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Why Tether's Collapse Would Be Bad For Cryptocurrencies (wired.com)

Yesterday, Bloomberg reported that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission sent subpoenas last week to virtual-currency venue Bitfinex and Tether, a company that issues a widely traded coin and claims it's pegged to the dollar. Wired's Sandra Upson explains why Tether's collapse would be bad for the entire cryptocurrency market: Unlike bitcoin and its many siblings, tether is what is called a stablecoin, an entity designed to not fluctuate in value. With most cryptocurrencies prone to wild swings, tether offers people who dabble in the market the option of buying a currency that its backers say is pegged to the U.S. dollar. The root of the controversy is whether the company behind it, also called Tether, is telling the truth when it claims that every unit in circulation is matched by a U.S. dollar it holds in reserve. If the company has a dollar for every tether, that means in theory any holder can sell tethers back to the company for an equal number of dollars at any time. This belief keeps the value of a tether pegged to a dollar.

If tethers are not backed by a matching number of dollars, then Tether can print an arbitrary amount of money. (Other cryptocurrencies, by contrast, create new tokens according to strictly prescribed, predictable rules.) Other problems ensue, including suspicions that Tether is timing the release of new tethers to coincide with drops in the price of bitcoin and then using those tethers to scoop up bitcoins. Some observers fear that these purchases are artificially inflating the price of bitcoin. If traders lose faith in tether, they could end up triggering the crypto version of a bank run. Tether helps stabilize cryptocurrency exchanges in various ways, so its collapse could also cause some exchanges to topple, wiping out billions of dollars of investments overnight and potentially undoing much of the public's growing interest in new technologies like bitcoin.

161 comments

  1. Yeah by war4peace · · Score: 1

    "Some observers fear that these purchases are artificially inflating the price of bitcoin."

    Any purchase inflates the value (not price) of Bitcoin. It is extremely difficult to mine new bitcoins, and this creates scarcity.
    But yes, if Tether is indeed lying about their dollar pegging methodology, it would crash its value and send earthquake waves in the cryptoworld, which is a good thing in the long run. Once all bad apples are removed, we'll end up with the good apples.
    I personally am betting on ASIC-resistant, mineable coins.

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    1. Re:Yeah by msauve · · Score: 1

      "I personally am betting on ASIC-resistant, mineable coins."

      I'm starting a new XRayGlassesCoin. To mine one, send 1000 bubble gum comics, or $1 and 25 comics, to PO Box...

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    2. Re:Yeah by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      I'll have you know that I ordered XRayGlasses (not XRayGlassesCoin) three decades ago and they do not work!

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    3. Re:Yeah by Cederic · · Score: 2

      Any purchase inflates the value (not price) of Bitcoin

      Given bitcoin's value is arbitrary and moving closer to zero all the time you've got that exactly the wrong way around.

      Yes, bitcoin is heavily overpriced right now.

    4. Re:Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The upper limit of bad applies knows no bounds. If you think manipulation will some how go away in this market, you're delusional.

    5. Re:Yeah by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      "I personally am betting on ASIC-resistant, mineable coins."

      Perhaps you just haven't met the right ASIC yet, dear. She'll come along, just wait. And Don't worry either because, in a few years Quantum Computers will wipe them all out.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    6. Re:Yeah by war4peace · · Score: 1

      And Don't worry either because, in a few years Quantum Computers will wipe them all out.

      Much like the year of the Desktop Linux, huh?

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    7. Re:Yeah by war4peace · · Score: 1

      Any purchase inflates the value (not price) of Bitcoin

      Given bitcoin's value is arbitrary and moving closer to zero all the time you've got that exactly the wrong way around.

      Yes, bitcoin is heavily overpriced right now.

      What exactly is moving to zero all the time? Bitcoin is still 10x times more valuable than one year ago. I also expect its value to drop and in time even be replaced by a few altcoins unless it manages to become a "gold standard" somehow.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    8. Re:Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I personally am betting on ASIC-resistant, mineable coins.

      I'm not sure there is any way to enforce that which isn't also physically impossible.

      About the only potential idea I can think of is a system in which the hashing function is forcibly changed over a predicted time period, and changed significantly enough so it uses a completely new type of hashing and not just slight changes to one type.

      The upside there would not be that ASICs can't mine the coins, but that it wouldn't be economical to make one do so knowing that in a month or whatever time frame that it won't be usable anymore.

      The downside however is that every month or whatever when you push out updates to the code, you will completely break all backwards compatibility with your previous blockchain and have to start again.

      Since even with general purpose CPUs, most people dedicate a system to mining instead of using their normal desktop or laptop PC, and every upgrade will shed a TON of your userbase each iteration. Possibly permanently.

      Since the hash function change would need to be frequent enough to happen faster than a new ASIC can be pumped out of China manufacturing, I'd question if even a month is short enough. You might have to break and recreate your blockchain once a week or less for this to even work.
      Believe me, ASIC designs already exist for any hash function that already exists, and spinup time on a new ASIC run is measured in days.

      One might be able to try and come up with new hash functions never before seen, but that will likely be worse I'd think.
      Cryptology is hard. One error in the design or implementation will destroy your cryptocurency in a way it can't ever recover from. One mistake and poof it's all gone.
      One mistake you won't have any time to prevent by releasing the hash function to be real-world time-tested, since in doing so you give everything needed to make an ASIC do the same to everyone as well, and you're back in the situation without new hash functions, except this time the failure rate is much higher.

      If you happen to be thinking that there are things a CPU can do that an ASIC can't, then that's an even larger mistake.
      If you can do it in logic gates in silicon, you can do it in logic gates in silicon.

      There is literally nothing a CPU can do that an ASIC can't do, at worst, equally well and fast, and at best the ASIC can do it much much faster.

      Also keep in mind there is another couple of steps between a CPU and ASIC.
      FPGAs for example can also do everything the other two can do, usually not as fast as an ASIC but still usually faster than a CPU.
      FPGAs can also be updated in software to handle your weekly or monthly changes. They would be at worst a day behind you, and at best not even that.

      If you went with existing hash functions and just cycled between them, one could imagine a client program with a GUI to drag and drop hash function "lego bricks", feed them the parameters needed, and link/loop them as needed. You then click a button and all that is uploaded to the FPGA over USB and now it can do what your software does.

      It only takes one designer to make that change once you update, and release it as a single file upload to all the FPGA owners.

      It also isn't beyond imagination of a program that goes through your software to automatically determine all of the hash stuff, and basically "translate" it automatically for the FPGA.

      This means the time it takes to get the scheduled update from you, download it, and install the software (should be measured in seconds or possibly low minutes) - another program then runs to translate yours to FPGA stream code in the same amount of time.
      EG if it takes one 2 minutes each week to update your mining software, it would take 4 minutes to have an accelerated FPGA updated along with it.

      There is no options right now in existence to be ASIC and FPGA "proof"

    9. Re:Yeah by war4peace · · Score: 1

      Requiring a lot of memory is enough to make a coin ASIC resistant. Not fully, truly resistant, but generally unfeasible to implement.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    10. Re:Yeah by Srin+Tuar · · Score: 1

      What is the obsession with ASIC resistance? That is an utterly pointless attribute of a crypto currency, and only makes them weaker.

    11. Re: Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      digibyte has this worked out. it uses 5 separate algorithms in its strategy, it regularly swaps out one or more algorithms as needed to not become overwhelmed by asics. It also happens to be one of the most decentralized coins.

    12. Re:Yeah by Sigma+7 · · Score: 1

      The downside however is that every month or whatever when you push out updates to the code, you will completely break all backwards compatibility with your previous blockchain and have to start again.

      This didn't affect the Bitcoin Gold fork that changed the hashing algorithm. The previous hashing algorithm is considered authentic only for blocks below a certain point in the chain, and all blocks later must use the new algorithm.

      There is literally nothing a CPU can do that an ASIC can't do, at worst, equally well and fast, and at best the ASIC can do it much much faster.

      ASICs tend to do a significantly worse job at allowing the user to multitask on the same device. Want to play XCOM while bitcoin mining? Can only do that on a CPU/GPU combo rather than using your ASIC.

    13. Re:Yeah by smallfries · · Score: 2

      Just you wait until you see the Linux Desktop running on a Quantum Computer - it is almost usable!

