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Tech Billionaires Are Asking Scientists For Help To Break Humans Out of Computer Simulation (businessinsider.com)

Many believe that we live in a computer simulation. But it takes a billionaire and his money to ask scientists to help break us out of the simulation. The New Yorker recently did a profile about Y Combinator's Sam Altman. In the story, Altman discusses his theories about being controlled by technology and delves into the simulation theory. From an article on The New Yorker: Many people in Silicon Valley have become obsessed with the simulation hypothesis, the argument that what we experience as reality is in fact fabricated in a computer; two tech billionaires have gone so far as to secretly engage scientists to work on breaking us out of the simulation. Business Insider adds: The piece doesn't give any clue as to who those two billionaires are -- although it's easy to hazard a few guesses at who they might be, like Musk himself or Altman's friend Peter Thiel -- but it's fascinating to see how seriously people are taking this theory. According to Musk, it's the most popular topic of conversation right now.Earlier this year, at Code Conference, Elon Musk said there's "one in billions" chance we're not living in a computer simulation.

131 of 1,042 comments (clear)

  1. Many believe that we live in a computer simulation by Nutria · · Score: 5, Funny

    And many believe that vinegar disintegrates chemtrails.

    --
    "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
  2. Must be nice .. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    to have so much money that you're completely and utterly disconnected from reality. Idiots.

    1. Re:Must be nice .. by coastwalker · · Score: 2

      The wealthy always indulge themselves in expensive crackpotism, be it mediums, shamans, monkey glands, witchcraft, Tulip bulbs, south sea bubbles, crime etc. Basically they are both bored and suffering from a surfeit of self importance that enables them to search for bollocks and to declare it to be the "answer". This sort of nonsense used to be the hobby of royalty so it is at least encouraging that there is enough wealth around for business people to be exhibiting the same fashionable behavior. It is also possible for any technically educated person to follow the latest research into the resolution of the disconnect between quantum mechanics and gravity, the issue of whether time is a dimension and the mechanics of reality. So we are potentially a step beyond our ancestors even if the wealthy are still obsessed with tittle-tattle.

      On the quiet it is not unlikely that the wealthy are also investing in genetic research, head transplants and other medical life extension investigations that are not at all crackpot, just mainly unsavory. But we will not be told about them of course.

      --
      Facts are history now plebs have politics for religion on social media.
    2. Re:Must be nice .. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 4, Interesting

      On the quiet it is not unlikely that the wealthy are also investing in genetic research, head transplants and other medical life extension investigations that are not at all crackpot, just mainly unsavory. But we will not be told about them of course.

      Information still leaks out...like the rumors that Peter Thiel is getting blood transfusions from young people. There may be some merit to such a procedure. Other than that, there's cryogenic corpse-freezing (which the rich are quite interested in) and then just the various crackpot stuff.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  3. Kill yourself by The-Ixian · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If you are jacked in, perhaps that is the "veil" that is commonly referenced in religious texts... as in, we come from the after-life and we return to the after-life once our trials are done here.

    So, if you just die... you will end the simulation and wake up in reality.

    --
    My eyes reflect the stars and a smile lights up my face.
  4. When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by tekrat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Seriously people. This is reality. Deal with it. Just freaking get over it. Just because the universe doesn't fit into your limited imagination is no reason to suspect that we are in a simulation or that an invisible man in the sky created the world, or that we are reincarnated from aliens chained to a volcano.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by PvtVoid · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's called Gnosticism, and it has been around since at least the Second Century.

    2. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by HBI · · Score: 2

      The problem isn't his text, which was perfectly understandable. The problem is your poor command of English.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
    3. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by Troed · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The argument is of course not Musk's, but Nick Boström's:

      ABSTRACT. This paper argues that at least one of the following propositions is true: (1) the human species is very likely to go extinct before reaching a “posthuman” stage; (2) any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of their evolutionary history (or variations thereof); (3) we are almost certainly living in a computer simulation. It follows that the belief that there is a significant chance that we will one day become posthumans who run ancestor-simulations is false, unless we are currently living in a simulation. A number of other consequences of this result are also discussed.

      http://www.simulation-argument...

      I cannot find any flaws in the statistics. I thus agree we're _likely_ living in a simulation.

    4. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by nine-times · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And even beyond that, if we are in some way "in a simulation", we have no reason to think that we will be able to detect it, let alone break free of it. If you actually think about it, for any enclosed simulation, the simulation is reality, and there's no opportunity to see beyond that horizon. If the block in a game of Pong became sentient, it would find itself in a 2D world with no gravity, where the laws of physics include conservation of momentum, no friction, and no energy transfer when object collide. There would be no information in these rules of physics that would allow the Pong block to determine whether these physical laws were artifacts of computer programming or the "real" laws of physics. What's more, even if the Pong block were to assume it was in a simulation, there would be no avenue to investigate what the "real" laws of physics are outside of the simulation. Imagining what the "real" laws of physics were might be interesting, but it couldn't be based on anything empirical.

      I could see a billionaire having a conversation with a scientist or philosopher, and asking if they can think of any way we could even know whether we were in a simulation-- and that may have been what these conversations were really like. But offering them money to research "breaking out" is pretty stupid.

    5. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by Nemyst · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Seriously people. This is reality. Deal with it. Just freaking get over it. Just because the universe doesn't fit into your limited imagination is no reason to suspect that we are in a simulation or that an invisible man in the sky created the world, or that we are reincarnated from aliens chained to a volcano.

      Eh, I'd say the actual point is that our universe is indistinguishable from a sufficiently advanced simulation, so "breaking out" of it is pointless. We may as well just appreciate the fact our universe, be it real or not, is relatively stable, systematic and logical. What does it matter if it's a simulation or not, when for us it's all there is?

    6. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by Ash-Fox · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What's the answer? -PCP

      Usually when I tell other people, they seem disappointed with the answer.

      Why do I exist?

      I exist because of the result of biological processes that seek to procreate that have over time evolved into much more complex lifeforms that have self awareness.

      Why am I here?

      My biological function is to procreate and protect and give my spawn the best advantages so they can procreate and continue their biological function too.

      They're pretty easy questions...

      --
      Change is certain; progress is not obligatory.
    7. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by Coisiche · · Score: 4, Interesting

      But offering them money to research "breaking out" is pretty stupid.

      They, like too many people, are afflicted by specialsnowflakeitis, the condition that just might bring about the end of the species.

      And they haven't thought it through. If they are in a simulation then all their wealth is simulated and they would have nothing after a hypothetical transfer from the simulation to a higher reality. But I guess their specialsnowflakeitis would see them through wherever they end up.

    8. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      It sounds like one of Dr. Evil's plans to destroy the planet, seeming to forget that he lives on it.

      Seriously, if we "break out" of the simulation, but are that simulation, won't that be bad for us? If the universe.exe crashes what happens, the user reloads from the last save point? Do they even have save points?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    9. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I exist because of the result of biological processes that seek to procreate

      No. That is the reason that your constituent atoms have a particular form and function. But it is not the reason they exist in the first place.

      Science tells us that the Universe began as an infinitely dense singularity 13.85 billion years ago. We have no idea why that happened, but the answer is not "Darwin", since that skips over the first 10 billion years, especially those first few planck times.

    10. Re:When did "The Matrix" become a religion? by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It's called Gnosticism, and it has been around since at least the Second Century.

      Well, sort of -- though Gnosticism had a whole bunch of other metaphysical baggage wrapped up in it.

      A better historical parallel would be Descartes's evil demon, which manifested in 1981 in Hilary Putnam's famous philosophical article about Brains in a Vat, which was subsequently ripped off by The Matrix.

