Uber's Self-Driving Cars Were Struggling Before Arizona Crash (nytimes.com)
An anonymous reader quotes a report from The New York Times: Uber's robotic vehicle project was not living up to expectations months before a self-driving car operated by the company struck and killed a woman in Tempe, Ariz. The cars were having trouble driving through construction zones and next to tall vehicles, like big rigs. And Uber's human drivers had to intervene far more frequently than the drivers of competing autonomous car projects. Waymo, formerly the self-driving car project of Google, said that in tests on roads in California last year, its cars went an average of nearly 5,600 miles before the driver had to take control from the computer to steer out of trouble. As of March, Uber was struggling to meet its target of 13 miles per "intervention" in Arizona (Warning: source may be paywalled; alternative source), according to 100 pages of company documents obtained by The New York Times and two people familiar with the company's operations in the Phoenix area but not permitted to speak publicly about it. Yet Uber's test drivers were being asked to do more -- going on solo runs when they had worked in pairs. And there also was pressure to live up to a goal to offer a driverless car service by the end of the year and to impress top executives.
Why does that sound so familiar?
Oh, wait. I'm a software developer.
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Self driving cars are mostly hype. They're primarily self driving on very good, very clean, very well mapped roads only. Take them out of perfect conditions, and they fail miserably.
That being said, the technology is still cool, even though it has a long, long way to go. A lot of the technology could eventually be incorporated into normal everyday cars to help human drivers avoid accidents.
But the hype, at this point, is kind of out of control.
What I'm shocked about is that, of all companies, Uber would make morally dubious decisions in its race to profit off of a new market. I mean, when have they ever acted like that before?
It's always good to remember that a lot of this Uber-basing that has become so fashionable in Silicon Valley and tech journalism today started when Uber's CEO Travis Kalanick dared to *GASP* serve on a Donald Trump advisory panel! When that happened, suddenly all the gushing "Ain't Uber great!" articles disappeared overnight and were replaced with an endless string of "Uber ate my baby!!!!" articles with the underlying thesis that Uber is the root of all evil in the world.
Of course, Uber followed up with the pandering move of booting said heretic CEO out and replacing him with a certified Trump-bashing Iranian immigrant CEO who takes every opportunity to remind everyone how great it is that H1B's are taking American jobs. But that pathetic move not only didn't appease SJW's, but it pretty much ensured that *everyone* was onboard the "Fuck you, Uber!" train.
Sadly, these days EVERYTHING is political. And you have to look at any news reporting VERY critically anytime even a tertiary political connection to pro-Trump or anti-Trump partisans is involved.
Just look at all the shit videogames get from "journalists" these days if they don't check off every single Trump-bashing/"diversity" checkbox.
SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
Really nice company, Uber. Their 19th century attitude towards its employees surely will make them do their very best.
-- Cheers!
Ok, so forcing them to liquidate might be extreme, but clearly there is some kind of regulatory framework missing here!
I hope the victim has some relatives that want to get rich though.
An overhyped technology whole-heartedly cheerleaded by clueless naive geeks and software retards!?
Say it ain't so! (3D printing, asteroid mining, private space, fusion power, Mars colonies)
What I'm shocked about is that, of all companies, Uber would make morally dubious decisions in its race to profit off of a new market. I mean, when have they ever acted like that before?
Yes, I am shocked. SHOCKED!
Clearly, not all autonomous vehicles are the same.
It's very like camera - a cheap one and an expensive one will both offer "autofocus" and "zoom lens"
The cheap one will have 3 or 4 focus settings, while the expensive one will be continuous. The cheap one will have 2 or 3 zoom settings, while the expensive one will, again, be continuous.
