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Boeing CEO: First Operational Self-Flying Cars Are Less Than 5 Years Out (geekwire.com)

Speaking at the GeekWire Summit, Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg said the company is making rapid progress on the first operational self-driving airborne vehicles and that we could see them take to the skies in under five years. "Muilenburg laid out the company's vision for flying cars, as well as the importance of safety measures for the concept," reports GeekWire. "Muilenburg said the company is already building prototypes and expects them to fly within the year." From the report: "Imagine a future city that has three-dimensional highways, with flying taxis, flying cars," Muilenburg said. "That future is not that far away. In fact we are building the prototype vehicles today. We are also investing in the ecosystem that will allow that to operate safely and reliably as it must." The full vision of self-flying cars ferrying people through busy urban areas will take longer than five years to realize, Muilenburg said, but vehicles that start with more simple functions like cargo aren't far away.

The ecosystem to manage this new method of travel includes enhanced air traffic control. Earlier this year, Boeing teamed up with Austin-based SparkCognition to develop artificial intelligence and blockchain technologies for tracking and directing flying cars through traffic corridors. Muilenburg wouldn't say where these futuristic vessels would be tested, though he did say that the environment would be a "similar case" to Airbus' Vahana flying-taxi testing ground in Pendleton, Ore. Testing self-flying cars requires dedicated airspace and a slate of approvals from the Federal Aviation Administration.

184 comments

  1. Driving by Mike+Frett · · Score: 2

    People already can't drive with wheels on the road, just think of the danger once they get airborne. Am I suppose to turn first, or do you? Just imagine all the ground injuries.

    No one reads the manual.

    1. Re:Driving by geantvert · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is about SELF-DRIVING flying vehicles! Anyways I agree that even without human drivers, this is going to introduce some huge risks. The noise is also going to be problematic. Last but not least, flying requires significantly more energy than driving so this is probably going to be quite expensive. To summarize, I predict that this technology will only be affordable by the wealthiest peoples and that it will have very little effect on the rest of the population (except for the noise).

    2. Re:Driving by mentil · · Score: 1

      Anyways I agree that even without human drivers, this is going to introduce some huge risks.

      You misunderstand. This is actually a facade for a population-control program. The subsequent reduced population will use less net energy, more than making up for the energy costs of lifting these into the air high enough to euthanize their occupants (and sometimes others for bonus points).

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    3. Re:Driving by pslytely+psycho · · Score: 1

      They don't euthanize the rich, and the poor won't be in them.
      Unless of course, you design the failure mode to take out the most densely occupied structure if it's over/near a poor part of town, and to crash in an unoccupied are if it is over the wealthy part of town.

      --
      Donald Trump, on a crusade to make Nixon look respectable
    4. Re:Driving by pslytely+psycho · · Score: 1

      Goddamnit.
      Why do you always see the fucking error as you press submit?
      AREA not ARE.........

      --
      Donald Trump, on a crusade to make Nixon look respectable
    5. Re:Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "To summarize, I predict that this technology will only be affordable by the wealthiest peoples and that it will have very little effect on the rest of the population (except for the noise)."

      That's what some people said about airplanes & horseless carriages.

    6. Re:Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Goddamnit.
      Why do you always see the fucking error as you press submit?
      AREA not ARE.........

      One of the reasons why I like occasionally posting as an AC, is that it forces me to use a captcha, and thus there is some extra time for me to notice my mistakes. I'm also sometimes a wuss.

    7. Re: Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not wrong though. It just usually takes a couple of more decades from the rich can afford it until the average guy and gal can.

    8. Re:Driving by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      For decades, everyone has been talking about self-driving cars, self-flying cars, etc. But myself has yet to see them.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    9. Re:Driving by jcr · · Score: 1

      Every single time this subject comes up, some dumbass pipes up with this same idiotic canard.

      What part of "self-flying" did you not understand?

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    10. Re:Driving by hvidstue · · Score: 1

      Why do you always see the fucking error as you press submit?

      Simple ideas for solutions:

      • Make the Submit button have a delay before actually sumbitting, where a countdown 3..2..1 appears beside a cancel button
      • Make it possible to edit your comments when not AC
    11. Re:Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is about SELF-DRIVING flying vehicles! Anyways I agree that even without human drivers, this is going to introduce some huge risks. The noise is also going to be problematic. Last but not least, flying requires significantly more energy than driving so this is probably going to be quite expensive. To summarize, I predict that this technology will only be affordable by the wealthiest peoples and that it will have very little effect on the rest of the population (except for the noise).

      I dunno about you, but I would have imagined that a flying vehicle, would be both SELF-DRIVING and SELF-FLYING :-)

      OTOH... we have heard about this for many years now... I need too see some actual widespread commercial products before I start celebrating...

      ALSO...

      "Blockety McBlockFace" aka BlockChain

      BINGO!

      finally...

      here in europe... most people are unable to control a vehicle in ONE direction (trains) as well as 2 directions (cars)... and self driving cars are a joke... 3 dimensions? forget it!!!

    12. Re: Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and then comes the noise! :-)

    13. Re:Driving by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      And instantly, every barricade and anti-vehicle security system in front of every government installation ever is completely worthless.

      They won't be able to even get regulations passed to allow this in 5 years.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    14. Re:Driving by andydread · · Score: 1

      Please Mike at least read the summary before commenting thanks.

    15. Re:Driving by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

      A big problem will be maintenance costs, which are not "self-fixing" and repair costs from self-flying "cars" crashing into homes, schools, businesses, etc.

      If you think car insurance is expensive now just wait until flying cars become available.

    16. Re:Driving by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      I won't say it won't happen. It's probably going to be super expensive though.

      We don't even have meaningfully self-driving cars. As yet, AFAIK, full collision avoidance still isn't available in UAS, even the super high dollar systems. UAS have a pretty poor accident record too.

    17. Re: Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And vehicles dropping out of the sky onto playgrounds, wedding parties, people's houses, etc.

    18. Re:Driving by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      flying requires significantly more energy than driving so this is probably going to be quite expensive.

      You are probably right, though if energy is the only driver than this problem could largely disappear as the cost:capacity of batteries drops. I mean, it won't disappear because cars will also see the same benefits, so flying will always cost more than driving. But if you use fuel costs of cars today as your baseline, it's possible that flying would be cost-competitive. Certainly you can see how the premium might be worthwhile for something like express delivery, which often involves aircraft now anyway.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    19. Re:Driving by Sperbels · · Score: 1

      Then yourself is blind. Most planes have auto pilots. Many cars these days are capable of self driving and do it.

    20. Re: Driving by illiac_1962 · · Score: 1

      More Javascript? Please no.

    21. Re:Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not yet, they don't, but there's obviously a market niche.

    22. Re:Driving by judoguy · · Score: 1

      To summarize, I predict that this technology will only be affordable by the wealthiest peoples and that it will have very little effect on the rest of the population (except for the noise). geantvert 2018

      Just like computers.

      "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." - Thomas Watson, president of IBM, 1943

      --
      Peace is easy to achieve, just surrender. Liberty is much harder get/keep.
    23. Re:Driving by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      " this technology will only be affordable by the wealthiest peoples and that it will have very little effect on the rest of the population (except for the noise)."

      That's what some people said about airplanes & horseless carriages.

      It was true except for the "effect" bit - which is arguably negative on balance.

    24. Re:Driving by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      Then yourself is blind. Most planes have auto pilots. Many cars these days are capable of self driving and do it.

      He said "self-flying cars", not "planes", and I've never knowingly seen one, or a S-D car either.

    25. Re: Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At the time he was right.

    26. Re:Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can we see a plane or car actually self drive / fly before we have a self driving car / plane ?