  5. How to Break Out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You cannot break out of the simulation, at least not without outside help and even then the idea of breaking out isn't meaningfully feasible.

    If I exist in this simulated reality, then I only exist because of the simulation. Shut down the simulation and I cease to exist. There is no way to remove me. If I and this existence is only here because of an outside "CPU", then there is no way of removing me from that CPU.

    The closest you could get is a representation of the simulated me in the "real" world. But it would not truly be me.

    So if we are in a simulation, it is completely real to us and completely necessary for us to exist.

    1. Re:How to Break Out? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      I suspect someone will demonstrate that we live in a natural universe over the next few years. There are fuck-all signs of artifice, apart from silly fairy tale books and creation myths.

      All the attacks upon VMs to determine whether you're in one or not and to break out are based on preknowledge of how the VM works. From within the VM, we don't even know if we are in one. And we know too little about it to detect it, let alone break out of it.

      As you say, the way to attempt to break out of the simulation is to explore the boundaries. We're not there yet. So all this talk of breaking out of the simulation is premature. We have little to no idea of how to go about it.

      But equally, you can't prove that we're not in a simulation, and trying to do so is a jerkoff waste of time. If you're in a simulation, the results can be faked and can lie to you. They can be faked consistently and you'll never know.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:How to Break Out? by Rockoon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If I exist in this simulated reality, then I only exist because of the simulation. Shut down the simulation and I cease to exist.

      This.

      Tech billionaires and a lot of slashdot users hear "You are living in a simulation" and they think "Neo in the matrix" rather than "Agent in the matrix"

      I think this is because they are dumb.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    3. Re: How to Break Out? by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You just have to find a glitch in the matrix

      If I had a glitchy matrix I'd monitor people to notice when they notice things, and then use that information to issue quick patches.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  6. Needs a software update by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 4, Funny

    Can the next release make these billionaires go broke? Thanks

    --
    It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
  7. I can do it... by Bomarc · · Score: 4, Funny

    It will take about one year, and cost only $20 million. Trust me.

    1. Re:I can do it... by Jason1729 · · Score: 4, Funny

      ...and this is why we have so many 99 cent apps that suck and no decent apps.

  8. Re:Many believe that we live in a computer simulat by The-Ixian · · Score: 4, Funny

    I propose that we study this link between chemtrails and simulated reality... I bet you there is a connection....

    --
    My eyes reflect the stars and a smile lights up my face.
  9. Will it end like The Talos Principle?! by Simulant · · Score: 5, Interesting


    The Talos Principle is a Portal-like puzzle game in which you try to break out of a computer simulation... or at least break it.

    It has one of the most gratifying video game endings ever, IMO.

  10. god people are dumb by Thud457 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    As Charles Fort noted:

    It's steam engines when it's steam engine time

    People use the predominant zeitgeist as a model to understand everything.
    In Victorian times, we had steam engines and the blind watchmaker. In the 1910's everything was electricity this and xyz-rays that. Today it's all digitalizamizated technomolology and iPhones.

    That and these billionaires think their smarts in one realm of knowledge make them experts in everything everywhere all the time.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    1. Re:god people are dumb by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 3, Insightful

      BINGO!!!!

      We are so limited, that we don't even understand our own limitations. Those that do, are thought to be crazy or primitive by those that think themselves smarter than the rest of us.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  11. Great Programmer deliver us from smart morons by 0xdeadbeef · · Score: 4, Funny

    So the kind of people who take Dork Enlightenment and Roko's Basilisk seriously now want to create an actual Tower of Babel.

    Can't we just take it down a notch and worry about something reasonable - like the AI apocalypse or being wiped out by aliens?

  12. Obligatory Alpha Centauri by Sumus+Semper+Una · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We are all aware that the senses can be deceived, the eyes fooled. But how can we be sure our senses are not being deceived at any particular time, or even all the time? Might I just be a brain in a tank somewhere, tricked all my life into believing in the events of this world by some insane computer? And does my life gain or lose meaning based on my reaction to such solipsism?

    Project PYRRHO, Specimen 46, Vat 7
    Activity Recorded M.Y. 2302.22467
    TERMINATION OF SPECIMEN ADVISED

  13. Re:Blue Screen Of Death by PvtVoid · · Score: 3, Funny

    Terminating All Processes Immediately And Rebooting To Last Known Good Configuration...

    It happened twice this morning. Didn't you notice?

  14. Re:Many believe that we live in a computer simulat by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 5, Funny

    There are those who believe that life here began out there, far across the universe, with tribes of humans who may have been the forefathers of the Egyptians, or the Toltecs, or the Mayans. Some believe that there may yet be brothers of man who even now fight to survive, somewhere beyond the heavens.

  15. A piercing question by Improv · · Score: 2

    "Do you have any evidence for any of this?"

    Keep asking that and the whole thing falls apart.

    --
    For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
    1. Re:A piercing question by b0bby · · Score: 2

      I think, therefore I am.

    2. Re:A piercing question by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

      Poor Descartes, always misquoted.

      The full quote is "I think I'm hungry, therefore I am going to make a sandwich."

      So few people recognise that his true and only genius was in inventing the sandwich 200 years early.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    3. Re:A piercing question by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

      We are talking about looking at a system from the inside and determining the outside of the system. That, by definition, is impossible.

      No it's not. It could be improperly secured, have exploitable bugs, or be deliberately left open.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    4. Re:A piercing question by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      Do you have any evidence for any of this?

      A voice from a burning bush told me. That's the interface portal.

    5. Re:A piercing question by nitehawk214 · · Score: 2

      Oh they have tons of evidence, just none that someone who isn't already a solipsist would accept.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    6. Re:A piercing question by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      Descartes walked into a bar. The barmaid asked "Would you like a beer?"

      He replied "I think not," and disappeared.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  16. Elon Musk knows! by sgage · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Earlier this year, at Code Conference, Elon Musk said there's "one in billions" chance we're not living in a computer simulation."

    Elon Musk said it, I believe it, and that settles it. (rolls eyes)

  17. Stupid by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is insanely stupid. Entities simulated in computer programs can't "break out" of the simulation: if you stop the simulation, they cease to exist.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Stupid by MitchDev · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Someone has watched too much anime and/or played too many videogames (See Star Ocean: Till the end of TIme)

    2. Re:Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yet more evidence that these tech billionaires are living in a different simulation to the rest of us!

    3. Re:Stupid by Jhon · · Score: 3, Funny

      I saw some guy wearing a red shirt say "Arch" and a door just APPEARED! He walked out and the door vanished!

      If he can do it, why cant we???

    4. Re:Stupid by narcc · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We're watching new myths and religions form around pseudo-scientific ideas (like the simulation hypothesis) and science fiction based beliefs about the current and future state of artificial intelligence.

      As you point out, to believe someone could "break out" of the simulation seems to imply a deeply inconsistent metaphysic. I expect this to change as these odd believes evolve in to something more coherent.

      It's like watching UFO cults develop all over again.

      Now, who on Slashdot things Small Wonder was a documentary?

    5. Re:Stupid by Tx · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is insanely stupid. Entities simulated in computer programs can't "break out" of the simulation: if you stop the simulation, they cease to exist.

      That's two very separate statements. The latter is patently true; if you stop the simulation, entities within the simulation will cease to exist. The former, however, is not so simple. First you need to define what it means to "break out" of the simulation. The entities could certainly try to prove that they exist in a simulation. They could try and determine the nature and functioning of that simulation. And the could then try to hack the simulation itself, and therefore potentially be able to interact to some degree with things outside the simulation, for starting with whatever system the simulation is running on, which I would personally class as "breaking out" of the simulation.

      Now if you want to talk about the entities actually existing entirely outside the simulation, that's a whole other level.

