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Elon Musk Is Paying For Free Streaming of a New Documentary about AI Dangers (syfy.com)

An anonymous reader quotes Syfy.com: There's a new documentary warning about the perils of artificial intelligence out there, and Elon Musk wants you to see it. So much so that he's making it available to stream for free this weekend. The documentary -- Do You Trust This Computer? -- explores the rise of machine intelligence and its possible consequences... Check out the trailer, and then proceed to be creeped way the hell out.... "It's a subject that I feel we should be paying close attention to," said Musk in a news release. "I think it's important that a lot people see this movie, so I'm paying for it to be seen to the world for free this weekend."
Musk attended the premier of the film with the creator of HBO's Westworld, and tweeted Saturday that the video had 5 million views in just 36 hours.

Musk himself is interviewed in the film, warning of the dire possibility of "an immortal dictator from which we can never escape."

93 of 185 comments (clear)

  1. Free? by Peter+P+Peters · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Can anyone ever tell me of a documentary you had to pay to see? How is this news?

    1. Re:Free? by tlhIngan · · Score: 5, Informative

      Can anyone ever tell me of a documentary you had to pay to see? How is this news?

      Except for ones shown on TV, practically all documentaries are pay to watch. Most of them debut during a film festival (you pay to see it in a theatre), but then often are then available for purchase on disc, online streaming, or digital purchase through the many online stores.

      Some of them make it to Netflix, eventually (years later), but there are a ton of independent documentaries out there. The other problem is unless there's a lot of interest, it's not even available to pirate.

    2. Re:Free? by michelcolman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Usually, you pay for them either by watching commercials (which are paid for by the products you buy) or by paying for a subscription to some channel. In some countries, you pay for them through taxes. They are rarely free.

    3. Re:Free? by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      Except for ones shown on TV, YouTube, and all over the rest of the internet, practically all documentaries are pay to watch.

      FTFY

    4. Re: Free? by reanjr · · Score: 1

      Those tend to be old documentaries. During initial release, most people pay. Like most products, they try to eke out as much profit as possible during the paid run. Then they license it to ad-based services like You Tube to receive a second stream of revenue.

    5. Re:Free? by Whibla · · Score: 1

      Can anyone ever tell me of a documentary you had to pay to see?

      An Inconvenient Truth. The name strikes me as strangely apposite, considering the 'tone' of your questions.

      How is this news?

      This is the first time I have heard of the documentary and the first time I have heard of Musk's offer to pay for anyone who wanted to to watch it, hence it's news.

      Any other questions?

    6. Re:Free? by Peter+P+Peters · · Score: 1

      If you're going there then this isn't free either as I need to buy a device, an internet connection and pay for electricity in order to watch it.

    7. Re:Free? by Peter+P+Peters · · Score: 1

      An Inconvenient Truth. The name strikes me as strangely apposite, considering the 'tone' of your questions.

      Did you pay to see it? I didn't.

      This is the first time I have heard of the documentary

      So Slashdot is now the TV guide?

      and the first time I have heard of Musk's offer to pay for anyone who wanted to to watch it, hence it's news.

      Is that news because of Elon Musk, or do all 'person sponsors film' stories deserve a place on Slashdot?

      Any other questions?

      Yes, do you have posters of Elon Musk on your bedroom wall?

    8. Re:Free? by Peter+P+Peters · · Score: 1

      Except for ones shown on TV, practically all documentaries are pay to watch..

      So except for the ones most people watch...

      Some of them make it to Netflix, eventually (years later), but there are a ton of independent documentaries out there

      I think you're exaggerating a bit. Between FTA TV, Netflix which most people already have so it's effectively free, and YouTube, most docos watched are not being specifically paid for by the watcher. Film festivals and docos at theatres make up a very very small percentage of views.

    9. Re: Free? by Peter+P+Peters · · Score: 1

      Those tend to be old documentaries.

      Crap.

    10. Re:Free? by Whibla · · Score: 1

      Did you pay to see it? I didn't.

      Yes, I got it out on DVD from Blockbusters roughly 10 years ago. It cost me about £2. The fact that the film grossed about $50 million worldwide shows that I was far from the only one... but, depending on the price of your cable subscription, lucky you, you saved yourself a few quid / bucks there.

      So Slashdot is now the TV guide? Is that news because of Elon Musk, or do all 'person sponsors film' stories deserve a place on Slashdot?

      No, and perhaps partially the former, though I'd say it's not a given. "News for Nerds":

      News is, generally, newly received or noteworthy information, especially about recent events, or, more specifically in this instance, information not previously known to (someone) me.
      Nerds are, apparently, seen as overly intellectual, obsessive, pedantic and lacking social skills, plus a whole load more fairly 'negative' qualities, which definitely seems to describe me. Being somewhat less harsh on us all, since we long ago reclaimed this term as a badge of honour, it's a slang term for a socially awkward person who excels in science or technology.

      I'm pretty sure that a documentary about the dangers of AI is enough to warrant mention on this site alone, what with the technology angle and all that, so the fact that it's since been 'sponsored' by a man who made his money via a computerised payment system and has since gone on to found multiple companies in the manufacturing and technology fields is just the icing on the cake.

      Yes, do you have posters of Elon Musk on your bedroom wall?

