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White House Releases Strategy To Defend Against Killer Asteroids (vice.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Motherboard: On December 30, the White House quietly released its Near-Earth Object Preparedness Strategy, a 25-page document outlining the United States' plans in the event that a giant asteroid is found to be on a collision course with Earth. Among the priorities outlined by the strategy are improving Near-Earth Object (NEO) detection, developing methods for deflecting asteroids, and developing interagency emergency procedures in the event of an NEO impact. Given the stakes, it's clear why NASA and the leading US defense and research agencies came together in January 2016 to form the Detecting and Mitigating the Impact of Earth-bound Near-Earth Objects (DAMIEN) working group to address the issues associated with killer asteroids. The DAMIEN group is behind the White House's new NEO strategy, and will be responsible for hashing out the specifics of the plan to save Earthlings from killer asteroids going forward. To assist in the search, the DAMIEN report calls for a space-based observatory dedicated to finding NEOs, which will work in cooperation with ground-based observatories. Since a telescope in space isn't limited by terrestrial weather conditions, it would greatly enhance Spaceguard's search capacity. The only plans currently underway for a space-based NEO telescope are being carried out by the non-profit B612 foundation whose Sentinel telescope was supposed to launch last December, but has been delayed due to difficulties securing the requisite $450 million in funding required for the project. NASA has also been considering the NEOCam, a space-based telescope that has received provisional funding for "detailed refinement." Unfortunately, during the latest round of budgeting for NASA's Discovery program, two other satellites were greenlit instead of NEOCam, but NASA said it would continue the asteroid-hunter's provisional funding, so there is still hope that NASA may go forward with a space-based NEO observatory in the future, especially in light of the recent White House strategy. In tandem, the report also recommends updating the capabilities of ground-based NEO observatories by endowing them with more powerful planetary radars and improved spectroscopy instruments (this would allow for more accurate determinations of the composition of an asteroid). But detection is only half the battle. In the event that an asteroid is found to be on an impact trajectory with Earth, NASA is also thinking about ways to deflect the killer asteroid. Some pretty far-out ideas have been proposed on this front, ranging from nukes in space to giant sun-powered lasers, but the most likely method is simply ramming into the asteroid to change its course. Finally, should all else fail, the report also considers what to do in an impact scenario.

135 comments

  1. Security Leak! by nsuccorso · · Score: 5, Funny

    Great, now the damned asteroids know how to evade our defenses! Brilliant!

    1. Re:Security Leak! by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 5, Funny

      Great, now the damned asteroids know how to evade our defenses! Brilliant!

      Don't worry, Trump knows more than you about this issue.

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    2. Re: Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      He'll ask NASA to name and identify everyone who worked on the discovery and tracking of said "asteroid" and defund the agency? Sounds familiar....

    3. Re:Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      He's got some buddies in construction, and he can't wait to allocate a bunch of budget to rebuilding the nation from scorched foundations up.

      Not *actually* rebuilding it, mind you.

      Just taking the money that would go towards doing so.

    4. Re: Security Leak! by Freischutz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      He'll ask NASA to name and identify everyone who worked on the discovery and tracking of said "asteroid" and defund the agency? Sounds familiar....

      ... why now that you mention it, it does sound familiar. Could it be that the final brilliant part of his plan is to solve the problem by denying that the asteroid exists?

    5. Re: Security Leak! by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 2

      I'm hearing, a lot of people are saying, there's no such thing as Near Earth Asteroids. Just sayin'.

    6. Re:Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Trump's plan: Deport the illegal asteroids.

    7. Re: Security Leak! by wbr1 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Near earth asteroids are a conspiracy by the Mexicans. Created to steal our space jobs. Well, we will have great space jobs. I know! we will build a space wall and the asteroids will pay for it.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    8. Re:Security Leak! by stealth_finger · · Score: 3, Funny

      Great, now the damned asteroids know how to evade our defenses! Brilliant!

      Don't worry, Trump knows more than you about this issue.

      He'll make a space wall and make uranus pay.

      --
      Wanna buy a shirt?
      https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
    9. Re: Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or against stupid racists, for what it's worth

    10. Re: Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Could it be that the final brilliant part of his plan is to solve the problem by denying that the asteroid exists?

      No. Put up a space fence, and make the asteroids pay for it

    11. Re:Security Leak! by supremebob · · Score: 1

      Well, of course he does. He has Bruce Willis's and Ben Affleck's number ready just in case NASA finds something.

    12. Re: Security Leak! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Funny

      George Soros funds the near-earth asteroids.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    13. Re: Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Build the WALL!

    14. Re:Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He'll build a wall and make space pay for it

    15. Re: Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope. Trump said that we would pay to build the wall, and the Near Earth Asteroids will pay for it later. That's always been his position. You're just a victim of fake news.

    16. Re:Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ouch

    17. Re: Security Leak! by coteriescavenger · · Score: 1

      Oh no! Not racists! Are they blowing people up?! No? Are they cutting people's heads off on video? Threatening to destroy America? No? What is it that they're doing then? Oh, saying mean things. You're right, that's the problem we need to focus on.

      Or, we could stop pushing people toward racism with bad immigration policies that threaten our nations from within.