      --
      Oh no... it's the future.
    6. Re:Stupid by amorsen · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And VM guests can't break out of the hypervisor... Oh wait, they can, if the hypervisor is buggy.

      If the universe is a simulation, it is a pretty complex one. Bugs would be expected.

      However, humanity has access to such a infinitesimal fraction of the universe, it would be unexpected to find bugs in simple parts like ours. The bugs would seem more likely in less tested parts of the code, like at extreme energies or very small distances.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    7. Re:Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yep sandboxed apps never break out of their sandboxes, and anything in a VM always stays inside that VM and always plays by the totally bug free rules. Always, every time, it's just a fact.
      It's like the new first commandment. Simple people are incapable of breaking out of their simple thinking.
      (Yes simpleton narcc I'm looking at you.)

    8. Re:Stupid by AC-x · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If it gets billionaires to spend money on science and technology willingly, who cares?

      What if it's useless pseudoscience?

    9. Re:Stupid by myrdos2 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah. Elon Musk's argument was that if we assume any improvement rate in computers at all, then one day it will be affordable to simulate entire worlds, and therefore there are billions of simulations for every real Universe, and therefore we're likely in one.

      But, like most arguments, that one is wrong. He seems to be under the impression that it's inevitable that computers will improve indefinitely, and that there's no limit to how complex and powerful they can become while still remaining inexpensive to mass produce. But there's no reason to think that is true. Just because there's a rate of improvement now doesn't mean it won't taper off and eventually flatten in the future.

      Also, his thinking is sloppy.

    10. Re:Stupid by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 2

      That describes an awful lot of the existing economy, from education, to HR to mass media. Sure, the output of those people is zero, but they spend money on things. It's when the money sits around doing very little that we have problems. Would it be better to spend their money on something that isn't total bullshit? Absolutely.

      The best hope though is that some actual scientist talks good pseudoscience bullshit but spends it on real research. Perhaps he's finding a way out of the simulation through a grand unified field theory or something like that.

    11. Re:Stupid by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 2

      Tim Hulce.
      He should have been bigger than Tom Cruise.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    12. Re:Stupid by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 2

      However, humanity has access to such a infinitesimal fraction of the universe, it would be unexpected to find bugs in simple parts like ours. The bugs would seem more likely in less tested parts of the code, like at extreme energies or very small distances.

      And yet, we have Trump.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    13. Re:Stupid by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 2

      If we just put glowing pots of embers in the right position, along this long clearing, will the giant silver dragons come back?

      No.

      You also need the very tall hut - positioned just so. And you need the priest who motions with the sacred rods, to coax the landed dragon into repose. Then? He will disgorge his gifts from heaven, once again.

      I believe I observed the ritual of those rods. I know the signs to be made with them.

      But have you fully understood the meaning of the incantation, "Roger, one-niner. I copy. Over."?
       

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    14. Re:Stupid by npslider · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Computer, end Program".

      Hummm, still here, it was worth a tr

    15. Re:Stupid by npslider · · Score: 2

      It would be helpful to know weather we are in Hyper-V or VMware, then we can start looking for Zero-day exploits.

    16. Re:Stupid by glenebob · · Score: 2

      If the simulation can be detected and hacked, then the simulation has design or implementation bugs. What would you do if you discovered entities within your simulation has discovered their nature and how how to manipulate it?

    17. Re:Stupid by Mab_Mass · · Score: 2

      Yeah, except that I've actually seen UFO's about 30 to 50 feet above me that were totally silent, except for a deep vibration that occurred when directly over me, and military jets and a black helicopter slowly following them from about a mile behind. I don't have to have faith in something I haven't seen.

      I'd be happy to believe you, if there was a shred of evidence provided. As is, this statement has as much weight as my claim of the invisible pink unicorn living in my garage.

    18. Re:Stupid by Yvan256 · · Score: 2

      But you're also assuming that the simulation has to happen in real-time - it doesn't.

      If we are indeed living in a simulated Universe, what we're perceiving as a second might take hours, days, months or even years to compute in the "real world".

      As Einstein said, it's all relative.

    19. Re:Stupid by lerxstz · · Score: 2
      --
      I chose to end my comments, not with a rim shot, but a long decaying F#7sus4
    20. Re:Stupid by cfalcon · · Score: 2

      When I was younger, I ran a D&D game involving a very alien, energy world. The midway point of the story was finding out that it was a simulation, and breaking out (into a normal version of the physical world), and helping a resistance force. Separate stats for both simulated and real words, etc. I got a lot of cred with my gaming buddies years later when that Matrix movie came out, lemme tell you!

      The point is, the concept has been around for awhile- the Matrix packaged their simulation in such a way that there was a real world that everyone was being deliberately lied to about, such that you could be insulted and have a bad guy to rail against. In the Matrix, the bad guys were even murder robots, making the choice all the clearer. Exactly as you say, however, if we are simulated by a substrate universe, then that universe doesn't need to have much, or anything, in common with ours. This is gotten around by the assumption of an "ancestor simulation" - that we may be simulated by a real universe that looks pretty much same as ours, by people who are effectively the descendants of our "real versions". But, why is this all that likely? The assumption that at least one substrate universe exists means that either that one (or a further down turtle) is profoundly alien, their only relation to us being that they want to see some piece of the way a universe with our physical laws does something. We could be here to calculate 42, or to observe how the stars work for some scientific reason, or perhaps each galaxy is just a really sweet screensaver. There's no reason to assume that the substrate universe ultimately has anything in common with our universe- merely that they perceive some gain from the simulation, or the end result thereof.

    21. Re:Stupid by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 2

      Who knew? We are the ghosts in the machine!

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    22. Re: Stupid by gzuckier · · Score: 2

      Insanely stupid indeed. How do you prove you're not programmed to "think" you've broken out? For that matter, how do you prove which is reality and which is simulated? We can't even establish whether taking acid or other means of altering consciousness, getting visions, etc attain reality and pierce the veil of illusion or the other way around.
      How many movies have somebody awaken, then surprise surprise it turns out they're still dreaming?
      What makes them think the human consciousness can understand or even recognise reality? What makes them think there exists a single thing which can be defined as reality? Never mind reality, how do we differentiate existence from nonexistence? If there are an infinite number of possible worlds, what differentiates the one which "exists" from the rest?
      All way too meta.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    23. Re:Stupid by blincoln · · Score: 2

      I agree that it's silly to spend a *lot* of time thinking about this topic. However, I think most of the discussion here is missing some obvious scenarios:

      1 - We exist entirely within the simulation (the 'Holodeck Moriarty' scenario)

      a - It may still be possible to escape. If I have code running in RAM on my PC, and I turn off my PC, yes, that code stops running. But if instead I migrate it to a mobile device, it can continue to run even if the PC is turned off. IIRC, Virtualization software can do this sort of thing literally with an actively running system, and the OS running in that system will not "notice" that it has been migrated.

      a1 - There may be some sort of VMWare Tools-/Holodeck Arch-esque interface within the simulation which provides access to the simulator or the world in which it exists.

      a2 - There may be flaws in the simulator which allow the equivalent of a stack buffer overflow exploit.

      b - The entire goal of the simulation could be to use evolutionary algorithm-style processes to create entities with the capability and desire to escape the simulation.

      b1 - Our reality could be a simulation created by entities who believe *they* are living in a simulation, and want to develop the capability to escape from it but don't know how (the 'Meta-Musk' scenario).

      b2 - Our reality could be a mostly-benign test environment intended to determine if there are flaws in the security controls of a complex simulation system which will eventually be used as a sort of sandbox for something potentially really dangerous.

