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Study Links Human Actions To Specific Arctic Ice Melt (sciencemag.org)

sciencehabit writes from a report via Science Magazine: Since at least the 1960s, the shrinkage of the ice cap over the Arctic Ocean has advanced in lockstep with the amount of greenhouse gases humans have sent into the atmosphere, according to a study published this week in Science. Every additional metric ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) puffed into the atmosphere appears to cost the Arctic another 3 square meters of summer sea ice -- a simple and direct observational link that has been sitting under scientists' noses. If current emission trends hold, the study suggests the Arctic will be ice free by 2045 -- far sooner than some climate models predict. The study suggests that those models are underestimating how warm the Arctic has already become and how fast that melting will proceed. And it gives the public and policymakers a concrete illustration of the consequences of burning fossil fuels. For instance, a U.S. family of four would claim nearly 200 square meters of sea ice, based on U.S. emissions in 2013. Over 3 decades, that family would be responsible for destroying more than an American football field's worth of ice.

119 of 234 comments (clear)

  1. shrinkage...puffed...emission by turkeydance · · Score: 2

    yeah, it's porn

  2. Time to take nuclear seriously.... by pollarda · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If greenhouse gases are truly a concern it is time to take nuclear seriously. As plenty of people on /. already know, our current reactors are based on nuclear submarine technology so there is cross pollination of ideas and techniques. However, there are plenty of alternative reactor designs such as pebble bed and molten salt reactors which are self modulating and are physically impossible to have a "melt down" or get into runaway situation. Similarly, there are plenty of ways to deal with waste that are safe and won't be disturbed for 100,000 years if we are willing to actually move forward and not get stuck in the same ruts we've been running in for the last 50 years. Nuclear is one of the few (if only) alternatives to oil that has the energy density to power a modern civilization like it or not. It's that or we continue to spew greenhouse gasses and in that case we should stop whining about it as we made our choice.

    1. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

      I'd love for nuclear power to take off. But every time people try to put it forth, there are a squintillion (that's a lot) naysayers crapping all over the concept. They talk about anti-AGW people being thick-skulled.... Try telling a Green that Nuclear Power is a vastly superior and cleaner alternative.

      --
      It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
    2. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by ClickOnThis · · Score: 4, Informative

      Try telling a Green that Nuclear Power is a vastly superior and cleaner alternative.

      Actually, the "Greens" have been telling us that very thing:

      http://www.wsj.com/articles/en...
      https://www.washingtonpost.com...
      http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06...

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    3. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by pollarda · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The problem with the Titanic is that it failed because of an engineering failure. Something didn't work as planned. Reactors such as pebble bed reactors and molten salt reactors do what they do because of the laws of physics (vs the laws of engineering where everything gets screwed up if a valve breaks.). For example, with both pebble bed and molten salt reactors, they have run tests where they have turned off all coolant. Yea, they get hot but they self modulate because of how they are designed. For them to not work would require the laws of physics to stop working as well. To dive further into the example, pebble bed reactors are basically a giant tub of balls. Each ball has a specific amount of nuclear material in the center and are surrounded by an outside shell. As the reactor runs, they get hot as you'd expect. However, as the balls heat up, they also expand and when they expand, they push the neighboring balls away which slows the reaction. For pebble bed reactors to overheat, the laws of physics that cause hot items to expand would have to cease working. Molten salt reactors work a bit differently though not that much differently.

      I like solar. It is great. I'm considering installing it on my house. It just doesn't have the energy density needed to drive modern societies. How many solar panels will it take to power a steel mill? The solar projects in the Nevada desert have been a failure by and large and are more a kickback for Harry Reid than anything else. Wind it cool too. Not many places where you can install it. My brother works for the company that fixes windmills. He says they are far from environmental and are frequently abandoned as soon as the federal funding runs out. The fiberglass blades need to be constantly repaired and then replaced while the old ones go to the landfill as there isn't any way to recycle fiberglass. They leak oil like a sieve and the gearing breaks down due to the immense torque needed to ramp up the RPMs. (They gear up the RPMs from approximately 6 RPM to 1,000 RPM to get the generators to work.) I'm all for alternative sources of power. In fact, I think that most new houses should have passive solar as a matter of course. I've always been puzzled why people don't do this as it is basically free power / lower energy bills. Even so, nuclear is the only power source that can power a modern society.

    4. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Problem with pebble-bed design isn't coolant, it is jamming of the pebble-release mechanism. When they jam it IS possible and in fact inevitable to reach criticality and generate heat to melt the uranium suspending medium of the pebbles. Then it is the same risk, run-away reaction and breach of containment and real fallout.

    5. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      Even so, nuclear is the only power source that can power a modern society.

      You're assuming the goal includes maintaining a modern industrialized society, or that it is even desired by many environmental/climate activists and proponents who would see de-industrialization of places like the US and a switch to a highly structured and centrally-planned low-tech agrarian society as a good thing.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    6. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      Controlling global warming is the only way to ensure continued industrial society. There are stable markets in which to sell things when natural disaster destroys a population center.

      It's not like one day things are fine and then one day suddenly OMGAGWTSUNAMIHURRICANETORNADOEARTHQUAKEFLOODDROUGHT!!!11!!!

      Changes will generally be extremely gradual, as changes to the climate in the past have generally been extremely gradual, occurring over large periods of time relative to the pace of change in human societies and technology. We also have the power and will have the time to adapt just as humans have always done throughout history. The climate IS going to change no matter what we do, and so far everything that's been proposed seriously would only slightly mitigate the rate of change by a few tenths of a percent, but coming at a huge cost in lives lost and human suffering.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    7. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The problem with the Titanic is that it failed because of an engineering failure

      Minor nitpick - I used to think that too but what changed my mind was an opinion article that had been written at the time by Joseph Conrad, you can read it on Project Gutenberg. The ship hit the iceberg at speed. Whether the steel was brittle or not and whether the compartments were large or not is unlikely to have saved it. It's not as obvious situation as the "Liberty Ships" of poor design, poorer materials and where it was politically expedient to ignore the problem for as long as possible.

