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Tesla Will Be First Automaker To Lose the Federal Tax Credit For Electric Cars (theverge.com)

Tesla has confirmed to Jalopnik that its 200,000th vehicle has been delivered this month, meaning the full $7,500 federal tax credit for electric cars will slowly be phased out. Tesla is the first automaker to reach this mark. "GM is close, too, while Nissan, Ford, and others still have a ways to go," notes The Verge. From the report: Tesla customers who take delivery of their cars -- regardless of whether it's a Model S, X, or 3 -- between now and December 31st, 2018, will still be eligible for the full $7,500 credit from the IRS. Customers who take delivery of their cars between January 1st and June 30th, 2019, will only be eligible for a $3,750 credit. And customers who take delivery of their cars between July 1st and December 31st, 2019, will be offered just $1,875. After that, the incentive is dead.

Put in place early on in the Obama administration, the tax credit was seen as a tool that could be used to encourage customers to buy plug-in electric or hybrid vehicles. This would simultaneously help advance the president's climate and clean energy goals while offering consumers a bit of a break while the cost of battery technology slowly came down. It was also meant to encourage manufacturers to push for greater advancements in that technology. The dollar amount was technically flexible; it was essentially a $2,500 credit with room to increase up to $7,500 depending on the battery capacity of the car being sold. The better the battery in a company's car, the better the rebate their buyers would get.

329 comments

  1. Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Not only did he move the Overton window so far that a Trump was inevitable... but also created incentives to buy electric cars, which have clearly been so popular with Teslas, have allowed it's CEO to make massive donations to the GOP: http://fortune.com/2018/07/15/...

    1. Re:Thanks Obama! by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    2. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes, Obama was too much of a right-wing stooge.

    3. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yay. More misleading anti-Elon Musk spam. He donated 200x as much to the Sierra Club. His companies make similar/small donations to both major parties, as is common practice for access (not a good system, but it's not his system).

      The massive assault on Tesla over the past couple weeks is extremely conspicuous. I wonder if stories planted in relation to $12billion dollar bets against the company had anything to do with it. Nah.

    4. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just ignore tesla ALSO donates just about just as much to the DNC.

      The subsidy was not to be permanent. It was to help bootstrap a new tech. Or are you saying a company like tesla needs more gov help (you seem to imply they dont)? They passed the 200k mark also passed by Obama. Are you saying Obama screwed up?

    5. Re:Thanks Obama! by The+New+Guy+2.0 · · Score: 1

      This was a "cool new thing" subsidy... but with sale 200,000 in the books, it's no longer a new thing.

    6. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This was brilliant of Obama to kill the industry under Trump. Unfortunately, since there's so many people in this country that have more than they need and don't pay their fair share, that not subsidizing electric cars is morally wrong.

    7. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, Musk claimed one of the Thai rescuers is a pedophile (with ZERO proof), after that rescuer said that Musk's grandstanding sub wouldn't work in the caves... Real classy, Musk! Someone calls Musk out - rightfully - for a publicity stunt and he goes hard-core defamation. Musk is cracking - just like his company, Tesla. Fucking prick...

    8. Re:Thanks Obama! by Rei · · Score: 1

      News Flash: Uncivility on Twitter! Person insults someone on twitter, target insults back! Quick, reserve the front page of the New York Times for the next week!

      And for the record: Musk was asked by one of the dive co-leads to make the sub, and it was made to his specifications. This whole situation is ridiculous.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    9. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I heard you're a pedophile too, Rei...

    10. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, the short-sellers are getting desperate. It's not pretty.

    11. Re:Thanks Obama! by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Why does Ford or GM needs more gov't help?

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    12. Re:Thanks Obama! by kenh · · Score: 2

      The incentives running out is exactly how the law was implemented under the Obama administration.

      --
      Ken
    13. Re:Thanks Obama! by kenh · · Score: 1

      Each car maker gets the same number of subsidies, Ford and GM have sold fewer cars that qualify for the subsidy.

      Tesla ran out of subsidies (200,000) because 100% of the cars they sell qualify for the subsidy, not so with Ford or GM.

      --
      Ken
    14. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope. It's because Tesla is selling more cars that qualify than Ford or GM or Nissan or Toyota because well, they killed the electric car twenty years ago.

      Or so they thought. But with the power of 1.21 jigawatts we brought it back to life.

    15. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's why the credit should have been up good up to the first 100 years of the company's existence.

    16. Re:Thanks Obama! by haruchai · · Score: 1

      "Each car maker gets the same number of subsidies, Ford and GM have sold fewer cars that qualify for the subsidy"

      GM got more than enough gov't help and have considerable experience with EVs. They shouldn't need more help at all.
      Ford took $6 billion low-or-no-interest Fed loans to retool and develop more efficient vehicles, a loan which they have yet to repay.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    17. Re: Thanks Obama! by bestweasel · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Perhaps you fail to understand that calling someone a paedophile can get people killed. Indeed there are so many morons around that even a paediatrician can be driven out of her house.

      Musk may be a far-sighted genius but he also looks like a deeply unpleasant character with plenty of flaws of his own.

    18. Re: Thanks Obama! by MoaDweeb · · Score: 1

      Musk, with his attacks on journalists as well, comes across as a pretty thin skinned individual. As long as you praise him you are fine but if you criticise him then he goes all seppo.

      --
      New Zealanders are well balanced with a chip on each shoulder. One represents Australia, the other the rest of the world
    19. Re:Thanks Obama! by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      You really love Musk don't you? Wow. Are the shorts feeling the squeeze yet?

    20. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi Bernie, you planning your 2020 run, or has Hillary paid you off through 2028?

    21. Re: Thanks Obama! by 110010001000 · · Score: 0

      He is Rei's hero. Seriously.

    22. Re: Thanks Obama! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Of course he has flaws - he's a human being. People call each other bad things on Twitter all the time. People call him bad things on Twitter all the time.

      Was it a mistake, to respond to a stranger telling you to shove your donation of time and money up your ass, with name calling? Of course it was. What do you want him to do, delete the tweets? He already did that. What else? Climb the Statue of Liberty and flagellate himself? What will be a good enough pennance in your mind, for the crime of not being perfect?

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    23. Re:Thanks Obama! by Rei · · Score: 1

      If they bought when Seeking Alpha was telling them not to "go wobbly" on shorting the stock, you bet they are.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    24. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Calling someone a pedo isn't the same as claiming they are a peso.

    25. Re: Thanks Obama! by bestweasel · · Score: 1

      What do I want him to do?

      He could try to exercise some self-control, like an adult.

    26. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The credit is for the buyer, not the manufacturer

      Let me ask you something, does it slosh around in your head when you walk or is it a hard turd?

    27. Re: Thanks Obama! by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      Musk, with his attacks on journalists as well, comes across as a pretty thin skinned individual. As long as you praise him you are fine but if you criticise him then he goes all seppo.

      Sounds like a certain president.

    28. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The credit is for the buyer, not the manufacturer

      The buyer has to buy from a manufacturer with unexpired credits in order to benefit.
      If next year someone is looking to buy an EV and the most appealing are from GM, Nissan or Tesla, the buyer would either have to forgo tax credits entirely or they would have to buy from some other automaker in order to benefit.

    29. Re: Thanks Obama! by haruchai · · Score: 1

      What do I want him to do?

      He could try to exercise some self-control, like an adult.

      Yes, he could. And so could 63-yr old cave diver Vern Unsworth instead of telling Musk - unprovoked - to stick his submarine up his ass.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    30. Re:Thanks Obama! by mysidia · · Score: 0

      The real question is: Why didn't they continue the incentive by imposing a $X TAX on each delivery from any manufacturer of a Carbon-emitting vehicle the first time it is registered to be used on public roads?

    31. Re:Thanks Obama! by mysidia · · Score: 2

      So what "assigns" a car maker the subsidy, and what mechanism "uses one up" ?

      Could Eon create a second, third, and fourth Electric car company, lease some Tesla production facilities and license some Tesla IP to the additional companies, and get the subsidy for 200,000 more vehicles manufactured by each additional company?

      By how much would a new car manufacturer's product, supply lines, and distribution be required to differ in order to say they are Different car companies for purpose of counting subsidies?

    32. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. Musk wasn't asked to help. He offered. You drift between "it's OK to call someone a pedo if your name is Musk" to just pure fabrication. Is that you Elon?

    33. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what "assigns" a car maker the subsidy, and what mechanism "uses one up" ?

      Could Eon create a second, third, and fourth Electric car company, lease some Tesla production facilities and license some Tesla IP to the additional companies, and get the subsidy for 200,000 more vehicles manufactured by each additional company?

      By how much would a new car manufacturer's product, supply lines, and distribution be required to differ in order to say they are Different car companies for purpose of counting subsidies?

      Pretty sure that would qualify as tax evasion.

    34. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or start increasing the gas tax and then fix it as a percentage of the cost of gasoline. Like +10% whatever the price is.

    35. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nothing like watching poor black Dem eat it at the pump huh? Anything else youd like to do to keep that demographic down economically?

    36. Re: Thanks Obama! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Yes, he was. You can read the email correspondence between him and Stanton for starters. Even on Twitter, his first response there when asked to help was to say that he would if needed, but he assumes the Thai government has this under control.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    37. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Defending the indefensible here. Lost any chance you'll be taken for anything other than a fanboi...

    38. Re:Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rei's reply at least had some facts in it. Yours only has projection. You lost the debate.

    39. Re: Thanks Obama! by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      > Sounds like a certain president.

      Like Thomas Jefferson? Or Obama even. This kind of stuff isn't anything new. Shameless partisans just choose to see what they want to see.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    40. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You realize electric cars mostly burn coal and natural gas, right? Where did you think most of the electricity comes from to power them?

    41. Re: Thanks Obama! by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 2

      Obama had quite thick skin actually. He put up with 8 straight years of shit pretty gracefully.

      Now Trump gets the same treatment. It has only just begun.

      As a non-American I can objectively say he is by far the whiniest president ever.

    42. Re: Thanks Obama! by kenh · · Score: 1

      Ford promised to pay off it's $5.9 billion loan over 10 years, it wasn't supposed to be paid off by now.

      --
      Ken
    43. Re: Thanks Obama! by kenh · · Score: 1

      A $30K donation is 'massive'?

      When Hillary was going to be our next president, she frequently held fundraising dinners where seats sold for $30K/each. Thirty thousand dollars isn't a massive donation.

      --
      Ken
    44. Re: Thanks Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a non- American, fuck off.

    45. Re: Thanks Obama! by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      Did I strike a nerve?

    46. Re: Thanks Obama! by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Ford promised to pay off it's $5.9 billion loan over 10 years, it wasn't supposed to be paid off by now.

      The loan was granted in June 2009 so there's less than 1 year left for Ford to pay it back.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  2. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why hasnt President Orange done away with this BIGLY pork barrelling? Draining the swamp.. any day now! Be best!

    Oh, president man-baby drained the swamp on day one, straight into his cabinet, staff, judicial and other appointments.

  3. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What are you talking about? Every building those Kushner fuckers build comes with like a 99 year tax abatement.

  4. Could have been structured differently... by ClarkMills · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The way the thing is set up at the moment, as soon as a automaker hits 200,000 cars the subsidy decay clock begins for that automaker. Other manufacturers can amble up to the line and then take their swill from the trough at their leisure knowing their slice is reserved.

    A better way would have been to have a larger shared trough of subsidy $ that is gobbled up and gone when it's gone. That would have accelerated EV manufacture as it would encourage more rapid adoption and penalise the slackards.

    1. Re:Could have been structured differently... by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Rapid might not be in the best strategic interests though. The goal was to help get battery prices lower (and presumably increase production volume. It might be a factor for Porsche, but for other manufacturers the car volume is simply too high for it to make a dent.

    2. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Ecuador · · Score: 2

      Well, Tesla was way ahead. The large automakers who have more power in DC would not like a common pool, even though it would be the best for the consumer & competition in general.

      --
      Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent. Polar Scope Align for iOS
    3. Re:Could have been structured differently... by rsborg · · Score: 0

      > A better way would have been to have a larger shared trough of subsidy $ that is gobbled up and gone when it's gone.

      Or if you're looking at it from a "transition the buggy-whip^W gas-car industry" then yeah it makes sense to have a subsidy that essentially keeps the existing manufacturers (and their profits) in place while still moving the country to EVs (ostensibly).

      In the age of Trump, it's surprising all the subsidies haven't just been given right over to coal extraction and prison industries (as they're doing what's in the funders^W national interest).

      --
      Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
    4. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Rei · · Score: 2

      The situation is going to just be silly soon. Next up, GM is going to hit it. Then Nissan, then Ford. So the US will be subsidizing its foreign competition.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    5. Re:Could have been structured differently... by iggymanz · · Score: 0

      what slackers, the big auto makers are seriously working on electric car that can be sold at profit, unlike Teslas. This was just taxpayers being forced to prop up overpriced toys for the well-to-do.

    6. Re: Could have been structured differently... by argStyopa · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or maybe the best way could have been the free market with no subsidies for anyone?

      Don't get me wrong, I'm appalled at the conventional auto company bailouts as well, and would just prefer that the federal government basically entirely got out of the business of picking winners and losers.

      --
      -Styopa
    7. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A better way

      Yes, if only we had better technocrats to perfect income redistribution into highly optimal schemes that satisfy your wishes and dreams. Perhaps we should just make life into a big MMO: you can have all the wealth and then decide who gets what based on some point scheme. Buff and nerf things according to your faultless value system. Then you could just publish a patch note with a brand new subsidy system for EVs.

    8. Re: Could have been structured differently... by mspohr · · Score: 0

      Well, you'd need to get rid of the $5.3 trillion/year in fossil fuel subsidies then and I doubt the fossil fuel companies would want to have competition. They have bought the government and they will get whatever they want.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    9. Re:Could have been structured differently... by m00sh · · Score: 1

      The way the thing is set up at the moment, as soon as a automaker hits 200,000 cars the subsidy decay clock begins for that automaker. Other manufacturers can amble up to the line and then take their swill from the trough at their leisure knowing their slice is reserved.

      A better way would have been to have a larger shared trough of subsidy $ that is gobbled up and gone when it's gone. That would have accelerated EV manufacture as it would encourage more rapid adoption and penalise the slackards.

      Unless a company then just decides to make it's business model the exploitation of these tax breaks.

      A bigger problem with the tax break was it was a tax rebate. So, if you didn't pay more than $7500 in federal tax (excluding SS and MC), you won't get the full amount. So, essentially you could fully utilize the tax break if your income was about $100,000 or more (assuming you maximized all your other tax breaks).

    10. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Rei · · Score: 1

      You realize that Tesla lives and dies by being able to sell profitable EVs (and normally earns 25% margins on its cars, and is looking to be net profitable starting this quarter), while most manufacturers just sell EVs as loss-leader "compliance cars" for ZEV states, right?

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    11. Re:Could have been structured differently... by kenh · · Score: 0

      Really? Tesla will be profitable this quarter? Is anyone not on the Tesla payroll making this claim?

      --
      Ken
    12. Re: Could have been structured differently... by kenh · · Score: 1

      Imagine if GM had been allowed to go bankrupt, so that Tesla could step in, buy a couple auto plants, and build EVs in volume quicker.

      --
      Ken
    13. Re: Could have been structured differently... by kenh · · Score: 0

      $5.3 Trillion? That's amazing! That's only about 20% more than the federal government spends in a year.

      That subsidy costs every man woman an child in the US $16K/year - where does that $5.3TN, $16K/per citizen, come from?

      Your number is non-sensical.

      --
      Ken
    14. Re: Could have been structured differently... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      For those whose Google skills are limited. This is from an IMF study in 2015... probably more now.
      https://www.imf.org/en/News/Ar...

      Energy subsidies are projected at US$5.3 trillion in 2015, or 6.5 percent of global GDP, according to a recent IMF study. Most of this arises from countries setting energy taxes below levels that fully reflect the environmental damage associated with energy consumption.
      Eliminating global energy subsidies could reduce deaths related to fossil-fuel emissions by over 50 percent and fossil-fuel related carbon emissions by over 20 percent. The revenue gain from eliminating energy subsidies is projected to be US$2.9 trillion (3.6 percent of global GDP) in 2015. This offers huge potential for reducing other taxes or strengthening revenue bases in countries where large informal sector constrains broader fiscal instruments.

