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Most Millennials Have an Unrealistic View of Their Retirement Prospects, Analysts Say (hsbc.com)

From a blog post on research firm HSBC: HSBC calls for millennials to wake up to living and working longer, as research finds only 1 in 10 expects to work past 65. Most millennials have an unrealistic view of their retirement prospects according to a new report from HSBC. The latest report in The Future of Retirement series, Shifting sands, finds that on average millennials expect to retire younger than other working age generations. Millennials expect to retire at 59, two years younger than the working age average of 61. The survey of over 18,000 people in 16 countries finds that only 10 percent of millennials expect to continue working after 65 -- even as their generation faces unprecedented financial pressures and state retirement ages continue to rise around the world. This is despite 59 percent of millennials agreeing they will live much longer and will need to support themselves for longer than previous generations.

72 of 557 comments (clear)

  1. Opposite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I was thinking that I won't be able to retire the way things are.

    1. Re:Opposite by GameboyRMH · · Score: 2

      Ever see the reality show "Live Free or Die?"

      That's my retirement plan.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    2. Re:Opposite by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I was thinking that I won't be able to retire the way things are.

      Nor I. But when I was 25 I thought I would retire at 55 (and actually all things remaining equal, my plan and habits would have enabled it). But all things do not remain equal. Unexpected, previously undesirable and sometimes unforeseeable things happen in life: wives, children, crashing economies, jobs constantly being shifted overseas, etc.

      I guess this aspect of millennial thinking isn't new or scary. As with all of us, life will grind away hopes and dreams, no action is required from us.

    3. Re:Opposite by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Exactly.

      I'm a gen X'er and I *know* I won't have a pension. Even if I retire, the government or the pension providers will default on me - either through inflation, or just because the damn pension providers will flatly announce they just don't have anything left in their coffers. I know this because they've already done it to my dad, who was born in the silent generation. So it's nothing new, but it sure won't get no better.

      So, I'm not putting any money in a system that'll shaft me and I'm not saving anything for old age - most likely I'll be working until I die anyway.

      What I do instead is, I enjoy as much free time now while I'm still young: I found me one of the last "old-style" jobs still available that lets me work 36 hrs/week with unreasonably great pay, in a heavily unionized old company that does business in a market that doesn't know the word recession.

      In other words, I've maximized my salary/work ratio and I do as little work as possible to enjoy life the the fullest while I'm still in a condition to enjoy it. Time enough when I'm old and decrepit to kill myself at work for a living.

      --
      "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    4. Re:Opposite by OakDragon · · Score: 3, Funny

      Me? Working until the day I die. And on the date of the funeral, will probably have to put in a half day.

    5. Re:Opposite by butchersong · · Score: 4, Funny

      I plan on having several kids -like 6 or so. If I influence each of their malleable little minds just right for the first 18 yrs I'll be able to guilt em into providing me 15% of their monthly income. I might even luck out and one of them will actually land a cushy job giving me a nice bump in lifestyle.

    6. Re:Opposite by Quirkz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I hear you. Fresh out of college, I figured I was smart and impressive enough to find a way to retire by 50. Preferably by becoming a world-famous novelist in the next few years, or a dot-com millionaire by the turn of the millennium. Basis: nothing but wishful thinking, and the belief that I sure as hell couldn't keep doing this work crud five days a week for half a century. (Oh yeah, I can also distinctly remember telling my brother, "I really think I'm meant to win the lottery. I know the odds are against it, but it should happen to me.")

      By 35, married, dual income, no kids, I had a plan, based on actual, mathematical evidence (if with some optimistic assumptions) that I could retire at 60, with a paid-off house and a decent retirement fund.

      In my mid-forties with kids and a spouse that stays home, past one really terrible financial mistake with a house, plus several minor financial setbacks at work, I'm now looking at 65, more likely. I still have my doubts about the sanity or feasibility of doing this work crud five days a week for a few decades, but at least I've now worked almost half of the mandatory time, so there's that.

    7. Re: Opposite by QuasiEvil · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Couldn't agree more, except I'd say don't get married ever. I married someone that I'd literally grown up with and we'd been dating for 8+ years. If ever I thought I knew and could trust someone it was her. Plus, she was a fellow engineer and made roughly the same, if not a bit more.

      She had a midlife crises, flipped out and we split. Even with a relatively amicable split, I still had to write her the $100k check on my thirtieth birthday because I kept the house. Nevermind it was largely my reserves that paid for it in the first place...

      That said, I made a couple very cool career and investment moves in my thirties and have recovered nicely. I'm now in my forties, financially comfy and on track to retire before I hit fifty. I have a girlfriend who has her own life, place, and income, and we're quite happy not placing each other's financial future at risk.

      Just don't get married. Ever. It's a racket and a scam and statistically, you're not going to come out a winner.