    18. Re: Security Leak! by coteriescavenger · · Score: 1

      You people seem to think George Soros DOESN'T fund enemies of America. Or, that "fake news" isn't the corrupt MSM's term for internet media that threatens their monopoly on the narrative.

    19. Re:Security Leak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is a shame they didn't spend the resources to figure out how to deflect trump instead. A much bigger threat to humanity and the planet.

    20. Re:Security Leak! by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      No need!
      There's no such thing as asteroids.
      China just made them up to make us waste our money.

    21. Re: Security Leak! by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

      Actually, we KNOW that Putin is funded by Trump, Koch et al.
      NO ONE thinks he is our friend
      As for Soros funding enemies...name them!
      And "Obama not a citizen" is definitely FAKE news, no matter where you got the lie (hint, the liar takes the White house on Jan 20)

    22. Re: Security Leak! by coteriescavenger · · Score: 1

      Actually, we KNOW that Putin is funded by Trump, Koch et al.

      What? No we don't. There are only wild accusations coming from corporate media based on outlandish speculations about his motivations. If you knew about half of ways corporate has betrayed our trust in recent years, you would have seen right through all the Russian propaganda they've been spewing.

      NO ONE thinks he is our friend

      Trump? He's a lot of people's friend. If you don't know anyone who voted for him, then you're living in a walled garden of political perspective. You need to get to a free speech zone.

      As for Soros funding enemies...name them! Uh... BLM, the post election rioters, other groups that like burn the American flag. Soros has a long history of political interests, and he was never a fan of america's capitalist ideals.

      And "Obama not a citizen" is definitely FAKE news, no matter where you got the lie (hint, the liar takes the White house on Jan 20)

      Sure, that is false news (or fake news w/e), but that's okay. When you have a lot of different media outlets, they hold each other accountable. Who's been holding the MSM accountable while they flagrantly run standard journalistic practices into the dirt? Alternative media -- that's who. The very ones they're calling "fake news" and trying to get shut down so they can go back to controlling the information like it was before the internet. We're not getting a liar in the whitehouse, bro. Not of great significance. What we did was dodge a compulsive liar who got caught with her hand in the cookie jar, tried to silence the person who caught her, then made a big deal about her opponent being a liar before everyone hears what she did.

  2. Let me tell you something about killer asteroids by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Killer asteroids are a Chinese conspiracy to make America weak, I know because my national security advisor and Russia Today co-host told me.

  3. Astroid killer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Falcon 9 Heavy loaded with NUKES!!

    1. Re:Astroid killer by darkain · · Score: 1

      Well, all the recalled Note 7s need to go SOMEWHERE, don't they?

  4. Trump Trump Trump Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Because of Trump and Putin and the Pepe the Frog an asteroid is going to slam into the earth the day after the inauguration and kill us all in a fiery holocaust. Thanks racist, misogynist, whateverelseist rednecks.

    There, now that's out of the way,

    1. Re:Trump Trump Trump Trump by ArylAkamov · · Score: 0

      #memeofpeace

    2. Re:Trump Trump Trump Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Darn. Why can't it be the day before the inauguration?

  5. NEOS Near Earth ObjectS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Killer Asteroid, coming SOEN.

  6. Make Armageddon Great Again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    OLD PLAN: Send a team of oil workers led by Bruce Willis into space with nukes, and wait until the last possible second before detonating the bombs.

    NEW PLAN: Build a space wall around Earth, and make the aliens pay for it.

    1. Re:Make Armageddon Great Again by geekmux · · Score: 1

      OLD PLAN: Send a team of oil workers led by Bruce Willis into space with nukes, and wait until the last possible second before detonating the bombs.

      NEW PLAN: Build a space wall around Earth, and make the aliens pay for it.

      So, do the aliens have to apply for H1-B visas first?

      Also, where does Chuck Norris fit in? I'm pretty sure we'll be breaking the laws of physics somehow if we don't...

    2. Re:Make Armageddon Great Again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Chuck Norris never breaks the laws of physics. They're smart enough to get out of his way.

    3. Re: Make Armageddon Great Again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Holy meme-overload, Batman!

    4. Re:Make Armageddon Great Again by GrumpySteen · · Score: 4, Funny

      When the universe sends its asteroids, they're not sending their best. They're not sending Pyornkrachzark. They're not sending Geodude. They're sending asteroids that have lots of problems, and they're bringing those problems with them. They're causing fireballs. They're causing craters. They're causing extinctions. And some, I assume, are good asteroids.

  7. Probabilities by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

    Within the next 30 years, P(asteroid smashes Earth) << P(nuclear conflict)

    --
    Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    1. Re:Probabilities by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      That's not the way to do that though

      It's IF( P(Asteroid Smash)*Cost(Asteroid Smash) -Cost(Asteroid Defense)) >0 then Build_Defense(Asteroid)

      Nuclear conflict is harder as that's profitable for defense contractors and nobody really wants to stop it. This really screws up the cost benefit calcs

    2. Re:Probabilities by butzwonker · · Score: 1

      Maybe, but that's hardly a reason for not being at least minimally prepared for both possibilities. And there is another classic, of course, to keep an eye on. A global deadly virus outbreak is probably the biggest threat among those three.