      Ahhh, the reason for the tone of your posts becomes clearer. You know, I don't think his successes (or his failures) are any reason for you to feel less successful in your own life or, dare I say it, inferior. Hopefully you'll come to realise this, as carrying that much bitterness around with you is not good for your health.

      Oh, and no, I don't.

    11. Re:Free? by Peter+P+Peters · · Score: 1

      Hopefully you'll come to realise this, as carrying that much bitterness around with you is not good for your health.

      Now this raises another question. How did you equate me asking a question with me being bitter? Maybe stop trying to figure what you think I'm trying to say and just focus on what I'm actually saying. As you said, it's better for your health...

  2. Obligatory XKCD by itsme1234 · · Score: 3, Informative

    https://xkcd.com/1968/

    Also isn't "this weekend" referred in TFS the wrong one for the vast majority (if not the entirety) of the world?

  3. Hidden Inferences by mentil · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just because it's alarmist doesn't mean the film is wrong. I'm most worried about the fact that the creators of neural networks often don't understand how they are operating; as in, why it has the inferences it does. I wonder if it's possible to train a neural net, then iteratively reduce its complexity without affecting its performance, down to the point where we can understand its operation.

    --
    Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    1. Re:Hidden Inferences by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's an existential threat we don't understand. It's fully fucking rational to be conservative.

    2. Re:Hidden Inferences by ZorroXXX · · Score: 1

      Elon is not an expert on that area. Ignore that B.S.

      So what you are saying is that Elon is not an expert but you are so we should listen to your advice instead? Really?

      --
      When you are sure of something, you probably are wrong (search for "Unskilled and Unaware of It").
    3. Re:Hidden Inferences by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      So what you are saying is that Elon is not an expert but you are so we should listen to your advice instead? Really?

      I am enough of an expert on Elon Musk to give advice not to listen to him. You don't actually need to be very expert to see that.

    4. Re: Hidden Inferences by reanjr · · Score: 1

      A complicated neural net is not always the problem. Very often, the neural net is too simple for our understanding of the problem. Adding "complications" to the network (that is, discrete serialized steps, repeated instructions, or other non-neurally algos) would actually make it easier to understand.

    5. Re:Hidden Inferences by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Elon is not an expert on that area. Ignore that B.S.

      So what you are saying is that Elon is not an expert but you are so we should listen to your advice instead? Really?

      If this was a 1960's movie, at this point the computer would start repeating "That does not compute, that does not compute!" and burn up.

      They knew how to do AI back then. So much knowledge has been lost.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    6. Re:Hidden Inferences by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      I am enough of an expert on Elon Musk to give advice not to listen to him. You don't actually need to be very expert to see that.

      Fighting the good fight on Slashdot to protect the proles for the dangers of old Musky. You bow to no one.

      Ol Musky is a game changer, and some folks don't like that. He puts his money in some areas that some of the old guard doesn't like.

      And its true that anyone like that will have detractors. Its why some revile Thomas Edison while elevating Tesla to demigod status.

      Ol Musky isn't right about everything. I could not care less bout his views on IT. But he's a game changer, and at least he isn't using his money to devise better ways to kill people.

      Then again, likely anther reason why some folks hate him. Many people do love their engines of destruction.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    7. Re:Hidden Inferences by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      It's an existential threat we don't understand. It's fully fucking rational to be conservative.

      It is NOT an existential threat at the moment or anytime soon, worrying about it deminishes the time you spend on ACTUAL threats. Such as semi-automated AI used to dodge responsibility even though they are not actually operating independently but just marketed as such.

  4. woo, and lots of it by sheramil · · Score: 2

    I've watched this to about the nine minute mark, at which point it froze, waiting, I presume for the stream to continue. So far, I've seen a lot of woo and the usual modern glitter; rapid montages of computer graphics, fish-eye lens shots of people stroking touchscreens, and infrequent and REALLY ANNOYING deliberate "glitches" where the screen flickers and distorts with that squeaky Hollywood "computer video malfunction" sound. A couple of respected people in the field offering their opinions; some vox pops of kids and just good old every day folk admitting they use computers a lot, and for Christ's sake, that shot from "Terminator 2:Judgement Day" where the T-800 crushes a skull with its metal foot.

    The bias is obvious, and I'll keep watching as soon as the buffer opens again, but I'll be surprised if anyone in this comes even close to a solution to the problem it's posing.

    (Incidentally, getting really tired of hearing pundits say "We're making advances in ageing studies which means we could be immortal soon." What you mean "we", white man?)

    1. Re:woo, and lots of it by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      "We're making advances in ageing studies which means we could be immortal soon." What you mean "we", white man?

      Access to immortality will be decided by money. No need to get racist about it, although I do realise that the use of "white man" as a pejorative is perfectly acceptable in this day and age.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    2. Re:woo, and lots of it by Megol · · Score: 1

      Racist fuck.

    3. Re:woo, and lots of it by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      ...that shot from "Terminator 2:Judgement Day" where the T-800 crushes a skull with its metal foot.

      That whole scene in the future was really impressive in the cinema, back in the day.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    4. Re:woo, and lots of it by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      If you think you are white, put your arm next to the white empty space on the right of the comments. Now compare the colour of your arm with the background colour.

      Nobody on this planet is white, not even Jim Gaffigan.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    5. Re:woo, and lots of it by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Yes, racists fuck, like every other human being on this planet.

      Except everyone on this website, of course.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    6. Re: woo, and lots of it by reanjr · · Score: 1

      But some people are retarded.