      Back to nuclear - "economic rationalism" is why it's not being used much. China, Russia and until recently France were not encumbered by that view so they didn't see anything wrong with huge projects with huge capital costs so long as they provided a return in the long run. In most of the west small things with rapid returns are the only things seen as viable - and you can't build a viable nuclear power station to fit that bill. You need a lot of steam to have something that gives you decent MW/$. They can be tiny reactors, in fact that is a very good idea, so long as you have a lot of them feeding a few enormous turbines. If you don't have a lot of steam waste a lot of the energy you put in just to overcome friction while if you have a lot a steam even low pressures can spin a turbine (hence multiple passes in modern steam turbines as the steam gets used again and again until it is very low pressure). Nuclear power projects are by their nature large. If it isn't large it's either an experimental thing or in some way connected with weapon production and not a nuclear power project all.

      Even so, nuclear is the only power source that can power a modern society.

      Time for a major nitpick - nuclear is best at very large unit sizes running 24/7/365 - base load. It is crap at following demand especially with sharp peaks in demand. There is no "one true energy", there are types of base load generators and peak load generators. If you don't have a mix it ends up being a mess. Among other power sources those little windmills providing less power than an aircraft engine can be brought online a few at a time to make up the difference between demand and base load supply. They compete with gas turbines not nukes, hydro or coal. It's fine to be a fan, but quotes like the one you've used above are somewhat divergent from reality and look a bit cargo-cultish.

    8. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by Imrik · · Score: 1

      You realize the incidence rate of hurricanes in the area has significantly dropped in recent years.

    9. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Who do you think designs solar and wind turbines? Engineers and scientists and chemists. Moron.

    10. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by vinlud · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The main problem with nuclear is simply that it is fairly expensive if you calculate in the all the costs outside of operating costs. You see almost no commercially funded nuclear power plants and that is for a reason.
      With the rapidly increasing efficiency of solar panels and subsequently lowering price per unit of energy, even though sources like solar are not optimal to provide baseline power. the costs are coming down so rapidly that it becomes feasable to just transform solar into stored forms of energy or simply plant so many of them that a significant portion of your base load is guaranteed

      --
      Repeat after me: We are all individuals
    11. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      When they jam it IS possible and in fact inevitable to reach criticality

      Because? Last I heard, it was not possible, much less inevitable. And air cooling was enough to prevent said heat build up.

    12. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Controlling global warming is the only way to ensure continued industrial society.

      And adaptation is the obvious way to do that.

    13. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      If you look at the demonstration/R&D reactors using these great new technologies, they failed because of unforeseen engineering problems. If you look at existing commercial reactors, the ones that have failed did so because of poor management and operational mistakes.

      Say you want to develop a thorium reactor. It's going to cost you tens of billions of Euros, and in the end it might not work. You also have not solved the human factor problems, because although the design is a bit more fail-safe it only works if build correctly and maintained properly. In Europe at least, nuclear projects tend to be very expensive, and not because of NIMBYs or anything like that.

      At the same time, renewables and utility scale batteries are getting cheaper at a rapid pace. By the time you have finished building your new reactor they will be cheaper than coal.

      If you can convince someone with tens of billions of Euros to invest in your idea, go for it. You would probably have more luck developing renewable technology though. If it's a government you are trying to convince, its money would be better spent upgrading people's homes to be more energy efficient and doing R&D into more efficient technologies at universities.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    14. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by chiefcrash · · Score: 2

      In West Germany, in 1986, an accident involved a jammed pebble that was damaged by the reactor operators when they were attempting to dislodge it from a feeder tube. This accident released radiation into the surrounding area. While things have improved, I can't imagine how it *wouldn't* be possible for pebbles to get jammed. Pretending it can't happened is simply dangerous.

      --
      Show me on the 1st Amendment bobblehead where the moderator touched you...
    15. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by dywolf · · Score: 1

      Seriously, the only people calling for that, are the caricatures that exist solely in your head.
      Reality is far different.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    16. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by dywolf · · Score: 2

      yet the hurricane season is beginning earlier, lasting longer, and thus ending later.
      hurricanes are also vastly complex systems that are both weather AND climate, that both cause and impact both.

      besides, limiting yourself to hurricanes limits you geographically, since the term is geographic.
      the proper term is tropical storm, of which tropical cyclone is a subset which includes cyclones, hurricanes, and typhoons.

      and last year saw several record setting typhoons, that are ignored by the fallacious statement about hurricanes, including the Cyclone Chapala, the 2nd strongest cyclone ever recorded in the Arabian Sea, and the first to ever make landfall on the Arabian peninsula in Yemen.

      in fact, in your ignorance, your untrue statement misses that the 2015-16 season for tropical cyclones in the Pacific was in fact one of the most disastrous ever recorded.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    17. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by jdschulteis · · Score: 1

      My view? Nuclear is a good stopgap to reduce the amount of air pollution released while we get our energy sector heading in a direction more viable in the long term.

      I used to share this view. Now I see nuclear as just too expensive. A nuclear plant in my state shut down a few years ago because it wasn't cost-competitive with burning fracked natural gas. As the R&D is done to make nuclear safer and cheaper, it has to chase continuing cost reductions for solar and wind. Improvements to the grid (which are a good idea anyway), and storage are probably a better use of resources. Distributed production and storage of electricity could make for a more resilient energy infrastructure.

      Waste reprocessing needs improvement.

      Reprocessing is not done mostly because making new fuel from raw uranium is cheaper. With solar becoming cheaper than coal, reprocessing may never become economically viable. We should look into whether building some fast reactors to "burn" existing spent fuel stockpiles is the best way to deal with them. (Expensive electricity, but there is value in reducing the radioactivity of the waste.)

      The leaky barrels buried under the western US are kind of a bummer...

      Bummer indeed, but those barrels mostly originate from weapons production, not power production.