    8. Re: Opposite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      [bquote]How about they stop buying the latest trendy $250 shoes and put some money into an IRA, or a 401(k) like responsible people?[/bquote]

      I'm 38 and there are 23 year olds at my job whining about how my "generation" has it better than theirs... meanwhile these people drive sub-2 year old cars, live in nice apartments, have high end clothes, glasses, shoes, etc. Everyday is a new outfit for several of these people.

      I drive a 12 year old car that was 6 years old when I got it. I live in a dumpy apartment, and I wear the same pants and sneakers to work everyday.

      Then they have the nerve to bitch at an HR meeting that they can't afford to contribute to the 401k plan with the strong implication it is weak salaries vs "cost of living", not their own spending, that is the cause.

      When you try to have a conversation about it they accuse you of being a conservative asshole and start ranting about a small percentage of people who make far more--it's entitlement pure and simple, they see luxury and they expect that because they are working they are entitled to it, that is their version of "cost of living"; and if the CEO makes $500K/yr it's all coming from /their/ pockets personally.

      Yes I sound like an old fucker, but I don't care. I'm tired of feeling like shit because I put 25% in retirement at the expense of having a nice car and other stuff today, but I know I must. I'm tired of being afraid of the threat of new means-tests being invented to take away retirement benefits from people who bust their asses to save all their lives so that the future generations who didn't save can stay off the streets.

    9. Re:Opposite by jjw3579 · · Score: 2

      You must SAVE SAVE SAVE for retirement! Your money will GROW at the astounding rate of .01%! It's only possible to retire because of the time value of money you've invested NOW when you are young! Oh, no, wait, Wall Street messed up so we bailed them out but everything you have is gone.

    10. Re:Opposite by AC5398 · · Score: 2

      I was the opposite. Fresh out of college, I ran the numbers and realized I wouldn't have or make enough to retire, but I knew it was important I try to put some savings aside. So I did.

      35, same results but bought a condo that appreciated nicely, and sold that a decade ago. Found the FIRE community via Garth Turner about 6 years ago, and have made significant inroads on saving for retirement.

      Now, I've run the numbers and the magic retirement age is 61. I just don't believe I'll live past 57.

    11. Re: Opposite by syswalla · · Score: 3

      For purely financial reasons, if you have a substantial career, are able to do well on your own, and children aren't in the mix, I understand your point of view. I never wanted kids and I waited until I was 50 to get married. Both of us had good jobs and had built up equity which we were able to combine to create a life that neither one of us would be able to afford separately. That said, it's the intangible emotional support I get from my wife and her family, as well as the knowledge that we can share financial resources without legal roadblocks or a tax penalty that make it a plus for us. Of course you have to marry the right person as well as uphold your end. That's the truly tricky part.

  2. Unrealistic for you, maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    They don't expect to live past 65, given the state of healthcare in this country.

    1. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by alvinrod · · Score: 3, Interesting

      While that's all well and good I don't think millennials would be broadly characterized as being personally responsible. That's not to say that they're all irresponsible idiots, but in many ways the rapid scientific and technological process made in the decades prior to their existence have made life much, much easier in the United States and other Western democracies. Life didn't present as much of a demand to be responsible and society didn't go out of its way to realize that we needed to instill those virtues artificially due to their growing absence, so we can hardly be surprised.

      I expect that we'll eventually see the pendulum swing the other way. Eventually this is going to start catching up to people and when enough of them start screaming bloody murder we'll collectively figure out what we should have been doing decades ago and start working towards it. Humanity tends not to make smart decisions at the highest levels, and looking back at history we only tend to do things better after having our previous and catastrophic actions blow up in our face so to speak. For example, the way we treated the Axis powers after WWII was markedly different from how Germany was treated after WWI, only because we came to realize that it was a terrible idea and would lead to future war. Now Germany and Japan are economic powerhouses that contribute greatly to the world economy because humanity realized that its better to build the defeated enemies back up instead of leaving hatred to fester.

      Healthcare is always going to be tricky though just because at the end of your life (assuming it doesn't abruptly end in such a way that makes medical intervention impossible) everyone is going to wind up ill, run-down, or broken in a way that requires a lot of resources to fix. Historically, people were just okay with that, but modern technology has made it a lot easier to prolong the life of people with conditions that would have left them dead before age 2 in any other time period, and so there's a societal demand to keep on living. Maybe science will figure out a way to make that so cheap that it's no longer a problem to provide it so freely, but right now it's not an easy problem.

      In the U.S. it's a particularly large one because as a country we've decided we want a huge military, whereas if we scaled that back we could provide better health coverage, even as unhealthy as we are as a population. But that ties back into the problem of responsibility and we have a society that doesn't view their health as their own concern, but rather someone else's responsibility to fix when it invariably fails. I'm sure a government system could be created to incentivize people to take better care of their own health, but I'm not sure the people would collectively vote for it. Humanity hasn't quite hit the necessary rock bottom in terms of what modernization does to health yet in order for us to go down the right path.

