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Bill Nye: We Are Not Going To Live on Mars, Let Alone Turn It Into Earth (usatoday.com)

pgmrdlm writes: Bill Nye says the idea of Mars colonization and terraforming -- making a planet more Earth-like by modifying its atmosphere -- is science fiction. "This whole idea of terraforming Mars, as respectful as I can be, are you guys high?" Nye said in an interview with USA TODAY. "We can't even take care of this planet where we live, and we're perfectly suited for it, let alone another planet." As for living on Mars permanently: Sorry, Nye says that's not happening either. "People disagree with me on this, and the reason they disagree is because they're wrong," he quipped. The famous science educator and CEO of The Planetary Society appears on National Geographic Channel's series "MARS." While the series explores human beings living on the Red Planet and even mining it, that doesn't mean Nye buys into the idea. For starters, he points to Antarctica, where scientists are stationed even during the harsh winter months but no one lives permanently.

"Nobody goes to Antarctica to raise a family. You don't go there and build a park, there's just no such thing. Nobody's gonna go settle on Mars to raise a family and have generations of Martians," Nye said. "It's not reasonable because it's so cold. And there is hardly any water. There's absolutely no food, and the big thing, I just remind these guys, there's nothing to breathe." Plus living in a dome, then putting on a spacesuit to go outside will get tiring -- fast. "When you leave your dome, you're gonna put on another dome, and I think that will get old pretty quick," he said. "Especially the smell in the spacesuit 00 all the Febreze you can pack, I think it will really help you up there."

82 of 646 comments (clear)

  1. gratuitous insult by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In the interests of unity ... whatever our positions on various issues might be, can we all just agree that the guy is annoying as heck (on anything but very basic science education)? ;)

    1. Re:gratuitous insult by Ensign_Expendable · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A bowtie does not make you an expert on all things scientific. I'm with the OP. Sorry.

    2. Re:gratuitous insult by rbgnr111 · · Score: 2

      yeah, in the recent past he seems to have gone the way of a lot of our political leaders... if you're not with me, your wrong.

      The way I had learned science was that most things are considered to be truth, though open to other ideas, and the idea that a new option might come up that brings about a different view.

      his comments on this one just get me thinking of the comment in the past that nobody will ever use more than 265k of ram.

      many of the things of science fiction have a strange way of becoming common every day items... look at cell phones, or microwaves, or any number of other common items, 50 years ago many were only science fiction...

    3. Re: gratuitous insult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Pull your lips off of Bill Nye's asshole for just a moment. Nye is inflammatory and alienates a lot of people who might otherwise be interested in science by mocking them. You don't get people to understand climate change by making them feel stupid or insulting religion, according to another science, i.e. psychology. He's also against nuclear power, which is potentially mankind's near-term best hope to quell CO2 emissions and air pollution. His knowledge is shallow compared to real scientists like Carl Sagan or Neil Degrasse Tyson.

      So no, "pretty much" everything he does isn't so great.

    4. Re:gratuitous insult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      People have been going to Antarctica for 200 years now and we still aren't able to live there permanently due to the harsh conditions. So, maybe ~500 years from now we'll figure it out,

      Oh, I don't think it's going to take 500 years for us to solve that problem. At the rate we're going, Antarctica should be a pretty nice place to live within the next 100-200 years. Downright balmy.

    5. Re:gratuitous insult by Joce640k · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sure, I'd love to believe we'll terraform Mars. It'd be cool. I can't say it won't happen in 10,000 years. But it certainly won't happen in even 200.

      With you 100% there.

      Crazy 'ol Elon Musk think we're going to establish colonies there in the next 30 years!

      Maybe his definition of 'colony' isn't the same as yours (or his is the definition the newspapers want to hear.

      It would be pointless to send some guys to mars for just a few hours like they did with Apollo. I'm thinking more like the pressure domes in the martian movie. The technology to build that and send it to Mars will certainly exist in 30 years at the rate Elon is advancing his rocketry.

      Artificial gravity so that people can survive the two month flight isn't too difficult - a long wire with the humans on one end and the cargo on the other spinning through space would do it.

      Will anybody sign up for the trip, no matter how risky? You betcha.

      --
      No sig today...
    6. Re:gratuitous insult by timeOday · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When somebody says "we" are not "ever" going to do XYZ, it's usually safe to read as, "nobody reading this will be around to see the day when..." I think people generally understand that making predictions about technology 10,000 years from now is impossible, beyond the very basics like speed of light or conservation of energy.

    7. Re:gratuitous insult by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In the interests of unity ... whatever our positions on various issues might be, can we all just agree that the guy is annoying as heck (on anything but very basic science education)? ;)

      Yes, and also he's wrong as heck. Physics fundamentals dictate that Mars will never resemble Earth, but it's human nature that people will one day live on it in a self-sustaining manner.