    3. Re:Probabilities by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      Amazing that /. doesn't filter out blank usernames ............

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    4. Re:Probabilities by butchersong · · Score: 1

      Possibly. Maybe we should still donate to https://www.indiegogo.com/proj... just in case.

    5. Re:Probabilities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lets just take care of both: every nation on earth pledges its nuclear arsenal to asteroid destruction. So, the next time a conflict comes up, we will all say "nooo dont waste the asteroid defense system on blowing us all to fucking hell".

    6. Re:Probabilities by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      A global deadly virus outbreak is probably the biggest threat among those three.

      Why restrict yourself to worying aout virus outbreaks. We're doing a pretty good job of reeding up lots of bacteria resistant to all presently produced families of antibiotics.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    7. Re:Probabilities by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      https://slashdot.org/~butzwonk...

      It is a bug, not sure why his name shows as blank, but he has a name.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  8. Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by BlueCoder · · Score: 4, Interesting

    We could double or triple down by bringing multiple asteroids into orbit. First to mine for minerals. Second as a cheap scaffold for a space station. Third as an earth shield provided that the rockets used to bring it into orbit are powerful enough or have been upgraded so that it can be moved to the right location within 3 weeks. It can absorb energy from the impact and will probably have bombs perfectly set in place to self destruct just in case it's gets deflected at earth.

    Very good idea. Having half a dozen large asteroids in orbit along with the multiple uses will make this very practical.

    1. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by geekmux · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We could double or triple down by bringing multiple asteroids into orbit. First to mine for minerals. Second as a cheap scaffold for a space station. Third as an earth shield provided that the rockets used to bring it into orbit are powerful enough or have been upgraded so that it can be moved to the right location within 3 weeks. It can absorb energy from the impact and will probably have bombs perfectly set in place to self destruct just in case it's gets deflected at earth.

      Very good idea. Having half a dozen large asteroids in orbit along with the multiple uses will make this very practical.

      So, all we have to do is build the worlds largest asteroid whistle? Guess I'm still a little fuzzy on that whole "bringing multiple asteroids into orbit" part, as if we'll just call them over to play like a dog. Good boy, Rocky! Now, stay.

    2. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's practice this idea on Mars first please. I don't believe any nation has a right to be deliberately hurling extinction event scale objects at our only planet considering our species extensive history of blunders and "oopsie" moments. Just a few examples: Fukushima, Chernobyl, Apollo 13, Challenger, bridges that collapse in the wind, radiology machines that deliver fatal x-ray dosages, and skywalks that fail after minor design changes. Am I missing any examples there?

    3. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by djinn6 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I can't tell whether you're being sarcastic or you know nothing about asteroids. Hint: they are very very heavy. An 100 m diameter asteroid is 6,000,000 tons. The largest rocket we ever built, the Saturn V, ($1.1 billion per launch) can launch 50 tons of payload to an Earth escape orbit. Let's say that 50 tons is just a rocket engine (Isp 450 s) and fuel, and you attach it to the asteroid, then by turning on the rocket engine and burning all of the fuel, you can change the asteroid's velocity by 0.037 m/s. To bring the asteroid into the geosynchronous orbit, you will need to change its velocity by at least 2000 m/s, which means 10's of thousands of Saturn V's.

      Even if you target a small asteroid, it doesn't change the equation all that much until it's in the 500-ton range. In which case, why bother? Just launch a few Saturn V's full of rocks.

    4. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It should be noted that we're not in a real hurry about getting an asteroid into Earth orbit. So ion drives (Isp a holy hell of a lot higher than 450 - we've already built them in the Isp 5000 range) would be fine for the purpose. Alternately, an Orion model would work - pop a few (dozen) small nukes off next to the rock...

      All that aside, this is just an example of the sort of thing that Presidents do to build a "legacy" - if we pay any attention to it, and in a hundred years we deflect a rock, it's all due to the foresight of Mr. Obama. If we ignore it (as we probably should at this point. Maybe in 20-50 years we should start thinking slightly more seriously about the subject), and a rock smacks us, people can point and say "if only we had listened to Mr. Obama!!! He would have saved us!!!!"

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    5. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't understand this "mine the minerals" meme that pops up every time asteroids are mentioned. Do you not understand how cheap minerals are right here, and how much infrastructure you need to get them just on this planet? And how impossible asteroid mining is?

    6. Re: Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On your list of oops moments, you should include,

      Crashing a probe into Mars because NASA forgot to convert from English to Metric, and
      Crashing a probe's re-entry return with its cargo because the explosive bolts to release the parachute were installed backwards.

      So, yeah, tinkering with asteroid orbits near earth sounds unwise.

    7. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by skids · · Score: 1

      The trick is to nudge it slightly in just the right way to use more massive bodies to cause it eventually (after much ping-ponging) to come coasting into an orbital trajectory. Which, given we are dealing with an extinction-sized chunk of rock, would have to be done very, very carefully with lots of safeguards.

