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Autonomous Forklift May Eat Up Warehouse Jobs (technologyreview.com)

Jamie Condliffe reports via MIT Technology Review: Seegrid, a provider of material-handling equipment, takes the kinds of forklifts that move 8,000-pound loads around warehouses and makes them autonomous. It does that by popping five stereo cameras on top of the vehicles, having a human drive them around to map a space, and then using image recognition systems similar to those in autonomous cars to navigate the facilities. (Unlike autonomous cars that use sensors like radar and lidar, Seegrid can use just cameras, because lighting conditions in warehouses are more consistent than those on the open road.) But while it's easy enough to have a forklift move objects from one side of a factory to another, reliably loading and unloading them poses a bigger challenge. Other robots designed to haul loads like this tend to pick things up from below, rather than spearing pallets with forks. So autonomous forklifts usually require humans to be present during pickup and dropoff to make sure nothing goes wrong. Seegrid's new GP8 Series 6 forklift has been engineered to reverse its forks into pallets, pick them up, and set them down without a human in the loop.

122 comments

  1. Thanks Seegrid! by FunkSoulBrother · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Another small but vital step in getting a UBI in place in this country. :-)

    1. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good luck, you're likely to get a UFIA first. Cavity search time!

    2. Re:Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah, I'm a forklift driver, and if I'm unemployed, I'm taking your stuff with extreme prejudice. We all are.

    3. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by saloomy · · Score: 5, Informative

      See grid is late to the game. At my former employer, I was part of a team who helped implement fully autonomous warehousing using human-less forklifts.

      A video of them in operation

      It wasn't about the labor savings. The ROI was far out compared to payroll of forklift drivers. It was the perfect loading of trucks to balance the loads on the trucks, the reduction (practically the elimination) of damaged goods, and the accuracy in knowing where the product is and how much was in stock at all times, with no errors.

      Also, with this system, the downtime is spent "housekeeping". We could front the product that has an upcoming scheduled pickup time and get it close to the relevant dock door. This reduced loading times, reducing "accessorial charges" that trucks make you pay if you keep them for over a certain amount of time, and allowed the distribution center to ship more product in a crunch than humans could possibly hope to achieve.

      Oh and they turn up for work more consistently, take fewer breaks, and operate at a steady calculable rate, so planning knew how many trucks they could get shipped, emphatically!

    4. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, there will be widespread looting and crime well before a UBI happens. OP will probably be murdered by an angry unemployed man.

    5. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by TWX · · Score: 1

      I wonder how many people can be impaled on the forks of a forklift while it still is used to carry the spoils of looting?

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    6. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And it will not do this:
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8LqrjlqKhoQ

    7. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I had 6 hours to loot a city, I'd spend the first 4 sharpening my forklift.

    8. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Awesome.

      Can we hurry up and do this for coal miners so the rest of them will off themselfs and stop voting?

    9. Re:Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have worked in a building with Seegrid units. They use janky rudimentary technology and can barely follow a very clearly predetermined path without failing and dying and needing human intervention. This is a bad attempt at PR from Seegrid, not reality.

    10. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Noooooo!!!!
      Fuck bottled water.
      Very cool automated warehouse though. :)

    11. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by sonamchauhan · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Like SeeGrid, does your solution use stereo cameras?

      I've heard bad things about autonomous vehicles basing their navigation on cameras + software processing (a la Tesla):
      https://news.ycombinator.com/i...

      That is, as compared to Uber, Google and practically everyone else (who use LIDAR and other more 'reliable' sensors).

    12. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by backslashdot · · Score: 1

      With automation you won't need UBi. You can just get the upcoming VW self driving electric ID van and drive around the country parking for a few days in one paper to let its solar panels charge your battery. If you don't own some land (to setup an indoor automated farm), you can forage for food or eat at the automated soup kitchens or get a fishing robot. As for showers .. hmm how do the wild animals do that? Ok you may have to trade things you foraged with people who know how to make soap. Internet? Mesh network with others. My point is in the robot utopia you may not need UBI. If it's there great. Everything will be fine as long as we have public land and nobody takes our rivers away. Vote wisely.

    13. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by saloomy · · Score: 4, Informative

      No. It uses lidar, with mapping. There are 360 degree reflectors around the warehouse. The lidar reflects off these and form. Pseudo star-navigation field for reference points. Filling in a truck is done my counting steps on the wheel drives.

    14. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Around the 2:55 mark there seems to be an edit? Was a malfunction edited out? How often does it malfunction and does one forklift malfunctioning stall everything? How many people need to be on staff to deal with malfunctions or do "reboots"?

    15. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by LordWabbit2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Agreed, my sister works for a large retailer and she was part of their team to implement automated loading. In their case however a lot of it WAS purely to remove the human element from the equation.

      The reason being is that every year during the xmas peak times the forklift drivers would strike and demand higher wages. That forced them to get in part time workers to at least keep stock moving, of course the strikers don't like that so often there is violence and they have to get private security to protect the part time workers (often school kids on summer break - yeah it's summer here over xmas).

      Also theft (or "shrinkage" in retailer talk) is bad enough that it was also a contributing factor in removing humans from the loop. Some of the stock still needs humans, but all the dry goods are automated, and they are looking at automating the rest.

      --
      There are three kinds of falsehood: the first is a 'fib,' the second is a downright lie, and the third is statistics.
    16. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by CaptnCrud · · Score: 1

      the last one was clearly a setup.

