37. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fyngyrz · · Score: 2

      I'm not a snowflake! I'M A SPECIAL BUTTERFLY! [stomps (tiny) feet]

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    38. Re:It can't come soon enough... by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 2

      Counterpoint: The Washington DC Metro, designed as automated from the beginning, has been in manual mode the last few years because they found issues in the automation system (they discovered that the system was "blind" to a train in a specific spot when another one rammed into it as if it wasn't even there).

      Also, why has automating pre-existing train systems been next to impossible? NYC has only one automated line.

      We really should walk before we can run... I would want to see flawless full automation of most train systems before trusting it on the road.

    39. Re: It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I will never let autopilot drive me.

    40. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because that's typically how long it takes for everything to go from perfectly fine to everything is fucked in a car accident.

      Contrary to popular belief, the telephone pole did not, in fact, jump out in front of you. Nor did the vehicle to your right at the intersection suddenly accelerate 0-60 and hit you from a full stop, nor did the bus full of orphans destined to cure all cancer suddenly teleport into your lane heading straight for you.

      Mechanical failure (blowout, bridge collapse, etc) sure, that will ruin your day within a second. Maybe the truck you might have been following a little too close blew its load all over you. All of the rest were there long before you bothered to notice them, meatbag.

    41. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Ravaldy · · Score: 1

      No, I was talking about any situation where Autopilot must relinquish control... including safety emergencies. Not sure why anyone would make a distinction between one or the other. Point being, not all of them can be done over a time period of minutes.

      Most people respond poorly when their vehicle loses traction. The computer will do a much better job at recovering control because it can make 1000 decision per second where a human being can make 10. Additionally is has a lot more accurate information to work with. Most dangerous situations will simply require the auto pilot to slow down and pull over which is fine. Additionally most dangerous situations start from the driver himself such as stopping too late, following too closely, losing focus... Proof of this is vehicles equipped with simple driver assist are seeing a massive reduction in accidents. My insurance dropped from $115 a month to $82 a month going from a 2007 to 2016 of the same make, model.

    42. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Autopilot doesn't drive from door to door.

      You mean that a specific vendor's partial implementation of a self-driving car doesn't drive door to door. Yeah, sure. But that's not what we're talking about, is it? We're talking about self-driving cars that *will be* developed.

    43. Re:It can't come soon enough... by SirSlud · · Score: 1

      > So all I need is 3 old GMC vans (one in front and two on the sides) to stop you dead on the road and rob you for all you have.

      I'm laughing at you right now.

      --
      "Old man yells at systemd"
    44. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 0

      A self driving car is driving down a road in slippery conditions and an object appears in the road moving from right to left out from between two parked cars. If it is a child's toy such as a ball, a human would anticipate a child running after it and therefore slow down and wait for the child. In a microsecond, a human might look for queues from the yard that the ball came from, such as another child with a baseball mitt. AI will lack this reasoning, so if they cannot see a child they won't anticipate one running into the street. Until AI can understand all objects that might appear in the road and what they might mean, it will be weak at driving. It will have to stop for everything, drive slowly for everything, and be terrible at coexisting with humans in the road. Another difficult circumstance is being able to navigate a road in winter that is full of snow clearing equipment moving independent to the general flow of traffic. It will be a long time before AI can pick an alternative path down the road that anticipates the thinking of the humans driving the equipment and other drivers of vehicles as well and successfully navigates around the equipment, other cars, and piles of snow on a path that is not the straight through one that it had set for it.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    45. Re: It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      If that cat were a ball bouncing out from between parked cars, will it be able to anticipate that its scanners might not be picking up the child running between two parked cars after the ball?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    46. Re:It can't come soon enough... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Attentive autopilot and inattentive human is a great improvement over what we have now: frequently inattentive humans with no backup at all.

      While I do agree with you, I would like to point out that the industry has already agreed to implement automatic emergency braking, which I think is going to [help] prevent most of the most serious accidents caused by inattentive humans. Even for people who don't deliberately get an automated vehicle, automation features are coming to help protect everyone else.

      --
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    47. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      blew its load all over you.

      Phrasing!

    48. Re:It can't come soon enough... by ranton · · Score: 1

      You mention a whole lot of things where human intuition is compensating for a brain which is incapable of paying attention to all inputs at the same time. But we aren't talking about such a limited processing device when discussing automated cars.

      An automated car doesn't need to know a bouncing ball on the street means it should be looking out for children. It is always looking out for children, unlike its human counterpart.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    49. Re:It can't come soon enough... by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      Ding ding ding.

      And besides, even back in the days before mobile phones -- okay, I know many readers here don't believe there was ever such a time, so let's say "back in the days before LTE/4G" -- there were still plenty of deaths caused by drivers who were drunk, or dozing off, or reaching over to "turn the dial" on the "radio".

      It's not natural for a human to pay undivided attention to a single task for an extended period, unless that task is directed at an immediate critical need or desire. Even if the task is directed at an immediate critical need or desire (like "not dying in a fiery crash"), it's natural for a human mind to habituate to the stress/motivation, and as a result to become less attentive.

      A human is a terrible agent for controlling a high-energy, life-critical process in real time. If you need an adrenaline fix, go bungee-jumping, or take a strut through the bad part of town late at night. Don't make me and mine into NPCs in your GTA LARP.

    50. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      The point is that an automated car will only be able to make decisions based on what its sensors can pick up. If there is a child running out on the road that is obscured from sensors, a human will see the ball, see others on the yard in horror and shock and be able to intuit what is about to happen. In slippery situations, the two extra seconds will mean the difference between stopping in time and not stopping in time.

      Speaking of slippery situations.. what stopping distance will an AI car calculate to be adequate? It will be able to know how slippery it is and what its stopping time will be, how will the balance be determined between traveling at a decent speed and not stopping? When you are human, you just try as best you can to stay close to the speed limit and hope you stop on time. If I walk out 20 feet in front of an AI car and it cannot stop due to ice I should be able to sue the automaker because that car is capable of using its sensors to determine that it wasn't able to stop.. on the other hand, automated cars obviously won't be able to drive 20mph at all times if slippery. Do they just drive the speed limit if slippery and deal as best as they can with limited steering and stopping?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    51. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      A self driving car is driving down a road in slippery conditions and an object appears in the road moving from right to left out from between two parked cars. If it is a child's toy such as a ball, a human would anticipate a child running after it and therefore slow down and wait for the child. In a microsecond, a human might look for queues from the yard that the ball came from, such as another child with a baseball mitt. AI will lack this reasoning, so if they cannot see a child they won't anticipate one running into the street. Until AI can understand all objects that might appear in the road and what they might mean, it will be weak at driving

      Let's get Lee Sedol's take on this.

    52. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Go is a computationally deep game defined by a simple set of rules. It is exactly opposite to the task of driving, which is not computationally significant but has an almost infinite number of rules.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    53. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      At the end of the day, the only rules are "Don't hit anything. If you have to hit something, don't hit people." Combined with recent advances in machine vision, the ML techniques used to solve one of these problems are similar to those that will be effective at attacking the other.

      The burden of proof is decisively on anyone who claims that this isn't the case. Disagree? Get used to being proved wrong, over and over.

    54. Re:It can't come soon enough... by ranton · · Score: 1

      If there is a child running out on the road that is obscured from sensors, a human will see the ball, see others on the yard in horror and shock and be able to intuit what is about to happen.

      Or in a more realistic scenario, the human is driving 35 mph in a residential area and still can't stop in time for the child, and the automated car is obeying the speed limit and can stop. But I will certainly grant you there will be times when an automated car kills someone when a human would not. The important thing is whether more or less people in total are killed by automated cars when compared to human drivers.

      Your second scenario is exactly why we need legislatures to start deciding these rules now. Your question is essentially how dangerous will we allow these cars to drive. Your ability to sue, or more accurately your ability to win a lawsuit, will depend on the early legislation and case law. Most likely insurance companies will end up covering car companies in the same way they cover individual drivers now. You won't have to sue them, they will just pay you for medical bills, pain and suffering like they would today for a human driver.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    55. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Mishra100 · · Score: 1

      You are looking for perfection in a perfect world. But the thing is that humans are making horribly bad decisions that a computer just wouldn't make. Humans KNOW it's dangerous to drive across traffic to get the exit they missed but they do it anyways. A computer would not.

      This will be phenomenally safer regardless if the computer may not be quite as good as the best driver on earth.

    56. Re: It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Runway friction index measurements are performed by vehicles with accelerometers driving on the runway and braking. By your first stop sign your vehicle will have a much more precise measurement of friction then you can ever have. If cars are networked than they can all know the precise friction of all road segments simultaneously.

    57. Re:It can't come soon enough... by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      So the lowest bidder can't get the software right?

    58. Re: It can't come soon enough... by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      Yes. Jesus. You come up with the most contrived scenarios that are easy for computers to solve and difficult for humans. Any sensor running at a few MHz is better than a human checking cell phone or speedometer every 0.1Hz.

      Yes. The answer to almost any stupid question you're going to have is yes. A computer can do that.

    59. Re: It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By that token, a computer must be better at painting, or composing a song, or caring for children simply because it processes data faster.

    60. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      No I'm not looking for perfection. I'm really just looking for corporations to not make products that are known to have weaknesses that kill people. It will be a generation before there is enough adoption to make a statistical difference, let's not rush this stuff out and kill people today for the sake of something that might not even happen.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    61. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Automated cars need to not create more problems, period. There is no guarantee there will ever be enough adoption of personal automated vehicles to make a difference, so lets not kill people now. Full adoption doesn't work financially, not until we move to a different type of economy.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    62. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Fine, then if that's not the case let's immediately limit every automated vehicle to 20 MPH so they can't kill anyone. Let's cover them with reflectors and lights and warning sirens so everyone knows they are coming, and call it a day.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    63. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      They don't have to be perfect. They just have to kill fewer than 30,000 people a year.

    64. Re:It can't come soon enough... by zlives · · Score: 1

      one issue that i have with this logic,
      lets say that i am a better than average driver and have successfully NOT killed anyone in my life while driving a vehicle. Now lets say an AV that i am a passenger in (probably own) kills a child. who is responsible for my psychological trauma when in my estimation i would have been able to prevent the death had I been in control.

    65. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Would you say that of a human being? Fred doesn't need to be perfect, he just needs to not kill anyone. Why does automation get a pass?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    66. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      Again, I'm afraid you're facing a future in which your worldview does not prevail. The question you should be asking is, "Why do human drivers get a pass?"

