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The Electric Airplane Revolution May Come Sooner Than You Think (robbreport.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: An all-electric mini-airliner that can go 621 miles on one charge and replace many of the turboprops and light jets in use now -- flying almost as far and almost as fast but for a fraction of the running costs -- could be in service within three years. But this isn't another claim by another overoptimistic purveyor of electric dreams. It's using current technology, and the first planes are being built right now. In fact, the process of gaining certification from aviation regulators for what would be the world's first electric commuter plane has already started.

The pressurised Alice from Israeli company Eviation is a graceful-looking composite aircraft with one propeller at the rear and another at the end of each wing, placed to cut drag from wingtip vortices. Each is driven by a 260 kW electric motor, and they receive power from a 900 kWh lithium ion battery pack.

Alongside its 650 mile range, the pressurised $3 million-plus Alice can carry nine passengers and two crew, and cruise at 276 mph -- up there with the speed of the turboprops that are widely used in the commuter role, if not anywhere near that of jets. But crucially, says Eviation chief executive Omer Bar-Yohay, "operating costs will be just 7 to 9 cents per seat per mile," or about $200 an hour for the whole aircraft, against about $1,000 for turboprop rivals.

219 of 336 comments (clear)

  1. Cool... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Looked pretty good till I got to the bit about only carrying 9 passengers.

    1. Re: Cool... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Point you are missing is that a CHEAP smaller plane may be economic with small passenger numbers.

      Conventional planes need higher passenger numbers to break even and I know here (Oz) those rural destinations really hurt because of that.

    2. Re: Cool... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Gotta start somewhere.

      Maybe one day they will be able to something like what Electriq Global's is developing.

      Supposedly it's a technology that stabilizes hydrogen in a recyclable liquid that can be pumped and transported just like gasoline.

      Then all you need is a fuel cell to convert to electricity for the motors.

    3. Re:Cool... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      that's exactly within the realm of 'puddle jumpers'.. connecting small airports to hubs cities for connecting flights (i've flown many such flights on commercial aircraft in the midwest and texas).. along with many of the flights flown by aircraft owned or managed by warren buffet's netjets.. plus a huge chunk of general aviation flights and charters for the wealthy.

      size of aircraft, as well as range and speed, will only improve as the battery and motor technology continues to mature.

    4. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It actually looks utterly awful, because it's still using traditional propulsion style of a small amount of fairly large engines. The revolution in electric flying is that you can use a large amount of very small engines, to the point where you can turn your entire control surface into a mass of tiny engines, allowing for significant aerodynamic advances.

      I.e. something like NASA's x-57 test bed:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      The unsolvable problem remains the energy density of batteries. At least until we figure out something like lithium air batteries in terms of energy density with has been perpetually "two decades away" for something close to half a century.

    5. Re: Cool... by jcr · · Score: 1

      Private jet owners usually want rather more speed than this design offers.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    6. Re: Cool... by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or just burn the hydrogen in a conventional engine?

      No, that's a very bad idea. Fuel cells can deliver as much as 80% of the chemical energy of the hydrogen + oxygen -> water reaction as electrons on the wire. The best internal combustion engines will lose at least half of that power as waste heat, and will be even worse when outside of the specific pressure and temperature range that they're designed for.

      Whenever we start using hydrogen for aviation fuel, fuel cells powering electric fans is the way to go.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    7. Re:Cool... by Barsteward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Why? a lear jet carries about the same amount of passengers.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    8. Re: Cool... by Barsteward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      they can buy a Lear jet for that. This is probably good for a small operator making a entry into air taxis - UBER of the skies :)

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    9. Re: Cool... by Sique · · Score: 1

      That is really all hydrocarbon based fuels are, a carrier for hydrogen.

      Not exactly, as burning the carbon also provides thermal energy. In fact, most of the energy stored in hydrocarbons comes from burning the carbon, about 400 kJ/mol CO2. H2O provides about 242 kJ/mol.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    10. Re:Cool... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The unsolvable problem remains the energy density of batteries.

      Huh? All problems are solved already - they are building this plane. The range is 650 miles, good enough for some interesting use cases. My most frequent plane trip is half of that. Not all plane routes are round-the-world routes. With operating costs 1/4 of nonelectric planes - using this sort of plane for the short hops is a no-brainer.

    11. Re:Cool... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It actually looks utterly awful, because it's still using traditional propulsion style of a small amount of fairly large engines. The revolution in electric flying is that you can use a large amount of very small engines, to the point where you can turn your entire control surface into a mass of tiny engines, allowing for significant aerodynamic advances.

      You mean MOTORS.

    12. Re: Cool... by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's almost as if you've missed all the stuff about driverless cars and pilotless 'planes that's been happening in the last decade.

      --
      No sig today...
    13. Re:Cool... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      this is a gamechanger.

      Especially if they can make them self-flying.

      The only downside would be if they take a long time to recharge the batteries.

      --
      No sig today...
    14. Re: Cool... by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      ...a technology that stabilizes hydrogen in a recyclable liquid that can be pumped...

      Any energy storage tech with such limited inherent potential, density-wise, is doomed to failure: battery tech is rapidly evolving past what can be achieved with fuels based on light - and potentially cleaner - elements. There's a possible future for synfuels based on denser, heavier elements but it would be a niche ("cesium pellets" for your TR-3B's kinetic weaponry and attitudinal thrusters?) and probably a little ways off...

    15. Re: Cool... by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

      No, there is no way this has any chance to be economical, not even if the plane, maintenance and fuel were free. You need to pay 2 pilots and 2 (I think?) crew, that makes 9 people having to pay for 4. That means already around $100/hour personnel cost, and that's like optimistic. In other words: the personnel cost of this plane is already ABOVE the END PRICE I pay for a flight ticket. There is NO WAY a 9 passenger plane can be competitive except for charter flights.

      That's the same as any plane though. It's the costs on top that which vary. You're right though you won't see this as a passenger plane for the same reason you don't see any other 9 seat passenger planes. It's all about the charter and staff costs aside, it's going to cheaper. If it works as advertised that is.

      --
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    16. Re:Cool... by TheRealQuestor · · Score: 1

      That's only 22 bucks per passenger per hour. That's pretty damn good really. I'd much rather be on a smaller plane with a LOT less people. Leg room, be able to recline again. Comfort without having to pay for 1st class. Sign me up!

    17. Re: Cool... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Are you kidding? Small planes are used to "puddle jump" between regional airports in the US, particularly in the NE, all the time. They have been for a long time, and I've flown on them many times. There is most definitely a use for a 9-passenger commercial electric plane.

    18. Re: Cool... by OolimPhon · · Score: 1

      Good luck finding a coal powered plane...

    19. Re: Cool... by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      Pilots aren't really there for perfect conditions. Theres already auto land technology, and most commercial passenger flying is nothing more than the pilots programming waypoints and setting an altitude and speed. Pilots are there for when things go wrong, the weather goes bad, or something breaks. That's going to be the hard part to automate.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    20. Re: Cool... by maroberts · · Score: 2

      There is a lot of charter/ shuttle flight business, and in addition many businessmen also have pilots licences allowing them the pleasure of flying their own aircraft.
      Small groups of people often buy shares in an aircraft like this, reducing the cost even further.

      --

      Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
      Karma: Chameleon

    21. Re:Cool... by maroberts · · Score: 2

      this is a gamechanger.

      Especially if they can make them self-flying.

      The only downside would be if they take a long time to recharge the batteries.

      Hot swapping the batteries is the way to go. Unload one battery pack, put a fully charged replacement in.

      --

      Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
      Karma: Chameleon

    22. Re: Cool... by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      This is for fixed route city hopes. Including extra fuel requirements you're not going to get a lot of distance out of this, say 400 miles, which is bugger all.

    23. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      It's a passenger airplane. 650 miles is basically useless.

    24. Re: Cool... by michelcolman · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yeah, I'd like to see an automated system handle a situation like Qantas 32. Or the Hudson crash.

      And before someone goes "but most crashes are caused by pilot error": the vast majority of would-be crashes that would have been caused by automation are actually prevented by the pilots. Automation screws up all the time. In fact, many crashes that were caused by automation problems are actually classified as "pilot error" because the pilots should have been paying attention and prevented the crash. For example the Turkish Airlines crash in Amsterdam where the airplane stalled during a fully automatic approach, yet the pilots were blamed for not intervening when the airspeed dropped below approach speed. I have actually had a similar situation but reacted correctly, resulting in... an air safety report filed after landing. Didn't make the papers ;-)

    25. Re: Cool... by LostMyAccount · · Score: 1

      There are very few 9 passenger puddle jumpers. Usually the smallest (like when I flew out of Devils Lake, North Dakota) were 50 passenger turboprops.

      I'm inclined to share the skepticism of the parent poster. I could see this being a game changer with 20 passengers, especially if its actual operating costs were 20% of an equal sized turboprop or jet.

      But even then, the cost of the aircraft itself isn't going to be 20% of the equivalent turboprop, and I'd guess the real efficiencies would come from ramping up the number of aircraft and further rationalizing schedules and destination. And flying more small planes may help with aviation costs, but the more planes you add the higher your labor costs.

    26. Re:Cool... by Whibla · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's a passenger airplane. 650 miles is basically useless.

      The distance from London to Glasgow, to give just one commonly traveled route, is about 420 miles, and the estimated driving time between the two is just over 7 hours.

      In other words this place would very easily fill the role of carrying business passengers (or MP's, or...) between the two, with fewer carbon emissions, in less than a quarter of the time it would otherwise take. Another advantage is that we're talking about a small aircraft, meaning it can take off from, and land at, smaller, regional, airfields.

      That you cannot see a use-case for the aircraft says more about your imagination or experience of the world than it does about the actual utility of the vehicle.

    27. Re: Cool... by Nidi62 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The recent Lion Air crash is a perfect example. Beyond the fact that the plane probably wasn't airworthy the MAX 8 also had the MCAS which Boeing seemingly failed to disclose and therefore pilots were never trained on it. Fortunately for the crew and passengers on the Lion Air flight the day before the crew performed a checklist that involved disconnecting the stabs which effectively disabled the MCAS. The crew of the flight that crashed apparently didn't. So even though no one was aware of the system and the pilots weren't trained for it, Boeing is still likely pushing for a "pilot error" designation.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    28. Re: Cool... by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Point you are missing is that a CHEAP smaller plane may be economic with small passenger numbers.

      Conventional planes need higher passenger numbers to break even and I know here (Oz) those rural destinations really hurt because of that.