    17. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by saloomy · · Score: 3, Informative

      They really don't "reboot". They do lose track of the star map, but they roll forward to reacquainted them. The edit I think is just shotty video editing. The worst thing that would happen is that the forklifts would get into an error condition because it's return path was obscured by debris or a malformed pallet would collapse. Probably happened about once a month, and maintenance would hand clean up the mess.

      These units have a hand-control on their back so you could take over them and move them along, if you needed something obscure done. However, we programmed them to do just about EVERYTHING from retrieving raw materials to fetching pallets. The only thing you really had to handle by hand is when a part came for a machine that had to be forked to the machine so it could be installed. They were vastly more reliable than the Linde lifts they replaced, and those were Cadillac quality.

    18. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by sonamchauhan · · Score: 1

      Ah, swell - thank you.

      If I understand correct, the lidar is mounted on the vehicle, not at a fixed spot - right? How do 360 degree reflectors interact with it?

    19. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Seegrid uses LiDAR for safety only, so the robot doesn't hit anything or anybody. Their localization and route following is entirely vision based, with no reflectors or other special infrastructure like lines, fiducials, wires, or bar codes. The vision sytem uses landmarks that are already in the facility, like racking, lights, and support columns. That's Seegrid's real strength, the vision software that Hans Moravec has been working on for decades.

    20. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Get this into your head. There won't ever be UBI. First off, it's stupid for the same reason that school vouchers are stupid--it will just cause prices to rise to where it's meaningless.

      Second, and most importantly, people don't want to pay you to work (and traitors to the human race here celebrate and enable it). How brain dead do you have to be to figure out that they're not gonna pay you to NOT work? You think you're so valuable doing nothing that the world gives a damn about you?

      No, the only cure for this is going to be the (probably violent, unfortunately) return of our economy to human scale endeavours. The guy who runs a local hardware store or pizza joint isn't going to buy robots, not for wholesale labor replacement anyway. Home warehouse stores and pizza chains will. Guess which is better for local economies with real people?

    21. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by ranton · · Score: 1

      Yeah, there will be widespread looting and crime well before a UBI happens. OP will probably be murdered by an angry unemployed man.

      This is probably when the most egregious privacy violations will begin in the name of public safety. The current liberal mentality which is generally against police overreach and brutality can only exist in a world where most people of means do not fear crime. If the upper middle class in their wealthy suburbs start to fear looting and violence, a police state will soon follow.

      I pay about a tenth of the cost of a police officer in property taxes each year, and I have a relatively modest home in an affluent suburb. If I had to pay another $10k in property taxes to protect my children and property it would be a small price to pay compared to how quickly upper middle class wages have been going up in the past decade. There is plenty of money in the hands of the affluent to pay for protection if necessary, and the loyalty of that protection will only increase as job opportunities diminish elsewhere.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    22. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if that is the case that is even worse because then they are screwing off on the job to set that up. That is another thing the robotic forklift overlords don't do.

    23. Re:Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know that UBI is how the future government will leverage control of the citizens and force a in-group out-group thinking and generally gain control of the populace right?

      Liberty is preparing her noose.

    24. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed. This has been around for a decade. Worked on an automatic trailer loading project at a Kraft plant while working for JBT, a competitor with E80, back in 2005.

      The benefits to a visual system would be in upfront cost. Lower hardware cost and installation cost at the penalty of more operator intervention.

      They don't mention any vehicle to vehicle communication or fleet based operation which would be required to operate multiple vehicles efficiently.

    25. Re:Thanks Seegrid! by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Either UBI, or killbot-powered genocide of the working class...one of those is closer.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    26. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Who decides what level of automation is too much? Using a forklift, for example, takes away jobs from a team of people who could have been hired to lift the object. What about an electric fan? In ancient rome, a human used to have the job of waving a fan to cool people down. Textile making, humans used to be heavily involved in it .. now machines do it. Do we want to tun off those machines?

      Whose job is valuable and whose isn't?

    27. Re: Thanks Seegrid! by Kristoph · · Score: 1

      It wasn't about the labor savings. The ROI was far out compared to payroll of forklift drivers.

      The Seegrid solution provides much more favorable ROI - 1 to 2 years - specifically because the devices can be deployed without 'a team who helped implement fully autonomous warehousing'. In fact, the units that just "drop and return" don't require any sort of skilled person at all, a warehouse worker can just walk them around the facility and they 'learn' where they need to go and how to get there. That's a big deal because once your warehouse has a specific role for a unit like that you can just get one, teach it, and you get a solid return on investment quickly - it's not just for big companies with giant warehouses.

      This is really the innovation here: robots that can be delivered and taught their job without expansive ( and expensive ) implementation efforts.

    28. Re:Thanks Seegrid! by irrational_design · · Score: 1

      I don't understand where the money for UBI will come from. I don't have many needs other than food (cereal and milk or p&j sandwiches would be just fine), a bed, and a library card. I'd gladly quit my 6 figure salary job to get paid to lay around and read all day every day. I'm sure I'm not the only one. If far fewer people are paying taxes - who will provide the funds for my UBI?

  2. Well, it follows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Unlike autonomous cars that use sensors like radar and lidar, Seegrid can use just cameras, because lighting conditions in warehouses are more consistent than those on the open road.

    If I was a warehouse manager I'd be questioning the need for lights and air conditioning in a warehouse full of robots.