    2. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The US Govt (at least on the Federal level) is mandated by the US Constitution to provide for defense...that is one of its few enumerated responsibilities and powers.

      I don't really think it is anywhere in the constitution for the government (at least on the federal level) to provide healthcare for the citizens, at least not without a constitutional amendment.

      I find it interesting you say that. Comments about providing for/promoting the "general Welfare" literally appears in the same sentence as "provide for the common defence" in the taxing and spending clause, and in the preamble of the Constitution.

    3. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by Altus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If "provide for the common defense" can be used to justify spending as much on the military as the next 10 countries combined then perhaps "promote the general Welfare" might be considered to include keeping the citizens of the country healthy.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    4. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by peragrin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem is routine medical not subsidized is several hundred dollars a visit. Times a wife and two kids and you are talking about thousands annually.

      Women have been giving birth since the dawn of mankind. Yet now the average child birth costs $30,000.00

      Something where the doctors do little but monitor costs more than a car. Now I would rather have a doctor monitoring the situation as a lot can go wrong quickly, but that's a lot of money for just in case.

      Health care expenses are so far out of whack it isn't funny. The whole industry is out of whack and keeps pushing itself farther away.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    5. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by darthsilun · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Ho hum, that old line of reasoning.

      Nobody is suggesting that the military go away. GP said "scaled ... back" Heck, before WWII we had a much smaller military. The Constitution doesn't require military spending to be 1%, 3% or 10% of GDP. Specifically it says "provide for the common defense." BTW, in the very same sentence it also says "promote the general welfare." So far we have interpreted "common defense" to mean "have a standing army." But you know what? Excluding WWI and WWII, up until WWII our military spending was < 1% of gross GDP[1]. Now it's over 3%, and Twitler wants to double it. Do we really need to double it? Opinions are nice, but objectivity is better.

      You're all hot to point out that the Constitution requires the government to provide for the common defense. But you seem to want to gloss right over the promote the general welfare part. Why is that, do you suppose?

      And if we the people want it, it seems to me that the government can solve the affordable health care problem. No Constitutional Amendment required/ We already do lots of other things under the banner of promoting the general welfare, e.g. seatbelt and airbags in cars, safe food, clean air and water, etc., etc. (and Science, bitches.)

      OTOH you know what isn't in the Constitution? There's nothing in it that guarantees that every business will succeed. While Conservitards everywhere are obsessing over the possibility that some theoretical welfare queens somewhere (that typically don't actually exist) are bilking the government for millions, Corporate Welfare Queens are getting tax breaks and using bookkeeping tricks to avoid paying taxes they owe on billions in income. Talk about not seeing the forest for the trees. Oh, and those Corporate Welfare Queens are people too, thanks to Citizens United, so they can donate huge sums of money to the very same Congress Critters who give them those tax cuts, bookkeeping dodges, and "people" status. Something's fishy in Denmark if you ask me. (And hey, I'm a person too, I want that same 15% tax rate that Twitler wants to give them.)

      But yeah, keep whining about health care not being in the Constitution. The ACA didn't give health care to anyone. It required the freeloaders who weren't buying insurance and driving the rest of our rates up to be adults and finally buy insurance. Maybe you didn't like the subsidies that the poor got, is that what your gripe was? Let me ask you, do you call yourself a Christian? Ask yourself, would Jesus have helped the poor? Should he have helped the poor? Would he have wanted you to help the poor? Is there a reason you don't think the poor should get help with buying the insurance they need? And want to buy?

      [1] http://www.usgovernmentspendin...

    6. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by XXongo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You're all hot to point out that the Constitution requires the government to provide for the common defense. But you seem to want to gloss right over the promote the general welfare part. Why is that, do you suppose?

      See my other post in this thread about the General Welfare clause. You have to take that as it was meant when written...it means more of the welfare of the UNION of the states, and the ability of the Feds to lay taxation for that purpose.

      No, it doesn't.

      Where the hell do you get these bullshit interpretations?

      The meaning of the "welfare" in 1787 meant health and prosperity. Of the people. You know, that "we the people" thing? People.

    7. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by lupinetine2896 · · Score: 2

      "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.— That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, "

      Declaration of Independence makes it pretty clear that life is a human right and that the feds are responsible for the health and happiness of the citizens. But then again, I'm sure there's a reason that it doesn't count as a founding document in some lines of thinking.

    8. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 3, Informative

      If "provide for the common defense" can be used to justify spending as much on the military as the next 10 countries combined then perhaps "promote the general Welfare" might be considered to include keeping the citizens of the country healthy.

      You're quoting the preamble, which simply explains why they wrote the Constitution. The actual powers of the federal government are vested in Article I, Section 8. Specifically, items 12, 13, and 14:

      12: To raise and support Armies, but no Appropriation of Money to that Use shall be for a longer Term than two Years;

      13: To provide and maintain a Navy;

      14: To make Rules for the Government and Regulation of the land and naval Forces;

      There is no specific power granted for "promote the general welfare". Item 1 may come close, saying that "The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States", but the fact that the founders didn't start building hospitals means that they never meant it that way. It's something the states can do, much in the same way that states establish university systems.