    8. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by skids · · Score: 1

      Minerals mined here on Earth are cheap on Earth (minus shared environmental costs, of course). Given the cost to launch them into orbit, they are not cheap in space. Minerals mined on an asteroid would quite likely be much cheaper in space than those lifted from Earth's gravity well. (Also, one might find an asteroid with some rarer elements or chemicals, and "mining" an Asteroid might also be known as "hollowing out an asteroid for use as a colony, base, or port.")

      Granted, the up front investment required is quite daunting.

    9. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      It should be noted that we're not in a real hurry about getting an asteroid into Earth orbit. So ion drives (Isp a holy hell of a lot higher than 450 - we've already built them in the Isp 5000 range) would be fine for the purpose.

      You only use ion drives when you're really not in a hurry - if you have, say, a millennia or three in which to accomplish the project.

    10. Re: Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Putting yourself into an asteriod's orbit, landing, then launching into a different orib requires a huge amount of energy. It's not like an airplanw or SF story

    11. Re: Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In his defense, *casual* thinking on the subject might make one forget that mass =/= weight, and just because the objects are nearly *weightless* doesn't mean it doesn't take appropriate fuel to move the *mass*. ;)

    12. Re: Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by skids · · Score: 1

      It's a heck of a lot less energy than liftoff from earth.

      You'll note that Rosetta was able to get it's relative velocity to its target comet down to about 775m/s using gravity assist maneuvers This compares to 11,200m/s for Earth escape velocity.

      The real question is whether propellant can be manufactured on the mined object (an excess quantity of which, in fact, may be the whole reason to mine) Also the large timescales for efficient transit will make the economics interestingly slow.

    13. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      It's not coming in on an orbital trajectory. If we're precise and patient enough, we can get it coming in to a spot in low Earth orbit (although I'd be nervous about missing this by a couple hundred miles in the wrong direction), but it would be going much too fast to be in orbit. It would slingshot around Earth and head off somewhere else.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    14. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Well, it's an idea.

      I guess you're talking about putting the "shield" objects into something approaching a lunar orbit and shepherding them into the "Trojan" points (Lagrangian points L3, L4, and L5). Given a 27-ish day (Lunar-ish) orbit, that would leave you with around 9-10 days to get the astrometric measurements done and light the rockets. That sounds rather tight to me - you'll need some seriously fuck-off rocketry to provide the necessary power.

      You'd need at least a couple of shields in a polar-ish orbit, to deal with out-of-ecliptic incoming. Remember Kohoutek? That was well out of the ecliptic plane. And Hyakutake too.

      Of course, to build and maintain hardware on that sale, you'd need thousands of people living and working in space ... at which point you're very close to securing the species against extinction simply by being out of the single basket.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    15. Re:Asteroid Billiards is a new idea.. interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Station them between the sun and earth to reverse global warming.

  9. Oh Mighty leader by delusrexpert · · Score: 0

    I'm the the strategy was longer then 140 characters

  10. Trolley Problem by physicsphairy · · Score: 1

    What if America can't stop the asteroid from hitting the earth, but can stop it from hitting the United States (or close strategic ally)? Other countries may want to invest in their versions of this.

    1. Re:Trolley Problem by whodunit · · Score: 1

      Be a shame if it landed on the Middle East, huh?

    2. Re:Trolley Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two birds, one humongous stone...

    3. Re:Trolley Problem by butzwonker · · Score: 1

      Very easy to solve, like all trolley problems. Send it to the region where the smallest number of people will die from the impact.

    4. Re:Trolley Problem by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 1

      What if America can't stop the asteroid from hitting the earth, but can stop it from hitting the United States (or close strategic ally)? Other countries may want to invest in their versions of this.

      To divert it back to you guys?

      --
      Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
    5. Re:Trolley Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here is a Ground Zero map for just that occurrence: http://blog.whitesites.com/blogs/large/633430341423762679.jpg

    6. Re:Trolley Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Easy, huh...

      So 5 people waiting for organs will die if they don't get them. Nab the first person walking by that is a match, kill him to save the 5 by taking his organs and giving to them.

      Easy

    7. Re:Trolley Problem by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      Incorrect. The solution to the trolley problem is multi-track drifting.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    8. Re:Trolley Problem by admin7087 · · Score: 1

      No, that's a different problem that has erroneously been considered structurally equivalent to the corresponding original trolley problem. The difference has to do with agency, the doctrine of side effect, and a bunch of other issues. You're right, though, I should have said 'like most trolley problems' instead of 'all trolley' problems and instantly regretted the choice of words after I posted.

    9. Re:Trolley Problem by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      In both cases, five people will die if I do nothing, while I can kill one to save the five. In either case, I have to take positive action to kill the one guy, if I'm going to save the five. I don't understand how the agency differs.

      There are differences of course. Consider Kant's first formulation of the Categorical Imperative: always act as if your action could become a rule. It really doesn't apply to the trolley situation, but in the transplant situation nobody who might be an organ donor would ever walk near a transplant hospital, so the action can't become a rule. We're all better off if we assume that walking on a trolley line with trolleys that can get loose and run over people is dangerous, while living organ donors aren't fair game.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    10. Re:Trolley Problem by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      By the time you get up to multi-kilometre impactors (rocky asteroid or icy comet - totally irrelevant), the "close strategic ally who would be taken out would be any one which shared a planet with the impact point. It really doesn't matter where the impact falls - the fall-back of ejecta is going to be a global problem of "death from the skies" magnitude for all continents and oceans.

