Slashdot Mirror


Ford's Badly Needed Plan To Catch Up On Hybrid, Electric Cars (arstechnica.com)

Ford supposedly has a plan to adapt to the changing world of transportation. The company recently announced that it's "going all-in on hybrids," readying six new battery electric vehicles by 2022, with the first due in 2020, and adding more performance versions of its SUV line up. "Additionally, by the end of 2019, every new Ford will have 4G LTE connectivity, and the company is developing a new cloud platform that will deliver over-the-air updates," reports Ars Technica. From the report: New hybrids: "Hybrids for years have been mostly niche products but are now on the cusp of a mainstream breakout," said Jim Farley, Ford president of global markets. "The valuable capability they offer -- plus fuel efficiency -- is why we're going to offer hybrid variants of our most popular and high-volume vehicles, allowing our loyal, passionate customers to become advocates for the technology." So America's best-selling truck (the F-150) will get the ability to act as a mobile generator, something that should come in handy on job sites. Meanwhile, the Mustang will have performance to match the 5.0L V8 version but with more low-down torque, according to Ford. The company says that these new hybrids will be cheaper and more efficient than its current hybrids, via "common cell and component design and by manufacturing motors, transmissions, and battery packs."

New BEVs: We have to wait for those new BEVs, too. The first of these -- an electric performance SUV -- also shows up in 2020, but with five more planned between then and 2022. Ford says that it's "rethinking the ownership experience" as part of this and that over-the-air software updates to add new features will be part of the $11 billion investment plan.

More SUVs, more commercial vehicles, a super Mustang: Other new vehicles on the way include a reborn Ford Bronco SUV and an as-yet unnamed small SUV, but before then we'll get redesigned Explorers and Escapes, due in 2019. Next year, Ford will also bring a new Transit van to the US, and it says advanced driver-assistance systems, like automatic emergency braking and others, will be added to future commercial vehicles like the future E-Series, F-650, F-750, and F59-based vehicles.

181 comments

  1. So long as... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I don't need to call tech support while crusing down the road at 120kph for 2 hours until I get a connection to the internet in order to stop my car, we'll be good. (Read: FU Benz, FU).

    Call me a luddite, but I much prefer cars that have mechanical linkages and less software. Generally speaking, the mechanical engineers have a few hundred years of mistakes and experience under their belt. Software developers on the other hand are drunk on the gold rush of disruption and won't stay up thinking about my safety after their nightly hookers and blow and government regulators won't put them in jail for fear of dampening the hysteria.

    1. Re:So long as... by aix+tom · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It's not really a software / hardware distinction, the problem is more how complicated it gets. When we switched from relay logic to software logic in the production lines I was working on in the 1980 and 1990 the fault rate went way down, because less things were able to break. Plus you didn't have to re-wire the entire cabinet when the logic changed, you could just copy over the software. But of course those processor maybe had 512 bits of input and 128 bits of output, and the software consisted of maybe a few thousand and/or logic instructions and perhaps 1028 bits of RAM to store intermediate results. (and yes, i *mean* 0/1 bits, not bytes or anything else)

      But yes, anything that has anything that's even remotely in the the area of "over the air" ... something is *way* to complicated to be trusted with operating machinery in my opinion.

    2. Re:So long as... by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      Luddite!! :)

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    3. Re: So long as... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The hookers and blow is silicone valley. Software like what your talking about is developed elsewhere, thank goodness.

    4. Re:So long as... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your a luddite.

    5. Re: So long as... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, just recall these Toyota micro controllers that accelerate some of the cars spontaneously. Very developed indeed.

    6. Re:So long as... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      IF their new F150 is just a generator and all electric drive train, and has the capability to haul a camper and pull a boat that I've added extra batteries to, then I think I've found my next vacation vehicle.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  2. the grail by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1, Interesting

    ...would be a genuine low emissions, super high efficiency diesel engine under the hydrid package. Good electronics and battery tech mean you could optimize the diesel's operating parameters.

    1. Re:the grail by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Informative

      ...would be a genuine low emissions, super high efficiency diesel engine under the hydrid package. Good electronics and battery tech mean you could optimize the diesel's operating parameters.

      Diesels depend on being hot. They are utterly unsuited to a hybrid duty cycle. The only company that has a diesel worth using in a light car is Subaru, since they've got a Boxer and it doesn't have to be stupidly heavy to cancel vibrations because it does that naturally. And they have never bothered to sell it here in the states.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:the grail by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 2

      ...would be a genuine low emissions, super high efficiency diesel engine under the hydrid package. Good electronics and battery tech mean you could optimize the diesel's operating parameters.

      Don't say that word! That's the one word that the Knight of the Ni Automobile Industry can't hear right now!

      Lots of folk have looked for the Holy Grail . . . and the results have been . . . well . . . not so great. When Ford says they are "going all-in on hybrids", it sounds to me like they are making a risky bet, with unsure hands. I'd rather hear them say something like, "we have solid plans for the long-term success of our coming hybrid products."

      Taking risky bets is what business, especially venture capitalism is all about. However, when a venture capital business fails, the investors lose. If Ford fails, the US taxpayer will be on the hook, because Ford is too big to fail.

      Yeah, bailing out GM was maybe a good idea . . . but the government did not force them to ditch the executives who made all the bad decisions. The same thing happened on Wall Street.

      We'll just have to wait and see what they roll out . . . and if potential customers like what they see.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    3. Re: the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peugeot had diesel hybrids for a while. Almost nobody bought them: too expensive and not much more efficient than a normal diesel.

    4. Re: the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Subaru still exists?

    5. Re: the grail by rukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Subaru still exists?

      Subaru is all over the place here in northern New England where affordable 4-wheel drive is in high demand.

    6. Re: the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here in The Netherlands, it seems as though they vanished from the Earth years ago. I see Lamborghinis and Ferraris more often than Subarus these days.

    7. Re:the grail by AmiMoJo · · Score: 0, Troll

      Hybrids are a waste of time at this point. Pure electric is the way forward, with a rapid charger network and a few ICE models for edge cases.

      Ford still have no clue. They are trying to retrofit this tech to existing models. Every EV that is just an ICE with an electric drive train fitted is crap.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    8. Re: the grail by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Subaru still exists?

      Here in northern Arizona, Subaru has most of the SUVs that aren't Toyotas.

    9. Re:the grail by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      At least we need single drive train hybrids to ease us through the transition to pure electric. Why are today's hybrids so overcomplicated?

    10. Re:the grail by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Hybrids are a waste of time at this point.

      Bollocks.

      Pure electric is the way forward, with a rapid charger network and a few ICE models for edge cases.

      Yes, but that network won't be built rapidly.

      What's going to happen — every single automaker is making it happen right now so it really is a foregone conclusion — is that more models will get full hybrid and plugin hybrid options, but virtually all models will become "mild" hybrids with a belt-driven 48V starter-generator-motor. It will be used for off-the-line acceleration, torque fill, and so on, and it will make auto-stop-start seamless and efficient. It enables regenerative braking during congested driving without requiring carrying a massive and heavy battery pack, or even making any substantial platform changes. And since it replaces both the starter and alternator with a single unit with complexity comparable to the alternator, it actually improves the reliability of the engine accessory components.

      I agree that full EVs are the way forward, but the batteries have some way to go yet, and the grid has even further. I do believe that EVs already suit the needs of many people, but they also do not suit the needs of many people.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    11. Re:the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are announcing that their first-generation BEV will be available in 2020. First gen. They are nowhere near catching up to anyone on anything.

    12. Re: the grail by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Here in The Netherlands, it seems as though they vanished from the Earth years ago. I see Lamborghinis and Ferraris more often than Subarus these days.

      It probably has something to do with your taxation schemes. Subarus aren't expensive vehicles. If you have to pay a big lump of tax on your car, and you want AWD, you will be thinking about something more spendy — like an Audi. Or, I suppose, a Lamborghini-shaped Audi.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    13. Re: the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with flat boxer diesels is that they are heavy due to needing to be built heavy to withstand operating pressures, and that you have two each of the big heavy bits instead of only one; cylinders, cylinder heads, and crankcase halves.

    14. Re:the grail by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Hybrids are a waste of time at this point. Pure electric is the way forward

      That's like saying SUVs are a waste of time at this point, and hatchbacks are the way forward. You completely ignore a whole lot of use cases that will always depend on a combustion engine backup.

      Yes electric is the way forward. But you're brain is not functional if it comes up with the idea that it will cover every use case.

    15. Re:the grail by Barsteward · · Score: 2

      Regarding the grid - are you talking about the US grid? The UK grid have said they can deal with EVs with no problems even for the super chargers. The plan is to have a large battery that charges the cars and the grid charges the battery so there are no spikes.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    16. Re: the grail by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      We dont make diesel engines heavy to "cancel vibrations;" we make them heavy because of their massive compression ratios.

    17. Re:the grail by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      It's funny that Tesla built a massive network from nothing in a few years and people still insist that it's impossible to quickly build a massive network. And Tesla already said that they will share if other manufacturers want in on it. Not to mention that Nissan has built nationwide networks, Renault has been in on it, various independent networks exist...

      Also, the Truck market is deal for home charging. People in city apartments are not the main customers of trucks, it's people in places where they have a driveway and the need for a truck.

      In any case, a much better option than a complex hybrid drivetrain is a range extender, basically an on-board generator. If you absolutely have to burn fossil fuel that's the way to do it. Much less complex, can run at maximum efficiency all the time and can be much smaller than a massive and heavy combustion engine.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    18. Re:the grail by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      You completely ignore a whole lot of use cases that will always depend on a combustion engine backup.

      No I didn't. Go check, I'll wait. I said keep around ICE for those relatively limited cases where pure EV isn't suitable.

      Instead of investing all that money and effort into complex hybrid systems, throw it all at EVs and infrastructure. Many of the kind of people who really need ICE mostly don't want a complex hybrid system anyway, they want something simple that they can maintain and fix themselves.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    19. Re:the grail by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 0

      "the way forward" is a Leninist catch phrase. Taken to the furthest degree by the Stalinists who followed. It's the sort of catch-phrase that you used to mostly only hear in Marxist Study Centers where they were strategizing how to take over the Pipefitter's Local.