    9. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by darthsilun · · Score: 4, Informative

      You have to take that as it was meant when written...it means more of the welfare of the UNION of the states

      SCOTUS doesn't agree with you, AFAICT
      See U.S. v Butler, 1936

      But it doesn't mean "welfare" in the same way that people in this century try to translate it.

      If by "welfare" you mean the (((Entitlement))) part of Social Security? No, I I'm not aware that anyone in this exchange is translating it that way. Excepting perhaps you?

    10. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by tburkhol · · Score: 2

      Most of people's health is determined by genetics, environment and luck.

      Most people's health is determined by genetics, environment, and age. Average healthcare spending by the over-65 crowd is 3x the under-65 crowd, and 20-25% of lifetime medical expenses are, on average, incurred during the last year of life.

      If you want to talk about the real healthcare scam, it's that Americans transition from private insurance to Medicare at just about the age where they start actually consuming healthcare services.

    11. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by dywolf · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Well, that provide for general welfare, has to be taken in the meaning of the day, not as "welfare" as we think of it today. Basically general welfare as used in the constitution was defined as the overall state of wellbeing of the nation as a whole.

      Then so does "provide for the defense", which "in the meaning of the day" most certainly DID NOT mean the permanent standing military of the size and scope that we have today.

      Basically your argument is shit.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    12. Re:Unrealistic for you, maybe by Whorhay · · Score: 2

      And the defense bit would have meant no standing army and a very limited navy, relying on militias for national defense.

  3. The view fails to account getting &*#@ed by sinij · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This view is unrealistic because it fails to account getting &*#@ed by boomers both with national debt, student debt, globalization suppressing wages, and lack of opportunities due to boomers working past retirement.

    1. Re:The view fails to account getting &*#@ed by Altus · · Score: 2

      yeah but on the other hand by the time they reach 59 they probably wont be able to get a job anymore with the way the economy is going... thats a form of "retirement"

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    2. Re:The view fails to account getting &*#@ed by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As a boomer, when i went to college, it was $180 a semester. Even adjusted for inflation that's a fraction of the cost today.

      Tuitions went up enormously when the law was changed to allow loans not forgiven by bankruptcy.

      Boomers are running about 10 years behind my age for every major landmark.

      That being said- save hard, don't pamper yourself with eating out and starbucks and you can still retire years earlier.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    3. Re:The view fails to account getting &*#@ed by msauve · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's the ready availability of grants and below market student loans which drove the above market increases in tuition. Unintended consequences and all that...

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    4. Re:The view fails to account getting &*#@ed by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And the lack of bankruptcy means the banks would loan unreasonable amounts of money to 18 year olds who had no clue how much pain they were signing up for.

      If the bankruptcy was removed, loans would drop, and so would tuition.

      Grants are a factor but they were tiny amounts of money compared to student loans.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    5. Re:The view fails to account getting &*#@ed by monkeyxpress · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That being said- save hard, don't pamper yourself with eating out and starbucks and you can still retire years earlier.

      That's funny, because I have just spent the last few years learning how not to do that. I worked really hard (graduated at a young age), and just saved for about 10 years. I paid down debt and put my money into what I thought were safe investments, and pretty much did nothing fun for that time. I barely ate out, I had one beer a month on average, I had a $1500 car that I kept going by spending weekends fixing it.

      However, the one thing I didn't do was buy a house. So in that time, I saw people who took out what I thought were irresponsible mortgage becoming stupidly wealthy, while drawing down their newfound equity and living life to the full. Meanwhile the purchasing value of my savings has become a joke, rents and expenses went up (regardless of what the govt says inflation is) and I basically just try not to think about all the opportunity cost of squirrelling money for so many years.

      I keep enough to live off for about 2 years now, and just try to work my way through a list of life experiences. Part of me still really wants to save, but I beat that part back by reflecting on how much of life I missed out on because I was apparently 'doing all the right things'.

      Until the housing bubble sorts itself out, I think saving is a waste of time. You will lose it all anyway when govt needs to bail out all the people who took on too much debt (which is the other side of your savings). Until then, the best 'savings' a millennial can make right now is keeping their career in good order and skills sharp. It will get really tough when the next recession hits, but if you didn't have any money to lose, and can do something useful, history suggests you'll be able to muddle through to better times.

    6. Re:The view fails to account getting &*#@ed by Solandri · · Score: 4, Informative

      Tuitions went up enormously when the law was changed to allow loans not forgiven by bankruptcy.

      Here's a chart of historical tuitions (inflation-adjusted). The change in student loan bankruptcy law was in 2005.

