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Cervical Cancer Just Got Much Deadlier -- Because Scientists Fixed a Math Error (arstechnica.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica: Cervical cancer is 77 percent more deadly for black women and 44 percent more deadly for white women than previously thought, researchers report today in the journal Cancer. But the lethal boosts aren't from more women actually dying than before -- they're from scientists correcting their own calculation error. In the past, their estimates didn't account for women who had undergone hysterectomies -- which almost always removes the cervix, and with it the risk of getting cervical cancer. We don't include men in our calculation because they are not at risk for cervical cancer and by the same measure, we shouldn't include women who don't have a cervix," Anne F. Rositch, the study's lead author and an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins told The New York Times. For the study, the researchers looked at national cervical cancer mortality data collected between 2000 to 2012. They also looked into national survey data on the prevalence of hysterectomies. Then, they used those figures to adjust the number of women at risk of dying of cervical cancer. The researchers found that black women have a mortality rate of 10.1 per 100,000. For white women, the rate is 4.7 per 100,000. Past estimates had those rates at 5.7 and 3.2, respectively. The new death rate for black women in the US is on par with that of developing countries. Though the new study wasn't designed to address racial disparities, experts speculate that the large difference reflects unequal access to preventative medicine and quality healthcare.

183 comments

  1. So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Should I do an Angelina Jolie on my gear, just in case?

    1. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      You're a male? OMG, you're so racist!!

    2. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is "YRO"? And how many is 30 of them?

    3. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Ask your doctor about getting an HPV vaccination.

      --
      Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
    4. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by EvilSS · · Score: 2

      Ask your doctor about getting an HPV vaccination.

      Unless he's a 30 year old virgin it's probably too late for him to get....wait... this is /.

      Yes, go get the HPV vaccination.

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      I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
    5. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do they still charge $500 for it when applied to a person outside of the "official target group" and government subsidies?

    6. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, another fraud. 1) There is no such thing as 'vaccination', 2) How convenient that this 'vaccine' will only be proved to NOT WORK in about thirty years' time... after all those responsible for selling it to the public will be retired - and rich...

    7. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by silentcoder · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Make no mistake, HPV vaccinations are good for men to get too - even though they don't have cervices because the virus has been linked to other cancers - including throat and tongue cancer. Even if you argue those links are not really definitive yet, getting the vaccine prevents the risk of becoming a carrier and acting like a cervical cancer typhoid-Mary (now watch as the MRA's start demanding men not get the HPV vaccine because men shouldn't be expected to NOT kill women they have sex with).

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    8. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only in 3rd world countries

    9. Re: So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by TimMD909 · · Score: 2

      You're confusing antivaxxers with MRAs.

    10. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That last bracket seems a little odd. In my country girls can get the vaccination, boy will not. So given the link of the virus to other cancers I would have thought the MRA would ask for equal treatment not some bizarre made up wish to harm women.

      In large part the MRA want to stop being hurt and do not want to hurt others. That coming from an emotionally damaged position makes them come across as irrational women haters doesn't mean... oh yes it does doesn't it.

    11. Re: So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      The US just elected to the presidency somebody who is clearly both.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    12. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It has already been proved to work. The data is there today, no need to wait 30 years to prove it wrong.

    13. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      > now watch as the MRA's start demanding men not get the HPV vaccine because men shouldn't be expected to NOT kill women they have sex with

      You sound like a well-rounded being who's absolutely not filled with prejudice and anger.

    14. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what happens when you fill your brain with feminism.

    15. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right, he does. That wasn't anger filled, it was just a fairly valid criticism of the MRA movement.

    16. Re: So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Quote him, please.

    17. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      HPV can also cause penile cancer. Do you want dick cancer? If no, get the HPV vaccine.

      Also, your parenthetical is a really weird strawman that takes away from the rest of your comment.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    18. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      Can you point to any specific MRAs making that claim? I doubt it.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    19. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      >Also, your parenthetical is a really weird strawman that takes away from the rest of your comment.

      Have you SEEN what MRAs actually advocate ? How is it a strawman to make a joke like that, about people who have actually advocated that rape should be legal ?!?!?! If anything, it was euphemistic. The worst thing you can say about it, is that it was a bit off-topic for the post - but not for current events.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    20. Re: So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

      Nope. MRAs are anti-HPV-vax, not necessarily anti-vaxxers. MRAs see no problem with their sex acts killing women. The women shouldn't have been promiscuous.

    21. Re: So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      "Healthy young child goes to doctor, gets pumped with massive shot of many vaccines, doesn't feel good and changes - AUTISM. Many such cases!"

      He's clearly come out anti-vax. Probably more to pander to the idiots, than for any personal belief, as his kids were vaccinated, but he's supported anti-vax.

    22. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      If you're talking about Roosh V (re: legal rape on private property), he's not an MRA. He's a "pickup artist" (PUA), which has some overlap with MRAs but overall are a different group. Roosh V, specifically, has said he's not an MRA and views them as weak. Similar to the asswipes over at Return of Kings, he's much more in the realm of returning to full male dominance in, well, everything.

      There's a lot of confusion/apathy in the popular media about men's groups, and they usually end up lumping them all together under the MRA banner. Which is a shame, because there are some reasonable MRAs that advocate for things like male DV shelters and people caring about men's high suicide rate (there are also plenty of unreasonable MRAs, don't get me wrong - the movement as a whole needs a lot of change before I'd even consider calling myself one), and they all get painted under the same misogynist banner as people like Roosh V and the Return of Kings dipshits.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    23. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Well seeing as what the "reasonable" ones advocate for... are things feminists also advocate for, well I'll keep calling myself a feminist I think.

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    24. Re: So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is an MRA?

    25. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      That's perfectly fine - I've never understood why people get wrapped up in what other people call themselves; as long as they're fighting for the same things you are, who cares? I don't think feminists are particularly engaged in getting men DV shelters, but I'd be happy for that to change (or to be corrected on that).

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    26. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Well, I speak as a male survivor of domestic violence. I got plenty of support from feminists... men (and especially MRAs) mostly called me a "pussy" and a "cuck'.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    27. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry to hear about your experiences. Nobody should have to go through what you did, and I'm truly glad you had some people in your life to support you during (and after) that time. I note, however, that men's shelters typically get laughed at by feminist politicians (like Jess Phillips), and it's often feminist protestors and academics who try to get governments to deny funding for them. As with most groups, the most extreme and obnoxious voices are often the loudest. Feminists may support you on an individual level, but the movement sure isn't focusing on it at a policy level.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    28. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      I know there are some such politicians who claim to carry the mantle of feminist, but since their positions are flagrantly against the meaning of the word - the vast majority of feminists (of all genders) do not accept them as such. That they get a disproportionate level of influence is sadly true, much like whatever the Rust Belt thought they were voting for will definitely be taking second place to the reasons why the KKK voted for Trump.