      Small capacity propeller driven aircraft are used a lot for short island hops, in places like Nauru and other pacific islands or the Channel islands here in the UK. I think the distances in Australia would severely limit a plane with a 650 mile range (1200 KM) however a short hop to Guernsey from Southampton would be ideal. However I'm sceptical about the numbers. They're probably fudging the $200 p/h operating costs by omitting costs that all aircraft have like insurance and some maintenance items.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    29. Re: Cool... by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Do you have any idea how many drones crash? If airliners had the same rate, nobody would dare to fly anymore. Yet these drones have much easier requirements. They fly a fixed route (possibly updated by remote control), outside of busy airspaces, and only in good weather. No complicated electrical and air conditioning systems to support passengers. Not even a need for flaps thanks to their low weight. If there's one kind of air transport that we ought to be able to automate, it's drones. But they crash all the time.

    30. Re: Cool... by unimacs · · Score: 1

      There's a definite commercial market for these, though maybe not as replacement for the type of regional aircraft that you're thinking of. If you've ever flown to Ambergris Caye in Belize, you'll know what I mean. Maya Island Air is one option for getting from mainland Belize to the most popular tourist island. These are the planes they fly: https://www.mayaislandair.com/...

      The Alice could replace pretty much any of them except perhaps the largest, but I'd argue that since they're so much cheaper to fly you'd could easily add a few extra flights per day to make up the difference and still be ahead. And that's just on fuel costs. My guess is that maintenance costs on simple electric engines would also be a ton cheaper.

    31. Re: Cool... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'd like to see an automated system handle a situation like Qantas 32. Or the Hudson crash.

      Fair enough, but the OP is arguing that these will need a crew of four.

      With automation, maybe they only need a crew of one. They can autoland at the nearest airport if something happens to the human.

      I'm sure larger versions of this will be built, too. Even two or three more passengers means a significant change in the economics.

      --
      No sig today...
    32. Re:Cool... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It's a question of getting a working, saleable product to market in a few years or gambling on experimental tech that may or may not be commercially viable and then hoping you can sell the concept.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    33. Re: Cool... by unimacs · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There are puddle jumpers and there are puddle jumpers: https://www.mayaislandair.com/...

      I flew on one of those when we went to Belize. The Alice could replace any of Maya Island Air's planes except perhaps the largest. But even then I'd argue that since they are so much cheaper to fly, you could just add a few flights per day to make up the 1 or 2 seat difference between the Alice and the larger plane.

      Something else to consider is that along with the cheaper fuel costs, the maintenance costs of the electric engines would be much much lower.

    34. Re:Cool... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Hot swapping the batteries is the way to go. Unload one battery pack, put a fully charged replacement in.

      You can also jettison it in case of a lithium fire. :-)

      --
      No sig today...
    35. Re: Cool... by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Fair point :-)

      A quick Google search, however, tells me the US Air Force had 38 drone crashes in 2017. That was more than I even expected. And there aren't tens of thousands of them flying around non stop. So I think it's fair to say they are a lot less reliable than piloted airplanes.

    36. Re: Cool... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      We need to know numbers/causes before we draw any conclusions.

      eg. How many flights total? How many of those were because people shoot at drones and generally want to do bad things to them?

      Then there's the mentality: The Air Force probably see drones as expendable so they probably aren't spending much time/effort to avoid crashes where no humans are involved.

      --
      No sig today...
    37. Re: Cool... by houghi · · Score: 1

      Do they rent the parashutes, or are they complementary? Because getting them back after you threw out the customer where he wants to be might be the difficult part.

      And fo these short trips, landing far away from where you need to be is an issue.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    38. Re:Cool... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      It's a passenger airplane. 650 miles is basically useless.

      Maybe if you're trying to get across the Atlantic, but a significant chunk of passenger airplane traffic in the world is short local hops.

    39. Re:Cool... by Baldrake · · Score: 3, Informative

      Looked pretty good till I got to the bit about only carrying 9 passengers.

      I live in a city of about 150,000 people. The most common airplane operating out of our airport is the Beechcraft 1900D, which seats 19 people. Trips are to the closest centres, which are all within 300 km.

      So 9 passengers is a little low for replacing these planes, but it's only off by a factor of two. And range is just fine. So there's a market right here for planes that aren't that far off from what this company is offering.

    40. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Obvious problem being that this tech will not be working for at least two decades. Battery technology in terms of energy/weight is not even in the ballpark needed for viability. Best hope is breakthrough in lithium-air.

      All you get is proof of concept-items like this one, used mainly for PR. You can find similar designs on pretty much all major airplane manufacturers for example. here is an example of PR for the major names you'll find in the story.

      And before you try to sell me this thing as viable, do look at what ranges people actually fly in that "luxury private aircraft for four people". Learjet has quite a bit of data on this, seeing how they have a lion's share in that market.

    41. Re:Cool... by pz · · Score: 2

      The revolution in electric flying is that you can use a large amount of very small engines, to the point where you can turn your entire control surface into a mass of tiny engines, allowing for significant aerodynamic advances.

      I would expect the energy losses to bearings for lots of little shafts from lots of little engines to be overwhelming compared to those two or three larger engines with one shaft each.

      Efficiency of fans goes waaaay down as the impeller size shrinks, and the noise goes waaay up. Think about the fans in your computer. I would expect the same principles apply when you scale up to airplane-size fans. Not only that, with a leading-edge composed of fans you now have guaranteed non-laminar flow over your lifting surface. I would be quite surprised to learn that non-laminar lifting surfaces will be efficient and good stall-avoidance.

      Finally, if turboprop is really the idea here, you now need to be able to control the pitch of lots of propellers. If there are 10 times as many propellers, that's 10 times as many things to break in critical systems. Doesn't sound like a good design corner to me.

      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
    42. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      This is an aircraft for four people. You just suggested a market that is served by aircraft that carry at least ten-twenty times that. And even they struggle due to lack of profitability, mainly due to airport availability issues.

      Four people carrying aircraft exist in two kinds in modern world. One is cheapo Cessna-likes, used for pretty much everything short haul. This aircraft is about as competitive with it as Rolls Royce Phantom is competitive with a Toyota Corolla for being a family sedan.

      Other is corporate executive transportation. In that one, if you can't do transcontinental flight at subsonic jet speeds, you're not competitive.

    43. Re:Cool... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      How is it if a proof of concept if it uses a proven concept and delivers a working, viable product to the market?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    44. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      And for that traffic, you're going to need a cheap reliable aircraft that can sit at least 40-80 people. Preferably more. And that needs to spend no more than a few tens of minutes on the ground before being back in the air for the next hop.

      This is an extremely expensive aircraft that sits four and needs batteries charged after every flight. It's simply not suitable for the purpose you're thinking on any metric.

    45. Re: Cool... by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

      not sure I'd want to ditch in the ocean (at all really, but even more) with a 960KWh battery next to me.

      --
      Nullius in verba
    46. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You're not thinking your own idea to its logical conclusion. When you have 1-4 big engines, they're critical systems.

      When you have 40 small ones, none of them individually is a critical system. That's one of the advances on offer. Individual engines become far less critical to total performance of the aircraft, resulting in significant increase in safety through additional redundancy.

      The "small size makes noise" complaint on the other hand appears to ignore just how loud large turboprops and jets actually are. Whatever noise you're thinking of is a tiny fraction of what modern large aircraft engine generates at full thrust. This is far into the realm of hearing damage for people within any meaningful vicinity, which is why airfield workers working near aircraft taking off use ear protection.

      Your last complaint on energy losses is rather strange. You have much less stress on individual bearings, as engines are much smaller. So long as bearing are good, you're in a realm of less friction rather than more, as forces acting on individual elements are much lesser. Same applies to airflow. You don't need to have so much stress on individual surface of each propeller as to have suboptimal flows. That is a major problem mainly because we have a single large fan/propeller where edges move much faster than inner parts of the fan/propeller. In case of a much smaller fan/propeller that needs to generate much less thrust, you have far more leeway with aerodynamics.

      It's almost as if in your points you understood that engines will shrink a lot, but you also forgot to account for that fact and what it leads to - much more engines to generate the same thrust, meaning much less thrust per engine.

    47. Re: Cool... by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      I wonder how they plan on handling turnaround times? Certainly they don't expect Maya Island to have something akin to a Super Charger with 8x capacity (or even reliable electricity at all)? Even then, an 80% charge takes 40 minutes. I wonder if they do battery swaps rather than try to charge in-place?

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    48. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Do you want me to copy/paste my previous two posts? The question you're asking has already been answered in them.

    49. Re:Cool... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      How about you show us a link to a similar design on a rival manufacturer's web site for a start. Let's see if any of them are bringing something to market. Something that makes economic sense in terms of price and performance.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    50. Re: Cool... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      How many small planes does it take to replace a single plane? Now multiply the number of takeoffs/landings at an airport by that number. You'll quickly discover it won't work - you cannot get that number of planes in and out. This is great for personal aviation, or charter flights to small secondary airports - but for main commuter work, where most airports are already near or at capacity in terms of gate bookings and runway utilization - this is a non-starter.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    51. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I see you didn't comprehend anything I posted so far. Ok.

    52. Re: Cool... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Don't worry, it's only a lithium battery, so it'll react with water a lot slower than sodium. Just don't fire the flaregun!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    53. Re: Cool... by unimacs · · Score: 1

      They have reliable electricity, - even on the Islands they fly to. ;-)

      And the flights aren't far, 30 to 40 miles maybe. They are literally island hopping. So a full charge is good for 10 flights easily and they can probably top off between flights or just do battery swaps.

    54. Re: Cool... by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Can't do UBER of the skies, at least in the USA (not sure about other 3rd world nations). FFA regulations on pilots needing planned flight paths and liability of passenger transport requiring certification. Basically the law prevents that service from occurring.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    55. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You're arguing on definitions of words. That is not an argument that is relevant to this discussion.

      P.S. In pilot training, engines are indeed considered critical systems.

    56. Re: Cool... by apoc.famine · · Score: 2

      Sounds 100% like you could do Uber for the skies then. I mean, ignoring laws to turn a profit is Uber's core business plan.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    57. Re:Cool... by Tupper · · Score: 1

      We need big airplanes today because: 1) they are more efficient fuel wise per passenger, 2) they need fewer pilots per passenger, and 3) gate and landing slot limitations. 1) is not relevant here. 2) relevant only if it needs a pilot 3) only relevant at big airports. As for expensive, capital cost favor the small planes. This plane seats 9: the capital cost is $333k/passenger. By comparison, the popular 737-800 cost $100M and seats 189 at $529k/passenger. A 9 seat Cessna is $2M or $222k/passenger and has a range of 1232mi. This plane would be immediately competitive with the Cessna. If these can be operated without pilots, they will take a huge chunk of the market. The whole hub and spoke system is passenger hostile, but forced by 1) and 2) above. That is, your passenger actually wanted to go from Bristol to Glasgow: any time spent in London or Edinburgh is wasted.

    58. Re: Cool... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I don't even want to think about the damage from hydrogen embrittlement on an internal combustion engine.