    18. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      In West Germany, in 1986, an accident involved a jammed pebble that was damaged by the reactor operators when they were attempting to dislodge it from a feeder tube.

      And the result was:

      On May 4, 1986, just 6 months after it was connected to the power grid, a fuel pebble became lodged in a fuel feed pipe to the reactor core. Consequently, some radioactive dust was released to the environment.

      Nothing to do with criticality. We need to keep in mind here that criticality is a matter of sufficient density of nuclear fuel and neutrons of the appropriate energy. Fuel pebbles are designed to be insufficiently dense to allow this to happen. Damaging one doesn't change this in the least.

    19. Re:Time to take nuclear seriously.... by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      and last year saw several record setting typhoons, that are ignored by the fallacious statement about hurricanes, including the Cyclone Chapala, the 2nd strongest cyclone ever recorded in the Arabian Sea, and the first to ever make landfall on the Arabian peninsula in Yemen.

      So you're saying that Yemen got much more rainfall than normal and is likely to continue to? It's a desert, ya know. Now we know why Saudi Arabia is pumping oil just as fast as they can—they're trying to improve their climate and that of their neighbors.

  3. Re: Humans are a virus by rickb928 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Think globally, act locally. Or individually.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
  4. Re: OK I believe you this time by rickb928 · · Score: 1

    This.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
  5. Re:This story will be full of trolls by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 2

    Spoken like a true troll.

    --
    It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
  6. 3 square meters? by Bartles · · Score: 2

    Um. Any one else see a problem with using surface area to describe a volumetric substance?

    1. Re:3 square meters? by Dutchmaan · · Score: 2

      They're likely referring to the earths surface area, as that is the what they would use to estimate how much of the suns heat is reflected back out into space because of the ice.

    2. Re:3 square meters? by TapeCutter · · Score: 5, Informative

      Um. Any one else see a problem with using surface area to describe a volumetric substance?

      Yes, it's misleading. Since the 1960's, 40-50% of the ice has melted when measured by surface area, but 70-80% of has melted when measured by volume. The volume measurements come from the US navy who declassified historical ice thickness data from it's nuclear submarine fleet about a decade ago. More recent data comes from satellite measurements.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    3. Re:3 square meters? by hey! · · Score: 3, Informative

      Sure, but they aren't describing a volumetric substance; they're describing a parameter -- sea ice extent. Sea ice volume is a different parameter.

      These two parameters are of course correlated, but not in a simple way. For example wind can blow ice away from regions of ice formation, resulting in much greater extent and volume, but less volume/extent (e.g. thinner ice). This by the way is why sometimes Antarctic ice extent increases as temperatures increase -- because winds can also increase.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    4. Re: 3 square meters? by SuperKendall · · Score: 1, Redundant

      Hi, it's the Internet Science Fairy reminding you that Correlation does not imply Causation. There's nothing to wave away and nothing to build conclusions on either.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    5. Re: 3 square meters? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bullshit. If it was impossible to build conclusions then it would be impossible to do any science at all. Viz:

      * Hey look, F=ma
      * No ma is *correlated* with F.
      * Uh but I have this nice equation which describes all these results perfectly
      * Correlation is not causation.
      * ... but I have good reason to think it's the case too
      * Correlation is not causation.

      You can't wave away every causative relationship simply because there's a correlation in there. Causation does imply correlation so the presence of a correlation is not a negative thing.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    6. Re: 3 square meters? by smallfries · · Score: 1

      You seemed to have missd the step in the middle where the hypothesis is tested by predicting fresh empirical results - you know, "the science bit".

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    7. Re: 3 square meters? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      You seemed to have missd the step in the middle where the hypothesis is tested by predicting fresh empirical results - you know, "the science bit".

      That was implied in step 2. The point here is people keep on rabbiting on about "correlation is not causation" as if the presence of a correlation was a mark against something rather than in fact completely 100% necessary.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    8. Re: 3 square meters? by smallfries · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Indeed, there is a good xkcd about it. But what you have stated does not imply further measurements: it is also a valid description of a fishing expedition. Dating mining for correlations does not imply causations. Your description covers both approaches rather than implying one of them.

      --
      Slashdot: where don knuth is an idiot because he cant grasp the awesome power of php
  7. Re: OK I believe you this time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    A) Gore isn't a scientist, and B) his statement was that "some models" predict it in summer months. For what it's worth the summer arctic sea ice extent did fall to half of the 1981 to 2010 average in 2012. (Middle of the road models may have been spot on...)

  8. Re:Humans are a virus by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We're killing this planet and I don't know what to do about it.

    Well, how hard are we killing the planet? Global warming is pretty mild stuff as such things go.

    We're the only organisms on the planet that can't live in harmony with it (with the exception of maybe beavers).

    Except for all the many, many other plants and animals that don't live in harmony with Earth either. Unlike the vast majority of plants and animals, we've actually figured out how to control our population (in the developed world, of course).

    I know I'm not going to have kids for this reason.

    There you go.

  9. Home delivery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Artic ice melted and delivered at home via hurricane... Take that Amazon's drone.

  10. Moderator guidelines by TapeCutter · · Score: 5, Informative

    Misquoting Al Gore is "funny" not "informative".

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    1. Re:Moderator guidelines by Troed · · Score: 5, Informative

      To be fair, I'm not sure the actual quote is better.

      "North Polar Ice cap....75-80% chance that during summer months it will be completely and totally gone in five years..."

      If you want to check the authenticity, here's the video. I was in the audience at Web 2.0 Summit when he said this.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      (He's also factually wrong on the "millions of years" since there was no ice cap during summer in the beginning of the Holocene, or during the last interglacial)

  11. Re:And yet again... by russotto · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's not that Koch pays so well, it's that Soros is overextended with the election.

  12. Re:DGW - Dinosauric Global Warming by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think that a better mark against this (TFS at any rate) is that they mention this:

    For instance, a U.S. family of four would claim nearly 200 square meters of sea ice, based on U.S. emissions in 2013. Over 3 decades, that family would be responsible for destroying more than an American football field's worth of ice.