      • From 1994-95 to 2004-05, the average tuition rose from $13,069 to $17,030. An increase of 30.3%, or an annual average of 2.68%.
      • From 2004-05 to 2014-15, the average tuition rose from $17,030 to $21,728. An increase ot 27.6%, or an annual average of 2.47%.
      • Even if you remove the transition years (2004-05 and 2005-06), the increase was 2.34% per year before 2005, 1.93% per year after 2005.

      So contrary to your claim, the rate at which tuitions were climbing actually slowed down after it was made virtually impossible to discharge student loan debt via bankruptcy.

      It was the widespread availability of loans and grants, starting way back after WWII with the GI Bill, which led to high tuitions. The schools simply sopped up that extra money by increasing their tuition. The change to bankruptcy law, while a cute theory, had nothing to do with it, according to numerical evidence.

    7. Re:The view fails to account getting &*#@ed by msauve · · Score: 2

      If you paid for college, especially with student loans, it was a bad investment, because you didn't learn squat about history.

      The "boomer" gen was the one with a significant number who fought against wars, starting with Viet Nam. Not always successfully, but there's the military-industrial complex to put up with, and political reality. The draft was eliminated after Viet Nam; without later gens voluntarily signing up (mostly for the benefits), later wars wouldn't have been possible.

      "Sane housing costs?" You're making things up. Boomers (middle birth year = 1955) lived through and were buying first houses in the '80's, when mortgage rates were above 10%, approaching 20% at times, the highest rates in US history. Enjoy the current <5% rates, they're below long term historical averages. If you feel entitled to a costly McMansion, that's a choice, but interest rates are not.

      Outsourcing? FU. Things change. There have been many industries which have moved overseas in substantial amount over generations - autos, steel, consumer electronics, to name some big ones. The US response has been to create new industries to replace them. So, get going. Simply by taking personal responsibility, you can move on - no one owes anyone a job. If you're truly competent, you can compete with anyone, anywhere in the world. And if you can't find a job, create one - the most successful people got there through hard work, innovation, and entrepreneurship, not working for someone else. But if you feel entitled and are unwilling to give up $5 Starbucks coffees and put up with some hardship, that obviously won't work.

      Near-free education? It's absolutely free to the individual, and still is, now more than ever. Taxes pay for your learning the basics. Beyond that, it used involve going to a library, but now you can educate yourself by simply having an Internet connection.

      Those old age "entitlements?" They've already been paid for with years of payroll deductions for both SS and Medicare, it's a simple look at any paystub to understand that. No one I know expects to get back even what they've already paid in, and I've personally planned for 30 years with the expectation that it would be much less. That means skipping the $5 Starbucks, brown-bagging your lunch, and doing cheap vacations. And none of that is a hardship.

      The US still enjoys a top-tier standard of living, people from other countries want in. Stop whining like a spoiled brat and get to work, no one owes you anything.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
  4. I don't think they actually talked to any of them. by bistromath007 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Millenials don't expect to work past 65 because they'd be surprised if they make it past 50 without committing suicide.

  5. Who did they talk to? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have never met someone below the age of 30 that thought they had a chance of retiring at all. The majority expects Social Security to be gone, they have never seen a job with a pension, and they just lived the prime of their lives through the economic recession shattering both 401k investments and realestate.

    Millenials are keenly aware of how screwed they are.

    1. Re:Who did they talk to? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The average person will see major recessions and a depression in their lifetime. My late father, who was born in the middle of the Great Depression and seen more than a few recessions, regarded the Great Recession as the Second Great Depression. I've been through the Dot Com Bust and the Great Recession, and I'm preparing for the Trump Recession that will happen in the next few years. This is not as bad as the 19th century where a depression took place every 25 years.

    2. Re:Who did they talk to? by amiga3D · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I just retired at age 57. I bought my own home and even though I'm not rolling in dough I don't have to work to live. No house payment and if I make it to 62 I can expect around 2K more per month which will set me up pretty nice. I spent a lifetime working in avionics with a 60K yearly income at retirement. I still expect to work but no longer at a daily grind kind of pace. I look to do projects and temp work just to make play money. Not bad for a high school education.

    3. Re:Who did they talk to? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Trump Recession? Implying that the Great Recession isn't over.

      The Great Recession was over in 2009. We had eight years of an expanding economy and we're overdue for a recession. Since Trump won the election, it won't be called the Hillary Recession.

    4. Re:Who did they talk to? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You need to get yourself a better financial advisor.

    5. Re:Who did they talk to? by clodney · · Score: 2

      I have never met someone below the age of 30 that thought they had a chance of retiring at all. The majority expects Social Security to be gone..

      While the state of Social Security is not good, it is not nearly so dire as that. It is one of the most popular government programs around, and current projections are that in 203x when the trust funds are exhausted (and yes, the trust funds are nothing more than bonds that have to be paid by the Treasury, so in some senses don't really exist), ongoing payroll deductions at the current level would pay 71% of current benefits (inflation adjusted).