      --
      Slashdot: where don knuth is an idiot because he cant grasp the awesome power of php
    14. Re:Yeah by smallfries · · Score: 1

      Oh look! Another quality contribution!

      Yes, of course a property that enourages distribution of computing resources is bad for a distributed system. You are really knocking it out of the park today!

      --
      Slashdot: where don knuth is an idiot because he cant grasp the awesome power of php
    15. Re:Yeah by Luthair · · Score: 1

      Why do you think that an ASIC is worse than someone who has the inside access to GPUs or free / cheap electricity.

    16. Re:Yeah by SScorpio · · Score: 1

      At least you didn't waste the money on the plans to build a "hovercraft".

    17. Re:Yeah by sexconker · · Score: 2

      I personally am betting on ASIC-resistant, mineable coins.

      There is no such thing as an "ASIC-resistant" coin or algorithm.
      Coins like Ethereum are not mined on ASICs only because all mining ASIC development goes to Bitcoin, since it is by far the largest and most stable (yeah, let that sink in) coin. Ethereum's algorithm just requires a lot more memory / memory bandwidth because of the giant DAG.

      Some chicken shit outfit could easily shit out an ASIC with a ton of memory and memory bandwidth, but they'd never recoup their investment in time for it to make sense. AMD and nVidia already make nearly perfect hardware for mining Ethereum since they put gobs of memory (8/16 GB) on board with tons of bandwidth (HBM2, 8 fucking channels of GDDR5X, etc.). AMD and nVidia do this in such volume (with big discounts on memory prices) and release new products so frequently that any computational advantage an ASIC would have would be leapfrogged quickly, while people are still crying out for their ASIC orders to ship.

      All the outfits who went through this bullshit years ago with Bitcoin are content to keep pumping out Bitcoin ASICs. Back then, only a couple of companies out of the dozen+ that promised ASICs actually delivered. Most delayed, lied about specs, delayed more, and delivered only a handful of actual units (if they delivered any at all). The same chaos would repeat itself with Ethereum unless an established player - someone creating Bitcoin ASICs - got involved. There's no need for them to take that risk when they can keep pumping out Bitcoin ASICs.

      Further, long-term Ethereum is a dead coin. I firmly believe the switch to "Proof of Stake" instead of "Proof of Work" will kill mining, and thus the coin itself.

    18. Re:Yeah by sexconker · · Score: 1

      No, it just makes them prefer to continue making ASICs for Bitcoin while mining other shit on GPUs since they come with loads of memory and memory bandwidth already. It's not that it's unfeasible, it's that there are better options. As someone making ASICs, it's far better to target the big boy - Bitcoin. As someone mining, it's far better to buy a hundred GPUs from a distributor at sub MSRP prices than it is to buy an ASIC, even if it's 10 times faster, because that ASIC will be useless in a few months while the GPUs can be sold off to thirsty gamers.

    19. Re:Yeah by sexconker · · Score: 1

      "ASIC resistance" isn't a thing. Ethereum's algorithm is simply bottlenecked by memory and memory bandwidth.

      The cheapest way to get both of those is on a gaming GPU since AMD and nVidia have done all the R&D and manufacturing, and secured deep discounts on memory prices because of the volume they deal in.

      None of this means the network is going to be distributed. Miners are hoarding GPUs to build giant mining farms.

    20. Re:Yeah by ctilsie242 · · Score: 1

      There is always PoC mining, like what Burst offers. It requires storage, and storage is... well storage, and can't be easily stuffed into an ASIC. PoS based currencies are also useful. Either of these are more energy efficient than PoW based currencies.

    21. Re:Yeah by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      Requiring a lot of memory is enough to make a coin ASIC resistant.

      No, it doesn't. One can simply design the ASIC to take desktop (or ECC) RAM chips. The only reason that ASIC miners don't have a lot of RAM right now is because they did not need a lot to mine bitcoin.

      Changing the design of the existing ASICs to take 96GB of RAM each? Not a problem.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    22. Re:Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Coins are ASIC-resistant when the algorithm requires large quantities of memory bandwidth. Nobody popping out cheap ASICs in quantity wants to build out a wide GDDR5 controller or HBM/HBM2 controller and stuff 4Gb or more of DRAM/HBM onto the device. Once you've done that, you've already gone through many of the steps required to make a full-blown GPU/GPGPU compute device. From an economic standpoint, it makes little sense.

      Ethereum in particular wants fast, low-latency memory to maximize hashrate, and it can be very finicky and weird. Nvidia cards with GDDR5 like the 1070/1070Ti can outmine GDDR5X cards like the 1080 just due to VRAM latency.

      Dunno why PoS would kill the Ethereum though. It will do quite the opposite.

    23. Re:Yeah by gravewax · · Score: 1

      An ASIC removes the general computing distributed nature that allows everyone to be involved. see bitcoin how it is now incredibly centralised and control by a small collection of miners in china.

    24. Re:Yeah by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      What exactly is moving to zero all the time? Bitcoin is still 10x times more valuable than one year ago

      No, the price is 10 times what it was one year ago. The value (i.e. usefulness) hasn't changed at all. In fact, many people would argue that value has always been basically zero.

    25. Re:Yeah by Srin+Tuar · · Score: 1

      > Yes, of course a property that enourages distribution of computing resources is bad for a distributed system.

      A system which resists the creation of effective hardware does not prevent centralization, it actually increases it in the long run.

      There is no way to prevent ideal hardware from being created, but the barrier to entry is higher. It still happens in the end, and you get a far more centralized system in the end than you do with a very straightforward asic compatible PoW.

      Crypto currency technology is like crack to the Dunning-Kreuger crowd. ASIC resistance in all its guises is a dead end, so is proof of stake and plenty of other pyrite technologies in this space. And yet you get so many people opining about them from a position of entrenched ignorance...

    26. Re:Yeah by war4peace · · Score: 1

      It's not that it's unfeasible, it's that there are better options.

      That makes the solution "unfeasible".

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    27. Re:Yeah by war4peace · · Score: 1

      ...which makes it unfeasible because RAM prices are through the roof.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    28. Re:Yeah by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      ...which makes it unfeasible because RAM prices are through the roof.

      No, they aren't. The last I checked a single ASIC miner sells for around $3k. An extra $1k on that for 64GB of RAM is not going to make mining unfeasible, especially if the RAM contents during mining can be shared between all threads (AFAIK, they can).

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    29. Re:Yeah by smallfries · · Score: 1

      Cost of entry.

      Designing a working ASIC is very high barrier to entry, which means that whoever crosses that line first can then use vertical integration to own the market. Look at exactly what has happened with the ASIC miners - their low availability and high use in pools connected to the manufacturer.

      It is only now - 5 years after the first ASIC hit the market that a competitor *may* enter the market in the next year (the current Samsung story).

      --
      Slashdot: where don knuth is an idiot because he cant grasp the awesome power of php
    30. Re:Yeah by smallfries · · Score: 1

      Your position is argued well in this post - I understand your logic. But here is zero evidence for your position. Sure, this does not make it wrong, but it is not particularly convincing.

      ASIC resistence is not a binary property. Increasing the size of the scratchpad being hashed is a moving target against the falling cost of embedding memory in an ASIC that can be fabbed at a reasonable cost. But this does not mean that it does not work - it just means that the difficulty level needs to adjusted upwards over time - not too different from Satoshi's innovation in the bitcoin design.

      But... there is a real cost to design + fab of an ASIC with a given amount of memory. If that cost exceeds the return in mining for the coin being targeted then ASIC resistence behaves like a binary property, i.e. the coin is resistent to (economic) exploitation of an ASIC.

      The theoretical end-run that you refer to is an entity jumping the fab industry (measured in a cost of 10s of billions) in order to own the mining for a particular coin. Sure, in that long-term it does increase centralization, but the step is so large that it is highly improbable to occur at all.

      --
      Slashdot: where don knuth is an idiot because he cant grasp the awesome power of php
  2. "If tethers are not backed by a matching number of by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You mean like a bank?

  3. undoing much of the public's growing interest? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    bursting the bubble more like,.

  4. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by war4peace · · Score: 2

    Nope. Banks can trade with money they don't yet have.

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  5. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by kick6 · · Score: 1

    Nope. Banks can trade with money they don't yet have.