      Putting it into a typical engine will fail for that reason. But if you are designing the engine for the fuel, this is a solved problem. It requires using specific alloys and coatings that drive up the cost, however.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    59. Re: Cool... by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but drones crash all the time. Usually nobody cares much, but if they were larger, more expensive, and carried passengers, many would care.

      I'm not saying you're wrong, but you example sure didn't prove that you are correct. (It's also true that if people cared more, things would be built, maintained, and controlled more carefully...so ... maybe.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    60. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Mea culpa. Was talking on another topic elsewhere at the same time. Correct "four" to "nine" in my initial post. The point stands on the same merit.

    61. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You appear to have just dismissed fuel for some reason. Can you explain why? It's one of the worst problems of electric aviation, even if we were to solve the battery density problem. Refuelling an aircraft on tarmac today takes tens of minutes and on short haul flights, they refuel only once per several landings in most cases due to fuel pricing differentials. Battery recharge would take hours and would be required each flight, IF were were to solve the energy density problem.

      The rest, forgive me, but I just can't stop laughing. You just literally stated that extremely expensive boutique aircraft is competitive with Cessna of similar size as of right now.

      That's literally like stating that Rolls Royce Phantom is competitive with Toyota Corolla. It's idiotic to the extreme.

      P.S. Hub and spoke system is literally the only way this kind of aircraft could ever hope to function. The main reason why A350 and 787 are absolutely crushing jumbo markets is because their range and advances in reliability allow them to fly long haul point to point economically. This thing, even if we take your statement as if it had something to do with reality is literally only functional on very short flights, which means that those are feeding the hub. They're simply useless for anything else even on hypothetical level due to utter lack of range.

    62. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I was talking with someone else about a different aircraft at the same time. Mea culpa. Correct the statement to say "nine" instead of "four". The point stands on merits after the change just as well as it did before, so it's not a relevant correction.

    63. Re: Cool... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Much (probably 25% or so) of the energy is used on takeoff, so probably the charge is good for 2 or 3 flights, no matter the duration. They would need to have a pretty impressive charging station either one or two hops away. Charging a 900kW-h battery to 80% in 40 minutes like a Supercharger does would require about a megawatt delivered over that 40 minutes. I looked and they do have 35kV lines running into San Pedro Town, for instance - but when a single instance of this plane is charging, it would be consuming about 5% of the electrical capacity of the entire line. I can't even imagine what the infrastructure for that would cost at the airport - maybe they could score a government grant or something.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    64. Re:Cool... by Wrath0fb0b · · Score: 1

      That you cannot see a use-case for the aircraft says more about your imagination or experience of the world than it does about the actual utility of the vehicle.

      It also says a lot about the current market and regulatory structures and their impact on scaling down. On the US side of the pond (YMMV elsewhere), short trips like this would be quite expensive at the endpoints, even using small regional airports. The regulatory costs would likewise be very hard to recoup at small scale.

      Bringing a product to market is (sadly) a lot harder than just making the technology work.

    65. Re: Cool... by unimacs · · Score: 1

      So, let's say you use 30% on the first flight to Caye Caulker and another 30% to San Pedro. At that point the plane is probably sitting on the ground for awhile. It doesn't need an 80% charge. It needs maybe 30% to get back to Belize City with some margin for safety. And like I said it could be a battery swap rather than a charge.

      Plus charging batteries seems like a perfect application for a solar farm.

    66. Re: Cool... by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      OK, the Hudson Splash. But it would have been a crash if computers had been in control. Possibly into a populated area, too. Standard engine failure procedure is climb, usually straight ahead or along some trajectory that avoids obstacles, until reaching a safe altitude to accelerate, retract the flaps, and prepare for a new approach. An autopilot programmed to follow that procedure would simply keep going straight ahead (or along the programmed trajectory) while descending until it hit the ground. It would never even consider turning towards the water.

    67. Re: Cool... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      And like I said it could be a battery swap rather than a charge.

      Yeah, that was the point of my question - it almost certainly needs to be a swap to be feasible. Even a "trickle charge" of a 900kW-h battery is a massive amount of electrical capacity! The charging facility would need to have a 4-5kV feed. No problem in industrial areas, where even a larger feed would not be unusual - but probably reserved for only the largest centers in Belize - let alone other points in the Caribbean where this kind of transportation is common.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    68. Re: Cool... by unimacs · · Score: 1

      Just something to add, I don't know how much of a position the government would be to help San Pedro add more electrical capacity. However, the resorts might be willing to pony up some money. Why? The island is not big. Bicycles and golf carts are major forms of transportation. Some vacationers in resorts that back up to the airport complain about the noise of those turbo props taking off at 8:00 am.

      The electric planes aren't going to be silent but I'm guessing they'd be a whole lot quieter. I bet the resorts would love it if all the takeoffs before noon were electric planes.

    69. Re: Cool... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'd like to see an automated system handle a situation like Qantas 32. Or the Hudson crash.

      An automated system would have put the Hudson aircraft down safely on a runway instead of in the river. There was plenty of kinetic energy to reach JFK or La Guardia when the engines quit, but Sully couldn't do the math quickly enough in his head to know that and chose the "safe" landing site in the water instead.

      DARPA approached the problem with their ALIAS (Aircraft Labor In-Cockpit Automation System) program (https://www.darpa.mil/program/aircrew-labor-in-cockpit-automation-system).

      Austin Meyer, of X-Plane fame, also demonstrated automated capability several years ago that would have also landed the flight back safely on a runway. He has now commercialized automation for general aviation aircraft (http://xavion.com/)

    70. Re: Cool... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Propeller planes above 450 mph have been around for 70 years, although they tend to be specialty craft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fastest_propeller-driven_aircraft

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    71. Re:Cool... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      What sort of plane do you think flies between Denver Colorado and Kearney, Nebraska, and then on to Grand Island and Lincoln?

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    72. Re:Cool... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Do the math and see what speed you could maintain on a solar powered aircraft. You'll wish you had oars.

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    73. Re: Cool... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Oooo, that's a good point on the noise. Governments might impose electric-only hours or other restrictions that make these things more attractive if they knock down the noise levels by a few decibels.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    74. Re:Cool... by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      It's a passenger airplane. 650 miles is basically useless.

      The distance from London to Glasgow, to give just one commonly traveled route, is about 420 miles, and the estimated driving time between the two is just over 7 hours.

      In other words this place would very easily fill the role of carrying business passengers (or MP's, or...) between the two, with fewer carbon emissions, in less than a quarter of the time it would otherwise take. Another advantage is that we're talking about a small aircraft, meaning it can take off from, and land at, smaller, regional, airfields.

      That you cannot see a use-case for the aircraft says more about your imagination or experience of the world than it does about the actual utility of the vehicle.

      Why not take the train? Takes 5 hours. Flying on a current fast plane will, given connections and wait time, be three, electric plane probably nearer four when they exist.

    75. Re:Cool... by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      One the issues with large engines, particularly props, is that if you have a few large engines then uness you have a lot of blades you get tips that are heading towards being transonic and very noisy. Hence some turboprops have a large number of blades, much like a turbofan, but exposed. In a sense a turbofan is not so dissimilar from a ducted turboprop. Turbofans are quieter than turbojets for a give level of thurst, but not exactly quiet overall on a large aircraft. How quiet you can get a turboprop or fan on a 9 seater is another matter, though.

    76. Re: Cool... by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      I think you are confused....

      It's ICEs that gain efficiency from smaller and more engines. For electric motor props it would be better if this plane had a single very large prop.

      Not a turboprop, I would have thought, as there's a limit to how small you can make the channel through it due to boundary layer issues (too small and it's a glorified pito tube) and the need to have a shaft through it of non-zero diameter.

    77. Re:Cool... by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      Assuming you have facilities to land them and disgorge the passengers. As it is, many airports are at close to capacity, so replacing a 300 seat jet with 10 30 seaters, let along more than 30, isn't viable.

    78. Re: Cool... by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      pitot

    79. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I've no idea what distances are involved in US. If you're referencing short haul flights, typical short haul flight aircraft are twin engine turboprops. Usually bombardier or embraer, through there are other smaller manufacturers. Typical range is around 2,5-3 thousand km without reserve fuel.

      This aircraft is barely 1000 including reserve. It's useless.

    80. Re: Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      This is true to an extent in piston ICEs. Turbine-based ICEs are the opposite. Not only do they have a minimal possible size due to issues with shaft size and bypass, but the complexity of engine becomes overwhelming as you minituarize it in large part due to rapidly increasing cooling issues.

      As opposed to electric engine which is simply a rotor mounted on a stator.

    81. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Airlines have armies of highly trained and experienced people who specialize in optimization of passenger flows. Modern civil aviation would be impossible without decades worth of studies by these people on what works in an optimal manner at the price tag it currently is.

    82. Re: Cool... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Yes, a powerwall is a solution. To do a half charge in 20 minutes is also feasible. For that you would need 450kW-h in 20 minutes or 1350kW continuous power. Powerwalls can put out roughly 1/3 of their total capacity every hour, so you'd need a 4MW-h powerwall for this application. The good news is that should feed a lot of airplanes. The bad news is that you would need to have a lot of airplanes to recover the capital cost. At roughly $400/kW-h (it's more at retail but figure there would be an industrial discount) this super-powerwall would be an extra $1.6 million per site.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    83. Re:Cool... by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      $22/hour for the fuel, plus 1/9th of a pilot's salary (assumes plane is full), 1/9th of a flight attendant's salary, plus (and here are the big ones) a share of the amortized costs of the aircraft itself, plus maintenance.

      So probably a substantial amount more than $22/hour. Still good, but I doubt it'll be less than current airline costs.

      --
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    84. Re: Cool... by muecksteiner · · Score: 1

      Aren't you a great armchair pilot, AC? What a pity that you weren't in charge of that flight, instead of Sully.

      In all seriousness: what you wrote is beyond moronic, speaking from the perspective of someone with a pilot's license. Grow up and do some research on the decision making during in flight emergencies before posting such drivel.

      Maybe Sully's A320 could theoretically have glided to one of the two airports iff everything needed for that to happen had been done immediately, and with perfect knowledge of what the root cause of the emergency actually was. But even in that case, you have to get loads of other aircraft out of the way in a real hurry to make that happen (it's not like the area around NYC isn't one of the most congested airspaces on the planet). And you have to run the huge risk of taking a disabled, engine-less aircraft full of fuel (they had just taken off) across built-up areas for a one shot landing on a crowded airport which likely had dozens of a/c full of passengers taxiing around at that very moment. And you have to make that decision without knowing what other systems beyond the engines are affected: it's not like anyone on board reliably observed the bird strike in a fashion that enabled them to rule out further damage to, say, flight surfaces on the tail.