      Don't be upset about not getting this message at gut level. I didn't understand it until I was examining a 30cm thick bed of impact granules in Britain (which landed at something around dull-red hot) to be told that the geology lecturer leading the field trip had work "in press" at Nature deonstrating on both date and chemistry grounds that this was ejecta from the Manicouagan impact crater, 3500km away in Canada.

      Would your home - or your local farmers - be able to handle having 30cm of dull-red hot rock dumped on it/ them?

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  11. Nuclear Tsunami by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In case a 'big' asteroid hits the ocean (70% chance), it 'll create a giant tsunami, and because 100+ of the world Nuclear plants are located close to the oceans ...the indirect long-term after-effects could be devastating.

    1. Re:Nuclear Tsunami by BigT · · Score: 1

      I think that movie is going to be on SyFy next month.

      --
      Is it weird in here, or is it just me?
    2. Re:Nuclear Tsunami by Enigma2175 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In case a 'big' asteroid hits the ocean (70% chance), it 'll create a giant tsunami, and because 100+ of the world Nuclear plants are located close to the oceans ...the indirect long-term after-effects could be devastating.

      Yep, just like in Japan in 2011. The tsunami killed around 18,000 people and the nuclear meltdown killed none (well, a couple of workers died in the response and several people died in the evacuation, but none died from radiation). There were massive fires that burned in the debris (both on land and sea) through the night releasing all kinds of nasty shit into the air which further harmed the health of the survivors. Even with all that death and devastation the radiation from the nuclear plant that killed nobody was all anyone could talk about. Yes, it was a massive accident and will cost a shitload of money to clean up and might result in some increased cancer risk down the road (but the most likely cancer, thyroid cancer, is highly treatable) but if your concern is about dying, nuclear plants are not a huge problem. In the kind of event you are talking about (a huge asteroid/comet hitting the ocean causing a tsunami) the major concern is going to be the millions or billions of people dead in the immediate aftermath, not some nuclear plants releasing radioactive material in an area that has already been swept clean of all life. Yes, we should design these plants so that they fail safe and are able to continue to cool themselves without any outside intervention but the actual risk to human health is pretty damn low.

      --

      Enigma

  12. BUILD A WALL! by sociocapitalist · · Score: 1

    Build a wall and make the aliens pay for it!

    --
    blindly antisocialist = antisocial
  13. Tomorrow morning by silentcoder · · Score: 5, Funny

    Paul Ryan will hold a press release where he announces that the republicans are against the plan, that this is too massive an expansion of government and the presidential overreach by trying to impose his will on asteroids without any constitutional right to look up at the sky.

    In 20 days Trump will either scrap the plan, or keep it, if he keeps it - Ryan will pretend it was his idea all along.

    --
    Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    1. Re: Tomorrow morning by ememisya · · Score: 1

      So long as it doesn't accidently move the earth out of the asteroid's way.

    2. Re:Tomorrow morning by argStyopa · · Score: 0

      Clearly what /. considers "funny" needs to be Made Great Again.

      --
      -Styopa
    3. Re:Tomorrow morning by MiniMike · · Score: 1

      Maybe Trump will just refuse to believe in the asteroid and it will disappear?

    4. Re:Tomorrow morning by bozzy · · Score: 1

      Trump will scrap the plan, and instead build a wall around the earth and make the asteroid pay for it.

  14. Great. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just when we needed a killer asteroid, they make a plan to stop one. Figures.

    Too bad they couldn't figure out how to stop a killer ass droid. Instead, they're turning the running of the government over to him.

    I hope they have that shadow-government thing up and running, ready to do the actual running of the country, while the serial liar and fake rich asshole thinks he's doing it. That's really our only hope.

  15. Weaponizing by Nehmo · · Score: 0

    Since the report came from the Obama White House, I'm surprised one of the options wasn't weaponizing the asteroid.

    --
    (||) Nehmo (||)
    1. Re:Weaponizing by unixisc · · Score: 1

      Maybe the White House can draw a red line around the earth, and warn the asteroids against crossing the red line

  16. wrong department by MancunianMaskMan · · Score: 1
    how is this issued by the "always-be-prepared-dept".

    Nonsense like this should be issued by the "rearranging-the-deckchairs-on-the-titanic-dept"

    1. Re:wrong department by whodunit · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Detection is the major hurdle. If we can detect an earth-crossing asteroid in time, deflecting it is actually pretty easy. The earlier the detection, the less delta-v is needed to make it miss. For the same reason a slight twitch of a rifle makes it miss a target at 100 yards it would still easily hit at 10 yards.

      We've sent multiple spacecraft to asteroids in the past - we can hit millimeter wide targets with one-second accuracy halfway across the solar system with our probes and do it all the time. Plus, the US government has squirreled away a few 20 megaton nukes just for this job. We can nudge a rock easy. But FINDING them is hard.

    2. Re:wrong department by fisted · · Score: 1

      The new /. overlords have pretty much given up (or never understood) the dept. thing anyway. It used to be funny/witty stuff, now it's just something more or less appropriate without any wit.