    So we have a length and width, but no height. So say we assume a height of 1um...doesn't seem like much ice.

  13. Re: OK I believe you this time by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So which model is the accurate one?

  14. Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by hyades1 · · Score: 1, Funny

    Your pet moderators are here in force. Let the lying begin!

    --
    I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    1. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      I offer many ideas (good ones) and lots of facts. I just don't bother, for the most part, engaging with global warming deniers anymore. They're liars and cheats, and I don't waste my time. On the other hand, I do enjoy pointing out that they are, in fact, liars and cheats in a low-effort, accurate manner.

      Heck, I even respond sometimes to anonymous cowards, and that's really going the extra mile.

      Bet I've got a lot more "5" comments than you. :-)

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    2. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by khallow · · Score: 1

      I offer many ideas (good ones) and lots of facts.

      Not in your recent posts. It's a bunch of vapid quick posts as far as the eye can see. Why not practice what you preach instead of being another anti-scientific hack on the internet?

    3. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I find them amusing. When they claim that modelling is useless because no modem is exactly right, I imagine them stepping out of their house in t-shirt and shorts, then wading through a metre of snow because they didn't trust the model used by the weather forecast.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    4. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Reminder that the MET office said that there would be no snowfall by 2010, and children born in the 1990's would be the last to see it. 2010 was also the year you guys froze your asses off, and sent experts to us here in South-Western Ontario to teach you how to deal with rapid, fast snowfalls with accumulation amounts greater than 15cm/h. And 15cm/h isn't even hitting the high point of what we see here, seeing 30-38cm/h is common highest I think we've ever seen is around 1m/h driven by lake effect. And final snowfalls were in the 8-11m range in a 24hr period, that was the winter so bad that the OPP were asking for anyone with a snowmobile to check the Kings Highways for stranded motorists and take them to the nearest detachment before they froze to death.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    5. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Do you have a link for when the Met Office said that? A quick Google didn't turn it up.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    6. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      As I said...

      And I will continue to dismiss denier trolls without wasting time debunking (for the hundredth time) yet another zombie myth.

      And if you're trying to hold comments at Slashdot up to some mythical standard of excellence, you clearly haven't been paying attention. They're all over the map...as are mine.

      I couldn't help but notice, by the way, that you have nothing to say even remotely acceptable by the standards you claim to espouse.

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    7. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      Liar

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    8. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      http://www.independent.co.uk/e... - they have of course scrubbed their original article which linked to the MET, and they independent has also scrubbed the original article. Just a FYI. Luckily there's some pdf snapshots around. You can start working backwards from that, and all you run into is scrubbed articles, stuff removed from web.archive.org and so on. Oops as they'd say.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    9. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I see your reading comprehension is up to its usual standards.

      The guy from the Met said snow will become rare and some children won't experience it. That matches what has actually happened in some parts of the UK. We used to get snow every year, and now I have a five year old cat who has never seen it. His predecessor was rather shocked when it happened the first time.

      When I was a kid the school would be closed every year due to snow and low temperature. Don't take my word for it though, simply review snowfall data for the south coast.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    10. Re:Welcome Global Warming Denier Trolls by khallow · · Score: 1

      I couldn't help but notice, by the way, that you have nothing to say even remotely acceptable by the standards you claim to espouse.

      Again, you don't even try. I'll note in comparison, that I have this thread.

      [david_thornley:]This got started in a discussion of funding research, so I assumed you were talking about benefits that could be used to direct funding. This means that I'm thinking of benefits that are at least an obvious potential before the work is done.

      I'll point out that you've claimed a number of things weren't predictable. But given that they came so soon after the relevant basic science issues, then maybe they weren't so unpredictable in the first place. The TV, for example, had prototype equipment dating back to near the turn of the century and the cathode ray tube goes back further (it was even considered a rival to the light bulb for a time). But with the discovery of the electron and the development of quantum mechanics, they were able to understand far better what an electron beam was and how to steer it effectively.

      That's what real argument looks like, responding to someone's argument with your comments, not empty name calling:

      Liar

  15. Re: Humans are a virus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If only your parents felt the same way.

  16. Re: OK I believe you this time by ArsonSmith · · Score: 2, Funny

    The one that makes us the most money.

    --
    Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
  17. Wonderful economic boom - northern route shipping by peterofoz · · Score: 1

    A softer or broken ice pack across Northern Canada would open a great shipping channel from Atlantic to Pacific avoiding the Panama Canal.

  18. Bibliography? by srw · · Score: 2

    And in related news, US spending on science, space, and technology correlates with suicides by hanging, strangulation and suffocation. http://tylervigen.com/spurious...

  19. Re:DGW - Dinosauric Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    No no no. Its Botanogenic Global Warming. The plants are farming humans for food - waiting for them to die and decompose, using fungi and microbes to render them into digestible food. And they have selected for the strains of humans that produce the most CO2, since plants thrive on that stuff.

    I, for one, am turning vegan right now.

  20. Re:Humans are a virus by dissy · · Score: 1

    Humans are a virus

    Humans are mammals. Would have thought the tits were a dead giveaway.

  21. small, beneficial global warming and CO2... by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    Many of us think that human activity causes some **small** global warming (without warmunists' proposed multifold amplification claims) and some think that this small amount might be good in several circumstances, along with CO2 fertilization. Some expect global cooling to become evident by 2020 for a few decades or perhaps, centuries.

    The things that coal needs to cleanup are aerosolized particulates, SOx, NOx along with heavy metals.

    1. Re:small, beneficial global warming and CO2... by Imrik · · Score: 1

      What about the disasters prevented by the change in climate? How many people didn't die?

    2. Re:small, beneficial global warming and CO2... by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

      Harvey, don't call yourself a nerd. You can't learn and think very well. Anyone capable of objective in-depth research and rational analysis would not reach the conclusions you just did there. You are not a nerd, or a geek. Consider that you might just have bad fashion sense.

