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Bitcoin Plummets Below $3,000 on Rising China Worries (ft.com)

Bitcoin dropped below $3,000 on Friday as the cryptocurrency extended a brutal eight-day sell-off that has reduced its value against the dollar by a third. Financial Times reports: The currency traded as low as $2,972, marking a 36 per cent fall from bitcoin's close on September 7, and a collapse of 40 per cent from the highs struck earlier this month. The latest bout of selling came after BTCChina, one of the country's biggest bitcoin exchanges, said it would halt trading at the end of the month. Focus has now shifted to the communist country's other two big exchanges: OKCoin and Huobi. Alternative source.

114 of 221 comments (clear)

  1. Also... by Luthair · · Score: 4, Informative

    JP Morgan's CEO referred to bitcoin as a fraud, and made reference to tulips (the first recorded bubble).

    1. Re:Also... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "JP Morgan Chase & Co. is a U.S. multinational banking and financial services holding company headquartered in New York City." - Wikipedia

      Yeah, let's trust the guy trying to push a competing product. Let's also forget the bank bailouts where they squandered billions and were saved by the government anyway (i.e. with your taxes).

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    2. Re:Also... by Luthair · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Exactly what do you think is competing here? If the banking industry thought these were viable, they'd be trading them and they'd be operating exchanges.

    3. Re:Also... by PhoenixFlare · · Score: 1

      Yep. They're not viable for large-scale use, and probably never will be. Sure seems like a lot of stories here lately though, breathlessly trying to make it sound like they're a big deal.

    4. Re:Also... by PhoenixFlare · · Score: 1

      Good for them?

      I will gladly eat my words if/when Bitcoin ever becomes a serious competitor to current global-scale payment methods, but simply announcing a consortium that hasn't actually accomplished anything yet is waaaaaaay far off from that.

    5. Re:Also... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      The same JP Morgan that got sued along with Goldman Sachs for manipulating the price of aluminum?

      http://www.businessinsider.com/jpm-goldman-face-suits-over-warehouses-2013-8

    6. Re:Also... by yodleboy · · Score: 1

      hell for that matter, they'd be MINING on all those thousands of PC's that sit idle during non business hours, or any otherwise idle servers.

    7. Re:Also... by Luthair · · Score: 1

      I noticed the same, an inordinate number of puff pieces are submitted by BTC supporters to spread the propaganda. I'd actually intended to submit the JP Morgan article earlier this week to counter it but hadn't made the time yet.

    8. Re:Also... by cdreimer · · Score: 2

      Bankers are indeed sleazy, but what does that say about the BTC market when even they think its sleazy?

      It means that the bankers haven't figured out how to get a piece of the BTC action. Once they get their cut, BTC will become legit in their eyes.

    9. Re:Also... by Luthair · · Score: 2

      Block chains existed before crypto-currencies and using one isn't an endorsement of other uses of the same technology.

    10. Re:Also... by Luthair · · Score: 1

      Bankers could pretty easily operate an exchange if they wanted - they already have that infrastructure. They could also trade, but it might be illegal for them at the moment.

    11. Re:Also... by Q-Hack! · · Score: 2

      It isn't so much as competing as it is fear of loosing control. JP Morgan Chase & Co. is part of the centralized banking system. They have a lot to lose if they can no longer influence the worlds monetary system.

      --
      Some days I get the sinking feeling Orwell was an optimist.
    12. Re:Also... by courteaudotbiz · · Score: 1

      Those "Idle PCs" will no longer be idle mining cryptocurrency. They'll consume far more power doing CPU mining, which is very inefficient compared to GPUs or ASICs. The electric company bill will show them that electricity in the US is pretty expensive...

    13. Re:Also... by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      JP Morgan is an investment bank, not a commercial/retail bank. They don't take deposits from individuals and don't make car loans. I don't recall (if I ever knew) what, if any, constraints there are on their activities, but I wouldn't be surprised that they can do pretty much whatever they damn well please as long as they don't mislead their investors.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    14. Re:Also... by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      JP Morgan's CEO referred to bitcoin as a fraud, and made reference to tulips (the first recorded bubble).

      Repeating a comment I made on another thread, I think the tulip reference is inaccurate. The tulips never had any real fall-back value besides as ornamental plants. Bitcoin has a lot of value on the dark-web as a non-governmental currency easily traded online..

      So, yes, until another alternative to bitcoin comes along (perhaps one with more security and anonymity) bitcoin will continue to be used and traded. It won't completely crash.

      Citizen speculators may add to the value and cause it to boom and bust but for the foreseeable future, there is a value to some people with bitcoin that is more than just an investment tool.

      Bitcoin may drop back to $1000- but it will almost certain never crash back down completely (until it is replaced).