      Look at all the national claims on Antarctica. The only reason it's not colonized is that it's an international research park by treaty.

    8. Re: gratuitous insult by Type44Q · · Score: 4, Funny
      Glasses, bowtie and/or tweed jacket... and be sure to never say anything, just look at them inscrutably when they speak.

      You'll get tenure in a fucking week.

    9. Re: gratuitous insult by Type44Q · · Score: 2

      Life isn't a video game.

      Come on, now; it's very much an RTS for the decision makers of this world.

    10. Re:gratuitous insult by jythie · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Ahm, it really isn't human nature outside science fiction. When you talk to economists, anthropologists, people who actually study human nature rather than wax poetic about it, the prospects for a martian colony vanish pretty quickly. There just are not enough good reasons to do it outside fulfilling fantasies, and when one actually looks at what is involved in maintaining a self sufficient colony (hint : you can't do it with a couple of 3d printers and some magic mining machines), it gets crushed pretty quickly. The only reason Antarctica remains an international research park is that there has been so little interest in colonizing it. Law and treaties follow what people want to do, and quickly get abandoned if there is a push to do otherwise.

    11. Re:gratuitous insult by lgw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Physics fundamentals dictate that Mars will never resemble Earth, but it's human nature that people will one day live on it in a self-sustaining manner.

      We could make Mars Earthlike in all but gravity and the blissfully longer day, but I'm not sure what the point would be. (Sure, that atmosphere would be lost in a million years, but so what?)

      I don't think it will ever make sense. It will just be much easier to make huge orbiting habitats for those who want to escape Earth. Starting at big enough to hold 100k-1 million people, these start to make a lot of sense. You get the gravity and atmosphere you want, without the mind-boggling time that terraforming would take.

      If we can only get robotic asteroid mining started, so that heavy industry isn't at the bottom of a gravity well, everything else becomes practical. And mostly-self-directed robotic mining equipment no longer sounds like far-fetched SF. More like inevitable loss of all the mining jobs on Earth. Start making millions of tons of rocket fuel in high orbit and suddenly the Solar system is ours for the taking.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    12. Re: gratuitous insult by macker · · Score: 2

      So, if one individual fails to rebut his points on the merits, then it necessarily must follow that no rebuttal is possible?
      Really?
      Wow.
      Just wow.

      --
      (T)he (O)ld (M)an
    13. Re:gratuitous insult by kenai_alpenglow · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Find some valuable resource worth extracting* down there and there will be folks living down there. Or find some reason for trade routes to go through there (and need some kind of support) and the same will occur. Otherwise you won't find folks living anywhere. For example, see multitudes of mining towns and interior ports that have come and gone. As for Mars? Right now I don't see either. *Knowledge qualifies. And there are people down there permanently. For some value of "permanent". Just don't tell your neighbor how the book turns out!

    14. Re:gratuitous insult by macker · · Score: 4, Funny

      Shhhhhhhhh: don't tell them that our 3rd rock has been secretly colonized by denizens from the 2nd rock, who have already begun terraforming...errrr...venusforming(?) it, and have made tremendous progress in that direction in just a bit less than a single century, local time...

      --
      (T)he (O)ld (M)an
    15. Re: gratuitous insult by ChrisMaple · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The fallacy ad hominem (abusive) is "This guy is evil, therefor his claims are wrong." The first post is This guy is irritating; he may or may not be right. Not the same thing.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    16. Re: gratuitous insult by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

      Like he said, why would anyone with a family willingly to move to a hostile environment like Antarctica?

      A statement like that tells be someone doesn't have the slightest clue as to human nature.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    17. Re: gratuitous insult by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Glasses, bowtie and/or tweed jacket... and be sure to never say anything, just look at them inscrutably when they speak.
      You'll get tenure in a fucking week.

      Spoken like someone who has no idea what it takes to get tenure.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    18. Re:gratuitous insult by CaptainDork · · Score: 2

      We should terraform Antarctica just to piss Bill Nye off.

      Who's up for that?

      Ice court tennis, anyone?

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    19. Re:gratuitous insult by CaptainDork · · Score: 2, Funny

      If we read the literature about serious terraforming and stuff, it's a slow, meticulous process that would take centuries with cost overruns.

      You know, kinda like getting Lockheed Martin to build a fucking outdated F-35.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    20. Re: gratuitous insult by quenda · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The only way people will move to Mars is if something is actively driving them away from earth.

      The way we're polluting the Earth, it could still happen.

      We could pollute earth beyond the most dystopian imagination, and it would still be better than living on Mars. Sorry.
      I find the Antarctica comparison convincing. Sure we want a scientific base, and a few rich tourists will go. But nobody wants to live there in a permanent colony. It'll be easier and more useful to colonise the bottom of the ocean than Mars.