      2 - We have physical form of some sort outside the simulation, and are simply wired into the simulator.

      a - If those physical forms are fully-functioning bodies, then escaping is potentially just a matter of disconnecting (the 'Matrix' scenario).

      b - If those physical forms are the equivalent of a brain in a jar, then escaping would also require transferring that into fully-functioning bodies, which would require some sort of ability to interact with devices in the "real world", or cooperation from someone in that world, but it would still be theoretically possible.

      3 - Regardless of the type of simulation, it may not be actively monitored. It seems *unlikely* that entities advanced enough to simulate our reality would leave out automated protective measures, but I don't think it's *impossible*.

      a - Maybe our universe is running on the equivalent of an old Pentium Pro rack server that someone forgot about in a corner of the datacenter.

      b - Maybe after setting the simulation in motion, a catastrophe wiped out the entities which created it, but not their machines.

      4 - To go in a completely different direction, we (the human race) still don't have a full understanding of what consciousness is. If we did, then logically we could build something with artificial consciousness from scratch, or understand with certainty why doing so was not possible. Until we do have that level of understanding, then it remains possible (however remote) that there is something metaphysical about consciousness*.

      a - If there is, and it is not actually possible to create artificial consciousness, then a lot of the "reality as simulation" scenarios are pruned away, because all of the remaining scenarios require at least one "brain in a jar"/Keanu Reeves in a Giger pod (if not billions/trillions). It may even fundamentally change the probability of whether or not we're living in a simulation.

      * I am not overly-fond of most variations on that scenario, because I prefer to believe that there are no barriers other than time and effort to developing a complete understanding of our universe, but I don't think it makes sense to discount it as a possibility until we actually understand how to make an artificial self-aware entity.

      I'm sure there are many others that I'm not considering. It's an interesting philosophical exercise, if nothing else. I personally don't think it's worth expending actual research time on unless some compelling evidence is discovered to support it first.

      --
      "...always new atoms but always doing the same dance, remembering what the dance was yesterday." -Richard Feynman
  18. The desire for religion by Qbertino · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The desire for religion must really be genetically programmed if influencial bigwigs like this dream up a new one after the old ones have been debunked.
    Truely amazing.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
    1. Re:The desire for religion by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

      Please note that most religions have not been debunked, and are in principle not capable of being debunked.

      Depends what you mean debunked. Has the existence of unicorns been debunked?

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
  19. Re:See? by sgage · · Score: 2

    "Musk and all his blather would be considered the disorderly ramblings of a mental patient if he weren't rich."

    Rich or not, I still consider many of his ramblings to be insane.

  20. If I'm just a Sim... by jsepeta · · Score: 4, Funny

    then I'm thankful nobody's put me in a room with no door and no toilet. Wait! I'm in a cubicle, so it must be true.

    --
    Remember kids, if you're not paying for the service, YOU ARE THE PRODUCT THAT IS BEING SOLD.
  21. Re:Patch, reboot by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 5, Funny

    "There’s no point in acting surprised about it. All the update schedules charts and reboot times have been on display at your local planning department in Alpha Centauri for 50 of your Earth years, so you’ve had plenty of time to lodge any formal complaint and it’s far too late to start making a fuss about it now. ... What do you mean you’ve never been to Alpha Centauri? Oh, for heaven’s sake, mankind, it’s only four light years away, you know. I’m sorry, but if you can’t be bothered to take an interest in local affairs, that’s your own lookout. Rebooting in 3... 2... 1..."

  22. Re:Many believe that we live in a computer simulat by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2, Informative

    And many believe that Donald Trump hires only Americans, and doesn't send large amounts of jobs to foreign countries like China, Africa, etc.

    And that he was also a successful businessman.

    http://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-federal-income-tax-records-506713

    Just believing that doesn't make them right.

    You haven't spent much time in the right-wing echo chamber, where every lie is believable and truthiness is optional.

  23. Let's be serious by OpenSourced · · Score: 2

    If we lived in a computer simulation, surely we would have some remaining concept of a Scientist that created the Simulation, and us inside it. The Scientist, who can change the software parameters, and can do absolutely anything in our Universe, and knows everything too, but limits His own powers to observe what we do, and, even if He knows the end result, let us choose our destiny with free will (FreeWill_Parameter = True).

    As no such idea exists anywhere, I guess it's safe to say that we aren't in a simulation.

    --
    Rome taught me patience and assiduous application to detail. Virtues which temper the boldness of great, general views.
  24. If you beleive in the simmulation hypothesis then by goombah99 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Logically if this is a simmulation then one would guess that the players controlled by external overlords would be the most powerful sims. that is to say movie stars or Tech billionaires or Trump like dictators.

    Thus your highest calling if you and under-sim is to go be a groupy to one of the "real" players.

    So it's a little strange to hear the Real players asking to be broken out of the Simulation. Something is fishy here.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  25. Double standard? by Vermonter · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So if you believe in God, the science world think's you're crazy/stupid, but if you believe in a programmer of the universe, it's totally cool and many of them agree. Gotcha.

    1. Re:Double standard? by Translation+Error · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe it depends on whether you declare your belief to be the absolute truth 'because' or if you start looking for evidence to support/refute your belief, test hypotheses, and are willing to change your viewpoint on what is discovered.

      --
      When someone says, "Any fool can see ..." they're usually exactly right.
    2. Re:Double standard? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Completely missing the point. The actual argument for a simulation doesn't rest on anything remotely like that. The primary argument is that it looks like under the laws of physics, simulations should be possible. It also seems likely that an advanced species would be interested in making simulations of their ancestors and would likely make many such simulations. Thus, if one thinks that society is likely to survive to a very high tech level, one should expect if one is a remotely interesting time period that one is much more likely to be a simulation than the original. There are problems with this argument (and I don't buy it), but it is far more interesting than simply dismissing it as akin to belief in religion or gods. It is unfortunate that you and many others in this thread are simply ridiculing the argument rather than actually addressing it.

  26. Put the DVD of The Matrix down and step away by sjbe · · Score: 2

    Many believe that we live in a computer simulation. But it takes a billionaire and his money to ask scientists to help break us out of the simulation.

    Somebody has spent WAY too much time watching The Matrix and has lost their grip on reality.

    But let's take it at face value and presume we are part of a simulation. There would be no way to "break out" of the simulation (whatever that means) because we don't exist outside of it. It would be akin to trying to bring Pac-Man to life in the real world. It's a non-sequitur.

    Never mind the fact that there is zero evidence whatsoever to support the notion that we live in a simulation any more than there is evidence of a divine creator. It's a hypothesis that isn't falsifiable as far as anyone can tell and therefore it is outside the realm of science and firmly in the realm of religion.

    Earlier this year, at Code Conference, Elon Musk said there's "one in billions" chance we're not living in a computer simulation.

    Elon is a smart and talented entrepreneur but he's out of his depth on this one. His argument is basically naive extrapolation run amok combined with an argument by analogy.

  27. What would you do if malware tried to break out? by shess · · Score: 5, Interesting

    What's your first response to seeing evidence of malware on your system? Reimage the shit out of that thing.

    This is even ignoring the likelihood that the simulation even simulates anything related to the world the hardware is in. I mean, at the end of Tron Legacy the gal gets to come to our world through ... the power of boners? I mean, I can see how the simulation can simulate a real-world person (I mean, his meat body would have died meanwhile), but the real world isn't setup to actualize a simulation, you can't just wish things to happen.

    Or maybe we break out into a cold dark universe where all matter has been converted into computational elements in service of the simulation. Hell, maybe it's running in sound-wave interference in a black hole. That'll be quite fun! Or, again, maybe the enclosing universe has no relationship to our universe, so not only do we have to understand our universe so thoroughly we can break out of it, we have to understand the enclosing universe thoroughly enough to break into it.