  17. Prediction by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We'll discover a massive killer asteroid and spend a couple of weeks arguing about how to deal with it. Russia will act on its own and launch a couple of nukes which will break it into three smaller killer asteroids. The governments will spend the remaining time at the UN trying to punish Russia for sending the nukes but they keep using their veto.

    With hours left for humanity a large two dimensional hollow triangle appears above the planet, shoots the asteroids until they are harmless dust particles, and then pops out of existence.

    1. Re:Prediction by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 1

      With hours left for humanity a large two dimensional hollow triangle appears above the planet, shoots the asteroids until they are harmless dust particles, and then pops out of existence.

      Sounds familiar.

      --
      Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
  18. Ramming it??? by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    The summary says

    but the most likely method is simply ramming into the asteroid to change its course.

    If you have a 200m asteroid that's the same as 60 times 50m asteroids, each enough to wipe out a large city. You generally don't want to break up an asteroid and turn it into giant buckshot, with pieces covering a wide area. Also in order to change momentum considerably you'd need to find another small asteroid to pull into a collision course because a missile is not going to do anything. So I checked the links. This is not the design they have in mind. All I see is that they want to try ramming it with a projectile just to see what happens, not in order to deflect it. See how loosely packed an asteroid is for instance. I can imagine trying to find out how strong an asteroid is before starting to mess around with it.
    The actual design they'll have to use is to push the dangerous asteroid over a very long time, starting a long time in advance. And since the asteroid is usually rotating it would have to be cleverly timed pushing as well.

    1. Re:Ramming it??? by whodunit · · Score: 1

      Also in order to change momentum considerably you'd need to find another small asteroid to pull into a collision course because a missile is not going to do anything.

      For Science reasons, the earlier one expends delta-v in an orbit, the more drastic a shift of trajectory is produced down the orbital track for a given amount of delta-v (as every player of Kerbal Space Program knows.) As you say, rocks that are smaller, or far away (preferably both) can be deflected with very small forces applied over very long times - the Gravity tractors, solar sails, ion thrusters - hell, you could even spray-paint the rock to take advantage of the Yarkovsky effect.

      If the rock is big and close, you need to impart a lot of force really damn fast to make it miss the blue marble. A missile will most certainly do this job - if it's carrying a thermonuclear warhead, that is. If you've got five years lead time, you can orbit a simple spacecraft with lots of fuel, take a year to do a gravity-assist slingshot around Earth to pick up speed, and do a nice long burn to pick up scads of velocity before smacking that rock in the kisser while it's far away and delta-v requirements to deflect it are relatively low. If you don't have that time and can't pick up free energy from gravity assists, then a kinetic impactor (or ten) are going to have a hell of a time nudging the rock - we can only orbit so much spacecraft and so much fuel with our current tech. We'd need the most energy-dense storage we could orbit, and nothing, but nothing, can best a nuclear warhead for that.

      "The asteroid turning into buckshot" is an old misconception born of movies that need to justify plots more elaborate than "we nuked it." It is a concern with so-called "rubble pile" asteroids; which is exactly what they sound like - and as you say, it's exactly why scientists want to actually try this on a real rock so we don't have to play fast-and-loose with guesswork in the event of a real impactor scenario. We could always set off more devices a little further away from the rock to give it a series of gentler nudges over a short timeframe but it'd be much, much better to know.

    2. Re:Ramming it??? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      See how loosely packed an asteroid is for instance.

      If you have some evidence to suggest that two random asteroids (or comets) have similar mechanical properties, that'd make some nice reading. So far, we have two data points and a lot of modelling.

      I can imagine trying to find out how strong an asteroid is before starting to mess around with it.

      You're sounding dangerously like you want to apply science to the question. This is not a politicially acceptable behaviour these days.

      And since the asteroid is usually rotating it would have to be cleverly timed pushing as well.

      Or you pull it, using the gravity of the spacecraft against the PHA.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    3. Re:Ramming it??? by tinkerton · · Score: 1

      If you have some evidence to suggest that two random asteroids (or comets) have similar mechanical properties, that'd make some nice reading. So far, we have two data points and a lot of modelling.

      I don't know what you mean. I mentioned a second asteroid because I was trying to find an external large source of momentum (but good luck with that) to cause a change of direction with one large blast. Spacecraft don't have a lot of momentum. And neither do nukes actually but the ablative effect of the heat may give some extra push. . But it all looks like a terrible idea because as soon as you have pieces flying about then managing them becomes instantly more complicated.

    4. Re:Ramming it??? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      To the best of my knowledge, we've measured the mechanical properties of one asteroid with an impactor (Deep Impact) ; made a glancing contact with Hayabusa, but no attempt to measure below-surface properties. And the modelling of surface of comet 67P/Churyumovâ"Gerasimenko was so successful that all three anchoring systems for the Philae lander failed, leaving it to perform a hop-step-and-jump landing.

      When you have a measurement, you have a measurement ; when you have two measurements, you have a disagreement ; when you have three measurements, you're starting to have useful statistics. Currently we've between 1 and 2 measurements (we got some limits from Rosetta) so we're not even vaguely confident on either the mean or the variance of the strngth of the materials, let alone how much these parameters change with composition.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    5. Re:Ramming it??? by tinkerton · · Score: 1

      I see, that's not much. I thought meteorites would have told us something but I can see now that by their nature they would tend to be the strongest parts left of any larger structure.