    1. Re: Well, it follows... by Entrope · · Score: 1

      Camera-driven robots will need good lights at least as much as humans would, but robots can carry them around. A/C could be eliminated in a lot of the world, but most electronic assemblies are only rated to operate up to 40 (for commercial) or 50 (for industrial) C ambient temperatures. If outside temperatures get close to 50, some site-wide air handling would still be required.

    2. Re: Well, it follows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a lot more to automating a warehouse than making the forklifts drive themselves. There are a huge number of safety issues with putting people near vehicles without drivers so the warehouse is either fully automated or safety issues galore!
      Also this is not new a friend of mine had a company doing this (automating forklifts) they sold their company but it is very difficult to get this working safely and reliably cannot have someone wander into the warehouse and grab something instead have to get the auto thingies grab it for you and wait in the queue of jobs.

    3. Re:Well, it follows... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Many warehouses don't have ACs now. As they switch from fluorescent to LED, they often use motion sensors, so the lights are only on if someone is in the aisle. One solution for SDFLs is put the lights on the FL.

  3. At least those forklifts will run on Clean Coal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Clean American Coal is America's future. That and $9/hr manufacturing jobs (where we give the company $3B in tax credits for 1500 jobs)

    MAGA!!

    1. Re:At least those forklifts will run on Clean Coal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And those $9/hour manufacturing employees will qualify for SNAP and the all of us can help make sure they can feed themselves and their families. Because that's better somehow than making their employers – Foxconn, Walmart, etc. – pay a living wage.

      Meanwhile in other news Walmart and Foxconn shares hit record highs, their shareholders collect another dividend, and their CEOs are back on the top of the compensation chart again. And Twitler continues to "drain the swamp" by hiring even more former Goldman Sachs employees into government positions.

      MAGA

  4. This is obvious hogwash by rsilvergun · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I have it on good authority by top experts on /. from previous threads about automation that there will be no job losses from automation. Also, skyrocketing productivity has had no negative impact on wages or employment. See, when it comes to labor the law of supply/demand is reversed. When demand for labor goes down it actually _increases_ its value. I know, crazy, right?

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You understand that if a company does not adopt this technology and its competitors do, it will be forced out of business, right? Then everyone in the company loses their jobs. Fighting against the tide of technological advancement is a losing proposition. You either embrace it or perish. Plenty of people will have jobs building and servicing these robots, and as the company expands the former forklift operators can be reassigned into other roles. #MAGA #TRUMP2020

    2. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Entrope · · Score: 2

      Buggy whip makers and other cliches would like to have words with you.

      The argument is essentially always that automation will lead to dislocations and role changes, but the humans in the process will be doing more productive or less common work -- managing the production line, or programming the robots (maybe by simply demonstrating the pattern, or entering the pattern on a computer), or installing and repairing robots, or something that humans do better than robots.

      Don't be that asshole who claims victory over a straw man.

    3. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Buggy whips were not replaced by electrically powered artificial humans who cost less than $40,000 per year per shift.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    4. Re:This is obvious hogwash by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      skyrocketing productivity has had no negative impact on wages or employment.

      Productivity is not "skyrocketing". It has stagnated.

      When demand for labor goes down it actually _increases_ its value. I know, crazy, right?

      Nobody believes that. You are being obtuse. What economists believe (with plenty of evidence) is that rising productivity does NOT reduce demand for labor, it increases it. This is known as Jevon's Paradox, but it really isn't a paradox at all. If you are a factory owner, and you are installing machinery that can double the production of each worker, and double your profits from each worker, would you fire half of them, or hire more?

    5. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Entrope · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You're right; they were replaced by nothing, because automobiles made horse-drawn buggies essentially obsolete. What was your point? Mine was that rsilvergun presented such a distorted version of the march-of-progress argument that it's hard to see any good faith behind presenting the distorted version.

    6. Re:This is obvious hogwash by BoogieChile · · Score: 1

      Is demand for my product expanding at the same time as the amount of product I can supply? If not, then keeping my existing workforce is going to result in a whole bunch of excess inventory that will need to be warehoused.

      So, I would fire half of them at first, and then hire them back again when I have a need to be able to produce more.

      Or, you know, just upgrade the robots to version 2.0

    7. Re:This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that can double the production of each worker, and double your profits from each worker, would you fire half of them, or hire more?

      That's a great question! What if the market doesn't want any more of what you're producing? Let's say you double your supply and now you have to halve your price to get enough demand to clear your inventory. Of course, your payroll didn't go down AND you've got this capital expenditure to pay for, but you're not bringing in any more revenue.

      Or you fire half the staff, keep the prices the same, sell as much as you did before but have half the payroll costs. You pay down your capital expenditure and the rest is profit.

    8. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No no.. you missed the metaphor...

      Humans are not buggy whip makers. They are horses.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    9. Re:This is obvious hogwash by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Is demand for my product expanding at the same time as the amount of product I can supply?

      Historically, that hasn't mattered, becaus productivity improvements happened broadly across the economy. So even if demand for some particular product is fixed, there will be many more that see increased demand as production costs fall, and there will also be new products introduced based on the new technology.

      Increased demand for labor in the face of rising productivity is not some ivory tower theory. It is based on historical reality.

    10. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Horses make great glue!

    11. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Entrope · · Score: 1

      And that, ladies and gentlemen, is why we should not analyze the economy as if it were a GDP factory.

    12. Re: This is obvious hogwash by swb · · Score: 1

      I don't think the economic arguments are necessarily wrong about the macro effects of change.