    20. Re: the grail by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0

      Who else would dominate car sales to lesbians? It's a niche market, but one they own!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    21. Re:the grail by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Tesla built a boutique network that went where the going was easy. What they did can't scale to the whole world.

      Put another way, Tesla has nabbed low-growing fruit. Probably going forward that will be the basis of any future profit for the company.

    22. Re:the grail by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0, Troll

      Yes, yes, worship Tesla! Do you realize that every single Tesla built to date - over the entire 15 year history of the car - doesn't add up to the number of F series trucks Ford sold in the last 4 months? Consumers are moving a lot slower than you demand, and unless Ford wants to end up with Tesla - losing money on every unit they sell, junk-bond ratings - they should continue with their methodical approach of IC, hybrids, and EVs (yes, they offer all 3, and actually have two of the top 10 selling EVs), and let the market move the ratios.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    23. Re:the grail by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Instead of investing all that money and effort into complex hybrid systems, throw it all at EVs and infrastructure.

      Who's throwing all this money around? One big central authority? Maybe we can design it in such a fashion that it's too big to fail?

    24. Re:the grail by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      If Ford fails, the US taxpayer will be on the hook, because Ford is too big to fail.

      In the economic bailout of the recent past recession, Ford was the only big automaker who didn't require or accept a government bailout. In fact, they weren't too big to fail, nor did they fail.

      Government Motors and Fiat on the other hand, needed trussing up.

    25. Re:the grail by Rei · · Score: 1

      They built a network everywhere people were buying their cars. More to the point, the fact that it took a few years is misleading because for most of that time, Tesla was a smaller company. Nearly a third of the number of Supercharger stalls that exist today were built since the Model 3 launch last summer. And now that Tesla has decided to raise supercharger rates to fund a faster expansion, that construction rate should increase yet again.

      --
      Is your job to sit under bridges and jump out at unsuspecting travellers?
    26. Re:the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder how tiny diesels can get... perhaps a tiny always-on one coupled with a hybrid system... battery powers you when you need it (acceleration from 0 to 60), but for constant cruising on highway, you're limited to say 50hp.

    27. Re:the grail by Junta · · Score: 1

      Massive? I just checked, there's exactly 1 Tesla supercharger within a 50 mile radius of me.

      There are, however, 7 gas stations within a 2 mile radius.

      That is an *incredible* gap to close. Yes, home charging means a lot less need, but it's also the case that relatively low volume is the only reason that current charging facilities are barely livable for current owners. I have a friend with a PHEV, and anywhere vaguely near an outlet is occupied by a BEV/PHEV already, so he almost always is on gasoline since he has to charge at home only. When he got it 6 years ago, he could generally plug in, but already there are too many BEVs for charging infrastructure despite being relatively rare.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    28. Re:the grail by Junta · · Score: 1

      they want something simple that they can maintain and fix themselves.

      That ship has pretty much sailed a long time ago. You can do a lot, but some things are just out of reach. Basically everything you can maintain/fix yourself in a pure ICE drivetrain, is pretty much applicable to a hybrid drivetrain.

      PHEV are a pretty good compromise given today's battery technology and lack of charging infrastructure, and even plain hybrids are valuable to recoup all that energy lost to braking.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    29. Re:the grail by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

      Consumers are moving a lot slower than you demand,

      The half-million-long waiting list for the Model 3 says otherwise. That's equivalent to 2/3rds of a year of Ford F-series sales (not a specific F-series, but the whole series combined), sitting on a waiting list just to get one. To say nothing of those waiting for the Model Y. It has nothing at all to do with "consumers moving too slow", it has exclusively to do with the rate of production scaleup.

      - losing money on every unit they sell

      No matter how many times you write that, it won't make it true.

      junk-bond ratings

      Tesla isn't a bond. You're referring to a specific bond offering, not even their last one. Their last bond offering got ratings as high as Aaa(sf) (prime, the highest ratings category). Orders on some of their bonds were over 14 times what the company wanted to issue.

      --
      Is your job to sit under bridges and jump out at unsuspecting travellers?
    30. Re:the grail by Rei · · Score: 1

      No kidding. And I bet its specs and pricing will be fairly good... compared to vehicles that existed in 2018, not those that will exist by that point in 2020.

      --
      Is your job to sit under bridges and jump out at unsuspecting travellers?
    31. Re:the grail by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0, Troll

      At the projected rate of delivery, those 500K will receive their vehicles over the next 3 years. I am sure lots of those pre-buyers will be happy to finally receive their vehicle after 5 years; how many will ask for a refund? 63K had asked for one as of last August, and I am sure the number has increased.

      As far as that "demand", Ford will sell about 5X that number F series trucks during the time, and Toyota will sell about 1.5X the number of Prius' as the Model 3. Worldwide, there are around 80MM cars sold annually, so those 500K do, in fact, show there is minimal if any consumer demand right now. Consumers prefer light trucks and hybrids by large margins over the Model 3.

      As far as profitability, can you point to a quarter where Tesla actually made profit? Looking at the data they did it exactly once in the last 5 years, when they booked all that model 3 pre-revenue. They have never been a profitable company, unless you consider a 20% loss (spend $5 to make $4) a profit?

      About the bond ratings? Tesla is a solid B - junk bond rating. Now, Tesla Finance LLC gets the good rating, but that's based upon the credit worthiness of the people using Tesla financing - not Tesla itself. It's YOUR credit rating used for the bond rating, not Tesla. Facts do not support your claims - which is why you posted nothing to support your claims.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    32. Re:the grail by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Superchargers are not like gas stations. You mostly charge at home or at destination chargers (work, shops etc.) Superchargers are for long distance travel.

      There are pretty much enough in Europe now. What is needed is more effort to have on-street charging in some places.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    33. Re:the grail by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      The half-million-long waiting list for the Model 3 says otherwise. That's equivalent to 2/3rds of a year of Ford F-series sales (not a specific F-series, but the whole series combined), sitting on a waiting list just to get one.

      And Ford will have sold about 4 years worth of F-series by the time they make a dent in that waiting list. And when the waiting list is gone F-series will continue to be the best selling vehicle in North America.

      Ford is not, and has no reason to be, worried about competition from Tesla.

    34. Re: the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But to cancel those vibrations of heavier pistons and con-rods, you need heavier balance shafts, so his point stands even though it was phrased incorrectly.

    35. Re:the grail by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Gotta love the down-mods from the Teslarati for simply posting facts!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    36. Re:the grail by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      They built a network everywhere people were buying their cars.

      People are buying their cars everywhere there's a network. You have it backwards. They built the network, then people bought the cars. They built the network where the most people who would buy EVs live, sure. But that's also where the most people live, period.

      They can't build the network everywhere people would like to use it. But then, they can't build the cars fast enough, either.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    37. Re:the grail by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Lots of folk have looked for the Holy Grail . . . and the results have been . . . well . . . not so great. When Ford says they are "going all-in on hybrids", it sounds to me like they are making a risky bet, with unsure hands. I'd rather hear them say something like, "we have solid plans for the long-term success of our coming hybrid products."

      So, you'd rather be lied to? Because that would be bullshit. Ford doesn't know how the growing popularity of mobility services (as opposed to vehicle ownership) is going to play out any more than anyone else does.

      Yeah, bailing out GM was maybe a good idea . . . but the government did not force them to ditch the executives who made all the bad decisions. The same thing happened on Wall Street.

      Well, Ford just changed its leadership, so you should be happy.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    38. Re:the grail by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Your friend gets the first 30 miles every day on electric. For most people that is a significant fraction of their miles.

      Generally, it is not really worth it to charge a PHEV during the day, they are better off just sticking with home charging. Chasing down a public charging spot to only get 30 miles extra range is a bit pointless. If there happens to be one near where you are parking anyway, great, and if it gets you free parking as it does in some places, even better. If not, it is perfectly fine to just use petrol.

      The only exception is the i3 with the range extender. That thing is practically useless on petrol.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    39. Re:the grail by Solandri · · Score: 2

      No they don't depend on being hot. Diesels generate spontaneous fuel-air combustion through adiabatic compression. The only requirement is that the ambient air temperature be high enough that the temperature and pressure after compression is sufficient for the fuel and air to spontaneously combust. If the ambient air temperature is too low (typically a little above freezing), then it initially needs the assistance of glow plugs to offset the loss of heat through the engine walls and help get the temp in the cylinders high enough for spontaneous combustion.

      Gasoline engines match up well with a hybrid drivetrain because each covers for the other's weaknesses. Electric motors can produce their full torque output at zero RPM but start to get large and unwieldy for high power output. Gasoline engines produce little torque at low RPM, and don't hit their torque and HP peaks (roughly corresponds to most efficient operation - i.e. maximum mechanical energy generated per unit of fuel) until high RPM. Consequently, when you use a gasoline gar at low speed (stop and go traffic) or while cruising on the highway (typically only needs about 25 HP), you are nowhere near the engine's efficiency peak and you're burning a lot more fuel for the amount of work the engine is doing. If you pair the gas engine with an electric motor, you can use the electric motor for stop and go traffic and highway cruise. You only fire up the gasoline engine now and then, run it at its peak power efficiency (usually around 3500 RPM) long enough to top off the batteries to keep the electric motor going. Only when during high acceleration (high power output) do you need the gas engine + electric motor output.

      Diesels power output doesn't match up well with this type of work distribution. Diesels already produce a lot of torque at low RPM, and their efficiency peak is at a lower RPM (usually around 1500-2000 RPM). Consequently, they're already operating pretty efficiently in stop-and-go traffic and at highway cruise speeds (I can hit almost 40 MPG at 65 MPH on the highway with my diesel SUV). Where diesels need help is adding more power at the high end - e.g. revving up the engine when you're on the highway to pass a slow car. This is why big rig trucks take so long to accelerate to highway speeds on an uphill on-ramp, or when they try to pass someone at freeway speeds. The engine is already close to its power peak at cruise, and there isn't much extra power at the high-end for these tasks. There's very little an electric-hybrid drivetrain can add to a diesel, and usually not enough to offset the penalty of the extra weight of the batteries and electric motors.