    27. Re:Driving by pslytely+psycho · · Score: 1

      Ha! Then I'll see it just as it hits zero!

      --
      Donald Trump, on a crusade to make Nixon look respectable
    28. Re:Driving by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      If you want a type cert from the FAA in 5 years, you better have a flying _final_ prototype today. And 20x the vehicle's flying weight in documentation.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    29. Re:Driving by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      (Propellers/rotor blades) are wear items and are expensive. Much more than tires. The propeller will be about 10-20% of the price of light plane.

      Helicopters are torn down and completely rebuilt every (IIRC) 2500 hours or operation. Cost is a significant fraction of the price of a new helicopter.

      Just for comparison, average cost to run a turbine helicopter is $10/minute. Give them a ton of 'credit', assume the flying car will only be $1/minute.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    30. Re: Driving by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, people can't maintain cars now, you really want someone's muffler coming through your roof? Or that bumper they thought would be ok with bungee cords holding it on? Or to be under the jackass that sprays a cloud of leaves and debris out of the bed of his truck as he drives?

    31. Re:Driving by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      I agree - I was only addressing geantvert's comments about fuel. As you point out, there are plenty of other reasons besides efficiency that flying is more expensive.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  2. Not New by Aighearach · · Score: 2

    They've had operational flying cars since before I was born.

    Making it operate is not the problem with the Jetsons fantasy.

    1. Re:Not New by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Flying cars have been less than five years out since about thirty years ago.

      Kind of like how strong AI has been about ten years away since the '60s...

    2. Re:Not New by Megane · · Score: 1

      The thing about flying cars is that they are neither good at being cars nor planes. The two modes of transportation are sufficiently different that it is likely impossible to make something that is good at both. But fuck that, let's make them autonomous, too! (At least that avoids the other problem, of having human idiots in control of a flying vehicle!)

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    3. Re:Not New by skam240 · · Score: 1

      Why would they need to be especially good at either? A flying car is certainly for a completely different context than most planes and as a car it would would only need to offer an adequate experience as any trips of significant length (like the commute from the burbs to major urban areas for work) would likely be done in the air.

      --
      I ignore Anonymous Coward posts. If you want to discuss something, that's awesome. Log in.
    4. Re: Not New by Lije+Baley · · Score: 2

      I'll know it's the future when I see a fusion-powered self-flying car that cures cancer.

      --
      Strange things are afoot at the Circle-K.
    5. Re: Not New by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And jerks ya off at the same time/

  3. "blockchain technologies" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    sounds like fluff intended to pad their stock prices, perhaps to offset short-term losses due to the recent announcement that elon will beat them to manned flight.

    fully autonomous "flying cars" are a lot more than "five years" away.

    1. Re:"blockchain technologies" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      sounds like fluff intended to pad their stock prices,

      Nah. They may have a product, basically a "personal drone" so the rich can skip the rush-hour gridlock.

      Autonomous ensures they won't have to pester the buyer into getting a pilot's licence. Which the intended buyer won't have time for.

      As for cars & planes being so different, that a single vehicle will do a poor job trying to be both: It basically is a plane, that can use the road network for parking & "the last mile". So it don't have to be very good as a car. Those that can afford this, already has a few very good cars.

    2. Re:"blockchain technologies" by Luckyo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They're literally available now. It's called "helicopter with autopilot". Problem being that autopilot still needs someone to give it orders and troubleshoot potential problems, which is solved with introduction of "pilot" into the system. Not to mention space needed for take-off and landing, and that elephant in the room called "costs".

      Pretty much all major aerospace companies that function in helicopter sector have their version of a "flying car". Essentially all of them are light helicopters of some kind. Bell and Airbus talked and to a limited extent demonstrated their ambitions recently. I guess this is Boeing's declaration that they also have a foot in the potential market.

    3. Re:"blockchain technologies" by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      "artificial intelligence and blockchain technologies" = Fully autonomous self-lying cars.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  4. I don't want a self flying car by stealth_finger · · Score: 5, Funny

    I don't want a self flying car, I want to fly that fucker myself, and if it could be the shape of a spitfire that would just be tops.

    --
    Wanna buy a shirt?
    https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
    1. Re:I don't want a self flying car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I want to fly one too, in the shape of a giant penis.

    2. Re:I don't want a self flying car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I bet you'd fly right into the great anus in the sky.

    3. Re:I don't want a self flying car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depends how drunk I am and also upon the chicken gizzards and hearts.

    4. Re:I don't want a self flying car by Greyfox · · Score: 2
      Pilot's lessons really aren't all that expensive.

      I do want a self-flying car. One I can take to 13000 feet, exit from in my wingsuit and have it return to its parking spot while I'm landing.

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    5. Re:I don't want a self flying car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Get your pilots license then and look for a "Navion"

      Its basically a four-seater WWI fighter plane. You can pick them up for around 60k usually.

    6. Re:I don't want a self flying car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, that would change the sports of skydiving and BASE radically.

  5. Not going to be mainstream by LostOne · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Flying cars are not ever going to be mainstream. The problem isn't who operates them (humans or machines), even, though human drivers can't even handle two dimensional operations reliably so I would be terrified of the average driver today having to deal with three dimensions. No, the problem is the energy cost of getting a car in the air in the first place. I don't see a reasonable solution to that problem coming any time soon unless we discover some heretofore unknown magical method of doing antigravity or something like that. In general, it's far more economical to keep general transportation using traditional ground transport simply because you necessarily remove the cost of lifting and then lowering again the cargo and vehicle.

    That's not to say that rich people won't have flying cars. I mean, they may be a bit more practical and helicpoters assuming they ever work. That's assuming they aren't already helicopters....

    --

    If it works in theory, try something else in practice.
    1. Re:Not going to be mainstream by mentil · · Score: 1

      The main benefit to 'flying cars' is that you can have 'layers' of 'roadways' to help alleviate traffic. However, a more-obvious solution that has the same effect is having layers of actual roadways (overpasses), or tracks for trains/monorails. Or a rat's-nest of above-ground hyperloops. Or just put people in pods and use a railgun to launch the pods to the destination (parachute optional).

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    2. Re:Not going to be mainstream by wvmarle · · Score: 1

      The Zeppelins of yonder didn't need much in the way of power to get aloft. Not really anti-gravity, just a smart use of differences in densities of various gases. Not fast either, compared to modern aircraft, yet not exactly slow either when it comes to typical city-level distances.

    3. Re:Not going to be mainstream by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Layered Frickin' Roadways!

    4. Re:Not going to be mainstream by religionofpeas · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Zeppelins are truly a majestic form of transportation, until you try to land one in a storm.

    5. Re:Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The rich have no time to learn to fly a helicopter. So they use helicopters only if they're rich enough to also hire a pilot.

      This thing dispense with the pilot, and is therefore affordable for the 'moderately rich'. Those who can afford an expensive toy, but not really another salary.

      The cost of getting into the air is not that high. Lots of that is offset by going much faster (so no need to stay up for long) and in a straight line. Ground cars keeps turning & braking & re-accelerating - that is expensive too.

      A passenger jet typically uses less fuel per passenger-mile than a car with a single occupant.

    6. Re:Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FYI, Zeppelins are flying again. Mostly sightseeing trips around Friedrichshafen.

    7. Re:Not going to be mainstream by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      They already are helicopters. Just google "flying car" and any major manufacturer like Bell or Airbus. You'll see demonstrations of what is essentially helicopters, and in case of Bell their speciality, tiltrotors.