      On the other hand, and I'm just thinking here, using gravity's pull is attractive(wink) because you need to know little of the large scale structure of the asteroid - and statistics wouldn't be very useful for that anyway. You'd like some info on local structures though in order to mine enough material to increase the mass , and possibly propellant, of the pulling device. So that makes it interesting to put the focus on the applied science of mining asteroids.

    6. Re:Ramming it??? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      I can see now that by their nature they would tend to be the strongest parts left of any larger structure.

      Yep - they fall apart at the weak points, leaving the intact things as being the strongest parts of the structure.

      Ever seen a really good high-speed car crash - Formula 1, or that oval ring race track they have somewhere in America? Ever seen the engine block or brake discs broken apart? I didn't think so.

      On the other hand, and I'm just thinking here, using gravity's pull is attractive(wink) because you need to know little of the large scale structure of the asteroid - and statistics wouldn't be very useful for that anyway.

      Exactly. Because gravity is only an attractive force, to which the asteroid is already exposed, then you don't need to know anything about the structure or distribution of the mass - just the total mass. And you can get that by measuring it's influence on your "test mass" - otherwise known as you "gravity tug".

      Sorry, just had a Rule 34 moment.

      You'd like some info on local structures though in order to mine enough material to increase the mass , and possibly propellant, of the pulling device. So that makes it interesting to put the focus on the applied science of mining asteroids.

      Hmm, transferring (useful, or processed) mass from the DinoKiller() to the gravity tug, doing all of decreasing the problem, increasing the strength of the solution, and potentially paying at least some of the cost of the mitigation. Good point.

      TBH, though, once you've put your mining equipment onto the surface, with some reasonably solid (now there's a problem) anchoring to the mass, you can start throwing off material ("grain of dust; don't want that ; throw thattaway") in a direction to counter the spin of DinoKiller. Once you've got the spin under control, you point your rail guns in directions that add up to a vector that passes through the centre of mass of the system, and start throwing unwanted stuff away, while shaping the orbit to your future desire. Two birds with one stone.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  19. Yoga by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Get bent out of shape to kiss your ass goodbye.
    Also works for the new nuclear arms race.

  20. Invade them and take the oil by retroworks · · Score: 1

    I call it "extreme asteroid vetting"

    --
    Gently reply
  21. All those snarky comments about Trump - how funny! by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 1

    Here's what would happen if they found one on an actual collision course, administration be damned. This is a very good story, but if you're in a hurry, find: "brusquely". I doubt that Bruce Willis could actually do that much.

    The premise is different obviously, but the human panic and destruction would be similar. Nature would provide much more fireworks than humans though. Maybe those SHTF bunkers might be useful after all!

    Oh, and if you're in the dark already and can't read: here.

    --
    If the universe is someone's simulation -- does that mean the stars are just stuck pixels?
  22. This by umghhh · · Score: 1

    has something to do with making Trump a better person or?

  23. Impact scenario by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

    Here's the text of the impact strategy:

    1. Bend over.

    2. Put head between knees.

    3. Kiss ass goodbye.

    --
    We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
  24. Re:All those snarky comments about Trump - how fun by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Maybe those SHTF bunkers might be useful after all!

    Only well-hidden secret ones. The rest are just goody boxes.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  25. Helios by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    Somebody better tell them about Helios, or we'll have to be reviving dead people from the future to prevent it.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  26. easiest solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Keep throwing massive american ham planets at it, sooner or later the gravity well will deflect it's trajectory and or a gravitational singularity will form transporting it to another galxay and it will become an sep.

    It's not like there is a shortage of them and they are cheap once we get them into orbit.

  27. Drain the Swamp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sentinel, NEOCAM, etc. are a waste of money given the completion of LSST. Drain the swamp is the correct philosophy in this case even if the symptom that results i.e. Trump is not wanted. These projects demonstrate the terrible lack of accountability with the current tax deductible donation laws.

  28. Re: Let me tell you something about killer asteroi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What kind of asteroid strategy can you put together in your last two weeks in office, anyway? "If you see one, Duck?"

  29. Kiss your ass... by jwhyche · · Score: 0

    Step 1. Stick head between legs
    Step 2. Kiss your sweet ass good bye

    Did I miss anythin?. Probably something about a lot of crying and praying. Maybe a step about shitting yourself.

    --
    I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
  30. They found one? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe this is the reaction to actually having found one on a possible collision course.

  31. Anti-asteroid killa: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1) pack all American progressives & snowflakes into rocket warhead 2) strap on nuclear weapon 3) shoot vaguely toward approaching asteroid 4) hide under desk 5) detonate nuke ...6) party like it's 1995.

  32. Re:All those snarky comments about Trump - how fun by Doke · · Score: 1

    Thank you. That's an amazing story. I thought I had read everything by Asimov, but I somehow missed that one.

  33. It's mostly the same preparedness. Zombies by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Whether the cause is an asteroid, nukes, or even a virus, the preparedness is mostly the same - be ready to provide medical care to a million people, have your lines of command and communication ready between leaders and to the public, etc.