    That's not quite true. Banks just don't phyiscally "have" every penny that the sum total of account balances would lead one to believe they "have." They loan out a large percentage. But that number is lower than the sum total of account balances. The delta is called "reserves," and this amount is mandated by law. At least in the US.

  6. No Way Unpossible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Some observers fear that these purchases are artificially inflating the price of bitcoin. If traders lose faith in tether, they could end up triggering the crypto version of a bank run. Tether helps stabilize cryptocurrency exchanges in various ways, so its collapse could also cause some exchanges to topple, wiping out billions of dollars of investments overnight and potentially undoing much of the public's growing interest in new technologies like bitcoin.

    So what you're saying is, if the public figures out Tether is artificially inflating the price of Bitcoin, they're going to abandon both of them?

    Say it isn't so!

    1. Re: No Way Unpossible by reanjr · · Score: 1

      People aren't going to abandon BTC because Tether loses its tether. But any drop in buy pressure is going to have a negative impact in price.

  7. Re:How To Go To Heaven... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Sounds awfully complicated. I take my chance with a conventional rocket.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  8. The Irony of Stability. by geekmux · · Score: 0, Troll

    "If tethers are not backed by a matching number of dollars, then Tether can print an arbitrary amount of money..."

    Print an arbitrary amount of money? Oh you mean what we call Quantitive Easing? TARP? TALF? LTRO? How ironic we're worried about Tether doing this when the very currency that provides their stability has been doing it for years.

    Worried about Tether being backed? Then audit them. Just don't go expecting that simple answer to work for everyone. Congress has already proven it would take an Act of God to execute an audit of the US Federal Reserve. The USD would fall on its proverbial sword before that would ever be allowed to happen.

    1. Re:The Irony of Stability. by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      How ironic we're worried about Tether doing this when the very currency that provides their stability has been doing it for years.

      Except one of them is backed by the might of the United States government and the other is backed by.... what? A promise that they can pay you back, no really!, from a company that fired their auditors.

    2. Re:The Irony of Stability. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hilarious, isn't it? The government worrying whether a private fiat currency is truly backed by the government fiat currency?

    3. Re:The Irony of Stability. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How ironic we're worried about Tether doing this when the very currency that provides their stability has been doing it for years.

      If Tether was lying about the assets they have to back their stuff, then it was essentially a fucking ponzi scheme.

      You can think whatever crazy shit you want about government money or economics ... but this is just another example of how cryptocurrencies are the fucking wild west, ran by scam artists and idiots, and every drooling fool who think he's going to become a zillionaire is just playing along with it.

      Oh no, your currency which is supposed to be outside of government control and interference is really just the equivalent of investor fraud.

      All of these cryptocurrencies are just a bubble, and living inside that bubble are people who naively believe there is some utopian government-free money. Those people stand a good chance of losing their shirts.

      And the rest of us? We'll laugh and laugh.

    4. Re:The Irony of Stability. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tether is backed by a bunch of guys in a cryptocurrency startup who broke their promise and cut off their auditors. Why they did it is almost irrelevant, it harms their credibility.

      The other institutions are backed by the government, banks, companies, and citizens of the most powerful country on earth.

      FYI -The Fed is already audited. Facts not memes, paulbot.

    5. Re:The Irony of Stability. by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      backed by.... what? A promise that they can pay you back, no really!, from a company that fired their auditors.

      And this is the worrisome part...

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    6. Re:The Irony of Stability. by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      > How ironic we're worried about Tether doing this when the very currency that provides their stability has been doing it for years.

      Because the people doing it on the real currency have strong institutional constraints, regulations, audit trails, and consensus-based management, civil and criminal liability, and no personal profit motive. They don't get to keep any of the money they create, the US economy does.

    7. Re:The Irony of Stability. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tether Ltd. just got rid of their only auditor. Or depending on whom you believe, the auditor refused to do any further business with them.

      Take that for what it's worth.

    8. Re:The Irony of Stability. by geekmux · · Score: 1

      The other institutions are backed by the government, banks, companies, and citizens of the most powerful country on earth.

      Oh, so the citizens actually still have power? Is that what you're implying? Tell me, what is the citizens who volunteered to toss a nuke into the whole fucking system in 2008 causing a global financial meltdown, along with destroying an investment vehicle (housing) that was traditionally deemed stable? Did the citizens also vote to let the perpetrators of that meltdown get off without so much as a slap on the wrist? Yeah, I thought so.

      FYI -The Fed is already audited. Facts not memes, paulbot.

      That's a fucking laugh. To give you an idea of just how fucked their "audit" system is, a true top-to-bottom audit was done in 2011, which revealed that sixteen fucking trillion dollars in secret loans were made to bail out some of largest financial institutions in the world. We fucking bailed out foreign banks with that money.

      Tether may in fact not be worth a shit, but at least they are a finite problem that can go away fairly easily. My point was centered around the smoke and mirrors system they were tethered to for "stability". Corruption and greed stabilize the USD more than any other factor.

  9. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Uhm... unless I am misreading you, you appear to be very incorrect... (large) US banks are only required to hold 10% in reserve at any one time... That is 10% of the account balances NOT the account balances + 10%.

    "A depository institution's reserve requirements vary by the dollar amount of NTAs held by customers of that institution. Effective November 17, 2015, institutions with net transactions accounts:

            Of less than $15.2 million have no minimum reserve requirement;
            Between $15.2 million and $110.2 million must have a liquidity ratio of 3% of NTAs;
            Exceeding $110.2 million must have a liquidity ratio of 10% of NTAs.[8]
    "

    Sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reserve_requirement#United_States
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reservereq.htm

  10. But it's not pegged to the dollar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I've often seen tether (USDT) selling for anywhere from 99 cents to $1.05 (and looking on coinmarketcap's history, it has ranged from $0.91 to $1.08), so I'm not exactly sure how that qualifies as pegged to the dollar. Maybe $1 is the suggested value, but I wouldn't say "pegged".

    1. Re:But it's not pegged to the dollar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Could this be people reacting to the value of the dollar, and trying to use tether as an exchange to come up with more dollars after the gain/loss they perceive happens?

    2. Re: But it's not pegged to the dollar by reanjr · · Score: 1

      This just means the utility of the two currencies (USD and Tether) is different. Having a quasi-USD that can be used as a digital token provides more utility than a real USD. So, even if the true redeemable value is tethered, that doesn't mean the utility (or confidence in its tether) can't affect the real exchange rate of that currency to things like BTC.

    3. Re: But it's not pegged to the dollar by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      the digital dollars in my bank account have far more utility and liquidity than any "cryptocurrency" (which of course aren't currency at all but digital game tokens)

    4. Re: But it's not pegged to the dollar by reanjr · · Score: 1

      In the context of crypto-currency exchanges, a digital USD has more utility because it can be transferred much more quickly, and with higher confidence. Bank transfers are slow and can be cancelled or reversed.

  11. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by jbmartin6 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Perhaps I misunderstand, but it sounds like you are missing the point of fractional reserve banking. That means the bank can loan out more than it receives in deposits, with only a fraction of the total outstanding actually in the vault. That's the reserve percentage mandated by the US government.

    --
    This posting is provided 'AS IS' without warranty of any kind, implied or otherwise.
  12. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And I just reread the post after finishing my coffee and I DID misread your text, apologies...

  13. Re: How To Go To Heaven... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hail satan

  14. Slashdot Logic - Bitcoin Logo == Bad News by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Anyone notice that when there's a bad or potentially-bad story on Bitcoin or cryptocurrencies that Slashdot uses the Bitcoin "coin" logo?

    On other stories that are moderately good or outright great, they use a medley of Dollar icons or other nonsense.

    Keep it classy, Slashdot.

  15. How much, really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but those billions of dollars of investment are already traded, right? Somebody took that money in exchange for btc that was generated... ex nihilo. What's the system net value (over all investors) being lost here? Just the hardware and energy investment that would be nullified? Is the money changing hands like this going to cause significant net economic damage over all investors?

    It's a curious model system because unlike stocks or other commodities, it's backed by absolutely nothing but people's belief in its value (like all modern money) yet it has (apparently) no major economic players that can influence its valuation or stability at a high level and are motivated to do so by necessity.

    1. Re:How much, really? by DCFusor · · Score: 1

      Stocks are not a commodity! They are backed by nothing! When GM went bankrupt, I couldn't make them give me so much as a drill press for what was $50k of their stock. Well, others couldn't anyway. I shorted that much... Never really had to cover - well, it was pennies at one point. Thanks for a really cool Camaro, UAW - no one else held shares, no one would buy any, but that's just about the only place my broker could have borrowed any shares to short...