    8. Re:Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would you want to land in a storm? Go around it.

    9. Re:Not going to be mainstream by wvmarle · · Score: 1

      Details, details :-)

    10. Re:Not going to be mainstream by jcr · · Score: 0

      the problem is the energy cost of getting a car in the air in the first place.

      Wrong.

      An air car will save energy compared to a ground car because 1) it can go point-to-point, 2) ground cars have to be built to survive impact, air cars will be built to avoid impact, and 3) the high energy use only applies to the very beginning and end of the flight.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    11. Re: Not going to be mainstream by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      No, the problem is the energy cost of getting a car in the air in the first place

      People keep saying this, but it's not really true. For example the Cesna 172 gets the equivalent of about 14 miles per gallon. That's not nearly as good as modern cars, but it's not horrible either. It's even better when you consider the fact that you can fly straight lines instead of winding paths, which cuts down on distance as compared to a car. Nor do you have to waste fuel accelerating and decelerating at lights, or in bumper to bumper traffic.

      Getting into the air doesn't have to use huge amounts of energy; it just depends on how you're generating lift.

    12. Re: Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, the main benefit is not requiring road infrastructure at all. But i doubt everything will fly so we'll need road transport anyway...

    13. Re: Not going to be mainstream by swb · · Score: 1

      My guess is everybody assumes flying cars will be VTOL craft and not fixed wing and will rely on rotary surfaces for lift and thrust. You would think that in order to be "wide spread" they would need to be VTOL to avoid the need for runways, etc.

      I would guess the gimmicks will be super short ranges, small payloads (2 adults), based on some kind of electric fan propulsion with swappable battery packs. Like everything else, the big wait is probably less the aeronautics than the means to power it.

    14. Re:Not going to be mainstream by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      the high energy use only applies to the very beginning and end of the flight.

      Only for fixed-wing aircraft (or autogyros). Which most of the proposed self-flying cars most decidedly are not.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    15. Re:Not going to be mainstream by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Rather than trying to build flying cars we should invest in enabling people to work at home, or at least near home.

      Out of town shared office blocks, where you can have a private office with high speed internet so that you can just walk to work in the morning most days. Apartments with a home office as standard, or build the office space into the apartment block if people want that separation of work and home life.

      Give companies an incentive to use these spaces. At the moment they can externalize the costs of travel to and from work to the employees, often even the cost of parking vehicles near the office.

      And of course EV charging should be mandatory on all business premises where practical.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    16. Re:Not going to be mainstream by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

      Seems very unlikely the rich will want to car pool.

    17. Re:Not going to be mainstream by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

      3) which happens to occur twice with every flight. If they can be made electric and designed for short trips.

      There will likely be few "point to point" flights as people are simply not going to allow highways to form over their homes unless they are at high altitude, which will increase energy costs dramatically.

    18. Re: Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I could honestly believe your claim of 14 mpg, but you seem to be under the impression that you fill these things with 87 octane unleaded from the local shell station. These things run on 100+ octane leaded gasoline, yes, leaded. They've tried to convert these things to unleaded, but not managed it. When I go flying with friends, typically it costs about 60 bucks to top off the tanks for 1 hour of flying (about 125 miles since the thing goes roughly 100 knots per hour).

    19. Re: Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but you seem to be under the impression that you fill these things with 87 octane unleaded from the local shell station.

      Not sure how you got that impression from the poster's post. He's only talking about fuel consumption, not about the fact that they need leaded gasoline or that leaded gasoline is more expensive. The only person talking about that was you...

    20. Re: Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Replying to myself, the current costs of 100LL avgas is about $6.15/gallon at KJYO(Leesburg, Virginia). A bit over twice the cost of Unleaded 87 octane, but still not terrible. It's certainly more expensive, but 14mpg is what you get from a Ford Expedition...

    21. Re:Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Landing in a storm isn't a problem to worry about at all, it either lands or it doesn't. Survival of the passengers is the issue.

    22. Re:Not going to be mainstream by MooseTick · · Score: 1

      "Why would you want to land in a storm? Go around it."

      Because that's where you live/work?

    23. Re:Not going to be mainstream by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      Zeppelins are truly a majestic form of transportation, until you try to land one in a storm.

      Citation?

    24. Re:Not going to be mainstream by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      The cost of getting into the air is not that high.

      What are you comparing it to? The cost of the cheapest helicopter is $250,000. That would put it at the number 4 slot in this list of "most expensive luxury cars".

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    25. Re:Not going to be mainstream by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      A passenger jet typically uses less fuel per passenger-mile than a car with a single occupant.

      Talk about a cherries and watermelon comparison.

      This is true only on a large airliner that is mostly full (with economy class passengers). My 2018 model Prius (very nice, I rode in a friend's new Lexus costing more than twice as much, and it was only a slightly better experience) gets an honest 51 MPG (averaged over 30,000 miles). This Wikipedia list shows only 9% of the airliners listed can match that if only half full, and smallest of these seats 135 people, which is also the highest mileage airplane listed, the Airbus A220-300 (127 MPG). It would have to have at least 55 people on board (i.e. be more than 40% full) to match or beat the Prius. Getting the same mileage for a vehicle with 55 passengers vs 1 is not that impressive. You should try comparing them to buses, the buses will beat the pants off of them.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    26. Re:Not going to be mainstream by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Helicycle.

      Experimental single seat kit helicopter. Flying for under 100k$.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    27. Re: Not going to be mainstream by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      I can see one important use for these things, namely for emergency responders.
      If a tall building is on fire, I can see firefighters bringing one to the scene on a flatdeck
      and using it to to rescue people from windows. A chopper could never get close enough.

    28. Re: Not going to be mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Straight lines cut down on the distance only if you install an airport at every location you want to go to...

  6. Sure.. by CptLoRes · · Score: 1

    Flying cars have been 'any day now' for the last 20 years at least. The only thing that has changed since then, is the emergence of auto pilots that might solve the problem of how to manage flight logistic and safety. Because manual flight for the average Joe as a means of transportation is never going to happen.. But the main problem still remains the same as 20 years ago. Short of some revolutionary new battery or incredibly efficient motor it's not going to be practical. Making something fly takes a lot of energy. So you end up with some bastard hybrid car with wings, that aren't very good for either for flying or driving on roads.

    1. Re:Sure.. by mentil · · Score: 1

      You forgot the possibility of dirigibles propelled by teams of men rowing wind-oars. The skin of the dirigible can be made of a photovoltaic material in order to power fans used to cool off the rowers.

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
  7. Imagine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Your idiot neighbor having one of these.
    The noise of these things flying over your house. day and night.
    The 3 dimensional zoning debates. And lawsuits.
    The amount of energy this needs, just while we try to reduce our energy footprint.
    The pollution this generates right where it causes the most problems, in busy urban areas. The levels of energy required can only be achieved by burning something. crudely.

    Don't get me wrong, flying cars would be great, in a Jetson style future. But in our overpopulated world I associate them with the more bleak and dystopian images of the future that some science-fiction paints.

    1. Re:Imagine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your idiot neighbor having one of these.
      The noise of these things flying over your house. day and night.

      Checked the price tag?

      If your neighbor has one then he can use it to visit you on your private island every now and then.

      But sure, eventually it will get to the point where the ruling class uses them to fly from skyscraper to skyscraper so they don't have to go down to the crime filled ground streets of perpetual smog and darkness.

    2. Re:Imagine by andydread · · Score: 1

      electric motors do not produce pollution but carry on.

    3. Re:Imagine by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

      No they will just have to worry about some terrorist renting one, packing it with explosives and then crashing it into those skyscrapers filled with the idle rich. With self-flying cars, they won't even have to fly it themselves.