So, Uber's cars look to be at the "what is the minimum that can make a car steer itself" end of the scale, and the Google ones are "have we missed anything off the long list of things that will help a car steer itself" end
"She's furniture with a pulse"
Contrary to popular belief, the term jaywalking does not derive from the shape of the letter âoeJâ (referencing the path a jaywalker might travel when crossing a road). Rather, it comes from the fact that âoeJayâ used to be a generic term for someone who was an idiot, dull, rube, unsophisticated, poor, or simpleton. More precisely, it was once a common term for âoecountry bumpkinsâ or âoehicksâ, usually seen incorrectly as inherently stupid by âoecityâ folk.
http://www.todayifoundout.com/...
Yes, Uber has not solved the "moron' human Jaywalking problem.
In GOD we trust, all others we monitor.
Why that's exactly what the parent AC said. Let me read again.... yes, exactly what he said, word for word. So let me read your post again, ah i see, you're saying don't educate the public *at all* and give your life to the hands of the machine 110% while you're crossing a 4 way road while juggling 3 oranges, on a unicycle.
It's so nice putting words in ppls mouths.
Let's look at the data. You people all luv data. One human intervention every 13 miles. Well if a human were driving there would be a human intervention every .5 seconds. Win for uber. Second uber have been driving continuously without coffee cigarette or bathroom breaks. How would you holier than though human drivers perform if you were not allowed bathroom breaks. Win for uber. Last no-one cars about uber lives. That human that tragically lost her life getting in Ubers way was not broadcasting on any kind of transponder device. Her location was not represented on any server. How can uber be expected to know where every human is when they Inisist on sneaking around serruptitiously trying to scare Ubers.
Call this flamebait if you want, but it is my opinion that autonomous vehicles are a bad idea. I am cheering their failure. But, I feel deeply sorry for the person that was killed by the self-driving vehicle in Tempe. That is an extremely unfortunate side effect of this experiment. Autonomous vehicles are an all around bad idea from putting people out of work to safety. There are some things that should remain in control of a human being and one of those is driving.
13 miles per intervention is not a self-driving car. That's alpha-level quality and should not be allowed on public roads.
Agreed. Also, how many of us have had kids run out in front of us? I have. And if I weren't paying attention, the kid, his parents and I would have a very bad year. Who cares who fault it is: I was part of hurting someone.
And so what if someone was an "airhead" and stepped out in front of the car? Doesn't make it OK. The purpose of self-driving cars is to make the roads safer because the machines are supposed to be better than humans.
As Germans would say, Uber Uber uber alles!
Ezekiel 23:20
Sounds like just about every failed IT project. Rush to market, ignore test failures, probably a thermocline of truth.
From what we've been hearing, somebody in the chain of command between the inattentive driver and the CEO, deliberately created this situation and should be charged with manslaughter.
09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
Well then, stop using them. The only way for the market to punish this behavior is to stop using the service. But as we see time and time again, convenience, compliance, and human stupidity will allow them to succeed. We really are out worst enemies.
This is going to change a lot of self driving conversations from here on out. No longer can self driving fans claim that the cars are faster than a human, or can see better and make out shapes better than a human. This still may be true if a theoretical state of perfection is reached between correct (expensive) sensors and programming but there is such a long way to go. Show me an AI that can see a dark mass of shapes and pick out the human or moose standing still. Show me the AI that recognizes every type of throw toy so that it may anticipate someone running out after it into the road. This case only emphasizes the fact that it will be requires, and that the people who were dubious of current technology were right.
Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
The video the police released, did it come directly from the car or did it come from Uber engineers extracting it from the car?
Because it's seriously shit, like its been put through a bokeh or vignette filter to darken the outside.
Uber will probably walk away from this blaming the driver, but you can't have the driver as a safety for the car, because the driver does not know what decisions the car has made till the effects are known.
This isn't an IT project though, it's the real world. Failed IT projects seldom costs lives, just money. This is what the app IT world needs to understand when moving into the real world of engineering. Rushing to market has real consequences.
Yes, indeed. Stop using them. However your alternatives may in the long term become limited, because Uber is one of those companies built around an ideology of market disruption.