      The problem lies in the clinical language of "dislocation and role changes" of labor, as if labor just gets a slip of paper that reassigns them to another job in a different place. This is a major gloss over the fact that these are real people, often at later stages of careers, who practically can't "just go get another job" doing something completely different.

      It's compounded by the fact that the profits from these changes go to the owners of capital, while the burden of dealing with the unemployed worker with no career options goes to the state.

      And the rate of change is accelerating to the point that neither labor nor government can adapt fast enough. Even the buggy whip industry had several decades to adapt, especially if you consider that as an industry the buggy whip industry wasn't even around that long; buggy whips existed for centuries, but were probably not organized on an industrial basis until the mid 19th century.

    13. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Entrope · · Score: 2

      Maybe you think "dislocations" is a clinical term. I don't. It's merely shorter than writing that a lot of jobs will go away, and people will have to change careers or fields, with a lot of uncertainty and possibly retraining. It is obvious enough what online shopping (exemplified by Amazon.com) is doing to retail; it is not at all obvious what people who used to work in retail should do instead.

      There are a lot of hard questions about how to handle advancing automation and radical changes in technology, but reducing an opponent's argument to a straw man is not a helpful way to address those questions, and that reduction was what I was primarily objecting to. It's hard enough to have a serious discussion about the topic, in large part because people take different things on faith (like the ageist assumption that older people "practically can't 'just go get another job'", or the idealist assumption that more automation will lead to a significant number of more specialized jobs), that we really don't need bad-faith arguments added to the mix.

    14. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're a complete fucking idiot.

    15. Re:This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow. you must be about twenty five? Thirty at the oldest?
      Here's how the real world works, son.
      VP at company A buys this forklift system to "try out". They install it but not all of it -- in order to save money. Maybe they want to use their existing shelving set up or maybe the truck docks aren't 100% compatible and they don't want to upgrade or maybe there is some other system that needs to be perfect but won't, because the all mighty dollar says so.
      Maybe the VP is a shit head and someone wants him out so the system gets installed cock-eyed or maybe someone has a sweet kick-back deal with the forklift maintenance company, or maybe someone just doesn't like change. For whatever reason this new technology becomes a shit-show because it isn't flexible enough to work around existing systems and Company A declares it a failure.
      Get enough failures and this thing is history.
      No worries here. People are flexible. They can adapt to any political climate you put them in and thrive.

    16. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      In this case: Soylent Green.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    17. Re:This is obvious hogwash by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's kind of an argument between "knives don't cause wounds" and "any contact with a knife will leave a permanent, bleeding wound and you die!"

      Technical progress reduces labor. It boots people out of jobs. This also reduces the cost and, thus, risk of entering and operating in a market. For higher-cost goods, you expand your market, moving luxuries down to commodities. The same pressures that set the price point before (competition, consumer interest) create a new price point. Consumers will tolerate something costing $50 if the best price they can get is $48; but if the next guy in town has it for $30, they're leaving your store and going to his. They might not leave your state for a 5-hour drive (but hey, Ebay, Amazon...).

      Prices don't always come down. For a core basket of goods, the Fed indexes inflation and prints up money to make sure prices go up; wages just go up slightly-faster. For some other goods (notably cars and electronics), people buy at a certain price point relative to their income, and manufacturers keep moving more tech into the bottom end and thus provide that price point with ever-increasing features, thus maintaining the same usage of the labor pool per unit of product (look at the history of standard features in cars). New goods tend to be luxury goods, and comparable goods tend to index against each other, so of course a $5,000 OLED 55-inch TV becomes a $3,500 TV, compared to a $500 LED IPS--and it will eventually be a $500 OLED IPS.

      So yes, you're going to see a loss of jobs.

      That thing where prices come down--where the proportion of middle-income spent on a product shrinks--leaves people at every income level with left-over spending power after buying the same things. Nothing is zero-labor, and so buying more stuff invokes additional labor. Even self-driving freight trucks and automated warehouses need some form of logistics management, some (minimal) IT behind them, electricity generation, maintenance, all the mining of materials and fuels that goes behind that, and so forth. Load on supporting infrastructure increases, and we suddenly need both high-end engineers and low-end basic labor.

      So what really happens here?

      Well, if you eliminate 20% of the jobs in 6 months, the economy doesn't even hardly keep up. Welcome to the Great Depression! Even my Universal Social Security probably won't hold up against that very well--it might not even weaken the recession enough to stave off the dire consequences. It'll let Americans shrug off the Great Recession no problem, but anything significantly-larger would be an ... interesting academic study, albeit a painful one. America might collapse as a nation despite any effort I can come up with.

      If you eliminate 20% of the jobs over 3-4 years, the economy might sweat a little up-front, and it'll make pace with the rate of change before the end of the first year. You'll start on a mild recession, and then start holding it back, and then start recovering while the recession is trying to get worse.

      One of these looks just fine from the perspective of national economy, but you'll get hell from the truckers and warehouse workers who lost their jobs. Everything is not fine for them; it will be in a little while, or else unemployment will go up and up and up as your economy dies, but up-front they're going to be carrying the load. Let's also not forget that we face around 5% unemployment constantly, so they're all tossed in a pool with other people who are trying to recover--as individuals, any of them could get left behind.