    67. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Because there are only human drivers. Unless you are reading a eutopic sci fi novel, only a small percentage of the population will benefit from automation.. those that have wealth. Automation will never be available to you or I, so it will never make a difference. Not unless we move past capitalism.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    68. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      Oooookey-dokey, then.

    69. Re:It can't come soon enough... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Do you really think automation will be available in vehicles around the price level of $20K, which is the top end of what a lot of families can afford?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    70. Re:It can't come soon enough... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The problem is that there is often only a second or two for this to all happen, and sometimes the autopilot doesn't even notice.

      Have a look at this video from a Tesla on autopilot: https://youtu.be/xoSNw_n1Xgk

      It simply doesn't see the truck, doesn't slow down or avoid, just slams right into the back at full speed. Driver was obviously not paying attention, and died as a result.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    71. Re:It can't come soon enough... by mjwx · · Score: 1

      ...to save me and my family from all the "excellent drivers" who are busy on their phones while speeding down the freeway. Some of them, no doubt, posting diatribes about Big Government taking away their right to maintain complete and perfect control over their vehicle's performance.

      Why do you think that people wont have the option to manually control autonomous cars? Even more so, why do you think they'll be forced by regulation?

      The insurance industry will oppose it, motoring enthusiasts will oppose it. Average people will oppose it because the autonomous car will not speed or cut people off.

      Plus the govt wont want to miss all that lovely tax and fine revenue. Manually controlled cars will be with us for decades... or centuries to come..

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    72. Re:It can't come soon enough... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is the Logan world finally! Though overall it was all uninhabited, a desert and only a few nodes had people.

    73. Re:It can't come soon enough... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The problem is that there is often only a second or two for this to all happen, and sometimes the autopilot doesn't even notice.

      By the time we get up to class 4 or 5 AV, to use the new parlance, it's going to have enough sensors to handle that situation and many more. The Tesla is only sold as and intended to be a class 3 AV. The driver failed in his responsibility. But you won't be able to buy a class 4 or 5 AV until the systems are ready for the human to be a failure.

      It simply doesn't see the truck, doesn't slow down or avoid, just slams right into the back at full speed. Driver was obviously not paying attention, and died as a result.

      That's a damned shame. It's not like I can afford a Tesla at the moment anyway, but that sort of thing is why I don't particularly care.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  2. DOT? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  3. Self-driving cars will never happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe in the distant future, but definitely not within 5-10 years.

    1. Re:Self-driving cars will never happen by fluffernutter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm anticipating that all these automated car makers will start to complain about steep regulations, such as having to avoid children and animals running into the road and having to keep to a common reasonable driving speed.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    2. Re: Self-driving cars will never happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So they will never happen except maybe in the future ? Thanks for your insights !

    3. Re:Self-driving cars will never happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For what possible reason should self driving cars avoid hitting animals? There aren't even laws that require humans to avoid animals.

    4. Re:Self-driving cars will never happen by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Because people avoid hitting animals. We get flocks of geese meandering across streets where we live; an automated car shouldn't just plow through them.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    5. Re:Self-driving cars will never happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Make way for ducklings... Yes, it would be good to have some image recognition to not squish the cute fuzzy animals. But people don't always stop in time either.

      Squirrels... maybe not so much. Anything larger than a squirrel and the car is going to avoid because it could actually cause damage in a collision.

  4. Excellent! by H3lldr0p · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This is one of the things needed to get this technology legal and on the road. And better, one of the government agencies in charge of seeing this happen has outlined a plan to get it to happen. Not just in terms of what the manufactures need to get done on their end to be legal but also an outline of the regulatory apparatus required to ensure the safety of everyone!

    I call this a win on just about every level.

    1. Re:Excellent! by goose-incarnated · · Score: 2

      This is one of the things needed to get this technology legal and on the road.

      Before getting this technology legal and on the road, perhaps we should focus on getting this technology? For the last five years I've been hearing that "Self-driving cars are here already", but sadly they aren't.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    2. Re:Excellent! by bigpat · · Score: 1

      This is one of the things needed to get this technology legal and on the road.

      Before getting this technology legal and on the road, perhaps we should focus on getting this technology? For the last five years I've been hearing that "Self-driving cars are here already", but sadly they aren't.

      Okay now they are here.

    3. Re:Excellent! by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      I'm waiting for the autonomous trucks, so they can drive 50-55 mph in the right lane with proper spacing, instead of 90 mph 10 feet from the vehicle in front of them.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    4. Re:Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Naivety or astroturf? hmmm..

    5. Re:Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we did not have cellphones, texting, and other (completely preventable) 'distractions' would you (or any of us?) be as interested in self-driving cars?
      I grew up when driving a car was supposed to be a thrill, a responsibility, and the entry to a bigger world. Now apparently it's a burden for people to even leave their apartments, let alone drive with their eyes away from a screen. Do we need such cars? Or do we need to pay more attention whilst driving? Honest question.

    6. Re:Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Where do you live that the trucks drive 90 mph? I want to move there right now! Where I live they always drive 50-55 mph, in a 75mph zone, and they're blocking all the lanes so nobody can go any faster.

    7. Re:Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If that actually happens, expect shipping costs on all products to double. The reason business actors drive like that is because there is a market demand that pays for it. Next time select economy shipping or you are causing the problem.

    8. Re:Excellent! by goose-incarnated · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is one of the things needed to get this technology legal and on the road.

      Before getting this technology legal and on the road, perhaps we should focus on getting this technology? For the last five years I've been hearing that "Self-driving cars are here already", but sadly they aren't.

      Okay now they are here.

      Where? I see driver-assist cars, but no self-driving cars. Even Tesla (and many of slashdot regulars) point out that "autopilot" doesn't mean that the car can drive itself.

      We've had the hardware to do self-driving cars for about 20 years now, and for the same amount of time very little progress was made on the software. We still don't have software that can drive a car in anything but perfect conditions, and even in perfect conditions they aren't able to do better than humans in perfect conditions.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    9. Re:Excellent! by bigpat · · Score: 2

      This is one of the things needed to get this technology legal and on the road.

      Before getting this technology legal and on the road, perhaps we should focus on getting this technology? For the last five years I've been hearing that "Self-driving cars are here already", but sadly they aren't.

      Okay now they are here.

      Where? I see driver-assist cars, but no self-driving cars.

      You mean available to purchase by consumers? Okay, not yet. But Uber is rolling out commercial service using self driving cars right now and multiple companies apparently have fully autonomous vehicles on the public roads now. And acedemic/research teams have had fully self driving cars for at least ten years.

      At least the Uber example has to be considered as commercial availability since this is one of the ways companies will offer self driving cars to the public, on a per trip basis. They are here.

    10. Re:Excellent! by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      Double? That's easily proven false. Will it increase? Only for those products that require long haul trucking. That's a good thing in my book.

      And there's no market demand, it's more the realities of truck driving - due to regulations there's 10 driving hours a day, you get paid by the mile. Hmmm.... 50*10 = 500 * $. 90 * 10 = 900 * $. Seems like the only market demand is how truckers get paid, and that could easily be fixed by another regulation - pay by the hour. And when I select faster delivery, it's by air, so no long haul trucking is involved.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    11. Re:Excellent! by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      Where do you live that the trucks drive 90 mph? I want to move there right now!

      Try about 90% of the 48 contiguous states in the US. Yes, I've driven through just about all of them at this point, and trucks go exceedingly fast when you consider they are up to 80 tons of mass moving at those speeds and have stopping distances more than double the ability of even crappy cars.

      Where I live they always drive 50-55 mph, in a 75mph zone, and they're blocking all the lanes so nobody can go any faster.

      The other requirement is that they stay in the right lane, with proper spacing. Drive in Europe sometime, it's a major improvement in driving quality when the roads are moving.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    12. Re:Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I grew up when driving a car was supposed to be a thrill, a responsibility, and the entry to a bigger world.

      Yes, good marketing does that to you.

      In reality most people just drive the same road to work every day and the only time it is a thrill is when someone fucks up so badly that it becomes dangerous.
      As for being an entry to a bigger world I don't see why a self driving car wouldn't be.

    13. Re:Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The discussion is not about what is available now, but rather what will become available. I find it easy to envision a world with fully-automated cars. It may be 20 years in the future. Maybe sooner, maybe later, but it will happen. I think its admirable that DOT learned from the mistakes made at FAA ala drones and started the discussion.

    14. Re: Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Autonomous trucks = the worst depression this country will ever know.

    15. Re:Excellent! by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      This is one of the things needed to get this technology legal and on the road.

      Before getting this technology legal and on the road, perhaps we should focus on getting this technology? For the last five years I've been hearing that "Self-driving cars are here already", but sadly they aren't.

      Okay now they are here.

      Where? I see driver-assist cars, but no self-driving cars.

      You mean available to purchase by consumers?

      No, I meant "available at all".

      Okay, not yet. But Uber is rolling out commercial service using self driving cars right now

      No, they aren't - there's a human in the drivers seat.

      and multiple companies apparently have fully autonomous vehicles on the public roads now.

      Wrong again - no company has demonstrated a self-driving car in anything other than perfect conditions.

      And acedemic/research teams have had fully self driving cars for at least ten years.

      Yeah, right - and these decade-old technology is soooo undesirable that neither Uber, nor Tesla, nor Lyft offered them money for it, right? It's just sitting there, in the university

      At least the Uber example has to be considered as commercial availability since this is one of the ways companies will offer self driving cars to the public, on a per trip basis. They are here.

      No, they are not. Word of their imminent arrival is here. Look around - all self-driving cars need a driver in the seat. Academia has been working on this problem since at least the 90's, and they have yet to make progress. They've got a whole bunch of new sensors, but they still don't have the software ready yet.

      The problem is that software is deceptive in it's complexity. Hardware is simple to gauge complexity. A hardware system that is 90% of the way there is easy to look at and figure out an ETA. A software system can't even be measured to see if it is 90% there.

      For at least the last 20 years self-driving software systems were "90% there". That last 10% might just be impossible, or hard, or easy, but you can't tell, especially if you're using a neural network ('cos that is opaque even to the developers). The state of self-driving cars has not changed in the last 10 years. The announcements have.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    16. Re:Excellent! by bigpat · · Score: 1

      A few of your points are somewhat absurd. Having an observer in the car is irrelevant to whether the car is actually driving autonomously or not... if the car is driving from point A to point B without a human actually driving then it is autonomous. Having someone ready to take over if the car fails is a precaution. From everything I have read the Uber cars are autonomous. So are the Google cars and there are some articles about other companies testing cars on city streets around the world.