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Self driving cars are mostly hype. They're primarily self driving on very good, very clean, very well mapped roads only. Take them out of perfect conditions, and they fail miserably.
But even a car that could drive under such conditions would be extremely useful. Take, for example, public buses. They just drive around the exact same route everyday, and the route in many places is upgraded with special lanes and signalling infrastructure to make their job easier. There is no reason why you couldn't start with replacing such bus routes in cities with moderate weather conditions. Over time a combination of roading infrastructure improvements (special lanes, intersection redesigns, beacons etc) and the tech getting better could easily expand out to cover the majority of vehicle uses in a city. Again, we do this for bicycles and buses, so why is it impossible to imagine it would make sense to do some road works to cater towards driver less cars?
Another example is motorway driving. Motorways are already an extremely controlled and regular environment. It would be great to have a driver less truck that can go door to door, but there is no reason why we can't start with depots built off the side of motorways where local human drivers pick up and drop off longhauled trailers. As for weather conditions guides in the road way and other navigation infrastructure could be added if these problems cannot be dealt with using lidar and cameras.
Yes, I agree that a car you can just dump into an unknown urban environment is a long long way off. But I don't understand the fascination with meeting this goal before driver less vehicles can be useful to us.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
The piece just gave a description of ALL self-driving cars. This is one of the most deluded and unneccessary technologies ever conceived.
By creating a "self-driving" car that cannot avoid hazards like jay-walking pedestrians, this will ultimately force people to become smarter and pay more attention when crossing the road for fear of "Death-by-Uber".
I appreciate that its optimal to test in a live environment but in most cases where clear danger is involved its done with consent.
So i'm wondering when we gave consent for expert system driven cars to be tested on us directly.
Why does that sound so familiar?
Oh, wait. I'm a software developer.
Or you could be involved in DoD weapons development like i was...
Or, just for novelty's sake, the government could actually enforce the law against a corporation. They've been operating illegally for years and they haven't been taken to task for it. In the early days, the drivers didn't even have insurance for commercial driving.
The smartest AI we have right now, not counting IBM's watson, is about as intelligent as a brain-damaged cockroach and that actually is a real scientific assessment from real scientists. I think Time posted that article actually. So they're supposed to know a truck from a building in full context. Really? Does anyone expect a computer to be on par with a human brain on this one? That's ridiculous. We're decades away from a working self-driving car.
Well obviously the brightness on a digital video would be turned up, and the Uber video isn't. Which is suspicious.
I've switch on my front car camera in the dark to see how cheap optics in a car camera behave, its far far brighter than the video Uber released.
I'm guessing the police asked Uber for all the videos they had from the car, and Uber presented this crappy video with the brightness turned down to pretend it was not their fault.
But it was their fault, the regular videos (showing the road is far brighter than presenting in the Uber video) show it was their fault, and Lidar doesn't need light, it's better without the noise from sunlight, so it doesn't care that its dark. Uber's software ignored an obstacle on the road.
Clearly Uber should not be on the road.
thanks to Arstechnica, but none of the main stream press covered it. I hate using the phrase, but it's hard not to notice them all towing Uber's line. But that's kinda the thing with the MSM. They always seem to tow the corporate line. Thanks to that most folks who don't read /. or ars are going to go to bed thinking this crash was unavoidable.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
This may be an ignoreable point, but someone is dead. Maybe some of our attention should be focused on why did the car not Brake, or Veer?
it was derived from a racial slur to make it easier to hand the roads over to cars.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
Why a company would want to get into the self driving car angle of the rideshare market.
We see the reports of the incredibly low profits the drivers currently make, and UBER wants to buy a bunch cars as well? The one thing that drives down profits?
Caution: Contents under pressure
Uber lost $4.5 bn last year, in a revenue stream of $7.5bn. They were evaluated to be next-to-last in a large survey when it comes to AD technology and strategy.
They are the ones with the largest stakes as their current business model is less than solid, and really need to bring AD to the streets ASAP in order to survive.