      Incidentally, this uncertainty would also apply to any automated landing system faced with this emergency. I would be very surprised if in the face of all these fuzzy data available to the in-aircraft systems then and there, even a perfect algorithmic decision would have chosen anything but ditching away from built up areas.

      And as cool as X-plane is, from a tech viewpoint: Austin Meyer is not known for modesty, or always totally level headed tech claims. A brilliant dude in many ways: but if he talked less, he could do quite a bit to improve his brand.

    85. Re:Cool... by fgouget · · Score: 1

      It's also a 9 passengers plane. I don't know for London-Glasgow but that's way too small for most routes. It makes sense for them to start small to reduce the initial investment but for electric planes to spread to more routes we will need 50 - 100 passengers planes and it's not clear, at least to me, how easily their solution can be scaled up.

    86. Re: Cool... by Swaffs · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of 9 seat planes on the market today, and the companies that make them are making money. Maybe you won't fly on one, but this is a real market.

      --

      --
      "Karma can only be portioned out by the cosmos." - Homer Simpson [1F10]

    87. Re:Cool... by Whibla · · Score: 1

      I've not seen that site before.

      Thank you!

    88. Re:Cool... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      And this isn't a commerical airliner but rather a proof of concept that something can fly. If you want quick re-charge then you should be looking to batteries. Heck you can automatically swap the battery packs on 2 teslas in the time it takes to fill the tank of a landrover.

      Your big sticking point seems to be the easiest of all the engineering problems to solve.

    89. Re:Cool... by maroberts · · Score: 1

      Hot swapping the batteries is the way to go. Unload one battery pack, put a fully charged replacement in.

      You can also jettison it in case of a lithium fire. :-)

      That's very hot swapping

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    90. Re:Cool... by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      You made a very failed analogy. (It's idiotic to the extreme.)

      One of the big things you're missing is the lower complexity of an electric plane. Maintenance costs for planes are huge. They are highly regulated, and the maintenance routines are very scripted. That's why plane travel is so damn safe.

      Cutting out one of the more complex systems on a plane is going to be a huge cost savings. No liquid fuel means no pumps, no worries about weight distribution changing as the tanks empty, no filters, no injection nozzles to foul, no fuel lines, etc. No combustion means no radiators, minimal coolant needs, no oil changes, no exhaust worries, minimal air intake systems, etc.

      All of this means way, way less overhead for maintenance and repairs, and very significant weight reductions. That all gets replaced with battery weight.

      Yes, charging a battery takes longer than filling a tank, but it's definitely a problem you can either work around or engineer around. Swappable batteries would be one solution. Gateside fast charging would be another. Just rotating planes out to charge could possibly be another, given how much cost savings there will be between the fuel and fuel infrastructure, and mechanical simplicity. And as batteries get lighter and smaller, just adding more batteries solves some of the problem.

      Is all this ready today? No. But it's actually feasible in the very near future, something we couldn't have said a decade ago.

      A better analogy would be: That's literally like stating that an all-electric Volkswagen is competitive with Toyota Corolla.

      No, they don't exist in large numbers yet, but the tech is there, and we have the proof of concept down. All that we need is the execution, and it doesn't look like there's anything really standing in the way of making it happen.

      --
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    91. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You've no idea how modern aircraft work, do you? Combustion engines supply far more than thrust. They supply everything from cabin pressure and oxygen to their fuel lines supplying heat circulation and balancing aircraft's centre of gravity.

      If you drop engines that generate all that as surplus, you'll have to add massive amounts of complexity to replace all those things.

      My analogy was idiotic to the extreme because the claim that was made was equally idiotic. It highlighted just how idiotic this claim was.

    92. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      My entire point from start to finish was that this is a techdemo. Not an actual product. Read the argument.

      P.S. Battery charging issues are pretty much the smallest sticking point I have with it. It's just one of the countless issues that people in this discussion appear to be unaware of, and therefore I have explain. You pretending that literally the most addressable point with current technology is "my big sticking point" when I already have mentioned things like battery energy density and range demonstrate either utter inability to comprehend what you read or malice.

    93. Re: Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Polar opposite. Do you know where most of the noise in turboprop comes from?

      Edges of blades going too fast. The smaller the blade, the slower the edges go.

    94. Re:Cool... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Have you ever heard of small scale turboprops? They serve that exact market. This aircraft is in no way competitive with them for numerous reasons I already listed in this very thread.

  2. Something doesn’t feel right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    260kw engines x3 = 780 Kw power draw from engines at full throttle. Control surface actuators, radio, aircon, navigation, lighting all have to draw power from the same battery pack... I’d wager this has barely an hour of flight endurance at full engine power. Worse if wing de-icing were also battery powered.

    They claim 650 mile range at 276 mph, which is a bit more than two hours flight time... I realize the engines shouldn’t have to be at full throttle for most of a flight, but this still seems like not enough to provide an operating reserve to divert to another airport or wait in a holding pattern for long

    If these fly I can only see them being approved for very short hops.

    1. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      And how long does a 780kwh battery pack take to charge? Sure the per seat/flight costs might be cheaper. But if your plane can only fly once every 24hours it doesn't make you much money compared to a hydrocarbon plane that can be refueled and back in air in half an hour.

      Then the is the logistics of actually charging a fleet of these planes. You'll end up with airports that draw more power than the surrounding cities that they service just charging up planes.

      If electric jumbo jumbo jets ever became a thing, airports would probably need to operate their own nuclear power plant onsite just to charge the planes.

    2. Re: Something doesn’t feel right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      they will have one of those inflatable pilot dolls (from the Airplane movie) for the ones who need the added visuals of an inferior human operator....

    3. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Lithium batteries generally take one hour to charge (charge current "1C") if you want them to last a long time. Bigger batteries have a bigger capacity, but also a higher charge current. That's where the "1C" comes from, charge as current: a 1Ah battery takes 1A, 1Ah/1A=1h. Scaling up is a matter of electronics and cooling, not a matter of battery technology.

    4. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by Sique · · Score: 1

      Maybe you can have several 780 kW packages being recharged and just replace the empty one after a flight with a fresh one from the charging station?

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    5. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      260kw engines x3 = 780 Kw power draw from engines at full throttle. Control surface actuators, radio, aircon, navigation, lighting all have to draw power from the same battery pack... I’d wager this has barely an hour of flight endurance at full engine power. Worse if wing de-icing were also battery powered.

      You only go full throttle when taking off. For most of the flight, the engines are closer to idle (10~60% is typical; the figures in the summary suggest 30-40%).

    6. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by Rei · · Score: 2

      It could very well be that the first half of the trip is climbing, and the second half is very low power or unpowered descent.

      A typical cruising altitude is ~10km. So 98100J/kg, or 27Wh/kg. Velocity is 123m/s, so that's another 7,6kJ/kg. Call it 30Wh/kg. Now factor in battery / wiring / motor prop losses - you're now closer to 40Wh/kg. Now look at what percentage of your total loaded mass you want to be batteries. A quarter of the aircraft? That's 160Wh/kg (at the pack level, not the cell level), assuming your airplane had zero drag and an infinite L/D ratio. Which obviously it doesn't!

      Small increases in battery energy density make a big difference for electric aircraft, because so much of your energy is just used to get up to altitude / speed. And the higher you go, the faster the optimal speed.

      --
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    7. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by Njovich · · Score: 4, Informative

      I realize the engines shouldn’t have to be at full throttle for most of a flight

      For the vast majority of the flight most airplanes are nowhere near full throttle. According to the wiki page, the powerplant uses 280 kW at cruise speed and the 966km range includes a reserve. At this point we just don't have any real info other than these manufacturer provided numbers, and given that they have lots of incentives to hype up their plane, we have no reason to trust these numbers. Purely based on the data provided by the manufacturer it's all possible, but who knows how it performs in real life.

    8. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      That is a typical cruising altitude for passenger jets. The Alice kind of aircraft rarely goes above 7 km.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    9. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by unfortunateson · · Score: 1

      The one thing you're really not going to have is *in-flight* refueling.

      --
      Design for Use, not Construction!
    10. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Around 20-25% of the fuel used in a conventional flight is just for take-off. The first time you see the fuel gauge falling fast in the first 10 minutes of your flight it can be a bit panic inducing, until you remember this fact.

      Once at altitude and cruising the amount of energy required is substantially lower.

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    11. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      I realize the engines shouldn’t have to be at full throttle for most of a flight

      Yeah, not even close to full throttle. More like 60% at cruise for a jet, and then as low as they will go while still running for descent.

      The electrics would have the advantage of being at zero (or even recovering charge) during descent.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    12. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      Fly through a thunderstorm.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    13. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by ameline · · Score: 1

      "Includes a reserve" What reserve? Does it comply with the reserve requirements for IFR flight? (You have to be able to fly to the planned destination, from there to a designated alternative, and from the alternative for another 30 minutes (at endurance power)). VFR rules are to planned destination plus 45 minutes at endurance power.

      (This will also have to be able to maintain a positive rate of climb (and remain controllable) at full load, and at full fore & aft C of G with an engine out)

      --
      Ian Ameline
    14. Re: Something doesn’t feel right... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Or just use little windmills...

    15. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by dyslexicbunny · · Score: 1

      Takeoff is around full throttle. Climb is usually around 85%. Those are your two most demanding portions of the flight. Cruise is probably around 75% and descent is largely idle. So it really just depends on how well the energy consumption throttles.

    16. Re:Something doesn’t feel right... by John.Banister · · Score: 1

      I wonder what percentage of battery could be saved launching from a steam catapult (something longer and with slightly less acceleration than the ones used in aircraft carriers).

  3. Replace commuter turboprops? by Guspaz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is a nine-passenger aircraft. No matter how cheap it is, it can't replace a common turboprop commuter aircraft like the Q400, which seats 80-90 people.

    Below a certain capacity, the cost-per-seat doesn't matter because airlines can only get so many landing and gate slots, and general aviation airports aren't equipped to deal with the sort of volume that would be needed to replace them... not to mention that general aviation airports are usually MUCH worse accessible in terms of public transit and distance from population centers.

    1. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 2

      Yes, and that turboprop costs 5x an hour to operate, but seats 10x. And I'm pretty sure those costs don't include pilot salaries. And, of course, you're right about the commercial use of these things requiring a lot of (limited) airport resources.

      They may have a market though in those empty flights airlines use to avoid having landing/gate slots taken away from them for underuse.

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    2. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by BlacKSacrificE · · Score: 1

      Recharge, therefore ramp turnaround time would be a huge issue as well. Unless you can cram those batteries full in no more than 90 minutes the gates are going to get real full, real quick, with the associated fee's to boot.

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    3. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by Rei · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Wait, you're saying that a startup company's first aircraft isn't going to suddenly displace the many tens of thousands of turboprop commuter aircraft operating today?