      The vast majority of feminists do support men's shelters. Indeed the standard feminist platform these days includes "helping men who are marginalized, victimized or oppressed by the societal gender expectations on men". Gender roles harm large swathes of all genders, and modern-day feminists are equally committed to breaking them down on both sides. Indeed, this seems to be at the top of what MRAs most hate about them - apparently telling the less-macho boys, the bookish or sensitve boys, that they are fine as they are, that it's okay to cry and bottling up emotions will kill you... well apparently that makes those macho guys who built their entire sense of self-worth out of their sense of machoness feel really angry. In a strange zero-sum logic, they can't feel manly if people who don't like the same things they like get to feel manly as well, they can't feel manly unless they have somebody to feel superior to - who also feels inferior to them.

      The strangest thing in the world these last two years have been watching nerds try to become MRAs... and MRAs using them for leverage. The jocks didn't start accepting nerds - they are *still* the guys who bulllied you all your life, they just saw them as usefull suddenly. Milo didn't become a champion for nerds, and he never was one, he STILL thinks (as he once wrote) that we're all "overweight and embarassing betas" - we just became useful cockroaches to him. Personally - I will not be used.

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    29. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      I've never actually seen anyone criticize these politicians (or academics or whatever) for being "not a real feminist" though, with the exception of criticizing TERFs.

      I know what the movement's platform is; I'm saying they haven't done much to actually accomplish that part of it. I question how much "breaking down gender roles" is actually good for men; men shouldn't feel the need to be super "manly", I agree, but treating men like we're just defective women doesn't work either - that's one reason boys and men are doing worse in all levels of the educational system right now. Too much of the current rhetoric about breaking down gender roles - at least in the media, personal experiences may vary - involves demonizing men and masculine traits. People talk about "toxic masculinity" but "toxic femininity" is never mentioned; women are encouraged to embrace their aspects, while men are discouraged.

      I think we should put less societal pressure to conform to stereotypes, certainly, but we should also say that it's okay to be manly or feminine if you want to be. Neither are inherently bad.

      Milo is a whole other topic; I, too, will not be used by him. He's certainly on the "unreasonable" part of the scale.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    30. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      >People talk about "toxic masculinity" but "toxic femininity" is never mentioned; women are encouraged to embrace their aspects, while men are discouraged.

      You seem to have missed that "toxic" is a qualifier. It's not a critique of masculinity. Only of that part of masculine cultural expectation which is toxic to other people. The part that says bullies are doing their victims a favour by forcing them to toughen up. The part that has football teams gangrape girls. The part that thinks gaybashing proves your masculinity. The part that has locker room talk not be just sexual but be objectifying.

      And that part decidedly IS toxic.

      It is, also, the part that makes it so any man who doesn't fit it's presuppositions of what manhood should be gets tortured for it. Attacking toxic masculinity IS encouraging men to be allowed to be themselves. It's attacking the very thing that stops them. And the truth is that the vast majority of feminists are women - so the rhetoric tends to focus more on their perspectives. It's not that they don't care about the poor boy stuffed in the locker room -but it never happened to them. When they talk of the problems they see, it's simply easier to overlook problems that only happened to somebody else. Male feminists can, do and should be bringing that part up. And mainstream feminists praise it when they do.
      The point where MRAs differ from them is that the MRAs mostly defend the bulies. When they want to cover their asses, then only do they bring up the other men (the rest of the time they mock them as manginas, cucks, betas and a whole collection of other slurs they made up) - they never do anything to help them, because in reality they despise them and are in fact demanding the right to keep bashing on them - but they bring them up when they want to cover their asses, and then they blame feminism for it.
      But if you listen carefully, you can hear what they are REALLY saying is that they blame feminists for treating the rest of the men like human beings, oh and of course for saying women don't actually OWE it to men to fuck them on demand.

      As far as I'm concerned the MRA movement is mostly made up of a bunch of jocks who were the hot shit in high school and got laid all the time and then grew up and didn't make it big... now their lives suck, they don't have good jobs (because they never bothered to study), they drink too much and earn too little and their marriage to the cheerleader failed (a story so common it's a cliche)... and they are pissed. They want the world to treat them like it did in their glory days, they honestly believe they are entitled to that - and they blame feminism for depriving them of it. After all if "women don't owe men sex" then that explains why, these days, they can't GET laid.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    31. Re:So what can I, as a 30 YRO male, do? by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      It often is a critique of masculinity; it started out being what you defined it as, but most of the recent examples I've seen have been just normal masculine things, not anything that's toxic. I have literally never seen a mainstream feminist praise a man for bringing up normal male problems; from what I see, they praise men who echo what they see as the problems with being a man, but ignore or scoff at men who deviate from that perspective. They don't listen to the problems of masculine men who are fine with being masculine. Most sympathy goes towards men who are more feminine; again, they treat men like defective women and don't really try to understand masculinity. Don't get me wrong - it's great that those men get sympathy and help, they deserve it as much as anyone. But masculine men are human beings too.

      Feminists defend the bullies too. They defend different bullies - people who are ostensibly on "their side". Randi Lee Harper, who doxxes people whilst proclaiming to be an anti-online abuse activist. Radfems who redefine rape so that it's not something a woman can do to a man. The vocal MRAs defend bullies like Milo too, don't get me wrong. But the silent majority of both feminists and MRAs can be pretty understanding and sympathetic; they just aren't the ones that get attention, and they largely aren't the ones who drive political change.

      I think you're still confusing most MRAs with other groups; I haven't seen anyone who self-describes as an MRA say that women owe them sex. MGTOWs, PUAs, and the people at Return of Kings do that, sure. But those groups are all generally critical of MRAs.

      As a side note, I really appreciate this discussion; I think most topics like these really get people going, and I'm glad this one has stayed pretty reasonable.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
  2. Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by nick13245 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Seems like an obvious error from a statistical analysis standpoint. Makes me wonder how much critical medical research has obvious errors like this.

    1. Re:Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Uh, peer review ultimately found and corrected the error....

    2. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by mmell · · Score: 2
      I can recall two such egregious errors which went undetected for some time.

      The first was as a grade-schooler: I was once taught that humans have forty-eight chromosomes, twenty-four pairs. Several years later it was forty-six chromosomes, twenty-three pairs. Inspection of the first researcher's data showed this clearly; apparently, the first researcher simply miscounted and nobody caught it at the time.

      The second happened when I was in junior-high school. Research showed that men tend to survive much longer than women after the death of a spouse. In that case, the researcher applied Bayes theorem (a mathematical theorem regarding statistical correlation) backwards. As with the genetic analysis above, the scientific community reviewed his work but never bothered to double-check it.

      In both cases, the error went undetected until someone actively attempted to recreate the original experiments from scratch. By the way . . . when I was young, the solar system had nine planets. Just sayin'.

    3. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by thesupraman · · Score: 0, Troll

      More to the point.. Think critically for a moment what percentage of the dangle must be removed to make this much difference...
      And then wonder... For just a moment.. If that many women really have their cervix removed..
      Really.. do over 1/2 of the female population have their cervix removed? (Allowing for the fact that people don't have their hysterectomy young generally.. hence inflating the required number ) Really?
      I am smelling a rat here.. And it's a big Smelly political/funding rat..

      Sorry, but the math just didn't add up.. Not even close.

      My suspicion is they are trying to inflate the number to avoid the embarrassing fact that cervical cancer gets much much more funding than prostate cancer, while having lower fatality rates..