This accident shows how far they are from that - this accident was not a difficult case from any perspective, sensory (the video shows dashcam footage, without any kind of HDR functionality so the perceived "blackness" is misleading), world model, trajectory estimation, situation analysis or vehicle dynamics. This is a really a 101 case.
If the investors get the picture, they could be less fond of funding this cash burner, which will make Uber default lightening fast. Ubers' demise will probably affect the other AD inverstors' willingess to put up cash, slowing down the entire AD industry... and the "AD winter" may persist until the technology matures.
Even Waymo's 5600miles-between-interventions status is orders of magnitude off from any reasonable target. Do the math; US citizens drive 2.5 trillion miles annually, how many driver-is-supposed-to-intervene incidents would that imply per year? (about 450 million). Multiply that with accident probability for a driver with the alertness of someone who just saw that last 5000 miles pass OK). Even if the probability of a fatal accident would as low as 1 in 1000 for such events, that would translate into about half a million road fatalities. It's slightly larger than the current 30 000 deaths.
At any rate, I doubt that Uber can keep up appearances for the investors long enough for AD to save them.
Jaywalking at night is never an optimal decision but the road is actually quite well lit (unlike the uber cam footage). She lived nearby. She may have crossed dozens or hundreds of times in the past and developed the expectation over time that (human) drivers would slow or stop to let her across. If she saw the car a couple of hundred yards off and it was behaving normally she may not have perceived it as a threat.
Someone is dead because of a faulty development process, which in turn is the result of a toxic business climate.
I suspect this happens more often than we know; it's just seldom that you can connect the dots so readily.
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dah-hum dee-dumb.
There's a reason solving the problem of autonomous vehicles *still* hasn't been completed by *any company* yet, at a cost of billions in investment.
It's one of the most difficult problems ever attempted to be solved.
Some Uber exec comes in and thinks "oh, it'd be great to be the first at this... I'll just tell my team to work faster!" That doesn't make the problem easier to solve.
You can't put a deadline on problem solving and expect it to just magically be solved on time every time.
Human drivers will kill about 100 people in the USA today, world wide it will be close to 2000. Driving also consumes the valuable resource of 4.5 million workers in the USA alone.
Uber might be an easy company for some people to hate (and there are even some people with financial incentive to hate them) but other than the slashdot hate for crypto currencies this is excessive. They also might have the worst self driving car on the road but someone has to be the worst*. We need self driving vehicles and there are going to be accidents. If lax standards means killing 10000 people so that self driving cars that have 50% less fatalities are on the road one month sooner then we have a net saving of 50 000 people. So everyone calling Uber murderers, for them to stop testing and for more stringent controls on self driving cars, statistically you are significantly worse than them. While your at it why don't you donate to Green Peace so they can protect big coal and rail delivery of crude oil?Poor math and critical thinking are what will doom the human race.
*What do you call the person who graduates last in medschool? --------- Doctor.
I'm surprised you didn't get down voted for recommending that.
Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
But marketing tools us it was all rainbows and unicorns as far as the eye could see.
putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
I have never will never used Uber. I also have never owned a car. Car-sharing, public transportation, and bikes have been enough for me. As for disruption, I am willing to bet that Uber will disappear before public transportation does. Disruption cannot be an absolute model.
It happens all the time which is why I am finally running away screaming fro software.
putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
Cars are not allowed to do that. Period. People blind, kids fail to pay attention, roads are icy, people have strokes and heart attacks crossing the street etc. SDV *must* accommodate.
SDV will never take humans out of the look as all software is written by humans
putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
It might be interesting to know who is in charge of this cluster f.
In the early days, the drivers didn't even have insurance for commercial driving.
Shooting down shills is too easy: In the early days, Uber contracted with fully-insured and regulated livery/limo companies.
Don't let the door hit your dumb, lying ass on the way out.
Stop using them. However your alternatives may in the long term become limited
How so? Lyft provides a near identical service, and tends to behave more ethically. So why use Uber?