      Advanced economies would gain enough revenue to halve corporate income tax or cover one quarter of public health spending (Chart 2). In emerging economies, the revenue is worth double their corporate income tax revenues or public health spending. In low-income countries, it is about one and half times corporate income tax revenues or public health spending.

      The net gain from reform, after subtracting the cost of higher energy prices to consumers from the fiscal and environmental gains, is projected at US$1.8 trillion (2.2 percent of global GDP) and could be much larger if the fiscal gain is used for growth-enhancing tax cuts on labor and capital or badly needed investments in education, health, and infrastructure.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    15. Re:Could have been structured differently... by SWPadnos · · Score: 1
      Does anyone not on the Tesla payroll have enough information to make this claim? Or the counterclaim that they won't be profitable?

      If so, wouldn't you think that the information originated from someone on the Tesla payroll?

      --
      - The Sigless Wonder
    16. Re: Could have been structured differently... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

      Do you know that US Coast Guard is the one regulating oil tanker traffic in the Persian Gulf and providing escorts against Somalian pirates? Should we levy a tax on oil companies for that service provided au gratis by my tax dollar?

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    17. Re:Could have been structured differently... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0

      So Tesla is slashing R&D, or SG&A? That's the only way they make a profit. We'll see if Q2 2018 continues the trend of the last several years - billions in losses whilst Teslerati crow about "gross margin" (which actually means nothing - it's net profit that matters at the end of the day).

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    18. Re:Could have been structured differently... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0

      Just history. They lose money on every car they sell - the fabled "gross margin" doesn't include the SG&A costs which are needed to support those sales. Including just the raw COGM in the calculation is a bit misleading; you have to include at least SG&A to realize the actual cost of selling a product. And if you do that - Tesla already loses money. Before R&D, before loan interest, etc.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    19. Re: Could have been structured differently... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1, Interesting

      That $5.3 trillion number is a fraud, cooked up to make it look bad. Actual subsidies are around $373 billion, and renewables are about double fossil fuels.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    20. Re: Could have been structured differently... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      We actually import very little oil from the Persian Gulf. Most of that oil we're protecting goes to our allies in the EU, or to Asia. I guess we should charge our allies for the protection we offer for their energy supplies...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    21. Re: Could have been structured differently... by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      Imagine if GM had been allowed to go bankrupt, so that Tesla could step in, buy a couple auto plants, and build EVs in volume quicker.

      What???

      Let me introduce you to Tesla's Factory in Fremont:
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    22. Re:Could have been structured differently... by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      Another way to utilize the tax rebate is to lease a vehicle. The lessor gets the tax rebate and uses it to reduce the price of the lease.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    23. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you know that US Coast Guard is the one regulating oil tanker traffic in the Persian Gulf and providing escorts against Somalian pirates? Should we levy a tax on oil companies for that service provided au gratis by my tax dollar?

      Reply to the content of the post. You'll seem more intelligent if you can manage that concept.

      So when will we collect on the Coast Guard patrols in the Persian Gulf and Arabian Sea?

    24. Re: Could have been structured differently... by mspohr · · Score: 2

      The problem is that fossil fuels dump all kinds of toxins, CH4, CO2, NOx, etc. into the environment and these make people sick, cause them to die, and damage the environment. They currently get a free ride. They don't pay for the damage they cause. The IMF study puts a number on this damage. It's time fossil fuels started paying for this damage.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    25. Re: Could have been structured differently... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0

      The IMF makes a guess at what it "could" cost - and of course completely ignores the benefits of fossil fuels for things like air ambulances, transport of humanitarian supplies, economic growth, etc. Looking at actual REAL subsidies, we see it's three orders of magnitude lower - and "renewables" are double that of fossil fuels.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    26. Re: Could have been structured differently... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Fossil fuels do not benefit society in any way.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    27. Re: Could have been structured differently... by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Absolutely. I can't see Trump being cool with providing a service to a company for free either.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    28. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don’t you look up life expectancy before fossil fuels retard.

    29. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do, you force them to spend 2% of their GDP on being world police like you instead of on what they want to spend it on.
      Don't kid yourself that the price of oil wouldn't rise for you to if supply was disrupted elsewhere. Oil is traded globally.

    30. Re:Could have been structured differently... by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      and by that measure they're dying, since they're not making a profit

    31. Re: Could have been structured differently... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Air transport does not benefit society in any way? Refrigerated transport does not benefit society in any way?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    32. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Corbets · · Score: 1

      Capital investment counts for something too.

      If you want to speak of history, read up about Amazon’s. Then you might understand Tesla.

    33. Re: Could have been structured differently... by sierra077 · · Score: 1

      ... and would just prefer that the federal government basically entirely got out of the business of picking winners and losers.

      Which would be fine if car makers were not privatizing the profit and socializing the cost of what's coming out of the tailpipe. Put another way, would you prefer a carbon tax or subsidies? The whole point of government is to make policy for the betterment of our civilization, and I don't see how switching to electric vehicles, whether by stick or carrot, is not within the purview of government. Also, subsidies coupled with sane and progressive taxation could make the burden of switching fall on the rich.

    34. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why does fossil fuels mean refrigerated transport?

    35. Re: Could have been structured differently... by kenh · · Score: 1

      Have you ever seen an electric refrigerated truck? Me neither.

      --
      Ken
    36. Re: Could have been structured differently... by kenh · · Score: 1

      Fossil fuels do not benefit society in any way.

      Right, we just burn it to spite mother nature...

      --
      Ken
    37. Re: Could have been structured differently... by kenh · · Score: 1

      Why don’t you look up life expectancy before fossil fuels retard.

      Not sure you can really directly attribute longer life expectancy to fossil fuels, has it helped, on some level sure.

      --
      Ken
    38. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do, you force them to spend 2% of their GDP on being world police like you instead of on what they want to spend it on.
      Don't kid yourself that the price of oil wouldn't rise for you also if supply was disrupted elsewhere. Oil is traded globally. You only do it for your own selfish reasons not for some moral dogooder tendencies.

    39. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Or maybe the best way could have been the free market with no subsidies for anyone?

      That cult is rarely the best solution for anything. The "free market" would happily see Texans go on using one ton pickups as passenger vehicles, carrying the last rhino horns to market, while the world burns from climate change.

    40. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, let's level the playing field: remove the gasoline subsidy and start charging the same that folks in Europe pay for gas.

      Also, let's stop warmongering to protect our oil interests. Woah! There's another $1.2 trillion we can apply to tax refunds!

    41. Re: Could have been structured differently... by houghi · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately the free market does not work as you think it works. The free market is for the companies, not for the people.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    42. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Rei · · Score: 1

      the fabled "gross margin" doesn't include the SG&A costs which are needed to support those sales

      The fabled SG&A which has been remaining flat as Model 3 sales have grown exponentially?
      The fabled SG&A which used to include Supercharger operating costs as a loss leader, which now increasingly pays for itself and its own expansion?
      The fabled SG&A of which large amounts of its costs must be paid in advance of the company starting to get the revenue from the operations it supports?
      The fabled SG&A which includes numerous other highly nonlinear expenses?
      The fabled SG&A which will be slashed in Q3 (albeit slightly hit in Q2) by the recent layoffs?

      Yeah, do go on about SG&A. In detail.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    43. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Rei · · Score: 1

      Neither. Growing revenue times gross margins. SG&A and R&D have been remaining flat as Model 3 production as grown, and will continue to do so. See above for more detail about SG&A.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    44. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Rei · · Score: 1

      Given that the power needed to run a refrigeration system is tiny compared to the power needed to haul the goods down the road, that's a meaningless argument. And furthermore, if you had taken the time to google "electric refrigerated truck", you'd find out that they already exist.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    45. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Rei · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Although NUMMI was purchased in a "stripped" state; there wasn't much left there. That said, it's not like most existing ICE lines would have been that useful to them.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    46. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Rei · · Score: 1

      Oil is fungible. It doesn't matter who buys a specific barrel of oil.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    47. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not necessarily. This tax credit was available for all Hybrid cars as well. Most of the credits expires in the 2000s, yet you still see many hybrids being purchased. It is a temporary incentive, and any technology worth the money will still do fine upon its expiration (I received one of the last credits for the Escape Hybrid back in 2008).

    48. Re: Could have been structured differently... by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Force them?

      Last time I checked, only 5 of the 29 members of NATO (you know, our closest allies) meet the 2% goal they PROMISED to meet only 4 years ago (that they promised to meet for the last 50 years).

      So, I think your point is baloney.

      Also, US now has the largest oil reserves recognized in the world. If the price of oil goes up, the US's strategic situation is IMPROVED.
      https://oilprice.com/Energy/En...

      --
      -Styopa
    49. Re: Could have been structured differently... by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Last time I was there, German gas was about 1.37 Euro/L.
      of that, 0.87 was taxes, not an intrinsically high price of gas.
      Remove that, and they're paying about $2 euros a gallon...pretty comparable to US prices without tax.

      And the US collected about $45 bn in federal gas taxes last year, while the states collect about another total $70bn each year = about 115bn per year in gas taxes collected.

      Considering the Iraq War 2 cost about $1.2 trn (your number) and lasted about 10 years, then pretty much gas taxes paid for it.

      --
      -Styopa
    50. Re: Could have been structured differently... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Or maybe the best way could have been the free market with no subsidies for anyone?

      We can't do that, because permitting people to burn fossil fuels without forcing them to fix CO2 is an effective subsidy, and if we started charging enough in taxes to actually fix the released CO2 tomorrow, then the economy would collapse by COB the following day, latest. We can phase in such taxes, but whole industries fight against even that, tooth and nail. Consequently, the only option really left is to give some kind of subsidies to the things we'd like to see happen.

      But yes, the best way would have been the free market, with no subsidies for oil companies. No tax dollars spent on exploration, no tax dollars spent on military defense of big oil's operations, and a CO2-fixing requirement for all fossil fuels burned.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    51. Re:Could have been structured differently... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      and by that measure they're dying, since they're not making a profit

      Let us know how that worked out for Amazon.

      As long as the market continues to reward Tesla for its ability to attract customers, they won't die.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    52. Re: Could have been structured differently... by FalcDot · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately, the free market does not at this point in time have a mechanism that makes a person pay for the pollution they produce with their car. So subsidies for technologies that pollute less are basically just a fix because 'breathable air' is not part of the market.

    53. Re:Could have been structured differently... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      You realize that Tesla lives and dies by being able to sell profitable EVs (and normally earns 25% margins on its cars, and is looking to be net profitable starting this quarter), while most manufacturers just sell EVs as loss-leader "compliance cars" for ZEV states, right?

      Speaking of which, you will be happy to see that Munro and Associates has declared that the Model 3 is about 30% profitable, making it the only EV which manages this kind of profit ratio. A lot of people have done a lot of complaining about their analysis of Tesla vehicles because they pointed out the places where Tesla was doing poorly, but these guys are probably the best in the industry and they live and die by their reputation... And they give credit where credit is due.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    54. Re:Could have been structured differently... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      A bigger problem with the tax break was it was a tax rebate. So, if you didn't pay more than $7500 in federal tax (excluding SS and MC), you won't get the full amount. So, essentially you could fully utilize the tax break if your income was about $100,000 or more (assuming you maximized all your other tax breaks).

      The biggest problem is that the tax credit shifts the demand curve.

      We're giving people a limited-time opportunity to cash in on their purchase of a shiny new EV. That urgency means they're more-willing to buy and that this willingness will shift away later: the incentive vanishes and the demand curve shifts back, demand falls.

      EV manufacturers profit best by exploiting this: keep the supply curve the same and raise the price to meet the new price at which the greatest profit comes. The quantity demanded at any price is higher, so a higher price commands more profit. When the incentive goes away, prices can come back down and continue with the natural market.

      Instead, we should have subsidized the manufacturer for the production of each vehicle. Basically, for each vehicle, pay up to $X and no more than Y% of the gross cost.

      This doesn't change the consumer's incentive to buy at a given price; nor does it place more money in the consumer's hands. In short: the demand curve doesn't move. If EV makers keep the same price, they will have the same customers.

      Instead, it acts as a technological advancement: the cost to produce a unit falls. A lower cost to produce results in a shift of the supply curve: the producers are more-willing to make a specific quantity of units at a lower price. This works best in a competitive market where resulting price competition lowers profits for those producers who keep prices high.

      Without a change in consumer demand, the quantity demanded at an unchanging price remains unchanged. With the supply curve shift, the quantity supplied increases at a given price--but that's not how this works: quantity supplied won't exceed quantity demanded. To take advantage, the quantity supplied must be sold, and to get additional buyers then the price must fall so as to increase the quantity demanded. Because the quantity supplied at a lower price increases with lower costs, the equilibrium pint falls to a lower price.

      Demand-side approaches--tax breaks, stimulus, welfare, job guarantees--work for your whole economy. They create consumer purchasing power and jobs. If you want to effectively manipulate how much of a product moves, however, you want to surgically target its supply curve: move its price downward to increase consumer demand. You want to use this one sparingly.

    55. Re: Could have been structured differently... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Do those work for ocean going vessels? In fact, how many electric ocean freighters are there?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    56. Re:Could have been structured differently... by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      Companies can go bankrupt whether they make capital investments or not. For every Amazon that managed to hold out until it was profitable, there's a dozen Solyndras that went bust before they could. Of course the economy is doing well right now, so you see more of the former than the latter, but a recession will come eventually.

    57. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or maybe the best way could have been the free market with no subsidies for anyone?

      As the astute hero of our past, Rocket J. Squirrel once said: "Again? That trick NEVER works."

      Don't get me wrong, I'm appalled at the conventional auto company bailouts as well, and would just prefer that the federal government basically entirely got out of the business of picking winners and losers.

      For the Rich in America Picking Winners and Losers is what the federal government is all about.

    58. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're forgetting that we're all subsidizing the long-term environmental damage of oil-based cars. People like to think of subsidies as envelopes of cash, but it's so much more than that.

    59. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amazon got where it is because of AWS saving them when VC money was running out. Unless Tesla finds a high profit product to save their bacon, comparing them to Amazon still makes them look bad.

    60. Re: Could have been structured differently... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Ah, yes. Breathing fossil fuel fumes and drinking contaminated water has definitely led to increased life expectancy ;),

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    61. Re:Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      New flash, Amazon's retail operations have never been profitable. Even in 2017, all of the profits came from cloud services.

      So Tesla will continue to lose money on cars and get profits from something else? What is going to propel them? SolarCity was losing money when they were bought and is still unprofitable. Maybe battery modules, but the batteries themselves are made by Panasonic. It seems the vehicle was just a way for Musk to make a car for himself and maybe a few friends, but too many people wanted an electric Lotus Elise.

    62. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your allies would simply start buying more oil from Russia or help Iran invest in their pipelines to the Med.

    63. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It’s a measurable fact retard. Before wide spread use of fossil fuels, like expectancy and standard of living was much lower. With out fossil fuels, the industrial revolution never happens.

    64. Re: Could have been structured differently... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hahaha thats funny. It matters how hard/expensive that oil is to get to, not just the total amount. Most of it isnt even economical to recover without higher prices, it's meaningless.

    65. Re:Could have been structured differently... by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      amazon made a profit 4 years after going public in 1997

  5. Re:Savings? Really no. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There's just no such thing as a cheaper way to power cars... just a different way of doing things.

    Actually, it's much cheaper to power an electric car.

    if there was a better way to move fuel, everybody would be going for it.

    And everybody would move to electric cars if the cars themselves cost the same amount of money.

    Eventually, EVs will be similarly priced to ICE cars and ICE will quickly evaporate. The problem we currently face is mass manufacturing batteries in a way that will lower their cost.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  6. Re:Savings? Really no. by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 2

    Eventually, EVs will be similarly priced to ICE cars and ICE will quickly evaporate. The problem we currently face is mass manufacturing batteries in a way that will lower their cost.

    My used 2015 Nissan leaf was significantly cheaper to buy than an equivalent ICE car and is significantly cheaper to run.