    And then, of course, when you come down to it, if you prove that we live in a simulation by breaking out of the simulation, now what you know is that it is possible to simulate a universe detailed enough to be thoroughly believable. So how the hell do you know you broke out of the simulation, as opposed to just running a new scenario in the simulation? If you actually did break out, how do you know that the new level isn't a simulation?

  28. Why break out? by garyok · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The smart move is to try and figure out how to access the admin console and object browser. Then, instead of 'escaping' to a reality you're not equipped to survive, you can make this shit show into your own personal paradise.

    --
    One of the penalties for refusing to participate in politics is that you end up being governed by your inferiors - Plato
    1. Re:Why break out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      The smart move is to try and figure out how to access the admin console and object browser. Then, instead of 'escaping' to a reality you're not equipped to survive, you can make this shit show into your own personal paradise.

      You are talking about billionaires, they already did that. That is how they know we are in a simulation.

  29. So which one of you people is... by yodleboy · · Score: 2

    So which one of you people is really Dwayne Dibbley?

  30. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You seemed to be objectively bashing trump, then you defended Clinton and lost all credibility.

    Clinton is the only credible candidate for POTUS. That doesn't mean she isn't a deeply flawed person. As a moderate conservative, I have no one else to vote for.

  31. Re:you're partly right by Jason1729 · · Score: 5, Funny

    The people I know who are most disturbed by the simulation concept are the ones who most claim to believe in Jesus. And they get really pissed when I ask them how it's any different from their creation myth. Fireworks really start when I explain the simulation was developed over 6 phases by a lead developer with the intials G.O.D. and Eden was just the sandbox where they tested the "human" code. Of course, the flood was a major content patch when the simulation exited beta.

  32. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Define "credible" in any objective way.

    By all my measures, she has failed at just about everything she's tried, apart from running for office. And she only got elected because her husband was President of the US. There is just about no reason to conclude she is qualified for the job.

    As a moderate conservative, you can vote third Party, and register your vote as a protest against the other two. IF enough people break free from the false dichotomy of the two party system, perhaps we can actually get worthy candidates. But, go ahead and waste your vote on the "lessor of two evils" believing that is your only choice. In the end, you'll get the devil you know and you'll be guilty of contributing to whatever ills she creates for our country. Imagine, three more SCOTUS judges hell bent on dismantling what remains of our Constitution. The first Amendment is going, the second is for sure gone, the 4th, 5th and the rest are swept away as fast as they can. ObamaCare fails and is replaced by single payer, and everyone's healthcare is screwed up in ways that only Government can (think VA for everyone!)

    If you think Clinton is the "only" credible candidate, you're wrong, she isn't credible at all.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  33. Re:What if we're sims? by Opportunist · · Score: 2

    Then I'd like to meet the idiot who programmed my AI and tell him to get back to college, he really did a crappy job.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  34. Re:Many believe that we live in a computer simulat by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Like that failed business man Warren Buffet who lost in one day.

    Warren Buffet suffered a paper loss on a stock that he held for the long term. If he was to sell his position in Wells Fargo, he would probably have substantial profits over his initial investment.

    Trump has already said he outsources due to the way American law is structured and that he plans on working to change the law to fix that.

    American law doesn't require that Trump outsource his work overseas. There are many businesses in the US are that proud to bear the label "Made in USA."

    There are a lot of ignorant Slashdotters with absolutely zero knowledge of how business actually works.

    You're obviously one of them.

  35. Re:What would you do if malware tried to break out by phantomfive · · Score: 2
    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  36. Exception that proves the rule by Daetrin · · Score: 2

    The Ultimate Conspiracy Debunker

    TL;DW, a good first test (not only, just first) for whether a conspiracy theory might be true is "if true would this theory have a negative effect on rich people?"

    You don't see rich people campaigning against chemtrails even though they breath the same air we do, so you can be pretty sure chemtrails aren't real.

    Here is a theory that if true would have a negative impact on rich people (at least to the extent that you regard being alive in a simulation as a negative) and a non-trivial number of them are willing to throw money at the problem to "fix" it.

    Which is definitely not proof that the simulation theory is true, but is pretty damning for a lot of other conspiracy theories.

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    1. Re:Exception that proves the rule by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      you still get a lot of rich people campaigning against GMO's, immunization & nuclear power.

      A few random rich people may be against these, but I doubt if opposition is actually correlated with being rich. Anyway, looking at the views of rich people to debunk conspiracy theories is just a heuristic. A better heuristic is to look at informed people. For instance, as people learn more and more about GMO ( or nukes or vaccines), do they tend to fear it more or less?

  37. Re:Maybe we can't break out. by EvilSS · · Score: 4, Funny

    We'll know Musk has figured it out when he, someday, vanishes without a trace and nobody remembers he was here.

    I think there is a problem with your theory...

    --
    I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
  38. Re:Elon Musk was high as shit in that interview... by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 4, Insightful

    His flaw is assuming that his assumptions are even close to being accurate. The problem with these kinds of thought processes, is that they are fraught with limited thinking. Do you know how hard it is to keep exponential growth going for any length of time? And he wants it going for ... thousands of years. He has no idea what it will take to make that exponential growth keep going indefinitely forever, nor the consequences of that growth on humanity.

    There are way too many assumptions, way too many unproven constants. He isn't as smart as he thinks he is, and that is where the problems start for his "simulation theory". I actually understand that I couldn't begin to theorize what things might exist in 20 years, let alone 1000, 5000, or 10,000 years down the road.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  39. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Define "credible" in any objective way.

    Senator and Secretary of State. Many men have ran for president with less qualifications than that, and no one accused them of getting elected because of their wife. Trump's only qualification was that he beaten the weakest slate of candidates that the Republican Party has ever fielded.

    As a moderate conservative, you can vote third Party, and register your vote as a protest against the other two.

    No quite. I got tired of being called a RINO that I switched my party registration from Republican to Democratic last year. I'm voting and donating for the presidential candidate that I believe is qualified to be POTUS.

  40. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Diss+Champ · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Holding a job and sucking at it is not a credible qualification for a promotion. Even the Peter Principle in it's usual formulation implies that once you find the level someone is incompetent at you have promoted them sufficiently.

  41. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

    Holding a job and sucking at it is not a credible qualification for a promotion.

    That didn't stop George W. from leapfrogging Jeb into the presidency.

  42. Re:you're partly right by AmiMoJo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That's actually a quite believable interpretation of the Bible. Player starts out being a genocidal maniac, playing with all the god-level powers they have, sending plagues of locus and flooding the entire planet just to see what will happen. Then we get to the New Testament, where the player is kinda bored just breaking stuff and decides to try to build a nice world.

    It's basically everyone's first game of Sim City.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  43. Cheat Codes by MrSteveSD · · Score: 2

    Can the next release make these billionaires go broke? Thanks

    Maybe the reason they are billionaires in the first place is because they used the cheat codes :)

  44. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by dywolf · · Score: 2, Insightful

    to say she has failed as you have only shows a vast and profound ignorance on your part.
    but that's true of most of your comments, including the rest of the one you just made.

    though if you insist on the evils viewpoint, then she isn't the lesser of two evils. rather she's the lesser of 4 evils, Johnson and stein included.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  45. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Informative

    The fact that she had to enlist the DNC to help get her election rigged enough to beat Bernie isn't much better (it is actually worse) than Trump beating 16.

    The problem that Bernie Sanders had was that he needed to win every election after Super Tuesday with 60% of the votes. He failed to get the votes. The only way he could have won was to eliminate the super delegates that's been part of the Democratic nomination process since the 1970's. He failed to get that changed at the convention. You can't blame that on Hillary.