      We are more likely to see first see terrorists everywhere using them more frequently than the wealthy, who will be busy building concrete shelters equipped with anti-aircraft defenses.

    4. Re:Imagine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      BUT BUT TERRORISTS!

      Go get bent you scared fucking rabbit.

    5. Re:Imagine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And this is a problem how??? LOL.

      I would be happy to see the wealthy blowing money on shelters with ever increasing "features".

      captcha: divider

    6. Re:Imagine by cellocgw · · Score: 1

      electric motors do not produce pollution

      Noise pollution is pollution.
      (and electric motors do not produce rock 'n' roll, whether operating AC or DC #seewhatididthere)

      --
      https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
    7. Re:Imagine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're going to power it with fusion. Should arrive right about the same time.

    8. Re:Imagine by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      No they will just have to worry about some terrorist renting one, packing it with explosives and then crashing it into those skyscrapers filled with the idle rich. With self-flying cars, they won't even have to fly it themselves.

      But I understand that they only get a ticket to paradise and a date with a houri there if they kill themselves in the process. So we have nothing to worry about

    9. Re: Imagine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Man you came like a bat out of hell with that one. ;)

  8. lol no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See subject.

  9. Not gonna happen by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

    Technically they could be5 years out, I believe that. But regulation-wise there is a long way to go. That's not gonna happen in5 years.

    1. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Check your 5 key. It seems to be eating spaces.

    2. Re:Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But these are for rich people. The regulations will be in place.

  10. Oh look, Boeing trying to pump its share price by Viol8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Flying cars may happen in 5 years but they'll just be toys for the mega rich and won't be allowed to go anywhere that a helicopter can't anyway due to civil regs and noise issues. This is nothing more than Boeing pumping its share price. Again.

    1. Re:Oh look, Boeing trying to pump its share price by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is that any different from the daily Musk or Tesla articles?

    2. Re:Oh look, Boeing trying to pump its share price by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      helicopters can go almost anywhere...

    3. Re:Oh look, Boeing trying to pump its share price by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      Try landing one in the middle of a busy road and see how long before the police turn up.

    4. Re:Oh look, Boeing trying to pump its share price by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      Makes sense; arent't they half the taxpayer suckhole known as ULA?? At least they're smart enough to know they're screwed...

    5. Re: Oh look, Boeing trying to pump its share price by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why are you trying to land a helicopter on a busy road?

  11. Bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Imagine when Muslims hack them, and tall buildings everywhere are hit by flying cars

  12. Energy economy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It doesn't make any sense (yet) from an energy economy perspective.

    Better get rid of cars now (a long process, as it entails re-thinking how cities work: as they do now, many people do need those cars), optimize public transport (that's the short term), and in the long term, perhaps technology can come up with whatever is necessary to make "cars" "fly".

    Mr. Muilenburg's drivel is just that: marketing drivel. How can I position a new gadget to extract money from the public -- the greater good be damned. Those types should be put in jail -- or in the asylum.

    Heck, in times where people are thinking on how to terraform Mars, we're 100% busy on de-terraforming Earth!

  13. Not a bold prediction by Snufu · · Score: 1

    In many ways self-navigation in air is simpler than self navigating cars, which is a nearly mature technology. In air you don't have to follow roads, stay in lanes, account for and merge with constant traffic, or avoid as many obstacles. Just "Go north by northwest and fly higher than power lines and wind turbines". Take off and landing may be tricky to implement reliably for all scenarios.

    However this only eliminates the cost of trained pilots. As OP pointed out its the energy cost that makes it unlikely these will ever transport people, as (I assume) the cost scales exponentially with mass. Its one thing to lift a ten pound hobby drone, lifting 200 lb meatbags plus luggage will be orders more expensive than using wheels. And this does not include the liability costs which also would likely be higher than ground vehicles.

    However it is conceivable to envision many jobs in commercial air flight replaced by automation. One pilot to take the controls in case of emergency or malfunction, one flight attendant to deal with passengers (already have self checking boarding passes and luggage), one human supervising baggage handling robots, etc.

    1. Re:Not a bold prediction by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

      Need more then 1 FA more like X per X passengers + maybe more staff for longer flights.

    2. Re:Not a bold prediction by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

      Don't forget miss the birds and the millions of recreational drones.

      At least, the good news is that in a few years there won't be any more birds and likely. Then again, there won't be any more birds anyway as climate change continues, no people either. The entire technology should accelerate global warming given the extra energy requirements of getting from point A to point B. No doubt that justifies its necessity.

    3. Re:Not a bold prediction by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      In many ways self-navigation in air is simpler than self navigating cars, which is a nearly mature technology. In air you don't have to follow roads, stay in lanes, account for and merge with constant traffic, or avoid as many obstacles. Just "Go north by northwest and fly higher than power lines and wind turbines". Take off and landing may be tricky to implement reliably for all scenarios.

      Not if this massively increases the number of flying vehicles, especially at low altitudes. Self-navigation in air will remain simpler in many ways, but they will almost certainly be required to operate in "air lanes" to restrict their impact on the ground.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
  14. Blockchain? by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 3, Insightful

    OK, now I know this is complete marketing B.S. (look, I'm being nice!). There is no reasonable use of "Blockchain" in "Directing Traffic and Tracking Vehicles". That is utter and complete nonsense.

    Just call it, "Blockety McBlockFace" and be done with it. F.F.S. (see, I'm being nice again).

    1. Re:Blockchain? by MikeMo · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I was wondering about that, too, then I started thinking about them maybe wanting to keep an immutable record of who did what, who was told to do what, where each “car” went and why, etc. Maybe for that?

    2. Re:Blockchain? by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

      Blockchain will be essential in tracking down terrorists and drug/human trafficers who use these things. For these folks, they are an advantage as they won't have to fly them, themselves and they won't have to worry about a pilot being able to identify them.

    3. Re:Blockchain? by PPH · · Score: 1

      We tried to set up an early version of a block chain to sign and track engineering document revisions at Boeing about 20 years ago. Management freaked out, as this would have hampered their ability to go into the document management system and retroactively fix their screw-ups.

      I don't see Boeing implementing anything that enforces accountability or provides an audit trail.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    4. Re:Blockchain? by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 1

      > We tried to set up an early version of a block chain to sign and track engineering document revisions

      You mean like "Git"?

    5. Re:Blockchain? by PPH · · Score: 1

      You mean like "Git"?

      Something similar to that. But we were working on this in the 1990s. So a much simpler system without all the bells and whistles.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
  15. AI & blockchain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "artificial intelligence and blockchain technologies for tracking and directing flying cars"

    BINGO!

  16. Moller !! by vlad30 · · Score: 1

    Molller anyone seen Moller. http://www.moller.com/

    --
    Your'e all thinking it, I just said it for you
    1. Re:Moller !! by vlad30 · · Score: 1

      Dang it here is the wikipedia article instead https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      Your'e all thinking it, I just said it for you
  17. 20 years huh... try over 100 by RhettLivingston · · Score: 1

    The first to be written up in Popular Science and other publications was over 100 years ago - the Curtiss Autoplane. Like many in the past 20 years, it succeeded in getting off the ground for short hops, but little more. There were efforts that truly flew at least as early as the 40s. As you indicate, flying hasn't really been the problem.

  18. Boeing CEO, by wolfheart111 · · Score: 1

    Makes me sad to here him say this, how very dumb he must.

    --
    [($)]
  19. Yeah, right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but assuming they are correct, even if it is 10 years ... after all, they're just larger drones that can carry a bit more weight.

    They will be for the rich or other entities that currently use expensive helicopters. Maybe after 20 years it'll become affordable for more than the 1%, maybe even 2 or 3%!