      --
      Why guess when you can know? Measure!
  16. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    This is not true at all. Banks can loan up to 10x what they have in reserve. Eg for every $1,000,000 of their customer's money they're holding onto, they can loan out $10,000,000. The system itself is called a fractional reserve. It works for the same reason insurance works - because most people, most of the time, don't need to be bailed out of a bad situation.

    That's why a lot of banks offer incentives for people who leave large sums of money sitting around doing nothing (ie savings accounts, checking accounts, etc). They're not giving "free" checking accounts out of the goodness in their hearts, or because you're such a good person that you deserve a free checking account. They do it because giving a "free" checking account grabs customers, and the average customer will have $X sitting in their account. They can then loan out $(10 * X) which will accrue interest (perhaps 2% for car loans, 3-5% for home loans, etc).

    That's also why Bank of America went back to their roots recently and are forcing customers to either pay a monthly fee or maintain a minimum balance for a checking account. This is how 100% of all checking accounts used to work, before they were all "free". It's just that things are changing, and the move back to the old way of doing it probably suggests their average customer wasn't good at keeping a minimum balance that allowed them to do the volume of loans they wanted to do.

  17. Hu. No. by aepervius · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Once to fall bad apple have been removed, you get the harder to fall bad apple. There is nearly always never good apple. By now "idealist" have long been removed from the cryptocurrency ecosystem, leaving only the pure capitalist. And as human mostly base our capitalist endeaviour on pure greed and have as much as possible. That means that without rules you have only bad apple managing to stay afloat, because their advantage over good apple is too great.

    Heck you can see something similar with banks : remove rules and they try to do incredibly unethical but legal stuff. Sometimes they do it *even* with the rules on. So as long as there is no governmental rules on cryptocurrency, it will stay a wild west where ONLY bad apple & a lot of hacking and fraud occurs, comapred to traditional money processing.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
    1. Re:Hu. No. by war4peace · · Score: 1

      So as long as there is no governmental rules on cryptocurrency, it will stay a wild west where ONLY bad apple & a lot of hacking and fraud occurs, comapred to traditional money processing.

      I have absolutely no problem with that - for the time being.
      Fiat currency started like that too, then more and more rules have been added, the bad currency failed and was excluded, etc.
      2018, and perhaps 2019 will be the year(s) of cryptocurrency maturing. It was, is and will be highly inadvisable to participate to such lawless financial gamble until the market matures. It indeed is a wild west, where the ruthless would gain and everyone else would lose.
      There are methods to protect yourself, though. Nobody can extract money from your virtual currency wallet as long as you have it in the form of an encrypted file on your HDD. But I digress.

      The point is, in time, the market will stabilize and become a valid, safe enough alternative to traditional banking. That time hasn't come yet by any stretch. So if you're skittish, wait it out.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    2. Re:Hu. No. by Srin+Tuar · · Score: 2

      > And as human mostly base our capitalist endeaviour on pure greed and have as much as possible. That means that without rules you have only bad apple managing to stay afloat,

      This is the stupidest thing ive ever seen on slashdot. That is the exaxt opposite of how capitalism works.

    3. Re:Hu. No. by smallfries · · Score: 2

      Wow, what an insightful and detailed response. Look at how much you’ve added to the discussion!

      Capitalism seeks to maximise profit - how is this not greed as the GP stated?
      In the absence of regulation profit maximisation has no ethical or moral constraints. Seems like the GP nailed it.

      --
      Slashdot: where don knuth is an idiot because he cant grasp the awesome power of php
    4. Re:Hu. No. by Comrade+Ogilvy · · Score: 1

      Cryptocurrencies will exercise Gresham's law ("bad money drives out good") in interesting new ways. Bitcoin specifically is going to get hammered from all sides -- beaten up by both bad and good currencies that are technically more convenient and/or superior.

    5. Re:Hu. No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bitcoin still has 400,000 times more hashing power than its nearest competitor, Ethereum.

      It's not going anywhere. It has been here and done this, and all you fools will be kicking yourself for not buying the bottom in a few months.

    6. Re:Hu. No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Another verse of exaltations to the digital purity before us.

    7. Re:Hu. No. by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      Lol, you want regulations on cryptocurrency? The whole reason for its existence is that it is the wild west of avoiding regulated currency.

      Perhaps I misunderstood the point of cryptocurrencies. Or is it more that people want regulations that protect them but hurt others? Sounding more like a real currency every day, actually.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    8. Re:Hu. No. by ctilsie242 · · Score: 1

      Even immensely large endeavors can be abandoned. Myspace comes to mind as something that was considered unassailable, and is now a relative footnote in history.

      This isn't to say that Bitcoin has done wonders... but with the ever increasing cost of doing transactions (and an alpha-level Lightning Network isn't a real fix due to many reasons), there is plenty of room for a new currency, especially one that is ASIC resistant (or perhaps uses a different model like PoC), has anonymity (so someone can't just go through the blockchain and arrest people years after a transaction), ability to scale , and not require the entire blockchain to be parsed in order to ensure that a transaction isn't being double-spent. It would be nice if after a few years, the older transactions on a blockchain would "fall off" and not be needed for anything, going forward, while keeping the core ledger integrity in place.

    9. Re:Hu. No. by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      > the older transactions on a blockchain would "fall off" and not be needed for anything, going forward, while keeping the core ledger integrity in place.

      Hmm, sounds like a bank.

    10. Re:Hu. No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bitcoin "having 400,000 times more hashing power" than some other coin is completely irrelevant.

      You do know that Ethereum - and many "alt"coins - are moving to a PoS system where hashpower has no relevance, right?

    11. Re:Hu. No. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Bitcoin still has 400,000 times more hashing power than its nearest competitor, Ethereum.

      If you dig a one cubic yard hole and then fill it in again and I dig a 400,000 cubic yard hole and then fill it in I'm better?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    12. Re:Hu. No. by war4peace · · Score: 1

      I do not "want" regulated cryptocurrencies, but I am expecting them.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    13. Re:Hu. No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that delegated proof of stake is going to bury Bitcoin. Even with that Lightning Network thing.

  18. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Penis are not operating like a normal bank. Penis are operating more like a central bank, issuing new currency. Making sure the whole crypto community is blessed with increasing prices. Everything to the moon!

    What we do is:
    1. Print USDP (Penis), an asset we pinky swear is backed by USD.
    2. Exchange Penis for crypto currencies, pumping the price of the crypto currency.
    3. Sell the crypto currency for fiat currency.
    4. Place fiat in bank account. Hey look we back our Penis with fiat, we're totes legit.

    Also spoofing, wash trading, selling Penis cheap to buddies in exchanges, killing puppies etc.

    Anyone in the inner circle will have an endless supply of Penis, to manipulate the market any way needed. Join Penis now!

  19. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    HODL PENIS!

  20. Re:DontBeAMoran = fake name massive human fail by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    Yay! Not the mamma! Again! AGAIN!

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  21. US is just a country by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who cares if the US disallows trade. It would only be bad if all countries would do the same - in all other cases there will always be a way to keep trade flowing

  22. What a horrible idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Several companies have tried doing this with gold coins. They don't exist anymore.

  23. count down to "hacked" announcement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We had the money it's just we've been haaacked ... and we're really sorry. BUT WAIT we've found 10% of it so, after expenses, we'll be paying off everyone at 5 cents on the "dollar". See, it all turns out okay in the end. Meanwhile we're starting another coin, this one backed by PORN!!!

  24. Re:DontBeAMoran = fake name massive human fail by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

    One of the best shows ever.

    --
    If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
  25. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by bws111 · · Score: 1

    What are you talking about? How can a bank 'loan more than it receives in deposits'? Where does it get the money to loan?

    Fractional reserve is what allows the banks to make loans. If you deposit $1, the bank can loan out 90 cents, but must keep 10 cents in reserve. The reserve is so they have the cash to give people who make a withdrawal.

  26. Someone Should Start A PennyCoin by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

    And see if they can horde every last penny in their reserves.

  27. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Wycliffe · · Score: 2

    Perhaps I misunderstand, but it sounds like you are missing the point of fractional reserve banking. That means the bank can loan out more than it receives in deposits, with only a fraction of the total outstanding actually in the vault. That's the reserve percentage mandated by the US government.