      Gee, too bad their business model assumes that their first aircraft will displace all current turboprop business, I presume based on no evidence whatsoever and against all common sense.

      --
      Seen on a Japanese food processor: "Not to be used for the other use."
    4. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by Rei · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Q-400 fuel tank = 6526L. At $1,50/l for aviation fuel, that's about $10k in fuel costs per trip, for a typical 82 passenger capacity configuration (90 max configuration), about $119 per passenger.

      Alice battery = 900kWh. At commercial rates of $0,08/kWh, that's $72, which works out to $8 per passenger

      Even when you factor in the range difference (2040km vs. ~1050km), clearly the energy costs are far lower for the latter per-passenger per unit distance. Practically irrelevant.

      As for how much everything else costs (pilot, maintenance, depreciation, etc), I can't say. But as for energy, it's a blowout comparison. Aviation fuel is expensive even compared to road fuel costs, which are expensive compared to residential electricity rates, which are expensive compared to commercial electricity.

      Obviously such an aircraft is not designed for busy routes. But it looks like an obvious contender for lesser-trafficked routes. It would be awesome for our domestic flights here in Iceland; our airports could probably charge at around $0,06/kWh, but fuel here is crazy-expensive. Scaled-up aircraft for busier routes will come when their smaller brethren prove their worth in their roles.

      Today's battery tech already supports electric aircraft in such "puddle jumper" roles. Battery tech advancement is only required for longer-range air service.

      --
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    5. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wow, it's like nobody has ever thought about multiple battery packs that can be swapped.

    6. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It's not competing with common turboprop commuter aircraft any more than a Tesla is competing with common petrol commuter cars. It's for businesses who use private aircraft to ferry the C levels around.

      --
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    7. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by Papaspud · · Score: 1

      Maybe they have a recharged pack ready to go?

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    8. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      While the big airports probably have limited landing slots there are usually unused airports around that could be reactivated. Berlin has about 6 airports. One converted into a park, no idea about the others and the new one under construction is not useable since years. I guess it would be easy to have one or two smaller airports reactivated and use for close range flights to Dresden, Warsa, or Helsinki.

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    9. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by dunkelfalke · · Score: 3, Informative

      Q400 is a bad example. It is a very inefficient turboprop, built for speed as a jet replacement for quick turnaround times. Since it is quite a bit faster, fewer units are required to serve a route. Also faster airplanes usually get higher (hence more efficient) flight levels from the ATC.

      This is, by the way, why the cost per unit distance is the wrong measurement.

      That Alice is not this kind of a commercial aircraft anyway, more a replacement for the King Air kind of aircraft, or, judging from the looks of it, is meant to directly compete with the Piaggio P180.

      --
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    10. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by mjwx · · Score: 1

      This is a nine-passenger aircraft. No matter how cheap it is, it can't replace a common turboprop commuter aircraft like the Q400, which seats 80-90 people.

      Correct. This is an alternative to aircraft like the Beechcraft Superking which is most notable as a commercial island hopper.

      --
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    11. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by sc0rpi0n · · Score: 3, Informative

      A comparable turboprop (PC-12 and TBM 850, 6-8 passengers) has a variable cost of about $600 per hour to operate and a similar purchase cost:
      https://www.avbuyer.com/articl...

      The Q400 costs significantly more per hour: https://prijet.com/operating_c...

    12. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Below a certain capacity, the cost-per-seat doesn't matter because airlines can only get so many landing and gate slots, and general aviation airports aren't equipped to deal with the sort of volume that would be needed to replace them... not to mention that general aviation airports are usually MUCH worse accessible in terms of public transit and distance from population centers.

      So you build more general aviation airports. Since the planes will be quieter, you can build them closer to population centers. You use them for short hops, moving those flights out of the large airports and freeing up capacity. It's not a complete solution, it's a partial solution. It won't solve all the problems, but it will solve problems.

      --
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    13. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by guruevi · · Score: 1

      Airport slots aren't free. And the battery + engine weight scales up exponentially as you grow unless you can find a new manufacturing process. This plane's battery pack already has three times the weight than it has cargo capacity and it could only power its engines for ~1 hour.

      Flights across a nation are often 2-4h, international 8-20h. So you have to double the plane's batteries and engines just to take the same load on your average flight. 20x ($600M) to start comparing with a regular small $30M commuter plane.

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    14. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by edtice1559 · · Score: 1

      That's also true here in the US. Jet fuel is Kerosene without the road tax and is about US1/gallon cheaper.

    15. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      The Q400 also (at least with Alaska Airlines flights) often loads and unloads front AND back, meaning your gate fees are greatly reduced.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    16. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure where you're getting your numbers from, but the manufacturer says $200/hr for the electric plane and $1000/hr for a turboprop. Your $72 is enough to climb and land

      And yes, electricity is cheaper than gas, etc. The reason that things haven't taken off is energy density for storage isn't there yet. And it still isn't there here.

      I mean, for a private jet, sure. But commercial airlines need more space.

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    17. Re: Replace commuter turboprops? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      There's a difference between wanting electric planes (Cool!) and thinking this is a useful one (less so, for many reasons.) Similarly, I'd love (cold fusion/true AI/quantum computers) to exist, but we're not there yet. People are negative because they don't believe in this plane.

      Also, the motors aren't the question. Given enough electricity, we could trivially make all-electric 747s. Since this doesn't push battery tech forward, it falls into a cool example of a toy for the rich, not a massive sea-change for air travel. And, since they're not researching batteries, they aren't the ones who ate going to change that.

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    18. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      The costs of operating an airport are pretty high. They are talking about shutting airports down to save money already. They're not going to open new ones. At least not without massive fees from the airliners that make it not profitable.

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    19. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Domestic electricity in most of the US is not cheaper than road fuel; if it were electric resistance heating would dominate instead of heating oil, natural gas, and propane. Typically, domestic electricity is not quite twice as expensive as liquid fuels.

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    20. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Exponentially - that word does not mean what you think it means.

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    21. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by eth1 · · Score: 1

      This is a nine-passenger aircraft. No matter how cheap it is, it can't replace a common turboprop commuter aircraft like the Q400, which seats 80-90 people.

      Which I doubt it was ever intended for. In fact, given the airport resource contention you mentioned, I'd be surprised if they were ever intended to operate out of major airports.

      What they'd be good for is things like Lubbock, TX to Waco, TX or Odessa to College Station, where there isn't much demand, and currently no commercial flights at all.

    22. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by twebb72 · · Score: 1

      This is a nine-passenger aircraft. No matter how cheap it is, it can't replace a common turboprop commuter aircraft like the Q400, which seats 80-90 people.

      Uhh... I beg to differ. Reorient the seats, do some creative accounting with all the extra inches; give everyone the 12"-16" they need to squeeze in single file and sittting on shoulders... I can see 120-150 seats fitting into the 9 seater based on current trends.

    23. Re:Replace commuter turboprops? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      I suspect he's talking about costs once consumed to propel something, rather than a simple joule comparison. Oil is pretty much only efficient at heating things outside of still exotic technologies like carbon fuel cells, and even the latter is a "convert to electricity then do <something>" thing. When it comes to moving a load from A to B, oil burnt in a ICE is so much less efficient the alternatives that the cost per mile is considerably higher.

      --
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  4. If they added the ability to rotate the propellers by bobstreo · · Score: 1

    you wouldn't need an airport for take offs or landings.

    I was curious about the de-icing electrical requirements as well, since winter turboprop trip make me nervous everytime.

  5. Reduced maintenance costs will save heaps... by ClarkMills · · Score: 2

    Electric, compared to turboprop/jet, should be very low maintenance. This will also be a huge win for short-haul flights like these.

    Google: How often do planes get inspected?

    A check. This is performed approximately every 400-600 flight hours or 200–300 cycles (takeoff and landing is considered an aircraft "cycle"), depending on aircraft type. It needs about 50-70 man-hours and is usually on the ground in a hangar for a minimum of 10 hours.

    1. Re:Reduced maintenance costs will save heaps... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Jet engines are comparably low maintenance parts (except for lubricant oil, that has to be filled up quite often) The kind of aircraft inspection you are mentioning - the A check - is far more than an engine check, replacing jet engines with electric engines would make little difference there.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  6. Battery weight? by orzetto · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They claim "current technology", but with current technology 900 kWh weigh about 9 tons (considering the battery pack). Ultimate density for Li-ion, according to this report (figure 6-12), could get it to 3 ton or just below.

    That's in any case a lot more than the payload for a plane that size. In general, current battery technology cannot be used on regional flights, much less intercontinental ones. Hydrogen may be an alternative for regional (still not long-range), though it might require making the plane look like a beluga to accommodate the tanks.

    900 kWh on a 9-seater? Vaporware, unless they show what battery pack they are using.

    --
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    1. Re:Battery weight? by Rei · · Score: 1

      Yeah, 260Wh/kg is pretty close to the cell density. But that's A) easier to achieve when you're making such a large pack, and B) for aircraft roles, you can afford to spend more on lightweighting and have lower requirements on ability to withstand impacts.

      It's clearly a very lightweight composite aircraft. Lightweighting costs money, but when you're talking electric aircraft, that extra expense is well worth it.

      --
      Seen on a Japanese food processor: "Not to be used for the other use."
    2. Re:Battery weight? by Rei · · Score: 1

      It does however impose more significant loading on the landing gear and its connection to the frame.

      That said, battery packs aren't dead weight - they function as stiffening elements to adjacent structural members.

      --
      Seen on a Japanese food processor: "Not to be used for the other use."
    3. Re:Battery weight? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Your numbers are a bit off. The current Hyundai Kona has a ~68kWh pack* which weighs 453kg. So for 900kWh that would be around 6 tonnes, or 6.6 tons.

      It would probably be less than that though, because the Kona pack includes all the support structures and water cooling. That stuff won't scale linearly, assuming they even are using water cooling.

      * the listed 64kWh is the usable amount, not the full capacity which is secret but seems to be at least 68kWh.

      --
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    4. Re:Battery weight? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      They claim "current technology", but with current technology 900 kWh weigh about 9 tons (considering the battery pack).
      If you use batteries like in the current Teslas, it is roughly 4 tons ... not 9.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:Battery weight? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      "A) easier to achieve when you're making such a large pack"

      I don't think you should assume this. Tesla uses a small cell even for large packs.

      A plane would require sufficient structure to prevent catastrophe in the event of a worst case battery failure. Big batteries aren't easier to make lightweight.

    6. Re:Battery weight? by Rei · · Score: 1

      I don't think you should assume this. Tesla uses a small cell even for large packs.

      You're talking about cell format. I'm talking about pack overhead (structural, insulative, venting, cooling, wiring, control hardware, etc). Even Tesla has made it clear that their larger packs (Roadster, Semi) will gain in energy density simply due to the increased size, without any need for improved cell energy density.