      So a haircut, not a death sentence. And the popularity of the program means that it is one of the least likely things to go away. Rising debt service is probably a greater threat to social security than anything else, crowding out all other spending.

      One thing I have never seen is very long term projections. When the bulk of the boomers die off I can imagine Social Security going back into the black.

      If you are a millennial, hope for something like a flu pandemic with mortality concentrated in the old - that would knock a bunch of boomers out of the Social Security pool and leave more money for you. .

    6. Re:Who did they talk to? by whitlocktj · · Score: 2

      Yes, it ended in June of 2009. The reason that's hard to believe is because it took a lot longer after that to recover from what was lost, nevertheless, GDP, the standard by which a recession is typically defined, was no longer receding. And stocks were on the uphill climb. This took a lot longer to trickle down into every day life, but for sure, the recession was over.

  6. Save 30%, retire early by Moof123 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Seriously, the math is not hard. Live a simple life that concentrates on happiness instead of stuff, and make saving a healthy percentage of your income. You will be financially independent and have the option to retire well before 50.

    Or you can choose to save 10% or less, inflate your lifestyle at every raise and work until you are 70+. More likely you will get laid off in your 50's and have to "retire" badly when all you can find is low wage jobs.

    1. Re:Save 30%, retire early by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your simple plan is dependent on having above average salary, not getting sick and no close family member getting sick. Low salary forces you into simple life and you still wont save all that much. It is kinda hard when cheap rent in bad district eats all money you earn. It is hard to concentrate on happiness when you drive almost hour and half each day to get home after long hours.

      Math is easy, it is just that economy does not guarantee everyone well paid job you can easily save from.

    2. Re:Save 30%, retire early by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, it's hardly that simple. While you espouse a perfectly reasonable plan, there are lots of things that can get in your way. That job that concentrates on happiness (whatever that is) just laid you off. You run through your savings in 9 months looking for another job. Then your wife comes down with breast cancer.

      I see this stuff all of the time. It's not just American Hedonism that is going to screw the Millenials - it's hedonism, no safety net and an economy run by those nice people that brought you 2008. If you're of the Buddhist persuasion then you can sigh, work some more on your karma and hope next time you get reincarnated as a housefly. The rest of us just get depressed.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:Save 30%, retire early by jeff4747 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You forgot to include a few steps:

      -Be lucky enough to never face a serious health issue.
      -Be lucky enough to never be unemployed for an extended period of time due to forces beyond your control.
      -Have zero family or friends that failed the previous two steps. Or even better, zero family or friends.

    4. Re:Save 30%, retire early by amiga3D · · Score: 2

      I put all my 401K into government securities 2 years before I retired just because I feared exactly that. I lost out badly on the Trump bump to the stock market but I seriously thought Hilliary would get elected. Still, better safe than sorry.

    5. Re:Save 30%, retire early by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Granted those happen- but buying too much house, eating out too much, buying too much car, traveling too much, buying clothing that's too nice, drinking after work, starbucks, and many other activities enjoyed by the young do not help.

      I lived on half I made and saved the rest from 1987 onwards. I retired 16 years early.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    6. Re:Save 30%, retire early by DalM · · Score: 3, Funny

      Better move it all back to those stocks. Wouldn't want to miss out on any more of those gains.

    7. Re:Save 30%, retire early by Pascoea · · Score: 2

      The only way I retire on that schedule is by carefully managing my expenses - something I'm working very hard to do. I'm not sure what others are expecting, but saving enough money to retire early is hard.

      I'm really not sure what you were getting at in your post. Basically what I gleaned from it is: I'm 35. I pull in around $1M/year. Math Math Math. I plan on retiring in 5 years. You can't retire on a million dollars any more. Saving money is hard.

      I don't mean to be a dick, but "carefully managing your expenses" is a little easier when making "literally close to 10x the average income" in my area. Not knocking what you've accomplished. You're either exceptionally smart, exceptionally lucky, mostly likely both. But saying "saving enough money to retire early is hard" when making a million dollars a year makes you come across as a prick.

    8. Re:Save 30%, retire early by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 2

      Plus the most important one - never get divorced as that is the most common setback people will face. My advice to my kids is to only marry someone who makes as much or more than you.

    9. Re:Save 30%, retire early by Moof123 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Saving crap piles of money makes dealing with ALL of those issues much easier, they are not reasons to avoid savings. Money in the bank gives you options if you get sick, or family has a disaster. Living paycheck to paycheck makes minor medical or job problems an instant emergency. Not being able to keep your job because you get sick without large savings can be quickly ruinous.

      Becoming financially independent and retiring early gives you more time to cook healthy food and exercise more, not to mention huge reductions health destroying stress. Chances of major illnesses can be reduced greatly as a result.

      I've already been through a year long unemployment episode, and never want to be at the whim of an employer for my livelihood again.

    10. Re:Save 30%, retire early by slew · · Score: 2

      Plus the most important one - never get divorced as that is the most common setback people will face. My advice to my kids is to only marry someone who makes as much or more than you.