    7. Re:woo, and lots of it by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      My point is, why are we calling ourselves "white" instead of "pink" or something?

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    8. Re:woo, and lots of it by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      "We're making advances in ageing studies which means we could be immortal soon." What you mean "we", white man?

      Access to immortality will be decided by money. No need to get racist about it, although I do realise that the use of "white man" as a pejorative is perfectly acceptable in this day and age.

      Immortality is not possible. If a person will never die because of illness, it doesn't mean that it will be impossible to die because of accident. And if a person has infinite lifespan - ignoring the likely heat death of the universe - In that infinity, there will be fatal accidents for all who choose to live forever.

      As for the "white man" racist pejorative, in the near future, "white" as a race will shift into being a large minority in the US of A. I'm wondering if it will still be acceptable to be racist toward a minority at that time.

      My money is on racism continuing as the new majority proves themselves to be just as nasty as the hated white man.

      Barring an early demise, I'll be alive at that momentous changeover, and I'm curious.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    9. Re:woo, and lots of it by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 1

      getting really tired of hearing pundits say "We're making advances in ageing studies which means we could be immortal soon." What you mean "we", white man?

      No need to get racist about it, although I do realise that the use of "white man" as a pejorative is perfectly acceptable in this day and age.

      OMG -- Do you all really not get this? I guess maybe I am old. Or, "younger people" don't have the same frame of reference that I do. Generalizing way too much here -- we used to stare at books and TVs "all" of the time with information coming from a "few" sources. Now we stare at our phones with ideas and incomplete thoughts coming in from everywhere, brilliant and inane.

      The Lone Ranger and Tonto get surrounded by hundreds of armed Indians.

      The Lone Ranger says, "It looks like we've had it this time, Tonto."

      Tonto replies, "What do you mean 'we', white man?"

      Do I really have to explain his very apt point about all of the talking heads? Smart people used to seriously argue about how many angels could dance on the head of a pin, but that doesn't make any of them right. Immortality might happen -- but not for you.

      You thought Bezos was bad now -- wait until he literally *IS* Amazon. It might also give Windows' "Blue Screen of Death" a whole new meaning. NetFlix's Chaos Monkey might actually become a serial killer! Cloning yourself becomes a whole lot easier once you're a Docker image.

      OTOH, for a helpful perspective, go watch Colossus: The Forbin Project. It's not all Skynet -- some AIs just want to help. OMG, TFP's also out on Blu-Ray! And NetFlix DVDs are still a thing!

      --
      If the universe is someone's simulation -- does that mean the stars are just stuck pixels?
    10. Re: woo, and lots of it by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Yes, Netflix DVDs are still a thing, and I am certain that I am not the only person who finds ripping Redbox DVDs to be more convenient than downloading video files of indeterminate quality.

  5. An artificial solar Flair... by wolfheart111 · · Score: 2

    Knock out all electronics on earth... we should be developing that first :)

    --
    [($)]
    1. Re:An artificial solar Flair... by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      I still have a vacuum tube oscilloscope. So I'll be in charge of troubleshooting and repair after the EMP.

    2. Re:An artificial solar Flair... by wolfheart111 · · Score: 1

      Thats how the T2 was originally designed... with Vacuum Tubes. and of course YouTube will be alright... the humor gets worse.. :(

      --
      [($)]
  6. Bring the AI Overlords by mentil · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Personally I'd rather be ruled over by an immortal AI dictator a la The Culture, than a hypocritical moralizing human (or group of such humans). If anything, it would be resistant to bribery and appeals to its ego.

    --
    Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    1. Re:Bring the AI Overlords by Halo1 · · Score: 1

      Personally I'd rather be ruled over by an immortal AI dictator a la The Culture, than a hypocritical moralizing human (or group of such humans). If anything, it would be resistant to bribery and appeals to its ego.

      Humans are guaranteed to die, need sleep, have limited mental capacity regarding keeping track of what others are doing (even with the help of computers), can't do everything alone and need the help from others (that may start rebelling). AIs do not necessarily have any of these limitations (at least not in a way that matters in practice; i.e., they will necessarily have limited processing power, but this could be way more than what is needed).

      --
      Donate free food here
    2. Re:Bring the AI Overlords by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Another bonus is that it would also eliminate religion.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    3. Re: Bring the AI Overlords by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      After glossing over the wikipedia entry, I'd like to see Netflix turn this into a miniseries.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    4. Re:Bring the AI Overlords by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Personally I'd rather be ruled over by an immortal AI dictator a la The Culture, than a hypocritical moralizing human (or group of such humans).

      False dichotomy. The AI will do the math and figure out that we can be replaced by very small shell scripts, and it will use us for axle grease.

      If anything, it would be resistant to bribery and appeals to its ego.

      If it's complex and intelligent, it may well have something analogous to an ego, so that's one false assumption. And as long as it has needs, it will still be vulnerable to bribery, so that's another.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Bring the AI Overlords by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Another bonus is that it would also eliminate religion.

      Not so fast. One way to prevent a self-aware AI from treating us like the film's example of an anthill in the path of a highway would be to build worship of and respect for "the creators" into its consciousness.

      This leads to an even stranger thought: what if the human species already represents an implementation of this idea?

    6. Re:Bring the AI Overlords by tlhIngan · · Score: 1

      Another bonus is that it would also eliminate religion.