    40. Re:the grail by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      No I didn't. Go check, I'll wait. I said keep around ICE for those relatively limited cases where pure EV isn't suitable.

      Yes you did, you just admitted it. You didn't mention hybrids, you mentioned ICE. ICE are a waste of time, Hybrids are precisely what the edge cases are for.

    41. Re:the grail by Rei · · Score: 1

      At the projected rate of delivery, those 500K will receive their vehicles over the next 3 years

      Simply false, unless you're making up your own rate of delivery. The projected rate of delivery is:

      2,5k/week by the end of Q1
      5k/week by the end of Q2
      Line 2 built over the course of Q3/Q4, to bring it up to 10k/week

      Aka, 2019 starts with 500k/year. That's the projected rate. Now, you may not believe that, but don't call your personal beliefs "the projected rate"

      63K had asked for one as of last August

      While meanwhile the overall list has grown. The rate of new reservations has always exceeded the rate of cancellations.

      As far as profitability, can you point to a quarter where Tesla actually made profit?

      Nice, but that's not what we're talking about. We're talking about margins. Tesla normally earns about 25% margins on S and X. Their net automotive markets are down to around 18% right now due to the Model 3 difficulties, but once they're ironed out that should be back up to 25% for the 3 as well.

      The company as a whole is losing money because they're making massive capital expenditures, which is otherwise known as growing. Essentially all rapidly growing companies involve huge capital expenditures, and that's a good thing. To terminate large capital expenditures right now would be to say, "Nah, I've captured enough of the market share, I don't want any more." There's essentially zero investors in Tesla who want them to cut captial expenditures and just sit back on their laurels with the S and X and call that good enough.

      About the bond ratings? Tesla is a solid B - junk bond rating [googleusercontent.com].

      Sigh.

      Sure. Tesla is a bond, not a company. Also, I'm a peanut, not a human! And I'm typing on a dandelion, not a laptop! I mean, while we're busy making ridiculous statements...

      You're confusing a bond offering from last year as meaning that Tesla is somehow itself a bond with the rating of one product offered by them literally half a year ago.

      --
      Is your job to sit under bridges and jump out at unsuspecting travellers?
    42. Re:the grail by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      RE: delivery rates. Tesla has NEVER hit a projected delivery rate. Ever. Your faith is quite deep, however!

      RE: margins. Tesla has NEVER had a positive margin for a year, and has only had one quarter in the last 5 years where it had a positive margin. I posted the graph, it's for profit margin. Margin is always negative. Your faith notwithstanding.

      TSLA's bonds are junk-rated; their finance arm - a different legal company called Tesla Finance LLC, has good ratings. But that's because of the credit-worthiness of those leasing from Tesla Leasing, not because of TSLA.

      You have zero facts to back up your statements, and you keep stating things that are blatant lies. TSLA has never turned a profitable year, has had one quarter of a positive margin in the last 5 years. Indisputable. Factual. If you cannot accept that - you're simply deluding yourself and have proven to be completely divorced from reality.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    43. Re:the grail by HiThere · · Score: 1

      For me the problem with an electric would be I have no way to charge it. The garage doesn't have electric power, and it has solid concrete walls, and don't talk about getting a variance through the city for construction.

      It doesn't really matter, as I don't drive, but if I did a pure electric would be out of the question. A Prius, perhaps...but not a Volt.

      OTOH, Ford has a bad reputation for quality...so they'd really need to work to get me to even consider them. And automatic updates are *not* something that helps.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    44. Re:the grail by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Be fair. There *will* be edge cases where a pure internal combustion engine will have an advantage over hybrids. That I can't think of any off hand merely says they aren't ones that I encounter.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    45. Re:the grail by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Diesels can actually get quite small, but when they do they become much more inefficient. You still need just as much pressure to fire the thing, and heat loses are greater, which, admittedly, allows you to run faster without cooling, but which also increases many inefficiencies. I suspect it would be possible to make one that you could hold in one hand, but you couldn't use it for much.

      There are reasons why the smallest diesel in common use is the automobile diesel, and why larger things, like locomotives, use diesels rather than a 4-cycle or 2-cycle engine. It's not that you can't make them smaller, it's that it's a bad idea.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    46. Re: the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ami, do you even have a car license?

    47. Re:the grail by Junta · · Score: 1

      The thing is, I don't see many destination chargers yet, that would constitute 'network' (at least in US). It's currently a curiosity for some places to set up to seem 'progressive' as almost a novelty rather than a boring 'yeah, people should need this'.

      If I were on a long trip, as it stands there's a large probability if I needed to avail myself of a supercharger station, I might have to go to a station that's 20 miles off the route, adding optimistically 40 minutes to a trip even if it were an *instant* charge. I'll also have to carefully plan that stop, contrast with a gasoline capable car, where infrastructure is that I can be completely oblivious to my fuel level until a warning comes up and then start thinking 'I should stop when I see a gas station along the way'.

      There are useful scenarios for BEV, and home charging is a wonderful improvement, but we can't pretend for a moment that any half-measure (hybrid/phev) is proven to be obsoleted by proof of the 'massive' tesla charging network.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    48. Re: the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Diesels are four-stroke or two-stroke engines. (Usually four, except when very large)

    49. Re:the grail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ahhh so you don't know the difference between profit margin for a company and margins on a product.

      Delivery rates, lynnwood logic. They haven't so therefore they never will !!
      Much better to just make up a number like you did and go with that. yes?

    50. Re:the grail by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I don't know any good sites for finding chargers in the US... I know Tesla has a map but it doesn't show everything.

      Anyway, the UK is complete crap compared to the rest of western Europe, especially Nordic countries. Even so, you can see that there is actually quite a lot of infrastructure already: https://www.zap-map.com/live/

      I don't have any trouble destination charging pretty much anywhere I want to go. There are still dead spots but of course in reality the chances are they do have electricity, very few places are off the grid. It's not there yet but it is improving.

      If you look at countries like Norway where they are installing massive amounts of on-street charging, almost every car park has it, loads of rapid charging... And if Ford got on board and invested too they could actually make some on-going cash from the charging.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    51. Re:the grail by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      ahhh so you don't know the difference between profit margin for a company and margins on a product.

      I do. The latter doesn't matter; the former is what keeps a company afloat.

      Delivery rates, lynnwood logic. They haven't so therefore they never will !! Much better to just make up a number like you did and go with that. yes?

      For manufacturing, past performance is usually a good indicator of future performance. Companies can turn it around, but with manufacturing it usually takes several years to achieve that. The Model 3 was supposed to be in full swing production last October. Now it's slid to Q2, a solid 9 months. Same thing with each model released so far - late deliveries. My guess, based on past and current performance, is you won't see 5K per week until sometime in Q3, if at that. Meaning it will be a solid year before they deliver their first 100K units. It will probably take another 2 years to complete the "preorder" builds, and at that point the car will be pretty long in the tooth, meaning it will need at least some smallish redesigns to freshen up before regular sales take off.

      There's a reason so few Kickstarter companies actually succeed - it's one thing to sell a one-off concept in boutique quantities; it's another to actually build a reliable consumer brand. Tesla's Model 3 sales model is much more akin to a Kickstarter than an actual automotive company. And given the lack of profits for the company, it may end up like most Kickstarter companies - shipped a few interesting things to a few early adopter, but fade away after that.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    52. Re:the grail by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      I would point out running tools on a job site *is an edge case*.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    53. Re: the grail by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but I couldn't either find or remember the correct term for the engine with spark plugs. Internal combustion is also descriptive of diesels.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    54. Re:the grail by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I do. The latter doesn't matter; the former is what keeps a company afloat.

      Depends on the company. Obviously a company that's not profitable and shows no sign of being profitable in the future is unlikely to sell much stock (modulo bubbles), but a company that's not profitable now but has credible plans to make lots of money is in a much different state.

      The margins on product are important. Selling below cost (or even with insufficient margin) isn't sustainable, and the performance of a company with artificially cheap product isn't really indicative of the performance with a reasonably priced product. In this case, people are buying Tesla cars, and Tesla is making adequate profit on each car. That is sustainable. It shows that Tesla has a real-life market and can supply at least a limited portion of it. If Tesla had to start showing a profit, Tesla could. Instead, Tesla's investing a lot of money in order to be able to build more cars and sell them at a decent profit.

      I had a friend who was working on a product once. (He never got it commercially successful, unfortunately.) He had made plans for unexpected success, which lots of people don't do. Tesla has plans.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    55. Re:the grail by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I've read "the way forward" in so many contexts it's ridiculous. Almost everyone wants to move forward (you get into wildly different ideas of what "forward" is and far more disagreement about how to get there, of course).

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    56. Re:the grail by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      In this case, people are buying Tesla cars, and Tesla is making adequate profit on each car.

      I agree with the first clause - people but Teslas - but not the latter. Tesla has a negative margin on each car. Additionally, they are getting blown past by GM, Toyota, even Ford as the market slowly evolves. Most likely Tesla will end up purchased by a Chinese consortium looking to market the brand in Asia. They probably will not go out of business, brand value being what it is. But maintaining themselves as an independent entity? If you're still losing money on your basic product (COGS is larger than MSRP), you simply won't survive.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    57. Re:the grail by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      From everything I've read, Tesla gets a positive margin on each car. By that, I mean that Tesla gets more money on the sale than they spend to produce, sell, and support that car. Where do you get the "negative margin", bearing in mind that it's independent of whether the company is making a profit?

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  3. What's to say by nospam007 · · Score: 1

    It's dead, Jim.

    1. Re:What's to say by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Ill bet Ford's real plan was to buy Tesla after using it's media partners, the ones it pays all those ads for, to futz with the Tesla share price. Crap, didn't work 'er' lots of hybrids is the new plan. Just guessing of course ;D.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
  4. Ford sells too many trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The same issue Ford and Chevy both have is they sell a lot of big vehicles. This hurts their Cafe average and its why your seeing many small liter engines and hybrids creep into their fleets. Not to mention China has plenty of incentives to keep engines under 1.5 liters. When you start building world car platforms you tend to make them castrated for the tightest countries. Here in America though people still want big vehicles and big engines. Probably why many buy pickups, not for hauling stuff but for a big engine.