      And this whole "perfect" conditions idea makes no sense. When are road conditions ever perfect? You mean sunny California? Still these are public roads and not closed tracks we are talking about. These vehicles are being driven for hundreds of thousands of miles on a variety of roads and a variety of conditions.

      Heck, if I recall, the DARPA grand challenge was partially on a dirt road and that was ten years ago.

    17. Re:Excellent! by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Correction.. Uber has TWO drivers, but soon they hope to cut back to one.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    18. Re:Excellent! by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      It's a nice thought that everyone will be able to afford one but it will never happen.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    19. Re:Excellent! by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      A few of your points are somewhat absurd. Having an observer in the car is irrelevant to whether the car is actually driving autonomously or not...

      Those aren't observers, as you point out below...

      Having someone ready to take over if the car fails is a precaution.

      You are quite right - those drivers are precautions. This makes SDCs look even worse, because, as you pointed out in your previous response, we've had that for at least a decade. For a decade (or longer) we've had self-driving cars with precautionary drivers. What is happening now with Uber and the rest is, as you pointed out NOTHING NEW!

      These vehicles are being driven for hundreds of thousands of miles on a variety of roads and a variety of conditions.

      No, they aren't. They are being driven hundreds of thousands of miles on well-demarcated roads with occasional input from the precautionary driver.

      Heck, if I recall, the DARPA grand challenge was partially on a dirt road and that was ten years ago.

      That is exactly my point - there has been very little, if any, progress on self-driving cars in the last decade. If the best that can be done now is what Tesla offers, you are correct in noting that we've had this for over a decade. I'm simply noting the lack of progress. Remember Uber's press release - "The engineer in the drivers seat will remain there for the foreseeable future.".

      Once again I must point out that software is deceptive in estimating. For common business-logic software which has had some 40 years of refinements, we still adhere to "the first 90% of the project takes 90% of the time, the other 10% takes another 90% of the time". This is for well-understood and previously built software!. Imagine what it is like for the stuff that has never succeeded before. You'll never know how far you are from the end.

      With software, just because you implemented 9 out of 10 requirements does not mean that the last requirement is at all possible. Your last requirement might just be intractable, moreso if you're going the neural net path (hehe) as there is a lot more unknowns no matter what you trained the net on.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    20. Re:Excellent! by ranton · · Score: 1

      Before getting this technology legal and on the road, perhaps we should focus on getting this technology?

      Publicly letting the industry know regulators are interested in helping make automated vehicles a reality is a very important early step in lowering the risk involved in investing in this technology. Major car companies and other investors will probably now be more willing to invest money in technologies which support automated vehicles becoming a reality.

      Every investor's risk matrix just had one box move from red to yellow.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    21. Re:Excellent! by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You are quite right - those drivers are precautions. This makes SDCs look even worse, because, as you pointed out in your previous response, we've had that for at least a decade. For a decade (or longer) we've had self-driving cars with precautionary drivers. What is happening now with Uber and the rest is, as you pointed out NOTHING NEW!

      We've had it since the 90s, actually. Cross-country trips, 98% autonomous with neural networks.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    22. Re:Excellent! by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

      Must not be I-294 posted 55-70 real limit seems to be 70-75 for 55-65 zones and 7?-8? for 70 zones?

    23. Re: Excellent! by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      It's coming whether we like it or not, along with a whole slew of other automation. Pretty soon having a menial job will be rare. Pretty soon being well within someone being born today's lifetime. It will be interesting times as we observe how the economists and strategists deal with an ever increasing supply of available people for an ever shrinking need any people to actually do any work. That futuristic utopia of plenty appears to be heading our way, except it's not very futuristic nor much of a utopia, and plenty only for the elite.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    24. Re: Excellent! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have seen some car adds. Prime example of brainwash. Think about it. Why would driving be so divine experience. Compare it for a walk in a park or woods.

  5. Insanity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's insane even considering implementing beta technology when people's actual lives are at stake. I weep for my country and its rampant greed.

    1. Re:Insanity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's insane to prepare for a technology that by all indications is on the way and will be here soon?
      What, you want them to wait until everyone is already driving these things before they think about how to regulate them?

    2. Re:Insanity by b0bby · · Score: 1

      Are you talking about the 38,000 lives which are lost every year in car crashes? I think we'd have been way ahead of the game if we had taken half of the money we have poured into the TSA since 9/11 and used it to push this technology. We would have saved way more lives than the TSA will ever hope to.

    3. Re:Insanity by pscottdv · · Score: 2

      So you want the government to invest in a technology that will *both* save huge numbers of lives *and* massively increase convenience? That seems antithetical to what government does.

      --

      this signature has been removed due to a DMCA takedown notice

    4. Re:Insanity by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I'm getting tired of these kinds of arguments.. Please explain how those 38,000 people would afford an automated car even if they were real.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    5. Re:Insanity by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      implementing beta technology when people's actual lives are at stake.

      It's the American spirit to take some proverbial arrows in the back* for progress.

      Further, this has the potential to reduce accident rates down the road (pun partially intended).

      We sacrifice for the future by taking some risk up front for better safety later on. It's an investment in infrastructure.

      * I suppose that saying is not PC

    6. Re:Insanity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's insane even considering implementing beta technology when people's actual lives are at stake. I weep for my country and its rampant greed.

      It happens every now and then. For example when people are dying because the system isn't in place.
      It was pretty common during WW2. Every minute you waited for a new weapon to get out on the field more of your people died. At a situation like that you don't really care if the prototype isn't perfect, the sooner it gets finished the more lives are saved in the end.

      If you want to make sure that self driving cars doesn't hit the roads until they are safe you have to make sure that manually driven cars stop killing people.

    7. Re:Insanity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Besides, every time a 17 year old gets in a car, we are experiencing beta technology.

    8. Re:Insanity by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      And now, because I've been running my mouth elsewhere in the thread, I can't apply mod points where they're so richly deserved.

    9. Re:Insanity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is 570,000 dead since 9/11 vs ~3500 in the terrorist attack. And then a few thousand dead and injured in the undeclared "war".

      And if they act like personal shuttles or ride share cars, it can easily be cheap enough to be much less than a normal car payment for a ride.

      It is the handling of cargo that I think needs to be addressed before they can become widely used as someone's only form of transport.

    10. Re:Insanity by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      People have couriers now, and taxi's now. The only difference is no driver. I don't think they will easily be cheap AT ALL. If you think Uber and every other self driving company won't jack up prices the instant there are no taxis to compete with you don't understand how capitalism works at all.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    11. Re:Insanity by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Besides, every time a 17 year old gets in a car, we are experiencing beta technology.

      If female, her nickname is "Beta Betty"

    12. Re:Insanity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup

  6. Re:It depends by vikingpower · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    We had such a socialist revolution. In 1917, in Russia. Ah, Cuba and North Korea had those, too. Do you like the results ?

    --
    Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
  7. What nobody seems to consider by vikingpower · · Score: 1

    but what is evident from the ThinkStock-like illustration that goes with Barack Obama's article: this is going to greatly favour Uber, a company to be abhorred for its greed, stupidity and lack of ethics.

    --
    Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    1. Re:What nobody seems to consider by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      I see no illustration with that article. How does this policy favour Uber over other ride-sharing companies, car rental companies, or privately owned autonomous vehicles?

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    2. Re: What nobody seems to consider by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't favor Uber. Just the opposite. Uber is toast once automated vehicles are here. Does anyone seriously think Uber can compete with Google? Apple? Tesla? Microsoft?

      The space got crowded quickly and I bet heavily that any of those companies can and will eat Uber's lunch.

    3. Re:What nobody seems to consider by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, sure, Uber is stupid. Slashdot is filled with idiots.

    4. Re:What nobody seems to consider by vikingpower · · Score: 1
      --
      Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
  8. Do you not see what is happening? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is the beginning of the end of private vehicle ownership. That is why the corporate controlled totalitarian communist government wants federal control. Central planning at its best.

    1. Re: Do you not see what is happening? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, I see it. In America, vehicle ownership is the epitome of freedom. Being able to go when you want, where you want.

      This is the first issue I've ever contacted my congresswoman about and it's nice to see my pleas have evidently been ignored.

    2. Re:Do you not see what is happening? by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      Is your horse broken?

    3. Re: Do you not see what is happening? by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      You don't get to drive where you want, when you want, if you're drunk or stoned.

      You don't get to drive where you want, when you want, if you have a history of vehicular violence (although one fault of our current system is that habitual offenders still physically can get in a vehicle and kill again even after you've taken their license and their car).

      You don't get to drive where you want, when you want, if what you want is to travel from California to Washington, D.C. in 24 hours (which would entail an average speed of 125mph/200kph), even though we all know you're an expert driver who can safely handle speeds far beyond the limits posted by short-sighted legislators and local revenue-seekers.

      Your freedom to swing your fist stops at my nose. Your freedom to swing a 3000-pound vehicle should also be subject to reasonable limits.

    4. Re:Do you not see what is happening? by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      What will prevent people from just owning manual cars like they do today?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    5. Re: Do you not see what is happening? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not being a lamentable burden on society, yes I absolutely do have the freedom to drive when and where I want. I also don't find myself maimed or dead already as a result of such people, despite the lack of self-driving cars. Thirty years and counting. Double that for my parents and uncles. Triple for my grandparents.

      You seem to think everyone is an irresponsible asshat. Maybe where you live. Maybe you should move.
      Then again, if you're like those around you, stay there please.

      Hint: nobody wants to behave, in real life, the way they do in a grand theft auto game.

      an average speed of 125mph/200kph ... swing a 3000-pound vehicle

      Fucking PLEASE. Who in their right might would want to? Exactly how much lead is in your water supply?

    6. Re: Do you not see what is happening? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      right mind*

    7. Re:Do you not see what is happening? by I4ko · · Score: 1

      I still have a bicycle and a pair of strong legs.

    8. Re:Do you not see what is happening? by Alypius · · Score: 1
    9. Re:Do you not see what is happening? by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Don't see how that could happen. They could do that now and only allow taxis and buses and other specially trained drivers on freeways. If it hasn't happened already it probably won't.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  9. I'm quite nervous for connected-cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can't get an update on my 1 year old phone and now we want to have self-driving cars that have network connectivity... any chance we can get an openness requirement or a supported software lifespan requirement?