      Of course I will be labeled sexist for saying that.. Because men's lives matter less.. Apparently.
      But you know what? I don't care. Because I believe in actual equality.. not advantage to the loudest.

    4. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Imrik · · Score: 1

      People with cervical cancer are far more likely to get a hysterectomy, eliminating the possibility of death by cervical cancer.

    5. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Will getting a hysterectomy prevent me from getting prostate cancer? Because i'm not getting my butthole cut off.

    6. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the scientific community reviewed his work but never bothered to double-check it.

      the error went undetected until someone actively attempted to recreate the original experiments from scratch.

      Huh? So nobody double-checked it until somebody double-checked it? This is exactly why scientists do try to reproduce other people's studies; because peer reviews can't catch everything. A single study is worthless until it has been properly tested.

    7. Re:Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      They need to state what the prevalence of HPV virus is in the different groups too. They've gone with the politically correct explanation that it's all down to healthcare spending when it could be down to that.

    8. Re:Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Since the HPV virus can be spread by non-sexual contact (and usually is - that's why the vaccine is given in childhood) I can't see why there would be any stigma around it (and STD stigmas are idiotic anyway).
      But the thing is: vaccines ARE preventative medicine so the prevalence of the virus is, itself, indicative of the availability of preventative medicine.

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      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    9. Re:Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's pretty obvious that peer review did NOT find and correct the error.

      Do you even know what peer review is or what it is for?

    10. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is exactly why scientists do try to reproduce other people's studies

      LOL! You actually believe that primary school science line? Replications, here in reality, are virtually non-existent. It's a well-known and serious problem in modern science.

      because peer reviews can't catch everything

      Ever been through peer review? I can guarantee you that it's not at all what you think.

    11. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by mmell · · Score: 2

      There's a difference between peer review and experimental confirmation.

    12. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Scarred+Intellect · · Score: 1

      Might I refer you to the Sokal Affair?

    13. Re:Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by rikkards · · Score: 1

      Except that the guy that headed the development of the vaccine stated:
      1. the link between HPV and cancer is tenuous at best as the sampling was done with high-risk women (aka hookers) and how it affects less at-risk women was not studied
      2. The vaccine was rushed to market with inadequate testing to meet external pressures .

      (looking for article but can't find anymore)

    14. Re:Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      I'm open minded though. I can well imagine it ultimately coming down to healthcare spending, i.e. attending smear test programmes and so on which can catch these things early.

    15. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Cant find the article... but I swear it exists and sure you can do nothing to verify its veracity but just trust me okay... and the dozens of other studies showing a link, imcluding with other cancers are just a weird and lucky coincidence. No really. Trust me.

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    16. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... and no such thing as "experimental confirmation". It's not the 19th century. Verificationism is dead. It was an absurdly bad idea that was ultimately eliminated by modern science.

      Play-pretend "scientists" like you, promoting long discredited bullshit, are deeply harmful to the public understanding of science.

    17. Re:Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by compro01 · · Score: 1

      Your comment is incorrect in every particular.

      For starters, the person being quote-mined is a woman, Dr. Diane Harper.

      She had (this was back in 2009) two concerns regarding the vaccine, namely the data about the persistence of immunity (data at the time showed it would last at least 5 years, but they didn't have data about past that) and the way the vaccine was being marketed (she was concerned that the way the vaccine was being advertised may lead to women forgoing screening tests such as pap smears as they figure that they don't need them as they were vaccinated).

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    18. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by mmell · · Score: 1
      I also once believed that global cooling was leading us to another "snowball Earth" condition, and that there were nine planets in the solar system.

      I wasn't intentionally deceived or lied to - the instruction and data were considered accurate at the time - as was the fact that humans have forty-eight chromosomes in their genetic structure and that men tend to survive the death of a spouse better than women do. Both took several years to correct, but the scientific community did correct them.

      And I'm familiar with the peer review process. Reviewing another researcher's work can lead to inadvertently accepting assumptions, while re-creation of experimental data is far more likely (IMHO) to expose such assumptions.

    19. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      There's nothing "pretend" about actually repeating something. If your model is no good at anything then it needs to go in the rubbish bin with casting spells.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    20. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      Hysterectomies were just a trendy surgery to have for awhile. Doctors did them "just because". A lot of them had nothing to do with cancers.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    21. Re: Why wasn't this caught in peer review? by mmell · · Score: 1

      Yeah, confirmation does get in the way of alternate truth (a.k.a., newspeak) doesn't it? [cue ad hominem attacks]

  3. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by msauve · · Score: 0
    Or aren't idiots:

    Though the new study wasn't designed to address racial disparities, experts speculate that the large difference reflects unequal access to preventative medicine and quality healthcare.

    ...as if cancer is caused by either of those. Political alert!

    --
    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
  4. See? I always told everyone math kills! by sinij · · Score: 3, Funny

    See? I always told everyone math give you cancer! Now I finally have a proof.

  5. Health care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First World Country with Third World medical access problem. I guess U.S. people should just move to any third world country as they'd get more use out of their money while at the same time, receive better medical access through u.s. founded help organisations than in the United States of Assholes.

  6. Yes we can by lucm · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The new death rate for black women in the US is on par with that of developing countries.

    In other news, insurance companies make record profits since Obamacare

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    lucm, indeed.
    1. Re: Yes we can by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, but according to Donald Trump, the ACA was bankrupting them, that's why they need relief from the oppression of burdensome regulations.

    2. Re: Yes we can by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is further proof the black race is genetically crippled.

    3. Re: Yes we can by lucm · · Score: 1

      Oh, but according to Donald Trump, the ACA was bankrupting them, that's why they need relief from the oppression of burdensome regulations.

      you mean "President Trump"*.

      * that still makes me laugh

      --
      lucm, indeed.
  7. Both numbers are correct, I would say. Older more by raymorris · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It seems to me both are true and useful. I would even go so far as to say the original number is more useful.

    1 in X women die from cervical cancer. (old number)

    Of women who did not have a hysterectomy (prior to cancer), 1 in Y die from cervical cancer. (new number)

    Both are true. How might mortality rates be used? One important use is comparisons for policy making decisions:
    10 in X women die from heart disease, 1 in X die from cervical cancer. Therefore, we should invest more prevention efforts toward heart disease.

    Or:

    X% of women die from alcoholism, Y% from cervical cancer. Therefore, we should spend the most money researching cures for ______ ?

    For these policy, questions, we want to know how many people are affected. Period. It's not a useful comparison to say "of people who drink, X die from alcoholism, while of people who have a uterus, Y die from cervical cancer". Those numbers don't give us any useful comparison with which to make decisions. The useful numbers for decision making are "how many people could be helped by addressing this issue?"

  8. Overall rate for women unchanged by davidwr · · Score: 2

    It sounds like they just divided women into two sub-groups, one of which has a zero risk of getting cervical cancer.

    The overall risk of cancer for women is still the same.

    Depending on what you are using the statistic for (e.g. assessing your own risk of getting cervical cancer, large-scale targeted prevention efforts, allocating government health-care funding based on overall population, etc.), you may find the new set of statistics more useful than the old one, or vice-versa.