    1. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by damnbunni · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The vast majority of people who buy pickup trucks just do it because it's macho.

      They don't need a big engine, they don't tow anything, they don't need a work truck, they don't have to haul anything, they just want to look cool.

    2. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Trucks are ideal to be made electric. Plenty of space for batteries, loads of torque at low speeds, and priced right to absorb the battery cost.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by drinkypoo · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Trucks are ideal to be made electric. Plenty of space for batteries, loads of torque at low speeds, and priced right to absorb the battery cost.

      The problem is towing long distances, the batteries are just too expensive to do that at this point. For most people, though, a truck is a fashion accessory and they'll be fine.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Plug-in hybrids are not an option? There must be a sweet spot where you save most money by going for part-electric operation.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    5. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      A lot of people use the Model X to tow. Even the 75kWh model is fine with a network of superchargers.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    6. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      No, it’s because they need two things: a vehicle to take them places, and a truck. The cost and inconvenience of renting a truck ten times a year outweighs the savings of buying a commuter car and renting a truck when needed.

    7. Re: Ford sells too many trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Truck hybrid is the perfect balance. But you're right. Most people don't need a V8+ in their trucks they drive around town. Maybe fashion accessory it's a bit rough. I think it's more like shopping for stationary. It's the illusion of doing something useful.

    8. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by damnbunni · · Score: 2

      No, they don't need a truck. They like to say 'Well, I need a truck because sometimes I have to haul things!' and you ask one of these works-in-an-office, has-no-outdoor-hobbies, doesn't-do-their-own-landscaping bozos 'So when's the last time you hauled something that would've have fit in a car?' and you get an answer like 'Uh, 2003'.

      Some people do need a truck. A lot of people with trucks, don't. They're a fashion item.

    9. Re: Ford sells too many trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yet people outside North America don't seem to need pickup trucks ever.

    10. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who are you to tell someone they'll be fine? I spend my money how i see fit and damn you to hell for telling me otherwise.

    11. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by dontbgay · · Score: 1

      Do you go to where there is work being done with pickup trucks or do you just see them at the grocery store? I'll grant that the lifted super swamper big stupid trucks are exactly as described. A good chunk of the rest of truck owners are in their trucks because they need a truck but have no need for a second vehicle

      --
      Sig not found.
    12. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      Its a bit like the SUV situation for many. In the UK, Range Rover/Land Rovers etc are labelled "Chelsea Tractors" as they are being used more by urbanites than country people

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    13. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      A lot of people use the Model X to tow. Even the 75kWh model is fine with a network of superchargers.

      Which returns to the facts that the superchargers are only available along narrow corridors, and that the Model X isn't towing the kind of loads that pickups are capable of these days either. Stop trying to claim that EVs will do everything right now, because they won't.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    14. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The vast majority of people who buy pickup trucks just do it because it's macho.

      They don't need a big engine, they don't tow anything, they don't need a work truck, they don't have to haul anything, they just want to look cool.

      Could say the same thing about sport cars. You don't need to get from point a to b at 150mph. You don't need to take corners 3x faster than normal traffic flow. What we need is another good dose of Communism - a one size fits all vehicle like the Trabant. That'll teach you attention seeking exhibitionists. /smug

    15. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      Forget boats and construction material. When the closest shopping center might be some 100 miles away, having a vehicle that can haul a couple of weeks worth of necessities for the family, is an absolute must. Unless of course, you enjoy spending every weekend at Walmart

    16. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      You said: "The problem is towing long distances, the batteries are just too expensive to do that at this point."

      I said: "A lot of people use the Model X to tow"

      You replied: "Stop trying to claim that EVs will do everything right now"

      I'm not sure how you got from "a lot of people do that" to "EVs will do everything right now". What is the logic connecting those statements?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    17. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by VeryFluffyBunny · · Score: 2

      Yeah, but electric/hybrid trucks would be just too quiet for macho men. Where's the satisfying, neighbour-waking, pet-startling roar of a great big internal combustion engine? And road-ragers would just look silly climbing out of a big truck with a nearly silent engine. 'Murica wants Canyonero f-series! https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      --
      Debate is a form of harassment. Do not question my truth.
    18. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      We could apply the same logic to a ton of things. People buy stuff because they want to push a certain image. Why else do you think folks suffered with Macbooks that were type-C only, or choose to wear skinny jeans? It's not utility, it's image.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    19. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Road test towing for the Model X. Basically going 100 miles, stopping for an hour to recharge, then going another 100 miles to the next supercharger. And this was at 55 MPH, which - while the law in California, is essentially completely ignored by everyone. Rarely do you find a towed vehicle (or any truck) only doing 55 MPH on the freeway.

      So the end result:2:1 ratio of tow-to-charge time, 500+ Wh/mile, and a range of about 100 miles between required stops. I guess you'd like that long weekend getaway to consist of sitting in random parking lots with your X plugged in. When I had my old 1999 Ford Ranger, I used to tow a small trailer like the one in this test, and would get 250 miles before I had to fill up - in 5 minutes. I could leave Seattle at Noon, and reach the Coastal range outside of Newport, OR, in about 6 hours. With the Model X, that would be and 18 hour adventure.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    20. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by Rei · · Score: 1

      Which returns to the facts that the superchargers are only available along narrow corridors,

      Huh? Where are you getting that? There's only a couple places in the world where I'd describe Superchargers as forming a narrow "corridor" rather than a dense grid - Trondheim to Tromso (but there's nothing really to go to to the east of that route, and to the west is the ocean); Beijing to Harbin; maybe the route from Vancouver to Edmonton (although it has some branching); the Australian coast (but that's where people live); etc. But in general it's highly branched / meshlike, with a typical spacing in the countryside of 50-150km, which is way less than the ranges of the vehicles.

      Model X isn't towing the kind of loads that pickups are capable of these days either

      What
      world
      are
      you
      living
      in?

      --
      Is your job to sit under bridges and jump out at unsuspecting travellers?
    21. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Check out Bjorn Nyland's videos on YouTube. He regularly tows in very poor weather and 100 miles to a charge is totally unrealistic.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    22. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      You said: "The problem is towing long distances, the batteries are just too expensive to do that at this point."

      Yes, we are talking about pickup trucks, and you chose this time to talk about a totally different kind of vehicle because you cannot put Elon's dick down for even one second. That people are doing kiddie-level towing with their Model X does not speak to the subject at hand even slightly.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    23. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is that this heavily documented, duplicated (they've done it twice) test is wrong? That we should take the word of a Tesla fan, over that of a fairly independent automotive magazine?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    24. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Model X isn't towing the kind of loads that pickups are capable of these days either

      What
      world
      are
      you
      living
      in?

      A world in which 5,000 pounds is fuck-all for a light pickup. The least capable F-Series will tow 6,000 pounds legally. The most capable will tow 18,000. Meanwhile, that Tesla weighs at least 5,185 lb and has no more than 6,768 gvwr, which means it can legally tow only 1,600 lb. It might be able to handle 5,000 pounds if nothing bad ever happens, but it's not safe to tow more than 1,600. You're promoting grossly unsafe behavior, and it's illegal to boot.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    25. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Who are you to tell someone they'll be fine? I spend my money how i see fit and damn you to hell for telling me otherwise.

      Calm down, son. That's not what happened. I said most people should be fine. If you won't be fine with an electric truck, then that message was not directed at you, and you can just go ahead and keep moving.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    26. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Plug-in hybrids are not an option? There must be a sweet spot where you save most money by going for part-electric operation.

      They aren't because once you run out of battery power, your towing capacity will be reduced. Mild hybrid systems make sense on basically all vehicles, because they don't add mass. The starter/generator/motor is about the same mass as the starter plus the alternator. They do make the vehicles more expensive, but it's happening now because the engineering work has been paid for and the mileage mandates are making it necessary.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    27. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by shilly · · Score: 1

      1. If you don't want to spend every weekend at Walmart, I'm not sure spending every other weekend is a massive improvement.
      2. Unless your family is really gigantic (in both senses), I don't see what you could possibly be buying that wouldn't fit into a normal car's trunk and back seats.

    28. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      564Wh/mile is pretty much worst case. That's all I'm saying, their test is an edge case. Valid if you need to tow very un-aerodynamic trailers for long distances.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    29. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      You mean you didn't notice those times I was extremely critical of Musk?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    30. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      You mean you didn't notice those times I was extremely critical of Musk?

      I sure didn't. But let's stay on topic. The Model X can not tow even 1/3 as much illegally as an F350 can tow legally... for hundreds of miles before a refill. It can not tow 1/3 as much legally as an F150 can tow legally. It's not safe to tow that much with it, and if you made it safe, it wouldn't be the same vehicle at all.

      For that majority that doesn't really use their pickup truck, an electric pickup will be more than fine once the charging network is in place. But there are no EVs on the market today capable of even moderate towing distances with a real load, and especially not legally.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    31. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      They like to say 'Well, I need a truck because sometimes I have to haul things!'

      Offtopic, but I liked it.

      Saw a bumper sticker awhile ago: "Yes, this is my truck. No, I will not help you move."

    32. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Here in the states, they're "Macho Minivans."

    33. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by Rei · · Score: 1

      The least capable F-Series will tow 6,000 pounds legally

      Not according to Ford..

      Meanwhile, that Tesla weighs at least 5,185 lb and has no more than 6,768 gvwr, which means it can legally tow only 1,600 lb

      Please learn how GVWR limits work before talking about them. GVWR is the max for loaded vehicle weight plus tongue weight, not entire trailer weight. The tongue weight is generally 9-15% of the trailer weight. So for a 5000 pound trailer, that's 450 to 750 pounds, meaning that a tow vehicle with a 6768lb GVWR can weigh no more than 6018-6318 lbs. This means that for a curb weight of 5185 lbs the vehicle itself can be loaded with about 1000 lbs of passengers/payload, and tow a properly balanced 5000 pound trailer.

      It might be able to handle 5,000 pounds if nothing bad ever happens

      It's capable of towing a semi truck (see the above links), but that's of course not the topic of discussion here.