    Fractional reserve means they only have to keep (reserve) a fraction of the deposits on hand. A bank still cannot print and loan money it doesn't have. The federal government and/or the federal reserve can but a normal bank can't.
    The fractional reserve system is what allows banks to give interest to people who deposit money with them. The alternative to a fractional reserve system is where 100% of the money is always in the bank. Now days, that would be the equivalence of a safety deposit box. The money is yours and the bank isn't allowed to touch it just store it and keep it safe. Fractional reserve started out when some unethical safe operators realized that when multiple people all asked them to store their money for them that the chances of them all asking for it back at once was pretty much zero so they started skimming off the bottom. Today it is legal and that skimming is split and some of the interest is given to the depositor. And again, you can always opt out of the fractional reserve system by using a safety deposit box instead but regardless the bank still never loans out more than the total deposits.

  28. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by reanjr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And what do you think happens when that 90 cents is deposited into the bank? 81 cents of additional loans is created, for a total of $1.71 floating around with only $1 to back it. Then the 81 cents is deposited, and another 72 cents in loans is created. Now you have $2.43 floating around.

    If you don't think banks create money out of thin air, you don't understand fractional reserve banking.

  29. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by reanjr · · Score: 1

    $1 deposited, $0.90 in loans distributed, which gets deposited, and then $0.81 in loans is created, which gets deposited, and then $0.72 in loans is created, which gets deposited, and then $0.64 in loans is created, which gets deposited, and then $0.57 in loans is created, ...

    At this point, the bank had one real dollar deposited and used it to originate 5 different loans totalling $3.64, and it can keep going for some time.

    Poof! Money creation!

  30. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by mujadaddy · · Score: 2
    No, that's incorrect, and GP is trying to let you know how it actually works. From GP's wikipedia article,

    Lord Adair Turner, formerly the UK's chief financial regulator, said "Banks do not, as too many textbooks still suggest, take deposits of existing money from savers and lend it out to borrowers: they create credit and money ex nihilo – extending a loan to the borrower and simultaneously crediting the borrower’s money account".

    --
    Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
    "Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
  31. People are illogical. Also liquidity. by raymorris · · Score: 1

    If it were backed by dollars, meaning that for ever T there was a USD in reserve, that would NOT mean there is always someone willing to pay 1USD for it, and never anyone willing to pay more. The THEORETICAL value is always 1USD, if the company is telling the truth.

    Mutual funds frequently trade a bit below or about above the value of their holdings. Over time, they'll always tend toward near that value as long as buyers trust the company.

    1. Re:People are illogical. Also liquidity. by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      and for the *most* part buying a mutual fund when it's at a discount is a good idea, because you're much more likely to see capital appreciation, and conversely selling when at a premium is a good idea.

      Then you add in all the exceptions to the rule and you get the complexity of the CEF market.

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
  32. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by TheCastro1689 · · Score: 1

    No, you're confusing the money multiplier concept with fractional reserve. Large banks need to keep 10% of the value of money they loan out. So $100 becomes $90 loanable. But the loan is then deposited in lets say another bank or the same, then they can loan out $81 of the $90. As you do this you increase the money supply because every loan means more deposits so we're at $190, this continues until hundreds of dollars are created in loans with with slightly more deposited. You don't get to loan out 10X more money than you have received. You can loan out 90% (or more for smaller banks) than you have in deposits.

  33. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by jbmartin6 · · Score: 1

    Fair enough, *on paper* the bank cannot loan more than it has. But all those deposits don't have to come from outside the bank, as the other commenters point out. An initial deposit of $100 could be loaned out multiple times by the bank, as long as it keeps the reserve requirement in the vault on each pass.

    --
    This posting is provided 'AS IS' without warranty of any kind, implied or otherwise.
  34. Imagination by pubwvj · · Score: 1

    "wiping out billions of dollars of investments overnight"

    They have a magnificent imagination... These "Billions of Dollars of Investments" are fictional. They're not backed by something real like pigs that you can breed, grow and eat. The "investments" are a total fiction. Even the stock market is more real than this and the stock market is very not real.

  35. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by bigdavex · · Score: 1

    This always hurts my head a little bit. It seems like being a bank is literally a license to create money. This is ludicrously profitably, right? A bank could borrow $x at i interest from depositors and loan $x at that same i interest to n borrowers.

    profit = interest collected - interest paid
    profit = nix - ix
    profit = ix(n-1)

    --
    -Dave
  36. I don't get tether at all... by um...+Lucas · · Score: 1

    The summary makes it sound like exchanges are holding Tethers as part of their reserves.

    Why would they do so? What advantage is there to holding a cryptocurrency pegged at $1, to just holding dollars, especially since when your clients cash out, they are also asking for dollars?

    Side note, it shouldn't be that difficult to get and audit done to make sure they have sufficient backing for the currency they issued. Just a quick print out of a bunch of bank statements, or perhaps brokerage statements showing T-Bill holdings is all it would take.

    1. Re:I don't get tether at all... by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm guessing the aim is to create a cryptocurrency rather than cryptoinvestmentvehicle. Right now 99% of cryptocurrencies are useless at the whole "currency" part of their names, because they can't actually be used to conduct transactions. Why not? A combination of sky high transaction fees (in some cases) coupled with extreme volatility (all of them.)

      Once you throw out the idiot libertarian ideology behind cryptocurrencies, you get to the nitty gritty that cryptocurrencies are supposed to be useful as money - that is, as a means of exchange. Currencies that aren't stable are useless. So throwing out the libertarian bullshit and pegging the virtual value of a coin to something real world makes perfect sense.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    2. Re:I don't get tether at all... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What advantage is there to holding a cryptocurrency pegged at $1, to just holding dollars

      Federal regulations (or at least in theory).

    3. Re:I don't get tether at all... by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      > The summary makes it sound like exchanges are holding Tethers as part of their reserves.

      > Why would they do so?

      Avoiding regulation and scrutiny.

      > What advantage is there to holding a cryptocurrency pegged at $1, to just holding dollars, especially since when your clients cash out, they are also asking for dollars?

      If they held dollars in a conventional account they would need to interact with the banking system and its regulations, who would have some opinions about their business.

    4. Re:I don't get tether at all... by um...+Lucas · · Score: 1

      But then you have to trust that the issuer of your virtual currency actually has the means to back it.

      Rather than just trade tokens which are valued for being the tokens that they are, you're trading tokens which COULD be worth what they say they're worth, but they also could not be worth what they're said to be worth.

      It's like depository reciepts from banks in the 1800's. You put gold in. You got a ticket. You can spend the ticket. But can you really turn in the ticket to get your gold back? A pegged currency is akin to that, I think.

      The world has many currencies and things work fine. Software that functions with dollars works with euros. And you exchange when you go to a "zone" (country) that uses that currency. No reason a brand new currency needs to be pegged to an existing currency. The issue is that there will be a huge amount of value created seemingly out of thin air. How to account for it? By expending electricity? By sending dollars to a company who says they'll keep them safe for you? Unless it's the Federal Reserve or a suitably capitalized institution, tether being that credible of a custodian for too long. I could be wrong, though. I'vebeen wrong on lots of things before.

      All I'm saying is that putting aside the libertarian thing is fine. But there's no reason a borderless currency should be pegged in value to any national currency. So if you accept that, then you need to accept that it'll take the "market" time to figure out how to value this new currency.

      I fully agree that Bitcoin is not it, though. And its holders, I mean, HODLers accept that too, many refuse to actually spend it, use it as a currency, and just refer to it as digital gold, and are fine with a payment network with crushing fees. That's fine. They were first to market, but they'll lose the race probably. I think a new one (or maybe on the already existing ones) will arise that is built for transacting, and will attract people who want to transact rather than attempt to hoard or get rich quick. But alas, we're still in the wild west days, people staking claims all over in hope that they'll strike it rich. Soon, I hope people change their mindset and try to build a new economy or economic engine. But that'll take time.

  37. The Root of the Matter by careysub · · Score: 1

    If traders lose faith in tether...

    Any system trading in hundred of billions of dollars (or even ones that don't) are at perilous risk if the depend on people's faith in a private company, that was just recently created, and operates without significant oversight.