    --
    I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
  7. Re:Savings? Really no. by Paleolibertarian · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Then you factor in the fact that the fuel storage weighs just as much when full than when it's empty. Also these so-called Zero Emission Vehicles are only zero at the consumption end. This falls apart when you factor in the emissions generated to create the energy. Tanstaafl!

  8. credits pre-date obama by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    the electric vehicle tax credits began prior to obama's administration. it was tacked onto the bank bailout bill that was passed a month before the 2008 election.

    1. Re:credits pre-date obama by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      the electric vehicle tax credits began prior to obama's administration. it was tacked onto the bank bailout bill that was passed a month before the 2008 election.

      Im expecting Trump to add a surtax for electric vehicles, simply because his friends in the oil patch need to prolong the lifetime of gasoline dependency.

      Imagine all the gasiline delivery truck drivers that will go jobless, or the refinery workers who are let go due to consolidation.

      Yes, Trump has to stop conversion to electric cars, not only for the oil industry, but for the vehicle industry as well.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
  9. Re:Savings? Really no. by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    Weight is less of a problem when you have regenerative braking. Also, electric motors weigh a lot less than the ICE.

  10. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 2

    Model 3 weights are about the same as their performance equivalents in the same size class from BMW (3 Series). It takes about ten minutes each time time to dig up all the references, so I'm not going to be bothered to do it again for the tenth time, but if you want to do it yourself: Model 3 SR roughly matches up with a BMW 330i, Model 3 LR roughly matches up with a 340i. Don't forget to add in roughly half a tank of gas to the BMWs. Beyond these, Dual Motor adds a lot of performance for just a small extra weight penalty (Model 3 SR dual motor might even end up faster than the 340i), and Performance adds even more.

    But I know you guys prefer to mismatch size classes when you do your comparisons, so by all means ;)

    Model 3 LR also goes further in city driving on a full charge than the 340i goes on a full tank, by the way ;) And the former starts out every day charged; the latter averages half a tank available on any given day. The 340i only beats the LR on range in combined and highway driving.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  11. Re:Subsidy for the rich by Rei · · Score: 2

    Programme was established under Bush. Energy Improvement and Extension Act of 2008.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  12. Re:Savings? Really no. by DogDude · · Score: 1

    Moving energy by powerline is no way cheaper than moving petro to your gas station

    Are you kidding? You think that a network of pumps, rigs, refining factories, trucks, boats, pipelines, etc is "in no way cheaper" than some static power lines? Have you recently been hit in the head with a heavy object?

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
  13. Re:Savings? Really no. by alvinrod · · Score: 1

    Moving energy by power line would have to be cheaper, or at least no more expensive. If it weren't, you'd expect to see far more people getting their power by dumping petrol into a generator attached to their house as opposed to connecting to the power grid. As you suggest, if this were a cheaper way of doing things, more people would be doing it.

    However, that's not the point. The reason that electric cars result in savings has little to do with the costs of moving the fuel around. Instead it has to do with the efficiency limitations of internal combustion engines. Electric motors can operate much closer to 100% efficiency so even though gasoline is a good way to store energy, an internal combustion engine wastes a lot of it. If battery technology were better or less expensive for today's performance levels, you'd see even more people moving to electric cars. Essentially you pay more up front for savings over time, which can depend quite a lot on the price of oil or electricity.

  14. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can buy a BMW series for under $35000 today. Meanwhile Tesla just canceled their $35000 model 3.

  15. I know I shouldn't feed trolls by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    but the wealthy buy both parties off. The only solution is candidates who pledge to take no corporate PAC money. Right now these are the Democrat equivalent. If anyone knows any Republican equivalents let me know. I haven't found any but that doesn't mean they're not out there.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  16. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In order to undo Obama era incentives, as promised, the administration would need to institute a hefty tax levy on battery-powered vehicles. Then offer a tax incentive or price subsidy for coal-powered vehicles. These fracking natural-gas snake-oil salesmen are a flash in the pan. Coal is here to stay.

  17. That would make sense in a market economy by Solandri · · Score: 2

    EV sales aren't being driven by the market though. They're being driven by California's ZEV mandate, which requires a certain percentage of each automaker's sales be EVs (or they buy credits from an automaker who exceeds their quota). If they fail, they're banned from selling cars in California. And since about a dozen states automatically adopt California's guidelines, they'd end up banned from selling cars from about a third of the U.S. by population. Nobody wants to be cut off from a third of the U.S. market, so they're all working to push out EVs, and offer incentives and sales to make sure they sell enough of them to meet their quota.

    Once you understand that, you realize that giving each automaker a reserved slice of the subsidy is the only way to make it fair.

    1. Re:That would make sense in a market economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that's the entire point. They're not being driven by the market because they're not good choices for most people. That's why we need to subsidize them.

      Also, Musk was exposed last week as giving money to a Republican. Hopefully he'll be punished for that severely. Already seeing multiple stories today attacking him for a Tweet. I look forward to seeing daily negative articles about him because of his wrong political beliefs.

    2. Re:That would make sense in a market economy by snapsnap · · Score: 1, Troll

      > because of his wrong political beliefs. Amazing how the anti-fascists have become the most fascist of all groups. I thought Republicans supporting a NYC liberal that was a Democrat for decades would be the biggest surprise.

    3. Re:That would make sense in a market economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Republicans care about positions. Democrats care about labels. Republicans will welcome with open arms those who come around to the right position. Democrats will forever shun anyone even associated tangentially with the GOP, let alone someone who actually donated...

    4. Re:That would make sense in a market economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Identity politics" is the phrase you're looking for.

      Of all segments of society, Hollywood seems best at punishing people for their wrong positions.

    5. Re: That would make sense in a market economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of all segments of society, Hollywood seems best at punishing people for their wrong positions.

      They are very good at mockery and satire, much better than AM radio or White Nationalists.

      Hollywood doesn't even have to attack 92year olds or picnickers.

    6. Re:That would make sense in a market economy by apoc.famine · · Score: 0

      EV sales aren't being driven by the market though.

      Absolute bullshit. There's a reason Tesla is sitting on a 2 year wait-list for cars. That's 100% market, and 0% California laws.

      As soon as I'm out of my current condo and in somewhere I can easily add a 220V charging port, I'm on that list too. I'd trade the current maintenance and $30 fills for minimal maintenance and $2 fills in a heartbeat. All that's stopping me is some red tape due to the place I live, and I'm changing that soon.

      To claim that it's a law driving EV sales outs you as an irrational hater of EVs. That's fine if that's your position. Just stop with the bullshit and own up to it.

      When Tesla's biggest problem isn't being able to produce enough cars fast enough, it's laughable that you'd point to the law as what's driving EV sales.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    7. Re:That would make sense in a market economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      California accounts for 50% of EV sales in the United States and about 45% of Tesla's cars are sold to California drivers.

      Let me ask you something, does it slosh around in your head when you walk or is it a hard turd?

    8. Re:That would make sense in a market economy by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Many EV manufacturers can't keep up with demand.

      LG can't make enough 64kWh battery packs to meet the demand for new cars like the Kona and Niro. Nissan can't make enough Leaf 40s to get the lead times down below a few months. Tesla's problems are well documented.

      These are not compliance cars either. The Kona in particular looks like being the first long range, affordable EV and it's generally regarded as a pretty nice car all round.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    9. Re:That would make sense in a market economy by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      In an efficient market, when demand outstrips supply, prices rise and demand drops. There will simply not be a shortage.

      The only reason we see a shortage now is because of government policies. California's EV mandate forces manufacturers to sell EVs at a lower price so that they can reach the mandated volume. Once they do reach that volume however, they have no reason to sell even more, since that would involve significant capital investment.

      Of course over many years, manufacturers will figure out where to price the EVs so they both maximize profit and reach the mandate, but they will err on the side of running out until that's the case.

  18. It looked like an awesome deal by AmazingRuss · · Score: 1

    ... 35k magical car with a 7500 rebate.

    Too good to be true I guess.

    1. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      Eh, in what way? A $35000 235 mile range car with a $7500 rebate already exists - the Chevy Bolt.

    2. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by Rei · · Score: 1

      What exactly is the point of the range when it's so poor at recharging by comparison?

      Well, to it's credit, it's better than the new Leaf....

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    3. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by Rei · · Score: 1

      Hard to say. SR is expected around the end of the year. Not clear whether it'll be before or after the New Year. Regardless, people will get the half credit.

      Also, point of interest: this whole discussion only applies to the US.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    4. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by AmazingRuss · · Score: 1

      Already got my money back. Elon is getting a little nutty, and I figured I better get it while it was still there.

    5. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correct, In fact Ontario just canceled their generous 14grand rebate fairly abruptly.

    6. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by mattmarlowe · · Score: 1

      Bought a Ford C-Max Energi last year, $30K purchase price before taxes, but received a $4,500 federal tax rebate. The electric range isn't awesome but its enough for daily commute, and the combined electric + gas range is over 500 miles. Drives nicely too.

    7. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was 2017, then 2018, and now 2019. It will never exist. Just like Musk saying profitability is right around the corner and he has been saying that since 2012. Musk is a shyster and you have consistently proven the reality distortion field is real.

    8. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by Rei · · Score: 1

      It was never 2017. SR was planned for early 2018. It'll instead be the start of 2019.

      If you want to look further back, the whole Model 3 schedule was pushed forward significantly. The first plan was to simply start production at all by the end of 2017. With much lower peak volumes.

      And even with the delays, some things - like Canadian deliveries - were pushed forwards.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    9. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      1) Tesla super chargers charge at 70kW*. That's only a little faster than the 50kW supported by the Bolt.

      2) Who cares. I've owned an EV that supports DC charging for 4 years at this point, I've used DC charging a grand total of 2 times at this point, and it was plenty fast enough. The recharge rate is simply not a differentiating factor in EVs. You don't need them to charge fast, you need them to charge while you're sat in the office doing work, or asleep in bed, both of which happen today. EVs aren't things you think about "oh, I need to add fuel to this" in the same way as an ICE car, they're pretty much always full every time you get in them because you just plug them in every time you get out.

      * When used by 2 cars at the same time, which is the norm by far.

    10. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      Heh, "Drives nicely" is about the strangest thing I've ever heard anyone say about the CMax. Ford's "EV"s are about the worst out there, with a whole slough of problems.

      1) They're shitty 48V systems, that can't draw enough power out of the battery to accelerate at any decent rate.

      2) They have the battery in the trunk, which is both fucking awful if you want to put anything in the car, and fucking awful for the centre of gravity, making them handle like crap.

      3) Their software for managing the hybrid system is one of the worst out there, giving them unpredictable drive.

      Honestly, there's litterally no EV or hybrid I'd want less than the CMax.

    11. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      At 4 miles per kWh, a 50kW charger can put 100 miles of range on your vehicle in half an hour. Not great for long road trips when your vehicle has 300 miles of range. At 80kW, with a 45-minute stop, you're actually putting 240 miles of range on the vehicle--four hours of driving.

      60kWh should come to $6. Charging at high voltages is more efficient, too, so a 600VDC charger gets you quite close to actually pulling in 60kWh in 45 minutes. Likewise, future charge circuits will allow for 100kW and 120kW charging, which lets you recharge every 4 hours with a 45-minute food break if you're going 90mph.

      Cross-country driving is unusual, and even the ride from Baltimore to New York City isn't even 200 miles. A 300-mile battery will make that; and most people will take at least one brief rest stop in the 3-hour drive, getting an opportunity to add 60 miles or so with just a 50kW charger in 20 minutes. The round-trip would end you with 90 miles left on the battery even if you didn't charge at your destination.

    12. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But talking about a chevy doesn't get you imaginary social media "points".

    13. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by Your+Average+Joe · · Score: 1

      non stop drive from Michigan to Texas start at 3 am and get there at 9 pm, still daylight. 1,200 miles and 1 hour of stops to get fuel...

      --
      Your Average Joe
    14. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Yep. It's not a drive most people make in their lifetime, much less every day. It's that one use case that bogs down electric vehicles.

      You're also time-shifting: most tires will wear out in 5,000 miles on that kind of duty cycle. That 40,000 or 80,000 mile rating doesn't work when you try to do it all at once. You're going to have your car in the shop for an hour at some point, plus the detour to get there. Still, if you wanted to make the trip by a certain temporal deadline, you can get to the tires later.

    15. Re:It looked like an awesome deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It starts at 37k minimum if you could touch it for that at a dealer (good luck), is half the size of the Model 3, looks like garbage, and has already had abysmal battery and charging issues. But cool.

  19. Re:Savings? Really no. by Fly+Swatter · · Score: 1

    Much cheaper perhaps, until they figure out how to move the gas taxes per gallon to electric car taxes per kilowatt (or just plain tax you by the mile when you renew auto registration). Having it per gallon made people at least try to get more efficient gas cars, per mile not so much.

  20. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

    Amazing how quickly people forget history. This tax credit was established under Bush.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  21. Re:Savings? Really no. by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    instead of insults try math and physics

    most the electricity in usa comes from fossil or nuclear plants, so better include all the costs for moving those fuels and wastes around too

    electric comes out somewhat better for vehicles but not as much as your emotions might imply

  22. Does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Programme was established under Bush. Energy Improvement and Extension Act of 2008.

    So what?! The FACT is that little people like ME subsidies the rich.

    I don't give a shit about WHO did it- just the FACT that I am getting screwed.

    Unbelievable.

    1. Re:Does it matter? by Rei · · Score: 1

      The average sale price of a car in the US is $36k. A person buying a post-tax-credit Model 3 (or Leaf, or Bolt, or pretty much any), and saving ~$1k a year in energy costs, is not "rich" for being able to do so.

      And the point of tax credits is not to directly pay for the reduced environmental impact of said specific vehicle. Its to accelerate the trend toward production and adoption of them, particularly in terms of allowing for mass production and thus lower unit costs. Which means a subsidy when total sales volumes are low, tapering out when it starts to reach the point where the cost of the subsidy would be meaningful.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    2. Re:Does it matter? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Um... it is pretty much the other way around. The rich pay more taxes in dollar terms while not using proportionately more government resources.

    3. Re:Does it matter? by kenh · · Score: 1

      How many $35K Teslas are on the road right now? The vast, vast majority of the 200,000 Teslas sold to date were much closer to $100K, rather than $35K.

      --
      Ken
    4. Re:Does it matter? by unimacs · · Score: 1

      I've never purchased a brand new vehicle in my life. For my personal car the most I've ever paid is about $13,000. My wife and I bought a minivan once for $19,000.

      I'm not sure if I'm one of the little people or not, but the tax break on EVs also suppresses the resale value. Let's say the MSRP is $40,000. Few people are going to pay even $30,000 for a 1 year old car when they can get the same car brand new effectively for $32,500.

      That means that not only do the original buyers pay less, so do the buyers down the road (including us little people). I just bought a used Chevy Volt for about the same as what I'd pay for an equivalently equipped Toyota Corolla of the same year.

      And of course we all benefit if the tax break helps speed the adoption of EVs.

    5. Re:Does it matter? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0

      If only a person could buy a Tesla model 3 for $35,000... At this point, Tesla's are just "feel good" rich boy toys for assuaging feelings of guilt for their success.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    6. Re: Does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well you didn't give a shit when you were fucking up the environment for everybody else for your entire life, so fuck you you selfish bastard

    7. Re:Does it matter? by 110010001000 · · Score: 0

      The average sales price for a Tesla is $90k. You are truly an ass. WE are subsidizing rich people. There is no defense for that. You Tesla owners are spoiled brats. If you want to save the environment, get rid of your car and take public transportation (like the poor do)

    8. Re:Does it matter? by Rei · · Score: 1

      In Ontario, lots. They had a $14k EV credit. Remember, when you're talking about how much money a person needs to be buying one, you're talking post-credit. Also, post-energy savings. So for example, the average US consumer saves about $1k per year driving a Model 3. So tack years of that on to the $7500 US federal credit, plus any state credits, and again, you can readily get up to the $14k needed for a Model 3 LR PUP RWD to be $35k.

      On average, yes, they're spending more than the average car when buying a Model 3. But not hugely more than average. So trying to portray this as some sort of "rich buyers" buying Model 3s simply falls flat. They're just not spending that much more, when all costs and savings are factored in, than the average car in the US.