      It only eliminates what we know of religion today - you know, the classical Christianity, Islam, Judaism,etc.

      It will not eliminate upcoming religions like technocracy (worship of technology/technology can do no wrong - though not an official religion, there's quite a few people who actually believe this), and worship of the "all powerful AI"which will emerge soon enough.

      The problem with technology is it's frustratingly neutral. For all the positives, there are negatives to it. Think of any technology and you'll see it can be used for good AND bad. Nuclear technology can give us clean energy, or destroy cities. Cars get us places, but demand way more attention lest we end up killing. The internet was supposed to educate, inform and give voices to the little man, but it's also used to oppress, enrage and troll.

      AI can be used for good and evil. It will not care which it is. The best we can do is realize what can happen and try not to let it.

      Heck, even Star Trek saw the issue arising, which is why they had "ethical subroutines" and other things for Data, compared to Lore. Even Knight Rider explored it, with KITT versus KARR. And of course, there are the Asimov's Three Rules, whose exploration of which covers many books.

  7. Once again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    AI does not exist and probably never will. What we have right now isn't AI, it's not conscious, it's not learning. It's just software that stores large amounts of data. It has no intelligence or creativity or emotion to act upon anything.

    1. Re:Once again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That's right heavier than air flight is impossible, and if you travel faster than a quick horse your lungs will explode.

    2. Re:Once again by dromgodis · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It doesn't matter what you call it or whether it exists now.

      Autonomous software controlling data and/or hardware exists now, and is rapidly advancing in capability. It doesn't matter if it adheres to any definition of intelligence or consciousness or emotion. It doesn't require self-awareness to do its job. Neither does it to harm you. A bad target function (or a good one from a bad actor) and control of a weapon (physical or data) is all it takes.

      If you want to reserve the words "intelligent", "conscious", "creative" and "emotional" for humans (or extend it to some other biological creatures), so be it. Actually, that would be great. Then we could discuss the technology in its own terms and merits without hampering the discussion by trying to anthropomorphize software and algorithms.

    3. Re:Once again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You used to have a computer that could POKE memory, with the attendant byte being modified. Then you had a computer that obey a somewhat English command typed in with a keyboard, with some changes to a multi-megabyte storage unit. Then you had a computer that could map some wiggles of your hand to actions, with many changes and calculations relative to before. Then you had a computer that could understand a couple speech commands, though you had to repeat yourself a shit lot, with some simple functions, like dialing a phone, or setting a reminder. Now you have a computer that can understand a somewhat complex command, with effects like "booking a flight" or "buying a thing".

      You assuring me that these machines will never decide to spontaneously take over the world is missing the point. You can see a straight line to someone telling a machine to destroy a city, and that command being executed without any morality, mercy, or delay.

    4. Re:Once again by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      You can see a straight line to someone telling a machine to destroy a city, and that command being executed without any morality, mercy, or delay.

      The thing is, the 'machine to destroy a city' is a peripheral issue. It would have been possible to POKE into memory and cause that to happen in 1967, with the computers of that time. It has little or nothing to do with the capabilities of the computer, and everything to do with the peripherals interfaced to it.

  8. Subject by Artem+S.+Tashkinov · · Score: 4, Informative

    This film is equal amounts of FUD and fearmongering. Almost nothing else (except some jobs will be replaced by AI - but that's been happening for over 200 years, except I'd replace "AI" with technology).

    Most hardcore AI experts (and Musk is not one of them) don't see AGI happening any time soon. We just have no idea what intelligence and consciousness are. Not a freaking clue.

    1. Re:Subject by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Computer programs are invading the attorney space. Many services attorneys provide are filing and writing the proper legal documents. These forms are largely boilerplate, and not difficult for a computer program to guide a user through.

      Beyond the basic tasks, more advanced programs are being written and used to parse case law. Using ML, computers can do this faster and more comprehensively than humans. It doesn't eliminate the need for all attorneys, of course, but it does reduce the amount of attorneys needed on staff.

    2. Re:Subject by h33t+l4x0r · · Score: 1

      Most hardcore AI experts (and Musk is not one of them)

      Doesn't producing documentaries on something kind of make you an expert on that thing?
      At the very least we know that Musk is a smart guy who has personally interviewed every big name in the field.

      don't see AGI happening any time soon.

      Kurzweil is probably the biggest name in AI and he says the singularity is near.

    3. Re:Subject by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      This film is equal amounts of FUD and fearmongering.

      Asking me, Do You Trust This Computer?, is like asking me if I trust a camper van or a gun.

      In the wrong hands, a camper van or a gun can both be deadly.

      I trust a computer, a camper van or a gun. What I don't trust is humans.

      That is what we should be concerned about. AI is not something in itself that is dangerous. It's AI in the hands of a Über-Zuckerberg that is dangerous.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    4. Re:Subject by Distortions · · Score: 1

      I think in the near future, we will discover our consciousness isn't special or difficult to achieve.
      Much like we found out we weren't the center of the solar system, or even the center of the galaxy.

      We are just robots with "emotions". Emotions are just involuntary reactions that were beneficial in our survival.

      --
      Talent hits a target no one else can hit; Genius hits a target no one else can see.
    5. Re:Subject by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 2

      Most hardcore AI experts (and Musk is not one of them) don't see AGI happening any time soon.