      That' why we need welfare systems: we're all getting richer off the backs of a few unfortunates. When you buy a product, you must pay enough to generate revenue to cover all the wages involved for the time spent per-unit by every human involved in making that product. Get fewer humans to do it and the prices come down, and now you can buy two things; and there's a little gap in there where you're getting

    18. Re:This is obvious hogwash by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Is demand for my product expanding at the same time as the amount of product I can supply?

      You found the demand-side argument! Euer Gegener made the trickle-down (supply-side) argument.

      So, I would fire half of them at first, and then hire them back again when I have a need to be able to produce more.

      This is why we need welfare.

      Also ShanghaiBill got the more-complete argument, but you're both on the right page. Slashdot is actually doing pretty well in economics this morning.

    19. Re:This is obvious hogwash by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      What if ... there's less risk ... because it's less-expensive to make a thing ... and so you can either expand a luxury good into a broader market, or you can undercut your competitors and capture more of the market for massive profits?

      How do you think the prices got set in the first place? Do you think consumer demand sets a maximum price and is fixed regardless of what prices at which a product is available?

    20. Re:This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gorsh, that must be why per-capita income has fallen so drastically since the beginning of the industrial revolution.

    21. Re:This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What are you? A forty year old middle manager envious of the younger kids that surpassed you into VP/director/CEO positions?

      These systems are already in use. If XYZ company is incompetent and can't get it to work, they fail. If they do get it to work they either a) get to take home much higher profits or b) reduce prices to compete.

      Either situation is good because now you have higher economic output per person. Either everyone buying the product gets it for less and has more money to buy other goods OR there is a set of rich company owners who now have more money to spend. The unemployed *at this job* can now work for the company owners in some OTHER, previously non-existent capacity or can invent something to sell the general population that now has more money.

      This exact thing has been happening since the dawn of human civilization and is how we went from 100% of our waking hours being related to surviving to now barely any of our time is surviving and the rest is "extra" economic output - entirely made to fill the time void created by our basic needs being met. The remaining time is spent on arts (music, movies, TV, photography, painting, literature), entertainment (hundreds of sports, video games, parties, events, etc.), hobbies, services (hair styling & coloring, fancy restaurant food/service, electronics, appliances, unnecessary upgrade to necessities (fancy homes, fancy drinks, fancy food) etc.

      You are an idiot if you think this "extra" component won't continue to expand since it is already probably over 95%+ of economic output if you strip out unnecessary components (e.x.. a home/hotel built with marble or eating a fancy restaurant meal are not necessary)

    22. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Who cares about the supply/demand for labor? As long as the GDP remains constant, there's enough to go around. The problem is figuring out how to distribute it fairly when the robots do all the work.

    23. Re:This is obvious hogwash by calken1979 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, this automation is rubbish and costs jobs. Let's get telegrams and telephone exchange operators back in. Automation tends to remove one job from one location and creates it in another. As the article states, ROI is not though labour cost reduction but planning, management, scaling and data errors.

    24. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But of course in today's world a majority of the "owners of capital" aren't Daddy Warbucks sitting in their mansions sucking up profit from the work of the little people, it's workers with individual retirement plans that invest in mutual funds that own stock. That makes them the "owners of capital". About half of all workers in the U.S. own stock, either directly or through their retirement plans.
      So rants about "owners of capital" taking advantage of the rest of us are pretty hollow.

    25. Re:This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I have it from good experts that sarcasm isn't a useful way to try and make a point. People with a decent point to say, just say it, with out the added bullshit to give them cover if they are wrong.

    26. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 2

      No no.. you missed the metaphor...

      Humans are not buggy whip makers. They are horses.

      Neigh!

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    27. Re: This is obvious hogwash by thomn8r · · Score: 1

      The problem lies in the clinical language of "dislocation and role changes" of labor, as if labor just gets a slip of paper that reassigns them to another job in a different place. This is a major gloss over the fact that these are real people, often at later stages of careers, who practically can't "just go get another job" doing something completely different.

      This reminds me of a conservative radio piece I heard where the guest suggest that travel agents, who are becoming obsolete, should just become app developers, because that's the hot new thing where they need people.

    28. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're a complete fucking idiot

      Brilliant counterpoint! You've swayed me to your side.

    29. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just in case the previous AC responder you had is busy job hunting, I'm going to step in and help them out with a rejoinder:

      you're a complete fucking idiot

      Yeah. Take that!

    30. Re:This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If there is sufficient demand for the products company A and B are selling, then assuming the number of job losses don't much affect overall demand for the product, then if company A goes under then company B will need to expand. Presumably the employees if company A are potentially good candidates to fulfill the new roles in company B, except where national boundaries prevent this.

    31. Re: This is obvious hogwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with you 110%. Who gives a fuck about the other half of the U.S. workers, fuck 'em. That'll fucking teach them not to buy stock. /sarcasm

  5. Sad! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    This means no more videos of careless workers taking down entire racks of expensive vodka!

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    1. Re:Sad! by rtb61 · · Score: 2

      Nope, just videos of hacked forklifts chasing down and forking the boss and the rest of the board.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    2. Re:Sad! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      Nope, just videos of hacked forklifts chasing down and forking the boss and the rest of the board.

      Ah, so you see the good in everything. 8^)

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  6. Doubt it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You might get one or two 'perfect' warehouses built that use it. Amazon might etc...

    But in the real world... nope. the job of a forklift operator is far too variable to ever account for every scenario.

    Unless you redesign the pallet system.

    And then why were you using forklifts anyway?