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    15. Re:Also... by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and if Apple were interested in a particular feature, they certainly wouldn't trash it and then claim they invented it a few years later...

      Public statements from for-profit companies are not always trustworthy.

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    16. Re:Also... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You think China is closing them down because they had nothing to do with widespread evasion of capital controls? You think China will succeed?

      Bitcoin isn't for clearing normal payments, it's for freedom. If a few (bucks get laundered/taxes evaded) as a consequence, I'm fine with that. Anything that 'starves the beast' is good.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    17. Re: Also... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Reading comprehension fail.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    18. Re:Also... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      China is still in a multi market (real estate, stocks) bubble. To fix the Shanghai stock exchange (average PE ratio was as high as 100) the Chinese government declared that companies must declare higher earnings. Not pay dividends, just declare earnings. Do you trust Chinese accounting? After the order, exchange wide average PE went from 100 to about 20 in a year (with less than a halving of prices), do you believe it? Want to buy a bridge?

      Escaping that bubble is what the Chinese authorities are trying to prevent. Can't have regular Chinese moving their funds overseas like the sons and daughters of central committee members.

      Bitcoin isn't really 'for holding', it's for moving the funds out of bubble zones with capital controls, like China. Which is causing a real estate bubble on the US west coast as the Chinese buy property for cash (with only $50k being officially allowed out, how?).

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    19. Re:Also... by no1nose · · Score: 1

      Why do they pronounce it HODLing then?

    20. Re:Also... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Why do you think China is closing the exchanges? Open your eyes.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    21. Re:Also... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Could the PE ratio have been higher than 70 during the _year_ it averaged 70?

      Your source is lying with statistics.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    22. Re:Also... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      I already answered his lie above. The yearly average PE ratio peaked at just under 70, what do you think the instantaneous average PE ratio peaked at?

      Funny how the declared earnings jumped right after being 'ordered up'.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    23. Re:Also... by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      No, if you read his comments they were actually one of the few I've heard from him that were smart and I agree with. His comments were effectively, if he found anyone in the company trading Bitcoin, he'd fire them since they are stupid.

      He accurately made a distinction between blockchain tech (which has high potential), and bitcoin, which is truly useless for any kind of large scale economic activity. It's a playground of the financial retards right now; the vast majority buying bitcoin right now have zero technical knowledge of it, they're just trying to get rick quick. Not a lasting formula.

    24. Re:Also... by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Except no one gives a fucking shit about anything other than Bitcoin and Ethereum, and Ethereum is in a death spiral due to the ICO bullshit, the scams, the "hacks", the forks, and of course the fact that Ethereum is just a shitty alt that's effectively pegged to BTC and mined by people who have GPUs but not ASICs.

      Bitcoin is THE cryptocurrency. Mining anything else is like fighting for scraps and then hoping someone will buy those scraps from you at some point.

      If I were still in the game, I'd consider buying Bitcoin soon (I don't think it's bottomed out yet) with intention to sell in 1 to 2 years.

    25. Re:Also... by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Crash to zero? Nothing does that. Even tulips can be used as mulch.

      What about creimer/cdreimer posts?

    26. Re: Also... by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      It's about freedumb.

    27. Re:Also... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Given the choice, I'd pick Litecoin before Ethereum.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    28. Re:Also... by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Can't have regular Chinese moving their funds overseas like the sons and daughters of central committee members.

      That's a pretty silly thing to say and just provides evidence that you've not got a clue about the actual situation there.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  2. Bitcoin's value is still up by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 5, Informative

    Not only is Coindesk showing a rebound above USD$3400 but let's not forget that Bitcoin's value was only around USD$1000 at the beginning of january 2017. So it's still up 200% right now. That USD$5000 value was a bubble and it had to burst.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
    1. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Buy a few thousand Dogecoins. Not expensive and hey, you never know... Litecoin was at $2 less than a year ago.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    2. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by JeffSh · · Score: 1

      It was only kind of a bubble.

      Bitcoin will go through many boom bust cycles on its way to being a globally relevant store of value. As early adopters realize they have assets that amount to "life changing money", they will sell a portion of their holdings to exchange it for other assets, houses, business investments, cars, education for their kids... whatever.

      Each one of these will trigger a minor panic and send the currency tumbling, before it reaches a low point where it will grow again to the next point where early adopters say "Holy shit i have some money here im going to spend it"

      this will happen several times over the next decade as bitcoin may be on its way to a global reserve currency and trusted store of value.

      of course, bitcoin might NOT be, that's always a risk. Governments and central banks may interfere with it enough to kill it before it can get to that point, but if they don't, then this is a pattern that will happen many times

    3. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Everything in Bitcoin is too expensive, I can't use it. Exchange fees, transaction fees, prices etc. It's unusable for people who struggle financially.