    21. Re:gratuitous insult by apoc.famine · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You're technically correct, but missing the bigger picture.

      Sure, we can't live in Antarctica permanently. But we haven't spent any of the last 200 years there trying to make the outposts there permanent either. So of course we can't.

      If we had wanted to, we probably could have. We could have built giant underground farms with grow lights, dropped in a nuclear power plant, built an underground infrastructure, etc. And we could most likely be pretty self-sufficient there, since it's got oxygen and a lot of ice to melt for water. (I'll note that Mars doesn't have either. At least, not relatively pure water ice, not mixed with perchlorates.)

      You can't use Antarctica as proof we can't live permanently on Mars since we didn't try to live permanently there. If we had tried and failed, that would be another story.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    22. Re:gratuitous insult by fox171171 · · Score: 2

      Nobody lives on Antarctica permanently because there's no good reason to.

    23. Re:gratuitous insult by kaatochacha · · Score: 3, Insightful

      OH MY GOD!
      If they came out with a Science show hosted by Dolph Lundgren and Brian May, I believe I'd watch nothing ever but that show.

    24. Re: gratuitous insult by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "This guy is evil, therefor his claims are wrong." works just fine when it's Donald Trump. Why's it a logical fallacy again?

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    25. Re: gratuitous insult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It isn't. It is actually a reasonable, if incomplete statement. A more robust expression would be that due to the nature of evil, there can be no reliance on Trump. In fact, however, Trump is not simply evil, but a selfish moronic blowhard asshole who is known to lie over even easily disproved matters. Not to mention his tendency to reverse his position based on whatever inanity goes through his brain.

      Therefore, you should assume he is wrong until demonstrated otherwise, or even better, ignore him utterly. And you ought to have been doing this twenty years ago.

    26. Re: gratuitous insult by DalM · · Score: 3, Funny

      Why not? Our entire federal government is run by a reality television show host.

      I kinda prefer the kids show host better.

    27. Re: gratuitous insult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, they should not.

      To quote Carl Sagan from The Demon-Haunted World:

      "And yet, the chief deficiency I see in the sceptical movement is in its polarization: Us v. Them - the sense that we have a monopoly on the truth; that those other people who believe in all these stupid doctrines are morons; that if you’re sensible, you’ll listen to us; and if not, you’re beyond redemption. This is unconstructive. It does not get the message across. It condemns the sceptics to permanent minority status; whereas, a compassionate approach that from the beginning acknowledges the human roots of pseudoscience and superstition might be much more widely accepted."

    28. Re: gratuitous insult by Mashiki · · Score: 4, Informative

      He regularly engages them in very thoughtful and respectful arguments. That's why I like him so much more than many others.

      You mean like the time he went all-in-for with 'gender identity' and pseudoscience surrounding it? Nah, sorry that shit doesn't fly. Guy's a hack, always was. Mr. Wizard was a far better role model, and challenged people to think. Not only that but encouraged "kitchen top science" you know the stuff that people used to do. Too bad, things are so screwed up that most of the stuff that came even in the early 80's science kits couldn't be sold these days.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    29. Re:gratuitous insult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We could make Mars Earthlike

      How about instead we make Earth Earthlike and save the trip?

    30. Re: gratuitous insult by Bradac_55 · · Score: 2

      I find it offensive that you would put Neil Degrasse Tyson name in the same line as a real scientist like Carl Sagan.

    31. Re: gratuitous insult by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You should try venturing outside your echo chamber.

      And you should try not to make assumptions about people like me.

      I evaluate Trump, his surrogates, and his supporters based on whether what they are saying is *FACTUAL* - And whether their actions make sense based on the facts at hand. When Trump spends $120M of taxpayer dollars to dispatch 7000 troops to the southern border - Depriving those troops of their families at Thanksgiving and Christmas - Based on a threat that is not factual, then I judge him on that, because the facts do not support his actions.

      The people who *are* in echo chambers are the people who haven't critically evaluated whether sending 7000 troops to the border is a good use of resources, or a stunt to inflame their fears.

      That's one of many many many dozens of examples.

    32. Re:gratuitous insult by TeknoHog · · Score: 2

      Bowties are cool. I'm with The Doctor.

      --
      Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
  2. It's also poisonous... by oic0 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Aside from being cold, barren, and lacking an atmosphere... The place is covered in chemicals that are hazardous to humans. How many people would go to Antarctica if the snow was made of perchlorates.

    1. Re:It's also poisonous... by Viol8 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Its not a minor issue - you'd have to fully wash and decontaminate a spacesuit each time it came back into the facility Even a tiny amount of dust that got in would soon make people sick and clog up machinary. These arn't the sort of problems you can hand wave away.