    --
    Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
    1. Re:Overall rate for women unchanged by Imrik · · Score: 2

      Just nitpicking, these are the stats for death by cervical cancer, not for getting it. If it was for just getting it, including women who've had hysterectomies would have had a far smaller effect as most women don't get a hysterectomy before they get cancer.

    2. Re:Overall rate for women unchanged by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Most women who get hysterectomies don't get it for cervical cancer. Cancer of the womb or ovaries are the usual reasons, that's why not all hysterectomies even remove the cervix. What this correction does is to take out of the calculation those women who, to prevent/treat a womb cancer had, had a procedure which also removed their risk of cervical cancer. Cervical cancer is often not detected in time for surgical responses, and when responded to surgically is usually not done with a hysterectomy. Why remove the entire womb (making it a much bigger and riskier operation) when you only need to remove the cervix to get the cancer out ?

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  9. If it helps any . . . by mmell · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Cervical cancer didn't become deadlier, we've just become slightly better informed.

    1. Re:If it helps any . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't Bruce Jenner a woman!? But he has no cervix.

    2. Re:If it helps any . . . by zifn4b · · Score: 1

      Cervical cancer didn't become deadlier, we've just become slightly better informed.

      Nah, just ignore the facts and you'll be more safe! CEO's do it all the time. It really works I tell you! If you claim otherwise, you're just a pessimistic curmudgeon. Gotta stay positive!

      --
      We'll make great pets
  10. Vitamin D by Kohath · · Score: 1

    Before guessing the racial disparity is from unequal access, rule out Vitamin D. Low Vitamin D levels are associated with higher rates of some cancers. Darker skin causes slower Vitamin D production from exposure to sunlight.

    1. Re:Vitamin D by Imrik · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The racial disparity they're talking about in this case is that white women are more likely to get a hysterectomy after they get cervical cancer than black women are. They aren't talking about the overall higher death rate among black women, which could be affected by vitamin D.

    2. Re:Vitamin D by tempo36 · · Score: 1

      My reading of the data is that they are publishing the likelihood of any given individual contracting cervical cancer. By removing women without cervixes from the equation they calculated the new incidence among those at risk for the disease.

      They were not looking at relapse rates status-post initial diagnosis and subsequent treatment (which is what you're addressing when you mention hysterectomy status-post initial diagnosis). So whether white women or black women get hysterectomies after their initial diagnosis is irrelevant in this study.

    3. Re:Vitamin D by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Racist!
      There is no such thing as race, which is why every year, millions of white people move to Africa and India.

      Oh, wait...

    4. Re:Vitamin D by Imrik · · Score: 1

      They're talking about the death rate, not the contraction rate.

    5. Re:Vitamin D by tempo36 · · Score: 1

      In full, they are talking about those who contract and THEN die. But they specifically are addressing that hysterectomies remove individuals from the denominator of the equation with regard to incidence and subsequent morality. The study has nothing to do with how the cervical cancer, once present, is treated.

      One could hypothesize that the racial disparity has to do with how the african american patients are treated once diagnosed, but since I'm not willing to go through the paywall and see if they controlled for that aspect, it's only speculation. If it's a well done analysis they would control for differences in treatment.

  11. Re:Belief versus fact? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I bet you're the type to rush to evolution as the 'holy grail' of science, but deny that humans separated for tens of thousands of years will develop any differently.
    Just like the scientists who made a 'math error' and then blamed it on 'evil whitey keeping the black woman down' I'm sure in 6 months they'll say it's actually a genetic difference between blacks and whites that leads to higher rates of cervical cancer.

  12. Re:Belief versus fact? by Imrik · · Score: 2

    Even more annoyingly, hint at issues with carbon-14 dating and you're a global warming denier, discuss climategate and you're a creationist.

  13. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Then you need to filter out stories from BeauHD.

  14. Re:Belief versus fact? by EzInKy · · Score: 0

    No, I'm more of an evidence based practice type of person. How about you? You believe everything you were taught as an child?

    --
    Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  15. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Jeremi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Cancer might not be caused by lack of quality healthcare, but dying of cancer certainly can be. i.e. People who have access to quality cancer treatments are more likely to survive than people who don't.

    --


    I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  16. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or aren't on a witch hunt for SJW boogeymen:

    Though the new study wasn't designed to address racial disparities, experts speculate that the large difference reflects unequal access to preventative medicine and quality healthcare.

    ...as if cancer is caused by either of those. Political alert!

    ... as if the study was looking at the incidence of cervical cancer rather than the outcomes. Political alert indeed.

  17. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I should correct myself since I know someone will nitpick: looking solely at the incidence rather than the combination of incidence and outcomes.

  18. Re:What about men? by EzInKy · · Score: 1

    No, this article is about the fairer sex.

    --
    Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  19. Pure headline bait by guruevi · · Score: 1

    Cervical cancer didn't get more deadly, statistics have nothing to do with whether or not a certain cancer is more lethal or less susceptible to treatment.

    The statistics also no longer apply to 'just' women, they only apply to women who haven't (yet) had their cervix removed, it's a different subset of people. 1/3 of women get hysterectomies (2/3 of those are deemed to be unnecessary).

    It's not necessarily true that you can't get cervical cancer after a hysterectomy, even with the cervix removed (not necessarily completely removed in all cases), plenty of people have cervical cancer already spread to nearby organs.

    So 'at best' these statistics just identified that you're more susceptible to cervical cancer before treatment/prevention of cervical cancer.

    --
    Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
  20. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, at least there's no spelling errors and not too many grammatical oddities -- double dashes notwithstanding.

  21. No no no no by JustAnotherOldGuy · · Score: 1, Insightful

    "Cervical Cancer Just Got Much Deadlier -- Because Scientists Fixed a Math Error"

    No, it's just as deadly as it always was, it's just being measured more accurately now. The perception of the mortality value changed, but nothing else.

    The headline would have you believe that scientists changed a physical property of the universe because they moved a decimal point or something.

    --
    Just cruising through this digital world at 33 1/3 rpm...
  22. That's a lot of hysterectomies by Solandri · · Score: 4, Informative

    Article is paywalled so I can't read their actual data. If R is the rate at which women die of cervical cancer, n is the number of women who die of cervical cancer, N is the population of women, and h is the fraction who have had hysterectomies.

    R_initial = n / N
    R_adjusted = n / (N - h*N) = (n / N) * (1 / (1-h))
    R_adjusted / R_initial = 1 / (1- h)
    (1-h) = 1 / (R_adjusted / R_initial)
    h = 1 - 1/(R_adjusted / R_initial)

    For black women, R_adjusted / R_initial = 1.77, so

    h = 1 - 1/1.77 = 0.435

    43.5% of black women have had hysterectomies.

    For white women, R_adjusted / R_initial = 1.44, so

    h = 1 - 1/1.44 = 0.306

    30.6% of white women have had hysterectomies.

    According to this site over 1/3 of women over age 60 have had hysterectomies. Which seems to agree with the above calculated rates. I had no idea hysterectomies were that prevalent.

  23. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This new number was created by explicitly removing women that do have quality healthcare by removing women from the study that had hysterectomies, a form of quality healthcare when cervical cancer is involved. What is left are women that do not have quality healthcare.