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  22. Re:DGW - Dinosauric Global Warming by AxeTheMax · · Score: 1

    Arctic ice is floating and hence, unlike glacial and continental ice it has a limited range of total thickness - you can look it up. It probably varies less than the carbon footprint range of US families of four. This average family was chosen as a crude comparator, and you should take it as such.

  23. Re:Just to be clear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    ...there is no intrinsic necessity that the arctic be iced over.

    You are absolutely correct. Just like there is no intrinsic necessity that New Orleans, New York, and Miami are above water.

  24. Re:DGW - Dinosauric Global Warming by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    You forgot to mention the different arrangement of continents and lower solar flux levels. And the fact that higher oxygen concentrations would mean a lot more fires and more unhappy firemen. Oh, but you only pick the things you like, right?

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  25. Re:Doomsday Cult by dave420 · · Score: 1

    What's so difficult to understand about the process of learning?

  26. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 4, Informative

    This is what is happening to the arctic sea ice:

    http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicen...

    the line is noisy so predicting the next year is always a crapshoot, but the one thing that isn't going to happen is that the trend will change.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  27. Re:Humans are a virus by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Old joke:

    Two planets meet:
    "Hey, you look bad, what's the trouble?"
    "Homo sapiens"
    "Oh, don't worry, it will pass"

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  28. Isn't this the reason we have a backup? by Provocateur · · Score: 2

    So the Arctic ice will be gone, but this time we are prepared: This is precisely the reason we have a backup Gentlemen, we have the AntArctic.

    What?

    --
    WARNING: Smartphones have side effects--most of them undocumented.
  29. Re:DGW - Dinosauric Global Warming by nukenerd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Arctic ice is floating and hence, unlike glacial and continental ice it has a limited range of total thickness - you can look it up.

    Sorry, why didn't the writer of the article (or at least the summary here) look it up and quote it to us? The GP's point was that an area seems to be meaningless without a thickness being given (which his mention of 1um was surely meant only to highlight, not as a serious suggestion *). The same point brought me up short too when I read TFA.

    * Technically, it is a Reductio ad absurdum, a valid debating tool.

  30. Re: Humans are a virus by nukenerd · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What's selfish is those asshats who have more than two [children] (on purpose).

    Bin Laden's father had 56. Bin Laden only had about 25 himself; such restraint.

    Surely you are not suggesting that billionaire arabs should alter their lifestyle?

  31. Re: Humans are a virus by Imrik · · Score: 1

    It increases the population relative to adopting two from an overpopulated region.

  32. Re:Are you getting paid? by Imrik · · Score: 1

    Flamebait is flamebait, no matter which side of the argument it is on.

  33. Completely meaningless arithmetic by larwe · · Score: 2

    (I won't call it "math"). This is exactly analogous to saying "five million penguin farts are unleashed every year. there are 300 million people in the USA. Therefore, over a 30 year period, a family of four is directly responsible for two penguin farts."

  34. Re:Humans are a virus by khallow · · Score: 1

    Whether life in general lives in harmony or not

    My point is most life will consume as much resources and space as it can, they just don't have parking lots. They don't live in harmony any more than we do, they just don't have the same power to alter environments or transport themselves as we do.

    I think it is clear, if we look ahead to a far future - say in 500 to 1000 years - we will either have found a way to live sustainably on this planet, or we will be in rapid, possibly catastropihic, decline.

    I believe the developed world already figured that out. It's just a matter of spreading that knowledge to the rest of the world.

  35. Re:DGW - Dinosauric Global Warming by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 1, Informative

    The Jurassic period. [...]

    Yawn.

    --

    Stephan

  36. Re: OK I believe you this time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    They all are. Same basic physical laws underlying them, and the uncertainty has been on what humans will do with regards to emissions. The most optimistic scenarios would be that humans somehow drastically limit emissions, the next set of predictions is usually projections of current emissions levels, and the worst case tends to be "business as usual" where people completely ignore the issue.

    But hey, thanks for being the problem.

  37. Football fields, again? by c10 · · Score: 1

    What's that in square light years?

  38. Re:Doomsday Cult by khallow · · Score: 1

    What's so difficult to understand about the process of learning?

    The part where you call it "learning". Words have meaning.

  39. Re: OK I believe you this time by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    You don't understand how modelling works.

    Since it is usually impossible to predict the future of complex systems with perfect accuracy, instead you come up with a number of models based on different parameters, weighted by likelihood.

    With climate change we have the added requirement of wanting to know what will happen if we make different amounts of effort to tackle it. Do nothing, do a little, do as much as we can without reducing quality of life etc. So there are multiple models based on those different assumptions of what we can agree to do.

    We then look at all these models, weighted by likelihood and similarly to observed performance, and can see that they all say things will be bad, it's only a question of how bad.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  40. Re:DGW - Dinosauric Global Warming by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    So we have a length and width, but no height. So say we assume a height of 1um...doesn't seem like much ice.

    Arctic ice floats, at any given point in the arctic there's either ice or water.

    "One football field" less ice means "one football field" more water.

    It's not difficult to understand.

    --
    No sig today...
  41. Re:Just to be clear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Many would agree that the world would be better off if one of those cities was under water.

  42. Re: OK I believe you this time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You don't understand how modelling works.

    As a professional statistician, I say: "Right back at you".

    Models make assumptions. They contain errors, which is to say, variance (Some climate scientists deny their models have 'errors' - ignore these). Thus, the models have what is frequently called a confidence interval, or margin of error.
    As long as you made the correct assumptions, and those assumptions hold true for the entire predictive interval, then the predicted confidence interval is likely to contain the true value (dependent on the alpha chosen).

    But the assumptions made by most predictive climate scientists aren't justified. They aren't verified, and frequently are proved incorrect in just a few years. Take the ever-changing value over the CO2 forcing value. Is it 1.1 W/m^2? Is it 8.5 W/m^2?
    Many times, scientists manipulate data to make it easier to work with - rounding, eliminating outliers, ignoring measurement or proxy model errors, smoothing or averaging the data, even applying data from one location to other places hundreds or thousands of miles away. This violates your assumptions, and reduces the accuracy of your models.