    --
    Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
  38. worried shill by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    So a Tether shill is worried about a cryptocurrency most of us never even heard of until 2 minutes ago, and is trying to deceive us into thinking that a crackdown on Tether which claims real cash reserves, for the reason that it claims having equal cash reserves, would have any bearing whatsoever on most cryptocurrencies which do not make such a claim.

    Laughable. No it doesn't matter what happens to Tether, your pet cryptocash can burn the ground without affecting anything else.

  39. DIY Cryptocurrency Mining... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you want to get in on the cryptocurrency mining scene, you need a good motherboard that allows for multiple GPUs: ASRock H110 Pro BTC+, ASUS B250, Biostar TB350-BTC, and GIGABYTE GA-H110-D3A.

  40. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by JonnyCalcutta · · Score: 1

    As has been pointed out above, this is not actually how banks work these days. Yes, they are required by law to hold 'reserves' - which are determined as a percentage of their loan values - but they do not create their loans from deposits. When you take out a loan from a bank they actually create that money (from thin air) by creating a deposit in your account.

    This is a fact, which makes it very worrying that even economists are still taught the myth of 'fractional reserve banking'

  41. Trust me by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

    I've also started a new cryptocurrency, and it's called "Bridgecoin".

    Each coin is backed by a share of ownership in a bridge in Brooklyn.

    1. Re:Trust me by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      Oh snap! That should pair nicely with my mooncoin, backed by land on the moon!

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    2. Re:Trust me by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      Please, BridgeCoin's got nothing on PonziCoin

      --

      Enigma

  42. SCAMS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All current crypto currencies are scams. They are either a scam by individuals to get money from you or they are a scam by the central banks to indoctrinate you into accepting them.

    Eventually, lawmakers will outlaw crypto currencies and offer their own, at which time everybody will be a slave to those that run it.

    It's far too much power in far too few hands. As many have said, "Revolution is REQUIRED if that happens."

  43. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by JonnyCalcutta · · Score: 1

    No. In the modern age a bank doesn't wait until it has enough deposits to enable them to lend more money. They create the money for your loan from nothing - simply by depositing it in your account (electronically - no cash needed). Now that they have created the money for your loan they check that they have enough in the reserves to cover their legal requirements, if they don't they borrow what they need in the form of inter-bank loans (at much lower interest rates than you or I would ever get).

    The point being, deposits have no bearing on how much a bank can lend - this is a myth. Banks create money when they issue loans. Banks borrow money when they need to top up their reserves. At no time does a modern bank take your deposit and lend it to someone else.

  44. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    There's no profit because they create same amount of debt at the same time. Debts + assets remain zero.

  45. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Srin+Tuar · · Score: 1

    > Fractional reserve means they only have to keep (reserve) a fraction of the deposits on hand. A bank still cannot print and loan money it doesn't have

    Reserve ratios are just a cap on exactly how much money they can print. If loans get repaid, they can create a theoretically infinite amount of money. Likewise, if a loan is forgiven, the limit is also easily broken, because the destruction mechanism is skipped and the loaned amount becomes permanent.

  46. cryptocurrency "bank run" = video card dumping! by disgruntledlurker · · Score: 2

    I've been holding off building a computer for my son because I can't get a hold of a video card. As such, I'm all for a cryptocurrency bank run. It is all a speculation bubble anyways.

    1. Re:cryptocurrency "bank run" = video card dumping! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Using video cards for Bitcoin mining is not energy efficient anymore: You'll spend more in electricity then you can theoretically make from mining.

  47. Wild West is what we want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So as long as there is no governmental rules on cryptocurrency, it will stay a wild west where ONLY bad apple & a lot of hacking and fraud occurs, comapred to traditional money processing.

    I think nearly everyone who is excited about crytocurrency accepts that "hacking and fraud" will happen at the user level (i.e. people can be tricked into giving away their keys) and that this is the case for both cryptocurrencies any anything else that is accessed by computer. We're ok with things that can be compromised by computer compromises, because we think we protect our computers better than laymen do. If you wanna call that arrogance, fine, but I have a perfect track record since I got on the Internet in 1991, so far.

    Second, it is (by now) very clear that the other aspect of hacking and fraud involves exchanges. If your use of cryptocurrency requires conversion to other currencies, then exchanges are a convenient approach, but apparently nearly every exchange has suffered "hacking and fraud" such that I cannot think of any exchange that I would be willing to use. But it's important to note that "The Vision" for using this stuff, involves extremely infrequent conversion. Maybe you have to use an exchange initially to get some of the currency, but as long as you're both spending and selling, you might never need to get dollars and euros involved. Just like how a dollar user can easily get through life without ever bothering with euros (and vice versa) if a cryptocurrency gets sufficiently popular, it could theoretically be used that way as well. (And honestly, that's pretty much the only use case that I think is interesting.)

    100% of the "hacking and fraud" that has happened with exchanges, is already illegal and nobody has ever suggested or thought of a single regulation that might possible improve it. The oldest law of trade, "Caveat emptor" is still the best. If an exchange doesn't prove itself trustworthy (and AFAIK to-date not a insgle one has) then you know you're taking a risk. If you have an idea, let's hear it, but please first ask yourself "does this protect against something that's already illegal?"

    As for "hacking and fraud" on the system itself, though, AFAIK the only problem I have heard about yet, is the 51% attack. And that sucks, but you can't fix that with laws. But make no mistake: the big vision is that cryptocurrencies can be designed where we think users can win. Bitcoin just might not be it. We'll see.

    Regardless, I think that additional laws cannot possibly help this stuff in any way. All they can do is interfere with non-fraudulent uses, because the laws would almost certainly be intended not to protect against fraud, but to return control to governments in order to restrict trade, and denying this power to governments is a big part of the point, to many of us. I will happliy give up any fraud-protection laws (especially since nobody has any reason to suspect they would help prevent fraud anyway) to keep government from being able to prevent cryptocurrency transfers.

    I think no government can ever possibly become as trustworthy as a well-vetted design. You people are still trying to learn how to make a trustworthy government after thousands of years of trying, and you've never exceeded "laughably horrible." Cryptocurrencies are only about ten years old and they've nearly caught up. Twenty years from now, I think I know which approach will have been proven superior.

    1. Re:Wild West is what we want by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      I think the most concerning fraud is not exchanges that are hacked, but exchanges themselves that are committing fraud under the guise of "we were hacked!" With the amount of real world money being thrown around out here, it isn't just more likely, its inevitable.

      Also, are fraudlent ICOs, ones that take the money and run. But, I suspect those are mostly driven by the same idiots that invest in companies that add "blockchain" to their names for no reason.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    2. Re:Wild West is what we want by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      > 100% of the "hacking and fraud" that has happened with exchanges, is already illegal and nobody has ever suggested or thought of a single regulation that might possible improve it. The oldest law of trade, "Caveat emptor" is still the best. If an exchange doesn't prove itself trustworthy (and AFAIK to-date not a insgle one has) then you know you're taking a risk. If you have an idea, let's hear it, but please first ask yourself "does this protect against something that's already illegal?"

      Riddle me this Batman: why does FDA inspect manufacturing processes of pharmaceutical plants for safety, if selling bad drugs is already illegal?

    3. Re:Wild West is what we want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > 100% of the "hacking and fraud" that has happened with exchanges, is already illegal and nobody has ever suggested or thought of a single regulation that might possible improve it. The oldest law of trade, "Caveat emptor" is still the best. If an exchange doesn't prove itself trustworthy (and AFAIK to-date not a insgle one has) then you know you're taking a risk. If you have an idea, let's hear it, but please first ask yourself "does this protect against something that's already illegal?"

      Riddle me this Batman: why does FDA inspect manufacturing processes of pharmaceutical plants for safety, if selling bad drugs is already illegal?

      Because it helps the FDA justify its existence and therefore its budget. This in turn increases the power and income of those that head the department as well as their closest connections.

    4. Re:Wild West is what we want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Riddle me this Batman: why does FDA inspect manufacturing processes of pharmaceutical plants for safety, if selling bad drugs is already illegal?

      Because evil/arrogant people like to tell other people exactly what to do. They're less interested in results and more interested in enforcing "my way or the highway."

      (Why do you ask?)