    2. Re:It's also poisonous... by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 2

      How many people would go to Antarctica if the snow was made of perchlorates.

      Probably a lot more than we put in orbit.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    3. Re:It's also poisonous... by GeLeTo · · Score: 2

      It's a matter of technology. Ask a tribe of tropical hunter-gatherers whether it's possible to live in the Arctic - where t's freezing cold through most of the year, the sun does not shine for months and nothing grows there and they will tell you that no way, you must be crazy to think that it's possible.

    4. Re:It's also poisonous... by pz · · Score: 2

      Aside from being cold, barren, and lacking an atmosphere... The place is covered in chemicals that are hazardous to humans. How many people would go to Antarctica if the snow was made of perchlorates.

      And there's lots of radiation that will have a strong tendency to not-so-slowly kill humans because Mars doesn't have a magnetosphere to protect us, like the Earth does.

      There are substantial challenges to permanently colonizing Mars. Does that make it impossible? I'm not convinced. Does it make it difficult, quite certainly, yes. Does it make the effort not worthwhile? No. Time and time again, the pursuit of society-scale technological challenges has proven to be beneficial.

      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
    5. Re:It's also poisonous... by jythie · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Which cuts to the heart of the problem : what exactly is the point of building there? Outside 'well, there is gravity!', the planet doesn't really have much making it worth being there and you end up living in a high cost sealed environment that you might as well just build on earth and cover the walls in pictures of mars.

    6. Re:It's also poisonous... by Immerman · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Why would you bring your spacesuit inside the facility? Seems like all the recent spacesuit designs developed for Mars, the Moon,etc. are designed to remain permanently outside the habitat - the entry hatch on the back of the suit mates with a similar hatch in the habitat airlock, minimizing habitat contamination.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    7. Re:It's also poisonous... by petes_PoV · · Score: 3, Insightful

      These arn't the sort of problems you can hand wave away.

      Sure you can. Every clean room on Earth copes with this minor inconvenience every hour of the day.

      --
      politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    8. Re:It's also poisonous... by Leomania · · Score: 2

      Beyond some unknown future economic potential that Mars could provide that the Earth simply could not, once you go past the scientific/adventure angles, there's really only one compelling reason to go to Mars - survival of the species. We are presently a one-planet species, but even if we cleaned up our act and made the Earth a sustainable place to live for the very long term, we're one catastrophic event away from oblivion. Pick any time horizon that you like, we're eventually extinct. Once we're a viable two-planet species, and by that I mean there's a self-sustaining human presence someplace else, the end of humans can at least be forestalled.

      But there's so much we don't know still. Even if we could convert lava tubes into viable habitats for some protection from radiation, and grow food, and have a long-term self-sustaining energy and manufacturing infrastructure - if we could simply bootstrap long-term human viability on Mars - we don't know what making babies in a place like that is like. Will we bring the right microbiome with us to impart healthy immune systems? How fundamentally tied to the Earth are we?

      We could spend a tremendous amount of money and have a lot of astronauts/colonists die finding the answers. I think it's worth trying.

      --
      You don't use science to show that you're right, you use science to become right.
  3. De-terraforming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    At the moment we're showing great dexterity in de-terraforming Earth.

    I think as long as we don't tackle this one we should be at least careful with prospective terraforming projects.

    1. Re:De-terraforming by djinn6 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Mars is not a candidate for terraforming, but it would make an excellent radioactive landfill.

      Why not just put them at the Lagrange Points? Much less delta-v required to get there.

    2. Re:De-terraforming by CaptainDork · · Score: 2

      Which ones? There are more than Carter has Little Liver Pills.

      You got yer Moon/Earth, Earth/Sun, Any one object/Any other object.

      The delta-v is different for each, and the closer ones had damn well better be stable or we could Cretaceous our asses.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  4. SPACEFORCE CAN DO IT! by DalM · · Score: 3, Funny

    Because.... SPACEFORCE!

    (Go ahead and down rank me. I deserve it. Sorry.)

    1. Re:SPACEFORCE CAN DO IT! by nitehawk214 · · Score: 2

      Every time I hear the term "Spaceforce" I think of "Salesforce", which fills me with loathing.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
  5. What about the moon? by dasunt · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The moon would require roughly 1,000 comets to terraform. Comets would provide both water, oxygen, and momentum (spin). Due to its weaker gravity, the moon would hold onto its atmosphere for tens of thousands of years.

    Moving 1,000 comets seems not too far off from our capabilities today. Reaching the moon is definitely possible - we've done it. The only difficulty is social - as far as I know, we haven't pulled off such a multi-generational project.

    1. Re:What about the moon? by SpankiMonki · · Score: 3, Funny

      Better idea: why not aim the comets at the moon? What could possibly go wrong?