    In addition, some of the most famous predictions are based on pure bunk 'science' - such as producing a data set with mean and variance from just one observation.

    Each model needs to have the methodology clearly explained, the data made available for everyone to access, and any supposed conclusions need to include accurate error bounds. If a released report doesn't include these, it isn't science - its PR.

  43. How science works. by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

    The whole AGC platform is based on the premise that CO2 is the driver of global temperatures to a degree that makes all other sources infinitesimal in comparison, and its doctrine does not allow dissent from the premise.

    The way science works in the real world is by comparing models to observations,and excluding the models that don't match the observations. The null hypothesis-- that the average temperature isn't warming-- is strongly excluded. So, if you want to propose that the effect is due to other variables: do the numbers. Make a model and show that it fits the data.

    Right now, anthropogenic global warming is a model that fits the data. If you think it's wrong, find another model.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  44. Fake quotes by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    It's easy to make up shit that supposedly Al Gore said that he didn't ever actually say, and post it as anonymous coward.

    Citation needed.

    And not a citation to "well, here's something he said that was kinda vaguely on the same subject, I just posted that completely made up quote as clickbait to get you to engage." You put it in quotations marks. Give me a cite to that quotation.

    I'm also puzzled as to why deniers are so fascinated with Al Gore. He's not a scientist. The people discussing anthropogenic global warming don't cite him at all, only the deniers. In the question of the science, it really doesn't matter what he said.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  45. Re: Humans are a virus by khallow · · Score: 1

    The developed world has by far done and continues to do the most damage.

    And by "damage" you mean? When I say damage, I mean actual harm now and in the future, not fantasy projections of the future based on exaggerated models.

  46. Re: OK I believe you this time by Layzej · · Score: 2

    For what it's worth the summer arctic sea ice extent did fall to half of the 1981 to 2010 average in 2012.

    Good point. Here's a graph of Arctic summer ice extent: Fairly stable until 1995 and then it seems to have fallen off a cliff. 2016 isn't shown here but it was the second lowest value on record after 2012. http://woodfortrees.org/plot/n...

    (Middle of the road models may have been spot on...)

    In fact the IPCC report projected much less arctic ice loss than has occurred.

  47. Re:Doomsday Cult by CajunArson · · Score: 1

    So.... there's been a relatively minor decrease in arctic sea ice over about 40 years since the late 1970's, a time when the exact same people screaming about Global Warming were claiming we were all going to die due to a new ice age?

    Yes, I did see that the scale on that graph was intentionally changed to make the decrease look "scarier" than it actually is. I also noted that it started at a time of unusually high ice concentration to provide a false benchmark of what supposedly "normal" or not.

    I'm not sufficiently terrified. Please go doctor up some more numbers.

    --
    AntiFA: An abbreviation for Anti First Amendment.
  48. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    a time when the exact same people screaming about Global Warming were claiming we were all going to die due to a new ice age

    Oh I see. You are what is technically known as "fucking knobhead".

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  49. Re:DGW - Dinosauric Global Warming by dywolf · · Score: 1

    you can copy pasta this ignorant garbage all you want, on every GW thread.

    but its still ignorant garbage.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  50. Re:Just to be clear by dywolf · · Score: 2

    warmer polar regions = less ocean circulation.
    less ocean circulation = more extreme climates. ie, if you live someplace cold, it's gonna get colder. live some place hot, its gonna get hotter. dry? drier. wet? wetter. ocean circulation is a gigantic moderator of planetary climate and weather.

    and no, the NW Passage never existed with human memory, until now.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  51. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    "Another ice age?" - published in Time magazine 1974, with lots of quotes from scientists.

    "the area of ice and snow cover had suddenly increased by 12% in 1971 and the increase has persisted ever since"

    "Areas of Baffin Island in the Canadian Arctic, for example, were once totally free of any snow in the summer; now they're covered all year round."

    One thing that has me perplexed reading these threads is that the "warmistas" don't really seem to base their opinion on actual science, or published facts. It seems they (you) have a belief that they're so sure is correct that any indication to the contrary must be a lie.

    Now, it is true that the majority of published science predicted warming even in the 1970s, but it's also correct that there were some studies that predicted cooling. Luckily we're warmer now than then - or to quote the scientists in the Time article again:

    "I don't believe the world's present population is sustainable if there are more than three years like 1972 in a row."

    source: http://www.skepticalscience.co...

  52. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

    "Another ice age?" - published in Time magazine 1974, with lots of quotes from scientists.

    Out of interest are you one of the people that laughs at the popular press' poor reporting of tech related issues?

    Global cooling was never more than a very much minority opinion among scientists. You'd know this if you were interested in actually what's going on rather than taking cheap shots based on two very old, thoroughly debunked popular press articles.

    It seems they (you) have a belief that they're so sure is correct that any indication to the contrary must be a lie.

    Says the guy quoting a "Time Magazine" article from 1974. Do you even listen to yourself?

    Now, it is true that the majority of published science predicted warming even in the 1970s,

    Yes.

    but it's also correct that there were some studies that predicted cooling.

    It was a minority opinion then and it rapidly became not even that. Science moves on. I love how you're pretending to be all sciency while cherry-picking minority opinions which have long since fallen out of the small favour they ever had.

    "I don't believe the world's present population is sustainable if there are more than three years like 1972 in a row." source:

    http://www.skepticalscience.co...

    That quote isn't in that article.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  53. S2 vs C3 by pubwvj · · Score: 1

    "Every additional metric ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) puffed into the atmosphere appears to cost the Arctic another 3 square meters of summer sea ice"

    That's an absurd statement. They're trying to correlate volume to area. Doesn't work. What is the thickness of the 3 sq-meters that is melting? 1 molecule? 1 meter? 1 kilometer? 4 kilometers?

    Sorry, but this is a nonsensical comparison. It is disinformation and propaganda. They need to stick with science.