    Btw, this is might be the right actually doc for this -http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Automated_Vehicles_Policy.pdf

  10. Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by mitgib · · Score: 2

    How many jobs will automated cars eliminate? Cabs and couriers are my first thought, large trucks provide millions of entry level jobs. I know automation will come one day, but are we just making more poor people.

    --
    Being a spelling & grammar Nazi is a sign you do not poses the intelligence to contribute to the conversation
    1. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's not just about jobs. Who will be able to afford the new cars? I consider myself lower-middle-class, and I drive a 1994 Dodge Dakota.

    2. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I know automation will come one day, but are we just making more poor people.

      You're right! We should ban job-destroying things like this. And the cotton gin. Combine harvester. Railroads (do you even grasp how many teamster jobs were lost to the railroads??). Steamships. Fore-and-Aft-rigged sailing ships.

      All of those things cost jobs! Thousands to millions of them each! So we should roll things back to 1600's technology, and we wouldn't have so many poor, unemployed people!

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    3. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I keep bringing this up... Manual cars will always be cheaper and therefore more popular. Automated driving will replace taxi companies but will be just as expensive, and it will be a fancy for the wealthy.

    4. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I keep bringing this up... Manual cars will always be cheaper and therefore more popular. Automated driving will replace taxi companies but will be just as expensive, and it will be a fancy for the wealthy.

      ...for a while.

    5. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by wbr1 · · Score: 1

      Fully automated cars will potentially reduce or remove the need for individual vehicle ownership. Many more people could share a car, or send it out to 'uber' for them and make them money. These vehicles could then be used by those who cannot afford a car or are otherwise disadvantage to transit to employment, appointments, etc.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    6. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by misexistentialist · · Score: 2

      Should be easier to live in their cars by programming them not to stay parked in one place at night.

    7. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Many more people could share a car, or send it out to 'uber' for them and make them money.

      Just like the highly lucrative business of owning a timeshare!

      These vehicles could then be used by those who cannot afford a car or are otherwise disadvantage to transit to employment, appointments, etc.

      How will the cost compare to bus fare? Will they even be available in areas that lack public transit now?

    8. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      It's a matter of rate.

      Eliminating jobs slowly makes us richer because prices can't perfectly match inflation. Costs change unevenly between products, and inflation is hard to know; there's universal competition (Ugg boots versus iPhones: can you afford both? Which will make you fit in with the cool kids best?); and, to be historically reductionist, that's the way it's always worked largely because it's mathematically impossible for it to work any other way (how do you think we manage to buy more than just food and loincloths?). This is a continuous process, occurring constantly as we find ways to reduce costs: the only cost is labor.

      Because prices don't keep with inflation, we end up with more buying power. The median family has gone from spending 43% of its income on food (1900) to 30% (1950) to 11% (today), and now buys highly-engineered cars (anti-lock brakes, satellite radio, crumple zones, complex suspensions), cell phones, and high-speed internet as well as food. A cell phone in 1983 cost $4,000, and cell phone service was available for $50/week plus 42 cents per minute calling--in today's dollars, that's over $9,000 for the phone and $550/month to make 2 hours per week of voice calls (under 500 minutes--$9 on Ting). Most goods see an increase in price such that something costing $400 in 1983 will cost less than $900 today--meaning you started with $1,000 and spent $400 (40%), and now you have $2,250 and spend $600 (27%), and there's this $300 out of nowhere (16%) that you spend on other stuff.

      ... money is complex because you get more of it, and you get more stuff being bought with it, and those aren't tied in lock-step. 10% more stuff and 20% more money is inflation; and all that stuff might not all take exactly 10% less labor (thus relative cost) to make, so the prices aren't all relatively the same.

      So recovery from lost jobs takes time, meaning if you kill off jobs rapidly--by wealth-creating technical progress--you get an economic crisis of high unemployment. This is bad, as you've noticed. It not only creates tons of poor people all at once, but also strains the economy such that recovering new jobs is hard (jobs come from consumer spending: you have more buying power; you buy more things; someone has to make, ship, and retail those things. Wealth comes from getting more things per each of those someones, thus you pay less into their wages for each thing you buy).

      Here's the problem: what if technology matures, but regulation doesn't?

      Say we let all these self-driving cars, delivery drones, and whatnot reach a robust, mature state, capable of replacing tens of millions of American jobs. Meanwhile, Congress doesn't get around to telling us we can actually replace those tens of millions of jobs, so we're just hanging onto the tech. A few hundred thousand warehouse jobs get shifted out, but that's it.

      Then: Congress tells us to go wild.

      Instead of replacing 25 million jobs over 10 years, we replace 25 million jobs over 4 months.

      That's suddenly an extra 14.6% unemployment (20% unemployment total), and a drop in demand because these people suddenly aren't consumers. Eventually we settle on 30%-35% total unemployment. Recovery is slow in coming.

      If we get this up-front, it's only 1.5% unemployment generated per year. Initially, the new tech is kind of expensive, which isn't ideal (Marx thinks it is), but does mean you're replacing 10 jobs with 8 jobs at first (all those machinists and such), so that 1.5% unemployment is really more like 0.25% unemployment in year 1, reflected as like 70% unemployment in the pizza delivery driver industry (sorry, that's progress). On the other hand, pizza costs like $4 less, so we can all order 5% more pizzas, meaning pizza parlors hire more staff, filling some of the difference.

      So you eliminate 1.5% of jobs and create 1.25%, ending in 0.25% down. Then you eliminate 1.5% more and create 1.4%, ending in 0.35% down. Somewhere in the middle, you've gotten

    9. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by ThosLives · · Score: 2

      All those previous things you mentioned were technologies that greatly increased productivity - that is, they produced greatly more output with less input, so they had a significant effect of reducing cost of pretty much everything. This meant the temporary effects of job transitions were not as harsh, because there was an environment of increased standard of living.

      We aren't in a world like that any more - technology is not passing the results of increased productivity on to higher standards of living at the same rate to the people whose jobs got displaced* so the transient effect of disruptive technology is going to be more severe.

      *This is important - yes, people in "third world" countries are having their standards of living increased rapidly, but this is now at the expense of standard of living of people in the highly-developed nations. We just got out of a strange century or so where people were gaining standard of living without reducing others' standards of living.

      The potential for productivity increases for automated personal transport is low - we are so far along the curve of diminishing returns that it is costing society significant amounts for small gains in this industry, and when it comes to automotive safety, we are actually now probably spending more as a society (at least in the US) to eliminate one accident than that accident itself - even a fatal one - would cost society in terms of productivity.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    10. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If people want to share a car, why don't they do it now? Oh yeah because you're screwed if someone else gets in an accident with a vehicle you have owned and insured. Unless insurance and liability laws change, sharing a vehicle will be as stupid then as it is now.

    11. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      So people who can't afford food and shelter for their families are richer? Who knew??

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    12. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      The commercial implications of automation will also increase productivity in terms of the ability to operate trucks more consistently and more safely than human drivers.

      And for personal transport, fully automated vehicles allows for significant safety and eventually efficiency and traffic flow improvements.

      Is it as revolutionary as the automobile itself? Perhaps not. But depending on how it is implemented and applied, it could certainly have value.

      Nevertheless, I agree about the job situation. We're removing jobs and we need to be able to either employ those people gainfully, or otherwise deal with them being on the dole. I'm not sure that I would stop implementation of the technology for that, but I would focus efforts on dealing with the workforce impacts.

    13. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      If it is a choice between sharing an automated car or having a manual one in my driveway, I'll keep my manual car thanks. My wife and I have the stuff we want in our car, my kids have the stuff they want, it's our space. Not interested in taking someone else's car wherever I go.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    14. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Because prices don't keep with inflation, we end up with more buying power. The median family has gone from spending 43% of its income on food (1900) to 30% (1950) to 11% (today), and now buys highly-engineered cars (anti-lock brakes, satellite radio, crumple zones, complex suspensions), cell phones, and high-speed internet as well as food.

      Yes, but the largest economic factors for the little guys are worse:

      o Housing costs - far beyond anything even remotely rational
      o Schooling costs - rising way faster than income
      o Medical costs - rising way faster of income
      o Savings - savings ability is moving away from lower incomes
      o Investment opportunities moving away from lower incomes (ex, savings interest, if anyone had savings anymore)

      It is because of those things, and others like them, that the big picture isn't at all what you suggest it is. Some sectors, almost entirely those that are pivoting on the fulcrum of advancing computer technology, leave us way ahead. They're nice to have. Smartphones, computers in the home and office and the like. But overall, the suck is sucking harder, people are highly stressed (and I would argue, more stressed), and things are going downhill quite steadily at this point in time.

      Incoming LDNLS systems are already making significant inroads on jobs; that's only going to accelerate. The sky is basically falling, and as far as I can tell, the government is likely already too far behind the curve to stave off some serious social uproar.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    15. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      To a degree, yes. At this point, food is easier to afford in, say, 1950, 1860, or 1790. People who can't afford food and shelter for their families can sort of get by on whatever they can scrape together from digging out scrap or begging; and society, at large, has a wide margin allowing it to provide food and shelter without collapsing the economy (an impossible task before the Industrial Revolution).

      Circa 2013, the amount of money in play for public policy to flatly end homelessness and hunger in the United States fell stably below the current cost of our major welfare services--meaning it's possible to transition to a zero-homelessness, zero-hunger economy *right* *now*. Circa 1950, you'd have to levy an additional 35% income tax on EVERYONE (including the poor) to make the attempt--and would probably find your economy non-functional. Also, up to the mid-1980s, the top tax bracket was 91%, so an additional 35% on the highest incomes was actually impossible. (The cost of welfare--including Social Security retirement and old-age pensions--in 1950 was 1.28% of all taxable income, so we're talking about a welfare system that would have cost 27 times as much.)

    16. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      You should visit Africa, or a place where people actually die of starvation on the streets. Sounds like you might like it.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    17. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Housing costs - far beyond anything even remotely rational

      Housing is kind of annoying. We actually buy bigger houses now than in prior years, and spend more. In 2010, the average new single-family home was 2,300sqft, and the average housing expense was 33%; whereas in 1950, the average home was 983sqft, and housing expense was 28%. About half of that is actually rent or mortgage in both cases. That means housing in 2010 cost about half as much per square foot as housing in 1950, and we bought 2.3 times as much of it.