    2. Re:What about the moon? by Daemonik · · Score: 2

      The moon does not have an magnetosphere to protect you from things like solar radiation that would fry you like a microwave, or provide you with some not fun Fallout mutations. Or just lots of cancers.

      The only way to live long-term on the moon would be in domed cities or underground structures with thick layers of regolith to stop that radiation. That is if humans can even survive long-term in 1/6th gravity.

    3. Re:What about the moon? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Mostly, to get mining and other dangerous ecological practices off the planet we do live on.

      No, we can do with that with robots without even visiting other planets. The best reason to put humanity on another planet is that this one may eventually get hit by a big rock or dirty snowball.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:What about the moon? by nitehawk214 · · Score: 2

      Moving 1,000 comets seems not too far off from our capabilities today

      Uhh, yeah, no. We can reach comets, but not affect them enough to move them. And definitely not 1,000 of them.

      Also, we would need to slow down their orbital velocities enough so they are not hitting the moon with Chicxulub-like speed; unless we want to run the risk of several extinction-level events a year.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    5. Re:What about the moon? by jythie · · Score: 2

      A 'little imagination' is part of the problem. It does not take much to come up with ideas that sound interesting, but a little more imagination usually finds the problems with them. Helium 3? well, I know movies and books love the idea, but it remains to be seen if it can be economically extracted or if it even has economic utility. Goods meant for consumption in space? What benefit does building industrial infrastructure so far out,a way from any potential markets, have? And what are these markets outside 'people who live on the moon?' What could the moon produce to justify the expense of maintaining a colony there that can not be done cheaper on earth?

    6. Re:What about the moon? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 2

      Bombard the moon with asteroids first, then colonize the moon.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  6. The Grass Is Always Greener . . . by NicknamesAreStupid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    . . . on the other side of the solar system. Obviously, he is right in the very short term, nobody is moving there today and, likely, not in the next decade or three. Will there be a base on mars in the next century? Maybe. Will we go there to live once we have mastered genetic engineering to adapt to any environment? Duh? We may live on Jupiter. Of course, that might be centuries away, so who gives a fuck?

    1. Re:The Grass Is Always Greener . . . by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We may live on Jupiter.

      It's difficult to take you seriously when you fail to recognize that Jupiter is a gas planet so as far as Jupiter goes, there is no "on" to be.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    2. Re:The Grass Is Always Greener . . . by shess · · Score: 2

      . . . on the other side of the solar system. Obviously, he is right in the very short term, nobody is moving there today and, likely, not in the next decade or three. Will there be a base on mars in the next century? Maybe. Will we go there to live once we have mastered genetic engineering to adapt to any environment? Duh? We may live on Jupiter. Of course, that might be centuries away, so who gives a fuck?

      "May" != "Will". A lot of these things are "Wouldn't it be cool?!?" type discussions, but the practical matters will make it really really hard. Yes, you _could_ genetically engineer people to live on Mars without as much need for terraforming, but ... keep in mind we are only now starting to address genetic engineering for very very slight changes to single genes.
        This is a huge project. How many kids are you willing to have to get ones that work? How many stillbirths are you willing to tolerate? How many kids with gross deformities or brain damage or other maladaptive traits are you willing to tolerate, and to provide housing and care for for the rest of their lives? Or would you prefer to euthanize them? How will you feel about raising a kid who is uncomfortable in your environment, and who's environment you are uncomfortable in? Who's doesn't just _feel_ different, but is different in ways you can hardly comprehend.

      Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying it's not possible. I'm just saying that a regular nuclear family type situation is not going to accomplish it, because doing so would be so incredibly painful. People have troubles raising their kids right now, and that's LOADS easier than if their kids were significantly different and were effectively designed to be sent into battle with an extreme environment. People aren't even willing to tolerate driving less to save their current planet, why would they be willing to tolerate decades of emotional pain to colonize a new planet?

  7. Re:As long as there are ships coming back... by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 2

    Right now, with our current level of technology and environmental concern, all we'll do is shit all over Mars over a dozen failed colonization attempts before anyone gets one to stick.

    So, like a lot of earthbound colonization?

    So sorry dissidents, no revolution from space is coming to foment building your {Libertarian, Socialist, Facist, No Assholes} paradise.

    Considering the number of terrestrial political revolutions and upheavals, I find that assertion unlikely too, at least after any kind of self sufficiency is achieved.

    (Oh they won't build a paradise, but I can't see nobody trying.)

  8. I think he's right. by mark_reh · · Score: 2

    We will have used up this rock long before we have figured out how to go live somewhere else.