       

    1. Re: Doubt it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is the GP8 a forklift or a pallet truck? Their web site says it is a pallet truck. Pallet trucks only lift pallets a few inches off the ground. Forklift operators are safe for now.

      Also, last I heard, Seegrid's technology follows established routes, so if the pallets aren't where they are supposed to be it will fail. Score another for adapatble humans.

    2. Re: Doubt it by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      And as soon as there is a backlog and you have freight sitting on the ground or spilling over staging/holding areas and the premapprd layout goes to hell the automated forklift is useless.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    3. Re: Doubt it by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 0

      Score another for adapatble humans.

      You're damn right! A robot made to read Slashdot comments would have stopped at "adapatble" but we still understood your badly written comment!

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    4. Re: Doubt it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      True, but that's why Seegrid's robots can still be operated in manual. Humans can clean up problems, then put the robot back into automatic for the boring stuff. Seegrid is best at taking away the most boring jobs, like long straight runs or repetitive loops.

    5. Re: Doubt it by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      The more you automate all of this though the less likely you are to have such problems. The robot fork lifts won't try to overfill a staging area as they'd just stop once it is filled. Or maybe you do program them to automatically extend the staging area, at which point they'd know where the boundaries of that area are, while stacking pallets neatly within it.

    6. Re: Doubt it by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      Having worked in a warehouse driving a forklift, sometimes that's simply not an option. Our facility only had racks for some freight that was terminating locally. Everything else (including terminating freight by large, regular customers) had floor holding/staging areas. All it took were a few large shipments , a delayed pickup, or an oversized item and a lot of these staging areas would be full. There were times when we had twice as much freight as could fit in the staging area. And freight is not always uniform in shape: a couple irregular pieces can make navigating through it a huge mess. Simply mapping an area once and using cameras to drive through wouldn't work, it would have to constantly remap the facility.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    7. Re: Doubt it by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Read upthread of already implemented and successful warehouse automation projects and you'll see humans create more problems (theft, striking at just the perfectly wrong time, violence) than the ones you propose.

      The "weak" point becomes the non-automated trucks.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  7. Impact At Amazon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For years, Amazon has used robots to move shelves of goods around in at least some of its warehouses. It was initially discussed as a total game changer that would automate warehouses and eliminate jobs.

    Does anyone know what''s happening these days? Are they being used in all warehouses or just a small few? Are the robots really all that plus a bag of chips? Have jobs been eliminated and if so, how many?

    1. Re:Impact At Amazon? by Cyberax · · Score: 2

      Kiva robots are the backbone of Amazon warehouses. Humans are still needed to pack things and put them on the shelves, but robots automate the most labor-intensive part - getting the required goods to packers.

    2. Re:Impact At Amazon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Incorrect, Kiva robots are slow, buggy, and only haul totes.
      They're really only used for effect.
      A forklifts would be faster.
      This would cost jobs.

    3. Re:Impact At Amazon? by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      And amazon is well down the road towards developing robots that pack things and put them on shelves.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    4. Re:Impact At Amazon? by Falconhell · · Score: 1

      Saw a show on Dubai airprt. The bagage handling system is awesome
      https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=...

  8. Autonomous POTUS could not possibly be any worse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's make POTUS fulfill basic functions again!

  9. Won't work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Unless you are a brand new giga factory these won't work in your run of the mill warehouse where it is a damn tight squeeze to do anything and things stack poorly etc.
    I mean, just look at the photo, 5-6 meter wide aisles! at least!!

  10. Old news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Improved technology but there have been automated fork lifts since the '80's. To make them safe, they ran on rails or were wire guided. If they lost the guide, they stopped. Seems better than making sure none of the HID lamps starts flickering.

  11. Holdon, we talking about same Anonymous? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Anonymous forklift operators from R9k1 would be an improvement with 0-population growth benefits. And they dont waste precious water in all those showers, practically self-greesing cheeto-powered dependents.

  12. name of the system by TWX · · Score: 1

    I hope they name the autonomous forklift system "Klaus".

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  13. Re:Forklift Operators for Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most Trump supports stick forks up their unemployed uneducated inbred incestuous angry white male asses. FTFY

  14. Seen that, was not impressed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Back in 2014, a company I worked used autonomous forklifts to pick up materials at the end of the lines and transport them to a palletizer area. While the concept was great, the solution was poised to fail. Unless the autonomous guided vehicles (or AGV for short) were in a no human area, their operability was severely impacted: they had to stop for traffic, they had to run in slower speed and people would sometimes be in their way. Long story short (and a few million dollars down the sink), we scrapped the AGVs in favor of the old man power. Which was sort of unfortunate: we should actually get rid of the ones making the system to fail, but hey, there were unions unhappy with our AGVs anyway. One thing we can at least say is that no accidents during the 4 years of the AGVs operation were caused by the AGVs. People, on the other hand...

    1. Re:Seen that, was not impressed by schematix · · Score: 2

      I am semi-involved in a similar AGV related project now. The AGVs execute their tasks pretty well overall, but when you have a factory where they shoe horned in an AGV solution, the whole thing turns to grid lock. However in new factories where there is clear forethought about the flow of materials through the ware house it can be configured so that AGV traffic is appropriated segregated and dedicated areas are made for them so they don't interfere with people or each other. It's definitely a weakest-link system, and that weakest link is not on the automation side.

      --
      Scott
  15. Only if... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Would only work if you only need to move a pallet to a location. I work in a warehouse, the robot would have to be able to remove pallet from a slot, and move the remaining cases into the slot after the new pallet is put in. Simply could not work in the warehouse I work at.