  48. Best example of it by aepervius · · Score: 1

    "In the absence of regulation profit maximisation has no ethical or moral constraints. "

    Indeed : externalities. Without rules and EPA, guess who would polute and reject all their waste in the local river ? If there is no rules, then profit maximization occurs, ethics be damned.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  49. Where's the bad stuff? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I read the article and it didn't say why a Tether collapse would be bad for cryptocurrency. The closest it came was this:

    If traders lose faith in tether, they could end up triggering the crypto version of a bank run. Tether helps stabilize cryptocurrency exchanges in various ways, so its collapse could also cause some exchanges to topple, wiping out billions of dollars of investments overnight and potentially undoing much of the publicâ(TM)s growing interest in new technologies like bitcoin.

    Let's say that happens. So what? I don't care if the weirdos who invest in cryptocurrencies lose their shirts. That's not what cryptocurrency is for. All that users want is long-term stability, and it seems that speculators have been the enemy of that goal, having fucked things up for regular users who just want a convenient and interference-resistant way to transact business.

    I almost think a collapse would be good for cryptocurrencies, because it would get the weirdos out so things could finally get back to "normal."

    Disagree? Answer me this: do you invest in dollars?

    (I'll presume no.) Suppose there was a recent fad where fuckwits were "investing" in dollars so there were wild swings in what a dollar buys. A loaf of bread was $1 one day, then $0.20 the next, then $3 next week. How would you feel if the greedy asshole dollar speculators all got screwed and then went away, poorer, unhappy, and forever-after afraid of dollars? Would that ruin the dollar in your opinion, or would that save the dollar, so that you could go back to using it again?

    BTW, Tether will collapse. Their fear of auditors tells you enough. It's a scam and you're dealing with assholes and criminals. The sooner they're gone, the better for everyone else.

  50. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by bigdavex · · Score: 1

    Thanks.

    Does the Federal Reserve collect the interest on that debt?

    --
    -Dave
  51. Show me the might of the US government by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 1

    Except one of them is backed by the might of the United States government

    Is the dollar really backed by the might of the US government? I have seen inflation all my life. I don't even get to point my finger at a one particular party or president (unless I once again just lump 'em into "Republicrats").

    If the US government has the power to protect the dollar, it hasn't been using it. So it effectively doesn't exist.

    Not that I'm really complaining about dollars (it happens to be my most-convenient, favorite currency), but I think most of dollars' utility is coming from its users' faith. And if the US government is playing a role, it's in opposition to the dollar, and they're the ones who are generally responsible for inflation!

    --
    "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    1. Re: Show me the might of the US government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Inflation is intentionally introduced to many currencies at 1-3% per year, which strikes a balance between stability and encouraging people to spend money.

      The US government goes not want you to sit on your money, but they still want people to have confidence in the USD. The strength of this guarantee has made the USD one of the most popular currencies in the world.

    2. Re:Show me the might of the US government by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      > Is the dollar really backed by the might of the US government?

      Sure is, because the wealthy people who strongly influence the government have a very strong interest in the stability and capability of the dollar and associated financial system.

      > I have seen inflation all my life. I don't even get to point my finger at a one particular party or president (unless I once again just lump 'em into "Republicrats").

      And, so what? Is 'protecting the dollar' targeting a 0% inflation rate? Why? Protecting the dollar means that dollar-based banks and investments don't suddenly collapse.

      > If the US government has the power to protect the dollar, it hasn't been using it. So it effectively doesn't exist.

      Sure seems to work well enough that even Russian oligarchs from a hostile country would rather keep their money in dollars rather than roubles.

    3. Re:Show me the might of the US government by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      Is the dollar really backed by the might of the US government? I have seen inflation all my life.

      You completely failed to provide any reason that your second sentence is in any way related to your question.

  52. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by sexconker · · Score: 1

    Normally I'd pile on and call you a fucking moron, but the banking system is so fucked I wouldn't expect anyone to believe it could operate that way it does until they were explicitly made aware of how absurd it is.

    The entire US economy's size is inflated many times over because of shit like this.

  53. Penis by nitehawk214 · · Score: 0

    Penis

    --
    I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
  54. Re:DontBeAMoran = fake name massive human fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry everyone, my Tourette's is acting up again.

    APK

  55. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Do you think money is only real when it is printed?

  56. Or perhaps, by mbkennel · · Score: 1

    "The entire US economy's size is inflated many times over because of shit like this."

    So, if a non-shit banking reduced the economy by a factor of 5----hmm, I think I'm all for scatological finance.

    1. Re:Or perhaps, by sexconker · · Score: 1

      It would be far better to be at the true size, backed by actual funds than to be at an inflated size, risking a huge collapse.

    2. Re:Or perhaps, by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Nope. You want to pay banks to hold your money? You want to have to find individual contributors if you want to start a business or buy a car? What happens is that banks can lend out money people have deposited, gaining an income stream and offering a single point of lending. This means that they don't have cash reserves equal to the amount of deposits, so it's theoretically possible that too many depositors would want to withdraw their money.

      In the old times, this could lead to a "run on the bank", in which some people would get the feeling that the bank wasn't healthy and withdraw their money, and then the bank would look shakier and more people would, and run the bank out of money reserves. Given protection like FDIC against such runs, people seem very happy to leave their savings there for long periods of time, and we do not in practice have problems.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    3. Re:Or perhaps, by sexconker · · Score: 1

      That's not the issue. Standard fractional reserve is not the issue. The issue is banks literally creating money out of debt, from nothing.

  57. And defaults destroy money then, by mbkennel · · Score: 1

    if lending creates money, customers defaulting on the loan and the bank writing it off destroys money. That's why in a recession/depression the central bank attempts to encourage money creation---to counteract money destruction.

    1. Re:And defaults destroy money then, by Srin+Tuar · · Score: 2

      > And the bank writing it off destroys money.

      It does not., it only destroys the debt.

      Think about it: the loaned dollars could be in cash form, converted to liquid commodities or simply deposited in another bank.

  58. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by smugfunt · · Score: 1

    The fractional reserve and the loanable funds theories of banking are both wrong.

    How Do Banks Create Money?

    JohnnyCalcutta is correct, someone mod him up.

  59. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by mbkennel · · Score: 1

    in the USA:

    The US Treasury and other government and quasi-government agencies, (GNMA, FHLB are Federal, GNMA/FNMA are semi-Federal) not the Federal Reserve, issues debt.

    The Fed does buy up some of this debt and issues cash. It increases the balances in the Federal government's "checking account" by computer. Cash has been created. US government uses it for operations. The Fed owns the debt, and the US government is obligated to pay interest and principal upon maturity on that debt which the Fed collects, by transferring money out of the accounts the US Treasury have with the Fed. (The Fed is the banker to the Federal government). The Fed also pays the US Mint for physical currency.

    The interest on owned securities is a gross profit to the Fed. The net profit of the Fed, after costs---paying economists, administrators and regulators---is gifted to the US Treasury by law and not distributed to management or shareholders.

    BTW, this makes it clear that the Federal Reserve is de facto a government, not a private, institution even though private banks nominally own shares in it. Unlike a private company it was created by a Federal law, it has powers and responsibilities not given to private companies, and the management are controlled by the US government, and the government owns all profits. Control over management and ownership of profits is ownership.

  60. unless you're a criminal by mbkennel · · Score: 1

    in which case dollars in 'not a regulated bank' are more valuable.

    1. Re:unless you're a criminal by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Why? I have money in a regulated bank. I can get cash or write checks or do electronic transfers as I please, with low transaction fees (if there are any), and it's accepted almost everywhere because it's dollars. How would money not in a regulated bank be more valuable?

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    2. Re:unless you're a criminal by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      I'm not seeing how you arrived at that conclusion.

      Your holdings in the "unregulated bank" bounce up and down hugely in value from day to day (bitcoin currently down to $9K), can take days to "withdraw" when network congested, and are not insured against loss or theft, and are outlawed in some countries with more countries considering it.

      My bank account has none of those problems.

  61. So ironic by SoftwareArtist · · Score: 2

    We've been told that "fiat currencies" are bad because a government can print more money whenever they want, deflating the money people already hold. You can't trust it to keep its value. The solution is cryptocurrency! The supply is strictly controlled by an algorithm, so you can trust it to hold its value.

    And what happens in practice? Cryptocurrencies are incredibly volatile. You can't rely on them at all. So instead someone creates a "stablecoin" that really does hold its value. And the way they do that is... by tying it to a fiat currency.