      That's part of the problem right there! What good is BTC as a medium of exchange if using it in transactions is difficult and expensive? If it's going to be a currency, it should be easy to pay one US cent for something using it.

    4. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by ag0ny · · Score: 1

      I can't afford bitcoin

      You're aware that you can buy fractions of a Bitcoin, right? You can buy $10 worth of Bitcoin, or any other cryptocurrency for that matter.

    5. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, because what I want from a currency is wild swings and the ability to speculate instead of hold value long-term. Honestly that sounds like a commodity, not a currency.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    6. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by WrongMonkey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Worse... its a commodity that has no utility. I buy pork bellies, I can at least make bacon.

    7. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Which means a huge market will open up as these problems are fixed.

    8. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by PhoenixFlare · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Bingo. If there's anything missing from my current economic experience, surely it must be having to check before I buy anything to see what my currency is actually worth today.

    9. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by pakar · · Score: 1

      I'll bet you 100000 bitcoins that they still be worth a lot.

    10. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Worse... its a commodity that has no utility

      Digital and decentralized transfer of value is not utility ?

    11. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by ag0ny · · Score: 1

      Buy a few thousand Dogecoins. Not expensive and hey, you never know...

      He said "unusable for people who struggle financially", and I have to agree with him on this point.

      Until cryptocurrencies go mainstream, buying/investing in them right now is a gamble. Yes, they've been increasing in value regularly, but that's no indication of what's going to happen in the future. At the end of the day, nobody should be investing in cryptocurrency any money they can't afford to lose.

    12. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      Lots of rich collectors interested in buying weird high-end Bitcoin-themed memorabilia.

      Not surprising that there would be a high interest in the community in acquiring something that's actually tangible. Burned out GPU cards don't hold much nostalgia value if that's all you have in the end. I guess you can put your large electric bill in a gilt frame, too.

    13. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      Only if the transfer value is stable, which BitCoin is not.

    14. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by PhoenixFlare · · Score: 1

      Probably not. But that still assumes there's a reason everyone would be getting their salaries in Bitcoin in the first place.

    15. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by phayes · · Score: 1

      Sure, right after Hell freezes over...

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    16. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by phayes · · Score: 1

      Buying fractional bitcoins doesn't change the exchange & transaction fees that are exorbitant.

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    17. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by Khyber · · Score: 1

      "If you can *actually* do this"

      I most certainly can.

      "You get instant payment which you can cash out into local currency, Kraken charges maybe $10 for a wire transfer to my bank account."

      I refuse to participate in the bullshit non-backed bullshit that is Bitcoin. At least the fiat dollar has some backing in the Petrodollar and the current slavery economy that the United States is shifting towards (look at all the sudden uprising of more unions and complaints about wage discrimination, etc.,) and before that was backed by hard tangible assets such as gold, which as all kinds of uses from making medicine to making electronics to making jewelry. Bitcoin has the backing of wasted electricity and resources and shitty coding and a shit community which can't agree to anything and splits up more than Hollywood celebrities, and has no wide diversity of uses. It's just a repeat failure of 70s technology and ideas (permissionless and distributed databases,) this time it's worked it's stupid ass into the economy instead of just regular database usage.

      Cash in hand, direct bank-to-bank wire from their actual account, maybe at worst PayPal. I won't accept any other option. No cheque, no credit card, no gift card, nada.

      I might accept marijuana if it is of acceptable quality and potency.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    18. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by torkus · · Score: 1

      It's a gamble for sure, but so is playing lotto...and that gamble is far, far less likely to pay out.

      It's definitely a bubble of some sort and I fully expect to lost 3/4 or more of the money I have in. However if one in 10 stabs in the dark pays off, the return at this junction is still in the more than adequate to cover the other losses and turn a very nice profit.

      If you have enough to day-trade then even that is fairly easy to turn a profit on. Either in the penny stock coins or the bigger players. The death of this will come when actual market players and hedge funds put a HFT equivalent in the mix and drive out the little players.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    19. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by torkus · · Score: 1

      That's where ETH comes in.

      Transactions are typically in the few cents range, easily on par with what credit cards cost (the merchant) for use, though the cost is currently sender-loaded.

      ETH still doesn't process confirm as fast as a credit card...but it's easily quick enough for most transactions outside POS.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    20. Re: Bitcoin's value is still up by torkus · · Score: 1

      To each their own of course...

      But if you actually consider paypal a better alternative than bitcoin, eth, etc. then your qualifications are different than most. You know, paypal that's been known to seize accounts for arbitrary reasons - or none at all - and refuse to return funds unless you jump through a very exact set of hoops if you're lucky enough for them to not just lock down the account entirely and keep everything.