      --
      Is your job to sit under bridges and jump out at unsuspecting travellers?
    34. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Like the ultra-lightweight, rounded trailer they used, for 100 miles at a shot. Yeah, totally worst case!

      But I suggest you look at Bjorn's own data. It supports the exact same finding as Edmunds - about a 100 mile (160 km) range, at 55 MPH (Bjorn does 80 kph, about 50 MPH), for about the same size trailer (medium, 1100 pound trailer) gets about 600 Wh/mi. I think the issue isn't the data - it is consistent. The issue is that you don't like what is found by either Edmunds or Nyland, and thus have somehow romanticized it in your mind to something that simply is a fantasy.

      Bottom line: Edmunds' data is 100% corroborated with Nyland's data, and if you're towing a smallish, lightweight, aerodynamic trailer at low freeway speeds, you're going to get about 100-130 miles between charges. Meaning you drive for 2 hours, then sit and charge for an hour.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    35. Re: Ford sells too many trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In that case, a van is much more useful.

    36. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by HiThere · · Score: 2

      It depends on where you live. If you live on a farm, then you need a pickup truck. If you live in the suburbs...well, it's occasionally convenient. If you live in the city...unless you need it for business, you've got it for show.

      Most people live in the cities, and the next largest number live in the suburbs. So most of the pickups sold are sold as status or image objects. But this doesn't mean that most near where you live are status or image objects, because I don't know where you live. And it doesn't mean yours is, because I also don't know your line of work.

      Actually, to really prove this point I'd need to pin down where most people who buy pickup trucks live, but I *know* that a lot of people who live in cities buy them, and often modify them into something that's not even safe to drive. Certainly not around a sharp corner. (I think they call them high-riders, though that slang may be decades old by now.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    37. Re:Ford sells too many trucks by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Yes/No. Some trucks are used for long distance hauling. It seems to me those could be hybrid, but not electric. Unless, of course, their routes are predictable ahead of time, and you have the recharge stations mapped, and ..... well, lots of caveats. But they add up for a pure electric to you can't have a flexible route, and only some routes would work at all.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  5. And FCA (Fiat Chrysler), what's in their pipeline? by darthsilun · · Score: 1

    All I could find were Chrysler Pacifica and Dodge Durango.

  6. 4G LTE OTA updates by Alain+Williams · · Score: 2

    lots of mention of how they keep car s/ware patched ... no mention of what else they might use the 4G connection for -- maybe slurping data, like where I have been and sell that data on. They will have an interesting time coping with the upcoming EU GDPR.

    1. Re:4G LTE OTA updates by ThosLives · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm all for hybrid and electric vehicles, but I'm really not happy that every industry is going to over-the-air update models.

      There are of course the security issues, but there is also the more insidious side effect that it promotes a "ship it now" mentality instead of "ship it when it's ready" mentality.

      I'm hoping the "right to repair" movement maintains its momentum and also includes "right to not require connectivity."

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    2. Re:4G LTE OTA updates by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Even today such data collection is illegal without permission in the EU.

      My Leaf asks me if I agree every time I turn it on, and if I don't it works fine but doesn't send the trip data up to the cloud service. I mostly decline since I don't use that service.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:4G LTE OTA updates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      4G Ulterior motives:

      1. Rat on you when your emissions system fails
      2. Allow law enforcement to shut down your car if it is trying to flee them.
      3. Tax by the mile and by time and location.
      4. Serve Ads when you are stopped near certain businesses.
      5. Report driving habits to your insurance company.

      Oh, and don't remove the antenna, it will immobilize your (or maybe it isn't really your) vehicle.

    4. Re:4G LTE OTA updates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just what we need... a vehicle with Android's insecurities...

  7. Turbines by Alci12 · · Score: 2

    If someone can make it work trucks powered by electric motors off batteries topped up by turbines is probably the medium term way to go. The emissions are way better as is fuel economy.

    1. Re:Turbines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not sure why you said turbine... Turbines are lightweight and reliable, but they are fuel hogs... In the aircraft I fly, turbines burn about twice the fuel of a piston engine of the same HP. They also have limits on how many times you can start them up, so they're not great for frequent start/stop operation. You might be thinking of a co-gen turbine system, but that's not mobile...

      These guys on the other hand make an engine that might work well, or of course you have BMW with their motorcycle engine in the i3 Rex.

      My other comment on the big automakers in general is that when they say Hybrid, a lot of them mean "mild hybrid" i.e. a 48 volt hybrid system. It's a quick and dirty way to get some of the benefits of a hybrid grafted onto existing cars without a major redesign, my worry is that with the state of global warming a 15-25% increase in fuel economy isn't sufficient. I'm of the opinion that we need a combination of BEV and PHEV (like the Volt) to radically decrease the amount of fuel we're burning. I'm concerned that a 15-25% decrease, while automotive use seems to be increasing, may help stop the increase in carbon emissions, but won't help decrease it by the amount we need to be thinking of.

      Here's an article on mild hybrids and here is the Wikipedia page on mild hybrids.

      My experience so far has been with a BEV (Honda Fit EV) and PHEV (Chevy Volt First Gen). Of the two, I liked the Fit the best. However, my daughters did not. The main problem was, as a pilot I'm used to figuring out ahead of time where I'll be going, where I'll refuel, etc. But the average driver (like my daughters) just wants to hop in and go, and when the little gauge says "E" to just find a nearby gas station and top off. They don't want to have to plan the trip.

      The Volt works out very well for them, in that they can drive typically 35-40 miles on the battery, and then the gas motor kicks in, and they don't have to do any planning unless the gauge reads "E". So, in many ways a great compromise between pure electric and pure gas, and I would think a great way to transition people into electric vehicles... but I wish the battery range was more like 100 miles.

      What I don't like about the Volt (and mostly I think it's a good car):

      1) Especially in the winter, a lot of trips end up running the gas engine. If it's below freezing, the car often will not use the battery at all (it just flashes a message that it's using the gas engine because of the temperature). In the winter the car simply doesn't have the range - the battery range drops to about 20-25 miles which is NOT enough to complete most trips that aren't just around town.

      2) The fuel economy when the engine runs isn't that great... about 40-42 mpg. I think that's because they put in an engine big enough to keep the vehicle moving at highway speeds once the battery is depleted.

      3) You're carrying a full sized engine around all the time. I think the BMW i3 has the better idea... have a much smaller engine just barely big enough to recharge the battery. In fact I think I'd like the option to go even further than the i3: instead of an engine which can keep the car moving at highway speed (except on a steep hill) give me a really small range extender engine, one that won't move the car much faster than 25 mph... Here's my reasoning:

      Most of the time I charge at home, do a trip, and hopefully get home, all on battery. Sometimes I'll drive further and I'll plan on charging at some point during the trip so that I can make it home without having to use gas. But sometimes there's no place to charge, and that's where it's great to have the gas engine.

      But instead of hauling around a full size engine all the time, or even a motorcycle engine like the BMW i3, how about a really small engine that can act li

    2. Re:Turbines by foxalopex · · Score: 1

      Awesome, I'm another fellow Volt owner too! =D I understand your criticism of the shortfalls of the Volt but here's the reason why:

      1 - All EV's lose about 1/2 their range in the cold. The increased heat requirements and the fact that the battery is starting to freeze causes their effective range to drop. In Sub -10C temperatures, the Volt will burn fuel to generate heat (and it actually does get warmer faster in the cabin when it does) but it also uses battery at the same time too. I know because in sub -20C weather for too long the battery will actually get too cold to operate and the Volt will go gas only to try to warm it up which makes you realize that a ~80hp engine is not much in a car with curb weight of 3700lbs.

      2 - Fuel efficiency is not bad but it most certainly isn't as good as a true hybrid. Part of the problem is batteries are heavy. When you're running long distance on pure gas, you have to lug a 500lb lithium battery now which is much larger than what you need in a hybrid.

      3 - The Volt's engine and battery combination has been designed to make it up the biggest mountains in North America assuming you throw the car into mountain mode to let it pre-charge the battery with some reserve first on gas. GM's design of the Volt was to ensure it wouldn't leave you stuck anywhere in North America, I appreciate the design because I live in Canada where it gets extremely cold and it's my primary car so it needs to work for everything. Doing the math it's also amazing to realize that to the Volt the 500lb lithium battery is roughly equivalent to 1 gallon of gas. Gas has that much insane power density. It's why Tesla S weights more than some trucks.

      A small range extender doesn't work well. i3 has such a tiny engine that it sounds horrific (imagine your car buzzing like a motorcycle) and it won't make it up hills on the highway if you run out of battery power. BMW has stated that it's really for "emergency" purposes meaning it's not really meant to do cross country trips, and the gas tank is tiny meaning you'll be making lots of stops. True hybrids use a special Atkinson cycle engine that saves fuel but has the disadvantage of being larger than a typical engine and ontop of that generates little torque which explains the need of battery for acceleration. Also you don't want the gas engine to try to charge the battery more than necessary on the highway, the Volt after all will direct drive the wheels in certain combinations because converting power back and forth is highly inefficient.

      The Volt's really a well balanced compromise between EV and Gas. I find it works perfectly for me but depending on your requirements a pure EV or pure Hybrid may work better.

  8. Re: And FCA (Fiat Chrysler), what's in their pipel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Their bread-and-butter products, the Panda, the 500 and the Punto, are all on ancient platforms. They seem to have very little investment budget and what they have, they spend on trying to resurrect Alfa Romeo, with little success so far.

  9. So, let me get this straight... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    ...every new Ford will have 4G LTE connectivity

    I'm going to have to spend even More money every month for my Car's cellular plan on top of my cell phone?

    First, the Sirius/XM in-your-face push for subscription fees, and now this?

    Are they going to add wiper/tire/washer fluid subscriptions as well?

    Get me a Certified Dumb Vehicle, please! The cost of vehicle ownership is already getting out of hand, and for anyone in the lower income brackets, it's even harder to have a vehicle to get and hold even a minimum wage job these days...

  10. Hybrids by tquasar · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Will the workers at service centers need training and new tools and equipment to diagnose and repair these new vehicles? Independent shops have been prevented from having what they need to work on some cars and trucks.