      --
      Seen on a Japanese food processor: "Not to be used for the other use."
  7. Re:Let me clear this right up by rkordmaa · · Score: 4, Insightful
    "Electric airplanes are right up there with perpetual motion devices".

    Um... no. You can buy an electric airplane such as Pipistrel no problem. And obviously it's possible to scale it up. Question is though, where are the practical engineering and economics limits? Just as obviously as it's possible to scale up electric airplanes, it's currently not feasible to scale it up to rival an intercontinental airliner. But there is a lot of middle ground between a Pipistrel and A350.

  8. Re:Ever seen a Tesla battery pack go up in flames? by geekmux · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ever seen a Tesla battery pack go up in flames?

    Kind of hard to stop and jump out at 20000 feet.

    Ever seen what a shotglass worth of vaporized gasoline can do with regards to explosive power?

    Kind of hard to use your argument when the risk factor doesn't really change regardless of fuel source.

  9. Re:Conspicuous lack of info on runway length by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Lies.
    Pipistrel Alpha Electro:
    take off run MTOW 492 feet (150 m)
    take off over 50' obstacle MTOW 885 feet (270 m)

  10. Re:Kind of surprised myself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The idea of an "automobile" probably sounds great to you too, provided someone walks in front of it at all times in order to warn people of the approaching vehicle.

  11. Re:Kind of surprised myself... by Rei · · Score: 1

    You would not put a "generator" on it. But it surely has a RAT as an auxiliary power supply.

    --
    Seen on a Japanese food processor: "Not to be used for the other use."
  12. This would be awesome in places like Utah. by Pezbian · · Score: 2

    About 20 years ago, Morton International (now Autoliv) used a private jet to shuttle explosive airbag initiators between the Tremonton, Utah and Brigham City, Utah plants. It was a 20 mile flight and ridiculously-expensive (because Learjet), but the initiators were illegal to transport via the freeway. Ultimately, the Tremonton initiator plant was closed. The airport closed a short time later because that jet was the only real reason it stayed open.

    There's a lot of distance between cities in Utah. Brigham City isn't that big at ~18,000 people and it's a 30 mile flight North to Logan with a population of 50,000 or a 30 mile flight South to the Ogden Metro area with a population around 500,000. It's a further 30 miles to the Salt Lake City Metro area with a population over 1,000,000.

    Booking full 9-passenger flights between Brigham City and Salt Lake City would be easy. A round-trip would be faster and cheaper than the FrontRunner train (which is supposed to link to Brigham City in the distant future) in terms of operating expenses, even at half-capacity. Engineers, Doctors, etc, who live in the less-crowded Brigham City area already commute to Salt Lake. Saving an extra two or three hours a day on the commute (not to mention the stress of traffic) is something people with the money would gladly pay for.

    --
    In a world of the blind, the one-eyed man is king--and the two-eyed man is a heretic.
    1. Re:This would be awesome in places like Utah. by Pezbian · · Score: 1

      It would definitely have to be a private service. Chartered aircraft are exempt from TSA screening.

      I don't believe anyone would have to give up their car. Since it's a service geared for high-income clientele, it's not really a stretch for them to keep a car in parking nearby and use that to get around. For example, maybe they fly from Brigham City Airport to Salt Lake City, get on a dedicated shuttle to the parking garage where their in-town Nissan Leaf, Chevy Volt, or plug-in Prius is waiting on a charger. They use that to drive to the office, run errands, whatever, come back to the garage at the end of the day, plug the car back in, take the shuttle to the airport, get on the plane back to Brigham City Airport, watch the traffic chaos on I-15 from the air at 250+ MPH, and drive the short few miles home or take the shuttle.

      Winter can be awful here. I've seen snowplows go off the road at times. Aircraft can have trouble with snow-ingestion causing flame-outs, but an electric aircraft doesn't have to deal with that. The instant response of electric motors could prove advantageous when taking off and landing in severe weather. Heating/de-icing could at least partially be accomplished by circulating battery coolant throughout the craft.

      In terms of energy requirements, Brigham City Airport is across the street from a steel processing facility that uses so much energy it makes a couple more megawatts from several planes charging at once look like a drop in the bucket. Salt Lake City Airport already has sufficient electrical capacity.

      I don't know much about flying planes, but I know a craft like that wouldn't have to fly very high and we're already 4200' above sea level. 1500' AGL would be plenty, saving plenty of energy. Runway length wouldn't even be a problem since Brigham City Airport has an 8900' runway, saving wear on the motors and battery by not having to go full speed on take-off.

      I'll be watching this. It's economically-viable, locally, but I don't know whether it's profitable just yet. A battery with half the capacity would even be fine if charging were available during load/offload at each end.

      --
      In a world of the blind, the one-eyed man is king--and the two-eyed man is a heretic.
    2. Re: This would be awesome in places like Utah. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Check in time, air control delays, commute to two airports, weather delays in some areas of the country, and perhaps baggage limitations on a small aircraft, make train commuting over short distances far more convenient. Train stations are down town, airports are not. Business travelers have internet and electric outlets on a train, so that work can be accomplished while commuting on a train. The trade off between a 9 passenger plane and a train trip appears much more in favor of a train over a short distance.

      Considering the larger carrying capacity of a train, the passenger/crew ratio, the efficiency of an iron rail versus traffic control and the inefficiency of reaching elevation of an airplane, the train is far more efficient than a 9 passenger airplane.

      The same batteries that drive a plane can also drive a train with less weight and wind resistance on the train. The forward momentum of a train takes far less energy than a plane. The plane needs momentum in two directions, whereas thr train needs momentum in one direction. A plane requires 4 to 6 extra miles of vertical distance at higher energy cost at both ends of the trip.

      Let the government subsidize the railway industry with a higher priority than the aircraft industry. Trains can be automated, planes can't to the same extent. Autopilot on a plane doesn't count as full automation, and a 9 passenger prop driven plane is not going to run on autopilot.

    3. Re: This would be awesome in places like Utah. by Pezbian · · Score: 1

      Sounds like you're in an area with a rather different infrastructure.

      --
      In a world of the blind, the one-eyed man is king--and the two-eyed man is a heretic.
  13. Re:Bull - Laws of Physics by Sique · · Score: 2
    Jet fuel has about 36 MJ/kg, which is about 16 MJ/lb.

    Li-Ion accumulators have about 0.7 MJ/kg or about 0.3 MJ/lb.

    But because the energy efficiency of a jet engine is only about 40 percent, the 16 MJ/lb are more equal to 6.4 MJ/lb compared with Li-Ion, which has a nearly 100 percent efficiency. Still, effective Li-Ion-energy density is only a twentieth of that of jet fuel.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  14. Re:Aeroplane has already been done by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    Starship is the word for today, of the morrow. Sieze the day by the ballz.

    Do you sieze deez nuts?

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  15. Re:Ever seen a Tesla battery pack go up in flames? by Phaid · · Score: 2

    Ever seen a Tesla battery pack go up in flames?

    Kind of hard to stop and jump out at 20000 feet.

    Ever seen what a shotglass worth of vaporized gasoline can do with regards to explosive power?

    Kind of hard to use your argument when the risk factor doesn't really change regardless of fuel source.

    Jet fuel as used in commercial turboprop and jet airliners is much more similar to kerosene than gasoline in terms of volatility. Its flashpoint is generally above 38C (depending on exact mix) while gasoline's is minus 43C. Jet fuel will explode if pressurized and vaporized, which is why airplane crashes can produce spectacular explosions, but it is actually difficult to light an open container of jet fuel with a match.

    All that to say, uncontrolled combustion, let alone explosion, of jet fuel in a moving aircraft is a very unlikely event.

  16. Re:There are small turbine engines, why not use th by Luckyo · · Score: 1

    Complexity. Combustion engines are much more complex than electric.

  17. Charging infra is the problem by scsirob · · Score: 1

    Just a few weeks ago this popped up on the local news in Europe as well.

    I did some calculations to find out what it would take to keep a single medium-size airport going when all planes are electric. For this, I took the amount of kerosine pumped into planes every day, and then translated that to the equivalent electric energy. It would take 3 to 4 decent nuclear power plants at every medium-size airport in Europe.

    Never mind that getting the energy into the batteries in a reasonable gate turn-around time, you'd need either swappable battery packs, or 100.000V at 2000A connected to each plane. What could possibly go wrong.

    Go ahead. Do the math. And find out if reality stands between today and your green Utopia.

    --
    To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
    1. Re:Charging infra is the problem by Whibla · · Score: 1

      Leaving aside the snide digs and cynicism, you do make a very good point, one which has been troubling me of late - albeit more in relation to the various governmental promises to phase out ICE engines in favour of electric cars, buses, etc.

      While electrical power consumption has been relatively flat, across the EU at least, over the last decade, as increased efficiencies counteract increased sources of demand, I'm not sure I've seen credible plans for increasing power generation (anywhere near) to the point where we can actually 'fuel' this new fleet of green vehicles.

      However, with a clear mandate on time frame and direction, it's possible this will be 'solved' by 'the market'. I'm just not sure what the cost of that solution would be.

    2. Re:Charging infra is the problem by grahamsz · · Score: 1

      Less so for something like a plane, but there's a lot of cheap wind power generated at night and we can presumably scale that up pretty easily.

      I imagine with some kind of clever smart grid control we can set rules like "always charge my car to 30% if power is less than $1/kWh, then charge it fully when it drops below 8c/kWh, and dump it back out to the grid if power exceeds $2/kWh"

      That should do a lot to smooth overall demand, but it doesn't change the fact that it'll still will require a lot more windmills

    3. Re:Charging infra is the problem by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      A stationary engine can always be made more efficient than an airplane engine because of design tradeoffs between mass and efficiency. Same argument applies to mass and pollution. No need to consider nuclear for the first approximation. So: Ground fossil fuel engine runs generator to charge airplane batteries. The question then is how efficient is the generator and how efficient is the battery cycle? Batteries are heavier than the energy-equivalent amount of jet fuel, so it takes more weight in the electric plane to fly the same amount of cargo, and that lowers cargo-mile efficiency.

      I'd guess that electric planes still lose this comparison, but it may be closer than you think.

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  18. How much weight? by sjbe · · Score: 1

    An all-electric mini-airliner that can go 621 miles on one charge and replace many of the turboprops and light jets in use now -- flying almost as far and almost as fast but for a fraction of the running costs -- could be in service within three years.

    Any discussion of distance traveled in an aircraft without also indicating the weight of the cargo (including passengers) it can carry is either marketing hype or fanboyism. This is EXACTLY the same problem discussions of flying cars have. The problem isn't getting something aloft. The problem is getting something aloft that can do something useful and do it reliably and economically. Batteries are (currently) heavy and they stay heavy no matter their charge state.