      At least with BTC or ETH there's no higher authority to decide your ETH should be invalidated/refunded because some buyer lied and claimed your produce was counterfeit. Talk to people who sell on ebay and you'll quickly find out how bad the situation is.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    21. Re:Bitcoin's value is still up by torkus · · Score: 1

      You do realize that every few minutes somewhere between 10,000 and 30,000 BTC are exchanged right? What's life-changing money? $500k? That's less than 200 BTC and not something which would significantly (or even noticeably TBH) alter the market.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
  3. "percent" by Dan+East · · Score: 1, Informative

    "percent" and "per cent" aren't the same thing, and this is especially grievous when talking about money. I assume Bitcoin didn't fall 36 bitcoins per US cent, but fell 36 percent.

    --
    Better known as 318230.
    1. Re:"percent" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      FT is a British publication and "per cent" is often the preferred option in British English and is closer in meaning than the US favoured "percent". Your assumed possible alternative meaning makes no sense grammatically anyway. If you are going to be a pedant, it helps to be know what you are writing about.

    2. Re:"percent" by mysidia · · Score: 4, Informative

      "percent" and "per cent" aren't the same thing, and this is especially grievous when talking about money.

      False. "Percent" literally means per 100 ( a fraction), and "Per cent" literally means per 100 ( a fraction). It is your "Per US cent" which is completely different, because now you are suddenly comparing it to units of a different currency.

    3. Re:"percent" by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Cent means 100 in latin. "Cent" in English properly refers to a unitless fraction, 1/100. You seem to assume that the word refers to 1/100th of a US dollar, which is kind of odd.

  4. Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

    Silver continues to bounce between $17 and $18 per ounce. No reason to move my cash pile.

    1. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      It's been around 17 for like years++ which means you are slowly losing money.

      Silver was $5 per ounce in 2000, peaked at $46 per ounce in 2011, and bouncing around $17 per ounce since 2014.

    2. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      If your cash pile is in silver, you're a goddamned idiot.

      If my cash pile was in silver, it wouldn't be a cash pile. As for my silver stack, the average cost per ounce is $23.

    3. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      [...] you're a bankruptee [...]

      Pre-Internet (19th century): "Mr. Lincoln, it's unfortunate that you had to file bankruptcy because your business partners abandoned you and the grocery store went under. But, as a bankruptee, what makes you think you can run for president of the United States?"

      "I can never afford to retire, no matter how old I am - and if I ever can't find a new job, or if I have serious medical issues, I guess I'll just sleep on the street!"

      Don't you ever get tired of pulling shit out of your ass?

    4. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      So hedging against inflation simply means you're throwing away a huge amount of potential returns from better investments.

      Some items in my silver stack are worth two to four times the price I paid for them. Most items will resell will above spot prices. Of course, it's all relative. I recently paid $130 for a 5-oz silver coin that sold for $300 a few years ago.

    5. Re:Meanwhile... by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      The price for silver today is under $18. Unless some new 2010-ish style bubble starts up, it wont be over $23 anytime soon. So, on average, you have lost over 20%.

      Yeah, I think I will not be taking financial advice from you.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    6. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      So, on average, you have lost over 20%.

      If I was to sold my stack at spot.

      Yeah, I think I will not be taking financial advice from you.

      Especially since I'm buying silver for the long term (30+ years) and would love to see spot prices return to $5 per ounce.

    7. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      What about investing in working antique guns? Safety + ROI.. :)

      In the SHTF scenarios, the other thing more valuable than precious metals is bullets. Everyone will have guns. But they will trade anything for more bullets.

    8. Re:Meanwhile... by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      Bullets are the part that come out the barrel.

      You're thinking of shells.

      The really tricky part are the primers. Bullets are easy to cast, as long as you're willing to use solid lead and limit velocities.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    9. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      Are you *actually* suggesting that you're a modern-day Abraham Lincoln?

      I'm just pointing out that I'm not the only American who exercised their constitutional right to file for bankruptcy (the current POTOUS done so four times) and that having a past bankruptcy doesn't disqualify me anything else in life. In fact, I've suffered no negative consequences from having a bankruptcy.

      [...] given the photos I've seen linked of you recently, you never tire of putting shit IN your ass [...]

      I'm unaware of any photo showing off my skinny ass.

    10. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      Creimer, there is no "constitutional right" to file for bankruptcy.

      Would we have bankruptcy today without it being explicitly mentioned in the constitution? Debtor prisons and penal colonies were popular in Great Britain.

      I'm confused - weren't all those russian photo site images photos of you?

      Russian schoolboys.