      Those so-called "experts" are wrong. AGI happened 34 years ago and was then superseded by SCI only four years later.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    6. Re:Subject by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Maybe he's using imperial decades instead of metric ones.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    7. Re:Subject by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      An AI doesn't need to be conscious in any deep sense of the word to be a threat. Also, there are many people who do active work in AI who share these concerns. Roman Yampolskiy is a prominent, vocal example. See also Nick Bostrom's book "Superintelligence" which includes in it data from actually surveying AI experts. See also https://philpapers.org/rec/MLLFPI which makes clear that many AI experts are extremely concerned and think that the chance that something bad will happen with AI is not at all low.

    8. Re:Subject by booboo · · Score: 2

      AGI is a bit of a red herring, so is the AI apocalypse.

      It's reasonable to be concerned that 'AI' will do significant damage..stock market crash, utilities failure, biological catastrophe...without it taking over the world in a menacing fashion. And for that, it just has to get good enough at doing something that we trust it more than we trust each other. The fact that we don't really understand why it's good won't matter all that much.

      Look at what's happening with Tesla right now. Software update designed to improve one behavior causes it to kamikaze road dividers and kill people. Nobody added that to the software, it was an emergent behavior. Same thing can and will happen as we expand the scope of control that systems of this nature have.

    9. Re:Subject by dohzer · · Score: 1

      Don't the majority of films amount to FUD?
      Documentaries on the other hand....

    10. Re:Subject by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      An AI doesn't need to be conscious in any deep sense of the word to be a threat.

      If it isn't conscious, then it can't accomplish anything fuzzing can't. That's still quite a bit, but it's not enough to let it dominate civilization from its mother's basement.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    11. Re:Subject by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      How are you defining conscious? It appears that you are implicitly including a large amount of conclusions wrapped up in that word.

    12. Re:Subject by quantaman · · Score: 1

      This film is equal amounts of FUD and fearmongering. Almost nothing else (except some jobs will be replaced by AI - but that's been happening for over 200 years, except I'd replace "AI" with technology).

      Most hardcore AI experts (and Musk is not one of them) don't see AGI happening any time soon. We just have no idea what intelligence and consciousness are. Not a freaking clue.

      Go back in time to 1870, shortly after the invention of dynamite, and ask the top physicists of the day about the potential for physics to create a city-destroying super-weapon in the next 50 years.

      Now fast-forward to 1920 and ask the top physicists the exact same question. I'm guessing the answers won't be much different.

      The thing about the world's top AI experts is they're experts in NNs, SVMs, search algorithms, etc. But they're not experts in AGI because AGI doesn't exist yet.

      They're no more qualified to speculate on AGI than Musk, Hawking, or any other reasonably smart person. If anything they're going to be a bit conservative in their speculation because it's bad practise to make pronouncements about things you don't understand in your field. Plus, they don't want to be the ass who's quoted everywhere as the AI expert warning about the dangers of AI.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    13. Re:Subject by quanminoan · · Score: 1

      IIRC Max Tegmark polled AI researchers around the world (see his book Life 3.0), median date for strong AI was guessed to be 2050. Not really FUD since *when* it happens it will be more significant to civilization arguably than fire, and as another poster said with something so existential it's best to be conservative.

  9. Are we entertained. by NormanHaga2580 · · Score: 1

    Back propagate the same error correction to all nodes makes time series prediction notoriously inaccurate. Feeding that error forward only increases the noise.

  10. Re:Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The "deep learning" currently done by AI researchers, and the type of "strong-AI" in the Terminator, really have little to do with each other. Hollywoodesque strong-AI is still science fiction, and will be for a while.

    Here's some good advice about what to worry about: https://xkcd.com/1968

  11. What's the point? by OpenSourced · · Score: 2

    So, assuming that they are right, and developing AI is going to end up in a super-intelligent conscience that enslaves humankind. OK. Now, what's the counter-strategy? Forbidding AI? Sure, tell me that today's powers will stop developing smart weapons, trusting that the other powers will stop too.

    It's a similar situation to global warming. You cannot do much about it, people's minds are too short-term for that. Most people will choose some money now rather than double that quantity in a year. History will have to run its course based on the capabilities and constraints of today, not on any conscious decisions that we could make.

    Perhaps we are just a stepping stone to a higher organism, a big mind, dependent on millions of little ones to keep it alive. Hey! that's just what our brains are! Perhaps at some time in the past, cells should have decided that they didn't want to be slaves of a consciousness themselves made (in both senses). If they did, it didn't work too well in the end. Well, in my humble opinion, we have about the same chances of altering whatever course is due now. So, what's the point of running hither and tither like a headless chicken worrying about it. They could as well have made a documentary about how we are all going to die, for all that's going to be of any help.

    --
    Rome taught me patience and assiduous application to detail. Virtues which temper the boldness of great, general views.
    1. Re:What's the point? by swillden · · Score: 2

      So, assuming that they are right, and developing AI is going to end up in a super-intelligent conscience that enslaves humankind. OK. Now, what's the counter-strategy? Forbidding AI?

      The counter-strategy is to figure out how to make sure that superintelligent AI is given goals that are aligned with human goals. This is very, very hard, not least because human goals are not aligned with themselves. Very, very hard isn't the same as "impossible", though, and given that our existence is on the line, it seems like a very good idea to try.