    The irony is just incredible.

    --
    "I'm too busy to research this and form an educated opinion, but I do have time to tell everyone my uninformed opinion."
    1. Re:So ironic by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Thing is, there's no limit on starting new cryptocurrencies. Therefore, the fact that there will only be so many Bitcoin is not as relevant, because I can always issue Mycoin as a cryptocurrency.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    2. Re: So ironic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. That is the future of ecoins. They are fucking airline miles or credit card points. Severely limited, impractical in general and an illusory thing yiu hope to benefit from... If you aren't paying extra for the flight in the first place vs airline #3.

      An ecoin exchange is a legitimate thing if the coins are nearly worthless. If they are worth tens of millions, scammers gonna scam.

  62. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by q4Fry · · Score: 1

    Banks absolutely create money out thin air, but if you re-read GP, his complaint is with a bank 'loan[ing] more than it receives in deposits.'

    When you deposit that 90 cents and make 81 cents more available to loan, I imagine GP is considering the 90 cents to be a deposit. (If not, and he doesn't understand fractional reserve banking, the following still holds true.)

    $1 backing
    $1 + $.90 in the bank as deposits
    $1 + $.90 + $.81 "on paper"
    $.90 + $.81 as loans

    $1 + $.90 (deposits) is still more than $.90 + $.81 (loans). This continues to work even if you turtle the loans all the way down to infinitesimal fractions of a cent.

  63. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Perhaps I misunderstand, but it sounds like you are missing the point of fractional reserve banking. That means the bank can loan out more than it receives in deposits, with only a fraction of the total outstanding actually in the vault. That's the reserve percentage mandated by the US government.

    Fractional reserve means they only have to keep (reserve) a fraction of the deposits on hand. A bank still cannot print and loan money it doesn't have. The federal government and/or the federal reserve can but a normal bank can't.
    The fractional reserve system is what allows banks to give interest to people who deposit money with them. The alternative to a fractional reserve system is where 100% of the money is always in the bank. Now days, that would be the equivalence of a safety deposit box. The money is yours and the bank isn't allowed to touch it just store it and keep it safe. Fractional reserve started out when some unethical safe operators realized that when multiple people all asked them to store their money for them that the chances of them all asking for it back at once was pretty much zero so they started skimming off the bottom. Today it is legal and that skimming is split and some of the interest is given to the depositor. And again, you can always opt out of the fractional reserve system by using a safety deposit box instead but regardless the bank still never loans out more than the total deposits.

    Not bad to be honest but a few caveats:
    1) A bank never loans out more than the total deposits but it does loan out more than it has in a sense in that it engages in unsound banking. A modern banks assets do not balance its liabilities.
    2) Today it is legal (arguable) but, to be clear, this does not diffuse your earlier point that the practice is unethical. Banks effectively engage in fraud as they knowingly allow their customers to think that the customer has "money in the bank" when in fact they just have a complex legal agreement with the bank which involves a figure which corresponds to some money the bank may give them under certain circumstances.
    3) It is misleading to suggest that the opposite of a fractional reserve system is one in which lending cannot take place. It is valid to lend money to a financial institution and earn money on the interest but this would necessarily mean forgoing instant access to the money lent. Further, such a system would admit non-fraudulent analogues of modern banking: interest-like schemes where you can give money today and call on money in the future with a chance of getting more money, but this wouldn't be banking so much as gambling.

  64. Re: cryptocurrency "bank run" = video card dumping by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It doesn't matter if it's not you that's paying for the electricity.

  65. Subpeona not new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FYI, this is not new, the subpoenas were sent on Dec 6th, more that 6 weeks ago Bloomberg recently updated their article to indicate this fact.

  66. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Banks don't create money arbitrarily. They are required by law to have certain reserves, so they can create no more money than they have reserves for.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  67. Re: cryptocurrency "bank run" = video card dumping by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Heck, mining with software written in Javascript and running on a browser can be profitable, as long as it's on somebody else's computer.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  68. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why are you spamming that same reply? If they have zero deposits they can't loan anything out (legally).

    Other wise we have this
    1 2 3 4 5
    Everyone else is saying the three is in the middle, but you are saying it is third from the right.

    Get over yourself.

  69. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

    $1 deposited, $0.90 in loans distributed, which gets deposited, and then $0.81 in loans is created, which gets deposited, and then $0.72 in loans is created, which gets deposited, and then $0.64 in loans is created, which gets deposited, and then $0.57 in loans is created, ...

    At this point, the bank had one real dollar deposited and used it to originate 5 different loans totalling $3.64, and it can keep going for some time.

    Poof! Money creation!

    In theory this could work but who borrows money and deposits it back in a bank? The people borrowing are not generally the same people doing the depositing.

  70. Re:"If tethers are not backed by a matching number by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

    Do you think money is only real when it is printed?

    No, I didn't mean to imply that. I was saying that a bank can't loan out or create money it doesn't have. Only the federal government and/or federal reserve can. Even without a reserve requirement, the maximum a normal bank can loan out is 100% of the money it has on deposit which would in theory create a maximum 200% of the money because it has $1M on deposit and $1M loaned out. The only way it could go above 200% would be if it started borrowing money from elsewhere against its own assets.

  71. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by JonnyCalcutta · · Score: 1

    That's not how it works in practice (in the UK anyway and I've not reason to believe its different in the US). Yes, banks are required to have reserves based on a percentage of their lending, but they do in fact create money arbitrarily. Banks do not build up reserves and then lend money based on those reserves. Banks create loans first and then they ensure they have enough reserves to stay lawful. If banks need to create more reserves to cover loans they simply borrow the needed money using an intra-bank loan (mucho cheap, see LIBOR)

  72. And? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why Tether's Collapse Would Be Bad For Cryptocurrencies

    And I should give a flying fuck because ...?

    I hope it is bad for cryptocurrencies. I also hope it takes down the tulip bulb cartels, too.

    Anyone else here old enough to remember the .com bubble v1.0? Companies like JDS Uniphase? And those companies actually had products. What the fuck value add is there to a cryptocurrency that should result in it's founders becoming billionaires?

    Pop goes the bubble.

  73. Can I buy a video card yet? by p0larity · · Score: 1

    Yeah I'm holding off on buying a good video card until I can pay a non-inflated price for one. I'm not holding my breath, though. I think this whole race will get a lot weirder before it gets better. On the good side, the next generation of cards might push down the current generation enough to be usable. Game developers can no longer rely on a reasonable amount of people to have the new cards. So their "High" settings will have to be a generation older than usual, and the "Ultra" setting had better run at least well on this generation in 4k.

  74. ASICS by p0larity · · Score: 1

    Sooner or later ASICS will cause the difficulty of Etherium and other alt coins to skyrocket too. So maybe at that point the used video cards will dump onto eBay and after a few months of not selling at dumb prices there might actually be decently priced ones.

    I'm guessing I'll buy a nice 1080 by about 2020.

  75. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by reanjr · · Score: 1

    There may be intermediaries, but the money almost always ends up back in a bank account somewhere. So you borrow money to build a house, then you pay the contractors and hardware stores, then they deposit the money in their bank. They then pay their people and suppliers, who deposit the money into their banks. Then they buy goods and services from stores who put the money into their banks. Pretending there is only one bank involved in the process makes it easier to describe, but it doesn't fundamentally change the dynamics of money creation.

  76. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by reanjr · · Score: 1

    And that money the bank borrows to cover their loans? That money is loaned out on the same fractional reserve. You are playing semantic games, but not describing a process that is fundamentally different from that which I described.

  77. Re: "If tethers are not backed by a matching numbe by JonnyCalcutta · · Score: 1

    No, you are just missing the point. They don't count their reserves and then lend based on how much they have in reserve. They don't borrow money and then lend out a certain percentage. They don't take deposits and lend it out whilst keeping a certain percentage. They don't consider reserves at all when they lend/make money. They can make as much money as they want, so long as they have customers to lend it to - without any consideration of what 'reserves' they have.

    For each loan they simply make an entry in their books and a similar entry in your account. Then, at the end of the each period they figure out what reserves they need and any shortfall in their reserves is put in via an intra-bank loan. They lend without consideration of reserves (e.g how much money they currently have) hence it is arbitrary. The whole idea of reserves is like Trumps hair - it looks good as long as you don't look to closely.