The question no one is asking remains: Why did the pedestrian cross the road?
To get to the other side?
Until we know, we're just chickens running around with our heads cut off, walking on eggshells.
We don't even know which came first, the chicken or the eggshells.
Adam Ruins Everything gives a great/funny history lesson on how jaywalking became a term for an act that wasn't even a crime until the automobile industry saw their new business model threatened around 100 years ago.
In the past, calling someone a "jay" a bad slur, so calling someone a jaywalker back then was more like, "Dumbass-Walker". Now that slur is a legal term. Imagine having to stand before a judge and plea guilty or not guilty to "dumbf**kery".
When Google opens its mouth, it lies. Various forms of lies, but lies nevertheless.
Google's 5600 miles BEFORE a Human interaction means 5600 miles before an UNEXPECTED Human interaction. Humans are controlling Google's DRONE (not self-driving) cars many many times within that FAKE NEWS 5600 figure.
Google more perfectly maps out the roads to be used with much more up-to-date information. Temp traffic stops, road works and the like are logged daily before the ride, and planned Human interactions programmed into the system.
Google's real work, and the ONLY reason it is even in the (fake) self-driving business is google's trillion dollar project to build the fleets of unmanned drone tanks for the US military. Google is merely perfecting the algorithms and data collecting methods on civilian streets- to later use in its 'terminator' style war machines.
PS Google's amazing search 'algorithms'... tens of thousands of Human workers who daily process search trends and enter new rule sets.
The public face of Google is smoke and mirrors. Behind the scenes, Google is but the R+D arm of the NSA.
Imagine the plight of these poor human beings, "test drivers", who have logged countless miles with their hands hovering near the wheel of an autonomous car. Which takes far more effort than driving. Imagine the stress of being placed in a position of complete helplessness by your very job description. And every time you move the wheel or tap a pedal, a time-stamped log entry is created and you know that your own intuitive sense that something was not quite right, will be analyzed by other persons whose cumulative judgement could cost you your job... should they decide that your correction into the lane or speed adjustment has deprived them the opportunity of analyzing what the AI might have done, seconds hence.
Even worse, imagine what happens to people who completely 'let go' to reduce this stress. They fall within the spectrum of useful idiot to patsy -- set up for a fall -- because the AI they're using may pass a driving test under perfect conditions but it's no licensed driver. If they were in the passenger's seat and a human driver had done something there is always the "what were you thinking" interaction, the human driver catching themselves and (most often) apologizing, thanking the passenger. They are alone in a bobsled, not permitted to steer. Their deep pocket corporation may have promised them the Moon, but it is not capable of absolving them legally from a driver's responsibility.
That is only a taste of what is to come.
I consider the push for self driving cars to share the road with humans to be a malignant global cultural aberration of stupidity. There are no ultimate winners. Economically it is a job-killer in plain sight and I am glad to see Uber drivers rebelling against their duplicitous corporation. AI developers and their in-pocket insurance companies will demand that human drivers be taken off the road NOT from AI's superiority, but to cut corners and push their product onto the market before it is as safe (overall) as once promised, even as safe as a human driver. The corner-shaving tech elite -- and their unwitting stooges -- will become a bourgeoisie menace to everyone, forcing 'lower class' people to walk more than ever before in any developed country, for miles. It is a Darwinian regression. Their children will be helplessly dependent on black box technology, the kind you cannot take charge of and master. Orwellian tracking will flourish because the tech-bastards will decide that every object near public roads must have a transponder, to make their job easier. You will see an era when 'jaywalking' becomes anyone who is out and about without a transponder. Whether they are crossing a road or not. This is a DUMB SORRY-ASS FUTURE .
<blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
Run faster than that lady did.
And don't cross the road slowly at night when and Uber car is coming.
Q: Why didn't the chicken cross the road?
A: Because there might have been an uber car on it.
Agreed! I have never used them, despite their many offers.