      Housing is not flexible: if 700sqft apartments are what the market of people with sustainable low incomes buy (up from 400sqft in 1900), nobody is going to supply smaller apartments. On the other hand, people below the income range able to afford only a smaller apartment are unstable, and carry cost of risk--meaning that theoretical 350sqft apartment costs *almost* as much as that 700sqft apartment, because the tenants are much more likely to get evicted and such. Things like a Universal Basic Income can affect this by reducing that risk--a major consideration in my Universal Social Security proposal.

      Schooling costs - rising way faster than income

      School isn't getting more expensive; WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT has been rebranded as "education", and responsibility has been foisted onto the individual. I can see some rationale for this in terms of economic stability in fast technical growth, and some mitigating factors (40% of the labor force turns over and about 1.5%-2.5% of the labor force retires out and is replaced by new workers every year; are we RETRAINING anyone, or just training new high school grads?). Currently, I take the stance that state provisions to support individual workforce development shouldn't exist; if there's to be a labor shortage, it'll hurt business, and so businesses can fix it.

      My rationale on that follows:

      An individual must speculate on a market in the future, including general demand for a skill *and* supply of that skill. He must then insert himself into supply for a skill which will be in demand outstripping supply in the future, without knowing how many others are doing the same, or particularly where he will insert himself into the job market. He has high-risk speculation with no risk controls.

      Businesses project their needed positions 18-36 months in advance currently, and budget for that. They hire in the 6 month period leading up to need. Anyone who tells you otherwise is full of shit, although there are many situations which can be gently massaged to suggest a constant panic of "WE NEED AN EMPLOYEE WE WOULD HAVE NEVER EXPECTED A NEED FOR TWO WEEKS AGO, BUT DEFINITELY NEED TOMORROW OH SHIT!" Such a continuous hiring situation would only occur in a business that can't project forward, can't project risks, and thus can't function for very long. Businesses are fully-capable of responding to a labor need and shortage by hiring lower-skilled employees early; shifting low-skill, high-time, easily-verifiable work onto them; and taking advantage of the training time to reduce the cost load of work done (the high-dollar employees aren't wasting time on grunt work; the employee-in-training is gaining experience, being sent to school, and getting paid much less for that work).

      That business proposition is theoretically more expensive than just scraping a market flooded with cheap, pre-packaged skilled labor. If we can get everyone sent to school, we can avoid begging employees to work for us with enticing benefits and high salaries--and we don't have to send everyone to school to boot! In practice, I've seen businesses and even isolated functional departments hire in the manner I've described and save on costs. I can't explain that.

      So my answer to the school problem is it's being hugely mishandled. That it costs a lot is a symptom of a larger problem.

      Medical costs - rising way faster of income

      Relat

    18. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Africa's technology is shitty in some regions. There are places where their farm practice is actually slash-and-burn without a checker pattern, meaning it's a rolling front of destruction without even the benefit of surrounding jungle to fill back in over the next few years. They don't even have the most advanced hand tools, much less industrial farm machinery, fertilizer, and pesticides. They destroy large swaths of land to feed small numbers of people, and most still can't afford to eat; and there are regions of Uganda where water is far enough that someone has to walk nine miles to gather fresh water every day, which is several hours of labor time used to produce NOTHING.

      The solution isn't aid packages of food; it's development of human capital--that is, knowledge. We need to teach these people to leverage what they can access to improve their productivity, starting with food. An infusion of hardware to drill wells, place septic or sewage, and otherwise reduce the load providing water and sanitization would also have merit, especially by way of decreasing the load on what little healthcare they can provide.

      By far, the largest challenge is trade. What can Africa produce to trade for fuel to run all this technology?

    19. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      What can Africa produce to trade for fuel to run all this technology?

      Most of Africa is not exactly short on insolation, so if there's anyone who should be using solar-electric, it's them. What can they produce to trade for PV systems?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    20. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      You're saying a car with automation and $5000 worth of sensors is some day going to be the same price as a car without any of those things? Someone will always be able to undercut on price by not adding all the automation.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    21. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      They've also got a geothermal region in the east, which would let them produce a lot of geothermal energy. What about the states in West Africa?

      It's said that a land area the size of the state of Maine in North Africa could produce enough PV output to power the European Union. Likewise, that area could pipe energy to the rest of Africa, making for a robust power source to drive electric farm equipment instead of diesel. Again: what do the poor west-Africans trade to North Africa to buy their power? I suppose, in this configuration, North Africa could make power, and West Africa could make food; but from where does North Africa get the PV cells?

      For a short term, industry in Burkina Faso could shift away from working starving black kids to death (an effective slave-labor arrangement that gives said families their only means to survive--as distasteful as it is to the rest of the world, who would rather they starve to death than work themselves to lifelong illness) onto powering machines to dig, sift, and sort those little flecks of gold, which it could then sell around the world. Eventually the gold and diamonds are going to run out; they're already mainly trace minerals dug out by long hours of barely-sustainable wages spread thin across entire families struggling to survive.

      We have plenty of food and cheap oil, so what can the African field workers and expensive geothermal and solar power generators sell that we can't get cheaper from the Arabs?

      I suppose there is always more room for industry. The ability to make anything necessitates the ability to trade it. If they can manufacture, then we can make more food and medical supplies, and trade them. The fact that they have a thing to exchange means we can represent that thing as money (representing labor), placing it into our economic structure as demand, creating the purchasing power that supports jobs manufacturing other things. That purchasing power flows both ways: with the Africans buying from us (by selling us their products and turning that money into purchase of our products), we have more money backed by more production (of the things we're selling, and traded into the things we're buying), thus more things, more jobs, more wealth.

      That doesn't mean we can just snap our fingers and magically make it all better. We still have to figure out what they're going to sell us in the first place that we can't get cheaper elsewhere--either because elsewhere can't match their prices or because elsewhere is out of labor to meet our endless thirst for such goods.

    22. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

      If people want to share a car, why don't they do it now? Oh yeah because you're screwed if someone else gets in an accident with a vehicle you have owned and insured. Unless insurance and liability laws change, sharing a vehicle will be as stupid then as it is now.

      There's also the problem of cleaning up the various fluids from the drunks who used the car before you.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    23. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Alypius · · Score: 1

      Sure, you can have your manual car. We'll just make it illegal to drive it anywhere.

    24. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a stupid argument.

      A: This is a technology that can change things and since its intended use affects many people, it should be regulated by our government.
      B: Since the introduction of products in this industry will eventually have a significant impact on many working class jobs, we should study those effects, propose, debate and implement the best plan that we can to address that situation.

      I was surprised by the quality of (A) and have no hope for (B).

    25. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      Well it works for you, it must work for everyone. Lets put the brakes on this whole "automated cars thing" some guy on Slashdot prefers his manual car.

      The Amish do exist and continue their lifestyle despite the rest of us moving on. You're more than welcome to do what ever you want. The rest of us will move on with progress.

    26. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      It's not a matter of progress. It's a matter of practicality. Why would I want to call a car service and install a car seat for my kid every single time I want to use a car? Plus I didn't say it would work for everyone, it was just my opinion. Am I supposed to be speaking for everyone now?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    27. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      "Why would I want to own a car when my horse is perfectly good".

      You check the "car with car seat" tic mark on your 'order car' options. Just like you can order a car, van or truck depending on what you need it to do.

      Additionally my wife and I survived with a single car seat just fine. Perhaps get a car seat that is easier to install.

      I supposed to be speaking for everyone now

      Based on your responses to self driving car stories you have been trying to for some time.

    28. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Apparently you have a very high opinion of the safety level that some car seat in a car will have that has been used by hundreds of people before. In this imaginary service.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    29. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Oh I forgot.. Automated cars will be nothing to worry about so no car seat required at all, just let the little one crawl around on the floor of the vehicle.. that will be ultra clean somehow.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    30. Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just so. Your car is extension of your home. Of course you can share homes too, but not preferred situation.

  11. Re: It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No. It is through proper private ownership of our property and our individual rights that we retain control over our technology. The state is the entity imposing draconian patent/copyright law as well as backing monopolies that prevents this (eg right to hack). In fact, the state is the biggest monopoly of all. They can and do legislate entire companies out of business whenever they encroach on its turf (eg what they're trying to do to uber and lyft). The state is also responsible for the emerging draconian surveillance society, with the relevant legislation often used as justification to further lock down technology.

    Who do you think will demand remote access to all of these vehicles? Do you think it will allow owners to remove whatever spy/malware vendors embed? Hell no. The liability nightmare makes private ownership of these cars nearly unaffordable. This gives both the vendors and the state unfettered access and control over freedom of movement. It's a mutually beneficial relationship at our expense.

    The wealthy cannot rule without a big and powerful state, as well as legions of twits like you who will happily vote to force your fellow citizens to fund their own oppression.

  12. data collection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I will not buy one unless there is NO data broadcast off-vehicle. My 1992 car does not do that. There is no need for a new car to either.

    But in this age of "big data" and hugely profitable data brokerages and behavior mining, I do not believe that is how it will go down.

    So, sorry, self-driving car companies. No thanks. I don't want my car reporting things about my life back to you any more than I want my TV or refrigerate doing that.

    1. Re:data collection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? -1 for that?

    2. Re:data collection by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      I will not buy one unless there is NO data broadcast off-vehicle.

      Deal breaker. A fully autonomous vehicle fleet will need constant communications with other autonomous vehicles. Just moving around in city interstate traffic, getting info from other vehicles will be a must. Imagine being in the far left lane when the Significant other calls to tell you that you need to pick up one of the children who got sick at school, and the exit is a mile away and you're in traffic. You'll need a way to change the programming quickly, and the car will have to negotiate with the other cars to allow you to move over quickly.

      Where we are right now, is the level of home heating/AC thermostat controls that are great if you never ever ever change your routines.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    3. Re:data collection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I don't want my car reporting things about my life back to you any more than I want my TV or refrigerate doing that.

      Does anyone know if set-top boxes for cable/satellite report things back to the mother ship? They have computers in them after all.

      The problem with Uber and automated cars is the complete lack of privacy about all the places you visit. Why are there no laws about that?

    4. Re:data collection by I4ko · · Score: 1

      Those are called light signals. The cars already have them. It is a completely separate questions that Americans think turn signals are something put for fashion and not practical use.

    5. Re:data collection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      exit is a mile away and you're in traffic

      How about going to the next exit and turning around if you can't make it? Apparently this is end of the world scenarios I see all the time when people follow gps. I just have to turn here, no matter I have to swerve across 3 lanes, or turn left from the right lane, I just have to!.

    6. Re:data collection by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Those are called light signals. The cars already have them. It is a completely separate questions that Americans think turn signals are something put for fashion and not practical use.