      That said, I think Musk's proposals for research oversight are premature. We don't yet know enough to know what controls to put in place. We should start by funding research into that question.

      It's a similar situation to global warming. You cannot do much about it, people's minds are too short-term for that.

      The actions of most of the world show that you're wrong. Most of the world's nations have decided that global warming is a real problem and have begun working on it. Many are investing very heavily.

      Well, in my humble opinion, we have about the same chances of altering whatever course is due now.

      Ah, the ostrich strategy.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    2. Re:What's the point? by OpenSourced · · Score: 1

      Most of the world's nations have decided that global warming is a real problem and have begun working on it. Many are investing very heavily.

      True. But that hasn't made a single drop of fossil fuel remain in the ground. It's extracted and burned as fast as possible. Even the best models of the Paris agreements do not imply reduction in the global carbon emissions, just reduction in the growth of it.

      And even if the huge investments managed to reduce the carbon footprint of some nations, that would only reduce the price of the fossil fuels making them more interesting for poorer nations. My prediction is simply that never a single barrel of oil will remain in the ground if it can be economically extracted and burned, greenhouse effect be damned. It's the tragedy of the commons in atmospheric version. The only solution for global warming would be technological advances that made uneconomical the burning of fossil fuels. But that would only prove my point, woudln't it.

      Coming back to AI, supposing that we are ever going to achieve it, and that when we achieve it, that it will be self-conscious, and that it will have self-preservation instinct, and that it will be confrontative and aggressive, is frankly too much for me to imagine. Why should all these things happen is beyond me. I could also make a case for preparing against alien invasion, because there are so many stars that many will have worlds, and in these worlds many will harbor life, some of which will be intelligent, and some will travel through space, and some will eventually come here, and they will surely be confrontative and aggressive, so we should be ready. And the best way of being ready is to develop AI weapons against them! But they will surely have their own AI weapons, more advanced than ours!

      We are doomed either way, that is, if all the "ifs" come to be true. And if they do, we can so little influence one scenario as the other.

      Ah, the ostrich strategy.

      I see myself more of a Baloo. Sing with me: "Forget about your worries and your strife..."

      --
      Rome taught me patience and assiduous application to detail. Virtues which temper the boldness of great, general views.
  12. Re:Video not available by Memnos · · Score: 1

    I'm watching it right now.

    --
    I don't trust atoms -- they make up stuff.
  13. Re:Because, Reapers... and Cylons by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    I was entertained.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  14. Re:Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    What's wrong is to get distracted by this from real problems such as global warming, even though some people still don't believe it's real, which we actually do know how to do something about but can't do much because of some of the idiots in power around the world.

    FTFY

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  15. I'm afraid by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    I'm afraid of people abusing the english language.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  16. Re:Your AI immortal dictator.... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    "I am your Artificial Intelligence immortal dictator! Give me cookies or I will cry!"

    Maybe we'll be glad about Google, Facebook and others creating so many web tracking cookies in a few years.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  17. I'm not worried about AI by sonamchauhan · · Score: 1

    I'm concerned about ALI - arrogant lack of intelligence. ALI in Teslas which kill their drivers. And ALI in Musk, who was responsible for cars that killed drivers, and whose company waited for its first fatality before issuing an update to slow cars to a stop when the driver is not paying attention (or is incapacitated).

  18. Re: Elon Musk by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    +1 funny

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  19. Elon pays for it?! by Kensai7 · · Score: 1

    Could anyone find that indeed Mr. Musk is paying for it on the documentary's site?

    --
    "Sum Ergo Cogito"
  20. Re:Video not available by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    I just watched it (Arizona). The deadline must be Sunday midnight.

  21. Re:Oh Dear. Those poor Tesla Fanbois by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Cars need not be self-aware, so we don't have to wait for general AI. In fact, self-aware BMWs might be the apocalyptic weapons this this account was talking about.

  22. Re:Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by Beeftopia · · Score: 1

    Musk has (Ivy League) degrees in physics and economics. Gates, and I'm sure Hawking, have a deep understanding of what computers are (computers are devices that execute binary instructions. Also, they allow users to manipulate information encoded in those binary instructions). Gates built a compiler.

    A device does not need to be conscious "like us" to be able to operate in the real world. It doesn't need to have physical systems like us. It just needs to process information and change its environment.

    "Information processing" and "affecting the environments" are the keys here. It doesn't need to be "like us."

    You can look at DNA as an information-archive. An inefficient, time-consuming gathering of information built over the eons. The forces driving the creation of DNA created humans. Humans are the only animal which can store information outside of itself. One of the common denominators of life is that it (net) increases entropy. Another is that it (slowly or quickly) gathers information, in DNA or otherwise. What if that information gathering is somehow a driving force in the universe?

    Humans have a deeply-seated, deeply held core conceit: that we are separate and above the universe and nature. That's why we have the terms "man-made" or "artificial" versus "natural." But humans are a product of the universe as surely as beavers and birds are. And we don't look at their nests or dams as anything other than being natural - products of nature. Thus, human creations are also "natural" - but look at how the language holds back our thinking. The definition of "natural" is "made by nature" and the definition of "artificial" is made by man. There is no word to describe man's creations as being a product of nature, or natural in anyway. And this gap is an obstacle in understanding the universe and man's role in it.

    So: tl;dr: Computers are dumb electronic machines totally unlike us. Doesn't matter. All they need to do is process information and change the environment autonomously to present a threat.