    11. Re:Meanwhile... by cdreimer · · Score: 1

      You don't have substantial retirement savings (logic: you recently declared bankruptcy and make a shit salary in an expensive area). You just yesterday said you were going to keep working until you are old.

      You are probably going to die young, otherwise I fully expect you will be a sad homeless old man.

      SSDD — try something original once in a while.

  5. Plunges... by PortHaven · · Score: 2

    Wait a minute????

    Wait a darn minute...

    I just bought like a $100 of bitcoin a couple months back. It was $1,500 a coin. How does something get labeled "plunging" when it's doubled in a mere few months.

    I would say, BitCoin as "dipped" back down under $3,000 showing some likely minor correction in the BitCoin market.

  6. Volatile unbacked currency is volatile! by Kenja · · Score: 1

    news at 11 I guess....

    --

    "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
  7. Eventually governments are going to crack down by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    So far as I can tell Bitcoin's value is mostly tired to illegal things (drugs, ransomware, money laundering, tax evasion, etc). I base this on the fact that there's very little else I can but with it. It was only a matter of time before it got too big for its own good. And I'm not sure I'll miss it. Fiat currencies are a lot more stable since they'll stable so long as the country and it's government are...

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Eventually governments are going to crack down by thechemic · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You can get a shift card, a bitpay card, and dozens of other debit style cards tied to your bitcoin. I mine bitcoin at home, and then I spend it EVERYWHERE AND ANYWHERE THAT VISA/MASTERCARD ARE ACCEPTED. I just bought lunch with bitcoin today. A couple days ago I bought a headset from best buy using bitcoin. I also paid my $1300 electric bill with bitcoin. I pay my car insurance with bitcoin.

      Because mining produces FAR MORE money that the electricity costs, everything I bought with bitcoin was essentially free. If you truly believe that bitcoin is only for illegal things, you've got your head in the sand or otherwise somewhere where the sun don't shine.

      --
      Let's make like a bird... and get the flock outta here.
    2. Re: Eventually governments are going to crack down by reanjr · · Score: 1

      I for one am happy to utilize BTC as a legitimate proxy investment into black market activity. Black markets are pretty good investments when diversified and legitimized.

    3. Re:Eventually governments are going to crack down by ediron2 · · Score: 1

      > ok important question:
      > why do you have a $1300 electric bill!

      It's to mine all those free bitcoins!! /snark

    4. Re: Eventually governments are going to crack down by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      His cubicle at work has the $1300 electric bill. And besides, it's only $854.17.

    5. Re:Eventually governments are going to crack down by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      +Funny

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
  8. Re:Oh Noes! Me ones and zeros!?! by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    Hey! Lots of people get paid to change the order of those ones and zeros, you insensitive clod!

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  9. Bitcoin's been way up before and dropped 75% by perpenso · · Score: 2

    Lets also remember that a few years ago Bitcoin spiked to $1,1000 and then dropped to $250 and spent a couple years around there. Yes, people who bought around $1,000 are up in the long term, but more patient people who were cautious due to the spike and bought a year later at $250 are up 4x more than those who bought on the spike.

    The current spike to $5,000 looks a lot like the 2014 spike to $1,100. I am *not* saying we will see a similar $75% drop, merely that waiting to buy might be prudent and even at $3,400 we might still be at an overly enthusiastic level. We seem to currently be on the downward side of the spike, perhaps wait until things stabilize and prices are relatively flat before buying? Waiting on the scale of months not days?

    1. Re:Bitcoin's been way up before and dropped 75% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Do you not understand that reasonable currencies don't behave this way? These are death throes.

    2. Re:Bitcoin's been way up before and dropped 75% by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      merely that waiting to buy might be prudent and even at $3,400 we might still be at an overly enthusiastic level.

      Then again, maybe not. Nobody knows.

    3. Re:Bitcoin's been way up before and dropped 75% by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      I don't have any skin in the game, but technical traders in equities would tell you that you are looking for the "head and shoulders" graph-- a drop with lower peaks after a big run up-- to foreshadow gloom. If in a few weeks BTC climbs back up to 4,000 and drops to 2,000 that is bad. If it climbs to 6,000 and drops to 4,000-- not so much.

      Bitcoin may last... or it may fail. Regulatory pressure in the next few years is likely to be a burden for it.

    4. Re:Bitcoin's been way up before and dropped 75% by torkus · · Score: 1

      I love the investment advice here on /. almost as much as the corny and poorly analyzed predictions in various blockchain news outlets.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    5. Re:Bitcoin's been way up before and dropped 75% by torkus · · Score: 1

      People thought $1000 was ridiculous, shortly after they thought that $300 was insane which wasn't that long after $1 seemed farfetched.