    Another problem. So let's say it can go 621 miles as indicated for argument's sake. Great. How long does it take to recharge because turnaround time in commercial aviation is an important economic issue. If the plane can only fly once per day it's not going to be economical to operate even if the fuel is free.

  19. Nope and neither have you by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Ever seen a Tesla battery pack go up in flames?

    Not with my own eyes, no. And according to the data neither have you. I have however seen literally dozens of gasoline powered cars burning by the side of the road over the last half century however with my own eyes and there were about 174,000 vehicle fires in the US in 2015 versus 40 total Teslas ever.

  20. Re:Conspicuous lack of info on runway length by scsirob · · Score: 1

    Plenty such runway available. People call them 'Highways'. And the planes on them 'cars' or 'busses'.

    --
    To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
  21. What's the turn-around time? by mpercy · · Score: 1

    Puddle-jumper airlines need to make multiple flights back and forth. Can't include an 8 hour recharge time. Maybe that would work for some sort of charter plane instead of private jets where the executives will be on the ground overnight or something.

  22. Re:Ever seen a Tesla battery pack go up in flames? by pz · · Score: 1

    Except we know how to handle jet fuel very, very safely, now. Extraordinarily safely. It also has a nice characteristic of not being explosive (or even combustible, really) in liquid form. We don't have jet fuel or gasoline spontaneously igniting under normal operations.

    Compare with lithium batteries that are not yet to the same standard of safety. We see lithium batteries spontaneously ignite under normal operations pretty frequently still. That isn't to say that we won't figure out safe lithium battery operations, but we aren't quite there, yet.

    So your comparison isn't very fair.

    --

    Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
  23. Let's talk about weight! by Spinlock_1977 · · Score: 1

    How much does a 900 kWh battery weight? Google tells me that a Tesla battery pack of approx 90 kWh weights 1,200 pounds. My solar calculator tells me it would take ten of them to get to 900 kWh, resulting in a weight of 12,000 pounds. If use a little rounding and say our electric plane can hold 10 people, that's about 1,200 pounds of fuel-weight for each passenger. I should probably double that since this electric plane has half the range of a turboprop.

    Is anyone familiar enough with turboprops weights & measures to provide a similar calculation?

    --
    - The Kessel run is for nerf herders. I can circumnavigate the entire Central Finite Curve in a lot less than 12 parse
  24. Weight and logistics by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Wow, it's like nobody has ever thought about multiple battery packs that can be swapped.

    Wow, it's like you never thought about the fact that swappable battery packs weigh more than ones that aren't and that weigh matters a LOT on an aircraft.

    Do you have any idea how much new infrastructure would be required to swap battery packs at the gate of a terminal? How much the extra structure and weight the aircraft has to carry to facilitate swapping? Swapping battery packs the size we are talking about here is a huge logistical and engineering problem. Maybe it can be made to work but it isn't obvious that it's a good solution.

    1. Re:Weight and logistics by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Swappable packs don't necessarily weigh more, but you have to accommodate them and every door you build into the aircraft either reduces its structural integrity or adds a bunch of weight.

      Airplanes spend enough time sitting on the ground that a typical fast charge period is not a hardship anyway, so who cares? You could put a coolant loop into the battery which was designed to drain out at the end of a charge cycle, and deliver coolant along with power and then drain it out again after charging. That would take up valuable space, but it would save the weight.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  25. Crew and weight by sjbe · · Score: 1

    With automation, maybe they only need a crew of one. They can autoland at the nearest airport if something happens to the human.

    Not any time soon. You are hugely overestimating the state of the art in automation. Co-pilots are going to be a thing in commercial aviation for the foreseeable future. Its unlikely automation is going to advance to the point where co-pilots are redundant any time soon.

    I'm sure larger versions of this will be built, too. Even two or three more passengers means a significant change in the economics.

    A) it's not obvious that larger versions are feasible. The power to weight issues with electric motors and batteries don't scale linearly.
    B) A handful of extra passengers doesn't change the economics wildly.
    C) What matter is the total amount of cargo the plane can carry (including passengers) for what distance and at what cost. Basically $/km/kg. Any discussion that does not involve cost+weight+distance is a waste of time.

    1. Re:Crew and weight by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Co-pilots are going to be a thing in commercial aviation for the foreseeable future. Its unlikely automation is going to advance to the point where co-pilots are redundant any time soon.

      That's just an opinion based on current large commercial airliners.

      Those same airliners used to have flight engineers on board but they've been made redundant by automation.

      Do you think copilots are necessary in automobiles? Large trucks? Why not?

      --
      No sig today...
    2. Re:Crew and weight by Cochonou · · Score: 1

      Because large trucks and automobiles can stop at the side of the road in case of problems. Airplanes crash to the ground.

  26. Quick number check by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
    The nine seater is similar to Beechcraft 1900D Empty weight = 4700 kg, Fuel= 2000 kg, payload= 2800 kg. Typically 50% of the empty weight is structure, and 50% is the powerplant. Thus we have 4350 Kg for the engine and fuel. This is the mass budget we have battery + motor.

    Tesla model 3 battery pack is 475 Kg for 75 kWh. Works out to 5700 kg. So we are already 1350 kg over the limit, and we have not added the motor yet. So what to do?

    Tesla pack has active cooling and is designed for automotive use and it has some heavy shielding for road hazards etc. We should be able to save 20% on cooling. At altitude there is unlimited supply of very cold air, which can be used for cooling the battery pack. And during charging on ground, we would design a charging/cooling connections to blast it with refrigerated air and charge. We are at 4560 kg under this assumption.

    Design the structure and the cell for aero application we can probably save another 10%. We are within ball park now 4100Kg. We have about 200 kg for two 260 kW motor. Not possible, but not totally out either.

    Looks like it is a stretch to say we can do it with present day technology. But it needs just a some evolutionary improvements, not revolutionary breakthroughs to make this plane possible

    A nine seater with such low operating cost will revolutionize Pacific island nations, Carribean islands, Australian outback, Alaska etc. So there is a huge market for it. Looks like it can happen. Sooner than we realized, is a defendable claim.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:Quick number check by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Some more factors: the Beechcraft was introduced in 1982 and is based on an even older design, The airframe doesn't have the advantage of modern composite technology and computerized structural design, nor does it take advantage of more than 35 years of improvements in computerized aerodynamics. These things bring the new plane closer to feasibility.

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      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    2. Re:Quick number check by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

      Wind is cheaper than coal power plants, wind mills are just the right size for these islands and outbacks.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  27. I think it is by AndyKron · · Score: 1

    I think it's another claim by another overoptimistic purveyor of electric dreams just solar feakin' roadways.

  28. Re:Ever seen a Tesla battery pack go up in flames? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Jet fuel aka Kerosine is basically the same as Diesel.
    You throw a burning match into it and it gets extinct (most of the time, with bad luck you have a thin burning layer on top of the oil).

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  29. Re:Conspicuous lack of info on runway length by vyvepe · · Score: 1

    It is easy to ramp up power of an electric motor and battery. Take off is easy for an electric plane. Endurance is a huge problem for an electric plane.

  30. Re: Nonsense by Sique · · Score: 2

    If you look at hydrocarbons, you mostly have about two hydrogen atoms per carbon atom (less for non-saturated compounds). So it makes sense to talk about mol and not about mass. If you for instance burn octane (C8H18), you get 8 mol CO2 and 9 mol H2O per mol of octane.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  31. Flaming cars by DrYak · · Score: 1

    I have however seen literally dozens of gasoline powered cars burning by the side of the road

    Let me guess: you're currently demonstrating while wearing a gilet jaune ?

    over the last half century however with my own eyes

    Ah okay, my bad.

    ----

    Yes, I know. Obviously trolling.

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    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  32. distributed local generation from renewable by DrYak · · Score: 1

    However, with a clear mandate on time frame and direction, it's possible this will be 'solved' by 'the market'. I'm just not sure what the cost of that solution would be.

    By using a network of locally generated power.

    Currently, the "flat EU consumption" is produced centrally by a couple of nuclear reactor, a couple of big hydro electric dam, or a giant park of wind turbine, etc. (depending on the European country considered) and routed from this central production to the couple of villages or city which depend on this power plant, with the only routing being between such large area.

    The point to counteract such increased electrical needs is to cover every single roof with solar panels (or put a windmill next to each house, etc.) and add the capability to route power from house to house based on needs.
    That going to dramatically increase power output, but progressively and spread over a long period instead of need a giant multi-billion project to quickly add a new nuclear plant to double power.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  33. Points and laughs by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    Having flown lithium-powered UAVs for a few years now, I can tell you how scary it is when a supposedly fully charged battery craps out a couple of minutes into the flight. This is never going to work until a different battery technology comes along.

  34. And the burning question is... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

    What's the turnaround time?

    One of those turboprops it's supposed to replace can be back in the air in an hour. Can this thing be recharged in an hour? Or are we talking buying four or five of these to replace every turboprop? Or 40-50 of these, if they only carry single-digit passengers....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  35. Re:Conspicuous lack of info on runway length by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    And here is a Piper Cub taking off in ~10 feet. And the Cub can carry 4 people, not 2 like your Alpha Electro.

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    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  36. What you can buy now by spaceyhackerlady · · Score: 1

    I've seen the Pipistrel Alpha Electro in action. Almost silent, quick-change battery packs. Cute as hell.

    And short legs: an hour plus reserve in the air. If it was good for two hours I'd be interested in getting checked out in one and renting it for local flights. Four hours and I'd look thoughtfully at my bank account. Here in B.C. it would plug in to hydro dams, so its carbon footprint is nil.

    ...laura

  37. Aside from the electric part of it by AlanObject · · Score: 1

    Cool looking plane but....

    Two engines short-radius props, one at each wingtip? That thing must scream like a banshee.

    Also, I have to question what it is like to fly if one engine goes out. It doesn't look like there is enough rudder there to compensate. (Looks of course don't count but if they did calculations I wonder what they came up with.

    It is interesting, however, how small an electric engine is compared to a turbine equivalent.

    1. Re:Aside from the electric part of it by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      The manufacturer's website claims that the tail prop is meant to be the main source of propulsion; a clue to this is that the tail prop has 3 blades and the wingtip props are only 2 blades. I wouldn't be surprised if it could stay in the sky on only the tail prop.

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    2. Re:Aside from the electric part of it by AlanObject · · Score: 1

      That makes sense. I guess their intent was to take full advantage of the small footprint of electric motors versus their turbine counterparts.

  38. How will the cabins be heated? by Nexus7 · · Score: 1

    The air up there is very cold. Air is bled off from the engine compressors to heat the cabin. How will an electric aircraft do this? Resistance heating from the batteries, I assume? How many more kW capacity will be need for that?

    1. Re:How will the cabins be heated? by Nexus7 · · Score: 1

      kWh rather.