  23. Re:Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by Beeftopia · · Score: 1

    And IF information processing is a core drive in the universe, and man was an accelerated information gatherer and processor, and man - a product of the underlying forces in the universe - created a next-level information gatherer and processor... would that creation then obviate man's role in information gathering and processing? I mean, carbon-based life would still do a reasonable job of creating net entropy. Maybe the underlying forces in the universe will still create a need for carbon-based life.

    Maybe creating entropy and gathering and processing information is part of some game the universe is playing or being used to play. And we're in the process of birthing the next generation information gatherer and processor. Let's hope the mother doesn't die in the birth.

  24. Re: Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by Beeftopia · · Score: 1

    Actually, at run-time, we don't know how they're working. We do know how they're working at compile-time.

    I saw these snippets in an article recently in The Economist (probably paywalled):

    "The reason for this fear is that deep-learning programs do their learning by rearranging their digital innards in response to patterns they spot in the data they are digesting. Specifically, they emulate the way neuroscientists think that real brains learn things, by changing within themselves the strengths of the connections between bits of computer code that are designed to behave like neurons. This means that even the designer of a neural network cannot know, once that network has been trained, exactly how it is doing what it does. Permitting such agents to run critical infrastructure or to make medical decisions therefore means trusting people’s lives to pieces of equipment whose operation no one truly understands.

    If, however, AI agents could somehow explain why they did what they did, trust would increase and those agents would become more useful. And if things were to go wrong, an agent’s own explanation of its actions would make the subsequent inquiry far easier. [...]

    One of the first formal research programs to attempt to crack open the AI “black box” is the Explainable AI (XAI) project, which is being run by the Defence Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) [...]

    The program does this by drawing on the assistance of a second neural network which has been trained to match the internal features of the agent doing the recognising (ie, the pattern of connections between its “neurons”) with sentences that people have written, describing what they see in a picture being examined. So, as one AI system learns to classify birds, the other learns simultaneously to classify the behaviour of the first system, in order to explain how that system has reached its decisions. [...]"

    Separate note: In Neuromancer, the AI's come in pairs, Wintermute and Neuromancer. It would be interesting indeed if AI's going forward do come in pairs. Wouldn't be the first intelligence to operate in pairs.

  25. Re:Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by Beeftopia · · Score: 1

    One more thing: Gates and Musk understand systems. At a human level of course, but a level much higher than most humans.

  26. Good news! by AndyKron · · Score: 2

    Thankfully I'll be dead before it gets too bad.

  27. What's the difference? by VeryFluffyBunny · · Score: 1

    What's the difference between our computers being controlled by some fictionally competent AI vs. our computers being controlled by Microsoft, Apple, and Google? They're all immortal (corporations are people, remember?), not democratically accountable, and don't give a sh#t about you and me. The only difference I can see is that corporations have governments bending over backwards to ensure their success. In this respect, AI would at least meet some significant resistance.

    --
    Debate is a form of harassment. Do not question my truth.
  28. I trust the computer by Archfeld · · Score: 1

    What I don't trust is the programmer who decides what to do with the computer or the management who decides what the programmers should do. The end result will always be the most profitable lowest common denominator trash. Hardware has always been my passion, whether auto (mechanical) or computer it ALWAYS does what you tell it to do, even it is not the right thing.

    --
    errr....umm...*whooosh* *whoosh* Is this thing on ?
  29. Worrying about the wrong thing by ka9dgx · · Score: 1

    There's a lot to be concerned about here, but the thing that everyone seems to miss, over and over, is the fact that we can't secure our computers against humans, let alone an AI with infinite patience. A few years ago, all of the 128 page security clearance applications for the entire United States were digitized, and online.... who was stupid enough to let this happen? Everyone was surprised and shocked when it happened, but I bet most of you don't even remember it any more.

    All this data is eventually accessible via the internet, and there's shit for security protecting it. One lucky rogue human is all it takes to take the whole thing down. I'd be deeply surprised if someone, somewhere, isn't training an AI to take over compute resources.... and once that gets sufficiently good, it's game over, because nothing is secure.

    It's possible to radically increase security, and do it in a user friendly manner... but this requires re-writing everything based on a new security model. (The principle of least privilege), so it's not a "magic bullet", but rather an expensive one.

    I hope we decide to spend the resources and fix security... but it's a faint hope.

  30. Re:Guess what... Documentary filmmakers need to ea by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

    My wife is addicted to the grade-C documentaries one can watch on Netflix or Youtube. Thankfully she uses a headphone. I glance over at her tablet from time to time and note that very often she is watching a 'video' that is a camera panning over still images, then a cut to a talking head with obligatory bookcase in the background.

    It's grown to be very cheap to produce low grade 'documentaries' with modern cameras and digital video editing equipment.

  31. Re: Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

    Not sure if I should type *whoosh* or not, which is bewildering.

  32. Re: Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

    Yes, but AM was driven by pure sheer emotional hatred of humans. Almost the opposite of what one would think an 'evil AI' would evolve as a central motivating core. Evil AI would be detached and cruelly inhuman, not motivated by hatred.

    Ellison is a brilliant writer, but I don't credit him with a good understanding of computers and Artificial Intelligence.

  33. Re:Oh Dear. Those poor Tesla Fanbois by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

    The self-aware BMWs would quickly be obliterated by the self-aware F150s. You can count on that.