  54. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    That quote is in the Time article as linked from the page I gave you. As to why you felt you needed to repeat the information in the page I linked to back to me I don't know. Obviously I knew it quite well.

  55. Arctic Sea Ice Diminished by Half Since 90's. by Layzej · · Score: 2

    I'm not sure that one data point is a great way to understand the trend over time. This animation shows sea ice evolution since the 1980s. It's quite dramatic: http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/4510

  56. Re:Humans are a virus by funwithBSD · · Score: 1

    Yeah, I got depressed as a teenager in the 1980s because the Russians and Americans were gonna blow the world up with nukes...

    and then I grew up.

    --
    Never answer an anonymous letter. - Yogi Berra
  57. Re: Humans are a virus by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    What kind of damage has the developed world done and continues to do?

    Well, looking at greenhouse gas emissions:

    http://www.wri.org/sites/defau...

    http://www.wri.org/sites/defau...

    And looking at issues like deforestation, species extinction, and fresh-water pollution, it is overwhelmingly the transnational corporations originating in the developed countries and supplying the developed countries which have had the largest destructive effects cumulatively, and are continuing to do so.
    I don't have time to source all of that for you, but you can look it up for yourself.

    You need to understand that just because, say, we've cleaned up the litter on our city streets better, and that we TALK about environmental issues more than the rest of the world, does not mean we are doing better than them on the serious global environmental destruction factors. We are still doing way worse, especially if you rate it on a per person basis. Way way worse. Orders of magnitude worse.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  58. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    As to why you felt you needed to repeat the information in the page I linked to back to me I don't know. Obviously I knew it quite well.

    Yet you don't seem to understand it.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  59. Analogies are for the birds by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    You're obviously living like an ostrich with its head in the sand, not like a pheasant.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  60. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    That's you confirming that you don't seem to be able to separate actual facts from your viewpoint of what you think they should be. I'm a regular reader of Skeptical Science, the IPCC reports, various journals etc. I even linked the very page that documents what scientific support there was for cooling vs warming in the 1970s.

    With that said, the grandparent _was_ correct in that scientists claimed we might be heading back into glacial conditions ("ice age"), and that it would be catastrophic for human survival.

    Your comment to the grandparent was to call him "fucking knobhead". I posted the relevant supporting facts.

    Maybe you should try the latter instead?

  61. Re:Humans are a virus by Ann+O'Nymous-Coward · · Score: 2

    Spoken like someone who has no damn clue how close he came to not growing up.

  62. Re:Humans are a virus by nukenerd · · Score: 1

    Unlike the vast majority of plants and animals, we've actually figured out how to control our population (in the developed world, of course).

    It isn't even working in the developed world. The people who actually want the Earth to become like the city of Coruscant, or like in Soylent Green, only use the relatively stable numbers of the indigenous people of the West as an excuse to import immigrants. Unfortunately the people who want this tend to be the more influential - business magnates who want the short term cheap labour, and politicians who love bigger crowds listening to them.

  63. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    With that said, the grandparent _was_ correct in that scientists claimed we might be heading back into glacial conditions ("ice age"), and that it would be catastrophic for human survival.

    Hardly. The OP actually said this:

    a time when the exact same people screaming about Global Warming were claiming we were all going to die due to a new ice age

    Furthermore, saying "scientists" implies some sort of support, not strictly greater than one scientist. It was never more than a small minority opinion and never had anything like the scientific consensus behind it. Bringing it up continually is the deepest form of fuckwittery.

    Your comment to the grandparent was to call him "fucking knobhead".

    Yep. Bringing up what amounted to a tiny minority opinion and a couple of popular press articles as some sort of evidence against science makes him a fucking knobhead. I stand by that.

    Maybe you should try the latter instead?

    I've lost track of what you're trying to say. The GP was being a right dickhed. You've jumped in with facts supporting not what the GP actually said but some rather peculiar interpretation of what he said. Oh you also ignored the supporting facts I did in fact bring up in the previous post to the GP which he summarily ignored during his act of dickheaddery. I really no longer have any idea what point you're trying to make.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  64. Re: OK I believe you this time by Layzej · · Score: 2

    Take the ever-changing value over the CO2 forcing value. Is it 1.1 W/m^2? Is it 8.5 W/m^2?

    The first order forcing of CO2 is 5.35*ln(C/C0)Wm^-2 . Not a lot of controversy there. You've given it as a constant without regard to relative C. Are you sure you understood what you were looking at?

  65. Some of us are carbon negative by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Some of us grew up on tree farms and have always lived low impact lifestyles with renewables that made them carbon negative.

    It's not hard.

    There are simple things you can do. The easiest is make a run to Costco and buy up LED lights on sale, which literally saves you tons of dollars on your utility bill. The second easiest is replace your old fridge, washer, dishwasher, and dryer with modern Energy Star appliances (use your tax refund), which literally saves you tons of dollars on your utility bill. The third easiest is replace one of your cars or trucks with a modern plug-in electric car (which would still work when gasoline spikes to $10 a gallon and even today tends to cost about 1/10th the cost of buying gas (and has half the maintenance costs).

    Did you notice that every single one of those things saves you money. So, why aren't you saving money? Seriously.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  66. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    "Consensus" is not part of the scientific method.

    In all your posts here you've managed to validate exactly what I described from the start. Those who scream most loudly (and use foul language to describe others) are the ones who know the least science.

  67. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    Cherry picking long debunked results from at best a very tiny minority of scientists is even worse than using consensus. Remember, I'm only guilty of using foul language, you're using foul thinking which is infinitely worse.