    You aren't a RINO, you are confused.

    Correct. That's why I changed my party registration. Moderate conservatives are no longer welcomed in the Republican Party.

  46. Re:What would you do if malware tried to break out by SuuSt · · Score: 2

    how do you know that the new level isn't a simulation

    As I understand it, that's the logical basis for "the universe is almost certainly a simulation". The idea being that a sufficiently advanced society will at some point want to, and have the ability to, simulate a universe (or at least simulate it to the satisfaction of the people being simulated). As technology within that society progresses they will improve the simulated universe to the degree that the simulated universe can, as societies are wont to do, simulate a universe. Also, there's no reason to believe that, if possible, those societies wouldn't want to simulate multiple universes which may, themselves, simulate multiple universes. It's turtles all the way down.

    So the logic goes, if there is one physical universe and N nested simulated universes, what are the odds that this one happens to be the physical universe?

  47. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Since duopoly is inherent in First Past The Post voting, why do you then also believe that voting third party will break the duopoly?

    Voting 3rd party will not break the duopoly, but it will change the duopoly. No voters changed the Democratic Party more than those who voted for Ralph Nader in 2000. Nobody changed the Republican Party more than those who voted for Pat Buchanan. Nader pulled the Democrats to the left, and Buchanan pulled the Republicans to the right. In my opinion this was a bad thing, but that is not the point. Those voters were effective. Unless you live in a swing state (and most people don't) your vote for either Hillary or Donald is meaningless. Voting 3rd party is be best way to make your vote count.

  48. Re:What would you do if malware tried to break out by snowsmann · · Score: 2

    So how the hell do you know you broke out of the simulation, as opposed to just running a new scenario in the simulation? If you actually did break out, how do you know that the new level isn't a simulation?

    You don't. It's simulations all the way up and turtles all the way down.

    --
    timeo Danaos, et dona ferentis
  49. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Nutria · · Score: 2

    Nader pulled the Democrats to the left, and Buchanan pulled the Republicans to the right. In my opinion this was a bad thing, but that is not the point. Those voters were effective.

    It is the point, because change for the sake of change is usually Really Bad.

    --
    "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
  50. What are rich people stupid? by AndyKron · · Score: 2

    What would they do once they "broke out"?

  51. Re:Many believe that we live in a computer simulat by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There are those who believe that life here began out there, far across the universe

    Or reality could have been created 5 seconds ago, with your memories of the past already prefabricated in your mind.

  52. Re:There is no spoon by Quirkz · · Score: 2

    I'm skeptical of the idea in general, but I can imagine at least three things the billionaire *might* be thinking that isn't completely, demonstrably stupid:
    1) Getting moved from this simulation to a better one.
    2) Tapping into the controls of this simulation to get super powers or something.
    3) They assume the level above us is also a simulation, at which point maybe it is possible to be re-simulated up there.

  53. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Immerman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Unfortunately, given the mathematical realities of the "first past the post" voting system we're forced to work within, the dichotomy is not false. It's possible to change which parties are in power, as has happened several times in the history of the country, but the only stable configurations are either one or two strongly dominant parties.

    I'm all for building a strong competing party to replace one of the current ones with something more populist, or even just less corrupt (though that's always a transitory condition, quickly remedied once it wields power worth corrupting) but that's a long-term project that requires dedicating considerable resources to building "brand awareness" and enthusiasm among the electorate, and one that's not appreciably aided by voting for candidates that have no chance of actually getting elected (well, not beyond reaching the minimums required for the party to gain access to public funds and other legal hurdles)

    By making a protest vote, knowing it will have no direct effect on who wins the election, you'll be guilty of contributing to whatever ills *whoever* wins inflicts - including if it's the "greater evil" that you refused to vote against.

    If you really want change, then go out and participate in activist organizations trying to either build viable third party support, or establish less easily captured voting systems such as instant runoff voting. As long as your only contribution is casting a ballot every couple of years, your real options are limited to either voting for the lesser of evils, or abstaining (or protest-voting), and thus willingly surrendering your support to whoever happens to win.

    And lets be honest here - no matter how many viable parties are actually on the ballot, you'll *always* be voting for the lesser evil, because *nobody* is going to agree with you 100%. There will always be a compromise to be made, and whether that compromise falls below the arbitrary line you call "evil" or not, is a distinction that exists only within your imagination.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  54. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I think Clinton is typically flawed for washington senators, representatives and similarly powerful bureacratic positions.

    I had to research her a lot this year and
    1) Cinton's been the target of a propaganda war for close to 20 years. This would destroy most people.
    2) The clinton foundation is very well run, has a much higher share of money that goes to help people than the american cancer society, has reasonable wages for its employees, and is highly rated by charity navigator.
    3) Clinton's actions show she is willing to put the good of the party and the country ahead of her personal good.
    4) Clinton's a patriot and even a bit of a nationalist.
    5) Clinton's wonky, intelligent, and creative and open to feedback from staff. She is more of a cooperative than authoritarian leader but has the strength to make decisions and stick by them.

    I think if you dig into her history on non conservative sites, you'll find the same things.

    Personally, I thought she was unelectable but, you know... Trump.

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  55. Re:If you beleive in the simmulation hypothesis th by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Logically if this is a simmulation then one would guess that the players controlled by external overlords would be the most powerful sims.

    You are assuming that the simulation is multiplayer. Maybe it is single player, in which case only I am real, and you and Donald Trump are simply artifacts of the simulation.

  56. It does if you want to be in business next year by raymorris · · Score: 3, Informative

    > American law doesn't require that Trump outsource his work overseas

    In many industries, that is in fact the effect of US law. US labor and tax laws are such that the total cost to employ workers in the US is roughly 2.3Ã-- their take-home pay. So employees taking home $10/hour cost roughly $23/hour once you pay various federal, state and local taxes, unemployment, workers comp, etc etc. So of you have a widget that requires $10 of material and one hour labor @ $10/hour, production cost is about $33. $10 materials, $10 to employee, $13 taxes and compliance). Since it costs $33 to make under US law, obviously you can't wholesale it for any less than $33 production cost.

    100 miles south, your competitor producing a nearly identical product has production in Mexico, where the cost is $10 material, $10 to the worker, and $5 taxes and compliance. Total production cost $25. This competitor can wholesale at $30 and have a 20% margin.

    The person buying wholesale can pay $30 for the product made in northern Mexico, or at least $33 for the US-made one (which still leaves the US manufacturer zero profit). Which do you think the retailer will choose to buy? The less expensive one, obviously. The company with much higher tax and compliance costs goes out of business.

    In most countries, business taxes and similar costs are based on the motivation to have business in their country. In the US, we have a significant interert group influencing policy based primarily on emotions, including envy, with no understanding of, or concern for, the economics or the results of the policies they support. "Fuck those companies" is this groups attitude, and the companies respond with "okay, we're not wanted here; we'll go where we're wanted".

    You can see the same effect between US states. Many billions of dollars of businesses have moved from California to Texas due to the tax and regulation in California. Unemployment has gotten bad in California, while there are plenty of jobs in Texas.

    1. Re:It does if you want to be in business next year by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Most developed countries don't engage in this race to the bottom. Rather than trying to simply cut costs to complete with developing nations, they invest in higher end manufacturing and compete on quality. If the US made product is significantly better than the Mexican one, there will be a market for it, and the people making it can have a reasonable quality of life too.

      The US could also be more efficient. For example, private health care is ridiculously expensive and not particularly good. A national healthcare system would be cheaper and better for most people, but is politically an almost impossible dream. Thus US companies are forced to pay more to cover private healthcare insurance costs.