    One popular drill in emergency preparedness is zombie apocalypse - not because zombies might actually happen, but because it's a generic scenario that exercises all aspects of response. Zombies are contagious, like any virus or bacterium, they are mobs, they're violent, etc. If you can handle hoardes of zombies you can handle anything, so we practice handling zombies. If the media spokesperson screws up and forgets to give the essential information during the press conference about the zombie attack, they've learned a valuable lesson that applies to any widespread, panic-inducing event.

    1. Re:It's mostly the same preparedness. Zombies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No matter what..be ready to kiss your ass good bye!

    2. Re:It's mostly the same preparedness. Zombies by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      the preparedness is mostly the same - be ready to provide medical care to a million people, have your lines of command and communication ready between leaders and to the public, etc.

      What are you going to do about the other billion or several casualties? Oh yeah - just let them die. You can always breed more people using unskilled labour.

      One popular drill in emergency preparedness is zombie apocalypse [...] If you can handle hoardes of zombies you can handle anything,

      I think "scenario" is the word you're ooking for, not "drill", but that's probaby something that changes as you walk between countries that share a language.

      But does zombie apocalypse preparation cover you for a multi-year crop failure over one or both hemispheres ("nuclear winter", be it nuclear or impact debris in the atmosphere) ? Zombie apocalypse is probably a choice for manageable disasters. But there are potential disasters for which the only feasible mitigation is to have multiple independent population and civilisation bases.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  34. SMOD laughs. . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    . . . . at puny human attempts for defense. . .

    Love,

    The Sweet Meteor of Death

  35. Re:All those snarky comments about Trump - how fun by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 2

    >> (Nightfall is) an amazing story. I thought I had read everything by Asimov, but I somehow missed that one.

    Happy you found it, but how did you miss that story if you've read so much else by Asimov?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nightfall_(Asimov_novelette_and_novel)
    "In 1968, the Science Fiction Writers of America voted Nightfall the best science-fiction short story written prior to the 1965 establishment of the Nebula Awards..."
    and some would say it launched Asimov's full time career.

  36. And the Zombie Apocalypse? by fbobraga · · Score: 1

    WTF is going on here!?

  37. yeah, tax break if they hit Venus instead by swschrad · · Score: 1

    and a heckuva yuuuge border tax if they hit here. that'll fix it!

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
  38. LegacyEradication by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

    The republicans are gearing up to appeal the Affordable Care act, appoint a couple of conservative SCOTUS's, undo all Obama's environmental, labor, and trade relation edicts... effectively erasing the entire Obama Presidency - and with mere days left of his presidency, spitting out a NEO CYA plan is of primary importance... there's an effective use of tax money...

    1. Re:LegacyEradication by Salgak1 · · Score: 1

      So the Republicans are the political equivalent of SMOD ???

    2. Re:LegacyEradication by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

      I think the GOP would love to be branded the SMOD of OBAMA

  39. Pffft what strategy ? by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 1

    Assuming we ever get a serious budget to deploy instruments capable of spotting these things.
    Assuming we even know about it with more than a couple of days notice.
    Assuming we even have tech capable of moving such a large mass sufficiently to alter its trajectory at all.
    Assuming we have said tech already deployed and standing by in launch capable or ready to fire status.

    Without all of the above, the strategy is this:

    Die. Horribly.

    Either as vaporized matter that becomes part of the ejecta cloud, or a short lived Class Alpha fire when the
    fireball shows up. Maybe you'll get lucky and catch the bazillion meter tall tsunami that will get generated.

    Would make for an Epic last selfie

  40. Detecting and Mitigating the Impact of Earth-bound by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's all for you (DAMIEN)!

  41. Re:All those snarky comments about Trump - how fun by networkBoy · · Score: 1

    it's /.'d now...
    Lulz. Didn't know this site still generated that much traffic.

    --
    whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
  42. GOP Doesn't See Why This Matters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    GOP believes God would never allow an asteroid to wipe out his precious humans, so no steps are necessary to prevent this non-issue from happening.

  43. 25 pages? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Awful lot of pages for "kiss ass goodbye".

  44. "nukes in space"??? by NoSalt · · Score: 1

    Haven't they seen any asteroid movies ... ever?!?!? Nukes won't work.

  45. 25 pages? by Macdude · · Score: 1

    1. Sit down
    2. Bring knees to chest
    3. Place head between knees
    4. Kiss ass goodbye

    Why does that take 25 pages?

    --
    "Grab them by the pussy" -- President of the United States of America
  46. it reads (in part) by sucko · · Score: 0

    DUCK!

  47. Even memes are no match for Chuck Norris. by mmell · · Score: 1

    (N/T)

  48. Send it to Chicago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Point it at the south side of Chicago. Those gangs are not about to let an astroid invade their turf.

  49. Looking for a good novel? by SignOfZeta · · Score: 1

    If you read the 25-page summary looking for hard details on what would happen were an asteroid impact to be inevitable, you might be disappointed. In that case, I would recommend Ben H. Winters' The Last Policeman trilogy. It covers the work of a detective in the months prior to a meteor impact that's presumed to be civilization-ending.