    In other words, black women that do not have quality healthcare die of cervical cancer at higher rates than white women that do not have quality healthcare.

    The real question at this point is, how are they going to blame this disparity on some *ism? By lying through intentional equivocation of course!

  24. Re:Belief versus fact? by turbidostato · · Score: 2

    "Science-based beliefs are the new bible. One is either a Darwinist [...] There is no longer room for discussion or dissent."

    About species evolution by means of natural selection? No, certainly there's no longer room for discussion or dissent. Just like it's the case about thermodynamics or, say, special relativity. No, ignoramus douchebags' rants don't count.

  25. Re: Belief versus fact? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nowadays it's easier to have discussions with pro-lifes or intelligent designers than with "learned" people.

    Sure, lucm, is that because all of the things you want to say are what they want to hear?

    Notice how you didn't say anything to challenge them and their agenda.

  26. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by EvilSS · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This new number was created by explicitly removing women that do have quality healthcare by removing women from the study that had hysterectomies, a form of quality healthcare when cervical cancer is involved. What is left are women that do not have quality healthcare.

    You do realize that a woman NOT having a hysterectomy does NOT mean they don't have access to quality healthcare, right?

    --
    I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
  27. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by EvilSS · · Score: 2

    Or aren't idiots:

    Though the new study wasn't designed to address racial disparities, experts speculate that the large difference reflects unequal access to preventative medicine and quality healthcare.

    ...as if cancer is caused by either of those. Political alert!

    Cervical cancer is deadly in the final stages when symptoms begin appear that force people to seek medical care. If it's caught early through routine exams it has an exponentially higher survival rate.

    --
    I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
  28. That's Not Deadlier. That's a Higher Incidence. by tempo36 · · Score: 1, Informative

    Exactly what the Subject says. Cervical cancer did not get deadlier. That would be an adjustment to the 1, 3, or 5 year mortality rates which are not addressed here. What they adjusted was the incidence of the disease, i.e. the likelihood that you will get the disease.

    Their data is valid presumable, but this headline about "deadlier" is wholly inaccurate. Report what the study actually concluded, not clickbait.

    1. Re:That's Not Deadlier. That's a Higher Incidence. by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      Their data is valid presumable

      Presumably, you mean presumably! I wouldn't normally bother but it's a weird error I frequently make too. I know the correct spelling, y is not near e, and yet my muscle memory keeps on mistyping it. Do you frequently make this error? I'm glad it's not just me at any rate.

      Brains are weird.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    2. Re:That's Not Deadlier. That's a Higher Incidence. by tempo36 · · Score: 1

      No, it was a typo on my phone.

      Also...moderation "off topic"? How is pointing out, and explaining why, that the study doesn't have the conclusion that the headline implies "off topic?"

      Should I have made a butt joke? Is that on topic? Yeesh.

  29. Speculation by quenda · · Score: 2

    experts speculate that the large difference reflects unequal access to preventative medicine and quality healthcare.

    Which "experts"? Why dismiss all the other cultural and genetic possibilities?
    If it is about "access", why do poor whites have better life expectancy, and why are Hispanics so healthy and long lived in the US?

  30. Math is hard.. by fred911 · · Score: 1

    ..(and apparently harder than surgery).

    --
    09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B - D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  31. Re: Pretend this is slashdot by fastest+fascist · · Score: 2, Informative

    Cervical cancer is virtually always (according to cancer.org) caused by an HPV infection. Effective prevention as part of healthcare is how you combat STDs like that, so yes, it seems reasonable to expect that poor healthcare will lead to increased cervical cancer rates.

  32. You mean MIS informed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    @"The researchers found that black women have a mortality rate of 10.1 per 100,000. For white women, the rate is 4.7 per 100,000. "

    No, this is incorrect, NOW the phrase should read "The researchers found that black women WHO HAVE A CERVIX have a mortality rate of 10.1 per 100,000. For white women with a cervix, the rate is 4.7 per 100,000. "

    The original number was correct, and women without a cervix knew they weren't at risk of cervical cancer and the women who had cancer had an easy estimate of survival rates because they know who is a woman.

  33. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When cancer is not removed leading to death? Yeah, that is NOT quality healthcare.

    Spin your alternative facts all you want right? Anything to defend your worldview. Wouldn't want to face reality.

  34. Why separate by race? by severn2j · · Score: 1

    I don't understand why they split the groups into black and white.. Does "black" cover anyone who isn't white, or are we ignoring asians? And what does this have to do with cervical cancer anyway?

    If there is an actual medical/statistical reason for separating groups like that, I'm genuinely curious, otherwise whats the point?

    1. Re:Why separate by race? by quenda · · Score: 1

      Surely the fact that the two numbers are so different proves it is important?

      The same reason you split data by age, gender and social class. All these categories can matter in medicine.
      No just for epidemiology, but in deciding treatment or risk for an individual.
      The more specific the data the better, but you need a statistically significant sample size.
      Race is a statistical cluster of genetic factors, and genetics matter.
      However, in the case of cervical cancer, it may be more cultural. Blacks in the US have lower condom use, and a much higher incidence of STDs.

      Whatever the reason, know blacks have higher risk means you can make more specific recommendations, and better target funding and public education.

      Does "black" cover anyone who isn't white, or are we ignoring asians?

      No, A typical U.S. study might include black, white, non-white hispanic, and "other". Sorry, not enough East Asians in our study to get meaningful conclusions.

    2. Re:Why separate by race? by severn2j · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the explanation, makes a lot of sense..

    3. Re:Why separate by race? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How does a medical scientist determine whether a patient is "black"? Do they just ask the patient, or do they have more objective criteria? If they ask the patient, what is the exact question?

    4. Re:Why separate by race? by quenda · · Score: 1

      Correction: the condom use is the other way around (higher for blacks), so definitely not a possible explanation. Sorry, did not fact-check in time :)

    5. Re:Why separate by race? by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      It wouldn't matter anyway, since condom use has zero impact on HPV rates. HPV can be spread without sexual intercourse (and mostly is) and condoms do not prevent it or even reduce the risk. Even sexual activity rates don't affect HPV rates - it spreads way to easily and in way too many different ways. That's one reason we give the vaccine in childhood. The younger the better with this one.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    6. Re:Why separate by race? by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      If there is an actual medical/statistical reason for separating groups like that, I'm genuinely curious, otherwise whats the point?

      Because there are actual differences between the races - both genetic and cultural - that can make a certain disease more prevalent in different races. This is a good example, by the way.

    7. Re:Why separate by race? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the US when you see a doctor the form usually asks you for your race. Commonly: American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic or Latino, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, or White.

    8. Re:Why separate by race? by Merk42 · · Score: 1

      Differences? Between races?? That's racist! You bigot!!!

  35. Re:What about men? by Fragnet · · Score: 1

    Bigot.

  36. Beginners boo boo? by SpaghettiPattern · · Score: 1

    First, praise for communicating the error!

    Second, how does such a beginners boo boo slip into statistics? I understand forgetting females without a cervix. But beings that weren't conceived with one? It sort of leaves the impression of botched research. Perhaps the findings and interpretation were rushed out to appease patrons. What else brings back memories of Roquefort and needs a once over? Did they confine the research to humans or more generally to primates?
    So many questions.