    And besides, consensus in practice is part of the scientific method. It's not the super simplified schoolboy version that non scientists like to spout, but in real science it's there. The consensus is that Newton's laws hold far from c, relativity works and that the standard model works. If you want to overturn the consensus, you need significant evidence because the consensus is itself supported by significant evidence. Consensus works surprisingly well and means scientists don't need to waste time on every crackpot theory that comes along.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  68. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    Which each new post you continue to prove my original point. I suggest you call it a day.

    consensus in practice is part of the scientific method. It's not the super simplified schoolboy version that non scientists like to spout, but in real science it's there.

    vs

    "In questions of science, the authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning of a single individual."
      Galileo Galilei ... and no one "cherry picked" anything (let me guess - you spout random words in debates hoping that eventually you'll get something right?). The grandparent talked about the 70s. I quoted from one of the well known articles about it. Nothing in it has been "debunked" (again, random spouting of words) - the statements by the scientists in that article are as correct today as when they were written. Nothing was wrong with their observations.

    I don't think you've ever read a scientific article actually.

    http://www.goodreads.com/quote...

  69. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    "In questions of science, the authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning of a single individual.",

    Sure, but that requires a *reasoning* individual. The people here going against the consensus have political, financial or borderline religious reasons for doing so.

    In practice, glib quotes aside, consensus does not exist in a vacuum. It exists because the edivence does not make it obviously wrong, and in fact supports it. That doesn't mean the consensus is right, but to overturn it, you have to have more or better evidence.

    the statements by the scientists in that article are as correct today as when they were written. Nothing was wrong with their observations.

    You know except their observations disagreed with the majority and then it turned out shortly that hey the majority were right and cooling wasn't happening. Apart from being wrong nothing was wrong.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  70. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    Sure, but that requires a *reasoning* individual. The people here going against the consensus have political, financial or borderline religious reasons for doing so.

    No, we were talking about the respected scientists having published peer reviewed papers with regards to global cooling in the 70s, as referenced and counted by Skeptical Science.

    ... as I said. With each new post you continue to prove my original point. Cooling was happening. We had hypotheses as to why. You should really study some climate science before posting.

  71. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    No, we were talking about the respected scientists

    No, *you* are. You seemed to bring it up not in relation to the actual conversation which was going on..

    Cooling was happening.

    No it wasn't. Some people thought it was. But not many because as it turned out the data didn't support it. You are taking a not disregarded very much minority opinion and presenting it as fact all the while claiming you're being scientific. That is, frankly, laughable.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  72. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    But not many because as it turned out the data didn't support it.

    Again, I'd urge you to read some actual climate science before spouting off your beliefs.

    The following is a quote from IPCC TAR, Working Group 1:

    Twentieth century temperature trends show a broad pattern of tropical warming, while extra-tropical trends have been more variable. Warming from 1910 to 1945 was initially concentrated in the North Atlantic and nearby regions. The Northern Hemisphere shows cooling during the period 1946 to 1975 while the Southern Hemisphere shows warming. The recent 1976 to 2000 warming was largely globally synchronous, but emphasised in the Northern Hemisphere continents during winter and spring, with year-round cooling in parts of the Southern Hemisphere oceans and Antarctica. North Atlantic cooling between about 1960 and 1985 has recently reversed. Overall, warming over the Southern Hemisphere has been more uniform during the instrumental record than that over the Northern Hemisphere. ... but I'm quite sure I could quote IPCC reports all day long and you'd still spout of random words about "debunking", "minority opinions" and other things you pick up at strange places (none of them even coming close to reporting actual science)

  73. Re: Humans are a virus by khallow · · Score: 1

    Well, looking at greenhouse gas emissions:

    Exactly. The only thing that the developed world emits more of per capita.

    And looking at issues like deforestation, species extinction, and fresh-water pollution, it is overwhelmingly the transnational corporations originating in the developed countries and supplying the developed countries which have had the largest destructive effects cumulatively, and are continuing to do so.

    Exactly, these are issues of the developing world, caused by themselves. Just because it is the fad to find some way, no matter how contrived, to blame developed world countries, it remains that the developed world has in reality solved these problems.

    You need to understand that just because, say, we've cleaned up the litter on our city streets better, and that we TALK about environmental issues more than the rest of the world, does not mean we are doing better than them on the serious global environmental destruction factors. We are still doing way worse, especially if you rate it on a per person basis. Way way worse. Orders of magnitude worse.

    And you need to look at who's actually solving problems rather than spin tales.

  74. Re:Humans are a virus by khallow · · Score: 1

    The people who actually want the Earth to become like the city of Coruscant, or like in Soylent Green, only use the relatively stable numbers of the indigenous people of the West as an excuse to import immigrants.

    You do realize that third generation immigrants have dropped to that developed world low fertility? Immigration from the developing world helps reduce overall population growth.

  75. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    WTF.

    Does that say anywhere that we're slipping into a new ice age, or even that the globe (i.e. aggregate air + ocean stored energy) was cooling?

    Please read the post you're trying to defend before rabidly jumping to its defence.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  76. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    Here you go again, spouting off words in the hope that you'll eventually get something right.

    The topic was the scientists as quoted in the article in Time. They were not incorrect, they were not fringe, the findings they reported have not been "debunked".

    (Why don't you read more of the actual science instead of just shouting off random things?)

  77. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    Here you go again, spouting off words in the hope that you'll eventually get something right.

    Are you claiming the ggggp didn't say that?

    The topic was the scientists as quoted in the article in Time. They were not incorrect, they were not fringe, the findings they reported have not been "debunked".

    Except you know the world wasn't cooling. Apart from that saying it was cooling was correct.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  78. Re:Doomsday Cult by Troed · · Score: 1

    Except you know the world wasn't cooling. Apart from that saying it was cooling was correct.

    I'm quite sure you believe your viewpoint to be true. I'd say your conviction borders on the religious kind, where no matter how much facts you're presented with you keep shouting your conviction louder and louder in the hope that it will drown out everything contrary to it.

    I'll just repeat the previous post. They were not incorrect, they were not fringe, the findings they reported have not been "debunked".

    Now please go read some climate science. Less posts, more study.

  79. Re:Doomsday Cult by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    You are pretending that the ggggp didn't say that it was claimed we were slipping into an ice age, yet accuse me of being delusional.

    You want me to read science, I want you to read the post you're actually defending.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.