  9. Re:There are those that agree... by MightyYar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How can we ever hope to colonize the New World, when we can't even live at peace among ourselves here in continental Europe? The climate experiences wild swings, our ships are not reliable, and the land is populated with murderous savages. I know you all really like Queen Isabella, but this is all just fantasy. There may be riches in the New World, but it will never be worth the time or effort to extract them.

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  10. With all due respect to Mr. Nye: by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

    And there is hardly any water

    Um, are you high? Perhaps the "Science Guy" should learn a little bit about Mars before talking about it. A large portion of the planet has permafrost at or near the surface.

    I'm not actually that much of a Mars advocate, and think the simplicity of using water there is overplayed (people talk about it like it's some sort of pure snow that you just pick up and melt, but it's (mostly) a rock-hard toxic brine mixed with sand and clay) - but come on, if you're going to talk about something, learn the basics.

    --
    "Define 'interesting'". "Oh God, oh God, we're all gonna die?"
    1. Re:With all due respect to Mr. Nye: by Rei · · Score: 2

      This really is not true. It's so abundant in places that just scraping the surface reveals it.

      Water is very common on Mars. Its just frozen. In rock-hard permafrost. And contaminated, both with salts and a number of toxic chemicals.

      --
      "Define 'interesting'". "Oh God, oh God, we're all gonna die?"
    2. Re:With all due respect to Mr. Nye: by quanminoan · · Score: 2

      Zubrin walks through many of these problems and their potential solutions in his book "Case for Mars", an interesting read. Biggest unknown is how much adsorbed CO2 is in the regolith IIRC.

  11. He is not wrong by grogger · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There are plenty of places on Earth that we have not set up shop which are still a trillion times more hospitable than Mars. Go 400 km straight north of Ottawa (which in Canadian terms is pretty well next door) and you are in absolute wilderness. It is great country full of rocks, swamps and lakes but living there is hard. Except for a few valley towns, First Nations reserves and settlements, and some mining centres, people are measured in 1s and 10s per 100 square km. And it is pretty much endless. Now look at Mars - it is worse in every way. No air, no plants, no water and winters that are even colder! There is no economic argument for mining Mars when the potential of most of the Canadian Shield, the Australian Outback, and Siberia has not been explored . Even mining the ocean floor would be easier! What we need is to clean up our act here. Use less stuff, make less of a mess and start to work on the over-population problem in a sensible way (whatever that would be).

    1. Re:He is not wrong by painandgreed · · Score: 2

      You are missing the point.

      The idea of colonizing other planets (or moons) is so that if something happens to earth , whether our fault (global warming, nuclear war) or a natural event (another large asteroid impact or supervolcano ) , mankind can still survive elsewhere.

      We will eventually have to move out of this solar system.

      The point you are missing that it will be easier to fix the earth or alter the direction of an asteroid that colonizing Mars. I'd bet it would be easier to deal with a supervolcano that colonizing Mars. Sure, we'll hopefully eventually colonize Mars or other systems, but any reasonable timetable, centuries, is long enough that it is essentially science fiction. Terraforming is even farther out.

  12. I'll take Arthur C Clarke for $100, Alex: by argStyopa · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "If an elderly but distinguished scientist says that something is possible, he is almost certainly right; but if he says that it is impossible, he is very probably wrong."
    -https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/arthur_c_clarke_100793

    It's pretty sad that a guy that used to be the poster-child for science education and the limitless possibilities of the future has become essentially nothing more than a strident leftist mouthpiece.
    cf from Bill Nye Saves the World
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    Yes, that's serious. Not satire.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:I'll take Arthur C Clarke for $100, Alex: by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's pretty sad that a guy that used to be the poster-child for science education and the limitless possibilities of the future has become essentially nothing more than a strident leftist mouthpiece.

      The sad part is that he's forgotten one of the key rules of being popular, and popularity is his key to influence. That is, encourage, don't discourage. Don't shit on the Marsies, just go put your energy somewhere else. This is going to dissuade no one and will cost him some cachet.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:I'll take Arthur C Clarke for $100, Alex: by LordAba · · Score: 2

      That episode on gender and sexuality was the most cringe inducing thing I've ever watched. It wasn't even scientific!

  13. So much for daring to dream... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As much as I lament to say this the current Bill Nye that we have now is either a corrupted version or a mere shadow of the guy we had once known. I do not make these statements lightly as I had at once looked to him as a scientific role model of sorts. He is one of the people that set me on the path to being more of a man of science.

    However...he has stopped dreaming apparently. Now do not get me wrong the idea of living on Mars "Currently" and I use that word as in currently we may not have the tech to do it. But again however...we have no idea what the future can hold. And it will be a bunch of crazy people that make the first trip to see if it can be done. And probably after more failures than we can count we will get a method that sticks. That is the very essence of science itself, venturing into the unknown for knowledge. And this quest can sometimes mean that it requires a stupid amount of trial and error to get something to work.