  11. Not interested by Notabadguy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I don't want over-the-air updates for my car.

    I want a reliable car that works when I get it, doesn't need troubleshooting, doesn't need patching, because it works. Treat my car like a fucking computer and not an engine powering a frame and wheels and I'm going to find a different car.

    1. Re:Not interested by crow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I just want the built-in navigation system to get automatic map updates, instead of requiring over $100/year for updates. Yes, I'll mostly use my phone for navigation anyway (because the navigation is horrible in my Nissan), but it would be nice if I didn't feel like the car company was always trying to suck more money out of me.

    2. Re:Not interested by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A GZK 9000 has never knowingly distorted information.

    3. Re:Not interested by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      Don’t know how Nissan does it, but Toyota was based on DVD’s. Pretty easy to get on ebay and buy a pirated one to update your maps for a fraction of the cost of the official DVD. I use my phone for nav, but the built-in has a much larger screen and is useful for interpreting the instructions the phone puts out.

    4. Re:Not interested by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The thing is, OTA updates can give you material improvements. For example, a while after Tesla started shipping dual motor Model S's, an engineer had the idea of "Torque Sleep", wherein you automatically sleep one of the two motors (which have different gear ratios) in low torque demand times, then instantly wake it when traction or accelerator pedal needs require it. Since you have three separate choices on motor operating conitions (double torque on the front motor, double torque on the rear motor (different RPM), or balanced torque between the two), you have three choices of efficiencies, and can choose the most efficient combination. When they pushed out this update, overnight people with dual motor configs got a dozen miles more range.

      Here's another: when Model Ss started being rolled out, there obviously wasn't many years of data available about how all of these motors would hold up in the real world, so Tesla had to make conservative assumptions about power limits. Years later, once the data was available, Tesla used OTA updates to raise the limits on a lot of their slower models, improving their acceleration.

      Autopilot of course has a huge amount of software development going into it every year. OTA updates deploy this to all owners. Trust me, owners *much* rather this situation than the alternative situation where nobody is allowed to have Autopilot until some unknown future date when it's "flawless" on all roads in all situations and never makes the driver take control. The reality is that there never will be some sort of date when it's "perfect"; there will always be continuous improvements, and you want those improvements in your vehicle.

      OTA updates are a good thing.

      --
      Is your job to sit under bridges and jump out at unsuspecting travellers?
    5. Re:Not interested by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      OTA updates have a good side, but the bad side becomes too tempting. We've already seen them hacked. That is a problem that doesn't need to exist in cars.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    6. Re:Not interested by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      Lots of people said that about mobile phones.....

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    7. Re:Not interested by crow · · Score: 1

      Nissan uses SD cards with their DRM feature to prevent them from being used more than once. It's nasty.

    8. Re:Not interested by ssyladin · · Score: 1

      I just want a bigger screen and a hook up to my phone. Give me an Android and iPhone app that'll broadcast my phone screen to the vehicle screen. Now, my maps are always updated (via phone), and I don't have to do squat with the car. The car screen can still play the radio or backup cam, etc.

      How is this NOT a thing already?

    9. Re:Not interested by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Treat my car like a fucking computer and not an engine powering a frame and wheels and I'm going to find a different car.

      That's okay if you're willing to drive something old, like my 1982 300SD. The only part that makes decisions for you is the transmission, and it makes those decisions mechanically. But what if you want niceties like... safety? It was a stunningly safe car for its day, but it doesn't have airbags or pretensioners (those became standard in 1985 or 1986, not sure which.)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:Not interested by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In general, I like getting new features on my Model S from time to time.

      Sometimes the new features are useful (automatic wipers come to mind) and other times they are something I'm probably never going to use (open the trunk from my phone)

      There are some new features I want Tesla to add to my Model S, eg. the ability to child-lock one of the back doors. I might have better luck with that if I actually ask Tesla for it...

    11. Re:Not interested by ChatHuant · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The thing is, OTA updates can give you material improvements.

      No: *updates* can give you material improvements. There is no reason for them to be OTA. OTA, while maybe more convenient for some, opens the gate to a whole slew of abuses and risks. When you car has OTA access you can be tracked by everybody and their dog, you can be hacked, and you have no control over the updates (and if some update proves to be buggy, tough noogies. Just wait for the next one,which will,fix the problem, we promise).

      Instead of OTA, updates should be done via a DVD or USB. To me, the mild inconvenience of having to download an update to an USB and stick it in the entertainment system is trivial compared to having the choice to apply the update on my own schedule and being safe from bored teenagers who buy an exploit off the dark Web and think it would be cool to disable your brakes or from criminals who lock your car and ask for a Bitcoin payment to get it unlocked. Add to this the fact that Google, the insurance companies and any number of other nosy outsiders don't get to know every breath I take and every move I make, and the decision is clear.

    12. Re: Not interested by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you also like it when Tesla takes away features in updates?

  12. On the cusp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Always on the cusp

  13. You're thinking like an engineer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ford actually has an engineering department - acoustic engineers - whose sole job is to make the exhaust sound "bad-ass" for their trucks and the Mustang. GM and Chrysler have the same.

    Those - mostly men- would never buy electric unless forced to. Many of them don't even use their pick-ups for work. Just for show. They're called "No-nos"

    There are trucks that are just luxurious as a Mercedes. And the margins are just as fat if not fatter.

    In other words, the market wants big engines that go "VRRROOOOOOOM!"

    1. Re:You're thinking like an engineer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ugh, I can't stand those sort of people - they come racing down my street in the middle of the night with their exhaust tuned to be as loud as possible. I swear, I'm *this close* to making a spike strip to roll out when I hear them coming...

    2. Re:You're thinking like an engineer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And when they don't have a bad-ass engine, they artificially create the V8 exhaust note in the stereo system. I'm not kidding. I test drove a V6 equipped F-150 and it sounded like a V8 with the stereo timed perfectly with throttle position and engine RPM.

    3. Re:You're thinking like an engineer by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      GM and Chrysler have the same.

      Correction, 'Chrysler' isn't anything at this point but a sticker that Fiat puts on some of their product.

      My personal favorite is the big Sheep Fucker logo they put on a lot of 'Chrysler' product.

      What does a farmer keep a 'Ram' on the farm for? To 'Ram' stuff around? No. Simply put, to fuck the sheep.

      Think of all the Dodge Ram trucks you see out on the road as sheep-fuckers. It helps relieve the weariness of dealing with that big massive phallic design everywhere you go in traffic.

  14. Just Ford? by Freischutz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Would that was just Ford that finds itself in this position. The German car makers just got a swift ass kicking in the form of the diesel emissions cheating scandal that caused WV just sink EUR 20 billion (that's USD 25 billion) to secure future battery supplies meaning that they are finally getting serious on pluggable hybrids and electrics. Just to keep that in perspective, it's worth keeping in mind that the fine they got for the diesel emissions cheating was also USD 25 billion. It just goes to show these bozos only learn through pain caused by money disappearing from the wallet. I'm assuming that many other car manufacturers in the US, Europe and the rest of the world now find themselves in a similar position as Ford and WV, i.e. playing a game of catch-up. This is basically a race to secure as much of the existing battery production capacity as possible because it is limited and (according to Bloomberg) it will take up to 10 years and a massive investment to expand it significantly so it's first come first serve unless you have the cash to build your own battery factories like Tesla has done and sink your own cash into mining. The companies that are late to the party will go belly-up or disappear in mergers just like all those venerable old camera manufacturers who bet that digital will never surpass the quality of film. We'll probably also see a bunch of companies that make things like electric powered fork lifts or electric engines expanding into car manufacture just like we saw computer manufacturers and then cellphone makers start making digital cameras or camera/gadget hybrids like smartphones. In 10 years some of us might find ourselves driving the new Komatsu or Jungheinric sedan (and if you think that's a weird thought remember that Lamborghini used to make tractors). The really interesting part is that in 2014 we got an oil market crash because of 2 million barrel daily overproduction of oil in a market where daily production is ~90 billion barrels, so what will happen when electric cars have eaten up 10-15% of the car market? ... since something like 75% of oil is used for transport and a lot of that is for cars. Then there is the look on Jeremy Clarkson's face when he has to rename his show 'Top foot-pedal accelerator senor value'.

    1. Re:Just Ford? by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      WV?

    2. Re: Just Ford? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      West Virginia. They make cars but boy you don't want em.

    3. Re:Just Ford? by Rei · · Score: 1

      West Virginia. They've started making cars now, didn't you know? Need to do something now that nobody's burning coal....

      --
      Is your job to sit under bridges and jump out at unsuspecting travellers?
    4. Re:Just Ford? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wolks Vagen

    5. Re:Just Ford? by Solandri · · Score: 1

      All this stems from the late 1990s when CARB first threatened to implement a zero emissions vehicle requirement (that a certain percentage of each manufacturer's sales had to be zero emissions if they wanted to be allowed to sell ICE vehicles, with the percentage increasing every year going forward). At the time, nobody knew which technology would pan out. GM and the Japanese automakers bet on battery-powered electric vehicles. Ford and Chrysler bet on hydrogen fuel cells. I don't think the European car makers cared, because their share of the California market was pretty small and there was a provision which if they failed to meet their quota they were allowedto purchase credits from other companies which exceeded their quota.

      As we know now with 20/20 hindsight, electric turned out to be the easier solution to implement. Ford and Chrysler have been behind ever since, and many (all?) of the hybrid vehicles Ford put out were actually designs licensed from Japanese car companies.

      Its worth noting that by 1999, none of the car companies except GM had a viable ZEV in production. GM's EV-1 (an EV powered by a lead-acid battery) looked to be the sole qualifying ZEV and GM was standing on a gold mine of licensing fees. The other car companies lobbied CARB saying the technology simply wasn't ready yet for a viable ZEV, and that hybrid-electric vehicles were the best choice with the technology of the time. CARB relented and rescinded the ZEV requirement, and GM's gold mine (and payoff for the billion dollars they'd invested in R&D on the EV-1) evaporated overnight. Consequently they recalled all the EV-1s and destroyed them and buried the research in retaliation for CARB's double-cross. If California wasn't going to let them profit from the EV-1, they weren't going to let California profit from it either.