  16. Not news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Horseless carriages may put buggy whip makers out of work. The horror.

    good job sjwdot

  17. Re: Forklift Operators for Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You are clearly a conservative, here is something called a source and it says the opposite.
    http ://college.usatoday.com/2016/11/09/how-we-voted-by-age-education-race-and-sexual-orientation/

  18. Already in China CMs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've seen these for several years at a Chinese CM. They drive slow, xfer finished goods to storage, and "sing" as they drive. If a user comes near, they will slow or stop. They feel very gentle

  19. and when jail / prison is better then liveing on s by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    and when jail / prison is better then living on street with a lot less rules / paper work to get free food / board / doctors etc under all of the in place welfare systems.

  20. and states will ban SNAP at the self checkout so t by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    and states will ban SNAP at the self checkout so that Walmart will have to keep real cashiers on the pay roll.

  21. Re: and when jail / prison is better then liveing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Until soylent green is more profitable than

  22. Automation of warehouses is amazing by No+Longer+an+AC · · Score: 2

    But I'm having a hard time imagining 8000 pound loads. I mean I only worked with supply chain management for about 20 years and it was amazing to me that automated systems could store boxes in carousels (and retrieve them as well) and even drop boxes of pills into totes for drug stores but I don't think that even the pallets being loaded on trucks weighed anything close to 8000 pounds.

    Maybe they were - meat is heavy but even when I worked for a protein provider (otherwise known as an abattoir) a cow only weighs about 1000 pounds (actually less I think especially after being disassembled and put into boxes).

    I don't think I ever saw a forklift carrying 8000 pounds. We were usually more concerned about how much space it took up.

    Of course the trucks that they were loaded on to carried much more than 8000 pounds. Wake me up when those are automated.

    Labor standards were a big issue both for our customers and the unions though. We had engineers who mapped warehouses and determined how much time it should take someone to pick all the product that was being received or shipped out. We calculated the shortest path, determined how much time someone should take to traverse it and how much time it should take for them to pick an item.

    Complete automation was always the dream and I'm sure it still is. The fewer human hands that have to touch something in a warehouse, the more efficient it is and the fewer mistakes that will be made - unless us developers totally screw up. (And we sometimes did)

      But at least robots don't steal products off the shelves (or do they?)

    And for reference I looked up how much a pallet can hold.

    https://greenwaypsllc.com/how-...

    4700 pounds,but I'm sure most pallets don't actually need to carry anything near that weight.

    But forget weight, the automation is the exciting aspect of this, but even in the '90s there were automated picking machines that could go down an aisle in a warehouse and grab pallets off shelves 50 feet in the air.

    I'm sure there is some need for pallets that can hold 8000 pound loads - that link I just used shows a pallet of brick for example.but your typical retailer like a grocery store or a drug store or Best Buy isn't shipping things that weigh that much.

    A warehouse without people - that is the dream.

    1. Re: Automation of warehouses is amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      8000 lbs can be done with lead ingots and other super heavy items. But I have only seen 1 forklift that could lift that much and it was built to move cars and trucks and the occasional military equipment.

      Most forklifts are around 500 - 1000 lbs with different values based on how high you want to lift something.

    2. Re:Automation of warehouses is amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      quite simply that is because forklifts are rated at a certain weight located at a certain location on the forks, if the weight is oversize or not uniform in distribution it can cause forklifts to be overloaded.

      Its all about the fulcrum point from the center of gravity of the load and the front wheels of the forklift.

      The dream is not warehouses but fully automated assembly plants and to address your weight load issue take a look at any automotive plant tour and notice the types of pallets that they use for shipping and storing components. quite often they are larger than your standard pallet which also addresses your load capability issue.

      a manufacturing plant with out people is the dream, these are just a small part of the puzzle

    3. Re:Automation of warehouses is amazing by Tristfardd · · Score: 1

      This was being done in the '70s. The term was 'automated inventory control'. General Automation did the project, I worked for them at the time. John

    4. Re:Automation of warehouses is amazing by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      I was working a dock in Greensboro, NC before college, and had to load rolls of carpet that night. The forklift had a 20ft steel poll sticking out that was slid down the center of the 4ft high roll. I had to sit way back in the seat to get enough weight on the rear tires to steer. The trailer did not line up with the dock, but was about 6in higher. I had to get a running start to get up the slight ramp, and when I hit the top, precariously balanced on the front wheels, the forklift was bucking as hard as any bronco ever had.

      The trailer was level with the dock by the time I was done. That was a fun night.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    5. Re:Automation of warehouses is amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Different places handle different items. The industry where I am accustomed, the typical weight of incoming standard stock was 26 thousand Kilograms, handled by crane to make paneling for cars. Other stock for sidebars and such would typically weigh 12,000 pounds* and be handled by fork trucks. For the smallest items like brackets, 1,000-5,000 were common and typically lifted more than one at a time. The end result was placed in specialized containers that had a maximum weight rating of 5,000 pounds. But again, depending on how loaded they were, would be carried in pairs and sometimes up to six high by veterans if the weight was low enough.

      In short: your experience is not the totality of existence.

      A warehouse without people - that is the dream.

      A company without people is the dream. It just so happens that MBAs have an easier emotional time displacing people they don't work with than fellow MBAs...even though most can be replaced with very small shell scripts.

      *Yes mixed units. Wherever the steel is made to spec cheapest...