      --
      The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
    9. Re:Does it matter? by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      There have been zero $35K (or $50K Canadian) Model 3's sold in Ontario, because Tesla has produced and sold zero $35K Model 3's, period. They are only producing the higher priced versions.

      Given the limited utility of electric cars in general, and the fact that you pretty much have to have a single family home with driveway in order to have a charging point for one, I definitely think buyers are above average income. Thankfully poor people are helping them out with that $14,000 rebate.

  23. Now you will all see that subsidies do not matter by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Subsidies exist to convince people to buy something they need convincing to own.

    That was every electric car before the Tesla. If you couldn't get a $7k rebate, there was no reason to put up with the nonsense like super limited range or performance.

    Tesla, to my mind, built the first electric car that is simply desirable to own outright - as such the rebate was merely a nice bonus, but no rebate will hardly slow sales. That's because the styling is good (well the Model 3 is anyway, I don't like the styling of the other cars), the performance is amazing, and they have a range option that is large enough to make the Tesla a serious road trip car and eliminate range anxiety.

    If I didn't have zero reason at the moment to be buying a new car, I would be jumping at getting a Model 3. If I had any reason to be buying a car it would be one of the few I would consider looking at.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  24. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I like my truck to go camping in. I also take extra gas with me. Can't do that with an EV. Dream on tree huggers dream on.

  25. Re:Savings? Really no. by kenh · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Curious how you paid "your fair share" for infrastructure like roads and bridges - all those more expensive to run ICE vehicles paid for them with gasoline taxes.

    EVs will remain cheaper than ICE vehicles as long as they get to use the roads, bridges and tunnels for free.

    --
    Ken
  26. Re:Savings? Really no. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    Much cheaper perhaps, until they figure out how to move the gas taxes per gallon to electric car taxes per kilowatt (or just plain tax you by the mile when you renew auto registration).

    By the time that's required, ICE will be an expensive sinking ship.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  27. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    Tesla did no such thing, and your article says no such thing.

    We asked Tesla about this, and a Tesla spokesperson said that nothing has changed. "Tesla plans to introduce the $35,000 version in the future," she said—though she couldn't give a specific time frame for the new lower price.

    "It's a mistake to position this as a change in Tesla's plan because it's not," she told Ars in a phone interview. "We're just focusing on the options that are available now for our customers so that it's more clear. There's nothing else to it."

    Indeed, discussion of the $35k Model 3 remains all over the Tesla site. What it doesn't appear on is the config page. Just like how other things like air suspension, cream interior for non-performance cars, non-PUP, trailer hitch, and a trunk full of live bees don't appear on the page - because you can't order a car in that configuration at the moment.

    But by all means, keep up the concern trolling.

    Lastly: you cannot buy a BMW for $35k that matches the performance of a Model 3 you can buy today. All issues of tax credits and energy savings aside.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  28. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I recently bought a uses 2015 Leaf as well. For the price and the gas savings (with charging at work), it makes a lot of financial sense.

  29. Ontario too, with the Progressive Conservatives by kbahey · · Score: 2

    Here in Ontario , the newly elected Progressive Conservative government cancelled any tax incentives for electric cars, starting September. But that is only when you buy the car through a dealer. If you buy the car directly (like all Teslas are), the incentives are cancelled immediately, leaving those who ordered Teslas on the hook for C$14,000 more.

    The PC government also cancelled a large wind project, with hefty penalties expected, and cancelled the carbon trading system, which provided C$100 million for schools. No tax credits for retrofitting homes for more power efficiency (insulation, windows, furnaces, ...etc.)

    1. Re:Ontario too, with the Progressive Conservatives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And?

      Don't forget they didn't just win the election, it was an overwhelming and crushing landslide victory.

      Suck it up, buttercup.

    2. Re:Ontario too, with the Progressive Conservatives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ontario doesn't need another wind project rammed down the throats of locals who have to live with it.

      But is isn't needed because the previous government paid many times market rates for solar and wind power, which increased rates in a Province with an industry built on cheap hydro- and nuclear- driven rates. High rates led to deindustrialization over the last 15 years, and significantly lower power consumption. Lower power consumption means that all the new installations weren't needed.

      If ever there was a law of unintended consequences, it was embodied in the Liberal's energy policies.

      As for the obscene subsidies for car owners - good riddance.

    3. Re:Ontario too, with the Progressive Conservatives by RedK · · Score: 1

      The PC government also cancelled a large wind project,

      Because those projects up here in Canada were born of corruption between the industry and the political branch. There was no need for Wind capacity, Ontario and Quebec both already produce much more power than they use. The wind contracts are costly, provide money to lobbyist who pushed for them and have no inherent value for the tax payer.

      If anything, Quebec now needs to follow suit and cancel its own "wind turbine" projects which are privatized and a cash sink for tax payers. Move that money to actual productive use, we have plenty of cheaper, cleaner, Hydro power. It might not be as trendy as "wind!", but it's better.

      Only uneducated fools who stick to "headlines" think this is a bad move, you environnementalists don't ever pay attention to the details to see if what you're pushing is even a good idea. It's always "HOW DARE YOU SIR!" faux-outrage at any steps, and money needs to be spent at all times even if it provides no actual value or does not even help.

      --
      "Not to mention all the idiots who use words like boxen."
      Anonymous Coward on Monday August 04, @06:49PM
    4. Re:Ontario too, with the Progressive Conservatives by Your+Average+Joe · · Score: 1

      I want to be the "Windmill Cutter" that takes those down with some kind of cutting device and explosives! Like the old guy "Red Adair" was to Oil well fires...

      --
      Your Average Joe
  30. Re:Savings? Really no. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 4, Informative

    EVs will remain cheaper than ICE vehicles as long as they get to use the roads, bridges and tunnels for free.

    Even if there was a 100% tax on the electricity used to power EVs, it would still be cheaper!

    If you are serious about infrastructure taxes then you should tax based on damage done by weight. Big rigs with heavy loads do 10000x the damage as a your run of the mill two ton car. Trucking companies are effectively being subsidized by everyone else.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  31. Re:Now you will all see that subsidies do not matt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I agree with you to a point. At the moment, Tesla is selling Model 3s at around $50,000. If, if, they start selling the $35,000 version, I'll fully agree with you.

  32. Don't worry, there's always a workaround! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Workaround: Instantiate a new auto manufacturer. New auto manufacturer gets itself certified for the subsidy. New auto manufacturer acquires or licenses/rents old manufacturer's tech and infrastructure and customer contact lists, "poaches" most of old manufacturer's employees, re-brands the product, and continues all operations with little or no procedural alterations. Then once the subsidy expires again, the two auto manufacturers merge and the process repeats.

  33. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Eh, increasing the supply of power plants is comparable to the distribution network required to fuel cars? Are you a troll or a complete idiot?

  34. Re:Savings? Really no. by heypete · · Score: 2

    85% of the power delivered to my house is zero-carbon-emission, with 58% of it being categorized as "renewable" (wind, solar, and small hydro). 27% is from large hydro. 15% is "unspecified", likely purchased on the open market to cover spikes in demand.

    The local power company will be offering 100% carbon-free power later this year for an extra cent-per-kilowatt hour. I intend to switch to that, as well as adding a grid-tied solar system to the roof of my house (at the very least, it'd lower my bill and make using air conditioning much less expensive).

    So, while there's likely still some carbon emission due to constructing the various generating stations, and in the 15% of "unspecified" sources of power, the electricity I use to power my Chevy Bolt is dramatically cleaner than burning gasoline, and any emissions take place relatively far from where I live, drive, and work. More effective emissions controls can be installed on a stationary power plant far more easily than on size-and-weight-constrained mobile vehicles. Charging at night, during off-peak times, can be considerably cheaper and help balance power consumption, thus increasing the efficiency of the whole system.

    Electric vehicles have a dramatic advantage over gas-powered vehicles, in that the sources of electric power can be incrementally changed and improved over time without needing to change anything on the consumer's end. For example, coal power plants could be gradually shut down and replaced with natural gas, nuclear, hydro, solar, wind, geothermal, etc. Thus, the energy used to power people's home, work, and vehicles would become incrementally cleaner. That's not really feasible with gas or diesel vehicles, since any replacement fuel would need to be compatible with existing engines, widely available, etc. So far, that's not really happened.

  35. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by mlyle · · Score: 1

    Not really? I mean, yes, there was a similar tax credit as part of TARP, with sharper limitations that was basically not ever claimed, and it was replaced by the Obama administration, fulfilling a campaign promise...

  36. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually I can by buy a $35000 BMW today that exceeds the performance of a any piece of shit Tesla.

  37. Re:Savings? Really no. by kenh · · Score: 1

    The BMW 340i has an EPA rated city range of 336 miles (16 gallons, 21 MPG), the Tesla Model 3 LR has a range of 310 (according to Tesla.

    The BMW 340i can be refueled in under 10 minutes, the Tesla Model 3 takes a bit longer.

    --
    Ken
  38. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It doesn't fall apart when you exercise long-term planning and responsibility and don't allow thrall-to-the-fossil-industry troglodytes like Mitch McConnell and his ilk to attain power. Where I live, we did consider these things. And we did tell the fossil industry what to go do with itself. And we get 86% of our power from emissions-free sources: a combination of mostly hydro plus wind and nuclear. This leaves only Vermont as a greener state than us:

    http://planwashington.org/blog...

    Add in my home's solar panels and the power wall I ought to have in place before the end of the year; and I'll guarantee-damn-tee that my Model S's net emissions beat whatever dinosaur-burner you want to submit.

  39. Re: Now you will all see that subsidies do not mat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That was every electric car before the Tesla. If you couldn't get a $7k rebate, there was no reason to put up with the nonsense like super limited range or performance.

    Nope. The problem was they were almost entirely not for sale at any price. GM destroyed their EV1s. Other companies behaved similarly. Toyota barely managed to make a few hundred RAV EVs for sale and all of them were sold.

    Sorry, but that's the reality.

  40. Re:Savings? Really no. by blindseer · · Score: 0

    By the time that's required, ICE will be an expensive sinking ship.

    I've been hearing things like that for 35+ years now. I've learned to become very very patient on waiting for anything to replace petroleum fuels. My best guess for the future now is someone will develop a means to synthesize hydrocarbons using nuclear power. We'll still be burning gasoline, only it won't be from oil drilled out of the ground.

    Tell me something, when do you predict that this will happen? I predict that we'll be burning petroleum in cars, trucks, trains, planes, and ships, for at least another 30 years. After that we could see synthetic fuels have enough infrastructure, and petroleum become hard enough to find, to be the primary fuel. Alternatively there's the possibility of some new technology to come along, or we have some widespread war or plague and we're back to horses and sails to move about. The chances of electric powered transportation to dominate look very slim.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  41. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by Rei · · Score: 2

    The current US credit was codified into law in the Energy Improvement and Extension Act of 2008. It was never "replaced"; it was insignificantly modified by ARRA and ACES, but generally kept in its original form.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  42. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Consumer adoption of EV's is dependent on the charging infrastructure needed to power their vehicles. Drive 10 miles in any direction and you will pass 6 - 10 gas stations. And it not just the availability of charging stations it is the amount of time required to charge your battery. How long does it take to fill up your average car's gas tank? Consumers will want the same type of convenience charging their electric vehicles that they have with their gas powered vehicles. And if number of EV's increase that only means you will need to support both the old or current power delivery infrastructure with the infrastructure needed to support EV's. They could roll out an EV tomorrow that only needs a recharge every 1000 miles but people are not going to all much out and get rid of their gas powered vehicles and by a new EV.

  43. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A Tesla Model 3 is not comparable to a BMW 3-Series. Moreover, even if it were, you stil could not actually go out and buy one, so the point is moot.

  44. Re:Savings? Really no. by Kotukunui · · Score: 1

    In New Zealand we have "Road User Charges" for diesel powered vehicles. It acknowledges that a lot of diesel fuel is used for non-roadgoing purposes (agricultural tractors, stationary generators etc.) so taxing the fuel for transport infrastructure at purchase is unfair. So those who have diesel powered vehicles purchase "Road User Charges" vouchers in blocks of 1000kms. The rate is set by vehicle weight class. Vouchers must be displayed and they show mileage tallies. This can be checked against the vehicle's odometer by traffic police and there are fines for driving without sufficient RUC purchase. For a standard private car they get charged NZ$62 per 1000 kms. A 45 tonne truck pays NZ$359 per 1000kms. I imagine this scheme will eventually carry over to EVs when the fleet is large enough to be statistically considered in transport infrastructure costings. These "RUCs" add to the overall cost of running a diesel vehicle, but for passenger vehicles it is still somewhat cheaper overall (but not by much)

  45. Re:Savings? Really no. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    Eventually, EVs will be similarly priced to ICE cars and ICE will quickly evaporate. The problem we currently face is mass manufacturing batteries in a way that will lower their cost.

    I agree with you on the general trendline. But would not expect ICE to die without a fight.

    Battery prices are dropping. Tesla has 30% advantage over other battery makers due to scale. They are at 130 $/kWh. When the price breaks 100 $/kWh a Battery EV will cost the same as what ICEV costs today. But as the day approaches, ICEV prices will drop, squeeze the margins of ICEV makers. Even small reduction in demand will create a glut in oil market and reduce gasoline prices, changing the break even calculations. So it is a moving target, and eventually ICEV will die, but it will lash out like a cornered wild animal before giving up its ghost.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  46. and by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    if they had added to the incentives a plan to aim them at the middle class, the car companies would have been incented to make electric cars the middle class could afford.

    The subsidies were not really aimed at consumers - they were clearly put in place to encourage the wealthy car executives who supported Obama and the virtue signalling rich liberals in places like greater San Francisco. When all is said and done, it will become clear that this was yet another wealth transfer program from the middle class to the wealthy - and that will be no surprise given its parentage within both the Bush43 and Obama admins.

  47. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Really a dumb argument. Sorry. If you want to go down that path, you should tax by weight and frequency of driving on particular roads. Ride sharing cars are heavier, and fatter people do more damage. After you are done with those calculations, you would pay more for the red tape than you would ever make in taxes. Everyone pays for the road, whether you use them or not, whether you drive a big truck or a bicycle. Trying to change that around is just dumb. Sorry, but it is. Please think of another argument against EVs.

  48. Bingo! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As a right-wing geek, I am all for regular cars, electric cars, solar panels, windmills, nat gas plants, coal-fired plants, nuclear plants, tide power, hydroelectric dams, oil-burning ships, wind-driven ships, nuclear powered ships, etc. The TECHNICALLY best solutions should win in a free market, producing the most-efficient economy and society.

    I want every technical solution to a problem to be tried, and on a level playing ground un-distorted by ideological partisan political government manipulation that is planned and implemented by lobbyists and armies of bribed lawyers. I want scientists, engineers, hobbyists and yes even billionaires to be as free as possible to experiment and to innovate and I care little for whether they are puttering with a pet project that will never do more than make a handful of users happy or whether they are pouring billions into a project they hope will remake the world - I want maximum freedom and liberty, which will provide maximum innovation and ultimately maximum choice for end users.

    1. Re:Bingo! by thewolfkin · · Score: 1

      The TECHNICALLY best solutions should win in a free market

      That's moronic. That leads capitalists to do whatever makes more money. not what people want. It leads to corporations ignoring humanity in favor of cost savings. It's precisely because the maximum free market doesn't work that we have controls. The free market only works when customers are informed and able to make choices. It implies that people are able to communicate their needs to corporate hierarchies whether though purchasing decisions or other means. With modern advertising and disgustingly insane wealth inequality, that doesn't work.

      --
      Just another second banana
    2. Re:Bingo! by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      Without government distortions of the market for something, what makes more money and what people want are the same thing.

      See, that's the demand side of the whole supply and demand thing. It's a huge part of the information contained in prices.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
  49. Re:Savings? Really no. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
    The OP clearly said TM3 goes farther than 340i in city driving, and admitted 340i goes farther in combined city/highway driving.

    I own an X3 and a model 3. So talking with experience. You are talking theoretically without actual ownership experience. Charging overnight every day saves you more time than what you lose in supercharging on long distance driving.