      If we apply these rules across the board, basically internet match services will only need 2 criteria: sexual orientation, and monthly salary. They would then only need match those that had equal salary (within some tolerance) and compatible sexual orientation.

      I had a similar discussion with a relative of mine the other day that insisted that her kids would need to "marry-up" or she would disown them. My response was how could that possibly work? Why wouldn't your future in-laws cut-off their kids for "marrying-down"? She was not happy with that response.

    11. Re:Save 30%, retire early by virtig01 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Your simple plan is dependent on having above average salary, not getting sick and no close family member getting sick. Low salary forces you into simple life and you still wont save all that much. It is kinda hard when cheap rent in bad district eats all money you earn. It is hard to concentrate on happiness when you drive almost hour and half each day to get home after long hours.

      The plan you're criticizing depends upon saving a percentage of income. It doesn't require an above-average salary. If you save 10% of income, you're buying a year of spending every 9 years (assuming 0% inflation and 0% rate of return). If you save 25%, you're buying 1 year of spending every 3 years. Percentages don't care if you're bringing in $100k or $50k.

      Savings rate is the most important number. A lot of people chase the income number, not accounting for the cost of attaining that income. This includes commute time and stress, which translates into health cost.

      Most middle class people won't retire in their 50s not because it's impossible, but because their savings rate is out-of-whack. If you optimize for Problem A, don't expect a solution to Problem B.

    12. Re:Save 30%, retire early by jeff4747 · · Score: 2

      That sound is the point sailing over your head.

      Your advice requires having a lot of good luck so that you actually have the money to save.

  7. Retirement is unreealistic, period by damn_registrars · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For the overwhelming majority of people in this country, retirement plans will be best summarized as "hope to die at work". Few people are making enough money beyond their needs to be able to save money towards retirement.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  8. X has unrealistic expectations about Y by imgod2u · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In other news, I hear a bunch of buggy makers expect to be able to pass their trade down to their grandson.

    Or coal miners expecting a boom in coal consumption.

    Or unskilled laborers expecting those pesky computers and robots to disappear someday.

    Or Americans expecting to work less, produce less but get paid more than the other 80% of humanity forever and ever.

    1. Re:X has unrealistic expectations about Y by bistromath007 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's a really unfair thing to say about American workers. We certainly produce less, but we work way more than most. We're the undisputed kings of wasting effort.

  9. i have enough money for the rest of my life by turkeydance · · Score: 3, Funny

    if i die before next week

  10. So they're only very slightly optomistic? by rhazz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Millennials expect to retire at 59, two years younger than the working age average of 61

    So they're only slightly more optimistic than actual stats would play out? I bet that's par for the course for any generation when they were still 20 years out from retirement.

  11. Plan to succeed or plan to fail... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The Wall Street Journal had a recent article about people who are least concerned about outliving their retirement savings are most likely to be a financial risk. The days of retiring at 65 and dropping dead at 70, which was the reality when Social Security got set up in the 1930's, are long gone..

    https://blogs.wsj.com/experts/2017/02/17/the-people-least-concerned-about-outliving-their-savings-may-be-most-at-risk-financially/

    1. Re:Plan to succeed or plan to fail... by jeff4747 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The days of retiring at 65 and dropping dead at 70, which was the reality when Social Security got set up in the 1930's, are long gone..

      Actually, they dropped dead much earlier than that.

      Only 53.9% of men and 60.6% of women made it to 65. https://www.ssa.gov/history/li...

    2. Re:Plan to succeed or plan to fail... by bidule · · Score: 2

      Actually, they dropped dead much earlier than that.

      Only 53.9% of men and 60.6% of women made it to 65. https://www.ssa.gov/history/li...

      Well duh, they dropped dead before reaching their 20s.

      Straight quote from your link: "Life expectancy at birth in 1930 was indeed only 58 for men and 62 for women, and the retirement age was 65. But life expectancy at birth in the early decades of the 20th century was low due mainly to high infant mortality, and someone who died as a child would never have worked and paid into Social Security. A more appropriate measure is probably life expectancy after attainment of adulthood."

      And then they show of all the 21 yo men alive in 1915, 54% of them reached 65 yo (in 1960). Those had 13 more years of life expentancy. So it's retire at 65, drop dead at 77 for that cohort.

      --
      ID: the nose did not occur naturally, how would we wear glasses otherwise? (apologies to Voltaire)
  12. And HSBC is a honest broker here by voislav98 · · Score: 5, Informative

    The "research" comes from the bank that would like you to be more "responsible" with your money, like giving it to them. This is a bank that has paid billions of dollars in fines over the last five years for money laundering and interest rate rigging. The key statement form the report: "Despite the apparent ‘reality gap’ in Millennials’ retirement expectations, most (68%) have started saving for retirement, at an average age of 26. Millennials are also more likely than other generations to take investment risks to boost their retirement saving..."