      I really don't think a fully autonomous car will use turn signals to alert other fully autonomous vehicles that it wants to move over lanes. Maybe in your design, probably not very many concepts will use your design though.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    7. Re:data collection by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      exit is a mile away and you're in traffic

      How about going to the next exit and turning around if you can't make it? Apparently this is end of the world scenarios I see all the time when people follow gps. I just have to turn here, no matter I have to swerve across 3 lanes, or turn left from the right lane, I just have to!.

      You could go to the next exit. Then again, depending where you are, the next exit might be some long way away, or an interchange with another interstate. But we digress.

      This is nowhere remotely an end of the world scenario. It's a common occurrence where a change from the normal route is needed.

      It is something that needs addressed because it makes for a messy situation. Whereas in my meatbag controlled vehicle, I can pretty easily negotiate from a third or fourth inside lane to the exit in a mile. I do this by looking out for other vehicles, and use turn signals, sometimes speeding up or slowing down. They also react to avoid giving me a problem or causing one for themselves. Its something we do so often we hardly think of it.

      But when the human is 99 percent removed from the piloting of the fully autonomous vehicle, the meatbag's only purpose is to inform the vehicle where to go - the vehicle must perform all the other interactions with the world around it. Which means that these vehicles have to talk to each other when they are all fully autonomous.

      And under your scenario, people must be prepared for huge changes in arrival time if they simply start taking semi random routes in the event of a change.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    8. Re:data collection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And a turn signal is a form of communication with another vehicle. Instead to telling the other vehicles you need to move over through a visible signal the AVs will tell each other they need to move over by non-visible means.

    9. Re:data collection by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Those are called light signals. The cars already have them. It is a completely separate questions that Americans think turn signals are something put for fashion and not practical use.

      By the way, I just listened to the Sec of Transportation - Cars are going to be communicating with each other and the invironment and traffic signals around them.

      Carts will be a part of the Internet of Things.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    10. Re: data collection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah. The only question is "when" they hacked, not "if"

    11. Re: data collection by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Yeah. The only question is "when" they hacked, not "if"

      Yup. And here is how.

      Law enforcement will want access in order to disable or alter the course of vehicles - OnStar does this already for the disable part. So now we have the backdoor in place.

      Regular hackers will want to hack their setup a bit in order to get more speed on the highway.

      Regular hackers will want to mess with traffic control systems.

      Foreign actors will want to mess with or kill their enemy's leaders. Or even just randomly run a car off a cliff to mess with people's minds.

      I am all in favor of assistive technologies. Anti-collision braking, anti-tailgating radar, lane centering assist. Great stuff, and helpful technology.

      But if the internet has taught us nothing else, its that computers get pwned, that the internet of things is an unfolding disaster.

      But then there isn't much that teaches us anything, so we're gonna do this.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    12. Re:data collection by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Instead to telling the other vehicles you need to move over through a visible signal the AVs will tell each other they need to move over by non-visible means.

      They're going to do both, and the vehicle will confirm that the signals match. But just the visual signal will be enough. Trusting V2V would be insane.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  13. Re:It depends by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    Don't forget that the working people have there own weapon of when living in the local jail is better then the street the big stores will go down.

  14. Link to the actual document by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1
  15. Need Smart Roads, Too by DevsVult · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One area not mentioned, at least in Vox's summary of the new regulations, is smart road technologies. Here, sensors in and around roads would share information with automated vehicles, and possibly mediate information exchanges between vehicles. Once many of the vehicles on a road are talking to the road and each other, it becomes straightforward to: i) Route traffic around obstructions, efficiently merging cars into open lanes well before the point of obstruction. ii) Clear a path for emergency vehicles. iii) Spread traffic efficiently over available routes to clear or avoid congestion. iv) Organize "convoys" of vehicles going in similar directions to take advantage of drafting and traffic light priority. iv) Operate a marketplace in which vehicles can bid for access to express lanes or right-of-way. (Late for a crucial meeting? Pay other cars $5 each to pull out of the way.)

    --
    // DevsVult: The Machines Will It
    1. Re:Need Smart Roads, Too by OzPeter · · Score: 1

      iv) Operate a marketplace in which vehicles can bid for access to express lanes or right-of-way. (Late for a crucial meeting? Pay other cars $5 each to pull out of the way.)

      Toll roads around DC now implement a congestion based fee, so that accounts for your marketplace. And I don't have a problem with that.

      But paying other cars to get out of the way? That smells of a have vs have-nots class based society and potentially turns public roads into the private roads of the super rich.

      --
      I am Slashdot. Are you Slashdot as well?
    2. Re:Need Smart Roads, Too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except anything that talks to something else is never really secure.

    3. Re:Need Smart Roads, Too by DevsVult · · Score: 1

      But paying other cars to get out of the way? That smells of a have vs have-nots class based society and potentially turns public roads into the private roads of the super rich.

      If car A offers car B a dollar to get out of the way, car B is free to decline.

      There are various ways this could be arranged, with the state government running the market, and doubtless creaming off transaction fees in the process. Drivers would have a (literal) dashboard in which to set their priority bidding preferences. If they're unwilling to make deals, they can say so. If they're willing to accept bribes to pull out of the way, they can set a rate. If they're willing to pay others to get out of the way, they can describe conditions under which they'd be willing to pay.
      The state could add some value to the process by running a fair market by ensuring that everyone pays their fees, and by keeping an eye on users who try to game the system. E.g. if car A advertises its willingness to pull over for $0.15 and car B plans a route that optimally balances cost vs. time based on that offer, car A isn't allowed to jack up the price once car B commits to the route.

      --
      // DevsVult: The Machines Will It
    4. Re:Need Smart Roads, Too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Late for a crucial meeting? Pay other cars $5 each to pull out of the way.

      So, people will be able to make money by driving around without any need and deliberately getting in the way? Let's think about unintended consequences before we do that.

    5. Re:Need Smart Roads, Too by chihowa · · Score: 1

      That's a little too free sounding for how that market would be actually implemented. In practice, there'd be a VIP class that could force your car to move out of the way for free. Initially, it'd only be for police/ambulances/presidential motorcades, but eventually people would be able to pay a third party to get on the list and force you out of their way uncompensated.

      Much easier to implement and the people who matter are happy, so... problem solved.

      --
      If you want a vision of the future, imagine a youtube comments section scrolling - forever.
    6. Re:Need Smart Roads, Too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      bzzz wrong, you're thinking about this completely wrong.

      Absolutely no need for smart roads. In fact with self driving cars, we can actually get rid of any and all sensors, cameras, etc (won't happen ever in regards to the cameras) as well as any and all traffic signals (also won't happen for at least 100 years, but will happen because the cars won't need them and humans won't be driving at all by then)

      The cars should have the sensors and communicate with other cars to keep traffic flowing, anything less is a failure of technology and imagination. Once you take the humans out of the equation, there won't be a case where you're late for a meeting or anything else (unless you left to late, but then to bad for you). Traffic jams will completely disappear as well as accidents and deaths involving vehicles. For anyone thinking differently than this, you're thinking way to small and you're stuck in today's reality. You need to start thinking about the stuff that is barely even a dream right now. That will be what we will start seeing as the new reality in 10-20 years and really fully implemented in 30-50 years.

      There will come a time when a car doesn't have a steering wheel and you will have no option of even taking the vehicle over.

    7. Re:Need Smart Roads, Too by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      V2V ("vehicle to vehicle") communication is coming, and it will be able to do all of that without "smart roads". Nonetheless, the very same technologies used in V2V and VA will be directly applicable to smart roads, and perhaps there will be some roadside sensors which will make contributions to the V2V network.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  16. Preemption by PMuse · · Score: 1

    Industry: We want one set of nationwide (or, better yet, global) rules covering features and liability.

    Feds: What rules would you like?

    Industry: It hardly matters, since we make money in any predictable environment. But since you ask, we do have some suggestions . . .

    --
    "We reject as false the choice between our safety and our ideals." --The American President (20.1.2009)
    1. Re: Preemption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't wait to see the lawsuits from the first deaths. Easily billions per case.

    2. Re:Preemption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If the person in the car is liable then it isn't truly automated. I should be no more liable for a self driving car than I am for taking the bus. It should be an extra $50/year on your house insurance for property coverage, and done. If anything happens, look to the company that is behind the product.

    3. Re:Preemption by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      If the person in the car is liable then it isn't truly automated.

      The automakers are likely to have to accept the liability initially, perhaps by creating (and later spinning off) their own insurance companies. They are not blind to this probability.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  17. Here's what we forget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Technology seems unflappable when it works. But given a mass system of control like self driving automation and a significant loss of the control systems could effect many of these vehicles not just one. Sure we have plenty of bad drivers out there and we focus way more on providing safety equipment to protect us from those bad drivers. Then fixing the bad drivers. How many times must you get stopped for DUI before we take away driving privileges? What happens if technology doesn't stop the accidents, what if true and complete self driving automation is decades away from being able to handle all situations? We have already seen what can happen when human's become over confident in self driving technology. We don't trust to have planes go without pilots even though we could also argue humans are and have been responsible for plane crashes. I think it has yet to be proven that technology is better and we have many hurdles to get over before many accept this technology as ready for replacing the human driver.

  18. Do they work in snow? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's too easy to think of "edge case" scenarios that happen alllllll the time. I can see self-driving cars being an ideal solution for places like Los Angeles where it's sunny and nice out 95% of the time, but not in places where weather is a bit more unpleasant.

    Now if the technology is implemented like something of a "super cruise control" that can be turned on/off by a human at will, then I think that is far more palatable.

  19. the elephant in the room by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Self driving cars will spell an end to any shred of privacy.

    Today if you do not carry a cellular phone most cars do not "phone home" with data about your travels. Self driving cars will exist to collect as much data about you as possible and report back to Google or whomever.

    1. Re:the elephant in the room by WormholeFiend · · Score: 1

      About that statement...
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      The technology is not exclusive to law enforcement and is increasingly popular right now for the management of large parking lots that are "for customers only".
      I can imagine plenty of other uses. So whatever privacy you think you still have in your stick-shift legacy automobile is just an illusion.

    2. Re:the elephant in the room by Chelloveck · · Score: 1

      Today if you do not carry a cellular phone most cars do not "phone home" with data about your travels.