    They will be cheaper than helicopters. They will cost less to run than helicopters. They will be autonomous, so no pilot required.

    So I can see a lot of expensive air ambulance (and other fast response emergency) type services switching to these very quickly, and saving money, or scaling out, at the same time. Obviously they would need more than a single-person unit, but they will surely happen.

    1. Re:Yeah, right... by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      They will be cheaper than helicopters.

      Not on current evidence. There is an electric drone multi-motor vehicle on the market right now, the Volocopter (max payload 160 kg, max range 27 km) that has been bought to provide air taxi service in Dubai. It costs $338,000. You can get a bottom end helicopter, the Robinson R-22, for $250,000 (max payload 176 kg, max range 460 km).

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
  20. Fly by wire too - a warm fuzzy feeling by cjonslashdot · · Score: 1

    What's _your_ test coverage?

  21. Not just coconuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Coconuts will not be the only thing that fall on your head!

  22. Marketing BS by sjbe · · Score: 2

    Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg said the company is making rapid progress on the first operational self-driving airborne vehicles and that we could see them take to the skies in under five years.

    Note the use of the word "vehicles" not the word "cars". We already have operational self-driving airborne vehicles. They're called drones and we've been doing them for quite a while now. Not a single one of them resembles what we call cars nor are they useful for that purpose. We also have transportation vehicles for people to fly in but they are called airplanes and helicopters and they aren't going to drive on our roads. If it doesn't drive on a road by definition it is not a car. If they want to developed a vehicle that doesn't require a human pilot yet is safe to fly people around that's great but then just say that. They aren't working on flying cars because flying cars are impossible with any technology we currently or are likely to possess any time soon. And even if the technology was worked out the economics of it make it an absurd proposition. Operating any vehicle that flies is going to be VASTLY more expensive than almost any vehicle that doesn't for all but a handful of corner cases.

    "Imagine a future city that has three-dimensional highways, with flying taxis, flying cars," Muilenburg said. "That future is not that far away. In fact we are building the prototype vehicles today. We are also investing in the ecosystem that will allow that to operate safely and reliably as it must."

    Has there been some magical breakthrough in power density that I'm not aware of? Because unless we have invented the equivalent of Tony Stark's arc reactor we aren't going to have flying cars. Muilenburg's statement is the sort of marketing BS you would expect from a company that makes aircraft. Saying they are "building the protoype vehicles today" is a content free statement. Ford built a nuclear powered prototype car back in the 1950s and yet I don't see them at dealerships curiously.

    Also the word taxi has NOTHING to do with any specific type of vehicle. Any type of vehicle can be a taxi because taxi is by definition a vehicle hired for transport. A 747 can be a taxi. So can a boat, a helicopter, a bicycle, and yes a car. Taxi is a service not a specific type of vehicle. Airplanes and helicopters are used as taxis today. Whether or not they are piloted by a human or a computer is irrelevant.

  23. flying fucking morons by bigtreeman · · Score: 0

    Fucks, read the fucking next story about fucking limiting burning fucking fossil fuels,
    fuck you, you fucking morons

    --
    Go well
  24. an faa level code audit is not easy by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    an faa level code audit is not easy but at least Boeing should have coders who are good unlike uber.

  25. Nonsense but... by Shaitan · · Score: 1

    Everyone else has pointed out this marketing BS from Boeing so rather than repeat that again I'll point out that using a tech like this for longer haul cargo could have some benefits.

    Maybe not so much personal flyers as cargo blimps, long haul would be great but also possibly as lift platforms for gliding vehicles. Blimps have a log of surface area that could gather solar energy and/or make an excellent target for beaming microwave energy from the ground. For local transport you might be able to do something along the lines of lifts on the blimps to hoist cargo systems with gliding capabilities to transport between the main hubs and smaller distribution centers within a city for instance.

    1. Re:Nonsense but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The huge surface area of blimps are their Achilles heel. Once they have to deal with a wind of any significant strength the pilots have to fight to stay in control. They become hugely difficult to land but, in worsening weather, landing becomes a priority.

      The fans of blimps think that the history of airships teaches only that "hydrogen as a lift gas is bad". That is wrong.

      No, don't tell me about the forward streamlining of the airship. Turning your nose into the wind is so obvious that everyone does it and it doesn't help enough to solve the problem. Shifting winds, crosswinds, updrafts, downdrafts, airships suck at handling all those.

      Also, what's the maximum speed of an airship, say 80 km/hour, being generous? What happens when the wind speed of a storm is 100 km/hour or more? Now your fancy, expensive airship is being pushed around, unable to even maintain ground position. Any maneuvers under those conditions expose your sides to more wind, cost you more speed, and the situation becomes even more dangerous.

      Sounds great then, let's build 20!

  26. It's the economics that matter by sjbe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What part of "self-flying" did you not understand?

    Doesn't matter. You're worrying about the wrong thing. Vehicles that don't need humans to operate them safely are arguably a good idea. Frankly piloting vehicles (cars, planes, boats, etc) is a waste of human time and ability for the most part. If we can develop computers that can do the job better then that's great.

    What gets lost in these discussions is the fact that even if we develop planes that can fly themselves it isn't going to change the economics of operating an aircraf of any description dramatically. Replacing a human pilot with a computer doesn't suddenly make planes affordable to the common man. The cost of the pilot is almost a rounding error in the cost of owning and operating any flying vehicle. You have the purchase cost, maintenance, storage, inspections, insurance, fuel, financing, and more which together VASTLY outstrip the cost of the pilot. Replacing a human pilot with a computer doesn't change most of those costs much if at all.

    1. Re:It's the economics that matter by andydread · · Score: 1

      The cost of the pilot is almost a rounding error in the cost of owning and operating any flying vehicle. You have the purchase cost, maintenance, storage, inspections, insurance, fuel, financing, and more which together VASTLY outstrip the cost of the pilot. Replacing a human pilot with a computer doesn't change most of those costs much if at all.

      Hmm I wonder if Boeing even thought about these costs before they decided to spend billions of dollars on research down this road. I guess it's just something an army of engineers don't think about when they are designing a new product to sell in the marketplace?? So i guess a company like Boeing that has been in the aerospace business for ever and a day now is just totally clueless about how all this works.

    2. Re:It's the economics that matter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      before they decided to spend billions

      Where have they said they spent billions? My guess is this is what is commonly referred to as "PR". It's a statement to get people to pay attention to them, they have no intention on delivering.

      I know looking at history is so old fashioned and such, but people have been working on flying cars since at least the 50s, nobody has managed to create one that's economical. Friends of mine have pilot licenses and I'll go flying with them occasionally. The small aircraft we fly weigh a tad over 1000 lbs. These things would never pass a crash test of any kind. About an hour flying uses roughly $60 worth of fuel. My car to make a similar trip would use about $10 worth of fuel.

      If you were going to make a flying "car", it's also going to have to weigh significantly more (my VW GTI for reference weighs over 3000 lbs) because presumably it would have to be certified safe to operate on roads. So the amount of fuel used is going to be significantly more than the aircraft my friends fly. This is basic physics, and no amount of engineering is going to get around it.

      Is it impossible? Absolutely not. Is it practical? Absolutely not. It will always be a toy for the rich simply because of fuel costs, unless either hydrocarbon based fuels start to get cheaper (they're trending more expensive) or we find some other way to power these things (battery based is only practical for extremely small aircraft due to the nasty fact that doubling the size of battery increases its volume by the square and its weight by the cube).

    3. Re:It's the economics that matter by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      It could also be in their best interest to market pie-in-the-sky dreams in the hopes of growing the market beyond their conservative internal estimates. They probably still benefit six different ways even if "self-flying cars" don't catch on the way the marketing suggests.