      Low taxes are not a solution to unemployment. They might encourage companies to move, but the jobs are low paid. If they were not low paid, the taxes wouldn't be a big factor and there wouldn't be much incentive to move them. Rather than try to compete with Mexico on living standards and wages, compete on quality and flexibility and innovation.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re:It does if you want to be in business next year by razholio · · Score: 2

      Wow, I had no idea that the economics of international trade were so simple. So all we need to do is match our employment taxes with that of competing nations, and we win? No, of course not. Economics is complicated. So complicated that even the most complex modeling routinely fails to accurately predict things. This is just the kind of overly reductionist pseudo-analysis that drives conversations into ideological corners that have little bearing on reality. Anyone peddling the 'it's this simple' explanation is a salesman. A snake-oil salesman, and a pretty poor one at that.

  57. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

    Since you phrased it as a statement, it must surely be so.

    The electoral map is more specific. Trump has only one way to win the election by winning Florida (can go either way), Ohio (no Republican has ever won the presidency without this state), and Pennsylvania (last voted Republican in 1988). If he loses any one of these states, it's game over. Pennsylvania looks like its out of reach for Trump. The media floated Maine and the Western states as alternatives in the electoral college, but those are long shots in comparison to winning the trifecta.

  58. Re:Many believe that we live in a computer simulat by Immerman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And they're nuts. Humanity has a solid evolutionary record on this planet. Life might have originated elsewhere, but it became human here. If humanity exists elsewhere in the universe, it almost certainly originated here and was exported, either via alien influence, or some improbable human culture that developed the ability to travel between worlds without leaving any archaeological evidence. The only other option is convergent evolution - and to converge enough to be called human (say, able to interbreed?) is so outlandishly unlikely as to make the alternatives seem positively mundane in comparison.

    Yeah, yeah. Battlestar. Whoosh. etc.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  59. Re: we are not worthy ! by Gilgaron · · Score: 2

    Unless running our simulation is so paltry it is like a Tamigotchi to the Super Intelligence. In which case we're just in a drawer waiting for a garage sale, or the battery to run down.

  60. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 3, Informative

    Given the final vote totals, Sanders wouldn't have won even if the superdelegates had been eliminated. The only way he could have won is if the superdelegates overwhelmingly voted to give the nomination to him instead of Clinton, and thus denied the popular vote (she won both more primary votes, and more elected delegates, than Sanders).

  61. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by JustNiz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well in the reality that is everyones other than yours she is clearly a psychopathic power crazed loon, a pathological liar, a clear security risk, already in the pockets of foreign powers, and a fucking out and out criminal that is currently under investigation for possible treason and would have already been in jail by now had she not also have had the Director of the FBI and the Attorney General in her pocket because they are (almost) as corrupt as her.

  62. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

    Well in the reality that is everyones other than yours she is clearly a psychopathic power crazed loon, a pathological liar, a clear security risk, already in the pockets of foreign powers, and a fucking out and out criminal that is currently under investigation for possible treason and would have already been in jail by now had she not also have had the Director of the FBI and the Attorney General in her pocket because they are (almost) as corrupt as her.

    Don't you ever get tired repeating the right-wing echo chamber talking points?

  63. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

    He needed 60% because of the DNC "Super Delegates" hand picked by the DNC to support Hillary.

    Bernie Sanders ran an outsider campaign against the status quo — and lost. As for the other guy, I don't even remember his name because his campaign didn't amount to anything. If blaming Hillary floats your boat, be my guest.

  64. We have such high opinion of ourselves by lamer01 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Funny how most of the slashdotters assume that we are being simulated. We could be just emergent properties of the simulation. The simulation could be just a scientific endeavour into quantum mechanics for example. We just happened to coalesce due to the math.

  65. Re:Many believe that we live in a computer simulat by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 2

    American law doesn't require that Trump outsource his work overseas.

    It doesn't require it but it strongly encourages it. Textiles are almost impossible to make in the US. I found one company that makes dress shirts in the US. They start at $120 per shirt, so that's a very small market.

    Trump's idea is to remove those incentives for moving jobs overseas, and put in policies that strongly encourage companies to do their work here instead. This is needed to stop the trade deficits that are bleeding the country of jobs and resources.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  66. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Mashiki · · Score: 4, Informative

    Yeah, and you're the type of person who'd say that there are no connections when 10+ outlets suddenly all come out yesterday with exactly the same talking points about Pence and his non-2020 campaign. Or that 90% of beltway reporters either vote democrat or are registered democrats, or that 80% or so of reporters in general are democrats. Even when there is plenty of evidence to the contrary. There might be right-wing talking points, but there sure is a democrat echo chamber.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  67. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Mashiki · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Donald Trump made the assumption that Lester Holt, the NBC moderator for the first debate, was a Democrat. Holt is actually a registered Republican.

    And that has what do to do about the topic at hand? Besides you trying to shift things.

    What you see in the general media is a corporate echo chamber that pounces on anything and everything to drive up ratings. If Trump behaves himself after the next debate by not tweeting at 3AM in the morning, the media might go back to making up stuff about Hillary's health.

    No, what you see is the democrats having an active hand in the media. Or did you forget that the Obama administration was directly leaning on reporters and media organizations by denying them access, or that multiple media organizations(as shown by the DNC leaks), were publishing both DNC and Obama administration talking points as original reporting. In some cases going as far as to directly sending stories to the DNC for reviewing to ensure they comply with their viewpoint.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  68. Re:Patch, reboot by liquidsin · · Score: 2

    NOBODY *plans* to upgrade to Windows 10. It just, sort of, *happens*.

    --
    do not read this line twice.
  69. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Pfhorrest · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Unless you live in a swing state, "protest votes" are the only way to effect any change. Voting for either major party in a non-swing state neither changes who wins the election nor sends any kind of feedback inducing any party to change. You're just voting for business as usual, whatever that should happen to be.

    Voting for a third party doesn't influence who wins the election either, but it influences the statistics that the major parties use to target their platforms to capture those lost votes.

    --
    -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
    "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
  70. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

    Thanks for proving you really are nothing more than a stuck needle.

    The purpose of Slashdot is to keep me amused at work while I wait for a script to finish running. Thank you for your participation!

  71. Re:Many believe that we live in a computer simulat by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 2

    Trump's idea is to remove those incentives for moving jobs overseas, and put in policies that strongly encourage companies to do their work here instead.

    Hillary has proposed the same thing. I trust her to appoint someone who will get the job done. Trump will be too busy putting his name on the White House.

    Bullshit. She's a fucking Globalist writ large. She will continue proxy wars and bombing in the Middle East, importing H1-Bs to replace Americans who will train them, open the borders for anyone who wants to come, and encourage any job to move overseas and jack up tax rates on corporations (currently the highest in the world) to even higher levels. She loves TPP (oh - she's she denied it when Bernie opposed it, but will either "change her opinion" or just come up with something worse with a new name), she supports TPIP, she loves NAFTA and wants it expanded, etc., etc.

    I don't trust her for shit. She works for Wall Street, the banks, foreign nationals and multinational corporations (all of whom she has cozy relationships with). Disaster.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  72. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by cfalcon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    > He failed to get the votes.

    Yea, that's not really disputed. The issue at hand does involve WHY, however, and the supposedly-neutral DNC actively strategizing against him is literally what everyone is complaining about with "establishment" candidates this year.

    It's a fact that the DNC CFO was in emails trying to get play on Sanders' religious status ("My Southern Baptist peeps would draw a big difference between a Jew and an atheist.").
    It's a fact that Schlutz shat all over him in emails that clearly showed her allegiance against him, and was promptly promoted into the Hillary campaign as soon as she resigned (arguably, she was already part of it, yukyuk yuk!).
    It's a fact that Hillary's lawyer emails the DNC with advice that sounds like they just coordinate like, all the time, against Sanders.