      $5000 is impossible much less $20,000 or whatever is next...but they'll either happen or BTC will be forked to something that scales to suit the pricing.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
  10. Don't conflate interest in blockchain with Bitcoin by perpenso · · Score: 2

    People sometimes conflate the commercial interest in blockchain technology with interest in Bitcoin. They are two very different things. Will blockchain be around in 20 years and be an important part of asset management and the financial industry, quite possibly. Will Bitcoin be around in 20 years, worth tens of thousands of dollars per coin or largely forgotten and worth $0.25 again? Who knows. Bitcoin could be easily displaced that far out. But on a timescale of a few years its got a decent chance to still be around.So maybe its OK for trading but not investing your passive retirement savings in.

    What we need is a car analogy. Blockchain is like the internal combustion engine. Bitcoin is like a particular automobile manufacturer. Is it a Maxwell, a former member of the top 3, a peer of General Motors and Ford, who went defunct in 1925, or is it a survivor like Ford? It could go either way. Bitcoin is just one of many consumer products based on a technology, a different product may suit consumer needs better, its only the technology that is likely to persist.

  11. China strategy by asjk · · Score: 1

    for commerce seems to be a variation of Embrace, Extend, and Extinguish.

  12. Ob by Hognoxious · · Score: 3, Funny

    1) Become member of Chinese equivalent of Politburo.
    2) Short bitcoin
    3) ????
    4) Profit!!!!!

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  13. Bitcoin an easily transferable asset, not currency by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Do you not understand that reasonable currencies don't behave this way? These are death throes.

    Bitcoin is not a currency, it is an asset. An easily transferable asset since it is a digital asset. An asset with no gatekeepers to impede that asset transfer.

    Bitcoin is a competitor to PayPal and other such payment vehicles, not to currencies like the US Dollar or the Euro. Not anytime soon despite the enthusiast's fondest wishes. However it is also a speculative trading vehicle, and also a highly speculative investment vehicle. Trading with a timeframe of some small number of years is one thing, investing on the scale of decades is something else entirely. I missed two highly speculative investment opportunities, Bitcoin when it was $0.25, and Star Wars: The Empire Strikes Back action figures when I worked in a warehouse in the 1980s and unloaded and stocked thousands of cases of those action figures. If only I had the foresight to have bought a couple of cases at the time. :-)

  14. Calculating bit coins adaptive value by goombah99 · · Score: 1

    For things like gold and tulips which lack significant underlying intrinsic value the price is set by a speculative market. ( yes I'm ignoring golds use in the semiconductor industry for exposition).

    Bit coin differs in two fundamental ways that ideally should link its price to a fixed value but empirically do not. I am struggling to figure out why the theory fails.

    To be specific , first there is a cost to mine bit coin and this cost rises as more mining capacity is working because bitcoin adapts its difficulty towards a fixed rate of solution. Ergo there is a cost in dollars and this cost keeps rising . Ideally, the price of bitcoin should be this cost plus a small incentive.

    But that's not all. The second key difference is that to transact bitcoin there has to be a mining event. A mining event won't happen if the marginal cost of mining is less than the reward( a payoff denominated in bitcoins).

    This last feature is very different from gold and it should prevent the price from dropping below some ratio to the mining cost. I.e. If you get 12 coins for mining a transaction then the price of a coin can't be less than 1/12 the cost to the miner.

    If the price of bitcoin is far above the mining cost then more miners enter, the difficulty ratchets up and thus the cost of mining should rise to almost 12x the price.

    Under this logic bitcoin should have a very stable and slowly rising valuation. There should not be fluctuation when there are changes in exchanges or other competitive coins happen etc. it should be always tied to the mining cost due to those two factors .

    So why is this logic so off when we observe the actual price???

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      Adding a clarification to the parent post.

      An easy but wrong retort to the above logic is for someone to say it's only worth what someone is willing to pay.

      That's true of everything except bitcoin. Why? Because you can't actually offer less than it costs to mine because there's no way for the offerer to consummate the transaction unless a miner confirms it. A miner probably won't mine if the price of bit coin falls below the mining costs.

      A second wrong retort is to say that the miners reward isn't just the coin but a fee. But I think this fee can be rolled into the effective price of bitcoin and so we can ignore this effect for now while fees are low .

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    2. Re:Calculating bit coins adaptive value by G · · Score: 1

      Speculation. Money pouring into market cap in the hopes of making more money. If there were no exchanges to facilitate speculation you may very well be right. But once people start trading it the value based on production cost is out the window.

    3. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps this is a possible answer to this conundrum. If I owned a bazillion bitcoin and I panic when the price drops below 1/12 the mining cost because now miners won't mine so I have a non liquid item. I can't even give it away let alone sell it cheap without the cooperation of a miner. And they won't mine when the selling price is too low.