    Wife fills the X3 up every week, spending 15 minutes for the gas station trip among other chores. That is 13 hours per year. Supercharging takes 15 minutes more than gas station breaks (200 miles in 30 minutes in supercharger). I need to use the supercharger 52 times to lose time in electric vehicles.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  50. Re:Savings? Really no. by blindseer · · Score: 0

    My used 2015 Nissan leaf was significantly cheaper to buy than an equivalent ICE car and is significantly cheaper to run.

    Do you think it possible that this could be because of the car being subsidized on its first sale, low demand for used electric cars, or some combination of the two? I'm pleased that you are happy with your purchase but if more people wanted electric cars then you would not have been able to buy that Leaf as cheaply as you did.

    A quick Google search tells me that the average time a buyer of a new car keeps their vehicle is 6 years. You bought a car used that's only 3 years old. Why would someone keep a car for only 3 years and then sell it? Perhaps they were not satisfied with it? That might also explain the low price you paid, the seller was willing to take a bath on the sale to be rid of it. The original owner might not have sold at an effective loss but the dealer where you bought it from may have. If it's such a great car then it's likely to have stayed with its original owner for another couple years.

    I don't know how much you paid, where you bought it, or how you defined "equivalent". This is all very subjective and when it comes down to it all this subjectivity is reflected by something objective, price. People buy all the time on how they compute cost to benefit, dealers adjust prices to what people are willing to pay. My guess is that you defined "equivalent" differently enough from the rest that you viewed this Leaf as a deal compared to the "equivalent" models offered. Had more people shared your view of value then the price of that Leaf would have been higher.

    Given that the government is still subsidizing electric car sales for them to still sell as poorly as they do tells me that electric cars are still a terrible deal for large portions of the population. Maybe this is based on people having a view of electric cars that is outdated, and that people will have to learn to dispose of an old bias. What helps to enforce this bias is seeing a question on their tax forms on if they bought an electric car in the last year, and getting money if they answer yes. If electric cars are the best deal out there today then it's time to get rid of the subsidy and let the bias against electric cars go with it.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  51. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by mlyle · · Score: 1

    30D was completely replaced in ARRA.

    > (a) In General.--Section 30D is amended to read as follows: [entire text of current language]

    [entire text replaced, with some similarities with prior language... but e.g. changing limit to 250k per mfr instead of 250k total, threshold, interactions with depreciation, etc]

  52. There is no reason to subsidize a $75,000+ car by magzteel · · Score: 1

    The people that want them can afford them and would buy them without the government subsidy.

    1. Re:There is no reason to subsidize a $75,000+ car by Your+Average+Joe · · Score: 1

      exactly!

      --
      Your Average Joe
  53. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My best guess for the future now is someone will develop a means to synthesize hydrocarbons using nuclear power. We'll still be burning gasoline, only it won't be from oil drilled out of the ground.

    You might as well guess that we'll find a way to give people superpowers by nuclear radiation so that everybody can fly to work on the moon.

    Besides, if you're going to produce fuels using nuclear energy, even the hydrogen lobby will laugh at you for making gasoline.

  54. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where do you go camping that has no trees?

  55. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Care to give an example?

  56. Re: Savings? Really no. by bestweasel · · Score: 1

    Weighbridges have been around for hundreds of years. Number plate readers are widely used. That's the technology covered.

  57. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Doubtful for a few reasons. First, EVs still don't charge in 5 minutes, and so long as batteries are the tech, they aren't likely to. While you can plug in at night if you own your home, that's not likely to be the case for people in apartments and other renters. Second, EVs aren't clean. According to a recent study, the manufacturing of the battery from a Tesla Model S produces as much CO2 as a typical ICE car produces in 8 years. The solution the study proposes? A smaller battery to give your car less range. Then add the fact that the batteries are not economically recyclable and can be difficult to extinguish if they catch fire.

    Two better alternatives: The first is a supercapacitor-based car. They tend to use recyclable metals, that the capacitors themselves may have a long enough shelf life to just move from car to car. They do have half the storage capacity of Li-Ion, but give that they can also charge at whatever rate you can throw electricity at them, it's actually feasible to have a 5-minute fill up. Given that superchargers today only fill the battery half way in 30 minutes, on a long journey, you only need to stop one additional stop, but every stop after that you're an additional 25 minutes ahead.

    The other alternative remains biofuels. Boeing, working with the University of Abu Dhabi, found a plant that could turn barren land like the Sahara Desert or the Numibian Desert into vast fields for ethanol production, producing a carbon negative fuel. The plant can be watered with salt water as well. Yep, the ICE could actually be the solution to sequestering CO2.

    Tesla Link:
    https://principia-scientific.org/study-tesla-car-battery-production-releases-as-much-co2-as-8-years-of-driving-on-gas/

    Boeing link:
    http://energypost.eu/exclusive-report-boeing-reveals-biggest-breakthrough-biofuels-ever/

  58. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem with electric is not being able to go from 5% charge to 100% charge in 5 minutes like you can with any hydrocarbon. Even if we eventually get the battery or super cap tech that would support charging at that speed, there is no way today's electric grid would support cars gobbling up 70kwh worth in electric in a matter of 5 minutes. Future charging stations would probably require their own battery/super cap bank onsite to minimize the surges on the power grid.

  59. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    In the US they have on road and off road diesel for this situation. The off road diesel is not taxed the same and is dyed, If your'e caught driving on road with dyed diesel there are significant fines. The dye will also dye the filter elements in fuel filters so you can't occasionally use the off road and not expect to get caught, unless you're going to constantly change your fuel filter as well.

  60. Re:Savings? Really no. by blindseer · · Score: 1

    Also, electric motors weigh a lot less than the ICE.

    That's true but the batteries in an electric car more than make up for the weight of fuel and engine in a gasoline car. Most batteries today have 1/100th the energy by weight of gasoline, and even the best batteries that might be found in a top end electric car is still less than 1/10th the energy by weight.

    Weight is less of a problem when you have regenerative braking.

    Regen braking is shit for stopping a vehicle. It can slow a car down gently but it can't be used for emergency braking or to come to a complete stop. It's also shit for extending the range on a car. The range it adds is in the noise of computing your total range.

    I know that regen braking saves on brake repairs. What also saves on brakes on ICE powered vehicles is engine braking. In large vehicles engine braking has been standard for a long time. If brake wear becomes something that people look for in buying a car then I expect future ICE powered vehicles to add the software needed to the existing anti-lock and cruise control electronics to reduce brake wear, that is if this isn't already a thing. I hear people talk of electric vehicles not needing oil changes either. If oil changes and brake repairs stay as cheap as they are now, and we keep seeing cars getting more and more miles on each oil change, then this will become a very minor point very soon. What happens then is both electric and ICE cars getting the same miles between visits to an auto shop, and the price difference in the stop being very small.

    Added weight adds to tire wear. Braking adds wear regardless if it is regen, friction, or engine braking. Maybe that electric car can avoid wear on brakes and not need oil changes but it will need tires more often, or more expensive tires, for the same miles because of the added weight of the batteries to get the same range.

    Another thing, this isn't either or any more. Hybrid electric cars are a thing. Add in potential competition from alternatives like natural gas as fuel and the decisions for getting a pure electric car fades, or at least gets really muddy.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  61. Re:Savings? Really no. by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2

    Ah, yes, this old argument. Easily refuted.

  62. Re:Savings? Really no. by ClarkMills · · Score: 1

    I'm sure the stage coaches / wagon drivers / horse riders said the same thing about those newfangled smelly noisy cars. They spooked the horses too.

  63. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Indeed it will, but instead of a sane system as you describe they will require you to put in a dongle which will cost $300, and will track your gps and speed in real time, plus a camera which will use AI to count the passangers. And you should not store any items that resemble people with 20% confidence interval on any of the seats.

  64. still trolling this bullshit are you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    U still at it troll?

  65. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  66. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Here's a video explaining synthesized fuel in less than 5 minutes:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V_0ftKqQ9XE

    Here's a more detailed video that explains the synthesis process in less than 15 minutes:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G8zOHZINyG8

    Besides, if you're going to produce fuels using nuclear energy, even the hydrogen lobby will laugh at you for making gasoline.

    The "hydrogen lobby" recognizes, and will admit if they are honest, that the best way to store and transport hydrogen is by attaching a carbon chain to those hydrogen atoms.

    Who is the "hydrogen lobby" anyway? Hydrogen can't be mined or pumped out of the ground, it has to be produced from some raw material and energy. Hydrogen does not exist in any useful quantity or purity naturally on Earth.

    I believe the hydrogen lobby exists in a number of forms. One is the traditional natural gas people. Most hydrogen we use today is from cracking carbon from methane in natural gas. If people want hydrogen then they either buy natural gas and crack off the hydrogen themselves or they buy the hydrogen from someone that did that for them. Their is another aspect in this symbiotic relationship between the "hydrogen lobby" and the natural gas industry, there are groups of people trying to sell a mix of hydrogen and natural gas as an alternative to pure natural gas. Hydrogen is notorious for leaking out of tanks and chemically reacting with pipes and seals. When hydrogen is "dissolved" in natural gas then these effects are reduced considerably and can be handled much like compressed natural gas.

    Another big part of the "hydrogen lobby" are the solar and nuclear people. To get hydrogen from water takes heat and electricity, which we can get easily from solar collectors and nuclear reactors. What the solar and nuclear people gain from this is expanding out of the electricity business and into the heating, cooking, industrial gas, and transport markets. The hydrogen can be mixed with natural gas (again in concert with the natural gas industry), bottled and shipped to users (because it's difficult to run hydrogen through long pipes), or is used to synthesize hydrocarbons or some other liquid or gas fuel like ammonia.

    Anyone trying to sell "hydrogen" is really just trying to sell natural gas, nuclear, or solar. Hydrogen is not an energy source, it's a storage and transport mechanism for energy. It's a way for these energy sources to compete with oil, and to a lesser extent with coal. If the "hydrogen lobby" can turn their hydrogen into jet fuel and fuel oil then the petroleum industry might have a problem. Electric cars are nice but planes, trains, and ships, still need hydrocarbons. The "hydrogen lobby" can try to sell new engines for planes and ships, OR they can get their hydrogen turned into fuel that these engines can burn without modification.

    One of the largest consumers (if not THE largest) of hydrogen right now is the petroleum industry. If the "hydrogen lobby" wants to sell a lot of hydrogen then they'd do well in talking to the petroleum industry in how their hydrogen is "better" than the hydrogen they make themselves or have to buy from the industrial chemical producers. This way the petroleum industry doesn't become a competitor, they become a customer.

  67. Re:Savings? Really no. by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

    > You bought a car used that's only 3 years old. Why would someone keep a car for only 3 years and then sell it?

    Because leasing is a thing. Especially with EVs, since it currently makes more sense to lease than to buy: Not everyone's finances lets them take full advantage of the tax credit, so they lease and the dealer (who technically owns the car and thus claims the credit) applies the credit to the base value of the car, which in turn lowers the cost of the lease.

    You lease a car for 2-3 years - generally paying less per month than if you financed it for outright purchase - and at the end of the lease you give it back to the dealer. The dealer then sells the car at a steep discount as "pre-owned."
    =Smidge=

  68. Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    The PC government also cancelled a large wind project, with hefty penalties expected, and cancelled the carbon trading system, which provided C$100 million for schools

    Wow, 100 million for absolutely nothing,, not ripped from the pocketbooks of anyone, no sir, it was totally free!

    No tax credits for retrofitting homes for more power efficiency (insulation, windows, furnaces, ...etc.)

    I'm doing that with no credits because it saves me money. More power efficient windows and furnaces have an inherent value because they are cheaper - again why are you stealing from others to give money to people well off enough to afford homes?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by kbahey · · Score: 1

      The PC government also cancelled a large wind project, with hefty penalties expected, and cancelled the carbon trading system, which provided C$100 million for schools

      Wow, 100 million for absolutely nothing,, not ripped from the pocketbooks of anyone, no sir, it was totally free!

      Oh really? So where will schools get the 100 million from now?

      Answer: no where. Ford did not even have the decency to come up with a costed budget at election time, and he is just axing stuff based on ideology, not on any logic.

      Here is a university professor at UWO's Ivey saying it: Scrapping the carbon tax leaves a gaping hole in Ontario's budget.

      But since when did facts matter? We are in a post-truth era.

      No tax credits for retrofitting homes for more power efficiency (insulation, windows, furnaces, ...etc.)

      I'm doing that with no credits because it saves me money. More power efficient windows and furnaces have an inherent value because they are cheaper - again why are you stealing from others to give money to people well off enough to afford homes?

      Good you can afford it. Not everyone can, nor can everyone put money upfront to save on the long run. And trades folk will find that their business is less than before.

      Electric cars are the quintessential example of high upfront cost (they are more expensive than internal combustion cars), but lower running costs (electricity to run them is cheaper, no oil change, no gearbox, no maintenance apart from tires and brakes).

      Will you be buying an electric car soon by your logic?

    2. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Oh really? So where will schools get the 100 million from now?>

      WHHOOSH

      If they need 100 million dollars more why do people not vote to give it to them? Instead of using a carbon Ponzi scheme that passes costs onto the poor to pretend like the money isn't coming from tax payers at all?

      Are you retarded or something? Can you seriously not see how the schools getting money is not even slightly the point, whereas WHERE the money was coming from is?

      Oh sorry, forgot you are Canadian, forgot to add an emphatic EH?

      I'll let you have the last word because seriously dude.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    3. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by kbahey · · Score: 1

      Retarded is those who think that it is no problem at all when government erases a line item in the budget worth 100 million without replacing the funds, or even putting forward a proper budget.

      That is how we get populist politicians like Trump and Ford (as different as they are): they tell people what they want to hear, without having any plan except playing with people's emotions, stoking their fears, while shunning the media ...

    4. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Oh really? So where will schools get the 100 million from now?

      They get the money for services provided like any other service provider, from the people getting the services. Given that the tax burden is lowered the people will benefit in either lower taxes or that money going to other services that could use those funds, like perhaps the military, police, and courts.

      Good you can afford it. Not everyone can, nor can everyone put money upfront to save on the long run. And trades folk will find that their business is less than before.

      If that money is coming from the people through income taxes, property taxes, and sales taxes then it's not the government buying them windows and furnaces, it's people putting money in a big pot and drawing from it in an almost random fashion. They might win based on the taxes they pay and the products they buy but in the end it's still their money except the government skimmed a little off the top to pay for all the people moving this money around.

      Electric cars are the quintessential example of high upfront cost (they are more expensive than internal combustion cars), but lower running costs (electricity to run them is cheaper, no oil change, no gearbox, no maintenance apart from tires and brakes).

      There are mechanisms to deal with this other than the government giving you money now in exchange for what they'll take from you later in taxes. People can get loans, you know that don't you? If people decide that electric cars are a good investment then they will buy them.

      Will you be buying an electric car soon by your logic?

      I'll buy what I believe is good for me. I don't like the government using my money against my choices. I assume that Canada has elections? Seems to me that the people voted for a government to hand them some economic freedom.

      Here's why I don't like government enforced environmental subsidies. There was a subsidy on compact florescent lights, perhaps it's still there. I bought some of these CFLs and they sucked. They took a long time to light up, didn't last near as long as advertised, contained mercury (which is a toxic mess if it should break), was hard on the eyes, and tended to interfere with IR remotes (that drove me batty until I figured that out). Then came LED lights. They produced light immediately, often cost less than CFL even after the subsidy, didn't contain anything toxic, lasts seemingly forever (hadn't seen one fail yet in years), but sometimes still kind of "funny" in the color of the light. The government spent a lot of MY MONEY on these shitty lights that I hated and possibly poisoned many children from broken bulbs. I can't get this money back, I saw no benefit, and the open market beat the government to picking the winner in competition to the old Edison bulb.

      I got to visit my sister recently and see her new house. Every light in the house is LED and the lights are awesome. My guess is that these were expensive lights but they will last a very long time and the lighting is a very natural color. They didn't need a subsidy for these energy efficient lights because they recognized the return on investment, both in the value of money and the value of comfort/convenience. The government chose poorly and I'm left paying the bill.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    5. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      why are you stealing from others to give money to people well off enough to afford homes?

      Because he knows how governments work and subsidies work while you just think that everything is someone thieving from someone else.