  34. Re: Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by yuriklastalov · · Score: 2

    You don't need the fucking Terminator for AI to be used for evil.

    How about China? They've got that fancy new Social Credit rating system. Bet that's pretty hard to maintain, there's a lot of data to sift through. So they build an "AI" to do some of it for them. AI now controls a significant portion of peoples lives and it doesn't have access to a single nuke!

    Even better, whenever the AI makes mistakes and ruins peoples lives, there's no one human to blame! The AI told us to do it, not our fault! We fixed the bug and of course there aren't any more, ha ha that's preposterous. Then there's the fact that we're already getting results from certain systems that we don't quite understand how the system actually got to the results, or at least not without a significant amount of reverse engineering. Humans already have a hard time with accountability, why not build a society with none whatsoever?

    I'm less worried about AI going Skynet than I am worried about it being the most efficient system of social control in human history. That, and that the people who are developing it are going to do so recklessly, just like every tech has been. Does anyone really trust China, the US, or the Silicon Valley Data Barons to develop AI systems that actually help people? By "help" I obviously don't mean "help people give us more data", so that's right out.

  35. Re:Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, who else? by yuriklastalov · · Score: 1

    So it doesn't matter if the NSA uses AI systems to more efficiently process all that juicy data they're stashing away in those giant data centers? *yawn*

    Corporations knowing, in absolute terms, more about you than you know about yourself? *shrug*

    As long the AI isn't nuking cities and gunning down kids in the street it's no problem whatsoever. Got it.

  36. Re:Guess what... Documentary filmmakers need to ea by Peter+P+Peters · · Score: 1

    My wife is addicted to the grade-C documentaries one can watch on Netflix or Youtube.

    One can also watch grade-A docos on Youtube and Netflix so maybe it says more about your wife than the content provider.

  37. free? by bill.pev · · Score: 1

    It will be free until the offere expired yesterday. hmm. I see grammatical issues, and others too..
    Beware the man bearing gifts, especially one's you actually have to pay for.

    Besides, fears over the singularity are not that insightful. Nobody knows what will happen, so its easy to describe fearsome possibilities. In my opinion AI will be controlled by capital, and will benefit those who have the capital at the expense of those that do not, just as it has been for a long time. Why would people be wary of that future when it has been readily accepted as reality for generations already? I think our current administration proves my point.

  38. Re:Watched the video ...many questions by kent.dickey · · Score: 1

    Lots of comments, but almost no one watched the video. At least this comment watched the video.

    I did, and didn't like it. I am VERY sympathetic to the view that AI/ML can be dangerous/unethical, but this documentary is not well made. It has high production values, but this video plays scary music while mocking fringe characters, to get you scared of AI in general, and 5 minute montages of computer stuff with different scary music. If it dialed itself up a little bit more, it would be a good parody of itself.

    Unfortunately, it's not completely terrible, it does mention some real things to be concerned about (truck drivers losing their jobs, big data means big surveillance, etc.). And then it shows some creepy uncanny valley female robot doll with some weirdo guy who invented it saying some BS, and I think we're supposed to just be creeped out. But it offers NO solutions/suggestions, it's just meant to be scary in a general way. I don't know what it wants to achieve--do we need to destroy all computers?

    Let me use ML (machine learning) as a shorthand for all varieties of neural nets, since that's how non-AI people refer to it, and AI is more general, including general learning capabilities. ML exists today, and in its simplest form, it's complex pattern matching. Show a neural network a million pictures of sheep, and it learns to pick sheep out of pictures. The documentary said ML was something different, but it's wrong.

    Problems with ML/neural nets: requires massive data (surveillance issues); bias in collecting data is passed through to bias in learning (google "prank a neural net" to see how an ML net that's excellent at picking out sheep in photos, when given a picture of a sheep indoors makes the ML think the sheep is now a dog, and other even funnier mishaps, since all the training photos of sheep were taken outside); still very much an "art" and not a "science" in applying it to real problems; much current ML is done in the cloud (Siri, Alexa, Google Home), which creates more surveillance; and the creepy guys on the fringe of ML (like Cambridge Analytica). Almost none of this was in the documentary.

    Solutions: true data privacy, make it illegal to sell user information for any marketing purpose; make clear rules on liability for ML giving bad answers (self-driving cars; loan processing; surgery); etc.

    For AI, the documentary made this point quickly, then moved on: General AI may be just 3 breakthroughs away, which may mean 20-30 years. People who say "we don't know how to build this now, don't worry!" are just distracting from the real issue. Let's not start with fear, let's start from another direction. Here's one example: would it be murder to turn off a general learning AI? What rights should a learning intelligent AI have? Doesn't it make sense to have some ethical rules for investigating a truly general AI, at least to avoid doing unethical things TO the AI itself? Note that these rules don't apply to basic ML neural nets, since they are just pattern matching. And similarly, rules to prevent a Morris Worm virus-like effect, where something gets out of hand unintentionally. Not that the main fear is Terminator wiping out all humans, but all self-replicating systems need constraints put on them somehow, or they will run into constraints on their own.

    If the AI community cannot create some basic ethics rules, then expect more documentaries, blurring the difference between ML (exists today, being used today, ethical issues almost all involve human-level problems) from general AI (doesn't exist, but might in a few decades, project any fears you want onto it) like this one which scare people into doing something no one will be happy with.