      So what I do is I offer to pay the full cost needed to make a mining event profitable. It's a hefty fee but with a bazzillion bitcoins worth nothing if I don't pay it, it's cheap by comparison.

      So does this mean that fees are the reason for bitcoin volatility?

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    4. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      People trade it with a value that is based on it's scarcity. So the cost to produce it will always be a major factor in it's value.

    5. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by pakar · · Score: 1

      And what happens if you get less miners? Well the difficultly drops so it requires less electricity to mine there by making it profitable again to mine..

      Fees by themselves are there to allow miners to make a bit extra.. The miners will pick the transactions with the highest fees first and include in the blocks, so if there are loads of unconfirmed transactions people will choose to pay a higher fee to have their transactions complete faster. But even then, when we had the issue with loads of unconfirmed transactions i still could make payments with low fees, but they took forever before being included (confirmed) in a block.

      If you look far into the future, when all payable blocks have been mined, it will only be transaction-fees that will pay for the miners.

      If bitcoin will survive i think we will have bitcoin-miners in everything where we have a need to generate heat from electricity. Why push electricity thru a resistor to generate heat when we can have a
        CPU/ASIC/FPGA/whatever using the same amount of electricity to do bitcoin-calculations and still generate the same amount of heat, with the benefit of collecting some transaction-fees. Of course the miners will have to drop down quite a bit in price for that to happen.

    6. Re:Calculating bit coins adaptive value by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      Okay but if the price is higher than the production cost then more miners will turn on their rigs, the rate of mining will rise, and then the bitcoin algorithm will respond by increasing the difficulty.

      thus the cost of mining always rises to match the current speculative price. Or should eventually.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    7. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      The quantity is algorithmically determined? You mean, rather than use more electricity, I can just use a better algorithm? That would mean everybody would be using that algorithm, and the quantity would again immediately be determined by the cost of electricity.

      No, I think the quantity of bitcoin that can be 'mined' is dependent on the amount of energy expended, plus of course the equipment cost. Sure people constantly design and implement upgraded mining equipment, but that doesn't linearally scale the quantities.

    8. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      Gold has tremendous utility. If it were more common most of the things that people use that are made out of metal would be made out of gold alloys.

    9. Re:Calculating bit coins adaptive value by Comrade+Ogilvy · · Score: 1

      Miners not prioritize transactions without a fee attached. The days when bitcoin transfers are free are years behind us.

      There is another problem regarding bitcoin mining: the majority is in China where it is clear as mud if they are actually businesses that could survive under normal economic conditions. Even if someone gave me the most up to date asics in a new server, I could not pay even a quarter of my electrical bill running the thing. What are the costs that Chinese miners are paying? Or are they just stealing electricity by the consent of silent partners who are politically connected? Even if this extreme is not the case, China's electrical power costs are trending up, as they move away from coal fired plants and the demand for electricity continues to grow.

      This all adds up to a hidden subsidy of bitcoin. What happens if the subsidy is removed? Transaction costs go up a lot, which will depress bitcoins usage by non-speculators.

    10. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      No it does not take less electricity to mine if there are fewer miners. It takes EXACTLY the same amount of electricity. the ratio of the mining cost to the rewards would be the same evenif there was one miner.

      Fees are a different ball of wax and I admitted in a follow up below that these could contribute to price fluctuation. But remeber there were price fluctuations long before fees came into bitcoin. And at the moment fees are more about prioritization than coin valuation.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    11. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by catprog · · Score: 1

      And what happens if you get less miners? Well the difficultly drops so it requires less electricity to mine there by making it profitable again to mine..

      Fees by themselves are there to allow miners to make a bit extra.. The miners will pick the transactions with the highest fees first and include in the blocks, so if there are loads of unconfirmed transactions people will choose to pay a higher fee to have their transactions complete faster. But even then, when we had the issue with loads of unconfirmed transactions i still could make payments with low fees, but they took forever before being included (confirmed) in a block.

      If you look far into the future, when all payable blocks have been mined, it will only be transaction-fees that will pay for the miners.

      If bitcoin will survive i think we will have bitcoin-miners in everything where we have a need to generate heat from electricity. Why push electricity thru a resistor to generate heat when we can have a

        CPU/ASIC/FPGA/whatever using the same amount of electricity to do bitcoin-calculations and still generate the same amount of heat, with the benefit of collecting some transaction-fees. Of course the miners will have to drop down quite a bit in price for that to happen.

      Or you use a heat pump and get more heat for the same amount of electricity.

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    12. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by pakar · · Score: 1

      No it does not take less electricity to mine if there are fewer miners. It takes EXACTLY the same amount of electricity. the ratio of the mining cost to the rewards would be the same evenif there was one miner.