      Learn some economics. You'll look less silly that way.

    6. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by thewolfkin · · Score: 1

      No tax credits for retrofitting homes for more power efficiency (insulation, windows, furnaces, ...etc.)

      I'm doing that with no credits because it saves me money. More power efficient windows and furnaces have an inherent value because they are cheaper - again why are you stealing from others to give money to people well off enough to afford homes?

      Um... you clearly don't know how and why tax credits work. Retrofitting a house is expensive. They demonstrably aren't cheaper or everyone would be doing it. But they save money. A $5 light bulb isn't as efficient as a $25 light bulb. The former will cost you $100 more over 10 years whereas the latter will only cost you $20 but when you only have $10 to spend on light bulbs you can't just buy the $25 light bulb because "hey it's $60 cheaper". It's not. It's $20 more expensive but worth $60 more.

      If you can afford to retrofit I'm happy for you but a lot of people can't afford that. This is why tax incentives exists so that I can afford to spend an extra $100 on refitting and still have enough money to pay my mortgage or car insurance

      --
      Just another second banana
    7. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by thewolfkin · · Score: 1

      I'll buy what I believe is good for me. I don't like the government using my money against my choices. I assume that Canada has elections? Seems to me that the people voted for a government to hand them some economic freedom.

      Here's why I don't like government enforced environmental subsidies. There was a subsidy on compact florescent lights, perhaps it's still there. I bought some of these CFLs and they sucked. They took a long time to light up, didn't last near as long as advertised, contained mercury (which is a toxic mess if it should break), was hard on the eyes, and tended to interfere with IR remotes (that drove me batty until I figured that out). Then came LED lights. They produced light immediately, often cost less than CFL even after the subsidy, didn't contain anything toxic, lasts seemingly forever (hadn't seen one fail yet in years), but sometimes still kind of "funny" in the color of the light. The government spent a lot of MY MONEY on these shitty lights that I hated and possibly poisoned many children from broken bulbs. I can't get this money back, I saw no benefit, and the open market beat the government to picking the winner in competition to the old Edison bulb.

      I got to visit my sister recently and see her new house. Every light in the house is LED and the lights are awesome. My guess is that these were expensive lights but they will last a very long time and the lighting is a very natural color. They didn't need a subsidy for these energy efficient lights because they recognized the return on investment, both in the value of money and the value of comfort/convenience. The government chose poorly and I'm left paying the bill

      While I agree LEDs are better than CFLs the irony is that without the subsidies people wouldn't have switched bulbs at all. The light bulb subsidy galvanized an unchanging market. People have complained for generations about light bulbs but until the subsidy the market didn't care. Even with your hyperbole (possibly poisoned many children from broken bulbs) there's more mercury in older thermometers and even when broken only a fraction is released, it would take weeks to poison a child and honestly even with the subsidy older bulbs would still be in fashion if it wasn't for the ban.

      --
      Just another second banana
    8. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by thewolfkin · · Score: 1

      stupid government stealing meh monez and building stupid bridges that I don't even get to name. I hates teh government.

      --
      Just another second banana
    9. Re:Oh no, magic free money is gone!! by blindseer · · Score: 1

      While I agree LEDs are better than CFLs the irony is that without the subsidies people wouldn't have switched bulbs at all.

      You don't know that.

      Lights burn out all the time, especially the Edison ones. Most anyone can be convinced to buy anything for less than $20, just look at the adverts selling crazy stuff on TV. If they can see one LED light run cool and with natural light, then tha'ts likely to encourage more buying. Seeing LEDs in other people's homes sold them to me. The Edison bulbs never disappeared, they only lost shelf space in the big box stores. This is because the stores got part of the subsidy.

      CFLs are disappearing from the shelves. Not because people are buying them, but because people are not and they aren't being restocked. Edison bulbs are returning to some extent but it's LED that's taking over. I'm not aware of any LED lighting subsidy but they are still cheaper than CFL for the same brightness bulb.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  69. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by Rei · · Score: 1

    Some similarities? Oh come on. The original description of the credit:

    ``SEC. 30D. NEW QUALIFIED PLUG-IN ELECTRIC DRIVE MOTOR VEHICLES.
    ``(A) $2,500, plus
    ``(B) $417 for each kilowatt hour of traction battery capacity in excess of 4 kilowatt hours.
    ``(b) Limitations.—
    ``(1) Limitation based on weight.—The amount of the credit allowed under subsection (a) by reason of subsection (a)(2) shall not exceed—
    ``(A) $7,500, in the case of any new qualified plug-in electric drive motor vehicle with a gross vehicle weight rating of not more than 10,000 pounds, ...

    The replacement:

    ‘‘(1) IN GENERAL.—The amount determined under this subsection
    with respect to any new qualified plug-in electric drive
    motor vehicle is the sum of the amounts determined under
    paragraphs (2) and (3) with respect to such vehicle.
    ‘‘(2) BASE AMOUNT.—The amount determined under this
    paragraph is $2,500.
    ‘‘(3) BATTERY CAPACITY.—In the case of a vehicle which
    draws propulsion energy from a battery with not less than
    5 kilowatt hours of capacity, the amount determined under
    this paragraph is $417, plus $417 for each kilowatt hour of
    capacity in excess of 5 kilowatt hours. The amount determined
    under this paragraph shall not exceed $5,000.

    It's the exact same credit value. Yes, they changed it from a total vehicles (250k) to a per-manufacturer (200k) limit, but the credit itself was established in 2008.

    Please tell me what you find here to be some sort of "sharp", onerous limitations that were subsequently dropped.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  70. Re: Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    99% of my country....

    Really looking forward to camping in my Model 3. Don't need to "take extra gas" because your efficiency doesn't plummet off the scale on slow backcountry roads. No risk of burning out a clutch either. Climate control without needing to idle an engine all night. Can't wait :) Come on, Eurospec!

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  71. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    Drive 10 miles in any direction and you will pass 6 - 10 gas stations

    Because gasoline cars have to stop there in their everyday lives. EVs simply don't need that many charging stations, because most charging is done at home.

    time required to charge your battery.

    About the same amount of time as meal and stretch / bathroom breaks. But road trips are the exception, not the rule, of course. In your normal everyday driving, an EV's driver is consistent: "nearly full". ICE drivers wake up to a random amount of range. It might be 600km. It might be 100km. Roll the dice.

    They could roll out an EV tomorrow that only needs a recharge every 1000 miles but people are not going to all much out and get rid of their gas powered vehicles and by a new EV.

    Norway has demonstrated otherwise.

    When you build a fast charging network, and EVs become affordable, people switch. En masse.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  72. Affordability for Joe Consumer? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At $95+ thousand per car, only the well to do can afford it practically. The average middle to low income family who drives an auto that is fuel INEFFICIENT will never be able to make a dent in the fossil fuel issues at that price regardless how many Prius they drive. This credit was only to assist getting the production off to a good start and that it has done. Now stop subsidizing the rich. I thought we hated the rich 1%'ers on /.??

    This post is merely a click bait for flame war.

    1. Re:Affordability for Joe Consumer? by Your+Average+Joe · · Score: 1

      Most $95k cars are gas guzzlers and can do a 1/4 mile in 10 seconds...

      --
      Your Average Joe
  73. Re: Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    BZZT, try again.

    1) "Lap records" does not equal "Performance": There's lots of fast cars that don't show up frequently on that list.
    2) Previous Tesla models were not designed for sustained track duty (Model 3 is).

    In terms of performance, Tesla outclasses BMW. Straight out, dollar for dollar, unsubsidized and not counting energy savings. And roughly matches it on weight (sometimes even besting it).

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  74. Re:Savings? Really no. by Dan+East · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Even if there was a 100% tax on the electricity used to power EVs, it would still be cheaper!

    Which means the tax would be more than that. The tax must be equal to the current tax or the roads won't be funded. This "bubble" will burst as the percentage of EVs on the road cross some threshold and those vehicles must pay an equivalent amount of tax as a ICE vehicle.

    Trucking companies are effectively being subsidized by everyone else.

    And so the cost of goods will go up (because obviously the trucking companies will pass transportation costs directly on to those who need things shipped), which will result in trucking companies being subsidized by everyone else.

    Using different terminology to try and frame these things in a different light doesn't change the facts. Vehicles using roads will have to pay taxes to have those roads built and maintained. Doesn't matter if EV, ICE or powered by mice running on exercise wheels.

    --
    Better known as 318230.
  75. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    The BMW 340i has an EPA rated city range of 336 miles [thecarconnection.com] (16 gallons, 21 MPG), the Tesla Model 3 LR has a range of 310 (according to Tesla [tesla.com].

    310 miles is a "downrated EPA combined range". The Model 3 LR RWD tested in at 318mi hwy, 334mi combined and 347mi city. As you may note, 347 is greater than 336. Even ignoring that the BMW on any average day will only have some random percentage of its tank filled.

    (The reason for the downrating is, beyond the fact that EPA ratings are too optimistic, is so that Tesla can mark all of its Model 3 variants as having the same range, including less efficient ones like Performance)

    The BMW 340i can be refueled in under 10 minutes, the Tesla Model 3 takes a bit longer

    The Model 3 can be refilled in 15 seconds of your time. Plug in when you get home, disconnect when you leave. Who cares how long it takes while you're asleep? That's not your time. The time it charges in your garage does not in any way waste minutes of your life. Unlike stopping at a gas station at regular intervals throughout your regular life.

    On long trips - aka, the exception, not the rule - you charge in the time a typical person spends on meal and bathroom/stretch breaks. But that's tangential to how most people spend most of their time in their vehicles.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  76. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    Yes, you can "go out and buy one", assuming that you live in the US or Canada and don't want air suspension, SR battery, non-PUP, cream interior on a non-Performance vehicle, or a trailer hitch (all of these are upcoming). US and Canadian waiting times on these Model 3 variants are not exceptional:

      * Performance: 1-3 months
      * Dual Motor LR: 2-4 months
      * RWD LR: 1-3 months

    And yes, it most definitely is.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  77. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by mlyle · · Score: 2

    Your own quoted text shows the language is completely replaced. Yes, the size of the credit was multiplied by the number of manufacturers, else it would have run out a fair bit ago. What other credits you can take it with and its interaction with depreciation was changed. The eligibility threshold was pushed up one 1KW-hr of capacity. The credit was limited to existing tax obligation (not refundable). It was allowed for lease and its interaction with business taxes was substantially changed. Etc, etc, etc.

  78. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The OP(your twink Rei?...are you a Musk cocksucker as well?) clearly said TM3 goes farther than 340i in city driving

    There's no way any Tesla will even go near 336 miles range of a BMW 340.
    A Tesla Model S P100 can only muster 170 miles real world range.
    A TMS P100 shockingly packing a 50% larger battery than your homoerotic Elon wet dream >336 miles Model 3 LR.

    200 miles in 30 minutes in supercharger

    BULLSHIT
    2013 Model S P85 driven from California to New York by edmunds.com required 15 hours of charging (exclusively at Superchargers) at a total driving time of 53 hours.
    53/15=3.5 hours of driving for every one hour of charging.

    Your 30min at a Supercharger will get you about 100min of highway driving (about 90 miles...NOT 200 miles).

  79. Re:Savings? Really no. by hey! · · Score: 1

    Moving energy by powerline is no way cheaper than moving petro to your gas station....

    Tesla's charging stations are all getting solar, with the goal of removing them from the grid entirely. You could do the same thing.

    Grid losses are dependent upon the state where you live; they run from 2.2% to around 13%, with the nationwide average being around 10% losses. However, once the energy is in your electric car, you lose a further 40% of it before it drives the wheels; for gasoline engines the further losses are 80% (source: Trump Administration).

    So even if you live in the worst case state for electricity transmission losses, and the gasoline you use magically appears at the pump with no energy inputs for refining and transport, you're still losing more net energy with your gasoline car than with your electric vehicle.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  80. Re: Savings? Really no. by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    I think you're confused about something. Here's a helpful picture for you

    http://www.pipeline101.org/whe...

  81. Re:Savings? Really no. by blindseer · · Score: 0

    I see, so my theory was correct.

    The reason used electric vehicles are so cheap now is because they were subsidized by the government years earlier. So, what happens when the subsidies run out?

    I expect prices to rise and then used electric cars won't be such a sweet deal any more.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  82. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Trucking companies are effectively being subsidized by everyone else.

    And so the cost of goods will go up (because obviously the trucking companies will pass transportation costs directly on to those who need things shipped), which will result in trucking companies being subsidized by everyone else.

    No, it will result in other modes of transportation, such as trains or ships, being used more, which will make roads last longer. Which is good for everyone.

  83. Re:Savings? Really no. by denzacar · · Score: 1

    And then there's the fact that it takes like half a thought to come up with the idea to put a charger section next to the air station and a "Charge your EV here" sign next to it.
    Over time you remodel the gas station, eliminate the pumps, expand it into a fast food/coffee/cake shop...

    Only issue might be all that potential contamination of the area with various petrochemicals.
    People start getting weird after a while when they realize how toxic that thing they were putting in their tank really is.
    Then again asbestos used to be just the thing for your kitchen and nearly everything used to be better for you if radioactive.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  84. Re:Savings? Really no. by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

    Curious how you paid "your fair share" for infrastructure like roads and bridges - all those more expensive to run ICE vehicles paid for them with gasoline taxes.

    EVs will remain cheaper than ICE vehicles as long as they get to use the roads, bridges and tunnels for free.

    I pay my car taxes to the state. I pay my income taxes to the state. My car is light, so it does very little damage to roads compared to heavy vehicles. So I do pay my fair share.

    --
    I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
  85. Re:Savings? Really no. by jaa101 · · Score: 1

    Even if there was a 100% tax on the electricity used to power EVs, it would still be cheaper!

    Which means the tax would be more than that.

    If there was no tax on either electricity or gas for cars, electricity would be cheaper. This means that, with any fair tax scheme where both EV and gas cars pay for their share of road maintenance, electricity will still be cheaper.

    And so the cost of goods will go up (because obviously the trucking companies will pass transportation costs directly on to those who need things shipped), which will result in trucking companies being subsidized by everyone else.

    This is not what the word "subsidize" means; it's something that only goverments can do, not customers.

  86. Re:Savings? Really no. by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

    >Do you think it possible that this could be because of the car being subsidized on its first sale,

    The price of used Nissan leafs went through the floor when the very different 2018 model came out. Also it's a fairly ugly car, but very nice to drive and loaded up with nice tech, so it's function over form. I think used Leafs are a bit of a bargain. It was subsidized for me because it's used. The government subsidizes the sale of new electric vehicles.

    The car was an ex lease vehicle. That's why it was available while only being a 2015 model.

    The car has been a good deal for me because I don't drive many miles a day and its range is sufficient to get me across town and back again. Being a pure EV, the maintenance costs are low and the fuel costs are low compared to ICE vehicles. Also the 0-45 performance is superb. It's not great at higher speeds. So it's a good in-town car.

    Having got used to driving an EV, I won't be going back to an ICE car. The options for EVs should improve in the future. My other car (a Mazda 5 minivan) feels very laggy and unresponsive compared to the Leaf.
     

    --
    I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
  87. Re:Savings? Really no. by mlyle · · Score: 1

    > The Model 3 can be refilled in 15 seconds of your time. Plug in when you get home, disconnect when you leave. Who cares how long it takes while you're asleep? That's not your time. The time it charges in your garage does not in any way waste minutes of your life. Unlike stopping at a gas station at regular intervals throughout your regular life.

    PHEVs do this too.

    > On long trips - aka, the exception, not the rule - you charge in the time a typical person spends on meal and bathroom/stretch breaks. But that's tangential to how most people spend most of their time in their vehicles.

    PHEVs do this better.

  88. Re:Savings? Really no. by unimacs · · Score: 2

    It's a common misconception and it varies by state but gas taxes only pay for a portion of the costs of roads and bridges. The EV owners don't get to use them for free because they are largely paid for through other taxes.

    Also consider that the cost of damages done by air pollution in the US was 131 billion in 2011 and that transportation is the major source of air pollution in the US. Fortunately, as the degree of air pollution has decreased, so have the associated costs. It was 175 billion in 2002.

    We're all paying for that and fortunately, EVs are helping to reduce that cost.