      I don't know about that. Even my cheap-ass 2013 Hyundai phones telematics home to the mothership. I'm not sure what all information is included, but every month they sent me a nice report telling me the current odometer reading, oil pressure, tire pressure, and that I should really, really take it in to my Hyundai dealer for scheduled maintenance and a complete rotation of my wallet. They stopped sending me reports after the trial period, when I wouldn't pay to subscribe. They probably still collect the data, though. I expect this is true for any car which has an OnStar-like service available. Which is just about all of them these days (at least in the US).

      --
      Chelloveck
      I give up on debugging. From now on, SIGSEGV is a feature.
  20. The actual policy by pjcreath · · Score: 1

    I wish I could mod the previous AC up, but I'll have to use my karma instead. Here's a link to the actual subject of the story:

    https://www.transportation.gov/AV

    Amazing that neither the /. editor nor the linked/plagiarized Vox article bothered to provide it.

  21. Re:It depends by sinij · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    The fear of guillotine kept French elites in check. The same principle applies here, fear of communism kept Western elites in check up until collapse of USSR. Did you not notice that collapse of USSR coincided with decades of wage stagnation, loss of pensions, and general collapse of the middle class?

  22. Re: It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Best post in the entire thread. You win the internet today.

  23. "tragically unreliable wetware occupants" by kheldan · · Score: 0

    FUCK YOU, ASSHOLES.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  24. Re:It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We had such a socialist revolution. In 1917, in Russia. Ah, Cuba and North Korea had those, too. Do you like the results ?

    I think he'd welcome those results as long as he's not in the cross-hairs.

  25. I read it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I read this "comprehensive" guideline, because I have to for my job, and I have to say this is the most generic "comprehensive" guideline I've ever read. Just another set of govt. mumbo-jumbo.

  26. To Hell with smart roads by bigpat · · Score: 1

    We absolutely do not need smart roads. No. Smart roads with sensors all over the place are the opposite of what we need and will delay the adoption of autonomous vehicles if they become the focus of adoption or some sort of prerequisite. Not now and maybe not ever.

    We need autonomous cars that are good at driving on dumb roads because dumb and sometimes poorly maintained roads are what the majority of roads will always be. Only after we have a good portion of the cars autonomous should we even begin to explore the need for further efficiencies that could be gained by integrating other data sources or subscribing to centralized route planning and coordination. Let the companies offer their own route planning and construction/incident avoidance solutions rather than make it part of any "smart road" centralized initiative. It isn't a safety issue.

    The government should be focused on traditional roles of fixing potholes, maintaining the roads and maintaining line markings and appropriate signage for the benefit of both human and computer drivers.

    Congestion tolls and taxes are another thing, but the solution is to just offer that data to whichever vendors want to subscribe to updates so that their systems can have the information and make appropriate driving plans based on passenger cost/time preferences.

  27. One of those rare technology advances... by sigmabody · · Score: 1

    This is one of the rare technology advances where the government's interests align with getting the technology to be pervasive (typically, you'd have to fight and/or circumvent the government to push disruptive technology... see SpaceX, for example). That will virtually guarantee government approval for mainstream use, and probably slightly before the technology is actually safe.

    It's hard to imagine a better technology for the government, though. Track everyone driving, set speeds to whatever you want, stop any car at any time for any reason (goodbye high speed chases, hello stop-and-frisk on the highway), manipulate traffic arbitrarily (you want people to not drive through your neighborhood at all? just a $100M political donation, and it's done!)... the list of benefits for the government goes on and on. If I'm the government, the quicker and more pervasively I can push automation technology which I implicitly control into every aspect of people's lives, the better.

  28. What does the 'H' stand for? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is HAV? I understand the AV part is autonomous vehicle, but what is the H?

  29. Re:It depends by tnk1 · · Score: 1

    It certainly had an effect, although more from the opposition factor than any inherent value in the communist system.

    Communism was a serious threat, and by threat, I don't just mean to the pocketbooks of capitalists. No one wanted what happened to Russia to happen to their country, and workers movements did get a bit of a lift from those trying to use them to block communism taking hold.

    But make no mistake, its the political equivalent of using the threat of zombies outside the door to keep you focused on working together within. You're always better off with eradicating that sort of threat than trying to "harness" it to your advantage.

    I won't even say we need a "better capitalism", but the ultimate solution needs to be better than a nuclear stalemate where the other side is oppression in the name of the "workers". I clearly remember the Cold War, and I have no nostalgia for the period in the slightest. At least today, I don't actually have to wonder if someone in Russia or NORAD is going to screw up and end the world on ten minutes notice. The threat is still there, but much more comfortably remote now.

  30. Hold On, Let Me Get My Popcorn Ready by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Came here for baseless claims about the future, comments wholly devoid of a grasp of reality, and people fundamentally misunderstanding analogies.

    Was not disappointed.

  31. Many Accidents Caused By Bad City Engineering by BrendaEM · · Score: 1

    We have traffic lights that tell pedestrians to cross at the same time that they tell people to turn left into them.
    We have increasing raddi turns.

    The city planners who don't plan, and the city engineers who don't know anything about engineering usually ever get called out.

    It's always cheaper to blame the pilot than the plane. It's cheaper to blame the driver than the make out cities coherent to drive in.

    --
    https://www.youtube.com/c/BrendaEM
    1. Re:Many Accidents Caused By Bad City Engineering by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      We have traffic lights that tell pedestrians to cross at the same time that they tell people to turn left into them.

      I've never seen that. Where have you?

      We have increasing raddi turns.

      The problem is not increasing- but decreasing-radius turns, commonly known as "fish hooks". Even with signage, they catch out many drivers, who are poor at braking into turns.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  32. They will pry my car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    from my cold, dead hands!!!!

  33. Jobs [Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    The new tech could pass on productivity and improved living conditions to the general population, but nobody has figured out how to spread the wealth to consumers: it's bottlenecked at the top for some frustrating reason.

    It's winner take most, #2 and #3 do pretty well, but 4 on down get hosed.

    Capacity could greatly increase due to automation and a ready supply of 3rd-world labor, but the world economy is not "cycling right" to leverage that potential.

    We'll probably have to experiment to figure out how to unjam the economy. Taxing the wealthy, and "helicopter money" are some possibilities.

    Inflation is stuck at about 1.8%, but generally a strong economy needs about 2.2% or higher. It's like water pressure in a hydraulic system: too little, and it's sluggish; too much and stuff leaks and breaks. the needle has been hovering left despite low interest rates. Helicopter-money-theory is something that may increase the "money pressure" to a normal level, in part by giving regular consumers money to spend.

  34. No, no jailhouse housing rush by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    Practically speaking, the local jail (and all the rest of the imprisonment system combined) isn't large enough to handle the number of people that kind of outlook would bring if it becomes economically advantageous to any significant number of citizens. So I don't think what you're suggesting here is actually possible in any meaningful sense.

    Something else would happen. Probably wouldn't be good, either.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:No, no jailhouse housing rush by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

      so worst case they go in get there free doctor and get out real fast as the us supreme court says that overcrowding is cruel and unusual punishment.

  35. Let me break in here by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    FYI:

    This is to avoid somebody panicking and pressing and holding the accelerator rather than the breaks.

    The "breaks" are what you're trying to avoid - getting broken. The brakes are what you engage to decelerate the vehicle.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  36. Bend over, I'll drive you there by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    Where? I see driver-assist cars, but no self-driving cars.

    No, you do see them -- they just aren't competent in as wide a range of situations as (some) human drivers are. They can take control of the vehicle and drive without any input from the driver in quite a range of circumstances. This is nto to say they are perfect, but neither are humans. In re humans, there are driving circumstances, various, that some humans are competent in, and some aren't; it's not like people are uniformly homogeneous in driving skills. So variation in skill is the norm, not the exception.

    While humans aren't really improving much, self-driving vehicles are; and there's no reason at all to think they'll stop that development where humans typically do (and in some ways, they're already better -- for instance, the whole "I'm on a cellphone and not presently paying attention" thing.)

    Sure, further to go. But they're going there, definitely on the way. No question about it. Quickly, too.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Bend over, I'll drive you there by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      This is nto to say they are perfect, but neither are humans

      So how is putting MORE imperfection on the road a solution to anything? Especially imperfection that is not likely to coexist with human thinking very well and thus cause even more mistakes to happen?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    2. Re:Bend over, I'll drive you there by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      That's not what anyone is talking about, planning, or doing. So... no. Just no.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  37. Trucking, got my chips cashed in... by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    I'm waiting for the autonomous trucks

    Here you go.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Trucking, got my chips cashed in... by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      They're not out yet, expected in the next couple of years though.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
  38. Insufficient grease, vehicle unable to start by fyngyrz · · Score: 2

    This is the first issue I've ever contacted my congresswoman about and it's nice to see my pleas have evidently been ignored.

    Clearly you either forgot to include the check, or it was too small. I suggest you try again, but fix whichever of those errors you made.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  39. Serious change immanent by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    What you're describing is why significant economic and social change are waiting in the wings as we discuss this. These changes are coming; and they will be qualitatively and quantitatively different than any changes prior, such as trains, fore and aft rigged ships, and the cotton gin.

    Grab the popcorn.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  40. Autopilot doesn't handle twisty roads by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hardly rare circumstance. Autopilot is useless on twisty roads (see below). It might be safer to have it turned on the motorways, but it would drive you off the road very quickly in a lot of country roads here in Europe.

    They should have defined a driving test and force manufactures to limit the times the feature is turned on to the times it passes a thorough driving test similar to human driving tests. They haven't done that here, they took a more 'top level' conceptual approach and an implicit assumption that any claimed self driving car CAN SELF DRIVE. Which is dangerous, there's a stock scam in progress where the self driving car is a very crude neural network and they're trying to blindly teach it driving. THAT IS FUCKING DANGEROUS. If Autopilot works on the motorways, then it should only be possible to turn it on when its known to be safe on those motorways (proved to the regulator). When the person engages the autopilot, they should be sure it will work, the regulators should be sure it works, and Tesla should have satisfaction in knowing that an proper independent check has been done.

    But actually writing down a first draft and getting their shit in gear is a positive step. Everyone needs to know the hurdles they need to jump, the DOTs slowness in doing their job left everyone in guess work limbo. I don't think vague fluffy top level document is it yet.

    Video of Teslas autopilot being complete crap on a twisty road:
    http://jalopnik.com/how-does-teslas-autopilot-handle-canyon-carving-1785428974?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+gizmodo%2Ffull+%28Gizmodo%29

    Autopilot would fail a driving test on those roads if it was a human, so it should not be possible to attempt to turn it on on those roads till it can prove it can handle them.