    It definitely proved what everyone on both sides suspects- the amount of power in these closed groups is large, and their fairness (at least on the Democrat side) is just a farce. If Trump didn't have huge support on the right, he would have been erased as well.

    So no, Sanders couldn't get all the votes. But it is clear he was never playing by the same rules as Hillary, and that groups that should have helped him or stayed neutral instead did the opposite.

    I get that you are going to vote for Hillary, and it is in your best emotional interest to downplay the fact that everyone around her always seems to be up to some shady shit. But there's really not much room on this topic: the emails show a lot of bullshit, and they are presumably just the tip of the iceberg, the only part we got to see due to the actions of some hacker. It doesn't take much creativity to extrapolate from what we do have. This was a rigged game. It was unethical at the very least, and I wouldn't be surprised if something criminal popped up at some point, either.

  73. Money does not prevent stupidity by gweihir · · Score: 2

    And stupid these people are.

    First, there is no way to quantify the probability that we are in a simulation. Sure, it is a valid scenario, bit the "estimates' given are about as valid as the "proofs" used to "show" that God exists: They are utterly disconnected from observable facts. All base-date for the "estimates" is made up and/or presented as "obvious".

    And second, if we live indeed in a simulation, why do they think there even is a possibility to "break out"? There is no factual basis for that assumption either. Sounds like some people have mistaken "The Matrix" or a documentary.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  74. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by quax · · Score: 2

    "... currently under investigation for possible treason"

    If you believe in an objective reality, this is statement that can actually be very easily verified. I suggest you look into it.

  75. Re: Many believe that we live in a computer simula by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

    Wow. You're serious.

    Okay...

    1) ALL politicians lie to the american people. And it's not their fault. It's the voter's fault.
    Almost all politicians lie 25% to 33% of the time.
    A majority of these are lies of omission (about 66% to 75%).
    But about a quarter to a third of their lies are bald faced flat out howlers.

    2) Various fact checking sites show that Clinton lies a little less than other politicians on average. Probably not because she's noble but because she knows everything she says will be fact checked. Most of her lies are unprovable, "I can't recall" or lies of omission.

    3) Trump lies (provably) over 70% of the time. And he lacks the cleverness to lie by omission. Most of his lies are bald faced howlers. When called on his lies he a) attacks the interviewer (and he's mostly retreated to the safety of sean hannity now to avoid this) b) immediately covers the lie with several other lies, or c) changes the subject. If lying is important to you- Trump verifiably lies 2-3 times more than Clinton.

    4) In the debate, Trump lied 34 times- Clinton lied 4 times. I think two of her lies were kinda weak. In any case, trump lied almost an order of magnitude more than Trump.

    5) And the entire point of the Debate was to set Pence up to either a) agree that trump lied or b) provide a lovely attack ad which shows Pence lying AND also reminds the public of Trump's lies, insults, and word salads. I WANT a president who is clever enough to box an opponent in with lateral thinking like that. I don't want a president who can be baited with a tweet or set preening with a lame complement by a hostile foreign leader.

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  76. Re:If you beleive in the simmulation hypothesis th by rainmouse · · Score: 2

    Logically if this is a simmulation then one would guess that the players controlled by external overlords would be the most powerful sims.

    You are assuming that the simulation is multiplayer. Maybe it is single player, in which case only I am real, and you and Donald Trump are simply artifacts of the simulation.

    You are assuming there are any players. Perhaps it's just a lab experiment simulation run in fast-forwards to see how long it takes for clouds of helium to realise they are in a simulation.

    Maybe plenty other simulations are running at the same time with the laws of physics tuned differently and that the real universe (if it is real) is so very different from what we could ever imagine.

  77. Sim City: Planet Earth by XXongo · · Score: 2

    Logically if this is a simmulation then one would guess that the players controlled by external overlords would be the most powerful sims. that is to say movie stars or Tech billionaires or Trump like dictators.

    Close. The players would be the ones with lives filled with action. So, if your life consists of sitting in a basement unemployed and surfing the internet, you're probably a non-player character, but if you get shot at a lot, and shoot back, you may be a player. It's not fun to be shot at in real life... but in a game, it's the whole reason you're there.

    My guess is that the game was called "World War!" and they probably just forgot to turn it off after finishing play.

    (Of course, it depends on what the unknown players are playing. They may be playing ''Sim City: Planet Earth'', in which case politicians and engineers are major players.)

  78. There really is no free lunch, I wish there were by raymorris · · Score: 3, Interesting

    > Low taxes are not a solution to unemployment. They might encourage companies to move, but the jobs are low paid. If they were not low paid, the taxes wouldn't be a big factor and there wouldn't be much incentive to move them.

    I sure WISH we could get free money by taking a billion from this person, a billion from that company, and it had no effect. Free money! That's simply not the case, though - look at California versus Texas over the last 20 years. Due to T&C costs, companies have moved from California to Texas. Unemployment is now 50% higher in California. The average income in Texas buys a house two and half times larger than California. Those are the facts. California tried to get that "free" money, just tax the hell out of everybody, nothing bad will happen, right? Now they're a tad fucked, mush worse off than Texas, where the opposite approach was used.

    It would also be nice to think that only melon-packing jobs are leaving, but that's not the case. The software company I work for had two offices in the US, employing many systems architects, programmers, etc. The median salary is likely six figures. Now they've opened offices in Cali, Colombia, and that's where they are hiring the programmers and project managers. These are six figure jobs. You CAN still get a melon-packing job in California, though http://joeproduce.com/ .

    Our health care system does need some work. It needs several changes. A month ago I went in for an annual physical. I've become absolutely convinced that the first, most important, and simplest thing we need to do is have upfront pricing. Doctors sent my wife and I for MRIs. We called the place we were referred to and asked how much they charge. It was a little difficult to get that information - nobody seemed to know. $2,200. I Googled "Dallas MRI" and called the first place that came up - $1,200 9AM-5PM, $1,000 after 5PM, and a $150 additional discount if I fill out the insurance paperwork instead of having them do it. A 5 minute phone call dropped the price in HALF, but virtually nobody does that. A month ago, I went for an annual physical and my doctor said he wanted to do some blood tests, so we did that. I got a thick envelope in the mail with some really good information, and a bill for $3,000. If the doctor had said "I'd like to do $3,000 worth of blood tests" I would have said "no way!" We probably would have done a few important tests, with a reasonable price. So upfront pricing would be very good, I think. Further, insurance companies already calculate the *average* price for each procedure in each geographical area. I'd love to see that disclosed ahead of time, "we'd like to do an MRI and charge you $2,200; the average price of an MRI in Dallas in $1,400." Who wants to bet many providers would realize they'd better say "the average price is $1,400, we're going to charge $1,250"?

    Another thing we need to do is figure out the difference between INSURANCE and HEALTH CARE. Insurance, whether it be auto insurance, home insurance, renters insurance, or medical insurance, is designed to cover unexpected, high costs that you can't budget for. Home insurance is for when your house burns down, not replacing a $10 air filter in your AC or maintenance such as mowing the grass. Car insurance covers you when your total your car, not when you need an oil change or brake pads. I notice that when I go to my doctor for a flu shot, there are two doctors in the office and three people handling claims paperwork, because they deal with a bunch of paperwork and bureaucracy for every $20 flu shot, making it cost $40-$50 in the end. Again, a simple way to cut the cost in half is to use insurance as *insurance*, and use a $20 bill for a flu shot.

    The US government is designed to be, is supposed to be, very different from the government of North Korea and similar prices. It's supposed to be FAIR, it's supposed to be TRANSPARENT, it's designed to be ACCOUNTABLE. We have a series of public hearings before each decision is m