    You're welcome.

  89. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bzzzt Wrong!

    Any cay that isn’t a piece of shit golf cart, can make multiple laps of a track without problem. There’s lap record for a van.

    Teslas handle like shit, are built like shit, have shit interiors, look like shit, and just generally universally regarded as shit cars.

    I’ll take a gas powered BMW over any shit electric golf cart.

  90. Re:Now you will all see that subsidies do not matt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just wish Tesla would hire someone that had some sense of style, would love to own one if they didn't all look like steaming turds, even the top end ones look bloody boring and styled like the designers were on a budget and had to make everything as generic as possible.

  91. Re:Savings? Really no. by blindseer · · Score: 1

    I noticed your citation went out of its way to hide just how much fuel taxes contribute to paying for the roads. Reading between the lines my guess is that fuel taxes still pay for a plurality of road maintenance. I'm not going to run through the numbers in the article on paper to get a better idea on where the money comes from but just bouncing them around in my head I'm guessing that fuel taxes still pay for between 40% to 60% of road funds. If you think my guess is way off then show me some numbers.

    This tells me that EV drivers are still getting a free ride on paying for the roads they drive on. Even if the fuel taxes pay for only 20% of the budget for roads then that's still a pretty significant subsidy on their miles.

    I've seen the breakdown on where the money I pay for my fuel goes. No one makes more on the sale of that fuel than the government. If anyone thinks the oil companies are making out like bandits on this need to see just how much of that dollar spent goes to the government. At least the oil companies give me fuel to get me places, the government just uses that money to pay rich people to buy Tesla sedans. Let them pay for their own damned status symbol, I could have used my tax bill to buy new windows on my house.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  92. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If moving fuel was chraper than moving electricity, we'd all have small local power stations with fuel deliveries, rather than huge centralized power stations with electricity delivery.
    Fun fact: this is what Thomas Edison envisioned.

  93. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fortunately, most people don't think like you, and those who still do are on their way to old age and eventual extinction.

  94. Re: Savings? Really no. by haliburns · · Score: 0

    That was a shitty reply

  95. Re:Savings? Really no. by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    > there is no way today's electric grid would support cars gobbling up 70kwh worth in electric in a matter of 5 minutes

    The grid can be improved.

  96. Re:Savings? Really no. by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

    > Regen braking is shit for stopping a vehicle. It can slow a car down gently but it can't be used for emergency braking or to come to a complete stop.

    Emergency braking is only done in emergencies. If you find yourself emergency braking on a regular basis, you need to reconsider how you drive.

    Suppose you're going 45 mph, and you want to come to a complete stop in a normal manner. Suppose to do regen braking from 45 to 15 and then switch to 100% normal braking. You'll still recover almost 90% of the energy.

  97. Re:Savings? Really no. by djinn6 · · Score: 1

    I expect future ICE powered vehicles to add the software needed ... to reduce brake wear, that is if this isn't already a thing.

    It's already a thing. If I ride the brakes down a hill my car will downshift automatically.

  98. Re:Savings? Really no. by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

    > I see, so my theory was correct.

    Is it? I'm pretty sure your "theory" was that people were selling their electric cars after 3 years because they weren't satisfied with them. (I'm basing this on the obviously rhetorical question you asked suggesting people are not satisfied with them)

    > I expect prices to rise and then used electric cars won't be such a sweet deal any more.

    They'd be at most $7500 more expensive, but probably not. The car's used price is essentially the residual, so if the base price was increased by $7500 the residual price would increase by only a portion of that depending on the lease terms.

    Residual value is another strange puzzle for EVs, as the market has been rapidly expanding and the capabilities improving, the resale value of used electric cars is typically lower than ICE counterparts. The exception being Teslas which depreciate slower than equivalent gasoline vehicles. I suspect the real "enemy" of used EVs is not the expiration of the $7500 tax credit but the reduced depreciation rates as the market realizes they hardly wear out at all, mechanically speaking.
    =Smidge=

  99. Re:Savings? Really no. by djinn6 · · Score: 1

    Wife fills the X3 up every week, spending 15 minutes for the gas station trip among other chores. That is 13 hours per year. Supercharging takes 15 minutes more than gas station breaks (200 miles in 30 minutes in supercharger). I need to use the supercharger 52 times to lose time in electric vehicles.

    I think the problem here is your wife, who apparently makes an entire trip just to get gas and has a very long commute (35 miles each way if your numbers are accurate).

    Meanwhile, someone like me only stop by the gas station for 5 minutes once every 3 weeks, almost always on the way to another destination, such as work or the grocery store. I also have an extra gas can that I can fill up together with my car, giving me an additional 40% range. If I cared for more range between fill ups, I can easily get another gas can or two.

  100. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I suspect the real "enemy" of used EVs is not the expiration of the $7500 tax credit but the reduced depreciation rates as the market realizes they hardly wear out at all, mechanically speaking.

    What's the wear like on the batteries?

    I've seen early hybrid sell for pennies on the dollar because the batteries turned to mud and battery-only electric cars becoming worth little more than scrap metal prices. A hybrid with a dead battery can still be driven as a gas only vehicle. Some BEV cars cannot even be towed with a dead battery because it needs electric power to release the parking brake. That makes them less than worthless since that means a flatbed truck and a crane is needed to haul it away, and a replacement of a very expensive battery to make it mobile again.

  101. they're already subsidized for good in most of the by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    they're already subsidized for good in most of the world. the co2 taxes on cars are usually structured so that electric cars get an almost free pass.
    that's also why you're seeing so much hybrids, to get low emissions during the standard test run. the hybrid system pays for itself.

    the joke with tesla is the "taking delivery of their car" part.. buy a car without knowing if the price is 7500 higher or not haha

  102. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Suppose you're going 45 mph, and you want to come to a complete stop in a normal manner. Suppose to do regen braking from 45 to 15 and then switch to 100% normal braking. You'll still recover almost 90% of the energy.

    I'd like to see where you get a 90% return on regen braking. Best I could find was something as low as 20% on real world tests to 70% as theoretical maximums. First problem is that the motor in the car is going to be at best 90% efficient as a generator, as a motor it's more efficient as that's what it's optimized for. Second there are losses in the circuits to charge the battery, again they are optimized for delivering power to the motors and not taking power from them. I had trouble finding a real world number on this but I recall reading somewhere that 80% is a maximum here. A third problem is efficiency of the battery. Now, a modern electric car battery can be 99% efficient in converting energy in to energy out but even this small loss multiplied with the other losses in the chain makes 90% total efficiency doubtful.

    You may ask how multiplying 90% x 80% x 99% gets as low as 20%. The answer is that each of the above is a best case maximum. The real world efficiency, especially with the conversion on the motor as generator, can be far lower at slow speeds. Even Tesla gives a best efficiency of 64%.
    https://www.tesla.com/blog/magic-tesla-roadster-regenerative-braking

  103. Re:Savings? Really no. by blindseer · · Score: 0

    The grid can be improved.

    But can the batteries be improved to support a charge like that, or the charger?

    A standard EV charger plug can provide about 20kW, that's 250 volt at 80 amps. That will recharge an 80kWh battery in 4 hours. To shorten that to 5 minutes means multiplying the amperes by 60*4/5=48. 48*80 amps is 3840 amps. Alternately the voltage could be raised, 250*48=12000 volts. Either way that's a 960kW connector you need on that car. Making it a 20 minute recharge puts that at a 240kW connector.

    I'm probably getting my math wrong but I'm estimating that filling a 16 gallon gasoline tank in 5 minutes is somewhere around 12000kW through that fuel hose at a filling station. Is that right? That's pretty amazing if it is. Someone check my math, please.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  104. Re: Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    Model S and X can also do laps, just at reduced power after several minutes. Model 3 never throttles down. Primary power comes from a permanent magnet switched reluctance motor, not an induction motor; there's no rotor heat limitations.

    Model 3's handling has been almost universally praised by reviewers, but don't bother your head about that.

    Your "shit cars" have the highest consumer satisfaction rating in the industry.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  105. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    10:43: 18 miles remaining 11:13: 217 miles remaining. 199 miles in half an hour. You were saying? That's hardly even the fastest Model 3 charging experience. Model 3 tops out at a nearly 500mph charge rate.

    2013 P85 is an old car, of a different, less efficient model, driven back at a time four years when Superchargers were spaced further apart, and a larger percentage of them were lower power. You're comparing apples with oranges.

    There's no way any Tesla will even go near 336 miles range of a BMW 340

    Take it up with the EPA drivecycle test designers.

    A Tesla Model S P100 can only muster 170 miles real world range.

    If you're driving >200 kph on the Autobahn all the time, sure. Don't expect a gasoline car to go as far on the Autobahn, either.

    You're right that Model 3 didn't go 310 miles when Consumer Reports tested it. It went 350 miles.

    Lastly: 100 kWh is not 50% larger than 75 kWh. And Model S is a much less efficient vehicle; it needs a much larger battery to go the same distance.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  106. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    PHEVs also do "having to compromise both the ICE and the EV components because you need to fit both of them in the car" aspect very well. They're good at the still-needing-oil-changes and having components like a transmission and belts to break, but they're also good at the having miniscule range and generally well worse performance than a good EV" aspect too. They excel at the no frunk / crash absorption space up front aspect, as well as the "needing a larger, air-breathing front end which interferes with aerodynamics" aspect. And they have that "need to kick the rumbling engine on after several dozen kilometers, reminding you of why you actually wanted an EV in the first place" aspect. Assuming they're not like the Prius Prime which may decide to kick it on well before you run out of HV power.

    Don't get me wrong, they're fine as training wheels for EVs.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  107. Re:Savings? Really no. by Wheely · · Score: 1

    EV "fuelling" strategy is different than ICE fuelling strategy. 5-100% charging session are hardly, if ever needed. I have had an EV for over a year now and have never needed one.

    In an ICE car you drive around until your fuel gets low and then go and fill it up. If you have an EV and a charging point at home, you plug in when you get home at night and have a "full tank" every morning so you rarely, if ever, go and "fuel" your car.

    That said, if you don't have a charge point at home it all becomes a lot more inconvenient so perhaps the important thing is not so much getting battery technology to a faster charging rate and upgrading the grid to cope but instead, make it easier to get EV's charged slowly over night.

  108. Re:Now you will all see that subsidies do not matt by Rei · · Score: 1

    Seriously? You look at other EVs, like a Bolt, a Leaf, etc, then look at a Model 3 and think "that looks like a steaming turd"?

    I'm... baffled. To say the least.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  109. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your "shit cars" have the highest consumer satisfaction rating in the industry.

    Because they are bought by retards.

  110. Re:Savings? Really no. by gl4ss · · Score: 1

    how the hell is tesla at an advantage when tesla isn't even breaking even?

    and if you haven't noticed, all ice manufacturers could move into ev manufacturing in a few months if it was profitable. bmw, vw, gm etc have the capabilities to churn out them. but they need to be as good as the ICE equivalents in the 20-30k price range and today they simply aren't. VAG can drop billions and billions on it after it makes some sense to do.

    anyhow, in most of the world teslas are way cheaper than bmw's etc. except that teslas only live in the really expensive car territory anyways in most of the world - usa is among the only places in the world where teslas don't have a major price advantage due to co2 taxes. yet teslas aren't really appealing, due to their high price.

    that's why the thing about having a profitable 35k car for tesla has been seen as the make or break for the entire company.

    --
    world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  111. Re:Savings? Really no. by Whibla · · Score: 1

    There are numerous ways of looking at the whole roads / vehicles / fuel / taxation shebang, but clearly the way you're looking at it could not explain the building of said infrastructure in the first place.

    One view on taxation, at least on things that are demonstrably harmful, is that it is a deterrent. Smoking bad, tax tobacco. Pumping CO2 into the atmosphere bad, tax gas.

    On the other hand, if you want to pay for maintenance of your vehicle related infrastructure then tax vehicles and / or those who drive them, introduce tolls on said infrastructure, or use general taxation on the principle that everyone benefits from that infrastructure (food gets to the shops, post gets delivered, etc.).

    As for:

    EVs will remain cheaper than ICE vehicles as long as...

    Good! That means that more and more people will consider switching to EV's when they buy a new vehicle. Seems like an incentive that's doing exactly what it's supposed to, encourage people to do the 'right thing'.

    Of course, like all incentives, we should not forget the "Three T's":
    Targeted - From your 'complaint' it seems they work only for EV's and not ICE's, so ... Check!
    Timely - Well, they're happening now, and most people agree we need to be reducing CO2 emissions now (if not yesterday), so ... Check!
    Temporary - Once the incentive has served its purpose* it should be removed. Given the subject of this entire thread... Check!

    I hold my hand up to a vast oversimplification of the subject, but would suggest that, similarly, your post was a rather simplistic consideration of the issue.

    *This last is perhaps questionable, but with the introduction of cheaper EV's one could certainly argue that the incentives served their purpose in getting us to this point, and the cheaper EV's are now affordable in their own right.

  112. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I paid $15,000 (after incentives) for my leaf... cheaper than the versa parked next to it on the dealer's lot...

    But I paid sales tax for a $30,000 car because the incentives don't reduce the sales tax... (vehicle sales tax in my state goes to the same roads fund as gas taxes do)

    Mean while the versa when/if it sold paid sales tax on a $17,000 car.

    So I'm already paying more for the roads than they are, to the tune of about about $1,200, before they either car even drives on a road.

    Then when I pay for my registration (based on the value of the car for the first 10 years) I pay more because of the higher MSRP...

    Those two things along cover the cost difference for the first 8-9 years of ownership (not including inflation or loss of capital for the electric car owner)

    But then Minnesota (where I live) also has an extra $85 registration tax for electric cars to cover the lost fuel revenue...

    Which ends up being slightly more than most drivers pay in gas taxes in a year...

    So when you ask that question, I can safely respond, when the heck are ICE owners going to start paying their fair share for road use? Why am I being billed regardless of usage when they are only being charged for the usage of the road? Why the heck am I subsidizing ICE cars access to public roads?

    Oh and even despite all of that the leaf is still cheaper than the versa on a per mile basis.

  113. This is bad for tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tesla is teetering on the edge, and their cars are about to become more expensive than similar competitors. I wonder if the established manufacturers were simply playing the long game while Tesla continued to extend themselves.

    I'm sure i'm part of the short conspiracy according to the fanbois.

  114. FIFY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Put in place early on in the Obama administration, the tax credit was seen as a tool that could be used to subsidize failing automakers by giving them a handout in the form of a tax credit to consumers, which could simply be folded into the price of an electric vehicle."

    Which is exactly what happened. The day the tax credit took effect, the MSRP of a Prius increased, almost magically, by exactly $7500.

  115. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They largely have high satisfaction ratings because they're largely bought by true believers atm

  116. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    Doubtful for a few reasons. First, EVs still don't charge in 5 minutes, and so long as batteries are the tech, they aren't likely to.

    There are li-ions that charge that fast. They're not usually used because of price and because their energy densities are lower,but they exist. It's irrelevant, though, since you need breaks during road trips anyway.

    You've BTW normalized the inconvenience of having to keep randomly detouring to buy gas in your everyday life.

    While you can plug in at night if you own your home, that's not likely to be the case for people in apartments and other renters.

    Ignoring roadside, storefront, and workplace charging, the higher the rate of EV penetration, the more pressure is to change building codes to mandate chargers.

    Second, EVs aren't clean.

    Contradicted by almost every peer-reviewed cradle to grave study thusfar. Go to scholar.google.com and type in electric vehicle lifecycle analysis.

    According to a recent study

    According to nonsense. You refer to the widely ridiculed, non-peer-reviewed Swedish "study" that contradicts virtually all other research on the topic, and makes a number of glaring mistakes and pulls numbers out its arse.

    The first is a supercapacitor-based car

    Sure, the solution is to go to something that has 1-2 orders of magnitude less energy density and 2 orders of magnitude more price. Right.

    They tend to use recyclable metals

    Not really. They're mainly carbon compounds. At end of life you can incinerate them, but not recycle them. If you want something that you can recycle, you want batteries. All major EV manufacturers have recycling programmes for their battery packs.