    So it's not that the millennials are unrealistic, they are saving a plenty, it's that the Fed and other national banks are keeping the interest rates artificially low to boost asset prices and prop up failing mega-banks including HSBC. So please HSBC, tell me more about how I need to "save" more for the retirement so that the government can bail you and your ilk out again when you blow up the economy with asset bubbles.

  13. Re:jail / prison has better healthcare then the ER by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No, it doesn't. It's a popular meme around here but completely untrue. In jail, they will offer you some base level of care for serious problems but prison officials get to determine how serious it is and if it gets treated. Jail providers tend not to be on the right side of the bell curve, so even if you get to see the doc or midlevel, you may end wishing you hadn't.

    If you need to be treated for a psychiatric illness, your choice of medicine will be significantly limited since many of those drugs can make you feel good (and thus have a marketable value in jail and are heavily restricted. If you hurt, well, too fucking bad. You get a tylenol or, if you're very lucky a tylenol and an ibuprofen.

    The major downside of going to the ER for care is that the guy next to you might be strapped down to the gurney and being rather vocal about it. He's the one that got the bill from the last time he was in the ER.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  14. Ob by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

    Is there anything they *do* have a realistic view about?

    Not designing UIs, that's for sure.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  15. Re:I don't think they actually talked to any of th by SCVonSteroids · · Score: 2

    Too soon man, too soon.

    --
    I tend to rant.
  16. Advice from a late gen boomer by OffTheLip · · Score: 2

    I hope I don't come off as sanctimonious since I once thought I would never be able to save enough to retire. I thought, knew actually, my parents generation had it much better with plenty of jobs and pensions for when they stopped working. I decided to do what I could fully expecting social security to be bankrupt when I needed it. I still am not sure how that will play out since I'm not collecting yet but I started saving earnestly some 30 years ago, weathered some tough market swings and still came out ahead. The stock market is really the only way to generate enough wealth to beat inflation unless you have an inheritance coming your way. There is plenty of useful, free advice to assist you on your journey. I recommend the Boglehead forum as a good place to start. As you close in on your retirement goal reduce risk and expect market volatility. So live below your means, save as much as you can, don't pay unnecessarily for financial advice and stay the course. Nobody knows the future. I mean this with great sincerity.

  17. Most didn't by rsilvergun · · Score: 3, Interesting

    unless they were very, very wealthy. Also, google the phrase "infant mortality" sometime while you're at it. Or spare a thought to the 45,000 people who die unnecessarily every year because they don't have access to health care. Health care that we could easily afford if but choose not to because freedom. The freedom to die sounds great when you're not the one doing the dying.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Most didn't by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 2

      unless they were very, very wealthy. Also, google the phrase "infant mortality" sometime while you're at it. Or spare a thought to the 45,000 people who die unnecessarily every year because they don't have access to health care. Health care that we could easily afford if but choose not to because freedom. The freedom to die sounds great when you're not the one doing the dying.

      At the end of the day you can have nice healthcare or mass immigration of poor people. You can't have both. Not unlike you can have low taxes or nice infrastructure but you can't have both. Both political parties are living in fantasyland and both can only see the flaws of the other. You can tell a true idiot by someone who spend all their time spouting that one is clearly superior to the other - since neither party really has a solid game plan. And since the moderates in both parties are marginalized don't expect any rational discussion in the near future sadly. I hope the reboot or secession down the road improves things because I don't see a way out of the current stalemate.

  18. Demographics say different by XXongo · · Score: 2

    Most of us don't have that option - our companies are not going to keep us on until we die. We'll get downsized, outsourced, etc. at least once or twice and then not hired on anyplace else because of rampant age discrimination. After all, with more available workforce every year,

    Demographics say otherwise. The demographic data, in this case, are helping you (assuming you want to stay employed...)

    The reason for age discrimination is that employers can. That's because the baby boom generation means that there are an excess of population; you can afford to not hire the older ones, 'cause there's plenty of people looking for jobs. But the baby boom was last millennium.

    it isn't like there are going to be enough jobs to go around.

    That demographic bulge is over-- by the time millennials are ready to retire, there won't be that big bulge of population. We'll be in the population decline segment of the demographics. Too few people, not too many.

  19. Most *people* don't have a realistic view. by Kazoo+the+Clown · · Score: 2

    The problem is, a "realistic view" is nearly impossible. You can't predict how long you are going to live, how much medical care you are going to need, and what might happen to social services such as Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid, and consequently, how much money is "enough."

  20. Re:work till death by sdinfoserv · · Score: 2

    As someone who OWNS both houses and LAND - i can say you are WRONG. it's actually the combination. I have several hundred acres and a couple of houses. undeveloped land does not appreciate that much. It's the combination of a nice house - that is maintained - on desirable LAND(location, location, location) that appreciates.
    of course there are "boom" areas that prove the exception, but for the most part it's both.