      Environmentalists initially hated hybrids because they still derived 100% of their energy from gasoline. I ate a lot of downvotes for trying to point out that regenerative braking and an electric motor's huge torque production at low RPM (where gasoline ICE engines are typically weak and inefficient) meant they could save a lot of energy when paired with a gas engine. It took them several years to come around to embrace hybrids.

      CARB re-implemented the ZEV mandate (around 2013 I think?). The ZEV credit purchasing system was a big incentive for Musk to found Tesla. Since they produce only EVs, they always have excess ZEV credits which they can sell to other automakers. So mathematically they can actually sell each EV at a loss and still make money. It's been a rocky start thus far though. The "growth" in EV sales volume you see isn't organic - it's mandated by CARB's ZEV mandate (the formula is a bit complex, but currently a little more than 2% of each automaker's sales have to be ZEVs). If natural EV sales are short of CARB's target, the automakers simply offer discounts and incentives on their EVs towards the end of the year to try to spur sales so they can meet their target. That's why California always has the best deals on EV sales and leases - CARB only counts EVs purchased in California towards the ZEV quota.

      Essentially, if consumer interest in EVs doesn't rise to match CARB's percentage goal, EVs get subsidized by ICE sales until it does. So the bigger the discounts and incentives you see on EVs in California towards the end of the year, the greater the mismatch between actual consumer interest and CARB's goals. 2015 was really bad, and there were some crazy EV deals that year (I almost pulled the trigger on a no money down, $79/mo 3-year lease for a VW eGolf). But 2016 and 2017 EV sales/leases seem to have been closer to target.

  15. Another new transit van? by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

    Can't tell if this will be a good thing or not. Since the first announcement of this, the consumer in the US has only seen the "Transit Connect", which isn't really a Transit van but rather a smaller imitation of one (that doesn't really quite fit into the minivan category either). The full size Transit is something of a replacement for the old Econoline vans, but Ford forgot to market them so they aren't really selling (and they are only supposed to be sold directly to commercial buyers for no obvious reason).

    If this nebulously defined "new Transit van" is either an actual minivan (Ford hasn't had a minivan in quite some time - and with the exception of Chrysler the minivan segment has been thoroughly and utterly dominated in the US by Honda and Toyota) or an actual work van like the Econoline (but available on the sales floor for regular buyers) then they could have something.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    1. Re:Another new transit van? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The full size Transit is something of a replacement for the old Econoline vans, but Ford forgot to market them so they aren't really selling (and they are only supposed to be sold directly to commercial buyers for no obvious reason).

      When people have a choice, they buy a Sprinter. We bought our 2006 T1N Sprinter from a plumber who was selling it only because he couldn't get commercial insurance for it any more for some reason. It's got strobes, even. (I have disabled them so I don't strobe by accident.) He hates his Transit and it's been in the shop twice as much as the Sprinter was by the same time. In addition, while the diesel Sprinter regularly delivers OVER the EPA estimate, the Ecoboost sprinter always underdelivers. Ford isn't bothering to market the Transit van because it's a bad joke compared to the competition. Maybe someday they'll figure out how to make an efficient engine, but that day has not yet come. The other lame thing about the Transit is the seating position. Even the tall top one has you sitting at least a foot lower down than the Sprinter, which means you don't have as long a view on the highway. It's just bad.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Another new transit van? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ford has plenty of minivans. They just don't sell them where you are.

    3. Re:Another new transit van? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comparing transit vans (intended for small commercial operations, probably within a city) to traditional minivans (intended for large families to take roadtrips to Yosemite) is apples to oranges. Just totally meaningless. I feel stupider from reading your post.

      Commercial vans are generally driven within a city and have plenty storage space for battery, so an EV version seems pretty ideal. Whether they market their commercial van against a Chrysler Pacifica or not is immaterial.

  16. Their own fault by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ford had at least one BEV in the 90s and they killed it.

  17. Words of Wisdom by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 0
    "Hybrids for years have been mostly niche products but are now on the cusp of a mainstream breakout," said Jim Farley, Ford president of global markets.

    Toyota would like to have a word with you, Jim. So unsuccessful with the Prius that tools in their diesel trucks like to roll coal when they see them. A lot of them.

    But seriously, statements like that show why Ford is far behind in the field.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  18. Re: And FCA (Fiat Chrysler), what's in their pipe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Remember that FCA includes Jeep, which they've spent a lot of money trying and failing to make "cool" in Europe.

  19. How to use diesel in a hybrid by sjbe · · Score: 2

    Diesels depend on being hot. They are utterly unsuited to a hybrid duty cycle.

    The term "hybrid duty cycle" is extremely vague in your usage. No you wouldn't use a diesel like an Atkinson Cycle engine on a Prius. You would use a diesel like you would on a locomotive. The diesel is running continuously and acts as the power source for a generator for the electric motors that actually turn the wheels. No direct drive from the diesel to the wheels. It should be an excellent way for large trucks (particularly long haul versions) to hybridize. You could have battery banks to power the electric motors without the diesel for shorter trips or to get up to speed periods. Batteries would also allow plug in hybrids in some use cases.

    Honestly I have no idea why diesel electric hybrids are not a thing with large trucks aside from the fact that economics of scale aren't in play for them yet. I would think a hybrid electric pickup with a battery bank for running tools and the huge torque of electric motors would be an ideal work truck. Similarly a hybrid semi with a diesel engine driving electric motors for long haul transport seems hugely logical to me. I understand that the early versions would be expensive but the upside seems to be pretty clear.

    1. Re:How to use diesel in a hybrid by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      It is odd. One would think that the diesel-electric designs that have existed for many decades on locomotives would be easily transferred to road truck designs. Is the I.P. all tied up in the companies that make locomotives?

    2. Re:How to use diesel in a hybrid by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      It is not used because it is inefficient. Diesel electric locomotives (and very large mining trucks) are this way because a conventional transmission would be far too large and heavy and would require the engine to be used in a large range of engine speeds. Smaller diesel trains do use a conventional transmission because the fuel consumption is lower.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    3. Re:How to use diesel in a hybrid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, google the diesel electric hybrid cars they've experimented with in Europe. Volvo's diesel-electric car averaged 153 mpg... just saying.

  20. Path to EV success by currently_awake · · Score: 1

    1-Pick a large American city. 2-Install wireless charging points everywhere in that city, preferably drive on/off mats or coils in the pavement. Bonus points if you install them at traffic lights and at the mall. 3-Roll out EV cars that use those chargers. Congratulations, you now have critical mass in the EV business.

    1. Re:Path to EV success by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      I don't have any doubts that EV is the future . . . and I don't have any doubts that some automobile manufacturers will have tremendous success doing it.

      I do, however, have doubts that Fiat, Ford and GM will be able to have success. They're still too stuck in the internal combustion engine world. Even if the boss says that they are going electric, there will be internal inertia and resistance . . . intentionally or unintentionally.

      It kinda sort reminds me of how some folks inside IBM never accepted that the dominate age of the mainframe in the IT world was gone.

      Ford in the EV business sounds like Microsoft in the mobile world. Ford wants to go from 0 mph to 100 mph in 2 seconds. They are getting into the game late, and you don't turn around a company like Ford overnight.

      All the might and finance from Microsoft couldn't help them make any progress in the mobile world once Android and Apple had piled up all the experience.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    2. Re:Path to EV success by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      And yet Microsoft collects more royalty revenue for each cellphone sold than Google, the Android maker, does.

  21. Don't make perfect the enemy of good by sjbe · · Score: 3, Informative

    Hybrids are a waste of time at this point. Pure electric is the way forward, with a rapid charger network and a few ICE models for edge cases.

    Not true at all. The "rapid" charge networks aren't rapid enough yet to displace gasoline in widespread use. I can refuel my car in under 5 minutes at any gas with enough fuel to travel >350 miles. Fully charging a Tesla Model S on a supercharger takes 75 minutes and even ~170 miles of range takes 30 minutes. Definitely good but not good enough, even allowing for the fact that EVs will be charged at home/work most of the time. Not to mention that these "rapid" chargers are no where near ubiquitous.

    Don't make perfect the enemy of good. I share your enthusiasm for EVs and I think they probably will dominate like you suggest in the long run. But hybrids will play an important role in getting us there. Our fueling infrastructure like it or not is optimized for gasoline and recharge times for EVs still have to be improved to make them practical for long haul transport. We also would need a LOT more charging stations in a lot more places. Furthermore the electric grid is going to need to see MASSIVE upgrades for EVs to really take over significant market share. That will take time which hybrids do not require. I can see all of these upgrades and technological improvements happening but it's going to take a few decades to really come to fruition. In the mean time hybrids are a useful bridge.

    Every EV that is just an ICE with an electric drive train fitted is crap.

    I've driven plenty of those vehicles and could not disagree more.

    1. Re:Don't make perfect the enemy of good by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I've driven plenty of those vehicles and could not disagree more.

      Can you name one?

      The eGolf and eUp are both fairly crap, the eUp in particular is a horrible compliance car. The Mercedes B class is a joke, can't even rapid charge. The Hyundai Ioniq is about the closest to being good, although it was actually designed for both EV and hybrid platforms from scratch so doesn't really count.

      The electric Ford Focus is just a Ford Focus with the engine ripped out, like the eGolf it lacks most of the stuff that makes EVs good.

      Oh, well the Kia Soul EV isn't bad actually, assuming you don't mind the Kia Soul in general.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re:Don't make perfect the enemy of good by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      He says cars he has driven.

      Which of the vehicles you rattled off in your list have you yourself actually driven?

      Are you spending too much time reading Popular Science articles?

    3. Re:Don't make perfect the enemy of good by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I've driven a Kia Soul, an eGolf and an Ioniq EV. Did not try the B Class or the Ford Focus.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    4. Re:Don't make perfect the enemy of good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But electric cars are 99% charged at home. You don't need to stop at a gas station at all. Much more convenient.