    --

    I hadn't the slightest objection to his spending his time planning massacres for the bourgeoisie... (P.G. Wodehouse)
  37. But, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a) Scientists never make huge mistakes like this, and 'the science is settled', etc.
    b) I thought there was 'no such thing as race', so why the racial disparity? They'll be telling us that black men are ten times more likely to murder white women they are in a relationship with than white men...

    1. Re:But, but... by HuguesT · · Score: 1

      The issue is likely social. Read into it what you want.

  38. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by silentcoder · · Score: 1

    Cervical cancer actually IS caused by BOTH those. Because Cervical cancer is preventable with a vaccine. Now do you think access to preventative care may increase somebody's ability to get a vaccine ? Those two sentences are practically the same thing.

    More-over, the lethality of ALL cancers is directly linked to preventative care. The quicker a cancer is detected, the higher your odds of survival - preventative care is the number one way to detect the damn tumour BEFORE It metastasises - i.e. while you can still just cut the fucking thing out.

    --
    Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  39. Strange by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    So they correct the figures by removing women with hysterectomies from the group and the number jumps up, and then they claim that the cause is "unequal access to healthcare" causing higher stats in that group. So I take it the women are getting their uterus and cervix removed by NON health care professionals?

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  40. Stop calling them scientists!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Medicine and biology are not sciences!!

  41. Statistics can prove anything by TheOuterLinux · · Score: 1

    Statistics can be used to prove or disprove anything regardless of equal data access. They probably did it on purpose. It's not like Cervical Cancer or statistics are a new thing. We've probably knew about HPV forever (just as an example) and now that documents are being declassified or exposed left and right, it's better to make things like this look like a "new discovery" instead of people do actual research and sue. Funny how Johnson & Johnson just got caught knowing about talcum powder and cervical cancer links. Related?....hmmmm...

  42. Re:Promiscuity by silentcoder · · Score: 1

    >The virus that causes cervical cancer is transmitted as the result of habitual unprotected sex.
    Falsehood one. HPV can be, and most often is, spread by non-sexual contact.

    --
    Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  43. Re:Both numbers are correct, I would say. Older mo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Shouldn't including men be even more useful? A disease which affects 1 in X women should get the same attention as a disease which affects 1 in 2*X people.

  44. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ironically the error that just got corrected will also serve as a convenient reason for insurance companies to raise their premiums.

  45. Quality healthcare? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't know... I know a lot of black women, dated several. On average, they had more sexual partners than the women of other races I've dated (meaning more HPV exposure), were less likely to see a doctor for routine screening (despite ALL having health insurance and seeing a doctor whenever they needed one), and were far more likely to express the "wait and see" approach so common in men. I'm sure healthcare access plays a role, but cultural elements do also appear to be present as well, and would need to be accounted for (and negated) in any plan of action. Much like getting men to check their testicles.

  46. Experts? No by TimothyHollins · · Score: 1

    "Though the new study wasn't designed to address racial disparities, experts speculate that the large difference reflects unequal access to preventative medicine and quality healthcare."

    This is very strange, because we are spending lots and lots of money trying to get every woman to attend the damn screening (which together with vaccination is the only way to prevent cervical cancer). Do you know how hard that is?

    It's not because of unequal access, it's not because of "muh oppression", it's because we cannot do more than send out invitations, offer self-sampling that can be mailed in, send out a gyno-bus, or offer online/phone consultations. We cannot forcibly make them. Do you have any other suggestions? Or is it more fun to claim "muh equality" on this one too?

    In short, if they do not *want* to take a smear, they won't. I've heard women say "what's the point? Even if I have high-grades lesion I won't come in to the clinic". How the fuck are you supposed to improve care for women that effectively try to hamper their own survival chances? Do you know how many projects, how much money, and how many scientists are working on ways to up the screening coverage? it's practically impossible to get the non-attenders to regularly take smears. Even when their own mothers die from cervical cancer they *still* won't go.

    Experts my ass.

  47. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by jellomizer · · Score: 1

    The biggest healthcare issue is lack of follow up and preventive care. For many type of cancers you can be determined if you are a risk or not, by genetic screening, auditing your life style, environmental conditions... So for many of these conditions if we had a strong healthcare infrastructure the focus will be far heavier on detecting and preventing then on curing or holding off.
    The proble with this method it means we will need an infrastructure so it will require corporations and governments and the population to work together. And across the world this is very difficult.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  48. That's not a math error. by 2fuf · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It's a classification error.

  49. Re:Belief versus fact? by murdocj · · Score: 2

    what planet are you on?

  50. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by thsths · · Score: 0

    It is fake news. Cervical cancel has not changed one little bit - but our understanding of it has improved. There is not even any new evidence, just a new interpretation of it.

  51. Why no test/vax for Men? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    There is STILL not even a test for HPV in men, let alone a vaccine. Why is this discriminatory policy still the norm? You can vaccinate girls all day long but you will not halt the spread of HPV among men, because a vaccinated woman can still carry the virus for a short time (days or weeks) until her body clears it.

    A woman who has multiple sexual partners can still spread the HPV she is carrying to multiple men, and the men aren't even allowed to find out they have it unless they have one of the strains that shows symptoms by causing warts.

    The question we have to ask is, why was only a woman-specific vaccine developed, and why is there STILL no test for asymptomatic HPV in men? It just so happens that the asymptomatic strains of the virus are the ones that most commonly cause cervical cancer. So, one would think there would be impetus to develop a test for ALL people, regardless of gender.

    1. Re:Why no test/vax for Men? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Because wearing a pink-pussy hat is fun and caring about a man suffering is not cool.

    2. Re:Why no test/vax for Men? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HPV is never "cleared" from most people's systems. Once you get it, it's there forever. Most humans on Earth have it.

  52. Re: Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dirty dudes....pick a better mate than one who has screwed everything.

  53. Actually it could be caused. by DrYak · · Score: 2

    Cancer might not be caused by lack of quality healthcare,

    Actually, in this case, lack of quality healthcare DOES rise the incidence of cancer:

    Like several other types of cancer (e.g.: like colon cancer ; unlike pancreatic cancer), it's possible with a routine test to detect cellular anomalies long before those degenerate into an actual cervical cancer (the same way you can notice polyps on a scopy long before an actual cancer).

    But for those early detection to be done, the woman needs to be able to afford going to a gynaecologist for said test to be done.
    Otherwise she'll eventually get actual cervical cancer.

    Also, cervical cancer is one of the few cancers where there is a well known and documented infectious cause - human papilloma virus - that accounts for a significant chunk of cervical cancer.

    But again, for prevention to work, the woman needs to be able to afford going to a doctor who'll administer an HPV vaccine.
    (or - less optimally - to gynaecologists who'll at least detect the HPV infection and do closer monitoring)

    Otherwise the poor woman will catch HPV, which will go unnoticed, and eventually she's at high risk being one of those who caught a cervical cancer as a consequence of HPV infection.

    (Disclaimer : I am a doctor, Jim ! ...but population health isn't my speciality).