    4. Re:It's the economics that matter by andydread · · Score: 1

      thats a possibility i agree.

    5. Re:It's the economics that matter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They'll probably be EVs. The Pipistrel Alpha Electro (the world's first mass-produced electric plane) has running costs (energy, mantenance) one fifth of the gasoline-powered version. That's pretty significant.

    6. Re:It's the economics that matter by jcr · · Score: 1

      Clearly you have no idea what we spend building roads, or the cost of highway fatalities.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    7. Re:It's the economics that matter by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      Hmm I wonder if Boeing even thought about these costs before they decided to spend billions of dollars on research down this road. I guess it's just something an army of engineers don't think about when they are designing a new product

      I've worked in some large engineering companies, and no they don't.

      The way it works is that a small research group has some finance to think up ideas. They have some, mostly crazy. PR seizes on one from time-to-time and takes it up to create a stir and get the company into the news. Then the bean counters and market research guys notice it and do some sums, with bad results. A board member steps in and vetos it as being "Not within the company's vision". Research group moves on to next idea. Rinse and repeat.

    8. Re:It's the economics that matter by nukenerd · · Score: 2

      ... (battery based is only practical for extremely small aircraft due to the nasty fact that doubling the size of battery increases its volume by the square and its weight by the cube).

      With you until you wrote that.

  27. Shoot 'em down by hvidstue · · Score: 0

    Will it be legal to shoot them down, like drones - if they fly over your property? :D

    1. Re:Shoot 'em down by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Will it be legal to shoot them down, like drones - if they fly over your property? :D

      As your lovely nubile teenage daughter and her friends sunbathe semi nude in your backyard - you can't forget that part of the rationale.

      https://www.cnet.com/news/judg...

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  28. Demonstration vehicles by sjbe · · Score: 1

    They've had operational flying cars since before I was born.

    Let's be accurate. We've had a few thoroughly impractical prototype vehicles that have no real utility as either a car or an aircraft. They barely qualify as cars, perform badly as aircraft, and even a minor fender bender would render one no longer airworthy. They have very limited cargo capacity, are slow, and are hugely expensive. Not to mention you REALLY don't want to be in one in a real accident on the ground. They are basically proof of concept demonstrators that served to prove that the concept won't work in the real world.

    Making it operate is not the problem with the Jetsons fantasy.

    This is true even if we ignore the above. We don't have the infrastructure for flying cars, we don't have the navigation systems, we don't have the autonomous flight controls, we don't have power supplies with sufficient power density, etc. And even if we somehow ignore all that the economics of it make it a non-starter.

  29. Re:Driving and bombs away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    User installed bomb bays and DIY drug couriers
    Gimme Gimme. Bolt on some bomb racks, and have fun and mayhem over packed events. It could be a cigarette, a soiled nappy,,urine, a house brick -whatever.
    In an Instant, Mexican transportation becomes possible. The Irish version will have wind down windows and no baby or dog restraints.

  30. Really bad a flying and driving by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why would they need to be especially good at either?

    That's not the problem. The problem is that any design we can actually build are REALLY BAD at both. To get the thing aloft you have to strip out vast amounts of weight and even then we can only just barely get them airborne with limited cargo capacity. They are so light and fragile you can't really drive them on the road safely. Even a minor fender bender renders them no longer airworthy. When they are on the ground you have to lug around heavy impractical wings and in the air you have to lug around heavy impractical drivetrains. They're bad on fuel economy, fragile, expensive, can barely carry any cargo, can't land or take off anywhere useful, slow, loud, uncomfortable, etc.

    The ONLY way a flying car could be practical is if we had a breakthrough power supply. Think Tony Stark's arc reactor made real. No internal combustion engine, no EV tech, no fuel cell tech, nor any other power source we have or are in any danger of making can generate enough power while being light enough to make flying cars a practical reality either technically or economically.

    A flying car is certainly for a completely different context than most planes and as a car it would would only need to offer an adequate experience as any trips of significant length

    Not when it's cheaper to buy both a plane and a car than a combination vehicle that does both activities worse for more money. Even if we ignore all the technical problems with flying cars (which are legion) the economics of them immediately make them non-viable.

    (like the commute from the burbs to major urban areas for work) would likely be done in the air.

    Umm, where do you think you are going to land this thing? It isn't going to be landing on 5th avenue on NYC. You have to land at an airport and drive from there. And if you are going to do that then you might as well just fly a real plane and own/rent a real car. You're not really thinking the problem through. Even if we somehow managed to figure out the technical and economic problems with flying cars (which we won't) we would have to make VAST changes to our infrastructure to be able to use them anywhere except flying to/from airports. You're not going to land a flying car in the parking lot of your local mega-mart and you sure as hell aren't flying one into a dense urban area.

    1. Re:Really bad a flying and driving by skam240 · · Score: 1

      Well I completely disagree with you about the imaginary vehicle we're talking about needing to be completely stripped down. We have plenty of things that fly with decent mass.

      I do completely agree with you that we don't have a proper power supply for a version that would be in any way affordable for anyone but the most affluent but that's outside the context of the parents post I was replying to.

      "Umm, where do you think you are going to land this thing?"

      Umm, any place you can land a small harrier jet which would be literally any outdoor parking lot, particularly if the car was fully automated. The only realistic discussion on flying cars worth having is one that might be practical some day which means we need a cheaper means of generating the vast amounts of power one of these vehicles would need to operate. Really, we pretty much have all the tech to make one now and over come any of the hurdles you or the parent have brought up. It would just cost way too much for almost anyone to own / operate one using jet fuel which is the only viable power source I can think of right now for something like this.

      --
      I ignore Anonymous Coward posts. If you want to discuss something, that's awesome. Log in.
  31. Happenstance of context by Aviation+Pete · · Score: 1

    Wedged between two alarming messages about the urgency of reducing emissions of carbon dioxide, this press release shows how far removed from reality Boeing management really is. Any form of heavier-than-air flying is much more energy intensive than surface transportation and can only realistically be powered with hydrocarbon fuel. I trust that Slashdot readers are educated enough to understand that all those battery powered electric multicopters for personal transport need an order of magnitude increase in energy density before they even start to be of any use (except for fleecing naive investors, that is).

    --
    You know it's time for the next revolution when your rulers' names end with roman numerals.
    1. Re:Happenstance of context by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Any form of heavier-than-air flying is much more energy intensive than surface transportation

      Probably. It depends on how high up you go, how far you're going, and what traffic is like in between.

      and can only realistically be powered with hydrocarbon fuel.

      Completely false. We already have prototypes of autonomous air taxis that can travel for fifteen minutes plus on a charge. That's plenty of time to make short trips.

      I trust that Slashdot readers are educated enough to understand that all those battery powered electric multicopters for personal transport

      ...already exist.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Happenstance of context by Aviation+Pete · · Score: 1

      We already have prototypes of autonomous air taxis that can travel for fifteen minutes plus on a charge. That's plenty of time to make short trips.

      You drank too much of the Kool-aid. Those are fair-weather demonstrators, and those 15 min flights are without payload, in ideal conditions. Until you get something that the FAA will allow anyone to fly in, you need MUCH more capacity to cover reserve time and fail-safe requirements.

      I have to assume you were foolish enough to invest in one of those scams and now deny reality. Good luck with that.

      --
      You know it's time for the next revolution when your rulers' names end with roman numerals.
    3. Re:Happenstance of context by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      Dubai is certifying the Volocopter for air taxi service it seems. Its published specs are 27 km range at its optimum cruise speed of 70 km/h. Its max payload is 160 kg, but I can't find any statement that says what payload (if any) is assumed for that range limit.