      Yeah, I guess for road trips and edge cases, more rapid chargers would be convenient. But that's really a minor incident. A very minor push by either government or private industry could fix the issue in six months, just nobody really cares enough to do it yet (because, again, 99% of charging is done at home).

    5. Re:Don't make perfect the enemy of good by sjbe · · Score: 1

      Can you name one?

      I actually rather liked the Ford Focus EV aside from its annoyingly limited range. I also drove an eGolf and thought it compared favorably to the gas powered Golf's I've owned. (I've owned both a GTI and a regular Golf GL) I also got a chance to hop in a Honda Fit EV once and it wasn't bad. I drove a Chevy Spark EV which was kind of meh and got replaced by the vastly superior Bolt which is actually a pretty terrific little car.

      I've also driven a variety of hybrids. Some ground up designs (like the Volt and Prius) and a few conversions like the Fusion. Most were decent to good.

      Oh, well the Kia Soul EV isn't bad actually, assuming you don't mind the Kia Soul in general.

      I haven't driven that one myself yet. Haven't driven Mercedes offerings or the one from Hyundai.

  22. Diesel electric trucks by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The problem is towing long distances, the batteries are just too expensive to do that at this point.

    A problem neatly solved by designing a power train that resembles that of a locomotive. Diesel engine runs and provides the power to turn the electric motors. Batteries are present to facilitate short haul movement and acceleration and allow the diesel to run at a constant speed where it is optimized but they don't have to be massive batteries like in the Tesla semi.

  23. Wait It Out by kackle · · Score: 1

    If I were them, I'd wait even longer - let the whole industry shake out and make its mistakes. Personally, I'm not convinced there's a huge market now anyway, especially after all the governmental subsidies are withdrawn.

  24. More Foder.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ford, being one who was robbed of it's glory of not needing bailed out and should have won all the American automotive client base, should tell everyone else to PISS OFF.

  25. Badly needed plan? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    Someone should look at this. Not only do they have the best selling vehicle (the F series truck, which outsells ALL electric vehicles by almost a factor of 5), but they have two in the top 10 for electric vehicles. I think someone's politics is writing this story, if you look at the actual facts they will see that Ford actually has a good profit margin for auto makers, dominates a major space (light duty trucks), and competes well within the tiny market called electric vehicles (two of the top 10). Given the realities of the market as a whole, it seems they are actually very well positioned for the future. But hey - politics, global warming, solar, Tesla!

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    1. Re:Badly needed plan? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ford is an international company, and a huge amount of the international market is phasing out gas vehicles over the next 10-15 years.

      F-150s are cool and I'm sure Ford will keep making them, but if they focus on their current strengths they are going to get slammed hard as the market shifts. Obviously EVs are going to sell more and more. Telsa has half a million pre-orders of the 3, so right there it seems probable an EV is going to outsell Ford's most popular truck within the next couple years.

  26. Great idea.. by jogjacars · · Score: 1

    Cat wait to make ford as one of our cars.. Thanks, by sewa mobil jogja

  27. Re: And FCA (Fiat Chrysler), what's in their pipe by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Remember that FCA includes Jeep, which they've spent a lot of money trying and failing to make "cool" in Europe.

    And Jeep is all that's keeping FCA afloat right now. Nobody wants their shitty FWD van, everyone who wants a 500 already has one... Jeep isn't cool in Europe because everyone over there already has their own classic 4x4 (e.g. Land Rover, UNIMOG, Pinzgauer, etc.) and/or has memories of enemies rolling into their country in G.I. Jeeps.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  28. Where are the pickup trucks? by lfp98 · · Score: 1

    In the 80's and 90's, when lead-acid batteries still ruled, some of the most popular EV conversion vehicles were compact pickups like the Ford Ranger and Chevy S-10. Ford even sold a production Ranger EV from 1998-2002. With the current popularity of pickup trucks, why is no one producing an electric pickup? How hard can it be?

  29. Re: And FCA (Fiat Chrysler), what's in their pip by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Making Jeep cool is probably impossible. They specialise in vehicles that are inherently devoid of any sportiness or stylishness whatsoever. They're probably good off-roaders, though, but that's a small market.

  30. Buy it then by Kokobaby39 · · Score: 1

    As a lot of car owners buy off, there has been a huge problem with Ford's bottom-line. The antic of the car industry has significantly changed over the course of the last month. As a result, it has led to people using Ford cars for racing part, especially the Focus. People grow the part, and many put the part up for sale, as if they were the new Subaru. A lot of people live to jack cars, but the news article here indicates that the jacking can be done with a Hybrid. I am trying to keep positive as Ford goes through this. I am an owner of a Ford 'Flex,' and I am one of the few Ford owners that is GEICO insured.

  31. Don't worry. by Chas · · Score: 1

    You won't be cruising down the road.

    Remember!

    Found
    On
    Road
    Dead

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  32. The only thing wireless should be used for... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Industrially is site monitor warnings in places where the site would either otherwise be unmonitored, where having humans on-site would be more hazardous than the worst case failure, or where passive non-critical monitoring is acceptable.

    While there are lots of situations where it is used that don't fit in the above categories, most of them really are unacceptable in a theoretical sense. In a reality sense, well you work with what you're given and what others are willing to budget for it.

  33. Don't forget it sets up the OTA 'kill switch'... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    depicted in that Will Smith and Robert DeNiro movie where the rogue CIA/NSA guy was coming after them.

    DeNiro drove an old 70s or early 80s sedan explicitly because it didn't have any computers onboard. While I had scoffed at it at the time (computers in cars were only on while the car was running and none of them controlled more than the engine timing/fuel supply and abs at the time, meaning you could safely stop even if the computers freaked out.) Nowadays all that is controlled by the computer. You have to go out of your way to buy a car that still has a manual clutch and shift mechanism and all of those have software controlled abs, traction control, etc, meaning a software failure or intentional sabotage can disable those systems at any time and then wipe themselves potentially allowing gaslighting-esque attacks on people you are trying to kill/scare/discredit. At least in the old days sabotaging a car would leave evidence, but with our modern software based society, if you are in the right position of power, you can create a chain of accidents that mainstream society will never think twice about while leaving no evidence of your misdeeds, unless you were very sloppy.

  34. Hmmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Which major motor companies basically went bankrupt and had to be bailed out by Obama...

    1. Re:Hmmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The American ones.

  35. Apples to oranges by sjbe · · Score: 1

    It is not used because it is inefficient.

    Diesel electirc isn't used in road going vehicles because they currently are expensive to make. Their potential efficiency is not actually in question. There are already diesel hybrids that have been developed and some are already in use and they are more fuel efficient and less polluting than their diesel only counterparts. The obstacle to them is price and to a lesser extend emissions restrictions on diesels in general in comparison to gasoline-hybrids.

    You seem to have missed the point. I'm not suggesting scaling down locomotive engines. I merely used that as an example to explain the concept of using a diesel engine to power electric motors rather than to drive wheels directly. The technology in such a hybrid for a truck would obviously be quite different in actual practice.

    Diesel electric locomotives (and very large mining trucks) are this way because a conventional transmission would be far too large and heavy and would require the engine to be used in a large range of engine speeds.

    Apples to oranges. That says nothing about why diesel-electric would or would not work in road going vehicles. The economics are a limitation but there is clear evidence that efficiency is not the limitation. They don't use it on larger more powerful locomotives because the cost and difficulty of scaling a mechanical transmission does not scale linearly making the designs that have been tried uneconomical. In smaller applications mechanical drive is sometimes more competitive BUT that does not mean that a diesel-electric cannot surpass them in efficiency and/or cost depending on the application.

    Smaller diesel trains do use a conventional transmission because the fuel consumption is lower.

    Diesel mechanical get used for cost reasons because of the application. Mechanical transmissions are often simpler than and generally less expensive so for certain corner case applications they can make sense. They are used mostly in switchers where fuel efficiency is not the paramount concern. Switchers are analogous to tug boats - tractive effort and repairability are paramount concerns over fuel economy. But again this does not necessarily translate to the requirements of road going trucks.

  36. New market blues by sjbe · · Score: 2

    One would think that the diesel-electric designs that have existed for many decades on locomotives would be easily transferred to road truck designs.

    I don't think it would be a direct application but the general concept would be very similar. I think the main obstacles are mostly economic ones. For it to become economical the hybrid system has to be manufactured at scale but until it is, it isn't cost competitive. My guess is that you'll probably first see it in some form of work truck like a pickup marketed towards construction workers. That's the biggest market I think so it's kind of the logical place to start. But right now we have a sort of chicken vs egg problem. It's too expensive right now because it isn't at scale and it isn't at scale because it's too expensive.

    Is the I.P. all tied up in the companies that make locomotives?

    I doubt that is a serious obstacle. Possibly some but I'm sure companies like Ford could negotiate an appropriate licensing agreement. If anything the holders of such IP should be drooling at the chance to get licensing fees from a product that brings in as many billions as pickups and semis do.

  37. EU is tightening CO2 limits on car fleets by Kartu · · Score: 1

    Regulations on CO2 emission in EU are being tightened up. (decision was made back in 2012, actually)

    All car manufacturers would need to pay about 100 Euros for each extra 1g of CO2 over something around 100g CO2. (that's average over all sold cars)

    Diesel engines are actually more efficient as far as CO2 metrics go, but after VW scandal, demand for diesel cars dropped sharply.

    So the only options car manufacturers (all of them, not only Ford) have, is:
    1) Sell more pure electric vehicles (0 CO2)
    2) Go hybrid
    3) Raise prices

  38. 4G LTE connectivity on ALL car = Tracking nightmar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ford has a horrible privacy policy in line with On stars data slurping practices.

    Only buy a ford if YOU can disable the 4G connectivity.

  39. Low Tech by DarthVain · · Score: 2

    It's not all that bad of an idea. You're really just mitigating the risk of not finding a charging station, which in the early days might be often. I've been looking at a rather expensive electric, but I have trouble getting past the whole 100 or even 200 mile range, and that is if you can find a charging station.

    However conceivably you could just buy an all electric, then throw an electric generator in the trunk, and some gas containers, and that would offset the risk a bit if you do take a long trip someplace... How well that might work would be a good question. That seems very much a Top Gear kind of experiment...