  41. Let's have a look at your birth certificate, then. by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    Nope, it says here you're a caterpillar. That's the way it's going to be.

  42. You say that so silkily by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    Christ, all 'is and meta morphing comments, too.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  43. Re:Jobs [Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle th by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it's bottlenecked at the top for some frustrating reason.

    "helicopter money" are some possibilities. Inflation is stuck at about 1.8%, but generally a strong economy needs about 2.2% or higher.

    I'm honestly not sure if this is meant to be a joke. Do you think that helicopter money will go to poor people or rich people/banks?

  44. Quick progress by bigpat · · Score: 1

    2004 Nobody won the DARPA grand challenge... no car completed the course.

    2005 5 vehicles completed the course.

    2007 they switched to an urban course having to obey the rules of the road and six teams finished the course.

    That is rapid progress.

    From 2007 to 2016 we have seen pretty steady progress with commercially available features for things like automatic parking, automated braking and collision avoidance, widespread use of GPS navigation (via smartphones and built-in) and more recently the fully autonomous highway driving from Tesla (yes I've seen the people reading books while "at the wheel").

    And Google has been pretty open in their fully autonomous car project with two different cars one based on an off the shelf lexus and another custom built electric vehicle: 1.5 million miles driven and "currently out on the streets of Mountain View, CA, Austin, TX, Kirkland, WA and Metro Phoenix, AZ"

    And we are seeing Uber's autonomous efforts play out in Pittsburgh. Multiple companies, multiple projects, multiple on-street implementations that are getting better and better.

    Google wants to ditch the steering wheel altogether and it was California regulations that held them back a few years.

    1. Re:Quick progress by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      2004 Nobody won the DARPA grand challenge... no car completed the course.

      2005 5 vehicles completed the course.

      2007 they switched to an urban course having to obey the rules of the road and six teams finished the course.

      And prior to 2004 there were already cars being demonstrated as autonomous with minimal human input. Poster above linked to one from the 90's.

      That is rapid progress.

      From 2007 to 2016 we have seen pretty steady progress with commercially available features for things like automatic parking, automated braking and collision avoidance, widespread use of GPS navigation (via smartphones and built-in) and more recently the fully autonomous highway driving from Tesla (yes I've seen the people reading books while "at the wheel").

      Tesla themselves say it is not autonomous. Automated braking was demonstrated in the 70's on a Volvo. You list it as some sort of breakthrough.

      And Google has been pretty open in their fully autonomous car project with two different cars one based on an off the shelf lexus and another custom built electric vehicle: 1.5 million miles driven and "currently out on the streets of Mountain View, CA, Austin, TX, Kirkland, WA and Metro Phoenix, AZ"

      And we are seeing Uber's autonomous efforts play out in Pittsburgh. Multiple companies, multiple projects, multiple on-street implementations that are getting better and better.

      Firstly, Uber themselves say that the drivers in their autonomous cars will remain there for the foreseeable future. Their words, not mine. Secondly, you yourself pointed out that they are at the same place they were 10 years ago - that's not "getting better". There's been incremental improvements, sure, there's been more widespread takeup of the existing technologies, sure... but the state-of-the-art today in autonomous cars is basically the same as ten years ago. The cars are mostly autonomous.... up until they aren't! There's no new tech. The improvements have been tiny and incremental, and not enough to replace a human driver yet.

      What people don't get is that we've seen this movie before, in the field of AI. The AI titans were 99% there with regard to thinking machines. Turned out that that 1% was unattainable. Same deal with SDC software: they may have checked off 99 out of 100 requirements for the software, but that remaining requirement (requiring corrections from an alert human at the wheel) may or may not get there.

      The AI winter that followed the "we're 99% there!" AI boom was painful as many researchers had to admit that they had an intractable problem on their hands. We are currently seeing the same thing in autonomous cars: everyone is so certain that they're almost there and the remaining problems will be easy. Well, if the remaining problem was that easy, it would have been solved when it first came up in the 90's.

      The problem isn't the hardware (GPS, Vision capture, distance sensor, lane detection, etc), it's the software. No company has demonstrated software-controlled cars that can function without regular human input.

      And this problem isn't an easy one, which is why it hasn't been solved. The only improvements you can list came from better and more accessible hardware.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    2. Re:Quick progress by bigpat · · Score: 1

      No your just being obtuse for arguments sake. A driver isn't a driver if they aren't driving. Calling them a driver is to fulfill a current regulatory requirement to have a driver... so you are arguing a chicken and an egg. They had to have someone called a driver even if they weren't driving because they required a driver.

      That Tesla driver I say reading a book at the wheel certainly wasn't "driving" in any meaningful sense of the word... he was merely at the wheel... ready, sort of. Yes, that is just highway driving, but it is fully autonomous highway driving from a technical standpoint... just not a legal one yet.

      There is a big difference between computational power now and even just 5 years ago. With more computer power you get better image recognition in a variety of conditions. What took 8 seconds to identify a road sign on a laptop 5 or ten years ago takes 20 ms.

      Sure you could autonomously drive decades ago with a truck full of computer hardware or do simple things with proximity sensors, but the envelope of capabilities is clearly getting a lot bigger and the affordability has come down well under the $100k range for a fully autonomous capable platform.

    3. Re:Quick progress by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      No your just being obtuse for arguments sake. A driver isn't a driver if they aren't driving. Calling them a driver is to fulfill a current regulatory requirement to have a driver... so you are arguing a chicken and an egg.

      No. They have an out on that "regulatory hurdle" of having a driver in the seat - they can demonstrate the car in a variety of real-world but temporarily closed off areas. The reason you haven't seen many demonstrations of such (no precautionary driver) is because the software is not there yet. The claims have gotten louder in the last decade, but the claims are still the same - driver to provide regular corrections to the autonomous software.

      They had to have someone called a driver even if they weren't driving because they required a driver.

      That Tesla driver I say reading a book at the wheel certainly wasn't "driving" in any meaningful sense of the word... he was merely at the wheel... ready, sort of. Yes, that is just highway driving, but it is fully autonomous highway driving from a technical standpoint... just not a legal one yet.

      Come now! You are making claims that the manufacturer disputes. It's purely a technical issue - the Tesla system is capable of doing exactly what was being done in the 90's. No more.

      There is a big difference between computational power now and even just 5 years ago. With more computer power you get better image recognition in a variety of conditions. What took 8 seconds to identify a road sign on a laptop 5 or ten years ago takes 20 ms.

      Sure you could autonomously drive decades ago with a truck full of computer hardware or do simple things with proximity sensors, but the envelope of capabilities is clearly getting a lot bigger and the affordability has come down well under the $100k range for a fully autonomous capable platform.

      Being more affordable isn't going to complete that last bit that makes a car fully autonomous. Having more computational power isn't going to solve intractable problems, and being able to find the 10e100th prime doesn't mean that you will be able to find the (10e100 + 1)th prime in time for the heat death of the universe. Writing an algorithm that works 98% of each day doesn't mean you're almost at a 100% solution. That measurement only works for engineering, not for mathematics.

      If the software problem was that easy to solve, considering the immense payoff, it would have been solved by now. Bright minds have worked on it for decades; ask them how well it is going. Don't ask the people who spent the last few years designing circuits and throwing hardware at the problem in the hope of brute-forcing a solution.

      Personally, I feel that the people most likely to crack the software problem are going to be a bunch of abstract mathematicians working on something unrelated, not a bunch of engineers working incrementally towards a solution, in the same way that it was a mathematician who gave us the computer, not engineers who designed and build machines. The neural-net approach, as well, isn't suitable due to the opacity of the solution.

      We need smarter algorithms instead of faster hardware, and by all accounts we don't have it.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
  45. Re:Jobs [Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle th by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Anything can be fouled up if you execute it wrong.

    Print more direct money, and spend it on repairing infrastructure. That would create a good many construction and repair jobs. Much of that stuff has to be fixed anyhow; postponing it just makes it grow riskier and even more expensive to fix later.

  46. presidential motorcades = full manual or auto with by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    presidential motorcades = full manual or auto with rules like
    Run over ok
    Rundown ok
    Drive anywhere ok
    Driver anywhere with non blocking damage risk ok
    No speed limits ok
    Run red lights ok
    Run rail gates at drivers choice

  47. Doo dah, man! by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    Well, if by "out" you mean you can buy one, no. But if by out, you mean, humanity has this technology, then yes, we do.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  48. Free doctor? lol by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    lol. Free doctor, eh?

    Someone's been feeding you a line of propaganda.

    You get incarcerated, if you're *lucky*, you'll see a doctor after a few months, and even then, probably only if someone beats you within an inch of your life.

    The free medical care? Mostly myth, and absolute bottom feeder quality if you do get any. Too little, too late if it's serious.
    The free food? Trust me, you don't want to eat it. Any of it.
    The free room / roof? Sure. Complete with free beatings, rape, and deaf/blind guards. And an hour a day in the yard. Pick your power group.
    The free education? Awful. You can't use it anyway, you're a felon. Start figuring out who and how to rob, because that's the only decent-paying job you can get hired for now.

    Jails and prison in the US are hellholes, the inevitable fruit of the popular retribution-centric mindset combined with scare-the-populace political maneuvering. You approve, okay, that's your call but don't try to sell those places as poverty relief. There's no relief to be found. Of any kind.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  49. Buzzword government lawyer bingo by bongey · · Score: 1

    The NHTSA FAV policy is clearly influenced more by politics/news and someone trying to score points in a press conference than safety. Of 14 points of 'safety', many have nothing to do with the safety of self driving cars.
    * Privacy(omg googles is spying on me )
    * System Safety(isn't this about safety )
    * Vehicle Cybersecurity(omg their hacking our cars)
    * Human Machine Interface(this shouldn't be that new , we have cruise control rules,AV should extend those )
    * Crashworthiness(Already have crash standards)
    * Consumer Education and Training (there are no standards for items already)
    * Registration and Certification(should really be in here, you must follow their guidelines to be approved. )
    * Post-Crash Behavior(relevant)
    * Federal, State and Local Laws(Federal already supersedes local laws, ie federal speed limits example)
    * Ethical Considerations( don't be Volkswagen or Mitsubishi)
    * Operational Design Domain( needs "system engineering approach" and we need pretty pictures to understand)
    * Object and Event Detection and Response(relevant , wouldn't be very autonomous if it is didn't do this though)
    * Fall Back(relevant)
    * Validation Methods(really we have nothing related to this already?)