      A strong wind would ground it of course. Its max speed (limit range) is 100 km/h.

      So it isn't a scam. It does appear to have sufficient performance to be used in a limit air taxi role, say between an airport and a VIP parking/check in area, or a fancy hotel. Also, tourist "see it from the air" services would be about right.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
  32. Best time ever to develop EMP weapons by robotmankiller · · Score: 0

    Portable EMP weapons will be added to the 2cd amendment.

  33. 2011 called by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And it wants its marketing catch phrase back. 'Five years out' is tech speak for, 'It might, but probably won't work, we have no idea, but give us money!'. I can already tell you we will not have flying cars in our lifetimes.

    1. Re:2011 called by supremebob · · Score: 1

      Yeah, people have been promising flying cars since the 1950's. They look great on the cover of Popular Science magazine, but will probably never be practical in real life until we have self driving AI perfected. Of course, the robots will probably become self aware and take over by then.

  34. Broader Industry Push, not Just Boeing by Koreantoast · · Score: 1

    Just to point out that people are forgetting the broader context: not just Boeing but a lot of companies from startups to mature aerospace firms are all racing toward the unmanned flying car concept. Airbus, Bell, Uber, EHang, Zee.Aero (backed by Larry Page), just to name a few all have various VTOL unmanned passenger aircraft in the works.

  35. elephant in the room called "costs" - & NOISE by charliemerritt03 · · Score: 1

    Till they get anti-gravity. Pushing enough air down to lift a person up makes a lot of noise.

  36. R&D Spending versus cost of pilots by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Hmm I wonder if Boeing even thought about these costs before they decided to spend billions of dollars on research down this road.

    Please cite a document showing Boeing spent "billions" on this specific research. They do spend billions on R&D ($3.1 billion in 2017) but most of it is for other projects. For example they spent $29 billion on R&D for the 787 program alone. I've seen no evidence that this is anything other than PR puffery.

    I guess it's just something an army of engineers don't think about when they are designing a new product to sell in the marketplace?

    Unwad your panties. There is a financial reason to develop technology to fly vehicles autonomously - just not the ones cited in the article - that "justification" is pure marketing BS. Flying cars are not a thing and probably never will be. Flying taxis are already a thing and there might be some marginal benefit to autonomous piloting but it isn't going to be a game changer economically - most of the costs are unrelated to piloting. Safety is important and airlines will be happy to cut costs anywhere they can if there are savings to be had. Furthermore Boeing makes both civilian and military aircraft and there are obvious military applications for this sort of tech. Autonomous piloting has some obvious advantages if done properly but pilot salaries are reportedly somewhere around 4%-8% of the cost of operating an aircraft.

    1. Re:R&D Spending versus cost of pilots by andydread · · Score: 1

      meanwhile in the real word real research is happening by Boeing's competitors So keep thinking it'll never happen

  37. it will never happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    believe half of what you see and less of what you hear.

  38. Re:elephant in the room called "costs" - & NOI by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    Till they get anti-gravity. Pushing enough air down to lift a person up makes a lot of noise.

    That's why claiming Boeing is working on "flying cars" is a lot of "bullshit". They aren't. They're working on air taxis. They will have all the same restrictions as helicopters, but they won't have a pilot. None of them are going to be singlecopters, either, nor run on fossil fuels. They will all be battery multicopters. That makes them quieter than helis at all times, so while they still won't be fit to take off from driveways, they will be able to take off from more locations.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  39. Re: elephant in the room called "costs" - & NO by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    And literally all the good flying cars in science fiction movies are lifted by some kind of antigravity. So that's where the research better be.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  40. Heard this before by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's always just "five years out". Seriously, the complexities of everyone flying + the complexities of self-driving = not going to happen in 5, 10, or even 20 years out.

  41. Flying airplanes is fun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    for me, its the whole reason to own an airplane is cuz its so much fun to fly them.

    A self-flying one would be a severe downgrade in my book.

    1. Re:Flying airplanes is fun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's fun *now*, but just wait until we have ATC on a fucking blockchain.

      "Houston center, Bugsmasher 1AB, request right turn to avoid this thunderstorm"

      "Bugsmasher 1AB, maintain current heading for now, expect new smart contract in 25 minutes."

  42. EV aircraft by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The Pipistrel Alpha Electro (the world's first mass-produced electric plane) has running costs (energy, mantenance) one fifth of the gasoline-powered version.

    Citation needed. That plane can stay in the air all of 60 minutes. A typical small plane like a Cessna can stay aloft 4-6 hours and carry more cargo. Even the company's website says it is "optimized for traffic pattern operations" which is PR speak for it can take off and circle the airport and that's about it.

    In any case this has nothing at all to do with autonomous piloting systems which have no inherent relationship to the type of power used to propel the aircraft. ICE, jet, EV, etc doesn't matter for purposes of steering.

  43. The key concept is 'self driving.' by bdwoolman · · Score: 1

    This is not about putting people at the helm of flying cars. Heaven forbid.

    Putting a self-driving land car into the real world presents a much bigger challenge than putting a self driving drone fleet in the air. Especially if they were all networked and reporting their positions centrally and to each other.It has long been apparent that moving a self-driving conveyance in the air poses fewer problems than putting a self driving a car on the ground for several reasons as follows:

    Computers have been controlling aircraft for decades. There is a big body of knowledge.

    The flyer has three dimensions for avoidance of unanticipated obstacles. There are far fewer pedestrians, dogs, bikes, drunks in the air than on the ground. (Yes. There are birds and other flyers. Enhanced air traffic control is crucial.)

    Downside to this idea relates to security in every sense of the word. Technically it is much more doable than, say, getting an AI to navigate through Manhattan at Friday rush hour.

    --
    "No fear. No envy. No meanness." Liam Clancy
  44. Fuel economy and point to point travel by sjbe · · Score: 1

    It's even better when you consider the fact that you can fly straight lines instead of winding paths, which cuts down on distance as compared to a car.

    That's only true if you restrict your travel path to nothing but airports. If you want to actually go anywhere that is not an airport you aren't likely going there in a straight line no matter what vehicle you choose. Cars in general can get a LOT closer to their ultimate destination than any aircraft in most circumstances.

    Nor do you have to waste fuel accelerating and decelerating at lights, or in bumper to bumper traffic.

    No instead you have to drive to an airport, fly to another airport (which may or may not be close to where you want to go) and then drive to your ultimate destination. Calling that point to point travel is not even remotely accurate. Aircraft which can actually fly point to point (basically helicopters) is going to be quite inefficient in use of fuel compared to the alternatives.

    Getting into the air doesn't have to use huge amounts of energy; it just depends on how you're generating lift.

    Flying is (relatively) energy efficient in some use cases but not all. The real question isn't can you get the vehicle into the air. The question is how much cargo can the vehicle carry (including people) for a given amount of energy and then can you utilize that cargo capacity efficiently. Also there is the questions of how far you are traveling and how fast you need to get there. For long distance travel in short time periods it's hard to beat airplanes. But if you can take a bit more time or if the trip is relatively short there are usually more energy efficient means of travel.

  45. Re:elephant in the room called "costs" - & NOI by Anonyme+Connard · · Score: 1

    Helicopters and other rotary-wing aircrafts do not takeoff and fly by "pushing air down". Vertical takeoff jets like the Harrier do.

  46. Do you know what a taxi is? by sjbe · · Score: 1

    meanwhile in the real word real research is happening by Boeing's competitors

    You specifically claimed that Boeing was spending billions on R&D for this stuff and then failed to back up that assertion. Now you are talking about Boeing's competition? (who you also fail to establish is spending "billions" on this stuff) That's called moving the goal posts my friend.