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  54. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

    Given that this is all speculation, I think what they speculated on doesn't cover the bases, but was the most PC thing to suggest. For example if they suggested things like "higher rate of having sex with men with HPV" or "less condom use" then the blogosphere would be getting out its pitch forks.

  55. Re: Pretend this is slashdot by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

    I had a virology professor who presented some stats I don't have the citation for, but the long and short of it was that all populations, no matter how divided, have a exponential increase of the percentage of them that is positive for herpes over time. The only exception in his dataset was nuns. And yes, it isn't just a Parks and Rec joke that apparently nursing homes are hotbeds of STDs since no one uses protection since the women aren't fertile anymore.

  56. Re:Belief versus fact? by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

    Eh, not a new bible... you don't have to take any of that on faith. Although, I guess you could, if you were profoundly ignorant about how science works but were willing to go along with what scientists said for some reason.

  57. Reminds me of the autism "epidemic" by dbIII · · Score: 1

    One of the reasons we get foaming at the mouth antivaxxers is a redefinition of autism a bit over ten years back. The other is to look for something to blame other the cruel and hard reality of genetics.

  58. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or aren't idiots:

    Though the new study wasn't designed to address racial disparities, experts speculate that the large difference reflects unequal access to preventative medicine and quality healthcare.

    ...as if cancer is caused by either of those. Political alert!

    Health care rates are probably part of it. The rest is probably ignorance and lifestyle as well. "Planning for the future" isn't one of the things a big slice of American culture does.

    Likewise, cervical cancer (and a bunch of other types) seem to be correlated and in part, CAUSED by viral infections such as HPV. Which is strongly correlated to cultural behavior, sexual activity, and again, ignorance and education.

    Given that, one would expect the numbers to fall where they do when broken down racially.

    My opinion is, anybody wanting to "solve" this problem needs to be pushing for the HPV, and other related viruses to get wiped out with widespread and effective vaccinations. Over and over again, they are finding cancer is set off by viral infections. Sharks, Wombats (the famous nose cancer study) and in several known instances in humans. You aren't going to change people, or their culture, but you can make the virus factor go away with science.

  59. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Scarred+Intellect · · Score: 1

    Though the new study wasn't designed to address racial disparities, experts speculate that the large difference reflects unequal access to preventative medicine and quality healthcare.

    But, but, everyone is supposed to have affordable, quality health insurance! It's required!

  60. And the post about trusting government data? by rickb928 · · Score: 1

    We need not trust ANY data. Even our own. Verify.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
  61. Math is racist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Math is racist, cancer is mysoganist!

    * trigerred *

  62. Re:Promiscuity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    to the cervix though?

  63. Define by JimSadler · · Score: 1

    Does developing nation include third world nations? Does anyone doubt that black people are murdered by our social systems? So let's go have a rally about how America is number one in the world. That's enough to keep CHUMP supporters happy.

  64. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by tsqr · · Score: 1

    This new number was created by explicitly removing women that do have quality healthcare by removing women from the study that had hysterectomies

    Cancer is not a driving factor in most hysterectomies. There is no basis for claiming that "women who have had hysterectomies" have higher quality healthcare than "women who have not had hysterectomies".

  65. Math kills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is why I never touch the stuff.

  66. I know what will help... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's defund Planned Parenthood! Those pap smears will just depress you, and we'll use some alternative facts to lower these numbers.

  67. Re:Belief versus fact? by Gr8Apes · · Score: 2

    This is completely wrong.

    Science-based beliefs are the new bible. One is either a Darwinist global warmist or religious scum taking money from Big Oil. There is no longer room for discussion or dissent. Just hint at possible issues with carbon-14 dating and you're branded a creationist. Discuss the climategate and you're automatically a global warming denier.

    It's just like the switch between Republicans and Democrats over the last century. Nowadays it's easier to have discussions with pro-lifes or intelligent designers than with "learned" people.

    Maybe for you it is easier. Why have a discussion with someone who refuses to acknowledge facts and sticks their head in the dung pile? Seriously, the time for discussion is past on some portions of these topics, e.g., Are we pumping stored CO2 into the atmosphere? Yes. Does CO2 have the ability to raise temperatures? Yes. Is the world warming? Yes. Anything that refutes those statements requires backing scientific evidence of a degree that would indicate matter/energy can be destroyed, as the science behind those facts is about as solid as you can get. I'm not sure what you want to argue about there, or why. Maybe it goes against intelligent design or a pro-life stance?

    What's your issue with Carbon-14 dating? That it's limited to 50K years and that it is based on statistical sampling? Don't complain about the acknowledged error margins unless you can come up with something better. We'll all be all ears should you do so. At this time it is one of the few tools in the basket for this specific task.

    --
    The cesspool just got a check and balance.
  68. Re:Both numbers are correct, I would say. Older mo by ScentCone · · Score: 1

    The useful numbers for decision making are "how many people could be helped by addressing this issue?"

    No, the first and primary useful number consideration is, "Now that we're 20 TRILLION dollars in debt and most new jobs are low-paying junk that barely creates any tax revenue, and we have an exploding entitlement spending problem the mere interest on the debt for which will soon displace nearly all discretionary spending ... what can we afford to research?"

    You want to address the X in Y cases of Z disease in given populations? Return to producing the sort of economic health and largess that allows us to spend that kind of money in the first place. Otherwise, it's like a bankrupt person trying to decide whether to buy a new raincoat or an umbrella so they don't get their nice to outfit wet, because, you know, priorities. A house in fiscal order can spend vastly more money on everything from pure medical research to Mars missions without crushing the very economy that underwrites such things.

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
  69. Diabetes is important factor by rechtco · · Score: 1

    Diabetes and cancer have to be analyzed together. It has been known for a long time but rarely publicized that people with diabetes have higher rates of cancer and higher mortality rates from cancer. Blacks have a 75 percent higher rate of diabetes than Whites and Black women have a higher rate of diabetes than Black men. Previous medical studies that have looked at cancer rates conditional on having diabetes have found that once having diabetes is considered, the rates of cancer mortality between Blacks and Whites is equal. Unless the researchers conditional the probability of cancer mortality on having diabetes, the unconditional data will always show higher rates of cancer deaths for Blacks. Unfortunately, researchers and media generally attribute the difference in cancer mortality between Blacks and Whites as a difference in cancer treatment and diagnosis instead of the known difference in diabetes rates, which is the primary reason for the difference in mortality.

  70. Don't disagree, where did I say "forced by govt"? by raymorris · · Score: 1

    I don't disagree with your general conclusion when it comes to spending that politicians force on us. I don't think my post said anything about government spending, though.

    Howard Hughes Medical Institute has $18 billion dollars, the Kellogg Foundation has $8 billion. Both spend on health / medical programs. I personally decide how to donate my money.

  71. Re:Promiscuity by fireylord · · Score: 1

    Racist AC troll is racist AC troll, move along, no feeding

  72. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's almost like it could be caused a number of factors. Lack of access to quality healthcare, personal health choices leading to higher rates of HPV, lower quality of health care even when they have access to it (eg, black women tend to receive the lowest quality healthcare even when adjusting for insurance coverage within the same hospital as other women), lower quality diet, etc.