Not true. In their early days, when people first heard about them, they were using private cars that didn't have insurance to drive commercially.
It's why the cab companies have been fighting themselves so hard.
The goal of industry is to minimize that risk through law. You canâ(TM)t generally mitigate loss-of-life through law - limitations wonâ(TM)t go that far. In general as a business owner youâ(TM)ll try to minimize it though.
But...thatâ(TM)s only a convention established under current law. Itâ(TM)s an ethical code. It can be changed over time if weâ(TM)re prepared to accept that weâ(TM)ll screw up, but we shouldnâ(TM)t relax the standard to where screw ups become âoemehâ.
We will need to fail and accept, but the punishment needs to meet the ethics such that we donâ(TM)t play fast and loose. There are people out there for which the value of life is zero compared to the value of a dollar. Accept that.
Lyft is uber with more virtue signaling and bandwagoning into sjw witchhunts so it's a wash really.
It happens all the time which is why I am finally running away screaming from software.
For goodness sake, don't scream, that will only make it easier for it to hunt you down.
I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
And you're still wrong.
For us who don't know one way or the other, a small bit of reference from either would be nice.
(different anonymous coward than the previous)
I never used Uber even once because I am not a piece of human shit.
Should hire attentive safety driver who is experienced in reacting when primary driver fails. Japan driving test graders are fairly cautious and attentive ready to take over to avoid an incident and to end the test for safety.
Good luck when a natural disaster hits and ur waiting on the local train and car share to whisk u to safety
Who could believe that a company with Über's reputation would be so bad at engineering?
Maybe they should fire all their engineers and hire some gig workers at very low pay and zero benefits (a.k.a. H-1Bs from India). That would be some really courageous disruption, that would.
Über, Facebook, Google -- boy, oh boy, I just LOVE Silicon Valley. You folks are just sooooooo superior.
Keep up the great work! Yeah!
While the car could have handled the situation better, there was a human driver present who also failed to deal with a pedestrian crossing the multi-lane road in the dark. The pedestrian was the primary error element and the vehicle - and driver - weren't up to compensating for the pedestrian's poor judgement. Why would you walk in front of a lit-up morning vehicle at night? Why?
Only boring people are ever bored.
Real AI is hard, very hard, and when it gets things wrong it can kill people. The other problem with it is that simply throwing money or huge teams at it isn't enough, there is a serious shortage of competent experts - and that's even for ordinary weak AI. For strong AI (what cars ideally need) the number of even half competent experts is next to zero. We know this because there is not a single working true strong AI machine in the world. Yet. :)
Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
The answer is simple actually, it's called the human factor. The car is not prepared to deal with what a human will do, like walk out in front of a car expecting it to stop or a big rig vearing out of its lane. 360 degree coverage.
This isn't an IT project though, it's the real world. Failed IT projects seldom costs lives, just money.
As far as Uber is concerned, that is all this will cost them.
It's easy to lapse into a fantasy about how "controlled" and "orderly" our roadways are. Because that is how they are supposed to be and often, how they actually are.
Until there's an accident. Or construction. Or the traffic is diverted due to some festival or other event. Are you seriously suggesting that you've never seen an accident or stalled car on the road, or that construction isn't a near-permanent feature of most road systems?
These disruptions to the idealized road state are common enough that self-driving systems must be able to handle them. Also what they need to handle? Pedestrians crossing at locations that are not crosswalks. Debris on the road. Potholes. Poor visibility.
People are great at handling exceptions to "normal" like these. We had better set fairly high expectations for self-driving systems to do likewise. They don't have to be perfect but it's unrealistic to expect a human being to intervene with every self-driving car, every time a car gets a flat tire on the freeway. That's just a recipe for trouble.
There is only one way to have driverless cars: controled environment.
1. Put guiding on the road for the cars to follow
2. Put cars on the road
This is the only solution for this problem, this is the only solution that is feasible and can be actually deployed.
What happens when you highjack the controled environment? Well, this can be solved.