    They do have half the storage capacity of Li-Ion,

    If by "half" you mean "1-2 orders of magnitude less", sure. But I prefer not to redefine words to mean radically different things than they actually mean.

    Given that superchargers today only fill the battery half way in 30 minutes

    Model 3 is 2/3rds in 30 minutes. Halfway in 20 minutes.

    give that they can also charge at whatever rate you can throw electricity at them, it's actually feasible to have a 5-minute fill up

    Tesla charge rates are limited by supercharger power, not their battery rates, up to around 50% SoC.

    but every stop after that you're an additional 25 minutes ahead.

    If by "every stop" you mean "every 10 kilometers", sure.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  117. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Also, we pay an upfront electric fee that covers the expected lost tax revenue.

  118. Re:Savings? Really no. by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

    > What's the wear like on the batteries?

    Most EVs have battery warranties of 8 yr/100K miles to 70% rated capacity. Numbers vary of course, but that equates to about $2000 worth of battery. Most people would save that much in gas alone well within that span of time.

    Meanwhile the cost of EV batteries has dropped 75% in the past ~8 years and many estimates suggest there's still cost reductions ahead. By 2020 a refurbished battery for an EV should cost about $180/kwh, meaning you get essentially a new car for under $6000 before any trade-in value for the old pack. That's a pretty great value considering the cost of operation is so low.

    There are also RAV4EVs still running on their original NiMH battery packs, so even with severe degradation it doesn't make the vehicle worthless to the right user.

    > Some BEV cars cannot even be towed with a dead battery because it needs electric power to release the parking brake.

    I cannot think of a single vehicle where this is true. What make and model does this apply to?
    =Smidge=

  119. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Curious how you paid "your fair share" for infrastructure like roads and bridges - all those more expensive to run ICE vehicles paid for them with gasoline taxes.

    That's not a problem for the consumer or the company producing the cars. It's a problem for the government to figure out an efficient way get those revenues to pay for them, whether that's through an energy tax, gas tax, or whatever. If nothing else, EV drivers could be charged the equivalent gasoline tax based on their mileage, it's still going to be a fraction of the operating cost of driving an ICE.

  120. Re:Savings? Really no. by jedidiah · · Score: 1

    You mean like toll roads that charge you more for having more axles on your vehicle? There are TONS of those around here. Not a new idea really. They've been doing that with toll roads since at least the 70s.

    Although the tech for doing it now is pretty transparent. They don't even need toll system transponders. They can just read your license plates.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  121. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cheaper than say a $6000 civic/corolla?

  122. Re:Savings? Really no. by jedidiah · · Score: 1

    > The grid can be improved.

    That's a very large problem. Much larger than improving the tech of an individual device plugged into the grid. You are completely glossing over the scale of this problem because it suits your personal agenda to do so.

    It has nothing to do with any practical consider.

    You're running on nothing but wishful thinking. Unfortunately the real world doesn't work that way.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  123. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So where will those missing taxes come from?

  124. Re: Savings? Really no. by jedidiah · · Score: 1

    > Fortunately, most people don't think like you, and those who still do are on their way to old age and eventual extinction.

    More of this self serving wishful thinking.

    NOBODY in the target demographic for the Telsa/BMW measures up to your little fantasy. The Hippie appeal of an electric car simply doesn't exist among that class of consumer. You actually have to compete on merits and branding.

    People who blow that kind of money on cars simply are nothing like what you are pretending.

    You are confusing the Prius crowd with the BMW crowd. Age is really quite irrelevant here. You understand nothing.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  125. Re:Savings? Really no. by jedidiah · · Score: 1

    > Meanwhile, someone like me only stop by the gas station for 5 minutes once every 3 weeks

    So you are a shut in then.

    You describe my own habits more or less and I am on medical isolation leave.

    The "wife" is not the problem. She's fairly normal. The problem is YOU. You are pretty much a "grandma" in the grand scheme of thing and you have some strange delusions of being the least bit relevant.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  126. Either this is a typo or dramatically unfair? by thewolfkin · · Score: 1

    I tried the article and the sources but I couldn't find the details on the tax credit. The article implies the tax credit will be removed only from those who buy Teslas but will remain for other electric cars.

    I assumed from the headline that it was a tax credit on making the cars which it would make sense to make. But a tax credit on BUYING the cars... that just incentivizes someone to not be first but be prepared to be second. Because of exactly moments like this when Tesla prices skyrocket and you can sweep in with your cheaper price and an already established eco system and social narrative constructed.

    Why not just remove the tax incentives from all the companies at the same time (whatever time that is). This encourages someone to be first because they'll enjoy the credit the longest. Rather than now with Tesla having done a majority of the work establishing the viability of the electric car to the public and now the other auto makers who weren't able to do that will be able to reap the Tax Credit now that the market has been taught to want their new product. Whatever congress passed this incentive was idiotic.

    --
    Just another second banana
  127. Re:Savings? Really no. by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    I'd like to see where you get a 90% return on regen braking.

    I meant that 90% of the original kinetic energy is available on the input of the regen braking system. The usual losses apply after that.

  128. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Battery powered vehicles are coal and natural gas powered.

    It's like people don't know where electricity comes from in this country any more....

  129. Alternate title by kenh · · Score: 1

    "Tesla on track to be first automaker to sell 200,000 electric cars"

    --
    Ken
  130. Re:Savings? Really no. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Curious how you paid "your fair share" for infrastructure like roads and bridges - all those more expensive to run ICE vehicles paid for them with gasoline taxes.

    Roads benefit everyone, so their construction should come out of the general fund. Their maintenance should be paid for proportionally, with people who drive automobiles charged essentially nothing, and with basically all of the fees paid for by heavy vehicles, because that's which vehicles are actually doing road damage. Those fees will then wind up baked into the cost of products (and bus trips) which means that the people actually responsible for the road damage being incurred will be the ones paying for it.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  131. Re:Savings? Really no. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    You mean like toll roads that charge you more for having more axles on your vehicle?

    No. All else equal, more axles means less road damage. The only fair way to charge for road damage is to a) charge fees, including tolls, by unladen weight and b) to charge additional fees for carrying loads. Two vehicles with the same number of axles but different weights will cause different amounts of damage to the roads.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  132. Re:Savings? Really no. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    First, the grid requires little to no improvement to handle many additional EVs, because they will be distributed across many residential drops and not concentrated in centralized locations while charging; most of them will do most of their charging at night.

    Second, the grid should be upgraded anyway, for lots of other reasons, like national defense.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  133. Re: Savings? Really no. by kenh · · Score: 1

    Most EVs have battery warranties of 8 yr/100K miles to 70% rated capacity. Numbers vary of course, but that equates to about $2000 worth of battery. Most people would save that much in gas alone well within that span of time.

    If you have to pour your 'savings' into replacement batteries then it it isn't a savings, it's a deferred expense.

    --
    Ken
  134. Re: Now you will all see that subsidies do not mat by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

    When a $5k subsidy in Georgia ended, electric car sales dropped from as many as 1400/month to less than 100/month. That's a pretty clear demonstration they aren't nearly as wanted without the government stepping in to pay people to buy them.

    --
    The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
  135. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, in effect there is a tax on the weight - your average big rig gets 5-8 MPG...

  136. Re:Savings? Really no. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    At end of life you can incinerate them, but not recycle them. If you want something that you can recycle, you want batteries. All major EV manufacturers have recycling programmes for their battery packs.

    Pop quiz: What are all major EV manufacturers doing with the electrolyte recovered from batteries, after possibly removing heavy metals? I'll just go ahead and provide the answer, since it is incineration.

    Maybe someday we'll have recyclable EV batteries, but right now we just have recyclable battery cases and electrodes. The electrolyte is not recoverable or recyclable yet. Compare this to traditional flooded-cell automotive batteries, where literally every part of the battery is recycled, down to the chemistry; automobiles are the most aggressively recycled consumer product on the planet, and their legacy batteries are the most recycled part of the vehicle.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  137. Re:Savings? Really no. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Moving energy by powerline is no way cheaper than moving petro to your gas station...

    We lose less than 5% of electrical energy in transmission losses here in the USA, around 3% by some estimates. It's cheaper in every way.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  138. Re: Savings? Really no. by kenh · · Score: 1

    10000x?

    Big rigs with heavy loads do 10000x the damage as a your run of the mill two ton car.

    My car weighs 2 tons, do you honestly imagine the computer average big rig weighs 20,000 tons?

    A fullly-loaded semi trailer weighs about 80,000 pounds, or just about 40 tons.The

    20,000 tons is about 40,000,000 pounds.

    --
    Ken
  139. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey Rei (pet name "pedo" from your molester Elon), you mind posting the straight youtube.com links. I can't load the ones you got right now.

    larger percentage of them were lower power

    Wow, talking about screwing your customers by not clearly indicating you are limping into a shit-tier "Shitercharger".
    Tell "pedo" Musk (you call each other by that cute petname I was told...) to update them "Shitercharger" map locations.

    Consumer Reports tested it. It went 350 miles

    That's funny, MotorTrend only got 230 miles (103.7 MPGe).
    Now MotorTrend indicated they used the services of Emissions Analytics, how did Consumer Report do its testing?

  140. Re: Savings? Really no. by fisted · · Score: 1

    Nice reading comprehension there.

  141. Re:Savings? Really no. by Rei · · Score: 1

    I'll just go ahead and provide the answer, since it is incineration.

    Your complaint about having a sub-100% recovery rate vs. a 0% recovery rate on supercapacitors is what, exactly?

    Maybe someday we'll have recyclable EV batteries, but right now we just have recyclable battery cases and electrodes.

    Wow, they only recycle parts that comprise the majority of the mass and represent the rarest, most valuable, most energy-intensive components of the cells. How horrific!

    Compare this to traditional flooded-cell automotive batteries, where literally every part of the battery is recycled

    Wrong. While some plants recycle all or part of the plastic, in most, the plastic components are landfilled. The smelting dust / slag is also landfilled. As the slag contains a lot of lead contamination, this sends a lot of lead contamination into landfills. The slag comes from recycling the battery paste, which requires sodium carbonate and iron, and creates sodium sulfate, iron oxide and CO2 as waste products. There's generally also significant SO2 emissions (scrubbers usually remove part of them, but in China rates of scrubbing are highly variable). As for the acid, in some plants it's sent off for purification and recovery, but it's more commonly simply neutralized, which consumes caustic and creates lead-contaminated sulfate salts. These are then theoretically sent to strip the lead out, but in the 3rd world this step is often either poorly done or not done at all. Some plants sell these salts onward (such as for detergent manufacture), but because of stringent lead requirements from buyers, the salts are most commonly dumped into sewage.

    the most aggressively recycled consumer product on the planet

    In China, at least, 30-40% of lead-acid batteries are recycled illegally in an environmentally destructive manner.

    I want you to stop and think again about the oft-cited 99% lead recovery rate from lead-acid battery recycling. Ignoring places that perform illegal, dangerous recycling... think of what having 1% of the lead in all of the world's lead-acid batteries going into landfills, air, sewage, and other products means. Given how quickly every of the world's ICE vehicles goes through a lead-acid battery.

    --
    The big brain am winning again! I am the greetist! Now I am leaving for no particular raisin!
  142. Re:Savings? Really no. by mlyle · · Score: 1

    ;) I've got a Honda Clarity, 1000 miles, burnt 0.2 gallons of gas so far (about half of that because I was fucking around with the HV modes). And eventually I'll go on a road trip and it will be a lot less of a pain.

    Yes, I'll need time based oil changes, but that'll be quite some time as it's synthetic and used so sparingly. Bigger deal will be needing to burn the gasoline before it goes bad. I wish it could take a little more gas (range with 7 gallons is very good, but with 9 would be super impressive-- but then I guess the "needing to get rid of gas problem would be bigger).

    Not really too much of a transmission either. Same cargo volume as a Tesla 3, but not divided into 2 compartments, and a much better back seat.

  143. Re:Savings? Really no. by The+New+Guy+2.0 · · Score: 1

    Tesla's charging stations are all getting solar, with the goal of removing them from the grid entirely. You could do the same thing.

    Solar panels are heavy and made out of expensive things... still no savings there.

  144. Re:Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Except with the EV, you’re stranded while your over priced golf cart recharges.

  145. Re: Savings? Really no. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    The problem here is that you are assuming that the amount of damage done is directly proportional to the weight of the vehicle because that is false.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  146. Re:Savings? Really no. by djinn6 · · Score: 1

    Haha, no I actually drive to work every day. I just live 15 miles from my work. Back when I lived close enough to walk to work, my car could go 3 months without a refuel. If you need to get gas every 3 weeks despite not using it, there's probably a leak in your tank.

  147. Re:Savings? Really no. by volmtech · · Score: 1

    If everyone depends on something is it actually subsidized? How much of what you use or eat was not transported by a big rig at some point?

  148. Re: Savings? Really no. by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

    Deferred expense over continuing expense of higher cost fuel and higher maintenance; it's still a net savings, handily.

    =Smidge=

  149. Re:Savings? Really no. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    If everyone depends on something is it actually subsidized?

    Yes. Also, if properly taxed then the transport industry would likely shift toward using trains and other transportation methods. The result would be reduced damage to the roads which would require a smaller budget to maintain.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  150. Re:Savings? Really no. by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

    Cheaper than say a $6000 civic/corolla?

    It's a 2015, top of the line model with great performance. So needs to be compared with a 2015 top of the line used corolla. Cheaper? Yes. :https://www.kbb.com/cars-for-sale/486893614/?totalresults=109&index=2&vehicleid=403139&year=2015&distance=150&atcmake=toyota&atcmodel=corolla&searchtype=used&intent=buy-used&persistdata=true&includelistings=true&maxlistings=5&pricetype=retail&_=1531781530626

    --
    I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
  151. Re:Savings? Really no. by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

    This tells me that EV drivers are still getting a free ride on paying for the roads they drive on.

    I don't know that I'd go that far--again, my property taxes and the like pay for the roads as well. But that said, I am certainly contributing less for road maintenance than a person using gasoline. How much, neither of us know.

    And, arguably, it gets worse. California recently raised gasoline taxes, which might cause more people to go to electric vehicles. Which means you'll get the same situation--less money going into the coffers for road maintenance. It's a bit like cigarette taxes--cigarette taxes go for things like pre-school education. People quit smoking and suddenly there's less money for that, so they up the taxes.

    I know Oregon has had a couple of ideas of new ways to tax transportation.

  152. Re:Savings? Really no. by volmtech · · Score: 1

    So using trains and repairing railroad tracks would be cheaper than using trucks and repairing roads? Sure you can add taxes to make one method cost more than another but ultimately the consumer pays either way.

    No matter what would have been best if done 50 years ago we now have roads everywhere. The roads can't erased, at least most of them. New rail-lines would have to be crammed into an already crowded landscape.

  153. Re:REAL businesses dont use subsidies by Your+Average+Joe · · Score: 1

    Yes and the automobile needs to be about the same price, not a $150k tesla. I drive 10,000 miles a year. I waste $2,500 a year in gasoline. If electricity were free I could pay $5,000 more on a 2 year lease and break even. a lease on a $150k tesla is not economical.

    Tesla cars should get nailed with a gas guzzler tax, any car that does a 10 second 1/4 mile is a drag racing and gas guzzling pig.

    It has been said tesla is the experimental company that makes fancy electric golf carts... for the rich.

    --
    Your Average Joe
  154. Re:Savings? Really no. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    So using trains and repairing railroad tracks would be cheaper than using trucks and repairing roads? Sure you can add taxes to make one method cost more than another but ultimately the consumer pays either way.

    The difference is that the cost is part of the products shipped (which you may or may not buy) instead of being paid by the government which will take money from all tax payers.

    This is the difference between the cost of business and subsidies.

    Congrats on being retarded. ;)

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  155. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Having hydro as a major component means that you are lucky geographically. Ignoring this and comparing to other states is silly.

  156. Re: Savings? Really no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At the charging rates involved, unless there's a field of solar panels nearby, or it's rarely used and it has a powerwall or equivalent, this is just PR.

  157. Re:Savings? Really no. by volmtech · · Score: 1

    I guess every national leader for the last 70 years has been retarded. Our system of roads benefits the most people, Most people are poor so the few rich pay the taxes that fix the roads. Ah, socialism.