    And then each of those reasons also comes with their own slew of "but why". Medical and social sciences are more complicated than people seem to think. But let's all keep jumping on "you're racist" "no, you are" on both sides.

  73. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by tempo36 · · Score: 2

    The study isn't looking at women who had cancer and DIDN'T get hysterectomies. It's looking at incidence of the disease...NEW DIAGNOSIS. To calculate incidence you take the population at risk for the disease and see how many develop it per year.

    (XXX cases) / (People who can possibly get it) = Incidence

    The study made the observation that:

    (XXX cases) / (All women) = Incidence A ---> (XXX cases) / (All women WHO HAVEN'T HAD HYSTERECTOMY) = Incidence B

    Because the denominator is smaller in the 2nd case and the numerator is unchanged, Incidence B > Incidence A

    Everyone who is suggesting that this study makes some conclusion about how cervical cancer is treated is completely missing the point of the study. It's not about how it's treated, it's about how common it is. Hence why the title about "Deadlier" is completely and utterly irrelevant to the study itself.

  74. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

    There's a fun flipside: having access to high quality healthcare increases your chances of (not only being diagnosed with, but also) contracting cancer and other diseases - but, then the healthcare fixes you up, so, it's a net win - especially if you make money selling healthcare.

    The healthcare itself doesn't (usually) cause your cancer, it's all the comorbid lifestyle factors.

    Now, if you don't have access to healthcare or a healthy environment, then you're just screwed.

  75. Re: Pretend this is slashdot by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

    HPV gets around, you're looking for virgins if you're going to get away from it.

  76. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by Culture20 · · Score: 1

    There is no basis for claiming that "women who have had hysterectomies" have higher quality healthcare than "women who have not had hysterectomies".

    Assumption1: Not all women have health care, by circumstance or choice.
    Assumption2: Hysterectomies are solely the result of health care of some sort.
    Discounting false positives leading to unneeded hysterectomies, in the set of women who have had hysterectomies, all of the women who have needed hysterectomies have received hysterectomies. In the set of women who have not had hysterectomies, there will be some women who have needed hysterectomies have not received hysterectomies. Therefore, "women who have had hysterectomies" have higher quality healthcare than "women who have not had hysterectomies". Throw back in the false positives, and you still have one group, all with health care by tautology (even if it sometimes misdiagnoses), and another group where many/most probably have health care, but some have no health care (by circumstance or choice). This would work at lesser degrees for any medical procedure.

  77. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by tsqr · · Score: 1

    Nearly 90 percent of all women in the US never have hysterectomies. Pretty sure a lot of them have quality health care.

  78. Re:Belief versus fact? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Scientists discuss and debate thermodynamics all of the time. I'm not seeing your point. In fact science demands dissent, it's part of the scientific method.

    Newton: F=Gmm/r^2 . Good, that's done.

    Einstein: Not so fast

  79. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by EvilSS · · Score: 1

    When cancer is not removed leading to death? Yeah, that is NOT quality healthcare.

    Spin your alternative facts all you want right? Anything to defend your worldview. Wouldn't want to face reality.

    There are a number of reasons a woman may need to get a hysterectomy. This study excluded those who had, for whatever reason, had a hysterectomy from the total population of people who could get cervical cancer (since they would, by definition, not have a cervix anymore). That does not mean that all the women left in the study don't have access to quality healthcare just because they never had a hysterectomy. A hysterectomy isn't like getting a vaccine, it's something that every women with healthcare will get in their lifetime. However, that's exactly what you stated in the quote in my original reply. Get off the crack pipe.

    --
    I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
  80. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    The current status in the US should assume that 100% of adults have herpes (passes by mouth, and is asymptomatic in most cases), HPV, and Toxoplasmosis. To assume otherwise is silly. There has not been a study into the rates of those in adults, corrected (or correlated with) demographics. It's not high on the list to narrow down the level of "common" diseases to who is more likely to have it, and how they get it. Treating it in 100% of the population would be the goal, due to the level of infection.

  81. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    Nearly 100% of those with no access to health care have not had a hysterectomy.

  82. Not quite.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Y die from cervical cancer

    Nope. Y makes you immune, only X die from cervical cancer.

  83. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

    Just because you have to buy private for-profit insurance doesn't mean that a for-profit hospital will set up in your town. The "solution" is to cut costs by eliminating the profit motive in insurance and carers. Just that should eliminate 30-50% of healthcare costs (10%-15% profit, and the 10%-20% of a company dedicated to increasing profit but unrelated to services, times two middlemen). Having basic insurance doesn't guarantee access to health care. That was proposed, and shot down by the Republicans who would rather the poor just crawl under a rock and die.

  84. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    Nope. This is the real news. All the other statistics used before were the fake news.

  85. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by jedidiah · · Score: 1

    Except it's not quite that simple. People like to forget that we actually do have public healthcare options. There may be a gap where the working poor fall through the cracks but those in serious poverty do have access to healthcare. It's called Medicaid.

    Also personal choices do matter. Even if a pap smear or colonoscopy is free, you still have to go out and get it. People may still avoid doctors if services are free or if they are "wealthy" enough.

    Also, pap smears are an annual ritual of those that choose to take birth control pills.

    Vague ideas about "healthcare access" are driven by politics.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  86. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by jedidiah · · Score: 1

    A lot of these people with "poor access" are probably on Medicaid. So this politically motivated proposition may ultimately and ironically resolve into "socialized medicine sucks".

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  87. Re: Belief versus fact? by lucm · · Score: 1

    Nowadays it's easier to have discussions with pro-lifes or intelligent designers than with "learned" people.

    Sure, lucm, is that because all of the things you want to say are what they want to hear?

    Notice how you didn't say anything to challenge them and their agenda.

    One of my best friends is a Jehovah's witness. We've been arguing for over 15 years about the bible (I'm more on the atheist side) and we're still friends.

    --
    lucm, indeed.
  88. Re:Belief versus fact? by lucm · · Score: 1

    what planet are you on?

    Look at the mods on my post. QED.

    --
    lucm, indeed.
  89. Call me crazy..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...but it sounds like a self-solving problem.

  90. Re:Both numbers are correct, I would say. Older mo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Unless you are using the numbers to support removing the cervix.

  91. Re:Pretend this is slashdot by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    So, do they have health care, or don't they? If they do, then they are excluded. If they don't, then they are included. A lot of poor have no health care. Anyone working at Wal-Mart may be poor enough for food stamps, but not for medicaid, and they don't get any insurance through work, so they'd be a group that'd have no insurance. And there are many other similar groups.

    Note, my comment was about health care, not wealth or income.

  92. Still technically possible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wait isn't it technically possible to die from Cervical cancer without a Cervix - just have some stray metastasized cancer after the removal of the cervix. Let this uncaught cancer expand to terminal levels - then the poor subject could still have died of cancer from a body part they now lack. Granted that would probably be a major outlier.

  93. (MUST READ: HOW I GOT CURED FROM MY HIV/HPV VIRUS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

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  94. Re:What about men? by EzInKy · · Score: 1

    Preferring one sex above another isn't bigotry.

    --
    Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  95. Re:What about men? by Fragnet · · Score: 1

    I was being... facetious :).