    So keep thinking it'll never happen

    The only think I claimed will never happen is FLYING CARS which is absolutely true because physics is a bitch that way. You linked to a research project about a type of drone airplane being used as a taxi. Planes are already used as taxis today. The only difference here is that a human is not the pilot. Cool stuff but not a flying car. Do you understand the difference between a car and a taxi? Cars can be taxis but so can boats, airplanes, helicopters or bicycles. A taxi is a type of service not a type of vehicles. When an uber driver is driving themselves their car is not a taxi.

  47. Re:elephant in the room called "costs" - & NOI by Luckyo · · Score: 1

    The "chopping" noise that helicopters make comes from collision of air from main rotor with air from the tail rotor. Since most of air taxis do not have tail rotors and instead use various kinds of multiple main rotor systems, they're fairly quiet.

  48. Re:elephant in the room called "costs" - & NOI by cellocgw · · Score: 1

    Helicopters and other rotary-wing aircrafts do not takeoff and fly by "pushing air down"

    The wrongness is impressively great in this one, Obi-wan.

    ALL aircraft attain altitude by pushing air down. Despite what your incompetent 3rd grade book might have claimed, Bernoulli doesn't apply in open systems, the shape of the wing doesn't matter, and if you haven't noticed, planes can fly upside down just fine.

    --
    https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
  49. Yes, Yes, I can see them now! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In just a few short years they will hit the ground running!

  50. What is your point? by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Clearly you have no idea what we spend building roads, or the cost of highway fatalities.

    You think putting autonomous piloting tech into planes will change either of those things in the slightest? Air travel is already FAR safer than driving and yet we still drive far more than we fly because safety isn't the only or even the paramount concern. You think planes are are going to become magically able to land where cars do and that some miracle will occur to make them affordable by people who aren't crazy rich? Air travel isn't going to replace cars and no amount of wishful thinking will make it otherwise.

    1. Re:What is your point? by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      Air travel is already FAR safer than driving and yet we still drive far more than we fly

      Aircraft accidents are dominated by take-off, landing, and other crashes close to airports. Crashes away from airports are rare partly because the sky is pretty empty of other planes to collide with, and also because commercial aircraft are very well maintained (by car standards). Long distance commercial flights have a good safety record (fatalities per mile) because only a small proportion of their travel is spent in take-off and landing; such flights have a safety record similar to trains (West European trains anyway).

      That changes however if aircraft are used for short trips, especially private ones, because proportionately more take off and landing is involved. That would be even more so with the use (and maintenance) that flying cars are likely to get.

  51. What could possibly go wrong... by ewhenn · · Score: 0

    Millions of barely (if we are lucky) competent people, piloting flying boxes composed of 2 tons of steel, after drinking 6 beers. What could possibly go wrong?

  52. Fusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's close enough to the same time-line for ITER fusion power plant to start producing power. Someone pinch me!

  53. And then... by superdave80 · · Score: 1

    ...they will be powered by cold fusion five years after that.

  54. Yeah, right by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    Killjoy cities, towns, counties, and especially HOAs are borking sUAS whenever they can. What makes anyone think that a flying car is going to be unobtrusive to et past those folks?

  55. Re:elephant in the room called "costs" - & NOI by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

    That's why claiming Boeing is working on "flying cars" is a lot of "bullshit". They aren't. They're working on air taxis. They will have all the same restrictions as helicopters, but they won't have a pilot. None of them are going to be singlecopters, either, nor run on fossil fuels. They will all be battery multicopters. That makes them quieter than helis at all times, so while they still won't be fit to take off from driveways, they will be able to take off from more locations.

    Now if only the US military would let them use the technology that makes stealth helicopter blades so quiet. Then they'd really have something.

  56. oh my god by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fucking hell the future is like.. happening all around me. Flying cars becoming a thing. AI becoming a thing. Landing on distant asteroids, missions to Mars, a moon base. I've got in the palm of my hand a device that can put me in contact with any other human alive or tell me anything I want about anything I ask it and this is awesome I love the future keep happening keep happening 3 3

  57. Re:elephant in the room called "costs" - & NOI by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    Fairly quiet...like a nitro burning funny car is fairly quiet? You can be a lot quieter than a helicopter and still be way too loud.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  58. Oh wow - where is my checkbook? by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

    based SparkCognition to develop artificial intelligence and blockchain technologies

    This must be real: they know all the latest buzzwords!

  59. Re:elephant in the room called "costs" - & NOI by Luckyo · · Score: 1

    Depends on what you think to be "way too loud". Current "Main + tail rotor" helicopters produce the loud flight sound from the collision of the air from two rotors. Hence the "chopping" sound you hear when helicopter flies. Note that it's so loud, you commonly cannot even hear the engine noise.

    If you had to make a car comparison, it's like engine noise to tyre noise at speed. If you had hardest possible tyres with metal spikes on shitty and very noisy asphalt. If you take the tyre noise out, engine noise is actually very tolerably quiet.

    And in case of NOTAR and multiple rotor systems, it's the engine noise that you hear, not the air flow collisions.

  60. Aviation safety by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Long distance commercial flights have a good safety record (fatalities per mile) because only a small proportion of their travel is spent in take-off and landing; such flights have a safety record similar to trains (West European trains anyway).

    There is no single reason why commercial aviation has the safety record it does. You correctly identified ONE of the factors but there are many others including but not limited to: strong safety regulations, a strong regulatory body (FAA), a strong safety culture, well trained pilots and ground control who have to demonstrate a high level of competence, extensive testing and maintenance requirements, there is little chance of hitting something during travel especially another vehicle, airplane design, cockpit technology, airport design, and more.

    Trains are measurably less safe than commercial aviation (for a variety of reasons) but still incredibly safe overall - probably the second safest means of travel. And for short to medium length journeys trains can be notably more economical if the rail system is designed appropriately like in Europe or Japan. (US passenger rail sucks in most places) Plus trains can go places where airplanes generally cannot like city centers and underground.

    That changes however if aircraft are used for short trips, especially private ones, because proportionately more take off and landing is involved.

    It's true that more takeoffs and landings will almost certainly increase the casualty rate for aviation by some amount. The exact amount is obviously unclear but the number would be expected to be >0. However it is unlikely that we are going to see a significant increase in general aviation and private aircraft use since the cost is so great.

    That would be even more so with the use (and maintenance) that flying cars are likely to get.

    Stop. Just stop. Flying cars are NOT a thing. They will NEVER be a thing. There is no point in even discussing them or their hypothetical safety record. If there is some breakthrough that makes them feasible then and only then can we have this discussion.

    1. Re:Aviation safety by jcr · · Score: 1

      Flying cars are NOT a thing. They will NEVER be a thing.

      You're a moron, just like the morons who told the Wright brothers that man will never fly.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  61. Imagine a city that is humming at 120 decibels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Night and day, imagine that. /nonsense

  62. Boeing needs a new CEO? by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    Reasons Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg should be replaced:

    1) Don't announce a product before it is ready for sale. It is not possible to predict how many problems there will be, and how much time curing those problems will require.

    2) Noise, as the parent comment says. Would you accept the noise in your neighborhood?

    3) Danger. Would you accept that there could be a crash in your neighborhood, or into your house?

    4) It is not known how long the FAA, the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration, would require to decide about all the many, many issues.

    In my opinion, Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg has shown he is not qualified to lead a large company. Anyone who can't communicate clearly, sensibly, and logically cannot lead a large, important company.