    As such to just wave his hand away at the idea itself just means that whatever childhood wonder that poor man had possessed has clearly been extinguished.

    1. Re:So much for daring to dream... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The problem is that this "dreaming" about a possibility that requires far-future technological innovations is becoming a dangerous anesthetic numbing us from problems that threaten us in reality. When an implausible dream becomes a dangerous fantasy that meshes well with a popular form of science denialism, a scientist should denounce it.

      The possibility of populating other planets has been floated as an alternative to addressing global warming by people ranging from Newt Gingrich to the late Stephen Hawking. This proposed "interstellar plague of locusts" future for humanity is not only morally reprehensible and obviously unsustainable but also practically impossible for the foreseeable future. We are centuries or maybe even millennia away from doing anything closer to "space colonization" than having small groups of people live in tin cans at incredible expense. The fact that a few local resources could be used in the near future is little more than a fun gimmick in the grand scheme of things. A radiation-scorched toxic dustball is hardly more hospitable than the vacuum of space, and can't be any time soon.

      We need to get it through our thick skulls that the only planet we can live on anytime soon, maybe ever, is Earth, before we ruin our civilization and possibly even damage this planet's habitability while daydreaming of some murderous hellscape so far away that we'd deplete our planet's resources before we could evacuate even one of the smaller countries to it.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  14. it's a poor comparison by Blymie · · Score: 2

    What an absurd comparison.

    First.. Antarctica? People don't live there because of *treaties*.

    Can you mine in Antarctica, without the international community stopping you? What about setting up a mining community?

    You know there's loads of fish there, yes? What else do the penguins eat?

    No, the reason people don't live in Antarctica -- is because there are no jobs, nor the possibility of a job (even self employed) there.

    Look at the *North* Pole. There are resources. And there are loads of people living there. For research, for hunting, for fishing, and for mining/resources.

    This is more like Mars.

    If there is work there (and riches to be made!), people will go. Typically young men, which (according to everything -- including insurance company stats and rates for drivers) are more prone to taking risk. And who will follow? Why, the ladies! Hoping to land a man who struck it rich!

    People will go. People travelled to the Yukon, where (guess what) you can't grow food, you have to import everything, and may as well be the South Pole before gold was discovered.

    Nye? Make a real comparison. Not one where international treaties prevent resource exploitation.

    1. Re:it's a poor comparison by Ihlosi · · Score: 2
      The "North" pole is paradise compared to Mars.

      Mars has two big advantages: Far fewer people than the North Pole. Second, Mars kills stupid people much more quickly than the North Pole.

    2. Re:it's a poor comparison by GameboyRMH · · Score: 2

      Disadvantages: Lack of breathable atmosphere, the water there is vastly more difficult to convert to drinkable form, it gets unlivable levels of space radiation on the surface, and as such there is no edible life ready to be speared or fished there. Also the ground is made of a toxic superfine dust.

      And last but not least, It probably costs more to send a small ship to or (theoretically) from Mars than the combined cost of all activity on the North pole throughout human history. Prove me wrong.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  15. Why is he just mentioning solvable things? by Ihlosi · · Score: 4, Insightful
    It's not reasonable because it's so cold. And there is hardly any water. There's absolutely no food, and the big thing, I just remind these guys, there's nothing to breathe.
    Cold? Well, you are going to generate power somehow, and most methods generate plenty of heat as a by-product.
    Hardly any water? Well, collect some and keep reusing it. Sounds icky? Well, here on Earth we're doing the same thing, except that the water here has been recycled and reused for millions of years. That's even more icky than anything you'll find on Mars.
    Absolutely no food? We've just talked about power, heat and water. If you have those three, you can make/grow food.
    Nothing to breathe? There's CO2. There are plants (for growing food, see above). Why shouldn't there be oxygen?

    Seriously. Dismissing life on Mars and then talking about the things that are among the easiest? What about radiation, (temporary) dependence on supply flighty that take half a year to arrive, or how to build a production infrastructure (so you can build enough domes that taking a walk won't involve donning a space suit)?

    1. Re:Why is he just mentioning solvable things? by ledow · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And the difficulty and expense of all those things you mention is orders of magnitude greater than living in the Antarctic, which nobody does. Even the ISS doesn't have proper permanent residents, and that's only a day away if there's anything majorly wrong.

      Heat:
      Antarctica lowest: â'89.2 ÂC
      Mars lowest: â'153 ÂC

      Heating something from -153 to room temperature is the same energy as boiling it twice over. And you're doing that all day, every day, constantly and hoping the insulation saves you some power.

      Power isn't free either, you need a whole bunch of equipment with a limited lifespan in a very harsh environment (see above) producing an AWFUL lot of power just to keep the temperature up and the lights on.