      Eh what?
      1 miner doing mining with a 500W (1Mh/s) machine. Network adjust difficultly to allow for 1 block mined every 10 minutes.. total mining power is 500W and will result in 1 block every 10 minutes... Ie 6 blocks per hour for 500W..
      100 miners doing mining with 500W (1Mh/s) machines.. Network adjust difficultly to allow for 1 block every 10 minutes.. Total mining power is 50KW and will result in 1 block every 10 minutes..

      It does take a bit of time for the network to adjust difficulty, but it slowly (adjustments made every 2000-ish blocks) adjust the difficulty to allow for 1 block every 10 minutes for the whole network.

      So lets say we allow for the network to adjust to each of these situations.
      Total of 1 miner would mine 12.50*6 (=75) bitcoins in one hour at a cost of 0.5KW. (6.6Wh per bitcoin)
      Total of 100 miners would mine 12.5*6 (=75) bitcoins in one our at a cost of 50KW. (666Wh per bitcoin)

      https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Dif...

    13. Re: Calculating bit coins adaptive value by pakar · · Score: 1

      Or you use a heat pump and get more heat for the same amount of electricity.

      Good point.. But there are some situations where a heat-pump would not be viable, like possibly a water-heater or stove... Or as a dump-load for solar/wind etc.

  15. Re: Don't conflate interest in blockchain with Bit by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

    Bitcoin will still have nostalgia value. Magic the Gathering cards and Beanie Babies are still worth something, after all. People look back at their youth and smile, even when it is foolish things they did that they remember.

    The fact that there is no tangible relic to keep 15 years down the road is sort of a problem. Mount Gox 'investors' of the more recent era don't have trading cards they can get out of a shoebox and look at, like earlier Mount Gox 'investors.' Amway has that problem, too, as the soap is all eventually down a drain... Tulip bulbs grow into flowers and are gone... It's just how it goes.

  16. Re: Bitcoin an easily transferable asset, not curr by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

    If you had a few cases of those Star Wars figures, you could now crater their value almost immediately. I suppose you could sell them out into the market slowly instead, because there's a slow steady return in that sort of hustle.

  17. Re: Bitcoin an easily transferable asset, not curr by perpenso · · Score: 1

    A case only had 24, but yeah eBay slowly. Same with bitcoins, large holders have to sell slowly. :-)

  18. Re:+700 by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

    +$700 USD since the publication of this news.... WTF is happening ?

    Common sense. People see "X" hits new recent low. So they buy it so they can cash it out when it his new recent high again.

    Just like when headlines were made that it hit $5000 everyone started selling.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  19. Re: Don't conflate interest in blockchain with Bi by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Penny for your thoughts is just a saying, nobody ever pays the penny.

    US$0.000864 for your doge coin. :-)

  20. Re:Trump's fault! by Muros · · Score: 1

    Much as I'd love to jump at any chance blame Trump for anything, I'd say North Korea is closer to the mark. They've pissed off the Chinese, and the Chinese are attacking their revenue stream. There was a related story here two days ago.

  21. Re: Bitcoin an easily transferable asset, not curr by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

    I have some rare vintage microprocessors. I recognized what they were by the part number when somebody listed five or six tubes of them (25 to the tube) on eBay, and spent about $100 to snap them all up. I can sell them at about $25 each to collectors, but only if I don't try to sell them ten at a time.

    That's nerd cred, btw, when you can hustle rare microprocessors for a tidy profit.

  22. Re:+700 by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 1

    Microsoft, Steam, Newegg, Overstock, Dish Network, and Expedia are a few well established companies you probably have heard of that accept Bitcoin as a payment method. You also can donate to the likes of Wikipedia or EFF with Bitcoin. Then you have places like Gyft or even CardCash where you can buy gift cards. There are plenty of places to spend Bitcoin

    --

    "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
  23. Re: Bitcoin an easily transferable asset, not curr by perpenso · · Score: 1

    People still buying 65C02 to upgrade their //e ? :-)

  24. Re: Bitcoin an easily transferable asset, not cur by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

    That is not a rare microprossor.

  25. Re: Use APKoins instead... apk by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

    Is APK an alias of Martin Shkreli?

  26. Re:Why? You invest like a trump voter. by cdreimer · · Score: 1

    Why don't you invest in mutual funds and utilities like a normal person?

    I do in my brokerage and retirement accounts. Precious metals should only represent 10% of your total assets.

  27. Re: Bitcoin an easily transferable asset, not cur by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    Are you selling 6581's?

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  28. Re: Bitcoin an easily transferable asset, not cur by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

    The processor I have are 12 bit processors that run the PDP-8 Instruction Set.