    2. Re:How will the cabins be heated? by Goonie · · Score: 1

      Even assuming that the motors are 95% efficient, that's still quite a few kilowatts of heat. Tapping some of that to heat the cabin shouldn't be too problematic.

      --

      Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
      --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
  39. Re:There is something with *much* higher density. by Luckyo · · Score: 1

    My understanding is that fuel cells in widespread aviation usage are about the same as lithium air batteries. "Twenty years away" in perpetuity. Do you have any new information on any potential breakthroughs that contest this assessment?

  40. Too many issues (currently) by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Swappable packs don't necessarily weigh more

    Ahh but they do as a general proposition. They have to be enclosed in some sort of packaging which necessarily adds weight and bulk. Might not be a lot but it's definitely more than zero. Plus there has to be additional structure to accommodate the now bulkier enclosure for the batteries with a safety margin if you are swapping batteries in the field. I'm not saying it's going to be a vast amount of weight but the number will almost certainly be significant and will affect performance.

    The bigger problem though isn't the idea of swapping battery packs even in light of the extra bulk/weight. That might be worth the tradeoff in the end. No the real problem is the economics and logistics of it. Airport gates would have to be totally redesigned to accommodate this completely new fueling system, the logistics of getting the batteries charged and where needed would need to be worked out, the batteries would need to be available everywhere the plane flies and preferably standardized to keep costs down. The economic problems are perhaps a bigger obstacle than the technical ones.

    Airplanes spend enough time sitting on the ground that a typical fast charge period is not a hardship anyway, so who cares?

    Sometimes they do but turnaround time on a lot of commercial aircraft is often less than 1 hour. That's not nearly enough time to recharge in a lot of cases given the current (and near future) state of the art in battery tech - at least if you want the batteries to last. Don't get me wrong, if they can get the charge times down along with the power/weight of the battery packs enough to make it all work I'm all about it. I just think it's going to be many years (if ever) before a battery electric plane is a realistic technology in day to day use and I'm pretty confident that aviation is going to be one of the last places we see battery-electric vehicles.

  41. Spurring battery tech evolution by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    If anything will help spur the evolution of battery technology to produce higher energy density, electric aircraft will.
    Of course one thing that might be a problem: how long does it take to recharge, versus refueling a jet?
    Then there's battery safety. If it's a car, then sure there's a fire risk if a cell fails and causes a cascade failure of the entire pack, but you can emergency stop and jump out. Not so much with an airplane.
    We'll work it out or we won't. It has to happen one way or another though, we can't keep burning fossil fuel forever.

  42. Or you can Build one in your Basement by foxalopex · · Score: 1

    Seriously I'm not kidding, there's at least one crazy youtuber who built it out of parts from Lowe's and RC Model parts:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    So while it doesn't fly very long, it most certainly works.

    1. Re:Or you can Build one in your Basement by samwichse · · Score: 1

      Haha he built a full scale Air Hogs Aero Ace! If only he steered it purely by thrust vectoring it would be accurate in every way...

      Sam

  43. Use a larger battery at the airport. Done. by Brannon · · Score: 2

    It's amazing how often this silly argument turns up with respect to charging electric vehicles. Somebody calculates the peak charging rates and then extrapolates that to some ridiculous amount that has to be supplied continuously from the original source.

    People don't do this with other consumables, like water or gasoline. Noone ever says, "a toilet requires 1 gallon to be refilled within 60 seconds. There are 5 million toilets in NYC, so the NYC water system must be designed to supply 5 million gallons per minute". Nope, that's silly, because obviously not all toilets are going to be flushing continuously. Having intermediate water storage allows us to work in terms of average demand, not peak demand.

    Well, guess what? You can store electricity, too. Just charge up a large battery at the airport slowly from the utility infrastructure (or hell, from solar panels for that matter) and use that battery to quickly charge planes when they need to be refilled.

    The battery just has to be sized based on average demand (with some buffer). This is pretty much exactly how airport fuel tanks work.

    1. Re:Use a larger battery at the airport. Done. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Yes, you can certainly store electricity at the airport, in batteries or in rubber bands. This is why I'm curious about how they will handle turnaround time - there are a lot of details here, and they are interesting details. Searching Google does not help, so I pose the question here. I'm interested in knowing how you support a completely new type of aircraft fueling infrastructure and how that affects its cost and feasibility.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  44. Sigh. No, this isn't a problem at all. by Brannon · · Score: 1

    The new Tesla Semi is also going to have a >900 KWH battery. Tesla sells passenger sedans with ~100 KWH batteries. It's just not a big deal. All you have to do is charge an even larger stationary battery from some utility feed, and then use that stationary battery to quickly charge (i.e., supercharge) the 900 KWH EV battery.

    1. Re:Sigh. No, this isn't a problem at all. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      It's not a problem to charge an arbitrarily large battery from any electrical system - you just feed it slowly. That's no good for aircraft turnaround time. But if you want to do it quickly, you need the equivalent of 1500 homes worth of power for 40 minutes or so. That's no problem in developed area - but the utility of a 9-seat plane in a developed area is a lot less compelling when they can easily fill a 50-seater. But maybe I just lack imagination and this will spark new uses...

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  45. Industrial 3D Printing Accelerates Electric Aircra by Revv · · Score: 1

    This story is old. I posted the following on eng-tips.com two years ago.

    https://www.eng-tips.com/viewthread.cfm?qid=427361

    The picture does not look like one of a functional aircraft.

  46. Re:There are small turbine engines, why not use th by q_e_t · · Score: 1

    Turboprops have to be relatively large to get sufficient airflow through them, so making them small doesn't work in terms of efficiency compared to making them large. Yes, you can get small jets for model aircraft, but they are not as efficient, but putting a big jet or turboprop on a model stops it being a model. With electric motors you can make them pretty small.There have been experiments in which multiple drive shafts are used from a reciproacting engine (maybe turboprop too), but there are losses from drive shafts and a lot of added complexity, not to mention vibration

  47. 50% of the busiest air routes are 650 miles by Brannon · · Score: 1

    List of busiest passenger air routes

    Please contact the airlines and let them know they should cancel all these flights immediately.

    Has there ever been a more consistently anti-technology forum than the comments section of any Slashdot post?

  48. Getting close by mysidia · · Score: 1

    An all-electric mini-airliner that can go 621 miles on one charge

    Now it just needs to be able to fit in my garage, fly itself (Take off, Navigate, and Land autonomously with no requirement for runway), AND
    come at an affordable price tag. That will tick the boxes for the flying cars that have been 20 years late for us....

  49. Re:If they added the ability to rotate the propell by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    VTOL takes a lot more power than conventional fixed-wing takeoff.

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  50. Re:Exploding non-recyclable composite waste by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    Composites can be shredded to make insulation.

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  51. Re:50% of the busiest air routes are 650 miles by Luckyo · · Score: 1

    Please contact the airlines and tell them you have an aircraft with range of 650 miles. They'll laugh you out of the room, because that's not how short range turboprops actually work.

  52. Relax. It doesn't exist and probably never will. by eepok · · Score: 1

    I can't find a photo/video of a physical prototype anywhere. Like every other major tech hype, read the words carefully and check for graphical renderings. From the summary: "... could be in service within three years."

    Wow... another startup saying that their potential product might be available sometime soon. "Please invest in us."

    This is futurism crap. The tech doesn't exist yet and won't exist for a long time yet. When it does exist, it will cost more than this guy thinks it will AND THEN he'll have to admit that no one wants to fly inside Rubbermaid tub and thus to sell these and keep the potential mileage up, he'll have to use even more exotic materials. Suddenly, it becomes a green-taxi toy for the mega-wealthy instead of an "Electric Airplane Revolution".

    We currently have nowhere near the battery power density (kW/kg) to make this a viable, safe, mass producible product yet. Until we do ALL these neat ideas will just be CGI renderings and VC failure fodder.

  53. 900 kWh?!? by smithmc · · Score: 1

    and they receive power from a 900 kWh lithium ion battery pack

    #whatcouldpossiblygowrong

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  54. Is this a reading comprehension problem? by Brannon · · Score: 1

    Or do you honestly not understand that you can use one battery to charge another?

    > All you have to do is charge an even larger stationary battery SLOWLY from some utility feed, and then use that stationary battery to quickly charge (i.e., supercharge) the 900 KWH EV battery.

  55. I saw a Tesla supercharger at a Dunkin' Donuts. by Brannon · · Score: 1

    You're wondering whether they can possibly afford that sort of technology at a couple of gates of an airport? Perhaps this isn't common knowledge, but airports already consume quite a bit of electricity. It's not rocket surgery.

    1. Re:I saw a Tesla supercharger at a Dunkin' Donuts. by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      I presume you haven't flown into little airstrips at "airports" that are currently served by tiny planes like this? In the Belize example above you literally look both ways and then walk across the runway to leave the airport. A $1.6 million battery would be the most expensive thing at the airport, including most of the planes (OK, technically a brand new Caravan would cost $2 million...). If we were talking even a small regional airport it would be a different matter.

      Anyway, despite you harassing me about asking the question I think the solutions are obvious - either you charge a spare battery and swap it out or you store energy in a powerwall-type device. Either way requires new capital equipment, but it's a solvable problem. We don't get information from the manufacturer, so it's undoubtedly unflatteringly expensive and significantly increases total cost of ownership.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  56. Optionally Piloted by ben_kelley · · Score: 1

    Nice euphemism there. There's your cost saving. :)

  57. $200 hour by cnaumann · · Score: 1

    $200 an hour would not even pay for the pilot and copilot.

  58. Re:Of course, if they receive no funding ... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

    To my understanding, there were several pilot projects like HY4 and FCD. All of them ran into what has proven to be currently unsolvable issues with onboard storage of liquefied H2 used as fuel in fuel cells.

  59. Excellent question! by couchslug · · Score: 1

    Environmental Control Systems ( you need cabin pressurization, not just heaters) use (literally) tons of compressor bleed air.
    I'll be curious to see how they manage that.

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  60. Re:Ever seen a Tesla battery pack go up in flames? by geekmux · · Score: 1

    Compare with lithium batteries that are not yet to the same standard of safety. We see lithium batteries spontaneously ignite under normal operations pretty frequently still. That isn't to say that we won't figure out safe lithium battery operations, but we aren't quite there, yet.

    So your comparison isn't very fair.

    OK, let's be realistic here and look at the numbers. I'd say there are a few billion lithium ion batteries running at this very moment. There have been many more billions constructed throughout history. Out of those billions, exactly how many of them have reported as catching fire for unknown reasons? There are about the same number of smartphones in the US as passenger cars, and yet we have over 150,000 cars catch fire every year (less than 5% of those are due to collision). Should I really believe we've achieved some fantastic standard of safety in automotive design with those numbers? I guess I don't see how lithium ion fires are happening pretty frequently.