    6. Re:Automation of warehouses is amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I imagine dry chemical might be able to get up to 8000lb, and I have no doubt steel can weight that much on a pallet, though I imagine it's a much different pallet. In my experience I used to load 4100lb bunkers of potassium permagnate with a 12,000lb rated forklift. She was an absolute beast.

  23. Re:Forklift Operators for Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    IF Republicans were better educated, Trump obviously wouldn't appeal with is odious lies, self-contradictions, malapropisms, et al.

    You're a fucking nazi faggot, admit it.

  24. Re: Forklift Operators for Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Trump only got 46% of the votes.

  25. Re: At least those forklifts will run on Clean Coa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually yes giving $9/hour workers SNAP is better than forcing their employers to pay them more. For one thing their employers would fire them and replace them with robots if they had to pay them $10 .. if they could pay $10 why didn't the workers ask for $10 and refuse $9. And secondly why should companies willing to hire be the ones shouldering the expense of the workers? It's society's fault that the job market is so terrible that the workers are forced to work for $9. Presumably the mere existence of a worker willing to work for $9 takes away a job for the guy who would only agree to $10. In other words, forcing the wage to $10 means somebody will still remain unemployed and a welfare burden. Except now his life will be perceived to himself as even more desperate because now he has a bigger inequality. Anyway, then when the unemployed turn to a life of crime and drugs we have to give those workers free room and board in jail (which in many states costs more per day than staying at a five star hotel). So yeah taxpayers paying the SNAP for low wage workers is worth it.

  26. From the Future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ellen Ripley from the future: Nooo, they took my space forklift job! Future imaginations always seem to be too conservative due to the mandatory familiarity factor.

  27. Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    More deplorables out of work and, having no real skills and no intellectual abilities whatsoever, starving to death. The working class has betrayed the Left's ideals and must pay for it.

  28. Disaster waiting to happen by volodymyrbiryuk · · Score: 1

    The autonomous forklifts starts by eating all the jerbs and finishes by eating up all the goods it was supposed to move around. Never trust a hungry robot.

    --
    sudo rm -r -f --no-preserve-root /
  29. Sorta by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've seen larger units implemented with pulling pallets off of a powered trailer and moving them into an automated racking system. But due to speed of them vs traditional fork lifts, they still have autonomous and human driven side by side. On their outbound side, they have autonomous fork lifts but still use traditional instead due to the speed and complexity of loading a standard trailer.

  30. Re: Forklift Operators for Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The last 'free' pre-WW2 German federal election was held on March 1933, which is -after- Hitler had already become Chancellor. The nazi party got only 43.9% of the votes.

    A few months later, Germany was a one party dictatorship.

  31. Just an extension up in weight of what amazon does by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Amazon's machines that move racks to order fillers and return them to a place are really forklifts The kiva machines are essentially forklifts that carry the shelves on their heads. So all this idea is to increase the weight carried.

  32. A few useful benefits by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    One good thing that would come out of this is that the autonomous forklift wouldn't use somebody's crates as an alternate set of brakes. You'd also eliminate forklift operators' propensity to practice jousting on crates.

  33. Humans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If a human needs to be around to watch it, why can't that human drive it?

  34. Re: At least those forklifts will run on Clean Coa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually yes giving $9/hour workers SNAP is better than forcing their employers to pay them more. For one thing their employers would fire them and replace them with robots if they had to pay them $10 ..

    So... Either way we all get to pay for them?

    if they could pay $10 why didn't the workers ask for $10 and refuse $9.

    You're asking why people who probably have no other marketable skills think they could successfully demand $10/hour when there's a line out the door of people willing to take $9?

    And secondly why should companies willing to hire be the ones shouldering the expense of the workers?

    Wait. What? The company that needs their "skills" (what little they may have) shouldn't shoulder the expense of paying them? I don't get any benefit from them working for Walmart or Foxconn. Why should I subsidize their pay? Or you even, for that matter?

    It's society's fault that the job market is so terrible that the workers are forced to work for $9.

    If by "society's fault" you mean we had lying presidents that sold tax cuts for the rich as good "Trickle Down" economics, claiming that the rich would invest their tax savings and create jobs. And policies that allow corporations to ship jobs offshore rather than keep manufacturing, with "good" manufacturing jobs, here. E.g. as Germany has done. And other presidents that looked the other way while Wall St. ran history's biggest Ponzi scheme.

    Presumably the mere existence of a worker willing to work for $9 takes away a job for the guy who would only agree to $10. In other words, forcing the wage to $10 means somebody will still remain unemployed and a welfare burden.

    So instead of one person who can feed himself and one who can't, now we have two who can't feed themselves! Ironically livable minimum wages in other capitalist countries – e.g. Australia and most of Europe – don't seem to result in businesses that can't make a profit. But here we just keep repeating the lie that paying a living minimum wage doesn't work. When what it really means is that the business owner might have to pocket slightly less in profits than he or she might otherwise have been able to.

    Except now his life will be perceived to himself as even more desperate because now he has a bigger inequality. Anyway, then when the unemployed turn to a life of crime and drugs we have to give those workers free room and board in jail (which in many states costs more per day than staying at a five star hotel). So yeah taxpayers paying the SNAP for low wage workers is worth it.

    Looks like you went to the same school of economics as Twitler and Rick Perry.

  35. Not news by hvidstue · · Score: 1

    Seegrid have been around for years. This is not news - just slash-vertising :-/