      Water:
      Collect it from where? How do you get more when you start having kids and living there? Nobody cares about recycling what you have but the processes are not 100% efficient... you'll lose water every time you use some. You'll need regular water sent to you by Earth or someone, or a way to generate it en-masse that we don't really have yet.

      Food:
      Now that you have limited water stocks, you need more water. Lots more water. More water to sustain the food year-round than you drink as pure-water yourself.

      And that food doesn't grow out of nothing. It requires energy. From the soil, fertilizers, the sunlight, etc. It gets an awful lot of energy on Earth. It gets NOTHING on Mars except what you bring with you. E=mc^2. Though I'm slightly misusing it, you need an awful lot of solar power to make anything approaching a physical thing you can eat from the raw materials around you (which you will use up and need to be replenished from off-world sources unless you're literally synthesising food from pure energy, which you're not going to be for a few centuries yet). Watch/Read The Martian - terrible movie/book, precisely because you only need look at the calculations done in it to realise the amount of stuff you need for even one human to live any length of time.

      Plants give out O2. Presuming you have them. You'd need about 700 potted plants to generate enough O2 and, more importantly, consume the CO2 that you're exhaling and choking yourself with. Per person. For anything from 5-10 people, you would need an entire garden centre or thereabouts. 24/7. Lit up, growing, thriving, fertilised, sustainable, no disease, etc.

      Small groups may be able to survive for limited amounts of time presuming they have a reliable supply of very expensive and heavy equipment coming from Earth all the time.

      You can no more "live on Mars" than you can "live on the Antarctic", or the bottom of the ocean... you need a lot of equipment and a ton of support and hope like hell that nothing goes wrong, and do it for short trips, with people willing to risk their lives and accept an awful lot of compromise.

      NOT "Hey, let's all move there and start a family."

      So, he's exactly 100% correct.

  16. Golgafrinchan Ark Fleet Ship A by GeLeTo · · Score: 2

    With stupid people electing stupid politicians there's a great incentive for some people to move to a place which is a technical meritocracy. Even if it's barren and hostile as Mars. Like populating the Earth by the Golgafrinchams in HHGG, but in reverse. There won't be any telephone sanitisers going there for sure :-)

  17. He's not just a blowhard, he's an idiot. by CaptnCrud · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Antarctica is a pretty poor comparison as to why people don't settle there and make a living (there are these things called treaties, and they are worded in such as way to keep it as pristine as possible, limited personal and camp sizes, no mining, etc...).

    He's also wrong about how much frozen water is available because truth be told no one knows for a matter of fact yet (but some argue there is actually a great deal locked away below ground).

    There is nothing technically preventing people from living in a self sustained manner (from a constant resupply standpoint) so long as they are able to use the natural resources available on mars and have the energy they need (even if water reclamation is a major concern, it is possible to recycle most of the water needed).

    Last but not least, exploration and pushing onward to new vistas is one of our defining traits. Ergo, I argue Bill Nye is no longer human. He was abducted after his tv show in the 90's and replaced with one of the prune people of planet asshole.

    1. Re:He's not just a blowhard, he's an idiot. by religionofpeas · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Last but not least, exploration and pushing onward to new vistas is one of our defining traits

      Plenty of empty deserts on Earth where virtually nobody's pushing onward to new vistas, Antarctica included.

  18. Antarctica by RobinH · · Score: 2

    Give us a hundred years and maybe we could grow crops in Antarctica. Dinosaurs once roamed Antarctica.

    --
    "I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
  19. Most Tech Today was Sci-Fi by amiga3D · · Score: 2

    Are we going to go to colonize Mars in the next 10 years? Not likely. 300 years from now? Could be. If we don't blow the planet up in the next decade or two I'll be surprised but anything can happen. Thinking it'll be soon is crazy but thinking it can't happen is not science.

  20. Old News by rmandevi · · Score: 2

    This is just obvious.

    "Nobody's gonna go settle on Mars to raise a family and have generations of Martians. It's not reasonable because it's so cold."
    --Bill Nye, 2018

    Mars is not the place to raise your kids/In fact, it's cold as Hell
    --Elton John, 1972

    A musician figured this out 46 years ago.

    --
    People who live in glass houses shouldn't walk and text.
  21. The question by ElizabethGreene · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The immutable question is:
    If we don't colonize Mars, the moon, space, or somewhere else other than this rock then what happens to our species when (insert catastrophic event here) hits and we have no backup plan?

    We are an apex species, and evolution is not kind to apex species. There is literally an entire planet full of creatures evolving to kill us. It doesn't have to be that either. A giant meteor, nuclear despot, major tectonic event, biological weapon, or an as-yet unknown thing could pound off a big chunk of the population and we are back in the stone age finishing each other off with rocks and sticks.

    If not Mars, where?